Market Signal Briefing

Chainlink's cryptocurrency, LINK, is exhibiting early signs of recovery as it navigates a critical period of increased investor outflows. As of early December 2025, LINK's market activity has caught the attention of analysts due to a strategic demand zone that could potentially push its value past the $13 mark.

As of December 2025, Bitcoin has once again approached the $93,000 mark, a critical level that previously instigated a notable price drop. Recent analytics highlight the emergence of substantial short-liquidation clusters at this threshold, fueling speculation about an impending market squeeze.

XRP spot ETFs have posted one of the most consistent inflow streaks of this quarter, attracting roughly $756 million across eleven consecutive trading sessions since their Nov. 13 launch.

Yet the strength in the ETF demand contrasts with XRP’s price performance.

According to CryptoSlate’s data, the token has fallen about 20% over the same period and currently trades near $2.03.

Chart Showing XRP Price Performance in the Last 30 Days. (Source: TradingView)This divergence has prompted CryptoSlate to examine how XRP’s ownership structure is shifting beneath the surface.

The strong ETF inflows alongside falling prices point to a market absorbing two opposing forces of steady institutional allocation on one side and a broader risk reduction on the other.

Essentially, this pattern reflects a more complex process in which new, regulated demand is entering the ecosystem as existing holders adjust their exposure.

XRP dominates crypto ETFs flowThe inflow profile of XRP products is statistically remarkable, particularly against a backdrop of net redemptions elsewhere.

During the reporting period, Bitcoin ETFs saw over $2 billion in outflows, and Ethereum products recorded nearly $1 billion in withdrawals.

Even high-flying competitors like Solana have managed only about $200 million in cumulative inflows. At the same time, other altcoin ETFs have drawn smaller totals, with Dogecoin, Litecoin, and Hedera products each holding between $2 million and $10 million.

In this context, XRP stands alone for its consistent accumulation, with the four products now holding about 0.6% of the token’s total market capitalization.

XRP ETFs Daily Inflow (Source: SoSo Value)Considering this, market participants attribute the demand to the ETF’s operational efficiency. The four XRP funds offer institutional allocators a compliant, low-friction path into the asset, bypassing the custody headaches and exchange risks associated with direct token handling.

However, the fact that these inflows have not translated into upward price pressure suggests that other market segments may be reducing exposure or managing risk amid elevated macro and crypto-specific uncertainty.

This phenomenon is not unprecedented in crypto, but the scale here is distinct.

The selling pressure is likely originating from a combination of early adopters cashing out after years of volatility and potential treasury movements. The ETF boom has essentially created a liquidity bridge, allowing large-scale entities to offload positions without crashing the order book instantly.

Consolidation or centralization risk?Meanwhile, the ownership data below the surface reinforces the view that the asset is undergoing a radical centralization.

Data from blockchain analysis firm Santiment indicates that the number of “whale” and “shark” wallets holding at least 100 million XRP has plummeted by 20.6% over the past eight weeks.

XRP Holders (Source: Santiment)This pattern of fewer large wallets with more combined assets can be interpreted in different ways.

Some market observers have framed this as “consolidation,” arguing that supply is moving into “stronger hands.”

However, a risk-adjusted view suggests rising centralization risk.

With nearly half of the available supply concentrated in a shrinking cohort of entities, the market’s liquidity profile is becoming increasingly fragile.

This centralization of supply means that future price action is heavily dependent on the decisions of fewer than a few dozen entities. If this group decides to distribute, the resulting liquidity shock could be severe.

Simultaneously, spot exchange balances are thinning as tokens move into the regulated custody solutions required by ETF issuers.

While this theoretically reduces the “float” available for retail trading, it hasn’t triggered a supply shock. Instead, the transfer from exchange to custodian appears to be a one-way street for now, soaking up circulating supply sold by the shrinking whale cohort.

The benchmark raceThe inflow streak has renewed discussion about which asset could emerge as the benchmark altcoin for institutional portfolios.

Historically, regulated crypto exposure has centered almost exclusively on Bitcoin and Ethereum, with other assets attracting minimal attention. XRP’s recent flow profile, which has significantly exceeded the cumulative inflows of other altcoin ETFs, has temporarily shifted that dynamic.

Part of the interest stems from developments around Ripple. The firm’s licensing expansion in Singapore and the significant adoption of RLUSD, its dollar-backed stablecoin, give institutions a broader ecosystem to evaluate.

At the same time, Ripple’s acquisitions across custody, brokerage, and treasury management have created a vertically integrated framework that resembles components of traditional financial infrastructure, offering a foundation for regulated participation.

Still, analysts caution that a short inflow streak does not establish a new long-term benchmark.

XRP will need to sustain demand across multiple market phases to maintain its position relative to peers such as Solana, which has gained attention for its growing tokenization activity, and to assets that may attract larger flows once new ETFs launch.

For now, XRP’s performance within the ETF complex reflects early momentum rather than structural dominance.

The flows highlight genuine institutional interest, but the asset’s price behavior reflects the broader challenges large-cap cryptocurrencies face amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

Mentioned in this article

Journalist

Posted: December 3, 2025

XRP slipped below $2 after the 1st of December market crash and hit a local low near $1.90 before a mild rebound. At press time, Ripple’s [XRP] traded at $2.02, down 1.28% on daily charts and 8.42% on the weekly timeframe.

Even so, the broader weakness opened a buying window that whales quickly exploited.

Whales stayed active despite price weakness
Although XRP has struggled on its price charts, whales have remained increasingly active on the spot market. 

CryptoQuant data showed large values on the Spot Average Order Size metric for 30 straight days.

Source: CryptoQuant

When this metric shows whale orders, it indicates increased participation by them, either buying or selling the altcoin. 

In this case, these whales have been aggressively accumulating. This is so because the altcoin’s Spot Taker CVD has remained green for three consecutive weeks. 

Source: CryptoQuant

When this metric is green, it indicates buyer dominance, suggesting that most orders executed in the market are buy orders. 

XRP whale holdings hit a 7-year high
Interestingly, while whales remained active in the market, XRP has experienced a massive shift in holdings dynamics. 

According to Santiment, the number of 100M+ XRP wallets dropped 20.6% in eight weeks.

Having said that, the group’s total balance surged to 48 billion XRP, marking a seven-year high.

Source: Santiment

By contrast, Whale to Exchange Flow on Binance stayed minimal, hovering near 1k daily transfers for a month. That pattern showed whales avoided deposits and favored withdrawals, which aligned with an accumulation phase.

Source: CryptoQuant

Technical signals kept the market under bearish control
Significantly, prolonged XRP weakness on its price charts has created a buying window, especially for whales. Despite the increased whale demand, the altcoin remains structurally bearish.

For that reason, the altcoin’s Relative Vigor Index Zero Cross formed a bearish crossover, dropping to -0.02, indicating intense downward pressure.

Source: TradingView

With the crossover here, it suggests that bears are still increasingly active in the market, and whale demand remains inadequate for bulls to regain control.

These circumstances leave one in a risky position, potentially leading to greater losses. Therefore, if bearishness persists, XRP could breach $2 support again, with its Parabolic SAR at $1.9 providing support.

However, if whale demand finally materializes in the market, the altcoin could be strong enough to reclaim $2.2 and target $2.5.

Final Thoughts

The number of big wallets fell, but their total holdings climbed to a seven-year high, hinting at concentrated ownership.
Technical signals still leaned bearish, so XRP’s path depended on whether whale demand could offset pressure near $2.

Cover image via www.freepik.com

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

With the lack of direction of multiple assets, uncertainty covers the cryptocurrency market, which could be a worrying sign for investors: volatility might drop even lower and liquidity will be so thin that any selling pressure will send the market into limbo. 

XRP needs helpThere is very little space for optimism on the chart, and XRP is barely hanging onto the $2 level. The structure that has been building since early October, lower highs, lower lows and a clean descending channel are still fully intact. Every attempt to break above resistance has been slapped down immediately, and the most recent rejection from the midchannel region confirms sellers are still firmly in control.

The market is not confused. It is tired, illiquid and directionally biased to the downside. The way XRP is declining, rather than the drop itself, is the main problem. The price continues to retreat from the 20- and 50-day EMAs as if they were unbreakable barriers. Momentum never survives past a couple of candles, and volume on green days remains pathetic compared to the heavy sell-side spikes you see on each breakdown.

HOT Stories

XRP/USDT Chart by TradingViewThat is classic continuation behavior — not a base, not an accumulation zone, not even a meaningful pause. Losing $2 logically opens the door to the next liquidity pocket around $1.85-$1.90, and if the channel breaks again (like it did during the panic wick in November), you are talking about an even deeper slide.

Nothing on the chart hints at incoming strength. The RSI is hovering around mid-40s, but without a divergence or a trend shift, that is just neutral noise. The 200-day EMA sits far above the current price, and the 50/100 EMA mini-death cross continues to pressure the asset from above.

The problem is that XRP typically bottoms out. Historically, its reversals come from overextended capitulation rather than controlled selling. But right now, we do not even have that exhaustion. 

So yes, the next leg lower is not just possible, it is the most coherent outcome based on structure and momentum. Furthermore, nothing indicates that things will get better unless XRP produces a truly unusual spike in demand. Buyers are not stepping in, and the chart reflects that brutally.

Bitcoin can recoverBitcoin’s current structure is messy but not hopeless. The price eventually found buyers in the mid $80,000s after the violent plunge in mid November, and a clear recovery was initiated. The recovery is sufficient to pave the way for a brief move toward $90,000, but it is not strong enough to signal a trend reversal.

The key is the shape of the bounce. BTC printed a classic exhaustion wick near the local bottom, followed by a string of higher lows on increasing volume. That alone signals buyers are not dead. But the real driver is the gap between spot price and the 20-day EMA.

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Another structural factor is that, in November, an extremely oversold RSI reading was created, which Bitcoin typically resolves with a relief rally. The price recovered enough to test significant resistance the last time the momentum reset this dramatically. The same dynamic is possible now.

The problem is that the chart above $90,000 is stacked with resistance. The $92,000 to $96,000 pocket is where the 50- day EMA, the prior breakdown zone and the cluster of unsuccessful support levels from October converge. Unless there is a shift in macro sentiment or an increase in demand, that area is a brick wall.

So yes, hitting $90,000 is not a stretch. It fits the pattern: oversold bounce returning to test the underside of broken support. But expecting anything beyond that, especially a sustained breakout, does not match the current market posture. BTC is still firmly below the 200 day EMA, still printing lower highs and still lacking the kind of buying aggression that defines trend shifts.

Dogecoin's stabilization risksDogecoin is trying to stabilize, but calling this the end of the downtrend would be wishful thinking. The chart is still locked inside a clean, well-defined descending structure, with every bounce getting sold almost immediately. The latest move, a push off the $0.13 to $0.14 zone, is more of a technical relief than an actual shift in market sentiment.

The price remains below the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day EMAs. The three are stacked in a classic bearish pattern, all pointing downward. That alignment rarely resolves quickly, and it tells you that traders still have control.

The key level to watch is $0.155 to $0.16. This is where DOGE was repeatedly slapped down, and the midpoint resistance of the most recent slide. If buyers cannot reclaim that zone, any discussion about a trend reversal is pointless. Breaking it would at least show that sellers are losing their grip, and not starting a bullish trend but making the first step toward one.

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However, Bitcoin is the more significant external factor. DOGE does not get to move independently in market conditions like these. BTC is still deep inside its own downtrend, and every failed bounce there cascades straight into assets like DOGE. Meme assets remain suppressed if Bitcoin keeps declining, or even just chopping sideways in the face of significant resistance.

So, is the DOGE downtrend ending? Nothing on the chart confirms that. Investors should expect more sideways-to-down behavior unless BTC prints a real recovery leg. Without broader market strength, DOGE is likely to keep drifting, and any short-term bounces will remain just that, bounces not reversals. Liquidity drains fast, and speculative appetite evaporates, exactly the environment DOGE performs the worst in.

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As of December 2025, Strategy, a prominent player in the cryptocurrency sector, is projected to experience a remarkable 183% growth in its stock value despite ongoing market pressures related to Bitcoin (BTC). This potential growth trajectory is capturing significant attention within financial circles, particularly as it contrasts sharply with the broader market sentiment of uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin.

In a significant shift within the cryptocurrency landscape, the number of wallets holding over 100 million XRP tokens has decreased sharply, according to data from Santiment, a leading crypto analytics firm. Over the past eight weeks, these substantial XRP wallets have diminished by 20.6%, marking a reduction of 569 wallets in this category.

In brief
Digital assets rallied on Tuesday after falling significantly a day earlier.
Last week, 30% of Myriad users expected a crypto winter.
Bitcoin is down about 27% since hitting an all-time high above $126,000 in early October.
As Winter Storm Chan barrels down on New York, Myriad prediction market traders are issuing a more favorable forecast for crypto prices.

Users on Myriad, which is owned by Decrypt parent company Dastan, rate a 9% chance that markets are headed for crypto winter. That’s dropped from 30% since the market debuted on Friday at the end of a week in which Bitcoin hovered around $85,000 much of the time–not far off its six-month lows.

The improvement dovetails with rebound in crypto prices on Tuesday after a more than six-week slump. BTC was trading above $91,500, up 6% over the past 24 hours, although BTC remains about 27% lower than its all-time high above $126,000 set in early October, according to crypto price aggregator CoinGecko.

Ethereum was trading for $2,990 at the time of writing, a 7.3% gain since Monday, same time. On Wednesday, the Ethereum developer community rolls out the Fusaka upgrade, which will dramatically change how the mainnet collects and verifies data from layer-2 networks. ETH is off more than 20% over the past month.

For the purposes of the prediction market, three out of the following four criteria would need to be met to qualify as a Crypto Winter: Bitcoin drops to $35,000; Ethereum drops to $1,000; MicroStrategy, or MSTR, falls to $50; or the Crypto total market capitalization on TradingView would need to drop to $350 billion.

More generally, a crypto winter describes an extended market downturn when prices drop, trading activity slows, and investor interest cools for months or even years.

The most recent crypto winter ran from late 2021 through most of 2023, triggered by the bursting of the pandemic-era bull market and worsened by the collapses of Terra/Luna in 2022, and the resulting contagion that triggered the failure of crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital in June and crypto exchange FTX in November that same year.

During that period, Bitcoin fell from an all-time high near $69,000 in November 2021 to about $16,000 after FTX’s failure—a drawdown of roughly 75%. Venture funding and trading volumes dropped dramatically, too.

But even if crypto winter isn’t on the horizon, Bitcoin and Ethereum have incurred recent price weakness.

Analysts at QCP Capital, a Singapore-based crypto trading firm, pegged Monday’s dip to hawkish sentiment from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.

As a result, “Japan’s two-year yield to 1% and [implies] a 76% chance of a rate increase at the 19 December BOJ meeting,” the analysts wrote. Traders are also keeping an eye on the U.S. Federal Open Markets Committee as it heads into its last meeting for the year.

Analysts told Decrypt that the U.S. central bank’s interest rate decision next week will be a huge determining factor in how Bitcoin ends the year.

Daily Debrief NewsletterStart every day with the top news stories right now, plus original features, a podcast, videos and more.

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DOGE faces its last chance to rule out a collapse as a false breakout – Dogecoin price predictions could still eye a “massive Doge season.”

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Litecoin price analysis gains new urgency today as the asset records a sharp 10% rally during early trading. The relocation is consistent with a definite organizational arrangement that now dictates short-term orientation. Vanguard’s LTCC launch began this morning, and the new access channel increases attention on Litecoin exposure. 

The asset is also trading around a tightening formation that is now subject to structured review. This article examines the evolving Litecoin price structure and the influence of Vanguard’s LTCC access on upcoming expectations.

Litecoin Price Structure Near Breakout Zone
Litecoin price attempts a stronger rebound near the symmetrical triangle’s lower boundary today. The LTC value now trades at $82.94 after a clear reaction near $77.51. This area is defended by buyers as the candles squeeze towards the formation apex. 

Every downward trend is being met with faster reactions, and this change boosts the confidence of the active participants. The second target is close to $86.91 and a break above this will give a way to $125. The climb also faces the final resistance around  $101.93 that was previously rejected. 

Besides, RSI holds around 42 and signals room for continued strength and renewed drive. The falling guide now loses its grip as the price action starts to lean towards the upwards direction. This trend reflects the situation observed prior to a wider growth in the first half of this year. 

Meanwhile, the tightening formation reduces indecision around the current range. Therefore, the long-term Litecoin price performance improves as the asset forms a defined reaction point and approaches a possible breakout trigger.

LTC/USDT 1-Day Chart (Source: TradingView)
Vanguard LTCC Launch Boosts Litecoin Interest
Vanguard now provides full access to the LTCC spot ETF, and the launch began this morning. Canary Capital is the issuer of the product and increases the exposure of investors who use Vanguard platforms. The incident attracts attention because Litecoin is rising out of the recent lows. 

Meanwhile, the timing supports the strengthening technical setup on the daily structure. Investors are now able to interact with LTCC without any delays or limited windows. The size of Vanguard gives it a broader coverage and makes Litecoin exposure more appealing. The listing is visible on the site and assures instant access to qualified clients. 

BREAKING: 11 trillion dollar investment management company vanguard has just listed $LTCC the Litecoin spot ETF by Canary capital.
They are set to allow clients to buy ETFs tomorrow 12/2/25https://t.co/VPf9SZqSPd$LTC #Litecoin #LTC pic.twitter.com/4yVWXkWowG

— Litecoin Magazine ŁⓂ️🕸 (@LitecoinMag) December 2, 2025

The launch matches increased attention around Litecoin’s tightening structure. This arrangement is an indication of how institutional actors tend to respond swiftly to new entry points. Thus, Litecoin has a significant booster when Vanguard expands the scope of Canary Capital ETF on its network.

To conclude, Litecoin is currently at a decisive stage when the technical situation coincides with new institutional access. The LTCC launch strengthens interest across traditional channels and supports increased engagement. The structure also creates better upside indicators as Litecoin nears a potential breakout. With this alignment, LTC will be able to reach $125 by the end of the year.

Aave’s native token AAVE surged 14% in the past 24 hours, climbing to $188 as the broader crypto market recovered from a sharp early-week sell-off. The move made AAVE one of the strongest performers among major DeFi assets, outperforming the CoinDesk 5 Index’s 8% rise during the same period and drawing increased attention from traders seeking high-momentum plays.

The rally accelerated after AAVE decisively broke above the key $175 level during U.S. trading hours. Trading volume spiked 295% above its hourly average, signaling strong participation from both retail and institutional traders. According to CoinDesk Research’s technical indicators, AAVE recorded an intraday range of $24.90, jumping from $164.28 and marking a 35.66% volume increase compared with its seven-day average.

Momentum indicators also pointed to a firmly bullish structure. AAVE established three consecutive higher lows before pushing above the $183.80 support zone and reaching a session high of $188.26. Repeated volume surges further reinforced positive sentiment and suggested that buyers remained in control throughout the session.

Adding to the upside pressure was Aave’s expansion to Mantle (MNT), an Ethereum layer-2 network closely linked to Bybit’s 70 million-user ecosystem. The integration aims to bring Aave’s decentralized lending markets to a broader global user base by leveraging Mantle’s low-cost infrastructure and direct connection to centralized exchange liquidity. Aave founder Stani Kulechov noted that the collaboration advances scalable, transparent on-chain finance for institutional users worldwide.

Key price levels suggest that AAVE now holds immediate support at $183.80, with resistance sitting at the psychological $190 mark. If bullish momentum continues, traders are eyeing an upside target of $190 with a possible extension toward $195. Downside risk remains limited as long as AAVE maintains support above $183.80.

This combination of technical strength, surging volume, and fundamental catalysts positions AAVE for continued attention from traders and investors as market conditions stabilize.

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The cryptocurrency has floundered since reaching an all-time high in early October, but it's not exactly clear why. Are Traders Exhibiting Symptoms of Bitcoin Derangement Syndrome? In his book “Irrational Exuberance,” published in 2000, Nobel prize-winning economist Robert Shiller put the blame of market bubbles squarely on the shoulders of overzealous investors.

The prices of Ethereum and Dogecoin have followed a similar trajectory to the Bitcoin price crash as the pioneer digital asset continues to lead the crypto market lower. The muted action from Bitcoin has led to speculations that the market is finally headed into another bear trend after rising over the last few years. In this same vein, a crypto analyst has predicted when they believe that the bear market will really start, and that the current trend could still lead to an eventual pump in the market.

Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices Could Still Pump
Crypto analyst ChainShinobi explained what is going on in the market, predicting that the trend could end up going against what investors are expecting at this time. According to the X post, while everyone is currently calling for lower prices, it could lead to another pump that culminates in the final top for the crypto market

ChainShinobi predicts what they refer to as “a face-melter”, the type of rally that no one sees coming and takes the likes of Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and Ethereum to possibly new all-time highs. However, instead of using this time to call for higher prices, the analyst believes that it is the best time for investors to actually get out of the market. This pump, which the analyst refers to as an exit window, could provide investors one final chance to actually get out of the market before another price crash.

This is “The moment to lock in massive profit while everyone else is busy blinding themselves with hopium and pushing their targets higher and higher… the same way they dragged their targets lower and lower right now,” the crypto analyst said.

The Same Wave Every Cycle
As for when the Dogecoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices could move into the next bear market, the crypto analyst tells investors not to expect it until next year. More precisely, ChainShinobi believes that the bear market will fully begin by the end of the first quarter of 2025.

When the pump comes, the analyst warns that there could be an influx of bullish sentiment, with bullish news flooding the market. But it is during this time that the market is expected to turn. Essentially, the bear market is expected to begin when investors least expect it. “It’s pretty easy to see what’s coming. You don’t need to overdo TA or PA right now to see the path laid out,” the post read.

BTC price holds above $86,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Hedera (HBAR) surged more than 10% in the past 24 hours, climbing above $0.14 as market sentiment improved and news broke that Canary Capital has introduced the first spot HBAR ETF on Vanguard’s platform. This development sparked strong investor interest, marking a major milestone for Hedera as it gains visibility within traditional finance.

The broader crypto market also rallied, rising over 7% during the same period. Bitcoin led the recovery after surpassing $90,000, driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to halt quantitative tightening (QT). The policy shift eased liquidity pressure and boosted expectations of lower interest rates, encouraging greater demand for digital assets. Ethereum remained above $3,000, while major altcoins like Solana, Cardano, and XRP posted similar gains, reinforcing overall market optimism.

Hedera benefited significantly from this bullish environment. The launch of Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF allows investors to gain exposure to HBAR through standard brokerage accounts without interacting with crypto exchanges or digital wallets. As Hedera operates on a decentralized hashgraph-based network—using HBAR for transaction fees and staking—the ETF’s debut highlights increasing institutional interest and the growing push for regulated crypto investment products.

HBAR’s price rose to $0.14384, backed by strong technical indicators. The MACD displayed a bullish crossover, with the blue MACD line moving above the signal line and green histograms forming, suggesting strengthening upward momentum. If buying pressure continues, HBAR could advance toward $0.15 or even $0.17. However, if bearish sentiment emerges, the price may retrace to around $0.13, a key support level.

As institutional adoption accelerates and market confidence returns, Hedera’s outlook remains promising, positioning HBAR for potential further gains.

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Strategy CEO Phong Lee says the company is unlikely to sell its Bitcoin holdings before 2029, pointing to a newly established $1.44 billion cash reserve designed to support dividend payments during market downturns. According to Lee, the reserve minimizes the risk of needing to liquidate Bitcoin, allowing the firm to separate short-term dividend obligations from its long-term BTC strategy.

Lee noted that the reserve currently covers about 21 months of dividend payments, with a target of more than two years of U.S.-dollar coverage. He emphasized that Strategy views Bitcoin as a long-term asset and not something to be traded based on market cycles. Much of investor focus, he added, has shifted toward market net asset value (mNAV), which compares the company’s equity valuation with the value of its Bitcoin holdings. Issuing new common equity becomes unattractive if mNAV falls below 1x, Lee explained, because doing so would no longer be accretive to shareholders.

The reserve is intended to prevent the company from having to choose between maintaining dividends and protecting Bitcoin reserves. Lee reiterated that Strategy has no interest in selling BTC or issuing equity below 1x mNAV. However, he outlined a scenario that could force a sale: a prolonged Bitcoin downturn lasting roughly three years, combined with mNAV trading below 1x for the same period. If that happened, he said, a Bitcoin sale might become necessary, with the earliest potential timing around 2029.

Lee also discussed Strategy’s Bitcoin acquisition approach, stressing that the firm buys BTC with excess capital rather than timing the market. The company expects preferred shares to play a larger role in future fundraising, describing them as more credit-like than common equity. He noted that markets may take 18 to 36 months to fully adjust to the product, similar to earlier phases of Strategy’s Bitcoin strategy.

According to Lee, the expanding dollar reserve provides the firm with flexibility to continue paying dividends without compromising its long-term Bitcoin position.

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Bitfinex Alpha reveals that selling pressure has reduced, and BTC is close to its lowest point in this cycle.

The recent market downtrend has left many bitcoin investors and market enthusiasts in confusion. This is because predictors and a few factors point to a further downtrend, while some claim that the world’s leading crypto sits at a powerful support zone.

Obviously, BTC witnessed a significant price recovery last week, jumping by about 15% to surpass $93,000. However, this move was short-lived, as it plunged by $84,000 on Monday amid heavy selling by many holders, setting the new week off to a rough start.

Deleveraging and Capitulation
Considering factors such as capitulation, deleveraging, and seller exhaustion, the latest Bitfinex Alpha release suggests bitcoin is very close to a bottom, marking its lowest point of this cycle before recovering to hit new highs.

One factor hinting at a bottom is extreme deleveraging. Undoubtedly, thousands of speculators and leverage traders have been forcibly thrown out of the market, starting with the October 10 crash that resulted in over $19 billion in liquidations.

After this flush of risky traders, the crypto market is expected to become more stable and healthier for investors and long-term holders. This also aligns with a recent prediction from Fundstrats’ Tom Lee, who noted that once the market has completed this flushing, it could hit new highs.

In addition to extreme deleveraging, short-term holder capitulation is another factor hinting at a bitcoin bottom. Many retail traders, weekend FOMO buyers, and new and nervous investors have reacted emotionally to the market dip, panic-selling their holdings in shock.

Hence, Entity-Adjusted Realised Losses have reached a peak of over $400 million, surpassing losses during previous major market lows. This rate of losses suggests that capitulation is nearing an end, and once selling pressure is no longer there, the bitcoin price stabilizes.

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Seller Exhaustion
A close look at bitcoin’s price chart over the past few days hints at seller exhaustion, as it is filled with many small candlesticks, suggesting that panic and fear have almost burned out, and selling pressure has reduced. Thus, the conclusion that bitcoin is near a bottom.

Meanwhile, some institutional investors have not let the downtrend blur their bullish expectations. This is evident in the massive four-day inflow streak on the U.S.-listed Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

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Bitcoin-linked stocks surged on Tuesday as the broader crypto market staged a sharp recovery and Bitcoin reclaimed the $91,000 level. 

Strategy was the standout mover, rising faster than both Bitcoin itself and most major tech names at times. MSTR shares climbed 8.66% at times to $186.26, lifted by heavy trading volume that exceeded 4.4 million shares.

MSTR is currently trading at $182.74.

The move slightly outpaced Bitcoin’s rebound to $91,000 and signaled renewed appetite for high-beta exposure to the digital asset through equities. 

Other crypto-adjacent stocks also advanced, including the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, which gained more than 7%, and smaller firms such as Smarter Web Company and Metaplanet Inc., which posted mid–single-digit gains. 

Capital B saw the largest percentage move of the group, trading more than 10% higher at times today.

The surge in Bitcoin equities came as institutional demand accelerated across the market. Trading desks reported strong flows into Bitcoin ETFs, a trend that has intensified as major Wall Street firms open the door to regulated crypto products.

Strategy won’t sell its Bitcoin  Strategy’s rally also followed new comments from CEO Phong Le, who spoke with Bloomberg about the company’s balance sheet strategy and long-term commitment to Bitcoin.

Le reiterated that Strategy has no plans to sell Bitcoin except as a last resort and said the company remains firmly committed to paying dividends on its preferred shares. 

He argued that maintaining the dividend helps prevent uncertainty from spreading through the company’s capital structure, adding that the goal is to pay it “in perpetuity,” even though the board retains the ability to pause payments.

Le addressed concerns about leverage, pushing back on the idea that the company is overextended. He said Strategy’s leverage ratio stands at roughly 12%, or 27% when preferred shares are included — far below levels seen in typical U.S. corporations. 

The company recently raised $1.44 billion in equity in just over a week, enough to cover nearly two years of dividend obligations. 

Le said Strategy also now holds multiple years of dividend capacity in its Bitcoin reserves, reducing the risk that it would need to liquidate holdings during market stress.

The company is building a cash reserve designed to cover two to three years of dividend payments, a buffer Le expects to maintain for at least the next five to ten years. 

He again rejected the view that Strategy should be treated like a closed-end fund or ETF, arguing that the firm is a fully operational Bitcoin-focused company with employees, products and revenue, not a passive investment vehicle. 

He said the company has begun educating MSCI and other index providers on the distinction as they review whether digital-asset treasury companies should remain in major indices.

Strategy might start lending Bitcoin Le also said MicroStrategy is evaluating opportunities to participate in Bitcoin lending once large U.S. banks fully enter the space. 

Discussions are already taking place with institutions preparing to offer custody and lending services. He emphasized that traditional banks bring the kind of scale and balance-sheet strength MicroStrategy wants in potential partners.

Bitcoin’s own rebound was decisive. The asset traded near $91,100 late Tuesday, rising 8% in 24 hours as volume approached $78 billion, one of the strongest sessions in weeks. 

The move lifted Bitcoin above its seven-day high and kept it comfortably above last week’s low near $84,000. 

The bounce came just as several major financial institutions made their most aggressive moves yet into Bitcoin investment products.

Bank of America announced that its 15,000 wealth advisers will be permitted to recommend crypto exposure for the first time. Beginning January 5, the bank will support allocations of 1% to 4% through a select group of Bitcoin ETFs, ending years of internal restrictions. 

In a separate reversal, Vanguard opened its platform to Bitcoin ETFs and crypto-linked mutual funds for the first time. 

The decision gives more than 50 million brokerage clients access to regulated Bitcoin exposure, marking a major shift for a firm that previously dismissed Bitcoin as too speculative for long-term investors.

Micah Zimmerman

Micah first discovered Bitcoin in 2018 but remained a skeptic on the sidelines for too long. Since 2021, he has covered crypto and business and now works as a news reporter for Bitcoin Magazine, based in North Carolina.

On December 1, 2025, Bitcoin's market value fell below what analysts consider its ‘fair value' for the first time in two years. This development has caught the attention of investors and market observers, with historical data suggesting potential significant gains over the next year.

Cardano (ADA) trades around $0.43 after a 15% bump, but bullish signals hint at a potential surge toward $0.50, showing renewed investor confidence, says analyst Paul Bennett.

Source: Paul Bennett
On-chain data shows Cardano gaining real momentum, entailing rising transaction volumes, growing smart contract activity, and increasing wallet engagement, all of which point to sustained accumulation.

Unlike hype-driven spikes, this surge is backed by genuine network usage, signaling a stronger, more sustainable growth trend.

Notably, derivatives markets are turning bullish, with ADA options and futures seeing rising open interest and a clear tilt toward long positions. This reflects growing confidence among both institutional and retail investors, often signaling potential upside in the spot market before broader adoption catches on.

Therefore, Bennett notes that while ADA hovers around $0.43, the real story lies beneath the surface. On-chain activity and market signals point to a strategic build-up, priming ADA for a potential surge to $0.50, a milestone likely to draw renewed attention from the broader crypto community.

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Meanwhile, Cardano may surge toward a new all-time high after key price bottom completion.

Charles Hoskinson Applauds Midnight Team for Launching NIGHT on Cardano
Charles Hoskinson, founder of IOG, congratulates the Midnight team on launching NIGHT as a Cardano-native asset, a milestone showcasing Cardano’s expanding ecosystem and support for privacy-focused blockchains.

On X, formerly Twitter, Hoskinson praised the Midnight Foundation and Shielded Technologies for successfully launching NIGHT, a privacy-focused token on Cardano. The move highlights the community’s support for innovation, enabling secure, confidential transactions and advancing privacy-first decentralized finance on the blockchain.

Therefore, the launch of NIGHT as a native Cardano asset highlights the blockchain’s versatility. Native integration delivers lower fees, faster transactions, and seamless interoperability, enabling Midnight’s privacy-focused technology to tap into Cardano’s expanding infrastructure and user base.

Well, the Midnight Foundation is set to launch NIGHT on December 8th, marking a new era for privacy tokens on Cardano. Investors and enthusiasts are eagerly watching for its potential to drive adoption and innovation across the blockchain ecosystem.

Meanwhile, as Phase 2 of the Midnight Glacier Drop concludes, experts highlight the privacy network’s boost to Cardano’s liquidity. At the same time, its recent deals and partnerships signal significant growth opportunities for the ecosystem.

Shares of American Bitcoin Corp., the mining company tied to the family of US President Donald Trump, experienced a sharp decline on Tuesday, despite a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market. 

The company faces continued challenges following a significant decrease in stock value over recent months.

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American Bitcoin Corp. Faces LossesAs crypto markets rejoiced amid Bitcoin’s recent price recovery, American Bitcoin Corp. continued to see its shares slide. 

Google Finance reports that the Bitcoin mining company’s stock has dropped 37% in the last 24 hours, priced at $2.22 at the time of writing. Over the past six months, this decline has reached almost 60%.

American Bitcoin Corp. stock performance. Source: Google Finance.The mining venture’s poor performance recently isn’t good news for the Trump family. The creation of American Bitcoin Corp. occurred a couple of months after Trump assumed office, as a spin-off from Hut 8 Corp.

Under the arrangement, Hut 8 supplied the majority of the mining infrastructure and retained an 80% stake in the project. At the same time, American Bitcoin Corp. became the platform through which Trump’s sons, Eric and Donald Trump Jr., control approximately 20%.

As a result, the mining company’s poor stock performance is directly tied to its profitability, affecting the Trump family’s financial interests.

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What is striking about today’s events is that, despite Bitcoin’s price rebound, the company’s shares saw the opposite effect, continuing their decline.

Bitcoin’s Struggles Continue Despite Price RecoveryBitcoin’s price has performed poorly over the past two months. Since peaking at $126,000 in October, its price has sharply declined. Less than two weeks ago, it fell to $82,800, the lowest since April.

Bitcoin regained its $90,000 level on Tuesday, improving market sentiment. However, this shift wasn’t enough to lift the stock price of Bitcoin-based companies like American Bitcoin Corp.

The inverted reaction suggests that a short-term price recovery alone may not suffice to improve the company’s performance. Given the broader context of the crypto industry, this conclusion is not surprising.

The uncertainty is compounded by MicroStrategy’s potential decision to sell its Bitcoin holdings if its stock remains below the value of its Bitcoin reserves. This could erode confidence in the asset.

Ethereum has underperformed more than Bitcoin, further indicating market weaknesses.

Key economic factors also fuel the volatility. The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy have particularly added further uncertainty. 

Ripple has received approval from Singapore’s central bank to expand the scope of its payment activities in the region under its Major Payment Institution license held by its Singapore subsidiary, Ripple Markets APAC.

Ripple Secures Major Regulatory Victory In Singapore
According to a Monday announcement, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) greenlighted an expanded scope for Ripple’s Major Payment Institution (MPI) license, a high-level license held by only a few crypto firms worldwide.

This expansion allows the blockchain payments firm to widen the reach of its regulated cross-border payments offerings in one of its key global hubs, including via the XRP cryptocurrency and Ripple’s own dollar-pegged stablecoin, RLUSD.

Ripple Payments’ system utilizes RLUSD and XRP for international transactions. The service was designed to serve as an on-ramp and off-ramp supporting collection, holding, swapping, and payouts for banks and fintechs.

Monica Long, Ripple’s President, said in a statement that the company deeply values “Singapore’s forward-thinking approach,” and the “expanded license strengthens our ability to continue investing in Singapore and to build the infrastructure financial institutions need to move money efficiently, quickly, and safely.”

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Asia Pacific Pivotal To Ripple’s Global Business
As Ripple notes, Singapore has one of the most advanced digital-asset regulators in the world. 

Ripple has been operating in the region since 2017. The San Francisco-based firm was approved for its MPI license in 2023, which permitted it to provide regulated digital payment services in Singapore. This came even when Ripple was embroiled in a high-profile lawsuit back home with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

With this expanded scope of payment activities in Singapore, Ripple can now fortify its foothold in the Asia-Pacific region, which is poised to become the fastest-growing digital-asset market. 

According to Ripple’s Vice President and Managing Director in the Asia Pacific, Fiona Murray, the region has been experiencing massive growth, with on-chain activity up a staggering 70% year-over-year, and Singapore sitting “at the center of that growth.”

The key pivot point for historic Binance Coin bull runs is approaching yet again – BNB price predictions now face explosive reversal.

The launch of several spot XRP ETFs has opened a new chapter in the market, and it is already stirring debate about how supply and demand may shift over time.

Some analysts say the industry is only beginning to grasp how institutional inflows could reshape XRP’s structure, especially if momentum builds at the pace seen in other major assets.

This discussion has intensified since the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, which have created a direct bridge for traditional investors seeking exposure without the responsibility of custody.

That moment marked a turning point for regulated crypto products, and institutions have steadily expanded their participation ever since.

Attention is now turning toward XRP. With new spot funds entering the market, analysts say the asset may be poised for similar traction. 

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Early inflow numbers suggest interest is stronger than many anticipated, and some observers believe this trend could accelerate as investors look for diversification beyond Bitcoin.

The Long-Term Roadmap to a 100x Scenario
Market analyst Chad Steingraber shared a detailed model outlining what could happen if XRP ETFs experience strong daily inflows.

He explained that his projection uses an average estimate of about $90 million entering each fund every day, a level he believes could reshape the market far faster than many expect.

Then, stronger institutional participation could add a second wave of demand. Finally, long-term global settlement use cases could provide the foundation for sustained valuation growth.

He acknowledged that markets rarely move through such phases cleanly and that many variables must align for such an outcome. His calculations point to a scenario where sustained ETF buying could drive XRP toward a 100x increase.

He estimated a long-term target near $220 per token and emphasized that this projection is based on the strength of regulated institutional demand. He also noted that normal market activity could accelerate the move further during periods of higher liquidity.

Steingraber cautioned that sustained demand at this level could start to stretch the available public supply. He explained that if ETFs continue accumulating at the same pace, they could absorb most of the circulating float in less than a year.

However, he also noted that this scenario assumes prices remain relatively stable, which he described as “unlikely” under such intense pressure.

According to his model, sharp price increases would be the most natural response as supply dries up and investors compete for fewer available tokens.

What Should Investors Watch Next?
For now, the focus remains on several key indicators: exchange reserves, liquidity inflows, institutional activity, and how the price behaves at significant levels of resistance. These factors may offer the earliest clues about whether an actual supply shock is materializing.

XRP/USDT Chart|Source: TradingView
While no one can guarantee the dramatic outcome the analyst described, the data he highlighted has sparked a fresh wave of discussion.

The coming new year may reveal whether XRP is indeed setting the stage for a structural shift that could redefine its place in the market.