Market Signal Briefing

Dogecoin drops 14% in a week amid whale selling and weak momentum, but analysts spot a wedge pattern that previously led to a breakout.

Dogecoin has come under pressure, falling more than 6% in the past 24 hours and over 14% in the last week.

As of press time, it is trading near $0.174. The drop is part of a broader market pullback.

Technical Setup Shows Familiar Pattern
Trader Tardigrade, a crypto chart analyst, has pointed out a recurring formation on Dogecoin’s daily chart. The pattern is known as a descending contracting wedge. It is taking shape with three clear touches on the lower support line and two touches on the upper resistance line. This same setup appeared on the chart in August and led to a sharp move upward after the breakout.

Source: Trader Tardigrade/X
The current wedge, formed between October and early November, closely matches the earlier pattern. A breakout from the resistance line has already occurred, marked by a green circle on the chart shared by Tardigrade. If the past price movement repeats, Dogecoin could see a short-term rise toward the $0.26 to $0.28 range. The structure alone, however, does not confirm direction. It will depend on volume and trader participation.

In addition to the daily chart, Tardigrade also shared a broader monthly view. Dogecoin appears to be forming a long-term rounding bottom pattern. Based on the chart’s depth, this setup could project a move toward $4.14. This structure reflects price behavior over a much more extended period and does not suggest any immediate shift.

Moreover, another key formation can be seen on the 3-day chart, where Dogecoin is trading inside a wide ascending channel. The asset is now near the bottom of that channel, which has previously acted as support.

$Doge/3-day#Dogecoin has been moving within a large Ascending Channel.

It’s currently positioned at the bottom of the channel 👀 pic.twitter.com/lkSB3ChbLd

— Trader Tardigrade (@TATrader_Alan) November 3, 2025

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Indicators Reflect Weak Momentum
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is now at 35. While not yet oversold, it is approaching levels that may cause short-term price stabilization or a bounce.

Meanwhile, Bollinger Bands show the price moving below the lower band, suggesting increased downside volatility or selling exhaustion. The 20-day moving average currently stands at $0.19185, which Dogecoin is trading well below.

Source: TradingView

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez stated that $0.18 is a key support level. He referred to it as a “strong buy-the-dip zone” if the price holds. Since the asset is now under this level, its strength will be tested.

Whale Activity and Futures Market Show Cooling Interest
Wallets holding 10–100 million DOGE sold 440 million tokens over three days last week. This large-scale selling added to the recent price pressure and may have led smaller investors to follow.

Open interest in Dogecoin futures currently stands at $1.67 billion. This is far below its previous peak of over $6 billion. Lower open interest often reflects reduced trading activity and less leverage in the market. With both price and open interest moving lower, there is little sign of strong directional momentum for now.

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An exchange on X has pushed a pointed question to the foreground: are veteran Bitcoin whales distributing into strength as part of a rational, late-cycle rotation, or is the bid under Bitcoin’s core thesis quietly eroding?

Former Bitwise exec Jeff Park set the frame with a reminder that OG wallets carry outsized informational weight: “OGs are a special group of investors. They saw something nobody saw before and took early chance, in size.” If that cohort is actively trimming, he argued, the motivations are unlikely to be banal. The risks they’re reacting to “must be: non-consensus, improbable, and existential.” Park also urged readers to consider Jordi Visser’s “Bitcoin’s Silent IPO,” a lens that treats this phase as a quiet redistribution of ownership rather than a simple blow-off.

This is such a great read-

In addition, if OG sellers are maximally profit-taking, the question is: why specifically now beyond current gains and enhanced liquidity, but also future expectations?

OGs are a special group of investors. They saw something nobody saw before and… https://t.co/PRbxYDrL5v

— Jeff Park (@dgt10011) November 2, 2025

OG Sales, Bitcoin ETF Rotation, And The Battle For Identity
Bloomberg’s senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas largely accepted the premise that early holders are the ones selling—“Agree OGs are the ones selling (vs ETF paper btc conspiracy theories) and agree they saw something no one else did… and deserve the rewards”—but he pressed on the post-sale belief that ultimately matters. “The q is do those OGs (after taking profits) still think btc is a store of value and debasement hedge? If so, no problem. If not, then they basically saying it was a ponzi the whole time, which is a problem.”

He later reached for a cultural analogy to describe mainstreaming’s side effects: “It kinda reminds me of when bands in the 90s would sign with a major label and become huge mainstream hits… Yes is the exact same music but it’s somehow different too. Some early fans… turned off.”

Short-term psychology featured as well. As j (@pk9009) put it, round-number gravity and cycle fatigue can be enough to catalyze supply: “I think some of it is it’s over 100k and fear of another long cycle and waiting for more gains again. So take some off the table… Early wallets moving doesn’t inspire confidence in others either. Domino affect can be caused by just one wallet moving.” Balchunas agreed it’s “def something to watch” and openly solicited views from allocators closest to large-holder behavior.

Park then shared three working theses for why trimming now could be rational even without a thesis break. First, opportunity cost toward other “generational ROIs”—“AI in terms of capital or predictions markets in terms of labor,” with “quantum risk” folded into that calculus as “same coin, different sides.”

Second, a payment-layer disappointment and institutional friction: “The big promise post the Blocksize war was Lightning. It hasn’t worked,” coupled with “the rise of privacy concerns (especially for offshore OGs)… as Bitcoin becomes more ‘institutionalized.’”

Third—and “most important”—a demand reflexivity risk across generations: “The whole Bitcoin thesis breaks if the young don’t buy… Because the old will always buy if they know the young will buy now or later, but the young will not buy if ONLY the old buy.” Park’s political shorthand was deliberately provocative: “There is a reason the socialist candidates are not embracing Bitcoin… They have come to the conclusion it hurts them… Bitcoin and Mamdani has to be the same platform for Bitcoin to win, not Bitcoin and Ackman.”

These are my three working drafts-

The first as mentioned is the opportunity cost to invest in other generational ROIs like AI in terms of capital or predictions markets in terms of labor, where I also bucket the “quantum risk” in that category to make the trade off more…

— Jeff Park (@dgt10011) November 2, 2025

From the allocator seat, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley emphasized that what looks like distribution can be structured derisking rather than belief abandonment. “We have many clients with immense amounts of Bitcoin. Imo— it’s not that they no longer believe in BTC. It’s more timing and peace of mind.”

For ultra-early holders who are “100–1000x more” wealthy than when they entered, the aim is to reduce the emotional and portfolio whiplash while keeping core exposure: “They expect it will go higher but can also have periods of volatility… They plan to keep holding much / most.”

Tactically, Horsley sees investors “swap spot BTC for ETF for peace of mind around security and to borrow from private bank (vs sell) to tap into the wealth / liquidity,” “work with someone like Bitwise to write call options that generate income,” and “liquidate a portion over time.” His summary was unambiguous: “everyone is the most bullish they’ve been. I think the rotation is mostly some people psychologically derisking.”

We have many clients with immense amounts of Bitcoin.

Imo- it’s not that they no longer believe in BTC. It’s more timing and peace of mind:

They’ve got 100-1000x more wealth. They want to make sure it stays that way. They expect it will go higher but can also have periods of…

— Hunter Horsley (@HHorsley) November 2, 2025

Balchunas welcomed that nuance—“Good to hear… but it’s definitely something to keep an eye on… you need your base for long haul”—and Horsley added, “Well said. Yea the OGs I know are very convicted.” In other words, even if some supply is hitting the market, a meaningful subset of whales appears to be re-platforming exposure onto institutional rails rather than exiting outright.

That leaves a clean decision tree. If the whales taking profits still “think btc is a store of value and debasement hedge,” the market can digest supply as a healthy rotation into broader ownership. If, however, OG distribution coincides with Park’s cultural warning—where younger cohorts disengage and the payment-layer narrative atrophies—then what looks like cap-table maturation could mutate into a sponsorship problem.

Agree. Def something to watch. The q is do those OGs (after taking profits) still think btc is a store of value and debasement hedge? If so, no problem. If not, then they basically saying it was a ponzi the whole time, which is a problem.

— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) November 2, 2025

For now, the debate sits where Balchunas placed it: keep watching whether the profit-takers stay believers, and whether new buyers step in for reasons that go beyond “number go up.”

At press time, Bitcoin traded at $107,542.

Bitcoin channel loss confirmed, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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Solana (SOL) has slipped below the critical $180 mark even as institutional inflows into newly launched Solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs) reached nearly $199 million in just one week.

The Solana price is hovering around $175, marking a 6.4% daily decline and extending a week-long correction that has erased almost 12% of its value. Despite ETFs managed by Bitwise, Grayscale, and 21Shares pushing total assets past $500 million, the influx of institutional capital has yet to stabilize prices.

Analysts attribute the weakness to a broader risk-off sentiment across global markets. Although President Trump recently announced a lower tariff imposition, crypto investors remain skeptical, fearing another policy reversal that could trigger a sharp market downturn.

SOL's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview
Strong Fundamentals Overshadowed by Macroeconomic Fears
While the macro instabilities weigh heavily on the Solana price action, SOL’s underlying fundamentals remain strong.

The blockchain recently reported annualized revenue of $2.85 billion, growing nearly 30 times faster than Ethereum’s early-stage performance. The network continues to attract developers and corporate partners, including Western Union, which is building a stablecoin on Solana to power global remittances.

However, short-term traders remain cautious. Technical indicators reveal that the Solana price is consolidating below major moving averages, with key support around $172 and resistance between $188 and $192.

The RSI sits near 41, signaling that the asset is approaching oversold levels, while the MACD divergence suggests waning selling pressure. Still, a sustained rebound remains uncertain without a broader recovery in risk appetite.

Bulls Eye $200 in Solana Price as Macro Clouds Clear
For now, Solana’s near-term outlook remains bearish-to-neutral. A decisive break below the $172 support could open the door to deeper declines toward $157 or even $142, zones that previously attracted strong buying during October’s correction.

Conversely, defending the 200-day moving average at $179.78 and reclaiming $189–$200 could restore short-term bullish momentum.

Despite near-term volatility, analysts like Lark Davis maintain that Solana is “winning” against Ethereum in speed, scalability, and user growth. Long-term investors remain confident that institutional inflows, coupled with Solana’s expanding ecosystem, will eventually reflect in the Solana price action once global markets stabilize.

Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview

Summary

Ethereum price trades near $3,604, up 1.2% on the day amid renewed network activity.
Stablecoin transfer volume on Ethereum just hit a record $2.82 trillion, signaling resurgent on-chain demand.
Can this spike in utility fuel ETH’s next leg higher toward $4,000–$4,200?

Ethereum (ETH) is holding firm around $3,604 as on-chain data shows the network processing a record $2.82 trillion in stablecoin volume this month. The surge underscores Ethereum’s dominant position as the settlement layer of choice for digital dollars, and could be a leading indicator of stronger demand for ETH itself.

The milestone comes amid a broader pickup in decentralized finance (DeFi) activity, with total value locked (TVL) on Ethereum up nearly 8% week-on-week. Following the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut, liquidity has been rotating back into risk assets, and ETH appears to be a key beneficiary.

Ethereum price landscape on November 3rd
Ethereum’s price is fluctuating between $3,540 and $3,670, holding comfortably above its 100-day simple moving average. Market capitalization stands around $433 billion, while daily trading volume hovers near $15 billion.

Stablecoins, particularly USDT and USDC, continue to drive network utility, accounting for the bulk of Ethereum transaction throughput. Analysts view the surge as a reflection of growing demand for trust-minimized settlement and a sign of expanding global stablecoin adoption.

DeFi lending, tokenized real-world assets, and increased Layer-2 settlement volumes are also feeding into Ethereum’s fee markets, reinforcing ETH’s value capture narrative as “digital oil.”

Ethereum price could attempt a breakout
If on-chain activity and stablecoin flows remain elevated, ETH could attempt a breakout above $3,850, targeting the $4,000–$4,200 zone. Institutional flows into Ethereum-based ETFs have also accelerated in recent weeks, suggesting renewed investor confidence in ETH’s mid-cycle positioning.

A sustained move above $4,000 would likely signal the resumption of Ethereum’s post-merge structural uptrend, particularly as staking yields and Layer-2 growth continue to support network fundamentals.Ethereum price prediction.

ETH rally’s sustainability is shaky
However, the rally’s sustainability depends on continued on-chain momentum. A slowdown in stablecoin velocity or reduction in issuance could weaken the demand case for ETH. A failure to defend the $3,500–$3,550 zone would expose downside targets near $3,300–$3,400.

Broader macro risks, including renewed dollar strength or geopolitical shocks, could also dampen risk appetite across crypto markets.

At current levels, ETH remains technically and fundamentally supported. The record-breaking $2.82 trillion in stablecoin volume underlines Ethereum’s deep liquidity and enduring relevance as a financial settlement layer.

As long as ETH holds above $3,500, momentum favors a gradual climb toward $4,000–$4,200. A decisive breakout above $3,850 could confirm trend continuation into year-end.

The Ethereum outlook: bullish while network activity and liquidity stay strong, but vulnerable if the stablecoin engine powering demand begins to cool.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Key NotesBitcoin leads portfolio allocation at 34.54% on Lemon, surpassing stablecoins and Argentine pesos as users prioritize long-term value storage.Cryptocurrency purchases grew 126% in 2024 while stablecoin growth reached only 44.4%, marking a behavioral shift in Argentina's digital economy.Over 800,000 Lemon users now hold Bitcoin fractions, accumulating assets through daily transactions that reward crypto cashback on routine purchases.
Bitcoin

BTC
$106 608

24h volatility:
3.1%

Market cap:
$2.13 T

Vol. 24h:
$62.44 B

is the favorite currency by portfolio allocation to Argentine users of the financial app and crypto wallet Lemon, among 5 million registered accounts in Argentina and Peru. Data is from a private document shared by the Lemon team with Coinspeaker on November 3, 2025.

According to the up-to-date document, 34.54% of all reserves held by Lemon users are of BTC. The leading cryptocurrency is followed by stablecoins (25.71%) and Argentina’s fiat currency, pesos (21.19%). Ethereum

ETH
$3 616

24h volatility:
6.4%

Market cap:
$436.21 B

Vol. 24h:
$40.54 B

, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is Lemon’s fourth most-held asset, with 10.61%. Solana

SOL
$168.4

24h volatility:
8.4%

Market cap:
$93.11 B

Vol. 24h:
$8.21 B

and XRP

XRP
$2.37

24h volatility:
5.2%

Market cap:
$142.63 B

Vol. 24h:
$4.75 B

together only account for 3.35%, with 1.95% and 1.40% each, respectively. Other assets sum up to 4.59%.

Proof of reserves snapshot on November 3, 2025 | Source: Lemon

Ramiro Menne, Crypto Research and Growth Analyst at Lemon, explained that the data we see today comes as a behavior change in Argentina—leading to a higher accumulation of Bitcoin and altcoins instead of dollar-pegged tokens like USDC

USDC
$1.00

24h volatility:
0.0%

Market cap:
$75.61 B

Vol. 24h:
$9.24 B

and USDT

USDT
$1.00

24h volatility:
0.0%

Market cap:
$183.47 B

Vol. 24h:
$121.54 B

, which had seen a significant appeal in the past as “the most practical and liquid way to access the US dollar,” according to Menne.

“The perception of risk changed, and the US dollar lost much of its appeal as a store of value. Many users began to see Bitcoin not as a speculative bet but as a long-term investment,” Menne stated.

In 2024, stablecoin purchases grew by 44.4%, while Bitcoin and altcoin purchases increased by 126% and 158.5%, respectively. Today, over 800,000 Lemon users hold at least a fraction of Bitcoin in their wallets, per the document. This accounts for nearly 23% of the reported 3.4 million Argentines using the product, according to a post by Ramiro Menne from October 26 on X.

Siguiendo los movimientos en @lemonapp_ar de +3.4M de Argentinos desde un café en San Martín, donde todo empezó 🍋 pic.twitter.com/6tenQLh2mD

— ramenbtc – Edge City 🇦🇷 (@RamiroMenne) October 26, 2025

Pay Via Lemon, Earn Bitcoin
When it comes to in-app transactions overall, pesos and stablecoins remain the most frequently used assets within Lemon, said Ramiro, “balancing convenience for daily spending with the stability and liquidity of digital dollars.” For everyday payments made with Lemon’s QR system or VISA card, users primarily spend pesos.

“Most people deposit pesos into Lemon and use them for daily purchases, earning Bitcoin cashback in return. It’s a simple and accessible way to gradually accumulate Bitcoin through small, routine payments,” Menne noted.

Since 2021, the cashback model has already distributed the equivalent of over $29 million in Bitcoin to its users, which could also explain the growing portfolio allocation on the platform that leads crypto adoption in Argentina and Peru with 1.2 million monthly active users.

While the signal is mostly favorable to cryptocurrencies in LATAM countries like Argentina that went through serious economic challenges, Bitcoin “OG” whales appear to be derisking from the asset, as reported by Coinspeaker earlier today. Nevertheless, high-conviction institutions like Michael Saylor’s Strategy continue to accumulate, buying $45.6 million worth of 397 BTC, disclosed this Monday.

Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to deliver accurate and timely information but should not be taken as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify information on your own and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.

Cryptocurrency News, News

Vini Barbosa has covered the crypto industry professionally since 2020, summing up to over 10,000 hours of research, writing, and editing related content for media outlets and key industry players. Vini is an active commentator and a heavy user of the technology, truly believing in its revolutionary potential. Topics of interest include blockchain, open-source software, decentralized finance, and real-world utility.

Vini Barbosa on X

2 minutes ago

Investors trimmed exposure to Bitcoin funds amid US policy uncertainty, even as Bitwise’s new Solana staking ETF attracted strong debut inflows last week.

23

Cryptocurrency investment products saw $360 million in outflows last week as investors reacted to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious remarks on future rate cuts.

Despite Wednesday’s rate cut, Powell’s remark that another one in December was “not a foregone conclusion,” combined with the absence of economic data due to the ongoing government shutdown, appears to have left markets uncertain, CoinShares reported on Monday.

Most of the selling pressure came from the US markets, which saw $439 million in outflows, partly offset by modest inflows from Germany and Switzerland. Bitcoin ETFs led the decline with $946 million in redemptions.

Weekly crypto asset flows. Source: CoinSharesEven as Bitcoin funds bore the brunt of outflows, not all assets followed suit. Solana stood out, attracting $421 million in inflows, its second-largest on record, driven by demand for newly launched US exchange-traded funds (ETFs), lifting year-to-date totals to $3.3 billion.

Ethereum also saw $57.6 million in inflows, although daily activity suggested a mixed sentiment among investors.

The outflows come after crypto products amassed $921 million in inflows the previous week, driven by lower-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released on Oct. 24.

New Solana staking ETFBitwise’s new Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) debuted last Tuesday at $222.8 million in seed assets, signaling strong institutional demand for Solana staking products.

BSOL offers investors direct exposure to Solana (SOL) with an estimated 7% annual yield from onchain staking rewards.

By Friday, spot Solana ETFs had logged a fourth straight day of inflows, adding $44.48 million. 

Vincent Liu, chief investment officer at Kronos Research, told Cointelegraph the trend reflects growing interest in staking yields and ongoing “capital rotation,” as traders take profits from recent Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) rallies.

Although Solana ETF inflows have surged, at the time of writing, SOL was trading around $166, down over 9% during the past 24 hours and around 26% over the past 30 days, according to CoinGecko data.

Solana price chart. Source: CoinGeckoMagazine: Solana vs Ethereum ETFs, Facebook’s influence on Bitwise: Hunter Horsley

In brief
BitMine Immersion Technologies added more than 80,000 ETH to its leading Ethereum treasury last week.
The firm now holds more than 2.8% of the entire ETH supply.
Shares of BMNR have fallen more than 8% as ETH continues its slide, now changing hands just over $3,600.
Publicly traded Ethereum treasury company BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) added more than $294 million in ETH in the last week, as its Chairman Tom Lee remained bullish on a year-end run for Bitcoin and Ethereum, even as the company's share price has fallen in recent weeks.

The firm acquired another 82,353 ETH, bringing its balance sheet totals to 3,395,422 Ethereum or more than 2.8% of the circulating Ethereum supply which it has acquired at an average price of $3,909.

With ETH changing hands at $3,617, down more than 6% over the past 24 hours, the firm's investment has declined. BMNR shares were off more than 8% on Monday and have fallen about 25% over the past month.

Still, Lee is predicting an end-of-year rally.

“The market is consolidating,” said Lee on CNBC’s Squawk Box. “But if I look at fundamentals, like Ethereum, stablecoin volume has been exploding, application revenues are at all-time highs…right now fundamentals are leading price in crypto.” 

Lee pointed to crypto’s recent record-breaking $19 billion liquidation event as a reset point for the market, calling it a "miniature rupture” around which the market is consolidating. 

“I think eventually we consolidate, and rally into year end,” he said, calling a potential move to $150,000 or $200,000 for Bitcoin and $7,000 for Ethereum before the calendar turns. 

An explosive move up for ETH would significantly boost BitMine’s industry leading Ethereum treasury. At the time of writing, the firm holds more than $12.5 billion worth of ETH, making it the second largest crypto treasury, only trailing Bitcoin behemoth and digital asset treasury pioneer, Strategy, which holds more than $69 billion worth of Bitcoin. 

The firm also holds 192 Bitcoin worth around $20 million, a $62 million stake in EightCo Holdings (ORBS), and around $389 million in unencumbered cash. 

In a Myriad prediction market, 95% of respondents believe BitMine will hold more ETH than the second largest Ethereum treasury, SharpLine Gaming at the end of the year. Myriad is a unit of Dastan, the parent company of an editorially independent Decrypt.

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TL;DR Berachain shared new updates after the exploit impacting BEX pools, reinforcing that user fund protection remains the top priority. A new binary now blocks transfers from wallets tied to the exploited funds, allowing movement only to a Foundation-controlled address.

November 03, 2025 12:00 PM EST | Source: CEO Clips
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Uber Technologies (UBER) reports earnings before Tuesday's opening bell, and Eric Clark expects to see a strong report that focuses on the future of autonomous driving and steps to building a "super app." He makes the case that Tesla (TSLA) has the groundwork for a pivotal partnership between itself and Uber if one develops.

Item 1 of 2 A logo for Amazon Web Services (AWS) is seen at the Viva Technology conference dedicated to innovation and startups at Porte de Versailles exhibition center in Paris, France, June 12, 2025. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier

[1/2]A logo for Amazon Web Services (AWS) is seen at the Viva Technology conference dedicated to innovation and startups at Porte de Versailles exhibition center in Paris, France, June 12, 2025. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

Nov 3 (Reuters) - Verizon

(VZ.N), opens new tab announced a deal with Amazon Web Services on Monday to build high-capacity fiber routes connecting AWS data centers, aiming to strengthen infrastructure for the next generation of artificial intelligence applications.

The partnership underscores how cloud and telecom giants are racing to meet surging data and network demands from generative AI, which requires fast, secure and resilient connections to process massive workloads.

Sign up here.

Under the Verizon AI Connect agreement, the telecom giant will construct long-haul, low-latency fiber pathways to enhance the performance and reliability of AI workloads running on AWS cloud. The companies did not disclose financial details of the deal.

Telecom operators are increasingly viewed as critical enablers of the emerging AI-driven economy, while cloud providers are reporting brisk growth driven by AI workloads.

Last week, the three major cloud providers, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet, reported accelerating revenue growth, driven by demand for generative AI. They all expect significantly stronger capital spending next year.

The new agreement deepens Verizon's long-standing strategic relationship with AWS, which already includes joint work on private mobile edge computing and Verizon's adoption of AWS as a preferred cloud provider.

Reporting by Akash Sriram in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab

SummaryFiserv had a Quant Sell Rating two months before its big crash on Wednesday, while Wall Street and other analysts still gave it a Buy rating.Many companies have reached valuations that are becoming increasingly difficult to justify, which means "surprise" crashes may occur more frequently.No system is infallible, but investors are wise to question a stock that has a Quant Sell rating, even if it’s given a Hold, Buy, or Strong Buy from analysts.This article will highlight how to spot stocks at risk of performing poorly to help investors minimize risk and maximize portfolio returns.I am Steven Cress, Head of Quantitative Strategies at Seeking Alpha. I manage the quant ratings and factor grades on stocks and ETFs in Seeking Alpha Premium. I also lead Alpha Picks, which selects the two most attractive stocks to buy each month, and also determines when to sell them. bunhill/E+ via Getty Images

The Fiserv (FI) crash last week came as a surprise to some, but it wasn’t a shocker for investors who pay attention to Seeking Alpha Quant Ratings. While SA Analysts and Wall Street had FI as a Buy, Seeking Alpha’s Quant rated

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given that any particular security, portfolio, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The author is not advising you personally concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security or other matter. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, security or strategy, or any product or service, is appropriate or suitable for you based on your investment objectives and personal and financial situation. Steven Cress is the Head of Quantitative Strategy at Seeking Alpha. Any views or opinions expressed herein may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank.

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Novo Nordisk logo is seen in this illustration created on August 5, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

CompaniesCOPENHAGEN, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Denmark's Novo Nordisk

(NOVOb.CO), opens new tab said on Monday it is confident that its proposed takeover of U.S. drugmaker Metsera

(MTSR.O), opens new tab does not raise any antitrust issues.

Novo Nordisk last week launched a rival bid for obesity biotech Metsera, exceeding an offer from Pfizer

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Pfizer in turn filed a lawsuit on Friday alleging breach of merger agreement obligations.

Novo Nordisk said it adhered to all the Pfizer merger agreement restrictions.

"This is an intensely competitive space, with at least a dozen other products being developed by major pharma companies. We are confident this transaction does not raise any antitrust issues," Novo said in an email statement.

Novo Nordisk, the company behind the blockbuster weight-loss drug Wegovy and related diabetes treatment Ozempic, bid up to $8.5 billion, with $6 billion upfront and later milestone payments, while Pfizer's bid was worth up to $7.3 billion, including milestones.

The clash marks an escalating battle for dominance in the obesity drug market some analysts forecast will reach $150 billion annually within a few years. Novo is seeking to defend its position against rising competition from Eli Lilly

(LLY.N), opens new tab, while Pfizer aims to secure its entry into the weight-loss sector.

Metsera is working on experimental therapies that analysts say could generate $5 billion in sales.

Pfizer said Novo's bid was an illegal attempt by a dominant player to suppress competition in the fast-growing obesity market. Both Metsera and Novo have dismissed Pfizer's claims.

Reporting by Jacob Gronholt-Pedersen and Essi Lehto; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Bill Berkrot

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab

Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 3, 2025 9:00 AM EST

Company Participants

Greg Mason - Managing Director of Public IR & Communications
Michael Arougheti - Co-Founder, CEO & Director
Jarrod Phillips - Partner & CFO

Conference Call Participants

Alexander Blostein - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division
Steven Chubak - Wolfe Research, LLC
Craig Siegenthaler - BofA Securities, Research Division
Patrick Davitt - Autonomous Research US LP
William Katz - TD Cowen, Research Division
Brennan Hawken - BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Kenneth Worthington - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division
Michael Cyprys - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Benjamin Budish - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division
Brian Mckenna - Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division
Brian Bedell - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Presentation

Operator

Welcome to the Ares Management Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded on Monday, November 3, 2025.

I will now turn the call over to Greg Mason, Co-Head of Public Markets Investor Relations for Ares Management.

Greg Mason
Managing Director of Public IR & Communications

Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for our third quarter 2025 conference call. I'm joined today by Michael Arougheti, our Chief Executive Officer; and Jarrod Phillips, our Chief Financial Officer. We also have a number of executives with us today who will be available during Q&A.

Before we begin, I want to remind you that comments made during this call contain certain forward-looking statements and are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those identified in our risk factors in our SEC filings. Our actual results could differ materially, and we undertake no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements. Please also note that past performance is not a guarantee of future results and nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of an

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HomeInvestingStocksDeep DiveDeep DiveThese stocks have also shown recent earnings momentum, with increases to consensus estimatesPublished: Nov. 3, 2025 at 12:09 p.m. ET

We are heading into the season of year-end predictions. Brokers will set new targets for stock indexes backed by expectations for economic growth and opinions on whether or not investors have become sufficiently concerned over high valuations for there to be a pullback in share prices. And some money managers will write entertaining pieces featuring predictions for 2026 along with confessions about how their 2025 predictions turned out.

So this is a good time of year to run stock screens.

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Caterpillar (CAT) has been a standout performer in the industrial sector, buoyed by optimism around infrastructure spending and a resilient U.S. economy. Yet, after a sharp rally, investors are asking the key question — has the stock run too far, too fast?

Coeur Mining Inc (TSX:CDM) and New Gold Inc. (TSX:NGD) have announced a definitive agreement under which Coeur will acquire all outstanding shares of New Gold in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $7 billion.

The deal positions the new entity among the top 10 global precious metals producers and top five silver producers, with enhanced market liquidity and potential inclusion in major US indexes, Coeur said in a statement.

The combined company will have a pro forma market capitalization of about $20 billion and operate seven North American mines.  

Production in 2026 is expected to reach approximately 1.25 million gold equivalent ounces, including 900,000 ounces of gold, 20 million ounces of silver, and 100 million pounds of copper.

The combined entity is projected to generate $3 billion of EBITDA and $2 billion of free cash flow next year.

The management teams from both companies will merge, with New Gold CEO Patrick Godin and one additional director joining Coeur’s board.

Under the deal, New Gold shareholders will receive 0.4959 Coeur shares for each New Gold share, implying $8.51 per share, a 16% premium to New Gold’s October 31 closing price.

Following the acquisition, Coeur shareholders are expected to hold roughly 62% of the combined company, with New Gold shareholders owning approximately 38%.

Shares of Coeur fell 12% to about $15 on the announcement, while New Gold shares were down 1% at about $7.

ECARX Holdings Inc. (ECX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 3, 2025 8:00 AM EST

Company Participants

Rene Du - Head of Investor Relations
Ziyu Shen - CEO & Chairman
Peter W. Cirino - Chief Operating Officer
Phil Zhou - Chief Financial Officer

Conference Call Participants

Huang Wei - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
Danlin Ren - China International Capital Corporation Limited, Research Division
Huijun Pang - DBS Bank Ltd., Research Division
Nora Min - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Derek Soderberg - Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Research Division

Presentation

Operator

Good day and thank you for joining us. Welcome to ECARX's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the call over to your host for today's call, Rene Du, Head of Investor Relations at ECARX. Please proceed, Rene.

Rene Du
Head of Investor Relations

Good morning and welcome to ECARX Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. With me today from ECARX are our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Ziyu Shen; Chief Operating Officer, Peter Cirino; and Chief Financial Officer, Phil Zhou. Following their prepared remarks, they will all be available to answer your questions.

Before we start, I would like to refer you to our forward-looking statements at the bottom of our earnings press release, which will also apply to this call. Further information on specific risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially can be found in our filings with the SEC. In addition, this call will include discussions of certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures to the GAAP financial measures can also be found at the bottom of our earnings release.

With that, I'd like to hand the call over to Ziyu. Please go ahead.

Ziyu Shen
CEO & Chairman

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Liquidia Corporation (LQDA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 3, 2025 8:30 AM EST

Company Participants

Jason Adair - Chief Business Officer
Roger Jeffs - CEO & Director
Michael Kaseta - COO & CFO
Scott Moomaw - Chief Commercial Officer
Rajeev Saggar - Chief Medical Officer
Russell Schundler - General Counsel & Corporate Secretary

Conference Call Participants

Amy Li - Jefferies LLC, Research Division
Cory Jubinville - LifeSci Capital, LLC, Research Division
Julian Harrison - BTIG, LLC, Research Division
Ryan Deschner - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division
Serge Belanger - Needham & Company, LLC, Research Division
Andrew Fein - H.C. Wainwright & Co, LLC, Research Division
Benjamin Burnett - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division
Jason Gerberry - BofA Securities, Research Division

Presentation

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Liquidia Corporation Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Corporate Update Conference Call. My name is Carmen, and I will be your operator today [Operator Instructions] Please note that today's call is being recorded. I now turn the call over to Jason Adair, Chief Business Officer.

Jason Adair
Chief Business Officer

Thank you, Carmen, and good morning, everyone. It's my pleasure to welcome you to Liquidia's Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Corporate Update Conference Call. Joining me today are Dr. Roger Jeffs, Chief Executive Officer; Michael Kaseta, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer; Dr. Rajeev Saggar, Chief Medical Officer; Scott Moomaw, Chief Commercial Officer; and Rusty Schundler, General Counsel.

Before we begin, please note that today's discussion will include forward-looking statements, including statements regarding future results, product performance and ongoing clinical or commercial activities. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. For further information, please refer to our filings with the SEC available on our website.

Please note that our earnings release, our commentary and our slide deck accompanying this

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RLUSD, the stablecoin backed by Ripple Labs, reached a major milestone today, Nov. 3, 2025. Notably, Ripple USD (RLUSD) officially surpassed $1 billion in market capitalization.

RLUSD sees massive adoptionAccording to the Ripple stablecoin tracker, 1,000,000,000 RLUSD tokens are now live across Ethereum and XRP Ledger. 

A recent single 50 million RLUSD mint on the XRPL helped push the stablecoin over the $1 billion market cap milestone.

This milestone is a bullish development for the Ripple ecosystem. It suggests growth in the stablecoin, fueled by increased adoption among retail and institutional investors.

RLUSD has become the fastest-growing regulated stablecoin ever. The stablecoin, which launched on Dec. 17, 2024, grew to $1 billion in little more than 10 months.

$RLUSD officially crossed $1,000,000,000 market cap across Ethereum and the XRP Ledger.

— Ripple Stablecoin Tracker (@RL_Tracker) November 3, 2025 For context, Tether (USDT), the largest stablecoin by market cap, took over one year to hit $900 million back in 2015.

The success of RLUSD points to a maturing market where investors are attracted to investing in assets that comply with regulatory standards. As demand for low-volatility fiat-pegged tokens increases, Ripple predicted that the entire stablecoin market might skyrocket to $2 trillion by 2028.

Following the RLUSD launch, Ripple President Monica Long commented that it aims to set a new benchmark in the stablecoin landscape. She emphasized that RLUSD emphasizes trust, utility and compliance.

RLUSD use casesRLUSD claims to be an enterprise-grade, USD-denominated stablecoin. It is one of the few stablecoins issued under a New York Trust Company Charter, which ensures strict oversight and regulation.

Ripple stablecoin is used by banks and fintechs for instant cross-border wires. Traders swap RLUSD for XRP on XRPL Decentralized Exchanges (DEXes).

Additionally, DeFi users lend and borrow the stablecoin on Ethereum. Likewise, retailers buy RLUSD on the Uphold, Bullish, Bitso and MoonPay exchanges.

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RLUSD now sits ahead of PayPal’s PYUSD, First Digital’s FDUSD and many others. Only giants like USDT and USDC are bigger.

Other recent milestones include Brale's integration with XRP Ledger for stablecoin issuance. This integration allows businesses to issue USD-backed stablecoins and settle in RLUSD.

Furthermore, Ripple also announced the completion of its acquisition of prime brokerage Hidden Road, now known as Ripple Prime. Its customers have already begun using RLUSD as collateral or holding their balances in the stablecoin.

TL;DR

MicroStrategy purchased 397 Bitcoin for $45.6 million.
The firm now holds 641,205 Bitcoin in total.
The firm reports a 26.1% yield for 2025.

Strategy has purchased an additional 397 Bitcoin. The transaction occurred on November 2nd, with a total value of 45.6 million dollars. The company paid an average of 114,771 dollars for each unit of the digital currency. This acquisition continues the firm’s established pattern of allocating capital to Bitcoin.

The company’s founder, Michael Saylor, announced the purchase on his social media account. He reported that the corporate strategy has generated a 26.1 percent Bitcoin yield for the year 2025. Strategy now holds 641,205 Bitcoin in its treasury. The total cost for this position is approximately 47.49 billion dollars, with an average purchase price of 74,057 dollars per coin.

Strategy has acquired 397 BTC for ~$45.6 million at ~$114,771 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 26.1% YTD 2025. As of 11/2/2025, we hodl 641,205 $BTC acquired for ~$47.49 billion at ~$74,057 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC $STRK $STRF $STRD https://t.co/gEuzDaloRb

— Michael Saylor (@saylor) November 3, 2025

A Consistent Treasury Strategy
This latest transaction reinforces the company’s steadfast approach to corporate treasury management. The strategy involves using company funds to acquire Bitcoin as a primary reserve asset. This action took place as the market price for Bitcoin moved below 108,000 dollars. The firm has a history of making purchases during periods of price fluctuation.

Saylor has repeatedly stated his view that Bitcoin serves as a long-term store of value. The company’s repeated acquisitions demonstrate a commitment to this principle. The firm treats short-term market dips as opportunities to increase its holdings.

In the current environment, BTC is down in a correction phase after recent highs, driven by macroeconomic uncertainty and increased long-term holder selling — over 405,000 BTC sold in the past 30 days.

Despite short-term volatility, Bitcoin remains dominant in the crypto market with 58.3% market share, maintaining its position as the leading digital asset. The next potential support zone lies around $105,000 USD, while resistance remains near $111,000 USD, suggesting a potential rebound if buying pressure strengthens.

According to new on-chain data from analytics firm CryptoQuant, retail investors, the small wallet holders who once fueled crypto's cycles, are being replaced by institutional flows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and corporate treasuries.

DeFi is everywhere. It’s integrated into your web browser, your crypto wallet, and your dapp store. Not only is it onchain but it’s even accessible on centralized exchanges under the banner of CeDeFi. What started out on Ethereum a little over five years ago has permeated industry-wide, finding a home on hundreds of distinct chains, from Solana to Sui.

But while DeFi’s TVL has waxed and waned all year in line with broader market movements, there’s one network where it’s been in Up Only mode only of late. On Flare’s blockchain for data, the Total Value Locked into decentralized finance protocols has risen by 40% since late September, driven by demand for an asset that for most of its history has had little to do with DeFi – XRP.

This is the story of the reinvention of XRP, from a fast and cheap payment currency to becoming the backbone of thriving financial markets that have caught fire on Flare.

Slowly then All at OnceBack in May, Flare launched its XRPfi portal with the promise of transforming XRP into a multi-purpose asset capable of supporting an array of DeFi activities, from staking to liquidity provision. Doing so called for making XRP transferable from its native XRP Ledger to Flare’s EVM-compatible network where smart contracts could take care of the rest, unlocking the true value of the time-served cryptocurrency.

To achieve this, Flare developed its FAssets protocol which allows old-school digital assets such as XRP and DOGE to be locked into a smart contract and a corresponding amount of F tokens – such as FXRP – to be minted. This trustless bridging protocol has been operating smoothly ever since, with first retail users and increasingly now institutions taking advantage of the ability to use their XRP as a yield-generating asset.

While solving the technical challenges to unleashing XRP were the first step to enabling DeFi on Flare to flourish, building the infrastructure alone was not enough. The next phase has called for ensuring there are sufficient incentives in place for users to take the plunge and onboard in serious numbers. These puzzle pieces are now rapidly falling into place thanks to a slew of initiatives that have ramped up the rewards and enhanced the ways in which XRP can be utilized on Flare.

Flare Targets Treasury YieldOne of the reasons why Flare’s TVL has been rising more rapidly than other DeFi ecosystems is because it’s shrewdly identified ways in which to distinguish itself from the rest of the market over and above the novelty of being able to use XRP. Specifically, it’s taking aim at treasury yield, with the goal of attracting blockchain projects – as well as institutions – looking to grow their assets under management.

In the past couple of months, Flare has scored a number of successes here, firstly with VivoPower deploying $100M in capital, and then with Everything Blockchain, a U.S.-listed public company that’s agreed to adopt Flare’s XRPfi framework for its digital asset treasury. This enables them to allocate XRP across decentralized lending, staking, and liquidity protocols on Flare. The fact that institutions are entering the fray and deploying serious capital attests to the faith they have in the security and sustainability of the framework that Flare has developed.

Ramping up the Rewards for RetailAmidst all this institutional courting, Flare hasn’t overlooked its existing retail userbase, who were among the first to take the plunge and mint FXRP. There’s been significant progress made recently in making it easier for this process to be completed thanks to integrations such as Xaman, whose non-custodial wallet now supports XRP bridging and FXRP minting.

It also helps that once they arrive on the other side, retail is finding that the yields on offer are rather attractive, boosted by a 2.2B FLR program that’s added additional incentives to FXRP stakers and liquidity providers. Messari recently reported on the spike in demand for FAssets on Flare, XRP especially, noting that the initial 5 million FXRP mint cap filled in under four hours, and when this was subsequently raised to 15 million FXRP, it filled just as fast.

Mesari notes that “As XRP's market presence continues to grow, Flare's technology offers a pathway to unlock this dormant value and integrate it into the broader DeFi landscape. This potential has attracted attention from both retail users and institutional players, setting the stage for what could be one of the most significant developments in the XRP ecosystem since its inception.”

That in essence is the bull case for Flare and for XRP. They now enjoy something of a symbiotic relationship, with demand for one fueling demand for the other. While the total amount of XRP that’s been minted on Flare is still a fraction of the asset’s total market cap, it’s a promising start that’s seen the network’s TVL increase by more than 5x in the past year.

There is, of course, a certain irony in Flare arguably doing more to increase XRP’s utility and adoption in the last 12 months than Ripple has achieved in the last 12 years. That said, the two entities are not in competition with one another. Flare benefits from XRP’s deep liquidity, relative stability, and global accessibility. 

In turn, XRP benefits from all of the features that the XRP Ledger can’t natively support, from staking to lending to perps. With Flare busily adding even more ways for its community to earn yield, including the XRP Earn Account developed with MoreMarkets, the incentives for turning simple XRP into supercharged FXRP are starting to stack up.

And this is just one of the cryptocurrencies Flare’s FAssets protocol supports. Should it crank up its efforts with other cryptos such as BTC and DOGE, it’s conceivable that Flare could evolve into a major multi-asset DeFi hub. That remains to be seen, but in the here and now, this much is certain: Flare has proven that there is genuine demand for XRPfi. Some people scoffed at the idea a few years ago, when Flare first sketched out its vision of building a DeFi ecosystem centered around XRP. They’re not laughing now.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

This week, Changpeng Zhao — better known as CZ — casually dropped that he grabbed some aster (ASTER) on Sunday, reminding everyone he's not in it for the quick flips. He's the “buy and hold” type. CZ Revisits His BNB Roots, Adds ASTER to His Personal Holdings When CZ talks, crypto listens.

Mon, 3/11/2025 - 15:46

Dogecoin formed its weakest setups in months after losing key support, setting the stage for a brutal 40% correction that could drag the DOGE meme coin back below $0.10 by late 2025.

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According to the latest price projections, Dogecoin’s price setup looks like a time bomb with a slow fuse. It turns out the break under $0.18 was not manipulation or an accidental slip but the final line keeping DOGE from reopening the path back toward $0.12. What's even worse, it may be below $0.10 by the end of 2025. 

Thus, prominent analyst Ali Martinez revealed how the DOGE chart now sits inside a prolonged channel, where every rebound runs into the same wall of trapped sell supply, and nothing about the current conjecture suggests the market wants to defend this zone anymore from Dogecoin.

If the projection plays out as it usually does, the next 12 months for Dogecoin will be more painful. A dip to $0.16 looks almost guaranteed this quarter, followed by a slow crawl into $0.14-$0.12 territory through the end of the year. 

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By the end 2025, the coveted $0.10 level may stop being fantasy and start looking like the new fair value zone. It is not a crash setup — it is erosion, the kind of drawn-out decline that happens when no one left is willing to buy the dip and the hype phase has already expired.

DOGE history matches crash perfectlyEvery strong spring rebound in Dogecoin has ended the same way — enthusiasm burns out, trading volume collapses and the chart quietly bleeds for months. 

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Unless the market pulls a surprise rally and reclaims $0.18 per DOGE fast, the meme coin’s most probable path is down the slope it has already begun on — slow, mechanical and ending near $0.12, where the extra zero waits to come back home.

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