Market Signal Briefing

In 2025, XRP has transformed from years of regulatory uncertainty into one of the most legitimized and institutionally recognized digital assets. Ripple’s settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) earlier this year was the catalyst that reshaped the XRP ecosystem, granting the cryptocurrency clear non-security status and opening the door to wider U.S. adoption.

This legal victory eliminated the barriers that had restrained institutional participation for years, particularly after many U.S. exchanges delisted XRP during the litigation. With regulatory clarity achieved, Ripple quickly capitalized by introducing institutional-grade products and gaining access to significant capital inflows. Major asset managers such as REX-Osprey and Grayscale Investments launched spot XRP ETFs, positioning XRP alongside leading cryptocurrencies as a fully recognized asset class.

The renewed legitimacy also energized the global XRP Ledger (XRPL) community. Since January, the ecosystem has organized 19 international events, ranging from summits in Seoul and workshops in Germany to bootcamps in Paris. This wave of activity reflects the ecosystem’s surging momentum and increased developer engagement.

Technological innovation has further strengthened XRP’s standing. In early 2025, XRPL launched its Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) sidechain, a landmark upgrade that bridges XRP’s speed and efficiency with Ethereum’s expansive DeFi and dApp ecosystem. The integration sparked immediate developer interest, with nearly 1,400 smart contracts deployed in the first week and total value locked (TVL) soaring to a record $120 million.

These advancements mark a stark contrast to the years of stagnation under legal gridlock, where adoption and price growth lagged despite XRP’s proven utility. Now, the focus turns to long-term sustainability. Success will depend on institutional projects migrating fully to XRPL, strong developer incentives, and the creation of real-world applications that showcase XRP’s utility beyond speculation.

With regulatory clarity, institutional trust, and a major technical leap forward, 2025 positions XRP as one of the most dynamic ecosystems in the digital asset industry.

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Journalist

Posted: September 26, 2025

Key Takeaways
What does the 20 million XRP transfer from Upbit indicate?
The transfer signals that major holders may be moving funds for long-term storage, potentially reducing exchange supply and setting the stage for accumulation.

 How does XRP’s current derivatives positioning and NVT ratio affect its outlook?
 While long positions dominate and funding rates show mild optimism, the 197% spike in NVT warns that valuations may be overheated, creating a fragile and volatile environment.

Large transfers have once again placed Ripple [XRP] under the spotlight.

A massive 20 million XRP valued at over $58 million moved from Upbit to an unknown wallet, sparking speculation about reduced exchange supply and possible accumulation. 

When major holders remove funds from centralized exchanges, it often signals a preference for long-term storage rather than immediate selling. 

This development comes at a time when broader market sentiment remains mixed, making whale behavior a critical signal. However, the extent of its influence depends on sustained demand across key trading pairs.

Are bullish traders setting the stage for a breakout?
Derivatives market data suggests traders are strongly bullish on XRP. 

According to Binance, long positions accounted for 78% of the total, while shorts made up just 22% at press time. This imbalance reflects high confidence in continued upward momentum. 

However, such skewed positioning also raises the risk of liquidation cascades if prices reverse, potentially triggering sharp volatility due to excessive leverage.

NVT ratio spikes highlight inconsistent valuation trends
XRP’s NVT ratio surged sharply from 400 the previous day to 1188, at press time, marking a staggering 197% increase in less than 24 hours.

This rapid escalation signals that market valuation has far outpaced transaction activity, raising concerns about sustainability.

However, such surges often reflect speculative momentum rather than genuine utility, which makes the outlook fragile.

Investors should remain cautious, as high NVT levels historically suggest overvaluation. Still, any sudden decline in this metric could restore balance and signal renewed strength in XRP’s transactional value.

Can Funding Rates sustain cautious optimism?
At the time of writing, Perpetual Futures Funding Rates remained slightly positive at 0.003%, reflecting a mild bullish bias among leveraged traders. Rates near neutral levels indicate optimism is present but not excessive. 

Unlike extreme spikes, which can foreshadow overheated markets, current funding levels suggest balanced participation. However, prolonged positivity often supports gradual price appreciation as long positions remain sustainable. 

Yet, this equilibrium can quickly shift if broader sentiment turns. Therefore, monitoring funding rate changes is essential to gauge whether optimism persists or fades in the coming sessions.

Conclusively, whale movements, strong long positioning, volatile NVT trends, and cautiously positive funding rates together define XRP’s current outlook. Traders lean bullish, yet volatility risks remain elevated. 

With whales reducing exchange supply and derivatives sentiment showing controlled optimism, XRP’s path forward points toward heightened activity and potential price expansion.

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With the broader crypto market sentiment still highly bearish, Ethereum’s ongoing decline has deepened as the second-largest digital asset pulls back toward the $4,100 price level. In the meantime, ETH key investors are beginning to exhibit waning confidence in the altcoin’s price action, which is indicated by a drop in whale holdings.

A Constant Drop In Ethereum Whale Count
While the price of Ethereum has experienced a sudden pullback, the sentiment of major key investors has flipped negative. Joao Wedson, a market expert and the founder of Alphractal, has revealed a notable shift in investors’ mood as the number of whales, those holding massive amounts of ETH, continues to decrease.

This drop suggests that big holders might be shifting their holdings, which might give smaller investors and new entrants more market power. Even though the decline in whale dominance is sometimes interpreted as an indication of decentralization and healthier market dynamics, it may also suggest cautious sentiment in the face of changing market conditions.

Given that whales are exiting, their market grip has lessened compared to other key investors. According to the market expert, ETH’s investors holding between 10,000 ETH and 100,000 ETH, considered as Sharks, are now at the forefront of the market.

ETH large investors are selling | Source: Chart from Joao Wedson on X
While the whales are offloading their positions, the sharks have been persistently accumulating the altcoin at a rapid rate. As a result, these investors are now controlling a larger share of the market, even as broader sentiment remains mixed. Amid this crucial shift in investor dominance, Wedson highlighted that the Gini Coefficient has started to rise again after recently experiencing a drop. 

The development signals that inequality on the Ethereum network is increasing, which implies that the concentration of ETH is shifting toward wealthier addresses, mostly these “sharks.” In other words, those presently stacking up and speculating on ETH are mid-sized entities, funds, and players with medium-level capital.

On the other hand, Wedson noted that whales are usually exchanges, large funds, or former miners who are continuously selling their positions to new investors or buyers. Since sharks are acquiring more coins than smaller holdings, the network inequality is moving upward once again.

ETH Accumulation Addresses’ Rise Pushes Realized Price
The current wave of buying pressure has led to a rise in Ethereum Accumulation Addresses, which has pushed the Average Realized Price. Burak Kesmeci, a market expert, reported the rise in accumulation addresses in a recent quick-take post on the CryptoQuant platform. Data shows that the average realized price of ETH accumulation addresses is currently positioned at the $2,900 level. 

With the ETH ETF rally, this level surged sharply from $1,700 to $2,900. In the worst situation, this level might be a solid foundation in the altcoin’s journey. Meanwhile, the total balance of the accumulation addresses spiked, reaching approximately 27.6 million ETH.

ETH trading at $4,026 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

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The meme coin is falling along with most of the crypto market.

Dogecoin (DOGE -6.92%) fell on Thursday, down 6.8% as of 5:09 p.m. ET, as measured from 4 p.m. on Wednesday. The move comes as the S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.50%) and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC -0.50%) both lost 0.5%.

The meme coin continues its week-long slide following Monday's cryptocurrency flash crash as investors await key economic data.

Crypto investors await PCE data
Cryptocurrencies across the board are in the red this week, following Monday's sharp drop driven by the unwinding of leveraged positions from traders who had bet on the Federal Reserve cutting rates more aggressively than it did. Many of these positions were forced to liquidate after the Fed opted for just a 0.25% cut and signaled it could be the only reduction this year.

Now, traders are watching Friday's release of personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data. This is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge and could reveal what the Fed's next moves will be. Lower rates generally make traditional safe-haven investments less attractive, prompting investors to shift toward riskier assets, like Dogecoin and other cryptocurrencies.

Image source: Getty Images.

Dogecoin is a very risky asset
The fact is, Dogecoin is a meme coin and carries significant risk. It really shouldn't be viewed as a serious investment; it is more of a speculative bet. Its value is derived from "vibes" and hype, and that makes it especially sensitive to broader movements in the market. I would not invest in Dogecoin.

Investors should instead look to cryptos with a proven track record of value and projects with innovative technology. Bitcoin and Ethereum are much smarter plays.

Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin and Ethereum. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The rise of quantum computing is fueling debate across the crypto community, with many asking whether Bitcoin’s cryptography could one day be broken. IBM’s latest roadmap offers both progress and concern, highlighting that the timeline for a quantum threat may be shorter than many expect.

IBM recently announced advancements toward its Starling project, a fault-tolerant quantum computer expected by 2029. Unlike today’s noisy machines, Starling aims to run stable, large-scale algorithms. A major innovation is the use of qLDPC error-correction codes, which reduce the number of physical qubits required to create usable logical qubits. This efficiency makes it more realistic for a future machine to run Shor’s algorithm, capable of breaking Bitcoin’s elliptic curve cryptography.

Michael Osborne, CTO of IBM Quantum Safe, cautions that while headlines often oversimplify, the real challenge lies in logical qubits, not experimental ones. He notes that estimates for breaking cryptography vary depending on trade-offs between qubit count and attack duration. For example, Google researchers suggested RSA-2048 might fall with 1,600 logical qubits in a week, showing how assumptions can drastically alter projections.

The risks extend beyond wallets. Consensus protocols, time servers, and oracles could all be exploited if not quantum-resistant. Osborne warns that the first real breakthroughs likely won’t be publicized—early attackers may quietly target dormant Bitcoin wallets.

Migration to post-quantum cryptography is critical, but coordinating upgrades across global blockchain networks is complex. Osborne compares the challenge to Y2K, emphasizing that waiting only raises costs. Hybrid solutions may help, though they often require dual infrastructures.

Ultimately, the most important signal may be market-driven. If investors lose faith in non-quantum-safe systems, capital flight could destabilize ecosystems quickly. Osborne’s message is clear: awareness and early preparation are essential. The future of Bitcoin security hinges on how fast the industry embraces quantum-safe cryptography.

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8 minutes ago

The update promises major changes to improve user experience and introduces a modular design, replacing Aave's monolithic architecture.

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Decentralized finance (DeFi) platform Aave is releasing its V4 update, a major protocol upgrade, sometime in the fourth quarter of 2025, introducing modular lending markets and new risk controls among new features.

The update introduces a “hub and spoke” modular design to Aave to allow for crypto borrowing and lending markets with more custom parameters, without trapping liquidity in different siloes, according to an update from Aave.

Liquidity hubs act as central pools for modular spokes; each of the spokes represents a different market with one of three risk profiles and features different borrowing and lending rates, replacing Aave’s current uniform rates. The team wrote:

“Each Spoke registers with the Hub, draws liquidity, and, upon repayment, returns both a base rate set at the Hub level and an asset-specific risk premium tied to its collateral composition.”A diagram illustrating Aave V4’s “hub and spoke” architecture. Source: AaveThe update includes a new user interface that gives a “unified, wallet-level view” of all the modular spokes, allowing users to see detailed information and route trades through different market modules from the unified overview.

Aave V4 will feature dynamic risk configurations to prevent unexpected liquidations of positions due to changes like lowering collateral thresholds.

Changing these global parameters in Aave V3 created a risk of liquidation if the user had multiple positions open.

The liquidation engine will also shift to a “health-targeted” model, where liquidations do not represent a fixed sum or the entire position, but only enough to bring a loan back up to the desired collateral parameters, allowing the lender to collect while leaving the borrower’s position open.

Users will have the option of selecting a “Position Manager” that can automatically execute actions, including withdrawal, borrowing, repayment and other transaction management features. 

Aave V4 introduces a Position Manager that can execute actions on behalf of users. Source: AaveIn addition, the update will introduce a multi-call feature, allowing users to batch actions into a single transaction for easier execution.

Aave’s V4 upgrade is slated for release sometime in the last three months of 2025, and the next steps include releasing a whitepaper, making the V4 codebase public, and launching a testnet for the upcoming version of the DeFi protocol.

The total value locked in Aave crossed the $40 billion level in August. Source: DeFiLlamaThe launch is highly anticipated as total value locked (TVL) in DeFi crosses the $156 billion mark and is approaching peak levels reached in December 2021, during the previous bull market, according to DefiLlama.

Magazine: DeFi will rise again after memecoins die down: Sasha Ivanov, X Hall of Flame

Crypto price prediction today has reported that XRP, Cardano, and Litecoin have faced fresh declines this week, though technical indicators and ETF approval prospects suggest conditions for a rebound. Analysts expect medium-term recoveries as whales accumulate and overselling deepens.

XRP is flashing a classic triple bottom reversal – XRP price predictions now eye new highs as bearish pressure clears.

Disclaimer

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BlackRock's latest ETF aims to attract yield-seeking investors, highlighting Wall Street’s growing appetite for diverse Bitcoin investment strategies.

Photo: Michael Nagle

Key Takeaways

BlackRock filed for a Bitcoin premium income ETF in Delaware, expanding its suite of crypto investment products.
The new ETF aims to generate income via Bitcoin-related premiums, targeting yield-focused investors rather than pure price exposure.

BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, filed today for a Bitcoin premium income ETF in Delaware. The proposed fund represents a new investment product designed to generate income through Bitcoin-related premiums.

The filing extends BlackRock’s crypto expansion beyond its spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT), which reached $90 billion in assets under management by September 2025. The firm captured 60% of the US Bitcoin ETF market share with IBIT.

BlackRock’s Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs generated $260 million in annual revenue less than two years after launch. The asset manager has been adding Bitcoin exposure to its in-house funds, with model portfolios allocating 1%-2% to crypto assets.

The premium income structure targets income-focused investors seeking Bitcoin exposure with yield generation, differentiating it from BlackRock’s existing spot Bitcoin product that tracks the cryptocurrency’s price movements directly.

Disclaimer

The collaboration aims to reduce small business payment costs and expand blockchain adoption throughout South Korea’s retail sector.

Photo: Magic Eden

Key Takeaways

SUI blockchain and t'order are launching a KRW (South Korean Won) stablecoin for real-world payments in Korea.
The KRW stablecoin will allow low-cost, seamless payments across retail and small businesses, integrating with t'order's 35 million monthly user base.

SUI, a layer-1 blockchain network, and t’order, South Korea’s leading table-ordering app, are introducing a KRW stablecoin for real-world payments in Korea.

The digital currency pegged to the South Korean Won is designed for seamless, low-fee payments in everyday retail scenarios. SUI has partnered with t’order and Walrus Protocol to integrate blockchain-based payments, enabling face-pay features for 35 million monthly users.

T’order processes over $4.3 billion in annual transaction volume across 300,000+ point-of-sale devices. The initiative targets small businesses by reducing credit card fees, potentially saving them $100 million annually through stablecoin transactions.

The launch aligns with South Korea’s growing stablecoin ecosystem, where platforms like Kaia and Upbit are also advancing KRW-pegged assets amid a crypto-friendly regulatory environment.

Disclaimer

The amount of Ethereum held on centralized exchanges has dropped to its lowest level in nine years, signaling a growing wave of institutional accumulation and long-term holding strategies. Data from on-chain analytics platforms shows that Ethereum supply on exchanges has been steadily declining since mid-2020, with an even sharper exodus in recent months.

Timothy Morano
Sep 25, 2025 21:46

WLD price prediction points to $1.45-$1.96 range over next 30 days, with key resistance at $2.21. Worldcoin forecast remains mixed as RSI neutral zone suggests consolidation ahead.

Worldcoin (WLD) has experienced significant volatility in recent trading sessions, dropping 6.94% in the past 24 hours to current levels of $1.26. As traders seek clarity on WLD's next directional move, our comprehensive Worldcoin technical analysis reveals a complex setup that could lead to either a breakout above $2.21 resistance or a retest of critical support levels below $1.00.

WLD Price Prediction Summary
• WLD short-term target (1 week): $1.45 (+15.1%) based on Bollinger Band mean reversion
• Worldcoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.45-$1.96 consolidation range

• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $2.21 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.90 (immediate support) and $0.83 (strong support)

Recent Worldcoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest WLD price prediction data from leading crypto analysts presents a notably divergent outlook. PricePredictions.com maintains the most optimistic Worldcoin forecast with a medium-term WLD price target of $3.07, representing a potential 143% upside from current levels. Their analysis relies heavily on Fibonacci retracements and moving average convergence patterns.

Conversely, CoinGape's bearish WLD price prediction of $0.6014464 suggests a potential 52% decline, citing historical price data and current market headwinds. Meanwhile, CoinCodex projects a more moderate short-term correction to $1.45, anticipating a 23.10% decrease over the next five days.

This wide prediction range of $0.60 to $3.07 highlights the current uncertainty surrounding Worldcoin's price trajectory, making technical analysis crucial for identifying probable scenarios.

WLD Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Range-Bound Consolidation
Current Worldcoin technical analysis reveals several conflicting signals that support a consolidation thesis rather than a decisive directional break. The RSI reading of 45.00 places WLD firmly in neutral territory, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions that typically precede major moves.

The MACD histogram at -0.0513 indicates bearish momentum in the short term, while the price position at 0.2446 within the Bollinger Bands suggests WLD is trading closer to the lower band ($1.04) than the upper band ($1.96). This positioning often precedes mean reversion moves toward the middle band at $1.50.

Trading volume of $68.6 million on Binance provides adequate liquidity for institutional participation, though the 24-hour range of $1.23-$1.36 demonstrates continued volatility that could extend the current consolidation phase.

Worldcoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for WLD
The optimistic WLD price prediction scenario targets the $2.21-$3.07 range, contingent on several technical developments. A decisive break above the immediate resistance at $2.21 would likely trigger momentum buying toward the 52-week high of $2.31, with extended targets reaching the $3.07 level suggested by recent analyst forecasts.

For this bullish Worldcoin forecast to materialize, WLD needs to reclaim the SMA 20 at $1.50 and demonstrate sustained buying pressure above the Bollinger Band middle line. The key catalyst would be RSI moving above 55-60 levels, indicating renewed buying interest.

Bearish Risk for Worldcoin
The bearish WLD price prediction centers on a break below the critical $0.90 immediate support level. Such a move would likely accelerate selling toward the strong support at $0.83, with extended downside targets potentially reaching the aggressive forecast of $0.60 mentioned by CoinGape.

Risk factors supporting this scenario include the current MACD bearish momentum, the distance of 45.51% below the 52-week high, and potential broader crypto market weakness that could pressure altcoins like Worldcoin.

Should You Buy WLD Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our Worldcoin technical analysis, the current setup favors a patient approach rather than aggressive accumulation. The optimal buy or sell WLD strategy involves waiting for clearer technical signals at key levels.

Conservative Entry Points:
- Primary accumulation zone: $1.04-$1.18 (near Bollinger lower band and SMA 50)
- Aggressive entry: $0.90 bounce (immediate support test)
- Breakout entry: $2.25 (above immediate resistance with volume confirmation)

Risk Management:
- Stop-loss for long positions: $0.83 (below strong support)
- Position sizing: Limit exposure to 1-2% of portfolio given high volatility (ATR: $0.14)
- Take-profit levels: $1.50 (first target), $1.96 (Bollinger upper band), $2.21 (key resistance)

WLD Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis suggests a medium confidence WLD price prediction targeting the $1.45-$1.96 range over the next 30 days. The mixed signals from recent analyst forecasts, combined with neutral RSI readings and bearish MACD momentum, support a consolidation thesis rather than a directional breakout.

The key indicators to monitor for validation include RSI movement above 50 for bullish confirmation or below 40 for bearish acceleration. Additionally, volume expansion above $100 million daily would signal institutional interest capable of driving WLD beyond current trading ranges.

Timeline for this Worldcoin forecast extends through late October 2025, with monthly closes above $1.50 supporting the optimistic $3.07 targets, while monthly closes below $1.00 would validate the bearish scenarios toward $0.60 levels. The current technical setup suggests patience and precise entry timing will be crucial for capitalizing on WLD's next significant move.

Image source: Shutterstock

wld price forcast
wld price prediction

In brief
Strategy Michael Saylor appeared to endorse Bitcoin Knots on X on Wednesday.
The CEO of a prominent firm doubts that was Saylor’s intention.
Saylor has acknowledged the debate surrounding OP_RETURN elsewhere.
When Michael Saylor speaks, Bitcoiners often listen. But on Thursday, they couldn’t seem to agree on whether Strategy’s co-founder and executive chairman meant to weigh in on a controversial change to Bitcoin’s codebase that’s split the community in recent months.

On Wednesday, Saylor reposted a stylized video on X of him speaking on The Peter McCormack Show. The episode, which debuted over a year ago, showcased his thoughts on how changes to Bitcoin’s protocol could potentially lead to unintended and negative consequences.

The 10-minute clip that Saylor reposted included a call to action at the very end, which Saylor has never made publicly himself. The video prompted users to “Run Knots,” a form of software for Bitcoin node operators flouting changes set for its prevailing alternative.

Bitcoin Core currently accounts for 70% of machines that validate Bitcoin transactions, according to data from Clark Moody Bitcoin. And Bitcoin Core v30, which is scheduled to be released next month, is expected to modify how a so-called Bitcoin opcode can be used. Following months of debate, Bitcoin Core developers committed to the change in June.

Bitcoin opcodes are predefined functions that form the bedrock of Bitcoin’s codebase, and OP_RETURN allows people to store data in transactions. In Bitcoin Core v30, the amount of data that can be stored through OP_RETURN is set to increase to 100,000 bytes from 80 bytes.

Advocates argue that the shift will unlock more complex applications on Bitcoin, while making current workarounds obsolete. Critics argue that it could result in a more congested network, or even incentivize the storage of problematic or illegal conflict on Bitcoin’s network.

Bitcoin Knots’ supporters immediately portrayed Saylor’s social media activity as evidence of his support, but Saylor has yet to clarify his stance, and some doubt the message was intentional.

In some ways, the debate around OP_RETURN echoes controversy surrounding Ordinals. As the NFT-like assets gained (temporary) popularity in 2023, some cheered the development as innovative, while others argued that Bitcoin should stick to its monetary focus.

“If you believe the government should do the minimum to control your life, you [should] believe that the protocol should do the minimum,” Saylor said in the video that he reposted on Wednesday.

At a gathering of Bitcoin-buying firms in New York earlier this month, Saylor made comments echoing that conservative sentiment, according to a video posted on X by an account that goes by Señor 11s around a week ago.

“I think this debate we see right now over OP_RETURN limits, this is actually a second-order or maybe even a third-order change,” Saylor said. “But the reaction of the community, which is to reject it, an inflammatory reaction, I thought was a healthy response.”

To be sure, Saylor hasn’t publicly come out in favor of Bitcoin Core or Bitcoin knots. In 2023, Saylor told Decrypt that the discussion surrounding Ordinals was important because it could help miners be successful over the long term or bolster Bitcoin’s adoption.

On Wednesday, several accounts beckoned for clarification from Saylor on X, raising questions as to whether the influential CEO watched the clip he reposted to the end. The pro-Knots message is shown for exactly three seconds.

Decrypt has reached out to Strategy for comment.

The CEO of a prominent financial services firm, who requested anonymity to speak about the controversy, told Decrypt that he is certain Saylor would not have reposted the clip had he known that there was a pro-Knots message included at the end of the clip.

“He would never weigh in on something like that,” they said, arguing that Saylor is in a bind now because taking the post down would also make it look like he’s taking a side.

Even if Saylor reposted a pro-Knots message unintentionally, the individual said one thing seems certain: “The sides keep getting more and more vicious.”

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Crypto analysts Kaleo and Mags have predicted that the Dogecoin price will witness a parabolic run, with the potential to reach the $1 mark. This comes amid the top meme coin’s downtrend, which puts it at risk of retesting the $0.2 mark. 

Dogecoin Price Eyes Parabolic Rally To $1
In an X post, Kaleo declared that the Dogecoin price will rip to new highs from its current level. He further remarked that it is only a matter of time before prices catch up with institutional interest coming from DOGE treasury companies and ETFs. In line with this, he advised market participants not to “sleep on the king of memes.”

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Mags indicated that the Dogecoin price could rally to as high as $1 on this projected parabolic rally. He suggested that there is no way that the “father of all meme coins,” which is supported and shilled by Elon Musk, wouldn’t be able to pull a 3x increase in this market cycle. 

Mags asserted that the bull run is dedicated to meme coins and that the Dogecoin price will lead the meme coin supercycle round 2. It is worth mentioning that Elon Musk’s lawyer, Alex Spiro, is the Chairman of CleanCore, the foremost DOGE treasury company, which is looking to acquire up to 1 billion coins. The company already holds over 600 million DOGE. 

As Kaleo noted, institutional interest has also picked up following the launch of REX-Osprey’s Dogecoin ETF, which became the first meme coin ETF to launch. The Dogecoin price had notably surged above $0.3 ahead of the ETF’s launch. However, it has been on a downtrend since the fund launched, indicating that this was a ‘sell the news’ event. DOGE is down over 12% since then, a development which also comes amid a broad crypto market downtrend. 

DOGE Will Reach Its ATH At The Minimum
Crypto analyst Javon Marks has predicted that the Dogecoin price will reach its all-time high (ATH) of $0.73 at the minimum. He claimed that, based on historical trends, up next for DOGE is a rally of over 195%, which will send the meme coin to a new ATH above $0.739. His accompanying chart suggested that DOGE can reach the psychological $1 level in the process. 

Source: Chart from Javon Marks on X
Meanwhile, crypto analyst Kevin Capital highlighted how the Dogecoin price rallied 400% to $0.48 within a short period last year. He noted that crypto does nothing until it does something, and that it requires an incredible amount of patience and skill. However, the analyst emphasized that anyone can pull off the biggest trade if they can identify and have the conviction to buy at the lows, suggesting that it may be a good time to buy the dip. 

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.235, down almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

DOGE trading at $0.23 on the 1D chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

Key takeaways:

Traders reduced bullish positions, signaling mixed market sentiment ahead of Friday’s $22 billion monthly Bitcoin options expiry.

Stablecoin premiums and Bitcoin ETF inflows indicate cautious optimism, suggesting traders may seek gains in the near term.

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to its lowest level in over three weeks, triggering $275 million in liquidations of leveraged bullish positions. Traders are questioning whether the looming $22 billion BTC options expiry on Friday explains the dip below $109,000 and if professional investors anticipate further price declines.

Top traders long-to-short positions at Binance and OKX. Source: CoinGlassAt Binance, top traders reduced long (bullish) positions on Tuesday and Wednesday, driving the long-to-short ratio to 1.7x, the lowest level in more than 30 days. As Bitcoin fell below $112,000, these traders began reversing course, adding upward exposure as the indicator slowly climbed back to 1.9x in favor of longs.

Meanwhile, whales and market makers at OKX moved in the opposite direction, adding longs between Tuesday and Wednesday, likely betting that $112,000 support would hold. By Thursday, OKX’s long-to-short ratio surged to 4.2x, the highest in over two weeks. Bitcoin’s decline to $108,700, however, caught these players off guard, forcing them to reduce leverage at a loss.

Bitcoin put options would take $1 billion lead if price falls below $110,000Bearish bets for Bitcoin’s monthly options expiry at 8:00 am UTC on Friday targeted the $95,000 to $110,000 range. If bulls fail to reclaim the $110,000 level by then, put (sell) options would gain a $1 billion advantage. 

Some analysts, however, expect selling pressure to ease after the expiry, as BTC derivatives have demonstrated resilience in recent weeks, with open interest and funding rates remaining relatively stable despite the recent price dip.

Bitcoin futures premium relative to the spot market, annualized. Source: laevitas.chBitcoin’s 2-month futures premium relative to spot markets held steady at 5%, within the neutral 5% to 10% range. This indicates limited appetite for bullish positions, while also reflecting that shorts are cautious and not aggressively betting on further downside. Bitcoin futures open interest remains robust at $79 billion, down 3% over the past two days, according to CoinGlass data.

Additionally, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded $241 million in net inflows on Wednesday, supporting moderate optimism among investors. At the same time, concerns over the US labor market mentioned by US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell persist. The Labor Department reported Thursday that continuing jobless claims were relatively flat at 1.926 million for the week ending Sept. 13.

Bitcoin under pressure due to potential US government shutdownBitcoin is facing pressure from traders’ rising risk aversion, particularly amid concerns about a potential US government shutdown. A memo from US President Trump’s Office of Management and Budget (OMB), first reported by Politico, instructed government agencies to revise plans ahead of a possible discretionary funding lapse on Oct. 1.

Stablecoin demand in China provides additional insight into traders’ positioning. Typically, a strong interest in cryptocurrencies pushes stablecoins about 2% above the official US dollar rate. By contrast, a discount exceeding 0.5% often signals fear, as traders exit the crypto market.

Tether (USDT/CNY) vs. US dollar/CNY. Source: OKXCurrently, Tether (USDT) is trading at a modest 0.3% premium relative to the official USD/CNY rate, suggesting a neutral market. This indicates that some traders may be injecting capital into cryptocurrencies to take advantage of the recent dip, supporting the view of those expecting gains following Friday’s options expiry.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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BlackRock files for a $12.5 trillion Bitcoin Premium Income ETF.

ETF combines Bitcoin exposure with income-generating strategies.

SEC approval pending for Nasdaq listing of new Bitcoin ETF.

BlackRock has filed an application for a $12.5 trillion Bitcoin Premium Income ETF. This new offering marks a significant move into the cryptocurrency market, expanding BlackRock’s involvement in digital assets. 

If approved, the ETF could offer institutional investors an opportunity to earn income from Bitcoin exposure.

The Bitcoin Premium Income ETF is designed to combine Bitcoin holdings with income-generating strategies, such as covered call options. These strategies aim to provide investors with yields while still benefiting from Bitcoin’s price potential. 

BlackRock’s move indicates confidence in Bitcoin’s stability, moving beyond basic exposure to a more sophisticated investment product.

The proposed fund will likely appeal to traditional finance investors looking for regular payouts. BlackRock’s ETF aims to attract those who want exposure to Bitcoin’s long-term upside while seeking stable income. 

The filing is expected to bring more institutional attention to Bitcoin-related investment products, though regulatory approval remains a key hurdle.

BlackRock’s Bitcoin Premium Income ETF is expected to be listed on Nasdaq, pending SEC approval. The ETF will likely use Coinbase Custody for secure Bitcoin storage, similar to BlackRock’s previous Bitcoin ETF. The filing signals BlackRock’s broader strategy to dominate the cryptocurrency ETF market.

ETF Designed to Attract Both Income and Bitcoin Investors
The new ETF is part of BlackRock’s growing involvement in cryptocurrency investments. The firm’s successful launch of the iShares Bitcoin Trust in 2024 laid the groundwork for this next move. 

BlackRock’s strategy reflects its commitment to developing a full suite of cryptocurrency investment products.

The Bitcoin Premium Income ETF is expected to compete with similar income-focused crypto ETFs. These products typically offer annual yields of 5-10% based on the underlying Bitcoin exposure. 

However, market liquidity and volatility concerns may impact the fund’s performance, requiring investors to stay informed about regulatory developments.

DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.

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HYPE price prediction has hinged on a $40–42 base after a deeper pullback, as prior 20% cycles have been followed by new highs. Fibonacci levels near $42–46 have aligned with support, and user growth plus ongoing accumulation have supported a $55–60 recovery scenario if consolidation persists.

Bitcoin fell to $108,000 on Thursday, dropping 3.6% in 24 hours, and nearly 7% for the week, according to data from CoinGecko.

The decline triggered widespread losses across crypto markets, sending Ethereum down 8% to $3,887 and bringing Ether’s four-week loss to 23%.

The sell-off came with a spike in liquidations, wiping out more than $1.1 billion in trades over a 24-hour period. The majority of that, over $1 billion, were long bets that prices would rise.

Dogecoin fell 7.6%, trading near $0.23, while Solana dropped 7.7% to $197.52. Both tokens are now down 21% over the last seven days, ranking them as the week’s worst performers in the top 100.

The pullback also lined up with weakness in U.S. equities. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all ended Thursday in the red.

Long-term holders dumped Bitcoin while ETFs went silent
Bitcoin’s latest rally, which hit a post-FOMC high of $117,000, has reversed into what analysts describe as a classic “buy the rumour, sell the news” pattern. Glassnode analysts said Thursday that Bitcoin is now “showing signs of exhaustion” as ETF demand stalled and long-term investors began locking in profits.

The current drop, from $124,000 down to $113,700, equals an 8% decline. That’s mild compared to this cycle’s 28% drawdown or the 60% drops seen in previous ones. But analysts also noted that Bitcoin’s volatility has been shrinking over time, now resembling the slow climb seen between 2015 and 2017. There’s been no blow-off top yet.

Source: Glassnode
This cycle has lasted around 1,030 days, just shy of the 1,060-day duration seen in the last two. On-chain data shows capital deployment has moved in three waves since November 2022, lifting Realized Cap to $1.06 trillion. Capital inflows are now at $678 billion, nearly twice the last cycle’s $383 billion.

This wave didn’t come all at once. Each time over 90% of moved coins were in profit, that signaled a top. The crypto just backed away from its third such spike. Long-term holders have sold 3.4 million BTC, already more than they did in past cycles.

ETF flows, which helped soak up that supply earlier in the year, fell off a cliff. Around the FOMC, long-term holders were unloading at a rate of 122,000 BTC per month, while ETF net inflows dropped from 2,600 BTC/day to nearly zero. That created a weak environment, as selling pressure rose and new demand dried up.

Futures and options exposed the market’s fragility
Spot markets cracked first. As Bitcoin dropped, trading volume exploded, and thin order books couldn’t handle the flow. That pushed the price under $113,000 and triggered a sharp flush in futures. Open interest dropped from $44.8 billion to $42.7 billion, forcing over-leveraged traders to exit and magnifying the fall.

Heatmaps from Coinglass showed major liquidation clusters between $114,000 and $112,000, clearing out leveraged longs. That created a short-term floor near $111,800, where the short-term holder’s cost basis now sits.

But price remains unstable. Risk levels still hover around $117,000, and without stronger buying, prices could swing even more. In the options market, volatility surged before the FOMC and then cooled once the rate cut was confirmed.

That didn’t last. A Sunday futures crash reignited the fear trade. One-week implied volatility jumped, and pressure spread to longer contracts. On Friday, 1W skew spiked from 1.5% to 17%, showing that traders scrambled for downside protection.

That rush was real. Two days later, the biggest liquidation since 2021 hit the market. The put/call volume ratio dropped after that, as traders cashed out their puts and moved to cheaper calls. Still, Skew data shows the market is still tilted toward more puts, keeping protection expensive and upside cheap.

Total options open interest is still near record highs. Most of that will reset after Friday morning’s expiry. Until then, dealers are pinned in a peak gamma zone, forced to hedge every tiny move.

Get $50 free to trade crypto when you sign up to Bybit now

Ethereum has increasingly become the blockchain of choice for institutional investors, with BitMine Chairman Tom Lee highlighting the platform's neutrality and strong appeal to Wall Street. Speaking at Korea Blockchain Week 2025, Lee described Ethereum as a “truly neutral chain” that provides confidence to institutions and government actors alike, marking it as a leading blockchain for long-term investment.

Shiba Inu slips 3.10% despite a 397% burn surge. Leadership turmoil, hacks, and uncertainty weigh on SHIB’s path to $1.

Ezra Kaimenyi2 min read

25 September 2025, 07:18 PM

Image: ShutterstockShiba Inu (SHIB) slipped 3.10% in the past 24 hours, settling at $0.00001181. The decline comes even as more than 1.15 million SHIB tokens were burned in the same period, marking a sharp 397% increase in daily burn activity. While the burn signals efforts to reduce supply, the market reaction shows continued investor caution.

Leadership Woes and Security Setbacks Weigh on SHIBDespite the burn, SHIB has lost 11% in the past week, falling out of the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap. Long-standing enthusiasm among holders has cooled, with many pointing to stagnating prices and missed milestones. Leadership uncertainty has made the situation worse. Lead developer Shytoshi Kusama has hinted at stepping aside, even suggesting a possible community election to choose a successor. Meanwhile, top developer Kaal Dhairya has distanced himself from assuming leadership, leaving investorsShiba Inu Slips 3.10% Despite 1.15M SHIB Burn — Can It Bounce Back Amid Leadership Uncertainty? unsure of the project’s direction.

Technical and security setbacks have also hit the ecosystem. Earlier this month, the Shibarium Bridge suffered a hack that drained more than $4 million. Recovery efforts remain stalled, and the bridge has yet to reopen. Kusama has made his social accounts private, while marketing lead Lucie has scaled back public updates. This vacuum of communication has left many holders questioning the project’s stability and credibility.

Can SHIB Overcome Hurdles to Reach the $1 Dream?The prospect of SHIB reaching $1 has sharply divided its community. Supporters argue that massive token burns combined with real-world utility could create the right conditions. Lucie previously referenced a ChatGPT-based analysis that suggested such a target, while acknowledging the scale of challenges ahead. Skeptics counter that without stronger leadership and utility adoption, the path to $1 remains more aspirational than achievable.

From a technical standpoint, SHIB recently dipped below its support but quickly reclaimed the zone, showing some hidden buying strength. The token now sits near the lower edge of a triangle formation, a structure often linked to decisive market moves. The bounce from imbalance areas suggests that demand still exists at critical levels. Analysts note that if momentum holds, SHIB could attempt a breakout toward higher price zones, though volatility is expected.

OutlookShiba Inu stands at a crossroads. Rising burn rates show commitment to reducing supply, but unresolved leadership issues, unfinished projects, and lingering security concerns weigh heavily on sentiment. For SHIB to mount a true recovery, the community will need more than burns—it will need clarity, trust, and sustainable development.

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Ezra Kaimenyi

With experience covering crypto trends and communities, Ezra bridges complex blockchain concepts with accessible narratives for everyday readers.

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Latest Shiba Inu News Today (SHIB)

Darius Baruo
Sep 25, 2025 20:24

DOT price prediction shows potential upside to $12.39 despite trading near $3.86. Technical analysis reveals mixed signals with bearish momentum but oversold conditions.

Polkadot (DOT) finds itself at a critical juncture as the cryptocurrency trades at $3.86, down 4.54% in the last 24 hours. Despite recent selling pressure, multiple analysts are projecting significant upside potential for DOT, with price targets ranging from conservative to highly optimistic levels. This comprehensive DOT price prediction examines the technical landscape and analyst forecasts to determine whether Polkadot is positioned for a bullish breakout or further decline.

DOT Price Prediction Summary
• DOT short-term target (1 week): $4.25 (+10.1%) - Break above SMA 7 resistance
• Polkadot medium-term forecast (1 month): $4.50-$12.39 range based on analyst consensus
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $4.88 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $3.61 (strong support level)

Recent Polkadot Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest Polkadot forecast from leading prediction platforms reveals a notably bullish sentiment despite current price weakness. PricePredictions.com leads the optimistic camp with a DOT price prediction of $12.39 for the short term, representing a potential 221% gain from current levels. This ambitious target relies heavily on technical analysis using moving averages, RSI, and Fibonacci retracements.

In contrast, PriceForecastBot presents a more conservative medium-term DOT price target of $3.97, suggesting only modest upside of 2.8%. This AI-driven analysis focuses on historical price patterns and current market trends, indicating a more cautious approach to Polkadot's near-term prospects.

The most bullish long-term perspective comes from CoinCodex, projecting DOT could reach $23.41. This algorithmic prediction considers Bitcoin halving cycles and historical performance patterns, though the timeline extends well beyond immediate trading horizons.

The stark variance in these predictions highlights the current uncertainty surrounding Polkadot's price direction, with targets spanning from conservative single-digit gains to triple-digit percentage increases.

DOT Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Potential Reversal
Current Polkadot technical analysis reveals a mixed but potentially constructive setup for DOT bulls. Trading at $3.86, Polkadot sits just above the lower Bollinger Band at $3.80, with a %B position of 0.0873 indicating the token is approaching oversold territory. This positioning often precedes short-term bounces in trending markets.

The RSI reading of 41.62 confirms DOT remains in neutral territory, avoiding deeply oversold conditions that might signal capitulation. However, the MACD histogram at -0.0576 indicates bearish momentum remains intact, suggesting any bounce may face resistance at key moving average levels.

DOT's position relative to major moving averages tells a bearish story, with price trading below the SMA 7 ($4.12), SMA 20 ($4.19), and SMA 50 ($4.03). Only the SMA 200 at $4.04 provides nearby resistance that could be challenged on any meaningful bounce. The convergence of these moving averages around the $4.00-$4.20 zone creates a significant resistance cluster that must be overcome for bullish continuation.

Volume analysis shows $44.6 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, indicating moderate institutional interest despite the price decline. The daily ATR of $0.24 suggests normal volatility conditions, providing adequate opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on range-bound movements.

Polkadot Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for DOT
The primary bullish DOT price prediction scenario targets the $12.39 level identified by PricePredictions.com. For this target to materialize, Polkadot must first reclaim the $4.88 immediate resistance level, representing a 26% move from current prices. This level corresponds to recent swing highs and represents the first major technical hurdle.

A successful break above $4.88 would likely trigger momentum buying toward the $7.50 level, representing DOT's 52-week high. This would constitute a 94% gain from current levels and align with the broader bullish thesis. Beyond this level, the path toward double-digit prices becomes more speculative but technically feasible given Polkadot's historical volatility patterns.

The bullish case requires several technical confirmations: RSI breaking above 50, MACD generating a positive crossover, and sustained volume above recent averages. Additionally, broader cryptocurrency market strength would provide essential tailwinds for such an ambitious price move.

Bearish Risk for Polkadot
The bearish scenario for this DOT price prediction centers on a breakdown below the critical $3.61 strong support level. Such a move would likely trigger algorithmic selling and push DOT toward the 52-week low of $3.15, representing an 18% decline from current levels.

Key bearish catalysts include sustained trading below the lower Bollinger Band, RSI dropping below 30, and broader cryptocurrency market weakness. The MACD histogram's negative reading at -0.0576 suggests downside momentum could accelerate if support levels fail to hold.

A break below $3.15 would open the door to deeper corrections, potentially targeting the $2.50-$2.80 range based on previous support levels and Fibonacci extension analysis. Such a scenario would invalidate near-term bullish predictions and require a fundamental reassessment of Polkadot's technical outlook.

Should You Buy DOT Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Polkadot technical analysis, a measured approach to DOT accumulation appears prudent. The optimal buy or sell DOT decision depends on risk tolerance and investment timeline. For aggressive traders, the current $3.86 level offers an attractive risk-reward ratio with nearby support at $3.61.

Conservative investors should wait for confirmation of bullish momentum above the $4.19 SMA 20 level before initiating positions. This approach reduces downside risk while maintaining upside participation if the optimistic DOT price prediction scenarios materialize.

Risk management remains critical given the conflicting technical signals. Stop-loss orders should be placed below $3.61 for any new long positions, limiting downside to approximately 6-7%. Position sizing should reflect the high volatility inherent in cryptocurrency markets, with most traders limiting DOT exposure to 2-5% of total portfolio value.

For those convinced by the bullish analyst predictions, dollar-cost averaging into positions over 2-4 weeks provides better entry execution and reduces timing risk. This strategy capitalizes on volatility while building positions toward potential breakout levels.

DOT Price Prediction Conclusion
This comprehensive DOT price prediction suggests Polkadot stands at a critical inflection point with potential for significant moves in either direction. The analyst consensus pointing toward $12.39 provides an optimistic framework, though current technical indicators suggest patience may be required before such targets become achievable.

The medium confidence level for most analyst predictions reflects the current market uncertainty, with DOT's technical setup showing both bullish oversold conditions and bearish momentum characteristics. Key indicators to monitor include RSI movement above 50, MACD positive crossover confirmation, and sustained volume above $50 million daily averages.

The timeline for this Polkadot forecast to materialize likely extends 4-8 weeks, allowing sufficient time for technical patterns to develop and market sentiment to shift. Traders should remain flexible and adjust positions based on actual price action rather than relying solely on predictive models, regardless of their sophistication or historical accuracy.

Image source: Shutterstock

dot price forcast
dot price prediction

Sep 25, 2025 at 19:29 // Price

Ethereum's price has been declining and has slipped below the moving average lines. ETH price analysis by Coinidol.com.

Since September 13, as reported by Coinidol.com, the uptrend ended at the $4,800 mark. The largest altcoin has slipped below the moving average lines after its decline on September 22, and since then it has been trading above the $4,000 support level.

Today, the ETH price fell down and broke its current support level of $4,000. This may cause that Ether can drop to a low of $3,400. Currently, ETH price is $3,969.

ETH price indicators analysis

The price bars are levelling off below the horizontal moving average lines. The 21-day SMA is trying to drop below the 50-day SMA support. On the 4-hour chart, the price bars are below the downward sloping moving averages. Doji candlesticks indicate price activity.

ETH/USD daily chart - September 24, 2025

What is the next direction for ETH?

Ether is dropping below the moving average lines. Selling pressure has paused above the critical support level of $4,000. 

On the 4-hour chart, the altcoin is trading above the $4,000 support but below the moving average lines around $4,250. To keep the price or go up, Ether must hold the $4,000 support.

ETH/USD 4-hour chart - September 25, 2025

Disclaimer. This analysis and forecast are the personal opinions of the author. The data provided is collected by the author and is not sponsored by any company or token developer. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell cryptocurrency and should not be viewed as an endorsement by Coinidol.com. Readers should do their research before investing in funds.

Jessie A Ellis
Sep 25, 2025 20:30

AVAX price prediction shows potential for 77-214% gains to $52-$92 by year-end, though immediate consolidation around $30 pivot expected before breakout above $36 resistance.

Avalanche (AVAX) presents a compelling technical setup despite recent volatility, with our AVAX price prediction pointing toward significant upside potential through December 2025. Trading at $29.33 after a sharp 14.06% decline, AVAX appears to be consolidating near critical support levels before the next major move.

AVAX Price Prediction Summary
• AVAX short-term target (1 week): $32.00-$34.00 (+9-16%) if $30.77 pivot holds
• Avalanche medium-term forecast (1 month): $27.00-$36.00 range with breakout potential
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $36.16 (strong resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $24.09, then $21.95

Recent Avalanche Price Predictions from Analysts
Recent analyst predictions show remarkable divergence in long-term AVAX price targets. PricePredictions.com presents the most bullish Avalanche forecast with a $92.70 target, representing a 214% gain from current levels. Their technical analysis suggests bullish momentum could drive AVAX to new all-time highs by December 2025.

In contrast, PriceForecastBot's AI-driven analysis provides a more conservative AVAX price prediction of $52.13, still indicating substantial 77% upside potential. Blockchain.News focuses on medium-term resistance, targeting the $27.00-$32.00 range following anticipated breakout patterns.

The consensus among analysts points toward bullish sentiment, with all predictions substantially above current prices. However, the wide range from $52 to $92 suggests significant uncertainty about the magnitude of potential gains.

AVAX Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Consolidation Before Breakout
Current Avalanche technical analysis reveals a mixed but generally constructive picture. AVAX trades above its 200-day SMA ($22.17) and 50-day SMA ($26.54), confirming the longer-term uptrend remains intact despite recent weakness.

The RSI reading of 49.36 sits in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This provides room for movement in either direction without immediate momentum constraints. However, the MACD histogram shows -0.1788, indicating short-term bearish momentum that could persist for several sessions.

AVAX's position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.43 suggests the price sits closer to the lower band ($23.88) than the upper band ($36.46), potentially indicating oversold conditions on a relative basis. The $2.28 Average True Range reflects elevated volatility, typical during consolidation phases before significant directional moves.

Volume analysis shows robust $234.8 million in 24-hour trading, indicating continued institutional and retail interest despite the price decline.

Avalanche Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for AVAX
The primary bullish AVAX price target requires breaking above $36.16 resistance with conviction. Success here opens the path toward the $52.13 AI-predicted level, representing the first major upside target.

Beyond $52, the ambitious $92.70 prediction becomes viable if AVAX can establish new support above previous resistance levels. This scenario requires sustained buying pressure and broader cryptocurrency market strength through Q4 2025.

Key technical requirements for the bullish case include:
- Reclaim of the 20-day EMA ($31.52) and 7-day SMA ($32.72)
- MACD histogram turning positive
- RSI pushing above 60 for momentum confirmation
- Volume expansion on any breakout attempts

Bearish Risk for Avalanche
The bearish scenario for our AVAX price prediction involves failure to hold the $30.77 pivot point. This would likely trigger testing of immediate support at $24.09, coinciding with the lower Bollinger Band region.

A break below $24.09 would activate the $21.95 strong support level, representing approximately 25% downside from current prices. Further deterioration could target the 200-day SMA at $22.17, though this level should provide significant buying interest.

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, regulatory concerns, or failure of key Avalanche ecosystem developments to materialize.

Should You Buy AVAX Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Avalanche technical analysis, a layered entry approach appears optimal. Initial positions could be established near current levels around $29.33, with the $30.77 pivot serving as immediate reference point.

For conservative investors, waiting for a clear break above $32.00 provides better risk-adjusted entry, though potentially sacrificing early upside. Aggressive buyers might consider dollar-cost averaging between $28.50-$30.50.

Stop-loss placement below $24.09 protects against significant downside while allowing room for normal volatility. Position sizing should account for AVAX's elevated volatility, with most investors limiting exposure to 2-5% of portfolio value.

The risk-reward ratio favors the bullish case, with potential gains of 77-214% against downside risk of approximately 25% to strong support levels.

AVAX Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive AVAX price prediction anticipates consolidation through early October before resuming the longer-term uptrend. The $52.13 target represents a realistic base case with medium confidence, while the $92.70 prediction requires exceptional market conditions but remains technically possible.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include MACD turning positive, RSI breaking above 60, and most critically, sustained volume on any move above $36.16 resistance. Timeline for major upside targets extends through December 2025, providing ample time for the Avalanche forecast to develop.

The current technical setup suggests patience will be rewarded, with the next 2-4 weeks likely determining whether AVAX can establish the foundation for its predicted surge toward year-end targets.

Image source: Shutterstock

avax price forcast
avax price prediction

New ETF enables mainstream investors to earn staking rewards from Ethereum, signaling institutional acceptance of digital assets in traditional US finance.

Key Takeaways

REX-Osprey, combining REX Shares and Osprey Funds, launched the first US Ethereum staking ETF, called ESK.
ESK provides direct Ethereum spot exposure and integrates staking rewards, allowing investors to benefit from on-chain yields without running their own staking infrastructure.

REX-Osprey, a collaboration between REX Shares and Osprey Funds, launched the first US Ethereum staking ETF today. The fund trades under ticker ESK and provides direct spot ETH exposure while incorporating staking rewards.

The ETF allows investors to access on-chain yields without managing staking themselves. ESK marks the first combined product offering both Ethereum exposure and staking rewards to US investors.

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