Dogecoin price dropped for two consecutive days after hitting the 50-day Exponential Moving Average as demand dropped and key headwinds rose.
Summary
Dogecoin price has slumped in the past few months. Spot DOGE ETFs inflows have stalled this year. The futures open interest has continued falling, while the funding rate has turned negative. Dogecoin (DOGE) token dropped to the important support level at $0.100, much lower than this month’s high of $0.1176. It remains ~67% from its highest level in 2025.
The coin faces major headwinds, which may drag its price in the near term. For example, it faces a major challenge on the ongoing crypto market crash, which has affected Bitcoin and most altcoins.
Additionally, the futures open interest has continued falling in the past few months, moving from a high of $5.20 billion in September to the current $1.16 billion. Falling open interest is a sign that demand has continued falling in the past few months.
More data shows that the weighted funding rate has remained in the red in the past few days. It dropped to the lowest level since February 10. A falling funding rate is a sign that investors believe that the coin will continue falling in the near term.
The same is happening in the exchange-traded fund market this year. Data compiled by SoSoValue shows that spot three spot DOGE ETFs by companies like Grayscale, 21Shares, and Bitwise have not had any inflows or outflows since February 3 this year. These funds now have had over $6.67 million in cumulative inflows, bringing the net inflows to $8.69 million.
Dogecoin price technical analysis DOGE price chart |Source: crypto.news The daily timeframe chart shows that the DOGE price has been in a strong downward trend in the past few months, moving from a high of $0.3073 in September last year.
Dogecoin price has dropped below the key support level at $0.1295, its lowest level on April 7 last year. It has fallen below all moving averages, while the Percentage Price Oscillator remains below the zero line.
Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the coin continues falling, potentially to the year-to-date low of $0.0790, its lowest level this month. A drop below that support level will signal more downside.
2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:342mo ago
Extreme fear returns as crypto majors slide despite Bitcoin holding above $67K
Crypto market sentiment has deteriorated sharply, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index dropping to 12. This places the market firmly in “Extreme Fear” territory as most major cryptocurrencies recorded weekly losses.
The slide in sentiment comes despite Bitcoin avoiding a decisive breakdown, suggesting investor caution is being driven more by sustained downside pressure across altcoins than by panic selling.
Source: CoinMarketCap
Bitcoin holds key levels as confidence weakens Bitcoin [BTC] was trading near $67,950 at the time of writing, down 4.28% over the past seven days, according to CoinMarketCap data. While BTC remains above $65,000, upside momentum has stalled, limiting its ability to stabilize broader market sentiment.
Bitcoin’s relative resilience contrasts with worsening market psychology. This divergence has historically preceded either renewed consolidation or a delayed reaction lower across risk assets.
Ethereum and Solana lead weekly losses among majors Losses were more pronounced among large-cap altcoins. Ethereum [ETH] fell 7.45% over the past week to around $1,975, underperforming Bitcoin amid intensified selling pressure.
Solana [SOL] also declined, down 3.64% on the week to trade near $84.70, while BNB slipped 3.86% to approximately $617. The weakness across high-beta assets reflects a broader reduction in risk appetite rather than isolated token-specific events.
Isolated gainers fail to offset broader risk-off tone Not all majors moved lower. XRP posted a 1.87% weekly gain, while TRON [TRX] rose 1.71% and Bitcoin Cash [BCH] advanced 7.43% over the same period.
However, these gains were insufficient to shift overall sentiment, as the majority of non-stablecoin assets remained in the red. The uneven performance highlights selective positioning rather than broad-based accumulation.
Extreme fear signals caution, not capitulation The current Fear and Greed reading represents a sharp reversal from last month, when sentiment hovered near neutral levels.
Historically, index readings below 20 have coincided with periods of heightened uncertainty driven by macro pressures, ETF flow volatility, or prolonged price stagnation.
Despite the negative sentiment, price action remains relatively orderly, suggesting investors are de-risking gradually rather than exiting the market entirely.
Final Summary Extreme fear is reflected across major cryptocurrencies, driven by underperformance in ETH and SOL. Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $65K remains central to whether sentiment stabilizes or deteriorates further.
2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:392mo ago
Paradigm reframes Bitcoin mining as grid asset, not energy drain
The rapid buildout of AI data centers has revived a long-running debate over energy consumption, with critics arguing that large computing operations, including Bitcoin mining, strain power grids and drive up electricity prices.
As Cointelegraph previously reported, the surge in AI data center construction has fueled local resistance in several US regions, with residents and lawmakers raising concerns about power demand and rising electricity costs. Bitcoin (BTC) mining has increasingly been linked to the broader debate over high-density computing infrastructure.
In a recent research note, crypto investment firm Paradigm pushed back on that narrative, arguing that Bitcoin mining is frequently misunderstood and often mischaracterized in public energy debates. Rather than treating mining as a static energy drain, Paradigm frames it as a participant in electricity markets, one that responds to price signals and grid conditions.
Paradigm’s Justin Slaughter and co-author Veronica Irwin also challenge several common assumptions used in energy modeling. For example, they note that some analyses measure Bitcoin’s energy use on a per-transaction basis, even though mining energy consumption is tied to network security and competition among miners, not transaction volume.
Other models assume energy production is effectively limitless or that miners will continue operating regardless of profitability, assumptions Paradigm argues are unrealistic in competitive power markets.
According to Paradigm, Bitcoin mining currently accounts for about 0.23% of global energy consumption and about 0.08% of global carbon emissions. Because the network’s issuance schedule is fixed and mining rewards decline about every four years, Paradigm argues that long-term energy growth is constrained by economic incentives.
Source: Daniel BattenBitcoin mining as flexible grid demandA central pillar of Paradigm’s argument is demand flexibility.
Bitcoin miners typically seek out the lowest-cost electricity, often sourced from surplus or off-peak generation.
Mining operations can scale consumption based on grid conditions, reducing usage during periods of stress and increasing it when supply exceeds demand. In that sense, Paradigm describes mining as a flexible load, similar to energy-intensive industries that respond to real-time pricing signals.
The debate has taken on new urgency as AI data center expansion accelerates. As Cointelegraph recently reported, some crypto-era infrastructure is now being repurposed to support artificial intelligence workloads, with companies shifting from Bitcoin mining to AI data processing to pursue higher margins. Several traditional Bitcoin miners, including Hut 8, HIVE Digital, MARA Holdings, TeraWulf and IREN, have begun making partial transitions.
By framing mining as responsive demand rather than constant consumption, Paradigm’s report shifts the debate from environmental alarmism to grid economics. The implication for policymakers is that Bitcoin mining should be evaluated within the broader electricity market rather than through simplified energy comparisons.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 16:002mo ago
Shiba Inu Burn Rate Surges Sharply, but Price Still Struggles
SHIB’s burn rate rose 12.11% as 3,011,445 SHIB were removed, while price near $0.000006636 was down 3.22%. Burn rate had been deep red and at times near zero; it regulates supply, but needs demand to lift price. Volume fell 28.97% to $165.03 million as meme coin market cap slid over 30%; 140 billion SHIB left exchanges and preceded a 17% rebound, yet other metrics must turn green. Shiba Inu (SHIB) printed a rare green signal on a key ecosystem KPI, with its burn rate rising 12.11% over the last 24 hours as 3,011,445 SHIB were permanently removed. The burn uptick looks constructive, but the price tape still signals caution. SHIB swung sharply, dropping from an intraday peak of $0.000006888 to a low of $0.000006436 before changing hands near $0.000006636, a 3.22% daily decline even while the weekly move stayed up 9%. That divergence highlights a gap between supply-side mechanics and the market’s willingness to reprice risk.
Burn metrics improve, yet price action and volume lag Shibburn data framed the burn rebound as notable because the metric had recently sat deep in the red, repeatedly crashing to zero or near zero as sentiment stayed bearish. A green burn rate is a supply-side lever, yet it needs follow-through to move valuation. Burning is described as the ecosystem’s way to regulate circulating supply, permanently wiping tokens to create scarcity that often supports higher prices. With activity flipping positive again, community members are watching for a price response rather than celebrating the metric in isolation.
The same update underscored why SHIB’s price still struggles to convert burns into momentum. Price volatility is moderating at the margin, but participation is thinning, and that is a headwind. Burn activity helped SHIB climb from its intraday low, yet trading volume remained down 28.97% at $165.03 million. Even as the intense sell-off was described as gradually easing, the meme coin sector faced broader weakness. Its market capitalization recently plunged by more than 30% as investors rotated toward assets perceived as safer within the crypto sector.
There’s another data point that briefly steadied sentiment: 140 billion SHIB exiting exchanges before the broader capital rotation. Exchange outflows can reduce immediate sell pressure, but they do not guarantee sustained demand. The move suggested holders were shifting into long-term storage, helping SHIB post a 17% recovery from recent lows after losing more than 30% over the past month. To stay out of a bearish zone, it said price and trading volume must also turn green, because burn rate alone may not hold gains for long.
2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 16:002mo ago
XRP Sees Re-Accumulation Signals From Korean Trading Desks As Traders Quietly Build Positions
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure
Despite its steady bearish performance over the past few months, the sentiment toward XRP in certain areas appears to have turned bullish once again. One of the regions showing renewed interest and attention in the leading altcoin is South Korea, as its traders quietly build up more positions.
Signs Of XRP Accumulation Among Korean Traders Trading activity of XRP is gaining momentum once again, especially from the South Korean region. There are emerging signs that Korean traders are stepping back into the market, re-accumulating the altcoin after a period of reduced exposure.
Regional exchange market data indicates a resurgence in buying demand, suggesting a potential change in attitude inside one of XRP’s most significant marketplaces. Arthur, a market expert and partner of the BingX exchange, disclosed the development using data from Bithump, one of South Korea’s largest exchanges.
As seen on the chart shared by the market expert, the leading South Korean cryptocurrency exchange has seen renewed activity on XRP pairs. In the past, periods of accumulation on the Korean markets have frequently been accompanied by greater momentum and liquidity. Meanwhile, this renewed buying activity could mark the beginning of an upward swing for XRP, driven by growing demand.
Source: Chart from Arthur on X Since the re-accumulation signal, the price of the altcoin has increased by over 38%. Historically, when Korean liquidity steps in, Arthur stated that the price typically follows the trend. Thus, the expert believes that monitoring the flows could provide insights into the possible next direction of the token.
On the institutional level, accumulation appears to be showing robust strength. Business owner and investor Minus Wells shared that Evernorth, regarded as the MicroStrategy of XRP, has quietly scooped up nearly 0.5% of all the altcoin’s supply in the market.
Following the recent acquisition, the company now has more than 473 million XRP locked in its treasury vault. This stash represents almost half a percent of the entire supply sitting in one corporate vault. According to the expert, the firm is just getting started. “While everyone else is panicking over dips, this Ripple-backed beast is building the biggest public XRP hoard ever,” he added.
Positioned In A Sweet Spot After persistent downside pressure, the altcoin is now positioned in a sweet spot as all of the liquidity below has been cleared, while the deep liquidity above is stacked all the way up to $4+. Bird highlighted that this is the point where many shorts, leverage positions, and stop levels are sitting.
Despite the price trajectory, the markets naturally move toward liquidity because that is where the orders are located. When price reclaims these areas, shorts are forced to close, and a closed short hints at buying re-accumulation at higher levels. As a result, upside moves can be extremely swift.
Furthermore, liquidations trigger buying pressure, which pushes prices higher and closes more shorts, leading to a resurgence of momentum. Following this, the market buys, and retail rushes in, driving the price wild.
XRP trading at $1.45 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from Tradingview.com
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2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 16:002mo ago
Solana price prediction: Will SOL reclaim its $200 highs in 2026?
Just over a week ago, AMBCrypto reported that a head and shoulders pattern on the Solana weekly chart could take the price to $47. The weekly chart and its Fibonacci extension level agreed with this take.
Source: SOL/USDT on TradingView
The bearish structure shift followed by a retest of the 78.6% level at $252.9. The subsequent rejection projected $47.9 as the next target.
In fact, the weekly timeframe’s DMI signaled a strong bearish trend in progress, and the moving averages reflected downward momentum.
While the $49 price prediction looked bleak, the RWA market cap on Solana [SOL] progressed higher, breaching the $1 billion milestone.
It was also reported that the banking giant Citi had completed an internal proof of concept using Solana, showing that TradFi was increasingly moving onto the blockchain.
Is Solana already undervalued or will downtrend continue? New all-time highs in Total Value Locked (TVL) showed network confidence. At the same time, the Solana-based memecoin frenzy and increased speculative activity meant the high onchain activity and SOL prices were not necessarily a bullish divergence.
Source: SOL/USDT on TradingView
The $95 and $110 areas were imbalances on the daily timeframe. The $120-$127 was a bearish order block and hence another resistance zone.
A bounce to these price targets was possible. The chance of rejection from the highlighted supply zones is greater the higher SOL goes.
In the short-term, a range formation between $76.6 and $89.8 was detected. These extremes, along with the mid-range level at $83.2, would be the SOL price pivots in the coming days.
A breakout past the highs to the supply zones would be for traders to sell, given the longer-term downtrend. A move beyond $128.34, the daily timeframe’s swing high, is needed to turn the trend around.
Meanwhile, a breakout below the $76 range lows would be one step closer to the sub-$50 SOL price predictions.
Final Summary The long-term head and shoulders pattern and the weekly Fibonacci extension level both projected a $47-$49 price target for Solana. Over the past ten days, Solana has been trading within a range, but it was too early to expect a long-term recovery. Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.
Solana’s structure outperforms Ethereum, rebounding 30% from $67 lows, with key liquidity clusters above $90 signaling a squeeze.
Izabela Anna2 min read
16 February 2026, 09:04 PM
Solana traded near a decisive technical zone on Monday as analysts tracked a growing liquidity pocket above current price. The token changed hands at $84.59, down 0.62% over 24 hours. Weekly losses stand at 3.26%, while daily volume reached $3.7 billion. Despite the short-term pullback, several market watchers said positioning suggests a potential volatility spike if key levels break.
Liquidity Cluster Builds Above $90TedPillows said SOL holds a notable liquidity cluster between $90 and $105. He argued that many traders opened short positions after the recent breakdown. Consequently, those late shorts now sit vulnerable if price pushes higher.
SOL recently defended the $78–$80 support band with strong buying interest. Hence, price reclaimed the $85 region and started grinding toward the $90 pivot. The heatmap shows concentrated liquidity in the $90–$105 range. That cluster signals heavy stop placement from short sellers.
If SOL clears $90 with conviction, momentum could expand toward $95 and $100. Moreover, a firm Bitcoin move would likely intensify that squeeze. Market makers often target crowded positioning. A push toward $105 could occur before any deeper retracement unfolds.
Relative Strength Versus EthereumCrypto Bully noted that SOL’s structure looks stronger than Ethereum’s. He observed that SOL has rebounded nearly 30% from the $67 low. Therefore, he considers a full revisit of $67 less likely under current conditions.
However, that outlook depends on Bitcoin holding the $70,000–$75,000 support zone. If Bitcoin loses that range, downside risk increases across large-cap altcoins. On the 2-hour chart, SOL now consolidates between $85 and $88. The $90 level remains the immediate barrier.
A clean break above $90 could open a relief move toward $95 and possibly $100. Additionally, the $80–$82 area now serves as near-term support. A failure there would expose $75 and potentially the prior sweep low at $67.
Key Pivot at $77 Remains in FocusSource: X
Crypto Tony shifted attention to the $77 level. He said a controlled sweep of $77 could reset positioning this week. On the 4-hour chart, SOL rebounded after flushing into the $67–$70 zone. Price then reclaimed $77, turning it into a central pivot.
Significantly, resistance stands at $90–$92, followed by $95. Short-term momentum cooled as price pulled back toward $84–$85. If bulls defend $76–$78, a renewed push toward $88 and $92 could follow. However, a decisive break below $76 would likely drag price back toward $70 and possibly $67.
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Izabela Anna is a knowledgeable freelance journalist, who boasts over five years of experience covering the cryptocurrency market. Her tenure has seen her navigate through the ebbs and flows of multiple market cycles, giving her a deep understanding within. Her journalistic focus lies in dissecting price action dynamics, scrutinizing the on-chain landscape, and providing insights from a technical perspective, making her a trusted voice in the realm of cryptocurrency reporting.
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Latest Solana (SOL) News Today
2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 16:052mo ago
Lighter (LIT) set to trade as Bithumb opens KRW pair
LIT/KRW goes live: Feb 16, 7 PM KST; 2,383 KRWBithumb will open spot trading for Lighter (LIT) on its KRW market at 7:00 p.m. KST on February 16, with a reference price of 2,383 KRW, as reported by Bitcoinsistemi.According to the same report, deposits and withdrawals open within two hours of listing. The listing supports only the Ethereum network and requires 33 block confirmations. Early trading will include buy-order limits in the first five minutes, sell-range controls in that interval, and a limit-only window for roughly the first two hours.
Deposits, confirmations, and order rules at launchThe operational controls are designed to manage opening volatility and help align off-exchange inventories with on-exchange order books. Staggered deposits, confirmation thresholds, and limit-only trading are commonly used to reduce early slippage and extreme prints.The exchange summarized the action succinctly in its notice before trading began to clarify market access and pair availability.”Bithumb will list Lighter (LIT) and open KRW trading pairs,” said Bithumb.
BingX: a trusted exchange delivering real advantages for traders at every level.
A KRW pair can concentrate domestic liquidity and improve price discovery during local hours. If order controls bind in the first minutes, initial prints may cluster near the reference price before spreads normalize.Cross-venue price differences may emerge temporarily, especially between KRW books and USD-quoted markets, until arbitrage equilibrates inventories. Limit-only phases tend to dampen sweeping market orders but can widen spreads early on.If inbound flows outpace available asks during the restricted window, book depth may thin and amplify intraday volatility. Conversely, tight sell-range controls can constrain downside prints and create a more orderly open.At the time of this writing, recent coverage places LIT within the $1.60–$1.70 band, as reported by CoinGabbar. This contextual range frames near-term liquidity tests without implying future performance.
About Lighter (LIT) and ticker disambiguationWhat Lighter is: zk-rollup perpetuals DEX and LIT utilityLighter is described as a decentralized perpetuals exchange that leverages zero-knowledge rollup infrastructure to combine on-chain verification with order-book style execution, as outlined by HTX. Within this design, LIT functions as the native token, supporting the protocol’s economic and governance mechanics.This architecture seeks to deliver low-latency matching with cryptographic settlement assurances. The approach positions Lighter among zk-rollup venues targeting centralized-exchange ergonomics while maintaining decentralized finality.
Ticker note: distinguish Lighter’s LIT from other LIT tokensMultiple unrelated projects use the ticker “LIT” across different networks and exchanges. Distinguishing Lighter’s asset from similarly named tokens is essential to avoid cross-venue or cross-chain confusion.Naming collisions can complicate custody workflows and wallet selection. Careful attention to the supported network and listing venue reduces the risk of misdirected deposits.
FAQ about Bithumb Lighter (LIT) listingWhat early trading restrictions apply to LIT on Bithumb (buy limits, sell ranges, limit-only period)?Early trading includes buy-order restrictions for five minutes, sell-range controls during that window, and a limit-only phase for roughly two hours, as reported earlier.
Which network does Bithumb support for LIT deposits and how many confirmations are required?Deposits are supported on Ethereum with 33 block confirmations, and deposits/withdrawals open within two hours of listing, as reported earlier.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.
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2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 16:082mo ago
XRP Price Prediction as Standard Chartered Cuts Down End-of-Year Target by 65%
Standard Chartered has reduced its year-end target for XRP by approximately 65%, bringing it down to $2.80 from an earlier projection of $8. The decision follows a broader slump in the cryptocurrency market, marking one of the worst downturns in almost four years. Analysts at Standard Chartered cited persistent weakness across digital assets as the primary reason for the cut in their price forecast.
XRP's price has faced significant challenges, recently falling to $1.16, its lowest point since late 2024 before attempting a partial recovery. The drop in value prompted the bank to revise its expectations for XRP and other major cryptocurrencies. Geoffrey Kendrick, the global head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, highlighted the continuing price challenges and warned of further declines in the short term.
This downward revision reflects the broader struggle in the cryptocurrency market, where Bitcoin and Ethereum have also seen price reductions. Standard Chartered has similarly adjusted its price targets for Bitcoin and Ethereum, reducing Bitcoin’s target from $150,000 to $100,000 and Ethereum’s from $7,000 to $4,000. Solana also saw a reduction in its year-end price target, from $250 to $135.
XRP ETF Flows and Institutional InterestWhile XRP’s price has struggled, recent fund flow data suggests that there is still interest from institutional investors in the cryptocurrency. According to CoinShares’ weekly report, XRP saw inflows of $33.4 million in the last week, although this was down from the previous week’s $63.1 million. This indicates that while overall interest in XRP remains, the momentum has slowed down in recent weeks.
Source: X
The bank's decision to slash its XRP price forecast coincides with a notable pullback in assets linked to XRP in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The total assets in XRP-related ETFs fell by approximately 40% from $1.6 billion to around $1 billion between January and mid-February. These declines signal caution among investors as they react to the broader downturn in the crypto markets.
Notably, XRP’s ETF remained more attractive compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which saw higher outflows. This has led some analysts to suggest that institutional investors may be rotating their funds into specific altcoins like XRP rather than leaving the market entirely. Bank of America, for example, reported owning 13,000 shares of the Volatility Shares XRP ETF, indicating continued interest in the asset despite the broader market struggles.
XRP Price Volatility Amid RecoveryXRP’s price has experienced significant volatility, with sharp fluctuations in recent days. Over the weekend, XRP price rose from $1.53 to a high of $1.66, a 9% increase within five hours, before plummeting back to $1.44 by the evening.
This sharp rise and fall were largely attributed to trading activity on Upbit, South Korea’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, which recorded over $600 million in XRP trading volume. This volume surpassed both Bitcoin and Ethereum on the platform, contributing to the rapid price swings.
Source: X
Market analysts have pointed out that Upbit's order books may have played a central role in XRP’s recent price movements. According to data from Dom, a market analyst, the exchange placed significant sell pressure on the XRP market, resulting in the steep decline in price after the brief rally.
However, further investigations into the trading activity on Upbit revealed no signs of manipulation or wash trading, suggesting that the price swings were the result of genuine market activity from both retail and institutional traders.
2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 16:102mo ago
Liquidation Pressure Mounts: 3 Altcoins to Watch This Week
XRP faces selling pressure from Asian exchanges ahead of the Lunar New Year. Dogecoin sees a surge in exchange deposits, threatening long positions. Bittensor (TAO) seeks a reversal following its recent listing on the Upbit exchange. The third week of February began with a mix of technical recovery and persistent negative sentiment. In this context, identifying altcoins at risk of liquidation is essential for traders looking to ride the wave of volatility in assets like DOGE, TAO, and XRP.
Regarding XRP, the liquidation map reveals that long positions outweigh short ones, accumulating risks of up to $200 million if the price drops to $1.30. Additionally, selling pressure has been detected directly from the South Korean exchange Upbit, coinciding with the festivities in Asia.
We also have Dogecoin (DOGE), which shows mixed signals despite the community’s excitement over a potential integration into X Money. In this regard, data from Nansen reveals a sharp increase in tokens sent to exchanges, suggesting that many investors are taking advantage of the rebound to exit.
Risk and Opportunity Analysis in the AI Sector On the other hand, Bittensor (TAO) was listed on Upbit on February 16, which could mean a bullish debut boost. If the price manages to break the $283 barrier, it is estimated that liquidations of short positions could exceed $13 million.
Analyst Michaël van de Poppe suggests that AI and Crypto protocols are essential in current portfolios. He indicated that TAO could experience a reversal toward the $300 zone, capitalizing on long-term support and new institutional liquidity.
In summary, the outlook for these altcoins at risk of liquidation will depend on buyers’ ability to absorb selling pressure. While XRP and DOGE struggle against profit-taking, TAO positions itself as a recovery option amid renewed interest in artificial intelligence.
2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 16:302mo ago
ETH chart pattern projects rally to $2.5K if key conditions are met: Data
Ether (ETH) opened the week with a drop below the psychological $2,000 level, placing the altcoin into a 20% loss for February. Still, onchain data shows long-term investors accumulating ETH and rising network usage.
Now, analysts are examining how ETH’s technical outlook and the derivatives data align with its emerging demand to determine if a prolonged rally above $2,000 is possible.
Key takeaways:
Over 2.5 million ETH flowed into accumulation addresses in February, lifting holdings to 26.7 million for 2026.
Ethereum weekly transactions hit 17.3 million as the median fees fell to $0.008, a 3,000x drop from 2021 peaks.
ETH open interest dropped to $11.2 billion, but leverage remains elevated, with liquidation clusters stacked near $1,909 and $2,200.
Ether accumulation grows despite price dropEther accumulation addresses added more than 2.5 million ETH in February, even as the price declined around 20%. Total holdings have risen to 26.7 million ETH, up from 22 million at the beginning of 2026.
ETH balance on accumulation addresses. Source: CryptoQuantMN Capital founder Michaël van de Poppe noted that ETH valued against silver is at its lowest level on record, arguing that such difficult market phases often present a long-term accumulation window.
The network demand is also improving alongside improving fundamentals. Over 30% of ETH’s circulating supply (37,228,911 ETH) is currently staked, reducing the liquid supply. At the same time, weekly transaction count reached an all-time high of 17.3 million, while median fees fell to $0.008.
Ether total value staked. Source: CryptoQuantIn comparison, head of research at Lisk, Leon Waidmann, noted that the weekly transactions were near 21 million, but the median fees surged above $25 during the 2021 peak. The current structure reflects a higher usage at significantly lower cost.
ETH compresses below $2,000 as leveraged traders brace for a breakoutOn the four-hour chart, Ether appears to be forming an Adam and Eve bottom, a bullish reversal setup that begins with a sharp, V-shaped low (the “Adam”) followed by a slower, rounded base (the “Eve”).
The structure reflects an initial aggressive sell-off that quickly finds buyers, then a period of gradual accumulation as the volatility contracts.
ETH/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewA confirmed breakout above the $2,150 neckline validates the pattern and may open the door toward the $2,473–$2,634 region, based on the measured move projection from the base. The invalidation remains below recent higher lows, with $1,909 acting as a key short-term liquidity level.
Open interest has declined to $11.2 billion from a $30 billion cycle peak in August 2025. However, the estimated leverage ratio remains elevated at 0.7, only slightly down from 0.77 in January. This suggests leverage is still concentrated in the system, increasing the possibility of a sharp move.
Percentage of ETH Global accounts long on Binance. Source: HyblockHyblock data shows that 73% of the global accounts are currently long on ETH. Liquidation heatmaps show more than $2 billion in short positions clustered above $2,200, compared with roughly $1 billion in long liquidations stacked near $1,800, highlighting a heavier squeeze risk to the upside.
Although the nearest dense cluster sits at $1,909, where $563 million in longs are vulnerable, which may act as a potential short-term liquidity magnet before the expected uptrend.
ETH liquidation map. Source: CoinGlassThis article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
2026-02-16 21:382mo ago
2026-02-16 16:302mo ago
19,820 Ethereum leaves exchanges – Why THESE ETH traders are doubling down
A prominent whale has intensified accumulation by withdrawing 19,820 Ethereum worth $40.14 million from Binance and OKX, adding to an earlier purchase of 60,784 ETH valued at $126 million.
This pattern reflected deliberate capital deployment rather than opportunistic trading.
At the same time, another large trader deposited $1 million USDC into Hyperliquid and opened a 20x leveraged ETH long, reinforcing directional exposure through derivatives.
Although that trader also maintains a 20x SOL long, the fresh capital targeted Ethereum specifically.
Spot withdrawals reduce exchange liquidity, while leveraged positions amplify market participation. When these two strategies converge, they reveal structured positioning.
Such coordinated exposure suggests that major players are building conviction methodically rather than reacting impulsively to short-term fluctuations.
Ethereum exchange reserves continue to contract Ethereum’s Exchange Reserve stood at $31.843 billion following a 6.47% decline, signaling a measurable contraction in available exchange-held supply.
When whales remove assets from centralized platforms, they reduce immediately tradable inventory and tighten sell-side liquidity.
This reduction shifts supply dynamics and limits rapid distribution capacity. Besides, sustained reserve declines often align with long-term holding behavior, as large investors transfer assets into cold storage or strategic custody.
The recent contraction directly corresponds with observed whale withdrawals, reinforcing the structural nature of the movement.
While exchange balances naturally fluctuate, the current decline strengthens the narrative of capital consolidation, as more Ethereum migrates into the hands of concentrated, high-conviction holders.
Binance top traders maintain dominant long bias for Ethereum Binance data showed that 76.91% of top trader accounts hold long positions, while only 23.09% maintain short exposure, resulting in a Long/Short Ratio of 3.33.
This significant skew demonstrates clear directional alignment among advanced market participants.
Although account-based ratios measure participation rather than total capital size, the concentration remains meaningful because these traders manage substantial risk and deploy capital strategically.
Persistent long dominance suggests conviction rather than temporary sentiment swings.
However, elevated positioning also introduces crowding risk, as excessive alignment can amplify volatility if sentiment shifts.
Despite that possibility, the sustained imbalance indicates that sophisticated traders currently favor Ethereum [ETH] exposure over defensive positioning.
Funding rates reflect sustained leveraged demand Funding Rates read 0.007286 at press time, reflecting a 20.96% increase and confirming that longs willingly pay shorts to maintain positions.
Positive funding signals that leveraged demand exceeds short-side pressure, as traders accept recurring costs to preserve exposure.
The present rate remains elevated but controlled, suggesting steady appetite rather than speculative overheating.
Importantly, the funding increase aligns with the 3.33 Long/Short Ratio and ongoing spot withdrawals.
When funding expands alongside reserve declines and whale accumulation, the data points toward coordinated positioning across market layers.
Traders are not merely holding Ethereum passively; they are actively expanding exposure while absorbing leverage premiums, reinforcing structured conviction.
Conviction or tactical positioning? The convergence of deep Spot accumulation, declining Exchange Reserves, dominant long positioning, and rising positive funding reveals deliberate Ethereum-focused capital structuring.
Whales continue removing supply from centralized venues while advanced traders expand leveraged exposure.
These aligned behaviors rarely develop randomly. Instead, they suggest that large players are reinforcing long-term strategic conviction in Ethereum’s positioning.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:402mo ago
Qualcomm Hits Oversold Territory as Reddit Sentiment Crashes Below 30
It hasn’t gone unnoticed by the broader market that Shares of Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) fell sharply in early February, coinciding with a noticeable shift in retail investor sentiment on platforms like Reddit and X from cautiously optimistic to decidedly bearish. The chipmaker reported Q1 revenue of $12.3 billion, a record for the quarter, yet the stock has tumbled 18% year-to-date. The disconnect stems from weak forward guidance, driven by a global memory chip shortage that’s constraining smartphone manufacturers and forcing them to scale back production plans.
On the plus side, Qualcomm’s automotive segment delivered $1.10 billion in revenue, up 15% year-over-year, but this positive was overshadowed by management’s Q2 guidance of only $10.2 to $11 billion in revenue, well below Wall Street expectations. CEO Cristiano Amon attributed the shortfall to memory supply constraints affecting handsets, particularly among Chinese OEMs who are adjusting build plans downward to manage cost pressures.
Reddit Turns Pessimistic on Qualcomm’s Near-Term Outlook Mentions of Qualcomm on Reddit’s r/stocks and r/WallStreetBets have shifted from bullish to bearish in recent weeks. Sentiment scores dropped from 65 pre-earnings to a range of 20 to 36 post-earnings, reflecting growing skepticism about the company’s ability to navigate near-term headwinds. Retail traders are voicing three primary concerns:
This infographic provides a snapshot of Qualcomm’s investment landscape, highlighting a significantly bearish social sentiment score and key factors impacting its stock performance, despite a record Q1 revenue. Memory chip shortages are diverting supply to AI data centers, leaving smartphone manufacturers scrambling and delaying handset launches Weak Q2 guidance signals that the memory crisis will persist longer than initially expected, pressuring Qualcomm’s core handset business Despite record revenue, earnings per share actually fell back over the last year, indicating operational challenges beneath the surface One trader posted about their QCOM earnings play, writing about the cautious sentiment around the stock’s near-term prospects. The post, which received 21 upvotes and 4 comments, reflects prevailing skepticism among retail traders regarding Qualcomm’s memory-constrained guidance.
Oversold Technicals and Analyst Support Suggest a Floor Despite the negativity, technical indicators show Qualcomm is deeply oversold. The stock’s RSI hit 21 on February 5, the lowest level in years, and has since recovered slightly to 33. Analysts maintain a consensus “Buy” rating with an average price target of $168.53, implying nearly 20% upside. For context, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) is down just 2% year-to-date, highlighting how Qualcomm’s struggles are company-specific rather than sector-wide. Investors should closely monitor trends in memory supply and Chinese smartphone demand. If the memory crunch eases, Qualcomm’s strong automotive and IoT growth could drive a sharp recovery.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:412mo ago
Will Healthy Revenue Growth Boost Akamai's (AKAM) Q4 Earnings?
Key Takeaways AKAM is set to report Q4 results on Feb. 19, with revenues seen rising to $1.07B from $1.02B a year ago.Akamai expanded Apiiro ties and launched Inference Cloud solution powered by NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs.AKAM's ISV Catalyst program aims to grow its cloud ecosystem and expand its client base. Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM - Free Report) is scheduled to release fourth-quarter 2025 results on Feb. 19, after the closing bell. In the last reported quarter, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 13.41%. It pulled off a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 10.46%, on average. The company is expected to report higher revenues year over year, backed by healthy demand in security and compute verticals. Management’s focus on expanding its portfolio to cater to advanced use cases is a tailwind.
Factors at PlayDuring the quarter, Akamai expanded its partnership with Apiiro, a prominent agentic application security platform provider. The collaboration aims to Apiiro’s application security posture management capabilities with Akamai’s application security platform to deliver end to end comprehensive security to enterprises throughout the entire software development lifecycle.
In the quarter under review, Akamai launched the Akamai Inference Cloud, a leading-edge platform that expand inference capabilities from core data centers to the edge of the internet. Powered by NVIDIA’s Blackwell GPUs and AI software stack, Akamai’s solution enables greater responsiveness, higher scalability and support next gen of intelligent application by bringing AI closer to users and devices. The solution enables ultra-low-latency AI inference for agentic, real-time, and physical AI applications such as autonomous vehicles, industrial robots, and smart city infrastructure. Such innovative product launches has expected to have a favourable impact in fourth quarter results.
In the December quarter, Akamai announced the launch of independent software vendors (ISV) Catalyst, a new partner program tailored specifically for ISVs looking to accelerate growth through collaboration. The referral-based initiative enables ISVs to build, market and sell solutions on Akamai’s globally distributed cloud platform, while creating a streamlined and efficient path for customers to discover and engage with those offerings. The diverse set application available on AKAM’s cloud platform is expected to drive AKAM’s client base.
For the to-be-reported quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $1.07 billion, indicating year-over-year growth from $1.02 billion. The consensus estimate for adjusted earnings per share stands at $1.75, indicating growth from $1.66 reported a year ago.
Earnings WhispersOur proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Akamai this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the chances of an earnings beat. This is not the case here.
Earnings ESP: Earnings ESP, which represents the difference between the Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate, is 0.00%, with both pegged at $1.75. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Zacks Rank: Akamai currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
Stocks to ConsiderBooking Holdings Inc. (BKNG - Free Report) is set to release quarterly numbers on Feb. 18. It has an Earnings ESP of +1.01% and carries a Zacks Rank #3.
Reliance, Inc. (RS - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +3.60% and carries a Zacks Rank of 3. The company is set to report quarterly numbers on Feb. 18. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Analog Devices (ADI - Free Report) is set to release quarterly numbers on Feb. 18. It has an Earnings ESP of +1.57% and sports a Zacks Rank #2.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:452mo ago
Here's the Smartest Way to Invest in the S&P 500 in February
The composition of S&P 500 returns has changed significantly in 2026. Equal-weighting the index might be the best way to take advantage of it.
U.S. stocks are continuing to move higher to start 2026, but where those gains are coming from has completely changed.
Over the past three years, the S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.05%) has been pulled higher by a narrow group of megacap tech stocks. This year, tech is one of the worst-performing sectors, and others, including energy, consumer staples, and industrials, have taken its place as the leader.
That doesn't mean investing in the S&P 500 is no longer a wise play. It may, however, mean you need to rethink the right way to approach it. Finding ways to reduce tech exposure within an existing large-cap portfolio allocation could work well in the current market environment.
Image source: Getty Images.
How an equal weighting changes the index's composition In the traditional S&P 500, technology accounts for roughly 34% of the index. That's right around the same allocation the index saw during the peak of the tech bubble.
Equal-weighting the index maintains that tech exposure, but in a much less concentrated way. Plus, it lifts the weightings of several sectors that have been laggards in recent years but have performed much better recently. Considering the current market rotation happening within U.S. stocks, I believe the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP +1.04%) is the best way to invest in the index right now.
Today's Change
(
1.04
%) $
2.08
Current Price
$
202.87
If you're worried about the risk of having too much of your portfolio in tech, growth, and the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, the Equal Weight ETF solves that issue immediately.
SectorS&P 500Equal Weight S&P 500DifferenceTechnology33.4%13.5%(19.9%)Financials12.9%14.8%1.9%Communication services11%3.9%(7.1%)Consumer discretionary10.4%9.5%(0.9%)Healthcare9.4%11.9%2.5%Industrials8.6%16.4%7.8%Consumer staples5%7.4%2.4%Energy3.2%4.6%1.4%Utilities2.2%6.2%4%Materials2%5.6%3.6%Real estate1.9%6.2%4.3% Data source: S&P Global
The tech and communication services sectors, which house all of the Magnificent Seven stocks, get their combined 43.4% weighting in the S&P 500 trimmed all the way down to 17.4% in the equal-weight version. With the exception of consumer discretionary, every other S&P sector sees a meaningful increase in their index weight, especially those at the bottom of the list.
This produces a much more diversified portfolio. Eight of the 11 sectors have weightings of at least 6% and none gets more than 16%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF has just 2.9% of its assets in the top 10 holdings, compared to 38% in the traditional S&P 500 index.
Valuation is also much more reasonable. The S&P 500 currently trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 22. The equal-weight version has a forward P/E ratio of just over 17.
In short, the equal-weight S&P 500 is better constructed to take advantage of the current market rotation. Most importantly, it reduces the heavy reliance on the megacap tech stocks that are looking more vulnerable at the moment. As investors place more importance on relative value and quality in case conditions start turning south, an equal-weight S&P 500 helps take some of the larger tail risks off the table.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:472mo ago
Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. (DNTH) Presents at Guggenheim Securities Emerging Outlook: Biotech Summit 2026 Transcript
Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. (DNTH) Guggenheim Securities Emerging Outlook: Biotech Summit 2026 February 12, 2026 10:00 AM EST
Company Participants
Marino Garcia - President, CEO & Director
Ryan Savitz - Chief Financial Officer & Chief Business Officer
Conference Call Participants
Yatin Suneja - Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division
Delma Caiati
Presentation
Yatin Suneja
Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division
[Audio Gap] Biotech Summit 2026. My name is Yatin Suneja. I'm joined here with my colleague, Delma Caiati. We will be moderating the next discussion with Dianthus Therapeutics. From the company, we have two executives here. We have Marino Garcia, the Chief Executive Officer. We also have Ryan Savitz, who is the Chief Financial Officer and also leading the charge on the business development front.
Marino, always good to have you. Thank you for your time. Why don't you make some opening comments, then Delma and I will moderate the discussion with you.
Marino Garcia
President, CEO & Director
Sure. So thank you to Guggenheim, and you specifically, for hosting us here. And obviously, I'll be making some forward-looking statements. So I just want to refer everyone to our website and our SEC filings for all the appropriate risks around Dianthus.
So it's a very exciting time for the company right now. 2025 was a transformational year, where we had our first set of data in patients with a neuromuscular condition, myasthenia gravis, which I think most investors would agree was an upside best case scenario. We in-licensed 212 from Leads Bio in China, a potential best-in-class and product -- pipeline and a product that -- bifunctional fusion protein that targets BDCA2 on one side to reduce Type 1 interferon and BAFF/APRIL on the other side. And in vitro and in nonhuman primates, it looks like it may be more potent than Litifilimab, which is in Biogen's portfolio, and being studied in SLE on the Type 1 interferon
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:492mo ago
SLM DEADLINE TOMORROW: ROSEN, TOP RANKED GLOBAL COUNSEL, Encourages SLM Corporation a/k/a Sallie Mae Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important February 17 Deadline in Securities Class Action - SLM
New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - February 16, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds persons who invested in securities of SLM Corporation a/k/a Sallie Mae (NASDAQ: SLM) between July 25, 2025 and August 14, 2025, both dates inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important February 17, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.
SO WHAT: If you purchased SLM securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the SLM class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=49601 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than February 17, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) SLM was experiencing a significant increase in early stage delinquencies; (2) accordingly, defendants overstated the effectiveness of SLM's loss mitigation and/or loan modification programs, as well as the overall stability of SLM's private education loan ("PEL") delinquency rates; and (3) as a result, defendants' public statements made a materially false and misleading impression regarding SLM's business, operations, and prospects at all relevant times. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.
To join the SLM class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=49601 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
-------------------------------
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/284038
Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA
Ready to Announce with Confidence? Send us a message and a member of our TMX Newsfile team will contact you to discuss your needs.
Resources Investor Relations Journalists Agencies Client Login Send a Release News Products Contact , /PRNewswire/ -- Pardee Resources Company (OTC: PDER) (the "Company") announced today that Greenbrier Minerals ("Greenbrier"), a coal operator on one of the Company's properties located in Logan County, West Virginia, issued a Worker Adjustment Retraining Notification ("WARN") Notice on Friday, February 13, 2026. The WARN Notice indicates that Greenbrier, through various subsidiary companies, intends to idle seven coal mines, including several located on the Company's Logan County property, and begin laying off 530 employees around mid-April. Greenbrier claims the layoffs are due to "the current adverse market conditions". This action is likely to have a material negative impact on the Company's 2026 operating results as these mines were expected to generate between $4-5 million in revenues for the full year. While Pardee intends to work diligently to replace this production on its properties going forward, there can be no guarantee that it will be successful in doing so.
In addition to historical statements, this press release contains statements relating to future events and our future results. These statements are "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. While these forward-looking statements represent our judgments and future expectations concerning our business, a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. These factors include, but are not limited to, the risk that the jury award could be reduced or reversed or that the Company may be unable to collect on any judgment in full or at all. As a result, these forward-looking statements may turn out to be incorrect. We are under no obligation to (and expressly disclaim any obligation to) update or alter these forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
SOURCE Pardee Resources Company
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:572mo ago
Vår Energi ASA (VARRY) Analyst/Investor Day Transcript
Vår Energi ASA (VARRY) Analyst/Investor Day February 10, 2026 8:00 AM EST
Company Participants
Ida Fjellheim - Vice President of Investor Relations
Nicholas Walker - Chief Executive Officer
Torger Rod - Chief Operating Officer
Oddgeir Dalane
Luca Dragonetti
Ellen Hoddell - Executive Vice President of Sustainability & Safety
Carlo Santopadre - Chief Financial Officer
Conference Call Participants
Sasikanth Chilukuru - Jefferies LLC, Research Division
Teodor Nilsen - Sparebank 1 Markets AS, Research Division
Victoria McCulloch - RBC Capital Markets, Research Division
Naisheng Cui - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division
Tianhong Bi - Citigroup Inc., Research Division
Steffen Evjen - DNB Carnegie, Research Division
Alejandra Magana - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division
Presentation
Ida Fjellheim
Vice President of Investor Relations
Good afternoon, everyone. It's a pleasure to welcome you all to Var Energi's 2026 Capital Markets Update and presentation of our Fourth Quarter 2025 Results. It's great to see so many people here in the room and also joining us on the webcast.
2025 has been a transformational year for the company. And today, we will present an updated plan for how we will be delivering higher production and more value for longer with material cash flow generation and attractive dividends. Our CEO, Nick Walker, will lead the way, followed by presentations held by several members of our leadership team.
In addition to Nick, Thorhild, Carlo and Ellen, we will have our Head of Projects, Oddgeir Dalane, that will walk us through our high-value project portfolio; and our Head of Exploration, Luca Dragonetti, who will take us through how we will continue to deliver value through our exploration activities. Following the presentations, we will open up for questions.
With that, I'd like to invite Nick to the stage.
Nicholas Walker
Chief Executive Officer
Well, thank you, Ida, and good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Var Energi's 2026 Capital Markets Update, together with a review of our Full
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:002mo ago
Beyond NVIDIA: 4 AI & Quantum Plays Aiming Big Platform Upside in 2026
Key Takeaways SoundHound AI and Marvell are posting strong AI-driven revenue growth across software and data centers.IonQ reported 222% Q3 revenue growth and holds $3.5B in cash after a $2B equity raise.D-Wave doubled Q3 revenue, while quantum firms remain R&D-heavy and loss-making. Most investors in 2026 agree on one thing- putting money into established AI leaders is the clearest way to tap into the ongoing tech boom. Companies such as NVIDIA (NVDA - Free Report) continue to benefit directly from hyperscaler and enterprise AI infrastructure spending. Zacks Consensus Estimates points to fiscal 2026 revenue near $213 billion, supported by next-generation GPU platforms and a deeply embedded software ecosystem. Multi-billion-dollar AI data center expansions by major cloud providers reinforce demand visibility.
The debate now is where incremental capital should flow - toward emerging AI players with accelerating monetization, or toward speculative quantum computing firms offering asymmetric upside. In this article, we examine two AI-focused names — SoundHound AI (SOUN - Free Report) and Marvell (MRVL - Free Report) , along with 2 quantum computing stocks IonQ (IONQ - Free Report) and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS - Free Report) . Together, they represent distinct risk-reward pathways across AI software, AI semiconductor infrastructure and next-generation computing architectures.
Let’s delve deeper.
Budding AI or Quantum: Where to Rotate Money?On the AI side, SoundHound AI and Marvell offer exposure to two different layers of the AI value chain with measurable growth trajectories.
SoundHound AI’s recent results show strong top-line momentum, with the last-reported third quarter 2025 revenue of up 68% year over year and 2025 guidance implying nearly 98% annual growth, albeit from a small base and with continued net losses as it invests in monetization and scaling products like its Amelia agentic AI platform. In 2026, this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock is expected to report earnings growth of 56.9% on revenue growth of 38.3%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Marvell’s infrastructure-focused model demonstrates much larger scale and robust demand from AI data centers, reporting $2.006 billion in revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, up 58% year over year, with its data center segment alone accounting for roughly 74% of total revenue driven by custom AI silicon and high-bandwidth interconnect products tied to hyperscaler deployments. Marvell’s figures reflect firm scale and AI-driven revenue concentration, offering investors a contrast between early-stage AI software expansion and established AI infrastructure success within the broader ecosystem. In its fiscal 2027 (ending Jan 2027), this Zacks Rank #3 stock is expected to report earnings growth of 23.3% on revenue growth of 22.8%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
By comparison, on the quantum front, in its third quarter 2025 earnings release, IonQ reported revenue of $39.9 million, marking a 222% year-over-year increase and exceeding the high end of its prior guidance by 37%. This sharp acceleration reflects expanded commercial engagements and strategic growth activities. The company also reported a pro-forma cash, cash equivalents and investments balance of $3.5 billion after completing a $2 billion equity offering, providing substantial runway for continued R&D and platform scaling. IonQ continues to operate at a net loss as it invests heavily in technology development and ecosystem expansion. In 2026, this Zacks Rank #3 stock is expected to report earnings growth of 65.8% on revenue growth of 38.3%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
D-Wave’s third quarter 2025 results show foundational revenue gains at an earlier stage of commercial traction. The company reported $3.7 million in revenue, representing a 100% increase year over year. Gross profit also expanded significantly and the company ended the quarter with a record cash balance of $836 million, reflecting strong liquidity following prior financing activity. Like IonQ, D-Wave reported net losses as it continues product development and market expansion efforts. In 2026, this Zacks Rank #3 stock is expected to report earnings growth of 8.7% on revenue growth of 67.8%.
D-Wave Quantum Inc. Price and EPS Surprise
D-Wave Quantum Inc. price-eps-surprise | D-Wave Quantum Inc. Quote
The Contrast Remains StructuralSoundHound AI and Marvell are monetizing AI today, generating tens of millions to billions in quarterly revenue tied directly to enterprise deployments and data center expansion.
IonQ and D-Wave, by contrast, operate from a much smaller revenue base and remain heavily R&D-driven.
Valuation frameworks differ accordingly. AI infrastructure names are evaluated on revenue durability, backlog visibility and margin trajectory. Quantum companies are priced on technical milestones, qubit performance progress, commercialization inflection points and long-term TAM assumptions.
That said, if their respective technologies become foundational to next-generation AI or quantum workloads, all four companies have the potential to evolve into platform ecosystems, similar to NVIDIA, where developer adoption, infrastructure centrality and software integration drive exponential value creation. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:052mo ago
Has Wall Street Finally Thrown In The Towel On Target?
Has Wall Street Finally Thrown In The Towel On Target?
getty
According to the Law of Holes, an adage that describes a common dilemma in life or business, “If you find yourself in a hole, stop digging.” As reflected in declining sales, eroding financials, and a series of unforced public relations fiascos, Target has been digging itself a deep hole for the past four years.
Now, a few weeks shy of reporting its annual results (the retail year ends Jan. 31), Wall Street is braced for more of the same. In spite of a recent executive shakeup and the company’s promise of a $5 billion rehabilitation plan, it appears analysts who follow the company have pretty much given up hope of a turnaround anytime soon.
A year ago there were 33 investment experts who had published opinions on the stock, according to Tipranks.com, an AI-based platform that institutional investors use to track analyst performance. Half had rated Target a buy and the other half a hold. The stock was trading at $133 a share, down 50% from its all-time high of $264 in 2022.
At the time, none recommended selling, in part because Target is a so-called “dividend king,” a sobriquet bestowed on companies that have paid stockholders a dividend for more than 50 consecutive years. Last fall, its dividend rate flirted with a high of 5%, making a compelling case for owning it. The stock has recovered somewhat since then, but the dividend rate still looks good today, in theory, at about 4%.
Nevertheless, the number of analysts listed as following the company now has shrunk to 22. Only three rate it a buy. In spite of the dividend, nearly half have issued a sell signal.
MORE FOR YOU
Target, once a Wall Street darling for its transformation from mass-merchandise discounter to budget chic-boutique vibe and earning the nickname “Tar-Zhay,” has become a challenge of a retailer. It has flailed its way through a resilient consumer economy while its rivals, like Walmart, have flourished.
Target’s problems blossomed in 2023 when the company debuted a poorly executed Pride Month promotion that became the focus of a right‑wing campaign. The controversy escalated to include in-store confrontations with employees. The company ended up abandoning its diversity commitment altogether, a move that outraged a whole other swath of shoppers. Nobody was happy.
A few months later, Target announced that it was closing some of its stores that it said had been hit by gangs of shoplifters.
Since then, revenue growth sputtered and then stalled. In seven of the last 10 quarters, quarterly revenue has been shrinking, reflecting what some analysts say is uninspired merchandise and disorganization. Customers complain about bare shelves, uneven service, tired layouts, and a confusing proliferation of private label goods.
Target’s latest PR fumble came late last year when it introduced a rule requiring employees to actively engage with shoppers when they were within 10 feet by smiling, making eye contact, and waving. Within four feet they were instructed to make a verbal greeting. Target said this “10-4” rule was supposed to make customers feel more “appreciated” and boost “guest loyalty.” Instead, many shoppers found it forced and creepy.
“A lot of people who used to adore Target are now, in a word, haters,” according to Celine Provini, a senior editor at TheStreet.com. In a recent lengthy post, she writes, “I used to love walking into Target and roaming the aisles for interesting finds. The days of browsing Target’s inventory for fun are long gone.”
In its announcement about the $5 billion commitment, Target’s new CEO Michael Fiddelke said plans include building new mega-stores, remodeling existing stores, upgrading its tech infrastructure, and protecting the dividend.
Little was said about the real challenge — how to repair the extensive damage that has been done to the brand. That will take years and a lot more imagination and attention to detail than the company has shown in a long time. Until then, the hole is likely to just get deeper.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:112mo ago
ROSEN, A HIGHLY RECOGNIZED LAW FIRM, Encourages Smart Digital Group Ltd. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action - SDM
New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - February 16, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of securities of Smart Digital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: SDM) between May 5, 2025 and September 26, 2025 at 9:34 AM EST, both dates inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important March 16, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.
SO WHAT: If you purchased SDM securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the SDM class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=50638 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than March 16, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually handle securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
DETAILS OF THE CASE: Smart Digital describes itself as a company that provides digital marketing services. According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) Smart Digital was the subject of a market manipulation and fraudulent promotion scheme involving social-media based misinformation and impersonators posing as financial professionals; (2) insiders and/or affiliates used and/or intended to use offshore or nominee accounts to facilitate the coordinated dumping of shares during a price inflation campaign; (3) Smart Digital's public statements and risk disclosures omitted any mention of realized risk of fraudulent trading or market manipulation used to drive Smart Digital's stock price; (4) as a result, Smart Digital securities were at unique risk of a sustained suspension in trading by either or both of the SEC and NASDAQ; and (5) as a result of the foregoing, defendants' positive statements about Smart Digital's business, operations and prospects were materially misleading and/or lacked a reasonable basis. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.
To join the SDM class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=50638 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
-------------------------------
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/284039
Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA
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2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:162mo ago
Magna International Q4 Earnings Surpass Expectations, Dividend Raised
Key Takeaways Magna International posted Q4 EPS of $2.18, topping estimates as sales rose 2% to $10.85B.MGA's Body Exteriors & Structures and Seating Systems drove EBIT gains on productivity and launches.MGA guides 2026 revenues of $41.9-$43.5B and EPS of $6.25-$7.25, and raises dividend to 49.50 cents. Magna International (MGA - Free Report) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $2.18 per share, which rose from the year-ago quarter’s $1.69. The figure beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.81.
Net sales increased 2% year over year to $10.85 billion, which outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.48 billion.
MGA’s Segmental PerformanceThe Body Exteriors & Structures segment’s revenues totaled $4.25 billion, up 4.6% year over year. This was due to higher production on certain ongoing programs, the launch of new programs, and the overall appreciation of foreign currencies compared to the U.S. dollar. The figure also topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.1 billion.
The segment reported an adjusted EBIT of $465 million, up from $371 million recorded in the year-ago period. The metric also topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $365.22 million on enhanced productivity and efficiency and supply-chain premiums in 2024.
The Power & Vision segment’s revenues increased 1.5% year over year to $3.84 billion due to higher production on certain programs, the launch of new programs and the overall appreciation of foreign currencies compared to the U.S. dollar. The metric surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.8 billion.
Segmental adjusted EBIT fell from $235 million to $166 million due to unfavorable product mix and higher net warranty costs and input production costs. The metric missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $269.2 million.
Revenues from the Seating Systems segment rose 8.1% year over year to $1.63 billion due to the launch of programs and the net strengthening of foreign currencies against the U.S. dollar. The metric also topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.48 billion.
Segmental adjusted EBIT rose to $136 million from $67 million in the year-ago period due to productivity and efficiency improvements, lower net warranty costs and customer recoveries for tariffs. The metric also topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $89 million.
The Complete Vehicles segment’s revenues decreased 10.1% year over year to $1.26 billion due to lower engineering revenues and the end of production of the Jaguar I-Pace and Jaguar E-Pace. The metric outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.24 billion.
The segment reported adjusted EBIT of $50 million, down from $56 million in the year-ago period due to lower income resulting from reduced engineering sales and unfavorable net commercial items. The metric outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $39.62 million.
Magna’s FinancialsMagna had $1.61 billion in cash and cash equivalents as of Dec. 31, 2025, up from $1.25 billion as of Dec. 31, 2024. As of Dec. 31, 2025, long-term debt was $4.69 billion, up from $4.13 billion as of Dec. 31, 2024.
In the reported quarter, cash provided from operating activities totaled $1.98 billion, up from the year-ago figure of $1.91 billion.
The company raised its quarterly dividend by 2% to 49.50 cents per common share, which will be paid on March 13, 2026, to shareholders of record as of Feb. 27, 2026.
MGA’s 2026 GuidanceMagna expects 2026 revenues to be in the band of $41.9-$43.5 billion compared with 42.01 billion reported in 2025. Adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be in the band of 6-6.6%. Adjusted diluted EPS is anticipated to be in the band of $6.25-$7.25 compared with $5.73 reported in 2025. Capex is guided in the band of $1.5-$1.6 billion.
Magna Zacks Rank & Key PicksMGA carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) at present.
Some better-ranked stocks in the auto space are Ford Motor (F - Free Report) , Modine Manufacturing (MOD - Free Report) and Strattec Security (STRT - Free Report) , each sporting a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for F’s 2026 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 39.5%. The EPS estimate for 2026 and 2027 has improved 7 cents and 8 cents, respectively, in the past 30 days.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MOD’s fiscal 2026 sales and earnings implies year-over-year growth of 21.2% and 18.8%, respectively. The EPS estimate for fiscal 2026 and 2027 has improved 5 cents and 7 cents, respectively, in the past seven days.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for STRT’s fiscal 2026 sales and earnings implies year-over-year growth of 2.1% and 16.2%, respectively. The EPS estimate for 2026 and 2027 has improved 85 cents and 48 cents, respectively, in the past sev
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:162mo ago
What to Expect From These Drug/Biotech Players This Earnings Season?
Key Takeaways 73.3% of Medical firms beat Q4 estimates; earnings fell 1% while sales rose 10.7%.Johnson & Johnson and Bristol Myers beat; Novartis faced generic pressure on key drugs.Bausch Health, BioMarin and others gear up to report amid mixed earnings track records. The fourth-quarter 2025 reporting season for the Medical sector is nearing its final stretch, with only a handful of pharma and biotech companies scheduled to report over the next two weeks. The going has been pretty decent so far for the sector.
Per the Earnings Trends report, as of Feb. 11, 73.3% of the companies in the Medical sector — representing 91% of the sector’s market capitalization — reported quarterly earnings. Of these, 86.4% exceeded both earnings and sales estimates. Earnings decreased 1% year over year, while revenues increased 10.7%.
Among the pharma bigwigs that have reported results, Johnson & Johnson reported strong fourth-quarter results, beating estimates for both earnings and sales. Swiss pharma giant Novartis beat on earnings but revenues were under pressure due to generic competition for key drugs like Entresto and Promacta.
Biotech giant Bristol Myers Squibb beat on both earnings and sales and issued an encouraging guidance. Gilead Sciences’ earnings beat the top and bottom lines, aided by higher HIV and Liver Diseases drugs.
Fourth-quarter earnings in the medical sector are expected to decrease 0.6%, while sales are projected to rise 10.4% from the year-ago quarter.
Bausch Health (BHC - Free Report) , Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD - Free Report) , BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN - Free Report) , Insmed (INSM - Free Report) and Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL - Free Report) are all slated to release their quarterly results this week. Let us examine how these drug/biotech companies are likely to have performed in the soon-to-be-reported quarter.
Bausch HealthBausch’s performance has been mixed, with the company beating earnings expectations in two of the trailing four quarters and missing in the remaining two. The company has delivered a four-quarter average negative surprise of 6.26%. Bausch posted an earnings surprise of 8.41% in the last reported quarter.
Per our proven model, companies with the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) have a good chance of delivering an earnings beat. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
BHC has an Earnings ESP of -8.84% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter sales and earnings is pegged at $2.70 billion and $1.21 per share, respectively. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Bausch’s fourth-quarter results will likely be driven by Salix and Solta businesses. The Salix business continues to maintain momentum on the back of strong Xifaxan growth. The company is scheduled to report on Feb. 18.
Amicus TherapeuticsAmicus has a dismal earnings track record. The company missed earnings estimates in three of the last four quarter and beat in the remaining one, delivering an average negative surprise of 20.21%. In the last reported quarter, FOLD beat on earnings by 41.67%.
FOLD has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter sales and earnings is pegged at $179.9 million and 13 cents per share, respectively.
Amicus is set to be acquired by BioMarin. The company's lead marketed drug, Galafold, has shown solid uptake since its launch and is witnessing continued demand, with the trend expected to continue in the upcoming quarters.
BioMarin PharmaceuticalBioMarin Pharmaceutical has an impressive track record, having beaten earnings estimates in each of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 66.51%. In the last reported quarter, BMRN beat earnings estimates by 180%.
BMRN has an Earnings ESP of -3.23% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter sales and earnings is pegged at $829.7 million and 25 cents per share, respectively.
Sales of BioMarin’s key drugs, especially dwarfism drug Voxzogo, are being driven by strong demand. The recent label expansion of Voxzogo in the United States and Europe for use in infants has likely boosted sales further.
InsmedInsmed has a dismal earnings track record. The company missed on earnings in each of the last four quarter, delivering an average negative surprise of 20.64%. In the last reported quarter, INSM missed earnings estimates by 32.58%.
Insmed has an Earnings ESP of +7.01% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter sales and loss is pegged at $263.9 million and $1.07 per share, respectively. The company is scheduled to report fourth-quarter and full-year results on Feb.19.
Insmed’s lead drug Arikayce continues to gain traction. The approval of its second marketed drug Brinsupri in the United States and the EU marks a significant milestone for Insmed, as it is the first and only approved treatment for non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis patients. The commercial rollout is currently underway, providing a meaningful growth driver.
Madrigal PharmaceuticalsMadrigal’s earnings missed expectations in three of the trailing four quarters and beat once, delivering an average negative surprise of 17.17%. In the last reported quarter, MDGL missed earnings by 156.57%.
MDGL has an Earnings ESP of -852.37% and a Zacks Rank #4 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter sales and earnings is pegged at $313 million and 4 cents per share, respectively.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:172mo ago
ROSEN, A RANKED AND LEADING LAW FIRM, Encourages Richtech Robotics Inc. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action First Filed by the Firm - RR
New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - February 16, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of securities of Richtech Robotics Inc. (NASDAQ: RR) between January 27, 2026 and 12:00 PM ET on January 29, 2026, both dates inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important April 3, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline in the securities class action first filed by the Firm.
SO WHAT: If you purchased Richtech Robotics securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Richtech Robotics class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=51742 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than April 3, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) Richtech claimed that it had a collaborative and commercial relationship with Microsoft when it did not; and (2) as a result, defendants' statements about Richtech's business, operations, and prospects were materially false and misleading and/or lacked a reasonable basis at all times. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.
To join the Richtech Robotics class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=51742 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm or on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
-------------------------------
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/284047
Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA
Ready to Announce with Confidence? Send us a message and a member of our TMX Newsfile team will contact you to discuss your needs.
Contact Us
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:182mo ago
ROSEN, A LEADING LAW FIRM, Encourages Plug Power Inc. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action - PLUG
New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - February 16, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of securities of Plug Power Inc. (NASDAQ: PLUG) between January 17, 2025 and November 13, 2025, inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important April 3, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.
SO WHAT: If you purchased Plug Power securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Plug Power class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=1011 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than April 3, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) defendants had materially overstated the likelihood that funds attributed to the U.S. Department of Energy's Loan would ultimately become available to Plug Power, and/or that Plug Power would ultimately construct the hydrogen production facilities necessary to receive those funds; (2) as such, Plug Power was likely to pivot toward more modest projects with less commercial upside; and (3) as a result, Plug Power's public statements were materially false and misleading at all relevant times. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.
To join the Plug Power class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=1011 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
-------------------------------
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/284048
Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA
Ready to Announce with Confidence? Send us a message and a member of our TMX Newsfile team will contact you to discuss your needs.
Contact Us
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:202mo ago
Vitreous Glass Announces Grant of Deferred Share Units
AIRDRIE, ALBERTA: February 16, 2026 – TheNewswire - Vitreous Glass Inc. (TSXV:VCI) (the "Corporation") announces that it has granted 510 deferred share units (the "DSUs") to an independent director. The DSUs were granted as a non-cash settlement of dividends received on previously issued and outstanding DSUs held by the independent director and relating to dividend paid by the corporation on common shares on February 13, 2026.
The DSUs were granted under the DSU plan adopted in 2022. The DSUs vest immediately and entitle the holder to receive a cash payment equal to the value of one share of the Company for each DSU held, at the time the holder ceases to be a director of the Company.
For further information, please contact:
VITREOUS GLASS INC.
Pat Cashion, President
(403) 948-7811
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Not for Dissemination to the US or to US Newswires
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:202mo ago
AGILON DEADLINE: ROSEN, SKILLED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages agilon health, inc. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action First Filed by the Firm - AGL
New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - February 16, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of securities of agilon health, inc. (NYSE: AGL) between February 26, 2025 and August 4, 2025, both dates inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important March 2, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline in the securities class action first filed by the Firm.
SO WHAT: If you purchased agilon securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the agilon class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=46039 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than March 2, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually handle securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) defendants recklessly issued guidance for 2025 that they knew or should have known was not going to be achieved, given material industry headwinds of which they were aware; (2) defendants materially overstated the immediate positive financial impact from "strategic actions" taken by agilon to reduce risk; and (3) as a result, defendants' statements about agilon's business, operations, and prospects were materially false and/or misleading at all times. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.
To join the agilon class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=46039 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm or on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
-------------------------------
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/284049
Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA
Ready to Announce with Confidence? Send us a message and a member of our TMX Newsfile team will contact you to discuss your needs.
Contact Us
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:222mo ago
Google (GOOGL) Cloud Revenue Just Surged 48% And May Have Delivered Knockout Blow To OpenAI
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
Summary: Our AI Investor Podcasts have been counting down the 12 trends that AI investors should be watching in 2026.
Recently, Eric Bleeker and Austin Smith focused their attention on the competitive battle between OpenAI and Alphabet. While OpenAI was the early leader in artificial intelligence, Alphabet has staged a powerful resurgence and now appears ahead in several dimensions.
“There’s been a large divergence in the performance of companies seen as part of the OpenAI sphere versus the Alphabet sphere,” Bleeker explains. “So when we look at a company like Oracle, they are highly associated with OpenAI. They’re down 50.3%. Meanwhile, stocks that have been associated with Alphabet, such as Celestica, Lumentum and Broadcom really had a great start to the second half of 2025.”
However, Bleeker argues that media coverage of OpenAI has become excessively negative, especially regarding its plans to raise tens of billions of dollars in capital. He suggests that much of Wall Street had already anticipated large capital raises, meaning the headlines may not accurately reflect the underlying financial reality.
“You need to be able to look beyond what’s in the media, and that often provides opportunity because it is non-consensus. You make your money by being non-consensus. As you know, we generally have been non-consensus with AI, and when the trend works, you see the benefits from it.”
Transcript: Austin: Okay, Eric, this is the moment our listeners have been asking for. They want to hear the discussion of the final four AI trends that you had identified for 2026, and let’s just jump right into the first one. This is our first back-to-back special episode drop here. No need for a special intro.
Talk to me about the battle between OpenAI and Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) | GOOGL Price Prediction. You and I have discussed Alphabet’s incredible resurgence, first starting late to the AI race and now seemingly being ahead in most dimensions while OpenAI started first. And I wonder if this is a case of the first pioneer getting arrows in their back.
Is that what we are going to see here with OpenAI? And is the second pioneer actually the winner? Tell me what’s going on.
Eric Bleeker: As background, what we’re doing is we’ve been going through our 12 biggest trends for 2026, and at the end we’re going to do a larger portfolio rebalance. Once we conclude episodes, we’ll be able to talk about these trends as establishing factors and how the companies play into them. Then we’ll be able to rebalance the portfolio.
We’ve talked in the past, Austin, about areas like the emergence of CPUs this year, the birth of larger AI factories, and memory. Today we’re going to talk about a few themes that are relatively interconnected. The first one I wanted to talk about was OpenAI versus Alphabet. Listeners of the podcast will know we’ve discussed this before, that there’s been a large divergence in the performance of companies seen as part of the OpenAI sphere versus the Alphabet sphere.
OpenAI has ambitious plans, while Alphabet is really focusing on its TPUs and the unique infrastructure involved in that build-out.
So when we look at a company like Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), they are highly associated with OpenAI. They’re down 50.3%. Meanwhile, stocks that have been associated with Alphabet, such as Celestica (NYSE: CLS), Lumentum (NASDAQ: LITE), and Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), really had a great start to the second half of 2025.
But Austin, what I find interesting here is the media cycle. I went on my rant in the last episode and won’t do as long a rant here, but the media cycle around OpenAI is terrible. It’s reached a fervor where any article about the company can’t be fair.
For example, this week it was announced that they’re going to be looking to raise $50 billion between debt or equity, which led to no shortage of handwringing about the bubble being here and Oracle not being able to afford to do this build-out. But the thing is, most of Wall Street already built into their models that OpenAI would be raising far more than that. This was actually relatively good news if you were an Oracle investor, but you wouldn’t have known that from the headlines.
Another headline this week was that The Wall Street Journal ran a story about how Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) was breaking up with OpenAI and wouldn’t be investing a previously stated amount in the company. But the reality is this: OpenAI is in a funding round. They’re looking to raise about $100 billion that’s almost surely going to involve Nvidia. They also have other companies interested in providing large sums of capital like Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) and SoftBank.
If they raise $100 billion and are aiming for an IPO in Q4, that probably gives OpenAI several hundred billion dollars’ worth of capital. It gives them the runway that they need.
The final point I want to make here is we’ve been talking about this Claude Code moment and how it’s become the driving narrative of the market in early 2026. Well, who’s the primary competitor to Claude Code? It’s OpenAI’s Codex. The company you don’t really see a lot of discussion about with their coding tools is Alphabet.
So sometimes you have to zag away from market sentiment. I believe this is an area rich with opportunities. There’s a lot of negative sentiment, and I believe companies in the Alphabet ecosystem will still see strong results in 2026. But the negativity is so high on many stocks indexed to OpenAI that I think it’s become a relative zone of opportunity.
This is going to be one of the zones we’re looking at. I want to explain why that is because if we issue recommendations into a lot of these companies, listeners might say, “All I’ve heard is bad things about OpenAI.”
Austin: Mm-hmm.
Eric Bleeker: We need to talk about how the narratives don’t accurately reflect the situation happening at the beginning of 2026.
Austin: Yeah, and you’ve discussed the importance of companies having a good narrative and being able to look through narratives to reality. I’ll give you another example. Alphabet has had a fantastic run post-2025, from the tail end of 2025 through to now, and we’ve talked a lot about that.
They have a lot of great narratives going right now. One of the other ones you’ll hear is that Alphabet owns 7% of SpaceX, Waymo is a $100 billion company in their portfolio, and they have a stake in Anthropic. All of these are true and very impressive.
If you add up the estimated stakes of all of those companies I just mentioned, it’s about $225 billion. That is a lot of money, but it’s against a $4 trillion market cap. So we’re talking about maybe 6% of the company.
This is a case where Alphabet has some shine on it and some good narratives out there. But when you actually start to look through the context and put these numbers against reality, you have to understand how much of this could just be good vibes, good media coverage, and the fact that OpenAI has negative coverage.
I like that you’re trying to look through that to understand the ground truth of whether or not the company is going to be in a good position. If they can raise $100 billion and plan for an IPO, as you said, they’re going to have all the money they need to go fight this AI war for a number of years.
Eric Bleeker: You need to be able to look beyond what’s in the media, and that often provides opportunity because it is non-consensus.
Austin: Mm-hmm.
Eric Bleeker: You make your money by being non-consensus. As you know, we generally have been non-consensus with AI, and when the trend works, you see the benefits from it.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:232mo ago
ROSEN, RECOGNIZED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages GSI Technology Inc. Investors to Inquire About Securities Class Action Investigation - GSIT
New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - February 16, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, continues to investigate potential securities claims on behalf of shareholders of GSI Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: GSIT) resulting from allegations that GSI Technology may have issued materially misleading business information to the investing public.
SO WHAT: If you purchased GSI Technology securities you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement. The Rosen Law Firm is preparing a class action seeking recovery of investor losses.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the prospective class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=52527 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
WHAT IS THIS ABOUT: On February 3, 2026, a post was issued on Stockwits in which it stated that "GSI is almost certainly hiding that their chip did not run Gemma-3 at all, only the pre-generation RAG phase. APU lack the MAC units required for matrix multiplication, which is critical for AI workloads."
On this news, GSI Technology's stock price fell $1.08 per share, or 14.2%, to close at $6.52 per share on February 4, 2026.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
-------------------------------
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/284040
Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA
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2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:242mo ago
KLARNA DEADLINE: ROSEN, TRUSTED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages Klarna Group plc Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important February 20 Deadline in Securities Class Action First Filed by the Firm - KLAR
New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - February 16, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of securities of Klarna Group plc (NYSE: KLAR) pursuant and/or traceable to the registration statement and related prospectus (collectively, the "Registration Statement") issued in connection with Klarna's September 2025 initial public offering (the "IPO"), of the important February 20, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline in the securities class action first filed by the Firm.
SO WHAT: If you purchased Klarna securities you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Klarna class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=48971 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than February 20, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, the Registration Statement contained false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) Defendants materially understated the risk that Klarna's loss reserves would materially go up within a few months of the IPO, which they either knew of or should have known of given the risk profile of many individuals agreeing to Klarna's buy now, pay later ("BNPL") loans; and (2); as a result, defendants' public statements were materially false and misleading at all relevant times and negligently prepared. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.
To join the Klarna class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=48971 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm or on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
-------------------------------
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/284055
Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA
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2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:252mo ago
XLE Surged 21.6% This Year as Oil Majors Navigate $64 Crude Reality
The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLE) has surged 21.6% year to date as markets pivot from energy transition rhetoric toward energy security concerns. This performance reflects investor confidence that the fund’s $33 billion portfolio of oil majors can navigate volatile crude prices and deliver returns even when commodity markets remain unpredictable.
The Oil Price Equation WTI crude has climbed 9.1% over the past month to $64.53 per barrel, a move that matters because it keeps integrated majors profitable despite projections of lower prices ahead. Three factors are preventing a collapse into the low $50s: China’s strategic reserve buying, geopolitical supply risks, and stronger-than-expected summer demand.
At $65, integrated majors like Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) and Chevron (NYSE:CVX) generate solid cash flow but face earnings pressure. Analysts note both companies can support dividends and capital programs even if oil falls to $50 per barrel, thanks to low-cost assets in the Permian Basin and offshore Guyana. The test comes if prices drop below that threshold or spike above $80, where upstream economics improve dramatically but inflation and demand destruction risks rise.
Track WTI prices through the Federal Reserve Economic Data platform, which publishes daily spot prices. Monthly EIA inventory reports provide supply and demand context. When crude moves more than 10% in either direction over a sustained period, XLE holdings will feel it in quarterly reports.
Concentration and the Majors XLE’s structure creates concentrated risk because Exxon and Chevron represent 42.5% of the fund, meaning their quarterly results drive returns more than the other 23 holdings combined. Both recently reported earnings declines as lower oil prices compressed margins, though Exxon still posted net income of $6.5 billion. The fund’s low portfolio turnover means this concentration persists by design, making the majors’ ability to maintain shareholder returns during weak upstream economics the critical question for investors.
Check quarterly earnings releases from Exxon and Chevron, typically published in late January, April, July, and October. Focus on realized prices per barrel of oil equivalent, production volumes, and free cash flow generation. When these two companies report weak upstream results, XLE will struggle regardless of what smaller holdings deliver. The fund’s 10% annual portfolio turnover means this concentration persists by design rather than temporary positioning.
The most important factor for the next 12 months is whether WTI crude stabilizes above $60 or breaks lower, while the key signal is whether Exxon and Chevron can maintain cash returns to shareholders despite compressed margins.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:272mo ago
ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Q3: 2026-02-16 Earnings SummaryEPS of -$0.01 beats by $0.11
|
Revenue of
$348.58M
(40.60% Y/Y)
beats by $85.54M
ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call February 16, 2026 8:30 AM EST
Company Participants
Anunay Shahi - Head of Investor Relations
Sumant Sinha - Founder, Chairman & CEO
Kailash Vaswani - Chief Financial Officer
Vaishali Sinha - Cofounder of ReNew & Chairperson of Sustainability
Conference Call Participants
Maheep Mandloi - Mizuho Securities USA LLC, Research Division
Nikhil Nigania - Bernstein Institutional Services LLC, Research Division
Puneet Gulati - HSBC Global Investment Research
Presentation
Operator
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to ReNew's Third Quarter FY '26 Earnings Report. [Operator Instructions]
I would now like to hand the conference over for opening remarks. Please go ahead.
Anunay Shahi
Head of Investor Relations
Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. We have put out a press release announcing results for our fiscal 2026 third quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release and the earnings presentation are available on the Investor Relations section of our website at www.renew.com.
With me today are Sumant Sinha, our Founder, Chairman and CEO; Kailash Vaswani, our CFO; and Vaishali Nigam Sinha, our Co-Founder and Chairperson, Sustainability. After the prepared remarks, which we expect will take about 30 minutes, we will open the call for questions.
Please note that our safe harbor statements are contained within our press release, presentation materials and materials available on our website. These statements are important and integral to all our remarks. There are risks and uncertainties that could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. So we encourage you to review the press release and the presentation on our website for a more complete description.
Also contained in our press release, presentation materials and annual report are certain non-IFRS measures that we reconcile to the
JB Hi-Fi Limited (JBHHY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call February 15, 2026 7:00 PM EST
Company Participants
Nick Wells - Group CEO & Executive Director
David Giansalvo - Group Chief Financial Officer
Conference Call Participants
Shaun Cousins - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Adrian Lemme - Citigroup Inc., Research Division
Michael Simotas - Jefferies LLC, Research Division
Thomas Kierath - Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited, Research Division
Sean Xu - CLSA Limited, Research Division
Ben Gilbert - Jarden Australia Pty Limited, Research Division
Bryan Raymond - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division
Josephine Forde - BofA Securities, Research Division
Craig Woolford - MST Financial Services Pty Limited, Research Division
Ajay Mariswamy - Macquarie Research
Mackenzie Ross - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Presentation
Operator
Good morning, and welcome to the J.B. Hi-Fi Group 2026 Half Year Results Investor Conference Call. Today's call will commence with a short presentation from J.B. Hi-Fi's Group CEO, Nick Wells; and Group CFO, David Giansalvo. Following the presentation, we will open to questions from investors, and the call will conclude around 11:30 a.m. We will welcome representatives of the media to this call and as with previous calls, I remind you that we will only be taking questions from investors.
I will now introduce and hand over to J.B. Hi-Fi's Group CEO, Nick Wells.
Nick Wells
Group CEO & Executive Director
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. And as always, thank you for your interest in the business. We will talk through the presentation and then allow some time for questions.
I will turn to Slide 4, titled Group Model. You'll all be familiar with this slide, so just a few comments. We have 3 great brands that are all very complementary, JB Hi-Fi, the Good Guys and our most recent addition, e&s. Each brand has its own purpose and a clear focus on particular categories and segments. JB is focused on technology and
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:282mo ago
ROSEN, LEADING INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages PomDoctor Ltd. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action - POM
WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of securities of PomDoctor Ltd. (NASDAQ: POM) between October 9, 2025 and December 11, 2025, inclusive (the “Class Period”), of the important April 7, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.
SO WHAT: If you purchased PomDoctor securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.
WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the PomDoctor class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=52621 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than April 7, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.
WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs’ Bar. Many of the firm’s attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.
DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) PomDoctor was the subject of a fraudulent stock promotion scheme involving social media-based misinformation and impersonated financial professionals; (2) insiders and/or affiliates used offshore or nominee accounts to facilitate the coordinated dumping of shares during a price inflation campaign; (3) PomDoctor’s public statements and risk disclosures omitted any mention of the false rumors and artificial trading activity driving the stock price; and (4) as a result of the foregoing, defendants’ positive statements about PomDoctor’s business, operations, and prospects were materially misleading and/or lacked a reasonable basis.
To join the PomDoctor class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=52621 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.
No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor’s ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.
Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.
Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
-------------------------------
Contact Information:
Laurence Rosen, Esq.
Phillip Kim, Esq.
The Rosen Law Firm, P.A.
275 Madison Avenue, 40th Floor
New York, NY 10016
Tel: (212) 686-1060
Toll Free: (866) 767-3653
Fax: (212) 202-3827 [email protected]
www.rosenlegal.com
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:302mo ago
SEM to Report Q4 Earnings: Can Higher Admissions Protect Results?
Key Takeaways SEM is expected to report Q4 EPS of 23 cents, up 27.8% year over year, on $1.36B revenues.Select Medical's Rehabilitation Hospital revenue is projected to rise 11.1% in Q4.SEM's Outpatient Rehabilitation EBITDA is expected to surge 55.8% year over year. Select Medical Holdings Corporation (SEM - Free Report) is set to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on Feb. 19, 2026, after the closing bell. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is currently pegged at 23 cents per share, and the same for revenues is pinned at $1.36 billion.
The fourth-quarter earnings estimate has edged down a penny over the past 60 days. The bottom-line projection indicates a year-over-year increase of 27.8%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues suggests year-over-year growth of 3.7%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
For full-year 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Select Medical revenues is pegged at $5.42 billion, suggesting a year-over-year decline of 18.2%. The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings per share is pinned at $1.23, implying a rise of 30.9% from the prior-year reported figure.
Select Medical's earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the trailing four quarters and missed in the remaining two, delivering an average surprise of 8.7%. This is depicted in the figure below.
Select Medical Holdings Corporation Price and ConsensusQ4 Earnings Whispers for SEMOur proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for the company this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is not the case here.
SEM has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
What’s Shaping SEM’s Q4 Results?The Zacks Consensus Estimate and our model estimate for the Critical Illness Recovery segment’s revenues call for 2.1% year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter. Revenues per Patient Day for the segment are also expected to have improved, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate and our model projecting a 2.8% increase from the year-ago period. Our model indicates a 3.8% surge in admissions in the fourth quarter, and the occupancy rate is expected to be at 67.3%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate and our model estimate for the Rehabilitation Hospital segment’s revenues suggest 11.1% year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter. Revenues per Patient Day for the segment are also expected to have risen 5.9% from the year-ago period, as projected by both the Zacks Consensus Estimate and our model. We expect admissions in the segment to grow 10.4% year over year. Occupancy rate is expected to have expanded 320 basis points year over year to 84.2%.
The consensus estimate for the Outpatient Rehabilitation segment’s adjusted EBITDA suggests a robust 55.8% year-over-year increase. Revenues per Visit are projected to dip 0.8% from the year-ago period, based on our estimates. We expect the number of visits to have grown 4.5% in the fourth quarter.
Our model projects a decrease in total operating expenses for the fourth quarter, primarily caused by lower general and administrative expenses. We estimate total operating expenses to be $1.28 billion in the to-be-reported quarter. Notably, our model predicts nearly 6% growth in interest expense.
How Are Peers Placed This Quarter?Major peers The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG - Free Report) and Encompass Health Corporation (EHC - Free Report) have already reported fourth-quarter results. Here’s how they have performed.
Ensign Group reported a fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.82, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4%. The bottom line improved 19.5% year over year. Operating revenues advanced 20.2% year over year to $1.36 billion. Still, the top line missed the consensus mark by 0.5%. Ensign’s strong earnings were supported by improved occupancy rates, higher patient days and improved skilled service performance. The positives were partly offset by higher expenses.
Encompass Health reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $1.46, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 13.2%. The bottom line increased 24.8% year over year. Net operating revenues of $1.5 billion improved 9.9% year over year. The top line marginally beat the consensus mark by 0.2%. Encompass’ strong results were driven by higher net revenue per discharge and increased discharges, with growth coming from both inpatient and other revenues. At the same time, rising operating expenses — especially salaries and benefits — partially offset these positives.
2026-02-16 20:382mo ago
2026-02-16 15:332mo ago
Why Analysts Still See Big Upside in Salesforce After the SaaS Scare
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
52-Week Range$180.24▼
$329.74Dividend Yield0.88%
P/E Ratio25.31
Price Target$323.57
Salesforce NYSE: CRM stock price dropped significantly, presenting a deep-value opportunity amid the widespread sell-off of software stocks this year. The software-as-a-service (SaaS) apocalypse, however, is overblown, and analysts are taking note. While AI can disrupt SaaS stocks, not all are equally at risk. Leading AI modelers are expanding into new verticals, threatening SaaS vendors, who are in turn leaning into AI to drive value for their clients.
Salesforce, for one, has been a leader in AI, machine learning, and automation for years. The result of its efforts culminated in the Data Cloud/Agentforce combination, which enables a unified platform for CRM data, data management, and insights, as well as AI-powered execution. The impact on businesses is an automated end-to-end CRM platform that drives efficiencies internally and externally. Regarding AI models, Salesforce has partnered with all the major models, integrating access and application into its platforms.
Get Salesforce alerts:
Analysts Trimmed Targets: Highlight Market’s Overreaction Analyst activity contributed to Salesforce’s stock price decline, as some analysts trimmed their price targets in late 2025 and early 2026. However, the market overreacted, moving well below the lowest target posted. Upside potential starts at a minimum 15% as of mid-February, running as high as 70% at the consensus.
While the revision trend suggests a price below consensus is likely, the $221 low-end is an outlier, with most targets ranging from $235 to nearly $400, well above the consensus. The takeaway for investors is that analysts are uncertain of the future but still see robust upside potential in this stock, running in the moderate to robust double-digit range.
Recent commentaries include two updates from Wedbush and Dan Ives. In them, he states the SaaS sell-off is overdone, opening a table-pounding buying opportunity for SaaS stocks. Regarding Salesforce, he views the company not as an AI loser but as a core participant in the AI revolution, and has added it back to the Dan Ives Wedbush AI Revolution ETF NYSEARCA: IVES portfolio.
The reinclusion in the Dan Ives Wedbush AI Revolution ETF highlights another bullish factor underpinning the stock price outlook. Institutions, which own 80% of the stock, are accumulating in 2026. MarketBeat’s data shows them buying at a $2-to-$1 pace over the trailing 12 months and sustaining the trend in early 2026. This provides a solid support base and market tailwind, which strengthened as price action declined. Conversely, short-sellers, a risk for this market, aren’t selling into the weakness. Short interest has been elevated in the past few months, but remains sufficiently low to be of little impact.
Underappreciated Salesforce Can Rise Triple Digits on Valuation Alone Disruption or not, Salesforce’s revenue and earnings outlook remains robust, and the market undervalues it. Analysts' estimates put this stock at approximately 16x this year’s earnings, a value in its own right, and under 7x the 2035 forecast, suggesting a 200% to 400% stock price gain is possible over time. Blue chip tech stocks, this one included, end to trade closer to 30x their current-year earnings outlook. The only thing missing from the equation is a catalyst, which may emerge in the upcoming earnings release and guidance.
The Q4 fiscal year 2026 report is due in late February and will likely outperform the consensus forecast. Analysts have been raising their estimates, but the consensus remains in the single digits despite the company’s forecast of acceleration into the double digits. Guidance will be a critical factor, with any signs of weakness or strength a catalyst for stock price movement.
The stock price action has been sketchy. The market fell to fresh lows in early February and could continue to fall. However, the market shows signs of indecision as of mid-month, and could be at its floor. If so, resistance targets are near $195 and $225, while critical support is $180.
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2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 13:322mo ago
Zcash's Original Builders Split from ECC, Echoing OpenAI and Anthropic Rift
Zcash’s Original Builders Split from ECC, Echoing OpenAI and Anthropic Rift Prefer us on Google
Zcash’s original creators have formally broken away from the Electric Coin Company (ECC) and launched a new independent development entity, marking the clearest structural split in the privacy coin’s history.
The team announced today that the Zashi wallet will be rebranded as “Zodl,” confirming that Zcash’s flagship wallet and its original engineers now operate outside ECC’s control.
Sponsored
Sponsored
Hi. It's a new day for Zcash!
The entire former ECC team is now Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL), and we are rebranding the Zashi wallet to Zodl.
You don't need to do a thing, the app will rebrand with the next update.
This is just a start. Big things to come. https://t.co/ljmMzPX4bL
— Josh Swihart 🛡 (@jswihart) February 16, 2026 Original Builders Continue Zcash Development Outside ECCThe announcement formalizes a break that began in January, when the entire ECC staff resigned following a governance dispute with Bootstrap, the nonprofit that owns ECC.
That conflict centered on control, autonomy, and the future direction of Zcash development.
The newly formed ZODL now includes the same engineers and product team that built Zcash’s core privacy technology and developed its flagship wallet.
The organization said it will continue building tools to expand shielded ZEC adoption, independently of ECC and the Zcash Development Fund.
Critically, this means Zcash’s original creators did not leave the ecosystem.
Instead, they regrouped under a new entity and retained operational continuity through the wallet infrastructure. The Zodl wallet remains fully compatible with the Zcash blockchain.
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Sponsored
Meanwhile, ECC still exists as a legal entity under Bootstrap ownership. However, it no longer employs the original team that designed and maintained much of Zcash’s modern infrastructure.
As a result, Zcash now has two separate organizational centers tied to its future development.
Zcash Price Chart in 2026 So Far. Source: CoinGeckoSplit Mirrors OpenAI and Anthropic’s Structural BreakThe split closely resembles the OpenAI–Anthropic divide, where former OpenAI leaders left to form a new independent AI company after disagreements over governance and strategic direction. In both cases, the founding engineers and technical leadership exited the original organization and launched a parallel development effort aligned with their original mission.
Importantly, the Zcash blockchain itself has not forked. Blocks continue to process normally, and the ZEC asset remains unchanged.
However, development leadership and technical direction now exist outside the original corporate structure.
This distinction highlights a growing pattern in decentralized ecosystems, where developer continuity can matter more than institutional ownership.
In practice, the engineers who build and maintain protocol infrastructure often shape its long-term trajectory.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 13:422mo ago
Bitcoin steadies as X keeps trades off-platform via brokers
Product managers at X do not execute transactions or brokerX clarified that it does not execute transactions or act as a broker, according to X (formerly Twitter). The company’s product managers are not responsible for brokering or settling user trades.
Within this model, PMs focus on discovery, roadmap, and disclosure alignment. Execution of orders, custody, and settlement remain with regulated partners outside the platform.
Role boundaries under FCA and SEC: why it mattersRegulatory boundaries under the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the u.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) distinguish product design from the licensed activity of effecting transactions. Clear separation reduces regulatory risk and misinterpretation.
As summarized by Morgan Lewis, SEC staff have indicated that transaction-linked compensation alone does not confer broker status unless a party effects trades for others. This underscores why PM roles stay non-brokerage.
BingX: a trusted exchange delivering real advantages for traders at every level.
For users, price displays and charts are informational. When trading is available, order placement and execution occur off-platform via partner brokers, with clear routing and risk disclosures on handoffs.
For partners, responsibilities typically include best-execution, recordkeeping, and surveillance on their side, while the platform manages UI integrity, data labeling, and incident escalation defined in contracts.
For disclosures, the platform should state it is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser and does not execute trades. Language should mirror operational reality and remain consistent across surfaces.
At the time of this writing, Robinhood Markets (HOOD) last traded near $76.07 after hours, based on data from Yahoo. This context does not imply endorsement or advice.
This article is for information only and is not legal advice.
How X separates price displays from off-platform tradingProduct surfaces can show live prices and charts while routing any trade to external rails. As reported by Coin Edition, “smart cashtags will show live news/crypto/”>crypto prices and charts, but all trades remain off-platform through partner brokers,” said Nikita Bier.
This design keeps pricing UI, education, and discovery on X, while order handling, execution, and settlement occur with regulated intermediaries under their own compliance programs.
Partner brokers execute trades, not XUnder this approach, X does not handle customer orders or custody. Partner brokers receive instructions, provide confirmations, and maintain required books and records under applicable rules.
Compliance-first SaaS patterns in private marketsA similar model appears in private-markets infrastructure. As reported by Newswire, Equidefi described a “compliance-first SaaS model” that does not act as a broker-dealer or investment adviser.
The common principle is clear boundaries: software enables workflow and information, while regulated entities perform solicitation, execution, and investor-facing regulated activity.
FAQ about product manager responsibilitiesDo product managers need to register as broker-dealers to work on financial products?No. PMs working on financial features do not execute or intermediate trades, so they generally do not register as broker-dealers.
What is the broker-dealer definition and how does it differ from a product manager’s role?A broker-dealer effects transactions for others. A product manager defines strategy, requirements, and disclosures but does not place, route, or settle customer orders.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.
Bitcoin got hammered. The crypto king dropped from $44,000 to $41,500 in just hours on February 15, and traders using borrowed money got absolutely crushed in the process.
Leverage trading basically means you’re betting with money you don’t have. It’s pretty much gambling on steroids – when Bitcoin goes your way, you make bank, but when it doesn’t, you lose everything fast. And that’s exactly what happened this week. Funding rates, which show how much it costs to hold these risky positions, shot through the roof. Traders who borrowed money to buy Bitcoin suddenly faced margin calls, forcing them to sell at the worst possible time. The whole thing turned into a bloodbath.
BitMEX saw $150 million in positions get wiped out. In minutes.
Binance reported trading volume doubled compared to last week. Sam Bankman-Fried from FTX said the market’s “extremely sensitive to leverage right now.” He’s not wrong. Even tiny price moves trigger massive sell-offs that make everything worse. It’s like dominoes falling – one liquidation causes another, then another, until the whole thing collapses.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange saw open interest in Bitcoin futures hit monthly highs on February 15. Institutional players are piling in hard, but they’re also adding to the chaos. Hedge funds use these derivatives to hedge or speculate, and their moves can swing prices violently.
Coinbase reported 30% higher Bitcoin trading volume. CEO Brian Armstrong said traders are “reacting swiftly to price changes.”
Kraken’s Jesse Powell confirmed a surge in margin calls. “Direct consequence of current market volatility,” he said, warning traders to be careful. But warnings don’t really help when you’re already underwater on leveraged positions.
Glassnode’s data shows Bitcoin’s 30-day realized volatility hit 85% – the highest since December 2025. That’s insane volatility, and it’s all driven by people betting with borrowed money. The IBIT index, which tracks Bitcoin’s implied volatility, basically screams that traders expect more wild swings ahead.
Genesis Trading’s Michael Moro said institutions are scrambling for hedging strategies. “More institutions are seeking ways to protect against potential downside risks,” he noted. Smart money is getting scared, and when smart money gets scared, retail traders usually get hurt worse. More on this topic: Prediction Markets Chase Wall Street Money.
Ethereum didn’t escape either. It dropped from $3,200 to $3,000 as leveraged positions across all cryptos got liquidated. The correlation between Bitcoin and other coins means when Bitcoin crashes hard, everything else follows.
Major exchanges won’t comment on risk mitigation measures. Regulatory bodies stay silent on potential interventions. Traders are basically on their own in this mess.
But here’s the thing – this cycle keeps repeating. Traders pile into leverage when prices are rising, then get destroyed when volatility spikes. February 14 started normal with Bitcoin around $44,000, then everything went sideways fast. Automatic sell-offs kicked in as positions got liquidated, creating more downward pressure.
The funding rates tell the real story. When they’re high, it means too many people are betting on price increases using borrowed money. And when those bets go wrong, the unwinding gets ugly quick. Open interest in Bitcoin derivatives keeps growing, which means more fuel for these volatile moves.
Genesis Trading sees institutional inquiries about hedging rising. Smart money knows this volatility isn’t going away anytime soon. The absence of regulatory guidance leaves everyone guessing about what comes next.
Kraken’s margin call surge shows how many traders got caught off guard. Even experienced players are struggling with the current environment. The leverage that amplifies gains on the way up becomes a nightmare on the way down. More on this topic: Bitcoin MVRV Ratio Drops to March.
BitMEX’s $150 million liquidation event happened in just minutes, showing how fast things can spiral. One big liquidation triggers others, creating cascading effects that nobody can control. Traders who thought they had safe positions suddenly found themselves facing massive losses.
The market remains extremely sensitive to any news or price movement. Small changes get amplified through the leverage system, creating outsized reactions. Bitcoin’s brief touch of $42,300 before another drop shows how unstable things are right now.
Coinbase’s 30% volume spike reflects panic trading more than anything else. When volatility hits, everyone wants to trade, but most end up losing money in the chaos. The exchange profits from the activity while traders get crushed by their own leverage bets.
The derivatives market structure itself creates these feedback loops. CME’s Bitcoin futures contracts allow institutions to take massive positions without actually owning the underlying cryptocurrency. When these paper positions unwind rapidly, they amplify selling pressure across spot markets. Traditional finance players bring Wall Street-style risk management to crypto, but their hedging strategies often backfire during extreme volatility.
Regulatory uncertainty makes everything worse. The SEC hasn’t provided clear guidance on crypto derivatives, leaving exchanges to self-regulate their margin requirements. Without standardized risk controls, some platforms allow 100x leverage while others cap it at 10x. When markets turn violent, these inconsistencies create arbitrage opportunities that professional traders exploit, adding more chaos to an already unstable system.
Post Views: 19
2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 13:572mo ago
Metaplanet posts $621M loss after Bitcoin valuation swing
Metaplanet’s $621M net loss was driven primarily by a $668M Bitcoin valuation adjustment despite record operating income.
Metaplanet reported a $621 million net loss for fiscal year 2025 after a sharp Bitcoin valuation loss outweighed strong operating performance, according to its earnings presentation.
The company generated revenue of approximately $58 million, up 738% year over year, and posted operating profit of about $41 million. However, a $668 million Bitcoin valuation loss pushed pre-tax results to a loss of roughly $628 million for the year.
The deficit reflects mark-to-market accounting rather than realized cash flow. In its breakdown of results, Metaplanet shows operating profit offset by the Bitcoin valuation loss and minor non-operating items.
Metaplanet ended 2025 holding 35,102 BTC, surpassing its 30,000 BTC target and ranking as the fourth-largest public company Bitcoin holder globally. Its Bitcoin NAV stood at approximately $3.15 billion as of December 31, 2025, with an equity ratio of 90.7%.
At current prices near $68,000, its Bitcoin holdings are worth approximately $2.39 billion, though the company is facing an estimated 37% drawdown based on an average acquisition cost of roughly $107,000 per BTC.
The company said it will not provide net income forecasts due to Bitcoin price volatility, though it projects fiscal 2026 revenue of about $105 million and operating profit of roughly $75 million.
Bitcoin has traded sideways since last Friday, fluctuating between $68,000 and $70,000, as broader volatility remains contained.
Note: Yen figures have been converted to US dollars using an exchange rate of 153 JPY per USD.
2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:002mo ago
Ethereum Whale Losses Mirror Past Bottoms: Accumulation Continues Despite Pressure
Ethereum continues to struggle under persistent selling pressure, with price action reflecting a fragile market environment and cautious investor sentiment. Since peaking in October, Ethereum has lost more than 60% of its value, marking one of the sharpest corrective phases of the current cycle. Analysts increasingly warn that downside risks remain elevated, particularly if broader crypto liquidity conditions fail to stabilize in the near term.
Despite the negative price performance, on-chain data suggests a more nuanced underlying dynamic. A recent CryptoQuant report indicates that Ethereum whales are currently holding positions at a loss, with the magnitude of those unrealized losses comparable to levels historically seen near previous market bottoms. This pattern often emerges late in corrective cycles, when large holders continue accumulating rather than distributing.
Notably, the report highlights that many of these large investors have not had meaningful opportunities to realize profits during this cycle, as they maintained accumulation strategies even through volatility. Such behavior can signal long-term conviction, although it does not guarantee an imminent reversal.
Whale Positioning Signals Potential Bottom Formation The report argues that current on-chain positioning among large Ethereum holders may indicate that the market is approaching a cyclical bottom. According to the analysis, whales are currently sitting on losses comparable to those observed near previous market lows, a condition that historically coincided with late-stage corrective phases rather than early declines. This positioning suggests that the present price range could represent a structural floor, although confirmation typically requires stabilization in both price and liquidity conditions.
Ethereum Whales Unrealized Profit Ratio | Source: CryptoQuant One notable aspect is that these large holders now control some of the largest aggregate ETH balances on record. Despite this accumulation, they have not had significant opportunities to realize profits during the current cycle, largely because prices reversed before extended distribution phases could occur. This absence of profit-taking contrasts with prior bull cycles, where whales gradually reduced exposure near peaks.
The report interprets continued accumulation under these conditions as preparation for a potential future rally rather than defensive repositioning. Large holders appear to be building exposure with a longer investment horizon, anticipating improved macro liquidity and renewed market momentum.
However, while such behavior can precede recoveries, it does not eliminate downside risk. Confirmation typically requires stronger demand, improved sentiment, and sustained price stability.
Ethereum Tests Critical Long-Term Support Zone Ethereum’s weekly chart shows sustained downside pressure following the sharp rejection from the late-2025 highs near the $4,800 region. Price has now retraced toward the $2,000 psychological level, an area that historically acted as both resistance and support across multiple cycles. The recent breakdown below shorter-term moving averages confirms a loss of bullish momentum and suggests that sellers remain in control in the medium term.
ETH testing critical demand level | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView The clustering of major moving averages above the current price reinforces this bearish structure. The faster trend averages have rolled over decisively, while the longer-term baseline continues to flatten, indicating weakening trend strength rather than outright capitulation. This configuration typically reflects late corrective phases, where volatility rises but directional conviction remains fragile.
Volume dynamics add nuance. Elevated selling volume during the latest decline signals active distribution rather than passive drift. However, the absence of extreme capitulation spikes suggests that a full market flush may not yet have occurred.
From a structural perspective, holding above the $1,800–$2,000 corridor would help stabilize sentiment and potentially form a consolidation base. A sustained breakdown below this region could expose deeper historical support zones closer to prior cycle accumulation ranges. Conversely, reclaiming the key moving averages would be required before any credible trend reversal narrative emerges.
Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:022mo ago
Bitcoin Retreats Below $68,000 Amid ‘Extreme Fear' and Analyst Downgrades
Bitcoin fell sharply on Feb. 16, dropping below $68,000 after briefly testing $70,000 and remains stuck in a consolidation range between $65,000 and $72,000. Market sentiment is deeply bearish, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index in extreme fear.
2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:042mo ago
Mantle Rolls Out ERC‑8004, but Token Dips Amid Market Reaction
Mantle launches the ERC-8004 standard to provide on-chain identity for AI agents. The MNT token suffers a nearly 5% decline coinciding with the mainnet rollout. The update aims to resolve the “visibility crisis” in digital financial markets. Mantle, the Ethereum Layer-2 scaling solution, has taken a firm step toward the technological future with the implementation of the ERC-8004 standard. This update is designed to transform AI scripts into full-scale, autonomous economic participants.
Through this integration, AI agents now possess an identity and authentication layer to operate within blockchain-based economies. However, the price of the native token, MNT, reacted with a 5% drop, trading near $0.63.
This retracement follows the bearish trend the asset has experienced since the start of the year, accumulating losses close to 40%. Despite market sentiment, the network remains focused on building a solid infrastructure for the agent economy.
Innovation for a Verifiable AI Agent Economy The new trust framework introduced by the network seeks to mitigate the so-called “visibility crisis” affecting autonomous bots. To achieve this, three primary registries were established: NFT-based identity, performance reputation, and cryptographic validation of work.
The firm’s Head of Product, Joshua Cheong, highlighted that the goal is to provide AI with the “credentials” necessary to manage real capital. In this way, the connection between traditional finance and large-scale decentralized economies is facilitated.
Furthermore, figures like Vitalik Buterin have previously endorsed these types of advancements, indicating that Ethereum must facilitate economic interaction between machines. With over $4 billion in community assets, Mantle positions itself as a leader in the institutional adoption of this technology.
In summary, the deployment of the ERC-8004 standard on Mantle is a milestone for the interoperability of autonomous financial systems. Although the token price does not immediately reflect this technical optimism, the foundation for a verifiable digital workforce has now been established.
2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:092mo ago
Metaplanet Reports $605 Million Loss After Billions Spent on Bitcoin
TLDR Metaplanet posted a $605 million loss due to the decline in Bitcoin’s value. The company spent $3.8 billion on Bitcoin, purchasing the asset at an average price of $107,000 per coin. Metaplanet’s Bitcoin holdings are currently down by 37%, reflecting an unrealized loss of $1.4 billion. Despite the losses, the company saw an 81% increase in operating profit from its options business. Metaplanet continued purchasing Bitcoin even when the price exceeded $100,000, making its largest purchases in September and October. Metaplanet, a Japanese firm that heavily invested in Bitcoin, has revealed a significant financial setback. The company announced a loss of ¥95 billion, or $605 million, for the past year. This decline follows the cryptocurrency’s steep drop in price from its all-time highs in October.
Metaplanet’s Losses Stem from Falling Bitcoin Value The primary reason behind Metaplanet’s financial struggles lies in the falling value of its Bitcoin holdings. The firm’s 35,100 Bitcoin, which was worth $2.4 billion, has seen a dramatic decline in value. Since the company began accumulating Bitcoin 21 months ago, it has spent approximately $3.8 billion, acquiring the digital asset at an average price of $107,000 per Bitcoin.
At the current market value, Metaplanet’s Bitcoin holdings are down by about 37%, reflecting an unrealized loss of $1.4 billion. In the last quarter, ending December 31, the company’s Bitcoin stash lost ¥102 billion, or $664 million, in value. Despite these losses, Metaplanet’s stock price saw a minor increase to ¥326 on Monday.
Revenue from Premiums Amid the Losses Metaplanet’s revenue model remains largely dependent on premiums from writing options. Over the course of the year, the company’s option premiums increased substantially, rising to ¥7.9 billion, or $51 million. This marks a sharp contrast to the previous ¥691 million, or $4.5 million, recorded in the prior year.
The firm has projected an 81% increase in operating profit, which it expects to come from its options business. While Metaplanet’s Bitcoin holdings have significantly decreased in value, this shift in focus toward its options business aims to provide some financial stability.
Bitcoin Purchases Amid the Decline Metaplanet has continued to invest in Bitcoin even as its value fluctuated. The company made some of its largest purchases when Bitcoin was trading above $100,000. In September, Metaplanet acquired $630 million worth of Bitcoin when the price was around $106,000, followed by another purchase of $615 million in October.
In total, Metaplanet has been purchasing Bitcoin through a combination of common stock issuance and preferred shares. The company’s strategy mirrors that of Michael Saylor’s firm, Strategy, which has also invested heavily in Bitcoin. However, unlike Strategy, Metaplanet has introduced products like MERCURY and MARS to help mitigate market risks.
Maxwell Mutuma
Maxwell is a crypto-economic analyst and blockchain enthusiast, passionate about helping people understand the potential of decentralized technology. His goal is to spread knowledge about this revolutionary technology and its implications for economic freedom and social good.
2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:102mo ago
Bitcoin on Pace for Longest Losing Streak Since 2018 Bear Market
In brief Bitcoin has fallen 52.44% from its October all-time high, dangerously approaching the 2018 bear market drawdown of 56.26%. The crypto market lost 1.33% in the last 24 hours, with a total market cap at $2.33 trillion On Myriad, prediction market traders say there's a 60% chance BTC touches $55K before $84K. The crypto market is bleeding. And the wounds keep deepening.
Bitcoin trades at $67,621 today, down 1.70% in the last 24 hours. But this isn't just another bad day—it could potentially help mark one of the most prolonged bear runs in Bitcoin history.
If February closes red, Bitcoin will complete five consecutive months of losses, the longest streak since June 2018 when Bitcoin was down for six months. With February already down 13.98%, the signs aren't promising.
The accumulated losses from October 2025's all-time high now reach 52.4% over 123 days. For perspective, the previous longest losing streak—that 2018 nightmare—registered a 56.26% drop over 153 days. Bitcoin is just 3.82 percentage points away from matching that record in less time.
The total cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at $2.33 trillion, down 1.33% in the last 24 hours. The Fear & Greed Index rose marginally from 8 to 12 points, but still in "extreme fear."
The macro backdrop looks equally fragile. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have slipped amid tech-sector jitters after Microsoft shed roughly 10% despite strong earnings, spooking investors. Meanwhile, precious metals have turned volatile: on Jan. 30, silver futures plunged about 31%—their steepest one-day drop since 1980—while gold also pulled back from recent highs.
Forced liquidations—when derivatives traders' positions are automatically closed at certain prices—continue battering the market. Since January 12, there has not been a single day in which bear liquidations beat bullish positions, according to Coinglass data.
Source: CoinglassSpeaking of bearish sentiment. On Myriad, a prediction market developed by Decrypt’s parent company Dastan, odds shifted again from bullish to bearish on bets wagering on Bitcoin’s near-term future. Currently, prediction market traders are favoring a scenario where BTC touches $55K before $84K with 60% odds. That sentiment shift in prediction markets—where participants put money behind their opinions—is hard to ignore.
Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis: The signals don't lieBitcoin's charts paint an equally grim picture on the daily timeframe. Bitcoin is currently trading sideways after the big spike on February 6. However, the price has not been able to resume an upwards trend and remains below the average price of the last 200 days, which traders identify as the EMA200. This shows how weak bulls currently are.
Bitcoin (BTC) price data. Image: TradingviewThis setup (current price trading below the EMA200 and this being lower than the average price of the last 50 days, or EMA50) typically signals solid bearish momentum. When both EMAs, otherwise known as exponential moving averages, sit above the current price, they act as dynamic resistance—levels where sellers tend to appear.
The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, sits at 34.7. RSI measures buying and selling momentum on a 0-100 scale. An RSI of 34.7 places Bitcoin in bearish territory, though it hasn't reached extreme oversold levels. This means negative momentum dominates, but there's still room for further declines before technical conditions suggest a bounce.
The Average Directional Index, or ADX, stands at 56.4—well above the 25 threshold that confirms trend strength. ADX measures trend strength with readings above 25 indicating a strong trend is in place. With ADX at 56.4 and price falling, this confirms the bearish trend has very strong momentum.
Can Bitcoin Recover?
A Bitcoin bounce after such a sharp drop is definitely possible, but even if it does, it would be premature to call it a trend reversal.
For traders to begin talking about a bullish movement, the price of Bitcoin would need to show at least one of two unlikely scenarios: Either a massive recovery past the $100K mark to resume the 2024-2025 trend, or a consistent series of candlesticks with higher lows respecting at least a support similar to the one shown in the dotted green line below (extension of the previous trend).
Bitcoin (BTC) price data. Image: TradingviewFor now, Bitcoin remains trapped in one of the most persistent downtrends in its history. And with just two weeks left in February, the clock is ticking to avoid that fifth consecutive red month.
Disclaimer
The views and opinions expressed by the author are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or other advice.
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2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:112mo ago
If the SEC stays softer, Aave's DAO could start capturing $100M+ annualized revenue
Aave Labs posted a governance proposal on Feb. 12 asking tokenholders to endorse a strategic package that would direct 100% of Aave-branded product revenue to the DAO treasury, formalize brand protection, and center the roadmap on Aave V4.
The initiative was named the “Aave Will Win Framework.”
The proposal hasn't been implemented yet, as an early governance temperature check. Yet, the public framing is unambiguous: “We believe there's no better time to align behind a token-centric vision and position Aave to win over the next decade.”
That timing language is the real story.
Aave isn't just restructuring its economics. Instead, it is building as if the US enforcement overhang that defined 2022 through 2024 is shrinking, and value accrual to tokenholders is safe to pursue again.
The proposal explicitly references “regulatory clarity emerging in certain markets,” and the numbers suggest that assessment isn't just vibes.
SEC crypto enforcement fell 60% in 2025 compared with 2024, dropping from 33 actions to 13, per Cornerstone Research. That decline coincides with the first year under SEC Chair Paul Atkins.
Chart showing SEC crypto enforcement actions dropped 60% from 33 in 2024 to 13 in 2025, with monetary penalties falling to less than 3% of 2024 levels.Additionally, the SEC's 2026 exam priorities placed less emphasis on crypto than in prior years, and the agency voluntarily dismissed its Binance lawsuit with prejudice, a move that explicitly links to the President Donald Trump administration's policy stance.
The DOJ also signaled a softer posture, with a memo that scaled back certain crypto-platform enforcement and disbanded the national crypto enforcement team.
Aave's move reads like pricing in a multi-year window, when enforcement risk is lower, and protocols can compete like businesses again without immediately triggering securities-tripwire fears. This includes budgets, brand protection, and product revenue funnels.
That's bigger than one proposal. It's a regime-shift thesis playing out across DeFi.
Building like a business, but on-chainThe Aave framework goes beyond tokenomics. It defines a comprehensive operating model.
If approved, the DAO would receive product revenues from aave.com interface fees, the mobile app, card products, Aave Pro, Aave Kit, Aave Horizon, and even an AAVE exchange-traded product line item.
Aave claims the swap integration on aave.com generates roughly $10 million in annualized revenue that would flow to the DAO under the framework. It also states that Aave V3 generates over $100 million in annualized revenue.
Those numbers position the DAO as more than a governance wrapper, as it's being set up to steward a brand, allocate capital, and pursue regulated product ambitions.
The proposal bundles value capture with brand and IP protection, operational funding, and a faster execution path than governance by committee would allow.
Aave says it has been self-funding product development and legal work, including SEC defense, and now wants to align behind a token-centric model.
The framing is explicit: build the DAO to function as an entity that can compete institutionally, not just in a decentralized manner.
That shift matters because, when enforcement is intense, protocols avoid anything that appears to be profit distribution.
When enforcement cools, the opportunity cost of governance-only tokens becomes harder to defend, especially with institutions looming as users. Aave is betting the enforcement window has opened wide enough to make value accrual a feature, not a liability.
Value accrual is backAave isn't alone. Uniswap is pursuing a similar playbook.
The UNIfication proposal aims to turn on protocol fees and burn UNI, among other ecosystem changes.
DefiLlama's Uniswap V2 methodology shows that since Dec. 28, 2025, 17% of Ethereum fees have been allocated to UNI buybacks and burns. Tokenholder value accrual is embedded directly into the protocol’s live design and operations.
Uniswap is also pursuing a broader fee-and-burn roadmap across versions over time.
Other protocols already show measurable value accrual. DefiLlama tracks “holders revenue” across protocols such as Pendle, illustrating that value-capture mechanisms are normalized across parts of DeFi.
The data infrastructure exists to measure fees, revenue, and tokenholder-directed flows, which makes the shift from “governance token with unclear value” to “token with measurable capture” legible to institutions.
The pattern is clear: protocols that avoided fee switches or value routing during the enforcement-heavy years are reopening those levers. The calculus changed because the risk profile changed.
Timeline showing US regulatory signals like the SEC dismissing the Binance suit and de-emphasizing crypto in exam priorities correlating with DeFi protocols activating value-accrual mechanisms.What the regime shift signalsBack to building like a business, but on-chain. Aave's proposal doesn't read like a DAO governance exercise. It reads like a company outlining its revenue model, brand strategy, and institutional roadmap.
The difference is that the “company” is on-chain, the budget flows to a treasury governed by tokenholders, and the distribution mechanism runs through smart contracts. However, the operational logic is familiar: capture value, allocate resources, protect IP, and compete for market share.
That kind of clarity was radioactive when the SEC was treating most tokens as unregistered securities. Now it's being pitched as a competitive advantage.
Regime shift triggers value-accrual experiments. When the enforcement posture shifts, the opportunity set for protocol design shifts as well.
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The underlying technology didn't change. The regulatory environment did, and that unlocks design space.
Protocols can now experiment with fee switches, treasury routing, buybacks, burns, and distribution mechanisms that were too legally risky to implement when every token allocation was under scrutiny.
The next fight is legitimacy alongside decentralization. Aave bundles brand and IP protection into a single package alongside token-centric alignment. That’s a bet that the DAO must operate as a legible entity capable of stewarding a brand and a product suite, functioning as a coherent organization with accountable ownership over its ecosystem.
The proposal positions the DAO to interact with regulated markets, such as exchange-traded products, institutional custody, and compliance-wrapped interfaces. At the same time, it maintains on-chain economics.
That tension between decentralization and institutional legibility is the new frontier.
ProtocolMechanism (treasury routing / buyback+burn / staker distribution)Status (proposed vs active) + dateQuant hook (what you can cite)Data sourceAaveTreasury routing — “100% of Aave-branded product revenue → Aave DAO treasury” (incl. aave.com fees, App, Card, Pro, Kit, Horizon, AAVE ETP)Proposed (governance TEMP CHECK) — Feb 12, 2026Swap integration on aave.com “~$10M annualized revenue”; “Aave V3 already generates over $100M in annualized revenue”Aave governance temp check. (Aave)Uniswap V2Buyback+burn — DefiLlama methodology: protocol routes 17% of fees (Ethereum) to buy back & burn UNIActive — since Dec 28, 2025 (per DefiLlama methodology note)“From 28 Dec 2025, 17% (0% before) fees on Ethereum shared to buy back and burn UNI”DefiLlama Uniswap V2 methodology section. (DeFi Llama)Uniswap (UNIfication roadmap)Roadmap to protocol fees + UNI burn (broader rollout intent across versions over time)Proposed / governance roadmap — Nov 2025 (UNIfication post)Explicitly proposes: turn on protocol fees → burn UNI, plus a retroactive burn of 100M UNI; rollout starts with v2 + a set of v3 pools representing ~80–95% of LP fees on Ethereum mainnetUniswap “UNIfication” post. (Uniswap Labs)PendleTokenholder-directed value (DefiLlama “Holders Revenue” — i.e., value routed to tokenholders via burn/distribution mechanisms)Active (ongoing)Holders Revenue 30d: $893,526; Holders Revenue (annualized): ~$10.9MDefiLlama Pendle fees/revenue page + “Holders Revenue” definition. (DeFi Llama)What could derail thisAave’s framework remains a governance proposal awaiting implementation. Legislative optionality exists, but the policy architecture is still developing.
Yet, if enforcement resurges, protocols could pause value accrual, route more through foundations or offshore structures, or limit US exposure.
Technical and competitive risks also matter. If Aave's product revenue projections don't materialize, or if competitors offer better terms by avoiding tokenholder routing, the framework's appeal diminishes.
If the regulatory environment shifts again and the SEC or DOJ treats fee-routing structures as securities violations, the entire value-accrual thesis collapses back into risk mitigation mode.
Three forward scenariosOne potential scenario moving forward is a “durable thaw.”
If the current posture persists, expect more DAOs to flip fee switches, formalize budgets, and pursue US-compliant product wrappers. Key indicators to watch are the decline or flatlining of SEC crypto actions, incremental rulemaking, and more protocols copying the “protocol usage → token burn or treasury” model.
Another scenario is clarity without comfort. Laws move, but enforcement stays selective. Protocols engineer token-centric models to avoid “dividend optics,” more treasury routing, buybacks, and burns versus direct payouts.
Topics to watch are progress or stalls on bills like CLARITY and agency guidance details.
Lastly, a whipsaw is also a likely scenario. Political or legal backlash, or high-profile protocol failures, trigger a resurgence in enforcement.
Protocols pause value accrual, route more through foundations or offshore, or limit US exposure.
Even a friendlier SEC still says “fraud is fraud,” and a major scandal could reset the tolerance for tokenholder-directed revenue.
What's at stakeAave's proposal doesn't just ask tokenholders to endorse a budget. It asks them to endorse a thesis on what the next decade will look like: protocols competing as businesses, value accruing to tokens, and DAOs functioning as institutions.
That thesis depends on the US regulatory environment remaining more favorable than it was in 2022 through 2024.
The enforcement data, exam priorities, and dismissed cases suggest that the bet is rational at this time. Whether it holds for a decade is the open question.
Protocols are repricing themselves in anticipation of a window they believe is open. How long it stays open, and whether other jurisdictions follow or diverge, will determine whether this wave of value-accrual experiments becomes the new normal or another chapter in DeFi's regulatory whiplash.
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2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:112mo ago
Bitcoin is not acting like “digital gold” because real gold and USD correlations collapsed toward zero
In 2025 and early 2026, Bitcoin's behavior has been less “digital gold” and more regime-dependent. Sometimes it trades like a tech beta, then like a rates-and-liquidity-duration trade, and only intermittently like a hedge.
The real story is which macro regime makes which identity dominate next.
The setup matters. The Federal Reserve held the Fed funds target range at 3.5% to 3.75% on Jan. 28, reinforcing a “watch incoming data” stance rather than a clean easing tailwind.
The IMF's January 2026 update projects 3.3% global growth in 2026, with “technology investment and accommodative financial conditions” offsetting trade headwinds, an environment that tends to keep equity and tech risk factors relevant.
Against that backdrop, Bitcoin's correlations indicate which identity is prevailing.
CME Group notes that crypto's correlation with the Nasdaq 100 in 2025 and early 2026 has been as strong as +0.35 to +0.6, whereas Bitcoin's correlations with gold and the US dollar have weakened to roughly zero in recent years.
That's a shift from 2022 and 2023, when Bitcoin's negative correlation with the US dollar reached about –0.4. In this regime, Bitcoin trades less like a macro hedge and more like a liquidity-sensitive tech risk factor.
Three identities, and when does Bitcoin behave like each one of themHedge means that Bitcoin should benefit when the dollar weakens or when investors seek a store-of-value hedge with gold-like characteristics.
High-beta tech refers to Bitcoin's behavior as a leveraged cousin of the Nasdaq 100 on risk-on and risk-off days.
Liquidity sponge means Bitcoin absorbs and reflects changes in financial plumbing, such as ETF flow reversals, funding conditions, reserves and cash facilities, acting like the first asset repriced when liquidity tightens or loosens.
The piece is evergreen if you treat these as three identities that Bitcoin rotates among, rather than one “true” identity. The rotation depends on the macro regime, which is measurable.
The “digital gold” claim has been weaker recently. CME's framing is direct: Bitcoin's rolling correlation with gold has never been very high, peaking at +0.41 on a rolling 12-month basis during the quantitative easing era, and has been near zero since 2024.
Bitcoin's negative dollar correlation, which reached about -0.4 in 2022 and 2023, has also weakened toward zero by 2025 and early 2026.
The hedge identity isn't dead, but it's dormant. In the current regime, Bitcoin doesn't decouple from the dollar when the dollar weakens, and it doesn't track gold's moves.
For the high-beta tech, the evidence is strongest. CME notes crypto has shown a consistently positive relationship with the Nasdaq 100 since 2020, and in 2025 and early 2026 it's often in the +0.35 to +0.6 range.
In “AI-risk-on and risk-off” days, Bitcoin trades like an equity risk factor, often falling more than tech on selloffs. High beta cuts both ways: Bitcoin amplifies Nasdaq gains on the way up and magnifies losses on the way down.
This is the identity that predominates when growth holds, and financial conditions remain supportive.
For the liquidity sponge personality, rates can be flat while liquidity still moves. BlackRock argues that Bitcoin has historically shown sensitivity to dollar real rates, similar to gold and emerging-market foreign exchange.
As a result, “slower cuts or higher real yields” can pressure Bitcoin even if no new policy shock lands. FRED provides clean public series to anchor “plumbing”: the Fed balance sheet and reverse repo facility usage.
Bitcoin can behave like a liquidity sponge when the marginal buyer or seller is flow-driven, regardless of the headline policy rate.
Scenarios and what to watchWhile Bitcoin struggles to decide which identity it will assume, different scenarios are possible.
The first is “risk-on tech beta,” which serves as the base case if growth holds and financial conditions remain supportive.
Bitcoin's identity would be high-beta tech dominance if its rolling correlation with Nasdaq stays elevated in the +0.35 to +0.6 regime. Additionally, correlations with gold and the dollar remain weak, at approximately zero.
Bitcoin isn't hedging, but participating in the same risk complex as tech equities.
The second scenario is “sticky inflation and higher real yields,” which assumes the policy rate remains steady while real yields rise.
Bitcoin's identity would shift to liquidity and real-rate duration trade, with higher real rates and tighter financial conditions coinciding with Bitcoin drawdowns.
Reverse repo and other plumbing proxies show tighter reserve and liquidity conditions. Bitcoin sells off like a long-duration asset when the discount rate rises, even if nominal rates don't move much.
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The third scenario is a “shock regime,” which involves trade disruptions, geopolitical escalation, or a credit event.
Bitcoin's identity would initially see correlations spike, with a potential “hedge” narrative reemerging later, and cross-asset correlations would rise during the initial shock as risk books de-gross.
Post-shock, if the dollar weakens and monetary or fiscal support rises, Bitcoin can regain “hedge-ish” behavior. However, this must be measured, not assumed.
The 2022 and 2023 regimes showed that Bitcoin could act more like a hedge when macroeconomic stress was paired with dollar weakness, but this is not automatic.
Myth-busting and what actually changesInvestors should stop arguing about what Bitcoin is and start measuring what Bitcoin is doing.
Correlations, real-rate sensitivity, and flow channels are observable and update faster than narratives. CME notes that other major tokens are highly correlated with Bitcoin, often in the +0.6 to +0.8 range, so Bitcoin's identity shift drags the complex with it.
Institutional market structure increases macro transmission. ETF flows can amplify moves in both directions: an easy on-ramp and an easy exit.
The liquidity sponge identity matters more now because institutional access is bidirectional.
Real rates matter, but so do plumbing and flows.
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet, reverse repo usage, and money stock are publicly available series that track financial plumbing. When these tighten or loosen, Bitcoin reprices quickly.
“Bitcoin is an inflation hedge.” Sometimes, but recent correlations with gold and the dollar have weakened. Don't assume hedge behavior without data. The evidence from 2025 and early 2026 indicates that Bitcoin behaves more like a technology risk factor.
“Bitcoin decouples when the USD falls.” That was more true in 2022 and 2023 than in 2025 and early 2026, per CME's discussion of dollar correlations.
“Rates are the only macro driver.” Real rates matter, but so do plumbing and flows. BlackRock's real-rate sensitivity framework, plus reverse repo and Federal Reserve balance sheet proxies, indicates that liquidity conditions can move Bitcoin independently of the headline policy rate.
What's at stakeBitcoin's identity crisis in 2026 isn't a philosophical debate. Instead, it's an empirical rotation between three measurable regimes.
The current regime favors high-beta tech identity, with liquidity sensitivity as the secondary driver and hedge behavior mostly dormant.
That can change, and the tells are observable: correlation shifts, real-rate moves, ETF flows, and plumbing indicators.
The next regime will reveal which identity dominates, and the answer will appear in the data before it appears in the narrative.
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2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:162mo ago
XRP Outlook Slashed: Standard Chartered Lowers Forecast From $8 To $2
The British financial giant Standard Chartered sharply reduced its price outlook for XRP, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency. The company trimmed its end-of-2026 target by 65% following the severe downturn in the broader crypto market in the past month.
The revision comes even as the altcoin posted a modest 2% rebound over the past week, trading around $1.47 per token at the time of writing. Despite that short-term recovery, the bank’s digital assets team now believes the token is unlikely to reach a new all-time high this year.
New XRP Price Prediction The updated forecast was first reported on Monday by DL News, with Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, outlining the changes in a note to investors.
Kendrick, who leads the bank’s crypto research efforts, acknowledged that recent market conditions have forced a broad reassessment of price expectations across the sector.
“Recent price action for digital assets has been challenging, to say the least,” Kendrick wrote. “We expect further declines near-term, and we lower our forecasts across the asset class.”
The 1-D chart shows XRP’s increased volatility witnessed over the past month. Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com Under the revised outlook, Standard Chartered now expects XRP to reach $2.80 by the end of 2026, a substantial cut from its previous $8 projection. The earlier target had been issued in December, when the bank took a far more optimistic stance.
At that time, Kendrick pointed to increasing regulatory clarity surrounding XRP’s status as a financial asset, along with progress toward exchange-traded fund (ETF) products, as key catalysts that could drive significant price appreciation.
Broad Forecast Cuts Across Major Tokens The $8 forecast was made roughly two and a half months after the sharp market crash on October 10, when sentiment had begun to stabilize.
However, as February draws to a close, the broader crypto market has yet to mount a sustained recovery. That prolonged weakness has prompted Standard Chartered to reassess not only XRP but the wider digital asset landscape.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) expected price has been reduced from $150,000 to $100,000. Ethereum’s (ETH) forecast has been revised down from $7,000 to $4,000, while Solana’s (SOL) target has been cut from $250 to $135.
Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
2026-02-16 19:382mo ago
2026-02-16 14:192mo ago
Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP Hold Steady While Dogecoin Slips — Traders Eye 'Best Buying Opportunity'
Bitcoin is hovering near the $68,000 level, with no clear macro or structural catalyst driving the broader crypto market. Cryptocurrency Ticker Price Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) $67,858.35 Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) $1,967.49 Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) $84.54 XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) $1.48 Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) $0.1004 Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) $0.056496 Notable Statistics: Coinglass data shows 93,334 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours for $249.32 million.