Market Signal Briefing

Recall that PI traded close to $0.30 just a few weeks ago. Now, it's down to under $0.18.

The Core Team behind the controversial blockchain project has outlined the deadline for the completion of the next major upgrade, which should take place in the next week or so.

However, the protocol’s native token continues to bleed, dropping over 3% in the past day and dumping by double-digits weekly. It has erased essentially all gains charted during the post-Kraken-announcement rally.

Next Update Deadline The big protocol updates for Pi Network began in late February when the team announced the migration to version 19.6. The next one, v19.9, followed suit in early March. The most anticipated upgrade was version 20.2, which drew significant attention as it laid the groundworks for smart-contract capabilities, which would allow Pi Network to become a fully functional blockchain ecosystem.

After it was successfully upgraded by Pi Day (March 14), the team set its sights on the next big move – moving to protocol 21. However, it didn’t initially provide a specific timeframe for completion, which led some community members to question the actual implementation.

Nevertheless, the Core Team outlined in a post on X hours ago that the Pi Network Mainnet has begun the process of upgrading to protocol 21, and the deadline is April 6. As with all previous such updates, they urged all Mainnet nodes to “complete this step before the deadline to remain connected to the network.”

The Pi Mainnet is upgrading to Protocol 21 – Deadline: Apr 6. All Mainnet nodes are required to complete this step before the deadline to remain connected to the network. Details here: https://t.co/9VehO7hhj1

— Pi Network (@PiCoreTeam) March 27, 2026

PI Still Tanks Perhaps due to the aforementioned updates or, more likely, because of Kraken’s decision to list the underlying asset for trading, the PI token went on a wild run in mid-March. At one point, just after Kraken’s announcement, it skyrocketed by 30% in 24 hours. Overall, it jumped by nearly 100% in days and marked a multi-month peak of nearly $0.30.

You may also like: Bitcoin (BTC) Plunges Before the FOMC Meeting, Pi Network (PI) Soars by 15%: Market Watch However, once the actual listing became official, it turned out to be another classic sell-the-news event, and PI crashed to under $0.20 instantly. It has remained mostly below that level ever since. It’s now down to under $0.175 after another 3% drop in the past day, as it has lost 13% of its value weekly.

Data from PiScan shows that the average daily unlock of PI tokens will be relatively high for the next month, close to 7 million. There will be several days with over 10 million coins to be released, which is something that could intensify the immediate selling pressure and lead to further declines.

Pi Token Unlock Schedule. Source: PiScan Tags:

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said stablecoins may become the main way businesses enter the crypto sector as companies seek faster payment tools. 

Summary

Garlinghouse said CFOs and treasurers are weighing stablecoins for faster business payments and treasury use. Bloomberg Intelligence projected stablecoin flows could reach $56.6 trillion by 2030, supporting broader payment adoption. Ripple’s RLUSD ranks tenth by market cap as the company expands infrastructure through major acquisitions. He told FOX Business that more boards, treasurers, and chief financial officers are now asking how stablecoins could fit into company operations.

Garlinghouse said stablecoins could become crypto’s “ChatGPT moment” for businesses. He said the main shift would come when company finance teams gain a direct option to use stablecoins for payments and treasury activity.

He said many firms are already discussing that move at the executive level. According to his remarks, companies from the Fortune 500 and Fortune 2000 are asking internal finance leaders what role stablecoins should play in their plans.

Market growth supports the business case Bloomberg Intelligence said in early January that stablecoin flows could grow at a compound annual rate of 80% and reach $56.6 trillion by 2030. That forecast has added to the view that stablecoins may take a larger role in global payments.

Garlinghouse also said stablecoins processed more than $33 trillion in trading volume last year. He added that almost 90% of that volume came from Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC, which still hold the largest share of the market.

In addition, Ripple entered the market with Ripple USD, or RLUSD, in December 2024. CoinGecko data shows RLUSD is now the 10th largest stablecoin by market value, with a market capitalization of about $1.4 billion.

Ripple also expanded its payments and treasury infrastructure through acquisitions. The company bought institutional prime brokerage Hidden Road for $1.25 billion and corporate treasury platform GTreasury for $1 billion, adding more tools for business-focused blockchain services.

Regulation remains part of the strategy Garlinghouse said U.S. regulation will play a major role in how quickly stablecoin payments expand. He said the CLARITY Act could help speed up adoption if Congress passes the bill and the president signs it into law.

He also said many market participants are watching the United States closely for clearer rules. In the interview, Garlinghouse said, “A lot of eyes are on what is US regulation going to look like and is it going to get done,” while also criticizing past regulatory approaches under former SEC Chair Gary Gensler.

Shiba Inu price drops 2% as 40 billion SHIB floods exchanges, and a bearish triangle rejection adds pressure despite 1.5 million holder growth.

Shiba Inu is caught between two competing forces. On one side, fresh data shows continued retail participation. On the other hand, on-chain signals point to rising selling pressure, pushing the token's price down 2.18% over the last 24 hours to around $0.00000577 at the time of writing.

The tension is visible across multiple data sets, and for now, the bearish signals appear to have the upper hand. New wallet creation in the Shiba Inu ecosystem has remained consistent, ranging between 5,000 and 12,000 new wallets per month. That steady pace has pushed total holders past the 1.50 million mark, according to figures released by the Shibarium team. The number reflects sustained retail interest even as SHIB has struggled to find a footing in a choppy market.

Exchange Inflows Signal Growing Sell-Side PressureOn-chain data from CryptoQuant recorded nearly 40 billion SHIB tokens moving into exchanges during the 24-hour window ending March 26. Outflows failed to keep pace. The result was a positive netflow, more tokens entering exchanges than leaving them.

Exchange reserves climbed from 81.20 trillion to 81.29 trillion tokens in the same period. That increase confirms the trend. Tokens sitting on exchanges are accessible. Any holder looking to exit a position quickly can do so without the added step of transferring from a private wallet first.

That availability matters in uncertain market conditions. When liquidity is thin and sentiment is weak, a large pool of exchange-held tokens can accelerate a price decline. It does not guarantee a sell-off, but it does mean the conditions for one are present.

Technical Rejection Adds to Bearish OutlookThe chart picture for SHIB offered little comfort. Analysts identified the token attempting to push through the upper boundary of a descending triangle pattern, a formation widely regarded as a bearish signal. That attempt failed.

Descending triangles form when price makes lower highs while holding a flat support level. Each failed breakout attempt at the upper boundary tends to strengthen the resolve of sellers. SHIB's rejection at that level was consistent with that dynamic. The price pulled back after failing to clear the resistance zone, compounding what was already a weak session.

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Newton Gitonga covers cryptocurrencies, blockchain, and digital finance. He specializes in breaking down complex trends with clear, data-driven reporting. His work focuses on market analysis, technical insights, and the evolving role of altcoins in shaping global markets.

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Tether has hired KPMG to perform a full audit of USDT, the world’s largest stablecoin, which currently has around $184 billion in circulation after years of relying on point-in-time attestations.

KPMG To Conduct First Full Audit Of $184B USDT The Financial Times reported on Friday that Tether hired KPMG, following the company’s earlier announcement that it had engaged an unnamed “Big Four” accounting firm for the first time to conduct a full financial statement audit.

According to the FT, Tether has also brought in PwC to ready its internal systems for the audit, representing the El Salvador-based company’s most significant move yet toward full financial transparency.

The dual appointments come as Tether navigates investor hesitation in its fundraising efforts while pushing for U.S. market expansion under the new federal stablecoin framework created by the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act. 

The audit will provide a thorough review of Tether’s entire financial reporting framework, including internal controls and asset valuations, an effort the company has described as “the biggest ever inaugural audit in the history of financial markets.”

 

Why It’s a Big Deal The company had previously released monthly attestations from BDO Italia verifying that USDT was backed by the assets Tether reported to hold. Tether revealed in January that it held over $122 billion in direct U.S. Treasury securities, with total Treasury exposure reaching about $141 billion when including related instruments like overnight reverse repurchase agreements. 

However, those assurances do not match the depth of a comprehensive financial statement audit, which KPMG is now set to carry out, according to the Financial Times.

Tether said it selected the Big Four firm through a competitive process and claims to already meet Big Four-level audit standards, though it has yet to publicly confirm a timeline for completing the audit.

The audit marks a major turning point for the firm, which has long faced questions over reserve transparency and was fined $41 million by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2021 for making misleading statements about USDT reserves.

Early this year, Tether launched USAT, a fully regulated, GENIUS Act–compliant dollar-pegged stablecoin. However, with just $27 million in circulation, it remains tiny compared to USDT.

TLDR: Iran’s IRGC warned on March 28 that critical undersea cable infrastructure in Hormuz will not be spared from attack. Cables like FALCON, AAE-1, and 2Africa Pearls carry nearly all global internet traffic through contested waterways. Google and Meta activated contingency rerouting plans after the threat, raising costs across cable insurance markets. Starlink’s 9,500-satellite LEO network is gaining traction on rerouted tankers, with SpaceX eyeing a $1.75T IPO valuation. Undersea internet cables connecting Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa face serious threats. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a stark warning on March 28.

The statement said critical infrastructure in the Hormuz and Red Sea corridors would not be spared. The cables at risk carry nearly all global internet traffic.

No cable has been cut yet, but Google and Meta have already activated contingency rerouting plans in response.

Cable Networks at the Center of the Standoff The cables at risk include FALCON, Gulf Bridge International, Europe India Gateway, SEA-ME-WE 6, AAE-1, and FLAG. These run through the Hormuz corridor.

In the Red Sea, EIG, AAE-1, Seacom, SMW-4, SMW-5, SMW-6, IMEWE, and 2Africa Pearls are also exposed. Together, they form the backbone of global digital commerce.

Analyst Shanaka Anslem Perera noted the full scope of what flows through these cables. “Your bank transfers. Your stock trades. Your cloud computing,” he wrote.

JUST IN: Iran just threatened to cut the undersea internet cables running through the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea.

Ninety-five to ninety-seven percent of global internet traffic does not travel by satellite. It travels through physical glass fibres buried one to two metres… pic.twitter.com/2KnbSLKzsv

— Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ (@shanaka86) March 28, 2026

The data connects every financial market on earth to every other. Past events show how quickly disruptions can escalate.

In 2008, eight cables were severed off the Egyptian coast. Between 70 and 80 percent of Middle East-to-Europe traffic went dark after that.

Repairs stretched from three to eight weeks. In 2024, Houthi-related anchor drag damaged four cables in the Red Sea, with repairs lasting months.

Both past incidents were likely accidental. A deliberate, state-sponsored cut has never been carried out. Iran’s own connectivity runs through these same cables.

Any confirmed attack would also trigger immediate naval retaliation from the US, UK, and French fleets already in the region.

Satellite Connectivity Gains Ground as Threat Persists The threat alone is creating real friction in global financial systems. Cable operators are rerouting traffic, and that process carries real costs. Insurance pricing on submarine cable infrastructure is also shifting.

Institutions relying on sub-40-millisecond latency between Asian and European markets are now running new contingency scenarios.

Starlink’s low-earth orbit constellation of over 9,500 satellites is emerging as a direct alternative. The service delivers broadband through phased-array terminals that electronically steer beams to counter jamming.

Iran has used GPS spoofing and radio-frequency noise against Starlink since January. Packet loss spiked to between 30 and 80 percent during those episodes.

Starlink responded with firmware updates and beamforming adjustments. Packet loss then dropped back to workable levels.

Starlink maritime terminals are already active on tankers rerouting around the Hormuz corridor. Speeds range from 100 to 220 megabits per second at low latency.

SpaceX is reportedly preparing an IPO prospectus this week, per Bloomberg, Reuters, and The Information. The target valuation sits between $1.5 and $1.75 trillion.

The filing arrives at a moment when its service directly addresses a gap exposed by geopolitical tension. The Strait of Hormuz carries oil, gas, helium, and a large share of global internet traffic. Markets have not yet fully priced this convergence.

A retirement portfolio isn't something to assemble like a shopping list. Certain items need to go in the cart first because they're essential, with the rest added only after the basics are covered.

Similarly, when it comes to choosing between Bitcoin (BTC 2.69%) and an asset like gold, perhaps held via something like the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD +3.51%) exchange-traded fund (ETF), both can play a role in saving for retirement, but the order you accumulate them in should reflect how differently they behave when things don't go as as well as expected. Here's how to think about it.

Image source: Getty Images.

Gold should have a place Gold has served as a store of value for so long that its track record predates every fiat currency in circulation.

The metal has survived wars, banking crises, and collapses of entire monetary systems and even civilizations, all while roughly retaining its purchasing power. Even after a fierce pullback from its all-time highs, falling 15% during the past 30 days alone, the SPDR Gold Shares ETF has returned about 44% during the past 12 months.

Perhaps surprisingly, that recent decline is moderate, at least historically speaking. Gold's worst modern peak-to-trough decline was roughly 44%, spanning from August 2011 to late 2015. So this asset's reputation for price stability is not the ironclad guarantee that many retirement savers are hoping for.

Today's Change

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But it's also fair to compare gold's worst-ever stretch of performance to Bitcoin's habit of losing roughly 80% of its value after each of its four-year halving cycle peaks. The coin's annualized volatility runs about 3.6 times that of gold.

For retirement investors, the sequencing of the return risk is the crux of the issue. If your gold allocation drops 15%, it stings, but it doesn't necessarily derail your retirement timeline as long as your portfolio is diversified with plenty of other assets, including both riskier assets focused on providing exposure to growth and highly reliable yield-bearing assets like bonds.

If Bitcoin drops 45%, as it has from its October 2025 peak -- which happens in this moment to be roughly as bad as gold's all-time worst stretch -- it could shave years off your runway if you're relying on the money to live, and add years to your required savings time if you're still preparing to retire.

Gold's role in a portfolio isn't to generate spectacular gains so much as it is to be reliably present and sellable at a decent value when you need it. Therefore it generally makes a lot more sense to load up on gold to meet your target allocation before even thinking about adding Bitcoin.

Bitcoin could work great as a supplemental growth source None of this means that Bitcoin is a bad asset or that it isn't a good savings vehicle for building up enough capital to retire. Over the long term, it has generated returns that make virtually every other investment look sleepy, and it's up about 150% during the past three years alone. But its exceptional returns on paper mean nothing to the investor who is prone to panicking after watching the value of their position crater.

Today's Change

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Since 2014, Bitcoin has experienced four stumbles exceeding 50%, with the three largest averaging about 80% and taking nearly three years to recover each time. Someone who needed that capital during a trough period would be forced to sell it at the worst possible moment. In other words, if you don't have at least four years before you will need the money, you probably don't have enough time to hold Bitcoin to have a reasonable guarantee of the asset being sellable above your cost basis at some point in time.

On the other hand, if you have 10 years or more, Bitcoin is an excellent way to get exposure to some additional growth. Per research by Fidelity Digital Assets, including an allocation of even 1% to Bitcoin can increase a portfolio's annual returns by 2.6%. And given the coin's ever-increasing scarcity, the longer you can hold it, the more time its core value-generating mechanism will have to pay off.

So where does Bitcoin ultimately fit relative to gold for those who are saving for retirement?

In short, a 2% to 5% allocation as a proportion of your portfolio's value, accumulated via dollar-cost averaging (DCAing), lets you participate in Bitcoin's upside potential without jeopardizing your retirement if it loses half its value in a bear market. But it's only smart to start accumulating the coin after your gold position and broader mix of index funds, equities, and bonds are fully funded, as those are higher priorities for preserving and adding to your capital.

The 30-day long-term net position change, which is currently positive, is the key metric to keep an eye out for.

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BIDSWITCH GmbH

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IPONWEB GmbH

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NextRoll, Inc.

Cookie duration: 395 (days).

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Media.net Advertising FZ-LLC

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LiveIntent Inc.

Cookie duration: 731 (days).

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Basis Global Technologies, Inc.

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Seedtag Advertising S.L

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SMADEX, S.L.U.

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Bombora Inc.

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Outbrain UK.

Cookie duration: 396 (days).

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Yieldmo, Inc.

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A Million Ads

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Remerge GmbH

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Affle Iberia SL

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Magnite CTV, Inc.

Cookie duration: 366 (days).

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Delta Projects AB

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Zemanta Inc.

Cookie duration: 1825 (days).

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AcuityAds Inc.

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Rockerbox, Inc

Cookie duration: 30 (days).

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StackAdapt Inc.

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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OneTag Limited

Cookie duration: 396 (days).

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Smartology Limited

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Improve Digital

Cookie duration: 90 (days).

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Adobe Advertising Cloud

Cookie duration: 730 (days).

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Bannerflow AB

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TabMo SAS

Cookie duration: 90 (days).

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Integral Ad Science (incorporating ADmantX)

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Wizaly

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Weborama

Cookie duration: 393 (days).

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Readpeak Oy

Cookie duration: 390 (days).

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Jivox Corporation

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Sojern, Inc.

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Polar Mobile Group Inc.

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On Device Research Limited

Cookie duration: 30 (days).

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Exactag GmbH

Cookie duration: 180 (days).

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Celtra Inc.

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ADTIMING TECHNOLOGY PTE. LTD

Cookie duration: 30 (days).

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Gemius SA

Cookie duration: 1825 (days).

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InMobi Pte Ltd

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The Kantar Group Limited

Cookie duration: 914 (days).

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Samba TV UK Limited

Cookie duration: 390 (days).

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Nielsen Media Research Ltd.

Cookie duration: 120 (days).

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RevX

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Pixalate, Inc.

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Triapodi Ltd. d/b/a Digital Turbine

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AudienceProject A/S

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Eulerian Technologies

Cookie duration: 390 (days).

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Seenthis AB

travel audience GmbH

Cookie duration: 397 (days).

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HUMAN

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Streamwise srl

Cookie duration: 366 (days).

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Innovid LLC

Cookie duration: 90 (days).

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Zeta Global Corp.

Cookie duration: 390 (days).

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Madington

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Opinary (Affinity Global GmbH)

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GumGum, Inc.

Cookie duration: 90 (days).

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Cint USA, Inc.

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Jampp LTD

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Realtime Technologies GmbH

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DeepIntent, Inc.

Cookie duration: 548 (days).

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Happydemics

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Otto GmbH & Co. KGaA

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Adobe Audience Manager, Adobe Experience Platform

Cookie duration: 180 (days).

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CHEQ AI TECHNOLOGIES

Localsensor B.V.

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Adnami Aps

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Blue

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Relay42 Netherlands B.V.

Cookie duration: 730 (days).

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Mobsuccess

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Liftoff Monetize and Vungle Exchange

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The MediaGrid Inc.

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Go.pl sp. z o.o.

Cookie duration: 3000 (days).

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HyperTV, Inc.

Cookie duration: 3650 (days).

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Appier PTE Ltd

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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6Sense Insights, Inc.

Cookie duration: 731 (days).

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Google Advertising Products

Cookie duration: 396 (days).

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GfK GmbH

Cookie duration: 730 (days).

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Clinch Labs LTD

Cookie duration: 730 (days).

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Amazon Ads

Cookie duration: 396 (days).

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LinkedIn Ireland Unlimited Company

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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Moloco, Inc.

Cookie duration: 730 (days).

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Nielsen International SA

Cookie duration: 390 (days).

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Mintegral International Limited

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PRECISO SRL

Cookie duration: 360 (days).

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Pelmorex Corp.

Cookie duration: 365 (days).

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TikTok Ad Network

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Extreme Reach, Inc

Cookie duration: 180 (days).

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Somplo Ltd

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Adelaide Metrics Inc

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Baidu (Hong Kong) Limited

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Arpeely Ltd.

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Adventure Media SARL

Cookie duration: 3650 (days).

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Microsoft Advertising

Cookie duration: 396 (days).

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Opera Software Ireland Limited

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xpln.ai SAS

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ABCS INSIGHTS

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Admaster Private Limited

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Intango Ltd

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Salesforce DMP

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clean.io

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Coupang

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TLDR: Ethereum activity and stablecoin balances are shifting back from Layer 2 networks to the base layer Stablecoin supply and tokenized assets on Ethereum are approaching previous all-time high levels Ethereum’s execution density and composability continue to attract high-value on-chain transactions ETH has outperformed major Layer 2 tokens since October 2025, signaling renewed market strength Ethereum comeback narratives are gaining traction as new data points to renewed activity on the network. Insights shared by Coinbase Institutional indicate a measurable shift in user behavior and capital flows.

Stablecoin balances and tokenized assets on Ethereum are approaching historical highs. At the same time, ETH has outperformed major Layer 2 tokens since October 2025, suggesting a change in market structure.

Activity Returns to Ethereum’s Base Layer Recent observations show that users are gradually returning to Ethereum’s main network. Coinbase Institutional reported that both activity levels and stablecoin balances have tilted back toward Layer 1. This marks a shift from earlier periods when Layer 2 solutions captured a larger share of transactions.

The same update noted that stablecoin supply on Ethereum is nearing record levels. Tokenized asset values are also rising toward previous peaks. These movements point to increased reliance on Ethereum for settlement and liquidity functions.

Metrics tracking organic activity further support this trend. Execution density on Ethereum remains strong, reflecting higher economic value processed within limited block space. This indicates that users continue to prioritize efficiency and depth over lower transaction costs.

Coinbase Institutional also stated that ETH has outperformed major Layer 2 tokens since October 2025. This relative strength aligns with growing on-chain activity and sustained liquidity inflows.

The data was shared through its official X post, which framed the discussion around Ethereum’s evolving role.

Is Ethereum making a comeback?

The ongoing evolution of stablecoin regulations and their impact on the market draws attention to innovations to the infrastructure that makes it all work – the Ethereum network.

Here are the key takeaways:

• Both user activity and stablecoin… pic.twitter.com/VE8qB9W67h

— Coinbase Institutional 🛡️ (@CoinbaseInsto) March 27, 2026

Infrastructure Strength Supports Comeback Narrative Ethereum’s composability continues to serve as a core advantage in the current market. Applications built on the network interact seamlessly, allowing complex financial operations across protocols. This structure supports the use of stablecoins and tokenized assets at scale.

Execution density remains another defining factor. Ethereum processes high-value transactions within its base layer, maintaining efficiency despite higher fees. In contrast, Layer 2 networks distribute activity across multiple chains, often focusing on cost reduction.

The Coinbase Institutional update also pointed to ongoing developments in stablecoin regulations. These changes are drawing attention to the infrastructure supporting digital assets. Ethereum remains a primary base layer for stablecoins due to its liquidity depth and established ecosystem.

At the same time, Layer 2 solutions continue to play a complementary role. They provide scalability and lower transaction costs, especially for retail users.

However, recent data suggests Ethereum is regaining ground in areas requiring composability and capital concentration.

The Ethereum comeback narrative continues to develop as market dynamics shift. Rising activity, growing stablecoin balances, and ETH’s relative performance indicate renewed focus on the base layer.

As conditions evolve, the relationship between Layer 1 and Layer 2 remains central to Ethereum’s positioning.

I see compelling value in floating-rate preferred shares and baby bonds, especially as credit spreads widen and many now trade at discounts to call value. Recent market volatility and higher interest rates have created attractive entry points in select REITs, BDCs, preferred shares, and baby bonds. I've allocated a significant portion of my portfolio to preferred shares and baby bonds in March 2026.

iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF offers a ~7% yield, but only 1–2% is true compensation for credit risk. USHY's current ~300 bps spread reflects a benign credit environment, leaving little upside and exposing investors to open-ended downside if spreads widen. Spread volatility poses significant risk: a 100–200 bps widening could erase a full year's expected return, while upside is capped with limited tightening potential.

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Unintended consequences, especially in business, can be painful lessons to learn. A recent unrelated example was Major League Baseball introducing a pitch clock to improve the speed of the game -- it worked well and improved the game, by most accounts. However, the reduced overall game time and the shorter downtime gave fans less time to buy valuable products such as beer, food, and novelties, which is a big moneymaker. Ford Motor Company (F 1.98%) could find itself looking at unintended consequences as it begins its radical production change.

This is the way More than a century after Ford pioneered the moving assembly line, current CEO Jim Farley thinks the automaker has yet again found a better way of making vehicles. While Ford's Universal EV Production System, and its developing "assembly tree" process, isn't the first time the process has been considered -- Tesla touted a similar thought process years ago -- it has the potential to accelerate Ford into the front of the pack in the race against Chinese competitors for cheaper vehicles and more efficient manufacturing.

"It gets Ford into the game," Sam Abuelsamid, vice president of market research at Telemetry, told Automotive News. "I'm not aware of any other legacy automaker that is going down this path to this degree yet -- certainly not GM and Stellantis. If they execute this properly, they're back among the leading pack."

Image source: Ford Motor Company.

The process essentially adjusts a linear vehicle production line in favor of three simultaneous subassemblies. Larger aluminum castings and the battery get joined together later, and the process ultimately generates fewer but larger parts, more efficient workstations, and faster production times. Let's take a second to raise some questions for investors.

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Unintended consequences? Starting with Ford's upcoming $30,000 midsize electric pickup in 2027, the automaker will replace hundreds of smaller components with two large aluminum "unicastings" -- think the front and/or rear of the vehicle in one piece. While the positives of this production evolution are fairly apparent, it raises questions for repairability.

Ford had to ask itself honestly if consumer repair bills would skyrocket if collision centers had to replace a damaged piece that was one big chunk of the car, rather than a smaller piece, as in previous production scenarios. Not only would higher repair costs be something for consumers to consider, but the impact could be greater in Ford's prized Ford Pro commercial business, where decisions for large fleet orders hang in the balance of cost variables such as this. While research is in the early stages, so far it has shown that vehicles with large castings can actually be less expensive to fix, provided the vehicles had been designed with repairability in mind -- and Ford checked that box from the onset.

For long-term Ford investors, this is a much more important development than many realize, especially if the automaker can avoid any unintended consequences, repairability being one example. Chinese competitors are coming to the U.S. market eventually, and if Detroit automakers aren't prepared to compete on price, manufacturing, and efficiency, it could be devastating for investors. Fortunately, developments and production evolution, such as Ford's Universal EV Platform and assembly tree, are critical to becoming more cost-competitive to the rising Chinese auto industry threat. Ford's history shows it can pioneer new production techniques and thrive, and now the company will be tested again.

A decade ago there were no trillion-dollar stocks. Today, even after a slump in tech stocks, there are ten companies that are currently above that threshold, a testament to the strength of the stock market in recent years.

The following are the ten stocks shown along with their market caps:

Nvidia ($4.07 trillion) Apple ($3.65 trillion) Alphabet ($3.32 trillion) Microsoft ($2.65 trillion) Amazon ($2.14 trillion) Taiwan Semiconductor ($1.7 trillion) Broadcom ($1.42 trillion) Tesla ($1.36 trillion) Meta Platforms ($1.3 trillion) Berkshire Hathaway ($1.01 trillion) As you can see, the tech sector now dominates the top echelon of the stock market as all of those stocks can claim to be tech stocks with the exception of Berkshire Hathaway. Nearly all of them have been heavily investing in AI and have benefited from the AI boom as well.

However, a basket of these tech stocks would be down 12% this year through March 27, underperforming all three major indexes. That shows not only that tech stocks have fallen sharply this year, but also how the "Magnificent Seven" have been hit hard on fears of both AI disrupting the software sector and the big hyperscalers overspending on capital expenditures, much of it to serve as AI infrastructure.

However, one tech giant has bucked the trend in among the trillion-dollar set. That's Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation, or TSMC.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why Taiwan Semi is still winning Year-to-date, TSMC is up 7.5% through March 27. That's not a huge gain, but in a market where the S&P 500 is down 7%, that means TSMC has outperformed more than 70% of the broad-market index.

AI stocks are withering, but Taiwan Semi has resisted the downward trend. It has exposure to artificial intelligence as the top fabless chip companies like Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom, and 55% of its revenue came from high-performance computing, which is for AI, in the fourth quarter.

That revenue is theoretically at risk if demand for AI chips crashes and the bubble bursts, but with the big hyperscalers planning to spend around $700 billion in capital expenditures this year and Nvidia saying it will earn $1 trillion in revenue over the next two years, any pullback among TSMC's top customers isn't going to happen anytime soon.

Additionally, TSMC's economic moat is arguably wider than any of the other companies on the list above. The manufacturer produces more than half of the contract semiconductors in the world and roughly 90% of the advanced third-party chips.

TSMC's expertise and network of more than 15 fabs, which each cost tens of billions of dollars to build, means that its leadership in semiconductor production won't be easily undone, and rivals like Intel and Samsung have fallen further behind in recent years.

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Is TSMC a buy? Taiwan Semi continues to deliver strong growth on the top and bottom lines with revenue up 26% to $33.7 billion, and an operating margin of 54%, showing how strong its competitive advantage is.

Even as the stock has continued to gain this year, it still trades at a reasonable price-to-earnings ratio of 31.5. Historically, TSMC has traded at a discount because it's based in Taiwan, and investors believe there's a risk of China invading the territory.

Like other tech stocks, TSMC has pulled back since the Iran war broke out, down 13%, showing it does have macroeconomic exposure, but it delivered strong gains in the first two months of the year.

Overall, Taiwan Semi has been one of the most reliable stocks in the tech sector, and it looks poised to keep delivering strong growth at a reasonable valuation. The stock remains a buy.

Jeremy Bowman has positions in Advanced Micro Devices, Amazon, Broadcom, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Intel, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, and Tesla and is short shares of Apple. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Chesnara PLC chief executive Steve Murray joined Proactice this week to discuss the company’s transformational growth following two major acquisitions.

In this Q&A, he outlines integration progress, future M&A ambitions, and the resilience of Chesnara’s business model. He also highlights the key metrics investors should watch over the coming year.

Proactive: I'm joined by Steve Murray, the CEO of Chesnara PLC. Steve, very good to speak with you. You've described 2025 as a transformational year. What's fundamentally changed in Chesnara’s business model after these two major acquisitions?

Steve Murray: Yeah nice speaking to you this morning, Stephen. So yeah, I mean, the two acquisitions, they do a couple of things scale wise for the group. So there's a further material increase in the size of the balance sheet. Owned funds... we are expecting that to increase materially. Between the two acquisitions... we expect that to be around £1 billion worth of lifetime cash flows... which support the dividend.

Proactive: The HSBC Life UK deals again significantly boost your scale Steve. But integration risk always a concern. What are the biggest execution challenges still ahead?

Steve Murray: Yes we are full force into that at the moment... risks include data quality and system mapping... Over 200 colleagues have now joined... We've got a designated team... and external expertise... plus a new deal with SS&C... we're confident we can deliver the migration this year.

Proactive: Your solvency ratio is still well above target... How aggressively are you prepared to be on further M&A?

Steve Murray: We’re focused on integration first... but M&A processes take 9–12 months... we expect operational capacity in 2027... our solvency and liquidity mean we could do another roughly £100 million transaction...

Proactive: Markets remain volatile... how resilient is your cash generation model?

Steve Murray: We've got a very resilient balance sheet and prudent asset mix... surplus capital cushions market impacts... “there’s nothing that worries us... from a macro perspective.”

Proactive: What should investors watch most closely over the next 12 months?

Steve Murray: Operating capital generation, solvency strength, and growth in own funds... plus continued M&A activity...

Proactive: Thank you very much.

IXICO PLC (LSE:IXI, OTC:PHYOF, FRA:PYPB) CEO Bram Goorden joined Proactive to discuss the company’s new strategic collaboration with Medidata and its implications for growth.

The partnership brings together IXICO’s neuroimaging analytics with Medidata’s global clinical trial platform. Goorden explains how the deal could expand access to larger trials and support a shift toward recurring revenues.

Proactive: I'm joined by Bram Goorden, the CEO of IXICO. Bram, very good to speak with you and congratulations on that Medidata collaboration. Can you explain the context and likely positive impacts of this deal?

Bram Goorden: Of course. And thanks for having me, Stephen. Great to be here again. This is a big one for us. This is an important one. Medidata is a multibillion dollar player in the clinical trial space. We've been having very constructive discussions with them leading up to this collaborative agreement.

Basically, what we're doing is combining their electronic data capturing technology and their broad clinical trial support technology with our proprietary analytics in neuroimaging. Together we're creating a seamless solution for biopharma clinical trials.

Medidata serves 18 of the top 25 pharma companies and 90% of global clinical research organisations, with around 38,000 trials across 140 geographies. This creates a one-stop shop and gives IXICO access to more trials, including larger and more complex ones. There’s a clear synergy between technologies.

Proactive: The commercial momentum that Medidata creates follows recent contracts and leadership updates. How does this fit with today’s news?

Bram Goorden: We've been very busy. A few weeks ago, we announced the extension of a large global Phase 2 trial worth £1.5 million, alongside smaller deals.

We also welcomed a new Chief Commercial Officer, Tanya Voloshen, who brings deep industry experience. This is the first time we have a commercial executive reporting directly to the CEO. It’s been a very busy quarter, and the Medidata deal takes us into the next chapter.

Proactive: Where might IXICO’s growth strategy go next?

Bram Goorden: We will stay true to our imaging CRO business, but this deal takes us into the “tech bio” space. We’ll bring our proprietary IXI platform to the forefront and partner with companies like Medidata to scale and handle more complex trials.

We also expect to build recurring revenue streams through longer-term collaborations, rather than one-off projects. This deal should accelerate growth and create a new revenue stream.

Proactive: Thank you.

Everyone in crypto watches market cap. It is the number that appears on every chart, every app and every news headline. But according to financial analyst Jake Claver, market cap might actually be one of the worst ways to measure whether a digital asset is genuinely strong or just temporarily popular.

Claver has spent the last year developing what he calls the Liquidity Index, a six-part equation designed to measure the true utility and stability of a digital asset. And when you run XRP through it, the results are interesting.

Why Market Cap Tells You Almost Nothing

Market cap is simply price multiplied by supply. It tells you what the market thinks something is worth right now. It does not tell you whether that asset can actually handle the weight of global financial infrastructure. Claver’s Liquidity Index measures six things instead: market depth, liquidity continuity, slippage cost, available supply, settlement speed, and accessibility. Together, these paint a very different picture of which assets are built to last.

The Swimming Pool Analogy That Changes Everything

To explain market depth, Claver uses a brilliantly simple analogy. Imagine XRP’s market as a swimming pool. The water is the money available to absorb large trades. If JP Morgan wants to move $100 million using XRP and the pool is shallow, that trade is like a 200-pound adult cannonballing into a kiddie pool. Water goes everywhere. Price crashes. The trade becomes expensive and unpredictable.

But if the pool is the size of a lake, the same cannonball barely makes a ripple. The trade goes through cleanly and price stays stable. The question then becomes: how do you make the pool deeper?

Here is where it gets interesting. XRP has a fixed supply. You cannot print more tokens the way the Federal Reserve prints dollars. So the only way to deepen the liquidity pool is to make each individual token worth more.

“If XRP is worth $1 each and you need to move $100 million, you need 100 million tokens sitting ready to absorb that trade,” Claver explained. “But if XRP is worth $100 each, you only need a million tokens to absorb the same trade. Same dollars moving, way less stress on the pool. That is not speculation. That is arithmetic.”

The Slippage Problem Banks Cannot Ignore

Right now, if a major bank tried to push $100 million through XRP, they would lose around 10% to slippage alone. That is $10 million simply evaporating in the process of executing a trade. In traditional stock markets, moving the same $100 million costs less than half of 1%. Crypto currently loses that comparison by a wide margin.

To close that gap, Claver says the value sitting on XRP’s order books needs to grow by somewhere between 20 and 100 times its current level. Since the token supply cannot grow, the price has to do all of that work.

Supply Is Shrinking While Demand Grows

At the same time that institutional demand is rising, the available supply of XRP is quietly shrinking. ETFs from firms like Grayscale and Franklin Templeton lock tokens in cold storage, removing them from circulation entirely. Banks holding XRP as operational inventory are not leaving those tokens on exchanges. DeFi protocols and lending pools are absorbing more supply every month.

The result is a classic supply and demand squeeze. When demand rises and supply falls simultaneously, prices do not drift upward gradually. They gap up sharply, because at some point there simply are not enough sellers and buyers have to pay whatever the next willing seller will accept.

Speed and Access: The Final Two Pieces

XRP settles transactions in 3 to 5 seconds. Bitcoin takes up to an hour. Ethereum takes between 5 and 15 minutes. Claver compares it to a bank teller who can serve one customer every 30 minutes versus one who serves a customer every 5 seconds. The fast teller with the same amount of money can serve exponentially more customers. A market maker with $10 million working on XRP could theoretically support billions in daily volume. The same market maker on Bitcoin might support a few hundred million.

The final piece is regulatory access. Until the GENIUS Act passed in July 2025, US banks were legally unable to touch crypto at scale. That door is now open for stablecoins. If the CLARITY Act passes, US banks could hold XRP directly on their balance sheets as a recognised asset. When that happens, Claver says the pool gets significantly deeper very quickly.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

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ONDO Finance [ONDO]was trading near $0.277, at the time of writing, after rebounding from the $0.242-level. Around this level, buyers absorbed selling pressure and rebuilt the short-term structure.

As the price advanced, it tested the $0.291 resistance zone. This was followed by a sharp rejection, showing sellers remain active and continue to cap upside attempts. This reaction also highlights persistent overhead supply, with the pullback towards $0.279 reflecting short-term profit-taking rather than structural failure.

Source: TradingView However, the price seemed to be still holding near the 23.6% Fibonacci level at $0.2799 – A level that now acts as immediate support, suggesting buyers may be defending higher lows and maintaining range control. If this level weakens, downside could extend towards $0.2668, followed by a deeper move towards $0.255–$0.242 if selling pressure accelerates.

The RSI near 56 reflected neutral momentum, reinforcing indecision. A reclaim above $0.291 could push ONDO towards $0.305–$0.315, while failure to hold $0.279 would likely shift structure towards a broader retracement.

Franklin Templeton deal fuels ONDO’s RWA strength ONDO holding firm near its resistance may be illustrative of a shift in behavior as sustained bids absorb sell-side pressure instead of signaling exhaustion. Despite broader altcoins showing weak participation, ONDO has so far avoided any breakdowns – A sign that capital rotates selectively rather than exiting entirely.

This shift will only strengthen as narrative-driven demand grows, following Ondo Finance’s partnership with Franklin Templeton to tokenize five ETFs. This move enables round-the-clock access to about $1.7 trillion in managed assets through on-chain infrastructure, expanding real-world asset exposure.

As this development unfolds, it will reinforce ONDO’s positioning within a sector attracting institutional attention and sustained capital flows. Holding near resistance now signals positioning rather than indecision, where sustained demand could drive a breakout. All while fading interest risks weakening momentum.

ONDO gains as yield-focused capital reshapes altcoin flows Finally, ONDO’s strength has continued to build as capital shifts towards RWA-linked assets, where tokenized yield offers stability over speculative volatility. As broader altcoins struggle to attract sustained flows, ONDO benefits from positioning within tokenized U.S. Treasuries. This draws institutional capital seeking consistent returns.

This dynamic became clearer as USDY climbed to about $1.337 billion, rising by 10.36% while offering a 3.55% yield. All while OUSG held near $681 million, reinforcing steady demand. Together, these pushed Ondo’s Distributed Asset Value above $2.65 billion, supported by monthly transfers near $2.55 billion – A sign of sustained usage rather than episodic spikes.

This trend also aligns with Tokenized Treasuries exceeding $12 billion sector-wide. This seemed to imply that ONDO remains positioned to capture further inflows as institutional demand strengthens.

Final Summary

XRP is showing mixed signals from large investors in early 2026, as fresh buying meets ongoing selling pressure. The latest move, a rapid $35 million purchase executed through an automated trading bot, has added a new dimension to an already divided market.

Algorithmic Buying Spree Quietly Accumulates Massive XRP PositionAn unidentified entity accumulated more than $35 million in XRP in less than an hour using a sophisticated algorithmic trading bot strategy. The system executed 156 identical buy orders of 10,000 XRP each, placing trades every 18.5 seconds across multiple platforms, including Coinbase, Bitstamp, and Kraken.

Rather than placing one large order, the strategy distributed purchases across exchanges to minimize price impact and avoid slippage. Coinbase alone handled over $23 million of the total volume, with similar activity mirrored on other platforms.

Market analyst Dom noted the unusual precision, saying this kind of execution is rarely seen and likely designed to build a large position quietly. Data also showed a sudden surge in buy volume, with Coinbase flipping from negative to strong positive territory within minutes, followed by similar moves on Kraken and Bitstamp.

Despite this aggressive accumulation, XRP continued to trade near $1.32, slipping on the day even as volume jumped.

XRP Whales Show Mixed BehaviorThis bot-driven XRP whale activity comes as whale behavior remains divided. On one side, wallets holding between 100,000 and 100 million XRP added more than 110 million tokens in March, reflecting confidence at current levels.

On the other side, selling continues. Since January, around 3.8 billion XRP has moved to exchanges like Binance, pointing to profit-taking or reduced exposure by some large holders.

This back-and-forth has kept XRP trading within a narrow range between $1.30 and $1.50, limiting upside despite steady activity.

XRP Stays in Consolidation PhaseWider data still shows interest from institutions and traders. Expectations around a potential XRP ETF remain high on prediction platforms, while long-term accumulation trends suggest ongoing positioning by major players.

However, with many holders still in the loss and signals from whales remaining mixed, the market lacks a clear direction. For now, XRP appears to be in a consolidation phase, with accumulation and distribution taking place simultaneously.

Reactions were mixed, with some traders questioning why such a large buy didn’t move the price higher, pointing to low sell-side liquidity. Analyst Dom responded that market makers likely absorbed the demand, keeping the price stable.

Others flagged calculation errors, but Dom clarified that the visible trades were just a pattern, while most of the $35M buy used smaller orders via a TWAP strategy. Some remained skeptical about its impact, saying much larger volumes are needed for a bullish change, while a few made speculative claims about timing cycles.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQsWhat is a TWAP strategy in crypto trading?

TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) splits a large order into smaller trades over time to reduce price impact and avoid alerting the market to big moves.

What does XRP whale accumulation mean for price?

Whales buying signals confidence at current levels, but simultaneous selling creates balance, keeping XRP range-bound between $1.30–$1.50 with no clear breakout.

Is whale activity a reliable indicator for XRP price trends?

Whale activity offers clues but isn’t definitive. Mixed behavior, like buying and selling simultaneously, can signal indecision rather than a clear trend.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

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SIREN-Coin-PriceSIREN price has surged back into focus after delivering multiple explosive rallies of over 250% in recent months, attracting renewed traders’ interest. Following a steep 70% correction, the token has staged a sharp comeback, climbing nearly 60% in the past 24 hours from lows near $0.72 to around $1.60.

Notably, the rally comes amid a weakening broader market, signaling strong speculative demand and aggressive buying pressure. Trading volume has spiked significantly, reinforcing the strength of the current move. With price action now aligning with a recurring bullish structure, the key question remains—can SIREN sustain this momentum and extend the rally toward another major breakout?

The short-term price action suggests SIREN is forming a recurring “surge-and-correct” structure, often seen during early-stage bullish expansions. However, the second rally faced resistance at a lower high, introducing the risk of a developing descending trend.

That said, a potential third interaction with the descending trendline could validate this structure as a bullish continuation pattern rather than a sustained downtrend. Until a confirmed rejection occurs, the broader bias leans cautiously bullish.

On the momentum side, the RSI has broken above its descending trendline, signaling strengthening buying pressure and a possible shift in short-term sentiment. The $2.42 level now stands as a pivotal resistance zone. A successful breakout above this range could open the door for a move toward $3, with further extension toward a new all-time high above $4.

However, failure to reclaim this resistance may lead to another pullback toward the established support zone, keeping the pattern intact but delaying the breakout.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

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Ripple (XRP) is hovering near the $1.30 level after a sharp pullback, leaving traders focused on whether the token can hold a key support zone or extend a broader downtrend. While several leading AI models broadly agree that XRP is attempting a short-term bounce within a larger bearish structure, they diverge on what the next 24 hours could look like—a reflection of thinning liquidity and fading conviction across the market.

XRP was last changing hands around $1.327 as of Saturday ET, down roughly 14% from its recent swing high near $1.543. The decline has been accompanied by a notable drop in trading volume, a sign of cautious positioning as market participants wait for confirmation of direction rather than chasing volatility.

Technically, momentum indicators are flashing mixed signals. The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a common gauge of buying and selling pressure—sits near 38, edging toward what many traders consider ‘oversold’ conditions (typically below 30). That tilt can support a reflexive rebound, particularly if spot demand returns. However, the larger trend remains difficult to ignore: XRP is trading far below its 200-day moving average, positioned near $2.06, implying a gap of more than 35% and reinforcing the view that the market is still locked in a longer-term bearish regime.

Against that backdrop, GPT-5.2 took the most conservative stance. Using a probability-weighted framework, the model argued that a meaningful rebound signal is premature until the $1.30 floor proves durable. It framed $1.40 as an achievable upside level in a short-term relief move, but maintained that downside pressure remains dominant overall, putting the probability of a rebound at around 42% and favoring a ‘short-term trading’ posture rather than a trend-change narrative.

Claude Sonnet 4.6 leaned further into the bearish structure, pointing to XRP’s position within a low Fibonacci retracement band—roughly the 0% to 23.6% zone—often interpreted as evidence that a downtrend is still controlling price. The model also cited repeated failed bounce patterns in prior selloffs. If $1.30 breaks, Claude flagged $1.27 as the next immediate level, with a deeper slide toward $1.15 possible under accelerated selling. It placed the next-24-hour downside probability at 48%, while estimating rebound odds at about 38%.

xAI 4.1, by contrast, offered the most optimistic view. Highlighting RSI’s proximity to oversold territory and the potential for $1.30 to solidify as a base, it put the probability of a short-term rebound at 62%. If volume returns, xAI suggested XRP could push through $1.45 and potentially retest the $1.48 area—framing the move primarily as a ‘technical rebound’ scenario rather than a full reversal of the longer-term downtrend.

Put together, the models describe XRP’s current setup as a two-layered market: ‘long-term bearish structure’ coexisting with a near-term bounce window. The immediate decision points are clear. Support sits at $1.30, while resistance is clustered from $1.40 to $1.45—levels that could cap rallies unless buyers show stronger follow-through.

Market watchers outlined three near-term paths. First, if $1.30 holds, XRP could stage a technical bounce toward the $1.40–$1.45 band. Second, a breakdown could open room toward $1.27 and potentially $1.15 if momentum accelerates. Third, if volume remains depressed, XRP may churn sideways in a tight $1.30–$1.36 range as both buyers and sellers hesitate.

For now, the dominant question is whether XRP can defend ‘support’ amid weak participation. Some conditions for a rebound are forming, but the structural weakness implied by long-term trend measures remains intact, making it too early—based on these signals alone—to characterize the move as a broader trend reversal. In the near term, XRP appears set to remain in a high-volatility zone where both rebound potential and downside risk are elevated.

Article Summary by TokenPost.ai

🔎 Market Interpretation

Current price context: XRP is hovering near $1.30 after a sharp pullback (about -14% from ~$1.543), with fading volume signaling reduced conviction.

Two-layer setup: A short-term bounce window is forming, but it sits inside a broader bearish structure.

Momentum signals are mixed: RSI ~38 leans toward weakening momentum and potential reflexive bounces, but it is not yet “oversold” by classic definitions (<30).

Trend remains heavy: Price is far below the 200-day moving average (~$2.06), reinforcing that the longer-term regime is still bearish.

Key levels define the next move:

Support: $1.30 (immediate “line in the sand”)

Resistance: $1.40–$1.45 (near-term ceiling zone)

Downside targets if support fails: $1.27, then $1.15 under accelerated selling

AI model divergence reflects market conditions: With liquidity thinner and volume lower, near-term forecasts vary more than usual, especially over the next 24 hours.

💡 Strategic Points

Trade the range, respect the regime: The article frames the situation as tactical rebound potential within a strategically bearish trend—meaning rallies may be sold unless follow-through strengthens.

Scenario map (near-term):

Hold $1.30 → Potential technical bounce toward $1.40–$1.45.

Break $1.30 → Downside opens to $1.27, then $1.15 if momentum/stop-runs accelerate.

Volume stays weak → Higher odds of sideways churn around $1.30–$1.36 (mean reversion/indecision).

What to watch for confirmation:

Volume returning on up-moves (supports the “bounce” thesis more than price alone).

Closes above $1.40–$1.45 (suggests buyers can absorb supply at resistance).

Failure to reclaim resistance (supports the idea that rebounds are relief rallies inside a downtrend).

Model views (as presented):

GPT-5.2 (most conservative): Wants $1.30 to prove durable first; sees $1.40 as plausible in relief; estimates rebound probability ~42%, favors short-term trading over “trend change.”

Claude Sonnet 4.6 (most bearish): Interprets low Fibonacci retracement positioning as trend control by sellers; flags $1.27 next if $1.30 breaks; deeper risk to $1.15; 24h downside probability ~48%, rebound ~38%.

xAI 4.1 (most optimistic): Emphasizes near-oversold RSI and base-building at $1.30; rebound probability ~62%; targets $1.45–$1.48 if volume returns (still framed as technical rebound, not full reversal).

Risk framing: The piece emphasizes a high-volatility zone where both “snap-back” rallies and breakdown risk are elevated—implying tighter risk controls and faster invalidation points.

📘 Glossary

Support: A price area where buying demand has historically been strong enough to pause or stop declines (here, $1.30).

Resistance: A price area where selling pressure often emerges and caps rallies (here, $1.40–$1.45).

RSI (Relative Strength Index): Momentum oscillator (0–100) used to gauge buying/selling pressure; values below ~30 are often labeled “oversold.”

Oversold: A condition where price has fallen quickly enough that a short-term bounce becomes statistically more likely, though not guaranteed.

200-day moving average (200D MA): A long-term trend measure; trading below it often signals a bearish regime.

Fibonacci retracement: A tool mapping potential rebound levels during pullbacks; being stuck in low retracement bands can be read as weak recovery strength.

Liquidity: How easily an asset can be traded without moving price significantly; thinner liquidity can amplify volatility and forecast uncertainty.

Technical rebound / relief rally: A short-term bounce driven by positioning and momentum resets rather than a confirmed shift in longer-term trend.

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Shiba Inu recently reported a -1,813% move on spot flows, which appears disastrous at first, but the figure alone is deceptive in the absence of context. In reality, it shows a dramatic relative change between inflows and outflows over a brief period of time rather than a true collapse capital. 

Issues of smaller baselineA small baseline can cause percentage-based flow metrics to blow up. The resulting percentage change can reach extreme values like -1,813% without requiring massive absolute volume — if inflows were low during a prior interval and outflows suddenly spike.

Source: CoinglassIt is, in essence, a denominator problem. Even a small move results in an exaggerated percentage print when the starting point is near zero. This seems to be exactly what's going on.

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Shiba Inu is not going through an abrupt systemic collapse related to that number, when looking at the larger market data. In fact, exchange reserves have been increasing; they are currently over 81 trillion SHIB, indicating a rise in the supply of tokens on trading platforms. That usually means that there is more pressure to sell, not necessarily panic, but also not bullish accumulation.

Dynamic resistances existSHIB is still trading below important moving averages on the price chart, with the 50 and 100 EMA serving as dynamic resistance. After a protracted decline, the asset recently created a small consolidation structure in an effort to stabilize, but there has not yet been a clear breakout. 

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Momentum indicators are neutral to slightly weak, and the price is hovering in a small range, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction.

The interpretation is important here. The main risk factor is not the -1,813% flow reading. The structural decline and the consistent rise in exchange-held supply are the more fitting indicators. These are the circumstances that typically precede ongoing stress, as opposed to recuperation. 

SHIB is not currently exhibiting any indications of a reversal. Although it is stabilizing, the upside potential is limited by supply building on exchanges and resistance. While the situation is not as dire as the headline figure implies, it is also not very promising.

The asset is still in a precarious position, and a significant recovery would necessitate both a decrease in exchange reserves and a break above important resistance levels.

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Ripple says it is overhauling how security is handled on the XRP Ledger, adding AI-assisted testing, a dedicated red team, stricter amendment review standards, and a broader push to modernize parts of the codebase. Notably, Ripple is explicitly tying XRPL’s next phase of security work to its ambitions in global payments, tokenized assets, and institutional financial infrastructure.

In its March 26 blog post, Ripple framed the initiative less as a narrow tooling upgrade and more as a structural shift in how XRPL is maintained. Senior Director of Engineering at RippleX Ayo Akinyele wrote that XRPL has been running since 2012 and, over that period, has processed more than 100 million ledgers, facilitated over 3 billion transactions, and secured billions in value transfer. That operating history, Ripple argued, is both a strength and a complication: a long-lived production codebase carries legacy assumptions, older design decisions, and engineering patterns that may no longer match the demands of a larger, more complex network.

The company’s core argument is that AI changes the security equation by making it easier to explore edge cases and hidden failure modes at scale. “AI allows us to shift from reactive debugging to proactive, systematic discovery of vulnerabilities, strengthening the ledger faster and with greater confidence than ever before,” Akinyele wrote. He added that for XRPL, resilience “must be continuous: not a one-time validation, but an ongoing process of hardening, testing and improving as XRPL evolves.”

Ripple broke the plan into several layers. It said AI is being integrated across the software development lifecycle through adversarial code scanning, AI-assisted reviews on every pull request, threat modeling, attack-surface mapping, and simulations of edge cases and stress scenarios that would be difficult to generate manually. The company also said it has established a dedicated AI-assisted red team focused on how XRPL features interact in real-world conditions, especially where legacy logic meets newer functionality.

That red-team effort is already producing findings, according to Ripple and developers involved in the initiative. In the blog post, Ripple said the team has uncovered “10+ bugs,” with only low-severity issues disclosed publicly so far and all findings being prioritized for fixes. In a separate X post, Mayukha Vadari said the effort had already been “incredibly fruitful,” adding that the team had found “a number of bugs across a range of severities.” She described the project as “exactly the kind of continuous, adversarial push XRPL needs as it continues to grow.”

Ripple is also using the moment to address broader code quality issues that sit above any single bug. The post says many problems in long-lived systems stem from structural weaknesses such as limited type safety, inconsistent feature interactions, weak invariant enforcement, and assumptions that are either undocumented or not enforced. The implication is that Ripple is not only trying to catch vulnerabilities earlier, but to reduce the conditions that allow classes of vulnerabilities to recur.

Another major part of the announcement is governance around amendments. Ripple said significant changes will face multiple independent security audits, expanded bug bounty incentives, more attackathons, and clearer readiness criteria before activation. It also said those criteria will be defined and published with the XRPL Foundation, signaling an attempt to formalize the security bar for network changes rather than evaluate them on a looser, case-by-case basis.

Notably, Ripple also highlighted that the next XRPL release will focus on bug fixes and improvements without introducing new features, a choice that suggests hardening the stack is taking priority over shipping more functionality. As XRPL pushes deeper into tokenized assets, payments, and institutional DeFi, Ripple is making the case that the next stage of growth depends less on novelty and more on whether the ledger can keep raising its reliability threshold in public.

At press time, XRP traded at $1.33.

XRP falls below the 200-week EMA again, 1-week chart | Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said stablecoins will be the crypto sector’s “ChatGPT moment” for businesses in search of faster, more efficient payments, and that many companies are already discussing and strategizing how to implement stablecoins into their operations.

“You have boards of directors and CEOs of companies, whether it’s Fortune 500 or Fortune 2000, they’re asking their treasurers, they’re asking their CFOs, hey, what are we doing with stablecoins,” Garlinghouse told FOX Business on Friday.

“Giving the treasurer and the CFO that option is the unlock,” he said. 

Garlinghouse said this unlock would be “the ChatGPT moment of crypto” because it would be the entry point for businesses to access a broader range of blockchain-based services. 

Garlinghouse speaking with FOX Business on Friday. Source: FOX Business
Bloomberg Intelligence predicted in early January that stablecoin flows could increase at a compounded annual growth rate of 80% to $56.6 trillion by 2030, a rise that would make stablecoins one of the most important payment tools in global finance.

Garlinghouse noted that stablecoins processed more than $33 trillion in trading volume last year, though nearly 90% of that came from Tether’s USDt (USDT) and Circle’s USDC (USDC).

Ripple launched a competitor stablecoin — Ripple USD (RLUSD) — in December 2024, which is currently the 10th largest stablecoin by market cap at $1.4 billion, CoinGecko data shows.

Ripple also strengthened its blockchain payments infrastructure last year with the acquisition of institutional-based prime brokerage Hidden Road for $1.25 billion and corporate treasury platform GTreasury for $1 billion.

Meanwhile, Garlinghouse said Ripple is set to have a “record quarter," adding that the company has been "on a tear” since the Hidden Road and GTreasury acquisitions.

Market structure legislation will push crypto industry forwardGarlinghouse said stablecoin payments and broader blockchain adoption would be accelerated by the CLARITY Act, should it pass Congress and be signed into law.

“A lot of eyes are on what is US regulation going to look like and is it going to get done," he said. "We want to make sure we can't have another Gary Gensler moment where they try to weaponize policy in a way that is about politics, not about what's good for the United States.”

Magazine: XRP yet to ‘price in’ 3 bullish catalysts, Bitcoin to $80K? Trade Secrets

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Tether has signed on KPMG for its inaugural full independent audit, as well as PwC to help the crypto firm prepare its internal systems.

KPMG Will Reportedly Participate In Tether Audit On Tuesday, stablecoin issuer Tether announced that it had hired a Big Four firm for its first full independent financial audit. A Big Four firm typically refers to one of KPMG, PwC, Deloitte, or EY. In the announcement, Tether never divulged who the Big Four firm that it’s engaging with is, but a report from the Financial Times has now surfaced with the name: KPMG.

Tether has long been on the receiving end of criticism regarding transparency surrounding its asset reserves, including a $41 million fine from the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) over alleged misstatements about having enough dollars to back its stablecoin, USDT.

Despite the turbulence, USDT has maintained a dominant position in the sector, with its valuation of $184 billion making up for nearly 60% of the total stablecoin market cap today. That said, the company has mostly stayed outside of the US, but recently, it has been making an expansion back into the market.

Earlier this year, Tether launched USAT, another USD-backed stablecoin that’s specifically aimed at American investors. According to the firm, this coin complies with the new stablecoin rules put into effect last year.

The new financial audit, if successful, could further support the company’s push into the country. According to the FT report, Tether is also leveraging support from another Big Four firm: PwC. The London-based accounting company will help the stablecoin issuer ready its internal systems ahead of the inaugural audit.

During the initial announcement, Paolo Ardoino, Tether CEO, noted:

Tether’s mission has always been to build trust through action, not promises. Trust is built when institutions are willing to open themselves fully to scrutiny.

In recent years, stablecoins have gained popularity as they provide for an alternative to fiat for digital asset investors to store their capital in, as well as a means of relatively fast and cheap transactions. The growing interest in the sector has invited regulation around the world, with the GENIUS Act in the US acting as a major milestone for the industry.

Hong Kong also put into effect its stablecoin legislation in August, with the first issuer licenses expected to go out this year. Meanwhile, Japan has already seen the launch of its first yen-backed token known as JPY. Elsewhere in Asia, South Korea has been preparing its stablecoin bill for a while now, but after encountering some regulatory roadblocks, the framework has been stalled.

Over in Europe, twelve major banks have come together to form a consortium aimed at launching a euro-based competitor to shake up the current USD-ruled stablecoin market, with a release slated for the second half of 2026.

Bitcoin Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $67,700, down nearly 4% in the last seven days.

The price of the coin appears to have gone down over the last couple of days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

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