Market Signal Briefing

Current market conditions will make it difficult for Bitcoin to replicate its early 2025 price gains going into 2026, says 21Shares co-founder Ophelia Snyder.

“It’s unlikely that the factors driving the current volatility will fully resolve in the short term,” Snyder told Cointelegraph.

“A repeat performance next January will depend heavily on broader market sentiment.”

Snyder explained that January often sees “renewed inflows” into Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds as investors rebalance and reposition portfolios at the start of the year.

Downtrend isn’t “anything crypto specific”Snyder said it is unclear how Bitcoin will perform in January, given the current low level of positive market sentiment.

Bitcoin reached a then-peak of $109,000 on Jan. 9, just one day before Donald Trump was set to be inaugurated, as traders bet his proposed plans for the crypto sector would spark a rally.

Bitcoin is trading at $92,150 at the time of publication. Source: CoinMarketCapBitcoin climbed to its current high of $125,100 on Oct. 5, but it soon entered a downtrend, following the $19 billion crypto market liquidation event on Oct. 10. 

The event prompted many market participants to adopt a cautious short-term price outlook after initially holding more optimistic year-end price expectations.

Bitcoin is trading at $92,150 at the time of publication, down almost 10% over the past 30 days, according to CoinMarketCap.

However, the current environment has Snyder feeling more optimistic about the long term.

“I am feeling more bullish as I see this most recent correction as a response to a general risk-off sentiment to broader market conditions, rather than anything crypto specific,” she said.

Catalysts ahead for upside and downsideSnyder said that several factors could push Bitcoin to further outperform, including the expansion of crypto ETFs on major platforms, increased government adoption and rising demand for stores of value beyond gold.

She said potential catalysts that could see Bitcoin underperform include risk-off sentiment across broader financial markets and continued strength in gold, which could make Bitcoin less appealing to traditional investors.

However, other industry executives are more optimistic about history repeating itself. 

BitMine chair Tom Lee recently said that Bitcoin will reach a new high before the end of January 2026.

Since 2013, Bitcoin has averaged a return of 3.81% during the month of January, according to CoinGlass.

Magazine:Indian investors look beyond Bitcoin, Japan to soften crypto tax: Asia Express

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana traders brace for today’s over $4 billion in crypto options expiry. Traders anticipate short-term volatility in the broader crypto market. The event could cause the market cap to drop below $3 trillion once again ahead of next week’s FOMC rate decision.

BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL prices slip amid $270 million in crypto liquidations. In addition, 10-year US Treasury yields, Japan’s long-term government bonds, and gold prices are rising again, increasing selling pressure on Bitcoin price.

$3.4 Billion Bitcoin Options Expiry
According to Deribit data, more than 36K BTC options with a notional value of $3.5 billion expire on December 5, with a put-call ratio of 0.92. In the last 24 hours, call volume remains higher than put volume with a put-call ratio of 0.76. It indicates a neutral stance among traders.

Moreover, max pain price is at $91,000, lower than the current Bitcoin price of $92,261. This shows a high odds of a pullback, with traders adjusting their positions in readiness for intense volatility ahead of “triple witching” options expiry later this month.

However, Deribit delta data shows a high probability of expiring above $91,000 strike price. BTC ATM implied volatility is noted as falling ahead of options expiry.

Bitcoin Options Open Interest. Source: Deribit
Glassnode said, “At $93K, price remains highly sensitive to macro shocks until the market can reclaim the 0.75 quantile ($95.8K) and then the 0.85 quantile (~$106.2K).”

Ethereum Options with $667 Million in Notional Value to Expire
Over 210K ETH options with a notional value of $667 million are set to expire. The put-call ratio is 0.78. However, put volume has exceeded call volumes over the last 24 hours, with a put-call ratio of 1.42, which is extremely bearish.

Also, the max pain point is at $3,050, above the current market price. Notably, the call bets are higher at the strike price, indicating lower chances of massive selling pressure. Traders expect ETH price to hold above $3,100 after this week’s options expiry.

Ethereum Options Open Interest. Source: Deribit
Ethereum fell slightly in the past 24 hours, with the price trading at $3,165. The 24-hour low and high are $3,071 and $3,223, respectively. Also, trading volume has dropped by 20%.

XRP and Solana (SOL) Max Pain Price
XRP options of notional value $5.94 million to expire, with a put-call ratio of 0.72. The max pain price is at $2.15, indicating the key level to watch as the crypto asset remains under pressure amid selloffs by whales and Ripple.

XRP price fell 4% to $2.08, dropping below the max pain price despite continuous inflows into spot exchange-traded funds. It saw intraday lows of $2.07 and highs of $2.18.

XRP Max Pain Price. Source: Deribit
Meanwhile, $12.54 million in Solana options will expire today, with a put-call ratio of 0.76. The max pain price is at $132, lower than the current market price. Traders could trigger a selloff towards $132 as puts are higher than calls at the key strike price.

SOL price is trading almost 4% down in the last 24 hours, with a 24-hour low and high of $138.07 and $144.22, respectively. Trading volume has also plunged 23% over the last 24 hours, indicating a lack of interest ahead of the key FOMC meeting.

SOL Max Pain Price. Source: Deribit
Also Read: Best Crypto Loan Platforms To Take Out Crypto Loans In 2025

Is this luck, strategy, or something bigger unfolding at American Bitcoin?

December 5, 2025 06:01:24 UTC XRP Scores Historic Win with First CFTC-Regulated U.S. Spot Listing XRP just secured its biggest regulatory breakthrough yet. Bitnomial has launched the first CFTC-regulated spot crypto exchange in the U.S., and XRP is listed from day one. This allows XRP to trade spot, futures, perps, and options under federal oversight.

TLDR:

Aster plans L1 blockchain launch in Q1 2026 with developer toolkit and fiat gateway integration
Privacy trading via Shield Mode and TWAP orders set for early December rollout on the platform
Token staking and governance features will give ASTER holders rewards and voting rights in Q2 2026
Platform merged two protocols in 2025 while adding mobile app and listings on major exchanges

Aster released its first-half 2026 roadmap as the project closes a busy year of feature launches and platform consolidation. 

The team said 2025 focused on proving execution after merging Astherus with ApolloX and rolling out major trading upgrades. The new phase shifts toward building a network designed to grow with its users. The roadmap outlines feature releases across infrastructure, token utility, and community expansion.

Aster Roadmap Introduces Major Upgrades for Early 2026
Aster detailed several immediate updates for December 2025, according to posts shared through its social channels. Shield Mode arrives in early December with private high-leverage trading, followed by TWAP strategy orders aimed at improving pricing. 

The team also confirmed an upgrade to its stock perpetual markets with deeper liquidity and broader asset coverage. These updates set the stage for the Aster Chain testnet rollout at the end of December.

The roadmap expands further into the first quarter of 2026 as Aster prepares to launch its L1 chain. The team said Aster Chain will open alongside Aster Code, a toolkit for builders integrating with the network. 

A fiat on-ramp and off-ramp will also go live through external providers as part of the same release window. Aster described these features as part of a cycle connecting technology, value, and community participation.

Aster highlighted continued UI improvements as an ongoing development focus. 

The project aims to refine trading flow and interface clarity while adding new features. These adjustments follow previous updates such as Hedge Mode, the mobile app release, and the platform’s buyback program. 

Aster said these earlier improvements helped shape the foundation for its next phase.

The team described 2025 as a year that proved its ability to deliver across its roadmap. According to the project, each update strengthens the broader ecosystem while helping users access more integrated tools. 

The coming releases continue this trend with a shift toward network-driven growth. Aster reiterated that it is not building a traditional trading venue but an expanding environment for users and builders.

🗺️ 2026 H1 Roadmap Reveal: What's Next for Aster

2025 was about proving Aster can ship: we merged Astherus & ApolloX, launched multi-asset margin, released our mobile app, completed TGE, listed on major CEXs, and introduced features like Hedge Mode, Trade & Earn, and our buyback… pic.twitter.com/It8ZAigvKc

— Aster (@Aster_DEX) December 4, 2025

Token Utility And Governance Set For Mid-2026
Aster’s roadmap includes new token-based features scheduled for the second quarter of 2026. 

Staking will open for ASTER holders, allowing users to earn rewards through locked participation. The project also plans to release on-chain governance, giving users a role in directing platform development. Both updates strengthen token utility within the network.

The roadmap introduces Aster Smart Money as an additional mid-year feature.

Users will be able to follow leading traders or share live strategies from within the platform. The project positions this tool as a way to link community insights with new trading behavior. 

These updates build on Aster’s stated goal of connecting infrastructure, utility, and collaboration in a continuous cycle.

According to Aster, each part of the roadmap supports the broader transition into a more connected network. The team said the next phase aims to create an environment where builders, traders, and token holders can grow together. 

The project expects the chain development, governance, and trading tools to define its progress through 2026. Aster will continue refining its roadmap as features move toward deployment.

XRP fell to $2.08, down 4% in 24 hours, even though the broader Ripple ecosystem is posting some of its strongest institutional numbers in years. The drop comes at a time when traders are dealing with a mix of market mechanics, macro pressure, and technical weakness, all pulling the price lower.

AlphaTON is preparing for another expansion phase after securing new freedom to raise capital in the U.S. markets.

Summary

AlphaTON filed a $420.69M shelf registration after clearing SEC limits.
Funds will support AI infrastructure, GPU expansion, and Telegram ecosystem acquisitions.
The move strengthens the company’s position as a key TON and Cocoon AI infrastructure provider.

AlphaTON Capital has taken another step in its shift toward TON and Telegram’s AI ecosystem, filing a $420.69 million shelf registration after clearing hurdles that previously restricted its ability to raise capital.

According to a Dec. 4 press release, the company has exited the SEC’s “baby shelf rules,” which apply to issuers with a public float below $75 million. Those rules had capped the company’s fundraising ability, limiting how much it could issue in any 12-month period.

AlphaTON outlines flexible financing plans for AI, HPC, and TON growth
Now, with its float above the threshold, AlphaTON has filed a shelf registration that allows it to issue up to $420.69 million in securities as needed. The company says the filing will support its next phase of expansion. This includes scaling GPU infrastructure for Telegram’s Cocoon AI network and acquiring revenue-generating startups inside the Telegram and TON ecosystem.

Once the shelf becomes effective, AlphaTON can sell common shares, preferred shares, debt, warrants, or mixed units across multiple offerings, giving it room to match fundraising with market conditions.

Chief executive officer Brittany Kaiser said the shift opens the door for AlphaTON to “move quickly and decisively on transformational opportunities,” noting rising demand for GPU compute across Cocoon AI. The company plans to extend its existing deployments of Nvidia B200 GPUs and expand work with partners like CUDO Compute and AtNorth.

TON accumulation and Telegram ecosystem strategy
AlphaTON’s plan also includes a pipeline of acquisitions targeted at Telegram-native businesses. These include firms working on payments, blockchain-enabled services, content platforms, fintech tools, and gaming. The company says these units already generate cash flow and fit its push to build a portfolio of businesses tied directly to Telegram’s 1 billion monthly active users.

Alongside its M&A roadmap, AlphaTON intends to keep growing its digital asset treasury. The company holds TON and several related ecosystem tokens, such as GAMEE, and runs validator and staking operations to earn ongoing yield. Since it rebranded from Portage Biotech in September 2025, this approach has been a key part of its new direction.

AlphaTON’s recent moves suggest it’s entering an aggressive expansion phase. In November, it deployed its first fleet of Nvidia B200 GPUs for Cocoon AI and announced plans to start accumulating Telegram-linked bonds. Later, it launched a $15.3 million at-the-market equity program and secured $82.5 million dedicated to GPU infrastructure.

With the new $420 million shelf, AlphaTON now has far more room to finance these initiatives. The filing arrives during a period of rising interest in decentralized AI compute and a rapid buildout of services across TON, positioning the company to scale both infrastructure and ecosystem ownership.

In brief
Investors are buying gold and silver as a hedge against fears of monetary debasement, macro uncertainty, and a potential misstep by the Fed.
While U.S. equities are in a "late-cycle melt-up," Bitcoin is in a "mid-cycle repair" following the October 10 liquidation event.
Bitcoin has stabilized around the true market mean, a key on-chain level that typically marks the boundary between a correction and a deeper bear market.
Gold and silver continue to outstrip Bitcoin’s yearly performance, with traders betting on further uncertainty ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on December 10.

Silver and gold have returned an eye-watering 86% and 60%, respectively, according to data from Trading Economics. Bitcoin, meanwhile, has fallen into negative territory, at -1.2%, Yahoo Finance data shows.

A convergence of monetary debasement fears, macro uncertainty, and confused signals from the central bank is helping to push precious metals higher, Ryan McMillin, chief investment officer at Merkle Tree Capital, told Decrypt. 

Investors are positioning for a potential Fed “policy error,” the analyst noted, a scenario where the central bank begins cutting rates while inflation remains stubbornly above its 2% target.

That specific fear centers on the risk of sticky inflation, McMillin noted, with key indicators like Core PCE—a measure of changes in the prices of goods and services—trending back toward 3% annually, particularly in services and housing.

The defensive rotation into hard assets has created a stark three-way divergence. 

While metals surge, traditional risk-on equities have also rallied on their own merits. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 are up 21% and 16% year-to-date, respectively, while Bitcoin lags.

“Equities have been grinding higher in a very conventional way—earnings growth, buybacks, and an AI-driven capex story,” McMillin said. 

Bitcoin, on the other hand, is nursing the October liquidation shock and the subsequent de-leveraging, ending its sustained uptrend following the ETF launch.

The result, he said, is that the S&P is experiencing a “late-cycle melt-up” while Bitcoin is in a phase of “mid-cycle repair.”

On-chain data also paints a more nuanced picture.

The total supply in loss has ticked up, signaling capitulation among short-term holders—a classic feature of a mid-cycle reset rather than a bear market, experts previously told Decrypt.

Though Bitcoin has dropped over 26% from its $126,080 record high, it has since stabilized around the true market mean, which is the cost basis of all non-dormant coins, excluding miners, according to Glassnode’s Thursday report.

The true market mean is the dividing line between a mild bearish phase and deeper bearish territory, according to general market theory.

Despite the current underperformance, McMillin expects Bitcoin’s disconnect to metals and U.S. equities to be temporary, forecasting that dynamic to eventually follow global liquidity and equity markets higher once its order books recover.

Bitcoin's high sensitivity to macro shocks is likely to remain unless it can reclaim the 0.85 quantile, or roughly $106,200, Glassnode analysts wrote in their report.

The top crypto is down 1.3% over 24 hours and has been stuck in the $94,000 to $82,000 range for over two weeks, according to CoinGecko data.

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According to on-chain monitors, a wallet linked to TRON founder Justin Sun pulled 100 million TRX from Binance on December 3, 2025. Reports say the same address also moved $5 million USDT around the same time. These large transfers were flagged publicly by Onchain Lens and picked up by multiple crypto news outlets.

Transaction Values And Timing
Onchain tracking shows the 100 million TRX was worth close to $28 million at the time of the move. The USDT transfer of $5 million happened within a minute of the TRX withdrawal, which has led observers to call the action coordinated rather than routine.

Based on reports, the close timing and mixed asset types — token plus stablecoin — drew extra attention from traders and on-chain sleuths.

Data also shows the Justin Sun-linked wallet now holds a much larger TRX balance than just this single transfer. Tracking services report the address sits at about 492 million TRX, a holding with a notional value near $138 million based on market rates at the time. That swelling balance has prompted talk that accumulation of TRX has been steady in recent days.

A wallet linked to Justin Sun (@justinsuntron) withdrew 100M $TRX worth $27.96M from #Binance and also withdrew $5M $USDT.https://t.co/4d2utqwsv0 pic.twitter.com/k40pMUj15d

— Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens) December 3, 2025

Market Reaction And Liquidity
Initial market moves were muted. Some exchange data and commentaries noted a mild uptick in TRX price after the news, suggesting traders saw the outflow as removing sell pressure from exchange order books.

Analysts who track exchange liquidity say large withdrawals like this can shrink available sell-side supply and can support price stability if demand holds. Still, any clear price trend will depend on what happens next with the withdrawn tokens.

TRXUSDT now trading at $0.28. Chart: TradingView
No Official Word Yet
There has been no public statement from Justin Sun or TRON explaining the transfers. Without confirmation, motives remain speculative. Observers are weighing a few common possibilities: long-term cold storage, staking or protocol use, or internal treasury moves. All of those ideas are possible, but none are confirmed by the team.

What Could Happen Next
If the tokens stay offline, some traders may view the move as bullish since it cuts the floating supply held on big exchanges. If the funds are later sold or used to provide liquidity, the effect could swing the other way.

Reports point out that similar moves by major holders have sometimes been followed by quiet accumulation and other times by large transfers into trading venues — timing and intent matter.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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Christian, a journalist and editor with leadership roles in Philippine and Canadian media, is fueled by his love for writing and cryptocurrency. Off-screen, he's a cook and cinephile who's constantly intrigued by the size of the universe.

The anticipated dovish Federal policy saw the Coinbase Premium Index turn positive on 28 November.

TLDR:

KRW1 expands to Polygon as BDACS targets faster, cheaper, and widely accessible stablecoin transactions.
The KRW-backed stablecoin uses commercial bank deposits to support fully collateralized issuance.
Polygon’s network integrations position KRW1 for broader use across payments and corporate systems.
BDACS plans a multi-chain approach to increase KRW1 liquidity and accessibility across Web3.

KRW1 has entered the Polygon network as BDACS accelerates its multi-chain stablecoin strategy. The Korean Won-backed asset is now live after a completed proof-of-concept showing end-to-end performance. 

The rollout puts KRW1 inside one of the most used Web3 ecosystems. It also signals BDACS’ broader plan to expand stablecoin utility across enterprise and consumer markets.

KRW1 Stablecoin Expands to Polygon Ecosystem
BDACS confirmed the deployment through its official channels, stating that KRW1 now operates on Polygon after tests showing secure fiat deposits, issuance, and on-chain tracking. 

The company described KRW1 as fully backed by Korean Won held in leading commercial banks, ensuring one-to-one coverage at all times. This positioning gives KRW1 a regulated framework within South Korea’s financial environment.

Polygon was selected due to its speed, low transaction costs, and integration depth across wallets and exchanges. 

BDACS noted that this infrastructure supports KRW1’s move into a wider Web3 environment where users require fast settlement. The network’s footprint in payments and tokenized assets also aligns with KRW1’s planned expansion.

Polygon continues to strengthen its role in stablecoin and on-chain finance. 

Source materials referenced active collaborations with Stripe, Circle, and Mastercard, anchoring Polygon into global payment flows. These developments position the chain as an ideal environment for assets like KRW1 to scale.

KRW1’s launch on Polygon follows Bidax’s strategy to build a foundation for multi-chain interoperability. 

The company expects the move to broaden access for businesses and developers seeking a trusted currency for remittances and corporate operations. Its stated goal is to support Web3 innovation through seamless stablecoin utility across networks.

🫱🏼‍🫲🏼@BDACS x @0xPolygonEco – BDACS Expands KRW1 to the Polygon Ecosystem

We are excited to expand KRW1 to the Polygon ecosystem.

BDACS has deployed its KRW-backed, regulatory-first stablecoin KRW1 on the Polygon blockchain — following a successful PoC proving full end-to-end… pic.twitter.com/RNo9XkJuw6

— BDACS (@BDACSKorea) December 4, 2025

BDACS Positions KRW1 for Enterprise and Global Use
According to the release, the expansion aims to increase accessibility for users who require predictable, low-cost transactions. 

The firm highlighted opportunities across payments and remittances, two areas where high speed and stable value are essential. KRW1’s broader reach could help companies streamline cross-border processes inside a regulated framework.

Polygon’s emphasis on institutional-grade performance supports KRW1’s integration. 

Contracts, settlement tools, and network reliability have been central to Polygon’s approach in the stablecoin space. BDACS signaled that these capabilities will help KRW1 reach both regional and global markets.

The company also pointed to rising enterprise interest in tokenized fiat and on-chain workflows. 

With KRW1 on Polygon, firms can build systems that rely on stable and transparent value movement. This supports the wider Web3 shift toward operational efficiency and real-time financial interactions.

BDACS stated that KRW1’s multi-chain strategy ensures liquidity and usability across ecosystems. It framed the Polygon deployment as a step toward supporting institutional-grade services. 

The project expects increased demand as companies integrate stablecoins into product pipelines and settlement flows.

According to analytics platform Santiment, XRP is behaving differently compared to Bitcoin in terms of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). 

😨 XRP (-31% in the past 2 months), unlike Bitcoin, is seeing the most fear, uncertainty, & doubt (FUD) since October, according to our social data.

🔴 Circles indicate days where there are abnormally higher BULLISH comments compared to BEARISH comments, about XRP (Greed Zone)… https://t.co/lJNW8zlRwK pic.twitter.com/ZoFmwrtw3h

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) December 4, 2025 Over the past two months, XRP has lost about 31% of its value, and social data shows that the current level of negative sentiment is the highest since October.

HOT Stories

The silver lining On the chart Santiment provides, they use colored circles to show extreme sentiment days. Red circles appear when there are significantly more bullish comments than bearish ones, which they call the "greed zone." 

Green circles appear when bearish comments far outnumber bullish ones, called the "fear zone." 

The last time XRP experienced similar levels of fear on November 21st, its price quickly surged by 22% over the next three days before optimism returned and the rally stopped.

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Santiment implies that the current conditions are somewhat similar to that previous scenario. This could potentially bode well for 

ETF hype has fizzled XRP has underperformed relative to expectations built on ETF hype. 

Despite multiple spot XRP ETFs launching since mid-November from issuers of the likes of Canary Capital, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Grayscale, and 21Shares, the price has not managed to pull off a major breakout. Their launches were not even sell-the-news events because there were no preceding rallies. 

However, as reported by U.Today, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently rejected the idea that the ETF market is overhyped. He pointed to robust inflows that have already surpassed $700 million. This, according to Garlinghouse, shows that there is pent-up demand from institutional investors and those investors who want access to the token without having to deal with custody. 

TLDR:

Base-Solana Bridge launch adds native Solana asset support for users across multiple Base applications.
Chainlink CCIP provides verified cross-chain messaging to secure all Base-Solana asset transfers.
Developers can now integrate SOL and SPL tokens directly into Base applications without extra tools.
The new bridge enables two-way liquidity flow between Base and Solana for broader market access.

The Base network has activated its new bridge to Solana, marking a major step in its plan to connect broader onchain ecosystems.

The launch introduces native support for Solana assets on Base, giving users a faster path to cross-chain trading. It also brings new liquidity options to developers building applications on Base. 

According to Base, the bridge is live on mainnet and rolling out across several integrated apps.

Base-Solana Bridge Expands Cross-Chain Access
According to Base’s announcement, the new bridge supports the movement of assets between both chains without added friction. The rollout enables users to trade SOL, CHILLHOUSE, TRENCHER, and other Solana tokens directly inside Base applications. 

Apps such as Zora, Aerodrome, Virtuals, Flaunch, and Relay are among the first to support the feature, giving the launch immediate distribution across the ecosystem.

Chainlink’s CCIP secures the connection and verifies all cross-chain messages through its oracle network. Base noted that Coinbase and Chainlink node operators independently verify transfers, maintaining reliability for users moving assets. 

This verification system supports Base’s ongoing goal of operating as an open, connected layer for global onchain activity.

The bridge allows anyone to deposit SOL into Base applications and access new trading and liquidity paths. Base developers can now integrate Solana assets natively in their products, widening the potential user pool for cross-chain features. 

According to Base’s blog, the bridge is fully open-source on GitHub, giving developers immediate access to documentation and integration tools.

The rollout also expands Solana’s reach, allowing any Base asset to move into the Solana ecosystem. This creates a two-way flow for tokens, enabling broader participation across both communities. 

Base stated that this launch is part of its broader push to support an “everything economy” where assets move freely between networks.

Chainlink CCIP Anchors the New Interoperability Layer
The Chainlink-secured bridge provides Base with a verified connection designed to handle token transfers at internet speed. The custom oracle setup monitors all transactions and ensures messages deliver safely between networks.

Base emphasized that the independent verification process reduces risk for anyone trading or transferring assets.

Users now gain direct access to Solana markets without leaving the Base environment, widening options for traders who prefer centralized liquidity hubs. Builders creating new experiences on Base can support SPL tokens without additional bridging tools. 

According to the Chainlink announcement, this move creates unified liquidity across both chains.

The bridge also aligns with Base’s focus on interoperability, which it describes as essential for a global digital economy. The network aims to make it simple for users to move assets, find new applications, and discover value wherever it exists. 

With Solana as its first major expansion point, Base expects broader integrations ahead.

Developers can access the mainnet-ready codebase today. Base noted that integration is open for any team seeking to build cross-chain experiences. The bridge launch signals a step toward a more connected multi-chain market.

TLDR

MicroStrategy’s enterprise-value-to-bitcoin-holdings ratio is key to Bitcoin’s price stability in the near term.
Analysts predict Bitcoin’s price will stabilize if MicroStrategy avoids selling its Bitcoin holdings.
Declining Bitcoin mining hashrate and high-cost miners are contributing to Bitcoin’s price pressure.
JPMorgan sees MicroStrategy’s $1.44 billion reserve reducing the likelihood of forced Bitcoin sales.
MSCI’s decision on MicroStrategy’s inclusion in indices could impact both the company’s stock and Bitcoin’s price.

JPMorgan analysts have highlighted the importance of MicroStrategy’s strategy in determining Bitcoin’s price direction. According to their latest report, the company’s ability to maintain its enterprise-value-to-bitcoin-holdings ratio above 1 is crucial for the near-term outlook of the cryptocurrency. While Bitcoin miners face challenges, the analysts suggest that MicroStrategy’s actions will have a more significant impact on Bitcoin’s price.

Strategy’s Role in Bitcoin’s Price Trajectory
According to a post on X by Crypto Town Hall, JPMorgan emphasized that MicroStrategy’s enterprise-value-to-bitcoin-holdings ratio remains above 1, signaling that the company is unlikely to sell Bitcoin in the near future. Analysts believe this is important because selling Bitcoin could put downward pressure on its price. “If this ratio stays above 1.0 and MicroStrategy avoids selling bitcoins, markets will likely be reassured,” they wrote.

MicroStrategy’s decision not to sell Bitcoin will likely help stabilize the market. The company’s actions could signal to investors that there is no urgent need to liquidate its Bitcoin holdings. The analysts pointed out that the firm’s current Bitcoin holdings surpass 650,000 BTC, further reinforcing its long-term commitment.

Furthermore, JPMorgan noted that MicroStrategy recently created a $1.44 billion U.S. dollar reserve. This reserve can cover dividend and interest payments for up to two years, reducing the likelihood of forced Bitcoin sales. This financial buffer adds a layer of stability to Bitcoin’s near-term outlook, according to JPMorgan.

Bitcoin Price Under Pressure from Mining Challenges
JPMorgan analysts also addressed the decline in Bitcoin’s hashrate and mining difficulty, which has put downward pressure on the cryptocurrency’s price. The analysts attributed this decline to the Chinese government reiterating its ban on Bitcoin mining and high-cost miners retreating. As a result, certain miners have been forced to sell Bitcoin due to reduced profitability.

Bitcoin’s production cost has decreased slightly from $94,000 to $90,000 per BTC. Despite this, Bitcoin’s price has remained below this production cost, causing additional sell pressure. “As profits get squeezed amid elevated electricity costs and lower Bitcoin prices, certain high-cost miners have been forced to sell bitcoins,” the analysts said.

This situation highlights the challenges faced by miners, but JPMorgan pointed out that miner activity is not the main driver of Bitcoin’s price in the near term. Instead, they stressed that the market is primarily focused on MicroStrategy’s financial strategy and its ability to avoid forced Bitcoin sales.

MSCI’s Decision on MicroStrategy Could Affect Market Sentiment
The analysts also discussed the potential impact of MSCI’s decision on whether to remove MicroStrategy from its equity indices. JPMorgan suggested that the market has already priced in the possibility of exclusion, with MicroStrategy’s stock price falling 40% since MSCI’s consultation was announced. This decline indicates that the potential impact of MSCI’s decision may be limited.

In the event that MSCI decides to keep MicroStrategy in its indices, both the company and Bitcoin are likely to experience a rebound. A positive decision could restore market confidence, particularly after what analysts described as “the largest crypto liquidation event in history” in October. Investors will closely watch for the MSCI’s final decision on January 15.

JPMorgan also noted that Bitcoin’s production cost has historically acted as a support level for the cryptocurrency. If Bitcoin’s price remains below its production cost for an extended period, miners may face further pressure, potentially lowering production costs further. However, JPMorgan maintained its long-term positive outlook for Bitcoin, estimating a theoretical price of around $170,000 within the next 6-12 months.

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A new report has revealed that a total of $732 billion in capital has flowed into Bitcoin this cycle, more than all other cycles combined.

Bitcoin Has Seen Historic Growth In Realized Cap This Cycle
On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has released its Q4 2025 Digital Assets Report in collaboration with crypto investment firm Fasanara Digital, shedding light on how the market landscape has developed in the fourth quarter of 2025.

One of the things the report has talked about is the trend in the Realized Cap of Bitcoin. This capitalization model calculates the total value of the cryptocurrency by assuming the the value of each individual token is equal to the price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain.

The last transaction of any token is likely to represent the last time it changed hands, so the price at its time could be considered as its current cost basis. As such, the Realized Cap is a sum of the acquisition values of all coins in circulation. In other words, the model represents the total amount of capital that the investors used to purchase the asset’s supply. Considering this, changes in the indicator naturally correspond to the netflow of capital.

Below is a chart that shows how the Bitcoin Realized Cap has fluctuated over the last few years.

Looks like the value of the indicator has been exploring new highs since a while now | Source: Glassnode x Fasanara Digital Assets Report
As displayed in the graph, the monthly change in the Bitcoin Realized Cap has remained positive over the last couple of years, indicating that the network has been enjoying a sustained expansion in stored capital.

The rate of inflows has varied a lot over the cycle, however, accelerating to high levels during rallies and slowing down during flat or bearish periods. Most recently, the monthly increase in the metric hit a high of $39.8 billion in October, but the bearish momentum since then has meant a cooldown to $15 billion.

Following the continued rise in the Realized Cap, its value has reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $1.1 trillion. The report noted that this marks “a historic milestone that underscores Bitcoin’s continued evolution as a globally held, high-liquidity asset.”

The Realized Cap has clearly witnessed a significant amount of growth this cycle. But how does it stack up against the capital inflows of the past cycles? Here is another chart, this one comparing the cumulative Realized Cap change for each cycle:

The current cycle seems to have significantly outpaced the others | Source: Glassnode x Fasanara Digital Assets Report
In total, the current cycle has attracted over $732 billion in capital. The last cycle saw $388 billion in inflows, and the two cycles before that about $90 billion combined. Thus, the latest cycle has not only outpaced each of the past cycles, but it has in fact seen a higher Realized Cap increase than all of them combined.

BTC Price
Bitcoin’s latest recovery has so far been holding as its price is trading around $92,800.

The trend in the price of the coin over the last five days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView
Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Keshav is a Physics graduate who has been employed as a writer with Bitcoinist since June 2021. He is passionate about writing and through the years, he has gained experience working in a variety of niches.
Keshav holds an active interest in the cryptocurrency market, with on-chain analysis being an area he particularly likes to research and write about.

Reports have disclosed that Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse told a Binance-hosted panel he expects Bitcoin to reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026.

Bank Moves Could Be The Spark
According to market coverage, Bitcoin tumbled about $5,000 in roughly three hours during early December, wiping more than $200 billion from the broader crypto market and triggering nearly $700 million in liquidations. That sudden drop has been linked to moves in traditional markets, not a single crypto event.

Some analysts point to a change in Japan’s bond market that is pressuring the long-running yen carry trade. Reports say the Bank of Japan’s policy path is now in focus, with a key decision due in mid-December that could move global risk appetite and the yen.

Whales Bought While Prices Fell
On-chain trackers show large investors added to holdings during the drop. According to on-chain data aggregators, accumulator addresses picked up about 375,000 BTC over recent weeks. That figure, if measured the way those firms define “whales,” suggests big players were buying into weakness.

Miners Also Cut Back Sales
Based on market commentary, miner selling has slowed sharply. One widely cited dataset shows miner outflows fell from roughly 23,000 BTC per month to about 3,672 BTC in the most recent window. That drop in miner supply was flagged as a possible tailwind for price if it persists.

ETF Money Flows And Model Targets
Reports have also tracked ETF movements, noting several billion dollars left Bitcoin ETFs in November, and that flows remain a key short-term force for price direction. Meanwhile, major banks have published valuation work that places fair-value scenarios well above current levels — for example, JPMorgan analysts have argued a model-based target near $170,000 under certain assumptions.

BTCUSD currently trading at $92,338. Chart: TradingView
How Realistic Is A $180,000 Outcome?
Putting these pieces together, hitting $180,000 by the end of 2026 is possible in a bullish scenario where institutional demand resumes, whale buying continues, miner selling stays low, and central-bank moves help risk appetite.

But it would require sizeable, sustained inflows and a benign macro backdrop across many months — not just a one-off rally. Garlinghouse remains optimistic about his forecast.

Signals To Watch Next
Bank of Japan guidance in mid-December could influence Bitcoin’s next move. Daily ETF flows and open interest have shown significant shifts recently. On-chain data indicates that accumulators added around 375,000 BTC while miner selling dropped sharply. These figures, if confirmed by the original data sources, may play a major role in shaping near-term price action.

Garlinghouse’s $180,000 call is a high-profile, optimistic view that matches other bullish models on the market. Reports show real volatility and major flows are already shaping price. For now, the forecast is an opinion rooted in plausible scenarios — one to watch, not a certainty.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

XRP price started a decent increase above $2.120. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay in a positive zone.

XRP price started a downside correction and tested the $2.080 zone.
The price is now trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.110 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
The pair could start another increase if it clears $2.150.

XRP Price Dips Again
XRP price started a downside correction from the $2.220 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $2.20 and $2.150 levels to enter a consolidation phase.

The price even dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.984 swing low to the $2.220 high. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.110 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. However, the bulls remained active above the $2.080 support.

The price is now trading below $2.10 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $2.110 level and the trend line.

Source: XRPUSD on TradingView.com
The first major resistance is near the $2.150 level, above which the price could rise and test $2.220. A clear move above the $2.220 resistance might send the price toward the $2.2850 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.350 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $2.420.

Another Decline?
If XRP fails to clear the $2.150 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.080 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.984 swing low to the $2.220 high. The next major support is near the $2.040 level.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.040 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.00. The next major support sits near the $1.9850 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.920.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $2.080 and $2.040.

Major Resistance Levels – $2.110 and $2.150.

Ted Hisokawa
Dec 05, 2025 03:00

Bitcoin forecast shows potential 19% upside to $110,000 within 6-8 weeks as technical indicators suggest bullish momentum building despite recent pullback to $92,499.

Bitcoin's recent price action has left investors questioning whether the cryptocurrency giant can sustain its bullish momentum or face further downside pressure. With BTC trading at $92,499 as of December 5, 2025, our comprehensive Bitcoin technical analysis reveals a nuanced picture that suggests strategic opportunities ahead.

BTC Price Prediction Summary
• BTC short-term target (1 week): $96,600 (+4.4%)
• Bitcoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $85,000-$110,000 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $96,635 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $80,600 (strong support confluence)

Recent Bitcoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The cryptocurrency analysis community remains divided on Bitcoin's immediate trajectory, with recent BTC price prediction ranging from cautiously optimistic to aggressively bullish. Strategy Inc.'s revised forecast of $85,000-$110,000 aligns closely with our technical outlook, while AI-driven models from CoinCodex project a more modest near-term target of $94,266.

Frank Fetter's ambitious $256,000 long-term projection based on 4-year cycle analysis represents the bullish extreme, though such targets require significant fundamental catalysts beyond current technical setups. Deutsche Bank's concerns about institutional selling pressure and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty provide necessary counterbalance to overly optimistic scenarios.

The prediction market consensus showing only a 24% probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by year-end reflects the market's realistic assessment of current headwinds, making any sustained move above this psychological level particularly significant for future Bitcoin forecast models.

BTC Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Consolidation Breakout
Bitcoin's current technical structure presents a textbook consolidation pattern with bullish undertones. The RSI reading of 47.59 indicates neutral momentum with room for upward movement, while the MACD histogram showing 1127.4492 suggests underlying bullish pressure building beneath the surface.

The Bollinger Bands position at 0.7248 places Bitcoin in the upper portion of its recent trading range, indicating strength without extreme overbought conditions. This positioning typically precedes either a breakout above the upper band at $95,595 or a pullback toward the middle band support at $89,972.

Volume analysis from Binance spot markets shows $1.63 billion in 24-hour activity, sufficient to support meaningful price movements but lacking the explosive character typically associated with major breakouts. The Average True Range of $3,623 suggests moderate volatility conditions conducive to measured technical moves rather than dramatic price swings.

Critical pattern recognition reveals Bitcoin trading above its 7-day SMA ($90,962) and 20-day SMA ($89,972) while remaining below the 50-day ($99,905) and 200-day ($109,370) moving averages. This configuration suggests short-term strength within a broader corrective phase from November highs.

Bitcoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for BTC
The primary bullish scenario targets $110,000 within 6-8 weeks, representing a 19% advance from current levels. This BTC price target requires breaking immediate resistance at $96,635, followed by sustained momentum above the psychological $100,000 level.

Technical catalysts supporting this Bitcoin forecast include the positive MACD histogram divergence, Stochastic indicators approaching oversold territory (%K: 84.51, %D: 87.97), and the proximity to key moving average recapture levels. A decisive break above $96,635 would likely trigger algorithm-driven buying and stop-loss hunting above $100,000.

Secondary upside targets include $116,400 (strong resistance) representing a 26% gain, achievable if institutional ETF inflows accelerate and regulatory clarity improves as suggested by recent analyst commentary.

Bearish Risk for Bitcoin
The bearish scenario envisions a retest of $80,600 support, representing a 13% decline from current levels. This downside risk materializes if Bitcoin fails to reclaim $96,635 resistance and breaks below the critical $90,889 recent low.

A sustained break below $80,600 could trigger algorithmic selling toward the next major support zone near $76,322 (52-week low), representing a potential 17% additional decline. This scenario aligns with Deutsche Bank's concerns about institutional profit-taking and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty.

Should You Buy BTC Now? Entry Strategy
The current technical setup suggests a measured accumulation strategy rather than aggressive positioning. Optimal entry points include:

Primary Entry: $91,000-$92,500 (current zone) with tight stops below $89,500
Secondary Entry: $87,000-$89,000 on any pullback to middle Bollinger Band support
Aggressive Entry: $96,000-$96,500 on breakout confirmation above immediate resistance

Risk management protocols recommend position sizing at 50-60% of intended allocation initially, with the remainder deployed on either pullback support tests or breakout confirmations. Stop-loss levels should be placed below $87,000 for swing trades and $84,000 for longer-term positions.

The risk-reward profile favors patient buyers at current levels, with the potential for 15-20% gains versus 8-10% initial risk to meaningful support levels.

BTC Price Prediction Conclusion
Our Bitcoin technical analysis supports a medium-confidence bullish outlook for BTC over the next 4-6 weeks, with primary targets at $96,600 (1 week) and $110,000 (1-2 months). The convergence of oversold momentum indicators, supportive price structure, and analyst consensus around similar price levels provides multiple confirmation points for this Bitcoin forecast.

Key validation signals include MACD line crossover above the signal line, RSI advancement above 55, and most critically, a decisive break above $96,635 resistance. Invalidation occurs below $87,000, which would shift the intermediate outlook to bearish with targets near $80,600.

The timeline for this BTC price prediction extends through mid-January 2026, allowing sufficient time for technical patterns to resolve and fundamental catalysts to emerge. Traders should monitor Federal Reserve policy announcements, institutional ETF flow data, and regulatory developments as primary drivers capable of accelerating or derailing this forecast scenario.

Whether you decide to buy or sell BTC should depend on your risk tolerance and the technical confirmation levels outlined above, with the overall bias favoring strategic accumulation on any near-term weakness.

Image source: Shutterstock

btc price analysis
btc price prediction

Joerg Hiller
Dec 05, 2025 03:13

BNB price prediction shows strong bullish momentum building with analysts targeting $1,150 in the coming month. Critical resistance at $920 zone holds the key to upside breakout.

With Binance Coin trading at $905.95, technical indicators are painting an increasingly bullish picture for BNB's near-term trajectory. Recent analyst predictions and technical patterns suggest a significant move higher could be imminent, with the $920 resistance zone serving as the critical catalyst for the next leg up.

BNB Price Prediction Summary
• BNB short-term target (1 week): $950-$980 (+5-8%)
• Binance Coin medium-term forecast (1 month): $1,100-$1,200 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $920-$949
• Critical support if bearish: $790-$805

Recent Binance Coin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest BNB price prediction consensus from major analysts shows remarkable alignment around bullish medium-term targets. Blockchain.News leads with an aggressive $1,150 price target within 30 days, citing building bullish momentum despite current consolidation patterns. This Binance Coin forecast aligns closely with InvestingHaven's $1,000-$1,200 range prediction, contingent on holding above the crucial $900-$920 support zone.

Cointelegraph's technical analysis identifies a double bottom formation coupled with a falling wedge breakout, supporting their $1,020-$1,115 medium-term BNB price target. The convergence of these predictions around the $1,100-$1,200 zone suggests strong technical conviction among analysts.

Longer-term projections remain even more optimistic, with CoinMarketCap's AI forecasting $1,461 by 2026 and Benzinga projecting $1,911 by 2030, driven by BNB Chain ecosystem expansion and increasing institutional adoption.

BNB Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout
Current Binance Coin technical analysis reveals several bullish catalysts converging. The MACD histogram at 11.0962 indicates strengthening bullish momentum, while the RSI at 49.00 sits in neutral territory with room to run higher without reaching overbought conditions.

BNB's position at 0.70 within the Bollinger Bands suggests the token is approaching the upper band at $942.16, typically signaling potential breakout conditions. The price action above both the 7-day SMA ($882.58) and 20-day SMA ($880.95) confirms short-term bullish bias, though resistance from the 50-day SMA at $976.09 remains a key hurdle.

Volume analysis shows healthy participation at $125.28 million in 24-hour trading, providing sufficient liquidity for sustained moves. The daily ATR of $44.86 indicates normal volatility levels, suggesting any breakout could see meaningful price discovery.

Binance Coin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for BNB
The primary bullish scenario targets $1,150 within the next 30 days, requiring a decisive break above $949.77 immediate resistance. This BNB price prediction hinges on maintaining support above $900 while volume expansion confirms buying interest.

Technical fibonacci extensions suggest intermediate targets at $1,020, $1,115, and ultimately $1,182.60 strong resistance. The falling wedge breakout pattern identified by analysts supports these upside projections, with measured moves pointing toward the $1,200 psychological level.

Key bullish catalysts include sustained trading above $920, RSI momentum above 60, and MACD signal line crossover confirmation. The 30% discount from 52-week highs at $1,307.40 provides additional upside runway for this Binance Coin forecast.

Bearish Risk for Binance Coin
Downside scenarios emerge if BNB fails to hold the $900-$920 critical support zone. Primary bearish targets sit at $805 and $790.79, representing the strong support level identified in technical analysis.

A break below $880 (20-day SMA) would signal short-term trend deterioration, potentially targeting the 200-day SMA at $858.27. The ultimate bearish scenario sees a retest of the $790 zone, representing approximately 12% downside from current levels.

Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, regulatory concerns affecting Binance operations, or failure to maintain ecosystem growth momentum that underpins longer-term value propositions.

Should You Buy BNB Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical setup, the buy or sell BNB decision favors strategic accumulation with proper risk management. Optimal entry points exist between $890-$910, allowing for tight stop-losses below the $880 support level.

For aggressive traders, a breakout entry above $950 offers confirmation of bullish momentum with initial targets at $1,020. Conservative investors may prefer dollar-cost averaging between $880-$920, building positions ahead of the anticipated medium-term move.

Risk management suggests position sizing at 2-3% of portfolio allocation, with stop-losses at $870 (3.5% downside) for new entries. Take-profit levels should be staged at $980, $1,050, and $1,150 to capture the predicted upside moves while managing volatility.

BNB Price Prediction Conclusion
The technical and fundamental picture supports a medium-confidence BNB price prediction of $1,150 within 30 days, representing 27% upside potential from current levels. The convergence of analyst forecasts, bullish technical indicators, and strong ecosystem fundamentals creates a compelling setup for Binance Coin.

Key indicators to monitor include daily closes above $920 for breakout confirmation, MACD signal line crossovers, and volume expansion on any upside moves. Invalidation signals include breaks below $880 support or sustained trading below the 20-day moving average.

This Binance Coin forecast carries medium confidence due to broader market conditions and the critical nature of the $920 resistance test. Timeline expectations suggest initial moves toward $1,000 within 2 weeks, followed by extension toward $1,150-$1,200 targets through January 2026.

Image source: Shutterstock

bnb price analysis
bnb price prediction

Iris Coleman
Dec 05, 2025 03:24

ADA price prediction shows mixed signals with short-term targets of $0.39-$0.65 while medium-term Cardano forecast points to potential $1.69 recovery.

Cardano's ADA faces a critical juncture as technical indicators paint a mixed picture for the cryptocurrency's immediate future. With the token trading at $0.44 and showing signs of both weakness and emerging bullish momentum, our comprehensive ADA price prediction analysis reveals divergent scenarios that traders need to navigate carefully.

ADA Price Prediction Summary
• ADA short-term target (1 week): $0.39-$0.48 range (-11% to +9%)
• Cardano medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.65-$1.69 potential recovery zone

• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.51 immediate resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $0.37 strong support level

Recent Cardano Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest analyst predictions for ADA reveal a fascinating divergence in market sentiment. PricePredictions.com presents the most optimistic Cardano forecast with an ADA price target of $1.69 for the medium term, representing a massive 284% upside from current levels. This bullish stance contrasts sharply with more conservative predictions from AMB Crypto, which sees ADA reaching $0.65 in the short term, and Changelly's bearish outlook targeting $0.39.

The wide spread between these predictions—ranging from $0.39 to $1.69—highlights the uncertainty surrounding Cardano's price direction. However, the consensus suggests that while short-term bearish pressure may persist, medium-term recovery potential remains intact. This aligns with our technical analysis showing ADA trading below key moving averages but displaying early signs of momentum reversal.

ADA Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Potential Reversal
Our Cardano technical analysis reveals several critical indicators suggesting ADA may be positioning for a directional breakout. The current price of $0.44 sits precisely at the pivot point level, creating a decision zone that will determine the next significant move.

The RSI reading of 43.46 indicates neutral territory with room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. More encouraging is the MACD histogram showing a positive 0.0098 reading, signaling emerging bullish momentum despite the overall bearish MACD positioning at -0.0304. This divergence often precedes trend reversals and supports our medium-term ADA price prediction.

Bollinger Bands positioning at 0.5759 places ADA slightly above the middle band, suggesting the token has room to move toward the upper band at $0.48. The stochastic indicators show %K at 82.02 and %D at 80.26, indicating overbought conditions that may require consolidation before the next leg higher.

Volume analysis from Binance spot trading shows $42 million in 24-hour turnover, which represents moderate but not exceptional interest. For our bullish ADA price target scenarios to materialize, we'll need to see volume expansion above $60 million daily.

Cardano Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for ADA
The optimistic scenario for our ADA price prediction hinges on breaking above the immediate resistance at $0.51. Success here would likely trigger momentum toward the next significant level at $0.65, aligning with AMB Crypto's short-term forecast. A sustained move above $0.65 could then target the ambitious $1.69 level suggested by PricePredictions.com.

For this bullish Cardano forecast to unfold, ADA needs to reclaim its 50-day moving average at $0.53, which would signal a shift in the intermediate trend. The technical setup would be confirmed by RSI moving above 50 and MACD crossing into positive territory.

Bearish Risk for Cardano
The bearish scenario for our ADA price prediction centers on failure to hold current support levels. A break below the strong support at $0.37 would validate Changelly's pessimistic outlook targeting $0.39. This would represent a test of the 52-week low and could trigger further selling pressure.

Key risk factors include continued weakness in Bitcoin and broader crypto markets, potential regulatory concerns, or failure to deliver on Cardano's development roadmap milestones. The distance of 54% from the 52-week high at $0.96 demonstrates the significant correction ADA has already endured.

Should You Buy ADA Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our technical analysis, the decision to buy or sell ADA depends heavily on risk tolerance and time horizon. For short-term traders, we recommend waiting for a clear break above $0.48 (upper Bollinger Band) before establishing long positions, with a stop-loss at $0.41.

Conservative investors might consider dollar-cost averaging into positions between $0.42-$0.44, using any dips toward $0.39 as accumulation opportunities. The risk-reward ratio favors buyers at current levels, given the proximity to strong support and potential for the medium-term ADA price target of $0.65-$1.69.

Position sizing should be conservative given the current uncertainty, with no more than 2-3% of portfolio allocated to ADA until clearer directional signals emerge. The daily ATR of $0.03 suggests moderate volatility that allows for strategic entry point selection.

ADA Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis suggests a medium confidence ADA price prediction of $0.65 within 4-6 weeks, with potential extension toward $1.69 over a 2-3 month timeframe. The current technical setup favors patient buyers willing to weather short-term volatility for medium-term gains.

Critical indicators to monitor include RSI breakthrough above 50, MACD line crossing above the signal line, and most importantly, a decisive break above $0.51 resistance. Failure to hold $0.37 support would invalidate our bullish Cardano forecast and suggest deeper correction toward $0.30-$0.35.

The prediction timeline suggests resolution within 2-3 weeks, with either a breakout above $0.51 confirming the bullish scenario or a breakdown below $0.37 validating bearish concerns. Volume expansion above $60 million daily will be crucial for confirming any directional move in our ADA price prediction framework.

Image source: Shutterstock

ada price analysis
ada price prediction

Terrill Dicki
Dec 05, 2025 03:30

Technical analysis suggests SOL could reach $155-165 in the next 2-4 weeks, with immediate resistance at $146.91 providing the first test for bullish continuation.

With Solana trading at $139.02 amid a complex technical landscape, this SOL price prediction examines the convergence of bullish momentum indicators and analyst forecasts pointing toward a potential breakout in the coming weeks.

SOL Price Prediction Summary
• SOL short-term target (1 week): $146-150 (+5.0% to +7.9%)
• Solana medium-term forecast (1 month): $155-165 range (+11.5% to +18.7%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $146.91 immediate resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $121.66 strong support level

Recent Solana Price Predictions from Analysts
Recent analyst predictions show a cautiously optimistic outlook for SOL. CoinCodex projects a modest SOL price target of $142.88 in the short term, representing a 1.55% increase, while Polymarket sentiment indicates a 56% probability of SOL trading between $130-$140. However, Blockchain.News presents a more bullish Solana forecast with targets of $155-165 based on technical momentum.

The consensus among these predictions suggests moderate bullish sentiment, with the most conservative estimate at $130 and the most optimistic reaching $165. This range aligns with current technical indicators showing early signs of momentum recovery despite recent weakness.

SOL Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Reversal
The current Solana technical analysis reveals several compelling factors supporting a bullish bias. The MACD histogram at 2.3482 indicates building positive momentum, while the price position at 0.6461 within the Bollinger Bands suggests room for upward movement toward the upper band at $146.04.

The RSI reading of 45.79 sits in neutral territory, providing ample space for appreciation before reaching overbought conditions. Notably, SOL has found support above the critical $125.25 level mentioned in recent analyst reports, suggesting the formation of a higher low pattern.

Volume analysis shows substantial daily trading of $367.6 million on Binance, indicating healthy market participation. The recent bullish engulfing pattern from the support level, combined with the positive MACD histogram, suggests institutional accumulation may be underway.

Solana Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for SOL
In the bullish scenario, this SOL price prediction anticipates a break above the immediate resistance at $146.91, which would trigger a move toward the $155-165 target range. The bullish case relies on sustained momentum above the 20-day SMA at $136.12 and successful reclaim of the upper Bollinger Band.

Key catalysts for the upside include breaking through the pivot point at $140.59 with conviction, followed by clearing the $146.91 resistance. If these levels hold as support on any pullbacks, the next SOL price target becomes the $155-165 zone, representing a potential 18.7% gain from current levels.

Bearish Risk for Solana
The bearish scenario for this Solana forecast would unfold if SOL fails to hold the critical support at $121.66. A breakdown below this level could trigger selling pressure toward the lower Bollinger Band at $126.21, and potentially test the 52-week low region around $105.40.

Risk factors include failure to reclaim the 20-day SMA convincingly, deteriorating MACD momentum, or broader crypto market weakness. The significant distance from the 52-week high of $247.50 (-43.83%) also suggests overhead supply could emerge at higher levels.

Should You Buy SOL Now? Entry Strategy
Based on this SOL price prediction analysis, the current risk-reward setup appears favorable for strategic accumulation. The optimal entry strategy involves buying on dips toward the $135-137 support zone, with a stop-loss below $130 to limit downside risk.

For those wondering whether to buy or sell SOL, the technical setup suggests a buying opportunity for medium-term holders. However, short-term traders should wait for a confirmed break above $146.91 before establishing long positions targeting the $155-165 range.

Position sizing should account for the 14-day ATR of $9.28, indicating normal volatility conditions. Conservative investors might consider dollar-cost averaging into positions around current levels, while more aggressive traders can target the breakout above immediate resistance.

SOL Price Prediction Conclusion
This comprehensive Solana forecast points to a medium confidence prediction of SOL reaching the $155-165 range within the next 2-4 weeks, contingent on breaking key resistance levels. The convergence of positive MACD momentum, neutral RSI conditions, and analyst targets in similar ranges supports this bullish SOL price prediction.

Key indicators to monitor include the MACD maintaining its positive trajectory, successful defense of the $136.12 support (20-day SMA), and volume confirmation on any breakout attempts. The prediction would be invalidated if SOL closes below $130 on significant volume, shifting the bias bearish toward the $121.66 support zone.

Timeline expectations suggest initial targets of $146-150 within one week, followed by the broader $155-165 Solana forecast range materializing over the next month, assuming continued momentum and favorable market conditions.

Image source: Shutterstock

sol price analysis
sol price prediction

Nevertheless, XRP-spot and BTC-spot ETFs saw diverging flow trends, fueling speculation about XRP decoupling from BTC. Tailwinds for XRP continue to support a BTC-decoupling event, setting the stage for a bullish price outlook.

Below, I will explore the key drivers behind recent price trends, the medium-term (4-8 week) outlook, and the key technical levels traders should watch.

XRP-Spot ETF Inflow Streak Continues
The US XRP-spot ETF market reported net inflows of $50.27 million on Wednesday, December 3, extending the inflow streak to 13 consecutive sessions. The extended inflow streak took total net inflows since launch to $874.28 million, edging close to the $1 billion mark.

Grayscale XRP ETF (GXRP) led on Wednesday, with net inflows of $17.93 million, taking its since-launch haul to $209.02 million. Canary XRP ETF (XRPC) remains at the top of the flow table, while GXRP flipped Bitwise XRP ETF (XRP) to take the number #2 ranking.

Meanwhile, Franklin Templeton’s XRP-spot ETF sits at the bottom of the flow table despite Franklin Templeton being the largest of the four ETF issuers by ETF assets under management.

The absence of strong demand for XRPZ has placed a greater focus on the other issuers. Grayscale’s presence in the XRP-spot ETF market contrasts sharply with its impact on the BTC-spot ETF market, cooling any immediate need for a BlackRock (BLK) iShares XRP Trust.

SoSoValue – XRP Price and ETF Flow Trends
Sustained net inflows support a positive price outlook and raise the chances of XRP breaking free from BTC’s shadow, critical to the token’s price trajectory. A decoupling could be crucial given the influence of US economic data on the Fed rate path and, ultimately, BTC’s price trajectory.

US Jobs Data Cools Fed Rate Cut Bets and Bitcoin Demand
Market bets on a December and March Fed rate cut cooled on Thursday, December 4, sending BTC to a session low of $90,901. Initial jobless claims unexpectedly fell from 218k (week ending November 22) to 191k (week ending November 29). Significantly, jobless claims last dropped below 200k in January 2024, suggesting the labor market remains resilient.

Falling jobless claims and sticky US inflation would reduce Fed rate cut bets, weighing on demand for risk assets.

Notably, BTC briefly climbed to $93,964 before sliding to a low of $90,901 following the jobless claims data. BTC’s price action reflected the Fed’s effect on sentiment, which also affected XRP demand.

BTCUSD – 30 Minute Chart – 051225
Santiment Flags XRP as a Potential Breakout Candidate
Thursday’s loss left XRP down 25.84% for the fourth quarter. Despite the sharp pullback, market intelligence platform Santiment signaled a potential rebound, stating:

“XRP (-31% in the past 2 months), unlike Bitcoin, is seeing the most fear, uncertainty, & doubt (FUD) since October, according to our social data. The last time we saw near this level of fear from the crowd was November 21st, and $XRP’s price immediately rallied +22% over the next 3 days. After that, greed took over and the rally came to a quick halt. As of now, an opportunity appears to be emerging just like 2 weeks ago.”

For context, Santiment sees sentiment across the retail crowd as a key price indicator. The market intelligence platform has previously stated:

“Since we know markets move the opposite direction of the crowd’s predictions, the days where comments dip into the Fear Zone have perfectly predicted upcoming bounces. And alternatively, the days where comments dip into the Greed Zone have perfectly predicted upcoming dips.”

Bullish Medium-Term Outlook Unchanged
Several key price catalysts may act as tailwinds for XRP, including:

Broader investor access to spot ETFs.
The progress of the Market Structure Bill on Capitol Hill.
December and March Fed rate cut bets.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the chances of a December Fed rate cut fell from 90.0% on December 3 to 87.0% on December 4. Meanwhile, the probability of a March 2026 Fed rate cut stands at 48.8%, down from 53.4% on December 3.

In my opinion, these price catalysts support a near-term (1-4 weeks) rise to $2.35 and a longer-term (8-12 weeks) climb toward $3.

Downside Risks to Bullish Outlook
Despite the tailwinds, several scenarios could push XRP lower. These include:

The Bank of Japan and Fed monetary policy decisions and forward guidance could adversely impact sentiment.
If MSCI delists digital asset treasury companies (DATs). Delistings could end hopes of XRP becoming a treasury reserve asset.
The Market Structure Bill faces partisan opposition in the US Senate.
OCC rejects Bitcoin’s application for a US-chartered banking license.
XRP-spot ETF outflows.

These events could drag XRP toward $2, bringing the November low of $1.82 into play before a sustained move toward $3.

Nevertheless, in my opinion, spot ETF inflows and the upcoming launch of XRP-spot ETFs will likely drive the token toward $3.

In summary, the short-term outlook remains cautiously bullish, while the medium- to longer-term outlook is constructive.

Financial Analysis
Technical Outlook: EMAs Signal Caution
XRP slid 4.56% on Thursday, December 4, reversing the previous day’s 2.03% gain to close at $2.0970. The token underperformed the broader market, which fell 1.6%.

Thursday’s sell-off left XRP below the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), reaffirming a bearish bias. However, fundamentals have shifted from the technical trend, supporting a bullish outlook.

Key technical levels to watch include:

Support levels: $2, $1.9112, and $1.8239
50-day EMA resistance: $2.3068.
200-day EMA resistance: $2.4922.
Resistance levels: $2.2, $2.35, $2.5, $2.62, $2.8, $3.0, and $3.66.

Holding above the $2.0 psychological support level would pave the way to the 50-day EMA. A sustained move through the 50-day EMA would enable the bulls to target the $2.35 resistance level. A breakout above the 50-day EMA would indicate a near-term bullish trend reversal, supporting a longer-term (8-12 weeks) move to $3.0.

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At Binance Blockchain Week on December 3, Ripple Labs CEO Brad Garlinghouse argued that a rare alignment of regulatory change, institutional demand and real-world utility is setting up crypto for what he called powerful “macro tailwinds” heading into 2026.

“I personally will echo some of the things Richard said: there are so many macro factors that are continuing to provide tailwinds for this industry that I think as we go into 2026 I don’t remember being this optimistic in the last handful of years,” the Ripple CEO told CNBC’s Dan Murphy, speaking alongside Binance CEO Richard Teng and Solana Foundation President Lily Liu.

Ripple CEO Is Optimistic For 2026: Here’s Why
He framed the latest drawdown not as the start of a structural bear market but as a risk-off interlude against a fundamentally improved backdrop. “Crypto has gone through cycles and when you have risk-on people are excited […] now you have kind of a risk-off moment, there’s uncertainty,” he said. The difference this time, he argued, is that the United States—the largest single economy and roughly “22% of global GDP”—is finally moving away from what he described as years of open hostility toward the sector.

“This is a market that has been really openly hostile to crypto for four or five years or maybe longer, and now you have that that has changed significantly, pretty quickly,” he said. Institutions, in his view, are only beginning to adjust. He pointed to the visible presence of traditional asset managers at the event: “You saw Franklin Templeton on stage here, you saw BlackRock on stage just this week. I think Vanguard has now opened up […] Vanguard historically has said ‘we won’t touch crypto’ and now they’ve had a massive sea change.”

On crypto ETFs, the Ripple CEO rejected the idea that the trade was over-hyped. “Definitely no,” he said when asked whether the ETF “floor” narrative had been exaggerated. He stressed how new these vehicles still are in the United States and highlighted early demand for XRP products. “In the last two or three weeks over $700 million have flowed into XRP ETFs, which is just pent-up demand from institutional investors, from investors who want access because they don’t want to custody themselves,” he said.

He argued that the key metric is crypto’s still-small slice of the overall ETF universe. “The total ETF market—only one or two percent of the total ETF market is crypto. I will bet anybody here that a year from now that will be more than one or two percent,” he said. Short-term outflows from Bitcoin products, he suggested, should be viewed in context: “Over 2026 do we really think crypto ETFs are only going to be one or two percent of the total ETF market? No chance.”

Garlinghouse said Ripple’s own prime brokerage business is already seeing that shift in behavior. Institutions that had remained “on the sidelines” due to regulatory uncertainty or risk aversion are now “getting involved and they’re starting small, and they’re going to walk, then they’re going to crawl—or crawl then walk then run.” Asked directly whether recent volatility had deterred institutional capital, he replied: “Definitely not.”

Stablecoins Will Be A Key Pillar
Stablecoins were another pillar of his 2026 thesis. He agreed that in the latest risk-off phase, capital largely rotated into stablecoins rather than exiting on-chain rails, which he said reflects both utility and trust. “People are recognizing stablecoins can be stable and easier to manage,” he said.

Garlinghouse highlighted that Ripple’s own stablecoin, launched “just over a year ago,” has “just passed about a billion market cap,” is “approved and whitelisted in Abu Dhabi,” and is being used as “good collateral on various platforms from a lending point of view.” For him, stablecoins are an entry ramp to broader adoption, alongside other applications that will be built across Solana, Binance and Ripple ecosystems.

On US policy, he said the trajectory has clearly improved, especially for payment tokens. He cited the GENIUS Act as “regulatory clarity for stablecoins” and linked it to growing corporate interest in on-chain payments. After Ripple’s acquisition of GTreasury, which has visibility into “over 10 trillion dollars of payments,” he said “the number of those customers that are already approaching us interested in leveraging stablecoins […] because of that clarity, people are leaning in.”

The Ripple CEO noted that XRP has already received a form of clarity from US federal courts but said broader legislation is still needed. He referenced the “Clarity Act” for crypto, saying there is “still forward momentum” and predicting that “sometime in the first half of next year we’ll see passage of legislation, which will continue to unlock and create more tailwinds for the whole industry.”

He closed with an explicit price target for the next cycle, acknowledging he was “going out on a limb”: “I’ll say Bitcoin $180,000 December 23rd—or December 31st—2026.”

At press time, XRP traded at $2.15.

XRP needs to break above the 0.382 Fib, 1-week chart | Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com

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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,200. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above $3,250.

Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,050 and $3,120 levels.
The price is trading above $3,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,130 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,240 zone.

Ethereum Price Eyes Another Upside Break
Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,920 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,000 and $3,050 resistance levels.

The bulls even pumped the price above $3,150.  However, the bulls struggled to clear $3,240 and $3,250. A high was formed at $3,239 and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a spike below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,130 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com
If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,200 level. The next key resistance is near the $3,240 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,250 level. A clear move above the $3,250 resistance might send the price toward the $3,320 resistance. An upside break above the $3,320 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,450 resistance zone or even $3,500 in the near term.

Downside Correction In ETH?
If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,240 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,120 level. The first major support sits near the $3,050 zone.

A clear move below the $3,050 support might push the price toward the $3,000 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,980 region and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,850 and $2,840.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,130

Major Resistance Level – $3,240