Market Signal Briefing

Rongchai Wang
Jan 04, 2026 11:22

APT price prediction shows potential for $1.75-$1.95 targets as technical indicators present mixed signals. Current bullish momentum faces key resistance at $1.93 level.

APT Price Prediction Summary
• APT short-term target (1 week): $1.75 (+8.4% from current $1.91)
• Aptos medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.60-$1.95 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $1.93
• Critical support if bearish: $1.42

Recent Aptos Price Predictions from Analysts
Recent analyst predictions for APT show a fragmented outlook with targets ranging from $1.31 to $2.42. CoinCodex's latest APT price prediction of $1.46 represents the most conservative short-term view, while MEXC consistently maintains an Aptos forecast around $1.69 based on steady 5% annual growth projections.

The most optimistic long-term APT price target comes from Coinbase at $2.42, suggesting potential 26.7% upside from current levels. However, the wide spread between predictions ($1.31 to $2.42) indicates significant uncertainty among analysts about Aptos's near-term direction.

Market consensus appears cautiously neutral, with most predictions clustering around the $1.46-$1.69 range, suggesting limited upside expectations despite current bullish momentum indicators.

APT Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Consolidation
Current Aptos technical analysis reveals mixed signals that support a consolidation phase rather than a strong directional move. The RSI at 56.85 sits in neutral territory, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram shows positive momentum at 0.0595.

APT's position at 0.95 within the Bollinger Bands suggests the token is trading near upper resistance at $1.94, with the middle band (SMA 20) providing support at $1.68. The significant gap between the current price ($1.91) and the SMA 200 ($3.70) highlights the substantial distance from longer-term trend levels.

Volume analysis shows $7.36 million in 24-hour trading, which is moderate but insufficient for a strong breakout attempt. The daily ATR of $0.12 indicates relatively contained volatility, supporting the consolidation thesis.

Aptos Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for APT
In the bullish scenario, APT needs to break above the immediate resistance at $1.93 with strong volume. Success here opens the path toward the first APT price target of $1.95, followed by a medium-term objective of $2.42 as projected by Coinbase.

The bullish case relies on the positive MACD histogram maintaining momentum and the Stochastic indicators (%K at 93.67) finding support above 80 levels. A move above $1.95 would target the psychological $2.00 level before attempting the stronger resistance at $3.06.

Bearish Risk for Aptos
Bearish risks emerge if APT fails to hold the pivot point at $1.90 and breaks below the immediate support at $1.42. This scenario would validate the more conservative CoinCodex APT price prediction of $1.31, representing potential 31.4% downside.

The primary risk factor is the large gap between current price and the SMA 200, suggesting vulnerability to broader market corrections. A break below $1.42 would likely trigger further selling toward the 52-week low of $1.45.

Should You Buy APT Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Aptos technical analysis, the optimal buy or sell APT decision depends on risk tolerance and timeframe. For conservative buyers, waiting for a pullback to the $1.75-$1.80 range (near EMA levels) provides better risk-reward ratios.

Aggressive traders might consider entries above $1.93 breakout with stops at $1.85, targeting the $1.95-$2.00 range. Position sizing should remain modest given the mixed analyst predictions and current resistance proximity.

Risk management suggests stop-loss levels at $1.75 for long positions entered near current levels, with profit-taking at $1.95 for the initial APT price target.

APT Price Prediction Conclusion
The comprehensive APT price prediction points to a consolidation phase with upside potential toward $1.75-$1.95 over the next 2-4 weeks. Current bullish momentum indicators support this Aptos forecast, though the proximity to resistance suggests limited immediate upside.

Confidence level: Medium, given the mixed analyst predictions and technical indicators showing both bullish momentum and resistance challenges. Key levels to monitor include the $1.93 breakout level for confirmation of bullish continuation and $1.42 support for bearish invalidation.

The prediction timeline extends 2-4 weeks for short-term targets, with the broader $1.60-$1.95 range expected to contain price action through the remainder of January 2026.

Image source: Shutterstock

apt price analysis
apt price prediction

Peter Zhang
Jan 04, 2026 11:27

ARB price prediction shows bullish momentum building toward $0.25 target as technical indicators align for potential 19% upside from current levels.

Arbitrum's native token ARB is displaying promising technical signals as we enter 2026, with multiple indicators pointing toward a potential breakout above the $0.21 resistance level. Our comprehensive ARB price prediction analysis suggests the token could target $0.25 within the next 30 days, representing a 19% upside from current trading levels.

ARB Price Prediction Summary
• ARB short-term target (1 week): $0.23 (+10%)
• Arbitrum medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.22-$0.27 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.21
• Critical support if bearish: $0.17

Recent Arbitrum Price Predictions from Analysts
Recent analyst predictions for ARB show a clear division in market sentiment, creating an interesting setup for traders. Blockchain.News presents the most optimistic Arbitrum forecast with a $0.25 medium-term price target, citing bullish MACD histogram and neutral RSI conditions as key drivers. This aligns closely with our technical analysis showing similar momentum patterns.

In contrast, CoinCodex offers a more conservative ARB price prediction of $0.152 in the short term, pointing to the Fear & Greed Index sitting at extreme fear levels of 20. However, MEXC News provides a middle-ground perspective with a $0.31 ARB price target, contingent on the critical $0.22 support level holding firm.

The consensus among analysts suggests that while short-term volatility remains, the medium-term outlook for Arbitrum appears cautiously optimistic, with most targets converging around the $0.25-$0.31 range.

ARB Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Breakout
The current Arbitrum technical analysis reveals a compelling bullish setup that supports our aggressive ARB price prediction. With the token trading at $0.21, ARB sits precisely at the intersection of multiple technical confluences that typically precede significant price movements.

The MACD histogram reading of 0.0040 indicates building bullish momentum, while the RSI at 56.45 provides ample room for upward movement without entering overbought territory. Perhaps most importantly, ARB's position at 1.0026 on the Bollinger Bands suggests the token is testing upper resistance levels, often a precursor to breakout scenarios.

Volume analysis shows $5.6 million in 24-hour trading activity, which while modest, has been sufficient to drive the recent 2.93% daily gain. The key moving averages present a mixed but increasingly bullish picture, with the 7-day SMA ($0.20) and EMA 12 ($0.20) both trending above the 20-day SMA ($0.19), suggesting short-term momentum is building.

Arbitrum Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for ARB
Our primary ARB price target of $0.25 represents the first major resistance level that analysts consistently identify. A successful break above the current $0.21 immediate resistance could trigger momentum toward this level within 2-3 weeks. The bullish Arbitrum forecast extends further to $0.31, which would represent a 48% gain from current levels.

For this scenario to materialize, ARB needs to maintain support above $0.19 (the 20-day SMA) while building volume on any upward moves. The stochastic indicators at 94.12/%K and 93.78/%D suggest the token may need a brief consolidation before the next leg up, making any pullback toward $0.20 an attractive entry opportunity.

Bearish Risk for Arbitrum
The primary risk to our bullish ARB price prediction lies in a breakdown below the $0.19 support level. Such a move could quickly accelerate toward the $0.17 strong support zone, aligning with CoinCodex's bearish $0.152 target. A break below $0.17 would invalidate the bullish thesis and potentially target the 52-week low of $0.18.

Risk factors to monitor include overall crypto market sentiment, particularly given the current extreme fear reading, and any significant selling pressure that could overwhelm the modest trading volumes currently supporting ARB.

Should You Buy ARB Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our Arbitrum technical analysis, the current price level of $0.21 presents a reasonable entry point for traders with appropriate risk management. However, a more conservative approach would wait for a slight pullback to the $0.20 level, which aligns with multiple moving averages and could provide better risk-reward ratios.

Entry Strategy:
- Aggressive entry: Current levels ($0.21) with stop-loss at $0.19
- Conservative entry: Wait for pullback to $0.20 with stop-loss at $0.18
- Position sizing: Risk no more than 2-3% of portfolio given medium confidence level

The answer to "buy or sell ARB" depends on your risk tolerance, but the technical setup suggests buying on any weakness toward the $0.20 support level offers the best risk-adjusted opportunity.

ARB Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis supports a medium confidence ARB price prediction targeting $0.25 within 30 days, representing a 19% upside potential. The Arbitrum forecast is underpinned by improving technical momentum, supportive moving average positioning, and analyst consensus around similar price targets.

Key indicators to watch for confirmation include:
- Sustained break above $0.21 resistance with volume
- MACD histogram maintaining positive readings
- RSI staying above 50 during any pullbacks

Key invalidation signals:
- Break below $0.19 support
- MACD turning negative
- Volume declining on any upward moves

The timeline for this ARB price target is 2-4 weeks, with the first test of $0.23 expected within the next 7-10 days if current momentum continues. Traders should remain flexible and adjust positions based on how these technical levels react to market pressure in the coming weeks.

Image source: Shutterstock

arb price analysis
arb price prediction

Bitcoin Tops Weekend Crypto HypeAccording to leading on-chain analytics firm Santiment, Bitcoin is one of the most hyped cryptocurrencies this weekend, driven by heightened market volatility and renewed investor focus. 

Source: SantimentA convergence of corporate moves, institutional accumulation, regulatory developments, and shifting market structure has thrust Bitcoin back into the spotlight, reaffirming its role as the bellwether of the digital asset market.

Several major developments are driving the surge in Bitcoin chatter. Bitfarms’ decision to sell a Paraguay mining site for up to $30 million highlights strategic capital reallocation as miners adapt to post-halving economics and rising cost pressures.

Meanwhile, Tether has become the fifth-largest Bitcoin holder, amassing roughly $8.42 billion in BTC, underscoring growing institutional-scale confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term reserve asset.

Regulatory and market infrastructure shifts are further fueling Bitcoin’s momentum. South Korea’s largest crypto exchange is reportedly laying the groundwork for Bitcoin ETFs, even as regulatory approvals lag, underscoring mounting global pressure to fold Bitcoin into mainstream financial products. In the U.S., spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $348 million toward the end of 2025. 

While seemingly bearish, analysts view these flows as routine portfolio rebalancing rather than a weakening of long-term conviction in Bitcoin.

Price action and trading dynamics are further fueling the hype. Bitcoin has seen sharp intraday swings, surging trading volumes, and heightened options activity, especially around major contract expiries that tend to amplify short-term volatility. With BTC trading near $91,428, market momentum remains firmly in focus.

Source: CoincodexOn X, formerly Twitter, discourse is dominated by Bitcoin’s recent performance, increasingly bullish 2026 outlooks, narratives of institutional accumulation, and comparisons with traditional assets like gold and equities, reinforcing an overall strongly bullish market sentiment.

Beyond Bitcoin, several altcoins are capturing market attention. PEPE (PEPE) is surging with volatile price swings and skyrocketing trading volumes typical of meme-driven tokens. Ethereum (ETH) hovers near $3,000, buoyed by institutional inflows, active smart contract deployment, and strong network activity. 

Dogecoin (DOGE) dominates social chatter, with debates over its market performance and long-term potential. Solana (SOL) trends on discussions of staking, ecosystem growth, and its role as a high-performance blockchain.

ConclusionBitcoin top weekend discussions, driven by major institutional moves, regulatory shifts, and heightened volatility, while the broader crypto market balances speculation with innovation. 

Altcoins like Ethereum, Solana, PEPE, and Dogecoin attract attention through network activity and social momentum, but Bitcoin remains the key market barometer. This weekend’s trends suggest that, despite short-term swings, strong investor interest and strategic positioning could set the stage for a bullish start to 2026, highlighting both opportunities and risks in an interconnected crypto ecosystem.

Journalist

Posted: January 4, 2026

After years of research and upgrades, recent Ethereum [ETH] changes at the protocol level are changing what the network can actually do. Early signs are already visible, but the real effects are only just starting to unfold.

The breakthrough
Ethereum might be approaching its most important change since launch.

In a recent post on X, Vitalik Buterin explained that two long-planned upgrades (PeerDAS, now live on mainnet, and ZK-EVMs, now reaching usable performance) are changing the network at a structural level.

Together, he says they allow Ethereum to stay decentralized while handling far more data and activity than before.

“The trilemma has been solved – not on paper, but with live running code, of which one half (data availability sampling) is *on mainnet today*, and the other half (ZK-EVMs) is *production-quality on performance today*…”

Earlier, networks had to choose between scaling without coordination or coordinating without scale. Ethereum is now beginning to do both at once, using real, running systems rather than theory.

The subsequent result is a network designed for long-term growth.

The groundwork and the follow-through

Source: SoSoValue

The first trading day of 2026 saw Ethereum’s 2025 progress carrying forward. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $174 million in net inflows on the 2nd of January, pushing cumulative inflows to $12.5 billion.

Steady capital is in at the start of a new year.

Source: X

This follows the pace from the previous year. In Q4 2025 alone, developers deployed 8.7 million smart contracts on Ethereum. This is the highest quarterly figure on record.

While prices often struggled to match, the network kept expanding in capacity and use.

The handover from preparation to payoff seems to be underway. With developer activity laying the tracks, big money is now moving along the same lines in early 2026.

It’s clear that the network is benefiting from years of work already put into the system.

Final Thoughts

Ethereum’s long-planned upgrades are starting to translate into real-world traction.
The years of work are becoming increasingly visible in early 2026.

Tony Kim
Jan 04, 2026 09:33

Bitcoin technical analysis suggests BTC price prediction of $110,000 within 6-8 weeks, with immediate resistance at $96,635 and critical support holding at $85,000.

BTC Price Prediction Summary
• BTC short-term target (1 week): $94,500-$96,635 (+3.5% to +5.8%)
• Bitcoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $105,000-$115,000 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $96,635 (strong resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $85,000 (invalidation below $80,600)

Recent Bitcoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The analyst community shows remarkable alignment in their Bitcoin forecast for early 2026, with eight major predictions released on December 31st painting a predominantly bullish picture. The consensus BTC price prediction centers around $110,000-$150,000 for longer-term targets, representing significant upside potential from current levels.

Blockchain.News leads the charge with dual predictions: a conservative $92,000 short-term BTC price target based on MACD bullish divergence, followed by a more ambitious $110,000 medium-term forecast. This aligns closely with CoinGecko's $143,000 projection, which hinges on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act unlocking institutional ETF inflows.

The most bullish Bitcoin forecast comes from Cointelegraph at $150,000, supported by high confidence due to institutional adoption momentum. However, Finance Magnates provides a contrarian view with a $70,000 BTC price target, citing Elliott Wave analysis suggesting a potential 40% correction. This bearish outlier serves as an important risk consideration for any comprehensive BTC price prediction.

BTC Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout Above $96,000
Current Bitcoin technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency positioned for potential upside acceleration, though not without near-term challenges. Trading at $91,362, BTC sits 11% above its Bollinger Band middle line, with a %B position of 1.11 indicating price action near the upper band resistance zone.

The MACD histogram reading of 606.95 provides the strongest bullish signal in our technical framework, suggesting underlying momentum remains positive despite recent consolidation. This momentum indicator supports the medium-term BTC price prediction of $110,000, as positive MACD divergence typically precedes significant price moves.

However, the RSI at 58.49 sits in neutral territory, indicating room for further upside without reaching overbought conditions. The Stochastic oscillator readings (%K: 91.69, %D: 87.68) suggest short-term momentum may be cooling, potentially supporting a brief consolidation before the next leg higher.

Volume analysis from Binance shows $860 million in 24-hour trading, indicating healthy institutional participation that supports our bullish Bitcoin forecast. The daily ATR of $2,433 suggests normal volatility levels, providing a framework for setting realistic BTC price targets.

Bitcoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for BTC
The primary bullish scenario targets $110,000 as our core BTC price prediction within 6-8 weeks. This represents a 20.4% gain from current levels and aligns with multiple analyst forecasts. The technical path higher requires Bitcoin to break through immediate resistance at $96,635, which would likely trigger momentum-driven buying toward $105,000.

A secondary BTC price target of $125,000 becomes viable if Bitcoin reclaims its 52-week high territory, particularly with sustained institutional inflows. The bullish case strengthens significantly above $100,000, as psychological resistance levels often accelerate momentum once broken.

Key catalysts supporting the upside Bitcoin forecast include continued ETF inflows, regulatory clarity improvements, and technical momentum confirmation. The MACD histogram suggests this bullish momentum is already building beneath current price action.

Bearish Risk for Bitcoin
The primary risk to our bullish BTC price prediction lies in a breakdown below $85,000 support. This level represents the lower Bollinger Band and aligns with the 50-day moving average, making it critical technical support. A decisive break below this zone could trigger a retest of $80,600 strong support.

The most bearish scenario, aligning with Finance Magnates' $70,000 prediction, would require a broader crypto market correction and significant institutional selling pressure. This represents a 23% downside risk from current levels but carries lower probability based on current technical indicators.

Risk factors to monitor include rising bond yields, regulatory uncertainty, and any technical breakdown below the $85,000-$88,000 support cluster.

Should You Buy BTC Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our Bitcoin technical analysis, the current risk-reward setup favors strategic accumulation with proper risk management. For immediate entries, consider buying BTC on any pullback toward $89,000-$90,000, which aligns with the 20-day moving average support.

More conservative buyers should wait for a successful breakout above $96,635 before adding positions, as this would confirm the bullish BTC price prediction scenario. Set initial stop-losses at $85,000 to protect against the primary bearish risk.

Position sizing should reflect the 23% downside risk versus 20-47% upside potential to our primary targets. Consider a 2-3% portfolio allocation with plans to add on confirmed breakouts above resistance levels.

The buy or sell BTC decision ultimately depends on risk tolerance, but technical indicators support accumulation strategies over the next 1-2 months for investors with appropriate risk management.

BTC Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis supports a bullish Bitcoin forecast with a primary BTC price target of $110,000 by February 2026. This prediction carries MEDIUM-HIGH confidence based on positive MACD momentum, analyst consensus, and institutional adoption trends.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include a breakout above $96,635 resistance and sustained trading above $90,000 support. Invalidation signals would include a breakdown below $85,000 or deteriorating MACD momentum.

The timeline for this BTC price prediction spans 6-8 weeks, with intermediate checkpoints at $96,635 (breakout confirmation) and $105,000 (momentum acceleration). Investors should prepare for potential volatility around these key levels while maintaining focus on the medium-term bullish trajectory supported by both technical and fundamental factors.

Image source: Shutterstock

btc price analysis
btc price prediction

Luisa Crawford
Jan 04, 2026 09:44

BNB price prediction shows potential rally to $950 resistance level within two weeks, supported by bullish MACD histogram and position near upper Bollinger Band at $885.78.

BNB Price Prediction: Technical Analysis Points to $950 Breakout
Binance Coin is currently trading at $885.78 with emerging bullish signals across multiple technical indicators. This comprehensive BNB price prediction analysis examines the current market structure and provides specific price targets for the coming weeks.

BNB Price Prediction Summary
• BNB short-term target (1 week): $920-$935 (+4.5% to +5.5%)
• Binance Coin medium-term forecast (1 month): $950-$1,050 range (+7% to +18%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $891.14 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $818.39 (immediate support level)

Recent Binance Coin Price Predictions from Analysts
While no significant analyst predictions have emerged in the past three days, the technical landscape suggests market participants are positioning for a potential breakout. The absence of fresh analyst coverage often precedes significant price movements, as institutional attention typically follows rather than leads technical setups. This Binance Coin forecast relies primarily on technical indicators rather than sentiment-driven predictions.

The current market positioning shows BNB trading above most short-term moving averages, indicating underlying strength despite the lack of analyst coverage.

BNB Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Continuation
The Binance Coin technical analysis reveals several compelling bullish signals. BNB's position at 0.97 within the Bollinger Bands indicates the price is trading near the upper resistance band at $887.74, suggesting strong momentum. However, this proximity to resistance also creates a critical decision point.

The MACD histogram reading of 6.3746 provides the strongest bullish signal, indicating increasing momentum despite the negative MACD line at -1.5311. This divergence often precedes significant price movements. The Stochastic oscillator shows extreme readings with %K at 92.35 and %D at 86.77, suggesting BNB may be temporarily overbought but maintains strong momentum.

Volume analysis shows $76 million in 24-hour trading, providing adequate liquidity for the predicted price movements. The Average True Range of $25.52 indicates normal volatility levels, supporting the feasibility of reaching the BNB price target of $950.

Binance Coin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for BNB
The primary BNB price prediction scenario targets $950 within two weeks, representing the strong resistance level identified in the technical data. This forecast requires BNB to break through immediate resistance at $891.14, which appears likely given the current momentum indicators.

A successful break above $891.14 would trigger algorithmic buying and likely push BNB toward the $920-$935 range within one week. The ultimate target of $950-$1,050 over the next month requires sustained volume and broader crypto market support. This scenario carries a medium-high confidence level based on the current technical setup.

Bearish Risk for Binance Coin
The bearish scenario for this Binance Coin forecast involves a rejection at current levels near the upper Bollinger Band. If BNB fails to break $891.14 and falls below the pivot point at $882.74, immediate support sits at $818.39.

A break below $818.39 would shift the outlook bearish and target the strong support level at $790.79, representing a potential 10% decline from current levels. This scenario becomes more likely if the broader crypto market experiences selling pressure or if Bitcoin fails to maintain its current levels.

Should You Buy BNB Now? Entry Strategy
The current risk-reward setup suggests a favorable entry opportunity for those answering "buy or sell BNB" with a bullish bias. Aggressive traders could enter at current levels around $885, with a stop-loss at $870 (below the 7-day SMA) and targets at $920-$935.

Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to the $870-$875 range, offering better risk management. This approach provides a tighter stop-loss at $860 while maintaining the same upside targets. Position sizing should not exceed 2-3% of portfolio value given the inherent volatility.

For those preferring a breakout strategy, waiting for confirmation above $891.14 with volume would provide higher probability entries, though at reduced reward potential.

BNB Price Prediction Conclusion
This BNB price prediction anticipates a move to $950 within two weeks with medium-high confidence, supported by bullish momentum indicators and favorable technical positioning. The key confirmation level remains the immediate resistance at $891.14, while critical support sits at $818.39.

Traders should monitor the MACD histogram for continued bullish divergence and watch for volume confirmation on any breakout attempts. The Binance Coin forecast remains constructive as long as BNB maintains levels above $870, with the ultimate target range of $950-$1,050 achievable over the next month given supportive market conditions.

The timeline for this prediction spans 2-4 weeks, with initial targets expected within 7-10 trading days if momentum continues.

Image source: Shutterstock

bnb price analysis
bnb price prediction

Iris Coleman
Jan 04, 2026 09:56

ADA price prediction shows potential 22-38% upside to $0.49-$0.55 range within 4-6 weeks as MACD histogram turns bullish and oversold conditions reverse from key support.

Cardano (ADA) is showing early signs of technical recovery as the cryptocurrency trades at $0.40, representing a 3.81% daily gain. Our comprehensive ADA price prediction analysis reveals emerging bullish momentum that could drive significant upside in the coming weeks.

ADA Price Prediction Summary
• ADA short-term target (1 week): $0.43-$0.45 (+7.5% to +12.5%)
• Cardano medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.49-$0.55 range (+22% to +38%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.43 immediate resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $0.33 (Bollinger Band lower support)

Recent Cardano Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest analyst forecasts align with our technical outlook for ADA's recovery potential. Blockchain.News recently issued multiple Cardano forecast reports with price targets ranging from $0.49 to $0.58, citing oversold conditions and bullish MACD divergence as primary drivers.

The December 31st ADA price prediction of $0.49 specifically highlighted the recovery from $0.35 support levels, which closely matches our current technical setup. Earlier predictions targeting $0.55 and $0.58 remain relevant as medium-term objectives, assuming the critical $0.3576 support zone continues to hold.

Market consensus among analysts shows cautious optimism for Cardano's price trajectory, with most forecasts clustering around the $0.49-$0.58 range. This convergence of analyst views provides additional confidence in our prediction framework.

ADA Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Reversal
The current Cardano technical analysis reveals several compelling bullish indicators supporting our ADA price prediction. The MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.0083, signaling the first signs of momentum shift after an extended bearish period. This technical development often precedes meaningful price advances in cryptocurrency markets.

ADA's position relative to the Bollinger Bands presents an intriguing setup. With the price at 1.03 times the upper band ($0.40), Cardano is testing resistance but showing strength above the 20-day moving average. The RSI reading of 55.06 confirms we're in neutral territory with room for additional upside before reaching overbought conditions.

The moving average structure supports our bullish ADA price target outlook. Both the 7-day SMA ($0.37) and 20-day SMA ($0.37) are now providing support below current prices, while the 50-day SMA at $0.40 represents immediate resistance that could be broken with sustained buying pressure.

Volume analysis shows decent participation at $34.5 million in 24-hour trading, providing adequate liquidity for the predicted price moves. The 14-period ATR of $0.02 suggests normal volatility levels that should accommodate our projected percentage gains.

Cardano Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for ADA
Our primary ADA price prediction targets the $0.49-$0.55 range within 4-6 weeks based on technical momentum acceleration. The first milestone requires breaking above $0.43 immediate resistance, which would trigger stop-loss covering and attract momentum buyers.

If ADA successfully reclaims the $0.43 level, the next Cardano forecast target sits at $0.49, representing a 22% gain from current levels. This price target aligns with recent analyst predictions and corresponds to a 50% retracement of the decline from recent highs.

The optimistic scenario extends to $0.55, where Cardano would achieve a 38% advance. This ADA price target becomes viable if broader cryptocurrency markets maintain supportive conditions and Bitcoin continues its stabilization above key support levels.

Bearish Risk for Cardano
The primary risk to our bullish ADA price prediction centers on a breakdown below $0.33 support. This level represents both the Bollinger Band lower boundary and the 52-week low, making it critical for maintaining the recovery narrative.

A break below $0.33 would invalidate our Cardano forecast and potentially target the $0.30 psychological level. Such a move would likely occur alongside broader cryptocurrency market weakness and would require reassessing the technical outlook entirely.

Secondary risk factors include failure to break above $0.43 resistance after multiple attempts, which could signal lack of buying conviction and lead to consolidation between $0.33-$0.40.

Should You Buy ADA Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our ADA price prediction analysis, the current level around $0.40 offers a reasonable entry point for investors with medium-term horizons. However, more conservative buyers might wait for a slight pullback to the $0.37-$0.38 range, which corresponds to the moving average support cluster.

For active traders pursuing our Cardano forecast targets, consider scaling into positions with initial stops below $0.33. Position sizing should account for the 17.5% downside risk to support versus 22-38% upside potential to our price targets.

The optimal buy or sell ADA decision depends on individual risk tolerance, but the technical setup favors buyers who can withstand short-term volatility while waiting for the predicted advance to unfold.

ADA Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis supports a bullish ADA price prediction with targets of $0.49-$0.55 over the next 4-6 weeks. The combination of oversold conditions, bullish MACD divergence, and analyst consensus around similar price levels provides medium-to-high confidence in this forecast.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include sustained trading above $0.40, increasing volume on advances, and RSI progression toward 65-70 levels. Invalidation signals would include a break below $0.37 moving average support or failure to break $0.43 resistance after multiple attempts.

The timeline for our Cardano forecast to materialize extends through February 2026, with the initial $0.43 target potentially achieved within 1-2 weeks if current momentum continues. Investors should remain flexible and adjust positions based on how these critical technical levels perform in the coming sessions.

Image source: Shutterstock

ada price analysis
ada price prediction

Felix Pinkston
Jan 04, 2026 10:08

DOGE price prediction shows bullish momentum with targets at $0.21 short-term and $0.30 medium-term. Current technical setup suggests 40% upside potential from $0.15 levels.

DOGE Price Prediction: Technical Breakout Signals 40% Upside Potential
Dogecoin has emerged from its recent consolidation phase with renewed bullish momentum, trading at $0.15 and showing technical signs of a potential breakout. Our comprehensive DOGE price prediction analysis suggests significant upside potential in the coming weeks, with multiple analyst forecasts converging on similar targets.

DOGE Price Prediction Summary
• DOGE short-term target (1 week): $0.17 (+13% from current levels)
• Dogecoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.21-$0.30 range (+40-100% potential)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.17 (strong resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.12 (immediate support level)

Recent Dogecoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest Dogecoin forecast from major analytical platforms shows remarkable consensus around bullish targets. DigitalCoinPrice maintains a conservative approach with their DOGE price prediction of $0.15 short-term, $0.21 medium-term, and $0.26 long-term, citing stable market trends and increased adoption as key drivers.

More aggressively, FXEmpire's technical analysis points to a DOGE price target of $0.30 medium-term, based on Fibonacci retracement levels from the 2021-2022 downtrend. Their analysis suggests momentum continuation could push Dogecoin to $0.37 by January 2026, representing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.

The consensus among analysts indicates a gradual but steady appreciation in DOGE's value, with most predictions falling within the $0.21-$0.37 range over the next 1-3 months. This convergence of forecasts provides additional confidence in the bullish outlook.

DOGE Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout
Current Dogecoin technical analysis reveals several compelling bullish indicators supporting higher DOGE price prediction targets. The MACD histogram shows a positive reading of 0.0037, indicating bullish momentum is building despite the negative MACD line at -0.0004. This divergence often precedes significant price movements.

The RSI at 65.36 sits in neutral territory, providing room for further upward movement without entering overbought conditions. More importantly, DOGE is trading near the upper Bollinger Band with a %B position of 1.21, suggesting strong buying pressure and potential for a breakout above the $0.15 resistance.

Volume analysis shows robust participation with $175 million in 24-hour trading volume on Binance, indicating institutional interest at current levels. The 7.12% daily gain demonstrates renewed market confidence in Dogecoin's prospects.

Moving average analysis reveals DOGE trading above all short-term moving averages (SMA 7, 20, 50 at $0.13-$0.14), though still below the 200-day SMA at $0.19. A move above $0.17 would likely trigger a test of this longer-term resistance level.

Dogecoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for DOGE
The primary bullish scenario for our DOGE price prediction centers on a breakout above $0.17 resistance. This level has proven significant in recent trading and represents the gateway to higher targets. Successfully clearing $0.17 would likely trigger algorithmic buying and momentum traders, pushing DOGE toward the $0.21 level identified by multiple analysts.

The $0.21 DOGE price target aligns with historical support-turned-resistance and represents a 40% gain from current levels. Beyond this, the $0.30 level mentioned in FXEmpire's Dogecoin forecast corresponds to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the major downtrend, making it a logical medium-term target.

For the most optimistic scenario, the $0.37 level represents the confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the upper boundary of Dogecoin's ascending channel pattern. This target would require sustained bullish momentum and broader cryptocurrency market strength.

Bearish Risk for Dogecoin
Despite the bullish technical setup, risk management requires consideration of downside scenarios. The immediate support at $0.12 represents the first critical level to monitor. A break below this level would invalidate the current bullish structure and could trigger a test of the strong support at $0.12 (which coincidentally aligns with the 52-week low).

Key risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, regulatory concerns, or failure to maintain momentum above current levels. The distance of 47% below the 52-week high of $0.29 also suggests significant overhead resistance exists at higher levels.

Should You Buy DOGE Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Dogecoin technical analysis, a strategic approach to buying DOGE would involve multiple entry points to manage risk effectively. The current level of $0.15 offers a reasonable entry for those believing in the bullish DOGE price prediction, with a stop-loss set below $0.12 to limit downside risk.

More conservative traders might wait for a pullback to the $0.13-$0.14 range, which aligns with the moving average cluster and would offer a better risk-reward ratio. Alternatively, aggressive traders could consider buying a breakout above $0.17 with higher conviction but reduced position sizing due to the elevated entry point.

Position sizing should account for Dogecoin's inherent volatility, with the daily ATR of $0.01 indicating potential for significant price swings. Risk management is crucial given the speculative nature of meme coins, and no more than 2-5% of a portfolio should be allocated to such positions.

DOGE Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis supports a bullish DOGE price prediction with medium confidence, targeting $0.21 in the short-term and potentially $0.30 in the medium-term. The technical setup shows bullish momentum building, supported by positive MACD histogram readings and price action near Bollinger Band resistance.

Key indicators to watch for confirmation include a decisive break above $0.17 resistance with volume, RSI maintaining above 60, and MACD line turning positive. For invalidation, monitor breaks below $0.12 support or RSI falling below 50 with increasing volume.

The timeline for this Dogecoin forecast to materialize spans 2-6 weeks, with the first target of $0.17 potentially achievable within the next week if current momentum continues. The broader cryptocurrency market sentiment will play a crucial role in determining whether DOGE can achieve the more ambitious targets outlined by analyst predictions.

Image source: Shutterstock

doge price analysis
doge price prediction

Ted Hisokawa
Jan 04, 2026 10:26

AVAX shows bullish MACD momentum trading above key SMAs. Technical analysis points to $18-20 price target within 3-4 weeks if resistance at $15.86 breaks.

Avalanche (AVAX) is showing early signs of a potential breakout as the cryptocurrency trades at $14.03, displaying bullish momentum indicators that could drive prices significantly higher in the coming weeks. Our comprehensive AVAX price prediction analysis reveals multiple technical factors aligning for a potential rally toward the $18-20 range.

AVAX Price Prediction Summary
• AVAX short-term target (1 week): $16.50 (+17.6%)
• Avalanche medium-term forecast (1 month): $18-20 range (+28-43%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $15.86 resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $11.26

Recent Avalanche Price Predictions from Analysts
While institutional analyst coverage has been limited over the past three days, the technical landscape for AVAX presents a compelling case for upward price movement. The absence of recent formal predictions creates an opportunity for independent technical analysis to guide our Avalanche forecast, particularly given the current positioning above multiple key moving averages.

The lack of widespread analyst attention may actually work in AVAX's favor, as it suggests the current bullish setup hasn't been widely recognized by the broader market yet.

AVAX Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout
The Avalanche technical analysis reveals a confluence of bullish signals that support our optimistic AVAX price prediction. Most notably, AVAX is trading above its 7-day ($13.24), 20-day ($12.57), and 50-day ($13.35) simple moving averages, indicating short to medium-term bullish momentum.

The MACD histogram reading of 0.3027 represents the strongest bullish signal in our analysis, suggesting momentum is building for a sustained upward move. This is further confirmed by the RSI reading of 60.30, which sits in the neutral zone with room to move higher before reaching overbought conditions.

Perhaps most telling is AVAX's position relative to the Bollinger Bands, with a %B position of 1.02, indicating the price is testing the upper band resistance at $13.97. This positioning often precedes significant breakout moves when combined with strong momentum indicators.

The 24-hour trading volume of $28.6 million on Binance provides adequate liquidity to support a meaningful price movement, while the daily ATR of $0.70 suggests normal volatility levels that won't impede technical breakouts.

Avalanche Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for AVAX
Our primary AVAX price target sits at $18-20, representing a 28-43% upside from current levels. This target is based on several technical factors:

The immediate resistance at $14.40 appears likely to be overcome given current momentum, with the next significant barrier at $15.86. A break above $15.86 would confirm the bullish breakout and open the path toward our primary price target range.

The 200-day SMA at $20.69 represents the ultimate bullish target for this move, though we assign this a medium confidence level given the 47% rally required to reach this level.

Bearish Risk for Avalanche
The primary risk to our bullish Avalanche forecast lies in a breakdown below the $11.26 support level, which coincides with both immediate and strong support zones. Such a move would invalidate the current bullish setup and could drive AVAX toward the 52-week low of $11.44.

A failure to hold above the 20-day SMA at $12.57 would also weaken the bullish case and potentially lead to a retest of the lower Bollinger Band at $11.17.

Should You Buy AVAX Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our AVAX price prediction, current levels present an attractive entry opportunity for traders with appropriate risk management. The optimal buy zone sits between $13.80-14.20, allowing for entry on any minor pullbacks while maintaining proximity to current momentum.

For risk management, a stop-loss should be placed below $12.50, representing approximately 11% downside risk. This level sits below the 20-day SMA and would signal a breakdown of the current bullish structure.

Position sizing should account for the medium confidence level of this prediction, with conservative traders limiting exposure to 2-3% of portfolio value until the $15.86 resistance break confirms the bullish thesis.

AVAX Price Prediction Conclusion
Our analysis yields a bullish AVAX price prediction with medium-to-high confidence for the $16.50 target within one week and medium confidence for the $18-20 range within 3-4 weeks. The technical setup strongly favors upside movement, particularly if AVAX can decisively break above the $15.86 resistance level.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include maintaining the MACD bullish momentum, RSI staying below 80 to avoid overbought conditions, and volume expansion on any breakout moves above resistance.

The timeline for this Avalanche forecast extends through the end of January 2026, with the critical test of $15.86 resistance expected within the next 7-10 trading days. Failure to break this level within two weeks would reduce confidence in the bullish scenario and potentially delay the price targets by several weeks.

Image source: Shutterstock

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Jean-Luc Maracon

January 4, 2026

XRP has risen above the $2 level, driven by a mix of favorable market conditions and specific developments affecting its supply. This achievement has allowed XRP to temporarily surpass BNB in market capitalization rankings, reflecting renewed investor interest after a period of consolidation. The sustainability of this position hinges on ongoing structural support rather than short-term speculative activity.

A significant factor in XRP’s recent price action is the transfer of over 500 million XRP into an escrow mechanism, effectively removing more than $1 billion worth of the cryptocurrency from circulation until 2028. This move reduces available supply, which can amplify price movements in response to demand fluctuations. Such escrow actions tend to have a pronounced impact on prices when demand is stable or rising, as they limit liquidity.

Institutional and enterprise interest in XRP remains strong, contributing to this dynamic. With fewer tokens available for trading, even slight increases in demand can result in significant price reactions, potentially setting the stage for a supply shock.

Market data indicates that long-term holders (LTHs) are accumulating XRP, signaling a possible reversal from recent selling trends. This accumulation suggests confidence in the asset’s long-term potential rather than a short-lived price rally. Historically, long-term holders provide stability during market volatility, as they are less likely to sell aggressively during pullbacks, thus reducing the risk of sharp price corrections.

XRP has seen a 6.7% increase in the past 24 hours, trading near the $2 mark. This level is considered a psychological milestone, but sustaining it is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. Immediate resistance is noted at $2.03, with further gains potentially extending to $2.10, where historical resistance and additional liquidity are present.

Nevertheless, risks remain. Short-term holders might begin profit-taking after waiting for favorable exit conditions, which could increase selling pressure. If this occurs, XRP might fall back to $1.93, and losing this support would point to $1.86, altering the market outlook to a neutral or bearish stance.

The situation remains fluid, with market participants closely monitoring price movements and potential shifts in demand dynamics.

Post Views: 10

Jean-Luc Maracon

Jean-Luc Maracon is a French-Swiss expert in decentralized finance, known for his sharp analysis of Bitcoin, European Web3 projects, and crypto regulatory challenges. Splitting his time between Geneva and Paris, he brings a unique perspective blending traditional finance with blockchain innovation. He regularly collaborates with crypto platforms across Europe to help make digital investing more accessible.
Specialties: Bitcoin, staking, European regulation, crypto security, Web3.

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Ethereum broke out of its 12H descending channel, and as transaction counts hit a 2025 high, ETH held above $3,000 and aimed toward $3,410 next.

ETH breaks descending channel on 12H chartThe Ethereum–U.S. dollar pair pushed above the upper boundary of a descending channel that has guided price action since late summer. The breakout appeared on the 12-hour timeframe, where price also began to hold closer to the 50-period moving average. This move suggests sellers are losing control of the prior downtrend, at least in the near term.

Ethereum U.S. Dollar 12H Bitstamp Descending Channel Breakout. Source: Jonathan Carter (@JohncyCrypto)

Carter said the breakout confirms completion of the descending channel pattern. He pointed to follow-through buying after the move above trendline resistance as evidence of rising upward pressure. The chart shows Ethereum stabilizing above former channel resistance, which now acts as a short-term pivot area.

Based on the updated structure, Carter outlined upside reference levels derived from prior congestion and volume zones. He identified $3,410 as the first target, followed by $3,770 and then $4,250 if momentum continues. These levels align with earlier resistance areas where price previously stalled during the broader decline.

The analysis comes as Ethereum trades near the lower $3,000 range after weeks of consolidation. While the breakout shifts the immediate technical bias higher, continuation depends on whether price can sustain above the former channel boundary and nearby moving averages on subsequent candles.

Ethereum ecosystem sets late 2025 transaction peakEthereum-linked networks ended 2025 with a fresh high in transaction activity, as monthly counts climbed into year-end and extended a multi-quarter uptrend, according to a chart shared on X by analyst Leon Waidmann.

The chart tracks monthly transactions across major Ethereum-connected chains and shows the combined total rising steadily through 2024 before accelerating into 2025. The final bars of 2025 reach the highest level on the display, which supports Waidmann’s claim that the ecosystem closed the year at an all-time high for transaction count.

Most of the visible growth came from high-throughput networks tied to Ethereum’s scaling stack rather than Ethereum mainnet alone. In the legend, Base leads the last 30-day total, while Polygon PoS and Arbitrum also rank among the largest contributors. As activity broadened across these chains, the stacked bars thickened into late 2025, which indicates more transactions spread across several venues instead of a single-network spike.

The right edge of the chart also shows a sharp increase heading into early 2026, with the highest cluster of bars packed into the most recent months. That shape signals that transaction demand remained elevated after the year-end peak, while the ecosystem’s growth stayed concentrated in rollups and other execution layers that settle back to Ethereum.

Ethereum price path points higher into JanuaryEthereum’s rebound from the mid-December low near $2,850 shifts the short-term bias upward. Price reclaimed the $3,000 level and then extended toward $3,100, which now acts as the nearest pivot. As long as Ether holds above this zone, the structure favors continued upside rather than a return to December lows.

Ethereum Price USD, December 2025–January 2026. Source: CoinCodex

The slope of the recent move suggests momentum is rebuilding after a prolonged consolidation phase. Higher lows formed into late December, and the early January push shows follow-through instead of a single spike. If this pattern persists, price can probe the $3,250 to $3,300 area, where selling pressure capped earlier rallies in December.

The projected curve on the chart aligns with a continuation scenario rather than a sharp breakout. That implies gradual gains instead of a vertical move. Failure to hold above $3,000 would weaken this setup and reopen the $2,900 region, but current price behavior supports a higher range into mid-January.

11h05 ▪
5
min read ▪ by
Mikaia A.

Summarize this article with:

Bitcoin, once a symbol of extreme volatility, has it become a settled asset? In 2025, despite ups and downs, some experts claim that the queen of cryptos has been more stable… than Nvidia! This contrast intrigues. What if BTC is no longer that flighty spark but a calm force ready to play with the big players? Let’s take a closer look at this new face.

In brief

Bitcoin recorded its lowest volatility since 2012, at only 2.24%.
ETFs absorbed 160,000 BTC in 2025, stabilizing the market like never before.
The OGs massively sold, redistributing bitcoin into the hands of very patient institutional players.
Clear regulation allowed funds, banks, and insurers to confidently enter the crypto universe.

When Bitcoin beats Nvidia in stability: more legend than myth
Bitcoin’s evolution is often associated with pure speculation, sharp moves, and surprise crises. However, according to K33 Research, its realized daily volatility in 2025 dropped to 2.24%, a historically low level. In comparison, Nvidia, a Nasdaq star, experienced stronger fluctuations over the same period. A symbolic reversal.

This does not mean nothing moves. In October 2025, Bitcoin fell from $126,000 to $80,500, a 36% drop. But this kind of shock, once catastrophic, is now absorbed by stronger market structures. It no longer triggers a domino effect.

From ETFs to corporate treasuries, institutional players are here, steady and structured. They buy based on algorithms, rebalance using models, and bring new depth. There is no longer selling on a tweet. The BTC market isn’t a sanctuary, but it has changed nature: it breathes the calm of a structured macroeconomic asset.

From OGs to banks: the silent redistribution of the digital treasure
Bitcoin not only changed pace but also hands. Since 2024, over 1.6 million BTC dormant for two years or more have been put back into circulation. This marks a true generational transition in the crypto ecosystem.

The famous OGs, historic early holders, began selling. Not in panic, but in a thoughtful movement. They are transferring their bitcoins to institutional entities: ETFs, regulated funds, corporate treasuries, even private banks.

This shift changes the game.

When prices and fundamentals diverge, opportunities arise, and we believe 2026 sets the stage for a strong BTC resurgence.

Source: K33 Research.
This redistribution strengthens liquidity, dilutes concentrations, and soothes storms. Gone are the massive sales triggering brutal drops. An institutional portfolio doesn’t react instantaneously. It plans. And this deeply transforms market structure.

ETFs, treasuries, and regulation: the trinity that calmed the Bitcoin beast
This new calm in Bitcoin is also explained by a triple alliance: BTC ETFs, corporate treasuries, and regulators. Together, they tamed the former wild beast of crypto markets.

ETFs served as stabilizers. They absorb BTC without herd effects. In 2025, 160,000 BTC were purchased by these vehicles. Even when the price dropped 30%, their positions barely retreated. No panic, no run.

Companies, on their side, have added BTC to their balance sheets. Not to speculate but to strategically diversify. With about 473,000 BTC held at year-end, they weigh in on stability.

Finally, regulators opened the floodgates. With MiCA in Europe and the beginnings of a legal framework in the United States, large managers can finally enter the crypto space without fearing legal uncertainty. This attracts a new wave of stable capital.

Facts, figures, and key levels to know
Here is a quick summary of key points around Bitcoin today:

BTC Price: $91,432 (at time of writing);
Realized volatility 2025: 2.24%, a record low since Bitcoin’s inception;
Technical zone under watch: $85,000–$90,000, major consolidation;
Critical support: $74,508 — a break below could trigger a renewed correction;
Symbolic resistance: $100,000, a key psychological threshold for 2026.

The end of 2025 was not kind to Bitcoin, with a sharp decline in October. However, the foundations are there: institutions, rules, and diversification. 2026 could well see BTC crossing important milestones. The levels to watch are clear: $74,508 as a floor, $100,000 as a psychological barrier. A new ascent may begin.

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Mikaia A.

La révolution blockchain et crypto est en marche ! Et le jour où les impacts se feront ressentir sur l’économie la plus vulnérable de ce Monde, contre toute espérance, je dirai que j’y étais pour quelque chose

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

Ripple has finalized its monthly XRP release for January, according to the most recent on-chain data.

The company has returned a total of 700 million XRP to its escrow wallets following the monthly release on January 1, effectively keeping the majority of the newly unlocked tokens off the open market.

34 billion remaining tokens X-based liquidity tracker XRP_Liquidity (@XRPwallets) has shared the data from XRPscan, which shows that the process has concluded with 34.185 billion XRPs remaining in programmatic escrow. 

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This figure shows the supply that remains under the control of the San Francisco-based enterprise blockchain company.

The 34 billion token figure comes after the standard monthly unlock and subsequent re-locking of excess tokens.

As reported by U.Today, the January cycle adhered to Ripple’s long-standing mechanism of releasing 1 billion XRP at the start of the month. The company usually uses these tokens to support liquidity and operational needs. 

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For comparison, some irregularities had been observed throughout 2025 with split transactions or timing anomalies.

A similar pattern is expected to play out next month, meaning that roughly 700 million XRPs will likely be returned to escrow.

This would leave approximately 33.885 billion XRP in escrow.

Current network data shows a circulating supply of 65.78 billion XRP. Notably, over 14.2 million tokens remain permanently burned.

A fake "heavy selling" memoAs reported by U.Today, a sarcastic message was recently attached to Ripple’s January 1 escrow release. The puzzling facetious message briefly misled some members of the XRP community on Thursday. It falsely stated that the company had "dumped" $8 billion on retail investors in 2025.

The sarcastic memo was the work of an on-chain "troll" who exploited the feature of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) that makes it possible to permanently embed the text in the blockchain’s history.

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show strength above the $90,000 level, technical indicators suggest the asset is positioning for a potential move higher.

In this context, the cryptocurrency is showing signs of a significant price move as it continues to compress within a well-defined symmetrical triangle on the four-hour chart, a structure that often precedes sharp volatility.

According to market analysis highlighted by Ali Martinez in an X post on January 4, the ongoing consolidation points to a potential breakout of around 15%, bringing a decisive move into focus for traders and investors.

The outlook indicates that the asset is trading within a tightening range, reflecting declining volatility and growing market indecision, conditions that typically resolve with a strong directional move once the price breaks out.

Bitcoin price analysis chart. Source: Ali Martinez
The upper resistance trendline currently caps price action just below the $91,000–$92,000 zone, while rising support has held above the $86,800 area.

A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance would imply a measured move of roughly 15%, placing Bitcoin near or above the psychologically important $100,000 level. 

Such a move would likely be reinforced by momentum traders re-entering the market after the prolonged consolidation period. Conversely, a breakdown below the ascending support would open the door to a corrective move toward the low $80,000s, though current price action favors an upside test.

Bitcoin moves past $90,000
It is worth noting that Bitcoin rallied above the $91,000 mark on Sunday as risk appetite improved across the broader cryptocurrency market, extending the early 2026 rebound in major digital assets.

The advance was fueled in part by a sharp liquidation event that flushed out crowded positions and reset near-term leverage. Roughly $180 million in futures positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with short positions accounting for about $133 million. This imbalance suggests many traders were positioned against the move, triggering forced buybacks as prices climbed.

Geopolitical developments also contributed to the rally. Fast-moving headlines out of Venezuela added to market volatility and encouraged risk-taking, reinforcing the upward push in Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

Bitcoin price analysis 
By press time, Bitcoin was trading at $91,460, up about 2% over the past 24 hours. On a weekly basis, BTC is up more than 4%.

Bitcoin seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold
As things stand, Bitcoin is trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), with the price around $91,555 compared with the 50-day SMA near $90,018, indicating that short- to medium-term momentum remains constructive. However, the price remains well below the 200-day SMA at roughly $99,664, suggesting the broader trend has yet to fully turn bullish and that overhead resistance remains significant.

The 14-day RSI stands at 56.48, placing Bitcoin in neutral territory. This reading reflects modest upside momentum without signs of overbought conditions, implying room for further gains if buying pressure strengthens, though not yet enough conviction to signal a strong trend continuation.

Featured image via Shutterstock

Bitcoin Dominance Is Rolling Over$Bitcoin dominance has started to edge lower, a classic signal that capital is rotating away from BTC and into altcoins. The attached dominance chart shows BTC losing market share after a strong run, while the broader crypto market continues to expand.

This type of setup often appears in the early stages of an altcoin rotation, when investors grow more comfortable taking risk beyond Bitcoin in search of higher returns.

Bitcoin Dominance 15m - TradingView

What Falling BTC Dominance MeansWhen Bitcoin dominance drops:

Capital typically flows into large- and mid-cap altcoins firstRisk appetite increases across the marketAltcoins often begin to outperform Bitcoin on a percentage basisThis doesn’t mean $BTC is turning bearish. Instead, it suggests the market is entering a phase where diversification and rotation become the dominant theme.

Top 5 Altcoins to Watch as Rotation AcceleratesBelow are five altcoins currently benefiting from renewed attention, based on their market positioning and recent performance.

Hyperliquid (HYPE)Price: ~$25.20Market Cap: ~$8.5B24h Volume: ~$151M$Hyperliquid is a high-performance onchain derivatives platform focused on speed and deep liquidity. As interest in decentralized trading infrastructure grows, HYPE is increasingly viewed as a core bet on the next phase of DeFi trading.

Lighter (LIT)Price: ~$2.59Market Cap: ~$650M24h Volume: ~$24M$Lighter is positioned as an onchain infrastructure and liquidity-focused protocol. Its smaller market cap makes it more volatile, but also more responsive during altcoin rotations, attracting traders looking for asymmetric upside.

Zcash (ZEC)Price: ~$503Market Cap: ~$8.3B24h Volume: ~$518M$Zcash is one of the leading privacy-focused cryptocurrencies. In periods where privacy narratives regain traction, ZEC often sees renewed interest, especially from traders rotating out of Bitcoin into alternative use cases.

Uniswap (UNI)Price: ~$5.93Market Cap: ~$3.7B24h Volume: ~$309M$Uniswap remains a cornerstone of decentralized finance. As altcoin activity increases, DEX volumes tend to rise, making UNI a common beneficiary of broader DeFi rotations.

Dash (DASH)Price: ~$42.47Market Cap: ~$533M24h Volume: ~$69M$Dash focuses on fast, low-cost payments. While often overlooked during Bitcoin-led rallies, DASH historically performs well during altcoin phases when traders revisit older, liquid assets with strong transaction utility.

When to Buy Altcoins in 2026If Bitcoin dominance continues to drift lower:

Altcoins could see accelerating relative gainsVolatility across mid-caps is likely to increaseShort-term rotations may happen quickly and aggressivelyThe key variable remains Bitcoin itself. As long as BTC holds its major support levels, the backdrop remains constructive for altcoins.

Sun, 4/01/2026 - 8:14

Gasparino has reignited his long-standing feud with the "XRP Army" on Sunday, mocking retail investors as "idiots" who serve as unwitting exit liquidity for Ripple’s wealthy executives.

Cover image via www.youtube.com

On Sunday, Fox Business Network Senior Correspondent Charles Gasparino started feuding with the "XRP Army"once again.

In a series of blistering posts on X (formerly Twitter), Gasparino took aim at the intelligence of retail investors holding the token. The controversial host has questioned whether they realize they are ostensibly serving as exit liquidity for Ripple executives.

Setting aside the idiocy of you holding XRP thinking youre getting rich, how much did Brad Garlinghouse and the gang profit off of your idiocy? Sad Ha!

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— Charles Gasparino (@CGasparino) January 3, 2026 The latest flare-up began when Gasparino responded to a user regarding the financial logic of holding the asset. "Setting aside the idiocy of you holding XRP thinking you’re getting rich," Gasparino wrote, "how much did Brad Garlinghouse and the gang profit off of your idiocy? Sad Ha!"

The Fox News host has doubled down on the narrative in another tweet. "Don't you wish [SEC Chair] Jay [Clayton] made Ripple people disclose how much money they made on XRP while you lost all that money?" he taunted. "You really make this easy."

"Cult of bagholders"Gasparino, who has previously claimed credit for putting the XRP community "on the map in a mainstream way," has spent the better part of late 2025 and early 2026 sparring with community stalwarts. 

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The television personality has frequently characterized the community as a "cult of bagholders," engaging in bizarre, specific spats with prominent accounts. In interactions with XRP influencer Mr. Huber (@Leerzeit), whom Gasparino refers to as "Mr. Germany," the host mocked the user’s purchasing power relative to the token's performance.

"Whenever Mr. Germany doesn’t have money for a bratwurst or a little schnitzel because he lost it all on $XRP this clown shows up on my timeline," Gasparino tweeted in late November. "Sorry this isn’t helping XRP cult of bagholders rich; as far as management’s concerned, they’ve already cashed out."

The vitriol comes amidst a period of price volatility for the asset, which Gasparino described recently as "flailing" and "getting absolutely crushed."

The XRP Army frequently accuses the journalist of bias or carrying water for SEC interests. Gasparino maintains his role is that of a reality checker. 

XRP's underwhelming year 2025 was supposed to be the "golden year" for XRP. Following the SEC settlement in May, the token staged a massive rally, hitting an all-time high of roughly $3.65 in July. The euphoria was deafening, with predictions of double-digit prices flooding the timeline.

However, since that July peak, XRP has bled out nearly 45% of its value, languishing around the $2.00 range through late 2025 and into early 2026.

Gasparino has seized on this "round-trip" price action to characterize the community as "bagholders." Back in November, Gasparino tweeted that XRP was |getting absolutely crushed."

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January 4, 2026

The price of Bitcoin held near the $90,000 level on Saturday, even as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Venezuela escalated sharply following overnight military action.

Key Takeaways:

Bitcoin held near $90K despite a major US–Venezuela military escalation that dominated headlines.
BTC staying above its 21-day moving average signals short-term support and potential January upside.
Analysts warn volatility could rise once institutional traders return when US markets reopen.

Bitcoin briefly dipped below $90,000 in early trading before recovering, showing limited reaction to an event that dominated global headlines.

“The US bombed a country and captured its leader, on a weekend no less, and yet Bitcoin has barely moved,” said Nic Puckrin, founder of crypto media firm Coin Bureau, in a post on X.

Bitcoin’s Calm Amid Geopolitical Shock Puts Focus on Key Support LevelThe muted response stood out in a market where risk assets often see sharp sell-offs during geopolitical crises.

From a technical perspective, analysts point to encouraging signals. Michaël van de Poppe noted that Bitcoin remains above its 21-day moving average, a level often viewed as short-term support.

Holding above that threshold could open the door to further price gains in January, assuming broader market conditions remain stable.

The resilience is notable given Bitcoin’s recent volatility.

Historically, sudden geopolitical shocks or macroeconomic stress have triggered abrupt drawdowns in risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies. This time, the response has been restrained, at least so far.

The situation stems from an announcement by US President Donald Trump, who confirmed airstrikes on Venezuela’s capital, Caracas, that led to the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

While the news sparked intense debate online, financial markets appeared largely unfazed over the weekend.

Some analysts caution that the calm may not last. “There’s a lot of geopolitical tension, and next week the big players will return,” said crypto trader Lennaert Snyder, warning that volatility could increase once traditional markets reopen.

Institutional investors typically sit out weekends, meaning reactions may still come when US markets open on Monday.

$BTC has entered the weekend range.

We all know weekend ranges are choppy and slow, so I'm waiting until I get a trigger at the boundaries.

The ~$90,930 high is interesting for shorts after confirmation if we get the liquidity sweep. If we show strength and gain it, longs could… pic.twitter.com/KuTLDgk8uK

— Lennaert Snyder (@LennaertSnyder) January 3, 2026
Any renewed selling pressure would add to Bitcoin’s recent corrective phase. After a flash crash in October, Bitcoin fell more than 30% from an all-time high above $125,000 to around $80,000 in November, before rebounding toward current levels.

Bitcoin Seen Entering Accumulation Phase in Early 2026Analyst Linh Tran believes Bitcoin entered a corrective phase in late 2025 after peaking near $126,000 and falling roughly 35% to around $80,000.

In a note shared with Cryptonews.com, she said this pullback reflects a structural shift in the market, with Bitcoin now driven less by retail speculation and more by macroeconomic conditions, institutional flows, and regulatory developments.

Meanwhile, Abra CEO Bill Barhydt believes Bitcoin could benefit in 2026 as easing monetary policy injects fresh liquidity into global markets, reviving risk appetite after a prolonged period of tight financial conditions.

Barhydt said the US central bank is already laying the groundwork for looser policy.

He pointed to early signs of renewed balance sheet support, describing the current environment as “quantitative easing light,” with the Federal Reserve stepping in to support demand for government debt.

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This week’s most relevant crypto stories in Latin America highlight how digital assets are moving from speculation to everyday use.

On one hand, Bitcoin-powered travel is gaining ground in El Salvador with the expansion of Airbtc, a booking platform built exclusively for BTC users and already showing strong local adoption.

On the other hand, Argentina’s older adults are leading the region’s growth in digital wallet usage, proving that crypto and fintech adoption are accelerating across generations.

Furthermore, Bitget Wallet ended 2025 with increased on-chain activity in trading, payments, and yield products, demonstrating that self-custodial wallets are becoming mainstream financial instruments rather than niche solutions for cryptocurrency traders.

Together, these developments underscore a clear trend: crypto in LATAM is increasingly about real-world utility, inclusion, and economic transformation.

Airbtc is a Bitcoin-only platform that is redefining travel
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Airbtc is a global booking platform where consumers can only pay with Bitcoin (BTC).

The business, which launched in August 2024, operates similarly to Airbnb but is developed by and for bitcoiners.

According to cofounder Jake Seifert, the platform already features properties across more than a dozen countries, with a strong presence in El Salvador.

Destinations include El Zonte, San Salvador, Santa Ana, Berlín, Costa del Sol, and Punta Mango.

Airbtc intends to improve the circular Bitcoin economy by making it easier for visitors to spend BTC in real-world circumstances.

Airbtc presents itself as a decentralised alternative to existing booking platforms by eliminating financial intermediaries and charging lower prices.

Guests can save up to 8%, and hosts can save up to 18% compared to services like Airbnb or Booking.com.

Payments are held in cold storage until the stay is complete, after which they are released to hosts in BTC, either on-chain or over the Lightning Network.

El Salvador accounts for around 15% of Airbtc’s global inventory, making it one of the biggest concentrations by nation, showing increased local interest in taking Bitcoin and the country’s favourable legislative climate for Bitcoin-focused enterprises.

Seniors drive digital wallet adoption in Argentina
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Today, 3.3 million Argentinians over the age of 60, or 42% of the population, use a virtual wallet to access digital payments, transfers, and basic savings features.

The data was published by the Argentine Fintech Chamber on December 29, citing Central Bank records that show retirees had the highest increase in digital payments and transfers over the previous year.

While overall virtual wallet ownership increased by 13% between June 2024 and June 2025, use among those over 60 increased by 29.7%, more than doubling the norm.

This growth suggests a deliberate transition rather than a gradual adoption.

Older folks are increasingly using digital wallets for better convenience, security, and access to yields, reducing their need for currency.

According to Invecq, seniors who use virtual wallets make up to 80% fewer cash withdrawals than those who just use bank accounts, contributing to a general decrease in cash usage across the economy.

Beyond payments, wallets have become an important savings tool: 42% of retirees transfer funds to earn returns, and many advocate for the ability to collect and manage pensions in an increasingly digitised financial system.

Bitget Wallet sees 2025 on-chain activity signal shift toward everyday crypto finance
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Bitget Wallet finished 2025 with increased on-chain activity in trading, payments, and yield products, indicating that self-custodial wallets are becoming mainstream financial instruments rather than specialist goods for crypto traders.

The data show a gradual shift in user behaviour as adoption expanded beyond early, trading-focused audiences and into more ordinary financial use.

The findings are based on internal data described in a press release sent to Invezz, which shows how wallet usage continued to rise even as broader crypto market activity slowed near the end of the year.

The pattern indicates a gradual decoupling between market sentiment and real-world cryptocurrency usage, notably in areas related to payments and stablecoin-based activity.

Trading activity on the blockchain increased significantly throughout 2025.

Bitget Wallet’s monthly swap trading volume surpassed $900 million, representing a 232% increase over the previous year.

Users increasingly depended on decentralised exchange routing to gain access to a wider range of assets across various blockchains, demonstrating a rising demand for on-chain liquidity and execution.

Sun, 4/01/2026 - 9:31

CFTC's acting chairman, Caroline D. Pham, has joined the crypto community in celebration of Bitcoin's 17th birthday, sharing memories of her early Bitcoin trades that could have yielded massive gains.

Cover image via www.freepik.com

The crypto community is buzzing with the celebration of Bitcoin’s 17th birthday, and CFTC’s acting chairman, Caroline D. Pham, has joined in, sharing memories of her early Bitcoin trades.

On Sunday, Jan. 4, Caroline D. Pham took to X to share old screenshots from Coinbase, showing some of her first major crypto transactions with the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, Bitcoin.

1,100% BTC gains missedThe data showcased in the Coinbase screenshots shows that the CFTC chairman had purchased BTC on Feb. 5, 2018, at $7,395.81 and later sold on June 25, 2019, at $11,193.72.

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While the memory portrays Caroline D. Pham as one of Bitcoin’s early traders, it appears that the chairman did not apply the HODL rule long enough, causing her to miss out on gains that could have soared by over 1,100% at Bitcoin’s 17th birthday.

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At the time of the transactions, the sale likely felt like a responsible and profitable move, however, it appears humorous years later as Bitcoin has seen over 10x growth over the seven-year period.

With Bitcoin now trading at around $91,000 at its 17th birthday, it has surged by over 810% since Q2, 2019, when Caroline D. Pham made the huge Bitcoin sale.

Bitcoin turns 17Bitcoin has turned 17 on Jan. 3, 2026, and the global crypto space has continued to celebrate this milestone as it marks nearly two decades since the invention of the blockchain technology when the Bitcoin genesis block was released in 2009.

While the use of Bitcoin had only started as a small experiment in decentralized digital finance, its evolution into a multi-trillion dollar digital asset has become very significant to its users.

Over the years, Bitcoin has continued to grow, gaining mainstream appeal and mass adoption across the global space.

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Amazon stock might be the biggest bargain of the new year.

Amazon (AMZN 1.87%) has been a reliable long-term performer, but the growth stock didn't have a spectacular 2025. The growth stock only gained 5% despite strong financial results throughout the year, and this mismatch makes Amazon look promising.

It has made great strides in e-commerce, online advertising, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence (AI), four industries that are poised for long-term growth. That's enough to warrant a closer look, and when you dig into recent results, Amazon's stock seems undervalued at current levels.

Online ads can boost margins

Image source: Getty Images.

Amazon's margins have received a massive boost in recent years as its business diversifies beyond online retail. While Amazon Web Services has taken center stage in the company's long-term plans, investors should also consider the growth in Amazon's online advertising segment.

That part of the business was up by 24% year over year in Q3, reaching $17.7 billion. Although ad revenue is a little less than 10% of Amazon's total revenue, it is a high-margin business. Amazon is also competing with tech giants Meta Platforms (META 1.47%) and Alphabet (GOOG +0.48%) (GOOGL +0.69%) with online ads. Meta Platforms earned $51.2 billion in Q3, while Alphabet brought in $65.9 billion from ads.

Amazon's ad business is catching up to the two adtech leaders. It's still growing at a great pace despite the one-year stock gains not reflecting that.

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Artificial intelligence enables multiple tailwinds
While some AI stocks are speculative, Amazon is already making money with this technology. Amazon Web Services revenue growth has accelerated and achieved a 20% year-over-year growth rate, returning to 2022 growth levels, according to Amazon CEO Andy Jassy.

Artificial intelligence requires more cloud computing, and that has resulted in more companies turning to Amazon Web Services. Amazon's cloud platform also lets businesses build AI agents.

Amazon is also using internal Trainium2 chips to power parts of its cloud platform. Trainium2 AI chips can reduce Amazon's chip costs, making it easier for the company to expand its AI presence. These same AI chips are generating strong demand and can become another valuable segment under Amazon's corporate umbrella. For instance, Trainium2 AI chips grew by 150% sequentially and are now a multibillion-dollar business.

Amazon is also using AI to enhance its offerings, such as its online marketplace. AI lets Amazon present personalized product recommendations and display ads that are more likely to get clicks.

The tech giant's stock price movements over the past year do not reflect the quality of the business. Amazon's overall revenue increased by 13% year-over-year in Q3, while net income rose by 38% year-over-year. Both of those rates are higher than the stock's one-year return, which may set the stage for a 2026 rally.

Marc Guberti has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta Platforms. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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BitMine stock price will be in the spotlight this week as the ongoing Ethereum rebound coincides with a key vote on boosting the number of authorized shares in the near term. The BMNR stock ended the week at $31.20, up from last week’s low of $27.

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The BMNR stock price will likely be highly volatile in the coming days as the shareholders vote on authorizing more shares. They will determine whether to boost the outstanding shares from 500 million to 50 billion.

In a statement, Tom Lee noted that the new fundraising will enable it to have selective at-the-money (ATM) and capital raising opportunity over time.

At the same time, he noted that the new authorization will enable opportunistic deals such as mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Most importantly, he noted that the new fundraising will enable the company to execute future share splits as he expects that the Ethereum price will continue rising in the long term.

However, critics have pointed to some major holes in Lee’s argument. First, analysts argue that the new share expansion will be too much, considering that it is nearing its goal of its Ethereum accumulation strategy.

$BMNR I read through the proposal to increase authorized shares from 500M to 50B, as well as Tom’s thread below.
Here are my TOP 3 concerns:
I should start by highlighting that I very much appreciate the transparency of the thread by Tom. In it, he argues this is not about

It has bought 4.1 million tokens so far and now holds about 3.4% of the ETH supply. As such, it needs to buy 1.6% of the supply, which is smaller than what it has bought so far. At the current price, the company needs to authorize 190 million more shares.

Second, analysts noted that the share split argument is vague as Lee argued that it will happen when Ethereum surges, potentially to $250,000, an event that will happen many years later.

Finally, there are concerns that the company’s market net-asset value (mNAV), which has slumped to 0.93. Increased dilution when the stock is trading below NAV is relatively risky as we have seen with other companies like Michael Saylor’s Strategy, which is selling shares worth billions a month.

Ethereum price technical analysis suggests more upside 
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ETH price chart | Source: TradingView Meanwhile, technicals suggest that Ethereum price has more upside in the coming weeks. It has formed a double-bottom pattern at $2,766, its lowest level in December last year. Its neckline is at $3,475, its highest level on December 10.

A double-bottom is one of the most common bullish reversal signs in technical analysis. The token is also about to move above the Supertrend indicator. It has also moved above the 50-day moving average, while the Crypto Fear and Greed Index has moved to the neutral level.

Therefore, the token will likely continue rising as bulls target the next key resistance level at $3,475. A move above that level will point to more gains, potentially to the psychological level at $4,000. 

BMNR stock price technical analysis 
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BitMine stock chart | Source: TradingView The daily timeframe chart shows that the BMNR stock price has crashed in the past few months, moving from a high of $160 in July last year to the current $30.

A closer look shows that the stock has remained below all moving averages and the Supertrend indicator, which is a highly bearish sign. However, like Ethereum, the stock has formed a double-bottom pattern with a neckline at $42.

Therefore, the stock will likely rebound this week, potentially to the next key resistance level at $42. A move above that level will be the psychological point at $50.READ MORE: Here’s why BitMine stock price is ripe for a strong comeback

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of WES either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Home Finance News Bitmine to Initiate First Ethereum Sale by Q1 2026, Market Sentiment at Stake

Bruce Buterin

January 4, 2026

Bitmine, led by Steven Tom Lee, is set to conduct its initial Ethereum sale by the close of the first quarter of 2026. This move could potentially trigger a wave of sales among Digital Asset Traders (DATs), potentially affecting market sentiment negatively. Throughout the year, Bitcoin’s dominance is anticipated to consistently exceed 50%. Additionally, Polymarket and Base are expected to introduce their respective tokens.

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Bruce Buterin

Bruce Buterin is an American crypto analyst passionate about the evolution of Web3, crypto ETFs, and Ethereum innovations. Based in Miami, he closely follows market movements and regularly publishes in-depth insights on DeFi trends, emerging altcoins, and asset tokenization. With a mix of technical expertise and accessible language, Bruce makes the blockchain ecosystem clear and engaging for both enthusiasts and investors.
Specialties: Ethereum, DeFi, NFTs, U.S. regulation, Layer 2 innovations.

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Bitcoin (BTC) reclaims $90,000 for the first time since December 12 as the BTC-spot ETF market snaps a two-week outflow streak.

Strong demand for BTC-spot ETFs in the reporting week ending January 2 boosted sentiment. Easing concerns about a yen carry trade unwind, lingering hopes for a March Fed rate cut, and crypto-related legislative developments boosted demand for BTC and BTC-linked products.

10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields eased back from the 1999 high of 2.1%, while USD/JPY revisited 157, fueling yen carry trades into risk assets. Notably, easing yields and the weaker yen boosted demand for Japanese-listed stocks, sending the Nikkei 225 0.87% higher in the week ending January 2. These trends underscored market sentiment toward US-Japan interest rate differentials.

10-Year JGB Yields – Daily Chart – 040126
Weekly US-BTC-spot ETF inflows, alongside the shifting sentiment toward BoJ and Fed rate paths, support a bullish price outlook for BTC.

Below, I consider the key drivers behind recent price trends, the short-term outlook, the medium-term trajectory, and the key technical levels traders should watch.

US BTC-Spot ETF Market Snaps Outflow Streak
The US BTC-spot ETF market saw $459 million in net inflows in the reporting week ending January 2, ending a two-week outflow streak. According to Farside Investors, key flow trends for the week included:

iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) had net inflows of $324.4 million.
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) reported net inflows of $105.8 million.
In total, six of the 11 ETF issuers reported weekly inflows, three reported outflows, while the remaining two saw zero net flows for the week.

US BTC-spot ETF flow trends remain pivotal for the supply-demand balance. Inflows sent BTC up 4.06% for the current week ending January 4. Crucially, BTC climbed to a Sunday, January 4 high of $91,518, its highest level since December 12.

The shift in demand for BTC-spot ETFs supported the bullish short- to medium-term price outlook for BTC.

BTCUSD – Weekly Chart – 040126
Several key price catalysts likely boosted demand for BTC-spot ETFs, including easing concerns about a yen carry trade unwind and crypto-related legislative developments on Capitol Hill.

10-Year JGB Yields Influence BTC Price Trends
Notably, Bitcoin’s inverse correlation with 10-year JGBs yields remained firmly intact in the current week. Lower 10-year JGB yields weakened the yen and lifted the Nikkei, key indicators of increased yen carry trades into risk assets.

While the markets expect the BoJ to continue raising interest rates, the neutral rate remains key to investor sentiment. In December, the BoJ indicated that the neutral rate was in the range of 1% and 2.5%.

With an interest rate of 0.75%, a lower neutral rate, neither restrictive nor accommodative, would indicate a wider-than-expected US-Japan rate differential. Conversely, a higher neutral rate, potentially between 1.5% and 2.5%, would indicate aggressive rate hikes, suggesting a narrower-than-expected rate differential.

Typically, rate differentials indicate whether yen carry trades are profitable or unprofitable. The wider the rate differential, the more profitable the carry trade into risk assets. BTC’s inverse correlation with 10-year JGB yields underscored the significance of yen carry trades on market liquidity and demand for Bitcoin.

10-Year JGB Yields – BTC – Daily Chart – 040126
For context, BTC plunged 26% between July 31, 2024, and August 5, 2024. The BoJ cut JGB purchases and unexpectedly raised interest rates, triggering a yen carry trade unwind.

BTCUSD – Daily Chart – Yen Carry Trade Unwind
Market Structure Bill Takes Center Stage
Easing concerns about a yen carry trade coincided with reports of US lawmakers setting a date for the Market Structure Bill markup. The US Senate Banking Committee announced a January 15, 2026, Market Structure Bill markup, lifting sentiment.

Crypto-friendly regulations are likely to further legitimize BTC and the broader crypto market, expanding the investor base. A broader investor base is expected to tilt the supply-demand balance in BTC’s favor, reinforcing the constructive short- to medium-term bias.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index in Extreme Fear
Despite reclaiming $91,000, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index sat in the Extreme Fear zone, indicating oversold conditions.

Notably, the Index fell from 29 on Saturday, January 3, to 25 on Sunday, January 4. The pullback into the Extreme Fear zone suggests a potential bullish trend reversal, given the oversold conditions.

Progress toward crypto-friendly legislation and inflows into BTC-spot ETFs would likely trigger a breakout, affirming the positive price outlook.

BTC Fear and Greed Index – 040126
Downside Risks: Central Banks, US Data, Regulatory Headlines, and ETF Outflows
While fundamentals signal a bullish trend reversal, downside risks remain, including:

The BoJ announces a higher neutral interest rate range of between 1.5% and 2.5%, triggering a yen carry trade unwind.
The Fed and US data temper bets on a March rate cut.
BTC-spot ETFs face outflows.

These events would likely send BTC toward the November 21 low of $80,523.

In summary, the short-term outlook remains bullish as fundamentals counter the technicals. The medium- to longer-term outlook is constructive.

Technical Analysis
Despite the weekly gain, BTC remained below its 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signaling a bearish bias. However, fundamentals are diverging from the technical indicators, indicating an upswing.

A breakout above the 50-day EMA would open the door to testing the $94,447 resistance level. Significantly, a sustained move through the 50-day EMA would indicate a near-term bullish trend reversal.

A near-term bullish trend reversal would bring the $100,000 psychological resistance level and the 200-day EMA into play. A break above the EMAs would reinforce the bullish short- to medium-term price outlook.

BTCUSD – Daily Chart – 040126 – EMAs
Bullish Structure Formation: What Happens if BTC Breaks $95,000?
Avoiding a break below the $90,000 level would pave the way toward the $95,000 level, affirming the bullish short-term (1-4 weeks) target of $95,000 and the medium-term (4-8 weeks) target of $100,000.

However, a drop below the trendline would expose the November low of $80,523, invalidating the bullish structure.

BTCUSD – Daily Chart – 040126 – Bullish Structure
Track BTC market trends with our real-time data and insights here.

Outlook: $90,000 Support Key to Bullish Outlook
US economic data, the Fed, the BoJ, and the US BTC-spot ETF market flows will influence sentiment in the week ahead.

US labor market data, private sector PMIs, and central bank chatter will be the events of the week. More dovish policy stances would likely boost demand for risk assets.

Considering the current market dynamics, the outlook remains bullish, with a 6-12 month price target of $150,000. The US Senate’s passing the Market Structure Bill would support the 6-12 month price target.

Stay informed on BTC trends by monitoring macroeconomic developments, ETF flows, and technical indicators here.