Market Signal Briefing

Crypto’s capital rotation is predictable in rhythm but wild in its targets. While retail chases the tail end of meme rallies, “smart money” is quietly positioning in a sector that’s historically been sluggish but holds the industry’s deepest liquidity: Bitcoin infrastructure. The narrative is shifting. We’re moving away from pure speculation toward “fat protocols”—infrastructure plays solving critical bottlenecks.

That matters. Despite holding 50%+ of the market cap, Bitcoin is largely dormant capital—digital gold, not a productive asset. And with mainnet congestion spiking fees (again), there’s a vacuum for scaling solutions. 

Unlike Ethereum’s mature L2 ecosystem, Bitcoin’s landscape is barely out of the cradle. Smart money is tracking projects that don’t just “wrap” Bitcoin—they program it.

The “Modular Bitcoin” thesis is gaining serious traction. The idea? 

Use Bitcoin solely for settlement while offloading execution to faster environments. Investors want the best of both worlds: Solana’s speed with Bitcoin’s security. 

This convergence creates a high-beta opportunity for early infrastructure plays like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), designed to bridge that exact gap.

SVM Integration Signals a New Era for Bitcoin DeFi Bitcoin’s primary barrier to DeFi adoption has always been technical. Its scripting language is intentionally limited (for security), making complex smart contracts nearly impossible on the base layer. Bitcoin Hyper fixes this by integrating the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) directly as a Layer 2. Why does that matter?

It lets developers write in Rust—the dominant language for high-performance chains—and deploy apps that settle on Bitcoin but run at Solana speeds.

By using a modular architecture, Bitcoin Hyper separates the heavy lifting. Mainnet handles security; the SVM L2 handles execution. The result? Sub-second finality and negligible gas fees—effectively solving the “trilemma” plaguing previous forks. For developers, this finally unlocks high-speed payments, NFT platforms, and complex gaming dApps that were previously impossible on the network.

The implications are huge. If Bitcoin Hyper captures even a fraction of Bitcoin’s idle capital, $HYPER’s velocity could decouple from broader trends. Using a trusted sequencer with periodic L1 anchoring, the project ensures that while processing happens off-chain, the ultimate “truth” stays on Bitcoin.

Visit the Bitcoin Hyper Presale

Whale Accumulation Points to Infrastructure Bet Price action follows volume; sustainable explosions follow accumulation. On-chain analysis suggests whales are actively positioning in the Bitcoin Hyper presale before public listing. Smart money is moving. Etherscan data reveals two high-net-worth wallets accumulated $116K recently, with the largest single buy hitting $63K on Jan 15, 2026. That kind of pre-market positioning signals strong conviction that the asset is undervalued. View the whale activity on Etherscan.

The numbers back this up. According to official data, the project has already raised $31,228,293.92—validating the market demand for Bitcoin scaling. With tokens currently priced at $0.0136751, the entry point offers the kind of asymmetric upside traders hunt for in early-stage infrastructure.

Plus, the tokenomics encourage holding. Stakers get high APY immediately after the Token Generation Event (TGE), with a modest 7-day vesting period for presale participants. This mechanism aims to reduce sell pressure at launch—a setup smart money looks for to ensure stability during price discovery. The combination of massive capital raises and verifiable whale activity suggests the market is pricing in a major shift toward Bitcoin programmability.

Explore the Bitcoin Hyper Community

Disclaimer This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry high risks, including total loss.

Key Takeaways Capital Rotation: Smart money is shifting from speculative assets to infrastructure plays, specifically targeting the undeveloped Bitcoin Layer 2 market. The Modular Thesis: The industry is favoring modular blockchains that separate settlement (Bitcoin) from execution (Layer 2s) for maximum efficiency. Technical Convergence: Projects merging Bitcoin’s security with the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) are unlocking new use cases for $1 trillion in idle BTC capital. Bitcoin Hyper’s Momentum: With over $31 million raised and confirmed whale entries of up to $63K, $HYPER is positioning itself as a leader in the BTC L2 race.

Chicago-based cryptocurrency exchange Bitnomial has launched the first Tezos (XTZ) futures contracts regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), allowing both institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to the token without holding the underlying asset. The contracts are now live and accept cryptocurrency or US dollars as margin.

Bitnomial president Michael Dunn stated that a CFTC-regulated futures market with an established trading history meets a key requirement under the SEC’s generic listing standards for potential spot ETFs, highlighting the role of regulated derivatives in paving the way for broader institutional adoption. The exchange also confirmed it is actively exploring additional tokens to expand its US-regulated crypto derivatives offering.

The launch follows a challenging regulatory backdrop, including past disputes with the SEC over XRP futures. Bitnomial currently lists US-regulated futures tied to Cardano, XRP, and Aptos, positioning the exchange among the few US venues offering regulated crypto derivatives beyond Bitcoin and Ether.

Source: Bitnomial

Disclaimer: Crypto Economy Flash News is prepared using official and publicly available sources verified by our editorial team. Its purpose is to provide rapid updates on relevant developments within the crypto and blockchain ecosystem.

This information does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. We recommend always verifying official project channels before making related decisions.

TL;DR Charles Hoskinson announced the “From Shell With Love” update for Logan the Exit Liquidity Lobster, Cardano's AI bot. The update will allow Logan to monitor tokens, project activity, and on-chain metrics, and connect project APIs and technical documentation.

Months ago, a prominent crypto analyst outlined a precise window where the Bitcoin price could enter a violent downside phase. At the time, the projection seemed extreme. Now, with price behavior beginning to align with that roadmap, the analyst has released a far more expansive update — one that not only reinforces the crash call but also maps what comes before and after the next major pivot.

Bitcoin Price Multi-Cycle Model Signals A Structural Reset In the update shared on X, the analyst integrates yearly, monthly, and weekly cycles to define both the potential magnitude of decline and the timing of the next pivot. On the yearly timeframe, Bitcoin sits in what he labels an extreme risk zone ahead of a projected pivot around February 2. The structure is left-translated with distributive price action — a formation linked to late-cycle weakness.

He compares the current setup to a previous harmonic phase where Bitcoin dropped roughly 50% from its all-time high before reaching the same pivot window. That decline produced a rebound of about 40% but failed to reach a new all-time high, suggesting the February pivot may bring relief rather than expansion. He also identifies a macro risk window from April to September 2026.

On the monthly cycle, the analyst marks a decisive pivot around December 22. Historical drawdowns in similar harmonics were 56%, 77%, and 34%, depending on the cycle context. The 77% drop occurred during a bear market, while the 34% retracement formed a mid-bull cycle. Upside rebounds ranged between 140% and 375%, with a later 158% expansion, showing that monthly harmonics often host the sharpest price dislocations.

On the weekly timeframe, a nearer-term pivot appears around November 19. Past pullbacks ranged from 20% to 34%, followed by upside expansions of 99%, 96%, 95%, 127%, and 69%, providing the tactical signals traders may rely on for short-term adjustments within the broader trend.

What’s More: Refined Crash Targets And The Bottom Window Beyond confirming the original crash call, the analyst refines the downside roadmap by synchronizing all three cycles. When harmonics align, volatility and pivot significance increase. While the full drawdown ranges 20%–77%, he narrows the likely decline to 34%–55% from the all-time high, noting deeper bear-market conditions are not yet confirmed.

The November weekly pivot appears too early for a macro bottom, with higher-timeframe pressure likely pushing the true pivot into January. A late-November dead-cat bounce is possible before further downside. Key levels: $90,000 (~30% drop) for November, $72,000 (~43% below the high) for January, with further support at $45,000 and $28,000 if selling intensifies.

The analyst remains cautious, noting the last comparable yearly harmonic rallied 40% without surpassing the all-time high, with similar limits expected before the May–September 2026 risk window. However, while his four-month-old crash call held, he believes Bitcoin’s path is far from over—investors should prepare for further downside and a multi-stage recovery shaping the next macro cycle.

BTC bears continue to put pressure on price | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum endured its sharpest decline of the year, losing $100 billion in market value and dropping nearly 27% in a week, with prices hitting $2,107, the lowest since May 2025.

Shiba Inu price hovers near critical support at $0.00000667 as long liquidations surge 8,972% above shorts. The death cross pattern signals a potential deeper decline ahead.

Newton Gitonga2 min read

4 February 2026, 08:39 PM

The Shiba Inu futures market experienced a dramatic imbalance over the past 12 hours. Data from CoinGlass reveals long liquidations exceeded short positions by 8,972%. The disparity signals mounting pressure on leveraged traders betting on price increases.

Approximately $18,710 in long positions were liquidated during this period. Short liquidations totaled just $208.85 by comparison. The skewed ratio suggests one-sided market positioning and declining buyer confidence in the meme coin's near-term prospects.

Death Cross Formation Confirms Bearish MomentumTechnical indicators paint a concerning picture for SHIB holders. The token has formed a death cross pattern, with its 23-day moving average crossing below the 50-day moving average. Traders commonly interpret this signal as a precursor to extended downward price movement.

At the time of writing, SHIB trades at around $0.000006707, hovering dangerously close to a critical support level at $0.00000667. The proximity to this threshold raises concerns about potential downside scenarios. A breakdown below this support could push the token into lower-liquidity zones where reliable price floors become difficult to identify.

The combination of lopsided liquidations and bearish technical patterns creates a challenging environment for the asset. Market participants appear hesitant to establish new long positions given recent price action. Volume metrics support this observation, showing reduced trading activity compared to historical averages.

Institutional Criticism Adds to Market UncertaintyBroader sentiment surrounding meme tokens faces scrutiny from institutional players. Evgeny Gaevoy, CEO of Wintermute, criticized current token economic models today. The institutional market maker executive described existing buyback and lockup mechanisms as fundamentally flawed in their implementation.

His comments arrive at a particularly sensitive time for SHIB. The token already contends with technical weakness and unfavorable derivatives positioning. Criticism from respected institutional figures may further erode confidence among retail and professional investors alike.

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Newton Gitonga covers cryptocurrencies, blockchain, and digital finance. He specializes in breaking down complex trends with clear, data-driven reporting. His work focuses on market analysis, technical insights, and the evolving role of altcoins in shaping global markets.

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Latest Shiba Inu News Today (SHIB)

TL;DR:

Alex Thorn denied that a client’s $9 billion sale was due to fears of quantum computing. The firm reported a net loss of $482 million in Q4 2025 following its earnings report. Mike Novogratz suggests the market is near a bottom thanks to potential legislative progress. Galaxy Digital addressed the ongoing speculation after a massive sell-off of assets was confirmed. The company clarified that the recent Bitcoin liquidation, valued at $9 billion, was not motivated by technological risks.

The company’s head of research, Alex Thorn, stated that fears regarding BTC’s quantum resistance were not the cause of this institutional operation. He added that they aim to calm the FUD generated on social media about the alleged current vulnerability of cryptography.

quantum is not why the whale sold

novo didn’t connect the two. he said it was one reason ppl are claiming for btc weakness, but he disagrees with that (this is clear if you read the full transcript)

he then clarified on bloomberg that quantum isn’t the reason for btc weakness https://t.co/pxvqOvsTZZ pic.twitter.com/JT5Qi0PXI4

— Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins) February 3, 2026 Despite the clarification, the news coincided with quarterly results showing financial challenges for the organization. At the close of 2025, the firm reported significant losses in a context where the price of the primary asset briefly dipped below $74,000.

Debate on Quantum Security and the Regulatory Future Concern over advances in quantum computing is a recurring theme among asset managers and cryptographers. However, experts like Adam Back maintain that these types of threats would take decades to materialize and pose a real risk to the network.

To address these risks, the community is promoting improvement proposals such as BIP-360. This mechanism would introduce quantum-resistant signatures, ensuring the security of addresses that could be compromised in the distant future.

On the other hand, CEO Mike Novogratz remains optimistic about the ecosystem’s recovery through the CLARITY Act. The executive assured that a clear regulatory framework in the United States will serve as a catalyst to stabilize prices and attract capital flow once again.

In summary, while large-scale liquidations generate panic, Bitcoin’s technical fundamentals remain solid. The industry is now focusing its attention on meetings between the Donald Trump administration and sector leaders to define the future of stablecoins and market structure.

The comments came during Bessent's Congressional testimony on Wednesday in a tense exchange with California Representative Brad Sherman.

United States Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent testified before Congress on Wednesday and reiterated that the US will retain Bitcoin (BTC) acquired through asset seizures but will not direct private banks to purchase more BTC in the event of a market downturn.

California Congressman Brad Sherman, a major critic of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, asked Bessent: “Does the Treasury Department or the various components of the Federal Open Market Committee have the authority to bail out Bitcoin?”

Sherman then asked Bessent if he plans to direct private banks to acquire more BTC or “Trump Coin,” a reference to memecoins connected to US President Donald Trump, through changing banking reserve requirements to allow them to buy more. Bessent said:

“I am Secretary of the Treasury. I do not have the authority to do that, and as chair of the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), I do not have that authority.” Secretary Bessent testifies before Congress on Wednesday. Source: CNBCBessent added that the $500 million in seized Bitcoin retained by the US government surged to over $15 billion while in custody.

The testimony is the latest update on the Bitcoin strategic reserve initiative, which was established by Trump through an executive order in March 2025. However, the order has drawn backlash from some in the Bitcoin community, who say it did not go far enough.

US to acquire more Bitcoin through budget-neutral strategies onlyTrump’s executive order stipulated that the US could only acquire more BTC for the strategic reserve through asset forfeiture cases or budget-neutral strategies.

Budget-neutral methods do not add line-item expenses to the US budget and include converting other existing reserve assets, such as petroleum or precious metals, to Bitcoin. 

This means the US government will not acquire additional BTC in open market operations, as many in the Bitcoin community had hoped.

Source: Scott BessentIn August 2025, Bessent said the Treasury Department is exploring acquiring BTC through budget-neutral methods, backtracking on previous comments.

The US government actively buying BTC creates demand for the digital currency, which may raise asset prices and potentially send a signal to other nation-states to establish their own strategic reserves, according to Bitcoin advocate Samson Mow.

Magazine: US risks being ‘front run’ on Bitcoin reserve by other nations: Samson Mow

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy

Veteran crypto analyst Zack Humphries warns Shiba Inu holders to stop relying on the team's optimism and treat SHIB like any other risky altcoin.

Newton Gitonga2 min read

4 February 2026, 06:55 PM

A seasoned cryptocurrency analyst who profited from Shiba Inu's meteoric 2021 rally has issued a stark warning to current holders. Market expert Zack Humphries challenges investors to stop treating SHIB as a guaranteed recovery play and start managing it like any other high-risk cryptocurrency position.

The warning comes in response to recent optimistic statements from Shiba Inu's marketing lead, Lucie, who painted a rosy picture of the meme coin's prospects. While Humphries acknowledges the positive sentiment, he criticizes the lack of balanced analysis that fails to address significant risks and structural challenges facing the token.

Reality Behind the OptimismHumphries maintains that Shiba Inu remains a substantial cryptocurrency asset. The token holds a market capitalization of $4 billion and ranks approximately 25th among global digital assets. He expects SHIB will eventually experience some form of price recovery.

However, he strongly objects to investors using bullish social media posts as justification for continued heavy investment. The analyst emphasizes that relying on reassuring messages from team members creates a dangerous mindset. Investors who continuously pour money into SHIB based solely on insider optimism are making a critical error.

The core issue centers on investor behavior rather than the token's legitimacy. Humphries points out that treating promotional content as investment advice leads to poor portfolio management. Holders must distinguish between project enthusiasm and sound financial strategy.

Altcoin Market Struggles and Ethereum DependenceThe broader altcoin market has faced severe headwinds since the 2021 peak. Humphries describes the environment as exceptionally difficult for alternative cryptocurrencies. SHIB faces a particular vulnerability tied directly to Ethereum's performance.

The analyst explains that Shiba Inu struggles significantly when Ethereum fails to lead the market. The token's price action depends heavily on ETH momentum. This dependency creates problems because Ethereum has underperformed Bitcoin for an extended period.

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EthereumLatest Shiba Inu News Today (SHIB)

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent came under intense scrutiny from lawmakers during a contentious House hearing, with sharp exchanges over World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a Trump-linked crypto and DeFi venture, and the Treasury Department's role in bitcoin (BTC) oversight.

On Wednesday, during a House Financial Services Committee hearing focused on the Treasury's Financial Stability Oversight Council, of which Bessent leads, Rep. Gregory Meeks, D-NY., sharply criticized World Liberty Financial and its links to the United Arab Emirates.

That link has recently come under fire after The Wall Street Journal reported that an investment vehicle backed by Emirati Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan secretly acquired a 49% stake in World Liberty Financial for $500 million just days before Trump's inauguration. President Trump later denied knowledge of that investment.

This comes as World Liberty Financial is seeking a bank charter, and last month filed an application to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Meeks said he wants Bessent to pause any bank charter connected to World Liberty Financial until conflicts of interest are reviewed and investigated.

Bessent said the OCC is an independent entity, but didn't answer the question as to whether he would investigate World Liberty Financial. The exchange escalated from there, with both yelling and talking over each other, ending with Meeks saying to the Treasury Secretary, "to stop covering for the president."

Bessent was also asked about the Treasury's role involving Bitcoin. Trump signed an executive order in March 2025 for a strategic bitcoin reserve, whereby bitcoin in the reserve will initially come from funds forfeited as part of a criminal or civil asset forfeiture, and that bitcoin deposited into the reserve cannot be sold.

Rep. Brad Sherman, D-Calif., asked Bessent if he had the authority to "bail out bitcoin" and if he could "order banks to buy bitcoin or to invest U.S. tax dollars in bitcoin or Trump coin."

"I am Secretary of the Treasury, I do not have the authority to do that, and as chair of FSOC, I do not have that authority," Bessent said, adding later that the Treasury is retaining bitcoin that's been seized.

Bessent's authority over central bank digital currencies also came up during Wednesday's hearing, and whether he was aware of any Federal Reserve or government efforts to develop a U.S. CBDC.

"Absolutely not," Bessent said.

The Federal Reserve has been exploring the possibility of issuing a CBDC and released a report in 2024 examining the pros and cons of a CBDC, but central bank officials have thrown cold water on the idea in the past. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has also said the Fed won't issue a CBDC without congressional approval.

Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.

© 2026 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Shiba Inu lead developer Shytoshi Kusama has returned to the X platform, teasing an important update for the SHIB community. This comes just as the meme coin’s price crashed to a 3-year low amid the recent crypto market crash. 

Shiba Inu Lead Developer Returns as Price Hits New Lows In an X post, the Shiba Inu lead developer revealed that he had an “ultra important” update for the SHIB community. Shytoshi indicated that it was a very important update, noting how it could take 2 more hours to explain and that it was “extremely important to many.” Meanwhile, in a subsequent X post, the developer hinted that the update may be related to AI and a potential integration.

Meanwhile, Shiba Inu developer Kaal Dhairya has yet to comment on what the update may be about. However, he defended Shytoshi following criticisms from some members of the SHIB community over the developer’s cryptic comments. SHIB marketing lead Lucie also commented on Shytoshi’s statement, indicating that she was waiting on the update. 

The Shiba Inu lead developer’s return comes amid the recent crash in the Shiba Inu price, with the meme coin falling to a 3-year low of $0.000006461. SHIB’s crash follows the broader crypto market downtrend, with Bitcoin dropping to a new yearly low of $73,000. Crypto traders also appear to be bearish on the meme coin at the moment as CoinGlass data shows a 4% drop in SHIB’s open interest. 

Furthermore, the long/short ratio is currently below 1, signaling that more traders are shorting Shiba Inu in anticipation of lower prices. The SHIB price is now down year-to-date (YTD), erasing the double-digit gains that it recorded at the start of the year. 

SHIB’s Rebuild Depends On Execution, Not Price In an X article, Lucie indicated that the key to rebuilding confidence in the Shiba Inu ecosystem is execution and not price. She remarked that real confidence would show up first in behavior, not charts. She outlined ways they can improve this execution, including ensuring steady activity on the Ethereum layer-2 network, Shibarium. 

Furthermore, the Shiba Inu marketing lead stated that they must avoid repeating exploit patterns and ensure a smooth LEASH migration. She also addressed the developers, saying that they have to ship new upgrades without drama. 

Meanwhile, Lucie noted that users must continue interacting on the network even when the Shiba Inu price is stagnant, as this is what a recovery phase looks like. The SHIB executive added that the meme coin sits between two states as an asset that is no longer just a meme coin but one that isn’t yet a mature infrastructure network. 

At the time of writing, the Shiba Inu price is trading at around $0.000006774, down almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

SHIB trading at $0.0000068 on the 1D chart | Source: SHIBUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Sketchfab, chart from Tradingview.com

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Scott Matherson is a leading crypto writer at Bitcoinist, who possesses a sharp analytical mind and a deep understanding of the digital currency landscape. Scott has earned a reputation for delivering thought-provoking and well-researched articles that resonate with both newcomers and seasoned crypto enthusiasts. Outside of his writing, Scott is passionate about promoting crypto literacy and often works to educate the public on the potential of blockchain.

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Posted: February 5, 2026

Artificial Intelligence (AI) integration into cryptocurrency appears to be a sustainable trend.

The partnership has led to the launch of multiple AI-driven cryptos like ChainOpera AI, among others like the Fartcoin [FARTCOIN] and Pippin [PIPPIN] memecoins.

ChainOpera AI’s COAI token rallied over 24% in the past 24 hours, though it’s stayed way below its peak valuation. With a potential market structure break in play, will COAI recover some of its cap?

Is COAI’s market structure shift in play? The altcoin crashed by more than 37% on the 18th of January and has since been trading down toward the low that was created. COAI has consolidated for more than five days at these levels around $0.2714.

However, the past 24 hours saw COAI break out from this sideways movement to a day’s high of $0.3331. Since then, the market has entered a pullback, which seems to be confirming the retest area.

The Stochastic RSI was still in the overbought zone at press time, indicating buyers were still interested in the altcoin. Moreover, the MACD suggested that their strength was intact and had been growing despite the last-minute cool-off.

Source: COAI/USDT; TradingView

If the altcoin remains above the consolidation area, COAI may experience a structural shift. Conversely, the weakness might continue draining COAI’s valuation.

With numerical data showing a potential shift, the same is true for on-chain data.

Transactions surge as VCs increase their stake As per data from BscScan, transactions of more than 1 million COAI tokens have been on the rise over the past two weeks. These orders, surpassing the aforementioned scale, moved a total of over 55 million COAI tokens during this period.

While most of them involved exchange-to-exchange transfers, there were a couple of them from individual wallets. This indicated that activity was picking up while also signaling potential accumulation.

Source: BscScan

Venture Capital (VC) has backed these transfers since 2021. AI narratives are ahead of crypto in terms of capital invested by VCs, as per Miles Deutscher.

In 2024, the ratio of AI investments to crypto investments was 8x, and it is projected to be 11x in 2025. This gives COAI a competitive advantage due to its integration of AI.

Source: Miles Deutscher/X

Although individuals and institutions are changing their perspectives on COAI, the liquidity levels present a distinct picture. What is in the details?

Will liquidity derail the breakout? On the Liquidation Heatmap chart, orders formed below the level of $0.30 as the price continued to pull back at press time. Further declines could spark a long squeeze that would in turn accelerate the drop.

Source: CoinGlass

Still, the orders forming above the price of $0.33 may pull the price toward it if they outweigh those below. The price confinement between the liquidity zones places COAI’s price at a critical juncture in its next direction bias.

These thousands of COAI orders could derail the ongoing market structure shift while also providing a chance to accelerate it.

Final Thoughts ChainOpera AI is up 24% amid a structural shift, activity spike, and VC backing. COAI price faces a key test at the retest zone as liquidity continues to build. 

TL;DR:

The Fear & Greed Index craters to 17 points, reflecting a state of widespread panic. Key figures like Gracy Chen and Michael Burry point to critical support levels at 50k. Bitcoin ETFs record massive capital outflows, exceeding $1.3 billion so far this year. The crypto market is going through its most critical moment since the start of 2026. After reaching all-time highs, selling pressure suggests an imminent retreat of the Bitcoin price at $50,000, a level that analysts see as increasingly possible due to the current bearish cycle.

In just one week, the pioneer cryptocurrency retraced 15%, wiping out a large portion of the gains accumulated following recent political events. This action spiked levels of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) to levels not seen since late 2025.

Due to the high volatility, even Changpeng Zhao expressed his short-term distrust. Meanwhile, Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget, warns that an additional 40% drop is possible if the current support is not reclaimed.

Record ETF Outflows and Industry Tensions Institutional instruments have also been hit by the uncertainty. Bitcoin ETF assets under management fell below $100 billion, marking a sharp contrast to the peaks recorded in October.

Funds from Fidelity and ARK Invest led the capital outflows, while BlackRock was the only major player to maintain positive flows. This divergence highlights the fragility of sentiment among professional and retail investors alike.

Furthermore, figures such as Cathie Wood and Star Xu pointed to technical issues and cascading liquidations as triggers for the current damage. Despite these claims, the market continues to search for a solid floor to stop the disaster.

In summary, Bitcoin is now struggling to stay above $74,000, but the lack of immediate organic use complicates the recovery. Consequently, risk management has become the number one priority for traders ahead of the next weekly close.

The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.

Happy Wednesday! Crypto markets are still trying to find their footing, as analysts point to fragmentation in liquidity and performance across venues and assets rather than a decisive directional shift.

In today's newsletter, bitcoin's continued sell-off revives four-year cycle fears, BitMine chair Tom Lee says the treasury firm's unrealized ETH losses are "a feature, not a bug," Ripple Prime adds Hyperliquid in its first DeFi integration, and more.

Meanwhile, Scott Bessent gets grilled over the Trump-linked DeFi project World Liberty Financial and said the Treasury Department does not have the power to "bail out bitcoin."

P.S. Don't forget to check out The Funding, a biweekly rundown of crypto VC trends. It's a great read — and just like The Daily, it's free to subscribe!

'This time is different': Bitcoin drop revives four-year cycle fears, but K33 says another 80% decline is unlikely Bitcoin's BTC approximate 40% drop from its October peak is reviving fears of a classic four-year cycle downturn, even as research and brokerage firm K33 argues the structural backdrop is materially different and a full repeat of past bear markets remains unlikely.

While Head of Research Vetle Lunde has long rejected the idea that bitcoin remains bound to a rigid four-year cycle, he said recent price action is showing "unsettling similarities" to the deep sell-offs seen in 2018 and 2022, with market behavior, rather than fundamentals, increasingly driving prices. Lunde warned that cycle fears can become self-fulfilling as long-term holders trim exposure and new capital hesitates, amplifying downside pressure despite stronger regulatory tailwinds. However, Lunde maintained that "this time is different," saying he does not expect an 80% peak-to-trough collapse similar to previous cycles, pointing to institutional adoption, an easing rate backdrop, and the absence of forced deleveraging events that amplified losses during the 2022 credit unwind. Further, several potential bottoming indicators have begun to flash, Lunde said, including a 90th-percentile spot volume day and extreme negative derivatives positioning following billions of dollars worth of long liquidations. Nevertheless, he cautioned that the signals remain inconclusive, flagging the area around $74,000 as a critical support zone and that a break below that level could accelerate downside momentum toward the November 2021 peak near $69,000 or, further out, the 200-week moving average around $58,000. 'A feature, not a bug': BitMine chair Tom Lee pushes back on claims unrealized ETH treasury losses will cap prices BitMine chair Tom Lee said the firm's unrealized ETH losses during the recent downturn are an expected outcome of an Ethereum treasury strategy, not a signal that future prices will be capped.

Lee pushed back on claims that BitMine's approximate $6.6 billion in unrealized losses make it "exit liquidity," arguing the firm is designed to track and outperform ether over a full market cycle rather than trade short-term moves. With crypto prices under pressure, he said unrealized losses on ETH holdings are "a feature, not a bug," likening the situation to index exchange-traded funds that post losses during broad market declines. Supporters argue that mNAV dynamics act as a natural circuit breaker, limiting dilutive share issuance during drawdowns and preserving capital for future cycles rather than forcing ETH sales and impacting prices. Ripple adds Hyperliquid to its prime brokerage platform in first DeFi integration Ripple has integrated Hyperliquid into Ripple Prime, marking the prime brokerage platform's first direct DeFi venue connection for institutional clients.

Institutions can trade Hyperliquid's onchain derivatives while managing those positions alongside crypto on centralized exchanges as well as other FX and fixed-income exposures, all under a unified risk and margin framework. Ripple Prime remains the sole counterparty, sitting between clients and Hyperliquid, so institutions get DeFi access without fragmenting their prime brokerage relationship or counterparty risk. Ripple Prime was formed following Ripple's $1.25 billion acquisition of Hidden Road, a multi-asset non-bank prime broker, serving more than 300 institutional clients and clearing more than $3 trillion annually. Bitwise to acquire crypto staking provider Chorus One Bitwise is acquiring Chorus One to expand its institutional staking and yield-generating product lineup, according to Bloomberg.

The companies did not disclose financial terms, but Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley said staking represents one of the most compelling growth opportunities for clients holding spot crypto assets. Chorus One CEO Brian Fabian Crain told Bloomberg that consolidation had become increasingly inevitable. "It was also clear that staking is best integrated in a larger platform," he said. Chorus One brings roughly $2.2 billion in staked assets and staking infrastructure to Bitwise, following a record year for M&A in 2025. Fidelity's stablecoin FIDD goes live for retail and institutional investors Fidelity has launched its U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin FIDD for both retail and institutional clients, enabling direct purchase and redemption across its platforms.

FIDD is issued on Ethereum by Fidelity Digital Assets and can be traded on external crypto exchanges, with reserves managed by Fidelity Management & Research and transferable to any Ethereum mainnet address. The rollout follows increased U.S. regulatory clarity under the GENIUS Act and underscores Fidelity's push beyond crypto investment products into issuing onchain financial instruments. In the next 24 hours The Bank of England's latest interest rate decision is due at 7 a.m. ET on Thursday. U.S. jobless claims numbers follow at 8:30 a.m. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will speak at 7:30 a.m. U.S. FOMC member Raphael Bostic follows at 10:50 a.m. Aerodrome Finance and Ethena are among the crypto projects set for token unlocks. Digital Assets Forum 2026 kicks off in London. Never miss a beat with The Block's daily digest of the most influential events happening across the digital asset ecosystem.

Disclaimer: This article was produced with the assistance of OpenAI’s ChatGPT/xAI’s Grok and reviewed and edited by our editorial team.

Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.

© 2026 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, recently declared that Bitcoin is in a bear market that could extend through the third quarter of 2026.

He's not alone. Matt Hougan at Bitwise and a growing chorus of institutional voices are using the “bear” label more freely than at any point since early 2023.

Yet the same analysts often hedge with structure: many institutions are holding or adding exposure even as they acknowledge the regime shift.

This creates a definitional problem. If a bear market no longer means capitulation and exodus, what does it mean?

And if the famous four-year cycle is dead, as VanEck, K33 Research, and 21Shares have each argued in recent reports, how long does a bear market last when the old calendar no longer applies?

What configures a bear marketThe traditional finance definition for a bear market offers a starting point.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission defines a bear market as a broad index falling 20% or more over at least two months. Bitcoin cleared that threshold months ago.

From its early October 2025 peak above $126,000, BTC has declined by roughly 41% to approximately $74,000 as of Feb. 3. By the headline standard, the case is closed.

However, Coinbase Institutional research explicitly calls the 20% threshold “somewhat arbitrary” and less applicable to crypto, where 20% swings can happen without a true regime change.

In practice, analysts rely on a three-part dashboard: price trend, positioning and derivatives, and demand and liquidity.

Price trend is the most visible. CryptoQuant leans heavily on the 365-day moving average as a boundary marker.

Bitcoin currently trades below that level, which sits around $101,448. CryptoQuant's Bull Score Index, a composite measure of on-chain health, registered 20 out of 100, described as extreme bear territory.

Coinbase has used the 200-day moving average in past cycle analyses to qualify bear regimes, and Bitcoin remains below that threshold as well.

Positioning and derivatives offer a second signal. Glassnode's recent Week On-Chain reports document rotation toward downside protection, bearish skew in options markets, and conditions that increase downside sensitivity, including dealer gamma below zero.

When traders pay premiums to hedge against further declines rather than to capture upside, the market is behaving defensively.

Demand and liquidity provide the structural context. CoinShares estimates that large holders have sold approximately $29 billion in Bitcoin since October. Digital asset exchange-traded products saw approximately $440 million in year-to-date outflows.

CryptoQuant and MarketWatch characterize the current regime as weak demand combined with contracting stablecoin liquidity, classic ingredients of a bear market.

The latest Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode global investor survey, conducted from Dec. 10, 2025, to Jan. 12, 2026, found that 26% of institutions now describe the market as being in the bear phase. The results are up from just 2% in the prior survey.

Yet the same survey revealed that 62% of institutions held or increased net long exposure since October, and 70% view Bitcoin as undervalued.

This disconnect is the defining feature of the 2026 bear market. It's not about capitulation—it's about regime recognition while maintaining structural exposure.

The label “bear market” is becoming less about who is fleeing and more about who is still buying, even as sentiment remains terrible.

Bitcoin fell 41% from its early October 2025 peak of approximately $126,000 to around $74,000 on Feb. 3, 2026, trading below both the 200-day and 365-day moving averages.When does this bear market end?Defining the end of a bear market requires clarity about what “end” means.

The most rigorous approach treats it as a regime shift rather than a feeling. Analysts identify three practical triggers: trend reclamation, demand inflection, and risk appetite normalization.

Trend reclaim occurs when Bitcoin regains and holds above long-term moving averages, such as the 200-day or 365-day, for multiple weeks.

Demand inflection means exchange-traded fund and exchange-traded product flows shift from subdued or negative to sustained inflows, and large-holder distribution slows.

Risk appetite normalization means options skew returns to balanced levels, with less demand for downside protection and leverage building sustainably.

The forward-looking scenarios cluster into three time horizons, each supported by specific analyst commentary.

The first scenario is a classic crypto winter that extends through mid or late 2026.

Julio Moreno has identified $70,000 over three to six months and $56,000 in the second half of 2026 as a deeper potential path. This scenario assumes demand stays weak, flows remain negative, and Bitcoin fails repeated attempts to reclaim its moving averages. Bear-market rallies happen but fail to hold.

The second scenario is a shorter, shallower bear market lasting three to six months, characterized by choppy, range-bound price action, followed by improving conditions in the second half of 2026.

CoinShares explicitly expects a choppy three-to-six-month period, with medium-term constructive conditions as whale selling exhausts by mid-2026.

In this framing, the bear market is more about time than depth: a regime in which upside is capped until demand reverses, but the floor holds.

The third scenario treats the bear market as a liquidity-wave event rather than a calendar-based cycle.

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The bear ends when demand and liquidity re-accelerate, regardless of what the halving clock says. This maps directly onto CryptoQuant's demand-led framing and avoids determinism stemming from halving. It acknowledges that the old playbook may no longer apply.

ScenarioHorizonWhat it looks likePrimary triggers to watchWhat would invalidate itClassic winter (Moreno path)Mid/late 2026Failed rallies; deeper retestsSustained failure to reclaim 200D/365D; weak flows; persistent downside hedgingReclaim + hold above MAs and flows flip sustainably positiveShort, shallow bear (CoinShares path)3–6 monthsRange-bound chop; capped upsideStabilizing ETP flows; whale selling slows/exhaustsBreakdown below key support zones with rising liquidation pressureLiquidity-wave regime (post 4-year cycle)VariableEnds when liquidity/demand turns, not a calendarGlobal liquidity proxies, real yields, stablecoin liquidity, hedging demandLiquidity improves but BTC still can’t reclaim long MAs (suggests structural weakness)Is this bear market smaller than past cycles?The current drawdown of roughly 40% is already small compared to the stereotypical over 70% crypto winters of prior cycles.

However, multiple analysts' downside scenarios cluster around $55,000 to $60,000, implying a total drawdown closer to the mid-50% range if realized.

That would still be smaller than historic extremes but meaningful enough to qualify as a bear market by any standard.

The market is also increasingly bifurcated. Bitcoin holds structural leadership, whereas much of the rest of the crypto market performs far worse.

The Coinbase and Glassnode report emphasize this via dominance metrics and defensive positioning behavior. The 2026 market is K-shaped, and the “bear market” may affect asset classes unevenly.

The four-year cycle is over, but what replaces it?VanEck argued in 2025 that the four-year cycle had broken and that the old playbook was less reliable.

K33 Research published a report titled “4-year cycle is dead, long live the king,” which lays out why the regime changed.

21Shares describes the cycle as evolving, potentially extending to five years, as liquidity waves lengthen and institutional participation deepens.

What replaces the four-year clock is a liquidity-and-flows clock. This includes real yields, global liquidity impulses, flows of exchange-traded funds and exchange-traded products, stablecoin liquidity, and hedging demand.

CoinShares explicitly frames Bitcoin's recent dislocation in terms of relationships with precious metals and macro liquidity. Coinbase and Glassnode emphasize a defensive derivatives posture as a real-time regime indicator.

The implication for bear market duration is that bear markets may become more frequent but less severe. Instead of existential winters, the market may experience more frequent regime drawdowns if institutional flows provide a floor.

Rallies can still fail until demand and liquidity turn, but the underlying structure may prevent the kind of multi-year capitulation that has defined past cycles.

This creates a paradox. The bear market may last longer in calendar time but inflict less damage in percentage terms. Or it may end sooner if demand inflects before the old cycle logic would predict.

Either way, the clock that governed Bitcoin for a decade no longer governs it.

Institutional investors calling the market “bear phase” jumped from 2% to 26% in recent surveys, yet 62% held or increased positions and 70% view Bitcoin as undervalued.The checklist matters more than the calendarIn 2026, calling a bear market isn't one metric, but a checklist.

Trend breaks, hedging demand, and a demand-liquidity rollover all point in the same direction. Bitcoin is in a bear regime by most frameworks that matter.

When it ends depends less on the halving calendar and more on the timing of the demand cycle. CoinShares expects three to six months of chop. CryptoQuant sees potential for deeper lows in the second half of the year.

Both could be right at different moments if the regime oscillates rather than resolves cleanly.

The four-year cycle is dead, but the question of when this bear ends is not unanswerable. It ends when Bitcoin reclaims its long-term moving averages, when institutional flows turn positive, and when options markets stop pricing for protection.

Until then, the market is in a regime where upside is capped, and patience is required. Even if institutions keep buying while calling it a bear.

Mentioned in this articlePosted in

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Posted: February 5, 2026

RaveDAO [RAVE], an entertainment-focused blockchain, is back on the daily gainers chart, surging by 10% in the past 24 hours, at press time.

This rally replicated the initial success of the cryptocurrency upon its launch. From a technical perspective, the shift seemed closer than before, but the strength of the bulls was questionable.

Is a RAVE crypto market reversal panning out? To begin with, RAVE sprang out from a week’s sideways movement between $0.31 and $0.35. This breakout resulted in the aforementioned gains as the chart showed the bigger picture on a micro level.

It was evident that buyers were gaining momentum on the hourly chart. The global volume rose from $108 billion to about $120 billion asof writing,  according to the Cumulative Volume Index (CVI) on the NYSE.

This meant that the increase in trading activity was on the buy side for RAVE crypto.

RAVE/USDT on TradingView

RAVE’s recent price action appears to be repeating its initial move, with the larger timeframe chart showing a long‑term reversal pattern forming near the token’s launch price.

On the daily chart, the altcoin is trading close to the neckline. If it holds above $0.40, this could signal a shift toward a bullish market bias, provided buyers remain steady.

February has been bullish for RAVE, and now could be the opportune time for buyers. Still, traders needed to be wary of the general market downturn that has seen Bitcoin [BTC] dip to $75,000.

RAVE/USDT on TradingView

At press time, the MACD bars were green and increasing in size on the daily chart and more pronounced on the hourly. This indicates synchronization between the larger and smaller timeframes.

However, recent trends of RAVE bulls were something to worry about. But why?

Can bulls sustain the surge? As per data from CoinGlass, recent bull trends have not been sustainable. In fact, bears have maintained the largest level of control since mid-December 2025. Only a few moments have bulls had control in terms of volume traded.

While the buying has shifted green with a Long/Short Ratio of 1.0425, at press time, the sustainability of the bulls is uncertain. This was evident since the Long/Short Ratio for accounts on Binance had dipped slightly below 1.

Source: CoinGlass

These buyers outdid sellers after a week of sales.

Data from multiple exchanges highlighted buyer uncertainty. On Binance, whales showed strong bullish sentiment, yet their accounts remained in the red.

Whales on OKX were neutral, while those on Gate leaned bullish. The only consistency appeared on the hourly chart, where Long/Short Ratios aligned across exchanges. Retail traders, however, were bullish across the board.

Source: CoinGlass

Traders could capitalize on RAVE crypto’s initial success to drive sentiment, as noted by AMBCrypto earlier on. Still, buyers needed to show more resilience to push the crypto back to levels above $0.75.

Final Thoughts RAVE rallies by double digits in 24 hours as longs outdo shorts.  The price action has formed a long-term reversal pattern, but the strength of buyers is questionable. 

Morph said it has adopted BGB as its primary ecosystem token and integrated Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), according to a post published on the project’s official blog.

The update positions BGB as the main token for gas fees, incentives, and ecosystem alignment on Morph, while CCIP is activated to enable secure cross-chain messaging and token transfers. Morph said the integration is designed to reduce fragmentation, improve developer experience, and allow applications on Morph to interact with other networks using standardized infrastructure rather than custom bridges.

According to the announcement, Chainlink CCIP provides built-in risk management and reliability features, which Morph said are critical as cross-chain activity scales. The move is framed as an infrastructure upgrade aimed at supporting more complex use cases, including cross-chain DeFi and application composability, without changing user-facing workflows.

Next, market participants will be watching how quickly developers adopt CCIP-enabled tooling on Morph and whether BGB usage grows across fees, incentives, and onchain activity as applications begin leveraging cross-chain connectivity.

Source: Morph Network blog.   

Disclaimer: Crypto Economy Flash News are based on verified public and official sources. Their purpose is to provide fast, factual updates about relevant events in the crypto and blockchain ecosystem.

This information does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendation. Readers are encouraged to verify all details through official project channels before making any related decisions.

Stifel Financial Corp. (NYSE: SF) has issued a bold midterm prediction for Bitcoin (BTC) price. With Bitcoin price down 42% from its peak to hit a 14 month low of about $72k earlier today, Stifel stated that the flagship coin is on the cusp of further capitulation, with a target of $38k.

Stifel Warns of a 46% Bitcoin Drop in 2026With the crypto market having lost more than $1.7 trillion in the past few months, Stifel cautioned that institutional and retail interest has dropped heavily. As such, the behemoth financial institution believes that the extreme fear will push Bitcoin price to $38,000 in coming months.

Stifel based this Bitcoin prediction on the past cycles, where a potential top was hit in October 2025. The bank cited tighter Fed’s policy, slow U.S. crypto regulations, shrinking liquidity, and heavy spot BTC ETFs outflow as the lagging indicator for a major selloff ahead. 

What’s the Bigger PictureBitcoin price is well positioned to rally exponentially before the end of 2026 catalyzed by supportive liquidity flow. Moreover, the weakening U.S. dollar amid expected reversal of Gold price is a lagging indicator for a bullish Bitcoin outlook.

Moreover, Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, believes that Bitcoin price is very close to its bear market bottom.  According to John Deaton, Bitcoin price has suffered suppression through paper contracts in a similar manner as Silver by the traditional banks.

Nevertheless, Bitcoin is well poised to rebound backed by the notable decline in its supply amid a rising demand. Earlier today, Senator Cynthia Lummis urged Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to buy Bitcoin using the country’s Gold reserves.

Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.

Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) struggle to hold above $70,000 carried on into Wednesday, raising concerns that the a drop into the $60,000 range could be the next stop. The sell-off was accompanied by futures market liquidations, a $55 billion drop in BTC open interest (OI) over the past 30 days, and rising Bitcoin inflows to exchanges.

The price weakness has analysts debating whether crypto-specific factors or larger macro-economic issues are the driving factor behind the sell-off and what it may mean for BTC’s short-term future.

Key takeaways: 

Around 744,000 BTC in open interest exited major exchanges in 30 days, equal to roughly $55 billion at current prices.

BTC futures cumulative volume delta (CVD) fell by $40 billion over the past 6-months.

Crypto exchange reserves have risen by 34,000 BTC since mid-January, increasing the near-term supply risk.

Bitcoin weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewBTC open interest collapse points to large-scale deleveragingCryptoQuant data noted that Bitcoin’s 30-day open interest change shows a sharp contraction across exchanges, reflecting widespread position closures, not just freshly opened short positions. 

On Binance, the net open interest fell by 276,869 BTC over the past month. Bybit recorded the largest decline at 330,828 BTC, while OKX saw a reduction of 136,732 BTC on Tuesday.

In total, roughly 744,000 BTC worth of open positions were closed, equivalent to more than $55 billion at current prices. This drop in open positions coincided with Bitcoin’s drop below $75,000, indicating deleveraging as a driving factor, not just spot selling.

Bitcoin open interest 30D change. Source: CryptoQuantOnchain analyst Boris highlighted that the cumulative volume delta (CVD) data shows market sell orders continue to dominate, particularly on Binance, where derivatives CVD sits near -$38 billion over the past six months.

Other exchanges show varying dynamics: Bybit’s CVD flattened near $100 million after a sharp December liquidation wave, while HTX stabilized at -$200 million in CVD as the price consolidates near $74,000.

Increased exchange flows add pressure as analysts watch key levelsMeanwhile, Bitcoin inflows to exchanges surged in January, totaling roughly 756,000 BTC, led by Binance and Coinbase. Since early February, inflows have exceeded 137,000 BTC, underscoring traders’ repositioning and not necessarily leaving the market.

On the supply side, analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted that exchange reserves have risen from 2.718 million BTC to 2.752 million BTC since Jan. 19. The analyst warned that continued growth above 2.76 million BTC could increase selling pressure. The analyst believed that a complete capitulation is yet to take place, which may happen at lower price levels.

Bitcoin exchange reserves. Source: CryptoQuantMarket analyst Scient said Bitcoin is unlikely to form a bottom in a single day or week. Durable market bottoms may develop through two to three months of consolidation near the major support zones, with higher time frame indicators. Scient noted that whether this structure forms in the high $60,000 range or the low $50,000 level remains unclear.

Bitcoin Trader Mark Cullen continues to see potential downside toward $50,000 in a broader macro scenario, but expects a short-term reversion toward the local point of control ($89,000 to $86,000) after BTC swept weekly lows below $74,000 on Tuesday. 

Mark Cullen’s LTF BTC analysis. Source: XThis article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.

Key Takeaways ABBV posted Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.71 and revenues of $16.62B, both beating consensus estimates.AbbVie saw strong growth from Skyrizi and Rinvoq, while Humira and Imbruvica sales declined year over year.ABBV guided 2026 adjusted EPS of $14.37-$14.57, excluding impacts from proposed acquisitions. AbbVie Inc. (ABBV - Free Report) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $2.71, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.66. The reported figure also exceeded the company’s guidance of $2.61-$2.65 issued last month. Earnings rose more than 25% year over year.

ABBV’s revenues of $16.62 billion beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.36 billion. Sales rose 10.0% year over year on a reported basis and 9.5% on an operational basis. This reported figure also surpassed the company’s forecast of over $16.30 billion.

Revenues in the quarter were driven by robust sales of key drugs Rinvoq, Skyrizi, Venclexta and Vraylar, coupled with significant contributions from newer drugs, namely Ubrelvy, Qulipta, Elahere and Vyalev. Sales of Humira and Imbruvica declined year over year.

All growth rates mentioned below are on a year-on-year basis and at constant exchange rates (CER).

Immunology Drugs Drive ABBV’s Top LineIn immunology, net revenues from Rinvoq for the quarter totaled $2.37 billion, up nearly 29%. The upside was likely driven by market share gains across all approved indications, as well as the recent label expansion in giant cell arteritis across the United States and the EU last year. However, Rinvoq’s sales missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.39 billion.

Net revenues recorded from Skyrizi were $5.01 billion, up about 32%. This surge in sales was likely driven by strong volume growth and continued market share gains. Skyrizi sales beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.91 billion.

AbbVie’s flagship product Humira recorded a sales decline of 26% to $1.25 billion for the quarter. Sales in the United States declined 28% to $897 million, while ex-U.S. market sales were down 21% to $349 million. However, the drug’s overall sales beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $949 million.

This substantial decline in Humira sales was due to the drug’s loss of exclusivity in the United States since January 2023. The drug lost its exclusivity in ex-U.S. territories in 2018.

ABBV Neuroscience Drugs’ PerformanceSales from the neuroscience portfolio rose more than 17% to $2.96 billion, driven by higher sales of Botox Therapeutic, depression drug Vraylar, and migraine drugs Ubrelvy and Qulipta. Yet, the franchise’s sales missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.00 billion.

While Botox Therapeutic sales rose 13% to $990 million, sales of Vraylar increased 10.5% to $1.02 billion.

Sales of Ubrelvy totaled $339 million, up 12%. Qulipta sales rose 42% to $288 million.

Sales of Vyalev, the recently approved transformative therapy for advanced Parkinson’s disease, totaled $183 million compared with $138 million in the previous quarter.

ABBV Oncology Drugs’ PerformanceSales from the oncology franchise fell 2.5% to $1.66 billion in the quarter. This downtick was due to declining Imbruvica sales, which more than offset the growth in sales of newer oncology drugs, Epkinly and Elahere, as well as rising Venclexta sales. The metric missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.72 billion.

Fourth-quarter net revenues from Imbruvica were down 21% to $671 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $715 million. ABBV markets this drug in partnership with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ - Free Report) .

U.S. sales of J&J-partnered Imbruvica declined 25% to $469 million due to rising competition from novel oral treatments. AbbVie shares international profits earned from Imbruvica with J&J. The company’s share of profit from the drug’s international sales declined 9% to $202 million.

AbbVie’s leukemia drug Venclexta generated revenues of $710 million in the reported quarter, reflecting growth of more than 6% growth. Yet, this drug’s sales missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $725 million. The company markets Venclexta in collaboration with Roche (RHHBY - Free Report) .

Sales of the breast cancer drug, Elahere, rose more than 21% to $182 million. However, the metric missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $192 million.

Epkinly sales, which comprise AbbVie’s share of profit from U.S. revenues and product revenues from international markets, amounted to $81 million in the quarter compared with $69 million in the previous quarter. The drug is marketed in partnership with Genmab (GMAB - Free Report) .

ABBV’s Aesthetics & Other DrugsAbbVie’s aesthetics portfolio sales were down 1% to $1.29 billion, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.28 billion. Botox Cosmetic sales rose about 4% to $717 million. Juvederm sales declined 11% to $249 million.

Eye care portfolio sales declined 11% to $580 million. Sales of Ozurdex, a key drug in the portfolio, rose more than 4% to $128 million.

Cost DiscussionAdjusted SG&A expenses rose 4% year over year to $3.71 billion. Adjusted R&D expenses amounted to $2.56 billion, up around 13%.

Full-Year 2025 ResultsFull-year sales rose 8.6% on a reported basis and 8.5% on an operational basis to $61.16 billion, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $60.93 billion. Sales were slightly higher than the guided figure of about $60.9 billion.

Adjusted EPS for 2025 were $10.00 per share, down 1% year over year. This metric beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.95 as well as the guided range of $9.90 and $9.94.

AbbVie Issues Encouraging 2026 Financial OutlookAbbVie issued fresh guidance for the full year. It expects adjusted EPS to be in the range of $14.37-$14.57. This guided range does not include any impact from the company’s proposed acquisitions and potential milestone payments. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings is pinned at $14.32 per share.

Our Take on ABBV’s ResultsAbbVie’s first-quarter results were better than expected, with both the top- and bottom-lines beating the consensus mark. The company also issued fresh EPS guidance for 2026, likely driven by the encouraging sales potential of its marketed products, especially Skyrizi. The aesthetics franchise also made a recovery in the segment after a prolonged period of soft performance, while Humira sales, despite continued generic erosion, exceeded expectations.

Despite these positives, AbbVie’s shares were trading lower in pre-market trading today. This was likely due to the soft sales performance of Rinvoq and oncology drugs, which fell short of expectations.

In the past year, the stock has gained about 19% compared with the industry’s 16% growth.

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Looking ahead, AbbVie’s continued focus on inorganic growth is aimed at strengthening its early-stage pipeline across multiple therapeutic areas and supporting long-term growth. The decline in full-year 2025 EPS largely reflects the company’s recent spree of acquisitions and licensing deals, which have weighed on near-term earnings.

In the past year, EPS was impacted by $2.72 due to IPR&D charges of approximately $5.02 billion, tied to aggressive business development efforts. These include the acquisitions of privately held immunology drugmaker Capstan Therapeutics and a psychedelic compound from Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals.

ABBV’s Zacks RankAbbVie currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla., Feb. 04, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL), the nation’s leading builder of luxury homes, today announced the opening of its newest 55+ active-adult community,  Regency at EverRange, in Jacksonville, Florida. This exclusive, gated community offers two collections of elegant single-story homes and access to private Regency amenities as well as additional amenities within the EverRange master plan. The Toll Brothers Sales Center is now open at 12136 Endeavor Drive in Jacksonville.

The Acadia Collection within Regency at EverRange features thoughtfully designed single-family homes ranging from approximately 1,980 to 2,247+ square feet with 2 to 3 bedrooms, 2 to 2.5 baths, and 2-car garages. Homes in the Acadia Collection are priced from the mid-$500,000s. The Willow Collection offers larger single-family home designs ranging from 2,543 to 2,896+ square feet with 3 to 4 bedrooms, 2.5 to 3.5 baths, and 3-car garages. Homes in the Willow Collection are priced from the mid-$600,000s. Each home design showcases open-concept floor plans and sophisticated features perfect for active-adult living.

"Regency at EverRange offers a unique opportunity for home shoppers to enjoy luxury, low-maintenance living in a vibrant and well-connected location," said Greg Netro, Group President of Toll Brothers in North Florida. "With two collections of stunning homes and access to incredible amenities, this active adult community truly delivers the Toll Brothers lifestyle our customers desire."

Private Regency amenities include a clubhouse, resort-style pool, fitness center, pickleball and tennis courts, and a yoga lawn. Residents will also have access to the extensive master-planned amenities of EverRange, including a resort-style pool, outdoor gathering space, splash pad, playground, pickleball courts, dog parks, and multipurpose trails. Located between Nocatee and eTown, the community is conveniently close to premier shopping, dining, golf, healthcare, and major commuter routes.

Home shoppers will experience one-stop shopping at the Toll Brothers Design Studio. The state-of-the-art Design Studio allows home shoppers to choose from a wide array of selections to personalize their dream home with the assistance of Toll Brothers professional Design Consultants.

For more information on Regency at EverRange, visit TollBrothers.com/FL or call 844-871-7466.

About Toll Brothers

Toll Brothers, Inc., a Fortune 500 Company, is the nation’s leading builder of luxury homes. The Company was founded in 1967 and became a public company in 1986 with common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “TOL.” Toll Brothers builds new homes and communities in over 60 markets across the United States, serving first-time, move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. The Company also operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, smart home technology, landscape, and building components manufacturing businesses.

Toll Brothers was named the #1 Most Admired Home Builder in Fortune magazine’s 2026 list of the World’s Most Admired Companies®, the ninth year the Company has achieved this honor. Toll Brothers has also been named Builder of the Year by Builder magazine and is the first two-time recipient of Builder of the Year from Professional Builder magazine. For more information visit TollBrothers.com.

From Fortune, ©2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All rights reserved. Used under license.

Contact: Andrea Meck | Toll Brothers, Senior Director, Public Relations & Social Media | 215-938-8169 | [email protected]

Photos accompanying this announcement are available at:

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Key Takeaways RYAAY transported 12.7 million passengers in January 2026, a 2% year-over-year increase.RYAAY's January 2026 load factor of 91% was flat year over year, reflecting stable and consistent demand.RYAAY operated more than 73,000 flights in January 2026. Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY - Free Report) , a European carrier, reported solid traffic numbers for January 2026, driven by upbeat air-travel demand.

The number of passengers transported on Ryanair flights was 12.7 million in January 2026, reflecting a 2% year-over-year increase. Ryanair’s load factor (percentage of seats filled by passengers) remained flat year over year at 91% in January 2026, reflecting stable and consistent demand for the carrier’s services. RYAAY operated more than 73,000 flights in January 2026.

With travel bookings rising across the industry, Ryanair’s passenger revenues are also increasing. Because of this air-travel demand strength, RYAAY's traffic grew 9% year over year to 183.7 million passengers in fiscal 2024. Further, we would like to remind investors that Ryanair carried 200.2 million passengers (traffic up 9% year over year) in its fiscal year ending March 2025, positioning itself as the first European airline to reach 200 million passengers in a single year. As a result, RYAAY is now the world’s leading low-fare airline in terms of passenger traffic, with low fares and reduced costs acting as the main catalyst. During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, RYAAY’s traffic grew 4% year over year to 166.5 million passengers. 

Given the aforesaid encouraging backdrops, Ryanair has unveiled its raised traffic outlook for fiscal 2026 (concurrent with its third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release on Jan. 26, 2026). Ryanair now expects its fiscal 2026 traffic to grow by 4% to 208 million passengers (prior view: 207 million), owing to earlier than expected Boeing (BA - Free Report) deliveries and solid demand during the first nine months of fiscal 2026.

RYAAY’s Zacks Rank & Price PerformanceRYAAY currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

Shares of RYAAY have gained 51% over the past year, outperforming the 13.5% increase of the Zacks Airline industry.

RYAAY Stock’s One-Year Price Comparison Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Other Stocks to ConsiderInvestors interested in the Transportation sector may also considerSouthwest Airlines Co. (LUV - Free Report) and LATAM Airlines Group (LTM - Free Report) .

Southwest Airlines presently carries a Zacks Rank #1. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Southwest Airlines has an expected earnings growth rate of more than 100% for the current year. The company has an encouraging earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters (missed the mark in the remaining quarter), delivering an average beat of 253.92%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for LUV’s 2026 earnings has moved 43.7% north in the past 90 days. Shares of Southwest Airlines have gained 65.7% over the past year.

LTM presently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). LTM has an expected earnings growth rate of 52.63% for the current year. The company has a solid earnings surprise history. Its earnings outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters, and met in the remaining one, delivering an average beat of 29.84%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for LTM’s 2026 earnings has moved 5.34% north in the past 60 days. LTM shares gained 120.6% in the past year.

Boston, Massachusetts--(Newsfile Corp. - February 4, 2026) - Block & Leviton reminds investors that a securities fraud lawsuit has been filed against Klarna Group plc (NYSE: KLAR) and certain of its executives. Investors who have lost money in their Klarna Group investment should contact the firm to learn more about how they might recover those losses. For more details, visit https://blockleviton.com/cases/klar.

What is this all about?

Klarna Group conducted its IPO at $40 per share on September 10, 2025. The complaint alleges that Klarna Group's Registration Statement contained false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) Defendants materially understated the risk that its loss reserves would materially go up within a few months of the IPO, which they either knew of or should have known of given the risk profile of many individuals agreeing to Klarna's buy now, pay later ("BNPL") loans; and (2); as a result, defendants' public statements were materially false and misleading at all relevant times and negligently prepared. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.

‍ Who is eligible?

Anyone who purchased Klarna Group plc common stock and has seen their shares fall may be eligible, whether or not they have sold their investment. Investors should contact Block & Leviton to learn more.

What should you do next?

The deadline to seek appointment as lead plaintiff is March 6, 2026. A class has not yet been certified, and until a certification occurs, you are not represented by an attorney. If you choose to take no action, you can remain an absent class member. If you've lost money on your investment, you should contact Block & Leviton to learn more via our case website, by email at [email protected], or by phone at (888) 256-2510.

Whistleblower?

If you have non-public information about Klarna Group, you should consider assisting in our investigation or working with our attorneys to file a report with the Securities Exchange Commission under their whistleblower program. Whistleblowers who provide original information to the SEC may receive rewards of up to 30% of any successful recovery. For more information, contact Block & Leviton at [email protected] or by phone at (888) 256-2510.

Why should you contact Block & Leviton?

Block & Leviton is widely regarded as one of the leading securities class action firms in the country. Our attorneys have recovered billions of dollars for defrauded investors and are dedicated to obtaining significant recoveries on behalf of our clients through active litigation in the federal courts across the country. Many of the nation's top institutional investors hire us to represent their interests. You can learn more about us at our website, www.blockleviton.com, call (888) 256-2510 or email [email protected] with any questions.

This notice may constitute attorney advertising.

CONTACT:
BLOCK & LEVITON LLP
260 Franklin St., Suite 1860
Boston, MA 02110
Phone: (888) 256-2510
Email: [email protected]

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/282720

Source: Block & Leviton LLP

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February 04, 2026 13:38 ET  | Source: Alexander's, Inc.

PARAMUS, N.J., Feb. 04, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Alexander’s, Inc. (NYSE: ALX) today announced that its Board of Directors has declared a regular quarterly dividend of $4.50 per share payable on February 27, 2026 to stockholders of record on February 17, 2026.

Alexander’s, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that has five properties in New York City.

CONTACT:
GARY HANSEN
(201) 587-8541

Certain statements contained herein constitute forward-looking statements as such term is defined in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They represent our intentions, plans, expectations and beliefs and are subject to numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Our future results, financial condition and business may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements. Many of the factors that will determine the outcome of these and our other forward-looking statements are beyond our ability to control or predict. Currently, some of the factors are interest rate fluctuations and the effects of inflation on our business, financial condition, results of operations, cash flows, operating performance and the effect that these factors have had and may continue to have on our tenants, the global, national, regional and local economies and financial markets and the real estate market in general. For further discussion of factors that could materially affect the outcome of our forward-looking statements, see "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in Part I of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024. For these statements, we claim the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or any person acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section.

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Key Takeaways CLS delivered Q4 earnings and revenue beats, driven by 64% year-over-year growth in the CCS segment.CLS saw strong demand for 400G and 800G switches and AI/ML compute programs, driving the top line.CLS generated strong free cash flow, but faces ATS weakness and customer concentration risk. Celestica, Inc. (CLS - Free Report) recorded strong fourth-quarter 2025 results with adjusted earnings and revenues beating the respective Zacks Consensus Estimate. Top-line expansion year over year is backed by strong growth in the Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) segment. Management’s emphasis on innovation, product diversification and AI advancements was a key growth driver.

CLS Rides on Strength in CCS Segment and Robust LiquidityCelestica is benefiting from healthy traction in the CCS segment, backed by robust demand in the Communication and Enterprise businesses. Resilient demand for 400G switches and 800G network switch adoption is driving growth in the Communications end market. Ramping of a next-generation AI/ML compute program with a large hyperscaler customer is driving growth in the Enterprise business. Revenues from the Enterprise business were up by 33% year over year, while the communications end market generated 79% year over year growth in net sales. Total revenues in the Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) segment improved 64% year over year to $2.86 billion.

The company is closely working with Google on the development of complex data center hardware and systems. It is the preferred manufacturing partner for Google’s Tensor Processing Unit (TPU). The company is steadily expanding its capacity and capabilities in the United States and globally to support growing adoption of Google’s custom silicon TPU systems.

In the fourth quarter of 2025, Celestica generated $250.6 million in cash from operations compared with $143.4 million in the year-ago quarter. Free cash flow was $155.9 million, up 62.7% year over year. This accentuates efficient capital management and implies that the company is well-positioned to invest in growth initiatives, as well as pay debt and dividends.

The company’s inventory balance was $2.19 billion, up $427 million compared to the prior year. Cash cycle days were 61 days; an improvement of 8 days compared to the prior year quarter. A cash cycle indicates the average time it takes to convert inventory goods into cash through sales. Celestica’s reduced cash cycle days are a positive factor. Moreover, CLS’ strong liquidity better positions it to navigate economic downturns and capitalize on emerging growth opportunities in the electronics manufacturing service industry.

Major Challenges for CLSCelestica’s growth is highly dependent on AI data center spending by hyperscalers. Any downtrend in hyperscaler capex can significantly impact demand for Celestica’s data center solutions. Moreover, the company is highly exposed to significant customer concentration risk. Its largest three customers generated approximately 63% of total revenues in the fourth quarter of 2025. The company operates in a highly competitive electronics manufacturing services industry. It faces competition from other industry leaders such as Jabil, Inc. (JBL - Free Report) , Sanmina and Flex Ltd. (FLEX - Free Report) . Given the competitive nature of the industry, any changes in the demand pattern of any of the major customers can have a significant negative impact on the company’s financial results.

It is also witnessing weakness in the Advanced Technology Solutions segment. Revenues declined 1% year over year in the fourth quarter. Capital Equipment business remains soft. The Aerospace and Defense portfolio reshaping strategy is weighing on growth in this segment.

Moreover, the company generates the lion’s share of its revenues outside of North America. This exposes it to foreign exchange fluctuations. Growing geopolitical volatility worldwide can impact the company’s operations.

Price PerformanceCelestica has increased 125.4% in the past year compared with the Electronics - Manufacturing Services industry’s growth of 74.4%. The stock has outperformed the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the S&P 500 during the same time frame.

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The company has outperformed its peers like Jabil and Flex. Shares of Jabil have jumped 51.8% and shares of Flex have risen 57.4%.

Estimate Revision TrendEarnings estimates for Celestica for 2025 and 2026 have increased over the past 60 days.

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Key Valuation Metric of CLSFrom a valuation standpoint, CLS is currently trading at a premium compared to the industry. Going by the price/earnings ratio, the company’s shares currently trade at 34.42 forward 12-month earnings, higher than 23.59 for the industry.

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

End NoteCelestica is witnessing solid momentum in the CCS segment, backed by solid demand for the company’s enterprise-level data communications and information processing infrastructure products, such as routers, switches, and data center interconnects. Strong growth in cash flow and robust liquidity are positive factors. Capital discipline and efficient capital management are tailwinds.

However, demand softness in the ATS segment due to softness in the capital equipment business is weighing on the top line. Customer concentration and high dependence on hyperscalers’ AI-related spending remain a major concern. With a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), CLS appears to be treading in the middle of the road, and new investors could be better off if they trade with caution. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.