Market Signal Briefing

TLDR: Sei Wallet will be pre-installed on Xiaomi smartphones sold outside China and US starting 2026 SEI Giga upgrade scales network throughput to 200,000+ transactions per second for DeFi and gaming Stablecoin payments launching across 20,000+ Xiaomi retail stores in Hong Kong and EU during Q2 2026 Institutional partnerships with BlackRock, Apollo, and Hamilton Lane position Sei for RWA expansion  Sei Network has positioned itself for significant growth in 2026 after spending 2025 strengthening its technical foundation. 

The blockchain platform centers its expansion strategy around four core pillars: SEI Giga, Market Infrastructure Grids, Autobahn, and a partnership with Xiaomi. 

These developments aim to transition Sei from infrastructure building to widespread user adoption.

Payment Integration and Mobile Distribution Drive User Growth The Xiaomi partnership represents Sei’s most significant catalyst for user expansion in 2026. Starting this year, Sei Wallet and application discovery features will come pre-installed on Xiaomi smartphones sold outside China and the United States. 

This distribution channel provides access to hundreds of millions of potential users across global markets.

The partnership extends beyond wallet integration to include stablecoin payment capabilities. Sei will launch stablecoin payments across more than 20,000 Xiaomi retail stores in Q2 2026. 

The initial rollout targets Hong Kong and European Union markets, transforming Sei into a functional payments layer rather than solely a trading chain.

Industry analysts have labeled 2026 as Sei’s mass adoption year based on real-world distribution channels. The platform’s daily active addresses already reached 1.3 million in early 2026. 

➥ From Infrastructure to Mass Adoption: Decoding Sei’s 2026 Narratives

I’ve written a lot about how @SeiNetwork spent 2025 quietly laying the groundwork optimizing infrastructure so 2026 can be the year of real mass adoption.

At the core of this push are four major pillars:

-… pic.twitter.com/YWGnWuWguG

— Tanaka (@Tanaka_L2) January 10, 2026

The Xiaomi integration could scale the user base from millions to hundreds of millions over the course of the year.

This distribution strategy reduces onboarding friction substantially compared to traditional blockchain adoption methods. 

Users gain immediate access to Sei’s ecosystem through pre-installed applications on devices they already use. The retail payment infrastructure further bridges the gap between cryptocurrency and everyday transactions.

High-Performance Infrastructure Attracts DeFi and Institutional Capital The SEI Giga upgrade forms the technical backbone of the network’s 2026 roadmap. This infrastructure enhancement scales throughput to over 200,000 transactions per second. 

The system supports high-frequency trading, decentralized finance applications, and gaming without network congestion.

Performance metrics from 2025 demonstrate growing momentum across trading categories. Perpetual volume increased by more than 19,000 percent during the year. 

Spot trading volume reached approximately $4 billion in Q3 2025 alone, indicating strong market activity.

Protocols such as Oxium and Monaco lead the development of decentralized finance using a central limit order book architecture. 

This design optimizes capital efficiency for traders and liquidity providers. Additional ecosystem projects include Yei Finance, Takara Lend, Dragon Swap, and Sailor Finance, expanding the DeFi landscape.

Sei targets institutional adoption through partnerships with BlackRock, Apollo, and Hamilton Lane. Market Infrastructure Grids connect enterprise partners, including Circle, PayPal, Revolut, and LayerZero. 

The current real-world asset market stands at roughly $19 billion, with Sei positioning itself as infrastructure for tokenized assets. Japan’s FSA approval provides regulatory support, while Securitize and Kaio serve as institutional gateways to the network.

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Published: Jan 11, 2026, 05:00 GMT+00:00

Key Points:Strong US Services PMI and jobs data cut March Fed rate cut bets, pushing Bitcoin (BTC) back toward $90,000.US BTC-spot ETFs recorded $680.9m in weekly outflows, reversing the prior week’s inflows.Despite the pullback, improving sentiment and legislative progress support a bullish medium-term BTC outlook.

US Services PMI and labor market data sink bets on a March Fed rate cut, sending Bitcoin (BTC) to $90,000.

US economic indicators signaled a pickup in economic momentum at the end of 2025, with services sector activity accelerating. The US jobs report highlighted a tighter labor market and rising wages, weighing on hopes for lower borrowing costs.

Stronger-than-expected US economic data and fading bets on a March Fed rate cut weighed on demand for BTC-spot ETFs, adding to the bearish sentiment. Despite this week’s pullback, the medium-term outlook remains bullish.

Below, I consider the key drivers behind recent price trends, the short-term outlook, the medium-term trajectory, and the key technical levels traders should watch.

US Jobs Report and Consumer Sentiment Signal Robust Economy US economic indicators weighed on demand for BTC. Unemployment fell from 4.5% in November to 4.4% in December, while average hourly earnings rose 3.8% year-on-year in December (November: 3.6%).

Typically, tighter labor market conditions and higher wages fuel consumer spending and demand-driven inflation, cooling Fed rate cut bets.

The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index increased from 52.9 in December to 54.0 in January, adding to the positive sentiment toward the US economy. An upswing in sentiment signaled a pickup in private consumption, which accounts for around 60% of the US GDP.

BTC climbed to a January 9 high of $92,011 before dropping back to $90,000 on sentiment toward the Fed rate path. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the chances of a March cut fell from 51.1% on January 2 to 28.7% on January 9.

This week, service sector PMI data also weighed on hopes for a Fed rate cut. The all-important ISM Services PMI increased from 52.6 in November to 54.4 in December. Accounting for around 80% of the US GDP, the pickup in sector activity challenged calls from the US administration to cut interest rates.

Nevertheless, expectations of an incoming Fed Chair, supporting a lower interest rate environment, support a bullish short- to medium-term price outlook.

US BTC-Spot ETFs Extend Outflow Streak Fading bets on a March Fed rate cut weighed on demand for US BTC-spot ETFs, contributing to BTC’s pullback to $90,000. According to Farside Investors, BTC-spot ETF issuers saw net outflows of $680.9 million in the reporting week ending January 9, reversing $459 million in net inflows the previous week.

Key flow trends for the week included:

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) reported net outflows of $481.2 million. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw net outflows of $171.8 million. In total, six ETF issuers reported weekly net outflows. Meanwhile, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) had net inflows of $25.9 million. Five of the 11 ETF issuers reported weekly inflows. US BTC-spot ETF flows remain key for the supply-demand balance. Weekly outflows left BTC down 1.02% for the current week despite striking a five-week high of $95,075 on Monday, January 5.

Crucially, extended outflows in the week ahead would derail the cautiously bullish short-term and bullish medium-term outlook.

BTCUSD – Weekly Chart – 110126 Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Signals Sentiment Pickup While this week’s US BTC-spot ETF market outflows contributed to the bearish sentiment, several price catalysts support a cautiously bullish short-term and a bullish medium-term outlook. Morgan Stanley’s S-1 filing for a BTC-spot ETF suggests a strong institutional demand backdrop.

The Morgan Stanley move followed the Market Structure Bill’s progress toward the January markups, another crucial development. The MSCI’s decision to retain digital asset treasury companies (DATs) was another positive development.

The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index increased from 25 on January 10 to 29 on January 11, exiting the Extreme Fear zone. The upswing into the Fear zone suggests improving sentiment, affirming the bullish outlook.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index – 110126 Downside Risks: US Data, Central Banks, Regulatory Developments, and ETF Flows While fundamentals support a constructive bias, downside risks remain, including:

The BoJ announces a high neutral interest rate (1.5%-2%), indicating multiple rate hikes and increased risks of a yen carry trade unwind. US economic data and the Fed signal a more hawkish rate path. BTC-spot ETFs face extended outflows. These scenarios would likely send BTC toward the November 21 low of $80,523, exposing the April low of $74,394.

In summary, the short-term outlook remains cautiously bullish as fundamentals outweigh the technicals. The medium- to longer-term outlook is constructive.

Technical Analysis The weekly reversal left BTC below its 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating a bearish bias. However, fundamentals are diverging from the technical indicators, signaling a rebound.

A break above the 50-day EMA would bring the $94,447 resistance level into play. Importantly, a sustained move above the 50-day EMA would indicate a near-term bullish trend reversal, paving the way toward the $100,000 psychological resistance level and the 200-day EMA. A break above the EMAs would reinforce the bullish short- to medium-term price outlook.

BTCUSD – Daily Chart – 110126 – EMAs Bearish Structure Validation: What Happens if BTC Holds $90,000? Avoiding a sustained fall below the $90,000 level and the trendline would support a move to $95,000. A breakout above $95,000 would validate the bullish structure, reinforcing the bullish short-term (1-4 weeks) target of $100,000 and the medium-term (4-8 weeks) target of $115,000.

However, a drop below $90,000 would expose the November low of $80,523 and invalidate the bullish structure.

BTCUSD – Daily Chart – 110126 – Bullish Structure Track BTC market trends with our real-time data and insights here.

Outlook: $90,000 Support Key to Bullish Outlook US economic data, the Fed, the BoJ, and demand for US BTC-spot ETFs will influence demand for BTC.

The US CPI Report (January 13) will be the key event of the coming week. Softer US inflation and dovish Fed chatter would likely lift sentiment.

Considering the current market dynamics, the outlook remains constructive, with a 6-12 month price target of $150,000. The US Senate’s passing the Market Structure Bill would add to the bullish outlook.

Stay informed on BTC trends by monitoring macroeconomic developments, ETF flows, and technical indicators here.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NEE either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Paramount Skydance has now initiated what insiders are calling “Plan D” as they look to upend Netflix’s “winning” bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Post has learned.

It involves banging home to investors the immense amount of regulatory uncertainty involved in the Netflix deal and how that could spell trouble not just for the transaction but for Netflix itself, say sources close to the talks.

Plan A, of course, was trying to convince WBD CEO David Zaslav and his board led by Samuel DiPiazza that its $30-a-share, all-cash offer for the entire company was superior to Netflix’s $27.75 cash-and-stock deal for the Warner Bros. studio and HBO Max streaming service.

David Ellison, CEO of Paramount Skydance, exits the New York Stock Exchange last month. REUTERS The Netflix deal, they note, now looks especially troubled when you consider that it’s promising shareholders what looks like an increasingly far-fetched $3 a share when WBD sells its cable properties CNN, TNT and Discovery, in the spring.

Plan B involved Paramount — run by David Ellison, his father, the Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison, and Gerry Cardinale of RedBird Capital — launching a hostile bid to convince WBD shareholders to take their money (all cash) and run.

So far unsuccessful, which is why next came “Plan C” as first reported by The Post, or their “Defcon 1” strategy of possibly suing WBD to show WBD skewing the bidding process to an allegedly inferior Netflix bid because of the friendship between CEO Ted Sarandos and Zas.

No one likes litigation, and that’s why we now have “Plan D,” which I am told is simply playing the long game, remaining in the background saying, “I told ya so,” when the numbers behind the Netflix deal begin to evaporate and the reality sets in that Netflix faces a long, tough road at best for approval from the Trump administration.

Plus, and here’s the kicker: Netflix’s entire business model might come under scrutiny if it goes through with this deal.

Consider: The Ellisons and Cardinale are arguing that the value of the stock portion of the Netflix deal keeps losing value and may never recover.

From its one year high in June, Netflix has lost $160 billion in market cap as the bidding war dragged on. Investors are obviously a little concerned about Sarandos and founder Reed Hastings buying something they don’t really need and might not be able to afford given the $60 billion of debt involved in their offer.

Paramount Skydance has now initiated what insiders are calling “Plan D” as they look to upend Netflix’s “winning” bid for Warner Bros. Discovery. REUTERS They’re also hyping worries that WBD cable spinoff will be virtually worthless as investors weigh its own huge levels of debt on top of the cord cutting that will eat away at viewership.

The way the Paramount Skydance people put it, WBD has placed so much debt on the balance sheet of its cable spinoff ($15 billion) they could barely (if lucky) hand investors $1 a share on top of the $27.75

Meanwhile, if WBD and Netflix take some of that debt off the cable properties and hand it to the studio and streaming units that Netflix is buying, well, that would wreak havoc on the metrics of its $27.75 cash-stock offer.

But wait, there’s more Yes, it’s all very complicated, which is why Mario Gabelli, the famed value investor and WBD shareholder, told me Netflix’s deal needs to be simplified because “cash is king,” which is also why he likes what the Ellisons and RedBird bring to the table.

Then comes the regulatory morass, which was recently made even clearer following a conversation I had with a senior Trump administration official.

Netflix and WBD would be combining the No. 1 and No. 3 streaming services, as we all know.

It faces scrutiny from the Trump administration and likely a lawsuit to stop it.

It’s a long, expensive and uncertain process where the value of the asset and shareholders’ payout could wither.

Charlie Gasparino has his finger on the pulse of where business, politics and finance meet Sign up to receive On The Money by Charlie Gasparino in your inbox every Thursday.

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But consider what this might mean for Netflix: not just the deal being throttled, but its entire business model could face a review by DOJ antitrust or any number of regulatory agencies, I am told.

As the senior Trump administration official put it, the streaming giant has long been on the radar of Trump’s various regulators for its market dominance in a business that has become a preferred choice of viewing programming for many if not most consumers.

This could push the scrutiny to a new level, along the lines of the litigation faced by Amazon or Google.

“Yeah, this deal will get reviewed, but now there is increased chatter in DC regulatory and competition officials about looking at Netflix potential monopoly status,” the regulator said.

“When you get on the DC regulatory spotlight that’s what happens.”

A Netflix press rep has never returned my telephone calls for comment and didn’t this time, either.

Of course, from what I understand, WBD really wants a “Plan E,” which would be the Ellisons and Cardinale paying more money.

It could happen, of course, because the Ellisons and RedBird have the means.

They also really want WBD as a way to build a midsized media company into a major player.

Still, the very fact that they are talking about a “Plan D,” means they might not do any more sweetening, possibly walk away and leave this deal to wolves of regulation.

That would be the worst-case scenario for shareholders.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in RHP over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in COIN over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Journalist

Posted: January 11, 2026

Grayscale has registered a Hyperliquid [HYPE]-linked statutory trust in Delaware, a typical step before filing for an official S-1 ETF application. This would effectively make it the fourth asset manager to join the U.S Spot HYPE ETF race after Bitwise, VanEck, and 21shares. 

Source: Delaware 

According to market watchers, HYPE will be the youngest altcoin to hit the ETF milestone if these applications are approved. 

A collective demand from institutional investors via ETFs, alongside corporate treasuries and ongoing buybacks, could be net positive for the altcoin in the long run. 

However, will ETF expectations offset the ongoing weak market sentiment and HYPE price momentum in the short term? 

HYPE sentiment stuck at ‘fear’ level HYPE’s early 2026 recovery hit 18% after climbing to $28 by 06 January. However, nearly all the gains were erased afterwards. And, the market sentiment didn’t reset despite the ETF expectations. 

Source: Gate

During the early 2026 recovery, HYPE’s sentiment fluctuated between “fear” and “extreme fear” levels. 

Surprisingly, the ongoing buyback has been net deflationary with little impact on the market sentiment. The project bought back and burned 80k HYPE tokens in the last 24 hours, compared to 26.7k HYPE from staking rewards –A 3x deflationary. 

HYPE’s sentiment has remained sour because of ongoing monthly unlocks, whale sell-offs, and rising competition from Lighter, Aster, and other perp DEXes, according to trader Altcoin Sherpa. 

Sherpa added, 

“It’s (Hyperliquid) eventually going to lead the market again but not sure when that will be. I think Lighter probably continues to outperform it in the short term.”

Will dip buying reverse HYPE losses? Even so, the Spot Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) has turned positive for the first time since last May.

This implied active dip buying on the spot markets despite weak sentiment and price levels. This could improve recovery odds, especially if the broader market sentiment also flips positive.

Source: CryptoQuant

Meanwhile, the latest price reversal at $28 has turned it into a crucial short-term hurdle that doubled up at the 50-day Moving Average (white sloping line). For confirmed and sustainable recovery, $28 and the moving average must be flipped into support. 

Otherwise, the lows at $23 and $22 could be tagged again. 

Source: HYPE/USDT, TradingView 

Final Thoughts Grayscale joined Bitwise, VanEck, and 21Shares in the U.S Spot HYPE ETF race.  However, market sentiment has been muted amid monthly unlocks and competition. 

Ripple is positioning XRP as essential financial infrastructure, using major acquisitions and licensing gains to push crypto beyond speculation and into corporate treasuries, cross-border payments, and the emerging Internet of Value.

TLDR: XRP’s 30-day volume Z-score stands at 0.44, reflecting slightly above-average activity within the normal range.  Current trading volume indicates balanced buyer-seller dynamics rather than speculative-driven price movements.  Z-score readings above 1.5 or 2 would signal new liquidity inflows and potentially stronger upward momentum ahead.  The market appears to be in a consolidation phase, requiring clear volume confirmation before any significant directional move.  XRP maintains its position above the $2 threshold as Binance data reveals a moderate trading volume Z-score of 0.44. 

The metric suggests balanced market conditions without speculative excess, indicating a period of stability rather than heightened volatility.

Trading Volume Remains Within Normal Range The 30-day Z-score for XRP trading volume currently stands at 0.44, according to Binance exchange data. This reading indicates that current trading activity exceeds the 30-day average by a modest margin. 

However, the volume level remains firmly within normal parameters and shows no signs of unusual market behavior.

Z-score values above +2 typically represent significant capital inflows or sharp speculative surges in the cryptocurrency markets. 

Source: Cryptoquant

Conversely, negative readings point to clear signs of reduced trading activity and market disengagement. The current 0.44 reading falls into what analysts classify as the positive neutral zone.

The absence of elevated Z-score readings suggests XRP’s recent price stability above $2 stems from balanced trading dynamics. 

Market participants on both sides appear relatively matched in their activities. This pattern differs markedly from price movements driven by speculative frenzies or panic selling.

Market Consolidation Phase Potentially Underway The current volume characteristics point to a possible consolidation or accumulation phase following earlier volatility periods. 

Such Z-score levels frequently emerge during anticipation phases before larger directional moves materialize. Market observers note these conditions often precede significant price action once clarity emerges.

A subsequent price increase accompanied by Z-score readings climbing above 1.5 or 2 would signal fresh liquidity entering the market. 

This combination typically marks the beginning of stronger upward trends with sustainable momentum. Traders often monitor these threshold crossings as confirmation signals for position adjustments.

Alternatively, declining trading volume and Z-score readings approaching zero or negative territory could indicate shifting market dynamics. 

Such conditions may lead to increased downward price pressure or extended sideways trading patterns. The market would likely require external catalysts to break from range-bound behavior under these circumstances.

The present Z-score reading offers no definitive directional signal for immediate trading decisions. Rather, it confirms relative market stability at current price levels. 

Any substantial move forward will require clear volume confirmation before technical analysts can validate the trend. Market participants should monitor both price action and volume metrics for emerging patterns.

Ethereum’s declining social media sentiment is mirroring levels similar to those seen before its 2025 price rally, which eventually pushed the asset back to its 2021 all-time highs, according to a crypto sentiment analyst.

“Ethereum is actually way down, this would argue against us falling too much further,” Santiment analyst Brian Quinlivan said in a video published to YouTube on Saturday.

“This is kind of reminiscent of what we saw before Ethereum went on its major run last year,” Quinlivan said. On August 23, Ether (ETH) surged back to its 2021 all-time high of $4,878, marking a gain of almost 70% over four months after falling to a yearly low of $1,472 on April 9, according to CoinMarketCap.

Quinlivan said that Ether’s price “took off just as people were really starting to write-off Ethereum.” 

Ethereum has cemented position as “number two market cap”Ether has since dropped 36% from its all-time high, trading at $3,089 at the time of publication, following a $19 billion crypto market liquidation event on Oct. 10, which led to a broader market downtrend.

Ether’s price is down 4.64% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCapHowever, Quinlivan doesn’t see the market as doubtful about Ethereum’s upside the way it was in early 2025. “I wouldn’t say that is happening now. Ethereum is kind of back to being an expected number two market cap for a lot of people,” he said. 

“It’s appropriately ranked once again,” he said. Coinbase Asset Management president Anthony Bassili expressed a similar view to Cointelegraph in November 2025. “There’s a very, very clear view in the investor community in terms of the right first portfolio is Bitcoin. The next is Bitcoin, Ethereum,” he said.

Crypto market sentiment stays in “Fear” territoryQuinlivan said he is bullish on Ethereum’s network growth, describing it as “absolutely going bonkers.” He said it’s likely due to growing interest in staking, which has been a hot topic on social media in recent times.

It comes as sentiment in the broader crypto market continues to hover at low levels, moving between “Fear” and “Extreme Fear” since early November. On Sunday, the Index posted a “Fear” score of 29.

Market participants are still in risk-off mode away from assets outside Bitcoin (BTC), according to the Altcoin Season Index, which currently shows a “Bitcoin Season” score of 34 out of 100.

The index flicks between “Bitcoin Season” and “Altcoin Season” scores based on the performance of the top 100 altcoins relative to Bitcoin over the past 90 days.

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy

Journalist

Posted: January 11, 2026

Institutional growth doesn’t always show up as direct capital inflows. 

Instead, in recent years, it has increasingly taken the form of partnerships. Major financial institutions are using blockchain technology for practical use cases such as cross-border payments and everyday transactions.

Building on this trend, BNY Mellon (a global bank with $50 trillion in AUM) has launched tokenized deposits (digital versions of cash) for institutional clients. Notably, it chose Ripple Prime as an early adopter.

Source: X

Looking deeper, this move goes beyond a simple boost for the XRPL. 

Notably, many in the market see it as the start of a “digital dollar” era. One where institutional funds aren’t tied up in traditional fiat or stablecoins, but exist as “digital cash” that can move instantly in a 24/7 market.

Ripple now sits at the center of this shift. The key question is – How does this partnership impact Ripple’s institutional growth, especially with BNY already acting as a primary custodian for its native digital dollar – RLUSD?

BNY’s recent move is part of a broader trend in global finance. 

As the initial “hype” around Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) gives way to real adoption, BNY’s launch of tokenized deposits represents the first step in what could become a wave of banks following suit.

In this context, Ripple being chosen as an “early adopter” is a strong signal of its growing role in digital finance. In line with this, XRP ETFs reaching $1 billion in AUM is an early sign of rising institutional interest too. 

Source: XRP ETF Tracker

Notably, XRP’s price performance adds context to this trend. 

From a technical lens, despite closing 2025 down 12% and facing a market pullback, XRP ETFs have still gathered $1 billion in assets since their launch in November. 

Why does this matter? It indicates that institutions aren’t just betting on XRP’s price. Instead, they’re showing confidence in Ripple itself, with the BNY partnership serving as a clear signal of growing trust and adoption.

In short, Ripple is attracting institutional capital based on fundamentals. Hence, this explains why its 2026 cycle looks set to remain institutionally driven, reinforcing its role in the tokenized cash ecosystem.

Final Thoughts BNY Mellon’s tokenized deposits place Ripple at the center of the emerging “digital dollar” era. Institutional demand for Ripple is evident, highlighting confidence in its role in digital finance.

Ritika Gupta is a Financial Journalist and Geopolitical Analyst at AMBCrypto, specializing in the critical intersection of world politics, economic policy, and the cryptocurrency markets. Her analysis is informed by her distinguished background, which includes professional experience at major news network. She holds a Bachelor's degree in Political Science and Psychology from Gargi College, University of Delhi. This academic training provides her with a sophisticated framework for dissecting complex issues such as international regulations, government fiscal policies, and the geopolitical forces that directly influence asset valuations. At AMBCrypto, Ritika applies this expert lens to synthesize macroeconomic data and political developments, offering readers a deeper context for market movements. She excels at explaining not just what is happening in the market, but why it is happening. Her work is dedicated to providing strategic insights that empower readers to understand the complex relationship between global events and their digital assets.

Chief Legal Officer David Kuo sold 12,500 shares for a transaction value of $501,875 on Dec. 23, 2025. The sale represented 8.71% of Mr.

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There are currently nine technology stocks that boast valuations of at least $1 trillion.

At this writing, there are 11 public companies with market capitalizations north of $1 trillion. Perhaps unsurprisingly, nine of these companies operate in the technology industry -- which has been going through a renaissance over the last few years, driven by rising demand for artificial intelligence (AI) applications.

Digging a little deeper, three members of the trillion-dollar club are semiconductor stocks: Nvidia, Broadcom, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM +1.77%). By now, it's obvious that chips are a core pillar supporting the greater AI foundation. But among these trillion-dollar chip leaders, which one is the "safest"?

In my eyes, Taiwan Semiconductor takes the cake. Let's delve into what makes TSMC such a unique opportunity and explore why now is an ideal time to consider a position in the semiconductor giant, if you haven't already.

Image source: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.

Why is Taiwan Semi so important? By now, you're likely aware that sophisticated chips, known as graphics processing units (GPUs), are the key piece of hardware on which AI models, such as ChatGPT, are trained. What you might not fully understand, however, is that GPU leaders like Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, and custom chip specialists such as Broadcom focus more on designing hardware rather than actually making it in-house.

Instead, these companies outsource their manufacturing needs to external foundries. This is where Taiwan Semi makes its impact. Whenever a hyperscaler announces a multibillion-dollar chip deal, odds are Taiwan Semi is the foundry bringing this hardware to life.

TSMC is currently the largest chip manufacturer in the world in terms of revenue -- controlling nearly 70% market share. What's even more impressive is that Taiwan Semi has worked to diversify its supply chain, opening up additional facilities in Germany, Japan, and now Arizona.

Given that worldwide data center buildouts are a priority for big tech, TSMC is positioned not only to continue benefiting from secular tailwinds fueling AI but also to remain in a prime position to expand its already massive lead over the competitive landscape.

Today's Change

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What is Wall Street's opinion of TSMC? Among the 17 sell-side analysts that cover Taiwan Semi, 15 have a buy or equivalent rating on the stock. While that provides a surface-level opinion of optimism around TSMC, smart investors should want to know what's driving this bullish outlook.

According to research from Deloitte, capital expenditures (capex) for AI data centers could reach $450 billion globally in 2026. In just two years' time, this addressable market could rise to an estimated $1 trillion.

Perhaps more importantly, Deloitte suggests that at least half of this AI infrastructure spend will be allocated toward next-generation chips. These dynamics suggest that TSMC's revenue trajectory may continue to steepen throughout the remainder of the decade. Against this backdrop, I think the company should continue to easily command enormous pricing power over competing foundries -- leading to further margin expansion and compounding profits.

TSM Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts

Is Taiwan Semi a good long-term investment? If you had invested $50,000 into Taiwan Semi stock at the start of the AI revolution, you'd now have more than four times your initial capital. I'll concede that this is an abnormal level of price appreciation in just three years' time.

TSM data by YCharts

There is a solid argument to be made that TSMC's growth is only just beginning. Over the next several years, the AI infrastructure era will feature additional GPU architectures, including Nvidia's upcoming Vera Rubin chips and AMD's MI400 accelerator series.

In addition, Broadcom is increasingly becoming favored by Apple, Alphabet, Tesla, and more in the custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) market.

Taiwan Semi is the perfect pick-and-shovel opportunity at the intersection of AI chips and next-generation infrastructure buildouts. Given its unique position to benefit from the broader macro demand trends for AI chips, I see TSMC as a relatively insulated and much safer opportunity than any single chip designer or AI developer. For these reasons, I see the stock as a no-brainer buy and potential multibagger over the coming years.

Adam Spatacco has positions in Alphabet, Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Apple, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

CEO Scott Keeney sold 31,748 shares on Jan. 6, 2026, representing a transaction value of approximately $1.19 million based on a weighted average sale price of $37.51 per share. The activity impacted 1.37% of Scott Keeney's direct holdings, reducing his direct ownership to 2,285,020 shares post-transaction.

Bitcoin's move into mainstream finance is accelerating far faster than gold's, as ETF inflows signal institutional adoption surging beyond historical precedents and cementing digital assets as core portfolio holdings, according to Bitwise. Bitwise Shows Bitcoin ETF Growth Dwarfs Gold's Early Inflation-Adjusted Inflows Asset management firm Bitwise shared on social media platform X on Jan.

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Posted: January 11, 2026

Bitcoin’s [BTC] performance has been subdued lately, with its price action close to stagnation after no significant gains or losses in recent sessions.

In fact, the crypto has stayed range-bound between $90,000 and $93,000, with no decisive breakout or breakdown as investors closely monitor these key levels. This price behavior raises the question of whether the prevailing sentiment around Bitcoin is turning bearish or simply losing strength.

A word of caution? The Financial Conditions Index serves as an economic indicator that reflects how traditional market conditions may influence risk assets such as Bitcoin.

The index averages normalized values of key macroeconomic indicators to determine the broader market bias surrounding Bitcoin. It assesses sentiment based on whether readings fall within positive or negative regions on the chart.

Historically, positive FCI readings have been associated with tighter financial conditions and weaker Bitcoin performance, while negative readings tend to support bullish price action. In practical terms, a positive reading is a sign of tightening liquidity and rising financial stress across financial markets.

Source: Alphractal

At the time of writing, the FCI was in negative territory, hinting at some degree of financial easing. However, the reading was only slightly negative. A deeper negative reading would imply more favorable conditions capable of supporting stronger price appreciation in Bitcoin.

That’s not all though as investor behavior across the market also appeared to reflect this mildly supportive, but still uncertain environment.

What does investor activity say about market uncertainty? Despite the absence of strong “systematic bearish pressure” from macroeconomic factors, investors remain cautious about increasing exposure to Bitcoin.

As far as the spot market is concerned, Coinglass data revealed that weekly net inflows fell to their lowest level in six weeks – Standing at just $282 million at press time. This suggested that while spot investors still have a bullish bias, they are becoming more conservative in their accumulation.

A sustained decline in weekly inflows could mean that investors are approaching exhaustion after sustained buying activity.

Source: CoinGlass

Institutional investors are also beginning to show signs of caution. After starting the year on a strong note by purchasing $458 million worth of Bitcoin in the first trading week of January, these investors have since reduced exposure. In fact, they have sold $681 million worth of BTC this week alone.

Such a shift from accumulation to distribution is often a sign of weakening short-term conviction and reduced appetite for risk.

Market sentiment remains weak This change in positioning is also evident when the broader market interest is looked at.

For instance – Google search trends, which serve as a proxy for retail engagement, have dropped to 39 – One of the lowest levels recorded over the past year. This could be indicative of fading public attention towards Bitcoin.

On the contrary, long-term holders have continued to be a stabilizing force for the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

Source: CryptoQuant

Finally, the Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) indicator had a press time reading of 0, indicating that long-term holders have not moved significant portions of their Bitcoin. Historically, rising CDD levels suggest that long-term holders are selling – A precursor to a hike in volatility.

For now, their inactivity is helping stabilize Bitcoin’s price while preventing a deeper decline below the $90,000-level.

Final Thoughts The Financial Conditions Index (FCI) revealed that Bitcoin is not in a bullish phase, despite being relatively stable. Spot market inflows dropped to their lowest level in six weeks, as institutional investors began to reverse their previously bullish positions.

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Pump.fun changes creator fees, aims for better trading incentives.New fee model focuses on traders, not just creators.Solana-based platform sees structural overhaul to support trading activities. Pump.fun co-founder Alon Cohen announced a creator fee mechanism overhaul on January 10, aiming to promote healthier trading behavior on the Solana-based memecoin platform.

The update seeks to address skewed incentives, promoting sustainable trading practices and potentially reshaping market dynamics across Pump.fun’s ecosystem.

Pump.fun’s Creator Fee Update Aims to Boost Trading Pump.fun’s co-founder Alon Cohen confirmed on X that the platform has restructured its creator fee system to promote trading rather than just token creation. Fee sharing now involves up to 10 wallets, allowing better distribution to creators. The updated model aims to better align platform incentives by adjusting the economic framework to favor trading activities.

The new fee structure’s immediate effects focus on encouraging active trading over passive token issuance, critical for the ecosystem’s liquidity. This shift is anticipated to foster more sustainable market behavior by engaging traders who provide necessary liquidity and volume.

“Dynamic Fees V1 encourages participation in low-risk activities (token creation) and does not stimulate high-risk activities (trading), which he calls dangerous because traders are a vital element of the platform,” – Alon Cohen, Co-founder, Pump.fun.

Solana’s Market Dynamics: Impact of Pump.fun’s Strategy Did you know? Pump.fun’s emphasis on trading mirrors incentives in other platforms, which historically led to more engaged and active token communities.

As of January 10, 2026, Solana (SOL) was trading at $135.69 with a market cap of $76,567,375,829.35 billion. Over the past 90 days, the price has decreased by -30.20%, according to CoinMarketCap data. Trading volume was $1,709,528,552.95 billion, reflecting a significant -67.91% change over 24 hours.

Solana(SOL), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 21:40 UTC on January 10, 2026. Source: CoinMarketCap The Coincu research team believes that Pump.fun’s changes will likely enhance Solana ecosystem’s market dynamics. By shoring up trading incentives, traders may see a revitalization of trading activities on the platform. This positions it well for long-term growth within a competitive blockchain landscape.

DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.

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Crypto enters 2026 on a positive footing, but retail sentiment remains fragile and driven by immediate news catalysts.

Crypto market sentiment has improved at the start of 2026 as prices across major digital assets rebound from last year’s extended correction. New data shows retail traders growing more optimistic as ETF headlines and macro narratives increasingly influence crypto price movements.

According to the latest social and sentiment data compiled by Santiment, there has been a renewed optimism among retail traders, even as recent price action has begun to flatten and Bitcoin (BTC) tests key psychological levels. Recovery has not been limited to large-cap cryptocurrencies. In fact, several altcoins and meme coins also posted strong gains.

Fresh Retail FOMO Social media discussion across platforms such as X, Reddit, and Telegram has shifted noticeably and reflected a more positive tone after months of bearish sentiment following Bitcoin’s October 2025 all-time high.

Bitcoin remains at the center of the narrative. Its recent moves have been heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors and traditional financial market dynamics. ETF flow headlines played a significant role, particularly after US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a sizable one-day net outflow led by major issuers such as BlackRock and Fidelity.

The pullback coincided with traders de-risking ahead of crucial US economic data and expectations around interest rate cuts, which validates the view that Bitcoin is increasingly trading like a macro-sensitive asset.

Ethereum has seen a more mixed sentiment profile. According to Santiment, discussion around the world’s largest altcoin by market cap has focused less on price action and more on staking-related developments, including staking rewards tied to regulated investment products. While interest in staking has increased, sentiment has remained scattered. This essentially reflects a lack of a clear directional catalyst for ETH in early 2026.

This is true for several major outperformers, as retail sentiment remains uneven and highly reactive to short-term catalysts.

You may also like: End of a Ripple Era: Here’s What Happened With the Spot XRP ETFs Last Week BTC Price Suddenly Rockets by $2K as Trump Posts Unpublished Jobs Data Bitcoin Risks $70K as Analyst Flags Fed’s $106B Liquidity Alarm For instance, Ripple (XRP) stood out with a nearly 14% weekly gain. This coincided with an increased attention around XRP’s January escrow unlock, which released 1 billion tokens, with a large portion reportedly re-locked. The scheduled supply event, combined with strong early-year momentum, drove a surge in retail participation. However, optimism rose sharply as traders attempted to buy perceived dips, followed by renewed caution as prices corrected from recent highs.

Solana (SOL) also saw a significant jump in sentiment and price, which was swayed largely by institutional headlines, including a Reuters report that Morgan Stanley filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for ETFs tied to Bitcoin and Solana.

Meme Coins Rebound Meme coins have also re-entered the spotlight. The OG, Dogecoin (DOGE), saw double-digit gains over the week, supported in part by strong performance from the 21Shares 2x Long Dogecoin ETF, which posted gains of roughly 38-39% in the first days of 2026. The ETF’s performance has contributed to fresh interest across the meme coin sector.

Several meme coins have also witnessed synchronized whale buying and social hype this year.

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Tether’s strategic investment enhances Ledn’s Bitcoin-backed lending.Focus on expanding access to credit without selling Bitcoin.Investment signals Tether’s interest in off-chain businesses. Tether announced a strategic partnership with Ledn, a Bitcoin-backed consumer lender, in November, marking a significant advancement in its mergers and financial services expansions.

This alliance could enhance global credit access without Bitcoin liquidation, potentially bolstering Tether’s influence in decentralized finance and increasing demand for USDT stablecoin services.

Tether Invests to Bolster Bitcoin Lending Solutions Tether officially announced a strategic investment and partnership with Ledn, a centralized lender offering Bitcoin-backed loans and savings products. The partnership aims to expand access to credit without requiring users to sell their digital assets, aligning with Tether’s expanding fintech strategy.

Changes are expected in Ledn’s operational reach, potentially integrating Tether’s products such as USDT. Ledn’s CEO, Adam Reeds, stated, “We expect demand for Bitcoin financial services to continue soaring, and this collaboration with Tether ensures that Ledn remains well-positioned to lead as the market continues to evolve and grow. We are excited for the opportunities that lie ahead to collaborate and innovate in this space.” Tether | Raptor Group Press Release

Market participants show cautious optimism regarding what this collaboration may mean for the broader crypto lending market. According to Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, expanding global access to credit is essential, as highlighted in official partnership communications.

Crypto Lending Market Poised for Growth as Tether Expands Did you know? Despite the strategic partnership with Ledn, there remains no primary-source confirmation of Tether holding stakes in Adecoagro and Juventus, reflecting the speculative nature frequently seen in crypto space reporting.

Insights derived from the Coincu research team suggest that Tether’s recent actions may elevate competition in the crypto lending sector.

Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 22:41 UTC on January 10, 2026. Source: CoinMarketCap Experts predict Tether’s deeper integration into traditional and crypto finance worlds may influence regulatory scrutiny and encourage innovative financial solutions.

DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.

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XRP is now back to trading just above the $2 level after an early January rally briefly carried its price action into the $2.40 range. The pullback has so far been controlled, with price holding above former resistance that has now turned into short-term support.

A technical analysis shared on X by crypto analyst Bird proposed that conditions are now right for a familiar macro setup that has preceded XRP’s largest historical rallies. The focus of this outlook is on XRP’s reaction with the US dollar index and what its next move could mean for the cryptocurrency.

How DXY Weakness Has Always Unlocked XRP Rallies Bird’s analysis is based on the US Dollar Index, or DXY, and its inverse relationship with XRP during important phases. The chart accompanying his post pointed to three previous periods, around 2017, 2021, and 2024, where sustained weakness in the dollar coincided with aggressive upside moves in XRP. 

In each of those cycles, red candles on the DXY chart led to a loss of dollar strength, while XRP responded with strong upward expansion shortly after. This recurring pattern means that XRP’s largest moves tend to follow macro shifts, not just even events related to XRP. When dollar dominance fades, capital always rotates into crypto assets, and XRP has been one of the primary beneficiaries of that transition.

Interestingly, the current setup shows that DXY has returned to a similar structural zone seen before past rollovers. As shown in the chart below, the DXY is now trending downwards.

US Dollar Index, XRPUSD. Source: @Bird_XRPL On X 

XRP To New All-Time Highs? The first highlighted phase captures the late-2017 to early-2018 cycle, when a weakening dollar backdrop lined up with XRP’s rally run into the cycle peak in the mid-$3 range.

A similar relationship appeared around the 2020-2021 window, where dollar softness was followed by XRP surging to $1.90 at its cycle top. The latest was in H1 2025, which culminated in XRP reaching its current all-time high of $3.65 in July.

XRPUSD currently trading at $2.09. Chart: TradingView The important context is why the current moment is a decision point. At the time of writing, the DXY is sitting around 99, and from here it can either turn lower and start printing red candles again or catch a bid and print green.

If DXY starts printing red candles again and rolls over, the pattern Bird is pointing to suggests the macro backdrop becomes supportive for another strong XRP leg higher, which is why a new all-time high above $3.65 could come into view within the next few months. 

If DXY prints green and strengthens, that would be the opposite signal: it can tighten liquidity conditions and keep XRP’s price action capped in consolidation around $2 before any breakout attempt. Either way, the dollar’s next move will signal what comes next.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Solana releases urgent v3.0.14 validator update to boost network resilience as SOL price compresses near key breakout levels.

Ethereum experienced substantial growth in decentralized finance (DeFi) and stablecoin sectors throughout 2025. Data from DefiLlama indicated that Ethereum’s total value locked (TVL) in DeFi exceeded $99 billion, outpacing the next largest Layer 1 ecosystem by more than ninefold. The network also facilitated the settlement of $18.8 trillion in stablecoin transactions, coinciding with a significant decline in transaction costs.

Lower transaction fees were a pivotal factor contributing to this growth. Fees on Ethereum’s main Layer 1 dropped to their lowest in five years, while Layer 2 networks recorded transaction costs below $0.01. This reduction in expenses benefited users involved in payments, remittances, and savings activities. Additionally, enhanced paymaster infrastructure allowed applications to absorb transaction fees, eliminating the necessity for users to hold ETH for gas fees.

Crypto platforms expanded their engagement with Ethereum during the year. Robinhood, Gemini, and Kraken introduced tokenized stocks on Ethereum’s Layer 1 and Layer 2 networks, extending access to U.S. equities beyond traditional market hours. Robinhood further announced intentions to develop its own Layer 2 network utilizing Arbitrum’s Orbit technology.

Regulatory clarity also played a role in fostering the growth of crypto-focused neobanks. These institutions launched payment cards and rewards programs, reporting substantial daily spending volumes.

Beyond DeFi and stablecoins, Ethereum’s ecosystem witnessed expansion in institutional and technological domains. Institutional involvement increased, with over $35 billion of ETH held in exchange-traded funds and strategic reserves. More institutions adopted Ethereum smart contracts for on-chain capital management and DeFi yield strategies, amounting to over $12 billion in real-world asset distribution.

Significant advancements were made in Ethereum’s rollup-focused roadmap. Layer 2 networks achieved an average throughput of 5,600 transactions per second. The Fusaka upgrade, implemented in December, enhanced blob capacity and reduced Layer 2 costs. Furthermore, the Layer 1 gas limit rose to 60 million, expanding settlement capacity by approximately 33%.

Marking its 10th anniversary in July 2025, Ethereum celebrated the deployment of over 88 million smart contracts. Daily transactions reached a peak of 1.74 million, reflecting robust activity. Developer engagement remained high, with 32,000 active developers in the ecosystem and over 16,000 new members joining between January and September.

To understand the broader implications, it’s vital to consider the dynamics of the decentralized finance sector. DeFi allows financial services such as lending, borrowing, and trading to occur on blockchain platforms without traditional intermediaries. Ethereum, being a foundational technology for many DeFi applications, benefits from increased adoption and innovation. Stablecoins, which are cryptocurrencies pegged to traditional currencies like the U.S. dollar, enable smoother transactions and have become integral to DeFi operations.

The decrease in transaction costs has been a game-changer. Historically, high fees have deterred smaller transactions and limited the accessibility of Ethereum-based services. The reduction of costs on Layer 2 solutions makes Ethereum more attractive for everyday use, expanding its user base and application potential.

The introduction of tokenized stocks on Ethereum further illustrates the network’s versatility. By facilitating 24/7 trading of U.S. equities, these platforms are leveraging blockchain technology to offer services beyond the capabilities of traditional stock exchanges.

Institutional interest in Ethereum is driven by the potential for higher returns and diversified investment strategies within the crypto space. As financial institutions seek to meet client demand for digital assets, Ethereum’s infrastructure provides a reliable platform to explore these opportunities.

From a regulatory standpoint, clarity is crucial for the continued growth of crypto products. Clear regulations enable companies to innovate with confidence, knowing they are operating within legal boundaries. This environment encourages the development of more sophisticated financial products and services.

Despite these positive developments, several risks remain. The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, which can affect asset values and transaction stability. Additionally, operational risks such as technical failures or security breaches pose challenges. Regulatory changes or enforcement actions could also impact the landscape, influencing market conditions and investor sentiment.

In terms of next steps, stakeholders will closely monitor ongoing infrastructure upgrades and potential regulatory updates. The evolution of Ethereum’s technological roadmap and its ability to maintain security and efficiency will be critical to sustaining its growth. As interest in digital assets continues to rise, the balance between innovation and regulation will shape the future of Ethereum and the broader blockchain ecosystem.

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