Market Signal Briefing

Key points:

Bitcoin is facing resistance at $90,500, but a positive sign is that the bulls have kept up the pressure.

Several major altcoins are attempting to start a recovery, but are expected to face selling at higher levels.

Sellers are attempting to maintain Bitcoin (BTC) below the $90,500 level, but the bulls continue to exert pressure. Fundstrat managing partner Tom Lee said on CNBC that cryptocurrencies should rise on a weaker dollar, but traders have responded by continuing to pile into gold and silver. Lee suggested that crypto is likely to catch up after the gold and silver rally takes a break.

Market intelligence platform Santiment said in a post on X that social media witnessed more discussions about silver and gold compared to cryptocurrencies on most days of this month. The analysts added that retail traders seem to be open to jumping sectors “based on wherever the latest pumps appear.”

Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingViewHowever, a positive sign in favor of the bulls is that February has seen only three negative monthly losses since 2013 and a median rise of 12.21%, according to Coinglass data. If history repeats, BTC may rally in February.

Could buyers push BTC and the major altcoins above their resistance levels? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price predictionBTC’s relief rally has reached the moving averages, where the bears are expected to pose a strong challenge.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewIf the price turns down from the moving averages, the BTC/USDT pair may drop to the $84,000 support. Buyers are expected to defend the $84,000 level with all their might, as a close below it may sink the Bitcoin price to $80,600 and eventually to the formidable support at $74,508.

On the upside, a break and close above the moving averages opens the gates for a rally to the $94,789 to $97,924 resistance zone. A close above the resistance zone signals that the corrective phase may be over.

Ether price predictionEther (ETH) re-entered the symmetrical triangle pattern on Tuesday, but the recovery is facing resistance at the moving averages.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewIf the price turns down sharply from the moving averages, the bears will attempt to pull the ETH/USDT pair below the $2,787 level. If they succeed, the Ether price might plunge to $2,623.

Conversely, a close above the moving averages suggests that the market has rejected the breakdown below the support line. That improves the prospects of a break above the resistance line. The pair may then march toward $3,659.

BNB price predictionBNB (BNB) is attempting to rise above the 20-day exponential moving average ($897), indicating demand at lower levels.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewThe BNB/USDT pair might reach the $928 to $959 overhead resistance zone, where the bears are expected to mount a solid defense. If buyers overcome the zone, the BNB price may start a rally to $1,020.

Sellers will have to pull the price below the uptrend line to gain the upper hand. If they manage to do that, the pair might slide to the $790 support. The bulls are expected to vigorously defend the $790 level, as a close below it may resume the downtrend.

XRP price predictionBuyers are attempting to push XRP (XRP) above the moving averages, but the bears have held their ground.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewSellers will attempt to pull the XRP price below the $1.77 level. If they can pull it off, the XRP/USDT pair may descend to the vital support at $1.61. Buyers are expected to fiercely defend the zone between the support line of the descending channel pattern and the $1.61 level.

If buyers push the price above the moving averages, the pair may reach the downtrend line. The bulls will have to achieve a close above the downtrend line to indicate the start of a new up move.

Solana price predictionSolana (SOL) turned up from the $117 support on Monday, but the relief rally is likely to face selling at the moving averages.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewIf the price turns down from the moving averages, the bears will again attempt to sink the SOL/USDT pair below $117. If they manage to do that, the Solana price may tumble to solid support at $95.

Alternatively, a break above the moving averages opens the doors for a rally to the $147 overhead resistance. Buyers will have to clear the $147 level barrier to suggest that the corrective phase may be over.

Dogecoin price predictionDogecoin (DOGE) has bounced off the $0.12 support, but the relief rally is expected to face selling at the moving averages. 

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewIf the price turns down sharply from the moving averages, it heightens the risk of a break below the $0.12 support. The DOGE/USDT pair may then collapse to the Oct. 10, 2025, low of $0.10.

Contrarily, a break and close above the moving averages points to a possible range-bound action in the near term. The Dogecoin price may swing between $0.12 and $0.16 for some time. A short-term trend change will be signaled on a close above $0.16.

Cardano price predictionCardano’s (ADA) bounce off the $0.33 level has reached the moving averages, where the bears are expected to step in.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewIf the price turns down sharply from the moving averages, the likelihood of a break below the $0.33 level increases. The ADA/USDT pair may then plummet to the support line of the descending channel pattern.

This negative view will be invalidated in the near term if the Cardano price continues higher and breaks above the downtrend line. The pair may then rally to the breakdown level of $0.50, where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense.

Bitcoin Cash price predictionBitcoin Cash (BCH) again rebounded off the $563 support on Sunday, indicating that the bulls are aggressively defending the level.

BCH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewThe moving averages are flattening out, and the RSI is near the midpoint, signaling a balance between supply and demand. If the price breaks above the moving averages, the advantage will tilt in favor of the bulls. The BCH/USDT pair may then ascend to $631 and later to $670.

Sellers will have to tug the Bitcoin Cash price below the $563 level to complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. The pair may then tumble to $518 and subsequently to the pattern target of $456.

Hyperliquid price predictionHyperliquid (HYPE) turned up from the $20.82 support on Jan. 21 and soared above the 50-day SMA ($25.50) on Tuesday, indicating solid buying at lower levels.

HYPE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewThe moving averages are on the verge of completing a bullish crossover, and the RSI has jumped into the overbought zone, signaling that the bulls are back in the game. There is resistance at the breakdown level of $35.50, but if the buyers overcome it, the HYPE/USDT pair may ascend to $44.

Sellers will have to defend the $35.50 level and yank the Hyperliquid price below the moving averages to weaken the bullish momentum. 

Monero price predictionMonero’s (XMR) pullback is facing resistance at the 50-day SMA ($480), indicating that the bears are selling on minor rallies.

XMR/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewThe downsloping 20-day EMA ($512) and the RSI near the 46-level signal that the path of least resistance is to the downside. If the price slips below $445, the XMR/USDT pair may complete a 100% retracement of the latest leg of the rally and plunge to the $417 level.

Buyers will have to drive the Monero price above the 20-day EMA to indicate strength. The pair may then climb to $546. The bullish momentum is expected to pick up on a close above the $546 resistance.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.

The BNB Chain ecosystem as a whole saw a modest recovery, expanding its market capitalization by 2.7% week-over-week (WoW).

TL;DR: Macro: dollar weakens; risk-off returns; Fear & Greed dips to Fear. BNB Chain: sector mcap +2.7% WoW; large caps lead recovery. Activity: transactions +3%; TVL +1.1% WoW; BNB positioned for inflows. Amid a softer dollar and a stronger yen, investors are rotating into precious metals and select altcoins.

This environment has pushed the CMC Crypto Fear and Greed Index into light Fear territory, while the Altcoin Season Index flashes early signs of a cycle shift.

As capital seeks yield, there are also early signs that the BNB ecosystem is positioned to absorb this interest.

BNB Chain Market Recap In contrast to our last update, the ecosystem is looking much healthier this week, with more than half of the top 100 BEP-20 tokens now in the green.

The BNB Chain ecosystem as a whole saw a modest recovery, expanding its market capitalization by 2.7% week-over-week (WoW).

Again, large caps contributed most to the sector's recovery in terms of market cap growth, but small caps saw the greatest relative growth.

BNB (BNB) reclaimed the $900 price point after tumbling to as low as $856 this week. It's now up 2.5% WoW, 6.3% month-over-month, and 34.7% year-over-year.

Other top BEP-20 assets also showed relative strength, notably:

Aster (ASTER): +10.3% River (RIVER): +8.8% Sky (SKY): +4.3% But this week’s clear standouts were all found further down the rankings, with a handful of outperformers tacking on double-digit gains.

These include:

Axelar (AXL): +33.4% (Core security upgrade + 2026 co-staking roadmap drove rebound) PlaysOut (PLAY): +32.3% (Binance Alpha exposure plus Conflux partnership narrative) siren (SIREN): +18.1% (Unclear catalyst) Pieverse (PIEVERSE): +17.4% (Agentic Neobank meta) The trending list also highlighted the developer framework and intent-based engine Enso (ENSO) as a rapid gainer—after it soared 129.2% WoW on massive volume.

As for on-chain activity, BNB Chain saw modest increases in daily transactions (+3%) and total value locked (+1.1% WoW), while most other L1s saw these figures slip over the same period.

This suggests market participants may be set to rotate onto BNB Chain as sentiment further recovers.

BNB Chain News Roundup This week saw several ecosystem developments that bridge the gap between decentralized infrastructure and institutional finance. Below is a roundup of the most significant developments.

Virtune Launches BNB ETP on Nasdaq Stockholm: Swedish asset manager Virtune listed a physically-backed BNB exchange-traded product (ETP) on Nasdaq Stockholm this week. The product provides European investors with 1-to-1 exposure to BNB without the complexities of self-custody. (Source)

World Mobile (WMTX) Goes Live on Binance Alpha: World Mobile, a DePIN telecom project building decentralized connectivity, is now live on Binance Alpha, with eligible users able to claim a points-gated WMTX airdrop via the Alpha event page.

https://twitter.com/BinanceWallet/status/2015711326837096824

Grayscale Files for BNB ETF (GBNB): Asset management giant Grayscale has officially filed with the SEC to launch a spot BNB exchange-traded fund (ETF). If approved, the fund will trade on Nasdaq under the ticker GBNB, offering U.S. institutions regulated exposure to the BNB ecosystem.

https://twitter.com/CoinDesk/status/2014702485831643621

>> That’s a wrap! For more on the latest BNB Chain news and developments, subscribe to the newsletter.

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South Dakota has a new bill on the table that would let the state put up to 10% of certain public funds into Bitcoin. Reports say Rep. Logan Manhart filed House Bill 1155 this week, restarting an effort that stalled last year.

The measure would change state investment rules to give the State Investment Council explicit authority to hold Bitcoin in its portfolio.

Lawmaker Files Bill For Bitcoin Reserve According to filings and public posts, Manhart’s proposal mirrors a move he tried in 2025 and keeps a clear cap on exposure: 10% of the moneys made available for investment.

The bill text says the limit “may not exceed 10%” and lays out options for how the exposure could be taken, including direct holdings or regulated products.

A South Dakota lawmaker is reviving a push to bring bitcoin into state finances.

Republican Rep. Logan Manhart introduced House Bill 1155, which would allow the state to invest up to 10% of eligible public funds in bitcoin.

It’s a renewed effort after a similar bill stalled… pic.twitter.com/hPBbiSB6zT

— Timmy Shen (@timmyhmshen) January 28, 2026

The new push comes after last year’s proposal was deferred in committee. Reports note that HB 1202 was put aside during the 2025 session and did not advance, and Manhart signaled he would try again in 2026.

That history matters because it shows the idea has support in some corners but also faces practical and political hurdles.

What The Bill Allows Based on reports, the bill not only sets a 10% ceiling but also tries to handle custody and security concerns. It mentions requirements such as using qualified custodians or exchange-traded products, encrypted storage, and multi-signature controls.

Bitcoin is currently trading at $89,254. Chart: TradingView Those rules are aimed at lowering the risks that come with holding a volatile asset with public money.

Supporters say Bitcoin could act as a hedge and add a new type of asset to the state’s mix. Opponents point to volatility and possible legal or accounting issues when state funds are used in this way.

The debate will likely hinge on how the State Investment Council evaluates risk and which funds would be considered “eligible” under the bill’s language.

Political And Financial Pushback There is practical pushback from fiscal watchdogs and some lawmakers who worry about public perception. Money managed for things like pensions carries duty of care.

That duty was stressed last session and will be raised again now that the bill is back. The point has been made plainly and will shape committee hearings.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Journalist

Posted: January 28, 2026

Pendle [PENDLE] has lost over 65% of its value in a steady decline since August 2025. The downtrend has finally paused, and the token now appears to be on the verge of a potential reversal.

Supporting this optimistic outlook, a crypto whale has shown a strong interest in PENDLE.

Crypto tracking platform Onchain Lens revealed that a newly created whale wallet address, “0xd28,” has withdrawn a massive 1.5 million PENDLE tokens worth approximately $2.82 million from Binance.

The whale accumulated the tokens and sent them into a time lock until the 20th of January 2028, signaling strong long-term conviction in the asset.

Source: X/OnchainLens

In the crypto landscape, token withdrawals from exchanges are considered a bullish signal, as they indicate that assets are being removed from exchange reserves and moved into private wallets for long-term holding.

PENDLE staking on the rise Another bullish metric reinforcing the optimistic outlook is the steady rise in PENDLE staking over the past week.

Recent data from on-chain analytics platform Dune showed that the amount of staked PENDLE has been increasing consistently, surpassing 11 million tokens within just one week.

Source: X

This suggests that PENDLE investors are choosing to lock their assets rather than sell, which typically reflects stronger conviction in the token and helps reduce selling pressure.

Current price and rising volume At press time, PENDLE was trading at $1.96, witnessing a steady 4.95% climb over the past 24 hours. Market participation has also increased, with trading volume jumping 13% to $43.24 million.

Rising trading volume alongside price gains suggests that traders are showing strong interest in the asset’s current trend. 

AMBCrypto’s technical analysis revealed that PENDLE had been trading within a parallel channel between upper and lower boundaries of $1.70 and $7 on the weekly chart since January 2024.

During this period, the price has touched the lower boundary more than four times, and each visit has resulted in a strong reversal.

Whereas, in March 2024, August 2024, and March 2025, PENDLE recorded gains of over 200% following these reversals.

Source: TradingView

Based on this historical performance, it appears that PENDLE could potentially repeat its pattern once again.

On the daily chart, if PENDLE holds above the $1.70 level, it could see a price increase of around 22% and potentially reach the $2.38 level in the coming days.

If bullish momentum continues and PENDLE breaks above the $2.40 resistance, the token could see an additional 17% upside, pushing the price toward the $2.81 level.

However, failure to hold above the $1.70 support could invalidate the bullish thesis and expose PENDLE to further downside toward the lower range.

Source: TradingView

As of press time, the Money Flow Index (MFI), which measures the inflow and outflow of money by factoring in both price action and trading volume, stood at 51.23.

This value suggests that the current buying and selling pressure is balanced, with no immediate signs of overbought or oversold conditions.

However, as the price traded below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), it indicated that short-term sentiment remained bearish.

Traders eye on long-leveraged positions  Derivative data from CoinGlass further strengthened this bullish outlook. According to the latest figures, intraday traders were heavily positioned around the $1.842 level on the downside and $1.983 on the upside.

At these levels, traders have built approximately $503.55K worth of long-leveraged positions and $270.00K worth of short-leveraged positions.

Source: CoinGlass

This imbalance suggests that traders are strongly tilted toward a bullish view and believe PENDLE is unlikely to fall below the $1.842 level in the near term.

Final Thoughts A crypto whale has accumulated 1.5 million PENDLE tokens worth $2.82 million from Binance as the price shows signs of a reversal. Price action and historical performance suggest that PENDLE has the potential to rally by 22%, provided it sustains above the $1.70 level.

Bitcoin has entered a 24–72 hour window in which Federal Reserve messaging, dollar pricing, and an active Supreme Court test tied to Fed independence could set the near-term regime traders apply to the asset.

Fed decision and near-term market regimeAs of the morning of Jan. 28, markets are waiting on the Fed’s first policy decision of 2026: the Jan. 27–28 meeting concludes later today with the policy statement due at 2:00 p.m. EST and the chair’s press conference at 2:30 p.m. EST, according to the Federal Reserve’s January 2026 calendar.

The Board also posted an advance notice for a closed meeting that was scheduled for Jan. 27 at 10:00 a.m., with an agenda item labeled “Discussion of Monetary Policy Issues.”

The timing detail concentrates attention on rate-path communication before the statement, as shown in the Fed Board’s closed-meeting notice.

Parallel to the Fed window, the Supreme Court heard arguments on Jan. 21 in Trump v. Cook (25A312), a case the Associated Press described as a test of Fed independence, with a decision expected by early summer.

The case is tracked in the Supreme Court docket, with related proceedings available via the court’s oral-argument audio page.

Cornell’s Legal Information Institute summarized the dispute as covering whether removal complied with procedural requirements and whether removal was for sufficient cause, a framing markets have treated as relevant to central bank insulation from politics.

The overview is summarized in Cornell LII’s case page for 25A312.

Dollar, yields, and the hedge narrativeThe currency backdrop has already moved. The U.S. dollar index fell to 95.86 and described the level as a four-year low.

The Wall Street Journal tied the slide to confidence and policy uncertainty, including concerns over central bank independence, in its report on the dollar extending its decline.

In rates, the clearest scoreboard for Bitcoin over the next few sessions sits in the decomposition between real yields and inflation compensation.

That split can steer whether the market treats Bitcoin like rate-sensitive risk or like a hedge tied to policy credibility.

FRED’s 10-year real yield series shows a Dec. 2025 monthly reading of 1.90%.

That reading, shown in FRED series FII10, is a reference point traders often use as an anchor for whether real rates are tight enough to constrain long-duration exposures.

FRED’s 10-year breakeven inflation rate printed around 2.31%–2.34% across late January 2026 dates, including 2.33 on Jan. 20 and 2.34 on Jan. 21.

The daily table is available via FRED’s T10YIE data, allowing a near-term check on whether any nominal yield move is coming from real yields or inflation expectations.

Gold has also been part of the same narrative channel as the dollar. The Financial Times reported gold above $5,300 an ounce in the context of dollar weakness and safe-haven behavior.

That cross-asset comparator, described in the FT report, matters for judging whether Bitcoin is co-trading with hedge instruments or with equities.

The transmission mechanism to spot Bitcoin now includes the ETF wrapper, where net flow totals can validate, rather than explain, whichever macro regime takes hold after the Fed communication.

Live ETF data shows an early two-day surge (+$1.59B on Jan. 13–14) that was steadily unwound by persistent outflows, 7 of the 12 sessions were negative, highlighted by -$708.7m on Jan. 21, leaving the period down ~-$298m overall (and ~-$1.76B since Jan. 15).

Confirmation checklist for the next few sessionsFor traders tracking this cluster, the question is how to classify Bitcoin’s identity once the Fed sets its near-term reaction function and the institutional-risk story remains in view through the Supreme Court timeline.

One way to formalize the watchlist is to pin the next 24–72 hours on observable dials, then demand confirmation from correlations that can be checked in real time rather than narratives that cannot.

Dial to watch (next 24–72h)Published reference point in packWhy it matters for BTC regime classification10-year real yield (TIPS)Latest daily (Jan. 26, 2026) = 1.90% (FRED DFII10)Higher real yields tend to tighten financial conditions for long-duration exposures.10-year breakeven inflationLatest daily (Jan. 27, 2026) = 2.34% (FRED T10YIE)Flat breakevens alongside higher nominal yields typically implies real yields are driving.U.S. dollar index (DXY)95.86 on Jan. 27, described as a four-year low (MarketWatch)Dollar weakness can shift demand toward scarce assets, especially when tied to credibility concerns.Gold spot contextReported above $5,300/oz (FT)If BTC co-moves with gold while USD weakens, traders may treat it as a hedge proxy in this tape.U.S. spot BTC ETF net flowsMost recent finalized day: -$147.4m (Jan. 27); Jan. 28 rows show dashes early in the session (Farside)Flows can confirm whether the marginal buyer is adding or stepping back after macro repricing.Three analysis paths can guide what constitutes confirmation after the Fed statement and press conference.

In a “hawkish hold” path (analysis), traders would look for real yields to hold up or move higher while breakevens stay flat to lower, a combination consistent with tighter conditions.

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They would then check whether Bitcoin weakens alongside that real-yield move and whether U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF net flows soften on the next published prints.

For related context on liquidity and flows, see CryptoSlate’s coverage of spot Bitcoin ETF flows.

In a “dovish hold” path (analysis), the check is whether real yields ease and the dollar extends its downshift, then whether Bitcoin strength lines up with that combination.

Traders would also look for ETF flow totals to turn positive once Farside posts numeric rows rather than dashes.

In an “independence-risk premium dominates” path (analysis), the focus moves to whether the dollar stays under pressure amid the WSJ’s confidence framing and whether gold remains bid.

From there, the test becomes whether Bitcoin co-moves with gold more often than it co-moves with rate-sensitive risk during the same sessions, a dynamic CoinDesk has discussed in the context of a “digital gold” narrative.

The Supreme Court timeline keeps the institutional-risk conversation in the background even after the Fed’s Jan. 28 press conference, because the AP reported the decision is expected by early summer rather than immediately.

That horizon can matter for positioning if markets continue to link the dollar’s slide to concerns about central bank independence, as the WSJ wrote.

In that case, the link pushes more price discovery into FX and hedges than into single data points.

Longer-horizon reference points are also shaping how some desks frame the hedge comparison, though those are models rather than commitments.

Business Insider reported JPMorgan strategists compared Bitcoin and gold on a volatility-adjusted basis and derived a theoretical Bitcoin price near $170,000 over six to 12 months.

The model is described in Business Insider’s report, a figure that traders may use as a guardrail when deciding how much of a gold-style regime shift is already priced.

As of 8:00 a.m. EST on Jan. 28, the actionable items for this week’s tape remain time-stamped and measurable: the Fed’s 2:00 p.m. EST statement and 2:30 p.m. EST press conference later today, the already-argued Supreme Court case the AP says will be decided by early summer, and the DXY level cited at 95.86.

The same checklist includes gold trading above $5,300 per the FT and the next published ETF net flow totals on Farside.

For related CryptoSlate coverage of the Fed-driven tape, see how Bitcoin reacted to Fed signals on quantitative tightening and how BTC moved alongside dollar weakness.

Mentioned in this articlePosted in

TL;DR:

The RippleD v3.1.0 update introduces critical fixes for signature validation. The “fixBatchInnerSigs” amendment guarantees security in institutional lending operations. Node operators must upgrade their versions to maintain connectivity with the network. The XRP Ledger continues its technical evolution in pursuit of operational efficiency. This Wednesday, a new XRPL amendment for lending was announced; an update integrated into RippleD version 3.1.0, which industry experts categorize as an essential step for the network.

In his analysis, Krippenreiter noted that the update includes critical improvements and follow-up functionalities following the deployment of version 3.0.0. Among the new features, the “fixBatchInnerSigs” amendment stands out, as it resolves issues detected in signature validation.

RippleD (xrplD) v3.1.0 just got released! 🔥

The one amendment that everyone needs to keep an eye on is this one: fixBatchInnerSigs

All eyes on batch! Update your nodes! 🥳 pic.twitter.com/bhXkqorWok

— Krippenreiter (@krippenreiter) January 28, 2026 This fix is fundamental for lending protocols, where a single atomic operation must verify collateral and transfer funds simultaneously. Without a reliable batch system, the risk of partial executions drove institutional investors away from the network.

Security and Scalability in the XRP Ledger Ecosystem With the implementation of “fixBatchInnerSigs,” batch processing will become safer and more reliable for decentralized finance. Thanks to this, the new XRPL amendment for lending enables robust scalability that meets the security demands of large entities.

On the other hand, the network recently incorporated other improvements, including “fixPriceOracleOrder” and “fixTokenEscrowV1.” These tools ensure that asset pairs follow a canonical order and correct accounting errors in token escrows.

Furthermore, developers such as validator Vet confirm that a large portion of these updates are nearing their final activation. This constant technical effort seeks to maintain all network features at their most optimal performance level.

In summary, it is mandatory for node operators on versions prior to 3.0 to upgrade to v3.1.0 immediately. Those who do not make the change will lose the ability to communicate with the mainnet.

The Hyperliquid price is seeing renewed bullish momentum, recording double gains over the last week and bucking the broader crypto market downtrend. This comes thanks to bullish fundamentals in the token’s ecosystem, including a rise in open interest on the decentralized exchange (DEX). 

Why The Hyperliquid Price Is Rising  The Hyperliquid price is up over 58% in the last seven days, outpacing the broader crypto market as Bitcoin trades just below the psychological $90,000 level. This price surge has come on the back of a rise in Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 open interest. The DEX announced in an X post that open interest reached an all-time high of $790 million, driven recently by a surge in commodities trading. 

The exchange added that HIP-3’s open interest has been hitting new all-time highs each week, after being just $260 million a month ago. HIP-3 enables anyone to launch a custom perpetual market for crypto, commodities such as gold and silver, and other assets such as stocks. Thanks to this upgrade, the DEX is seeing increased trading activity, which has led to a surge in the Hyperliquid price. 

Notably, the Hyperliquid price has benefited from the precious metals boom, with the silver perpetuals market on the DEX seeing massive trading activity. CoinGecko data shows that the Silver perpetuals market is the third-largest traded in the last 24 hours, behind Bitcoin and Ethereum, with a trading volume of just over $1 billion. 

In an X post, Hyperliquid’s co-founder Jeff Yan noted that the DEX has achieved an important milestone of becoming the most liquid venue for crypto price discovery in the world. This came as he highlighted the order books for BTC perps on Binance and his DEX. He added that Hyperliquid has also grown to become the most liquid venue for perps on traditional-finance (TradFi) assets. 

Little Selling Pressure And Huge Buying Pressure For HYPE In an X post, Hyperliquid stakeholder Henrik noted that the Hyperliquid price is also rising as major selling pressure is gone. On the other hand, HYPE is seeing significant demand, including from digital asset treasuring companies such as Hyperliquid Strategies. He further highlighted the imminent Kraken HYPE listing, which is also bullish for the token. Meanwhile, Henrik stated that Hyperliquid dominates all trading metrics, including volume and open interest. 

The increase in the DEX’s trading activity is also significant and bullish for the Hyperliquid price, as the majority of fees earned on the protocol are directed to the Assistance Fund, which is used to buy back HYPE tokens on the open market. DeFiLlama data shows that the DEX is currently among the top five protocols by fees generated over the last 24 hours.

At the time of writing, the Hyperliquid price is at around $34, up over 27% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

HYPE trading at $34 on the 1D chart | Source: HYPEUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Medium, chart from Tradingview.com

Key NotesFIDD reserves will consist of cash, cash equivalents, and short-term US Treasuries in compliance with the federal GENIUS Act.The federal banking regulator granted conditional approval on Dec.12, 2025, with additional clearance required before launch.Tether launched its U.S.-compliant USAT stablecoin one day before Fidelity's announcement, intensifying domestic competition. Fidelity Investments announced on Jan. 28 the launch of its first stablecoin, the Fidelity Digital Dollar (FIDD). The move positions the asset management giant as one of the first major traditional financial institutions to issue a dollar-backed token under the GENIUS Act, the federal stablecoin law signed in July 2025.

FIDD will be issued by Fidelity Digital Assets, National Association, a federally chartered national trust bank, and will operate on the Ethereum ETH $3 007 24h volatility: 0.8% Market cap: $363.22 B Vol. 24h: $27.68 B blockchain with each token redeemable for one US dollar, according to the company’s announcement. Reserves will consist of cash, cash equivalents, and short-term US Treasuries managed by Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), the federal banking regulator, granted conditional approval to Fidelity Digital Assets on Dec. 12, 2025. The approval requires Fidelity to obtain additional regulatory clearance before launching the token. Circulating supply and reserve net asset value will be disclosed daily on fidelity.com.

Stablecoin Market Competition Fidelity enters a stablecoin market that processed $33 trillion in transactions in 2025, with a total market value of $296.95 billion as of Jan. 28, 2026. Ethereum dominates the sector with $166.4 billion in stablecoin market cap, followed by TRON at $83.4 billion. Stablecoin volume saw $9.67 trillion in monthly transfer volume, up 52.91% from the previous month.

Ethereum holds $166.4 billion in stablecoin market cap as of Jan. 28, 2026 | Source: RWA.xyz

Tether’s USDT holds approximately 60% market share with a $177 billion market cap, while Circle’s USDC faces competitive pressure at roughly $70 billion. PayPal and Ripple have each captured less than 10% of Circle’s market value despite launching stablecoins in 2023 and 2024, respectively.

The timing of Fidelity’s announcement follows Tether’s US-regulated USAT stablecoin launch on Jan. 27. Both launches come six months after the GENIUS Act was signed into law on July 18, 2025.

Fidelity’s Digital Asset Strategy Fidelity has pursued digital asset initiatives since 2014, with Fidelity’s stablecoin development plans first reported in March 2025.

Mike O’Reilly, President of Fidelity Digital Assets, described the GENIUS Act as providing clear regulatory guardrails for payment stablecoins in the announcement. He said the timing was appropriate for meeting client demand.

FIDD will be available for purchase on Fidelity Digital Assets, Fidelity Crypto, and Fidelity Crypto for Wealth Managers platforms in the coming weeks. The token can also be transferred to any Ethereum wallet once available.

Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to deliver accurate and timely information but should not be taken as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify information on your own and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.

Tether (USDT) News, Cryptocurrency News, News

As a Web3 marketing strategist and former CMO of DuckDAO, Zoran Spirkovski translates complex crypto concepts into compelling narratives that drive growth. With a background in crypto journalism, he excels in developing go-to-market strategies for DeFi, L2, and GameFi projects.

Zoran Spirkovski on X

XRP trades near $1.92 as analysts track a long-term channel structure, with key support holding and price targets ranging from $4.50 to $200.

Ethereum whales increased holdings during the dip as ETH reclaimed $3,000, with traders watching a daily close for $3,200.

XRP gains fresh legal certainty as a federal appeals court ruling narrows investor claims, reinforcing confidence in early token distributions and strengthening Ripple's long-running regulatory outlook amid renewed market optimism.

The United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit has now put to a definitive end one of the crypto industry’s longest-running legal battles by dismissing the Sostack v. Ripple Labs class action.

The appellate panel ruled that lead plaintiff Bradley Sostack’s federal securities claims were "time-barred" by the Securities Act’s three-year statute of repose. 

The nature of the lawsuitThe case was a consolidated class action originally filed in 2018. It centered on allegations that Ripple Labs, its subsidiary XRP II, LLC, and CEO Brad Garlinghouse violated the federal securities laws by selling XRP as an unregistered security.

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Bradley Sostack, the court-appointed lead plaintiff, purchased XRP in January 2018 during the height of the crypto bull market. 

Sostack ended up suing to recover his losses following a price crash. The plaintiff argued that Ripple had conducted an illegal public offering without a registration statement.

However, the lawsuit ran headlong into a strict federal deadline known as the statute of repose.

The "three-rear clock"Under Section 13 of the Securities Act, no action can be brought to enforce liability for unregistered sales more than three years after the security was "bona fide offered to the public".

The Ninth Circuit agreed with the district court’s finding that this clock began ticking in 2013, not 2017 or 2018.

The court noted that Ripple had made XRP available to the public as early as 2013, selling over 500 million tokens on the XRP Ledger’s built-in exchange during that year.

Based on the 2013 start date, the three-year window to file a federal securities claim expired in 2016.

Since Sostack did not file his original complaint until 2018, his claims were dead on arrival.

"His federal securities claims are time-barred," the panel wrote, affirming the lower court’s summary judgment in favor of Ripple.

Another failed attempt

In order to save the case, the plaintiffs started claiming that the company's activities in 2017 represented a new offering.. This, according to them,  should have restarted the three-year clock.

The Ninth Circuit firmly rejected this theory. It dismantled the idea that the 2017 sales were legally distinct from the 2013 launch.

"The nature of XRP did not change between 2013 and 2017," the court stated in its memorandum. "All XRP cryptocurrency remained fungible and interchangeable.".

South Dakota Republican Representative Logan Manhart introduced House Bill 1155 Tuesday to allow the state to invest up to 10% of public funds in Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC)—one year after the legislature killed the identical bill over “volatility concerns.” What's In The Bill The bill allows South Dakota's State Investment Council to invest up to 10% of eligible state funds in Bitcoin.

Gold has surged to yet another record high past $5,300 per ounce as geopolitical tensions, weakening confidence in the U.S. dollar, and jitters around central bank independence drive global investors toward safe-haven assets. 

Among the buyers riding that historic rally is Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin issuer, which is significantly expanding its exposure to physical gold.

Speaking to Reuters, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino said the company now plans to allocate 10%–15% of its investment portfolio to physical gold, deepening a multi-year strategy that began during the COVID-19 pandemic and accelerated as global tensions rose. 

Tether already holds around 130 metric tons of physical gold, including 27 tons added in Q4, and has been purchasing roughly two tons every week.

“It’s hard to decide which one I like the most,” Ardoino said of choosing between Bitcoin and gold. “It is almost like you have two children and have to decide which one is more beautiful.”

Gold Surges as Investors Seek SafetyTether’s bullish stance comes as demand for gold reaches levels not seen in modern financial history. 

This month alone, bullion has soared over 20% and climbed past multiple price milestones.

Gold price chart (Source: CoinCodex)

Analysts say the move reflects a broad re-evaluation of safe-haven assets, particularly as both gold and U.S. equities trade near historic highs.

“The world is not in a happy place at this moment,” Ardoino said. “Gold is making all-time highs every single day. Why? Because everyone is scared.”

How Tether Uses Its Gold ReservesTether’s gold holdings back two of its products:

USDT, the world’s largest dollar-backed stablecoin with $186 billion in circulation.

XAUT, Tether’s gold-backed token, with $2.7 billion in supply.

The company said it ramped up gold purchases last year to support demand for both assets, particularly XAUT, which has benefited from the broader rally in gold-linked products. Tether maintains its bullion in Swiss vaults and insists on retaining full ownership of the physical gold it holds.

While Ardoino would not disclose the total size of Tether’s investment portfolio, he confirmed the company’s long-term direction: holding around 10% of reserves in Bitcoin and 10%–15% in physical gold as part of a broader diversification strategy.

Gold’s Record Run Shows No Signs of SlowingWith bullion up 22% year-to-date and 64% over the past year, the metal shows no signs of slowing down just yet.

Daily chart for the price of gold (Source: TradingView)

An ascending price channel has formed on Gold’s daily chart as the metal continued to print higher highs and higher lows over the past fortnight. 

That rising channel saw the price of gold break above a minor resistance level at $5,184.41. Following the break above this technical barrier, the metal’s price has faced some selling pressure. 

Nevertheless, the rally could persist over the short term if gold closes today’s trading session above the $5,184,41 resistance. This could give it the technical foundation needed to rise even higher. Conversely, a drop back below the resistance could result in some profit taking that might push the price of gold down to the nearest support at $4,552.10.

Looking at technical indicators, it seems a bullish scenario is more likely to play out over the coming 48-72 hours. Specifically, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) show that buyers have the upper hand over sellers in terms of momentum and strength.

The MACD line is breaking away above the MACD Signal line, which is indicative of strengthening momentum. Traders will just want to watch for any signs of the gap between the two technical indicators shrinking, because this could be an early warning sign that momentum is starting to turn.

Meanwhile, the RSI line is positioned well above its Simple Moving Average (SMA) line. While this is usually seen as a sign of overwhelming buyer strength, the current RSI reading near 90 suggests overextended conditions. This could be followed by a pullback. 

There have, however, been instances in the past where the RSI remains high for sustained periods of time. This is usually when a price is pumping.

TL;DR

Cactus Custody launched an institutional self-custody platform based on MPC that enables direct control of digital assets. Its system splits private keys into distributed, encrypted fragments, avoiding the risk of a single point of failure. The platform integrates compliance tools such as Chainalysis and Notabene and supports flexible AML and KYT options. Cactus Custody launched a new institutional self-custody platform built on Multi-Party Computation (MPC), aimed at organizations that require direct control of digital assets without relying on centralized custodians.

The new product addresses growing demand for custody infrastructures that preserve fund ownership while integrating tools compatible with existing regulatory frameworks.

Cactus Splits and Encrypts Private Keys The platform divides private keys into multiple encrypted fragments that are stored in a distributed manner, eliminating a single point of failure. This structure reduces the risk of key leakage and allows clients to retain operational authority over their assets. The design targets institutions that prioritize autonomy, operational continuity, and resilience in their custody infrastructure.

The system includes native integrations with compliance tools. These include onchain monitoring and transaction analysis solutions such as Chainalysis, as well as Travel Rule support through integration with Notabene. These capabilities allow clients to meet AML and KYT obligations and facilitate the exchange of information required by regulators for inter-entity transfers.

Operational Flexibility for All Institutional Profiles Cactus Custody stated that its compliance integrations are flexible. Clients can choose to use Chainalysis for onchain analysis or request the integration of other providers, depending on their operational and regulatory needs. The approach aims to accommodate different institutional profiles without imposing a single technology stack.

In December, Cactus Custody announced a collaboration with an affiliate of Circle Internet Group to integrate USDC infrastructure. This integration allows institutional clients to manage USDC-related operational flows within the same custody system, streamlining processes and reducing external dependencies.

Cactus Custody CEO Daniel Lee said the product is designed for institutions that require self-custody solutions and prefer to avoid centralized custody models. The goal is to offer a platform that combines direct asset control, MPC-based cryptographic security, and compatibility with international regulatory requirements.

With this launch, Cactus Custody expands its offering toward a self-custody model that integrates security, compliance, and support for digital assets and stablecoins within an infrastructure built to operate at institutional scale

Journalist

Posted: January 28, 2026

XRP spot exchange-traded funds [ETFs] have begun recording inflows again after suffering their largest single-day net outflow earlier this month, according to data from SoSoValue. 

The shift in flows comes as XRP’s price remains range-bound and below key moving averages, highlighting stabilisation in positioning rather than an apparent trend reversal.

XRP ETF flows rebound after January capitulation On 20 January, XRP spot ETFs registered a net outflow of $53.32 million, the largest daily redemption since the products launched.

The move marked a sharp reversal after weeks of steady inflows and coincided with heightened volatility across the XRP market.

Source: SoSoValue

Since that drawdown, ETF flows have turned positive again. The latest data shows daily net inflows of around $9.16 million, indicating that selling pressure has eased and that some investors have begun adding exposure following the mid-January shock.

Total assets remain elevated despite volatility Despite the outflow event, total net assets across XRP spot ETFs remain relatively high. Aggregate assets currently stand near $1.38 billion, well above levels seen in November. 

This suggests that the January redemption did not unwind the broader accumulation trend established late last year.

Price consolidates below key technical levels XRP’s price action, however, tells a more cautious story. The token was trading around $1.90–$1.95 at the time of writing, remaining below both its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which are clustered just under the $2.00 level.

Source: TradingView

Since peaking near $3.60 in October, XRP has established a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a broader downtrend. 

While price volatility has moderated since the January ETF outflow, XRP has yet to reclaim levels that would signal a meaningful shift in market structure.

Flow stabilisation does not yet signal trend reversal The timing suggests that ETF selling may have amplified existing downside pressure rather than initiating it. 

XRP was already trending lower before the January outflow, and the subsequent return to positive flows has coincided with price stabilisation rather than a rebound.

For now, ETF data suggests improving positioning after a period of stress. At the same time, price action indicates the market remains cautious and sensitive to further shifts in sentiment.

Final Thoughts XRP spot ETFs have recorded fresh inflows after a $53.32 million outflow on 20 January, with total assets holding near $1.38 billion. Despite stabilising flows, XRP continues to trade below $2.00 and key moving averages, suggesting consolidation rather than a confirmed reversal.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) tests crucial weekly support. Analyst predicts a potential 80% rally if momentum holds and the market stays stable.

Newton Gitonga2 min read

28 January 2026, 05:02 PM

Shiba Inu (SHIB), the leading meme coin, has reached a key weekly support level following a recent price correction. The token is showing renewed strength around this area, suggesting a potential rebound. Analysts note that previous retests of this support have often preceded strong recoveries. 

Shiba Inu’s Weekly Support LevelsAccording to analyst MMBTrader, Shiba Inu recently tested a critical weekly support zone between $0.0000074 and $0.0000057. This follows a 4% price correction on January 25. MMBTrader highlighted that the zone has historically acted as a strong demand area. 

For instance, during the early October flash crash, SHIB fell to $0.00000678 but rebounded sharply. Similarly, in late December 2025, the coin consolidated around this level before bouncing on January 1. The analyst noted that while the latest support retest was not as rapid as the October move, it was shorter than the December consolidation.

Shiba Inu’s defense of this support underscores its importance. MMBTrader explained that each retest has been followed by notable recoveries, indicating sustained buying pressure in the market. The most recent rebound from this area pushed SHIB to a yearly high of $0.00001009.

Potential Upside and Market ConditionsMMBTrader suggested that if Shiba Inu sustains its momentum above the support, it could trigger a bullish reversal. The analyst indicated that renewed buying and rising trading volume would confirm this trend. Based on current conditions, a rebound could drive SHIB toward $0.00001325, representing an approximate 72% gain from its current price of $0.00000774.

However, MMBTrader emphasized that this scenario depends on broader market stability. Bitcoin and major altcoins must maintain steady prices to support SHIB’s rally. Investors are advised to watch for bullish candle patterns and increased volume as potential confirmation of a continued uptrend.

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Newton Gitonga covers cryptocurrencies, blockchain, and digital finance. He specializes in breaking down complex trends with clear, data-driven reporting. His work focuses on market analysis, technical insights, and the evolving role of altcoins in shaping global markets.

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Latest Shiba Inu News Today (SHIB)

Macro investor Raoul Pal says Bitcoin’s recent underperformance compared to gold is not unusual and could actually be setting the stage for a strong move later.

Speaking about the long-running Bitcoin–gold comparison, Pal explained that gold typically moves first, while Bitcoin tends to catch up later in the cycle. According to him, this is not really about gold itself, but about where the global economy sits in the business cycle.

It’s Not About Gold, It’s About LiquidityPal said gold simply reflects financial conditions. When governments face rising debt and interest costs, they often inject liquidity into the system. That liquidity eventually flows through asset markets.

“Financial conditions lead liquidity, and liquidity drives asset prices,” Pal explained. In past cycles, gold has moved first, followed by Bitcoin with a delay.

He added that if you compare Bitcoin and gold prices with roughly a six-month lag, their charts line up closely. The current gap between them, which he described as “alligator jaws,” is mainly due to crypto-specific market damage, not a broken cycle.

Crypto Is Underowned Right NowPal believes most investors are currently underweight crypto, as many think the bull cycle is already over. If the market turns higher from here, he expects investors to chase prices quickly.

“If crypto starts moving again, people will realize they’re underexposed,” he said.

Why 2026 Could Be a Big Year for BitcoinPal also shared why he believes 2026 could be a major year for Bitcoin. His framework, which he calls the “Everything Code,” is based on global liquidity, which he says explains around 90% of Bitcoin’s price moves.

He said that last year did not bring the liquidity boost many expected. Governments extended debt timelines, effectively pushing the cycle from four years to five years instead.

Unexpected events, including a long government shutdown and liquidity being pulled from the system, hurt risk assets like crypto the most. Bitcoin and the broader crypto market were hit especially hard in October, when a major liquidation event across exchanges caused widespread damage.

Why Bitcoin Has Been Moving SidewaysPal said the crypto market is still repairing itself after that shock. This explains why Bitcoin has been trading sideways while stocks and gold have pushed to new highs.

“Crypto sits at the far end of the risk curve,” Pal said. “When liquidity disappears, it gets hit first. But when liquidity returns, it also tends to recover the fastest.”

According to Raoul Pal, Bitcoin lagging behind gold is part of a normal macro cycle. If global liquidity improves as expected, Bitcoin could eventually play catch-up, with 2026 shaping up as a key year for the next major move.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

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Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Silgan Holdings (SLGN - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 4. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis packaging products supplier is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.65 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -23.5%.

Revenues are expected to be $1.46 billion, up 3.5% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.21% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Silgan?For Silgan, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -0.61%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Silgan will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Silgan would post earnings of $1.21 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.22, delivering a surprise of +0.83%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Silgan doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 4. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis trucking company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.06 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -13.8%.

Revenues are expected to be $1.3 billion, down 6.5% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 2.09% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Old Dominion?For Old Dominion, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +0.59%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Old Dominion will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Old Dominion would post earnings of $1.22 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.28, delivering a surprise of +4.92%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Old Dominion doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

An Industry Player's Expected ResultsAnother stock from the Zacks Transportation - Truck industry, ArcBest (ARCB - Free Report) , is soon expected to post earnings of $0.45 per share for the quarter ended December 2025. This estimate indicates a year-over-year change of -66.2%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $968.81 million, down 3.3% from the year-ago quarter.

Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for ArcBest has been revised 2.7% down to the current level. Nevertheless, the company now has an Earnings ESP of -5.62%, reflecting a lower Most Accurate Estimate.

This Earnings ESP, combined with its Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), makes it difficult to conclusively predict that ArcBest will beat the consensus EPS estimate. Over the last four quarters, the company surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Wall Street expects flat earnings compared to the year-ago quarter on lower revenues when Patterson-UTI (PTEN - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 4, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis provider of onshore contract drilling services is expected to post quarterly loss of $0.12 per share in its upcoming report, which represents no change from the year-ago quarter.

Revenues are expected to be $1.1 billion, down 5.7% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 3.57% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Patterson-UTI?For Patterson-UTI, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +19.15%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.

So, this combination indicates that Patterson-UTI will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Patterson-UTI would post a loss of$0.1 per share when it actually produced a loss of -$0.06, delivering a surprise of +40.00%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Patterson-UTI appears a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

The market expects Murphy USA (MUSA - Free Report) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 4. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis gasoline station operator is expected to post quarterly earnings of $6.46 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -7.2%.

Revenues are expected to be $4.89 billion, up 3.8% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.71% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Murphy USA?For Murphy USA, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +0.54%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.

So, this combination indicates that Murphy USA will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Murphy USA would post earnings of $6.6 per share when it actually produced earnings of $7.25, delivering a surprise of +9.85%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Murphy USA appears a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 4, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis company is expected to post quarterly loss of $0.19 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +40.6%.

Revenues are expected to be $493.24 million, up 164.1% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 1.89% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Fluence Energy?For Fluence Energy, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +14.89%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #2.

So, this combination indicates that Fluence Energy will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Fluence Energy would post earnings of $0.13 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.13, delivering no surprise.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates just once.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Fluence Energy appears a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Wex (WEX - Free Report) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 4. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis provider of fuel payment processing for fleet vehicles is expected to post quarterly earnings of $3.90 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +9.2%.

Revenues are expected to be $659.9 million, up 3.7% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.25% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Wex?For Wex, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +1.16%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Wex will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Wex would post earnings of $4.45 per share when it actually produced earnings of $4.59, delivering a surprise of +3.15%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Wex doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Expected Results of an Industry PlayerPaypal (PYPL - Free Report) , another stock in the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $1.29 for the quarter ended December 2025. This estimate points to a year-over-year change of +8.4%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $8.77 billion, up 4.8% from the year-ago quarter.

The consensus EPS estimate for Paypal has been revised 1.9% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. However, a lower Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -0.24%.

When combined with a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell), this Earnings ESP makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Paypal will beat the consensus EPS estimate. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

AbbVie (ABBV - Free Report) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 4. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis drugmaker is expected to post quarterly earnings of $3.02 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +39.8%.

Revenues are expected to be $16.38 billion, up 8.5% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.32% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for AbbVie?For AbbVie, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -12.44%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that AbbVie will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that AbbVie would post earnings of $1.77 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.86, delivering a surprise of +5.08%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

AbbVie doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

An Industry Player's Expected ResultsAmong the stocks in the Zacks Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry, Merck (MRK - Free Report) , is soon expected to post earnings of $2.04 per share for the quarter ended December 2025. This estimate indicates a year-over-year change of +18.6%. This quarter's revenue is expected to be $16.19 billion, up 3.6% from the year-ago quarter.

Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for Merck has been revised 85.2% down to the current level. Nevertheless, the company now has an Earnings ESP of +0.33%, reflecting a higher Most Accurate Estimate.

When combined with a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell), this Earnings ESP makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Merck will beat the consensus EPS estimate. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.