Market Signal Briefing

Lyft enters 2026 looking stronger than ever.

Lyft (LYFT 0.80%) entered 2025 with a lot to prove. The company spent years defending its relevance against a much larger competitor, struggling to generate consistent cash flow, and fighting the perception that it lacked scale. But as the year closes, Lyft looks meaningfully different: stronger, more disciplined, and more strategic than at any point since its initial public offering.

Here are the four biggest highlights from 2025 that investors should know to help them make better decisions for 2026.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Lyft finally delivered consistent, self-funded profitability.
The most important development of 2025 is simple: Lyft now operates like a real, cash-generating business.

For the first time in its public life, the company generated multiple quarters of positive free cash flow; improved adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margins; and demonstrated its ability to fund operations and investments without tapping the capital markets. Ride volume grew steadily, rider frequency rose, and the marketplace felt healthier and more balanced.

This stability didn't happen by accident. Lyft tightened its cost structure, optimized driver incentives, improved service reliability, and built more predictable pricing systems. Together, these efforts strengthened loyalty on both sides of the platform.

Investors long wondered whether ride-hailing could sustain profitability. In 2025, Lyft answered that question with a credible "yes."

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2. The Freenow acquisition changed Lyft's identity.
Lyft has always been the focused, North America-centric counterpart to Uber Technologies' global empire. But 2025 marks the year that changed. The company's acquisition of Freenow, a major European mobility platform with a strong taxi and private-hire network, broadened Lyft's reach and diversified its revenue base.

This wasn't an empire-building move. Instead, it was a strategically disciplined expansion:

Freenow already operates in dozens of key European cities.
It brings a regulated taxi network and a more premium urban rider base.
It gives Lyft instant market presence in regions that would've taken years to enter organically.

The deal also expands Lyft's addressable market overnight. Europe's urban centers have high ridership density and well-established mobility habits -- attractive characteristics for a platform that now runs leaner and more efficiently.

Freenow doesn't just add geography. It strengthens Lyft's identity from a regional competitor to a more global mobility network with a clearer path to scale.

3. Lyft embraced a partnership-led technology strategy.
Lyft's approach to technology shifted meaningfully in 2025. Instead of trying to build everything itself -- a costly strategy that has hurt other mobility companies -- Lyft leaned into partnerships to expand its capabilities without bloating expenses. Two areas stand out:

Autonomous vehicles (AVs)
Lyft deepened integrations with Alphabet's Waymo and Baidu, positioning its app as an aggregation platform for robotaxis rather than a builder of AV technology. This approach gives Lyft exposure to autonomous rides as the ecosystem matures, while avoiding the massive R&D costs of developing self-driving systems in-house. It's optionality without the balance sheet burden.

Artificial intelligence (AI)
Lyft also partnered with Anthropic to deploy artificial intelligence (AI)-driven customer support, materially cutting response and resolution times. These efficiency gains free up resources, reduce cost per ride, and improve user experience.

Taken together, these partnerships offer operational leverage without the capital intensity historically associated with mobility tech. Lyft gains upside without risking its financial footing.

4. Lyft held its ground competitively despite Uber's scale advantage.
Uber remains the heavyweight in ride-hailing, with a global footprint, multiple revenue streams, and a broader technology stack. But 2025 showed that Lyft can still compete sustainably.

In particular, Lyft's focus on executing in its core US market gives it some advantages -- a better understanding of local customers, a more tailored customer experience, etc. And so far, the strategy seems to be working, as reflected in improved operational and financial metrics.

In short, Lyft showed that disciplined operations, not sprawling expansion, can keep it relevant in one of the toughest arenas in consumer mobility.

What does it mean for investors?
Lyft will exit 2025 with stronger fundamentals, a clearer strategy, and real signs of a durable business model. Its improved profitability, smart expansion into Europe, and capital-light approach to AV and AI give it more paths to grow than at any time in its public history.

The company still faces risks -- regulatory uncertainty, integration challenges, and competitive pressure -- but 2025 marks the year Lyft shifted from a recovery story to a company with genuine long-term potential.

For investors, the question heading into 2026 is straightforward: Can Lyft execute on this momentum and turn a quiet turnaround into a durable growth story? Either way, it's a stock to watch in 2026.

This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

The growing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) has given a boost to the stock market. Tech stocks have led the market higher, and there’s been growing demand for AI products and services that have helped companies achieve higher valuations. Since valuations for many stocks have hit sky-high, investors have become cautious and are looking for low-cost alternatives to park their money. If you’re looking to put your money in tech stocks with little risk, consider exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Picking individual stocks can be challenging which is why ETFs can be an ideal option for the long haul. 

Vanguard is a popular name in the world of ETF investing and it offers a wide range of options for you to choose from. Vanguard has ETFs that can fit every investor’s criteria. One of the most popular ETF, the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (NYSEARCA:VYM) is a top choice for income investors. It has a yield as high as 2.39% and holds over 500 stocks. VYM has an expense ratio of 0.06% and offers ultimate diversification. However, there’s another Vanguard ETF that pays twice as much. Here’s a closer look at Vanguard High-Yield Active ETF. 

An attractive yield 
The actively managed fund invests in a range of below investment-grade bonds, also known as “junk bonds.” It aims to outperform the broader high-yield market. Junk bonds are high-yield bonds that also carry higher risk due to the lower credit rating. They represent debt issued by financially struggling companies and also offer a higher yield to compensate for the risk of default. Junk bonds have a higher risk as compared to fixed-income securities. 

The Vanguard high-yield active ETF has a yield of 6.20% and an expense ratio of 0.22%. It holds 233 bonds with an average duration of 2.9 years. Most importantly, the fund pays monthly dividends. Some of its bonds have a coupon rate higher than 10%, but it comes at a risk.  

High risk, higher returns
VGHY has assets worth $80 million and offers high diversification. It invests 45.58% in BB rated bonds, 35.58% in B rated bonds and 10.98% in U.S. government bonds. Further, 55% of bonds have a maturity between 1 to 5 years, and 40% of bonds have a duration of 5 to 10 years. In terms of sector, 72% bonds are from the industrial sector and 10% are in the finance sector. 

If you’re okay with tolerating the risk, you can enjoy steady passive income each month. It has a high risk-return ratio and can easily outperform VYM’s returns. Since the fund is exposed to lower-credit-quality securities, it is subject to credit risk and interest rate risk. A rise in interest rates could lead to a drop in bond prices. The ETF recently announced a monthly dividend of $0.3254.

Exchanging hands for $75.28, the fund has remained flat throughout the year. However, its potential to generate steady income attracts investors. VGHY is ideal for those who seek regular passive income and are happy to receive a paycheck each month.  

Rigetti was a growth stock -- until 2022, when suddenly it wasn't anymore.

Rigetti Computing (RGTI 3.87%) poses a dilemma for investors.

On the one hand, Rigetti is one of the most popular quantum computing stocks on the planet. As a "pioneer in full-stack quantum computing," Rigetti says it's been not just developing, but actually operating quantum computers "since 2017," and selling "on-premises quantum computing systems with qubit counts between 24 and 84 qubits" since 2021.

Rigetti's a real business, with real revenue.

It's just not a business with a lot of revenue.

Image source: Getty Images.

Rigetti math
Rigetti did $10.8 million in revenue in 2024, but year to date, it's booked less than half that in 2025 -- just $5.2 million.

No matter. In October, Rigetti announced the sale of two 9-qubit Novera quantum computing systems to, respectively, an "Asian technology manufacturing company" and a "California-based applied physics and artificial intelligence start-up." In total, the two sales should bring in $5.7 million.

The problem is, Rigetti doesn't expect to book those revenues until H1 2026, and the company hasn't announced any other sales since the October news. That kind of makes it sound like the company won't be making much more than the $5.2 million that it's already got this year. (It also makes it sound like 2026 might not be much better.)

Contrary to what you might expect from a growth stock, Rigetti's sales over the last 12 months are down 43% from 2022 levels. Over the same period of time, Rigetti's annual losses have quintupled, to more than $350 million. Wall Street analysts polled by S&P Global Market Intelligence don't see any chance of Rigetti turning profitable through 2030 at the earliest -- 2030 being as far out as anyone's willing to make forecasts for this profitless quantum computing stock.

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What could make Rigetti rise?
So is Rigetti stock entirely without hope as an investment?

Not entirely, no. Indeed, as I pointed out last week, institutional investors ranging from American Assets Investment Management to the Vanguard Group to BlackRock (BLK 1.16%) have begun taking stakes in Rigetti precisely because they expect it to succeed. At last report, these three companies combined to own nearly 20% of Rigetti's shares outstanding.

So why do they believe in Rigetti -- and what might it take to make you believe in this quantum stock, too?

If you look back just a bit further, you'll notice that Rigetti nearly quadrupled its annual sales between 2020 and 2022. That was the high point for its sales -- the point from which Rigetti has sunk so low today. But it also demonstrated the potential for Rigetti to perform as a growth stock when things go right.

What would it take for me to believe in Rigetti again? Well, a reversal of the sales slide and a return to rapid growth would certainly help. If Rigetti manages to land another big sale this month, and halt the slide in annual sales -- if Rigetti books even more sales in 2026, on top of the two holdovers from October's announcement -- this might go a way toward restoring faith in Rigetti's growth potential.

But until Rigetti does prove it can start growing again, I'm afraid the stock remains a sell for me.

Explore how sector exposure and portfolio breadth set these two Vanguard growth ETFs apart for investors seeking tailored diversification.

The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK 1.51%) and the Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF (VOOG 1.66%) both target U.S. large-cap growth stocks, but differ in diversification, sector tilt, and recent performance.

These two low-cost Vanguard funds offer exposure to U.S. growth equities, but MGK zeroes in on the largest growth names, while VOOG tracks the growth segment of the S&P 500. For investors comparing broad-based growth strategies, understanding the differences between them may help align portfolio goals.

Snapshot (cost & size)MetricMGKVOOGIssuerVanguardVanguardExpense ratio0.07%0.07%1-yr return (as of Dec. 12, 2025)15.09%16.74%Dividend yield0.37%0.48%Beta (5Y monthly)1.241.10AUM$33.0 billion$21.7 billionBeta measures price volatility relative to the S&P 500. The 1-yr return represents total return over the trailing 12 months.

Both funds have an annual expense ratio of 0.07%, but VOOG's dividend yield is slightly higher -- providing a slight advantage for income-focused investors.

Performance & risk comparisonMetricMGKVOOGMax drawdown (5 y)-36.02%-32.74%Growth of $1,000 over 5 years$2,083$1,978VOOG experienced a milder maximum drawdown over the past five years, suggesting less severe losses during downturns. MGK, however, delivered stronger cumulative growth from 2020 to 2025 despite its higher volatility.

What's insideVOOG holds 217 stocks and aims to mirror the performance of growth-oriented companies within the S&P 500. Its largest sector exposure is technology at 44%, followed by communication services and consumer cyclical. The fund's top holdings include Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, and the fund has been in operation for over 15 years.

MGK, in contrast, is more concentrated, with 66 holdings and a heavier tilt toward technology at 58%. Its top three positions are also Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, but these names collectively represent a larger share of assets compared to VOOG. MGK’s sector mix is more tech-focused, with less exposure to other sectors.

For more guidance on ETF investing, check out the full guide at this link.

What this means for investorsMGK and VOOG offer a few similarities and several differences. They've experienced similar performance over the last 12 months and five years, and they have the same expense ratio. VOOG boasts a slightly higher dividend yield, although the two funds are fairly similar in this regard as well.

Most of their differences stem from their differing strategies. MGK only contains mega-cap stocks, which are generally defined as companies with a market cap of at least $200 billion. Its portfolio is much smaller and more targeted than VOOG, which can be both an asset and a risk.

Massive corporations have experienced supercharged growth in recent years, and funds like MGK with a niche focus on these industry leaders have benefited from it. However, with less diversification, it can also result in greater volatility -- as seen with MGK's higher beta and steeper max drawdown over the last five years.

VOOG, on the other hand, offers a broader approach to growth stocks. It tracks the S&P 500, but it only contains stocks within the index with the most growth potential. It's less focused on tech than MGK, which can reduce its volatility -- but also result in lower returns during tech rallies.

Both ETFs can be fantastic investments for gaining exposure to large growth stocks, but the right one for you will depend on your goals. MGK can be a good fit for investors seeking access to mega-cap industry leaders, while VOOG offers greater diversification across more sectors of the market.

GlossaryETF: Exchange-traded fund, a pooled investment that trades on stock exchanges like a single stock.
Expense ratio: The annual fee, as a percentage of assets, that a fund charges to cover operating costs.
Large-cap: Refers to companies with a large market capitalization, typically over $10 billion.
Diversification: Investment strategy of spreading assets across various holdings to reduce risk.
Sector tilt: When a fund has a higher allocation to certain industries or sectors compared to the broader market.
Dividend yield: Annual dividends paid by a fund or stock divided by its current price, shown as a percentage.
Beta: A measure of an investment's volatility compared to the overall market, usually the S&P 500.
AUM: Assets under management; the total market value of assets a fund manages.
Max drawdown: The largest percentage drop from a fund’s peak value to its lowest point over a period.
Cumulative growth: The total increase in value of an investment over a specified period, including all returns.
Holdings: The individual securities or assets owned by a fund.

Robinhood and Affirm both have significant upside potential.

Over the past decade, many financial companies have adopted new technologies to challenge entrenched financial institutions. These "fintech" companies -- which streamlined financial services with digital technologies -- grew much faster than their traditional counterparts.

That growth spurt isn't over yet. From 2025 to 2032, Fortune Business Insights expects the global fintech market to grow at a healthy CAGR of 16.2% as more consumers replace their traditional banks and brokerages with streamlined financial services. To capitalize on that trend, investors should focus on the fintech leaders with early mover advantages.

Let's take a look at two of those promising fintech stocks: Robinhood (HOOD 3.16%) and Affirm (AFRM 2.58%). Both of these stocks are volatile, but they could easily turn a modest $500 investment into several thousand dollars over the next decade.

Image source: Getty Images.

Robinhood
Over the past decade, Robinhood disrupted traditional brokerages with its commission-free trades, streamlined app, and gamified approach to investing. From 2020 to 2024, its number of funded customers more than doubled from 12.5 million to 25.2 million. Its annual revenue grew at a CAGR of 32% during those four years, even as its growth stalled in 2022 upon reaching the end of the pandemic-era buying frenzy in meme stocks and cryptocurrencies.

By the third quarter of 2025, the company had reached 26.8 million funded customers. Its number of Gold subscribers -- who get interest-free margin, lower margin rates, high interest rates on uninvested cash, and other perks for $5 a month -- jumped 77% year over year to 3.9 million.

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From 2024 to 2027, analysts expect Robinhood's revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to grow at a CAGR of 27% and 37%, respectively. That robust growth should be driven by its expansion and evolution into a comprehensive fintech platform offering a broader range of banking, wealth management, and AI-powered investment services.

With an enterprise value of $118.2 billion, Robinhood still looks reasonably valued at 36 times next year's adjusted EBITDA. It could still have plenty of room to grow over the next decade as it pulls even more retail investors away from big brokerages and banks.

Affirm
Affirm is a leading provider of "buy now, pay later" (BNPL) services, which enable consumers to split larger purchases into smaller installment plans without a credit card. It doesn't charge any compound interest or hidden fees on those payments. Affirm's merchant fees are also generally lower than the 1.5%-3.5% swipe fees charged by credit card processing networks.

Those advantages make Affirm a popular choice for lower-income consumers without credit cards and merchants that don't want to pay high card-swiping fees. From fiscal 2021 to fiscal 2025 (which ended this June), its number of active consumers more than tripled from 7.1 million to 23.0 million, its number of active merchants soared from 29,000 to 376,800, and its gross merchandise volume (GMV) more than quadrupled from $8.3 billion to $36.7 billion.

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By the first quarter of fiscal 2026, the company's active consumers had increased to 24.1 million, and its active merchants had expanded to 419,000. On an adjusted basis, its 30+ day delinquencies stayed below 3% -- so it wasn't sacrificing its stability to gain new customers and merchants. Its business is also well-insulated from the macroeconomic headwinds affecting consumer spending, as consumers tend to use its BNPL services more frequently as their spending power wanes.

From fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2028, analysts expect Affirm's revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at a CAGR of 25% and 131%, respectively. With an enterprise value of $27.2 billion, it still appears surprisingly affordable at 24 times this year's adjusted EBITDA -- and it will likely continue to grow as it attracts cost-conscious consumers and merchants away from traditional credit card companies.

The battle over Warner Bros. Discovery is far from over, despite Netflix's acquisition announcement.

Entertainment legend Michael Ovitz, co-founder of Creative Artists Agency, once called the film industry "the most cut-throat, competitive, difficult business in the world." That description seems apt as we watch the intensifying battle between Netflix (NFLX +1.18%) and Paramount Skydance (PSKY 2.69%) to acquire the assets of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD +1.66%).

After Netflix apparently came out victorious in the recent bidding war, Paramount turned up the heat by launching a hostile takeover bid. The action demonstrates the high stakes involved in this industry consolidation phase of the streaming wars. But where does the ongoing battle leave investors?

Image source: Getty Images.

What's involved in the Netflix deal
Understanding the proposed acquisition's ramifications requires first unraveling the intricacies of Netflix's agreement. Netflix is offering to pay WBD shareholders $23.25 in cash and $4.50 in Netflix stock for each WBD share. This values Warner Bros. Discovery stock at $27.75 per share with an enterprise value of $82.7 billion.

But the devil is in the details. The amount of Netflix stock they will actually receive isn't guaranteed. The agreement includes a collar where WBD shareholders will only receive $4.50 in Netflix shares if the stock's 15-day volume weighted average price falls between $97.91 and $119.67 in the three days before the deal closes. If not, WBD shareholders will get either 0.0460 or 0.0376 Netflix shares for each WBD share, depending on whether Netflix's stock price is below or above the range.

That's not all. The Netflix deal is expected to take between 12 months and 18 months to close. Before then, Warner Bros. Discovery intends to complete its previously announced split into two publicly traded businesses. One would be called Warner Bros., and include the film and TV divisions, the HBO brand, and the gaming segment. The other would take Discovery, CNN, TNT, and the other TV outlets, and form a company called Discovery Global.

Netflix wants to buy just the Warner Bros. business. This means the $23.25 in cash and $4.50 in Netflix stock paid to WBD shareholders would apply only to the future shares held in the standalone Warner Bros. company. Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders would still get, and be able to keep, their shares in the new Discovery Global, post acquisition.

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Why Paramount Skydance thinks it has the superior offer
Paramount believes its offer, with an enterprise value of $108.4 billion, is better for Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders. It proposes to pay $30 per share in an all-cash deal that encompasses the entire company, including the Discovery Global portion.

The Paramount offer avoids the uncertainty of the Netflix collar and the as-yet unknown market value of Discovery Global. Paramount management has also suggested that Discovery Global on its own would only be worth about $1 per share, given the debt load the new company could be saddled with.

Paramount also argues Netflix's acquisition faces greater regulatory scrutiny, and may be blocked by Washington because it would combine the top streaming service with the third largest. In fact, a recent Bank of America report analyzing the proposed deal stated, "If Netflix acquires Warner Bros., the streaming wars are effectively over. Netflix would become the undisputed global powerhouse of Hollywood beyond even its currently lofty position."

Netflix has demonstrated some confidence in its ability to close the deal by offering to pay Warner Bros. Discovery a $5.8 billion break-up fee if it falls through. However, President Donald  Trump introduced an unusual wrinkle to the situation by getting directly involved in the regulatory approval process. Notably, his son-in-law Jared Kushner is among the investors backing Paramount's offer.

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Netflix stock vs. Paramount Skydance stock
The whirlwind of events has transformed the valuations of the stocks involved. This can be seen in their price-to-sales ratios.

Data by YCharts.

Netflix's P/S multiple dropped in December, indicating its shares have gotten less expensive. So did Paramount's. Meanwhile, WBD's P/S ratio soared this month, thanks to the battle between its suitors.

For investors, this creates an opportunity to buy Netflix or Paramount stock, but this doesn't look like the best time to buy WBD, which closed trading Thursday at $29.49 -- more than the apparent value of the Netflix bid, and just shy of the value of the Paramount offer. For WBD shareholders who want to avoid worrying about the uncertainty of which company will end up the victor, it's a good time to sell, given that the stock has gained 179% in 2025 through Dec. 11.

If Netflix can prevail and gain regulatory approval for the acquisition, it will be well positioned to dominate the entertainment sector. Yet even if it fails to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, it remains the streaming industry leader, and in the wake of its P/S ratio drop, now would be a good time to scoop up shares.

If Paramount achieves victory in its hostile takeover bid, the addition of Warner Bros. Discovery to its portfolio would, in principle, lead to a stronger combined company, with HBO Max boosting its streaming segment while WBD's various television and cable outlets complement Paramount's networks, including its flagship CBS.

However, it's too early to tell if the recently combined Paramount Skydance can achieve streaming success against Netflix. Therefore, regardless of the WBD acquisition's outcome, Netflix looks like the superior stock to pick now.

The Trade Desk enters 2026 with a great business and tougher questions.

As 2025 comes to a close, The Trade Desk (TTD 1.04%) remains one of the most closely watched companies in digital advertising. For years, the company earned its reputation as the independent alternative to Google and Meta Platforms, helping advertisers reach audiences across the open internet with transparency and control.

But this year marked a turning point. Competitive dynamics shifted, execution expectations reset, and the industry's center of gravity continued to move toward large ecosystems with rich first-party data. The Trade Desk still stands on a strong footing, yet investors are entering 2026 with a more nuanced view of both the opportunity and the risks ahead.

Here are the three most important lessons from 2025.

Image source: Getty Images.

The Trade Desk remains strong, but the aura of flawless execution is gone
For nearly a decade, The Trade Desk built one of the most impressive track records in tech -- more than 30 consecutive quarters of revenue beats, consistent margin expansion, and customer retention above 95%. That reliability became part of the company's identity.

But by the end of 2024 and into early 2025, cracks finally appeared. The company reported its first revenue miss in years. Although growth rebounded quickly -- rose in the high teens through 2025 -- the miss altered investor psychology. The Trade Desk showed it is not immune to macro pressures, competitive intensity, or operational growing pains.

This doesn't diminish the business. Retention remained above 95%, spending on the platform increased, and The Trade Desk continued investing aggressively in AI, identity, and related areas. Yet 2025 reminded investors that even excellent companies face tougher stretches.

In short, future performance will matter more than past streaks.

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Competition intensified sharply -- especially from Amazon
This will be remembered as the year when Amazon Ads reshaped the digital advertising competitive landscape. Amazon's advertising business surpassed $50 billion in annual revenue, and its influence expanded further as the company deepened its presence in streaming and programmatic buying.

The biggest development came when Netflix chose Amazon as its primary programmatic partner, giving Amazon's demand-side platform access to some of the most valuable connected TV (CTV) inventory worldwide. Similar partnerships with Walt Disney and Roku reinforced Amazon's growing dominance.

This shift matters. CTV sits at the center of The Trade Desk's long-term growth strategy. Premium streaming inventory is both scarce and critical. When Amazon secures relationships at that level, the competitive bar rises, and The Trade Desk must work harder to maintain relevance and secure access to supply.

Meanwhile, Google and Meta strengthened their own ecosystems. Both companies rolled out deeper AI-driven personalization and leaned heavily on first-party data advantages. That combination further entrenched advertiser budgets inside walled gardens, heightening the challenge for independent platforms like The Trade Desk.

The Trade Desk still has plenty of room to grow. But the market it operates in looks more competitive than it did just a few years ago.

The open internet ecosystem remains The Trade Desk's biggest advantage -- and risk
The Trade Desk's north star has always been the open internet. Its value proposition centers on neutrality, transparency, and cross-platform reach -- something walled gardens don't offer. In 2025, the company doubled down on that mission:

UID2 expanded as a privacy-safe identity standard.
OpenPath and curated publisher programs increased direct access to premium inventory.

These investments strengthened the ecosystem outside Amazon, Google, and Meta. Advertisers still want diversification, and publishers still seek independence. The Trade Desk plays a key role in enabling both.

But 2025 also exposed the fragility of the open internet. As more consumption shifts to streaming platforms and AI-powered interfaces, control increasingly consolidates within large ecosystems. If more publishers choose exclusive or preferential relationships with Amazon or other giants, The Trade Desk could lose meaningful supply over time.

The company's future depends on keeping the open internet competitive, and proving it can deliver value that closed ecosystems can't.

What does it mean for investors?
The Trade Desk heads into 2026 with a strong business, a powerful product roadmap, and a loyal customer base. But the landscape around it has changed. Execution needs to stay sharp, competitive pressures are real, and the open-internet thesis faces new tests.

The company isn't in trouble, far from it. But investors should approach 2026 with clearer eyes and higher standards before making any investment in the company.

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Kenvue Inc. (NYSE: KVUE) related to its sale to Kimberly-Clark Corporation. Under the terms of the proposed transaction, Kenvue shareholders will receive $3.50 per share in cash plus 0.14625 Kimberly-Clark shares for each Kenvue share.
ACT NOW. The Shareholder Vote is scheduled for January 29, 2026.

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FirstSun Capital Bancorp (NASDAQ: FSUN) related to its merger with First Foundation Inc. Upon completion of the proposed transaction, FirstSun shareholders will own 59.5% of the combined company.
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First Foundation Inc. (NYSE: FFWM) related to its sale to FirstSun Capital Bancorp. Under the terms of the proposed transaction, First Foundation shareholders will receive 0.16083 of a share of FirstSun common stock for each First Foundation common stock.
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Gulf Island Fabrication, Inc. (NASDAQ: GIFI) related to its sale to IES Holdings, Inc. Under the terms of the proposed transaction, Gulf Island shareholders will receive $12.00 in cash per share.
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[email protected]
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Don’t Be Afraid of Mid-Term Years
Chances are you’ve heard – and maybe even believed – the old claim that we only use 10% of our brains.

It’s catchy. It’s memorable.

It’s completely wrong.

But people believe it anyway, because when something gets repeated enough, it starts to feel like the truth.

According to the McGovern Institute for Brain Research at MIT, humans use 100% of the brain every day — just not all at the same time.

Through MRI and PET scans, neuroscientists have shown that every region of the brain has a function, even if it’s not active simultaneously.

The 10% myth survives because people focus on the part that sounds simple and ignore the rest.

This came to mind as I’ve been seeing articles and social media posts recently that midterm election years (the general elections held near the midpoint of a president’s four-year term of office) are “bad years for the market.”

Investors have been warned to brace for turbulence or pull back on risk every time a midterm year rolls around.

Here is an example from Seeking Alpha…

The projection has a grain of truth.

You probably remember 2022, when the market was down 19%. Or 2018, when the market experienced a 6% decline.

But do you also remember 2014? That’s when the market jumped 11%. Or what about 2010 when the market was up 13%?

Investors often focus on the part that sounds simple. They latch onto the handful of bad years and overlook the full picture.

There’s no reason to believe next year will be bearish.

Today, I’ll show you why our group of expert stock analysts is still bullish, and I’ll share two picks to start the year right.

Strong Earnings Set to Continue
Let’s start with the fundamentals, courtesy of investing legend Louis Navellier. Regular Digest readers know Louis’ quantitative system is based on buying fundamentally superior stocks – those with positive earnings and revenue growth.

How is the market doing overall? Louis summarized this for readers recently.

Now that the third-quarter earnings announcement season has officially wrapped up, here is where we stand: According to FactSet, 83% of S&P 500 companies posted a positive earnings surprise and 76% achieved a positive revenue surprise. The S&P 500 reported a 6.6% average earnings surprise and a 2% average revenue surprise.

I should add that the S&P 500 achieved 13.4% average earnings growth and 8.4% average revenue growth for the third quarter. So, earnings growth and earnings surprises are at the highest pace in four years, while revenue is running at its highest pace in three years.

And the great news is that earnings and revenue are forecast to accelerate in 2026.

Picking fundamentally superior stocks is what led Louis to choose Robinhood (HOOD) in late August.

In November, the company reported third-quarter revenue more than doubled year-over-year to a record $1.27 billion, surpassing estimates for $1.22 billion. Third-quarter earnings surged 270.7% year-over-year to $556 million, or $0.61 per share, compared to $150 million, or $0.17 per share, in the same quarter a year ago.

Since Louis’ pick, HOOD is up more than 30% and is still an “A” in his Stock Grader system.

The AI Megatrend Continues

Tech investing expert Luke Lango noted that a lot of investor sentiment is driven by mainstream media headlines that lately have tried to cast doubt on the AI megatrend.

From NPR…

From The Wall Street Journal…

However, any meaningful examination of the data reveals positive signs. Here is what Luke wrote to his subscribers about the market action last week.

While investors fixated on the noise, the real story played out under the surface: AI fundamentals accelerated across every layer of the stack.

Bloomberg raised its AI power forecast by 36%. Nvidia locked in a $2 billion design deal. Credo posted 270%+ revenue growth. Salesforce’s AI ARR surged 330%. CrowdStrike, Guidewire, Rubrik, Samsara — all confirming the same trend of real contracts and real demand.

By Friday, the tape caught on. Inflation stayed stable, rate-cut odds firmed, hardware orders accelerated, and global AI infrastructure plans expanded. The fear trade broke, and the market pushed to new highs.

The takeaway is simple: this rally isn’t holiday magic. It’s being powered by soaring AI infrastructure demand, surging software revenue, a friendlier macro backdrop, and a government increasingly picking winners.

One of Luke’s picks to benefit is a stock he called “America’s Nuclear Backbone.” All new data centers and chip fabrication plants will require a lot of new energy to power them, and we know that: 1) Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, is heavily invested in and bullish on nuclear energy, and 2) Microsoft wants to power its data centers with nuclear energy.

BWX Technologies (BWXT) is the primary supplier of components to the nuclear energy industry, and since Luke’s recommendation, the stock has doubled.

New Winners on the Horizon
Economist Ed Yardeni made news this week. The long-time big tech bull announced that he was shifting away from the Magnificent 7 tech companies and projecting bigger gains for the broader market.

Yardeni was quoted by Bloomberg:

“We see more competitors coming for the juicy profit margins of the Magnificent 7,” and expect that the productivity and profit margins of the rest of the S&P 500 will be boosted by tech.

I wondered if he had been reading Eric Fry, who has already steered his readers into this rotation.

Eric believes that every investment needs to be seen through an “AI Lens.”

I’ve identified four distinct AI investment categories, each of which offers different levels of risk and reward. From this day forward, every stock you consider should fall into one of these four categories…

AI Builders
AI Enablers
AI Appliers
AI Survivors

Eric brought that “AI Lens” to his annual team-up with Louis and Luke for the Power Portfolio that debuted Monday.

If you’re new to the Digest, Power Portfolio is the annual 12-month portfolio chosen by Louis, Luke and Eric. They all work together to build a portfolio to outperform the market over one calendar year.

In 2025, the Power Portfolio gained 31.6%, far outpacing the Nasdaq’s 18.5% gain, and more than doubling the gains for the S&P 500 index and the Dow over the same period.

Power Portfolio has delivered gains of more than 30% in each of the last two years, resulting in a compound return of 74%, compared to a two-year return of 49% for the S&P.

We believe 2026 will bring even more opportunities, provided you know where to look. Tech companies are investing billions of dollars in artificial intelligence infrastructure, and the U.S. government is set to allocate trillions to support critical industries.

When It Comes To Investing, Consider the Entire Picture
Don’t rely on old market saws about midterm years when the reality of 2026 is being shaped by AI, earnings growth, and one of the strongest secular trends in a generation.

Science shows we use our whole brain — the 10% myth was never true. And it’s time investors stopped using 10% of their thinking when it comes to midterm election years.

Everything about 2026 points to a continuing bull market in 2026. It could be a massive opportunity for investors who stay the course.

You can still view a recording of the latest Power Portfolio 2026 presentation to get a head start on that year ahead by clicking here.

Enjoy your weekend,

Luis Hernandez

Editor in Chief, InvestorPlace

Rebeca Moen
Dec 13, 2025 16:05

SUI price prediction shows potential 25-49% upside with analysts targeting $1.70-$2.40 range following falling wedge breakout and improving momentum indicators.

SUI Price Prediction: Technical Breakout Signals Recovery Ahead
The Sui blockchain's native token has caught analysts' attention as technical indicators align for a potential recovery from recent lows. With SUI currently trading at $1.61, multiple predictions converge on a bullish outlook for the coming weeks.

SUI Price Prediction Summary
• SUI short-term target (1 week): $1.70 (+5.6%)
• Sui medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.10-$2.40 range (+30-49%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $1.79 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $1.30 (immediate support level)

Recent Sui Price Predictions from Analysts
The analyst community shows remarkable consensus in their SUI price prediction outlook. CoinCentral leads with a $1.70 short-term target based on a falling wedge breakout pattern, while extending their Sui forecast to $2.10-$2.40 for medium-term gains. This aligns perfectly with MEXC News analysts who cite improving momentum indicators as the catalyst for similar price targets.

FinanceFeeds takes the most aggressive stance with a long-term SUI price target of $5.22-$7.58, though this hinges on fundamental developments like Magma Finance's adaptive liquidity engine implementation. The convergence around $1.70 for near-term moves suggests strong technical support for this level.

What's notable is the absence of bearish predictions, with all major analysts maintaining medium confidence levels in their bullish Sui forecast. This consensus suggests limited downside risk at current levels.

SUI Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Continuation
The current technical setup strongly supports the bullish SUI price prediction narrative. At $1.61, SUI trades above its 7-day SMA ($1.61) and 20-day SMA ($1.57), indicating short-term momentum has shifted positive. The recent 3.31% daily gain confirms this technical improvement.

Critical momentum indicators paint an encouraging picture. The MACD histogram reading of 0.0309 signals bullish momentum building, while the RSI at 47.06 sits in neutral territory with room for upward movement before hitting overbought conditions. The Stochastic oscillator readings (%K: 63.10, %D: 59.60) suggest momentum is accelerating without being overextended.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals SUI positioned at 0.64 within the bands, indicating the token has moved toward the upper resistance at $1.72 but hasn't reached extreme levels. This positioning supports the $1.70 SUI price target as the next logical resistance test.

Volume confirmation comes from the substantial $46.5 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, providing the liquidity foundation needed for any significant price movement in either direction.

Sui Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for SUI
The primary bullish scenario targets $1.70 as the immediate SUI price target, representing a break above the Bollinger Band upper limit and testing the falling wedge breakout level identified by analysts. Success at this level opens the path toward $1.79, the immediate resistance level that represents the critical technical hurdle.

Breaking $1.79 would likely trigger the next phase of the Sui forecast, targeting the $2.10-$2.40 range over the medium term. This scenario requires sustained volume above current levels and RSI moving toward the 60-70 range without triggering overbought selling pressure.

The aggressive long-term scenario targeting $5.22-$7.58 would require fundamental catalysts beyond pure technical analysis, including successful ecosystem developments and broader market recovery.

Bearish Risk for Sui
The primary risk to bullish SUI price prediction scenarios lies in a failure to hold the $1.57 middle Bollinger Band support. A break below this level, combined with the 20-day SMA, would likely trigger testing of the $1.42 lower Bollinger Band.

More concerning would be a break of the $1.35 level, which represents both the 52-week low and a critical psychological support. Such a move would invalidate current bullish technical setups and potentially target the $1.30 strong support level.

The bearish scenario gains credibility if daily volume drops significantly below current levels or if the MACD histogram turns negative, indicating momentum has shifted back to the downside.

Should You Buy SUI Now? Entry Strategy
Current technical conditions support a measured approach to SUI accumulation. The optimal entry strategy involves scaling into positions between $1.54-$1.61, using the recent 24-hour range as a guide. This approach allows for dollar-cost averaging while maintaining proximity to technical support levels.

For risk management, position sizes should remain modest with stop-losses placed below $1.42 (lower Bollinger Band) for short-term trades or $1.35 (52-week low) for longer-term positions. This provides approximately 12-16% downside protection while maintaining exposure to the 25-49% upside potential outlined in current Sui forecast scenarios.

The answer to "buy or sell SUI" depends on risk tolerance, but technical conditions favor accumulation over aggressive selling at current levels, particularly given the analyst consensus around higher price targets.

SUI Price Prediction Conclusion
The technical and analytical evidence strongly supports a bullish SUI price prediction with medium confidence. The convergence of analyst targets around $1.70-$2.40, combined with improving momentum indicators and supportive chart patterns, creates a compelling case for upside potential over the next 1-4 weeks.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include maintaining support above $1.57, MACD histogram staying positive, and volume sustaining above $40 million daily levels. Invalidation signals would include breaks below $1.42 or RSI falling below 40.

The timeline for this Sui forecast to materialize appears to be 1-4 weeks for initial targets, with medium-term objectives potentially achievable within 30-45 days if momentum continues building. Current risk-reward dynamics favor cautious accumulation while maintaining disciplined risk management protocols.

Image source: Shutterstock

sui price analysis
sui price prediction

Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

The weekend has started with a market fall, according to CoinMarketCap.

Top coins by CoinMarketCapBTC/USDThe rate of Bitcoin (BTC) has declined by 2.45% over the last 24 hours.

Image by TradingViewOn the hourly chart, the price of BTC has made a false breakout of the local support of $90,124. However, if a bounce back does not happen and the daily bar closes near that mark, one can expect a dump to the $90,000 area and below.

Image by TradingViewOn the bigger time frame, there are no reversal signals so far. As the rate of the main crypto is far from the key levels, one should focus on the interim zone of $90,000.

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If a breakout happens, the accumulated energy might be enough for a more profound decline to the $88,000 range.

Image by TradingViewFrom the midterm point of view, traders should focus on the candle closure in terms of the $94,172 level. If it happens far from it, the correction is likely to continue to the $85,000 mark.

Bitcoin is trading at $90,179 at press time.

The recommendation is in line with other global asset managers like BlackRock and Bank of America suggesting small portfolio allocations to the largest cryptocurrency. Dec 13, 2025, 3:42 p.m.

Brazil’s largest privately-owned asset manager, Itáu Asset Management, has recommended investors allocate 1% to 3% of their portfolios to bitcoin BTC$90,164.44.

In a year-end note, Renato Eid, head of beta strategies and responsible investment for Itaú Asset Management, argued that bitcoin’s lack of correlation with traditional local assets makes it a useful diversification tool.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

The note echoes the bitcoin allocations recommended by other major asset managers. Earlier this month, Bank of America greenlit wealth advisors to recommend a BTC allocation of up to 4%, while BlackRock has pointed to 2%.

Eid emphasized a measured approach, not turning crypto into the centerpiece of a portfolio but using it as a complementary asset that can help absorb shocks from currency depreciation and global volatility.

“The idea is not to make cryptoassets the core of the portfolio but to include them as a complementary component — sized appropriately to the investor’s risk profile,” Eid wrote.

This year, bitcoin surged to a record near $125,000 before falling back to around $90,000. For local investors, the ride was even bumpier due to currency fluctuations.

Products like BITI11, a bitcoin ETF traded in Brazil, saw their performance in reais affected by the weakening fiat currency. But in periods of stress, such as late 2024, the global nature of BTC provided some insulation.

Eid warned against trying to time the market and suggested a disciplined, long-term mindset. A small, steady exposure to bitcoin, he says, can act as a partial hedge and offer access to global returns, especially as traditional asset correlations become less reliable.

“It calls for moderation and discipline: set a strategic slice (for example, 1%–3% of the total portfolio), keep a long-term horizon and resist the temptation to react to short-term noise,” Eid wrote.

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Sat, 13/12/2025 - 15:48

Lean Ventures, a heavyweight licensed asset manager in South Korea, has announced a special $300 million fund to hold Ripple Labs shares.

Cover image via u.today

Lean Ventures, a Seoul-headquartered asset manager, has announced that it reached an agreement with NASDAQ-listed Vivo Federation to establish a $300 million fund with Ripple Labs shares. With this new vehicle, South Korean retail investors can get exposure to XRP with no need to buy the physical cryptocurrency.

$300 million Ripple Labs shares deal makes headlines in South Korea: What to knowAccording to a press release shared yesterday, Dec. 12, a new Ripple Labs shares fund has been launched by Lean Ventures, one of the biggest South Korean asset managers. The deal will be handled with the infrastructure of Vivo Federation, a blockchain unit of VivoPower International PLC.

VivoPower received approval from @Ripple for an initial tranche of Ripple Labs shares.

With asset manager Lean Ventures, a new $300M fund has been created.

Investors to gain exposure to Ripple & $XRP at a material discount to spot & target $75M in returns over 3 years.… pic.twitter.com/BoxcWwRQij

— 🌸Crypto Eri ~ Carpe Diem (@sentosumosaba) December 13, 2025 Under the terms of the joint venture agreement, Lean Ventures will arrange for the establishment of a dedicated investment vehicle to acquire and hold an initial target of $300 million in Ripple Labs shares.

Lean Ventures has already canvassed interest from qualified South Korean institutional and retail investors and now increases its bet on digital assets.

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VivoPower recently received written approval from Ripple Labs to purchase an initial tranche of Ripple Labs preferred shares and is now negotiating bilaterally to purchase additional Ripple Labs shares from institutional holders of Ripple Labs shares worth an estimated $300 million.

As part of the joint venture, Vivo Federation will receive a share of management fees and performance carry, which would target a net economic return for VivoPower of $75 million over three years based on an initial $300 million in assets under management.

Institutional investors can get exposure to XRP with discount?As stressed by Adam Traidman, the chairman of VivoPower’s Advisory Council, the endgame goal of this cooperation is to provide more opportunities for investing in XRP and related products for the South Korean market:

We are delighted to have entered into this partnership with Lean Ventures, given its established status and reputation in South Korea. As we have noted previously, South Korea is a highly strategic market for Vivo Federation, given that it is the largest holder by value and number of XRP tokens in the world. With this dedicated investment vehicle, qualifying South Korean institutional and retail investors can gain exposure to Ripple Labs shares and, in turn, XRP at a material discount to the spot price.

Vivo Federation is the digital asset arm of VivoPower, focused on XRPL-based real-world blockchain applications and maintaining exposure to Ripple Labs shares and XRP tokens.

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As covered by U.Today previously, 21Shares, a U.S.-based asset manager, is preparing its ETFs on spot XRP for launch.

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Market experts warn that BTC is balancing between a mild correction and a potential deeper bear phase.

The NFT brand’s animated segments will air on the Sphere across Christmas week, signaling the crypto company's move into real-world consumer markets. Dec 13, 2025, 4:10 p.m.

Once a breakout non-fungible token (NFT) project during the 2021 crypto boom, Pudgy Penguins is turning to real-world visibility with a high-profile ad placement at the Las Vegas Sphere during Christmas week.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

Only a few crypto-related brands have secured ad space at the Sphere, a massive LED-covered venue known for its immersive displays and performances by acts like U2 and the Eagles. A bitcoin-focused activation ran in July, but other examples have been rare.

Pudgy Penguins’ ad will run for several days starting December 24 and will include multiple animated segments, according to a person familiar with the deal. The brand spent roughly $500,000 on the placement — standard for a run at the Sphere.

“It’s sort of showing that a crypto project can exceed and go out of crypto, touch the hearts and minds of everyday consumers,” Vedant Mangaldas, chief of strategy and brand at Pudgy Penguins, told CoinDesk. He said that the deal was made possible because the project has a “real business” behind it.

Launched in 2021 on Ethereum, Pudgy Penguins is best known for its collection of 8,888 cartoon-style penguin NFTs, each with unique traits. Under new leadership, the project has since expanded into physical toys sold at major retailers and a browser-based social game called Pudgy World.

The most popular Pudgy Penguin was reportedly sold in August 2022 for 400 ETH — valued at around $650k at the time. Today, the NFT would be worth over $1.2 million at ETH’s current price of $3,086.

The project fought to stay relevant during the recent years-long NFT bear market — not without success. Last December, it made fresh headlines when it said it was planning to launch a token called PENGU on Solana SOL$133.35.

A few weeks later, the NFT set became the world’s second most-valued NFTs with a minimum — or floor — price for any of the 8,888 comic penguins topping $100,000 and flipping the collections' value above its comic monkey forerunner, the Bored Apes Yacht Club.

PENGU, which is listed on major exchanges such as Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD), is down about 80% over the past year and about 74% from its all-time high of $0.042 in July.

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AVAX price prediction points to $15.50 target within 4 weeks, with bullish MACD momentum and key resistance at $15.27 setting stage for potential breakout rally.

AVAX Price Prediction: Technical Momentum Building for December Rally
Avalanche (AVAX) is positioning for a potential recovery rally as technical indicators begin showing early signs of bullish momentum despite the recent 1.56% decline. With the current price at $13.29, multiple analyst forecasts are converging on upside targets that could deliver substantial returns for positioned traders.

AVAX Price Prediction Summary
• AVAX short-term target (1 week): $14.58 (+9.7%)
• Avalanche medium-term forecast (1 month): $15.50-$19.00 range

• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $15.27
• Critical support if bearish: $12.54

Recent Avalanche Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest AVAX price prediction consensus from leading analysts shows remarkable alignment on upside potential. Hexn.io's conservative short-term forecast targets $14.58 by December 11, representing a modest 0.27% technical bounce. More aggressively, MEXC News projects the Avalanche forecast could reach $16-$19 within 30 days, citing bullish MACD momentum as a key catalyst.

Long-term predictions are even more optimistic, with Bitrue setting an AVAX price target of $20.51-$24.53 by end of 2025. This aligns with The Tribune's analysis suggesting $18.42-$21.98 based on stable fundamentals and consistent developer activity. The consensus view indicates analysts expect a gradual recovery pattern rather than explosive growth.

AVAX Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Controlled Recovery
The Avalanche technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency at an inflection point. The RSI reading of 41.78 sits in neutral territory, providing room for upward movement without hitting overbought conditions. More importantly, the MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.1090, indicating early bullish momentum despite the negative MACD line at -0.6294.

AVAX is currently trading within its Bollinger Bands at the 0.25 position, suggesting the price is closer to the lower band and has room to move toward the upper resistance at $15.25. The 20-day SMA at $13.93 is acting as immediate resistance, while the price sits below all major moving averages, indicating the uptrend needs confirmation.

Volume analysis shows $31.9 million in 24-hour trading, providing adequate liquidity for breakout moves. The daily ATR of $0.94 suggests moderate volatility, which could support steady gains rather than explosive moves.

Avalanche Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for AVAX
The primary bullish scenario for our AVAX price prediction centers on breaking the $15.27 resistance level. Success here opens the path to $16-$19 within 30 days, as outlined in the MEXC News Avalanche forecast. The 200-day SMA at $21.55 represents the ultimate bullish target, though this would require sustained momentum over months.

Technical confluence supports this view: the positive MACD histogram, neutral RSI with upside room, and position within Bollinger Bands all favor upward movement. A break above $15.27 would trigger stop-loss buying and potentially accelerate gains toward $19.50.

Bearish Risk for Avalanche
The bearish scenario involves failure to hold the $12.54 support level, which would invalidate the current AVAX price prediction. A breakdown here could target the 52-week low at $12.76, representing only minimal additional downside but significant psychological damage.

Key risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, failure of the MACD to generate sustained bullish divergence, and inability to reclaim the 20-day SMA. The fact that AVAX remains 62.23% below its 52-week high of $35.19 shows the extent of the previous correction.

Should You Buy AVAX Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current Avalanche technical analysis, the optimal entry strategy involves scaled buying. Initial positions can be established at current levels around $13.29, with additional buying planned on any dip toward $12.54 support. This approach captures the potential upside while managing downside risk.

Stop-loss placement should be positioned below $12.50 to account for false breakdowns. Position sizing should remain moderate given the medium confidence level across analyst predictions. Target profit-taking at $15.50 aligns with the 30-day Avalanche forecast, while holding a portion for the longer-term $19-$24 range makes sense for patient investors.

The key question "buy or sell AVAX" depends on risk tolerance, but technical evidence favors controlled accumulation over aggressive selling at these levels.

AVAX Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive AVAX price prediction points to a controlled recovery scenario over the next 4-8 weeks. The $15.50 target within one month carries medium confidence based on improving technical momentum and analyst consensus. The critical $15.27 resistance level will determine whether Avalanche can achieve the higher targets in the $19-$24 range.

Key indicators to monitor include MACD line crossing above zero, RSI breaking above 50, and successful reclaim of the 20-day SMA. Failure to hold $12.54 support would invalidate the bullish thesis and require reassessment. The timeline for this prediction extends through January 2025, with initial confirmation expected within 10-14 trading days.

Confidence Level: Medium (65%) based on technical convergence and analyst consensus, though broader market conditions remain a wildcard factor.

Image source: Shutterstock

avax price analysis
avax price prediction

Luisa Crawford
Dec 13, 2025 15:15

ATOM price prediction shows potential recovery to $2.32 within 2 weeks, followed by $2.75 target in 4-6 weeks if critical $2.14 support holds amid mixed signals.

ATOM Price Prediction Summary
• ATOM short-term target (1-2 weeks): $2.32 (+5.9%) - Technical recovery expected above $2.30 resistance
• Cosmos medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.90-$2.75 range - Wide trading range with potential for significant moves
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $2.56 - Immediate resistance and Bollinger Band upper level
• Critical support if bearish: $2.14 - 52-week low and crucial floor for any recovery scenario

Recent Cosmos Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest ATOM price prediction consensus from multiple analytical sources shows cautious optimism despite current weakness. MEXC News projects the most aggressive Cosmos forecast, targeting $2.30 in the short term and $2.75 within 4-6 weeks. This aligns with Hexn.io's $2.32 target, suggesting technical analysts see similar resistance levels ahead.

However, predictions vary significantly in their pathways. While Bitget expects stability around $2.18 with minimal daily growth of 0.014%, MEXC warns of a potential dip to $1.90 before the $2.75 recovery. CoinLore's moderate $2.23 target represents the middle ground among current forecasts.

The consensus reveals medium confidence across all predictions, indicating uncertainty in current market conditions but general agreement that ATOM's downside appears limited near current levels.

ATOM Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Cautious Recovery
Cosmos technical analysis reveals mixed signals that support a measured bullish outlook. The RSI at 36.67 sits in neutral territory, avoiding both overbought and oversold extremes, while the MACD histogram shows early bullish momentum at 0.0082, suggesting potential upward pressure building.

ATOM's position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.2060 indicates the price is trading in the lower portion of its recent range, historically a zone where bounces often occur. The current price of $2.19 sits just above the lower Bollinger Band at $2.09, providing technical support for the ATOM price target scenarios.

Volume analysis shows $3.935 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, which remains below average but sufficient to support modest price movements. The 0.78% daily gain demonstrates some buying interest at current levels.

Cosmos Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for ATOM
The primary ATOM price prediction for bulls targets $2.32 initially, representing the convergence of multiple analyst forecasts and the next logical resistance level. This move would require breaking above the EMA 12 at $2.26, which has been acting as dynamic resistance.

A sustained move above $2.32 opens the path to $2.56, the immediate resistance level that aligns with previous support-turned-resistance zones. The ultimate bullish Cosmos forecast points to $2.75, which would represent a 25% gain from current levels and approach the SMA 50 at $2.65.

For this scenario to play out, ATOM needs to maintain the critical $2.14 support and show increased volume on any upward moves above $2.30.

Bearish Risk for Cosmos
The bearish scenario becomes active if ATOM breaks below the $2.14 support, which represents both the 52-week low and the lower Bollinger Band support zone. Such a breakdown could trigger a move toward $1.90, as suggested by MEXC's analysis.

A failure to hold $2.07 (immediate support and strong support confluence) would invalidate near-term bullish predictions and potentially lead to a retest of yearly lows. The distance from the SMA 200 at $3.87 shows how far ATOM has fallen, indicating substantial overhead resistance.

Should You Buy ATOM Now? Entry Strategy
Current technical conditions suggest a buy or sell ATOM decision favors cautious accumulation for risk-tolerant traders. The optimal entry strategy involves scaling into positions between $2.15-$2.20, with the first entry near current levels and additional purchases if the price dips toward $2.14 support.

Stop-loss placement should be tight given the proximity to critical support, with positions protected below $2.12 to limit downside to 3-4%. This risk management approach aligns with the medium confidence level analysts assign to current predictions.

Position sizing should remain conservative given the neutral RSI and mixed technical signals. A half-position initially, with plans to add on confirmed breaks above $2.30, provides balanced exposure to potential upside while managing downside risk.

ATOM Price Prediction Conclusion
The ATOM price prediction for December 2025 points to a recovery scenario with medium confidence, targeting $2.32 within two weeks and potentially $2.75 within 4-6 weeks. The current technical setup supports this Cosmos forecast, with bullish MACD momentum and oversold positioning within the Bollinger Bands.

Key indicators to watch include the RSI breaking above 40 for momentum confirmation and volume expansion on moves above $2.26. The critical $2.14 support level remains the make-or-break point for all bullish scenarios.

Timeline expectations show the $2.32 ATOM price target achievable within 10-14 days if current support holds, while the $2.75 medium-term target requires 4-6 weeks and successful navigation of multiple resistance levels. Confidence level remains medium due to broader market uncertainty and ATOM's proximity to critical support levels.

Image source: Shutterstock

atom price analysis
atom price prediction

While attention may look muted at first glance, Google Trends data shows that over the past year the search term “ bitcoin” has maintained a steady, well-paced level of relative interest throughout the period.

Ethereum spot ETFs recorded $19.41 million in net outflows on December 12 as ETH price stalled near the $3,000 level.

Summary

Ethereum ETFs posted $19.41M in net outflows on December 12 amid mixed fund activity.
BlackRock ETHA saw inflows, but Grayscale and Fidelity outflows dragged totals lower.
Analysts flag bullish ETH setup despite short-term weakness near $3,000 support.

BlackRock’s ETHA attracted $23.25 million in inflows while Grayscale’s ETHE and ETH funds posted combined withdrawals of $36.52 million.

Ethereum (ETH) traded at $3,157 with a 24-hour range of $3,054.43 to $3,261.13. The token has dropped 5.4% over the past 24 hours and 12.6% over the past 30 days.

Mixed flows across Ethereum ETF providers
The December 12 outflows followed a volatile week for ETH ETFs. December 9 posted one of the largest inflow at $177.64 million, followed by $57.58 million on December 10.

The funds then reversed with $42.37 million in outflows on December 11 before Thursday’s $19.41 million withdrawal.

Ethereum ETF data: SoSo Value
Fidelity’s FETH saw $6.14 million in outflows on December 12. Grayscale’s legacy ETHE fund recorded $14.42 million in redemptions, while Grayscale’s mini ETH trust posted $22.10 million in withdrawals.

Bitwise’s ETHW, VanEck’s ETHV, Franklin’s EZET, 21Shares’ TETH, and Invesco’s QETH all posted zero flow activity.

BlackRock’s ETHA remains the largest ETH ETF with $13.23 billion in cumulative net inflows.

Grayscale’s ETHE holds -$5.02 billion in net outflows since converting from a trust structure. Fidelity’s FETH has accumulated $2.66 billion in total inflows.

Total net assets under management for Ethereum ETFs stood at $19.42 billion as of December 12. Cumulative total net inflow across all funds reached $13.09 billion. Total value traded hit $1.84 billion on December 12.

Analysts eye inverse head and shoulders ETH pattern
Donald Dean identified an inverse head and shoulders formation on Ethereum’s chart with a price target of $4,955.90. “Price recently launched higher from the volume shelf and is moving to the $3,300 volume shelf for a potential launch area,” Dean wrote on X.

The analyst pointed to the technical pattern suggesting bullish continuation after ETH completes the formation. The $4,955.90 target would be a roughly 57% gain from current levels.

$ETH $ETHUSD Ethereum – Inverse Head & Shoulders

Price Target: $4955.90

Price is trending to show a large inverse head & shoulders pattern. Price recently launched higher fomr the volume shelf and is moving to the $3300 volume shelf for a potential launch area.

The next target… pic.twitter.com/q49PLM5unJ

— Donald Dean (@donaldjdean) December 12, 2025

Ted highlighted liquidity clusters at key price levels. “Ethereum has a big liquidity cluster at the $3,000 level. On the upside, there are liquidity clusters at the $3,150 and $3,250 levels,” Ted posted on X.

The analyst suggested ETH could sweep downside liquidity at $3,000 before reversing higher, similar to Bitcoin’s recent price action. The $3,150 and $3,250 levels are near-term resistance zones where limit orders have accumulated.

Is a rally toward $1 on the way?

Over the past 24 hours, Cardano’s ADA rebounded slightly, but that does not change the fact that the asset has been on a steep decline in the last few months.

Perhaps many of the token’s investors are curious whether a significant rally or a major pullback is on the way, so we asked four of the most popular AI-powered chatbots to gauge the most likely price on Christmas.

‘No Miracle, No Collapse’
As of this writing, ADA trades at around $0.42 (per CoinGecko’s data), and ChatGPT thinks the price may increase to almost $1 by December 25. It sees this as “the most realistic expectation” given that Cardano remains “a long-term, fundamentals-driven project.” At the same time, it assumed that ADA  could stop at roughly $0.70 on Christmas should the broader crypto market not show muscles.

“No miracle, no collapse – just a steady, sentiment-driven holiday rally,” ChatGPT concluded.

Google’s Gemini also claimed that the $1 mark seems reasonable for Christmas. It went even further, predicting that the price could soar above $1.50 and even $2 if a spot ADA ETF sees the light of day in the United States or if Cardano announces a major partnership with a renowned corporation.

Grok, the chatbot integrated into the social media platform X, stated that forecasting the price of a cryptocurrency is “inherently speculative” and noted the volatility of the digital asset sector.

Still, it highlighted the recent rate cuts announced by the Federal Reserve as a bullish factor that could pump up ADA and other leading altcoins. It also reminded that December has been kind to the asset in some previous years, predicting that its valuation could climb to $0.55 on Christmas.

How About More Modest Gains?
Perplexity also sees a chance of an increase, albeit not as substantial as the targets set by ChatGPT, Gemini, and Grok. It suggested that ADA’s Christmas price may reach $0.48 and will heavily depend on bullish news surrounding Cardano’s ecosystem.

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“$0.48 aligns closely with detailed December 2025 forecasts from technical models, representing the month’s maximum and average price targets and current bearish trends,” the chatbot stated.

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Tether, known for its stablecoin dominance in the cryptocurrency world, has set plans in motion to raise a staggering $20 billion in fresh capital. This ambitious financial strategy aims to elevate the company’s valuation to an impressive $500 billion. In tandem with this capital raising endeavor, Tether is also exploring the potential of tokenizing stocks, a move that could reshape its operational landscape and influence the broader crypto and traditional finance sectors.

Tether’s intention to raise such a substantial sum highlights its confidence in its market position and the demand for stablecoins. With a valuation goal of half a trillion dollars, Tether seeks to solidify its role as a central player in the growing intersection of digital currency and conventional financial systems. This fundraising initiative, reported by Bloomberg, underscores the company’s ongoing efforts to expand its capabilities and explore new financial frontiers, particularly in tokenizing real-world assets.

Tokenization of stocks entails converting traditional stock shares into digital tokens on a blockchain, enabling faster and more efficient trading processes while potentially broadening access to a more global range of investors. If Tether proceeds with this plan, it could revolutionize how stocks are traded, offering benefits such as increased transparency, lower transaction costs, and enhanced liquidity. The initiative aligns with the broader trend of digitizing financial assets, a trend gaining traction as blockchain technology becomes more integrated into mainstream financial services.

Historically, Tether has faced scrutiny over its financial practices and transparency, particularly regarding the reserves backing its USDT stablecoin. Despite these challenges, the company has maintained a leading position in the stablecoin market, with USDT widely used for trading and transactions across various cryptocurrency exchanges. The move to tokenize stocks could help Tether diversify its offerings and potentially mitigate some of the criticisms related to its operations by showcasing a commitment to innovation and adaptation in the financial sector.

The concept of tokenizing stocks is not new but has gained momentum recently as more financial institutions explore its potential. By digitizing assets, companies can unlock new levels of operational efficiency and investor engagement. For Tether, the transition into the realm of tokenized stocks could position it as a pioneer in merging the convenience and speed of blockchain technology with the traditional equities markets.

However, this strategic shift is not without its challenges and potential risks. Regulatory hurdles loom large, as financial authorities worldwide are increasingly scrutinizing the crypto industry. Projects involving securities tokenization could face stringent legal requirements, demanding comprehensive compliance measures. Tether must navigate these regulatory landscapes carefully to avoid potential pitfalls that could stall its ambitious plans.

In the broader context, the global market for tokenized assets is on an upward trajectory. Reports suggest that the tokenization of global assets could reach into the trillions in the coming years, reflecting a significant transformation in how financial assets are managed and traded. This growing interest is partly driven by the increasing adoption of blockchain technology across various sectors, promising to revolutionize everything from supply chain management to real estate transactions.

Tether’s decision to delve into stock tokenization may also influence other players in the crypto space to explore similar ventures. As a leader in stablecoin issuance, Tether’s moves are closely watched by competitors and could set a precedent for future developments in the digital asset realm. The success of such initiatives could encourage other companies to innovate, leading to further advancements in financial technology and digital asset management.

While Tether’s plans are ambitious, they are not without competitors. Companies like Binance and Coinbase have also been exploring the potential of tokenized stocks, each bringing unique strengths and challenges to the table. The race to capture a slice of the tokenized asset market is intensifying, with numerous firms vying for leadership in this emerging field.

Tether’s efforts to tokenize stocks and raise substantial capital reflect its vision of a future where digital assets and traditional financial systems are more seamlessly integrated. This vision is shared by many in the industry, who see blockchain technology as a key driver of financial innovation. As Tether moves forward with its plans, its actions will likely have far-reaching implications, influencing both the cryptocurrency market and traditional finance sectors.

Despite the potential benefits, there are concerns about the volatility and security of blockchain-based systems. The nascent stage of the technology means that unforeseen technical issues could arise, and the risk of cyber-attacks remains a significant threat. Tether will need to implement robust security measures and risk management strategies to safeguard its digital assets and maintain investor confidence.

In conclusion, Tether is positioning itself at the forefront of financial innovation with its $20 billion fundraising goal and exploration into stock tokenization. These moves underline its ambition to lead in the digital and traditional finance convergence, offering new opportunities and posing challenges. As the landscape continues to evolve, Tether’s actions will likely serve as a bellwether for future developments in the sector, with both opportunities and risks shaping the path forward.

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The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has granted Ripple a conditional approval to become a national trust bank. Crypto pundit Stern Drew highlighted what this means for the crypto firm and also XRP, which it uses for its payment services. 

In an X post, Stern Drew stated that Ripple just broke the system following the OCC’s grant of a conditional approval to the crypto firm. He further noted that Ripple now has federal and regulatory oversight locked in with this approval. The pundit added that the RLUSD stablecoin has become the gold standard for compliant stablecoins, while XRP has stepped straight into the heart of the U.S. financial system.  

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse also reacted to the OCC’s grant of a conditional approval, stating that it was huge news. He remarked that this was a massive step forward, mainly for the RLUSD stablecoin, which is setting the highest standard for stablecoin compliance with both federal and state oversight. 

In a press release, the firm also indicated how this development positions RLUSD and XRP by extension for greater adoption. The firm stated that as traditional finance firms continue to enter the crypto market, they will look to leverage stablecoins with the highest regulatory rigor and compliance, which offer the trust and reliability required for enterprise adoption. 

Meanwhile, the payment firm confirmed that its banking services will also extend the same regulatory rigor behind RLUSD into its broader payments and institutional service offerings, which utilize XRP. The firm further noted that utility is already driving adoption as its stablecoin has surpassed $1 billion in market cap in less than a year. The company added that the stablecoin is actively used in its payment solutions and as collateral by prime brokers, including its prime brokerage. 

An “XRP Wake Up Call”
Crypto pundit BarriC described the OCC’s grant of a conditional approval to Ripple as an XRP wake-up call for those who may still be skeptical of the altcoin. He stated that for those who said that banks would never use XRP or partner with Ripple, the crypto firm has now also been granted a banking license.

The pundit noted that this is significant as over half of Ripple’s transactions for its payment services go through XRP. The altcoin has also received a huge boost as Swiss bank AMINA bank has become the first European bank to integrate Ripple’s payment services. BarriC highlighted that the bank will ultimately use XRP through its integration with Ripple payments. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Dark Defender indicated that Ripple’s status as a Trust bank could be one of the catalysts that lead to higher prices for XRP. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading $2.01, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

XRP trading at $2.02 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

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Figure Technology Solutions, the blockchain-focused fintech firm best known for tokenized asset markets and on-chain lending infrastructure, has submitted a second Initial Public Offering (IPO) application to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

This time around, the fintech seeks to gain permission to make its own equity available directly on a public blockchain with this recent IPO submission.

This move comes just a few days after Figure Technology’s recent listing on Nasdaq. The latest public offering aims to expand the use of decentralized finance (DeFi) on the Solana blockchain.

Figure reveals another IPO submission to explore Solana ecosystem
Mike Cagney, the co-founder and CEO of financial services company Figure Technology Solutions, announced their latest decision to file an IPO with the SEC during the Solana Breakpoint conference. According to Cagney, this recent public offering aims to establish what he refers to as “a new version of Figure equity on a public blockchain,” with a particular focus on Solana.

Afterwards, the co-founder made it clear that this blockchain-based equity would not be made available for trade on regular exchanges, such as the Nasdaq or the New York Stock Exchange. Cagney also noted that it will not rely on brokers such as Robinhood or leading firms like Goldman Sachs.

Preferably, it will be issued and made available for trade directly on the blockchain via Figure’s alternative trading system. Cagney referred to this trading system as “essentially a decentralized exchange.”

The American entrepreneur also argued that investors can utilize the tokenized security within DeFi protocols, which will enable them to borrow against it or lend it out, following the introduction of equity directly on Solana.

Meanwhile, sources close to the situation mentioned that the firm’s main objective extends further than merely tokenizing its own shares, citing an earlier statement from Cagney. In this statement, the CEO outlined intentions to provide assistance to other firms, enabling them to offer equity directly within the Solana ecosystem.

“One of our main goals is not only to bring equity into the Solana ecosystem but also to allow for native Solana equity issuance,” he said.

Solana positions itself as one of the largest public blockchains by activity
Following Figure’s latest decision, analysts acknowledge that Solana has already positioned itself as one of the largest public blockchains by activity. With this classification, they also discovered that Solana is increasingly becoming a crucial player in the tokenized assets market, gradually boosting its holdings in the real-world asset (RWA) market over the past year.

Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at Bitwise Asset Management, a leading crypto asset manager, shared his belief that Solana will probably become the main network for stablecoins and tokenized assets preferred in the financial industry in the future. He made these remarks although Ethereum has solidified its position as a leader in tokenization today.

On the other hand, analysts anticipate that blockchains offering accelerated, high-capacity, and swift transaction finality will draw the interest of most investors in the financial sector. This prediction was released when Wall Street announced that it was carefully examining the viability of tokenized assets over time.

In the meantime, Hougan claimed that Solana has a competitive edge in this sector over several other networks. To support this claim, research from RedStone highlighted that Solana is a “high-performance challenger” in the RWA field, particularly in tokenized US Treasury markets.

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Joerg Hiller
Dec 13, 2025 13:56

BTC price prediction suggests consolidation around $90K before potential rally to $100K+ by year-end, with critical support at $87K determining next major move.

BTC Price Prediction Summary
• BTC short-term target (1 week): $94,500 (+4.7%) - testing immediate resistance
• Bitcoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $85,000-$110,000 range with bias toward $100K+
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $94,589 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $87,054 (Bollinger Band lower bound)

Recent Bitcoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest BTC price prediction landscape reveals a cautiously optimistic consensus among major analysts. Standard Chartered maintains their $100,000 target by year-end, citing reduced corporate acquisition pressure but expecting ETF-driven demand to fuel the next rally. Meanwhile, more aggressive Bitcoin forecast models from Blockchain.News and MEXC suggest targets between $120,000-$125,000, contingent on Bitcoin holding the crucial $96,000 support zone.

The convergence around the $100,000 BTC price target across multiple analytical sources suggests this level represents a realistic near-term objective. However, the medium confidence levels across all predictions highlight the current market uncertainty, with Bitcoin trading significantly below its $124,658 52-week high.

BTC Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Consolidation Breakout
Current Bitcoin technical analysis reveals a market in transition, with mixed signals suggesting an impending directional move. The RSI at 44.60 sits in neutral territory, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions - a setup that often precedes significant price movements.

The MACD histogram showing +613.46 provides the most compelling bullish signal in the current Bitcoin forecast. This positive histogram indicates building bullish momentum despite the overall MACD remaining negative. When combined with Bitcoin trading at a %B position of 0.46 within the Bollinger Bands, the setup suggests accumulation near the band's middle, often a launching pad for trending moves.

Volume analysis shows robust $1.25 billion in 24-hour trading, indicating sustained institutional interest. The Average True Range of $3,491 suggests normal volatility levels, providing room for a significant move in either direction without indicating excessive market stress.

Bitcoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for BTC
The primary BTC price target of $100,000 aligns with multiple resistance levels and psychological barriers. For this bullish scenario to unfold, Bitcoin must first reclaim the immediate resistance at $94,589, which would trigger a test of the $97,007 SMA 50 level.

A successful break above $97,000 would likely accelerate Bitcoin toward the $110,000-$120,000 range, supported by the positive MACD histogram momentum. The bullish case assumes continued ETF inflows and institutional adoption, with the $116,400 strong resistance level serving as the ultimate near-term ceiling.

Bearish Risk for Bitcoin
The bearish scenario hinges on Bitcoin failing to hold the $87,054 Bollinger Band lower support. A breakdown below this level would target the $83,823 immediate support, with further downside risks extending to the $80,600 strong support zone.

The most concerning technical factor for bears would be the RSI dropping below 40, combined with the MACD histogram turning negative. Such a scenario could trigger a deeper correction toward the $76,322 yearly low, representing a significant departure from current Bitcoin forecast models.

Should You Buy BTC Now? Entry Strategy
The current technical setup suggests a measured approach to the buy or sell BTC decision. For aggressive buyers, the $89,500-$90,500 range offers a reasonable entry point, with the SMA 20 at $90,496 providing dynamic support.

Conservative investors should wait for a break above $94,589 to confirm bullish momentum before initiating positions. Stop-loss placement below $87,000 provides protection against the bearish scenario, while position sizing should account for the $3,491 daily ATR suggesting potential 4-5% daily moves.

For those already holding Bitcoin, the current consolidation phase offers an opportunity to accumulate additional positions on any dips toward the $87,000 support level, with the understanding that a break below invalidates the bullish Bitcoin forecast.

BTC Price Prediction Conclusion
Based on comprehensive Bitcoin technical analysis, our BTC price prediction suggests a 65% probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by year-end, assuming current support levels hold. The positive MACD histogram momentum and neutral RSI positioning support this medium-confidence forecast.

Key indicators to monitor include the $87,054 Bollinger Band support (bearish if broken) and the $94,589 resistance level (bullish if cleared). The timeline for this prediction centers on a potential breakout within 7-10 days, followed by a sustained rally through January 2026.

The critical Bitcoin forecast inflection point remains the $96,000 level cited by multiple analysts. A decisive hold above this threshold validates the path toward our $100,000+ BTC price target, while failure to maintain this support could trigger a retest of the $80,000-$85,000 zone.

Image source: Shutterstock

btc price analysis
btc price prediction

The XRP price has been on a steep downward spiral throughout the second half of 2025, falling from its all-time high of around $3.65. However, finding support at the $2 mark has been a consistent theme during the altcoin’s period of decline.

Most recently, the XRP price fell this week from its local high close to $2.20 before bouncing back from the $2 mark. While the coin’s value continues to hover around this psychological price point, below is a look at other relevant levels that could determine its future trajectory.

Key On-Chain Levels For XRP
In a December 12 post on social media platform X, crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared on-chain insights into the current market outlook for the XRP token. Using Glassnode’s Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap, the market pundit identified three key levels for the XRP price.

The Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap tracks the average cost basis of the total XRP token supply. With the help of a heatmap, this metric highlights different price levels and the density of investors who purchased their tokens within and around these price levels.

The deep red shade on the heatmap indicates an investor cluster with their cost basis around the highlighted price regions. These zones often act as dynamic support and resistance, depending on whether the current XRP price is below or above them.

Source: @ali_charts on X
Martinez highlighted that the $1.96 and 1.78 zones are the next support cushions for the price of XRP. As seen with recent rebounds around the $1.96 level, the altcoin will likely also bounce back (if it loses the current immediate support) at $1.78, as investors tend to double down and defend their positions by buying more when the price returns to their cost basis, thereby keeping the token’s price afloat.

Meanwhile, Martinez noted that the $2.17 level is a resistance zone for the XRP price, as several investors with their cost basis around it are likely to sell when the price returns to this zone. This selling activity, in turn, puts downward pressure on the altcoin and prevents its price from breaking out.

Ultimately, this on-chain observation reveals that the XRP price needs to at least break the resistance at $2.17 to kickstart any fresh upward trajectory. On the flip side, a loss of the $1.96 support could see the fourth-largest cryptocurrency fall to as low as $1.78.

XRP Price At A Glance
As of this writing, the price of XRP stands at around $2.01, reflecting no significant change in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the altcoin is down by nearly 2% on the weekly timeframe, according to CoinGecko’s data.

The price of XRP on the daily timeframe | Source: XRPUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView