Market Signal Briefing

November 16, 2025 10:35 AM EST | Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA
New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - November 16, 2025) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of common stock of Cytokinetics, Inc. (NASDAQ: CYTK) between December 27, 2023 and May 6, 2025, both dates inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important November 17, 2025 lead plaintiff deadline.

SO WHAT: If you purchased Cytokinetics common stock during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.

WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Cytokinetics class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=45298 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than November 17, 2025. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.

WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.

DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements regarding the timeline for the New Drug Application ("NDA") submission and approval process for aficamten. Specifically, defendants represented that Cytokinetics expected approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration ("FDA") for its NDA for aficamten in the second half of 2025, based on a September 26, 2025 Prescription Drug User Fee Act ("PDUFA") date, and failed to disclose material risks related to Cytokinetics' failure to submit a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy ("REMS") that could delay the regulatory process. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.

To join the Cytokinetics class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=45298 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.

No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.

Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm, on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm/.

Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.

-------------------------------

Contact Information:

Laurence Rosen, Esq.
Phillip Kim, Esq.
The Rosen Law Firm, P.A.
275 Madison Avenue, 40th Floor
New York, NY 10016
Tel: (212) 686-1060
Toll Free: (866) 767-3653
Fax: (212) 202-3827
[email protected]
www.rosenlegal.com

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/274701

It may be a good strategy to follow the lead of billionaire investors in stock investing.

Billionaire investments are often viewed as a reliable signal of the next significant growth trend in the market. Hence, it makes sense for retail investors to keep an eye on stocks that institutional investors are piling into and holding. Here are three such supercharged growth stocks that billionaires are investing in 2025.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Broadcom
Broadcom (AVGO +0.73%) is increasingly becoming a favorite among billionaires, having witnessed $207.4 billion in institutional inflows compared to $53.87 billion in outflows over the last 12 months. In the third quarter (ending Sept. 30, 2025), 2,206 of 4,420 institutional holders increased their positions, while 341 maintained their position in Broadcom.

Several billionaire-led funds, such as Ken Fisher's Fisher Asset Management, Philippe Laffont's Coatue Management, and Jeremy Grantham's GMO Capital, expanded their Broadcom stake in 2025.

Broadcom's custom silicon and networking products are being deployed across hyperscalers to power artificial intelligence (AI)-optimized data centers. The company expects its three major hyperscaler customers to deploy one million of its XPUs (custom chips) each by 2027.

In the third quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended Aug. 3), the company secured over $10 billion in orders for AI racks based on its XPU architecture from a fourth client and expects to commence these shipments in the second half of fiscal 2026.

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Broadcom has also partnered with OpenAI to deploy 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerators starting late 2026. Anthropic's expanded partnership with Alphabet to utilize nearly 1 million of the latter's Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) may potentially be beneficial for Broadcom, which has been Alphabet's hardware partner in developing these chips. These deals validate the company's custom silicon strategy and may add to the topline in the coming years.

Besides compute capacity, Broadcom's Tomahawk 6 and Jericho 4 networking chips are enabling data centers to scale AI clusters while ensuring low latency and energy efficiency. With a contracted backlog of $110 billion (at the end of the third quarter) and multiple AI project wins, the company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing AI boom.

2. Microsoft
Microsoft (MSFT +1.29%) is another top holding among billionaire investors, and saw total institutional inflows of $335.69 billion and outflows of $115.08 billion in the last 12 months. Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Associates and Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Family Office have been among the prominent institutional investors in 2025.

Microsoft's AI-optimized cloud business has been driving investor interest. In the first quarter of fiscal 2026 (ending Sept. 30), the company's revenues were up 18% year over year to $77.7 billion. Microsoft Cloud revenue rose 26% year over year to $49.1 billion. The company exited the first quarter with commercial remaining performance obligations of $392 billion, representing a 51% year-over-year increase. This highlights the company's impressive near-term revenue visibility.

The tech giant is also investing aggressively in expanding data center capacity to meet soaring demand. It aims to achieve an 80% increase in total AI capacity by the end of fiscal 2026 (ending June 2026) and double its data center footprint within the next couple of years. The company is also leveraging software optimizations to improve the performance of its AI models. Despite this, the Azure cloud computing platform is expected to remain capacity-constrained due to explosive demand at least until the end of fiscal 2026.

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Copilot adoption also remains strong, with the company boasting over 150 million monthly active users utilizing the virtual assistant across its first-party products. More than 90% of Fortune 500 companies use Microsoft 365 Copilot, while over 26 million users are working with GitHub Copilot. The company also stands to benefit from the restructured partnership with OpenAI, which is adding $250 billion in incremental Azure service commitments.

Hence, considering the multiple solid tailwinds, Microsoft is well-positioned for its next stage of growth.

3. Amazon
Finally, Amazon (AMZN 1.27%) has also become a billionaire favorite, attracting funds from Bill Ackman's Pershing Square, Chase Coleman's Tiger Global, and David Tepper's Appaloosa in 2025.

The company witnessed institutional inflows of $218.57 billion and outflows of $78.18 billion in the past 12 months. The increasing institutional confidence stems from the reacceleration of Amazon Web Services' (AWS) growth, which has long been considered the company's key profit engine. Investor sentiment has also improved after the company forged several new AI-powered partnerships in the recent quarter.

AWS revenue rose 20% year over year to $33 billion, while operating income was up 9.6% to $11.4 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended Sept. 30). This has been the fastest quarterly revenue growth for AWS since 2022.

The higher price-performance of its custom Trainium chip is also driving customers to AWS for large-scale AI training and inferencing (real-time deployment of AI models) workloads. Anthropic is already using multiple AWS centers with over 50,000 Trainium 2 chips to optimally train its Claude AI models.

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Amazon has entered into a seven-year, $38 billion partnership with OpenAI to provide the latter with AWS compute capacity backed by hundreds of thousands of Nvidia GPUs and the ability to add tens of millions of CPUs.

The company has also partnered with Verizon Communications to build long-haul, high-capacity fiber routes connecting AWS data centers in the U.S. This may help further reduce latency and improve the performance of its AI applications.

Beyond cloud, Amazon's advertising business is also growing at a rapid clip, with revenues jumping 22% year over year to $17.6 billion. Hence, with AI, cloud, and digital advertising catalysts, Amazon seems to be an attractive bet for billionaire investors.

Photo by CHRIS DELMAS/AFP via Getty Images

AFP via Getty Images

Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) stock has experienced an impressive ascent in 2025, currently trading at approximately $130 per share. Robinhood is recognized for abolishing trading commissions and making stock investing more accessible through its user-friendly mobile application, resulting in a stock increase of over 3x since early January. This growth has been fueled by earnings momentum, a rapidly expanding user base, and increasing involvement in the booming cryptocurrency market. The company was recently incorporated into the S&P 500 in September, providing a structural advantage as passive funds and ETFs that track the benchmark are compelled to purchase. Q3 earnings also exceeded expectations. Revenue approximately doubled year-over-year to $1.27 billion, while net income rose to $556 million, $0.61 per share, up from $150 million, or $0.17 per share during the same period last year.

Could Robinhood’s stock, currently around $130, rise again to $200 within the next few years? This possibility is not unfounded. It's worth noting that the stock was priced at only $55 in mid-May 2025, and it has already more than doubled in just over five months. While it appears that the stock is trading at roughly 54x trailing earnings, which may seem high at first glance, when considered alongside increasing profitability and expanding market opportunities, a stock price exceeding $200 in the near future appears feasible. In the following sections, we will analyze Robinhood’s revenues, margins, and valuation multiples to illustrate how this scenario could materialize.

Is owning HOOD stock a risky endeavor? Certainly, it is. High Quality Portfolio helps to mitigate that risk.

1. Robinhood's Revenue Growth PotentialHOOD's revenues have increased significantly from $280 million in 2019 to about $2.9 billion in 2024, reflecting an annual growth rate of nearly 60%. It appears that this momentum could continue. Consensus estimates suggest close to 53% revenue growth for 2025, reaching about $4.5 billion, although growth is expected to decelerate to around 18% for the following year. Nonetheless, there exists a tangible opportunity for HOOD to maintain an average annual growth rate near 35% over the next few years, driven by continued customer expansion, significant potential in the cryptocurrency sector, and wealth management solutions.

With this in mind, revenues could increase from an estimated $4.5 billion in FY'25 to around $8.2 billion by FY'27, representing an increase of over 82%. Here's a more detailed look at the factors that could spur this growth.

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Monetizing a Larger Customer Base: Robinhood has demonstrated agility and innovation, with a solid grasp of younger retail investors, resulting in substantial user growth. Funded customer accounts rose by 2.5 million, or 10%, year-over-year to 26.8 million in the last quarter, while platform assets surged 119% year-over-year to $333 billion. This expanding asset base serves as a revenue generator, enabling increased trading activity, higher interest income on idle cash, and enhanced potential for advisory fees.

Push Into Crypto: Robinhood's cryptocurrency revenues skyrocketed by 98% last quarter to $160 million, coming close to a sixth consecutive quarter of triple-digit growth. The company has also been enhancing its operations through acquisitions, having completed the acquisition of global cryptocurrency exchange operator Bitstamp in June, which provided over 50 active licenses and registrations worldwide. This move has bolstered its enterprise efforts by improving its lending and staking infrastructure and offering more specialized products designed for hedge funds, fintechs, and registered investment advisors. A more favorable regulatory environment and growing political support, including from the Trump administration, have further stimulated investor enthusiasm for the stock.

A Valuable, Young Demographic: Robinhood's user base is predominantly composed of millennials and younger investors. A significant wealth transfer is anticipated to occur from older generations to millennials and Gen Z over the next two decades, amounting to tens of trillions of dollars. By engaging these users at an early stage, Robinhood positions itself to profit as their assets and investment demands grow over time. As millennials mature, their financial requirements will also diversify with time. To address this, Robinhood has started offering products beyond just trading—such as retirement accounts, high-yield cash balances, and wealth management tools—to retain users as their financial stature evolves. While this may represent a longer-term theme for the stock, it is undeniably an important one.

New Frontiers: Robinhood has also exhibited a keen ability to swiftly identify and capitalize on emerging opportunities. A prime example is its prediction markets business, which was launched around the time of the 2024 U.S. presidential election cycle. This product allows users to trade contracts linked to real-world events. The momentum seems robust: in October alone, more than 2.5 billion event contracts were traded on the platform, generating over $100 million in annualized revenue within a year of its launch. This success underscores Robinhood's capability to leverage its vast retail customer base, gamified interface, and regulatory flexibility to branch into new ventures.

2. Margins Have Scope To ExpandWhen this strong revenue growth is combined with the fact that HOOD's adjusted net margins (net income, or profits after all expenses and taxes, calculated as a percentage of revenues) are on an upward trajectory; they increased from negative levels in FY'21 to approximately 35% in FY'24. This growth has been fueled by significant gains in high-margin revenue channels like payment for order flow and margin interest. Additionally, substantial growth in transaction volumes, particularly in crypto, has also benefited the company. Robinhood's business model possesses considerable operational leverage, as costs do not necessarily increase with revenue. A large portion of its cost structure—including technology infrastructure, compliance, and support—is relatively fixed or rises only marginally with user growth. Consequently, each additional dollar of revenue could disproportionately enhance profits. Margins could potentially continue to trend upwards, possibly reaching around 40% considering these trends. By combining 40% adjusted net margins with approximately $8.2 billion in revenue, we can anticipate earnings of about $3.3 billion, which represents roughly a 3x increase from the levels seen in 2024.

3. Lower P/E Contraction, Stronger Earnings Drive Higher Stock PriceIf earnings were to grow 3x, the price-to-earnings multiple would contract by 3x, from levels of approximately 21x, provided the stock price remains unchanged. Yet, that is precisely what HOOD investors are betting will not transpire. If earnings expand 3x in the coming years, rather than the P/E declining from around 54x now to about 18x, a scenario in which the P/E ratio holds steady at around 35x becomes more probable as strong growth and improving margins bolster investor confidence in HOOD stock's future.

The company's addition to the S&P 500 may also help maintain a higher multiple due to the increased visibility, index fund flows, and broader institutional participation that typically accompany such inclusion. This development makes the prospect of HOOD stock reaching levels over $250 within the next few years a realistic possibility. What, then, is the anticipated timeline for this high-return scenario? While our example above illustrates a timeline of approximately two years, in practice, it won’t make much difference whether it takes two years or three, as long as HOOD continues on its revenue expansion path, with margins remaining stable, the stock price could respond similarly.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, encompassing a selection of 30 stocks, has a history of comfortably outperforming its benchmark, including all three indices: the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000. Why is that? As a collective, HQ Portfolio stocks delivered superior returns with lower risk compared to the benchmark index; a less volatile experience, as demonstrated by the HQ Portfolio performance metrics.

Sometimes, it pays to know when to jump ship.

So far, 2025 has been good for stocks, with the S&P 500 index up by a solid 16% year to date. While this is far from a life-changing return, some individual stocks have well outperformed that average. Many of those companies are participating in burgeoning new industries like generative artificial intelligence (AI) and quantum computing, where hype and investor optimism may have gotten ahead of the fundamentals.

Let's explore why shareholders of Palantir Technologies (PLTR +1.09%) and Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT +5.18%) may want to consider taking some profits off the table.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Palantir Technologies
With shares up by 153% year to date, Palantir has been a slam-dunk investment for its long-term shareholders. And on the surface, it's easy to see why. The data analytics company is a natural beneficiary of the growing popularity of large language models (LLMs), which it is using to better serve its enterprise and government clients. And its political connections and long track record give it a deep economic moat in the challenging world of defense and law enforcement contracting. That said, a good company isn't always a good investment.

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This year's rally has lifted Palantir to a market cap of $461 billion. To put that number into perspective, it is larger than any public company in Europe or Japan, and makes it the 19th largest company in the U.S.

Yet Palantir isn't dramatically more profitable than other companies; it simply has a higher valuation -- which is the multiple each share is worth relative to fundamental metrics like revenue and earnings. Trading at a lofty forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 262, Palantir makes even other high-flying AI-related stocks like Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, and Microsoft look downright cheap.

PLTR PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts.

If there is any silver lining to the situation, it's that Palantir is growing relatively fast, with third-quarter revenues jumping by 63% year over year to $1.2 billion. But over time, even strong results may not impress the market when such high expectations are already priced into Palantir's stock.

2. Quantum Computing Inc.
Since early October, Quantum Computing Inc. (also known as QCi) has been on a sharp downslope that erased all of its considerable 2025 gains and left it down by about 40% year to date. Yet its shares are still quite expensive, up by more than 600% over the last 12 months. As its name suggests, the company is an early mover in the market for quantum computing hardware -- an industry where share prices are currently based on hype and optimism rather than revenues or profits.

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According to analysts at McKinsey & Company, it might take until 2040 before any company is able to offer a commercially viable quantum computer that can operate at scale. And while industry leader Alphabet has asserted that it can bring quantum computing products to market within five years, it could take years longer for this to become the basis for a sustainable business, even once the underlying technology works reliably enough.

Generative AI should serve as a cautionary tale here. Industry leader OpenAI is believed to have lost an eye-watering $12 billion in just the third quarter, despite offering a technically viable service. Investors shouldn't expect quantum computing to quickly achieve commercial viability either, even assuming it can iron out the immense technical challenges ahead of it.

With profitability years or even decades away, investors should look at QCi's current financial results and ask themselves how much punishment they are willing to take. In the second quarter, its revenue dropped 66% to $61,000 -- which is minuscule for a company valued at $2.5 billion. Meanwhile, losses almost doubled to $10.2 million. Investors who buy QCi shares now also face the prospect of immense equity dilution, as the company will likely keep making use of secondary stock sales to raise capital to fund its cash-burning operations.

Consider selling, but be careful
Palantir and Quantum Computing Inc. look to be at risk of substantial downside, so investors who own either stock should consider taking profits off the table. That said, investors who don't own shares should be careful about opening short positions. As a great economist once warned, the stock market can stay irrational for longer than you can stay solvent. And both of these stocks are incredibly susceptible to positive hype and press, which could cause shares to spike sharply, despite the companies' relatively weak fundamentals.

Disney Cruise Line's seventh ship is preparing to set sail on its maiden voyage on Thursday.

Disney Destiny's christening was held on Monday at its home port of Port Everglades in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. It included a massive drone show that lasted longer than 10-minutes. 

"The Disney Cruise Line team, alongside our Disney Imagineers, have invested years of their expertise, creativity and dedication into this beautiful ship," Joe Schott, President of Disney Signature Experiences, said in a statement. "They have created something truly spectacular."

The newest ship in the fleet features heroes and villains from Disney, Pixar and Marvel films.

DISNEY UNVEILS NEW SHOW IN PARK UNDERGOING MASSIVE TRANSFORMATION

The Disney Destiny was welcomed to Disney Cruise Line's fleet with a special drone show in Fort Lauderdale, Florida on Nov. 10, 2025.  (Pilar Arias/Fox News Digital / Fox News)

During its inaugural season, Disney Destiny will sail four and five-night cruises to the Bahamas and the Western Caribbean. 

Guests aboard the ship will get to experience rotational dining at Pride Lands: Feast of The Lion King, Worlds of Marvel and 1923 restaurants. 

DISNEY ANNOUNCES MAJOR PLANS TO COMMEMORATE AMERICA'S 250TH ANNIVERSARY

Captain Mickey, Captain Minnie, Susan Egan, Josh D’Amaro and Joe Schott during the Disney Destiny christening in Fort Lauderdale, Florida on Nov. 10, 2025.  (Pilar Arias/Fox News Digital / Fox News)

All-you-can-eat options are available at Marceline Market, named after Walt Disney's childhood hometown in Missouri, for breakfast and lunch. Mickey & Friends Festival of Foods features barbecue, Mexican, pizza, a grill and dessert bar at specific times throughout the day.  

Cask & Cannon aboard the Disney Destiny is a pirate-themed tavern that is exclusive for adults.  (Pilar Arias/Fox News Digital / Fox News)

While there is plenty for the kids to do onboard — 10 pools and water play areas, including the AquaMouse — adults have exclusive dining, lounge and deck options as well. 

Ticker Security Last Change Change % DIS THE WALT DISNEY CO. 105.78 -1.81
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Disney Cruise Line is in the middle of a massive expansion, planning to have 13 ships in the fleet by 2031. The next to launch will be the Disney Adventure, with its homeport in Singapore in March 2026. 

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"For more than 100 years, we have entertained our fans in new and innovative ways, connecting them to the Disney stories they love," Josh D’Amaro, Chairman of Disney Experiences, said during the Disney Destiny christening. "Disney Cruise Line is a powerful part of that legacy because our ships become brand ambassadors that travel the globe and bring joy to our guests in ways only Disney can. Now, the Disney Destiny makes its own extraordinary entry into our growing fleet."

Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

Alcoa (NYSE:AA) announced a net income of US $232 million in the third quarter of 2025 — more than double the US $90 million it earned in the same quarter the previous year. Here’s an overview of why the stock has surged approximately 40% over the last six months, the factors driving this change, and points to monitor going forward.

However, if you are looking for a less volatile upside than owning a single stock, consider the High Quality Portfolio. It has significantly outperformed its benchmark—a combination including the S&P 500, Russell 2000, and S&P MidCap indexes—and has delivered returns surpassing 105% since its inception. Additionally, see – Opendoor Stock – The Comeback Story.

Factors Driving the IncreaseCommodity performance and supply/demand factors. Aluminum prices have recently risen to around US$2,892 per tonne, indicating growing demand alongside limited supply. With Alcoa owning resources in bauxite, alumina, and primary aluminum, the firm benefits from rising prices. Furthermore, a broader analysis points to a potential 40% increase in aluminum demand by 2030, providing additional support.Enhanced profitability and adjusted portfolio actions. In Q3 2025, Alcoa’s revenue rose to US $2.995 billion compared to US $2.904 billion a year prior. Net income increased to US $232 million. This increase is partly due to a beneficial investment-divestment: the sale of its joint venture with "Ma’aden" in Saudi Arabia and the mark-to-market gain on its investment helped to boost financial results.Intensive focus on operational efficiency and cost management. Alcoa has lowered its capital expenditure forecast for 2025 to US $625 million and has restructured parts of its portfolio. The company also indicated potential benefits in its alumina segment from reduced maintenance at elevated production levels.Strategic investments for future growth & structural developments. Alcoa is engaging in the transition towards "critical minerals" and sustainable aluminum production. For instance, its prospective gallium-production facility in Western Australia (which has the capacity to supply up to 10% of the global gallium market) is garnering support.These strategic initiatives are offering the market a forward-looking growth narrative beyond standard aluminum.

What’s Next — Key Factors & RisksShipment growth & cost trends: While prices remain favorable, Alcoa’s anticipated aluminum production for the full year is projected to stay between 2.3-2.5 million metric tons, with alumina expected in the 9.5-9.7 million metric ton range. Achieving these volumes, along with cost management (tariffs, energy, currency), will be crucial.Tariff, energy, and input-cost pressures: Alcoa noted an approximately US $90 million adverse impact due to U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports within its Aluminum segment. Risks also exist regarding energy costs (given that smelting is energy-intensive) and fluctuations in alumina prices.Commodity cyclicality and financial discipline: The aluminum industry is notoriously cyclical. Even with the current high prices, any downturn in global demand (for example, from construction or automotive sectors) or oversupply could swiftly compress margins.Valuation and expectation management: With many positive expectations already factored into the price — a mix of growth initiatives, margin expansion, and future volume increases — there’s limited margin for error. Should Alcoa face execution challenges, the stock could experience a sharp decline.Strategic growth drivers: Initiatives such as green-smelting partnerships, the critical-minerals (gallium) asset in Australia, and enhanced smelter/refinery compositions could unlock additional growth — provided they meet throughput, cost, and timeline objectives.Alcoa’s rise (40% over six months) is supported in part by a combination of stronger aluminum prices, a streamlined cost structure, and a strategic shift towards energy-efficient and critical-minerals sectors. However, this stock is not without risks — it depends on commodity trends, effective execution, and favorable macro conditions. If Alcoa can achieve volume growth while managing tariffs, energy, and alumina costs, further gains may be possible; but any downturn in the cycle or cost surprises could quickly reverse the progress. We assess Alcoa's value at $40, which is currently aligned with the market price.

Now, we implement a risk assessment framework while developing the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, which, comprising 30 stocks, has a proven history of excelling relative to the S&P 500 over the past four years. Why is this so? As a collective, HQ Portfolio stocks have yielded superior returns with lower risk than the benchmark index; there’s less volatility, as demonstrated in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.

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Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images

Getty Images

Palantir Technologies stock (NASDAQ: PLTR) has experienced an extraordinary journey this year, increasing by over 2.3 times since early January to approximately $175 per share. The stock has benefited from heightened interest in generative AI software and an influx of new government contracts following Donald Trump's re-election as U.S. President. Earnings growth has also been robust: Palantir recently posted a beat-and-raise quarter, with Q3 revenue rising to $1.18 billion, reflecting a 63% year-over-year increase. The company elevated its full-year revenue forecast to a midpoint of around $4.4 billion, representing a 53% rise from 2024.

To clarify, Palantir has demonstrated solid execution. Revenue growth during the latest quarter increased to 63%, a rise from 30% in the comparable quarter last year, while adjusted operating margins reached 51%, an improvement from 38% in the prior year. However, this strength is precisely why the associated risk is often overlooked. When expectations are extremely high, the decline can be substantial.

While broader markets have surged in recent months, macroeconomic obstacles persist, including moderate growth, softening labor market conditions, continuous inflationary pressures, and tariffs on important trading partners. Palantir’s high valuation—approximately 240 times forward earnings—renders it especially vulnerable to a sudden decline. Is there a possibility that the stock could drop by 50% to $85 per share or even lower? This is indeed a genuine concern. Palantir has encountered steeper pullbacks in the past, and those downturns could easily recur if the market sentiment deteriorates.

The crucial question isn’t necessarily where PLTR stock will head next, but rather how your investment portfolio is structured. Discover how Trefis High Quality Portfolio and our Boston-based wealth management partner can assist you.

Why Is It Relevant Now?Palantir’s revenue growth risks

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Palantir has recorded significant growth, particularly in its U.S. government segment, witnessing a 52% year-over-year revenue increase to $486 million last quarter. However, this momentum carries risks. Government contracts can be irregular and unpredictable, complicating future growth predictions. Moreover, the new Trump administration is implementing a strategy aimed at reducing global tensions—including efforts to mediate between Ukraine and Russia and resolve the Israel-Palestine conflict.

Though these initiatives promote global stability, they may diminish the demand for Palantir’s software, which tends to see increased adoption during times of geopolitical unrest. With a significant reliance on federal contracts, Palantir is also subject to political risk. Changes in government priorities, budget reductions, or contract losses could significantly affect its revenue trajectory and influence its stock price negatively.

Palantir’s long-term growth is contingent on the commercial sector, which the company serves through its Foundry platform, catering to customers across industries such as manufacturing, retail, and healthcare. While the commercial segment has experienced growth—U.S. commercial sales increased by 121% in the latest quarter—there may be hurdles in the long run. The company typically deals with large transaction sizes, and implementation is complex and costly, indicating that the product may not scale as effectively with smaller and medium-sized enterprises. Expanding Foundry beyond large organizations might require a different go-to-market strategy—one for which Palantir may not be fully prepared at present. This could have implications for growth in the longer term.

How Resilient is PLTR Stock During Downturns?In times of economic turmoil, Palantir has lagged the broader markets significantly. Take 2022, for instance, when soaring inflation deflated high-flying tech stocks—Palantir's stock plummeted by over 70% in just a few quarters, dropping from $18.53 in January to $6.00 by December. In contrast, the S&P 500 fell by about 25% in the same timeframe. On a positive note, Palantir fully rebounded to its pre-crisis peak by July 2023, and since then, the stock has risen to near all-time highs.

However, history indicates that when sentiment shifts, PLTR stock can crash dramatically. While investors are hopeful for a soft landing for the U.S. economy, what if another recession occurs? Our dashboard How Low Can Stocks Go During A Market Crash illustrates how key stocks performed during and after the last six market crashes.

Palantir’s High ValuationPalantir Technologies’ Revenues have increased at an average annual rate of 30% over the last three years, significantly higher than the S&P 500’s growth of 5.2%. However, even this remarkable performance does not justify the stock’s current valuation. Palantir is trading at more than 90 times FY’25 revenue and about 240 times FY’25 earnings—valuations that leave little room for error. High-multiple growth stocks often struggle during economic downturns, as slower earnings growth leads to considerable contractions in valuation multiples. During downturns, markets favor safer value stocks, and Palantir does not fit this category. If the stock experiences a correction back to 2022 levels, it could drop to around $85 per share or lower.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, which consists of 30 stocks, has a proven record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark, which encompasses all three—the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. What accounts for this? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks have delivered better returns with less risk compared to the benchmark index; it has been a smoother ride without the extreme fluctuations, as demonstrated by HQ Portfolio performance metrics.

, /PRNewswire/ -- The law firm of Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP informs investors that a securities class action lawsuit has been filed against Firefly Aerospace Inc. ("Firefly") (NASDAQ: FLY) on behalf of those who purchased or otherwise acquired Firefly: (1) common stock pursuant and/or traceable to the registration statement and related prospectus (collectively, the "Offering Documents") issued in connection with the company's IPO conducted on or about August 7, 2025; and/or (2) securities between August 7, 2025 and September 29, 2025, inclusive (the "Class Period"). The lead plaintiff deadline is January 12, 2026.

CONTACT KESSLER TOPAZ MELTZER & CHECK, LLP:
If you suffered Firefly losses, you may CLICK HERE  or copy and paste the following link into your browser: https://www.ktmc.com/new-cases/firefly-aerospace-inc?utm_source=PR_Newswire&mktm=PR   

You can also contact attorney Jonathan Naji, Esq. by calling (484) 270-1453 or by email at [email protected]. 

DEFENDANTS' ALLEGED MISCONDUCT:
The complaint alleges that, in the Offering Documents and throughout the Class Period, Defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose: (1) Firefly had overstated the demand and growth prospects for its Spacecraft Solutions offerings; (2) the Alpha rocket program fell short of its purported operational readiness and commercial viability; and (3) as a result of the foregoing, Defendants' statements about the company's business, operations, and prospects were materially false and misleading and/or lacked a reasonable basis at all relevant times.

THE LEAD PLAINTIFF PROCESS:
Firefly investors may, no later than January 12, 2026, seek to be appointed as a lead plaintiff representative of the class through Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP or other counsel, or may choose to do nothing and remain an absent class member. A lead plaintiff is a representative party who acts on behalf of all class members in directing the litigation.  The lead plaintiff is usually the investor or small group of investors who have the largest financial interest and who are also adequate and typical of the proposed class of investors. The lead plaintiff selects counsel to represent the lead plaintiff and the class and these attorneys, if approved by the court, are lead or class counsel. Your ability to share in any recovery is not affected by the decision of whether or not to serve as a lead plaintiff.

Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP  encourages Firefly investors who have suffered significant losses to contact the firm directly to acquire more information.

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR THE CASE OR GO TO: https://www.ktmc.com/new-cases/firefly-aerospace-inc?utm_source=PR_Newswire&mktm=PR   

ABOUT KESSLER TOPAZ MELTZER & CHECK, LLP:
Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP prosecutes class actions in state and federal courts throughout the country and around the world.  The firm has developed a global reputation for excellence and has recovered billions of dollars for victims of fraud and other corporate misconduct. All of our work is driven by a common goal: to protect investors, consumers, employees and others from fraud, abuse, misconduct and negligence by businesses and fiduciaries. The complaint in this action was not filed by Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP. For more information about Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP please visit www.ktmc.com.

CONTACT:
Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP
Jonathan Naji, Esq.
(484) 270-1453
280 King of Prussia Road
Radnor, PA 19087
[email protected] 

May be considered attorney advertising in certain jurisdictions.  Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

SOURCE Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP

The Fed will release its October-meeting minutes on Wednesday, as chances of a December quarter-point rate cut have declined. Companies in the spotlight include Klarna, Medtronic, TJX, and more.

RADNOR, Pa., Nov. 16, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The law firm of Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP (www.ktmc.com) informs investors that a securities class action lawsuit has been filed against James Hardie Industries plc (“James Hardie”) (NYSE: JHX) on behalf of those who purchased or otherwise acquired James Hardie common stock between May 20, 2025, and August 18, 2025, inclusive (the “Class Period”). The lead plaintiff deadline is December 23, 2025.

CONTACT KESSLER TOPAZ MELTZER & CHECK, LLP:
If you suffered James Hardie losses, you may CLICK HERE or copy and paste the following link into your browser: https://www.ktmc.com/new-cases/james-hardie-industries-plc?utm_source=Globe&mktm=PR

You can also contact attorney Jonathan Naji, Esq. by calling (484) 270-1453 or by email at [email protected].

DEFENDANTS’ ALLEGED MISCONDUCT:
The complaint alleges that, throughout the Class Period, Defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) despite knowing by April and early May 2025 that its North America Fiber Cement distributors were destocking inventory, James Hardie falsely claimed demand remained strong and that stock levels were “normal”; (2) as a result, Defendants’ positive statements about the company’s business, operations, and prospects were materially misleading and/or lacked a reasonable basis.

THE LEAD PLAINTIFF PROCESS:
James Hardie investors may, no later than December 23, 2025, seek to be appointed as a lead plaintiff representative of the class through Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP or other counsel, or may choose to do nothing and remain an absent class member. A lead plaintiff is a representative party who acts on behalf of all class members in directing the litigation.  The lead plaintiff is usually the investor or small group of investors who have the largest financial interest and who are also adequate and typical of the proposed class of investors. The lead plaintiff selects counsel to represent the lead plaintiff and the class and these attorneys, if approved by the court, are lead or class counsel. Your ability to share in any recovery is not affected by the decision of whether or not to serve as a lead plaintiff.

Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP encourages James Hardie investors who have suffered significant losses to contact the firm directly to acquire more information.

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR THE CASE OR GO TO: https://www.ktmc.com/new-cases/james-hardie-industries-plc?utm_source=Globe&mktm=PR

ABOUT KESSLER TOPAZ MELTZER & CHECK, LLP:

Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP prosecutes class actions in state and federal courts throughout the country and around the world. The firm has developed a global reputation for excellence and has recovered billions of dollars for victims of fraud and other corporate misconduct. All of our work is driven by a common goal: to protect investors, consumers, employees and others from fraud, abuse, misconduct and negligence by businesses and fiduciaries. The complaint in this action was not filed by Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP. For more information about Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP please visit www.ktmc.com.

CONTACT:
Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP
Jonathan Naji, Esq.
(484) 270-1453
280 King of Prussia Road
Radnor, PA 19087
[email protected]

May be considered attorney advertising in certain jurisdictions. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

Alvin Lang
Nov 16, 2025 15:10

Polygon's MATIC price maintains $0.38 support level despite broader crypto weakness, as new financial institution partnership provides bullish counterweight to Federal Reserve hawkish signals an...

Quick Take
• MATIC trading at $0.38 (down 0.3% in 24h)
• Polygon partnership with major financial institution supporting price amid macro headwinds
• Testing critical support at $0.35 as Bitcoin correlation weighs on sentiment
• Federal Reserve rate hike signals creating risk-off environment across crypto markets

Market Events Driving Polygon Price Movement
The most significant catalyst affecting MATIC price this week has been the Federal Reserve's indication of potential interest rate increases in response to rising inflation. This hawkish pivot has created a risk-off environment that has pressured cryptocurrencies broadly, with Bitcoin falling below the psychologically important $100,000 level to close at $99,697 on November 13.

However, Polygon's strategic partnership announcement with a leading financial institution on November 15 has provided crucial support for MATIC price action. This adoption-focused development has helped the token maintain its $0.38 level despite the broader market selloff, demonstrating institutional confidence in Polygon's blockchain infrastructure solutions.

The timing of this partnership news has been particularly important, arriving just as traditional risk assets face pressure from the Fed's more aggressive monetary policy stance. While the central bank's signals have created headwinds for growth assets including cryptocurrencies, Polygon's real-world utility narrative continues to attract institutional interest.

MATIC Technical Analysis: Defensive Consolidation Pattern
Price Action Context
MATIC price currently sits below all major moving averages, with the 20-day SMA at $0.43 acting as immediate resistance. The token is trading well below its 200-day moving average of $0.69, indicating the longer-term downtrend remains intact despite recent stabilization efforts.

Volume on Binance spot markets has been relatively subdued at $1.07 million over 24 hours, suggesting institutional players are adopting a wait-and-see approach while retail interest remains muted. This lower volume environment has allowed MATIC to hold support more easily but limits breakout potential.

Key Technical Indicators
The RSI at 38 indicates MATIC is approaching oversold territory without quite reaching it, providing room for further downside if support breaks. The MACD remains in bearish territory with a histogram reading of -0.0045, confirming that momentum remains negative despite the recent stabilization.

Bollinger Bands show MATIC trading in the lower portion of its range, with the %B position at 0.29 indicating the price is closer to the lower band at $0.31 than the middle band at $0.43. This positioning suggests continued downside pressure despite current support holding.

Critical Price Levels for Polygon Traders
Immediate Levels (24-48 hours)
• Resistance: $0.43 (20-day moving average and Bollinger Band middle line)
• Support: $0.35 (immediate technical support with confluence from recent swing lows)

Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios
A break below $0.35 support would likely target the strong support zone at $0.33, with potential to test the 52-week low of $0.37 if selling accelerates. Conversely, reclaiming the $0.43 resistance level would signal a potential short-term reversal, targeting the upper Bollinger Band at $0.56.

MATIC Correlation Analysis
Bitcoin's influence on Polygon technical analysis remains strong, with MATIC following the broader cryptocurrency market's reaction to macro developments. The correlation has been particularly evident during this week's Federal Reserve-driven selloff, where both assets have moved in tandem.

Traditional market factors are playing an increasingly important role, with the S&P 500's reaction to Fed policy directly impacting crypto sentiment. As institutional adoption grows through partnerships like Polygon's recent announcement, these traditional market correlations are likely to strengthen further.

Trading Outlook: Polygon Near-Term Prospects
Bullish Case
A successful hold of $0.35 support combined with positive sentiment from the financial institution partnership could spark a relief rally toward $0.43. If Bitcoin stabilizes above $100,000 and the Fed adopts a more dovish tone, MATIC price could benefit from renewed risk appetite and target the $0.50 level.

Bearish Case
Failure to hold $0.35 support, particularly if accompanied by renewed Bitcoin weakness or additional Fed hawkishness, could trigger a move toward $0.33 and potentially the 52-week lows. Continued low volume would exacerbate any breakdown scenarios.

Risk Management
Traders should consider stop-losses below $0.34 for long positions, representing roughly 10% downside from current levels. Given the current ATR of $0.03, position sizing should account for this volatility while monitoring Bitcoin's ability to reclaim $100,000 as a key risk factor for the entire cryptocurrency sector.

Image source: Shutterstock

matic price analysis
matic price prediction

Caroline Bishop
Nov 16, 2025 15:22

Avalanche (AVAX) trades at $15.37 amid selling pressure from yesterday's scheduled token unlock, testing crucial support levels as broader crypto markets decline.

Quick Take
• AVAX trading at $15.37 (down 1.7% in 24h)
• 1.67 million AVAX token unlock yesterday adds supply pressure
• Testing critical $16 psychological support level
• Following Bitcoin's decline below $95,000 amid broader market volatility

Market Events Driving Avalanche Price Movement
The most significant catalyst pressuring AVAX price over the past 48 hours was yesterday's scheduled token unlock of 1.67 million AVAX tokens, valued at approximately $29.84 million. This unlock increased Avalanche's circulating supply by 0.33%, creating immediate selling pressure as tokens entered the market during an already volatile period.

The timing proved particularly challenging as the unlock coincided with Bitcoin's drop below $95,000 on November 14, which triggered broader cryptocurrency market weakness. Traditional markets also experienced volatility, with the S&P 500 initially dropping 1.3% before recovering to close marginally lower, driven by AI-related stock swings including significant Nvidia movements.

AVAX price has been testing the psychologically important $16 support level since November 14, with current trading around $15.37 representing a breach of this key threshold. The combination of increased token supply and risk-off sentiment across crypto markets has created a challenging technical environment for Avalanche.

AVAX Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum Builds
Price Action Context
Avalanche technical analysis reveals concerning momentum as AVAX price trades below all major moving averages. The current $15.37 level sits significantly below the 7-day SMA at $16.30, 20-day SMA at $17.27, and much further from the 50-day SMA at $21.56. This alignment suggests sustained bearish pressure rather than a temporary dip.

Volume analysis from Binance spot data shows $23.55 million in 24-hour trading, indicating moderate institutional interest during the decline. The price action suggests AVAX is following Bitcoin's broader weakness rather than experiencing Avalanche-specific selling pressure beyond the token unlock.

Key Technical Indicators
The RSI reading of 33.74 indicates AVAX is approaching oversold territory without quite reaching it, suggesting further downside remains possible before any meaningful bounce. The MACD histogram showing a slight positive reading of 0.0539 provides the only bullish signal among momentum indicators, though this minor divergence may indicate slowing selling pressure rather than an imminent reversal.

Bollinger Bands positioning reveals AVAX at 0.1381 of the band width, placing it near the lower band support at $14.64. This positioning often precedes either a bounce or a breakdown, making the next 24-48 hours critical for determining short-term direction.

Critical Price Levels for Avalanche Traders
Immediate Levels (24-48 hours)
• Resistance: $16.30 (7-day moving average and previous support)
• Support: $14.84 (immediate technical support from recent lows)

Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios
A breakdown below $14.84 support could trigger accelerated selling toward the $14.64 Bollinger Band lower boundary, with stronger support not emerging until the $8.52 level. Conversely, reclaiming $16.30 resistance would need to hold for at least 24 hours to signal any meaningful reversal attempt.

AVAX Correlation Analysis
Avalanche is closely following Bitcoin's directional moves, showing high correlation as both assets declined following Bitcoin's drop below $95,000. The 0.99 correlation typically seen during risk-off periods appears intact, suggesting AVAX price will likely continue tracking Bitcoin's movements in the near term.

Traditional market volatility, particularly in tech stocks, has created additional headwinds for risk assets including cryptocurrencies. The S&P 500's intraday volatility pattern mirrors similar uncertainty in crypto markets, though the recovery in traditional markets late in the session hasn't yet translated to cryptocurrency strength.

Trading Outlook: Avalanche Near-Term Prospects
Bullish Case
AVAX price could find support at current levels if Bitcoin stabilizes above $93,000 and the token unlock selling pressure subsides. A reclaim of $16.30 on increased volume would target the $17.27 level (20-day SMA), though this scenario requires broader crypto market recovery.

Bearish Case
Continued Bitcoin weakness or additional selling from yesterday's unlock recipients could push AVAX toward $14.64 and potentially the stronger support at $8.52. The technical setup favors further downside given the positioning below all moving averages.

Risk Management
Traders should consider tight stop-losses below $14.50 given the elevated volatility (ATR of $1.44). Position sizing should account for potential 15-20% moves in either direction as AVAX navigates this critical support zone while broader market conditions remain uncertain.

Image source: Shutterstock

avax price analysis
avax price prediction

Zach Anderson
Nov 16, 2025 15:28

Chainlink price slides to $14.04 amid broader crypto weakness, with technical indicators suggesting potential test of $13.58 support as MACD confirms bearish momentum.

Quick Take
• LINK trading at $14.04 (down 1.3% in 24h)
• No major news catalysts driving recent weakness
• Testing lower Bollinger Band support at $13.17
• Following Bitcoin's bearish trajectory amid risk-off sentiment

Market Events Driving Chainlink Price Movement
Trading on technical factors in absence of major catalysts, LINK price has declined alongside the broader cryptocurrency market over recent sessions. No significant news events have emerged in the past 48 hours to drive Chainlink-specific price action, leaving technical analysis as the primary framework for understanding current market dynamics.

The absence of fresh fundamental catalysts has allowed technical selling pressure to dominate, with LINK price breaking below key short-term moving averages. This technical deterioration reflects broader crypto market weakness as Bitcoin continues its recent decline, creating headwinds for altcoins including Chainlink.

LINK Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum Building
Price Action Context
LINK price currently trades below all major moving averages, with the token sitting 10.7% below its 7-day SMA at $14.76 and 11.2% under the critical 20-day SMA at $15.75. The positioning below the 50-day ($18.07) and 200-day ($18.01) moving averages confirms the medium-term bearish structure remains intact.

Trading volume of $48.3 million on Binance spot reflects moderate institutional interest, though insufficient to generate meaningful buying pressure at current levels. The LINK price action shows clear correlation with Bitcoin's recent weakness, suggesting altcoin-specific drivers remain limited.

Key Technical Indicators
The RSI at 35.89 indicates oversold conditions are developing but haven't reached extreme levels that typically coincide with reversal signals. More concerning for bulls, the MACD remains deeply negative at -1.0857, with the histogram at -0.0579 confirming bearish momentum persists.

Chainlink technical analysis reveals the Stochastic oscillator in severely oversold territory at 11.27/%K and 10.21/%D, suggesting a potential short-term bounce may emerge. However, this oversold reading requires confirmation from price action before signaling a meaningful reversal.

Critical Price Levels for Chainlink Traders
Immediate Levels (24-48 hours)
• Resistance: $15.75 (20-day moving average and middle Bollinger Band)
• Support: $13.58 (immediate technical support from recent swing lows)

Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios
A break below $13.58 support would likely trigger additional selling toward the lower Bollinger Band at $13.17, with potential continuation to the stronger support zone near $12.50. Conversely, reclaiming $15.75 resistance would signal short-term stabilization and possible retest of the $16.10 EMA 26 level.

LINK Correlation Analysis
Bitcoin's continued weakness has created sustained headwinds for LINK price, with the correlation remaining high during this risk-off period. Traditional markets have shown mixed signals, limiting cross-asset tailwinds for cryptocurrency markets. Within the oracle sector, Chainlink technical analysis suggests similar weakness across decentralized infrastructure tokens, indicating sector-wide rather than token-specific challenges.

Trading Outlook: Chainlink Near-Term Prospects
Bullish Case
A successful defense of the $13.58 support level combined with Bitcoin stabilization could provide the foundation for a relief rally. Key targets include the $15.75 resistance (20-day MA) and potentially the $16.10 level (EMA 26). Volume expansion above 60 million would signal increased institutional participation.

Bearish Case
Failure to hold $13.58 support opens the door for continued weakness toward $13.17 (lower Bollinger Band) and potentially the stronger support zone at $12.50. Extended Bitcoin weakness would likely pressure LINK price toward the $11.00-12.00 range.

Risk Management
Conservative traders should consider stop-losses below $13.20 to limit downside exposure, while aggressive positions might use the $12.80 level. Given the current ATR of $1.30, position sizing should account for elevated volatility as LINK price navigates this critical support zone.

Image source: Shutterstock

link price analysis
link price prediction

On November 13, 2025, the cryptocurrency landscape shifted with the launch of Canary Capital's XRP exchange-traded product, XRPC, on the Nasdaq. This milestone signifies a broader acceptance of crypto assets within mainstream financial markets, joining a growing list of digital currencies now accessible through ETFs.

On November 10, Bitcoin briefly surpassed $107,500 following positive developments in the U.S. Senate. Despite this upward movement, the cryptocurrency quickly lost steam, dropping below $105,000 after the conclusion of a significant U.S. government shutdown, and is currently trading at approximately $95,000—its lowest level in six months.

Bitcoin continued its downward slide on Friday, retreating toward $94,500 and adding pressure to an already fragile crypto market. The drop marks one of Bitcoin's weakest points since mid-year, raising questions about whether the sector has entered a prolonged bearish phase.

Ethereum price crashed to an important support level as its open interest slipped and exchange-traded funds outflows accelerated. 

Summary

Ethereum price has crashed by 35% from its highest level this year.
The supply of exchanges has been in a strong freefall in the past few months. 
Ether has formed a small double-bottom pattern on the daily timeframe.

Ethereum supply on exchanges has dropped
Ethereum (ETH) token dived to the key support at $3,060, down by 35% from its highest point this year. It has moved to the lowest level since July 16 as the crypto bear market accelerates.

ETH price has slumped as American investors continued to exit their positions. Data compiled by SoSoValue shows that spot Ethereum ETFs have been bleeding assets in the past few weeks. 

These ETFs have shed assets in the last six consecutive days, bringing the cumulative inflows to about $13 billion. They have lost assets in the last two straight weeks, bringing the total assets to $20 billion. 

The ongoing Ethereum price crash is due to the ongoing decline in its futures open interest. Data shows that the interest has dropped by over 50% since October, a sign of waning demand. It has also dropped as the Crypto Fear and Greed Index eases.

Still, there is a ray of light despite the ongoing Ethereum woes. Data compiled by CoinGlass shows that the amount of ETH tokens on exchanges has been in a strong downtrend. There are now 11.96 million tokens in exchanges, down from the July high of 16.36 million. 

Ethereum exchange balances | Source: CoinGlass
Falling exchange balances is a bullish aspect as it signals that investors are moving their tokens to self-custody. It also means that the selling pressure is not all that significant. 

Ethereum price technical analysis 
ETH price chart | Source: crypto.news
The daily chart shows that the ETH price has been in a strong bearish trend in the past few months. This crash started as it formed a double-top pattern, a popular bearish sign in technical analysis. 

The coin has bottomed at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level. It has moved below the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages. The two averages are about to cross each other, in a process known as a death cross. Ethereum price remains below the Supertrend indicator. 

On the positive side, the coin has formed a small double-bottom pattern at $3,060 and a neckline at the 38.2% retracement at $3,600. It has also bottomed at the strong, pivot, and reverse of the Murrey Math Lines. 

Therefore, there is a slim chance that the token will rebound it holds the double-bottom at $3,060. A move below the double-bottom will point to more downside.

The crypto market took a heavy hit this week as $Bitcoin crashed sharply, dragging sentiment down across the market.
The Total Crypto Market Cap chart shows prices hovering right above a key support area, with multiple failed attempts to rebound—a clear sign of bearish pressure. At the same time, the Stochastic RSI remains in overbought territory, signaling that momentum has cooled off and the market is waiting for a decisive move.

Total crypto market cap - TradingView

However, while most assets dipped, five altcoins surged massively, posting double- and even triple-digit gains in the past seven days.

Below are the top 5 outperformers, ranked by their 7-day surge.

1. Telcoin (TEL) – Up 112.67%Price: $0.0069597D Performance: ▲112.67%Market Cap: $633M$Telcoin leads the list with a stunning 112% weekly rally, making it the strongest performer during the Bitcoin crash. TEL’s surge appears driven by renewed interest in telecom-based crypto payments and rising on-chain activity.

Despite BTC weakness, TEL continued forming higher highs and higher lows on the weekly chart. If momentum continues, the token could retest its mid-2024 ranges.

Next targets: $0.009 and $0.012
Support: $0.0058

2. Starknet (STRK) – Up 54.06%Price: $0.22617D Performance: ▲54.06%Market Cap: $1.03B$Starknet bounced aggressively, gaining more than 54%. The sharp 24h rally (+26%) indicates bullish speculation around upcoming network upgrades and TVL acceleration.

STRK typically thrives during periods of market volatility, as Layer-2 scaling narratives remain strong.

Next targets: $0.27 and $0.32
Support: $0.19

3. AB (AB) – Up 25.33%Price: $0.0069127D Performance: ▲25.33%Market Cap: $601MAB posted a solid 25% weekly gain, holding firm even while BTC collapsed. Although its 24h performance is neutral, its weekly chart shows a healthy uptrend supported by rising volume.

Next targets: $0.008 and $0.009
Support: $0.0064

4. World Liberty Financial (WLFI) – Up 18.32%Price: $0.14777D Performance: ▲18.32%Market Cap: $3.63B$WLFI continues to attract attention as a new financial-infrastructure narrative token. Its 18% weekly rise shows strong resilience during this correction.

Even while Bitcoin dipped, WLFI charted a clean recovery structure with steady buying volume, as Trump was seen recently talking positively about cryptocurrencies.

Next targets: $0.165 and $0.19
Support: $0.135

5. Uniswap (UNI) – Up 13.83%Price: $7.437D Performance: ▲13.83%Market Cap: $4.69B$Uniswap rounds out the list with nearly 14% gains in a tough week. UNI’s move likely stems from growing decentralized trading volumes and ecosystem upgrades.

While not as explosive as the others, UNI remains one of the strongest majors this week.

Next targets: $7.90 and $8.60
Support: $6.90

Why These Coins Surged While Bitcoin CrashedWhile Bitcoin’s drop erased billions in market value, these five coins rallied due to:

Strong narratives (L2 scaling, telecom, decentralized finance)Capital rotation from BTC into small/mid-cap coinsOversold bounces after weeks of consolidationHigh speculative momentumWhen Bitcoin corrects, traders often rotate into altcoins that show early strength—creating sharp, short-term pumps.

Bitcoin's price decline has intensified over the past several days, with the asset falling under the critical $100,000 level and trading near $97,000 for the first time since May. The drop has shaken market confidence, leading to reduced leverage, increased stablecoin rotation, and a rise in fear-driven selling across major exchanges.

Alvin Lang
Nov 16, 2025 14:35

ETH trades at $3,159.27 near critical support as institutional whales deploy $1.37B during November's 12% correction, while 21Shares launches new crypto index ETFs.

Quick Take
• ETH trading at $3,159.27 (down 0.6% in 24h)
• Ethereum whales accumulated $1.37 billion during November's price correction
• ETH testing lower Bollinger Band support at $2,976
• Bitcoin correlation remains strong amid broader crypto market weakness

Market Events Driving Ethereum Price Movement
The most significant catalyst supporting ETH price this week has been massive whale accumulation during November's correction. Data reveals that major Ethereum holders deployed approximately $1.37 billion over just three days in early November, aggressively buying the dip as ETH price dropped over 12% from monthly highs.

This institutional buying activity coincides with 21Shares launching two U.S. cryptocurrency index ETFs that include Ethereum alongside Solana and Dogecoin. The ETFs are structured under the Investment Company Act of 1940, providing the regulatory framework and tax benefits that professional investors prefer. This development signals growing institutional appetite for diversified crypto exposure beyond single-asset products.

The backdrop has been further supported by expectations that the U.S. government shutdown will end between November 12-15, with Polymarket assigning a 96% probability to resolution within this timeframe. Over $31 million in trading volume on related contracts indicates significant market interest in this outcome, typically positive for risk assets including cryptocurrencies.

Despite these fundamentally positive developments, ETH price continues to face technical pressure, suggesting that the immediate impact may be more about establishing a floor than driving immediate upside momentum.

ETH Technical Analysis: Testing Critical Support Zone
Price Action Context
Ethereum technical analysis reveals ETH price is currently trading significantly below all major moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $3,295 and 20-day SMA at $3,521 acting as immediate resistance levels. The current price of $3,159.27 represents a 43% discount from the 52-week high of $4,832, positioning ETH in a technically oversold condition that aligns with the whale accumulation narrative.

Trading volume on Binance spot market reached $1.2 billion in 24 hours, indicating sustained institutional interest despite the price weakness. This volume profile suggests that current levels are attracting significant buying interest, potentially establishing a foundation for future recovery.

Key Technical Indicators
The RSI at 34.23 places Ethereum in neutral territory but approaching oversold conditions, typically associated with potential bounce scenarios. More concerning is the MACD reading of -204.89, with the histogram at -24.64 confirming bearish momentum remains intact despite recent whale buying.

The Bollinger Bands present the most critical technical setup, with ETH price at 0.1674 position near the lower band at $2,976. Historical analysis shows that when ETH price reaches this extreme positioning within the bands, significant reversals often follow, especially when supported by fundamental catalysts like current institutional buying.

Critical Price Levels for Ethereum Traders
Immediate Levels (24-48 hours)
• Resistance: $3,295 (7-day moving average and recent rejection level)
• Support: $3,057 (strong support confluence and whale accumulation zone)

Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios
A breakdown below $3,057 support could trigger additional selling toward the lower Bollinger Band at $2,976, representing a potential 6% decline. However, the significant whale accumulation at current levels suggests this scenario faces substantial buying pressure.

Upside breakthrough above $3,295 resistance would target the 20-day SMA at $3,521, representing potential 15% gains and signaling that the institutional buying is beginning to impact price momentum positively.

ETH Correlation Analysis
Ethereum continues to trade in strong correlation with Bitcoin, which is also experiencing downward pressure today. This correlation has been particularly pronounced during the November correction, with both assets facing similar technical resistance levels.

Traditional market correlation has been mixed, with crypto markets showing relative independence from S&P 500 movements during this period. The focus on crypto-specific catalysts like ETF launches and whale accumulation suggests that Ethereum is primarily responding to sector-specific rather than broader market dynamics.

Trading Outlook: Ethereum Near-Term Prospects
Bullish Case
The combination of $1.37 billion whale accumulation and new ETF launches creates a compelling fundamental backdrop for ETH price recovery. If these institutional flows continue and technical support at $3,057 holds, targets of $3,521 (20-day SMA) and eventually $3,893 (50-day SMA) become achievable within the next 2-4 weeks.

Bearish Case
Failure to hold current support levels despite whale buying would indicate deeper institutional distribution and could trigger stops below $3,000. This scenario would target the lower Bollinger Band at $2,976, with potential extension toward $2,800 if selling accelerates.

Risk Management
Given the current volatility measure (ATR) of $222, traders should implement wider stop-losses around 7-8% below entry points. Position sizing should account for potential $200+ daily moves, with particular attention to the $3,057 support level as a logical stop-loss reference point for long positions.

Image source: Shutterstock

eth price analysis
eth price prediction

Solana continues to strengthen its position as one of the fastest-growing blockchain networks, with recent developments showing that the ecosystem is evolving much faster than many market participants realize. While the spotlight often falls on Solana's transaction speed and low fees, a new sector within the ecosystem—the BIT narrative—is emerging as a powerful force driving deeper structural changes.

Bitcoin started its life as a rank outsider. It didn’t emerge from Silicon Valley ingenuity or the boardrooms of central banks. Rather, Bitcoin’s arrival in the fallout of the Great Financial Crisis was both perfectly timed and profoundly subversive.

A whitepaper posted to a cypherpunk mailing list by the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto pitched a peer-to-peer payment network that could bypass the compromised machinery of post-2008 finance.

Bitcoin was “F-you money,” a pure play against bailouts, bank failures, and central planning. Early adopters saw themselves as digital renegades, building the rails for a new kind of freedom money. Uncensored, borderless, and untethered by the whims of officials and the failures of ageing institutions. Satoshi posted on January 17, 2009:

“It might make sense just to get some in case it catches on. If enough people think the same way, that becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.”

From original rebel to institutional darlingWithin 15 years, Bitcoin went from a nerdy whitepaper to a global monetary network worth more than $2 trillion. Regulatory acceptance, once the farthest horizon, finally broke into daylight; first with cautious overtures, then with headline approval. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant remarked on the anniversary of Bitcoin’s inception:

“17 years after the white paper, the Bitcoin network is still operational and more resilient than ever. Bitcoin never shuts down.”

With each milestone — spot ETF launches, Wall Street allocating billions, Washington passing bills, or Bitcoin held on public company balance sheets — the original rebel seemingly conquered every mountain.

But with legitimacy comes a slower-moving threat: relevance. The technologies that shake the world only live so long as their stories resonate. And the next generation isn’t buying it.

The graveyard of Bitcoin obituariesTo write Bitcoin’s obituary has become a tired genre (if not an industry). Whether it was the ambiguity of early code, Mt. Gox’s catastrophic hack, China’s mining ban, regulatory hammer blows, or the specter of quantum computing, there have been more than 450 headlines declaring Bitcoin dead.

Warren Buffett, “Oracle of Omaha,” called it “rat poison squared.” Jamie Dimon jibed:

“I’ve always been completely opposed to crypto, Bitcoin, etc. The only true use case for it is criminals, drug traffickers… money laundering, tax avoidance… If I was the government, I’d close it down.”

Yet each crisis seems to strengthen Bitcoin’s immune system. After every regulatory scare, security meltdown, or bear market, the network persists, blocks keep ticking, and a new narrative has emerged: Bitcoin is unstoppable.

That belief has become so pervasive that even the likes of Russian President Vladimir Putin have repeated it on record:

“Bitcoin, who can ban it? Nobody. And who can prohibit the use of other electronic payment instruments? Nobody, because these are new technologies.”

Indeed, Bitcoin has become the spiritual successor to gold for the digital millennial class: anti-fragile, and (if survival counts for anything) immortal.

But as Casa CSO and Bitcoin security expert Jameson Lopp previously told Slate Sundays, the greatest threat to Bitcoin isn’t technological magic or regulatory jousting. In 2025, it’s apathy: not enough young people care.

Gen-Z: Short on cash, short on Bitcoin‘Zoomers’, the cohort born into iPhones and Instagram, raised on YouTube and TikTok, and entering adulthood amid “late capitalism” fatigue, are rewriting the economic playbook.

The average Gen-Z graduate faces stagnant wages, remote odds of affording a mortgage, evaporating entry-level jobs, and new levels of credit card debt. When “the future” doesn’t exist beyond the next paycheck, why store value for tomorrow? As Sean Ristau, VP of Digital Assets at InvestiFi, told Slate Sundays:

“Bitcoin began as a direct challenge to the financial system, a form of protest. Now it more resembles digital gold, primarily controlled by whales and banks. For young people dealing with inflation, debt, and rising costs, that image doesn’t connect.”

Bitcoin, for all its market machismo, looks suspiciously boomerish to much of Gen-Z. Its earliest champions wear the battle scars of 2008, while Zoomers have only known meme stocks, Robinhood options, and dog tokens.

CIO of ProCap BTC and Bitwise advisor Jeff Park warns that Bitcoin’s narrative needs to change. Gen-Z craves meaning, he argues, not inflation hedges, and:

“In the end the whole Bitcoin thesis breaks if the young don’t buy.”

Discussing the same issue on a recent What Bitcoin Did podcast, American HODL acknowledged:

“It’s actually a massive problem that Gen-Z doesn’t have enough interest in Bitcoin because they’re too nihilistic. We have to continue to reach out and try and shake them awake, and be like, “Dude, do something now before it’s too late!” from a self-preservation standpoint and for their own good. It’s both things.”

The political backdrop: Red vs. blue HODLingPartisan divides around Bitcoin have never been sharper, either. When the Biden administration doubled down on Choke Point 2.0 against crypto businesses, the party line became “crypto bad, oversight good.”

In contrast, MAGA Republicans, libertarian stalwarts, and some moderate centrists now see embracing Bitcoin as a way to show support for fiscal independence and national renewal.

But Zoomers are tuning out. They’ve flocked to online communities where solidarity trumps speculation. The politics of Bitcoin, once pitched as freedom from governments, now struggle against rising tides of economic anxiety and rampant distrust not just in DC, but in anything institutional. Park warned:

“There is a reason the socialist candidates are not embracing Bitcoin in elections – it’s not because they are afraid of “the establishment,” they have come to the conclusion it hurts them. This is unequivocally bad. Bitcoin and Mamdani has to be the same platform for Bitcoin to win, not Bitcoin and Ackman.”

While Trump and a rising cadre of Republican voices embrace Bitcoin as patriot tech, left-leaning Gen-Zers turn toward socialist firebrands like Zohran Mamdani. Bitcoin gets cast as a libertarian side hustle (or worse), part of the stodgy old guard. Either way, a far cry from the street-savvy rebel it once was.

Why Bitcoin’s philosophy fails to landBitcoin’s original pitch of freedom from banks, inflation-proof savings, and digital unseizability just doesn’t spark much excitement among young people. For them, money is less like a fortress to defend and more like a set of points in an endless game: always in play and constantly moving. CMO of Bitget Wallet, Jamie Elkaleh, told Slate Sundays:

“Gen Z’s investment culture is faster, social, and memetic. They gravitate toward community-driven tokens, AI-linked assets, and creator economies because these feel participatory and align with their digital behaviors.

Younger users often see Bitcoin as an asset for funds and treasuries rather than a platform where they can participate directly… Bitcoin’s narrative as “digital gold” offers security and prestige but lacks the interactive, purpose-driven energy that defines this generation’s engagement with finance.”

Ristau added:

“Crypto ownership is growing fast (more than half of Gen Z has owned digital assets at some point), but Bitcoin’s audience still skews older, wealthier, and mostly male. Younger users are chasing very different things: memecoins with a purpose, AI-linked tokens, and social or gaming projects that feel fun, useful, or community-driven. So why the disconnect?”

Demographic problem or demographic opportunity?Is it any wonder that young people under 25 are increasingly disenchanted with the world and their place in it? High inflation, inaccessible wealth-building, and zero trust in the institutions their parents relied on.

Paradoxically, this struggle could drive the next wave of adoption. Grant Cardone, CEO of Cardone Capital, told Slate Sundays:

“There’s no ‘youth dilemma’ in Bitcoin. The real problem isn’t the age of the holders; it’s the mindset. Gen-Z has been told to trade memes instead of build wealth. They’re chasing fast money instead of legacy money. Bitcoin was built for people who think long-term, who understand that control, scarcity, and freedom are the foundation of wealth.”

In this case, Bitcoin’s supposed “demographic problem” becomes more of a demographic opportunity. A new wave, led by a generation ready to claim digital ownership. As Elkaleh emphasized:

“Bitcoin’s youth dilemma stems from a widening gap between its institutional maturity and its cultural relevance. Ownership among younger investors hasn’t vanished, but their first touchpoint increasingly comes from culture-linked assets, not BTC. While institutions and ETFs have strengthened Bitcoin’s credibility, they’ve also shifted its center of gravity away from grassroots, online-native communities.”

Bridging the gap: Bitcoin and youth cultureSo, how does Bitcoin move beyond its graying investor base and attract the creators, gamers, and digital entrepreneurs of Gen-Z? The answer is utility, trust, and culture. Cardone is matter-of-fact:

“Bitcoin doesn’t need to ‘change’ for Gen Z; Gen Z needs to wake up to Bitcoin. But I’ll tell you what will make it more appealing: education, empowerment, and experience.”

Ristau believes the focus should be more on Bitcoin’s utility and growing use cases worldwide. He points out:

“Inflation hedge, financial freedom, and lower global remittance costs are essential considerations. Crypto remittances have increased by more than 400% in recent years. That story should be front and center.”

Elkaleh doubles down on the need to rejuvenate Bitcoin’s message and place it firmly on utility as well:

“Equally important is a narrative refresh. The “digital gold” framing resonates with institutions and long-term investors but fails to explain Bitcoin’s human utility. For younger users, Bitcoin’s relevance comes from what it enables—privacy, self-custody, censorship resistance, and cause-driven transactions. Tying these principles to tangible experiences, such as remittances or community donations, can make Bitcoin meaningful beyond price.”

Bitcoin has endured more existential threats than any digital creation, outlasting the dark prophecies of decline from Wall Street’s titans to the regulatory halls of power. But the greatest threat may be losing the spark of youth: the rebels, dreamers, and builders who gave Bitcoin its soul.

Whether Bitcoin becomes a museum piece or world-changing money will depend, as ever, on who cares enough to carry the torch.

Ultimately, the survival of “freedom money” depends on shifting the narrative from legacy to a story of meaning. Bitcoin was never supposed to be boring. And to thrive into the next decade and beyond, it needs to feel vital, not simply valuable.

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Now Ethereum faces one of its toughest stretches this year as ETF outflows, long-term selling, and chart breakdowns hit at once. At the same time, whales, liquidity zones, and an approaching Fusaka upgrade pull the market’s focus to what comes next for ETH.

Ethereum Slides as ETF Outflows and Long-Term Selling Hit MarketEthereum is trading below its 7-day and 30-day moving averages, signaling a bearish trend as the token logs a one-week loss of about 6.6 percent. The breakdown comes after a sharp reversal from recent highs, keeping ETH under pressure against both the dollar and Bitcoin.

Ethereum Bearish Breakdown. Source: 10x Research

At the same time, spot Ethereum ETFs have recorded more than $1.4 billion in net outflows, pulling institutional money out of the asset. These redemptions, combined with faster selling from long-term holders who kept coins for three to ten years, are adding steady supply to the market. On-chain data shows this older cohort is selling at the fastest pace since 2021, a period that previously coincided with heavier volatility.

Yet large “whale” addresses are using the weakness to accumulate. During the latest dip, they bought hundreds of thousands of ETH worth over $1 billion, according to 10x Research. This accumulation provides a counterweight to the selling pressure, but until price recovers its short- and medium-term moving averages, the overall setup still leans bearish for Ethereum.

Ethereum Tests Weekly Liquidity Levels as Chart Signals Key Structural ZonesMeanwhile, Ethereum is approaching major weekly liquidity areas, according to new chart analysis from CapoLittle. The structure highlights a sequence of strong highs and lows, liquidity sweeps, and trendline reactions that have shaped ETH’s long-term market behavior.

Ethereum Weekly Liquidity Zones. Source: CapoLittle

On the chart, ETH shows several liquidity grabs beneath higher-timeframe supports, followed by recoveries toward mid-range resistance zones. These sweeps often align with trendline touches, indicating where leveraged positions are forced out before price reverses. The latest move pushes ETH back toward a confluence of support formed by prior sweeps and the ascending long-term trendline.

At the same time, the chart marks a recent break of structure near the upper resistance band, which previously triggered a sharp move upward. If ETH holds above its highlighted liquidity zone, the pattern suggests room for a rebound toward the upper boundary. However, a clean breakdown below the trendline liquidity region would shift focus to deeper support levels from earlier cycles.

Ethereum is quietly positioning for one of its most important milestones in years as the network moves toward the Fusaka upgrade scheduled for December 3, 2025. The chart shows ETH recovering from a recent pullback after the Pectra upgrade in May 2025, which preceded a 53 percent rally. 

Ethereum Pectra To Fusaka Upgrade Chart. Source: X

Analysts now watch how the upcoming upgrade could shape the next phase of Ethereum’s price trend, with the market approaching a key period for network changes and investor expectations.

Bitcoin is flashing some of its starkest warning signals since the last cycle peak. Now a fresh death cross, a bear-market roadmap into late 2026, and nearly 10,000 BTC rushing onto exchanges are forcing traders to rethink the rally. 

Bitcoin Death Cross Forms as Traders Weigh Mixed SignalBitcoin has printed a “death cross” on the daily chart as its 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day line, reviving debate over what comes next for the market. The crossover, highlighted by analyst Borg Cryptos, appears with BTC trading near $96,000 while the 50-day average hovers around $110,323 and the 200-day around $110,455 on OKX’s BTCUSDT pair.

Bitcoin MA Crossover Chart. Source: X

In technical analysis, a death cross often signals weakening momentum after a sustained uptrend. However, previous instances on this chart show a mixed record. In the last two crossovers, Bitcoin went on to stage strong rallies, with price climbing sharply in the months that followed the signal. Those moves came while the broader trend still leaned bullish and before a clear market peak formed.

By contrast, Borg notes that when a similar crossover appeared after a cycle top in an earlier period, it aligned with the start of a prolonged bear market. This history now shapes how traders interpret the latest signal. Some see the pattern as a potential shakeout within a larger uptrend, while others point to the post-top example as a reminder that the same indicator once preceded a deeper downturn.

Trader Cameron Fous Maps Deep Bitcoin Bear Market Into Late 2026Trader Cameron Fous says a Bitcoin bear market has started and projects a multi-year drop before the next major rally. In a new BTC/USD weekly chart, he outlines a potential bottom between $57,000 and $37,000 around December 2026, calling on followers to “prepare to buy that dip” once price reaches his target zone.

Bitcoin Long-Term Cycle Projection. Source: X

Fous bases the forecast on previous cycle drawdowns and Fibonacci retracement levels. His chart highlights how earlier peaks in 2018 and 2022 were followed by long declines that lasted roughly 12 to 14 months and retraced into the 0.5–0.786 Fibonacci range. He now plots a similar path from the current cycle high, with Bitcoin breaking below its key moving average and then sliding into a green support box that covers the $57,000–$37,000 band.

At the same time, the chart sketches a recovery once that zone is reached. After the projected low in late 2026, Fous expects Bitcoin to base at those Fibonacci levels and then grind higher toward new all-time highs. His scenario frames the latest sell-off as the early phase of a larger downtrend, while suggesting that the next major accumulation opportunity could emerge only after an extended period of weakness.

Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Jump as Nearly 10,000 BTC Hit Trading PlatformsMore than 10,000 Bitcoin—worth nearly $1 billion—have moved onto centralized exchanges in the past 72 hours, according to on-chain analyst Ali. The latest spike appears on Santiment data, which tracks exchange supply, inflows and BTC’s spot price over the same period.

Bitcoin Exchange Inflow Chart. Source: Santiment / Ali Charts

The chart shows a clear uptick in inflows while Bitcoin trades under pressure, highlighting renewed selling activity or positioning ahead of volatility. Exchange supply has edged higher as these coins arrive, signaling that holders are transferring BTC out of cold storage and into markets where it can be sold or redeployed.

At the same time, BTC’s price action has weakened, with the increase in inflows aligning with sharper intraday swings. Analysts often view these surges as signs of rising short-term risk, since large wallets typically move funds onto exchanges before executing trades.

As winter's chill settles in across the U.S., and electricity bills become a bigger budgeting issue, most Americans will rely on their usual sources of warmth, such as home heating oil, natural gas, and electric furnaces. But in a few cases, crypto is generating the heat, and if some of the nascent crypto heat industry's proponents are correct, someday its use as a source within homes and buildings will be much more widespread.

Let's start with the basics: the computing power of crypto mining generates a lot of heat, most which just ends up vented into the air. According to digital assets brokerage, K33, the bitcoin mining industry generates about 100 TWh of heat annually — enough to heat all of Finland. This energy waste within a very energy-intense industry is leading entrepreneurs to look for ways to repurpose the heat for homes, offices, or other locations, especially in colder weather months.

During a frigid snap earlier this year, The New York Times reviewed HeatTrio, a $900 space heater that also doubles as a bitcoin mining rig. Others use the heat from their own in-home cryptocurrency mining to spread warmth throughout their house.

"I've seen bitcoin rigs running quietly in attics, with the heat they generate rerouted through the home's ventilation system to offset heating costs. It's a clever use of what would otherwise be wasted energy," said Jill Ford, CEO of Bitford Digital, a sustainable bitcoin mining company based in Dallas. "Using the heat is another example of how crypto miners can be energy allies if you apply some creativity to their potential," Ford said.

It's not necessarily going to save someone money on their electric bill — the economics will vary greatly from place to place and person to person, based on factors including local electricity rates and how fast a mining machine is — but the approach might make money to offset heating costs.

"Same price as heating the house, but the perk is that you are mining bitcoin," Ford said.

A single mining machine — even an older model — is sufficient. Solo miners can join mining pools to share computing power and receive proportional payouts, making returns more predictable and changing the economic equation.  

"The concept of using crypto mining or GPU compute to heat homes is clever in theory because almost all the energy consumed by computation is released as heat," said Andrew Sobko, founder of Argentum AI, which is creating a marketplace for the sharing of computing power. But he added that the concept makes the most sense in larger settings, particularly in colder climates or high-density buildings, such as data centers, where compute heat shows real promise as a form of industrial-scale heat recapture.

To make it work — it's not like you can transport the heat somewhere by truck or train — you have to identity where the computing heat is needed and route it to that place, such as co-locating GPUs in environments from industrial parks to residential buildings.

"We're working with partners who are already redirecting compute heat into building heating systems and even agricultural greenhouse warming. That's where the economics and environmental benefits make real sense," Sobko said. "Instead of trying to move the heat physically, you move the compute closer to where that heat provides value," he added.

Why skeptics say crypto home heating won't workThere are plenty of skeptics.

Derek Mohr, clinical associate professor at the University of Rochester Simon School of Business, does not think the future of home heating lies in crypto and says even industrial crypto is problematic.

Bitcoin mining is so specialized now that a home computer, or even network of home computers, would have almost zero chance of being helpful in mining a block of bitcoin, according to Mohr, with mining farms use of specialized chips that are created to mine bitcoin much faster than a home computer.

"While bitcoin mining at home — and in networks of home computers — was a thing that had small success 10 years ago, it no longer is," Mohr said.

"The bitcoin heat devices I have seen appear to be simple space heaters that use your own electricity to heat the room ... which is not an efficient way to heat a house," he said. "Yes, bitcoin mining generates a lot of heat, but the only way to get that to your house is to use your own electricity," Mohr said.

He added that while running your computer non-stop would generate heat, it has a very low probability of successfully mining a bitcoin block.

"In my opinion, this is not a real opportunity that will work. Instead it is taking advantage of things people have heard of — excess heat from bitcoin mining and profits from mining — and is giving false hope that there is a way for an individual to benefit from this," Mohr said.

But some experts say more widespread use of plug-and-play, free-standing mining rigs, might make the concept viable in more locations over time. In the least, they say it is worth studying the dual use economic and environmental benefits based on the underlying fact that crypto mining generates significant heat as a byproduct of the computer processing.

"How can we capture the excess heat from the operation to power something else? That could range from heating a home to warming water, even in a swimming pool. As a result, your operating efficiency is higher on your power consumption," said Nikki Morris, the executive director of the Texas Christian University Ralph Lowe Energy Institute.

She says the concept of crypto heating is still in its earliest stages, and most people don't yet understand how it works or what the broader implications could be. "That's part of what makes it so interesting. At Texas Christian University, we see opportunities to help people build both the vocabulary and the business use feasibility with industry partners," Morris said.

Because crypto mining produces a digital asset that can be traded, it introduces a new source of revenue from power consumption, and the power source could be anything from the grid to natural gas to solar to wind or battery generation, according to Morris. She cited charging an electric vehicle at mixed-use buildings or apartment complexes as an example.

"Picture a similar scenario where an apartment complex's crypto mining setup produces both digital currency and usable heat energy. That opens the door to distributed energy innovation to a broader stakeholder base, an approach that could complement existing heating systems and renewable generation strategies," Morris said.

There are many questions to explore, including efficiency at different scales, integration with other energy sources, regulatory considerations, and overall environmental impact, "but as these technologies evolve, it's worth viewing crypto heating not just as a curiosity, but as a small window into how digital and physical energy systems might increasingly converge in the future," Morris said.

Testing bitcoin heat in the real worldThe crypto-heated future may be unfolding in the town of Challis, Idaho, where Cade Peterson's company, Softwarm, is repurposing bitcoin heat to ward off the winter.

Several shops and businesses in town are experimenting with Softwarm's rigs to mine and heat. At TC Car, Truck and RV Wash, Peterson says, the owner was spending $25 a day to heat his wash bays to melt snow and warm up the water.

"Traditional heaters would consume energy with no returns. They installed bitcoin miners and it produces more money in bitcoin than it costs to run," Peterson said. Meanwhile, an industrial concrete company is offsetting its $1,000 a month bill to heat its 2,500-gallon water tank by heating it with bitcoin.

Peterson has heated his own home for two-and-a-half years using bitcoin mining equipment and believes that heat will power almost everything in the future. "You will go to Home Depot in a few years and buy a water heater with a data port on it and your water will be heated with bitcoin," Peterson said.