Market Signal Briefing

James Ding Jan 20, 2026 07:14

FLOKI trades at $0.000045 with bearish momentum signals. Technical analysis suggests resistance at $0.000050, while analysts previously forecasted 420-440% upside potential.

FLOKI Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $0.000047 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.000040-$0.000050 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.000050 • Critical support: $0.000040

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Floki While specific analyst predictions from the past 24 hours are limited, recent technical analyses from crypto researchers provide insight into FLOKI's trajectory. According to Caroline Bishop's analysis from January 13, 2026, "Trading at $0.000052, FLOKI shows neutral momentum with RSI at 57.42. Technical analysts forecast potential 440% upside to $0.000280 within 4 weeks despite mixed signals."

Lawrence Jengar noted on January 14, 2026, that "FLOKI shows neutral momentum at $0.00005377 with RSI at 59.81. Analysts predict potential 420% upside to $0.000280 within 4 weeks despite current bearish MACD signals."

However, more recent analysis from Iris Coleman on January 16, 2026, suggests a more conservative outlook: "FLOKI trades at $0.000051 with neutral RSI at 52.33. Previous analysis suggests recovery potential to $0.000055, though current momentum remains bearish amid market consolidation."

FLOKI Technical Analysis Breakdown The current FLOKI price prediction is heavily influenced by deteriorating technical indicators. With FLOKI trading near $0.000045, the RSI has declined to 41.63, indicating neutral to slightly bearish momentum. This represents a significant shift from the neutral readings above 50 observed in previous weeks.

The MACD histogram shows bearish momentum, with all MACD components at 0.0000, suggesting limited directional conviction in the market. Most concerning for the Floki forecast is the Bollinger Band position at 0.0896, indicating FLOKI is trading very close to the lower band support level, which often signals oversold conditions or continued downward pressure.

The 24-hour trading volume of $3.6 million on Binance spot markets shows moderate activity, but the 1.95% daily gain appears insufficient to reverse the broader bearish technical setup. All moving averages are currently showing $0.00 values, indicating either extremely low prices or potential data collection issues that limit precise technical analysis.

Floki Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario In an optimistic FLOKI price prediction scenario, a breakout above the immediate resistance could target $0.000050 within the next two weeks. This would require the RSI to climb back above 50 and the MACD to turn positive. The previous analyst forecasts suggesting 420-440% upside to $0.000280 appear overly optimistic given current technical conditions, but a more modest 10-15% gain to $0.000050 remains achievable if market sentiment improves.

Key bullish catalysts would include volume expansion above $5 million daily and a sustained move above the Bollinger Band middle line. The Floki forecast becomes more positive if the token can reclaim the $0.000048 level and hold it for multiple trading sessions.

Bearish Scenario The bearish case for this FLOKI price prediction centers on the current technical deterioration. With the token trading near the lower Bollinger Band and showing bearish MACD momentum, a decline toward $0.000040 support appears probable. A break below this level could trigger further selling toward $0.000035.

The low Bollinger Band position and RSI below 42 suggest selling pressure may continue in the near term. Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness and the failure to generate sufficient buying volume to reverse the current downtrend.

Should You Buy FLOKI? Entry Strategy Based on the current technical setup, potential FLOKI investors should wait for clearer bullish signals before entry. The most prudent approach would be to watch for RSI recovery above 45 and MACD turning positive.

Entry points for the Floki forecast could be considered on a pullback to $0.000042-$0.000043, with a stop-loss placed at $0.000039. This provides a reasonable risk-reward ratio targeting the $0.000048-$0.000050 resistance zone.

Risk management is crucial given FLOKI's volatility. Position sizing should remain conservative, and investors should be prepared for continued sideways to bearish price action in the coming weeks.

Conclusion This FLOKI price prediction suggests limited upside potential in the near term, with a realistic target of $0.000050 by February 2026. While previous analyst forecasts painted a bullish picture with substantial upside potential, current technical indicators point to continued consolidation or modest declines.

The neutral RSI and bearish MACD momentum indicate that FLOKI may struggle to achieve the ambitious 400%+ gains suggested by earlier analyses. A more conservative Floki forecast of 10-15% upside appears more realistic given current market conditions.

This price prediction is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk, and prices can be extremely volatile.

Image source: Shutterstock

floki price analysis floki price prediction

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Bitcoin price broke multiple support levels to fall back to $92K levels amid risk-off sentiment, Greenland tariff-related fears, whale liquidations, and broader market pressures. Experts such as veteran trader Peter Brandt anticipate a Bitcoin price crash to $62K as long-term holders, whales, and on-chain data turn bearish.

Peter Brandt Predicts Bitcoin Price Crash to $58K to $62K Veteran trader Peter Brandt predicts Bitcoin price is going to crash to the $58K-$62K range, maintaining a bearish outlook. Notably, the $58K price target is just above the realized price and 200-week moving average.

He shared a daily price chart for BTC, indicating a pattern repetition seen during the October crypto market crash. Other analysts including Ali Martinez agree with Brandt, with some suggesting a crash to $66K.

Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: Peter Brandt Notably, Ali Martinez highlighted that BTC pattern is similar to that of 2022. As Bitcoin typically follows its historical patterns, he expects a major Bitcoin price crash ahead.

As CoinGape reported earlier, Peter Brandt issued a warning of high odds of Bitcoin price crash to $58K after BTC broke below the $100k psychological support level. He shared a weekly Bitcoin logarithmic chart showing more room for BTC to fall, with the lower boundary of the green zone at mid $40K.

Popular analyst Cheds Trading pointed out that a bear flag breakdown is in progress in the 4-hour BTC chart. The $90,400 level is the key support level to watch.

Bitcoin Price 4-Hour Chart. Source: Cheds Trading Bitcoin On-Chain Data Signals Weakness Short-term holders and whales dumped their holdings as BTC price failed to hold above $97K. The latest crypto market rebound was driven by derivatives flows and short liquidations rather than sustained demand from whales and investors, with no support from BTC leverage traders.

Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, Bitcoin holders are realizing losses. The BTC 30-day Realized Net Profit/Loss on-chain metric shows realized losses for the first time since October 2023.

Bitcoin 30-day Realized Net Profit/Loss. Source: CryptoQuant Onchain Lens revealed that whales are opening new short positions on BTC. It also noted that the “255 BTC Sold” whale has completely closed its BTC, ETH, SOL, and DOGE long positions, resulting in a realized loss of $2.64 million.

Meanwhile, on-chain platform Glassnode pointed out that BTC is slipping back into the low-$90K, with momentum cooling but remains above neutral. It claims that BTC is likely to consolidate rather than trend deterioration.

Options traders remain cautious Bitcoin price crash due to elevated uncertainty. However, spot and futures indicators show a rise in positive sentiment, while Bitcoin ETF flows signal renewed institutional demand.

The STH-NUPL on-chain metric, which measures the unrealized profit or loss of new BTC holders relative to STH-market cap, indicates new investors have remained in net unrealized losses since November 2025.

Bitcoin STH-NUPL. Source: Glassnode BTC price fell nearly 2% over the past 24 hours, currently trading at $90,889. The 24-hour low and high are $90,833 and $93,358, respectively.

The cryptocurrency market began the new week bearish, with Bitcoin dropping below $93k, while Ether held the $3,150 support level. 

Ethereum recorded mixed sentiments in its on-chain activity over the past week.

During that period, whales accumulated amid a surge in network activity, while retailers reduced their exposure as escalating geopolitical tensions over Greenland affected prices. 

Whales accumulate, retailers reduce risk Copy link to section

Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is down 0.5% in the last 24 hours and has dropped below $3,180. The bearish performance comes after the cryptos slumped on Monday.

ETH’s performance also follows mixed sentiments in the market. On-chain data reveals that whales in the 10K-100K ETH bracket topped their collective holdings by a modest 190K ETH last week. 

However, the buying has faded over the past few days following geopolitical tensions between the US and key European countries.

Meanwhile, retailers in the 1K-10K and 100-1K ETH range continue to reduce their exposure to the market.

They reduced their collective balance by more than 510K ETH over the past week.

The mixed sentiment among investors comes despite a steady surge in Ethereum’s network activity.

Last weekend, weekly active addresses on the network spiked from levels previously reported to a new all-time high above 706,000.

In addition to that, daily transactions surged to a new all-time high.

In addition to that, the network activity surge hasn’t negatively affected fees. Fees have continued to decline to new lows.

This was different from what was experienced in the past, when network activity growth often translated into high transaction costs.

The change stems from the various network upgrades over the years. 

Ether could bounce back above $3,300 if the support level holds Copy link to section

The ETH/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish as Ether has lost nearly 4% of its value in the last two days.

The decline sparked $120.6 million in long liquidations since Monday, with bulls suffering huge losses. 

The leading altcoin has held the $3,060 support level over the past few days, and this could serve as a springboard to enable it rally higher.

The bears could retest the $3,060 support line in the near term. 

If the support level holds, Ether could bounce off the trendline and rally towards the 200-day EMA over the next few days.

An extended bullish run would allow ETH to hit the $3,360 resistance level for the second time in a week. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators on the 4-hour chart have declined below their neutral levels. A firm move below will accelerate the bearish momentum, with the RSI currently reading 42. 

If the bearish trend continues, ETH could retest the $3,060 support level over the next few hours. An extended bearish run could see ETH decline below $3k for the first time this year.

Bitcoin accumulation by wallets holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC could signal that there is continued interest in Bitcoin from institutional investors in the US.

“Institutional demand for Bitcoin remains strong,” said CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju on Tuesday, adding that 577,000 Bitcoin (BTC) has been added to this wallet cohort (which includes exchange-traded funds) over the past year, “and it’s still flowing in.”

“Excluding exchanges and miners, this gives a rough read on institutional demand.”  Large BTC wallets continue accumulating. Source: CryptoQuant
The increase is around 33% over the last 24 months, according to CryptoQuant, which is around the time when the first spot Bitcoin ETFs were launched. 

Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States have seen an aggregate inflow of $1.2 billion so far this year, despite the underlying asset gaining around 6%. 

“Institutions just began to invest in Bitcoin and Ethereum. I think this is just the beginning. Most people can’t imagine in 2030-2040,” replied political economist “Crypto Seth.” 

DAT holdings surge 30% in six monthsPart of the surge could also be down to digital asset treasuries. 

Crypto DATs, led by Michael Saylor’s Strategy, have scooped up 260,000 BTC since July, worth roughly $24 billion at current market prices. 

This marks an increase of 30% over the past six months, outpacing miner supply, reported Glassnode. They now collectively hold more than 1.1 million BTC.

Retail sentiment is back to fear However, retail traders have been more shy towards crypto over the past few months. 

The Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, which measures retail market sentiment, slipped back into “fear” this week with a rating of 32 out of 100 on Tuesday. This comes after it briefly flipped to “greed” for the first time since October last week. 

The increased anxiety comes as Bitcoin prices retreated from last week’s high of $97,000 to below $92,000 on Tuesday morning as markets reacted to the escalation of trade conflicts between the United States and Europe. 

Magazine: Indians slam Pudgy Penguins, ex-digital yuan boss’s crypto scandal: Asia Express

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy

Data from decentralized trading venues points to potential for a deeper price crash in coming months.

A year after reaching its all-time high (ATH), Solana (SOL) is trading 54.3% below its $293 2025 milestone, attempting to hold a crucial zone as support. Some analysts warned that the altcoin could risk a deeper correction if the price fails to recover the recently lost ground.

Solana Breaks Below Key Support On Sunday, Solana recorded an 8% pullback and hit a two-week low of $130. Since losing the $200 phycological barrier in late October, the cryptocurrency has struggled to hold bullish momentum, hovering between the $115-$145 levels over the past three months.

The start-of-the-year rally saw SOL break out of its multi-month downtrend, reclaim the upper zone of its local range, and briefly breach above the key $145 resistance last week. However, Sunday’s market pullback has sent Solana back below key areas.

Amid this performance, market observer BitGuru affirmed in an X analysis that the cryptocurrency “just swept liquidity into a strong demand zone after a clean structure breakdown.”

He explained that the price is attempting to rebound from its local support area, which could trigger a “sharp relief move toward previous highs” if the price can hold the current levels.

Meanwhile, analyst Man of Bitcoin noted that the altcoin’s price broke below its two-week ascending trendline, which had been supporting its 17% surge from its yearly opening. Moreover, it also dropped below the $136 mark, where the price had consistently bounced after the recent breakout.

SOL risks drop to the $100 area. Source: Man of Bitcoin on X The market observer pointed out that Solana’s short-term support sits between the $129-$136 area, adding that a breach and sustained breakdown from this area would spell trouble for the cryptocurrency.

According to the chart, if selling pressure persists and Solana fails to reclaim the recently lost ground, the price could see a scenario where it retraces deeper and potentially falls up to 25% to challenge the $100 area.

Analysts Warn Of Head And Shoulder Pattern Other market watchers highlighted a macro pattern on Solana’s chart, suggesting that a breakdown to new lows could be coming. Notably, the altcoin displays a two-year Head and Shoulders formation in the weekly timeframe.

According to the chart, this bearish pattern has been forming since 2024, with the left shoulder developing during the Q1-Q2 2024 rally and the neckline sitting around the $120 area.

Meanwhile, the pattern’s head formed during its late 2024 and early 2025 bullish run, which led to its ATH of $293 a year ago. Lastly, the right shoulder developed after the Q3 2025 rally and Q4 correction.

Based on this performance, trader Slashology affirmed that Solana is “really looking bad here,” warning that investors should “prepare for the worst” as the price trades near the pattern’s neckline.

He forecasted that a breakdown from this key level could lead to a 35%-40% “bloodbath” toward the $75-$80 levels. On the contrary, market observer Crypto Curb suggested a different outcome could be possible.

In an X post, he compared SOL’s recent performance to the S&P 500 (SPX) price action between 2009 and 2011. Per the post, SPX displayed the same pattern as Solana, but ultimately invalidated the pattern after bouncing from the neckline and breaking above the right shoulder’s peak, eventually reaching new highs.

To the analyst, the altcoin could display a similar performance if it rebounds from the current levels and starts to climb higher.

As of this writing, Solana is trading at $134, a 5.6% decline in the daily timeframe.

SOL’s performance on the one-week chart. Source: SOLUSDT on TradingView Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

The amount of Ether locked up and staked on the Beacon Chain has reached record levels, with more waiting to be staked. 

“ETH supply is getting intentionally harder to access,” commented macroeconomics outlet Milk Road on Monday.

“Staking just hit an all-time high, with millions of ETH now queued to be locked,” they said before adding, “that is being taken off exchanges and removed from active circulation.”

“This is a long-term positive signal for price appreciation.”

The comments came in response to a Token Terminal post reporting that the Ethereum staking ratio surpassed 30%, marking an all-time high.

ETH supply is getting intentionally harder to access.

Staking just hit an all time high, with millions of $ETH now queued to be locked. That is being taken off exchanges and removed from active circulation.

This is a long-term positive signal for price appreciation.

Higher. https://t.co/pKid87F5pd pic.twitter.com/kZ3VzDWMch

— Milk Road (@MilkRoad) January 19, 2026

Ethereum Staking Queue Surges The amount of Ether staked is currently at a record 36.2 million, which is worth around $115 billion. This represents 30% of the entire supply of the asset, which is locked up and earning around 2.8% in annual yields, according to Ultrasound Money.

The staking environment looks extremely promising at the moment, with the validator entry queue at its highest level since 2023, with 2.7 million ETH waiting to be staked. Meanwhile, the exit queue has fallen to near zero, meaning that nobody is unstaking their Ether at the moment, according to the Validator Queue.

A lot of that queued Ether is from institutions such as digital asset treasuries like BitMine and exchange-traded funds that can now offer staking rewards.

“Ethereum is the #1 choice for global financial institutions,” stated the official Ethereum X feed on Monday. “Over the last few months, adoption has accelerated,” it added, citing 35 stories of how institutions are building on Ethereum, which was shared by Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.

You may also like: Vitalik Buterin Says Ethereum’s Complexity Threatens Its 100-Year Future Base Leads L2 Fees With $147K Daily as Most Chains Earn Under $5K Traders Pile Back Into Ethereum Futures as Binance Volume Breaks December Lull A great list put together by @ethereum detailing 35 major financial institutions building on Ethereum in just the past few months

Ethereum is the future of finance$ETH$BMNR @BitMNR https://t.co/yrcDr9grY4

— Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com (@fundstrat) January 19, 2026

Nic Puckrin, CEO and co-founder of Coin Bureau, called it a “huge vote of confidence in Ethereum,” but cautioned that staking measures coins, not conviction. One whale staking a million ETH looks identical to a million believers staking one ETH each, but represents very different market dynamics, he said.

“So when you see ‘30% of ETH staked,’ the real question isn’t whether that is bullish. It’s who staked it, how liquid is it really, and how fast can it change its mind?”

ETH Price Cools Ether spot markets have lost a little momentum since the weekend, with the asset dropping another 1% on the day in a fall below $3,200 during Tuesday morning trading in Asia.

ETH prices have dropped 5% since the weekend as markets remain rattled by the latest escalation of Donald Trump’s global trade war.

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Imagine uncovering a forgotten lottery ticket from 2013 that suddenly turns out to be worth $84 million. That’s the same sense of surprise and intrigue currently rippling through the crypto market after a long-dormant Bitcoin whale resurfaced following more than 12 years of inactivity.

Late Monday, blockchain tracking services Whale Alert and Lookonchain flagged a significant on-chain transaction involving 909 BTC, valued at over $84 million. The bitcoin was transferred from an address labeled “1A2hq…pZGZm” to a new wallet, “bc1qk…sxaeh.” What makes this move remarkable is the age of the original wallet, which first accumulated bitcoin back in 2013, when BTC traded for less than $7. At current prices, that early investment reflects an unrealized gain exceeding 13,000%, underscoring just how transformative bitcoin’s long-term price appreciation has been.

This kind of activity has become increasingly common since bitcoin surged past the $100,000 mark last year. As BTC prices reach new highs, dormant bitcoin addresses holding massive paper profits are waking up, prompting speculation across social media and crypto forums. Traders often interpret these whale movements as potential signals of profit-taking, which can raise concerns about short-term price pressure or increased volatility in the bitcoin market.

However, context matters. Despite the large transfer, none of the moved bitcoin has been sent to centralized exchanges, where assets are typically deposited ahead of selling. This suggests the transaction may simply represent a wallet consolidation or a security-related move, such as upgrading to a more modern address format, rather than an imminent liquidation.

Still, whale activity remains a closely watched metric in on-chain analysis, as large holders can influence market sentiment even without selling. Bitcoin was last trading near $92,000, and while the market remains alert to further movements from this ancient wallet, there is no direct evidence yet that this whale plans to cash out.

For now, the episode serves as a reminder of bitcoin’s early adopters, the power of long-term holding, and the market intrigue sparked whenever a sleeping giant stirs on the blockchain.

<Copyright ⓒ TokenPost, unauthorized reproduction and redistribution prohibited>

Despite the broadly cautious crypto market, MYX price is quietly moving the other way, rising over 5.70% intraday and is trading around $5.50. While many small-cap tokens continued to struggle for direction, MYX Finance has managed to hold firm above key support, displaying inherent strength. 

That resilience is now shaping the narrative. Rather than reacting to weak market sentiment, MYX is beginning to trade on structure and positioning. The question is no longer whether the market sell-off has ended, but how and why MYX is managing to stay bullish when the broader market remains hesitant.

MYX Price Prediction: Higher Highs Signals Bullish OutlookAmidst the volatile market mood, MYX price prediction suggests bullish narrative. During the intraday session, MYX showed an uptick and form higher high swing. As price stabilized above the $5 hurdle now, buyers stepped in decisively and defended higher levels instead of chasing short-lived bounces. MYX’s price chart shows a clear change in trend, as short-term moving averages are rising beneath price, confirming trend conditions and reduced downside risk.

Looking at the chart structure, MYX price has registered a breakout of the ascending triangle pattern in early 2026 and showed a retest last week. The mighty bulls have gained traction and a bounce from the breakout region was witnessed in the form of a higher low. The structure favors uptrend and a close above $6.50 would push MYX toward $7 followed by $8.80 in the coming sessions.

Earlier discussions around MYX focused heavily on short-term performance metrics and protocol concerns. While those factors remain part of the broader picture, the market appears to already have pricing in that. The current price action suggests that participants are reacting less to previous data and more to what the chart is signaling now.

Final ThoughtsMYX Finance (MYX) price structure has flipped from bearish to bullish and is currently trading in an accumulation phase. While the recovery is on, the token could see further upswing in the near sessions. However, holding above the $4.80 key support zone and higher high structure would be necessary for continuation of the reversal. The coming sessions will be crucial in determining whether this recovery evolves into sustained continuation or pauses into consolidation.

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Caroline Bishop Jan 20, 2026 06:08

Litecoin trades at $70.53 with oversold RSI at 33.90 suggesting potential bounce. Technical analysis points to $80-85 resistance zone within 3-4 weeks if $68.50 support holds.

Litecoin continues to trade in a consolidation phase as January 2026 unfolds, with the digital silver currently priced at $70.53. Technical indicators suggest LTC is approaching oversold territory, potentially setting up for a relief rally toward the $80-85 resistance zone in the coming weeks.

LTC Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $73-75
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $80-85 range
• Bullish breakout level: $86.76 (Upper Bollinger Band) • Critical support: $68.50

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Litecoin Recent analyst commentary provides mixed but cautiously optimistic views on Litecoin's near-term prospects. Alvin Lang noted on January 14, 2026: "Litecoin trades at $78.78 with analysts forecasting recovery to $87-95 range if critical support holds."

More recently, Terrill Dicki observed on January 16, 2026: "Litecoin trades at $72.20 with oversold RSI at 33.44. Technical analysis suggests LTC could rebound to $80-85 resistance zone within 3-4 weeks if key support holds at $68.80."

These Litecoin forecast predictions align with current technical conditions, as LTC has indeed moved closer to the critical support levels mentioned by analysts.

LTC Technical Analysis Breakdown The current technical landscape for Litecoin presents several key signals worth monitoring. The RSI reading of 33.90 places LTC in neutral territory, though it's approaching oversold conditions that historically precede bounce attempts.

The MACD histogram sits at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has potentially stalled, while the MACD line at -2.2957 suggests continued downward pressure. However, this configuration often marks transition periods where momentum shifts can occur.

Litecoin's position within the Bollinger Bands is particularly noteworthy, with a %B reading of 0.0467 placing it very close to the lower band at $69.75. This proximity to lower band support often coincides with oversold conditions and potential reversal zones.

The moving average structure shows LTC trading below all major timeframes, with the 7-day SMA at $73.24 serving as immediate resistance, followed by the 20-day SMA at $78.26. The 200-day SMA at $98.70 remains a significant long-term resistance level.

Litecoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario In a bullish scenario, LTC price prediction models suggest a recovery toward $73-75 initially, targeting the 7-day moving average. A successful break above $73.24 could open the path toward $78.26 (20-day SMA) and ultimately the $80-85 resistance zone identified by analysts.

The key technical confirmation needed would be a decisive break above $72.74 strong resistance with increased volume. Additionally, RSI moving above 40 would signal strengthening momentum and validate the bounce thesis.

Bearish Scenario Should bearish pressure continue, the immediate support at $69.52 becomes critical. A break below this level could trigger a test of the strong support at $68.50, aligning with analyst predictions about key support levels.

Further downside could target the $65-67 range, where longer-term support confluences exist. The primary risk factor remains broader market sentiment and any breakdown of the $68.50 level mentioned in recent analyst commentary.

Should You Buy LTC? Entry Strategy For traders considering LTC positions, the current price near $70.53 offers a reasonable entry point given the proximity to support levels. A more conservative approach would involve waiting for a break above $72.74 to confirm bullish momentum.

Stop-loss levels should be placed below $68.50 to limit downside risk, representing approximately 3% below current levels. This positioning aligns with the critical support level identified by multiple analysts.

Risk management remains crucial, as cryptocurrency markets can experience rapid reversals. Position sizing should account for the ATR of $3.77, indicating potential daily volatility of 5-6%.

Conclusion The LTC price prediction outlook for the coming weeks suggests potential for a recovery toward $80-85, supported by oversold technical conditions and analyst forecasts. However, maintaining support above $68.50 remains critical for this Litecoin forecast to materialize.

With moderate confidence, LTC appears positioned for a bounce attempt, though traders should monitor volume confirmation and broader market conditions. The next 1-2 weeks will likely determine whether Litecoin can capitalize on current oversold conditions or faces further downside pressure.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and involve significant risk. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

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Updated: Jan 20, 2026, 05:25 GMT+00:00

XRP has spent over a year consolidating inside a $2.00–$3.66 range, but improving macro conditions, ETF adoption, and a bullish long-term structure suggest the base may be preparing for an upside resolution in 2026.

XRP (XRP) has traded within a $2.00–$3.50 range for more than a year, but the prolonged consolidation increasingly resembles accumulation rather than indecision.

XRP/USDT daily price chart. Source: TradingView The range followed a sharp 550% rally in late 2024, after which momentum cooled as markets digested the move.

XRP’s price structure still shares similarities with its 2021 bearish phase, but the backdrop is materially different. The launch of US-listed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and improving institutional access have shifted the balance of risks in favor of upside resolution.

In my view, the current range continues to offer tactical opportunities near support and resistance, but the broader setup remains skewed toward bulls as macro and structural tailwinds build.

This article examines the macro backdrop, key technical levels, and scenarios shaping XRP’s outlook for the year ahead.

Key Points XRP’s $2.00–$3.66 consolidation increasingly resembles accumulation rather than distribution. Easing Fed policy, rising debt pressures, and XRP ETFs have improved XRP’s institutional backdrop. A breakout above $3.66 would validate a bull-flag structure targeting ~$14.59 in 2026. Failure to hold range support risks a bearish move toward the $1.41 area. Macro Drivers Behind XRP’s Bullish Outlook For 2026 XRP’s sideways price action over the past year reflects a market transitioning toward strength, with macro and structural tailwinds gradually shifting risk to the upside.

Fed Policy and the Liquidity Backdrop US monetary policy has turned meaningfully more supportive compared with prior crypto-cycle peaks.

The Federal Reserve delivered three interest-rate cuts in 2025, and futures markets are pricing in the possibility of up to two additional cuts in 2026, according to CME data.

Target rate probabilities for December’s Fed meeting. Source: CME This backdrop contrasts sharply with 2018 and 2022, when rising rates tightened liquidity and pressured digital asset prices. In 2026, policy expectations point to stable-to-easier financial conditions, reducing downside risk for large-cap cryptocurrencies, including XRP.

US Debt Pressures Support Crypto Elevated US government debt and long-term fiscal imbalances continue to weaken confidence in fiat currencies, reinforcing demand for alternative assets.

Persistent deficits increase incentives for policymakers to keep rates lower for longer, tolerate higher inflation, or rely on financial repression.

US government debt chart. Source: FxEmpire Macro debasement concerns improve the overall crypto backdrop, but capital has so far favored Bitcoin and select large-cap assets rather than driving aggressive XRP reallocation.

XRP/BTC weekly price chart. Source: TradingView As a result, macro conditions may help defend XRP’s downside near range support, but they have yet to provide a catalyst strong enough to break resistance convincingly.

XRP ETFs Add Institutional Credibility The launch of US-listed XRP ETFs in November 2025 has materially improved XRP’s institutional standing.

Since then, these funds have collectively amassed over $1.52 billion worth of assets, higher than their altcoin peers launched in the same month, including Dogecoin (DOGE) and Solana (SOL).

XRP ETF cumulative and daily inflow chart. Source: SoSoValue In my opinion, ETFs have strengthened demand for XRP near its $2 range low. Unlike Bitcoin, where ETFs altered market structure by consistently tightening supply, XRP ETF activity has so far reinforced balance.

Until ETF inflows become persistent and materially directional, they are more likely to support range trading than trigger a sustained breakout.

XRPL Activity Supports XRP Utility Rising usage of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) continues to underpin XRP’s long-term utility narrative, particularly in payments, tokenization, and settlement-focused applications.

The total value locked across the XRPL reached $213.345 million at 2025’s close, up from just $5 million a year before that, according to data resource RWA.XYZ.

XRP Ledger’s total RWA worth (in US dollars). Source: RWA.XYZ XRPL still lags other layer-1 blockchains, with Ethereum managing over $12 billion in real-world assets during the same period.

In my view, the gap highlights XRPL’s relative under-penetration rather than weakness, leaving room for gradual growth in 2026, especially amid rising stablecoin adoption.

While expanding on-chain activity improves XRP’s fundamental footing and could support tests of the $3.50–$3.66 range high, it has so far contributed to price stability rather than directional expansion.

XRP Technical Analysis: Sideways Trend a Bull Flag? If the macro backdrop remains supportive, the current $2.00–$3.66 range increasingly resembles a bull flag rather than a distribution.

From a long-term perspective, XRP’s explosive 2017–2018 rally formed a classic impulse move, followed by multi-year corrective structures marked by descending channels and triangular consolidations. Each compression phase eventually resolved higher once selling pressure was exhausted.

XRP/USD two-week price chart. Source: TradingView The current setup mirrors those historical pauses. XRP has spent more than a year digesting gains above rising long-term moving averages, while volatility continues to compress inside a narrowing range.

This behavior is consistent with trend continuation rather than exhaustion.

If XRP breaks decisively above the $3.50–$3.66 resistance zone, the measured move of the broader flag structure projects a long-term upside target near $14.59, derived by extending the height of the prior impulse leg from the breakout point.

In my opinion, derivatives traders must wait for a breakout confirmation above the flag’s upper trendline before placing any leverage long bets. As noted, uncertain macro drops can trap overconfident bulls.

Risks to the XRP Bullish Outlook The bearish alternative mirrors XRP’s 2021 topping structure.

In that cycle, price printed higher highs while RSI formed a bearish divergence, signaling fading momentum before a deeper correction. XRP then rolled over toward its 100-week EMA and eventually fell to the 200-week EMA.

XRP/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView A similar divergence is now visible. If XRP breaks below the $2.00–$3.66 consolidation range, downside risk increases toward the 200-week EMA near $1.41, invalidating the bull-flag thesis.

Macro risks could accelerate that outcome. President Donald Trump’s renewed tariff threats toward European Union exports have increased the probability of abrupt risk-off episodes.

In such environments, XRP-linked ETFs—still early in their adoption curve—remain vulnerable to short-term outflows, reinforcing the potential for a 2021-style bearish resolution.

In Closing XRP enters 2026 with a structurally constructive setup, supported by improving institutional access, steady XRPL growth, and a more accommodative macro backdrop, even as technical risks persist.

As long as price holds within the $2.00–$3.66 range, consolidation remains the dominant theme. A decisive breakout above resistance would confirm the bull-flag structure and open the path to higher long-term targets.

A breakdown below support would revive the 2021-style bearish scenario toward $1.41, but until that occurs, XRP appears to be building a base rather than topping.

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NEAR Protocol faces technical headwinds at $1.57 but analysts project recovery to $2.10-$2.35 within 30 days as oversold conditions emerge. NEAR Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 wee...

NEAR Protocol faces technical headwinds at $1.57 but analysts project recovery to $2.10-$2.35 within 30 days as oversold conditions emerge.

NEAR Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $1.75 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.10-$2.35 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.85 • Critical support: $1.50

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About NEAR Protocol Recent analyst predictions paint a cautiously optimistic picture for NEAR Protocol despite current price weakness. James Ding noted on January 15, 2026: "NEAR Protocol shows neutral momentum at $1.77 with technical indicators suggesting potential upside to $2.10-$2.35 range over the next month, though bearish MACD signals caution."

Timothy Morano provided a comprehensive NEAR price prediction on January 13, 2026, stating: "NEAR Price Prediction Summary: Short-term target (1 week): $1.90; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.10-$2.35 range; Bullish breakout level: $1.90; Critical support: $1.69."

Both analysts converge on the $2.10-$2.35 target range for NEAR Protocol over the next month, suggesting underlying strength despite recent price action.

NEAR Technical Analysis Breakdown NEAR Protocol currently trades at $1.57, down 0.88% in the past 24 hours with a trading range between $1.55-$1.62. The technical picture reveals mixed signals that warrant careful analysis.

The RSI at 41.51 indicates neutral territory but approaching oversold conditions, potentially setting up a bounce scenario. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 with bearish momentum suggests continued downward pressure in the near term.

NEAR's position relative to Bollinger Bands is particularly telling, with a %B position of -0.0059 placing it very close to the lower band at $1.57. This oversold condition often precedes reversal moves, especially when combined with the current RSI reading.

Moving averages paint a mixed picture for this NEAR Protocol forecast. While the 50-day SMA at $1.65 provides nearby resistance, the significant gap to the 200-day SMA at $2.30 indicates the longer-term bearish trend that needs to be overcome for sustained recovery.

NEAR Protocol Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario A NEAR price prediction targeting the upside would first require a break above the immediate resistance at $1.61, followed by the stronger resistance at $1.65 (matching the 50-day SMA). Success here could propel NEAR toward the Bollinger Band middle line at $1.71, aligning with the 20-day SMA.

The ultimate bullish target sits at the upper Bollinger Band around $1.85, which coincides with analyst predictions of a breakout level. Beyond this, the $2.10-$2.35 range identified by multiple analysts becomes achievable, representing a 34-50% upside from current levels.

Key technical confirmation would come from RSI breaking above 50 and MACD turning positive, combined with increased trading volume above the current $25.2 million daily average.

Bearish Scenario Downside risks for NEAR Protocol center on the critical support at $1.50, representing the strong support level identified in technical analysis. A break below this level could trigger further selling toward the $1.40-$1.35 range.

The bearish MACD momentum and position below all major moving averages except the 50-day SMA suggest vulnerability to broader market weakness. Additionally, the significant distance from the 200-day SMA at $2.30 indicates the magnitude of the recovery required.

Risk factors include continued crypto market volatility and any failure to maintain the current support structure around $1.54-$1.57.

Should You Buy NEAR? Entry Strategy For investors considering NEAR Protocol, the current price around $1.57 offers a potential entry point near technical support levels. However, a more conservative approach would wait for confirmation of a bounce from the $1.50 strong support level.

A dollar-cost averaging strategy between $1.50-$1.60 could provide good risk-adjusted exposure, with a stop-loss below $1.45 to limit downside risk. For aggressive traders, a break above $1.65 with volume would signal the beginning of the recovery anticipated in current NEAR price prediction models.

Position sizing should remain modest given the bearish MACD and the need for broader market confirmation to reach the optimistic $2.10-$2.35 targets.

Conclusion This NEAR Protocol forecast suggests cautious optimism despite current technical weakness. While immediate price action may remain volatile around the $1.55-$1.65 range, the convergence of analyst targets around $2.10-$2.35 within 30 days provides a compelling upside scenario.

The key catalyst will be NEAR's ability to establish support above $1.50 and begin working through resistance levels systematically. Investors should monitor RSI recovery above 50 and MACD momentum shifts as early indicators of the predicted recovery.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

Image source: Shutterstock

near price analysis near price prediction

Stablecoins are moving from crypto edges into regulated finance as clearer rules drive institutional adoption, reshape cross-border payments, and position tokenized cash as a lasting complement to traditional money, according to Ripple's Matthew Osborne.

Ripple President Monica Long has outlined a clear, deliberate growth roadmap for 2026, centered on deepening infrastructure, accelerating enterprise adoption, and tighter integration across the digital asset stack.

Speaking on Ripple’s acquisition strategy, Long emphasized that recent and future deals are designed to accelerate the company’s core technology rather than chase market visibility.

Ripple is building what Long described as a full-stack crypto infrastructure that combines blockchain rails, stablecoins, and custody services.

Key acquisitions such as Palisade have strengthened Ripple’s multi-party computation custody capabilities. Moreover, the company aims to enhance institutional-grade payment and settlement tools by continuing to invest in its RLUSD stablecoin.

Beyond technology, Ripple is also acquiring businesses that use this infrastructure, such as GTreasury.

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GTreasury serves more than 1,000 corporate clients that are exploring stablecoins as a faster, more efficient cross-border payment method. The company expects to drive real-world usage by integrating these corporates directly into Ripple’s ecosystem.

A similar strategy applies to Ripple Prime, which serves hundreds of hedge funds and focuses on improving collateral mobility through blockchain-based solutions.

Despite speculation, Long was clear that acquiring a centralized exchange is not part of Ripple’s plan. Exchanges are critical liquidity providers, but Ripple prefers to work alongside them rather than compete with them. The Ripple President noted growing momentum in decentralized exchanges, which aligns closely with the XRP Ledger’s technical strengths.

More broadly, Long highlighted an industry-wide transition toward full-stack virtualization, where major players integrate blockchain networks, stablecoins, custody, and on- and off-ramps under one roof.

These strategic priorities follow RLUSD’s continued expansion. The stablecoin recently surpassed a $1.33 billion market capitalization, supported by a $500 million funding round to scale its infrastructure and drive institutional adoption.

While competition is emerging in regions such as the Middle East, RLUSD’s regulatory positioning, reserve structure, and integrations with institutional products make it a pillar of Ripple’s vision for the year ahead.

Bitcoin’s failure to reclaim the $100,000 level has frustrated traders. Yet, analysts argue the stall is structural rather than a sign of weakness.

BTC recently hovered near $93,000, and price action has been compressed by mechanics within the derivatives market, not fading demand or deteriorating fundamentals.

According to market analysis, options dealers are currently exerting outsized influence on spot price behavior. To remain delta neutral, dealers are required to sell into rallies and buy into dips, effectively dampening volatility.

This dynamic has locked Bitcoin into a narrow range, with support near $90,000 and a firm resistance zone below $100,000. As a result, BTC’s price appears capped despite constructive momentum.

Institutional flows have also played a role. Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $1.6 billion in outflows over the past week, mainly attributed to portfolio rebalancing and tax considerations rather than panic selling.

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When large buyers step aside, dealer hedging flows tend to dominate, limiting upside pressure by design. Without renewed spot demand, rallies are absorbed before they reach key breakout levels.

Breaking above $100,000 requires significant force. Analysts estimate that nearly $500 million in net spot buying would be needed to offset hedging pressure, order-book depth, and clustered short liquidations. Until that threshold is met, repeated rejections will most likely continue.

However, time may prove to be the quiet catalyst. As options contracts expire and hedges decay, the structural constraint weakens. Mid January and late January are typically critical windows when a large portion of these positions is expected to roll off. Once that occurs, BTC’S price may regain flexibility.

From a longer term perspective, Bitcoin is trading roughly 24% below its fair value on a logarithmic trend basis. Historically, periods of low volatility combined with undervaluation have not led to a resolution of sideways markets. Instead, they have preceded sharp repricing events.

Market data shows Bitcoin dropped 1.87% to $90,086.11, reflecting ETF outflows and derivatives-driven liquidations.

Despite near-term pressure, institutional interest is growing, suggesting the current compression may be storing energy rather than signaling exhaustion.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse is set to record a live episode of the All-In Podcast with co-host Jason Calacanis, according to Luke Judges, head of partnerships at the San Francisco-based enterprise blockchain giant. 

The session, scheduled for Wednesday, Jan. 21, at 10:30 AM CET, will take place at the USA House, a venue that carries significant geopolitical weight this year.

The USA House, which is located on the famous Davos Promenade, is a private corporate lounge. It has now been recognized by the U.S. State Department as the country's "official headquarters." It will be hosting a massive delegation from the current administration, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

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A major XRP detractorThe All-In Podcast has previously hosted Tesla CEO Elon Musk and other bigwigs.

However, it should be noted that Calacanis has never been shy about his disdain for Ripple’s business model. He has spent years using his platform to label XRP as the antithesis of crypto’s decentralized ethos.

"It’s the opposite of Bitcoin," Calacanis once said on X (formerly Twitter).

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Calacanis previously argued that XRP is a "centrally controlled security" that exists primarily to enrich its founders at the expense of retail holders.

He famously warned that normalizing XRP trading would lead to "chaos" where "startups, funds, and grifters start dumping 50% of their coins on retail while slowly selling the 50% they own and control." To prevent this, he once suggested a "sophisticated investor test" for anyone wanting to buy the token.

During the height of the SEC v. Ripple litigation, Calacanis opined that XRP was a "disaster" that was "clearly going to zero." He argued that the project should have simply registered as a security from day one.

Hence, it will be intriguing to see if Garlinghouse and Calacanis will be able to find a common ground. 

Pump.fun Launches New Investment Division for Early-Stage Projects, Kicks Off Hackathon

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Memecoin launchpad Pump.fun has launched an investment arm, Pump Fund, which will distribute $3 million in funding across 12 projects.

An animated video ad posted on X said that the fund is dedicated to early-stage startups. Further, it announced a Build in Public Hackathon, which will fund 12 projects with $250k at $10m valuation.

Introducing the $3,000,000 Build in Public Hackathon

Brought to you by Pump Fund – pump fun’s New Investment Arm

It’s time to completely reimagine how early-stage projects are built and funded.

Learn more 👇 pic.twitter.com/l1TJcxv1J0

— Pump.fun (@Pumpfun) January 19, 2026 “It will advance the startup ecosystem on pump fun by aligning itself with projects long-term,” Pump.fun wrote in a thread on X.

Pump.fun Hackathon – Not for VCs But StartupsThe Solana-based platform wrote that the upcoming hackathon is a time-limited event that differs from traditional programs. The hackathon offers funding, mentorship with Pump.fun’s founders and more.

“Instead of having to please judges/VCs for money, tokenizing allows the market to become the judge,” the platform added. “Your users are the ones that fund you by betting on you early.”

In order to be eligible for the hackathon, early-stage project participants must launch a token and own at least 10% of the token supply.

However, the projects need not be crypto-related, Pump.fun clarified. Projects of all maturities, verticals, and traction are welcome, it said.

Besides, the platform will prioritize product and social traction, open communication and long-term viability while choosing winners.

One user wrote that the hackathon is “the biggest unlock of builder talent.” Though AI has supported millions to build projects and boost the talent pool, the funding system didn’t, the user wrote.

“Portfolio companies with legit product being ignored… hackathon survivors. incubator rejects. solo entrepreneurs with a vibe + idea & AI. 3 am Claude devs outshipping funded startups,” the X post read. “The talent pool just 100x’d, yet the funding system didn’t. Time to change the game.”

The first cohort of startups is expected by February 2026.

PUMP Surges 3.04% – Eyes Short‑Term BreakoutPUMP, the native token of Pump.fun, rose 3.04% in the last 24 hours following the announcement of the Pump Fund launch. The token is trading at $0.00256 during press time, per CoinMarketCap.

Recent gains reflect short-term momentum but face resistance near $0.00274.

The token reached an all-time high in September, and has dropped 70% since then. The increase in memecoin activity, with Pump.fun-launched coins like WhiteWhale gaining traction, has pumped the token back on the radar.

Further, according to DefiLlama, the activity has contributed to a steady increase in revenue in the recent past, creating a strong tokenomic backbone for the rally.

This Cardano Setup Triggered a 32% Rally Before —On-Chain Metrics Hint at a Repeat?Cardano price could repeat a bullish RSI divergence that previously led to a 32% rally.Whales added 100 million ADA while long-term selling collapsed 99%, strengthening support.A $0.41 reclaim is critical; failure risks $0.35 breaking and delaying any repeat rally.Cardano price may be approaching a decision point. While price remains under pressure, a familiar technical setup is forming beneath the surface. The same structure that preceded a 32% rally late last year is appearing again, but this time it is being reinforced by specific on-chain behavior from whales and long-term holders.

The question is no longer whether a signal exists. It is whether the supporting behavior is strong enough to carry it through.

A Familiar Bullish Setup Is Reappearing — And Whales Are Positioning EarlyCardano is in the process of forming a bullish divergence on the daily chart. A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but momentum, measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), trends higher. RSI compares recent gains to recent losses to assess whether selling pressure is weakening.

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This setup has mattered for Cardano before.

Between November 4 and December 31, 2025, ADA printed a lower low while RSI formed a higher low. That divergence marked exhaustion in selling pressure and was followed by a 32% rally. A similar structure is now developing between November 4, 2025, and January 19, 2026, provided the price continues to hold above the $0.35 area.

Bullish Divergence Forming: TradingViewWant more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

What strengthens this signal is whale behavior.

Wallets holding between 1 million and 10 million ADA have been accumulating since January 12. Their combined holdings rose from roughly 5.51 billion ADA to 5.61 billion ADA, an increase of about 100 million ADA, or 1.8%, in less than two weeks. At the current price, that represents over $36 million in added exposure.

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This kind of accumulation typically appears ahead of momentum shifts, not after them. But momentum alone is not enough. The behavior of other holder groups determines whether the setup can follow through.

Hodlers Are Staying Put While Short-Term Activity Surges — A Mixed SignalTo understand the risk beneath the setup, it helps to look at spent coin activity. Spent coin activity tracks how many coins are being moved on-chain, giving insight into who is selling and who is staying inactive.

Long-term holders, defined here as wallets holding ADA for 180 to 365 days, are showing strong conviction. Their spent coin activity has collapsed from roughly 67.47 million ADA on January 14 to around 174,000 ADA recently. That is a decline of more than 99%, pushing activity to a monthly low. In simple terms, long-term holders are not selling into weakness.

HODLers Not Moving ADA: SantimentShort-term holders tell a very different story.

Coins held for 30 to 60 days have suddenly become much more active as the bullish pattern forms. Spent coin activity for this group jumped from about 3.6 million ADA on January 18 to approximately 14.84 million ADA, an increase of roughly 312% in a short span.

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This divergence matters.

Strong Hodler inactivity supports the downside and reduces panic risk. At the same time, rising short-term activity introduces supply risk if the price starts to bounce. This exact imbalance could have capped Cardano’s previous RSI-driven rally before it could turn into a sustained trend.

Short-Term Cohort: SantimentWhether this setup leads to the bounce now depends on how the price reacts at key levels.

Cardano Price Levels And Two Other Metrics Decide If History RepeatsThe last time Cardano rallied 32%, the move ultimately failed because the ADA price could not reclaim the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). An EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more sensitive to trend shifts. During that rally, ADA stalled near the 50-day EMA, which now sits near $0.41.

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That level is the first major hurdle again.

If the current RSI divergence confirms and price pushes higher, a clean daily close above $0.41 would signal that short-term momentum is finally aligning with the setup. Above that, $0.43 becomes the next resistance, followed by $0.48, which aligns closely with the 200-day EMA and would mark a more meaningful trend shift.

Capital flow adds an important difference this time.

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which tracks whether capital is entering or leaving an asset, is trending higher even as the price has drifted lower. Previously, CMF failed to hold above the zero line during rallies, signaling weak inflows. This time, CMF has pushed higher and stayed positive, suggesting accumulation was happening even when the Cardano price trended lower.

Whale buying, discussed earlier, also had a role to play in pushing the CMF higher.

Cardano Price Analysis: TradingViewOn the downside, the setup remains conditional. A sustained break below $0.35 would weaken the bullish divergence and reopen the path toward $0.32, delaying any repeat scenario.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

As Ethereum (ETH) kicks off the year with a recovery past the critical $3,000 threshold amid a broader cryptocurrency market rally in early 2026, it continues to struggle against a key resistance level at $3,400. Currently, the second-largest cryptocurrency is entering a consolidation phase below this significant mark.

Technical analyst Ali Martinez has suggested that should the buying momentum observed in recent weeks persist, Ethereum could soon embark on a new rally that might bring it closer to reaching all-time high levels. 

Ethereum Poised For Potential Price Breakout In a recent update shared on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Martinez pointed to on-chain indicators suggesting a fresh bullish sentiment among Ethereum investors. Notably, daily active addresses on the Ethereum network have surged, doubling to exceed 800,000 in just two weeks.

Martinez’s analysis further hints at a potential correlation with the rising demand for Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Since December 29, these investment vehicles have accumulated approximately 158,545 ETH, a sum valued at around $520 million, adding to the positive outlook for the altcoin. 

This heightened on-chain activity has created substantial support levels for Ethereum’s price action looking ahead, particularly between $2,772 and $3,109 that could prevent a new drop below these key marks. 

Martinez believes that if these support levels remain intact and buying pressure continues, a breakout above the crucial $3,400 resistance could pave the way for a significant rally toward $4,000—representing an increase of approximately 24.33% from its current trading level of around $3,217.

The daily chart shows ETH’s struggle to surpass the $3,400 resistance. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com What Lies Ahead For The Altcoin? Other analysts, such as those from BitBull, share an optimistic view of ETH’s price trajectory. The analyst has identified a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern forming in the 10-day chart, which could lead to a bullish price target of $5,000. This projection implies a remarkable 55.48% increase, exceeding last year’s record highs.

However, despite these bullish forecasts, Ethereum’s price has fallen by 3% within a 24-hour period, according to CoinGecko data. The cryptocurrency has yet to demonstrate the bullish momentum necessary to meet these targets.

Another encouraging factor for investors looking for upward price movement is liquidity. Market expert Ted Pillows recently noted that, following Ethereum’s latest price drop, the maximum pain point appears to lean upward. 

ETH’s liquidity heatmap. Source: TedPillows on X Historically, large investors and institutions have tended to “hunt” liquidity levels, which helps to reset positioning in the market and evacuate numerous retail investors. 

With approximately $3.4 billion in short positions at risk if Ethereum successfully breaches the $3,400 mark in the days ahead, the possibility of a significant price movement looms. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

7h05 ▪ 4 min read ▪ by Eddy S.

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For the first time in months, the Bitcoin hashrate has fallen below the symbolic threshold of 1 zettahash per second. A trend revealing an unexpected competition between cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence. Why are miners abandoning Bitcoin for AI? What are the stakes for the crypto network and its players?

In Brief The Bitcoin hashrate has fallen below 1 ZH/s, a first in months, due to miners migrating to AI services. Economic difficulties and declining revenue are pushing mining players to reallocate their resources towards AI. This drop weakens the Bitcoin network but also opens innovation opportunities for remaining miners. AI, the New Promised Land for Bitcoin Miners? The Bitcoin hashrate, a key indicator of the network’s computing power, has dropped below 1 zettahash per second (ZH/s). A historic decline attributed to miners reallocating resources to AI services. Facing a difficult economic environment marked by falling revenues and rising costs, mining players are seeking more profitable alternatives.

Leon Lyu, CEO of StandardHash, explains this phenomenon as a search for higher profit margins. Indeed, mining farm infrastructures equipped with power and cooling are perfectly suited to AI’s needs. In 2025, TheMinerMag already described the year as the toughest environment ever for Bitcoin miners, pushing them to diversify their activities.

This migration raises questions about the future of traditional mining. Miners, once dedicated to Bitcoin, now turn to sectors where profitability is immediate and less volatile. This trend could intensify if economic conditions do not improve.

Bitcoin in Danger? Consequences of a Falling Hashrate The drop in Bitcoin hashrate has direct impacts on the security and decentralization of the network. Indeed, less computing power means increased vulnerability to potential attacks, such as 51% attacks. This situation worries blockchain purists, for whom network robustness is a top priority.

Bitcoin Hashrate drops below 1 ZH/s. Paradoxically, the decrease in hashrate is accompanied by a drop in mining difficulty. Since November 2025, this difficulty has fallen from 156 to 146.5 trillion, making Bitcoin extraction more accessible. A boon for remaining miners, but it does not compensate for the overall loss of network power.

The price of Bitcoin, slightly up (40 dollars per petahash/day), is insufficient to reverse the trend. Consequently, miners facing high energy costs prefer to invest in sectors like AI, where return on investment is more predictable. This dynamic could long-term weaken the Bitcoin ecosystem.

Towards Coexistence Between BTC and AI? The future of Bitcoin mining will depend on its ability to adapt to this new competition. Industry players are already exploring ways to optimize energy costs and diversify activities. Some even envision a hybrid between crypto mining and AI services to maximize the use of their infrastructure.

Moreover, regulators and states could play a key role in this transition. Favorable energy policies and tax incentives could help miners remain competitive. However, is this competition between Bitcoin and AI a threat or an opportunity? While some see it as a catalyst for innovation, others fear a gradual marginalization of BTC in the face of AI’s irresistible rise.

The drop in Bitcoin hashrate is not an isolated phenomenon but a symptom of a broader transformation of the sector. AI, in search of computing power, is redefining the rules of the game. To survive, Bitcoin players will have to innovate and adapt. One thing is certain: this competition is just beginning. And you, do you think BTC can coexist with AI, or is it doomed to become a secondary player?

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Eddy S.

The world is evolving and adaptation is the best weapon to survive in this undulating universe. Originally a crypto community manager, I am interested in anything that is directly or indirectly related to blockchain and its derivatives. To share my experience and promote a field that I am passionate about, nothing is better than writing informative and relaxed articles.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

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A recent spike in activity on the Ethereum network may be partly driven by address poisoning attacks that have become cheaper to execute amid falling transaction fees, according to security researcher Andrey Sergeenkov.

Key Takeaways:

Part of Ethereum’s recent activity surge may be driven by address poisoning spam rather than organic user growth. Lower gas fees after the Fusaka upgrade have made large-scale poisoning attacks cheaper. More than $740,000 has been stolen via dusting campaigns. The warning follows reports that Ethereum’s network activity retention nearly doubled to 8 million addresses within a month, while daily transactions climbed to a record near 2.9 million.

Sergeenkov said the week starting Jan. 12 alone saw around 2.7 million new addresses, roughly 170% above typical levels, alongside daily transactions consistently exceeding 2.5 million.

Ethereum Activity Spike May Be Driven by Address PoisoningWhile the surge initially appeared to signal organic growth, Sergeenkov cautioned that part of the increase could be attributed to large-scale spam campaigns known as address poisoning.

These attacks exploit low fees by flooding the network with small transactions designed to trick users rather than facilitate legitimate activity.

Address poisoning works by sending tiny transfers from wallet addresses that closely resemble legitimate ones.

When users later copy an address from their transaction history, they may unknowingly send funds to the attacker instead.

The tactic has grown more economical since Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade in December, which cut network fees by more than 60% in the following weeks.

“Address poisoning has become disproportionately attractive for attackers,” Sergeenkov said, adding that scaling blockchain infrastructure without prioritizing user safety risks distorting headline activity metrics.

To track the attacks, Sergeenkov analyzed wallets that received less than $1 as their first stablecoin transaction, identifying clusters of so-called “dust distributor” addresses.

He then filtered for those that had sent transactions to more than 10,000 recipients, a pattern consistent with poisoning campaigns.

Some of the most active distributor wallets sent dust to more than 400,000 addresses, he said. So far, more than $740,000 has been stolen from at least 116 victims using this method.

The findings highlight a tension emerging from Ethereum’s improved efficiency. Lower fees have made the network more accessible for users and developers, but they have also reduced the cost of abuse.

Sergeenkov said the episode underscores the need for better wallet-level protections and clearer user warnings, arguing that raw transaction growth alone is not a reliable measure of healthy network adoption.

Buterin Says Ethereum Is Entering a New Phase Focused on User AutonomyEthereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has framed the moment as more than a technical milestone.

In a recent post, he said the community is entering a phase focused on restoring personal autonomy and improving user experience, arguing that earlier compromises made in pursuit of adoption no longer need to define the network’s future.

“2026 is the year that we take back lost ground in terms of self-sovereignty and trustlessness,” Buterin said in an X post.

Together, record activity, falling fees, and rising participation suggest Ethereum is entering a new phase, one where scale no longer comes at the expense of accessibility.

Blockspace Media buys Bitcoin Layers to integrate L2 metrics into a new dashboard and data suite.

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Quantum computing is one of the hottest tech trends right now, after artificial intelligence (AI), but investors should be cautious about jumping all-in on some quantum computing companies. That's because the technology is still in its early stages, and some pure-play quantum computing companies generate little to no revenue.

But that doesn't mean you can't get in early on quantum computing stocks; it's just best to focus on companies with longer track records than some speculative start-ups. Alphabet (GOOG 0.85%) (GOOGL 0.83%) and Microsoft (MSFT +0.77%) are making impressive moves in the quantum computing space and will likely benefit from the market in the years to come. Here's why.

Image source: Getty Images.

Alphabet's two big quantum computing accomplishments Alphabet has been researching quantum computing for years, and in late 2024, the company made a major stride forward with its technology when it introduced Willow, a quantum computing processor that substantially reduced the errors quantum computers are prone to.

Willow is considered a significant leap forward, and Alphabet proved its tech prowess with the chip, showing that it could solve a complex mathematical problem in just five minutes that would take a traditional supercomputer 10 septillion years to complete.

That was impressive enough, but Alphabet followed it up with the release of a new quantum computing algorithm last year that ran 15,000 times faster than a traditional computing algorithm.

Alphabet is now working on its third milestone (of six), aiming to reach 1 million computational steps with less than one error -- a big leap forward from current quantum computers.

What's also important to point out is that Alphabet is generating plenty of cash to invest in quantum computing, with about $24.6 billion in free cash flow in the third quarter (which ended Sept. 30). Just as it did with artificial intelligence, Alphabet is playing the long game with quantum computing. If its current developments in the space are any indicator, it will likely pay off for the company and its shareholders.

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Microsoft is rapidly moving forward with its quantum tech Microsoft is a leading AI player right now, but it also has breakthrough technologies in quantum computing. The most notable is the company's Majorana 1 processor that Microsoft said "can create an entirely new state of matter" that's neither a solid, liquid, or gas. Microsoft calls it a topological superconductor or topconductor.

The benefit of Majorana 1 is that it can create stable and rapid qubits -- a unit of measurement for quantum computers -- that will allow Microsoft to eventually reach 1 million qubits on a single processor.

Microsoft also offers commercial quantum computers to customers through a partnership with Atom Computing and sells quantum computing services through its Azure Quantum cloud services. Given that Microsoft is the second-largest cloud player and nipping at Amazon's heels, quantum cloud services could be a boon for the company in the coming years.

Like Alphabet, Microsoft has plenty of cash to keep the quantum computing investments coming. The company had $25.6 billion in free cash flow in Q3 (which ended Sept. 30), giving the company plenty of resources to continue making big bets on this nascent technology.

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Why buying these stocks is a smart move right now Both Microsoft and Alphabet have established themselves as major players in quantum computing and have the capital to keep their efforts well funded for years to come.

Adding to their appeal is that both stocks look cheap right now. Microsoft and Alphabet's shares are just 33 times more than their trailing-12-month earnings, compared to the average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of nearly 45 for tech stocks.

With their relatively cheap price tags, substantial cash for new tech investments, and their current tech developments, Alphabet and Microsoft are in a great position to benefit from quantum computing in the coming years.

Credit: Angel Bena from Pexels Over the past year, few words have been abused as much as "sovereignty," particularly in relation to Canadian digital policy and artificial intelligence. In early December, Microsoft promised to invest more than $7.5 billion over the next two years to build "new digital and AI infrastructure" in Canada. This investment is backed by a pledge that it will "stand up to defend" Canadian digital sovereignty.

Framing the investment in terms of protecting Canadian sovereignty isn't incidental. Politically, countries are increasingly worried that tech companies based in the United States are vulnerable to pressure from the increasingly authoritarian government of President Donald Trump to turn over foreign citizens' data, trade secrets, emails and any activity or metadata produced on their systems to the U.S. government.

If you're wondering how investments in essential digital infrastructure from a U.S. company can help protect Canadian sovereignty, you're not alone. It can't and it won't, for the simple reason that Microsoft—and other tech companies based in or that do business in the United States—are promising something that's beyond their control to deliver.

Data sovereignty Sovereignty, in its simplest terms, refers to the ability of a state to control what happens within its borders and what crosses those borders. It has other aspects, such as whether a state is recognized by other states, but at heart it's about control.

In June 2025 testimony before a French Senate committee examining the issue of government procurement and digital sovereignty, Microsoft France's director of public and legal affairs, Anton Carniaux, was asked if he could guarantee under oath that data could not be transmitted to the U.S. government without the French government's approval. He replied: "No, I cannot guarantee that, but, again, it has never happened before."

Carniaux's response reminds us that the U.S., through its 2018 CLOUD Act, has claimed the right to exercise control over data collected by U.S. companies, even if it's stored outside the country. In other words, American law explicitly requires that U.S. law takes precedence over other countries' laws.

This is a clear infringement of any definition of sovereignty in terms of control. In response, Microsoft has promised to write "into contracts that Microsoft will challenge any government demand for Canadian data where it has legal grounds to."

While meant to sound reassuring, Microsoft's promise is less than it appears. Not only does their commitment leave it up to Microsoft and U.S. courts to determine the validity of any demand, but the law itself is only half of the problem.

Mass surveillance The mass illegal surveillance of global communications by U.S. intelligence agencies, revealed by whistleblower Edward Snowden in 2013, was abetted by American tech companies. The U.S. National Security Agency collected vast amounts of data on people around the world, including non-American citizens, by tapping into internet firm servers.

American companies are uniquely beholden to pressure from the U.S. government. They depend on the government to negotiate favorable international agreements, and also as a major purchaser of their goods and services.

As research by York University criminology professor Natasha Tusikov has shown, the U.S. also engages in "shadow regulation," putting pressure on private companies to fulfill government objectives that go beyond what's required by law—even, as Tusikov discusses, pursuing policies that have been explicitly rejected by democratically elected legislatures.

All that happened before the Trump era. And given his clear contempt for the principle of sovereignty and American tech companies' close ties with the government, U.S. abuse of the non-American data held by its tech companies is certainly a possibility.

Carney government vague about sovereignty As misleading as Microsoft's promises may be, it's the Canadian government that's playing the loosest with digital sovereignty talk. Prime Minister Mark Carney arguably won the federal election on his promise to protect Canadian sovereignty against a rapacious United States.

While the prime minister has promised a "Canadian sovereign cloud," it is unclear what exactly this means. Evan Solomon, Canada's minister in charge of promoting AI, has expressed openness to including U.S. companies like OpenAI (a Microsoft partner) in Canada's sovereign cloud, indicating that it could include "hybrid models" with "multiple players."

Solomon has also argued that "sovereignty does not mean solitude … we can't look at AI as a walled-off garden. Like, "Oh, we cannot ever take money from X or Y.'"

It's true that sovereignty is never absolute. The real world is much messier than a world divided into neat, discrete packages that the principle of territorial sovereignty implies. No community or state is fully self-sufficient.

We live in a global world of economic and social connections. Global governance involves a mix of domestic laws, international agreements and formal and informal cross-border working relationships. Countries benefit when they can draw on expertise and resources they lack at home.

But Microsoft's and Solomon's comments elide the deeper issue that come from focusing too much on abstract notions like "sovereignty." Canada's problem isn't a loss of Canadian sovereignty in the abstract. It's a U.S. that has violated Venezuela's sovereignty, threatened others (including Canada) with annexation and is led by a president who has declared himself above international law.

Reasserting control Sovereignty is about control. In the digital era, power lies with those who control the software and the data. Canada's problem is that American companies control enormous swaths of Canada's essential digital infrastructure, including emerging AI technologies and cloud services, but also email and the increasingly networked office software that underpin our entire society.

There's a reason why France and Germany are collaborating on an alternative to Google Docs.

So long as the U.S cannot be trusted to respect domestic and international laws, companies based or working in the U.S are vulnerable to political pressure. This could potentially include capturing Canadians' data for political and economic reasons, and cutting off our access to their products or limiting their functionality.

These hard facts about control, rather than abstract musings about sovereignty, should be our starting points for discussions about Canadian digital policy.

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Citation: Microsoft's AI deal promises Canada digital sovereignty, but is that a pledge it can keep? (2026, January 19) retrieved 19 January 2026 from https://techxplore.com/news/2026-01-microsoft-ai-canada-digital-sovereignty.html

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