Market Signal Briefing

Fri, 16/01/2026 - 12:31

XRP Ledger returned only 562 million XRP in payments volume in the last 24 hours, which is certainly not matching up with ETF flows.

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Right now XRP is sending out a variety of signals that do not all line up neatly. The network appears to be alive on the surface, as evidenced by the XRP Ledger's continuously increasing payment volume, which indicates that transactional activity is sustained in terms of sheer volume.

On-chain anomalyHowever, the picture changes when you consider the real value being transferred. With only about 562 million XRP transferred in the last 24 hours, payment volume has drastically decreased. This is a low amount compared to what the network has demonstrated during earlier stages of expansion. The primary anomaly is that divergence. 

XRP/USDT Chart by TradingViewEach payment is worth less when there are more. Rather than large-scale capital flows, this typically indicates fragmentation of activity: smaller transactions, internal shuffling or utility-driven micro-movements. To put it another way, big players on the chain are not using the network in a way that shows strong conviction or aggressive positioning.

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Why does it look "weird?"This is made even more bizarre by the consistent inflows into XRP ETFs. Institutional exposure has not stopped — at least not on paper. The fact that capital is still investing in XRP-related products indicates that fund and structured vehicle demand is still high. Custody abstraction is one reason why this does not result in increased on-chain volume. 

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XRP can remain in custodial structures without coming into contact with the ledger, so ETF inflows do not always need instant on-chain settlement. Timing is another factor. While on-chain activity indicates more cautious retail or payment-layer usage, institutions may be positioning passively. This hesitancy is reflected in the price chart. The 100 EMA continues to act as persistent resistance, trapping XRP below important moving averages. 

Recent rebounds have lacked follow-through volume, and attempts to push higher have been swiftly rejected. The price is structurally grinding sideways to down in a wider corrective channel, which is consistent with the notion of weak conviction. Panic is absent, but there is also no momentum.

As a result, XRP is now neutral but brittle. While declining payment volume indicates that significant capital is on the sidelines, increasing payment counts indicate that the network is neither dying nor stagnating. The tell is that volume should increase first if ETF inflows eventually force a spot-driven repricing.

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Investment bank Jefferies’ longtime “Greed & Fear” strategist Christopher Wood has reportedly dropped Bitcoin entirely from his flagship model portfolio, citing mounting concerns that advances in quantum computing could undermine the cryptocurrency’s long-term security.

According to a report by Bloomberg, in the latest edition of his Greed & Fear newsletter, Wood said the 10% Bitcoin (BTC) allocation he first added in late 2020 has been replaced by a split position in physical gold and gold mining stocks.

He argued that quantum breakthroughs would weaken Bitcoin’s claim to be a dependable store of value for pension‑style investors.

​Wood added that concern over quantum risk is rising among long-term, institutional investors, warning that some capital allocators now question Bitcoin’s store of value case if quantum timelines compress. 

He said he feared that “cryptographically relevant” machines arriving sooner than expected could let attackers derive private keys from exposed public keys, weakening the cryptography underpinning Bitcoin balances and mining rewards and, in the extreme, challenging its role as “digital gold” for pension‑style portfolios.

​Quantum risk enters mainstream portfoliosThe quantum issue has been discussed for years among developers and commentators, but Wood’s move shows how it’s now influencing mainstream asset allocation decisions at major brokerage and research houses. 

Castle Island Ventures partner and Bitcoin advocate Nic Carter has discussed the quantum issue at length, warning in December that “capital is concerned and looking for a solution” on quantum risk, even though many developers, such as Blockstream CEO Adam Back, remain skeptical that it is a near‑term problem.

Investors are concerned about quantum computing. Source: Nic CarterMacro analyst Luke Gromen has also turned cautious on Bitcoin in recent months, citing macro and technological uncertainties, including quantum computing risk, as reasons to favor increasing gold exposure versus BTC on a multi‑cycle view. 

Studies from firms such as EY and PwC similarly flag quantum computing as a significant emerging threat to traditional public key cryptography, warning that financial systems, including those supporting digital assets, need to prepare migration paths to quantum-resistant alternatives.

Magazine: Kevin O’Leary says quantum attacking Bitcoin would be a waste of time

Developers say Bitcoin has time to adaptBitcoin developers and core infrastructure builders push back on the idea that quantum progress is an immediate threat. 

Blockstream CEO Adam Back has repeatedly argued that breaking Bitcoin’s current signature schemes is likely 20–40 years away and that the network would have ample time to migrate to post‑quantum signature algorithms and better key management practices well before any real‑world break becomes feasible. 

Other analysts, including an a16z researcher, similarly conclude that the probability of a “cryptographically relevant” quantum computer capable of breaking today’s public key systems emerging this decade is low.

They say that the bigger near‑term risks come from implementation bugs, governance, and “harvest now, decrypt later” attacks on encrypted data rather than immediate attacks on live blockchain signatures.

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy

The PI price is trading near $0.206, trying to stabilize after a sharp move that followed a clear technical breakdown. On the 4-hour chart, the Pi Network price had been consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, formed by lower highs and higher lows. This pattern typically signals compression before a larger move. In PI’s case, the structure broke to the downside near the apex, pushing price toward the $0.20–$0.202 area before buyers stepped in with a rebound.

While the bounce looks constructive, PI price action still reads like a post-breakdown retest rather than a confirmed trend reversal. In many setups, the broken trendline acts as overhead resistance. That makes the next few candles critical: PI must reclaim key levels with stronger volume to shift momentum back in favor of bulls.

PI Price Support Levels to WatchThe most important support zone sits at $0.20–$0.19. Bulls need to defend this range to prevent a deeper sell-off. If PI loses $0.19, downside risk increases quickly, with the next likely demand pocket near $0.185–$0.18. As long as the price holds above $0.20, the market can continue to base and attempt a recovery.

PI Resistance Levels and Upside Targets– On the upside, the first major hurdle is $0.208–$0.212. A sustained move above this band—ideally with rising volume—would reduce breakdown risk and improve the short-term outlook. If PI reclaims $0.212, the next upside area to watch is $0.214–$0.216, where prior selling pressure showed up during the earlier consolidation.

RSI and MACD Signal a Fragile Recovery—Momentum remains mixed. RSI is in the mid-40s, which suggests limited bullish strength. MACD is still subdued, indicating the rebound may struggle unless PI breaks resistance cleanly.

The Bottom LinePI price is now at a make-or-break zone, and the next move likely depends on whether buyers can turn this rebound into a reclaim. If PI/USDT holds above $0.20–$0.19 and pushes through $0.208–$0.212, the breakout can shift momentum back to the upside, with $0.214–$0.216 as the next immediate target. However, if the price gets rejected near resistance and slips back below $0.20, the risk of another sell-off increases. A decisive break under $0.19 could open the door toward $0.185–$0.18, where the next demand pocket sits

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Monero trades at $704.85 as of writing after a powerful multi-week rally. The token gained over 64% in the last 30 days and more than 54% in the last seven days. Short-term cooling now follows an explosive move. That pullback does not tell the full story. Structural shifts across privacy, derivatives, and regulation drive this cycle.

Privacy has returned as a macro theme. Investors respond to tighter KYC rules, exchange surveillance, and capital controls, and Monero sits at the center of that trend.

Hyperliquid Perpetual Swaps Reopen Price DiscoveryOn January 15, Hyperliquid launched XMR/USDC perpetual swaps with up to 5x leverage. The rollout came via a permissionless HIP-3 deployment by Felix Protocol. That detail matters. Monero faced repeated delistings from centralized exchanges. Spot access shrank while price discovery suffered.

Perpetuals changed the dynamic. After launch, XMR jumped 6% and volume rose over 13%. Traders could now express views without relying on spot venues. As one Monero contributor noted, price discovery found a way.

Key impacts stand out:

Leverage re-enters the XMR market

Liquidity improves without spot reliance

Traders hedge or speculate despite delistings

This structure mirrors earlier derivatives-driven revivals seen across crypto. Markets adapt faster than regulation.

Privacy Demand Pushes Monero to Record HighsMonero hit an all-time high of $797.54 in January 14th, 2026. The rally aligned with tightening global AML and KYC rules. Dubai banned privacy coins, the EU outlined future restrictions and Capital reacted before enforcement arrived.

Money flowed into assets with default privacy. Monero outperformed Bitcoin and Ethereum during this phase. Zcash governance issues accelerated the rotation, and investors preferred certainty over optional privacy.

Monero’s core advantage remains simple. Every transaction stays private by default. Ring signatures, stealth addresses, and confidential transactions protect users without opt-ins.

Market cap climbed past $13 billion as Monero overtook Zcash as the top privacy coin. That signals more than retail speculation. Institutions now frame privacy as a financial right, not a fringe feature.

Regulation Pressure Versus Market RealityRegulatory risk remains real. Exchange delistings continue as the EU plans stricter controls by 2027. Dubai already enforced bans, and these headlines scare short-term traders.

Yet the market response looks counterintuitive. Restrictions amplify demand outside compliant rails. Atomic swaps reflect that shift. GhostSwap processed over $750 million in BTC/XMR swaps during 2026, with that volume bypassing exchanges entirely.

This tension defines Monero’s outlook. Can regulators suppress liquidity faster than technology reroutes it? So far, technology leads.

FCMP++ Upgrade and Network EvolutionMonero plans the FCMP++ upgrade in 2026. This change replaces ring signatures with full-chain membership proofs. The goal centers on stronger privacy and quantum resistance. History offers context. The CLSAG upgrade in 2020 triggered a 25% price surge. Looking at these Privacy-focused capital tracks, theyoffer real improvements, not promises.

If FCMP++ delivers on schedule, Monero strengthens its moat, and few assets will compete at this privacy level.

Technical Structure and Market BehaviorTechnically, XMR tested a long-term resistance on the monthly chart and broke past it. The market rejected this area twice over eight years. This cycle looks different as momentum remains strong.

But now, one question rules the room. Can the breakout monthly close above the key resistance zone? Overbought conditions may signal a short-term correction, but the overall structure shows bullish strength. That sets the stage for volatility, not trend reversal.

Source: TradingView

Does price action reflect speculation or repricing of privacy itself? Looking at CoinCodex's prediction, XMR is forecasted to rise by 41% and reach $ 995.11 by April 16, 2026. Per the technical indicators, the current sentiment is bullish while the Fear & Greed Index shows 49 (neutral). At the same time, Monero recorded 17/30 (57%) green days with 16.81% price volatility over the last 30 days.

Source: CoinCodex

Monero ($XMR) Price Prediction TableYearMin PriceAvg PriceMax Price2026$650$820$1,0002027$900$1,150$1,5002028$1,200$1,650$2,2002029$1,700$2,400$3,2002030$2,500$3,600$5,0002040$8,000$14,500$25,000Final Thoughts on Monero’s Long-Term OutlookMonero thrives where regulation tightens, and that paradox defines its role. Perpetual swaps restored liquidity, privacy demand drives adoption, and technology evolves faster than oversight.

Risks remain. Mining concentration, leverage spikes, and enforcement shocks could hit the price. Yet Monero continues to function where others fail. Is privacy becoming a geopolitical necessity or a regulatory red line? The answer shapes XMR’s future, and the market looks to have already started voting.

Iranian cryptocurrency users sharply increased Bitcoin withdrawals during the protests, as citizens moved funds off exchanges amid political unrest and economic pressure. Data from Chainalysis shows a broad rise across all withdrawal sizes, signaling a shift toward self custody rather than speculative trading.

The increase accelerated during the protest period leading up to internet blackouts between late December and early January. Compared with the pre protest period, both the value and number of outbound Bitcoin transfers climbed, with the strongest growth seen among small and mid sized users. The pattern points to defensive financial behavior rather than large scale capital flight by a small elite.

The chart highlights that Bitcoin acted as a financial escape valve during moments of uncertainty. Users prioritized control over access, especially as banking services and connectivity risks increased.

Iranian Exchange Users Fly to Safety of BTC During Protests. Source: Chainalysis

Smaller Transfers Drive the SurgeLarge withdrawals under $10,000 posted the sharpest gains. Average daily dollar withdrawals in this category jumped more than 230 percent during the protest window. At the same time, the number of transfers rose by over 260 percent, according to Chainalysis data shown in the chart.

Medium sized withdrawals under $1,000 also expanded rapidly. The average value of these transfers increased more than 220 percent, while the number of transactions climbed over 120 percent. This growth suggests that everyday users, not just high net worth holders, turned to Bitcoin as conditions deteriorated.

Even the smallest withdrawals under $100 increased meaningfully. While the dollar value remains modest, the number of transactions rose nearly 80 percent, reflecting widespread participation and a push toward personal wallets across income levels.

Protests, Currency Pressure Shape BehaviorThe timing aligns with renewed protests and ongoing pressure on the Iranian rial, which has faced repeated devaluation episodes. As trust in traditional financial channels weakened, Bitcoin offered an alternative that allowed users to move value without relying on local banks.

Very large withdrawals, below $100,000, also increased, though at a slower pace than smaller bands. Their average daily value rose about 30 percent, while transaction counts grew more than 50 percent. This indicates broader participation rather than concentrated outflows by a few entities.

Overall, the data shows a clear behavioral shift. During periods of unrest, Iranian crypto users reduced exchange exposure and favored direct control of assets. Bitcoin, in this context, functioned less as a speculative instrument and more as a tool for financial continuity when access and stability came into question.

Protests, currency slide and internet blackout reshape daily life in IranIran entered 2026 with nationwide protests that began in late December after prices surged and the rial fell to record lows on the open market. Demonstrations that started with shop closures and rallies in Tehran’s Grand Bazaar spread to multiple provinces, while officials blamed unrest on outside forces and tightened security in major cities.

At the same time, Iran imposed a near total internet shutdown starting Jan. 8, cutting off many connections to the outside world and limiting reporting and coordination. Press freedom groups and researchers said the blackout strengthened the state’s information chokehold as protests continued, while technical monitors described a nationwide drop in connectivity.

Human rights organizations reported a widening crackdown that included mass arrests and lethal force in several cities, and they warned that the internet shutdown made it harder to document abuses. Amnesty International said it was investigating reports of intensified unlawful force after the shutdown, and it documented killings in multiple provinces in early January.

Christopher Wood, Jefferies' global head of equity strategy, swapped a 10% bitcoin allocation with gold on concern quantum computing could weaken bitcoin's security case.

Belgium’s second-largest bank, KBC Group, will become the first bank in the country to let everyday customers trade Bitcoin and Ethereum. The bank confirmed the move on January 15, 2026, and said trading services will start during the week of February 16, 2026 through its online investment platform, Bolero.

KBC’s announcement marks a milestone for crypto adoption by traditional banks in Belgium. The service will be offered in compliance with the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, which aims to create consistent rules for digital-asset services across the EU.

Under the plan, clients must complete a risk-knowledge and experience test before they can trade. The platform will operate on an “execution-only” basis, meaning KBC will not provide investment advice. Trades will be conducted inside a closed-loop system on Bolero; investors won’t be able to transfer crypto assets out to external wallets or exchanges.

KBC serves about 4 million users through Bolero, and the bank said it has filed a full Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) notification with Belgian authorities to offer the new services.

The move comes after KBC first proposed offering crypto trading to retail clients in mid-2025, pending regulatory approval. At the time, the bank said it intended to let customers buy and sell Bitcoin and Ether directly through Bolero once permissions were in place.

What This Means for Belgian InvestorsRegulated crypto trading inside a local bank could change how some Belgians invest in digital assets. Until now, most retail investors in the country have used foreign platforms such as Binance, Coinbase, or Revolut to buy and sell crypto.

By integrating crypto services into Bolero, KBC aims to provide a safer and more familiar option for investors who already use the platform for stocks and bonds. The bank has emphasized investor education as part of the rollout, with materials available to help users understand risks like price volatility.

The launch also reflects a broader shift in Europe. Financial institutions in several countries, including Germany, have begun offering regulated crypto trading under MiCA or similar frameworks. KBC’s move places Belgium alongside this trend, though wider adoption by other Belgian banks has yet to be seen.

Overall, the introduction of in-bank crypto trading could expand access to digital assets for retail investors while keeping them within regulated financial environments. 

CoinCodex Prediction Maps Bitcoin in the $74K to $105K BandMeanwhile, CoinCodex projects Bitcoin drifting lower over the next 12 months, with its baseline forecast pointing to $84,737 by Jan. 11, 2027 from a $95,333 starting point. The model’s implied move equals a 11.1% decline, and its dotted projection line spends much of 2026 trending down before flattening near the end of the window.

Bitcoin BTC Price Forecast 2026 2027. Source: CoinCodex

The forecast also sets clear outer bounds for the year ahead. CoinCodex lists a predicted high of $105,000, which signals the model still allows a rebound back toward six figures. However, the projected path does not stay near that level. Instead, it treats any strength as temporary and returns to a softer slope afterward.

On the downside, CoinCodex places a predicted low at $74,425, which defines the risk range if declines deepen. The forecast line leans toward the low-$80,000 area during 2026, then steadies, suggesting the model expects price to spend more time below the current level than above it as the year progresses.

A wallet linked by Arkham to Tom Lee’s Bitmine received about $80 million in Ether, lifting its balance to roughly 24,068 ETH. Meanwhile, Ethereum traded near $3,310 as price tested the $3,350 to $3,400 resistance band on the daily Binance chart.

Tom Lee-linked wallet receives about $80 million in Ether, Arkham data showsA wallet tracked by blockchain analytics firm Arkham and linked to Tom Lee’s Bitmine received roughly $80 million worth of Ether in a single inflow, according to on-chain data visible on Arkham’s platform. The address now holds about 24,068 ETH, with the portfolio value shown near $80.16 million as Ether traded around $3,330 at the time of observation.

Tom Lee Linked ETH Wallet Activity. Source: Arkham Intelligence/X

The Arkham dashboard shows the ETH arrived from a FalconX hot wallet in two transfers recorded roughly two hours apart. The first and largest transfer accounted for nearly the full amount, while a much smaller follow-up transfer appeared shortly after. No immediate outbound transfers were visible, leaving the wallet balance largely intact following the inflow.

This activity marks the first on-chain ETH accumulation tied to Lee-linked entities that Arkham has flagged in about three weeks. Arkham data also indicates the wallet holds only Ether, with no other token balances listed, suggesting a focused allocation rather than a diversified crypto portfolio.

Arkham has previously said Bitmine still has close to $1 billion available for potential Ethereum purchases. While neither Lee nor Bitmine has publicly commented on the latest transfer, the size and structure of the inflow point to continued institutional-scale exposure to Ether rather than short-term trading activity.

Ethereum tests $3,400 reclaim as support holdsMeanwhile, Ethereum traded near $3,310 on the daily ETHUSDT chart as price pushed into the $3,350 to $3,400 resistance band marked on the chart. At the same time, ETH held firm while Bitcoin pulled back, which kept the rebound structure intact. However, sellers still defended the same ceiling that capped earlier rallies, so the market stayed stuck at a decision level.

Ethereum TetherUS Daily Chart. Source: Ted Pillows via X

Ted Pillows (@TedPillows) said ETH is still trying to reclaim $3,350 to $3,400. He added that Ethereum has held up well despite the BTC correction. He also said a break above $3,400 with strong volume could produce a 10% to 15% weekly candle, which would signal momentum returning after weeks of choppy trading.

The chart mapped two clear paths from here. First, ETH can reclaim $3,400, then retest that zone as support, and then target the next resistance block near $3,900. Second, ETH can reject from the $3,350 to $3,400 band and rotate lower, where the chart highlighted the $3,058 support area as the first level to watch. If that floor fails, the next demand zones sit near $2,750 and $2,510, both tied to earlier bases and prior rebounds.

14h05 ▪ 5 min read ▪ by Ifeoluwa O.

Summarize this article with:

Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed strength as its price steadies after an extended period of market weakness. As conditions stabilize, Binance co-founder and former chief executive Changpeng Zhao (CZ) has maintained a highly optimistic long-term outlook, confident that Bitcoin is on course to reach $200,000 and stressing that the only uncertainty is timing. He also noted that an altcoin season is likely to arrive over time.

In brief CZ is confident that Bitcoin will eventually reach $200,000 and stresses that the only question is when this will happen He also mentions that an altcoin season is likely to arrive eventually, though it’s hard to predict when or which tokens will benefit. He emphasizes that meme coins with genuine significance tend to survive, while the majority fade over time. CZ Maintains Firm Conviction on Bitcoin’s Trajectory CZ shared his outlook during a recent ask-me-anything (AMA) session hosted on Binance Square. During the discussion, he emphasized that his view reflects a long-term belief rather than a near-term market call. According to CZ, Bitcoin reaching $200,000 is not a matter of speculation but a conclusion he sees as unavoidable over time. He later reinforced this position on X, where he underlined that the broader direction of Bitcoin’s value remains obvious to him.

This perspective aligns with views expressed by other market analysts. Fundstrat Global Advisors managing partner and head of research Tom Lee has also outlined a scenario in which Bitcoin advances toward the $200,000 to $250,000 range. Speaking during a CNBC interview, Lee explained that such price levels would represent a clear break from Bitcoin’s traditional four-year market cycle, which would normally suggest weaker performance during the current phase.

Lee attributed this shift to structural changes taking place across the financial system, noting that :

Rising institutional involvement is playing a central role in supporting Bitcoin’s recovery. This is complemented by ongoing development of blockchain-based products by major Wall Street firms, which further strengthens market infrastructure. Alongside these developments, increasing support from the U.S. government for the digital asset sector is reinforcing confidence and creating favorable conditions for the cryptocurrency. Market Data Shows Diverging Investor Behavior Alongside these broader views, Bitcoin has posted a short-term recovery, briefly climbing to $97,000 for the first time since mid-November before easing back toward $96,000. On-chain data suggests that this rebound is being shaped by a clear split between large and small holders. Analytics platform Santiment reported that since January 10, wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 Bitcoin have accumulated an additional 32,693 BTC, increasing their combined holdings by 0.24%.

At the same time, wallets holding less than 0.01 Bitcoin have moved in the opposite direction. Over the same period, these smaller holders reduced their exposure by 149 BTC, a 0.30% decline. This pattern indicates steady accumulation by larger investors while retail participation pulls back, a setup often associated with strengthening market conditions.

Whales Accumulate as Retail Sells—Bullish Signal for Bitcoin Bitcoin ETFs Activity and Altcoin Outlook Investor interest is also evident in the ETF market. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded total net inflows of $843.62 million in the latest session, marking the third consecutive day of positive flows following earlier outflows this year. The sustained activity points to renewed confidence among institutional participants.

Bitcoin Spot ETFs See Surge in Daily Inflows While remaining bullish on Bitcoin, CZ offered a more measured view of the broader market. He noted that an altcoin season is likely to emerge over time but emphasized that its timing, duration, and which tokens will benefit remain uncertain. 

Supporting this perspective, data from BlockchainCenter shows the altcoin season index at 37, indicating that the market has not yet entered an altcoin phase. The report also shows that the current streak without a season is 486 days, with 111 days since the last recorded altcoin season.

Extending this perspective, CZ also addressed meme coins, stating that only those with genuine historical or cultural foundations tend to endure, while more than 90% ultimately fade away.

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Ifeoluwa O.

Ifeoluwa specializes in Web3 writing and marketing, with over 5 years of experience creating insightful and strategic content. Beyond this, he trades crypto and is skilled at conducting technical, fundamental, and on-chain analyses.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

By mid-january 2026, Bitcoin price rose about 12%, surpassing the $95K resistance level after a period of stagnation. This rise is fueled by strong institutional demand and positive macro conditions. However, short-term catalysts are uncertain, though key on-chain factors point to a bullish outlook.

Institutional Demand Reignites BTC Price MomentumThe Bitcoin price chart, which has recently jumped above $95K, has been largely bolstered by rising institutional interest, particularly through spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).

Recent data indicate that spot BTC ETFs’ weekly inflows of $1.8 billion were the largest influx since early October. This suggests a resurgence of investor confidence.

This week’s momentum in the Bitcoin price was further complemented by Strategy’s aggressive accumulation. Michael Saylor publicly disclosed that it increased its total holdings close to 687,410 BTC.

Such large-scale corporate purchases serve as a clear indicator of long-term conviction. This strongly reinforces the narrative of Bitcoin as a treasury asset.

Regulatory Dynamics and Macro Sentiment Influence Price DirectionBeyond institutional strength, the BTC price rally was also influenced by broader macro and regulatory developments. As an early draft of the Clarity Act which was circulated, prompted optimism about future crypto regulation that led to rise in price. However, rise remained brief, as an in-depth analysis of the draft sparked opposition from the Coinbase CEO, leading the Senate to delay the bill’s markup, which created mixed sentiment in the current market.

While this delay was necessary, it has sustained near-term momentum and reminded traders of the ongoing regulatory uncertainty that continues to temper any acceleration in Bitcoin’s price. That underscores the need for clear, favorable legislation, as this could further unlock institutional flows and bolster the Bitcoin price forecast narrative.

In addition, easing geopolitical tensions contributed to short-term risk-on sentiment, too. Reports suggest that potential conflict triggers in the Middle East were being de-escalated that also provided mild support for risk assets, including Bitcoin and broader crypto markets.

On-Chain Buying Signals Improve Supply–Demand StructureBeyond flows and macro events, on-chain metrics are also pointing toward healthier accumulation dynamics. A key metric, the 90-day Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), has shifted toward a taker buy dominance phase. 

This suggests buy-side pressure is growing relative to sell-side activity, indicating that sellers are being absorbed and the supply-demand structure is improving.

The combination of institutional ETF inflows and positive on-chain indicators paints a picture of strengthening fundamental support for the BTC price prediction in early 2026.

BTC Price Eyes Critical Technical BreakoutsTechnically, on the daily chart, Bitcoin price now faces the dynamic resistance posed by the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). A successful flip of this level could propel the BTC price toward the next psychological target near $108,000.

For now, the market’s direction hinges on continued institutional participation, regulatory clarity, and the evolving macro landscape.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

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The cryptocurrency market rally has stalled after Bitcoin briefly touched the $98k level on Wednesday. 

At press time, Bitcoin is trading above $95,500, up 5% in the last seven days.

Leading altcoins Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) followed BTC’s footsteps, hovering around key levels after their upside moves. 

Market analysts are optimistic that Bitcoin’s price could push towards the $100k psychological mark if the current support level holds.  

Bitcoin stays above the $94k support level Copy link to section

Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is trading above $95,500, down 1.5% in the last 24 hours.

The pullback comes after Bitcoin added more than 5% to its value this week, briefly touching the $98k level.

Analysts are optimistic that Bitcoin could rally higher, with some calling the asset undervalued. 

In an email to Invezz, Ruslan Lienkha, chief of markets at YouHodler, pointed out that Bitcoin has shown a clear divergence from other risk assets, particularly US equities, over the past few months. 

Given Bitcoin’s inherent volatility, such divergences do occur but are typically temporary.

The recent price action suggests that BTC is now moving toward a fairer valuation, closer to its previous all-time highs, rather than running ahead of fundamentals.

Lienkha added that,

“I do not expect prolonged stalling at current levels. Instead, Bitcoin is more likely to either retest the $90K area or continue higher toward $100K. From a technical perspective, $100K represents the next significant resistance level, while the $90K zone would act as the nearest meaningful support in the event of a pullback.”

The analyst added that if US equity indices continue trading near all-time highs, reflecting strong investor confidence and relatively supportive financial conditions, Bitcoin could continue to close the performance gap and potentially move toward its previous all-time high.

Bitcoin could rally to $100k if the support level holds Copy link to section

The BTC/USD 4H Chart remains bullish and efficient despite the ongoing pullback.

BTC rose to a two-month high of $98k on Wednesday after finding support around the previously broken upper consolidation zone at $90,000 last week.

The momentum indicators suggest that the bulls are still in control. If the $94,253 support level holds, Bitcoin could extend the surge toward the key psychological $100,000 level.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart reads 65, above the neutral level of 50, indicating the bulls still have control of the momentum. 

In addition to that, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish crossover that remains intact.

On the flip side, if the $94,253 level fails to hold, BTC could extend the decline toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $92,207. The support level at $90k could also come into play if the bears push the price lower.

Quantum threats prompt reevaluation of digital assets by institutional investors. Photo: Just_Super/Getty Images

Key Takeaways Christopher Wood, a renowned equity strategist at Jefferies, has decided to divest from Bitcoin. The decision stems from concerns about quantum computing potentially compromising Bitcoin's security architecture. Jefferies’ Global Head of Equity Strategy Christopher Wood has removed Bitcoin from his model portfolio over fears that advances in quantum computing could eventually undermine its long-term viability as a store of value.

Writing in his Greed & Fear newsletter, Wood said the technology may arrive sooner than expected and poses an existential risk to Bitcoin’s security and mining system.

The Jefferies strategist added Bitcoin to his model portfolio in 2020 and raised the allocation to 10%. He has now exited the position entirely, reallocating to 5% in physical gold and 5% in gold-mining stocks.

About four months ago, Wood argued that both gold and Bitcoin served as core hedges against dollar debasement. He emphasized Bitcoin’s appeal to younger generations but said gold’s centuries-long history gave it an advantage.

While quantum technology remains in early stages, experts note it poses a structural vulnerability to Bitcoin’s protocol if scalable advances materialize.

The move signals that quantum risk is now entering mainstream asset allocation discussions, prompting some institutional investors to reevaluate their crypto exposure.

Disclaimer

Bitcoin price has once again notched a strong higher high, pushing to the doorstep of a key resistance near $98,100. The structure has remained constructive since the November rebound, when price flipped the trend and started reclaiming levels that previously acted as bearish pressure. After tagging the $98,000 zone, momentum has cooled, and BTC is now compressing into a tight range. Sellers have repeatedly defended the $97,000 area, while buyers continue to absorb supply near $95,000. This has left a clear footprint of accumulation versus distribution as volatility tightens.

With Bitcoin now coiling between active shorts overhead and late longs trapped beneath, the next move is likely to be decisive. The key question is no longer whether BTC is strong, but which side gets forced to unwind first.

BTC Liquidity is Getting Stacked on Both SidesBitcoin is stuck in a classic “pause after impulse” phase. After a strong run-up, BTC is now compressing near the mid-$95K zone. Here, the buyers absorb dips and sellers defend overhead supply. This kind of tight range often acts like a pressure cooker, where liquidity builds on both sides before the next move. The chart below highlights where leverage is clustered and where stop losses likely sit. It also indicates which zones could trigger a fast breakout or breakdown.

Source: XThis is a 15-minute BTCUSDT CoinAnk view combining liquidity heatmaps, liquidation levels, and a volume profile. Price surged into the high-$97K/near-$98K area, then rotated lower and began consolidating around $95,700. The dense horizontal bands show stacked liquidity, with heavier concentration above $97K–$98K and below $95K. The right-side volume profile suggests strong participation around the mid-range, while “B/S” markers indicate buy/sell activity near key swing zones.

Key liquidity zones to watch nextShort-side risk (resistance): BTC faces layered sell pressure at $96.8K → $97.2K → $97.9K, where short-liquidation clusters sit just above recent local highs. With volume thinning beyond $98K, even a brief push into this band could force shorts to cover and spark a quick squeeze back toward the prior top.

Long-side risk (support): Support is stacked at $95.2K → $94.8K → $94.0K, with a thick pocket of long liquidations below recent lows. Buyers have shown a clear footprint around $95K, but if $94K breaks, downside risk expands into a deeper liquidation zone, potentially dragging price toward $92K.

What to Expect From Bitcoin Price in the Next 48 HoursBitcoin is likely setting up for a range expansion after this tight consolidation. The trigger levels are clear: if BTC pushes through $96.8K–$97.9K and flips $98K into support, a quick short squeeze could occur. On the downside, bulls must defend $95K. A clean break below $94K would invalidate the support thesis and trigger a faster flush below $92K.

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Korea University's Blockchain Research Institute has partnered with Injective, joining its global ecosystem as a validator to strengthen ties between academia and the blockchain industry.

Crypto markets are heading into 2026 with the next major adjustment showing up less in price and more in plumbing, as macro uncertainty collides with a bitcoin BTC cycle increasingly shaped by institutional flows and tightening market structure, according to a new outlook from Kraken.

In a note published on Thursday, Kraken Global Economist Thomas Perfumo argued that bitcoin remains the primary lens for risk sentiment but said the channels for demand, liquidity, and risk have changed. He pointed to the growing role of U.S.-listed spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds and digital asset treasury companies in shaping price discovery — even as headline gains have lagged the scale of inflows.

Perfumo wrote that in 2025, those vehicles represented nearly $44 billion of net spot demand for bitcoin, yet market performance “disappointed relative to expectations,” as long-term holders supplied much of the marketable inventory. "The result is a market that absorbs enormous inflows without the reflexive upside seen in prior cycles," Perfumo stated.

In his view, this structural read has landed as macro forces remain the dominant swing factor. Perfumo described modest growth expectations, sticky inflation, and a slower pace of policy easing as key constraints on risk assets. He warned that periods of calm can mask deferred volatility, particularly if liquidity conditions tighten again.

Kraken’s outlook also presented stablecoins and regulation as additional structural pillars for 2026. Perfumo said stablecoin liquidity has hit all-time highs and asserted that U.S. regulatory momentum — such as stablecoin legislation like the GENIUS Act and the push toward broader market structure reform — could reshape how onchain liquidity forms and where crypto innovation clusters.

At the same time, crypto’s next leg may depend on whether institutional vehicles regain momentum. Kraken said ETF inflows slowed in 2025 versus 2024 and argued that treasury firms could face a tougher path issuing equity as premiums compress, limiting their ability to drive another powerful impulse higher in bitcoin without a clear risk-on backdrop.

Diversification through bitcoin Cathie Wood struck a similar macro-first tone in ARK Invest’s 2026 outlook, highlighting how capital has rotated between traditional hedges and digital assets. Wood noted that in 2025, gold rose 65% while bitcoin slipped 6%, even as bitcoin’s longer-run supply profile remains structurally constrained compared with commodities whose production can respond to price.

Also, Wood posited that bitcoin has maintained a low correlation with major asset classes in recent years, reinforcing its case as a portfolio diversifier during volatile macro regimes. "Interestingly, the correlation between bitcoin and gold is lower than that between the S&P 500 and bonds," she said. “In other words, bitcoin should be a good source of diversification for asset allocators looking for higher returns per unit of risk during the years ahead.”

For traders, the question is whether the recent move toward $100,000 becomes a breakout or a pause. Ruslan Lienkha, chief of markets at YouHodler, said bitcoin looks “undervalued” versus U.S. equities after months of divergence and expects the market to either retest $90,000 or continue toward $100,000, which he described as the next significant resistance level.

Beyond bitcoin Beyond bitcoin, Kraken flagged tokenization and DeFi token economics as longer-dated drivers that could influence liquidity formation in 2026. Analysts from Standard Chartered shared a similar view. As The Block previously reported, the bank expects Ethereum to outperform its peers as more institutions onboard tokenized real-world assets to the network.

Perfumo added that tokenized financial assets have grown sharply over the past year and stated that tokenization of widely held assets — including large-cap U.S. equities — could open new sources of global demand and onchain settlement activity.

The throughline across all three views is that 2026 may look less like a familiar crypto “cycle” and more like a macro-driven stress test, where structure — how liquidity enters, how it gets expressed, and where it concentrates — matters as much as price.

Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.

© 2026 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

It is tied to Cardano (ADA) and Chainlink (LINK), alongside Stellar (XLM), this coming February 9, pending regulatory approval. These standardized agreements allow traders to buy or sell a contract at a set price in the future, offering a regulated way to manage risk or gain exposure to digital assets without holding the tokens directly.

What the Futures Launch Means for Markets Futures are agreements to trade an asset at a future date for a set price. They help institutions hedge price swings or express views on future market moves without owning the asset itself. For example, a fund worried about ADA’s price could use a futures contract to balance potential losses, rather than buying and selling ADA tokens directly on unregulated platforms.

Our Crypto product suite is growing with new Cardano, Chainlink and Stellar futures. 🚀

Available in both larger and micro sizes, these contracts will offer the capital efficiency and versatility to expand your strategy. ➡️ https://t.co/kl3EMcEzFi pic.twitter.com/HUC6rUPSSP

— CME Group (@CMEGroup) January 15, 2026

CME Group will offer both standard and micro contract sizes for ADA and LINK, easing access for a range of participants. Standard contracts represent larger positions, while micro contracts let smaller traders engage with less capital at risk. This is especially relevant in early 2026 as data shows crypto derivatives volume at CME increasing sharply.

JUST IN: @CMEGroup, the world’s largest derivatives exchange, has announced LINK and Micro LINK futures contracts.https://t.co/t9Fa3JBKIE pic.twitter.com/QXeprcvbFA

— Chainlink (@chainlink) January 15, 2026

Alongside Cardano and Chainlink, CME already lists futures for Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, and Solana. Expanding this lineup reflects growing institutional interest in regulated access to digital assets beyond the two biggest chains.

More About Chainlink Chainlink Reserve increased its holdings by adding 82,057.64 LINK, bringing the total balance to 1,586,266.80 LINK. The move highlights ongoing treasury management activity within the Chainlink ecosystem, where reserves are used to support long term development, incentives, and network stability.

⚡️ LATEST: Chainlink Reserve added 82,057.64 $LINK, bringing total holdings to 1,586,266.80 $LINK. pic.twitter.com/lRs0x9bSNH

— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) January 15, 2026

Steady reserve growth can signal confidence in the project’s future and a focus on maintaining resources to fund operations as the network continues to expand.

Disclaimer The information provided by Altcoin Buzz is not financial advice. It is intended solely for educational, entertainment, and informational purposes. Any opinions or strategies shared are those of the writer/reviewers, and their risk tolerance may differ from yours. We are not liable for any losses you may incur from investments related to the information given. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are high-risk assets; therefore, conduct thorough due diligence. Copyright Altcoin Buzz Pte Ltd.

Cover image via www.freepik.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

Today is Friday, Jan. 16, and the crypto market just gave us three major setups going into the weekend: XRP saw a 1.21% supply dip due to the use of ETF, Shiba Inu (SHIB) triggered a golden cross with 23% upside to the 200-day average and Cardano just nailed a legendary cup-and-handle formation with 28% rally potential.

TL;DR$1.51 billion worth of XRP now parked inside U.S. ETFs — 1.21% of supply off the table.Shiba Inu (SHIB) golden cross between 23 and 50-day MAs targets $0.00001044, or 23% upside.Cardano (ADA) forms classic breakout pattern, sets sights on $0.517 if $0.423 neckline is cleared.XRP stunned with $1.5 billion cut from circulationXRP just hit a big milestone that not many people are talking about, but many will be soon: as of Jan. 15, $1.51 billion in XRP is now locked inside U.S. spot ETFs. That is 1.21% of XRP's total supply, wrapped and taken out of the trading pool.

This is not a burn, though. These tokens are not gone, but they are basically out of sight for now. They are passive and not feeding volatility. That is the structural change that no one is pricing in for XRP, as it seems by looking at the TradingView chart.

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After cooling slightly in early January, inflows surged again this week, adding $55.71 million across XRPC (Canary), XRPZ (Franklin) and GXRP (Grayscale). This latest push brings the total inflows of ETFs to $1.27 billion, with most of it now converted into XRP and held in custody. This makes XRP the third most accumulated altcoin by ETF volume, behind only BTC and ETH.

Source: SoSoValueKey tickers like XRPZ and GXRP each added over $3 million in daily inflow, while Bitwise's XRP product leads with $7.16 million in new buys. Meanwhile, $659,000 flowed out of XRPC (Canary) — the only negative print of the day.

With this level of demand, the price structure is showing signs of anchoring near the ETF Net Asset Values, currently orbiting $2.01-$2.07, per SoSoValue. XRP is currently holding near $2.10 after a surge in early January, and the next move will depend on whether buyers can push the price back up to $2.32, which is the 200-day moving average.

If inflows keep up and Q1 ETF demand hits $2 billion, XRP might enter a new phase: low-volatility institutional behavior. Think less cryptocurrency, more commodity.

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Shiba Inu (SHIB) finally delivers golden cross: Get ready for 23% rallyShiba Inu just did something it had not done since November: it closed above its 50-day average. And more importantly, it confirmed a golden cross between the 23-day and 50-day moving averages — a setup that targets the 200-day moving average at $0.00001044, exactly 23% above the current price.

This is more than just a technical thing; the popular meme coin is close to overtaking a bunch of so-called utility coins in the CoinMarketCap ranking. Its current valuation of $4.98 billion is just $100-200 million away from flipping Hedera (HBAR), Litecoin (LTC) and even stablecoin Dai (DAI). 

SHIB/USD by TradingViewIf things keep going like this for the Shiba Inu coin, it might even pass Avalanche (AVAX) at $5.92 billion.

Momentum is not guaranteed, but it is growing, as the price structure has improved a lot. SHIB has reclaimed its 50-day curve and is sitting just below $0.00000900 at the moment, with the trigger zone at $0.0000095. Once it is breached, the repricing could happen fast — just like it did in March 2024, when a similar formation led to a 39% move in just two weeks.

The golden cross is rare on SHIB because it is pretty volatile, but when it happens, SHIB often jumps up in the ranks quickly. The next few sessions will show if this is a fakeout or the start of SHIB's Q1 leaderboard breakout.

Is Cardano next silver? Legendary bull pattern says yesCardano has one of the clearest cup-and-handle patterns in the whole crypto market right now, and it is not just a bullish sign on paper. This setup led to 100%+ price hikes in gold and silver last year, making them the first and second most valuable assets. In the world.

The technicals are spot-on: a deep, rounded base, which is the cup, followed by a narrow handle formation that is currently ranging between $0.387 and $0.404, all compressing beneath the neckline at $0.423. If ADA breaks above that level, the measured move points to $0.517, which is a 28% rally from spot, as visible on Ali Martinez's chart.

Source: Ali MartinezThe situation is especially important because it is happening to a top 10 altcoin during a low-volatility phase. While Ethereum is stalling and XRP is seeing inflows, diverting price action sideways, Cardano's ADA is now one of the few majors with a fresh structure and upside trigger.

The pattern mirrors setups that previously launched silver and gold out of multiyear accumulation phases. 

If Cardano follows the script, this breakout could be the start of a sustained multi-week rally. This could put an end to all the speculation about ADA's sustainability among the crypto elite.

Is Bitcoin about to detonate altcoin breakouts?Bitcoin's price is still hovering around $96,000, and the ETF flow data for Jan. 15 shows $100 million worth of inflows. You can see volatility compression across the board, but that is exactly when setups tend to break out — a quiet spell, then boom.

XRP: Holding around $2.05, right below the 200-day MA of $2.32. Keep an eye on how much is flowing into the ETF. The price might hit the $2.07 NAV zone before any push.Shiba Inu (SHIB): The trend is back on track with a golden cross. The key trigger zone is still at $0.00000950, with a target of $0.00001044. And the flows are getting faster and faster.Cardano (ADA): Watch the $0.423 neckline for a cup-and-handle breakout. If it is cleared, the target pattern is $0.517.Weekend moves might depend on whether BTC breaks its own compression range. If that happens, we could see a surge of capital into breakout setups like SHIB and ADA, while XRP continues to be driven by rebalancing related to the ETF. 

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Interactive Brokers adds USDC deposits, giving clients instant funding and faster access to global markets.

Market Sentiment:

Bullish Bearish Neutral

Published: January 16, 2026 │ 11:00 AM GMT

Created by Kornelija Poderskytė from DailyCoin

Interactive Brokers (IBKR), one of the largest investing brokerages in the world, has introduced a feature allowing eligible clients to fund their accounts using USD Coin (USDC). 

The platform now supports near-instant stablecoin deposits 24/7, including weekends and holidays, giving clients access to trading across over 170 global markets within minutes.

How Stablecoin Funding WorksClients can send USDC from personal crypto wallets to a secure wallet generated by Zerohash on supported networks, including Ethereum, Solana, and Base. 

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Once received, IBKR automatically converts the stablecoins into U.S. dollars, which are credited to the client’s brokerage account. IBKR does not charge deposit fees, however, clients are responsible for blockchain network fees, and Zerohash applies a 0.3% conversion fee per deposit, with a minimum of $1.

The brokerage said the service provides a faster, lower-cost alternative to traditional bank wires, which are often limited by processing times and international transfer restrictions.

IBKR plans to add support for Ripple’s RLUSD and PayPal’s PYUSD next week, broadening client options and streamlining deposits via digital assets.

IBKR Sees Rapid Account GrowthInteractive Brokers offers trading across multiple asset classes, including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds, commodities, funds, and cryptocurrencies, operating in over 160 global markets in 28 currencies and serving clients in more than 200 countries. 

Stock investing is increasingly popular globally and via mobile devices, trends that have helped IBKR grow its client base and capture market share in deposits.

As of December, IBKR had 4.4 million active client accounts, a 32% year-over-year increase, driving revenue growth to $1.655 billion in Q3, up 21% year-over-year.

Following the announcement, IBKR’s stock rose nearly 4% to $75.50, an all-time high at the time of reporting.

Why This MattersStablecoin deposits enable clients to fund their accounts more quickly and access global markets with greater efficiency. Interactive Brokers joins a growing number of brokerages bridging cryptocurrency with traditional finance, offering investors greater speed, flexibility, and liquidity.

Discover DailyCoin’s hottest crypto news now:
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People Also Ask:What is Interactive Brokers (IBKR)?

Interactive Brokers is a global brokerage firm offering trading in stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds, commodities, funds, and cryptocurrencies. It operates in over 160 markets across 28 currencies and serves clients in more than 200 countries.

How does funding a brokerage account with USDC work?

Clients send USDC from a personal crypto wallet to a brokerage-provided wallet. Once received, the brokerage converts it into USD and credits the client’s account, usually within minutes.

What blockchains can I use for USDC deposits?

Deposits can often be sent via supported networks such as Ethereum, Solana, and Base, but availability depends on the brokerage’s infrastructure.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Deposits are typically near-instant and available 24/7, unlike traditional bank transfers that may take several hours or days and may not process on weekends or holidays.

DailyCoin's Vibe Check: Which way are you leaning towards after reading this article?

Market Sentiment

0% Neutral

This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein shall be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs pose a considerable risk of loss.

In 2025, Binance cemented its crypto market dominance, handling nearly $7 trillion in spot trades and over $25 trillion in Bitcoin perpetual futures.

Brian Njuguna2 min read

16 January 2026, 12:01 PM

Source: ShutterstockBinance Dominates Crypto Market in 2025 with Unmatched Liquidity and ActivityIn 2025, Binance solidified its status as the crypto market leader, dominating trading volume, liquidity, and on-chain activity, setting an unprecedented benchmark, according to analyst Ali Martinez.

Binance dominated global crypto in 2025, logging nearly $7 trillion in spot volume and over $25 trillion in Bitcoin perpetual futures, far ahead of other crypto exchanges, while holding the deepest stablecoin reserves to ensure unmatched liquidity and execution, even in turbulent markets.

Well, Binance’s dominance goes beyond trading volume, it reflects unmatched reliability and infrastructure. While other exchanges faced congestion and liquidity gaps, Binance consistently delivered seamless execution and deep order books, cementing its status as the preferred platform for retail and institutional traders alike.

While Binance led the market in 2025, Bybit, MEXC, and Crypto.com followed in spot volume, showing strong adoption and innovation. Yet none matched Binance’s unmatched combination of trading volume, liquidity, and on-chain activity.

Binance’s performance highlights a key market lesson that true dominance stems from reliable infrastructure, deep liquidity, and efficient execution. 

As crypto markets mature, platforms that deliver consistent usability and secure, liquid markets will shape the long-term landscape, making Binance a bellwether for market health and activity.

ConclusionBinance’s 2025 performance shows that true crypto leadership isn’t just about price swings. Leading in spot and futures volumes, holding the largest stablecoin reserves, and driving record on-chain activity, Binance proved that liquidity, reliability, and execution define dominance. 

While Bybit, MEXC, and Crypto.com posted strong results, Binance’s scale and infrastructure set the industry benchmark, cementing its position as the central hub for traders and investors.

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Brian Njuguna is a seasoned crypto journalist at Coinpaper, specializing in blockchain innovation, market trends, and regulatory developments. With a background in economics and years of experience covering the digital asset space, Brian delivers sharp, data-driven insights that cut through the hype. His reporting bridges global crypto narratives with emerging market perspectives, making complex topics accessible to a wide audience.

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TLDR Ethereum ETFs saw a total daily net inflow of $164.37 million, with cumulative inflows reaching $12.91 billion. ETHA on NASDAQ leads with the highest 1-day net inflow of $149.16 million and net assets of $11.75 billion. ETH on NYSE posted a 1-day net inflow of $15.21 million, with net assets of $2.52 billion. Several Ethereum ETFs, including ETHE, FETH, and ETHW, reported no net inflows or outflows. TETH and QETH on CBOE also showed no net inflows, with net assets of $41.56 million and $28.59 million, respectively. According to an update by SoSoValue as of January 15, the total daily net inflow across Ethereum ETFs stands at $164.37 million. The cumulative total net inflow has reached $12.91 billion, with a total value traded of $1.59 billion. The total net assets for these Ethereum ETFs are $20.46 billion, representing 5.15% of the Ethereum market cap.

ETHA Leads Ethereum ETFs with $149.16M Inflow Tracking the market trend of individual Ethereum ETFs, ETHA on NASDAQ leads with the highest 1-day net inflow of $149.16 million.  The net assets for ETHA stand at $11.75 billion, capturing a 2.96% share of Ethereum’s market.

Source: SoSoValue (Ethereum ETFs) The ETF’s market price is $24.83, down by -2.97%, with a daily value traded of $966.01 million and a daily volume of 38.54 million. ETH on NYSE posted a 1-day net inflow of $15.21 million and holds net assets of $2.52 billion.

The ETF’s premium/discount increased by +0.05%, but the market price fell by -2.91%. It represents a 0.63% share of Ethereum’s market. The daily value traded was $261.36 million, with a volume of 8.34 million shares.

Other Ethereum ETFs Record Zero Inflow and Outflow ETHE on NYSE reported no inflows, with a 1-day net inflow of $0. The ETF’s premium/discount showed a slight increase of +0.01%.  FETH on CBOE reported no net inflows, with net assets of $2.67 billion. The Ethereum ETF holds a 0.62% share of Ethereum’s market, and its market price decreased by -2.93%, closing at $32.78.

ETHW on NYSE saw $0 inflows or outflows, with net assets of $454.59 million. ETHE on CBOE reported a minor decrease of -0.04% in its premium, with a net inflow of $0. EZET Ethereum ETF on CBOE has no net inflow, with a small premium/discount change of -0.03%.

TETH on CBOE had no net inflow, with net assets of $41.56 million, representing just 0.01% of the Ethereum market share. The ETF’s market price dropped by -2.87% to $16.42. It traded $6.88 million with 415.20K shares. QETH on CBOE showed no net inflow of $0.00, with net assets at $28.59 million, holding 0.01% of Ethereum’s market.

Matrixport says Bitcoin’s on‑chain health is improving after Q4 stress, with downside risks fading but limited new capital arguing for selective, low‑leverage exposure.

Summary

Matrixport notes Bitcoin’s Q4 2024 selling pressure and liquidity stress are easing, with structural supports holding and downside risks looking more contained.​ Valuation and positioning indicators have stabilized, yet a lack of strong spot inflows and long‑term holder urgency still caps breakout potential.​ The firm recommends a measured, selective strategy rather than aggressive risk‑on, keeping leverage tight while BTC grinds out of its fragile phase.​ Cryptocurrency analytics firm Matrixport said Bitcoin’s (BTC) on-chain structure has begun to recover following stress observed in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to the company’s latest market assessment.

Matrixport offers Bitcoin outlook The market outlook appears more constructive if prices remain above critical structural support levels, the company stated. Matrixport reported that various valuation and positioning indicators have stabilized, suggesting downside risks have diminished and the market is emerging from a fragile period rather than entering a new sharp decline.

Significant obstacles to recovery remain, according to the analysis. Limited new capital inflows and a lack of apparent urgency among long-term investors are constraining upward momentum, Matrixport said.

Strong breakouts are unlikely to be sustainable without fresh money inflows into the market, the company stated.

Current conditions favor a measured and selective approach rather than aggressive positioning, Matrixport noted in its overall assessment.

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Protests, inflation and local currency collapse in Iran have prompted citizens to turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. Iranians have been withdrawing BTC from exchanges to their personal wallets.

Blockchain intelligence firm Chainalysis observed a significant shift in the on-chain behavior from December 28, 2025, to January 8, 2026.

When Iran’s blanket internet blackout began early this month, the number of daily transfers to personal wallets increased, Chainalysis said.

“This surge suggests Iranians are taking possession of Bitcoin at a markedly higher rate during protests than they were beforehand.”

Iranians Respond to Rial CollapseIranian currency – rial – sank to an all-time low, nearly losing all of its value against major currencies like the euro. Since late 2025, the currency has continued to weaken sharply in the open market with viral claims that it has fallen to ‘zero’ against USD.

As reported earlier, the country has also been offering to sell advanced weapons systems, including missiles and warships, to foreign governments for crypto.

For many Iranians, digital assets have become an “element of resistance,” providing liquidity in the restricted economic environment.

“The pattern of increased BTC withdrawals during times of heightened instability reflects a global trend we’ve observed in other regions experiencing war, economic turmoil, or government crackdowns,” Chainalysis report noted.

Comparison of daily average withdrawals pre and post protests. Source: ChainalysisIRGC’s Dominance Within Iran’s Crypto LandscapeChainalysis noted that apart from ordinary Iranians, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), a multi-service primary branch of the Iranian Armed Forces, has also extensively pivoted to crypto.

The IRGC’s on-chain activity showed 50% of Iran’s crypto ecosystem in Q4 2025, reflecting its dominance in the nation’s economy.

“Iran’s crypto ecosystem reached over $7.78 billion in 2025, having grown at a notably faster pace compared to the year prior,” the report added.

Last week, two UK-based crypto exchanges processed approximately $1 billion in transactions linked to the IRGC.

The institutional bitcoin manager expands its mandate as demand for professional risk-managed digital asset strategies grows.

CME Group, the world’s largest derivatives marketplace, is set to broaden its crypto product lineup with the launch of futures contracts for Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK), and Stellar (XLM). Trading is scheduled to begin on February 9, subject to regulatory approval. The move marks another step in CME’s push to bring more regulated crypto derivatives to the market, particularly for established altcoins beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.

New Futures Contracts for Major AltcoinsThe newly announced futures will be offered in both standard and micro contract sizes, making them accessible to a wide range of market participants. Standard contracts will represent 100,000 ADA, 5,000 LINK, or 250,000 XLM, while micro contracts will cover 10,000 ADA, 250 LINK, or 12,500 XLM.

By introducing micro-sized contracts, CME is lowering the barrier to entry for smaller traders while still catering to institutional investors that require larger exposure and capital efficiency. According to CME, the contracts are designed to offer greater flexibility, allowing traders to hedge risk or build more precise trading strategies within a regulated framework.

Rising Demand for Regulated Crypto DerivativesThe launch comes amid strong growth in CME’s crypto derivatives business. In 2025, CME reported record activity across its crypto products, with average daily volume jumping 139% to around 278,000 contracts. This represented roughly $12 billion in notional value, highlighting increasing demand from institutions for regulated exposure to digital assets.

With the addition of ADA, LINK, and XLM futures, CME continues to expand a crypto lineup that already includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana futures and options. All products remain subject to oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), reinforcing CME’s focus on compliance and regulatory clarity.

Muted Price Reaction, Strong Long-Term SignalDespite the significance of the announcement, prices of Cardano, Chainlink, and Stellar showed little immediate reaction. ADA and XLM posted modest daily declines, while LINK remained relatively stable, reflecting broader market softness rather than asset-specific weakness.

Market observers note that muted short-term price action is not unusual following CME announcements. Similar patterns were seen when CME introduced futures and options for other major altcoins. Over time, however, these listings tend to signal growing institutional acceptance rather than immediate speculative momentum.

What This Means for the Crypto MarketCrypto user, Marco Salzmann, says CME’s upcoming futures for ADA, LINK, and XLM are a market-structure milestone, not a hype event. He explains that CME is a core institutional derivatives venue, offering standardized contracts, central clearing, daily mark-to-market, and strict risk controls, features institutions prefer over most crypto-native platforms. 

These futures improve price discovery, enable hedging, basis trades, and professional market making, helping deepen liquidity over time. However, he stresses that futures aren’t automatically bullish, as they also enable short exposure and can raise short-term volatility. The real signals to watch after launch are volume, open interest, spreads, basis stability, and orderly price action. For XLM in particular, he frames the CME listing as a key step toward institutional-grade market maturity rather than an instant price catalyst.

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FAQsWhen will CME launch futures for ADA, LINK, and XLM?

CME plans to launch Cardano, Chainlink, and Stellar futures on February 9, pending regulatory approval, expanding its regulated crypto derivatives lineup.

Why is CME launching futures for altcoins like ADA, LINK, and XLM?

The launch reflects growing institutional demand for regulated exposure, better price discovery, and risk management beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Are CME crypto futures bullish for ADA, LINK, and XLM prices?

Not necessarily. Futures improve market structure and liquidity but also allow short selling, so price impact depends on long-term usage, not hype.

How do CME futures benefit the broader crypto market?

They enhance transparency, hedging, and institutional participation, helping mature crypto markets through regulated trading and stronger liquidity.

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ARK’s Cathie Wood says Bitcoin’s low correlation and fixed supply make it a powerful diversification tool, after a 360% price surge since late 2022.

Summary

ARK’s 2026 outlook shows Bitcoin’s weekly return correlation to gold at 0.14 and to bonds at 0.06, below links seen among traditional assets.​ Bitcoin’s protocol caps supply growth near 0.8% annually before dropping to ~0.4%, creating structural scarcity as demand from institutions rises.​ Wood says BTC’s 360% gain since late 2022 could push it toward a core role in both retail and institutional portfolios as a diversifier.​ ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood stated in the firm’s 2026 outlook report that Bitcoin will serve as an effective diversification tool for investment portfolios in coming years, according to the report released by the investment management company.

Wood noted that Bitcoin’s (BTC) low correlation with traditional asset classes including gold, stocks, and bonds provides investors with potential for higher returns per unit of risk, the report stated.

An analysis conducted by ARK Invest examining weekly returns between January 2020 and early January 2026 demonstrated Bitcoin’s portfolio diversification characteristics, according to the firm’s data. The correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and gold measured 0.14, compared to the 0.27 correlation between the S&P 500 index and bonds, the analysis showed.

Bitcoin’s correlation with bonds registered at 0.06, while its correlation with the S&P 500 reached 0.28, according to the data. Both figures remain limited compared to correlations between traditional asset classes, the report indicated.

Wood attributed Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition to its supply structure, stating that the Bitcoin protocol strictly limits supply growth. The annual rate of increase in new Bitcoin supply is projected at approximately 0.8% over the next two years, declining to around 0.4% thereafter, according to the forecast. The mathematically determined and predictable supply structure creates natural scarcity, Wood stated in the report.

The combination of limited and predictable supply with increasing global demand has driven Bitcoin’s price approximately 360% higher since the end of 2022, according to Wood. The ARK Invest CEO stated that continuation of these dynamics could position Bitcoin in a more central role in portfolios for institutional and individual investors.

ARK Invest is a New York-based investment management firm specializing in thematic and disruptive innovation strategies.