Klienti spotového bitcoinového ETF FBTC od Fidelity nakoupili bitcoin za 24,54 milionu USD, čímž navázali na letošní opakované nákupy v rozmezí 23 až 25 milionů USD.
Another steady purchase through FBTC adds to a pattern of mid-sized buys from Fidelity's spot Bitcoin fund
Fidelity’s spot Bitcoin ETF clients just bought another $24.54 million worth of Bitcoin.
The purchase ran through the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, better known by its ticker FBTC. It’s the asset manager’s spot Bitcoin ETF, which buys and holds actual Bitcoin on behalf of shareholders.
A familiar ticket size
The $24.54 million buy sits neatly inside a range FBTC has hit several times this year. Client-driven transactions have repeatedly landed between $23 million and $25 million.
On October 22, 2026, the fund recorded a purchase of $23.08 million, which worked out to 282.63 BTC. Back in mid-August, FBTC picked up around $23.92 million in Bitcoin.
Not every day is that tidy. On October 13, FBTC pulled in $103.06 million in net inflows.
For context, the entire US spot Bitcoin ETF sector took in $109.8 million that day. That means Fidelity’s fund accounted for nearly all of the category’s net new money in a single session.
Every other issuer combined brought in a little over $6.7 million.
How Fidelity got here
Fidelity has offered Bitcoin-related services since 2014. It launched Fidelity Digital Assets in 2019, giving institutions custody and trading services. FBTC followed in 2024, when US regulators opened the door to spot Bitcoin ETFs.
As of late October 2026, FBTC ranks among the largest US spot Bitcoin ETFs by total assets under management. The fund holds hundreds of thousands of BTC and carries an expense ratio of 0.25%.
That fee means a shareholder pays $25 a year for every $10,000 invested.
Fidelity’s research arm has also been tracking a separate source of Bitcoin demand. A report from Fidelity Digital Assets found that perpetual preferred stock issued by Bitcoin treasury companies funded the purchase of 135,979 BTC through early October.
According to that report, the haul represents about 0.5% of Bitcoin’s total supply. Perpetual preferred stock is a type of equity that pays a fixed dividend and never matures, so companies can raise cash without taking on traditional debt or diluting common shareholders as directly.
What this means for ETF watchers
Spot Bitcoin ETF flows in 2026 have not been a one-way street, with the sector seeing periods of net outflows this year.
The October 13 numbers also hint at a concentration dynamic worth watching. When one issuer captures nearly all of a sector’s daily inflows, it raises a question about whether money is flowing into Bitcoin ETFs broadly or simply consolidating around the biggest brand names.
Fidelity’s advantage is partly distribution. It already sits inside millions of retirement and brokerage accounts. Its 0.25% fee keeps it competitive, and its decade-plus history with Bitcoin gives cautious investors a familiar name.
The treasury company data adds a second layer. If corporate buyers funded by preferred stock and ETF investors are both accumulating, Bitcoin demand is coming from two structurally different pipes. ETF flows depend on investor sentiment and adviser allocations, while treasury purchases depend on whether markets keep absorbing new preferred stock issuance.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Vivian Nguyen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Spiral varuje, že Bitcoin navzdory tomu, že jej prostřednictvím Square přijímá více než milion amerických obchodníků, v běžných platbách zaostává za stablecoiny.
Block-backed Bitcoin development group Spiral has warned that Bitcoin is struggling to gain traction as everyday money despite seven years of improvements to its payment technology, calling for ambitious proposals that could help it compete with increasingly popular stablecoins.
Summary
Spiral warns that Bitcoin’s everyday payment adoption remains weak despite seven years of technical progress.
More than one million U.S. merchants can accept Bitcoin through Square, according to the report.
Stablecoins dominate emerging AI-agent payment systems, prompting concerns over Bitcoin’s competitiveness.
The group wants ambitious proposals to improve payment adoption within five years.
Spiral identifies weak demand, price volatility and U.S. tax rules as major obstacles.
According to Spiral’s new report, The Long Road to Bitcoin Payments, more than one million U.S. merchants can now accept Bitcoin through Square, while the Lightning Network has become easier to integrate into payment applications. Yet consumer spending remains limited, prompting the group to seek ideas capable of changing Bitcoin’s adoption trajectory within five years.
The report comes as Stripe, Shopify and other payment providers incorporate stablecoins into their services, with dollar-backed tokens gaining traction in online commerce and automated payments.
Spiral argues that the industry’s challenge increasingly concerns consumer demand and incentives, even as payment infrastructure continues to improve.
Spiral says Bitcoin payments face a demand problem
The report draws on Jack Dorsey’s long-standing argument that Bitcoin should serve as money people regularly spend. Speaking in January 2025, the Block co-founder said, “If bitcoin ends up just being digital gold, I think it’s failed,” arguing that daily currency use should determine its success.
Spiral acknowledges that Bitcoin has largely established itself as a store of value, although supporters disagree over whether limited spending represents a serious problem. Some believe payment demand will develop as Bitcoin matures, while others worry that financial applications are adopting competing technologies before Bitcoin establishes a presence.
Over the past seven years, Lightning infrastructure has become capable of supporting production applications, while wallet developers have simplified payment addresses, account recovery and liquidity management. The report notes that custodial Bitcoin payments are now comparable to custodial stablecoin integrations in technical complexity, although self-custodial services remain harder to operate at scale.
Merchant availability has improved considerably. As crypto.news previously reported on Square’s rollout, approximately one million U.S. sellers gained access to Bitcoin acceptance, with Lightning processing transactions while merchants could receive dollars.
The availability of that infrastructure has not translated into comparable consumer spending, according to Spiral. Most holders prefer keeping Bitcoin as savings, while merchants generally want stable prices and see little reason to introduce another payment method without customer demand.
Stablecoins gain ground in payments and AI transactions
Spiral identifies stablecoins as the strongest competition because businesses and consumers can transfer dollar-denominated value without assuming Bitcoin’s price volatility. The report points to Shopify’s USDC checkout integration, PayPal’s PYUSD services and Stripe’s acquisition of stablecoin infrastructure provider Bridge.
The competition has reached emerging machine-to-machine payments, where applications automatically purchase data, computing resources and other digital services. Spiral estimates that approximately 99% of payments through Coinbase’s x402 protocol use USDC, citing the early preference for dollar-backed settlement.
In September, Block added Lightning to x402, giving developers a Bitcoin payment option within the protocol. The integration demonstrated technical support, but Block had not disclosed transaction volumes or announced its deployment across Square and Cash App.
Other payment developers have continued introducing Bitcoin-based alternatives. Lightning Labs recently opened Wavelength on mainnet, allowing AI agents to send Bitcoin payments without managing their own Lightning nodes or channels.
The service remains in alpha, with an initial balance ceiling of 300,000 satoshis and a 0.25% service charge on Lightning payments, excluding routing fees. Stablecoin support remains planned, leaving its current public payment functionality focused on Bitcoin.
Bitcoin faces spending incentives and regulatory obstacles
Beyond competition, Spiral identifies several problems that discourage everyday Bitcoin transactions. Consumers typically acquire Bitcoin through exchanges or financial applications before spending it, adding a step that conventional cards and dollar-based services generally avoid.
Price volatility presents another obstacle because consumers may hesitate to spend an asset they expect to appreciate. Merchants seeking predictable revenue often prefer immediate conversion into dollars, while stablecoins already provide a familiar unit for pricing goods and services.
U.S. tax treatment creates further friction. Under existing federal rules, spending Bitcoin generally constitutes a disposal of property, potentially creating taxable gains or losses even when the purchase involves a small amount.
Proposals to exempt qualifying low-value transactions have not become law. Spiral identifies the stalled CLARITY Act as another source of uncertainty for payment developers seeking clearer federal rules.
The report distinguishes paying directly with Bitcoin from using Bitcoin infrastructure to transfer other currencies. A dollar payment routed through Lightning may demonstrate the network’s utility, but it does not establish that the customer chose to spend Bitcoin.
Spiral calls for five-year moonshot payment proposals
With those constraints identified, Spiral is seeking proposals that could materially change Bitcoin payment adoption within five years. The group suggests exploring shared Lightning infrastructure capable of carrying both Bitcoin and dollar-denominated payments through the same applications.
Another proposal focuses on people facing unstable national currencies or restrictions on moving capital. Spiral argues that self-custodial Bitcoin payments could offer advantages in those circumstances because users would not depend on a stablecoin issuer’s permission to transfer funds.
The group wants developers to experiment with discounts, rewards and other reasons for existing holders to spend their Bitcoin. It proposes measuring whether users continue making payments after incentives expire, alongside the number, value and frequency of transactions.
Micropayments present another potential application, particularly services charging small amounts for creator content, computing or AI inference. Spiral encourages developers to examine new experiences in which users pay continuously or per request instead of making conventional checkout purchases.
In a post on X, Spiral lead Steve Lee said Dorsey believes Bitcoin payment adoption remains below its potential. Lee invited developers to suggest ways that Block, Spiral and other participants could improve adoption over the next five years.
Bitcoin developer Matt Corallo separately described the debate as important, arguing that transferring value through Bitcoin remains a central purpose of the technology.
An important discussion.
I hate the term “payments” for this but it’s true that if people aren’t transferring value using bitcoin then what we’ve built is pretty uninteresting (even if financially valuable). https://t.co/FUtdM2DBZA
— Matt Corallo 🟠 (@TheBlueMatt) October 27, 2026
Spiral has opened a GitHub discussion for proposals and supporting data, including merchant payment volumes, repeat usage and transaction success rates.
Bitcoin v říjnu 2026 zpracovával denně 700 000 až 800 000 transakcí, což je dvojnásobek oproti lednu 2025, především díky menším platbám typu SegWit, nikoli vyšší poptávce.
Smaller SegWit payments, not a wave of new users, are packing more transactions into each Bitcoin block
Bitcoin blocks are carrying roughly twice as many transactions as they used to. The jump comes from smaller payments built on Segregated Witness, or SegWit, that take up less room. That lets more of them squeeze into each block. The network didn’t get busier so much as it got better at packing.
The distinction matters. Transaction count is one of the most quoted signs of Bitcoin’s health. When it doubles, people tend to read it as adoption. This time, the number is mostly measuring efficiency.
What’s actually filling the blocks
In October 2026, daily confirmed Bitcoin transactions averaged between 700,000 and 800,000. Back in January 2025, the average was about 372,000.
Blocks ran at around 98% capacity during this period. Their average size reached approximately 1.5 MB.
The average fee per transaction in late October 2026 fell to around 32 cents. Blocks were packed, and the cost of getting a spot in one was about the price of a gas station coffee refill.
Microtransactions, meaning payments under 0.01 BTC, now make up about 80% of total Bitcoin network activity. These small, lightweight payments fit into blocks with plenty of room to spare, so the count goes up without much fee competition.
A quick SegWit refresher
SegWit went live on Bitcoin in August 2017. It changed how block space is measured, moving from a simple size cap to a limit of 4 million weight units.
The key move was a discount on “witness” data, the signature information that proves a transaction is authorized. Under SegWit rules, that data counts for less toward the block limit than other parts of a transaction.
The upgrade boosted effective throughput for transactions that take advantage of the witness discount. Crucially, it did this without raising the network’s core capacity.
Why the doubling doesn’t signal a demand boom
If demand had truly doubled, you would expect a fight for block space. Full blocks with heavy competition push fees higher, as users pay up to jump the line.
Instead, blocks sat near 98% full while fees dropped to around 32 cents. That combination points to more efficient use of space rather than a crowd of new users clamoring to get in.
The heavy share of microtransactions reinforces the point. When about 80% of activity consists of payments under 0.01 BTC, the raw transaction count gets inflated by small-ticket items.
What this means for miners and the network
Miners earn the block subsidy plus fees from every transaction they include. The research behind these figures points to falling miner fee revenue despite the high transaction volume. The network is processing more transactions while paying its security providers less per transaction.
The block subsidy shrinks over time, so fees are expected to carry more of the load for securing the network. The research flags that constrained miner revenue may create long-term challenges for network security.
For users, cheap fees on nearly full blocks mean small payments are practical on the base layer, at least under current conditions.
The things to watch from here are fairly concrete. Does the microtransaction share keep climbing from about 80%? Do fees stay near 32 cents with blocks around 98% full? And does miner revenue find support elsewhere, or keep sliding as the network gets more efficient?
Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Firemní účty tvořily v den voleb 78 % objemu obchodování na Mercado Bitcoin, protože společnosti hledaly ochranu před oslabením brazilského realu. Objem obchodování s USDT vzrostl oproti předchozí neděli téměř o 800 %.
Brazilian companies have turned heavily to dollar-backed stablecoins following the October 25 presidential runoff, with corporate accounts generating 78% of Mercado Bitcoin’s Sunday trading as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva defeated Flávio Bolsonaro.
Summary
Corporate accounts generated 78% of Mercado Bitcoin’s election-day trading volume as companies sought currency protection.
USDT trading surged nearly 800%, while Bitcoin volume rose 865% on Mercado Bitcoin.
Brazil’s Ibovespa plunged 14%, while the dollar gained over 8% against the real after Lula’s victory.
Across monitored exchanges, USDT and USDC trading against the real rose 150% and 318%, respectively.
Kalshi assigned Bolsonaro an 84% chance of winning before Lula secured the presidential runoff.
According to figures provided by Mercado Bitcoin, USDT turnover rose nearly 800% from the previous Sunday, while Bitcoin trading climbed 865%. Companies reportedly used the exchange to manage exposure to the Brazilian real while conventional financial markets were closed, ahead of a steep selloff when trading resumed Monday.
The election returned Lula to office after a closely contested runoff in which financial markets had anticipated a Bolsonaro victory. On October 26, Brazil’s Ibovespa index fell 14%, its worst session since March 2020, while the dollar gained more than 8% against the real, its strongest daily rise since 1999.
Corporate accounts dominate Brazil stablecoin trading
Mercado Bitcoin attributed the trading surge primarily to businesses protecting their cash holdings from exchange-rate uncertainty. Retail accounts contributed 22% of its October 25 volume, leaving corporate customers responsible for the remaining 78%.
Its dollar-linked USDT activity exceeded three times the average of the preceding four Sundays, according to the exchange. Bitcoin turnover rose even faster week over week, although the platform did not disclose absolute trading volumes in the figures cited.
Pedro Fontes, a research analyst at Mercado Bitcoin, said the election reinforced the case for diversifying beyond the local currency. In his assessment, stablecoins such as USDT and USDC allow investors to hold dollar-denominated assets when traditional foreign-exchange markets are closed.
The exchange’s explanation concerns its customer activity and does not establish the intention behind every trade. Stablecoin turnover includes purchases and sales, so higher volumes alone do not reveal how much money companies ultimately retained in dollar-backed assets.
USDT and USDC activity rises across Brazilian exchanges
Trading figures attributed to market tracker Biscoint indicated that the response extended beyond one platform. Across 10 monitored venues, USDT trading against the real climbed 150% from the previous Sunday, while USDC turnover rose 318%.
By Monday, combined USDT and USDC turnover reached 1.84 billion reais, approximately $350 million, or 65% above the comparable figure one week before. Bitcoin activity exceeded 1,336 BTC, more than nine times the previous Monday’s volume, according to the reported dataset.
Binance showed a similar concentration of trading in local-currency markets. Its BTC/BRL turnover increased 370%, even as BTC/USDT activity declined 25%; Bitcoin gained 9.4% when priced in reais but slipped 0.2% against USDT.
The differing returns followed the real’s depreciation, which lifted the local-currency price of dollar-linked crypto assets without requiring an equivalent gain in their global dollar prices. Cross-market turnover figures should not be interpreted as net capital inflows because every completed trade involves both a buyer and a seller.
Lula election result reverses market rally
The election result reversed the financial market’s response to the first-round vote earlier in October. After Bolsonaro finished ahead of Lula, the Ibovespa climbed 7.7% and the real strengthened by more than 4% against the dollar, as investors anticipated tighter control over public spending.
Ahead of the runoff, traders had weighed Lula’s proposals for additional social spending against concerns over government borrowing and limited room to raise revenue. Local equities and the currency subsequently sold off on October 26, when Lula secured another term despite expectations favoring his opponent.
Election forecasting markets had favored Bolsonaro. In an October 24 election preview, Kalshi assigned him an 84% chance of winning, although its analysis acknowledged that conventional opinion polls showed a tight contest.
The prediction-market prices represented market-implied probabilities, not polling percentages or guaranteed outcomes. Brazil had restricted access to Kalshi and Polymarket in April, leaving their election contracts unavailable through authorized domestic channels.
Brazil stablecoin market faces tighter regulation
Brazil entered the election with an established market for dollar-backed tokens and new supervisory requirements for cryptocurrency businesses. As crypto.news previously reported on Brazil’s election, the presidential contest took place under rules covering exchange licensing, transaction reporting and stablecoin-related activity.
The International Monetary Fund had raised concerns about stablecoin flows through Brazil’s financial system, particularly the oversight of cross-border transactions. Its scrutiny did not prohibit domestic trading of dollar-backed tokens, although certain regulated foreign-exchange settlement channels cannot use virtual assets.
Exchange operators face a separate October 30 deadline to apply for authorization with the Central Bank of Brazil. Binance has filed its license application through its local entity, BBrasil, while companies that fail to enter the authorization process must wind down their activities under the new licensing framework.
Polymarket US spustil pětiminutové kontrakty na predikci cen kryptoměn Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana a XRP. Za správné předpovědi se vyplácí 1 USD za kontrakt; k vypořádání se používá 60sekundový TWAP od společnosti Chainlink.
Polymarket has officially launched 5-minute crypto price prediction contracts on the Polymarket US App. Shortlisted cryptocurrencies include Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP.
The app operates as a binary options market (up and down forecasts), with correct predictions paying out at $1 per contract.
To promote fairness, settlement is based on Chainlink’s 60-second Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP). By averaging the digital asset’s price in the last 60 seconds, the platform prevents last-second price manipulators and/or cheaters.
Additionally, any ties (price predicted is the same as the initial price) automatically resolve in the “up” position.
Polymarket’s re-entry into the US market Initially, Polymarket launched in the US in 2020 but was forced to shut down in the country after it was fined $1.4 million for offering unregistered derivatives.
However, in July 2025, the platform acquired QCX LLC in a $112 million deal focused on re-entering the US market. The derivatives exchange came with an existing license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), allowing it to replace the unregulated connection of Web3 digital wallets to Polymarket.
Earlier this month, Polymarket US introduced 15-minute, hourly, and daily contracts, with the latest ultra-short contract being today’s 5-minute debut.
Growth and competition While Polymarket dominates the global events market space, Kalshi remains the lead in terms of US consumer volume. This is mainly because Kalshi launched legally in 2020, granting it a 5-year head start ahead of Polymarket. Kalshi has also focused on capturing deep institutional liquidity, building partnerships with the likes of Robinhood, Coinbase, and Webull. Even more, its contracts capture a wide variety of events, including sports, economic indicators, and weather.
By comparison, Polymarket’s contracts mostly cover crypto and pop-culture events. Its operations are also currently stand-alone, with users accessing the beta app on an invite-only basis.
And while both are federally regulated under the CFTC, states such as Nevada and Minnesota have completely blocked all prediction market platforms. Washington and Michigan have banned sports-related contract trading, while New York, Texas, and California are actively contesting prediction market operations.
Story Ends Here
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Obavy z kvantových počítačů už podle zakladatele Stacks Muneeba Aliho omezují institucionální investice do Bitcoinu; důvěru má obnovit věrohodný plán bezpečnostních vylepšení.
Concerns about quantum computing are slowing institutional investment in Bitcoin, according to Stacks founder Muneeb Ali, who warned that the network needs a credible roadmap for security upgrades to restore investor confidence.
“There is already a ceiling on the growth of Bitcoin because of quantum fears,” Ali said during an interview on Cointelegraph’s Chain Reaction podcast. He argued that uncertainty could lead risk-averse institutional investors to delay large Bitcoin purchases until developers establish a credible path toward quantum-resistant security.
Stacks is a Bitcoin layer-2 network designed to bring smart contracts and decentralized applications to Bitcoin. Ali co-founded the project, which uses Bitcoin as its underlying settlement layer.
Chain Reaction Podcast. Source: Cointelegraph
Ali warned that Bitcoin could enter a riskier period if developers fail to make meaningful progress toward quantum-resistant security by 2028. He said upgrades typically take years to implement, with additional time needed for users to move their holdings to new addresses.
Ali pointed to 2030 as a target for transitioning to quantum-resistant security, citing guidance from the US National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). He suggested advances in artificial intelligence could accelerate the development of quantum computers, potentially bringing that timeline forward to 2029.
Ali acknowledged that some Bitcoin proponents believe the quantum computing threat remains distant and concerns are overblown. He argued, however, that disagreements over the urgency of the threat could themselves undermine investor confidence, particularly without a credible upgrade roadmap.
Despite his concerns, Ali said a sufficiently powerful quantum computer would more likely emerge from a major research laboratory than an unknown attacker. He suggested companies such as Google or Microsoft would have little incentive to use the technology to steal Bitcoin, given the potential legal consequences.
Ali also said a quantum security threat to Bitcoin would affect the broader cryptocurrency industry, even projects developing their own protections. “If Bitcoin gets hit, everyone gets hit downstream as well,” he said.
Meanwhile, developers are exploring ways to protect Bitcoin against quantum attacks. In September, StarkWare reported that researchers had reduced the estimated computing cost of preparing an experimental quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction by 79%, following a weeklong optimization challenge.
The approach requires no changes to Bitcoin’s consensus rules, but the latest cost reductions have been demonstrated only in benchmark tests. StarkWare has described the technology as a last-resort measure and continues to advocate for a protocol-level upgrade as a longer-term solution.
Magazine: Agents can trade 24/7 — but Yat Siu warns you could lose access at any time
The Nasdaq-listed firm told investors that a year of financial statements can no longer be relied upon, and a withdrawal request has been pending for four months
Datavault AI just learned an expensive lesson. Holding Bitcoin on paper and holding Bitcoin you can actually move are two very different things.
The Nasdaq-listed company (DVLT) told regulators that its request to pull Bitcoin off Biconomy has been pending for four months. It also said several quarters of its financial statements can no longer be relied upon. Shares fell by approximately 37-48% on the news, trading around $0.07.
What Datavault disclosed
The disclosure came in an SEC Form 8-K filed on October 26, 2026. Companies use the 8-K to report major events that shareholders need to know about between regular filings.
This one was about as major as it gets. Datavault said four sets of financials should no longer be trusted: Q3 2025, full-year 2025, Q1 2026, and Q2 2026.
The problem traces back to a September 2025 equity purchase agreement with Scilex Holding Co. (NASDAQ: SCLX). Under the $150 million deal, 1,309.04 BTC was credited to Datavault’s account that month.
Datavault then sold 491.431 BTC back to Scilex for about $40.5 million in cash. The remaining Bitcoin is the part sitting on Biconomy, with a withdrawal request that has gone unanswered for four months as of the filing date.
Datavault later concluded the Bitcoin did not qualify as a digital asset on its books. Instead, the company will classify it as a subscription receivable. A subscription receivable is money an investor still owes for shares it agreed to buy. It sits on the books as a claim, not as something the company fully controls.
The size of the restatement
Reclassifying the Bitcoin is expected to shrink Datavault’s total assets across every affected period. The company’s estimated reductions look like this:
September 30, 2025: $8.1 million lower.
December 31, 2025: $92.2 million lower.
March 31, 2026: $57.1 million lower.
June 30, 2026: $49.0 million lower.
The market reacted on October 27, 2026, the trading day after the filing. Reported declines ranged from 37% to 48%, with the stock hitting a low of approximately $0.07.
Background: an AI company with a Bitcoin problem
Datavault AI positions itself around data and tokenization technology. It also owns the WiSA wireless audio portfolio.
In the same period as the restatement news, the company announced 13 US patent milestones for that WiSA wireless audio portfolio.
The accounting question at the center of the restatement is control. If a company cannot move an asset, it gets harder to argue that asset belongs on the balance sheet the way a liquid holding would.
What this means
For DVLT shareholders, the immediate concern is the restatement itself. Until revised financials are filed, investors are working without reliable numbers for about a year of the company’s history.
The unresolved withdrawal adds another layer of uncertainty. Datavault has not disclosed when or whether the remaining Bitcoin will become accessible.
Because the Bitcoin came through an equity purchase agreement with another listed company, the reclassification could draw attention to how both firms accounted for the deal.
Disclosure: This article was edited by John Chen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Velcí obchodníci s bitcoinem na platformě Hyperliquid minulý týden poprvé od března přešli z čistých dlouhých pozic do čistých krátkých pozic, uvedla společnost Glassnode.
Bitcoin whales on Hyperliquid have turned net short for the first time since March, according to Glassnode, reversing their earlier bullish positioning as BTC trades near $80,000.
Summary
Glassnode says Hyperliquid whales moved from net long to net short last week.
The analytics firm has raised both a deeper pullback and a short squeeze as possibilities.
Hyperliquid pays funding hourly, with positive rates requiring longs to pay shorts.
Earlier Glassnode research placed major liquidation clusters near $85,000 and $87,000.
Glassnode said in an Oct. 27 post that the large traders it tracks on Hyperliquid had previously taken long positions near Bitcoin’s bottom before changing direction last week.
The firm described the cohort as net short “for the first time since March.” Its assessment left two possible outcomes open, with the traders either positioning ahead of another decline or facing losses if Bitcoin rebounds and squeezes their shorts.
Bitcoin whales reverse their earlier long positioning
In the post, Glassnode described the previous long trade as well timed but did not frame the latest bearish positioning as a confirmed forecast of lower prices. The firm’s question concerned whether the traders had anticipated a deeper pullback or would be caught by a recovery.
Earlier research from the same analytics company placed substantial leveraged positions above the market. In its Oct. 21 report, “Swept and Refilled,” Glassnode identified the two largest modeled liquidation clusters near $85,000 and $87,000, following the clearing of a band around $80,000 on Oct. 15.
The report said forced closures of short positions could accelerate a move toward $87,000, although sellers had placed a large block of spot orders between $86,500 and $87,500. Its heatmap retained a liquidation band near $79,600 below the market.
Glassnode placed the average cost of coins held by six- to 12-month buyers near $86,700 in that dated assessment. The firm estimated the True Market Mean, its reference for the average cost basis of active investors, at approximately $77,600.
Hyperliquid funding runs on an hourly payment cycle
Hyperliquid’s documentation describes funding as a payment between traders holding opposite sides of a perpetual futures contract. The exchange says the mechanism helps keep perpetual prices close to the underlying asset’s spot price, with payments transferred between longs and shorts.
When funding is positive, long positions pay short positions, according to the platform’s rules. Negative funding reverses the payment direction, requiring shorts to pay longs. Hyperliquid settles funding every hour, although its published calculation expresses the rate on an eight-hour basis.
The documentation specifies an interest component of 0.01% per eight hours, equivalent to 0.00125% per hour. A separate premium component changes with the difference between the perpetual market and the spot oracle, so the interest component alone does not establish the final funding payment.
For its premium calculation, Hyperliquid samples prices every five seconds and averages the observations over the hour. Its rules state that each hourly payment uses one-eighth of the computed eight-hour funding rate.
Hyperliquid says validators calculate oracle prices using a weighted median of centralized exchange spot prices, with the weights determined by the liquidity of each exchange.
Earlier whale transfers included 9,458 BTC from Wintermute
Large-wallet activity attracted attention before the latest derivatives positioning report. As crypto.news previously reported, Lookonchain tracked 9,458 BTC in withdrawals from Wintermute to 40 newly created wallets since Oct. 1, valuing the transfers at $771.5 million.
Lookonchain described the movements as accumulation. The transaction tally covered several weeks and did not identify how many investors controlled the receiving addresses or establish their purchase prices.
The earlier coverage included a separate September snapshot in which Onchain Lens attributed $126.25 million in Hyperliquid shorts to a Wintermute-linked address. Ethereum accounted for $46.92 million, followed by Solana at $11.30 million and HYPE at $10.03 million.
Wintermute had not publicly confirmed ownership of the address or explained the positions in that report. The coverage noted that market makers can use perpetual contracts to hedge spot holdings, options, customer trades, or exposure carried on other exchanges.
Bitcoin analysts have tied recovery conditions to spot demand
In an Oct. 1 assessment of Bitcoin’s October support levels, Bitget Wallet research lead Lacie Zhang identified $82,000 as a downside threshold and $87,500 as a recovery trigger. Her forecast placed Bitcoin between $78,000 and $95,000, conditional on demand holding up against inflation and interest-rate risks.
Zhang’s bullish scenario required Bitcoin to hold $82,000 and recover $87,500 before a move toward $95,000 became possible. She said a sustained decline below $80,000 would invalidate her seasonal bullish setup.
Her assessment put institutional purchases against profit-taking by long-term holders and sales from miners. Zhang said institutional demand could support prices but could not guarantee an October rally, while ViaBTC chief analyst Jeff Ko identified U.S. employment and inflation figures as important market inputs.
A subsequent U.S. economic release calendar placed the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Oct. 28, followed by September personal income and outlays and the advance estimate of third-quarter GDP on Oct. 29. The calendar listed both Bureau of Economic Analysis releases for 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time.
The same calendar listed the minutes of the October policy meeting for Nov. 18 and the Fed’s final meeting of 2026 for Dec. 8–9.
Lightning Labs integrovala Taproot Assets do virtuálních výstupů VTXO ve Wavelengthu, což umožňuje převody aktiv mimo řetězec s ověřováním historie pomocí kompaktních důkazů.
Lightning Labs wants Bitcoin to move more than just Bitcoin. Its newest toolkit, Wavelength, is now being wired to carry Taproot Assets alongside sats.
The company has detailed how Wavelength’s virtual transaction outputs, or VTXOs, can hold Taproot Assets. The approach relies on compact proofs and client-side validation to tie an asset’s history back to a commitment recorded on-chain.
That matters because Lightning Labs has said stablecoin support is on the roadmap. Before you can send a digital dollar through a batched off-chain system, you need a way to prove it is real.
What Wavelength actually does Wavelength is a toolkit and SDK built to drop self-custodial Bitcoin payments into apps and AI agents. It went live on Bitcoin mainnet on October 23, 2026, following an alpha phase that started in July 2026.
Under the hood, it uses Ark-style batching. Think of it like a carpool for transactions: many transfers ride together in one coordinated trip, rather than each taking its own expensive car on-chain.
The building blocks of that carpool are VTXOs. These are virtual outputs that let users make instant off-chain transfers while keeping a path back to the base chain.
Users can leave cooperatively, working with the coordinator. They can also exit unilaterally, with that path enforced by CSV timelocks.
How Taproot Assets fit into VTXOs On October 27, 2026, Lightning Labs engineer Dario Nakamoto walked through how Taproot Assets plug into Wavelength VTXOs. The core idea centers on two techniques: compact proofs and client-side validation.
Client-side validation means the people holding an asset check its legitimacy themselves. The blockchain does not store the full record of every transfer.
Instead, users keep the asset’s history and verify it locally. The chain only needs to hold a small fingerprint that anchors that history.
Here, that anchor is an on-chain commitment governed by the Ark policy tree. The compact proofs are what connect an asset’s off-chain journey to that single commitment.
The early-phase guardrails Lightning Labs is not throwing the doors wide open on day one. During the early phase, Wavelength caps each account at 300,000 sats and each VTXO at 50,000 sats.
Lightning payments routed through the service carry a 0.25% fee.
The road that led here Wavelength did not appear from nowhere. It rests on the Taproot Assets protocol, which Lightning Labs has been steadily hardening throughout 2026.
Taproot Assets reached version 0.8 in June 2026. That release shipped with an SDK aimed at making asset issuance and management easier.
Later updates brought changes to the proof format along with security fixes. Those patches addressed certification issues, a reminder that verifying ownership is only as good as the code doing the checking.
Users also faced a firm deadline. Clients needed to be upgraded before block 971,750, which was expected around mid-October 2026.
That timing put the required upgrades just ahead of Wavelength’s October 23 mainnet debut.
What this means for developers and the Bitcoin ecosystem The clearest audience for this news is builders. Wavelength packages self-custodial payments into an SDK, which lowers the effort needed to add Bitcoin to an application.
Bringing Taproot Assets into VTXOs extends that pitch beyond sats. If stablecoin support arrives as planned, apps could move dollar-denominated value over Bitcoin rails without users giving up custody.
The near-term signals point to a developmental phase rather than a trading event. The research behind this report found no significant market reaction, trading volume shift, or expert commentary tied to the launch.
The risks are the usual ones for young infrastructure. Client-side validation shifts security onto software that must stay updated, and the recent certification patches show that bugs in proof checking are a real concern.
The things worth watching are concrete. Look for whether the 300,000-sat and 50,000-sat caps get raised, whether stablecoin support actually ships, and how many apps and agents adopt the SDK.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Americké spotové ETF na bitcoin zaznamenaly 26. října čistý příliv 110,3 milionu USD, přičemž celý tento příliv připadl fondu BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT).
US spot Bitcoin ETFs brought in $110.3 million in net inflows on Monday, October 26. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) took all of it.
Every other fund in the category recorded no net flows for the day.
Monday’s number looks modest next to what IBIT pulled in a week earlier. On October 19, the fund recorded a single-day inflow of $665 million.
Three days after that, the mood reversed. The category posted a net outflow of $635.5 million on October 22, nearly erasing IBIT’s big day in one session.
Put those moves together and the month still leans negative. Bitcoin ETFs logged net outflows of roughly $202 million month-to-date through October 26.
Trading activity stayed healthy despite the whiplash. Volume across the Bitcoin ETF category hit $1.86 billion on October 26.
Volume and flows measure different things, and the gap is worth noting. Volume counts shares changing hands between investors. Net flows track whether new money is actually entering or leaving the funds.
A day with $1.86 billion in trading and only $110.3 million in net creations tells you plenty of investors were swapping positions. Fewer were adding fresh capital.
IBIT’s grip on the category The broader numbers show just how dominant BlackRock’s fund has become. Total assets under management across all US spot Bitcoin ETFs stood at approximately $102.84 billion as of October 26.
IBIT alone held about $64.8 billion of that. That puts well over half the category’s assets in a single product.
The flow picture is even more lopsided. Since the products launched in January 2024, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have collectively accumulated $57.29 billion in net inflows.
IBIT’s own cumulative inflows sit at $66.24 billion. Yes, one fund’s tally is larger than the entire category’s total.
That only works if the rest of the field, taken together, has bled money over time. IBIT has captured more inflows than all other Bitcoin ETFs combined since its launch.
Shorter-term momentum points the same way. IBIT posted a 30-day net inflow of +$933.1 million, ranking first among spot Bitcoin ETFs.
The background US spot Bitcoin ETFs debuted in January 2024, giving traditional investors a way to get Bitcoin exposure through an ordinary brokerage account.
Since then, the funds have grown into a meaningful slice of the Bitcoin market. Cumulative net inflows of $57.29 billion amount to approximately 6.41–6.44% of Bitcoin’s market value.
What this means The more durable story is concentration. When a single fund holds about $64.8 billion of a roughly $102.84 billion category and captures every dollar of net inflow on a given day, its flows effectively become the category’s flows.
For investors tracking ETF data as a sentiment gauge, that changes how to read the reports. A strong IBIT day can mask weakness elsewhere, and a weak IBIT day can drag the whole category into the red.
Traders looking for signals have a few things to watch. The first is whether the October month-to-date deficit of roughly $202 million narrows or widens before month end.
The second is whether other funds start recording inflows again, or whether IBIT keeps operating as the only door new money walks through.
The third is the relationship between trading volume and net flows. A session like Monday, with $1.86 billion traded and $110.3 million in net creations, suggests active repositioning rather than a wholesale rush in.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Vivian Nguyen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Nic Carter očekává, že kvantové počítače by do deseti let mohly ohrozit kryptografii Bitcoinu, a vyzval k přechodu na nový systém digitálních podpisů prostřednictvím měkkého forku.
Nic Carter, a prominent figure in the cryptocurrency sector and co-founder of Castle Island Ventures, made noteworthy statements about the future of Bitcoin (BTC), the threat posed by quantum computers, and the fate of Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoins in an interview with Natalie Brunell on the Coin Stories program.
Carter stated that he believes quantum computers will reach a point where they could threaten the cryptographic systems used by Bitcoin within the next 10 years, and argued that this risk should be addressed now.
Carter expressed his expectations regarding the development of quantum technology with the following words:
“I think quantum mechanics will reach that point within 10 years. It will definitely happen within the next 10 years. I’m bringing forward my timeline prediction for quantum mechanics.”
However, Carter’s statement doesn’t necessarily mean Bitcoin will be hacked within 10 years. The renowned investor believes the Bitcoin network could implement necessary security updates before quantum computers reach sufficient capacity.
“Bitcoin Needs to Be Updated Against the Quantum Threat”
According to Carter, Bitcoin needs to switch to a new digital signature system to be protected against quantum computers.
Carter stated that this change could be implemented via a soft fork, and that Bitcoin holders would need to move their assets to the new addresses following the update.
However, he pointed out that the transition could take years and emphasized that preparations should begin now.
Carter also argued that Bitcoin’s past Taproot update laid an important foundation for integrating post-quantum cryptographic signatures into the network.
On the other hand, Carter noted that artificial intelligence also poses an uncertain risk for cryptographic systems, stating that it is not yet known whether AI can make mathematical discoveries that could break existing encryption methods independently of quantum computers.
Carter stated that if the wallets of a major cryptocurrency exchange were to be compromised in such a development, it could severely undermine confidence in Bitcoin, warning that it could create a crisis affecting the entire market.
So Did Nic Carter Sell His Bitcoins?
One of the most striking parts of the interview was Carter’s response to the question of whether he had reduced his Bitcoin investments due to quantum risks.
Carter stated that he takes the quantum threat seriously and has received intense criticism from the Bitcoin community for warning the public about it.
Despite this, he stated that he did not sell any Bitcoin due to quantum concerns.
Carter said that instead of moving away from Bitcoin entirely, he wanted the network’s security issues to be resolved.
The renowned investor also touched upon the risks associated with individual custody methods. Carter considered multi-signature systems, which utilize hardware from multiple manufacturers, as a secure option, while arguing that using Bitcoin ETFs or professional custody services is also a reasonable alternative.
Controversial Proposal for Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoins
Carter also made a suggestion that could spark debate regarding the status of long-inactive Bitcoins belonging to Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto and early miners in the face of the quantum threat.
Carter argued that if these Bitcoins cannot be transferred to new security systems by their owners, they could become targets for attackers, and therefore the US government should allow a legal recovery operation.
According to Carter’s proposal, an authorized quantum research laboratory could recover these at-risk Bitcoins and transfer them to a fund under court supervision.
Then, if Satoshi Nakamoto or the early miners can prove that those Bitcoins belong to them, they can reclaim their assets.
Carter stated that he would prefer this method to a random attacker seizing Bitcoins and selling them on the market, and added that he would prefer such an operation to be carried out by the US rather than by China.
However, Carter stated that he did not expect the Bitcoin community to accept a change that would directly freeze those assets.
“If These Two Problems Are Solved, Bitcoin’s Future Is Very Bright”
Carter stated that he is quite optimistic about the future of Bitcoin if a security update against quantum threats is implemented and a solution is found for the status of older Bitcoins, considering these as the two most important problems facing the network.
Carter stated that despite the artificial intelligence sector attracting large amounts of capital, Bitcoin has managed to remain strong, and argued that global debt problems and a loss of confidence in traditional financial assets are also developments that favor Bitcoin in the long term.
*This is not investment advice.
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VanEck spustil na New York Stock Exchange aktivně spravované ETF Wealth Builder (WBMO) s nepřímou expozicí vůči Bitcoinu; expozice dceřiné společnosti vůči všem alternativním aktivům, včetně digitálních aktiv, je zpravidla omezena na 25 % celkových aktiv ke konci každého čtvrtletí.
VanEck has introduced the Wealth Builder ETF, known by the ticker WBMO, which began trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The actively managed fund brings together VanEck’s Wealth Builder model portfolios—previously available only to advisers through third-party platforms—into a single publicly accessible product for any investor with a brokerage account.
Structure and holdingsVanEck is responsible for selecting the fund’s holdings, determining their relative weights, and rebalancing the portfolio as needed. The firm currently manages approximately $244 billion in assets.
WBMO offers exposure to a diverse mix of global stocks, bonds, gold, and digital assets, aiming to provide investors with broad portfolio diversification through a single ETF.
The fund’s Bitcoin exposure is indirect. Rather than holding Bitcoin directly, WBMO utilizes a wholly owned Cayman Islands subsidiary to invest in exchange-traded products (ETPs) that either hold or track Bitcoin. This structure allows digital asset exposure within regulatory boundaries, though the prospectus does not specify an exact Bitcoin allocation target. The subsidiary’s exposure to all alternative assets, including digital assets, is generally limited to 25% of the total assets at the end of each quarter. Investors do not need a crypto wallet, seed phrase, or direct exchange account to participate in the fund’s Bitcoin allocation, nor can they control the digital asset position directly.
VanEck outlines the fund as a way to “gain exposure to a broad mix of investments across stocks, bonds, gold, and bitcoin with a single ETF purchase.”
While indirect, this method gives mainstream investors access to Bitcoin’s price movements alongside traditional asset classes.
Fees and risk considerationsThe Wealth Builder ETF carries a gross expense ratio of 0.33%. After applying a fee waiver of 0.07%, the net expense ratio drops to 0.26%. It is important to note that underlying Bitcoin products within the ETF charge their own separate fees.
The allocation strategy is designed to manage volatility. Significant price swings in Bitcoin will influence the ETF, but exposure to bonds and gold may help buffer losses during downturns and soften gains during rallies.
VanEck has warned that digital asset ETPs can be extremely volatile. Some such products are not registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940, which means they could lack certain investor protections.
Recent activity in VanEck’s other crypto-linked fund, NODE, highlights the company’s evolving approach to digital assets. NODE raised its Bitcoin ETP allocation from about 7% at the end of June to 16.8% by September. Unlike WBMO, NODE invests in blockchain companies as well as digital assets.
Industry context and security initiativesVanEck’s Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research, has addressed industry concerns related to the potential impact of quantum computing on Bitcoin’s underlying cryptography. Sigel emphasized that while such risks exist, the Bitcoin ecosystem is actively collaborating to develop technical standards capable of responding to these future challenges.
Sigel explained that although technology upgrades take time due to Bitcoin’s decentralized governance, talent within the industry is working on frameworks for quantum resistance, and further advancements are expected in the coming years.
Leading companies such as Coinbase and Blockstream are already pursuing quantum-resistant security measures to safeguard digital assets. The formation of a Bitcoin Security Consortium—comprising BlackRock, Fidelity Digital Assets, and Block—is supporting open-source security research, including initiatives like BIP-360.
Keeping up with rapid market changes and the evolving digital asset landscape is increasingly important for investors. In a market where a single Fed decision or a sudden altcoin listing can change everything in seconds, jumping between different apps for charts, news, and portfolio tracking is costing investors money. Smart traders are now utilizing privacy-first tools like CryptoAppsy to consolidate everything. Without even the hassle of creating an account, you get real-time charts, smart price alerts, coin-specific news, and critical macro data all on one screen.
SlowMist odhalil škodlivý kód v chatovém widgetu Udesk, který na vkladových stránkách burz MGBX, Biking Exchange a BitxEX nahrazoval adresy peněženek adresami útočníků.
Blockchain security firm SlowMist reported that JavaScript connected to Udesk, a customer service chat widget embedded by many websites, was used to collect visitor login credentials and redirect crypto deposits on at least three trading platforms.
Security flaw targets crypto exchangesSlowMist stated on Tuesday that its analysts discovered the malicious code during their routine threat monitoring procedures. According to the firm, their MistEye monitoring system detected and alerted their clients to the issue, raising concerns about the scope of the compromise.
Udesk is a third-party customer service software provider frequently integrated by exchanges and online businesses to facilitate client communication. By intercepting this widely used widget, attackers were able to reach users across several platforms.
The tampered file, named udeskApi.2026-10-16.cached.js, contained a hidden short loader script appended after the legitimate widget code. The loader’s intended target was obfuscated in hexadecimal format, making it difficult to detect using standard searches for readable domains.
Once decoded, the loader extracted a second malicious script from a domain called udeskqlobal[.]com—a misspelling used specifically to evade simple domain checks. SlowMist recommended maintaining the exact spelling, with a “q”, when reviewing web logs for evidence of compromise.
Mini dictionary: Udesk, a cloud-based customer service platform, offers businesses online support solutions through live chat, tickets, and integration capabilities, making it a popular widget on e-commerce and trading sites.
Scope and method of attackSlowMist clarified that the malicious code was not confined to the three crypto exchanges originally named. The report stated that even if a website’s address did not match those targets, the script would still begin data collection and install monitoring hooks. Furthermore, using an iframe to embed the customer service widget did not shield the host website, as scripts loaded via the iframe could still interact with user sessions and collect sensitive data.
For MGBX, Biking Exchange, and BitxEX, a second module was triggered specifically on their deposit pages. The injected code reviewed these pages every 200 milliseconds, dynamically replacing displayed wallet addresses with one of six attacker-controlled addresses compatible with Bitcoin, EVM chains, Tron, Solana, Litecoin, and Dogecoin. To further conceal its presence, the attack also altered any copied deposit address text through multiple technical routes, making it difficult for users to detect the swap even if they compared pasted text to the original page.
Exchange TargetedAttack MechanismAssets AffectedMGBXDeposit address swap every 200ms, hooks user actionsBTC, EVM Chains, Tron, Solana, Litecoin, DogecoinBiking ExchangeDeposit address swap, tracks copy-paste activityBTC, EVM Chains, Tron, Solana, Litecoin, DogecoinBitxEXDeposit address swap, clipboard rewriteBTC, EVM Chains, Tron, Solana, Litecoin, DogecoinUnclear impact and recommended actionsSlowMist did not specify how the malicious code was introduced into the Udesk script or how many companies incorporated the compromised file. The firm also did not confirm if any cryptocurrency funds were actually lost due to this incident.
In its advisory, SlowMist urged organizations still employing the compromised scripts to remove them immediately, secure any leaked credentials, and verify that deposit addresses match those listed in their trusted records and backend systems. The firm warned that simply deleting the malicious script tag is insufficient, as previously activated hooks and timers will continue to operate. Instead, SlowMist recommended closing affected pages and resetting all passwords and access tokens from a secure system.
SlowMist’s report emphasized that removing the embedded script does not deactivate malicious hooks or timers already in the system, urging businesses to conduct thorough clean-up and security reviews after exposure.
Previous incidents highlight persistent threatIncidents involving compromised third-party code continue to affect the crypto sector. In December 2023, a tampered version of Ledger’s widely used Connect Kit integration library was responsible for draining around $500,000 from users’ wallets on popular decentralized application interfaces such as SushiSwap and Zapper.
These events underscore the necessity for constant vigilance regarding the external tools and code that exchanges and crypto service providers deploy to their user base.
Third-party code risks are an ongoing challenge for the digital asset industry, with recent attacks illustrating that even widely trusted libraries and services can become a threat vector when targeted by sophisticated adversaries.
Španělská Guardia Civil vyšetřuje přesuny více než 20 000 bitcoinů z peněženek spojených se zkrachovalou společností Arbistar mezi lednem a březnem 2021 jako možné ukrývání aktiv.
TLDR Wallets tied to Arbistar moved more than 20,000 bitcoin between January and March 2021. The transfers were worth over $1.1 billion at the time and about $1.6 billion today. About 881 bitcoin was sent to outside wallets as the platform collapsed in September 2020. Arbistar affected up to 32,000 investors and promised weekly returns of about 28%. Founder Santiago Fuentes Jover was sentenced to 16 years in prison. Spanish police say digital wallets tied to the failed crypto platform Arbistar moved more than 20,000 bitcoin after the company collapsed. The transfers were worth over $1.1 billion at the time.
The findings come from a new Guardia Civil report, according to Teneriffa News. The report adds new details to Spain’s long-running case against the platform.
How the Arbistar Scheme Fell Apart Arbistar was run by its parent company, Arbicorp, from southern Tenerife. In September 2020, the firm suddenly froze investor accounts.
The company blamed a “failure” in its automated crypto trading bots. Before the freeze, it had promised investors weekly returns of around 28%.
Once the accounts were frozen, investors could no longer access their funds. Many had joined believing the bots would trade crypto for steady profits.
The scheme drew in victims across 30 Spanish provinces. It also reached investors in Mexico, Venezuela, France and Andorra.
Spanish authorities later classified Arbistar as a pyramid scheme. They said it affected up to 32,000 investors.
Early estimates put damages between $111 million and more than $220 million. In 2020, Spanish prosecutors also said roughly $1 billion in investor funds was unaccounted for.
Bitcoin Transfers Under Investigation The new Guardia Civil report shows how digital assets were moved to hide the trail of funds. Investigators found that about 881 bitcoin was sent to outside wallets as the platform collapsed in September 2020.
Much larger transfers followed months later. Between January and March 2021, wallets linked to key defendants recorded inflows and outflows totaling more than 20,000 bitcoin.
Those coins were worth more than $1.1 billion based on Bitcoin’s price on March 31, 2021. The same amount would be worth about $1.6 billion today.
Authorities said the funds went to people within the administrators’ inner circle. They said there was no legitimate business reason for the transfers, which points to an effort to hide assets.
The money tracing is running alongside criminal cases that have already reached the platform’s leaders. Founder Santiago Fuentes Jover and partner Diego Fernández Nojarova were prosecuted for aggravated fraud.
They also faced charges of document falsification and membership in a criminal organization. Both were sentenced after their initial trials.
The Appeals Chamber of Spain’s Audiencia Nacional later increased their prison terms. Fuentes received 16 years, while Fernández Nojarova received 11 years.
Several people have now been formally named in an ongoing money-laundering probe. Spanish authorities say they are still working to track the full crypto network tied to the defunct Tenerife company.
Ark Invest koupila 65 615 akcií společnosti Circle za 5,2 milionu USD a zároveň ve dvou fondech prodala podíly ve svém spotovém bitcoinovém ETF ARKB za 15,9 milionu USD.
Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest bought 65,615 Circle shares, worth $5.2 million, for its Next Generation Internet exchange-traded fund (ARKW) on Monday and offloaded $15.9 million worth of its own spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) from two of its investment funds as the foremost cryptocurrency continued its slump from its early October highs.
Ark's investment strategy involves letting no individual holding take up more than 10% of a fund's portfolio. This is to maintain diversification within its funds — meaning Ark is likely to continue rebalancing its weightings if the value of certain shares rise or fall significantly relative to the firm's other fund holdings.
As of Oct. 27, Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) is currently the fifth-largest holding within its ARKW fund, with a weighting of 4.3%, worth around $67.8 million, according to Arl's latest disclosures. Tesla, Meta, Shopify, and Amazon make up the remainder of ARKW's top five holdings, respectively.
Circle shares fell 7.1% on Monday, closing at $79.84 and trading down 1.2% year-to-date, according to The Block's CRCL page. The stock is currently down 1.1% in pre-market trading on Tuesday, per TradingView.
CRCL/USD price chart. Image: The Block. ARKB remains top 10 allocation as bitcoin slumps The Ark Invest/21Shares ARKB Bitcoin ETF remains a top 10 allocation within Ark Invest's Next Generation Internet fund and ARK Blockchain and Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF), with a weighting of 3.7% and 3.8% and valued at approximately $58.2 million and $29.1 million, respectively.
Ark's spot Bitcoin ETF has generated around $1.1 billion in net inflows since launching in January 2024, with $2.5 billion in assets under management, according to The Block's ETF Tracker page.
Spot Bitcoin ETF AUM. Image: The Block. Bitcoin Bitcoin (BTC) was trading around $79,625 on Tuesday morning, remaining below the $80,000 mark amid renewed selling pressure ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The largest cryptocurrency has now pulled back 8.7% since its October high of around $87,200.
Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group, highlighted growing tensions in the Middle East, higher oil prices, and uneven institutional demand as reasons for the crypto market's recent weakness. Thin weekend trading and leveraged liquidations added to the selling pressure, Kruger told The Block, though he argued that the market decline was being driven more by macroeconomic factors than a fundamental change in the outlook for digital assets.
Meanwhile, Nick Forster, founder and CEO of crypto options platform Derive, told The Block that traders were increasingly positioning for further downside, with $80,000 becoming the most actively traded bitcoin options strike on the exchange. Put options accounted for 91% of the roughly $32 million traded at that level over the past week, reflecting growing demand for protection against further price declines.
NIP Group získala třetí várku bitcoinových těžebních zařízení výměnou za více než 247 milionů akcií. Těžební kapacita dosáhla 13,85 EH/s a společnost očekává těžbu zhruba 195 bitcoinů měsíčně.
In brief NIP Group, which owns esports team Ninjas in Pyjamas, has bought a third batch of Bitcoin miners in exchange for more than 247 million shares. The company says it now has roughly 13.85 EH/s of capacity, enough to mine around 195 Bitcoin a month, or $2.8 million at today's prices. The CEO told Decrypt the company could shift capacity to AI computing if the returns beat mining. Ninjas in Pyjamas Group, the company behind the legendary esports team, has acquired a third batch of Bitcoin miners in exchange for over 247 million Class A ordinary shares.
Hicham Chahine, the founder and CEO of NIP Group, told Decrypt that he wants to bet on Bitcoin mining while the market is "cooling," rather than when it's hot and competition is higher. He added that the facilities could be used for artificial intelligence in the future.
"Now that this tranche is closed, we're at roughly 13.85 EH/s. That puts us among the largest publicly listed miners in the world, roughly 195 Bitcoin a month," Chahine said. "That's real revenue, and it supports everything else we're building. This year we reviewed every single piece of NIP Group, not just mining. We made decisions with one goal: better margins and a clear path to profitability. Mining had to earn its place in that review, and it did."
It comes after the esports team expanded its Bitcoin operation last year as it looked to mine 160 Bitcoin a month. This most recent acquisition brings that target up by 35 Bitcoin to 195 Bitcoin a month, or $2.8 million at today's prices.
Chahine told Decrypt that NIP Group is "optimistic about where this is heading," adding that the third batch of Bitcoin miners will require "minimal ramp time."
NIP Group is a digital entertainment company known for esports and gaming ventures. It owns Ninjas in Pyjamas, which fields professional esports teams in games like Counter-Strike 2, Valorant, League of Legends, and Rocket League.
The firm's stock, NIPG, has dropped 40.7% from $6.74 to $4 since the Bitcoin announcement last week, according to Yahoo Finance data. This marks an all-time low for the stock. Bitcoin has dropped 2% to $79,820 over the same period of time, per Decrypt data.
An AI futureChahine explained that the purchased facilities could shift to focus on artificial intelligence infrastructure if the market demands.
"We look at what AI and [high-performance computing] customers will actually pay, how long they'll commit and whether that demand is sustained or temporary," Chahine told Decrypt. "When those workloads clearly beat mining on returns, consistently and not just for a week or two, that's when we may move capacity. If the numbers say shift, we shift."
Of course, any sort of future pivot would require notable legwork, as Bitcoin miners can't simply be turned into AI data centers at the flick of a switch. But, Chahine said, the infrastructure around the mining facilities is a good foundation for what AI and high-performance computing need.
"When we talk about AI, we mean using that footprint and that know-how for compute-heavy work when the economics make sense," he said. "We're a gaming and entertainment company at heart, and our fans already live on compute, bringing infrastructure and entertainment under one roof makes sense."
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The Bitcoin treasury firm Strive (ASST) just acquired $511 million worth of BTC.
The Dallas-based company bought 6,182 Bitcoin between October 16th and 23rd, stretching its total holdings to 43,000 BTC, per documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday.
Strive is the fourth-largest Bitcoin treasury firm in the world, and the company’s recent purchase brought it significantly closer to the second- and third-largest treasuries, Metaplanet and Twenty One Capital, which own 44,000 BTC and 43,514 BTC, respectively. Michael Saylor’s Strategy easily tops the list with 848,517 BTC, according to Bitcointreasuries.net.
Matt Cole, Strive’s chairman and chief executive, hinted in an interview on the One Chair Podcast last month that his firm could end the year with some big BTC accumulations.
[28:20] “The potential for an electric finish to Strive’s Bitcoin holdings in 2026 is there, right? I think it’s not out of the realm of possibility for Strive to end the year as the number two largest Bitcoin holder.
Some things are going to have to go right for that to happen. I wouldn’t say that’s my base case, but I would say that it’s in the possible set of cards, right?”
Strive executed its recent BTC purchase at an average price of $82,732 per Bitcoin. The top-ranked crypto asset by market cap is trading at $79,958 at time of writing.
SEC schválila burze Cboe BZX změnu pravidel umožňující kotaci šesti produktů s trojnásobnou pákou, včetně navrhovaných ETF BITH a ETHK, ty však nemohou zahájit obchodování bez účinného registračního prohlášení Form S-1.
The Securities and Exchange Commission approved a rule change that lets Cboe BZX Exchange list six triple-leveraged exchange-traded products from Volatility Shares, including proposed 3x Bitcoin and 3x Ether ETFs, but the funds cannot trade yet.
The SEC order, filed as Release 34-106577 on October 2, 2026, covers only the exchange’s ability to list the products. Before BITH, the proposed 3x Bitcoin fund, or ETHK, the proposed 3x Ether fund, can trade, the SEC must declare their Form S-1 registration statements effective. That step has not happened, and no launch date has been announced. An S-1 is the registration statement a fund files so its shares can be offered to the public.
What the order covers The order signs off on Cboe BZX’s rule change alone. It does not authorize the funds themselves to sell shares. Reportedly the first time a US regulator has cleared crypto products with this much leverage, a characterization the SEC order itself does not spell out.
The fund filings state that BITH and ETHK aim to deliver three times the daily performance of futures-based benchmarks and do not hold spot Bitcoin or Ether. Because they reset daily, their long-term returns can diverge sharply from three times the underlying asset’s move.
Volatility Shares already runs a 2x Bitcoin ETF under the ticker BITX with over $1.2 billion in assets, so a market for leveraged crypto exposure already exists. The 3x products were made possible by registering under the Securities Act of 1933 rather than the Investment Company Act of 1940, a structure that avoids the 1940 Act’s leverage limits.
Three weeks passed between the SEC’s October 2 order and the approval’s October 25 reporting, and the agency has taken no action in that window on the funds’ registration statements.
ETF Vanguard VSS nově vykázal držbu 4,5 milionu akcií společnosti Metaplanet v hodnotě přibližně 7,5 milionu USD; jde o automatické sledování indexu, nikoli o přímou investici Vanguardu do Bitcoinu.
Vanguard’s small-cap international ETF has disclosed its first position in Metaplanet. The stake comes from index tracking and does not represent a direct Vanguard bet on Bitcoin. Metaplanet’s enterprise value sits below the market value of its Bitcoin treasury. The company is financing share buybacks with a new zero-coupon convertible bond. Vanguard’s FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap ETF (VSS) has disclosed its first position in Metaplanet, holding about 4.5 million shares worth roughly $7.5 million, according to the fund’s holdings data. The stake arrives while the Tokyo-listed company, Asia’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder with 44,000 BTC, trades below the market value of its own treasury and is spending heavily to buy back its stock. Investors barely reacted to the filing, and Metaplanet (TSE: 3350) closed Monday at ¥263 (about $1.71), down roughly 0.75%.
VSS Bought Because Its Benchmark Did VSS tracks a benchmark of small companies in developed and emerging markets outside the United States, and it buys whatever that benchmark contains in proportion to each company’s size. With about $11.34 billion in assets, the $7.5 million Metaplanet position works out to roughly 0.07% of the fund, a weighting that tells investors more about index rules than about any view Vanguard’s managers hold on Bitcoin. The disclosure also leaves open when the shares were acquired, so a newly reported holding should not be read as a purchase made on October 26.
Vanguard funds held Metaplanet well before this filing, with the Total International Stock Index Fund (VGTSX) building a position of 15.64 million shares and the FTSE Japan ETF (VJPN) reporting its first 704,500 shares in October 2025.
Vanguard fund Shares Value Total International Stock Index VGTSX 15.64M $53.5M FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap VSS NEW 4.5M $7.5M FTSE Japan ETF VJPN 704,500 $2.1M Combined 20.84M $63.1M Figures come from different disclosure periods.
Ramji Opened the Door Only to Rivals’ ETFs In January 2024, Vanguard blocked newly approved spot Bitcoin ETFs from its brokerage platform, and the arrival of Salim Ramji, a former BlackRock executive, as chief executive in July 2024 did not immediately change that stance. The firm reversed course in December 2025 when it opened its brokerage platform to third-party crypto ETFs tied to Bitcoin, Ether, XRP and Solana, citing the products’ operational resilience and liquidity. It also said it had no plans to issue crypto funds of its own and continued to favor assets that generate cash flows such as interest and dividends.
Owning Metaplanet through equity index funds fits within that policy, since Vanguard clients gain indirect Bitcoin exposure through a listed company while the asset manager never has to hold a single coin.
44,000 BTC Priced at 0.85x According to Metaplanet’s Bitcoin strategy tracker, the company carries an enterprise value of $3.15 billion against a Bitcoin treasury valued at $3.71 billion, a ratio of 0.85x. Enterprise value adds the company’s $699.57 million in debt and $149.26 million in preferred capital to its $2.37 billion equity market capitalization, so the figure reflects what the whole business costs to own, and a reading below 1.0x means the market prices Metaplanet at about 15% less than its Bitcoin on that basis.
Metaplanet’s Bitcoin vs. its valuation
Bitcoin treasury value
$3.71B
Enterprise value
$3.15B · 0.85x
Equity market cap $2.37B Debt $699.57M Preferred capital $149.26M Average BTC cost $103,764 The coins also sit below their purchase price, with Metaplanet paying an average of $103,764 per BTC while the tracker’s valuation implies a reference price near $84,300, a gap of roughly $783 million between acquisition cost and value. That gap has widened since Bitcoin slipped below $80,000 this week, a level at which the 44,000 BTC would be worth about $3.5 billion, roughly $1 billion less than Metaplanet paid for them. Shareholders have absorbed a one-year share-price decline of about 41.4%, and accumulation has slowed sharply, from 5,075 BTC added in the first quarter of 2026 to a net 1,000 BTC in the third.
74 Million Shares Retired in One Trade Under its capital allocation policy, Metaplanet generally avoids selling new common shares while the ratio stays below 1.0x, because issuing stock at a discount would shrink each existing shareholder’s slice of the Bitcoin pile. Buying shares back works in the opposite direction, since every share retired below asset value raises the amount of BTC attributable to the shares that remain, without the company buying any additional Bitcoin. Other treasury companies are making the same trade-off, with Bitmine recently spending more on buybacks than on new ETH while Strategy skipped Bitcoin purchases.
On October 14, Metaplanet repurchased 73,981,400 shares at ¥261 (about $1.69) each through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 off-auction system, spending roughly ¥19.31 billion (about $125 million). A new authorization allows up to 200 million shares, about 14.7% of the stock, capped at ¥60 billion (about $390 million) through October 13, 2027.
The money comes partly from a ¥52 billion (about $338 million) zero-coupon euroyen convertible bond due in October 2031. Metaplanet plans to put ¥23.6 billion (about $153 million) toward repaying Bitcoin-backed loans in November and up to ¥28.3 billion (about $184 million) toward buybacks through December. Capital Research and Management, meanwhile, lifted its voting-rights stake to 11.11% as of October 16 with 143.3 million shares, a percentage boosted in part by the shrinking pool of voting shares.
Metaplanet’s capital moves, autumn 2026
Oct 13
¥52B bond and ¥60B buyback announced
Oct 14
73.98M shares bought back at ¥261
Oct 16
Capital Research reaches 11.11% of votes
Oct 26
Vanguard VSS position disclosed
Oct 29
Convertible bond issued
Nov 2026
Bitcoin-backed loan repayment due
November Loan Payoff Frees Bitcoin Collateral The bond swaps loans secured by Bitcoin for unsecured debt that does not mature until 2031, which reduces the risk that a further drop in BTC forces the company to post more collateral or sell coins. It does not cut total borrowing by much, and any conversion into common stock would add shares back, offsetting part of the buybacks, so investors will want to track BTC per fully diluted share rather than the headline BTC total.
Index mechanics can also turn against the company, because a smaller share count and lower market value can shift Metaplanet’s weight at the next benchmark rebalance, and passive funds such as VSS may then trim as easily as they added.
Bondholders can begin converting on November 12, and the same quarter should settle Metaplanet’s planned contribution of 2,100 BTC and $2.5 million to U.S.-listed Super League, a deal designed to create a U.S. Bitcoin treasury vehicle called Superplanet. Super League shareholders have approved the relevant resolutions, but closing still depends on outstanding conditions, and the final ownership structure will determine whether those coins stay on Metaplanet’s consolidated books.
Alex is a financial markets journalist and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, and he's spent close to ten years trying to answer one stubborn question: what's really driving this? It started in 2016, when Bitcoin refused to make sense to him - and rather than shrug, he stayed with it until it did. That patience became his method. He's less interested in what an asset is doing today than in the plumbing behind it: how liquidity flows, where risk hides, what a chart is quietly telling you that the headline isn't. That lens eventually stretched well past crypto into traditional markets, because the same forces - fear, leverage, incentives, timing - show up everywhere once you know how to look. Most coverage, in his view, insults the reader by stopping at the surface. Price up, price down, moving on. He'd rather leave someone genuinely understanding a move than merely informed that it happened. His path into markets ran through a Tourism degree at New Bulgarian University - proof, maybe, that curiosity beats credentials. With more than 200 deep analyses and over 10,000 articles behind him, he still walks away from most trading days having learned something he didn't know that morning.
Metaplanet has shifted its capital markets strategy by acquiring a U.S. company in order to issue preferred shares directly in the United States, following unsuccessful efforts to offer similar securities in Japan. The move opens access to a broader capital base, positioning Metaplanet alongside major firms such as Strategy and Strive that are actively seeking U.S. institutional investment for their digital asset and Bitcoin treasury products.
Allard Peng provided insights into Metaplanet’s motivations and offered clarity on what the U.S. launch enables for the company and its shareholders. By entering the U.S. market for preferred share offerings, Metaplanet gains exposure to the same pool of investors that supported one of the largest IPOs of 2025, brought to market through a preferred stock vehicle, STRC.
Peng stated that the U.S. capital environment is favorable for innovative treasury products, especially those with exposure to Bitcoin and digital assets. He highlighted that, despite regulatory and logistical hurdles in Japan, the company’s decision to transition to the U.S. marks a significant strategic shift aimed at long-term growth.
The listing is expected to benefit common shareholders through greater access to capital and the potential to enhance the company’s net Bitcoin per share as new funds are deployed into digital asset holdings.
Industry trends indicate increasing demand for diversified exposure to Bitcoin, with ETF inflows surpassing $1 billion over three sessions, though the cryptocurrency’s price remains below $85,000. Analysts have noted that June saw a sharp downturn in Bitcoin treasury preferred shares following the unwinding of leveraged loop strategies, impacting prices across the sector.
Notably, significant trading activity has persisted among investors holding preferred shares below par value. Market participants are closely watching when these securities may return to or exceed par, with Peng noting that factors such as fixed-income offerings and innovative product structures could spur renewed interest.
Peng clarified that, for small businesses and institutions alike, key considerations before directly acquiring Bitcoin on their balance sheets include market timing, product structure, and regulatory clarity. He emphasized that issuing a preferred share below par can still make sense under certain capital management objectives, particularly if investor appetite for variable or fixed-rate returns remains robust.
The sector has also seen new fixed-rate and variable-rate preferred products, with Strive’s 15% junior preferred series and SATA’s variable-rate offerings attracting investor attention amid fluctuating market conditions.
Meme tokens and investor behaviorAmid ongoing market volatility, technical analysis and tracking investor behavior remain vital, especially in emerging segments such as meme tokens. In these markets, price movement alone does not capture the full picture, as the timing and coin selection of active traders prove equally influential.
Recent data from Fomo App highlights a trade in the meme token “Niu Lai,” where an initial $99 stake rapidly grew to around $370,000, reflecting the explosive nature of this sector. Fomo App addresses the increasing demand for real-time token discovery and trade insights by offering consolidated features such as a social feed, investor rankings, and timely trade notifications.
In the rapidly evolving meme token market, leveraging platforms that combine analytics with community engagement enables investors to monitor not only asset performance but also the behavioral patterns driving viral trends and significant capital flows.
Investors seeking to navigate this dynamic landscape are encouraged to utilize such tools to keep up with both technological developments and broader sentiment shifts.
Metaplanet’s US subsidiary has reportedly bought 4 more Bitcoin, bringing its total holdings to 7 BTC. The purchase lands before the company’s much larger deal for Super League Enterprise has closed.
A small buy with a big deal looming The buyer is Metaplanet Holdings, Inc., the Florida-based arm of Japan’s Metaplanet Inc. The 4 BTC purchase means the subsidiary held three coins before this latest addition.
The purchase claim has not been independently corroborated by major financial or crypto outlets. No public records reviewed in the research confirmed a discrete 4 BTC buy by the US entity.
On August 18, 2026, Metaplanet announced that its US subsidiary would contribute 2,100 BTC along with $2.5 million in cash. In exchange, it expects to acquire approximately 95.7% of Super League Enterprise, a company listed on Nasdaq.
Once the deal closes, Super League is set to rebrand as Superplanet Inc., trading under the ticker SUPA. The company plans to keep running its existing gaming and media advertising businesses.
Where the transaction stands Super League shareholders approved the share issuance tied to the deal on October 16, 2026. That vote was one of the major hurdles standing between the announcement and the finish line.
Closing is targeted for the fourth quarter of 2026. It still depends on regulatory and Nasdaq approvals, so the timeline is a goal rather than a guarantee.
The structure gives Metaplanet more than just a stake. The arrangement includes control through preferred stock, plus rights to invest up to $210M.
At the time of the August announcement, Metaplanet held roughly 43,000 to 44,000 BTC in total. The 2,100 BTC earmarked for the deal works out to about 4.9% of that stash.
Background: Metaplanet’s push into US markets Metaplanet has become one of the more prominent corporate Bitcoin holders based in Japan. Its holdings in the tens of thousands of BTC put it in the conversation with the largest public treasury companies.
The Super League deal marks a clear attempt to plant a flag in US capital markets. Rather than building a listed American entity from scratch, Metaplanet chose to buy one that already trades on Nasdaq.
What this means The deal could bring enhanced liquidity and access to preferred securities. Those tools could potentially help fund future Bitcoin acquisitions or other investments, though nothing about that outcome is locked in.
The preferred stock structure also deserves attention. Control through preferred shares can concentrate decision-making power, which matters for minority holders who will own the remaining slice of the company.
As for the 7 BTC, it is best read as a footnote rather than a headline figure. Until it is confirmed through company filings or disclosures, the 4 BTC buy remains a report rather than an established fact.
The things worth watching are concrete. Look for the regulatory and Nasdaq approvals, the actual transfer of the 2,100 BTC, and the first trading day for SUPA.
Disclosure: This article was edited by John Chen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Galaxy Research tvrdí, že Bitcoin dosáhl dna a přešel do akumulační fáze. BTC se pět týdnů po sobě uzavřel nad 50týdenním klouzavým průměrem na úrovni 76 540 USD.
With the leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin continuing to trade near $80,000, viewers are closely watching to see if a sharp drop will occur.
While there are many different opinions on this matter, the final assessment comes from Galaxy Research.
According to The Block, Galaxy Research argues that the Bitcoin market has bottomed out and BTC has entered a new accumulation phase. Research head Alex Thorn stated that decreasing selling pressure and recovering technical indicators are giving positive signals for long-term investors.
Bitcoin Has Remained Above Critical Level for Five Weeks! According to a recent report by Galaxy Research, authored by Alex Thorn, Bitcoin closed above its 50-week moving average for five consecutive weeks, starting with the week ending October 18, after spending 44 weeks below that level.
The company stated that this technical outlook aligns with movements seen in past market cycles following bottom formations.
The report also noted that long-term investor selling slowed, and the monthly trading volume of Bitcoins, which had been inactive for at least five years, decreased from 67,000 BTC in 2024 to 47,000 BTC in 2025 and 34,000 BTC in 2026. According to Galaxy, spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly traded companies holding BTC on their balance sheets absorbed a significant portion of long-term investor selling.
“We believe the bottom has been reached, selling pressure has eased, the devaluation scenario has strengthened, and the crowd is exiting the market. The conclusion is simple: We believe now is an attractive time to buy and hold bitcoin.”
Alex Thorn also argued that the increasing US public debt and budget deficits have strengthened the view of Bitcoin as an alternative to the devaluation of fiat currencies. At this point, Thorn stated that they believe the market has entered an accumulation phase following the low seen in June.
Finally, the analyst noted that Galaxy’s bullish outlook for BTC is not unconditional. According to the report, a weekly close below Bitcoin’s 50-week moving average of $76,540, and its inability to regain this level within a month, could weaken the positive outlook.
*This is not investment advice.
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Strategy bought no Bitcoin between October 19 and 25. A first pause after several weeks of accumulation. Michael Saylor’s company preferred to dedicate 204.9 million dollars to repurchasing its preferred STRC shares, according to its SEC filing on October 26. Its reserve remains unchanged at 848,517 BTC, while its available cash has dropped to 242.4 million dollars, compared to 447.3 million a week earlier.
In brief
Strategy halts Bitcoin purchases after several weeks of acquisitions.
The company buys back 2.07 million STRC shares for $204.9 million.
Available cash declines by nearly 46% in one week.
Strategy takes a pause in its Bitcoin purchases
Strategy’s latest weekly report contrasts with previous ones. Between October 19 and 25, the company bought no Bitcoin. It did not sell any either and made no share issuances under its At-The-Market (ATM) sales program.
A week earlier, Strategy had still purchased 267 bitcoins for $22.1 million. The company had also acquired 250 BTC the previous week, then 334 BTC at the beginning of October. This streak has now ended. The total reserve remains at 848,517 BTC, acquired for approximately $64.02 billion. The average purchase price is $75,446 per Bitcoin, fees included.
This represents a little over 4% of the 21 million bitcoins that will ever exist. But the real surprise is in the spending. While Strategy invested no dollars in new BTC during the week, it used $204.9 million to repurchase 2,068,459 STRC shares.
The amount exceeds that of previous weekly operations. Strategy has not officially abandoned its Bitcoin accumulation program. Its regulatory document only describes the operations conducted during this period.
STRC buybacks far exceed BTC purchases
STRC shares now play an important role in Strategy’s financial management. These variable-rate preferred securities, also called Stretch, pay regular dividends. Strategy notably aims to support their listing around their nominal value of $100.
The group had already doubled its buyback program in September after dedicating $176 million to STRC. The movement accelerated in October.
Over the last three weeks, amounts dedicated to STRC buybacks are:
$192.4 million from October 5 to 11.
$193.1 million from October 12 to 18.
$204.9 million from October 19 to 25.
Total: $590.4 million. During these three weeks, Strategy spent only $43.6 million to buy an additional 517 BTC. STRC buybacks thus represent 13.5 times the expenditures allocated to Bitcoin over this period.
The gap is significant. Strategy still retains $956.8 million of available authorization in its preferred shares buyback program, recently raised to $3 billion. Another $1 billion program exists for common MSTR shares. No shares in this category were repurchased during the last week.
Strategy loses nearly half of its available cash
Spending on STRC directly reduced the company’s liquidity. On October 18, Strategy had $447.3 million in USD cash. Seven days later, this amount had fallen to $242.4 million. The decline represents $204.9 million, or about 45.8%. This cash is notably used for Bitcoin purchases, securities buybacks, and other financial operations of the group.
However, Strategy has a second separate reserve. Its USD Reserve, intended for payment of preferred dividends and debt interest, remains unchanged at $4.83 billion. Combining these two compartments, the company holds approximately $5.07 billion in dollar assets.
The situation also occurs at a delicate time for its stock. On October 15, MSCI approved new rules likely to exclude some companies whose balance sheets resemble those of an investment vehicle rather than an operating company.
Strategy is among the companies potentially affected. An exclusion could force index funds to sell MSTR shares. However, it would not force Strategy to sell its bitcoins. The timeline is known: MSCI must announce its final decision on November 11, ahead of possible implementation after the close on November 30. No direct link has been established between this threat and the weekly suspension of Bitcoin purchases. For now, Michael Saylor retains his 848,517 BTC. The company mainly continues to mobilize its dollars to support its own financial instruments.
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Lydie M.
Enseignante et ingénieure IT, Lydie découvre le Bitcoin en 2022 et plonge dans l’univers des cryptomonnaies. Elle vulgarise des sujets complexes, décrypte les enjeux du Web3 et défend une vision d’un futur numérique ouvert, inclusif et décentralisé.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
Bitcoin price traded near $80,000 on Monday, after falling about 2% earlier in the session. The price has dipped below that level several times in recent days and recovered each time.
Selling pressure has been building. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $635 million in outflows on October 22. A brief drop below $80,000 last week also triggered roughly $800 million in liquidations of long positions, or bets that prices would rise.
The next major test to look out for is the Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting, which ends October 28. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75% to 4% in September, and its minutes suggested another increase could come by year-end.
Most recent market odds favor the Fed holding rates steady, though those odds have shifted. Traders are watching Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks for signs of a December hike.
Higher interest rates typically pull money away from risky assets, including crypto. Broadly speaking, a hold could keep bitcoin price between roughly $80,000 and $88,000. A rate hike could push it toward the lower end of that range.
Bitcoin price backdrop Geopolitical tensions are also weighing on markets. Oil rose above $100 a barrel in early September as strikes between the U.S. and Iran escalated. Higher energy prices feed into inflation, which affects the Fed’s decisions.
In tech, Anthropic is reportedly preparing an initial public offering that could value the AI company near $965 billion. The timing has shifted toward the weeks before the November midterm elections, but no date has been confirmed.
U.S. stocks surged a bit Monday as investors geared up for a busy week of Big Tech earnings and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision. The Nasdaq rose 0.8%, the S&P 500 gained 0.6%, and the Dow climbed 0.3%.
Alphabet and Microsoft report Wednesday, followed by Amazon Thursday, while markets largely expect the Fed to hold rates steady.
AI-related stocks rallied following Anthropic’s IPO filing. Tesla jumped 6%, while Meta plans to raise up to $95 billion for AI investments.
As of writing, bitcoin price trades at $80,215, down nearly $4,000 or 4.75%, on the month. Over the past month, prices have ranged from a high of $86,806.95 to a low of $79,397.76. Bitcoin price peaked above $86,000 in early October, then slid toward $80,000 in the second week of the month.
A brief rally around October 21 pushed it back near $84,000, but those gains faded within days. Trading volume over the past 24 hours reached about $18.12 billion.
Bitcoin price remains far below its all-time high of $126,277.05.
Micah Zimmerman
Micah first discovered Bitcoin in 2018 but remained a skeptic on the sidelines for too long. Since 2021, he has covered crypto and business and now works as a news reporter for Bitcoin Magazine, based in North Carolina.
Franklin Templeton chystá ETF FBEQ a FIBT, která budou dividendy reinvestovat do expozice vůči bitcoinu. Portfolia budou zpočátku tvořena přibližně z 95 % americkými akciemi a z 5 % bitcoinovou expozicí.
Asset management giant Franklin Templeton has filed a Form 8-A with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to complete the Nasdaq listing registration for two new exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The prospectus indicates the funds will take effect on October 27, and the market widely expects them to start trading soon. The two products are the Franklin US Equity Bitcoin DRIP Index ETF (ticker: FBEQ) and the Franklin US Innovation Bitcoin DRIP Index ETF (ticker: FIBT). The former tracks the VettaFi US Large-Cap 500 Bitcoin DRIP Index, covering about 500 of the largest U.S. companies by market cap; the latter tracks the VettaFi US Innovation 100 Bitcoin DRIP Index, focusing on the 100 largest non-financial Nasdaq-listed companies. Both funds adopt a passive index strategy, with an initial asset allocation of approximately 95% U.S. equities and 5% Bitcoin exposure. The core mechanism of the products is "Bitcoin Dividend Reinvestment Plan (Bitcoin DRIP)". Unlike traditional dividend reinvestment plans, these two ETFs do not reinvest ordinary and special dividends from stocks back into the equities themselves. Instead, on the opening of the day after the ex-dividend date, the dividend cash is automatically used to increase Bitcoin-related exposure. Bitcoin exposure is primarily achieved through Bitcoin exchange-traded products (including Franklin’s own spot Bitcoin ETF EZBC), futures, options, or other related instruments; the funds do not directly hold on-chain Bitcoin. To control risks, the indices have clear rebalancing rules: if the Bitcoin weight exceeds 5% during quarterly rebalancing, it will be reduced to 4.5%; if the Bitcoin weight exceeds 20% during the rebalancing interval, it must be cut back to 4.5% within two trading days. The documents show FBEQ has a management fee of 0.09%, while FIBT’s is 0.19%, with neither charging 12b-1 fees.
Distribution of bitcoin supply. (Galaxy Research)Özet
About 11.1 million bitcoin, or 55 percent of the roughly 20.1 million mined, is held in addresses that Galaxy Research cannot link to an exchange, fund, government or other known entity.The unidentified holdings suggest that individuals using self-custody may still control much of Bitcoin’s supply despite growing institutional adoption.The total may also include lost coins, unidentified institutional holdings and assets distributed across complex custody arrangements.Bitcoin BTC$84.459,46 is no longer a fringe asset but one with growing acceptance on Wall Street. Yet those tracking blockchain data still can't link most BTC to a known owner.
About 11.1 million BTC, roughly 55% of the supply, was classified as unattributed in Galaxy’s October snapshot. Those coins could belong to individuals, institutions the firm hasn’t identified or holders who can no longer access them.
Galaxy’s head of research, Alex Thorn, sees the figure as evidence that self-custody remains widespread, with people keeping control of their bitcoin keys despite the growth of exchanges, funds and institutional custodians.
"More than half of all BTC supply is sitting in addresses with no known attribution despite all the institutionalization and centralized ownership over the years, still a ton of bitcoin (maybe even most) is held by individuals in self-custody," Thorn wrote on X.
Self-custody means holding your own bitcoin keys rather than leaving coins with an exchange or a fund.
Xapo Bank, a bitcoin-focused bank, replied to Thorn's post, saying that large number of coins held in unnamed wallets is a sign that retail investors have been here for over a decade. Bitcoin is often seen as the first market that grew from the bottom up: Retail investors began trading, and institutions then embraced it.
"And why bitcoin is for the people and people 'can be their own bank' Retail have been here for over a decade. Everyone else still catching up," the bank wrote.
BTC is the native token of the Bitcoin blockchain, a public ledger that lets anyone, anywhere, send and receive money. Miners verify these transactions and add them to the ledger, earning newly issued BTC as a reward. The setup is often held up as an example a perfectly competitive market.
A bitcoin address is like a bank account number on bitcoin's public ledger. Anyone can see how many coins sit at an address, while hiding the identity of the owner. Research firms like Galaxy try to put names to addresses by tracking wallets known to belong to exchanges, funds and other big holders.
The caveatThe entire unnamed 55% stack doesn't necessarily belong to individuals holding their own coins for the long term.
It could include coins that are likely lost, sitting in wallets whose owners have forgotten their keys or have passed away.
Some were mined in bitcoin's early years by miners other than the one behind the Patoshi pattern, a set of bitcoin's earliest mined blocks that researchers link to a single miner, bitcoin's anonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.
Some could belong to institutions Galaxy hasn't identified, such as funds, companies and OTC desks, which are brokers that arrange large bitcoin trades privately, away from exchanges. Some coins could belong to custody setups that spread coins across many addresses, making them harder to trace.
The other 45% does have names attached, and some of them are big names, including exchanges, ETFs led by BlackRock, the U.S. government and the single biggest holder, "Satoshi Nakamoto (Patoshi Pattern)," at 1,123,658 BTC. Galaxy counts those coins separately, as "the Satoshi-era miner pattern."
Still, for all the ETF headlines, the largest slice of bitcoin is the one nobody can name.
Spoluzakladatel společnosti Stacks Muneeb Ali uvedl, že Bitcoin má přibližně dva roky na zavedení kvantově odolných podpisů a další dva roky na migraci mincí.
Bitcoin has a deadline problem, and Muneeb Ali wants everyone to start counting.
Speaking at Token2049 Singapore on October 8, 2026, the Stacks co-founder said Bitcoin has roughly two years to upgrade, then about two more years to move coins before quantum computing risks intensify.
The four-year clock
Ali’s keynote split the problem into two phases.
Phase one is the upgrade itself: getting quantum-resistant signatures into Bitcoin. He put that window at approximately two years.
Phase two is migration. Once the tools exist, holders still have to move their coins into addresses protected by the new signature schemes. Ali allotted about two additional years for that step.
The timeline lines up with guidance from NIST, the US standards body. That guidance calls for phasing out vulnerable signature schemes such as ECDSA after 2030, with full retirement by 2035. ECDSA is the cryptography that currently proves Bitcoin owners control their coins.
The capacity catch
Swapping in quantum-safe signatures carries a cost.
Ali warned that adopting them could cut Bitcoin’s effective transaction capacity to roughly 10% of its current levels. The research behind the keynote describes this as pushing activity off-chain. Bitcoin’s base layer would remain the settlement anchor, while everyday transactions migrate to systems built on top.
Ali positioned Stacks as a post-quantum layer that sits on top of Bitcoin’s base settlement.
Stacks’ roadmap and the CEO return
The keynote doubled as a preview of what Stacks Labs plans to build next.
The company’s roadmap rests on three pillars: Bitcoin capital markets, institutional privacy, and post-quantum security. Stacks Labs is pursuing a two-year plan centered on privacy and post-quantum technology, with a stated goal of a 100x increase in network capacity.
Ali is set to formally return as CEO of Stacks Labs on October 15, 2026, a week after the Singapore keynote.
In September 2026, Stacks launched Genesis Bond, a self-custodial Bitcoin staking product. Self-custodial means users keep control of their own keys rather than handing coins to a third party.
Separately, Stacks deployed 500 BTC in a program called Bitcoin Bond 2, which locked 45 million STX, the network’s native token, for Bitcoin staking.
Token2049 Singapore drew approximately 25,000 attendees.
What this means
For Bitcoin holders, the most practical takeaway is the migration phase. If Ali’s timeline holds, users would eventually need to move coins into quantum-resistant addresses. Coins that never move could stay exposed under older signature schemes.
For the broader network, the 10% capacity figure is the number to watch. A sharp drop in base-layer throughput would reshape fee dynamics and push more activity onto secondary systems.
Ali takes the CEO role on October 15, 2026, and the roadmap runs two years. That is roughly the same window he says Bitcoin itself has to upgrade, so Stacks will be building its post-quantum layer while the base chain decides whether, and how, to change underneath it.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Strategy vynaložila 193 milionů USD na zpětný odkup prioritních akcií STRC, zatímco nakoupila pouze 267 bitcoinů; dividendy z prioritních akcií omezují kapitál na další nákupy.
The bitcoin market also evolves according to the financing choices of companies that accumulate it. Strategy and Strive use preferred shares to attract investors seeking regular income. However, the dividends associated with these securities create recurring expenses that limit their purchasing capacity. Between cryptocurrency acquisitions, share buybacks, and cash reserves, these companies must now find a financial balance to continue their strategy without weakening their commitments.
In brief
Strategy and Strive use preferred shares to finance their bitcoin acquisitions.
Recurring dividends increase financial costs and limit capital available to buy bitcoins.
Strategy allocated 193 million dollars to STRC share buybacks, against 267 bitcoins purchased.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs maintain their central role, with 57 billion dollars of cumulative net inflows.
Dividends weigh on Bitcoin purchases
Perpetual preferred shares open a new path for investors seeking income indirectly linked to bitcoin. Mark Palmer, analyst at StoneX, believes these products attract an audience that ETFs had not managed to reach. They notably allow yield-focused investors to access this asset class without relying solely on exchange-traded funds.
Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at Bitwise, shares this analysis. According to the CoinDesk report, he nonetheless considers that ETFs will remain the main source of demand in the long term. In his view, perpetual preferred shares could complement this channel by attracting investors with different goals. Their development will thus depend as much on their ability to distribute income as on market conditions.
James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, highlights the scale of capital mobilized by these instruments. Strategy’s STRC stock, which offers a variable dividend of around 12%, raised 7.5 billion dollars between 2026 and the end of July. These funds facilitate acquisitions, but they also entail regular payments. Companies must therefore preserve sufficient resources to finance their dividends while continuing their cryptocurrency purchases.
Strategy and Strive face a delicate financial balance
Strategy’s preferred shares and the products offered by Strive, notably SATA, do not only follow variations in bitcoin prices. Alex Blume, founder and CEO of Two Prime, explains that their value also depends on company management, their financial obligations, and capital market conditions. Investors must thus consider several factors before assessing these securities.
The temporary drop of STRC around 70 dollars at the end of June illustrates the risks linked to these instruments. Strategy’s preferred share currently trades around 99.40 dollars. For issuers, increasing offerings can raise the number of bitcoins held per common share. However, this policy also raises dividend-related obligations and complicates reserve management.
Management must therefore arbitrate among several financial objectives. It seeks to strengthen its bitcoin holdings, meet its commitments to preferred shareholders, and avoid selling its digital assets. These constraints become stronger when financing conditions deteriorate. In this context, the strength of cash reserves plays an important role in maintaining payments without excessively reducing acquisitions.
Mark Palmer points out that demand for perpetual preferred shares leads to regular financial obligations. However, the ability to finance new purchases also depends on the price at which companies can issue these shares. When their price falls below their nominal value, new offerings become less attractive. Companies may then prefer to buy back their shares rather than raising additional capital.
The latest weekly update from Strategy illustrates this trade-off. According to James Butterfill, the company allocated 193 million dollars to STRC share buybacks, against only 267 bitcoins purchased. It also raised its authorization for preferred share buybacks to 3 billion dollars. These operations can reduce future dividend expenses but mobilize capital that could otherwise finance new acquisitions.
Cash reserves offer a safety margin, even if Strategy has already sold part of its bitcoins to pay preferred dividends. Meanwhile, US spot Bitcoin ETFs maintain a central role. They have attracted about 57 billion dollars of cumulative net inflows and hold nearly 106 billion dollars in assets, according to Butterfill. Unlike preferred shares, ETFs can increase their holdings without requiring funds to commit to permanent dividend payments.
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Ghiles A.
Journaliste et rédacteur web passionné par l’univers des cryptomonnaies et des technologies Web3. J’y traite les dernières tendances et actualités afin de proposer un contenu de haute qualité à un large public du secteur.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Core bude chyby snadno odhalitelné například pomocí jednoduchého promptu pro LLM co nejdříve opravovat prostřednictvím bodových verzí pro tři podporované větve a současně zveřejní bezpečnostní upozornění.
Bitcoin Core is ending the year-long wait for security patches that a language model can find again in a single prompt. A change to the project’s security disclosure policy, merged on October 22, creates an “easily discoverable” class of vulnerability and instructs maintainers to ship a point release and a public advisory “as soon as possible” — bypassing the standard embargo that keeps a medium- or high-severity bug secret for roughly a year.
The trigger is blunt. Maintainers are fielding more reports for bugs that keep getting rediscovered, because language models have lowered the effort needed to find them. Antoine Poinsot, a Bitcoin Core contributor at Chaincode Labs, announced the change on the Bitcoin Development Mailing List the same day the pull request was merged.
“We recently experienced an increase in the number of reports for security vulnerabilities that can be easily (re-)discovered,” Poinsot wrote. “This is largely due to LLMs drastically reducing the bar to find certain classes of issues or identify covert fixes.”
Why a Year-Long Embargo Stopped Buying Anything
Bitcoin Core’s previous policy tied disclosure timing to severity. Low-severity bugs went public two weeks after the next major release shipped. Medium- and high-severity bugs stayed private until two weeks after the last affected release reached end of life — a window the policy itself describes as “approximately a year after a major version containing the fix was first released.”
That timetable existed for a reason. Bitcoin Core is the reference implementation running the majority of Bitcoin’s nodes, and node operators upgrade slowly. A long embargo was meant to give the network time to patch before details went public. The tradeoff was that fixes generally were not backported, so an operator on an older release waited for the next major version, which the project aims to ship roughly every six months.
The caution is structural rather than accidental. Consensus changes such as Bitcoin’s Taproot upgrade move through a slow, conservative path precisely so operators can adopt them on their own schedule.
“Because of the nature of our project, coupled with a slow upgrade culture, our security policy favours a longer embargo period,” Poinsot wrote. “This generally means security fixes can’t be backported, and only become available with users along with the next major release.”
AI breaks that tradeoff. If a bug can be rediscovered with a trivial LLM scan, hiding it buys nothing, because the flaw is already within reach of anyone holding a chatbot. “For these issues that are easy to find, this is the wrong tradeoff. The embargo period achieves little but it delays the availability of a fixed release,” Poinsot wrote.
What the New “Easily Discoverable” Class Actually Changes
Under the revised policy, the disclosure clock now has a third setting. A vulnerability can be flagged “easily discoverable” during triage — defined as one that “can be discovered with minimal effort, such as through a simple LLM prompt.” The label is not limited to AI-found bugs: it turns on how little effort rediscovery takes, not on which tool did the finding.
For those bugs, the response changes on every axis. Instead of a single fix landing in the next major release, maintainers will backport a fix to every currently maintained major version — three branches under Bitcoin Core’s rule of supporting its latest three releases — and cut point releases as fast as they can. A security advisory publishes alongside the patched software.
The severity ladder still governs everything else. Low-severity bugs stay on the two-week schedule. Medium and high stay on the roughly one-year clock. Critical bugs — the ones that could steal coins at the protocol level, inflate the supply, or permanently split the chain — remain outside the standard policy and are handled case by case, as they always were.
That carve-out exists for good reason. In Bitcoin Core’s history, the inflation bug disclosed as CVE-2018-17144 in September 2018 was the kind of flaw that justified special handling: it could have allowed coins to be created outside the issuance schedule. The new “easily discoverable” route does not touch that tier — a critical bug will still get an ad hoc response shaped around the risk to the whole network.
Two Weeks, a Year, or “As Soon as Possible”
The change is easiest to read as a collapse in the disclosure window. A medium-severity bug fixed today would normally stay private for about 52 weeks, disclosed only two weeks after the last affected release reached end of life. The same bug, once flagged easily discoverable, ships as a point release “as soon as possible” with its advisory. That is the difference between a year and, in the maintainers’ own framing, however long it takes to write, review, and test a targeted patch.
The backport commitment is the other half. Before the change, a fix generally did not reach users on an older maintained branch; it arrived with the next major release. Now an operator on an older supported version can take a targeted point release without adopting every feature and behavior change in the newest major version. For a network where upgrades are slow and deliberate, that is a material change to how quickly a patch can actually land.
The Risk the Maintainers Themselves Flagged
The faster route has a cost, and Poinsot said it plainly in the pull request. “This is particularly important as under this policy, mitigations won’t have as much ‘bake time’ in development branches before being released to users,” he wrote. A fix that ships in days spends less time in review and testing than one that sat for months.
The discussion also split on whether disclosure should move even faster. Some contributors argued that opening a fix’s pull request can itself tip off attackers, because it is cheap to watch the repository automatically, so disclosure may need to come no later than the patch, or ahead of it with mitigation guidance. A different contributor proposed shipping fixes with a discretionary or delayed advisory. Poinsot rejected that, writing that alerting users without details could trigger a rushed migration among operators who were never affected.
The exchange matters because it shows the new policy is a deliberate middle path, not an obvious one. The merged text keeps the advisory simultaneous with the fix and keeps full details, rather than a vague warning.
When the First “Easily Discoverable” Bug Lands
No vulnerability has been placed in the new class yet, so this is a change of process, not the disclosure of a live bug. The first real test arrives when maintainers flag something “easily discoverable” during triage and ship point releases across the maintained branches with a simultaneous advisory.
The wider signal is that AI-assisted bug hunting has already forced the Bitcoin ecosystem to move. Core Lightning told node operators earlier this year to upgrade or disconnect after AI-generated vulnerability reports proved correct. Bitcoin Core’s policy change is the reference implementation making the same calculation at the protocol’s base layer: when rediscovery is cheap, secrecy buys little, and the only thing a long embargo delays is the fixed release.
For node operators, nothing changes today. The upgrade cadence stays the same. The difference arrives the next time a bug qualifies as easily discoverable, when a patch and its advisory land together with less notice than the network has ever had.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Utexo 28. listopadu 2026 veřejně spustí USDT na síti Bitcoin prostřednictvím partnerských peněženek a burz. Token bude kryt USDT0 uzamčeným na síti Arbitrum.
Utexo will launch its Bitcoin-based USDT publicly on November 28.
Exchanges, wallets and trading firms are already testing it on Bitcoin Signet.
Each token is backed by USDT0 locked on Arbitrum, not by new Tether reserves.
Lightning Network support is planned for early 2027.
Utexo, a Bitcoin infrastructure company whose seed round was co-led by Tether, will open its Bitcoin-based USDT to the public on November 28, 2026. The company set the date as it opened early access to Utexo Mint, where professional operators can now mint, transfer and redeem the token on Bitcoin’s Signet test network, The Defiant reported. The token is a bridged version of USDT rather than a new issuance by Tether, and the rollout returns the largest dollar stablecoin to the chain where it first appeared in 2014.
Only Exchanges and Trading Desks Get In Before November 28
Utexo is onboarding exchanges, wallets, market makers, OTC desks and trading firms, and retail users have no direct minting access during the test phase. Approved operators test three functions on Signet: issuing USDT on Bitcoin, sending it confidentially and redeeming it. The November release will reach users through partner wallets and exchanges, with Lightning Network support scheduled for the first quarter of 2027.
The date is a company target. Utexo has not published a full list of launch partners, so the number of platforms that will be live on day one is still unknown.
Every Bitcoin USDT Unit Sits on USDT0 Locked in Arbitrum
The token works on a lock-and-mint basis. According to Utexo’s technical documentation, an operator locks USDT0, the cross-chain version of USDT, in a bridge contract on Arbitrum, and the system issues the same amount on Bitcoin. USDT sent from Ethereum, Tron, Polygon PoS or Plasma is first converted to USDT0 through LayerZero and routed to Arbitrum. Burning the Bitcoin-side tokens releases the collateral.
How USDT moves onto Bitcoin
1
Deposit
USDT from Ethereum, Tron, Polygon or Plasma is converted to USDT0 on Arbitrum
2
Lock
USDT0 is locked in the bridge contract and verified before signing
3
Mint
The same amount is issued on Bitcoin via RGB; burning it releases the collateral
This design ties Bitcoin settlement to an Ethereum layer-2 network. Holders depend on the bridge contract, the signing infrastructure and the collateral on Arbitrum. Utexo says minting runs inside Trusted Execution Environments on AWS Nitro Enclaves, isolated environments that the server operator cannot alter, and each mint is signed only after the Arbitrum deposit is final. The company also reports an audit by Oxorio, but the full report has not been published on its product page.
RGB Hides Amounts From the Public, Not From Compliance Teams
RGB anchors assets to Bitcoin but keeps most transaction data off the blockchain. Under its client-side validation model, sender and receiver store and verify the transfer data themselves, and Bitcoin records only a cryptographic commitment. Tether said in August 2025 that this model makes USDT transfers on Bitcoin faster, cheaper and more private than storing token data on-chain.
Outside observers cannot see amounts or counterparties. That does not make the system anonymous. Utexo reportedly works with Crystal Intelligence on anti-money-laundering monitoring, and co-founder Viktor Ihnatiuk has described a mechanism that blocks flagged funds from being redeemed through participating services. For OTC desks moving large blocks, the appeal is that trade sizes stay hidden from competitors while compliance controls remain in place.
From Omni in 2014 to Lightning in 2027
USDT started on Bitcoin’s Omni Layer, then moved to Ethereum and Tron as lower fees pulled activity away. Tether ended Omni support in August 2023, citing lack of demand, and two years later announced plans to return through RGB.
2014
USDT launches on Bitcoin through the Omni Layer
August 2023
Tether stops supporting USDT on Omni
August 2025
Tether announces USDT on RGB
March 2026
Utexo raises $7.5 million
October 22, 2026
Early access opens on Bitcoin Signet
November 28, 2026
Public launch through partner wallets and exchanges
Q1 2027
Planned Lightning Network integration
A 0.1% Fee and a 100 USDT Cap for Unverified Accounts
Utexo closed a $7.5 million seed round in March, co-led by Tether, Big Brain Holdings and Portal Ventures, with Franklin Templeton, Maven11 Capital, Fulgur Ventures and Flow Traders among the participants. Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino said at the time that Bitcoin had always been central to the company’s long-term plans for USDT.
The company sells infrastructure, not a consumer app. Exchanges and wallets connect through an API instead of building their own RGB and Lightning systems, and Utexo charges for minting. A recent update to its developer documentation lists a launch commission of 0.1% plus a 0.5 USDT base fee, before network and LayerZero costs. A $100,000 mint would cost about $100.50. Unverified accounts can mint up to 100 USDT.
450 Interested Firms, No Named Partners and Tron’s Head Start
Tron carries a large share of global USDT transfers and has years of wallet and exchange integrations.
USDT on Bitcoin (Utexo)
Backing: USDT0 locked on Arbitrum
Visibility: Confidential transfers
Stage: Testing on Signet
Exchange support: Partners not disclosed
USDT on Tron
Backing: Issued directly by Tether
Visibility: Public on-chain records
Stage: Established since 2019
Exchange support: Broad
BTC-Backed Loans and Direct Swaps Depend on Launch Liquidity
If enough USDT reaches Bitcoin, holders could swap BTC for dollars without leaving the network or using wrapped Bitcoin on Ethereum. Utexo also plans lending products that accept native BTC as collateral for USDT loans. Neither service has a published start date, rate or liquidity figure, and the company has not said how much USDT it expects to circulate on Bitcoin at launch. For exchanges, joining means handling RGB data, connecting to the mint and redemption flow and accepting exposure to the Arbitrum collateral.
Utexo is also using pricing to pull in early volume. In a post on HackerNoon, Ihnatiuk wrote that end users of partner wallets will pay no fees on USDT settlements during the launch phase as part of an incentive program. Utexo has not said how long that period will last, and what wallets charge once it ends will decide whether payment flows stay on Bitcoin or drift back to Tron.
Alex is a financial markets journalist and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, and he's spent close to ten years trying to answer one stubborn question: what's really driving this?
It started in 2016, when Bitcoin refused to make sense to him - and rather than shrug, he stayed with it until it did. That patience became his method. He's less interested in what an asset is doing today than in the plumbing behind it: how liquidity flows, where risk hides, what a chart is quietly telling you that the headline isn't. That lens eventually stretched well past crypto into traditional markets, because the same forces - fear, leverage, incentives, timing - show up everywhere once you know how to look.
Most coverage, in his view, insults the reader by stopping at the surface. Price up, price down, moving on. He'd rather leave someone genuinely understanding a move than merely informed that it happened.
His path into markets ran through a Tourism degree at New Bulgarian University - proof, maybe, that curiosity beats credentials. With more than 200 deep analyses and over 10,000 articles behind him, he still walks away from most trading days having learned something he didn't know that morning.
Sui spouští Hashi, infrastrukturu pro bitcoinové finance, s více než 500 mil. USD přislíbených prostředků od více než 20 partnerů. Tyto prostředky zatím nejsou vloženy do smart kontraktů.
Bitcoin cotiza este sábado 25 de octubre en 80.040 dólares, un 0,60% por debajo de hace 24 horas, según los datos de CoinGecko de las 09:20 UTC. La pregunta del día es directa: ¿cuál es la mejor criptomoneda para comprar hoy? La respuesta no cabe en una sola moneda, sino en dos perfiles de riesgo. Bitcoin sigue siendo el activo que el capital institucional compra en cada recorte, y Sui es la mediana capitalización con el catalizador más concreto de la semana: el despliegue por fases de Hashi, su infraestructura de finanzas de Bitcoin, que arranca con más de 500 millones de dólares en capital comprometido y con Anchorage Digital como socio de lanzamiento.
El matiz importa. El compromiso no es lo mismo que el despliegue: Sui no ha revelado cuánto de ese capital está ya depositado en los contratos de Hashi. Lo que sí está confirmado es la dirección del flujo: las instituciones con bitcoin en balance empiezan a tener un camino regulado para ponerlo a trabajar sin venderlo. Eso es lo que cambia la conversación para Sui, no el precio de una jornada.
El tablero de las grandes capitalizaciones El mercado mayor cotiza en rojo este sábado, salvo dos excepciones. Ethereum cede un 1,82% hasta 2.318 dólares; Solana baja un 1,05% hasta 100,36 dólares; BNB avanza un 0,38% hasta 735,05 dólares; y XRP suma un 0,95% hasta 1,29 dólares, según CoinGecko a las 09:20 UTC. La capitalización de bitcoin, 1,61 billones de dólares, sigue siendo el ancla de todo el tablero: equivale a más de cinco veces la de Ethereum y a más de 27 veces la de Solana.
El dato que conviene aislar es el rango de las últimas 24 horas. Bitcoin tocó un mínimo de 79.263 dólares y un máximo de 80.949, una franja estrecha que confirma que el activo se ha estabilizado en torno a los 80.000 dólares. No es un mercado que se desplome: es un mercado que espera, con el precio consolidando después de haber perforado la cota de los 80.000 dólares en las últimas jornadas.
La aritmética de un re-rating Antes de elegir una moneda conviene traducir los precios a capitalización de mercado, porque es el número que mide cuánto dinero nuevo haría falta para mover cada activo. Bitcoin vale 1,61 billones; Ethereum, 283.190 millones; BNB, 96.670 millones; XRP, 81.680 millones; y Solana, 59.190 millones.
El cálculo que la fuente no hace es el que más le importa al inversor. Sui cotiza con una capitalización de 3.725 millones de dólares y una valoración totalmente diluida de 9.045 millones, una brecha de 2,4 veces que mide el peso del suministro aún no emitido. Y el «10x» es una pregunta aritmética, no una promesa: si SUI multiplicara su capitalización por diez, alcanzaría 37.250 millones de dólares, aún por debajo de Solana. Dicho de otro modo, si Sui llegara a la capitalización actual de Solana, su precio pasaría de 0,90 a unos 14,40 dólares, una revalorización de 15,9 veces.
La referencia del billón de dólares añade otra escala. El blog de Sui estima que más de un billón de dólares en bitcoin permanece ocioso en balances institucionales. Si Hashi capturara apenas el 1% de esa cifra —10.000 millones de dólares en garantías— estaría atrayendo un volumen equivalente a 2,7 veces la capitalización actual de Sui. No es una previsión: es la magnitud del capital que la tesis exige para sostenerse.
Hashi: el bitcoin institucional deja de estar ocioso Aquí es donde la historia se vuelve concreta. Según el anuncio de la Fundación Sui del 8 de octubre, Hashi arranca su despliegue por fases este mes con más de 500 millones de dólares comprometidos por una coalición de más de 20 socios, entre ellos BitGo, Bullish, Cumberland, FalconX y Ledger. El mecanismo es el punto clave: el bitcoin depositado no abandona su red; se acuña hBTC en Sui contra ese depósito, y al salir se quema el hBTC y se libera el bitcoin original.
«Bitcoin ya se ha convertido en un activo de reserva global, y hoy la infraestructura financiera que lo rodea está alcanzándolo», declaró Adeniyi Abiodun, cofundador y director de producto de Mysten Labs. «Hashi se lanza con capital serio y una coalición de líderes de la industria porque las instituciones quieren poner a trabajar su bitcoin sin renunciar a las protecciones que exigen.»
Anchorage Digital, el primer banco cripto con carta federal de Estados Unidos, es el socio de lanzamiento más relevante. Abre dos rutas: Atlas, para instituciones que exigen custodia cualificada y liquidación tripartita, y Porto, para fondos cripto-nativos que prefieren la autocustodia. «Las empresas públicas y las instituciones tienen cantidades enormes de bitcoin, pero su capacidad de usar ese capital ha estado limitada por la tecnología disponible y las limitaciones del espacio DeFi», afirmó Nathan McCauley, consejero delegado de Anchorage Digital. «Conectar a nuestros clientes institucionales con Hashi representa una maduración de las finanzas de bitcoin.»
La capa de seguridad respalda la ambición. El colateral se asegura con una estructura multifirma 2-de-2 que exige la firma de los validadores de Hashi y de una capa guardiana, con una verificación formal de Certora y una revisión criptográfica de CommonPrefix. Y en el plano fiscal, el despacho Fenwick argumenta que el depósito y el rescate de bitcoin a través de Hashi no deberían constituir hechos imponibles en Estados Unidos, porque el tenedor no cede la propiedad del bitcoin subyacente. Es el mismo razonamiento que subyace a la visión de Michael Saylor sobre un sistema de 100 billones respaldado por bitcoin: el activo deja de ser un saldo estático y se convierte en garantía productiva.
No es un movimiento aislado. JPMorgan ya llevó sus fondos tokenizados de mercado monetario a Solana, otra señal de que los bancos empiezan a tratar a las capas 1 alternativas como infraestructura de liquidación, no solo como apuestas especulativas.
Lo que el precio de Sui aún no descuenta El contrapunto es tan importante como la tesis. SUI cae un 4,01% en 24 horas, la peor cifra entre las grandes capitalizaciones, y cotiza un 83% por debajo de su máximo histórico de 5,35 dólares de enero de 2025. Solo el 41% de los 10.000 millones de tokens está en circulación, de modo que la brecha entre capitalización y valoración diluida es un suministro que llegará al mercado con el tiempo.
Y el compromiso de 500 millones no es dinero ya desplegado. No existe un registro onchain público que muestre esa cifra dentro de los contratos de Hashi; es capital comprometido por los socios de lanzamiento, pendiente de integrarse a medida que cada custodio complete su puesta a punto. La promesa institucional es real, pero el flujo efectivo aún está por demostrarse. Mientras tanto, el bitcoin que Hashi quiere movilizar sigue atascado en torno a los 80.000 dólares, sin que los cierres diarios del último mes hayan perforado esa cota de forma sostenida. La institución ya tiene el camino; el mercado aún no ha decidido si lo recorre.
Preguntas frecuentes ¿Cuál es la mejor criptomoneda para comprar hoy? Depende del perfil de riesgo. Bitcoin (80.040 dólares) sigue siendo el activo más líquido y el ancla institucional; Sui es la apuesta de mediana capitalización con un catalizador concreto, el arranque de Hashi, su infraestructura de finanzas de Bitcoin.
¿Qué es Hashi y qué hace con el bitcoin? Hashi es la infraestructura de finanzas de Bitcoin de Sui. El bitcoin depositado permanece en la red de Bitcoin; se acuña hBTC en Sui para usarlo como garantía en préstamos, crédito y productos estructurados, y al salir se quema el hBTC y se libera el bitcoin.
¿Los 500 millones de dólares de Hashi ya están desplegados? No. Son compromisos de capital de más de 20 socios de lanzamiento, no un saldo ya depositado. Sui no ha publicado cuánto está activo en los contratos y el acceso se abrirá de forma progresiva conforme los socios completen sus integraciones.
¿Cuánto tendría que subir Sui para igualar a Solana? Sui capitaliza 3.725 millones de dólares y Solana 59.190 millones. Alcanzar esa capitalización implicaría multiplicar el precio de SUI por 15,9, de 0,90 a unos 14,40 dólares. Es una referencia de magnitud, no una proyección.
¿Por qué cae Sui hoy si Hashi es positivo? El mercado cripto mayor cotiza en rojo este sábado y Sui retrocede un 4,01%, la mayor caída entre las grandes capitalizaciones. El catalizador de Hashi es estructural y se despliega por fases; no compensa la toma de beneficios a corto plazo de un token que aún tiene el 59% de su suministro sin emitir.
Aviso: este artículo no constituye asesoramiento de inversión. El contenido y los materiales de esta página tienen fines exclusivamente educativos.
Spoluzakladatel BitMEX Arthur Hayes uzavřel směrové pozice společnosti Maelstrom a realizoval zisky z ETH, ENA a UNI kvůli nejistému makroekonomickému a geopolitickému prostředí.
Arthur Hayes, cofundador de BitMEX, cerró el libro direccional de Maelstrom, su oficina familiar, y tomó beneficios en ether (ETH), Ethena (ENA), Uniswap (UNI) y «otras shitcoins». Lo anunció él mismo en X el 24 de octubre con una tesis tan corta como contundente: «creo que hay que bajar para subir». La decisión llega con bitcoin (BTC) defendiendo los 80.000 dólares y un mercado que liquidó unos 820 millones de dólares en posiciones apalancadas. Esto es lo que vendió, por qué y qué nivel conviene vigilar.
Qué vendió Hayes y qué dijo exactamente El mensaje original no deja margen a la interpretación. Hayes escribió: «I dumped it all. The Maelstrom directional book, took profits on $ETH, $ENA, $UNI and other shitcoins». Traducido: «Lo vendí todo. El libro direccional de Maelstrom; tomé beneficios en ETH, ENA, UNI y otras shitcoins».
Sobre el motivo fue igual de directo. «I think we gotta go down to go up», escribió, es decir, «creo que hay que bajar para subir». Y sobre el entorno que le lleva a salir: «It looks a bit dicey out there in macro and geopolitical land» — «el panorama macro y geopolítico se ve un poco delicado». Su plan a partir de ahora también es explícito: «Going to sit on the sidelines and wait for the all clear signal… Brrrrr» — «me quedo al margen y espero la señal de vía libre».
El matiz importa. Hayes no está liquidando bitcoin: su familia de fondos es históricamente larga en BTC. Lo que cerró es el libro direccional de Maelstrom, es decir, las posiciones de trading táctico en tokens como ETH, ENA y UNI, no una cartera estratégica de bitcoin. Vender «shitcoins» y esperar una caída para recomprar más abajo es exactamente la lectura de un operador que ve una limpieza de apalancamiento antes de un nuevo tramo alcista.
El contexto: 820 millones liquidados y bitcoin bajo los 80.000 El anuncio no cayó en el vacío. El 24 de octubre bitcoin tocó los 79.263 dólares, su nivel más bajo en semanas, antes de recuperar el soporte. Este sábado 25 cotiza en torno a los 80.836 dólares, con un rango de 24 horas entre 79.263 y 81.445, según datos de CoinGecko. En términos de precio, el retroceso desde el cierre del 21 de octubre (84.093 dólares) hasta el mínimo del 24 es del 5,7%.
El movimiento vino acompañado de una cascada de liquidaciones. Según CoinGlass, en 24 horas se liquidaron unos 820 millones de dólares en posiciones de futuros; solo en bitcoin fueron 239,65 millones, de los que el 93,1% (223 millones) eran posiciones largas. Ether sumó 188,21 millones en liquidaciones y solana (SOL) otros 32,88 millones. La lectura es clara: el retroceso se llevó por delante a los apalancados que compraron la subida, no a los tenedores de contado.
A ese ajuste técnico se suman dos catalizadores de fondo. Los ETF de bitcoin al contado en Estados Unidos encadenaron dos sesiones de salidas netas, y la renta variable tecnológica retrocedió mientras el petróleo subía por la tensión en Oriente Medio. Es justo el cóctel «macro y geopolítico» al que apunta Hayes.
La aritmética del retroceso: tres números que explican el miedo Pongamos cifras al movimiento para separar el ruido del dato. Primero, la caída: de 84.093 a 79.263 dólares hay un 5,7% de recorrido, pero desde el máximo de los últimos 30 días (86.530 dólares el 4 de octubre) la corrección alcanza el 6,6%. No es una capitulación, es una corrección dentro de un rango.
Segundo, la velocidad de las liquidaciones. Según datos de CoinGlass recopilados a lo largo de la semana, el total diario liquidado pasó de unos 267 millones de dólares el 21 de octubre a 418 millones el 22 y a 820 millones el 24. Es decir, la sangría apalancada se multiplicó por tres en tres sesiones. Tercero, la composición: el 93,1% de las liquidaciones de bitcoin eran largas. Cuando el 93% del dolor está en un lado, el mercado suele estar más cerca de un suelo de apalancamiento que de un techo.
Esta es la capa que el tuit de Hayes no cuantifica, pero que su decisión de vender en la parte alta del rango y esperar una caída encaja a la perfección.
Qué significa «bajar para subir» (y el contrapunto) La tesis «go down to go up» no es nueva en Hayes. En agosto argumentó que un rescate del yen respaldado por la Reserva Federal podría impulsar bitcoin y ether, y su lectura de fondo siempre ha sido alcista para BTC a medio plazo. «Bajar para subir» significa que espera una limpieza de posiciones y de expectativas antes del siguiente tramo: un suelo, no un final.
El contrapunto es obligado. Primero, Hayes vende su propio libro y comunica su propia posición; una oficina familiar —cuyo tamaño no se ha revelado— no es el mercado. Segundo, su historial de timing no es infalible: ha pronosticado caídas que no llegaron y repuntes que tardaron meses. Tercero, su salida de ETH, ENA y UNI es una decisión de trading táctico, no una sentencia sobre la viabilidad de esas redes. La limitación central de este análisis es la misma: no conocemos el tamaño real del libro que cerró, así que la señal es cualitativa, no cuantitativa.
Qué vigilar a continuación La señal operativa concreta que deja el movimiento es el nivel de los 80.000 dólares. Es un soporte con base en el mínimo del 24 de octubre y en la referencia psicológica redonda; un cierre diario por debajo de 79.263 dólares lo invalidaría y abriría la puerta al rango de los 77.000, que es el siguiente escalón de liquidez. Por arriba, la recuperación de los 84.000 volvería a poner la tesis bajista de corto plazo en cuestión.
Hay que seguir dos datos que pueden mover el mercado antes que cualquier tuit: el flujo de los ETF de bitcoin al contado (dos días de salidas seguidos que, de revertirse, quitarían presión vendedora) y la «señal de vía libre» macro a la que alude Hayes —en la práctica, una estabilización de los tipos y del petróleo. Mientras tanto, el precio de bitcoin hoy seguirá operando pegado a los 80.000, con los apalancados ya fuera y los operadores de contado observando desde el margen, igual que Hayes.
Preguntas frecuentes ¿Por qué vendió Arthur Hayes sus criptomonedas? Porque cree que el mercado debe bajar antes de subir. Cerró el libro direccional de Maelstrom y tomó beneficios en ETH, ENA y UNI citando un entorno macro y geopolítico «delicado», y anunció que esperará la «señal de vía libre» para volver a comprar.
¿Qué es el libro direccional de Maelstrom? Maelstrom es la oficina familiar de Arthur Hayes. Su libro direccional son las posiciones de trading táctico (largas y cortas) en criptoactivos como ETH, ENA y UNI, distintas de una cartera estratégica de bitcoin a largo plazo.
¿Cuánto cayó bitcoin y cuánto se liquidó? Bitcoin tocó los 79.263 dólares el 24 de octubre y cotiza en torno a los 80.836 dólares el 25, un 5,7% por debajo del cierre del 21 de octubre (84.093). En 24 horas se liquidaron unos 820 millones de dólares, de los que 239,65 millones fueron en bitcoin, según CoinGlass.
¿Es bajista Arthur Hayes sobre bitcoin? No de forma estructural. Hayes es históricamente alcista en bitcoin a medio plazo. «Bajar para subir» expresa que espera un suelo antes del siguiente tramo alcista, no el fin del ciclo. Su venta afectó a altcoins, no a una tesis de largo plazo sobre BTC.
¿Qué nivel de bitcoin hay que vigilar? El soporte de los 80.000 dólares, con base en el mínimo del 24 de octubre (79.263). Un cierre diario por debajo de ese nivel abriría los 77.000; recuperar los 84.000 pondría en duda la tesis bajista de corto plazo.
Aviso: este artículo no constituye asesoramiento de inversión. El contenido y los materiales de esta página tienen fines exclusivamente educativos.
Electrum vydal verzi 4.8.3, která opravuje závažnou chybu zneužitou škodlivými servery k přesměrování bitcoinových plateb; potvrzeny jsou dva incidenty včetně jednoho případu krádeže prostředků.
Electrum has released version 4.8.3 to fix a high-severity Bitcoin wallet vulnerability that malicious servers have exploited to redirect user payments, with developers confirming at least one case of stolen funds.
Summary
Electrum released version 4.8.3 after confirming that malicious servers were exploiting a high-severity vulnerability.
Attackers replaced pending Bitcoin payments with fraudulent transactions that users could mistakenly authorize through fee bumps.
Two users reported incidents, including one who lost Bitcoin after increasing a transaction fee.
The vulnerability affected every Electrum version before 4.8.3; developers have not disclosed total losses.
The security patch verifies signatures on unconfirmed transactions spending coins controlled by the wallet.
According to the wallet’s October 24 security advisory, attackers exploited how Electrum handled unconfirmed Bitcoin transactions, replacing legitimate outgoing payments with fraudulent ones that users could accidentally authorize while increasing transaction fees.
Electrum is a lightweight Bitcoin wallet that connects to external servers for transaction histories, broadcasting and other network information. Unlike a full Bitcoin node, the software does not independently process every aspect of blockchain activity.
New release: Electrum 4.8.3. This release fixes a critical security issue, so we urge all users to upgrade. A description of the vulnerability will be published later today. (note: Windows Defender may show a warning about ZXing.dll, ignore that, it is a false positive)
— Electrum (@ElectrumWallet) October 24, 2026
Its documentation explains that Electrum verifies confirmed transactions through Simple Payment Verification but has historically trusted its main server when displaying pending transactions.
Attackers exploited this distinction by intercepting transactions submitted through malicious servers before they reached the Bitcoin network.
After preventing a legitimate transaction from being broadcast, an attacker could send the wallet a replacement transaction that changed the receiving address to one under the attacker’s control.
Although the replacement carried invalid signatures, vulnerable Electrum versions did not check them before displaying the transaction in the wallet’s history.
The deception became dangerous when users tried to increase the transaction fee through Replace-by-Fee, or RBF, a Bitcoin feature that allows an unconfirmed payment to be replaced with another paying a higher fee.
By approving the fee adjustment, users could unknowingly sign a valid transaction paying the attacker.
Electrum confirms real-world exploitation and Bitcoin losses
Developers disclosed two privately reported incidents, establishing that the vulnerability had moved beyond a theoretical attack.
On October 11, a user identified as dannydeezy reported that a transaction displayed in Electrum’s history did not match the payment originally submitted.
A second user, Raju-K12, contacted developers on October 18 after losing funds while attempting to increase a transaction fee.
According to the advisory, both incidents involved attacker-controlled receiving addresses designed to match the final four characters of the intended recipient’s Bitcoin address.
In the second case, the fraudulent transaction carried a zero fee, which developers suspected was intended to encourage the victim to initiate a fee increase.
The first report involved a two-of-three multisignature wallet using two Trezor devices. Its legitimate transaction contained 31 inputs and one output.
Investigators found that all 62 signatures were valid for the original payment but invalid for the substituted transaction. The fake redirected nearly all the Bitcoin to a lookalike address and returned a small amount to the wallet.
The original transaction remained valid but had never reached the public Bitcoin network.
Electrum acknowledged that some servers were performing the attack in the wild. However, developers have not disclosed how many servers participated, the amount stolen or whether additional victims have been identified.
Electrum 4.8.3 blocks malicious fee-bump transactions
The fix was incorporated into version 4.8.3 on October 23, with downloadable binaries released on October 24.
Through commit 90fe308, developers introduced signature verification for unconfirmed transactions spending inputs owned by the user’s wallet.
Electrum now checks those signatures before accepting the transactions into its local history, preventing the fraudulent outgoing payments described in the advisory from appearing as legitimate transactions.
The update does not make Electrum a full Bitcoin node. Developers clarified that incoming unconfirmed transactions remain outside the new signature checks, while confirmed payments continue to undergo existing verification procedures.
Users running versions before 4.8.3 have been urged to download the update from the official Electrum website.
For anyone unable to upgrade immediately, developers recommend checking complete receiving addresses and amounts before signing transactions, including fee replacements.
According to the advisory, users connecting exclusively to trusted servers, including their own, are not exposed to this particular malicious-server attack.
Electrum’s previous attacks reveal recurring server risks
The incident follows previous attempts to exploit Electrum’s reliance on outside servers.
In December 2018, crypto.news reported that malicious servers had displayed fraudulent software-update instructions to users. Contemporary reports estimated losses approaching $1 million.
Another malicious-server campaign in 2019 used fake wallet updates and denial-of-service activity to redirect users toward compromised software.
Those attacks relied on deceptive downloads, while the newly patched vulnerability manipulated pending transaction information inside an otherwise legitimate wallet.
An interview about Electrum servers published in 2020 examined the trade-offs of lightweight wallets, including their reliance on external infrastructure for transaction histories.
Electrum’s own documentation says its client typically connects to approximately 10 servers, but selects one main server to retrieve wallet history and broadcast transactions. The documentation states that this main server is trusted regarding unconfirmed transactions.
V pátek vyprší bitcoinové opce v hodnotě 11 miliard USD, zatímco rozhodnutí Fedu, inflace měřená indexem PCE a údaje o HDP USA mohou zvýšit volatilitu.
A weekly close above $82K and the 1W 50MA would strengthen the bullish case for Bitcoin, says Ash Crypto.
The Fed is expected to hold rates at 3.75%-4%, but Warsh’s press conference could signal a December hike.
PCE inflation near 3.6% and Thursday’s US Q3 GDP print could swing sentiment for Bitcoin and risk assets.
$11B in Bitcoin options expire Friday, days before the midterms Bitcoin has historically corrected after.
The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision Wednesday, October 28, at 2 p.m. ET. Markets expect rates to hold at 3.75% to 4%. Traders will watch Warsh’s press conference for any hint of a December rate hike.
Bitcoin options worth $11 billion also expire Friday, adding pressure to a crowded calendar. Oil sits at $117 a barrel amid US-Iran tensions, which adds another layer of uncertainty.
Bitcoin Volatility Builds as the Fed, Inflation and GDP Collide
The week is packed. According to The Kobeissi Letter, new home sales arrive Tuesday. September PCE inflation and Q3 2026 GDP follow Thursday.
PCE inflation is projected near 3.6%. Microsoft and Alphabet report earnings Wednesday. Amazon and Intel report Thursday. Roughly 20% of S&P 500 companies also publish results this week, so earnings and macro data will land together.
Key Events This Week:
1. September New Home Sales data – Tuesday
2. October Fed Meeting and Rate Decision – Wednesday
3. Microsoft, $MSFT, and Alphabet, $GOOGL, Report Earnings – Wednesday
4. September PCE Inflation data – Thursday
5. US Q3 2026 GDP Data – Thursday
6.…
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 25, 2026
A hold is the expected outcome, so the real signal sits elsewhere. Warsh’s press conference could show whether policymakers lean toward a December hike. Any such hint would matter for risk assets.
Oil adds pressure. At $117 a barrel, energy costs keep inflation risk in focus while US-Iran tensions persist.
That mix tests whether AI investment can offset inflation and geopolitical risk. Bitcoin sits in the middle of that test.
Crypto analyst Ash Crypto calls it a high-volatility week for the market. The analyst says Bitcoin has shown strength despite pressure across global markets.
Confirmation is still needed. A weekly close above $82,000 and the 1-week 50-period moving average would strengthen the bullish case. That moving average tracks the longer-term trend, so reclaiming it signals buyers are in control.
The PCE and GDP prints on October 29 could swing sentiment either way. Strong GDP growth with cooling inflation could lift Bitcoin and crypto, per Ash Crypto. Hotter inflation could delay rate cuts and pressure risk assets.
CRYPTO IS HEADING INTO A HIGH-VOLATILITY WEEK
Despite the pressure across global markets, Bitcoin has shown strength. But we still need confirmation.
A weekly close above $82K and the 1W 50MA would strengthen the bullish case and signal that bulls are in control.
⚠️ Here's… pic.twitter.com/CqLGZd9Vup
— Ash Crypto (@AshCrypto) October 25, 2026
Why Bitcoin Volatility Could Spill Into Japan and the Midterms
The Fed is not the only central bank in play. On October 30, Japan reports unemployment data. The Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates steady.
A surprise hike would change that picture. It could strengthen the yen and trigger volatility across global markets. Crypto would likely feel the pressure.
Politics adds another layer. The Kobeissi Letter notes the Iran war continues to escalate. US midterm elections are only days away.
Ash Crypto adds a historical warning. Bitcoin has corrected after every midterm, the analyst says. That pattern is not a forecast, but it raises the stakes for this week’s close.
Options expiry compounds the risk. With $11 billion in Bitcoin options expiring Friday, positioning can shift quickly around the data. Expiry days can also amplify price swings as traders adjust their exposure.
Bitcoin has held up, but confirmation is missing. A weekly close above $82,000 would help bulls, while a hawkish Warsh or hot inflation could challenge that case.
President Donald Trump said the US could strike Iran as soon as Sunday, or reach a deal instead. This comes as Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $80,546 after briefly dipping below $80,000 on Saturday.
So what happens to Bitcoin if a strike does come, or if a deal lands instead? Past instances may offer a clue.
What Past Iran Headlines ShowOn October 8, Trump pledged to hold off on strikes until the November 3 midterms. Bitcoin dipped to $80,393 that day but closed at $81,754, according to TradingView data for Binance.
On October 22, a report on post-midterm US and Israeli strike plans emerged. Bitcoin fell from an October 21 high of $84,898 to $80,939, closing the day at $81,416.
US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) lost $635.49 million that day, a day after drawing $528.40 million.
As talk of a weekend strike built, Bitcoin fell to $79,220 on Saturday. It recovered to close the day at $80,888. Escalation headlines cut Bitcoin by 2% to 5% intraday, while the pledge brought no lasting rally.
Bitcoin price chart marking October 2026 US-Iran headlines and the $80,000 level. Source: BeInCryptoLeveraged Longs Took the Hit Near $80,000CoinGlass data shows $543.68 million in liquidations over 24 hours, with long positions accounting for $461.19 million.
Crypto Liquidations on October 25. Source: CoinglassThe $80,000 level also matters for institutional holders. Glassnode places the cost basis of ETF and treasury-company investors between $80,000 and $81,500.
According to the firm, a daily close below $80,000 would leave the average holder at a loss. It would also bring the True Market Mean near $77,600 into view.
A weekend strike could test that line quickly.
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What a Strike Could Mean When Markets ReopenBecause Bitcoin trades through the weekend, it would likely absorb the first reaction to any strike.
Past strikes offer a mixed guide. When the war began on February 28, Bitcoin fell to $63,030 but closed the day at $66,973. After the early September strikes, it dipped to $76,264, then jumped 5.08% on September 3.
Gold could also feel pressure when traditional markets reopen. Glassnode data shows Bitcoin’s correlation with gold set an eight-year record in September and remains near it.
Its dollar correlation is among its most negative, so a rush into the dollar could weigh on both.
Oil adds inflation risk, with Brent at $117.30 on Friday. A strike could push it higher before the Fed decides on October 28.
A deal could cool those worries, though the October 8 pledge showed relief can be modest. Thus, Bitcoin’s response to these headlines is the signal to watch this weekend.
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Bank of Israel odmítla plán premiéra Benjamina Netanjahua využít kryptoměny k obcházení možných sankcí s tím, že kryptoměny k tomuto účelu použít nelze.
Bitcoin changed hands at $81,542 shortly after 20:00 UTC on Saturday, essentially flat on the day. Beneath that quiet print, Israel’s prime minister and his own central bank spent the session arguing in public over whether cryptocurrency can be a shield against financial sanctions, with the Knesset election only four days away.
On Friday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Channel 10 economic network that Israel should brace for possible banking sanctions and build an economy able to bypass them. Asked whether blockchain was the intended workaround, he called it “one of them, certainly” and said he had already ordered a plan prepared, according to The Times of Israel’s account of the interview.
The Bank of Israel answered on Saturday with a rare, direct public rebuke. “Cryptocurrencies cannot serve as a means to circumvent sanctions,” the central bank said, and it placed the burden back on the politicians to prevent sanctions rather than route around them.
A Prime Minister Pivots to Crypto Four Days Before the Vote Netanyahu’s comments landed a day after Britain and eleven other Western countries announced sanctions on goods from Israeli settlements in the West Bank, following a wave of settler attacks on Palestinians. The measures target the settlement economy specifically, but Israeli economists have warned for weeks that the fallout could spill into the wider economy. The prime minister framed that risk as unavoidable.
“You have to understand that there could be banking sanctions,” he said. “You need to prepare an economy that can circumvent them… and I’m working on that as well.”
Pressed on whether blockchain was the answer, he did not hedge. “One of them, certainly. And I have already requested that a plan for this should be prepared.”
He also conceded that the tens of billions of dollars in annual American defense aid “won’t keep coming,” telling viewers that “America has changed… It’s over, and it will be over. It’s just a matter of time.”
The Central Bank’s Rebuke, Verbatim The Bank of Israel’s statement, as reported by Israeli media on Saturday, was blunt: “Cryptocurrencies cannot serve as a means to circumvent sanctions.”
It then handed the responsibility back to the government. “The right course for the Israeli economy is to maintain economic relations with our primary trading partners and to focus on preventing sanctions and their negative impact on the economy. This is the responsibility of the political leadership, and it should act upon it.”
Netanyahu answered the same evening on Channel 14. “We have other means; crypto is one of them — it is not the sole method, and it is not certain that it will actually be used,” he said. Then, pointedly: “I thank the Bank of Israel for their advice, but I do what I think is right.”
The Mechanical Flaw in a Crypto Sanctions Hedge The central bank’s objection is not ideological. It is mechanical. A state cannot settle an import bill through Bitcoin the way it settles one through correspondent banks, because the choke points sit at the edges of the crypto system, not in the middle.
Every large off-ramp that converts crypto back into dollars, euros or physical goods runs a sanctions-compliance program. The same is true of the stablecoin issuers that dominate settlement volume. A government flagged by Western sanctions lists would hit the identical wall at those rails that it hits at the banking system today. The UK’s October action against exchanges accused of helping Russia evade sanctions — detailed in our coverage of the Cryptomus, Heleket and TokenSpot designations — is the recent template for how fast those rails close.
Blockchains are also pseudonymous, not anonymous. Transaction histories are public and permanently recorded, and tracing firms have turned a decade of enforcement — from the 2016 Bitfinex theft to Tornado Cash — into a standing audit trail. A state running meaningful trade volume through public rails would be the most traceable sanctions target in the market, not the least.
Precedent is not kind to the idea. North Korea’s state-linked groups and Iran’s crypto operations have both been traced through public ledgers and sanctioned at the exchange layer, and neither economy came close to substituting crypto rails for banking access. The on-chain record does not go away just because the sender is a government.
The Market Priced It as Noise Bitcoin dipped below $80,000 earlier on Saturday on renewed Middle East worries, then climbed back to $81,542 by 20:04 UTC. That is a round trip of roughly 1.9% from the sub-$80,000 zone while the Netanyahu–central bank fight was the region’s top story.
The market’s read was that a prime minister floating crypto is a political signal, not a bid for the asset. Four days before a vote, the remark reads as an election argument about economic self-reliance, not as an order to acquire reserves. Nothing in the interview referenced a purchase, an allocation, or a treasury vehicle.
The broader setup was already risk-off. Bitcoin has tracked U.S. equities lower through the week, and the same Middle East escalation that is driving oil toward multi-month highs was the catalyst behind the October 22 slide below $82,000. Saturday’s dip below $80,000 was a continuation of that trade, not a fresh reaction to the crypto remark.
What the Election Changes — and What It Doesn’t At this stage the crypto plan is a request to advisers, not legislation, not a reserve allocation, and not a state buying program. Nothing has been enacted, and the Bank of Israel has made clear it will not treat the idea as a working policy.
The rebuke matters because it is so rare. Central banks almost never publicly contradict a sitting prime minister on economic policy, and the Bank of Israel chose to do so four days before a vote. The message is less about crypto than about drawing a line: preventing sanctions is a political job, and no ledger replaces it.
The concrete signals to watch are whether the Finance Ministry or the central bank publishes a formal assessment, whether Netanyahu’s rivals turn the crypto plan into an election issue, and whether any follow-up names a mechanism. A sovereign Bitcoin reserve would be a materially different story from a floated talking point.
For now, the data says crypto is a sanctions argument, not a sanctions tool. The market priced the distinction in less than a day.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Coinbase varuje, že pokud Bitcoin neudrží support v pásmu 80–82 tisíc USD, může kvůli inflaci, nízké likviditě a geopolitickému napětí klesnout do pásma 73–75 tisíc USD.
Coinbase is cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin’s [BTC] near-term, flagging that the macro headwind could drag the crypto asset below $80K.
In its weekly market review, Coinbase Senior Quantitative Strategist Colin Basco flagged sticky inflation and an 80% chance of a December Fed rate hike.
Basco said Bitcoin could still defend the $80K-$82K zone as support since it is a confluence of the 50-day Moving Average and ETF cost basis. At the same time, he warned,
However, if this area fails, then we view $73-75K as the next area of support.
But Bitcoin’s challenges go beyond just inflation and macro fears.
Mid-term Bitcoin challenges According to Coinbase, Bitcoin treasury demand has faded in H2 2026, leaving U.S. spot ETFs to do the heavy lifting.
Source: Coinbase But even the ETFs have seen significant fluctuations. On the 23rd of October, the complex saw $635 million in net outflows, marking one of the largest single-day outflows in H2 2026. The risk-off move rhymed with ongoing speculation that the U.S.-Iran escalations may be renewed at any time.
Similarly, crypto market liquidity, as tracked by stablecoin supply change, is down by nearly $13 billion from its May peak. The Coinbase premium has also stayed negative in October, Coinbase’s Basco warned.
In other words, crypto-native liquidity is not there, and U.S. retail investors, outside ETF buyers, are yet to come back in large numbers. Simply put, there is little buying pressure for BTC, and this was illustrated by the negative apparent demand.
Source: CryptoQuant Add the macro (next week’s Fed rate decision) and geopolitical pressure (US-Iran tensions) to the fragile setup, and the $80K level increasingly seems at risk.
Bitcoin market positioning in Q4 Besides, Coinbase noted that there was a heavy supply cluster of over 2.1M BTC sitting between $87.5K and $91.7K. This meant the zone could act as a roadblock to any reversal attempts.
In the Options market, institutions were actively hedging against downside risk scenarios. This was illustrated by the 25-Delta Skew surging from 5% to 15% for the 1-day and 1-week tenors. It meant increased demand for downside protection or put buying, with $75K and $73K as the key levels of interest.
Furthermore, there was short-term fear ahead of the Fed rate decision and renewed U.S.-Iran tensions, which dragged the BTC price near $80K as of writing.
Source: Laevitas It’s worth pointing out that in the past three months, the 25-Delta Skew only made a slight uptick from 6% to 10%. It implied a long-term calm, suggesting that institutional players viewed the macro and geopolitical fears as short-term rather than a prolonged negative impact.
Final Summary Crypto liquidity has declined by nearly $13 billion since May, and treasury firms’ demand has faded. Coinbase warned that macro headwinds and the fragile demand setup could drag BTC below $80K.
Americké spotové ETF na bitcoin zaznamenaly v pátek čistý odliv prostředků ve výši 137,9 milionu USD, zejména kvůli odlivu 110,3 milionu USD z fondu IBIT společnosti BlackRock.
Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the United States saw outflows totaling $137.9 million on Friday, October 23, according to Farside Investors. The withdrawals marked the second consecutive session of net redemptions from Bitcoin funds, with BlackRock’s IBIT recording the largest single-day loss.
Major Bitcoin ETF Redemptions Led by IBIT and FBTCBlackRock’s IBIT experienced net outflows of $110.3 million, representing the day’s largest withdrawal among Bitcoin funds. Fidelity’s FBTC followed with $31.8 million in redemptions, bringing combined outflows from these two largest U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs to $142.1 million—exceeding the total net outflow for the day.
Morgan Stanley’s MSBT was the only U.S. Bitcoin ETF to post inflows, attracting $4.2 million in new deposits. All other major funds, including BITB, ARKB, BTCO, EZBC, BRRR, BTCW, GBTC, and BTC, registered no flows during the session, according to updated figures from Farside Investors.
Net flow figures aggregate new deposits and withdrawals across all listed ETFs. Since IBIT and FBTC hold the largest pool of spot Bitcoin ETF assets in the United States, their daily changes have a significant influence on the overall market balance. A single substantial redemption from either fund often has a larger impact than smaller inflows elsewhere, as illustrated by Friday’s data.
Weekly Trends Show Volatility Despite Net InflowsFarside’s flow records, which track movement since early October, detail sharp daily fluctuations. On October 19, Bitcoin ETFs took in $526.7 million, standing in stark contrast to the subsequent heavy outflows that persisted into October 22 and the following Friday.
Despite these sizable withdrawals, net flows for Bitcoin ETFs remained positive for the week, helped mainly by the strong inflow recorded on October 19. This pattern reflects previous trading periods when the price stabilized around $81,700 following notable ETF outflows totaling $635 million.
Technical analysis continues to play a key role for traders in volatile conditions. One analyst, Killa, compared the present setup to the trends seen in 2023, noting that Bitcoin had broken above its trading range and made a new weekly high. He suggested the market could now seek a higher low above the $74,000 level. However, he acknowledged this view is based on price action and not ETF flow data.
Killa described current market conditions as “very much bullish,” emphasizing that his perspective focuses on price structure rather than fund flows shaping the trend.
In fast-moving digital asset markets, monitoring technical patterns is as important as tracking fund flows. For meme tokens in particular, this level of attention can carry significant rewards. An example from Fomo App data showed that a trade involving the “Niu Lai” token turned a $99 investment into approximately $370,000. The app integrates token discovery and social features, making it easier to spot trending assets and follow top investor activity in this rapidly shifting segment.
Ether ETFs Steady Amid Recent VolatilitySpot Ether ETFs collectively posted net inflows of $4.4 million on Friday. Fidelity’s FETH led activity with a $3.6 million deposit, while Morgan Stanley’s MSSE registered $0.8 million. Other funds finished the session flat, with no net flows reported.
The day’s positive movement in Ether ETFs was modest relative to the sharp outflows recorded earlier in the week. Ether funds experienced withdrawals of about $110 million on October 22, with total losses reaching nearly $225 million between October 19 and 22. Friday’s smaller inflow offset only a minor part of these losses.
Analysts viewed the renewed inflow as a temporary pause rather than a full reversal of the withdrawal trend. For now, redemptions slowed, providing a brief break from recent selling pressure.
Analyst Joep Gerla indicated that Ether may sweep liquidity down toward the $2,200 level before attempting a recovery, suggesting a potential for continued short-term price volatility.
Bitcoin vzrostl z červencového minima kolem 57 850 USD do 22. října přibližně o 40 % na 81 455 USD, zatímco spotové ETF zaznamenaly odlivy ve výši 635,6 milionu USD.
Ali Martinez identified Bitcoin drawdowns of 72%, 65%, 52%, and 27% across four midterm cycles since 2010.
Bitcoin’s past election-cycle losses coincided with Mt. Gox’s fall, a Bitcoin Cash split, and FTX’s collapse.
Bitcoin recovered about 40% from its July low near $57,850 to roughly $81,455 by October 22 this year.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $635.6 million in October 22 outflows ahead of the Fed’s October 28 decision.
Bitcoin’s midterm election ‘curse’ has resurfaced ahead of November 3, after analyst Ali Martinez documented four declines surrounding U.S. votes. The comparison renewed crash concerns, although it provides no evidence that elections caused the losses.
In an October 24 post, Martinez reported drawdowns of 72% in 2010, 65% in 2014, 52% in 2018, and 27% in 2022. His figures describe declines around election cycles rather than annual returns, a distinction essential to the pattern.
BITCOIN MIDTERM ELECTION CURSE
Look at what happened to $BTC around the previous four US midterm election cycles:
Four consecutive cycles of significant downside. https://t.co/arfhewEg74 pic.twitter.com/WOIBBYz18C
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) October 24, 2026
Meanwhile, BTC entered the countdown above its July low but near support. The price analysis involves both historical returns and institutional positioning, not simply the election calendar.
Four Midterm Election Drawdowns Fuel Bitcoin Crash Fears
The BTC drawdowns span different market conditions. Binance Research calculated annual losses of 56% in 2014, 73% in 2018, and 64% in 2022. It excluded 2010 because trading liquidity was negligible.
Quarterly figures illustrate the mismatch. Bitcoin surged 391% in the final quarter of 2010, then declined 16.70% in 2014, 42.16% in 2018, and 14.75% in 2022. Consequently, BTC price analysis cannot treat drawdowns and calendar-period returns as evidence of an election effect.
Other events shaped the downturns. The 2014 bear market coincided with Mt. Gox’s collapse, while a contentious Bitcoin Cash split intensified losses in 2018. In 2022, higher interest rates weakened speculative assets, and FTX filed for bankruptcy on November 11, three days after voting.
Market bottoms also varied. BTC reached lows approximately 71 days after the 2014 election, 38 days after 2018’s vote, and 13 days after 2022’s. That variation limits any price analysis claiming a fixed election-driven timetable.
Bitcoin’s $80,000 Demand Zone Faces ETF Outflows and Fed Risk
This cycle differed. Bitcoin rose roughly 40% from its July 1 low near $57,850 to around $81,455 on October 22. Glassnode identified demand between $80,000 and $81,500, close to acquisition costs for U.S. spot exchange-traded funds and corporate treasuries. Its broader valuation reference stood near $77,600.
For BTC, price analysis places resistance between $85,000 and $87,500. Martinez separately identified $73,000 as a downside reference tied to short-term holders’ cost basis. Another price analysis reference, Glassnode’s short-term holder realized price, stood around $75,800.
Neither figure establishes a confirmed crash target. Institutional flows added pressure. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $635.6 million in net outflows on October 22. BTC also faces the Federal Reserve’s October 28 decision before election day.
For now, BTC price analysis centers on whether buyers defend nearby demand. The Bitcoin election pattern remains a historical comparison, while BTC price analysis cannot isolate voting as the cause of previous losses.
IRS chce daňové nedoplatky související s kryptoměnami řešit v rámci obecného programu dobrovolného oznámení, který může nabídnout nižší pokuty a splátkové kalendáře.
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has announced plans to address cryptocurrency-related tax issues through its general voluntary disclosure program. This initiative aims to consider lower penalties and offer payment plans, indicating a potential easing of compliance burdens for U.S. cryptocurrency taxpayers. This move keeps crypto within the same disclosure process as other tax violations, rather than establishing a separate channel. While the development suggests a shift in the IRS’s approach, specifics on penalty reductions and eligibility are yet to be finalized. The market appears to view these changes as potentially easing regulatory concerns, which could influence Bitcoin’s price projections.
Key Takeaways
The IRS’s decision to use its general voluntary disclosure program for crypto suggests a shift in regulatory approach.
Market participants may perceive this as potentially reducing compliance burdens, supportive of more optimistic scenarios for Bitcoin’s price.
The lack of a crypto-specific disclosure channel indicates the IRS’s intent to streamline processes across tax issues.
What to Watch
Observers should monitor for further details from the IRS regarding penalty structures and program eligibility, as these could impact market sentiment. Additionally, any formal announcements or clarifications from the IRS could provide clearer indicators of the potential regulatory landscape for cryptocurrency in the U.S. These developments may influence Bitcoin price predictions, particularly in scenarios where regulatory clarity encourages institutional adoption.
Společnosti včetně Strategy a Strive nakoupily 135 979 BTC prostřednictvím financování z preferenčních akcií, což představuje více než 0,5 % maximální nabídky Bitcoinu.
Fidelity data shows that as of October 5, 2025, bitcoin treasury firms including Strategy and Strive have used related preferred stock financing to purchase 135,979 BTC, accounting for over 0.5% of bitcoin’s total maximum supply. The market size of this type of preferred stock is approximately $120 billion. Analysts note these firms face a balancing act between using perpetual preferred stock financing to buy bitcoin and sustaining dividend payments. Perpetual preferred stock has no fixed maturity date, easing refinancing pressure and attracting income-focused investors reluctant to hold bitcoin directly. However, as issuance scales up, dividend expenses will rise. Analysts add that sustained financing for bitcoin purchases depends on preferred stock trading at or near par value; if it trades below par, new issuances will become less attractive, and firms may lean toward buybacks. CoinShares Head of Research James Butterfill points out that Strategy’s latest weekly report shows the firm spent $193 million to repurchase STRC, bought only 267 BTC in the same period, and raised its preferred stock repurchase authorization cap to $30 billion. He says buybacks can reduce future dividend costs, but also compete with current bitcoin purchases for capital. Bitwise Head of Research Ryan Rasmussen forecasts that ETFs will remain a larger source of bitcoin demand in the long run, while perpetual preferred stock caters to a distinct group of income-focused investors, providing a second stream of demand support. Butterfill believes preferred stock could amplify market cycles: it supports bitcoin purchases when financing conditions are favorable, but that support weakens when market sentiment deteriorates.
Bitcoin klesl na zhruba 79 750 USD, nejnižší úroveň za devět dní, zatímco za posledních 24 hodin bylo v kryptoměnových pozicích zlikvidováno téměř 670 milionů USD.
Bitcoin dropped below 80000 dollars this Saturday, dragging the rest of the crypto market down with it. Geopolitical concerns in the Middle East accelerated a movement already driven by liquidations, the retreat of institutional investors, and weak liquidity during the weekend.
In brief
Bitcoin falls below 80000 dollars and drags main cryptos in its decline.
Tensions in the Middle East increase investor concerns and intensify pressure on the market.
Nearly 670 million dollars of crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, amplifying the drop.
Weak weekend liquidity and Bitcoin ETF outflows further weaken the market.
Bitcoin’s return above 80000 dollars remains crucial for considering a sustained rebound.
The crypto market erases its weekly rebound
Bitcoin touched about 79750 dollars, its lowest level in nine days. It had approached 85000 dollars on Wednesday before losing more than 5000 dollars in a few sessions. This new dip below 80000 dollars is the second observed within about ten days.
The main altcoins followed the move. Ether fell below 2350 dollars, while XRP extended its decline below 1.30 dollars. Solana dropped below 100 dollars for the first time since early September.
Available data at the time of the drop allows measuring the scope of the movement :
Bitcoin reached a low near 79750 dollars ;
About 670 million dollars of positions were liquidated in 24 hours ;
More than 213000 traders faced forced position closures ;
Some 220 million dollars of long positions disappeared in a few hours ;
The largest single liquidation reached nearly 12 million dollars on Binance.
Less capitalized assets recorded even heavier losses. NEAR notably gave up more than 10%, while Zcash fell about 7.5%. This difference illustrates a frequent mechanism: when investors reduce risk exposure, altcoins usually suffer more than bitcoin.
Tensions in the Middle East weigh on risky assets
The decline intensified after the announcement of new U.S. security measures in the Middle East. The State Department ordered the departure of non-essential government employees and their families in Saudi Arabia. Several other embassies in the region also reduced their staff without receiving a general evacuation order.
This decision comes after a multiplication of attacks by the Houthis, supported by Iran, against Saudi civilian and energy infrastructure. U.S. officials also mentioned Iranian plans targeting U.S. citizens, which have reached an advanced stage.
State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott stated that the Houthis intensified their attacks against civil airports and critical infrastructure. U.S. authorities now fear an extension of the conflict, which could further disrupt maritime transport and energy supply.
The Brent price thus reached about 117 dollars on Friday. A sustained rise in oil could fuel inflation and reduce the Federal Reserve’s maneuvering room. This scenario penalizes cryptocurrencies since high rates make bonds and interest-bearing investments more attractive compared to yield-free assets.
However, geopolitics alone does not explain bitcoin falling below 80000 dollars. The market was already affected by rising bond yields, a strong dollar, and capital outflows in U.S. Bitcoin ETFs. Weekend announcements mainly acted as a catalyst for an already fragile structure.
Liquidations amplify bitcoin’s drop
Leverage turned this decline into a more brutal movement. A liquidation occurs when a platform automatically closes a trader’s position whose collateral no longer covers losses. In the case of a long position, this closure causes an additional sale on an already bearish market.
Nearly 670 million dollars of crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours. Over 200 million disappeared during the fastest phase of the decline, with a clear majority of bullish bets.
The weekend period increases this risk. Volumes are often lower than on weekdays and traditional financial markets are closed. A large sell order can then cause a disproportionate variation, reach several liquidation thresholds, and trigger a chain reaction.
The 80000 dollars level is now the first zone to reconquer. A sustained return above this threshold would reduce immediate pressure, but the zone between 84000 and 85000 dollars remains significant resistance. Conversely, a new acceleration below 79000 dollars would expose the market to long positions still concentrated around 78500 dollars.
Oil price evolution, U.S. decisions in the Middle East, and ETF flows will provide the next signals. As long as these three factors remain unfavorable, a bitcoin rebound could remain fragile.
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Luc Jose A.
Diplômé de Sciences Po Toulouse et titulaire d'une certification consultant blockchain délivrée par Alyra, j'ai rejoint l'aventure Cointribune en 2019.
Convaincu du potentiel de la blockchain pour transformer de nombreux secteurs de l'économie, j'ai pris l'engagement de sensibiliser et d'informer le grand public sur cet écosystème en constante évolution. Mon objectif est de permettre à chacun de mieux comprendre la blockchain et de saisir les opportunités qu'elle offre. Je m'efforce chaque jour de fournir une analyse objective de l'actualité, de décrypter les tendances du marché, de relayer les dernières innovations technologiques et de mettre en perspective les enjeux économiques et sociétaux de cette révolution en marche.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
Tether’s MDK Gains Broad Industry Backing to Accelerate the Next Generation of Bitcoin Mining Automation
15 mining companies, ASIC manufacturers, and pools are adopting a shared open layer designed to make mining infrastructure interoperable and ready for the next generation of automation and AI
24 October 2026 – Tether, the largest company in the digital asset industry, announced today that leading Bitcoin mining companies* have committed to working together to build and maintain integrations with its Mining Development Kit (MDK). They include mining operators, ASIC manufacturers, and mining pools. MDK is an open-source framework that makes mining infrastructure interoperable and supports the next generation of AI-driven automation. The initiative brings 15 industry participants around a common infrastructure layer, enabling developers to build applications and autonomous systems that work across different mining environments without requiring separate integrations for every manufacturer or platform.
The commitments move one of the world’s largest distributed computing industries toward a common infrastructure layer at a moment when AI and automation are beginning to change how data centers are operated. Instead of every new application having to be rebuilt for different machines and providers, MDK is designed to give developers a consistent way to interact with infrastructure across the industry.
A large mining site can have thousands of machines from different manufacturers, connected to different pools and managed through different software. Most of those systems were not built to work together, so operators end up managing them separately and developers keep rebuilding the same integrations for each one. That gets harder as a site grows, and adding new hardware or software can mean another custom integration. Tools built for one vendor often cannot be used across the rest of the fleet. It also limits how much operators can automate, especially as they start looking at AI to help manage more of the day-to-day operation.
An AI agent can monitor machines, identify problems, optimize performance, and eventually take action autonomously. But it cannot effectively manage thousands of machines if every piece of infrastructure communicates differently. Before autonomous systems can operate physical infrastructure at scale, the infrastructure itself needs a common way to be understood and controlled. MDK provides that foundation.
Each participating company will build and maintain an MDK Worker: a translation layer that connects its own hardware, mining pool, or system to MDK. The Worker translates that company’s existing interface into a common language that applications built on MDK can understand. Companies do not have to replace their technology or surrender control of their systems. They simply expose the functions they choose through the same open interface.
That distinction is central to the model. MDK is not an attempt to make every manufacturer or mining pool operate the same way. It is designed to make different systems interoperable.
Once that layer exists, developers can build an application, monitoring system, or AI agent against MDK rather than separately engineering it for every manufacturer and pool. As more companies maintain their own Workers, the same application can operate across a growing portion of the mining industry. The result is infrastructure that becomes easier to automate, easier to build on, and less dependent on any single vendor.
“We are entering a period where software will increasingly operate physical infrastructure, not simply report on it,” said Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether. “That does not work at scale if every machine speaks a different language. Mining is one of the clearest examples of this problem today. MDK gives companies a way to keep control of their own technology while creating the common foundation developers and autonomous systems need to work across it.”
Tether’s QVAC mining agent is already operating directly on MDK, providing an early demonstration of the model: an AI application interacting with mining infrastructure through a common layer rather than requiring a new integration for every system it encounters. The initial 15 commitments are an early step toward a broader ecosystem. MDK remains open to any manufacturer, mining pool, operator, or developer, with additional Workers, applications, and tools expected as more of the industry builds on the shared foundation.
Across Bitcoin, AI, communications, energy and financial infrastructure, Tether is focused on reducing the fragmentation that prevents technology from operating at global scale. MDK brings that approach to mining, creating an open layer on which companies can build the tools and autonomous systems that will operate the industry next.
MDK will reach version 0.11 at the Plan ₿ Forum in Lugano on October 23–24, with its first stable 1.0 release targeted by the end of 2026. Developers do not need to wait for 1.0. MDK is open source today, allowing manufacturers, mining pools, operators, and developers to begin testing integrations, building Workers, and developing applications through the repository and documentation.
*Note: The complete alphabetical list of participating mining companies, ASIC manufacturers, and pools follows below:
ACME Swisstech
Bitdeer
BITMAIN
Canaan Inc.
Elektron Energy
EMCD
F2Pool
Foundry Digital
Heatbit Inc.
Luxor Technology
MicroBT
OCEAN (Bitcoin Ocean, LLC)
Proto (Block, Inc.)
SpiderPool
Stratum V2
Bitcoin is approaching a make-or-break weekend. After failing to hold $83,000, the cryptocurrency is now facing a more uncomfortable level at $80,000.
Analyst Benjamin Cowen warns that a weekly close below $83,000 on October 25 would strengthen his bearish outlook for the rest of 2026. His warning comes as Bitcoin faces pressure well beyond its own price chart.
Why Bitcoin’s $80,000 Level MattersThe latest failed rally has already punished bullish traders. During one four-hour selloff, long positions accounted for $91.19 million of $95.22 million in crypto liquidations.
More concerning, Glassnode estimates that companies holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets paid about $80,000 per coin on average.
Falling below that level would put the average corporate treasury position into a loss. It would not automatically force companies to sell, but it could weaken confidence.
A plausible path to consider (in order).
Becomes void if Bitcoin gets and holds back above $83k
-Bitcoin weekly close below $83k (again)
-Fakeout confirmed (Oct 25)
-Fed does not raise rates (Oct 28)
-PCE comes in hot (Oct 29)
-Oil spikes over the Iran war (~$120)
-Long end…
— Benjamin Cowen (@benjamincowen) October 24, 2026 A separate BeInCrypto analysis identifies $77,876 as the next downside level if selling persists, followed by a support zone between roughly $76,700 and $72,500.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs also lost about $322 million on October 22, suggesting institutional buying has weakened.
What Happens to Bitcoin Next Week?The calendar offers little relief. The Federal Reserve meets October 27–28, with Cowen expecting interest rates to stay unchanged. September inflation data follows on October 29.
Oil adds another complication. Brent settled at $116.72 on Friday as Middle East supply fears intensified. Expensive energy could keep inflation elevated, while rising Treasury yields make speculative investments less attractive.
Bitcoin’s Extreme Volatility in OctoberHistory also gives bears ammunition. Binance Research puts Bitcoin’s average decline during previous US midterm election years at 56%. But that record covers only three Bitcoin cycles, making it a warning rather than a reliable prediction.
There is also a clear way for Bitcoin to break Cowen’s bearish scenario.
For now, the immediate test is whether buyers defend $80,000. A sustained recovery above $83,000 would weaken the bearish case.
Losing $80,000 could expose Bitcoin to another wave of selling just as November’s US midterm elections approach.
Útočník, který napadl burzu Bitget, přesunul v 52 transakcích aktiva v hodnotě 19,48 milionu USD, přičemž BTC tvořilo 19,33 milionu USD a zbytek ETH. Téměř všechny prostředky putovaly na nové neidentifikované adresy, uvádí Arkham.
The Bitget hacker has moved $19.48 million in 52 transfers, almost entirely in Bitcoin, as Arkham tracks fresh outflows from wallets linked to the exchange’s September breach.
Summary
Arkham tracked $19.48 million across 52 transfers, with Bitcoin accounting for $19.33 million. Hacker-linked wallets sent $78.01 million to new addresses between Oct. 15 and Oct. 23. Arkham valued remaining labeled holdings at $242.54 million, mostly held in Bitcoin. The latest transfers’ destinations remain unidentified, leaving potential laundering unconfirmed. Arkham put the transfers between 10:02 UTC on Oct. 21 and 02:48 UTC on Oct. 24, with Bitcoin accounting for $19.33 million and ETH making up the rest. Its thread said almost all the funds went to new addresses.
The blockchain intelligence firm framed its update as a question.
“Is the Bitget Hacker laundering the stolen funds?”
Arkham’s posts do not name an exchange, mixer, or over-the-counter desk receiving the latest transfers. The update documents money leaving labeled wallets, without establishing whether those assets were sold, cashed out, or recovered.
Bitget hacker movements total $78 million since Oct. 15 Across a longer reporting window, Arkham said the attacker had sent $78.01 million to new addresses since Oct. 15. Its daily breakdown showed $23.31 million moving on Oct. 15, followed by $8.68 million on Oct. 16 and $1.15 million on Oct. 17.
Another $10.51 million moved on Oct. 18. After no recorded movement on Oct. 19, the firm listed $15.13 million on Oct. 20, $11.74 million on Oct. 21, $184,160 on Oct. 22, and $7.3 million on Oct. 23.
The dates in Arkham’s opening post cover 64 hours and 46 minutes. A later post in the same thread described the $19.48 million as moving over “the past 48 hours,” leaving a mismatch between its shorthand description and the precise timestamps.
Using the firm’s rounded asset figures, Bitcoin represented approximately 99.2% of that $19.48 million. The implied ETH component was $150,000, although Arkham did not provide an exact token quantity in the opening post.
Arkham’s remaining balance uses a $350 million baseline In its thread, Arkham valued the hacker’s remaining labeled holdings at $242.54 million, including 2,960.01 BTC worth $241.99 million. It listed smaller balances on Ethereum, Hypercore, Solana and Tron.
The firm described that balance as 69% of a $350 million theft. Bitget’s own accounting puts the incident at approximately $387.5 million, after revising its initial $351.6 million estimate.
In its Sep. 25 recovery notice, the exchange said the revision included Zcash and TRON assets omitted from the first calculation. Bitget attributed the change to a more complete classification of the original transfers and said it did not represent further theft.
Against Bitget’s $387.5 million estimate, Arkham’s $242.54 million snapshot equals approximately 62.6%. Neither percentage establishes how much has been recovered, because the figures compare remaining labeled holdings with dollar estimates from the original incident.
Arkham data shows $239.34 million, including approximately 2,958 BTC valued at $238.79 million.
Source: Arkham Earlier tracing identified CoinJoin and cross-chain routes Fund movements linked to the attack began before October. As crypto.news previously reported, AMLBot traced roughly four BTC into CoinJoin in September, describing the activity as an apparent effort to obscure stolen funds.
AMLBot’s account followed assets from TRON into USDT, across to Ethereum through USDT0, and through ETH swaps and THORChain before they reached Bitcoin. The firm said approximately 4.59 BTC emerged from that route before the Bitcoin was split into smaller amounts.
Independent tracing by Bitquery documented other September conversions through THORChain and Chainflip. Its investigation matched 66 swaps to 126.71 BTC in payments by 14:38 UTC on Sep. 25, while identifying two swaps still waiting at that snapshot.
Those historical routes do not establish the destinations of Arkham’s latest transfers. The October screenshots contain transaction graphs but no readable transaction-level evidence connecting the new outflows to the same services.
Bitget says withdrawals have resumed while recovery continues Bitget’s incident explainer, updated Oct. 20, says its phased withdrawal restoration finished on Oct. 2 after BTC, ETH and USDT services reopened in September. The company says customer account balances remain unaffected and that it has identified no further unauthorized transfers following containment.
In the same explainer, Bitget attributed the breach to a vulnerability in a third-party security product. The company said the attacker obtained high-level internal credentials and submitted fraudulent withdrawal commands that bypassed existing risk controls. Bitget said the affected systems were isolated and the vulnerability was fixed.
Earlier coverage of the withdrawal reopening and reserves recorded CEO Gracy Chen’s statement that the Protection Fund had returned above $300 million on Sep. 30. Bitget has said the fund would absorb the financial loss from the breach.
The Sep. 25 notice names Mandiant and SlowMist as investigation partners and publishes receiving addresses across Ethereum-compatible networks, XRP Ledger, Zcash and TRON. Its recovery section says some assets had already been frozen through coordination with industry partners, but does not give an aggregate frozen amount in that notice.
The exchange’s recovery program offers separate 5% rewards for eligible voluntary actions that directly freeze or recover affected assets. Bitget excludes actions carried out under court orders, law-enforcement requests, or other legal processes, and retains discretion over eligibility and payment.
QCP upozorňuje, že Bitcoin nyní podléhá širší averzi k riziku vyvolané obavami z úvěrového rizika v souvislosti s dluhovým financováním infrastruktury AI.
In its market analysis published today, QCP argued that explaining Bitcoin’s weakness solely through developments specific to the crypto sector would be incomplete. The company stated that credit risk in institutions financing AI infrastructure with debt has spread to stocks and crypto assets.
The report highlighted the yields on CoreWeave bonds, which reached approximately 15 percent. According to QCP, this level indicates that investors are demanding a higher risk premium regarding financing costs and debt sustainability.
The company noted that CoreWeave stock fell 10 percent on October 22, indicating that concerns have spread to the broader technology sector.
QCP’s conclusion regarding Bitcoin is noteworthy: instead of appearing as an asset that moves independently of stocks in the current wave, BTC is following the general risk-aversion trend.
The report also addressed energy price pressures originating from the Middle East and financial risks in Europe. It noted that these factors simultaneously complicate growth and inflation expectations.
*This is not investment advice.
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Large speculators in CME Bitcoin futures held a net long position of 2,418 contracts for the week of October 20, 2026, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s latest Commitments of Traders report.
That is a slight pullback from the prior week’s 2,534 contracts.
The report, released October 23, also showed speculators paring bets against most US Treasury futures. Meanwhile, the euro sat deep in net short territory.
What the Bitcoin numbers show
The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders, or COT, data every Friday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Each release reflects positions as of the preceding Tuesday.
The 2,418-contract figure covers non-commercial speculators in CME Bitcoin futures. It blends standard and micro contracts under the legacy reporting format.
A standard CME Bitcoin contract represents 5 BTC, while a micro contract represents just 0.1 BTC.
For context, the week ending October 13 showed large speculators net long 2,534 contracts, with total open interest of 20,752 contracts. Open interest measures the total number of outstanding contracts that have not been closed out.
The more granular Traders in Financial Futures breakdown told a split story for that October 13 week. Leveraged funds, a category that typically includes hedge funds, were net short roughly 5,844 standard contracts.
Asset managers and institutions, by contrast, were net long 3,642 contracts.
Treasuries, equities and the euro
The broader report showed a fairly consistent theme in the bond market: speculators trimming short positions.
Speculators cut their net short in CBOT US 2-year Treasury futures by 54,796 contracts to 856,783.
Net shorts in 5-year Treasury futures fell by 6,095 contracts to 1,074,109.
Net shorts in 10-year Treasury futures dropped by 23,809 contracts to 964,293.
Net shorts in CBOT US Treasury bond futures shrank by 58,019 contracts to 68,419.
The lone exception was the long end. Speculators increased their net short in UltraBond Treasury futures by 53,564 contracts to 375,161.
Equity fund speculators trimmed their S&P 500 CME net short by 42,221 contracts to 348,674.
Equity fund managers cut their S&P 500 CME net long by 18,079 contracts to 894,464.
In currencies, the euro held a net short position of 134,524 contracts.
Why the positioning matters
The COT report has an important limitation. It tells you what traders hold, not why they hold it, and it makes no attempt to forecast prices.
A net long can reflect outright bullish conviction. It can also be one leg of a hedged trade, such as a basis trade where a fund buys spot exposure and sells futures to capture the price gap between them.
That caveat is especially relevant to the Bitcoin data. The October 13 split, with leveraged funds net short and asset managers net long, is consistent with a market where some participants are hedging rather than simply calling direction.
The next COT report is anticipated on October 30, 2026. Traders watching Bitcoin will want to see whether open interest holds near the 20,752-contract level recorded for October 13, and whether speculators keep inching back from their net long or start adding again.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Vivian Nguyen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
In This Article BTC USD: Why Does It Matter That Retail Left Futures?Are Bitcoin ETFs Still Buying?BTC USD Price Analysis: Will $79,800 Hold?One More Thing: Does the McRib Move Bitcoin? Bitcoin (BTC USD) is holding near $81,700 on Friday, October 23, after CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju said retail traders have left Bitcoin futures markets. It’s the reverse of what his data showed at the 2025 top, after U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in about $1 billion in three days. The price has lost $3,000 since Wednesday’s high. The buyers haven’t left.
The Bitcoin price is down 0.2% in 24 hours and 0.6% in a week. So does a quieter futures market point to a bottom, and which levels matter for BTC USD now?
Retail traders are gone from BTC futures markets, the exact opposite of what we saw at the top. https://t.co/7cdtVHsVgG pic.twitter.com/3O4lmbOfSd
— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) October 22, 2026
BTC USD: Why Does It Matter That Retail Left Futures? Because crowded markets tend to top. CryptoQuant’s chart sorts futures trades by average order size. Through the summer of 2025, with BTC between $110,000 and $120,000 ahead of its October record, small retail orders dominated almost every day. Retail kept leading as the price slid into January.
The picture is now reversed. Since May, no stretch has been led by retail. Large whale orders marked the July low near $58,000, and mid-sized whale orders drove the rally to $87,000 in September. October is mostly neutral, with whales still active.
That doesn’t mean the bottom is in. Retail also dominated from February to April 2026, when BTC was trading between $63,000 and $75,000, and BTC still fell to $58,000 by July. What it shows is that this market is less crowded with leveraged small traders, so there are fewer of them to liquidate on a drop.
Spot money agrees. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in about $1.07 billion from Monday to Wednesday, enough to turn October’s flows positive.
DISCOVER: Bitcoin ETFs Turn October Positive With $1 Billion in Three Days While ETH Funds Bleed $1 Billion
Are Bitcoin ETFs Still Buying?
Yes, and in size. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $526.7 million on Monday, $23.2 million on Tuesday and $524.8 million on Wednesday, about $1.07 billion in three sessions. That was enough to turn October’s flows positive.
BlackRock’s IBIT led again, with $235 million on Wednesday alone. Ethereum funds went the other way and kept bleeding money.
Put the two together, and the selling this week looks like short-term traders, not long-term money heading for the exit. ETF inflows of this size have come before past rallies.
DISCOVER: Bitcoin ETFs Turn October Positive With $1 Billion in Three Days While ETH Funds Bleed $1 Billion
BTC USD Price Analysis: Will $79,800 Hold? BTC is back inside the range it has traded in since October 10, between roughly $79,800 and $84,300. Wednesday’s push to $84,898 above the top failed within a day.
The short-term damage is a broken trendline. Thursday’s drop cut through the rising line that had held every dip since the October 15 low, and BTC is now retesting it from below near $82,000.
Update: Still alive. Bitcoin doing a little bearish retest of trendline here and we can continue down to Seppuko land. https://t.co/KaNIrsKPE8 pic.twitter.com/iIObZMGEMt
— VikingXBT (@VikingXBT) October 23, 2026
Overhead, $82,000 to $82,850 is the first wall: the trendline, the swing highs and the 4-hour moving averages. A reclaim would put $84,300 back in play.
Below, $80,876 is the 50-day EMA, and $79,800, the October 15 low, is the floor of the whole range. A quick sweep under $79,800 that reverses would be a classic shakeout and the cleanest setup for a bounce. A daily close under it would point to the 200-day EMA near $76,200.
EXPLORE: J.P. Morgan Projects 10% a Year for Bitcoin: The Bank’s Own Bear Case Points to $25,000
One More Thing: Does the McRib Move Bitcoin? Crypto Twitter has a less scientific indicator for Bitcoin. McDonald’s is bringing the McRib back “as early as 10/27,” and trader internbrah reminded more than 400,000 viewers that:
BTC historically goes up >2x after the McRib returns. Don’t fade the McRib.
The McRib is back on 10/27. BTC historically goes up >2x after the McRib returns. Don't fade the McRib.
Not financial advice. pic.twitter.com/RxBuzcVht5
— internbrah (@internbrah) October 22, 2026
We checked. Of the last seven McRib returns, BTC more than doubled within a year after two, in December 2020 and November 2023. After the November 2021 return, it topped out nine days later and lost two-thirds of its value. After the November 2025 return, it never traded higher.
McRib return BTC price Best gain within 12 months October 2019 $8,246 +49% December 2020 $19,201 +252% November 2021 $61,004 +11%, then −67% October 2022 $20,496 +68% November 2023 $35,437 +106% December 2024 $96,675 +29% November 2025 $102,997 none So the McRib is two for seven on doubling, which is about what you’d expect from a sandwich. For BTC USD, $79,800 still matters more than the menu.
EXPLORE: Best Crypto Presales With Asymmetric Upside in the Current Market
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Alex Ioannou
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Alex is a seasoned cryptocurrency trader and market analyst with over seven years of active experience in the digital asset space. Since entering the markets in 2017, Alex has specialized in identifying emerging "meta" trends and high-volatility narratives. Notably, Alex... Read More
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Od 1. října vybralo 40 nových peněženek prostřednictvím Wintermute 9 458 BTC v hodnotě přibližně 771,5 milionu USD, což naznačuje akumulaci ze strany velkých držitelů.
Bitcoin is navigating a challenging economic environment as Brent crude oil maintains levels above $100 per barrel, raising concerns about persistent inflation and the availability of fresh liquidity in global markets. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost highlighted that strong oil prices historically coincide with slower Bitcoin price momentum, though he emphasized that this pattern does not represent a confirmed causation.
Brent crude’s influence on Bitcoin and market liquidityAccording to Darkfost, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Gulf region and intensified Ukrainian operations targeting Russian refineries have pushed energy prices higher. Elevated fuel costs can impact a broad range of industries, including manufacturing, transportation and services, contributing to rising prices across the economy.
“Over the long term, periods when Brent oil trends strongly above its annual average have typically seen Bitcoin’s upward momentum slow, though distinct causal links remain unproven,” stated Darkfost of CryptoQuant.
Brent crude recently hovered near $104, compared to an average range of $60 to $70 earlier in 2026. The commodity’s 365-day moving average is now rising following an extended downtrend.
Available data since 2014 shows that when Brent trades significantly above its yearly average, Bitcoin often underperforms. Several such episodes—such as in 2018, parts of 2021 and 2022, and periods throughout 2026—demonstrate this market relationship. However, not every increase in oil prices led to a drop in Bitcoin, underscoring the complex interplay between the two markets.
Darkfost argued that broader economic conditions, rather than oil prices alone, ultimately drive investor behavior. In an inflationary environment, access to capital and appetite for higher-risk assets like cryptocurrencies can diminish. Persistently high energy prices further complicate decisions for the Federal Reserve, as officials navigate balancing inflation risks with the goal of supporting economic growth.
If inflation does not subside, the Federal Reserve may be less inclined to loosen monetary policy, creating a less favorable backdrop for new investment in digital assets. Sustained high borrowing costs and elevated yields could make allocating capital to Bitcoin less attractive for some investors.
Nevertheless, the analyst noted that Bitcoin responded positively during brief intervals of reduced macroeconomic strain, as seen in July. Oil prices subsequently rebounded, but Darkfost did not rule out the potential for further gains, cautioning instead that persistent high energy costs may limit the flow of new liquidity into cryptocurrencies.
Mini dictionary: CryptoQuant is an on-chain analytics platform specializing in blockchain data and market intelligence for digital assets.
Whale activity: over $770 million in BTC withdrawnWhile macroeconomic pressure persists, large Bitcoin holders are increasingly moving considerable sums of cryptocurrency. Blockchain analytics provider Lookonchain reported that since October 1, forty newly-created wallets have withdrawn a combined 9,458 BTC—valued at approximately $771.5 million—through Wintermute, a leading digital asset trading firm known for providing market liquidity and institutional solutions.
Mini dictionary: Wintermute is a prominent global algorithmic trading firm providing liquidity and facilitating large-scale transactions in the digital asset markets.
These large-scale withdrawals suggest some whales are accumulating Bitcoin even amid sluggish overall momentum. However, transfers from exchanges or trading firms to private wallets do not confirm whether these represent new purchases, nor do they reveal the identities of the wallet holders. It also remains unclear if the recipients are distinct institutional investors or addresses controlled by a single entity.
Lookonchain’s observation highlights ongoing interest in Bitcoin by large market participants, but the data cannot confirm broader buying activity across the market. Moving coins between wallets is not equivalent to net buying pressure, and cannot guarantee immediate impact on price direction.
MetricValueBTC Withdrawn9,458 BTCUSD Value$771.5 millionNumber of wallets40PeriodSince October 1Main partyWintermuteEven as large withdrawals signal ongoing accumulation by whales, these movements alone do not demonstrate a market-wide trend toward new investments or establish a firm timeline for Bitcoin’s potential recovery.
Both the oil market analysis and whale activity measure distinct aspects of the current environment: energy prices frame the macroeconomic backdrop and potential liquidity constraints, while wallet movements illustrate how major Bitcoin holders position themselves under these conditions.
For now, no clear correlation guarantees either immediate price gains or losses for Bitcoin. Darkfost pointed to Brent’s performance above its annual average as the metric to monitor—should oil recede below $100 and fall under its yearly benchmark, pressure on Bitcoin could ease and create room for new market momentum.
Průzkum společnosti River odhaduje, že bitcoin vlastní 49,6 milionu dospělých Američanů (18,6 %) oproti 28,8 milionu dospělých Američanů, kteří vlastní zlato (10,8 %).
Gold has been humanity’s favorite store of value for thousands of years. Bitcoin launched in January 2009. In the US, the newcomer now has more owners.
A research report released by River in July 2026 estimates that approximately 49.6 million American adults own Bitcoin. That works out to 18.6% of the adult population, compared with 28.8 million adults, or 10.8%, who report owning gold.
According to the report, this is the first time on record that Bitcoin ownership has overtaken gold.
The numbers behind the flip
The gap is wide. By River’s count, US Bitcoin owners outnumber gold owners by roughly 20.8 million people.
River’s data shows Bitcoin ownership rising from 14.3% to 18.6% of US adults in approximately six months.
The report credits much of that growth to easier access. Exchange-traded funds, mobile apps and a range of exchanges have made buying Bitcoin more accessible. River also links the trend to a broader cultural shift in how Americans view digital assets.
River isn’t the only outfit reporting this pattern. Earlier surveys from the Nakamoto Project, which collected data from late 2024 to early 2025 and published findings by mid-2025, landed in similar territory. Those surveys counted roughly 48 to 50 million Bitcoin owners, compared with about 37 million gold owners.
The two studies disagree on the gold figure. Their Bitcoin estimates sit in the same neighborhood, though, and both put Bitcoin ahead.
Beyond individual wallets
Individual ownership is only part of the US picture. American exposure to Bitcoin also runs through corporate treasuries and government vaults.
Americans are estimated to hold about 42% of the total global Bitcoin supply.
US public companies collectively hold approximately 1.24 million BTC. According to the research, that represents about 93% of corporate Bitcoin holdings worldwide.
The US government holds around 328,000 BTC, valued at over $26 billion. Most of it came from asset seizures rather than deliberate purchases.
A wrinkle in the data
Not every survey tells the same story. Gallup reported that 9% of US adults owned crypto as of June 2026. That figure was down from 14% the previous year.
That sits awkwardly next to River’s 18.6% Bitcoin figure. Bitcoin is a subset of crypto, so on paper, Bitcoin ownership shouldn’t exceed overall crypto ownership.
The likeliest explanation is that the surveys ask different questions of different samples. Some respondents may also not think of an ETF holding as “owning crypto.” The research frames the Gallup data as a sign that Bitcoin is pulling ahead of other digital currencies, even as broader crypto ownership slips.
What this means
River’s numbers suggest that among individual Americans, the default “alternative asset” may be shifting. The research suggests that could encourage institutions to allocate more toward Bitcoin, as it gains acceptance as a legitimate asset class.
The concentration figures cut both ways. The US holds about 42% of global Bitcoin supply, and US public companies account for about 93% of corporate holdings. That gives American policy decisions outsized influence over the asset, meaning regulatory moves on ETFs, corporate accounting or the handling of seized coins could ripple through the market.
What to watch next: whether the growth rate River measured holds up, and whether other pollsters converge on similar figures. The six-month climb from 14.3% to 18.6% is striking. And if Gallup’s lower crypto numbers keep diverging from Bitcoin-specific surveys, expect a debate over methodology to follow.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Vivian Nguyen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.