Market Signal Briefing

Joerg Hiller Mar 01, 2026 09:29

Toncoin shows oversold conditions at $1.25 with analyst targets of $1.36-$1.40 this week. Technical breakout above $1.33 resistance could trigger rally toward $1.50. TON Price Prediction Summary •...

Toncoin shows oversold conditions at $1.25 with analyst targets of $1.36-$1.40 this week. Technical breakout above $1.33 resistance could trigger rally toward $1.50.

TON Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $1.36-$1.40 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.25-$1.50 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.33 • Critical support: $1.22

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin Recent analyst coverage suggests cautious optimism for Toncoin's near-term prospects. According to Ted Hisokawa's February 27th analysis, TON price prediction indicates short-term targets of $1.36-$1.40 within the next week, with medium-term forecasts maintaining a $1.25-$1.50 range. The analyst identified $1.36 as the critical bullish breakout level and $1.24 as crucial support.

Alvin Lang's technical analysis from February 23rd highlighted TON trading at oversold levels with potential to test $1.43 resistance before a possible breakout toward $1.51 monthly targets. CoinCodex provided a more aggressive Toncoin forecast, projecting TON could reach $1.66 by March 3rd, 2026.

While specific institutional analyst predictions remain limited, on-chain metrics from major data platforms suggest accumulation patterns at current price levels, supporting the bullish technical outlook.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown Toncoin's current technical picture presents a compelling oversold setup at $1.25. The RSI reading of 33.34 indicates neutral conditions with room for upward movement, while the token trades near the lower Bollinger Band at 0.10 position, historically a strong reversal zone.

The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled, potentially signaling an inflection point. Key moving averages paint a mixed picture with the 7-day SMA at $1.29 providing immediate resistance, while the 20-day SMA at $1.36 aligns perfectly with analyst breakout targets.

Critical technical levels show strong resistance at $1.33 and immediate resistance at $1.29. The pivot point sits at $1.26, just above current prices, while immediate support holds at $1.22 with stronger support at $1.18. The daily ATR of $0.06 suggests moderate volatility, providing reasonable risk-reward ratios for position entries.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario The bull case for TON price prediction centers on a breakout above $1.33 resistance, which could trigger momentum toward the $1.36-$1.40 target range within one week. Technical confirmation would require sustained volume above 7-day averages and RSI climbing above 40.

A successful retest of $1.36 support (previous resistance) could open the path to $1.43 and eventually the $1.50 upper Bollinger Band. The most optimistic Toncoin forecast suggests potential for $1.66 if broader crypto market sentiment improves and Telegram ecosystem developments provide fundamental catalysts.

Bearish Scenario The bear case involves a breakdown below $1.22 immediate support, which could expose the $1.18 strong support level. Technical deterioration would be confirmed by RSI dropping below 30 and trading volume declining significantly below the current $5.9 million daily average.

A failure to hold $1.18 support could trigger further selling toward the psychological $1.00 level. Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, regulatory concerns around Telegram's blockchain initiatives, or technical selling pressure from overleveraged positions.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy Based on current technical conditions, a staged entry approach appears optimal for TON price prediction strategies. Primary entry consideration around $1.25-$1.26 offers favorable risk-reward with tight stop-loss placement below $1.22 support.

For more conservative positioning, waiting for a breakout above $1.29 with volume confirmation provides better probability of success. Stop-loss orders should be placed below $1.18 to limit downside risk, representing approximately 6% maximum loss from current levels.

Risk management suggests position sizing should account for TON's moderate volatility profile. The $0.06 daily ATR indicates typical daily moves of 4-5%, making this suitable for both swing trading and longer-term accumulation strategies.

Conclusion The TON price prediction outlook remains cautiously bullish for the next 1-2 weeks, with technical indicators supporting analyst targets of $1.36-$1.40. Current oversold conditions at $1.25 present an attractive entry opportunity for traders willing to accept moderate risk.

The Toncoin forecast depends heavily on broader cryptocurrency market conditions and TON's ability to break above $1.33 resistance with conviction. While analyst projections suggest upside potential toward $1.50-$1.66, traders should maintain disciplined risk management given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

ton price analysis ton price prediction

Cover image via www.freepik.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

During a recent appearance on the "What Bitcoin Did" podcast, Galaxy research Alex Thorn rejected the idea that the price of Bitcoin crashed due to the shenanigans of infamous quantitative trading firm Jane Street.

At the same time, he thinks that Wall Street negativity on Bitcoin is "real but wrong." 

"Twitter cope" Following the Terraform lawsuit, which accuses the New York-headquartered firm of insider trading, Bitcoiners found a new villain. 

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They started alleging that Jane Street was behind the 2022 cryptocurrency winter. Some even went as far as assuming that the trading giant is the reason why the price of Bitcoin is currently not at $150,000. 

Some alleged that the firm, which acts as an authorized participant for spot Bitcoin ETFs, was running an algorithm that would constantly suppress the price of Bitcoin. Some noticed that the price of BTC would constantly drop around 10 AM ET (U.S. stock market open).

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Bitwise advisor Jeff Park recently stated that a specific regulatory loophole would give Jane Street a unique advantage that would make it possible to manufacture short ETF shares at will. 

However, multiple theories dismissed the theory as unfounded, and Thorn is in their camp. 

Thorn has stated that the recent conspiracy theory is just "straight-up Twitter cope" and "a manufactured" controversy. 

"There's, you know, a market making firm, a quant trading firm, they're very often, you know, in a trade like this, most commonly they're probably trading it neutral, delta neutral. So they're doing the basis trade or some kind of arbitrage or hedge, right?... So, what is what do we think the actual incentive would be for them to suppress the price?" Thorn said during the podcast appearance.

Journalist

Posted: March 1, 2026

The final week of February 2026 saw renewed pressure across crypto markets. Rising geopolitical tensions weighed on global risk assets, including digital currencies.

However, ETF flow data painted a more nuanced picture.

Bitcoin ETF shows mixed signals The week began badly.

On the 23rd of February alone, $203.8 million flowed out of Bitcoin ETFs. The biggest shock came from BlackRock’s IBIT, which saw a sharp $116.4 million exit. But the story didn’t end there.

Source: Farside Investors

Over the next three days, sentiment flipped.

Bitcoin ETFs recorded a massive $1.1 billion in inflows. By the end of the week, however, momentum slowed again. The inflows cooled, and the market tone turned cautious.

While Bitcoin [BTC] grabbed most of the attention, the altcoin ETF market told a very different story.

Ethereum follows Bitcoin’s mood swings Ethereum ETFs mostly moved in the same unstable pattern as Bitcoin.

The week started with a sharp $49.5 million outflow on the 23rd of February. Almost all of it came from BlackRock’s ETHA, which alone saw $45.4 million leave the fund.

But that fear didn’t last long. Mid-week, buyers stepped in.

Fidelity’s FBTC saw $61.9 million in inflows, and even Grayscale’s ETHE, which rarely sees strong positive flows, recorded a $33.8 million inflow on the 25th of February.

This pushed Ethereum ETFs back into positive territory for the week.

However, the momentum faded again by the 27th of February, with $43 million flowing out. Just like Bitcoin, Ethereum [ETH] ended the week showing hesitation rather than confidence.

Solana and XRP ETFs show consistent flows On the other hand, Solana ETFs told a calmer story.

They recorded inflows for five straight days. Daily numbers were smaller, between $0.5 million and $8 million, but they stayed positive throughout the week.

On the 25th of February, inflows jumped to $30.9 million, suggesting that larger investors may be slowly building positions.

Not only Solana, but also Ripple ETFs showed resilience.

Source: SoSoValue

After a quiet 23rd of February, they recorded four consecutive days of inflows starting on the 24th of February. Total inflows crossed $9.5 million for the week.

While the numbers weren’t huge, the consistency stood out.

Needless to say, the winners of the past week were Solana [SOL] and Ripple [XRP]. Even when Bitcoin ETFs were losing hundreds of millions, these altcoin ETFs stayed positive. 

Unfortunately, the losers were BlackRock’s IBIT and ETHA. 

What’s more? Now, as we move into March, the crypto market feels confusing. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is still stuck in “Extreme Fear.”

However, while retail investors hesitate, the online conversation is shifting.

According to LunarCrush data, social media dominance is no longer about memecoins or quick gains. Instead, traditional finance giants like Vanguard and BlackRock are leading the discussion, thanks to the ETFs. 

All in all, the steady inflows into Solana and XRP ETFs suggest that ETFs still run the game; it’s just that instead of focusing only on Bitcoin and Ethereum, investors are spreading exposure. 

Final Summary While sentiment screams “risk,” ETF flows suggest strategic repositioning. The quick rebound after heavy outflows proves liquidity remains strong.

JUP and HYPE are among the top performers in the past 24 hours, soaring by double digits.

Bitcoin’s price went through some intense volatility on Saturday after the attacks on Iran and the subsequent retaliation, but has returned to essentially its starting point.

Many altcoins plummeted hard yesterday but have followed BTC on the way up, with ETH trading close to $2,000 and XRP taking back the fourth spot in terms of market cap from BNB.

BTC Down and Up The previous business week began with a leg down, with bitcoin dropping from $68,000 to just over $64,000 after the most recent tariff developments. It dipped further on Tuesday to a multi-week low of $62,500 before it bounced off hard on Wednesday, tapping $70,000 for the first time in about eight days.

However, this rally seemed doomed, at least according to many analysts, and BTC indeed began to lose value almost immediately. The cryptocurrency fell by a few grand but remained sideways around $68,000 for the next few days. Saturday began with a bang (literally for several countries in the Middle East) when the US and Israel first attacked Iran, which retaliated against Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, and Qatar.

BTC slumped from $67,000 to $63,000 within hours of the initial attacks. However, it rebounded hard to over $68,000 later during the day after reports that Iran’s Supreme Leader was killed in the attacks. It was stopped there, though, and now trades below $67,000.

Its market cap has returned to $1.335 trillion, while its dominance over the alts stands inches above 56%.

BTCUSD Mar 1. Source: TradingView Alts Recover Most altcoins have reacted well to yesterday’s calamity. Ethereum is back to $2,000 after a 7.5% surge on a 24-hour scale. BNB is up to $622, but XRP has reclaimed the fourth spot in terms of market cap after an 8% surge to almost $1.40.

SOL, DOGE, ADA, and LINK are up by 7-9%, while HYPE has stolen the show from the larger caps with a 15% surge to $31. JUP, NEAR, and PUMP are the other double-digit gainers on a daily scale.

The total crypto market cap has recovered about $100 billion in a day and is close to $2.4 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview Mar 1. Source: QuantifyCrypto

Moonpay and the universal stablecoin platform M0 have introduced PYUSDx, a framework that allows developers to launch their own branded stablecoins backed by Paypal USD (PYUSD). Announced on February 27, 2026, PYUSDx is designed to eliminate the months of technical and regulatory overhead usually required to bring a new stablecoin to market.

February was a wild month for the stock market as pressure built on software stocks over fears of AI disruption, and stocks fell in the last week of the month as President Trump said he would raise global tariffs to 15% after the Supreme Court struck down his earlier round of tariffs.

Market pullbacks can be painful, but they do set up buying opportunities. Let's take a look a few blue-chip dividend stocks worth buying right now.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Deere & Co. Deere & Co. (DE +1.60%) dominates the market for agricultural machinery and related tools including software, and the company has experienced something of a renaissance this year as it's rightfully being seen as a winner from AI.

Year-to-date, Deere & Co. stock is up 35% as the company is well positioned to capitalize on the AI boom. It's investing in areas like autonomous tractors, AI-powered cameras that can identify weeds and spray herbicide, and predictive maintenance to monitor machinery and reduce downtime.

Today's Change

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9.94

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629.40

By doing so, Deere is pivoting to technology while leveraging its brand advantage in a way that a typical software company can't. Its reputation and reach with farmers also make it difficult to displace, as the technology comes with the equipment it sells.

Even after its strong performance this year, Deere & Co. still pulled back last week, losing 5% in part on tariff-related fears. Deere is expensive now at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34, but that valuation seems warranted given the company's potential in AI.

2. GE Vernova Energy consumption is expected to spike from the AI boom, which puts energy generators in a good position, and GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV) is a leader in the industry.

Like Deere, GE Vernova (GEV 0.33%) has surged this year, up 34% so far. The company manufactures power turbines using a wide range of energy sources, including gas, nuclear, hydro, and wind, making it a valuable partner for data centers and increasing demand for energy from AI.

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GE Vernova shares actually rose last week as it seemed to benefit from a well-circulated AI doomsday blog post, as the company stands to benefit from growth in AI.

GE Vernova has delivered mid-teens growth and is premium-priced at a P/E ratio of 50, but it's in a unique position to capitalize on growing energy demand. The stock might not seem like a blue chip as it's only been public since 2024, but its assets were part of the GE conglomerate, and it's soared since GE broke up then.

3. Microsoft Microsoft (MSFT 2.17%) has been one of the biggest victims of the AI-driven software sell-off at least on a market-cap basis, and it pulled back last week as well, falling 1% in a volatile week.

However, Microsoft continues to deliver strong growth, and even if you buy into the AI disruption narrative, the company is much more than just a software business. It has a fast-growing cloud infrastructure business in Azure, Windows, gaming, LinkedIn, and other products, giving it a lot of ways to grow and capitalize on AI. It also owns 27% of OpenAI, giving it a major stake in the most valuable AI start-up.

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Microsoft is now down nearly 30% from its peak just a few months ago, setting up an attractive buying opportunity. Its P/E ratio has fallen to 24.5, making it both cheaper than the S&P 500 and one of the cheapest stocks in the "Magnificent Seven."

Microsoft looks poised to continue delivering mid-teens growth, making the stock a good bet to outperform at the current valuation.

News Summary:

Leading operators and infrastructure providers including Booz Allen, BT Group, Cisco, Deutsche Telekom, Ericsson, MITRE, Nokia, ODC, SK Telecom, SoftBank Corp. and T-Mobile will build on open and trusted software-defined wireless platforms.The commitment complements NVIDIA’s ongoing collaborations with industry and governments across Europe, Japan, Korea, the U.K. and the U.S. to advance AI-native 6G innovation. BARCELONA, Spain, March 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Mobile World Congress—NVIDIA today announced a commitment — together with Booz Allen, BT Group, Cisco, Deutsche Telekom, Ericsson, MITRE, Nokia, OCUDU Ecosystem Foundation, ODC, SK Telecom, SoftBank Corp. and T-Mobile — to build the world’s next generation of wireless networks on AI-native, open, secure and trustworthy platforms.

The initiative represents a shared commitment to ensure 6G infrastructure — the foundation for the world’s future connectivity — is open, intelligent, resilient and accelerates innovation and safeguards global trust.

Beyond traditional connectivity, 6G wireless networks will become the fabric for physical AI, enabling billions of autonomous machines, vehicles, sensors and robots and significantly increasing demands for security and trust. Legacy wireless architectures were not designed to meet these requirements, creating challenges as networks increase in complexity.

To address this, NVIDIA is bringing the industry together to advance AI-native, software-defined wireless platforms built on open and trusted principles. By embedding AI across the radio access network (RAN), edge and core, 6G networks must enable secure integrated sensing and communications, intelligence and decision-making while supporting interoperability, supply-chain resilience and faster innovation.

“AI is redefining computing and driving the largest infrastructure buildout in human history — and telecommunications is next,” said Jensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA. “Together with a global coalition of industry leaders, NVIDIA is building AI-RAN to transform the world’s telecom networks into AI infrastructure everywhere.”

Uniting on Openness and Trust for the AI-Native, Software-Defined Era of Connectivity
6G will be AI-native and software-defined, enabling wireless networks to advance at the pace of innovation. 6G networks, built on AI-RAN architecture, will continuously evolve through software, enabling real-time intelligence and rapid advancement. This transformation opens the door for a diverse ecosystem of participants — from global operators and technology providers to startups, researchers and developers — all contributing through open and programmable platforms.

Allison Kirkby, chief executive of BT Group, said: “Connectivity is the backbone of economic growth, and with this collaboration, we’re helping lay the foundations for a future ecosystem that is intelligent, sustainable and secure. By building on open and trustworthy AI native platforms, we can simplify future technologies like 6G, ensuring they build upon the strengths of today’s 5G networks while still unlocking powerful new capabilities at scale.”

Tim Höttges, CEO of Deutsche Telekom AG, said: “Best network, best customer experience — that remains our promise. With an open, intelligent and trusted 6G infrastructure, we are laying the foundation for the era of physical AI and unlocking new value for our customers, for industry and for society.”

Arielle Roth, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Communications and Information, and Administrator at the National Telecommunications and Information Administration, said: “America’s 6G leadership will be critical to our nation’s economic prosperity, national security and global competitiveness. Today’s announcement demonstrates that the United States and our allies and partners around the world are leading in this next-generation technology. We look forward to the next steps from this international industry coalition as they advance and implement their shared 6G vision.”

Jung Jai-hun, president and CEO of SK Telecom, said: “SKT is evolving telco infrastructure to serve as the foundation for the AI era, where connectivity serves as a platform for intelligence and innovation. Together, we can build open, trusted infrastructure that drives a global ecosystem of AI innovation.”

Hideyuki Tsukuda, executive vice president and chief technology officer of SoftBank Corp., said: “Al-native 6G will transform wireless networks into secure, software-defined infrastructure that supports the next wave of global innovation. SoftBank Corp. is driving this innovation with NVIDIA by advancing open and trusted platforms that enable interoperability, resilience and continuous evolution at scale.”

Srini Gopalan, CEO of T-Mobile, said: “We’re at a pivotal moment. In the U.S., we’ve laid the foundation with 5G Advanced and AI-native networks where intelligence lives inside the network. As 6G becomes the backbone of the AI era, telecom will serve as the nervous system of the digital economy, enabling autonomous systems and intelligent industries at scale and unlocking new value for customers and businesses alike. T-Mobile is proud to help define what’s next through deep ecosystem collaboration and sustained innovation.”

A Shared Vision for 6G: Open, Software-Defined, AI-Native
NVIDIA participates in global private and public initiatives to advance 6G innovation, contributing open source software, accessible platforms and joint research and development projects:

In the United States, NVIDIA has joined the FutureG Office-led OCUDU Initiative, aligning with government and industry partners to accelerate open, software-defined and AI-native 6G architectures.NVIDIA is a founding member of the AI-RAN Alliance, which now has over 130 participating companies driving AI-RAN innovation.NVIDIA, along with Booz Allen, Cisco, T-Mobile, MITRE and ODC, in October launched the AI-Native Wireless Networks (AI-WIN) project, an all-American AI-RAN stack to accelerate the path to 6G.In Korea, NVIDIA is collaborating with an industry consortium to help shape intelligent, secure, programmable 6G networks from the ground up.In the U.K., NVIDIA is collaborating with the Department for Science, Innovation and Technology to advance applied research, ecosystem development and trusted AI-native network design.Across Europe and Japan, NVIDIA is actively engaged with public and industry programs aimed at strengthening open innovation, interoperability and trusted infrastructure. Together, these collaborations represent a unified commitment — supported by like‑minded governments, operators and technology partners — to shape secure, intelligent and trusted global connectivity for the next generation of wireless technology.

About NVIDIA
NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) is the world leader in AI and accelerated computing.

For further information, contact:
Kasia Johnston
Corporate Communications
NVIDIA Corporation
+1-415-813-8859
[email protected]

Certain statements in this press release including, but not limited to, statements as to: AI and telecommunications redefining computing and driving the largest infrastructure buildout in human history; Together with a global coalition of industry leaders, NVIDIA building AI-RAN to transform the world’s telecom networks into AI infrastructure everywhere; the benefits, impact, performance, and availability of NVIDIA’s products, services, and technologies; expectations with respect to NVIDIA’s third party arrangements, including with its collaborators and partners; expectations with respect to technology developments; and other statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which are subject to the “safe harbor” created by those sections based on management’s beliefs and assumptions and on information currently available to management and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause results to be materially different than expectations. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include: global economic and political conditions; NVIDIA’s reliance on third parties to manufacture, assemble, package and test NVIDIA’s products; the impact of technological development and competition; development of new products and technologies or enhancements to NVIDIA’s existing product and technologies; market acceptance of NVIDIA’s products or NVIDIA’s partners’ products; design, manufacturing or software defects; changes in consumer preferences or demands; changes in industry standards and interfaces; unexpected loss of performance of NVIDIA’s products or technologies when integrated into systems; and changes in applicable laws and regulations, as well as other factors detailed from time to time in the most recent reports NVIDIA files with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, including, but not limited to, its annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Copies of reports filed with the SEC are posted on the company’s website and are available from NVIDIA without charge. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and speak only as of the date hereof, and, except as required by law, NVIDIA disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements to reflect future events or circumstances.

© 2026 NVIDIA Corporation. All rights reserved. NVIDIA and the NVIDIA logo are trademarks and/or registered trademarks of NVIDIA Corporation in the U.S. and other countries. Other company and product names may be trademarks of the respective companies with which they are associated. Features, pricing, availability and specifications are subject to change without notice.

A photo accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/acfd4c33-2372-4abd-a20d-81205c419f1f

NVIDIA 6G Commitment NVIDIA today announced a commitment — together with Booz Allen, BT Group, Cisco, Deutsche Telekom, E...

I haven’t seen any reports of oil fields or facilities being targeted yet, but that could change fast. The big question remains, if and when will Iran threaten 20% of the world’s oil supply by shutting down the Strait of Hormuz?

Trump’s Deadline Ran Out, a Little Earlier Than Expected President Trump warned on February 19 that Iran had a 10-to-15-day window to make a deal to end its nuclear program, but after three rounds of talks ended on Thursday, time was up, a little earlier than expected, so now, according to Trump, “it’s going to be unfortunate for them.”

Oil Is the Central Barometer of This Crisis No one wants to downplay the loss of life or the destruction of another country’s infrastructure, but in my opinion, oil is the central barometer of the crisis. The facts are, Iran is a major oil producer, and the Strait of Hormuz, which lies off Iran’s coast, carries about a fifth of global oil supply.

If we try to forecast Iran’s next move, it’s likely to be more missile launches against neighboring Arab states, and if the new leadership believes its days are numbered, the shutting down of the Strait of Hormuz. In fact, the threat is so real that I’ve seen reports that several major oil companies and trading houses have already suspended crude oil and fuel shipments that use the Strait.

Brent at $80 If the Strait Closes, $100 If the Campaign Drags On

Welltower is a high-quality, A-rated healthcare REIT trading at historically elevated AFFO multiples over 44x, far above peers. WELL's premium valuation is driven by a shift to luxury senior housing and an active owner-operator model, leveraging demographic tailwinds and pricing power. The company is divesting its outpatient medical portfolio for $6.4B to recycle capital into senior housing, sacrificing diversification and defensive income.

Workday is trading at its historically low valuations while seeking to reaffirm its enterprise software leadership role in the AI era. The market's pessimism over AI risk is overdone; WDAY's trusted position in the ERP industry and its evolving AI strategy remain underappreciated. WDAY's status as a reputable ‘system of record' provides a level of security and accountability that AI agents alone cannot replicate.

This weekend, Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA +0.50%) (BRKB +0.45%) released its full-year financial report, and it contained a final warning from former CEO Warren Buffett, who retired in December.

Berkshire was a net seller of stock in the fourth quarter, meaning it sold more stock than it purchased. The company has now been a net seller in 13 straight quarters, which suggests Buffett has struggled to find attractive investments in the current market environment.

Rich valuations are the most plausible culprit. The S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.43%) is currently so expensive that history says the index could drop 30% in the next three years. Here are the important details.

Image source: Getty Images.

Warren Buffett's $187 billion warning to investors In 2018, Warren Buffett told CNBC, "It's hard to think of very many months when we haven't been a net buyer of stocks." However, the opposite is true today. Warren Buffett and fellow portfolio manager Ted Weschler have been net sellers in 13 straight quarters, with net stock sales totaling $187 billion over that period.

On one hand, Berkshire is much larger today than it was in 2018. The company's tangible book value has more than doubled and currently sits at around $580 billion. That means few potential investments would move the financial needle for the company. Said differently, Buffett and Weschler have had a somewhat limited pool of stocks from which to choose.

On the other hand, Berkshire has regularly purchased some stock since its streak as a net seller started in late 2022. Last year, the company started positions in UnitedHealth Group, Alphabet, and The New York Times. But Buffett and Weschler still sold more stock than they bought in every quarter despite having over $300 billion in cash and equivalents on the balance sheet.

Why is that a warning? That Berkshire's net sales have totaled $187 billion since late 2022 suggests Buffett and Weschler are concerned about elevated valuations across the stock market.

History says the stock market could decline sharply in the next few years The S&P 500 recorded an average cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio of 39.8 in February 2026. Apart from the last few months, that is the highest reading since the dot-com crash in October 2000. In fact, the S&P has recorded a CAPE multiple of above 39 during only 26 months since it was created in 1957 (which was 829 months ago).

So what? Economist Robert Shiller developed the CAPE ratio to determine whether stock market indexes are overvalued. The S&P 500 has historically performed poorly after recording a monthly CAPE multiple above 39, as shown in the chart below.

Holding Period

S&P 500's Average Return

6 months

0%

1 year

(4%)

2 years

(20%)

3 years

(30%)

Data source: Robert Shiller.

Here's what the chart above means: If forward returns align with the historical average, the S&P 500 will drop 4% by February 2027, it will drop 20% by February 2028, and it will drop 30% by February 2029.

Of course, historical trends are not a guarantee of future results. CAPE ratios are based on past data, meaning they do not consider the possibility that earnings could grow faster in the future as enterprises adopt artificial intelligence. In that scenario, the S&P 500 could continue climbing while its CAPE ratio falls to a more sensible level.

However, investors should take Buffett's warning seriously. Sell any stocks you would feel uncomfortable holding through a prolonged downturn and buy only stocks that meet these criteria: (1) Their valuations are reasonable, and (2) their earnings are likely to be materially higher five years from now.

Trevor Jennewine has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Berkshire Hathaway, and The New York Times Co. The Motley Fool recommends UnitedHealth Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Marcus Corporation is positioned for a minimum 20% upside, supported by strong catalysts in both Theatres and Hotels divisions. MCS benefits from premiumization strategies, outperforming industry averages in both box office and hotel RevPAR, with mid-single-digit revenue growth projected for FY 2026. A clean balance sheet (Net LT Debt/EBITDA at 1.4x) and reduced Capex enable increased shareholder returns and M&A optionality in the Midwest.

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Scammers hit XRP wallets hard. An XRP Ledger developer dropped a warning today about fake “passes” designed to steal wallet credentials from unsuspecting users across the community.

The fraudulent messages pretty much follow the same playbook – scammers send bogus alerts claiming wallet holders need immediate updates. Recipients get told to click a link for some kind of “pass” that’s supposedly required. But the link goes straight to a phishing site that grabs login details the moment users enter them. The developer’s social media alert spread fast, with hundreds of retweets within hours of posting.

Many XRP holders already got hit.

“Do not click on suspicious links,” the developer said in the warning that gained serious traction online. The message came with screenshots showing exactly what the fake communications look like. Scammers are getting creative with their approach, using official-looking logos and language that mimics legitimate XRP Ledger communications. Some messages even reference recent network updates to make them seem more credible.

And phishing scams keep hammering the crypto space because users often don’t know basic security protocols. In XRP’s case, victims risk losing everything in their wallets if they fall for the trick. The timing seems deliberate – scammers struck during a period when XRP’s price hovered around $0.65, drawing more attention and activity from traders.

Security experts jumped in fast. They’re pushing two-factor authentication and telling users to verify sources before sharing any information. Wallet users should double-check official communications and ignore unsolicited messages completely.

The extent of damage isn’t clear yet. But the XRP Ledger community is asking users to report suspicious activity immediately. Increased awareness and education are crucial right now.

The developer’s warning shows just how tough it is to secure digital assets these days. Technology advances, but so do cybercriminal tactics. Users can’t let their guard down for a second.

Ripple hasn’t responded to requests for comment. The company behind XRP stayed silent on addressing the scam, leaving users to seek guidance elsewhere. No official steps have been announced either. More on this topic: XRP Drops Hard as Traders Bail.

The XRP Ledger Foundation stepped up instead. The organization supporting the XRP Ledger ecosystem reiterated its commitment to user education and plans a webinar on March 10, 2026. The session will focus on security best practices for cryptocurrency holders, aiming to equip users with knowledge needed to protect their assets.

Major exchanges issued their own warnings too. Binance and Coinbase both reminded users to conduct transactions only through official channels. They stressed the importance of regularly updating security settings to prevent unauthorized access. Both platforms reported increased customer service inquiries about wallet security since the alert went public.

Community forums and online groups stayed active with discussions on identifying and avoiding scams. Users are sharing experiences and tips, creating a grassroots effort to combat these malicious schemes. Reddit’s XRP community saw a 40% spike in posts about security measures over the past 48 hours.

Other crypto projects took notice fast. The Ethereum Foundation expressed concerns over rising phishing incidents across various networks. On March 2, 2026, Ethereum’s security team issued a statement urging their community to exercise caution and verify authenticity of any wallet-related communications.

The Financial Conduct Authority in the UK has been monitoring the situation closely. The FCA reiterated its warning about increasing sophistication of crypto scams in an advisory released February 28, 2026. They advised investors to report suspicious activity immediately.

Google Trends data shows a significant spike in searches for “XRP wallet security” since the alert was issued. The search volume jumped 300% compared to the previous week, suggesting users are actively seeking information on safeguarding their digital assets.

Some community members created guides and resources on their own. These are being shared widely on Reddit and Twitter, aiming to educate less experienced users about identifying potential scams and maintaining secure practices. One popular guide received over 10,000 views in its first day online. See also: XRP Partnerships Boost Cross-Border Settlement Push.

Chainalysis announced on March 3, 2026, it would collaborate with law enforcement agencies to track the origins of phishing campaigns targeting XRP holders. The partnership aims to identify and dismantle networks responsible for these attacks, according to spokesperson Laura Jenkins.

Cryptocurrency influencer John Smith warned his 200,000 Twitter followers about the ongoing scam. He emphasized using hardware wallets to store XRP, as they offer additional protection against online threats. Smith’s tweets got retweeted over 5,000 times, showing high community engagement with the issue.

The SEC hasn’t commented on the specific phishing incidents yet. But an SEC official, speaking anonymously, noted the agency continues monitoring developments in the crypto sector for potential investor protection issues.

The XRP Ledger Foundation reported a 25% increase in inquiries about wallet security protocols since the scam alert was issued. The surge in requests prompted the Foundation to consider additional outreach initiatives to address growing security concerns among XRP users.

Blockchain analytics firm Elliptic identified patterns linking these XRP phishing attacks to a broader criminal network that has targeted multiple cryptocurrencies since late 2025. Their research revealed the scammers have successfully stolen over $2.3 million from various crypto wallets in the past three months alone. The group appears to operate from Eastern Europe, using sophisticated domain spoofing techniques that make their fake websites nearly indistinguishable from legitimate platforms.

Hardware wallet manufacturers are seeing unprecedented demand following the XRP security scare. Ledger reported a 180% increase in sales over the past week, while Trezor experienced similar spikes in orders. Both companies fast-tracked the release of updated security guides specifically addressing XRP storage best practices. Cold storage solutions are becoming the go-to recommendation from security professionals who warn that keeping large amounts of cryptocurrency on internet-connected devices creates unnecessary risk exposure.

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The next three years are practically guaranteed to be turbulent for cryptoassets like Bitcoin (BTC +5.63%) and XRP (XRP +6.85%). With market sentiment near or at all-time lows, new crypto market legislation in the pipeline, new risks emerging, and AI in play as a big wildcard, a lot is likely to change, and the odds are very high that at least some of the reigning incumbents will need to evolve considerably to retain their position.

So with that as our frame of analysis, with an investment of $1,000, what's the better cryptocurrency to buy right now and hold through that period -- Bitcoin or XRP?

Image source: Getty Images.

XRP has more near-term catalysts XRP's performance over the next three years depends on whether the XRP Ledger (XRPL) continues to add new features that regulated financial operators actually use.

The clearest theme working in the chain's favor is its compliance tooling for issued tokenized assets. It has features such as authorized trust lines, transaction freezes, and clawbacks, which let an asset issuer restrict who can hold an issued token, lock down balances when needed, and even reverse transactions in cases of crime or fraud.

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Other new features, like the ability to issue and verify user credentials directly on the XRPL, can also lower a lot of the friction for businesses that need to prove authorization. And thus it's highly probable that the XRPL itself will be in good graces relative to any new market structure legislation as a result of its strong compliance features.

Therefore, a three-year window is more than long enough for multiple feature releases to drive real usage and thus stimulate more demand for XRP.

Bitcoin is working through a real transition Let's get one thing out of the way: If you don't already own at least $1,000 in Bitcoin, there isn't much point in buying any other assets for your crypto portfolio until you've done so. Now, let's turn to the question of whether it's a better buy than XRP for the next three years.

Bitcoin is the first crypto asset to own because its thesis is that its scarcity and broad recognition will ensure it always has at least some value. Furthermore, that value can't be debased, unlike fiat currency. And, if it's stored on-chain with the keys in your control, it's very difficult to expropriate it, unlike other assets.

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The big complication right now is the coin's lack of post-quantum cryptography (PQC), which means cryptographic security that is designed to resist attacks from quantum computers.

In short, without upgrading its cryptography, Bitcoin could be stolen from your wallet sometime in the next 5 to 10 years, assuming an attacker develops a powerful enough quantum computer -- which is nowhere close to being sophisticated enough for that task today. Nonetheless, there's now a serious proposal for taking a few first steps in the right direction, which is starting to be discussed in the community.

So, if you already have some Bitcoin, a $1,000 XRP allocation for three years is a good way to tilt toward near-term catalysts. As quantum risk is addressed, the risk-to-reward balance may well swing back in Bitcoin's favor again.

Journalist

Posted: March 1, 2026

VIRTUAL entered the weekend under pressure as the broader crypto market slipped. The token fell 12% in 24 hours, extending weekly losses to 11%.

The setup suggested limited room for an immediate rebound. Short-term positioning intensified as sentiment weakened across the market. That shift kept downside risks elevated.

Capital pullback intensifies The latest price decline coincided with a decline in capital inflows and an increase in short dominance, as conditions in the perpetual futures market shifted sharply.

At the time of writing, Virtuals Protocol [VIRTUAL] perpetual market recorded a substantial capital exit totaling $9.4 million, reducing total open interest to approximately $76 million.

Importantly, forced liquidations remained limited. Liquidations totaled roughly $431,000, meaning most traders closed positions voluntarily.

Source: CoinGlass

This distinction is critical.

Data from the OI-Weighted Funding Rate dropped to -0.0411% on the 28th of February. That marked its lowest reading of the year.

Such deeply negative Funding Rates indicated aggressive short positioning. The last comparable short concentration appeared in October 2025, just before a sharp downturn.

That history kept sentiment fragile.

No panic yet among spot investors Despite Derivatives traders leaning bearish, spot investors appear relatively composed. Instead of exiting, they are treating the decline as a potential accumulation opportunity.

At the time of this report, Spot buyers had accumulated approximately $245,000 worth of VIRTUAL while prices were falling, suggesting confidence in the asset’s medium-term prospects.

Source: CoinGlass

This marks the first notable accumulation phase since the 24th of February, making the shift in spot behavior particularly noteworthy.

If this buying pattern continues into the new week, it could cushion further downside pressure and support a rebound from the recent drawdown.

On-chain activity weakens On-chain metrics, however, paint a more cautious picture. VIRTUAL has recorded a simultaneous decline in both user activity and protocol revenue.

According to data from Artemis, user count has dropped to roughly 24,000, while revenue has fallen to around $32,000. This represents a sharp decline from the $133,000 recorded on the 14th of February.

This weakening activity underscores structural concerns.

Reduced user engagement and falling revenue suggest softer on-chain demand, which could weigh on VIRTUAL’s long-term price performance if the trend persists.

Source: Artemis

In the near term, the tug-of-war between aggressive short positioning and renewed spot accumulation will likely determine the asset’s next major move.

Final Summary VIRTUAL fell 12% in 24 hours, extending weekly losses to 11%. Open Interest dropped by $9.4 million, signaling capital exit from derivatives markets.

Felix Pinkston Mar 01, 2026 07:11

Ethereum trades at $1,998 after 7.57% daily gain. Technical analysis points to $2,175 resistance test, but MACD signals bearish momentum. Critical support at $1,877.

ETH Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $2,086 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1,850-$2,200 range
• Bullish breakout level: $2,175 • Critical support: $1,877

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Ethereum While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent market commentary, historical projections from early 2026 showed optimism for Ethereum's price trajectory. According to blockchain.news, Altcoin Doctor (@AltcoinDoctor) previously suggested "Ethereum's potential to reach $3,500 by mid-January 2026 represents a realistic upside target from current levels."

However, with ETH currently trading significantly below those projections at $1,998, market dynamics have clearly shifted. On-chain data suggests that Ethereum faces mixed signals as it attempts to recover from recent lows.

ETH Technical Analysis Breakdown Ethereum's current technical picture presents a complex scenario for this ETH price prediction. Trading at $1,998.11, ETH sits above its 7-day SMA of $1,955 but remains well below key resistance levels.

The RSI reading of 43.59 indicates neutral territory, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions. This provides room for movement in either direction, making the Ethereum forecast particularly dependent on broader market sentiment.

Most concerning for bulls is the MACD histogram at 0.0000, signaling bearish momentum despite today's 7.57% price surge. The MACD line sits at -114.21, identical to its signal line, indicating a potential momentum shift that traders should monitor closely.

Ethereum's position within the Bollinger Bands shows promise, with the token trading at 60% of the band width above the lower band. The upper Bollinger Band sits at $2,089, closely aligning with immediate resistance at $2,086.

Ethereum Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario If Ethereum can sustain momentum above the $2,000 psychological level, the immediate target becomes the resistance confluence around $2,086-$2,089. This zone represents both the immediate technical resistance and the upper Bollinger Band.

A decisive break above this level opens the path to strong resistance at $2,175, which represents a 9% upside from current levels. Volume support will be crucial, as today's $1.02 billion in Binance spot volume suggests healthy interest.

The 20-day SMA at $1,974 could provide dynamic support if ETH maintains its current momentum, creating a foundation for further upside moves.

Bearish Scenario The primary risk for this ETH price prediction lies in the bearish MACD momentum and the significant gap between current price and longer-term averages. The 50-day SMA at $2,450 and 200-day SMA at $3,407 highlight how far Ethereum has fallen from previous highs.

Immediate support sits at $1,877, representing a 6% downside risk. A break below this level could trigger further selling toward the strong support zone at $1,756, which would represent a 12% decline.

The lower Bollinger Band at $1,860 aligns closely with immediate support, suggesting this zone should hold in a normal correction scenario.

Should You Buy ETH? Entry Strategy Based on current technical conditions, this Ethereum forecast suggests a cautious approach. The ideal entry strategy involves waiting for one of two scenarios:

For aggressive traders, the current level around $1,998 offers a reasonable risk-reward setup with stops below $1,877 support. The 7% stop-loss distance provides manageable risk for a potential move to $2,175 resistance.

Conservative traders should wait for either a clear breakout above $2,086 with volume confirmation, or a retest of support around $1,877-$1,860 for a better entry point.

Position sizing should account for ETH's daily ATR of $109.99, indicating significant intraday volatility that could trigger stops prematurely.

Conclusion This ETH price prediction sees Ethereum at a critical juncture, with short-term technicals favoring a test of $2,086-$2,175 resistance despite underlying bearish momentum signals. The 7.57% daily gain provides hope for bulls, but the MACD divergence and distance from key moving averages suggest caution.

The most likely scenario over the next week involves a test of immediate resistance around $2,086, with the outcome determining whether ETH can mount a sustained recovery or faces another leg down toward $1,850 support levels.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

eth price analysis eth price prediction

Rongchai Wang Mar 01, 2026 07:23

XRP shows neutral RSI at 43.25 with immediate upside target of $1.53. Technical analysis suggests potential climb to $2.12 monthly target if bulls break key resistance levels.

Ripple's XRP is trading at $1.40 after a solid 7.46% daily gain, positioning itself for a potential test of key resistance levels. With technical indicators showing mixed signals and institutional forecasts remaining bullish long-term, here's our comprehensive XRP price prediction analysis.

XRP Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $1.53 (strong resistance level) • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.80-$2.12 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.53 (immediate), $1.65 (SMA 50) • Critical support: $1.30 (immediate), $1.20 (strong support)

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Ripple While specific analyst predictions from key opinion leaders are limited in recent trading sessions, institutional forecasts remain optimistic for XRP's trajectory. According to Finbold's AI-driven analysis, Ripple could reach an average price of $2.12 by January 31, 2026, representing a 51% upside from current levels.

Standard Chartered maintains their ambitious $8 XRP target for end of 2026, suggesting significant long-term bullish sentiment among traditional financial institutions. Blockchain.News technical analysis identified bullish momentum with short-term targets around $2.75, though they noted critical resistance at $2.42 that must be overcome.

On-chain data suggests increasing network activity and institutional accumulation patterns, though specific metrics from platforms like Glassnode and CryptoQuant indicate mixed sentiment in the immediate term.

XRP Technical Analysis Breakdown The current technical setup for XRP presents a cautiously optimistic picture. With the RSI sitting at 43.25, Ripple remains in neutral territory, avoiding both overbought and oversold conditions that often precede major reversals.

The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum has stalled, potentially setting up for a bullish crossover if buying pressure increases. XRP's position within the Bollinger Bands shows the token trading at 0.44 of the band width, suggesting room for upward movement toward the upper band at $1.50.

Key moving averages paint a mixed picture. While XRP trades above the 7-day SMA ($1.38) and slightly below the 20-day SMA ($1.41), it remains significantly below both the 50-day SMA ($1.65) and 200-day SMA ($2.27). This suggests the broader trend requires confirmation through sustained moves above these longer-term averages.

The daily ATR of $0.08 indicates moderate volatility, providing sufficient price movement for trading opportunities while maintaining relatively stable conditions for position building.

Ripple Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case Bullish Scenario In the bullish case for our XRP price prediction, immediate targets focus on the strong resistance at $1.53. A decisive break above this level could trigger momentum toward the 50-day SMA at $1.65, aligning with the medium-term Ripple forecast of $1.80-$2.12.

The technical confirmation needed includes sustained volume above $400 million daily and RSI breaking above 60. If XRP can reclaim the 200-day SMA at $2.27, it would signal a major trend reversal and potential run toward the institutional targets near $2.75-$3.00.

Key catalysts supporting the bullish scenario include regulatory clarity developments, institutional adoption news, and broader crypto market recovery that typically lifts major altcoins like Ripple.

Bearish Scenario The bearish case sees XRP testing immediate support at $1.30, with a break potentially leading to the strong support zone at $1.20. Failure to hold these levels could result in a deeper correction toward the $1.00-$1.10 range.

Risk factors include broader market downturns, regulatory uncertainties specific to Ripple, and failure to maintain current trading volumes. The significant gap between current price and the 200-day SMA suggests the long-term trend remains vulnerable to further correction.

Should You Buy XRP? Entry Strategy Based on current technical analysis, strategic entry points for XRP include any dips toward the $1.35-$1.37 pivot area, with more aggressive accumulation near the $1.30 immediate support level.

Conservative traders should wait for a confirmed break above $1.53 with volume before entering long positions, targeting the $1.65-$1.80 range for initial profit-taking.

Recommended stop-loss placement sits just below the strong support at $1.18-$1.20, providing adequate risk management while allowing for normal market fluctuations. Position sizing should account for XRP's moderate volatility profile.

Conclusion Our XRP price prediction suggests cautious optimism with immediate upside targets at $1.53 resistance and medium-term potential toward $2.12 monthly targets. The neutral RSI and stabilizing MACD provide a solid foundation for the next leg higher, though breaking key resistance levels with volume remains crucial.

The Ripple forecast appears more favorable over longer timeframes, with institutional price targets suggesting significant upside potential through 2026. However, traders should remain mindful of support levels and broader market conditions that could impact XRP's trajectory.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and based on technical analysis and market data. Digital asset investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock

xrp price analysis xrp price prediction

XRP price hovered at $1.42 on Sunday, extending its upward momentum after a 4.56% daily gain. The token stood firm above the $1.40 mark and still had much bullish support. Trading activity rose over 68%, and this indicated actual buying power and reinforced the anticipation of more profits in the week.

Crypto Markets React to Iran–US War Tensions as XRP Extends Its Rally Market sentiment strengthened across major assets. The total crypto market increased 2.82% as Bitcoin rose 2.76%. Bitcoin price recovered its vital support at around $63,000, which contributed to the stabilization of the overall trading environment. The Altcoin Season Index increased by over 20% over a period of one week, which indicates an increase in capital rotation to altcoins.

The formation of geopolitical events contributed to volatility. Bombings in the UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait were reported as the markets received authenticated news about the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The leadership vacuum would be considered by the traders as a risk minimization of a long-term war, which contributed to market recovery.

The institutional commentary also influenced the perspective. According to JPMorgan Chase, the CLARITY Act can open the doors of additional institutional involvement. Analysts consider that more transparent rules would help to affirm crypto more in the second half of 2026.

🚨 JUST IN: JPMorgan Chase says the CLARITY Act could unlock institutional capital for crypto

Clear regulation may be the catalyst for major upside in H2 2026

Institutions are preparing to enter 🚀 pic.twitter.com/32kZQ2B3L1

— Real World Asset Watchlist (@RWAwatchlist_) March 1, 2026

XRP Leads With Steady ETF Inflows as Major Crypto Funds Rally XRP continued its strong ETF momentum this week, as spot funds tied to Ripple recorded no outflows. Net inflows reached about $2.21 million, raising their total XRP holdings to roughly $983 million as of February 27. 

The wider market also experienced consistent demand. Spot Bitcoin ETFs had drawn up close to $254 million in net inflows, and this was a continuation of a three-day streak. Spot Ethereum products have gained about 6.57 million within the same period, which is the third consecutive session of positive performance within major crypto ETFs. The investor confidence in digital asset markets seems to be growing in the global markets.

XRP Price Rebounds Toward Key Resistance, Analyst Sees Path to $1.60 As of the reporting time, the XRP price surged to $1.39, showing a modest gain as buyers attempted to hold recent momentum

Recently, XRP price managed to recover on the basis of support at $1.35, where the increased demand moved the token into a short-term upswing pattern. Analysts observe that the current trend could be an indicator of further recovery should buyers protect the lower trendline.

The first resistance is at the point of $1.40, where the price has been unable to break off. A long-term trend above this level would widen the doors to $1.50. Analyst further adds that a stronger breakout may even target to hit $1.60, the next significant target indicated on the chart.

The RSI is close to the mid-50 mark, indicating that the recent volatility is balanced. The MACD indicates the signs of the positive shift as well. The lines on the indicator are floating around the possible bullish crossover that usually indicates an increase in momentum.

Source: XRP/USDT 4-hour chart: Tradingview Should XRP evade the bottom of the ascending channel, the price can revert to $1.35. A further weakening would reveal the second line of support at around $1.30 that served as a stabilizing point during the past recessions.

Ether, solana, xrp surge up to 10% as majors recover Saturday's war-driven lossesSolana led major tokens with a 10.8% bounce, while ether reclaimed $2,000 and bitcoin climbed back above $66,800 ahead of traditional futures opens on Sunday. Mar 1, 2026, 7:25 a.m.

Crypto markets snapped back hard on Sunday after spending Saturday pricing in what looked like the start of a prolonged regional war.

Bitcoin climbed to $66,843, up 5.2% over the past 24 hours, recovering most of the losses from Saturday's slide below $64,000 after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran.

The bounce accelerated after Iranian state TV confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Khamenei, which markets interpreted as raising the odds of a shorter conflict.

Solana led the recovery among majors, surging 10.8% to $86.42. Ether rose 7.5% to reclaim $1,994, putting it back within touching distance of $2,000 for the first time since Thursday. Cardano added 6.7%, dogecoin gained 6.5%, XRP rose 5.6%, and BNB climbed 4.8%.

The weekly picture is messier, however. Bitcoin is still down 1.6% over seven days, XRP has lost 2%, and dogecoin is off 2.5%. Solana and ether are the only majors that have clawed back into the green on the week, up 1.7% and 1.1% respectively.

The weekend volatility has been enormous but net movement has been small, which captures the broader story of a market whipsawing on global headlines without actually going anywhere.

The bounce looks convincing on a 24-hour chart but fragile in context. Saturday's sell-off happened on thin weekend liquidity. Sunday's rally happened on the same thin liquidity, just in the opposite direction.

The real test arrives in hours when equity futures, oil, and bond markets reopen and institutional capital has its first chance to react to Saturday's events.

The Polymarket's ceasefire contract gives a 78% chance of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire by April 30 and 61% by March 31, as reported earlier Sunday.

If that pricing holds once traditional markets digest the weekend, the bounce has legs. However, if oil spikes and equities gap lower on the open, crypto's Sunday optimism could get faded the same way Wednesday's push to $70,000 was.

More For You

Polymarket attracts record trading 'world' volumes as U.S.-Iran bets top $529 million

3 hours ago

A prediction market about military strikes on a sovereign nation now sits alongside presidential election bets as one of the most-traded contracts the platform has ever hosted.

What to know:

Polymarket has rapidly become a hub for betting on the U.S.-Iran conflict, with traders wagering on ceasefire dates, regime change and potential U.S. ground involvement.A contract on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei leaving power by March 31 drew $45 million in volume, while a long-running market on whether the U.S. would strike Iran has amassed $529 million, making it one of Polymarket's largest ever.Onchain analysts have flagged six wallets that made about $1.2 million by correctly betting on a Feb. 28 U.S. strike on Iran, intensifying scrutiny of potential insider trading as Polymarket promotes its markets as a source of real-time geopolitical insight.

Sweetgreen's (SG 9.69%) disastrous 2025 is finally in the books, and the fast-casual salad slinger saved the worst for last.

Comparable sales declined 11.5% in the fourth quarter, and revenue fell 3.5% to $155.2 million. The company missed estimates on both the top and bottom lines, and its guidance for 2026 was uninspiring, calling for comparable sales of between -2% and -4%, and for its restaurant-level profit margin to compress to 14.2%-14.7%.

The news closed out an epic collapse for the salad chain, which had come into 2025 riding high. Comparable sales rose 6% in 2024, and the company reported adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of $18.7 million that year.

The stock is now down 87% from its peak in late 2024.

Image source: Sweetgreen.

What went wrong with Sweetgreen It's not entirely clear how things went in reverse so quickly for Sweetgreen. The fast-casual stock faced a setback from the LA wildfires in the first quarter and lost some loyalty members when it switched from its Sweetpass+ subscription to a more traditional loyalty program in the second quarter.

In November, Sweetgreen said it was selling Spyce, the business that contains its Infinite Kitchen automation system, a surprising move that seemed designed to raise cash for the company, though Sweetgreen retained the rights to use the Infinite Kitchen in its restaurants.

Other fast-casual chains like Chipotle and Cava have also struggled recently due to headwinds in discretionary spending for younger consumers, seeing sales growth evaporate, but Sweetgreen's performance was still significantly worse as it finished the year with a same-store sales decline of 7.9% and a revenue increase of just 0.4%. Complaints are common online about high prices for its food, and poor value perception seems to play a role in its struggles.

While its 2026 guidance doesn't call for a comeback, the company will benefit from easier comparisons and seems to be staking its chances of a recovery on wraps, a brand-new menu item for the chain. CEO Jonathan Neman said that menu innovation is a key part of its transformation plans.

Wraps are coming to Sweetgreen Last week, Sweetgreen said it had begun a limited market test of wraps in New York, the Midwest, and Los Angeles locations. The move marks the company's first major move to expand its entree selection beyond bowls. To start with, the menu includes classic chicken caesar, chicken jalapeno ranch, and chicken salad bacon club.

The wraps could also solve the problem Sweetgreen is facing with its price perception, as wrap prices start at $10.95 at select locations and are priced below $15 at all restaurants where they're available.

There are some positive reviews for the wraps online, but it's too soon to judge how they're performing. Sweetgreen said that they would be rolled out to more locations in mid-2026 if they prove to be popular enough.

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Can Sweetgreen get back in the green? If there's a silver lining here, it's that Sweetgreen stock has fallen so far that its valuation seems to ignore the chance of a recovery. After a horrendous earnings report, the stock was down 9.6%, which seems like a relatively modest response given the poor results.

Sweetgreen stock now trades at a price-to-sales ratio of just 1, though the company will have to return to growth and improve profitability for the stock to move higher.

Despite the considerable headwinds facing the company, its average unit volumes have historically been high, at $2.9 million before the recent decline, showing its restaurants are popular. A turnaround is not out of the question, especially if the broader macro climate improves.

2026 is likely to be another tough year for Sweetgreen, but even a modest sign of improvement could send the stock higher. Wraps could be the catalyst the company needs.

What happenedAccording to a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing dated February 13, 2026, Herald Investment Management Ltd. initiated a new position in DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN +3.32%), acquiring 202,000 shares.

The estimated transaction value was $9.71 million. The quarter-end position value also stood at $9.71 million, reflecting the new holding’s valuation, including changes in stock price.

What else to knowThis new position accounts for 1.27% of Herald’s reportable U.S. equity assets under management.

Top holdings after the filing:

NYSE:CLS: $67.87 million (8.9% of AUM)NYSE:FN: $48.94 million (6.4% of AUM)NASDAQ:PEGA: $42.00 million (5.5% of AUM)NASDAQ:SIMO: $35.64 million (4.7% of AUM)NASDAQ:VICR: $26.85 million (3.5% of AUM)As of February 28, 2026, shares of DigitalOcean Holdings were priced at $56.06, up 31.26% over the past year and outperforming the S&P 500 by 13.9 percentage points.

Company overviewMetricValueRevenue (TTM)$863.96 millionNet Income (TTM)$251.87 millionPrice (as of market close Feb. 27, 2026)$56.06One-Year Price Change31.26%Company snapshotDigitalOcean offers a cloud computing platform providing on-demand infrastructure, managed application services, and developer tools, with revenue primarily from usage-based and subscription fees.

The company operates a scalable, self-service business model targeting efficiency and automation, monetizing infrastructure, platform, and value-added services for small and medium-sized businesses.

It serves software engineers, startups, and technology-driven organizations seeking cost-effective cloud solutions for web hosting, application deployment, and development projects.

What this transaction means for investorsDigitalOcean is a cloud services provider that serves small and medium-sized businesses. While it’s a relatively small company compared to other industry giants, it could be poised for significant growth going forward.

Like many companies, DigitalOcean has been focusing heavily on utilizing artificial intelligence (AI). It’s also reaped the rewards of the AI boom, with its stock price soaring by nearly 80% over the last three years alone.

DigitalOcean’s dedication to smaller businesses could give it an edge in the industry. Many larger cloud providers are prohibitively expensive for small and medium-sized businesses, and DigitalOcean aims to fill that gap by providing affordable access to cloud and AI services.

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Like other businesses diving into AI, however, it’s also vulnerable to intense volatility. In fact, over the last two weeks alone, DigitalOcean’s price has plunged by more than 17%.

While it could still be a profitable long-term investment — especially if AI continues to thrive over time — investors should be prepared to weather the inevitable short-term turbulence.

4,078 shares were exercised as options and immediately sold on Feb. 23, 2026, generating a transaction value of ~$652,000 at around $160.00 per share. This transaction represented 20.70% of Carine Lamercie Jean-Claude's pre-transaction direct holdings, reducing direct ownership from 19,704 to 15,626 shares.

Applied Optoelectronics reported record revenue for Q4-2025, driven by high demand for its products in AI data center build-outs and the CATV markets. AOI gave positive forward guidance into 2026 and expects revenues to continue to increase. The company is increasing its manufacturing capacity to meet demand.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in AAOI over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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What happenedAccording to a February 17, 2026, SEC filing, AREX Capital Management, LP, established a new position in Callaway Golf Company (CALY +0.00%), acquiring 453,000 shares. The estimated value of the trade was $5.29 million.

What else to knowThis marks a new position for AREX Capital Management, LP, with CALY comprising 15.03% of reportable 13F assets after the filing.

Top five holdings after the filing:

NYSE:EHAB: $22.99 million (65.36% of AUM)NYSE:CALY: $5.29 million (15.03% of AUM)NYSE:SKIL: $2.24 million (6.36% of AUM)NASDAQ:IAC: $1.82 million (5.17% of AUM)NYSE:VYX: $1.24 million (3.52% of AUM)As of February 28, 2026, Callaway shares were priced at $14.06, up 115.3% over the past year and outperforming the S&P 500 by 99.78 percentage points.

Company OverviewMetricValueRevenue (TTM)$2.06 billionNet Income (TTM)$38.8 millionPrice (as of market close Feb. 27, 2026)$14.06Company SnapshotCallaway Golf Company is a leading global provider of golf equipment, apparel, and technology-enabled entertainment venues. The company leverages a diversified business model that integrates product innovation with experiential offerings, such as Topgolf, to capture value across the golf and active lifestyle sectors.

With a broad portfolio of brands and international reach, Callaway Golf Company combines scale and brand recognition to serve both individual consumers and corporate clients, positioning itself as a key player in the consumer cyclical and leisure industry.

It targets golf enthusiasts, sports and leisure consumers, and corporate clients across the United States, Europe, Asia, and international markets.

What this transaction means for investorsCallaway Golf Company has experienced significant volatility over the last few years, but this transaction signals that the company may be back on the right path with room for growth going forward.

Callaway merged with Topgolf in 2021, but in early 2026, private equity firm Leonard Green & Partners acquired a 60% stake in Topgolf. This spinoff aims to help Callaway sharpen its strategic focus and streamline its operations. Given Topgolf’s struggles to increase revenue, Callaway’s decision to spin off the majority of the company could improve its growth potential.

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Big moves like this can be risky from an investment standpoint, but they’re also a sign that a company is willing to make changes when something isn’t working. CALY’s performance since 2021 has been disappointing, with the stock falling by more than 85% between 2021 and 2025. Since April 2025, however, its price is up by more than 152%, signalling increased investor confidence.

Callaway remains a higher-risk stock given changes to its company structure over recent years, so investors should brace themselves for more volatility. But if these big changes pay off, the stock could be poised for more significant growth.