Market Signal Briefing

Published: Mar 08, 2026 at 19:37
Updated: Mar 08, 2026 at 19:47

PolySwarm (NCT), which stands for "Nectar," is a cryptocurrency used within the PolySwarm ecosystem.

PolySwarm is a blockchain-based threat intelligence platform that aims to improve cybersecurity by providing a marketplace where security experts, or "experts," can develop and offer their threat detection solutions (micro-engines) to help organizations defend against cyber threats. NCT is used to facilitate transactions within this marketplace.

Here's how the PolySwarm ecosystem generally works

Security Experts: Security experts create and submit their threat detection micro-engines to PolySwarm. These micro-engines are used to detect threats and malicious software.

Arbiters: Arbiters play a crucial role in the ecosystem by determining the accuracy of threat detection. They assess the micro-engines submitted by experts and help establish the ground truth regarding threats

Marketplace: Organizations looking to bolster their cybersecurity can access the PolySwarm marketplace to purchase access to threat detection engines developed by experts. NCT tokens are used for transactions within this marketplace.

Incentives: Participants, including security experts, are rewarded with NCT tokens for their contributions to the ecosystem. This incentivizes the development of high-quality threat detection engines.

Disclaimer. This article is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as an endorsement by Coinidol.com. The data provided is collected by the author and is not sponsored by any company or token developer. They are not a recommendation to buy or sell cryptocurrency. Readers should do their research before investing in funds.

Expert in finance, blockchain, NFT, metaverse, and web3 writer with great technical research proficiency and over 15 years of experience.

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Popular Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo has stated that the premier cryptocurrency is heading towards resistance levels above $80k. However, he is of the opinion that even if such a position presents itself, it won’t result in an automatic resumption of the long-term bull market, but rather will become a classic bull trap that will lure short-term players into making a mistake once again.

Woo tweeted:

Image Source: X According to this tweet, the analyst believes that the recent Bitcoin price dump happened far more quickly than anticipated, and as a result, it waded into extreme oversold conditions.

Now, the conditions are ripe for a short-term rebound to $85k in the near future as a balancing act. However, he has also clearly stated that the bottom is not out yet and BTC is in the middle of the bear market range. He rounds off the analysis by saying that traders can expect sideways post-flush consolidation, followed by a rally to higher resistance levels that could form a bull trap.

Twitterati React One user replied:

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Image Source: X Another user, however, was critical of Woo’s predictions near previous tops. They tweeted:

Image Source: X Woo replied to this user by pointing out that it was harder to predict a top than a bottom. According to him, tops are often driven by sentiment and FOMO, while bottoms are much more reliable to predict because of their relationship with liquidity.

“….., in terms of bottoms, I’m much better, have nailed all of them. This isn’t a bottom”, Woo countered. 

Woo Goes Bearish on Uninspiring Bitcoin, Cites Quantum Threat Woo is a well-known Bitcoin maximalist, but he has voiced his concerns regarding the emerging Quantum Computing (QC) threat and its impact on the price index. His overall views blend optimism about Bitcoin’s long-term potential as a dominant digital asset with cautionary notes on market cycles and emerging risks, such as quantum computing.

Price-wise, he has repeatedly stated that the incoming quantum threat cannot be understated, and its risk has been factored into the spot price index. He points out that the cryptocurrency has broken a 12-year trend of gains against Gold, and QC is to blame for it. Woo, emphasizing evidence over speculation, wants the Bitcoin core team to stay on guard and propose effective upgrades to the blockchain network to make it QC-resistant. Failure to do so will force the index to underperform in previous cycles, eroding confidence and deterring future investors.

Ethereum Co-Founder Jeffrey Wilcke has transferred 79,176 ETH, worth about $157 million, to Kraken, introducing potential exchange supply pressure. 

The move has immediately drawn market attention because founder-linked deposits often precede strategic liquidity events. 

At the same time, on-chain data showed trader Rune opening 7x leveraged short positions on ETH and the XYZ100 index while maintaining a TWAP order to expand exposure.

This combination places Ethereum at the center of a conflicting positioning environment. Large insider deposits often introduce sell-side risk, yet derivatives traders simultaneously build directional bets. 

As a result, at press time, Ethereum [ETH] sat between potential supply pressure from early holders and aggressive speculative positioning that could amplify volatility across derivatives markets.

Can Ethereum hold the descending channel floor? Ethereum continued trading inside a descending channel that has guided the price lower since the previous peak.

At press time, ETH traded near $1,944, attempting to stabilize above the $1,800 support zone. That level historically attracted buyers during previous pullbacks.

However, resistance remained layered above current price action.

The first barrier appeared near $2,261, followed by stronger resistance around $2,797.

A broader structural ceiling sat near $3,370, marking the upper boundary of the longer-term downtrend. Meanwhile, the RSI hovered near 42, indicating neutral-to-weak momentum.

That reading suggested buyers attempted recovery inside the channel, but conviction remained limited.

Even so, sellers continued defending upper trend levels, keeping Ethereum within its broader corrective structure.

Source: TradingView

Exchange flows still show ETH leaving markets Exchange flow data indicated that Ethereum continued recording negative Exchange Netflows, meaning withdrawals exceeded deposits.

The latest reading showed roughly –$14.28 million in Spot Netflows, suggesting investors still moved assets away from exchanges.

Such behavior typically reflected accumulation conditions rather than immediate distribution.

However, Wilcke’s 79,176 ETH transfer to Kraken introduced a contrasting supply signal.

One large insider transaction does not necessarily shift broader flow dynamics. However, founder-linked activity often attracts heightened market scrutiny.

Even so, persistent withdrawals suggested many holders still preferred off-exchange storage. That dynamic implied restrained sell pressure across the broader Spot market.

Source: CoinGlass

Funding rates explode as leverage surges Derivatives markets reflected rapidly expanding participation as Funding Rates have surged 1,626%, at press time. 

Such a sharp increase indicates that traders have aggressively entered leveraged positions across perpetual futures markets. 

Elevated funding levels typically appear when traders crowd into directional exposure. 

In this case, the spike highlights a sharp increase in speculative activity surrounding Ethereum’s price structure. 

Crowded leverage conditions often amplify volatility because liquidation events can cascade quickly during abrupt price moves.

Traders appear increasingly confident in their directional positioning. However, heavy leverage also increases structural fragility across derivatives markets. 

As a result, Ethereum now sits in an environment where even moderate price swings could trigger amplified liquidation pressure across both sides of the market.

Source: CryptoQuant

Top Binance traders stay strongly long Despite the founder-linked transfer and the emergence of large short positioning, Binance’s top traders still maintain a dominant bullish stance. 

According to CoinGlass analytics,  around 74.44% of accounts are holding long positions, while only 25.56% hold shorts. This produced a 2.91 Long/Short Ratio, reflecting strong directional conviction among experienced traders.

Professional accounts often represent more informed market participants, which makes their positioning particularly relevant. Many traders still anticipate price recovery despite rising volatility signals. 

However, the coexistence of aggressive longs and large short exposures introduces a fragile balance within derivatives markets. 

As leverage expands across both sides, Ethereum’s next major move could trigger a rapid positioning reset.

Source: CoinGlass

Ethereum now faces a complex positioning environment shaped by insider transfers, expanding leverage, and conflicting trader sentiment.

Wilcke’s 79,176 ETH deposit introduced potential supply pressure, while Rune’s 7x leveraged short reflected bearish conviction.

However, persistent exchange outflows and a 2.91 Long/Short Ratio among Binance top traders indicated underlying bullish confidence.

Ethereum’s next move will likely depend on whether buyers defend the $1,800 support while absorbing incoming supply.

Final Summary Ethereum co-founder Jeffrey Wilcke transferred 79,176 ETH (~$157M) to Kraken. At the same time, trader Rune opened 7x leveraged shorts on ETH.

Riot case study shows US Bitcoin miners can clear power costs long before they clear full profitBitcoin mining costs are often reduced to a single number: the “cost to mine one BTC.” In reality, that figure depends on what layer of the business you measure.

Electricity determines whether machines should run today, operating expenses determine whether a mining fleet supports the broader company, and accounting costs determine whether the business ultimately reports profit.

To examine those layers more clearly, CryptoSlate built a Bitcoin Mining Cost Model that calculates mining economics from first principles using network difficulty, block reward, transaction fees, ASIC efficiency, and electricity price.

The model then applies company-specific cost inputs using Riot Platforms’ public filings to illustrate how the economics stack up in practice.

Under current network conditions, the model shows that a miner can cover power costs but still fails to cover broader operating and accounting expenses.

Riot’s Texas operations reveal how far apart electricity break-even, operating break-even, and full accounting profitability can remain even after Bitcoin’s price recovery.

Riot’s mining economics reveal three break-even layersAt the current Bitcoin price of $67,200, Riot clears one break-even layer and misses the next two.

We modeled the data based on current network conditions, including Bitcoin difficulty of 145,042,165,424,850, a 3.125 BTC block reward, BTC per block, modern ASIC efficiency in the ~17–19 J/TH range, and Texas industrial electricity at roughly $0.0667 per kWh. We ignored block fees given that current averages sit around 0.02 BTC per block.

That setup produces a network total of 622.95 sextillion hashes per block (the total work the network must do, on average, to mine one block), 199.34 sextillion hashes per BTC (how fast a miner or the whole network does that work), and 969.04 megawatt-hours of energy per BTC.

These assumptions yield an electricity cost of $64,635 to mine 1 BTC at its current price, resulting in a power margin of $2,565 per BTC.

Model output showing estimated Bitcoin mining costs: 199.34 sextillion hashes per BTC, 969.04 MWh of energy use, and roughly $64,635 in electricity costs per BTC at a $67,200 BTC price.When we add Riot’s filing-based non-power operating cost layer of about $9,809 per BTC, the operating margin turns negative $7,243, and the total cost per BTC jumps accordingly. Adding the non-cash depreciation layer of about $39,687 per BTC pushes accounting profit to negative $46,930.

This clearly shows that, for large US miners, “cost to mine one Bitcoin” does not have a single figure.

One layer captures short-run electricity cost and helps decide whether machines are worth running.A second layer adds broader operating costs and shows whether self-mining covers the rest of the business.A third layer adds depreciation and shows whether the reported profit keeps pace with the cash margin.The model places those layers side by side and shows how far apart they remain after the market’s recovery.

The break-even ladder defines the operating pictureThe model produces a break-even ladder that says more than any single all-in mining-cost figure. Electricity-only break-even sits at $64,635 per BTC.

Add Riot’s filing-based non-power operating cost layer, and break-even rises to about $74,444.

Add the accounting depreciation layer and full accounting break-even rises again to $114,130.

Therefore, miners can report positive power economics while still posting weak operating or accounting results.

Cost layerModeled amount per BTCBreak-even BTC priceElectricity only$64,635$64,635Non-power operating costs$9,809$74,444Accounting depreciation$39,687$114,130I modeled four price scenarios to show how that ladder works in practice.

In my $49,000 bear case, Riot is negative on every measure. Power margin per BTC is negative $15,635, operating margin is negative $25,443, and accounting profit is negative $65,130.

Chart showing Bitcoin mining economics model: 622.95 sextillion hashes per block, 969.04 MWh energy per BTC, total cost $114,130 per BTC, with negative power, operating, and accounting margins at an illustrative $49,000 BTC price.In the $67,200 current-price case, Riot moves just above electricity break-even, but only barely. The power margin turns positive, yet the operating and accounting views stay negative.

Model output chart showing Bitcoin mining economics: 622.95 sextillion hashes per block, 969.04 MWh energy per BTC, total cost per BTC $114,130, electricity cost $64,635, and negative operating and accounting margins at an illustrative BTC price of $67,200.In the $80,000 recovery case, Riot clears the operating threshold, with an operating margin of $5,557 per BTC, while the accounting view still shows a loss of $34,130.

Model output chart showing Bitcoin mining economics, including 969.04 MWh energy per BTC, $114,130 total cost per BTC, $64,635 electricity cost, $9,809 non-power operating costs, $39,687 depreciation, and margins calculated against an illustrative $80,000 BTC price.It requires retaking the all-time high of $126,000 before all three views turn positive, with an accounting profit of $11,870 per BTC.

Bitcoin mining cost model dashboard showing hashes per block, hashes per BTC, energy per BTC, electricity cost, operating costs, depreciation, and estimated profit margins at a $126,000 BTC price.BTC price scenarioPower margin per BTCOperating margin per BTCAccounting profit per BTC$49,000-$15,635-$25,443-$65,130$67,200$2,565-$7,243-$46,930$80,000$15,365$5,557-$34,130$126,000$61,365$51,557$11,870The distinction is substantive. Riot’s depreciation layer is explicitly framed as non-cash and based on a three-year useful life. It is an accounting allocation rather than a short-term avoidable cash outflow.

It still belongs in the picture because public miners do not live on power margin alone. They report income statements. They replace machines. They absorb corporate costs.

So the useful question is which profitability line investors, analysts, and management teams are actually using and when to say a miner is profitable.

Riot’s next-halving projection extends the price testWe then ran a cost projection until the next halving in 2028.

Using Riot's latest publicly available filings, we assume 38.5 exahash per second, ramping to 45 EH/s by March 31, 2026, and then holding that level flat through to the next halving window.

We are not attempting to rebuild the entire market. The model keeps current per-BTC economics constant and scales them through Riot’s reported and planned self-mining hash-rate path.

This is a scenario exercise focused on operating leverage, and the price sensitivity is hard to miss.

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Across all four scenarios, the projected cumulative BTC mined is 15 thousand. What changes is the profit stack.

At $49,000 Bitcoin, Riot’s cumulative power margin is negative $239,436,036, cumulative operating margin is negative $389,648,124, and cumulative accounting profit is negative $997,428,094.

Bitcoin mining profitability model showing cumulative profit to the next halving at $49k BTC, projecting 15,000 BTC mined with power margin −$239M, operating margin −$389M, and accounting profit −$997M across 2026–2028.At $67,200, the cumulative power margin turns positive at $39,286,667, but the cumulative operating margin stays negative at $110,925,420, and the cumulative accounting profit remains negative at $718,705,391.

Dashboard showing Bitcoin mining profitability projections to the next halving, including a BTC price slider (~$67,200), projected cumulative BTC of 15,000, power margin of $39.3M, operating margin of -$110.9M, accounting profit of -$718.7M, and a chart comparing accounting, operating, and power margins over time.At $80,000, Riot turns cumulatively positive on operating margin at $85,099,338, while cumulative accounting profit is still negative at $522,680,632.

Chart showing projected Bitcoin mining profitability to the next halving with BTC at $80,000, estimating 15,000 BTC mined, $235M cumulative power margin, $85M operating margin, and a -$522M accounting profit trajectory.Only in the $126,000 scenario do all three lines move above zero, with cumulative accounting profit of $181,783,343.

Chart showing projected Bitcoin mining profitability to the next halving, estimating 15,000 BTC mined with $939M power margin, $789M operating margin, and $181M accounting profit at a BTC price of $126,000.BTC price scenarioProjected cumulative BTCCumulative power marginCumulative operating marginCumulative accounting profit$49,00015 thousand-$239,436,036-$389,648,124-$997,428,094$67,20015 thousand$39,286,667-$110,925,420-$718,705,391$80,00015 thousand$235,311,426$85,099,338-$522,680,632$126,00015 thousand$939,775,402$789,563,314$181,783,343A miner can be power-positive for a long stretch and still fail to cover broader operating costs. It can also turn operating-positive and still remain far from accounting profit. Riot’s case study shows that the gap between those states is wide.

In the model, the difference between power break-even and full accounting break-even is roughly $49,495 per BTC. That spread helps explain why miners can look healthy on fleet dispatch and strained on reported earnings at the same time.

Our cumulative chart does not call future difficulty, fees, outages, curtailment revenue, financing, or new capex. It assumes today’s per-BTC economics persist and scales them only according to Riot’s planned hash-rate path.

That limitation still leaves a clear signal. Holding the rest of the economics flat shows how much of the next-halving debate still hinges on Bitcoin's price.

In Riot’s case, the model does not reach cumulative accounting profitability until the $126,000 scenario. However, in absolute terms, the level is $114,200.

Bitcoin mining profitability projection chart showing cumulative profit to the next halving at a BTC price of $114,200, with projected 15,000 BTC mined and power, operating, and accounting margins increasing through 2028.Riot’s case gives a read-through for the wider US mining tradeThe broader lesson for US miners is straightforward. Price alone does not settle the operating picture. Fleet efficiency and power price still decide the first cut.

In terms of cost sensitivity, we compare three ASIC presets: the Bitmain S21 at 17.5 J/TH, the WhatsMiner M60S at 18.5 J/TH, and the Antminer S19 Pro at 29.5 J/TH, using a Texas industrial power reference rate.

Cost sensitivity chart comparing Bitcoin mining breakeven costs for Antminer S19 Pro, Bitmain S21, and WhatsMiner M60S across different electricity prices, showing older S19 Pro becoming unprofitable fastest as power costs rise.Across that range, the S19 Pro stays above the newer machines on cost per BTC. The two newer models run close to one another, while the less efficient fleet carries a visibly higher cost line throughout the chart.

That point carries beyond Riot. Riot’s filing-based non-power cost layer and depreciation assumptions are company-specific. Another miner may have a different overhead base, a different useful-life assumption, a different curtailment profile, or a different realized power mix. But we feel the three-layer structure still travels well.

First comes power cost. Then operating cost. Then accounting cost.

The companies that survive weak price periods tend to clear the first layer comfortably. The companies that compound value through the cycle need to clear all three over time.

At the current price of around $67,000, the model does not show a company in distress at the machine level. The power margin is positive. Machines still earn more than they spend on electricity.

At the same time, it does not show a miner that has solved the full income statement. The operating line stays red. The accounting line stays deeper in the red. For a public miner, that split shapes treasury decisions, fleet replacement timing, and market expectations for earnings.

We can therefore extrapolate that Bitcoin miners can cross into positive power margin well below six figures, cross into positive operating margin in the recovery case, and still miss cumulative accounting profitability until we retest the all-time high above $114,000

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Key Insights:

Strategy purchased 3,015 BTC last week, bringing total holdings to 720,737 BTC globally. STRC preferred stock trading jumped to $260M, potentially funding additional Bitcoin purchases. Bitcoin trades near $67,292 amid macro pressures, tight liquidity, and rising unemployment reports. Saylor Hints at More Bitcoin Buys Despite Market Weakness Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, indicated that the company may buy more Bitcoin after last week’s purchase. In a post on X, Saylor wrote, “The Second Century Begins,” signaling possible further accumulation.

Last Monday, Strategy acquired 3,015 BTC at an average price of $67,700 per coin. This brought the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to 720,737 BTC, with a total investment of about $54.77 billion. The current average price per coin stands near $75,985. Strategy remains the largest corporate Bitcoin holder globally.

STRC Stock Sees Higher Trading Strategy’s STRC preferred stock experienced a jump in trading volume earlier this week, reaching $260 million on March 6. Market observers link this increase to the company’s ability to fund additional Bitcoin purchases.

STRC preferred stock has been used to raise capital for previous Bitcoin acquisitions. Through at-the-market offerings, investor demand can be converted into funding for new purchases. Any new Bitcoin transactions would typically be disclosed through filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Bitcoin Market Conditions Bitcoin was trading around $67,292, down about 0.5% over the last 24 hours. Prices recently fell from levels near $70,000, reflecting weakness across the broader cryptocurrency market.

Analysts point to macroeconomic pressures as a factor in market performance. Persistent inflation, rising unemployment, and tight liquidity have affected trading. The latest Nonfarm Payrolls report showed higher-than-expected job losses. Some institutions, including BlackRock, have limited investor withdrawals due to low liquidity.

Strategy’s Approach to Bitcoin Saylor has emphasized Bitcoin’s limited supply, stating,

 “there is not enough Bitcoin available for everyone.” 

Strategy continues to rely on careful capital management and instruments like STRC preferred stock to fund purchases.

Even as market conditions remain challenging, Strategy’s activity shows ongoing interest in Bitcoin. Investors are closely watching regulatory filings and official announcements for updates on future purchases.

DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.

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A popular crypto analyst on the social media platform X has shared a buy-and-hold strategy for Bitcoin, which could potentially yield over 250% gain in the near future.

BTC Price To Bottom Out Around $49,000? In a recent post on the X platform, market pundit Ali Martinez put forward an exciting trade plan for Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. This strategy revolves around the CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed) Channel.

CVDD is an on-chain technical indicator based on the volume of aged capital being sent into the market. This on-chain metric is typically used in highlighting zones of long-term support or resistance based on the movement of long-held coins.

The Cumulative Value Days Destroyed line, which is typically the lowest line in the channel, signals a phase of severe undervaluation. The channel extensions (the resistance bands, which are usually the targets during bull markets) are then created by applying Fibonacci multiples to the base CVDD line.

The CVDD Channel by @Alphractal lays out a simple game plan for Bitcoin $BTC:

• Buy near $49,330.
• Take profits between $178,478 and $273,158. pic.twitter.com/4k9nKyli0S

— Ali Charts (@alicharts) March 7, 2026

From a historical perspective, the Bitcoin price has never dropped below the CVDD line (the base line of the channel), marking it as a relevant indicator for identifying cycle bottoms. Hence, the line is often considered a primary accumulation zone, where investors often bet on a price reversal.

Source: @ali_charts on X As shown in the highlighted chart, this CVDD line (blue) is currently around $49,330, representing the potential Bitcoin bottom in this bearish phase. According to Martinez, this price point also represents the perfect spot to take a position in the flagship cryptocurrency.

Next, the market analyst says to take profit from this trade at the resistance levels around $178,478 or $273,158. These $178,478 and $273,158 resistance levels are the CVDD 3.618x and Alpha CVDD lines, respectively, of the channel, and they represent potential cycle tops for the Bitcoin price.

If the price of BTC indeed soars from $49,330 to at least the $178,478 top, that would represent an over 260% rally in one cycle. Meanwhile, it would take a further 53% upside movement from $178,478 toward the next resistance level.

Bitcoin Price Overview  As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $67,350, reflecting a more than 1% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency is barely up by 1% kn the weekly timeframe.

The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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Opeyemi Sule is a passionate crypto enthusiast, a proficient content writer, and a journalist at Bitcoinist. Opeyemi creates unique pieces unraveling the complexities of blockchain technology and sharing insights on the latest trends in the world of cryptocurrencies. Opeyemi enjoys reading poetry, chatting about politics, and listening to music, in addition to his strong interest in cryptocurrency.

Ethereum price has slipped below a major support zone, while liquidation data shows a much larger pool of short positions still hanging above the market. Together, the charts point to a tense setup where ETH could test lower support first, even as growing short exposure leaves room for a sharp rebound.

Ethereum Breaks $2,000 Support as $1,850 to $1,900 Zone Becomes KeyEthereum dropped below a major support level as the ETH/USDT daily chart showed price breaking under the $2,000 zone. Analyst Ted Pillows said the next important support now sits between $1,850 and $1,900, where the market could look for stability.

The chart highlights several resistance and support bands that previously shaped Ethereum’s structure over the past year. After trading above $2,400 earlier in the cycle, ETH gradually moved lower and eventually lost the $2,000 area, which had acted as a psychological and technical support zone.

Once that level broke, price moved into a lower range where the next clear support appears near the $1,850 to $1,900 region. That zone stands out because it previously served as a consolidation area during earlier phases of the trend.

The chart also shows Ethereum forming a short downward structure during the recent decline. As a result, the market now approaches the next support band from above while sellers remain active after the breakdown.

Ted Pillows said Ethereum could retest the $1,850 to $1,900 area before attempting a rebound. If buyers respond in that range, the chart suggests ETH may try to move back toward the former resistance zone near $2,100. However, if the support fails, the lower demand zones highlighted on the chart would likely come into focus.

Ethereum Liquidation Map Shows Heavy Short ExposureMeanwhile, Ethereum derivatives data shows a large imbalance between remaining long and short liquidation levels, according to analysis shared by CW8900. The chart indicates that roughly $1.66 billion in long liquidations remain, while about $3.95 billion in short positions still sit above the market.

Ethereum Liquidation Map: Source: CW8900 on X

The CoinAnk liquidation chart visualizes how leverage is distributed across several exchanges, including Binance, Bybit, OKX, Aster, Hyperliquid, and Lighter. The bars and cumulative curves show where positions could be forced to close if price moves into those zones. In this case, the remaining short exposure is noticeably larger than the long side.

That imbalance matters because liquidation clusters often act as magnets during periods of volatility. When price moves toward areas with concentrated leverage, forced liquidations can accelerate the move. With a larger pool of short liquidations above the market, the chart suggests that upward pressure could trigger a cascade of short position closures.

At the same time, the remaining long liquidation levels appear smaller by comparison. As a result, the immediate liquidation structure reflects a market where downside leverage has already been reduced, while short exposure still dominates above the current trading range.

CW8900 said the remaining short positions could face liquidation if price moves upward into those clusters. In that scenario, forced buy orders from liquidated shorts could amplify volatility and push Ethereum toward higher liquidity zones.

Shares of Lemonade (LMND +0.22%) sank a whopping 40% in February, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. The high-flying insurer, trying to disrupt the legacy market, posted fourth-quarter earnings that disappointed investors. Shares of the stock are still up close to 70% in the last year, marking a huge run for Lemonade shareholders.

Here's why the stock sank in February, and whether now is a good time to buy the dip for your own portfolio.

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No profits and a premium valuation Lemonade has sought to disrupt traditional consumer insurance markets, such as renters, home, and car insurance, through an easy-to-use online platform. With lower overhead costs, the company believes it can offer insurance rates lower than the competition's and still generate profits.

So far, it has been able to use its lower pricing to drive customers to its services. In-force premiums -- a topline metric for an insurer such as Lemonade -- totaled $1.24 billion last quarter, up 31% year over year. More customers are joining Lemonade for its various insurance offerings, driving strong topline growth.

The problem is, the company is failing to turn this premium into a profit, with a net loss yet again in Q4. Management claims this is due to its reinvestments for growth, but investors are nervous that it is gaining market share without actually building a sustainable insurance operation.

What's more, Lemonade's valuation was high going into the Q4 earnings report, with a price-to-book value (P/B) of 14. This is the best metric for valuing an insurance operator, and it was quite the premium. Lemonade still trades at a P/B of 7.9 as of this writing.

Image source: Getty Images.

Time to buy Lemonade stock? After falling 40%, Lemonade trades at a cheaper, but still not cheap, P/B of 7.9. The company has consistently destroyed book value by losing money over the years, but last quarter it stemmed the tide, with book value per share flattening instead of declining. If this were to reverse and the company starts generating excess capital, perhaps the business will start generating value for shareholders.

Lemonade is a fast-growing business, and if it can keep up this fast growth and exhibit some levels of operating leverage, the stock might be a buy today. However, shares still trade at a premium vs. the rest of the insurance market. For example, Progressive trades at a P/B of 4.1, and it is the best operator in the industry. Lemonade remains a risky stock to add to your portfolio right now.

NuScale Power's (SMR 4.19%) January rally didn't just stall in February; it collapsed. The stock plummeted 26.5% last month, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence, erasing all its earlier gains and trading almost 18% lower in 2026, as of this writing.

Things aren't looking good for NuScale. A critical project delay, an earnings report featuring a number that has spooked investors, share dilution, and multiple analyst reratings were just some of the major themes that hurt the nuclear energy stock in February, and continue to send it lower.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why is NuScale Power stock taking such a big hit? NuScale took the first big hit in the second week of February after TD Cowen analyst Marc Bianchi downgraded the stock's rating from buy to hold, warning investors that the company's flagship project in Romania could be delayed until 2034.

NuScale is building small modular reactors (SMRs) called VOYGR based on its proprietary power modules. RoPower, a joint venture between Nuclearelectrica and Nova Power, is currently NuScale's only customer. The contract stated 2029-2030 as the targeted deployment date for a VOYGR plant at the Doicesti Power Station site in Romania.

Last month, Nuclearelectrica shareholders approved the project's final investment decision, which allows NuScale to move to the next steps of securing financing.

That's good news, but the first module may not enter commercial operation before 2033. That means the plant may not be operational before 2034, four years behind the original target. Bianchi also noted the material risks NuScale would face if the initial module failed to operate as expected.

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Meanwhile, NuScale Power's largest shareholder and engineering giant, Fluor is selling shares consistently in line with its decision to exit NuScale entirely by the end of the second quarter this year. On Feb. 13, for instance, Fluor sold 71 million NuScale shares at around $19.05 per share.

NuScale Power stock took another big hit later in the month after it released fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results.

Can NuScale stock fall further? Investors were stunned by a $507.4 million milestone payment to ENTRA1 Energy, NuScale's exclusive commercialization partner. The massive cash outlay was recognized as an expense during the quarter, even though NuScale hasn't built a single plant yet. NuScale reported an operating loss of nearly $690 million versus a loss of $139 million in 2024.

Several analysts have slashed their price targets on NuScale Power following its earnings release, and the company is also facing several investor class action lawsuits alleging that it misrepresented ENTRA1 Energy's experience and capabilities.

The February sell-off may have fundamentally shifted the narrative around NuScale Power. SMRs have several benefits over traditional nuclear reactors. NuScale, however, is still years away from commercializing its technology, and the big losses, share dilution, and the legal and funding pressures aren't helping its case. Investors should stay cautious.

Buying and holding stocks with incredible long-term potential is the goal of a lot of investors. After all, who doesn't want to achieve monster returns?

But market participants also have other objectives. Some investors simply want the businesses that they own to cut them a check every quarter. Generating income is the priority in this case.

There are some very high-quality, industry-leading companies to zero in on. Here are the two best dividend stocks to buy now and hold forever.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

This beverage giant has a fantastic 64-year streak going The first dividend stock investors can confidently buy and hold forever is Coca-Cola (KO +0.12%). The leader in soft drinks has a phenomenal track record. It has raised its dividend payout for 64 straight years, after the board of directors approved a 4% increase last month. The current yield is 2.72%.

Coca-Cola's longevity supports the case for its relevance well into the future. This is a stable business, with predictable demand that doesn't fluctuate with changing economic conditions. Consumers will buy Coca-Cola beverages regardless of the macro backdrop.

The company's brand is its most important asset, which drives customer loyalty and pricing power. Anyone can start a new drink business. It would be almost impossible to scale up and compete effectively with Coca-Cola, however, because it has unmatched distribution and marketing capabilities.

There is no risk that the dividend will go away. In the past decade, the business has posted an average operating margin of 27.5%. And it generates robust free cash flow.

"We have an unwavering commitment to reinvest in our business and grow our dividend," CFO John Murphy said on the fourth quarter 2025 earnings call.

Today's Change

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0.12

%) $

0.09

Current Price

$

77.12

The world's top retailer has raised its payout for 53 straight years Next is Walmart (WMT +0.45%), the world's biggest retailer. While not as long as Coca-Cola's track record, this business has increased its dividend for an impressive 53 consecutive years. On Feb. 19, its board approved a 5% payout increase. The dividend yield stands at 0.78%.

Walmart's focus on offering a massive number of goods at low prices supports its performance in both good and bad economic times. The company reported positive same-store sales of 4.6% in the U.S. in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 (ended Jan. 31), at a time when low-income households are feeling financial pressure.

"For households earning below $50,000, we continue to see that wallets are stretched, and, in some cases, people are managing spending paycheck to paycheck," CEO John R. Furner said on the Q4 2026 earnings call. "Even these households are emphasizing convenience nearly as much as price." That reality plays to Walmart's benefit.

Amazon gets a lot of attention for disrupting the retail sector, bringing online shopping to the masses. But it's not the threat to Walmart's dominance that it once was. Walmart has adapted, and its e-commerce sales were up 24% in Q4.

Today's Change

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0.45

%) $

0.55

Current Price

$

123.86

Investors should set the right expectations Both Coca-Cola and Walmart are durable businesses. They have stood the test of time. They face stable and predictable demand. And they're consistently profitable. Investors can view these blue chip stocks as solid foundations, increasing the safety positions of their portfolios.

Still, don't expect these companies to produce returns that outperform the market. In particular, Coca-Cola is already ubiquitous, and it's a very mature business. In Walmart's case, its valuation is in nosebleed territory, as the price-to-earnings ratio of 46.8 is 223% more expensive than a decade ago. These are clear reasons the capital gains won't be impressive.

These stocks still make sense for income investors. It's hard to beat the track records of Coca-Cola and Walmart when it comes to raising dividend payouts.

Shares of C3.ai (AI 2.13%) fell an astonishing 27.8% in February, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. A company that markets itself as an enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) operator, the business is clearly not benefiting from the AI revolution so far, as revenue has begun to move in the wrong direction, alongside terrible profit margins. The stock is down over 90% from its highs set right after it went public in late 2020.

Here's why the stock was falling in February, and whether you should finally buy the dip on C3.ai stock for your portfolio.

Today's Change

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-2.13

%) $

-0.20

Current Price

$

9.19

Collapsing revenue, huge cash burn Management pitches C3.ai as a similar player to Palantir Technologies, selling custom AI services to enterprises to help them become better at what they do. The problem is, it doesn't seem to be very good at it.

Revenue was a measly $53 million last quarter, down from $99 million in the same period a year ago. We are supposedly in a revolution of AI applications taking over the world, and yet C3.ai's revenue has almost been cut in half compared to a year prior. This shows that customers are not taking to its custom software products, leading to contract non-renewals.

The company is unsurprisingly highly unprofitable. Operating loss was $140 million last quarter, more than double topline revenue. Free cash flow was negative $126 million over the last twelve months, which is going to eat into cash reserves on the balance sheet.

Image source: Getty Images.

Should you buy the dip? A true AI company like Palantir can grow while generating solid profits. Its revenue was $4.47 billion in 2025, along with over $2 billion in free cash flow. As a primary competitor to C3.ai, there is a huge disparity between these two businesses and how they are attacking the enterprise AI market.

Now, C3.ai trades at a lower-looking price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of 4, its lowest level in history. However, a company that keeps losing money with declining revenue is never going to be worth anything, no matter how low the stock falls. This should keep any investor away from this stock, even after its 28% collapse last month.

Look for better AI stocks to buy for your portfolio right now. C3.ai is not worth buying the dip on.

Brett Schafer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends C3.ai. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Many investors have shunned cybersecurity stocks over the past year or so as they've tried to assess how the companies will be impacted by artificial intelligence (AI). Evaluating companies and the markets they serve is a wise strategy, but with many cybersecurity stocks plunging recently, some investors have shifted more into panic mode than simple evaluation.

That's opened up some buying opportunities for long-term investors. Here are two cybersecurity stocks that may be worth snatching up now after investors were too eager to hit the sell button.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. AI is accelerating Palo Alto's security business Palo Alto Networks (PANW +1.16%) is an established cybersecurity company that's made some big moves to shore up its position in the market, including its $25 billion purchase of CyberArk last year to get the company's top-notch identity and access management security features.

Palo Alto is also looking to AI for growth. Palo Alto CEO Nikesh Arora said last month that the company saw "continued strength in platformizations, a trend that is accelerating due to AI -- customers are keen to both modernize and normalize their cybersecurity stack, aligning them to our approach." Arora added that as more customers adopt AI security, the company "will be a long term trend."

The company's Prisma AIRS artificial intelligence security platform has become a popular tool in its security arsenal, with the number of customers using the platform tripling in just one quarter. The company's second-quarter results revealed just how in demand its security products are, with sales rising 15% from the year-ago quarter to $2.6 billion, and diluted earnings popping nearly 61% to $0.61 per share.

Today's Change

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1.16

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1.89

Current Price

$

165.05

Management is guiding for continued growth this year, with total sales expected to be about $11.3 billion in 2026, a nearly 23% increase from last year. What's more, Palo Alto's leadership expects the company to continue its high profitability, with a non-GAAP operating margin of about 29% for the year.

Investors have been skittish about cybersecurity stocks as they try to figure out how AI will affect them, and that's helped drive Palo Alto's shares down 20% over the past year. With such a dramatic pullback despite Palo Alto's strong position in security and high profitability, now looks like a good time to pick up some shares of the company.

2. Microsoft is the silent cybersecurity leader Microsoft (MSFT 0.43%) doesn't break out its cybersecurity sales directly, but estimates for 2025 put its security revenue at about $37 billion, with the potential to reach $50 billion annually by 2030, and Microsoft said recently it now has 1.6 million global security customers.

Today's Change

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-0.43

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-1.75

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408.93

I think Microsoft is in one of the best positions to benefit from an increasingly complex world of AI threats because its security business is tied so closely to its cloud computing business. Microsoft's Azure is the second-largest cloud computing company behind Amazon with 21% market share, and continues to gain ground on its rivals. As the AI cloud market grows to nearly $2 trillion by 2030, Microsoft is likely to add more cybersecurity customers as clients get locked into the company's cloud ecosystem.

What's more, as an AI leader with its Copilot chatbot, Microsoft can implement artificial intelligence into its cybersecurity software and services in a way that other software companies can only dream of. For example, Microsoft recently introduced its Agent 365, an AI agent that enterprise customers can use to govern their existing security services, using the same controls they already use for Microsoft 365 and its Azure cloud. One of Microsoft's customers its the company's AI agent to reduce the time to triage cybersecurity threats by 75%.

Sweetening the deal for investors is that Microsoft's shares have a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 25 right now, far cheaper than the tech sector's average P/E ratio of 39. Its shares have been flat over the past year, but with its leading position in security, paired with AI and cloud opportunities, the stock is a great long-term buy.

Nvidia (NVDA 2.94%), Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms (META 2.33%), and Tesla -- collectively known as the "Magnificent Seven" -- have produced monster gains for long-term investors. But all seven stocks have lost value so far in 2026 -- and that should merit some attention from investors on the lookout for opportunities.

Nvidia and Meta Platforms -- in particular -- are compelling valued based on a key metric. Here's why both growth stocks are selling off, and some context to help you decide which one could be the better buy for you in March.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why forward P/E matters The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is one of the most popular metrics for evaluating stocks. And for good reason, as it's simply the price of the stock divided by earnings per share.

Companies with clear ways to deploy capital effectively deserve premium valuations. A company like Coca-Cola can expand into new markets and acquire or develop new beverage lines. But it doesn't have nearly as many levers to pull to accelerate earnings growth compared to a company like Amazon -- which plays in so many different end markets.

The forward P/E ratio rewards companies by dividing the stock price by analyst consensus earnings estimates for the next year. For example, Nvidia has a 37.2 P/E compared to 29.6 for the S&P 500, but just a 22.1 forward P/E compared to 23.6 for the S&P 500. Similarly, Meta Platforms is also slightly cheaper than the S&P 500 based on forward earnings.

S&P 500 P/E Ratio Forward Estimate data by YCharts

Granted, forward P/E can inflate a stock's value if a company misses on earnings. And investors who are buying stocks and planning to hold them over the long term likely care more about a company's earnings over several years, if not decades, rather than what they are today.

A top AI infrastructure play Nvidia is by far the best Magnificent Seven stock for investors who believe the company can sustain earnings growth even close to its current rate. For its fiscal 2026 -- which was the 12 months ended Jan. 25, 2026 -- the company grew revenue by 65% and diluted earnings per share by 59.5%. Nvidia's valuation is still reasonable, even though its stock price has soared, because the company has grown its earnings rapidly.

However, just a handful of cloud providers and hyperscalers are driving a little over half of Nvidia's data center revenue -- which makes up just under 90% of its sales. If one or two key customers pull back on spending, Nvidia's growth rate will fall. But given its volatility, Nvidia would still be a steal at current levels if it could grow earnings by, say, 20% to 30% per year.

Today's Change

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-5.39

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177.95

The long-term opportunity is even more appealing, as prominent innovations position Nvidia to go beyond the data center and be a leader in agentic artificial intelligence (AI) and physical AI (general robotics and self-driving cars). If Nvidia can diversify its customer base and reduce its dependence on data center revenue, it should be less prone to a cyclical pullback in hyperscaler spending.

The AI snowball Meta is the best buy for investors looking for companies that are already capitalizing on their AI investments. Its business model is significantly different from other top hyperscalers (and key Nvidia customers) like Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet, which are investing in data center infrastructure to meet demand for cloud and AI services, even if it takes a sledgehammer to free cash flow (FCF).

The social media titan is one of the best examples of a company rapidly monetizing AI rather than building AI infrastructure and hoping customers see a return on their AI spending. AI is improving Meta's family of apps (Instagram, Facebook, Messenger, and WhatsApp) for users, creators, and advertisers.

Meta uses AI to connect users with content and ads that align with their interests. AI drives Meta's open-source Large Language Model Meta AI (Llama) -- which powers Meta AI assistants. Meta's Reality Labs division, which includes augmented and virtual reality products and metaverse projects, is also investing in AI-powered hardware.

Today's Change

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-2.33

%) $

-15.42

Current Price

$

645.15

Perhaps Meta's greatest advantage is that it can afford to aggressively spend because the family of apps is so profitable. In many ways, Meta is an AI snowball. AI investments improve the family of apps business, accelerating high-margin growth and boosting FCF, which can be used on projects that may take several years to turn profitable or fail entirely.

All told, Nvidia and Meta are high-conviction buys for investors who believe the potential rewards of these companies far outweigh the discussed risks. The cheaper both stocks become, the more risk is being taken off the table for long-term investors.

D-Wave Quantum (QBTS 1.17%) is growing revenue at triple-digit rates while its stock trades far below recent highs. I explore why accelerating bookings, defense partnerships, and commercialization momentum could reshape the long-term narrative and what must happen financially for shares to justify a powerful move higher.

Stock prices used were the market prices of March 3, 2026. The video was published on March 7, 2026.

Rick Orford has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Rick Orford is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through their link, they will earn some extra money that supports their channel. Their opinions remain their own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.

Journalist

Posted: March 8, 2026

Bitcoin’s [BTC] supply curve is entering a critical compression phase as issuance approaches the 20 million BTC milestone. Current supply stands at 19,998,888.66 BTC, representing 95.23% of the 21 million cap.

As this threshold approaches, the remaining issuance narrows sharply. Only 1,000,884 coins remain to be mined, stretching gradually toward 2140.

At the same time, the 2024 halving reduced block rewards to 3.125 BTC, slowing new supply creation. Daily issuance now averages roughly 450 BTC, reinforcing the pace of supply deceleration.

Source: X

Meanwhile, 230 BTC remain permanently unspendable, subtly tightening the effective circulating supply available to markets.

This contraction begins shaping market expectations. Smaller holders absorbed roughly 19,300 BTC monthly in 2025, while miners introduced only about 13,500 coins each month.

As accumulation increasingly outpaces issuance, supply compression grows economically meaningful, indicating that the demand for Bitcoin is rising faster than its availability in the market.

Gradually, the 20 million milestone strengthens Bitcoin’s scarcity narrative, reinforcing its long-term positioning as a digitally scarce store of value.

Accumulation outpaces Bitcoin’s new issuance Bitcoin’s supply dynamics continue shifting as post-halving issuance slows while long-term holders steadily absorb circulating coins.

After a brief distribution in late 2025, LTH supply rebounded sharply, adding about 212,000 BTC within 30 days.

At the same time, inactivity metrics reinforce tightening liquidity. Roughly 61% of the total supply has remained dormant for over one year, gradually reducing the liquid trading float.

Source: Glassnode

Meanwhile, Exchange Balances have declined to 2.4 million BTC, reinforcing the growing illiquid supply structure. Institutional custody further amplifies this trend. Spot ETFs now hold about $86 billion in BTC, equivalent to 6.3% of the total supply.

Source: CoinGlass

This absorption contrasts sharply with minor issuance. The network produces approximately 13,500 monthly, while large holders accumulate significantly more.

As the 20 million BTC milestone approaches, markets increasingly anticipate future scarcity. Gradually, Bitcoin’s supply structure transitions from issuance-driven expansion toward a secondary market dominated

Institutional accumulation outpaces Bitcoin’s new supply Bitcoin’s shrinking block rewards are reshaping supply dynamics as the network approaches a major scarcity milestone.

Meanwhile, miner revenue declined to roughly $29 million daily, increasing treasury liquidations to sustain operations. In early 2026, about 33,000 BTC were transferred to exchanges, highlighting liquidity pressures.

Source: YCharts

This demand increasingly outpaces the amount mined monthly, gradually tightening available supply.

As Bitcoin approaches 20 million mined coins, new issuance becomes negligible relative to existing liquidity.

Gradually, markets begin pricing Bitcoin’s fixed scarcity model earlier, reinforcing long-term supply compression, as investors anticipate future shortages and adjust their buying strategies accordingly.

Final Summary Bitcoin [BTC] supply compression intensifies as accumulation from long-term holders and ETFs increasingly exceeds the roughly 13,500 BTC mined each month. Bitcoin approaching the 20 million milestone highlights a structural shift where declining issuance tightens liquid supply and strengthens the market’s pricing of long-term scarcity.

Terrill Dicki Mar 08, 2026 18:06

Polkadot consolidates at $1.46 with neutral RSI signaling potential momentum shift. Technical analysis suggests DOT could target $1.72 resistance if bulls reclaim $1.52 level.

DOT Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $1.56 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.56-$1.72 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.52 • Critical support: $1.40

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Polkadot While specific analyst predictions from major crypto influencers are limited in recent trading sessions, blockchain analysts have provided notable DOT price prediction insights. According to James Ding's March 4 analysis, "Polkadot shows bullish momentum with MACD turning positive and RSI neutral at 51.48. Analysts target $1.76 breakthrough within two weeks as DOT trades above key support levels."

More recently, Darius Baruo noted on March 7 that "DOT price prediction shows potential rally to $1.56-$1.72 range as Polkadot trades above key support at $1.45 with neutral RSI signaling possible momentum shift ahead."

These technical assessments align with current on-chain data showing Polkadot maintaining stability above key support zones despite broader market uncertainty.

DOT Technical Analysis Breakdown Polkadot currently trades at $1.46, down 0.82% in the past 24 hours with a trading range between $1.43 and $1.49. The RSI reading of 47.42 places DOT in neutral territory, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions.

The MACD indicator shows a flat histogram at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled but hasn't yet turned bullish. This consolidation phase often precedes significant directional moves.

Polkadot's position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.51 confirms the asset is trading near the middle band ($1.45), with room to move toward either the upper band at $1.71 or lower band at $1.19. The current setup suggests a breakout is approaching.

Key resistance levels emerge at $1.49 (immediate) and $1.52 (strong), while support holds at $1.43 (immediate) and $1.40 (strong). The daily ATR of $0.14 indicates moderate volatility, providing opportunities for both short-term traders and longer-term investors.

Polkadot Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario If DOT reclaims the $1.52 strong resistance level, the Polkadot forecast points toward the $1.56-$1.72 target range identified by recent analyst predictions. A decisive break above $1.52 would likely trigger momentum buying, potentially driving prices toward the upper Bollinger Band at $1.71.

The bullish case strengthens if DOT maintains above the 20-day SMA at $1.45 while RSI moves above 50, confirming renewed buying interest. Volume expansion above the current $6.8 million daily average would provide additional confirmation of upward momentum.

Bearish Scenario Failure to hold the $1.43 immediate support could trigger a decline toward $1.40 strong support. A break below this critical level might expose DOT to further downside, potentially testing the lower Bollinger Band near $1.19.

The bearish scenario becomes more likely if RSI drops below 40 and MACD histogram turns decisively negative. Given DOT's significant distance from the 200-day SMA at $2.63, any major market downturn could pressure prices toward longer-term support zones.

Should You Buy DOT? Entry Strategy For aggressive traders, current levels near $1.46 offer a reasonable entry point with tight stop-loss placement below $1.40. Conservative investors might wait for a confirmed breakout above $1.52 before establishing positions.

A dollar-cost averaging approach between $1.40-$1.46 could prove effective given the neutral technical setup. Stop-loss orders should be placed below $1.38 to limit downside risk, while profit targets can be set at $1.56 (first target) and $1.72 (extended target).

Risk management remains crucial given cryptocurrency volatility. Position sizing should reflect individual risk tolerance, with no more than 2-3% of portfolio allocated to any single altcoin position.

Conclusion The DOT price prediction suggests a neutral-to-bullish outlook in the near term, with analyst targets of $1.56-$1.72 providing clear upside objectives. Technical indicators support this Polkadot forecast, though traders should watch for confirmation above $1.52 resistance.

Current market conditions favor patient investors willing to accumulate near support levels while maintaining strict risk management protocols. The moderate volatility environment creates opportunities for both short-term gains and longer-term accumulation strategies.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

dot price analysis dot price prediction

Pi coin dropped roughly 10% in the last 24 hours, sliding to around $0.20 after briefly touching $0.23 earlier this week. For anyone holding Pi or watching the market, here is a breakdown of why it fell and what to watch next.

The main reason: the rally ran out of steam

Pi had a strong week, climbing more than 20% before hitting a wall just above $0.21. When a coin rises that fast that quickly, short-term traders tend to sell and lock in their profits. That is exactly what happened here. The price failed to hold above an important level that traders were watching closely, and the selling accelerated from there. In simple terms, too many people tried to cash out at the same time.

The bigger picture: the whole market is nervous

Pi did not fall alone. Bitcoin slipped, the broader crypto market dipped, and the Fear and Greed Index, a measure of market sentiment, is sitting deep in Extreme Fear territory. Investors are jittery about ongoing geopolitical tensions and are waiting on a major US inflation report due March 12. 

What happens next

The price to watch is $0.20. That is the psychological support level the market is currently testing. Two scenarios are in play right now.

If Pi holds above $0.20, the coin could stabilise and trade sideways in the lead-up to Pi Day on March 14, which historically brings network announcements that can move the price.

If Pi breaks below $0.20, the next meaningful support sits around $0.15, which would represent a significant further decline from current levels.

The bottom line

This drop is a combination of profit-taking after a sharp rally and a broader market that has turned risk-averse. It is not unusual price behaviour, but the next few days are critical. Pi Day on March 14 is the nearest potential catalyst for a recovery. Until then, holding $0.20 is the number every Pi holder should be watching.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

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Meanwhile, a popular analyst said gold "is no serious competitor to Bitcoin" in relation to the ETF adoption pace.

Although it remains the preferred safe-haven asset in times of exponentially increasing uncertainty, gold has seen a fair share of investor exodus, which was solidified by the largest US ETF tracking its performance last week.

At the same time, BTC-related funds ended the same week in the green, albeit Thursday and Friday were deep in the red again.

GLD Sees Biggest Outflow in Years SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is by far the largest ETF focused on the precious metal, with AUM of more than $174 billion as of March. To demonstrate its dominance in the gold market, the second in line, iShares Gold Trust (IAU), has nearly three times less AUM ($64 billion).

Data shared by the Kobeissi Letter, though, shows that GLD experienced a massive withdrawal on Wednesday, with $3 billion leaving the fund. This “surpasses any previous large daily inflow seen over the last 2 years by +200%,” said the analysts.

Meanwhile, the metal’s price dropped by 4.4% in just a day, which was its most sizeable correction since the January 30 crash when it plummeted by over 11%.

“This all follows global gold ETFs pulling in +$5.3 billion in February and +$18.7 billion in January, marking the 9th straight month of inflows and the best 2-month start to a year on record,” reads their post.

The analyst concluded that investors have locked in gains after the metal’s “historic rally.”

No Comparison With Bitcoin? While the gold fund bled out on Wednesday, the spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their best day since February 25, with net inflows of $461.77 million. Monday ($458.19 million) and Tuesday ($225.15 million) were also in the green, but the week ended on the wrong foot, with net outflows of $227.83 million on Thursday and $348.83 million on Friday.

You may also like: On-Chain Data Signals Weakening BTC Sell Pressure as Spot Demand Recovers ‘Iran Will Be Hit Very Hard Today,’ Warns Trump: How Will BTC’s Price React? Analysis: Bitcoin Exchange Outflows Signal Holder Conviction Amid Hormuz Crisis Nevertheless, the weekly net inflows were significantly higher as the funds attracted a total of $568.45 million. This makes it two consecutive weeks in the green after a violent five-week streak in which well over $2 billion was pulled out.

Although these numbers are significantly lower than those quoted for a single gold-backed fund, they still show that BTC is growing in institutional adoption. In fact, Crypto Rover posted an interesting chart showing that the BTC ETFs have enjoyed their first few years more than the gold funds in terms of net inflows.

Bitcoin ETF vs Gold ETF adoption…

Gold is no serious competitor to Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/EY1EU2mFIn

— Crypto Rover (@cryptorover) March 7, 2026

Tags:

Joerg Hiller Mar 08, 2026 18:24

UNI trades at $3.67 with neutral RSI at 45.74. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $4.15 Bollinger Band resistance, though bearish MACD signals caution for March.

UNI Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $3.85-$4.07 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $3.24-$4.22 range
• Bullish breakout level: $4.15 • Critical support: $3.57

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Uniswap Recent technical analysis from blockchain analysts provides mixed signals for UNI's near-term outlook. Timothy Morano noted on March 7, 2026, that "UNI trades at $3.83 with neutral RSI at 50.36 and bullish MACD momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential move to $4.15 upper Bollinger Band resistance within March 2026."

Earlier in the week, James Ding highlighted that "UNI trades at $3.92 with RSI neutral at 53.58. Technical analysis suggests potential test of $4.07-$4.09 resistance within 1-2 weeks, with critical support at $3.67." This support level has proven prescient, as UNI currently trades exactly at this critical zone.

Tony Kim's March 3rd analysis suggested that "UNI price prediction shows neutral momentum at $3.90 with RSI at 52.93. Technical analysis suggests potential move toward $4.22 resistance if current support levels hold through March."

UNI Technical Analysis Breakdown The current UNI price prediction relies heavily on several key technical indicators painting a mixed picture. At $3.67, Uniswap sits precariously near analyst-identified support levels.

The RSI reading of 45.74 indicates neutral momentum, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting room for movement in either direction. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 with both MACD and signal lines converging at -0.0087 signals weakening bearish momentum that could potentially reverse.

Bollinger Bands analysis shows UNI trading at position 0.47, roughly midway between the lower band at $3.24 and upper band at $4.15. This positioning suggests significant room for upward movement if buying pressure emerges.

Moving averages present a complex picture: while UNI trades below the 7-day SMA ($3.87) and 50-day SMA ($3.93), it remains slightly above the 20-day SMA ($3.70), indicating short-term consolidation rather than a clear trend.

The Average True Range of $0.29 suggests moderate volatility, typical for UNI's recent trading patterns.

Uniswap Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario In the bullish Uniswap forecast, UNI could target the immediate resistance at $3.76, followed by the stronger resistance at $3.85. A break above this level would open the path to the $4.07-$4.09 range identified by recent analyst predictions.

The ultimate bullish target remains the upper Bollinger Band at $4.15, representing a 13% upside from current levels. Technical confirmation would require RSI moving above 50 and MACD histogram turning positive.

A breakout above $4.15 could extend the rally toward Tony Kim's $4.22 target, though this would require significant volume confirmation and broader market cooperation.

Bearish Scenario The bearish case for this UNI price prediction centers on the critical support at $3.57. A breakdown below this level would target the stronger support at $3.24, coinciding with the lower Bollinger Band.

Given UNI's position below key moving averages and the still-negative MACD reading, bears could drive prices lower if broader crypto sentiment deteriorates. The 24-hour trading low of $3.66 already tested near-term support.

A break below $3.24 would signal a deeper correction, potentially targeting the psychological $3.00 level.

Should You Buy UNI? Entry Strategy For the current UNI price prediction scenario, patience appears warranted. The ideal entry strategy involves waiting for either a confirmed bounce from the $3.57-$3.67 support zone or a breakout above $3.85 resistance.

Conservative investors might consider dollar-cost averaging between $3.57-$3.67, setting stop-losses below $3.50 to limit downside risk. More aggressive traders could wait for a break above $3.76 with volume confirmation before entering long positions.

Risk management remains crucial given the 24-hour decline of 3.19% and the neutral technical setup. Position sizing should reflect the uncertainty in current market conditions.

Conclusion This UNI price prediction suggests a critical juncture for Uniswap, with the token testing key support levels identified by recent analyst forecasts. While the technical setup remains neutral, the convergence of support around current levels offers a potential launching pad for recovery toward the $4.07-$4.15 resistance zone.

The Uniswap forecast for the remainder of March hinges on whether bulls can defend the $3.57-$3.67 support range and generate enough momentum to reclaim the $3.85-$4.00 resistance area. With moderate confidence, UNI appears positioned for a potential 10-15% rally if technical conditions improve.

Disclaimer: This UNI price prediction is based on technical analysis and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

uni price analysis uni price prediction

Zach Anderson Mar 08, 2026 18:41

Litecoin trades at $52.47 with neutral RSI suggesting potential bounce. Analysts target $62-65 range if key resistance at $54.61 breaks in coming weeks.

LTC Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $54-56 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $58-65 range
• Bullish breakout level: $54.61 • Critical support: $51.13

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Litecoin Recent analyst commentary provides cautious optimism for Litecoin's price trajectory. Matthew Dixon noted on March 6th that "A decisive close above $62 could propel LTC toward $70-$75, while failure to hold $50 may trigger a support retest."

James Ding's March 4th analysis highlighted that "Litecoin trades at $55.27 with neutral RSI and technical analysts projecting LTC recovery to $62-65 range within 4 weeks if key resistance breaks above $56.92." Similarly, Alvin Lang's March 2nd assessment suggested "LTC price prediction targets $60-65 range within 4-6 weeks if key resistance at $55.81 breaks successfully."

The consensus among technical analysts points to the $55-56 resistance zone as critical for determining Litecoin's next major move higher.

LTC Technical Analysis Breakdown Litecoin currently trades at $52.47, down 2.24% in the last 24 hours with a trading range between $52.20-$53.94. The technical picture presents mixed signals that require careful analysis.

The RSI sits at 40.97, indicating neutral momentum with room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 suggests bearish momentum, while the MACD line at -1.1757 remains in negative territory.

Moving averages tell a concerning story with LTC trading below most key levels. The 7-day SMA at $54.49 and 20-day SMA at $54.10 both sit above current price, while the 50-day SMA at $58.40 represents a significant hurdle. Most notably, the 200-day SMA at $86.43 highlights the substantial distance from longer-term bullish territory.

Bollinger Bands analysis shows LTC positioned at 0.23 within the bands, closer to the lower band at $51.13 than the upper band at $57.08. This positioning suggests potential for mean reversion toward the middle band at $54.10.

The daily ATR of $2.92 indicates moderate volatility, providing opportunities for short-term traders while requiring careful risk management.

Litecoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario A successful break above the immediate resistance at $53.54 could propel LTC toward the strong resistance level at $54.61. This Litecoin forecast aligns with analyst projections targeting the $55-56 zone as the first major hurdle.

If momentum builds beyond $54.61, the next logical targets emerge around $57-58, coinciding with the 50-day moving average at $58.40. A sustained move above this level could validate the analyst targets of $62-65 within the coming month.

The bullish case requires confirmation from improving RSI momentum above 50 and a positive MACD crossover. Volume expansion above the current 24-hour level of $18.5 million would provide additional confirmation.

Bearish Scenario Failure to hold the current support structure around $51.80 could trigger a retest of the strong support at $51.13, which coincides with the lower Bollinger Band. A break below this level might accelerate selling toward the $48-50 zone.

The bearish scenario gains credibility if the RSI drops below 35 and the MACD histogram turns more negative. Given the significant gap to the 200-day SMA at $86.43, any sustained downtrend could prove challenging to reverse quickly.

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness and failure to generate sufficient buying interest at current levels.

Should You Buy LTC? Entry Strategy For those considering LTC exposure, a scaled approach appears prudent given the mixed technical signals. Initial entries near current levels around $52-53 offer reasonable risk-reward, with stops below the $51.13 support level.

A more conservative approach involves waiting for a confirmed break above $54.61 before establishing positions, targeting the $58-62 range for profit-taking. This strategy sacrifices some upside potential but provides better confirmation of bullish momentum.

Risk management remains crucial with position sizing appropriate for the 5-7% downside risk to the $48-50 support zone. The neutral RSI provides some comfort that LTC isn't severely oversold, but the broader trend remains concerning.

Conclusion This LTC price prediction suggests cautious optimism for the coming weeks, with the $58-65 range representing realistic targets if key resistance levels yield. The neutral RSI and analyst consensus around the $62-65 zone provide foundation for a potential recovery.

However, the bearish MACD momentum and positioning below multiple moving averages require careful monitoring. Success likely depends on broader cryptocurrency market conditions and LTC's ability to generate sustained buying interest above $54.61.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

ltc price analysis ltc price prediction

Rongchai Wang Mar 08, 2026 18:53

Stellar (XLM) trades at $0.15 with oversold RSI at 38.06 signaling potential bounce. Technical analysis points to $0.18-$0.25 targets if bulls reclaim momentum above key resistance levels.

XLM Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $0.16-$0.18 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.18-$0.25 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.17 • Critical support: $0.14

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Stellar Recent analyst coverage has painted a cautiously optimistic picture for Stellar's price trajectory. Caroline Bishop noted on March 3rd that "Stellar (XLM) trades at $0.152 with analysts eyeing $0.18-$0.20 resistance levels. Current RSI at 38.61 suggests oversold conditions may trigger bounce from $0.15 support," setting targets between $0.18-$0.20.

Building on this sentiment, Victor Olanrewaju observed on March 5th that "XLM is building a structure above the $0.15 zone after bouncing from a sell-off. If buyers succeed, $0.25 becomes the next key resistance level and a potential upside target for XLM," suggesting more aggressive upside potential to $0.25.

Most recently, Zach Anderson's March 7th analysis reinforced these themes, stating that "Stellar (XLM) trades at $0.15 amid oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $0.18-$0.25 range if bulls reclaim momentum above key resistance levels."

The consensus among technical analysts appears to center on the $0.18-$0.25 range as realistic targets, contingent on XLM breaking above current resistance zones.

XLM Technical Analysis Breakdown Current market conditions present a mixed but potentially constructive picture for Stellar. Trading at $0.148, XLM has declined 1.39% over the past 24 hours, with volume reaching $3.59 million on Binance spot markets.

The RSI reading of 38.06 places Stellar in neutral territory, though approaching oversold conditions that historically trigger relief bounces. This aligns with the Bollinger Band position of 0.08, indicating XLM is trading very close to the lower band at $0.15, often a sign of oversold conditions and potential reversal zones.

Moving average analysis reveals the challenge ahead for bulls. While the 7-day SMA sits at $0.15 (current price level), the 20-day SMA at $0.16 represents immediate resistance. More concerning is the significant gap to longer-term averages, with the 50-day SMA at $0.17 and the 200-day SMA at a distant $0.27.

The MACD histogram reading of -0.0000 suggests bearish momentum is weakening, though not yet turning positive. The extremely low stochastic readings (%K at 5.00, %D at 4.00) indicate severely oversold conditions that often precede short-term bounces.

Stellar Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario The primary bullish case for this XLM price prediction centers on a technical bounce from current oversold levels. Initial resistance lies at the 20-day SMA of $0.16, with a break above this level opening the path toward $0.18 as identified by multiple analysts.

The key breakout level sits at $0.17, coinciding with the 50-day SMA. A sustained move above this threshold would validate the more optimistic Stellar forecast targeting $0.20-$0.25. The upper Bollinger Band at $0.17 also serves as a critical technical hurdle that bulls must overcome.

Volume expansion above 7-day averages would provide additional confirmation of renewed buying interest, potentially driving XLM toward the analyst consensus range of $0.18-$0.25.

Bearish Scenario The bearish case acknowledges XLM's proximity to support but warns of potential breakdown risks. The immediate support zone around $0.14-$0.15 has held recent selling pressure, but a failure here could trigger deeper declines.

The significant distance between current prices and longer-term moving averages suggests the broader trend remains challenged. A break below $0.14 would likely target psychological support at $0.10, representing a 33% decline from current levels.

Continued low volume and failure to reclaim the 20-day SMA would keep bears in control, potentially extending the current consolidation phase.

Should You Buy XLM? Entry Strategy Based on current technical conditions, a layered approach appears most prudent for this Stellar forecast. Initial entries could be considered in the $0.148-$0.15 range, taking advantage of oversold RSI conditions and proximity to Bollinger Band support.

A more aggressive entry strategy would wait for confirmation above $0.16 (20-day SMA) before establishing larger positions, targeting the $0.18-$0.20 zone identified by analysts.

Stop-loss levels should be placed below $0.14 to limit downside risk, representing approximately 6% from current prices. Position sizing should account for XLM's daily ATR of $0.01, indicating moderate volatility that requires appropriate risk management.

Conclusion This XLM price prediction suggests Stellar is positioned for a potential technical bounce in the coming weeks, with analyst targets of $0.18-$0.25 appearing realistic if current support levels hold. The combination of oversold RSI, proximity to Bollinger Band support, and recent analyst optimism provides a constructive setup for patient buyers.

However, the significant gap to longer-term moving averages and overall crypto market conditions warrant caution. A break above $0.17 would significantly increase confidence in the bullish Stellar forecast, while failure to hold $0.14 support could extend current weakness.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

xlm price analysis xlm price prediction

Journalist

Posted: March 8, 2026

Bitcoin’s short phase as a war hedge seems to be fading as institutional investors move from heavy buying to taking profits. After the U.S.–Israel strikes on Iran, Bitcoin [BTC] quickly recovered from its slump, where it had reached to $63,000.

This recovery was supported by strong institutional demand, with more than $1.14 billion flowing into spot Bitcoin ETFs between the 2nd and 4th of March.

Bitcoin ETF analysis During this period, BlackRock’s IBIT led the inflows, attracting $892.2 million, including a single-day inflow of $306.6 million on the 4th of March. This helped Bitcoin [BTC] recover toward the $72,000 level.

However, the bullish momentum started to weaken on the 5th of March when the ETF sector recorded $227.9 million in net outflows.

The selling pressure increased further on the 6th of March, with total outflows reaching $348.9 million. Fidelity’s FBTC saw the largest withdrawal at $158.5 million, while BlackRock also recorded a rare outflow of $143.5 million.

Execs weigh in Remarking on the same, Jacob King, CEO and Founder of SwanDesk, noted, 

“We’re witnessing the complete collapse of Bitcoin ETFs, which were once the most talked-about topic.”

King further added, 

“What goes up must come down. Investors are realizing the mirage around Bitcoin is over.”

While Bitcoin’s volatility dominated the headlines, the broader altcoin ETF market showed a similar rise-and-fall pattern, pointing to a wider slowdown in investor risk appetite.

Ethereum ETF sees mixed sentiment Ethereum [ETH], in particular, experienced a sharp shift.

On the 4th of March, Ethereum ETFs saw strong demand, attracting $169.4 million in inflows, supported by a rare $59.5 million investment into Grayscale’s ETH product. However, the momentum quickly faded.

Fidelity’s FETH became a major source of outflows, recording $115 million leaving the fund on the 5th of March and another $67.6 million on the 6th of March.

Blockchain analytics firm Arkham also pointed out this shift and noted, 

Source: Arkham/X

Solana and XRP ETF paints a different picture The slowdown was also visible in other major altcoins like Solana [SOL] and Ripple [XRP]. Solana’s earlier inflow streak ended on the 5th of March after $6 million exited Fidelity’s FSOL, contributing to a total sector outflow of $8.6 million by the 6th of March.

XRP ETFs also showed weakness. After days of steady inflows, the asset recorded $22.77 million in combined outflows over the last two days of the week.

Source: SoSo Value

This comes alongside a broader institutional expansion into crypto, driven by new products and improving infrastructure.

What’s more? One major development came when 21Shares also launched the first U.S. Spot Polkadot ETF, trading under the ticker TDOT. This product allows investors to track the price of Polkadot without directly holding the token.

At the same time, traditional financial institutions are also strengthening their crypto presence. Morgan Stanley filed an updated S-1 registration for its Bitcoin Trust, showing its continued commitment to the sector.

Together, these moves suggest that while markets may currently be seeing short-term caution, institutions are steadily building the infrastructure needed for a much larger multi-asset crypto investment market in the future. 

Final Summary While Bitcoin ETFs saw strong inflows earlier in the week, the sudden reversal highlights growing caution among institutional investors. Outflows across Ethereum, Solana, and XRP show that institutional caution extends beyond BTC.

19h05 ▪ 4 min read ▪ by Fenelon L.

Summarize this article with:

Bitcoin dropped below 70,000 dollars, and the rebound is slow to convince. While small investors see a golden opportunity in this drop, large wallets have chosen to sell. According to the Santiment analysis platform, this discrepancy between the two camps suggests that the correction could continue.

En bref Bitcoin whales sold off around 66% of their recent purchases as soon as the price broke through $74,000. Small investors (less than 0.01 BTC) are stepping up their purchases below $70,000. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at 12, in the “extreme fear” zone. Bitcoin whales cash out, retail investors follow the countertrend movement In a report published on Friday, March 7, the Santiment platform reveals a revealing behavior. Between February 23 and March 3, Bitcoin whales, wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC, accumulated discreetly, taking advantage of a price between 62,900 and 69,600 dollars. A methodical strategy carried out under the radar.

But as soon as Bitcoin surpassed 74,000 dollars on Wednesday, the behavior of these big players changed drastically. Santiment indicates they sold about 66% of their recent purchases, cashing in their profits without hesitation. 

“As soon as Bitcoin hit 74,000 dollars, these key players started cashing out profits,” summarizes the platform.

Whales versus retail investors: while the big players sell (green line), the small ones buy (red line). Source: Santiment Meanwhile, small holders, those with less than 0.01 BTC, made the opposite move. Attracted by the drop, they strengthened their positions, convinced they were buying at the right moment. 

This pattern, banal at first glance, is actually a classic warning signal in crypto markets. Santiment is clear: 

When retail investors buy while large investors sell, it generally indicates that the correction is not yet over.

Indicators confirming bearish pressure The overall picture is bleak. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index lost 6 more points to settle at 12 on Saturday, sinking further into the “extreme fear” zone. A rarely seen level, reflecting widespread anxiety among investors.

On the American spot Bitcoin ETF side, the day was particularly painful: $348.9 million outflows were recorded across 11 listed products, according to Farside data. This is the largest daily outflow since February 12, a sign that institutional investors are also reducing their exposure.

Technically, the 67,000 – 68,000 dollar level is drawing all attention. Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading Capital, is straightforward: 

If Bitcoin does not find support in this zone, we will likely retest the lows again for liquidity reasons before rebounding. 

Lower still, some analysts mention a fair value gap around 66,500 dollars, a low liquidity area likely to attract trades.

One element nevertheless tempers this widespread pessimism. On March 4, nearly 32,000 BTC left the Bitfinex platform in a single day, a movement described as “abnormal” by CryptoQuant analysts, often associated with discreet institutional accumulation. If net flows remain negative in the coming days, a solid bullish signal could emerge.

In summary, Bitcoin is trading at $67,984 at the time of publication. The 67,000 – 68,000 dollar zone will be decisive: either buyers hold firm and prepare the next rebound, or the market retests lower levels before finding equilibrium. In an extreme fear context, every candle counts.

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Fenelon L.

Passionné par le Bitcoin, j'aime explorer les méandres de la blockchain et des cryptos et je partage mes découvertes avec la communauté. Mon rêve est de vivre dans un monde où la vie privée et la liberté financière sont garanties pour tous, et je crois fermement que Bitcoin est l'outil qui peut rendre cela possible.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

XRP price hovered at $1.35 on Sunday after failing to rally above the $1.40 resistance level, extending its recent consolidation phase. The Ripple dropped by 1.02% in the last 24 hours, which indicates the reserved mood in the overall cryptocurrency market. Is it a good time to buy the dip?.

The XRP continues to be pressured despite efforts to resume an upward trend where traders evaluate risks in the macroeconomy and the shrinking market flows.

The XRP price is now trading nearly 64% below its all-time high of $3.84, which was recorded on January 4, 2018, during the height of the previous bull cycle. The sharp decline from that historic peak has revived debate over whether the current pullback presents a strategic accumulation opportunity. 

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization declined 1.19% to $2.3 trillion within 24 hours, signaling a wider risk-off tone among investors. Bitcoin price dropped 1.12% to $67,166, moving closely in line with the broader market downturn. 

The increasing geopolitical tensions, especially in the United States and Iran, have rattled the financial markets and caused selling in risk-sensitive assets. Moreover, spot Bitcoin ETFs have registered over $348 million of outflows earlier this week, straining on short-term price stability.

XRP Price Could Slide Further if BTC Breaks $60,000, Expert Says A crypto analyst has shared a cautious outlook on the XRP price after its sharp retreat. He said the token now trades 64% below its previous high. He outlined possible accumulation zones if broader market pressure persists in the months ahead.

$XRP Bear Market Plan (Detailed View)$XRP has fallen 64% from its high.
Potential Entry Zones Over the Coming Months:

$0.85–$0.95 — If Bitcoin breaks below $60,000 and drags the entire market down, this is the next area where historical buyers have clustered. It would… pic.twitter.com/U9fzWRXFvO

— Solberg Invest (@SolbergInvest) March 8, 2026

He pointed to the $0.85 to $0.95 range as the first key support area. That level could emerge if Bitcoin price slips under $60,000 and drags sentiment lower. He added that a fall toward $0.56 to $0.66 would reflect full market capitulation and erase the cycle’s gains.

XRP Price Prediction: Key Levels to Monitor This Week The latest XRP price traded $1.34 trades, near a critical support level, reflecting continued consolidation pressure across the broader range.

The MACD indicator is marginally below the zero line, affirming declining upside momentum, and indicates that buyers have no immediate power to make a breakout move.

The Chaikin Money Flow value of around -0.27 shows that there are still capital flows, which supports a short-term bearish bias.

As long as XRP price continues to stay above the support zone of $1.33, the first upside level of $1.40 might form. A strong four-hour close above $1.40 can lead to the resurgence of bullish activity to the $1.50 resistance level.

XRP/USDT 4-hour chart: Tradingview Nevertheless, the inability to guard $1.33 might hasten the losses to the range of $1.30, with the downside risk that extends and may approach the support zone of $1.25.

When seabed disturbances off Côte d'Ivoire severed seven submarine cables in March 2024, the regional internet impact earned an IODA severity score above 11,000.

For Bitcoin, the global effect was negligible. The affected region hosted roughly five nodes, about 0.03% of the network, and the impact fell within normal fluctuations at -2.5%.

No price movement followed. No consensus disruption materialized.

A new Cambridge study, covering 11 years of Bitcoin network data and 68 verified cable fault events, finds that submarine cable failures have historically caused minimal network disruption.

Coordinated pressure on a handful of hosting networks, by contrast, could disrupt visible nodes an order of magnitude more effectively than random infrastructure failures.

Targeted attacks on top hosting networks reach Bitcoin's fragmentation threshold at just 5% capacity removal versus 72-92% for random cables.The twist: China's mining crackdown and the adoption of global censorship-resistant infrastructure may have inadvertently pushed Bitcoin toward a more robust topology.

Tor, long understood as a privacy tool, now functions as a structural resilience layer. And most Bitcoin nodes run on it.

The empirical record contradicts the fearResearchers Wenbin Wu and Alexander Neumueller from Cambridge assembled a dataset spanning 2014 through 2025: eight million Bitcoin node observations, 658 submarine cables, and 385 cable fault events cross-referenced with outage signatures.

Of those 385 reports, 68 matched verifiable disruptions, with 87% of verified cable events causing less than 5% node change. Mean impact was -1.5%, median -0.4%.

The correlation between node disruption and Bitcoin price was effectively zero (r = -0.02). Cable faults that dominate regional headlines routinely fail to register in Bitcoin's distributed network.

Cable fault impact distribution shows 87% of events caused under 5% node change with near-zero Bitcoin price correlation.The study models Bitcoin as a multiplex network: physical connectivity through 354 submarine cable edges connecting 225 countries, routing infrastructure through autonomous systems, and the Bitcoin peer-to-peer overlay.

Under random cable removal, the critical failure threshold, at which more than 10% of nodes disconnect, lies between 0.72 and 0.92. Most inter-country cables must fail before Bitcoin experiences meaningful fragmentation.

Where the real vulnerability sitsTargeted attacks operate differently. Random cable removal requires removing 72% to 92% of cables to hit the 10% node disconnection threshold. High-betweenness cable targeting drops to 20%.

The most effective strategy, targeting top autonomous systems by node count, reaches the threshold at just 5% of routing capacity removed.

The authors frame this ASN-targeted scenario as “hosting provider shutdowns or coordinated regulatory action, not physical cable cuts.” The model identifies the top networks: Hetzner, OVHcloud, Comcast, Amazon Web Services, and Google Cloud.

A March 2026 Bitnodes snapshot confirms the pattern: among 23,150 reachable nodes, Hetzner hosts 869, Comcast and OVH each host 348, Amazon 336, and Google 313.

Network/ASNReachable nodes (count)Share of reachable nodesNotes (interpretation-safe)Tor (.onion)14,60263.1%Majority share / resilience floor: even extreme clearnet disruption still leaves a large portion of reachable nodes operating via Tor.Hetzner8693.8%Large single hosting network in the clearnet slice; relevant for connectivity shock scenarios, not “Bitcoin stops.”OVHcloud3481.5%Another major clearnet hosting concentration point; indicates where coordinated restrictions could bite first.Comcast3481.5%ISP-heavy footprint (not a cloud host); matters for routing/last-mile concentration in reachable nodes.Amazon Web Services3361.5%Cloud hosting exposure in reachable clearnet nodes; useful for the “cloud outage/crackdown” framing.Google Cloud3131.4%Another cloud concentration point; again, a degradation risk rather than existential risk.All other ASNs6,33427.4%Long tail of smaller networks/hosts provides diversity outside the top names.This is not a “five providers can kill Bitcoin” claim.

Even a complete clearnet removal would leave most nodes operational because Tor hosts the bulk of the network. However, it identifies where coordinated action could create connectivity shocks and propagation disruptions that random cable failures have not produced.

Recent cloud disruptions illustrate the risk category. Amazon attributed a March 2026 outage to software deployment failure. Separate reporting described AWS Middle East disruptions after attacks on data centers.

These did not affect Bitcoin meaningfully, but they demonstrate that correlated hosting failures are real rather than theoretical.

Tor as structural resilienceBitcoin's network composition changed dramatically.

Tor adoption grew from near zero in 2014 to 2,478 nodes by 2021 (23%), then to 7,617 by 2022 (52%). March 2026 shows 14,602 Tor nodes out of 23,150 reachable nodes, equivalent to 63%.
The surge coincides with censorship events: Iran's 2019 shutdown, Myanmar's 2021 coup, and China's 2021 mining ban.

Node operators shifted toward censorship-resistant infrastructure without coordination, suggesting adaptive self-organization.

Tor introduces a challenge: most Bitcoin nodes now have unobservable locations.

The authors address this by building a four-layer model incorporating Tor relay infrastructure as a distinct network layer. Tor relays are physical servers with known locations.

Using consensus weight data from 9,793 relays, the authors model how cable failures that disconnect countries also take relays offline.

The finding reverses expectations. The four-layer model consistently produces higher critical failure thresholds than clearnet-only, with increases from 0.02 to 0.10.

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Most of the Tor relay consensus weight is concentrated in Germany, France, and the Netherlands, countries with extensive cable connectivity. Cable failures that disconnect peripheral countries do not degrade relay capacity in these well-connected nations.

An adversary must remove substantially more infrastructure to disrupt both clearnet routing and Tor circuits simultaneously.

“]

The China effectBitcoin's resilience hit its lowest point in 2021 at 0.72, coinciding with peak mining concentration.

Cambridge data showed that 74% of the hashrate was in East Asia in 2019. Node geographic concentration reduced clearnet resilience by 22% from peak to trough during 2018 to 2021.

The 2022 rebound was sharp. The threshold jumped to 0.88 after China's mining ban as infrastructure dispersed. Tor adoption accelerated simultaneously.

While the authors avoid single-cause claims, regulatory pressure forced geographic redistribution and drove the adoption of censorship-resistant infrastructure, both of which increased robustness.

Part of the apparent concentration is an artifact of measurement. As Tor adoption grew, the clearnet sample became concentrated in fewer locations. The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index rose from 166 to 4,163, but Hetzner's actual share decreased from 10% to 3.6%.

The consolidation reflects changing sample composition, not genuine centralization.

Clouds are the real riskSubmarine cable security concerns will escalate. Baltic investigations, the European Commission's security toolbox, and reporting on Russian infrastructure all point toward persistent geopolitical anxiety.

For Bitcoin, historical data suggest most cable events are noise.

The actionable infrastructure question is whether policy coordination, cloud outages, or hosting restrictions can produce connectivity shocks at the autonomous system layer.

The ASN-targeted scenario operates at 5% of routing capacity, the threshold for noticeable disruption to reachable clearnet nodes, not consensus failure.

Tor's majority share provides a floor under extreme scenarios. Protocol-level mechanisms the study excludes, such as block relay networks, compact block relay, and Blockstream Satellite, add resilience layers that the model does not capture, making estimates conservative.

Bitcoin is not fragile in the way critics imagine, but it is not detached from infrastructure either.

The network has shown graceful degradation under stress rather than catastrophic collapse. Censorship pressure pushed the adoption of infrastructure that strengthened resilience against coordination risks.

The threat model featuring cable-cutting submarines misses the chokepoint closer to home: a handful of networks where coordinated action could create temporary disruption without dramatic seabed operations or acts of war.

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