Market Signal Briefing

Predictive Oncology (POAI), a biotechnology company specializing in AI-driven cancer research, has announced a $344.4 million digital asset treasury centered on Aethir’s ATH token, marking the first time a Nasdaq-listed company will hold and actively manage tokens from a Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network (DePIN).

The capital strategy was developed with guidance from DNA Fund, a Web3 investment and advisory company, and BTIG, which served as the placement agent, Predictive Oncology disclosed Monday. It was structured as two concurrent private placements in public equity (PIPEs), combining cash investment with a crypto PIPE involving in-kind contributions of ATH tokens, DNA Fund said in a separate announcement.

The structure allows Predictive Oncology to record tokenized DePIN infrastructure as a balance sheet asset, introducing a hybrid financing model that connects traditional equity markets with decentralized computing networks. The ATH treasury will be tied directly to Aethir’s decentralized GPU infrastructure.

Aethir is a decentralized cloud network that provides GPU infrastructure for AI, high-performance computing and gaming applications. The network uses blockchain technology to coordinate and distribute access to physical compute resources, positioning it as a key participant in the DePIN market.

The network’s native asset, ATH, is currently trading at under $0.06 with a market capitalization of about $2.3 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. ATH’s 24-hour trading volume has increased by more than 330%, likely due to the Predictive Oncology treasury announcement.

Aethir (ATH) token price. Source: CoinMarketCapPredictive Oncology’s blockchain pivot lifts stockPredictive Oncology’s move into decentralized infrastructure drew early attention from investors, with shares surging more than 70% on Monday following the announcement of its digital asset treasury. The rally pushed the stock to its highest level since March.

Predictive Oncology (POIA) stock price. Source: Yahoo FinanceBefore the announcement, Predictive Oncology spent the last two years trading as a penny stock with limited revenue and a history of quarterly losses. The company reported just $2,682 in revenue for the second quarter of 2025 and $110,310 in the first quarter, alongside net losses exceeding $2 million in each period.

In its most recent quarter, Predictive Oncology raised approximately $586,000 through an at-the-market offering facility to help fund operations.

In March, the company sold its Skyline Medical division, which manufactured an automated fluid waste management device used in medical centers, as part of a broader strategy to cut expenses and refocus on AI-driven drug discovery.

Predictive Oncology’s new strategy positions it among a growing group of small-cap and microcap firms pivoting toward digital asset treasury models. In July, the former biotech company 180 Life Sciences rebranded as ETHZilla and announced plans to accumulate Ether (ETH) as a treasury asset.

Other publicly traded companies, including Mill City Ventures (MCVT), Nature’s Miracle (NMHI), Upexi (UPXI), Helius Medical Technologies (HSDT) and AVAX One, formerly AgriFORCE Growing Systems, have made similar moves to integrate crypto assets into their balance sheets.

Analysts at Standard Chartered have cautioned that digital asset treasury companies could face a valuation squeeze as market net asset values (mNAVs), which compare a company’s enterprise value to its crypto holdings, continue to decline.

The largest digital asset treasury (DAT) companies have experienced mNAV compression in recent months. Source: Standard Chartered“We see market saturation as the main driver of recent mNAV compression,” Standard Chartered wrote, referring to the rapid increase in companies adopting digital asset treasury strategies this year.

Coinbase gains momentum with institutional adoption via Caliber, with COIN eyeing $329.26 if bullish sentiment holds. Mawson Infrastructure (MIGI) rises 8.54% as Nasdaq compliance extension supports stability, with potential push above $0.50. Earlyworks (ELWS) secures final Nasdaq extension, sparking volatility as traders weigh financing plans and compliance risks.Last week, crypto markets faced dwindling activity, with global crypto market capitalization slipping by 3% as traders exited to avoid losses.

Despite this slowdown, some crypto stocks remain firmly on investors’ radar, mostly due to institutional adoption and ecosystem developments that could drive renewed momentum. Some of them include COIN, MIGI, and ELWS.

Coinbase (COIN)Sponsored

Coinbase closed Friday’s session at $312.59, up 1.92%. The stock is in focus this week, with institutional adoption news fueling investor sentiment.

On September 23, Caliber, a diversified real estate and digital asset management platform, announced that it chose Coinbase Prime as its institutional trading and custody platform to support its Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) Strategy. 

Through Coinbase Prime, Caliber will access deep liquidity and institutional-grade custody.

If this news continues to fuel buying activity through the week, COIN’s price could strengthen toward $329.26.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

COIN Price Analysis. Source: TradingViewSponsored

On the other hand, if selling pressure mounts, the price risks a retreat below $293.61.

Mawson Infrastructure Group Inc. (MIGI)
MIGI closed Friday’s trading session at $0.50 per share, recording an 8.54% gain for the day. The stock’s positive movement has drawn attention from market participants, particularly as the company recently provided new operational and corporate updates.

In a release dated September 17, the company reaffirmed that it continues to operate normally across its U.S. facilities, with its Midland, Pennsylvania site remaining a core hub supported by long-term site tenure. 

Importantly, the company addressed its Nasdaq listing status, noting that it has engaged advisors and presented a compliance plan to the exchange. Mawson has since secured an extension to regain compliance, allowing it more time to maintain its listing.

Sponsored

Given these updates, if buying momentum builds through the week, the stock has the potential to push above the $0.53 level. 

MIGI Price Analysis. Source: TradingView
Conversely, MIGI could retreat and test support near $0.47 if selling pressure picks up.

Earlyworks Co., Ltd. (ELWS)
Earlyworks’ shares ended Friday’s trading session at $2.63, gaining 8.47%. The strong move puts the stock in focus this week as traders weigh the company’s latest regulatory update.

Sponsored

On September 23, Earlyworks announced that the Nasdaq Hearings Panel granted it a final extension until October 29 to regain compliance with the exchange’s continued listing standards. 

This extension marks the last opportunity for Earlyworks to meet Nasdaq’s requirements. The company is working on equity financing initiatives to regain compliance, but if it fails to do so by the new deadline, its securities will be delisted. 

Given the heightened attention around compliance and financing progress, price action in ELWS could swing sharply.

If buying momentum builds this week, the stock’s price may climb toward $3.16. 

ELWS Price Analysis. Source: TradingView
Conversely, sustained selling could push shares below $1.94.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Key takeaways:

Bitcoin rallied 4.5% in 48 hours, reclaiming $114,000.

A reset in BTC’s open interest points to healthier upside after long de-leveraging.

A CME gap near $111,300 remains a short-term risk to bullish momentum.

Bitcoin (BTC) price rallied 4.5% in less than 48 hours, retesting $114,000 on Monday. The recovery followed last week’s sharp correction between Monday and Saturday, where data indicated the pullback was less about aggressive shorting and more about longs de-leveraging to set up a cleaner base for future upside.

Bitcoin one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewBetween Sept. 21 and Sept. 27, Bitcoin slipped to $109,500 from $115,600, a 5.3% decline alongside a 6.2% drop in futures open interest (OI) to $39.9 billion from $42.6 billion. The 30-day correlation between price and OI tightened to +0.46, signaling longs were trimming exposure rather than shorts forcing the move. Such resets often clear excess leverage, paving the way for healthier rallies.

Spot market dynamics are also turning favorable. Buyers continued to dominate centralized exchanges, with net 30-day flows in negative territory at around 170,000 BTC, meaning more coins are leaving exchanges than entering. This pattern is often seen as a sign of accumulation and reduced sell-side pressure.

Bitcoin 30-day net flow. Source: Axel Adler Jr./XMeanwhile, Crypto market researcher Dom pointed out that the immediate target could be above $115,000. The analyst said, 

“The liquidation divergence has played out pretty well. Spot books remain thin up until ~$115K on Binance. Thin books = easier to move price. Still need the bulls to stay aggressive to get there.”Funding rates have cooled into a neutral range, removing the risk of cascading long squeezes and instead supporting a gradual rebuild of leverage. However, there is a lack of cohesion between the aggregated spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) and OI.

Spot CVD has remained largely flat during Monday’s rally, and OI is gradually increasing. The price action could welcome late spot bids if the price stabilizes above $113,000, setting the stage for the much-anticipated “Uptober” rally.

Bitcoin price, aggregated open interest, spot CVD, and funding rate. Source: CoinalyzeCME gap risk remains in play near $111,300Despite Bitcoin’s breakout above $114,000, derivatives traders could be watching a CME gap that remains unfilled between $111,300 and $110,900. CME gaps occur when Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange close for the weekend and reopen at a different price level, leaving a visible void on charts. Historically, BTC has shown a strong tendency to revisit these levels, with every gap since June being fully closed.

This suggested a short-term pullback toward the $111,000 zone cannot be ruled out before the recovery rally extends higher. The CME gap also coincides with a fair value gap, and a drop to $111,000 would also sweep the internal liquidity block between $112,300 and $111,400.

Bitcoin one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewThus, a short-term dip near these levels remains in play over the next few days. An immediate bullish invalidation would be a strong daily close above $115,000, which may reduce the probability of a drop to $111,000.

While historical trends emphasize that CME gap fills are not guaranteed, its recent 100% closure rate makes it an important technical factor for traders assessing near-term risks within Bitcoin’s broader bullish Q4 outlook. 

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

XRP witnessed significant inflows of over $93 million as digital asset investment products tied to the cryptocurrency bucked the trend that hit top coins last week.

Summary

XRP recorded inflows of $93 million as digital asset investment products tied to the altcoin attracted investors.
The anticipation around upcoming ETF approvals has helped the surge in inflows.
XRP saw significant volumes when the REX-Osprey XRP ETF launched.

As crypto exchange-traded products recorded a total of $812 million in outflows this past week, XRP digital asset investment products attracted inflows.

Crypto asset manager CoinShares reported on Sept. 29 that the global digital-asset ETP market recorded outflows as investor sentiment around Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts took a slight bump amid stronger-than-anticipated U.S. macroeconomic data.

However, as Bitcoin (BTC) saw $719 million in outflows over the week, with price also dipping to under $109,000, XRP (XRP) recorded the second most inflows with its $93 million behind Solana (SOL) with $291 million. 

Both Solana and XRP, the cryptocurrency by Ripple, stood out in terms of inflows amid increased anticipation around exchange-traded funds, CoinShares noted. Investor expectations for a regulatory nod for an XRP ETF have increased in recent weeks, with the market witnessing a significant milestone with the launch of the REX-Osprey XRPR ETF.

As the ETF, filed under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Act of 1940, notched record volumes on the debut day, analysts pointed to approaching deadlines for a SEC decision for top crypto spot ETFs for XRP, Solana, Litecoin and Dogecoin.

Is XRP ETFs set for approval? Check SEC’s generic listing rules
This anticipation rose as the SEC approved proposed rule changes for generic listing standards for ETPs offering spot exposure to commodities, digital assets included.

Approval means exchanges can now list spot ETFs that meet set generic listing rules “without first submitting a proposed rule change to the Commission.”

On Sept. 29, the SEC reportedly asked ETF issuers to withdraw their 19b-4 filings for various ETFs, signaling simplified rules were in action. With XRP among the tokens with futures on exchanges for the past six months, anticipation is that the SEC can greenlight XRP spot ETFs at any time.

FalconX, an institutional-focused digital-asset prime brokerage, has launched a new over-the-counter options product for cryptocurrencies, with 24/7 availability for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Hyperliquid.

Summary

FalconX has launched a crypto options trading platform for institutional investors.
The Electronic Options platform offers 24/7 trading for over-the-counter options tied to Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Hyperliquid.
FalconX plans to expand supported coins beyond BTC, ETH, SOL and HYPE.

The FalconX Electronic Options platform leverages the speed and scalability of electronic execution for over-the-counter crypto options trading. FalconX will allow institutional investors to execute crypto options strategies around the clock, with the solution aimed at an OTC market that brings institutional-grade liquidity and access to options for top cryptocurrencies.

According to a news release, the launch initially supports Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL) and Hyperliquid (HYPE). 

Crypto options market sees demand
FalcoinX’s options move comes as market players look to tap into growing demand for crypto investment opportunities, buoyed by regulatory support and market maturity. This means crypto options, which have traditionally seen limited traction amid market fragmentation and lack of broader exchange access, will be available to a greater number of investors. 

Hedging, managed leverage, and volatility trading drive the appetite for crypto options, and data show volumes on platforms like Deribit have climbed to over $850 billion year to date. As FalconX notes in its announcement, most of the traction for crypto options has come from market makers, hedge funds, venture capital funds, and crypto mining firms.

“The options market is the next major frontier in institutional crypto. We built this platform to address the longstanding challenges of fragmented liquidity and lack of round-the-clock access. With FalconX Electronic Options, clients get the same execution quality our OTC desk is known for – now in a format designed for scale, distribution, and true 24/7 access,” said Josh Lim, global co-head of markets, FalconX.

Alongside BTC, ETH, SOL, and HYPE, FalconX plans to expand the offering to more altcoins.

Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin treasury firm, Strategy, spent $22.1 million to acquire 196 BTC last week at an average price of $113,048 per coin, according to a Monday 8-K filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Strategy Continues Building Bitcoin Stockpile
Strategy, which began acquiring Bitcoin in 2020, now maintains a Bitcoin treasury of 640,031 BTC, valued at a whopping $72.6 billion at the time of writing, which is more than ten times the size of the next-largest treasury held by Bitcoin miner MARA. 

Strategy’s total stockpile was purchased for a total cost of $47 billion, or at an overall average price of $73,983. Other publicly traded companies that have built Bitcoin treasuries also include Semler Scientific, Metaplanet, GameStop, and Tesla.

Bitcoin is trading just above $113,400, after retreating from its August record high of around $124,128, according to crypto data provider CoinGecko. The top asset has gained a meagre 0.5% over the past week.

To fund its latest acquisition, the Tysons Corner, Virginia-based company, formerly known as MicroStrategy, used proceeds from its STRF preferred stock offering, perpetual STRD preferred stock, and its existing $21 billion MSTR common stock offering. 

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As has become routine, Saylor gave his usual hint at the probability of another Bitcoin purchase filing before the official announcement, sharing an update on Strategy’s BTC acquisition tracker on Sunday, positing, “Always ₿e Stacking.”

Meanwhile, shares of the Bitcoin giant have slumped significantly after a blockbuster year.

In a recent post on X, Maartunn, a community analyst at on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, highlighted MSTR’s recent drop to $300, its lowest level in six months. Maartunn described the decline to levels last seen in April as a “painful move for the biggest corporate Bitcoin holder.”

Despite the drawdowns, MSTR is still up 2,300% in this bull market, Strategy bull Julius recently observed on X.

According to reports from Egrag Crypto, a statistical model now being applied to XRP points to a wide range of possible outcomes — from a modest climb to an extreme rally.

The coin is trading near $2.86 and has fallen about 2% over the past week, which the firm says sits it near an important junction on a long-term trend line.

Let’s check these numbers: a monthly linear regression plotted on a logarithmic scale, with an R-squared of 0.847. That figure is being used to argue that the model explains roughly 80% of past price movement.

Monthly Regression Model On Log Scale
Egrag’s model is statistical and simple in form, but it is plotted in a way traders often use to read long-term cycles. According to Egrag, XRP has touched the upper limit of that regression channel on three separate occasions, and those past touches inform the present forecast.

#XRP – Hit, Miss, or Over Shoot? ( $27, $18 Or $200)💡

The chart below is based on the monthly time frame and reflects our analysis of hits, misses, and overshoots using linear regression on a log scale. This analysis is grounded in a 2-standard deviation model.

Key Info -… pic.twitter.com/x6M7gEx5Jg

— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) August 27, 2025

In one cycle, XRP overshot the channel by 570% during the 2017–2018 run. In contrast, the 2021 peak landed about 45% below the same boundary.

Those past outcomes are being translated into three possible paths for the current phase: a standard hit to $27; a repeat of the 2021 shortfall to about $18; or an extreme overshoot that would push the price toward $200.

Three Potential Price Paths
The math makes the scale of those options clear. Moving from $2.86 to $18 would mean a rise of about 530%. A leap to $200 would imply a gain of roughly 6,890%. At $200, XRP’s market capitalization would sit near $12 trillion under current supply assumptions; a $27 level would imply a market cap north of $1.6 trillion.

Those headline numbers have prompted sharp pushback online, with critics calling the most ambitious forecasts unrealistic given current adoption and liquidity conditions.

XRPUSD trading at $2.86 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView
Crypto Expert’s View Placed In Context
Meanwhile, market observers have pointed to XRP’s unusual longevity. Vandell Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, reminded readers that XRP traded around $0.00589 in August 2013 and still ranks among the larger tokens today at about $2.78 in recent posts.

XRP traded at just $0.00589 in August 2013.

10 years later, still a top-10 asset at $2.78.

Most tokens die within a cycle.

This kind of resilience doesn’t happen by accident.

Assets that survive this long don’t disappear, they usually compound. That’s called staying power.

— Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist (@vandell33) September 27, 2025

Reports of that long track record are being used to argue that XRP has a level of staying power many other projects lack. That history does not prove future gains, but it does add a practical footnote when weighing bold forecasts against plain skepticism.

Possible Outcomes And Market Reality
The range from $18 to $200 captures both conservative and extreme views. Based on the regression, EGRAG treats the mid and lower outcomes as the more likely of the three, while the $200 case is cast as a best-case overshoot that would depend on factors far beyond the model itself.

Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

On September 29, 2025, Bitcoin's price hovers around $112,256, propelling its market capitalization to an impressive $2.23 trillion. This surge in valuation underscores the cryptocurrency's dominant role in the digital currency ecosystem.

Digital asset wealth platform Nexo has launched a risk-based Anti-Scam Engine that flags suspicious transfers in real time and, in high-risk cases, can briefly pause transactions to protect clients. Nexo Upgrades Fraud Defense With Intelligence-Backed Screening In a release shared with Bitcoin.

Bonk price is holding at a critical support region, with price action attempting to establish a double-bottom reversal. Reclaiming the point of control could trigger a bullish rally of more than 100%.

Summary

Daily support aligns with the point of control, forming a pivotal reversal zone.
Bollinger Bands indicate oversold conditions, favoring a bounce.
Breakout above POC could activate double bottom and target 100%+ gains.

After a prolonged corrective phase, Bonk (BONK) is testing a key support zone that aligns with major technical confluences. Price action is showing signs of forming a potential double-bottom reversal pattern, a structure that could restore bullish momentum.

Bonk could see a rebound as large holders accumulate 80 billion tokens, adding further weight to the bullish setup. The structure is reinforced by both volume-profile dynamics and oversold signals from the Bollinger Bands, giving bulls a chance to reclaim higher levels if momentum builds.

Bonk price key technical points

Daily support aligning with the point of control.
Confluence with Bollinger Bands’ lower band highlights oversold conditions.
Double bottom activation requires a reclaim of the point of control on a closing basis.

BONKUSDT (1D) Chart, Source: TradingVoew
Bonk’s current trading behavior highlights the importance of its ongoing battle at daily support. Price has respected this level over several sessions, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend it. This support lies just below the point of control (POC), a major volume node that now acts as immediate resistance. For the double-bottom reversal pattern to activate, a closing reclaim of the POC is essential.

The technical setup becomes even more compelling when factoring in the Bollinger Bands. The lower band is extended and now overlapping with daily support, reinforcing the probability of oversold conditions. Historically, such conditions have preceded strong reversals, especially when combined with classical charting patterns like the double bottom.

A rotation toward the next daily resistance, positioned below the previous swing high, could result in a substantial upside move. Analysts note that a breakout here may yield gains exceeding 100%, provided the reversal structure is confirmed. This aligns with the broader principle that double-bottom formations often mark significant trend shifts, particularly when accompanied by a surge in volume.

The role of volume cannot be overstated. For the reversal to carry weight, bullish volume nodes must support the move. Without meaningful inflows, attempts to reclaim the POC may fail, leaving Bonk vulnerable to extended consolidation or deeper downside. However, the emergence of buying interest at current levels provides early signs that bulls are preparing for another push.

Adding to this, Safety Shot has established Bonk Holdings as part of its strategy to expand and manage its treasury, further reinforcing confidence in the token’s long-term positioning.

What to expect in the coming price action
If Bonk successfully reclaims the POC on a closing basis, the double-bottom formation will be activated, signaling the potential for a major bullish rally. This could drive price toward daily resistance and beyond, establishing a broader recovery.

Failure to reclaim the POC, however, would keep the reversal incomplete and risk prolonging the corrective phase.

A sharp rally which began late in the weekend continued into U.S. Monday morning trading hours, with bitcoin (BTC) re-taking the $114,000 after having tumbled below $109,000 last Friday.

Cardano (ADA) is currently navigating a period of consolidation as the broader crypto market experiences heightened volatility. Despite recent declines, sentiment around ADA remains cautiously optimistic, with analysts pointing to adoption trends, smart contract growth, and strong community support as potential drivers for a rally toward $10.

Rising prices triggered significant forced closures as bearish traders struggled to keep pace with renewed momentum.

Key Takeaways

Approximately $226 million in Bitcoin and Ethereum shorts were liquidated within a 24-hour period due to price surges.
Ethereum shorts contributed $137.9 million to the total liquidations, occurring as ETH accelerated higher.

Bitcoin and Ethereum short positions worth around $226 million were liquidated in a 24-hour period today as both cryptocurrencies surged higher.

The liquidations highlight intense volatility in crypto markets as traders betting against price increases faced forced closures of their positions. Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, and Ethereum, the second-largest digital asset, drove the majority of the liquidation activity.

Ethereum shorts alone accounted for $137.9 million in liquidations during the 24-hour period. The forced closures occurred as both cryptocurrencies extended gains, creating additional upward momentum.

Broader market data shows over $330 million in short positions were wiped out across all cryptocurrencies as bearish traders faced margin calls amid the price rally.

Disclaimer

Charles Edwards, founder and CEO of Capriole Investments, has issued his starkest warning yet on quantum computing, arguing that Bitcoin must migrate to post-quantum signatures on an accelerated timeline or face existential risk later this decade. “We need to upgrade Bitcoin to be Quantum proof next year. 2026. Otherwise we are fucked,” Edwards wrote on X early Monday, escalating a series of posts in which he contends “Q-Day is this decade.”

Could Bitcoin Crash To $0?
Edwards’ thesis hinges on the rapid compression of resource estimates required to run Shor’s algorithm against Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve digital signatures (ECDSA/Schnorr on secp256k1). Pushing back at skeptics who “handwave Quantum as being 20+ years away,” he argued that only “~2,000 logical qubits” may be sufficient to break ECC-256 within a practical time window, placing a credible attack in “2–6 years.” In a separate exchange he framed the stakes bluntly: “Do you want $1M Bitcoin in 5 years, or $0?”

Edwards’ timeline closely tracks a fresh line of research and industry messaging from Pierre-Luc Dallaire-Démers, founder of Pauli Group, a startup focused on quantum-resistant money. In an August research preprint and public thread, Dallaire-Démers and co-authors introduced graded ECDLP challenges on Bitcoin’s curve and, after translating logical circuits to physical costs across several error-corrected architectures, placed “cryptanalytically relevant” ECC-256 attacks in a “roughly 2027–2033” window—emphasizing wide error bars and sensitivity to hardware assumptions.

Pauli Group summarized the upshot plainly: “The first attack on 256-bit ECC will plausibly happen between 2027–2033.” The firm also provocatively stated via X: “PQC BTC will go to $1M+ by 2030. ECC BTC won’t.”

The core risk vector is well-established: once a Bitcoin address reveals its public key on-chain—by spending from it or by using legacy formats that expose the key outright—a sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could, in principle, derive the private key quickly enough to steal funds.

Security researchers and industry teams note that coins in already-exposed keys are the first in line, while coins still sitting behind hashed (unrevealed) public keys are safer until they move. Several analyses estimate that a non-trivial share of outstanding BTC resides in exposed-key outputs, including early “pay-to-pubkey” era coins often associated with Satoshi. Edwards leaned into that tail risk, claiming “Satoshi’s coins will be market dumped” absent a migration.

Not everyone agrees on the clock speed. Some conservative estimates still point to millions of error-corrected qubits for practical, fast ECDSA breaks, and standards bodies have published transition guidance that implicitly assumes a longer runway.

In late 2024, material circulated in the NIST/PQ ecosystem sketched migrations away from vulnerable algorithms by roughly 2035—a horizon many security engineers view as realistic for broad IT systems, even if niche breakthroughs arrive sooner. The spread between the “thousands” versus “millions” of logical qubits camps reflects fast-evolving algorithmic optimizations, differing error-correction models, and varied assumptions about gate speeds and code distances.

Notably, Edwards is taking the message to TOKEN2049 this week, where he is slated to present “DOUBLE THREAT: Quantum & the Treasury Bubble” on Wednesday, October 1 at 10:45 a.m. local time—positioning quantum compromise and a growing “Bitcoin Treasury Bubble” as the two dominant downside risks for BTC over the next cycle.

At press time, BTC traded at $112,150.

BTC recovers above key support, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Government shutdown threat could delay jobs data Bitcoin traders need to predict Fed rate cuts, spiking crypto volatility this week.

There is no obvious reason behind the move.

Since yesterday afternoon, Bitcoin (BTC 3.32%), the world's largest cryptocurrency, traded 4.2% higher, as of 11:16 a.m. ET today. There is no obvious reason behind the move, but a few different things could be driving it.

How a government shutdown could impact crypto
According to data from blockchain trackers, some large whale investors have moved in recently and bought up Bitcoin, reversing some of the liquidations seen last week.

Image source: Getty Images.

But the bigger event potentially impacting Bitcoin and the broader crypto market is the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown. Lawmakers have until tomorrow to further fund the government and avoid a shutdown that would close certain parts of the government and create a big disruption.

Democrats are seeking to tie further federal funding to continuing tax credits associated with Obamacare that are set to expire by year-end. Meanwhile, President Trump and the Republicans have vowed broad layoffs of government workers if a shutdown occurs, setting up a showdown.

While a shutdown could stall certain crypto initiatives, Bitcoin launched in the wake of the Great Recession. People were fed up with the mainstream financial system and sought alternatives. So when shutdowns or other events that adversely affect the mainstream financial system occur, investors can buy Bitcoin essentially as a hedge.

All eyes on the deadline
Continuing to fund the government has become extremely political over the years, and shutdowns have actually happened on several occasions. The longest government shut down started in 2018 and lasted 34 days, so while they do happen, they don't last very long, primarily because they can be bad for both parties politically and hurt the economy.

A shutdown could turn into a good near-term catalyst for Bitcoin. However, Bitcoin is one of the few tokens I think investors can buy and hold long term, so I would focus more on the long-term trajectory of Bitcoin and less on trying to trade this event.

Bram Berkowitz has positions in Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Aster has conquered the top tier of decentralized trading, and Binance founder Changpeng Zhao — better known online as CZ — put the reason in simple terms: lower fees bring higher volumes. The effect is already clear in the numbers by DefiLlama.

In the past 24 hours, Aster cleared $84.29 billion in perpetual trading, compared with $5.59 billion on Hyperliquid. Over seven days, Aster hit $270.68 billion, ahead of Hyperliquid’s $80.52 billion. 

Even on the 30-day view, Aster leads with $290.28 billion against $279.28 billion. Lighter, a smaller rival with no token yet, sits in between with $158.30 billion.

HOT Stories

The way Aster has pulled this off may be called a vampire attack. By charging less, it has snatched the "crown" away from competitors and leveraged momentum with full force. With CZ backing it as an advisor, the project has had extra credibility, and the market reaction has been explosive. 

Aster token causes massive FOMOThe ASTER token jumped 8,000% in a week, pushing its market cap above $3 billion and setting off heavy FOMO across trading circles.

Aster is not slowing down. The second season of farming points is live until Oct. 5, adding more incentives on top of its already high turnover. 

With $2.3 billion locked and $1.2 billion in annualized fees, it is extracting more value relative to its size than Hyperliquid, which remains bigger overall with $5.8 billion locked.

For now, Aster has become the story of the season in decentralized derivatives.

Deep-pocketed players are unloading DOGE at record speed — and here's why it might actually feed into a bullish Dogecoin price prediction.Whales have sold more than 40 million DOGE in a single 24‑hour span, sparking sharp downward pressure.

Mon, 29/09/2025 - 15:54

Bitcoin showing weakness as US Dollar Index attempts retrace, threatening further downside if dollar strength continues

Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

There is a major connection between Bitcoin and the United States Dollar. For traders, the Dollar Index (DXY) has always had a complicated relationship with the digital gold. As global investors gravitate toward safer assets, Bitcoin has historically tended to decline when the dollar gains strength. This pattern may recur according to the most recent charts, with Bitcoin lingering at precarious support levels and the DXY possibly staging a recovery.

U.S. Dollar gaining strengh?After months of consistent decline, the Dollar Index, or DXY, is currently trading close to 98.9 and is making an effort to recover. The index is getting closer to the 100-day EMA after testing the 50-day EMA recently. The recent rebound suggests that dollar strength may not yet be complete, even though the overall trend is still bearish and the 200-day EMA is still pointing downward.

BTC/USDT Chart by TradingViewRisky assets, especially Bitcoin, may be under pressure if DXY moves higher toward the psychological 100.0 level. Conversely, Bitcoin’s chart demonstrates glaring vulnerability. Between the 100-day and 200-day EMAs, Bitcoin is consolidating at about $112,000 at this time. Volume has been dropping since the peak above $128,000, and the mid-September bounce from the 200 EMA lacked conviction. At 49, the RSI is neutral and does not indicate an oversold situation that would lead to a significant reversal.

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Bitcoin's retreatBitcoin could retreat back toward the $106,000 support zone, which is indicated by the 200 EMA, if DXY continues to rise. The main conclusion is that the inverse relationship is still present: weaker Bitcoin performance is frequently the result of a stronger dollar. Traders should keep an eye on DXY’s movements in the resistance zone between 100 and 101 points. The dollar may break through, causing increased selling pressure on Bitcoin and a test of lower support levels.

On the other hand, Bitcoin may regain breathing room for another upward push if DXY falters and returns to its wider downward trend. The Dollar Index is currently showing early indications of strength, which, if momentum continues, could be problematic for Bitcoin. It is possible that a DXY breakout will serve as the impetus for the next significant decline of Bitcoin.

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Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

Crypto markets rebounded over the weekend as short covering fueled gains across altcoins.

Major altcoins, including Shiba Inu, have climbed in the last 24 hours, partially reversing last week's sell-off. About $433.28 million in crypto liquidations were recorded in this time frame, mostly from short positions. According to CoinGlass data, $330 million were liquidated in short positions, while longs came in at $104.76 million.

At press time, SHIB was trading up 3% in the last 24 hours to $0.00001209. Shiba Inu surged to a high of $0.00001224 during Sunday's trading session.

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The move follows Saturday's drop to a low of $0.00001172, catching shorts unaware. According to CoinGlass data, 3,859,993,178 SHIB in short positions have been liquidated in the last 24 hours.

Given that Shiba Inu has seen mixed price performance in recent hours, a substantial amount of long liquidations also occurred. A total of $91,880 in Shiba Inu positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours. Longs accounted for $46,310, and shorts came in at $45,570.

Big week ahead?This week, investors are looking ahead to several economic releases, including a key jobs report.

The highlight of the week will be the nonfarm payrolls for September, set to be released on Friday morning by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Economists expect Friday’s jobs report to show 59,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to remain steady at 4.3%, with a negative reading not being ruled out.

The report is expected to influence the path of monetary policy, with traders pricing in two more interest rate cuts for the rest of 2025, in line with what the Fed indicated in its last meeting.

In a striking revelation, researchers have uncovered that just under 20,000 addresses control more than 60% of Bitcoin's total supply. This discovery, made by Sani, the co-founder of Time Chain Index—a prominent platform specializing in bitcoin onchain metrics—highlights a significant concentration of wealth within the cryptocurrency's ecosystem.

18h05 ▪
5
min read ▪ by
James G.

Summarize this article with:

Bitcoin hovered around $110,000 on Sunday evening after a turbulent September, with traders weighing ETF outflows, technical support, and macroeconomic pressures. The market has entered consolidation mode, with volatility easing and traders watching for direction. With October approaching, the focus turns to whether “Uptober”—a month often associated with positive crypto momentum—will ignite the next breakout.

In brief

Bitcoin stabilizes at $110K after a volatile week, with traders eyeing key support at $107K and resistance near $113K.
A break above $113K could fuel a rally toward $115K–$120K, while a drop below $107K risks a slide toward $105K or lower.
Market sentiment has cooled, with fear rising, ETF outflows noted, and traders awaiting a catalyst for clear direction.
October’s “Uptober” narrative could reignite bullish momentum if macroeconomic signals align with softer policy conditions.

Bitcoin Holds $110K Amid Volatile Week, Key Support and Resistance Levels in Focus
On Sunday, Bitcoin traded between $110,324 and $110,595. This came after a volatile week that saw the asset fall about 4–5% compared to the prior week. The biggest drop came on September 26, when Bitcoin slipped from around the $115,000 region to $109,000, wiping out billions in leveraged long positions. As expected, the reset cooled excessive bullish bets and left the market resting on firm support.

Here’s what technical and on-chain trends show:

Support levels: Bitcoin is holding firm between $107,000 and $108,700. This zone has acted as a key floor, with buyers consistently stepping in to defend it.
Downside risk: A clean break below that support could shift momentum, opening the path toward $105,000 and, in a deeper sell-off, even $100,000.
Resistance levels: Overhead resistance lies between $112,000 and $113,000, a band that has capped upside attempts in recent sessions.
Upside potential: A decisive move above that resistance range could clear the way for a retest of $115,000, with room to extend toward the $120,000 threshold.

Technical indicators remain mixed, with the RSI hinting at bullish divergence, while the MACD shows a bearish lean on higher time frames. Market commentators note that as long as Bitcoin holds $110,000, the broader bullish channel is still intact.

Market Reset: Caution Prevails as Traders Await Clear Direction
Even though market sentiment has cooled, broader trends indicate that the overall outlook has not collapsed. The Fear & Greed Index has declined into the ‘fear’ zone, while open interest has moderated but remains present. At the same time, social sentiment is cautious, a setup that has historically preceded surprise rallies if resistance breaks.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs also saw notable outflows last week, while whales shuffled coins between wallets and exchanges. This activity added to market volatility but left Bitcoin’s long-term outlook unchanged. In essence, positioning has been reset, traders remain cautious, and the market is awaiting a clear signal for direction.

Bitcoin Range-Bound Ahead of October
Bitcoin continues to trade in step with equities, with U.S. dollar strength, Federal Reserve commentary, and economic data such as PCE inflation shaping direction. Assuming policymakers signal softer conditions heading into October, the “Uptober” narrative could gain support. If not, sideways price action may continue.

Analysts anticipate price action to remain range-bound between $105,000 and $113,000 until a catalyst emerges. To build a bullish case, Bitcoin must hold above $107,000, reclaim the $112,000–$115,000 zone, and then target $120,000. Conversely, a bearish scenario would unfold if $107,000 breaks decisively, potentially driving the asset down to $105,000 or lower.

In the near term, bitcoin is expected to remain range-bound, with traders watching $107,000 on the downside and $112,000 on the upside as key levels. A sustained move above resistance could open the way toward $115,000 and $120,000, while a break below support risks a slide toward $105,000. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is exchanging hands at around $112,000 following a modest intraday uptick. Market participants are now looking to October—historically a strong month—to see whether consolidation gives way to renewed momentum.

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James G.

James Godstime is a crypto journalist and market analyst with over three years of experience in crypto, Web3, and finance. He simplifies complex and technical ideas to engage readers. Outside of work, he enjoys football and tennis, which he follows passionately.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

Hedera’s native token posted a 2.37% gain over the past 24 hours, with surging volumes reinforcing bullish momentum despite broader market uncertainty.Updated Sep 29, 2025, 4:08 p.m. Published Sep 29, 2025, 4:08 p.m.

HBAR displayed notable resilience in the past 24-hour trading window, oscillating within a narrow range of $0.2104 to $0.2172. The most significant movement emerged late on Sept. 28, when the token surged from $0.2139 to $0.2168 on volume nearly double the daily average. This sharp rise established clear resistance near $0.2172 as trading activity spiked to 59.92 million tokens, underscoring heightened market participation.

Following this upswing, HBAR entered a consolidation phase, stabilizing between $0.2144 and $0.2168 before retreating to $0.2131 by midday Sept. 29. The asset found reliable support at that level, subsequently rebounding to $0.2160, highlighting steady demand. Late-session activity saw another bullish burst, with prices climbing from $0.2132 to $0.2164 within an hour, supported by strong volume flows that reinforced momentum.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

The rally comes against a backdrop of heightened market uncertainty, where digital assets like HBAR have attracted institutional attention. Investors continue to gravitate toward blockchain infrastructure projects, such as Hedera, as potential hedges amid volatility in traditional financial markets.

HBAR/USD (TradingView)

Technical Indicators Underscore Bullish Momentum CharacteristicsHBAR exhibited considerable bullish momentum throughout the preceding 24-hour period from 28 September 15:00 to 29 September 14:00, advancing from $0.21 to $0.22 representing a 2.37% appreciation.The overall trading range encompassed $0.01 (2.78%) between the absolute minimum of $0.21 and maximum of $0.22.Notable volume surges during critical breakthrough periods at 22:00 and 13:00 hours reinforced the sustained upward trajectory despite periodic consolidation phases.Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.

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Your look at what's coming in the week starting Sept. 29

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XRP has been consolidating in a relatively narrow range against both USDT and BTC.

Despite some bearish pressure recently, key support levels continue to hold for now.

Yet, the time for the price to make up its mind is near.

XRP Price Analysis: Technicals
By Shayan

The USDT Pair
XRP is still trapped within a falling wedge pattern after its failure to break above the $3.60 resistance zone earlier this quarter. Price action has been squeezing lower highs into a flat support base just above the $2.60 region.

The price recently tested this support cluster that aligns with the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, and bounced back toward the wedge’s upper boundary.

While this reaction is promising in the short term, XRP still remains inside the wedge. A decisive daily close above $3.00 would be the first sign of strength, but bulls still need to clear the $3.20 level, which aligns with the recent high to open up a larger move to the upside.

The BTC Pair
Against Bitcoin, XRP continues to trade above the 200-day moving average and is holding the 2,500 SAT support zone. The bullish crossover between the 100 and 200 MAs remains intact, which is a positive mid-term signal.

Despite some wicks below the key zone, XRP is now hovering above both moving averages. The price is compressing between the 2,500 SAT support and the 2,700 SAT resistance levels. A breakout above this range would likely push XRP back toward the 3,000 SAT area, while a breakdown risks a drop toward the 2,000 SAT level, which is the base of the recent bullish move.

The RSI also remains neutral at 47, suggesting there is room to move in either direction. As of now, the pair looks stable but lacks strong momentum. A breakout from this consolidation will define the next move.

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Mon, 29/09/2025 - 14:22

ETF issuers are set to start withdrawing their XRP, SOL, ADA, DOGE, and LTC filings as early as this week

Cover image via stock.adobe.com

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has reportedly asked exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers to withdraw their 19b-4 filings for XRP, Litecoin (LTC), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), and Dogecoin (DOGE) ETFs. 

This comes after the SEC recently approved new generic listing standards for commodity-based ETFs, including cryptocurrency-based ones. 

Issuers will start withdrawing their applications as early as this week, meaning that it is only a matter of time until such ETFs will become publicly tradable. 

Massive change Normally, each ETF has to be approved under Section 19(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The approval process is usually lengthy and daunting. 

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Now, however, if a certain product meets specific eligibility criteria, it can secure a much-coveted listing at a much faster pace. Such commodities are supposed to have CFTC-regulated futures contracts (among some other requirements). 

Earlier, multiple analysts predicted that the new listing standard would unleash a wave of new spot cryptocurrency ETFs.  

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