Market Signal Briefing

All is well for these two market leaders.

It hasn't been an easy year for equity markets. In times like these, though, it's important to remember that the buy-and-hold approach to stock investing remains one of the best and most accessible ways to grow wealth over time. So, rather than being rattled by current market volatility or economic uncertainty, it's more helpful to focus on finding companies that can perform well over the next few decades. While most corporations can't pull that off, here are two that have what it takes: Microsoft (MSFT 0.61%) and Shopify (SHOP 1.65%). These two companies have crushed the market this year, and there is plenty of upside left for patient investors.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Microsoft
Microsoft was among the 10 biggest stocks by market cap in 2005. It remains the only member of the top 10 ranking of 2005 to maintain a spot on the list 20 years later. That's a testament to Microsoft's longevity. Even though past successes don't guarantee future outcomes, the tech leader still possesses the qualities of a corporation capable of thriving for the next two decades. Microsoft remains by far the dominant force in the market for computer operating systems (OS). Its Microsoft 365 productivity tools are part of the day-to-day lives and operations of millions of individuals and businesses.

That's no longer Microsoft's main growth driver, but the company's deep, long-standing enterprise relationships are helping its all-important cloud computing business perform well. The company's Azure platform hosts Microsoft 365 services. For businesses that already use the latter, there are many advantages to also using the former as opposed to some other cloud service. That, combined with the tech giant's relationship with OpenAI -- perhaps the leader in AI -- is helping Microsoft gain market share against its longtime rival in the cloud, Amazon. The latter still has the edge, but Microsoft has been growing its sales faster.

The great news is that there is still plenty of room to grow, as we are still arguably in the early stages of both the cloud and AI revolutions. As Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said, some 85% of IT spending still happens on premises. Further, Microsoft benefits from a strong economic moat thanks to high switching costs and a strong brand name. So, Microsoft can ride this tailwind over the next 20 years and deliver excellent returns to its shareholders once again. The company has crushed the market this year, and there is plenty more where that came from.

2. Shopify
Shopify was founded in 2006, so it didn't exist 20 years ago. Since it came on the scene, though, it has catapulted itself as one of the leading e-commerce companies in the world. In the U.S., Shopify holds a more than 12% market share by gross merchandise volume. How did Shopify accomplish this feat? The company helped revolutionize the way merchants set up online storefronts. Shopify provides all the tools its clients need on its website. It is easy to set up and use; there is no need to be an expert in coding, and the platform is highly customizable -- all things that were lacking before Shopify came around.

Shopify also offers marketing tools, payment processing, and more. The company has evolved with the internet, enabling sales across social media channels. It recently announced a deal with OpenAI that will allow its merchants to sell products directly through ChatGPT.

Shopify has been rewarded for its efforts as the e-commerce space has grown significantly over the past 19 years. Yet, even this industry is still on a long-term growth path. While it's impossible to know what the size of the sector will be in 20 years, its penetration remains pretty low -- 16.3% as of the second quarter -- even in the U.S. Further, Shopify operates in over 175 countries, but still makes most of its money in the U.S.

International expansions should be another powerful tailwind for the e-commerce specialist. Over the next 20 years, Shopify could perform very well as it remains a leader in the field and continues to innovate. Investors should consider hopping along for the ride.

Prosper Junior Bakiny has positions in Amazon and Shopify. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Microsoft, and Shopify. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

In a market dominated by artificial intelligence growth stocks, PepsiCo is a contrarian pick that could deliver monster gains for patient investors.

Shares of PepsiCo (PEP -0.77%) popped 4.2% on Thursday in response to the company's third-quarter fiscal 2025 results. The stock continued to climb on Friday despite a brutal sell-off in the S&P 500.

For the quarter, organic revenue increased just 1.3% and core constant-currency earnings per share (EPS) were down 2%. But Pepsi reaffirmed its 2025 financial guidance, which includes low single-digit organic revenue and flat core constant-currency EPS compared to fiscal 2024.

Despite the poor results, investors are optimistic that PepsiCo can turn things around. The company is cutting costs through labor reductions and productivity gains that are expected to continue into the next fiscal year.

Here's why the company has what it takes to outperform the S&P 500 through 2030, and why it stands out as an excellent dividend stock for value investors to buy now.

Image source: Getty Images.

PepsiCo is open to change
On the earnings call, management said that its engagement with Elliott Investment Management, which took a $4 billion stake in PepsiCo, has been "very constructive and collaborative," especially regarding the company's plans through 2030. On the earnings call, CEO Ramon Laguarta said that he agreed with Elliott that the stock is undervalued and there are many opportunities to create shareholder value.

Activist investors like Elliott acquire large stakes in companies when they believe they have solutions to challenges. Elliott's 75-page report praised Pepsi for its international lineup of beverage and snack brands, but criticized the company's execution and its operations, suggesting a refranchised bottler network.

PepsiCo's vertically integrated bottling system is significantly different from its peer, Coca-Cola, which relies on a network of around 200 bottling partners worldwide. This structure makes it easier for Coca-Cola to pivot to changes in consumer preferences, economic conditions, and trade policy.

Laguarta said the phrase "sense of urgency" 10 times on the earnings call, aiming to usher in a new era of positive change. For now, these are just promises. Numbers will have to back up these claims.

That being said, PepsiCo's willingness to work with Elliott on portfolio transformation and cost reductions is a good sign that the company is taking its turnaround seriously and understands investor frustrations.

PepsiCo is responding to consumer demands
On the earnings call, management discussed investments in cost and portfolio transformation, as well as an increased emphasis on wellness and health-conscious consumers. Laguarta said the following in response to an analyst's question on shifting preferences toward healthier eating:

I think it's a secular trend as well that consumers will be more making choices based on clean labels, based on the ingredients in the food and not only the taste, but also the type of food that is in the brands. Therefore, some of the relaunches of the brands that we're making, whether it's Lay's or Gatorade or Tostitos, take that into consideration because I think they're very relevant going forward. Affordability is also a reality. I think when you look at low-income households or middle-income households, they're very stretched. Fixed costs of living are going up around the world. That will create the need for affordability and value and price points and cost consciousness also for the foreseeable future.

The company is recognizing the need to deliver value for consumers while also revamping its portfolio to cater to wellness trends. This isn't a new stance, as it recently acquired Sabra and Obela snack and dip products, Mexican-American food brand Siete Foods, and prebiotic soda brand Poppi. All of these brands focus on healthier options and mini-meals rather than heavily processed salty snacks.

Pepsi has market-beating potential
Although quarterly results were poor, the long-term investment thesis is strengthening as Pepsi looks to return to growth. The stock is a great buy for long-term investors who believe the company can turn around.

The stock is dirt cheap, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 18 and a dividend yield of 4.1%. The company has increased its dividend for 53 consecutive years, making it a Dividend King and a reliable source of passive income.

On average, the S&P 500 produces an annual total return (including dividends) of 9% to 10%. I think PepsiCo can outperform that total return through 2030 simply by growing earnings by 5% or more. If a stock is a good value (which PepsiCo is), then the stock price should grow at or above the earnings growth rate. If not, the valuation will get even less expensive.

A core part of Elliott's argument is that Pepsi's valuation will expand as its growth accelerates and it manages costs. In other words, investors will be willing to pay a high multiple relative to its earnings because the quality of those earnings is increasing. So I could see the company benefiting from better earnings growth and a valuation expansion over the next three to five years. PepsiCo's dividend alone already accounts for over a third of the total return needed to match the S&P 500 average.

All told, the stock is a no-brainer buy for value and passive income investors.

Daniel Foelber has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

A pump jack drills oil crude near Iraan, Texas, U.S., March 17, 2023. Picture taken through glass. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

Oct 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Tuesday as early signs of a thaw in U.S.-China trade tensions bolstered market sentiment, alleviating concerns over global fuel demand.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Monday President Donald Trump remains committed to meeting Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea later this month as both countries try to de-escalate tensions over tariff threats and export controls.

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He added that there were substantial communications between the two sides over the weekend and more meetings were expected.

Brent crude futures rose 18 cents, or 0.28%, to $63.50 a barrel by 0000 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $59.65 a barrel, up 16 cents, or 0.27%.

In the previous session, Brent settled 0.9% higher, and U.S. WTI closed up 1%.

The prospect of improved trade relations between the world's two largest economies has historically buoyed oil markets, as investors anticipate stronger global growth and increased fuel demand.

However, recent developments, including Beijing's expanded export controls on rare earths and Trump's threats of 100% tariffs and software export restrictions starting November 1, have weighed on sentiment. Last week, oil prices posted weekly losses and touched their lowest levels since May.

Trump had also cast doubt on a potential meeting with Xi during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in South Korea scheduled for October 30-November 1, saying on Truth Social that "now there seems to be no reason to do so."

While the selloff in markets now looks to be limited by Washington and Beijing's more conciliatory tone, geopolitics are expected to remain in the spotlight.

"The oil industry continues to navigate geopolitical issues," Daniel Hynes, an analyst at ANZ, said in a note.

"China announced that it would levy U.S.-owned ships arriving at its shores, including oil tankers. That sparked several last-minute cancellations and a jump in shipping rates," Hynes added.

Limiting the market's upside, Trump on Monday declared the end of the two-year-long Gaza war that has upended the broader Middle East.

Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia said in its monthly report on Monday that the oil market's supply shortfall will shrink in 2026, as the wider OPEC+ alliance moves ahead with planned output increases.

Reporting by Anjana Anil in Bengaluru; Editing by Jacqueline Wong

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Investors should look beyond Nvidia and consider semiconductor stocks that combine strong AI fundamentals and reasonable valuation.

The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is transforming every corner of the global economy. Nvidia, the company at the center of this revolution, continues to be a Wall Street favorite for all the right reasons. As an undisputed leader in accelerated computing, the company's hardware and software power much of the world's AI infrastructure buildout.

Shares of Nvidia have already surged over 43% so far in 2025. However, despite the massive demand for its Blackwell architecture systems, software stack, and networking solutions, the stock may grow quite modestly in future months. With its market capitalization now exceeding $4.6 trillion and shares trading at a premium valuation of nearly 30 times forward earnings, much of the optimism is already priced in.

Memory giant Micron (MU 6.12%), on the other hand, is still in the early stages of its AI-powered growth story. Shares of the company have surged nearly 128% in 2025, which highlights the increasing investor confidence in its high-bandwidth memory and data center portfolio. Yet, Micron could still offer investors higher returns in 2026, while riding the same AI wave. Here's why.

Image source: Getty Images.

Lower customer concentration risk
Wall Street has been highlighting one significant underappreciated risk for Nvidia. Nvidia's revenues depend heavily on a few hyperscaler customers, with two accounting for 39% and four accounting for 46% of its revenues in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 (ending July 27, 2026). Many of these hyperscaler clients are developing proprietary chips, which may offer a price-performance optimization in their specific workloads. This may reduce their dependence on Nvidia's chips in future years.

Micron's revenue base is significantly more diversified than Nvidia's. The company's largest customer accounted for 17% of total revenue, while the next largest contributed 10% in fiscal 2025 (ending Aug. 28, 2025). The company has earned over half of its total revenues from the top 10 customers for the past three years. The company has a reasonably broad customer base, including data center, mobile, PC, automotive, and industrial markets.

Hence, compared with Nvidia, Micron's lower concentration risk makes it more resilient in the current economy.

HBM demand and AI memory leadership
Micron's high-bandwidth memory (HBM) products, known for their superior data transfer speeds and energy efficiency, are being increasingly used in data centers. HBM revenues reached nearly $2 billion in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, translating into $8 billion annualized run rate.

Management expects Micron's HBM market share to match its overall DRAM share by the third quarter of fiscal 2025. The company now caters to six HBM customers and has entered into pricing agreements covering most of the 2026 supply of HBM third-generation extended (HBM3E) products.

Micron has also started sampling HBM fourth-generation (HBM4) products to customers. The company expects the first production shipment of HBM4 in the second quarter of calendar year 2026 and a broader ramp later that year.

Beyond HBM, Micron's Low-Power Double Data Rate (LPDDR) memory products are also seeing strong demand in data centers. The data center business has emerged as a key growth engine, accounting for 56% of Micron's total sales in fiscal 2025.

Hence, Micron seems well-positioned to capture a significant share of the AI-powered memory demand in the coming years.

Valuation
Micron appears to offer a stronger risk-reward proposition than Nvidia, even in the backdrop of accelerated AI infrastructure spending. The company currently trades at 12.3 times forward earnings, significantly lower than Nvidia's valuation. Hence, while Nvidia's premium valuation already assumes near-perfect execution and continued dominance, Micron still trades like a cyclical memory stock. This disconnect leaves room for modest valuation expansion to account for Micron's improving revenue mix toward high-margin AI memory products.

Wall Street sentiment is also increasingly positive for Micron. Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore recently upgraded the stock from equal-weight or neutral to overweight and raised the target price from $160 to $220. UBS has reiterated its "Buy" rating and increased the target price from $195 to $225. Itau Unibanco analyst has initiated coverage for Micron with a "Buy" rating and target price of $249.

Analysts expect Micron's earnings per share to grow year over year by nearly 100% to $16.6 in fiscal 2026. If the current valuation multiple holds, Micron's share price could be around $204 (up 6% from the last closing price as of Oct. 9), with limited downside potential. But if the multiple expands modestly in the range of 14 to 16 times forward earnings, shares could fall in the range of $232 to $265, offering upside of 20% to 37.8%.

On the other hand, there remains a higher probability of valuation compression for Nvidia, leaving less room for growth. With diversified customers, increasing AI exposure, and reasonable valuation, Micron may prove to be the better semiconductor pick in 2026.

Manali Pradhan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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October 13, 2025 10:04 PM EDT | Source: Goldgroup Mining Inc.
Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - October 13, 2025) - Goldgroup Mining Inc. (TSXV: GGA) (OTCQX: GGAZF)  ("Goldgroup" or the "Company") has, subject to regulatory approval, retained Machai Capital Inc. ("Machai") to provide digital marketing services on behalf of the Company.

Marketing Agreement

The Company has retained Machai, a marketing, advertising and public awareness firm having an office at 101-17565 58th Avenue, Surrey, BC, specializing in the metals & mining, technology, and special situations sectors. Suneal Sandhu is the President and sole owner of Machai and can be reached at (604) 375-0084. Machai will provide digital marketing services with branding, content and data optimization to assist the Company to create in-depth marketing campaigns, tracking, organizing and executing the Services through Search Engine Optimization (SEO), Search Engine Marketing (SEM), Lead Generation, Digital Marketing, Social Media Marketing, Email Marketing, and Brand Marketing. The services will be conducted in accordance with the applicable TSX.V policies. The marketing campaign will be launched immediately and continue through January 14, 2026, pursuant to which Machai will receive C$200,000 plus GST. Machai is arm's length to the Company and has no other relationship with the Company other than under the marketing agreement. The marketing agreement is subject to TSX.V approval.

About Goldgroup

Goldgroup is a Canadian-based mining Company with two high-growth gold assets in Mexico. The Company has a 100% interest in the producing Cerro Prieto heap-leach gold mine located in the State of Sonora. An optimization and exploration program is underway at Cierro Prieto to significantly increase existing production and resources.

In addition, the Company holds a 100% interest in the Pinos underground gold development project in Zacatecas State. Pinos is an advanced PEA level development project. Formerly a producing mine, the Company is commissioning an updated PEA with a view to re-starting mining operations.

Goldgroup is led by a team of highly successful and seasoned individuals with extensive expertise in mine development, corporate finance, and exploration in Mexico.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this press release.

CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION

Certain information contained in this news release, including any information relating to future financial or operating performance, may be considered "forward-looking information" (within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities law) and "forward-looking statements" (within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995). These statements relate to analyses and other information that are based on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable and assumptions of management. Actual results could differ materially from the conclusions, forecasts and projections contained in such forward-looking information.

These forward-looking statements reflect Goldgroup's current internal projections, expectations or beliefs and are based on information currently available to Goldgroup. In some cases forward-looking information can be identified by terminology such as "may", "will", "should", "expect", "intend", "plan", "anticipate", "believe", "estimate", "projects", "potential", "scheduled", "forecast", "budget" or the negative of those terms or other comparable terminology. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking information is subject to a variety of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual events or results to materially differ from those reflected in the forward-looking information, and are developed based on assumptions about such risks, uncertainties and other factors including, without limitation: receipt of all required stock exchange and regulatory approvals in connection with the Private Placement and the business of the Company; the completion of the Private Placement as planned; the proposed use of proceeds raised pursuant to the Private Placement and the Company's plans at the Cerro Prieto project; the scope, duration and impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; the scope, duration and impact of regulatory responses to the pandemic on the employees, business and operations; uncertainties related to actual capital costs operating costs and expenditures; production schedules and economic returns from Goldgroup's projects; uncertainties associated with development activities; uncertainties inherent in the estimation of mineral resources and precious metal recoveries; uncertainties related to current global economic conditions; fluctuations in precious and base metal prices; uncertainties related to the availability of future financing; potential difficulties with joint venture partners; risks that Goldgroup's title to its property could be challenged; political and country risk; risks associated with Goldgroup being subject to government regulation; risks associated with surface rights; environmental risks; Goldgroup's need to attract and retain qualified personnel; risks associated with potential conflicts of interest; Goldgroup's lack of experience in overseeing the construction of a mining project; risks related to the integration of businesses and assets acquired by Goldgroup; uncertainties related to the competitiveness of the mining industry; risk associated with theft; risk of water shortages and risks associated with competition for water; uninsured risks and inadequate insurance coverage; risks associated with potential legal proceedings; risks associated with community relations; outside contractor risks; risks related to archaeological sites; foreign currency risks; risks associated with security and human rights; and risks related to the need for reclamation activities on Goldgroup's properties, as well as the risk factors disclosed in Goldgroup's Annual Information Form and MD&A. Any and all of the forward-looking information contained in this news release is qualified by these cautionary statements.

Although Goldgroup believes that the forward-looking information contained in this news release is based on reasonable assumptions, readers cannot be assured that actual results will be consistent with such statements. Accordingly, readers are cautioned against placing undue reliance on forward-looking information. Goldgroup expressly disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, events or otherwise, except as may be required by, and in accordance with, applicable securities laws.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/270327

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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Key Takeaways Monday, bulls retook control after Friday's market plunge.The market continues to be very theme driven.Quantum computing, rare earth, and AI energy stocks led the way.
After a Friday plunge, stocks rebounded strongly on Monday. Below are five newsworthy market areas to monitor:

Small Caps OutperformSmall caps and the Russell 2000 Index (IWM) were the strongest stocks during Monday’s rebound. IWM gained 2.78% for the session, nearly clawing back all of Friday’s 2.99% loss. We remain constructive on the space as IWM works on a multi-year breakout.

Crypto Crashes Amid Overleverage, Rebounds MondayThe crypto market experienced its worst single-session market cap drop on Friday. Unfortunately, when President Trump shared his China message, many crypto investors were overleveraged and caught offside, causing a classic liquidation cascade in crypto and crypto proxies like the iShares Bitcoin ETF ((IBIT - Free Report) ).

MP Materials Soars on Rare-Earth TensionsMP Materials ((MP - Free Report) ) has emerged as a big winner and a hedge of sorts for investors amid the China-US rivalry backdrop. Shares have broken out and are up over 30% this month amid the news about China’s rare-earth restrictions. Because the US government views rare earths as a national security pillar, MP is likely to continue to be a beneficiary as the US decouples from China and other hostile countries. Meanwhile, respected JPMorgan ((JPM - Free Report) ) CEO Jamie Dimon recently spoke about the need for the US to reduce reliance on foreign nations for rare earths and minerals.

AI Energy Stocks Soar Amid Flurry of Positive NewsThe artificial intelligence race between China and the United States is in full swing. While the US is off to an early (albeit, small) lead in the AI race, it is far behind in the energy race. Energy is critical to AI because AI data centers require significant energy. Monday, Bloom Energy ((BE - Free Report) ) spiked 26% after it announced a partnership to provide Brookfield with $5 billion in on-site fuel cells to power AI data centers. Meanwhile, Navitas Semiconductor ((NVTS - Free Report) ), bolted 30% after the market close, following an announcement of a deal to help Nvidia ((NVDA - Free Report) ) power the next wave of AI factories. NVTS makes chips that help to make AI data centers more efficient.

Quantum Computing Stocks Continue to SoarDespite Friday’s plunge, investors continued to pile into high-octane quantum computing stocks. QC stocks are the top 2025 performers. Rigetti Computing ((RGTI - Free Report) ) has rewarded shareholders with an astonishing 6,000% return thus far in 2025. 

Bottom Line

Despite the Friday sell-off, Wall Street’s strongest industry themes reasserted themselves Monday. Quantum computing, rare earth, and AI energy stocks led the way.

ASEAN: +9.6%.
EU: +5.2%.
S. Korea: +2.0%.
Japan: +5.9%.
Meanwhile, exports to the US dropped 14.9%.

September’s data showed China had successfully rerouted exports, countering the effect of US tariffs on demand. Crucially, a sustained rebound in external demand would raise expectations that Beijing will achieve its 5% GDP growth target.

Ahead of the latest numbers, the World Bank raised its 2025 growth forecast for China to 4.8%, up from April’s 4.0% projection.

Export Realignment Boosts Growth Prospects
Brian Tycangco, editor at Stansberry Research, commented on the China data, stating:

“China’s trade bounces back in September. Exports surge 8.3% while imports jump 7.4%. Trade surplus narrows slightly. No. Trump’s trade war is not inflicting heavy damage to China’s export sector. Exporters are finding new markets to sell products.”

The trade data was good news for Beijing and Chinese manufacturers. Furthermore, the demand rebound suggests that Trump’s efforts to pressure economies into reducing reliance on Chinese goods failed, potentially triggering US threats of additional tariffs. An escalation in the US-China trade war reminded markets of the uncertain path toward a trade deal.

Notably, last week’s escalation in US-China trade tensions and the weekend’s de-escalation put soybean imports and rare earth exports in the spotlight.

Soybeans and Rare Earths in Focus
Soybean imports increased to a September record 12.87 million metric tons. The September numbers could set the stage for constructive US-China trade negotiations, potentially at the APEC Summit.

Before the Golden Week holiday, President Trump criticized China for cutting soybean imports, stating:

“The Soybean farmers of our Country are being hurt because China is, for ‘negotiating’ reasons only, not buying. We’ve made so much money on Tariffs that we are going to take a small portion of that money and help our farmers. I will never let our farmers down.”

While there was no US administration retaliation, Beijing’s announcement of fresh controls on rare earth exports caused a stir. A reported ban on rare earth exports triggered the US administration to raise tariffs on Chinese shipments by a further 100%, fueling a flight-to-safety.

However, Beijing clarified its policy adjustment on rare earth exports, stating that there would be no ban and approvals for compliant export applications for civilian use would continue as normal.

Despite these assurances, actual rare earth exports still declined significantly, a potential issue in trade talks. Rare earth exports fell 31% to 4,000.3 tonnes. Furthermore, exports decreased by 11% to 42,936 tonnes year-over-year from January to September.

Labor Market and Consumption Outlook
While the latest data will set the stage for trade negotiations, the upswing in demand could be crucial for China’s labor market and Beijing’s push for private consumption.

Chinese manufacturers reduced staffing levels for the third time in four months in September. While demand improved, pricing pressures forced firms to reduce fixed costs to protect their bottom lines. However, margin pressures could ease if external demand continues to recover, potentially lifting employment.

Rising salaries and employment could boost consumer sentiment and spending, fueling demand-driven inflation.

For context, China’s unemployment rate has trended higher in 2025, while retail sales have trended lower, aligning with the timing of US tariffs and margin squeezes. The unemployment rate increased to 5.3% in August, up from 5.2% in July and 5.0% in June. Retail sales rose 3.4% year-on-year in August, down from 3.7% in July and 4.8% in June.

Non-US Trade Expansion Gains Momentum
China’s success in rerouting shipments and forging new trade terms to counter the slump in US demand bodes well for the fourth quarter.

Shehzad Qazi, managing director at China Beige Book, commented:

“Shipments to the US plunged 27%–the sixth month of double-digit declines—a slump more than offset by strong growth in sales to regions like the European Union. In total, exports to non-US destinations grew 14.8%, the fastest since March 2023.”

Qazi identified other key trade developments, including a 56% surge in shipments to Africa. Exports to LATAM were up 15.2%, reversing declines in the previous two months.

Mainland Equity Markets Steady Following Trade Jitters
Mainland equity markets were in recovery mode on Tuesday, October 14. Market tensions eased after Friday’s escalation and the weekend’s de-escalation in the US-China trade war.

The CSI 300 advanced 0.89% in early trading, while the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.68%. Tuesday’s recovery sent the pair toward their 2025 high, set on October 9.

Traders are betting on a US-China trade deal and on Beijing achieving its 5% GDP growth target, aided by policy measures targeting demand.

Punitive US tariffs on transshipments haven’t hurt the Chinese economy and have lifted demand for Mainland-listed stocks. The CSI 300 has rallied 17.9% year-to-date in 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 16.8%. For contrast, the Hang Seng Index has soared 29% year-to-date.

While analysts are optimistic about further gains through the remainder of Q4, downside risks from renewed trade tensions linger. Last week’s escalation underscored the lingering threat of a breakdown in US-China relations to global markets.

A BYD logo is displayed on a car at a dealership in Sant Cugat del Valles, near Barcelona, Spain, September 12, 2025. REUTERS/ Albert Gea/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

CompaniesOct 14 (Reuters) - China's No. 1 automaker BYD

(002594.SZ), opens new tab considers Spain to be its top candidate for a third car factory to serve the European market, two people briefed on the matter told Reuters, as the company seeks to grow sales on the continent.

A BYD assembly plant, joining two other planned factories in Hungary and Turkey, would be a significant boost for the carmaker that competes with Tesla, and would also bolster Spain's aim of becoming a major hub for electric vehicle production.

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One of the sources said Spain is favoured by BYD because of its relatively low manufacturing costs and clean energy network.

While it is known that BYD has been looking for a third plant to serve the European market, Spain's emergence as a frontrunner has been previously unreported.

ANY DECISION NEEDS SIGN-OFF IN CHINABYD country manager for Spain and Portugal Alberto De Aza told Reuters last month that Spain would be an ideal location for further expansion of BYD's European manufacturing footprint because of its industrial infrastructure and cheap electricity.

A third source cautioned that the company has not communicated any final decision and was still considering other countries besides Spain. A final decision on the plant, which should come before the end of the year, will need to be approved by Chinese regulators.

Reuters reported in March that BYD has looked at other countries including Germany, though that has been debated internally because of high labour and energy costs.

Both Spain's Industry Ministry and BYD declined to comment.

BYD AIMS TO MAKE ALL CARS FOR EUROPE LOCALLY IN THREE YEARSBYD's sales in Europe jumped 280% in the first eight months of the year from the same period in 2024 after the automaker began selling plug-in hybrids as well as fully electric cars.

Reuters reported in April that BYD had overhauled its European operations to boost sales by hiring more managers and adding dealerships.

Diplomatic and business ties between Spain and China have warmed considerably in recent years. Last year, Spain abstained on a European Union vote on tariffs on Chinese-made EVs.

China's government privately told automakers to halt investments in European countries that supported those tariffs, Reuters reported last year. Germany voted against the tariffs.

Spain, Europe's second-largest car-producing nation, has attracted major investments including from Germany's Volkswagen and China's Chery and CATL since it announced a 5 billion euro ($5.8 billion) plan in 2020 to attract EV and battery manufacturing using EU pandemic relief funds.

BYD aims to produce all EVs for sale in Europe locally within three years, which would help it avoid EU tariffs.

Its planned factory in Hungary is currently under construction, though sources told Reuters in July that BYD has pushed back its timeline for mass production at the plant until next year. Its Turkish plant is due to open in 2026.

($1 = 0.8618 euros)

By Reuters Staff; Editing by Nick Carey and Jan Harvey

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab

Journalist

Posted: October 14, 2025

Key Takeaways
Will PancakeSwap sustain its upward momentum?
CAKE formed a bullish engulfing candle at the 200 EMA and broke its descending trendline, signaling potential continuation toward $4.5.

Are traders and investors supporting this rebound?
Yes. Spot Taker CVD stayed green, confirming buy dominance, while $1.1 million in outflows reflected strong accumulation.

After a 61.5% price crash in PancakeSwap [CAKE] during the historic crypto crash on the 10th of October, the market has shown a strong rebound, potentially opening the door to a further rally.

The bounce from the $3 support zone aligned with rising trader activity and bullish on-chain data, hinting that a wider rally could be in play.

CAKE’s price momentum returns
CAKE traded at $3.48 at press time, up 25% in 24 hours. Trading volume jumped 155% to $660 million, indicating renewed interest among retail and whale accounts.

AMBCrypto’s technical analysis revealed that this price surge pushed CAKE back above the key support level of $3.

Moreover, on the daily chart, the altcoin formed a strong bullish engulfing candlestick pattern, with the price continuing to maintain its upward momentum.

Source: TradingView

A break above the descending trendline on the 4-hour chart confirmed momentum shift to buyers.

Source: TradingView

If the momentum continues and the price holds above the key support of $3, CAKE could see a 28% surge and may reach the $4.50 level.

The Average Directional Index (ADX) stood at 28, signaling a strong trend, while the 200-day EMA ($2.56) acted as firm support.

Expert predictions fuel optimism
Given the market sentiment, several experts surfaced with bold predictions on CAKE.

Crypto commentator CoinQTS projected that CAKE had just begun its journey with huge potential and hinted that it may reach the $20 level in the coming days.

Meanwhile, another expert predicted that CAKE could hit $5 in the coming days.

The Wolf Insight highlighted five catalysts for CAKE’s rally: the Cake.Pad launch for IFO access, 28.8 million CAKE burned in September, $772 billion Q3 volume on BNB Chain (up 87% QoQ), limit-order rewards for liquidity providers, and Binance’s $250K Altcoin Festival exposure.

These factors tightened supply and boosted trading activity on the BNB Chain, suggesting whales are accumulating before retail momentum builds up.

On-chain signal aggressive buying
In addition to these predictions, on-chain metrics further strengthen CAKE’s bullish outlook.

According to CryptoQuant’s Spot Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta), CAKE witnessed aggressive buying activity over the past week, with not a single red bar, indicating a lack of seller dominance.

Source: CryptoQuant

PancakeSwap (CAKE) strongly bullish derivative
Meanwhile, CoinGlass data recorded a $1.10 million outflow from exchanges in the past 24 hours — a classic signal of accumulation.

Source: CoinGlass

As per data, CAKE’s major liquidation levels stood at $3.273 on the lower side and $3.567 on the upper side. At these levels, traders built $2.09 million worth of long positions and $915.3k worth of short positions.

That alignment between spot outflows and derivative positions supports a short-term bullish bias.

Vivaan Acharya is a Crypto-Economist and Journalist at AMBCrypto who brings a rare depth of financial and economic expertise to the world of digital assets. He holds a Master’s in Economics from the prestigious University of Delhi and has over five years of experience analyzing technology and financial markets.
His foray into the blockchain space began in 2018, marked by his prescient Master's thesis, "Payments and Stablecoin Integration in Banking," which showcased his early understanding of crypto's potential to disrupt traditional finance. Before specializing in crypto, Vivaan honed his skills in rigorous data and technical chart analysis at a major national financial daily, where he covered corporate earnings and market trends.
At AMBCrypto, Vivaan applies this powerful blend of classical economic training and seasoned financial journalism to his work. He is an expert in:
1. Bitcoin and Altcoin Market Analysis
2. Stablecoin Ecosystem Development, and
3 Emerging Crypto Regulations.
Known for his clear, no-nonsense approach, Vivaan translates robust research into straightforward, actionable insights. He is dedicated to demystifying the complexities of blockchain finance, empowering readers to confidently navigate the rapidly evolving digital economy.

Mantle (MNT) has reignited its bullish momentum, surging 30% in the past 24 hours to reclaim the $2.20 level after dipping as low as $1.50 over the weekend. The swift rebound underscores renewed buyer confidence following last week’s sharp correction from record highs.

While MNT remains below its $2.84–$2.86 all-time high, the strong recovery suggests bulls are regaining control, potentially setting the stage for another push toward the upper range if momentum holds.

Spot activity exploded, with daily trading volume up more than 60% to about $1.2 billion, while futures open interest climbed 9% to $269.7 million, a signal that speculative demand is accelerating alongside spot buying.

MNT's price bounces back following major losses on the daily chart. Source: MNTUSD on Tradingview
Fundamental Tailwinds: RWAs, Stablecoin Liquidity, and Exchange Distribution
Beyond the chart, Mantle’s rally is grounded in clear catalysts. The network’s Tokenization-as-a-Service (TaaS)stack is pulling real-world asset issuers on-chain, while the launch of USD1, a new stablecoin building on Mantle, is injecting fresh liquidity and utility into its DeFi rails.

Distribution is another edge: Mantle’s deepening Bybit integration (treasury programs, listings, and roadmap alignment) is funneling sustained order flow, not just one-off hype.

Analysts also highlight Mantle’s modular design (execution on Mantle with EigenDA for data availability and OP-stack upgrades) that lowers costs and improves throughput, important for tokenization, trading, and payments use cases.

Can Mantle (MNT) Bulls Clear $3? The Levels and Scenarios
Momentum favors further upside as a decisive close above $2.87 could open the door to $3.00, with extended targets near $3.60 if volume and open interest continue to rise.

On the downside, $2.50–$2.55 is initial intraday support, followed by the must-hold $1.90–$2.00 zone; losing that would risk a deeper retrace toward $1.60–$1.75 where buyers last reloaded. For now, breadth (spot + derivatives), rising participation, and a tight, orderly trend argue for trend continuation rather than a blow-off top.

Technically, MNT’s clean breakout above $2.00 was followed by strong follow-through and a steady series of higher lows. As long as price holds the $1.90–$2.00 demand zone, the bull structure remains intact, with traders eyeing $2.87 (recent high) and the psychological $3.00 mark next.

Cover image from ChatGPT, MNTUSD chart from Tradingview

Cover image via www.freepik.com

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

XRP has made one of the most spectacular recoveries in recent months, just as traders were preparing for a protracted decline. This move has the potential to completely change the perception of the asset.

After a severe crash last week that destroyed almost 60% of XRP's value in a single day, the token has risen sharply from its lows, regaining important technical levels and surprising market observers who had previously written it off.

Following a flash bottom below $2.00, XRP is currently trading at about $2.55. The strength of this recovery raises the possibility that what at first appeared to be a complete surrender was actually a liquidity flush, a violent shakeout that removed overly leveraged positions and gave the market time to recover.

HOT Stories

XRP/USDT Chart by TradingViewSince it has acted as both a magnet and a barrier for XRP's price action throughout 2025, the 200-day EMA is currently the site of the most significant technical battle. A retest of the $2.90-$3.00 resistance zone, which is the upper trendline of its descending wedge formation, may be possible if XRP is able to break and hold above the 200 EMA and confirm a midterm bullish reversal.

After several compression stages, these structures typically resolve with a breakout, and XRP's sharp volume spike suggests that momentum might be building. However, there is potential for a rally, but the RSI is cautioning of lingering volatility as it recovers from oversold territory while staying below neutral.

In order to verify that this move is real and not just a short-covering bounce, there must be consistent volume and daily closes above $2. As of right now, the market’s sentiment has changed from one of hopelessness to one of curiosity. If this trend keeps up, XRP's recovery may turn out to be one of the most remarkable and surprising in its history.

Bitcoin in controlBitcoin has once again demonstrated its control over the cryptocurrency market by easily breaking through the resistance level of $115,000, which used to serve as a psychological ceiling for traders. This action demonstrates Bitcoin’s capacity to bounce back from turbulence and sustain upward pressure, despite the cautious sentiment of the larger market.

After recovering from its 200-day moving average close to $108,000, Bitcoin has demonstrated incredible strength and is currently trading between $114,300 and $115,500. The current rebound highlights the zone’s significance in Bitcoin’s continuous bull structure, as it has historically been a strong support area during medium-term corrections.

The next major obstacle, however, is located only a few thousand dollars higher at about $116,000, where strong liquidity clusters and short-term sell orders start to accumulate, even though there was a clean break above that level. Experts caution that this area might serve as a reversal zone, causing short-term profit-taking before Bitcoin starts to rise more broadly again.

The market structure is still firmly bullish, though. The RSI is still hovering just below overbought levels, suggesting that there is still space for Bitcoin to grow before exhaustion sets in, while the 50-day EMA is curving upward once more, indicating renewed momentum.

The $120,000-$122,000 range, a historically significant zone that has previously sparked aggressive corrections, would be the next logical target if Bitcoin is able to maintain momentum and absorb liquidity above $116,000. Bitcoin may see a fresh push toward its all-time highs if a confirmed close above that level occurs.

Simply put, Bitcoin’s most recent movement serves as a reminder of its tenacity: whereas most assets find it difficult to gain traction, BTC keeps tearing through resistance levels with ease. The $116,000 liquidity wall could be the beginning of Bitcoin’s next significant breakout, or it could just be a temporary pause.

Shiba Inu zero addition canceledShiba Inu was on the verge of adding another zero to its price following a violent sell-off that rocked the cryptocurrency market as a whole. This would be a symbolic but psychologically damaging threshold for both retail and institutional holders.

However, for the time being, SHIB seems to have escaped the fatal slip despite the extreme pressure and the cascading liquidations across exchanges. Shiba Inu is now trading at about $0.0000109, having recovered significantly from the intraday low that almost fell below the crucial $0.0000100 threshold. That level is a deep support zone created during the accumulation phase of 2023, in addition to being a technical line in the sand.

Buying activity has historically increased in response to SHIB testing this area, resulting in brief relief rallies. The asset quickly recovered lost ground during the crash, even though it briefly fell into adding-zero territory. This was made possible by traders looking for a rebound and short covering.

More significantly, the volume profile indicates that the majority of participants were hesitant to sell below this range, suggesting deep underlying interest and a brief exhaustion of bearish momentum. The asset continues to trade below all significant moving averages, including the 200-day and 100-day EMAs, indicating that macro resistance is still present.

To test its current stabilization, SHIB may retest lower levels if momentum wanes around $0.0000120-$0.0000130. However, SHIB might hold the line as sentiment gradually returns to normal and the overall market exhibits signs of recovery.

Even after one of the market’s most severe flash crashes, the refusal to add another zero shows resiliency and indicates that the community’s speculative energy is still alive and well. In summary, Shiba Inu is not adding a zero just yet, which is a win in this market.

Why the XRP Options Launch Matters
This development could have far-reaching implications for spot ETF approvals and institutional adoption.

The CFTC requires robust surveillance and underlying market capabilities, which are also prerequisites for spot ETFs. Furthermore, strong institutional demand for XRP futures and open interest, addresses the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) concern about whether there is sufficient market demand and whether XRP would serve a legitimate purpose.

There are several reasons why the CFTC-regulated contracts on XRP launch could fuel speculation about the SEC greenlighting the S-1s for XRP-spot ETFs. These include:

CFTC, a major US regulator, deems XRP safe for institutional derivatives trading.
Genuine institutional demand.
Market evolution beyond spot trading.

Historically, the SEC and the CFTC have not followed the same playbook. The SEC’s main concern was whether XRP qualified as a non-security under the Howey Test.

However, the SEC vs. Ripple case addressed this issue, with Judge Analisa Torres ruling that programmatic sales of XRP did not constitute securities transactions. Crucially, the SEC dropped its appeal against the Programmatic Sales of XRP ruling, paving the way for an XRP-spot ETF market.

For traders questioning the likelihood of an XRP-spot ETF launch, the resolution of the Ripple case and the launch of CFTC-regulated contracts on XRP futures should provide strong assurance.

Marty Party, a prominent crypto commentator with 240,000 followers on X (formerly Twitter), said:

“This marks a major expansion of regulated crypto derivatives beyond Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), providing institutions with sophisticated hedging tools amid surging demand for altcoin exposure.”

While conditions appear favorable for an XRP-spot ETF market, the US Government shutdown continues to indirectly delay institutional inflows by slowing SEC processing.

US Senate Takes Center Stage as Shutdown Enters Day 14
On Tuesday, October 14, all eyes will turn to Capitol Hill. The US Senate could hold a vote on a stopgap funding bill as early as today, potentially reopening the US government.

A return to a full SEC office could enable the agency to review and approve the recently amended S-1s, clearing the way for spot ETF issuers to begin trading.

However, reports from Capitol Hill suggest a continued impasse, raising the risk that the shutdown extends into November. Republican Speaker Mike Johnson reportedly stated:

“We’re barreling toward one of the longest shutdowns in American history.”

Johnson has stated that he would not negotiate with the Democrats until they withdraw their health care demands.

Betting platform Kalshi predicts the US government shutdown will last 33 days, down from 37 days, but close to the 35-day shutdown in 2018-2019, the longest in US history. Furthermore, Kalshi puts the odds of the shutdown extending into November at 57%.

The delay of XRP-spot ETF launches beyond their final decision deadlines, ranging from October 18 to November 14, could weigh on XRP prices. However, speculation about an imminent launch could intensify if the Senate passes a stopgap funding bill, potentially sending XRP to $3.

Price Action & Technical Analysis: Will XRP Hold $2.5?
XRP climbed 2.99% on Monday, October 13, following the previous day’s 6.1% rally, closing at $2.6073. The token outperformed the broader market, which gained 0.97%. Despite a three-day winning streak, XRP remained below the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), reaffirming a bearish bias.

Key technical levels to watch include:

Support levels: $2.5, $2.0, and $1.9.
Technical resistance levels: the 200-day EMA at $2.6351 and the 50-day EMA at $2.8508.
Resistance levels: $2.7 and $3.0.

Catalysts & Scenarios
In the coming sessions, several key events could dictate near-term price trends:

US-China trade developments.
The US government shutdown.
XRP ETF news (delays or launches) and BlackRock’s stance on an iShares XRP Trust.
Blue-chip companies increase interest in XRP as a treasury reserve asset.
Regulatory milestones: Ripple’s application for a US-chartered bank license, the Market Structure Bill, and SWIFT-related news could also drive near-term price trends.

Bearish Scenario: Risks Below $2.5

BlackRock pours cold water on hopes for an XRP-spot ETF.
US Senate gridlock continues, delaying XRP-spot ETF approvals.
Lawmakers block crypto-friendly regulations, including the Market Structure Bill.
Blue-chip companies show no interest in XRP as a treasury reserve asset.
OCC delays or rejects Ripple’s US-chartered bank license.
SWIFT maintains its market share in the global remittance market, limiting Ripple’s market access.

These bearish scenarios could drag XRP back toward $2.5. A break below $2.5 would expose $2.0.

Bullish Scenario: Path to $3

US and China trade tensions ease.
Senate passage of a stopgap funding bill.
BlackRock files an S-1 for an iShares XRP Trust, and the SEC green-lights XRP-spot ETFs.
Blue-chip companies purchase XRP for treasury purposes, and more payment platforms integrate Ripple technology.
Ripple secures a US-chartered bank license, and the Senate passes the Market Structure Bill.
Ripple makes inroads into the global remittance business at SWIFT’s expense.

These bullish scenarios could drive XRP to $2.7 and bring the key psychological resistance at $3 level.

Renowned crypto analyst Ash Crypto has once again captured the spotlight with his remarkably accurate market forecast. At the start of October, he predicted a sharp correction in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, forecasting Bitcoin would dip near $106,000 and Ethereum around $3,800 or lower—a prediction that played out exactly as anticipated.

The downturn came after President Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese goods, triggering a global market sell-off. Bitcoin plunged to $105,000, while Ethereum briefly fell to $3,500, shaking investor confidence and leading to widespread losses across altcoins.

However, Ash Crypto’s insights don’t end with the crash. He maintains that this correction is merely the calm before a major bull run, predicting that the final quarter of 2025 will be Bitcoin’s strongest ever. According to him, once market sentiment turns excessively bearish, a powerful reversal will ignite a Q4 parabolic rally—sending Bitcoin soaring between $150,000 and $180,000, Ethereum to $8,000–$12,000, and altcoins surging 10x–50x.

Ash Crypto explained that the current pullback is essential for resetting the market before an explosive rebound. “October will likely close with a massive percentage gain,” he stated, suggesting that the rally could begin in the last 10 days of October.

To manage risk, the analyst revealed he remains 85% invested in crypto, keeping 15% in cash to seize buying opportunities during dips. His strategic balance reflects both confidence in his forecast and caution amid market volatility.

If his bullish prediction holds true, investors could soon witness a historic crypto resurgence, marking one of Bitcoin’s most profitable quarters ever.

<Copyright ⓒ TokenPost, unauthorized reproduction and redistribution prohibited>

XRP has shocked the crypto market with one of its most dramatic comebacks in recent months, defying expectations of a prolonged decline. After plunging nearly 60% in a single day last week, the token has rebounded sharply, regaining key technical levels and reigniting optimism among traders. From a flash low below $2.00, XRP has surged to around $2.55, signaling renewed strength and confidence in the asset’s long-term potential.

Analysts suggest that what initially appeared to be a market capitulation may have been a liquidity flush—an aggressive shakeout that cleared excessive leverage and paved the way for a recovery. The 200-day EMA has emerged as a critical battleground for XRP’s next move. If the token can hold above this level, a retest of the $2.90–$3.00 resistance zone could confirm a medium-term bullish reversal. This range also marks the upper trendline of XRP’s long-standing descending wedge pattern, often a precursor to powerful breakouts.

XRP’s recent volume surge supports the possibility of growing momentum, yet the RSI warns of continued volatility as it recovers from oversold conditions. Sustained daily closes above $2.00 and consistent trading volume are essential to confirm that this rebound is not merely a short-covering rally.

Market sentiment has shifted dramatically—from despair to cautious optimism—as traders begin to question whether this could be the biggest XRP recovery in history. If bullish momentum persists and key resistance levels fall, XRP’s resurgence may mark a defining moment in its 13-year journey, solidifying its position as one of the most resilient assets in the cryptocurrency market.

<Copyright ⓒ TokenPost, unauthorized reproduction and redistribution prohibited>

Dogecoin (DOGE) is showing early signs of stabilization after recent market turbulence, as traders observe renewed buying interest around the $0.21 mark. Following a significant correction from late-September highs, DOGE appears to be forming a base that could set the stage for another upward test.

A growing number of Ukrainian developers and DeFi advocates are publicly challenging Uniswap Labs after discovering that access to the exchange's main web interface is blocked for users in Ukraine.

Ethereum is showing early signs of recovery after a dramatic sell-off on Friday that sent prices plunging to $3,450. The drop came amid what analysts describe as the largest liquidation event in crypto market history, wiping out billions in leveraged positions across major exchanges. While bulls briefly lost control during the panic, ETH has since begun to stabilize, with renewed buying interest emerging near key demand zones.

Onchain analyst Maartunn highlighted that leverage is once again building up on Ethereum, signaling that traders are returning to the market following the reset. According to his data, open interest on ETH surged significantly over the past 24 hours — a sign that speculative activity is resuming as volatility cools. This renewed leverage could set the stage for another decisive move, either fueling a short-term relief rally or inviting further liquidations if momentum fades.

The coming days will be crucial for Ethereum, as bulls attempt to reclaim the $4,000 level to confirm a sustainable recovery. Market sentiment remains cautious but optimistic, with onchain data showing large holders and institutions continuing to accumulate ETH despite recent turbulence — a potential signal of long-term confidence in the asset’s resilience.

Leverage Returns to Ethereum: A Risky Revival In Market Activity
According to Maartunn, Ethereum’s Open Interest has surged by +8.2% within the past 24 hours — a clear sign that leverage is flowing back into the market. This rapid rise comes just days after the largest liquidation event in crypto history, where overleveraged traders were wiped out during the sudden crash. Now, it seems many are trying to “trade their money back,” reigniting short-term volatility and speculation across exchanges.

ETH Price and OI change | Source: Maartunn
Maartunn notes that while these so-called “revenge pumps” often create strong intraday rallies, they rarely sustain long-term momentum. Historically, around 75% of similar leverage-driven recoveries tend to revert, leading to renewed pullbacks once liquidity and funding rates normalize. Only about 25% manage to extend into lasting uptrends, typically when supported by fresh spot buying or renewed institutional inflows.

This data underscores the precarious balance Ethereum currently faces. The jump in Open Interest signals revived market participation, but also introduces the risk of another wave of forced liquidations if traders overextend their positions. For now, ETH’s short-term recovery remains largely fueled by derivatives activity rather than spot demand.

The next few days will be pivotal in determining Ethereum’s direction. If price holds above the $4,000 region with sustained volume, it could confirm that bulls are regaining control. However, a sudden drop in Open Interest or sharp funding spikes could signal that the rally is overextended — setting the stage for another correction.

Ethereum Rebounds, But Resistance Looms Ahead
Ethereum is showing a solid recovery after last week’s dramatic sell-off that drove prices down to the $3,450 level. The daily chart shows that ETH quickly rebounded from the 200-day moving average (red line), confirming it as a major area of demand. Price is now consolidating near $4,150, attempting to build momentum after a strong bullish candle on high volume — a potential sign that buyers are regaining control.

ETH reclaims key levels | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
However, ETH faces immediate resistance near the $4,250–$4,300 zone, which coincides with the 50-day moving average (blue line). This area previously acted as strong support, and reclaiming it would be essential for confirming a shift back into bullish structure. The 100-day moving average (green line) is now flattening, reflecting the market’s cautious sentiment following the massive liquidation event.

If bulls manage to sustain price action above $4,000, the next targets lie near $4,500 and eventually $4,750. Conversely, failure to hold the 200-day MA could open the door to a deeper retest of $3,600 or lower. For now, Ethereum’s recovery remains technically constructive, but it must overcome these resistance levels to confirm that the recent rebound is more than just a short-term reaction to oversold conditions.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

New legislation seeks to spur innovation, attract foreign investment, and reinforce financial inclusion in Kenya's digital economy.

Key Takeaways

Kenya has officially enacted legislation regulating Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
The Virtual Asset Service Providers Bill assigns regulatory authority over Kenya’s crypto sector to the Central Bank and Capital Markets Authority.

Kenya’s parliament has approved a landmark bill to regulate Bitcoin and other crypto assets, a move that would position the East African nation as a leader in Africa’s fintech landscape.

The Virtual Asset Service Providers Bill designates the Central Bank of Kenya to license issuers of stablecoins and virtual assets, while the Capital Markets Authority will oversee crypto exchanges and trading platforms. The legislation grants formal legal recognition to digital assets.

The move aims to encourage innovation in virtual asset services while attracting international investments in Kenya’s digital economy. The regulatory framework addresses concerns around fraud and market manipulation that have previously hindered crypto adoption in the region.

Kenya’s decision aligns with broader global trends where emerging markets are embracing Bitcoin and crypto to enhance financial inclusion. The legislation establishes clear guidelines for crypto exchanges and service providers operating within the country’s borders.

Disclaimer

Enflux says the $600 million plan reflects a new wave of Asian capital favoring infrastructure tokens that power transaction flow over store-of-value assets.
Oct 14, 2025, 1:48 a.m.

Good Morning, Asia. Here's what's making news in the markets:Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk's Crypto Daybook Americas.

China Renaissance’s reported plan to raise $600 million for a BNB-focused investment vehicle, with Binance founder Changpeng Zhao's YZi Labs investing alongside, may look like a straightforward bet on Binance’s ecosystem. But Singapore-based market maker Enflux argues it’s something deeper: a signal that Asian institutions are building a different kind of crypto exposure than their Western counterparts.

“Regional capital allocators are seeking exposure to infrastructure tokens that drive transaction flow, not just store-of-value assets,” Enflux said in a note to CoinDesk, framing the China Renaissance move as part of a broader divergence between East and West.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

BNB is a great example of this. Binance, of course, isn't a listed company, but BNB serves as something very close to a stock. Its value is a proxy for market sentiment and confidence in Binance.

While U.S. and European markets have leaned into tokenized Treasuries, funds, and real-world assets, Asia’s capital markets are increasingly constructing crypto-native liquidity networks centered around exchange, staking, and transaction infrastructure.

"This ties into the broader shift where Asian capital markets are building out their own layer of crypto-native liquidity networks while Western markets tokenized TradFi," Enflux continued.

The logic is straightforward. Value should be accrued by activity, not scarcity. Tron's move to create a publicly listed company to give investors listed exposure to activity on the TRX network – which is heavily used to send USDT around Latin America – follows the same train of thought.

If Enflux’s thesis is right, the China Renaissance fund could be an early blueprint for Asia’s next wave of institutional products: permanent capital vehicles that hold the pipes of the crypto economy, not just its gold.

Market Movement:BTC: BTC is trading above $114,500, relatively flat as the market stabilizes after last weekend's volatility.

ETH: ETH rose 1.5% to $4,230 as network activity picked up, even as U.S.-listed Ethereum ETFs saw $118 million in outflows.

Gold: Gold surged 2% to a record $4,103 an ounce as renewed U.S.-China trade tensions and expectations of further Fed rate cuts drove investors toward safe-haven assets.

Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed Tuesday as Trump’s conciliatory remarks on China failed to offset renewed trade tensions, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 down 1.34%.

Elsewhere in Crypto:Crypto market structure bill may need to wait until after the midterm election, says TD Cowen (The Block)Tom Lee's Bitmine Bought the Dip, Adding Over 200K ETH to Ethereum Treasury (CoinDesk)Ripple Is Offering $200K to 'Attack' XRP Ledger Lending Protocol (Decrypt)More For You

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Combined spot and derivatives trading on centralized exchanges surged 7.58% to $9.72 trillion in August, marking the highest monthly volume of 2025

What to know:

Combined spot and derivatives trading on centralized exchanges surged 7.58% to $9.72 trillion in August, marking the highest monthly volume of 2025Gate exchange emerged as major player with 98.9% volume surge to $746 billion, overtaking Bitget to become fourth-largest platformOpen interest across centralized derivatives exchanges rose 4.92% to $187 billionView Full Report

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Bitfarms, Cipher Mining and Bitdeer posted double-digit gains on Monday as miners keep benefitting from artificial intelligence's surging demand for computing power.

What to know:

Crypto mining stocks led the rebound from Friday's market downturn as Bitfarms, Cipher Mining and Bitdeer posted double-digit gains on Monday. Optimism for the sector was bolstered by OpenAI's deal with Broadcom to build custom chips and Bloom Energy's $5 billion agreement with Brookfield Asset Management to deploy fuel cells for AI data centers.Coinbase, Strategy and Robinhood booked modest gains.Read full story

An analyst has revealed the key Bitcoin charts that could be to keep an eye on while Bitcoin is slowly making recovery from its latest crash.

These Bitcoin Charts Could Be Ones To Watch
In a shock to the market, Bitcoin ended last week with a steep crash, falling from above $122,000 to below $110,000. The coin managed to make some recovery on Sunday, and that rebound has held so far into Monday.

However, while BTC appears to be rebuilding its structure, its direction remains unclear, as noted by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X thread. Maartunn has shared a few key charts that could determine whether the recovery will hold or fade.

First, the analyst has revealed a chart that points out a similarity between the recent Bitcoin price action and the November 2021 bull market top.

Looks like the price of the coin recently failed a breakout above the weekly resistance line | Source: @JA_Maartun on X
As displayed in the above graph, BTC broke above its weekly resistance with the recent price rally, but immediately fell below the line after the crash. A similar failed breakout also took place back in November 2021. According to Maartunn, such a trend typically signals exhaustion.

On-chain data also suggests the cryptocurrency is currently trapped below a notable resistance level, as the chart for the UPRD shows.

The data for the latest URPD of BTC | Source: @JA_Maartun on X
The UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) here is an indicator that tells us about the amount of Bitcoin that was last purchased/transferred at the various price levels that the asset has visited in its history.

From the metric’s chart, it’s visible that a significant amount of supply has its cost basis between $117,500 to $120,000. The holders of these coins would naturally be underwater right now, so there is a chance that if BTC recovers to their break-even level, they might panic sell, fearing going into losses again.

Given the scale of the supply involved, selling pressure of this kind could be notable on a retest of the range, potentially making it a major resistance barrier for the asset.

A support level that could be key is the average cost basis or Realized Price of the short-term holders (STHs).

The trend in the Realized Price of the STHs over the last couple of months | Source: @JA_Maartun on X
The line has historically helped the asset find a rebound during bullish trends, with three instances of the trend occurring within the last six weeks alone. The analyst has warned, however, that conviction among the cohort is fading.

The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio suggests profitability among the Bitcoin STHs has been following a long-term decline, with the boundary level of 1 again being retested.

The STH MVRV Ratio has plunged in recent days | Source: @JA_Maartun on X
“If this level breaks, expect downside. If it holds, it confirms demand — but manage risk accordingly!” noted Maartunn in the thread.

BTC Price
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $114,100, down over 8% in the last seven days.

The coin’s price has made some recovery from its crash | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView
Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, charts from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price corrected losses and traded above the $114,200 level. BTC is now struggling and might face hurdles near the $116,000 level.

Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $114,000 resistance level.
The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $119,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $112,500 zone.

Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles
Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $110,000 pivot level. BTC recovered above the $112,500 and $113,200 resistance levels.

The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the main drop from the $123,750 swing high to the $100,000 low. The bulls even pushed the price above the $114,000 resistance level. However, there are many hurdles on the upside.

Bitcoin is now trading below $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $119,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $115,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $116,000 level. The next resistance could be $118,150 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the main drop from the $123,750 swing high to the $100,000 low.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
A close above the $118,150 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $119,250 resistance and the trend line. Any more gains might send the price toward the $120,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $122,500.

Another Drop In BTC?
If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $115,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $113,600 level. The first major support is near the $112,500 level.

The next support is now near the $111,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $110,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $113,500, followed by $112,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $115,000 and $116,000.

Broadcom President and CEO Hock Tan joins 'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer to talk the recently announced deal with OpenAI, competition in the space, and more.

, /PRNewswire/ -- 

Why: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of securities of Jasper Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: JSPR) between November 30, 2023 and July 3, 2025, both dates inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important November 18, 2025 lead plaintiff deadline.

So what: If you purchased Jasper Therapeutics securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.

What to do next: To join the Jasper Therapeutics class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=45109 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than November 18, 2025. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.

Why Rosen Law: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm achieved the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company at the time. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.

Details of the case: According to the lawsuit, defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) Jasper lacked the controls and procedures necessary to ensure that the third-party manufacturers on which it relied were manufacturing products in full accordance with cGMP regulations and otherwise suitable for use in clinical trials; (2) the foregoing failure increased the risk that results of ongoing studies would be confounded, thereby negatively impacting the regulatory and commercial prospects of Jasper's products, including briquilimab; (3) the foregoing increased the likelihood of disruptive cost-reduction measures; (4) accordingly, Jasper's business and/or financial prospects, as well as briquilimab's clinical and/or commercial prospects, were overstated; and (5) as a result, defendants' public statements were materially false and misleading at all relevant times. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.

To join the Jasper Therapeutics class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=45109 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.

No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.

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Contact Information:

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