Strategy continues its financial strategy by combining bitcoin purchases and preferred stock buybacks. Between October 12 and 18, Michael Saylor’s company acquired 267 BTC for 22.1 million dollars. At the same time, it dedicated 193.1 million dollars to repurchasing STRC securities. This operation comes as Strategy maintains a significant bitcoin reserve, and its leader anticipates a market return to a bullish phase.
In brief
Strategy acquires 267 bitcoins for 22.1 million dollars, bringing its reserves to 848,517 BTC.
Michael Saylor’s company repurchases 1.94 million preferred STRC shares for 193.1 million dollars.
Strategy increases its authorization to repurchase digital credit securities from 2 to 3 billion dollars.
Michael Saylor anticipates a return of the bull market, despite macroeconomic obstacles weighing on bitcoin.
Strategy buys 267 bitcoins and strengthens its reserves
Michael Saylor’s company Strategy purchased 267 bitcoins between October 12 and 18, at an average price of 82,900 dollars per unit. The company thus invested an additional 22.1 million dollars in the leading cryptocurrency. According to a document submitted Monday to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), its reserves now total 848,517 BTC. This new move confirms the continuation of its acquisitions despite larger expenditures dedicated to preferred stocks.
To finance this purchase, Strategy primarily used the 22 million dollars obtained from the sale of 140,872 MSTR common shares. This operation allowed it to fund its acquisition without mobilizing a significant portion of its existing cash reserves. Meanwhile, the company reserved its available funds for repurchasing STRC securities. This allocation shows that the company pursues two distinct financial objectives.
However, the amounts involved illustrate a notable gap between the two operations. Strategy dedicated 193.1 million dollars to the repurchase of 1.94 million preferred STRC shares. This amount is nearly nine times the investment in new bitcoins. The company also raised its authorization to repurchase digital credit securities from 2 to 3 billion dollars.
STRC buybacks exceed bitcoin purchases
Since the start of the fourth quarter, Strategy has spent 459.2 million dollars repurchasing STRC shares. Over the same period, it invested 72.3 million dollars, acquiring 851 bitcoins. Buybacks therefore represent more than six times the spending on cryptocurrency. This difference confirms the growing role of preferred stock transactions in the company’s recent financial decisions.
STRC is a variable-rate preferred stock designed to pay regular dividends. Strategy aims to repurchase shares trading below their par value of 100 dollars to support their price. This policy partly explains the emphasis on these transactions. It also allows the company to influence the value of its shares while maintaining its bitcoin reserves.
To cover its financial commitments, Strategy states it holds 4.83 billion dollars designated for preferred stock dividends and debt interest. It also has 447.3 million dollars in separate cash reserves. These reserves provide a margin to honor its payments. However, the evolving spending between cryptocurrency purchases and stock buybacks will remain an important element to monitor.
Saylor anticipates a return of a bull market
Despite these larger buybacks, Michael Saylor remains optimistic about bitcoin’s outlook. During a discussion held Saturday during ParaFi’s investor day, he stated, “We are entering a bull market again.” He notably mentioned the price returning above its 200-day simple moving average. This indicator is often used to observe long-term price trends.
Saylor also cited several factors that could restrain the market. According to him, restrictive trade, foreign, and monetary policies are obstacles for BTC. Conversely, growing adoption by banks and the tokenization of traditional financial assets could support its development. These elements fuel his expectations, without guaranteeing a sustained price increase.
In the markets, MSTR stock was up more than 2.5% in premarket Monday, according to Yahoo Finance data, after losing about 9.6% Friday, closing at 138.83 dollars. STRC shares gained nearly 0.8%, at 98.45 dollars, after a 1.8% decline in the previous session.
In the short term, Strategy is therefore expected to continue its trades between bitcoin accumulation and preferred stock management. The pace of STRC buybacks, the evolution of its reserves, and market conditions will determine the continuation of this policy. The sustained return of bitcoin above its technical benchmarks could also influence the company’s upcoming decisions.
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Ghiles A.
Journaliste et rédacteur web passionné par l’univers des cryptomonnaies et des technologies Web3. J’y traite les dernières tendances et actualités afin de proposer un contenu de haute qualité à un large public du secteur.
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The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
An early Bitcoin address first funded in September 2013 shifted 411.45 BTC, currently valued at approximately $33.4 million, to a new wallet on Sunday. This marks the first-ever outgoing transaction for the long-dormant account and adds to a recent uptick in activity among old Bitcoin wallets.
Whale movement traced to lawsuit over abandoned walletsThe address, which begins with “13Coop,” had not sent any Bitcoin since it was first loaded on September 11, 2013, according to data from both Galaxy Research and analytics platform Arkham. At the time, Bitcoin prices hovered around $130, making the initial value of the 411.45 BTC roughly $54,000. Galaxy analysts calculated the wallet’s average cost basis at about $127 per coin, giving the owner an unrealized gain of more than 64,000% after 13 years of inactivity.
The transferred coins are now located in a single, newly created address. Blockchain data shows no evidence that the receiver is linked to any known cryptocurrency exchange, leaving it unclear whether the funds are being prepared for sale or will remain dormant.
Galaxy Research tagged the sending address as “Noah Doe #970,” placing it among 39,069 dormant wallets named in a lawsuit filed earlier this year in New York by a plaintiff using the pseudonym Noah Doe, alongside two Wyoming-based firms.
Mini dictionary: Galaxy Research, the analytics arm of digital asset financial services firm Galaxy Digital, is known for tracking long-term trends in Bitcoin address activity and providing blockchain analytics and research.
In the New York lawsuit, the plaintiffs claim approximately 3.8 million BTC held by dormant wallets should be considered abandoned property under state lost-and-found law. However, the plaintiffs do not possess the private keys for these wallets.
Testing the lawsuit’s claimsAccording to Galaxy Research, the activation of these old wallets undermines the legal case, as spending coins requires possession of the private keys. This evidence shows at least some targeted wallets remain in active ownership. Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy, has observed a steady acceleration in the number of “Noah Doe” wallets showing on-chain activity month over month.
Galaxy also indicated that the wallet was one of those targeted in a 2025 “dusting” campaign. This scheme sent tiny amounts of Bitcoin embedded with messages to dormant addresses, possibly to help bolster the claim that such wallets were abandoned. Arkham analysis confirms a history of dust transactions, with some flagged as phishing attempts.
Every new transaction out of these addresses creates challenges for arguments that the wallets have been abandoned, according to industry observers.
Uptick in old coin movementsThe recent transfer joins a growing list of substantial sums moving out of long-inactive wallets. Data from Galaxy Research points to a notable acceleration in the awakening of Bitcoin’s oldest coins throughout 2026.
Barely a week ago, a Satoshi-era address mined in 2010 moved for the first time in 16 years. In late September, approximately $161 million in decade-old Bitcoin was shifted over two weeks. Last week, another whale moved $377 million after holding through all major market downturns since 2020.
This pattern indicates an emerging trend in the landscape of long-dormant crypto wallets and raises fresh questions about potential future movements as legal scrutiny intensifies.
Google has announced a revision to its financial products policy, specifically targeting cryptocurrency advertisements in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Effective October 21, companies wishing to advertise crypto products in the UAE will need to secure licenses from approved authorities and obtain Google certification. This change aligns with the UAE’s existing regulations for virtual asset advertising, which mandate that unlicensed entities, including foreign firms, cannot promote virtual-asset services to UAE residents.
The updated policy impacts cryptocurrency exchanges and software wallets aiming to reach UAE users, requiring them to hold either a Virtual Asset Regulatory Authority (VARA) or Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) license. This move by Google is seen as a step towards enhancing regulatory clarity in the region, which may influence the adoption and perception of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin.
Market participants appear to view this development as supportive of a scenario where increased regulatory clarity could positively impact Bitcoin’s adoption and price trajectory. The current pricing in prediction markets reflects a modest expectation of Bitcoin reaching higher valuation thresholds, although significant uncertainty remains.
Key Takeaways
Google’s updated policy requires crypto advertisers in the UAE to be licensed and certified, consistent with local regulations.
This regulatory move is perceived as enhancing clarity, which could influence Bitcoin’s future price positively.
Market activity suggests a modest increase in confidence regarding higher Bitcoin valuations by the end of 2026.
What to Watch
Observers will closely monitor how this regulatory shift impacts crypto advertising and adoption in the UAE. The effectiveness of Google’s certification process and compliance with local licensing will be key indicators to watch. Additionally, any reactions from major cryptocurrency exchanges or wallet providers could provide further insights into the broader implications of this policy change. Markets will also be attentive to any subsequent regulatory developments in other regions that might influence the global crypto landscape.
Strategy bought the Bitcoin dip—again. The digital asset treasury giant disclosed Monday that it added more than $22 million worth of the cryptocurrency last week, as prices swung between roughly $80,000 and $84,000.
The latest purchase added 267 Bitcoin to Strategy’s total holdings, which are currently worth around $64 billion. The company also spent roughly $193 million buying back shares of STRC, one of its preferred stocks, which pays investors regular dividends. Its board also approved an additional $1 billion for preferred-share buybacks, bringing the total authorization to $3 billion.
Strategy’s latest acquisition comes a week after its previous purchase of $21 million worth of Bitcoin. Since August, the company has bought Bitcoin on six separate occasions, renewing its aggressive buying streak.
Its latest purchase comes amid sharp swings in Bitcoin’s price that briefly threatened to erase its gains over the past two months. In August, the cryptocurrency snapped its losing streak, climbing from roughly $63,000 to $77,000. By late September, it had topped $80,000 for the first time since May and reached a peak of about $86,000.
But over the past week, a series of tensions have fueled swings in Bitcoin’s price. Oil prices jumped Friday as attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz raised fears of supply disruptions, adding to inflation concerns. Prices fell Monday after President Donald Trump waived some Russia-related sanctions and tariffs, raising hopes that more fuel would reach global markets.
Technology stocks also sold off as investors questioned whether the AI boom could last. The Nasdaq fell more than 2% Friday, but regained most of those losses by Monday morning.
But Strategy’s latest purchase shows the company is continuing to build its holdings despite the market’s swings, in line with executive chairman Michael Saylor’s long-standing preference for holding Bitcoin. “You do not sell your Bitcoin,” he said last October.
Strategy briefly departed from that stance earlier this year, however, selling Bitcoin on four separate occasions during a bear market that pushed the cryptocurrency’s price as low as $58,000 in June.
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Bitcoin rebounded early in the day Monday, briefly crossing over $83,000 as falling U.S. Treasury yields and lower oil prices helped risk assets begin the week higher. The flagship cryptocurrency pared gains later in the day, rising 1.2% to $81,844. Today's price action comes after a losing week that saw bitcoin fall as low as $80,112.
U.S. Treasury yields fell in Asian trade Monday, allowing yields to remain comfortably below recent multidecade highs at the long end of the curve. Oil prices also pulled back after Friday's gains as traders weighed a U.S. decision to waive newly imposed sanctions on Russia against persistent Middle East supply risks. But cryptocurrency investors remain on edge, as metrics show that new buyers of bitcoin remain in short supply.
Fund traders are not hungry for bitcoin exposure, with last week finishing with bitcoin ETFs having a net outflow of $228.4 million, according to data from Coinglass. "The average ETF holder remains underwater relative to their estimated $84,358 cost basis," said analysts with Bitfinex in a note published Monday. The firm adds that increased leveraged bets on bitcoin by investors leaves bitcoin open to a new rush of liquidations, which if they materialized would bring the price below the $80,000 mark.
For 2027, many analysts said they expect bitcoin prices to climb back above the $100,000 mark. Such a rebound would likely provide support to gains in the wider crypto market, said Bret Kenwell, an analyst with eToro Group. "A sustained rebound could help drive broader gains across the crypto space," said Kenwell in a note Monday.
Write to Joseph Wilkins at [email protected] and Kirk Maltais at [email protected] (MORE TO FOLLOW) Dow Jones Newswires 10-19-26 1401ET Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
Bitcoin rebounded early in the day Monday, briefly crossing over $83,000 as falling U.S. Treasury yields and lower oil prices helped risk assets begin the week higher.
The flagship cryptocurrency pared gains later in the day, rising 1.2% to $81,844. Today's price action comes after a losing week that saw bitcoin fall as low as $80,112.
U.S. Treasury yields fell in Asian trade Monday, allowing yields to remain comfortably below recent multidecade highs at the long end of the curve. Oil prices also pulled back after Friday's gains as traders weighed a U.S. decision to waive newly imposed sanctions on Russia against persistent Middle East supply risks.
But cryptocurrency investors remain on edge, as metrics show that new buyers of bitcoin remain in short supply. Fund traders are not hungry for bitcoin exposure, with last week finishing with bitcoin ETFs having a net outflow of $228.4 million, according to data from Coinglass.
"The average ETF holder remains underwater relative to their estimated $84,358 cost basis," said analysts with Bitfinex in a note published Monday. The firm adds that increased leveraged bets on bitcoin by investors leaves bitcoin open to a new rush of liquidations, which if they materialized would bring the price below the $80,000 mark.
For 2027, many analysts said they expect bitcoin prices to climb back above the $100,000 mark. Such a rebound would likely provide support to gains in the wider crypto market, said Bret Kenwell, an analyst with eToro Group.
"A sustained rebound could help drive broader gains across the crypto space," said Kenwell in a note Monday.
Write to Joseph Wilkins at [email protected] and Kirk Maltais at [email protected]
Can bitcoin reach 100000 dollars before the end of 2026? Bitwise considers this scenario still possible thanks to institutional demand, while LO forecasts a price between 85000 and 95000 dollars in the face of the return of inflation and rate hike risks.
In brief Bitwise believes that bitcoin could exceed 100000 dollars before the end of 2026. Institutional purchases and ETFs support the upside prospects for Bitcoin. LO forecasts a price between 85000 and 95000 dollars by the end of December. US inflation and the risk of new Fed rate hikes are slowing the market. Sustained crossing of 90000 dollars could accelerate the rebound towards 100000 dollars. Arguments supporting bitcoin at 100000 dollars Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at Bitwise, maintains a positive view despite the pullback of bitcoin around 82000 dollars. He believes that several underlying factors can support the market in the last weeks of 2026.
The analyst summarizes his scenario in a cautious statement :
We believe bitcoin will end the year higher, potentially above 100000 dollars.
This projection is based on several drivers :
Purchases made by institutional investors via ETF ; Accumulation of bitcoins by some companies ; Search for rare assets in the face of inflation ; Increase in public debt ; Progressive improvement of the US regulatory framework. Cryptocurrency investment products have recorded about 11.1 billion dollars in inflows since mid-July, according to James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares. US spot bitcoin ETFs would have received nearly 6 billion dollars in the third quarter, including about 3.5 billion dollars in August.
This demand can reduce the amount of bitcoin available on the market. However, it does not guarantee an immediate rise. Butterfill points out that purchases have slowed and a real rebound will require regular institutional inflows.
A move from 82000 to 100000 dollars would represent an increase of close to 22%. Such a move remains possible in a volatile market, but it requires a significant improvement in the financial climate before December 31.
US inflation weakens the bullish scenario LO takes a more reserved view. Adam Morgan McCarthy, head of research at the company, rather expects bitcoin to evolve between 85000 and 95000 dollars until the end of the year.
This caution is mainly explained by the latest US data. The consumer price index rose by 0.6% in September compared to August and by 3.7% year on year. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 0.3% over one month and by 2.6% year on year.
The rise in gasoline played a major role. This component jumped 9.1% in September and accounted for more than half of the monthly increase in prices. These figures reinforced fears of a new tightening of US monetary policy.
The Federal Reserve had already raised its key rate by 25 basis points in September, to a range of 3.75% to 4%. A new hike would make risk-free investments more remunerative and reduce the liquidity available for volatile assets like bitcoin.
According to McCarthy, a return of BTC towards 100000 dollars would require a drop in oil prices, a slowdown in inflation, and a change in expectations regarding the Fed. The market would notably have to abandon the hypothesis of a rate hike in December in favor of a pause.
The 90000 dollar threshold could revive the market Derivatives offer a third scenario. Luca Invernizzi, trader at Laser Digital, a Nomura subsidiary, believes that the recent retreat removed some of the most fragile leveraged positions. This purge could make the market more stable if buyers return.
The 90000 dollar level now constitutes an important technical zone. Sustained crossing could force traders betting on a decline to buy back bitcoin to close their positions. These forced purchases could accelerate the rebound towards 100000 dollars.
Conversely, the absence of new flows into ETFs and persistent inflation would limit this potential. Investors will therefore watch the next Fed decisions, energy prices, and institutional inflows.
The forecasts of Bitwise and LO are not certainties. They describe two trajectories that depend primarily on the macroeconomic context. Before aiming for 100000 dollars, bitcoin must first retake 90000 dollars and maintain this level despite rate pressure.
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Luc Jose A.
Diplômé de Sciences Po Toulouse et titulaire d'une certification consultant blockchain délivrée par Alyra, j'ai rejoint l'aventure Cointribune en 2019. Convaincu du potentiel de la blockchain pour transformer de nombreux secteurs de l'économie, j'ai pris l'engagement de sensibiliser et d'informer le grand public sur cet écosystème en constante évolution. Mon objectif est de permettre à chacun de mieux comprendre la blockchain et de saisir les opportunités qu'elle offre. Je m'efforce chaque jour de fournir une analyse objective de l'actualité, de décrypter les tendances du marché, de relayer les dernières innovations technologiques et de mettre en perspective les enjeux économiques et sociétaux de cette révolution en marche.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
Strive has expanded its Bitcoin reserves, securing 4,045 BTC worth about $335 million last week as the leading cryptocurrency traded just below $81,000. The latest move brings Strive’s total Bitcoin purchases over the last two months to 15,462 BTC, valued at $1.27 billion.
Broader accumulation continues despite price uncertaintyBlockchain analytics firm Lookonchain reported that Strive acquired 4,045 BTC at an average price of $82,803 during the most recent week. Over the previous two months, Strive bought 15,462 BTC at a cumulative average of $82,417 per coin.
The company’s ongoing accumulation comes as the Bitcoin market faces significant uncertainty. Market watchers have noted that while corporate purchases like this can signal institutional confidence in using Bitcoin as a treasury asset, they do not necessarily lead to immediate price gains. Factors such as liquidity shifts, broader investor sentiment, and activity in both spot and derivatives markets also continue to influence Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory.
Strive, an investment management firm, has become increasingly active in the digital asset sector, drawing attention for its sizable and steady Bitcoin acquisitions.
Mini dictionary: Lookonchain, a blockchain analytics and monitoring platform, tracks and analyzes flows of digital assets across major chains, providing real-time insights and transparency for institutional and retail investors.
Traders are closely watching whether Bitcoin can maintain support at $80,400 or recover above $82,500 to signal renewed strength.
Technical structure and price levels in focusAt present, Bitcoin is trading near $81,000. Technical analysis by Bitcoin Meraklisi, a widely followed cryptocurrency analyst, highlights a critical support level at $80,400 and resistance at $82,500. If Bitcoin’s price drops below the $80,400 threshold, the next downside target becomes $78,500. Conversely, a move above $82,500 could create space for upward momentum, with $84,400 regarded as the level where the current bearish price pattern would no longer hold.
The 2618 pattern, based on Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, remains valid according to the analyst, with $80,400 already tested as an initial support. Traders are waiting for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown to determine Bitcoin’s near-term direction.
LevelSignificance$80,400Key support$82,500Immediate resistance$84,400Bearish pattern invalidation$78,500Next downside targetDespite Strive’s aggressive buying, there is no clear indication that these corporate purchases provide a floor for Bitcoin’s price. Analysts caution that the current costs and strategies of large-scale buyers like Strive are only one factor in a complex market structure.
“The costs associated with institutional accumulation may not translate directly into price stability or new support levels, as market direction is influenced by several intertwined factors.”
Short-term outlook and market dynamicsStrive’s acquisitions illustrate the interest among institutions to build Bitcoin positions, even while prices remain volatile and technical signals appear mixed. Whether this trend continues among other investment managers is yet to be determined, as comprehensive data on industry-wide institutional inflows remains limited.
Traders are focused on watching daily closing prices, key technical levels, and any shifts in volumes or on-chain flows, which could provide further clues to market sentiment and trend durability.
The next decisive movement in Bitcoin’s price will likely provide stronger signals about whether current support holds or a new leg down is forthcoming. Both bulls and bears are closely tracking the $80,400 and $82,500 marks for actionable signs.
As institutional accumulation continues and technical volatility persists, Bitcoin’s market direction remains highly dynamic heading into the new week.
Bitcoin’s climb toward the $90,000 mark has drawn renewed attention as diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran appear to enter a critical phase. On Monday, Bitcoin traded near $82,000, while market participants monitored ongoing negotiations that could impact global risk sentiment and energy markets.
US-Iran negotiations enter critical weekOfficials from the US and Iran are engaged in high-stakes talks mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, with sources cited by Al-Araby Al-Jadeed anticipating possible progress in the coming days. However, neither government has set a clear timetable or confirmed a peace agreement.
The negotiations follow months of heightened tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic maritime passage for oil and gas exports. Both countries are seeking mutual concessions, yet major sticking points remain, particularly regarding Iran’s nuclear activities and US sanctions policies.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi reiterated Tehran’s offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the US meets specific conditions, including lifting sanctions on oil trade, ending port blockades, and addressing regional conflicts. According to Reuters, Araghchi indicated the waterway could reopen within seven days upon agreement.
US Vice President JD Vance has urged Tehran to reduce uranium enrichment activities, but Iranian officials have rejected concessions on this front, signaling no imminent breakthrough. Maritime security remains a top concern for Iran, while Washington prioritizes curbing Iran’s nuclear program.
The Strait of Hormuz is vital for global energy markets, handling a fifth of worldwide oil and liquefied natural gas trade before recent disruptions.
Mini dictionary: Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway between Oman and Iran, represents the world’s most critical oil chokepoint, with a significant portion of global crude and natural gas passing through its waters.
Oil prices, shipping volumes and geopolitical risksEnergy markets have responded to the shifting geopolitical landscape, with Brent crude falling to $108 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate sliding to $101 per barrel. Data from research firm Kpler show Gulf oil exports dropped from over 20 million barrels per day to 8.5 million, reflecting shipment disruptions and ongoing sanctions policies.
CommodityPrevious PriceCurrent Price (Oct 19)Shipping VolumeBrent CrudeN/A$108/barrel–US WTIN/A$101/barrel–Gulf Oil Exports>20M barrels/day8.5M barrels/dayDecreasedMounting risks around the Strait and isolated incidents involving commercial tankers have heightened caution among traders. These factors, alongside the global stance on Russian oil sanctions, continue to impact energy prices.
A potential de-escalation between the US and Iran could help stabilize shipping and reduce energy costs, which may further act to ease inflationary pressures. However, analysts caution that lower oil prices do not necessarily drive cryptocurrency values higher.
Bitcoin price outlook and institutional sentimentBitcoin recently rebounded to about $82,000 but remains below the target zone of $82,500 to $90,000, requiring a move upward of nearly 9.1%. Optimism surrounding the US-Iran talks has increased risk appetite in some quarters, yet analysts highlight that a sustained rally will also depend on broader market factors.
Expectations for interest rates, inflation trajectories, and institutional inflows continue to play a decisive role in Bitcoin’s price. Progress in ceasefire negotiations alone is not considered enough to guarantee an upward trend for the cryptocurrency.
Positive developments in US-Iran war talks may boost risk-taking sentiment, but Bitcoin will still require demand for reaching such levels.
US midterms and Bitcoin’s historical trendsAs the US approaches the November 3 midterm elections, traders are increasingly attentive to moves in energy markets and foreign policy, though policymakers have made no commitments regarding a prospective US-Iran deal before election day.
Crypto analyst Ali Charts reviewed Bitcoin’s returns one month after the last four US midterm elections. Bitcoin posted 30.91% gains after the 2010 vote and 6.61% in 2014, while experiencing losses of 47.13% and 18.15% following the 2018 and 2022 elections respectively.
Year1-Month Return After Election2010+30.91%2014+6.61%2018-47.13%2022-18.15%Analysts emphasize there is no consistent electoral pattern for Bitcoin’s performance, citing changing economic factors and investor behaviors across election cycles. While historical data offers perspective, it should not be used to forecast future market moves.
Institutional predictions and market cautionMichael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, projected Bitcoin would surpass $100,000, attributing his view to ongoing institutional interest. He made this statement in an October 13 interview with Bloomberg.
The upside to $82,500-$90,000 needs around a 9.1% rise. However, ceasefire talk cannot initiate an upward trend on its own.
Despite these predictions, analysts stress the ongoing volatility and uncertainty in digital asset markets. Factors such as liquidity, macroeconomic news, and regulatory approaches continue to shape the landscape, making caution advisable for investors.
Two Bitcoin wallets dormant for more than 12 years moved about 417 BTC, worth $33.85 million, according to Lookonchain.
The movements brought Bitcoin held in the addresses for over a decade back into circulation between wallets. However, the available records do not say that anyone sold the coins or sent them to an exchange.
Two wallets account for the $33.85 million transfer
Arkham data show two main outgoing transfers. One address moved 248.854 BTC, valued at about $20.22 million, while the other transferred 167.84 BTC, worth around $13.63 million. Together, those transactions were 416.694 BTC.
The data also show earlier incoming transactions dating back roughly 12 and 13 years. For the larger wallet, the 248.854 BTC received was valued at about $88,460.
Moving Bitcoin does not confirm a sale
A crypto wallet transfer takes record of coins moving between addresses. But the transaction alone cannot tell why they moved or whether ownership changed.
In this case, the data does not identify the holders or show what they want to do. It also does not show exchange destination, which would suggest that the coins were being prepared for sale.
What can then be concluded defensibly is that two addresses associated with long-held Bitcoin saw huge outgoing transfers.
Bitcoin steadies near $82,000 after its pullback
Bitcoin traded around $82,152 at the time of this writing, following a retreat from recent highs near the $87,000 price area.
At the time of this writing, there were smaller price swings around the $81,000–$83,000 price level. This suggests that the decline had slowed down, but Bitcoin was yet to show a clear recovery sign.
Source: TradingView
The nearby area around $82,500 remained an initial hurdle, while the $80,000–$80,500 below it is an area to watch. If it is able to hold that lower area, it would help it preserve the recent stabilization it is seeing.
Final Summary
Lookonchain reported two long-dormant wallets moving about 417 BTC, worth $33.85 million.
Bitcoin traded near the $82,152 price level, but there was no link between its price performance and the transfers.
Super League stockholders have approved all proposals tied to Metaplanet‘s 2,100 BTC investment, clearing the way for the Nasdaq-listed company to be renamed Superplanet and become the Japanese firm’s U.S. Bitcoin treasury vehicle.
The proposals passed at Super League Enterprise, Inc.’s 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, held Friday and were disclosed Monday morning. The transaction itself was first announced in August.
Under the definitive agreement, Metaplanet, Inc. will contribute 2,100 Bitcoin and $2.5 million in cash through its wholly owned U.S. subsidiary, Metaplanet Holdings, Inc.
JUST IN: 🇯🇵 Japan's Metaplanet to buy Super League for 2,100 BTC and $2.5 million 👀
This will give the 2nd-largest corporate BTC holder a U.S. listed Bitcoin treasury platform! 🚀 pic.twitter.com/0gucAALjAX
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) October 19, 2026
In exchange, Metaplanet receives 44,859,400 shares of common stock at $3.00 per share, along with preferred stock and warrants.
At closing, Super League will be renamed “Superplanet, Inc.” and trade on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SUPA.” Its advertising and media activation business will continue as a distinct operating segment, and Matt Edelman will remain chief executive officer.
Among the measures stockholders approved were the issuance of common stock and warrants to Metaplanet and the corporate name change. The proposals also included an increase in authorized preferred shares from 10 million to 100 million, according to a summary of the meeting posted on X.
“Super League stockholders have voted to approve the proposed Metaplanet transaction, an important step in our transformation from a Bitcoin treasury company into a global Bitcoin-native financial platform,” Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich wrote on X.
“Upon close, Superplanet will be our U.S.-listed Bitcoin treasury platform, providing direct access to U.S. capital markets and greater flexibility to opportunistically raise capital.”
Edelman framed the vote similarly in the company’s announcement: “Their approval brings us one step closer to redefining what this company can become.”
Closing is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2026, subject to customary closing conditions, including required filings with the Nasdaq Capital Market. The shareholder approvals represent a required step but not the final one.
Super League said the arrangement is intended to establish conditions governing Metaplanet’s ability to dispose of its equity holdings following the transaction. The company did not provide details of exceptions to those restrictions in its announcement.
Metaplanet held 43,000 BTC as of August 18, describing itself as the third-largest corporate Bitcoin treasury among publicly traded companies. The combined structure is intended to give the group two listed Bitcoin treasury platforms — one on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, one on Nasdaq — each with its own investor base and reporting currency.
Super League connects brands with what it describes as a 3.3 billion-person global gaming population through advertising and branded content programs across gaming and digital media platforms. Metaplanet is a Tokyo-listed company building Bitcoin-based financial products and infrastructure.
Shares of Super League moved higher on the news.
Mathew Di Salvo
Mathew is a reporter who's covered the space since 2019, reporting on everything from Salvadoran president Nayib Bukele's Bitcoin bet to crypto exchange FTX's bankruptcy.
Money determines where we live, what we can afford, and how wealth accumulates across generations. Yet the mechanisms that create and distribute it remain largely occluded, even as their consequences become harder to unsee. For Dutch artist Carlijn Kingma, investigative financial journalist Thomas Bollen, and monetary researcher Martijn Jeroen van der Linden, that disconnect became the impetus for The Waterworks of Money. This ambitious project maps the hidden architecture of the financial system through drawing and animation, rendering it understandable to the people living within it without flattening its complexity.
The Waterworks of Money depicts the financial system as a vast network of reservoirs, channels, and pumps, revealing how money moves through banks, governments, businesses, and households. Some areas receive an abundance of liquidity, while others remain perpetually dry. The resulting drawing operates simultaneously as an artwork, an educational tool, and an examination of financial power.
The project emerged from two years of research, including interviews with more than 100 experts across banking, government, academia, and monetary reform movements. Kingma spent more than 2,200 hours translating that research into an intricate architectural landscape. Bollen, whose investigative journalism examines the workings of the financial system, and van der Linden, whose academic research explores money and monetary reform, helped develop the economic research and narratives behind the work.
One of the project’s scenarios explores a monetary future shaped by bitcoin. As bitcoin enters traditional finance, an alternative monetary system either challenges existing structures of financial power or eventually becomes part of them, and the project’s collaborators have watched both happen.
Ahead of Bitcoin Amsterdam, November 5-6, where Bollen joins two panels, I sat down with all three of the project’s collaborators to discuss making money visible, the relationship between monetary systems and inequality, and bitcoin’s place in Europe’s financial future.
BMAG: The Waterworks of Money illustrates the financial system as a network of reservoirs, pumps, and channels, with some parts of society receiving abundant liquidity while others remain dry. After two years of research and interviews with financial experts, what surprised you most about how money actually works? What do you think the public most fundamentally misunderstands about it?
Thomas Bollen: What surprised me most is that many people inside the system know a great deal about their own corner of it: interest rate derivatives, asset management or mortgage lending. Very few of them can oversee the larger system in which they operate.
What is clearly not well understood is that banks create new money when they make a loan. They are not just intermediaries that pass on the savings of their depositors.
But can you blame ordinary people for that? During the research phase we spoke to many bankers and even a CEO of a major bank who did not know they were working for a money creating institution.
If we want to improve understanding we should start at our schools and universities. Many textbooks still get it wrong, and economics education hardly pays any attention to it. In 2022 even the Riksbank’s prize in economics (the Nobel prize that is not really a Nobel prize) was awarded for research that presents banks as mere intermediaries.
BMAG: One of the central ideas in The Waterworks of Money is that money doesn’t flow evenly through society. Housing affordability has become a major issue in Europe and the United States, while asset prices and financial wealth have increasingly outpaced wages. How much of this inequality results from the design of our monetary system, rather than broader economic forces?
Thomas Bollen: It is impossible to capture that in a precise number, because so many factors play a role. But it is quite clear that the money system exacerbated inequality enormously during all those years when credit was extremely cheap.
Ray Dalio, founder of the hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, summed it up in 2019: “Money is free for those who are creditworthy.” For everyone without money or creditworthiness, it was out of reach.
Cheap credit for rich people and large multinationals (who used it for share buybacks and M&A deals) drove up the price of shares, and of houses. Bank money creation produced a specific kind of inflation: asset inflation. Wealthy households and large multinationals, who already owned those assets, profited far more from it than people without them or small businesses that did not have the same kind of access to cheap credit as their larger competitors.
The Waterworks of Money, Carlijn Kingma
BMAG: The Waterworks of Money is filled with details that help explain how the financial system works. What was the most difficult part of the monetary system to illustrate? Did anything you learned during the research change how you approached the drawing?
Carlijn Kingma: The biggest challenge was the way all the parts are connected. How do you show that clearly?
Water is the obvious metaphor for money, and it takes you a long way. Liquidity, cash flows, money drying up: they are already in the language of finance. It was also great for connecting the different parts of the system, because I could draw the pipes and canals that run between them.
But in some places you need more than that if you want to be completely accurate. Money comes in many forms: commodity money, public money, private credit money, and further out short-term debt and repo contracts can also serve as money or near-money. It was not possible to draw that many different kinds of water running through the system.
BMAG: The Waterworks of Money has been shown to both art audiences and people interested in economics, including at Bitcoin Amsterdam last year. Have you noticed differences in how these audiences respond to the work? Has their feedback influenced how you think about the role of art in explaining complex ideas?
Carlijn Kingma: The response depends on what people already know. Visitors with more financial knowledge usually laugh more, because they catch all the small jokes. We renamed Basel III to “Babel III”, for instance, because the bank rules written after the crisis add up to about three bibles.
In our bitcoin future scenario, The Republic of a Thousand Coins, we put in a lot of jokes about central bankers. You can see Alan Greenspan there as an inflatable doll. That works best if you know who he is, and the bitcoin crowd knows far more about monetary history than the general public.
Above all, we noticed that art opens doors. The drawing gives people a visual starting point for a conversation. Even without any prior knowledge, the metaphor lets you see the social outcomes of how money flows.
BMAG: Your research has examined how financial crises can reinforce the influence of institutions considered too important to fail. More recently, you’ve explored the growing power of asset managers such as BlackRock and Vanguard. Are we witnessing a genuine transformation in how financial power operates, or have the same underlying problems simply taken new forms since 2008?
Martijn Jeroen van der Linden: Following the crisis of 2008, there was a general consensus among mainstream policymakers, think tanks and many economists that the banking sector needed to be repaired. In Europe, the influential de Larosière Group concluded that the causes of the crisis were excessive leverage, opaque securitisation, shadow banking risks, and fragmented supervision in the EU, and argued that “repair is necessary and urgent.” The banking repair consisted of new and stricter regulations, stronger coordinated supervision and new crisis management procedures. The underlying architecture remained unaltered, meaning that fundamental change never occurred.
But the architecture remained fragile. Take, for example, 2023. When Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse got into trouble, the crisis playbooks developed after 2008 stayed in the drawer. The US authorities guaranteed all SVB deposits, including the more than 90 percent above the insured limit. In Switzerland, the state backed the rescue of Credit Suisse by UBS.
Advocates of banking repair often claim to have made the system safer. But the inherent fragility of funding long-term loans with runnable bank deposits is still there. Even with all the regulation, you cannot prevent a bank run, and that fragility is precisely what they refuse to solve. The banking system only survives because of massive public safety nets and privileges given to banks.
Large powerful non-banks have indeed emerged but they do not play a pivotal role in money and payments. This is a key distinction between the two sectors.
BMAG: Bitcoin began as an attempt to create money outside the control of governments and banks. Today, it’s increasingly held through investment funds and traditional financial institutions, including some of the same powerful asset managers examined in your recent work. Does this integration strengthen bitcoin’s ability to change the financial system, or risk reproducing the concentration of power it originally sought to challenge?
Martijn Jeroen van der Linden: As a financial asset, bitcoin has benefited from investments from traditional financial institutions. But the increasing use of bitcoin as an investment has compromised its promise of an alternative payment system.
At the same time, bitcoin and the rise of stablecoins have challenged the banks on their payment infrastructure. The banks are now innovating too: look at Wero, the payment wallet that a group of European banks launched in 2024. That is a change. But it is something different from the structural reform of money and banking.
BMAG: Your project imagines bitcoin as an alternative to the existing monetary system. Amsterdam also has a remarkable history of monetary experimentation, from the development of modern financial institutions to David Chaum’s pioneering work on private digital cash decades before bitcoin. Given that history, how do you see bitcoin’s role in Europe’s financial future? Has your perspective changed since you began working on the project?
Thomas Bollen: What I appreciate about bitcoin’s design is that it resembles full reserve banking. A bitcoin is not a claim on something else, so it carries no risk of a bank run. Bank deposits are: they are a promise that you can withdraw your money at any moment, while the bank can never keep that promise to all its customers at once.
We can learn a lot from our history. The Amsterdamsche Wisselbank, founded in 1609 and often seen as the world’s first central bank, started out as a full reserve bank: every bank guilder was backed by coins in its vault. It went under only after it secretly began lending more and more to the Dutch East India Company.
That is the risk of every monetary experiment: it can go in the wrong direction. In the crypto world, all kinds of companies started copying the banks. They lent out their customers’ bitcoins, while those customers still saw their coin-balances in their accounts. Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX shows how this practice can go horribly wrong.
Detail: Republic of a Thousand Coins, Carlijn Kingma
Thomas Bollen will participate in two panel discussions at Bitcoin Amsterdam on November 6, 2026, on the Treasury Stage. Europe’s Monetary History & Future: Austrian Economics, Banks & Bitcoin (11:00–11:30 AM), alongside Rahim Taghizadegan and Willem Middelkoop, and Staat vs. de Markt: Hoeveel Overheid Hebben We Nodig in Geld? (1:55–2:25 PM), alongside Paul Buitink and Simon Lelieveldt.
Watch the full two-part animated exploration of The Waterworks of Money on YouTube and support the project by purchasing a signed, limited-edition print by Carlijn Kingma or making a donation toward its continued research at waterworksofmoney.com/buy.
The Bitcoin Museum & Art Gallery (BMAG) organizes international exhibitions, auctions, and artist collaborations exploring bitcoin and its cultural implications. Learn more at museum.b.tc.
Join us at Bitcoin Amsterdam, November 5–6, 2026. Get your tickets here and use code BA26-BMAG20 for discounted admission.
In his latest X post, Michael Saylor has announced another Bitcoin purchase.
For context, in Q3, Strategy bought 1,666 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 847k BTC. That said, it is worth noting that the purchases were relatively modest compared to Strategy’s large-scale accumulation campaigns in early 2024.
Nevertheless, Strategy (MSTR) does not seem to be cooling down since it bought another 250 BTC between the 5th and 11th of October, taking its total holdings to 848,250 BTC.
In this light, Saylor’s latest post indicates that the biggest Bitcoin DAT is building on this momentum, signaling continued conviction in BTC.
Source: X However, it is the timing of this move that makes it particularly interesting.
Strive has also been ramping up its BTC accumulation in October. The company acquired 3,311 BTC between the 5th and 9th of October, and then 2,822 BTC, raising its share to 35,595 BTC.
Together with Strategy’s latest purchase, this may indicate that institutional appetite for Bitcoin [BTC] is growing across the board, rather than coming from a single company.
So, what exactly is smart money betting on?
Is this just “buying the fear,” or is some of the institutional money realizing something that the rest of the market has yet to realize
Notably, key on-chain signals suggest this accumulation trend could have more to it than meets the eye.
Bitcoin’s relative strength puts a Q4 recovery on the radar Saylor’s latest signal is in harmony with several positive on-chain developments.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s consolidation around $80k comes as the crypto market’s RSI is in a weak zone. This is a bearish sign, suggesting that selling pressure is dominating the market, so long-term investors can take advantage of the weakness and buy BTC at a discount.
Notably, a similar scenario has been observed before, which led to accumulation periods.
According to AMBCrypto, this is where the chart below begins to show how quickly market sentiment is turning. The stock market Fear & Greed Index fell from 46 to 18, and now moves into extreme fear. The Nasdaq sentiment score also declined from 77 to 53, falling from extreme greed to neutral.
Both are near 30-day lows, suggesting that risk appetite for U.S. equities has turned sharply lower.
Source: X Meanwhile, BTC/Silver is bouncing off a multiyear support trendline. The last two times the pair bounced from this level, it rallied over 1,200% in 2021-22 and 412% in 2024-25. Since the ratio follows Bitcoin’s performance against Silver, this could be an early sign of BTC regaining strength against the metal.
What makes this setup interesting is the broader market backdrop. The US equity space is cooling off, crypto RSI is weak, and if Bitcoin can hold, it could very well benefit from its relative strength as investors readjust their exposure. With the midterm elections approaching, this could help Bitcoin serve as a macro hedge.
Against this backdrop, Saylor’s latest BTC buy signal could be a move to get ahead of a potential wave of institutional buying in Q4.
Final Summary Strategy and Strive continue buying Bitcoin despite market uncertainty.
Bitcoin’s strength against silver could signal a potential Q4 recovery.
XRP and Bitcoin Price trends reflected improving sentiment as traders awaited the Federal Reserve’s October 27–28 interest rate meeting.
Bitcoin traded near $81,700, while XRP remained above $1.30 as the overall cryptocurrency market recovered.
The overall market capitalization of cryptocurrencies increased 1.07% in 24 hours to reach 2.73 trillion during a wider relief rally.
FedWatch Puts October Rate Hold Probability at 82.8% CME FedWatch shows that traders prefer the Federal Reserve interest rates to remain at the same level during the October 28, 2026, meeting. The chart gives a probability of 82.8% to remain in the existing target range of 3.75% to 4.00.
fedwatch In the meantime, there is a 17.2% chance of an increase in the rates and a zero chance of a decrease. The target range would be increased to a quarter-percentage-point between 4.00% and 4.25%, which is an increase.
FedWatch computes these probabilities based on the prices of federal funds futures contracts, which are an expectation of the monetary policy by traders. The numbers reflect market anticipations and do not affirm the decision of the Federal Reserve.
Bitcoin Whales Add 88,987 BTC as Holdings Hit Six-Month High Bitcoin wallets with 10-10,000 BTC have added about 88, 987 coins within the last month, according to Santiment. Their combined holdings surpassed 13.69 million BTC, reaching the highest level since April.
Santiment data September 19 accumulation is an indication that there is increasing exposure of major holders even though the prices are volatile. Further accretion would help sustain confidence in cryptocurrency markets, but growing whale balances will not give any assurance of a Bitcoin price recovery.
Bitcoin and XRP Price Prediction: Key Levels and Targets to Watch The daily chart of Long-term BTC projection indicates the first level of resistance at $82,000, and a successful breakout would attract attention to $85,000. Additional gains may aim at the peak of September at $87,395 should renewed purchasing momentum be enhanced. Support is at $80,600, and a long run failure would push the focus to $79,000.
Source: TradingView XRP price must defend $1.29 to limit further losses after its recent decline. Any fall below that floor will open up $1.256 as the next lower point. The initial resistance to recovery attempts is at $1.35, $1.40, and $1.50.
Recapturing such obstacles would enhance the prospects of XRP but its daily RSI of about 37 remains an indication of poor momentum. The two assets require increased buying power in order to maintain gains beyond their short-term resistance levels.
XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum Funds Record Net Outflow As per the data provided by SoSoValue, XRP spot ETFs experienced net outflows of $2.47 million on October 16. Canary XRPC explained the withdrawals and total assets in the XRP funds were at 1.47 billion.
Source: Sosovalue data Bitcoin spot ETFs have registered net withdrawals of $229 million between October 1216, with the BlackRock IBIT registering 165 million. Ether funds showed greater withdrawals with the net outflows amounting to 320 million during the same reporting period.
The numbers represented the third week of outflows of Ethereum ETFs, continuing the trend of withdrawals. Combined, both Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs had $549 million withdraw their money over the five trading days.
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates, Oct. 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Pepeto has officially announced that its AI DeFi tools are ready, topping crypto news feeds this week, and the total raised has passed $11.2 million. Buyers walk in every day, and plenty of them walk in heavy. When money this experienced keeps choosing one new crypto, the market asks the only question that matters: what have these wallets understood ahead of everyone?
The market behind them is flashing the signal every trader waits for: a bull run setting up, with Bitcoin back above $82,000 and Michael Saylor expects Bitcoin price prediction to reach $1.000.000.
Bull runs carry a famous habit, meme coins surge hardest inside them, exactly the way Dogecoin did. Every trader remembers watching Dogecoin sit at $0.002 and doing nothing while $1,000 turned into $365,000.
Crypto News: Pepeto Announces Its AI DeFi Tools as Whale Moves Supports the $1M Bitcoin Price Prediction Target
Pepeto announced its AI DeFi tools this week, and what makes it a must watch is simple: it is a presale meme coin, the kind of crypto that explodes hardest in a bull run. And that bull run is getting closer, because the Bitcoin price prediction keeps turning more bullish by the week. Michael Saylor now says Bitcoin can reach $1,000,000 per coin, and that it is only a matter of time (Source: Forbes). Here is why: People around the world keep about $40 trillion in gold and bonds to protect their savings. Bitcoin does the same job, but so far it holds only 4% of that money. If just half of it moves into Bitcoin over the next ten years, that is $20 trillion going into only 21 million coins, and $20 trillion divided by 21 million comes out close to $1,000,000 per coin (source: Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan explains - CoinDesk).
But what about the whales, the wallets big enough to move the market? Are their moves supporting this prediction? Yes. Since late July, new buyers have quietly collected around 570,000 BTC at an average cost near $75,000, right through ETF selling and every dip, per Bitfinex data reported by Yahoo Finance on October 18, and another 888 BTC left Kraken the same day. That is why a drop under $80,000 healed overnight to $81,700: the whales push the price down to scare retail into selling, then buy those coins cheap, and the fear on every screen is the discount they created for themselves.
But their favorite move is a quieter one. Even if Bitcoin reaches $1,000,000 from $82,000, that is only a 12x over years of waiting, because the bigger a coin already is, the smaller its next jump can be. So whales take part of their profits and move them into new coins that can do 30x on listing day alone. That is exactly why they buy presales.
Pepeto Revives the 2020 Dogecoin Energy With Innovative AI DeFi Tools
Right now, the presale getting the most attention is the one that just announced its DeFi tools, and those tools bring real innovation: Pepeto. The proof that smart money and whales are choosing it is in the numbers. 43,000 holders are already inside, $11.2 million has been raised, and each stage sells out faster than the last while the price steps up every round. Money does not move like that by accident. What they are buying is easy to see: trading that costs nothing on Ethereum, the busiest and most expensive chain in crypto, built by a developer trained at Binance and audited by SolidProof. That is why the people inside treat a 30x at listing as the starting point, not the dream, and why Pepeto sits at the top of every crypto presale watchlist for October 2026.
Then the hype, and anyone who saw Dogecoin back in 2020 knows it. The memes spread by themselves, the name pops up in every feed without a dollar of ads, and every watcher gets the same choice as 2020. The people who made that choice and bought Dogecoin at $0.002 in March 2020 turned $1,000 in, $365,000 out, fourteen months. That is what one early decision was worth.
And the loudest card makes perfect sense. Elon Musk powered a huge piece of Dogecoin's run, and today he is the king of AI itself, which is exactly why the whisper tying him to Pepeto keeps growing. Pepeto is precisely the kind of innovation he celebrates, advanced AI runs its tools, the Exchange, the cross-chain bridge and the advanced token security scanner. Whale wallets inside are sized like they already know, and new buyers multiply every week. Like the Bitcoin price prediction target of $1M, Pepeto's breakout reads as a matter of time.
Conclusion
Pepeto announced its tools into a market set to explode soon, with Bitcoin price prediction targeting $1,000,000. The pattern after every shakeout is identical, capital rushes first into viral tokens with real products, and in 2026, all signs lead to Pepeto as the next Dogecoin.
The whales are buying it now, and they rarely move without information. Perhaps it concerns Musk, perhaps the listing date. Either way, following their moves early has minted fortunes in every cycle.
For more information about Pepeto (PEPETO): Website: Official Pepeto Website
Disclaimer: The information provided in this press release is not a solicitation for investment, nor is it intended as investment advice, financial advice, or trading advice. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of capital. It is strongly recommended you practice due diligence, including consultation with a professional financial advisor, before investing in or trading cryptocurrency and securities. Neither the media platform nor the publisher shall be held responsible for any fraudulent activities, misrepresentations, or financial losses arising from the content of this press release.
Bitcoin started the new week with a recovery, pushing the price above $82,000. However, despite the recovery, uncertainty for BTC persists, while treasury companies continued their purchases this week as well.
Firstly, Strategy, the world’s largest publicly traded Bitcoin holder, also made purchases this week.
According to a statement by Strategy founder Michael Saylor, Strategy purchased an additional 267 Bitcoin. This brings the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to 848,517 BTC. The company also repurchased STRC preferred shares worth $193 million.
Saylor noted that Strategy also holds $5.3 billion in assets, adding that the company’s dollar-denominated assets could cover current preferred stock dividends and interest payments for approximately 3.4 years.
“Strategy purchased 267 BTC and repurchased STRC worth $193 million. As of October 18, 2026, we hold 848,517 BTC and $5.3 billion USD in assets.”
Besides Strategy, Strive also purchased an additional 1,223 Bitcoin last week. Strive CEO Matt Cole announced in a post on his X account that they bought 1,223 BTC last week at an average price of $81,734. With this purchase, Strive’s total Bitcoin holdings increased to 36,818 BTC.
Ethereum Purchases Continue! Bitmine, the world’s largest holder of Ethereum, also announced last week that it purchased an additional 12,535 ETH, bringing its total holdings to 6,041,481 ETH. According to the announcement, this represents 4.9% of the total circulating ETH supply.
The official statement indicated that Bitmine’s total assets, including cryptocurrency, cash, marketable securities, and strategic investment assets, amount to $15.1 billion.
This figure includes 6.04 million ETH, 215 Bitcoin, $582 million in cash and marketable securities, $180 million worth of Beast Industries shares, and $74 million worth of Eightco Holdings shares.
Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee stated, “We believe Bitmine will outperform the crypto bull market we anticipate, given that it strengthened its competitive position last year amidst the crypto winter (bear market). We acquired 12,535 ETH last week. Bitmine’s consistent success in purchasing cryptocurrencies is unparalleled by any publicly traded company in the world. Bitmine has purchased ETH every week since the launch of its ETH Treasury Strategy on June 30, 2025.”
Solana Procurement Announced Too! Last week, Nasdaq-listed company DeFi Development Corp. announced it had purchased an additional 3,983 Solana, bringing its total SOL holdings to 2.59 million. The company also stated that it generated additional SOL and commission revenue by using its SOL holdings for staking and operating its own validator.
This acquisition comes just two days before the rollout of Alpenglow, a significant upgrade to Solana’s consensus protocol. CEO Joseph Onorati stated, “We believe Solana is entering a significant new growth cycle as Alpenglow enhances the network’s capabilities and expands the role of tokenization in global finance. We will also be increasing the annual dividend of our variable-rate Series C perpetual preferred stock, ‘CHAD,’ to 14%. This strengthens our income offering at a time when we believe there could be a major bull market for SOL. Our aim is to make CHAD more attractive to income investors while also expanding our SOL accumulation capacity for common shareholders.”
*This is not investment advice.
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Bitcoin recovered above $83,000 on Monday, October 19, as technology futures snapped a weeklong decline. The rebound eased fears of a repeat of the October 19, 1987, stock market crash, although persistent fund outflows and macroeconomic concerns continued to weigh on sentiment.
Bitcoin climbed from an overnight low near $80,700 to briefly exceed $83,000 before currently trading around $82,000.
The recovery followed last week’s higher-than-expected U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) readings. Bitcoin fell from above $84,000 to just below $80,000 last week as investors reassessed inflation and interest-rate risks.
Solana also recovered, rising more than 4% from approximately $100.50 on Sunday night to $105 on Monday morning as risk appetite improved.
Strategy and Strive Continue Accumulating Bitcoin Corporate treasury purchases continued despite market weakness. Michael Saylor’s Strategy acquired a modest 267 $BTC, bringing its holdings to 848,517 $BTC. The company also repurchased another $193 million of its $STRC preferred stock and increased its repurchase program from $2 billion to $3 billion.
$STRC fell to $97.72 during last week’s selloff, potentially encouraging further repurchases rather than new share issuance to fund Bitcoin purchases.
Meanwhile, Matt Cole’s Strive added 1,223 $BTC, increasing its holdings to 36,818 $BTC. The company expects another $600 million in purchasing capacity when proceeds from its $SATA preferred stock offering reach its bank account later this week.
Separately, Metaplanet moved closer to expanding into U.S. capital markets after Super League shareholders approved its proposed takeover. At closing, Metaplanet plans to contribute 2,100 $BTC from its 44,000 $BTC holdings and $2.5 million for approximately 93.7% ownership. The combined company plans to rebrand as Superplanet ($SUPA), a U.S.-listed Bitcoin treasury platform, with shares locked up for 5 years.
Saylor Blames Macro Pressures as ETF Outflows Continue Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor attributed Bitcoin’s weakness to restrictive trade policies, rising yields, and artificial intelligence spending. Speaking at ParaFi Capital’s Investor Day, he argued that Bitcoin suffers more than equities during risk-off shocks because it represents “pure capital.”
Saylor cited repeated trade war declarations against Canada, rising yield curves, and an estimated $1 trillion AI investment buildout competing for investor capital. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has also warned that government deficits and technology demand compete for limited capital. Despite these pressures, Saylor maintained that Bitcoin was returning to a bull market.
Fund flows tell a more cautious story. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $681 million in net outflows for the week ended October 9 and another $228.6 million for the week ended October 16. Solana ETFs lost $24.81 million and $25.52 million over the same respective weeks.
CoinShares research head James Butterfill described last week’s decline as “a reminder of how sensitive Bitcoin remains to monetary policy over short horizons.”
According to CoinGlass, liquidations reached $327.08 million over 24 hours, affecting 93,756 traders. The largest recorded order involved an $11.81 million ETHUSDT position on Binance.
Can Bitcoin Still Deliver a November Rally? November has historically been Bitcoin’s strongest month, with average returns exceeding 40%. However, the upcoming U.S. midterm elections could increase volatility, while Bitcoin’s 4-week range around $80,000 and rising leverage leave the market vulnerable to sudden liquidations.
Bitcoin rallied more than 30% in November 2024 following the U.S. presidential election, as optimism surrounding President Donald Trump’s pro-crypto policies supported prices. November’s midterm elections could potentially trigger a repeat of 2024 as traders reassess the outlook for risk assets.
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Germany’s Sparkassen savings bank network launched cryptocurrency trading on Monday, allowing customers to buy Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Polygon. The service is being rolled out through DekaBank and will be launched slowly in the participating savings banks, albeit with restrictions on transfers to personal wallets.
Sparkassen Launches Five Cryptocurrencies Through Banking App Under certain conditions, the Sparkassen customers of DekaBank can trade five cryptocurrencies directly via the existing banking application. The offering is named “Krypto – powered by Deka,” and it enables trading in BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, and POL.
The service can be used in the investment part of the Sparkasse app without the need for a separate securities account. Each transaction costs €0.99, although additional costs arise from the difference between buying and selling prices.
The launch comes after a series of initiatives by German banks to bring on-board cryptocurrency trading to existing customer accounts. DekaBank has created the Sparkassen service, and DZ Bank has backed up a separate rollout amongst Germany’s cooperative banks.
DekaBank is custodian of cryptocurrencies on its own wallet infrastructure and participates in trading arrangements with Börse Stuttgart. Users will have the ability to see their cryptocurrency assets in addition to various other monetary products and services in the current application.
DekaBank Restricts Crypto Withdrawals to Approved Providers While it is possible to buy cryptocurrencies at Sparkassen, they cannot be transferred directly to private hardware wallets. DekaBank maintains the private keys, and only specific cryptocurrency service providers are allowed to make transfers.
The agreement involves customers having to trust that DekaBank will keep their digital assets safe and handle their permitted withdrawals. However, the restrictions do not prevent users from selling their cryptocurrencies through the banking application.
The service is aimed at adult customers who make it on their own, and Sparkassen will not give investment advice on cryptocurrencies. DekaBank also cautions investors that the value of digital assets could be volatile with a potential loss of investment.
The custody is part of a broader trend across German financial institutions, including Deutsche Bank’s cryptocurrency custody plans. These services are regulated under EU laws, such as the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation.
Sparkassen Plans Wider Crypto Trading Rollout Into 2027 More than 230 Sparkassen institutions have expressed interest in introducing cryptocurrency trading, according to German banking representatives. Each savings bank, however, will determine on its own if and when it will provide the service.
Around 30 to 40 institutions can join monthly, said Joachim Schmalzl, an executive board member of the German Savings Banks Association. The group is targeting the first half of 2027 for the largest number of interested banks to be connected.
The first phase is limited to the participating institutions and not nationwide through Germany’s savings banking network. Before opening a cryptocurrency account, customers should therefore inquire whether their local Sparkasse has switched on the service.
The expansion comes after the banking group’s earlier stance on digital assets. Sparkassen had previously been against the retail trading of cryptocurrencies due to concerns about price volatility and losses by investors.
The group is still pushing traditional securities and savings products as a way to build up long-term wealth, even with the introduction of cryptocurrency trading.
A new hard-fork of bitcoin called eCash is expected to go live by the end of the month, providing new features and modernizing a blockchain that has seen only sporadic changes since its inception nearly 20 years ago. In a note, analysts with CoinDesk say that eCash (ECX) will activate seven new sidechains for users that opt in.
"eCash brings an app platform to Bitcoin, with seven sidechains going live at mainnet launch, from payments and privacy to prediction markets, identity and tokens," says CoinDesk. The fork will take place at block 973,728, says CoinDesk, crediting users with eCash tokens on a 1:1 basis with whatever bitcoin they hold. Bitcoin is up 1.2% to $81,878. ([email protected])
A crypto whale staked 139,000 HYPE tokens, incurring a loss of $2.02 million over the past 30 days.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a crypto whale staked HYPE worth $10.95 million and incurred a $2.02 million loss over the past 30 days. The whale staked 139,050 HYPE (valued at $10.95 million) and delegated the assets to Infinitefield.xyz. The wallet also holds a 10x leveraged long position worth $202,250 involving CXMT, SKHX, and LYTE, with an unrealized loss of $36,540. The wallet’s total profit from perpetual contracts stands at $7.22 million, but it has suffered an overall $2.02 million loss in the past 30 days.
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Aster launches pre-market trading on PAPER, with up to 3x leverage.
According to official announcements, Aster has launched pre-launch contract trading for PAPER (papertrade.xyz), supporting a maximum leverage of 3x.
34 minutes ago
Mastercard launches stablecoin risk intelligence service for institutions.
Mastercard announced at the Money20/20 USA conference this Monday the official launch of its "Stablecoin Security" risk intelligence service. The service enables financial institutions to comprehensively evaluate risks of stablecoin payments before funds are recorded on-chain. Via an API interface, Mastercard will supply banks with risk scores for seamless integration into their existing fraud prevention and compliance systems. According to Mastercard, the service tracks fund sources throughout the entire lifecycle of stablecoin payments, screens for links to financial crime risks including fraud, scams, and sanctions violations, and conducts in-depth analysis of transaction context before delivering risk scores. Citing a Bank for International Settlements (BIS) study, Mastercard noted that among 593 million stablecoin transfer events observed in 2025, nearly 60% took place in complex multi-step transactions rather than simple peer-to-peer payments, underscoring the necessity of pre-transaction security assessments. Ann Johnson, Executive Vice President of Mastercard Security Solutions, stated: "Stablecoins are creating new possibilities for value exchange, but financial institutions need the right intelligence and controls to participate with confidence."
34 minutes ago
I appreciate you sharing this Lookonchain weekly report, but I need clarification on what you'd like me to do.
You mentioned at the start that I should write headlines for Lookonchain tweets (max 120 characters, keeping tickers/amounts/names, no quotes/hashtags/periods).
However, what you've pasted appears to be the beginning of a weekly report summary, not a tweet. Could you provide:
1. The specific tweet
Oct 12–Oct 18, 2026 #LookonchainWeeklyReport
?? Overview
Stablecoin supply fell by $1.65B last week, DEX spot volume rebounded and perp volume edged up, while public companies added 7,721 BTC.
?? Stablecoin Market
The total stablecoin market cap decreased by $1.65B.
?? Spot &
34 minutes ago
Bitcoin ETFs see $94.94M outflow, Ethereum ETFs down $87.51M in 24 hours
Former 5th-largest SOL treasury company radically shifts strategy to liquidate all its SOL holdings, having reaffirmed its 'SOL treasury strategy' just one month ago.
SkyAI, formerly Sharps Technology, has recently undergone a radical strategic shift. The company has liquidated all its Solana (SOL) reserves to fund its stock and warrant repurchase program, dropping from being the fifth-largest Solana treasury holder to zero SOL holdings. According to a Monday statement, as of October 16, SkyAI held roughly $223.8 million in cash and has "completed the sale of all SOL".
Under the repurchase plan, SkyAI proposed to buy back 95% of its outstanding shares at $3 per share or per warrant. If fully subscribed, the company would retain approximately $22.5 million before related expenses. Additionally, since it no longer holds SOL, SkyAI has scrapped the original repurchase condition requiring SOL’s price to stay above $100.
The liquidation was swift and abrupt: as recently as September 14, SkyAI reaffirmed its Solana treasury strategy, claiming to hold over 2 million SOL. But an October 11 repurchase announcement disclosed it had sold ~1 million SOL, and subsequent SEC filings showed its remaining balance was only around 600,000 SOL. This rapid sell-off has drawn strong pushback from Bastion Trading, a major shareholder holding nearly 10% of SkyAI’s shares. Bastion has called for an independent review and explicitly said it will not participate in the repurchase under current terms, demanding the repurchase price be raised to $3.5 per share, restrictions on insiders, and exclusion of strategic advisors’ warrants from the repurchase.
Despite liquidating its crypto assets, SkyAI still describes its business as "building a financial platform combining Solana-based stablecoin tracks with AI". However, Monday’s announcement did not clarify if the company plans to rebuild its SOL treasury, nor provide updates on the platform. SkyAI only stated it intends to maintain its Nasdaq listing status after the repurchase is completed. As of the latest trading day, SkyAI (SKYA) shares rose 4.5% to $2.77, with a year-to-date gain of 35%.
MARA-linked wallets deposited 1,000 BTC worth $82.8 million into Binance and Gate over five days.
The transfers equal roughly 2.8% of MARA’s 35,577 BTC holdings reported in late June.
Exchange deposits do not confirm selling, although MARA previously sold 23,093 BTC for $1.63 billion.
Bitcoin faces resistance at $82,500, while analyst Minga identifies $79,700 as a potential downside target.
MARA Holdings has transferred 1,000 BTC worth approximately $82.8 million to Binance and Gate over five days, according to Lookonchain.
The transfers have raised questions about whether the publicly listed Bitcoin miner is preparing to sell more of its reserves. However, exchange deposits alone do not confirm that a sale has occurred.
Bitcoin is up 1.54% over 24 hours but down 1.37% over seven days, according to CoinGecko. Meanwhile, market analyst Minga identified $82,500 as a key resistance level that could determine Bitcoin’s next short-term move.
MARA Bitcoin Transfers Raise Questions About Potential Selling
Lookonchain reported that wallets linked to MARA Holdings deposited 1,000 BTC into Binance and Gate over five days. The transfers represented approximately 2.8% of the company’s 35,577 BTC holdings reported in late June.
Transaction tracking showed repeated outflows, with individual batches ranging from approximately 100 to 500 BTC. At current reported valuations, these movements represent a substantial amount of Bitcoin potentially entering exchange liquidity.
MARA has previously sold Bitcoin to support its financial strategy. Earlier in 2026, the company sold 23,093 BTC for $1.63 billion to reduce debt and finance its artificial intelligence expansion.
The company is also expanding into AI and high-performance computing, businesses that require substantial infrastructure investment. Bitcoin mining itself carries significant electricity, equipment, and operational expenses that can influence how miners manage their reserves.
However, the latest transfers do not establish MARA’s intentions. Bitcoin sent to an exchange could be sold, transferred between accounts, or used for other purposes. Confirmation of actual selling would require additional transaction or company disclosures.
If MARA does sell these holdings, the transactions could add to available exchange supply. Their effect on Bitcoin’s price would depend on market liquidity, buyer demand, and the scale of any completed sales.
Bitcoin Price Faces $82.5K Resistance as Traders Watch $79.7K
Bitcoin traded at $82,830.29, with $23.68 billion in 24-hour trading volume, according to CoinGecko. Despite its daily gain, BTC remained down 1.37% over the previous seven days.
BTC price on CoinGecko
Minga identified $82,500 as the key support-and-resistance level to watch. The analyst said Bitcoin needs to reclaim this level as support to strengthen the case for further upside.
If Bitcoin fails to hold above $82,500, Minga sees a possible move toward the current weekly low of $79,700. The analyst identified that area as a potential zone for long positions.
Conversely, a break above resistance followed by a failed attempt to maintain higher levels could create another short opportunity. Minga cautioned that BTC remained within a range, making risk-to-reward conditions less attractive for some trades.
Separately, Ali Charts examined Bitcoin’s historical performance after U.S. midterm elections. BTC gained 30.91% in 2010 and 6.61% in 2014, before falling 47.13% in 2018 and 18.15% in 2022.
BITCOIN POST U.S. MIDTERM ELECTIONS
Bitcoin’s performance in the month following U.S. midterm elections has been mixed:
Interestingly, the pattern shifted after 2014, with $BTC delivering negative returns… https://t.co/u7pxFLuxYH pic.twitter.com/mX2ATToNqR
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) October 18, 2026
The next U.S. midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026. These historical returns show differing outcomes rather than a reliable forecast for Bitcoin’s future performance.
For now, MARA’s exchange transfers and Bitcoin’s resistance test are separate developments that traders should monitor. The key questions are whether the transfers lead to confirmed selling and whether BTC can sustain a move above $82,500.
MARA Holdings appears to be selling Bitcoin (BTC) again as the market swings through October. Wallets linked to the miner sent 1,000 BTC to Binance and Gate over 5 days.
On-chain tracker Lookonchain flagged the deposits, the second large MARA transfer it has spotted this month.
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MARA Holdings Sends Bitcoin to Exchanges Again in October 2026 Lookonchain valued the latest deposits at about $82.8 million. The first transfer came on October 9, when Lookonchain flagged 996 BTC, worth about $81.13 million, moving from MARA to a Galaxy Digital address.
Neither transfer confirms a sale. On-chain data shows the coins arriving at Galaxy, Binance, and Gate, but not whether anyone sold them. Holders also move coins to exchanges and trading desks to post collateral or change custody.
MARA’s own filings show how much room it has to sell. The miner held 35,577 BTC at the end of June, according to its second-quarter letter to shareholders. That total included 9,270 BTC loaned out or pledged as collateral.
MARA sold 2,213 BTC that quarter at an average price of $73,078. It also said it expects to keep selling Bitcoin on an opportunistic basis.
The latest 1,000 BTC equals roughly 2.8% of those June holdings. Larger sales came earlier, when MARA offloaded 15,133 BTC in March to buy back convertible debt.
Heavy miner selling is not new. Public miners sold a record 32,000-plus BTC in the first quarter, BeInCrypto reported.
Large miner deposits have continued this month. On October 16, Lookonchain also flagged Hut 8 depositing 1,589 BTC, worth $130 million, across several exchanges over 2 days.
Bitcoin Catches a Lift as Oil CoolsThe new deposits hit exchanges as Bitcoin clawed back some ground on Monday. The cryptocurrency traded at $82,573 at press time, up 1.07% in 24 hours, BeInCrypto Markets data showed.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto MarketsThe gain lined up with a pullback in crude. Brent touched $110 on Friday for the first time since May. It then dropped over 2.2% to $107.95 a barrel at press time, while US crude dropped 2.07% to $99.2.
Equity futures also recovered from last week’s chip selloff. Nasdaq 100 contracts gained 1% earlier today. S&P 500 futures were also up 0.7%.
Still, Bitcoin is down 1.18% since October 1. It trades about 34.5% below its $126,080 all-time high from October 6, 2025. BeInCrypto flagged thin liquidity, weaker ETF demand, and war risk as October headwinds.
MARA’s third-quarter results should show how many of the deposited coins were sold.
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Nasdaq 100 futures climbed nearly 1% early Monday, challenging social media predictions that markets would open into a "Black Monday" crash.
Crypto analyst Sykodelic posted on X early Monday that Bitcoin’s daily chart shows a breakout and retest of its previous high and its 50 EMA, a moving-average trend line, and told jittery traders to relax.
The post lands as “Black Monday” crash calls circulate online while US stock futures point higher.
Bitcoin Chart Breakout Meets Black Monday Fears
In the October 19 post, Sykodelic wrote that “the timeline has been in the depths of despair” even as Bitcoin’s daily chart appeared to show “a breakout and retest of the previous high, and 50 EMA.”
The trader called the bearish mood “emotional and irrational” and added:
“There are definitely times to be cautious of price action. But at this time, with this move, this is not one of them.”
Ash Crypto struck a similar note around the same time:
“If people are calling for a Black Monday, it probably won’t happen.”
Markets rarely move the way everyone expects, the account added, pointing out that fear is a poor basis for decisions. Hours into the supposed crash, the Kobeissi Letter pointed to Nasdaq 100 futures up nearly 1% and an S&P 500 set to add $350 billion in market cap at the open. “This aged well,” it wrote.
Meanwhile, at the time of writing, Bitcoin was recovering toward $83,000 after also gaining 1% in 24 hours, although it was down by the same percentage across seven days, with its share of the total crypto market value at over 58% in a market worth about $2.83 trillion, per CoinGecko.
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BTC, ETH, AI Stock Perpetuals Suddenly Dump as ‘Black Monday’ Fears Surge
Ethereum, around $2,400, is down 4.6% since last Monday, and other large altcoins have fared worse, including XRP, which, at $1.31, has lost almost 7% in seven days, while Solana, near $106, has dropped by more than 5% in the last week. Monero stands out with an 11% gain in the same period.
Recent Losses Explain the Nervous Mood
Sykodelic’s optimism comes after a difficult week for crypto. As CryptoPotato reported yesterday, Bitcoin briefly fell from around $81,600 to $80,750 during a weekend flash crash before recovering, while ETH and AI-linked stock perpetuals also dropped and rebounded.
Inflation data had already weighed on prices, with September consumer inflation coming in slightly above expectations, and producer prices posted their largest monthly increase in more than four years. Bitcoin briefly slipped below $80,000, its first dip under that level in about a month, before recovering.
The Kobeissi Letter, in an October 15 analysis, described a “stealth” bear market beneath the S&P 500’s headline performance, claiming 84% of its constituents were at least 10% below their highs and that just 10 stocks accounted for 70% of the index’s gain since March 30.
Bitcoin mining offshoot loses Microsoft AI deal as power delay stretches into 2030s. (Winston Chen/Unsplash)Summary
Microsoft abandoned a planned Nscale AI data center in the U.K. after the local grid operator said sufficient power might not be available until the early-to-mid 2030s.The facility was expected to supply 50 megawatts of computing capacity to Microsoft’s Azure cloud by early 2027, using 23,040 Nvidia chips.The setback highlights the power and financing challenges facing bitcoin miners expanding into AI infrastructure, as U.K. data center grid-connection requests total about 73 gigawatts.Technology giant Microsoft MSFT walked away from a planned U.K. AI data center run by Nscale, a company spun out of bitcoin BTC$82,180.68 mining, after the local grid operator said it may not be able to power the site for a decade.
The site in Loughton, Essex, about 6 miles northeast of London, was meant to house 23,040 Nvidia chips and supply 50 megawatts of computing to Microsoft’s Azure cloud by early 2027, according to the Guardian, which followed initial reporting by the Financial Times. UK Power Networks, which runs the local grid, told Nscale there may not be enough capacity until the early-to-mid 2030s.
Nscale announced the project last year alongside Microsoft, Nvidia NVDA and OpenAI. When the Guardian visited in February, the site was still a working scaffolding yard. Nscale has since cleared the location and is looking at other ways to bring in power. It said its other Microsoft contracts remain in place.
Nscale grew out of Arkon Energy, which built sites for bitcoin mining. Its founder, Josh Payne, took that experience in locking down land and power and turned it into a business selling computing to AI companies. Much of the listed mining industry is now running that playbook.
When CoinDesk looked at the industry shift in March, public miners had announced more than $70 billion in AI and high-performance computing contracts. They had also cut their combined bitcoin holdings by more than 15,000 BTC from their peaks, partly by selling coins to pay for the buildout.
Mining was already getting squeezed then. The report put the average listed miner’s cash cost to produce one bitcoin near $80,000 in the fourth quarter of 2025, and bitcoin was trading around $70,000 by March.
AI contracts pay steadily for years, but the sites are far more expensive to build. Estimates suggest an AI-ready facility runs $8 million to $15 million per megawatt, compared with roughly $700,000 to $1 million for bitcoin mining, and AI customers expect the servers to stay up around the clock.
The money also takes time to show up. In its latest mining report, fund manager CoinShares counted more than 4 gigawatts of AI capacity under contract across the miners it tracks, with only about 550 megawatts actually billing customers. Contract backlogs topped $100 billion, while annualized AI revenue stood at just over $1 billion.
Unless Nscale finds its own power or gets the grid to move a lot faster, the site it just cleared could sit idle for years.
Mt. Gox has moved its creditor repayment deadline from Oct. 31, 2026, to Oct. 31, 2027, after receiving court approval.
Trustee Nobuaki Kobayashi said many creditors remain unpaid due to incomplete procedures or problems during processing.
Base, Early Lump-Sum and Intermediate Repayments are largely complete for creditors who met all requirements.
The notice did not share how many creditors are unpaid or how much Bitcoin is left to distribute.
Mt. Gox held more than 34,500 BTC in June 2026, after moving 10,422 BTC worth about $739 million.
Mt. Gox has moved its creditor repayment deadline back by one year. The new deadline is Oct. 31, 2027, after a court approved the change.
The deadline had been set for Oct. 31, 2026. The extension gives creditors more time to finish the steps needed to receive their funds.
The change was announced in an Oct. 16 notice from rehabilitation trustee Nobuaki Kobayashi. He said many creditors still have not been paid.
Why Mt. Gox Extended the Bitcoin Repayment Deadline
Kobayashi said some creditors have not completed the required procedures. Others finished the steps but ran into problems while their payments were being processed.
According to the trustee, Base Repayment, Early Lump-Sum Repayment and Intermediate Repayment are largely complete. This applies to creditors who submitted the right information and had no issues.
The court-approved extension gives the trustee 12 more months to keep making payments. Distributions will continue where repayment remains reasonably practicable.
The notice did not add a new repayment category. It also did not change the amounts creditors are entitled to receive.
The announcement did not give an updated count of unpaid creditors. It also did not say how much Bitcoin or other assets are left, or give a timetable for individual payments.
A Long History of Delays
The original repayment target was October 2023. Since then, the deadline has been pushed back several times.
In October 2024, the trustee moved the deadline to October 2025. In October 2025, it was moved again to Oct. 31, 2026. At that time, about 19,500 creditors had received payments.
Mt. Gox was a Tokyo-based exchange that once handled about 70% of global Bitcoin trading. It filed for bankruptcy in 2014 after losing about 850,000 BTC.
The exchange later entered civil rehabilitation. Repayments in Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash began in July 2024 through exchanges including Kraken and Bitstamp. Custodian BitGo also received Bitcoin as part of the process.
Kraken confirmed it received creditor funds on July 16, 2024. It then began crediting eligible users, some of whom had waited more than a decade.
Mt. Gox still held large Bitcoin reserves this year. On June 2, it moved 10,422 BTC worth about $739 million, according to blockchain data cited by Arkham Intelligence.
At the time of that June report, Mt. Gox held more than 34,500 BTC. Those figures are historical and do not show the current balance.
The Oct. 16 notice did not disclose a new wallet balance or confirm further transfers. It also did not name any exchange set to receive another distribution.
Creditors can also use a separate inquiry form without logging in. However, the trustee said identity verification may be harder in those cases.
Creditors can send questions through the online rehabilitation claims system. The trustee warned that responses may be delayed because of the high volume of inquiries.
ARB and RAY has rocketed the most over the past day, while TIA and STRK have posted the biggest losses.
After dipping to $80,500 once again on Sunday, bitcoin has rebounded swiftly and tapped $83,000 earlier today for the first time since the CPI-induced nosedive in the middle of the previous week.
Most altcoins are also up in the green today, defying expectations for a Black Monday as markets opened earlier. At least for now.
No Black Monday? The CPI and PPI announcements on October 14 and 15 last week brought a new wave of concern in the markets that inflation is not going down, as both metrics exceeded expectations. Naturally, risk-on assets such as bitcoin felt the pressure. BTC dumped from over $84,000 to a monthly low of just under $80,000 in about 24 hours.
It reacted well to this major leg down and jumped to $82,800. However, it was rejected again on Friday alongside most financial markets and dipped below $81,000 again. The weekend was somewhat strange in terms of price action. Instead of the usual dull movement, there was a flash crash on Saturday evening, which intensified the calls for a Black Monday, as it happened 39 years ago.
Analysts were predicting another massive black swan event as markets started to open on Monday morning, but that hasn’t been the case so far. Just the opposite: the US futures markets are in the green, and so is BTC. The leading cryptocurrency is up by over 1% today and sits around $83,000.
Its market cap has climbed to $1.660 trillion, while its dominance over the alts is well above 60%.
BTCUSD October 19. Source: TradingView Alts in Green Too Ethereum has defended the $2,400 support after a mild increase since yesterday. XRP is also above a key support level, currently trading close to $1.32. SOL, HYPE, XMR, LINK, NEAR, and BCH have marked similar increases, while ZEC is up by 2.6% to $1,170.
The biggest gains today come from ARB (9%) and RAY (7%), while TIA, STRK, and BTW have posted the most substantial losses.
The cumulative market cap of all crypto assets has increased by over 1% on a 24-hour scale, and now sits at $2.760 trillion on CMC.
Cryptocurrency Market Overview October 19. Source: QuantifyCrypto Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Ahmed Barakat is a journalist and copywriter based in Georgia with a growing focus on blockchain technology, DeFi, AI, privacy, digital assets, and fintech innovation.
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Is MARA Selling Bitcoin? Wallets linked to MARA Holdings sent 1,000 BTC, worth about $82.8 million, to Binance and Gate over five days, renewing speculation that the miner may sell part of its Bitcoin treasury. Lookonchain flagged the transfers as the second large MARA-linked movement it had identified in October.
Blockchain records show Bitcoin arriving at addresses associated with Galaxy Digital, Binance and Gate. The earlier October transfer involved 996 BTC, valued at about $81.13 million, moving to a Galaxy Digital address. Lookonchain flagged that movement on October 9, like the latest exchange deposits.
That uncertainty fits a market question about how investors interpret activity around MARA’s crypto-market exposure. The wallet attribution is linked to addresses associated with the company.
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Has MARA Ever Sold Its Bitcoin? The 1,000 BTC is a Fraction of Disclosed HoldingsMARA reported holding 35,577 BTC at the end of June, including 9,270 BTC that had been loaned out or pledged as collateral. Against that reported total, the latest 1,000 BTC represents roughly 2.8% of holdings, a meaningful flow to monitor but not a measure of realized selling pressure.
The company had already demonstrated that it will sell Bitcoin when it sees a reason to do so. MARA was selling 2,213 Bitcoin during the second quarter at an average price of $73,078, and separately sold 15,133 BTC in March to fund convertible-debt buybacks.
MARA also said it expected to continue selling Bitcoin opportunistically. That policy makes a sale a plausible interpretation of the exchange deposits, but it does not establish that these particular coins were sold; the distinction is central to assessing the potential supply impact.
For a market already tracking fund flows, persistent Bitcoin ETF outflows provide a separate supply-and-demand consideration.
Trade XRP on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop
Bitcoin Price Context and The Next Verification PointBitcoin just breached $83,000, up 1.5% over 24 hours but still down since October 1. The market also shows thin liquidity, weaker ETF demand, and geopolitical risk as October headwinds, conditions that can amplify concern about a potential large seller.
The wider risk backdrop was mixed: Brent crude had fallen more than 2.2% to $107.95 after touching $110, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 1% and S&P 500 futures had gained 0.7%. Bitcoin’s rebound from lower levels therefore did not remove the near-term question of whether additional miner supply would meet sufficient demand.
MARA’s third-quarter results are the next company reporting checkpoint for how many of the deposited coins, if any, were sold. Until those disclosures or other evidence establish a disposal, the accurate description is an exchange inflow that has stirred fresh Bitcoin selling speculation.
OpenAI is reportedly testing its next-generation image model: three codenamed "Aurora" have emerged, with red and green variants exposed.
Beating AI News Flash: On October 18, developers discovered three mysterious codenames briefly appearing on OpenAI’s API model list: aurora-red-alpha, aurora-green-alpha, and aurora-blue-alpha. All three models are named after Aurora (the Northern Lights). Initially, some netizens speculated they were follow-up experimental builds of GPT-6. But AI model evaluation account Lumina later tested the red and green versions in an Arena image generation blind trial, sharing cat images generated by both. The red version produces images faster, while the green version delivers higher quality. No public samples of the blue version have been made available yet. The community therefore suspects these may be different test iterations of OpenAI’s next-generation image model.
3 minutes ago
Binance: Users with at least 255 points can claim the Alpha airdrop at 21:00 today.
Binance officially announced that Binance Wallet will distribute the latest Binance Alpha airdrop at 21:00 Beijing Time today. Users holding at least 255 Binance Alpha points can claim the tokens on a first-come, first-served basis, until all tokens in the allocation pool are distributed or the airdrop campaign concludes.
3 minutes ago
ESMA adds 9 new crypto asset service providers, bringing its total number to 375.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has added nine crypto asset service providers (CASPs) to its register under the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework. The new additions include BingX’s Austrian entity MEGE zweite, YouHodler’s Italian subsidiary, and Santander’s Openbank Deutschland, bringing the total number of registered CASPs to 375.
3 minutes ago
QCP: Bitcoin demonstrates resilience against price declines; a drop below the $80,000 to $88,000 range could trigger a sharp repricing.
QCP Capital’s daily market report today noted that Bitcoin traded in a range of $80,000 to $83,000 last week, with strong support near the $80,000 level and showing resilience amid ongoing pressure on tech stocks. AI financing risks continue to simmer: CoreWeave’s 5-year credit default swap (CDS) spread widened to over 1,100 basis points, reflecting market concerns over debt-driven AI investments. On the macro front, higher-than-expected U.S. CPI once pushed 2-year U.S. Treasury yields to 4.9% and 10-year yields above 5.3%; yields later pulled back on defensive demand. Fed Chair nominee Warsh’s comments on Friday also lowered market expectations for an October rate hike to 15%, down from nearly 30% earlier this week. The pullback in U.S. Treasury yields has supported Bitcoin’s rebound. QCP pointed out that funds are shifting from the semiconductor sector to healthcare and bank stocks, with markets likely reducing exposure to crowded AI trades, though there is no clear evidence of direct inflows into crypto markets so far. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s implied volatility remains below its one-year average, and market makers’ positive Gamma positions may temporarily cap price swings. However, this stability could weaken as options expire and positions roll over; if Bitcoin breaks sustainably above the $80,000 to $88,000 range, the market may face more sharp price revaluations. This week’s tech giant earnings reports will be a key watchpoint.
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Placeholder Partner: The current market resembles early bull market opportunities, advising long-term investors to systematically accumulate tokens.
Placeholder co-founder Chris Burniske wrote in a post that long-term crypto investors should not repeatedly agonize over entry or exit points, but instead accumulate tokens in a planned, consistent manner, and must not confuse long-term investing with short-term trading. He advises investors to use their most successful investment as a benchmark to calculate target holdings based on the proportion of each network’s total token supply. For instance, Ethereum (ETH) has a total supply of around 120 million tokens. If an investor once held 10 ETH, applying the network proportion rule would mean holding roughly 53 Solana (SOL) (total supply ~636 million) or 97 Celestia (TIA) (total supply ~1.16 billion). To hold a TIA network share 10 times that of their original ETH holding, they would need approximately 970 TIA. For Zcash (ZEC), whose supply is similar to Bitcoin (BTC), investors can also use their ideal BTC holding amount as a reference to set ZEC accumulation goals. Regarding the current market, Burniske notes that many crypto assets have fallen 20% to over 40% from their peaks, while BTC’s decline is less than 10%. He argues that BTC’s relative resilience so far has already triggered significant adjustments in assets with lower market risk appetite, making the current situation more of an opportunity in the early stages of a bull market rather than a warning sign of a bull trap. Still, he reminds investors to account for the possibility of further price drops, advising them to deploy remaining cash in batches and allocate investment amounts based on the likelihood that different price levels will form local bottoms. It is acceptable even if some preset price levels are never reached, leaving cash reserves. During market downturns or early bull market pullbacks, consistently accumulating target assets with a high-confidence strategy is more important than repeatedly trying to time market fluctuations.
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BNB Foundation completes its 37th quarterly burn, destroying 1.6462 million BNB.
According to official announcements, the BNB Foundation has completed its 37th quarterly token burn, with a total of 1,646,200 BNB tokens burned in this round, valued at approximately $1.197 billion. Post-burn, BNB’s total circulating supply has fallen to around 131.5 million tokens.
Bitcoin has climbed above $82,000 despite growing warnings of a possible Black Monday sell-off, as crypto investors weigh rising social media concerns against recent ETF withdrawals and signs of recovery in the broeder market.
Summary
Bitcoin recovered above $82,000 as social media warnings of another Black Monday attracted widespread attention online. Santiment reported 176 Black Monday mentions on October 18, far exceeding the previous daily average recorded. US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost roughly $229 million last week, with BlackRock leading withdrawals among funds. Analysts identified $81,000 as important support, while stronger recovery signals require Bitcoin to reclaim higher resistance. A Bitcoin wallet inactive since 2013 moved approximately 411 BTC worth $34 million to another address. According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin traded near $82,795 at press time, gaining 1.13% over the previous 24 hours while remaining 1.37% lower over seven days. The cryptocurrency recorded approximately $25.4 billion in daily trading volume, with its market capitalization standing near $1.66 trillion.
The recovery followed a difficult week for financial markets, during which Bitcoin briefly fell below $80,000. Technology stocks faced selling pressure, oil prices remained elevated, and investors continued assessing the possibility of tighter monetary policy.
However, Bitcoin finished October 18 near $82,000 despite predictions that October 19 could bring another major market decline. The warnings coincided with the 39th anniversary of the October 19, 1987, stock market crash.
Bitcoin’s Black Monday fears push social activity higher Blockchain analytics firm Santiment reported a substantial rise in discussions about a potential Black Monday across cryptocurrency social media.
Mentions of the phrase reached 176 on October 18, compared with fewer than two mentions per day on average during the preceding 60 days. The figures showed how quickly expectations of a major sell-off had spread among market participants ahead of Monday’s trading session.
The busiest six-hour period occurred between 18:00 and 24:00 UTC, when Santiment counted 82 mentions. That period coincided with the reopening of US stock index futures, when traders began reacting to developments from the weekend.
“Black Monday” was crypto social media’s call for Oct 19, the 39th anniversary of the 1987 crash. Bitcoin ended the Sunday before it higher.
📊 Mentions of “black monday” reached 176 on Oct 18, against fewer than 2 a day on average over the previous 60 days.
🧭 The busiest 6h… pic.twitter.com/J6SMoibEzi
— Santiment Intelligence (@SantimentData) October 19, 2026 General references to a market crash reached 105 mentions, which Santiment described as unusually high for a Sunday. However, the figure remained within the range recorded over the preceding 90 days, suggesting that broader crash discussions had not reached an unprecedented level.
Santiment compared the latest readings with a smaller rise in negative sentiment on September 14. Bitcoin declined approximately 3% the following day, although the firm cautioned that similar sentiment signals had previously preceded different market outcomes.
The data measures discussions about a possible crash, not the probability that one will occur. Social media activity can rise in response to warnings, bearish forecasts and traders debating potential market movements.
The current price recovery provides one example of that distinction, with Bitcoin trading higher on Monday despite the unusually large number of negative predictions.
Bitcoin ETFs lose $229 million as institutional demand weakens Institutional investment activity presented a different picture during the week ending October 16, when US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $228.6 million in net withdrawals.
According to the October 12–16 fund-flow figures, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, IBIT, experienced approximately $165 million in outflows. Fidelity’s FBTC recorded around $60 million in withdrawals during the same period.
The selling was concentrated in several trading sessions, including Wednesday, October 14, when Bitcoin ETFs lost approximately $261 million. Tuesday’s $176 million inflow was insufficient to offset withdrawals recorded during the remaining sessions.
As crypto.news reported in its weekly review, Ethereum ETFs recorded approximately $320.1 million in withdrawals, exceeding Bitcoin fund outflows by nearly $92 million. Across five tracked cryptocurrency ETF categories, the combined withdrawals reached $610.7 million.
The figures describe net changes in investor subscriptions and redemptions, not the trading losses experienced by all investors holding ETF shares. Fund assets can fall because market prices decline even when investors do not withdraw their holdings.
The latest Bitcoin ETF losses followed approximately $679 million in withdrawals during the preceding week. Although the October 12–16 figure was smaller, the two consecutive negative weeks indicated that institutional demand remained uneven.
Market conditions improved somewhat on Monday, supported by stronger-than-expected Chinese economic growth and lower oil prices. China’s economy expanded 4.5% year over year in the third quarter, while oil prices declined after developments involving US restrictions on Russian energy.
Analysts watch $81,000 as Bitcoin attempts to recover Despite the daily recovery, several analysts continued watching technical levels that could determine whether Bitcoin can sustain its move higher.
Crypto analyst Ted noted that Bitcoin had managed another weekly close above $82,000 despite weakness in technology shares, oil trading above $100 and elevated market volatility.
He identified $84,500 as a level Bitcoin would need to reclaim to demonstrate stronger upward momentum. Without that recovery, he warned that another move below $80,000 remained possible.
Worst week for Nasdaq in 18 months.
Oil > $100.
VIX above 22.
And still, $BTC managed another weekly close above $82,000.
But that doesn't mean it's completely in a safe zone.
For strong momentum, Bitcoin needs to reclaim $84,500, or else we could see another correction below… pic.twitter.com/BXRYCdJIaS
— Ted (@TedPillows) October 19, 2026 Analyst Ali Martinez identified $81,000 as the lower boundary of a rising price channel on Bitcoin’s daily chart. He suggested that continued buying around that area could support a recovery toward $84,000, followed by $86,500.
A sustained decline below $81,000 would weaken that chart pattern, according to Martinez, who identified $76,000 as a lower level to watch. His analysis describes conditional scenarios based on technical indicators, not confirmed future price movements.
A separate assessment from Crypto Patel outlined a longer-term bullish chart structure, identifying $89,000 as resistance and $75,600 as support. The analyst placed another possible retest level near $66,700, with the bullish pattern considered invalid below approximately $59,800.
Patel’s upside projections included 90,000–100,000, with $125,000 as an extended target if the bullish structure continues developing. Those forecasts depend on future price movements and do not establish that Bitcoin has completed its correction.
BITCOIN BULLISH STRUCTURE CONFIRMED BUT THE $66.6K RETEST IS KEY!$BTC has confirmed a bullish CHoCH on the 2D timeframe, reclaiming market structure after months of downside pressure.
— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) October 19, 2026 CoinGecko’s reported seven-day range of 79,806–84,074 shows that Bitcoin has recently traded within the levels highlighted by several analysts. The token remained approximately 34.4% below its $126,080 all-time high at the reporting snapshot.
Bitcoin’s $1 million prediction contrasts with current price action While short-term traders monitored the $80,000 region, analyst Michaël van de Poppe discussed a much larger potential move during the current market cycle.
In an October 17 post, van de Poppe shared a long-term Bitcoin chart drawing comparisons with previous market cycles and the technology boom of the late 1990s.
His analysis suggested that Bitcoin could experience a powerful speculative rally before eventually undergoing another major correction. The discussion included a possible $1 million price during the cycle, although no timetable or guaranteed outcome was established.
The chart referenced by van de Poppe placed a conservative long-term projection near $197,000 by 2030, using a trendline connecting five earlier Bitcoin cycle lows. Historical trendlines provide one method of examining price behavior, but previous cycles do not reliably determine future valuations.
Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan has separately argued that Bitcoin could eventually reach $1 million by capturing more demand from investors seeking stores of value. His framework compares Bitcoin with established assets used for long-term wealth preservation.
A rise from the reported $82,795 price to $1 million would require Bitcoin to appreciate approximately 1,108%. At its maximum supply of 21 million coins, a $1 million Bitcoin price would imply a fully diluted value of $21 trillion.
The calculation illustrates the scale of the forecast without establishing whether such demand will develop. Bitcoin’s current market value remains substantially below that theoretical figure.
Dormant Bitcoin whale moves $34 million after 13 years Blockchain activity provided another development over the weekend as a long-inactive Bitcoin wallet transferred approximately 411.45 BTC to a new address.
According to Arkham Intelligence wallet records, the original address had held most of the coins since September 2013. Bitcoin traded near $131 when the wallet received approximately 411 BTC, placing the historical value of that balance near $54,000.
The transfer occurred on October 18 at approximately 18:23 UTC, moving the coins to a newer SegWit address. At a Bitcoin price near $82,795, the 411.45 BTC balance would be worth approximately $34.1 million.
The original address can be examined through Arkham’s wallet records, while the receiving address is listed on the Bitcoin explorer.
The destination was not identified as an exchange in the supplied blockchain analysis, and no subsequent outgoing transaction was reported at that checkpoint. A transfer between wallets does not establish that the owner has sold the Bitcoin.
The movement follows other large transfers involving long-dormant holders. Earlier in October, another Bitcoin whale transferred 4,582 BTC worth approximately $377.6 million after remaining inactive for more than six years.
A separate August dormant-wallet movement involved more than 1,300 BTC transferred from older addresses, with blockchain analysis finding no confirmed exchange destination for the main group of transactions.
The October 18 receiving wallet uses a newer SegWit address format, which can provide lower transaction fees than older transaction formats. The original wallet’s history included small unsolicited deposits, some associated with address-poisoning attempts, according to the supplied blockchain analysis.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
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Did the last 24 hours signal Bitcoin’s next bullish November rally?
Historically, November has been the most bullish month for Bitcoin, with average returns of more than 40%. This year, however, it might not be so simple.
With the U.S. midterm elections looming in early November, risky assets could see increased volatility. Moreover, Bitcoin has been range-bound around $80k for more than four weeks, and rising leverage could lead to sudden liquidations and a sharp liquidity crunch.
However, history does provide a bullish scenario. In November 2024, BTC rallied more than 30% after the U.S. presidential election, fueled by optimism about U.S. President Donald Trump’s pro-crypto policies.
Bitcoin’s resilience could lead to another November rally, but rising leverage and the uncertainty of the election could create a bull trap.
Source: X
According to AMBCrypto, this is where the last 24 hours begin to make sense.
The “Black Monday” narrative started circulating on social media as fears of an AI bubble and a possible US stock market crash mounted. With October 19 falling on the anniversary of the 1987 crash, fears of history repeating itself added to the panic.
Dow Jones fell 22.6% in a single day back then, causing the global markets to take a beating, with the Federal Reserve stepping in to shore up liquidity.
Bitcoin [BTC], however, held up. With BTC trading near a key support zone, fresh bearish pressure could have prompted a breakdown and a wave of liquidations.
Instead, BTC gained over 0.8% intraday and continued to consolidate. This relative strength puts Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) in focus, with the latest price action raising the possibility of another November rally.
Bitcoin defies market fear as investor greed returns
In risky markets, capital tends to flow into altcoins in search of quick profits.
This trend is particularly intriguing in the context of Bitcoin’s resistance, as uncertainty can lead to a rotation into altcoins. However, at the moment, there is little evidence of this taking place.
In fact, investors seem to be betting on BTC as the long-term macro-hedge, rather than taking profits in short-dated altcoins. Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is a useful metric for understanding this dynamic.
Technically, BTC.D is in the green intraday, pushing towards the 60.8% area. A clean break above 61% would mark its first move above this level since early May.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s Fear and Greed Index has recovered by over 11% in the past 24 hours, staying in the greed zone despite the Black Monday FUD.
Source: alternative.me
Given that BTC.D is testing resistance, and sentiment is recovering; a breakout above 61% is highly likely.
In this context, Bitcoin’s resilience in the face of macro FUD may be an early sign of investors buying into a bullish November. If this trend continues, BTC could see a repeat of the November 2024-style post-election rally, with increasing BTC.D adding fuel to the bullish scenario.
Final Summary
Bitcoin held firm despite Black Monday fears, while market sentiment returned to greed.
BTC.D is nearing 61% resistance, with a breakout potentially setting up a November rally.
Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, has recovered after falling below $80,000 last week and is trading around $82,700 at the start of the new week.
While expectations for Bitcoin’s price at the end of 2026 remain high, they are declining due to uncertainties surrounding the trajectory of inflation in the US and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy.
At this point, Bitwise predicts that Bitcoin could rise above $100,000 with the support of institutional investor demand and regulatory developments, while LOTECH expects a more limited increase.
Is it Possible for Bitcoin to Surpass $100,000? Speaking to CoinDesk, Bitwise Research Director Ryan Rasmussen stated that Bitcoin could end the year at higher levels, potentially above $100,000.
Rasmussen cited purchases through ETFs and companies, a shift towards alternative assets in the face of rising public debt, and reduced regulatory uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market as key factors supporting the rise.
However, the analyst added that market volatility could occur ahead of a potential Fed interest rate hike and the US midterm elections.
There Are More Cautious Predictions Too! Cryptocurrency company LO:TECH, however, takes a more cautious view. LO analyst Adam Morgan McCarthy states that he expects Bitcoin to trade between $85,000 and $95,000 by the end of the year.
McCarthy stated that the 0.6% monthly increase in US consumer prices in September and the 0.3% rise in core inflation increased uncertainty regarding interest rate policy, and that markets were pricing in a probability of approximately 75% for an additional rate hike in December following the Fed’s September increase, indicating continued pressure on monetary policy.
At this point, according to McCarthy, for the $100,000 level to be surpassed, inflation and oil prices need to decline, and expectations of interest rate increases need to give way to a more cautious policy.
Corporate Funding Inflows Will Be Decisive! Finally, CoinShares Research Director James Butterfill noted that despite $11.1 billion in inflows into cryptocurrency investment products since mid-July, purchases have slowed. According to Butterfill, institutional investors need to continue injecting capital for a sustained rise.
*This is not investment advice.
Follow our Telegram and X account now for exclusive news, analytics and on-chain data!
OpenAI is reportedly testing its next-generation image model: three codenamed "Aurora" have emerged, with red and green variants exposed.
Beating AI News Flash: On October 18, developers discovered three mysterious codenames briefly appearing on OpenAI’s API model list: aurora-red-alpha, aurora-green-alpha, and aurora-blue-alpha. All three models are named after Aurora (the Northern Lights). Initially, some netizens speculated they were follow-up experimental builds of GPT-6. But AI model evaluation account Lumina later tested the red and green versions in an Arena image generation blind trial, sharing cat images generated by both. The red version produces images faster, while the green version delivers higher quality. No public samples of the blue version have been made available yet. The community therefore suspects these may be different test iterations of OpenAI’s next-generation image model.
3 minutes ago
Binance: Users with at least 255 points can claim the Alpha airdrop at 21:00 today.
Binance officially announced that Binance Wallet will distribute the latest Binance Alpha airdrop at 21:00 Beijing Time today. Users holding at least 255 Binance Alpha points can claim the tokens on a first-come, first-served basis, until all tokens in the allocation pool are distributed or the airdrop campaign concludes.
3 minutes ago
ESMA adds 9 new crypto asset service providers, bringing its total number to 375.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has added nine crypto asset service providers (CASPs) to its register under the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework. The new additions include BingX’s Austrian entity MEGE zweite, YouHodler’s Italian subsidiary, and Santander’s Openbank Deutschland, bringing the total number of registered CASPs to 375.
3 minutes ago
QCP: Bitcoin demonstrates resilience against price declines; a drop below the $80,000 to $88,000 range could trigger a sharp repricing.
QCP Capital’s daily market report today noted that Bitcoin traded in a range of $80,000 to $83,000 last week, with strong support near the $80,000 level and showing resilience amid ongoing pressure on tech stocks. AI financing risks continue to simmer: CoreWeave’s 5-year credit default swap (CDS) spread widened to over 1,100 basis points, reflecting market concerns over debt-driven AI investments. On the macro front, higher-than-expected U.S. CPI once pushed 2-year U.S. Treasury yields to 4.9% and 10-year yields above 5.3%; yields later pulled back on defensive demand. Fed Chair nominee Warsh’s comments on Friday also lowered market expectations for an October rate hike to 15%, down from nearly 30% earlier this week. The pullback in U.S. Treasury yields has supported Bitcoin’s rebound.
QCP pointed out that funds are shifting from the semiconductor sector to healthcare and bank stocks, with markets likely reducing exposure to crowded AI trades, though there is no clear evidence of direct inflows into crypto markets so far. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s implied volatility remains below its one-year average, and market makers’ positive Gamma positions may temporarily cap price swings. However, this stability could weaken as options expire and positions roll over; if Bitcoin breaks sustainably above the $80,000 to $88,000 range, the market may face more sharp price revaluations. This week’s tech giant earnings reports will be a key watchpoint.
3 minutes ago
Placeholder Partner: The current market resembles early bull market opportunities, advising long-term investors to systematically accumulate tokens.
Placeholder co-founder Chris Burniske wrote in a post that long-term crypto investors should not repeatedly agonize over entry or exit points, but instead accumulate tokens in a planned, consistent manner, and must not confuse long-term investing with short-term trading. He advises investors to use their most successful investment as a benchmark to calculate target holdings based on the proportion of each network’s total token supply. For instance, Ethereum (ETH) has a total supply of around 120 million tokens. If an investor once held 10 ETH, applying the network proportion rule would mean holding roughly 53 Solana (SOL) (total supply ~636 million) or 97 Celestia (TIA) (total supply ~1.16 billion). To hold a TIA network share 10 times that of their original ETH holding, they would need approximately 970 TIA. For Zcash (ZEC), whose supply is similar to Bitcoin (BTC), investors can also use their ideal BTC holding amount as a reference to set ZEC accumulation goals. Regarding the current market, Burniske notes that many crypto assets have fallen 20% to over 40% from their peaks, while BTC’s decline is less than 10%. He argues that BTC’s relative resilience so far has already triggered significant adjustments in assets with lower market risk appetite, making the current situation more of an opportunity in the early stages of a bull market rather than a warning sign of a bull trap. Still, he reminds investors to account for the possibility of further price drops, advising them to deploy remaining cash in batches and allocate investment amounts based on the likelihood that different price levels will form local bottoms. It is acceptable even if some preset price levels are never reached, leaving cash reserves. During market downturns or early bull market pullbacks, consistently accumulating target assets with a high-confidence strategy is more important than repeatedly trying to time market fluctuations.
3 minutes ago
BNB Foundation completes its 37th quarterly burn, destroying 1.6462 million BNB.
According to official announcements, the BNB Foundation has completed its 37th quarterly token burn, with a total of 1,646,200 BNB tokens burned in this round, valued at approximately $1.197 billion. Post-burn, BNB’s total circulating supply has fallen to around 131.5 million tokens.
Bitcoin (BTC) starts the third week of October at $82,000 as crypto and stock markets begin a tentative rebound.
Key points:
South Korea’s KOSPI Composite Index gained nearly 1.8% on Monday after last week’s tech-driven losses.Markets have priced out two further interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in 2026, seeing 75% odds of only one 25-basis-point hike by the end of the year.Bitcoin delivered a weekly close below key local support after the Coinbase Premium Index hit -0.14, its lowest level since late June.Asia leads equities bounce ahead of tech earningsA lighter week of US macro data prints will shift the market’s attention to corporate earnings as stocks rebound from last week’s sell-off. Some 15% of S&P 500 companies are due to report third-quarter earnings figures this week, including SpaceX on Tuesday and Tesla and Meta on Wednesday.
Tech-stock performance remains in focus after a major drawdown last week that began with South Korean markets. The KOSPI Composite Index lost 2.8% on Oct. 12 before dropping to the week’s low of 5,455 on Thursday, bringing the week-to-date losses temporarily to 17%.
KOSPI Composite Index one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Contagion spread to neighboring Asian markets before US equities began to weaken later in the week. The S&P 500 index finished Friday down 2% for the week.
As in early August, tech stocks saw considerable sell-side pressure amid concerns over AI expenditure plans and the associated debt obligations. In Korea, the threat of competition in semiconductor manufacturing from China exacerbated the downturn.
Warnings of a “Black Monday” event on global stock markets spread through social media over the weekend. The panic, which coincided with the 39th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday crash, appeared misplaced, with KOSPI gaining 1.8% on Monday and S&P 500 futures 0.7% higher at the time of writing.
Commenting on the disconnect between public sentiment and market performance, market commentator The Kobeissi Letter suggested that stocks should outperform based on investor demand. Persistent high US inflation and a global energy crisis have positioned equities for a surge on any potential signs of conditions improving.
“All while the AI Revolution continues to accelerate and many large-cap technology stocks become cheaper on a forward earnings basis, even as their stock prices rise. And in the background, the demand for asset ownership is historically robust,” it summarized in analysis last week.
Kobeissi noted that while tech giants led S&P 500 strength, 80% of index stocks are trading at least 10% below all-time highs.
Fed rate-hike bets cool despite inflation data overshootAhead of the Federal Reserve’s next decision on interest-rate changes on Oct. 28, markets have tempered their expectations on policy tightening.
Data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool shows 85% odds of rates staying within their current 3.75-4.00% range in October. The Fed’s December meeting, meanwhile, carries just 11% odds of a further pause. Instead, markets see a 75% chance of a 25-basis-point hike, with a 50-basis-point move attracting 13% odds.
Fed target-rate probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group
In a discussion with International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva last week, Fed chair Kevin Warsh avoided any hints of forward guidance on policy, reinforcing a pledge made at the Jackson Hole economic symposium in August.
“I don’t prejudge meetings. I don’t believe in saying now what I might do at the meetings that we have in the balance of this year,” he said.
Markets, however, interpreted the lack of information as a dovish signal, doubling down on the Fed hiking rates just once more before 2027.
Adopting a cautionary tone, meanwhile, market commentator Mosaic Asset Company saw inflation trends forcing the Fed to avoid easing off, keeping a crypto and risk-asset headwind in place.
“While investors expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady at its next meeting later this month, a growing inflation problem will keep favoring tighter monetary policy,” it wrote in analysis on Sunday.
The September print of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) released last week showed the ongoing impact of the Middle East crisis on fuel prices. PPI delivered its largest month-on-month increase since March 2022 at 1.7%.
“Half of the September increase in the index for final demand goods can be traced to prices for gasoline, which jumped 20.3%,” the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported.
Fuel also accounted for more than half of the September increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which beat expectations by 0.1% to hit 3.7% year-on-year.
BTC price analysis sees more $80,000 support retestsBitcoin price action completed a weekly candle close below a key support zone of interest between $82,500 and $82,800.
The weekly close came in at $82,000, a move that crypto trader and analyst Rekt Capital warned could spark further retests of the $80,000 mark in the future.
“Such a Weekly Close would position Bitcoin for a potential bearish retest of ~$82500 into new resistance. And if that bearish retest occurs successfully then it could set price up for a drop below $80k within the next few weeks,” he wrote in analysis on X.
Previously, Cointelegraph reported on September’s local high near $87,000 now hosting multiple resistance components, including the 2026 yearly open and its 20-month simple moving average (SMA).
In its latest market overview, onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant flagged declining US investor demand as a reemerging BTC price headwind this month. The Coinbase Premium Index, which measures the difference in price between Coinbase’s and Binance’s BTC/USDT pairs, fell to -0.141 on Oct. 18, its lowest levels since June 30.
“This reading is particularly significant. If the index remains in negative territory, it could indicate insufficient demand to absorb selling pressure, potentially increasing the likelihood of a continued price correction in the short term,” CryptoQuant commented.
Coinbase Premium Index. Source: CryptoQuant
The lack of demand contrasts with BTC/USD holding gains made since the end of June, having bounced from new multiyear lows under $58,000 on July 1.
Magazine: Can the SEC and CFTC’s pro-crypto rules be overturned? Legal opinion
This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph's Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research.
Bitcoin traded around $82,500, up about 0.4% since midnight UTC, extending a rebound from Sunday’s dip to roughly $80,700.The CoinDesk 80 gained 0.9%, triple the CoinDesk 5’s 0.e5% rise, with all six members of the DeFi index higher and arbitrum adding 6.7%.Nasdaq 100 futures rose more than 1% and Asian stocks advanced after China’s third-quarter GDP growth beat expectations and oil prices eased.Bitcoin BTC$82,170.89 is trading around $82,500, up around 0.5% since midnight UTC, extending a bounce from Sunday’s dip to roughly $80,700 and comfortably above Thursday’s brief break below $80,000.
Altcoins outpaced the largest cryptocurrency, with ether ETH$2,416.22 adding 0.75% to near $2,430 and the CoinDesk 80 (CD80) gaining 0.9%, triple the 0.35% rise in the bitcoin-heavy CoinDesk 5 (CD5). DeFi led the CoinDesk benchmarks with a 0.81% gain, with all six members of the DFX sector index higher.
The rebound follows a rough week for U.S. tech. The Nasdaq fell 4.5% in its worst weekly decline since June as worries over AI spending and debt hit stocks such as CoreWeave (CRWV), which fell 25%. On Monday, Nasdaq 100 futures advanced more than 1% alongside gains in Asian stocks after China’s third-quarter GDP growth of 4.5% beat expectations and oil prices eased, with earnings from Meta Platforms META and Tesla TSLA due this week.
Derivatives positioningVolume jumps, positioning doesn't: Total 24-hour crypto futures volume rose 51% to $146 billion, while open interest (OI) edged up just 1.25% to $141 billion as traders churned through more contracts without adding much net exposure. Liquidations were $329 million, little changed from a day earlier, and the taker long-short volume ratio is balanced, so neither side is forcing the other out.Majors rally with more leverage than spot buying: BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP all gained, and their notional OI grew faster than their prices in a sign that fresh capital is entering the contracts. Annualized perpetual funding is positive on all four, so longs are paying to hold. The 24-hour OI-adjusted cumulative volume delta (CVD) is flat to negative, though, meaning aggressive selling at least matched aggressive buying. The gains look position-led, and that makes them more fragile.DOGE, UNI and crude oil perps see positions unwind: OI fell in all three despite flat-to-negative price action. Traders are closing positions and pulling capital out, not adding to bets on the downside.ADA's bounce meets bearish positioning: ADA rose almost 1% in 24 hours, yet its annualized perp funding is -8%, the only negative print among the majors. Shorts are paying to stay short, and CVD is negative too. If the bounce continues, that crowded short side could become a source of buying.Crypto volatility gauges stay calm as the VIX spikes: Bitcoin's and ether's 30-day implied volatility indexes, BVIV and EVIV, still signal calm, even as Wall Street's equivalent, VIX, surged on Friday. VIX history points to a likely normalization on Monday.Bitcoin put-buyers dominate Deribit: The five most traded options on Deribit over the past 24 hours were all bitcoin puts at strikes below the current market price. Traders use puts to hedge long exposure against spot declines, so some are insuring gains. Ether flows look mixed.Token talkArbitrum ARB$0.1951, an Ethereum layer-2 token, rose 6.7% to about $0.20, with the rally stemming from the Arbitrum Foundation’s Stablecoin Growth Program, announced on Thursday. The program sets aside 2 million ARB for the first 10 teams to hold $10 million in USDG, a dollar-pegged stablecoin issued by Paxos Digital Singapore. ARB has risen by 16.45% since the announcement.Pump.fun PUMP$0.004419, the token of the Solana memecoin launchpad, jumped 7.6%, recouping part of a weekend slide that took it to about $0.0039 on Sunday. While there was no news catalyst for the move, 24-hour trading volume doubled to $215 million.DeFi tokens advanced across the board, with uniswap (UNI) up 3.2% to around $7.42, while lido LDO$0.3964 and ethena (ENA) rose by 2.5% and 1.6% respectively as the sector recovers from last month’s Clarity Act delay and shrinking yields.Celestia (TIA) gave back 3.9% to about 61 cents after Friday’s 16% jump, while starknet STRK$0.05847 slipped 1.0% to 6 cents. STRK’s market value has fallen about a quarter since Friday morning, according to CoinDesk data.The larger cryptocurrencies were mostly higher, with solana (SOL) rising 1.6% to about $106, XRP gaining 0.6% and BNB adding 0.36%. Cardano ADA$0.2178 slipped 0.15% and hedera HBAR$0.08309 fell 0.83%.The “Altcoin Season” index is at 56/100, tumbling from last week’s high of 63/100, the 2026 record.Related Assets
The bounce follows a week of hot U.S. inflation data and $228.6 million in spot bitcoin ETF outflows.
Bitcoin returns above $82K
Posted October 19, 2026 at 6:45 am ET.
A pullback in oil and a firmer start for U.S. stock futures are giving bitcoin room to climb past $82,000 on Monday.
BTC changed hands near $83,007 as of 09:38 UTC, up about 1.1% over 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data. Over that 24-hour window it traded between $80,672 and $83,035, while ether rose about 0.8% and Solana about 1.7%, CoinGecko data showed.
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Levels Analysts Flagged Monday’s price leaves bitcoin above the average price U.S. spot ETFs paid for their coins, which onchain analytics firm Glassnode put at about $81,500 in its Oct. 14 weekly report. Glassnode’s Frederik Theissen wrote in that report that “a return to steady ETF inflows would be the clearest sign that demand is back.”
Nexo analyst Iliya Kalchev set out a similar test in the firm’s Oct. 16 market note, written before Monday’s bounce: “For Bitcoin, a move back above $84,000 and a second day of ETF inflows are the signs buyers are returning, with the $80,000 area, defended three times in a week, the level to hold.”
ETF Flows and Oil Fund flows haven’t turned yet. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs shed $681 million in the week ended Oct. 9 and another $228.6 million in the week ended Oct. 16, according to SoSoValue.
Front-month Brent futures were at $108.47 a barrel as of 09:29 UTC, down 1.3% from Friday’s $109.86 close, according to Yahoo Finance data. Friday’s close was the highest since May 19. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1.1% and S&P 500 futures gained 0.5% as of 09:29 UTC, according to Yahoo Finance data.
A Rough Week Behind It Bitcoin ended last week about 2% lower, CoinGecko data show, after hotter-than-expected September inflation data on Oct. 14 pushed it toward $80,500 the next day.
James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, wrote in an Oct. 16 market update that the slide was “a reminder of how sensitive Bitcoin remains to monetary policy over short horizons.”
Related Listen: Bitcoin Reclaims Its Bear-Market Ceiling. Is the Rally Real?
AI-assisted content: This article was produced with the assistance of AI tools and was reviewed, edited, and fact-checked by a member of the Unchained editorial team before publication.
OpenAI is reportedly testing its next-generation image model: three codenamed "Aurora" have emerged, with red and green variants exposed.
Beating AI News Flash: On October 18, developers discovered three mysterious codenames briefly appearing on OpenAI’s API model list: aurora-red-alpha, aurora-green-alpha, and aurora-blue-alpha. All three models are named after Aurora (the Northern Lights). Initially, some netizens speculated they were follow-up experimental builds of GPT-6. But AI model evaluation account Lumina later tested the red and green versions in an Arena image generation blind trial, sharing cat images generated by both. The red version produces images faster, while the green version delivers higher quality. No public samples of the blue version have been made available yet. The community therefore suspects these may be different test iterations of OpenAI’s next-generation image model.
3 minutes ago
Binance: Users with at least 255 points can claim the Alpha airdrop at 21:00 today.
Binance officially announced that Binance Wallet will distribute the latest Binance Alpha airdrop at 21:00 Beijing Time today. Users holding at least 255 Binance Alpha points can claim the tokens on a first-come, first-served basis, until all tokens in the allocation pool are distributed or the airdrop campaign concludes.
3 minutes ago
ESMA adds 9 new crypto asset service providers, bringing its total number to 375.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has added nine crypto asset service providers (CASPs) to its register under the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework. The new additions include BingX’s Austrian entity MEGE zweite, YouHodler’s Italian subsidiary, and Santander’s Openbank Deutschland, bringing the total number of registered CASPs to 375.
3 minutes ago
Placeholder Partner: The current market resembles early bull market opportunities, advising long-term investors to systematically accumulate tokens.
Placeholder co-founder Chris Burniske wrote in a post that long-term crypto investors should not repeatedly agonize over entry or exit points, but instead accumulate tokens in a planned, consistent manner, and must not confuse long-term investing with short-term trading. He advises investors to use their most successful investment as a benchmark to calculate target holdings based on the proportion of each network’s total token supply. For instance, Ethereum (ETH) has a total supply of around 120 million tokens. If an investor once held 10 ETH, applying the network proportion rule would mean holding roughly 53 Solana (SOL) (total supply ~636 million) or 97 Celestia (TIA) (total supply ~1.16 billion). To hold a TIA network share 10 times that of their original ETH holding, they would need approximately 970 TIA. For Zcash (ZEC), whose supply is similar to Bitcoin (BTC), investors can also use their ideal BTC holding amount as a reference to set ZEC accumulation goals. Regarding the current market, Burniske notes that many crypto assets have fallen 20% to over 40% from their peaks, while BTC’s decline is less than 10%. He argues that BTC’s relative resilience so far has already triggered significant adjustments in assets with lower market risk appetite, making the current situation more of an opportunity in the early stages of a bull market rather than a warning sign of a bull trap. Still, he reminds investors to account for the possibility of further price drops, advising them to deploy remaining cash in batches and allocate investment amounts based on the likelihood that different price levels will form local bottoms. It is acceptable even if some preset price levels are never reached, leaving cash reserves. During market downturns or early bull market pullbacks, consistently accumulating target assets with a high-confidence strategy is more important than repeatedly trying to time market fluctuations.
3 minutes ago
BNB Foundation completes its 37th quarterly burn, destroying 1.6462 million BNB.
According to official announcements, the BNB Foundation has completed its 37th quarterly token burn, with a total of 1,646,200 BNB tokens burned in this round, valued at approximately $1.197 billion. Post-burn, BNB’s total circulating supply has fallen to around 131.5 million tokens.
3 minutes ago
A new wallet has been liquidated of 8,163 ETH in total over the past 10 hours, worth $19.78 million.
According to Lookonchain's monitoring, the newly created wallet 0xb15b has been liquidated multiple times over the past 10 hours, with a total of 8,163 ETH liquidated, valued at approximately $19.78 million.
Altcoin piyasasında işler hızla tersine dönüyor. Binance’te listelenen altcoinlerin %48,4’ü 18 Ekim itibarıyla 200 günlük hareketli ortalamasının altına geriledi. Ekim başında bu oran %10’un bile altındaydı. Son 15 günde altcoinlerin toplam piyasa değerinden 134 milyar dolardan fazla silinirken Bitcoin’in piyasa hakimiyeti %60,7’ye yaklaştı.
Altcoin Rallisi İki Haftada Güç Kaybetti Ağustos sonunda başlayan toparlanma, ekim başında altcoin piyasasının büyük bölümüne yayılmıştı. Analist Darkfost’un paylaştığı verilere göre ağustos sonunda Binance’teki altcoinlerin %81’i 200 günlük hareketli ortalamasının altında işlem görüyordu. Ekim başında ise bu oran %10’un altına düştü. Başka bir deyişle, borsadaki altcoinlerin yaklaşık dokuzu uzun vadeli ortalamasının üzerine çıkmıştı.
Ancak bu görünüm uzun sürmedi. 18 Ekim’de altcoinlerin %48,4’ü yeniden 200 günlük ortalamanın altına indi.
Darkfost’un paylaştığı verilere göre ağustos sonu ile ekim başı arasında altcoinlere 814 milyar dolardan fazla giriş oldu. Ancak yükselişin ivmesi kısa sürede zayıfladı. Analist, son 15 günde altcoin piyasasından 134 milyar dolardan fazla çıkış yaşandığını tahmin ediyor. Ona göre hızlı kâr satışları bu gerilemede etkili oldu.
Analiste göre bu çıkışta hızlı kâr satışları etkili olmuş olabilir. Yine de söz konusu rakamları piyasadan çekilen nakit miktarı olarak yorumlamamak gerekiyor. Bunlar, altcoin piyasasının toplam değerindeki değişimi ifade ediyor.
Altcoin Sezonu Endeksi Bitcoin Sezonuna Yaklaşıyor Zayıflama, altcoinlerin Bitcoin karşısındaki performansını ölçen endekslere de yansıdı. Blockchaincenter’ın 30 günlük Altcoin Month Index göstergesi 29’a kadar geriledi. Bitcoin sezonunun başladığı kabul edilen eşik ise 25.
Buna karşılık 90 günlük Altcoin Season Index, 51 seviyesinde ve nötr bölgede. İki gösterge arasındaki farkın nedeni ölçüm süreleri: 90 günlük endeks ağustos ve eylül aylarındaki yükselişleri de hesaba katarken, 30 günlük gösterge son haftalardaki kayıpları daha hızlı yansıtıyor.
Üstelik 90 günlük endeks 388 gündür altcoin sezonu eşiğine ulaşamadı. Bu da son yükselişin henüz kalıcı ve geniş tabanlı bir altcoin sezonuna dönüşmediğini gösteriyor.
Bitcoin Dominansı %60,7’ye Yükseldi Bitcoin’in toplam kripto para piyasasındaki payı eylül sonundaki yaklaşık %59 seviyesinden %60,7’ye çıktı. Böylece dominans, eylül başındaki %60,4 civarındaki zirveyi de geride bıraktı. Bu seviye, günlük grafikte en azından mayıs sonundan bu yana görülen en yüksek oran olarak öne çıkıyor.
Altcoinler açısından bir diğer önemli veri, borsalardaki sabit coin rezervleri. CryptoQuant verilerine göre Ethereum tabanlı sabit coinlerin borsa rezervi 57,4 milyar dolara geriledi. Kasım 2025’te bu tutar yaklaşık 78 milyar dolardı.
Rezervlerdeki düşüş, borsalarda yeni alımlarda kullanılabilecek sabit coin miktarının azaldığına işaret ediyor. Ancak tek başına bu veri, yatırımcıların alım yapmayı bıraktığını kanıtlamıyor.
Altcoinlerdeki düşüşün ne kadar süreceği henüz belli değil. Fakat 200 günlük ortalamanın altına inen coin sayısının artması, kısa vadeli endeksin Bitcoin sezonu eşiğine yaklaşması ve Bitcoin dominansının yükselmesi, piyasanın yön değiştirdiğini gösteren önemli sinyaller.
Bu içerik genel piyasa verilerine dayanır ve yatırım tavsiyesi değildir. Kendi araştırmanızı yapmanızı öneririz.
Son Dakika kripto para haberleri için hemen tıkla.
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Standard Chartered has enabled eligible wealthy clients in the United Arab Emirates to buy and sell Bitcoin and Ethereum directly through their existing bank accounts.
Standard Chartered has begun offering direct cryptocurrency trading to its wealthy clients classified as professional investors in the United Arab Emirates. Under the new service, eligible clients will be able to buy and sell Bitcoin and Ethereum using their existing bank accounts.
According to the bank’s statement, custody and settlement operations will be conducted within the Standard Chartered ecosystem via a closed-loop model. Therefore, customers will not need to create a separate cryptocurrency wallet, store private keys, or open an account on a third-party exchange.
The service combines Standard Chartered’s asset and retail banking units with its corporate and investment banking activities. Transactions are conducted through the Zodia Markets platform, which is backed by the bank’s venture capital arm, SC Ventures.
Standard Chartered announced that it has received the necessary license approval from the Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority for the service. The bank states that this product is the first of its kind offered by an international bank in the United Arab Emirates. This also marks Standard Chartered’s first foray into offering cryptocurrency trading directly to wealthy individual clients in any country.
The bank had previously launched institutional Bitcoin and Ethereum spot trading through its UK arm, later expanding its institutional service to the UAE. It also offers crypto ETFs, structured products, and over-the-counter derivatives to eligible clients.
It shouldn’t be assumed that the service is open to all individual customers. Users need to meet professional investor requirements, and initially, only Bitcoin and Ethereum are supported. While Standard Chartered has stated its intention to expand the system to other markets, it has not announced any new countries or implementation schedule.
*This is not investment advice.
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Bitcoin has recovered to around $82,500 after briefly falling below $80,000 last week.
But the rebound faces a major test on Wednesday, when fresh US oil inventory data could revive the inflation fears that triggered the selloff.
Macro Conditions Heavily Impact the Market Bitcoin fell to $79,770 on Thursday as investors reacted to another troubling US inflation report. September consumer prices rose 3.7% annually, exceeding the expected 3.6%.
Stronger producer-price and retail-sales figures added to concerns that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates again.The pressure spread across financial markets.
While CPI inflation up to 3.7%, inflation is much higher in many crucial categories:
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 14, 2026 Technology stocks suffered heavy losses, while investors reduced exposure to riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies.
By Monday, however, conditions had improved.Oil prices and US Treasury yields declined, easing some inflation concerns.
Traders also reduced expectations of an immediate Fed rate hike, with markets now pricing in roughly an 87% probability that rates will remain unchanged on October 28.Still, the recovery has a weakness.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately “$228 million in net outflows” last week. Institutional demand has yet to show a convincing turnaround.
US Bitcoin ETF Inflows Between October 12 to October 16. Source: SoSo Value Oil Could Decide Bitcoin’s Next Move According to Bitunix analysts, Wednesday’s US Energy Information Administration crude oil inventory release is a major upcoming catalyst.
A larger-than-expected decline in oil inventories could push energy prices higher, strengthening inflation fears and increasing pressure on Bitcoin.
Conversely, an unexpected inventory increase could weigh on oil prices and ease concerns about further monetary tightening.
For Bitcoin, $80,000 remains the immediate support level. A sustained break below it could trigger another test of last week’s lows.
A recovery above $84,000–$85,000, particularly alongside stronger ETF inflows, would offer more convincing evidence of renewed buying demand.
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Brent crude oil surges above $110 as the US warns Americans in 12 Middle East countries to prepare for cancelled flights and closed airspace.
The alerts say hostilities could spread, and Iran and its allies may target US interests including American businesses. pic.twitter.com/0Hszo1ty6e
— Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) October 19, 2026 Why Some Altcoins Are Defying the Crypto Selloff The weakness extends beyond Bitcoin. Only 40% of the 300 cryptocurrencies tracked by Bitunix gained last week, with a median return of −2.03%.Yet some smaller tokens moved sharply higher.
Basic Attention Token (BAT) surged 99.43%, supported by interest in its expanding Brave browser ecosystem, which reported 128 million monthly users and more than 200,000 Brave Rewards Card registrations.
Speculative trading may have amplified the rally. BAT futures open interest jumped 60% in a single day, while funding rates remained negative, suggesting conditions that could fuel short squeezes.
Meanwhile, Ethereum scaling tokens ZK and STRK gained more than 40% each, reflecting selective interest in zero-knowledge technology.
These gains do not necessarily indicate broader market recovery or increased adoption.
Key Events That Could Move Bitcoin Before November October 21: “US crude oil inventory report” October 23: US business activity data and consumer sentiment figures. October 27–28: “Federal Reserve policy meeting” October 29: “US third-quarter GDP and September PCE inflation” Bitcoin’s recovery has given buyers room to defend $80,000. Whether that support survives the week will depend on how inflation expectations develop and whether stronger demand returns.
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ESMA adds 9 new crypto asset service providers, bringing its total number to 375.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has added nine crypto asset service providers (CASPs) to its register under the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework. The new additions include BingX’s Austrian entity MEGE zweite, YouHodler’s Italian subsidiary, and Santander’s Openbank Deutschland, bringing the total number of registered CASPs to 375.
4 minutes ago
QCP: Bitcoin demonstrates resilience against price declines; a drop below the $80,000 to $88,000 range could trigger a sharp repricing.
QCP Capital’s daily market report today noted that Bitcoin traded in a range of $80,000 to $83,000 last week, with strong support near the $80,000 level and showing resilience amid ongoing pressure on tech stocks. AI financing risks continue to simmer: CoreWeave’s 5-year credit default swap (CDS) spread widened to over 1,100 basis points, reflecting market concerns over debt-driven AI investments. On the macro front, higher-than-expected U.S. CPI once pushed 2-year U.S. Treasury yields to 4.9% and 10-year yields above 5.3%; yields later pulled back on defensive demand. Fed Chair nominee Warsh’s comments on Friday also lowered market expectations for an October rate hike to 15%, down from nearly 30% earlier this week. The pullback in U.S. Treasury yields has supported Bitcoin’s rebound.
QCP pointed out that funds are shifting from the semiconductor sector to healthcare and bank stocks, with markets likely reducing exposure to crowded AI trades, though there is no clear evidence of direct inflows into crypto markets so far. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s implied volatility remains below its one-year average, and market makers’ positive Gamma positions may temporarily cap price swings. However, this stability could weaken as options expire and positions roll over; if Bitcoin breaks sustainably above the $80,000 to $88,000 range, the market may face more sharp price revaluations. This week’s tech giant earnings reports will be a key watchpoint.
4 minutes ago
BNB Foundation completes its 37th quarterly burn, destroying 1.6462 million BNB.
According to official announcements, the BNB Foundation has completed its 37th quarterly token burn, with a total of 1,646,200 BNB tokens burned in this round, valued at approximately $1.197 billion. Post-burn, BNB’s total circulating supply has fallen to around 131.5 million tokens.
4 minutes ago
A new wallet has been liquidated of 8,163 ETH in total over the past 10 hours, worth $19.78 million.
According to Lookonchain's monitoring, the newly created wallet 0xb15b has been liquidated multiple times over the past 10 hours, with a total of 8,163 ETH liquidated, valued at approximately $19.78 million.
4 minutes ago
Analysis: Bitcoin's recovery faces a test as trading platform reserves rebound and spot demand turns negative again.
CryptoQuant certified analyst XWIN Japan stated in a post that the latest on-chain data shows Bitcoin still exhibits signs of bottoming, though its recovery is uneven. Exchange reserves have rebounded, spot demand has turned negative again, and holding behaviors of whales of different sizes have diverged.
1. Exchange reserves rebound: In early October, Bitcoin exchange reserves stood at around 2.67 million coins, and have now risen to approximately 2.68 million. While still lower than the level in January, the rise in reserves does not necessarily mean increased selling pressure; it may also be related to changes in custody methods.
2. Spot demand recovery blocked: The 30-day spot demand indicator once approached zero, then turned negative again. Perpetual contract demand remains positive, providing support for total demand. This indicator differs from the previously discussed apparent demand indicator, and their values cannot be directly compared.
3. Divergence in holdings among different-sized whales: The group holding 100 to 1,000 BTC has remained net buyers over the past 60 days, but the buying intensity is lower than the peak in late September. The net decline in holdings of the group holding 1,000 to 10,000 BTC has narrowed to nearly zero, while the group holding more than 10,000 BTC is still in a net selling state, indicating that buying has not yet spread widely. The above rolling data includes activities before October and may also be affected by address transfers between groups of different holding sizes.
XWIN Japan believes that low exchange reserves and continued net buying by some whales still support Bitcoin's bottoming. However, for a sustainable recovery, spot demand needs to stay positive, buying needs to absorb BTC flowing back into exchanges, and buying behavior needs to expand to more holding groups. Additionally, market expectations from the U.S. midterm elections and monetary policy also need to translate into actual buying.
4 minutes ago
MiniMax finally names "Space Rabbit": M3.1 Flash is set to launch, and the anonymous model's identity has been revealed.
Beating AI News: MiniMax’s official X account posted a teaser with the message “Welcome back, Space Bunny”, announcing the upcoming launch of MiniMax-M3.1-Flash. This marks the first time MiniMax has publicly linked its previously viral anonymous model Space Bunny to the M3.1 Flash line. On September 23, Space Bunny Alpha launched anonymously on OpenRouter and OpenCode, available for free for a limited time. It supports a 1 million-token context window, image and video input, and adjustable inference intensity, once topping the daily usage charts of both platforms. Developers later identified it as highly consistent with MiniMax’s M-series via tokenizer fingerprint and token count tests, though the company never confirmed its identity at the time. In fact, MiniMax opened the public beta of M3.1-Flash-Preview as early as September 27, focusing on high-speed inference and programming tasks. The official API documentation now features MiniMax-M3.1-Flash without the Preview suffix, supporting five levels of inference intensity and tool calling.
The best crypto to buy right now comes down to one number: market cap. Bitcoin has reclaimed $82,000, Ethereum is holding $2,400, and Solana is two days from the largest consensus change in its history — three dated setups where the arithmetic, not the chart, decides which one gives $1,000 the most room to run. As of 01:00 UTC on October 19, 2026, the only one of the three where a 10x is still mathematically possible is Solana, whose Alpenglow upgrade goes live at about 14:50 UTC on October 21, according to Solana’s official upgrade page.
The 10x arithmetic that rules Bitcoin out of the moonshot Bitcoin trades at $82,249, up 0.9% over 24 hours, with a market cap near $1.65 trillion and dominance still north of 60%, per CoinGecko. The size is now the whole story. A 10x from here would value Bitcoin at roughly $16.5 trillion — about six times the value of the entire crypto market today. That is arithmetic, not a forecast, and it makes Bitcoin the capital-preservation pick rather than the upside pick. The reclaim of $82,000 after a Saturday dip below $81,000 follows the same pattern our last look at a Bitcoin reclaim described: round levels hold until a macro catalyst moves them, then they give way. A return to the $126,080 all-time high is a slow grind, not a rerating.
Ethereum’s catalyst is a schedule, not a candle Ethereum trades at $2,414, up 0.3% on the day, with a market cap near $295 billion. The story is the upgrade calendar, not the price. Glamsterdam — the largest change since the Merge — bundles enshrined proposer-builder separation (EIP-7732) with Block-Level Access Lists (EIP-7928), and it is moving through its testnets: Sepolia ran first, Hoodi is next, and mainnet is targeted for the fourth quarter. A 2x from here is a $590 billion outcome, credible for the network that still settles more value than any other, but the trade carries no hard date yet. Ethereum is the middle-risk pick — bigger than Solana, smaller than Bitcoin, still waiting on its catalyst instead of counting down to one.
Why Solana’s Alpenglow is a dated event, not a rumor Solana trades at $104.23, up 0.6% on the day, with a market cap near $61 billion. The catalyst is Alpenglow, which replaces TowerBFT — the consensus mechanism Solana has run since launch — with a voting protocol called Votor. Under TowerBFT, validators post their votes as on-chain transactions and a block becomes final only after 32 slots of votes pile up, a process that takes about 12.8 seconds. Votor changes the mechanics: validators message each other directly, bundle those votes into certificates, and lock a block in one or two rounds of voting. The target is roughly 150 milliseconds to finality — about 99% faster.
Mainnet activation begins at epoch 1064, around 15:00 UTC on October 21, behind feature gate SIMD-0384. That is a hard date attached to a specific mechanism, and our full breakdown of the Alpenglow upgrade walks through what the handoff requires — validators certifying a new genesis block with at least 82% of stake — and what breaks if it misfires.
The arithmetic is where Solana separates. A 10x from a $61 billion market cap is $614 billion, roughly Ethereum’s size today. Solana is the only one of the three where that multiple is still on the table, and the only one with a dated catalyst firing this week. The risk is execution: a consensus migration of this size has never been done mid-flight on a network settling this much volume, and 150 milliseconds is a target, not a measured result. Bitcoin offers safety with the 10x math closed. Ethereum offers a credible 2x with no hard date. Solana offers the only live 10x path, gated on a handoff that has to go right in a single slot. That is the arithmetic and the calendar — the only honest way to answer “what to buy now” while the market chops sideways.
Frequently Asked Questions What is the best crypto to buy now? It depends on the goal. Bitcoin is the capital-preservation pick with the 10x arithmetic closed, Ethereum is a credible 2x play still waiting on its Glamsterdam upgrade, and Solana carries the only live 10x path via the Alpenglow consensus upgrade on October 21 — at the highest execution risk.
Why can’t Bitcoin deliver another 10x? Market-cap arithmetic. A 10x from Bitcoin’s $1.65 trillion market cap would value it near $16.5 trillion, roughly six times the entire crypto market. Larger assets need far more capital to move the same percentage.
When does Solana’s Alpenglow upgrade go live? Mainnet activation begins at epoch 1064, around 15:00 UTC on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, behind feature gate SIMD-0384. It replaces TowerBFT with Votor and targets about 150-millisecond finality, down from roughly 12.8 seconds.
Is Solana’s 150-millisecond finality guaranteed? No. 150 milliseconds is a design target, not a measured result. The migration happens in a single slot and the handoff must be certified by validators holding at least 82% of stake, so execution risk is real.
AUTHOR
Tokoni Uti is a Lagos-based writer with several years of experience. Her work has appeared in the Huffington Post, the Los Angeles Free Press and the San Diego Free press among others. She is a graduate of Bowen University.
A recent forecast from cryptocurrency YouTuber Crypto Rover has generated significant conversation, with bold predictions for the leading digital assets over the next 8 to 16 months.
High targets for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRPCrypto Rover projected that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 during this period, while Ethereum may surpass $10,000. He also expects Solana to climb to $1,000, and sees the possibility for XRP to rally to $5.
He expanded on his XRP outlook, suggesting that in a potential super bull market, XRP’s price could range between $11 and $15. He called on investors to be prepared if such a scenario unfolds.
Crypto Rover envisions a scenario where Bitcoin targets $200,000, Ethereum moves above $10,000, Solana advances to $1,000, and XRP approaches $5, with the possibility of XRP reaching as high as $11 to $15 during a strong market surge.
Currently, Bitcoin trades around $81,500, Ethereum sits near $2,430, Solana is about $104, and XRP is around $1.30. These figures illustrate the substantial growth needed to achieve his targets: Bitcoin would have to increase by 145%, Ethereum by 312%, Solana by 860%, and XRP by approximately 285% to hit $5.
XRP’s biggest potential upsideAmong the projected gains, XRP’s targets are particularly notable. Achieving $5 would mean a 285% jump from current prices. The upper end of his super bull market forecast, between $11 and $15, equates to gains of roughly 746% to 1054%.
This outlook for XRP comes as CoinDesk recently highlighted that the token remains below its 2018 peak and has not delivered returns comparable to Bitcoin or Ethereum. If Crypto Rover’s projections materialize, XRP would surpass its all-time high of $3.65, a move that some proponents expect could attract new institutional interest, especially with regulatory headwinds potentially waning and growing adoption in cross-border payment solutions.
Community reaction and need for liquidityReactions within the crypto community were mixed. Some users voiced support for these ambitious predictions, while others questioned their probability. One observer underscored the critical role of liquidity and Bitcoin confirmation before major altcoins could follow such substantial upward moves.
Doubts also surfaced regarding XRP’s specific targets. While some agreed Solana could reach $1,000, they remained unconvinced about XRP hitting $5, raising skepticism over the credibility of such forecasts. Further skepticism was expressed in light of possible macroeconomic challenges, including inflation, interest rate hikes, geopolitical tensions, and oil price volatility, which could all impact overall crypto market momentum.
Other commentators stated that a proper market-wide bull run would be essential for these levels to become realistic, suggesting that broader market conditions would ultimately dictate any potential surge in large-cap altcoins like XRP.
Given the market’s sensitivity to major macro events and rapid shifts—such as a single decision by the Federal Reserve or an unexpected altcoin listing—retail traders are increasingly moving toward privacy-focused solutions like CryptoAppsy to streamline their trading workflow. By using platforms that offer real-time charts, smart price alerts, coin-specific news, and integrated macro data on one screen and without requiring account creation, investors are able to react quickly and efficiently to emerging trends.
The next 8 to 16 months could see significant changes for crypto investors, given the volatility and unpredictability of the current market environment.
Nearly half of Binance-listed altcoins have dropped back below their 200-day moving average. That share reached 48.4% on October 18, up from under 10% in early October.
Blockchaincenter’s 90-day Altcoin Season Index still reads a neutral 51. However, its 30-day Altcoin Month Index has dropped to 29, close to the 25 level that marks Bitcoin season.
The Rally That Pulled 9 in 10 Altcoins Above Their TrendThe breadth reversal follows a run that started in late August. At that point, 81% of Binance altcoins traded below their 200-day average, analyst Darkfost wrote in a post.
By early October, that share had shrunk to less than 10%. That left roughly 9 in 10 of the exchange’s altcoins in a confirmed uptrend. Darkfost estimated that more than $814 billion flowed into altcoins over those two months.
However, over the past 15 days, more than $134 billion has left altcoins, the analyst estimated. He said quick profit-taking likely drove a large part of that exit.
Percentage of Altcoins Below 200 MA. Source: X/DarkfostFollow us on X to get the latest news as it happens
Bitcoin Takes Back the Lead While Exchange Stablecoins ShrinkThe cooling also appears when altcoins are measured against Bitcoin (BTC). Blockchaincenter’s indexes track how many of the top 50 coins beat Bitcoin over a set period.
Its 30-day gauge rose above the 75 altcoin season threshold in late September before falling to 29. The 90-day index has held up better because its window still includes the August and September gains.
Altcoin Month Index Falling From Above 75 to 29 in October 2026. Source: BlockchaincenterOver the past 90 days, Bitway (BTW) led the top 50 with a 2,993.3% gain. The token of the Bitcoin-compatible blockchain only began trading on March 2, 2026.
Quant (QNT) and NEAR Protocol (NEAR) followed with gains of 199.3% and 163.3%, compared with Bitcoin’s 25.9%. Among the top 50, 7 coins more than doubled, while Ethereum (ETH) beat Bitcoin by just 1.5 points.
Still, the Altcoin Season Index has gone 388 days without reaching altcoin season.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance has climbed to about 60.7%. The metric tracks Bitcoin’s share of total crypto market value, so a rising reading means Bitcoin is holding its value better than the rest of the market.
The reading has risen from roughly 59% in late September. Dominance pushed back above 60% in the second week of October and now sits above its early-September high near 60.4%. That puts it at the highest level on the daily chart since at least late May.
Bitcoin Dominance Daily Chart Climbing to About 60.7%. Source: TradingViewOn the buying side, CryptoQuant data puts exchange reserves of Ethereum-based (ERC-20) stablecoins at $57.4 billion. That compares with almost $78 billion in November 2025. Smaller reserves leave less stablecoin capital parked on exchanges for fresh purchases.
Darkfost noted that altcoin sentiment shifts quickly, but he pointed to a pattern for patient buyers.
“Yet history shows that it is when interest in and performance of altcoins are at their lowest that it becomes worthwhile to consider building an appropriate exposure,” he said.
For now, the 30-day index sits 4 points above Bitcoin season territory, while stablecoin reserves on exchanges continue to shrink.
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