Market Signal Briefing

The explosion in artificial intelligence spending over the past few years has led many companies to see their profits soar, and semiconductor stocks have been some of the biggest beneficiaries by far.

Two of the best performers in the sector over the past year are Micron Technology (MU +0.59%) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM +0.40%) -- also known as TSMC. TSMC's 92% gain over the past year would be impressive if it weren't absolutely dwarfed by the nearly 300% increase in Micron's share price over the same period.

But investors always need to be looking toward the future. And while both of these companies have produced phenomenal results and have very positive outlooks for 2026 as well, I think one stands out as a much better buy right now for long-term investors.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

What's driving these chipmakers' results? There's no doubt that AI has been a driving force for both Micron and TSMC's recent results.

Micron specializes in memory chips, which have seen a recent spike in demand. That's because GPU and other AI accelerator chips require significant amounts of specialty chips called high-bandwidth memory (HBM). That demand has increased recently as new artificial intelligence models use more parameters and larger context windows, requiring more working memory.

Micron is just one of three major suppliers of HBM chips. The sudden spike in demand left the entire industry in short supply, driving prices higher. As a result, Micron is seeing good growth in bit shipments for its chips, but pricing is the real driving force behind its stellar earnings growth.

Taiwan Semiconductor is the world's largest contract chip manufacturer. It's seen its share grow over the past few years as demand for more advanced chips grows faster than the overall market, and TSMC has the best manufacturing technology in the world. Practically every high-end AI chip comes out of TSMC's facilities.

TSMC has also been able to increase pricing amid strong demand for its products. It implemented a price increase earlier this year for its most advanced chips with plans to raise prices annually. As it ramps up its newest chip process, N2, it's charging a significant premium per silicon wafer over the previous generation (although it theoretically can print more chips per wafer). That said, the bulk of its growth stems from printing, packaging, and shipping more chips.

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How durable are earnings? Both Micron and TSMC are poised to grow earnings in 2026, but long-term investors should look well beyond the current year. A company with a competitive advantage in its market can reliably produce earnings growth year after year.

TSMC has established itself as the technology leader among contract chip manufacturers. It stands to maintain that lead for two key reasons. First, it generates significantly more revenue than the competition, giving it more cash to invest in research and development for its next-generation technology. That ensures it can maintain its technology lead and win contracts year after year. Second, it has more capacity than any of its competitors. While a large customer could switch some of its work to a competitor, it's unlikely TSMC will lose all of a chipmaker's work. Building out new capacity takes years and massive upfront capital investments.

Micron, unfortunately, doesn't appear to hold much of a competitive advantage at all. Memory chips are more or less a commodity. And while packaging for high-bandwidth memory can provide some differentiation between the chipmakers, Micron doesn't appear to have the lead in that regard.

That means Micron's pricing power won't be long lived. As the chipmaker and its competitors bring on more capacity to meet the demand for memory chips, prices will trend lower. That will severely cut into earnings, eventually leading to a drop. It's a pattern seen over and over again. Micron's management has said it expects the supply shortage to last through 2027. Analysts agree, projecting earnings growth to skyrocket through next year. However, they then see a stark drop in earnings in fiscal 2028 and 2029.

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Which is the better buy? Even with the expected drop in earnings as the supply-demand equilibrium returns to balance, Micron could be a better buy than TSMC based on market valuations.

In fact, Micron shares trade for just 6.5 times forward earnings estimates. And with earnings per share expected to climb even more in 2027, the stock trades for just under 4 times next year's earnings. But before investors get too excited about that dirt cheap valuation, it's important to put it in the context of the stock's valuation amid previous earnings cycles. Micron has historically traded at 3 to 6 times earnings at the peak of its earnings cycles. As a result, a multiple of 4 times 2027 earnings is about fair value for the stock today.

TSMC, on the other hand, trades for nearly 24 times earnings. However, it's well-positioned for long-term earnings growth. Analysts expect a 37% in earnings per share this year and 24% in 2027. That growth should continue through the end of the decade, as management's long-term outlook calls for average annualized revenue growth of 25% from 2025 through 2029.

Management has already raised that outlook once, and it's historically provided conservative guidance to investors. The company should deliver stronger gross margins in the forecast period as it raises prices and ramps up its newest chip processes, driving strong and sustained net income growth exceeding revenue growth. As a result, TSMC shares look underpriced today.

So while Micron shares look like they're trading at a fair price right now, investors buying the stock are betting that the current earnings cycle will last longer than most analysts expect or that the peak of the earnings cycle will end up higher. By comparison, investors can get a bargain price on TSMC right now based on its expected growth over the next two years, and management's long-term outlook, which has historically proved relatively conservative.

HomeIndustriesRetail/WholesaleEarnings WatchEarnings WatchThe sportswear giant has been trying to focus more on the needs of athletes, but analysts say new products aren’t catching onPublished: March 29, 2026 at 10:00 a.m. ET

When Nike reports quarterly results on Tuesday, Wall Street will get another look at the sportswear giant’s turnaround efforts, as it tries to offer more gear tailored to athletes’ specific needs and entice wary consumers with new sneakers and clothing.

But those efforts, thus far, have done nothing for Nike’s stock NKE. Shares were at roughly nine-year lows as of Friday, and are down more than 19% over the past 12 months.

The idea of data centers in space sounds like science fiction, but it's a business concept that Nvidia (NVDA 2.13%) is taking seriously. On March 16, it announced a new computing module that could slowly start to shape the infrastructure needed to turn those ambitions in the space community into more of a reality.

We will dive deeper into that announcement, but first, let's set the stage with some context.

Image source: Getty Images.

The reason for data centers in space Building data centers is becoming an increasingly contentious endeavor, as local communities worry about rising utility bills and the environmental impacts of their construction and operation.

Proponents of orbital data centers (ODCs), which will be designed as clusters of satellites carrying advanced computing hardware, assert that placing them in space can reduce strain on terrestrial power grids and alleviate some environmental concerns.

There has been some early progress in testing what data center infrastructure in space could look like.

In November 2025, space tech company Starcloud successfully launched its Starcloud-1 satellite, the first satellite to operate an Nvidia H100 GPU in space. With that processor, Starcloud also became the first company to train an artificial intelligence (AI) model in space, using a version of a simple project called NanoGPT.

Something to consider, however, is that many of the benefits of space-based data centers largely remain hypothetical, while their proponents may be understating the potential challenges of creating a wide-scale network of them.

Not to mention, sending anything into space is a costly, time-intensive endeavor, so we won't immediately see large rollouts of such systems anytime soon.

With that context in mind, let's now look at Nvidia's most recent announcement.

Building today in preparation for the future Bottlenecks in data transmission are already an issue when it comes to space-based technology. The bandwidth for transmitting data back to users and systems on Earth is limited. That's one reason land-based data centers are considered more efficient: They can handle and move data more effectively.

On March 16, Nvidia announced its Space-1 Vera Rubin module, which is expected to offer better data processing to address those bottlenecks.

Essentially, the Space-1 Vera Rubin will enable data to be analyzed immediately where it's generated, allowing for real-time decision making, helping reduce the delays of waiting for a human response.

We'll have to wait a little longer to see the potential of the Space-1 Vera Rubin, as the company has yet to say when it will start shipping the module to customers, but its debut could mark a more concrete step toward the deployment of orbital data centers.

If the data bottlenecks involved are reduced and the costs of space operations start going down as technology advances, this new module could be a very, very early step toward potentially negating some of the current need to build data centers on land.

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The investment considerations For those looking to navigate the space market and find real investable opportunities, consider Nvidia. It's already designing technology that could underpin the infrastructure to make space data centers possible. In addition to Starcloud, Nvidia is working with several other space-related companies.

That said, there are still plenty of hurdles that will need to be surmounted before any company will be able to establish data centers at a meaningful scale in space. While Nvidia could be a pick-and-shovel play in this market, how large that market becomes will depend on how much success space companies have at developing their own technologies.

Also, Nvidia's potential as a builder of chips for space operations is just one piece of the larger investment thesis puzzle here.

The market is currently valuing Nvidia at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4. That's lower than it has been in recent quarters. It's still pricing in growth, but expectations aren't as high as they previously were. That's understandable given that its market cap is above $4 trillion.

Still, the big picture here is that the company makes the most advanced chips, and whether on the ground or in space, all AI and data center roads still run through Nvidia.

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New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - March 29, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of securities of Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE: APO) between May 10, 2021 and February 21, 2026, both dates inclusive (the "Class Period"), of the important May 1, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline in the securities class action first filed by the Firm.

SO WHAT: If you purchased Apollo Global securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.

WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Apollo Global class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=1323 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than May 1, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.

WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually handle securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm achieved the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company at the time. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.

DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) defendants Marc Rowan and Leon Black, among other leadership figures at Apollo Global, frequently communicated with Jeffrey Epstein in the 2010s regarding Apollo Global's business; (2) as a result, Apollo Global's assertion that Apollo Global had never done business with Jeffrey Epstein was untrue; (3) because of the entanglement between Apollo Global's leaders and Jeffrey Epstein, the harm to Apollo Global's reputation was more than a mere possibility; and (4) as a result, defendants' statements about its business, operations, and prospects, were materially false and misleading and/or lacked a reasonable basis at all times. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.

To join the Apollo Global class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=1323 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.

No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.

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Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.

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The dollar has been quietly losing ground in 2026, and for investors holding only domestic assets, that is a risk they may not have priced in. A weaker dollar erodes purchasing power and compresses the relative value of U.S.-denominated portfolios. DVYE turns that dynamic into an opportunity.

iShares Emerging Markets Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA:DVYE) reads almost like it was purpose-built for this environment. It packages high dividend-yielding stocks from emerging markets into a single fund, and when the dollar weakens, two things happen simultaneously: the underlying foreign assets become worth more in dollar terms, and the income they generate translates into larger US dollar distributions.

What DVYE does for your portfolio DVYE tracks the Dow Jones Emerging Markets Select Dividend Index, which screens for the highest-yielding dividend payers across developing economies. Its role in a portfolio is to serve as an international income sleeve with a built-in currency tailwind when the dollar is declining.

The return engine is threefold. The underlying companies pay dividends, giving the fund a dividend yield of 5.3%. Those dividends are paid in local currencies like the Brazilian real, Chinese yuan, and Polish zloty, so a weaker dollar amplifies their translated value. The equities themselves also tend to appreciate when dollar weakness draws capital into emerging markets as investors seek higher-yielding assets abroad.

Foreign stocks are among the best hedges against a cheaper dollar, and DVYE concentrates that bet on the highest-yielding names in the developing world.

Where the holdings point to The fund’s sector and geographic composition reinforce the dollar-weakness thesis. Financials make up roughly 28.6% of the portfolio, energy nearly 24%, and materials about 19%. These sectors are deeply tied to commodity cycles and local economic growth, both of which tend to accelerate when the dollar softens and global liquidity expands.

Geographically, Brazil accounts for about 25% of the fund and China roughly 22%, with meaningful exposure to Indonesia, Poland, Taiwan, and India. Top holdings include Petrobras (Brazilian energy), Vale (Brazilian iron ore mining), and Orlen (Polish energy). These commodity-linked businesses generate stronger cash flows when dollar-denominated commodity prices rise alongside a weaker greenback.

Does the performance hold up? The recent numbers are compelling. DVYE has returned 25% over the past year and is up more than 7% year-to-date in 2026.

Dollar strength from 2022 through 2024 suppressed returns as foreign earnings translated into fewer dollars. That tide is turning, with the USD weakening by over 6% against the Euro in the past year.

For DVYE, this is the optimal operating environment.

Dividend distributions have been variable quarter to quarter. That variability reflects the underlying businesses, not a flaw in the fund’s structure, but investors who need a fixed monthly check will need to plan around it.

Is there a catch with DVYE? There is. The biggest one is that currency risk cuts both ways: The same mechanism that amplifies returns when the dollar falls will compress them if the dollar strengthens again. Investors who believe dollar weakness is a structural trend will be comfortable here; those uncertain about the currency outlook carry meaningful two-sided risk.

Plus, geopolitical events, capital controls, or shifts in commodity policy in either country can move the fund sharply.

The fund offsets some of these concerns with a lean 0.5% expense ratio, so it is not eroding returns through excessive trading.

Investors who want emerging market income exposure and believe the dollar’s multi-year strength has peaked will find DVYE structurally aligned with that thesis. Those who need income stability or cannot tolerate a currency reversal should weigh the position size carefully against those risks.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang delivers a keynote address at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas, Nevada on January 6, 2025. Gadgets, robots and vehicles imbued with artificial intelligence will once again vie for attention at the Consumer Electronics Show, as vendors behind the scenes will seek ways to deal with tariffs threatened by US President-elect Donald Trump. The annual Consumer Electronics Show (CES) opens formally in Las Vegas on January 7, 2025, but preceding days are packed with product announcements. (Photo by Patrick T. Fallon / AFP) (Photo by PATRICK T. FALLON/AFP via Getty Images)

AFP via Getty Images

In 2023 alone, $50 billion worth of investment found its way to U.S.-based AI, and AI-adjacent business concepts. This investment surge took place amid 525 basis points worth of increases in the Fed funds rate.

What was the catalyst for the investment surge amid an allegedly “tight” Fed? It was ChatGPT’s rollout on November 30, 2022 in concert with the realization that one corporation, Nvidia, was supplying ChatGPT with the graphics processing units (GPUs) required for the then non-profit to “train” its large language models.

The profound GPU advances overseen by Nvidia that powered what ChatGPT became instructs in many ways, including as a lesson in what credit is. Hopefully from what readers have read so far, they see that the conventional, Milton Friedman, central banking-narrative is wholly at odds with how economies work, along with the Federal Reserve’s role in how economies work.

Friedman famously promoted the academic notion about the 1930s that the Fed somehow “did it.” Friedman believed, and countless economists of varying religious stripes have believed ever since, that an overly “tight” Fed was the major driver of the 1930s downturn otherwise known as the Great Depression.

Except that basic economic logic rejects what Friedman felt, and what an overwhelming percentage of economists feel to this day. Nvidia instructs.

In other words, it wasn’t just the $50 billion surge of investment into artificial intelligence (AI) concepts that happily revealed itself post ChatGPT/Nvidia in 2023, it’s the hundreds of billions that have been invested since by supposedly “monopolistic” members of Big Tech who, based on their alleged monopoly status, were said to have escaped competition. No, not remotely. If you’re doubtful about what you’ve read, simply compare a Google search from November 1 of 2022 versus one in 2026.

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Innovation begets more of it, and the soaring productivity is a magnet for the finance that authors economic growth. The Fed factors in none of this.

If anything, what’s happening presently is yet another reminder that the Fed isn’t terribly relevant. That’s because credit is produced. No one borrows money, or sells shares in their business for money, rather all attempts to attain money are about acquiring resources: market goods, services, and most crucial of all, labor. The Fed produces none of the three.

As for Nvidia, it exemplifies what credit is. What expands credit is productive economic activity, and nothing else. Conversely, a lack of productive economic activity is the only way to shrink credit access.

We’re seeing this now as Nvidia catalyzes an investment boom. In a recent Wall Street Journal article about the $25 billion valuation placed on Revolution, another Nvidia-backed AI startup, it was reported that “The company is one of a handful of Nvidia-linked start-ups” that grows by the day.

Just a few days before the Revolution story, the Journal reported on a gathering at San Francisco’s War Memorial Opera House for a production of “The Monkey King” bankrolled by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, but that the packed house was really “about paying respect to an industry kingmaker whose company had become so flush with cash that it was bankrolling virtually everyone in the room.” Yes, Nvidia’s soaring productivity is the source of credit for technological advance in Silicon Valley, and well beyond.

Which is the point. Credit isn’t something the Fed can tighten (Friedman’s monetarists), or expand (Austrian School religionists who find hyperinflation wherever they look care of the Fed creating the impossibility that is “excess credit”), rather it’s an effect of production finding production. It’s a reminder that Nvidia is credit expansion personified, while the Fed is but a distraction for economists.

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I have written put options on Beiersdorf, and will likely initiate a long position within the next few weeks.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Is Ripple’s National Trust Bank About to Redefine Crypto Banking?Market analyst ChartNerd signals that Ripple is nearing a historic breakthrough. 

With the OCC’s new digital asset amendments taking effect in April 2026, the XRP Ledger could soon integrate directly into the U.S. Federal Reserve system, marking a major shift in the American crypto landscape.

Ripple has captured the attention of regulators and markets alike. In December, it secured conditional approval from the OCC for a national bank charter, clearing a key hurdle. 

As the company moves through the final review stage, analysts view its upcoming launch as a landmark moment for regulated crypto banking in the U.S.

Well, Ripple National Trust Bank represents more than just a new financial institution. By linking the XRP Ledger with the traditional banking system, it creates a fully regulated framework for stablecoins, paving the way for faster, cheaper, and more transparent transactions and driving broader adoption among mainstream banks.

Is Crypto Eyeing a Potential Turning Point?Ripple CEO calls major banks’ rush into stablecoins crypto’s a ChatGPT moment,highlighting its game-changing potential for finance. Like AI’s rapid industry disruption, Ripple’s integration with the U.S. banking system could redefine how digital assets and traditional finance interact.

With stablecoin activity surging and regulatory scrutiny intensifying, Ripple’s proactive engagement with the OCC positions it at the forefront of regulated crypto banking. Unlike competitors still navigating uncertain rules, Ripple may gain a first-mover advantage in federally sanctioned digital finance.

Though Ripple National Trust Bank hasn’t officially launched, its conditional approval, coupled with upcoming OCC amendments, signals a clear path forward. 

Therefore, this isn’t just a new bank; it’s a blueprint for integrating digital assets with traditional finance under regulatory oversight.

In essence, Ripple’s move isn’t merely a corporate milestone, it could mark a turning point for U.S. crypto policy and stablecoin adoption, reshaping how digital finance operates within the established banking system.

ConclusionRipple National Trust Bank marks more than a corporate milestone, it could redefine the U.S. crypto landscape. By bringing the XRP Ledger under federal banking oversight, Ripple sets a benchmark for secure, transparent digital asset integration. 

As stablecoin adoption rises and regulations tighten, this move signals a new era where crypto innovation and compliance coexist within mainstream finance.

Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around the mid-$60,000s after peaking near $126,000 last October, leaving the market debating whether the worst of the drawdown is already behind it—or whether history still points to a deeper capitulation. While some investors argue the bottom is close, a review of prior cycles suggests an uncomfortable possibility: a move toward the low-$30,000s remains plausible if the familiar rhythm of post-peak declines repeats.

As of late March 2026, BTC has retraced roughly 46% from its all-time high, trading in the $67,000–$68,000 range. The pullback follows a cycle pattern that has appeared with notable consistency over the past three major market peaks: in 2017, Bitcoin fell about 84% from roughly $19,000 to near $3,200; in the 2021 cycle, it dropped about 77% from around $69,000 to roughly $15,476. With the 2025 peak set at $126,000, the current decline is still comparatively modest—at least so far.

Some analysts argue that each cycle’s percentage drawdown has compressed over time, implying that the next major bear-market trough might not be as severe as earlier collapses. Using that framework, projections cluster around a 70%–76% peak-to-trough decline for this cycle, which would place a potential bottom in the low-$30,000s if the market were to revisit a historically typical capitulation.

The bullish rebuttal is familiar: the market structure has changed. Advocates point to three themes—'institutional inflows,' spot ETF adoption, and the growing discussion of Bitcoin as a strategic asset. But versions of the same argument were widely cited at the 2021 top as well, when “this time is different” narratives leaned heavily on Wall Street participation.

What is meaningfully new is the presence of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Since launch, cumulative net inflows have been estimated at roughly $21 billion, with allocations increasingly appearing in retirement accounts and advisory portfolios. Supporters of the “structural bid” thesis argue these longer-duration holders have helped cushion the selloff, enabling the market to absorb declines without the kind of cascading breakdown seen in earlier cycles.

Still, the debate hinges on whether ETFs and institutional demand are strong enough to invalidate historical drawdown patterns—or simply delay them. Forecasts for a cycle bottom remain widely dispersed. CryptoQuant, for example, has pointed to Bitcoin’s 'realized price'—an on-chain metric approximating the average cost basis of the network—as a key reference. With realized price near $56,000, the firm has argued that bear-market lows have often formed around that zone, suggesting this downturn could end up being one of the shallowest on record at roughly a 55% decline from the peak.

Other technical analysts frame the $40,000–$44,000 range as a more standard correction band relative to the $126,000 high—an area that could more fully clear residual leverage and reset positioning for a new four-year cycle. More bearish scenarios also remain on the table. Hardline bears warn that if market structure “breaks” in a decisive way, a 70%+ drawdown—implying prices in the mid-$20,000s—cannot be ruled out, even if they consider it a lower-probability outcome under current conditions.

Macro forces could ultimately determine whether this cycle is merely different—or more fragile. Observers noted that during 2025’s push to fresh highs, volatility remained comparatively subdued, unlike prior bull markets where volatility typically surged alongside new records. Some interpret that as a sign the traditional four-year cycle may be evolving.

At the same time, Bitcoin’s behavior as a 'risk asset' has reasserted itself during periods of stress. Following President Trump’s tariff announcement in April 2025, analysts recorded Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 rising to about 0.73 and with the Nasdaq to around 0.76. During the large liquidation event in October 2025—estimated at roughly $19 billion—correlations reportedly climbed again, toward the high-0.7 range. The implication is straightforward: as long as BTC trades more like a high-beta macro instrument than 'digital gold,' Federal Reserve rate expectations and global liquidity conditions are likely to remain dominant drivers.

On-chain indicators offer mixed signals. One data point frequently cited is miner economics: estimates place Bitcoin’s mining electricity cost around $70,000, a level that has historically acted as a meaningful support zone. Periods when BTC trades below that threshold can coincide with miner stress and have sometimes aligned with longer-term accumulation windows—though the relationship is not deterministic and can be distorted by changes in hardware efficiency and energy markets.

For now, the market is left with competing narratives. If history rhymes, a $30,000–$35,000 scenario cannot be excluded. If the pattern breaks, ETF-driven demand and broader institutional positioning could help carve out a more durable floor in the $50,000–$60,000 range. Either way, the current environment rewards neither blind optimism nor reflexive pessimism—only careful scenario-based risk assessment as the next phase of Bitcoin’s cycle takes shape.

Article Summary by TokenPost.ai

🔎 Market Interpretation

Current state: Bitcoin is trading around $67,000–$68,000, down roughly 46% from the $126,000 peak (Oct 2025), leaving uncertainty over whether the drawdown is nearing completion or still mid-cycle.

Historical rhythm vs. “new structure”: Prior cycle peak-to-trough declines were steep (~84% in 2017; ~77% in 2021). By that yardstick, the current decline is not yet a typical capitulation.

Cycle compression thesis: Some analysts expect diminishing drawdown severity over time; a 70%–76% decline from $126,000 implies a potential trough in the low-$30,000s.

ETF-era thesis: Spot Bitcoin ETFs are a meaningful new variable, with estimated cumulative net inflows around $21B. Proponents argue this “structural bid” may dampen forced selling and volatility compared with past cycles.

Risk-asset behavior remains key: BTC has shown high equity correlation during stress (reported ~0.73 with S&P 500, ~0.76 with Nasdaq), suggesting macro liquidity and Fed expectations still strongly influence price.

Mixed on-chain and cost signals: Realized price near $56,000 is presented as a potential bear-market reference. Miner electricity cost estimates around $70,000 are cited as a potential support/pressure zone, though imperfect and sensitive to energy/hardware changes.

💡 Strategic Points

Define scenario bands (not a single target):

Shallow bear case: приблиз. ~55% drawdown (CryptoQuant framing), with potential stabilization near realized price (~$56,000).

Base / “standard correction” case: technical analysts highlight $40,000–$44,000 as a more typical deleveraging/reset zone versus the $126,000 peak.

Deep capitulation case: a historically familiar 70%+ drawdown implies $30,000–$35,000; extreme bearish tail risk extends to the mid-$20,000s if market structure breaks.

Watch ETF flow persistence, not headlines: Ongoing net inflows and “stickier” allocation channels (retirement/advisory) may reduce reflexive selling—but a slowdown or reversal could remove the cushioning effect.

Treat correlations as a risk switch: Rising BTC-equity correlation during stress implies tighter linkage to macro shocks; risk management should account for equity drawdowns, rate surprises, and liquidity contraction.

Use on-chain levels as references, not guarantees: Realized price and mining cost can frame potential support/pressure areas, but both can be invalidated by regime shifts (ETF liquidity, leverage, miner efficiency changes).

Positioning mindset: The article argues for scenario-based risk assessment over “this time is different” certainty—balancing upside participation with drawdown planning.

📘 Glossary

Drawdown: The percentage decline from a peak price to a subsequent low (peak-to-trough loss).

Capitulation: A phase of intense selling where leveraged/weak holders exit, often associated with panic and high volume.

Spot Bitcoin ETF: An exchange-traded fund that holds Bitcoin directly (spot), providing traditional brokerage access.

Net inflows: Total capital entering an ETF minus capital leaving it over a period; used as a gauge of demand.

Structural bid: Persistent demand that is less sensitive to short-term price swings (e.g., long-horizon allocators).

Realized price: An on-chain metric approximating the network’s average cost basis by valuing coins at their last moved price.

Residual leverage: Remaining borrowed/derivative positioning that can amplify moves and trigger liquidations.

Four-year cycle: A commonly cited Bitcoin market pattern often linked to halving-driven supply dynamics and recurring boom-bust behavior.

High-beta risk asset: An asset that tends to move more than the broader market during risk-on/risk-off swings.

Liquidity conditions: The ease of obtaining funding/credit in markets; tighter liquidity often pressures risk assets.

Miner economics / mining cost: The cost structure (notably electricity) required to mine BTC; stress can rise when price falls below costs.

<Copyright ⓒ TokenPost, unauthorized reproduction and redistribution prohibited>

Bitcoin held above $66,000 through most of the weekend, even as some traders expected sharper moves. 

Summary

Bitcoin stayed above $66,000 for 36 hours after rebounding from Friday’s four-week low near $65,500. Major altcoins showed limited movement, while Bitcoin dominance slipped to 56% and market cap stalled. SIREN surged 13% to $1.80, while PI rebounded above $0.18 after recent weakness. The steady action followed a volatile week that pushed the asset from near $72,000 to a four-week low before it recovered.

Most large-cap altcoins tracked Bitcoin’s calmer pace. Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and BNB posted only small moves, while a few smaller tokens recorded wider swings.

Bitcoin entered the weekend after several quick moves during the week. It traded above $70,000 last weekend, then dropped toward $67,500 on Monday as broader market tension returned.

The asset then climbed close to $72,000 after US President Donald Trump said the United States had reached a “de-escalation deal” with Iran. That move faded after Iran denied the claim, which pushed Bitcoin back toward $69,000.

Buyers lifted Bitcoin again to the $72,000 area on Wednesday morning. That rebound did not last, and another rejection followed later in the week.

By Friday, Bitcoin had fallen to around $65,500, its lowest level in four weeks. It then recovered and stayed above $66,000 for roughly 36 hours, showing a more stable pattern than some weekend forecasts had suggested.

Market cap and dominance stay under pressure Despite the recovery from Friday’s low, Bitcoin’s market capitalization remained near $1.330 trillion. Its share of the total crypto market also slipped, with dominance standing at 56% on CoinGecko data.

The broader crypto market showed little change during the same period. Total market capitalization stayed near $2.370 trillion, which pointed to a pause in momentum across major digital assets.

Large-cap altcoins mostly moved in a narrow range. ETH, XRP, SOL, and DOGE posted small losses, while BNB, TRX, BCH, XMR, and HYPE recorded modest gains.

That price action suggested traders remained cautious after the earlier swings. The market did not show strong follow-through in either direction by Sunday.

SIREN surges while PI posts a modest rebound Among smaller tokens, SIREN remained one of the most active names. The token gained another 13% over the past 24 hours and traded around $1.80.

Its recent trading range has been wide. SIREN had climbed to $3.60 earlier in the week before falling to $1.00, then rebounding again over the following days.

Pi Network’s PI token also moved higher, though at a slower pace. It rose more than 3% on the day and traded near $0.18 after slipping below $0.175.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

DOGE trades at around $0.09051 with RSI at 34 and weakening bearish momentum. SpaceX IPO chatter could be the catalyst Dogecoin price needs to break $0.10.

Dogecoin is trading just below $0.10. The meme coin has not broken through this level, but it is getting close. Speculation around a potential SpaceX initial public offering is adding fuel to an already reactive market. Elon Musk's dual role as SpaceX founder and Dogecoin's most influential public advocate has traders watching both assets with renewed interest.

The setup is straightforward. DOGE is technically oversold. Sentiment is cautious but not bearish. And the market has a history of reacting sharply to Musk-related news.

SpaceX IPO Chatter Moves Markets EarlyOn March 26, 2026, Dogecoin briefly spiked toward $0.097 after IPO-related discussions circulated across financial media and social platforms. The move was short-lived. Prices retreated quickly. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at around $0.09051, down 0.61% in the last 24 hours.

Markets do not move on rumors without underlying positioning. The spike indicated that traders are already preparing for a larger move. A confirmed SpaceX IPO would represent one of the most significant private-to-public transitions in recent memory. The offering could inject substantial liquidity into broader markets and reignite appetite for speculative assets.

Dogecoin has historically benefited from this type of environment. When risk appetite rises and retail participation returns, meme coins tend to outperform. DOGE, with its established brand recognition and Musk association, sits at the top of that watchlist.

Technical Indicators Signal Accumulation PhaseThe weekly chart tells a clear story. Dogecoin has been consolidating around $0.0906 for several weeks. There are no fresh lows. Selling pressure is visibly weakening.

The Relative Strength Index sits near 34. That level is widely considered oversold territory. Historically, RSI readings in this range precede recovery phases rather than extended declines. It does not guarantee a reversal, but it narrows the probability of sustained downside.

The MACD remains slightly negative. Bearish momentum, however, is fading. The gap between signal lines is narrowing. This pattern often reflects accumulation, buyers absorbing supply without yet pushing prices higher.

On the monthly chart, the structure reinforces this reading. Despite a prolonged downtrend, Dogecoin has not established new lows in recent months. Sellers are present but not dominant. The result is a compressed price range that tends to resolve with a sharp directional move once a clear catalyst emerges.

Resistance sits at $0.10. A breakout above that level, with volume, could expose the $0.105–$0.12 zone. That range aligns with prior consolidation areas and would represent a meaningful recovery from current levels.

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Newton Gitonga covers cryptocurrencies, blockchain, and digital finance. He specializes in breaking down complex trends with clear, data-driven reporting. His work focuses on market analysis, technical insights, and the evolving role of altcoins in shaping global markets.

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Separately, the spot Ethereum ETFs are on an eight-day outflow-only streak.

The spot crypto ETFs continue to be a vital part of the overall industry growth, but the most recent numbers show a rather contrasting picture.

On one hand, the BTC funds, even though they ended the week in the red as well, have shown some recovery attempts since the post-October mass withdrawal phase. On the other hand, the once-best-performing XRP ETFs have seen little to no interest, with days of no activity.

Spot XRP ETFs Fail to Attract Interest Data from SoSoValue paints a clear and painful picture regarding the exchange-traded funds tracking the popular cross-border altcoin. In fact, for the first time in the products’ history, there were more days with no reportable activity than those with some net flows. Monday, Thursday, and Friday ended with $0.00, while the two days in the middle saw negligible net inflows of $1.40 million on Tuesday and $1.26 million on Wednesday.

Consequently, even as this became the second consecutive week in the green, the actual numbers are quite modest, to say the least. March continues to be in the red, with almost $29 million in net outflows – the first such monthly instance since the November 2025 debut.

The current performance of the spot XRP ETFs has no similarities to the skyrocketing demand in the first month and a half. Recall that Canary Capital’s XRPC broke the 2025 debut-day record for highest trading volume. The four funds that followed suit and XRPC attracted over $1 billion in net inflows in a month. However, 2026 has been quite the opposite for now, especially the current month.

Spot XRP ETF Inflows. Source: SoSoValue ETH ETFs Down, BTC ETFs Try to Recover The spot Bitcoin ETFs went on a violent outflow streak after the October 10 market calamity, shedding roughly $9 billion at one point. However, the tides turned to an extent in late February and early March, as the funds managed to recover well over $2 billion in this timeframe alone.

Although the past week ended with more outflows than inflows for the first time in a month, Bloomberg’s James Seyffart said the BTC ETFs have almost erased all losses observed in 2026.

You may also like: Ripple (XRP) ETF Flows Weekly: The Good, the Bad, and What’s Next Analyst: Bitcoin ETF Holders Are $5K Underwater Even as Institutional Demand Returns Zero Net Inflows All Week: Ripple (XRP) ETFs Lose Investor Momentum Bitcoin ETFs have reversed almost ~$3 billion of the massive ~$9 Billion in outflows from 10/10 through the end of Feb. While they still have net outflows of over ~$6 billion since 10/10 — we’re almost flat on the year now. pic.twitter.com/Gw6XISKY9R

— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) March 27, 2026

In contrast, the funds tracking Ethereum’s performance have seen eight consecutive days of net inflows, ending the past week with more than $200 million less. In fact, they have been in the green only in three weeks out of the last 11.

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Cover image via www.freepik.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

TL;DR

XRP bottom? XRP closed Q1 with a -27.3% return, its weakest since 2018, despite being officially classified as a digital commodity.Shiba Inu liquidity: OKX moved 32.86 billion SHIB to cold storage, signaling a shift to long-term security and reducing immediate sell pressure.Saylor’s "laser eyes": Michael Saylor signals a new $44 billion Bitcoin acquisition phase as Strategy's holdings hit 762,099 BTC.Market risk: Investors eye the $2.2 billion FTX creditor distribution on March 31 and U.S. jobs data on April 3 as key volatility triggers.XRP sees worst Q1 since 2018 despite official recognition as commodityXRP closes Q1, 2024, with a return of -27.3%, according to CryptoRank data. This is the weakest first quarter performance since 2018 — despite a brief spike to $2.42 in early January, XRP price declined consistently over three consecutive months. At the moment, XRP is trading around $1.35.

March became a cooling period for institutional investors. After the launch of spot XRP ETFs in late 2025 and initial inflows exceeding $1.3 billion, March recorded net outflows. On March 27 alone, investors withdrew around $57 million from funds.

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Is this the bottom? Opinions diverge. Technical analysts see a 2017 fractal in the current chart, suggesting the present zone is an accumulation phase before a move toward $4 to $9 for XRP this year. The bearish scenario states that if $1.27 fails, the next target is $1.11, and in case of a broader market downturn, a return to $0.60.

XRP Quarterly Returns (USD), Source: CryptoRankThe news backdrop is more positive. On March 17, 2026, a landmark event occurred. SEC and CFTC officially classified XRP as a digital commodity, placing it on equal legal footing with Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Despite the price decline, Ripple continues expansion. The company received approval from the Australian regulator to use the AUDD stablecoin on XRP Ledger and is actively promoting the solution in Latin America.

April has historically been a recovery month for XRP. If price holds in the coming days, it may confirm the end of correction and readiness for a move toward $2.

OKX moves large SHIB batch to cold storageIn other news this morning, over the past 24 hours, OKX carried out a major internal asset transfer. Around 32.86 billion Shiba Inu tokens were moved from the exchange hot wallet to cold storage, according to Arkham.

This type of transfer is a standard security procedure where exchanges move excess liquidity from network-connected wallets into offline storage. Still, when tokens move into cold storage, it usually indicates they are not intended for immediate sale, which can be interpreted as a moderately bullish signal since active exchange supply decreases.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Transfers Over $100,000 in 24 Hours. Source: ArkhamAt present, SHIB price is consolidating around $0.000006 per token. The market shows caution despite whale activity.

Overall, the transfer of 32.886 billion SHIB is internal operational activity by OKX, not a sign of panic or mass withdrawal from the market, but rather confirmation of the current status quo. The exchange continues optimizing storage of its reserves amid stable network fees and low volatility.

Why Michael Saylor brought back laser eyes meme on March 29The final news item comes from Michael Saylor, the founder and executive chairman of Strategy, who posted on social media that it is time to turn laser eyes back on. In crypto culture, this gesture is a strong bullish signal symbolizing unwavering confidence in Bitcoin growth.

Earlier this week, Strategy purchased 1,031 BTC worth about $76.6 million. Over March, the company acquired nearly 45,000 BTC, marking the fastest monthly accumulation pace in a long time. As of the end of March, Strategy holds 762,099 BTC, valued at around $51 billion with an average purchase price of $75,699 per Bitcoin.

Saylor’s post came as Bitcoin trades in the $60,000 to $70,000 range under pressure from macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions. Saylor effectively remains the only major corporate buyer.

With continued expansion plans totaling $44 billion for further Bitcoin purchases, the signal is interpreted not as a meme but as a precursor to another large acquisition phase.

Crypto market outlook: FTX distributions and macro pressure on BitcoinSentiment remains cautious. Investors balance between major industry events in Europe and strong macroeconomic pressure from the United States. The main focus is holding the psychological $65,000 level for BTC.

Key events and levels:

March 31: FTX factor. Scheduled distribution of $2.2 billion to creditors. This is a major potential sell pressure driver on the open market.April 3: Non-Farm Payrolls release in the U.S. If data comes in overheated, the dollar strengthens and crypto may enter deeper correction.Bitcoin (BTC): Support at $65,000 is critical to hold. Resistance at $72,000 marks the zone for a return of a bullish trend.BTC/USD Daily Chart, Source: TradingViewThe coming week will test the current cycle. If the market absorbs FTX distributions and labor data without breaking $65,000, consolidation follows. Otherwise, downside toward $55,000 to $58,000 remains the active scenario.

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Solana is back near a key support area after a sharp drop from its earlier highs. While one analyst sees a long term accumulation zone, another chart shows short term downside still in play.

Solana Tests Key Support as Crypto Patel Maps $45 to $75 Buy ZoneCrypto Patel’s two week Solana chart shows a long pullback from the all time high area near $250 to the current zone below $80. The chart marks a drop of about 77% from the top. At the same time, it places SOL near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement around $52.11, which the analyst treats as a major support area.

The setup is simple. Patel highlights a support and entry zone between about $75 and $45. He also shows current price near $82.62, with the black horizontal level around $74.72 acting as a nearby line to watch. In other words, the chart suggests Solana is sitting just above a key support band after a long correction.

SOL/USDT 2W Chart. Source: Crypto Patel on X

Patel’s main argument is that sentiment has flipped. He contrasts the strong bullish calls above $250 with the silence now that SOL trades below $80. Therefore, his post is less about short term momentum and more about contrarian positioning. He sees weakness at lower prices as an accumulation phase, not a reason to exit.

The chart also outlines upside targets at $500 and $1,000. Those targets imply a very large recovery from current levels, so they reflect a high conviction long term view rather than a near term trade. Patel also says he would add more if price drops further, which means he is averaging into weakness instead of relying on a fixed stop loss.

Still, the chart remains a bullish thesis, not confirmation. SOL has not yet reclaimed the major resistance area around $200 to $250, and price is still below that zone by a wide margin. So while the support area may attract buyers, the broader trend will only look stronger if Solana holds this base and starts building higher over time.

Solana Slides Toward Support as Breakdown Extends on 1 Hour ChartA one hour Solana chart shared by More Crypto Online showed price continuing lower after breaking below an upward sloping support line. The analyst said the move still looked like wave 3 to the downside, with Solana heading toward a lower support zone.

The chart placed resistance between about $84.85 and $87.71. That red zone marked possible rebound levels, but price stayed below it as selling pressure continued. At the same time, the chart highlighted a broader support area between roughly $71.91 and $77.91, described as the main range support.

Solana 1H Chart Showing Move Toward Support Zone. Source: More Crypto Online on X

The setup suggested Solana had lost short term structure before reaching a stronger demand zone. Labels on the chart pointed to a possible next leg lower into that support band. Therefore, the focus shifted from immediate recovery to whether buyers would defend the mid $70 area.

A yellow rising trendline that supported earlier price action had already failed. After that break, the chart showed Solana falling quickly, which reinforced the bearish near term view. In other words, previous support turned into a sign that momentum had weakened rather than stabilized.

Still, the support zone remained the main area to watch. If price reaches that range and holds, Solana could attempt a bounce. However, as long as it remains below the marked resistance band, the chart keeps the short term downside scenario in focus.

Bitcoin continues to move within the $66,000 range following the corrective wave that dominated the last trading week. The leading cryptocurrency remains in a bear market that began in October 2025, and has resulted in a 52% decline from the cycle’s all-time high so far. However, recent on-chain data is reflecting some positive developments that support a budding price recovery.

Bitcoin STH Realized Price Safe With No Market Overheating In their latest QuickTake post, the analytics page CryptoZeno shares that Bitcoin retains a constructive market structure even as intense volatility levels rock the market. This claim is backed by multiple data points, starting with the short-term holder (STH) realized price. For context, Bitcoin’s price continues to hold above this key psychological level, suggesting that many investors in this cohort remain profitable despite the recent price loss.

Importantly, this observation suggests there is a decreased immediate selling pressure to support a long-term correction. Interestingly, the 7-day Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is presently valued around 1, presenting another observation that suggests investors are less willing to offload their holdings. While an SOPR of 1 indicates coins are being sold at a profit, a sustained SOPR above 1 during marked consolidations is associated with moderate profit-taking rather than a distribution spree. 

Source: CryptoQuant The 30-day exchange netflow represents the final data point, which has recorded a steady outflow in the past week. Generally, consistent withdrawal from exchanges aligns with accumulation activity, particularly by long-term investors. In particular, CryptoZeno likens the outflow levels to those experienced during early-to-mid bullish phases.

Notably, after touching the local low of $60,000 in early February, Bitcoin has witnessed an upward consolidation move, touching as high as $76,000 while also constantly retracing to lows around $65,000. The macro perspective provided by the three metrics mentioned above paints a market with an intact structural support, healthy profit-realization, and a reduced market supply, which collectively suggest the premier cryptocurrency in this consolidation.

However, CryptoZeno analysts also warn that the recent loss in price momentum, combined with a falling  STH realized price, still puts Bitcoin in a precarious position. Any failure to maintain this support level could trigger selling and cause a short-term dip or sentiment shift.

Bitcoin Price Overview At press time, Bitcoin is valued at $66,748 after a slight 1.04% gain in the last 24 hours. However, daily trading volume has plunged by 53.48%, suggesting weakening market participation and a lack of strong conviction behind the recent price move.

BTC trading at $66,661 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview

Chiliz [CHZ] has rallied 10.6% in the past 24 hours and saw its daily trading volume soar by 160%.

The high-volume price surge on the 29th of March, when volume and price moves are usually subdued, indicated a possibility of a strong uptrend for the upcoming week.

Source: CHZ/USDT on TradingView On the 1-day chart, the structure that CHZ exhibited since the start of the year was quite encouraging. After a rally to the long-term supply zone at $0.055-$0.065, CHZ has retraced to the $0.035 level.

This was the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level based on the impulse move earlier this year. The retest of this crucial support did not yield an immediate, bullish response.

The buyers have, over time, forced prices higher once again.

The OBV was ticking higher over the past month, but there was a worry here. The trading volume has been below the 20-day average for the most part. Meanwhile, the RSI had not established itself above neutral 50 over the past six weeks, either.

This has changed in the past 24 hours. The RSI reached 60, and the volume surge saw a healthy uptick on the OBV.

If sustained, CHZ could become one of the outperforming assets as it recovers toward the $0.065 swing high. With extremely pessimistic sentiment around Bitcoin [BTC] and fearful macroeconomic conditions, it remains to be seen if Chiliz can do well.

Traders’ call to action – Do not FOMO into this rally Source: CHZ/USDT on TradingView Despite the swift gains in the past 24 hours, CHZ bulls were unable to reclaim the $0.04 local high set earlier in March. The OBV has climbed past local highs, and the RSI has reached overbought territory, despite the rejection.

A rising channel (purple) has formed, and its highs were in the $0.043-$0.045 area. Therefore, this channel high would oppose the altcoin’s rally if CHZ can climb past $0.04.

Swing traders already in long positions can look to take profits. Those who missed the move can wait for a retracement to $0.034-$0.036 before looking to go long.

Final Summary CHZ’s rally in the past 24 hours reinforced the long-term bullish structure of the altcoin. In the coming days, the $0.04 and the $0.043-$0.045 would likely halt any further price rally. If breached and retested, it could be a buying opportunity.

The question of whether Ethereum (ETH) can really act as a store of value is coming up more and more as the network grows into a core part of the decentralized economy. That label used to belong almost entirely to Bitcoin, seen as “digital gold” because of its fixed supply. But since the Merge and the upgrades that followed, Ethereum has started to play by a different set of rules—and that’s starting to shift the conversation.

As of March 2026, Ethereum isn’t just for developers anymore. It’s become a global settlement layer. Still, with the price moving sideways lately, investors are asking the obvious question: is holding ETH actually a solid way to preserve value over time?

Is ETH a Store of Value?$Ethereum is starting to be seen as a real store of value—but it works differently than $Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s story is all about scarcity. Ethereum, on the other hand, gets its value from how much the network is actually used, plus the fact that it can generate yield.

By staking ETH, holders can earn a native return—usually around 2.8% to 3.5%. That helps offset inflation and adds a compounding effect you simply don’t get with assets that don’t produce any yield.

What Makes an Asset a "Store of Value"?A store of value is an asset that maintains its purchasing power over time without significant depreciation. To qualify, an asset typically requires:

Scarcity: A controlled or diminishing supply.Security: A network resistant to attacks (Ethereum is secured by billions in staked capital).Liquidity: The ability to be traded easily for other goods or fiat.Demand: Consistent use cases that drive long-term interest.Analyzing the 5-Year ETH Price History (2021–2026)Looking at the technical data from the past five years, Ethereum has exhibited a distinct pattern of "high-velocity growth followed by structural consolidation."

The Consolidation Phase ($2,000 - $4,000)Since the peak of the 2021 bull run and the subsequent market correction, ETH has largely spent the period between 2024 and early 2026 consolidating within a massive horizontal channel.

The Floor: Strong support has formed around the $2,000 level. This psychological and technical barrier has held firm despite various macro headwinds and regulatory uncertainties.The Ceiling: Resistance remains heavy between $4,000 and $4,800. Every attempt to break into "price discovery" mode has been met with institutional profit-taking and rotation into newer ecosystem plays.This prolonged consolidation is actually a healthy sign for a "store of value" thesis. It suggests that Ethereum is moving away from the "lottery ticket" volatility of its early years and toward a more stable, mature asset profile.

The "Ultrasound Money" Narrative: Is it Still Valid?The term "ultrasound money," coined by Ethereum researcher Justin Drake, suggests that if Bitcoin is "sound" because its supply is capped, Ethereum is "ultrasound" because its supply can actually shrink.

How the Burn Mechanism WorksUnder EIP-1559, a portion of every transaction fee is "burned" (destroyed). In 2026, we see a dual-track economic model:

During High Activity: When DeFi and NFT volumes spike, more ETH is burned than issued to stakers, making the supply deflationary.During Low Activity (The L2 Shift): With the rise of Layer-2 solutions like Base and Arbitrum, some activity has moved off the mainnet. This has led to periods of slight inflation (approx. 0.7% annually), as seen in early 2026.Despite this fluctuation, Ethereum's total supply remains significantly lower than it would have been under the old Proof-of-Work system, maintaining its competitive edge against fiat currencies.

Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: The Store of Value ShowdownFeatureBitcoin ($BTC)Ethereum ($ETH)Primary ThesisDigital Gold / ScarcityDigital Oil / Yield-Bearing AssetSupply CapFixed (21 Million)Dynamic (Burn vs. Issuance)Native YieldNone (Requires 3rd party)2.8% - 4% via StakingUtilityPayment / Store of ValueSmart Contracts / DeFi / RWAsInstitutional ViewMacro HedgeTech Infrastructure PlayWhile Bitcoin remains the king of "pure" scarcity, major institutions like BlackRock have highlighted Ethereum's role in the tokenization of real-world assets. This utility creates a "structural demand" for ETH that persists regardless of speculative market cycles.

Risks to the Ethereum Store of Value ThesisNo investment is without risk. For Ethereum to maintain its status, it must navigate:

Regulatory Shifts: The classification of staked ETH by global regulators continues to be a point of contention.L2 Cannibalization: If too much activity moves to Layer-2s without enough value accruing back to the Layer-1, the "burn" mechanism may not be enough to sustain deflation.Technological Complexity: Unlike Bitcoin's "set in stone" code, Ethereum is constantly evolving, which introduces potential smart contract or upgrade risks.Is Ethereum a Good Store of Value for the Future?For investors seeking a balance between growth and preservation, Ethereum is a compelling store of value. It offers the security of a battle-tested blockchain combined with the unique advantage of native yield. While it may experience more volatility than Bitcoin, its role as the "Internet's Bond" makes it a foundational asset for any modern digital portfolio.

As we look toward the remainder of 2026, the current consolidation phase provides a strategic entry point for those who believe in the long-term "ultrasound" roadmap.

Bittensor ecosystem tokens' value hit $1.5 billion as Jensen Huang endorsement supports TAO rallyThe ecosystem's smaller tokens are acting as leveraged bets on TAO, with multiple subnet tokens posting 200-400% monthly gains. Mar 29, 2026, 1:15 p.m.

Bittensor's TAO has rallied 90% so far this month, and the tokens in its ecosystem are running up even harder.

The network's subnet token category reached a combined market cap of $1.47 billion on Monday, with $118 million in 24-hour trading volume, according to CoinGecko data.

The surge follows TAO's own run from $180 to above $332 in March, but the subnet tokens are where the real action is. Templar, the token for Subnet 3, gained 444% in 30 days. OMEGA Labs rose 440%. Level 114 added 280%. BitQuant gained 230%. Even the larger subnet tokens posted significant returns, with Chutes up 54% and Targon gaining 166%.

Bittensor is a decentralized network that creates marketplaces for artificial intelligence. Instead of one company building and controlling AI models, Bittensor incentivizes a global network of participants to contribute computing power, data, and machine learning models in exchange for TAO, the network's native token.

The network is divided into specialized sub-networks called subnets, each focused on a different AI task, from training language models to running compute infrastructure to cybersecurity analysis. There are currently 128 active subnets, each with its own token whose value is tied directly to the amount of TAO staked into it.

Several catalysts contributed to these moves of the Bittensor's ecosystem tokens.

Subnet 3 produced Covenant-72B, a large language model trained permissionlessly across Bittensor's decentralized network by over 70 contributors using commodity internet hardware.

The model was trained on 1.1 trillion tokens and achieved a 67.1 MMLU score, confirmed in a March 2026 arXiv paper. That puts it in competitive range with Meta's Llama 2 70B, a model built by one of the most well-resourced AI labs in the world. (MMLU, or Massive Multitask Language Understanding, is a standardized test for AI models that scores them across 57 academic subjects.)

Subnet 3, called Templar, is Bittensor's decentralized AI training network. Miners contribute GPU compute power and compete to produce useful training gradients for large language models, while validators evaluate the quality of their contributions and distribute TAO rewards accordingly.

Think of it as a way to train AI models the same way bitcoin mines blocks, with distributed participants around the world contributing hardware and getting paid for useful work.

Elsewhere, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and investor Chamath Palihapitiya endorsed Bittensor's approach on the All-In Podcast on March 20, framing decentralized AI training as complementary to proprietary models. Coming from the CEO whose blog post earlier this month briefly helped reverse a tech stock selloff, the endorsement carried weight beyond the usual crypto echo chamber.

How subnet tokens workThe subnet token mechanics explain why the gains are so outsized relative to TAO itself.

Since Bittensor launched dynamic TAO in February 2025, each subnet operates its own automated market maker with a native token whose valuation is determined by the TAO staked into that subnet's reserves. When TAO appreciates, every subnet's reserve becomes more valuable, inflating token prices and attracting more stakers. The relationship is reflexive and amplifies moves in both directions.

With TAO at roughly $3 billion in market cap and individual subnet tokens ranging from $1 million to $137 million, the subnet tokens function as leveraged bets on the parent protocol.

The network plans to expand from 128 to 256 active subnets later this year, which would bring a new wave of token launches.

A potential regulatory decision on converting the Grayscale TAO Trust into a spot ETF could provide institutional access by late 2026. And Digital Currency Group subsidiary Yuma is already contributing to 14 different subnets, suggesting the smart money is treating this as infrastructure rather than speculation.

Whether the subnet rally sustains depends on whether Bittensor keeps producing competitive AI models or whether Covenant-72B was a one-off that got lucky timing with a Huang endorsement.

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This week in the world of cryptocurrency was nothing short of eventful. From a crypto exchange gaining unprecedented access to Federal Reserve services to Ethereum outperforming the S&P 500 during wartime, the crypto market has been buzzing with activity. Here’s a quick recap of the top stories that made headlines.

Maxine Waters Questions Fed’s Approval Of Crypto ExchangeRep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) has sought further clarification on the decision to grant cryptocurrency exchange Kraken access to Federal Reserve services. This approval, a first in U.S. history for a cryptocurrency company, gives Kraken direct access to Fedwire, a core payment infrastructure used by thousands of U.S. banks and credit unions.

Read the full article here.

Tom Lee Advocates For Crypto Over GoldTom Lee, who chairs Bitmine Immersion Technologies and serves as head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, has suggested that crypto is a stronger wartime store of value than gold. Despite the ongoing Middle East conflict, Lee believes that crypto is a “money trade” for the next year.

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Coinbase Shares Dip Amid Broad Crypto Market Sell-OffCoinbase Global shares were down 3.44% at $167.41 during premarket trading on Friday. This comes as the crypto market faces a broad sell-off. Meanwhile, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig expects to approve crypto perpetual futures within weeks, aiming to bring offshore trading volume back to U.S. markets.

Read the full article here.

Crypto Trading Compared To Casino GamblingRenowned cryptocurrency analyst Willy Woo has likened all cryptocurrency trading other than Bitcoin to gambling, unless you’re an insider. Woo argues that without an informational or structural edge, one shouldn’t invest in crypto.

Read the full article here.

Leading Cryptocurrencies Dip Amid Trump’s Warning To IranLeading cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Dogecoin, edged lower alongside stocks on Thursday following President Donald Trump’s warning to Iran. Over $330 million in cryptocurrency positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, with $293 million in bullish long positions alone erased.

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XRP tests $1.33 as rising leverage and weak price action create unstable setupFunding spikes and liquidations point to positioning build-up, with direction hinging on whether buyers can defend support. Mar 29, 2026, 1:38 p.m.

What to know: XRP is hovering around $1.33 as price action drifts lower, with momentum slowing but not yet reversing.Rising funding rates and growing leverage show traders are increasingly bullish even as repeated rejections near $1.35 to $1.36 keep sellers in control.If $1.33 support breaks, XRP could slide toward $1.30, while a sustained move above $1.35 to $1.36 would be needed to shift momentum higher.XRP is holding near $1.33, but the setup is getting fragile. Price isn’t collapsing, but it’s not recovering either — and that kind of drift lower, paired with rising leverage, usually doesn’t resolve quietly.

News BackgroundXRP slipped slightly over 24 hours, staying pinned near $1.33Funding rates jumped sharply while long liquidations picked up, signaling aggressive positioningLarge volume spikes earlier in the session failed to translate into sustained upsidePrice Action SummaryPrice briefly pushed higher but was rejected near $1.35-$1.36The market has since rotated lower into support around $1.33Structure shows lower highs, even as support continues to holdMomentum has clearly slowed rather than reversedTechnical AnalysisThis is a classic tension setup: positioning is increasing, but price isn’t followingRising funding rates suggest traders are leaning bullish, yet repeated rejections show sellers still control the tapeThe failed follow-through after high-volume moves is the key signal — demand isn’t strong enough yetThat mismatch often leads to sharper moves once one side gets forced outWhat traders should watch$1.33 is the immediate line — a break likely accelerates toward $1.30On the upside, reclaiming $1.35-$1.36 is needed to shift momentumThe bigger tell is positioning: if leverage keeps building without price moving higher, downside risk increasesMore For You

As stablecoins evolve into core financial infrastructure, North America leads. This report maps the regulation, market shifts, and players driving adoption.

Why it matters:

Stablecoins are entering their third phase of evolution - the institutionalization era - becoming increasingly embedded into core financial infrastructure. As institutions prioritize transparency and compliance, regulated issuers like USDC, RLUSD, and PYUSD are steadily gaining share with RLUSD surpassing $1B in market cap within its first year. North America, leading in regulatory frameworks and institutional distribution, is at the center of it all.

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Margin feature is a departure from traditional prediction markets, which typically require fully collateralized positions, and comes as the industry sees growing trading volumes and investment.

What to know:

Prediction market platform Kalshi has been cleared to offer margin trading to professional clients, allowing them to open positions with less upfront capital.The move is designed to make Kalshi more appealing to institutional investors, and could be rolled out first for new products rather than core event contracts.Kalshi's...Top Stories

It's fun to play what-if games with stocks -- unless doing so makes you cry. And this one might: What if you'd invested $1,000 in shares of Netflix (NFLX +0.27%) 20 years ago?

Here's a look at the answer.

Image source: Getty Images.

If you had plunked $1,000 into Netflix 20 years ago, in 2006, that stake would now be worth $227,855. Jeepers, right? That's a total gain of 22,676%, and an annualized gain of 31.17%. In contrast, the S&P 500 index (consisting of 500 of America's biggest companies) averaged only 9.1% (or 10.4% with dividends reinvested), turning $1,000 into $5,712 (or $7,253, with dividends reinvested). Those are still respectable numbers for the S&P 500, but Netflix blows them away.

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Remember, though, that 20 years ago it wasn't clear just how terrific a performance Netflix would deliver. In 2011, for example, it announced that it would split its operations in two, focusing on streaming and labeling its DVDs-by-mail business Qwikster. Its shares sank more than 75% and the company lost millions of customers. It wouldn't have seemed unthinkable to sell your shares then, if you had lost faith in the company. Good companies do make occasional mistakes, though, and they often rise above them, as Netflix did.

It went on to become a major producer of original content for its streaming business, and it successfully added many more subscribers. Netflix now boasts that "We are entertaining over half a billion people in more than 190 countries and 50 languages..." The company is raking in ad dollars, too, now that it's showing ads to some subscribers -- with $3 billion expected in 2026.

Is Netflix worth investing in now? Well, maybe. Its shares are not exactly cheap, but they're not wildly overvalued, as they often have been, either -- with a recent forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30, a bit below the five-year average of 32.

Selena Maranjian has positions in Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Securities Litigation Partner James (Josh) Wilson Encourages Investors Who Suffered Losses In Picard Medical To Contact Him Directly To Discuss Their Options

If you purchased or acquired securities in Picard Medical between September 2, 2025 and October 31, 2025 and would like to discuss your legal rights, call Faruqi & Faruqi partner Josh Wilson directly at 877-247-4292 or 212-983-9330 (Ext. 1310).

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, /PRNewswire/ -- Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP, a leading national securities law firm, is investigating potential claims against Picard Medical, Inc. ("Picard" or the "Company") (NYSE: PMI) and reminds investors of the April 13, 2026 deadline to seek the role of lead plaintiff in a federal securities class action that has been filed against the Company.

James (Josh) Wilson, Faruqi & Faruqi Senior Partner (PRNewsfoto/Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP) Faruqi & Faruqi is a leading national securities law firm with offices in New York, Pennsylvania, California and Georgia. The firm has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors since its founding in 1995. See www.faruqilaw.com.

As detailed below, the complaint alleges that the Company and its executives violated federal securities laws by making false and/or misleading statements and/or failing to disclose that: (1) that Picard was the subject of a fraudulent stock promotion scheme involving social media-based misinformation and impersonated financial professionals; (2) that insiders and/or affiliates used offshore or nominee accounts to facilitate the coordinated dumping of shares during a price inflation campaign; and (3) that Picard's public statements and risk disclosures omitted any mention of the false rumors and artificial trading activity driving the stock price.

On October 24, 2025, Picard Medical, Inc. (NYSE: PMI) shares closed at $5.31, a steep decline from the prior trading session's close of $13.20 on October 23, 2025. This represents a drop of $7.89 per share, or approximately a 59.8% decrease in value in a single session, marking one of the most significant one-day declines since the company's recent IPO.

The court-appointed lead plaintiff is the investor with the largest financial interest in the relief sought by the class who is adequate and typical of class members who directs and oversees the litigation on behalf of the putative class. Any member of the putative class may move the Court to serve as lead plaintiff through counsel of their choice, or may choose to do nothing and remain an absent class member. Your ability to share in any recovery is not affected by the decision to serve as a lead plaintiff or not. 

Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP also encourages anyone with information regarding Picard Medical's conduct to contact the firm, including whistleblowers, former employees, shareholders and others.

To learn more about the Picard Medical class action, go to www.faruqilaw.com/PMI or call Faruqi & Faruqi partner Josh Wilson directly at 877-247-4292 or 212-983-9330 (Ext. 1310).

Follow us for updates on LinkedIn, on X, or on Facebook.

Attorney Advertising. The law firm responsible for this advertisement is Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP (www.faruqilaw.com). Prior results do not guarantee or predict a similar outcome with respect to any future matter. We welcome the opportunity to discuss your particular case. All communications will be treated in a confidential manner.

SOURCE Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP

HomeETFs and Funds AnalysisClosed End Funds Analysis

SummaryThe article presents a rigorously screened list of 10 top closed-end funds, or CEFs, for income investors, offering an average 10% plus yield and 10.8% NAV discount.Selections emphasize sector diversification, long-term outperformance, sustainable distributions, and attractive valuations, with a focus on both equity and credit-oriented CEFs.CEFs are generally characterized by higher volatility and deeper drawdowns than the broader market. For these reasons, they are not suited for everyone.In this monthly series, we try to separate the wheat from the chaff using our filtering process to select 10 CEFs every month from around 500 closed-end funds.Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of High Income DIY Portfolios get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios. Learn More » Olivier Le Moal/iStock via Getty Images

Introduction: Since Nov. 2025, the market has been mostly trading in a tight range between S&P 500 (SPX) levels 6600 and 6950. However, everything changed recently with the start of the full-blown Iran war. This

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ABT, ABBV, CI, JNJ, PFE, NVS, NVO, AZN, UNH, CL, CLX, UL, NSRGY, PG, TSN, ADM, BTI, MO, PM, KO, PEP, EXC, D, DEA, DEO, ENB, MCD, BAC, PRU, UPS, WMT, WBA, CVS, LOW, AAPL, IBM, CSCO, MSFT, INTC, T, VZ, CVX, XOM, VLO, ABB, ITW, MMM, LMT, LYB, RIO, O, NNN, WPC, ARCC, ARDC, AWF, TLT either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way should be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any stock. The author is not a financial advisor. Please always do further research and do your own due diligence before making any investments. Every effort has been made to present the data/information accurately; however, the author does not claim 100% accuracy. The stock portfolios presented here are model portfolios for demonstration purposes. For the complete list of our LONG positions, please see our profile on Seeking Alpha.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

New York, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - March 29, 2026) - WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, announces it has filed a class action lawsuit on behalf of purchasers of securities of Vital Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ: VITL) between May 8, 2025 and February 26, 2026, both dates inclusive (the "Class Period"). A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than May 26, 2026 in the securities class action first filed by the Firm.

SO WHAT: If you purchased Vital Farms securities during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement.

WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Vital Farms class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=54670 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than May 26, 2026. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation.

WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm has achieved, at that time, the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers.

DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) Vital Farms downplayed the risks of delay associated with the roll out of its new enterprise resource planning ("ERP") system as merely a hypothetical; (2) When the ERP roll out caused delays, Vital Farms downplayed the impact of the delay; (3) In truth, the delays caused Vital Farms to miss its full year 2025 earnings guidance and earnings per share consensus; and (4) as a result, defendants' statements about Vital Farms' business, operations, and prospects were materially false and misleading and/or lacked a reasonable basis at all times. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages.

To join the Vital Farms class action, go to https://rosenlegal.com/submit-form/?case_id=54670 or call Phillip Kim, Esq. toll-free at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for information on the class action.

No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff.

Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-rosen-law-firm or on Twitter: https://twitter.com/rosen_firm or on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rosenlawfirm.

Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.

-------------------------------

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/290292

Source: The Rosen Law Firm PA

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