Market Signal Briefing

Lucid is an electric vehicle company that went public in 2021 through a merger with a special purpose acquisition company.

The electric vehicle (EV) company Lucid Group (LCID +1.55%) went public through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) in 2021, a time when valuations were loose, capital was abundant, and high-profile SPAC merger announcements were occurring daily.

Unfortunately, many companies took advantage of the tremendous market conditions at the time and went public at big valuations before they were ready. Then the stock market took a big hit in 2022, wiping out many of the SPAC targets and sending their stocks into free fall. Lucid was part of this group and has seen its stock decline by over 87% in the past five years.

Image source: Getty Images.

Still, many see long-term potential in the EV market and appreciate Lucid's vehicles. In July, the ride-hailing giant Uber Technologies invested $300 million in Lucid as part of a partnership in which Lucid will help with the development of robotaxis for Uber, which plans to roll out over 20,000 robotaxis within the next six years.

Still, I wouldn't touch Lucid with a 10-foot pole. Here's why.

Poor financials in a struggling EV market
Lucid has faced numerous challenges outside of its control, similar to those faced by the broader EV market. President Donald Trump's tariffs have made creating its vehicles more expensive and hurt the company's margins. Furthermore, Trump's landmark spending bill eliminated a $7,500 electric vehicle tax credit, which is also expected to stymie demand.

Lucid also has concerning financials, with a high cash burn rate and a decent amount of debt. Through the first three quarters of 2025, Lucid reported a loss of $8.50 per diluted share.

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Wall Street analysts also have significant concerns about Lucid's ability to meet its full-year guidance for around 18,000 vehicles produced. In the third quarter, Lucid delivered close to 4,100 vehicles, with an additional 1,000 vehicles produced for final assembly in Saudi Arabia. The company has delivered nearly 10,500 vehicles this year, meaning Lucid would need to deliver around 7,500 vehicles in the fourth quarter to hit its annual goal of 18,000.

Investors should also keep in mind that many consider the EV sector to have outperformed in the third quarter, as consumers rushed to take advantage of the EV tax credit before it expired.

With a $4 billion market cap, Lucid trades at a high valuation. While investors are obviously betting on strong growth and the EV market eventually picking back up, I would advise staying away from the stock until Lucid firms up its balance sheet and slows its cash burn.

, /PRNewswire/ -- Leifras Co., Ltd. (NASDAQ: LFS, Head Office: Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, Representative Director: Kiyotaka Ito, hereinafter referred to as "the Company"), which operates sports schools for children and supports the local expansion of club activities, is pleased to announce that it has entered into a commitment line agreement (hereinafter referred to as "this Agreement") totaling 2.5 billion yen with Chikuho Bank, Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Chikuho Bank") and Mizuho Bank, Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Mizuho Bank") as arrangers and agents, respectively.

Purpose of this Agreement

Having listed on the NASDAQ market in the United States in October 2025, the Company will accelerate its global business expansion under its corporate philosophy of " Changing and Designing Sports."

This agreement was concluded with the aim of securing flexible financing methods and further strengthening the company's financial base.

The establishment of a commitment line totaling 2.5 billion yen from multiple financial institutions, with Chikuho Bank, a leading regional bank in Kyushu, and Mizuho Bank, a megabank, as arrangers, serves as a testament to the high evaluation of our business foundation and financial soundness.

Commitment Line Overview 

1. Chikuho Bank Arrangement Project
Contract signing date: October 31, 2025
Arrangement amount: 1 billion yen
Arranger and agent: Chikuho Bank Ltd.
Lenders: Chikuho Bank, Ltd., SBI Shinsei Bank, Ltd.
Use of funds: Working capital

2. Mizuho Bank Arrangement Project
Contract signing date: November 19, 2025
Arrangement amount: 1.5 billion yen
Arranger and agent: Mizuho Bank, Ltd.
Lenders: Mizuho Bank, Ltd., Saga Bank, Ltd., Fukuoka Bank, Ltd., Resona Bank, Ltd.
Use of funds: Working capital

Future Plans

We will focus on expanding our school and social businesses. Furthermore, research into children's non-cognitive abilities is actively progressing in Europe and the United States, and non-cognitive abilities are gaining more attention each year. In light of this situation, we are expanding our methods for developing children's non-cognitive abilities, which we established in Japan, to overseas markets. By acquiring overseas children's sports schools, we will promote the development of sports services globally and contribute to the development of non-cognitive abilities in children around the world.

Leifras Company Profile

Leifras Co., Ltd. is a social business company that sees its mission as resolving social issues through sports, based on its corporate philosophy of "Changing and designing sports."

The number of members in our children's sports school business has reached approximately 70,000, and we will continue to work hard to contribute to society through the sports business through club activity support, healthcare, and community collaboration projects.

Company name                 : Leifras Co., Ltd.
Listing market      : Nasdaq Capital Market
Ticker (US stock code): LFS
Headquarters                     : Ebisu Garden Place Tower 20th floor, 4-20-3 Ebisu, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo
Date of establishment        : August 28, 2001
Representative     : Representative Director Kiyotaka Ito
Capital                 : 784,666,480 yen (including capital reserve)
Business details    : Sports school business, event business, alliance business
                            Club activity support projects Community collaboration projects Healthcare projects
                            After-school day care service "LEIF" business
Website               : https://www.leifras.co.jp/
IR website            : https://ir.leifras.co.jp/jp/ 

SOURCE Leifras Co.,Ltd

Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Securities Litigation Partner James (Josh) Wilson Encourages Investors Who Suffered Losses In Skye To Contact Him Directly To Discuss Their Options

If you purchased or acquired securities in Skye between November 4, 2024 and October 3, 2025 and would like to discuss your legal rights, call Faruqi & Faruqi partner Josh Wilson directly at 877-247-4292 or 212-983-9330 (Ext. 1310).

[You may also click here for additional information]

New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - December 25, 2025) - Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP, a leading national securities law firm, is investigating potential claims against Skye Bioscience, Inc. ("Skye" or the "Company") (NASDAQ: SKYE) and reminds investors of the January 16, 2026 deadline to seek the role of lead plaintiff in a federal securities class action that has been filed against the Company.

Faruqi & Faruqi is a leading national securities law firm with offices in New York, Pennsylvania, California and Georgia. The firm has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors since its founding in 1995. See www.faruqilaw.com.

As detailed below, the complaint alleges that the Company and its executives violated federal securities laws by making false and/or misleading statements and/or failing to disclose that: (1) nimacimab was less effective than Defendants had led investors to believe; (2) accordingly, nimacimab's clinical, regulatory, and commercial prospects were overstated; and (3) as a result, Defendants' public statements were materially false and misleading at all relevant times.

On October 6, 2025, Skye issued a press release "announcing the topline data from its 26-week Phase 2a CBeyond™ proof-of-concept study of nimacimab, its peripherally-restricted CB1 inhibitor antibody." The press release disclosed that the "the nimacimab monotherapy arm did not achieve the primary endpoint of weight loss compared to placebo" and that "preliminary pharmacokinetic analysis showed lower than expected drug exposure, potentially indicating the need for higher dosing as a monotherapy."

On this news, Skye's stock price fell $2.85 per share, or 60%, to close at $1.90 per share on October 6, 2025.

The court-appointed lead plaintiff is the investor with the largest financial interest in the relief sought by the class who is adequate and typical of class members who directs and oversees the litigation on behalf of the putative class. Any member of the putative class may move the Court to serve as lead plaintiff through counsel of their choice, or may choose to do nothing and remain an absent class member. Your ability to share in any recovery is not affected by the decision to serve as a lead plaintiff or not.

Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP also encourages anyone with information regarding Skye's conduct to contact the firm, including whistleblowers, former employees, shareholders and others.

To learn more about the Skye Bioscience class action, go to www.faruqilaw.com/SKYE or call Faruqi & Faruqi partner Josh Wilson directly at 877-247-4292 or 212-983-9330 (Ext. 1310).

Follow us for updates on LinkedIn, on X, or on Facebook.

Attorney Advertising. The law firm responsible for this advertisement is Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP (www.faruqilaw.com). Prior results do not guarantee or predict a similar outcome with respect to any future matter. We welcome the opportunity to discuss your particular case. All communications will be treated in a confidential manner.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/278604

Source: Faruqi & Faruqi LLP

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NEW YORK, Dec. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading international securities law firm Bleichmar Fonti & Auld LLP announces that a class action lawsuit has been filed against Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE: INSP) and certain of the Company’s senior executives for securities fraud after a significant stock drop resulting from the potential violations of the federal securities laws.

If you invested in Inspire, you are encouraged to obtain additional information by visiting: https://www.bfalaw.com/cases/inspire-medical-systems-inc-class-action-lawsuit.

Investors have until January 5, 2026, to ask the Court to be appointed to lead the case. The complaint asserts claims under Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 on behalf of investors in Inspire stock. The case is pending in the U.S. District Court for the District of Minnesota and is captioned City of Pontiac Reestablished General Employees’ Retirement System v. Inspire Medical Systems, Inc., et al., No. 0:25-cv-04247.

Why is Inspire Being Sued For Securities Fraud?

Inspire develops and manufactures an implantable medical device for the treatment of sleep apnea. The latest version of the device is the Inspire V. The company announced FDA approval of Inspire V on August 2, 2024.

During the relevant period, Inspire repeatedly assured investors that it had taken all necessary steps to facilitate the launch of Inspire V and that it would launch the device as soon as sufficient inventory was available to meet supposedly high demand.

As alleged, in truth, Inspire failed to take basic steps to prepare clinicians and payors for the rollout, resulting in significant delays in adoption of the device. Moreover, the launch suffered from weak demand, as many customers already had excess inventory of the company’s older devices.

Why did Inspire’s Stock Drop?

On August 4, 2025, Inspire disclosed that the Inspire V launch was facing an “elongated timeframe” and as a result, it was reducing its 2025 earnings per share guidance by more than 80%. The company attributed the longer timeframe to a number of previously undisclosed factors including that many implanting centers “did not complete the training, contracting and onboarding required prior to the purchase and implant of Inspire V,” that certain “software updates for claims submissions and processing did not take effect until July 1, [2025]” which meant implanting centers could not bill for procedures until that date, and that demand for the Inspire V was poor because Inspire’s customers had a backlog of older versions of the company’s device.

On this news, the price of Inspire stock dropped $42.04 per share, or more than 32%, from $129.95 per share on August 4, 2025, to $87.91 per share on August 5, 2025.

Click here for more information: https://www.bfalaw.com/cases/inspire-medical-systems-inc-class-action-lawsuit.

What Can You Do?

If you invested in Inspire you may have legal options and are encouraged to submit your information to the firm.

All representation is on a contingency fee basis, there is no cost to you. Shareholders are not responsible for any court costs or expenses of litigation. The firm will seek court approval for any potential fees and expenses.

Submit your information by visiting:

https://www.bfalaw.com/cases/inspire-medical-systems-inc-class-action-lawsuit

Or contact:
Ross Shikowitz
[email protected]
212.789.3619

Why Bleichmar Fonti & Auld LLP?

BFA is a leading international law firm representing plaintiffs in securities class actions and shareholder litigation. It has been named a top plaintiff law firm by Chambers USA, The Legal 500, and ISS SCAS, and its attorneys have been named “Elite Trial Lawyers” by the National Law Journal, among the top “500 Leading Plaintiff Financial Lawyers” by Lawdragon, “Titans of the Plaintiffs’ Bar” by Law360 and “SuperLawyers” by Thomson Reuters. Among its recent notable successes, BFA recovered over $900 million in value from Tesla, Inc.’s Board of Directors, as well as $420 million from Teva Pharmaceutical Ind. Ltd.

For more information about BFA and its attorneys, please visit https://www.bfalaw.com.

https://www.bfalaw.com/cases/inspire-medical-systems-inc-class-action-lawsuit

Attorney advertising. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NVDA either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of GLD, GLTR either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Americans’ energy bills have increased by 13% since President Donald Trump took office in January 2025. And while that's bad news for households with budgets already stretched thin, for those engaged in sector investing, it could be a boon as we head into the new year. 

Unlike suffering consumer discretionary stocks, utilities—including heat and electricity—are essentials for every American home, making those elevated rates a revenue booster for companies operating in that sector. 

For investors looking to gain broad exposure, the First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund NYSEARCA: FXU might be just the ticket.

Get FXU alerts:

Why America’s Utility Bills Are Surging
The utilities sector is limping into the new year, having posted over a 3% loss over the past month—the worst performance among all 11 sectors in the S&P 500. But when the calendar turns to 2026, that corner of the market might begin to enjoy long-term tailwinds.

That’s because Americans are facing substantially higher electric bills amid a backdrop of lagging renewable energy production, higher input prices for fossil fuel-powered power generation, and escalating AI electricity demand. 

As the Trump administration continues its attempts to revive the fossil fuel industry, permitting for renewable energy projects is drying up. In turn, those efforts have resulted in the delay or cancellation of nearly 25,000 megawatts of planned electric power production. 

Put another way, the White House has effectively prevented the equivalent of enough electricity generation to power 13.17 million homes, according to a report released by Climate Power earlier in December.

Climate Power also found that prices for natural gas are up 98% since Trump took office. That poses a problem, as the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s data shows that natural gas accounts for more than 43% of all U.S. electricity generation by power source. 

Meanwhile, the growing demand for AI data centers is driving rates higher nationwide. That has been well-documented alongside some AI stocks posting triple-digit gains in 2025. At the same time, some utility stocks have been capitalizing on the trend as demand for electricity skyrockets. 

That’s good news for buy-and-hold investors. AI data centers currently account for 4.4% of all U.S. electricity consumption. However, by 2030, that figure is expected to grow to an estimated 12% to 20%. 

At the same time, gas and electric utilities have raised or sought to increase bills by more than $85 billion, resulting in Americans in 49 out of 50 states already facing rising utility costs.

Until the data centers servicing AI tech companies are independently powered, that growing electric consumption is likely to help the utilities sector produce notably larger gains, which could be a benefit for shareholders of the First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund.   

Diving Into the FXU
While investors often turn to large-cap utility companies like NextEra Energy NYSE: NEE, Constellation Energy NASDAQ: CEG, and Southern Company NYSE: SO, or sector ETFs that hold them, the First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund operates a little differently. 

First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund Today

FXU

First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund

$45.06 +0.15 (+0.33%)

As of 12/24/2025 05:00 PM Eastern

52-Week Range$36.88▼

$47.74Dividend Yield2.29%

Assets Under Management$1.81 billion

The ETF has a bent on higher upside potential via the inclusion of more companies and tracks the StrataQuant Utilities Index, which selects its holdings from the Russell 1000—an index that holds twice as many companies as the S&P 500. 

The index also ranks stocks by growth factors, including three-, six-, and 12-month price appreciation, one-year sales growth, and value factors including cash flow, return on assets, and more. 

The result is a portfolio of high-growth potential utility stocks with balanced allocations, a manageable 0.63% expense ratio, and a strong dividend of $1.03 per share. 

Those balanced allocations translate to none of its top holdings having a weighting above 5% at the time of writing. UGI Corporation NYSE: UGI, currently the fund’s top position, is weighted at 4.83%, while American Electric Power NASDAQ: AEP, its 10th largest holding, is weighted at  3.42%. 

Like the index it tracks, this approach results in lower concentration risk. That’s something that has materialized over the past year. While the aforementioned XLU’s S&P 500 utilities sector focus has resulted in an 11.35% year-to-date (YTD) gain, trailing the market in 2025, the FXU has gained 17.65% YTD and outperformed both the S&P 500 and the Russell 1000. 

What Wall Street Thinks About the FXU
First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund Stock Forecast Today12-Month Stock Price Forecast:
$45.06

Moderate Buy
Based on 329 Analyst Ratings

Current Price$45.06High Forecast$45.06Average Forecast$45.06Low Forecast$45.06First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund Stock Forecast Details

While the fund isn’t illiquid, the FXU has average daily trading volume of just 256,355 shares compared to 22.32 million shares for the XLU. 

But that hasn’t deterred institutional ownership from including the ETF in its holdings.

Over the past 12 months, those investors have pumped more than $610 million into the fund while outflows were limited to just $183 million. Meanwhile, current short interest stands at an insignificant 0.25% of the FXU’s float. 

Because ETFs aren’t “rated” the same way as single stocks, what matters is sentiment toward the companies inside the fund. Based on 329 analyst ratings of the companies that comprise the ETF’s portfolio, the fund receives a Moderate Buy rating. 

Should You Invest $1,000 in First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund Right Now?Before you consider First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund, you'll want to hear this.

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Jack in the Box plans to close dozens of restaurants by the end of the year in an effort to cut costs and boost revenue.

The franchise said earlier this year it would shutter between 150 and 200 underperforming stores by 2026, including 80–120 by the end of this year, under a block closure program.

In May, Jack In The Box said it had closed 12 locations, which was followed by another 13 closures by August and 47 more reported in the company’s November earnings, according to the Daily Mail.

This brings the total to 72, which remains short of the company’s year-end goal with a week to go.

The company hopes the closures will improve its financial performance because stores are seeing fewer customers, beef prices are rising, and the company is carrying significantly more debt than it generates in annual earnings.

It reported a net loss of $80.7 million for the full fiscal year that ended in September. The franchise also reported that sales fell 7.4% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, reflecting a year-over-year drop compared to the same quarter in 2024 and marking the second consecutive quarter with a dip of more than 7%.

“In my time thus far as CEO, I have worked quickly with our teams to conclude that Jack in the Box operates at its best and maximizes shareholder return potential, within a simplified and asset-light business model,” CEO Lance Tucker said in April.

Jack in the Box plans to close dozens of restaurants by the end of the year in an effort to cut costs and boost revenue. Christopher Sadowski

The franchise also reported that sales fell 7.4% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, reflecting a year-over-year drop compared to the same quarter in 2024 and marking the second consecutive quarter with a dip of more than 7%. Christopher Sadowski
“Our actions today focus on three main areas: Addressing our balance sheet to accelerate cash flow and pay down debt, while preserving growth-oriented capital investments related to technology and restaurant reimage; closing underperforming restaurants to position ourselves for consistent net unit growth and competitive unit economics; and, an overall return to simplicity for the Jack in the Box business model and investor story.”

The company also announced this week that it has completed the sale of Del Taco to Yadav Enterprises for about $119 million as part of its turnaround plan.

Jack in the Box operates roughly 2,200 restaurants in the U.S., with most in California, Texas and Arizona.

The crypto market's poster child decided to cozy up near the fireplace this Christmas, holding the line at $87,489 with less drama than a family holiday dinner. Despite the tinsel and lights, bitcoin spent the day flirting with the lower end of its intraday range, showing more caution than celebration.

Thu, 25/12/2025 - 13:52

XRP's volatility on derivatives market is through the roof, and it seems unusual considering the holiday season.

Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

An imbalance in open interest of -2,490.73% has occurred, which is specifically related to the 15-minute change window. At first glance, that figure appears disastrous. In actuality, it is neither abnormal nor intrinsically pessimistic, and it does not necessarily suggest that the spot price of XRP will change significantly. The important thing is to know what that percentage really means.

XRP's derivatives market is aliveThe change in open interest over a brief period of time is measured in relation to a very small base. Even a small absolute decrease in open contracts can mathematically explode into extremely negative percentages when the denominator is small. Open interest can fall well below -100% in this way. It does not imply that the market is more than fully unwound or that leverage has magically disappeared.  

XRP/USDT Chart by TradingViewIn the case of XRP, the data indicates that short-term traders are actively rolling or de-risking positions rather than capital escaping the asset. This frequently occurs when intraday traders close exposure ahead of volatility during times of low liquidity or in the vicinity of local consolidation zones. Thinner books frequently inflate derivatives metrics without producing significant price follow-through during holiday sessions.

HOT Stories

XRP's price directionCrucially, price direction is rarely determined solely by open interest contractions such as this one. Instead of demand, they describe positioning. A longer downtrend channel, falling moving averages, weak momentum and recurring support tests that do not result in panic selling continue to dominate XRP’s price action. This indicates that spot participants are not reactive but rather largely indifferent.

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The fact that open interest flushes can actually be neutral to constructive is another important consideration. The market becomes mechanically cleaner when excessive leverage is eliminated. The price is then more sensitive to actual spot flows and less restricted by forced liquidations. While it eliminates a common source of artificial pressure, it does not ensure upside.

Instead of being an indication of structural stress, the -2,490.73% figure is a statistical artifact of short-term derivatives mechanics. It should not be regarded as a bearish trigger unless it is accompanied by increasing volume, aggressive spot selling or a breakdown of important supports.

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Bitcoin’s $70,000 to $80,000 zone highlights gap in historical price supportFive years of CME futures data shows where bitcoin has, and has not, built meaningful price support. Dec 25, 2025, 2:00 p.m.

By checking the past five years of bitcoin BTC$87,613.56 CME futures trading data, it is possible to assess where that crypto has historically spent time consolidating and, by extension, where support has been more or less established.

One useful way to frame this is by examining the number of trading days bitcoin has spent within specific price bands. The more time price has spent in a given range, the more opportunity there has been for positions to be built, which can later translate into stronger support.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

Data from Investing.com shows clear disparities across price ranges. Excluding the very brief time bitcoin traded at record highs above $120,000, BTC has spent the least amount of time in the $70,000 to $79,999 band, just 28 trading days. Further, it has spent just 49 days in the $80,000 to $89,999 range. By contrast, lower price zones such as $30,000 to $39,999 or $40,000 to $49,999 saw almost two hundred trading days, highlighting how extensively those areas were tested and consolidated.

For most of December, bitcoin has been trading in that $80,000-$90,000 range following its sharp pullback from the October all-time high. That correction has retraced price back toward an area where the market has historically spent relatively little time, especially when compared with much of 2024, during which bitcoin spent a significant number of days between $50,000 and $70,000. This uneven distribution suggests that support in the $80,000s, and even between $70,000 and $79,999, is less developed than in lower ranges.

BTC Trading Days (Investin.com)

This observation is reinforced by Glassnode data. The UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows where the current supply of bitcoin last moved, using an entity-adjusted framework that assigns each entity’s full balance to its average acquisition price.

The URPD indicates a noticeable lack of supply concentrated between $70,000 and $80,000, aligning with the futures data. Both datasets suggest that if bitcoin were to undergo another corrective phase, the $70,000 to $80,000 region could represent a logical area where price may need to spend more time consolidating to establish stronger support.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on the daily Open price of Bitcoin CME futures, with weekends excluded, meaning the figures reflect how often bitcoin began a trading session within each price band rather than intraday or closing price activity.

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State of the Blockchain 2025

Dec 19, 2025

L1 tokens broadly underperformed in 2025 despite a backdrop of regulatory and institutional wins. Explore the key trends defining ten major blockchains below.

What to know:

2025 was defined by a stark divergence: structural progress collided with stagnant price action. Institutional milestones were reached and TVL increased across most major ecosystems, yet the majority of large-cap Layer-1 tokens finished the year with negative or flat returns.

This report analyzes the structural decoupling between network usage and token performance. We examine 10 major blockchain ecosystems, exploring protocol versus application revenues, key ecosystem narratives, mechanics driving institutional adoption, and the trends to watch as we head into 2026.

View Full Report

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Bitcoin and ether ETFs see outflows ahead of Christmas, led by IBIT and ETHE

7 hours ago

The biggest single-day exit came from BlackRock’s IBIT, which saw $91.37 million leave the fund. Grayscale’s GBTC followed with a $24.62 million outflow.

What to know:

Bitcoin and ether spot ETFs experienced significant outflows on Dec. 24, with traders reducing risk ahead of the Christmas break.BlackRock's IBIT and Grayscale's GBTC led the bitcoin ETF outflows, while Grayscale's ETHE saw the largest outflow among ether ETFs.Despite the outflows, Grayscale's Ethereum Mini Trust ETF recorded a notable inflow, highlighting varied investor strategies during low liquidity periods.Read full story

There's always something going on in the crypto space — and this year was no exception.

From new U.S. crypto policies to OG bitcoin whale selling, the DAT craze, and the largest-ever hack, here are 12 of the top stories from 2025 to enjoy this Christmas.

Trump signs executive order to pardon Ross Ulbricht
To kick things off in January, President Trump granted Ross Ulbricht a full and unconditional pardon just one day after entering office, fulfilling a core election campaign promise to the industry and igniting a wave of celebration across the Bitcoin community.

Trump's move cast Ulbricht's harsh double-life-plus-40-year sentence as a symbol of government overreach while elevating his broader crypto agenda into the spotlight.

The pardon capped years of pressure from OG Bitcoiners who credit Ulbricht with shaping Bitcoin's early trajectory, who also urged the president to keep his other crypto election pledges — including appointing a more crypto-friendly Securities and Exchange Commission Chair, ending "Operation Choke Point 2.0," and turning the U.S. into a bitcoin mining "powerhouse."

Bitcoin strategic reserve
Trump's first crypto-related executive order came within a few days of his inauguration on Jan. 20, creating a "President's Working Group on Digital Asset Markets" chaired by White House crypto czar David Sacks — tasked with developing a federal regulatory framework for digital assets and working to evaluate the creation of a "strategic national digital assets stockpile."

The president accelerated this work on March 6, signing another executive order to establish a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, created from the estimated 200,000 BTC already owned by the federal government that was forfeited as part of criminal or civil proceedings, minus those that still need to be returned to victims of crime.

Additionally, Trump directed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to develop budget-neutral strategies for acquiring additional bitcoin, provided they have no incremental costs to American taxpayers. Sen. Cynthia Lummis reintroduced her bill to create a strategic bitcoin reserve shortly afterward, outlining a plan to acquire one million bitcoin over five years that is still meandering around Congress.

US House votes to move forward with stablecoin GENIUS, crypto market structure bills
In July, House lawmakers advanced the stablecoin-focused GENIUS Act and the broader Clarity Act legislation after a stalled procedural vote, setting the stage for the first major overhaul of crypto regulation in years.

Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law shortly afterward, providing the nation's inaugural stablecoin framework, while the Clarity Act headed to the Senate, where Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott aims for a floor vote in early 2026.

The Senate is still negotiating its own market-structure approach amid partisan friction and competing drafts, leaving Clarity's final shape dependent on bipartisan compromise.

Senate votes to repeal controversial IRS rule
In March, the Senate voted 70 to 28 to repeal a late-Biden IRS rule that would have forced DeFi front-end operators to collect user data like traditional brokers, sending the measure to Trump, who then signed it in April.

Crypto industry groups celebrated the rollback as a crucial win for privacy and innovation, arguing the rule would have pushed decentralized technologies offshore and saddled developers with overreaching reporting mandates.

Democrats were split on the issue, with some warning that Republicans were weakening the IRS, while ultimate bipartisan support positioned the move to become the first crypto-related measure Trump signed into law.

SEC approves new exchange listing standards, fast-tracking crypto ETF listings
In September, the SEC approved new exchange listing standards for crypto ETFs on an accelerated basis, clearing a fast track that dramatically shortened the time to market for spot investment products tied to digital assets.

The decision removed the need for lengthy 19b-4 reviews for qualifying funds, cutting the approval window from as long as 240 days to as little as 75 days and widening the pipeline for dozens of pending crypto ETFs.

New crypto-friendly SEC Chair Paul Atkins framed the shift as a move to boost investor choice and streamline access to digital asset products, with spot ETFs from various issuers tracking Solana, Litecoin, XRP, Dogecoin, and HBAR following shortly after.

SEC and Ripple end years-long legal battle, leaving XRP ruling intact
In August, the SEC and Ripple agreed to drop their appeals in the Second Circuit, ending the years-long legal fight and leaving Judge Torres' 2023 ruling — that Ripple's retail XRP trades did not constitute securities transactions but its institutional investment contract sales did — as the final, unchallenged judgment.

Both sides absorbed their own legal costs, closing a headline case that has shaped the industry's understanding of token sales and delivering the regulatory clarity Ripple says it fought years and spent millions to secure.

A few months later, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said the U.S. won't return to the Gensler-era hostility toward crypto ever again, arguing the political landscape has shifted permanently as he pressed for equal access to financial infrastructure and renewed momentum for federal market-structure legislation.

Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen sells $140 million in XRP
A month earlier, Ripple was also at the center of one of the most read stories of the year after an address tied to co-founder Chris Larsen moved 50 million XRP in just seven days, routing roughly $140 million to exchange-linked wallets and parking the rest in two freshly created wallets as XRP hit all-time highs over $3.65.

Onchain sleuth ZachXBT said Larsen-associated wallets still controlled about 2.81 billion XRP worth nearly $9 billion at the time, underscoring the heavy concentration of supply among Ripple's early insiders.

The transfers came days after Larsen moved nearly $30 million in XRP to Coinbase, though XRP's rally has since cooled substantially during the broader market downturn.

Dormant OG bitcoin whales wake up
Amid bitcoin's move toward a series of fresh all-time highs and back down again this year, OG BTC whales ramped up their activity — some after as long as 14 years of dormancy — taking advantage of improved liquidity and regulatory conditions to offload billions of dollars in bitcoin, and contributing substantial sell pressure that offset ETF and DAT demand.

In July, Galaxy Digital sold off more than 80,000 BTC, valued at over $9 billion at the time, to a Satoshi-era investor related to the client's estate planning requirements, though the market absorbed the large, relatively fast sale well.

In September, another bitcoin OG significantly rotated from BTC to ETH. The wallet, which initially held over $5 billion in bitcoin, amassed nearly $4 billion in Ethereum within weeks.

Barstool founder Dave Portnoy promotes 'JAILSTOOL' token in response to backlash from memecoin trades
In a year marred with memecoin controversy, from the president's Official Trump token to Argentine leader Javier Milei's Libra debacle, a backlash over Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy's memecoin trading activities garnered the most interest.

Portnoy triggered the backlash after touting a series of volatile memecoin trades to his 3.5 million followers, prompting accusations that he was dumping on retail as tokens he hyped rocketed to eight-figure market caps before crashing.

He responded by promoting yet another new memecoin called JAILSTOOL, buying more than 50 million of the tokens while insisting his behavior was transparent, doubling down on the spectacle as critics pointed to his long history of chaotic crypto promotion.

Bybit confirms hack as over $1.4 billion worth of ETH leaves wallets
Back in February, hackers drained more than $1.4 billion in ETH from Bybit's Ethereum cold wallet after tricking its multisig signers into approving a malicious contract change that handed the attacker full control.

The thief rapidly dispersed the stolen ETH and liquid-staking tokens across dozens of new addresses and DEX swaps, marking the largest crypto exchange hack in dollar terms and dwarfing past breaches at Coincheck, Mt. Gox, and FTX.

Bybit stressed it remained fully solvent despite the unprecedented loss, even as researchers estimated roughly 75% of its users' ETH deposits were syphoned.

Binance pays $283 million in compensation following historic deleveraging event
Things were looking rosy as bitcoin hit an all-time high of around $126,000 on Oct. 6, but just a few days later, the crypto market was hit by a historic deleveraging event that liquidated at least $20 billion in positions within hours, with reverberations throughout the rest of the year.

Binance found itself at the center of the chaos, paying out $283 million in compensation to users after three Binance Earn assets — USDe, BNSOL, and WBETH — violently depegged during the crash, while insisting the broader market wipeout triggered the dislocations rather than the other way around.

The exchange blamed years-old limit orders and thin liquidity for extreme prints in tokens like ATOM and IOTX, pledged structural fixes to its pricing indexes, and said it remained fully solvent.

Strategy's accumulates over 3% of bitcoin supply as DAT craze fizzles
Leading bitcoin treasury company Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continued its aggressive accumulation of the foremost cryptocurrency throughout the year, topping 3% of bitcoin's total 21 million supply and now holding a balance sheet of 671,268 BTC.

Funnily enough, it was a pause to Strategy's regular weekly buy schedule in July that caught the greatest attention of its 2025 escapades, but timestamped peak hype for the DAT company craze that fizzled almost as quickly as it took off.

While the number of bitcoin treasury companies has increased to around 200, the value of many of the cohort's shares is down substantially from those summer highs, and their market cap-to-net asset value ratios have sharply contracted. Strategy's common stock, though weathering the storm better than most, is down 64% since, with its mNAV dropping below 1 — meaning the company is now worth less than the value of the bitcoin it holds.

Disclaimer: This article was produced with the assistance of OpenAI’s ChatGPT and reviewed and edited by our editorial team.

Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.

© 2025 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

Ripple is poised to release 1 billion XRP from escrow on January 1, 2026, marking its first scheduled token unlock of the new year. 

As has historically been the practice, however, the release is unlikely to see the entire 1 billion XRP entering the open market. Indeed, the forthcoming release is part of an escrow schedule established in 2017 to enhance transparency and supply predictability. 

According to this arrangement, 1 billion XRP is unlocked at the beginning of each month, but Ripple then typically earmarks a portion for operations or liquidity needs while re-escrowing the remainder.

With only a week or so remaining, the focus is thus on the exact figure we’re going to see in circulation and, of course, whether it is going to affect XRP price dynamics in early January.

The first Ripple XRP escrow of 2026
In recent months, Ripple has regularly returned between 60% and 80% of unlocked tokens to escrow.  For instance, during the December 2025 unlock, roughly 1 billion XRP was released, but 70% of it was promptly re-locked, with only 300,000 XRP retained for potential distribution.

The practice so far thus suggests that Ripple is going to return the bulk of the new batch to long-term storage once again. Nonetheless, the figures still represent a substantial sum at current valuations, even if only a part of the release actually becomes liquid.

Accordingly, traders tend to monitor on-chain activity and price more closely, especially if there are large transfers that could signal incoming selling pressure, even if previous unlocks have shown little lasting effect on XRP’s price.

What’s more notable is that the upcoming release also comes at a moment when the narrative surrounding XRP could be influenced by the CLARITY Act, which has now been confirmed for January.  The act is important as it establishes clear rules for how banks and financial institutions can engage with digital assets, including XRP. 

Together, these developments could have a more substantial impact on XRP prices in the following weeks, or regulatory developments might influence how much Ripple is going to re-lock following the ‘dump.’

Featured image via Shutterstock

Thu, 25/12/2025 - 14:16

ADA down 2.09% in the last 24 hours to $0.35 and down 3.67% weekly, mirroring mixed trading on the crypto market on Christmas Day.

Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

Cardano saw a sudden drop in recent hours, extending a decline on the hourly chart. Cardano posted a massive red hourly candlestick at one point in the drop, which caused significant long liquidations on an hourly basis.

The drop comes as a surprise, given that Cardano had rallied in the earlier hours of today, alongside the rest of the crypto market, before giving up its gains.

ADA/USD Hourly Chart, Courtesy: TradingViewAccording to CoinGlass data, in the last hour, $167,850 were liquidated in long liquidations as the sudden price drop caught bulls who had hoped for a Santa rally to begin across the crypto market unawares, as the equities market rose heading into the Christmas holidays.

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The long liquidations in the last hour well surpassed short liquidations, which came in at just $243, causing an imbalance. This, if calculated, puts the liquidation imbalance between shorts and longs at 66,530%.

Volumes were light in the Christmas holiday, with Cardano volume dropping 22% to $380 million. The pattern fits what tends to happen around major holidays, where trading volumes drop sharply and positioning becomes more defensive.

At press time, ADA was down 2.09% in the last 24 hours to $0.35 and down 3.67% weekly, mirroring mixed trading on the crypto market on Christmas Day.

A larger chunk of cryptocurrencies are trading in the red, suggesting that investors are reassessing risk appetite.

Santa rally still possible?Despite the current lull on the crypto markets, investors still remain hopeful for a "Santa Claus Rally," which typically encompasses the last five trading days of the year and the first two of the new one.

U.S. stocks rose in a classic Santa rally as a relatively quiet session on Wall Street before Christmas saw stocks hitting all-time highs, with crypto traders now anticipating a similar trend on the markets, although signs of decoupling remain.

Crypto traders continue to watch out for signals as to where the market might head next. A more than $23 billion options expiry is being watched, although thin liquidity in the holidays has affected market activity. 

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December 25, 2025

DOGE continues its downward decline on Christmas Day as the token has retreated by 1% in the past 24 hours. However, one analyst sees an explosive move ahead and shared a bullish Dogecoin price prediction of $1 if historical patterns repeat.

Dogecoin seems headed to close the year with losses exceeding 60% as the crypto market has shunned well-established meme coins and has mostly favored exotic tokens like Pippin ($PIPPIN) and MemeCore ($M).

However, trader Alan Tardigrade spotted an interesting duplicate of a descending triangle pattern that popped up back in 2024, and that led to a spike in the price of DOGE shortly afterward.

Same as back then, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) technical indicator fell below a key area of support and then started to increase rapidly after DOGE broke the triangle.

Tardigrade predicts a potential move to $1 if this happens. This is consistent with the kind of upside potential seen in 2024, when DOGE spiked from $0.10 to $0.45 in a matter of weeks.

Dogecoin Price Prediction: DOGE Could Drop By Another 31% Before the Next Leg Up CommencesLooking at Dogecoin’s chart, there’s still room for further downside before this next leg up unfolds.

Source: TradingVIewTrading volumes have subsided on Christmas Day as most traders are away enjoying the holidays. Data from CoinMarketCap shows a 25% drop, accounting for 3% of the token’s circulating market cap.

The price just broke below the $0.13 support, and could now be heading to the $0.09 area. This means a 31% downside risk in the near term.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has failed to move above the 14-day moving average and the mid-line for weeks. This means that bears are still in control of the price action as negative momentum readings continue to be high.

Apart from well-established meme coins like DOGE, a new mine-to-earn (M2E) game called Pepenode ($PEPENODE) offers a fun, easy, and inexpensive way to mine meme coins.

Pepenode ($PEPENODE) Presale Raises Nearly $2.4M to ‘Gamify’ MiningMining cryptocurrencies previously required thousands of dollars invested in expensive equipment. However, Pepenode ($PEPENODE) is here to change that by introducing a fun blockchain-based game that lets players launch mining servers instantly and without hassle.

Simply buy $PEPENODE tokens to launch a virtual server and fire up as many rigs as you want to compete for a top spot in the leaderboard. The best miners participate in getting airdrops of valuable meme coins like Bonk ($BONK) and Fartcoin ($FARTCOIN).

The more rigs you launch, the higher the rewards you will collect. In addition, up to 70% of the tokens used to upgrade existing rigs will be burned permanently to reduce $PEPENODE’s circulating supply.

To buy $PEPENODE, simply head to the official Pepenode website and link up a compatible wallet like Best Wallet.

You can either swap USDT or ETH for this token or use a bank card to complete your purchase.

Visit the Official Pepenode Website Here

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Peter Zhang
Dec 25, 2025 12:29

HBAR price prediction shows modest upside to $0.1160 in the next 24-48 hours, with Hedera forecast suggesting limited momentum as price trades near critical support.

HBAR Price Prediction Summary
• HBAR short-term target (1 week): $0.1160 (+5.45% from current $0.11)
• Hedera medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.1145-$0.14 range with high volatility expected
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.12 (SMA 20 resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.10 (Bollinger Band lower bound and strong support)

Recent Hedera Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest HBAR price prediction consensus from major platforms shows cautiously optimistic targets for the immediate term. Bitget's analysis projects HBAR price target of $0.1145 by December 25, 2025, based on a conservative daily growth rate of 0.014%. Meanwhile, Blockchain.News offers a slightly more bullish Hedera forecast with a target of $0.1160 by December 26, 2025.

The most significant divergence appears in long-term projections, with Coinbase's HBAR price prediction extending to $0.14 by 2026, suggesting a gradual 27% appreciation over the next year. This consensus indicates that while analysts expect modest short-term gains, the overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic rather than aggressively bullish.

What's notable is the tight clustering of short-term predictions between $0.1145-$0.1160, suggesting limited volatility expectations despite HBAR's historical price swings.

HBAR Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Cautious Recovery
The Hedera technical analysis reveals a mixed picture with several concerning signals that temper bullish expectations. HBAR currently trades at $0.11, precisely at the pivot point level, indicating a critical decision zone for the token's next directional move.

The RSI reading of 36.38 sits in neutral territory but leans toward oversold conditions, which typically suggests potential for a bounce. However, this is contradicted by the moving average structure, where HBAR trades significantly below all major moving averages - 8% below the SMA 20 ($0.12), 27% below SMA 50 ($0.14), and a concerning 42% below the SMA 200 ($0.19).

The MACD histogram showing a positive 0.0005 reading provides the only clear bullish signal, suggesting that downward momentum is beginning to slow. The Bollinger Bands position at 0.2879 indicates HBAR is trading in the lower portion of its recent range, which historically has provided support for rebounds.

Trading volume of $6.65 million on Binance represents moderate activity but lacks the conviction needed for a strong directional move.

Hedera Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for HBAR
The primary HBAR price target in a bullish scenario is $0.1160, representing a 5.45% gain that aligns with analyst consensus. This target is technically justified by the distance to the next Fibonacci retracement level and recent resistance points.

For this scenario to unfold, HBAR needs to break above the immediate resistance at $0.12 (SMA 20) with sustained volume. A successful break would likely target the Bollinger Band upper bound at $0.14, which coincides with the SMA 50 and represents a logical profit-taking zone for short-term traders.

The bullish case is supported by the oversold RSI conditions and the positive MACD histogram, suggesting that selling pressure is diminishing.

Bearish Risk for Hedera
The downside Hedera forecast presents significant risk if the $0.11 pivot point fails to hold. The immediate target in a bearish scenario would be $0.10, which represents both the Bollinger Band lower bound and the 52-week low support level.

A break below $0.10 would be particularly concerning as it would establish new lows and potentially trigger additional selling pressure. The fact that HBAR trades 61.94% below its 52-week high of $0.29 indicates substantial weakness that could continue if broader market conditions deteriorate.

Risk factors include the overall weak positioning below all moving averages and the potential for volume to decrease during the holiday period, which could amplify any negative moves.

Should You Buy HBAR Now? Entry Strategy
The current technical setup suggests a buy or sell HBAR decision hinges on risk tolerance and time horizon. For aggressive traders, the current level near $0.11 offers a reasonable risk-reward setup with a tight stop-loss at $0.10.

Entry Strategy:
- Conservative entry: Wait for a break above $0.12 with volume confirmation
- Aggressive entry: Current levels around $0.11 with strict risk management
- Stop-loss: $0.0995 (below the 52-week low for cushion)
- Take-profit targets: $0.1160 (short-term), $0.14 (extended target)

Position sizing should remain conservative given the mixed technical picture and holiday trading conditions that could amplify volatility in either direction.

HBAR Price Prediction Conclusion
The HBAR price prediction for the next week points to modest upside potential targeting $0.1160, with medium confidence based on analyst consensus and oversold technical conditions. However, the Hedera forecast remains constrained by significant overhead resistance and weak longer-term trend structure.

Key indicators to monitor include RSI movement above 40 for confirmation of momentum shift, MACD line crossing above the signal line, and most importantly, a sustained break above the $0.12 resistance level with volume.

The prediction timeline suggests potential movement toward $0.1160 within 24-48 hours, but traders should remain cautious of the $0.10 support level, as a break below could invalidate the bullish thesis and trigger further downside toward new lows.

Confidence Level: MEDIUM - Technical indicators show mixed signals with modest bullish bias supported by oversold conditions and analyst consensus.

Image source: Shutterstock

hbar price analysis
hbar price prediction

Zach Anderson
Dec 25, 2025 12:35

LDO price prediction suggests upside to $0.75-$0.85 range within 30 days as MACD histogram turns bullish and oversold conditions create recovery opportunity from current $0.56 level.

LDO Price Prediction: Technical Recovery Points to $0.75-$0.85 Target
Lido DAO (LDO) is showing early signs of technical recovery after touching its 52-week low of $0.51, with multiple indicators suggesting a potential bounce toward the $0.75-$0.85 range over the next month. This LDO price prediction is based on bullish momentum signals emerging in key technical indicators and analyst consensus pointing to oversold bounce potential.

LDO Price Prediction Summary
• LDO short-term target (1 week): $0.66 (+17.9% from current $0.56)
• Lido DAO medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.75-$0.85 range (+34% to +52% upside)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.66 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.49 (strong support confluence)

Recent Lido DAO Price Predictions from Analysts
The analyst community shows moderate bullish consensus on LDO's near-term prospects. Blockchain.News has issued two recent forecasts, with their latest LDO price prediction targeting $0.75-$0.85 for the medium term, citing positive MACD histogram and bullish momentum indicators. This represents the most optimistic view among recent predictions.

DigitalCoinPrice offers an even more aggressive short-term outlook with their Lido DAO forecast suggesting $0.88, implying a potential 65.25% increase by month-end. However, MEXC provides a more conservative perspective with a LDO price target of just $0.5352, based on modest 5% annual growth expectations.

The range of predictions from $0.5352 to $0.88 reflects uncertainty in the current market environment, but the technical setup appears to favor the more optimistic scenarios.

LDO Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Reversal
The Lido DAO technical analysis reveals several encouraging signals for bulls. The MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.0054, marking the first bullish momentum reading in recent sessions. While the main MACD line remains negative at -0.0317, the improving histogram suggests underlying momentum is shifting.

LDO's current position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.44 indicates the token is trading in the lower half of its recent range, with room to move toward the upper band at $0.63. The 7-day SMA at $0.54 is beginning to flatten after a prolonged downtrend, while price has moved above this short-term average.

Trading volume of $3.83 million on Binance provides adequate liquidity for the anticipated move, though volume confirmation will be crucial for sustaining any breakout above the $0.66 resistance level.

Lido DAO Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for LDO
The primary bullish scenario for this LDO price prediction centers on breaking above $0.66, which represents both immediate resistance and the convergence of the 20-day SMA at $0.57. A sustained break above this level opens the path to $0.75, where the token previously found support during its decline from higher levels.

The ultimate LDO price target in the bullish case reaches $0.85, representing a 52% gain from current levels. This target aligns with the 50-day SMA at $0.65 and historical support/resistance zones. For this scenario to unfold, LDO needs to maintain momentum above $0.66 and see RSI climb above 50 to confirm the bullish shift.

Bearish Risk for Lido DAO
The bearish scenario becomes active if LDO fails to hold the critical $0.49 support level, which has served as both immediate and strong support. A break below this level could trigger further selling toward the 52-week low of $0.51, with limited technical support until the psychological $0.40 level.

Key risk factors include Bitcoin weakness that could drag altcoins lower, failure of the MACD histogram to sustain positive readings, and inability to generate sufficient volume to break resistance levels.

Should You Buy LDO Now? Entry Strategy
Based on this Lido DAO technical analysis, the current risk-reward setup favors controlled accumulation. The optimal buy or sell LDO strategy suggests entering positions in the $0.54-$0.56 range, with a tight stop-loss at $0.48 to limit downside risk.

For aggressive traders, a breakout entry above $0.66 offers better confirmation but reduces the risk-reward ratio. Conservative investors might wait for a retest of the $0.49 support level for maximum upside potential.

Position sizing should remain modest given the 63.88% distance from 52-week highs, suggesting LDO remains in a long-term downtrend despite short-term recovery prospects.

LDO Price Prediction Conclusion
This LDO price prediction maintains a MEDIUM confidence level for reaching the $0.75-$0.85 target within 30 days, contingent on breaking above $0.66 resistance. The bullish MACD histogram and oversold positioning support the Lido DAO forecast, though broader market conditions remain a significant variable.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include sustained MACD histogram readings above zero, RSI moving above 50, and daily closes above $0.66. Invalidation of this prediction would occur on a break below $0.49 support with volume confirmation.

The timeline for this prediction extends through January 2026, with the initial $0.66 target expected within 7-10 days if momentum continues building from current levels.

Image source: Shutterstock

ldo price analysis
ldo price prediction

Thu, 25/12/2025 - 11:43

XRP exchange flows suggest that recent selling pressures are increasingly fading, as the crypto market begins to move toward a potential resurgence.

Cover image via U.Today

As XRP returns to the bullish side of the market, its exchange movement is also reflecting growing confidence among both small and large XRP holders.

As momentum appears to be returning to the XRP ecosystem, data from crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant shows that XRP’s exchange reserve has recorded a notable decline over the past day, raising optimism among holders.

XRP exchange reserve plummetsNotably, the total XRP reserve on the global cryptocurrency exchange Binance has shown a modest decline of about 0.5% over the last 24 hours.

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Following the drop in this key metric, all crypto exchanges providing support for the leading altcoin now hold lower amounts compared to the figures recorded the previous day. More particularly, Binance accounts for about 2,669,500,000 XRP as of Thursday, December 25.

Although XRP has seen increased selling pressure over the past days, with the asset returning to previous lows, the sudden decrease in its exchange reserves suggests that holders are increasingly transferring XRP into private wallets.

Thus, this stands as a key signal of increased buying activity, which could propel the price of XRP toward a higher surge.

While the metric stands as a strong indication of long-term confidence and reduced selling pressure in XRP, its bullish exchange movement suggests that the recent slowdown in XRP’s price action might be setting up for a rapid surge, positioning the asset for a significant rebound ahead.

XRP ETFs drive strong market interest Although XRP’s trading price has remained unstable, its ETF ecosystem has retained bullish momentum following a long streak of unbroken inflows.

As all funds providing support for XRP-based ETF products continue to see massive inflows of capital every day, it appears that institutional demand for the asset has remained strong despite unstable market conditions.

Although the strong momentum driven by XRP ETFs has yet to stabilize XRP’s trading price, investors remain optimistic that sustained demand will drive XRP’s rebound in the long run.

During their latest trading session, XRP ETFs pulled in over $11 million in inflows in just one day.

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The Cardano price has spent most of the month stuck in a tight range. It is up about 0.5% in the last 24 hours, down roughly 1.6% on the week, and still trying to resist a much larger move lower.

The chart has produced a classic bearish pattern, but on-chain behavior and capital flows are not yet fully supporting the breakdown. That tension is what defines the ADA price right now.

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A Head And Shoulders Pattern Sets Up The ThreatOn the daily chart, Cardano is approaching a head-and-shoulders pattern confirmation. The neckline connecting the swing lows is sloping downward, which means buyers are only willing to defend the price at lower levels each time.

The downward-sloping neckline typically strengthens the bearish case because it indicates weakening demand even before a confirmed breakdown. A decisive close below this downward-sloping neckline would confirm the pattern and trigger a measured move of approximately 18%, targeting the $0.24 area. That is the breakdown risk on the table.

Breakdown Risk Looms On ADA: TradingViewWant more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

For now, ADA has refused to fully follow through. Price has traded sideways instead, which keeps the door open for attempts to neutralize the pattern.

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One Metric Drops Nearly 60%, Hinting at Cooling Sell PressureA key on-chain metric is also leaning against the breakdown. The spent coins age band, which measures token movement and potential selling activity, has fallen sharply. It declined from approximately 241.71 million ADA on December 11 to approximately 105.51 million ADA now. That is close to a 60% reduction in supply being moved.

Lower spent coins usually signal fewer holders rushing to sell. Earlier drops in this metric lined up with short-term rebounds. For example, on November 29, after spent coins hit a low, ADA bounced about 2.6%. The more notable example came after December 5, when activity hit another low, and the price rallied from $0.41 to $0.47 by December 9, roughly a 15% lift.

Coin Activity Dips: SantimentThe current drop does not guarantee the same reaction. But it shows the kind of environment that has supported rebounds in the past.

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Big Money And Cardano Price Levels Decide The Next LegThe last major piece comes from the chart again. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which measures capital inflows, has been trending down even as the Cardano price trended higher between December 18 and December 23. That is a bearish divergence because capital flow is weakening during recovery attempts.

However, CMF is now pressing against the upper boundary of its descending trend line. A breakout in CMF, paired with price holding above $0.35, could weaken the entire head-and-shoulders setup (the breakdown escape route). If ADA pushes into $0.38, that would mark a 6.5% move and show that buyers are forcing the issue. However, for that to happen, a simple CMF breakout might not be enough.

The metric may need to exceed the zero line, indicating cumulative inflows.

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Above that, $0.48 is where the breakdown thesis stops making sense. Reaching that level is not a forecast. It is the point where the bearish pattern becomes invalid.

Cardano Price Analysis: TradingViewIf ADA closes below $0.29, the breakdown becomes the base case, and $0.24 becomes the next support level. For now, Cardano is attempting to counter a bearish pattern with declining coin activity and the possibility of improving capital flows. If CMF breaks up and price respects $0.35 or even $0.33, the survival attempt stays alive.

If not, the Cardano price chart already showed us the destination.

TL;DR

Jurien Timmer from Fidelity warns that Bitcoin could face a crypto winter in 2026, with declines potentially reaching between $13,000 and $23,000.
The historical four-year cycle pattern linked to halvings suggests a new adjustment period following the $125,000 peak, although some experts believe it may no longer apply.
Increasing institutional participation and new financial products could alter BTC dynamics, forcing investors to prepare new strategies.

Bitcoin could face a challenging year in 2026. Jurien Timmer, Global Macro Director at Fidelity, warns that the historical four-year cycle could repeat, following the latest peak of $125,000 reached in October.

This cycle, tied to BTC halvings, has historically shown periods of sharp price increases followed by prolonged crypto winters with declines lasting roughly a year.

While I remain a secular bull on Bitcoin, my concern is that Bitcoin may well have ended another 4-year cycle halving phase, both in price and time. If we visually line up all the bull markets (green) we can see that the October high of $125k after 145 months of rallying fits… pic.twitter.com/Uxg9DTccnt

— Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) December 18, 2025

Timmer believes Bitcoin’s recent behavior shows clear similarities with previous cycles. According to his analysis, the latest peak aligns with the temporal structure of prior highs. Based on historical experience, he suggests that after these peaks, a prolonged adjustment period occurs, with significant corrections for BTC and the broader market. For 2026, he estimates Bitcoin could fall to support levels between $65,000 and $75,000, with declines potentially dropping to $13,000–$23,000 during a hypothetical crypto winter.

The executive warns that, while he remains fundamentally optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term potential, it is necessary to prepare for a consolidation phase.

Has Halving’s Influence on Bitcoin Price Ended?
Not everyone shares this view. Experts such as Cathie Wood from Ark Invest and Michael Saylor from Strategy argue that the four-year cycle is no longer relevant. They note that the entry of institutional investors, Wall Street participation, and the evolving political and regulatory framework have changed market dynamics. According to them, future crypto winters may not recur, and BTC could experience cycles that are less dependent on historical patterns.

Past experience provides reference points, but growing institutionalization and the expansion of Bitcoin-linked financial products introduce new variables. Investors should consider both scenarios: a deep adjustment in 2026 replicating previous cycles, or a year in which the market behaves differently, with reduced reliance on historical patterns.

In any case, the entire industry is closely monitoring Bitcoin’s changes. Careful investment analysis and risk assessment will be crucial in the coming months as the market processes information on historical cycles, institutional participation, and potential corrections

Cover image via www.freepik.com

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

Crypto never fully sleeps, but it does get weird on holidays. On Dec. 25, one Binance chart delivered the kind of screenshot traders save forever: Bitcoin, on the world’s biggest exchange, with a sudden plunge that looked like a full-on crash — except it was not a market-wide collapse. It was a localized abnormal print tied to a single trading pair.

At the same time, XRP’s weekly structure keeps worsening, with the classic “death cross” setup getting closer on the longer time frame. And Cardano is back in its favorite seasonal storyline: January has historically been friendly, and the market is once again looking for a reason to believe that pattern can repeat.

TL;DRBinance BTC/USD1 printed an unexpected low at $24,111.22, down 72% in just one candle.XRP nears death cross that may put it straight to the 200-week moving average at $1.3762, a 25.93% drop from $1.8580.Cardano’s January history shows +19.3% average and +2.32% median returns, keeping the “good January” narrative alive.Binance glitch prints $24,111 Bitcoin on sudden 72% price collapseThe headline moment came from Binance’s BTC/USD1 market. On the TradingView chart, BTC/USD1 displayed its last price near $87,611.91, with a 24-hour high at $87,995.24 — and then a jaw-dropping 24-hour low at $24,111.22. In plain terms, the chart briefly flashed a drop of more than 70% on a market that otherwise looked normal.

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This matters for two reasons. First, it shows how a “flash crash” can exist without being a real crash. When liquidity is thin on a specific pair, a single order can sweep the available bids and print an extreme last price for a moment. That kind of print can be spectacular on a chart, while leaving the wide market mostly untouched.

BTC/USD1 by TradingViewSecond, it happened on a pair that sounds boring on paper. USD1 is framed as a fiat-backed digital asset designed to hold 1:1 parity with the U.S. dollar, launched in April 2025 under World Liberty Financial (WLFI), with the stablecoin issued and legally managed by BitGo Trust Company, a regulated trust entity based in South Dakota. The idea is simple: dollar-like settlement in digital form.

That is why the moment lands as a Christmas-market parable. The pair was not some obscure token against an illiquid meme coin. It was Bitcoin against a dollar-pegged unit — yet liquidity still ruled the outcome. 

Anyone caught selling into that wick would have “sold BTC for $24,111.22” in USD1 terms, and because USD1 is meant to track the dollar, the psychological hit is obvious even if the event was brief.

In short: this was not Bitcoin "crashing to $24,000." It was a thin-pocket dislocation in BTC/USD1, amplified by holiday conditions.

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XRP on the verge of 26% dump into death crossXRP’s setup is less dramatic but more consequential. The weekly chart shows the latest candle closing at $1.8580, down 3.34% on the week. The week’s range printed a $1.9224 open, $1.9493 high and $1.8372 low — a typical grind lower.

The larger warning comes from the moving averages, with a potential death cross formation on the weekly time frame, driven by the 23-week moving average approaching a cross below the 50-week moving average. As can be seen, two key average levels sit far overhead around $2.5937 and $2.4985, leaving XRP trading beneath both.

XRP/USD by TradingViewThe “-26%” headline angle is tied to the long-term safety net: the 200-week moving average sits at $1.3762. From the current weekly close at $1.8580 down to $1.3762 is about 26%. That level is the obvious target that market participants will talk about if the weekly trend keeps deteriorating and the death cross pattern confirms.

There is also a historical hook in the provided text: XRP reportedly found a bottom near that 200-week area around Oct. 10, during a market episode worth $40 billion in liquidations. Whether the exact trigger matters or not, the takeaway is the same: the 200-week line has already acted as a battleground, so the market remembers it.

Cardano (ADA) teases bullish JanuaryAs for Cardano, the angle here is seasonal, not technical. The price history of ADA by CryptoRank shows January as one of the friendlier months historically: +19.3% average and +2.32% median. 

Thus, January has delivered some big upside years for Cardano, pulling the average up, while the more typical January still leans positive, according to the median.

Source: CryptoRankThis does not guarantee anything, and the same table also shows how fast the script can flip from month to month. Still, in crypto, narratives are often traded before fundamentals show up on a chart. 

ADA is still framed as a top 10 name, and the provided catalyst narrative centers on Midnight (NIGHT) — a privacy-focused network built on Cardano — as a possible attention driver into the new year.

So the January pitch is straightforward, Cardano has a statistical tailwind on the calendar and it has a fresh ecosystem headline that can help keep that theme alive.

Crypto market outlookThe next few sessions decide what this Christmas noise becomes. After Binance’s BTC/USD1 pair flashed that $24,111 print and snapped back to the $87,000 area, the real question is whether liquidity normalizes and the charts forget it — or whether everyone starts treating “stablecoin pairs” as the new weak link to monitor.

Bitcoin (BTC): Sitting near $87,612, but bulls want $87,995 back on top — lose the grip and the next check is $87,246.

XRP: Trading around $1.858; the comeback line is 2.5 — if it cannot reclaim it, get ready for $1.3762, where the 200-week moving average is.

Cardano (ADA): January has the bullish stats, so the only thing that matters is next month's range break and a hold above that breakout.

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Bitcoin ETFs recorded a fifth consecutive day of outflows, while ether ETFs also remained under pressure. XRP and solana ETFs continued to post modest inflows, signaling selective investor appetite amid broader caution.

The next couple of months will determine whether Bitcoin stabilizes or slides into a deeper decline.

Key Takeaways

Bitcoin's monthly RSI has slipped to 56.5, falling below its 12-month average (67.3) for the first time since 2022 and approaching the four-year average (58.7).
Historically, breaks below that long-term RSI trend have coincided with transitions from corrections into deeper bearish phases, as seen in 2018 and 2022.

Bitcoin has declined by 20% over the past three months and by 10% year-over-year, and with the RSI falling below its long-term averages, the risk is growing that the pullback may develop into a more prolonged bearish period.

According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr., Bitcoin’s RSI, which evaluates the strength of recent price movements to gauge whether the asset is overbought or oversold, currently sits at 56.5, below the 12-month average of 67.3 and close to the 4-year level of 58.7.

The analyst says that when the monthly RSI dips under the 4-year average, it often indicates that a routine correction may be turning into a deeper downward trend.

“In the 2018 and 2022 cycles, RSI breaking below this level often accompanied transitions into deeper bearish phases,” the analyst notes.

Bitcoin’s early-year strength has given way to softer momentum as investors rotate toward hard-asset hedges. Gold and silver have mounted marathon rallies through 2025, leaving Bitcoin lagging into year-end.

Silver has surged to about $72 per ounce, a 148% gain that pushed its market cap above $4 trillion. Gold has rallied nearly 70% and is tracking toward one of its best years on record.

Disclaimer

Data shows BitMart posting consistently deeper Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual order books than peers over the observed period, supporting tighter spreads and lower slippage.

Summary

Data compared top-seven order book levels in dollar terms across major exchanges, with BitMart’s BTC perpetual depth remaining above peers through the sample window.​
In ETH perpetual markets, BitMart again led on order book depth, with liquidity building into the later stages while rival venues showed flatter or more uneven profiles.​
Deeper top-of-book liquidity supports tighter spreads and reduced slippage, improving execution for larger BTC and ETH perp orders during volatile trading conditions.

BitMart demonstrated deeper order book liquidity than competing cryptocurrency exchanges in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) perpetual markets during a recent observed period, according to comparative market data.

Bitmart posting BTC and ETH
The data tracked the depth of the top seven order book levels measured in U.S. dollars across multiple global trading venues. BitMart’s liquidity measurements remained above competing exchanges throughout the timeframe analyzed, the data showed.

In Bitcoin perpetual markets, BitMart maintained higher order book depth compared with peer exchanges, even as broader market conditions fluctuated, according to the charts. The data indicated BitMart’s Bitcoin liquidity remained relatively stable while competing exchanges showed larger fluctuations and slower recovery patterns.

Similar results appeared in Ethereum perpetual markets, where BitMart led in order book depth with liquidity building toward the latter portion of the observation period, the data showed. Other exchanges displayed flatter or more uneven patterns during the same timeframe.

Order book depth at top levels affects execution quality for large orders, as deeper liquidity allows trades to be absorbed closer to current market prices. Greater depth can reduce slippage and provide more stable execution during periods of market volatility, according to market structure analysis.

The consistency across both Bitcoin and Ethereum markets suggests a sustained liquidity pattern rather than isolated market conditions, the data indicated. Deeper order book liquidity typically results in tighter spreads and reduced price gaps during trade execution.

BitMart’s perpetual markets showed deeper and more stable liquidity compared with peer exchanges during the measured period, according to the comparative data. The exchange’s order book depth remained elevated across both major cryptocurrency pairs analyzed in the study.