Market Signal Briefing

Viasat, a leader in satellite connectivity, reported a notable insider sale amid a year of strong stock performance and rapid sector growth.

On Dec. 15, 2025, Mark D. Dankberg, Chairman and CEO of Viasat (VSAT +8.94%), executed the open-market sale of 200,000 shares, valued at approximately $7.0 million, through indirect trust holdings according to the SEC Form 4 filing.

Transaction summaryMetricValueShares sold (indirect)200,000Transaction value$7.0 millionPost-transaction shares (indirect)1,534,993Transaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average purchase price ($35.09); post-transaction value based on Dec. 15, 2025 market close.

Key questionsDid the sale impact direct or indirect ownership, and how were the trusts involved?
The entire sale was executed through an indirect family trust account, reducing trust holdings by 11.53%.How does this transaction relate to Viasat's recent stock performance and valuation?
The sale occurred with Viasat shares priced at around $35.09, following a 285% one-year total return as of Dec. 15, 2025, suggesting the transaction was timed during a period of significant price appreciation.What does the Rule 10b5-1 plan disclosure indicate about intent or trading cadence?
The filing notes this transaction was made pursuant to a Rule 10b5-1 plan adopted on Sept. 15, 2025, reflecting a pre-scheduled approach rather than opportunistic trading, and aligns with a capacity-driven reduction in trust-held shares.Company overviewMetricValuePrice (as of market close Dec. 15, 2025)$35.09Market capitalization$4.57 billionRevenue (TTM)$4.58 billion1-year price change284.64%*1-year price change calculated using Dec. 15, 2025 as the reference date.

Company snapshotViasat offers satellite-based broadband internet, in-flight connectivity, mobile broadband, and secure communications solutions across commercial and government markets.Revenue is generated through subscription-based services, hardware sales, and long-term service contracts leveraging proprietary satellite infrastructure and network technology.Its primary customers include consumers, enterprises, commercial airlines, maritime operators, and government agencies seeking reliable, high-capacity connectivity solutions.Viasat operates as a leading provider of satellite communications and broadband connectivity, serving a diverse global client base. The company leverages advanced satellite technology to deliver high-speed internet and secure communications to both commercial and government sectors. Viasat's integrated platform and vertically aligned business model position it competitively in the rapidly evolving connectivity and communications landscape.

What this transaction means for investorsInsiders may sell shares for various reasons. It could be a portfolio management move, or fund raising for college tuition or a new home. To avoid the perception that investors might think an insider is trying to time a trade, Rule 10b5-1 was established in 2000. This transaction was performed under that rule.

Viasat's chairman and CEO Mark Dankberg adopted the plan for this sale on Sept. 15. It's likely he wanted to lock in some profits after Viasat shares took off beginning in July. The stock has soared more than 150% from the time the company announced it was chosen to deliver next-generation encryption for U.S. government cloud data centers in late July.

Mr. Dankberg still retained nearly 90% of the holdings in his family trust after this sale.  The company is developing a global satellite communications network to power high-quality, dependable, safe, cost-effective, and speedy broadband connections. Viasat could still have plenty of growth ahead, and investors shouldn't consider this transaction as any less conviction in the company by its chairman and CEO.

GlossaryForm 4: A required SEC filing disclosing insider trades of company stock by officers, directors, or significant shareholders.
Open-market sale: The sale of securities on a public exchange, rather than through private transactions or company programs.
Indirect holdings: Shares owned through trusts or other entities, not directly in the individual's name.
Trust holdings: Shares managed by a trust for the benefit of an individual or group.
Dispositive event: A transaction where ownership of securities is transferred or sold, as opposed to administrative changes.
Rule 10b5-1 plan: A prearranged trading plan allowing insiders to sell stock on a set schedule, reducing accusations of insider trading.
Weighted average sale price: The average price per share received in a transaction, weighted by the number of shares sold at each price.
Total return: The investment's price change plus all dividends and distributions, assuming those payouts are reinvested.
TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

Howard Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The pharmaceutical leader looks poised to stop the bleeding.

Novo Nordisk's (NVO +2.93%) shareholders must be happy to see 2025 finally come to a close. It was not a good year for the pharmaceutical giant. It encountered several setbacks, greater competition within its core therapeutic area, and slowing growth for its top growth drivers, Ozempic and Wegovy.

Thankfully, 2026 could be a much better year for the Denmark-based drugmaker. Let's consider two tailwinds that could help Novo Nordisk throughout the year.

1. New approvals will matter
Despite all the troubles it encountered in 2025, Novo Nordisk also secured some significant wins. Notably, the company earned label expansions for certain products. Its weight management medicine, Wegovy, is now approved for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). An oral version of the medicine has also been approved for weight loss. And a higher-dose version of Wegovy is also under review.

Image source: Getty Images.

These are meaningful additions that should boost Wegovy's sales and move the needle for the company. Take Wegovy's MASH indication. Until it received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), there was only one approved medicine for MASH: Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' (MDGL +1.98%) Rezdiffra, which earned approval in 2024. In the third quarter of 2025, Rezdiffra generated $287.3 million -- giving it an annual run rate well into blockbuster territory. Yet Wegovy proved comparable to Rezdiffra in clinical trials.

Furthermore, Novo Nordisk is a far larger company with more funds and a larger sales and marketing budget compared to smaller peers such as Madrigal Pharmaceuticals. And MASH is a severely underserved area; in the U.S., it affects millions of patients. All these factors suggest that Wegovy has the potential to generate sales exceeding $1 billion for this indication. It may not reach its peak in 2026, but it will make progress.

We can say the same about the medicine's oral formulation, which became the first of its kind to receive approval for weight loss. Here too, there is a vast market, as many patients will opt for daily pills over weekly injections. Novo Nordisk's top-line growth could improve slightly next year as a result of these developments.

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2. Pipeline progress to watch
Novo Nordisk is looking to regain some ground in the GLP-1 market, after losing market share this year to Eli Lilly. The recent approvals could help, but Novo Nordisk will also bank on ongoing pipeline candidates to eventually move the needle.

One of the more promising products the company is working on is called amycretin. This candidate's appeal lies in its ability to mimic the actions of two gut hormones, GLP-1 and amylin, both of which play multiple roles in regulating satiety and blood sugar levels. The investigational weight loss and diabetes medicine is currently in phase 3 studies, for both subcutaneous and oral formulations. We should see interim data sometime next year.

Several other candidates in Novo Nordisk's arsenal could make some noise in 2026. That includes UBT251, an investigational triple agonist -- a medicine that mimics the action of three gut hormones. While it's still early in its development, strong progress here (and elsewhere) could jolt Novo Nordisk's stock.

Is Novo Nordisk a buy?
In my view, the worst is in the rearview mirror for Novo Nordisk. After poor financial results (by its lofty standards), clinical setbacks, and government drug-price negotiations, things could finally start to break its way. In the next few years, we can expect Wegovy and Ozempic to still generate strong sales while the Denmark-based drugmaker secures at least a couple of brand-new launches, including that of CagriSema, a GLP-1 medicine for which it recently requested approval.

Meanwhile, Novo Nordisk's shares remain reasonably valued -- trading at around 14 times forward earnings compared to the average of 18.4 for the healthcare sector. That makes the stock worth buying today.

President Donald Trump said that American oil companies were prepared to enter Venezuela and invest to restore production in the South American country, an announcement that came just hours after Nicolás Maduro was captured and removed by U.S. forces.

The quantum-computing specialist reported a huge increase in revenue last quarter. It already works with large customers such as Hyundai, Microsoft Azure, and Google.

NEW YORK, Jan. 03, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) --

WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, announces a class action lawsuit on behalf of all former stockholders of Smartsheet Inc. (NYSE: SMAR) in connection with the January 2025 sale (the “Merger” or “Buyout”) of Smartsheet to affiliates of investment funds managed by affiliates of Blackstone Inc. (collectively “Blackstone”), investment funds managed by Vista Equity Partners Management, LLC (“Vista Equity Partners” or “Vista”), and Platinum Falcon B 2018 RSC Limited, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, which participated as an indirect minority investor in Smartsheet (“Platinum Falcon,” and together with Blackstone and Vista, the “Consortium”). A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than February 24, 2026.

SO WHAT: If you are a former Smartsheet stockholder, you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.

WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Smartsheet class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=49166 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than February 24, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.

WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs’ Bar. Many of the firm’s attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.

DETAILS OF THE CASE: The complaint alleges that in connection with Smartsheet’s solicitation of stockholder approval of the Buyout, defendants issued and filed with the SEC a false and misleading Schedule 14A Proxy statement, as amended (the “Proxy”). Defendants used the Proxy to intentionally mischaracterize Smartsheet’s financial success and performance during and in the context of Smartsheet’s sales process. Specifically, defendants deliberately cast Smartsheet’s quarterly earnings in a negative light in the Proxy, and emphasized a financial metric that it apparently made up just for the purposes of soliciting approval for the Buyout. Additionally, it was alleged that defendant Mark P. Mader failed to use reasonable care in the fulfillment of his disclosure duties.

To join the Smartsheet class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=49166 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.

No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor’s ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.

Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.

Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.

Contact Information:

Laurence Rosen, Esq.
Phillip Kim, Esq.
The Rosen Law Firm, P.A.
275 Madison Avenue, 40th Floor
New York, NY 10016
Tel: (212) 686-1060
Toll Free: (866) 767-3653
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Brookfield is going all in on AI Infrastructure.

Brookfield Corporation (BN +1.61%) might not be the most obvious AI infrastructure play at first glance. The global investment firm is more of an old-school company. It's an owner-operator of real assets, including real estate and hydroelectric power plants.

However, Brookfield believes AI could be the most impactful technology in human history. To reach its immense potential, the world will need to invest an estimated $7 trillion of capital over the next decade in building out the physical infrastructure to support its adoption. Brookfield aspires to be a leader in capitalizing on this once-in-a-generation opportunity to invest in developing AI infrastructure.

Image source: Getty Images.

Brookfield's bold bets on AI infrastructure
In November, Brookfield, through its asset management arm, Brookfield Asset Management, launched its inaugural Brookfield AI Infrastructure Fund, aiming to raise $10 billion in capital from investors. Brookfield Corporation is anchoring the fund along with Nvidia and the Kuwait Investment Authority. This fund, together with additional capital from co-investors and other financing, will enable it to acquire up to $100 billion of AI infrastructure assets in the future. Initial investments include funding up to $5 billion of advanced fuel cells by Bloom Energy to provide power solutions to AI data centers and launching Radiant, a cloud services company that will build AI factories (specialized AI data centers).

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The fund is just one of many ways Brookfield is investing in AI infrastructure. It also owns interests in renewable power producer Brookfield Renewable and infrastructure operator Brookfield Infrastructure. Brookfield Renewable is developing renewable energy for AI leaders like Microsoft. It also owns a stake in Westinghouse Electric, which will build at least $80 billion of new nuclear reactors for the U.S. government to support AI power demand. Meanwhile, Brookfield Infrastructure is helping fund two advanced semiconductor fabrication facilities for Intel and building multiple data centers worldwide.

These catalysts drive Brookfield's view that it can grow its earnings per share at a 25% compound annual rate over the next five years. As a result, it could double your money by the end of the decade.

Matt DiLallo has positions in Brookfield Asset Management, Brookfield Corporation, Brookfield Infrastructure, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, Brookfield Renewable, Brookfield Renewable Partners, and Intel. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Brookfield, Brookfield Asset Management, Brookfield Corporation, Intel, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends Bloom Energy, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, Brookfield Renewable, and Brookfield Renewable Partners and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The stock has ridden the AI data center investment cycle to market-beating returns.

Data centers are arguably the hottest growth trend right now. Companies are spending tens of billions, if not hundreds of billions, of dollars to build data centers and populate them with chips and other hardware to train and operate artificial intelligence (AI) models.

Applied Digital (APLD +14.64%) is riding the wave. The data center specialist's growth has taken off since its pivot from blockchain to AI workloads. The stock is up by 1,200% since the beginning of 2023. Analysts expect another banner year for the company in 2026, with current estimates predicting $552 million in revenue, a substantial 86% increase from its full-year 2025 estimate of $297 million.

Should investors buy the stock now? Here is what you need to know.

Image source: Getty Images.

A lucrative pivot from blockchain to AI
Applied Digital designs, builds, and operates high-performance data centers. They accommodate heavy GPU (graphics processing unit) workloads, which have demanding power and cooling requirements. The company then leases the computing output from its data centers to customers.

It launched its first data center in 2021, initially focusing on blockchain applications as its primary market. However, the company pivoted to capitalize on AI opportunities in 2023. You can see how Applied Digital's revenue caught fire once it shifted its focus to AI. Applied Digital is riding a massive and ongoing boom in data center spending.

APLD Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts

Leading AI hyperscalers, including several "Magnificent Seven" companies, OpenAI, Oracle, and others, are investing more than $350 billion in AI capital expenditures in 2025 alone. The U.S. government recently initiated the Genesis Mission to develop AI for national security, which is likely to remain a tailwind for AI investment.

In all, Applied Digital cites research estimates that total data center capacity demand will surge by nearly 300% from current levels by 2030.

Deep in the hole with capital expenditures
Wall Street analysts estimate that Applied Digital will end 2025 with $297 million in revenue, followed by an increase to $552 million in 2026. Explosive revenue growth often means higher stock prices, and the stock has clearly performed well.

That said, the company is essentially building out data centers for its clients. It's costly, and you can see how Applied Digital is spending cash at an accelerating rate.

APLD Free Cash Flow data by YCharts

Applied Digital will begin recouping that money as revenue from its leases, but it's fair to question what the long-term profit margins might look like. How big must Applied Digital become to operate profitably if it must continuously spend money to replace old chips and hardware, or to build new data centers to increase its capacity for growth?

For now, the company is funding its data center projects by issuing new stock and taking on debt. Applied Digital's share count has increased by 196% over the past three years, and the company has approximately $700 million in long-term debt on its balance sheet.

A rising share count can diminish a stock's investment potential through share dilution, and too much debt is bad news for obvious reasons.

Is Applied Digital Corporation a buy now?

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Buying the stock now involves taking a leap of faith that Applied Digital will generate meaningful cash flow within the next few years. Or, at least enough to fund itself and service its debt.

That's a pretty sizable risk, and the stock's valuation isn't offering investors much of a margin of safety to take that risk. Applied Digital's current $7 billion market cap values the stock at a price-to-sales ratio of nearly 13 times 2026 revenue estimates.

The stock feels quite expensive here. Remember, this is a hardware business that is currently incinerating cash. It doesn't make sense to value it like software companies, or most other AI hyperscalers, which often have existing profitable businesses to help fund their AI investments.

Investors should keep an eye on Applied Digital, but it isn't easy to see much value in buying the stock now.

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--MediaCo Holding Inc. (Nasdaq: MDIA) today announced a strategic content collaboration between EstrellaTV and EVTV Digital Network, significantly expanding EstrellaTV's ability to deliver timely, live news coverage of ongoing and developing events in Venezuela. Through this partnership, EstrellaTV will have access to EVTV Digital Network's full roster of reporters and correspondents, enabling the network to broadcast live reports, breaking news updates, and in-depth an.

Jessie A Ellis
Jan 03, 2026 18:39

WIF price prediction points to $0.48 target as dogwifhat shows bullish MACD momentum. Technical analysis suggests 41% upside potential within one month.

dogwifhat (WIF) is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal as technical indicators align for a possible rally toward key resistance levels. With the current price at $0.34 and bullish MACD momentum emerging, our WIF price prediction suggests significant upside potential in the coming weeks.

WIF Price Prediction Summary
• WIF short-term target (1 week): $0.41 (+20.6%) - immediate resistance level
• dogwifhat medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.45-$0.48 range (+32% to +41%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.41 resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $0.26 major support zone

Recent dogwifhat Price Predictions from Analysts
While no significant price predictions have emerged from major analysts in the past three days, the technical setup for WIF suggests institutional interest may be building. The absence of widespread bullish predictions could indicate that dogwifhat is flying under the radar, potentially setting up for a surprise move higher. This contrarian view aligns with our dogwifhat forecast that anticipates a breakout before mainstream attention returns.

WIF Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Reversal
The dogwifhat technical analysis reveals several compelling factors supporting our upside WIF price prediction. The MACD histogram turning positive at 0.0029 indicates early bullish momentum building, while the RSI at 49.72 provides ample room for upward movement without entering overbought territory.

Current price positioning at 0.58 within the Bollinger Bands suggests WIF is in the upper half of its recent trading range, with the upper band at $0.38 acting as immediate resistance. However, the price trading above both the 7-day SMA ($0.30) and 12-day EMA ($0.32) confirms short-term bullish momentum.

The Stochastic oscillator at 81.32 (%K) indicates some near-term overbought conditions, but this could simply reflect the early stages of a larger move. Volume analysis shows $21.5 million in 24-hour trading, providing adequate liquidity for any significant price movements.

dogwifhat Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for WIF
Our primary WIF price target focuses on the $0.48 strong resistance level, representing a 41% gain from current levels. This target aligns with significant historical resistance and would require breaking through the immediate $0.41 barrier first.

For this bullish scenario to unfold, WIF needs to maintain momentum above the current $0.34 level and break decisively above $0.38 (Bollinger upper band). A successful break of $0.41 with strong volume would likely trigger algorithmic buying and push dogwifhat toward the $0.48 target within 30 days.

The technical setup supports this bullish case, with the positive MACD histogram providing the initial catalyst and RSI neutral positioning allowing for sustained upward movement.

Bearish Risk for dogwifhat
The bearish scenario for our WIF price prediction would activate if dogwifhat fails to hold the $0.32 support level (current EMA 26). A break below this level could trigger selling toward the $0.26 major support zone, representing a 24% downside risk.

Key risk factors include a failure to break above $0.38 resistance, which could lead to consolidation or reversal. Additionally, any broader cryptocurrency market weakness could pressure WIF regardless of its individual technical setup.

Should You Buy WIF Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our dogwifhat technical analysis, the current $0.34 level presents a reasonable entry point for those bullish on our WIF price prediction. However, more conservative traders might wait for a pullback to the $0.32 EMA support or a confirmed break above $0.38 resistance.

Entry Strategy:
- Aggressive entry: Current levels around $0.34
- Conservative entry: $0.32 support or $0.38 breakout confirmation
- Stop-loss: $0.31 (below EMA support)
- Initial target: $0.41 (20% gain potential)
- Extended target: $0.48 (41% gain potential)

Position sizing should remain conservative given dogwifhat's volatility, with the daily ATR of $0.03 indicating significant intraday price swings.

WIF Price Prediction Conclusion
Our WIF price prediction carries medium-high confidence for reaching the $0.41 target within 7-10 days, based on the bullish MACD signal and favorable positioning above key moving averages. The extended dogwifhat forecast targeting $0.48 within 30 days carries medium confidence, contingent on successfully breaking through intermediate resistance levels.

Key indicators to monitor for prediction confirmation include maintaining momentum above the $0.32 EMA support and achieving a decisive break above $0.38 with increased volume. A failure to break $0.38 within the next week would reduce confidence in the bullish scenario.

The timeline for this WIF price prediction suggests initial movement toward $0.41 within 7-10 days, followed by potential continuation toward $0.48 over the subsequent 2-3 weeks, assuming broader market conditions remain supportive.

When considering whether to buy or sell WIF, the current technical setup favors a bullish stance for traders with appropriate risk management, though the decision should align with individual risk tolerance and portfolio allocation strategies.

Image source: Shutterstock

wif price analysis
wif price prediction

Ted Hisokawa
Jan 03, 2026 18:52

LDO price prediction suggests a potential 23-39% upside to $0.75-$0.85 range as MACD bullish divergence and oversold conditions align with analyst consensus targets.

LDO Price Prediction: Technical Recovery Points to $0.75-$0.85 Target Zone
Lido DAO (LDO) is showing promising technical signals that support a bullish price prediction over the coming weeks. Trading at $0.61 as of January 3, 2026, the cryptocurrency appears positioned for a significant recovery based on multiple technical indicators and analyst consensus.

LDO Price Prediction Summary
• LDO short-term target (1 week): $0.66-$0.70 (+8-15%)
• Lido DAO medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.75-$0.85 range (+23-39%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.63 immediate resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $0.49 strong support level

Recent Lido DAO Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest Lido DAO forecast from multiple analysts shows remarkable convergence around the $0.66-$0.85 target zone. Blockchain.News has been consistently bullish in their LDO price prediction, citing oversold RSI conditions and bullish MACD divergence as key drivers for a potential 55% upside to $0.85 within 4-6 weeks.

DigitalCoinPrice presents the most optimistic long-term view with a $0.96 price target, representing a 65.25% increase by the end of December 2025. However, MEXC's more conservative $0.586 short-term projection suggests immediate upside may be limited, creating a divergence in near-term expectations versus medium-term bullish sentiment.

The analyst consensus clearly favors the bullish side for Lido DAO, with most predictions clustering in the $0.66-$0.85 range, supported by similar technical reasoning across multiple sources.

LDO Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Momentum
The current Lido DAO technical analysis reveals several compelling indicators supporting our LDO price prediction. The MACD histogram reading of 0.0125 indicates building bullish momentum, while the RSI at 55.56 sits in neutral territory, providing room for upward movement without immediate overbought concerns.

Most significantly, LDO's position at 0.91 within the Bollinger Bands suggests the token is approaching the upper band at $0.62, which often precedes either a breakout or temporary consolidation. The fact that LDO is trading above both the EMA 12 ($0.59) and EMA 26 ($0.59) confirms short-term bullish momentum.

The daily trading volume of $2.97 million on Binance spot provides adequate liquidity for the anticipated price movements, though increased volume would strengthen conviction in any breakout scenario.

Lido DAO Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for LDO
The primary LDO price target of $0.75-$0.85 represents a logical extension based on technical resistance levels and analyst projections. For this Lido DAO forecast to materialize, LDO must first break and hold above the immediate resistance at $0.63, followed by a sustained move through the pivot point at $0.62.

The bullish MACD histogram suggests momentum is building for such a breakout. Additionally, the current price position significantly below the SMA 200 at $0.93 indicates substantial mean reversion potential, supporting higher price targets over time.

Bearish Risk for Lido DAO
Should the bullish LDO price prediction fail to materialize, the critical support level at $0.49 becomes paramount. A break below this level, which also represents both immediate and strong support, could invalidate the recovery thesis and potentially push LDO toward its 52-week low of $0.51.

The main risk factor lies in the significant gap between current price levels and the SMA 200, which could act as resistance to any sustained rally attempts.

Should You Buy LDO Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our Lido DAO technical analysis, the current price near $0.61 offers a reasonable entry point for those seeking exposure to the anticipated recovery. However, more conservative traders might wait for a pullback to the $0.58-$0.60 range or a confirmed breakout above $0.63.

For risk management, setting a stop-loss just below the $0.49 support level would limit downside exposure while allowing room for normal price volatility. Position sizing should reflect the medium confidence level of this LDO price prediction, suggesting allocation of no more than 2-3% of portfolio value.

The answer to "buy or sell LDO" depends largely on risk tolerance and investment timeframe, but technical conditions currently favor the buy side for medium-term holders.

LDO Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive Lido DAO forecast points to a medium confidence prediction of $0.75-$0.85 within the next 4-6 weeks, representing 23-39% upside potential from current levels. This LDO price target aligns with analyst consensus and is supported by bullish MACD divergence and oversold recovery dynamics.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include a sustained break above $0.63 resistance with accompanying volume expansion, and continued MACD histogram improvement. Invalidation signals would include a break below $0.49 support or failure to maintain current momentum into the second week of January.

The timeline for this LDO price prediction to unfold spans the next 4-6 weeks, with initial confirmation expected within the first two weeks of January 2026 based on the token's ability to break key resistance levels.

Image source: Shutterstock

ldo price analysis
ldo price prediction

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Maheen Hernandez

January 3, 2026

Bitcoin, first mined by Satoshi Nakamoto on January 3, 2009, is celebrating its 17th anniversary today. What began as an obscure digital experiment has transformed into a significant entity within global finance, significantly impacting markets and prompting policymakers to reassess their approaches.

The journey of Bitcoin from its inception to its current status has been marked by continuous growth and resilience. Initially, few could have predicted the extent of its influence. However, over the years, Bitcoin has consistently defied expectations, becoming a staple topic in financial circles around the world.

At its core, Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, which has been a key factor in its rise. This structure not only provides security but also ensures that the network remains operational without interruption—a feature that has bolstered confidence among its users. Bitcoin’s ability to function without going offline has been a testament to its robust design and technological ingenuity.

The cryptocurrency has had a profound effect on financial markets, influencing the development of new financial instruments and services. Its presence has led to the emergence of numerous other cryptocurrencies, further diversifying the market and offering investors a range of options beyond traditional assets.

Despite its success, Bitcoin has faced significant challenges. Regulatory scrutiny has been a constant, as authorities worldwide grapple with how to manage the burgeoning digital asset landscape. Some policymakers express concern over its potential use in illicit activities and its impact on financial stability. Others, however, highlight its innovative potential and call for frameworks that support its growth.

Looking ahead, Bitcoin’s trajectory remains a subject of keen interest. The cryptocurrency’s resilience and adaptability suggest it will continue to play a pivotal role in the evolution of digital finance. As regulatory landscapes evolve and market dynamics shift, Bitcoin’s influence is expected to endure, shaping the future of financial systems globally.

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Maheen Hernandez

A finance graduate, Maheen Hernandez has been drawn to cryptocurrencies ever since Bitcoin first emerged in 2009. Nearly a decade later, Maheen is actively working to spread awareness about cryptocurrencies as well as their impact on the traditional currencies.
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According to onchain data from CryptoQuant, claims that big holders are massively reaccumulating Bitcoin are exaggerated. The numbers that many share on social media can be distorted by exchange moves, not fresh buying. That distortion matters because large transfers tied to exchanges can look like one entity is piling in, when the action is often internal bookkeeping.

Whale Wallet Totals Can Be Misleading
Exchange firms often merge funds from many small accounts into fewer large wallets for operational or compliance reasons. When that happens, onchain trackers may count those consolidated addresses as “whales,” inflating the apparent number of very large holders.

According to Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, once those exchange-related shifts are removed from the data, the balance held by true large holders is still falling. Balances in addresses holding between 100 to 1,000 BTC have dropped, a trend that lines up with outflows from spot ETFs.

No, whales are not buying enormous amount of Bitcoin.

Most Bitcoin whale data out there has been “affected” by exchanges consolidating a lot of their holdings into fewer addresses with larger balances, this is why whales seem to have accumulated a lot of coins recently.

We… pic.twitter.com/dk9XqqckIX

— Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) January 2, 2026

Long-Term Holders Turning Buyer
Reports have disclosed that another group has shifted its behavior. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck, says long-term holders have been net accumulators over the past 30 days after what was their biggest selling spree since 2019.

That change could reduce one major source of selling pressure. It does not guarantee a rally, but it does mean at least one key cohort stopped adding to the sell side. Markets react to who is buying and who is selling, and this move by long-term holders softens the case that a single group is driving prices lower.

BTCUSD currently trading at $89,902. Chart: TradingView
Price Action Shows Mixed Signals
Bitcoin has been hovering around the $90,000 area during thin holiday trading. At the time of reporting, the price was about $89,750 Saturday, with 24-hour volume near $52 billion.

The token sits roughly 2.8% below a recent day high of $90,250 and carries a market capitalization of about $1.75 trillion based on a circulating supply close to 20 million BTC. Trading has seen sharp moves up and down, but volume has been weak, which means moves lack the support needed for a clear breakout or breakdown.

Market Moves Hinge On ETF Flows
Since US spot Bitcoin ETFs became active in early 2024, the ownership picture has changed. ETFs now hold a large share of on- and off-chain demand, which can shift where Bitcoin is stored and how flows appear on onchain charts. Reports suggest that ETF outflows have helped drive lower balances in the 100–1,000 BTC band, while at the same time some long-term holders are quietly buying.

What This Means For Investors
Taken together, the evidence points to consolidation more than a new bull run or a major crash. Claims of a massive whale reaccumulation wave were overblown because they did not account for exchange consolidation.

Yet the story is not one-sided. Long-term holders have shown buying interest, even as large non-exchange addresses continue to shed some holdings. Future price direction will likely depend on whether ETF flows return in size and whether trading volume picks up enough to confirm any move.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

If 2024 was the year crypto reentered the mainstream through TV tickers and glossy ETF commercials, then 2025 was the year the market learned to live with that attention.

It absorbed it, metabolized it, and let it shape how liquidity moved day to day.

Some stories were loud and obvious. Spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in capital, and price charts arced and dipped with the cadence of macro prints.

The more useful stories were quieter and lived in the market plumbing: who actually bought, who was underwater, which networks absorbed activity at tolerable cost, and which signals separated excitable rallies from robust advances.

A thousand charts could narrate the year. Only a handful do the job cleanly.

The best visuals don’t just memorialize peaks and troughs. They connect flows to behavior and behavior to price, and they still hold up months later.

That’s the spirit of this year-in-review: eight charts that earned their keep in 2025.

They start with the new center of gravity: ETF creations and redemptions, because the secondary market now often tells you more than the primary one.

They move through on-chain cohort lenses that have matured from niche curiosities into practical dashboards for gauging stress and relief.

They check valuation through the boring-but-true lens of cost-basis math that outlasts hype cycles.

Crucially, they look beyond Bitcoin.

They ask whether activity and fees are accruing where builders said they would, and whether payment rails outside DeFi kept scaling quietly.

Read them in order and you get a clean narrative arc. Drop in anywhere, and you still leave with a usable mental model for the year that was and the one we’re walking into.

1) ETF daily net inflowsGraph showing the daily flows for spot Bitcoin ETFs in 2025 (Source: Checkonchain)What it is: A daily bar chart of primary market creations and redemptions for the spot Bitcoin ETFs.

What it represents: Real, cash-in-the-door demand for coin exposure that removes (or returns) Bitcoin from circulating float as authorized participants create or redeem ETF shares.

The issuer split shows where liquidity and investor preference concentrate.

Why it mattered in 2025: This was the year the market accepted that ETFs aren’t decoration but destiny.

Strings of green bars often preceded grind-higher weeks and absorbed dips that would have snowballed in prior cycles.

Clusters of red frequently telegraphed air-pocket days, and the issuer mix showed which vehicles became genuine liquidity hubs rather than marketing wins.

2) Supply held in profit/loss by cohort (LTH vs STH)Graph showing the supply held in profit and loss by long-term and short-term holders in 2025 (Source: Checkonchain)What it is: A mirrored stack that places coins held at a profit above the axis and coins at a loss below it.

It’s segmented into long-term holders and short-term holders so you can see, at a glance, which hands feel flush and which are nursing paper cuts.

What it represents: The market’s emotional posture made quantitative.

Long-term holders mostly ignore noise, while short-term holders supply liquidity at turning points.

The balance shifts as rallies draw in fresh buyers and drawdowns force weaker hands to capitulate.

Why it mattered in 2025: This was a distribution year as much as an accumulation year.

The chart showed when short-term profit swelled into a twitchy overhang and when long-term loss quietly expanded.

That classic setup often preceded a sturdier base, helping separate exuberant tops from constructive resets.

3) Short-term holder cost basisGraph showing Bitcoin's key cost basis in 2025 (Source: Checkonchain)What it is: The average on-chain cost basis of coins currently held by short-term holders, compared with Bitcoin’s spot price.

It highlights periods when price slipped below that cohort’s breakeven.

What it represents: The market’s stress line for the marginal seller.

Above it, quick profit-taking tends to be absorbed. Below it, rallies can meet a wall of supply as underwater coins are sold into strength.

Why it mattered in 2025: The year saw multiple episodes where price fell below short-term cost, then reclaimed it with help from steady ETF creations.

Those fast “stress breaches” were buying opportunities more often than not.

What once looked like the start of bear phases became routine, almost mechanical resets.

4) Realized priceGraph showing Bitcoin's realized price in 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)What it is: Bitcoin’s global cost basis, where each coin’s last on-chain move is priced at that day’s value and averaged across the supply.

It’s plotted as a single, slowly moving line beneath the faster-moving spot price.

What it represents: A grounded notion of “fair cost” drawn from on-chain settlement rather than order-book prints.

The baseline rises when investors pay higher entry prices and stalls when conviction fades.

Why it mattered in 2025: Realized price rose for long stretches, suggesting realized profits were being recycled into higher bases rather than fully cashed out.

The gap between spot and realized price was often a better compass than social sentiment.

Wide gaps tended to accompany speculative overshoots, while narrower gaps aligned with quieter consolidations.

5) MVRV Ratio (Market Value / Realized Value)Graph showing Bitcoin's MVRV ratio in 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)What it is: A ratio that divides Bitcoin’s market cap by its realized cap.

It’s often shown with cycle zones to frame when the market is historically cheap, fair, or running hot.

What it represents: Distance from aggregate cost.

The further MVRV climbs above 1, the more latent profit sits on the table, inviting supply on wobbly days.

Readings closer to 1 suggest less excess to shake loose.

Why it mattered in 2025: The year was defined less by euphoric blow-offs and more by long, loping advances punctuated by tidy drawdowns.

Drifts into the “warm” band, especially when ETF inflows cooled, flagged where mean-reversion risk outweighed breakout-chasing reward.

That helped readers avoid buying strength that didn’t need to be bought.

6) aSOPR (Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio)Graph showing Bitcoin's aSOPR in 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)What it is: A time series that compares the price at which coins move with the price at which they were acquired.

It’s smoothed over a week and anchored to 1 as the profit-and-loss fulcrum.

What it represents: Market behavior in real time: are participants locking in gains into strength, or capitulating into weakness?

It also hints at how efficiently the market digests that flow.

Why it mattered in 2025: Resilient uptrends showed a consistent tell: quick dips in aSOPR just below 1, followed by swift recoveries.

Those “reset and go” patterns, alongside green ETF prints and a reclaim of short-term cost, repeatedly proved more useful than overfit oscillators.

7) Ethereum feesGraph showing the USD-denominated value of Ethereum fees in 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)What it is: Total Ethereum fees across Layer 1 and the major Layer 2s.

What it represents: Whether Ethereum usage is scaling to cheaper layers without starving the fee engine that secures the network and pays validators.

It’s the economic reality beneath the architecture diagrams.

Why it mattered in 2025: This was the year the L2 economy felt less like a slide deck and more like a ledger.

A growing share of activity moved to L2s even as overall fees held up.

The pattern suggested users were finding acceptable price-performance and that builders’ promises were settling into routine rather than rhetoric.

8) XRP Ledger token transfersGraph showing the total number of tokens transferred on the XRP Ledger in 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)What it is: A simple line chart of daily token transfers on XRPL.

No DeFi thrill rides, no narrative sugar, just throughput on a payments-oriented chain.

What it represents: The hum of real-world value moving across a low-cost network that, for the most part, sits outside the speculative loops that dominate headlines.

Why it mattered in 2025: As capital and attention swung between ecosystems, this chart offered a clean control sample.

It showed that payment flows can scale quietly in the background.

When transfers stepped up around pilot programs or corridor launches, it hinted at adoption that doesn’t need a bull market to be useful.

Tying the signals togetherTaken together, these charts tell a simple story in a year that tried hard to be complicated.

When ETF creations marched higher, pullbacks served to reset aSOPR and move coins from short-term profit to steadier hands.

When inflows cooled and MVRV ran warm, the market asked for time, and usually got it.

Realized price climbed like a tide, lending buoyancy to dips that would have drowned prior cycles.

Meanwhile, Ethereum’s fees and XRP’s steady transfers were a reminder that networks don’t live by price alone, but by usage and by costs users can stomach.

If 2025 made anything clear, it’s that the right handful of charts beats the loudest thread.

The right charts don’t just show what happened. They explain why it lasted.

Mentioned in this article

Darius Baruo
Jan 03, 2026 17:37

SUI price prediction shows bullish momentum building with MACD divergence supporting analyst targets of $1.70-$2.10 over the next month from current $1.65 level.

SUI Price Prediction Summary
• SUI short-term target (1 week): $1.75 (+6% from current $1.65)
• Sui medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.70-$2.10 range (+3% to +27%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $1.69 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $1.33 (immediate support level)

Recent Sui Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest SUI price prediction consensus from major crypto outlets shows remarkable alignment on medium-term targets. Both Blockchain.News and MEXC News have identified the same $1.70-$2.10 price target range for SUI over the next 4-6 weeks, representing potential upside of 3-27% from current levels.

This Sui forecast convergence stems from similar technical observations across analysts. The primary driver behind these predictions is the emergence of bullish MACD divergence, which suggests underlying momentum is strengthening despite recent price consolidation. All recent predictions carry medium confidence levels, indicating cautious optimism rather than aggressive bullishness.

The consensus view contrasts sharply with SUI's position relative to its 52-week high of $4.33, where the token remains down 61.78%. This significant discount from peak levels adds weight to the bullish SUI price prediction thesis, suggesting substantial room for recovery if technical conditions improve.

SUI Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Breakout
The current Sui technical analysis reveals a compelling setup for upward movement. With SUI trading at $1.65, the token sits above all major short-term moving averages, including the 7-day SMA ($1.49), 20-day SMA ($1.46), and 50-day SMA ($1.52). This configuration suggests the immediate trend has turned bullish.

The MACD histogram reading of 0.0318 provides the strongest signal for the SUI price prediction. This positive reading, combined with the MACD line (-0.0108) moving closer to the signal line (-0.0425), indicates building bullish momentum. The RSI at 61.09 sits in neutral territory, providing room for further upside without entering overbought conditions.

SUI's position within the Bollinger Bands presents both opportunity and caution. The %B reading of 1.21 shows the price has broken above the upper band ($1.60), traditionally a bullish signal but also indicating potential short-term resistance. The 24-hour trading volume of $82 million on Binance provides adequate liquidity to support any breakout moves.

Sui Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for SUI
The primary SUI price target aligns with analyst consensus at $1.70-$2.10. The initial target of $1.70 requires breaking through immediate resistance at $1.69, which represents just a 3% move from current levels. This relatively modest target appears achievable given the positive MACD divergence and above-average trading volume.

The extended Sui forecast target of $2.10 represents the more ambitious scenario, requiring SUI to clear multiple resistance levels. This would necessitate sustained buying pressure and continuation of the current bullish momentum indicators. The $2.10 level also provides a logical profit-taking zone as it represents significant resistance from previous trading ranges.

For the bullish SUI price prediction to materialize, several technical conditions must align. The RSI needs to maintain its current trajectory without entering overbought territory above 70. Volume should remain elevated above the recent average of $82 million daily. Most critically, SUI must establish $1.69 as support rather than resistance.

Bearish Risk for Sui
The bearish scenario for SUI centers on failure to maintain current support levels. If selling pressure increases, the immediate downside SUI price target sits at $1.33, representing a 19% decline from current levels. This level has proven significant in recent trading and aligns with the lower support identified by analysts.

A more severe bearish case would see SUI testing the strong support at $1.30, dangerously close to the 52-week low of $1.35. Such a move would invalidate the current bullish Sui forecast and likely trigger additional technical selling.

The primary risk factors include failure of the MACD to continue its bullish divergence, RSI falling back below 50, or a general crypto market downturn affecting all altcoins. Given SUI's correlation with broader market movements, external factors could easily override positive technical signals.

Should You Buy SUI Now? Entry Strategy
Based on the current Sui technical analysis, a scaled entry approach appears most prudent. Initial positions could be established at current levels around $1.65, with additional purchases planned on any pullback to the $1.60 level (previous Bollinger Band resistance, now potential support).

The optimal entry for those wanting to buy or sell SUI depends on risk tolerance. Conservative traders should wait for a successful retest of $1.60 as support before entering, while aggressive traders might accumulate at current levels given the positive momentum indicators.

Stop-loss placement becomes critical for this SUI price prediction strategy. Conservative stops should be placed below $1.50, representing the 7-day moving average and providing roughly 9% downside protection. More aggressive traders might use $1.33 as their stop level, accepting higher risk for potentially greater rewards.

Position sizing should reflect the medium confidence level assigned by analysts. This suggests allocating 2-5% of portfolio value rather than making SUI a major position, acknowledging both the upside potential and inherent risks.

SUI Price Prediction Conclusion
The technical evidence supports a moderately bullish SUI price prediction over the next 4-6 weeks. The $1.70-$2.10 target range appears reasonable given current momentum indicators, though traders should maintain realistic expectations about timeline and volatility.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include MACD continuation above the signal line, RSI maintaining levels above 55, and most importantly, successful breakthrough and hold above $1.69 resistance. Invalidation signals would include a break below $1.50 or RSI falling below 45.

The confidence level for this Sui forecast remains medium, reflecting both the positive technical setup and the inherent uncertainty in crypto markets. Traders should prepare for volatility within the predicted range and maintain proper risk management throughout the forecasted period.

Image source: Shutterstock

sui price analysis
sui price prediction

Zach Anderson
Jan 03, 2026 17:56

Toncoin shows bullish momentum with MACD histogram positive and RSI at 68.13. TON price prediction suggests $2.30 target by February as analysts eye 26% upside potential.

Toncoin has emerged as one of the more intriguing altcoins entering 2026, with technical indicators painting a compelling picture for the weeks ahead. After trading in a consolidation phase, TON appears positioned for a significant breakout that could deliver substantial returns for positioned traders.

TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $2.05 (+12.6%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.25-$2.35 range

• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $1.92
• Critical support if bearish: $1.42

Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest TON price prediction from leading cryptocurrency analysts shows remarkable consensus around bullish targets. Blockchain.News has set a medium-term price target of $2.28, citing positive MACD histogram readings and an RSI positioned at 62.34 that indicates sustained bullish momentum without overbought conditions.

CoinCodex's AI-driven model presents an even more optimistic Toncoin forecast, projecting a $2.31 short-term target based on a sophisticated analysis predicting a 28.07% increase from current levels. This convergence of analytical approaches around the $2.28-$2.31 range provides strong conviction for the bullish thesis.

The market consensus reveals institutional confidence in Toncoin's technical setup, with both traditional technical analysis and artificial intelligence models arriving at similar conclusions independently.

TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Breakout
The Toncoin technical analysis reveals a textbook bullish configuration across multiple timeframes. The MACD histogram reading of 0.0398 confirms strengthening upward momentum, while the RSI at 68.13 sits in the optimal zone - high enough to indicate strength but not yet in overbought territory.

Particularly compelling is TON's position relative to the Bollinger Bands, with a %B reading of 1.0862 placing the price just above the upper band. This positioning typically indicates strong momentum that could lead to a sustained breakout rather than a false signal.

The moving average structure supports the bullish narrative, with TON trading above all key short and medium-term averages. The 7-day SMA at $1.69, 20-day SMA at $1.57, and 50-day SMA at $1.60 all provide ascending support levels, creating a bullish staircase pattern that technical traders favor.

Volume analysis from Binance shows healthy participation at $17.2 million in 24-hour volume, sufficient to support a meaningful price move. The average true range of $0.09 suggests normal volatility levels that won't impede a sustained advance.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
The primary TON price target sits at $2.30, representing a 26% advance from current levels. This target aligns with the analyst consensus range and corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement from the 52-week high of $3.56.

For this scenario to unfold, TON must first clear the immediate resistance at $1.92, which represents the recent 24-hour high and a key technical level. A decisive break above this level with volume expansion would trigger algorithmic buying and likely propel Toncoin toward the $2.05 intermediate target within one week.

The ultimate bullish target extends to $2.35, which would complete a measured move from the current consolidation base. This level also coincides with the 200-day moving average at $2.55, providing a logical area for profit-taking.

Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The primary risk scenario involves a failure to hold the $1.42 support level, which represents both immediate technical support and the 52-week low. A breakdown below this critical level would invalidate the bullish thesis and potentially trigger a cascade toward $1.20.

Key warning signs would include a decline in the MACD histogram below zero, RSI falling beneath 50, and daily closes below the 20-day moving average at $1.57. Such developments would suggest the current consolidation is actually distribution rather than accumulation.

Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
The current technical setup suggests a measured approach to TON accumulation. The optimal buy or sell TON decision depends on risk tolerance and position sizing discipline.

Conservative traders should wait for a pullback toward the $1.75-$1.78 range, which would provide a better risk-reward ratio while maintaining exposure to the bullish thesis. This approach offers approximately 4% downside to the stop-loss level at $1.70.

Aggressive traders can initiate positions at current levels around $1.82, using the $1.65 level as a stop-loss. This strategy captures immediate momentum but accepts higher risk.

Position sizing should reflect TON's volatility profile, with most traders limiting exposure to 2-3% of portfolio value given the 24% average true range over the past month.

TON Price Prediction Conclusion
The weight of evidence supports a bullish TON price prediction with high confidence for the $2.05 short-term target and medium confidence for the $2.30 four-week objective. The convergence of positive MACD momentum, supportive RSI readings, and analyst consensus around similar price targets creates a compelling technical foundation.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include sustained trading above $1.85, MACD histogram expansion, and volume increases on any breakout attempts. Invalidation signals would include breaks below $1.70 or RSI divergence on any new highs.

The Toncoin forecast timeline suggests initial moves toward $2.05 within 7-10 days, followed by potential extension toward $2.30 over the subsequent 2-3 weeks. This measured approach aligns with typical altcoin breakout patterns and provides realistic expectations for the prediction timeframe.

Image source: Shutterstock

ton price analysis
ton price prediction

Joerg Hiller
Jan 03, 2026 18:09

CRV price prediction suggests upside to $0.55-$0.72 over the next 4-6 weeks as MACD turns bullish and oversold conditions create bounce potential from current $0.42 levels.

Curve DAO Token (CRV) is showing early signs of technical recovery after spending weeks in oversold territory. With the token trading at $0.42 and displaying bullish momentum indicators, our CRV price prediction analysis suggests significant upside potential in the coming weeks.

CRV Price Prediction Summary
• CRV short-term target (1 week): $0.45 (+7.1% from current levels)
• Curve medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.55-$0.72 range (+31% to +71% upside)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.45 resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $0.33 (immediate and strong support confluence)

Recent Curve Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest analyst sentiment around Curve shows a notable shift from bearish to cautiously optimistic. Recent CRV price prediction reports reveal a consensus building around medium-term recovery potential.

Hexn.io's December 30th analysis provided the most conservative CRV price target of $0.38, citing the Fear & Greed Index at 23 as a headwind. However, this bearish outlook appears outdated given CRV's recent bounce above $0.40.

More bullish perspectives from Blockchain.News have consistently highlighted technical recovery signals. Their Curve forecast ranges from $0.45 to $0.72, with the higher target representing a 71% gain from current levels. The reasoning centers on MACD momentum turning positive and oversold bounce potential near critical support levels.

The analyst consensus suggests CRV has found its bottom near the $0.33-$0.36 range, with most predictions targeting the $0.45-$0.55 zone as the next resistance cluster to overcome.

CRV Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Breakout
Current technical indicators support an optimistic Curve forecast over the next 4-6 weeks. The MACD histogram reading of 0.0059 indicates early bullish momentum building, while the signal line crossover suggests trend reversal potential.

CRV's RSI at 58.05 sits in neutral territory, providing room for further upside without reaching overbought conditions. This is particularly encouraging given that many altcoins remain oversold, suggesting CRV may be leading a broader recovery.

The Bollinger Bands analysis reveals CRV trading at the upper band ($0.42) with a %B position of 1.0050. While this indicates short-term resistance, historical patterns show that strong trending moves often maintain upper band contact for extended periods.

Volume analysis from Binance shows $5.99 million in daily turnover, which is adequate for the current price action but will need to expand significantly to support a move toward the $0.55-$0.72 CRV price target range.

The most compelling technical factor is CRV's position relative to moving averages. Trading above the 7-day SMA ($0.39) and recently reclaiming the 20-day SMA ($0.38) suggests the downtrend may be exhausted.

Curve Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for CRV
The primary bullish scenario targets $0.55-$0.72 based on several technical confluences. The initial CRV price target of $0.45 represents the breaking of strong resistance and would likely trigger algorithmic buying from momentum strategies.

A sustained move above $0.45 would target the $0.55 level, representing a 31% gain from current prices. This aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the decline from the 52-week high of $1.10.

The most optimistic Curve forecast reaches $0.72, which coincides with the 50% retracement level and would represent a 71% gain. For this scenario to materialize, CRV would need sustained volume expansion and broader DeFi sector recovery.

Key technical requirements for the bullish case include maintaining support above $0.39 (current SMA cluster) and achieving daily closes above $0.45 to confirm breakout validity.

Bearish Risk for Curve
The bearish scenario remains possible if CRV fails to hold current support levels. A break below $0.39 would target the $0.33 support zone, representing a 21% decline from current levels.

More severe downside risk exists if the broader crypto market experiences additional selling pressure. In this scenario, CRV could retest the 52-week low of $0.34, though this appears unlikely given current oversold conditions.

The primary bearish catalyst would be a breakdown in DeFi Total Value Locked (TVL) or regulatory concerns affecting decentralized exchanges, which could impact Curve's fundamental value proposition.

Should You Buy CRV Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Curve technical analysis, a scaled entry approach appears optimal for those asking whether to buy or sell CRV. The current price of $0.42 offers a reasonable entry point, but waiting for a pullback to $0.39-$0.40 would provide better risk-adjusted returns.

Conservative investors should consider entering 25% of their intended position at current levels, with additional 25% tranches at $0.40, $0.39, and $0.38. This strategy captures upside if CRV continues higher while protecting against downside volatility.

Stop-loss levels should be placed below $0.33, representing the confluence of strong support and lower Bollinger Band. This provides approximately 21% downside risk from current entry levels.

Position sizing should remain modest given CRV's 62% decline from 52-week highs and ongoing crypto market uncertainty. Risk management suggests limiting CRV exposure to 2-3% of total portfolio allocation.

CRV Price Prediction Conclusion
Our analysis suggests a medium confidence CRV price prediction targeting $0.55-$0.72 over the next 4-6 weeks. The combination of oversold technical conditions, improving momentum indicators, and analyst consensus around this price range supports this Curve forecast.

Key indicators to watch for confirmation include sustained trading above $0.42, expanding volume on any breakout attempts, and MACD signal line maintaining above the zero line. Invalidation signals would include a break below $0.39 or broader crypto market weakness.

The timeline for this prediction centers on February 2026, allowing sufficient time for technical patterns to develop and broader market conditions to stabilize. Traders should monitor the $0.45 resistance level closely, as a decisive break above this level would likely accelerate movement toward the higher price targets in our CRV price prediction model.

Image source: Shutterstock

crv price analysis
crv price prediction

As 2025 wrapped up, Ethereum rewrote its own history book, posting the highest single-day transaction count ever on Dec. 29, 2025, when 2.23 million transfers cleared the chain. The pace didn't cool off either, with Dec. 31, Dec. 30, and even figures logged on Jan. 2, 2026, all brushing up against record-setting daily transfer levels.

TLDR:

37 of top 100 Bitcoin treasury companies trade below net asset value, representing nearly 40% of sector
Strategy, the sector pioneer, now trades at 17% discount after previously commanding double premiums 
Companies below NAV cannot raise capital without destroying shareholder value, breaking growth model 
Industry consolidation expected as Alex Kruger compares situation to Grayscale Trust collapse in 2020

Bitcoin treasury companies are experiencing mounting pressure as roughly 40% now trade below their holdings’ net asset value. 

Data from BitcoinTreasuries.net reveals that 37 of the top 100 firms trade at discounts to their Bitcoin reserves. This shift marks a dramatic reversal from earlier trading patterns. 

The trend threatens the fundamental business model that drove the sector’s explosive growth throughout most of last year.

Business Model Breaks Down Under Discount Pressure
The treasury strategy depends entirely on maintaining premium valuations above Bitcoin holdings. Companies previously issued new stock above their cryptocurrency value to purchase additional coins. 

This cycle allowed continuous expansion without diluting existing shareholders. However, the system collapses when shares trade below the underlying asset value.

Strategy, the sector’s pioneer, now trades at approximately a 17% discount to its Bitcoin holdings. The company previously commanded premiums exceeding double its cryptocurrency value. 

Valuation pressure on Bitcoin treasury companies is mounting, with about 40% of the top 100 firms now trading below the net asset value of their Bitcoin holdings. Macro analyst Alex Kruger likened the model to the pre-collapse premium of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust in 2020, calling…

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) January 3, 2026

Twenty One Capital, another major player among the top five treasuries, faces similar discount levels. Meanwhile, smaller operations suffer more severe markdowns.

Brian Huang, co-founder of investment platform Glider, confirmed the initial enthusiasm has faded. Nearly 200 public companies collectively hold over 1 million Bitcoin worth around $96 billion. Many firms entered the space without previous cryptocurrency connections. The rush to replicate the treasury model created substantial market saturation.

Companies trading below net asset value cannot raise equity capital without destroying shareholder value. For instance, a treasury holding $100 million in Bitcoin but trading at 30% discount has a $70 million market cap. 

Issuing $10 million in new shares increases Bitcoin holdings to $110 million but only raises market value to $77 million. This mathematical reality eliminates the expansion mechanism entirely.

Industry Consolidation Expected After Grayscale-Style Collapse
Macro analyst Alex Kruger draws comparisons to the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust situation from December 2020. The trust traded at 40% premiums before Bitcoin exchange-traded funds emerged. 

Investors paid $1.40 for every dollar of Bitcoin exposure through Grayscale. Subsequently, the product collapsed to 50% discounts as alternatives became available.

Kruger describes the current treasury model as unsustainable given the structural problems. Katherine Dowling, president of Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company, predicts stronger treasuries will acquire weaker competitors. 

Consolidation appears inevitable as companies struggle below parity valuations. Strive’s September acquisition of Semler Scientific in an all-stock deal provides a precedent.

Performance data reinforces the deteriorating outlook for Bitcoin treasury companies. Only France’s The Blockchain Group outperformed the S&P 500’s 16% return last year. 

Every other treasury underperformed the benchmark index. Additionally, 60% of treasuries paid more for their Bitcoin than current market values.

The discount range varies widely across the sector. Sweden-based H100 Group trades at 32% below net asset value. Vanadi Coffee faces a 61% discount to its holdings. 

Brazil-based OranjeBTC hovers at parity, vulnerable to further equity drawdowns. These companies represent potential acquisition targets as consolidation accelerates.

A native lending protocol is nearing completion, while Ripple explores ZK-powered “confidential multi-purpose tokens”.

19h05 ▪
4
min read ▪ by
Lydie M.

Summarize this article with:

Ilya Lichtenstein, involved in the theft of approximately 119,756 BTC on Bitfinex, says he was released from prison earlier than expected thanks to the First Step Act, a law passed under Donald Trump. He spent just over a year behind bars, although he had been sentenced to five years.

In brief

Ilya Lichtenstein, involved in the BTC theft on Bitfinex in 2016, has announced his early release.
He claims to have benefited from the First Step Act, a law signed under Donald Trump allowing sentence reductions

A swift exit, a law that was already lingering in the background
Ilya Lichtenstein, a central figure in the bitcoin hack on Bitfinex in 2016, says he was released early thanks to the First Step Act. This is a law signed under Donald Trump. Sentenced to five years, he spent just over a year behind bars before announcing his release on X.

In this tweet, he explicitly thanked the First Step Act. In the same message, he claims to want to have a positive impact in cybersecurity. It is a common phrase. But it also indicates he is preparing the next steps.

The First Step Act, passed in 2018, expanded access to sentence reductions through time credits and reintegration programs. In short, this case related to bitcoin is not about a presidential pardon. It’s rather a mechanism that can shorten a sentence if certain criteria are met.

According to a statement relayed by the press, Lichtenstein is not free in the Hollywood sense of the term. However, he would be placed under home confinement under Bureau of Prisons rules.

Bitfinex and Bitcoin, the heist that almost never closes
The case dates back to August 2016, when Bitfinex was drained of nearly 120,000 bitcoins. At the time, it was already huge. With the bitcoin surge over the years, the amount has taken on an almost mythological dimension, as if the theft grew retroactively.

In legal documents, the picture is more technical and less romantic. The U.S. Department of Justice describes more than 2,000 fraudulent transactions followed by a methodical attempt to erase traces on the exchange’s network. It’s meticulous work, but digital burglary style.

Then comes the most “crypto” part of the case, the one that looks like a mixer user manual. “Chain hopping”, fake accounts, mixing services, conversions into other assets… The DOJ even mentions BTC exchanges into gold coins. As if the plan was to scramble the story until it became unreadable.

Razzlekhan, Netflix, and the transformation of a criminal case into a public saga
In this story, there is also Heather Morgan, aka “Razzlekhan.” She was sentenced to 18 months and also mentioned early release. On social media, the couple quickly resumed the pose of returning to life, with staging that contrasts with the tone of a federal case.

Lichtenstein’s early release comes in a political climate where bitcoin is watched as an influence issue. Trump, having become president again, has stood out with very visible decisions. He granted a full and unconditional pardon to Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, on January 21, 2025.

He also pardoned Changpeng Zhao, the founder of Binance, on October 23, 2025, according to the White House and Reuters. The gesture is symbolically heavy because it touches a central figure of the industry. Similarly, Trump declared he would look into the case of Keonne Rodriguez, co-founder of Samourai Wallet, leaving the idea of possible clemency hanging. Even without a decision, just talking about it acts as a signal. In crypto, signals sometimes matter as much as texts.

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Lydie M.

Enseignante et ingénieure IT, Lydie découvre le Bitcoin en 2022 et plonge dans l’univers des cryptomonnaies. Elle vulgarise des sujets complexes, décrypte les enjeux du Web3 et défend une vision d’un futur numérique ouvert, inclusif et décentralisé.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

Timothy Morano
Jan 03, 2026 16:54

Litecoin shows bullish MACD momentum with analysts targeting $87-95 range within 4 weeks, provided $82 critical support level holds firm.

LTC Price Prediction Summary
• LTC short-term target (1 week): $84.50 (+3.0%)
• Litecoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $87-$95 range (+6% to +16%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $87.00
• Critical support if bearish: $82.00

Recent Litecoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest LTC price prediction consensus from multiple cryptocurrency analysts shows remarkable alignment around the $87-$95 target range for January 2026. Blockchain.News has consistently maintained this Litecoin forecast across multiple reports, emphasizing the critical importance of the $82 support level holding firm.

Eudaimonia & Co offers the most optimistic short-term outlook with their LTC price target of $84.51 by today (January 3, 2026), representing a 7.26% gain. This aligns closely with our current price of $82.09, suggesting their prediction model may prove accurate.

The bearish outlier comes from Bitget's AI model, projecting only $79.37, which appears overly conservative given the current Litecoin technical analysis showing bullish momentum divergence. The consensus clearly favors upside potential, with medium confidence levels across the board.

LTC Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Recovery
Current indicators support the bullish LTC price prediction narrative. The MACD histogram reading of 0.9091 indicates strengthening bullish momentum, while the RSI at 55.07 sits in neutral territory with room for upward movement without entering overbought conditions.

Particularly significant is Litecoin's position at 1.03 relative to the Bollinger Bands, indicating the price has broken above the upper band at $81.88. This breakout, combined with the price sitting above key short-term moving averages (SMA 7 at $79.54 and SMA 20 at $77.93), suggests continuation of the current recovery trend.

The 24-hour trading volume of $22.96 million on Binance provides adequate liquidity support for the predicted price movements. The Stochastic indicators (%K at 90.39, %D at 92.38) suggest some short-term overbought conditions, which could lead to minor consolidation before the next leg higher.

Litecoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for LTC
The primary LTC price target remains the $87-$95 range, supported by multiple technical factors. Breaking above the immediate resistance at $82.82 opens the path toward $87, where the first major test awaits. Success here would validate the Litecoin forecast for reaching $95, representing the upper bound of analyst expectations.

For this bullish scenario to unfold, Litecoin needs to:
- Hold above the $82 support level (current critical zone)
- Maintain volume above the recent average
- Reclaim and hold above the 50-day SMA at $82.36

Bearish Risk for Litecoin
The downside risk centers around a breakdown below the $82 support level, which would invalidate the current LTC price prediction optimism. A decisive break here could trigger selling toward the $74.66 level, representing the key support identified by analysts.

The 200-day SMA at $99.31 remains well above current prices, indicating the longer-term trend requires more work to turn definitively bullish. Any failure to hold $82 would likely result in a retest of the $72.64 strong support level.

Should You Buy LTC Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Litecoin technical analysis, the risk-reward profile favors a measured approach. The optimal entry strategy involves:

For Conservative Buyers: Wait for a pullback to the $80-81 range for better risk-reward positioning, with a stop-loss at $78.50.

For Aggressive Buyers: Current levels around $82 offer immediate exposure to the predicted rally, with a tight stop-loss at $80.00.

Position sizing should remain modest given the medium confidence level in predictions. The buy or sell LTC decision ultimately depends on individual risk tolerance, but technical indicators support a cautiously bullish stance for the next 4 weeks.

LTC Price Prediction Conclusion
The weight of evidence supports a Litecoin forecast targeting the $87-$95 range by the end of January 2026, with medium confidence. The critical $82 support level serves as the make-or-break point for this prediction.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include MACD momentum maintaining its bullish trajectory, volume supporting any breakout attempts, and successful defense of the $82 support zone. The timeline for this LTC price prediction to materialize extends through the remainder of January 2026, with initial confirmation signals expected within the next week.

Traders should prepare for potential volatility around the $82 level, as this represents the battleground between bulls targeting $95 and bears looking for a breakdown toward $74. The neutral RSI provides room for upward movement, supporting the analyst consensus for recovery in the coming weeks.

Image source: Shutterstock

ltc price analysis
ltc price prediction

Zach Anderson
Jan 03, 2026 17:00

TRON (TRX) shows bullish momentum with MACD divergence and RSI at 63.91. Technical analysis suggests $0.35 target possible if $0.30 resistance breaks in coming weeks.

TRON (TRX) is approaching a critical juncture as the token trades at $0.29, just below the pivotal $0.30 resistance level that has defined its recent price action. With bullish momentum building through technical indicators and analyst consensus pointing toward upside targets, this TRX price prediction examines the probability of a breakout toward $0.35 in the coming month.

TRX Price Prediction Summary
• TRX short-term target (1 week): $0.31 (+6.9%) - Break above $0.30 resistance expected
• TRON medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.32-$0.35 range - Sustained momentum required
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.30 (strong resistance zone)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.27 (invalidates bullish thesis below this level)

Recent TRON Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest analyst forecasts show remarkable convergence around the $0.32-$0.35 range, providing strong foundation for our TRON forecast. Blockchain.News has issued two consecutive predictions targeting this zone, with their January 2nd analysis citing "break above key moving averages with strong technical support" as justification for their $0.32-$0.35 TRX price target.

CoinCodex takes a slightly more conservative approach with their $0.3510 long-term prediction, representing a 41% ROI from current levels. This aligns closely with Coinbase's $0.36 projection based on sustained 5% annual growth. The most aggressive TRX price prediction comes from Giottus, targeting $0.40-$0.46 driven by "sustained adoption in decentralized applications and entertainment ecosystems."

The consensus among analysts suggests medium confidence in upside targets, with no major bearish calls emerging from recent coverage. This bullish tilt supports the technical setup we're observing in real-time price action.

TRX Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Upside Breakout
The current TRON technical analysis reveals several compelling bullish signals converging simultaneously. The MACD histogram reading of 0.0011 indicates strengthening upward momentum, while the MACD line at 0.0017 sits well above the signal line at 0.0006. This divergence typically precedes significant price moves in the direction of the trend.

TRX's position relative to the Bollinger Bands presents an interesting dynamic. With a %B position of 1.0702, the token is trading above the upper band at $0.29, suggesting short-term overbought conditions. However, this often occurs during the early stages of strong trending moves, making it a potential continuation signal rather than a reversal warning.

The RSI reading of 63.91 provides the most balanced perspective, sitting in neutral territory with room to run toward overbought levels near 70-80. This suggests the current rally has more fuel available before exhaustion signals emerge.

Volume analysis from Binance shows $51.99 million in 24-hour trading activity, representing solid liquidity for the breakout attempt. The moving average convergence is particularly noteworthy, with the 7-day, 12-day, and 26-day averages all clustered around current price levels, creating a coiled spring effect.

TRON Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TRX
The primary bullish TRX price target centers on $0.35, representing a 20.7% gain from current levels. This target gains credibility from multiple analyst forecasts clustering in the $0.32-$0.35 range and technical resistance levels identified in historical price action.

For this bullish scenario to unfold, TRX must first decisively break the $0.30 resistance level with accompanying volume expansion. A daily close above $0.30 would trigger technical buy signals and likely attract momentum-based buying. The next logical resistance appears at $0.32, which served as support during previous rallies.

The ultimate bullish target of $0.35 coincides with the 50% retracement level from the recent high to low range, providing natural resistance. A break above $0.35 could extend the move toward the 52-week high of $0.37, though this scenario appears less probable within the next 30-day timeframe.

Bearish Risk for TRON
The primary risk to this bullish TRX price prediction lies in a failure to break $0.30 resistance, potentially triggering a retest of support levels. The immediate support at $0.28 aligns with the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, making it a logical first line of defense.

A break below $0.28 would target the strong support zone at $0.27, representing a -6.9% decline from current levels. This level coincides with recent swing lows and would likely attract value buyers. However, a decisive break below $0.27 would invalidate the bullish thesis entirely and could trigger a deeper correction toward the $0.24 52-week low.

The key risk factors to monitor include broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, Bitcoin's price action, and any fundamental developments affecting the TRON ecosystem. Regulatory concerns or technical issues could quickly shift the narrative from bullish to bearish.

Should You Buy TRX Now? Entry Strategy
The current technical setup suggests a strategic approach to buy or sell TRX decisions. For bullish positioning, the optimal entry strategy involves waiting for a confirmed break above $0.30 with strong volume. This would provide the highest probability setup for targeting the $0.32-$0.35 range.

Conservative buyers might consider dollar-cost averaging into positions between $0.28-$0.29, using the strong support levels as natural backstops. This approach reduces timing risk while maintaining exposure to the potential upside breakout.

Risk management becomes crucial at current levels. Stop-loss orders should be placed below $0.27 for any new long positions, representing roughly a 7% maximum loss from current entry points. Position sizing should reflect the medium confidence level in this prediction, suggesting 2-3% portfolio allocation maximum for risk-appropriate exposure.

For traders preferring confirmation over early entry, waiting for a daily close above $0.31 provides stronger conviction but reduces the risk-reward ratio. This approach suits those prioritizing capital preservation over maximum returns.

TRX Price Prediction Conclusion
Based on comprehensive technical analysis and analyst consensus, the TRX price prediction for the next 30 days targets $0.35 with medium-to-high confidence. The convergence of bullish MACD signals, supportive moving averages, and analyst forecasts creates a compelling setup for upside movement.

The critical catalyst remains a decisive break above $0.30 resistance, which would validate the bullish thesis and likely trigger momentum-based buying toward our $0.32-$0.35 TRON forecast range. Key indicators to watch include daily RSI progression, MACD histogram expansion, and volume patterns during any breakout attempts.

Timeline expectations suggest initial movement toward $0.31-$0.32 within 7-10 days if momentum continues, with the full $0.35 target achievable within the 30-day forecast window. However, failure to break $0.30 within the next week could delay this timeline significantly and potentially invalidate the bullish scenario entirely.

Investors should monitor the $0.27 support level closely, as any break below this critical zone would necessitate a complete reassessment of the bullish TRON forecast and suggest potential downside toward the $0.24 range instead.

Image source: Shutterstock

trx price analysis
trx price prediction

Caroline Bishop
Jan 03, 2026 17:07

XLM price prediction suggests potential rally to $0.28-$0.31 range within 4-6 weeks as technical indicators show early bullish momentum building from critical support.

XLM Price Prediction Summary
• XLM short-term target (1 week): $0.24 (+9% from current levels)
• Stellar medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.28-$0.31 range (+27% to +41%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.23 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.20 (strong support confluence)

Recent Stellar Price Predictions from Analysts
The analyst community shows remarkable consensus around Stellar's near-term prospects. Three separate predictions from Blockchain.News analysts between December 22-31, 2025, all converge on the same XLM price target range of $0.28-$0.31 for medium-term gains.

This Stellar forecast alignment is particularly noteworthy given the different timing of these predictions. Tony Kim's December 31st analysis highlighted bullish MACD divergence, while Ted Hisokawa's December 27th assessment focused on building momentum. James Ding's earlier December 22nd prediction emphasized oversold conditions creating opportunity.

The consistent medium confidence level across all predictions suggests analysts see reasonable probability for success, but acknowledge the critical dependence on the $0.22 support level holding firm. This creates a clear binary outcome scenario for XLM's next major move.

XLM Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout
Current Stellar technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency positioned at a crucial inflection point. With XLM trading at $0.22, the price sits precisely at the SMA 20 and EMA 26 convergence, indicating a potential decision zone.

The MACD histogram's positive reading of 0.0018 represents the first bullish momentum signal in recent sessions, while the RSI at 48.16 provides ample room for upward movement without reaching overbought conditions. This technical setup suggests XLM has space to run higher without immediate momentum exhaustion.

Bollinger Bands positioning at 0.73 indicates XLM is trading in the upper portion of its recent range, but hasn't reached the extreme levels that typically signal reversal. The daily ATR of $0.01 suggests controlled volatility, which could support a sustained move rather than violent price swings.

Volume analysis shows $13.1 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, providing adequate liquidity for institutional participation in any breakout scenario.

Stellar Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for XLM
The primary XLM price prediction scenarios point toward a measured advance to the $0.28-$0.31 zone. This target represents the confluence of several technical factors: it's approximately 27-41% above current levels and aligns with typical retracement levels from the recent decline.

For this Stellar forecast to materialize, XLM needs to clear the immediate resistance at $0.23 (current upper Bollinger Band) with convincing volume. A break above this level would likely trigger algorithmic buying programs and stop-loss covering from short positions.

The next resistance cluster sits at $0.30, representing both psychological significance and the strong resistance level identified in the technical analysis. This becomes the primary XLM price target for the bullish scenario.

Bearish Risk for Stellar
Should the critical $0.22 support fail, XLM faces a more challenging path. The immediate downside target would be $0.20, which represents both the lower Bollinger Band and the identified strong support level.

A break below $0.20 could trigger a more significant correction toward $0.18, representing approximately 18% downside risk from current levels. This bearish scenario would likely be accompanied by RSI dropping below 30 and MACD histogram turning decisively negative.

The proximity to the 52-week low of $0.20 adds psychological weight to this support level, making it a critical line in the sand for XLM bulls.

Should You Buy XLM Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Stellar technical analysis, a layered entry approach appears most prudent. Initial positions could be established at current levels around $0.22, with additional accumulation planned on any dip toward $0.21.

The risk management framework should include a stop-loss below $0.19, representing roughly 14% downside risk from current entry points. This level sits below the strong support confluence and would likely signal a more significant breakdown.

Position sizing should account for the medium confidence level expressed by analysts. A 2-3% portfolio allocation allows for meaningful exposure while respecting the inherent uncertainty around whether the buy or sell XLM decision will prove correct.

For aggressive traders, a breakout strategy above $0.23 could offer better risk-reward dynamics, though it sacrifices the current entry opportunity for improved confirmation.

XLM Price Prediction Conclusion
The weight of evidence supports a moderately bullish XLM price prediction over the next 4-6 weeks. Technical indicators show early signs of momentum building, while analyst consensus provides additional confidence around the $0.28-$0.31 target range.

However, this Stellar forecast comes with important caveats. The prediction hinges critically on the $0.22 support level holding, creating a binary outcome scenario. Success likely means a 30-40% rally, while failure could trigger a 15-20% decline.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include MACD histogram remaining positive, RSI advancing above 55, and most importantly, volume expansion on any move above $0.23. The timeline for this prediction extends through February 2026, with initial confirmation expected within 7-10 trading days.

Confidence level: MEDIUM - Technical setup is constructive, but success depends on holding critical support levels in an uncertain broader market environment.

Image source: Shutterstock

xlm price analysis
xlm price prediction

Timothy Morano
Jan 03, 2026 17:13

NEAR Protocol shows bullish momentum with MACD histogram positive and RSI at neutral 56. Analysts target $2.10-$2.35 range as NEAR breaks above Bollinger Band resistance at $1.68.

NEAR Price Prediction: Technical Recovery Points to $2.25 February Target
NEAR Protocol is showing early signs of technical recovery as the cryptocurrency trades at $1.70, up 2.54% in the past 24 hours. With key momentum indicators turning bullish and analyst consensus building around the $2.10-$2.35 range, our NEAR price prediction suggests a measured upward trajectory through February 2026.

NEAR Price Prediction Summary
• NEAR short-term target (1 week): $1.85 (+8.8% from current levels)
• NEAR Protocol medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.10-$2.35 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $1.72 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $1.41 (immediate support level)

Recent NEAR Protocol Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest NEAR Protocol forecast from multiple analysts shows emerging optimism despite mixed short-term sentiment. Jessie A Ellis from Blockchain.News and Peter Zhang both target the $2.10-$2.35 range for medium-term price action, citing positive MACD histogram readings and RSI recovery from oversold conditions.

However, Hexn.io presents a more cautious NEAR price prediction with a $1.52 target, reflecting the broader market's Fear & Greed Index score of 21. This divergence in analyst views creates an interesting setup where technical indicators may override sentiment-driven predictions.

The consensus among technical analysts leans bullish, with most agreeing that breaking the $2.00 psychological level would confirm the recovery narrative for NEAR Protocol.

NEAR Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Measured Recovery
The current NEAR Protocol technical analysis reveals several compelling bullish signals that support our price prediction. The MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.0389, indicating early bullish momentum despite the main MACD line remaining slightly negative at -0.0298.

NEAR's RSI sits at 56.05, positioned in neutral territory but showing strength after climbing from oversold levels. This reading suggests room for further upside without entering overbought conditions that typically precede corrections.

Perhaps most significantly, NEAR Protocol's Bollinger Band position at 1.0644 shows the price has broken above the upper band at $1.68, a technical development that often signals continued momentum when accompanied by volume confirmation. The 24-hour trading volume of $18.7 million on Binance provides adequate liquidity support for this breakout.

NEAR Protocol Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for NEAR
Our optimistic NEAR price prediction targets $2.25 by February 2026, representing a 32% gain from current levels. This target aligns with the analyst consensus range while accounting for technical resistance levels.

The path higher requires NEAR Protocol to first clear immediate resistance at $1.72, followed by the psychological $2.00 level. Once above $2.00, the next NEAR price target becomes $2.35, matching the upper end of analyst forecasts.

For this bullish scenario to materialize, NEAR Protocol needs sustained volume above $20 million daily and RSI readings to remain between 55-70, indicating healthy momentum without overextension.

Bearish Risk for NEAR Protocol
The bearish case for our NEAR price prediction involves a failure to hold current levels, with immediate support at $1.41 representing the critical line in the sand. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially target the 52-week low of $1.43.

Key risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, inability to generate sustained trading volume, and failure of the MACD histogram to maintain positive readings. The significant distance from the 200-day moving average at $2.34 also suggests NEAR Protocol remains in a longer-term downtrend that could reassert itself.

Should You Buy NEAR Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our NEAR Protocol technical analysis, the current price level presents a reasonable entry opportunity for those seeking exposure to the anticipated recovery. However, risk management remains crucial given the cryptocurrency's volatility.

Recommended Entry Strategy:
- Primary entry: $1.68-$1.72 range (current resistance becoming support)
- Stop-loss: $1.55 (below key moving averages)
- Take-profit 1: $1.95 (approaching psychological resistance)
- Take-profit 2: $2.25 (our February target)

Position sizing should account for NEAR's daily ATR of $0.10, representing significant intraday volatility. Conservative traders might wait for a successful retest of $1.72 as support before initiating positions.

NEAR Price Prediction Conclusion
Our NEAR price prediction anticipates a measured recovery to $2.25 by February 2026, representing a medium confidence forecast based on improving technical indicators and analyst consensus. The combination of positive MACD histogram readings, neutral RSI positioning, and successful Bollinger Band breakout supports this bullish outlook.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include sustained trading volume above $20 million, RSI maintaining readings above 50, and successful defense of the $1.68 level as new support. Invalidation of this NEAR Protocol forecast would occur on a decisive break below $1.55, which would signal a return to the broader downtrend.

The timeline for this prediction centers on the next 4-6 weeks, with initial confirmation expected by mid-January 2026 if NEAR Protocol can establish $1.72 as reliable support.

Image source: Shutterstock

near price analysis
near price prediction

Bitcoin ended 2025 with a realized daily volatility of 2.24%, the lowest annual reading in the asset's recorded history.

K33 Research's volatility chart stretches back to 2012, when Bitcoin saw daily moves of 7.58%, and shows steady compression through each cycle: 3.34% in 2022, 2.80% in 2024, and now 2.24% in 2025.

Yet, the narrative doesn't match the numbers. October's drawdown from $126,000 to $80,500 felt brutal, and the tariff-driven liquidation on Oct. 10 wiped $19 billion in leveraged longs in a single day.

The paradox: Bitcoin became less volatile by traditional measures while attracting larger capital flows and delivering larger absolute price swings than in prior cycles.

Low volatility doesn't mean “nothing is happening.” It means the market has grown deep enough to absorb institutional-scale flows without the reflexive feedback loops that defined earlier cycles.

ETFs, corporate treasuries, and regulated custodians now anchor liquidity. Long-term holders have been redistributing supply into that infrastructure.

The result: smoother daily returns, but with multi-hundred-billion-dollar swings in market cap that would have triggered 80% crashes in 2018 or 2021.

Bitcoin's yearly volatility declined from a peak of 7.58% in 2013 to a record low of 2.24% in 2025, per K33 Research data.Falling volatilityK33's annual volatility series documents the transformation.

In 2013, Bitcoin's daily returns averaged 7.58%, reflecting thin order books and speculative mania. By 2017, that fell to 4.81%, then 3.98% in 202,0 and 4.13% in 2021 during the pandemic bull run. The 2022 collapse of Luna, Three Arrows Capital, and FTX spiked volatility to 3.34%.

From there: 2.94% in 2023, 2.80% in 2024, and 2.24% in 2025.

The log-scale price chart reinforces this. Instead of blow-off tops and 80% retracements, Bitcoin from 2022-2025 ground higher within a rising channel.

Corrections came in August 2024 with the sub-$50,000 low and in October 2025 with the $80,500 drop, but no parabolic spike followed by systemic collapse.

The analysis noted the October move, at roughly -36%, fits comfortably within Bitcoin's historical drawdown profile. The difference is that previous -36% corrections came at the tail end of 7% volatility regimes, not at the low end of 2.2%.

That creates the perceptual gap. A -36% move over six weeks still feels violent. But measured against prior cycles, when 10% intraday swings were routine, 2025's action barely registers.

Bitwise noted Bitcoin's realized volatility fell below Nvidia's, reframing BTC as a high-beta macro asset rather than pure speculation.

Bitcoin's logarithmic price chart shows grinding upward movement within a rising channel since 2022, avoiding the parabolic spikes and 80% crashes of earlier cycles.Bigger market cap, institutional rails, and supply redistributionK33's core insight: realized volatility is lower not because capital flows disappeared, but because it now takes enormous flows to move the price.

Their chart plotting three-month changes in market cap shows swings of several hundred billion dollars, even in this low-volatility regime.

The October-November 2025 drawdown erased roughly $570 billion, almost identical to the $568 billion drawdown in July 2021.

The amplitude hasn't changed. What changed is the depth absorbing those flows.

Bitcoin's three-month market capitalization swings reached $570 billion in November 2025, matching the $568 billion drawdown from July 2021 despite lower volatility.Three structural forces explain compression. First, ETF and institutional absorption, as K33 tallies about 160,000 BTC of net ETF buying in 2025, down from over 630,000 BTC in 2024, but still substantial.

ETFs and corporate treasuries together acquired roughly 650,000 BTC, over 3% of the circulating supply. These flows arrive through programmatic rebalancing, not retail FOMO.

K33's noted that even when Bitcoin's price fell roughly 30%, ETF holdings declined only by single-digit percentages. No panic redemptions, no forced liquidations.

Second, corporate treasuries and structured issuance. Cumulative treasury holdings climbed to about 473,000 BTC by year-end 2025, though the pace slowed in the second half.

Much incremental demand came via preferred stock and convertible issuance rather than cash purchases, as finance teams executed capital-structure strategies over quarters rather than traders chasing momentum.

Third, redistribution from original holders to a broader base. K33's supply-age analysis shows that coins that have been idle for over two years have steadily come back to life since early 2023, with around 1.6 million BTC of long-term supply declining over the past two years.

The years 2024 and 2025 rank among the biggest ever for revived supply. The report cites an 80,000 BTC sale via Galaxy and a 20,400 BTC sale for Fidelity in July 2025.

That selling met structural demand from ETFs, treasuries, and regulated custodians building positions over months.

This redistribution is key. Early holders accumulated at $100-$10,000, often in concentrated wallets. When they sell, they distribute to ETF shareholders, corporate balance sheets, and wealth clients who buy in smaller increments through diversified portfolios.

This results in lower concentration, thicker order books, and weaker reflexive loops. In prior cycles, a 10,000 BTC sale into thin liquidity would gap the price down 5-10%, triggering stop-losses and liquidations.

In 2025, the sale attracts bids from multiple institutional channels, pushing the price up by 2-3%. The feedback loop weakens, and daily volatility compresses.

Portfolio construction, leverage shocks, and the end of parabolic cyclesLower realized volatility changes how institutions size Bitcoin exposure.

Modern portfolio theory dictates allocation weights based on risk contribution rather than return potential. A 4% Bitcoin allocation at 7% daily volatility contributes materially more portfolio risk than a 4% allocation at 2.2% volatility.

That mathematical fact creates pressure on allocators to either increase Bitcoin weights or deploy options and structured products that assume a calmer underlying.

K33's cross-asset performance table shows Bitcoin near the bottom of 2025's league table, trailing gold and equities despite its multi-year outperformance in prior cycles.

Bitcoin ranked near the bottom of 2025's asset performance at -3.8%, trailing gold and equities in an atypical year for the cryptocurrency.That underperformance, combined with lower volatility, makes Bitcoin look less like a speculative satellite position and more like a core macro asset with equity-like risk but uncorrelated return drivers.

The options market reflects this shift. Implied volatility on near-term Bitcoin options has compressed in line with realized volatility, which makes hedging cheaper and synthetic structures more attractive.

Financial advisors who were blocked from Bitcoin exposure by compliance departments citing “excessive volatility” now have a quantitative argument: Bitcoin in 2025 was less volatile than Nvidia, less volatile than many tech stocks, and comparable to high-beta equity sectors.

That opens the door to 401(k) inclusion, RIA allocations, and insurance company portfolios that operate under strict volatility mandates.

K33's forward-looking slides predict that net ETF inflows in 2026 will exceed 2025 as these channels open, creating a self-reinforcing cycle: more institutional flows lower volatility, which unlocks more institutional mandates, which bring more flows.

But the calm is conditional. K33's derivatives section shows Bitcoin's perpetual open interest grinding higher throughout 2025 in a “low volatility, strong uptrend” regime, culminating in the Oct. 10 liquidation event, when $19 billion in leveraged longs were wiped out in a single day.

The sell-off was tied to President Donald Trump's tariff announcement and a broader risk-off move. Still, the mechanism was pure derivatives: overleveraged longs, thin weekend liquidity, and cascading margin calls.

Realized volatility can print at 2.2% for the year and still hide fat-tail days triggered by leverage unwinds. The difference is that those events now resolve in hours rather than weeks, and the market recovers because underlying spot demand from ETFs and treasuries provides a floor.

The structural backdrop for 2026 supports the thesis that volatility will stay compressed or fall further. K33 expects the old-holder selling to subside as the 2-year supply stabilizes instead of being aggressively revived.

Additionally, they highlight a regulatory pipeline including the US CLARITY Act, full MiCA implementation in Europe, and the opening of 401(k) and wealth-management channels at Morgan Stanley and Bank of America.

Their “golden opportunity” slide predicts Bitcoin will outperform both equity indices and gold in 2026 as regulatory wins and new capital outweigh distribution from existing holders.

That forecast may or may not materialize, but the mechanism driving it, consisting of deeper liquidity, institutional infrastructure, and regulatory clarity, reinforces the conditions that produce low volatility.

The endgame is a Bitcoin market that looks less like the speculative frontiers of 2013 or 2017 and more like a liquid, institutionally anchored macro asset.

That doesn't mean Bitcoin becomes “boring” in the sense of delivering low returns or lacking narratives. It means the game has changed.

Price paths are smoother, options markets and ETF flows matter more than retail sentiment, and the real stories happen in market structure, leverage, and who sits on each side of the trade. 2025 was the year Bitcoin became boringly institutional from a volatility standpoint, even as it digested the largest-ever wave of regulatory and structural changes.

The payoff for understanding that shift: low realized volatility is not a signal that the asset is dead, but rather a signal that the market has matured enough to handle institutional-scale capital without blowing itself apart.

The cycles aren't over, they've just gotten more expensive to move.

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