Market Signal Briefing

In this week’s edition of the weekly recap, Coinbase prepares to introduce prediction markets and tokenized equities, a solo Bitcoin miner achieved another improbable block reward, and Tether’s CEO expressed interest in acquiring legendary Italian football club Juventus.

Summary

Coinbase plans to unveil prediction markets and tokenized equities on December 17.
A solo Bitcoin miner beat 1-in-30,000 odds to earn a $282,000 block reward.
Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino signaled interest in acquiring Italian football club Juventus.

Coinbase schedules dual product unveiling

The cryptocurrency exchange plans to launch prediction markets and tokenized equities on December 17 according to Bloomberg reporting citing sources familiar with the initiative.
While Coinbase has previously discussed entering these markets, the company has not formally announced the products ahead of next week’s anticipated showcase.

Solo miner claims $282,000 block reward

An individual Bitcoin (BTC) miner received 3.13 BTC valued at approximately $282,000 Thursday after successfully mining a block through CK Pool services.
The accomplishment occurred despite approximately 1-in-30,000 odds according to CK Pool’s administrator.

Tether considers Juventus acquisition

The stablecoin issuer announced interest in purchasing the famous Italian football club, with CEO Paolo Ardoino citing lifelong personal connection to the team.
Ardoino stated in official comments that “Juventus has always been part of my life” and credited the club with teaching him “commitment, resilience, and responsibility” through their handling of success and adversity.

Binance explores Pakistani asset tokenization

Binance signed a memorandum of understanding to explore tokenizing up to $2 billion in bonds, treasury bills, and commodity reserves in Pakistan.

UAE fuel retailer adopts stablecoin payments

ADNOC Distribution, the Emirates’ largest fuel and convenience retailer, will begin accepting AE Coin stablecoin across nearly 980 service stations in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt.

Poland resubmits cryptocurrency legislation

The government reintroduced cryptocurrency legislation following President Karol Nawrocki’s veto last week, with Prime Minister Donald Tusk urging approval to address national security concerns.
Officials cited threats linked to Russia and other former Soviet states as justification for the regulatory framework according to Rzeczpospolita reporting.

YouTube enables PYUSD creator payouts

The video platform implemented PayPal’s PYUSD stablecoin as a payout option for U.S. content creators according to PayPal crypto head May Zabaneh.
Zabaneh explained that “YouTube doesn’t have to touch crypto” due to PayPal’s infrastructure handling complexity, with the option introduced in Q3 2025 for American recipients only.

Do Kwon receives 15-year sentence

Terraform Labs founder was sentenced Thursday to 15 years in prison for his role in the $40 billion LUNA and Terra token collapse in 2022.
The Southern District of New York sentencing exceeded the punishment prosecutors had requested earlier in proceedings according to Inner City Press reporting.

Gemini enters prediction markets

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission granted a Designated Contract Market license to Gemini Titan.
This approval allows Gemini Space Station affiliate to compete in the quickly expanding regulated prediction markets sector.

PNC Bank launches Bitcoin trading service

The financial institution debuted Tuesday a service allowing eligible customers to trade Bitcoin through its banking platform using Coinbase’s infrastructure.

Circle obtains Abu Dhabi regulatory approval

The stablecoin issuer secured licensing from Abu Dhabi’s financial regulator and hired a regional veteran to lead Middle East and North Africa operations.
This regulatory achievement is Circle’s most direct expansion into a market positioning itself as a hub for regulated digital finance.

Strategy completes billion-dollar Bitcoin purchase

The treasury company revealed Monday its largest Bitcoin acquisition in over 100 days, spending $963 million on 10,624 BTC primarily funded through common stock issuance.
Total holdings reached approximately 660,600 Bitcoin.

Robinhood expands into Indonesian markets

The U.S. trading platform announced Sunday agreements to acquire Indonesian brokerage PT Buana Capital Sekuritas and digital asset trader PT Pedagang Aset Kripto.

XRP Price Today: Stuck Inside a Bearish Structure$XRP is currently trading around the $2.00 zone, a level that has repeatedly acted as both support and resistance over the past few months. While some analysts are aggressively calling for $3 XRP by the end of December, the technical picture on the daily chart suggests caution rather than excitement.

Looking at the chart, XRP remains firmly trapped inside a descending channel, defined by a series of lower highs and lower lows since the summer peak. Every attempt to break higher has been rejected at the upper trendline, confirming that sellers are still in control.

XRP Coin Analysis: Why the Chart Does Not Support a $3 XRP YetFrom a pure price action perspective, XRP would need to invalidate multiple bearish signals before a $3 move becomes realistic.

Key observations from the chart:XRP is respecting a clear downward channel, with price repeatedly failing at resistance.The $2.20–$2.30 zone has turned into a strong rejection area.The recent breakdown back toward $2.00 shows weak follow-through from buyers.

XRP/USD 1D chart - TradingView

Momentum indicators, including the Stochastic RSI, are sitting near oversold levels but without a strong bullish crossover yet.

Oversold conditions alone are not enough to trigger a sustained rally. Without volume expansion and a confirmed breakout, bounces are more likely to remain corrective rather than impulsive.

Debunking the $3 XRP Prediction by December 2025Several bullish analysts argue that XRP could reclaim $3 before year-end, often pointing to historical rallies or broader market optimism. However, those projections largely ignore the current market structure.

For XRP to reach $3:

Price must break above the descending channel.XRP needs a daily close above $2.40–$2.50, followed by acceptance.Momentum must flip bullish across multiple timeframes.None of these conditions are currently met.

As long as XRP remains below the channel resistance, any upside move is technically classified as a relief rally, not a trend reversal. Expecting a 50%+ move in a few weeks without a structural breakout is speculative at best.

XRP Price Prediction: Realistic Targets AheadBased on the current setup, here are the more realistic XRP scenarios:

Bullish ScenarioBreak and hold above $2.30Channel resistance reclaimedTarget zone: $2.55–$2.70Neutral ScenarioContinued range trading between $1.95 and $2.30Choppy price action into year-endBearish ScenarioLoss of $1.95 supportDownside extension toward $1.75–$1.80A move to $3 would only come into play after XRP reclaims higher resistance levels — not before.

Luisa Crawford
Dec 14, 2025 12:52

LDO price prediction shows potential 27-115% upside to $0.75-$1.27 range as oversold conditions and bullish MACD divergence signal recovery from current $0.59 levels.

LDO Price Prediction: Technical Recovery Points to $0.75-$1.27 Target Zone
LDO Price Prediction Summary
• LDO short-term target (1 week): $0.67 (+13.6%)
• Lido DAO medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.75-$1.27 range (+27% to +115%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.68 resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $0.55 lower Bollinger Band

Recent Lido DAO Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest LDO price prediction consensus from major analysts shows remarkable alignment around a recovery scenario. Blockchain.News leads with the most optimistic Lido DAO forecast, targeting $0.75-$1.27 in the medium term based on emerging bullish momentum indicators and oversold market conditions.

CoinCodex's technical models support this bullish outlook with a specific LDO price target of $0.669845, representing a 12.89% increase over five days. Meanwhile, CoinLore's shorter-term forecast sits at $0.6066, providing a more conservative baseline for the recovery trajectory.

The analyst consensus reveals medium confidence levels across all predictions, suggesting cautious optimism rather than aggressive speculation. This measured approach aligns with current market conditions where LDO trades 61.65% below its 52-week high of $1.54.

LDO Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Reversal
Current Lido DAO technical analysis reveals several compelling signals supporting the upside LDO price prediction. The MACD histogram shows a positive reading of 0.0062, indicating bullish momentum is building despite the recent -1.30% daily decline.

The RSI at 41.33 sits in neutral territory, providing room for upward movement without immediate overbought concerns. This positioning often precedes sustained rallies when combined with other bullish indicators.

LDO's position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.29 suggests the token is trading near oversold levels. Historical patterns show that when assets trade in the lower 30% of their Bollinger Band range, mean reversion often follows within 1-2 weeks.

Volume analysis shows $2.47 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, which remains sufficient to support a technical breakout above the immediate resistance at $0.68.

Lido DAO Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for LDO
The primary LDO price target in a bullish scenario points to $0.75 initially, representing a 27% gain from current levels. This target aligns with the 50-day moving average at $0.72, which often acts as a magnet during recovery phases.

Extended bullish momentum could drive LDO toward the $1.27 upper target, requiring a break above multiple resistance levels including the 20-day SMA at $0.62 and the critical $0.68 resistance. Success at these levels would confirm the bullish Lido DAO forecast and open the path to significant gains.

For this scenario to materialize, LDO needs sustained volume above $3 million daily and RSI momentum above 50 within the next week.

Bearish Risk for Lido DAO
The primary downside risk centers on the $0.55 support level, which coincides with both the lower Bollinger Band and the 52-week low zone. A decisive break below this level could trigger additional selling toward $0.50.

Risk factors include broader market weakness, reduced staking yields affecting Lido's fundamental value proposition, or failure to maintain volume above $2 million daily. The distance below key moving averages also suggests any bearish break could be swift and significant.

Should You Buy LDO Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Lido DAO technical analysis, a staged entry approach appears optimal. Initial positions could be established at current levels around $0.59, with additional purchases planned on any dip toward $0.57.

The stop-loss level should be placed below $0.54 to protect against a break of critical support. This provides a manageable 8-9% risk from current entry points while allowing room for normal market volatility.

Position sizing should remain conservative given the medium confidence levels in analyst predictions. Consider allocating no more than 2-3% of portfolio value to LDO positions until the breakout above $0.68 confirms the bullish thesis.

LDO Price Prediction Conclusion
The LDO price prediction for the next month shows strong potential for recovery toward the $0.75-$1.27 target zone, supported by oversold technical conditions and emerging bullish momentum signals. Confidence level remains medium due to broader market uncertainties and LDO's significant distance from previous highs.

Key indicators to monitor include RSI movement above 50, MACD line crossing above the signal line, and sustained volume above $3 million daily. These confirmations would validate the bullish Lido DAO forecast and support position building.

The timeline for this prediction centers on January 2026, with initial confirmation signals expected within the next 7-10 days. Should you buy or sell LDO? Current technical setup favors measured accumulation with proper risk management, positioning for the anticipated recovery while protecting against downside risks below $0.55 support.

Image source: Shutterstock

ldo price analysis
ldo price prediction

Darius Baruo
Dec 14, 2025 12:58

AAVE price prediction shows upside potential to $215-225 within 4-6 weeks as MACD histogram turns bullish and price holds above key $190 support level.

Aave's price action at $194.52 presents a compelling setup for the coming weeks, with multiple technical indicators aligning for a potential move toward $215-225. Despite trading 45.63% below its 52-week high of $357.78, the DeFi lending protocol token shows renewed bullish momentum that could drive significant gains in the near term.

AAVE Price Prediction Summary
• AAVE short-term target (1 week): $205-207 (+5.4% to +6.4%)
• Aave medium-term forecast (1 month): $215-225 range (+10.5% to +15.7%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $207.16 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $189.03 (20-day SMA and Bollinger Band middle)

Recent Aave Price Predictions from Analysts
The AAVE price prediction landscape shows remarkable convergence among analysts, with CoinLore setting a conservative $191.41 short-term target while Blockchain.News projects the most ambitious Aave forecast of $215-225 for the medium term. Investing.com's technical analysis supports a "Strong Buy" signal based on RSI at 68.355 and ADX at 64.64, though their analysis appears dated compared to current readings.

The consensus AAVE price target gravitates toward the $215-225 range for medium-term upside, which aligns with our technical analysis. However, the immediate challenge lies at the $207.16 resistance level, where previous rallies have stalled.

AAVE Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout
Current Aave technical analysis reveals a neutral-to-bullish setup with several positive momentum indicators. The MACD histogram at 1.9530 shows the strongest bullish divergence in recent weeks, while the RSI at 51.75 provides ample room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions.

The Bollinger Bands positioning at 0.6716 indicates AAVE is trading in the upper portion of its recent range, with the upper band at $205.04 serving as the first major resistance. Trading volume of $9.1 million on Binance spot provides adequate liquidity for the anticipated move, though sustained breakout would require volume expansion above $15 million daily.

Price action above the 20-day SMA at $189.03 and proximity to the 50-day SMA at $194.75 suggests consolidation is nearing completion. The 200-day SMA at $260.47 remains a distant target but represents the ultimate bullish objective for Q1 2025.

Aave Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for AAVE
The primary AAVE price prediction scenario targets $215-225 within 4-6 weeks, representing a 10.5% to 15.7% gain from current levels. This Aave forecast requires a decisive break above $207.16 immediate resistance, followed by sustained trading above $210.

Technical catalysts supporting this bullish view include the MACD histogram's positive momentum, Stochastic oscillators at 71.83/%K indicating continued upward pressure, and the Daily ATR of $13.94 suggesting sufficient volatility for the projected move. The $215 level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement from the recent decline, providing strong technical justification for this AAVE price target.

Bearish Risk for Aave
Downside risks emerge if AAVE fails to hold the $189.03 support level (20-day SMA). A breakdown below this critical support could trigger selling toward $185.90, followed by the more significant support at $176.71 (lower Bollinger Band vicinity).

The bear case would be confirmed by MACD histogram turning negative and RSI breaking below 45. In this scenario, the AAVE price prediction would shift to $162.29 (immediate support) and potentially $147.13 (strong support) over the next 2-3 weeks.

Should You Buy AAVE Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Aave technical analysis, the optimal entry strategy involves staged accumulation rather than a single large position. Initial positions can be established at current levels around $194-195, with additional buying on any dip toward $189-190.

Buy or sell AAVE decision favors accumulation with tight risk management. Place stop-losses below $185 to limit downside risk to approximately 5-6%. For more aggressive traders, breakout buying above $207.16 with confirmation volume offers a higher-probability setup targeting $215-220.

Position sizing should remain conservative at 2-3% of portfolio allocation given cryptocurrency volatility. Consider taking partial profits at $210-215 while holding core positions for the $225 target.

AAVE Price Prediction Conclusion
Our AAVE price prediction maintains a bullish outlook with medium confidence, targeting $215-225 within 4-6 weeks. The Aave forecast is supported by improving technical momentum, positive MACD histogram readings, and strategic support holding above $189.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include sustained trading above $200, MACD signal line crossover, and daily volume exceeding $12 million. Invalidation would occur on a decisive break below $185, shifting the near-term outlook to bearish.

The timeline for this prediction extends through mid-January 2025, with initial confirmation expected by year-end if AAVE can break and hold above $207.16 resistance. Risk-reward ratios favor the bullish scenario, making current levels attractive for accumulation with proper risk management.

Image source: Shutterstock

aave price analysis
aave price prediction

13h05 ▪
4
min read ▪ by
Ifeoluwa O.

Summarize this article with:

Bitcoin has fallen sharply from its early-October peak, prompting unease among traders and investors. This decline has fueled fears of a prolonged, multi-year downturn in the cryptocurrency market expected in 2026. Some analysts and market participants have speculated that the combination of a slowing rally and broader macroeconomic uncertainties could put pressure on digital assets. However, a new report from Grayscale Research counters this narrative, suggesting Bitcoin may reach new all-time highs next year, offering a more optimistic outlook for the market.

In brief

Grayscale Research suggests Bitcoin could reach new all-time highs based on a new market dynamic that differs from previous four-year cycles.
Similarly, Tom Lee of Fundstrat projects Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high by the end of January.

Rethinking the Four-Year Cycle
Grayscale’s research casts doubt on the widely held belief that Bitcoin strictly follows a four-year cycle linked to halving events, in which the supply of Bitcoin changes every four years. Historically, these cycles were associated with years of price gains followed by sharp corrections. Analysts at Grayscale argue that the current cycle is distinct. Unlike previous runs, Bitcoin has not experienced a steep, parabolic surge that typically signals overheating, suggesting a different market dynamic at play.

The firm also observes a significant shift in investment patterns. Traditional retail platforms are now being overtaken, with most new Bitcoin capital moving through corporate treasuries and exchange-traded products. This structural change, combined with supportive macroeconomic conditions such as potential interest rate cuts and bipartisan backing for cryptocurrency legislation in the U.S., is reinforcing positive sentiment. Grayscale emphasizes that while short-term fluctuations remain, the most substantial gains are likely to come from long-term holding rather than short-term trading strategies.

Although the outlook is uncertain, we believe the four-year cycle thesis will prove to be incorrect, and that Bitcoin’s price will potentially make new highs next year

Bitcoin’s Near-Term Trends
Tom Lee, CEO of Fundstrat, echoes this bullish view, projecting that Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high by the end of January. He points out that the recovery of equity markets and a potentially more dovish Federal Reserve could restore investor confidence, benefiting both Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. Lee notes that shifts in Fed policy and overall market sentiment act as key drivers, influencing the potential for further gains.

In the near term, analyst Ted Pillow highlights that Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI) is undergoing a reset. Following the October 10th crash, Bitcoin’s open interest rose sharply, but it has since fallen as market participants have been winding down their positions. Pillow explains that until OI fully stabilizes, BTC is unlikely to demonstrate a clear directional move, as heightened volatility on both sides continues to shape short-term market behavior.

Despite the recent price dip and market uncertainties, the combined perspectives of Grayscale, Tom Lee, and Ted Pillow suggest that Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains favorable. The market may experience short-term fluctuations, but underlying factors point to potential gains for those holding Bitcoin over the coming years.

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Ifeoluwa O.

Ifeoluwa specializes in Web3 writing and marketing, with over 5 years of experience creating insightful and strategic content. Beyond this, he trades crypto and is skilled at conducting technical, fundamental, and on-chain analyses.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

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Last updated: 

December 14, 2025

Macro analysts are cautioning that Bitcoin could decline toward $70,000 as the Bank of Japan prepares to implement a 25-basis-point rate increase on December 19.

Bitcoin analyst AndrewBTC emphasized that Japan holds the largest position in U.S. government debt, making a rate hike bearish for the Bitcoin price prediction outlook.

Historical Pattern: BOJ Hikes Trigger 20%+ BTC DropsIn a December 13 X post, the analyst examined the BTC chart and noted a consistent pattern: every Bank of Japan rate hike has preceded Bitcoin declines exceeding 20%.

The data reveals that Bitcoin dropped 23% following the March 2024 rate hike, then fell 26% after the July 2024 increase, and most recently declined 31% following the January 2025 adjustment.

🚨 BREAKING: JAPAN WILL CRASH $BTC

Bank of Japan is set to hike rates +25 bps on Dec 19. Japan = largest holder of US government debt 🇯🇵

📉 Look at the $BTC chart:

Every BoJ rate hike → Bitcoin dumps over 20%+👇

• March 2024 → -23%
• July 2024 → -26%
• January 2025 →… pic.twitter.com/grN3QRNUg4

— AndrewBTC (@cryptoctlt) December 13, 2025
With another rate decision scheduled for next Friday, the analyst believes volatility from the BOJ announcement could drive Bitcoin down to the $70,000 support level.

Historically, BOJ rate increases have strengthened the Japanese yen, elevating borrowing costs and making investments in higher-risk assets less attractive.

In conversation with Cryptonews, Ignacio Aguirre, CMO at Bitget, explained that a stronger yen “raises the risk of unwinding yen carry trades which is a move that can temporarily weigh on crypto valuations as leveraged positions reset across global markets.”

Bitcoin now faces mounting pressure as investors reduce leverage and scale back exposure amid growing risk-off sentiment.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Weekly Chart Shows Broken Bull StructureThe weekly Bitcoin chart reveals clear momentum deterioration following repeated failures to maintain support above the $100,000 psychological threshold, which has now converted back into solid resistance.

Price has broken down from the previous distribution zone near cycle highs and is trending lower, with bearish structure validated by consecutive lower peaks and steady descent toward the upper-$80,000 region.

Source: TradingViewThe RSI divergence indicator remains decisively bearish, currently positioned in the high-30s, displaying persistent weakness without any significant bullish divergence emerging.

If this momentum continues, the next major weekly support zone sits near $70,000, aligning with the prior range floor and representing the first area where substantial buying interest is likely to materialize.

A more severe correction toward the $53,000 zone cannot be dismissed if $70,000 fails to hold, potentially marking a cycle bottom.

MAXI Presale Opens Early Investment Access Before Bull Run ResumesIf Bitcoin successfully defends the $90,000 level and avoids crashing to the $70,000 lows, a 2026 bull run would remain intact, and early-stage projects like Maxi Doge ($MAXI) would benefit from the upcoming liquidity flowing into risk assets.

Maxi Doge has established an alpha channel where traders exchange insider tips, early trade ideas, and hidden opportunities to capitalize on the upcoming bull run.

The $MAXI presale has raised over $4.3 million and offers one of the most accessible entry points for everyday investors in this market cycle.

Participants who join now can still purchase at the current $0.00275 price before it increases and benefit from 72% annual staking rewards.

To buy early, visit the official Maxi Doge website and connect a crypto wallet like Best Wallet.

You can pay with existing crypto like USDT and ETH, or use a bank card to complete your purchase immediately.

Visit the Official Maxi Doge Website Here

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On Friday afternoon, the CFTC published Release 9146-25, a document with a long title and a simple message: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDC are getting a supervised trial run as collateral inside the US derivatives system.

It’s an experiment with guardrails, reporting, and plenty of fine print, but it represents a real shift in how the agency wants Americans to trade crypto: onshore, supervised, and with fewer hoops between the assets people hold and the markets where they hedge.

The move arrives alongside another milestone: the CFTC has cleared the path for spot crypto products to list on its registered exchanges for the first time.

Put the two together, and the direction becomes obvious. Instead of pushing crypto to the fringes of the financial system, the agency is now testing ways to plug it directly into the same pipes that run futures and swaps.

How collateral works (and why you should care)To understand why the pilot matters, you have to understand collateral in the simplest possible terms. Imagine a derivatives trade as two people making a bet in a room watched by a referee. Because the bet can go wrong fast (prices jump, someone misjudges a move), the referee insists that both people hand over something valuable upfront.

That something valuable is collateral. It’s there to make sure that if the market flips, the referee can settle the bet without chasing anyone down the hallway.

In the real world, that referee is a clearinghouse. The people making the bets are traders. And the one collecting collateral from customers is a futures commission merchant (FCM), a sort of high-security middleman that lives between traders and the clearinghouse.

Until now, FCMs have been encouraged to demand dollars or Treasuries for most trades because those assets behave predictably. Crypto never made the list because it was too volatile, had excessive custody complexity, and raised too many unanswered legal questions.

Release 9146-25 effectively changes that. It outlines how tokenized assets can be used as collateral, the controls firms need, and which digital assets qualify for the pilot. The list is intentionally short: Bitcoin, Ether, and one regulated stablecoin, USDC. It’s crypto getting a supervised backstage pass.

What’s actually in Release 9146-25?The document is split into two key pieces: a digital-assets pilot program and a no-action letter for FCMs.

The pilot program is the big headline. It provides exchanges and clearinghouses with a set of rules for how tokenized assets, including BTC, ETH, USDC, and tokenized Treasuries, may be used for margining and settlement.

Everyone involved must prove they can control the wallets, safeguard customer assets, value everything correctly, and keep proper books. It’s less “freewheeling innovation” and more “show us you can run this without breaking anything.”

The no-action letter is the practical counterpart. It authorizes FCMs to accept those same assets as customer collateral for a limited period, under strict conditions.

It also replaces old guidance that effectively told brokers to keep “virtual currencies” away from customer segregation entirely. That guidance made sense in 2020, but it makes less sense now, in a world where tokenization is moving into mainstream finance.

A few details matter for understanding how the pilot will work:

The first three months are restricted.
In the opening phase, FCMs can accept only BTC, ETH, and USDC as margin. That short list is deliberate, as the agency clearly wants a clean dataset before expanding the scope.Reporting is constant and granular.
FCMs must report weekly the exact amounts of crypto they hold for customers and where those assets sit. This gives the CFTC an early-warning system if something breaks.Everything must be segregated.
Crypto posted as margin must sit in properly segregated accounts, meaning customer assets are kept away from the company's assets and creditors. The wallets must be legally enforceable, accessible, and auditable.Haircuts will be conservative.
Because crypto fluctuates more than Treasuries, the value counted toward margin will be discounted. This is how regulators offset volatility without banning the asset outright.The pilot is temporary.
The CFTC hasn’t announced a firm end date, but pilots typically last one to two years. The agency will want enough time to observe stress events, smooth periods, sharp rallies, and dull weeks.During that period, the CFTC will gather data that the old advisory structure could never provide: how crypto collateral behaves in normal markets, how fast volatility eats into margins, how stablecoins behave when they back leveraged positions, and whether firms can actually manage wallet-level controls without stumbling.

Who joins first?Some firms are already positioned to move quickly. Crypto.com, which runs a CFTC-registered clearinghouse, told the agency it already supports crypto-based and tokenized collateral in other markets and can adapt those systems domestically.

Other likely candidates include LedgerX’s owner, the crypto-native trading firms that work with CME’s bitcoin futures, and any FCM that has already built wallet infrastructure for institutional clients.

Traditional brokers may take longer. They are cautious by design, and many have never managed on-chain customer assets before. But the reward is clear: new customers who want a regulated platform that can accept crypto directly, without forcing conversions into dollar cash piles.

Stablecoin issuers also have something at stake. USDC’s inclusion gives Circle a strong signal that the token’s regulatory architecture aligns with the requirements of the derivatives system. Tokenization companies that wrap Treasuries will read this as an invitation too, although they'll face steeper custody and legal scrutiny.

What changes for traders?The practical effects will show up in how traders fund positions.

Take a hedge fund running a Bitcoin basis trade. Today, it may hold BTC in one place and dollars at an FCM in another, constantly moving money back and forth to support futures margin. In the pilot system, it can keep more of that value in BTC and post it directly as margin.

That reduces friction and cuts the number of conversions needed to keep the trade running.

Or consider a miner hedging next quarter’s production. Instead of selling BTC for dollars just to meet margin calls, it can use current holdings to back a listed contract. That keeps more activity onshore and reduces the need for offshore leverage.

Retail users won't feel the change immediately. Most retail platforms sit on top of FCMs, and few will rush to accept volatile collateral from small accounts. But once large brokers adopt the system, and once the CFTC gathers enough data to expand the pilot, retail interfaces could start offering “use your BTC balance as margin” toggles.

The bigger pictureFor years, offshore platforms attracted Americans with a simple promise: bring your crypto, use it as collateral, and trade around the clock. US venues couldn't match that experience under existing rules, and liquidity flowed to places regulators couldn’t or wouldn't see.

The CFTC isn’t trying to recreate offshore markets onshore. It's taking a methodical approach and testing whether crypto collateral can sit inside the US system without compromising customer protection, clearinghouse stability, or market integrity.

If the experiment works, the agency gets a playbook for permanent integration. If it goes poorly, it has the reporting and supervisory levers to shut the door just as quickly.

Release 9146-25 acknowledges that the market already uses these assets for leverage and hedging, and that ignoring that reality only pushes risk into darker corners. The pilot brings that activity into view, lets the CFTC measure it, and offers firms a supervised path to modernize their collateral operations.

If the next year produces clean data and no crises, US traders may finally get something they’ve asked for since the first regulated bitcoin future launched: the ability to trade onshore without leaving their assets behind.

Mentioned in this article

Bitcoin price continues to move sideways after a quiet weekend, showing little momentum in either direction. Saturday saw very low activity, and early Sunday trading has not brought any major change.

For now, Bitcoin has slipped below the important $90k level after dropping more than 1% in the last 24 hours.

Support and Resistance LevelsBitcoin is currently supported between $78,960 and $83,130, a zone that has held during recent pullbacks. On the upside, resistance remains between $92,588 and $101,570, which marks the upper boundary of the current range.

This range is based on the recent swing low formed on Friday, November 21, and the high reached earlier this week. Price action remains trapped between these levels, suggesting consolidation rather than a breakout.

Sideways Movement May Continue Into JanuaryMarket conditions hint Bitcoin may remain range-bound through the end of December and possibly into early January. Trading activity often slows during the final days of the year, and the first week of January is usually quiet as well.

While some investors are hoping for a year-end rally, current price action does not yet show the strength needed for a sustained breakout. Any move higher is expected to take time rather than happen suddenly.

Upside Still Possible, But Momentum Is WeakBitcoin could still attempt another push toward higher resistance levels between $96,730 and $101,570, but such a move may take one to two weeks to develop.

At the moment, there is no strong momentum signal or sharp buying pressure. The market lacks the kind of decisive move that usually leads to a clear trend change.

Downside Risk Still Exists for Early 2026If Bitcoin fails to break higher in the coming weeks, a deeper pullback early next year remains possible. Current price declines have been gradual and corrective rather than aggressive, which keeps the market in a holding pattern.

A move below $86,000 would increase the chance that the current consolidation phase has already ended. However, even that would still fall within a broader sideways structure rather than signal panic selling.

Short-Term Levels to Watch CloselyIn the near term, Bitcoin continues to respect a trend line that has acted as support multiple times. 

On the upside, a clear break above $93,550 would mean that buyers are regaining control and that a fresh move higher may be starting.

Overall, Bitcoin’s current behavior reflects a calm and patient market. Instead of sharp spikes, price action is showing controlled movement within defined levels.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

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The legal noose is tightening around Rodney Burton, the high-profile crypto promoter better known online as “Bitcoin Rodney.” U.S. federal prosecutors have dramatically expanded the charges against him, turning what was once a narrow case into a sweeping indictment tied to one of the largest alleged crypto frauds in recent years. If convicted, Rodeny Burton could spend decades behind bars.

At the center of the case is HyperFund, a $1.8 billion cryptocurrency scheme that prosecutors say operated for nearly four years while falsely promising guaranteed returns to investors around the world.

A Superseding Indictment Raises the StakesAccording to a superseding indictment announced by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Maryland, Bitcoin Rodney now faces 11 federal charges. These include conspiracy to commit wire fraud, two counts of wire fraud, seven counts of money laundering, and operating an unlicensed money transmitting business.

The potential penalties are severe. Each wire fraud charge carries a maximum sentence of 20 years in prison, while each money laundering count can add up to 10 years. The unlicensed money transmission charge brings an additional five-year maximum. Collectively, the exposure marks a dramatic escalation from Burton’s original January 2024 charges, which were limited to two counts related to money transmission.

From Airport Arrest to Detention Without BailRodney Burton was arrested in January 2024 at Miami International Airport while attempting to board a one-way flight to the United Arab Emirates. Federal prosecutors successfully argued that he posed an extreme flight risk, leading a judge to deny bail. He has remained in custody since.

The timing of the arrest, combined with the international nature of the HyperFund operation, has become a central theme in the government’s case as prosecutors argue Bitcoin Rodney was deeply aware of the scheme’s instability and legal exposure.

How HyperFund Allegedly WorkedCourt documents allege that Rodney Burton and his co-conspirators promoted HyperFund, also known as HyperVerse, from June 2020 through May 2024. The platform was marketed as a sophisticated crypto investment opportunity offering daily returns ranging from 0.5 percent to 1 percent until investor funds doubled or even tripled.

Prosecutors say those returns were claimed to come from large-scale cryptocurrency mining operations that never existed. Instead, the scheme allegedly relied on new investor funds to pay earlier participants, a structure that began to unravel in 2021 when HyperFund started blocking withdrawals.

As the platform collapsed, the indictment claims Burton used investor funds to finance an extravagant lifestyle, including luxury condominiums, high-end sports cars, and a yacht.

Celebrity Access and Crypto CredibilityRodeny Burton’s rise in the crypto world was fueled by visibility and access. He hosted a major crypto event in Miami in 2021 featuring Shark Tank investor Daymond John and singer Akon. He also appeared on social media alongside celebrities such as Jamie Foxx and Rick Ross, reinforcing his public image as a successful and connected crypto entrepreneur.

Prosecutors argue that this visibility helped legitimize HyperFund in the eyes of investors, many of whom trusted the platform because of Bitcoin Rodney perceived status and influence.

A Complicated Defense and Finger-PointingIn recent court filings, Rodeny Burton has claimed that he believed HyperFund was a legitimate business. He alleges that co-founder and Australian entrepreneur Xue Lee, also known as Sam Lee, orchestrated an elaborate deception that misled not only investors but Rodney Burton himself.

That defense comes as other figures in the case face diverging outcomes. Brenda “Bitcoin Beautee” Chunga, a prominent HyperFund promoter, has already pleaded guilty. Sam Lee, meanwhile, remains at large despite being charged by U.S. authorities and the SEC with fraud and unregistered securities offerings.

What Comes NextBitcoin Rodney trial is scheduled for March next year, setting the stage for what could become one of the most closely watched crypto fraud cases in U.S. courts. With co-defendants pleading guilty, others still on the run, and billions in alleged investor losses, the HyperFund case continues to underscore how aggressively regulators are now pursuing large-scale crypto schemes.

What this really means is simple: the era of crypto promoters operating in legal gray zones is rapidly closing. And for “Bitcoin Rodney,” the consequences could be life-altering.

XRP price has struggled to move higher even as XRP exchange traded funds continue to see strong interest. This has confused many investors, especially with growing headlines around institutional demand and ETF inflows.

On Paul Barron Podcast, analyst Zach Rector said the lack of price movement is frustrating but not surprising. According to him, the market is going through a “sell-the-news” phase that often follows major ETF launches.

Why ETF Inflows Have Not Boosted XRP Price YetRector explained that ETF demand has not directly pushed XRP’s public market price higher because most ETF purchases are happening over the counter, not on public exchanges.

“In November, about $803 million flowed into XRP ETFs,” Rector said. “At the same time, around $808 million worth of XRP was sold on centralized exchanges.”

Because XRP’s market price is set on public exchanges, selling pressure there has canceled out the ETF demand happening privately.

Exchange Outflows Offset ETF BuyingRector said nearly $808 million left centralized exchanges in November as investors sold XRP for dollars or stablecoins. This selling pressure kept prices down even as ETF interest increased.

“When ETF inflows move onto exchanges, that’s when things change,” he said. “That’s when buying becomes aggressive.”

Market Cap Data Shows Strong Upside PotentialRector pointed to past market data to explain why XRP can still move quickly when sentiment turns positive.

In November 2024, XRP’s market cap expanded by nearly $100 billion in one month due to strong inflows. In contrast, November 2025 saw a $41 billion drop in market cap due to exchange outflows.

“This shows how fast XRP can move when buyers step in,” Rector said.

Analyst Says $1 XRP Is Highly UnlikelyWhen asked directly whether XRP could ever fall back to $1, Rector was clear.

“Not a chance,” he said. “It would take a massive black swan event.”

He added that the market now has deep liquidity, strong passive buying, and many long-term holders waiting to buy on dips.

Strong Buying Interest Below $2Rector said large buy orders are already stacked near current support levels.

“I have a buy order at $1.91,” he said. “If we break $1.90, we could retest $1.80, but below that is very hard.”

He pointed out that XRP has been setting higher lows all year, with key levels around $1.60 in April, $1.77 in October, and $1.81 in November.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

Sponsored and Advertisements:Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.

Berkshire is one of the largest conglomerates in the world.

Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) (NYSE: BRK.B), one of the world's largest conglomerates, has made beating the broader stock market a habit, generating market-crushing returns for six decades.

However, this year, Berkshire faced a new challenge: preparing for a significant transition. Warren Buffett, the legendary leader of Berkshire, announced that he would step down as chief executive officer at the end of 2025. Buffett will remain as chairman of the company's board, while Berkshire veteran Greg Abel will become the new CEO.

Berkshire's shareholders have never seen a Berkshire Hathaway without Buffett at the helm. Uncharted territory lies ahead. Is Berkshire Hathaway stock a buy now?

Image source: Getty Images.

Changing tides, same business
Not only is Buffett stepping down, other changes are taking place within management. Berkshire's longtime chief financial officer, Marc Hamburg, will retire in 2027 after being at the company for four decades. Hamburg is believed to be one of the more underappreciated leaders at Berkshire. Todd Combs is also leaving the company. Combs was CEO of GEICO, and he also helped manage 10% of Berkshire's massive $312 billion equities portfolio. We also can't forget that Berkshire's vice chair, Charlie Munger, one of Buffett's closest confidants, passed away in 2023.

Make no mistake, the Berkshire that people knew is now gone, and like it or not, Abel is going to have an intense spotlight on him as he tries to fill arguably the biggest shoes in the financial world.

But amid all the changes, Berkshire's business remains the same, and Buffett is leaving it in a very strong position. In 2024, Berkshire generated nearly $89 billion in net earnings. However, shareholders should note that a significant portion of this amount stems from unrealized investment gains in Berkshire's large equities portfolio, which can fluctuate substantially from year to year due to market changes.

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Still, in 2024, Berkshire's insurance businesses generated more than $22 billion of earnings. Berkshire also operates many diverse business lines, including Berkshire Hathaway Energy, the Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railroad, and other large companies in the manufacturing, service, and retail sectors. Berkshire's huge equities portfolio owns a wide variety of well-established companies in different industries.

Finally, at the end of the third quarter, Berkshire's cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments in U.S. Treasury bills totaled more than $377 billion, creating a fortress balance sheet and large buffer of safety. Berkshire now owns more than 5% of all U.S. Treasury bills.

A great business that will never be the same without Buffett
It's true that Berkshire Hathaway will never be the same without Buffett as CEO, and I'm sure Abel would acknowledge that and also say he has no intention of trying to replicate the investment syle of the Oracle of Omaha.

Still, Berkshire is a very unique business that is unlikely to ever be rivaled. The company provides investors with a safety because it's a large company with several strong businesses in diverse sectors. It has an impregnable balance sheet that isn't heavily reliant on artificial intelligence. Berkshire also owns numerous energy assets and stocks, which typically prove to be a unique form of diversification in the long term.

Over time, Abel and the rest of the management team, who are all more than capable, will be able to build even more credibility. Currently, Berkshire's stock trades at nearly 185% of Berkshire's tangible book value, or net worth. Tangible book value is essentially tangible common equity, which is a company's shareholder equity minus intangible assets and goodwill. It's a common metric that investors use to value bank and insurance stocks.

Berkshire's 10-year average price to tangible book value is 196%, so I think investors can buy the stock now, given the durability of a business that should continue to deploy capital prudently and earn good returns for shareholders.

Several dozen people protested on Sunday in the Siberian city of Tomsk against Russia's ban on U.S. children's gaming platform Roblox , a rare show of public dissent as popular irritation over the ban gains some momentum.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in EFC.PR.A over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

The author is not an investment advisor and offers no advice here, He shares his own analysis solely for the interest of readers.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

RTX could earn $350 million on this arms sale, but how long will it take to book the profit?

A new Cold War has begun in Europe, which has implications not just for historians, soldiers, and geopoliticians, but also for investors in the defense industry. The Russian bear is growling, and Germany is rearming -- buying $3.5 billion worth of missiles for missile defense from defense contractor RTX (RTX +0.70%).

Last month, the Defense Security Cooperation Agency -- or DSCA, the U.S. Department of Defense division responsible for coordinating foreign arms sales -- notified Congress of a German request to purchase:

173 Standard Missile 6 (SM-6) Block I missiles.
Up to 577 Standard Missile 2 Block IIIC missiles.
Multiple MK 21 and MK 13 Vertical Launch Systems for same.

RTX has been named principal contractor on the sale, meaning that -- assuming Congress approves the sale (and Congress has never not approved a sale notified to it by DSCA) -- the entirety of the $3.5 billion price tag on these missiles will go to RTX.

Image source: RTX.

Why does Germany want missiles from RTX?
Despite the "Standard" name, the missiles in question are anything but ordinary. Raytheon, which is now the name of RTX's defense division, calls the SM-6 "three missiles in one ... the only weapon that can perform anti-air warfare, anti-surface warfare, and ballistic missile defense or sea-based terminal missions." It's designed primarily for use aboard U.S. Navy warships, and that's how Germany plans to utilize it as well, defending German Navy F127-class frigates in the North Sea.

The SM-2 is similar. Raytheon calls it "the world's premier surface-to-air defense weapon," with over 12,000 SM-2 units sold worldwide. SM-2 is used for defense against both anti-ship missiles and aircraft, and "a primary weapon for the U.S. Navy." It saw heavy use in the Red Sea area in early 2024, defending commercial shipping from Houthi drones and anti-ship missiles.

In both cases, DSCA assures Congress that "Germany will have no difficulty absorbing these missiles into its armed forces."

(Germany does not appear to have ordered any of Raytheon's SM-3 missiles, which are specifically designed for exoatmospheric ballistic missile defense).

How profitable is this for RTX?
You may think this is just another arms sale for RTX, but the numbers tell a different story: RTX has sold 12,000 SM-2 missiles globally. Germany wants to buy nearly 600 of them at one go. Meaning that, in just one sale, RTX is about to grow the number of SM-2 missiles sold -- ever -- to just one single customer.

And how profitable will these sales be?

According to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, RTX's Raytheon division, which makes all variants of the Standard missile, generated $26.7 billion in revenue last year and earned an operating profit of $2.6 billion on those sales. That's very close to a 10% operating profit margin.

Therefore, $3.5 billion in missile sales to Germany should yield operating profit of about $350 million for RTX, or about $0.26 per share. It should generate that much profit, except for one thing: Publicly available data indicate that the average cost of an SM-2 missile is slightly over $2 million, while each SM-6 costs between $4 million and $5 million. Tallying up the total number of missiles being sold suggests the cost to a U.S. buyer of the 750 missiles involved in this sale would be roughly $2 billion -- but Germany will pay nearly twice that.

Conclusion: This sale will probably be more than ordinarily profitable for RTX, and RTX's profit margins will move higher.

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Is RTX stock a buy?
Will this be enough to move the needle for RTX stock? Possibly, but not necessarily. Even if operating profit margin on this international sale does in fact turn out to be substantially (say, 75%) higher than what RTX would earn for a sale to the U.S. military, we're still probably talking no more than $0.45 per share in extra pre-tax profit -- and it's unlikely all this profit will land within a single fiscal year, much less a single quarter. Most likely, it will be spread out over several years of missile deliveries -- perhaps as much as a decade.

For a defense contractor as big as RTX, earning $6.6 billion in annual net profit ($4.87 per share), this would still be a noticeable boost to earnings. But it's probably not going to be -- in and of itself -- enough to turn RTX stock from a "hold" into a "buy."

Priced at 35 times earnings, but paying only a miserly 1.6% dividend yield and expected by most analysts to grow earnings no faster than 10% annually over the next five years, I cannot yet recommend buying RTX stock.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Although Oracle’s (NYSE: ORCL) stock price plunged on Friday in reaction to the company’s financials, a section of Wall Street remains confident the equity is likely to rally over the next 12 months.

As of press time, ORCL shares traded at $189.97, down more than 4% at the close of the Friday session. Meanwhile, year-to-date, the stock is up nearly 15%.

ORCL one-week stock price chart. Source: Finbold
Notably, Oracle shares fell after the company reported second-quarter earnings that beat expectations but issued weaker-than-forecast guidance and flagged sharply higher spending on artificial-intelligence infrastructure.

Adjusted earnings came in at $2.26 per share, well above Wall Street estimates, driven largely by a $2.7 billion sale of its Ampere stake. Revenue rose 14% year over year to $16.06 billion but missed forecasts.

The correction emerged as investors focused on rising costs, after Oracle lifted its full-year capital expenditure outlook to $50 billion, largely to build out AI-optimized data centers and cloud infrastructure. 

Wall Street bullish on ORCL stock 
On Wall Street, 35 analysts tracked by TipRanks have assigned a ‘Moderate Buy’ rating to the technology stock. Of these, 23 recommend ‘Buy’, 11 suggest ‘Hold’, and one advises ‘Sell’. 

The average 12-month price target stands at $298.43, representing a potential upside of 57.09% from ORCL’s last closing price. The highest forecast reaches $400, while the lowest sits at $172.

ORCL 12-month stock price prediction. Source: TipRanks
Among them, Mizuho’s Siti Panigrahi on December 11 reiterated an ‘Outperform’ rating and a $400 price target on Oracle following the company’s mixed fiscal second-quarter results. The firm argued that near-term concerns around a modest revenue miss and rising AI-related spending do not undermine Oracle’s long-term growth outlook. Mizuho acknowledged weakness in the license business but noted cloud results were broadly in line, with revenue up 9.67% over the past year to $59.02 billion. The firm also highlighted management’s efforts to address financing concerns through “bring your own chip” and GPU rental models that limit upfront capital needs.

On the same date, Scotiabank’s Patrick Colville cut his price target on Oracle to $260 from $360 while maintaining a ‘Sector Outperform’ rating. The bank flagged Oracle’s decision to reaffirm, rather than raise, its fiscal 2026 OCI outlook. It noted that near-term earnings growth appears limited, with next-quarter profit guidance only in line with Street expectations. Scotiabank said the pullback does not alter its long-term view, pointing to Oracle’s scale, double-digit revenue growth, and strategic advantages in GPU-as-a-service, access to leading-edge silicon, and capital-raising capacity.

Featured image via Shutterstock

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of GPIQ, NFLX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

SWIFT Announces Blockchain Ledger: Is This the XRP Ledger in Disguise?In a move poised to reshape cross-border payments, SWIFT , the global interbank messaging network, has confirmed it is building a blockchain-based ledger. 

Notably, this announcement has sparked speculation across the financial and crypto communities: Could this new ledger resemble the XRP Ledger (XRPL), renowned for fast, low-cost international transactions?

SWIFT is modernizing cross-border payments with a blockchain-based ledger. Traditionally slowed by multiple intermediaries, international transactions can take days to settle. SWIFT’s shared, real-time ledger lets authorized institutions view every payment simultaneously, cutting delays, reconciliation errors, and operational friction.

SWIFT hasn’t confirmed whether it will use the XRP Ledger or Ripple technology, but the parallels are clear. Both aim for fast, low-cost, real-time settlements between financial institutions. 

Therefore, SWIFT’s blockchain ledger could transform international banking. By enabling “always-on” payments, it offers near-instant access to funds, improved liquidity management, and reduced reliance on intermediaries—potentially lowering transaction costs.

For financial institutions, the shared ledger provides real-time transaction visibility, enhancing risk management, efficiency, and settlement speed. For corporates and consumers, it promises faster cross-border payments, a smoother experience, and greater predictability.

Though details on its architecture, blockchain protocol, and interoperability with networks like the XRP Ledger remain unclear, SWIFT’s foray into blockchain marks a turning point for global payments. 

The industry will keenly watch whether Swift’s ledger merely mirrors existing networks or pioneers new capabilities that could transform cross-border finance.

Well, SWIFT’s blockchain initiative highlights a pivotal shift whereby leading financial institutions now see distributed ledger technology not as a fintech experiment, but as the future backbone of global payments.

ConclusionSWIFT’s launch of a blockchain-based ledger signals a major shift in cross-border payments. By enabling real-time, secure, and transparent transaction tracking, it promises faster settlements, lower costs, and greater operational efficiency for banks worldwide. 

While it’s unclear if the ledger will leverage the XRP Ledger, SWIFT’s move underscores that distributed ledger technology is moving from theory to a core driver of global finance, potentially making instant, always-on payments the new standard.

James Ding
Dec 14, 2025 10:43

Bitcoin Cash shows bullish momentum with MACD divergence and RSI at 55.94. BCH price prediction targets $650 short-term with potential upside to $800-$1,000 range.

Bitcoin Cash has entered a critical phase as technical indicators align for a potential breakout above the $607.40 resistance level. With the current price at $579.60 and bullish momentum building, our Bitcoin Cash forecast suggests significant upside potential in the coming weeks.

BCH Price Prediction Summary
• BCH short-term target (2 weeks): $650 (+12.1%)
• Bitcoin Cash medium-term forecast (1 month): $575-$825 range

• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $607.40
• Critical support if bearish: $508.80

Recent Bitcoin Cash Price Predictions from Analysts
Multiple analysts have converged on similar BCH price prediction targets, with Blockchain.News and MEXC News both projecting $625 short-term targets based on MACD bullish signals. CoinLore's more conservative $576.33 forecast reflects the current consolidation phase, while InvestingHaven's ambitious $800-$1,000 medium-term projection highlights the potential for explosive growth if Bitcoin Cash breaks above the $600 zone.

The consensus among analysts shows cautious optimism, with most agreeing that the critical $607.40 resistance level represents the gateway to higher targets. This alignment in Bitcoin Cash technical analysis across multiple sources strengthens the conviction for our bullish BCH price prediction.

BCH Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Breakout
The technical landscape for Bitcoin Cash presents compelling evidence for upward momentum. The RSI at 55.94 sits in neutral territory, providing ample room for price appreciation without entering overbought conditions. More significantly, the MACD histogram reading of 0.0098 indicates building bullish momentum, with the MACD line (15.1591) slightly above the signal line (15.1493).

Bitcoin Cash's position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.6834 suggests the price is approaching the upper band at $609.77, which closely aligns with the critical resistance at $607.40. This convergence creates a powerful technical setup where a breakout above these levels could trigger accelerated buying pressure.

The moving average structure supports this bullish Bitcoin Cash forecast, with price trading above all major EMAs and SMAs. The EMA 12 at $573.24 and SMA 20 at $562.13 provide immediate support levels, while the ascending nature of these averages confirms the underlying uptrend remains intact.

Bitcoin Cash Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for BCH
Our primary BCH price target of $650 represents a logical extension above the $607.40 resistance, measuring approximately 7% from the breakout level. This target aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from recent swing lows and coincides with previous resistance levels that could act as initial profit-taking zones.

Beyond $650, the next significant BCH price target sits at $750-$800, where Bitcoin Cash would encounter the upper boundary of a larger consolidation pattern. Should momentum persist, InvestingHaven's $1,000 projection becomes achievable, particularly if broader cryptocurrency markets maintain their bullish trajectory.

For this bullish Bitcoin Cash forecast to materialize, we need sustained volume above 20 million daily and RSI breaking above 65 while maintaining momentum. The daily ATR of $31.09 suggests sufficient volatility to achieve these targets within our projected timeframes.

Bearish Risk for Bitcoin Cash
Despite the optimistic BCH price prediction, downside risks remain substantial. A failure to break $607.40 resistance could trigger profit-taking, potentially driving Bitcoin Cash back toward the $508.80 support level. This represents a 12.2% decline from current levels and would invalidate our bullish thesis.

More concerning would be a break below the $508.80 support, which could accelerate selling pressure toward the stronger support at $446.90. Such a scenario would likely coincide with broader cryptocurrency market weakness and would require a fundamental reassessment of our Bitcoin Cash technical analysis.

Should You Buy BCH Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our Bitcoin Cash forecast, the optimal entry strategy involves scaled purchases rather than a single large position. Consider initiating positions between $575-$585, with additional purchases on any dips toward the $562 SMA 20 support.

For aggressive traders seeking to capitalize on the breakout, entries above $610 with confirmation of volume expansion present higher probability setups. However, this approach requires strict stop-loss management below $590 to limit downside exposure.

Conservative investors should wait for a successful retest of the $607.40 level as support before entering positions. This approach sacrifices some upside potential but significantly improves the risk-reward profile for the trade.

BCH Price Prediction Conclusion
Our Bitcoin Cash forecast maintains a bullish outlook with high confidence for reaching $650 within two weeks, contingent on breaking the $607.40 resistance level. The convergence of technical indicators, including bullish MACD momentum and favorable positioning within Bollinger Bands, supports this BCH price prediction.

The medium-term potential for $800-$1,000 targets adds substantial upside appeal, though traders should monitor the RSI for overbought conditions above 70 and watch for volume confirmation on any breakouts. Should you buy or sell BCH? The technical evidence favors accumulation on current levels and any weakness toward $575 support.

Key levels to monitor include the immediate resistance at $607.40 for bullish confirmation and support at $508.80 for bearish invalidation. Our Bitcoin Cash technical analysis suggests the next two weeks will be crucial for determining BCH's intermediate-term direction.

Image source: Shutterstock

bch price analysis
bch price prediction

Felix Pinkston
Dec 14, 2025 10:55

Litecoin shows early bullish momentum with MACD histogram turning positive. LTC price prediction targets $95-$107 range if $82 support holds through December 2025.

Litecoin has been consolidating near critical support levels, but emerging technical signals suggest a potential breakout ahead. Our comprehensive LTC price prediction analysis indicates bullish momentum building beneath the surface, despite the recent 1.62% decline to $80.56.

LTC Price Prediction Summary
• LTC short-term target (1 week): $87-$89 (+8-10%)
• Litecoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $95-$107 range (+18-33%)

• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $87.80 resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $82 major support zone

Recent Litecoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The analyst community shows remarkable alignment on Litecoin's near-term prospects. MEXC News projects the most aggressive LTC price target of $107 by month-end, citing RSI neutrality at 47.84 as a setup for the next major move. This aligns closely with Blockchain.News' $95-$107 range prediction, which emphasizes the critical importance of the $82 support level.

More conservative forecasts from Hexn.io suggest a modest $81.08 target, while CoinCodex anticipates $99.44 by December 21st. The consensus among analysts points to a Litecoin forecast ranging between $95-$107, representing 18-33% upside potential from current levels.

What's particularly noteworthy is the unanimous agreement on $82 as the make-or-break level for bulls. This convergence of analyst opinion around key technical levels strengthens the reliability of the prediction framework.

LTC Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout
The Litecoin technical analysis reveals a market in transition, with several indicators pointing toward emerging bullish momentum. The MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.3182, marking the first bullish signal in weeks despite the overall MACD remaining negative at -2.3007.

Currently trading at $80.56, Litecoin sits just below the critical $82 support zone that analysts have identified as the fulcrum for future price action. The RSI at 41.47 provides ample room for upward movement without entering overbought territory.

Bollinger Bands analysis shows LTC positioned at 0.2142, indicating the price is in the lower portion of the recent trading range with room to move toward the upper band at $87.74. The Average True Range of $4.53 suggests moderate volatility, providing sufficient movement for meaningful price targets.

Volume analysis from Binance spot market shows $11.64 million in 24-hour trading, which remains below the levels needed for a sustained breakout but adequate for testing immediate resistance levels.

Litecoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for LTC
The primary bullish scenario for our LTC price prediction centers on breaking above $82 support-turned-resistance. Once cleared, the immediate target becomes $87.80, representing the next significant resistance level and upper Bollinger Band.

A successful break above $87.80 opens the path to $95, where the SMA 50 currently resides. This level represents the first major LTC price target in the bullish sequence. Beyond $95, the next significant resistance appears at $107, which aligns with the most optimistic analyst predictions.

The technical setup requires maintaining momentum above $82 while RSI climbs toward 50-55 range. MACD histogram needs to continue expanding positively, eventually pulling the main MACD line above zero for confirmation.

Bearish Risk for Litecoin
The bearish scenario activates if Litecoin fails to reclaim $82 support convincingly. A break below this level would target $74.66, representing both immediate and strong support according to our technical levels.

Further downside could extend to the Bollinger Band lower boundary at $78.60, though this level should provide temporary support. The most bearish outcome would see LTC testing the 52-week low area near $69.15.

Key warning signs include RSI breaking below 40, MACD histogram turning negative again, and volume increasing on downward moves.

Should You Buy LTC Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Litecoin technical analysis, the optimal entry strategy involves staged accumulation rather than aggressive positioning. Consider initial entries between $80.50-$81.50, with additional purchases on any dips toward $79.

For those asking "buy or sell LTC," the technical evidence suggests selective buying with strict risk management. Place stop-losses below $78 to limit downside exposure while targeting initial profits at $87-$89 levels.

Position sizing should remain conservative given the proximity to critical support levels. Risk no more than 2-3% of portfolio value on initial positions, with plans to add on confirmed breakouts above $82.

LTC Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis supports a bullish Litecoin forecast with medium confidence. The combination of positive MACD histogram, oversold RSI conditions, and analyst consensus around $95-$107 targets creates a compelling risk-reward setup.

The LTC price prediction timeline suggests initial movement toward $87 within 1-2 weeks, followed by potential extension to $95-$107 over the next month. However, failure to hold $82 support would invalidate this bullish thesis and trigger bearish targets.

Key indicators to monitor include MACD histogram expansion, RSI movement above 45, and most importantly, price action around the $82 pivot level. A decisive break above $82 with increased volume would confirm the bullish prediction and justify more aggressive positioning.

Confidence Level: Medium (65%) - Technical momentum building but requires $82 breakout for confirmation.

Image source: Shutterstock

ltc price analysis
ltc price prediction

TL;DR

Background: WEMIX began as a gaming‑focused blockchain and has since evolved into a full Web3 ecosystem, integrating NFTs, DeFi, DAOs, and strategic partnerships.
Forecasts: Price predictions for 2026–2032 highlight both volatility and opportunity, with ranges stretching from cautious lows under $1 to ambitious highs above $20.
Outlook: Analysts emphasize that WEMIX’s resilience and long‑term vision could make it a pivotal force in blockchain adoption.

WEMIX is a blockchain ecosystem created by Wemade, a South Korean gaming giant known for titles like The Legend of Mir. Launched in 2018 through its subsidiary Wemade Tree, WEMIX was designed to merge gaming with blockchain technology, enabling true ownership of in‑game assets through NFTs and decentralized finance (DeFi). Its mission has been to connect digital economies with real‑world value, offering developers and players a platform where assets can be traded, staked, and integrated into broader Web3 experiences.

Origins and Evolution
From its inception, WEMIX positioned itself as a gaming‑centric blockchain. The project evolved into WEMIX3.0, an EVM‑compatible Layer‑1 blockchain powered by a consensus mechanism called SPoA (Stake‑based Proof of Authority). This upgrade expanded its scope beyond gaming, supporting DeFi protocols, DAOs, and stablecoins. Strategic partnerships with firms like Chainalysis and CertiK reinforced its credibility, while flagship platforms such as WEMIX PLAY became hubs for blockchain games, including MIR4. Over time, WEMIX has grown into a recognized player in the Web3 space, blending entertainment with decentralized infrastructure.

Why the Long View Matters
Understanding WEMIX’s background is essential before exploring its potential trajectory. Its roots in gaming, combined with blockchain innovation, provide a unique foundation for long‑term analysis. As the industry continues to evolve, WEMIX’s adaptability and vision will be central to discussions about its future.

2026: The First Steps Toward Maturity
According to CoinCodex, the token is projected to trade within a channel ranging from $0.6747 to $2.39, with an annualized average price of $1.38. This forecast suggests a potential return on investment of 432.01%, highlighting the volatility and opportunity that could characterize the year. The wide spread between the lower and upper bounds reflects the uncertainty inherent in crypto markets.

Meanwhile, technical analysis conducted by cryptocurrency experts outlines a narrower expectation, with minimum and maximum values estimated at $0.5645 and $1.21, respectively. The average trading cost is projected to hover around $0.8484, offering a more conservative outlook compared to broader market models. This perspective emphasizes the importance of cautious optimism.

2027: Consolidation in a Shifting Landscape

CoinDataFlow’s experimental model indicates that the token could experience a modest decline of -4.97%, with a best-case scenario price of $0.431325. Throughout the year, values are expected to fluctuate between $0.431325 and $0.164188, underscoring the potential volatility of the market. This projection highlights the challenges of sustaining momentum in a competitive environment.

At the same time, alternative forecasts suggest the asset might test levels near $1, though bearish control could drive it back down to that same threshold. Analysts anticipate that trading activity will hover around this mark, reflecting uncertainty in mid- to long-term market conditions.

2028: Innovation Meets Market Expectations
According to DigitalCoinPrice, there is a strong likelihood that the token’s value could double during 2028, though it may fall short of the anticipated maximum of $2.07. Forecasts suggest an all‑time high in the range of $2.00 to $2.07, positioning the year as a potential milestone in its trajectory. This outlook underscores both the growth potential and the uncertainty that often defines digital assets.

Complementary analysis points to a trading range between $0.82 and $1.24, with an average price projected at around $1.04. This more moderate expectation provides a counterbalance to the optimistic scenario, highlighting the importance of weighing multiple perspectives when evaluating future outcomes.

2029: Navigating Global Adoption Trends

According to market projections, the token could trade within a channel ranging from $0.4589 to $1.99, with an average annualized price of $1.14. This scenario points to a potential return on investment of 341.57%, underscoring the volatility and opportunity that may define the year. The wide spread between the lower and upper bounds reflects the uncertainty typical of crypto markets.

Meanwhile, technical analysis from cryptocurrency experts presents a more ambitious outlook, estimating minimum and maximum values at $4.98 and $9.19, respectively. The average trading cost is projected to hover around $6.88, suggesting a significant upside compared to conservative models.

2030: A Decade of Transformation
Experimental simulation models suggest that the token could experience growth of 252.62%, potentially reaching $1.60 under ideal conditions. Throughout the year, values are expected to fluctuate between $0.553574 and $1.60, reflecting both the upside potential and the volatility inherent in digital assets. This projection highlights how market sentiment, adoption trends, and external factors such as regulation may influence performance.

In contrast, other analysts envision a steadier trajectory, with prices ranging from $0.94 to $1.42 and an average near $1.19. Rather than focusing on extreme highs or lows, this outlook emphasizes gradual progress and the possibility of consolidation within a tighter band. Such a scenario would suggest that 2030 may serve as a stabilizing period.

2031: Preparing for the Next Cycle

Findings from the latest experimental models suggest that the token could rise by 220.39%, potentially reaching $1.45 under the most favorable conditions. Throughout the year, values are expected to fluctuate between $0.594159 and $1.45, reflecting both the upside potential and the volatility that continues to define digital assets.

Other technical analysis conducted by cryptocurrency experts paints a far more ambitious picture, with minimum and maximum values estimated at $16.63 and $28.6, respectively. The average trading cost is projected to be around $22.09, suggesting a scenario where the asset could break into a significantly higher valuation range.

2032: Long-Term Vision Comes Into Focus
Experimental simulations suggest that the token could appreciate by 445.59%, with the highest potential price reaching $2.47. Throughout the year, values are expected to fluctuate between $0.999038 and $2.47, underscoring both the volatility and the growth potential that may define the period.

On the other hand, technical forecasts present a far more ambitious scenario, with prices projected to cross an average level of $4.58. By the end of the year, estimates place the minimum at $4.41 and the maximum at $4.75, suggesting a significant upward shift compared to conservative models.

Conclusion
WEMIX’s journey from gaming roots to a Web3 ecosystem highlights both volatility and opportunity. Forecasts for 2026–2032 show wide ranges, from cautious lows to ambitious highs, underscoring uncertainty yet strong growth potential. Its adaptability positions it as a transformative player in blockchain’s evolving future.

The Price Predictions published in this article are based on estimates made by industry professionals; they are not investment recommendations, and it should be understood that these predictions may not occur as described.

The content of this article should only be taken as a guide, and you should always carry out your own analysis before making any investment.

11h05 ▪
4
min read ▪ by
Luc Jose A.

Summarize this article with:

While Solana is losing ground in the crypto market, its ETFs show an unprecedented series of seven days of net inflows. In a downtrend, this institutional flow is intriguing : why inject so much capital into a declining asset? This contrast, between disinterest in the spot and enthusiasm for regulated products, raises questions about the real perception of the Solana project and its medium-term prospects.

In brief

Solana-backed ETFs record a series of seven consecutive days of net inflows, despite a declining crypto market.
$674 million have been injected into these products, reflecting strong interest from institutional investors.
Meanwhile, the SOL price has dropped nearly 55 % from its all-time high and remains stuck below a technical resistance.
High open interest on derivative contracts and declining on-chain indicators reflect an uncertain situation.

A massive inflow of capital into Solana ETF
Solana-backed ETFs are showing a surprising dynamic while the crypto market remains under pressure.

According to data published by Farside Investors, financial products indexed to SOL experienced seven consecutive days of net inflows, a notable fact in a broad correction context. The peak was reached last Tuesday, with $16.6 million injected in a single day. To date, cumulative net inflows into Solana ETFs amount to $674 million.

Several products are behind this movement :

The REX-Osprey Staked SOL ETF, launched in the United States last July ;
The Bitwise BSOL ETF, launched in October, with $57 million in volume on the first day, making it, according to Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart, “one of the most remarkable ETF launches of the year” ;
Continued attractiveness, despite a falling SOL price, indicating strategic interest from traditional finance investors.

Unlike speculative moves observed in derivatives markets, ETFs often reflect long-term investment strategies. Their success in a retreat climate could suggest a desire for early positioning or confidence in Solana’s network fundamentals, despite a parallel drop in some on-chain indicators such as TVL.

For some managers, it might be a bet on the protocol’s resilience and its potential to attract institutional market attention over the next year.

A price decline despite institutional interest
Paradoxically, while Solana ETFs attract professional investors, the crypto price continues to dive.

According to Nansen data, Solana market capitalization fell by over 2 % in seven days, confirming a downtrend ongoing for several months. The token lost nearly 55% from its all-time high of $295 reached last January, a peak fueled largely by the buzz around the launch of the memecoin related to Donald Trump on the Solana network.

The price also dropped 47 % from its local high in September ($253). Yet, the token still trades well below its 365-day moving average, a level often seen as key support by analysts.

Technically, the resistance level between $140 and $145 stands as an insurmountable barrier. Despite the launch of ETFs and positive talk around onchain infrastructure, Solana crypto has not closed above this level at any time during this month.

The open interest on SOL perpetual contracts stands at $447 million, suggesting the derivatives market continues to attract speculators but without providing clear direction. This divergence between institutional behavior on ETFs and price dynamics in spot and derivatives markets reveals a form of technical wait-and-see, reinforced by the general market climate.

Solana attracts capital, but its price declines. This mismatch reveals a market shift where institutional signals take precedence over pure speculation. At a time when memecoins no longer suffice to support the ecosystem, the focus is on projects capable of generating real value and capturing sustainable flows.

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Luc Jose A.

Diplômé de Sciences Po Toulouse et titulaire d'une certification consultant blockchain délivrée par Alyra, j'ai rejoint l'aventure Cointribune en 2019.
Convaincu du potentiel de la blockchain pour transformer de nombreux secteurs de l'économie, j'ai pris l'engagement de sensibiliser et d'informer le grand public sur cet écosystème en constante évolution. Mon objectif est de permettre à chacun de mieux comprendre la blockchain et de saisir les opportunités qu'elle offre. Je m'efforce chaque jour de fournir une analyse objective de l'actualité, de décrypter les tendances du marché, de relayer les dernières innovations technologiques et de mettre en perspective les enjeux économiques et sociétaux de cette révolution en marche.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

Jessie A Ellis
Dec 14, 2025 11:08

XLM price prediction suggests targets of $0.31-$0.47 over the next 4-6 weeks as bullish MACD momentum and record on-chain activity support Stellar's recovery from key $0.25 support.

XLM Price Prediction Summary
• XLM short-term target (1 week): $0.26-$0.27 (+13-17%)
• Stellar medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.31-$0.47 range (+35-104%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.27 resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $0.22-$0.23 zone

Recent Stellar Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest XLM price prediction consensus from cryptocurrency analysts shows cautiously optimistic sentiment, with targets ranging from $0.30 to $0.47. Ali Martinize leads the bullish camp with the highest Stellar forecast of $0.47, citing TD Sequential buy signals on weekly charts and record December on-chain activity. Meanwhile, MEXC News and XT Blog present more conservative predictions around $0.30-$0.31.

The analyst consensus reveals interesting technical alignment despite varying price targets. All recent predictions emphasize the importance of the $0.25-$0.27 resistance zone, with Yellow.com highlighting record Total Value Locked surpassing $179.18 million as a fundamental catalyst supporting higher valuations.

What stands out in current predictions is the unanimous focus on technical breakout patterns rather than speculative price pumps, suggesting a more mature analytical approach to Stellar's price movements.

XLM Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Potential Breakout
Current Stellar technical analysis reveals XLM trading at $0.23, positioned strategically near the lower Bollinger Band with a %B reading of 0.1299. This oversold positioning often precedes relief rallies, especially when combined with the emerging bullish MACD histogram reading of 0.0006.

The RSI at 40.13 sits in neutral territory, providing room for upward movement without immediate overbought concerns. More significantly, the MACD histogram has turned positive while the main MACD line (-0.0070) remains below its signal line (-0.0076), suggesting early-stage momentum shift.

Volume analysis shows $2.98 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, relatively modest but sufficient for controlled price movements. The falling wedge pattern identified by analysts becomes particularly relevant as XLM approaches the apex, typically resolving with explosive moves in either direction.

Key moving averages paint a clear picture: XLM trades below all major SMAs (7-day: $0.24, 20-day: $0.25, 50-day: $0.26), indicating continued downward pressure that needs to be overcome for sustainable recovery.

Stellar Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for XLM
The primary XLM price target in a bullish scenario targets $0.31 initially, representing a 35% gain from current levels. This aligns with multiple analyst predictions and coincides with the 50-day SMA resistance cluster around $0.26-$0.27.

A successful break above $0.27 resistance could trigger momentum toward $0.34 (strong resistance level), followed by the more ambitious $0.47 target suggested by Ali Martinize. This higher target requires sustained buying pressure and broader cryptocurrency market support.

Technical catalysts supporting bullish price action include the positive MACD histogram, oversold Bollinger Band positioning, and record on-chain metrics. The falling wedge breakout scenario demands volume confirmation above 4-5 million daily to validate upward momentum.

Bearish Risk for Stellar
Downside risks focus on the critical $0.22-$0.23 support zone, representing both the 52-week low and immediate technical support. A breakdown below $0.22 could trigger algorithmic selling toward $0.20, creating a 13% decline from current levels.

The bearish scenario gains credibility if XLM fails to reclaim the $0.25 level (20-day SMA) within the next 5-7 trading sessions. Continued trading below all major moving averages would reinforce the existing downtrend structure.

Market-wide cryptocurrency weakness or Bitcoin selling pressure could easily overwhelm Stellar's individual technical setup, making broader market monitoring essential for risk management.

Should You Buy XLM Now? Entry Strategy
Current technical levels suggest a measured approach rather than aggressive accumulation. The optimal entry strategy involves scaling into positions between $0.23-$0.24, with the strongest buy signals activated above $0.26 resistance.

Conservative traders should wait for confirmation above $0.27 before significant position building, accepting higher entry prices for reduced risk. Aggressive traders can begin small positions at current levels ($0.23) with plans to add on strength above key moving averages.

Stop-loss placement becomes critical at $0.215, just below the 52-week low, limiting downside to approximately 6% from current entry levels. Position sizing should reflect this risk tolerance, with maximum 2-3% portfolio allocation given Stellar's current technical uncertainty.

The risk-reward ratio favors buyers at current levels, with potential 35-100% upside against 6-13% downside to key support zones.

XLM Price Prediction Conclusion
Our XLM price prediction anticipates a medium-confidence recovery scenario targeting $0.31-$0.47 over the next 4-6 weeks, contingent on breaking above $0.27 resistance with volume confirmation. The Stellar forecast relies heavily on emerging bullish MACD momentum and record on-chain activity providing fundamental support.

Key indicators to monitor include daily closes above $0.26 for bullish confirmation, while breaks below $0.22 would invalidate the recovery thesis. The prediction timeline suggests initial movement toward $0.26-$0.27 within 7-10 days, followed by potential acceleration toward higher targets if resistance breaks hold.

Market participants should prepare for increased volatility as XLM approaches the falling wedge resolution point, with clear directional signals expected before year-end. The current setup favors patient accumulation over aggressive speculation, given the mixed technical signals and need for confirmation above key resistance levels.

Image source: Shutterstock

xlm price analysis
xlm price prediction

Sun, 14/12/2025 - 10:16

Banks will need Bitcoin exposure, according to Bitcoin evangelist Pierre Rochard.

Cover image via U.Today

Bitcoin advocate Pierre Rochard has predicted that banks increasingly need Bitcoin exposure to serve clients and strengthen their own balance sheets. 

He is convinced that global banks will eventually integrate with the network now that the institutional adoption of the flagship cryptocurrency is accelerating.

This echoes the forecast of Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor becoming active participants in Bitcoin-related products. 

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Coinbase’s new partnership Earlier this week, Coinbase and Standard Chartered announced an expanded partnership aimed at developing institutional-grade digital asset services globally.

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The collaboration expands beyond their previous work in Singapore (real-time SGD transfers for Coinbase users).

It aims to develop end-to-end digital asset services for institutions that include trading, custody, lending, staking, and so on.

Crypto and banking PNC Bank has also teamed with Coinbase to allow direct Bitcoin trading for its private banking clients through the bank’s platform, marking a structural shift in how mainstream banks provide access to crypto.  

Ripple expanded its partnership with AMINA Bank, enabling the bank to integrate Ripple’s payments solution. 

In Europe and the Middle East, similar collaborations are taking shape. Bullish and Deutsche Bank teamed up to deliver seamless fiat integration for institutional crypto trading. 

In the meantime, regulatory approval by the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency has opened the door for crypto firms like Circle, Ripple, Paxos, BitGo and Fidelity to pursue national trust bank charters. 

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Bitcoin (BTC) could face a continued correction toward the $70,000 level if the Bank of Japan (BoJ) proceeds with an expected interest-rate hike on Dec. 19, according to multiple macro-focused analysts.

Key takeaways:

BoJ tightening could pressure Bitcoin by draining global liquidity.

Macro and technical signals align around a $70,000 downside target.

BOJ hikes preceded 20-30% BTC price correctionsEvery BOJ rate hike since 2024 coincided with Bitcoin price drawdowns exceeding 20%, according to data highlighted by AndrewBTC.

In an X post on Saturday, the analyst highlighted BTC declines of roughly 23% in March 2024, 26% in July 2024, and 31% in January 2025.

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: TradingView/AndrewBTCAndrewBTC warned that similar downside risks could emerge again if the BOJ raises rates on Friday. A recent Reuters poll showed a majority of economists forecasting another rate increase at the December policy meeting.

The thesis centered on Japan’s role in global liquidity.

In the past, BOJ rate hikes strengthened the Japanese yen, making it more expensive to borrow and invest in riskier assets. This often forced traders to unwind so-called “yen carry trades,” reducing liquidity across global markets.

As liquidity tightened, Bitcoin came under pressure, as investors cut leverage and reduced exposure during risk-off periods.

Analyst EX said BTC will “dump below $70,000” under these macroeconomic conditions.

Source: XBitcoin bear flag targets same $70,000 areaBitcoin’s daily chart also flashed technical warning signs, with price action consolidating inside a classic bear flag formation.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe pattern formed after BTC’s sharp breakdown from the $105,000–$110,000 region in November, followed by a narrow upward-sloping consolidation channel. Such structures typically signal temporary pauses before trend continuation.

A confirmed breakdown below the flag’s lower trendline could trigger another leg lower, with the measured move pointing toward the $70,000–$72,500 zone. Multiple analysts, including James Check and Sellén, shared similar downside targets in the past month.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.