Market Signal Briefing

The latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data gave the crypto market something to think about. Inflation came in at 3% in September—still high, but a hair below expectations of 3.1%. That minor miss eased fears of a faster tightening cycle and injected a bit of optimism into risk assets. XRP price chart shows that shift too, with the token attempting to claw back above a key resistance level after weeks of decline.

Why Inflation Matters for XRP Price Prediction Right Now

Cryptocurrencies, especially XRP, tend to react sharply to macroeconomic shifts because they sit on the riskier side of the investment spectrum. A lower-than-expected CPI reading suggests the Federal Reserve might hold off on any surprise rate hikes. That improves liquidity sentiment across markets—something XRP badly needs after a prolonged downtrend.

However, the CPI report also highlighted that inflation isn’t cooling fast enough to satisfy the Fed. Gasoline prices rose 4.1% in September, and tariffs have quietly pushed up import costs. That combination means any crypto relief rally will be fragile unless inflation data consistently softens in the coming months.

Technical Analysis: XRP Price Attempts a ReversalXRP/USD Daily Chart- TradingViewLooking at the daily XRP/USD chart, the token is trading near 2.53 USD, gaining about 3.3% on the day. After a steep fall earlier in October, XRP price found support around 2.20 USD, where buyers stepped in to defend a multi-month low.

Bollinger Bands show price emerging from the lower band—an early sign of mean reversion. The mid-band (around 2.52 USD) has acted as dynamic resistance for nearly three weeks, and XRP is now testing that level again. A daily close above 2.55 USD could open the way toward 2.80 USD, where the upper Bollinger Band and previous pivot resistance converge.

If XRP price fails to hold this breakout attempt, the next support lies near 2.25 USD, with a deeper downside target around 2.05 USD if bearish sentiment returns.

Volume and Sentiment SignalsVolume has been slightly improving since October 18, suggesting renewed trader participation. The recent green Heikin Ashi candles with longer bodies indicate bullish momentum building after a washout phase. Still, the rally lacks strong conviction compared to earlier moves, meaning any reversal needs confirmation via higher volume and sustained closes above the 20-day SMA.

Market sentiment remains mixed. While inflation relief is modestly bullish, macro uncertainty—like tariffs and the ongoing U.S. government shutdown—can still limit upside momentum. XRP price traders seem to be cautiously rotating back into positions, but with tight stop levels.

Short-Term XRP Price Prediction: Testing Resistance AheadIf XRP price can maintain momentum above 2.55 USD, short-term targets of 2.75 USD and 2.95 USD come into play. Breaking 3.00 USD would be a major technical signal, potentially marking the start of a broader recovery trend.

Failure to sustain above 2.45–2.50 USD, however, could invite fresh selling pressure and send XRP price back to the 2.20 USD zone. Given that inflation isn’t accelerating but not yet cooling decisively, markets could oscillate between optimism and caution—keeping XRP in a tight range for now.

Long-Term XRP Price Prediction: Inflation, Tariffs, and Macro PressureThe macro backdrop still defines XRP’s trajectory more than any single chart setup. Persistent inflation keeps the Fed defensive, limiting the kind of liquidity that fuels major crypto rallies. At the same time, tariff-driven cost pressures and energy price swings continue to weigh on risk appetite.

Yet the good news is that inflation is no longer shocking markets to the upside. If the next CPI reports show a continued drift toward 2.5% or lower, XRP could finally regain strength as investors reprice risk and re-enter altcoins.

$XRP is showing the first hints of stabilization after weeks of pain. The CPI data, while not stellar, has eased some macro pressure. Still, this is a fragile setup: XRP price needs a confirmed breakout above 2.55 USD with volume follow-through to validate a trend reversal. Until then, the market remains in wait-and-see mode—watching both inflation prints and XRP’s ability to defend its support zone.

In short, the next CPI report might decide whether XRP’s bounce turns into a breakout or just another false start.

Dogecoin (DOGE) extended its bullish momentum on Tuesday, climbing 1.8% and solidifying its position above the $0.1988 resistance level. The meme-inspired cryptocurrency rose from $0.19 to $0.199 amid surging trading volume, with over 674.52 million DOGE changing hands — a 170% jump above its 24-hour average. The heightened activity suggests renewed institutional participation and accumulation near the psychological $0.20 level following a week of consolidation below $0.195.

The breakout began during the 23 October 11:00 trading window, when DOGE spiked from $0.1963 to $0.1995 in one of the most active sessions of the month. Institutional inflows dominated this surge, propelling the token through resistance on strong technical confirmation. Following the move, Dogecoin maintained a tight consolidation range between $0.1990 and $0.2003, reflecting a healthy balance between profit-taking and renewed buying pressure. Buyers consistently defended intraday lows above $0.1974, signaling a strong accumulation phase rather than short-term distribution.

Technically, DOGE is forming an ascending channel that supports a continuation pattern. The decisive breakout above $0.1988 confirms bullish bias, while stable consolidation near $0.20 suggests market preparation for another leg higher. Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD continue to flash bullish signals, with volume trends affirming sustained institutional interest. Key support lies between $0.1974 and $0.1980, while a confirmed move above $0.2003 could open the path toward $0.2020–$0.2050.

Traders are now watching if DOGE can maintain support above $0.1985–$0.1990 — the critical pivot zone for continuation setups. A breakout beyond $0.2003 could trigger momentum-driven buying and algorithmic trades toward the $0.21 target. On-chain data also shows a 2.1% rise in whale wallet inflows over 48 hours, reinforcing the bullish accumulation narrative that could fuel Dogecoin’s next major price advance.

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XRP extended its rally on Thursday, surging beyond the crucial $2.50 resistance level and gaining momentum as trading volume spiked 31% above its weekly average. The breakout came amid a broader risk-on sentiment in the crypto market, with Bitcoin climbing and traders rotating into large-cap tokens showing technical strength.

After consolidating between $2.35 and $2.50 for weeks, XRP confirmed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern — a bullish technical formation that signals a potential trend reversal. Thursday’s move through the neckline at $2.50 established a new short-term uptrend, setting the stage for possible gains toward the $2.65–$2.80 range if buying pressure continues.

The rally reflected improving macro conditions, as softer U.S. inflation data and declining Treasury yields encouraged investors to move back into digital assets. XRP outperformed the CoinDesk 5 index by about five percentage points, suggesting asset-specific accumulation rather than general market momentum.

During the session, XRP rose from $2.50 to $2.57, with intraday volume peaking at 142 million. Three sequential higher lows at $2.44, $2.48, and $2.51 confirmed controlled accumulation. Despite some profit-taking near $2.58, XRP held above breakout support, indicating that institutional traders added exposure during retests.

Momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD have turned bullish on the daily chart, supported by rising volume. Key resistance now sits at $2.60, with secondary targets near $2.80. However, a daily close below $2.50 could neutralize the bullish setup and send prices back toward $2.40–$2.42 support.

Traders are closely watching whether $2.50 will hold as the new base for further upside. Exchange data shows XRP reserves down by roughly 3.3% since early October — a sign of whale accumulation. Sustained trading volume above 130 million could validate a continuation toward $2.70–$2.80 in the coming days.

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Journalist

Posted: October 25, 2025

Key Takeaways
How are institutional and smart investors reacting to Ethereum’s recent price movement? 
Institutional investors are pulling back, while smart traders are increasing long positions, signaling bullish expectations.

What technical level must Ethereum break to confirm a bullish trend?
 ETH must break above its diagonal resistance and trigger a MACD crossover to confirm bullish momentum.

Ethereum [ETH]  last traded above $4,000 on October 14. Over the past 24 hours, it has gained 2.2% and is now trading at $3,940.

Despite this upward move, investor sentiment remains divided. With ETH nearing the $4,000 mark, uncertainty looms over its next direction.

AMBCrypto has examined what this split in sentiment could mean for Ethereum’s future.

Institutional investors step back
Institutional investors have begun tilting back toward the bearish bias that defined the start of the week.

The U.S. spot ETH Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded a massive $145 million outflow on Monday, signaling renewed bearish sentiment.

However, the tone briefly shifted on Tuesday with a $141 million buyback, leaving the market in a neutral state.

Source: Sosovalue

That balance didn’t last long. By Wednesday and Thursday, sentiment turned sharply negative again. On Wednesday, investors sold $18.77 million worth of ETH, but the major shift came on the 23rd of October, when outflows surged 6.7x to $127.51 million.

Such a large reduction in exposure typically reflects a clear bearish outlook.

While institutional investors continue pulling capital from the market, smart money appears to be challenging that move with opposing bets.

Smart money pushes back
Smart traders—known for making high-conviction, profitable moves—are taking the opposite stance on Ethereum’s direction.

According to recent reports, one trader with a 100% win rate increased their long position on ETH, anticipating a bullish breakout.

At press time, the total long position on Ethereum has risen to $132.24 million in the past day.

Source: CoinGlass

Data from Hyperliquid Whale Tracker, a platform monitoring large investor activity, shows that 67% of open ETH contracts are positioned for an upside move.

This trend highlights growing confidence among smart traders, adding to the asset’s bullish momentum as they anticipate stronger price movement.

What’s next for ETH?
The chart pattern hasn’t yet confirmed a clear breakout—and ETH has seen brief declines.

Structurally, ETH shows a diagonal resistance line and a demand zone near the lower end of the chart, hinting at a possible bullish inclination. However, there’s a catch.

This same diagonal resistance has triggered price declines on five different occasions. With ETH currently testing this level, the pattern poses a potential threat to its short-term rally.

Source: TradingView

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been trending upward, with the MACD line (blue) approaching a crossover above the signal line (orange).

If this crossover occurs while ETH breaks above the descending resistance, it would signal confirmation for the bulls. Otherwise, the asset could face another pullback.

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ASTER has announced a token buyback program in a bid to stabilize token prices and circulating supply. In light of this development, an expert has projected that the token could rise to $10.

ASTER Launches Strategic Buyback Initiative
In a recent X post, the team confirmed that 70–80% of its Season 3 (S3) trading fees will be used for token buybacks, with the final allocation dependent on market conditions. 

According to the announcement, results will be released after S3 concludes. Subsequent airdrops and buybacks will also follow in future seasons.

The team explained that this would ensure operational adaptability amid volatile market trends. The project aims to reduce the circulating supply by diverting a large portion of platform fees toward token repurchases,

The project’s buyback plan builds on the momentum of its “Rocket Launch” initiative. This platform directly connects traders to new and emerging crypto projects. The trading fees generated through this launchpad are now being repurposed to fund the buyback program and reward community participants.

Under this model, the project combines buybacks and project-specific token pools to create a more interactive reward system. The platform’s previous campaign distributed $200,000 in ASTER tokens as rewards within days. This incentivised users to reach particular trading volume and balance goals for both Spot and Perpetual accounts.

Aster encountered difficulties after DeFiLlama delisted its trading volume data, prompting the launch of the buyback program. The removal triggered short-term selling pressure, sending the token down 10% in a single day. Analysts say this buyback could be aimed at avoiding such volatile movements.

Experts are also noting signs of renewed stability following Wintermute’s quiet reaccumulation of millions of tokens.

Expert Predicts ASTER Could Hit $10 Soon
Crypto expert Peters projected that the token could surge to $10 in response to the buyback announcement. This suggests confidence in its solid fundamentals and growing DEX market share.

Notably, the token has been in the green, pumping by 15% in response to CZ’s presidential pardon.

Meanwhile, Aster has regained its place in the perpetual DEX rankings. The platform surpassed competitors such as Lightchain and Hyperliquid with a 24-hour trading volume of over $10.6 billion.

Supporting this view, another analyst, Crypto Patel, compared the token’s growth potential to BNB. He suggested that it could become “the next $BNB within four to five years” if adoption continues at the current pace.

IMO, $ASTER has the potential to become the next $BNB within 4–5 years. I’m gradually accumulating for the long term.

Accumulation zone: around $1 or below, these levels may not return once the market matures.

If fundamentals and adoption grow as expected, a $50–$100 valuation… pic.twitter.com/pFZzQDomo4

— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) October 24, 2025

These projections highlight that the current buyback program could ignite the token’s next rally.

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Ripple’s acquisitions like Hidden Road and GTreasury expand its reach in traditional finance, but XRP’s role remains marginal.XRP sales still fund Ripple’s operations, raising doubts about its vision of XRP as a true bridge currency.The RLUSD stablecoin and XRP buyback plans expose a deeper rift between Ripple’s fintech growth and XRP’s real utility.Ripple’s recent wave of high-profile acquisitions signals growing strength and ambition in bridging traditional finance with crypto.

Yet concerns persist that Ripple’s reliance on XRP-linked financing exposes weaknesses in the company’s long-term financial sustainability and its ecosystem’s real utility.

Sponsored

Growth Outpaces Token UtilityRipple’s recent acquisitions, including Hidden Road and GTreasury, underline its accelerated push into traditional finance and its effort to expand financial infrastructure into corporate markets.

However, Ripple’s growing footprint in traditional finance has reignited long-standing concerns about XRP’s utility and relevance. These newly acquired services primarily target institutional clients that rely on conventional financial instruments, leaving XRP with little to no role in their core operations.

The frst question to even ask is:

How does the XRP token become more valuable from any of this?

The circled part is the focus of what Ripple Prime is being used for: "Enhancing the utility and reach of Ripple's stablecoin, RLUSD."

1. RLUSD is 90% issued on Ethereum, which… pic.twitter.com/03huA7iaZV

— Fishy Catfish (@CatfishFishy) October 24, 2025
This disconnect has become a focal point of growing scrutiny among analysts and investors, who question whether Ripple’s business expansion truly supports the long-term value of its token.

Financial Dependence Conflicts With XRP RoadmapDespite recent acquisitions, Ripple’s financial reality still heavily depends on XRP sales and tokenomics. The company continues to hold and release large volumes of XRP.

Sponsored

These periodic sales, managed through an escrow system, have long served as a key source of liquidity and operational funding for the firm.

Yet this reliance on selling XRP contrasts with the company’s long-promoted vision of the token as a functional bridge currency rather than a financial asset.

For years, the narrative has been that XRP would become the bridge currency, settlement fuel, and utility token within XRPL and Ripple’s infrastructure. But new data introduces a structural disconnect.

An effective example is Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin. 

As of the beginning of October, RLUSD has reached a market cap of nearly $789 million. Yet, BeInCrypto reported earlier that around 88% of RLUSD’s supply is on Ethereum, not XRPL.

Sponsored

Many XRP holders expected RLUSD adoption to increase demand for the token. Transactions on the XRP Ledger require small XRP fees that are burned. However, most RLUSD activity happens outside the Ledger altogether, limiting its impact on the token’s overall utility.

This situation has created a strategic tension for Ripple, which is expanding beyond XRP’s original purpose. Once expected to benefit from this growth, the token plays only a limited role in new operations.

So far, this shift has not led to greater XRP usage or burns, raising doubts about its real-world utility.

The debate over XRP’s relevance has now expanded to include how Ripple manages and influences the circulation of its token.

Sponsored

XRP Buyback Raises Fresh QuestionsRipple’s intervention in XRP’s market has added another layer to the debate over the token’s utility.

The company recently revealed plans to raise $1 billion worth of XRP to establish a digital asset treasury, one of the largest fundraising efforts centered on a single cryptocurrency. 

Supporters view the plan as a sign of confidence in XRP’s long-term prospects and an attempt to bring market stability. 

However, critics argue that a company raising capital to buy its own token risks blurring the line between financial strategy and price support.

Some analysts warn that such large-scale interventions could reinforce the perception that Ripple’s success still depends on XRP speculation, rather than genuine on-chain or institutional utility.

Ultimately, the initiative highlights the same structural challenge facing Ripple’s ecosystem. While the company swiftly expands into traditional finance, XRP’s practical role within that growth remains limited. 

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2025 is turning into a defining year for XRP, as institutional interest in the token reaches new heights. From major ETF inflows to fresh derivatives listings, XRP is finally gaining the kind of attention once reserved for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Two major developments, the first U.S. spot XRP ETF crossing a major milestone and the launch of XRP options on CME, are clear signs of growing demand.

XRP ETF Crosses $100 Million MilestoneJust months after its launch, the XRPR ETF broke above $100 million in AUM as net inflows surged through October. For XRP, this is more than just a number, it marks a major step toward mainstream adoption.

The fund’s managing firm, REX-Osprey, reported that nearly 40% of the current AUM originated from institutional portfolios, including hedge funds, family offices, and registered investment advisors. This places $XRPR among the top-performing spot crypto ETFs for Q4 2025

CME Group: Derivatives Signal Deep Institutional DemandAdding to the momentum, CME Group, one of the world’s largest derivatives exchanges, has flagged a spike in open interest and trading volume in its newly-launched XRP futures contracts.

This follows the strong performance of its futures market since it launched in May, which has already seen more than 567,000 contracts traded, representing over $26.9 billion in notional volume.

CME said the growing activity shows rising confidence in XRP’s long-term potential as a digital asset with real-world use cases.

Ripple’s Progress Boost Confidence In XRPRipple’s recent regulatory wins have opened doors for more institutional investment in XRP. CEO Brad Garlinghouse reaffirmed that XRP remains central to Ripple’s plans after acquiring Hidden Road, now called Ripple Prime.

The market responded positively, with XRP rising over 5.4% in the past 24 hours to trade around $2.57 amid higher trading volumes. 

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According to software engineer Vincent Van Code, fresh practical reasons are emerging for renewed confidence in XRP among some developers and investors. He argues that the biggest barrier to big firms holding XRP directly isn’t price or interest — it’s operations and compliance.

Custody Costs Stall Direct Holdings
Van Code told followers that big companies can’t just “set up a Ledger or Xumm wallet and drop $100 million in there.” He said institutions need formal custody arrangements, regular audits and compliance systems before they will touch crypto on a large scale.

Reports place the upkeep of those services at about $300,000 a year for a single institutional setup, a figure that helps explain why many firms prefer not to hold tokens on their own balance sheets.

What I am realizing with the bew @evernorthxrp announcement and stagnant XRP price is that it might be harder than we think for institutions to buy and hold XRP.

Large companies aren’t going to simply setup a Ledger or Xaman wallet and drop $100M in there.

They want custody,…

— Vincent Van Code (@vincent_vancode) October 21, 2025

ETFs And Equity Routes Gain Traction
Based on reports, Van Code believes that exchange-traded funds and public companies that hold XRP will be the easiest route for institutions to gain exposure.

There are currently seven applications for XRP ETFs pending with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, though filings have been paused amid the US government shutdown.

For many large investors, buying shares in a regulated fund or a company with an XRP treasury avoids the need to run custody systems in-house.

Evernorth has become a focal point in that discussion. The venture, backed in part by Ripple, plans to build what it calls an institutional XRP treasury.

XRPUSD currently trading at $2.48. Chart: TradingView
Evernorth aims to purchase $1 billion worth of XRP and will start with over 560 million XRP after it secures $1.1 billion in committed capital from participants that include Ripple and SBI Holdings.

Reports say the firm is pursuing a merger that is expected to close in Q1 2026, and the XRP purchases are planned to take place within 10 days of funding.

🚨 JUST IN: A Hyperliquid whale has opened a MASSIVE $1M XRP long position with 10x leverage at $2.40 😳

Looks like someone’s betting BIG on #XRP making a move soon! 👀🔥 pic.twitter.com/RnhyNJhOFE

— Xaif Crypto🇮🇳|🇺🇸 (@Xaif_Crypto) October 23, 2025

Market Bets And Margin Positions
Market activity indicates that certain traders are making considerable wagers on the near-term trajectory of XRP. Reports identified a sizable position in the Hyperliquid derivatives exchange where an anonymous trader made a $1,000,000 long position with an entry price of $2.409, representing 416,736 tokens.

The position was put on with 10x exposure, and the community figure of Xaif helped to highlight the trade this week. Positions like this typically indicate short-term bullish sentiment from traders, although they can also cause increased price swings.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView

Key Takeaways
What’s fueling XRP’s recent price surge and investor interest? 
A combination of rising trading volume, whale accumulation, and technical buy signals is driving bullish momentum.

Can XRP continue its rally toward $3.10? 
If XRP holds its breakout and clears resistance at $2.67, it could climb another 23% to $3.10.

At press time, Ripple[XRP] surged above 5%, marking its second consecutive green candle and reaching a key level that hints at a potential massive rally.

This impressive move comes after a prolonged struggle and downward momentum that the asset has faced since the beginning of October 2025.

Here’s why the XRP’s price is rising
At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $2.56, reflecting a 5.30% price increase, according to TradingView.

Investor interest is rising, with trading volume up 11% to $3.62 billion, a sign of growing momentum. Together, the price jump and volume surge suggest that traders are actively driving XRP toward higher levels.

XRP’s recent price surge appears to be fueled by improving market sentiment, steady investor accumulation, aggressive long positions, and technical buy signals.

Sentiment across the crypto space has shifted notably, especially after sharp declines in gold and silver, and news of an upcoming meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping to discuss rare earth metals.

Another key driver is the ongoing accumulation of XRP. According to CryptoQuant, over 18 million XRP tokens have been withdrawn from Binance reserves in the past week, signaling strong buying interest and contributing to the asset’s upward momentum.

Source: CryptoQuant

This development signals bullish momentum for XRP holders and suggests the current price may offer a strong buying opportunity.

Additionally, a popular crypto expert on X (formerly Twitter) highlighted that the TD Sequential indicator had flashed a buy signal for XRP, which was followed by a noticeable price rebound.

Another factor that potentially drove today’s XRP rally is the presence of aggressive buyers in the futures market, as revealed by on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant.

The Futures Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) from October 17th to 24th shows strong green bars, indicating continuous buying pressure.

Source: CryptoQuant

Examining these developments today and over the past week, it appears that XRP retains strong long-term potential.

XRP price action and upcoming levels
AMBCrypto’s technical analysis reveals that XRP, on the four-hour chart, appears to be in an uptrend and has recently broken out of a descending trendline.

Following this breakout, the asset has opened the door to continue its upward momentum.

Source: Trading View

Recent price action and historical patterns suggest that if XRP sustains this breakout, it could potentially soar by 23% and reach the $3.10 level.

However, during this upward move, the asset may face resistance near $2.67, which needs to be cleared to reach $3.10.

At press time, XRP’s Supertrend indicator has turned green and shifted below the asset’s price, suggesting that it is currently in an uptrend.

Vivaan Acharya is a Crypto-Economist and Journalist at AMBCrypto who brings a rare depth of financial and economic expertise to the world of digital assets. He holds a Master’s in Economics from the prestigious University of Delhi and has over five years of experience analyzing technology and financial markets.
His foray into the blockchain space began in 2018, marked by his prescient Master's thesis, "Payments and Stablecoin Integration in Banking," which showcased his early understanding of crypto's potential to disrupt traditional finance. Before specializing in crypto, Vivaan honed his skills in rigorous data and technical chart analysis at a major national financial daily, where he covered corporate earnings and market trends.
At AMBCrypto, Vivaan applies this powerful blend of classical economic training and seasoned financial journalism to his work. He is an expert in:
1. Bitcoin and Altcoin Market Analysis
2. Stablecoin Ecosystem Development, and
3 Emerging Crypto Regulations.
Known for his clear, no-nonsense approach, Vivaan translates robust research into straightforward, actionable insights. He is dedicated to demystifying the complexities of blockchain finance, empowering readers to confidently navigate the rapidly evolving digital economy.

Tesla has once again capitalized on its Bitcoin holdings, booking a substantial $80 million profit in the third quarter of 2025. While the electric vehicle giant made no changes to its Bitcoin position, the rise in Bitcoin's value over the last three months helped the company report a notable gain.

Crypto markets have entered a holding pattern this week, with Bitcoin and Ethereum maintaining stability as traders prepare for a key U.S. inflation report. The focus is on the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to impact broader market sentiment and potential policy shifts.

Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

With hardly any discernible movement in price action or on-chain, the Shiba Inu market has entered a period of stagnation. Although SHIB has stabilized following a sharp decline, it still seems to be stuck in a stalemate, with neither bulls nor bears willing to take charge. SHIB is trading close to $0.0000109 on the price chart, just above a crucial local support level at $0.0000095. 

Shiba Inu market paralized? This region has repeatedly held, indicating that a bottom formation may be developing. Volume and volatility are still very low, though. A lack of momentum on both sides is indicated by the RSI indicator's flat position in the 37-40 range. Although this configuration may result in a recovery if buying pressure resurfaces, the present lack of activity reduces the likelihood of such a move in the near future.

SHIB/USDT Chart by TradingViewThe on-chain image supports this paralysis of the market. Exchange metrics like Netflow Inflow and Outflow have hardly changed over the past day, according to data from CryptoQuant. Since the Exchange Reserve has only slightly increased by +0.13%, it is clear that coins are not moving to or from wallets but are instead just sitting idly on exchanges. 

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Neutrality in placeIn the meantime, Netflow (-0.34%) is still essentially neutral, which indicates that no substantial buying or selling is occurring. In short, investors are not participating. There are not any significant whale accumulations, transfers or liquidations. The absence of activity indicates that market players are either awaiting technical confirmation of a breakout or a macro catalyst.

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Despite probably bottoming out close to current levels, SHIB is not receiving enough institutional or speculative attention to spark a recovery. Shiba Inu runs the risk of moving sideways in this low-liquidity environment unless inflows and trading volume increase. Whether a breakout or a breakdown occurs next will probably depend on a sharp resurgence of volatility in a market that feels stagnant right now.

Journalist

Posted: October 25, 2025

Key Takeaways
What signals growing confidence among ASTER investors after its Kraken listing dip? 
A 12% price rebound and rising funding rates suggest traders view the dip as a short-term correction.

What key level could determine ASTER’s next move? 
A break above the $1.3 resistance could trigger further upside, while rejection may lead to profit-taking.

Aster [ASTER] has made a bold turnaround after three straight days of declines following its listing on Kraken.

In the past two days, the altcoin has surged by 12%, reclaiming its position as one of today’s top performers at the time of writing.

The recent bounce reflects growing confidence among Aster investors and traders, who likely see the earlier dip as a temporary correction rather than a sign of lasting weakness.

Aster’s surging bull dominance!
Data from derivatives platforms paints a clear picture: long traders are in charge. ASTER’s Aggregated Funding Rate stood at 0.0123, as of writing, meaning traders betting on price increases are paying a small premium to shorts.

For context, the metric is often interpreted as a vote of confidence, as investor on longs are willing to pay the price and hold their positions further.

Source: Coinalyze

Adding to the optimism, Open Interest (OI) in ASTER Futures has jumped by more than $62 million to $483.66 million in the last 24 hours.

Historically, a converging rising OI and a resultant price surge point to a fresh capital influx in the market, rather than just short-term speculation.

Source: CoinGlass

Is $1.3 resistance the real test ahead?
With Aster price action momentum building on the daily chart, the market attention is now shifting toward the $1.3 resistance zone.

If the token prices break past the $1.3 resistance level, an uptrend continuation could be on the cards. However, a rejection might invite some profit-taking from short-term holders.

Either way, ASTER has flipped the tone of its market structure, from a sluggish debut to one of the week’s most-anticipated recoveries on its price action.

Source: TradingView

Cardano (ADA) appears to be preparing for a major rally, as bullish technical signals and network milestones spark renewed optimism among traders.

After months of consolidation, ADA’s price action is forming what analysts describe as a “textbook breakout setup.” The token currently trades around $0.65, below key moving averages, but with indicators pointing toward an imminent reversal.

Cardano’s fundamentals continue to strengthen. The network recently surpassed 115 million transactions, signaling steady ecosystem growth despite broader market weakness. This achievement, combined with the rollout of Cardano domain names and anticipation for the Ouroboros Leios upgrade, builds more confidence.

Technical Indicators Flash Buy as Bulls Regain Control
Technically, ADA is nearing a decisive point. Chart analysts note a falling wedge pattern forming on the daily timeframe, a historically bullish setup that often precedes explosive moves. A break above the $0.79–$0.80 resistance could pave the way for a swift rally toward $1.10, and eventually, the projected $2.50 target.

Momentum oscillators are beginning to turn upward, while futures market open interest is climbing, an indication that institutional traders are re-entering positions.

Golden-cross signals between shorter and longer-term moving averages further validate the bullish bias, suggesting that accumulation is taking place at current levels.

ADA's price moving sideways on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview
Ecosystem Growth and Institutional Interest Add Momentum
Beyond the charts, Cardano’s ecosystem expansion continues to attract institutional and developer attention.The RWA (Real-World Asset) initiative, valued at over $10 million, and privacy-focused Midnight sidechain airdrops are driving renewed engagement.

Meanwhile, analysts argue that ADA’s low gas fees and ongoing DeFi integrations position it as a strong alternative to Ethereum for scalable applications.

Experts predict that if ADA breaks through resistance levels and maintains momentum, the path toward $2.50 or even $3.00 could unfold over the next market cycle.

While short-term volatility may persist, the combination of strong fundamentals, bullish technicals, and growing institutional confidence make Cardano one of the most stable assets in the crypto space in Q4 2025.

Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD on Tradingview

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Bitcoin (BTC) recently surged past the $110,000 mark, supported by growing institutional backing and the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs. This comes in after a week of volatility that has seen BTC go below support levels.

However, despite the bullish momentum, Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine, warns the flagship cryptocurrency could still endure a dramatic correction of up to 50%.

BTC's price moving sideways on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview
Institutional Support Supports the Rise
Bitcoin’s latest climb toward the $110,000-plus range is triggered by a significant uptick in institutional interest. Products such as the IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust) offer investors easier exposure to Bitcoin via traditional brokerage platforms.

Additionally, broader regulatory clarity has enabled major banks and asset managers to deepen their crypto strategies. This shift suggests that Bitcoin is steadily transitioning from a niche speculative asset to a more mainstream investment vehicle.

The rally has triggered renewed optimism around price breakout potential toward the $120,000-plus domain.

Tom Lee Sounds Caution, A 50% Bitcoin (BTC) Drop Could Be Next
However, Tom Lee offers a cautionary perspective that many market participants may be overlooking.

Tom argues that despite institutional adoption, Bitcoin remains highly correlated with traditional equity markets. In his words: “If the S&P is down 20 %, Bitcoin could be down 40 %.” Drawing on this dynamic, Lee maintains that a full 50 % collapse remains entirely possible.

The reasoning? Bitcoin has historically amplified stock-market moves. While ETFs and institutional flows may soften the narrative, they do not eliminate Bitcoin’s structural volatility.

Lee also points out the breakdown of the classical four-year Bitcoin market cycle, warning that we may be entering a “longer cycle” with more extreme drawdowns.

His forecast still anticipates Bitcoin reaching between $200,000 and $250,000 by year-end, yet a 50 % correction from those levels would land $100,000–$125,000. If the current $110,000 peak is already the top, a fall toward roughly $55,000 is within his scenario.

What This Means for BTC Investors
For investors tracking Bitcoin’s trajectory, the mix of bullish institutional signals and bearish risk warnings demands a balanced approach.

On one hand, the ETF infrastructure and regulatory progress offer clear legitimacy for Bitcoin as an asset class. On the other, the risk of sharp drawdowns remains under-appreciated, suggesting that future volatility could continue to define Bitcoin’s long-term growth trajectory.

Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD on Tradingview

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

Holcim AG (OTCPK:HCMLY) Q3 2025 Sales Call October 24, 2025 4:00 AM EDT

Company Participants

Bernd Pomrehn - Group Head of Investor Relations
Miljan Gutovic - Head of Region Europe & CEO
Steffen Kindler - Chief Financial Officer

Conference Call Participants

Tom Zhang - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division
Julian Radlinger
Benjamin Rada Martin - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division
Pujarini Ghosh - Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., LLC., Research Division
Luis Prieto - Kepler Cheuvreux, Research Division
Cedar Ekblom - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Elodie Rall - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division
Martin Huesler - Zürcher Kantonalbank, Research Division
Arnaud Lehmann - BofA Securities, Research Division
Anna Schumacher - BNP Paribas Exane, Research Division
Harry Dow - Rothschild & Co Redburn, Research Division

Presentation

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Holcim Q3 2025 Trading Update, Analyst and Investor Conference Call and Live Webcast. I am Sandra, the Chorus Call operator. I would like to remind you that all participants will be in listen-only mode and the conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast.

At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Bernd Pomrehn, Group Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Bernd Pomrehn
Group Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Sandra, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be here with our CEO, Miljan Gutovic; and our CFO, Steffen Kindler . They will provide an update on our strong 9 months '25 results. Afterwards, they will provide an update on our strategy. And finally, obviously, they will give an outlook for the current year.

And with this very short introduction, I directly hand it over to Miljan. Miljan, please?

Miljan Gutovic
Head of Region Europe & CEO

Thank you, Bernd. Good morning to all of you, and a warm welcome to Holcim's third quarter results. Steffen and I

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, /PRNewswire/ -- Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC ("KSF") and KSF partner, former Attorney General of Louisiana, Charles C. Foti, Jr., remind investors that they have untilNovember 12, 2025 to file lead plaintiff applications in a securities class action lawsuit against V.F. Corporation. (NYSE: VFC), if they purchased or otherwise acquired VFC securities between October 30, 2023 and May 20, 2025, inclusive (the "Class Period"). This action is pending in the United States District Court for the District of Colorado.

What You May Do

If you purchased securities of V.F. and would like to discuss your legal rights and how this case might affect you and your right to recover for your economic loss, you may, without obligation or cost to you, contact KSF Managing Partner Lewis Kahn toll-free at 1-877-515-1850 or via email ([email protected]), or visit https://www.ksfcounsel.com/cases/nyse-vfc/ to learn more. If you wish to serve as a lead plaintiff in this class action, you must petition the Court by November 12, 2025.

About the Lawsuit

V.F. and certain of its executives are charged with failing to disclose material information during the Class Period, violating federal securities laws.

On May 21, 2025, the Company announced its fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 results, disclosing a significant decline in its Vans brand growth trajectory, which decreased from an 8% loss the quarter before to a 20% loss in the fourth quarter, and noting such decline would continue through the next quarter, largely due to "a direct effect of deliberately reduced revenue to eliminate unprofitable or unproductive businesses" and "an additional set of deliberate actions" already in place but previously unannounced.

On this news, the price of V.F.'s shares fell from a closing price of $14.43 per share on May 20, 2025 to $12.15 per share on May 21, 2025, a decline of about 15.8% in the span of just a single day. 

The case is Brenton v. V.F. Corporation, No. 25-cv-02878.

About Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC

KSF, whose partners include former Louisiana Attorney General Charles C. Foti, Jr., is one of the nation's premier boutique securities litigation law firms. This past year, KSF was ranked by SCAS among the top 10 firms nationally based upon total settlement value. KSF serves a variety of clients, including public and private institutional investors, and retail investors - in seeking recoveries for investment losses emanating from corporate fraud or malfeasance by publicly traded companies. KSF has offices in New York, Delaware, California, Louisiana, Chicago, and a representative office in Luxembourg.

TOP 10 Plaintiff Law Firms - According to ISS Securities Class Action Services

To learn more about KSF, you may visit www.ksfcounsel.com.

Contact:

Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC
Lewis Kahn, Managing Partner
[email protected]
1-877-515-1850
1100 Poydras St., Suite 960
New Orleans, LA 70163

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, /PRNewswire/ -- Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC ("KSF") and KSF partner, former Attorney General of Louisiana, Charles C. Foti, Jr., remind investors that they have untilNovember 17, 2025 to file lead plaintiff applications in a securities class action lawsuit against Cytokinetics, Incorporated (NasdaqGS: CYTK), if they purchased or otherwise acquired the Company's securities between December 27, 2023 and May 6, 2025, inclusive (the "Class Period"). This action is pending in the United States District Court for the Northern District of California.

What You May Do

If you purchased securities of Cytokinetics and would like to discuss your legal rights and how this case might affect you and your right to recover for your economic loss, you may, without obligation or cost to you, contact KSF Managing Partner Lewis Kahn toll-free at 1-877-515-1850 or via email ([email protected]), or visit https://www.ksfcounsel.com/cases/nasdaqgs-cytk/ to learn more. If you wish to serve as a lead plaintiff in this class action, you must petition the Court by November 17, 2025.

About the Lawsuit

Cytokinetics and certain of its executives are charged with failing to disclose material information during the Class Period, violating federal securities laws.

On March 10, 2025, the Company disclosed that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration ("FDA") had decided not to convene an advisory committee meeting to review the Company's New Drug Application ("NDA") for its aficamten product. Then, on May 6, 2025, the Company disclosed that it had held multiple pre-NDA meetings with the FDA discussing safety monitoring and risk mitigation but chose to submit the NDA without a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy, instead relying on labeling and voluntary education materials.

On this news, the price of Cytokinetics' shares fell, closing at $33.04 per share on May 7, 2025. 

The case is Seidman v. Cytokinetics, Incorporated, et al., No. 25-cv-07923.

About Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC

KSF, whose partners include former Louisiana Attorney General Charles C. Foti, Jr., is one of the nation's premier boutique securities litigation law firms. This past year, KSF was ranked by SCAS among the top 10 firms nationally based upon total settlement value. KSF serves a variety of clients, including public and private institutional investors, and retail investors - in seeking recoveries for investment losses emanating from corporate fraud or malfeasance by publicly traded companies. KSF has offices in New York, Delaware, California, Louisiana, Chicago, and a representative office in Luxembourg.

TOP 10 Plaintiff Law Firms - According to ISS Securities Class Action Services

To learn more about KSF, you may visit www.ksfcounsel.com.

Contact:
Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC
Lewis Kahn, Managing Partner
[email protected]
1-877-515-1850
1100 Poydras St., Suite 960
New Orleans, LA 70163

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, /PRNewswire/ -- Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC ("KSF") and KSF partner, former Attorney General of Louisiana, Charles C. Foti, Jr., remind investors that they have untilNovember 18, 2025 to file lead plaintiff applications in a securities class action lawsuit against KBR, Inc. (NYSE: KBR), if they purchased or otherwise acquired the Company's securities between May 6, 2025 and June 19, 2025, inclusive (the "Class Period").  This action is pending in the United States District Court for the Southern District of Texas.

What You May Do

If you purchased securities of KBR and would like to discuss your legal rights and how this case might affect you and your right to recover for your economic loss, you may, without obligation or cost to you, contact KSF Managing Partner Lewis Kahn toll-free at 1-877-515-1850 or via email ([email protected]), or visit https://www.ksfcounsel.com/cases/nyse-kbr/ to learn more. If you wish to serve as a lead plaintiff in this class action, you must petition the Court by November 18, 2025.

About the Lawsuit

KBR and certain of its executives are charged with failing to disclose material information during the Class Period, violating federal securities laws.

On June 19, 2025, HomeSafe Alliance ("HomeSafe"), a KBR joint venture in which KBR has a 72% economic interest, disclosed that it received "a notice from the U.S. Department of Defense's Transportation Command (TRANSCOM) terminating the Global Household Goods Contract, which HomeSafe won in 2021 to transform the military move system for the benefit of service members and their families."

On this news, the price of KBR's shares fell $3.85 per share, or 7.29%, to close at $48.93 on June 20, 2025. On June 23, 2025, the next trading day, KBR stock fell a further $1.30, or 2.65%, to close at $47.63 on June 23, 2025.

The case is Norrman v. KBR, Inc., et al., No. 25-cv-04464.

About Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC

KSF, whose partners include former Louisiana Attorney General Charles C. Foti, Jr., is one of the nation's premier boutique securities litigation law firms. This past year, KSF was ranked by SCAS among the top 10 firms nationally based upon total settlement value. KSF serves a variety of clients, including public and private institutional investors, and retail investors - in seeking recoveries for investment losses emanating from corporate fraud or malfeasance by publicly traded companies. KSF has offices in New York, Delaware, California, Louisiana, Chicago, and a representative office in Luxembourg.

TOP 10 Plaintiff Law Firms - According to ISS Securities Class Action Services

To learn more about KSF, you may visit www.ksfcounsel.com.

Contact:
Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC
Lewis Kahn, Managing Partner
[email protected]
1-877-515-1850
1100 Poydras St., Suite 960
New Orleans, LA 70163

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, /PRNewswire/ -- Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC ("KSF") and KSF partner, former Attorney General of Louisiana, Charles C. Foti, Jr., remind investors that they have untilDecember 8, 2025 to file lead plaintiff applications in a securities class action lawsuit against WPP plc (NYSE: WPP), if they purchased or otherwise acquired the Company's shares between February 27, 2025 and July 8, 2025, inclusive (the "Class Period"). This action is pending in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York.

What You May Do

If you purchased shares of WPP and would like to discuss your legal rights and how this case might affect you and your right to recover for your economic loss, you may, without obligation or cost to you, contact KSF Managing Partner Lewis Kahn toll-free at 1-877-515-1850 or via email ([email protected]), or visit https://www.ksfcounsel.com/cases/nyse-wpp/ to learn more. If you wish to serve as a lead plaintiff in this class action, you must petition the Court by December 8, 2025.

About the Lawsuit

WPP and certain of its executives are charged with failing to disclose material information during the Class Period, violating federal securities laws.

On July 9, 2025, the Company published a trading update for the first half of 2025, disclosing that it had allegedly "seen a deterioration in performance as Q2 has progressed" due to both "continued macro uncertainty weighing on client spend and weaker net new business than originally anticipated," as well as "some distraction to the business" as a result of the continued restructuring of WPP Media a.k.a. GroupM. The Company further disclosed that its CEO "will retire from the Board and as CEO on 31 December 2025."

On this news, the price of WPP's shares fell from a closing price of $35.82 per share on July 8, 2025 to $29.34 per share on July 9, 2025, a decline of about 18.1% in the span of just a single day.

The case is Marty v. WPP plc, 25-cv-08365.

About Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC

KSF, whose partners include former Louisiana Attorney General Charles C. Foti, Jr., is one of the nation's premier boutique securities litigation law firms. This past year, KSF was ranked by SCAS among the top 10 firms nationally based upon total settlement value. KSF serves a variety of clients, including public and private institutional investors, and retail investors - in seeking recoveries for investment losses emanating from corporate fraud or malfeasance by publicly traded companies. KSF has offices in New York, Delaware, California, Louisiana, Chicago, and a representative office in Luxembourg.

TOP 10 Plaintiff Law Firms - According to ISS Securities Class Action Services

To learn more about KSF, you may visit www.ksfcounsel.com.

Contact:
Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC
Lewis Kahn, Managing Partner
[email protected]
1-877-515-1850
1100 Poydras St., Suite 960
New Orleans, LA 70163

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I am not a registered investment, tax, or legal advisor or broker and therefore cannot promise or guarantee any financial returns from my opinions on this page or site. The content of this article is based on my own personal thoughts and research, and you should do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. This article may be structured as such, but it is not financial or investment advice. While I do make my best effort to ensure that all information in my articles is accurate and up-to-date, occasionally unintended errors or misprints may occur. Remember that all investments in the market face the risk of going to $0. The writer of this article has no business or personal relationship with any company mentioned in the above article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in WEN over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Credit: CC0 Public Domain

On Monday, October 20, millions of internet users got a painful answer to a question few even knew existed. The question was: What do Snapchat, Roblox, Fortnite, Signal, United and Delta airlines and countless other web-based sites and services have in common?

The answer is: They were all brought down by a cascading glitch at a data center in northern Virginia owned and operated by Amazon Web Services, an arm of the giant e-commerce company.

AWS is one of the top three cloud platforms, meaning that it holds its clients' data on its own servers and manages the transfer and transmission of that data within the client companies and between them and end users.

When AWS' northern Virginia data hub went down a few minutes before midnight Sunday, Pacific Daylight Time, 141 AWS services went dark, along with client firms reliant on its hub, producing a cascade of outages affecting users around the world. Users of Amazon's own Ring home security devices such as video-enabled doorbells were affected.

Amazon didn't declare that the problem had been fixed until 3:53 p.m. PDT Monday, although some clients were still reporting problems as late as Tuesday.

The damage done to AWS clients and their millions of users is incalculable. As my colleague Queenie Wong reported, web users couldn't access their services or accounts.

Customers of some banks, as well as the web brokerage Robinhood, couldn't complete transactions. Delta and United passengers were unable to track reservations, check in online or retrieve their seat assignments; airline employees were forced to resort to manual alternatives, like in prehistoric (i.e., pre-internet) times.

Owners of Eight Sleep mattress covers, which cost thousands of dollars and require an annual fee of $300 or $400, use a web app to adjust temperature and incline, reported being stuck in uncomfortable positions and sweltering under uncontrollable heat. The company's chief executive issued an online apology and said Eight Sleep would roll out a feature allowing owners to connect with their beds via Bluetooth if the internet connection failed.

The outage is certain to raise questions about whether Amazon—and its fellows in Big Tech—supervise their systems with the rigor appropriate to crucial services with a global footprint. As lawyers put it, "res ipsa loquitur"—"the thing speaks for itself." The answer it gives is "no."

In the old days when "plain old telephone service," or POTS, was entirely under the control of a single company, AT&T, the company's commitment was to "five nines" reliability, meaning that it worked 99.999% of the time, or tolerated no more than about 5.26 minutes of downtime per year. Since AWS systems were down this week for at least 15 hours, or 900 minutes, it effectively tossed that standard in the trash.

The five nines standard reflected the conviction that phone service was too important not to be, in effect, always on. Today's high-tech service providers often seem to take the attitude that just-good-enough should be good enough for anyone.

As I noted last year, some of today's richest companies pocket billions of dollars in profits but don't spend enough to protect their customers' private personal data from hackers—for example, AT&T, which booked a pretax profit of $16.7 billion last year, was so sloppy about protecting its customers' private information that the data of nearly all those customers—110 million users—ended up in the hands of "financially motivated" hackers.

Amazon has stated, so far convincingly, that its outage wasn't caused by hackers or other hostile actors. It came entirely from inside the house, so to speak.

To keep the technical gibberish at a minimum, let's just say that something failed in its Domain Name System, which enables the system to translate the web address you type into your browser to communicate with the website itself. The technological confusion rippled throughout the AWS structure, resulting in pain at the website and user ends. Amazon says it will eventually provide a "post-event summary" identifying the cause of the outage.

Amazon plainly deserves most of the blame for the fiasco. Some Amazon-watchers have conjectured that the glitch may be connected to mass layoffs the company implemented in the summer in its cloud computing unit, with the jobs purportedly replaced by artificial intelligence. The company confirmed the layoffs but didn't say how many jobs were cut; Reuters reported that it was in the hundreds.

Amazon dismisses speculation that the outage was connected to the layoffs. A spokesman pointed me to an interview in which AWS CEO Matt Garman disdained the idea of replacing entry-level staff with AI bots, calling it "one of the dumbest things I've ever heard." That said, it's unclear who in the cloud unit was laid off.

Some tech experts have issued warnings for years about website operators failing to have a Plan B at hand for exactly the sort of outage that struck this week. AWS isn't the only cloud platform in existence. Microsoft and Google are the other members of the top three.

Nor are AWS users bound to rely on the company's northern Virginia data hub. AWS has data hubs all around the country, and it advised users to switch to any of the others—but with the Virginia hub out of service, that left users out of luck if they hadn't implemented a workaround before this glitch.

IT departments should "design for failure (because it will happen)," Lydia Leong of the tech consulting firm Gartner advised this week. "Modern cloud-native apps should distribute workloads across multiple availability zones and be ready to fail over quickly to another region when needed," Leong wrote—in other words, be set up to automatically shift their data away from trouble spots. "It's not about eliminating risk; it's about reducing blast radius and recovery time."

This problem may be an artifact of internet history, as Jorg Dekker of the internet backbone company Arelion pointed out. The internet was designed as a neutral system that trusts all data flowing through its connected networks to be, well, trustworthy.

"This means that it assumes all updates are valid, a network can announce anything it likes, and the resources available cannot be checked," he noted.

The net's original designers dealt with that imperfection by providing for the network to steer data away from blockages or other problems. "The internet routes around damage" is the mantra, but that doesn't always work, especially when the damage is in a core functionality. And sometimes trusted updates shouldn't be trusted.

That was the case with last year's CrowdStrike outage. An ineptly designed update to a program rolled out by the cybersecurity company and installed automatically on users' machines instantly crashed millions of computers running Microsoft programs and left them disabled until manual fixes could be undertaken.

The errant CrowdStrike application was burrowed so deep within the Microsoft operating system—as it's designed to be—that every time a machine restarted, it ran into the same glitch and went dead again in an infinite doom loop. As I wrote then: "Thousands of flights were canceled. Doctors couldn't perform surgeries. Banking transactions were frozen. Emergency 911 lines went silent."

There are benefits, to be sure, in placing the crucial backbones of the internet under the control of three of the richest technology companies in the world. After all, they have the financial resources to maintain quality and reliability. The downside is that their systems work absolutely perfectly right up until the moment when they stop working; that's when a global reliance on a few big operators turns into a global meltdown.

The inescapable feature of modern life is that to an ever-increasing extent, for anyone living in the modern world there's nowhere to hide from web service screwups. It's not merely that our voice and data phone calls, emailing, and video entertainment come via the web, but some appliances require an internet connection to operate at all.

I can't adjust the noise cancellation mode on my Bose headphones except through a phone app; the same goes for my ultra-fancy automated pour-over coffee maker and self-heating coffee mug. The other day, when I was trying to add a line to my family T-Mobile account, T-Mobile insisted that I load a T-mobile app onto my (non-T-Mobile) iPhone to complete the deal—and I was sitting in a T-mobile store with a T-mobile rep at the time.

More and more appliances, however, are being marketed with unnecessary internet capability, reflecting the internet-of-things nirvana pitched by web promoters and appliance makers. A good rule of thumb may be that if your refrigerator or cooktop doesn't need an internet connection to work, don't connect it. That way, it won't turn into a brained brick because of a human error somewhere in northern Virginia.

Web connectivity has brought us benefits unimaginable even at the turn of the most recent century. But as with anything, with the boons come burdens. A few lines of renegade code can dial back our 21st century lives to the world of the 1950s or '60s.

Back then, when our household appliances were mechanical or electric, not electronic, a breakdown was easy to diagnose and fix—switch out a vacuum tube or tighten a screw. Today, if your television goes dark and you can't get HBO Max, you can have no idea where the problem lies—inside the TV, with your cable box, or over at HBO Max.

You just have to wait for someone to make a fix, hoping all the while that the problem isn't just at your house or your neighborhood, but widely dispersed enough for the service providers to notice and roll a truck. We all live in a balancing act: Today's technology is great when it works. When it doesn't, we're on our own. There's a lesson there somewhere.

2025 Los Angeles Times. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.

Citation:
Amazon's big outage reminds us that we trust big tech companies far too much (2025, October 24)
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Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

SummaryInnovative Industrial Properties is rated a Strong Buy thanks to its robust financials, double-digit yield, and long-term growth potential despite recent stock declines.IIPR faces near-term volatility and risk from tenant defaults and a likely dividend cut but maintains a strong balance sheet, low debt, and attractive assets.Regulatory changes, potential rate cuts, and international expansion could drive significant upside for IIPR, even as industry and political risks persist.A conservative valuation suggests IIPR shares could nearly double from current levels, with management actively optimizing the portfolio and seeking diversification. Jikaboom/iStock via Getty Images

Introduction & Financials Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR) is the only NYSE-listed cannabis REIT, with over 100 industrial properties across the US and 93% of their leases expiring after 2034. Due to dividend cut risks, major tenant defaults, and other

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in IIPR over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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