Market Signal Briefing

Lawrence Jengar Jan 19, 2026 08:07

Injective (INJ) faces short-term pressure at $4.67 but analysts maintain $6.20 target within 4-6 weeks. Technical indicators show oversold conditions creating potential entry opportunity.

Injective (INJ) is experiencing significant selling pressure, trading at $4.67 as of January 19, 2026, down 10.27% in the past 24 hours. Despite this short-term weakness, recent analyst predictions maintain optimistic targets, creating an interesting divergence between current price action and medium-term forecasts.

INJ Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $5.90 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $6.00-$6.20 range
• Bullish breakout level: $5.90 • Critical support: $4.31

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Injective Recent analyst commentary from the past week shows consistent bullish sentiment despite today's price decline. Joerg Hiller noted on January 12 that "Injective (INJ) trades at $5.10 with neutral RSI and bearish momentum. Analysts eye $6.20 target within 4-6 weeks, but critical resistance at $5.47 must break first."

Tony Kim provided a detailed Injective forecast on January 15, stating: "INJ Price Prediction Summary: Short-term target (1 week): $5.90; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $6.00-$6.20 range; Bullish breakout level: $5.90; Critical support: $5.02."

Most recently, Rongchai Wang reinforced these targets on January 16, observing that "Injective (INJ) trades at $5.22 with analysts targeting $6.20 within 4-6 weeks. Technical indicators show neutral momentum as INJ approaches key resistance levels."

The consensus among these analysts points to a $6.20 target, representing approximately 33% upside from current levels.

INJ Technical Analysis Breakdown Current technical indicators present a mixed but potentially oversold picture for Injective. The RSI at 41.40 sits in neutral territory, avoiding oversold conditions but showing room for recovery. This contrasts with the bearish MACD momentum, where the histogram reads 0.0000, indicating stalled momentum.

The Bollinger Bands analysis reveals INJ trading near the lower band at $4.42, with the current price of $4.67 positioning it at just 0.18 on the band scale (where 0 represents the lower band and 1 the upper band). This proximity to the lower band often signals oversold conditions and potential bounce opportunities.

Key resistance levels emerge at $5.15 for immediate resistance and $5.63 for stronger resistance, aligning closely with analyst predictions of breakout levels around $5.90. Support levels are clearly defined at $4.31 for immediate support and $3.96 for stronger downside protection.

The 24-hour trading range of $4.44-$5.27 shows significant volatility, with the Average True Range of $0.39 confirming elevated price swings that could benefit swing traders.

Injective Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario The bullish case for this INJ price prediction centers on breaking above the immediate resistance at $5.15, which could trigger momentum toward the $5.63 level. Success above $5.63 would validate analyst targets of $5.90-$6.20, representing the key breakout zone identified in recent forecasts.

Technical confirmation would require the RSI climbing above 50, MACD turning positive, and sustained trading above the 20-day SMA at $5.12. The proximity to Bollinger Band support suggests potential for a strong bounce if buyers emerge at current levels.

Bearish Scenario The bearish scenario involves failure to hold the immediate support at $4.31, which could trigger deeper selling toward the strong support at $3.96. A break below $3.96 would invalidate near-term bullish predictions and potentially target the psychological $3.00 level.

Risk factors include the significant distance from the 200-day SMA at $9.74, indicating INJ remains in a longer-term downtrend despite recent analyst optimism.

Should You Buy INJ? Entry Strategy Current levels present a potential entry opportunity for this Injective forecast, particularly for traders with medium-term horizons. Consider dollar-cost averaging between $4.50-$4.80, with initial stops below $4.20 to limit downside risk.

For more aggressive entries, wait for confirmation above $5.15 before establishing positions, targeting the $5.90-$6.20 range identified by analysts. This approach sacrifices some upside potential but provides better risk-adjusted entries.

Risk management should include position sizing of no more than 2-3% of portfolio given the volatile nature of INJ trading patterns.

Conclusion This INJ price prediction suggests cautious optimism despite current weakness. While today's 10.27% decline creates near-term uncertainty, the consistent $6.20 targets from multiple analysts within 4-6 weeks provide a compelling medium-term thesis. The technical setup shows oversold conditions that could support a bounce toward analyst targets.

However, traders should remain aware that cryptocurrency price predictions carry significant uncertainty, and market conditions can change rapidly. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Image source: Shutterstock

inj price analysis inj price prediction

Terrill Dicki Jan 19, 2026 08:24

PEPE faces technical headwinds with RSI at 45.21 and -9.85% daily decline, but analysts target $0.00000690 recovery by month-end amid oversold conditions.

Pepe (PEPE) is experiencing significant selling pressure with a 9.85% decline in the past 24 hours, trading at critically low levels amid substantial volume of $75.6 million on Binance. Despite the current bearish momentum, technical indicators suggest the meme coin may be approaching oversold territory, potentially setting up for a recovery play in the coming weeks.

PEPE Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): Consolidation near current levels with potential bounce • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.0000065-$0.000035 range according to recent analysis • Bullish breakout level: Above key resistance levels once established • Critical support: Current technical support levels being tested

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Pepe Recent analyst predictions for PEPE show cautiously optimistic sentiment for the remainder of January. Darius Baruo stated on January 13, 2026: "PEPE is targeting $0.00000690 by the end of January 2026," suggesting potential upside from current levels.

MEXC News provided a more detailed Pepe forecast on January 9, 2026, outlining "PEPE's price prediction for January 2026 suggests a two-phase movement: initial correction to $0.00003136 followed by recovery toward the $0.0000065-$0.000035 range."

While specific analyst predictions remain limited beyond these forecasts, on-chain metrics indicate significant trading activity continues around PEPE, with substantial volume suggesting institutional and retail interest persists despite the recent price decline.

PEPE Technical Analysis Breakdown The current technical picture for PEPE reveals mixed signals with both bearish and potentially constructive elements. The RSI reading of 45.21 sits in neutral territory, suggesting the token hasn't yet reached oversold conditions despite the significant daily decline.

The MACD histogram shows bullish momentum signals, which contrasts with the current price action and may indicate potential divergence forming. This technical disconnect often precedes trend reversals in cryptocurrency markets.

Bollinger Band positioning at 0.23 places PEPE near the lower band, indicating the price is trading well below the 20-period moving average. The Stochastic indicators (%K at 15.63, %D at 12.50) suggest the token is approaching oversold territory, which historically has provided bounce opportunities for PEPE.

Pepe Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario If PEPE can establish support at current levels and begin showing signs of accumulation, the primary target aligns with analyst predictions around $0.00000690. A successful breakout above immediate resistance levels could target the $0.0000065-$0.000035 range outlined in recent forecasts.

Technical confirmation would require RSI breaking above 50, MACD histogram maintaining positive momentum, and volume expansion on any upward price movement. The bullish case depends heavily on broader meme coin sector recovery and sustained trading interest.

Bearish Scenario Failure to hold current support levels could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing lower technical support zones. The bearish scenario would be confirmed by RSI breaking below 30 into oversold territory, continued negative price action despite high volume, and broader market weakness affecting risk assets.

Risk factors include potential continued meme coin sector rotation, reduced retail interest, and technical breakdown below key support levels that could trigger algorithmic selling.

Should You Buy PEPE? Entry Strategy Current technical conditions suggest a cautious approach for PEPE price prediction strategies. Potential entry points should focus on confirmation of support holding at current levels, with stop-loss placement below recent technical lows.

For aggressive traders, the current oversold conditions on shorter timeframes may present scalping opportunities, but position sizing should reflect the high volatility inherent in meme coin trading. Conservative investors should wait for clear technical confirmation of trend reversal before establishing positions.

Risk management remains critical given PEPE's volatility profile, with suggested position sizing no more than 1-2% of total portfolio allocation for speculative plays.

Conclusion The PEPE price prediction for the remainder of January 2026 suggests a period of consolidation followed by potential recovery toward analyst targets of $0.00000690. While current technical indicators show mixed signals, the combination of oversold conditions and sustained trading volume provides a foundation for potential bounce scenarios.

However, cryptocurrency price predictions remain highly speculative, and PEPE's meme coin status adds additional volatility risk. Investors should conduct their own research and never invest more than they can afford to lose in speculative digital assets.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency investments are highly speculative and volatile. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

pepe price analysis pepe price prediction

Bitcoin plunged to a six-day low, most altcoins slumped even harder.

The anticipated volatility due to the latest developments on the US-EU trade war finally arrived in crypto as BTC, alongside all altcoins, plunged hard as Asian and some futures markets opened.

Somewhat expected, the liquidations are on the rise, with over $870 million wrecked in the past 24 hours. Naturally, longs are responsible for the lion’s share (nearly $790 million). The total number of liquidated traders has skyrocketed to just shy of 250,000, according to data from CoinGlass.

Liquidation Data on CoinGlass Recall the latest developments on the trade war front between the so-called allies. US President Donald Trump has insisted that his country’s national security relies on the “complete acquisition” of Greenland, which is under Denmark’s control.

Following weeks of building tension, eight countries from the EU sent a handful of soldiers to the island for a reconnaissance mission. Trump responded immediately with a new set of 10% tariffs against all eight, starting from February 1.

The EU held an emergency meeting, while French President Macron reportedly pushed for the activation of a so-called anti-coercion instrument known as a “trade baooka,” which has never been used before and would limit America’s access to European Markets.

The US spot markets will remain closed today as it’s MLK Day. However, Asian markets slid on Monday morning, and so did the greenback against the yen and the Swiss franc. US futures also dropped by up to 1.3% in the case of Nasdaq futures.

As mentioned above, BTC’s price headed south earlier this morning, currently struggling to remain above $92,500. At the same time, gold exploded once again to yet another all-time high.

You may also like: Bitcoin Cycle Shift? Analyst Puts 55–65% Odds on Green 2026 Derivatives Sentiment Improves as Bitcoin Rallied to 2-Month High: Bybit Report EU Calls Emergency Meeting, Democrats Move to Block Trump’s Tariffs, But BTC Stays Calm Gold vs Bitcoin right now 😂

I love this industry pic.twitter.com/wviLVKR0uj

— Travis Connors (@TravConnors) January 18, 2026

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About the author

Jordan got into crypto in 2016 by trading and investing. He began writing about blockchain technology in 2017 and now serves as CryptoPotato's Assistant Editor-in-Chief. He has managed numerous crypto-related projects and is passionate about all things blockchain.

Aster has activated a new buyback mechanism that directs up to 40% of its daily platform fees toward on-chain ASTER repurchases.

Summary

Aster is deploying 20–40% of daily platform fees to buy back ASTER tokens. The repurchases are executed automatically and can be tracked on-chain. The move expands Aster’s Stage 5 buyback program launched in December 2025. Aster has started deploying a new on-chain buyback reserve that uses 20%-40% of its daily platform fees to repurchase ASTER. The activation went live on January 19, with early transactions already visible on-chain.

The reserve operates alongside Aster’s (ASTER) existing buyback structure and is funded directly from revenue generated on the protocol’s perpetual futures exchange.

How the new reserve differs from Stage 5 buybacks The newly activated reserve is separate from Aster’s Stage 5 buyback program, which has been running since late December 2025. Stage 5 executes automatic, fixed daily buybacks using a predefined share of platform fees, regardless of short-term market conditions.

The reserve, by contrast, is designed to be discretionary. Allocations can move within a 20% to 40% range depending on liquidity, volatility, and price action.

We're now actively deploying our Strategic Buyback Reserve for $ASTER token repurchases automatically.

Building on our Stage 5 Buyback Program announced last month, this activation allocates 20-40% of daily platform fees into targeted buybacks, responding dynamically to market… https://t.co/cIbles9eHM

— Aster (@Aster_DEX) January 19, 2026 When combined, Stage 5 buybacks and the reserve can direct up to 80% of daily protocol fees toward ASTER repurchases, all of which are executed on-chain and verifiable.

The buybacks are funded mainly through perp trading fees, with additional contributions from Shield Mode, a high-leverage feature that charges fees only on profitable trades. All Shield Mode fees are routed entirely to ASTER buybacks.

Long-term strategy to boost ASTER demand Across previous buyback stages, the protocol has repurchased more than 209 million ASTER tokens, worth over $140 million at the time of execution. Some of those tokens were burned, while others were retained as part of treasury management.

As of this writing, ASTER had dropped by roughly 13% over the previous 30 days, which is more indicative of general market pressure than changes to the buyback program. Aster said that the framework is expected to run throughout 2026. 

The team has positioned the new reserve as a long-term tool tied to platform revenue, rather than a short-term attempt to influence price movements,

Amin Ayan

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Amin Ayan is a crypto journalist with over four years of experience in the industry. He has contributed to leading publications such as Cryptonews, Investing.com, 99Bitcoins, and 24/7 Wall St. He has...

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Trove Markets is facing mounting criticism after announcing a sudden pivot to Solana, weeks after raising more than $11.5 million tied to a token sale marketed around an integration with Hyperliquid.

Key Takeaways:

Trove’s sudden pivot to Solana after an $11.5M raise has triggered backlash and refund demands. The team says a withdrawn HYPE liquidity commitment forced the move away from Hyperliquid. Flagged token transfers have intensified scrutiny around the project’s handling of funds. The move has triggered calls for refunds from backers who say the project’s roadmap has materially changed.

Trove Says Liquidity Partner Withdrawal Forced Solana PivotTrove revealed the shift in a post on X on Friday, describing the decision as a response to changes in its operating constraints.

One of the project’s builders, known as “Unwise,” later said the pivot was prompted by a liquidity partner withdrawing 500,000 Hyperliquid (HYPE) tokens that were required to support the planned integration.

“This changes our constraints: we’re no longer building on Hyperliquid rails, so we’re rebuilding the perp DEX on Solana from the ground up,” Unwise wrote.

The TROVE token sale ran from Jan. 8 to Jan. 11, with the token generation event now scheduled for Monday at 4:00 pm UTC.

Trove said the Solana transition, combined with refund requests, has delayed its timeline. “Due to the move to Solana and the refund processing, we need more time to execute this correctly,” the team said.

The controversy is amplified by earlier funding decisions. In November, Trove raised a separate $20 million to acquire 500,000 HYPE tokens required for Hyperliquid’s mandatory HIP-3 stake, a slashable bond designed to secure new perpetual markets.

Critics argue that abandoning Hyperliquid after making that commitment undermines trust with early supporters.

Several users on X have demanded immediate refunds, arguing that contributors backed a Hyperliquid-based product, not a Solana-native one.

“People did not invest in your ICO for you to launch on Solana,” one user wrote, while others urged Trove to return funds and relaunch under revised terms.

refund the people now!!!

you raised to money to build on hyperliquid!

Give back the money and raise on solana if you think that's what your community really wants

— HYPEconomist (@HYPEconomist) January 18, 2026 Trove plans to build a perpetual trading platform focused on collectibles such as Pokémon cards and Counter-Strike 2 skins, a niche Bitwise estimated in September could grow into a $21.4 billion market.

The team says Solana’s infrastructure is better suited to that vision.

Meanwhile, blockchain investigator ZachXBT has flagged several Trove-linked transfers into casino deposit addresses involving HYPE tokens.

Want to explain to the community why your team bridged $45K from the Trove Angel Round raise on Jan 11 and deposited it directly into a casino deposit address?

Source address
7nRNzRX2WQ3WxV3eV6gDeJeWTApqefuXNXQRZ1xEh1eh
Destination address… pic.twitter.com/6sdjiLo8GW

— ZachXBT (@zachxbt) January 17, 2026 Trove Token Sale Turmoil Sparks Governance QuestionsAs reported, the public token sale for Trove Markets descended into controversy after late-stage changes and mixed messages disrupted what had initially been a smooth fundraising process.

Conflicting announcements around whether the ICO would be extended created confusion among participants and raised concerns about decision-making and transparency.

Trove first said the sale had surpassed $11.5 million and would include pro-rata refunds ahead of the token generation event, before announcing an extension to improve distribution.

Hours later, the team reversed course, calling the extension a mistake and confirming the original end date, acknowledging that feedback from early supporters and large allocators had influenced the brief change.

PI has dumped by over 7% in the past 24 hours.

After weeks of stagnation when it seemed that Pi Network’s native token is immute to any market moves in either direction, the asset has plummeted hard in the past 12 hours or so.

The most obvious reason is not related to anything within the Pi Network ecosystem. Instead, all eyes are focused on the escalating tension between the US and the EU, where the POTUS announced a new set of 10% tariffs against eight countries as he is trying to purchase Greenland from Denmark.

The European bloc responded by holding an emergency meeting, while French President Macron urged the union to use a “trade bazooka,” which would severely limit the US’s access to European markets.

Although the crypto market remained flat at first as these developments unfolded, it plunged earlier today when Asian stock markets and some futures opened. Unlike previous volatile instances for the rest of the crypto market, this time, PI wasn’t spared.

The token missed out on the early January rally when BTC skyrocketed from under $88,000 to $98,000 in a matter of days, while many alts posted double-digit gains. Now, though, PI is down by more than 7% daily and sits below $0.19. Moreover, it slipped to $0.183 earlier today, which is just inches away from the October all-time low of $0.172 (CoinGecko data).

Pi Network (PI) Price on CoinGecko Another possible reason behind PI’s overall price instability, not so much about its sudden slump today, is the token unlocking schedule. Data from PiScanUnlock shows that the average number of daily unlocks stands at over 4.6 million, which could intensify the immediate selling pressure once investors get hold of the coins they have been waiting for a while.

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Jordan got into crypto in 2016 by trading and investing. He began writing about blockchain technology in 2017 and now serves as CryptoPotato's Assistant Editor-in-Chief. He has managed numerous crypto-related projects and is passionate about all things blockchain.

Ripple and UC Berkeley Launch UDAX to Accelerate Institutional Adoption of the XRP EcosystemRipple has partnered with the University of California, Berkeley (UC Berkeley) to launch the University Digital Asset Xcelerator (UDAX), a high-impact accelerator designed to fast-track real-world innovation on the XRP Ledger (XRPL). 

Enabled through Ripple’s University Blockchain Research Initiative (UBRI), UDAX represents a strategic effort to bridge the gap between early-stage blockchain ideas and institutional-grade deployment.

At its core, UDAX is designed to turn high-potential ideas into scalable, market-ready solutions. The program gives founders hands-on access to Ripple engineers, deep XRPL technical support, strategic mentorship, and direct pathways to global venture capital. 

Therefore, its mission is to accelerate enterprise adoption of XRP, bridge the gap between innovation and real-world use, and equip builders with the capital and expertise needed to compete on a global stage.

Well, the pilot UDAX–UC Berkeley cohort highlights XRPL’s real-world innovation power, with teams building across tokenized capital markets, decentralized insurance, digital collectibles, and the creator economy. The accelerator prioritized execution over theory, and delivered immediate, tangible results.

WaveTip, an instant tipping platform for Twitch streamers, migrated to the XRPL Mainnet and launched on the Chrome Web Store, showcasing how XRPL’s speed and ultra-low fees enable seamless, real-time creator monetization. 

Meanwhile, X-Card transformed physical collectibles into liquid, tradable assets, onboarding over $1.5 million in inventory and securing partnerships with merchant communities representing thousands of collectors.

Beyond technical milestones, UDAX generated real business impact. BlockBima, an automated climate-risk microinsurance startup serving vulnerable communities, tripled its active user base during the program. Equally significant, the founders sharpened their narrative and strategy, strengthening their ability to attract future funding and strategic partnerships.

In capital markets, CRX Digital Assets leveraged the accelerator to refine its strategy for exporting Brazilian credit to global investors. Using Ripple’s global payments infrastructure and the XRP Ledger, the team validated institutional-grade use cases, scaling tokenized volume from $39 million to $58 million. 

At the same time, Blockroll capitalized on the launch of Ripple’s RLUSD to roll out stablecoin-backed virtual cards for African freelancers, demonstrating XRPL’s growing relevance across emerging markets.

UDAX–UC Berkeley reflects Ripple’s long-term vision of uniting academic research, startup innovation, and institutional finance. By turning research into real-world deployment and builders into market-ready operators, UDAX is not merely accelerating startups, it is actively shaping the next phase of the XRP ecosystem.

ConclusionUDAX–UC Berkeley, powered by Ripple, shows that when leading research institutions, technical expertise, and venture networks converge, innovation moves from theory to reality. 

By equipping founders with mentorship, tools, and market access on XRPL, the program has transformed prototypes into live products, opened new liquidity channels, and driven measurable user and token growth. 

As a result, UDAX’s model is redefining how enterprise blockchain solutions are built and scaled, positioning XRPL as a practical backbone for global payments, tokenized markets, and inclusive finance. For founders, investors, and institutions alike, UDAX signals that real-world blockchain utility is not just coming, it’s here, and it’s accelerating.

Bitmine Immersion, led by Tom Lee, has now accumulated a 3.4% share of the total Ethereum circulating supply. As Bitmine emerged as one of the largest ETH holders, exchange supply dropped sharply, with only 16.3 million ETH left for trading.

Despite this strong accumulation, Ethereum’s price has slipped by around 4%, trading below the $3,200 level.

Bitmine Holds 3.4% of Ethereum SupplyAccording to the latest data, Bitmine Immersion now controls more than 4.167 million ETH, equal to about 3.4% of Ethereum’s circulating supply. With a value of nearly $13.32 billion, this makes Bitmine one of the largest ETH holders in the world.

Bitmine’s steady accumulation over recent months clearly aligns with Chairman Tom Lee’s long-term vision of owning close to 5% of Ethereum’s total supply. The slow and consistent buying shows a long-term belief in ETH, not a short-term trading move.

Other institutions are also building positions. Sharplink, for example, holds around 864,000 ETH, worth roughly $3.1 billion, giving it about 0.7% of the total supply. 

On top of that, spot Ethereum ETFs have gathered nearly $19.7 billion in holdings since launch, adding further pressure on available supply.

ETH Supply on Exchanges Keeps ShrinkingWith institutions locking away large amounts of ETH, exchange balances are falling. According to CryptoQuant data, only about 16.3 million ETH remain on exchanges for trading. 

When fewer coins are available for trading, even small increases in demand can have a strong impact on price over time.

Ethereum Price Is Still StrugglingDespite strong accumulation and shrinking exchange balances, Ethereum’s price has slipped recently, trading near $3,200, down around 4% on the day. This recent drop followed ongoing geopolitical tension after Donald Trump threatened 10% tariffs on several European countries.

Indeed, the technical chart hint bullish upside for ETH. According to popular trader Merlijn the Trader, Ethereum is now “coiled,” with several bullish signals. 

His chart highlights a falling wedge breakout, a double bottom, and improving momentum. According to him, $3,300 is the key level. As long as Ethereum stays above it, the bullish setup remains intact. 

If this level holds, ETH could move higher toward the $3,900 to $4,000 range, which stands as the next major target.

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Photo by Jonathan Raa/NurPhoto via Getty Images

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Regulatory frameworks continue to treat bitcoin and other cryptoassets as a single category, a decision that has shaped how digital asset policy is written, enforced, and interpreted across multiple jurisdictions. As regulatory approaches develop, the debate increasingly centers on regulatory design: how well existing frameworks map onto systems that differ fundamentally in structure, governance, and risk.

The persistence of a unified “cryptoasset” classification reflects how regulation often develops in response to emerging technologies. Early policy responses tend to prioritize speed, consistency, and administrative clarity, particularly when markets evolve faster than formal rule making processes. In the case of digital assets, surface level similarities such as the use of cryptography, digital wallets, and online platforms made broad categorization a practical starting point.

However, as regulatory frameworks mature and move from high level principles toward detailed operational rules, the limitations of this approach become more apparent.

Bitcoin has now operated as a decentralized network for over 15 years, without an issuing entity, central governance structure, or discretionary monetary authority. Many other cryptoassets, by contrast, rely on identifiable development teams, ongoing issuance decisions, and intermediated systems for operation and access.

In the United States, think tanks such as the Bitcoin Policy Institute have developed detailed frameworks outlining bitcoin's unique attributes, including its decentralized design and monetary characteristics to help inform policy and regulatory approaches distinct from other digital assets.

One practical consequence of regulating under a single umbrella is that it can flatten risk distinctions that regulators themselves are trying to communicate to consumers. In the UK, consultation responses have pointed to situations where the regulatory framing treats a decentralized monetary network and a highly speculative token as though they sit in the same risk bucket, despite their very different characteristics, levels of issuer control, and maturity. Even when the intention is caution, the effect can be consumer confusion, because the framework implicitly suggests that “cryptoassets” are interchangeable from a risk perspective, when in practice they are not.

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These differences are structural and not philosophical. Modern financial regulation is built around assumptions of accountability, control, and organizational responsibility. Disclosure regimes typically presume the existence of an entity capable of providing information, making representations, and being held responsible for outcomes. Supervisory frameworks often depend on intermediaries that can be licensed, monitored, and sanctioned where necessary. When these assumptions are applied to a decentralized network with no central operator, the fit is not always straightforward.

The world's biggest cryptocurrency, logo seen displayed on a smartphone in New Delhi, India. Photo by Mayank Makhija/NurPhoto via Getty Images

NurPhoto via Getty Images

This tension becomes most visible when rules designed for issuer led assets are applied uniformly across all digital assets. Requirements related to disclosures, governance, and ongoing compliance may be well suited to tokens issued by companies or foundations, but they can be difficult to interpret or implement in the context of a permissionless network. The result is regulatory friction where rules struggle to map cleanly onto the systems they are intended to govern.

Cryptoasset lending and borrowing is a useful case study for how that friction appears in implementation. Traditional consumer credit rules are designed around unsecured borrowing, affordability assessments, arrears, and forbearance, with the aim of reducing default risk and protecting borrowers from unaffordable debt. By contrast, many bitcoin backed lending models are structured around collateralisation, short durations, and automatic liquidation when loan to value thresholds are breached. In that context, a framework built for missed repayments and payment plans can struggle to map neatly onto a product where the core consumer risk is often collateral liquidation during market moves rather than the inability to repay a debt in the traditional sense.

Recent policy consultations illustrate this challenge. Responses from industry participants and policy groups have increasingly focused on classification and function rather than market behaviour. These submissions do not argue for the absence of regulation, but for greater precision in how different digital asset systems are defined and assessed. The emphasis is on aligning regulatory obligations with observable risk characteristics, governance models, and modes of operation, rather than applying uniform requirements.

Su Carpenter, Executive Director at CryptoUK, told Forbes “As the UK develops its cryptoasset regulatory framework, it is increasingly clear that not all cryptoassets present the same risks or operate in the same way. Differences in issuance, functionality and use cases are not always reflected in the current approach, which risks imposing a one size fits all regime. A proportionate, ‘same risk, same regulation framework depends on regulators recognising these distinctions if the UK is to remain a competitive and credible jurisdiction.”

Several reponses argue that a more risk aligned approach would distinguish between the asset being used and the activity being offered, rather than applying restrictions across an entire category.

The issue also extends beyond disclosure and supervision. Surveillance frameworks, reporting obligations, and compliance regimes are often designed around account based systems and intermediated financial relationships. Applying these models to bearer style assets or peer to peer networks can raise practical questions about feasibility, proportionality, and effectiveness. These questions are increasingly relevant as regulators seek to balance consumer protection, market integrity, and financial stability objectives.

Photo by Ozan KOSE / AFP) (Photo by OZAN KOSE/AFP via Getty Images

AFP via Getty Images

Another recurring point in consultation feedback is that restrictions placed on regulated domestic firms do not necessarily reduce activity; they often change where that activity takes place. When onshore providers face tighter prohibitions or disproportionate compliance burdens, consumers who still want access to certain products may migrate to offshore venues or decentralized protocols that sit outside the regulator’s direct reach. In practice, this can weaken consumer protection by shifting usage away from supervised firms and toward environments with less transparency, fewer safeguards, and limited recourse in the event of failure.

At the same time, there are signs that regulatory thinking is beginning to differentiate more clearly between digital asset types. Discussions around custody standards, settlement processes, and energy usage increasingly treat bitcoin as distinct from other cryptoassets. In some cases, regulatory documents now reference differing risk profiles and operational characteristics, even where formal frameworks remain generally scoped. This shift is incremental rather than comprehensive, but it reflects growing recognition that a single category may not adequately capture the diversity of systems now operating under the “crypto” umbrella.

Importantly, this is not a debate about innovation versus regulation, nor about the merits of one asset over another, it is a question of regulatory design. Effective regulation depends on accurate classification, particularly when rules become more granular and enforcement more active. Where classifications obscure meaningful differences, the risk is that regulation becomes either overinclusive or ineffective, imposing burdens that do not address actual risks while failing to account for those that do.

The consequences of this approach are already visible in the UK. Freddie New, Chief Policy Officer at Bitcoin Policy UK said “At present in the UK, consumers new to the space are presented with a universe of thousands of coins, all of which - so the regulator tells them - are equally worthless. This includes both Bitcoin and every meme coin in existence, and the message the FCA sends to consumers arguably puts them at great risk of harm were they to invest in a worthless meme coin rather than the digital asset equivalent of a blue chip company.”

As governments and regulators continue to refine their approaches to digital assets, the challenge may be less about how quickly frameworks are implemented and more about how precisely they reflect the systems they seek to regulate. As digital asset systems continue to diverge, whether the “cryptoasset” category remains fit for purpose has become a question of regulatory effectiveness, not ideology.

Felix Pinkston Jan 19, 2026 07:01

XLM Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $0.24 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.204-$0.270 range • Bullish breakout level: $0.24 • Critical support: $0.20 What Crypto A...

XLM Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $0.24 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.204-$0.270 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.24 • Critical support: $0.20

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Stellar While specific analyst predictions from major KOLs are limited for the current period, recent forecasting data provides insight into XLM's trajectory. According to CoinCodex analysis from January 12, 2026, "Over the next five days, Stellar will reach the highest price of $0.2415 on Jan 12, 2026, which would represent 3.19% growth compared to the current price."

MEXC News provided a broader Stellar forecast for January 2026, suggesting "Stellar (XLM) could trade between $0.204 and $0.270 in January 2026, with an average price of $0.214." This range aligns closely with current technical resistance and support levels visible in on-chain data.

XLM Technical Analysis Breakdown Stellar's current technical position reflects a consolidation phase with mixed signals. The RSI reading of 42.44 places XLM in neutral territory, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions. This neutral momentum indicator provides flexibility for price movement in either direction.

The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum has stalled, while the MACD line at -0.0012 remains slightly below the signal line at -0.0012. This convergence suggests potential for momentum shift if buying pressure increases.

Bollinger Bands analysis shows XLM trading at the 0.22 position between bands, with the upper band at $0.25 and lower band at $0.20. The current position near the middle band ($0.23) indicates balanced buying and selling pressure.

Moving averages present a mixed picture with shorter-term SMAs (7, 20, 50-period) all converging around $0.23, while the 200-day SMA at $0.32 remains significantly higher, indicating XLM trades below its longer-term trend.

Stellar Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario The immediate resistance at $0.23 represents the first hurdle for XLM bulls. A break above this level with sustained volume could target the strong resistance at $0.24, aligning with recent analyst projections of $0.2415. The Bollinger Band upper limit at $0.25 serves as the next major target.

For bullish confirmation, XLM needs to reclaim the $0.23 level with RSI moving above 50 and MACD histogram turning positive. The 24-hour high of $0.228 provides a reference point for intraday strength.

Bearish Scenario Downside risks focus on the immediate support at $0.20, which coincides with the 24-hour low and Bollinger Band lower boundary. A breakdown below this level could target the strong support at $0.19.

The bearish scenario gains credence if RSI drops below 40 and MACD histogram turns decidedly negative. Volume confirmation would be crucial for any significant downside move.

Should You Buy XLM? Entry Strategy Current technical conditions suggest a wait-and-see approach for new positions. Conservative buyers might consider entries near the $0.20 support level with stop-losses below $0.19. More aggressive traders could enter on a confirmed break above $0.23 targeting the $0.24 resistance.

The narrow trading range between $0.20-$0.23 offers defined risk parameters. Position sizing should reflect the moderate volatility indicated by the 14-day ATR of $0.01.

Risk management becomes crucial given the neutral momentum signals. A break below $0.20 could trigger further selling toward $0.19, while a move above $0.24 opens the path to higher targets.

Conclusion This XLM price prediction suggests Stellar remains in a consolidation phase with potential for a breakout in either direction. The technical setup favors a move toward $0.24 resistance if buying pressure emerges, supported by analyst forecasts targeting similar levels.

However, the neutral RSI and stalled MACD momentum require careful monitoring. The Stellar forecast for the coming week depends heavily on broader crypto market sentiment and volume confirmation at key technical levels.

Cryptocurrency price predictions carry significant risk. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

xlm price analysis xlm price prediction

Rebeca Moen Jan 19, 2026 07:07

NEAR Protocol trades at $1.56 with neutral RSI and analyst targets pointing to $2.10-$2.35 range. Technical breakout above $1.88 resistance could trigger significant rally.

NEAR Protocol (NEAR) is currently navigating a crucial technical juncture at $1.56, down 8.49% in the past 24 hours. Despite the recent pullback, technical indicators and analyst forecasts suggest potential upside momentum could emerge if key resistance levels are breached.

NEAR Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $1.72-$1.88
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.10-$2.35 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.88
• Critical support: $1.43

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About NEAR Protocol Recent analyst coverage has shown cautious optimism for NEAR Protocol's price trajectory. James Ding noted on January 15 that "NEAR Protocol shows neutral momentum at $1.77 with technical indicators suggesting potential upside to $2.10-$2.35 range over the next month, though bearish MACD signals caution," setting a target range of $2.10–$2.35.

Peter Zhang reinforced this outlook on January 16, stating that "NEAR Protocol trades at $1.74 with neutral RSI and analyst targets pointing to $2.10-$2.35 range. Technical breakout above $1.87 resistance could trigger 20%+ rally." Ted Hisokawa echoed similar sentiment on January 17, highlighting that "NEAR Protocol shows neutral momentum at $1.74 with technical indicators suggesting potential upside to $2.10-$2.35 range over the next month, though mixed signals warrant caution."

The consensus among these analysts points to a $2.10-$2.35 target range, representing potential upside of 35-50% from current levels.

NEAR Technical Analysis Breakdown Current technical indicators present a mixed but potentially constructive picture for NEAR Protocol. The RSI sits at 41.30, indicating neutral momentum with room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. This positioning suggests that selling pressure may be stabilizing.

The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled, while the MACD line (0.0056) remains marginally above the signal line, indicating potential for a bullish crossover if buying interest returns.

NEAR's position within the Bollinger Bands reveals important price dynamics. Trading near the lower band at $1.55 with a %B position of 0.048, NEAR has found initial support. The middle band at $1.70 represents the first resistance target, while the upper band at $1.86 aligns closely with the critical $1.88 resistance level identified by analysts.

Moving averages paint a nuanced picture. While NEAR trades below most short-term averages (SMA 7: $1.72, SMA 20: $1.70), it remains above the SMA 50 at $1.65, suggesting medium-term support remains intact. However, the price sits significantly below the SMA 200 at $2.30, indicating the longer-term trend requires substantial momentum to shift bullish.

NEAR Protocol Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario In the bullish case for this NEAR price prediction, a break above immediate resistance at $1.72 could trigger momentum toward the strong resistance at $1.88. A decisive breakthrough of $1.88 would open the path to analyst targets of $2.10-$2.35, representing gains of 35-50%.

Technical confirmation for this scenario would require RSI breaking above 50, MACD generating a positive histogram reading, and daily volume exceeding the current $46 million to validate the breakout. The Bollinger Band upper limit at $1.86 would need to be convincingly breached to confirm the bullish momentum.

Bearish Scenario The bearish scenario for NEAR Protocol forecast involves a breakdown below immediate support at $1.43. Such a move could expose the strong support level at $1.29, representing potential downside of 17-20% from current levels.

Risk factors include the current position below multiple moving averages, the significant gap to the SMA 200, and the need for substantial volume to overcome resistance levels. Additionally, broader cryptocurrency market sentiment could weigh on NEAR's recovery prospects.

Should You Buy NEAR? Entry Strategy For investors considering NEAR Protocol, a layered entry strategy appears prudent. Initial positions could be established around current levels near $1.56, with additional accumulation planned near the $1.43 support level if weakness continues.

A stop-loss below $1.29 would limit downside risk while allowing for normal volatility. For more aggressive traders, waiting for a confirmed breakout above $1.88 with increased volume could provide a higher-probability entry point targeting the $2.10-$2.35 range.

Risk management remains crucial given the current technical uncertainty. Position sizing should account for the potential 17-20% downside to strong support levels.

Conclusion This NEAR price prediction suggests cautious optimism for the coming weeks. While current technical indicators show mixed signals, analyst consensus around $2.10-$2.35 targets provides a compelling risk-reward framework. The critical test lies in NEAR's ability to reclaim the $1.72-$1.88 resistance zone.

With a neutral RSI and stabilizing momentum indicators, NEAR Protocol appears positioned for a potential recovery, though confirmation through volume and price action remains essential. Investors should monitor the $1.88 level closely, as a breakout could validate the bullish NEAR Protocol forecast targeting significant upside by February 2026.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

Image source: Shutterstock

near price analysis near price prediction

Precious metals Gold and silver are hitting new record highs almost every day. Gold jumped to $4,683, while silver touched $94 after 10% tariff threats from Donald Trump toward eight European countries starting on February 1.

While money flowed into safe-haven assets like gold and silver, another widely known safe-haven, Bitcoin, fell nearly 5%at the same time. 

So, what caused Bitcoin to drop?

Gold and Silver Hit New ATHSpot gold price climbed to a fresh all-time high of $4,683 per ounce before cooling slightly, still marking a massive 70% rise over the past year.

Silver outperformed even gold. It crossed $94 for the first time, touching $94.21 at its peak. Over the last year, silver has surged more than 190%, making it one of the strongest-performing assets in the market.

The rally followed Trump’s announcement of 10% tariffs on multiple European countries, including Germany, France, the UK, and Nordic nations. He also warned tariffs could rise to 25% by June if talks fail. This instantly brought back fears of a wider trade war.

European leaders reacted strongly, calling emergency meetings and taking steps that raised geopolitical concerns around Greenland. This combination pushed even more money into gold and silver, which many still trust during global uncertainty.

Why Bitcoin’s Price Drop? Following Trump’s announcement, Bitcoin dropped by $6000 in a day, hitting a low of $91,893 before stabilizing around $92,572.

While Gold & Silver saw a rise amid the geopolitical tension, Bitcoin did not benefit from this safety rush. This move shows that during sudden global shocks, Bitcoin is still treated as a risk asset by many investors.

Even the institutional investors pulled back. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of about $394.7 million, with only a $15 million in inflow coming from BlackRock. 

As prices fell, the crypto market saw heavy liquidations. In the past 24 hours, more than 240,000 traders were liquidated, with total losses touching $864 million. Nearly 90% of these losses came from long positions, showing how bullish traders were caught off guard.

Altcoins Follow Bitcoin’s WeaknessHowever, the impact of the tariff war was not limited to Bitcoin. The selling pressure spread across the wider crypto market. Ethereum slipped by around 3.5%, while XRP, Solana, and Cardano fell between 5% and 8%.

Until trade tensions calm down, investors may continue to prefer gold and silver, while cryptocurrencies remain under pressure.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

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A trader exploited thin weekend liquidity and automated market-making bots on Polymarket to lock in a $233,000 profit, sparking debate over whether the strategy crossed the line into market manipulation.

The Bitcoin price today experienced a sharp sell-off, dropping to $ 92,000 as global crypto markets declined by nearly 3%. The sudden drop shocked traders, but on-chain data and market structure suggest this move may be more of a leverage reset than the start of a full trend reversal.

Bitcoin’s drop was driven by rising global trade tensions. The European Union announced nearly $100 billion in retaliatory tariffs, which immediately pushed investors into risk-off mode. As a result, Bitcoin fell nearly 3%, while gold surged past $4,660, a clear sign that money was moving out of risky assets and into safe havens.

Markets were further shaken after former U.S. President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs targeting eight European countries. This added to uncertainty across global markets and increased selling pressure on crypto.

This triggered more than $850 million in crypto liquidations, mostly from bullish traders who were forced to exit their positions. The trade war worries and mass liquidations turned a normal pullback into a sharp Bitcoin sell-off.

The primary trigger came from traditional markets. U.S. stock futures opened lower amid rising U.S.–EU trade tensions, which immediately pressured risk assets. Crypto reacted instantly.

As Bitcoin slipped below key support near $93,000, a massive liquidation cascade followed.

According to CoinGlass, 241,209 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours, resulting in a market loss of $863.97 million. The largest single hit was a $25.83 million BTC-USDT position on Hyperliquid.

Within just one hour, more than $545 million in long positions were liquidated, turning a normal pullback into a violent flash crash.

Also Read: Why are Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Prices Crashing Today?

Exchanges and Whales Add to the PressureBlockchain data also shows heavy selling pressure from large players:

Insiders sold 22,918 BTC
Coinbase sold 2,417 BTC
Bybit sold 3,339 BTC
Binance sold 2,301 BTC
Wintermute sold 4,191 BTC
In total, over $4 billion worth of Bitcoin was sold within a short period, intensifying the panic and pushing the price through support zones without any meaningful bounce.

Technical Breakdown: Support Failed FastTechnically, Bitcoin failed to close the week above the important $94,000 support level, which weakened market confidence. Once the price slipped below $93,000, many traders’ stop-loss orders were triggered, causing selling to speed up. As a result, Bitcoin quickly dropped from around $95,467 to $92,284 in just a few hours a 3.3% fall.

This fall came with a sudden jump in trading activity, showing that many traders were rushing to exit their positions in panic, not calmly selling for profit. Bitcoin also did not bounce at expected support areas, proving that heavy forced selling was in control. Such fast, straight drops usually happen during mass liquidations, not normal market corrections.

On-Chain Data Signals Selling ExhaustionDespite the sharp fall, blockchain data suggests that most short-term sellers may already be done selling. For weeks, recent Bitcoin buyers were selling at a loss, showing fear in the market. During the crash, this selling pressure peaked, which usually happens when weak holders finally give up.

Now the data shows a change. Recent sellers are no longer rushing to exit, and selling pressure is easing. This shift often appears near short-term bottoms, not at major tops. As long as this trend continues, it suggests that price drops are being bought by stronger investors rather than pushed lower by panic selling.

Also Read : Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026, 2027 – 2030: How High Will BTC Price Go?

When Will Bitcoin (BTC) Price Go Back Up?Bitcoin bounce setup forming! 🚨$BTC just swept liquidity into a rising trendline that has held multiple times.

That yellow circle is the key area I’m watching.

Price rejected quickly and reclaimed above the intraday low, which is what you want to see if buyers are still in… pic.twitter.com/lbP1fCYKD6

— CryptoBusy (@CryptoBusy) January 19, 2026 Technically, signs of a short-term bounce are starting to appear. Bitcoin briefly dipped below an important rising support line but quickly moved back above its intraday low, showing that buyers stepped in to defend this area. This is usually a positive signal after a sharp drop.

The price structure still shows higher lows in the short term, meaning the broader uptrend has not been clearly broken yet. If Bitcoin continues to hold this support, a recovery toward the $94,500 to $96,000 zone is possible.

However, for stronger confidence, Bitcoin needs to move back above $95,000 and stay there. This would confirm that the crash was mainly caused by liquidations, not a true trend change. If support fails, the risk of a deeper fall increases.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

Sponsored and Advertisements:Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.

5 Bear Market Signals Are Flashing for Bitcoin This JanuaryBearish Kumo twist and cycle indicators suggest Bitcoin’s broader trend has turned negative.Analysts point to technical structures and historic drawdown patterns suggesting more pain.On-chain data shows rising exchange inflows as large holders prepare for possible selloffs.January has been volatile so far for Bitcoin (BTC), with the asset facing renewed headwinds amid escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and the EU following President Trump’s latest tariff announcements.

Over the past 24 hours, the largest cryptocurrency has fallen nearly 2.5% to $92,663. Meanwhile, analysts are pointing to key bear market signals emerging in 2026.

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1. Bearish Kumo Twist Appears on Bitcoin ChartIn a recent X (formerly Twitter) post, analyst Titan of Crypto pointed to a “Kumo twist,” appearing in Bitcoin’s weekly chart. For context, a Kumo twist is a formation that occurs when the two leading spans of the Ichimoku Cloud (Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B) cross, causing the future cloud to flip direction.

Depending on the direction of the crossover, it can signal a potential transition from bullish to bearish conditions or from bearish to bullish. In Bitcoin’s case, the current twist is bearish.

Bitcoin’s Weekly Ichimoku Cloud. Source: X/Titan of CryptoLooking at previous market cycles, Titan of Crypto noted that similar weekly Kumo shifts preceded notable corrective phases, during which Bitcoin eventually recorded drawdowns of around 67% to 70%.

“Historically, when the weekly Kumo turned bearish, BTC entered a bear market phase. That doesn’t imply an immediate drop. It simply means the overall market structure and trend dynamics have shifted. This is context, not a prediction. Based on the last three cycles,” the post read.

2. Bitcoin Struggles Below Key BarriersIn addition, Bitcoin currently trades below its 365-day moving average, which sits near $101,000. This barrier was key during the 2022 bear market, when it halted recovery rallies.

Bitcoin Price Rejection at 365-day MA. Source: X/Coin BureauSponsored

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Analysis from Coin Bureau explains that, at present, Bitcoin’s position below this MA signals that the market is still in bearish conditions.

Further technical analysis using the Gaussian Channel on a five-day chart supports these worries. Crypto analyst Raven observed that Bitcoin has lost the channel’s median level.

The post added that losing and failing to retest this level successfully have historically marked the start of a more aggressive phase of bear markets.

“I believe we’re definitely heading toward the $103k zone for a retest, or possibly slightly higher for a liquidity hunt. If we manage to establish and hold support above the median, I’ll let you know. Until then, everything should be considered just a dead cat bounce,” the analyst added.

Bitcoin’s Failed Retest of the Gaussian Channel Median. Source: X/Crypto RavenSponsored

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3. Historical Drawdown Patterns Suggest More DeclinesBitcoin’s price history shows a recurring pattern of sharp declines following cycle peaks. After topping in 2013, Bitcoin fell by about 75.9%, followed by an 81.2% drawdown after the 2017 high and roughly a 74% decline after the 2021 peak.

In the current cycle, however, the pullback has been far more modest, with losses just above 30%, a comparatively small correction by historical standards. This suggests the downturn may be in its early stages, with further drops still possible as the cycle progresses.

Bitcoin’s Historical Price Drop Patterns. Source: CryptoQuant4. Market Cycle Indicator Signals Bitcoin Bear Phase Still DevelopingWhile historical drawdowns focus on price behavior after market tops, broader cycle indicators help assess what the current conditions align with.

The Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator, which tracks broader market phases, shows bearish conditions began in October 2025. However, it has not yet moved into an extreme bear phase.

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“By this metric, BTC is in bear market territory, and in every past cycle we’ve extended into the dark-blue zone, which suggests lower levels are still likely. But yeah, be my guest, call for higher! Someone needs to be exit liquidity in the end,” an analyst remarked.

Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator. Source: CryptoQuant5. Exchange Inflows Reveal Distribution by Major HoldersLastly, on-chain data shows a rise in Bitcoin inflows to exchanges. These inflows are dominated by mid- to large-sized holders, particularly in the 10–100 BTC and 100–1,000 BTC bands.

Increased Bitcoin transfers to exchanges tend to signal growing distribution activity rather than long-term accumulation, as market participants move assets in preparation for potential selling.

“Their activity tends to be more informationally significant than fragmented retail flows, as it reflects strategic decisions rather than noise. From a macro on-chain perspective, the combination of elevated exchange inflows and distribution from larger cohorts suggests that the market is entering a more fragile phase,” an analyst highlighted.

Overall, Bitcoin is showing multiple bear market signals across technical, historical, and on-chain indicators. Still, whether it ultimately follows historical downside patterns or surprises the market with renewed strength remains uncertain.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

The crypto markets seem to have been engulfed by the bearish forces as the ETH Price slid dropped below $3300. Despite this, the Ethereum price is showing fresh signs of tightening supply as staking-related metrics heat up again. On-chain dashboards tracking Beacon Chain flows and validator activity indicate a renewed appetite for locking ETH into network security, even as the price consolidates near a critical support band.

Data shows Ethereum’s Proof-of-Stake ecosystem is entering 2026 with elevated deposits, a climbing validator entry queue, and a sharp rise in new addresses. This combination can support the “reduced liquid float” narrative. Regardless of these bullish factors, the ETH price continues to accumulate below the threshold. This raises questions about when the token will trigger a breakout beyond the consolidated phase. 

Ethereum  Stakings SkyRocketsEthereum has been displaying a stable upswing since the beginning. Besides, the ETH staking that began before the Merger has reached a peak. A huge section of the circulating supply is staked, which is a massive bullish signal for the crypto.

Staked ETH has risen to a record ~36 million ETH, which is roughly ~30% of the circulating supply. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s deposit contract balance has been reported at roughly 77.85M ETH, representing about 46.6% of the total supply in some trackers. In other words, staking is at an all-time high, but “half locked” is better described as a high concentration of ETH held in the PoS deposit contract.

A 30% staked circulating supply suggests strong long-term belief, reduced immediate sell pressure, and favourable conditions for upside, but price action and demand catalysts ultimately determine whether that bullish structure turns into a breakout. On the other hand, a large number of validators want to stake ETH as the validators’ waiting queue to start staking has risen sharply to 2.5 million, the highest in history.

On the contrary, the exit queue or the validators who want to withdraw have reached almost zero, signalling low sell pressure from them.

New Ethereum Addresses Surge Into January: Activity Is Picking UpAfter a long flat trend, the Ethereum network activity has risen strongly. Ethereum’s 7-day moving average of new addresses has climbed sharply into January 2026, pushing to the highest levels on the chart. 

 Currently, the ETH addresses are hovering between 110K and 160K per day, reflecting a steady baseline adoption even in times of consolidation. In late December and earlier this month, the metric broke out aggressively towards 400K addresses. It can be considered as an early bull market signal, as historically sharp increases in active addresses lead to a confirmed breakout. 

When Will the ETH Price Break the Barrier at $3500?After the latest pullback, the Ethereum price is trading within a strong resistance and support zone. Both the bulls and bears appear to have been extremely active, which has kept the trade between $3,150 and $3,300. The current chart dynamics suggest the consolidation is expected to continue, as the rally is yet to reach the apex of a decisive pattern. 

The price is trading within the demand and support zone, which appears to be pretty strong. The RSI is also rising within the parallel channel and is testing the lower support of the channel. Therefore, the level is expected to flip, which may prevent the price from plunging below the $3,050 range. However, with this, the RSI is expected to enter the overbought zone, flashing some bearish signals for the crypto. Therefore, unless the price continues to accumulate strength between $3,280 and $3,220, the bullish momentum may prevail. 

The volatility across the platform is dropping, which is compressing the price action. Excess compression could eventually lead to a larger breakout and push the Ethereum (ETH) price towards $3500 by the end of the month. 

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

Sponsored and Advertisements:Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.

BTCC reported more than $5.72 billion in tokenized gold trading volume for 2025, marking a landmark year for precious metals on the blockchain. Gold-Backed Tokens Outperform Volatile Cryptocurrencies Cryptocurrency exchange, BTCC, announced a landmark year for precious metals on the blockchain, reporting more than $5.72 billion in tokenized gold trading volume for 2025.

Hyperliquid is consolidating its lead in on-chain derivatives, even as falling volumes elsewhere highlight the limits of incentive-driven growth.

Amin Ayan

Crypto Journalist

Amin Ayan

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Amin Ayan is a crypto journalist with over four years of experience in the industry. He has contributed to leading publications such as Cryptonews, Investing.com, 99Bitcoins, and 24/7 Wall St. He has...

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Ethereum is handling more transactions than at any point in its history while charging users some of the lowest fees seen in years.

Key Takeaways:

Ethereum is processing record transaction volumes while gas fees have fallen to the lowest levels. Recent protocol upgrades and rising layer-2 usage have expanded capacity and eased pressure on mainnet fees. Stablecoin activity and growing staking participation signal renewed confidence in Ethereum. Data shows the seven-day moving average of transactions on Ethereum approaching 2.5 million, nearly double the level recorded a year ago.

Activity has climbed steadily since mid-December, reversing a gradual slowdown that had persisted through much of the second half of 2025.

Ethereum Gas Fees Fall to Lowest Levels in the Network’s Modern HistoryAt the same time, transaction costs have dropped sharply. Average gas fees are hovering around $0.15, marking the lowest level in Ethereum’s modern history.

Estimates from Etherscan suggest some common actions, such as token swaps, have recently cost as little as $0.04.

The pairing of record throughput and minimal fees stands in contrast to earlier cycles, when congestion routinely pushed costs beyond the reach of smaller users.

The change follows a series of technical upgrades. Ethereum’s Fusaka hard fork, activated seven weeks ago, introduced Peer Data Availability Sampling and formalized a twice-yearly upgrade cadence.

A subsequent update in January adjusted blob parameters, increasing capacity and lowering data costs for layer-2 rollups. Together, these changes have improved efficiency across the ecosystem.

Fee pressure has also eased due to shifts in how Ethereum is used. The block gas limit was raised from 45 million to 60 million in late November, expanding execution capacity.

ETH has 10x more TVL and 14x more stablecoin supply than Solana.

SOL has 3x more active addresses and 110x more daily transactions than Ethereum.

ETH is the home of DeFi and the global settlement layer for secure, high-value activity. The institutional chain.

SOL is the home… pic.twitter.com/cHC1KWhb2s

— Simon Dedic (@sjdedic) January 18, 2026 Meanwhile, a growing share of activity has migrated to layer-2 networks, reducing demand for mainnet blockspace even as total transaction counts rise.

Stablecoins are a major driver of the surge. Analysts at Standard Chartered recently estimated that stablecoin transfers now make up roughly 35% to 40% of all Ethereum transactions.

Geoffrey Kendrick, the bank’s global head of digital asset research, has described 2026 as a pivotal year for Ethereum, pointing to its role as the primary settlement layer for onchain dollars.

Staking trends reinforce the picture of renewed confidence. More than 36 million ETH is currently locked in staking contracts, accounting for about 30% of the circulating supply, according to ValidatorQueue data.

The entry queue has climbed to levels not seen since mid-2023, while exit demand has nearly vanished.

Buterin Says Ethereum Is Entering a New Phase Focused on User AutonomyEthereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has framed the moment as more than a technical milestone.

In a recent post, he said the community is entering a phase focused on restoring personal autonomy and improving user experience, arguing that earlier compromises made in pursuit of adoption no longer need to define the network’s future.

“2026 is the year that we take back lost ground in terms of self-sovereignty and trustlessness,” Buterin said in an X post.

Together, record activity, falling fees, and rising participation suggest Ethereum is entering a new phase, one where scale no longer comes at the expense of accessibility.

Published: Jan 19, 2026 at 07:26

Since January 2, Dogecoin's price has consistently remained above the moving average lines.

DOGE price long-term prediction: bullish

The cryptocurrency has been trading above the 50-day SMA support but below the $0.16 resistance. After being rejected at the $0.16 barrier, DOGE has held above the moving average lines. Currently, the price is approaching the $0.16 resistance level. If DOGE breaks through this barrier, it will rise to a high of $0.18.

However, if the bears push the price below the moving average lines, DOGE could fall to a low of $0.12. DOGE is at $0.138.

Technical indicators Resistance Levels $0.45 and $0.50

Support Levels – $0.30 and $0.25

Dogecoin price indicators reading The price bars have remained above the moving average lines after being rejected twice at the recent high. The moving average lines are moving horizontally as the 21-day SMA crosses above the 50-day SMA. On the 4-hour chart, the price bars are below the horizontal moving average lines.

What is the next direction for Dogecoin? DOGE is trading sideways, holding above the $0.135 support. The altcoin is currently trading above the $0.135 support but below the $0.155 resistance. Price movement has been limited by the formation of Doji candlesticks, keeping the price range-bound above the $0.135 support.

Disclaimer. This analysis and forecast are the personal opinions of the author. The data provided is collected by the author and is not sponsored by any company or token developer. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell cryptocurrency and should not be viewed as an endorsement by Coinidol.com. Readers should do their research before investing in funds.

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Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson took aim at Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse in a January 18, 2026 video, criticizing what he framed as an industry push to accept the US Clarity Act on terms that would expand the Securities and Exchange Commission’s authority over new projects.

Speaking on Jan 18, Hoskinson used a wide-ranging monologue on market fatigue, industry morale, and the mission behind Cardano and Midnight to zero in on a regulatory flashpoint: a bill he described as swollen by “137 amendments” and tilted toward the SEC. In his telling, the proposal would force crypto projects to “go beg and plead” for relief, with “all new projects” treated as securities by default.

Hoskinson argued that the outcome would be a strategic own-goal, worse, in his view, than the policy uncertainty the industry has been trying to escape. “How is that any better than what Scary Gary [Gensler] gave us under Biden?” he said, referring to the SEC’s enforcement action against the crypto industry under former US President Joe Biden, before extending the critique to lobbying and political dealmaking more broadly.

Hoskinson’s sharpest remarks came when he cited unnamed industry figures he suggested are urging compromise, then called out Garlinghouse directly. “Still got people like Brad [Garlinghouse] saying well it’s not perfect but we just got to get something,” he said. “You know, it’s better than no clarity. Hand it to the same people who sued us. Hand it to the same people who put us out of business, who subpoenaed us, who put us in jail. That’s better. That’s what we fought for.”

He then framed the decision as effectively irreversible once legislated, invoking the long life of US securities law to argue that a flawed framework would calcify. “And tell me, how do we change it? Like we changed the Securities Exchange Act of 1933,” Hoskinson said. “93 years later, have we been able to change it? No. You pass it, you own it forever. Sorry, Brad. It’s not better than chaos. Take the chaos and fight for what’s right. Fight for integrity.”

How about focusing on helping shape the Clarity Bill instead of crashing out on Brad for no reason, Charles? pic.twitter.com/3jDHUiEbNp

— Vet (@Vet_X0) January 18, 2026

While the Garlinghouse jab was the most explicit, Hoskinson placed it inside a larger narrative: that crypto’s purpose is being reduced to a lobbying-driven contest for acceptable market access rather than an attempt to redesign how value and identity are handled online.

He argued that the industry is at risk of normalizing a world of “custodial wallet” defaults, pervasive KYC, and reversible transactions, outcomes he associated with legacy power structures rather than the original “revolution” ethos.

“I didn’t sign up to hand the revolution to 15 banks,” he said, describing a future where transactions can be “frozen at a whim.” Hoskinson linked those concerns to a broader critique of technological surveillance and what he called the loss of individual “agency,” suggesting the industry’s incentive structure is pulling leaders toward comfort and access rather than confrontation.

The remarks landed amid a separate thread in his talk: a rebuke of what he called “toxic learned hopelessness” in crypto discourse. Hoskinson said he had stopped using X/Twitter, still broadcasting, but not reading or engaging—arguing that constant outrage and demands for instant announcements distort how long negotiations and product development actually work.

At press time, XRP traded at $1.95.

XRP falls into the red support zone again, 1-week chart | Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - January 19, 2026) - Levi & Korsinsky notifies investors that it has commenced an investigation into Aquestive Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: AQST) ("Aquestive Therapeutics, Inc.") concerning potential violations of the federal securities laws.

What Happened?

On January 9, 2026, Aquestive announced it received a letter from the FDA, identifying deficiencies in its NDA application that preclude labeling discussions and post-market commitments for Anaphylm, for the emergency treatment of anaphylaxis.

Why it Matters:

Today, in direct response to this news, Aquestive's stock price fell by $2.18 (35.1%) per share to open at $4.03.

If you suffered a loss on your Aquestive Therapeutics, Inc. securities and would like to explore a potential recovery under the federal securities laws, Learn More About the Investigation or contact Joseph E. Levi, Esq. via email at [email protected] or call (212)363-7500 to speak to our team of experienced shareholder advocates.

WHY LEVI & KORSINSKY: Over the past 20 years, Levi & Korsinsky LLP has established itself as a nationally-recognized securities litigation firm that has secured hundreds of millions of dollars for aggrieved shareholders and built a track record of winning high-stakes cases. The firm has extensive expertise representing investors in complex securities litigation and a team of over 70 employees to serve our clients. For seven years in a row, Levi & Korsinsky has ranked in ISS Securities Class Action Services' Top 50 Report as one of the top securities litigation firms in the United States. Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee similar outcomes.

CONTACT:
Levi & Korsinsky, LLP
Joseph E. Levi, Esq.
Ed Korsinsky, Esq.
33 Whitehall Street, 27th Floor
New York, NY 10004
[email protected]
Tel: (212)363-7500
Fax: (212)363-7171

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/280791

Source: Levi & Korsinsky, LLP

New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - January 19, 2026) - Levi & Korsinsky notifies investors that it has commenced an investigation into Rezolute, Inc. (NASDAQ: RZLT) ("Rezolute, Inc.") concerning potential violations of the federal securities laws.

On December 11, 2025, before the market opened, Rezolute announced topline results from its Phase 3 sunRIZE study evaluating ersodetug in patients with congenital hyperinsulinism.

The company reported that the study did not meet its primary endpoint, as it "was not statistically significant to the placebo group, which experienced a 40% improvement.". Further, the study did not meet its key secondary endpoint which was also "not statistically significant to the placebo."

Management expressed disappointment noting "we are conducting a thorough evaluation to gain a better understanding of the study outcomes."

Following this news, RZLT's stock price fell over 89% to open at $1.21 per share.

If you suffered a loss on your Rezolute, Inc. securities and would like to explore a potential recovery under the federal securities laws, Learn More About the Investigation or contact Joseph E. Levi, Esq. via email at [email protected] or call (212)363-7500 to speak to our team of experienced shareholder advocates.

WHY LEVI & KORSINSKY: Over the past 20 years, Levi & Korsinsky LLP has established itself as a nationally-recognized securities litigation firm that has secured hundreds of millions of dollars for aggrieved shareholders and built a track record of winning high-stakes cases. The firm has extensive expertise representing investors in complex securities litigation and a team of over 70 employees to serve our clients. For seven years in a row, Levi & Korsinsky has ranked in ISS Securities Class Action Services' Top 50 Report as one of the top securities litigation firms in the United States. Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee similar outcomes.

CONTACT:
Levi & Korsinsky, LLP
Joseph E. Levi, Esq.
Ed Korsinsky, Esq.
33 Whitehall Street, 27th Floor
New York, NY 10004
[email protected]
Tel: (212)363-7500
Fax: (212)363-7171

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/280792

Source: Levi & Korsinsky, LLP

January 19, 2026 01:00 ET  | Source: Wisekey International Holding Ltd.

WISeKey and Partners Present the Human-AI-T Manifesto at Davos 2026 during the WISeKey Event

Ensuring Human Control, Trust, and Values in the Age of AGI and Quantum Computing

For more information visit: https://www.wisekey.com/embedding-human-values-into-ai/

Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2026 – WISeKey International Holding Ltd (“WISeKey”) (SIX: WIHN, NASDAQ: WKEY), a leading global cybersecurity, blockchain, and IoT company, today announces that in collaborations with its partners, gathered at the WISeKey Davos Event, will formally present the Human-AI-T (Human – Artificial Intelligence – Trust) Manifesto, a global framework designed to safeguard human sovereignty, trust, and ethical governance in the next era of intelligent systems. The WISeKey Davos 2026 event will be held on January 21, 2026, set against the backdrop of accelerating advances in Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and Quantum Computing.

The Human-AI-T framework exists to ensure that technological intelligence evolves within a moral, legal, and cultural envelope defined by humanity itself. This manifesto asserts that human dignity, agency, and responsibility are non-negotiable invariants, regardless of technological progress.

As AI systems approach levels of autonomy and reasoning unprecedented in human history, and quantum technologies redefine computational power, the need for clear human-centric governance has become urgent and unavoidable.

The Human-AI-T Manifesto responds to this moment with a clear message: technology must remain subordinate to human values, human judgment, and human responsibility.

A Framework for the AGI and Quantum Era

The Manifesto establishes foundational principles to ensure that:

Humans remain in control of AI systems, with meaningful oversight and decision authorityAI supports human decision-making rather than replacing it, particularly in high-impact domains affecting life, rights, and securityHuman values are deliberately injected into AI algorithms, rather than assumed to emerge from data alonePrevention of harm is embedded by design, addressing risks to health, security, human rights, and environmental wellbeingFairness and non-discrimination are enforced, ensuring AI treats all people equally and inclusivelyTransparency, explainability, auditability, and traceability are mandatory requirements for trustworthy AIPrivacy, civil rights, and data sovereignty are protected as fundamental human rights The Manifesto further calls for robust oversight, impact assessment, audit, and due diligence mechanisms to ensure AI systems do not conflict with human rights norms, democratic values, or planetary sustainability.

Trust as the Cornerstone of Digital Society

As stated in the Manifesto, the ethical deployment of AI systems depends on transparency and explainability. Trustworthy AI must be auditable, traceable, rigorously tested, and secure, especially as AGI and Quantum technologies dramatically increase scale, speed, and impact.

Human-AI-T positions trust not as an afterthought, but as a design requirement—essential to social acceptance, economic resilience, and geopolitical stability.

A Call to Global Responsibility

By presenting the Human-AI-T Manifesto in Davos, WISeKey and its partners call upon governments and international institutions, industry leaders and technology developers and academia, civil society, and standards bodies to adopt Human-AI-T as a shared global reference framework for governing AGI and Quantum technologies.

The Human-AI-T Manifesto marks a decisive step toward ensuring that the future of intelligence remains human-led, trustworthy, and aligned with the values that define civilization itself.

Key messages:

Intelligence without ethics is not progress.Power without accountability is not innovation.Humanity must remain the measure of technology. To join and sign the Manifest go to: https://www.wisekey.com/embedding-human-values-into-ai/

To join the WhatsApp discussion group go to: https://chat.whatsapp.com/FdHZ1xXRiFgGJTUn5qzgJg

About WISeKey

WISeKey International Holding Ltd (“WISeKey”, SIX: WIHN; Nasdaq: WKEY) is a global leader in cybersecurity, digital identity, and IoT solutions platform. It operates as a Swiss-based holding company through several operational subsidiaries, each dedicated to specific aspects of its technology portfolio. The subsidiaries include (i) SEALSQ Corp (Nasdaq: LAES), which focuses on semiconductors, PKI, and post-quantum technology products, (ii) WISeKey SA which specializes in RoT and PKI solutions for secure authentication and identification in IoT, Blockchain, and AI, (iii) WISeSat AG which focuses on space technology for secure satellite communication, specifically for IoT applications, (iv) WISe.ART Corp which focuses on trusted blockchain NFTs and operates the WISe.ART marketplace for secure NFT transactions, and (v) SEALCOIN AG which focuses on decentralized physical internet with DePIN technology and house the development of the SEALCOIN platform.

Each subsidiary contributes to WISeKey’s mission of securing the internet while focusing on their respective areas of research and expertise. Their technologies seamlessly integrate into the comprehensive WISeKey platform. WISeKey secures digital identity ecosystems for individuals and objects using Blockchain, AI, and IoT technologies. With over 1.6 billion microchips deployed across various IoT sectors, WISeKey plays a vital role in securing the Internet of Everything. The company’s semiconductors generate valuable Big Data that, when analyzed with AI, enable predictive equipment failure prevention. Trusted by the OISTE/WISeKey cryptographic Root of Trust, WISeKey provides secure authentication and identification for IoT, Blockchain, and AI applications. The WISeKey Root of Trust ensures the integrity of online transactions between objects and people. For more information on WISeKey’s strategic direction and its subsidiary companies, please visit www.wisekey.com.

Disclaimer
This communication expressly or implicitly contains certain forward-looking statements concerning WISeKey International Holding Ltd and its business. Such statements involve certain known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause the actual results, financial condition, performance or achievements of WISeKey International Holding Ltd to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. WISeKey International Holding Ltd is providing this communication as of this date and does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements contained herein as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

This press release does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities, and it does not constitute an offering prospectus within the meaning of the Swiss Financial Services Act (“FinSA”), the FinSa's predecessor legislation or advertising within the meaning of the FinSA. Investors must rely on their own evaluation of WISeKey and its securities, including the merits and risks involved. Nothing contained herein is, or shall be relied on as, a promise or representation as to the future performance of WISeKey.

Press and Investor Contacts

WISeKey International Holding Ltd
Company Contact: Carlos Moreira
Chairman & CEO
Tel: +41 22 594 3000
[email protected] WISeKey Investor Relations (US) 
The Equity Group Inc.
Lena Cati
Tel: +1 212 836-9611
[email protected]