Market Signal Briefing

Bitcoin is testing major support levels on both the weekly and 4 hour charts, with price sitting near the weekly 200EMA and the range low. Meanwhile, a liquidation heatmap shows heavy liquidity stacked above and another pocket below, setting clear zones for the next reaction.

Bitcoin hovers near weekly 200EMA as sellers press long-term supportBitcoin traded near $66,316 on the weekly BTC/USD chart as price continued to hover around the weekly 200-period exponential moving average, a long-term trend gauge highlighted by chart analyst Daan Crypto Trades.

The latest weekly candle showed Bitcoin pulling back from recent highs and settling near the moving average, with price down about 0.7% on the week at the time of the chart snapshot. The 200EMA has acted as a reference level during prior market phases, and the current test places price close to a long-term support zone that has drawn attention on higher timeframes.

Bitcoin Weekly 200EMA Test. Source: Daan Crypto Trades on X

Price action leading into the level showed a sequence of lower weekly closes after Bitcoin rolled over from its recent cycle peak. The pullback unfolded after several months of choppy trading near the upper range, followed by a sharper decline that brought price back toward the rising long-term averages. On the same chart, the weekly 200-period simple moving average sat lower than the 200EMA, creating a band of longer-term support beneath spot price. This clustering of long-term averages marks a compressed zone where price previously paused during broader trend resets.

The weekly structure now reflects a transition from expansion to consolidation, with recent candles showing deeper wicks into the moving-average area before partial recoveries. Earlier in the cycle, Bitcoin respected rising long-term trendlines during corrective phases before resuming higher. The current positioning near the 200EMA places price at a level that has historically aligned with shifts in momentum on the weekly timeframe.

Bitcoin tests range low as liquidation heatmap shows nearby liquidity pocketsBitcoin traded near $65,040 on the 4-hour BTC/USDT chart on Binance as price extended lower into the bottom of its recent range, according to data shown on a liquidation heatmap shared by Columbus.

The chart mapped dense liquidation bands above and below spot price, with the heaviest clusters concentrated between roughly $70,000 and $85,000 overhead and another pocket building below the current level. The latest move carried price into the lower boundary of the range after a sharp downswing, placing Bitcoin at a defined reaction area on the intraday timeframe.

Bitcoin Range Low Liquidation Heatmap. Source: Columbus on X

The selloff into the range low unfolded in a steep, directional sequence, with successive red candles pushing through prior intraday support. On the heatmap, that move coincided with the clearing of nearby liquidity, as brighter bands faded near the breakdown path. After the flush, price began to trade sideways near the lows, forming a narrow consolidation band while remaining under thicker liquidity layers overhead. This structure shows price compressing after an impulsive leg, rather than building a broader base during the decline.

The heatmap also highlighted the next notable liquidity pocket below the current range, indicating a lower zone where resting positions cluster if price accepts beneath the range floor. At the same time, dense bands above mark potential magnet areas if price re-enters the prior range. With Bitcoin holding near the lower boundary, the chart frames a near-term inflection area where price response to the range low defines whether trading rotates back toward overhead liquidity or extends into the next lower pocket.

Bitcoin trades near 200-week EMA; loss of support could spark 30–60% capitulation.

Summary

Bitcoin trades around $68.4k, above the ~$68.3k 200-week EMA that marks the key cycle support line. In 2018 and 2022, a weekly close below the 200-week EMA followed by a failed retest turned it into resistance and led to sharp selloffs. Analyst Rekt Capital says multiple weekly closes above the EMA keep downside “unconfirmed,” but a breakdown from this level could again trigger accelerated capitulation. A cryptocurrency analyst has warned that Bitcoin (BTC) could experience a significant price decline similar to events in 2018 and 2022 if the digital asset fails to maintain a critical technical support level.

The analyst, known by the pseudonym Rekt Capital, told 563,100 followers on social media platform X that Bitcoin faces potential downside risk if it loses support at the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), according to statements posted on the platform.

Historical data shows that a weekly close below the 200-week EMA, followed by a post-breakdown retest of the EMA into new resistance, has triggered bearish acceleration in previous market cycles, the analyst stated.

“The 200-week EMA represents the key level,” Rekt Capital wrote, adding that a weekly close below it followed by a bearish retest would likely position Bitcoin for additional downside over time.

The analyst noted that Bitcoin has posted weekly closes above the 200-week EMA for two consecutive weeks, which has prevented bearish confirmation in the near term. However, the analyst cautioned that Bitcoin remains vulnerable without sustained upward momentum.

According to the analysis, historical patterns suggest Bitcoin may struggle to generate significant upward price movement from the 200-week EMA level before an eventual breakdown occurs.

The analyst stated that a convincing breakout above the 200-week EMA resistance level would be necessary to invalidate the likelihood of a price collapse.

Bitcoin experienced major capitulation events in both 2018 and 2022, when the cryptocurrency lost significant value following extended bear markets.

In brief Bitcoin fell from $67.6K to $64.4K in two hours, triggering over $500 million in liquidations across the board. Bitcoin and Ethereum positions accounted for nearly 70% of total liquidations. One analyst told Decrypt that crypto remains "anchored at the far end of the risk curve," rather than a safe haven. Bitcoin's sharp pullback on Monday triggered a flurry of liquidations across crypto markets, wiping out over $470 million in leveraged positions.

The leading cryptocurrency fell roughly 4.6% from $67,600 to $64,435 in less than two hours during early Asian trading, according to CoinGecko data. The sudden collapse has resulted in over $505 million in liquidated positions across all assets over the past 24 hours, per CoinGlass data, with

accounting for $232 million and Ethereum for $126 million.

Bitcoin is currently trading at around $66,280, down 2.7% on the day.

"The downturn was not triggered by a sudden 'black swan' event or unexpected negative news," Tim Sun, senior researcher at HashKey Group, told Decrypt. "Instead, it was driven by policy uncertainty stemming from fluctuations in U.S. tariff policy, compounded by rising geopolitical risks. Together, these factors forced the market to reprice risk assets."

The U.S. Supreme Court’s Friday ruling stated that President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs are illegal. That hasn’t stopped Trump from imposing a sweeping 10% global tariff in response to the ruling.

The selloff underscores Bitcoin's continued sensitivity to macro uncertainty, with risk assets repricing amid fluctuations in tariff policy and geopolitical tensions rather than crypto-specific catalysts.

Users on prediction market Myriad, owned by Decrypt’s parent company Dastan, have assigned a 37% chance that Bitcoin’s next move will propel it to $84,000. That probability has dropped almost 10% from Sunday’s peak of 46.4%, reflecting  growing pessimism among investors.

Macro catalystsSun pointed to a confluence of pressures: sticky December PCE inflation data, Middle East tensions pushing crude oil to periodic highs, and interest rate markets now pricing out any chance of a March rate cut.

The markets have repriced rate-cut expectations from 90% last week to 96% as of Monday, according to the FedWatch tool, suggesting that the Federal target rate is likely to remain unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% at the next FOMC meeting. On Myriad, predictors place just a 21% chance on a rate cut of more than 25bps before July, down from 40% earlier in the month.

The broad contraction in risk appetite is a result of these developments, the HashKey analyst said. It is evident in the crypto market’s drop and gold’s 1.23% uptick today, at 5,166 per ounce.

"In an environment defined by policy uncertainty, sticky inflation, and geopolitical risk, risk appetite has contracted significantly," Sun explained. "Assets with high volatility and high liquidity dependence were the first to face pressure, driving the broad correction in risk assets."

Another factor that is playing a critical role in Bitcoin’s drop is crypto assets being treated as ‘risk assets’ by institutional capital. "Instead, they remain firmly anchored at the far end of the risk curve," Sun said.

Looking ahead, he expects limited inflows and a protracted bottoming process due to increased uncertainty that has “dampened the willingness of 'sidelined' capital to enter the market."

He cautioned that bounces are likely to be “technical recoveries” without sustained liquidity support, and any periodic bounces are more likely to be technical recoveries rather than trend reversals."

The key to a crypto market rebound lies in a convergence of macro signals turning positive, Sun said. He pointed to inflation trends, energy prices, geopolitical developments, and stability in traditional risk assets as critical watchpoints.

"If traditional risk assets remain under pressure, crypto is unlikely to rally independently," Sun added. "A stabilization in stocks is a prerequisite for a crypto recovery."

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PEPE remains under selling pressure but a falling wedge signals a potential 758% upside if price breaks above key resistance levels.

Newton Gitonga2 min read

23 February 2026, 09:59 AM

PEPE remains under strong selling pressure after peaking near $0.000004077 earlier in the session. The price gradually declined below the $0.00000405 level as bearish momentum intensified. A sharp sell-off pushed the token down toward the $0.00000385 support zone. This move confirmed increased downside volatility and aggressive distribution.

PEPE is currently trading at $0.00000407, down approximately 0.73% on the day. The rebound from the lows remains weak and lacks strong follow-through. Immediate resistance stands between $0.00000400 and $0.00000405. Sellers continue to maintain short-term market control.

PEPE Forms Falling Wedge as 758% Breakout Target EmergesAccording to analyst STEPH IS CRYPTO, the 1-week PEPE/USDT chart displays a clear falling wedge structure. Pepe price has been trending lower while forming lower highs and lower lows. The pattern shows compression between descending resistance and steady support.

Recent weekly candles are trading around the $0.0000043 to $0.0000045 region. This zone is acting as a major structural support level. Buyers continue defending this area despite broader market weakness. Selling pressure appears to be gradually fading near $0.0000045. The wedge is tightening as price approaches the apex.

A confirmed breakout above the upper trendline could trigger strong bullish momentum. STEPH IS CRYPTO outlines a projected upside of approximately 758%. From the current $0.0000045 level, that suggests a move toward $0.0000035 to $0.0000040. That target area aligns with previous weekly resistance zones. Volume expansion would be needed to confirm breakout strength. Holding above $0.0000043 remains essential for the bullish outlook. A weekly close below support would invalidate the setup and delay recovery.

PEPE Price Holds Near $0.0000039 as Bearish Momentum PersistsOn the 1-day chart, PEPE remains in a broader downtrend, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows across the displayed period. Pepe price action recently traded around $0.000003926 after opening near $0.000004051. PEPE reached a daily high of $0.000004054 and a low of $0.000003849, reflecting continued selling pressure.

There was a brief bullish spike earlier that pushed the price higher. However, momentum faded, and sellers regained control, driving the token back toward the $0.0000038–$0.0000040 support zone. The overall structure still favors bears unless price decisively reclaims and sustains levels above $0.0000041.

The MACD (12, 26, 9) shows the MACD line slightly below the signal line, with values around -0.000000127 and -0.000000162, while the histogram remains marginally negative at about 0.000000035, signaling weak bearish momentum but signs of possible stabilization. Meanwhile, the RSI (14) sits near 42.44, with its moving average around 45.20, indicating that bullish momentum is still limited.

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Newton Gitonga covers cryptocurrencies, blockchain, and digital finance. He specializes in breaking down complex trends with clear, data-driven reporting. His work focuses on market analysis, technical insights, and the evolving role of altcoins in shaping global markets.

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MemecoinPEPE

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Posted: February 23, 2026

Fartcoin [FARTCOIN] dropped over 12% in the last 24 hours as the broader crypto market declined by 4%.

The memecoin sector slipped 2%, even as trading volume rose 31%.

However, a few memecoins were doing well, especially those with the AI narrative. Despite FARTCOIN having such a narrative, it lacked real-world utility.

Hence, why was the memecoin down, and can bulls step in to reverse this?

Four-month support cracks On the charts, FARTCOIN has been in a sideways market since the 10th of October market crash. The crash saw the memecoin create a low at $0.0933 but has not revisited the level.

Bulls created a support level at $0.2145 and were defending it each time the price approached. Consequently, they would push the price toward the $0.4664 zone.

However, the situation changed in February, as the price fell below the 4-month support level. Bears overpowered bulls, breaking below the $0.2145 level, which confirmed bear trend continuation with a retest.

Source: FARTCOIN/USDT on TradingView

In fact, the bull’s strength had faded completely, as seen in the MACD bars.

However, they reacted very aggressively when the price hit $0.0933 previously. This area could hold for a rebound.

Otherwise, the memecoin would continue crashing.

Derivative positioning reinforced the weakness.

The Long/Short Accounts metric showed 54.25% of accounts positioned short, versus 45.75% long. That imbalance confirmed bearish dominance.

Having said that, leverage clusters added further pressure.

Leveraged short orders accelerate FARTCOIN’s decline Apart from a weak structural outlook, leverage also played a key role in FARTCOIN’s price decline.

The analysis of cumulative long and short liquidation leverage showed bear dominance. On all exchanges, the shorts accounted for about $4 million, which was more than 4x that of the longs at $802K.

Most of the shorts were added around $0.17 to $0.18, where 50X leverage orders topped, followed by those of 25X. Also, the current price levels around $0.15 showed that more of the 50X leverage orders were being added.

Source: CoinGlass

The data showed most of the leverage was on the Hyperliquid [HYPE] exchange.

Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage was $58.28 million, as per CoinGlass. The result meant about 65.09K FARTCOIN had been shorted, which was about 3X those that had been bought.

FARTCOIN holders lose confidence Additionally, on-chain data showed that holders were losing confidence in the memecoin.

In fact, holders declined from a high of 160.95K to 160.86K, where it has remained this February. The lack of growth showed that traders had no interest in the memecoin.

Source: CoinMarketCap

This meant that the anticipated reversal at $0.0933 could follow the drain if such a situation continues. Therefore, FARTCOIN remains bearish until a market structure break occurs.

Final Summary FARTCOIN lost a four-month support level after falling 12% in 24 hours. Leveraged short positioning and flat holder growth reinforced bearish pressure.

11h05 ▪ 3 min read ▪ by Fenelon L.

Summarize this article with:

Bitcoin is going through a turbulent zone, but the numbers might tell a very different story. Economist Timothy Peterson just published an analysis that catches attention: according to him, the probability that bitcoin will end the year higher than its current level is 88%. Enough to rekindle hope or fuel debate.

In Brief Economist Timothy Peterson estimates an 88% probability that Bitcoin will be higher in December than today. Over the past 24 months, 50% recorded positive returns for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently trading around $68,000, which is 25% below its early 2025 level. Analysts remain divided: imminent rebound for some, bottom in October 2026 for others. 50% of the Last 24 Months Have Been Positive for Bitcoin This Saturday, Timothy Peterson shared an analysis that quickly made waves. The economist specializing in digital assets published on X an indicator he closely watches: the number of positive months recorded by bitcoin over a rolling 24-month period.

His observation is clear. Over the past two years, exactly half of the months have posted gains for bitcoin. This seemingly trivial ratio sends a strong signal: according to his model, it implies “an 88% probability that bitcoin will be higher in ten months“, around December 22, 2026.

The numbers support this interpretation. In 2025, BTC ended in the green in January, April, May, June, July, and September—six months out of twelve. The other six ended in losses. A half-hearted performance, certainly, but enough to cross the threshold Peterson considers as triggering his bullish signal.

A Market Under Pressure, but Reasons to Believe The context remains difficult. Bitcoin is trading around $68,000, after opening the year near $80,000. The correction thus exceeds 25% since January. And across the overall crypto market, the record is even harsher: nearly all speculative gains recorded after the November 2024 U.S. presidential election have been erased.

The Fear & Greed Index, a gauge of investor sentiment, shows a score of 9 out of 100, an extreme fear level rarely reached. This environment drives some analysts to caution. Trader Peter Brandt, a respected figure in the sector, believes that bitcoin “won’t reach its true bottom until October 2026.”

Conversely, Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading Capital, bets on an imminent rebound. He notes that the current month is closing strongly higher after five consecutive months of decline.

The Polymarket platform, meanwhile, gives a 17% chance that December 2026 will be the best month of the year for BTC, just behind November, historically the best-performing month with an average return of 41% since 2013.

Ultimately, Peterson’s signal guarantees nothing, but it deserves attention. In a market where fear dominates, historical data remind us that the most powerful reversals often occur when no one expects them. Keeping a cool head remains, once again, the best strategy.

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Fenelon L.

Passionné par le Bitcoin, j'aime explorer les méandres de la blockchain et des cryptos et je partage mes découvertes avec la communauté. Mon rêve est de vivre dans un monde où la vie privée et la liberté financière sont garanties pour tous, et je crois fermement que Bitcoin est l'outil qui peut rendre cela possible.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

A widely followed analyst says Bitcoin may repeat an historical capitulation event if BTC fails to hold one key level.

The analyst pseudonymously known as Rekt Capital tells his 563,100 followers on X that if Bitcoin loses support at the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) it may plummet in value similar to what occurred in 2018 and 2022.

“What would confirm additional downside for Bitcoin? Historically, a weekly close below the 200-week EMA (black) followed by a post-breakdown retest of the EMA into new resistance (red circles) has triggered additional bearish acceleration.

The 200-week EMA (black) represents the price point of ~$68,300. Therefore a weekly close below ~$68,300 followed by a bearish retest of it would likely position Bitcoin for a repeat of history with additional downside over time.”

Source: Rekt Capital/X The analyst notes that Bitcoin must convincingly breakout from the 200-week EMA resistance level to invalidate the likelihood of a collapse.

“Bitcoin has weekly closed above the 200-week EMA (black) for the second week in a row. This 200-week EMA is a key confirmation trigger for additional downside. So by Bitcoin weekly closing above it, it is staving off bearish confirmation.

However, this doesn’t mean Bitcoin is now in the clear. In fact, in the absence of any meaningful upside from here going forward, there is a risk that BTC loses the 200-week EMA in time. History suggests price won’t be able to produce much upside from this 200-week EMA before an eventual breakdown.”

Source: Rekt Capital/X Bitcoin is trading at $65,792 at time of writing, down 3.2% on the day.

Generated Image: DALLE3

Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), is on track to test and potentially break the $1,500 support level in the coming days.

Key takeaways:

Ethereum has entered the breakdown phase of its prevailing bearish continuation pattern.

ETH price may decline below $1,500 by early March amid founder-led selling.

ETH bear pennant breakdown targets $1,475On Monday, ETH’s price dropped by more than 5.60% to about $1,850 amid a broader de-risking sentiment led by nervousness surrounding tariffs.

In doing so, the biggest altcoin broke below the lower trendline of its prevailing bear pennant pattern, with rising volumes indicating traders’ conviction behind the breakdown move.

Edit the caption here or remove the textA bear pennant breakdown typically resolves when the price falls by as much as the previous downtrend’s height.

Applying the same principle to ETH’s charts would bring its downside target to $1,475, close to the psychological support level of $1,500, by the end of February or early March.

The bulls must therefore reclaim the pennant’s lower trendline as support, followed by a continued rally above the 20-day exponential moving average (20-day EMA, the green line) at $2,085, which may invalidate the bearish outlook.

Vitalik Buterin will likely sell more ETH soonEthereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin’s planned ETH sales have not helped the bulls regain their footing in February.

On Jan. 30, Buterin said he would withdraw and sell 16,384 ETH via his Kanro entity to fund ecosystem work, open-source software and other long-term initiatives during an Ethereum Foundation “mild austerity” phase.

Since early February, onchain tracker Arkham Intelligence has flagged about 9,000 ETH sold in batches, with the pace picking up again over the past 48 hours after a 3,500 ETH withdrawal from Aave.

Vitalik Buterin “is selling ETH faster again,” said onchain monitoring resource, Lookonchain, on Monday.

Source: XEthereum’s price has dropped 18.55% so far in February, aligning with Buterin’s ETH distribution. The overhang could grow if he liquidates the remaining ~7,350 ETH.

History shows how founder-linked supply, including Ethereum Foundation treasury transfers, can amplify bearish sentiment among traders.

For instance, the May 2021 35,000 ETH transfers (about $125 million at that time) preceded a 50% ETH price drop within weeks.

Later, the foundation transferred another 20,000 ETH ($95 million) to Kraken on Nov. 11, 2021, a move that, in hindsight, coincided with Ether’s price peaking near $4,700 before the next leg lower.

Such conditions further increase ETH’s odds of hitting its pennant target below $1,500 in the coming days.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.

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$870 billion TradFi giant Susquehanna International Group (SIG) has disclosed its holdings in spot Bitcoin ETFs and confirmed its long-term confidence in Bitcoin. XRP ETF seller also highlighted a massive conviction in Grayscale’s GBTC.

Susquehanna Discloses its Spot Bitcoin ETF Holdings Susquehanna International Group, a leading quantitative trading and investment company with almost $870 billion in assets under management (AUM), has revealed $1.3 billion spot Bitcoin ETF holdings.

“As we continue expanding our digital asset landscape, SIG’s spot Bitcoin ETF holdings have quietly crossed the $1.3 billion mark,” the TradFi giant said.

Susquehanna added that Grayscale’s GBTC remains the core of its Bitcoin ETF portfolio. It holds over 17.27 million shares valued at more than $1.09 billion. The company has quietly built its Bitcoin portfolio for years.

The company’s successive SEC 13F filings have also revealed holdings and trades in Ethereum, Solana and XRP ETFs. However, GBTC represents the largest portion, surpassing $1 billion in value as of December 2025.

Susquehanna claims its investment is not short-term trading, but a long-term commitment. Each position is shaped by quantitative models, from liquidity profiles to fee structures. “It’s a long-term conviction in Bitcoin as a premier store of value,” the company stated.

The statement comes despite Bitcoin price plunge amid crypto market crash and rising macro and geopolitical pressure. Spot Bitcoin ETFs also continue to see outflows, but it recorded $88.1 million in inflows on Friday.

Bearish Position on XRP ETF Susquehanna is among the leading sellers of XRP by shorting XRP ETF. It has a put options position of 18,800 shares of Canary XRP ETF (XRPC), valued at nearly $366,000. Citadel Advisors LLC also shorted XRPC, opening put options worth $216,000.

However, many tradFi institutions have revealed exposure in XRP. These include Goldman Sachs, Jane Street, and JPMorgan Chase. As CoinGape reported earlier, Goldman Sachs and Jane Street are driving XRP ETF inflows.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading 3% lower near $65K. Meanwhile, XRP has tanked 7% to $1.36 today. Trading volume has increased significantly over the past 24 hours.

TLDR: ETH gained 5,600% after the 2019 RSI reset, marking its longest and most sustained bull run on record.
Each successive ETH cycle has produced shorter momentum windows, with returns compressing from 5,600% down to 265%.
RSI is back near historical reset zones that preceded major ETH price moves across all three prior market cycles. Traders who waited for chart confirmation after the first 80–100% ETH move consistently missed optimal entry points. ETH has once again drawn attention as its RSI approaches levels that historically preceded major price moves. Over three market cycles, Ethereum delivered returns ranging from 265% to over 5,600%.

Each cycle, however, produced shorter momentum windows. Analysts are tracking a clear pattern: the duration of upside moves keeps shrinking, even as RSI reset zones remain consistent with prior bottoms.

That compression is now the central issue for traders watching current price levels.

How ETH Performed Across Three Market Cycles The 2019 RSI reset marked the start of Ethereum’s longest bull run on record. From that bottom to the 2021 peak, ETH gained roughly 5,600%.

That rally took years to complete fully. The market held fewer short-term traders at the time. Holders absorbed volatility without selling quickly, giving momentum room to expand steadily over time.

The following cycle told a noticeably different story. From the 2022 RSI lows to the next major high, ETH returned around 300%. That move was still strong, but it completed far faster.

Capital rotated more quickly across the market. Leverage had increased broadly, and traders understood cycles better. Momentum accelerated sharply but also topped sooner than the previous run.

The most recent cycle, spanning 2024 into 2026, saw ETH post returns near 265%. The window compressed further still. Liquidity rotated between assets and narratives at a faster pace than before.

Traders exited positions earlier in the move. The market no longer offered the multi-year patience that once defined Ethereum’s major rallies.

A post by Ourcryptotalk captured this pattern directly. The account noted that “momentum isn’t gone, it’s compressed,” pointing to each cycle as supporting evidence.

$ETH doesn’t move the same way it used to.

If you’re waiting for ETH to “feel safe” again, you’re usually late.

That’s how it has worked every cycle.

When RSI resets this deep prices have moved big :

> 2019 : +5600%
> 2021 : +300%
> 2025 : +265%

The pattern isn’t just about… pic.twitter.com/RdGH5JExRF

— Our Crypto Talk (@ourcryptotalk) February 23, 2026

The data across three cycles shows not only shrinking percentage gains but also a consistently shorter duration of sustained upward movement.

RSI Resets and What They Signal for Current Positioning RSI is now back near the zones that marked prior cycle bottoms for ETH. In each previous instance, those levels came before meaningful upside moves.

Traders who waited for price confirmation often missed the most rewarding portion of the rally. That pattern has held across the 2019, 2022, and most recent cycles without exception.

The analyst warned that waiting for the chart to “look obvious” is often already too late. After the first 80–100% move, the window for optimal positioning tends to close quickly.

Early positioning at RSI lows has historically outperformed reactive entry in prior cycles. The same warning applied clearly in both 2019 and 2022.

The key difference now is timing. The market moves faster than it did in prior years. Narratives peak quickly, and capital exits just as fast. ETH may still follow historical patterns, but the available window is narrower than before.

For traders watching current levels, the RSI reset raises a familiar question. History shows these zones have mattered for ETH consistently.

However, waiting for broad market confirmation may no longer be a reliable strategy, given how much faster cycles have become.

TLDR: Missouri HB 2080 would create a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Fund managed by the State Treasurer under RSMo Chapter 30. Bitcoin donated to the fund must be held for a minimum of five years before it can be sold, transferred, or converted. The bill requires all Missouri government entities to accept Department of Revenue-approved cryptocurrency for taxes and fees. A biennial report detailing Bitcoin holdings, dollar value, security threats, and fund growth would be required under the bill.
Missouri’s 103rd General Assembly has introduced House Bill 2080, sponsored by Representative Keathley. The bill proposes creating a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Fund within the state treasury under RSMo Chapter 30.

If passed, the State Treasurer would manage the fund and accept Bitcoin donations from eligible Missouri residents.

The bill also allows government agencies to accept cryptocurrency for tax and fee payments. This marks a notable step in state-level digital asset policy.

Missouri’s 103rd General Assembly introduced House Bill 2080 (Rep. Keathley) to create a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Fund in RSMo Chapter 30. Managed by the State Treasurer, the fund accepts resident Bitcoin donations or bequests, stores them securely for at least five years, and…

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) February 23, 2026

How the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Fund Would Work The bill defines Bitcoin as a decentralized digital asset operating without a central authority. Under the proposed law, the State Treasurer would serve as custodian of the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Fund.

Contributions may come through gifts, grants, donations, bequests, or devises from Missouri residents or governmental entities.

Once Bitcoin enters state custody, it must remain held for a minimum of five years. After that mandatory period, the treasurer may transfer, sell, appropriate, or convert the assets. This holding requirement aims to prevent short-term speculation with public digital assets.

Security protocols are a core part of the bill’s framework. The treasurer would be required to use cold storage and other secure custodial technologies.

A qualified, U.S.-based third-party cryptocurrency entity may also be contracted to support fund security.

To maintain transparency, the treasurer must conduct regular audits and publish biennial reports. These reports must detail total Bitcoin holdings, U.S. dollar equivalents, fund growth, transactions, security threats, and eligible conversion amounts. Reports are due before December 31 of each even-numbered year.

Crypto Payments and Donor Recognition Under the Proposal Beyond the reserve fund, the bill introduces broader cryptocurrency acceptance across Missouri. Section 30.1030 requires all governmental entities to accept approved cryptocurrency for taxes, fees, fines, assessments, and other charges. The Department of Revenue would determine which cryptocurrencies qualify.

Service fees tied to cryptocurrency transactions may be passed on to the payer. This gives government entities flexibility while still opening the door to digital asset payments. The bill does not specify which cryptocurrencies outside Bitcoin would qualify for this use.

The bill also creates a recognition program for donors. Upon request, the State Treasurer may issue a certificate of acknowledgment to individuals or organizations that contribute Bitcoin. Significant contributions could receive additional public recognition through a formal honors program.

Donor eligibility remains at the treasurer’s discretion. If a donor is found ineligible, their Bitcoin must be returned. The bill strictly prohibits transactions involving foreign countries, entities outside Missouri, or parties known to engage in illegal activities.

Only U.S.-based partners may assist in fund operations. Rulemaking authority granted under the bill would become void if related legislative oversight provisions are later ruled unconstitutional.

Bitcoin (BTC) heads into the end of February on new local lows as $50,000 BTC price targets stay in place.

Bitcoin sellers pile in at the weekly close, with consensus seeing rebounds ultimately failing.

Geopolitics and inflation woes pile up for global assets, with tariffs spoiling the mood.

Bitcoin whales dominate exchange inflows, leading to expectations of a $60,000 rematch.

BTC price behavior continues to copy the 2022 bear market, as viewed through onchain data.

Crypto market sentiment matches historic lows as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index hits just 5/100.

Bitcoin slumps below $65,000 on weekly closeBitcoin saw instant sell-side pressure at Sunday’s weekly close, driving price below $65,000 before a modest recovery.

Data from TradingView puts the latest local low at $64,258 on Bitstamp, with BTC/USD still down nearly 3% at the time of writing.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Commenting, X trading account Castillo Trading was hopeful that those lows would form a suitable long entry. Bitcoin, it noted in a post on Monday, had revisited its naked point-of-control (nPOC) price — a recent high-volume area that had not previously been retested.

The nPOC at $64,979 formed one of several key price points, with an accompanying chart eyeing a rebound as high as $78,200.

BTC/USDT perpetual inverse swap four-hour chart. Source: Castillo Trading/X
Continuing, fellow trader BitBull flagged $76,000 as a potential upside target before another BTC price dip.

$BTC is doing exactly the same thing which it did in Q4 2025.

This means, a pump towards $75K-$76K will happen before the next dump. pic.twitter.com/Ti1ieoHgb0

— BitBull (@AkaBull_) February 22, 2026 Still fully bearish, meanwhile, trader Roman maintained expectations of new macro lows, currently centered on $50,000.

“Volume increasing while price is going down is the definition of strong bearish price action,” he told X followers on Monday.

“We should expect trend to continue lower, especially to 50-52k area. Likely get a bounce there but ultimately I’m expecting lower after that.” Crypto liquidations (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass
The latest data from monitoring resource CoinGlass confirmed cross-crypto liquidations staying elevated, continuing a pattern from recent weeks. These totaled nearly $500 million in the 24 hours to the time of writing.

Markets “on edge” from tariffs, geopoliticsA combination of geopolitics and inflation worries is set to create uncertain conditions for crypto and risk assets this week.

Tensions over Iran provide the backdrop as markets react to new global trade tariffs by US President Donald Trump.

After the Supreme Court ruled some tariff measures illegal last week, Trump vowed to fight back, with US stocks futures opening the week down on news of a 15% replacement.

“We have a busy week ahead,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter told X followers, describing markets as “on edge.”

Bitcoin itself saw similar pressure, remaining so into Monday’s Wall Street open and leading to warnings of further lows.

“It’s possible that over the next two weekends, the US-Iran conflict escalates, as a new way to divert attention from the Supreme Court ruling that declared the previous tariffs illegal. Bearish uncertainty,” trader CrypNuevo wrote in an X thread on BTC price action.

CrypNuevo argued that BTC/USD should attempt to “fill” its daily candle wick to sub-$60,000 from early February. 

“I think price could reach $61k within 2-3 weeks (-10%),” the trader said.

BTC/USDT one-week chart. Source: CrypNuevo/X
Later this week, the January print of the Producer Price Index (PPI) is due, with the previous two months’ releases both coming in higher than expected.

As Cointelegraph reported, last week’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) result likewise showed inflation heating up.

“A key report on consumer inflation showed the Fed’s preferred gauge remaining well above target and accelerating the most since last February,” trading resource Mosaic Asset Company commented in the latest edition of its regular newsletter, The Market Mosaic. 

“The rally in commodity indexes threatens further upside pressure on inflation.”Whale inflows risk “significant selling” nextBitcoin whales are still keen to sell at current levels, new analysis covering exchange flows warns.

In a Quicktake blog post for onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, contributor GugaOnChain revealed that whales continue to send large tranches of BTC to exchanges.

Inflows in particular are dominated by whales, with CryptoQuant’s Exchange Whale Ratio metric hitting 70%.

“Historically, levels above 70% have preceded significant selling movements, as whales use exchanges to realize profits,” GugaOnChain wrote. 

“At the same time, an atypical movement is observed: old coins are returning to platforms in large volume, while short-term holders continue to realize losses, creating a hybrid supply scenario that tends to push Bitcoin's price toward lower levels.” Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio data (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant
The result is “strategic tension” — willing sellers and increasing BTC supply availability, with few buyers stepping in to absorb it.

GugaOnChain predicts an “imminent flush toward BTC's immediate support in the $60K region.”

“With supply on the rise, caution is warranted,” he concluded.

2022 bear market road map still in playAs 2022 bear-market comparisons multiply, a key BTC price metric is sounding the alarm.

CryptoQuant coverage of anchored volume-weighted average price (AVWAP) now warns of “bearish confluence” between price and onchain data.

During Bitcoin’s early February drop, it closed below its AVWAP — the price point with the largest average volume as measured from its latest block subsidy halving in 2024.

“The last time a similar bearish confluence was observed after an ATH was in May 2022,” contributor Facundo Fama noted.

An accompanying chart showed one of CryptoQuant’s proprietary indicators, measuring growth in Bitcoin’s market cap versus its realized cap. It is currently deep in “bear market” territory.

Bitcoin growth rate difference. Source: CryptoQuant
Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on various realized price levels now on the radar as BTC/USD attempts to find its next long-term floor.

Crypto sentiment matches record lowsBitcoin price action may not yet be at its 15-month lows from the start of the month, but the feeling of doom and gloom is as strong as ever.

This is reflected in the latest readings from the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a classic market sentiment gauge that continues to diverge from its TradFi equivalent.

Fear & Greed fell to just 5/100 on Monday, representing “extreme fear” and matching its lowest levels on record.

🚨 NOW: Crypto Fear and Greed Index has fallen back to 5, remaining deep in Extreme Fear territory. pic.twitter.com/5PmNwgbRMd

— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) February 23, 2026 “People have given up,” independent analyst Cryptoinsightuk reacted on X. 

“I had never seen a 5 on Fear and greed index before this past month. Now I’ve seen multiple.” Crypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me
Pseudonymous trader and investor BitcoinHyper added that crypto has now spent longer in the “extreme fear” zone than at any point since the 2022 bear market.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index has been in extreme fear for nearly 3 weeks

It hasn’t stayed this low for this long since 2022 pic.twitter.com/JjRI8UEkZs

— BitcoinHyper (@BitcoinHypers) February 20, 2026 The standard Fear & Greed Index, which covers stocks, currently sits just inside “fear” territory at 43/100. When sentiment first hit 5/100, regular Fear & Greed bottomed out at 33/100 before rebounding.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.

Ethereum price formed a bearish engulfing candle on Monday and dropped over 6% amidst a market-wide crash led by Bitcoin.

Summary

Ethereum price fell over 6% on Monday amid a broader crypto market blood bath. Multiple bearish patterns seem to suggest more potential downside over the coming weeks. Ethereum ETFs have hit a 5-week outflow streak. According to data from crypto.news, Ethereum (ETH) price fell 6.3% to $1,855 on Monday during early Asian hours before stabilizing at $1,874 at press time. Ethereum price tanked amid a broader market crash as fresh U.S. tariff threats on all trading partners and potential military escalation in the U.S. and Iran conflict hurt investor appetite for crypto assets.

Notably, Bitcoin (BTC), the bellwether of the market, has dropped below the $65,000 psychological support level, wiping out millions of leveraged long positions with the shock extending to other major crypto assets such as Ethereum. CoinGlass data show that nearly $108 million worth of ETH long positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours.

Ethereum price analysis On the daily chart, Ethereum price has formed a bearish engulfing candle amid its drop today. The largest altcoin in the market has so far fallen roughly 45% from its yearly high and 62% from its all-time high of $4,946 reached in August 2025.

ETH’s price action has formed a bearish pennant pattern characterized by a flag-like pole and a triangle formation at the bottom. A breakout from such patterns has historically been followed by massive downside risks.

Ethereum price has formed a bearish pennant pattern on the daily chart — Feb. 23 | Source: crypto.news At the same time, zooming out the chart also shows the formation of a multi-month descending parallel channel, another bearish pattern in technical analysis. 

Based on these technical indicators, Ethereum could drop to $1,450 if it were to respect the lower boundary of the descending channel pattern. This would mean loss of the $1,500 level, which is an important psychological support.

A breach of the $1,500 psychological floor would represent a significant structural breakdown, likely triggering a cascade of stop-losses. Given the current macro-driven volatility, it could result in a rapid capitulation phase in the coming sessions as liquidity dries up at lower levels.

ETH investors have turned bearish The bearish prediction for Ethereum could gain further traction from the lackluster demand for its exchange-traded products over recent weeks. Data from SoSoValue shows that the nine-spot Ethereum ETFs have recorded back-to-back outflows for the fifth consecutive week, totalling around $1.38 billion.

Meanwhile, the weighted funding rate, which measures the cost of holding short positions, has fallen deeply into the red territory, suggesting that Ethereum bears are increasingly betting on further price declines while paying a premium to long holders.

Ethereum’s weighted funding rate has turned very negative — Source | CoinGlass Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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TRON pushes toward $0.45. The blockchain platform keeps climbing while most crypto markets hit the brakes this February, catching eyes across trading desks and investment firms.

TRX traded around $0.42 on February 21, marking solid gains from earlier levels and showing investors still back the project. TRON’s bet on decentralized apps and gaming keeps paying off, with new users flooding the platform daily. The ecosystem expansion looks pretty aggressive right now. Justin Sun, who founded TRON, keeps pushing these developments as make-or-break moments for what comes next.

Market watchers see the partnerships working.

Major tech companies teamed up with TRON to boost its blockchain tech, and those deals are driving more adoption of TRON-based tools. The platform’s transaction numbers stay healthy despite broader market headwinds. Recent data shows network activity climbing steadily, thanks to efficient tech and cheap transaction costs that beat most competitors.

TRON’s fundraising rounds pulled in fresh cash from new investors. The money goes straight into tech upgrades and marketing pushes to grab more market share. Industry folks think TRON’s innovation projects matter most here – DeFi and NFT work stands out as particularly smart moves that position the platform ahead of rivals in emerging blockchain uses.

But regulatory stuff creates problems. TRON’s team works with regulators to keep operations clean and avoid legal trouble down the road.

Community support stays strong across online forums and social media, where users actively engage and drive momentum that keeps TRON visible. Some risks hang around though – market volatility and regulatory pressure create ongoing headaches. TRON’s leadership knows these challenges exist and focuses on innovation to stay competitive.

The next quarterly earnings report gets announced soon. Investors want details on financial health and future plans, since that report will show TRON’s real direction in coming months. Some analysts stay cautious despite the optimism, noting that broader market slowdowns affect sentiment and TRON can’t escape that reality completely.

TRON didn’t respond when reached for comment. Updates on regulatory approvals remain unclear. Investors wait for the company’s next strategic announcements in what’s becoming a pretty wild market environment. More on this topic: Dragonfly Capital Secures 0M Fund Despite.

On February 20, TRON announced a collaboration with a major gaming company to integrate blockchain technology into gaming platforms. The partnership should improve user experience through more secure and efficient transactions, generating optimism among investors who see it as a catalyst for TRX’s potential price jump toward that $0.45 target.

TRON’s smart contract capabilities grabbed attention recently. Early February numbers showed over 5 million smart contracts running on the TRON network, a milestone that highlights growing appeal among developers who want efficient and scalable blockchain solutions for their projects.

Sun mentioned in a recent interview that TRON’s focus on interoperability with other blockchains ranks as a top priority. The strategic move aims to make transactions seamless across different blockchain networks, which should attract more users to TRON’s ecosystem and boost overall adoption rates.

Market watchers monitor TRON’s price movements closely, especially resistance levels around $0.45. Breaking through that threshold could signal a new growth phase for TRX. Analysts track upcoming developments and announcements that might influence the price trajectory.

TRON unveiled a new DeFi initiative on February 22. The development team spearheaded the move, focusing on integrating more financial tools to attract DeFi enthusiasts and expand the platform’s capabilities. The initiative includes collaborations with established DeFi platforms to streamline user access and improve yields for participants.

TRX trading volume surged, particularly on major exchanges like Binance and Huobi. The uptick responds to TRON’s recent announcements and ongoing commitment to expanding network capabilities. February 23 trading volume hit a new monthly high, reflecting increased investor interest and market confidence. Related coverage: Crypto Search Interest Crashes to 2022.

TRON Foundation acknowledged community feedback’s importance in shaping future projects. The foundation scheduled virtual town halls starting in early March, where stakeholders can voice opinions and suggest improvements. The initiative shows TRON’s commitment to transparency and community involvement.

TRON’s strategic focus on Asia got highlighted, with plans to increase presence in South Korea and Japan. The platform talks with several local companies to facilitate blockchain adoption in these regions. Regional expansion looks critical for TRON’s growth strategy, aiming to capture larger Asian market share.

The company works on multiple fronts simultaneously – tech development, partnerships, community building, and geographic expansion. All these efforts point toward that $0.45 price target, though market conditions and regulatory developments will ultimately determine whether TRON reaches its goal. Trading volume data from February 23 showed sustained interest from institutional and retail investors alike.

The surge in institutional interest becomes clear through recent trading patterns. Major crypto funds increased their TRON positions by 15% in February, according to blockchain analytics firm Messari, while retail investors on platforms like Coinbase and Kraken drove daily trading volumes above $800 million.

TRON’s energy efficiency advantage gains traction as environmental concerns shape crypto investing. The platform consumes roughly 99% less energy than Bitcoin for similar transaction loads, attracting ESG-focused institutional investors who previously avoided blockchain investments due to sustainability concerns.

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4 US Economic Events That Could Move Bitcoin In the Final Week of February Prefer us on Google

Fed speeches could shift rate cut expectations and Bitcoin volatility.Consumer confidence and jobless claims signal growth resilience or weakness.PPI inflation data may determine dollar strength and BTC direction.Bitcoin enters the final week of February on fragile footing, with macro forces (US economic events) once again dictating short-term direction.

After last week’s mixed signals, including moderating PCE inflation, resilient jobless claims at 206,000, and cautious FOMC minutes, markets remain undecided on the pace of rate cuts ahead of the March 17–18 Federal Reserve meeting.

4 US Economic Events That Traders Are Watching CloselyWith rate expectations finely balanced, this week’s economic calendar could inject fresh volatility into crypto markets.

This Week’s Major US Economic Reports & Fed Speakers. Source: MarketWatchFed Officials Take the StageA crowded slate of Federal Reserve speeches runs from Monday through Wednesday, featuring Governors Christopher Waller and Lisa Cook, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, and others.

With markets currently pricing in two to three cuts in 2026, any deviation in tone could quickly shift rate expectations.

Interest Rate Change Probabilities in 2026. Source: CME FedWatch ToolHistorically, Waller and Bostic have leaned hawkish, emphasizing vigilance against inflation and data dependence.

If they reiterate concerns about “last-mile” disinflation or signal patience on cuts, Treasury yields could rise alongside the US dollar. Such an outcome could pressure Bitcoin and potentially push it lower.

Conversely, dovish commentary highlighting slowing growth or labor softening could weaken the dollar and spark a relief rally in risk assets.

Clustered appearances also increase the risk of intraday swings, particularly if messaging lacks cohesion. For Bitcoin traders, tone, not policy action, may be the key volatility trigger this week.

🇺🇸FED SPEAKERS THIS WEEK:

• FOMC MEMBER WALLER (MON. 8:00AM)
• FOMC MEMBER GOOLSBEE (TUES. 8:00AM)
• FOMC MEMBER BOSTIC (TUES. 9:00AM)
• FOMC MEMBER COLLINS (TUES. 9:00AM)
• FOMC MEMBER WALLER (TUES. 9:15AM)
• FOMC MEMBER COOK (TUES. 9:30AM)
• FOMC MEMBER BARKIN (TUES.… pic.twitter.com/ivJWvHfqXc

— Investing.com (@Investingcom) February 22, 2026 Consumer ConfidenceThe Conference Board’s February Consumer Confidence Index follows January’s weak 84.5 reading, well below expectations and historically consistent with recessionary signals.

February is projected to improve modestly to 87.5, though sentiment remains subdued amid elevated living costs and persistent inflation.

Last week’s PCE data showed inflation at 2.7% year-over-year, with core at 3.0%, reflecting lingering price pressures.

The Fed's preferred measure of inflation (Core PCE) moved up to 3.0% in December. That was the 58th consecutive reading above the Fed's 2% target level. There will be no Fed rate cut in March and while they won't do it, one could make a strong argument for a rate hike. pic.twitter.com/ZKZ9l27BHF

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) February 22, 2026 A stronger-than-expected confidence print, particularly above 90, would reinforce a resilient consumer narrative and strengthen the “no-landing” thesis.

That could reduce near-term rate cut expectations, lift the dollar, and weigh modestly on Bitcoin.

On the other hand, a downside surprise below 85 would highlight economic fragility. That outcome would likely boost rate-cut odds, which are currently elevated for March, and provide tailwinds for BTC.

Interest Rate Cut Probabilities for March. Source: CME FedWatch ToolHistorically, confidence surprises have triggered 1–2% moves in Bitcoin, particularly when aligned with broader macro trends.

Initial Jobless ClaimsMeanwhile, initial jobless claims remain one of the timeliest indicators of the labor market. Last week’s drop to 206,000 surprised to the downside, reinforcing a tight employment backdrop that has kept the Fed cautious about easing prematurely. Consensus now expects 215,000.

Initial Claims 206K, Exp. 225K
Continuing Claims 1869K, Exp. 1860K

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) February 19, 2026 If claims fall below 210,000, it would signal ongoing labor strength and potentially embolden hawkish Fed voices.

That scenario could lift yields and modestly pressure Bitcoin. Strong employment data tends to delay rate cut expectations, reducing liquidity support for risk assets.

Conversely, a spike above 225,000 would raise concerns about labor cooling, particularly if paired with softer business surveys.

Such a development could fuel recession fears and increase the probability of rate cuts—supportive for Bitcoin as traders anticipate easier financial conditions.

Though weekly claims typically generate 0.5–1.5% BTC volatility, the reaction could be amplified if the data contrasts sharply with earlier Fed commentary.

PPI (Producer Price Index)January’s PPI (Producer Price Index) will close out the week, with headline and core readings expected around 3.0% year-over-year.

Following last week’s PCE release, PPI offers upstream insight into inflationary pressures before they reach consumers.

A hotter-than-expected core reading above 3.2% would likely reignite inflation concerns and diminish rate cut bets. That scenario could mirror post-PCE weakness seen recently, pressuring Bitcoin by strengthening the dollar and lifting real yields.

However, a cooler print below 2.8% would reinforce disinflation momentum. Markets would likely price in more aggressive easing, weakening the USD, and potentially pushing Bitcoin toward $70,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance. Source: BeInCryptoAs a month-end release, PPI often solidifies weekly trends. Combined with jobless claims, it could produce 2–3% Bitcoin swings if expectations are materially challenged.

With Bitcoin’s correlation to the Nasdaq and the US dollar near multi-month highs, macro remains the dominant narrative.

If this week’s data skews dovish, BTC could rally 3–5%. A unified hawkish tone, however, may trigger a pullback of similar magnitude. Liquidity expectations, not crypto fundamentals, remain in control.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

XRP price is hovering near $1.30 after on-chain realized losses spiked to their highest level in 39 months.

Summary

XRP is down across major timeframes and has retraced sharply from its 2025 high. On-chain data shows the largest realized loss spike since 2022. The $1.30 level is now the key support to watch. XRP was trading at $1.32 at press time, down 4.7% in the past 24 hours. The token is in the red across all major timeframes, falling 7% over the past week, 30% in the last month, and nearly 48% over the past year.

XRP (XRP) has now retraced about 62% from its July 2025 all-time high of $3.65, closely reflecting the wider crypto market which has struggled to pick up pace.

Spot activity has picked up despite the price drop. XRP recorded $2.35 billion in 24-hour trading volume, up nearly 72% from the previous day, pointing to a rise in market participation during the sell-off.

Derivatives data from CoinGlass shows futures volume up 39% to $4.02 billion, while open interest rose 2.9% to $2.41 billion. The increase in both metrics suggests traders are adding positions as price tests a critical level.

On-chain losses spike as fear intensifies On Feb. 22, blockchain analytics firm Santiment reported that XRP has recorded its largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022.

The previous weekly realized loss peak, around -$1.93 billion, occurred 39 months ago. Following that event, XRP went on to rally more than 100% over the next several months.

📉 BREAKING: XRP has seen its largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022. When the previous weekly milestone of -1.93B in realized losses occurred 39 months ago, $XRP proceeded to jump +114% over the next 8 months.

💸 Significant realized losses happen when a large number… pic.twitter.com/gPUU8fYfiY

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) February 21, 2026 Realized losses rise when investors sell tokens below their purchase price. This frequently occurs during sell-offs driven by panic. It can indicate that weaker holders are leaving the market, even though it also shows fear.

In the past, there have been notable increases in realized losses near market bottoms. Under such conditions, there are fewer sellers left to drive prices down after the majority of emotional selling has occurred. That can raise the likelihood of a relief move, but it does not ensure an instant rebound.

XRP price technical analysis The daily chart shows a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the January bounce. XRP trades below its 20-day moving average and has been riding the lower Bollinger Band, which points to sustained downside pressure.

XRP daily chart. Credit: crypto.news The $1.30–$1.35 area is the main level to watch. Price briefly dipped below $1.30 and recovered, showing some reactive buying.

The relative strength index dropped near 30 and is now in the mid-30s. There is no verified bullish divergence, but this points to a slight oversold bounce. Recovery strength would increase if the RSI rose above 50.

Immediate resistance sits between at about $1.55. The mid-Bollinger Band near $1.42 acts as the first hurdle. Until XRP reclaims that level, sellers retain short-term control. On the downside, a daily close below $1.30 could expose $1.20, followed by the psychological $1.00 level.

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The Bitdeer stock has continued declining in value despite its recent offering. This comes as the Bitcoin miner firm sold off its BTC holdings as the token drops further in price.

Bitdeer (BTDR) Stock Drops on Liquidated BTC Holdings According to YahooFinance, the BTDR stock crashed by nearly 3% in overnight hours, continuing the decline seen at the close of the market on Friday. Data showed it had fallen even deeper through the weekend as traders priced in developments with its treasury.

Source: YahooFinance; BTDR stock daily price chart The renewed Bitdeer stock decline came as the Bitcoin miner firm announced that it had liquidated its entire holdings in BTC. The miner revealed that it had mined 189.8 BTC and sold the same amount, while also liquidating the remaining 943.1 BTC reserves.

The company had approximately 2,000 BTC reserves at the end of 2025 and 1,530 at the end of January, only to reduce them to 943.1 BTC by February 13. In the update, the company had mined 183.4 BTC and sold 179.9 BTC.

Source: X This also comes as the economics of mining have become tougher. The difficulty level on the Bitcoin network rose by 14.7% in the last adjustment. The gross margin of Bitdeer also declined to 4.7% in Q4.

A positive for the Bitdeer stock is that the company did not clarify whether the zero-BTC position is a permanent change in the treasury strategy or a temporary need for cash due to its ongoing capital raises.

BTDR Looks Beyond Bitcoin, Seeks Funding for AI Push The company had shared in a release on Friday that it is working an upsized $325 million private sale of convertible senior notes. The sale, which is expected to be completed on February 24, also includes an option to purchase an additional $50 million of notes to be purchased by the initial purchasers.

However, the news did not have much of an impact on the stock price of Bitdeer at the time. Notably, they are not the first treasury firm to make an AI pivot in strategy.

Last month, the XRP treasury Evernorth revealed a new partnership with an agentic finance team to manage its holdings using AI automation. The company aims to increase its reserve through the XRPL and artificial intelligence.

Bitdeer said in the report that it will set aside $138.2 million to repurchase its existing 5.25% convertible senior notes due in 2029. This means that the company has effectively extended its runway through debt restructuring.

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Ethereum slipped over the past two days as on-chain trackers flagged another burst of selling tied to Vitalik Buterin’s wallets, reviving a familiar narrative for traders: founder-linked distribution showing up alongside spot weakness.

Ethereum Pullback Coincides With Fresh Vitalik Sales Lookonchain said Buterin has sold 1,869 ETH (about $3.67 million) over the past two days, a window in which ETH fell from $1,988 to $1,875, a 5.7% drawdown based on the figures cited in the post. The account framed the move as an acceleration: “vitalik.eth(@VitalikButerin) is selling ETH faster again. In the past 2 days, he has sold 1,869 ETH($3.67M). During that time, ETH fell from $1,988 to $1,875, down 5.7%.”

Vitalik Buterin on Arkham | Source: X @lookonchain The sharper edge of the thread was the historical comparison. Lookonchain pointed to a previous episode when it said Buterin sold 6,958 ETH (about $14.78 million) and ETH subsequently fell from $2,360 to $1,825, a 22.7% decline. “Last time he sold 6,958 ETH($14.78M), $ETH dropped from $2,360 to $1,825 — a 22.7% fall,” the post added, linking to an Arkham entity page attributed to Buterin.

The comparison does not prove causation, but it’s exactly the kind of pattern-matching that can matter at the margin in a market primed to trade flows. Founder wallets are heavily monitored, and any hint of renewed supply can become a focal point for positioning—especially when price is already drifting lower.

Lookonchain’s earlier post dated Feb. 22 described the sequence as a return to activity after a pause. “After a two-week break, vitalik.eth(@VitalikButerin) is selling ETH again! 8 hours ago, he withdrew 3,500 ETH($6.95M) from Aave to sell. So far, he has already sold 571 ETH($1.13M),” the account wrote.

That detail matters because it frames the selling as an intentional unwind rather than passive movement between wallets. Pulling ETH from Aave, then selling portions, is the sort of breadcrumb traders look for when trying to distinguish “wallet housekeeping” from outright distribution.

The Feb. 22 posts also land on top of another Lookonchain note from Feb. 5, which described sustained selling over multiple days. “vitalik.eth(@VitalikButerin) is dumping ETH fast!” it said, adding: “Over the past 3 days, Vitalik has sold 2,961.5 $ETH($6.6M) at an average price of $2,228 — and the selling is still ongoing.”

For markets, the immediate question is whether this remains a contained, trackable flow or whether it becomes the kind of recurring headline that pulls liquidity and sentiment lower simply by staying in the tape. If additional wallet-linked sales surface, traders will likely keep stress-testing the “history repeating” narrative against price, rather than assuming the selling is the sole driver.

At press time, Ethereum traded at $1,884.

Ethereum continues to fall towards the black trendline, 1-week chart | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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The crypto market is down today. The Bitcoin price marked an intraday low of around $64,290 from its highs at $67,684, a plunge of over 4.6%. On the other hand, Ethereum also underwent a similar plunge from $1,957 to $1,848 after holding the support at $1,914 for nearly a week. The market dropped by 4.

Journalist

Posted: February 23, 2026

Participation slowed across major chains, and sentiment leaned cautious. At press time, TRON [TRX] stood out by holding both network engagement and structural stability.

Meanwhile, competitors showed sharper declines in activity and weaker price behavior. Therefore, focus shifted toward TRON’s relative strength. Is this durability merely temporary, or is it structural?

TRON: Total network activity slips Total Daily Active Users across tracked chains stood at 26.45M, down 4.9%. The slowdown reflected contraction across multiple ecosystems.

Source: X

However, the decline suggested cooling rather than collapse. Activity remained present, but capital became selective. As a result, stronger networks began separating from weaker ones.

This environment tested durability. TRON did not flinch.

Active addresses approach 2025 highs As from the image above, TRON recorded 3.4M Daily Active Users , up 0.4% over 30 days, ranking second behind BNB Chain’s 3.9M. In contrast, Solana dropped 32.2% to 2.1M users.

In particular, TRON’s Active Addresses surged toward levels last seen in 2025, when TRX traded near $0.37. That repeated pattern during February 2026 confirmed sustained on-chain engagement.

Source: Token Terminal

This was not a speculative rotation. It reflected steady usage while others lost traction.

TRX holds ascending weekly support above 50% On the weekly timeframe, TRX maintained ascending support originating from the 2022 bottom. That structure survived multiple market downturns and reinforced its reputation as a crypto winter survivor.

Moreover, TRX traded above the 50% and 61% Fibonacci retracement levels. Historically, holding these zones separated resilient assets from those suffering structural breakdowns.

Source: TradingView

At the time of writing, Open Interest remained elevated around $243M. It did not explode higher, but it held firm and steady. Meanwhile, many altcoins saw derivatives unwind aggressively.

The major support on the chart stood near $0.2575. Failure to hold that zone would shift the tone. However, as long as that floor remained intact, buyers retained control.

Will TRX clear the $0.45 first Fibonacci target? Network strength persisted while broader participation cooled. Structure held where others fractured.

Looking ahead, the first Fibonacci objective stood near $0.45. However, clearing that level required sustained volume expansion. Without volume, the move would lack conviction.

Should activity remain firm and volume build gradually, TRX could attempt that breakout.

Final Summary TRON maintained usage strength and structural stability during market cooling. Holding $0.2575 support and steady OI positioned TRX for a potential push toward $0.45.

Strategy founder Micahel Saylor has hinted that the firm may be set to execute its 100th Bitcoin purchase as the flagship crypto continues to sink.

Summary

Michael Saylor’s “The Orange Century” post signals a potential 100th Bitcoin purchase as Strategy’s total holdings reach 717,131 BTC. Bitcoin remains nearly 48% below its $126,080 peak. Strategy has continued buying for 12 straight weeks, funded by debt and equity financing. Saylor shared a cryptic X post on Sunday with the caption “The Orange Century” alongside a screenshot from StrategyTracker, which lists all the previous purchases the company has executed since it began buying Bitcoin in August 2020.

Strategy Bitcoin purchase tracker | Source: x/saylor Markets largely view such posts from Saylor as a signal that the company is preparing to announce another Bitcoin purchase, as has been the case on multiple occasions in the past.

To date, Strategy has acquired 717,131 BTC at an average price of $76,027 across 99 Bitcoin purchases, which means it is now gearing up for what would mark its 100th acquisition.

Strategy has continued buying Bitcoin over the past six years, even during periods of extreme volatility. The company views Bitcoin as a long-term inflation hedge and store of value, and Saylor remains characteristically undeterred, continuing to double down on his maximalist conviction despite the latest drawdowns.

Strategy remains unfazed by Bitcoin volatility Strategy has consistently acquired Bitcoin over the past 12 weeks.

Bitcoin price is down nearly 48% from its all time high of $126,080, but despite the challenging market conditions, Strategy has relied on a complex array of financial maneuvers, including convertible debt and equity offerings, to fund its ongoing Bitcoin accumulation strategy.

Strategy shares, in the meantime, have tested investor conviction and are down over 61% over the past six months. However, it was up nearly 950% since its first purchase buy according to data from Google Finance.

The company’s aggressive Bitcoin treasury model has even sparked concerns that it may face refinancing pressure if Bitcoin price weakness persists. But Saylor has assured investors that the firm could withstand a drawdown to $8,000 per coin without jeopardizing its balance sheet, arguing that Strategy’s leverage remains manageable relative to the size of its Bitcoin holdings.

At press time, Strategy’s total holdings are valued at over $47 billion based on current prices, with paper losses of 13.62%.

Global cryptocurrency markets fell sharply on Monday, extending a multi-month downturn that traders say is being driven less by crypto-specific news and more by mounting macroeconomic pressure.

The total digital asset market capitalization dropped roughly 4.4% in 24 hours to about $2.23 trillion, according to market data. The selloff was led by losses in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, which together account for a large share of overall market value.

Bitcoin Drops Rapidly, Triggers Liquidation WaveBitcoin fell nearly 5% on the day to around $64,800, with prices at one point sliding roughly $2,500 in about an hour. The swift move triggered an estimated $240 million in long liquidations, according to derivatives data.

In leveraged markets, when prices fall quickly, traders who borrowed to bet on higher prices are forced to sell to cover their positions.

Over the past 139 days, Bitcoin has declined close to 49%, wiping out more than $1 trillion in market value. Analysts say that unlike prior cycles, the downturn has not produced a sustained relief rally.

At the same time, U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds have seen notable outflows in recent sessions, signaling weaker institutional demand. Weekly withdrawals totaling hundreds of millions of dollars have raised questions about whether the strong ETF-driven inflows earlier in the year are losing momentum.

Ethereum Follows as Derivatives Market UnwindsEthereum declined nearly 6% to trade around $1,859, underperforming Bitcoin slightly during the latest drop.

Market participants say Ethereum’s weakness shows both its sensitivity to Bitcoin’s direction and elevated leverage across the crypto derivatives complex. Total open interest across major exchanges remains high, suggesting that many positions were vulnerable to sharp moves.

As Bitcoin fell, Ethereum longs were also liquidated, amplifying losses. This pattern has become familiar during periods of heightened volatility, where price moves are magnified by automated liquidations rather than fundamental shifts in network activity.

XRP and Altcoins Face Broader Risk-Off RotationXRP fell nearly 6% on the day and more than 9% over the past week, trading near $1.33. This reflects a broader retreat from altcoins as investors rotate toward perceived safety or reduce overall exposure.

In risk-off environments, capital typically exits smaller or more volatile assets first. Even large-cap altcoins such as XRP can experience outsized declines when confidence deteriorates across the sector.

Hence, now the total crypto market capitalization is hovering near the $2.17 trillion level, a yearly low set earlier this month.

A sustained hold above that level could allow for consolidation and a potential short-term rebound. A decisive break lower, however, may open the door to a move toward the psychologically important $2.0 trillion mark.

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Missouri has become the latest U.S. state to join the push for a Bitcoin reserve. Its lawmakers introduced a bill to hold BTC through donations from residents and state funds.

Lawmakers Introduce Bitcoin Reserve Bill in Missouri Missouri lawmakers have advanced a reserve bill to store BTC in its state-managed funds. Representative Ben Keathley had initially introduced a House Bill 2080 that would allow the state treasurer to invest, purchase, and hold the coin using state funds.

Missouri’s proposed Bitcoin reserve bill Thereafter, the Missouri Bitcoin reserve bill was referred to the House committee last week. Here, the new legislation would undergo a public hearing and a committee vote. The committee would also explore amendments in the bill before it is sent back to the House for debate and final approval.

This comes during a growing trend of U.S states looking to adopt digital assets as proceedings for the CLARITY Act progress. In the proposed bill, the state treasurer is allowed to receive gifts, grants, and donations in the form of BTC from Missouri residents or the government to contribute to the reserve.

Another aspect of the proposed bill is that it proposes allowing government entities to accept crypto approved by the Department of Revenue for citizens to pay taxes, fees, fines, or other expenses owed. Meanwhile, a date for the public hearing has not been fixed yet, but it has an automatic effective date of August 28.

Keathley had also introduced a similar Missouri Bitcoin reserve bill in February of last year. However,  it did not go beyond the committee stage and was eventually shelved.

Which U.S. States Are Moving to Build a Bitcoin Reserve? Missouri is one of the latest states to join the moving bandwagon in the U.S. Just last week, Arizona lawmakers advanced a bill to hold Bitcoin in its reserve. They approved using seized crypto assets to fund the reserve. The stockpile would also hold XRP. Also, the bill allows the state to loan digital assets in order to earn returns as Missouri joins the Bitcoin reserve trend.

Furthermore, in late January, South Dakota introduced its own bill to hold the token. Its proposed legislation has some similarities to with Missouri’s bill. Its lawmakers dedicated 10% of its state funds to purchase the coin.

Other states advancing their proposals include Kansas, Utah, and Pennsylvania. All these came after Texas became the first state in the U.S. to have a stockpile of BTC. They bought around $20 million worth of BTC last November to start their foray into digital assets.

Vitalik Buterin Sold Over 8,800 ETH in February: Did It Impact the Price? Prefer us on Google

Vitalik Buterin offloaded over 8,800 ETH throughout February 2026.Ethereum inflows to Binance reached highest level since November 2025.Declining staking demand increases liquid supply and short-term price pressure on ETH.Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has accelerated his Ethereum (ETH) sales throughout February 2026, offloading over 8,800 ETH this month.

At the same time, Ethereum inflows to Binance have climbed to their highest level since November 2025. The convergence of high-profile selling and rising exchange deposits comes as ETH remains in a broader downtrend.

Vitalik’s ETH Selling IntensifiesBeInCrypto previously reported that Buterin’s ETH sales began in early February. The move was consistent with his disclosed plan to strategically allocate 16,384 ETH toward long-term initiatives over the coming years.

“I have just withdrawn 16,384 ETH, which will be deployed toward these goals over the next few years. I am also exploring secure decentralized staking options that will allow even more capital from staking rewards to be put toward these goals in the long term,” he wrote on X.

However, in February alone, he has sold more than 8,800 ETH, worth approximately $18.45 million, amid already fragile market conditions.

According to the blockchain analytics firm Lookonchain, Buterin sold 6,958 ETH, worth $14.78 million, in early February. During that period, ETH declined from $2,360 to $1,825, marking a 22.7% drop.

Over the past two days, he reportedly sold an additional 1,869 ETH, valued at $3.67 million.

“During that time, $ETH fell from $1,988 to $1,875, down 5.7%,” Lookonchain added.

Ethereum Price Reaction to Vitalik Buterin’s Sales. Source: X/LookonchainWhile the sales may have added short-term pressure to ETH’s price, it is also worth noting that the broader crypto market remains in a sustained downtrend, with macro uncertainty and declining risk appetite weighing on major assets.

After the recent sales, data from Arkham Intelligence shows that Buterin still holds 224,105 ETH. 

Binance Inflows Surge to Multi-Month HighsThe Ethereum co-founder’s sales come as Ethereum inflows to Binance have increased sharply. According to an analyst, total inflows to the exchange over the past 30 days reached approximately $33.3 billion, marking the highest level since last November.

Ethereum Inflow to Binance. Source: CryptoQuantLarge exchange inflows are often associated with heightened trading activity or potential selling pressure, as investors typically transfer assets to exchanges when preparing to transact. However, the analyst noted that the development should not be viewed as inherently bearish.

“In some cases, elevated inflows reflect strategic repositioning by investors or readiness to engage in higher trading activity, particularly during periods of volatility. Furthermore, strong inflows can precede periods of price stability if the additional supply is absorbed by demand,” the post read.

The analyst added that the inflow levels place the market in a sensitive phase. How ETH reacts to this shift will likely determine whether the inflows translate into sustained selling pressure or represent a redistribution phase ahead of the next directional move.

Still, this is not the only indicator flashing caution. BeInCrypto’s recent report highlighted a sharp decline in Ethereum staking demand.

A slowdown in staking inflows may reflect a growing preference for liquidity amid uncertainty. If net staking declines or reverses, it can increase the circulating ETH supply, potentially contributing to short-term selling pressure, depending on market demand.

Together, rising exchange inflows and declining staking demand point to increasing liquid supply and reduced absorption, suggesting elevated short-term supply-side pressure amid broader market weakness.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto MarketsAt the time of writing, ETH was trading at $1,868.04, down 5.35% over the past 24 hours, reflecting the continued downside pressure.

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Story HighlightsThe Celo Price today is  $ 0.07227387.CELO could target $0.48 in 2026 if buyback and burn plans boost token demand.Reclaiming $0.09 resistance is key for CELO to confirm a bullish breakout toward $0.12.Long term, L2 growth and rising adoption could push CELO toward $4 by 2030.Celo is a mobile-focused blockchain built to make crypto payments simple and easy for everyone. It allows users to send and receive digital money using just their phone numbers, making crypto work like normal messaging. 

Earlier, Celo upgraded and became an Ethereum Layer-2 network to improve speed, security, and lower transaction costs.

Now in early 2026, with over 250,000 daily active users and more than 1,000 projects building on the network, investors are asking whether CELO can stage a long-term recovery.

As of now, CELO is trading near $0.0764, down about 83% from its previous highs. 

So, let’s explore CoinPedia’s Celo (CELO) price prediction for 2026, 2027, and 2030.

Celo Price TodayCryptocurrencyCeloTokenCELOPrice$0.0723 -5.85% Market Cap$ 42,992,991.7824h Volume$ 4,135,988.2614Circulating Supply594,862,139.00Total Supply1,000,000,000.00All-Time High$ 10.6584 on 30 August 2021All-Time Low$ 0.0702 on 06 February 2026Celo (CELO) Price Targets For March 2026February 2026 is a pivotal moment for Celo due to one major development: a proposed programmatic buyback and burn mechanism. 

The community is evaluating a plan that would allocate at least 50% of protocol profits toward buying CELO tokens from the open market. A significant portion of these tokens would then be permanently burned.

Even more importantly, users can pay gas fees using stablecoins like cUSD or USDT, rather than CELO itself.

Combined with rising daily active users and expanding stablecoin transactions in emerging markets, this could push the CELO token to near $0.10.

Technical AnalysisLooking at the 4-hour chart, CELO is currently trading around $0.077, holding near a key horizontal support zone between $0.075 and $0.077. This level has acted as a strong demand area multiple times, preventing further downside. 

However, the overall structure remains bearish, as CELO continues to form lower highs and lower lows after rejecting near the $0.09 resistance zone.

For bullish confirmation, CELO must reclaim the $0.09 resistance zone. A breakout above this level could trigger a rally toward $0.10 and $0.12. 

However, if support at $0.075 breaks, CELO could decline further toward the $0.07 or lower support levels in the near term.

The RSI is around 32, confirming weak buying strength, though it is slowly stabilizing, which may signal a potential short-term bounce.

MonthPotential Low ($)Potential Average ($)Potential High ($)Celo Price Prediction March 2026$0.055$0.089$$0.12he year 2026 will be defined by three core drivers:

L2 Integration Maturity

Now operating as an Ethereum L2, Celo benefits from improved security and interoperability within the broader OP Stack ecosystem.

Carbon-Negative Positioning

Celo remains a carbon-negative blockchain, allocating a portion of fees toward carbon offsets. This ESG-focused narrative may attract institutions prioritizing sustainability.

Organizational Merger

The Celo Foundation and cLabs merged into a single entity, Celo Core Co., to accelerate platform development and market synchronization.

If the buyback mechanism activates and network usage continues rising, CELO could attempt a move toward $0.481.

YearPotential Low ($)Potential Average ($)Potential High ($)CELO Price Prediction 2026$0.055$0.220$0.481CELO Price Prediction 2026 – 2030YearPotential Low ($)Potential Average ($)Potential High ($)2026$0.055$0.220$0.4812027$0.093$0.365$0.8502028$0.164$0.752$1.272029$0.390$1.05$2.182030$0.826$1.75$3.85Celo Price Prediction 2026If buybacks begin and L2 adoption stabilizes, CELO price could approach to $0.48 level.

CELO Price Prediction 2027By 2027, Celo’s mobile-first infrastructure could expand deeper into emerging markets through partnerships with fintech apps and remittance platforms.

Celo Price Foreacst 2028In 2028, attention may shift toward DeFi scalability and cross-chain liquidity, thus CELO may test $1.40.

Celo Price Targets 2029By 2029, institutional interest in carbon-neutral and ESG-aligned blockchains could become a stronger narrative could move CELO near $2.20.

Celo (CELO) Price Prediction 2030By 2030, if millions of users rely on Celo-based wallets for daily payments and DeFi access, CELO could target the $4 range.

What Does The Market Say?Year202620272030Changelly$0.606$0.882$3.82DigitalCoinPrice$0.88$1.06$2.24Coincodex$0.435$0.308$0.047CoinPedia’s Celo (Celo) Price PredictionCelo is no longer just a standalone Layer 1. As an Ethereum Layer 2 optimized for mobile payments, it is positioning itself as infrastructure for emerging markets.

From CoinPedia’s perspective, Celo’s recovery depends less on hype and more on real adoption and profitability. The proposed buyback-and-burn mechanism could significantly change token dynamics if protocol revenues continue to grow.

If daily active users expand beyond 300,000 and profit-driven burns are implemented successfully, CELO could gradually hit the $0.50 level in 2026.

YearPotential Low ($)Potential Average ($)Potential High ($)2026$0.055$0.220$0.481Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQsWhat is Celo (CELO) and how does it work?

Celo is a mobile-focused Ethereum Layer-2 blockchain that lets users send crypto using phone numbers, aiming to simplify payments globally.

What is the CELO price prediction for 2026?

CELO could trade between $0.055 and $0.481 in 2026, with upside tied to buybacks, user growth, and stronger Layer-2 adoption.

What could CELO be worth in 2030?

If adoption scales and token burns reduce supply, CELO could trade between $0.82 and $3.85 by 2030 in a bullish cycle.

What will 1 CELO be worth in 2040?

By 2040, 1 CELO could trade between $8 and $15 if mobile crypto adoption scales globally and revenue-driven token burns continue.

Is CELO a good long-term investment?

CELO’s long-term value depends on real-world adoption, L2 growth, and revenue-driven burns, but volatility and market risks remain.