Market Signal Briefing

VanEck CEO Jan van Eck stated that a growing group of early Bitcoin users is reconsidering the asset's future security and privacy guarantees.

CME FedWatch now implies better than 70% odds that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its Dec. 9-10 meeting, dropping the target range from 3.75%-4.00% to 3.50%-3.75%.

That marks a dramatic intraday reversal on Nov. 21, when New York Fed President John Williams told reporters the Fed can still trim rates “in the near term” without threatening its 2% inflation target.

A few days before, the same probability sat near 30%, weighed down by a government data blackout and hawkish Fed commentary.

The question now is whether a December cut carries enough conviction to pull Bitcoin (BTC) out of protection mode, or whether the macro tailwind arrives too late for a market already bleeding leverage and ETF flows.

Between Nov. 20 and 21, Bitcoin dove from $91,554.96 to $80,600, before recovering to $84,116.67 as of press time. The movement worried investors, who are not certain if BTC reached its local top this cycle at $126,000, and there is no steam left for an upward movement.

The rate-cut narrative matters for Bitcoin because it translates directly into real yields and liquidity.
Over the past two months, inflation-adjusted Treasury returns climbed as markets priced out easing, pulling capital away from high-beta assets and tightening global liquidity.

If the Fed now delivers the cut markets expect and signals more to come, real yields should compress and liquidity should expand, conditions that historically correlate with Bitcoin outperformance.

However, on-chain data from Glassnode and derivatives positioning show the market hasn’t flipped yet.

Recent buyers are underwater, ETFs are bleeding, and options traders are paying double-digit premiums for downside protection.

What changed and why it moved odds so fastWilliams’ comments hit a market that had just repriced December odds down to 30% amid uncertainty over employment data.

His statement that near-term cuts remain viable without jeopardizing inflation control permitted traders to reload rate-cut bets. By Nov. 21 close, FedWatch probabilities had spiked above 70%, reversing a multi-week drift lower.

The swing reflects how sensitive markets have become to Fed messaging after two cuts already delivered in 2025, the most recent on Oct. 29, which brought the funds rate to 3.75%-4.00% and announced that quantitative tightening would end Dec. 1.

September payrolls printed at 119,000 with unemployment edging up to 4.4%, data that split Wall Street. JPMorgan, Standard Chartered, and Morgan Stanley pulled their December-cut forecasts, arguing the jobs print wasn’t weak enough to justify further easing.

Citi, Deutsche Bank, and Wells Fargo held firm, pointing to the uptick in unemployment as proof that the Fed has room to ease. Williams’ remarks tipped the balance, validating the dovish camp.

Markets now price a 70% chance the Fed follows through in December, with further easing expected in 2026 if inflation remains contained.

The 10-year nominal Treasury yield has already fallen roughly 60 basis points this year, and TIPS breakevens sit just above 2.2%, suggesting markets believe inflation can stay anchored even as policy eases.

Real yields, liquidity, and why Bitcoin caresThe relationship between Bitcoin and real yields has become the dominant macro narrative this fall.
Rising inflation-adjusted returns on Treasurys pull capital away from zero-yielding assets like Bitcoin.

S&P Global’s work shows a negative correlation between Bitcoin and real yields that has strengthened since 2017, with the asset tending to outperform when policy eases and liquidity expands.

Bitwise’s research overlays Bitcoin against global M2 money supply, showing that periods of re-accelerating money growth and easier Fed policy coincide with stronger Bitcoin performance.

The recent dollar pullback and renewed M2 expansion should become tailwinds once markets trust that cuts will continue.

A December cut backed by guidance toward further easing would cap real yields and rebuild the liquidity backdrop that historically supports Bitcoin.

Yet, the mechanics only work if the cut arrives with conviction. A one-and-done cut followed by hawkish guidance would leave real yields elevated and liquidity constrained.

Williams’ comments matter because they suggest the Fed sees room for multiple moves, not just a token cut in December. If that proves true, the path toward falling real yields and a softer dollar becomes credible, giving Bitcoin a chance to flip from selling off with liquidity to trending with it.

What Glassnode sees on-chain and in derivativesGlassnode’s Nov. 19 report maps how hard the recent drawdown hit and why positioning remains defensive.

Bitcoin broke below the short-term holder cost basis and the -1 standard deviation band, slipping under $97,000 and briefly touching $89,000, which aggravated on Nov. 21 with BTC almost losing the $80,000 footing.

Bitcoin price trades below the short-term holder cost basis and cooling bands, indicating recent buyers are underwater amid the current drawdown.That leaves almost all recent cohorts sitting at an unrealized loss and turns the $95,000-$97,000 zone into resistance.

Glassnode estimates 6.3 million BTC now sit underwater, mostly in the -10% to -23.6% range, a distribution that resembles 2022’s range-bound bear market more than full capitulation.

Two price levels stand out. The Active Investors’ Realized Price sits around $88,600, representing the average cost basis for coins that move regularly.

Approximately 6.3 million BTC currently sit at unrealized losses, concentrated in the –10% to –23.6% range as of November 2025.The True Market Mean, near $82,000, marks the threshold between a mild correction and a deeper 2022-style bear phase. Bitcoin currently trades between those levels.

Off-chain flows reinforce the caution. US spot ETFs show a firmly negative seven-day average, with November outflows approaching $3 billion.

That suggests institutional allocators aren’t stepping in to buy the dip. Futures open interest drifts lower alongside price, implying traders are de-risking rather than adding leverage.

Options positioning screams protection mode. Implied volatility spiked back toward levels last seen during October’s liquidation event, skew tilts sharply negative, and one-week puts trade at a double-digit premium to calls.

Net flows show traders paying up for $90,000 downside strikes while adding only modest call exposure. Glassnode’s read is that dealers are short delta and hedging through futures selling, which mechanically adds pressure when the market weakens.

The path forward depends on Fed convictionA December cut accompanied by guidance toward further easing would cap real yields and rebuild liquidity, the conditions Bitwise and S&P Global identify as historically favorable for Bitcoin.

The 70% probability now priced into FedWatch reflects growing confidence that the Fed sees a path to ease without reigniting inflation, which is exactly what Bitcoin needs to flip the narrative.

But Glassnode’s on-chain and derivatives data show the immediate setup remains fragile. Recent buyers are underwater, ETFs are bleeding, leverage is unwinding, and options positioning favors protection over conviction.

That means even a December cut might not trigger an immediate reversal if it comes without clear guidance on future moves.

If the Fed blinks or delivers a one-and-done cut while emphasizing inflation risk, the macro impulse could prove too weak to shift ETF flows or flip risk appetite.

Bitcoin would remain pinned below the $95,000-$97,000 resistance that Glassnode now considers structural.

Williams’ comments cracked the door open. A December cut with forward guidance could push it wider. Whether that’s enough to pull Bitcoin through depends on whether the Fed treats December as the start of a new easing cycle or the end of a brief recalibration.

Markets are pricing the former at 70% odds. The on-chain data suggests traders aren’t convinced yet.

Mentioned in this article

Ethereum faces a sharp split between strong ETF demand and a spot chart sliding through major support levels. Fresh inflows clash with a deep technical danger zone and oversold signals, setting up a tense next phase for the market.

ETH ETFs Land $55.7 Million Inflow As BlackRock Sees Big ExitEthereum spot ETFs pulled in about 55.7 million dollars in net inflows yesterday, according to the latest Farside Investors data. The green total came even as BlackRock’s ETHA fund recorded roughly 53.7 million dollars in outflows on the day.

ETH ETF Daily Flows. Source: Farside Investors / X

At the same time, rival issuers such as Fidelity and Bitwise absorbed fresh demand that more than offset BlackRock’s selling. Their positive flows turned the complex back into net-buy territory, signaling that investors still added Ethereum exposure overall despite the heavy redemption from the largest player.

Ethereum Slides Into ‘Danger Zone’ After Uptrend BreakEthereum has slipped into a key danger zone after losing its main daily uptrend line and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, according to analyst DrBullZeus. The break signals a structural shift in the chart, with bears tightening their grip as price trades near the mid-2700 range.

ETH Danger Zone Chart. Source: DrBullZeus on X

Now attention turns to the first major support band between 2,100 and 2,300 dollars, marked as the initial defense zone on the chart. If ETH stabilizes there, bulls could attempt a recovery toward higher levels, but failure to hold that area would confirm deeper technical damage.

In that bearish scenario, DrBullZeus maps a possible slide toward roughly 1,500 dollars, labeled as the major support and the “0” level on the chart. The analyst notes that momentum currently favors sellers, and the next sessions will show whether Ethereum can defend its support zones or extend the breakdown.

Ethereum Flashes Deep Oversold Signal on Weekly ChartNow, Ethereum is showing one of its sharpest weekly oversold readings in years, according to a new chart from CryptoCaesar. The indicator highlights multiple past moments when ETH hit similar lows on the stochastic oscillator before staging strong recoveries. The latest dip places ETH inside that same historical zone, suggesting momentum has reached exhaustion.

ETH Oversold Weekly Chart. Source: CryptoCaesar on X

The chart also marks previous cycle bottoms across September 2023, May 2024, September 2024, March 2025, and now November 2025. Each circled oversold point aligns with periods where sellers lost steam and price bounced from major support regions. The current setup mirrors those patterns, with ETH now approaching a broad demand zone beneath the 2,300 level.

At the same time, broader market structure shows ETH pulling back from its recent local peak, leaving a clear downward candle on the weekly timeframe. CryptoCaesar notes that conditions remain technically oversold rather than structurally broken, and the coming weeks will show whether Ethereum can repeat its prior rebound behavior or slide deeper into the lower support block.

Sat, 22/11/2025 - 13:22

Solana has largely declined since its Sept. 18 high of $253, with its market value dropping 49%, but a positive signal has now flashed in the market.

Cover image via U.Today

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The crypto market continued to trade in red early Saturday, extending a sell-off fueled in part by liquidity shortage that followed October's sell-off and liquidation event.

At the time of writing, Solana was trading unchanged in the last 24 hours at $125.94, and down 11% weekly, extending a drop from Nov. 14 into the fourth day.

Solana has largely declined since its Sept. 18 high of $253. Taken from this peak, on-chain analytics platform Santiment noted that Solana's market value has now fallen about 49%.

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📊 Solana's market value has now fallen -49% from its local top back on September 17th. However, there has been a unique bullish divergence with crypto's #7 market cap. The amount of interacting addresses are rising, and new $SOL wallet creation is trending up.

🔖 Follow the… pic.twitter.com/qHajp1dlV8

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 22, 2025 Amid the declines, Solana lost support at its daily moving averages 50 and 200 at $179.99 and $179.93.

The recent drop has confirmed a death cross, which occurs when a short-term moving average (MA 50) falls below the long-term MA (the moving average 200) on the daily chart. Amid all these, a positive signal has flashed in the market as Solana marks a unique bullish divergence.

Bullish divergence emergesAccording to Santiment, Solana's market value has now fallen by 49% from its local top back on Sept. 17. However, there has been a unique bullish divergence as the number of interacting addresses is rising as well as new SOL wallet creation.

Solana's address activity has come alive to a 10-week high with on-chain activity gaining positive momentum, signaling a bullish divergence with respect to price.

Santiment noted that increasing SOL activity in spite of declining prices might foreshadow a price reversal, it describes it as an "eventual strong turn around."

Meanwhile, Solana ETFs continue to see inflows as demand grows even during market drops.

In a major milestone, the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) has crossed $500 million in AUM in its first 18 days of trading. The fund’s rapid rise has solidified its position as the largest Solana ETP in the U.S.

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Robert Kiyosaki just did something pretty surprising. The “Rich Dad Poor Dad” author sold $2.

XRP continues to gain momentum as its ecosystem expands and Spot XRP ETFs enter the market. Despite these positive developments, XRP remains far behind Bitcoin, the dominant cryptocurrency, in terms of total market capitalization.

Fear spikes as BTC plunges into demand zone — Bitcoin price prediction now hinges on whether oversold signals ignite a sharp rebound.

VanEck’s CEO has put new pressure on Bitcoin’s long-term security, saying the firm would reconsider its position if quantum risks weaken BTC’s core thesis. His comments instantly reignited discussions around Bitcoin’s encryption, transparency, and the growing interest in privacy-focused alternatives.

VanEck CEO Flags Bitcoin’s Encryption and Privacy IssuesIn a CNBC interview, Jan van Eck said the Bitcoin community is now focused on two urgent questions: whether Bitcoin’s encryption can stand up to future quantum computers, and whether the network offers enough privacy for users who don’t want their activity exposed.

“We will walk away from Bitcoin if we think the thesis is fundamentally broken,” he said.

VanEck CEO Jan van Eck on CNBC:

“There’s something else going on within the Bitcoin community that non-crypto people need to know about.

And that is: ultimately, VanEck has been around before Bitcoin. We will walk away from Bitcoin if we think the thesis is fundamentally… pic.twitter.com/pCUtuqBVHD

— Arjun Khemani (@arjunkhemani) November 22, 2025 He noted that this debate is no longer niche – longtime Bitcoin holders are openly questioning whether the technology is prepared for the next era of computing.

Van Eck also pointed out that Bitcoin’s transparency is becoming a real concern. Anyone can watch a transaction move from one wallet to another, and that visibility is pushing users to rethink how much information they’re comfortable revealing on-chain.

Zcash Gains Attention as Privacy Conversations RiseThese concerns are sending more “Bitcoin OGs” toward Zcash, a privacy-focused token built with zero-knowledge proofs. Van Eck said many early adopters are studying Zcash’s model as they look for stronger protections than Bitcoin’s transparent design can offer.

Community chatter reflects this shift, with rising interest in shielded transactions and more advanced privacy tools.

Quantum Timeline Raises the Stakes for InstitutionsAnother part of the discussion centers on quantum risk. Some voices in the community are calling 2026 a realistic target year for quantum-resistant upgrades.

Vitalik Buterin added his own warning recently, saying there’s a notable chance quantum-capable machines could arrive before 2030. Because blockchain upgrades take years, he urged developers to prepare well before the threat becomes real.

Why This Matters for Bitcoin HoldersIf Bitcoin doesn’t move toward post-quantum protection, institutions, regulators, and ETF issuers may eventually push for answers. Privacy concerns may also steer more users toward Zcash or other zero-knowledge networks.

What to Watch NextAttention now turns to Bitcoin’s developers as the community waits to see whether 2026 becomes a real deadline or another warning left unanswered.

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Strategy's Michael Saylor counters Cathie Wood's revised Bitcoin forecast, arguing stablecoins and Bitcoin operate in distinct economic layers rather than competing for the same market demand.

Journalist

Posted: November 22, 2025

Key Takeaways
What’s the current outlook of 2Z’s price action?
2Z gained more than 20%, outperforming the entire market, but sellers responded instantly, reverting the bullish breakout.

Which direction is 2Z headed?
Based on the concentration of liquidity clusters, the most likely price movement for 2Z is toward $0.16 and beyond.

Double Zero outperformed the dePIN sector while extending this lead to the entire crypto market, particularly the top 100, per CoinMarketCap.

In the past 24 hours, the price of 2Z surged by more than 20%, but it quickly erased most of these gains.

Double Zero outperforms the crypto market
On the charts, 2Z has shown its real market strength by spiking to $0.2376, breaking the descending channel. The market remained in a bearish structure, as bears responded with a pushback to levels below $0.15.

They invalidated the bullish breakout on the 4-hour chart.

While the 2Z price remained under bearish control, it was the bulls who were stronger in this session. That way, 2Z outperformed the market. Bulls were defending the price above the upper half of the channel.

The Bull Bear Power (BBP) and Money Flow Index (MFI) were pointing north. The MFI showed that capital was slowly withdrawn after the spike; hence, the drop from 80 to 76.

Source: TradingView

Bulls remain in control over the few sessions, but in a bear structure, that only changes if the upper resistance at $0.18 is broken. A subsequent retest would ascertain a change in character and structure.

Conversely, if low-entry traders continue to withdraw capital through profit-taking, they may return the price of 2Z near the lower support level.

Liquidity clusters signal more upside potential 
The liquidity clusters on 2Z suggest that traders are betting on higher prices, even if sellers reacted significantly. Consequently, they met traders who boarded the train for around $0.14.

The larger liquidity clusters appeared between $0.16 and $0.18. The market had yet to tap into liquidity in these zones. Clearing the $0.18 zone would increase the chances of confirming a bullish breakout.

Source: CoinGlass

At the same time, 2Z still had some positions below $0.14, but were not as dense as those above. Again, they were very close to the price.

Hence, this weak cluster was insignificant in determining direction unless another was formed below, since the orders are dynamic. According to the current outlook, another bounce to the upside remained the most likely.

Can this be a hint of a looming recovery?
If the current strength of bulls continues, though, in a bear structure, the market could flip. The most significant bear threat was the broader market weakness, which could quickly erase this outlook.

There was still 65%, which was locked, suggesting potential sell pressure. However, the next unlock was in about a year and thus did not pose any threat.

Source: Tokenomist

2Z remains in bear control on the structure, but bulls have shown signs of a comeback. They had more momentum than bears but were yet to confirm the flip, only by breaching the structure.

13h05 ▪
4
min read ▪ by
Fenelon L.

Summarize this article with:

While Bitcoin and Ethereum endure massive withdrawals, two newcomers shake up the scene. Solana and XRP ETFs accumulate nearly 900 million dollars in net inflows despite a market in full collapse. Are we witnessing the emergence of a new hierarchy in the crypto ecosystem?

In Brief

Solana and XRP ETFs have accumulated respectively 500 and 410 million dollars in net inflows since their launch.
Bitcoin and Ethereum suffer record outflows, with 3.79 billion dollars evaporated in November for BTC.
The Bitwise XRP ETF raised 105 million dollars on its first day of trading on Thursday, November 21.
Solana fell by 32.5% last month despite enthusiasm for its ETFs.

Solana and XRP attract massive flows despite the crypto market collapse
On November 21, 2025, while the crypto market undergoes one of its worst periods, two alternative ETFs show unabashed strength. Solana and XRP accumulate steady daily inflows, defying the logic of a sector in full hemorrhage. 

The numbers speak for themselves: nearly 900 million dollars captured by these two products, with no net outflow since their launch.

This performance stands out in a context where Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing record withdrawals. November was particularly brutal for flagship products: 3.79 billion dollars vanished from US Bitcoin ETFs, with BlackRock (IBIT) and Fidelity (FBTC) accounting for 91% of outflows. November 20 will be remembered with 903 million dollars evaporated in a single day.

Solana ETFs stay the course with inflows ranging from 8 to 56 million dollars daily this week. November 19 marks a peak with 55.61 million dollars collected in 24 hours. 

On the XRP side, euphoria is palpable. The new Bitwise ETF, launched Thursday under the ticker “XRP”, has a brilliant start with 105 million dollars on the first day. Canary Capital adds another 12.8 million the same day, bringing the total to 118 million.

Steven McClurg, CEO of Canary, publicly congratulated Bitwise for the launch of its XRP ETF, noting that mid-sized players can compete with giants like BlackRock in the ranking of the year’s top ETFs.

His XRPC fund also holds the absolute record with 243 million dollars in inflows on November 14. These figures reflect a rare conviction among investors, who clearly seek to diversify beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Evolution of capital inflows into Solana ETFs in November. Source: Farside Investors
The paradox of flows: brilliant ETFs, struggling assets
The irony of the situation is obvious. While Solana and XRP ETFs attract massively, the underlying cryptos plummet severely. Solana collapses 32.5% in one month and 10.9% in one week.

Currently at 122.94 dollars, the token shows a dizzying 52.3% drop over one year. XRP follows a similar trajectory with a decline of 21.2% over 30 days and 16.6% weekly. The only consolation: the asset remains up 49.9% for the year, trading at 1.86 dollars.

This divergence between ETF performance and asset prices intrigues. It probably reveals an accumulation strategy counter to the trend by institutional investors. Some see it as a long-term bet, others as a simple novelty effect. 

Meanwhile, Bitcoin flirts with 83,000 dollars after massive leveraged position liquidations. On November 21, one billion dollars in long positions vanished in one hour.

Analysts question a possible leadership transfer in the crypto ecosystem. QwQiao, co-founder of Alliance DAO, warns that “there may need to be a new 50% correction for the market to lay solid foundations.” 

Michael Saylor, for his part, downplays these turbulences which he considers “background noise” on the road to mass adoption.

This resilience of Solana and XRP ETFs raises a fundamental question. Are we witnessing a simple parenthesis or a real shift in the crypto hierarchy? The combined 700 million dollars captured by these two alternative products, versus the 3.79 billion lost by Bitcoin, suggest the beginning of a mutation in institutional preferences.

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Fenelon L.

Passionné par le Bitcoin, j'aime explorer les méandres de la blockchain et des cryptos et je partage mes découvertes avec la communauté. Mon rêve est de vivre dans un monde où la vie privée et la liberté financière sont garanties pour tous, et je crois fermement que Bitcoin est l'outil qui peut rendre cela possible.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

Cardano price has crashed by over 67% from its highest point in 2024 and is at risk of further downside as weak technicals coincide with its relatively weak fundamentals. 

Summary

Cardano price has crashed by over 67% from its November high.
Nansen CEO believes that the ADA will drop from the top 20.
Technical analysis points to more downside in the near term.

Cardano (ADA), one of the biggest players in the crypto industry, was trading at $0.40 on Saturday as it continued its recent sell-off.

The decline was mostly because of the ongoing crypto market crash and its weak fundamentals. In a notable statement,  Alex Svanevik, the founder and CEO of Nansen, warned that the coin would plunge and move from the top 20 of the biggest coins.

Cardano will fall out of top 20 in 2026.

It's a total ghostchain. No-one uses it.

Even price performance has been abysmal: peak couldn't even reach -50% vs peak in 2021.

Hyperliquid, Monad, Zcash will all flip it next year. pic.twitter.com/A8PpolayiQ

— Alex Svanevik 🐧 (@ASvanevik) November 20, 2025

Svanevik pointed to the fact that Cardano is a ghost chain that no one uses. Indeed, third-party data shows that Cardano’s ecosystem is not growing despite Charles Hoskinson’s hype. 

Cardano has a limited role in the decentralized finance industry, where popular chains like Ethereum, Solana, and BNB Smart Chain have passed it. Its total value locked is ~$230 million, a tiny amount for a crypto project with a market cap of over $10 billion. 

Cardano has a limited market share in the stablecoin industry, where its supply stands at just $35 million. It has no share in the Real-World Asset tokenization and the non-fungible token industry. 

These events likely explains why Cardano has not had any institutional embrace. For example, only Grayscale has applied for an ADA ETF. In contrast, other popular coins like Solana and XRP have attracted substantial applications.

Cardano is betting on three major upgrades. It is working on Hydra, a layer-2 scaling solution that will enable zero-fee transactions. Cardano is also working on Leios that redesigns the consensus protocol, and Midnight, its zero-knowledge sidechain.

Cardano price technicals points to more downside
ADA price chart | Source: crypto.news
The three-day chart shows that the ADA price has been in a strong downward trend in the past few months. It has plunged from a high of $1.093 to the current $0.400, its lowest point since November last year. 

It has moved below the important support at $0.5132, its lowest level in April and June this year. The coin has formed a mini death cross pattern as the 50-day and 100-day moving averages crossed each other. 

The Average Directional Index has jumped to 36, a sign that the downtrend is accelerating. Also, the Relative Strength Index has moved to the oversold level. 

Therefore, the most likely Cardano price prediction is bearish, with the next key target being at $0.2760, its lowest level in August last year. This target is about 30% below the current level.

Amid the ongoing crypto slump, Michael Saylor Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is hinting plans to increase its Bitcoin holdings. 

In a post on X, the company reminded investors of its 2022 playbook.

In the depths of the 2022 crypto winter, our average cost basis was $30K while $BTC traded nearly 50% below it at $16K. What did we do? We bought more.

— Strategy (@Strategy) November 21, 2025 The message suggests Strategy may once again use market weakness to expand its BTC position.

How will Bitcoin price affect Strategy's stock performance Earlier this week, JPMorgan estimated that Strategy could face up to $2.8 billion in outflows if MSCI removes it from its equity indices. A broader wave of reclassifications by other index providers could add another $8.8 billion in redemptions.

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Strategy is currently part of major benchmarks including the Nasdaq-100, MSCI USA, and MSCI World. Analysts note that about $9 billion of the firm’s $50 billion market cap is tied to passive funds tracking these indices.

MSCI is expected to make its decision on January 15, 2026.

Michael Saylor’s take on Strategy and BTCResponding to mounting concerns, CEO Michael Saylor emphasized that Strategy should not be viewed as a fund or holding company.

He described it as a publicly traded operating company with a $500 million software business and a “unique treasury strategy that uses Bitcoin as productive capital.”

Saylor noted the completion of five public offerings this year totaling $7.7 billion in digital credit securities.

According to Saylor, Strategy “creates, structures, issues, and operates,” positioning itself as a Bitcoin-backed structured finance company capable of innovating across capital markets and software.

Response to MSCI Index Matter

Strategy is not a fund, not a trust, and not a holding company. We’re a publicly traded operating company with a $500 million software business and a unique treasury strategy that uses Bitcoin as productive capital.

This year alone, we’ve completed…

— Michael Saylor (@saylor) November 21, 2025 Bitcoin extended its decline on Friday, hitting a seven-month low near the $80,000 mark, which is widely considered an important support level that can potentially trigger further decline.

Bitcoin has now wiped out all year-to-date gains, falling 12% in 2025, while Ethereum is down almost 19%. 

Sat, 22/11/2025 - 12:35

A slew of XRP spot ETFs are expected in the days ahead, with the crypto community counting down to three filings from issuers.

Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

A couple of XRP ETFs are anticipated in the coming days, with the market counting down to three spot ETFs.

According to Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart, the upcoming week might be eventful with the Grayscale and Franklin Templeton U.S. spot XRP ETFs expected to launch Nov. 24.

In a recent tweet, Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas also indicated that the Grayscale XRP spot ETF is scheduled for a Monday launch. Investment management firm 21Shares posted a countdown tweet: "XRP Army, get ready." This was responded to by popular XRP Ledger explorer XRPScan saying, "what's the ticker."

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21Shares has secured approval for its XRP ETF. This approval allows the firm to move forward with launching the 21Shares XRP ETF, set to begin trading next week on the Cboe BZX exchange under the ticker symbol "TOXR."

As reported, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse indicated that a "pre-thanksgiving rush" for XRP ETFs has started while reacting to Bitwise's XRP ETF launch.

XRP ETFs attract demandThis week, XRP scored another pure play 33 Act ETF in the U.S. The Bitwise XRP ETF with ticker $XRP began trading on the NYSE on Thursday, marking an impressive debut. The Bitwise XRP ETF $XRP reported $25.7 million in trading volume with $107.6 million in inflows and a 0.34% management fee, with the fee set at 0% for the first month on the first $500 million in assets.

Canary Capital’s XRPC, the first U.S. XRP spot exchange-traded fund (ETF), marked an impressive debut in the past week with $58.5 million in trading volume, which is the highest for any ETF launched this year across more than 900 fund launches.

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XRP Faces a Critical Breakdown as Bears Take Control XRP finds itself in one the most decisive phases in months after breaking below its descending channel, a move that market analyst CryptoCeek says officially places bears in control of the price action. 

Source: CryptoCeekThe breakdown marks a significant shift in momentum, raising concerns that XRP may be gearing up for a deeper correction unless bulls step in quickly.

According to CryptoCeek, the major support to watch is $1.61, a level that has historically acted as a strong demand zone and a psychological buffer for traders. 

A clean break and close below this level could trigger rapid downside movement, opening the doors to $1.27 and potentially even $1.00 in short order. Such a decline would erase a large portion of XRP’s recent gains and reinforce the bearish narrative dominating the market.

XRP’s current setup highlights a clear battle between momentum and market structure, with price hovering at $1.91. 

Despite several recent rally attempts, bulls have repeatedly failed to break above the downtrend line that has capped price throughout its multi-week correction. 

Therefore, this resistance now stands as the decisive battleground, reclaiming it would confirm buyer strength and potentially ignite a full trend reversal.

For now, XRP’s breakdown below the descending channel underscores a market under clear bearish pressure. Selling volume is rising, lower-timeframe sentiment has flipped defensive, and CryptoCeek says XRP has entered a critical ‘prove yourself’ zone, where price must show strength or risk sliding into a deeper, prolonged downtrend.

Despite bearish technicals, XRP isn’t without hope. Markets often stage fake-outs before major reversals, and traders are now watching for a decisive reclaim of the downtrend line. A breakout above this level would invalidate the current bearish structure and signal the first real momentum shift toward a sustained recovery.

For now, all eyes are on the $1.61 support, lose it, and XRP risks accelerating lower; hold it, and the market may finally stabilize. This level could define XRP’s trajectory for the rest of the quarter.

Bitwise XRP ETF Surges Out of the Gate With Strong Day 1 PerformanceThe long-awaited Bitwise XRP ETF has officially debuted, and its first day of trading delivered a powerful signal of market demand. 

According to the Bitwise XRP ETF Day 1 End-of-Day Report, the fund closed its inaugural session with $25.7 million in trading volume, $107.6 million in assets under management (AUM), and a highly competitive fee structure designed to attract both institutional and retail capital.

Notably, this performance positions the Bitwise XRP ETF among the strongest crypto ETF debuts, joining launches like the Canary XRP ETF, which recently recorded $245 million inflows, and underscores the surging demand for regulated XRP exposure. 

Long viewed as one of the most battle-tested assets for its speed, utility, and deep liquidity, XRP is now converting that reputation into real market traction as U.S. investors gain direct, compliant access through an ETF.

Bitwise’s XRP ETF posting $25.7 million in first-day volume is a standout signal of early conviction. Strong debut liquidity shows investors are eager for regulated XRP exposure, helping tighten spreads, boost price efficiency, and lay the groundwork for deeper institutional participation in the weeks ahead.

With $107.6 million in AUM, the fund makes a strong debut. These early inflows signal confidence not only in XRP but in Bitwise’s transparency, research rigor, and crypto expertise. As more institutional desks seek digital asset exposure, this early momentum could set the stage for even larger allocations.

Well, Bitwise is boosting its competitive edge with a strategic fee structure: a 0.34% management fee, waived for the first month on the initial $500M in assets. By lowering friction for early adopters, Bitwise signals an aggressive push to scale quickly, an approach poised to capture market share in a fee-sensitive industry.

Notably, Day 1 of the Bitwise XRP ETF wasn’t just a strong launch, it was a milestone for XRP’s mainstream adoption. Robust volume, $107.6M AUM, and a strategic fee structure signal a promising start for what could become a flagship investment in the XRP ecosystem.

ConclusionXRP’s drop below its descending channel puts bears in control, marking a pivotal moment for the asset. Key support at $1.61 will dictate the next move: a break could accelerate a slide to $1.27, or even $1.00, while reclaiming the downtrend line would signal a potential bullish reversal. 

On the other hand, the Bitwise XRP ETF’s impressive debut highlights rising institutional and retail demand for regulated XRP exposure. With strong trading volume, significant AUM, and a low-fee structure, the ETF cements XRP’s role in mainstream finance while paving the way for broader adoption and liquidity. This launch signals growing confidence in both XRP and the evolving crypto ETF market.

The cryptocurrency market has been under severe bearish pressure in the past week, with the price of Bitcoin falling below this year’s opening price. At the same time, other large-cap assets have struggled, registering double-digit losses over the past few days.

In recent months, conversations have swirled around the death of the typical four-year cycle and a shift in the Bitcoin market structure, with the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) providing fresh, consistent liquidity. However, the latest on-chain data shows that BTC ETF investors could be under pressure in the coming days.

$79,300: The Pain Threshold For BTC ETF Buyers
In a recent post on the CryptoQuant platform, IT Tech shared an insight into the current Bitcoin market dynamics and how it could affect the relatively new set of investors known as BTC ETF buyers. According to the on-chain analyst, these exchange-traded fund holders are “about to face their first real test.”

The relevant metric here is the Bitcoin US ETF Realized Price, which tracks the average purchase price of BTC held by United States-based exchange-traded funds. This indicator offers insights into the profitability of institutional investors and holders.

IT Tech, however, made an interesting assertion, calling out the idea that ETF capital inflows are “Institutional Money.” The crypto analyst noted that most value added through US-based exchange-traded funds is mostly from retail investors buying through their brokerage accounts.

Source: CryptoQuant
As observed in the chart above, the Bitcoin US Exchange-Traded Funds Realized Price currently stands around $79,300. IT Tech said that the ETF buyers often feel “smart” when above the realized price, while they feel panic (as seen with most retail investors) when below their cost basis.

According to the on-chain analyst, these ETF investors are not accustomed to Bitcoin price declines. Hence, this group of exchange-traded fund holders or “new retail,” who have not been tested before, could enter a phase of panic selling should they go underwater.

Currently, the next significant support for the market leader is marked at around $82,000, where several spot investors have their cost basis. Ultimately, this evaluation makes $79,300 another crucial level to watch should the price of Bitcoin suffer further downturn. 

Bitcoin Price At A Glance
As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $84,500, reflecting an over 2% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down by more than 11% in the past week.

The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Key Takeaways
Is Kiyosaki exiting Bitcoin entirely?
No. He still believes in Bitcoin long-term and plans to buy more later using cash flow from his new investments.

How much return will the new investments generate?
He expects around $27,500 per month tax-free starting in February, pushing his total monthly income into the hundreds of thousands.

Robert Kiyosaki, author of one of the best-selling books “Rich Dad, Poor Dad,” has cashed out a slice of his Bitcoin holdings, selling roughly $2.25 million.

What makes the move notable is not just the profit, given that he originally bought the coins at $6,000 each, but the timing of the sale.

The sale comes as Bitcoin trades around $84,567.86, down 1.12% in the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap.

Why did he sell Bitcoin?
Instead of staying in crypto, Kiyosaki revealed he is redirecting the proceeds into real-world assets, including two surgery centers and a billboard business.

He said, 

“I estimate my $2.25 million Bitcoin investment into the surgery centers and Bill Board business will be positive cash flowing aproximately.”

Kiyosaki’s decision to offload a portion of his Bitcoin [BTC] holdings comes with a clear rationale: converting digital gains into long-term, cash-flow positive assets.

According to his statement, the liquidation will allow him to generate $27,500 per month, that too tax-free, by February, adding to an already substantial income from decades of real-estate-backed businesses.

What will he do with the investment?
With this new investment, he claims his monthly cash flow will rise into the hundreds of thousands of dollars, reinforcing his core wealth philosophy of prioritizing real assets and steady returns.

Despite selling, Kiyosaki clarified that he remains bullish on Bitcoin and plans to accumulate more using future cash flow rather than existing holdings.

He framed the move as part of the same wealth-building strategy he has followed since childhood, emphasizing that while crypto plays a role, it is just one component of a broader financial plan anchored in income-generating real estate.

He also noted that his approach may not fit everyone, even acknowledging that investors like Warren Buffett or Donald Trump follow entirely different playbooks.

However, the sale comes at a time when Bitcoin’s broader market structure appears shaky.

Bitcoin dominance and the fear and greed index
The asset’s dominance has slipped to 58.99%, meaning Bitcoin now holds a smaller share of the total crypto market’s value as capital increasingly rotates into alternatives like Ethereum [ETH], Solana [SOL], and XRP.

This shift suggests waning relative strength for Bitcoin and growing appetite for altcoins, though whether this signals an emerging rotation or general market weakness remains uncertain.

Market sentiment further reflects this fragility.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 10, indicating extreme fear as traders pull back from risk and uncertainty rises.

Such levels often accompany panic selling, a lack of confidence, and heightened volatility.

Kiyosaki’s Bitcoin predictions all year round?
Kiyosaki’s latest move fits into a long-running pattern of strategic positioning rather than abandoning Bitcoin altogether.

Earlier this year, he projected Bitcoin could climb as high as $175,000 to $350,000 in 2025, a forecast that influenced his continued accumulation before this recent sell-off.

Yet, in July, he also warned of an imminent collapse, calling it “good news” for long-term believers who could buy at lower prices.

These conflicting stances highlight his cyclical approach: embrace Bitcoin as a high-growth asset while converting gains into real-world, cash-flow-positive investments.

As the market sits in extreme fear, slipping dominance, and heavy selling pressure, his actions underscore a broader message: enduring wealth, in his view, comes not from holding volatile assets alone, but from turning them into consistent income that can weather market cycles. 

Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their busiest trading session ever, hitting $11.5 billion in volume as investors reshuffled positions.BlackRock’s IBIT, the largest Bitcoin investment vehicle, dominated the day's activity with more than $8 billion in turnover.The elevated trading activity comes as Bitcoin’s recent price drop has pushed most ETF holders into unrealized losses.US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds just posted their busiest trading session ever, even as the recent slide in the cryptocurrency’s price has left the average ETF investor holding losses.

The surge in activity marks a new phase in the market’s adjustment to this month’s selloff in the sector.

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BlackRock’s IBIT on Top as $238 Million Inflows Return Amid Market StressOn November 21, Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas reported that the 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $11.5 billion in combined trading volume.

US Bitcoin ETFs Record Trading Volume. Source: Eric BalchunasBalchunas described the spike in volume as “wild but normal,” noting that ETFs and other asset classes tend to record elevated turnover during periods of market stress.

He said such bursts of activity often signal the release of liquidity as investors reshuffle positions.

The elevated turnover reflected brisk two-way participation, with some investors cutting exposure while others took advantage of lower prices to add to positions.

BlackRock’s IBIT led the surge, generating $8 billion in turnover and accounting for more than 69% of all spot Bitcoin ETF trading that day. This was IBIT’s highest-volume session since launch, though the fund still ended the day with $122 million in outflows.

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“Also, no surprise record week for Put volume in IBIT.. this is one thing that may help people stay the course, they can always buy some puts as a hedge while they stay long,” Balchunas added.

Meanwhile, other Bitcoin ETFs, led by Fidelity’s FBTC, posted net inflows of more than $238 million.

Despite this inflow, the 12 Bitcoin investment vehicles are on course for their worst trading month, with net outflows of more than $3.5 billion.

US Bitcoin ETFs Monthly Flows. Source: SoSoValue This substantial outflow and record session come as the average spot Bitcoin ETF holder has slipped into the red.

Data from Bianco Research shows the weighted average purchase price for spot Bitcoin ETF inflows stood at $91,725 as of November 20.

Bitcoin’s drop below that level this week pushed most holders, including those who entered the market in January 2024, into unrealized losses.

Bitcoin fell roughly 12% this week to as low as $80,000 before recovering to $84,431 as of press time. This price performance extends a month-long slide and reinforces the risk-off sentiment across digital assets.

Disclaimer

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TLDR:

Bitcoin’s MACD hits all-time low despite only 33% price drop, signaling mechanical selling.
RSI indicates near-capitulation levels, yet no macro or ETF-driven stress exists.
Altcoins and Ethereum remain resilient despite prolonged BTC liquidation flows.
Single participant’s structural unwind drives market pressure, broader crypto cycle intact.

Bitcoin is showing unusual price behavior that experts attribute to mechanical unwinding rather than market sentiment. Since October 10, data suggests a single participant has been systematically offloading large positions. 

Key on-chain indicators point to extreme momentum without a broader market catalyst. Despite the selling, altcoins and Ethereum remain relatively resilient, and ETF demand continues to support the market.

The Bitcoin Mechanical Selling Pattern
Glassnode data, highlighted on X by the founder, Negentropic, shows the 1D MACD hitting all-time lows while Bitcoin’s price is only down around 33% from its highs. This pattern is atypical for natural market declines, which normally include volatility resets and pauses. 

The relative strength index (RSI) is near capitulation levels, yet there is no macroeconomic stress, credit shock, or ETF outflows. This indicates a rules-based, mechanical liquidation rather than a sentiment-driven sell-off.

The systematic selling appears highly constrained and consistent across timestamps and venues. Flow patterns have repeated for 21 consecutive days, showing no reflexive bids or market reactions. 

Historical comparisons suggest similar technical extremes previously coincided with 60% price drops, derivative blowouts, and negative funding, none of which are present now. ETFs remain net positive, long-term holders are removing supply methodically, and altcoins are holding their ground relative to Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Ethereum has maintained stronger price support compared to Bitcoin throughout this period. Meanwhile, Solana ETF inflows remain steady, showing investor confidence in altcoins. 

The coordinated nature of the selling points to a single liquidity provider or fund that experienced structural issues on October 10. The entity appears to be reducing exposure through a disciplined, rules-based process rather than reacting to market sentiment.

What’s happening in Bitcoin right now isn’t a narrative shift: it’s a mechanical unwind.

The data is pointing to something very specific:a forced seller that blew up around October 10 and has been offloading in a constrained, systematic way ever since.

Here’s why:

• The 1D…

— 𝗡𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰 (@Negentropic_) November 21, 2025

Market Resilience and Broader Cycle Stability
Despite the mechanical unwind, the broader crypto market cycle remains intact. Price action continues to form higher highs and higher lows, supported by spot demand and ETF inflows. 

Key market metrics indicate that stress is isolated, affecting only one participant rather than the system as a whole. This suggests the current downturn does not represent capitulation or a trend break in Bitcoin or the wider crypto ecosystem.

Liquidity flows are structured, and the temporary pressure may create an amplified rebound once exhausted. The constrained selling contrasts with natural market declines, which usually involve reflexive buying and volatility resets. 

Altcoins’ relative stability confirms that broader investor sentiment is largely neutral to bullish. Investors monitoring Bitcoin and Ethereum should note that current stress signals reflect mechanical factors, not macro weaknesses.

Solana shows rising wallet activity despite a 49% decline, placing focus on the $130 reclaim level for a potential momentum recovery.

Izabela Anna2 min read

22 November 2025, 11:23 AM

Solana is navigating a critical moment after an intense month of selling pressure. The asset now trades near $126.50, showing a mild 0.75% daily gain but carrying a 10.22% weekly decline. The market value has dropped 49% since its September 17 peak.

Santiment data indicates stronger participation across wallets, steady growth in new addresses, and rising interactions. This contrast suggests that sentiment may not fully match price weakness. It also hints at early accumulation behavior as the market reassesses risk conditions across major assets.

Rising On-Chain Activity Counters Steep Price DeclineSolana’s circulating supply stands at 560 million tokens, valuing the network at nearly $70.7 billion. Besides the macro pressure, traders are increasingly watching on-chain strength. 

Consequently, the uptick in address creation offers a rare divergence during a sharp market reset. Moreover, the growth in active wallets signals continued confidence in Solana’s broader ecosystem.

Market watchers argue that this trend often appears near exhaustion points. Hence, the contrast between lower prices and rising participation is now shaping a debate among traders who monitor behavioral data.

As per comments from market analyst 0xBossman, Solana’s 51% monthly drop places the asset inside a historical support zone around $125 to $130. He noted that the location aligns with previous reaction levels. 

He also remarked that Solana remains one of the market’s most momentum-driven assets. Hence, he sees the area as a calculated entry with a strict downside limit near $120.

Reclaiming $130 Becomes Key as Momentum Stays FragileSource: X

Analyst Crypto Tony added another view centered on the lower-timeframe trend. According to his assessment, Solana needs to reclaim $130 to flip market structure. He noted that every attempt to push higher has stalled at that barrier. Moreover, he pointed out that a clean move above $130 may open the way toward $135 or even $140.

However, network activity shows a different story. However, a rejection at that point could send Solana back to $124. It may even expose $120 if sellers remain aggressive. Hence, the current zone remains a do-or-die region that demands strong confirmation.

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Izabela Anna

Izabela Anna is a knowledgeable freelance journalist, who boasts over five years of experience covering the cryptocurrency market. Her tenure has seen her navigate through the ebbs and flows of multiple market cycles, giving her a deep understanding within. Her journalistic focus lies in dissecting price action dynamics, scrutinizing the on-chain landscape, and providing insights from a technical perspective, making her a trusted voice in the realm of cryptocurrency reporting.

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Latest Solana (SOL) News Today

Grayscale's Dogecoin and XRP ETFs launch on NYSE on November 24, marking the first simultaneous altcoin ETF debut.

Newton Gitonga2 min read

22 November 2025, 11:31 AM

Grayscale has secured approval from the New York Stock Exchange to launch spot exchange-traded funds for Dogecoin and XRP, with both products set to begin trading on November 24. The NYSE Arca certified its approval for both the Grayscale XRP Trust ETF (GXRP) and the Grayscale Dogecoin Trust ETF (GDOG) through regulatory letters dated November 21.

This marks the first time two major altcoin ETFs will enter the U.S. market simultaneously. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas confirmed the approvals and noted that a Grayscale Chainlink ETF may follow soon. The dual launch represents a significant expansion for Grayscale beyond its established Bitcoin and Ethereum products.

Regulatory Approval Clears Path for Mainstream AccessThe approval allows Grayscale to make shares available to investors through its regulated trust platform, enabling conventional investors to benefit from token price performance without holding digital assets directly. Both the XRP and Dogecoin ETFs will carry a 0.35% management fee. Grayscale, which oversees more than $35 billion in client assets, first launched its closed-end XRP trust in September of the previous year.

The ETF structure removes traditional barriers to entry. Investors can now access these digital assets through standard brokerage accounts and retirement portfolios. This eliminates the need for crypto exchanges, digital wallets, or custody solutions. The simplified access opens participation to institutional and retail investors who previously avoided cryptocurrency markets due to technical complexity.

Earlier this year, Grayscale filed with the SEC to convert its XRP product into an ETF, following the successful conversion of its Bitcoin and Ethereum trusts. The company continues expanding its regulated product lineup. Grayscale is preparing to go public in the United States, having filed for an IPO to list its Class A shares on the NYSE.

Trading Activity Surges Ahead of LaunchDogecoin derivatives volume increased more than 30% to reach $7.22 billion according to CoinGlass data. XRP derivatives volume surged 51% to hit $12.74 billion

Price volatility has intensified in the days before launch. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.1364, suggesting a 1.18% decline in the last 24 hours.

Dogecoin price chart, Source: CoinMarketCap

XRP slid sharply during early trading hours before bouncing near $1.85, with the recovery pushing prices back toward $1.90 at the time of writing.

XRP price chart, Source: CoinMarketCap

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Newton Gitonga covers cryptocurrencies, blockchain, and digital finance. He specializes in breaking down complex trends with clear, data-driven reporting. His work focuses on market analysis, technical insights, and the evolving role of altcoins in shaping global markets.

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Dogecoin (DOGE) News

Robert Kiyosaki has moved a chunk of his Bitcoin into businesses that pay him now. Reports have disclosed he sold roughly $2.25 million worth of Bitcoin, cashing out after years of saying he was bullish on the cryptocurrency.

He did not say he was exiting crypto; instead, he described the shift as turning paper gains into steady income.

Taking Profits For Cash Flow
According to his post on X, Kiyosaki said he first bought the coins when Bitcoin traded around $6,000. He sold the recent batch at about $90,000 per coin. He recently predicted that Bitcoin will hit a $250k price tag.

He told followers the proceeds will be used to buy two surgery centers and a billboard advertising business.

The ‘Rich Dad Poor Dad’ author says he expects those businesses to produce about $27,500/month in tax-free income by early next year. That income, he said, will be used to buy more crypto over time.

PRACTICING WHAT I TEACH:

I sold $2.25 million in Bitcoin for approximately $90,000.

I purchased the Bitcoin for $6,000

a coin years ago.

With the cash from Bitcoin I am purchasing two surgery centers and investing in a Bill Board business.

I estimate my $2.25 million…

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) November 21, 2025

Market Context And Timing
Bitcoin’s price has been volatile. The coin briefly fell into the low $80,000 range during the same period Kiyosaki made the sale public.

Traders have been watching big names for clues about sentiment. Kiyosaki’s move came as some investors were taking profits and others were buying dips.

His message was simple: turn gains into income now, then use that income to accumulate later.

Bitcoin is currently trading at $84,103. Chart: TradingView
Why This Matters To Investors
Reports have disclosed Kiyosaki still expects higher prices over the long run. He has made bullish targets in the past, and he has said he still believes in crypto’s upside.

Yet selling part of a holding while keeping the rest sends two signals at once: confidence in future gains and a preference for predictable cash flow today.

For some investors, that dual message will seem cautious. For others, it looks like smart money management.

Business Details And Tax Notes
Kiyosaki described the new purchases as income vehicles. The claim that the monthly return will be tax-free depends on how those businesses are structured and where they are held.

Tax rules vary by country and by the legal form of the business. That means the “tax-free” outcome he mentioned may not be the same for every buyer or investor.

A Measured Reaction
Some market watchers saw the move as a routine rebalancing. Others took it as a headline that could influence sentiment in the short run.

Whether a sale of this size by a public figure will change the price permanently is unclear. Prices are driven by many factors: macro data, regulatory signals, whale moves, and investor mood.

Kiyosaki did not abandon his bullish stance. He turned a part of his crypto gains into assets that, he says, will pay him regularly and help him buy more crypto later.

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

TLDR:

On -chain activity on major L1s drop as Solana’s active wallets fall from 32 million to 1.7 million.
BNB Chain retained 941,000 active wallets driven by Aster interest and brief meme activity.
Base activity eased to 437,000 wallets after recent growth slowed within current market conditions.
Ethereum and Polygon stayed steady at 86,000 and 252,000 wallets amid broader activity compression.

Solana’s on-chain activity has taken a sharp hit as daily active wallets slide far below last year’s peak. The latest figures show a steep drop from the chain’s September 2024 surge during the meme coin rush. 

Data shared by CryptoRank indicate that major Layer 1 networks are now experiencing broad slowdowns. The wider market appears to be entering a calmer on-chain phase as activity compresses across ecosystems.

On-Chain Activity Shows Broad Declines Across Major Networks
Solana’s collapse in active wallets marks one of the largest declines among top chains. 

Activity has fallen from nearly 32 million wallets during last year’s meme wave to about 1.7 million now, according to CryptoRank data. The shift underscores a sharp cooldown after months of heavy retail flow tied to meme trading.

Source: CryptoRank
BNB Chain has held up better than its peers in this environment. 

Current numbers show about 941,000 active wallets, supported by rising engagement around the Aster protocol and short-lived meme activity. This stability comes as most networks face slower user movement.

Base has shown a different path. 

Activity climbed earlier this year, but current conditions have slowed that growth. CryptoRank reports about 437,000 active wallets on the network, indicating a pullback after recent momentum.

Ethereum and Polygon continue to show steady patterns with less dramatic changes. 

Both networks sit close to levels recorded in past months, with Polygon at about 252,000 wallets and Ethereum near 86,000. Their stability suggests entrenched user bases even as broader activity cools.

Market Conditions Shape User Behavior Across Layer 1 Chains
The market environment appears to be driving uniform shifts across networks. 

Activity trends from CryptoRank show that user engagement has leveled off after several high-volume months. The slowdown aligns with reduced speculative trading across major ecosystems.

Solana’s drop reflects how quickly attention can move after a cycle peak.

Last year’s meme frenzy created a burst in daily wallets before fading as conditions normalized. The current numbers highlight a retracement toward pre-mania activity levels.

BNB Chain’s performance stands out in this landscape. 

Aster protocol enthusiasm and brief meme-driven movements have kept activity more stable. This has positioned BNB as one of the steadier networks during current market shifts.

Base now appears to be easing from its earlier growth streak. 

User activity gained momentum before slowing with the broader pullback. The latest readings from CryptoRank indicate cooling interest as conditions shift across chains.

Bitcoin traders turn optimistic as Fed rate cut odds jump to 69% in 24 hours. Analysts debate whether the December policy shift could spark a massive rally.

Newton Gitonga2 min read

22 November 2025, 09:47 AM

Bitcoin traders have adopted a more positive outlook following a sharp increase in expectations for a December interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve. The probability of a rate reduction nearly doubled in 24 hours, reaching 69.40% on Friday from just 39.10% the previous day, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Target Rate Probabilities, Source: CME FedWatch Tool

The digital asset is currently trading around $85,083, reflecting a decline of more than 12.14% over the past week, according to CoinMarketCap data. Market participants believe a potential policy shift could provide support for Bitcoin after weeks of downward pressure.

The surge in rate cut expectations stemmed from remarks by New York Federal Reserve President John Williams. He indicated the central bank could reduce rates "in the near term" without undermining inflation control efforts. Markets interpreted his statements as a dovish signal.

Bloomberg analyst Joe Weisenthal attributed the dramatic shift in odds primarily to Williams' comments. Social media discussions among cryptocurrency traders quickly turned optimistic. Crypto analyst Moritz questioned whether the increased probability would help Bitcoin establish a price floor.

Some market observers expressed strong bullish sentiment. Mister Crypto noted that such developments typically favor risk assets, though debate continues about the actual impact. Crypto commentator Jesse Eckel described the setup as extremely favorable, highlighting the economy's transition from monetary tightening to potential easing. Analyst Curb predicted that cryptocurrency markets could experience a significant rally.

Contrasting Views on Market ImplicationsNot all experts share the enthusiasm. Veteran economist Mohamed El-Erian cautioned against overreacting to a single speech. He warned traders might be extracting too much meaning from Williams' remarks.

Rate cuts generally drive investors toward assets like Bitcoin as traditional fixed-income yields decline. Several analysts argue that the macroeconomic environment now supports a potential reversal in cryptocurrency prices.

Coinbase Institutional released an analysis on Friday suggesting futures markets have underestimated the likelihood of a rate reduction. The firm stated: "We believe the odds for a rate cut are actually mispriced." Their assessment considered new tariff research, private-sector economic data, and real-time inflation monitoring.

According to Coinbase, traders initially anticipated a 25 basis point cut but revised expectations after inflation reports earlier this quarter raised concerns. The firm noted that tariff effects typically reduce inflation and increase unemployment in the short term. These factors create demand constraints that strengthen the argument for rate cuts.

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Bitcoin

TL;DR

Pendle’s Innovation: The protocol unlocks yield-bearing assets by separating principal and future yield, creating new opportunities in DeFi.
Price Predictions: Forecasts from 2026 to 2032 show ranges from modest gains near $2.46 to ambitious highs above $81.98.
Long-Term Outlook: Adoption, regulation, and market maturity could drive resilience, positioning Pendle as a strong player in the decentralized finance sector.

Pendle is a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol designed to unlock the full potential of yield-bearing assets. By allowing users to tokenize and trade future yield, Pendle introduces a new layer of flexibility to DeFi markets. This innovation enables investors to separate the principal value of an asset from its yield, creating opportunities for hedging, speculation, and more efficient capital management.

The Role of the PENDLE Token
At the heart of the ecosystem lies the native token, PENDLE, which powers governance and incentivizes participation. Holders of PENDLE can vote on protocol upgrades, liquidity incentives, and strategic decisions, ensuring a community-driven approach to growth. Additionally, the token plays a crucial role in liquidity provision, rewarding users who contribute to the protocol’s stability and expansion. Its dual utility, governance, and incentives positions PENDLE as a cornerstone of the platform’s long-term sustainability.

Looking Ahead
As decentralized finance continues to evolve, Pendle stands out for its unique approach to yield management. By bridging traditional financial concepts with blockchain innovation, it has carved a niche in the competitive DeFi landscape. With Pendle’s foundation and utility established, the next logical step is to examine how its native token could behave in the coming years.

Understanding the broader market context, adoption trends, and technological developments will provide a framework for evaluating potential scenarios. This sets the stage for a deeper exploration of Pendle’s price predictions between 2026 and 2032.

Pendle Market Outlook for 2026
According to projections highlighted by CoinCodex, the cryptocurrency is expected to trade within a relatively narrow range between $2.44 and $2.46 during 2026. This modest movement would represent a slight increase of 0.72% if the asset reaches the upper target of $2.46.

Other analyses point to a more dynamic scenario, where the coin could sustain its bullish trajectory if it manages to hold above the $5.00 support level. In this case, continuation patterns such as bull flags or pennants might emerge, paving the way for gradual advances toward $6.80.

Evaluating Pendle’s Potential in 2027

CoinDataFlow’s experimental forecasting model indicates that the cryptocurrency could see an increase of 21.95%, potentially reaching $3.00 in the best-case scenario. For the year, the projected trading range is between $1.14 and $3.00, suggesting both upward potential and the possibility of volatility.

An alternative, highly optimistic scenario envisions 2027 as a correction year, with temporary dips followed by recovery. In this case, the coin’s lowest price is projected at $6.57, with an average level around $8.70 and a peak reaching $10.82. Despite the anticipated fluctuations, maintaining an average near $8.70 would signal resilience and sustained investor confidence.

Pendle Token Performance Insights for 2028
According to data from DigitalCoinPrice, there is a strong possibility that the cryptocurrency could nearly double in value during 2028. Forecasts suggest an all-time high between $10.76 and $11.17, though reaching the upper target may prove challenging.

A more moderate outlook envisions the asset testing the $8.20 zone, aligning with measured channel extensions rather than a full breakout. In this scenario, growth in DeFi integrations and steady on-chain activity could help maintain an average near $6.40, with $4.80 serving as a critical support to preserve the broader uptrend.

Anticipated Market Trends Around Pendle in 2029

Insights from Changelly’s crypto experts suggest the asset could trade within a band stretching from $22.18 to $27.55 during 2029. The average level is projected near $23.00, pointing to a year of relative stability with potential for moderate appreciation. This scenario reflects confidence in the ecosystem.

Another projection outlines a different path, with values fluctuating between a low of $8.12 and a high close to $15.93. Under this view, the average price is expected to hover around $11.28, driven by steady cryptocurrency adoption and clearer regulatory frameworks. While less aggressive than Changelly’s forecast, this outlook emphasizes resilience and gradual progress.

Pendle Long-Term Value Considerations for 2030
Forecasts suggest that by 2030, the cryptocurrency could trade within a range between $5.51 and $11.04. If the upper target is achieved, this would represent a gain of approximately 366.21%, underscoring the potential for significant appreciation compared to earlier years.

Another perspective envisions the asset approaching a major valuation zone near $9.50, with market maturity and broader adoption helping sustain an average price around $7.60. In this scenario, support near $5.80 is expected to act as a long-term floor.

Pendle Ecosystem Growth and Price Context in 2031

Findings from the latest experimental forecasting model suggest the asset could experience a rise of 311.17%, potentially reaching $10.11 in the most optimistic scenario for 2031. Throughout the year, values are expected to fluctuate within a range between $4.13 and $10.11, reflecting both upside potential and the possibility of corrective phases.

A more aggressive technical analysis envisions the coin starting 2031 near $17.95 and maintaining that level by year’s end, with additional peaks projected around $16.58. This scenario underscores the significance of the 2025–2031 period as a transformative phase for growth, suggesting that broader adoption and structural developments could elevate the digital asset into higher valuation zones.

Pendle Future Scenarios and Market Position in 2032
Analysts project that by 2032, the asset could reach a maximum valuation of $81.98, while the lower boundary may fall near $67.38. The expected average trading level is around $69.86, suggesting a year defined by strong market positioning and higher valuations compared to prior cycles.

On the other hand, simulation-based models present a more conservative outlook, anticipating a rise of 600.18% with values ranging between $6.94 and $17.22 throughout the year. In this case, the highest potential price is capped at $17.22, pointing to a less aggressive trajectory but still highlighting significant upside relative to earlier benchmarks.

Conclusion
Pendle’s evolving role in DeFi highlights both its innovative yield management and the potential volatility of its asset. Price forecasts from 2026 to 2032 reveal diverse scenarios, ranging from modest gains to ambitious highs. Together, they underscore Pendle’s resilience, adaptability, and long-term relevance in the digital finance landscape.

The Price Predictions published in this article are based on estimates made by industry professionals; they are not investment recommendations, and it should be understood that these predictions may not occur as described.

The content of this article should only be taken as a guide, and you should always carry out your own analysis before making any investment.