Market Signal Briefing

TLDR: Strategy now holds 738,000 BTC, representing over 3% of total Bitcoin supply. Daily purchases average 1,940 BTC, exceeding post-halving Bitcoin issuance. Corporate treasury strategy allows public company to fund large-scale BTC accumulation. Strategy could surpass Satoshi Nakamoto’s holdings by 2027 if current pace continues. Strategy Bitcoin Accumulation has propelled the company into the top ranks of global Bitcoin holders. Its treasury now exceeds 738,000 BTC, actively absorbing circulating supply and positioning it alongside Satoshi Nakamoto, institutional ETFs, and major custodians like Coinbase.

Corporate Treasury Strategy and Growth Strategy Inc., formerly MicroStrategy, has become one of the largest active Bitcoin holders worldwide. Its corporate treasury now holds approximately 738,000 BTC, representing over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply. 

This accumulation places Strategy alongside Satoshi Nakamoto and major institutional ETFs. The company’s approach relies on a structured treasury strategy. 

In one week, Strategy purchased nearly 18,000 BTC for $1.28 billion. These purchases are funded through equity offerings, preferred stock, and convertible debt instruments, which are converted directly into Bitcoin.

Strategy Is Now One Of The 4 Biggest #Bitcoin Holders In The World, Right Next To Satoshi, BlackRock, And Coinbase.

They're Buying Around 1,940 $BTC Every Single Day. On Record Days, That Number Hits 5,700 BTC.

If This Pace Continues, @Strategy Could Hold More Bitcoin Than… pic.twitter.com/uVzUnHbfkC

— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) March 14, 2026

Daily accumulation averages around 1,940 BTC, with peak days exceeding 5,700 BTC. This scale surpasses the daily issuance of new Bitcoin following the 2024 halving. 

Strategy’s purchases not only increase its holdings but also remove significant amounts of Bitcoin from liquid markets, emphasizing the influence of corporate accumulation.

The company leverages capital markets to support its acquisitions. Investors often purchase Strategy stock as a proxy for Bitcoin exposure, allowing the company to raise funds above the underlying BTC value. 

This creates a self-reinforcing cycle, funding further purchases and reinforcing the company’s role as a large-scale Bitcoin holder.

Comparison with Other Major Holders Strategy’s holdings are now approaching those of Satoshi Nakamoto, whose estimated stash sits around 1.1 million BTC mined in 2009–2010. 

Satoshi’s coins have remained unmoved for over fifteen years, effectively removing them from circulation and creating a historic benchmark for large-scale holdings.

Other major holders include institutional ETFs, like BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, and custodians such as Coinbase. However, Strategy stands out because it actively accumulates and absorbs supply rather than passively holding. 

This corporate model demonstrates how public companies can now influence Bitcoin distribution at scale. If current trends continue, Strategy could surpass Satoshi’s estimated holdings by 2027. 

The company requires roughly 361,000 more BTC to reach this milestone. This trajectory demonstrates a clear shift in Bitcoin ownership, as corporate accumulation begins to rival early adopter and institutional holdings, reshaping the supply landscape.

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Charles Hoskinson wants out. The Cardano founder recently launched a fierce attack on hyperscalers like Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud, arguing the blockchain industry has gotten too cozy with these tech giants.

Blockchain analyst Fan pushes back hard on Hoskinson’s vision. She thinks these massive cloud providers basically keep the lights on for most crypto networks right now. “Hyperscalers provide the backbone for many blockchain networks,” Fan said in a recent interview. Without AWS and Google Cloud handling the heavy lifting, she warns that decentralized networks would probably crash under their own weight. The infrastructure just isn’t there yet to handle the massive data flows and computing demands that modern blockchain networks require on a daily basis.

Not buying it.

Hoskinson doubled down during his latest presentation, insisting that crypto’s love affair with big tech totally misses the point. “We should be moving away from centralized power structures,” he said, pretty much calling out the entire industry for selling out. He wants blockchain developers to ditch the easy route and build smaller, community-driven networks from scratch. The Cardano boss sees the current setup as a betrayal of crypto’s original promise to break free from traditional gatekeepers and centralized control systems.

Fan counters that Hoskinson’s living in a fantasy world where perfect decentralization happens overnight. She keeps hammering home the practical side of things. “It’s not just about the ideology; it’s about what works right now,” she argues, pointing out that running large-scale blockchain networks without hyperscaler support would be like trying to power a city with solar panels during a thunderstorm.

The whole mess basically boils down to two completely different visions for where crypto should head next.

Hoskinson dreams of a blockchain universe that operates totally independent of Silicon Valley’s biggest players. He envisions networks that can’t be shut down or controlled by a handful of tech executives making decisions in corporate boardrooms. Fan takes a more balanced approach, arguing that the industry needs to work with what it’s got while slowly building toward greater independence. She thinks trying to cut ties with hyperscalers too quickly would crash the entire ecosystem and set back adoption by years.

The fight reflects bigger tensions bubbling up across the crypto world. As blockchain tech gets more sophisticated and handles bigger transaction volumes, the infrastructure debate gets more heated. Hoskinson and Fan’s back-and-forth is just one piece of a much larger puzzle that includes regulatory pressure, environmental concerns, and questions about who really controls these supposedly decentralized networks. Neither side seems ready to back down anytime soon. This follows earlier reporting on Bitcoin Tax Relief Push Faces August.

Hoskinson stays firm in his anti-hyperscaler stance. Fan continues defending the current setup. The debate will probably rage on as the industry tries to figure out its next moves.

The big cloud companies haven’t said much yet. Amazon, Google, and Microsoft have stayed pretty quiet about Hoskinson’s attacks. The crypto community keeps waiting for these tech giants to fire back or at least explain their side of the story.

During a March interview, Hoskinson got more specific about his vision, saying blockchain systems need to cut their umbilical cord from major cloud providers completely. “We need to build our infrastructure in a way that doesn’t depend on a few players,” he said, making it clear that true decentralization means ditching AWS and Google Cloud entirely, not just moving some functions off their servers.

Fan fired back with hard numbers on March 10, pointing out that most blockchain projects still run their core operations through hyperscalers. She noted that the convenience and rock-solid reliability these services offer simply can’t be matched by smaller providers right now. “Even if we want to move away, the current dependence is undeniable,” Fan said, highlighting how switching would create massive headaches for developers who’ve built their entire tech stacks around these platforms.

The Cardano community is split on their founder’s crusade. Many developers support Hoskinson’s push for greater independence, but others question whether it’s even possible given current technology constraints. One anonymous Cardano developer told reporters, “We support the vision, but implementing it is a different story.” Related coverage: Alibaba Backs MetaComps Million Stablecoin.

Hoskinson’s missing a detailed roadmap for achieving his decentralization goals. While his ideas sound great in theory, the lack of concrete steps leaves the industry wondering how exactly this transition would work. The next moves for Cardano remain unclear.

On March 13, Hoskinson used a blockchain summit in New York to double down on his message. He called for a grassroots movement to create decentralized alternatives to current infrastructure. “We need pioneers willing to build from the ground up,” he declared, urging developers to focus on innovative solutions that bypass traditional hyperscaler dependencies entirely.

Fan’s March 12 analysis on Coindesk argues that hyperscaler reliance isn’t just about convenience but strategic necessity for blockchain startups. She cited survey data showing over 70% of new blockchain projects consider these services essential for initial scalability needs.

The Infrastructure Provider Alliance, a coalition of smaller cloud companies, announced plans last week to develop blockchain-specific hosting solutions targeting projects seeking hyperscaler alternatives. Companies like DigitalOcean and Linode are reportedly investing millions in specialized infrastructure designed for crypto networks.

Meanwhile, Ethereum’s recent network congestion during peak trading periods highlighted the scalability challenges Fan references. Gas fees spiked above $50 per transaction when traditional cloud backup systems struggled to handle the load, forcing several DeFi protocols to temporarily halt operations.

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Ethereum is tightening below a critical $2,149 resistance level, building pressure as bulls and bears jockey for control. A decisive breakout above this zone could trigger strong momentum, potentially sending the price toward the next major resistance near $2,750.

A Test Of The Key $2,149 Resistance Ethereum is currently testing the $2,149 resistance level. According to insights from Bitcoin Meraklısı, this threshold represents a significant pivot point for the asset’s near-term trajectory. A successful breach and consolidation above this mark would likely act as a catalyst, providing the necessary technical clearance for the price to gain substantial upward momentum.

While an intermediate resistance zone exists around the $2,380 level, it is not currently viewed as a formidable barrier. Instead, it is expected to serve as a temporary pause or a minor consolidation point rather than a definitive reversal zone.

Source: Chart from Bitcoin Meraklısı on X The primary objective for bulls following a sustained breakout is situated near the $2,750 mark. This area represents the first zone of heavy supply and historical resistance that could challenge the prevailing trend. Reaching this level would mark a significant recovery phase, aligning with the broader bullish expectations outlined in recent technical assessments.

For those seeking deeper structural clarity, a comprehensive Elliott Wave analysis is considered. This framework provides the underlying wave counts that support the current price targets, with hopes that the market structure produces a favorable outcome.

Ethereum Hits First Micro Support Zone In a recent update, More Crypto Online noted that Ethereum has moved into its first micro support zone, mirroring a similar development to Bitcoin. While the presence of support is encouraging, the pullback has been sharper than expected and does not resemble a typical wave 2 correction, leaving the overall market structure somewhat uncertain.

This sharp retracement raises questions about the sustainability of the current bullish trend. Unlike a normal corrective wave, which tends to be shallower and orderly, Ethereum’s move suggests that selling pressure is stronger than usual, and buyers are testing their conviction at this level.

In this context, the market still has the potential to extend lower toward the $1,820 region. Such a scenario would indicate a deeper retracement is underway, challenging both short-term and intermediate support zones. 

The first signal that this bearish scenario could gain credibility would be a sustained break below the red support line highlighted on the chart. A decisive close below this level would represent the initial structural break and could pave the way for further downside, altering the current outlook for Ethereum in the near term.

ETH trading at $2,070 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

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Following a disappointing performance in February, the Ethereum price has seen some semblance of relief over the past two weeks. With the steadying market condition, the “king of altcoins” has managed to hold its own around the psychological $2,000 level.

This, expectedly, has been enough to rouse hopes in silent investors on the Ether token’s future; however, a market analyst has revealed reasons to believe that Ethereum buyers might want to sit on their hands — at least in the meantime.

Multiple Indicators Align To Reflect High Market Stress In a recent post on the social media platform X, on-chain analyst Boris highlighted data from three metrics, showing that the Ethereum market is starting to see a surge in pressure. According to the analyst, if the present conditions persist, a capitulation phase might be on the horizon for the second-largest cryptocurrency.

The market pundit started their analysis with the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric, which measures the overall profit or loss of investors by comparing the current market value of ETH to the price at which coins last moved on-chain. Boris shared in his post that the NUPL currently sits on a negative level, suggesting that Ethereum’s investors may be holding through unrealized losses.

Ethereum may be approaching a major capitulation zone

Several key on-chain signals are starting to align:

• NUPL: Negative → Investors are holding unrealized losses
• Price: Below Realized Price (~$2.2K) → Market still under pressure
• Profit Days: The 1.34K-day profit… pic.twitter.com/rHNw1Pn0i8

— Boris. (@Fundingvest) March 12, 2026

Another major metric cited was the Realized Price metric, which represents the average price at which all coins in circulation were last moved on-chain. Boris pointed out in his tweet that the altcoin is currently trading beneath its realized price of $2,200. 

When the market falls below this level, it indicates that the average Ethereum investor is holding through losses. Hence, this on-chain signal translates as a level of pressure being felt by Ethereum’s investors, as the market price continues to fluctuate below the realized price. 

Source: @Fundingvest on X Furthermore, Boris mentioned the Number of Days Spent at a Profit metric in his analysis, saying that the Ethereum network recently ended an impressive 1,340-day streak, during which the majority of circulating Ether tokens remained profitable. 

The analyst explained that this is often a signal that a market cycle has ended — a conjecture that is consistent with historical events and tends to appear close to the bottoms of bear markets.

Despite the present conditions, Boris warned that NUPL still has to move deeper towards the capitulation zone between –0.5 and –1 for a bottom to be formed. If the Ethereum price were to experience another sell-off round, the metric could enter the capitulation zone, where several investors might be forced to forfeit their positions — an event that would most likely be exploited by long-term traders (the diamond hands).

Ethereum Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of Ethereum stands at around about $2,092, reflecting an over 1% drop since the past day. 

The price of ETH on the daily timeframe | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView

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Pi Network just marked its seventh official anniversary with one of the most significant product releases in its history. On Pi Day 2026, the team unveiled a wave of new features that move the project meaningfully closer to the utility-driven ecosystem it has been building toward since 2019. This is not a roadmap update.

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BlackRock just dropped big news. The asset management giant rolled out a staked Ether exchange-traded fund on Thursday, marking another bold move into crypto territory after launching spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs back in 2024.

The company saw massive demand building for staked crypto products and decided to jump in. BlackRock’s crypto division has been pretty busy lately – they reported a 20% bump in assets under management for 2025, showing institutional investors can’t get enough of digital assets. The firm wants to stay ahead of the curve in financial innovation, and staked Ether looks like their next big bet. Larry Fink, BlackRock’s CEO, said the fund targets sophisticated investors hunting for advanced crypto options that go beyond basic spot exposure.

Ethereum’s shift changed everything.

The blockchain moved to proof-of-stake, letting holders earn rewards by helping validate network transactions. BlackRock sees huge growth potential in this space, especially with institutional clients wanting exposure to Ethereum’s staking mechanics. Rachel Aguirre, BlackRock’s Head of Digital Assets, thinks Ethereum’s position as a leading blockchain platform makes it perfect for staking products.

The new ETF will trade on major exchanges, helping BlackRock cement its spot as a crypto investment leader. Analysts expect strong interest from investors who already know Ethereum’s tech and potential benefits. But the company hasn’t spilled details about management fees or fund structure yet – those specifics should come in the next few weeks.

Regulatory scrutiny keeps getting tighter on crypto products.

BlackRock stays confident about its compliance game, working closely with regulators to make sure everything meets current standards. The firm’s reputation for solid fund management might boost investor confidence, even as some folks worry about crypto’s wild price swings.

The staked Ether ETF launch comes right after Ethereum’s February 2026 upgrade, which aimed to improve network efficiency and security while potentially increasing staking rewards. BlackRock’s timing looks calculated – they want to leverage these improvements for investor benefit. Tom Parker, BlackRock’s Head of Product Strategy, said on March 14, 2026, that the firm wants innovative products matching client interests. The staked Ether ETF represents a major step in expanding digital asset offerings. For more details, see BlackRock Launches ETHB Trust Combining Ethereum.

BlackRock didn’t stop there. They announced a partnership with a leading blockchain analytics firm the same day, boosting transparency and reporting standards for crypto products. The collaboration shows BlackRock’s commitment to giving investors detailed insights and analytics for informed decisions.

Trading started strong right away. By March 15, 2026’s closing bell, the staked Ether ETF had grabbed significant investor interest with trading volumes beating initial expectations. The early momentum suggests BlackRock’s timing and product design hit the mark with current market appetite for diversified crypto exposure.

Things moved fast after that. On March 16, 2026, BlackRock reported the staked Ether ETF reached $500 million in market cap within just two trading days. The rapid capital influx shows strong demand for crypto products with staking features, which the firm credits to strategic positioning and growing interest in Ethereum’s staking capabilities.

Competitors took notice too. Vanguard reportedly considers similar products to tap the staked crypto market. A Vanguard spokesperson mentioned on March 17, 2026, that the company evaluates potential crypto ETF introductions following BlackRock’s successful market entry.

Industry insiders point to BlackRock’s extensive research and development efforts behind the ETF’s early success. Emily Chen, BlackRock’s Director of Research, said on March 18, 2026, that the company invested serious resources understanding staking complexities and investor implications. That groundwork helped craft a product meeting nuanced market demands.

The market response stays positive so far. Investors seem eager to explore new crypto opportunities, and BlackRock’s track record for robust fund management probably helps confidence levels. Some investors still express caution about crypto’s volatile nature, but BlackRock’s risk management strategies aim to handle those concerns. Related coverage: BlackRock Rolls Out Ethereum ETF with.

BlackRock plans to monitor the ETF’s performance closely while gathering investor feedback for future offerings. The company scheduled an investor call for March 25, 2026, to discuss fund progress and potential improvements. The proactive approach aims to keep investor confidence high and sustain momentum from the staked Ether ETF launch.

The launch fits BlackRock’s broader strategy of providing comprehensive financial products covering traditional and digital assets. As regulatory frameworks keep evolving, BlackRock positions itself to capitalize on growing institutional appetite for crypto exposure through established, regulated investment vehicles.

Further announcements are expected soon, though BlackRock hasn’t commented on projected ETF performance yet. Investors wait for additional details about fund specifics and operational structure as the staked Ether product continues gaining traction in early trading sessions.

The staked Ether ETF’s rapid success reflects broader institutional momentum in crypto staking markets. Fidelity and State Street have both accelerated their own staking product development timelines following BlackRock’s launch, with Fidelity announcing plans for a similar fund by Q2 2026. Goldman Sachs analysts project the global staking market could reach $40 billion by 2027, driven primarily by institutional adoption. Major pension funds like CalPERS and the Teacher Retirement System of Texas have already expressed interest in staking products as alternative income sources.

Ethereum’s network metrics support the bullish outlook for staking investments. Over 32 million ETH tokens are currently staked on the network, representing roughly 27% of the total supply and generating approximately 4.2% annual yields for validators. Network participation has grown 15% since the February upgrade, with validator queue times dropping to just two days from previous weeks-long waits. JPMorgan’s blockchain research team estimates that improved staking efficiency could attract an additional $8 billion in institutional capital over the next 18 months, particularly as corporate treasuries seek yield-generating crypto alternatives.

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Large Bitcoin wallets are increasing their holdings again as the asset’s price holds around $71,000, according to crypto sentiment platform Santiment.

“Their recent shift to accumulation is a bullish signal,” Santiment said in a report on Saturday, referring to wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 Bitcoin (BTC).

“This is a positive reversal,” Santiment added. Santiment data shows wallets holding 10 to 10,000 Bitcoin (BTC) now control 68.17% of Bitcoin’s total supply, up from 68.07% seven days earlier.

Santiment eyeing retail investor activitySantiment said that a potential local bottom in Bitcoin could be forming if whales continue accumulating while retail investors’ share of holdings begins to decline.

“Ideally, we want to see small wallets (retail) drop while this group rises, signaling a transfer of coins from weak hands to strong hands,” Santiment said.

An increase in retail buying suggests over-optimism, since Bitcoin’s price has historically bottomed when everyday investors start losing hope and selling.

At the same time, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index stayed in “Extreme Fear” on Sunday at 16, signaling investors are still cautious.

Bitcoin is trading at $71,350 at the time of publication, up 6.30% over the past seven days. 

Bitcoin is up 7.55% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCapJust over a week ago, Bitcoin whale activity was vastly different. Santiment reported on Mar. 6 that, in the two days prior, whales had sold 66% of the Bitcoin they bought between Feb. 23 and Mar. 3, just as Bitcoin surged past $70,000 and briefly touched $74,000.

Market bottom still uncertainHowever, Santiment said that if retail investors keep buying Bitcoin, it could mean more downside ahead.

“Historically, markets tend to bottom when the ‘crowd’ loses hope. The persistence of retail optimism is currently the biggest argument against a confirmed bottom,” Santiment said. 

“Markets rarely reward the majority consensus immediately,” Santiment added.

Bitcoin onchain analyst Willy Woo echoed a similar view, recently saying that Bitcoin is “solidly in the middle of its bear market through a lens of long-range liquidity.” 

It comes as US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) logged their first five-day inflow streak of 2026, bringing in roughly $767.32 million this week.

Magazine: All 21 million Bitcoin is at risk from quantum computers

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Oracle's 3Q earnings results were solid, beating all estimates and showing continued acceleration in both the top and bottom lines. The company raised $25.8 billion in debt and $5 billion in convertible preferred stock in 3Q, and will not issue additional bonds beyond the $50 billion threshold for CY2026. Capex YoY growth has maintained +200% over the past six consecutive quarters, and FCF is expected to drop by $25 billion in FY2026.

Artificial intelligence (AI) stocks are somewhat on sale now compared to where they were trading during late 2025. That's because investors are growing a bit wary of all of the AI spending going on; but the reality is it's not going to slow down for many years.

This makes several stocks solid buys right now, and if you're looking for some investment ideas, I think these five AI stocks are among the best picks in the market.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Nvidia Any good AI investment list includes Nvidia (NVDA 1.56%). Nvidia has been the industry leader since the AI build-out began in 2023, and it has done nothing to relinquish its lead over the past few years. Nvidia has continuously launched more innovative products, and its clients have gladly paid the premium to deploy Nvidia's platform versus the competition.

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This has led to growth previously thought impossible for a company of Nvidia's size. During Q4 2025, which ended Jan. 25, 2026, it grew at a 73% pace. Next quarter, management expects 77% growth. Despite these impressive growth figures, Nvidia's stock trades for a mere 22 times forward earnings, making it a screaming buy right now.

2. Broadcom While Nvidia's dominance in the AI computing unit arena has gone fairly unmatched, Broadcom (AVGO 4.11%) is looking to challenge that. It's not trying to beat Nvidia at its own game; instead, it's designing chips in tandem with the end user to optimize the performance for one workload type. This creates a more efficient and cheaper offering than a GPU from Nvidia, but only when the workload is properly configured. There are many applications where a GPU is still the right tool for the job, although Broadcom's custom AI chips can do a lot.

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Management expects monster growth from this division and expects it to generate $100 billion in revenue by the end of 2027. Over the past 12 months, this division has made up less than half of Broadcom's $68 billion total revenue, so this emerging business unit is going to take over the majority of Broadcom's business. That's a clear sign to buy the stock, as the market hasn't priced this rise into Broadcom's stock quite yet.

3. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM +0.47%) is a winner regardless of whether an AI hyperscaler is using Broadcom's or Nvidia's chips. The reality is that Taiwan Semiconductor manufactures most of the logic chips in the world for high-end devices, making it a key winner in the AI realm. The bull case for Taiwan Semiconductor is incredibly simple: AI hyperscalers need to keep spending more money on data centers. With all of them greatly increasing their capital expenditures for 2026, this bodes well for Taiwan Semiconductor.

This neutral positioning makes it a great way to profit from the general rise of AI and other advanced technologies.

4. Microsoft Microsoft (MSFT 1.57%) has had a rough go over the past few months. Its stock is down around 25% from its all-time high, and really hasn't done anything to deserve the sell-off. While one could argue that part of the sell-off was valuation-related, it's now priced at some of the cheapest levels it has traded at over the past decade.

MSFT Operating PE Ratio data by YCharts

Microsoft is a clear winner in the AI field, and this sell-off is a huge gift that investors shouldn't waste.

5. Alphabet During Microsoft's fall, Alphabet (GOOG 0.56%) (GOOGL 0.42%) has ascended. Alphabet has recovered from being an AI loser to being an AI winner in about one year's time, and its stock has rocketed higher as a result. While it's not as cheap as it once was, Alphabet deserves its current premium of about 26 times forward earnings.

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Alphabet's business is going incredibly well, specifically its Google Cloud business, which grew its revenue 48% year over year. Demand for Alphabet's computing resources is incredible, and that growth proves it. While Alphabet may be spending big on AI computing resources, it's proving that this investment has been worth it so far. If we see sustained elevated growth rates in its cloud division throughout 2026, the stock will remain a no-brainer buy.

Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet, Broadcom, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Mobileye (NASDAQ:MBLY) and Luminar Technologies (NASDAQ:LAZR) both bet their futures on autonomous driving. One is building a real business around that bet. The other is fighting for survival. Their most recent earnings tell two completely different stories about what it takes to win in this market.

Mobileye Grinds Forward. Luminar Hits the Wall. Mobileye closed Q4 2025 with $446M in revenue, beating estimates despite a 9% year-over-year decline tied to Tier 1 inventory normalization rather than demand erosion. Full-year 2025 revenue came in at $1.894B, up 14.51% year-over-year, with operating cash flow surging to $602M, up 50.5%. The EyeQ chip franchise is embedded in production vehicles at scale — recurring revenue, not a concept.

Luminar’s story is starker. Q3 2025 revenue was $18.75M against a cash burn of $48.52M in free cash flow. The company holds $54.48M in cash against $429M in total debt and a stockholders’ deficit of -$304.9M. Guidance was suspended entirely. CEO Paul Ricci acknowledged the company must “confront difficult realities in the automotive LiDAR market.” That is a distress signal.

Metric Mobileye (FY2025) Q3 2025 TTM Revenue $1.894B ~$75M Cash Position $1.836B $54.48M Operating Cash Flow $602M (positive) -$48M/quarter Stockholders Equity $11.88B -$304.9M deficit One Expands Into Robotics. One Pivots Away From Cars. Mobileye is acquiring Mentee Robotics for ~$612M to push into humanoid robotics and Physical AI. CEO Amnon Shashua put the ambition plainly: “Our ambition is to be a comprehensive leader in Physical AI, encompassing both autonomous vehicles and humanoid robotics.” The company also secured a major U.S. OEM win for its Surround ADAS platform, with 19 million expected units from the first two Surround ADAS customers alone. Its 8-year revenue pipeline stands at $24.5B, up 42% since year-end 2022.

Luminar is pivoting away from automotive entirely, leaning into defense and commercial applications where services revenue nearly doubled to $5.06M in Q3 2025. The next-gen Halo sensor promises major efficiency gains, but the company may not have the runway to get there. Forbearance agreements with secured noteholders expired November 24, 2025, with bankruptcy restructuring listed as an explicit option.

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The Next Test Is Whether Luminar Survives Long Enough to Matter For Mobileye, the watch item is execution on Surround ADAS and whether the Mentee acquisition accelerates or distracts. The 2026 revenue guidance of $1.90B-$1.98B is modest, but Q1 2026 is expected to show ~19% year-over-year growth, which would be a meaningful reacceleration. The stock is down 27.49% year-to-date, trading well below its analyst consensus target of $15.56. That gap reflects the Intel ownership overhang and geopolitical exposure.

Luminar at $0.06 per share is not a turnaround story. It is a restructuring story. The Halo platform is genuinely interesting technology, but interesting technology does not pay $429M in debt.

What the Data Shows About Each Company Luminar’s financial disclosures reflect a company in distress, with management explicitly citing restructuring as an option. Mobileye, by contrast, reported positive operating cash flow, a growing revenue pipeline, and a funded acquisition strategy. Researchers tracking the autonomous driving theme will find two companies at very different stages of financial health.

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New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - March 14, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of common stock of Navan, Inc. (NASDAQ: NAVN) pursuant and/or traceable to the Registration Statement and Prospectus (collectively, the "Offering Documents") issued in connection with Navan's October 2025 initial public offering (the "IPO"), of the important April 24, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.

SO WHAT: If you purchased Navan common stock you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.

WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Navan class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=55059 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for more information. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than April 24, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.

WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.

DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, the Offering Documents used to effectuate Navan's IPO were false and misleading and omitted to state that, at the time of the offering, Navan had increased its "sales and marketing" expenses. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.

To join the Navan class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=55059 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for more information.

No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.

Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.

Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.

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Contact Information:

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Tel: (212) 686-1060
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If you're thinking about investing in USA Rare Earth (USAR 1.47%), you need to consider the risk you're taking on with this speculative stock. The company's recent agreement with the U.S. government and its strategic positioning in providing rare-earth magnets for domestic consumption are the keys to understanding the investment case.

Let's take a closer look.

USA Rare Earth's recent deal USA Rare Earth's agreement resulted in $277 million in federal funding, a $1.3 billion loan under the CHIPS Act, and $1.5 billion in private investment. All of this funding helps the company accelerate the execution of its plan to develop rare-earth magnet production at its Stillwater plant in 2026 and then begin commercial production at its Round Top deposit in Texas in 2028.

Image source: Getty Images.

Round Top, as opposed to, say, MP Materials' Mountain Pass, is rich in heavy rare-earth elements (HREEs), which command significantly more pricing than light rare-earth elements. China dominates the global market for rare-earth magnet production, contributing 94% of magnet manufacturing in 2024, but when it comes to HREEs, including dysprosium and terbium, its share of magnet manufacturing is 99%.

Why USA Rare Earth stock can make you rich Management wasted no time setting financial targets after the deal was struck, and investors now have useful parameters with which to value the stock.

If management hits its projections, the stock will start to look extremely undervalued. Throw in a positive outlook for HREE pricing, given the paucity of non-Chinese supply and HREE's critical importance to the defense, renewable energy, and electric vehicle industries, and the stock could make you rich.

USA Rare Earth Metric

Financial Target by 2030

Valuation Metric

Valuation Based on Current Market Cap*

Revenue

$2.6 billion

Price-to-sales

1.7

Earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA)

$1.2 billion

Enterprise value-to-EBITDA

3.6

Free cash flow (FCF)

$900 million

Price to FCF

4.8

Data source: USA Rare Earth presentations. *Based on market cap and enterprise value (market cap plus net debt) of $4.34 billion.

What USA Rare Earth needs to do to make the numbers But the company needs to execute on its plan to develop a world-class magnet manufacturing facility, to commercially develop Round Top, and to secure non-Chinese sources of rare-earth elements for Stillwater, even after Round Top starts production. While all of this is going on, shareholders will be hoping there's no need for future funding, which could dilute their existing claim to earnings and cash flow.

In a nutshell, the stock is attractive and helps address a critical need for HREE in U.S. manufacturing, but there's a long way to go before it hits its goals. 

It's no secret: I think Rivian's (RIVN 2.84%) upcoming R2 launch could be a game changer for the EV stock. The R2 will be Rivian's first vehicle priced under $50,000. Customer deliveries are expected to start this April.

Why is the R2 such a big deal for Rivian? For starters, a big majority of people are looking to spend less than $50,000 on their next vehicle purchase. Excluding the R2, Rivian only has two luxury models that, with options and fees, can easily cost consumers more than $100,000 out the door.

The R2 should give the company access to tens of millions of new potential buyers, thanks to the lower initial price. How will that translate to the stock's performance? A closer look at Tesla's (TSLA 0.88%) history with the Model Y and Model 3 -- its first two vehicles priced under $50,000 -- sheds light on just how lucrative Rivian stock might be at current prices.

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Tesla proves how big the R2 could be for Rivian Tesla wasn't always the $1.3 trillion juggernaut it is today. At the start of 2017, the company's market cap hovered around $35 billion, with shares priced under $16. From a valuation perspective, shares traded at just 5 times sales. This paltry valuation was the case even though the EV maker expected to start shipments of its Model 3 vehicle -- its first vehicle priced under $50,000 -- later that year.

Sales were limited that year due to production scaling issues. But in 2018, the company sold 140,317 units. In 2019, growth continued with sales of 161,100 units. Then came 2020, a banner year. That year, more than 200,000 Model 3s were delivered to customers.

How much did Tesla's stock price rise between the start of 2017 and the end of 2020? Roughly 1,440%! By the start of 2021, the company's market cap had exceeded $670 billion, with a price-to-sales ratio of 23.8 -- more than four times the valuation shares received before the Model 3 launch. The start of deliveries for the Model Y in 2020 continued the momentum, with the market now fully onboard with the potential of launching a mass market vehicle priced for big volumes.

Image source: Rivian.

Next month, Rivian could start its own growth journey, similar to what Tesla achieved with its Model 3 and Model Y launches. Yet shares are actually priced much cheaper than Tesla shares were before its Model 3 launch. Right now, Rivian's market cap is hovering around $20 billion. Its price-to-sales ratio, meanwhile, is just 3.7.

Like Tesla, Rivian plans to follow up its launch with additional sub-$50,000 models -- the R3 and R3X. Plus, the company arguably has more potential upside than Tesla did at the start of its journey due to heavy investment into AI and self-driving technologies.

It's important to stress that Tesla's stock price didn't take off immediately once the Model 3 hit the streets. It was primarily long term, extremely patient shareholders that accrued the biggest gains. But with Rivian shares trading at such a discounted valuation before the R2 launch, I'm willing to bet that the company will exceed expectations, likely leading to a sharply improved valuation down the line.

It has been a frustrating start to 2026 for Microsoft (MSFT 1.57%) investors. Year to date, the stock has fallen about 18%. Even worse, the stock is down about 29% from a 52-week high of $555.45.

The tech stock's decline comes as many software stocks take a beating amid investor caution over evolving risks in an era of artificial intelligence (AI).

Previously, I viewed this pullback as a potential opportunity. After all, the underlying business continues to do very well. In its fiscal Q2, for instance, Microsoft's revenue rose 17% year over year, and operating income rose 21% to $38.3 billion.

But after thinking more about the competitive landscape and the details of Microsoft's recent earnings report, I've changed my mind. I now believe the risk of further multiple compression is greater than I previously anticipated. That said, AI is only part of the threat I'm concerned about. My bigger concern is the wide range of ways Microsoft's business could be flanked from all sides in the coming years.

Image source: Getty Images.

About that backlog On the surface, demand for Microsoft's AI-capable cloud computing looks virtually unstoppable.

In its fiscal second quarter, Microsoft said its commercial remaining performance obligations (RPOs) rose 110% year over year to $625 billion. This metric, which represents the dollar value of contracted commercial work not yet recognized as revenue, is a key indicator of demand.

But there are glaring risks hidden in this massive number.

First, a huge portion -- 45% to be exact -- of Microsoft's commercial backlog comes from a single customer: OpenAI. When you strip out OpenAI, Microsoft's commercial RPOs are growing much slower, at a rate of 28% year over year.

Second, this backlog will take substantial time to convert into actual revenue. Microsoft said only 25% of its total commercial RPOs are expected to be recognized in the next 12 months.

Further, despite the surging backlog, Microsoft's "Azure and other cloud services" revenue actually decelerated in fiscal Q2, growing 38% year over year in constant currency, down from 39% the prior quarter.

This deceleration is occurring while Microsoft's capital expenditures are soaring, reaching $37.5 billion in fiscal Q2 -- up 66% year over year.

The company is spending aggressively to support this backlog, but relying so heavily on one partner for future contracted revenue while cloud growth decelerates is a tough setup for investors to buy into.

Shifting moats and fierce competition Beyond the backlog, Microsoft faces intensifying pressure from its big-tech peers.

Amazon (AMZN 0.87%) remains the clear leader in cloud computing, and its Amazon Web Services (AWS) segment is seeing accelerating momentum. Amazon's fourth-quarter AWS revenue rose 24% year over year to $35.6 billion. This was up from 20% year-over-year AWS revenue growth in Q3.

Meanwhile, Alphabet's (GOOG 0.58%)(GOOGL 0.42%) Google Cloud is growing even faster. In its fourth quarter, Alphabet's cloud computing business saw revenue soar 48% year over year.

And while this potential threat is more speculative, the biggest long-term threat to Microsoft might be a demographic shift in the enterprise sector.

Microsoft has long relied on its entrenched enterprise usage as its primary moat. But what will happen when a generation that grew up on Google products comes into more executive roles over time? Alphabet already dominates search and boasts massive market share with its own productivity suite, including Google Docs, Google Sheets, and Google Slides. Alphabet's Google Chrome and Gmail also command more market share than Microsoft's Edge and Outlook, respectively.

Then, of course, there's the growing popularity of Alphabet's generative AI, Gemini.

My revised take on Microsoft stock At a price-to-earnings ratio of about 25 as of this writing, Microsoft's valuation doesn't look very expensive on the surface.

But a valuation like this still requires the company to maintain its competitive moat, successfully monetize its massive AI capital expenditures, and maintain its lucrative profit margin in its software business.

If Microsoft loses enterprise market share to Alphabet, or if the economics of its OpenAI-heavy backlog prove poor and weigh on margins, the stock could face a meaningful rerating.

Microsoft is undoubtedly a spectacular business. But the tech landscape is shifting rapidly. At a time when tech giants are spending aggressively, Microsoft is at risk of losing its competitive advantage and, in turn, losing some of its pricing power.

My new take on the stock? Don't buy the dip.

If the stock fell to a level that gave it a price-to-earnings ratio of around 18 to 20, I might reconsider my stance.

Nvidia (NVDA 1.56%) has made investors a ton of money over the past few years. If you invested $10,000 into it at the start of 2023, that investment is now worth $125,000. That's an incredible return on investment. While Nvidia won't be able to repeat that growth rate over the next three years, it has what it takes to outperform the market.

I think there's one clear signal investors can't ignore about Nvidia's stock, and they should heed it and scoop up shares before the rest of the market catches on.

Image source: Nvidia.

The market only expects one more year of strong growth Nvidia's stock has somehow gotten the stigma that it's expensive, but that couldn't be further from the case. Right now, it trades at 22.1 times forward earnings, nearly the same price-to-earnings ratio as the S&P 500, which trades at 21.7 times forward earnings.

NVDA PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts

Normally, market-average premiums are reserved for stocks growing at a market-average pace, but that's not Nvidia. In its last quarter, it grew revenue by 73%. For this quarter, management expects 77% growth. Normally, the market grows at about a 10% pace each year, so this is a massive mismatch.

The current price tag on Nvidia's stock assumes that it will have a strong year, but will revert to market-average growth in 2027. But I don't think that's true.

Nvidia projects that global data center capital expenditures will reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion by 2030. McKinsey & Company offered a similar projection, estimating that it will take $7 trillion in cumulative spend by 2030 to meet demand for artificial intelligence (AI). That clearly indicates growth for Nvidia will last for multiple years past 2026, crushing the bear case on the stock.

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One common misconception out there is that Nvidia cannot grow because AI hyperscalers are maxing out their cash flows devoted to capital expenditures. While that is partly true, investors are forgetting that much of the capital expenditure right now is going toward constructing data centers. It takes years for data centers to come online once announced, and computing units are the last thing to be purchased.

So, while capital expenditure growth may not be as easy to come by, the proportion of that spending devoted to computing units will increase dramatically. Other regions of the world (namely, Europe) haven't even started on AI infrastructure, so this could be another source of growth.

This bodes well for Nvidia's future, and investors should use this low price as their opportunity to load up before the market realizes it will deliver strong growth again in 2027 and beyond.

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

State Street Com Svc Sel Sec SPDR ETF is downgraded to hold after a strong rally from April 2025 lows. XLC trades at 17x earnings with a 9.3% long-term growth rate, yielding a PEG just under 2.0x—reasonable but not compelling.

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Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of GRAB either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

High transaction volume on a blockchain isn’t just a sign that people are using it.

Instead, it can reveal potential price dynamics. The logic is simple. More transactions generate more fees and when those fees get burned, the circulating supply drops. Traders call this a supply squeeze, and it can sometimes set the stage for upward price action.

This week, Ripple’s XRP Ledger [XRPL] hit a milestone of 3 million daily transactions, and the market reacted quickly. Analysts are pointing to Ripple’s strategic partnerships as a key factor driving this surge, suggesting that a hike in on-chain usage could translate into bullish pressure on XRP.

Source: X One analyst is adding to the buzz, pointing to XRP’s oversold RSI at press time as a sign that a potential bottom could be forming. For context, the RSI last hit similar levels in December 2022 during the bear market. Soon after, XRP rallied by nearly 60% until the end of Q1 2023.

Naturally, a key question arises – With XRPL hitting its transaction milestone and technicals looking oversold, is XRP’s 25% correction so far this year actually a textbook case of “undervaluation?” Especially with the market underestimating the impact of the supply squeeze on its long-term price dynamics?

Or is the “hype” around Ripple’s recent partnerships running ahead of the fundamentals, potentially putting a 2022-style reversal at risk?

Market participants wake up to XRPL’s DeFi shortcomings Ripple’s latest partnerships are pushing to make XRPL a DeFi settlement hub.

In simple terms, by linking with traditional banks, Ripple is clearly tapping into the payments market and using the XRP Ledger as the bridge between TradFi and DeFi. This setup makes transactions across blockchains seamless, positioning XRP as a key tool for moving money efficiently.

Consequently, stablecoins play a big role here, providing the liquidity needed to fuel these transactions. However, according to DeFiLlama, XRPL’s stablecoin market cap is down nearly 12% this week alone. And, it only makes up about 0.116% of the $320 billion stablecoin market.

Source: DeFiLlama Looking at the bigger picture, the market seems to be waking up to these limitations. 

Since stablecoins fuel most XRPL transactions, their slowing momentum could hold back DeFi activity and raises questions about whether Ripple’s partnerships can actually drive XRP’s on-chain growth. This would put the whole supply squeeze narrative under the microscope.

Against this backdrop, XRP’s technical weakness despite Ripple’s initiatives doesn’t necessarily mean it’s undervalued. Instead, the market might be waking up to the harsh reality of XRPL’s declining DeFi momentum, making a 2022-style reversal highly unlikely.

Final Summary XRPL’s high transaction volume and strategic partnerships could drive a supply squeeze, but XRP’s 25% correction raises questions too.  Weak DeFi activity and slowing stablecoin momentum highlight XRPL’s limitations, putting the bullish narrative and a 2022-style reversal at risk.

Bitcoin recently pushed into a key liquidity pocket near the $73,000 level, briefly tapping overhead liquidity before encountering a sharp reaction to the downside. With structure still holding and buyers stepping in on dips, attention is now shifting to whether this positioning phase could set the stage for a stronger push toward the $80,000 region.

Upper Liquidity Sweep Before Sharp Rejection Near $74,000 According to the latest MMT Heatmap update from Columbus, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge into the upper liquidity pocket during the overnight session. The price climbed aggressively to the $73,000 mark, testing the strength of overhead supply. However, this momentum was met with a sharp corrective reaction as it approached a substantial liquidity cluster situated near $74,000.

This specific price action is characterised by a market that is probing for liquidity without establishing immediate value acceptance. Here, there is a sweep, followed by investors building positions; a standard market mechanism where high-interest zones are cleared out before the market gathers the necessary structure to sustain a more permanent move higher.

Source: Chart from Columbus on X Currently, Bitcoin remains in a rotation phase as it attempts to solidify a reclaim above its previous channel resistance. This transition period is vital for converting old resistance into support, providing the technical foundation required for the next leg of the bull cycle.

The broader outlook remains cautiously optimistic, provided that buyer demand is resilient and does not fade anytime soon. As long as bids continue to rebuild aggressively on every minor dip, the underlying market structure maintains its bullish bias.

Bitcoin Tests Historic Weekly Support–Resistance Zone Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows that the price is currently negotiating one of its strongest support and resistance zones, a level that dates back to the week of March 11, 2024. Market action around such historically significant areas often determines the next major directional move, as both buyers and sellers tend to defend their positions aggressively.

Crypto analyst Christopher Inks notes that momentum indicators still leave plenty of room for further upside. Both the weekly RSI and the Stochastic RSI remain far from overheated territory, suggesting that Bitcoin could still extend its move higher and potentially push into the $80,000 region if bullish momentum continues to build.

Christopher Inks has also emphasized throughout the year that a strong, impulsive weekly candle breaking and closing above the yearly pivot at $96,071.25 would be a major signal for the market. Such a move would confirm that the cycle low is already in place and could open the path for Bitcoin to advance toward a new all-time high.

BTC trading at $70,536 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Corporate demand for bitcoin is accelerating as publicly traded companies tap stock and preferred-share financing to accumulate supply, a trend some industry leaders say could significantly increase corporate demand for newly mined coins and potentially influence market dynamics.

Bitcoin [BTC] extended its weekly gains to 12% on Friday after surging to $73.9K. At the time of writing, BTC had given back some of its gains and traded at $70.6K. 

But overall investor returns and relative strength against gold and tradFi markets reinforced crypto assets as a hedge during geopolitical tensions. 

Source: X/River  With the potential end to the West Asia crisis still unclear, could it fuel BTC’s rally in the near term? 

Options traders eye $75k As the West Asia crisis drags on, there are two weeks to the end of the quarter Option expiry. Hence, the Options market positioning could offer another view into investors’ risk appetite and expectations in the near term. 

According to Glassnode, $75K remained a key level that has seen massive call buying (bullish bets). Clearing this level could fuel further upside momentum due to dealer hedging flows, added the blockchain analysis firm. 

At the same time, the majority of puts (bearish bets) and hedging activity were concentrated at $60k, suggesting sophisticated players were still prepared for another leg down.

Source: Glassnode  In other words, the $60k-$75k price range could extend for the next two weeks, but a decisive clearing of the $75k hurdle could accelerate a push for $80k. 

In fact, BTC’s price was sharply rejected near $75K on the 13th of March, marking the level as a key roadblock for bulls to extend the recent recovery. 

What’s delaying the breakout? Perhaps another factor that has kept BTC within the current range for a while is the lack of strong bidding. According to crypto research firm Swissblock, the February dip below $60K was marked by strong interest, as many players jumped to buy discounted BTC. 

The spike in network growth signaled a surge in market participants, which helped stabilize Bitcoin’s price above $60K last month.

However, Swissblock stressed that a decisive breakout from the current range would need another spike in the network growth or an increase in buyers at this level. 

A renewed rise in network growth would signal that participants are entering the market again. Otherwise, Bitcoin remains in a recovery attempt, not a confirmed expansion phase.

Source: Swissblock  That said, BTC’s resilience this week was also driven by ETF flows. The Spot BTC ETFs were green throughout the week, attracting $767 million in net inflows. If the positive trend continues next week, bulls may attempt to crack the $75k level again. 

Final Summary  BTC outperformed gold and the U.S. equities market by over 18% as the West Asia crisis drags into its second week.  Spot BTC ETFs saw $767 million in weekly net inflows, further boosting the crypto asset’s surge towards $75K. 

The Ethereum Foundation has sold 5,000 ETH, worth just over $10.2 million, to publicly traded treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies, marking the second time the foundation has offloaded part of its holdings to an Ethereum treasury company.

This move is part of the Foundation’s ongoing treasury management strategy, funding core operations such as protocol research, ecosystem development, and community grants. The sale comes as Ethereum’s price has rebounded over the past week, climbing above the $2,000.

The Ethereum Foundation announced the sale in a post on X, stating it sold 5,000 ETH at an average price of around $2,042.96 per coin. That puts the transaction above $10.2 million. 

The foundation said the sale is intended to assist its work throughout the Ethereum ecosystem. The funds will go toward core activities, including protocol R&D, community grants, developer assistance, and other project- and network-related areas. 

This is not the first time the foundation has sold ETH directly to a corporate treasury company. The foundation sold 10,000 ETH, valued at around $30 million at the time, to Sharplink in July last year, making the company the second-largest holder of Ethereum by value. 

Selling portions of its treasury across different market cycles allows the Ethereum Foundation to directly fund development without relying solely on donations or other sources.

BitMine remains the largest ETH treasury holder The buyer of the latest transaction, BitMine Immersion Technologies, has built one of the world’s largest corporate Ethereum holdings. As of early last week, the company said it owned more than 4.5 million ETH. 

From recent market prices, those holdings are worth about $9.4 billion. And that makes BitMine the largest known Ethereum treasury company, surpassing other firms that hold the cryptocurrency as a balance-sheet asset. 

BitMine is chaired by investor Tom Lee, who has repeatedly expressed strong long-term confidence in Ethereum. While there has been recent price volatility, the company has continued to add ETH to its reserves. 

BitMine has positioned itself as a corporate vehicle that accumulates and holds Ethereum, just as some companies have built large Bitcoin reserves. 

The strategy assumes that Ethereum will gain value over time as its blockchain continues to power decentralized applications, financial services, and digital infrastructure.

Corporate crypto treasuries face massive paper losses Even as Ethereum recently moved back above $2,000, companies that purchased the asset around its peak are currently sitting with significant unrealized losses. 

ETH peaked around $4,946 last August. The price of the cryptocurrency has plummeted since then and has, in fact, lost significant value alongside much of the broader crypto market. 

Since many treasury firms accumulated ETH near those highs, the market value of their holdings is down significantly. It is estimated that BitMine alone carries $7.5 Billion of unrealized losses due to the gap between its acquisition price and market value. 

But these losses are only felt on paper, since the company has not sold its holdings. An unrealized loss occurs when an asset’s value declines below what an individual paid for it. 

The loss is “real” only if the asset is sold at the lower price. This is a well-established idea in financial markets. Investors in stocks, commodities, or bonds often experience similar swings in value without actually selling their investments. 

Crypto markets magnify this effect, in large part because digital assets often shift more quickly than traditional investments. As a result, companies with large cryptocurrency treasuries can see their balance sheets exposed to extreme market swings. BitMine and its leadership continue to hold positive insights into Ethereum’s long-term outlook, despite the swings. 

The cryptocurrency market might be approaching the final phase of what Lee called a “mini crypto winter,” and recent market data also point to a bit of recovery. ETH has increased about 5% over the last week and about 9% over the last month.