Market Signal Briefing

Beneficient (BENF) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds above $4,935 despite a stronger US Dollar and easing geopolitical tensions, while silver eyes $79 resistance.

Meta Platforms remains a top holding among elite investors, reflecting strong institutional and professional fund manager confidence. META's recent FQ4 earnings and elevated 2026 CAPEX guidance triggered a market overreaction, which ignored the company's robust free cash flow and AI expansion. Despite higher expense forecasts, META's FCF is projected to average $35B in 2026–2027, comfortably covering dividends, buybacks, and strategic initiatives.

Highlights

Proportionate power generation amounted to 800 GWh for the year, with additional 39 GWh of compensated volumes from ancillary services and availability warranties, bringing the total proportionate power generation, including these volumes, to 839 GWh.Entered into agreements to sell a portfolio of three German solar projects totalling 234 MW in December 2025 for a total consideration of up to MEUR 14, subject to the achievement of development milestones, bringing the total project sales agreements signed during the year to MEUR 18, representing 310 MW of projects.Secured grid connections for six large-scale solar and data centre projects in the UK, with a combined estimated capacity of 2.9 GW, and successfully progressed solar projects in Germany with a combined capacity of 280 MW towards ready-to-permit following municipal approvals.Maintained carbon neutrality across Scope 1 and 2 emissions, alongside improved ESG-ratings, and 100 percent EU Taxonomy alignment of revenues and operating expenditure. Consolidated financials – 12 months

Cash flows from operating activities amounted to MEUR -9.9. Proportionate financials - 12 months

Achieved electricity price amounted to EUR 36 per MWh, which, combined with the consideration from the first German solar project sale, resulted in a proportionate EBITDA of MEUR -4.5.Proportionate net debt of MEUR 89, with significant liquidity headroom available through the MEUR 170 revolving credit facility. Financial Summary
Orrön Energy owns renewables assets directly and through joint ventures and associated companies and is presenting proportionate financials in addition to the consolidated financial reporting under IFRS to show the net ownership and related results of these assets. The purpose of the proportionate reporting is to give an enhanced insight into the Company’s operational and financial results.

Financial performance Q4 Jan-DecMEUR 20252024 20252024Revenue from power generation 7.57.1 24.925.7Revenue from project sales 2.0- 4.0-EBITDA 0.7- 2.5 - 10.3-1.6Operating profit (EBIT) - 3.5- 6.3 - 27.2- 17.5Net result - 2.3- 6.6 - 26.3- 13.3Earnings per share – EUR - 0.01- 0.03 - 0.09- 0.05Earnings per share diluted – EUR - 0.01- 0.03 - 0.09- 0.05Alternative performance measures      Proportionate financials1      Power generation (GWh) 226287 800907Average price achieved per MWh – EUR 3830 3634Operating expenses per MWh – EUR 2014 2417Revenue from power generation 8.78.7 28.630.7Revenue from project sales 2.0- 4.0-EBITDA 2.00.1 - 4.57.0Operating profit (EBIT) - 3.1- 4.8 - 25.0- 12.91 Proportionate financials represent Orrön Energy’s proportionate ownership (net) of assets and related financial results, including joint ventures.
Comment from Daniel Fitzgerald, CEO of Orrön Energy
“2025 marks a formative year for our business, with the first revenues coming in from project sales, grid secured for six large-scale projects in the UK and additional projects reaching key milestones. Operationally, I am proud of what our teams achieved in adapting our approach to mitigate the impacts from increasing costs and continued price volatility, demonstrating our capacity to respond to and remain resilient in a challenging market.

Market conditions in the Nordics remained challenging throughout 2025, characterised by continued price volatility, increased costs, and a growing importance of operational controls across our assets. We achieved an average realised price of 36 EUR per MWh in 2025, with volatility causing prices to range from periods of zero or negative pricing, to high-price levels as we enter 2026. Balancing costs were higher than normal in 2025 as a result of a structural change in settlement periods, however the underlying operating expenses, excluding these costs, remained stable and in line with guidance. We have implemented a flexible operational approach to manage this volatility, including voluntary curtailments to optimise production during low-price periods, and technologies to reduce exposure to balancing costs. While these measures impacted our production volumes, they in turn improved our financial performance, contributing more than MEUR 1 during 2025. We also hedged a portion of our 2025 and 2026 volumes to secure revenues in the short term.

Proportionate power generation, including compensated volumes, amounted to 839 GWh for the year, which was below our production outlook. The results are mainly due to weak winds, combined with periods of low electricity prices leading to higher levels of curtailed volumes. While the results are disappointing, I am encouraged by the high technical availability we have across our portfolio, underlining our capacity to deliver higher production as wind and market conditions normalise. In 2026, we expect proportionate power generation, including compensated volumes, between 800 and 950 GWh, which allows for uncertainties such as weather variability, curtailment and ancillary services. The long-term market fundamentals in the Nordics remain strong, with energy demand expected to grow, fuelled by the electrification of industry and transport, and rising consumption from AI and data centres. We therefore remain well positioned to capture long-term value from our operational portfolio.

During the fourth quarter, our greenfield business reached a significant milestone with the agreement to sell three solar projects in Germany for a total consideration of up to MEUR 14, clearly demonstrating the value of our greenfield platform. With this transaction, we have now signed agreements to sell more than 300 MW of projects in 2025. The main financial impact from these transactions lies ahead, with MEUR 14 in outstanding contingent payments at year-end, subject to achieving development milestones over the coming 24 months.

We also made good progress in advancing our project pipeline. In the UK, we secured grid access for a total of 2.9 GW of solar and data centre projects under the grid reform. Binding grid offers, with details on connection dates, will be awarded during the second half of 2026, but we are already seeing a strong interest in these projects, driven by continued high demand for the technologies and scarcity of grid-secured projects following the reform. In Germany, we successfully progressed solar projects with a combined capacity of 280 MW towards ready-to-permit following municipal approvals, with a large pipeline maturing behind them. With an average sales price of around TEUR 55 per MW in 2025, combined with the scale and quality of our greenfield pipeline, I am confident that this platform will be able to deliver significant value for us going forward.

Revenues from project sales led to a stronger financial performance during the quarter compared to the same period last year, however, full-year results were impacted by lower power generation volumes and higher balancing costs. Our proportionate revenues, including other income and projects sales, amounted to MEUR 10.9 for the fourth quarter, and MEUR 33.5 for the year. This resulted in a proportionate EBITDA of MEUR 2.0 for the fourth quarter and MEUR -4.5 for the year, including MEUR 7 of costs related to the Sudan trial. We are reducing our cost expenditure guidance for 2026, through cost savings on general and administrative costs and significantly reduced legal costs related to the Sudan case.

I am optimistic as we head into 2026, with higher electricity prices year-to-date and a strong futures price for 2026. Our greenfield business has been validated through sales in 2025, and combined with our large-scale pipeline I expect this business to generate strong returns over the coming years. We will also see the District Court trial in the Sudan legal case conclude in the second quarter of 2026, with a verdict expected later in the year. In addition to lowering our costs, I expect the conclusion of the trial to improve the stock’s accessibility to a broader group of investors. Based on the evidence presented during the proceedings, I remain convinced that the Company and its former representatives will be fully acquitted by the Court.

I would like to thank all of our shareholders for your continued support and look forward to updating you on our progress.”

Webcast
Listen to Daniel Fitzgerald, CEO and Espen Hennie, CFO commenting on the report and presenting the latest developments in Orrön Energy and its future growth strategy at a webcast today at 14.00 CET. The presentation will be followed by a question-and-answer session.

Follow the presentation live on the below webcast link:
https://orron-energy.events.inderes.com/cmd-2026

For further information, please contact:

Robert Eriksson
Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations
Tel: +46 701 11 26 15
[email protected]

Jenny Sandström
Communications Lead
Tel: +41 79 431 63 68
[email protected]

This information is information that Orrön Energy AB is required to make public pursuant to the Securities Markets Act. The information was submitted for publication, through the contact persons set out above, at 07.30 CET on 18 February 2026.

Orrön Energy is an independent, publicly listed (Nasdaq Stockholm: “ORRON”) renewable energy company within the Lundin Group of Companies. Orrön Energy’s core portfolio consists of high quality, cash flow generating assets in the Nordics, coupled with greenfield growth opportunities in the Nordics, the UK, Germany, and France. With financial capacity to fund further growth and acquisitions, and backed by a major shareholder, management and Board with a proven track record of investing into, leading and growing highly successful businesses, Orrön Energy is in a unique position to create shareholder value through the energy transition.

Forward-looking statements
Statements in this press release relating to any future status or circumstances, including statements regarding future performance, growth and other trend projections, are forward-looking statements. These statements may generally, but not always, be identified by the use of words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “intend”, “plan”, “seek”, “will”, “would” or similar expressions. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that could occur in the future. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to several factors, many of which are outside the company’s control. Any forward-looking statements in this press release speak only as of the date on which the statements are made and the company has no obligation (and undertakes no obligation) to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Orron Energy - Q4 Report 2025 - English

February 18, 2026 01:30 ET  | Source: Zealand Pharma

Press release – No. 4 / 2026

Zealand Pharma announces positive Phase 1a topline results with Kv1.3 channel blocker ZP9830

Single doses of ZP9830 were well tolerated, with no serious or severe adverse events or dose-limiting safety findings observed at any dose levelZP9830 exhibited a pharmacokinetic profile in line with predictions based on preclinical data, and exploratory pharmacodynamic biomarkers showed robust, dose-dependent activity consistent with Kv1.3 target engagementZP9830 is a highly potent and selective Kv1.3 channel blocker with potential to address a broad range of immune-mediated inflammatory disordersDevelopment program is progressing rapidly and as planned, with Phase 1a multiple ascending dose data and Phase 1b/2a initiation expected in H2 2026 Copenhagen, Denmark, February 18, 2026 – Zealand Pharma A/S (Nasdaq: ZEAL) (CVR-no. 20045078), a biotechnology company transforming the future of metabolic health, today announced positive Phase 1a single ascending dose (SAD) topline results for the company’s Kv1.3 channel blocker, ZP9830. The first-in-human, single-center, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, SAD part of the combined SAD/multiple ascending dose (MAD) Phase 1a trial was designed to evaluate safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics (PK), and pharmacodynamics (PD) of ZP9830 following administration to healthy male participants.

ZP9830 was well tolerated in this single ascending dose trial, with no dose-limiting safety findings or other safety concerns observed. All treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) were non-serious and mild in severity. No clinically relevant safety findings were observed in vital signs, 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings, physical examinations, or safety laboratory parameters. PK parameters increased in a dose-proportional manner across the investigated dose range, and data from the intravenous cohort indicated a very high bioavailability of the subcutaneous formulation.

“We are very pleased with the Phase 1a single ascending dose results, which demonstrated favorable safety and tolerability, and a PK/PD profile consistent with our expectations for a highly differentiated, immunological therapy with a novel mechanism of action,” said David Kendall, MD, Chief Medical Officer of Zealand Pharma. “Importantly, these data also underscore the strength of Zealand Pharma’s proprietary peptide engineering capabilities in addressing historically challenging targets and further reinforce our confidence in ZP9830 as a promising Kv1.3 channel blocker with potential in multiple autoimmune and inflammatory diseases with unmet medical need.”

About the Phase 1a trial
The first-in-human single ascending dose (SAD) part of the combined SAD/multiple ascending dose (MAD) Phase 1a trial (ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT06682975) was conducted in healthy male participants to investigate the effects of single ascending doses of ZP9830 administered subcutaneously across a wide dose range, as well as intravenously at one dose level. The main objectives were to assess safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetics, with proof of mechanism as an additional exploratory objective. The SAD part of the trial included a suitable pharmacological model to explore immunomodulatory activity and provide early confirmation that ZP9830 affects immune cell biology as intended. The MAD part of this Phase 1a trial is ongoing and is evaluating the effects associated with extended exposure to ZP9830.

About ZP9830
ZP9830 is a potent and selective Kv1.3 channel blocker with the potential to treat a broad range of immune-mediated inflammatory diseases. Kv1.3 is a potassium ion channel that is selectively upregulated on effector memory T cells, which play a central role in autoimmunity and chronic inflammation through the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines that drive tissue damage.

The anti-inflammatory effects of Kv1.3 channel blockade have been demonstrated in preclinical models of immunological disorders. The selective expression of Kv1.3 on effector memory T cells makes it an attractive therapeutic target, as inhibition is expected to preserve the protective functions of the broader immune system.

About Zealand Pharma A/S
Zealand Pharma A/S (Nasdaq: ZEAL) is a biotechnology company focused on advancing medicines for obesity and metabolic health. Combining more than 25 years of peptide R&D expertise with a proprietary data platform that leverages advanced data‑driven and AI/ML approaches, Zealand Pharma aims to lead a new era in obesity and metabolic health.

To date, more than ten Zealand Pharma‑invented drug candidates have entered clinical development, of which two products have reached the market and three candidates are in late-stage development. The Company has collaborations with global pharmaceutical and biotechnology partners for research, development, and commercialization.
Founded in 1998, Zealand Pharma is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark, with a U.S. presence in Boston, Massachusetts. Learn more at www.zealandpharma.com.

Forward-looking statements
This press release contains “forward-looking statements”, as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 in the United States, as amended, even though no longer listed in the United States this is used as a definition to provide Zealand Pharma’s expectations or forecasts of future events regarding the research, development and commercialization of pharmaceutical products, the timing of the company’s pre-clinical and clinical trials and the reporting of data therefrom. These forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “aim,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “goal,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “possible,” “potential,” “will,” “would” and other words and terms of similar meaning. You should not place undue reliance on these statements, or the scientific data presented. The reader is cautioned not to rely on these forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and inaccurate assumptions, which may cause actual results to differ materially from expectations set forth herein and may cause any or all of such forward-looking statements to be incorrect, and which include, but are not limited to, unexpected costs or delays in clinical trials and other development activities due to adverse safety events, patient recruitment or otherwise; unexpected concerns that may arise from additional data, analysis or results obtained during clinical trials; our ability to successfully market both new and existing products; changes in reimbursement rules and governmental laws and related interpretation thereof; government-mandated or market-driven price decreases for our products; introduction of competing products; production problems at third party manufacturers; dependency on third parties, for instance contract research or development organizations; unexpected growth in costs and expenses; our ability to affect the strategic reorganization of our businesses in the manner planned; failure to protect and enforce our data, intellectual property and other proprietary rights and uncertainties relating to intellectual property claims and challenges; regulatory authorities may require additional information or further studies, or may reject, fail to approve or may delay approval of our drug candidates or expansion of product labeling; failure to obtain regulatory approvals in other jurisdictions; exposure to product liability and other claims; interest rate and currency exchange rate fluctuations; unexpected contract breaches or terminations; inflationary pressures on the global economy; and political uncertainty. If any or all of such forward-looking statements prove to be incorrect, our actual results could differ materially and adversely from those anticipated or implied by such statements. The foregoing sets forth many, but not all, of the factors that could cause actual results to differ from our expectations in any forward-looking statement. All such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this company announcement and are based on information available to Zealand Pharma as of the date of this announcement. We do not undertake to update any of these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that occur after the date hereof. Information concerning pharmaceuticals (including compounds under development) contained within this material is not intended as advertising or medical advice.

Contacts
Adam Lange (Investors)
Vice President, Investor Relations
Zealand Pharma
[email protected]

Neshat Ahmadi (Investors)
Investor Relations Manager
Zealand Pharma
[email protected]

Rachel James-Owens (Media)
Vice President, Corporate Communications and Media Relations
Zealand Pharma
[email protected]

Amber Fennell, Jessica Hodgson, Sean Leous (Media)
ICR Healthcare
[email protected]
+44 (0) 7739 658 783

, /PRNewswire/ -- Photocure ASA (OSE: PHO) today reported Hexvix®/Cysview® revenues of NOK 135.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 (Q4 2024: NOK 128.6 million), and a commercial EBITDA of NOK 8.4 million (Q4 2024: NOK 3.9 million) for the company. In 2026, Photocure expects product revenue growth in the range of 7% to 11% on a constant currency basis and continued operating leverage flow-through in its core Hexvix®/Cysview® commercial business.

"Photocure delivered a strong fourth quarter, finishing the year at the top end of guidance on revenue. Operating leverage was proven with commercial EBITDA margins expanding from 7% to 11% for the full year. We executed with discipline across our core business while accelerating strategic initiatives that reinforce Photocure's position as a foundational diagnostics platform in bladder cancer," says Dan Schneider, President & Chief Executive Officer of Photocure.

The company continued to execute on its plan to expand blue light cystoscopy (BLC®) use in Q4 2025 with the installation of 7 new Saphira towers in the U.S. — 1 new account and 6 blue light tower upgrades. Photocure had 384 active accounts in the U.S. at the end of the quarter, an increase of 22% versus the second quarter of 2024. Across Europe, a total of 60 Olympus Visera Elite III blue light cystoscopy (BLC) capable systems were installed since the launch in Q1 2025.

Total revenues ended at NOK 136.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2025, down from NOK 141.7 million in Q4 2024 which included a milestone payment, with a group EBITDA of NOK 1.9 million (NOK 8.5 million). The EBIT ended at NOK -5.5 million (NOK 1.2 million). Cash and cash equivalents were NOK 238.9 million at the end of the period.

"We made important progress advancing Photocure's next phase of growth in precision diagnostics. The uro-oncology landscape is rapidly shifting toward personalized treatment pathways, increasing the need for accurate, real-time diagnostics that inform clinical decision-making across the patient care continuum," Schneider added and continues:

"Our partnership with Claritas, together with other strategic initiatives spanning cytology, biomarkers, and digital pathology, represents a natural evolution of our platform and expands our addressable opportunity. By layering AI software, enhanced data, and biomarker-driven diagnostic capabilities onto our existing leading franchise, we are building an integrated molecular-digital ecosystem designed to drive differentiation and scalability, while maintaining high gross margins and supporting operating leverage."

Photocure sees multiple drivers supporting continued growth of the base business, including sustained rigid kit adoption, expansion of mobile BLC, and ongoing equipment upgrades that increase utilization across the installed base. The company also appreciates several potential catalysts that could further enhance the growth trajectory, including CMS reimbursement developments, the reintroduction of flexible BLC solutions, additional equipment manufacturing partnerships, and a potential FDA reclassification of BLC. In addition, the licensing agreement with Asieris for Cevira includes a significant milestone payment upon regulatory approval in China, with future royalties and milestone payments based on sales and other regional approvals.

"Entering 2026, we are confident in Photocure's momentum and trajectory. We expect product revenue growth of 7% to 11% on a constant currency basis, and continued operating leverage within the core commercial business, reflecting disciplined execution and scalable growth as we build long-term shareholder value," Schneider concludes.

Please find the full financial report and presentation enclosed.

EBITDA* and other alternative performance measures (APMs) are defined and reconciled to the IFRS financial statements as a part of the APM section of the fourth quarter 2025 financial report on page 25.

The quarterly report and presentation will be published at 07:00 CET and will be publicly available at www.photocure.com. Dan Schneider, CEO, Erik Dahl, CFO, and Priyam Shah, VP of IR will host a live webcast at 14:00 CET.

The presentation will be held in English and questions can be submitted throughout the event. The streaming event is available through: https://qcnl.tv/p/0MElVGJID9j2vJqcZ9_SbA

The presentation is scheduled to conclude at 14:45 CET.

For further information, please contact:
Dan Schneider
President and CEO
Photocure ASA
Email: [email protected]

Erik Dahl
Chief Financial Officer
Tel: +47 450 55 000
Email: [email protected]

Priyam Shah
Vice President Investor Relations
Tel: +1 7176815072
Email:

[email protected]Geir Bjørlo
Corporate Communications (Norway)
Tel: +47 91540000
Email: [email protected]

About Photocure ASA

Photocure: The Bladder Cancer Company delivers transformative solutions to improve the lives of bladder cancer patients. Our unique technology, making cancer cells glow bright pink, has led to better health outcomes for patients worldwide. Photocure is headquartered in Oslo, Norway and listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange (OSE: PHO). For more information, please visit us at www.photocure.com/news

All trademarks mentioned in this release are protected by law and are registered trademarks of Photocure ASA.

This information is considered to be inside information pursuant to the EU Market Abuse Regulation and is subject to the disclosure requirements pursuant to section 5-12 of the Norwegian Securities Trading Act. This stock exchange announcement was published by Tolv Hillestad, Photocure ASA, on 18 February 2026 at 07:00 CET.

This information was brought to you by Cision http://news.cision.com.

https://news.cision.com/photocure/r/photocure-asa--results-for-the-fourth-quarter-of-2025,c4309132

The following files are available for download:

SOURCE Photocure

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Brian Armstrong breaks his silence. The Coinbase CEO addressed the rumors swirling on social media regarding Bitcoin ETFs during an AMA session. He refused to let accusations of “paper Bitcoin” go unanswered.

James Seyffart from Bloomberg asked the tough question. Armstrong then revealed a striking figure: Coinbase controls more than 80% of Bitcoin ETF custody in the United States. It’s a dominant position that the CEO fully embraces. “We have a fairly dominant market share in terms of custody for ETFs. I see that as a strength,” he stated bluntly. For him, it’s a huge competitive advantage. Coinbase has established itself as the trusted counterpart on the institutional side, and Armstrong intends to maintain this lead. However, this concentration raises eyebrows.

Too Many Risks?

Armstrong acknowledges that this concentration raises legitimate questions. Large ETFs often diversify their custodians as assets grow. As a result, competitors have gradually chipped away at some market share. But according to him, there’s no need to panic.

Security is the key battleground for Coinbase. Armstrong detailed the arsenal deployed: regularly tested cold storage systems, repeated audits, and patents on custody technology. The company employs cryptographers to bolster defenses against attacks. And that’s not all. Leading financial institutions and government clients conduct their own checks. Double security, double control.

On Twitter and Reddit, the chatter is intense. Some claim that Bitcoin ETFs are not truly backed by real Bitcoin. Armstrong admits he doesn’t understand where these rumors come from. “Spot Bitcoin ETFs must be fully backed by the underlying asset,” he reminds. End of story.

Alesia Haas, the CFO, dives into the heart of the matter. Critics often demand a public “proof of reserves.” Like disclosing on-chain wallet addresses linked to ETF holdings. But Coinbase refuses to play along. “We would never disclose the addresses we hold on behalf of clients,” Haas asserts. It’s a matter of security and confidentiality. However, ETF issuers and custody clients can verify their assets on the blockchain on their own. This follows earlier reporting on Corporations Buy Bitcoin Aggressively Despite Major.

Haas emphasizes external audits. The custody sector undergoes separate scrutiny. Coinbase produces SOC 1 and SOC 2 reports showing that controls are working well. These audits verify that holdings match the blockchain and confirm that assets are separated by clients, including ETF issuers.

Each custody client sees their on-chain assets and knows the addresses linked to their holdings. Coinbase might explore tools for clients to disclose proof of reserves themselves if they wish. It remains to be seen if this will appease critics.

The discussion shifts to the CLARITY Act. Armstrong refutes rumors that Coinbase has withdrawn its support for the bill. “I think the bill will materialize. It’s in everyone’s interest at this point,” he says. The company only opposes a specific proposal it finds unworkable.

Negotiations continue between lawmakers, regulators, and industry players. Armstrong expects a market structure bill to be passed. Statutory clarity would provide long-term certainty, beyond the changing directions of agencies like the SEC. If legislation stalls, Coinbase will continue under existing rules while seeking clarifications through regulators or courts.

On February 17, 2026, Armstrong mentioned partnerships with several major banks. He refuses to name them specifically. But this institutional support strengthens Coinbase’s credibility as the primary custodian of Bitcoin ETFs, according to him. More on this topic: Binance Sees Bitcoin Surge While Ethereum.

Haas revealed that the company recently hired an independent audit firm to assess its security and compliance procedures. Results are expected in the coming months. This could offer more transparency on asset management under custody.

Armstrong also discussed Bitcoin’s volatility and its impact on ETFs. Despite price fluctuations, demand for Bitcoin ETFs remains strong. For him, this resilience proves that institutional investors see Bitcoin as a viable long-term asset class.

New ETF products could arrive this year. Armstrong mentioned it without giving a specific date. The ongoing expansion underscores Coinbase’s commitment to remain a leader in crypto innovation. Institutional traders seem convinced by the offering.

The Securities and Exchange Commission closely monitors this concentration. Gary Gensler had already expressed concerns about excessive centralization in the crypto ecosystem. BlackRock and Fidelity, the two giants behind the largest Bitcoin ETFs, are currently exploring alternatives to diversify their custody solutions. Several sources close to the matter indicate that discussions are underway with Bank of New York Mellon and State Street to spread the risks.

The issue goes beyond mere commercial competition. In the event of a major technical problem at Coinbase, nearly $900 billion in Bitcoin ETF assets could become temporarily inaccessible. This represents about 4.5% of the total global Bitcoin market capitalization. European regulators are closely watching the U.S. situation before finalizing their own crypto ETF rules. MiCA, the European regulatory framework, could include strict concentration limits to prevent this type of de facto monopoly.

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Big companies keep buying Bitcoin. They’re not scared by the massive price drops we’ve seen this year, and some are doubling down on their crypto bets even as regular investors panic.

Bitcoin’s price fell hard recently, hitting its lowest point in more than a year around $28,500. But companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla didn’t flinch – they bought more. MicroStrategy grabbed another 8,000 BTC in February, pushing their total stash past 150,000 Bitcoin. Tesla also added to their holdings, though they won’t say exactly how much. Square’s CFO Amrita Ahuja said on February 15 that these purchases are “part of a long-term strategy” and the company believes Bitcoin can “redefine financial systems.” She’s not worried about short-term volatility.

Not everyone’s convinced though.

Some analysts think these corporate moves show real confidence in Bitcoin’s future. Others see it as companies hedging against traditional financial risks. Either way, the buying spree shows institutional players aren’t backing down from crypto, even when prices get ugly. JPMorgan Chase released a report on February 13 analyzing corporate Bitcoin holdings, noting that while “short-term volatility is expected,” more corporate interest could eventually help stabilize Bitcoin’s price.

The crypto market’s seen this before. Bitcoin crashes, everyone freaks out, then it bounces back to new highs. For companies with deep pockets, current prices look like a bargain. Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz said in a February 16 interview that the price drop “offers a unique entry point for institutional investors” and that more corporate adoption “strengthens” Bitcoin’s credibility.

But retail investors are getting nervous.

Bitcoin’s down nearly 30% since January started, and that’s got regular folks worried about a long bear market. On February 10, the price dipped below $30,000 for the first time since late 2024. Some traders are wondering if corporate treasuries are making a mistake buying at these levels. Citigroup analysts warned on February 14 about “potential overvaluation risks,” saying corporate buying doesn’t guarantee quick price recovery.

Regulatory uncertainty keeps making things complicated. The SEC still hasn’t approved any Bitcoin ETFs, and that’s weighing on market sentiment. Everyone’s waiting for the SEC’s decision because ETF approval could bring way more mainstream adoption. Until then, it’s pretty much a waiting game.

Companies are taking the long view anyway. They’re treating Bitcoin as part of broader asset diversification strategies, trying to reduce risks from traditional currencies. PayPal’s CFO John Rainey said on February 16 that despite price drops, user engagement with digital assets “remains robust” on their platform. This follows earlier reporting on Strategy buys 8 million in bitcoin.

February 17 brought some interesting news when BlackRock CEO Larry Fink mentioned his firm is “closely monitoring” Bitcoin’s market dynamics. That got people speculating about whether the world’s largest asset manager might start buying Bitcoin too.

The corporate Bitcoin trend is definitely noteworthy. It shows digital assets are gaining acceptance in traditional finance circles. As more companies reveal their crypto positions, markets will be watching closely. Grayscale Investments reported on February 15 that institutional client inquiries jumped significantly, with CEO Michael Sonnenshein noting interest in Bitcoin and other digital currencies.

But questions about Bitcoin’s stability keep coming up. Investors and analysts can’t agree on where prices are headed next. The cryptocurrency hovered around $28,500 on February 17 before seeing a small rebound. Many traders see this price level as crucial for future buying or selling decisions.

MicroStrategy and Tesla’s moves are pretty bold. They show clear commitment to Bitcoin despite the volatility. Square remains committed too, viewing current market conditions as temporary setbacks rather than fundamental problems. These companies are basically betting that Bitcoin’s long-term potential outweighs short-term price swings.

The banking sector is watching all this with interest. Some banks see corporate Bitcoin adoption as validation of digital assets, while others remain cautious about the risks. The divide in opinion reflects broader uncertainty about cryptocurrency’s role in traditional finance.

Yet without clear regulatory guidance, markets will probably stay choppy. The SEC’s stance on Bitcoin ETFs remains a key factor that could change everything. A positive decision could trigger massive institutional adoption, while continued delays might keep uncertainty alive. For more details, see Binance Sees Bitcoin Surge While Ethereum.

Corporate treasuries aren’t waiting around though. They’re making their bets now, figuring that getting in early beats waiting for perfect regulatory clarity. These companies see Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, not just a speculative investment.

The trend of corporate Bitcoin accumulation reflects growing acceptance among institutional players. As traditional companies add crypto to their balance sheets, it legitimizes digital assets in ways that retail adoption alone couldn’t achieve. But the market remains unpredictable, and even corporate backing can’t guarantee smooth sailing ahead.

Bitcoin’s February performance has been particularly rough for individual investors, with many questioning whether corporate timing is right. Companies seem confident their long-term strategy will pay off, even if short-term volatility continues to shake out weaker hands in the market.

The Federal Reserve’s recent monetary policy signals have added another layer to corporate Bitcoin strategies. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s February 12 comments about maintaining higher interest rates longer than expected pushed some treasury departments to accelerate their digital asset allocations. Goldman Sachs noted that three Fortune 500 companies quietly increased crypto exposure during the same week, though specific names weren’t disclosed.

Meanwhile, international corporations are joining the movement. Canadian mining giant Hut 8 announced plans to hold rather than immediately sell mined Bitcoin, while German software company SAP explored adding cryptocurrency to their corporate reserves. These global moves suggest the corporate Bitcoin trend extends beyond U.S. borders, potentially creating more widespread institutional demand.

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While much of the market’s attention remains fixed on the Bitcoin (BTC) short-term price outlook for the remainder of the year, some early industry voices are raising a far longer-term concern — one that could introduce as much as $274 billion in potential selling pressure over the next decade.

Quantum Risk Debate Grows  In a recent post on social media, market expert Crypto Rover pointed to what he described as a growing conversation among early Bitcoin analysts and long-time participants in the space. 

According to the analysis, the warning is not coming from retail traders reacting to daily price swings. Instead, it is being discussed by so-called “OG” holders — investors who have been involved with Bitcoin since its earliest years.

The issue at the center of the debate is not macroeconomics or regulatory shifts, but quantum computing. A segment of early adopters believes that advances in quantum technology may no longer be a distant or purely theoretical risk. 

Within the next five to ten years, they argue, quantum systems could become powerful enough to challenge the cryptographic foundations that secure the Bitcoin network.

If quantum machines were able to break or significantly weaken that encryption, older wallets — particularly those using early-generation security standards — could become vulnerable.

The concern is not that Bitcoin’s network is currently weak, but that a sufficiently advanced quantum breakthrough could expose dormant coins whose private keys were once thought secure. This is where the potential supply shock comes into focus.

Potential Return Of Early-Era Bitcoin An estimated 4 million BTC from Bitcoin’s early years, particularly before 2011, are considered inactive or lost. Markets generally treat those coins as permanently out of circulation, effectively reducing Bitcoin’s usable supply. 

However, Rover asserts that if quantum computing were ever able to unlock even a portion of those wallets, that supply could theoretically return to the market. 

To understand the magnitude of such a shift, Rover points to recent history. Since 2020, institutions and corporations have collectively accumulated roughly 3 million BTC, which played a key role in driving BTC from $10,000 to peak levels above $120,000. 

The expert warns that if 4 million Bitcoin were suddenly viewed as potentially liquid supply, it would represent a long-term overhang far exceeding the scale of recent institutional accumulation.

However, Rover highlighted that quantum computing does not represent an imminent danger to Bitcoin’s security. The technology is continuously evolving, and there is no confirmed ability to break modern cryptographic standards at scale. 

The daily chart shows BTC’s price in consolidation mode below the key $70,000 level. Source: TOTAL on TradingView.com BTC was trading at roughly $67,800 at the time of writing, representing a 2.6% decrease over the previous seven days, according to CoinGecko data. 

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Dogecoin corrected some gains and traded below $0.1050 against the US Dollar. DOGE is now holding the $0.10 support and might aim for a fresh increase.

DOGE price started a fresh downside correction below $0.1120. The price is trading below the $0.1050 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $0.1020 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.10. Dogecoin Price Faces Resistance Dogecoin price started a downside correction after it failed to stay above $0.1150, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1100 and $0.1080 levels.

There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.0878 swing low to the $0.1175 high. The price even spiked below $0.10 before the bulls appeared. The price is now forming a base above $0.10 and preparing for the next move.

There is also a declining channel forming with resistance at $0.1020 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.1050 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1020 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.1070 level.

Source: DOGEUSD on TradingView.com The next major resistance is near the $0.1120 level. A close above the $0.1120 resistance might send the price toward $0.1150. Any more gains might send the price toward $0.1180. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.120.

Another Decline In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1020 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.10 level.

The next major support is near the $0.0945 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.0878 swing low to the $0.1175 high. The main support sits at $0.0920. If there is a downside break below the $0.0920 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.0875 level or even $0.0865 in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now losing momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.1000 and $0.0945.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.1020 and $0.1070.

The divergence between Bitcoin and tech stocks is a warning sign of a potential artificial intelligence-driven credit crisis that will result in more central bank money printing, says Arthur Hayes. 

“Bitcoin is the global fiat liquidity fire alarm. It is the most responsive freely traded asset to the fiat credit supply,” said the crypto entrepreneur in his latest blog post on Wednesday.

Hayes went on to caution that the recent divergence between Bitcoin (BTC) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index “sounds the alarm that a massive credit destruction event is nigh.”

When these two previously correlated asset classes diverge, “it warrants further investigation into any trigger that could cause a destruction of fiat” — mostly dollars and credit, which is also known as deflation, he said. 

Hayes believes that job losses due to AI adoption will have a major impact on consumer credit and mortgage debt “because of the inability of white-collar knowledge worker debt donkeys to meet their monthly payments.”

“That’s a bold statement to call for a financial crisis because of job losses caused by AI adoption.”AI job losses could trigger another banking crisis In 2025, companies cited AI when announcing 55,000 job cuts, more than 12 times the number of layoffs attributed to AI just two years earlier, reported CBS News in early February. 

“This AI financial crisis will restart the money printing machine for realz,” said Hayes. 

His loose model suggests that a 20% reduction in the 72 million “knowledge workers” in the US could produce around $557 billion in consumer credit and mortgage losses, representing a 13% write-down of US commercial bank equity.

Predicted losses assuming a 20% AI job loss. Source: MaelstromHayes speculates that weaker regional banks would buckle first, depositors would flee, and credit markets would seize. The Federal Reserve would eventually panic and start printing money. 

“While the Fed is fighting windmills, AI-related job losses will destroy the balance sheets of American banks,” he said. 

“Finally, the monetary mandarins panic and press that Brrrr button harder than I shred pow the morning after a one-meter dump.”Hayes predicted that this surge in fiat credit creation would “pump Bitcoin decisively off its lows,” and that the future expectation of increased fiat creation to save the banking system would “propel Bitcoin to a new all-time high.”

In addition to Bitcoin, Hayes said that the two altcoins that his company, Maelstrom, will “deploy excess stables into once the Fed blinks” are Zcash (ZEC) and Hyperliquid (HYPE). 

More money-printing theories abound However, this is not the first radical money-printing thesis Hayes has proposed.

In January, he said that the Federal Reserve would print money to alleviate the Japanese bond crisis. 

In December 2025, he predicted that BTC would surge to $200,000 by March due to money printing through a new Fed liquidity tool called Reserve Management Purchases, which resembles quantitative easing. 

Magazine: Chinese New Year boosts interest, TradFi buying crypto exchanges: Asia Express

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In brief A misconfigured oracle priced cbETH at about $1 instead of roughly $2,200. Liquidations seized 1,096.317 cbETH and wiped out borrower collateral. The protocol was left with $1.78 million in bad debt pending a governance fix. A Sunday morning pricing glitch turned into a multimillion-dollar headache for the DeFi lending platform Moonwell, after a "misconfigured oracle" briefly valued Coinbase Wrapped ETH (cbETH) at just $1.

The pricing error effected caused a 99.9% discount from the asset's actual market value of roughly $2,200. The error triggered a wave of liquidations, ultimately leaving the platform with approximately $1.78 million in bad debt.

“Once identified, our risk manager @anthiasxyz moved quickly to reduce the cbETH borrow cap to 0.01 to contain further risk to the protocol,” Moonwell wrote on X on Monday. “The supply cap was also reduced to 0.01 to prevent new users from unknowingly supplying to the affected market.”

In a Moonwell forum post on Monday, risk management firm Anthias Labs reported the error occurred at 6:01 PM UTC on February 15, when the Moonwell DAO governance proposal, MIP-X43, was executed, enabling Chainlink OEV wrapper contracts across markets on Base and Optimism. One of these oracles was misconfigured and failed to price cbETH’s USD value correctly.

Moonwell said that instead of multiplying the cbETH/ETH feed by the ETH/USD price, the system used only the raw cbETH/ETH exchange rate. As a result, the oracle reported cbETH at around $1.12.

Trading bots began targeting cbETH collateral positions, and because the system believed cbETH was worth just over $1, liquidators were able to repay roughly $1 of debt to seize a total of 1,096.317 cbETH, the company said.

“This wiped out most or all of the cbETH collateral for many borrowers, while leaving substantial bad debt on their positions since the repaid amount was far below the actual borrowed value,” Anthias Labs wrote.

The distorted pricing also enabled exploitation.

“A smaller number of users exploited the distorted pricing to supply minimal collateral, massively over-borrow cbETH at the artificially low reported price, and instantly generate additional bad debt denominated in cbETH,” the firm added.

While the misconfigured Oracle took much of the blame, users on X began circulating images of the MIP-X43 as being co-authored by Claude Opus 4.6, with some calling it a “vibe coding” error.

When asked by Decrypt about the error and resulting exploit, Moonwell spokesperson declined to comment.

Overall, Moonwell was left with $1,779,044 in total bad debt across various markets, according to the post.

According to Moonwell, a forthcoming governance vote will address the oracle configuration following the required timelock period.

Moonwell is the latest in a growing list of DeFi projects exploited due to misconfigured oracles. In December, Ribbon Finance lost about $2.7 million after a decimal mismatch in an oracle upgrade distorted asset pricing and enabled over-collateralization.

In January, DeFi platform Makina Finance was exploited via flash-loan-driven oracle manipulation, allowing an attacker to extract roughly $4 million in ETH.

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Posted: February 18, 2026

As many retail investors begin to lose confidence, the United States Government is drawing attention for its massive Bitcoin holdings.

As of the 17th February, Bitcoin has fallen 1.4% in the past 24 hours and is trading near $67,996.

Over the past month, it has lost more than 28% of its value and has failed several times to rise above the key $70,000 level. This has made many investors nervous.

However, data from Arkham Intelligence shows something surprising. Despite the market panic, the U.S. government still holds about 328,372 BTC, worth around $22.5 billion. 

Remarking on which, Arkham noted, 

“The US Government is bullish on Bitcoin.”

What’s behind this shift? Under U.S. President Donald Trump, the country has taken a more supportive approach.

The U.S. has started treating Bitcoin [BTC] as a strategic asset and has made plans to store its holdings in a permanent Digital Asset Stockpile.

Data from Bitbo shows that the U.S. now holds more Bitcoin than any other country, followed by China and Ukraine.

Meanwhile, according to Chainalysis, India ranked first in crypto adoption in 2025 for the third year in a row. This means millions of Indians are using crypto. However, the rules around it are still unclear.

Source: World Population Review

This issue was recently discussed in the Rajya Sabha during the Union Budget 2026–27 debate. MP Raghav Chadha criticized the government for earning money from crypto users without giving them clear legal protection.

Thus, while India leads in user numbers, the U.S. is focusing on building strong institutions around crypto.

Institutional interests in Bitcoin also rise At the same time, interest in Bitcoin ETFs is growing again.

On the 15th of February, ETFs recorded $15.1 million in inflows, pushing their total value close to $100 billion since launch. This shows that big investors are still confident in Bitcoin.

In simple terms, while prices may look weak today, the biggest players are thinking about tomorrow. 

However, it’s important to note that the excitement at the start of 2026 has now cooled down. A new report from CoinShares shows that crypto investment products have seen money leave the market for four weeks in a row.

Therefore, it is not yet clear whether this phase is just a short “crypto winter” or a necessary correction before the next rise. What is clear is that crypto is now a part of a serious global financial strategy.

Final Summary Under President Donald Trump, the U.S. is shifting from doubt to a strategic approach toward Bitcoin. By holding billions in seized Bitcoin, the U.S. has quietly built one of the world’s largest digital asset reserves.

Bitcoin continues to struggle to reclaim the $70,000 level, with price action increasingly confined to a broad range above $60,000. This consolidation reflects persistent selling pressure near resistance while buyers appear willing to defend lower levels, creating a temporary equilibrium rather than a clear directional trend. Market sentiment remains cautious, with traders closely watching liquidity conditions, macro signals, and on-chain flows for clues about the next decisive move.

A recent CryptoQuant analysis provides additional context by highlighting a noticeable shift in miner behavior. According to the data, the pace of Bitcoin withdrawals from trading platforms has accelerated significantly in recent weeks. Since the beginning of February, roughly 36,000 BTC have been withdrawn from exchanges — a substantial figure compared to previous months.

Such withdrawals are often interpreted as a reduction in immediate selling intent, as miners typically move coins off exchanges when prioritizing long-term holding or alternative liquidity strategies. While this does not guarantee bullish price action, it can reduce short-term supply pressure in spot markets.

Miner Withdrawals Signal Potential Shift In Bitcoin Supply Dynamics The analysis further highlights the scale and distribution of recent miner withdrawals from exchanges. More than 12,000 Bitcoin were reportedly withdrawn from Binance alone, while the remaining volume — exceeding 24,000 BTC — was spread across multiple other trading platforms. This broad-based movement suggests coordinated repositioning rather than isolated activity by a single entity, pointing to a wider shift in miner liquidity management strategies.

Bitcoin Exchange to Miner Flow | Source: CryptoQuant Such behavior is often interpreted as a move toward longer-term storage. Miners typically transfer holdings to cold wallets when they are less inclined to sell immediately, reducing the amount of Bitcoin readily available on exchanges. This can signal increased confidence in future price appreciation or a strategic decision to manage liquidity outside active trading venues.

Daily withdrawal intensity has also accelerated notably. At one point, more than 6,000 BTC were withdrawn in a single day, marking the highest daily level since last November. This pace clearly exceeds the activity observed in January, reinforcing the view that miners may be entering a repositioning phase.

While not inherently bullish, sustained exchange outflows from miners can contribute to tighter spot supply conditions, potentially influencing price stability and market sentiment over time.

Price Consolidates Below Resistance Bitcoin price action continues to reflect structural weakness, with the chart showing a clear downtrend following the rejection from the late-2025 highs. Successive lower highs and lower lows remain intact, confirming that bearish momentum has not yet been invalidated. The recent decline toward the mid-$60K range appears to be stabilizing temporarily, but price has not reclaimed any major technical resistance levels.

BTC testing critical demand level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView The moving average structure reinforces this view. Price remains below key trend indicators, which are sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance. This alignment typically reflects sustained selling pressure rather than a completed correction. Until Bitcoin reclaims these averages convincingly, upside recoveries are likely to face repeated selling interest.

Volume behavior also deserves attention. The sharp spike accompanying the recent drop suggests forced selling or panic-driven liquidation rather than orderly distribution. However, the subsequent reduction in volume during consolidation indicates that aggressive sellers may be temporarily exhausted, though not necessarily absent.

From a technical standpoint, the $60K–$65K zone is emerging as an important short-term support area. A sustained breakdown below it could open the door to deeper downside. Conversely, recovery above the $70K region would be required to weaken the current bearish structure and signal potential stabilization.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.450. The price is now consolidating losses but faces hurdles near $1.4850 and $1.50.

XRP price started another decline and traded below the $1.50 zone. The price is now trading above $1.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.4920 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.50. XRP Price Finds Support XRP price failed to stay above $1.550 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.520 and $1.50 to enter a short-term bearish zone.

The price even extended losses below $1.450. A low was formed at $1.4264, and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor upward move toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6712 swing high to the $1.4264 low.

The price is now trading above $1.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh recovery move, the price might face resistance near the $1.490 level. There is also a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.4920 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.

The first major resistance is near the $1.50 level. A close above $1.50 could send the price to $1.5480 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6712 swing high to the $1.4264 low.

Source: XRPUSD on TradingView.com The next hurdle sits at $1.550. A clear move above the $1.550 resistance might send the price toward the $1.5850 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.620 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.650.

Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.4420 level. The next major support is near the $1.4250 level.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.4250 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.40. The next major support sits near the $1.3850 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.350.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $1.4420 and $1.4250.

Major Resistance Levels – $1.4920 and $1.50.

Soluna Holdings is deepening its ties with Blockware, adding 6 megawatts (MW) of capacity at Project Dorothy 1 in West Texas as deployment moves toward completion by the end of February. Bitcoin Miner and HPC Service Provider Soluna Strengthens Texas Presence With Capacity Increase Soluna Holdings Inc.

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A major blunder. The South Korean platform Bithumb accidentally sent 620,000 bitcoins to its users last Saturday, amounting to about 37 billion euros ending up in the wrong hands. A computer bug in the transfer system triggered the whole incident.

The exchange has already apologized, but the damage is done. Customers saw their wallets skyrocket overnight without any action on their part. Kim Tae-yong, the CEO, says his technical teams are working around the clock to fix the issue. He promises that the security of funds remains his top priority, although this time it didn’t quite work out. Kim also wants to strengthen security protocols to ensure this never happens again. But for now, no one really knows how to recover all those bitcoins that are out there.

No clear plan.

Bithumb suspended all transactions on February 7, 2026, to conduct its investigation. The announcement on their official site caused panic among users. The company promises to keep everyone informed, but details remain vague. According to The Korea Herald, Bithumb is considering hiring external experts to audit its systems. No date for this audit either.

Regulators are watching closely. The South Korean Ministry of Science and Technology is following the case. Park Jong-ho, the minister, says they are discussing ways to ensure the security of national crypto platforms. An emergency meeting between Bithumb and the Financial Services Commission is scheduled for February 10, 2026. The agenda is secret, but it will likely decide on upcoming sanctions.

It’s not just the authorities who are worried. Related coverage: CFTC Chair Selig Declares War on.

Users are questioning whether their assets are truly safe. Bithumb sent them an email on February 8, 2026, to check their accounts and report any issues. But some clients are already considering legal action. Their lawyers speak of financial and emotional stress. A Bithumb spokesperson refuses to comment on potential legal actions.

Kim Min-jun, an affected user, fears tax complications: “I received bitcoins by mistake, but I’m worried about the taxes it will cost me.” Not exactly the kind of gift one wants to receive.

This isn’t Bithumb’s first trouble. In 2024, a glitch temporarily crashed their services. But transferring 620,000 bitcoins is unprecedented. The Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) is considering tightening its oversight of the platform. Lee Ji-hoon, an analyst at Crypto Insights, thinks the incident will change the game for all crypto platforms in South Korea.

The market reacted strangely. Bitcoin fell to 35,000 euros before stabilizing. Traders are watching every move, fearing the incident might undermine investor confidence. Any prolonged disruption could wreak havoc on prices. For more details, see SafeMoon Ex-CEO Gets Eight Years Behind.

Bithumb plans a press conference on February 10, 2026, to address questions. But again, no details on what they will actually say. Users are waiting for concrete answers on how they will recover these misplaced bitcoins. It remains to be seen if the company will ask clients to return the money or find another solution.

The technical error reveals major flaws in Bithumb’s infrastructure, which manages over 8 million active users according to the latest figures from the Korea Blockchain Association. The exchange ranks third in the South Korean cryptocurrency market, behind Upbit and Coinone. Its daily transaction volume usually exceeds 2 billion dollars. An incident of this magnitude risks driving its clientele massively towards competitors. Several users already report having opened accounts with other platforms since Saturday.

The affair could trigger a complete overhaul of crypto regulation in South Korea. The government has been working since 2025 on a strengthened bill to regulate digital assets. This incident comes at the worst time for the sector. The Korea Blockchain Industry Association fears that authorities will further toughen their stance. Several members of the National Assembly are already calling for mandatory audits for all crypto platforms. Minister Park Jong-ho had eased some rules last year to encourage innovation. But now, it’s hard to justify a lax approach when 37 billion euros vanish with a single click.

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Selling pressure overwhelms new capital inflows; hundreds of billions entering the market fail to lift overall market capitalization higher.Two recovery scenarios emerge: prices drop further toward the $55,000 realized price, or prolonged sideways trading around $60,000-$70,000.Altcoin outlook remains bleak as fresh capital inflows have virtually stopped, with funds merely rotating among existing market participants.Selling pressure overwhelms new capital inflows; institutional unwinding and the absence of buying interest define the current cycle.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has declared the current bitcoin market a definitive bear cycle, warning that a genuine recovery could take months and may require prices to fall further before a sustainable rebound materializes.

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Capital Inflows Failing to Move the NeedleIn an interview with a South Korean crypto outlet, Ju laid out a data-driven case for extended weakness. He pointed to a fundamental imbalance between capital inflows and selling pressure.

“Hundreds of billions of dollars have entered the market, yet the overall market capitalization has either stagnated or declined,” Ju said. “That means selling pressure is overwhelming new capital.”

He noted that past deep corrections have typically required at least three months of consolidation before investment sentiment recovered. Ju emphasized that any short-term bounces should not be mistaken for the start of a new bull cycle.

Two Paths to RecoveryJu outlined two scenarios for Bitcoin’s eventual recovery. The first involves prices dropping toward the realized price of approximately $55,000. The price is the average cost basis of all bitcoin holders, calculated from on-chain transaction data, before rebounding. Historically, bitcoin has needed to revisit this level to generate fresh upward momentum.

The second scenario envisions a prolonged sideways consolidation in the $60,000 to $70,000 range. The prices would grind through months of range-bound trading before the next leg up.

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In either case, Ki stressed that the preconditions for a sustained rally are not currently in place. ETF inflows have stalled, over-the-counter demand has dried up, and both realized and standard market capitalizations are either flat or declining.

Institutional Exodus Behind the DeclineJu attributed much of the recent selling to institutional players unwinding positions. As bitcoin’s volatility contracted over the past year, institutions that had entered the market to capture volatility through beta-delta-neutral strategies found better opportunities in assets such as the Nasdaq and gold.

“When bitcoin stopped moving, there was no reason for institutions to keep those positions,” Ju explained. Data from the CME show that institutions have significantly reduced their short positions—not a bullish signal, but evidence of capital withdrawal.

Ju also flagged aggressive selling patterns where large volumes of bitcoin were dumped at market price within very short timeframes. He believes this suggests either forced liquidations or deliberate institutional selling to manipulate derivative positions.

Altcoin Outlook Even BleakerThe picture for altcoins is grimmer still. Ju noted that while altcoin trading volume appeared robust throughout 2024, actual fresh capital inflows were limited to a handful of tokens with ETF listing prospects. The broader altcoin market cap never significantly surpassed its previous all-time high, indicating that funds were merely rotating among existing participants rather than expanding the market.

“The era of a single narrative lifting the entire altcoin market is over,” Ki said. He acknowledged that structural innovations such as AI agent economies could eventually create new value-driven models for altcoins, but dismissed the likelihood of simple narrative-driven rallies returning.

“Short-term altcoin upside is limited. The damage to investor sentiment from this downturn will take considerable time to heal,” he concluded.

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TLDR:

Mubadala Investment Company increased its position in the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) to reach 12.7 million shares. Al Warda Investments also raised its stake, bringing the combined investment of both funds to over $1 billion. The purchases were strategically executed during market dips, reinforcing the thesis of long-term institutional accumulation. It was revealed on Tuesday that Abu Dhabi funds surpassed $1 billion in Bitcoin exposure through regulated U.S. vehicles. According to recent 13F filings with the SEC, firms such as Mubadala Investment Company and Al Warda Investments took advantage of the volatility in the fourth quarter of 2025 to accumulate millions of shares in BlackRock’s ETF, IBIT.

This financial maneuver demonstrates that temporary price pullbacks do not intimidate large state-owned capital. On the contrary, the steadfastness of these United Arab Emirates government entities underscores a diversification strategy into digital assets aimed at stability and growth over a multi-year horizon.

Strategic accumulation and institutional resilience in 2026 Although the value of these holdings fluctuated at the beginning of 2026 due to recent market corrections, the commitment of these sovereign wealth funds remains unchanged. Consequently, the interest in liquid and regulated products continues to displace direct investment in traditional exchanges, offering governments an essential layer of security and regulatory compliance for managing assets of this magnitude.

Robert Mitchnick, Head of Digital Assets at BlackRock, explained that the perception of hedge funds being responsible for selling pressure is erroneous. Instead, the firm’s data suggests that large IBIT holders maintain a “buy and hold” outlook, acting as a fundamental support for the cryptocurrency market structure.

In summary, the news that Abu Dhabi funds have consolidated such a level of exposure is a milestone in the validation of Bitcoin as a legitimate store of value for nation-states. Global analysts remain focused on how this flow of sovereign capital will influence other funds in the region, potentially driving a new wave of massive institutional adoption in the coming months.

In brief Bitcoin’s decline is diverging from Nasdaq’s sideways movement, flashing a warning signal according to Maelstrom fund's Arthur Hayes. Hayes estimates $330 billion in consumer credit losses if 20% of knowledge workers lose jobs to AI While experts agree with the idea, they disagree on the timeline, suggesting that disruption of that scale takes quarters, not weeks Bitcoin is signaling a warning that traditional equities have yet to acknowledge, according to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes.

The leading crypto has been on a downtrend since its October 2025 all-time high of $126,080, while the Nasdaq 100 Index has remained largely flat. That divergence is driven by job losses in the face of advances in artificial intelligence, Hayes argues, suggesting it signals an impending dollar credit crunch.

"This is how a banking crisis completely grinds Pax Americana's economy to a halt," Hayes wrote in his Tuesday Substack post titled "This Is Fine," referring to the U.S.-led global financial system.

Not everyone is convinced the divergence carries such dire implications. “Divergence is worth watching, but only one data point rather than a confirmed alarm,”  Ryan McMillin, chief investment officer at crypto fund manager Merkle Tree Capital, told Decrypt. 

While Bitcoin's decoupling from the Nasdaq is notable, McMillin argues that falling dollar liquidity is a credible partial explanation, citing the Fed's decision to keep rates elevated and to drain the reverse repo facility. 

Bitcoin-specific factors such as the four-year cycle dynamics, profit-taking after the October all-time high, a stalled Clarity Act, and ETF flow patterns have all played a role, independent of macro liquidity signals.

"The relationship between Bitcoin and equities has never been static," Colin Goltra, CEO of EVM settlement layer for payments Morph, told Decrypt. "Bitcoin can trade like a risk asset at times and move independently at others, so short-term divergences are neither new nor inherently revealing."

Bitcoin is the first to react to liquidity headwinds, according to Hayes, since it is the most responsive asset to fiat credit conditions. Nasdaq, by contrast, has yet to fully price in what he describes as an AI-driven wave of white-collar job displacement that will trigger widespread consumer credit and mortgage defaults.

"If AI tools like Anthropic's Claude Cowork can reliably complete tasks in minutes that would take a human hours or days, why do you need all those SaaS productivity subscriptions?" Hayes wrote.

With the iShares Software ETF underperforming the broader Nasdaq, Hayes expects the next phase to target the workers themselves—and, by extension, the banks that lent to them. 

Hayes estimates $330 billion in consumer credit losses and $227 billion in mortgage losses for U.S. commercial banks if 20% of the 72.1 million knowledge workers with roughly $3.76 trillion in consumer credit lose their jobs to AI.

McMillin pushed back on the timeline, if not the directional concern. 

"The scenario is intellectually coherent but does overstate the speed of near-term disruption," he said. Hayes' model assumes 20% of knowledge workers lose jobs fast enough to create a synchronized wave of loan defaults, but "labor markets don't work that cleanly." 

AI headwindsEven rapid AI adoption translates into redundancies over quarters and years, not weeks, and many employers will reduce headcount through attrition and hiring freezes rather than mass layoffs, experts argue.

That said, McMillin acknowledged "the directional concern isn't wrong: rising credit card delinquencies are already real, SaaS valuations are under pressure, and a rolling deterioration in consumer credit quality is plausible." The crisis timeline, he argued, is "probably more stretched than Hayes suggests."

The market is already telegraphing that outcome, Hayes argues, pointing to gold's recent strength relative to Bitcoin's slide.

Gold surging amid Bitcoin’s slump indicates “that a deflationary risk-off credit event within Pax Americana is brewing," Hayes wrote. If such an event does trigger, the former BitMEX CEO expects the Federal Reserve to eventually print money to backstop the banking system crisis.

Goltra agreed the Fed would respond forcefully. For Bitcoin, such episodes matter because they "gradually change how market participants interpret the durability of the monetary system." Large-scale liquidity interventions reinforce the case for assets with fixed supply characteristics.

For Bitcoin traders, the setup presents a two-scenario path. Either the leading crypto’s drop from $126,000 to $60,000 was the full downward move, and that stocks will eventually catch up with the correction, or Bitcoin will dump further as equities meet their maker, Hayes said.

The eventual outcome is the same: massive money printing that sends Bitcoin to new highs, he said.

"Everyone knows that everyone knows that AI is the most transformative general-purpose technology in human history," Hayes wrote. "Faced with these 'truths,' the Fed must print bigger than it's ever printed before."

Bitcoin hasn’t caught a break in 2026. The top crypto is down 2.5% over 24 hours and 27% over the past month, according to CoinGecko. It currently trades at approximately $67,000 per coin.

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American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC), the firm backed by Eric and Donald Trump Jr., has reached a reserve of 6,060 BTC valued at approximately $413 million, consolidating its position in the institutional market. Arkham Intelligence data analyzed this February 2026 reveals that American Bitcoin Corp increased its BTC reserves through a hybrid model that combines direct mining with strategic purchases in the open market, already ranking among the top 20 corporate holders worldwide.

Despite the growth in the value of its reserves, the company’s shares have fallen 45% so far this year due to Bitcoin’s price volatility, as it currently struggles to stabilize above $68,000. This context reflects a paradigm shift in corporate treasuries, where firms like ABTC or those led by Michael Saylor prefer to retain the asset as a long-term store of value instead of liquidating it to finance immediate operations.

The market will closely monitor whether ABTC manages to surpass giants like Galaxy Digital in holdings while Bitcoin seeks to reclaim the psychological $70,000 mark. The key will be to observe how the Trump family’s influence and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts impact institutional risk appetite, which could reverse the bearish trend of its shares and validate its aggressive accumulation strategy.

Source:https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/american-bitcoin

Disclaimer: Crypto Economy’s Flash News is prepared from official and public sources verified by our editorial team. Its purpose is to report quickly on relevant facts from the crypto and blockchain ecosystem. This information does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendations. We recommend always verifying the official channels of each project before making related decisions.

British multinational bank Standard Chartered has sharply cut its year-end 2026 price target for XRP, lowering it from $8.00 to $2.80 — a stark 65% reduction — citing market challenges.

The revision underscores a clear change in institutional positioning toward one of the market’s leading altcoins and highlights the growing caution shaping sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency landscape.

While the bank also revised forecasts for other major cryptocurrencies downward, it remains long-term bullish on XRP, projecting a price of $28.00 by 2030.

Crypto Turbulence Forces Standard Chartered To Rethink XRP Projection Standard Chartered has shared a sombre outlook for Ripple-promoted XRP.

In a recent note to investors, Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, described recent price movements as especially difficult and cautioned that further near-term declines are possible, leading the bank to revise down its forecasts across the cryptocurrency sector.

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Although XRP kicked off the year with solid upside, buoyed by regulatory progress and growing optimism around potential ETF catalysts, February’s market pullback wiped out a huge portion of those gains. The asset now trades well below its recent peaks, reflecting the broader shift in sentiment across the digital asset market.

Standard Chartered said it now sees the XRP token at $2.8 at the end of the year, down from $8 previously. The cross-border payments-focused token was trading around $1.46 at publication time.

Fund flows have reflected the broader retreat. Assets held in XRP-linked exchange-traded products declined from approximately $1.6 billion on Jan. 5 to around $1 billion by mid-February, according to SoSoValue data, representing a drop of roughly 40%.

Standard Chartered likewise revised its outlook for other leading cryptocurrencies, reducing its price targets for Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Solana (SOL) as part of a broader recalibration driven by macroeconomic uncertainties and weakening capital inflows.

Specifically, the bank cut its BTC forecast to $100,000 from $150,000, Ether to $4,000 from $7,000, and SOL to $135 from $250.

XRP’s Long-Term Narrative Remains Unchanged Despite the downward revision, Standard Chartered maintains a bullish long-term outlook on XRP’s position within the evolving digital asset landscape. The analysts indicated that XRP could continue to benefit from growth in stablecoins, tokenized real-world assets, and blockchain-based settlement infrastructure — sectors expected to expand steadily in the coming years.

According to the bank, these trends may support XRP’s growth trajectory alongside other major settlement-focused digital assets, particularly as financial institutions increasingly explore blockchain-driven payment technologies and cross-border liquidity solutions.

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On-chain PAXG short squeeze: whale losses flipped to $15.4M monthly gainA large on-chain trader shorted PAXG with 5× leverage using about $2.8 million in collateral to control roughly $30.3 million notional, then saw losses reverse into gains as prices rebounded, as reported by AInvest. The publication adds that realized profit from this position was approximately $12.7 million, contributing to a total monthly profit of $15.4 million across multiple leveraged trades.

The report also described a contemporaneous opposing long by an early contributor known as “Loracle” at an on-chain derivatives venue, sized near $46.5 million with an average entry around $5,047, which later turned profitable. The article linked the reversal to a broader gold rebound influenced by macro catalysts, including Federal Reserve policy expectations and labor data, and noted the absence of institutional or regulatory commentary in the coverage.

Why this matters for tokenized gold and on-chain leverageTokenized gold’s growing activity shows how on-chain leverage can compress reaction time between macro signals and market outcomes, making squeezes more abrupt when liquidity is thin. One industry publication characterized the turnover shift this way:

“Tokenized gold has overtaken major gold ETFs in trading volume in select periods,” said CoinCentral.

Because perpetual swaps settle via periodic funding payments, short squeezes can intensify when funding skews against shorts and maintenance margins tighten. With shallower order books than major ETFs, slippage and forced covering can be pronounced during rapid moves.

Volume leadership does not equal assets under management or lower risk. Market structure and custody differ materially from ETF markets, which can influence volatility, execution quality, and the path of liquidations.

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The episode’s immediate effect was rapid deleveraging of concentrated short exposure and visibility into large opposing positions on public venue dashboards. Funding dynamics and open interest typically move with such squeezes, amplifying realized gains and losses as positions are closed or reduced.

Confirmed elements from the original publication include the use of 5× leverage, the approximate $30.3 million notional short exposure, the $12.7 million realized gain from that position, the $15.4 million monthly total, and the presence of a sizable opposing long. There is no independent, regulator-verified dataset publicly cited for this episode.

How to verify claims and assess on-chain trading risksVerification checklist: addresses, perp OI, funding rates, timestampsTrace the addresses or trader identifiers cited in coverage and confirm activity on the relevant venue’s public dashboards. Cross-check perpetual open interest, historical funding prints, and time-synced price moves. Align reported entries and exits with block timestamps and venue trade histories to evaluate plausibility and slippage.

Risk notes: liquidity, slippage, partial liquidations, margin stressThin liquidity can widen spreads and magnify price impact during forced covering. Slippage increases with notional size and urgency. Partial liquidations can cascade if volatility expands, compounding margin stress and accelerating deleveraging.

FAQ about PAXG short squeezeHow does a short squeeze unfold in tokenized gold markets like PAXG using on-chain leverage?Rising prices force shorts to cover, lifting demand. Funding turns punitive, margins thin, and liquidation engines close positions, amplifying upward moves in low-depth pairs.

Which platforms were involved (e.g., Hyperliquid) and how do their liquidation and funding mechanisms work?Hyperliquid hosted activity; according to Hyperliquid, perps use continuous funding between longs and shorts and liquidate when margin falls below maintenance thresholds using mark prices.

DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.

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TLDR:

The Shiba Inu token managed to reclaim the monthly support level of $0.00000629 following the low reached on February 6. Whale money flow (CMF) remains in negative territory, suggesting a lack of active institutional accumulation. Futures markets show a shift in sentiment with a funding rate that is turning positive again. Tuesday’s session was decisive for the Shiba Inu ecosystem, as the token held its key support against the downtrend after recovering the monthly level of $0.00000629. Despite this breathing room, the currency still faces difficulties in eliminating the “fifth zero,” primarily because large investors—or whales—are not aggressively injecting capital into this price range.

Currently, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator reflects slight negativity, warning of a possible bearish divergence if the $0.00000700 resistance is not reclaimed soon. However, since the cycle low recorded on February 6 at $0.00000500, the asset has rallied 31%, demonstrating resilience within the memecoin segment.

Strategic movements and derivative market sentiment Beyond price action, a “supply crunch” phenomenon is being observed as trillions of SHIB tokens have been withdrawn from exchanges into self-custody wallets. This behavior by the “SHIB Army” suggests long-term conviction, reducing the selling pressure available on mass trading platforms and restoring optimism among holders.

In the derivatives markets, data from CoinGlass reveals that Open Interest (OI) and the funding rate have returned to green territory, indicating that short sellers are beginning to lose ground to bullish positions. On platforms like Binance, the long-to-short position ratio has reached an optimistic 1.71 daily, confirming a shift in the risk appetite of retail traders.

In summary, the future of SHIB will depend on its ability to transform this support into a launchpad for higher levels. While the community maintains its asset withdrawal strategy, analysts’ eyes remain fixed on whale activity, as their participation will be the definitive catalyst to break the current downtrend.

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Bitcoin’s price has fallen sharply over the past few months, bringing an end to the bull market cycle. However, a closely watched Bitcoin market indicator is currently drawing renewed attention in the sector due to its reputation in determining when the next possible BTC bull run could take place.

History Says Bitcoin Rallies When This Metric Flips Red After Bitcoin’s steep pullback, investors are now watching closely for the next bullish breakout that could kick off another BTC bull run. On-chain indicators have often been a reliable source for determining the next bull run, and Joao Wedson has highlighted a key metric that stands out in this context.

Specifically, the verified author and founder of Alphractal has shared insights into the matter using the Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) for Long-Term Holders. This metric measures the average unrealized profit or loss of the most reliant investors in the market. 

According to the expert, the next bull run for Bitcoin usually begins when this metric flips red. Irrespective of how it sounds, previous cycles have demonstrated that the color shift frequently corresponds with times of highest pessimism when selling pressure peaks and long-term accumulation subtly start.

Source: Chart from Joao Wedson on X Recent data seen on the chart tells that the metric is currently positioned at the 0.36 level, which implies that long-term holders remain on average in terms of profit. However, Wedson highlighted that the most significant signal often emerges when the metric shifts into negative territory.

It is worth noting that when long-term holders NUPL shifts into negative territory, it indicates that losses continue to mount even among the most convinced participants. In the past, this pattern has marked the phase of maximum market depression. In Wedson’s view, this stage reflects seller exhaustion, the transfer of coins to stronger hands, and the beginning of a new market cycle.

This was the last stage before a fresh Bull Run began in earlier cycles. “Opportunities are not built at the top, they are built in depression,” Wedson added.

BTC Accumulator Addresses Are Rising Darkfost, an author at CryptoQuant, has shared a detailed analysis of Bitcoin accumulator addresses, which appear to be steadily rising. According to the expert, these addresses represent a specific class of long-term holders, and their recent actions are very noteworthy. A tendency toward increasing accumulation often indicates that supply is being covertly absorbed, reducing the quantity of Bitcoin on the open market.

Data shows that the current average monthly accumulation is a staggering 372,000 BTC. These investors or corporations, who continue to accumulate aggressively, seem to be taking advantage of the current dip in Bitcoin. In contrast, the average monthly accumulation of these addresses was only over 10,000 BTC in September 2024.

Market structure indicates that some investors are responding emotionally to short-term price movements, while others seem to be planning for the long run, which has always been one of the best ways to invest in BTC.

BTC trading at $68,412 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Godspower Owie is my name, and I work for the news platforms NewsBTC and Bitcoinist. I sometimes like to think of myself as an explorer since I enjoy exploring new places, learning new things, especially valuable ones, and meeting new people who have an impact on my life, no matter how small. I value my family, friends, career, and time. Really, those are most likely the most significant aspects of every person's existence. Not illusions, but dreams are what I pursue.