Market Signal Briefing

Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Insmed (INSM - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The earnings report, which is expected to be released on October 30, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis biopharmaceutical developing inhaled treatments for patients battling rare lung diseases is expected to post quarterly loss of $1.33 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -4.7%.

Revenues are expected to be $114.65 million, up 22.7% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.62% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Insmed?For Insmed, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -4.02%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Insmed will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Insmed would post a loss of$1.3 per share when it actually produced a loss of -$1.70, delivering a surprise of -30.77%.

The company has not been able to beat consensus EPS estimates in any of the last four quarters.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Insmed doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Jakks Pacific (JAKK - Free Report) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.

The earnings report, which is expected to be released on October 30, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis toymaker is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.60 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -45.7%.

Revenues are expected to be $260.73 million, down 18.9% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Jakks?For Jakks, the Most Accurate Estimate is the same as the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that there are no recent analyst views which differ from what have been considered to derive the consensus estimate. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of 0%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Jakks will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Jakks would post a loss of$0.38 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.03, delivering a surprise of +107.89%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Jakks doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on lower revenues when Illumina (ILMN - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on October 30. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis genetic testing tools company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.16 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +1.8%.

Revenues are expected to be $1.07 billion, down 1.3% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.23% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Illumina?For Illumina, the Most Accurate Estimate is the same as the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that there are no recent analyst views which differ from what have been considered to derive the consensus estimate. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of 0%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Illumina will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Illumina would post earnings of $1.02 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.19, delivering a surprise of +16.67%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Illumina doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Expected Results of an Industry PlayerGSK (GSK - Free Report) , another stock in the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $1.26 for the quarter ended September 2025. This estimate points to a year-over-year change of -0.8%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $11.2 billion, up 7.5% from the year-ago quarter.

The consensus EPS estimate for Glaxo has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. However, a higher Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +0.63%.

This Earnings ESP, combined with its Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggests that Glaxo will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Gilead Sciences (GILD - Free Report) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.

The earnings report, which is expected to be released on October 30, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis HIV and hepatitis C drugmaker is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.15 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +6.4%.

Revenues are expected to be $7.46 billion, down 1.1% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 3.08% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Gilead?For Gilead, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -1.34%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Gilead will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Gilead would post earnings of $1.95 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.01, delivering a surprise of +3.08%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Gilead doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

An Industry Player's Expected ResultsBioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN - Free Report) , another stock in the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $0.03 for the quarter ended September 2025. This estimate points to a year-over-year change of -96.7%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $784.4 million, up 5.2% from the year-ago quarter.

The consensus EPS estimate for BioMarin has been revised 5.7% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. However, a lower Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -729.99%.

When combined with a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold), this Earnings ESP makes it difficult to conclusively predict that BioMarin will beat the consensus EPS estimate. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

The market expects Fidus Investment (FDUS - Free Report) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis closed-end investment company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.50 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -18%.

Revenues are expected to be $36.96 million, down 3.7% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 1.42% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Fidus Investment?For Fidus Investment, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -1.34%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Fidus Investment will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Fidus Investment would post earnings of $0.53 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.57, delivering a surprise of +7.55%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Fidus Investment doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Fox (FOXA - Free Report) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.

The earnings report, which is expected to be released on October 30, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis TV broadcasting company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.06 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -26.9%.

Revenues are expected to be $3.58 billion, up 0.4% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 4.74% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Fox?For Fox, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -7.55%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #2.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Fox will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Fox would post earnings of $1.01 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.27, delivering a surprise of +25.74%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Fox doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on October 30. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis maker of products for the home, like faucets, cabinets, windows and doors is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.10 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -5.2%.

Revenues are expected to be $1.18 billion, up 2% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.55% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Fortune Brands Innovations?For Fortune Brands Innovations, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -0.02%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Fortune Brands Innovations will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Fortune Brands Innovations would post earnings of $0.98 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.00, delivering a surprise of +2.04%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Fortune Brands Innovations doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

An Industry Player's Expected ResultsAnother stock from the Zacks Building Products - Air Conditioner and Heating industry, Watsco (WSO - Free Report) , is soon expected to post earnings of $4.21 per share for the quarter ended September 2025. This estimate indicates a year-over-year change of -0.2%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $2.11 billion, down 2.2% from the year-ago quarter.

The consensus EPS estimate for Watsco has been revised 11.7% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. However, a lower Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -5.53%.

This Earnings ESP, combined with its Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Watsco will beat the consensus EPS estimate. Over the last four quarters, the company surpassed EPS estimates just once.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

Rogers Communication (RCI - Free Report) reported $3.88 billion in revenue for the quarter ended September 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 3.3%. EPS of $0.99 for the same period compares to $1.04 a year ago.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.84 billion, representing a surprise of +1.16%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +7.61%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.92.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.

Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.

Here is how Rogers Communication performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:

Wireless Subscriber - Postpaid mobile phone - Gross additions: 385 thousand versus the two-analyst average estimate of 378.29 thousand.Home Phone - Total Home Phone Subscriber: 1.42 million compared to the 1.43 million average estimate based on two analysts.Wireless Subscriber - Total Postpaid mobile phone subscribers: 10.96 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of 10.93 million.Wireless Subscriber - Postpaid churn: 1% versus the two-analyst average estimate of 1.2%.Wireless Subscriber - Prepaid mobile phone - Gross additions: 149 thousand versus 165.01 thousand estimated by two analysts on average.Wireless Subscriber - Prepaid mobile phone - Net additions: 49 thousand compared to the 52.91 thousand average estimate based on two analysts.Wireless Subscriber - Total prepaid mobile phone subscribers: 1.21 million versus 1.21 million estimated by two analysts on average.Wireless Subscriber - Prepaid churn: 2.9% versus the two-analyst average estimate of 3.2%.Cable Subscriber - Homes passed: 10.44 million compared to the 10.41 million average estimate based on two analysts.Cable Subscriber - Net additions: 20 thousand versus 9.78 thousand estimated by two analysts on average.Cable Subscriber - Total Customer Relationships: 4.85 million compared to the 4.83 million average estimate based on two analysts.Retail Internet - Net Additions: 29 thousand versus 22.51 thousand estimated by two analysts on average.View all Key Company Metrics for Rogers Communication here>>>

Shares of Rogers Communication have returned +7.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.2% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating that it could underperform the broader market in the near term.

For the quarter ended September 2025, Iridium Communications (IRDM - Free Report) reported revenue of $226.94 million, up 6.7% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.35, compared to $0.21 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.29% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $224.05 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $0.26, the EPS surprise was +34.62%.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.

Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.

Here is how Iridium performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:

ARPU - Commercial - Voice and data: $48.00 versus $48.14 estimated by three analysts on average.Billable Subscribers - Total government voice and data and IoT data service: 124 thousand versus 133.21 thousand estimated by three analysts on average.Billable Subscribers - Total commercial voice and data, IoT data and Broadband service: 2.42 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of 2.45 million.ARPU - Commercial - IoT data: $7.95 versus $8.02 estimated by three analysts on average.Revenue- Subscriber equipment: $21.51 million compared to the $22.66 million average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of -3% year over year.Revenue- Service: $165.24 million versus the five-analyst average estimate of $164.54 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +3.4%.Revenue- Engineering and support service: $40.19 million versus $36.63 million estimated by five analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +30.7% change.Revenue- Service- Commercial service revenue: $138.33 million compared to the $137.51 million average estimate based on four analysts. The reported number represents a change of +3.8% year over year.Revenue- Service- Government service revenue: $26.91 million versus $26.93 million estimated by four analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +1.4% change.Revenue- Engineering and support service- Government: $38.33 million versus $34.15 million estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +32.1% change.Revenue- Engineering and support service- Commercial: $1.85 million versus $2.12 million estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +7% change.Revenue- Service- Commercial service revenue- IoT data: $46.71 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $47.27 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +6.9%.View all Key Company Metrics for Iridium here>>>

Shares of Iridium have returned +12.9% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.2% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

Here are three stocks with buy rank and strong momentum characteristics for investors to consider today, Oct. 23:

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR - Free Report) : This energy and infrastructure business has a Zacks Rank #1 and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 100.6% over the last 60 days.

Par Pacific’s shares gained 17.5% over the last three months compared with the S&P 500’s advance of 6%. The company possesses a Momentum Score  of A.

Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd. (CMMB - Free Report) : This clinical-stage biotechnology company has a Zacks Rank #1 and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 70% over the last 60 days.

Chemomab’s shares gained 18.9% over the last month compared with the S&P 500’s advance of 1.7%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of A.

Guess?, Inc. (GES - Free Report) : This apparel and accessories company has a Zacks Rank #1 and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 8.1% over the last 60 days.

Guess’ shares gained 27.4% over the last three months compared with the S&P 500’s advance of 6%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of B.

See the full list of top ranked stocks here

Learn more about the Momentum score and how it is calculated here.

According to Farside, spot Bitcoin ETFs had net withdrawals of around $1.23 billion from October 13th to the 17th.
As per analysts, Bitcoin’s price has reached a critical juncture where a further decline might serve as a key warning signal.

The persistent bleeding of US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs after the latest crypto market crisis has analysts worried that Bitcoin might break through a critical support price level.

The $107,000 to $108,000 support zone is becoming more and more untenable due to the absence of institutional accumulation, according to many experts. This is especially true in light of the substantial net outflows that occurred after US President Donald Trump’s tariff decision earlier this month.

According to Farside, spot Bitcoin ETFs had net withdrawals of around $1.23 billion from October 13th to the 17th. The data shows that institutional investors are not currently engaging in major dip-buying, according to the experts. Two of the three trading days this week have experienced outflows; but, a robust influx on Tuesday has maintained the total net flows positive at $335.4 million.

As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $109,239 on CMC, after a short surge over $113,000 earlier in the week, followed by a swift retracement down below $110,000. According to analysts, Bitcoin’s price has reached a critical juncture where a further decline might “serve as a key warning signal” of a longer consolidation phase.

ETP Filings Await Pending Regulatory Clearance
With 155 exchange-traded product (ETP) files pending regulatory clearance, the crypto investing market is about to see an unparalleled boom. According to experts in the field, there may be more than 200 new crypto-linked funds, investing in 35 distinct digital assets, in the next 12 months.

According to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, the surge is like a “total land rush.” He said that the filings volume shows how asset managers are racing to get into digital assets via regulated financial instruments.

At 23 apiece, Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL) are at the front of the pack in terms of filings, closely followed by Ethereum (ETH) at 16 and Ripple’s XRP at 20. With five applications, Litecoin (LTC) is one of the most talked-about tokens. Another three are Polkadot (DOT), Avalanche (AVAX), and Dogecoin (DOGE). The “Official TRUMP” token and other memecoins have made it into two proposed ETFs.

Highlighted Crypto News Today:

Google Claims First Verifiable Quantum Advantage, What it Means for Bitcoin?

A trader himself, Rossi has 7 years of experience trading in the forex market and the passion for writing has brought him to Newscrypto. He is the perfect combination of market knowledge and writing skills, making him one of the most sought-after writers on cryptocurrency.

CryptoNews

Aster Introduces Rocket Launch Initiative to Support Emerging Blockchain Projects

TL;DR: Aster unveils Rocket Launch, a new initiative connecting traders with early-stage blockchain projects. The first campaign partners with oracle provider APRO ($AT) and offers

flash news

Mantle Network Launches Global Hackathon With $150,000 Prize Pool

Mantle Network announced the launch of its global hackathon, running from October 15 to December 31, 2025, with a total of $150,000 in prizes for

flash news

Sanctioned Crypto Wallet Linked to Prince Group Moves $1.7 Billion in Bitcoin

A crypto wallet tied to the sanctioned Prince Group transferred 15 965 bitcoin (BTC) today, its first activity in three years, according to on-chain data

flash news

Cardano surpasses Bitcoin and Ethereum in decentralization metrics

Cardano (ADA) achieved a Nakamoto coefficient of 21, outpacing Bitcoin at 3 and Ethereum at 2, according to the Edinburgh Decentralization Index report published today

CryptoCurrency News

Jim Cramer Warns Crypto May Be Entering Bubble Territory

TL;DR: Jim Cramer warns crypto may mirror the 2000 dot-com bubble, urging investors to trim exposure. Bitcoin holds $107K support despite weak momentum and market

CryptoCurrency News

a16z Report: Crypto Enters Its Maturity Phase as Stablecoins and AI Lead Growth

TL;DR: a16z says crypto’s focus has shifted from hype to real-world applications. $46 trillion in annual volume puts them alongside major payment systems. Real-world assets

BNB trading services are now available on Robinhood.

Robinhood, a retail trading platform that allows users to invest in stocks, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies, has officially listed BNB, the native token of Binance.

The organization has over 26 million clients, while other digital assets available for trading include Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), Dogecoin (DOGE), Litecoin (LTC), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and many more.

BNB’s inclusion sparked enthusiasm across the crypto space, with some popular X users arguing that this could trigger an additional price surge for the underlying asset.

The one with the moniker Investor Jordan described the initiative as “massive,” predicting that BNB could explode past $2,000 “once the crowd returns.”

🚨BREAKING: Robinhood just listed $BNB.

IMO, this is massive…once the crowd returns, BNB could easily rip past $2,000+ 📈 pic.twitter.com/57Zqtk613f

— Investor Jordan 🌪️ (@InvestorJordann) October 22, 2025

As of this writing, the asset’s price hovers at around $1,090, which is a substantial decline from the all-time high of almost $1,400 witnessed earlier this month but still a whopping 45% increase on a three-month scale.

At one point, BNB became the third-biggest cryptocurrency with a market cap of over $190 billion. However, Tether’s USDT reclaimed its top 3 spot, and Binance’s native token is currently placed fourth with a capitalization of around $150 billion.

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BNB Meme Coin Frenzy Creates Overnight Millionaires and Costly Mistakes

Bitcoin (BTC) Taps a New ATH Above $126K, These Alts Head South: Market Watch

Binance Coin (BNB) Flips Ripple (XRP) Following Record-Breaking Price Surge

Following the BNB addition announced on Wednesday, the Vlad Tenev-led company splashed further into the crypto waters by introducing Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE. The asset, which had already jumped by 11% after more positive news from the organization behind it, surged to $40 for the first time in days.

Dimitar got interested in cryptocurrencies back in 2018 amid the prolonged bear market. His biggest passion in the field is Bitcoin and he was fascinated with its journey. With a flair for producing high-quality content, he started covering the cryptocurrency space in late 2018. His hobby is football.

Standard Chartered's bold $200K call fuels buying frenzy – Bitcoin price prediction points to a new bull phase.

The partnership aims to future-proof Solana's blockchain with quantum-safe security measures and verifiable computation tools.

Photo: Steve Johnson

Key Takeaways

BTQ Technologies, a leader in quantum security, is collaborating with Bonsol Labs to bring NIST-approved post-quantum cryptography to the Solana blockchain ecosystem.
Bonsol Labs enhances Solana's infrastructure with verifiable compute and zero-knowledge proofs, supporting the integration of quantum-resilient cryptographic primitives.

BTQ Technologies, a Nasdaq-listed firm specializing in quantum security solutions for blockchain applications, has partnered with Bonsol Labs to integrate NIST-approved post-quantum signatures directly into Solana’s ecosystem.

The collaboration between BTQ and Bonsol Labs, a developer-focused project integrating verifiable compute and zero-knowledge proofs into Solana’s infrastructure, marks a key advancement in quantum-resistant blockchain technology.

NIST, a US standards body playing a leading role in developing and advancing post-quantum cryptography standards to counter emerging quantum threats, has standardized the ML-DSA algorithm (FIPS 204) used in the partnership to counter emerging quantum threats.

Bonsol Labs has been actively demonstrating verifiable compute frameworks on Solana, including tools for efficient proof generation and verification that align with high-performance needs like those in quantum security applications.

Growing interest in quantum-resistant cryptography has prompted blockchain projects like Solana to explore defenses against potential quantum computing threats, with recent examples highlighting verifiable proofs for real-world use cases.

Disclaimer

TL;DR

A community expert alleges that token sales by the team are the cause of the price collapse.
On-chain data suggests a sale of over 1.2 million PI tokens in a short period.
The community demands greater transparency and audits from the Pi team amid the project’s lack of revenue.

The Pi Network community faces a new crisis of confidence following the dramatic drop in the PI token’s price. “Mr. Spock,” a community expert, has reignited concerns about the project’s transparency, alleging that the Pi Network team is selling its own tokens and is the main cause of the collapse.

According to Spock, the lack of active revenue sources has forced the team to liquidate part of its holdings to sustain operations. “I have said many times that it is our Core Team selling Pi because they have no other source of income,” Spock stated in a recent post.

This statement coincides with on-chain data reports suggesting the sale of over 1.2 million PI tokens in a short span, which has caused widespread frustration among “Pioneers.”

Several community members supported this theory, noting that only the core team would possess enough volume to cause such a drastic fall, with one commentator stating that “no ordinary Pioneer could push Pi from $3 to $0.20.” The token has fallen over 30% in the last month and has accumulated a loss of over 90% from its peak.

Old Controversies and Development Costs
This controversy is not new. In 2020, the organization already faced accusations of financial mismanagement for the alleged misuse of $20 million. Despite its huge user base, critics argue that Pi Network still lacks a functional mainnet and concrete use cases, leaving its value dependent on speculation.

However, some project defenders urge caution. They argue that the alleged token sale could be linked to legitimate project expenses, such as testnet maintenance or funding for critical updates, like Protocol 23.

The debate has reignited calls for greater transparency from the Pi Network team that is selling or managing its assets. Community members demand on-chain records of the team’s wallets, regular audits, and clear timelines to restore trust. Without these changes, and with experts like Mr. Spock calling the project a “rug pull,” Pi Network risks losing all its credibility.

A cluster of long-idle Bitcoin moved back into circulation Wednesday, raising fresh questions about selling pressure as prices slide from recent highs.

Sleeping Coins Stir After Years
According to CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun, exactly 15,965 BTC that had been idle for about three years were shifted earlier in the day. The coins moved while Bitcoin traded below $110,000, and at roughly $108,000 a coin the batch is worth about $1.724 billion.

CryptoQuant’s on-chain records show these addresses had little to no activity since late 2022 and early 2023, and the funds were sent to undisclosed destinations.

Market watchers flagged the timing. Old coins waking up during a pullback can signal profit-taking, or simply internal reshuffles between private accounts and trading venues.

Reports have disclosed that such moves sometimes reflect tax planning, exchange custody changes, or large holders adjusting positions — but the exact motive here is not public.

15,965 BTC aged 2–3 years just moved on-chain ⏱️

This cohort has been dormant since late 2022–2023—until now. pic.twitter.com/vw2z0fjHvv

— Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) October 22, 2025

New Whales Underwater
Data from market trackers point to pressure on newer large holders who bought near recent highs. Those so-called new whales carry an average cost of $113,000 per BTC, leaving many positions underwater while prices trade below that level. The unrealized losses tied to these wallets are approaching $7 billion, according to the same datasets.

At the same time, accumulation by other big wallets continues. Analysts reported that about 26,500 BTC have flowed into accumulation addresses in recent days, a sign that some large players are adding quietly during the dip.

BTCUSD currently trading at $109,387. Chart: TradingView
This mix of selling and buying creates a tug-of-war in price action. Short-term dynamics are fragile. Support around $107,000–$108,000 is one level traders are watching closely. If that zone holds, a bounce is possible; if it fails, further downside toward $100,000 could follow.

Price Targets Spark Debate
The big movements have intensified debate over how high Bitcoin might go next. According to public comments, the CEO of Galaxy Digital said reaching $250,000 by year-end would require “a heck of a lot of crazy stuff.”

Other market figures keep more bullish targets in play: Fundstrat’s Tom Lee and BitMEX’s Arthur Hayes have each voiced conviction in $200,000–$250,000 outcomes, pointing to potential policy moves and inflows as drivers.

Institutional numbers are part of the backdrop. Galaxy Digital reported a record quarter with $29 billion in revenue, a figure that supporters cite as evidence of growing institutional involvement in the market. That growth is part of why some investors remain confident even as short-term charts wobble.

Open Interest Falls, Risk Eases
Meanwhile, on-chain analytics provider Glassnode shows open interest has dropped by about 30%, reducing some of the excess speculative pressure that can amplify moves.

Lower open interest often cools violent swings and makes price trends easier to read, at least until fresh catalysts arrive.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Thu, 23/10/2025 - 13:33

Once forgotten "dino coin" Monero (XMR) jumped 9% to $331.52, overtaking Shiba Inu (SHIB) in CoinMarketCap ranking as privacy coins gain new traction against meme cryptocurrencies.

Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

Privacy coin Monero (XMR) suddenly demonstrated a 8.22% price uptick inside the day, trading at $331.52 and lifting its market capitalization to $6.11 billion. Thanks to this move, Monero claimed 21st place on CoinMarketCap, pushing Shiba Inu (SHIB) down with $5.87 billion. 

One may think it is just a numbers game, but this particular change is crucial because it reflects how capital is being allocated across sectors of the crypto market right now.

Digging deeper into the numbers, XMR recorded $210 million in turnover within 24 hours, ahead of SHIB’s $181 million. Over a seven-day period, Monero is showing a 4.34% gain, while SHIB has lost 4.83%. 

HOT Stories

Source: CoinMarketCapFor an asset like SHIB, which depends on community strength and brand-driven speculation, such performance during a period of decline across the market underscores its similarity to the general sentiment. Monero, by contrast, shows relative strength, despite literally years of regulatory pressure and limited exchange support.

Memes out, privacy inPrivacy tokens are often sidelined in mainstream narratives, but the newest data shows they are starting to become relevant again. It all started with Zcash's (ZEC) renaissance and eventually made it to Monero, whose design is based on confidential transactions and fungibility.

Industry commentary reinforces this direction with figures like Mert from Solana's Helius, who is one of the pioneers of the recent privacy narrative, noting that there is a 0% chance that coins like ZEC or XMR will be left without attention if the crypto market continues to grow. 

imagine thinking that crypto will eat the world and grow 10,000x from here

but that privacy won't be a part of it

literally 0% chance

those who actually believe in crypto and have non tourist time horizons will eat

— mert | helius.dev (@0xMert_) October 23, 2025 The statement reflects a wider consensus among builders that privacy is essential for global adoption and not an optional add-on.

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The current market moods are clear in the rankings. Monero now stands above Shiba Inu, as assets with long-term structural use cases reclaim ground from purely speculative tokens.

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October is historically one of Bitcoin’s (BTC) best-performing months, but this year, BNB (BNB) is stealing the show.

“Uptober” — coined to describe Bitcoin’s typically bullish Octobers — began on a high note this year, when the US government shutdown had just begun. Now, as Washington’s funding deadlock stretches past three weeks, that optimism has faded amid trade tensions and the aftermath of a historic liquidation event.

Meanwhile, BNB, the native token of Binance’s BNB Chain, has set new all-time highs twice this month. The network is experiencing a surge in memecoin trading and is competing directly with Hyperliquid in the decentralized perpetuals market through its Aster platform.

Although BNB has since retreated from its peak, it remains up about 6% since the start of October. But these gains are set against the backdrop of growing scrutiny over Binance’s alleged role in the recent market crash.

Binance’s BNB, memecoin season fuels metricsSolana has long been the go-to network for memecoins. This is largely thanks to the token launchpad Pump.fun. But in October, its dominance was challenged by a new wave of BNB Chain-based tokens.

On Oct. 4, a cryptocurrency wallet reportedly turned $3,000 into $2 million after Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao shared a post about a memecoin. This moment coincided with the start of a memecoin frenzy on the BNB Chain.

On Oct. 1, Pump.fun accounted for 93.3% of all memecoin launches between the two platforms. By the day of Zhao’s post, that share had fallen to 56.2%. One week later, on Oct. 8, BNB Chain’s Four.meme flipped the balance with 83.9% of new token launches while surpassing Pump.Fun’s daily revenue generation. BNB hit a new all-time high above $1,300.

During Four.meme’s early-October surge, blockchain analytics platform Bubblemaps reported that 100,000 traders had bought new BNB Chain memecoins, with 70% in profit.

The momentum has also lifted the network’s broader metrics. According to Nansen data, BNB Chain led all blockchains in total fees over the past week while coming in second in active addresses and transactions despite declines in onchain activity across the industry.

Soon after, the crypto market suffered its largest liquidation event on record, with $19 billion in positions wiped out and around $450 billion erased from total market capitalization.

Following the crash, BNB Chain rewarded its memecoin traders with a $45-million airdrop round.

BNB Chain DEX Aster’s data drama and Binance’s tech glitchWhile BNB has been enjoying a historic month as Bitcoin struggles to recover from the recent liquidation frenzy, Binance has been fending off growing accusations over its role in the crash.

One of the key allegations centers on a price oracle malfunction that briefly showed Ethena’s synthetic dollar, USDe, losing its greenback peg on Binance even though prices elsewhere remained stable.

Delphi Digital analyst Trevor King said Binance valued wrapped assets such as wBETH, BNSOL and USDe based on the exchange’s own spot prices instead of their redemption values. That made collateral appear weaker than it actually was. Because Binance’s oracle served as a de facto “price of record” across leveraged trading platforms, the mispricing rippled through to other platforms. King also added that a broader market downturn had already begun before the pricing error appeared on Binance.

In the aftermath, several X users claimed to have suffered losses due to Binance’s system issues that day. One of the viral posts came from the account 812.eth, who cited a “market-maker friend” to claim that orders were repeatedly rejected on Binance as prices fell, compounding losses. The post has since been deleted.

Binance denied being the source of the crash, attributing the sell-off to broader market conditions after US President Donald Trump threatened 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. The exchange admitted that “some platform modules briefly experienced technical glitches” and that “certain assets had de-pegging issues due to sharp market fluctuations.” Binance said it ultimately distributed $283 million in compensation. Despite the turmoil, BNB surged again, setting a new all-time high of $1,370 on Oct. 13.

On that day, Hyperliquid was the top platform for liquidations. The fast-rising perpetuals decentralized exchange (DEX) is now facing a rival in BNB Chain’s Aster.

On Oct. 6, Aster led all perpetual DEXs with a whopping $41.78 billion in 24-hour trading volume. However, DefiLlama later removed Aster’s data, citing concerns about the integrity of its metrics. Although the platform was quietly relisted, DefiLlama’s founder, 0xngmi, said the figures still cannot be verified.

BNB turns Bitcoin’s “Uptober” into its own victory lapOctober has been Bitcoin’s month, but this year, the spotlight shifted to Binance’s ecosystem.

A burst of memecoin trading, fresh incentives and the rise of Aster pushed BNB to record highs, defying a market weighed down by historic liquidations and international trade tensions.

While Bitcoin is stumbling through what has so far been its worst October in more than a decade, BNB Chain’s network activity and fee generation continue to climb.

The momentum hasn’t been spotless. Binance is once again under the microscope over its price oracle glitch, renewing scrutiny about how centralized its ecosystem really is.

Aster’s brief removal from DefiLlama only added to the skepticism around how the numbers stack up. But even with those cracks showing, BNB is turning a quiet month for crypto into one of its strongest performances of the year.

Magazine: Back to Ethereum: How Synthetix, Ronin and Celo saw the light

Key takeaways:

The emergence of a bear flag on the daily chart projects a Bitcoin price drop to $88,000.

Traders say BTC price may drop as low as $97,500,000 if key support levels are broken. 

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is forming a classic bearish pattern in the daily time frame, triggering fears that a breakdown could lead to a drop below $90,000.

Bull flag breakout points to $88,000 targetBitcoin’s price action has formed a textbook bear flag pattern on the daily chart, a bearish continuation setup formed when the price consolidates upward in a parallel channel after a sharp downward move.

In Bitcoin’s case, the flag began forming after BTC bottomed at around $103,530 on Oct. 11. The consolidation has persisted over the last week, with the price continuously retesting the support line of the flag, currently at $107,500.

A daily candlestick close below this level will validate the bear flag, opening the door for the bearish continuation toward the measured target of the pattern at $88,100. Such a move would bring the total losses to 19%.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewMomentum indicators, including the relative strength index (RSI), are also supportive, with the RSI currently at 42, suggesting that market conditions still favor the downside.

As Cointelegraph reported, a validation of a similar bearish pattern in the four-hour chart projects a drop toward $98,000, which will also be a level to watch for a potential reversal in the short term.

Watch these Bitcoin price levels next: AnalystsData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the BTC/USD pair has dropped 13.6% from its all-time high above $126,000. 

This drawdown has seen Bitcoin drop below the short-term holders’ cost basis of around $113,100, a structure that has historically preceded “the onset of a mid-term bearish phase, as weaker hands begin to capitulate,” according to onchain data provider Glassnode. 

Bitcoin’s Supply Quantiles Cost Basis Model revealed that bulls need to hold BTC above the 0.85 quantile at $108,600 to avoid another sell-off, Glassnode said in its latest Week On-Chain report, adding:

“Historically, failure to hold this threshold has signalled structural market weakness and often preceded deeper corrections toward the 0.75 quantile, which now aligns near $97.5K.”Bitcoin’s risk indicator based on supply quantiles cost basis model. Source: GlassnodeFor popular crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades, the $111,000 level is “what matters in the short term.”

“If the price can break and hold above that point, we can start looking for higher levels,” the trader said in a Thursday post on X, adding:

“It’s good that the $107K level held during all this weakness, also from stocks yesterday. But that is a key support to hold going forward.” BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Daan Crypto TradesAs Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin is at a crucial juncture, as a daily close below the $107,000 support level would clear the path for a drop to the psychological $100,000 mark or lower.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Thu, 23/10/2025 - 13:47

Cardano has surpassed 115,000,000 transactions on mainnet, a milestone that signifies its resilience and adoption in its eight years of existence.

Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

Cardano has scored a significant milestone, surpassing 115 million transactions, bearing testament to its adoption and resilience in its eight years of existence.

Cardano launched on mainnet in September 2017, ushering in Cardano's first era, Byron. During Byron, Cardano operated as a federated network under the Ouroboros's classic proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism that only supported ADA transactions. Byron also saw the release of the Daedalus wallet developed by IOHK (now IOG) and the Yoroi wallet developed by EMURGO.

Eight years later, Cardano has surpassed 115 million transactions, with the Cardano community reacting to the milestone.

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Another major milestone for Cardano $ADA.

Cardano processed over 115 million transactions on mainnet. 💪

It's here for your 24/7 for 8+ years. https://t.co/uaHurmQR0U

— Cardanians (CRDN) (@Cardanians_io) October 23, 2025 Cardano-focused community X account Cardanians highlighted the milestone in a tweet: "Another major milestone for Cardano (ADA). Cardano processed over 115 million transactions on mainnet.It's here for your 24/7 for 8+ years."

Cardano newsT.Rowe Price, the 87-year-old investment firm known for its mutual funds, is making a move into crypto. The legacy asset manager is seeking regulatory approval to launch an actively managed exchange-traded fund tied to multiple digital currencies, including Cardano, according to a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday.

The Cardano ecosystem nears a transformative upgrade, which could redefine what's possible on a proof-of-stake blockchain: Ouroboros Leios, which targets a throughput increase of 30 to 65 times compared to the current Ouroboros Praos consensus mechanism.

The "Stablecoin DeFi Liquidity Budget" proposal has passed, which marks a major milestone for Cardano's DeFi growth. Based on the proposal, 50 million ADA from the treasury will be allocated to strengthen liquidity on Cardano, particularly for stablecoins, and return value to the treasury through DeFi yield and growth. 

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Pave Bank bills itself as a commercial bank designed to cater to clients which have needs across both fiat and digital assets.

The figure also represents “the fastest accumulation of a trillion dollars in debt outside of the COVID-19 pandemic,” according to the Associated Press. U.S. Debt Tops $38 Trillion, Bitcoin Tops $110,000 The U.S.

Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000 now appears “inevitable” by this weekend before pushing toward record highs, according to Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, Geoffrey Kendrick, who suggested that the imminent fall could be short-lived and may be a potential entry point.

Bitcoin Headed Sub-$100,000
The cryptocurrency market witnessed a historic $19 billion liquidation event on the weekend of Oct. 10, which triggered Bitcoin’s price crash to a four-month low of $104,000 by Friday amid U.S.-China trade tensions.

“Since then, the 10 October US-China trade war fear-driven selloff put paid to any further push higher,” Standard Chartered’s Kendrick wrote in a Wednesday note to investors. “The question now is how far does Bitcoin need to fall before finding a base?”

The silver lining, according to the pundit, is that the dump below $100,000 should be short-lived and would likely mark the last-ever opportunity to buy the premier crypto for five figures.

Three Key Signals For When BTC Might Stabilize And Rocket Higher
Kendrick is watching three signals that could mark a key decisive moment for Bitcoin.

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The first is capital flow between gold and BTC. Kendrick stated that a strong gold pullback this week coincided with an intraday rebound in Bitcoin price — a move that signals a rotation from the precious metal to crypto. “Further such evidence would be constructive for a Bitcoin low being formed,” he explained.

Kendrick then pointed to signs that the U.S. Federal Reserve may completely stop quantitative tightening, citing multiple measures that have been tightening continuously. A Fed reaction could create the perfect macro backdrop for BTC to resume its parabolic surge.

He then observed that Bitcoin has held above its 50-week moving average since early 2023, when the maiden crypto traded for around $25,000, and he had predicted it would hit $100K by the end of 2024.

Earlier this month, Kendrick asserted that his year-end price target of $200,000 remained unchanged. At the time, he highlighted key catalysts like the U.S. government shutdown, BTC’s correlation to Treasury premiums, and shifting exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows.

Bitcoin was valued at about $109,244 as of publication time, up 1.2% on the day, according to CoinGecko data. Over the last 17 days, the asset’s price has plummeted circa 13.3% from an all-time high of $126,080.

Monero is back in the spotlight after a swift rally that has caught the eye of both crypto traders and privacy advocates. The current XMR price stands at $336.63, up 9.36% in just 24 hours and gaining 5.89% over the week. With its market cap surging to $6.21 billion and daily trading volume reaching $208.28 million, this privacy-based token is signaling renewed interest driven by several important factors.

Monero Price AnalysisFrom a technical standpoint, XMR’s price has convincingly broken out above its 30-day SMA at $307.81. And also, the crucial Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level at $327.76. This breakout, accompanied by daily lows of $305.20 and highs touching $336.30, marks the beginning of a broader bullish trend. Traders interpreted the move above the $330 area as a bullish confirmation.

Even though momentum indicators like the MACD histogram remain negative (-1.22), suggesting some lingering caution. The RSI holds steady near 52.68. The price is also climbing within an ascending channel, hinting at sustained buying interest. Looking ahead, a decisive close above the October swing high at $345.99 could launch the next price targets at $367. A move above which could open the doors to $393. 

It is worth noting that volume remains a crucial metric. Sustained trading activity above $200 million per day would cement the bullish case and confirm underlying trend strength.

FAQsWhy is Monero price going up?

The rally is mainly fueled by revived interest in privacy coins, a successful network upgrade, and a powerful technical breakout above key resistance levels.

Is Monero currently overbought or oversold?

With the RSI at 52.68, Monero is sitting comfortably in neutral territory, so neither condition applies right now.

What XMR price levels should traders watch next?

If the price closes above $345.99, targets of $367 and $393 come into play, especially if volume stays consistently above $200 million per day.

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