Market Signal Briefing

HASH and AAVE have declined the most over the past day.

Bitcoin tried to break out earlier this week but was halted at $72,000 and pushed south to a new local low of $65,500 on some exchanges for the first time since the start of the month.

Most larger-cap alts followed on the way south, with ETH dipping beneath $2,000, XRP testing the $1.30 resistance, and BNB going down to $610.

BTC’s New Local Low After it was stopped at $76,000 in the previous week, bitcoin managed to remain sideways around $70,000 during that weekend before it dropped to $67,500 on Monday morning when most legacy financial spot and futures markets opened. However, it skyrocketed to nearly $72,000 later that day when Trump claimed the US and Iran had reached some sort of de-escalation deal.

Once Iran denied the statement, BTC quickly returned to $69,000, but shot up once again to $72,000 on Wednesday, which became a weekly high. The bears stepped up at this point and drove it south to $69,000 on Friday. They picked up the pace once again at this point and pushed it further down to a four-week low of $65,500 yesterday.

This meant that bitcoin had dropped by well over $6,000 in just 48 hours. Although it has rebounded to over $66,000 now, it’s still 6% down weekly. Its market cap is down to $1.325 trillion, while its dominance over the alts has slipped below 56% on CG.

BTCUSD March 28. Source: TradingView SIREN on the Run Again Despite the community scrutiny and warnings, the AI-linked altcoin SIREN continues to post enhanced volatility, and the past 24 hours were in the right direction. The token is up by over 100% and sits above $1.60 as of press time. Still, it’s more than 50% down from its $3.60 ATH marked earlier this week.

In contrast, AAVE and HASH have dropped by 5% and 9%, respectively, while most larger-cap alts have remained sluggish on a daily scale. After yesterday’s declines, ETH remains under $2,000, BNB is just north of $610, and XRP is well beneath $1.35. BCH and CC are among the few alts with gains of over 3%.

The total crypto market cap has shed around $60 billion since the Friday peak and is down to $2.370 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview March 28. Source: QuantifyCrypto

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in HESAY over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

This text expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice. The author has no duty or obligation to update the information contained herein. Further, wherever there is the potential for profit there is also the possibility of loss. Additionally, the present article is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose. The information contained herein does not constitute and should not be construed as an offering of advisory services or an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any securities or related financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Some information and data contained herein concerning economic trends and performance is based on or derived from information provided by independent third-party sources. The author trusts that the sources from which such information has been obtained are reliable; however, it cannot guarantee the accuracy of such information and has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of such information or the assumptions on which such information is based.

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Bank stocks have started to rebound a bit after a rocky start to 2026. During the past two weeks or so, bank stocks have ticked up about 2%, according to the KBW Nasdaq Bank Index, which tracks the performance of the 24 largest U.S. bank stocks. But still, the index is down about 7% year to date.

There are certainly some cheap bank stocks out there right now, but are they good values or value traps? It depends on where you look, because a weak economy is not conducive to strong growth for banks.

It may be premature to call the economy weak. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, which tracks gross domestic product (GDP), is calling for a 2% growth for the first quarter, which is pretty solid.

But there are many factors that could weigh on the economy, including rising prices, lower unemployment, and a protracted war in Iran. This week, Goldman Sachs (GS 2.40%) raised its forecast for inflation and lowered its GDP growth projection for the year to 2.1%. Still, that's pretty decent growth. However, Goldman Sachs also raised the possibility of a recession by 5 percentage points to 30%, given these risks.

Image source: Getty Images.

Banks thrive in strong, growing economies when consumers and businesses are borrowing money and investing. The decline for bank stocks so far this year is mainly tied to economic upheaval, rising inflation, and fears about credit quality and defaults. Further, the environment has cast doubt on the likelihood that rates will come down as quickly as expected.

While banks generally make more interest income in a higher interest rate environment, if rates are too high, it can slow growth. Lower rates tend to accelerate lending and growth, so it's a fine line that banks walk with regard to rates.

But, barring some unexpected shock that leads to a recession or economic slowdown, rates should come down and banks should be in a pretty good spot to grow in the near term and perhaps beyond.

Here are two banks stocks that should thrive.

1. Bank of America Bank of America (BAC 2.63%), the second-largest U.S. bank behind JPMorgan Chase (JPM 2.98%), is dirt cheap right now, trading at 12 times earnings and 11 times forward earnings.

Its low valuation, combined with strong growth prospects and the likelihood of lower interest rates, makes Bank of America a great buy right now.

The bank projected 5% to 7% net interest income (NII) growth for 2026, which is higher than its main rivals. JPMorgan Chase, for example, predicts 2.6% growth in NII in 2026 to $95 billion.

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Management said on the fourth-quarter earnings call that the 5% to 7% growth rate is based on two interest rate cuts in 2026, which will drive loan and deposit growth.

Wall Street analysts see significant upside for Bank of America stock. Some 79% rate the shares a "buy" with a $62 price target, which suggests 29% upside.

2. Capital One Wall Street analysts are also bullish on Capital One Financial (COF 3.31%) stock. Capital One is a top-10 bank that focuses on credit card lending. It is one of the largest credit card issuers in the U.S. -- and that business is expanding rapidly.

Last year, Capital One closed on its acquisition of Discover. The union brings one of the largest card issuers and lenders to the Discover card network, and that is expected to create a lot of synergies for the company.

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Capital One estimates the merger will result in $2.5 billion in benefits starting in 2027, stemming from cost reductions and new revenue opportunities, officials said on the third-quarter earnings call. Part of that will come from moving some of its popular credit cards to the Discover network, which will allow it to capture more of the interchange fees.

Further, analysts expect about 4% earnings growth in 2026, but in 2027, with the integration further along, they anticipate 21% earnings gain as the synergies kick in.

Capital One stock has a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio now mainly because of the merger and associated expenses dragging on earnings. But it is trading at just 9 times forward earnings, making it a great value.

Wall Street analysts have set a median price target of $275 per share, suggesting a 51% return during the next 12 months.

Energy is sort of like ice cream. Both come in lots of flavors. When anyone talks about the energy sector, they're referring to a broad spectrum of companies.

With oil and gas prices soaring amid the conflict with Iran, most energy stocks are trouncing the broader market so far in 2026. Brookfield Renewable (BEP +1.02%) (BEPC 0.08%) and Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD +0.50%) are two examples from very different parts of the energy sector. Which of these two is the better energy stock to buy now?

Image source: Getty Images.

The case for Brookfield Renewable Brookfield Renewable ranks among the leading renewable energy companies. It operates hydroelectric, wind, solar, and storage facilities across North America, Latin America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific region. In addition, Brookfield Renewable and its parent, Brookfield Asset Management (BAM 1.09%), own a 51% stake in Westinghouse, one of the world's largest nuclear services companies.

This renewable energy stock is poised to benefit from multiple long-term tailwinds, including the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, decarbonization, and energy grid modernization. Brookfield Renewable expects to deliver total returns of 12% to 15%, with double-digit funds from operations (FFO) growth.

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The company's distributions help boost its total returns. Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP), which is a limited partnership, offers a distribution yield of 5%. Brookfield Renewable Corporation (BEPC), a corporate structure created several years ago to appeal to investors who didn't want the hassles of investing in an LP, offers a distribution yield of 4%. Both entities share the same underlying business. Both expect to grow their annual distributions by 5% to 9% on average.

Brookfield Renewables' biggest risk is probably its high sensitivity to interest rates. The company borrows to fund its capital projects. If inflation continues to rise and the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, Brookfield Renewables' stock would likely suffer.

The case for Enterprise Products Partners Enterprise Products Partners is a fully integrated midstream energy company. It operates over 50,000 miles of pipeline that transport crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), petrochemicals, and other refined products. Enterprise's other assets include natural gas processing trains, liquids storage facilities, and fractionators.

One big plus for this pipeline stock is its stability. Enterprise Products Partners has generated resilient cash flow per unit during both good and bad times for the energy sector over the past two decades. The company has also achieved double-digit returns on invested capital each year since 2005. It's helped that Enterprise's business model insulates the LP from commodity price fluctuations.

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Income investors will likely love Enterprise Products Partners' lofty distribution yield of 5.7%. This yield is much lower than Enterprise's average over the last 10 years because the stock has performed so well recently. The company has also increased its distribution for an impressive 27 consecutive years.

Perhaps the biggest downside for Enterprise Products Partners is its exposure to energy cycles. Although the company's revenue is primarily fee-based, its volumes can fall during steep downturns.

Better is in the eyes of the beholder Which of these two stocks is the better pick? I think it depends on your investing style.

Brookfield Renewable will be better suited for investors seeking stronger long-term growth and who have a high tolerance for volatility related to interest rates. Investors who dislike the tax complications associated with LPs will also likely prefer Brookfield, as it offers a more tax-friendly alternative through its Brookfield Renewable Corporation shares.

On the other hand, Enterprise Products Partners will likely appeal more to investors wanting higher income and stability. Enterprise is also better positioned to benefit from the current geopolitical uncertainty.

The good news is that you can own both of these great energy stocks. I do -- and plan on holding them for a long time to come.

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SummaryQualcomm is deeply undervalued, trading at 12-13x earnings despite a transformative shift beyond smartphones into automotive, edge AI, and robust patent licensing.Automotive silicon sales are growing at a 40%+ CAGR, with a $45B design-win pipeline and major OEM commitments, underpinning long-term revenue visibility.QCOM’s QTL patent licensing engine generates $4B annually at 77% margins, structurally protected from Apple’s modem insourcing and providing resilient cash flow.Discounted cash flow analysis yields a $207.20 intrinsic value (61% upside), supported by strong free cash flow, buybacks, and a defensible competitive moat across key verticals. JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Investment Thesis Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) is significantly underappreciated. Most people view Qualcomm as a mature smartphone chip company at risk from Apple’s modem in-house production. Based on its price relative to future earnings (12-13x), the stock is

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Nvidia (NVDA 2.13%) has conquered much of the world with its graphics processing units (GPUs) for artificial intelligence. These powerful AI chips drive the most crucial of tasks, such as the pouring of information into large language models -- and later, the models' process of problem solving.

The sooner AI customers develop their platforms, the sooner they can monetize them. And that's why they've rushed to get in on the fastest chips on the market -- those of Nvidia. All of this has generated record growth and revenue levels for the chip giant. For example, in the latest full year, revenue soared 65% to more than $215 billion.

But one key customer has been absent over the past year. And that's the Chinese customer. This is due to U.S. export controls on these high-performance chips, keeping Nvidia out of China.

In recent months, though, the situation has brightened. The U.S. gave the nod for exports of one particular chip, and Nvidia recently said it's revving up manufacturing. Nvidia may be back in business in China -- now, here's what that means for the company's revenue.

Image source: Getty Images.

The U.S. blocks exports First, though, let's take a quick look at the China story so far. Initial action on exports began back in 2022, with the U.S. blocking exports of the most powerful chips to the country for security reasons. In response, Nvidia developed the H20 chip specifically to meet export control guidelines, and with this chip, was able to remain in China.

But, early last year, the U.S. tightened restrictions, saying companies couldn't export their chips to China without a specific license. This halted sales of the H20, and Nvidia took a $4.5 billion charge on inventory that it couldn't sell. For several months, Nvidia chief Jensen Huang spoke publicly and to President Donald Trump about the importance of a return to China -- to ensure U.S. leadership in the global AI race.

Finally, in December, Trump gave Nvidia the OK to proceed with chip sales in China, this time allowing the export of the H200, a chip that's more powerful than the H20 but less powerful than Nvidia's latest Blackwell and Blackwell Ultra products. In return, Trump is requiring Nvidia to share 25% of its sales in China with the U.S.

Nvidia couldn't immediately begin exports as it was unclear whether China would accept these imported products, and the company also had to jump-start production of these systems. All of this meant that, following Trump's decision, there was reason for Nvidia shareholders to cheer -- but any potential sales from China remained far off and a bit uncertain.

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Three key announcements at GTC In recent days, though, Nvidia's Huang has offered us important information. He said the following key things during Nvidia's GTC conference this month:

Nvidia's H200 has been licensed for "many customers" in China. The company has received orders from these customers. Nvidia is launching manufacturing to meet this demand. Huang, in an interview with Punchbowl News during GTC, said the H200s may enter the market in China in a matter of weeks -- and Huang also said that early next year he would aim to gain approval for the export of Blackwell chips to China. By that time, the U.S. market would have access to the newest Nvidia platform, Vera Rubin.

A multi-billion-dollar opportunity Now, let's get back to our question: What does this mean for Nvidia's revenue? Sales in China represented 13% of Nvidia's total sales back in the 2025 fiscal year. If we apply that percentage to Nvidia's revenue last year, China could represent nearly $28 billion in annual revenue. Meanwhile, Huang told CNBC in October that the China market opportunity may be "a couple of 100 billion dollars by the end of the decade."

Of course, it's important to keep in mind that Nvidia has to restart H200 production and the entire process of exporting to China -- so sales may not soar overnight. And Chinese companies, during Nvidia's absence, have had time to introduce their chips to local customers and win them over. This could weigh on demand for Nvidia's H200. It will be key to watch the levels of revenue from China once production and exports are on track.

Still, the demand Nvidia has seen so far from China offers us reason to be optimistic. China may represent an important growth driver for Nvidia, and one that could supercharge revenue in the quarters to come. That's one more reason to be optimistic about this AI giant as the AI story reaches its next chapters.

Investing in artificial intelligence (AI) has been the backbone of the stock market during the past few years, and several exciting investment opportunities have emerged. I think there are several AI stocks that are worth buying right now, although there are likely many more available.

These are my top-10 AI stocks to buy right now, and I think that these make for an excellent starting point for anyone looking to get going in AI investing.

Image source: Getty Images.

Nvidia Nvidia (NVDA 2.13%) has been the top AI stock pick for a long time and for good reason. Its graphics processing units (GPUs) are the go-to computing unit for AI training and inference, and are seeing incredible growth as a result. In the fourth quarter (Q4), its revenue rose 73% year over year, and in Q1, the company expects 77% growth.

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Despite those strong projections, the stock has been a bit lackluster lately, which means now is a top buying opportunity.

Broadcom Broadcom (AVGO 2.66%) is a new player in the AI computing units segment, but it's making a huge splash. Nvidia is tackling the general-use-case portion of the AI computing market, while Broadcom is taking a more specialized approach. AI hyperscalers are partnering with Broadcom to design custom AI chips that can deliver better performance at a lower price point, at the cost of flexibility.

Broadcom believes there's a huge market for these chips and projects sales rising to more than $100 billion by the end of 2027, up from less than $8.4 billion per quarter right now. That's huge growth, and makes Broadcom a top AI stock pick.

Taiwan Semiconductor Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM +0.19%) is a logic chip manufacturer and produces chips for companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, and others. Taiwan Semiconductor is a neutral party in the AI arms race and will benefit from increased AI spending. Taiwan Semiconductor is in a league of its own in its industry, making it a no-brainer AI buy.

Microsoft Microsoft (MSFT 2.44%) is one of the primary AI hyperscalers and is spending a ton of money building out its AI computing footprint so that it can run internal AI workloads and also rent out that computing capacity via cloud computing. This is a rapidly growing business unit for Microsoft and revenue rose 39% year over year during its latest quarter.

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Despite Microsoft's success, the stock is down 35% from its all-time high, making now an opportune time to buy the stock.

Amazon Sticking with the AI hyperscaler theme, Amazon (AMZN 3.89%) is another compelling company. Similar to Microsoft, it has a booming cloud computing division that just posted its best quarter in more than three years. It also has a thriving e-commerce business that has become a staple in many households. Amazon's stock is also down more than 22% from its all-time high, making it a smart buying opportunity right now.

Alphabet A year ago, Alphabet (GOOG 2.49%) (GOOGL 2.30%) was in last place in the AI arms race, but now it has rocketed itself into a leadership position. Its generative AI tools are among the best available, and it also has a thriving cloud computing division like Microsoft and Amazon. Alphabet has cemented itself as a top option in the AI sector, proving its relevance and making it a great stock to buy and hold onto as this technology develops.

Meta Meta Platforms (META 3.91%) is the last of the big four AI hyperscalers, and it is down about 34% from its all-time highs. Despite being well off its all-time high, Meta is actually thriving and posted revenue growth of 24% during its most recent quarter, showing that its social media platforms are still relevant and cash-generating machines.

Meta is spending a ton on AI capabilities, and if any of those pan out, the stock could rocket higher. This gives Meta a very high ceiling and also a high floor, making it a no-brainer AI stock to buy.

IonQ Switching gears a bit, IonQ (IONQ 7.83%) is a bit more of a long-shot AI play. It's actually a quantum computing company, but quantum computing could become a huge part of the AI investing thesis during the next few years as the technology develops and becomes more accurate.

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IonQ is one of the leading pure plays in this segment, and I think it's an excellent investment to make as a long shot that has enormous upside.

Nebius Nebius (NBIS 4.86%) is another cloud computing company, but it's focused on providing the best AI solutions possible. It has a partnership with Nvidia to obtain cutting-edge products first, making it a popular company to partner with. Nvidia is so confident in Nebius that it's actually a shareholder.

This strikes me as a huge vote of confidence in Nebius, and I think it's an excellent addition to any AI investor's portfolio.

SoundHound AI Last on the list is SoundHound AI (SOUN 2.64%). SoundHound AI is an AI software play and makes audio recognition software that pairs with AI. This has a huge market opportunity, especially if it can replace some roles that require human-to-human interaction. Time will tell how successful SoundHound AI becomes, but it is already winning contracts with several companies in the banking, insurance, and healthcare industries.

SoundHound AI already dominates the restaurant industry, and if some larger companies deploy SoundHound AI's products in the previously mentioned sectors, the stock could be a major winner.

Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Broadcom, IonQ, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nebius Group, Nvidia, SoundHound AI, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, IonQ, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, SoundHound AI, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

DouYu has struggled in 2026 and the stock is down a lot, but long DOYU could still have enough to become a winning play. Revenue is lagging behind, but DOYU is pretty much profitable again, which combines well with the state of the balance sheet. The stock is in a hole, but it seems to have painted a bullish reversal pattern recently, which may herald higher prices are in the offering.

Uncertainty is the operative word for the stock market these days. Oil prices have skyrocketed. The Federal Reserve is worried about a resurgence of inflation. U.S. GDP growth has slowed. The economy lost 92,000 jobs in February.

Energy stocks are hot, but no one knows how long the momentum will last. A speedy resolution to the conflict with Iran could cause oil prices to decline sharply. The uncertainty makes it difficult for investors to know what to do.

I think there's one alternative, though, that is ideal to buy when conditions are highly fluid. Here's the one energy stock I'd buy before any other right now.

Image source: Getty Images.

The best "I-don't-know-what's-going-to-happen" stock I view Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD +0.50%) as the best "I-don't-know-what's-going-to-happen" stock in the energy sector. Because I really don't know what's going to happen with Iran, oil prices, or the economy, this midstream energy stock is a great pick.

Importantly, Enterprise Products Partners' revenue stream is insulated from the volatility of oil and gas prices. The company's business model is similar to a toll road. It collects fees for crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), petrochemicals, and other refined products flowing through its more than 50,000 miles of pipelines, which don't change with the going market price for the commodities.

To be sure, Enterprise Products Partners benefits from the current Middle East crisis. The world is more dependent than ever on U.S. energy exports. Much of Enterprise's business is built around exports. However, the demand for U.S. energy was increasing even before the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran.

I also like several other pipeline stocks. But Enterprise Products Partners offers greater stability than its rivals, in my view. The company arguably has the strongest balance sheet in the industry. It boasts an exceptional track record of generating consistent cash flow.

Enterprise Products Partners has also increased its distribution for an impressive 27 consecutive years. The LP's distribution currently yields 5.6%, lower than its historical average due to the stock's strong performance. Enterprise's distribution coverage of around 1.7x provides the company with ample flexibility to keep distributions flowing and growing.

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A steady compounder You can easily find other energy stocks that have soared more than Enterprise Products Partners in recent months. However, those stocks could also give up much of their gains if the U.S. and Iran agree on a peace plan that sticks.

Enterprise Products Partners is a steady compounder with lower risk and volatility. In times like these, that's the kind of stock that jumps to the top of my list.

Despite its leadership in the weight-loss medicine market, Eli Lilly (LLY 2.12%) is not performing well this year, with its shares down 15% to date. Some worry that the drugmaker will eventually face stiff competition in its core niche, eroding its pricing power and profits. However, Eli Lilly has several strengths that should help it perform well over the medium term, even beyond its deep pipeline. Let's look at one reason the stock could deliver strong returns through the next five years.

Image source: Getty Images.

Eli Lilly's expanding margins Since 2020, Eli Lilly's gross and operating margins have improved noticeably. The company's margins as of the fourth quarter of 2025 are higher than those of its similarly sized peers.

LLY Gross Profit Margin (Quarterly) data by YCharts

Eli Lilly has benefited from rapidly growing sales of GLP-1 brands like Zepbound and Mounjaro for the treatment of obesity and diabetes, respectively. However, that might not be the whole story. The margin improvements tell us that sales are growing much faster than expenses, which may indicate that Eli Lilly is manufacturing its drugs more efficiently, among other factors. Management's comments confirm that theory. In recent earnings calls, the company has credited, in part, improved production costs.

Now, there are threats to Eli Lilly's margin expansion. The company has noted that lower-realized prices for some of its products have offset some of the margin gains driven by improved costs of production. As more anti-obesity drugs enter the market, things could get even more challenging on that front. However, there are also reasons Eli Lilly could maintain relatively high margins over the medium term, even beyond new, potential best-in-class drugs it could launch. Here are two of them.

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First, Eli Lilly is investing heavily in expanding its manufacturing capacity. The company has done so to the tune of $55 billion since 2020. These investments may harm profits and margins in the short run, but they should eventually help boost the company's manufacturing capacity while lowering costs, thereby driving significant economies of scale. Second, Eli Lilly's investments in artificial intelligence (AI) could also have an impact, although not immediately. Eli Lilly built the largest supercomputer in the pharmaceutical industry with the assistance of Nvidia.

The company's goals include accelerating drug discovery, efficiently designing clinical trials, and more. Even small, perhaps 5%, cuts to the time and money it typically takes to get a brand-new compound from the lab into the clinic may have an impact across the entire business, helping lower expenses and boost margins. So, investors should keep an eye on Eli Lilly's AI-related efforts. Meanwhile, the company's strong revenue and earnings growth, and an industry-leading lineup and pipeline in one of the fastest-growing therapeutic areas, make the stock attractive.

I should probably send Rocket Lab (RKLB 7.66%) a thank-you note at some point for making headlines about its contract wins so easy to write. Some examples:

"Just in Time for 2024, Rocket Lab Won Its Biggest Contract Ever."

"Just in Time for 2026, Rocket Lab Won Its Biggest Contract Ever."

The first came after announcing a $515 million contract to build data relay satellites for a U.S. Space Force missile detection system in 2023. The second was about $816 million more to build spy satellites for the same system a year later.

Now, Rocket Lab has just announced yet another biggest-ever contract win. This time, though, Rocket Lab isn't building satellites. It's doing what its name suggests it probably should be doing: Rocket Lab is building rockets.

Image source: Rocket Lab.

Not all rockets go up Specifically, it's building suborbital hypersonic rockets under the Department of Defense's (DOD) Hypersonic Accelerator Suborbital Test Electron (HASTE) program.

As Rocket Lab announced last week, the DOD will pay it $190 million to conduct 20 HASTE launches over four years using the company's Electron rocket. Both by number of contracted launches and by dollar value, this is Rocket Lab's "single largest launch agreement yet." (Notably, these 20 launches are in addition to the seven HASTE missions Rocket Lab has already conducted, with a 100% success rate.)

The rockets in question won't go to space, exactly, or at least won't stay there. Flying suborbital trajectories, they'll be used to develop new hypersonic weapons for the U.S. military.

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS 5.17%) is named as the prime contractor overseeing the tests, with the entire sequence of tests being called the Multi-Service Advanced Capability Hypersonic Test Bed 2.0 program, or MACH-TB 2.0 Task Area 1. Incidentally, Kratos's lead role will earn it ... $1.45 billion.

So, I suppose you could say this contract is more about Kratos than about Rocket Lab. And yet, Rocket Lab probably isn't complaining.

After all, when Rocket Lab first started out back in 2018, it was charging $6.5 million for rides on its Electron rocket. By 2023, that price was up to $7.5 million. As demand for small rocket launches has grown unabated (indeed, Rocket Lab's launch cadence is increasing), the company's launch price leapt again, to $8.4 million, in 2024.

The HASTE launches will cost closer to $9.5 million each.

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What it means for investors This is great news for Rocket Lab stock, generating not only revenue growth but also growth in the profit margins it earns on its revenue. According to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, Rocket Lab's launch division gross margin passed 40% with the 2024 price increase, eclipsing the company's space division (that's the one that builds the satellites), which is currently earning a 31% margin.

Charging 13% more per launch than the last known Electron price, the HASTE launches now promise to expand Rocket Lab's profit margin further -- perhaps much further if $9.5 million becomes the new launch price for all Rocket Lab Electron launches.

Wall Street analysts still don't expect Rocket Lab to turn profitable before next year, when Neutron starts launching. An increase in profit margin as big as this one, though, just might surprise them.

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SummaryBarclays is reaffirmed as a buy, standing out for strong fundamentals, performance vs. similar banks, attractive valuation, and upside forecasts despite macro headwinds.BCS demonstrated robust top-line growth, peer-leading margins, and global business diversification, with notable momentum in investment banking and US consumer lending.Balance sheet risk is balanced by strong credit ratings and stable asset quality, though high leverage and private credit exposure warrant monitoring.Dividend recovery and a low payout ratio add to the investment case, while technicals and macro factors suggest selective, not broad, portfolio inclusion. JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

After having attended the Investment Outlook 2026 conference this week hosted by Bloomberg Adria, a regional European segment of the Bloomberg brand, my focus in today's article is European and global banking.

While I

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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MAHIA, New Zealand, March 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Rocket Lab Corporation (Nasdaq: RKLB) (“Rocket Lab” or the “Company”), a global leader in launch services and space systems, today successfully completed its first dedicated launch for the European Space Agency (ESA), demonstrating Electron’s key and growing role in supporting space agency missions with repeatable and reliable commercial launch services.

The launch, named “Daughter Of The Stars”, lifted off from Rocket Lab Launch Complex 1 in New Zealand on March 28th at 10:14 pm NZT to successfully deliver ESA’s “Celeste” mission to orbit: the first two spacecraft of a satellite navigation demonstration mission in low Earth orbit at 510 km. ESA’s Celeste mission will demonstrate how a low Earth orbit fleet of satellites can work in combination with the Galileo constellation in medium Earth orbit that provide Europe’s own global navigation system. Built by two consortia led by GMV (Spain) and Thales Alenia Space (France), the pair of ESA spacecraft will test next-generation technologies for a broad variety of future uses in autonomous vehicles, maritime navigation, wireless networks, emergency services, and critical infrastructure projects across Europe.

This launch continues Rocket Lab’s record of 100% mission success for national space programs including NASA, JAXA, KASA, and now ESA, underscoring Electron’s importance to space access both domestically and internationally with its consistently precise, reliable, and responsive launches.

Rocket Lab founder and CEO, Sir Peter Beck, says: “Orbital accuracy is critical for the beginning of a new constellation. It’s why satellite operators across all mission types choose Electron for a dedicated launch, because they know they can rely on our rocket’s precision and accuracy to establish a solid foundation in orbit. This mission for ESA is just the latest example of Electron's constancy as the launch industry leader globally for small sat missions and a proud moment for the team to deliver mission success for such a prestigious organization as ESA.”

“We are pleased to see our first two Celeste satellites starting their important mission, as they open a new era for satellite navigation in Europe. Over the past two decades, Galileo and EGNOS have become a total success, fuelling our society, generating economic growth and ensuring European independence and security. Now, ESA’s Celeste will demonstrate how a complementary layer in low Earth orbit can enhance Europe’s current navigation systems, making them more resilient, more robust, and capable of delivering entirely new services,” adds Francisco-Javier Benedicto Ruiz, ESA’s Director of Navigation.

“Daughter Of The Stars” was Rocket Lab’s 6th launch of the year and 85th launch overall. Upcoming launches in 2026 include missions for commercial Earth observation, international space agencies, national security, and hypersonic technology development.

Rocket Lab Media Contact
[email protected]

About Rocket Lab

Founded in 2006, Rocket Lab is an end-to-end space company with an established track record of mission success. We deliver reliable launch services, satellite manufacture, spacecraft components, and on-orbit management solutions that make it faster, easier, and more affordable to access space. Headquartered in Long Beach, California, Rocket Lab designs and manufactures the Electron small orbital launch vehicle, the HASTE suborbital launch vehicle for hypersonic tests, a family of flight proven spacecraft, and the larger Neutron launch vehicle for constellation deployment. Since its first orbital launch in January 2018, Rocket Lab’s Electron launch vehicle has become the second most frequently launched U.S. rocket annually. Rocket Lab has deployed more than 250 payloads from its launch sites in the United States and New Zealand for private and public sector organizations, enabling operations in national security, scientific research, space debris mitigation, Earth observation, climate monitoring, and communications. Rocket Lab’s family of spacecraft have been selected to support NASA missions to the Moon and Mars, as well as the first private commercial mission to Venus. Rocket Lab has three launch pads at two launch sites, including two launch pads at a private orbital launch site located in New Zealand and a third launch pad in Virginia. To learn more, visit www.rocketlabusa.com.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We intend such forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward looking statements contained in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). All statements contained in this press release other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, statements regarding our launch and space systems operations, launch schedule and window, safe and repeatable access to space, Neutron development, operational expansion and business strategy are forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “may,” “will,” “estimate,” “potential,” “continue,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “expect,” “strategy,” “future,” “could,” “would,” “project,” “plan,” “target,” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, though not all forward-looking statements use these words or expressions. These statements are neither promises nor guarantees, but involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including but not limited to the factors, risks and uncertainties included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, as such factors may be updated from time to time in our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), accessible on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov and the Investor Relations section of our website at www.rocketlabusa.com, which could cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements made in this press release. Any such forward-looking statements represent management’s estimates as of the date of this press release. While we may elect to update such forward-looking statements at some point in the future, we disclaim any obligation to do so, even if subsequent events cause our views to change.

A photo accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/00c98efc-ee04-4e07-a014-c50f8c281dfc

Rocket Lab Electron Launch For European Space Agency Rocket Lab Electron Launch For European Space Agency

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Bitcoin dropped hard Friday. The world’s biggest cryptocurrency fell below $66,500 for the first time in two weeks, and traders who bet on higher prices got absolutely destroyed with over $300 million in liquidations.

The carnage wasn’t pretty. Data from Bitcoin Magazine Pro shows long positions got hammered with more than $300 million wiped out in just 24 hours, while short liquidations only hit around $50 million. That’s a massive imbalance that screams one thing: way too many people were betting bitcoin would keep going up, and the market just said “not today.” The broader financial world didn’t help either – Nasdaq 100 futures dropped roughly 10% from their January peaks, and oil prices keep creeping toward $100 per barrel thanks to Middle East chaos.

Markets hate uncertainty. Period.

Middle East Tensions Fuel Selloff The geopolitical mess keeps getting worse. Israel announced more strikes on Iran after fresh missile attacks, and despite diplomatic talks, nobody’s backing down. President Trump bought some time by delaying U.S. military action against Iranian energy targets for 10 days to let negotiations play out, but the Pentagon’s already considering deploying 10,000 more troops to the region.

And here’s where it gets scary for global markets: shipping disruptions hit the Strait of Hormuz again. That’s bad news because it raises inflation fears, which makes investors dump risky stuff like crypto faster than you can say “flight to safety.” When oil supply routes get threatened, everything else takes a beating.

Bitcoin almost touched $71,500 earlier this week when people thought Middle East peace talks might actually work out. Didn’t last long. The uncertainty pushed prices right back down, and now bitcoin’s stuck in that same $60,000 to $75,000 range it’s been grinding in for weeks. Still way below that crazy $126,000 peak from October 2025, but that feels like ancient history now.

Institutional Money Shows Mixed Signals The big money players can’t make up their minds. U.S.-listed bitcoin ETFs pulled in $2.5 billion over five weeks in March, which seemed pretty bullish. But recent sessions tell a different story – net outflows suggest institutions are hitting the pause button while macro uncertainties swirl around.

On-chain data tells another story though. Bitcoin keeps flowing off exchanges, which usually means people are moving coins to cold storage for long-term holding. Traders call it an accumulation signal, but it’s hard to know if that’s smart money buying the dip or just retail investors getting scared and pulling coins offline.

Morgan Stanley’s getting ready to join the ETF party. Their spot Bitcoin ETF called MSBT got a listing notice from the New York Stock Exchange, which basically means it’s happening soon. That puts Morgan Stanley right up there with BlackRock and Fidelity in the bitcoin ETF game. Market participants tracking Bitcoin Tumbles to ,000 as Traders will find additional context here.

Options markets are doing their thing too. About $14 billion in bitcoin options are set to expire, and all the hedging around those contracts has been keeping volatility somewhat in check. But when those contracts expire, bitcoin could get a lot more jumpy based on whatever news hits next.

The futures markets saw some wild action on March 26. Open interest spiked on CME and Binance as traders positioned for more volatility ahead. Some are hedging, others are gambling on which way bitcoin breaks next.

Major investment firms like Grayscale and ARK Invest are reportedly reassessing their crypto holdings right now. These guys hold serious bitcoin stacks, so their moves could really shake things up. JP Morgan analysts said the Middle East situation will probably keep risk assets nervous for a while.

Fed Meeting Could Change Everything The Federal Reserve meets in early April, and that’s when we’ll get clearer signals about where interest rates are headed. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive and usually hurt speculative investments like bitcoin. Goldman Sachs just put out a report on March 27 warning that rising rates could dampen demand for digital assets.

The European Central Bank threw another wrench in the works on March 25 by keeping rates steady despite inflation worries. Different central banks doing different things makes it even harder for investors to figure out where to put their money.

Glassnode reported that bitcoin’s realized volatility hit its highest level since November 2025. Translation: price swings are getting more violent as uncertainty ramps up. CME saw bitcoin futures trading volume surge on March 26, showing institutional traders are actively trying to navigate this mess. Market participants tracking Bitcoin Plunges Below K as Trump will find additional context here.

Bitcoin’s sitting at $66,500 with traders licking their wounds from the liquidation bloodbath.

Looking at the article, I can add relevant context about the broader crypto market impact and regulatory developments. Here are the new paragraphs to add:

The broader cryptocurrency market felt the pain alongside bitcoin’s decline. Ethereum dropped 8% to around $3,200, while Solana and other major altcoins saw double-digit losses. Total crypto market capitalization fell below $2.3 trillion for the first time since early March, erasing roughly $180 billion in value across all digital assets.

Regulatory headwinds added to the selling pressure. The SEC announced on March 28 that it’s reviewing several pending crypto ETF applications, including proposed Ethereum spot ETFs from major asset managers. Meanwhile, the Treasury Department hinted at new guidance for crypto taxation that could affect institutional adoption strategies moving forward.

Frequently Asked QuestionsHow much money got liquidated in the bitcoin crash?Over $300 million in long positions got wiped out in 24 hours, compared to only $50 million in short liquidations.

What’s causing bitcoin’s price volatility right now?Middle East tensions, potential Fed rate changes, and institutional investors reassessing crypto holdings are the main drivers.

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Spot Bitcoin ETFs just lost $296 million this week. The outflow breaks a four-week winning streak that had investors pretty excited about crypto exposure through traditional funds. Market watchers say the shift shows growing caution among big money players who don’t like what they’re seeing right now.

For four straight weeks, Bitcoin ETFs pulled in fresh cash as investors warmed up to the idea of crypto exposure without actually holding Bitcoin directly. The funds offered a clean way to bet on Bitcoin’s price moves through regular brokerage accounts. But that changed fast. The $296 million exodus tells a different story – one where uncertainty trumps opportunity and traders would rather sit on cash than risk getting burned by volatile swings.

Why the Money Left Economic headwinds spooked investors hard. Global indicators keep sending mixed signals, and nobody wants to guess wrong about where markets head next. Financial pros call it “directional risk” – basically, the fear that Bitcoin could move in any direction and wipe out gains quickly.

Inflation data keeps coming in hot while the Federal Reserve hints at more rate hikes down the road. Those two forces create a nasty combo for risk assets like Bitcoin, which tends to get crushed when borrowing costs rise and economic growth slows. Analysts watching the space say investors are playing defense right now, parking money in safer bets until the fog clears.

The timing couldn’t be worse for ETF providers who spent months building momentum. BlackRock and Fidelity both have applications sitting with the SEC, waiting for approval on new Bitcoin products. The regulatory uncertainty adds another layer of worry for institutional investors who need clear rules before they commit serious money.

Not everyone’s running scared.

Market Players Stay Split Bitcoin traded around $27,000 on March 28, down from recent highs but still holding key support levels that technical traders watch closely. The price action reflects the broader confusion – nobody’s sure if this is a temporary pullback or the start of something uglier.

CoinShares data shows the outflows represent a massive shift from March’s first three weeks, when Bitcoin ETFs consistently attracted new capital. The reversal caught some analysts off guard, especially those who thought institutional adoption would provide steady demand regardless of short-term volatility. Turns out institutions can be just as skittish as retail traders when markets get choppy.

Grayscale keeps pushing for approval of its own Bitcoin ETF despite the recent money flight. The firm’s executives argue that proper ETF structures would actually reduce volatility by giving investors better access and more transparent pricing. They’re betting that regulatory approval will bring back the institutional flows that dried up this week. Market participants tracking Bitcoin Crashes Below ,500 as Traders will find additional context here.

Ethereum-based ETFs also felt the pain, losing about $50 million over the same period. The broader crypto selloff suggests investors aren’t just worried about Bitcoin – they’re backing away from digital assets entirely until economic conditions improve.

The SEC faces mounting pressure to make decisions on several pending ETF applications from firms like Valkyrie and VanEck. March 2026 has been busy for regulators trying to balance innovation with investor protection. Market participants keep pushing for clearer rules, hoping that regulatory certainty might restore confidence and bring back the flows.

Cathie Wood from ARK Invest still talks up Bitcoin’s long-term potential, calling the current weakness a temporary setback rather than a fundamental shift. She points to blockchain technology’s growing adoption across industries as proof that digital assets will eventually find their footing again.

Traditional banks are watching closely too. JPMorgan Chase recently published research highlighting the importance of understanding crypto in modern portfolios, while Goldman Sachs called the ETF outflows a “temporary pause” in the adoption curve. Both firms see long-term value in digital assets despite current volatility.

MicroStrategy keeps buying the dip. CEO Michael Saylor announced another 1,000 Bitcoin purchase on March 25, bringing the company’s total holdings above 130,000 BTC. He views current market conditions as a buying opportunity for investors with long-term horizons who can stomach short-term pain.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange reported declining Bitcoin futures volume for the first quarter, adding to evidence that traders are stepping back from crypto exposure across all product types. The CME data aligns with the ETF outflow trend, showing reduced appetite for Bitcoin bets among professional traders. This echoes themes explored in Bitcoin Hackers Steal 6 Million After, underscoring the shifting landscape.

Fidelity Investments remains committed to expanding crypto offerings despite the recent outflows. The firm announced plans for new digital asset products later this year, betting that current weakness won’t last forever and that institutional demand will eventually return stronger than before.

European markets added to the pressure as crypto regulations remain unclear across major jurisdictions. The European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation won’t fully kick in until 2024, leaving institutional investors guessing about compliance requirements. Meanwhile, the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority issued fresh warnings about crypto volatility just days before the ETF outflows began, potentially influencing global sentiment.

Retail trading platforms like Robinhood and Coinbase reported decreased Bitcoin trading volumes during the same period, suggesting the pullback extends beyond institutional ETF flows. Coinbase’s premium to spot Bitcoin prices – a key indicator of U.S. demand – dropped to its lowest level since February. The data points to broader cooling in American crypto appetite that goes well beyond professional money managers pulling ETF investments.

Frequently Asked QuestionsWhy did Bitcoin ETFs lose $296 million this week?Investors pulled money due to economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, and Federal Reserve rate hike expectations that make risky assets like Bitcoin less attractive.

What is “directional risk” that analysts mention?Directional risk refers to uncertainty about which way Bitcoin’s price will move, making investors hesitant to commit capital when market conditions are unclear.

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Being compared to Bitcoin is the highest compliment a cryptocurrency can receive, but it's also a fast way to get confused about an asset's fundamentals. On that note, the AI services cryptocurrency Bittensor (TAO 2.36%) just earned the comparison after exploding upward by 111% over the past 30 days (as of March 24), propelled by a handful of different catalysts.

But can Bittensor actually become the next Bitcoin?

Image source: Getty Images.

What's fueling the rally In case you aren't familiar, Bittensor is a blockchain that hosts a bunch of subnets.

Each of those subnets contains pooled computing resources routed from the chain's miners, which can accomplish specific tasks articulated by the subnet's owner, for a fee. Each subnet has a different specialization, and there are more than 120 of them so far.

Many of the most-utilized subnets are dedicated to computing-intensive tasks like training new AI models. To buy the computing power from a subnet and have it do the advertised work for you, it's necessary to pay it in Bittensor's TAO, which is the native token of the chain and the main asset we're discussing here. TAO itself is similar to Bitcoin in that it's mined, it experiences regular halvings, and it has a 21 million limit on the token's supply.

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Right now, Bittensor's market cap is about $3.5 billion, whereas Bitcoin's is $1.4 trillion. So the former certainly has plenty of room to grow despite its recent run. But as you may have guessed, Bittensor is a very different project than Bitcoin, and its supply-and-demand dynamics, despite appearing mostly the same at the root, are in fact also quite different.

With that in mind, the primary catalyst for expanding by more than double was a recent segment on the All-In Podcast, in which investor Chamath Palihapitiya discussed one of Bittensor's recent technical accomplishments with Nvidia Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang.

In short, the network had just completed training Covenant-72B, a 72-billion-parameter open-source large language model (LLM) built by more than 70 different contributors using ordinary internet-connected hardware rather than a centralized data center. Huang appeared impressed and said that centralized and open-source AI platforms are likely complementary to each other rather than in direct competition.

Some investors interpreted that claim as direct validation of Bittensor's platform from the CEO of the world's most valuable company. Whether Huang meant his words in that way, the reality is that training the Covenant-72B model was a major milestone because it demonstrates that Bittensor's computing resources can actually be harnessed to accomplish big and valuable tasks without the need for large capital expenditures in a centralized format. And it's likely the combination of those two factors that drive the coin's price skyward.

Still, that doesn't really answer the question of whether it's the next Bitcoin, so let's turn to that now.

Bittensor doesn't need to be Bitcoin A big part of Bitcoin's value proposition is its simplicity. After 17 years of existence, four halving cycles, and widespread adoption by financial institutions and even some countries, it has proved that its combination of ever-increasing scarcity and an unchanging nature makes for something that's widely considered to have value. It will almost certainly still be around 10 years from now.

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Bittensor, on the other hand, has existed for roughly five years. The coin has yet to survive a full market cycle as a widely held asset.

Bittensor's utility is both its greatest asset and its most significant vulnerability. Because TAO functions as the gateway currency to a decentralized services marketplace, its value depends on whether those subnet services attract and retain paying users. If use of the various subnets continues to grow (as it has quite rapidly so far), the demand side of the equation strengthens well beyond what any pure-scarcity asset like Bitcoin can produce, and the price of the coin is very likely to rise significantly over time.

On the other hand, if its traction stalls, the tight supply of Bittensor means very little, as Bitcoin becomes a much better option by default owing to its much wider distribution. And over the long run, the fact that Bittensor is composed of a bunch of independent subnets, each having its own set of interests, could prove troublesome for governance, which is a problem that Bitcoin simply doesn't have.

So Bittensor is probably never going to become the next Bitcoin. Nonetheless, if your crypto portfolio already holds Bitcoin, and if you're comfortable with a hearty helping of altcoin-level risk, and if you believe that AI training infrastructure will be a generational theme, Bittensor deserves a serious look. There aren't any other coins just like it, and it appears to be achieving something that looks like a product-market fit.

In Manhattan’s financial corridors, where major asset managers shape trends before they become visible to the broader market, public language is often more about containment than revelation. During the New York Digital Assets Summit on March 24, 2026, Robbie Mitchnick, Head of Digital Assets at BlackRock, reiterated that institutional interest remains concentrated on Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, he introduced a far more consequential idea: he described crypto as “money native to computers,” suggesting a future where AI agents transact directly on blockchain rails rather than relying on legacy systems like SWIFT.

This technical nuance creates a crack in the official narrative. If the future of money is tied to automated, programmable systems, then the focus shifts away from store-of-value assets toward payment and settlement infrastructure. That is precisely where Ripple operates. For analyst and YouTuber Mickle, this contradiction is not accidental but a clear signal of “institutional stealth”—a deliberate disconnect between public messaging and actual capital deployment.

Wall Street’s dual narrative and regulatory constraints The regulatory framework in the United States remains the primary constraint shaping institutional discourse. As a regulated entity, BlackRock can only actively promote products that already have approval from the SEC. At present, this restricts its exposure to Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, making any favorable mention of XRP a potential legal risk. This explains why public messaging often appears simplified, even when the underlying market dynamics are far more nuanced.

However, legislative developments suggest that this environment may shift quickly. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act has already passed the House of Representatives with strong bipartisan support (294–134). Figures such as Patrick McHenry have indicated that coordination between the SEC and the CFTC could materialize in 2026, potentially removing much of the regulatory uncertainty surrounding assets like XRP. In this context, institutional silence should not be interpreted as lack of interest, but rather as a strategic pause.

The Asian front: Ripple is already operating with central banks While the United States debates regulation, the most meaningful progress is unfolding in Asia. On March 25, 2026, Ripple officially joined the BLOOM initiative led by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, a program aimed at modernizing trade finance through blockchain technology. This is not a theoretical pilot—real cross-border settlements are already being tested using the XRP Ledger alongside the RLUSD stablecoin.

The significance of this development lies in the participants. Ripple is working alongside institutions such as JPMorgan, DBS Bank, and Stripe, placing its technology at the core of Asia’s regulated financial system. This validates a key thesis: institutional adoption is not waiting for media narratives or retail sentiment—it is already materializing through real, operational infrastructure.

On-chain data and silent accumulation: the XRP case Empirical data reinforces this narrative. As of late March 2026, the XRP Ledger surpassed $2 billion in tokenized real-world assets (RWA), with a 1,300% surge in transfer volume over the past 30 days. The network processes between 2 and 2.8 million daily transactions, making it one of the most active infrastructures in the digital asset ecosystem. Despite these fundamentals, XRP’s price remains around $1.40–$1.45, leading some analysts to describe it as a “structural enigma.”

The explanation lies in its design. XRP functions as a high-speed bridge asset, used for seconds in settlement processes, which limits its ability to generate sustained scarcity. Yet this same characteristic makes it a critical component of emerging financial architecture. Reports from Coinbase indicate that institutional exposure to XRP has been growing at a faster rate than other assets on a percentage basis, pointing to quiet strategic accumulation beneath the surface.

Structural risk and the Gemini warning Alongside institutional growth, a persistent structural risk remains: custody. The case of Gemini highlights this vulnerability. The platform reported nearly $589 million in losses in 2025, along with a 38% decline in retail trading volume and the departure of key executives. While not necessarily signaling imminent failure, these figures reinforce a crucial lesson: exchanges are not banks.

For Mickle, this underscores the importance of self-custody at a time when the market is transitioning toward deeper institutional integration. As institutional capital becomes more dominant, maintaining direct control over assets is evolving into a strategic priority for investors rather than a technical preference.

Final reflection: noise versus evidence The current crypto market is defined by a clear tension between narrative and reality. While major institutions maintain cautious, regulation-driven messaging, the data tells a different story—growing adoption, central bank integration, and accelerating infrastructure development. XRP, far from waiting for validation, is already embedded within parts of the global financial system.

The lesson is both familiar and uncomfortable: in markets driven by smart capital, what matters is not what is said, but what is done. In an environment where accumulation happens quietly, the ability to distinguish between media noise and hard evidence may ultimately determine who understands the shift—and who only recognizes it after it becomes obvious.

Disclaimer: This article has been written for informational purposes only. It should not be taken as investment advice under any circumstances. Before making any investment in the crypto market, do your own research.

Firelight said it is preparing an on-chain protection layer backed by staked XRP as DeFi projects face renewed security pressure. 

Summary

Firelight surpassed 50 million staked XRP after whale deposits and expanded capacity for FXRP vaults. The protocol plans a Q2 protection layer covering smart contracts, bridges, oracles, and economic failures. Firelight said exploit losses topped $137 million in Q1 as demand rose for on-chain protection. The plan follows a new milestone for the protocol, which said staked XRP on Firelight has now passed 50 million on Flare.

According to a press release, Firelight crossed 50 million staked XRP after a series of large deposits. The report said several whale deposits were above 1 million XRP each, while the protocol also expanded capacity for FXRP deposits.

Firelight operates on Flare’s FAssets system, where users deposit XRP, mint FXRP, and stake it in Firelight’s vault in return for stXRP. Firelight said stXRP can then move across the Flare ecosystem for other DeFi uses.

Protocol plans a protection layer for DeFi risks Firelight said the current vault is designed to pool capital for its DeFi Cover engine. In a recent protocol update, the team said the cover product is planned for Q2 and would track “Total Value Covered,” a measure tied to protected capital rather than deposited capital alone.

The protocol said the protection layer is meant to cover risks tied to smart contract failures, oracle issues, bridge exploits, and other economic vulnerabilities. Firelight expects this second phase to let other protocols buy protection backed by the staked FXRP pool.

Security demand rises as exploit losses build Firelight linked the rollout to the pace of recent DeFi losses. Thefts tied to DeFi exploits in the first quarter of 2026 passed $137 million, while Firelight pointed to a recent stablecoin exploit that produced $23 million in unbacked tokens after a private key leak.

In its latest protocol note, Firelight said its vaults were audited by OpenZeppelin and Coinspect, and that the FAssets bridge also went through audits. The same update said the first 25 million FXRP deposit ceiling filled within six hours, and the raised 65 million FXRP cap moved past the halfway mark soon after.

Firelight said it is building the protection layer with Sentora. Sentora is an institutional DeFi intelligence platform formed through the merger of IntoTheBlock and Trident Digital.

The partnership places Firelight’s next phase around risk management as much as staking. For XRP holders on Flare, the plan would tie staking activity to a protection market that targets DeFi security failures across multiple risk categories.

The Bitcoin price has been trading below $100,000 for months now, and there has been no attempt to reclaim this level. Even now, the price continues to trade more than 40% below its all-time high, as massive sell-offs continue to push the price down. Amid this widespread selling and negative macroeconomic factors, a crypto analyst has revealed when they expect the Bitcoin price to reach the $100,000 mark again before attempting a new all-time high.

End Of Iran War Will Drive Bitcoin Price Back in February, the United States had apparently carried out coordinated strikes on the Iranian military, eventually leading to what is now known as the US-Iran war. This move affected financial markets across the globe, and Bitcoin was not left out. Even now, the cryptocurrency market continues to feel the impact of the conflict as inflows have slowed down.

This negative macroeconomic climate has put a damper on the Bitcoin price, and investors remain wary. While the war rages on, the expectation is that financial assets will continue to struggle, especially as oil prices rise. However, the real move is expected to come in the event of a ceasefire.

According to a pseudonymous crypto analyst, who goes by @RoccobullboTTom on X (formerly Twitter), the Bitcoin price will surge when the US-Iran war ends. The analyst explains that this will be the catalyst that will eventually push the BTC price back above $100,000.

But When Will BTC Reach A New ATH? The crypto analyst takes a look at past Bitcoin performances in the analysis. The first of these was when the Bitcoin price had done its initial run from the $15,000 low recorded in 2022. Then, there was the rapid rise from $49,000 to $104,000 that took place in 2024. Last but not least was the notable 2025 rally that took the Bitcoin price to $126,000 all-time high of $126,000 in 2026.

All of these bull runs have seen the Bitcoin price rise more than 100% from its previous levels in order to make new all-time highs. Taking this into account, the crypto analyst believes that the next bull run could take the Bitcoin price between $150,000 and $200,000.

Source: X Nevertheless, all of these continue to hinge on the improvement of macroeconomic factors. Most notably, the end of the Iran war is likely to be the catalyst that puts the digital asset on the way to its new all-time highs.

BTC price continues to drop | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP traded near $1.34 on March 28, with a 24-hour trading volume of about $2.24 billion and a market cap near $82.04 billion. 

Summary

XRP held near $1.34 as traders watched April seasonality and a key $1.80 resistance level. CryptoQuant data showed XRP returns still outpaced risk while Binance open interest climbed to 14.8%. Analysts said XRP must reclaim $1.80, while weaker structure could expose next support near $1.00. Meanwhile, the token was down almost 1% on the day and 7% over the past week, leaving price action stuck in a narrow range as traders look toward April.

XRP’s slow price action has drawn attention because April has often been one of its stronger months. Recent market data cited by CryptoRank showed that XRP’s average April return stands at 24.8%, keeping seasonal expectations in focus even as the token enters the new month under pressure.

That backdrop has kept traders focused on whether XRP can repeat part of its earlier seasonal pattern. At the same time, current market data still shows weakness, with XRP underperforming the broader crypto market over the last seven days.

Resistance and support levels stay in view Market commentary around XRP remains split as price holds near support but fails to regain higher resistance. One analyst said, “Until $1.80 is reclaimed, every bounce is just a lower high,” while another recent market view described $1.80 as a key level that could shift momentum if buyers recover it on a sustained move.

On the downside, bearish scenarios still point to deeper support zones if the current structure fails. Recent market analysis has placed the next major downside area in the $1.00 to $1.20 range if selling pressure continues and XRP cannot rebuild strength above nearby resistance.

Binance data shows mixed signals CryptoQuant data from analyst Arab Chain showed some improvement in XRP’s risk-adjusted returns on Binance. The 30-day average return was around 0.00063, while the Sharpe Ratio stood near 0.0267, a sign that returns were still outpacing risk, though only by a moderate margin.

That steadier reading came as leverage started to build again in the derivatives market. Separate CryptoQuant data cited by recent market coverage showed Binance open interest rising 15%, while repeated long liquidation events on March 18, March 21, and March 26 showed that bullish positioning remained fragile during volatility.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Ethereum price prediction is entering a decisive phase as a sharp divergence unfolds between retail sentiment and smart money behaviour. While short-term volatility continues to shake confidence, deeper data reveals a different story. Large holders are actively accumulating ETH, billions are flowing into derivatives markets, and price is compressing near a critical resistance level. This combination of rising capital inflows, aggressive whale activity, and tightening price structure, has historically preceded major breakouts.

With Ethereum price trading near key levels, the question now is clear: Is ETH price on the verge of its next explosive move, or is this another trap before downside?

Smart Money Flows Surge Across Derivatives MarketsEthereum is witnessing a notable rise in institutional activity, with over $6.3 billion in net inflows into futures markets. This surge reflects growing conviction among large players who typically position ahead of major price expansions. 

$ETH whales also made massive net buying during the short-term downtrend.

Net buying in futures positions amount over $6.3 billion, also spot $BTC also saw net buying exceeding $47 million.

While retail investors were gripped by panic, whales reaped the maximum profits. pic.twitter.com/GhbbRAbTXF

— CW (@CW8900) March 28, 2026 Such inflows are not random. They indicate structured capital deployment, often seen during accumulation phases where institutions build exposure before momentum becomes visible to the broader market. At the same time, data suggests that spot Bitcoin also saw net buying exceeding $47 million, reinforcing the idea that capital is rotating back into crypto despite market uncertainty. This alignment between derivatives and spot inflows strengthens the broader bullish narrative.

Whale Accumulation Signals Strong Underlying DemandOn-chain activity further confirms this trend. Despite recent market weakness, whales continue to accumulate aggressively. One notable transaction shows a whale withdrawing 9,976 ETH worth approximately $19.8 million from Binance within hours, signaling a shift away from exchange-held liquidity.

In parallel, a newly created wallet received 55,175 ETH valued at around $113 million from Galaxy Digital, marking one of the most significant recent accumulation events. These movements are critical. 

When ETH is withdrawn from exchanges into private wallets, it reduces immediate sell pressure and reflects long-term holding intent. This behavior suggests that large players are positioning early, even as broader market sentiment remains uncertain.

Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Tests Key Resistance as Pressure BuildsEthereum price is approaching a critical inflection point. ETH has tested a key horizontal resistance trendline multiple times, each rejection confirming it as a strong barrier. However, repeated tests are gradually weakening this level, as buying pressure continues to build underneath.

This structure suggests a classic compression phase, where volatility tightens before a breakout. Each retest increases the probability of a breakout as liquidity builds above resistance. ETH/USDT price structure now indicates that Ethereum is no longer in a clean downtrend, but rather transitioning into a potential breakout formation.

As ETH price is currently trading near the $2,050 resistance zone, which remains the immediate trigger level for bullish continuation. A confirmed breakout above this level could open the path toward higher liquidity zones, where stop orders and momentum traders may accelerate the move.

On the downside, support remains near the $1,900 level, acting as a key demand zone. A breakdown below this could delay bullish momentum and extend consolidation. These levels are now critical in determining Ethereum’s next directional move.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

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TLDR: BTC lost 67K support and confirmed a bear flag continuation with $49K as the first clean downside target. Stablecoin dominance breakout above 75.67 could strengthen the path toward the projected $38K BTC zone. ETH dropped 9.32% in two days as downside technical structure opened a potential move toward $1,000. Nasdaq, VIX, DXY, and crypto all flashed aligned breakdown signals across correlated risk markets. Bitcoin slipped below the closely watched $67,000 pivot low before rebounding from $65,618, reviving a bearish chart structure that now points to deeper downside. 

The move coincided with renewed weakness across Ethereum, altcoins, and major equity futures, tightening correlations between crypto and traditional risk assets. 

Stablecoin dominance and volatility indicators also strengthened, reinforcing defensive positioning across the market. The latest technical breakdown now places $49,000 and $38,555 as the next major Bitcoin price levels in focus.

Bitcoin Price Bear Flag Breakdown Revives $38K Target The latest market update shared by Aaron Dishner, known online as MooninPapa, outlined a clean bear flag continuation after BTC lost the 67K pivot.

According to the posted chart levels, Bitcoin’s first downside objective now sits at $49,000. The larger measured move extends to $38,555.

BTC took out the 67K pivot low and bounced at $65,618 – exactly what a bear flag continuation looks like. The damage is done. Expect a weekend bounce back up to test broken support around 67K as resistance, then lower. First clean target is 49K.

The main target, using the same… pic.twitter.com/aYESedOOlF

— Aaron Dishner (@MooninPapa) March 28, 2026

The move mirrors the same 38.73% decline structure tracked from the March 17 local high. Momentum indicators continue to align with that bearish setup.

Relative strength index data printed a lower local low, which kept downside momentum intact rather than signaling reversal conditions.

On-balance volume also crossed below its moving average, adding another layer of confirmation to the BTC price weakness.

Ethereum tracked the broader decline and fell 9.32% over the past two days, based on the same market breakdown. The reported structure now places $1,000 as a possible support zone.

Stablecoin dominance, combining USDT.D and USDC.D, broke above its bull flag formation in the same dataset. The February 24 high at 75.67 now acts as a critical trigger level.

If stablecoin dominance clears that level, the signal historically aligns with deeper crypto capitulation, placing the $38,000 Bitcoin zone in focus.

Crypto Market Selloff Spreads to Altcoins, Stocks, and Commodities The broader crypto market structure also weakened as TOTALES, TOTALE50, and TOTALE100 all broke key support zones.

Those indices failed to produce any TBO reset, while RSI continued making lower lows across the tracked timeframes.

Among large-cap altcoins, XRP showed weakness near TBO support, with the referenced fair value gap beginning near $0.50.

Solana also rejected from a bear flag pattern, keeping the $30 target active in the shared technical map.

Several tokens, including AAVE, NEAR, VET, ETHFi, TWT, and EIGEN, printed TBO breakdown clusters in the same update.

Outside crypto, the U.S. dollar index broke short-term resistance in a bull flag structure on Friday, extending pressure on risk markets.

That move pushed USDJPY to 160.247, its highest level in two years, according to the provided macro data.

The VIX closed at 31.04, above Monday’s high, while S&P futures and Nasdaq both printed fresh TBO breakdowns.

Gold and silver diverged from the broader weakness, with both metals holding support after confirmed RSI resets in the same market snapshot.

A new European Central Bank (ECB) working paper finds that governance over major decentralized finance protocols is controlled by a narrow group of token holders, delegates, and centralized exchanges, raising hard questions about who can actually be held accountable.

Top 100 Holders Control 80% of DeFi Governance Tokens, ECB Study Finds The working paper, ECB Working Paper No. 3208, examined governance data from four protocols, Aave, MakerDAO (now rebranded as Sky), Ampleforth, and Uniswap, across two snapshots in time: November 2022 and May 2023. The protocols were selected for their size and representation of different decentralized finance (DeFi) activity categories, collectively holding roughly 32% of total value locked on Ethereum at the time of data collection.

Token concentration figures were stark. ECB researchers state that the top 100 holders across all four protocols controlled more than 80% of the governance token supply. For Aave and Uniswap, the top five holders alone captured nearly half of all tokens. Ampleforth was more concentrated still, with the top five controlling close to 60%.

Researchers then attempted to identify who actually sits behind those addresses. For most protocols, roughly half or more of all holdings trace back to either the protocol itself, through treasuries, founders, or developer allocations, or to centralized and decentralized crypto exchanges. Binance, according to the report’s data, held the largest share among centralized platforms across all four protocols, ranging from 2% to 15% depending on the protocol.

The picture was no clearer when researchers examined who votes. Top voters were almost entirely delegates, individuals, or entities to whom smaller token holders assign their voting power. Identifying those delegates proved difficult. Researchers reportedly relied on web searches, Github, social media, governance forums, and the blockchain analytics tool crafted by Crystal Intelligence. Even then, about one-third of top voters across the sample could not be identified at all.

Image source: ECB DeFi Governance Study Among those researchers could identify, individuals made up the largest group at roughly 21%, followed by Web3 companies at around 19%. Venture capital firms and university blockchain societies also appeared. For Uniswap, the top voter across both time periods was Andreessen Horowitz, or A16z, which had voting power delegated to it by 125 addresses by May 2023.

Image source: ECB DeFi Governance Study The concentration of governance power held steady across both data snapshots, showing little movement. That stability cuts both ways: it suggests existing power structures are durable, and it makes the problem harder to address through market dynamics alone.

The paper also categorized 248 governance proposals across the four protocols. Risk parameters, covering loan-to-value ratios, debt ceilings, stability fees and emergency shutdowns, made up the largest share at 28%. Asset listing proposals accounted for another 23%. Governance structure itself was rarely the subject of a proposal; that category made up only 1% of the sample.

From a regulatory standpoint, the ECB researchers concluded that governance token holders, developers and centralized exchanges cannot serve as reliable regulatory entry points under current conditions. The pseudonymous nature of blockchain addresses, combined with the opaque delegation structure, means there is no clean line of accountability that regulators can draw on.

The EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation currently exempts services provided in a fully decentralized manner. The paper argues that the threshold is difficult to apply in practice, because no DeFi protocol in the sample came close to meeting a genuine standard of decentralization. Most protocols retain meaningful control in the hands of insiders.

The authors suggest possible paths forward, including mandatory disclosure of token holder affiliations, tailored legal structures for DAOs, and hybrid models that blend blockchain-based governance with traditional legal accountability frameworks. The Danish Financial Supervisory Authority framework was cited as one practical starting point for assessing whether an offering is genuinely decentralized.

The central bank‘s paper draws a comparison to traditional corporate governance. Both systems see low voter turnout and decisions shaped by a small group of active participants. But traditional finance has proxy voting rules, stewardship codes, and legal duties. DeFi currently has none of those safeguards, and the identities of key decision-makers remain largely hidden from public view.

FAQ 🔎 Who controls DeFi governance tokens? A small number of addresses — mostly protocol treasuries, founders and centralized exchanges like Binance — hold the majority of governance tokens across major DeFi protocols. Can regulators hold DeFi governance participants accountable? ECB researchers found that roughly one-third of top voters could not be identified using publicly available data, making clear lines of regulatory accountability difficult to establish. What is vote delegation in DeFi? Token holders can assign their voting rights to delegates who vote on proposals on their behalf, which the ECB paper found concentrates governance power further rather than distributing it. • Does the EU’s MiCA regulation cover DeFi protocols? MiCA exempts fully decentralized services, but the ECB paper argues most DeFi protocols do not meet a genuine decentralization standard and may fall within regulatory scope.

Morgan Stanley’s proposed 0.14% fee is lower than competitors like BlackRock and Grayscale. Lower fees matter because they attract investors, but that’s only part of the strategy. By offering the cheapest option, Morgan Stanley makes it easier for its advisors to recommend their own product rather than sending clients’ money to other firms.

How Morgan Stanley advisors could drive Bitcoin demandThe bank has around 16,000 financial advisors managing trillions in client assets. That’s where the real impact lies. The firm suggests clients allocate 0% to 4% of their portfolio to crypto. Even a small move can drive huge inflows.

“Morgan Stanley Wealth Management oversees about $8 trillion in AUM and recommends a 0–4% Bitcoin allocation. Even a 2% allocation would mean $160 billion, nearly three times the size of IBIT. $MSBT: Monster Bitcoin.” — Phong Le, President, Strategy

That’s significantly larger than the combined current size of many Bitcoin ETFs. Instead of investors choosing Bitcoin on their own, advisors could now guide that decision at scale.The real impact comes from Morgan Stanley’s wealth business.

Crypto investment strategy: Bringing Bitcoin in-houseUntil now, Morgan Stanley clients have mostly accessed Bitcoin through third-party products. With MSBT, that changes.

The bank is building a full crypto setup that includes:

Custody support from Coinbase and BNY MellonPlans for trading and staking servicesIntegration with its E*TRADE platformThis means clients can get Bitcoin exposure without leaving the Morgan Stanley ecosystem.

What this means for Bitcoin and institutional investorsThis move shows how much Wall Street’s view on Bitcoin has changed.

A few years ago, many big banks were unsure about crypto. Now, they are building products, infrastructure, and long-term strategies around it.

Morgan Stanley’s ETF could:

Bring in steady, long-term capitalMake Bitcoin a regular part of investment portfoliosIncrease competition among ETF providersBanks like JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs are also expanding into crypto, which shows this is part of a larger shift.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQsWhy is Morgan Stanley launching its own Bitcoin ETF?

The bank aims to bring Bitcoin investing in-house by offering a low-cost, proprietary option. This allows its 16,000 advisors to recommend an internal product rather than sending client assets to third-party competitors.

What does Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF mean for the market?

It represents a major shift in Wall Street adoption, potentially bringing steady, long-term capital into Bitcoin. It also increases competition among ETF providers, pushing major banks to build permanent crypto infrastructure.

What is Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF fee?

Morgan Stanley’s MSBT charges a 0.14% fee, making it cheaper than rivals like BlackRock and Grayscale, giving advisors a strong reason to recommend it to clients.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

Sponsored and Advertisements:Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.