Market Signal Briefing

Sat, 17/01/2026 - 16:05

1,235,294,117,647 SHIB have exited futures contracts with significant implications for the markets.

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According to on-chain data, Shiba Inu has seen an increase in futures outflows in the last 24 hours. A total of 1,235,294,117,647 SHIB have outflowed from Shiba Inu futures contracts in this time frame.

CoinGlass data indicates 1,235,294,117,647 SHIB or $10.50 million recorded in SHIB futures outflows. This surpasses inflows, which amounted to $8.8 million, with this having implications for the market.

The futures flow metric tracks the capital flow of the cryptocurrency futures market. In the case of Shiba Inu, futures outflows in the last 24 hours were higher, suggesting traders might be reducing their exposure to the dog cryptocurrency.

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This coincides with a price drop in the market, with traders now watching to see what comes next.

What's next for SHIB price?Shiba Inu reversed a two-day drop from a low of $0.00000815 on Friday. At the time of writing, SHIB was up 2.45% in the last 24 hours to $0.000008567. In the last 24 hours, Shiba Inu's trading volume was up 4.39% to $94.53 million.

The next resistance targets for Shiba Inu lie at $0.00001017 and at the daily MA 50 at $0.00001084, which might enable it to reach $0.000015 in the long run.

In a fresh development, Shiba Inu has completed another hourly death cross in 2026, as the hourly MA 50 has fallen below the MA 20.

Shiba Inu will look to convert the daily MA 50 at $0.0000081 into support to sustain its short-term momentum. If this falters, the next support lies at $0.00000732.

In another scenario, Shiba Inu might follow the broader market trend, especially if Bitcoin's price recovers. The chances of range trading remain as signaled by momentum indicators, including the RSI.

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TLDR: Bitcoin ETF holdings have moved sideways since early 2025, signaling stagnation rather than renewed institutional accumulation.  Recent ETF inflows are tactical and short-lived, failing to provide the persistent marginal demand needed to absorb supply.  Weak ETF demand risks clogging OTC desks, increasing the probability of Bitcoin supply hitting open markets.  Crypto ETFs remain under 3% of total U.S. ETF inflows, reinforcing their role as tactical diversifiers, not core allocations.  Bitcoin ETFs are seeing renewed inflows in early 2026, but analysts warn this does not mark a true liquidity recovery.

While short-term buying has returned, on-chain data and ETF holdings show stagnation rather than accumulation. 

As OTC absorption weakens, the market faces a rising risk that excess Bitcoin supply could spill into open exchanges.

Bitcoin ETF Liquidity: From Accumulation to Distribution During the early–mid 2024 launch phase, spot Bitcoin ETFs acted as a powerful liquidity vacuum. They absorbed supply from miners, long-term holders, and OTC desks, driving price appreciation without pressuring public order books. 

That regime has clearly ended. Since March 2025, ETF Bitcoin holdings have failed to reclaim prior highs, moving sideways to lower despite multiple inflow attempts. 

This pattern reflects distribution rather than accumulation. As CryptoQuant analysts note, liquidity is defined by sustained marginal demand—not sporadic green days. 

Is ETF liquidity coming back? No, not yet.

“Short-term inflows may come back, but from a trend perspective, the picture is still negative. If there is no longer enough demand to absorb OTC selling, those coins will eventually flow into the open market.” – By @mignoletkr pic.twitter.com/kt7ki9TdQx

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 16, 2026

Today’s ETF flows are reactive, offering fragile support rather than acting as a growth engine. The deeper concern lies beneath the surface. OTC desks function as shock absorbers when ETF demand is strong. 

As that demand fades, excess supply has fewer private channels to move through, increasing the likelihood it reaches open markets and pressures prices directly.

Why Bitcoin ETFs Are Losing the Liquidity Race in 2026 While headline ETF inflows across markets are reaching record levels in early 2026, crypto remains a small and constrained segment. Total U.S. ETF inflows for 2025 are projected at $1.5 trillion. 

Yet only $44 billion flowed into crypto spot ETFs—roughly equal to gold and less than 3% of the total. The real capital winners remain active ETFs and fixed income products, reflecting investor priorities around yield, flexibility, and capital preservation amid macro uncertainty.

 Even recent Bitcoin ETF inflows—such as BlackRock’s IBIT drawing $648 million in a single day—are largely executed via OTC channels, limiting their impact on open-market price discovery.

This positions Bitcoin ETFs as tactical tools rather than structural drivers. Without a broader shift in institutional risk appetite, they are unlikely to recreate the explosive liquidity impulse seen at launch. 

Until sustained accumulation returns, the market may be forced to clear excess supply the hard way—through price discovery on open exchanges.

The performance of U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continues to offer valuable insight into Bitcoin’s [BTC] probable directional bias.

As gateways for institutional participation, ETF flows have become a critical liquidity signal for the broader market.

At press time, Bitcoin traded at a particularly sensitive level, hovering between the $90,000 and $100,000 range. At this midpoint, ETF activity could play a decisive role.

If the bulls regain momentum, they may finally challenge the trend. However, bears have largely controlled price action since October. Their continued pressure could suppress any upside attempts.

ETF flows are becoming Bitcoin’s primary liquidity signal The narrative around Bitcoin liquidity returning through ETF remains complex, marked by alternating periods of accumulation and distribution.

On the 16th of January, the session ended with net outflows of about $394 million, signaling renewed selling pressure. This came just a day after the market recorded a net inflow of $100.18 million.

Despite the day-to-day volatility, the broader picture shows cumulative weekly inflows reaching $1.4 billion for the first time in several weeks.

This ongoing rotation between buyers and sellers makes it difficult to define Bitcoin’s immediate directional bias with certainty.

However, recent analysis from CryptoQuant suggests that Fidelity’s and Ark Invest’s U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs may offer clearer directional signals than headline ETF flows alone.

According to the report, Fidelity’s FBTC and Ark’s ARKB exhibit a relatively strong correlation with Bitcoin’s price movements.

“Bitcoin’s price has closely followed the cumulative flows of FBTC and ARKB.”

This relationship suggests that flows into and out of these ETFs provide a more refined lens for assessing Bitcoin’s underlying demand. Their performance offers additional context, particularly when evaluating medium- to long-term price trends rather than short-term volatility.

FBTC and ARKB point to slowing institutional momentum Flow and price behavior across FBTC and ARKB suggest that Bitcoin’s next sustained upside move may not yet be in place. Instead, current conditions point to continued consolidation or weakness in the near term.

This assessment is rooted in liquidity trends across both ETFs. FBTC has not recorded a new all-time high since March 2025, while ARKB has trended lower since July.

These patterns indicate that institutional capital inflows have slowed materially compared to earlier phases of the rally.

Source: CryptoQuant

Given Bitcoin’s tendency to track the movement of these ETFs, persistent weakness in FBTC and ARKB implies that upside momentum in Bitcoin may remain limited.

A downtrend in ETF liquidity does not typically support the formation of new price highs in the underlying asset.

The report also highlighted that this type of correlation is not unprecedented, drawing comparisons to Bitcoin’s relationship with Strategy’s MSTR in 2024.

After reaching a peak, MSTR failed to establish higher highs and entered a sustained decline, reflecting capital rotation out of the asset. Bitcoin followed a similar path during the same period, reinforcing the role of correlated liquidity signals.

Source: CryptoQuant

This historical parallel suggests that continued capital outflows could place further pressure on Bitcoin’s price. Even if short-term rebounds occur, sustained upside would likely require a clear reversal in ETF flow trends.

Without such a shift, any near-term strength may give way to longer-term consolidation or downside risk.

IBIT’s market impact differs despite its dominant size BlackRock’s U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, remained the dominant product by net asset value, holding approximately $74.57 billion as of writing.

This compares with Fidelity’s FBTC, the second-largest U.S. Bitcoin ETF, which stood at $18.97 billion. However, IBIT’s market impact differs in structure and execution.

According to the report, a significant portion of IBIT’s activity is conducted through over-the-counter transactions. As a result, many of these trades do not directly affect spot market pricing in the same way as on-exchange ETF flows.

Source: CryptoQuant

Even so, IBIT has played a stabilizing role during periods of market stress, helping to limit sharper downside moves as liquidity exits the market.

That said, IBIT has also begun to experience outflows, aligning with the broader slowdown in institutional capital across the Bitcoin market.

On-chain and ETF holding data show that Bitcoin’s aggregate holding trend continues to decline and has now returned to levels last observed in May 2024.

This reinforces the view that selling pressure and reduced liquidity remain persistent headwinds for price recovery in the near term.

Final Thoughts Fidelity’s FBTC and Ark Invest’s ARKB U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF remain key instruments to watch when assessing Bitcoin’s next potential price swing. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $1.8 billion in net inflows over the past week, signaling a temporary easing of selling pressure.

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Ethereum treasury company BitMine has faced some criticism over its $200 million investment in MrBeast’s Beast Industries earlier this week. This comes amid Billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya’s revelation of his stake in the company. Meanwhile, the chairman of the ETH treasury company, Tom Lee, has again explained why investing in MrBeast’s company is a good move.

Crypto Commentators Criticize BitMine’s MrBeast Investment In an X post, crypto commentator Ran Neuner revealed that he had sold all his BMNR shares. This revelation came as he criticized the company’s investment in Beast Industries, stating that he had invested in an ETH treasury company, not “Tom Lee’s venture fund.”

Neuner also remarked that he wants more ETH per share, indicating that BitMine should focus on buying more Ethereum rather than investing in Beast Industries. “I understand influencer marketing better than most, but I can’t be convinced that an ETH treasury company should be making these investments. I’m out,” he added.

CoinGape had reported that Tom Lee’s company invested $200 million in Beast Industries earlier this week. The BitMine chairman explained that this move was a way to create a collaboration between Ethereum, which he claimed is the future of digital finance, and the number one content creator in the world.

Neuner isn’t the only one to have criticized this move by the Ethereum treasury company. The Altcoin Daily also questioned why Tom Lee’s company is buying a stake in MrBeast’s company rather than buying more ETH. ” I like MrBeast… but how does this make sense? Someone please explain this to me,” the crypto commentator added.

The Bull Case For ETH and BMNR Stock Tom Lee highlighted the bull case for the ETH price and BMNR stock this year. He noted that this could be Ethereum’s year, with the ETH/BTC ratio hitting a new all-time high (ATH) and tokenization and mainstream adoption driving the altcoin’s price higher.

The BitMine chairman also mentioned that Standard Chartered sees 2026 as Ethereum’s year, with a potential rally to $12,000. Lee expects the treasury company will benefit from ETH’s rise, with historical correlation suggesting that a $12,000 Ethereum price could translate into a $500 BMNR share price.

2/
The year of $ETH Ethereum

– prior ATH ETHBTC ratio 2021
– tokenization and mainstream adoption drive higher
– Standard Charter sees 2026 as year of ethereum
– this implies $12,000 $ETH pic.twitter.com/lVL2jLaFJg

— Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com (@fundstrat) January 16, 2026

Tom Lee added that BitMine will also earn substantial income from ETH staking rewards and from $1 billion cash on hand. He estimates that their current Ethereum and cash holdings could generate pretax income of $402 to $33 million. At a $12,000 ETH price target and with the company potentially hold 5% of the altcoin’s supply, this pretax income could rise up to $2.2 billion.

4/
Bitmine also to earn substantial income from $ETH staking rewards and from $1 billion cash on hand

– existing 4.2mm $ETH plus cash
– to generate $402 to $433 million pretax income

– at $12,000 ETH and 5% of supply
– this rises to $2.0b to $2.2 billion

This implies BitMine… pic.twitter.com/iVUHwyjEer

— Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com (@fundstrat) January 16, 2026

Chamath Reveals Stake In Beast Industries Famous investor and entrepreneur Chamath Palihapitiya revealed that he invested $45 million in a Series A that created Beast Industries by bringing together all of MrBeast’s various business interests under one umbrella. He added that creating this holding company allowed them to streamline their capital allocation and double down on big, long-term opportunities such as financial services, telecoms, and a creator marketplace.

Tom Lee highlighted Chamath’s comments and said he looks forward to many organic collaborations between BitMine and MrBeast. Meanwhile, while giving a recap of the shareholders’ meeting held yesterday, Lee said that the top layer-1 network Ethereum needs to tap into a larger community to drive mainstream adoption.

He further remarked that MrBeast is the iconic content creator of the generation, with each of his videos garnering over 250 million views, surpassing the Super Bowl. As such, he sees a lot of “potential synergy” between the ‘number one’ content creator and largest Ethereum holder in the world, BitMine.

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) saw $39.29M exit Friday—the biggest single-day outflow in months—as both DOGE and Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) break key support levels with zero buying interest.

DOGE: $39.29M Exit Signals Panic

DOGE is, down 2% today, trapped in a downtrend after collapsing 49% from September’s $0.27 peak.

The $39.29M outflow is a red flag showing large holders are actively selling. 

The chart shows increasingly aggressive exits throughout 2025, with today’s spike being particularly alarming.

Moreover, DOGE spot ETFs have seen zero inflows since January 9, according to SoSoValue data, with the last inflow of $353.83K coming on January 8.

DOGE is stuck in the $0.12-0.15 range with weakening rallies. Each bounce gets sold immediately, with RSI at 48.27 unable to break above 50—the level that separates bulls from bears.

Price trades below all key moving averages: 20  at $0.13938, 50 at $0.14289, 100 at $0.15817, and 200 at $0.17788.

DOGE Key Levels Support: $0.12 floor is critical. Breaking opens $0.11640, then potential drop to $0.10 or worse to $0.08-$0.09. Resistance: $0.14061 immediate ceiling, then $0.14289. Breaking $0.15550 would surprise everyone. SHIB: All Moving Averages Pointing Down

SHIB is down 1.5% today, after dropping 53% since August’s $0.00001785 peak.

The meme coin barely holds the $0.00000750-$0.00000850 support zone, with the Supertrend at $0.00000754 acting as the last line of defense.

SHIB also trades below all moving averages pointing down: 20 at $0.00000836, 50 at $0.00000837, 100 at $0.00000905, and 200 at $0.00001044.

Each rally gets immediately sold with zero buying interest. 

The January bounce to $0.00001000 was rejected fast—typical bear market behavior where any rally becomes a selling opportunity.

SHIB Key Levels: Support: $0.00000754 (Supertrend) critical. Breaking opens $0.00000700, then December low at $0.00000676. Loss risks drop to $0.00000500. Resistance: $0.00000850-$0.00000900, then $0.00001000. Breaking $0.00001044 would be shocking. Image source: Shutterstock

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XRP Price Recovery Rejected Again, Can It Avoid Falling Below $2?XRP recovery rejected again as price struggles to sustain upside momentum.Long liquidations near $2.02 threaten downside acceleration below $2.00.Exchange outflows show accumulation, offering short-term support near $2.03.XRP price continues to struggle as broader crypto market conditions deteriorate. The token has remained under pressure for several days, failing to sustain recovery attempts. 

Despite persistent selling, XRP investors are actively accumulating, aiming to defend key support levels and limit downside risk.

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XRP Holders Change Their StanceCurrent market sentiment around XRP remains fragile as liquidation data highlights rising downside risk. According to the liquidation heatmap, XRP long traders face significant exposure if the price slips toward $2.00. A dense cluster of long liquidations sits near $2.02, representing approximately $25.4 million in leveraged positions.

A move into this zone could quickly erase bullish confidence. Forced liquidations would amplify selling pressure and attract short sellers.

This shift would likely tilt sentiment decisively bearish, especially among derivatives traders who have maintained optimism despite XRP’s prolonged downtrend and weakening short-term momentum.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

XRP Liquidation Heatmap. Source: CoinglassDespite near-term weakness, macro indicators suggest improving underlying demand. Exchange position change data shows an increase in green bars, signaling net outflows from exchanges. This trend typically reflects rising buying pressure, as investors move XRP into private wallets rather than preparing assets for sale.

This marks a notable shift from the previous three months, when selling pressure dominated XRP price action. Sustained accumulation could help stabilize price behavior if broader market conditions do not worsen further.

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The transition from distribution to accumulation supports the possibility of a medium-term recovery scenario.

XRP Exchange Net Position Change. Source: GlassnodeXRP Price May Be Safe From Further DeclineXRP price is trading near $2.06 at the time of writing, maintaining an active downtrend that has capped recovery for over ten days. The token continues to hold above the $2.03 support level, which remains critical for short-term market structure and trader confidence.

This support has withstood multiple tests in recent weeks, suggesting strong investor interest at current levels. Continued accumulation is expected to defend $2.03, even if XRP consolidates near that range.

A successful bounce could push the price above $2.10, allowing XRP to break the downtrend and regain momentum.

XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingViewHowever, broader market weakness could override these bullish efforts. A decisive break below $2.03 would expose XRP to a drop under $2.00.

Such a move would invalidate the bullish thesis, trigger roughly $25 million in long liquidations, and potentially send XRP down to $1.93 under intensified selling pressure.

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Dogecoin consolidates near $0.137 after a drop, with oversold indicators suggesting a potential short-term rebound in price.

Newton Gitonga2 min read

17 January 2026, 02:26 PM

Dogecoin is trading near $0.137, consolidating after a sharp intraday drop from around $0.138 to $0.135, where strong buying interest emerged. The swift rebound from this level highlights $0.136 as a key short-term support level, with the price quickly reclaiming the $0.137 zone. Since the recovery, DOGE has moved sideways in a tight range between $0.137 and $0.138, indicating market indecision after the volatility. A sustained hold above $0.136–$0.137 keeps the near-term structure stable, while a breakout above $0.138 would signal renewed upside momentum.

At press time, Dogecoin was trading at $0.1376, down 0.38% over the past 24 hours.

Dogecoin Stochastic Hits Oversold Zone, Hinting at Potential BounceAccording to analyst Trader Tardigrade, Dogecoin’s daily stochastic indicator slipping into the oversold zone signals that downside momentum may be nearing exhaustion. The stochastic oscillator measures the speed and strength of recent price moves, and when it drops into oversold territory, it suggests selling pressure has become stretched relative to recent ranges. Historically, this condition has often appeared near short-term bottoms for DOGE, especially after a pullback within a broader consolidation or recovery phase.

DOGE 1-day price chart, Source: X

From a technical perspective, Trader Tardigrade highlights that similar oversold readings in the past have preceded relief bounces or trend resumptions, rather than prolonged declines. While an oversold signal does not guarantee an immediate reversal, it increases the likelihood of stabilization as sellers lose control and buyers step in. In this context, the current stochastic setup suggests a potential rebound phase if the price confirms with follow-through and improving momentum in the coming sessions.

Dogecoin Price Stalls Near $0.138 as Bearish Trend PersistsDogecoin has remained in a sustained downtrend on the daily timeframe, sliding from the mid-$0.20 region toward the current $0.137–$0.138 area. The chart shows a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows, with each recovery attempt capped below previous resistance levels around $0.16 and $0.15. While price has recently stabilized near $0.1377, this move still sits well below prior breakdown zones, indicating the broader bearish structure remains intact.

DOGE 1-day price chart, Source: TradingView

The Bollinger Bands show price trading near the lower band, with the lower band at $0.120 and the middle 20-day moving average around $0.139, highlighting continued downside pressure and weak volatility expansion. Price remains below the mid-band, which acts as dynamic resistance. On the momentum side, the MACD is close to the zero line, with the MACD line at 0.00133 and the signal line at 0.00149, resulting in a marginally negative histogram.

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Newton Gitonga covers cryptocurrencies, blockchain, and digital finance. He specializes in breaking down complex trends with clear, data-driven reporting. His work focuses on market analysis, technical insights, and the evolving role of altcoins in shaping global markets.

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The weekend has started with a continued market correction, according to CoinStats.

ZEC chart by CoinStatsZEC/USDThe price of Zcash (ZEC) has declined by 2.13% since yesterday.

Image by TradingViewOn the hourly chart, the rate of ZEC is looking bearish. If a breakout of the local support at $399.43 happens, the drop is likely to continue to the $390 zone soon.

Image by TradingViewOn the bigger time frame, there are no reversal signals yet. If the daily candle closes around the current prices or below, traders may witness a test of the $370-$380 range over the next few days.

Image by TradingViewFrom the midterm point of view, the situation is similar. If the bar closes below the $371 level, the energy might be enough for a further decline to the $300 zone.

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Such a scenario is relevant until the end of the month.

ZEC is trading at $399.52 at press time.

TLDR: Strive now holds 12,797.9 BTC, ranking 11th among public companies with Bitcoin treasuries  The all-stock merger increases dilution but significantly boosts Bitcoin exposure per share  Strive trades near BTC NAV with a modest 1.18x EV/NAV premium, signaling fair valuation  New leadership appointments reinforce long-term Bitcoin conviction and strategy execution Strive, Inc. has officially completed its acquisition of Semler Scientific, creating one of the largest Bitcoin-focused corporate treasuries in public markets. The all-stock merger positions Strive as the 11th largest corporate holder of Bitcoin globally.

This strengthens its leadership team and integrates a healthcare operating business alongside an aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy.

Strive–Semler Merger Strengthens Bitcoin Treasury Strategy The acquisition was finalized on January 16, 2026. It consolidates two of the most prominent Bitcoin treasury adopters in public markets. 

Under the deal, each share of Semler Scientific common stock was converted into 21.05 shares of Strive Class A common stock. In turn, it led to the suspension and delisting of Semler’s Nasdaq listing.

Following the merger, Strive now holds approximately 12,797.9 BTC. This makes it the 11th-largest public corporate holder of Bitcoin globally. 

The company’s acquisition history reflects a conviction-driven strategy. All significant Bitcoin purchases are executed during periods of market weakness rather than price strength. 

Strive Announces the Completion of Semler Scientific Acquisition

• Strive now holds approximately 12,797.9 bitcoin, becoming the #11 largest public corporate holder of bitcoin globally.

• Strive also announces the appointment of @Avik Roy as Chief Strategy Officer of Strive.…

— Strive (@strive) January 16, 2026

Notably, a major January tranche added over 5,000 BTC at an average cost of $95,524, underscoring a counter-cyclical accumulation approach.

Strive’s average Bitcoin cost basis of roughly $105,979 places current market prices near its breakeven level. While this limits short-term downside protection, it offers substantial upside leverage should Bitcoin resume its long-term growth trajectory. 

The company now controls approximately 0.0609% of Bitcoin’s total supply, reinforcing its position as a meaningful institutional accumulator.

Valuation, Leadership Changes, and Forward Outlook Strive’s equity valuation closely mirrors its Bitcoin exposure. With a market capitalization of about $1.19 billion and an enterprise value of $1.44 billion, the company’s Bitcoin net asset value stands near $1.22 billion. 

An EV/NAV multiple of 1.18x suggests investors are paying only a modest premium for Strive’s corporate structure, management, and strategic optionality. The merger also reshaped Strive’s leadership. 

Avik Roy was appointed Chief Strategy Officer, tasked with monetizing Semler’s healthcare operations, including early disease detection products. Roy brings a rare combination of medical, investment, and Bitcoin policy expertise. 

Meanwhile, Joe Burnett joined as Vice President of Bitcoin Strategy, and former Semler Chairman Eric Semler became an independent board member.

Looking ahead, Strive plans to employ a “preferred equity only” leverage model, avoiding near-term debt maturity risks common in leveraged Bitcoin strategies. 

By blending asset management, healthcare cash flows, and disciplined Bitcoin accumulation, Strive has positioned itself as a high-conviction, Bitcoin-levered public equity tightly aligned with the asset’s long-term performance.

The Ethereum price prediction January 2026 is gaining traction as ETH extends an upward trend that began in late November 2025. By mid-January, Ethereum retested its 200-day EMA while ETF inflows, improving on-chain metrics, and shifting market psychology strongly pointing toward strengthening momentum that might result in a rally soon.

Ethereum Price Prediction January 2026: Trend Structure StrengthensSince late November 2025, the Ethereum price chart has consistently printed higher lows, which displayed an emerging uptrend following $2620 low witnessed in November 2025. 

But this bullish structure matured further by mid-January as ETH revisited the 200-day EMA band, aligning near the $3300 area. 

Meanwhile, the Ethereum price today continues to hover near the 200-day EMA, reflecting resilient demand around $3,300 despite broader market volatility.

Importantly, Ethereum ETF activity has added more value to current price setup. Becuase, over the past week alone, Ethereum ETFs recorded approximately $480 million in net inflows, underscoring renewed institutional appetite. These flows have helped stabilize its price while improving confidence in the broader Ethereum price forecast narratives.

On-Chain Metrics Signal a Shift Into Markup PhaseBeyond price action, on-chain data adds weight to the Ethereum price prediction January 2026 narrative. The MVRV 30-day metric currently sits near 5.8%, having flipped decisively above the neutral zero line earlier this month. This transition typically marks the end of an accumulation phase and the start of a markup phase, where price appreciation is supported by real buying conviction.

Notably, this level remains far below historical “overheated” thresholds. Santiment analytics MVRV 30-D readings above 10% often invite profit-taking, while levels beyond 20% suggest excessive correction possibilities. For now, the relatively muted MVRV positioning implies room for upside without immediate structural risk, aligning with a healthier Ethereum price outlook.

Network Activity and Whales Reinforce Bullish BiasAt the same time, Ethereum crypto activity has picked up meaningfully. Active addresses across 30-day, 7-day, and 24-hour timeframes have all increased, indicating renewed user engagement. 

In parallel, wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million ETH have grown noticeably, pointing to increased involvement from large holders. This pattern often reflects strategic positioning by smart money during early trend reversals, rather than late-cycle speculation.

Historically, such expansions in network participation and strategic positioning by smart money during early trend reversals, confirms bullish outlook.

A Taker-buy Dominant Phase Confirms Shifts in Sentiment CryptoQuant’s data further complements the bullish thesis. The 90-day Spot Taker CVD has shifted firmly into a taker-buy dominant phase, reversing the sell-heavy conditions seen during Q3 and late 2025. This change highlights improving sentiment and sustained demand absorption, a key feature of early bull phases.

Additionally, from a technical standpoint, a confirmed break above the 200-day EMA in ETH/USD could unlock the next upside zones. In the short term, resistance levels around $3,827 and $4,218 stand out, implying potential gains exceeding 25% from current levels. 

As long as on-chain conditions remain balanced, the Ethereum price prediction January 2026 continues to favor gradual expansion rather than an abrupt spike.

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Posted: January 17, 2026

Strive has finalized the acquisition of Semler Scientific, marking the first merger between publicly traded Bitcoin treasury companies. 

The outcome? The digital asset treasury (DAT) consolidation has allowed Strive to scale its holdings to 12,798 BTC from 7,626 BTC. Strive is now the 11th-largest BTC treasury firm, surpassing Tesla and Trump Media. 

As part of the deal, Semler’s team, Avik Roy, Joe Burnett, and Eric Semler will join the Strive board. 

Source: X

The merger was first floated in September 2025, valuing Semler at a 210% premium to its trading price at that time. 

As such, Semler’s share would be exchanged for 21.05 Strive Class A shares. Subsequent shareholder voting in late 2025 sealed the deal that was finally closed on 16 January. Strive’s share ASST surged negligibly, but it has since rallied 28% on a year-to-date (YTD) basis. It was trading at $0.96 at press time. 

What the merger means for Bitcoin DATs Most of the Bitcoin [BTC] treasury fears have been – Low mNAV (share price trading below their crypto holdings), a debt crisis, and muted BTC prices could trigger forced crypto liquidations. 

However, such scenarios would present opportunities for larger players to acquire or merge with smaller firms, according to some market watchers. The Strive-Semler deal validates this point. 

Regarding the debt crisis, the top player, Strategy, has increased its U.S. dollar reserves to $2.25 billion to cover mid-term obligations (32 months or nearly three years of coverage). This means the risk of a forced BTC sell-off has been minimized until 2028. 

Additionally, the immediate MSCI index exclusion risk was cleared after the global index opted to retain the DATs. Especially as it seeks more feedback and discussion with stakeholders. 

In fact, Grayscale characterized the fears as overblown and projected, 

“These vehicles (DATs) are likely to be a permanent feature of the crypto investing landscape but are unlikely to be a major source of new demand for tokens or a major source of selling pressure in 2026.”

Bitcoin treasury demand in 2025 Here, it’s worth pointing out that BTC treasury firms have accumulated a total of 855,200 BTC as of early 2026. In Q4 2025, the firms added over 55k BTC. This means that they took advantage of the discounted window as BTC fell over 30% to scale positions. 

Source: The Block

Final Thoughts The Strive-Semler deal became the first public merger in the Bitcoin treasury space and could help reduce liquidation risks. Corporate treasuries scooped up over 55k BTC in late 2025 despite Q4’s market rout.

Bitcoin’s first difficulty adjustment of 2026 was anything but dramatic. The network nudged the dial down to about 146.4 trillion, a pretty small retreat after the late-2025 grind higher.

Graph showing Bitcoin's mining difficulty from Oct. 14, 2025, to Jan. 14, 2026 (Source: CoinWarz)But small isn't the same as meaningless in mining, a business where margins are measured in fractions of a fraction and the main input (electricity) can turn from bargain to backbreaker in a week. Difficulty is Bitcoin’s built-in metronome: every two weeks or so, the protocol recalibrates how hard it is to find a block so that blocks keep arriving roughly every ten minutes.

When difficulty falls, it usually means the network noticed something miners feel before investors do: some machines stopped hashing, at least temporarily, because economics or operations demanded it.

That matters because in 2026, miners are navigating a squeeze with two layers. There’s the familiar post-halving reality of less new Bitcoin per block, and more competition for it. And then there’s the new backdrop: a tightening market for megawatts as AI data centers scale up and start bidding for the same power access miners once treated as a competitive moat.

CryptoSlate’s own reporting has framed this as an energy war where AI’s always-on demand and political momentum collide with miners’ flexible-load pitch.

To understand what the 146.4T print really means, we have to translate the mining dashboard into plain English, and then connect it to the parts of the story Wall Street often misses.

Difficulty is the stress gauge, not the scoreboardDifficulty is often mistaken for a proxy for price, sentiment, or even security in a broad sense. It’s certainly related to those things, but mechanically it’s much simpler. Bitcoin looks at how long the last 2,016 blocks took to mine: if blocks came in faster than ten minutes, it raises difficulty; if blocks came in slower, it lowers difficulty.

So why does it read like a stress gauge if it's that simple? Because hashpower isn't some kind of theoretical quantity, it’s literally industrial equipment drawing electricity at scale. If enough miners unplug, blocks slow down, and the protocol responds by making the puzzle easier so the remaining miners can keep pace.

In early January, multiple trackers showed average block times drifting just under the ten-minute target (around 9.88 minutes in one widely cited snapshot), which is why projections pointed to the next adjustment swinging back upward if hashpower returned.

CoinWarz’s public dashboard, for example, has displayed the current difficulty around 146.47T alongside forward estimates for the next adjustment date.

The important takeaway is what difficulty doesn’t say, which is why miners dropped off. It doesn’t tell you whether it was a one-day curtailment during a power spike, a wave of bankruptcies, a flood, a firmware issue, or a deliberate strategy shift. Difficulty is just the protocol’s symptom readout. The diagnosis lives elsewhere.

That’s why miners and serious investors pair difficulty with a second metric, one that behaves much more like an income statement than a thermostat: hashprice.

Hashprice is the miner P&L in one numberHashprice is mining’s shorthand for expected revenue per unit of hashpower per day. Luxor popularized the term, and its Hashrate Index defines hashprice as the expected value of 1 TH/s per day.

It's a neat little way to compress block rewards, fees, difficulty, and price into a single number that shows where the money is.

For miners, this is the heartbeat that keeps them alive. Difficulty can fall and still leave miners hurting if the price is weak, fees are thin, or the global fleet remains intensely competitive. Conversely, difficulty can rise while miners print money if BTC rallies or fees spike. Hashprice is where those variables meet.

Graph showing Bitcoin's hashprice index from Oct. 14, 2025, to Jan. 14, 2026 (Source: Hashrate Index)Early-January commentary from Hashrate Index noted that forward markets were pricing an average hashprice around $38 (and roughly 0.00041 BTC) over the next six months. That's useful context because it signals what sophisticated participants expect profitability to look like, not just what it is today.

If you’re trying to interpret a modest difficulty dip like 146.4T, hashprice helps you avoid a common mistake, which is assuming that the network threw miners a bone. The network doesn’t know miners exist; it only corrects timing.

A difficulty drop is relief only in the narrow sense that each surviving unit of hashpower has slightly better odds. Whether that translates into real breathing room depends on power costs and financing, variables that have become much less forgiving.

Here’s where consolidation enters the story. Because when mining is flush, almost anyone with cheap power and access to machines can survive. When hashprice compresses, survival becomes a function of balance sheets, scale, and contracts.

The consolidation wave is the real difficulty adjustmentBitcoin mining is often described as decentralized, but the industrial layer is brutally Darwinian. When profitability tightens, weak operators don’t just earn less; they lose their ability to refinance machines, service debt, and secure power at competitive rates.

That’s when consolidation accelerates: through bankruptcies, distressed asset sales, and takeovers of sites with valuable grid access.

This is where the mining narrative diverges from the market narrative. In the ETF-and-macro era, BTC trades like a risk asset with catalysts and flows. Miners, in contrast, live in a world of energy spreads, capex cycles, and operational leverage.

When their world gets tight, they make choices that ripple outward: selling more BTC to fund opex, hedging production more aggressively, renegotiating hosting deals, or shutting down older rigs earlier than planned.

A difficulty dip can be one of the first on-chain hints that this process is underway. Not because miners are capitulating in a dramatic, one-day event, but because enough marginal machines quietly go dark to move the average. The market might see a small number, but the industry sees a competitive shakeout beginning at the edges.

And in 2026, those edges are being pushed by something bigger than a single hashprice print, and that's the rising value of power itself.

AI is changing the unit economics miners used to take for grantedMining has always been an energy business disguised as a crypto business. The pitch has been straightforward: find cheap, interruptible power; deploy machines quickly, switch off when prices spike, and arbitrage the volatility of electricity into a steady stream of hashpower.

CryptoSlate’s January reporting made the argument that AI data centers are challenging that model at its foundation, because they want certainty, not curtailment, and they come with a political story (jobs, competitiveness, “critical infrastructure”) that miners often lack.

The same piece highlighted BlackRock’s warning that AI-driven data centers could consume an enormous share of US electricity by 2030, turning grid access into the scarce asset investors are underpricing.

Even if you treat the high-end forecasts as nothing more than provocative headlines, the direction here matters: more baseline demand, more interconnection bottlenecks, more competition for the best sites. In that world, miners’ old advantages (mobility and speed) can flip into disadvantages if the gating factor is securing transmission upgrades, transformer capacity, and long-term contracts.

CryptoSlate’s November feature pushed this one step further: AI isn’t just competing for power, it’s competing for capital and attention, pulling liquidity toward compute infrastructure and nudging miners to pivot from hashing to hosting.

That piece described miners repositioning themselves as data-center operators and “power platforms,” precisely because megawatts are becoming more valuable than machines.

None of this is an abstract narrative. It's real data and real effects that change how you read difficulty.
A miner curtailing for an hour during a price spike is one thing. A miner mothballing a site because an AI tenant can pay more per megawatt over a multi-year contract is another.

In the first scenario, hashpower comes back when conditions normalize. In the second, hashpower may not return at all, not because Bitcoin is “dying,” but because the highest-value use of that power has changed.

That’s the subtle stress embedded in a 146.4T print. The network will keep adjusting, because that’s what it does. The question is what the mining industry looks like after repeated adjustments in an environment where energy is repriced by AI.

For investors and serious market observers, the practical value is in reading the mining tape like a set of linked signals rather than isolated metrics.

Difficulty shows whether hashpower is steadily expanding or briefly blinking out as marginal machines shut off, while hashprice translates that same environment into the one thing miners can’t negotiate with: whether the fleet is earning enough to keep running.

From there, the industry’s response tells its own story, because tightening economics tend to accelerate consolidation, determining who gets to keep playing and whether the network’s industrial base is becoming more concentrated.

And behind all of it sits the new constraint: energy competition, which will decide whether “cheap power” remains a durable moat for miners or a vanishing edge as AI data centers lock up long-term capacity.

Bitcoin won’t stop producing blocks because difficulty moved a few points, but mining can still slip into a regime shift while the protocol keeps humming along, quiet and indifferent.

If 2025 was the year the sector learned to live with the halving’s leaner baseline, 2026 may be the year miners learn their real competitor isn’t another pool, it’s the data center down the road that never wants to power down.

Cryptocurrency XRP

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Arslan Butt

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

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Sep 2022

About Author

Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis...

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XRP is trading around $2.0725, stabilizing after dipping to an intraday low of $2.02. Despite short‑term weakness, Ripple’s token is showing resilience at the $2.0702 support zone, where buyers have stepped in to defend key levels.

This stabilization comes as traders weigh both technical signals and broader sentiment across the crypto market.

Golden Cross Sparks Bullish MomentumXRP formed its first golden cross of 2026, a bullish technical event where the 23‑day moving average crossed above the 50‑day moving average. Historically, this pattern signals a shift toward upward momentum.

XRP/USD Golden Cross – Source: TradingviewAs long as XRP holds above the $2.02–$2.03 support band, the bullish setup remains intact. Traders are now watching the $2.28–$2.35 resistance zone, where the 200‑day EMA sits as a major hurdle.

Current price: $2.0725 Key support: $2.02–$2.07 Resistance levels: $2.28–$2.35, $2.70 RSI: 47.92, showing early bullish divergence XRP Price Forecast: Support Holds at $2.07 as Triangle Pattern Signals BreakoutThe 4‑hour chart reveals a descending triangle pattern, typically bearish, but recent price action suggests a potential bullish divergence.

RSI has crossed above its moving average, hinting at building momentum. A bullish engulfing candle near $2.0415 adds weight to the case for upside.

If XRP breaks above $2.1126 with volume confirmation, targets include $2.1837 and $2.2721, with a move beyond $2.2726 opening the door to a retest of the $2.30–$2.35 range.

XRP/USD Price Outlook for TradersDespite volatility, XRP’s golden cross and triangle setup provide a clear roadmap. A daily close above $2.10 could accelerate gains toward $2.35, while holding above support strengthens the case for a rally toward $2.70.

With crypto sentiment stabilizing, XRP offers a compelling opportunity for traders and presale participants seeking momentum in early 2026.

XRP/USD Price Chart – Source: TradingviewXRP price prediction is likely to be bullish if it breaks above $2.1126 with volume confirmation, it could target the 0.382 retracement at $2.1837, followed by the 0.236 level at $2.2721. A move beyond $2.2726 would invalidate the triangle’s bearish bias and open the door to a retest of the $2.30–$2.35 range.

Traders should watch for a clean breakout above the triangle’s upper trendline and monitor RSI for continued divergence. With broader crypto sentiment stabilizing and XRP showing technical resilience, this setup could offer a compelling entry for presale participants looking to ride momentum toward higher levels in Q1 2026.

Bitcoin Hyper: The Next Evolution of BTC on Solana?Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is bringing a new phase to the Bitcoin ecosystem. While BTC remains the gold standard for security, Bitcoin Hyper adds what it always lacked: Solana-level speed. The result: lightning-fast, low-cost smart contracts, decentralized apps, and even meme coin creation, all secured by Bitcoin.

Audited by Consult, the project emphasizes trust and scalability as adoption builds. And momentum is already strong. The presale has surpassed $30.7 million, with tokens priced at just $0.013585 before the next increase.

As Bitcoin activity climbs and demand for efficient BTC-based apps rises, Bitcoin Hyper stands out as the bridge uniting two of crypto’s biggest ecosystems. If Bitcoin built the foundation, Bitcoin Hyper could make it fast, flexible, and fun again.

Click Here to Participate in the Presale

The company says that accepting bitcoin payments has led to a "self-reinforcing cycle" where crypto revenue helps fund upgrades and improvements.

New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - January 17, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of securities of F5, Inc. (NASDAQ: FFIV) between October 28, 2024 and October 27, 2025, both dates inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important February 17, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.

SO WHAT: If you purchased F5 securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.

WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the F5 class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=46672 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than February 17, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.

WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.

DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period created the false impression that they possessed reliable information pertaining to F5's projected revenue outlook and anticipated growth while also minimizing risk from seasonality and macroeconomic fluctuations. In truth, F5's optimistic claims, touting its purported best-in-industry security and overall emphasis and confidence in F5's ability to meet and capitalize on the growing security needs for its clientele fell short of reality; F5 was, at the time, the subject of a significant security incident, placing its clientele's security and F5's future prospects at significant risk. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.

To join the F5 class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=46672 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.

No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.

Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.

Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.

-------------------------------

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/280633

Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA

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Affordability is the key issue in 2026, which, to many Americans' chagrin, is another election year. Housing is front and center in this debate. Home prices remain stubbornly high, and mortgage rates, though easing slightly, are still challenging for first-time buyers.  

The larger issue comes down to supply and demand. Millions of Americans are effectively priced out of conventional single-family homes, and the search for affordable housing has become urgent.

But it’s not as simple as just building more homes. Traditional homebuilders are struggling to keep up with demand due to labor shortages, zoning restrictions, and rising material costs.

Get UMH Properties alerts:

One area that may provide a compelling solution is manufactured housing. These are factory-built homes that can be placed in communities. These homes cost 30–50% less per square foot than site-built houses, can be built much faster, and provide an ownership pathway for households otherwise stuck renting.

They also generate strong recurring income for investors when placed in well-managed communities, where homeowners own their units but rent the land, creating “sticky” occupancy and reliable cash flows.

For investors, this combination of rising demand, limited supply, and predictable revenue streams creates an attractive opportunity. Sun Communities Inc. NYSE: SUI,  Champion Homes NYSE: SKY, and UMH Properties Inc. NYSE: UMH represent three distinct ways to invest in this market. Each offers a different investment theme: community operators with scale, manufacturers benefiting from volume growth, and smaller operators focused on yield and organic expansion.

Key Risks to the Manufactured Home Growth While manufactured housing has strong structural tailwinds, investors should weigh several risks. First, regulatory pressure is rising, particularly in states and municipalities scrutinizing rent increases in manufactured home communities. Any widespread implementation of rent controls could limit revenue growth for community operators.

Second, interest-rate sensitivity affects both manufacturers and buyers. Many manufactured home purchasers rely on specialized chattel loans, which carry higher rates than traditional mortgages. Rising rates could reduce demand for new homes, affecting companies like Champion Homes most directly.

Finally, zoning and local resistance remain persistent challenges. Even as demand grows, building new communities can be delayed or blocked in certain regions, limiting growth opportunities for smaller operators like UMH Properties. These risks do not negate the opportunity but highlight the importance of selecting companies with scale, operational efficiency, and diversified geographic exposure.

Sun Communities: A Defensive Play on the Housing Shortage Sun Communities is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that is one of the largest owners and operators of manufactured housing communities in North America. The company benefits from a structural advantage: residents who own their homes but rent the land rarely move, creating sticky occupancy and dependable cash flow.

Overall MarketRank™82nd Percentile

Analyst RatingHold

Upside/Downside5.0% Upside

Short Interest LevelHealthy

Dividend StrengthStrong

News Sentiment0.91 Insider TradingSelling Shares

Proj. Earnings Growth3.69%

See Full Analysis

SUI’s national footprint also allows it to acquire and professionalize smaller, fragmented properties, boosting efficiency and net operating income over time. The company’s presence in high-growth Sun Belt markets further supports demand as population inflows continue to pressure local housing supply.

While political scrutiny over rent increases is a real risk, the company's scale, operating discipline, and diversified portfolio position it to navigate regulatory challenges better than smaller peers.

For investors seeking a defensive way to benefit from the affordability crisis, Sun Communities offers steady income with long-term growth potential. Analysts give SUI stock a consensus price target of $136.69, but the latest analyst ratings have had price targets between 3% and 4% higher. Plus SUI stock pays a dividend with an attractive 3.3% yield and has increased the dividend by an average of 4.6% in the last three years. 

Champion Homes: The Picks-and-Shovels Play on Manufactured Housing Champion Homes approaches the manufactured housing opportunity from the other side of the equation: production. As one of the largest manufacturers of factory-built homes in the U.S., the company stands to benefit directly from rising demand for lower-cost housing options.

Overall MarketRank™64th Percentile

Analyst RatingModerate Buy

Upside/Downside10.0% Upside

Short Interest LevelHealthy

Dividend StrengthN/A

News Sentiment0.70 Insider TradingSelling Shares

Proj. Earnings Growth7.16%

See Full Analysis

Manufactured homes can be built faster and at significantly lower cost per square foot than traditional site-built houses, making them increasingly attractive to first-time buyers, retirees, and workforce households.

The appeal of SKY is operating leverage. As shipments rise, incremental volume can translate into outsized gains in margins and earnings. In addition, government and municipal initiatives aimed at expanding affordable housing could support long-term demand for factory-built homes.

The tradeoff is cyclicality. Manufactured home purchases often rely on specialized financing, which can tighten when interest rates are high or economic conditions weaken.

Having said that, SKY stock is expensive at 24x earnings, and the company’s backlog is down year-over-year. But it’s not that expensive to the sector average for construction stocks, and it could be more rewarding if affordability pressures continue to shift buyers toward manufactured housing at scale.

UMH Properties: A High-Yield Play on Affordable Housing Demand UMH Properties offers a hybrid of income and growth within the manufactured housing space. The company is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates communities primarily in the Midwest and Northeast. These are two regions where zoning restrictions and limited new construction have created persistent housing shortages.

Overall MarketRank™57th Percentile

Analyst RatingModerate Buy

Upside/Downside8.5% Upside

Short Interest LevelN/A

Dividend StrengthWeak

News Sentiment0.48 Insider TradingAcquiring Shares

Proj. Earnings Growth7.53%

See Full Analysis

Unlike many peers, UMH has focused on organic growth by filling vacant sites within existing communities, improving returns without heavy acquisition spending. This “infill” strategy allows UMH to increase occupancy and rental revenue while keeping capital expenditures relatively modest.

The company also stands out for its higher dividend yield (5.67% as of this writing), appealing to investors seeking current income alongside long-term appreciation. To that end, UMH stock has a consensus price target of $18, giving it the highest upside of the stocks on this list.

However, UMH is smaller and more leveraged than larger competitors, which can magnify risk during periods of higher interest rates or tighter credit markets. Still, in under-supplied regions where demand for affordable housing remains strong, UMH’s disciplined growth approach could translate into improving cash flow and shareholder returns over time.

Should You Invest $1,000 in UMH Properties Right Now?Before you consider UMH Properties, you'll want to hear this.

MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and UMH Properties wasn't on the list.

While UMH Properties currently has a Moderate Buy rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.

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Portfolio breadth, sector focus, and dividend yield set these small-cap ETFs apart for investors weighing diversification against simplicity.

Both the iShares Morningstar Small-Cap ETF (ISCB 0.16%) and the State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF (SPSM 0.30%) aim to give investors access to U.S. small-cap stocks, but they differ in portfolio breadth, costs, and day-to-day usability. The iShares Morningstar Small-Cap ETF stands out for its broader portfolio and recent outperformance, while the State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF offers lower costs, larger assets under management (AUM), and greater liquidity for investors.

This comparison highlights where each ETF may appeal, focusing on recent results, portfolio makeup, risk, and practical considerations for investors seeking small-cap exposure.

Snapshot (cost & size)MetricSPSMISCBIssuerSPDRISharesExpense ratio0.03%0.04%1-yr return (as of 2026-01-09)11.2%17.46%Dividend yield1.62%1.38%AUM$13.08 billion$253.45 millionThe 1-yr return represents total return over the trailing 12 months.

SPSM is more affordable with a slightly lower expense ratio and a marginally higher dividend yield, making it appealing for cost-conscious, income-focused investors. ISCB, while a bit pricier, offers broader diversification and stronger recent performance.

Performance & risk comparisonMetricSPSMISCBMax drawdown (5 y)(34.83%)(32.26%)Growth of $1,000 over 5 years$1,290$1,323What's insideISCB tracks a broad basket of 1,578 small-cap U.S. stocks, with its largest sector weights in industrials (19%), financial services (17%), and healthcare (13.9%). The fund's top holdings -- Lumentum Holdings (LITE 5.53%), Albemarle Corp (ALB 6.18%), and Kratos Defense and Security Solutions (KTOS +4.95%) -- each account for less than half a percent of assets, supporting broad diversification. With a fund age of 21.5 yrs, ISCB brings long-term continuity and a tilt toward industrials and technology compared to peers.

SPSM, by contrast, holds 607 U.S. small-cap stocks and leans slightly more toward financial services (18%), followed by industrials (16%) and technology (15%). Its top positions -- Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR 3.64%), Sanmina Corp. (SANM +1.74%), and Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS 1.33%) -- are also modest in size, reflecting broad market exposure. SPSM’s structure and sector mix make it a straightforward, low-cost option for small-cap exposure.

For more guidance on ETF investing, check out the full guide at this link.

NYSEMKT: SPSMSPDR Series Trust - State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600tm Small Cap ETF

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What this means for investorsInvesting in small-cap index funds can be a solid way to diversify your portfolio and reduce risk, while potentially capitalizing on the larger growth possible with smaller, earlier-stage companies. Small-cap stocks can be more volatile, performing better in bull markets, but introducing more downside risk.

SPSM has a slightly lower expense ratio, which allows you to keep more of your money invested. It also offers a slightly higher dividend yield than ISCB. That combination may appeal to more cost-conscious investors. One of the biggest differences between the two funds is the total assets under management, a contest SPSM wins in a landslide. ISCB has performed slightly better over the last five years, with more growth and a smaller max drawdown. This is likely due to fund's overall holdings, which number more than 1,500, compared to SPSM's 607.

When deciding between the two ETFs, it may also be helpful to look at the funds' top holdings. ISCB's inclusion of healthcare among its top sectors may appeal to investors looking for opportunities in that dynamic yet defensive space, while SPSM's higher concentration in tech stocks may appeal to investors who want to ride the current uptrend in the sector.

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GlossaryETF: Exchange-traded fund that holds a basket of assets and trades like a stock.
Expense ratio: Annual fund operating costs expressed as a percentage of the fund's average assets.
Dividend yield: Annual dividends paid by a fund divided by its current share price, shown as a percentage.
AUM: Assets under management; the total market value of all assets held by the fund.
Small-cap: Companies with relatively low market values, typically a few hundred million to a few billion dollars.
Sector weight: Percentage of a fund's assets invested in a particular industry sector.
Holdings: The individual securities, such as stocks or bonds, that a fund owns.
Max drawdown: The largest peak-to-trough decline in value over a specific period, showing worst-case loss.
Growth of $1,000: Illustration showing how a $1,000 investment would have increased or decreased over time.
Beta: Measure of a fund's volatility relative to the overall market, typically compared to the S&P 500.
Total return: Investment performance including price changes plus all dividends and distributions, assuming reinvestment.
Liquidity: How easily and quickly an investment can be bought or sold without significantly affecting its price.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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When bond investors chase yield, they often overlook the engine that drives total returns: price appreciation from interest rate movements. The iShares MBS ETF (NYSEARCA:MBB) demonstrates this dynamic perfectly. While its 4% yield attracts income seekers, the fund has benefited from mortgage-backed securities price movements in recent periods.

What MBB Actually Does MBB provides exposure to agency mortgage-backed securities, the bonds backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. These aren’t the risky subprime mortgages from 2008. They carry implicit or explicit government guarantees, eliminating credit risk. What remains is interest rate sensitivity and prepayment risk.

MBB’s scale creates meaningful advantages for investors. The fund manages $39 billion in assets, allowing institutional-level efficiency that translates to a 0.04% expense ratio among the lowest in fixed income. This cost structure compounds over time, ensuring more mortgage interest flows through as monthly dividends rather than being consumed by fees.

The Return Engine Beyond Yield The past year illustrates how MBB generates returns beyond its yield. The fund delivered strong total returns, with the majority coming from price appreciation as mortgage spreads compressed. This demonstrates the dual benefit: steady monthly income from the 4% yield combined with capital gains when rate environments cooperate.

This infographic illustrates the MBB ETF’s mechanics, from government-backed mortgages to monthly income and price appreciation, alongside its best use case and a breakdown of its pros and cons. The Tradeoffs You Accept Duration cuts both ways, and MBB’s track record shows this clearly. The fund has delivered strong performance in recent periods and over the long term, but experienced challenges during the 2022 rate spike. When the Federal Reserve aggressively tightened policy, bond values compressed across the market, illustrating how duration risk materializes during hiking cycles.

Prepayment risk also matters. When rates fall sharply, homeowners refinance, returning principal to MBB earlier than expected. The fund must reinvest at lower yields, dampening future income. This caps upside in aggressive rate-cutting scenarios.

Who Should Avoid This Investors with short time horizons or those prioritizing capital preservation should look elsewhere. MBB can swing 2% to 3% in a month during rate volatility. Retirees who need stable principal values may find this unsettling, even with monthly income.

Growth-focused investors will also find MBB limiting. Over longer periods, this fixed-income allocation tool serves portfolio diversification rather than wealth-building objectives, making it unsuitable for those seeking equity-like growth.

Consider Vanguard’s Lower-Cost Alternative Cost-conscious investors should examine Vanguard’s alternative. The Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (NASDAQ:VMBS) charges 0.03% annually, undercutting MBB by one basis point. While this difference appears trivial, it compounds meaningfully over decades—a $100,000 allocation held 30 years saves approximately $3,000 in cumulative fees, making VMBS worth considering for buy-and-hold investors.

MBB works best as a core bond holding for investors who understand that mortgage-backed securities deliver returns through both income and rate sensitivity, but only when rates cooperate and prepayment risk stays contained.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Alphabet is emerging as a leader in the AI race, even among other big tech companies, and it's looking like the strongest horse in that race.

Google's parent company, Alphabet (GOOG 0.85%) (GOOGL 0.83%), is one of the original Silicon Valley tech giants that have come to dominate the stock market.

It has also emerged as the leader among those original tech giants in artificial intelligence (AI), and it's eating into the market share of OpenAI, the company that made AI mainstream in the first place with the launch of ChatGPT back in late 2022.

OpenAI might have launched the first large language model (LLM) to achieve mass success, but since its peak 50% market share in the Enterprise LLM API space in 2023, it has fallen to 25% market share.

Image source: Getty Images.

As reported by Menlo Ventures, OpenAI has been totally eclipsed by its start-up rival Anthropic, which has secured 32% market share with its Claude LLM. And Google's Gemini isn't far behind it at 20% market share.

But despite Claude's rise to prominence, I think Gemini will win out in the Enterprise AI market for the simple reason that it has Alphabet behind it. Anthropic is still a start-up with all the weaknesses that come with that. Sure, Anthropic is set to achieve profitability in 2028, a full two years ahead of OpenAI, but Alphabet is already profitable. It also has incredibly vast resources to invest in AI development. Here's what I mean.

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Profitability matters We all love an underdog story of a little guy overcoming a giant, right? Well, investing is another story, and that story's not Rudy. Barring a miracle for OpenAI or Anthropic, Alphabet is a giant that neither can realistically overcome.

For its latest results, for the third quarter of 2025, Alphabet reported revenue of $102.3 billion, up 16% over Q3 2024. Net income totaled $34.9 billion, up 33% over Q3 2024. And diluted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 35% over Q3 2024. On the cash front, Alphabet's free cash flow came in at $24.4 billion, up 39% over Q3 2024. The company also holds $98.5 billion in cash, which is enough to pay off its entire debt of $44.2 billion twice.

And while profitability for its start-up rivals is still years away at best, Alphabet is running a 59% gross margin and a 32% net income margin.

Alphabet also has its own cloud infrastructure that I would wager both OpenAI and Anthropic have had to use at some point. And the company has more than enough money to buy as many data centers as it needs without needing to ask early investors to pour in more money without seeing a concrete return.

Case in point: Alphabet recently inked a 25-year power purchase agreement with NextEra Energy to resurrect the Duane Arnold Energy Center in Iowa, expressly to provide more electricity for Alphabet data centers it has either planned or owns in the area.

Alphabet also simply flat-out acquired Intersect, a data center energy infrastructure company, for $4.75 billion in December 2025. That's a rounding error for a company of Alphabet's size.

That's just what you can do when you have Alphabet's resources. And I haven't even mentioned the company's engineering quality or prowess at developing new software, but suffice it to say it has talent in spades.

Sure, we all like to see the little guy win. But isn't it also entertaining when a world-class team absolutely dominates in its sport?

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

All three of these stocks sport dividend yields above 6%.

If you're in the market for some no-brainer dividend stocks, I have some good and less-good news for you. The good news is that investing in healthy and growing dividend-paying stocks is a solid, no-brainer move -- because dividend payers can be powerful investments. Unfortunately, though, hardly any stock qualifies as a no-brainer investment.

For best results, use your brain to follow and keep up with any companies in which you invest. Here are a handful of solid dividend-paying contenders for your long-term portfolio.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why dividend payers? First, though, just in case you're not fired up about dividend-paying stocks, check out the table below -- as it might surprise you.

Dividend-Paying Status

Average Annual Total Return, 1973-2024

Dividend growers and initiators

10.24%

Dividend payers

9.20%

No change in dividend policy

6.75%

Dividend non-payers

4.31%

Dividend shrinkers and eliminators

(0.89%)

Equal-weighted S&P 500 index

7.65%

Data source: Ned Davis Research and Hartford Funds.

See? Dividend stocks are not just for your grandparents. Their solid performance shouldn't be surprising, either, because for a company's management to feel secure about committing to an ongoing dividend payment, the company typically needs to have grown to a certain size with fairly reliable income. Here are some promising dividend payers to consider.

1. Pfizer According to our Motley Fool Money research, the best high-yield savings accounts offered interest rates of around 4% to 4.3% in January. Invest in shares of Pfizer (PFE 0.83%), though, and you're looking at a fat dividend yield of, recently, 6.81%!

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The stock has been in a slump in recent years in part due to shrunken demand for its COVID-19 vaccine and COVID-19 treatment, Paxlovid, as well as the expirations of patent protection for several key drugs. But the company has a lot more going on than that -- such as some investments that can result in an approved GLP-1 weight-loss drug for Pfizer.

Pfizer's stock is enticing, too, with a recent forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.5, well below its five-year average of 9.8.

2. Verizon Communications Verizon Communications (VZ 1.14%) sports a dividend recently yielding even more than Pfizer: 6.93%! Better still, Verizon has been increasing its payout for 19 years in a row (though generally not with huge increases).

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If you're looking for a fast grower, look elsewhere. Verizon is a cash cow, though, collecting gobs of recurring revenue from its 146 million-some wireless accounts (as of October 2025). It boasts more than a million miles of fiber and it covers 99% of the U.S. population with its 4G LTE network. Verizon was recently raking in more than $130 billion in annual profit and close to $20 billion in net income.

Verizon's stock is also appealingly priced, with a recent forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.2, below its five-year average of 8.8.

3. United Parcel Service Then there's United Parcel Service (UPS 1.57%), with a recent dividend yield of 6.1%. The company has been hurt as Amazon has been sending it far fewer packages to deliver, but UPS still has a lot going for it. For example, it sports a massive fleet of 500-plus aircraft and as of 2024, some 135,000 ground vehicles. Its nearly 500,000 employees delivered more than 22 million items in 2024 -- each day.

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With a recent a recent forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.7, a bit below its five-year average of 15.4, UPS' stock seems attractively priced. But do note that the company is facing some challenges, including slowing growth and shrinking profit margins. Management is aware of that, though, and is working on a turnaround, in part by cutting costs and adding more automation.

Any believers in UPS who buy now can enjoy a generous dividend payment every quarter while waiting for a turnaround. Given the significant dividend yields for each of these companies, and their chances to keep growing, they seem like some of the best dividend stocks to consider.

HomeIndustriesClothing/TextilesSportsWatchSportsWatchNike finally gets involved in one of the fastest-growing global sports. Is it too late?Nike signed No. 1-ranked pickleball player Anna Leigh Waters to its roster of sponsored athletesPublished: Jan. 17, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. ET

Nike is finally getting into the pickleball game — but is it too little, too late?

Nike’s NKE wait-and-see approach to the fast-growing paddle sport that blends tennis, badminton and ping-pong is changing, after the company made No. 1-ranked pickleball player Anna Leigh Waters the first professional pickleball player to join its roster of sponsored athletes earlier this week. Waters will serve as a global pickleball ambassador for the sports-apparel giant.

Arizona Gold & Silver Inc (TSX-V:AZS, OTCQB:AZASF, FRA:A9J0) CEO Mike Stark joined Proactive to discuss the appointment of Dr Lex Lambeck as senior vice president of exploration, alongside Greg Hahn’s transition to vice chair.

Stark explained that the move reflects the natural evolution of the company as its flagship Red Hills project continues to demonstrate scale and long-term potential.

Stark said the company has been preparing for this transition for several years, noting that the Red Hills system is extensive and requires experienced technical leadership to unlock its full value.

He highlighted Lambeck’s background, including his role at MAG Silver, which was acquired in a $2.1 billion transaction, as a key reason for the appointment.

During a recent site visit, Stark said Lambeck, Hahn and himself walked the entire three-kilometre strike length of the project, of which only half has been drilled to date.

According to Stark, Lambeck was quick to recognise the scale of the opportunity and asked detailed technical questions that reinforced his confidence in the appointment.

Stark also noted that drilling continues at Red Hills, with Lambeck expected to play a hands-on role as exploration advances. He said recent results and visuals from hole 159 have generated strong enthusiasm internally and among shareholders.

Proactive: Alright welcome back inside our Proactive newsroom, and joining me now is Mike Stark. He is the CEO of Arizona Gold & Silver Inc. Mike, it’s great to see you again. How are you?

Mike Stark: Really well, thank you very much.

You’ve had some interesting news out today. You’ve hired Dr Lex Lambeck as senior vice president of exploration as Greg Hahn moves to vice chair. This looks like a natural progression.

Absolutely right. Since 2019, when we made our first acquisition on this property, Greg came to me and said we were going to need some help. This is a big system. It’s taken time to find the right person, and we now have the right guy.

Tell me more about Dr Lambeck.

MAG Silver Corp selling for $2.1 billion says a lot. Lex can handle multiple projects, which we have. He’s a get-the-job-done guy, and his resume is impressive. We couldn’t have a better fit at this time.

You recently visited site together. What was his reaction?

We walked the entire three-kilometre strike. We’ve only drilled 1.5 kilometres. Lex kept saying, “Holy smokes, we have huge potential here.” He sees the big picture and asks great questions.

Drilling continues and he’ll be very hands-on?

Exactly. He loved what he saw coming out of hole 159. It’s very exciting times for Arizona shareholders.

Quotes have been lightly edited for style and clarity