Market Signal Briefing

Strategy signaled renewed bitcoin buying conviction as Michael Saylor posted “more orange” during a brutal crypto selloff, reinforcing expectations the firm will accumulate again even as prices slipped below key psychological levels.

Ted Hisokawa Feb 01, 2026 17:23

AAVE trades at $123.66 with RSI at 28.39 showing oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $140-160 range by March 2026 if key resistance levels break.

AAVE Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $130-138 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $140-160 range
• Bullish breakout level: $138.01 • Critical support: $108.49

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Aave While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent market commentary, on-chain metrics suggest AAVE is experiencing significant technical pressure. According to current market data, the token has declined 47% from its 200-day moving average of $233.05, indicating a prolonged downtrend that may be reaching exhaustion levels.

The lack of recent institutional coverage doesn't necessarily indicate bearish sentiment, but rather suggests market participants are waiting for clearer technical signals before making bold predictions about Aave's trajectory.

AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown AAVE's current technical setup presents a compelling oversold scenario that could lead to a meaningful bounce. Trading at $123.66, the token sits well below all major moving averages, with the RSI at 28.39 firmly in oversold territory below the 30 threshold.

The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled, while the MACD line at -8.4655 matches the signal line, suggesting potential for momentum divergence. This technical alignment often precedes trend reversals in cryptocurrency markets.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals AAVE trading at -0.0738 relative to the bands, meaning it's trading below the lower band at $128.03. This extreme positioning historically indicates oversold conditions and potential mean reversion toward the middle band at $157.63.

The 24-hour trading range of $115.66 to $130.42 shows significant volatility, with the Average True Range (ATR) at $10.47 confirming elevated price swings that could benefit short-term traders.

Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario The primary upside target for this AAVE price prediction centers on the immediate resistance at $130.83, which aligns closely with the Bollinger Band lower boundary. A break above this level could trigger short covering and momentum buying toward the strong resistance at $138.01.

If AAVE sustains above $138, the next logical target becomes the 7-day SMA at $144.49, followed by the EMA 12 at $146.40. The ultimate bull case targets the 20-day SMA at $157.63, representing a 27% gain from current levels.

Technical confirmation would require RSI breaking above 40 and MACD histogram turning positive, indicating genuine momentum shift rather than a dead cat bounce.

Bearish Scenario The downside risk remains significant if AAVE fails to hold current support levels. The immediate support at $116.07 represents the first critical test, with a break potentially leading to the strong support at $108.49.

Below $108, AAVE could face accelerated selling toward psychological support at $100, representing additional 19% downside. The bearish case would be confirmed by RSI failing to break above 35 and continued MACD divergence.

Risk factors include broader DeFi sector weakness, regulatory concerns around lending protocols, and potential liquidations if institutional holders reduce exposure.

Should You Buy AAVE? Entry Strategy Based on current technical conditions, a layered entry strategy appears optimal for this Aave forecast. Consider initial positions near current levels around $123-125, with additional accumulation on any dips toward $116-118.

For risk management, implement stop-losses below $108 to limit downside exposure. The risk-reward ratio favors long positions given the oversold conditions and proximity to technical support levels.

Conservative traders should wait for RSI to break above 35 and price to reclaim $130 before establishing positions. More aggressive traders can capitalize on the current oversold bounce potential with tight risk management.

Position sizing should reflect the high volatility environment, with ATR at $10.47 suggesting daily moves of 8-9% are common.

Conclusion This AAVE price prediction suggests a high probability of recovery from current oversold levels, with targets of $140-160 by March 2026 representing realistic upside potential. The combination of extreme RSI readings, Bollinger Band positioning, and stalled bearish momentum creates favorable conditions for a technical bounce.

However, sustained recovery above $138 resistance remains crucial for confirming trend reversal. The 70% confidence level reflects strong technical setup offset by broader market uncertainties.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and should not constitute sole investment advice. AAVE and all digital assets remain highly volatile and speculative investments.

Image source: Shutterstock

aave price analysis aave price prediction

Bitcoin hit rock bottom Saturday. The world’s largest cryptocurrency tumbled to just above $75,000, marking its lowest point since April and triggering a massive selloff across digital assets that wiped out roughly $200 billion in market value within hours.

The weekend bloodbath caps off what’s been a brutal two-week stretch for crypto investors. Bitcoin started this mess last Sunday when it dropped from $89,000 to $86,000 – the lowest level in five months. Things looked pretty good mid-week when the price bounced back over $90,000, but then the Federal Reserve decided to pause interest rate cuts and everything went sideways fast. Add some Middle East tensions to the mix, and Bitcoin lost $9,000 in just a few hours Thursday, crashing down to $81,000 for the first time since July.

Friday gave traders hope. Bitcoin recovered some ground while precious metals markets went crazy.

But Saturday? Total disaster. The cryptocurrency plunged again, falling sharply to that $75,000 level that has everyone freaking out. We’re talking about a $20,000 loss over two weeks – that’s roughly 21% of Bitcoin’s value gone. The daily drop hit 5%, pushing Bitcoin’s market cap below $1.6 trillion. Not exactly the kind of numbers crypto bulls want to see.

Ethereum got hammered even worse, if that’s possible. The second-largest crypto by market cap crashed from around $2,800 down to $2,250 – a gut-wrenching fall that had traders scrambling. XRP didn’t escape either, hitting a 14-month low at $1.50. Ripple investors probably didn’t see that coming after the recent legal wins.

Other altcoins basically followed Bitcoin off the cliff. Solana dropped 9%, Monero fell 10%, and Litecoin, Sui, Chainlink, and Dogecoin each lost about 5%. There’s been some slight recovery in the past 12 hours, but it’s not really enough to get excited about yet. RAIN, HYPE, and CC somehow managed to hold up better than most – unclear why those three got lucky.

The total crypto market cap? Down $200 billion to $2.7 trillion.

That Fed decision on Wednesday really messed things up. When Jerome Powell and company decided to halt interest rate cuts, crypto investors got spooked. The policy shift sent shockwaves through both digital assets and traditional markets. JP Morgan analysts said the pause probably triggered a big reallocation away from cryptocurrencies. Goldman Sachs backed up that view, pointing to macroeconomic factors driving the volatility.

And then there’s the Middle East situation. U.S. Navy movements toward Iran on Thursday added another layer of fear to an already nervous market. Geopolitical tensions always make crypto traders jumpy, and this time was no different.

Trading platforms couldn’t keep up with the chaos. Binance and Coinbase both reported massive spikes in transaction volumes as traders either tried to buy the dip or cut their losses. Ethereum’s daily trading volume hit unprecedented levels on February 1, showing just how panicked investors really were.

Coinbase actually had some technical issues Saturday afternoon because so many people were trying to trade at once. They fixed it pretty quickly, but it shows how intense the selling pressure got. Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao tried to calm everyone down, saying the exchange systems were handling the load just fine.

Some big players aren’t panicking though. MicroStrategy announced February 1 that they’re not changing their Bitcoin strategy despite the crash. CEO Michael Saylor basically said they’re still believers in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust is even trading at a slight premium, which suggests institutional investors aren’t completely running for the exits.

Retail investors? Mixed bag. Reddit and Twitter lit up with debates about whether this is the bottom or if things get worse from here. Some people see a buying opportunity, others think it’s time to get out completely.

Kraken published a report February 1 trying to put things in perspective. They pointed to historical patterns showing recoveries after big crashes, but admitted nobody really knows what happens next. The exchange basically told investors to be cautious but not completely lose hope.

Market analysts are watching the next few days closely. Without clear signals from major financial institutions, crypto remains vulnerable to more wild swings. The absence of institutional guidance leaves everything pretty much up in the air.

Bitcoin’s current price action has traders wondering if we’ll see a bounce or if the selling continues. The $75,000 level represents a critical support zone that bulls desperately need to hold. If that breaks, things could get really ugly fast.

Trading volumes remain elevated across all major exchanges as February kicks off with maximum uncertainty.

The selloff exposed just how interconnected crypto markets have become with traditional finance. Major pension funds and hedge funds that loaded up on Bitcoin during the 2023 rally found themselves forced to liquidate positions to meet margin calls. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF saw its largest single-day outflow since launch, with $180 million pulled by institutional investors. Fidelity’s competing fund lost another $95 million as portfolio managers scrambled to rebalance.

Liquidations cascaded across derivatives markets too. Over $850 million in leveraged crypto positions got wiped out in the 24-hour period, according to Coinglass data. Most of the damage hit long positions – traders betting prices would go up. Bybit reported the highest liquidation volume at $312 million, followed by Binance at $298 million. FTX’s successor exchange saw smaller but still significant forced closures of $67 million.

Post Views: 1

Sun, 1/02/2026 - 16:47

Litecoin sits at $59, kissing its seven-year trendline support at $63, and Aksel Kibar says the "last chance" for LTC starts here, with a breakout path pointing to $147, then $400.

Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

The bullish case for Litecoin is not dead, it is just buried under six years of boredom. However, Aksel Kibar, a classical chartist who recently got a cosign from legendary trader Peter Brandt, believes that LTC/USD may be entering its "last chance" zone.

The asset, long dubbed "digital silver" to Bitcoin's "digital gold" label, is resting on a decade-long ascending trend line that has acted as both a runway and a lifeline. Now, with the price at $59.20, the trendline sits at exactly $63 — Kibar’s "last chance" level.

Source: Aksel KibarThe headline number of $400 for LTC is not delusional optimism, and the LTC/USD chart structure indeed looks mathematically sound though it has been brutally ignored by the market.

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Litecoin’s entire post-2021 decline unfolded within a parallel channel, with peaks near $147 and symmetrical lows forming a textbook accumulation base. A breakout from this channel projects straight to $400, a level that has not been reached since the peak of the 2021 cycle.

There is a catch for Litecoin (LTC) priceAs always there is one, if the price dips below $47 for LTC, the whole thing falls apart. No breakout occurs, and no parabola forms. There is only decay.

That is why Kibar's phrase "last chance" rings with both opportunity and warning. He is not suggesting some crazy, unrealistic ideas. He is talking about maintaining structural integrity of the current range. If it breaks, everything breaks.

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Support from Peter Brandt makes things only more compelling. When a macro trading expert with 50-years expertise says that Kibar is his #1 chartist right now, it is just ignorant not to pay attention.

All in all, the 2026 story of Litecoin is about to change, potentially making it the most ignored coin on the market following the oldest rules.

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Step Finance, a well-known Solana analytics hub, said its treasury was hit in a major breach that emptied 261,854 SOL from wallets tied to the platform.

The loss forced a sharp market reaction, and users and investors watched prices tumble as the team moved quickly to contain the damage.

Based on reports, roughly 261,854 SOL were unstaked and shifted off the platform on January 31, 2026, an amount worth around $27 million to $30 million at the time.

Investigators were called in right away. According to the platform’s public posts, security specialists and outside firms are helping to trace the funds. Some transfers were obvious on public ledgers; they could be followed from the compromised wallets to a set of addresses that began converting SOL.

#CertiKInsight 🚨

We have seen a security breach of @StepFinance_ treasury wallets.https://t.co/Zi3tMKaTqE

261,854 SOL (~$28.9M) has been withdrawn after stake authorization had been transferred tohttps://t.co/o51kREYPHW

Stay Vigilant! pic.twitter.com/GrxpyzI2Uv

— CertiK Alert (@CertiKAlert) January 31, 2026

Questions remain about how access was gained. It is not yet clear whether private keys were taken, a staking routine was exploited, or an internal process failed. The exact technical route is still being pieced together.

Image: CMIT Solutions On-Chain Clues And Market Fallout Markets reacted violently. The platform’s governance token fell hard, with prices dropping by more than 80% in minutes as panic spread. Traders sold quickly. Price books thinned.

Based on reports from on-chain trackers, multiple large unstake transactions and swaps were executed in a short time window.

Some of the moved SOL was routed to exchanges, while other amounts were split across several wallets, a pattern observers often tie to attempts at cashing out without drawing attention.

Earlier today several of our treasury wallets were compromised by a sophisticated actor during APAC hours. This was an attack facilitated through a well known attack vector.

Immediate remediation steps have been taken, and we are working closely with top security professionals.…

— Step☀️ (@StepFinance_) January 31, 2026

Community Anxiety And Operational Response Step Finance announced emergency steps to shield remaining funds. Access to certain treasury functions was restricted and multisig controls were reviewed.

Accounts under direct protocol control were frozen where possible. The company said it was cooperating with authorities and sharing findings with the wider Solana community.

At the same time, public-facing channels were used to give updates as they became available, though many technical details were deliberately withheld to avoid tipping off the attacker.

SOLUSD is now trading at $105. Chart: TradingView Recovery Steps And Unknowns A handful of security firms are conducting forensic work on the transactions. On-chain evidence will be crucial to any effort to recover assets.

Reports note that tracing is a step; recovering funds is another. Legal and regulatory routes may be explored if identifiable intermediaries or exchanges are used to move the stolen value.

Whether user funds outside the treasury were touched has been a key concern, and the company is said to be clarifying that matter.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

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Christian, a journalist and editor with leadership roles in Philippine and Canadian media, is fueled by his love for writing and cryptocurrency. Off-screen, he's a cook and cinephile who's constantly intrigued by the size of the universe.

Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

Ethereum has crashed below $2,400, but a whale's contrarian approach is drawing attention in the market.

Ethereum fell to a low of $2,245 on Saturday as selling intensified in the crypto market. As Ethereum fell in the market, Lookonchain revealed a whale opened a 20× long on 6,000 ETH worth $14.37 million.

The whale's approach refers to a contrarian strategy, obviously made in good faith that prices might soon rebound and comes as traders and investors capitulate across the market.

According to Lookonchain, Trend Research, which previously bought 651,310 ETH worth $1.56 billion, appears to be capitulating as it deposited 10,000 ETH worth $24.34 million into Binance.

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Ethereum price crashesOver $2.45 billion in crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, with the largest single liquidation being a $222.65 million ETH USD order on the Hyperliquid exchange.

Ethereum led the sell-off in the market, with over $1.07 billion in positions wiped out in the last 24 hours as it fell more than 10%, followed by about $774 million in Bitcoin.

At press time, ETH was down 7.12% in the last 24 hours to $2,341 and down 20% weekly.

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Losses increased following forced selling in the derivatives markets. Liquidations rose as Ethereum fell, compounding pressure on spot prices.

Reversal coming?Liquidation data from CoinGlass shows the sell-off was one-sided, with long positions accounting for the majority of that seen in the last 24 hours.

Long positions accounted for the majority of liquidations, coming in at $2.27 billion, with shorts accounting for only $180 million, suggesting bullish traders were caught unawares. The massive long liquidations coinciding with thin liquidity might suggest a reset following a leverage flush.

RSI indicators are now at oversold levels, below 30, hinting at the possibility of a relief rally in the coming sessions.

Crypto’s $19 billion '10/10' nightmare: Why everyone is blaming Binance for the bitcoin crash that won't endMonths after the Oct. 10 liquidation cascade, market depth has yet to recover, and traders are divided over Binance's role as bitcoin continues to crash. Feb 1, 2026, 5:21 p.m.

At first glance, the $19 billion liquidity wipeout on Oct. 10 looked routine: a rapid chain of liquidations, or forced closures of trading positions, across major exchanges as bitcoin BTC$77,634.56, the largest cryptocurrency, tumbled.

It's what followed, and the lack of transparency over the day's events, that's made the largest single-day liquidation by dollar value in crypto history frustrating for traders and changed crypto trading fundamentally.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

And one name has everyone's attention: Binance.

The world’s largest crypto exchange has, for many, become the face of the crash, which saw bitcoin drop as much as 12.5%, the most in 14 months. That forced exchanges to close or liquidate leveraged positions that had run out of funds to remain open.

Whether because of Binance's scale, its dominance in derivatives trading or the lack of clarity about exactly what happened, on any given day, social media sports multiple accusations claiming the exchange was the biggest reason Oct. 10 (now known to many as 10/10) occurred.

Binance maintains to this day that the closures weren't the exchange's fault. The company did not respond to a CoinDesk request for comment on this article.

Still, without someone owning the narrative, it's easy to see why such an event has traders on edge.

In the months since the crash, liquidity across much of the market has remained noticeably thinner. Order books have not been fully rebuilt. Market depth (the ability to sustain relatively large market orders without significantly impacting the price) is patchier, while the spread between buyers' and sellers' pricing is wider. Many traders say the bruised market structure contributed to bitcoin’s decline from $124,800 to $80,000 and eroded traders' trust.

Now, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood has added her voice to the clamor, attributing bitcoin’s weakness to “a Binance software glitch.”

Why Binance is back at the center of the debateWood spoke on Fox Business in late January, saying the glitch triggered roughly $28 billion in deleveraging.

Binance co-founder He Yi responded online, noting that Binance does not serve U.S. individuals, though the post was later deleted.

Competitors seized the opening. Star Xu, the founder of rival exchange OXK, wrote that Oct. 10 caused “real and lasting damage to the industry.” While he didn't refer to Binance, his comments were widely interpreted as a pointed critique of his rival's role.

Meanwhile, challengers such as decentralized exchange Hyperliquid highlighted gains in derivatives volume and liquidity depth, positioning themselves as alternatives as Binance faces reputational drag.

Binance maintains that Oct. 10 was not the result of an internal systems issue.

During an ask-me-anything event on Friday, co-founder and former CEO Changpeng “CZ" Zhao said suggestions that Binance caused the crash were “far-fetched.”

The company described the event as driven by “market factors,” citing macroeconomic pressure, high leverage, illiquid conditions and congestion on the Ethereum network. Binance said its core systems remained operational and it paid roughly $283 million in compensation to affected users.

'Spitting in our faces'For some, that explanation isn't enough, particularly given the scale of liquidations, and the $19 billion figure has taken on an outsized symbolic weight. Binance's compensation figure is frequently framed less as restitution than as a fraction of the damage.

“This is a f***ing joke,” wrote the pseudonymous Bitcoin Realist on X. “You…liquidated 19 billion on 10/10 alone… This is like spitting in our faces.”

The anger reflects something broader than a single volatility event. For many, Oct. 10 has become a proxy for distrust in crypto market structure.

Not everyone agrees Binance deserves the role of villain, however.

“10/10 was very obviously not a ‘software glitch,’” Evgeny Gaevoy, CEO of market maker Wintermute, wrote on X. “It was a flash crash on mega leveraged market on illiquid Friday night driven by macro news.”

He added: “Finding a scapegoat is comfy, but blaming this on one exchange is intellectually dishonest.”

The argument is straightforward: Crypto remains structurally leverage-heavy, and liquidity is often conditional. Market makers widen spreads or step back entirely during stress. In thin conditions, liquidations accelerate.

Binance may have been the largest venue where the crash played out, but it wasn't necessarily the source of the shock.

The transparency gap keeps speculation aliveWhat's missing is a public review and official narrative. Critics argue that the absence of a detailed inquiry leaves room for speculation to snowball.

Salman Banaei, a former regulator at the U.S.'s Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), suggested Oct. 10 warrants investigation, even without alleging wrongdoing.

“Whether you love or hate crypto, there should be an investigation by regulators into Oct 10, 2025,” Banaei wrote, comparing it to the May 6, 2010, stock market flash crash. “A benefit of regulation is that the risk of such investigations deters manipulation.”

He was careful to note he was not claiming manipulation occurred. But the broader point is that crypto markets lack the formal post-mortems that traditional finance relies on after systemic shocks.

One trader, known as Flood, insinuated that a major exchange had been “relentlessly selling altcoins since 10/10,” feeding conspiracy theories about inventory overhang.

Whether true or not, such claims tend to flourish when liquidity disappears and confidence erodes.

The deeper issue is market depth, not one exchangeOct. 10 may ultimately be remembered less for the liquidation number than for what it revealed about market structure.

In a bull market, order books are thick, leverage builds quietly, and liquidity is abundant.

Bear markets expose the opposite. Liquidity thins, market makers retreat, volatility concentrates, and the next shock breaks through faster than expected.

Referring to the collapse of crypto exchange FTX in 2022, Ether.fi CEO Mike Silagadze wrote on X that “this seems so much worse than the post FTX landscape. The fundamentals in some ways are stronger than ever, but price action has zero bids.”

Binance is the easiest scapegoat because it’s the largest exchange and thus the most visible venue and obvious target.

But the deeper issue is structural. Crypto liquidity remains dependent on leverage, conditional market making and confidence, all of which have been lost in a void over the past four months.

"I don’t know if Binance played a role in deliberately ruining the market in October, I would probably veer more towards the obvious which is; high amounts of leverage, low amounts of liquidity, generally useless or unwanted altcoin “technologies” is a recipe for a massacre and thats exactly what happened," said Eric Crown, former options trader at NYSE Arca.

"It was always a question of when, not if."

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang insists the US tech giant is going to make 'a huge investment in OpenAI' Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang has insisted the US tech giant will make a "huge" investment in OpenAI and dismissed as "nonsense" reports that he is unhappy with the generative AI star.

Huang made the remarks late Saturday in Taipei after The Wall Street Journal reported that Nvidia's plan to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI had been put on ice.

Nvidia announced the plan in September to invest $100 billion in OpenAI, building infrastructure for next-generation artificial intelligence.

The Wall Street Journal, citing unnamed sources, said some people inside Nvidia had expressed doubts about the deal and that the two sides were rethinking the partnership.

"That's complete nonsense. We are going to make a huge investment in OpenAI," Huang told journalists, when asked about reports that he was unhappy with OpenAI.

Huang insisted that Nvidia was going ahead with its investment in OpenAI, describing it as "one of the most consequential companies of our time."

"Sam is closing the round, and we will absolutely be involved in the round," Huang said, referring to OpenAI chief executive Sam Altman.

"We will invest a great deal of money, probably the largest investment we've ever made."

Nvidia has come to dominate spending on the processors needed for training and operating the large language models (LLM) behind chatbots like OpenAI's ChatGPT or Google Gemini.

Sales of its graphics processing units (GPUs)—originally developed for 3D gaming—powered the company's market cap to over $5 trillion in October, although the figure has since fallen back by more than $600 billion.

LLM developers like OpenAI are directing much of the mammoth investment they have received into Nvidia's products, rushing to build GPU-stuffed data centers to serve an anticipated flood of demand for AI services.

© 2026 AFP

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Verizon Needs More Than A Stock Buyback

, /PRNewswire/ -- Extremely cold temperatures – 10 to 20 degrees below normal – are driving unusually high energy demand across the East Coast, including the Carolinas. Duke Energy is asking all Carolinas customers to voluntarily reduce their energy use from 4-10 a.m. on Monday, Feb. 2, to help lessen the energy demand on the grid and reduce the potential of temporary power outages.

Customers can help ease strain on the grid by taking the following steps:

Reduce your thermostat to the lowest comfortable setting. Avoid using major appliances such as washing machines, clothes dryers and dishwashers between 4 a.m. and 10 a.m. Turn off any unnecessary devices, unused plug-ins and lights. Electric vehicle owners: Charge midday, when demand is lower. "We know it's inconvenient to reduce electric use, but it makes a real difference," said Gerald Wilson, Duke Energy vice president of grid operations. "We are taking every step to meet our customers energy needs, including maximizing our generation and purchasing power and working with large commercial and industrial customers who have demand response programs. We appreciate our customers' cooperation, patience and understanding as we work to maintain reliable service across the Carolinas."

Duke Energy
Duke Energy (NYSE: DUK), a Fortune 150 company headquartered in Charlotte, N.C., is one of America's largest energy holding companies. The company's electric utilities serve 8.6 million customers in North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, Indiana, Ohio and Kentucky, and collectively own 55,100 megawatts of energy capacity. Its natural gas utilities serve 1.7 million customers in North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Ohio and Kentucky.

Duke Energy is executing an ambitious energy transition, keeping customer reliability and value at the forefront as it builds a smarter energy future. The company is investing in major electric grid upgrades and cleaner generation, including natural gas, nuclear, renewables and energy storage.

More information is available at duke-energy.com and the Duke Energy News Center. Follow Duke Energy on X, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook, and visit illumination for stories about the people and innovations powering our energy transition.

24-Hour: 800.559.3853

SOURCE Duke Energy

Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), a key semiconductor company that competes with Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) across the artificial intelligence (AI) and data-center infrastructure landscape, is set to pay one of the first dividends of 2026 in March.

The company’s next quarterly dividend is estimated at $0.65 per share, with an expected payment date of March 27, 2026. The payout is unchanged from the dividend paid on December 31, 2025, signaling stability in Broadcom’s shareholder return policy.

At this rate, an investor holding 100 shares of Broadcom stock will earn $65 in dividend income from the March payment, excluding taxes.

Based on a recent share price of about $331.30, the dividend implies a yield of roughly 0.78%. Broadcom pays dividends quarterly and currently has a forward payout ratio of about 18.2%, indicating the dividend is conservatively funded by earnings and free cash flow.

AVGO dividend analysis. Source: Dividend.com Notably, the firm has increased its dividend for 16 consecutive years, a strong track record within the semiconductor sector, and its average post-dividend price recovery time stands at just under nine days.

Compared with the broader technology sector’s average yield of around 1.37%, Broadcom’s yield is lower, reflecting its positioning as a growth-focused stock rather than a high-income play.

From a stock price perspective, Broadcom shares have experienced volatility alongside the wider semiconductor market. 

AVGO fundamentals  Overall, Broadcom is emerging as a compelling buy as demand for custom AI chips accelerates across hyperscalers. Shipments of AI server compute ASICs are expected to triple between 2024 and 2027, driven by expanding Google TPU infrastructure for Gemini, continued scaling of AWS Trainium clusters, and rising volumes from Meta Platforms.

As this market shifts away from a landscape dominated by Google and Amazon Web Services, Broadcom has positioned itself as a key beneficiary of a more diversified AI compute ecosystem by 2027.

To this end, Wall Street sentiment has turned increasingly supportive, with JPMorgan recently naming Broadcom a top tech pick, highlighting its broad exposure across wireless, broadband, networking, and storage.

Wells Fargo upgraded the stock to ‘Overweight’ following Broadcom’s $4.5 billion senior note issuance, while Goldman Sachs reiterated its preference for the company alongside Nvidia, pointing to Broadcom’s strong leverage to AI infrastructure spending and long-term networking technology trends.

Featured image via Shutterstock

Financial markets are churning on Friday as investors try to figure out what President Donald Trump’s new nominee to lead the Federal Reserve will mean for interest rates. The initial reactions were uneasy because of the uncertainty.

U.S. stocks fell, with the S&P 500 down 0.8% in midday trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 507 points, or 1%, as of 1 p.m. ET, and the Nasdaq composite was 1% lower.

The value of the U.S. dollar, meanwhile, climbed, but only after swiveling a couple of times following Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh. And some of the wildest action was again in precious metals markets, where the price of gold screeched lower following its stellar run over the last year.

Whoever leads the Fed has a big influence on the economy and markets worldwide by helping to dictate where the U.S. central bank moves interest rates. Such decisions lift or weigh on prices for all kinds of investments, as the Fed tries to keep the U.S. job market humming without letting inflation get out of control. Trump has been pushing for lower interest rates, which usually help goose the economy but can also cause higher inflation.

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A fear in financial markets has been that the Fed will lose some of its independence because of Trump. That fear in turn helped catapult the price of gold and weaken the U.S. dollar’s value over the last year.

The longtime assumption has been that the Fed can operate separately from the rest of Washington so that it can make decisions that are painful in the short term but necessary for the long term. To get inflation down to the Fed’s goal of 2%, for example, may require the unpopular choice to keep interest rates high and grind down on the economy for a while.

The big question is what Warsh’s nomination, which still requires approval from the Senate, means for the Fed’s independence.

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The stock has been surging to start 2026.

Semiconductor equipment company ASML Holding (ASML 2.19%) saw its order momentum continue in the fourth quarter. While the stock didn't gain much traction from its earnings report, it is still up more than 30% in January and has more than doubled over the past year, as of this writing.

Given the stock's strong performance to start the year, let's take a closer look at its latest results and prospects to determine whether or not it's too late to buy shares of ASML.

Image source: Getty Images.

Strong order outlook ASML is one of the most important companies in the semiconductor value chain. It has a monopoly on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography technology, which is the manufacturing process used to make advanced chips, such as graphics processing units (GPUs) and high bandwidth memory (HBM). As foundries and memory makers rush to increase capacity due to the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure boom, the company is seeing strong order growth.

For the quarter, its revenue rose 5% higher to 9.7 billion euros ($11.6 billion) and came in toward the high end of the company's guidance range of 9.2 billion to 9.8 billion euros ($11 billion to $11.7 billion). Its equipment sales rose 7% year over year to 7.6 billion euros ($9.1 billion), while its service revenue slipped 1% to 2.1 billion euros ($2.5 billion).

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During the quarter, the company sold 94 new lithography systems and eight used systems compared to 119 new and 13 used systems a year earlier. Approximately 48% of its sales came from higher-priced EUV technology versus 42% a year ago, while 36% of its sales were to China versus 27% year ago.

The biggest news out of the quarter, though, was ASML's orders. Its net bookings soared from 5.4 billion euros ($6.4 billion) in Q3 to $13.2 billion euros ($15.8 billion). That was way ahead of the 6.2 billion euros ($7.4 billion) in net bookings that analysts were expecting, according to Visible Alpha.

Looking ahead, the company forecast Q1 revenue to be between 8.2 billion euros ($9.8 billion) and 8.9 billion euros ($10.6 billion) and 2026 revenue of between 34 billion euros ($40.6 billion) and 39 billion euros ($46.5 billion), representing growth of 4% to 19%.

Is the stock a buy? As a monopoly on the technology needed to make advanced chips and memory, ASML is in a good position. However, its revenue growth, while solid, has not been as strong as you might think it should be, given the huge demand for data center infrastructure. This is largely due to a slowdown in its China revenue. It's not allowed to sell its EUV technology into the country, and there had been a pull-forward in demand for even its older machines.

While I like the stock over the long term, given the stock's recent surge and moderate revenue growth, I'd stay on the sidelines for now.

Glowing light bulb with dollar sign inside on dark blue background. Money making idea and Growth of dollar exchange rate Concept. 3D Render.

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My prediction for 2026? Strange as it may sound, given the wild headlines we’re seeing pretty much daily, I’m calling for more of the same.

As I said a couple weeks ago, I expect around 12% returns from the S&P 500 this year.

That’s why we’ve been adding to the equity CEFs in the portfolio of our CEF Insider service. Today I want to talk about one of our holdings, in particular: a 9%-payer called the Liberty All-Star Growth Fund (ASG).

We’re zeroing in on this one because its discount to net asset value (NAV, or the value of its underlying portfolio) is the biggest it’s been in three years. As a result, we can buy ASG, and its portfolio of US blue chips, for around 90 cents on the dollar. That markdown helps reduce any worries around valuation as the market keeps rising higher.

Bubble Worries Are a Plus for Us (and This 9%-Paying CEF)Remember that recession we were told had a 100% chance of happening back in 2022? Well, we’re still waiting for it.

Meantime, US GDP rose 4.4% at the last reading for the third quarter, and our most up-to-date estimate, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow indicator is showing over 5% growth for Q4. These are strong numbers, especially with average annual growth around 3%.

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Then there’s AI, which continues to spread through the economy, boosting productivity as it does. When you account for the AI effect, the 13.4% return the S&P 500 has put up over the last 12 months (versus its long-term average of 10.6% annualized) makes sense. The market is simply telling us that it’s pricing in a bit of extra juice from this new tech.

So we’re going to go ahead and let the mainstream crowd fret. The truth is, the numbers don’t support the idea of a bubble right now.

That’s one reason for the 9.8% discount on ASG, which sports a high-quality portfolio of US blue chips like NVIDIA (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT) and Apple (AAPL), as well as domestic-focused midcaps like property manager FirstService (FSV) and Pennsylvania retailer Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI).

ASG Discount NAV

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That 9.8% discount makes ASG particularly compelling when you consider that its NAV has gained 11.5% annualized over the last decade.

Something else many CEF investors don’t realize is that a discount like this helps keep a fund’s dividend stable. That’s because, when you calculate ASG’s yearly payout based on NAV, not the discounted market price, you get 8.1%. This is significantly below ASG’s yield on market price and an easier figure for management to cover.

That said, the point is pretty much moot when you consider that the fund’s 11.5% annualized NAV return over the last 10 years means it has been out-earning that payout for a long time.

Now, we do need to bear in mind that ASG’s management ties its dividend to NAV, with the stated goal of paying 8% of NAV as dividends a year, so the payout does float around some. But given ASG’s strong NAV performance, the dividend has been pretty stable for the last three years.

ASG Dividend History

Income Calendar

But all that said, there is a question we need to ask: After three years of the discount getting steeper, should we worry it will never go back to where it used to be?

To answer that, we need to look at where ASG’s total NAV return has gone in that three-year span. And it’s been nowhere but up:

ASG Total Returns

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Over the last three years, ASG has delivered about a 12% total NAV return, a bit above the 11.5% it’s posted over the last decade. Over the long haul, discounts like this tend to narrow in the face of such persistent strong gains.

That makes this discount a sign that ASG is ripe for buying: The market will eventually reward this strong performance (and dividend). But if we buy today, we’ll get in at a discount before that happens.

Michael Foster is the Lead Research Analyst for Contrarian Outlook. For more great retirement income ideas, click here for our latest report “Indestructible Income: 5 Bargain Funds with Steady 9.1% Dividends.”

These companies pay high-yielding and steadily rising dividends.

I think I have an addiction to buying dividend stocks. I love collecting the passive income they provide, which I often reinvest into buying additional dividend-paying stocks. As my passive income grows, I become more financially independent.

I recently bought even more shares of PepsiCo (PEP +3.32%), Main Street Capital (MAIN 1.21%), and Verizon (VZ +11.81%). Here's why I can't stop buying these high-quality, high-yielding dividend stocks.

Image source: Getty Images.

Treating its investors like royalty PepsiCo likely needs no introduction. The global snacking and beverage company's portfolio includes iconic brands such as Pepsi, Gatorade, and Doritos. These brands generate durable cash flow to cover the company's 3.8%-yielding dividend, which is three times higher than the S&P 500's yield of 1.1%.

The company has a remarkable record of increasing its dividend. It raised its payment by another 5% last year, extending its growth streak to 53 consecutive years. That qualifies PepsiCo as a Dividend King as a company with 50 or more years of annual dividend increases.

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PepsiCo's long-term target is to deliver 4% to 6% annual organic revenue growth and high-single-digit earnings per share growth. The company aims to enhance its growth rate through strategic investments. It bought Poppi for $1.7 billion last year and strengthened its long-term strategic partnership with Celsius, which included increasing its stake to 11%. These growth drivers should enable the company to continue increasing its dividend payment.

Dual income streams Main Street Capital is a business development company (BDC). It provides debt and equity capital to lower middle market companies ($10 million to $150 million in annual revenue). It also makes secured debt investments in middle market companies ($25 million to $500 million in revenue) owned by private equity funds. These investments generate interest and dividend income to support the company's dividend payments.

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The BDC has a unique dividend policy. It pays a monthly dividend set at a level it can easily sustain. Main Street Capital has never reduced or suspended its monthly dividend. Instead, it has steadily raised its payment, including by 4% over the past year and by 136% since its IPO in 2007. This payment currently yields 4.8% based on the company's recent share price.

Additionally, Main Street Capital periodically pays a supplemental quarterly dividend. It has paid the same quarterly rate for the past couple of years. When added to its monthly dividend, the BDC has a 6.7% dividend yield based on its annualized payout and share price. With two passive income streams, Main Street Capital is an ideal investment for my strategy.

A big-time yield Verizon also likely needs no introduction. The company provides mobile and broadband services to over 146 million customers. Verizon generates lots of recurring revenue as customers pay their cellphone and internet bills, which supports its 6.9%-yielding dividend.

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The company generates about $20 billion in free cash flow each year after covering the capital expenditures required to maintain and expand its 5G and fiber networks. That easily covers its annual dividend payments, which total about $11.5 billion. The company uses the remaining cash to maintain its financial flexibility.

Verizon recently used some of its financial flexibility to acquire Frontier Communications in a $20 billion deal to bolster its fiber network. This deal should enhance its ability to cross-sell mobile and internet services to more customers, increasing its revenue and margins. Verizon's growth drivers should enable it to continue increasing its dividend, which it has done for the last 19 years in a row.

Padding my passive income I recently bought even more shares of PepsiCo, Main Street Capital, and Verizon because they all pay high-yielding dividends. Even better, all three companies have strong records of increasing their payouts, which should continue. As a result, I should collect even more passive dividend income from them in the future, enabling me to reach financial independence even sooner.

HomeStock IdeasQuick Picks & Lists

SummaryBarrick Mining Corporation’s solid liquidity supports its commitment to shareholder returns, reflected in increased share repurchases and a raise in its quarterly dividend.Johnson & Johnson's performance was augmented by key growth products like Carvykti, promising new data for Rybrevant and more favorable erosion trends for legacy franchises.Fiserv’s scale, integrated solutions and deep client relationships create high switching costs and durable recurring revenue—hallmarks of a wide-moat business. tadamichi/iStock via Getty Images

The following segment was excerpted from the Ariel Focus Fund Q4 2025 Commentary.

Shares of gold mining company, Barrick Mining Corporation (B) jumped on strong quarterly results, aided by higher gold production, lower costs and favorable commodity

It's built to flourish with or without current AI hype.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is far from a new technology. People have been using it for quite some time, whether knowingly or not. However, the current AI boom is a technological turning point that many would argue we haven't seen since the introduction of the internet.

As with any new industry trend, there's been a lot of investor optimism, but at some point, this turns into speculation. We've seen this story plenty of times in the market. This isn't to say AI's a bubble (the technology is here to stay), but current valuations rightfully bring on skepticism.

Fortunately, there's one company that's a key piece to the AI supply chain that you can count on regardless: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM 2.66%).

Image source: Getty Images.

TSMC's role in the AI world A good way to understand TSMC's AI role is by working backward from the AI applications and tools people use daily. For those AI tools to be effective, they need to be trained on more data than you can fathom. This data is stored, and AI models are trained inside data centers that contain hardware like graphics processing units (GPUs), AI accelerators, and central processing units (CPUs).

Different companies design these hardware pieces, but they have one thing in common: They rely on TSMC to manufacture their chips and bring them to life. It has a virtual monopoly on manufacturing advanced AI chips because it's the one company tech companies trust the most to be efficient and handle the necessary scale.

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Thriving with or without AI If the current AI boom slows or turns out to be a bubble, many companies will fail or find themselves in trouble, scrambling to pivot their businesses. TSMC isn't one of them. Companies like Apple rely on TSMC to make its smartphone chips; Nvidia relies on it for its GPUs; Tesla relies on it for its self-driving chips; Broadcom relies on it for its networking hardware; and there are plenty more companies you can plug in there.

AI-related revenue has undoubtedly contributed to TSMC's growing earnings and demand in recent years. It had its best year ever in 2025, bringing in $122 billion in revenue (up nearly 36% year over year).

TSM Revenue (Annual) data by YCharts

Without AI, TSMC's growth would take a hit, sure. However, it would be far from detrimental to TSMC's overall long-term business.

Tech hardware will continue to need chips, and most tech companies will continue to rely on TSMC. With chip manufacturing having such a high barrier to entry, as long as TSMC continues to invest in improving its technology and expanding its capabilities, it should remain the world's most important chip manufacturer for some time.

Stefon Walters has positions in Apple and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Chevron Corporation NYSE: CVX delivered mixed results in its fourth-quarter earnings report. The integrated oil giant had a slight miss on revenue, but earnings came in above expectations.

Top 3 U.S. Marijuana Stocks to Watch in February 2026 The U.S. cannabis sector enters February 2026 at a critical inflection point. Market sentiment has improved, yet investors remain selective. After several years of consolidation, attention is shifting toward operators with scale and execution. As a result, established multi-state operators continue drawing interest.

Although price volatility remains, long-term demand continues growing. State-level legalization continues to expand, while medical programs remain stable. Meanwhile, federal reform discussions still influence sentiment, even without firm timelines. Therefore, investors are focusing on companies positioned to survive uncertainty.

Profitability now matters more than rapid expansion. Companies are tightening operations and protecting margins. In addition, retail scale and brand strength provide stability during downturns. These factors help separate leaders from weaker competitors.

This article highlights three U.S. marijuana stocks worth watching in February 2026. Each company operates at scale and maintains a strong retail footprint. Together, they represent key players shaping the future of U.S. cannabis.

[Read More] Best Ancillary Cannabis Stocks to Watch in February 2026

Top U.S. Cannabis Operators to Watch as 2026 Momentum Builds Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (OTC: TCNNF) Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. (OTC: CURLF) Verano Holdings Corp. (OTC: VRNOF) Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TCNNF) Trulieve Cannabis Corp. remains one of the most dominant cannabis operators in the United States. The company operates a vertically integrated business model. It focuses on cultivation, processing, distribution, and retail sales. As a result, Trulieve maintains control across the entire value chain.

Trulieve’s largest presence remains in Florida. The state continues serving as the company’s core revenue engine. However, Trulieve has expanded aggressively beyond Florida. It now operates in states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, Maryland, Ohio, and Connecticut. These markets provide exposure to both medical and adult-use demand.

As of early 2026, Trulieve operates more than 230 dispensaries nationwide. This large footprint gives the company strong brand visibility. Additionally, its loyalty program continues driving repeat customer visits. Trulieve also offers a wide product portfolio across flower, edibles, concentrates, and vapes.

Importantly, the company has focused on disciplined expansion. Instead of chasing growth at any cost, Trulieve targets profitable markets. This approach has helped it remain competitive during industry slowdowns. Consequently, Trulieve continues ranking among the largest U.S. cannabis companies by revenue.

From a financial perspective, Trulieve has emphasized cash flow and balance sheet strength. Recent quarterly results showed stable revenue despite pricing pressure. Gross margins remained healthy compared to industry peers. This reflects efficient cultivation and strong retail execution.

Operating cash flow continues to support day-to-day operations. Meanwhile, management has taken steps to address near-term debt obligations. Strategic refinancing actions have extended maturities and improved liquidity. These efforts reduce financial risk during uncertain conditions.

Although net income remains pressured, Trulieve’s core operations remain resilient. The company continues generating meaningful EBITDA. Capital expenditures are now more targeted, which supports margin protection. Additionally, Trulieve maintains sufficient cash reserves to fund selective growth.

Looking ahead, Trulieve remains well-positioned. Its dominant retail presence and operational discipline provide stability. As regulatory clarity improves, the company could benefit significantly from its scale and infrastructure.

[Read More] Here Are 3 Marijuana Stocks For Investors 2026

Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. (CURLF) Curaleaf Holdings stands as the largest cannabis company in the United States by revenue. The company operates across numerous states and markets. Its scale provides diversification and risk mitigation. As a result, Curaleaf remains a cornerstone of the U.S. cannabis industry.

Curaleaf operates more than 160 dispensaries nationwide. Its largest retail presence is in Florida. The state continues to account for a significant share of total sales. Additionally, Curaleaf maintains strong positions in New Jersey, New York, Arizona, and Illinois. These states offer exposure to high-population markets.

The company also operates extensive cultivation and processing facilities. This vertical integration supports a consistent product supply. Curaleaf’s brand portfolio includes Select, Grassroots, and Curaleaf-branded products. These brands remain well recognized among consumers.

Importantly, Curaleaf continues focusing on operational efficiency. Rather than aggressive expansion, the company prioritizes optimizing existing assets. This strategy helps preserve margins and improve cash flow. Consequently, Curaleaf remains one of the most resilient operators during market volatility.

Financially, Curaleaf continues generating over a billion dollars in annual revenue. Recent quarterly trends showed stabilization after prior declines. Sequential improvements reflected stronger retail performance and cost controls. Gross margins improved modestly, despite competitive pricing pressures.

Adjusted EBITDA remains a key focus for management. The company continues to reduce expenses and streamline operations. Debt management also remains a priority heading into 2026. Curaleaf has worked to extend maturities and improve capital structure flexibility.

While net profitability remains elusive, losses have narrowed compared to prior years. This improvement reflects disciplined spending and operational focus. Additionally, Curaleaf continues investing selectively in adult-use markets with high returns.

Looking forward, Curaleaf’s size offers unique advantages. Its nationwide footprint positions the company well for federal reform. If regulatory changes occur, Curaleaf could scale rapidly due to its infrastructure.

[Read More] February 2026 Watchlist: Leading Canadian Cannabis Stocks

Verano Holdings Corp. (VRNOF) Verano Holdings is a vertically integrated cannabis operator headquartered in Chicago. The company operates across multiple U.S. states. Its footprint includes Illinois, Florida, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. These states represent key cannabis markets.

Verano operates dozens of retail dispensaries under brands like Zen Leaf and MÜV. While smaller than some peers, its retail network remains strategically placed. The company also maintains cultivation and processing facilities to support wholesale operations.

Product quality remains central to Verano’s strategy. The company emphasizes premium offerings and consistent branding. This focus helps attract loyal customers across competitive markets. Additionally, Verano continues expanding selectively where regulations allow.

Although Verano operates fewer dispensaries than its larger peers, its footprint remains meaningful. The company balances retail growth with operational discipline. As a result, Verano has remained relevant in a challenging market.

Financially, Verano has faced revenue pressure over the past year. Industry pricing compression and competition impacted top-line results. However, management has focused heavily on cost control. This approach has helped protect margins relative to peers.

Adjusted EBITDA margins remain competitive despite revenue challenges. Verano has also taken steps to improve liquidity. Amendments to credit facilities have provided flexibility. These actions reduce near-term financial strain.

Net losses remain significant, reflecting ongoing investments and restructuring costs. However, leadership continues to prioritize operational efficiency. Capital spending has slowed, which supports cash preservation.

Looking ahead, Verano remains a higher-risk, higher-reward operator. If market conditions improve, operating leverage could drive meaningful upside. For investors seeking exposure beyond the largest operators, Verano remains worth watching in February 2026.

MAPH Enterprises, LLC | (305) 414-0128 | 1501 Venera Ave, Coral Gables, FL 33146 | [email protected]

In a global investor survey from Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode, 1 in 4 institutions agreed that crypto has now entered a bear market. Yet the majority of institutions still said Bitcoin was undervalued, and most said they had held or increased exposure since October.

That discrepancy matters because it captures how institutions are positioning right now: caution about the regime, a willingness to stay allocated, and a preference for concentrating risk in Bitcoin rather than in smaller, more volatile tokens that can unwind quickly when leverage comes out.

A bear market label, a value bidThe report’s market framing explains why the paradox exists.

October’s deleveraging did real damage to altcoin price action, but Bitcoin dominance barely moved, edging from 58% to 59% in the fourth quarter of 2025.

That stability matters because it shows the selling wasn’t evenly distributed. It was a washout in the long tail more than a broad rejection of crypto, with Bitcoin acting like the asset you keep when you’re cutting risk but not exiting the category.

David Duong, Coinbase Institutional’s global head of research, offered a clean way to reconcile the “bear market” language with “undervalued” conviction in an interview for CryptoSlate.

His point was that institutions often use cycle labels to describe regime and positioning, while “value” is a longer-horizon assessment tied to adoption, scarcity, structure, and the policy backdrop.

“When institutions assess Bitcoin’s value, they look beyond near-term price action to factors such as adoption, scarcity, improving market structure, and clearer regulatory frameworks.

Historically, bear markets often signal periods of tighter liquidity and weaker sentiment that ultimately lay the foundation for renewed institutional participation and future growth.

In other words, when an investor calls this a bear market (and that’s not our view, by the way), they’re describing the phase of the cycle and prevailing risk appetite.

Positioning may be defensive, liquidity is selective, and price action might either be trending lower or chopping with a negative skew.

They’re talking about the regime we’re trading in right now, not where they think Bitcoin should ultimately settle.”

The report’s own data lines up with that interpretation. It shows a market that has stopped rewarding indiscriminate risk-taking but hasn’t lost the bid for the largest assets.

Coinbase and Glassnode say perpetual futures were hit hardest, with their systematic leverage ratio falling to 3% of the total crypto market cap (excluding stablecoins).

At the same time, options open interest spiked as traders rushed to defend against further price weakness.

As an institution, if your instinct is that it’s a bear market, you buy insurance, reduce liquidation risk, and keep the exposure you still want through vehicles that won’t force you out at the worst possible time.

From perps to protectionThe easiest mistake to make here is to treat “undervalued” as a single valuation model that everyone shares.

In practice, both the report and Duong describe a bundle of assumptions that looks more like market structure than a neat discounted cash flow argument.

Start with what changed in derivatives.

The report says BTC options OI has overtaken perpetual futures OI, with the 25-delta put-call skew in positive territory across 30-day, 90-day, and 180-day expiries, and that doesn’t happen in a market that’s trying to maximize upside through leverage.

It happens in a market that’s willing to stay long, but determined to define risk.

Duong described the same migration to options when asked what institutions did after October’s liquidation reset:

“Institutional interest in expanding on-chain remained after the October reset, but in a measured, multi-venue way.

Moreover, institutions increasingly expressed views via options and basis trades, which give convexity or carry without the same liquidation risk that drove the October move.”

That last line is the key, and it shows that institutions changed how they take exposure.

Options and basis trades aren’t headline-making strategies, but they are how a professional book stays in the game when the regime punishes overextension.

On-chain data is telling the same story.

Coinbase and Glassnode say sentiment, as measured by entity-adjusted NUPL, deteriorated from Belief to Anxiety in October and stayed there through the quarter. While that’s certainly not euphoric, it isn’t capitulation either.

Graph showing Bitcoin's entity-adjusted NUPL ratio from Jan. 2020 to Jan. 2026 (Source: Coinbase Institutional)The drop in entity-adjusted NUPL shows the market stopped paying you for optimism, but is still hanging around. This interpretation fits a world where investors can be wary about the current phase while still seeing the asset as cheap relative to where they think the equilibrium sits.

The report also notes that, in the fourth quarter of 2025, BTC that moved within three months rose by 37%, while BTC that remained unmoved for more than a year fell by 2%, which the authors interpret as a distribution phase late in 2025.

Graph comparing Bitcoin's dormant and active supplies from 2016 to 2026 (Source: Coinbase Institutional)If you want to take the institutional viewpoint seriously, distribution doesn’t have to be a death sentence. It can mean large holders de-risked into strength, and the market is now trying to find the next set of hands that will own supply without needing a constant liquidity drip.

This is where the claim about Bitcoin being “undervalued” stops being about a single fair-value number and starts being about the belief that Bitcoin has become the only asset in crypto that can absorb capital in size without needing a retail bid to hold the structure together.

Duong explicitly separated Bitcoin’s underwriting framework from the rest of the crypto market:

“Unlike retail participants, who often focus on short-term price movements and market cycles, institutions place less emphasis on timing and more on Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition.

In this context, Bitcoin is increasingly treated as a strategic, store-of-value asset and macro hedge, rather than a speculative token within the broader crypto universe.”

That maps onto what the report says about large-caps versus small-caps.

Their topline view for the first quarter of 2026 favors larger-cap tokens, with smaller caps still dealing with October’s aftermath.

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Given this, seeing Bitcoin as “undervalued” may be less about it being cheap in isolation and more about it being the only crypto asset that institutions can treat as a durable allocation when the regime is unfriendly.

Liquidity is the real cycleThe second pillar of the paradox is the time horizon.

Calling something a bear market is usually a shorter-window judgment, while calling something undervalued is often a longer-window judgment. The bridge between them is whether institutions still believe the market is ruled by a four-year clock, or whether they have moved toward a macro framework where liquidity, rates, and policy do most of the work.

Duong’s view is that the four-year cycle still exists as a behavioral reference point, but institutions don’t treat it as a hard model.

He argued that the halving has less power for institutions once you control for the macro variables that drive all risk assets:

“In our conversations with these entities, the four-year cycle is still a reference point, but mostly as a behavioral template rather than a hard model.

They’ll look at where we are relative to prior cycle lows/highs, halving dates, and typical drawdown/recovery patterns, because those levels matter for positioning and sentiment.

That said, the evidence that halvings causally drive each cycle is weak: we only have four observations, and they’re heavily confounded by big macro and policy shifts (QE, COVID stimulus, etc.).

In our 2026 Outlook, we explicitly argue the economic relevance of the halving is somewhat specious once you control for liquidity, rates, and dollar dynamics.”

The report points to December CPI holding at 2.7%, and cites the Atlanta Fed GDPNow projecting 5.3% real GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2025. It outlines a base case where the Fed delivers the two rate cuts (50 bps total) priced into fed funds futures, which the authors view as a tailwind for risk assets.

They also flag a cooling jobs market, with 584,000 jobs added in 2025 versus 2 million in 2024, and they name AI adoption as one driver of that moderation.

You don’t need to buy every macro inference to see what’s happening: the institutional view of Bitcoin being “undervalued” is built on a macro-and-liquidity scaffold rather than a pure crypto-cycle scaffold.

The report’s liquidity section makes that explicit with a custom Global M2 index that Coinbase says leads Bitcoin by 110 days and shows a 0.9 correlation with BTC’s moves across many look-back windows. If you accept that framing, the paradox becomes easier to understand.

Graph comparing Bitcoin to Coinbase's custom M2 money supply from September 2024 to January 2026 (Source: Coinbase Institutional)You can look at the regime, see the scars from October, see a market that still wants downside protection, and still conclude that Bitcoin sits in a favorable long-duration setup if policy and liquidity do what you expect them to do.

Only then does “bear market” become a description of how the market behaves today, and “undervalued” becomes a statement about how that market reprices once the macro inputs turn more supportive.

So what would break this thesis?

Duong rejected the idea that a routine pullback would be enough and instead pointed to a cluster of macro and on-chain conditions that would have to fail together:

“Institutions aren’t anchoring on price alone, they’re anchoring on macro liquidity conditions and onchain market structure.

The clearest signal that they might be wrong wouldn’t be a routine pullback, but a breakdown in the fundamental drivers of that thesis.

In other words, it wouldn’t be one signal alone, but it would have to be a cluster of signals.

For example, if macro liquidity conditions were to turn decisively against risk assets, if onchain accumulation metrics were to reverse, if long-term holders were distributing into weakness, and if institutional demand indicators were to trend persistently negative, that combination might meaningfully challenge the view that Bitcoin is undervalued or structurally supported at present.”

The survey numbers suggest institutions are split on what phase the market is in, but aligned on Bitcoin’s relative appeal.

The report’s charts show how that belief expresses itself in real positioning: less reliance on fragile leverage, more use of options for defined risk, and a market that has cooled without fully breaking.

Duong’s answers add connective tissue to this thesis that shows “undervalued” is a framework anchored to liquidity, structure, and time horizon, not a vibe check of the market.

Whether institutions end up right depends less on winning a short-term argument about cycle labels and more on whether that framework holds together when the next macro test arrives.

Mentioned in this articlePosted in

Rebeca Moen Feb 01, 2026 14:41

MATIC shows bearish momentum at $0.38 with RSI at 38. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $0.45-$0.52 range within 4-6 weeks if key resistance breaks.

MATIC Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $0.40-$0.42
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.45-$0.52 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.56 (Upper Bollinger Band) • Critical support: $0.31 (Lower Bollinger Band)

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Polygon While specific analyst predictions from major crypto KOLs are limited in recent days, available market analysis provides some insight into MATIC's trajectory. According to Felix Pinkston's January 6th assessment, "MATIC price prediction targets $0.45-$0.52 recovery within 4-6 weeks, contingent on breaking key $0.58 resistance."

This Polygon forecast aligns with technical resistance levels identified through on-chain data analysis. According to current market metrics, MATIC remains in a consolidation phase below key moving averages, suggesting cautious optimism among market participants.

MATIC Technical Analysis Breakdown Polygon's current technical picture presents a mixed but potentially recovering scenario. At $0.38, MATIC is trading significantly below its key moving averages, with the 20-day SMA at $0.43 and the 50-day SMA at $0.45 acting as immediate resistance levels.

The RSI reading of 38.00 places MATIC in neutral territory, avoiding oversold conditions that could trigger panic selling. However, the MACD histogram at -0.0000 indicates bearish momentum is still present, though weakening.

Polygon's position within the Bollinger Bands is particularly telling. With a %B position of 0.29, MATIC is trading in the lower portion of the bands but hasn't touched the lower band at $0.31, suggesting some underlying support remains intact. The middle band at $0.43 represents the first major hurdle for any recovery attempt.

The Stochastic oscillator shows %K at 25.19 and %D at 20.15, indicating MATIC may be approaching oversold territory where buying interest could emerge.

Polygon Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario If MATIC can reclaim the 20-day SMA at $0.43, the path opens toward the 50-day SMA at $0.45. A successful break above this level could trigger the recovery scenario outlined in recent analysis, targeting the $0.45-$0.52 range.

The ultimate bullish target sits at the Upper Bollinger Band near $0.56, which coincides with the resistance level mentioned in analyst predictions. For this MATIC price prediction to materialize, Polygon would need to see increased trading volume above the current $1.07 million daily average and positive momentum confirmation through MACD crossover.

Bearish Scenario Failure to hold current levels could see MATIC test the Lower Bollinger Band at $0.31. This represents approximately 18% downside risk from current prices. A break below this critical support level could trigger further selling pressure, potentially targeting the psychological $0.30 level.

The bearish case is reinforced by MATIC trading below all major moving averages, with the 200-day SMA at $0.69 showing the longer-term downtrend remains intact.

Should You Buy MATIC? Entry Strategy Current technical conditions suggest a cautious approach to MATIC accumulation. The optimal entry strategy involves:

Primary Entry Zone: $0.38-$0.40 (current levels to slight resistance) Stop-Loss Level: $0.30 (below Lower Bollinger Band) Target 1: $0.43 (20-day SMA reclaim) Target 2: $0.45-$0.52 (medium-term recovery zone)

Risk management remains crucial given the bearish MACD momentum. Position sizing should account for the potential 20% downside to the $0.31 support level.

For more aggressive traders, a breakout strategy above $0.43 with volume confirmation could offer better risk-reward ratios, though this requires waiting for technical confirmation.

Conclusion This MATIC price prediction suggests cautious optimism for Polygon's recovery potential over the next 4-6 weeks. While current momentum remains bearish, the technical setup doesn't indicate severe oversold conditions, leaving room for the projected $0.45-$0.52 Polygon forecast to materialize.

The key catalyst will be MATIC's ability to reclaim the $0.43 resistance level with sustained volume. Until this occurs, traders should expect continued consolidation around current levels.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are inherently speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

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Convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein claimed he talked to the actual people behind Bitcoin, and now we’ve got the receipts.

A 2016 email from Epstein was found in the Department of Justice’s giant 3 million-file release, and he straight-up said he had conversations with “some of the founders of Bitcoin.”

That email was sent to two Saudi contacts from his Gmail account, and the disgraced so-called “financier” was pitching an entire Middle Eastern fiat system; one religious, one digital.

The email laid out his plan to build a Sharia-based currency, with Epstein wanting one version to be physical, stamped with “In God We Trust,” and the other version to be digital, linked to the Bitcoin network. Epstein said the people behind Bitcoin were “very excited” about the idea. He was waiting on the Saudis to respond with dates.

Epstein’s plan mixed religion, crypto, and royal connections In the October 13, 2016, email, Epstein called his ideas “radical.” He said the first would be a fiat currency called ‘the Sharia’, meant for internal use among Muslims in the Middle East. Every bill would carry the phrase “In God We Trust,” like U.S. dollars do, but with a religious stamp tailored to Islamic finance.

Then came the second idea. He suggested building a digital Sharia-compliant currency powered by blockchain. And not just any blockchain. He specifically referenced Bitcoin and said he had already spoken to some of the original creators.

He wrote: “I’ve spoken to some of the founders of Bitcoin who are very excited.” He ended the email by saying he hadn’t heard any dates from the Saudi side.

The message included a confidentiality notice at the bottom, warning that it contained privileged information and was not to be shared. Still, it’s now public, sitting in the DOJ dump for anyone to read.

Source: US DOJ These emails also add more fuel to the theory that more than one Satoshi exists. Epstein said “founders,” plural, not one guy. That backs what many in the Bitcoin community have suspected for years: the project wasn’t a solo act.

Other emails tie Epstein to early crypto investors and drama There’s more. A 2013 email sent to Epstein by Boris Nikolic included a long write-up on Bitcoin from Tren Griffin. It had also been sent to Bill Gates, Michael Larson, and other big names in tech.

The message said Bitcoin had exploded in popularity around Silicon Valley and up in Seattle, mostly among libertarian VCs. It said liberal economists hated it because they didn’t want to lose control of money.

Griffin said: “Bitcoins have no intrinsic value. They lay claim to no stream of future earnings.” He also called the whole thing a Keynesian beauty contest where speculators guess what others think is valuable instead of judging real value. He said he wouldn’t touch it himself, but knew others would.

Another email from Austin Hill, dated July 31, 2014, showed drama behind the scenes. He told Epstein and others that his company was upset about investors backing both Ripple and Stellar. He said it was hurting their project and wanted to “reduce or take your allocation away.” Hill said Ripple and Stellar were like betting on two horses in one race and asked for a call to sort things out.

The drop also included opinions from the Winklevoss twins, economist Steve Hanke, and Kurt Eichenwald. They said everything from Bitcoin being a bubble to it being math-based money that cuts out human error. All that info was sent to Epstein by his network, showing just how deep he was in the crypto space early on.

A user on X said, “I told you all 31 Dec 2022 that Gary Gensler was directed through Epstein and Mossad to go after Ripple and XRP. Meanwhile the Bitcoin foundation was backed by Epstein. Now you know it is true. Dear Bitcoiners, you spent a decade calling $XRP the ‘Banker’s coin’ while Jeffrey Epstein was funding the Bitcoin foundation and coordinating with Jamie Dimon and many of the largest banks to position $BTC. Now would be the right time for you to admit how wrong you were.”

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Luisa Crawford Feb 01, 2026 14:59

Chainlink trades at $9.74 with RSI at deeply oversold 23.21 levels. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $12-14 range if key resistance breaks.

Chainlink (LINK) has experienced significant selling pressure, trading at $9.74 as of February 1, 2026, down 3.47% in the past 24 hours. Despite the bearish momentum, technical indicators suggest the token may be positioned for a potential recovery as it approaches deeply oversold territory.

LINK Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $10.50-$11.50
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $12.00-$14.00 range
• Bullish breakout level: $10.84
• Critical support: $8.42

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Chainlink Recent analyst commentary has been cautiously optimistic about Chainlink's prospects despite current market weakness. According to Luisa Crawford's analysis from January 28, "Chainlink (LINK) shows potential for 22-27% gains despite current bearish momentum, with analysts targeting $14.50-$15.00 short-term and $15.50-$16.50 medium-term."

Earlier analysis from Crawford on January 26 provided specific LINK price prediction targets: "Short-term target (1 week): $14.50-$15.00; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $15.50-$16.50 range; Bullish breakout level: $14.52; Critical support: $13.20."

MEXC News added to the Chainlink forecast on January 27, noting that "The LINK price prediction for late January 2026 leans cautiously bullish, with technical indicators suggesting potential for a breakout to $15.50 if resistance at $13.61 is cleared with volume."

However, these predictions were made when LINK was trading at higher levels, and the current technical picture requires updated analysis based on recent price action.

LINK Technical Analysis Breakdown The current technical setup for Chainlink presents a mixed but potentially bullish picture for contrarian investors:

RSI Oversold Conditions: At 23.21, Chainlink's RSI has entered deeply oversold territory, historically a level where bounces occur. This represents one of the most oversold readings for LINK in recent months, suggesting selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion.

Moving Average Analysis: LINK is trading significantly below all major moving averages, with the current price of $9.74 sitting well below the SMA 7 ($11.07), SMA 20 ($12.29), and SMA 50 ($12.60). The 200-day SMA at $17.39 remains a distant target, highlighting the extent of the recent decline.

MACD Momentum: The MACD histogram at 0.0000 suggests bearish momentum is potentially stabilizing, though it hasn't turned positive yet. The MACD line at -0.7213 matching the signal line indicates momentum may be at an inflection point.

Bollinger Band Position: With a %B position of -0.0145, LINK is trading just below the lower Bollinger Band at $9.81, indicating oversold conditions. The middle band at $12.29 represents the first major resistance target.

Chainlink Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario If LINK can reclaim the immediate resistance at $10.29, the path opens toward stronger resistance at $10.84. A break above this level could trigger a relief rally toward:

First target: $11.50-$12.00 (approaching the SMA 20) Second target: $12.50-$13.00 (testing SMA 50 region) Extended target: $14.00-$15.00 (if broader market conditions improve) Key confirmation signals would include RSI moving above 30, increased trading volume, and a positive MACD crossover.

Bearish Scenario Failure to hold current levels could see LINK test deeper support zones:

Immediate support: $9.08 (daily pivot support) Critical support: $8.42 (strong support level) Extended downside: $7.50-$8.00 if broader crypto market weakness continues A break below $8.42 would signal further technical deterioration and potentially extend the correction.

Should You Buy LINK? Entry Strategy Current oversold conditions present potential opportunities for risk-tolerant investors:

Entry Strategy: Consider dollar-cost averaging between $9.50-$10.50, with the strongest entry opportunity near $9.00-$9.20 if that level is tested.

Stop-Loss: Conservative investors should place stops below $8.40 to limit downside risk.

Risk Management: Given the 24-hour trading range of $8.97-$10.18 and daily ATR of $0.71, position sizing should account for continued volatility.

Conclusion The LINK price prediction suggests a potential recovery opportunity as technical indicators show oversold conditions. While near-term targets of $12-14 appear achievable if resistance levels break, investors should remain cautious given the bearish momentum in recent weeks. The Chainlink forecast depends heavily on broader market conditions and the token's ability to reclaim key technical levels above $10.84.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

link price analysis link price prediction

15h05 ▪ 4 min read ▪ by Fenelon L.

Summarize this article with:

A silent revolution is underway on Ethereum. The network has reached a major milestone with 36.6 million ETH staked, representing 30% of the total supply. Giants like Bitmine and BlackRock are accumulating and locking their positions, radically transforming the crypto market structure.

In Brief Ethereum staking hits an all-time high with 36.6 million ETH locked, or 30.13% of the total supply. Institutions like Bitmine are intensifying their positions with 2.58 million ETH staked, worth 7.67 billion dollars. The launch of Lido V3 and its stVaults paves the way for customized staking setups for professional teams. The explosion of institutional staking reshapes the Ethereum landscape Ethereum has just crossed a decisive milestone. According to Validator Queue’s on-chain data released at the end of January, 36.6 million ETH are now staked, marking the first time that the 30% threshold of the total supply has been exceeded.

This spectacular growth has been accelerating for several months, driven by an unprecedented wave of institutional adoption.

Bitmine perfectly illustrates this trend. Tom Lee’s company recently added 250,912 ETH to its staked positions, worth 745 million dollars. Its total now reaches 2.58 million ETH locked, about 61% of its total Ethereum holdings. These figures demonstrate massive confidence in the network’s long-term prospects.

The timing of this explosion is no coincidence. It coincides with the deployment of Lido V3 on the Ethereum mainnet. This new version introduces stVaults, isolated staking environments allowing teams to execute customized validator configurations. Institutions can thus adapt their staking strategy while benefiting from Lido’s liquidity and DeFi integrations.

ETFs also play a major role in this dynamic. BlackRock recently registered its “iShares Staked Ethereum Trust” in Delaware, a regulatory first step before an official filing with the SEC. 

With an average annual yield of 3.95%, these products combine exposure to the ETH price and passive income generation. Grayscale and REX-Osprey have already received authorization to include staking in their Ethereum ETFs, paving the way for other players.

Between enhanced security and liquidity concerns This rise in staking undeniably strengthens the security of the Ethereum network. The more ETH staked, the higher the cost of a potential attack.

Queue mechanisms regulate validator entries and exits, adding validators progressively every 6.4 minutes. This controlled approach avoids sudden shocks that could destabilize the consensus.

Vitalik Buterin recently emphasized the importance of these withdrawal delays. They act as protection against mass withdrawals that could weaken security. The exit queue processes requests block by block, turning what could look like a “rush to exit” into a controlled flow. About 2.45 million ETH were effectively waiting in the exit queue in early November 2025, with 1.5 million ETH waiting to enter.

However, this growing lock-up raises legitimate questions. With nearly one-third of the total supply locked, the liquidity available in the markets is mechanically reduced. 

Investors favoring native staking accept giving up the flexibility of liquid staking tokens like stETH. They retain full control of their keys but face prolonged withdrawal times and the risk of slashing in case of validator misbehavior.

Yet institutions seem convinced. They view Ethereum as the ideal infrastructure for tokenized finance. Most stablecoins, tokenized assets, and institution-grade smart contracts operate on this blockchain.

In short, crossing the 30% threshold of ETH staked marks a radical transformation of the Ethereum network. Between increased security, passive yields, and massive institutional involvement, this movement redefines market balances. It remains to be seen whether this confidence will translate into the anticipated price rise or if liquidity constraints will eventually weigh on the most exposed actors.

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Fenelon L.

Passionné par le Bitcoin, j'aime explorer les méandres de la blockchain et des cryptos et je partage mes découvertes avec la communauté. Mon rêve est de vivre dans un monde où la vie privée et la liberté financière sont garanties pour tous, et je crois fermement que Bitcoin est l'outil qui peut rendre cela possible.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

Bitcoin is priced at $78,634 as of Feb. 1, 2026, with a total market capitalization of $1.57 trillion. Over the past 24 hours, trading volume runs high at $83.65 billion, with intraday price swings ranging from $77,082 to $82,733. The market attempts to stitch together a recovery narrative—but for now, it's more bandage than breakthrough.