Lawmakers on the US House Financial Services Committee have advanced the American Reserve Modernization Act (ARMA), moving the country closer to establishing a long-term federal reserve for Bitcoin. The committee approved the legislation by a 28-21 vote.
ARMA: Creating a federal Bitcoin reserveThe proposed law, first introduced by Representative Nicholas Begich, seeks to form both a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a Digital Asset Stockpile under the oversight of the US Department of the Treasury. These reserves would hold Bitcoin and other digital assets acquired through criminal and civil forfeiture cases.
Under the bill, the federal government would be required to hold any Bitcoin obtained for a minimum of 20 years before any sale or transfer could take place. The legislation represents the most extended period a US government-held digital asset could be locked in reserve.
Currently, federal holdings include approximately 324,527 Bitcoin, with an estimated value of $24.7 billion, according to Arkham Intelligence.
ARMA also introduces strict transparency and reporting standards. Every federal agency managing digital assets would need to provide quarterly proof-of-reserve statements and undergo regular audits carried out by independent third parties.
ProvisionDetailsMinimum holding period20 yearsCurrent Bitcoin reserve324,527 BTCEstimated value$24.7 billionTransparencyQuarterly proof-of-reserve and independent auditsMini dictionary: Arkham Intelligence is a blockchain analytics company that monitors and reports on the digital asset holdings of entities and governments.
The legislation authorizes states to deposit their own Bitcoin into the federal system and also tasks officials with researching ways to expand reserves without increasing costs for taxpayers. Additionally, it affirms American citizens’ rights to possess and manage their own Bitcoin wallets, highlighting personal control over digital assets as essential to economic and personal liberty.
Mixed reactions in CongressSupporters see the reserve as a way to boost US financial resilience. Representative Bryan Steil argued the measure could “modernize national reserves and help reduce the deficit,” stressing its importance for maintaining global competitiveness. Connor Brown, executive director at the Bitcoin Policy Institute, described the bill’s progress as a significant step for cryptocurrency policy.
Connor Brown framed the committee’s decision as a pivotal development that signals mainstream recognition of digital assets in national strategy.
Opponents, however, questioned the wisdom of tying federal assets to Bitcoin. Representative Bill Foster cited concerns around volatility and risk, asserting that Bitcoin is unsuitable for US government investments.
Representative Foster stated, “I don’t think anyone believes that bitcoin is critical to the U.S. economy.”
The legislative initiative builds on earlier efforts, including a previous version of the proposal known as the BITCOIN Act, previously backed by Begich and Senator Cynthia Lummis.
Legislative process aheadThe ARMA bill also seeks to formalize an executive directive issued by President Donald Trump in 2025, which called for the establishment of a Bitcoin reserve using cryptocurrency already in federal custody. Trump’s directive instructed federal agencies to explore methods of growing the reserve without additional taxpayer cost.
Legal uncertainties remain regarding the Treasury Department’s authority over such reserves, as raised in July media reports. Passage by the House committee marks a milestone, but further votes are needed in both the full House of Representatives and the Senate before the proposal can be submitted to the president for signature.
Key Takeaways On September 16, the FCA released comprehensive guidance detailing which cryptocurrency operations require authorization under Britain’s forthcoming regulatory structure The application window opens September 30, while the complete regulatory framework becomes operational October 25, 2027 Current registrations and existing permissions won’t automatically transfer into the new authorization system Companies wanting transitional accommodations face a February 28, 2027 application deadline International operators, including American firms with UK clientele, may require FCA authorization Britain’s Financial Conduct Authority unveiled comprehensive guidance on September 16, clarifying which cryptocurrency business activities will require formal authorization when the country’s new regulatory framework launches in October 2027.
9 of Top 10 UK Retail Banks Block or Limit Crypto Transactions
UK retail banks will not be forced to lift blanket restrictions on payments routed to cryptocurrency exchanges even after the Financial Conduct Authority’s (FCA) comprehensive crypto regulatory regime takes effect in… pic.twitter.com/Zc2THLXHN6
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) September 16, 2026
The regulatory guidance encompasses numerous business activities, including stablecoin issuance, operating digital asset exchanges, dealing in cryptocurrencies, facilitating transactions, providing cryptoasset custody services, and administering staking programs.
According to the FCA, companies cannot simply depend on their own business descriptions. The regulator will evaluate authorization needs based on the actual functions and services a firm provides.
Current Licenses Won’t Automatically Transfer A critical consideration for companies currently operating in Britain: existing FCA registrations and regulatory permissions won’t automatically migrate to the new authorization framework.
Businesses registered under Britain’s anti-money laundering regulations must also undergo the new authorization procedure. Those existing registrations serve a more limited purpose and won’t satisfy requirements under the forthcoming framework.
Organizations holding different regulatory authorizations may need to request permission modifications if they intend to conduct regulated cryptocurrency activities.
“Preparing for regulation begins with comprehending how this framework impacts your operations,” stated David Geale, who serves as the FCA’s executive director overseeing consumers, payments and competition.
Critical Dates for Crypto Businesses The application portal launches September 30, providing businesses more than a year for preparation before the framework’s October 25, 2027 implementation date.
However, organizations seeking transitional arrangements must meet an earlier February 28, 2027 submission deadline. Failing to meet this date could result in forfeiting access to transitional provisions.
The FCA completed the majority of its regulatory package in June after multiple industry consultation rounds. The Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Cryptoassets) Regulations 2026 received Parliamentary approval in February.
The finalized regulations address stablecoin reserve requirements and redemptions, cryptocurrency custody standards, operational resilience expectations, consumer protection measures, and capital adequacy requirements. Additional regulations tackle token listing procedures and misconduct prevention on trading platforms.
The FCA intends to seek feedback on modifications concerning stablecoins, proprietary trading operations, market making activities, and certain technology service providers in October. Decentralized protocol frameworks and specific custody structures will undergo additional examination.
International Firms Face Requirements American companies serving British clients or conducting operations in the UK market may need FCA authorization, regardless of existing US licensing.
Regulatory approval from the SEC, CFTC, or state-level authorities doesn’t substitute for FCA authorization when conducting regulated activities in Britain. The United States and United Kingdom are following distinct timelines with separate legislative frameworks.
During September, the House of Lords approved an amendment by a 194 to 138 margin mandating the Treasury publish a comprehensive national digital asset strategy within twelve months of the Financial Services and Markets Bill’s enactment.
The FCA and Bank of England additionally plan to release a tokenization roadmap for wholesale financial markets before year’s end.
Quick Summary Senate cloture vote on the CLARITY Act failed Tuesday, missing the required 60-vote threshold for advancement According to Digital Sovereignty Alliance managing director Adrian Wall, bipartisan senators are exploring revival options A lame-duck session attempt remains possible, though Wall characterizes it as “a long shot” Wall emphasized these discussions came directly from senators rather than their staff members Should current efforts stall, the incoming Congress may address crypto market structure legislation Despite this week’s Senate setback, the CLARITY Act might find a second life in Congress. Adrian Wall, managing director of the Digital Sovereignty Alliance—a nonprofit organization that collaborates with legislators on digital asset policy—shared this outlook.
The CLARITY Act, which addresses crypto market structure, could see renewed action in the upcoming lame-duck session, according to Adrian Wall of the Digital Sovereignty Alliance. Lawmakers from both parties are reportedly discussing ways to move the bill forward before the…
— Polaris Advisory (@polarisadvisory) September 17, 2026
During Wednesday’s appearance on Cointelegraph’s Chain Reaction show hosted on X, Wall revealed he has engaged in direct conversations with senators across the political spectrum who are considering another attempt at advancing the crypto market structure legislation before the current congressional term concludes.
“There is an appetite to put this forward even during the lame duck period of Congress,” Wall explained. “Is it easy? No. It’s going to be very complicated. It’s a long shot.”
Senate Vote Outcome Tuesday’s cloture vote on the CLARITY Act came up short of the 60 votes necessary to advance the legislation through the Senate. Wall characterized this outcome as a “huge blow” to the bill’s prospects.
Nevertheless, Wall indicated that opportunities remain for the legislation. He underscored that his information originated from senators directly rather than through intermediary congressional staff members.
“I’ve heard it directly from senators on both sides saying they have a strategy to engage the other side and see if there’s a last chance to do it,” Wall stated.
The lame-duck session represents the congressional period following elections but preceding the swearing-in of newly elected members. This timeframe frequently serves as a final opportunity to advance legislation that stalled during the regular session.
Future Prospects Wall maintained realistic expectations about a lame-duck revival attempt, acknowledging the challenges. Securing sufficient votes for significant legislation during this compressed timeframe presents substantial obstacles.
However, he emphasized that even if the lame-duck strategy falls short, the groundwork laid won’t be squandered. The incoming Congress could resume efforts on crypto market structure legislation from the current foundation.
The CLARITY Act has emerged as one of the most closely monitored cryptocurrency bills in recent congressional sessions. The legislation seeks to establish definitive regulatory frameworks for digital assets, particularly addressing whether they should be classified under securities or commodities law.
Such regulatory clarity has been a persistent demand from the cryptocurrency sector, which has criticized what it perceives as arbitrary and inconsistent enforcement actions by regulatory agencies.
Wall’s remarks indicate that legislative momentum around crypto market structure continues, regardless of whether the current Congress completes action on the bill.
The Digital Sovereignty Alliance maintains active engagement with both legislators and regulatory bodies on digital asset policy matters and has been instrumental in advocating for the CLARITY Act’s passage.
Tuesday’s unsuccessful cloture vote represents the latest obstacle for the legislation in the present congressional session.
A software company that pivoted to hoarding Bitcoin now moves more shares per day than the investment vehicle built by the most famous investor alive. Strategy Inc., the company formerly known as MicroStrategy, has surpassed Berkshire Hathaway in daily trading volume, a development that would have sounded like satire five years ago.
The crossover first occurred in late December 2025 and has persisted into 2026, with MSTR frequently ranking among the most actively traded stocks on US exchanges. On certain days in August 2026, the stock traded between 46 and 49 million shares, generating up to $4.4B in daily turnover and landing as the 10th-most active US equity.
From enterprise software to Bitcoin treasury By mid-2026, Strategy held more than 800,000 BTC on its balance sheet. To put that in perspective, that’s roughly 4% of all the Bitcoin that will ever exist, concentrated in a single publicly traded company. The firm accumulated this position through a series of aggressive capital raises, including billions raised through preferred equity offerings designed specifically to fund additional Bitcoin purchases.
The result is a stock that now outpaces not just Berkshire Hathaway but also major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley in daily trading volume. At various points, MSTR has ranked between the 25th and 27th most-traded US equity.
Why volume matters High volume in MSTR reflects several overlapping dynamics. First, the stock’s tight correlation with Bitcoin means it attracts activity whenever crypto markets move. Second, Strategy’s capital structure amplifies this effect. The company has raised billions through various equity and debt instruments to buy more Bitcoin, which increases the float and gives more traders access to shares. Short interest has also contributed to elevated turnover, as bearish bets require borrowing and returning shares, adding layers of trading activity on top of organic buying and selling.
Third, there’s the index and ETF effect. As MSTR’s market cap and trading volume have grown, it has attracted inclusion in various indices and become a core holding in several thematic ETFs, creating a self-reinforcing cycle where passive fund flows add to the volume generated by active traders.
For now, the volume numbers tell a clear story. Investors, whether they’re bullish, bearish, or simply trading the volatility, can’t stop watching MSTR. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway was built to be the kind of stock you buy and forget about. Michael Saylor’s Strategy was built to be the kind of stock you can’t look away from. The trading volume reflects exactly that difference.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Key Takeaways Senate rejection of the CLARITY Act came Tuesday with a 49-50 vote, far below the required 60-vote threshold Paul Atkins, SEC Chair, promised “decisive” action through existing statutory powers regardless of congressional inaction CFTC’s Mike Selig declared his agency is prepared and “ready to ship its rules” Market analysts at Bernstein predict “aggressive and swift” regulatory actions from both watchdogs JPMorgan warned that agency-created regulations lack the permanence of congressional laws and face potential legal challenges In a closely watched vote on Tuesday, the US Senate rejected the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act by a margin of 49-50, missing the required 60-vote supermajority by a significant margin. Had it passed, this legislation would have established America’s inaugural comprehensive federal framework governing digital assets.
LATEST: 🇺🇸 Bernstein expects the SEC and CFTC to pursue "aggressive and swift" crypto rulemaking after the CLARITY Act failed its Senate cloture vote. pic.twitter.com/1bDbBGfliV
— CoinMarketCap (@CoinMarketCap) September 17, 2026
In the aftermath of this legislative setback, leadership at both the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced plans to proceed with regulatory initiatives under their current mandates.
Paul Atkins, leading the SEC, declared the commission will “act decisively within the SEC’s statutory authority to deliver certainty for American investors.” Meanwhile, Mike Selig at the CFTC stated his organization is “locked in and ready to ship its rules for the new frontier of finance.”
Coinbase’s CEO Brian Armstrong offered a concise reaction on X: “The CFTC and SEC are stepping up. Go time.”
The Reasons Behind Legislative Failure Democratic lawmakers primarily voted against the measure citing apprehensions regarding President Trump’s involvement in cryptocurrency ventures and ethical questions surrounding specific provisions within the proposed law. When Republicans dismissed a counteroffer from Democrats, prospects for bipartisan compromise evaporated.
A Republican Senate staffer informed The Block that the legislation appears dead on arrival. While Senator Thom Tillis maintained optimism about potential revival, Bernstein’s analytical team deemed another vote improbable given the compressed timeline before November’s electoral cycle.
According to Bernstein, this legislative defeat eliminates what they characterized as a “fool-proof” safeguard protecting the cryptocurrency sector from future regulatory reversals driven by political changes.
Expected Regulatory Framework In a Wednesday research note, Bernstein analysts detailed anticipated regulatory actions from federal agencies. Their projections include classification guidelines for token offerings during capital formation, protective measures for developers working on decentralized finance platforms and self-custody protocols, and exemptions designed to encourage innovation in tokenized equity markets.
Additional expectations include expedited approval processes for perpetual futures contracts backed by real-world assets and modifications to regulations concerning federal sports betting markets.
The SEC had already begun moving in this direction on August 19, unveiling proposed regulations to create a “clear and fit-for-purpose framework” governing cryptocurrency investment contracts.
Under these proposed guidelines, companies could issue tokens valued up to $5 million across four years, or alternatively up to $75 million within a 12-month period. A safe harbor mechanism would provide exemptions for specific cryptocurrencies, preventing their classification as investment contracts.
Atkins had telegraphed this regulatory approach previously. During a July 27 CNBC interview, he stated the SEC stood “ready, willing, and able to come out with rules” should the Senate fail to advance the CLARITY Act.
JPMorgan’s research team concurred that both agencies will likely move expeditiously, though they emphasized that agency-promulgated regulations carry greater vulnerability compared to legislative action. Subsequent administrations retain authority to rescind them, and they remain susceptible to judicial challenges.
The trajectory for cryptocurrency regulation in America has now pivoted from Capitol Hill to federal regulatory agencies, at least for the foreseeable future.
Bitcoin’s on-chain data is telling a story that runs counter to the doom-and-gloom mood hanging over crypto markets. A CryptoQuant Quicktake report published on September 17, authored by contributor Crypto Dan, finds that the percentage of Bitcoin UTXOs currently sitting at a loss has dropped sharply, a pattern that has historically marked the tail end of bear cycles rather than the beginning of new ones.
A Fed rate hike, the first since 2023, and the US Senate’s narrow rejection of the CLARITY Act just two days earlier have given traders plenty of reasons to fret. But CryptoQuant’s conclusion is straightforward: structural improvements on the Bitcoin network outweigh those macro pressures, making a full return to bear market territory unlikely.
What the UTXO data actually shows UTXOs, or unspent transaction outputs, are essentially the building blocks of Bitcoin’s ledger. Think of them as individual coins sitting in wallets, each carrying the price at which they were last moved. When a large share of UTXOs are “in loss,” meaning the current price is below the price at which those coins last changed hands, it signals widespread pain across the network.
The key finding in Crypto Dan’s analysis is that this “in loss” percentage has been falling significantly. That matters because, historically, a rapid decline in UTXOs sitting at a loss has coincided with the transition from bearish to bullish market regimes.
The report doesn’t cite specific price targets, but the directional signal is clear: the network’s structural health is improving in ways that have reliably preceded bullish phases in prior cycles.
Macro headwinds haven’t gone away The Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates, its first hike since 2023, has tightened financial conditions at a moment when risk assets could use some breathing room.
The US Senate voted 49-50 against the CLARITY Act on September 15, a procedural failure that dealt a blow to hopes for comprehensive crypto legislation. The bill had been positioned as a framework for classifying digital assets, and its defeat leaves the industry in the same regulatory gray zone it has occupied for years.
CryptoQuant acknowledges both of these headwinds. But the report’s central argument is that on-chain dynamics tend to exert more influence over Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory than short-lived economic or political events.
CryptoQuant’s evolving stance This report represents a meaningful shift in CryptoQuant’s own positioning. The analytics firm had confirmed bear market conditions in late 2025, a call that proved well-timed as Bitcoin struggled through a prolonged downturn. The transition from that bearish stance to a more optimistic outlook has been gradual, unfolding over the course of mid-to-late 2026 as on-chain metrics steadily improved.
The analytical framework here prioritizes blockchain-native signals over external catalysts. The primary signal is what’s happening on-chain: who’s holding, who’s selling, and how much of the network is in financial distress.
What this means for the market For investors, the UTXO analysis offers a data-driven counterpoint to the anxiety created by the Fed and the Senate. It doesn’t guarantee a rally, and it doesn’t eliminate the risk of short-term drawdowns. What it does suggest is that the foundation for sustained downside, the kind of widespread holder distress that fuels extended bear markets, is eroding.
Traders navigating this environment face a classic tension between time horizons. Short-term, the macro picture is messy. A rate hike cycle creates overhead resistance, and the CLARITY Act’s failure means regulatory clarity remains elusive. Longer-term, the on-chain data paints a more constructive picture, with the network shedding the distress that characterized the bear phase. The wild card is whether this cycle’s macro environment, specifically a tightening Fed, creates enough gravitational pull to overwhelm the on-chain improvements. CryptoQuant is betting it won’t.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan stated that the upward trend in Bitcoin’s price could continue as long as debt-related concerns do not ease. Hougan supported his assessment with a chart he shared on social media platform X, highlighting the relationship between market developments and Bitcoin’s performance.
According to Hougan’s chart, between July 1st and September 15th, the probability of the US Clarity Act being passed this year dropped from 39% to 18% in the Polymarket. During the same period, the price of Bitcoin increased by 38%.
The data reveals that expectations regarding regulatory developments in the cryptocurrency market are not aligning with Bitcoin’s price movement. Hougan stated that, based on this picture, concerns about the US debt outlook have become a significant factor in market pricing.
The Clarity Act is one of the legislative proposals aimed at clarifying the regulatory framework for crypto assets in the United States. Its progress through the legislative process is influenced by procedural votes in the Senate.
A previous cloture vote in the US Senate failed to secure the necessary support to move the bill to the next stage. The cloture procedure aims to end discussions on a bill, paving the way for it to be considered in the Senate General Assembly.
Hougan’s assessment suggests that Bitcoin’s recent performance is linked not only to developments specific to the crypto sector, but also to broader macroeconomic factors such as the US fiscal outlook and investor debt concerns. However, the future trajectory of Bitcoin’s price depends on numerous different market conditions.
*This is not investment advice.
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Bitcoin's reaction may depend less on this rate hike and more on whether the Fed continues tightening monetary policy.
Bitcoin and crypto markets turned volatile on Wednesday after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points. The Fed lifted its target range to 3.75%-4%. The move was widely expected, but BTC still briefly dropped below $75,000 before recovering to around $76,400.
Analysts remain divided on what could come next.
BTC Recovers After Fed Shock Doctor Profit dismissed the bearish reaction. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s bottom was already in at $57,000. He also said he is holding the BTC he bought between $60,000 and $64,000 and has no plans to sell. Earlier, the market commentator had pointed to $71,000 as the market’s “max pain” level while maintaining a bullish outlook toward $88,000.
Meanwhile, Ali Martinez also said he is prepared for another sell-off. While identifying Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holder Realized Price near $71,200 as a major level to watch, the analyst explained that he would consider that area a potential accumulation zone if BTC falls further.
Santiment, on the other hand, flagged a sharp rise in social discussions around the FOMC, interest rates, and the 25-basis-point move as the meeting approached. Bitcoin was already facing several pressures before the rate decision.
The crypto asset’s price pulled back after the previous day’s CLARITY Act setback. ETF outflows, higher Treasury yields, and liquidations had also added to the pressure. The bigger issue now is whether this rate hike remains an isolated move or becomes the start of another tightening cycle. The Fed’s latest projections point to at least one more hike in 2026. That keeps future policy decisions in focus for crypto traders.
One More Hike Remains in Focus Santiment noted that traders had recently considered much more aggressive rate-hike scenarios. The latest projections provide a less aggressive baseline, with another 25-basis-point move effectively at the center of the current outlook.
You may also like: Why XRP Was Hit Hardest After the CLARITY Act Senate Failure Analyst Says This Setup Could Send Bitcoin Above $90K by November Bitcoin Stays Stuck as Traders Wait for the Fed’s Next Move For Bitcoin, the next phase will therefore be about expectations around future Fed policy. Softer inflation, lower energy prices, or weaker economic data could change those expectations. However, persistent inflation could push them in the opposite direction.
“The bullish case is that traders had already priced a much uglier path, the first hike is now behind us, and one additional move may prove manageable if inflation finally begins cooling. For crypto, the direction of expectations from here could matter far more than the 25 basis points that just arrived.”
Key Highlights The German banking giant intends to roll out regulated cryptocurrency custody services in late 2026, awaiting final regulatory clearance Supported digital assets will include Bitcoin, Ethereum, USDC, EURC, and EURAU for enterprise-level clients With $2.217 trillion in managed assets as of June 30, Deutsche Bank represents significant institutional entry into crypto BaFin authorization remains a prerequisite before the platform becomes operational The bank’s crypto journey began in 2015, with a strategic Taurus partnership formed in 2023 Deutsche Bank, a leading European financial institution, has revealed its intention to launch regulated digital asset custody solutions for institutional investors by the end of 2026.
The Germany-headquartered institution confirmed that its platform will accommodate Bitcoin, Ethereum, and multiple stablecoins such as USDC, EURC, and EURAU. Institutional customers won’t need to develop proprietary technology stacks. The bank will handle wallet administration, private key security, and external transaction processing.
With assets under management totaling $2.217 trillion as of mid-year, and an operational history dating back to 1870, Deutsche Bank represents one of the most established financial entities entering the cryptocurrency custody sector.
Germany will serve as the initial launch market. The service will cater to clients from Deutsche Bank’s Corporate Banking and Investment Banking segments, encompassing institutional asset managers, alternative investment funds, brokerage firms, custody providers, and governmental entities.
According to Gerald Podobnik, Co-Head of Corporate Bank at Deutsche Bank, digital assets should be viewed as an extension of conventional finance rather than a substitute.
Technical Safeguards and Platform Architecture The custody platform will implement hardware-secured key management and maintain distinct hot and cold wallet infrastructures. Additional protective measures include multi-signature authorization protocols and comprehensive backup and disaster recovery systems.
Third-party technology vendors will contribute to certain infrastructure elements. While the bank hasn’t disclosed all partners publicly, Taurus and Bitpanda have been associated with the initiative in previous reports.
The digital asset portfolio may expand following launch. Any new cryptocurrency additions will undergo rigorous vetting, including market demand assessment, internal product authorization, risk evaluation, and compliance verification.
Years in Development Deutsche Bank’s blockchain exploration began nearly a decade ago in 2015. The institution became part of the R3 blockchain consortium in 2016 and had cryptocurrency custody under internal consideration by the close of 2020.
A pivotal partnership with Swiss technology provider Taurus was established in 2023 for custody infrastructure development, coinciding with the bank’s application for German digital asset custody licensing.
Meanwhile, DWS, the bank’s majority-controlled asset management subsidiary, advanced its own initiatives. The Allunity project obtained BaFin e-money authorization in July 2025 and introduced EURAU, the euro-denominated token now included in Deutsche Bank’s custody offering.
Tokenized securities and other financial instruments are under consideration for future phases, though no specific deployment schedule has been announced.
The service remains in pre-launch status. Final authorization under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulatory framework is outstanding. Launch timing, geographical availability, and asset coverage remain subject to modification.
Deutsche Bank isn’t pioneering this territory among European banks. Standard Chartered and BBVA currently provide institutional cryptocurrency custody. Commerzbank obtained its BaFin crypto custody authorization in 2023.
However, Deutsche Bank’s institutional footprint elevates the significance of this development. When a financial institution managing more than $2 trillion begins offering Bitcoin and Ethereum custody, it represents meaningful progress in integrating cryptocurrency into established institutional finance.
Leading cryptocurrencies lifted late on Wednesday after a House Committee moved forward with a bill to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
Crypto Market’s Late RallyBitcoin surged late in the evening as the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bill passed the House Financial Services Committee for congressional consideration. Ethereum and other altcoins also recorded a spike.
Cryptocurrency-related stocks also fell, with Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) and Bitmine Immersion Technologies Inc. (NYSE:BMNR) closing down 2.64% and 3.35%, respectively.
Over $330 million was liquidated from the cryptocurrency market in the last 24 hours, with $185 million in bearish short bets evaporated, according to Coinglass data.
Bitcoin’s open interest rose 0.68% over the last 24 hours, in line with the spot price increase. Smart money sentiment, which refers to the collective outlook and capital allocation of institutional investors, turned "extremely bullish."
Top Gainers (24 Hours)
Cryptocurrency market capitalization sits at $2.58 trillion after a 0.79% drop in the last 24 hours.
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Stocks Slide After Rate HikeThe stock market sank deeper on Wednesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 631.21 points, or 1.21%, to close at 51,461.90. The S&P 500 fell 0.45% to end at 7,551.81, while the Nasdaq Composite closed 0.01% lower at 25,978.42.
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As widely expected, the Fed raised the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, marking its first rate hike since 2023.
The Federal Open Market Committee noted “elevated” inflation in its policy statement.
What’s the Next ‘Major’ Accumulation Zone?Ali Martinez, a widely followed cryptocurrency analyst and trader, said they’re not panicking due to the rate hike. Instead, they viewed the Short-Term Holder Realized Price near $71,200 as the “next major accumulation zone.”
“If the market gives me that opportunity, I’ll be ready,” he added.
On-chain analytics firm Santiment noted that crowd sentiment for BTC has moved from “FOMO” back into “Fear.”
“But when expectations become this one-sided, remember that markets typically always move in the opposite direction of the extreme group-think,” the firm added.
PANews, September 17 — According to SoSoValue data, the Fed's rate cut has landed, and the crypto market has rebounded broadly, with the PayFi sector performing strongly, rising 5.03% in 24 hours. Among them, Zcash (ZEC) rose 23.28%, and Dash (DASH) rose 17.21%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) rose 1.28%, breaking through $76,000; Ethereum (ETH) rose 1.63%, fluctuating narrowly around the $2,400 mark.
In other sectors, the Layer2 sector rose 4.91% in 24 hours, with Lisk (LSK) up 31.79%; the Layer1 sector rose 3.71%, with NEAR Protocol (NEAR) up 14.64%; the DeFi sector rose 3.49%, with Bedrock Token (BR) up 177.57%; the Meme sector rose 1.97%, with Bulla (BULLA) up 46.68%; the CeFi sector rose 1.96%, with Aster (ASTER) up 5.77%.
The GameFi sector, which surged sharply yesterday, saw a pullback, falling 8.10% in 24 hours. Within the sector, Akedo (AKE) dropped 32.24%.
The crypto sector indices reflecting historical sector performance show that the ssiAI, ssiLayer2, and ssiDeFi indices rose 6.02%, 4.98%, and 3.77%, respectively.
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, its first hike since 2023. Bitcoin (BTC) climbed anyway, defying the old assumption that tighter policy always hurts risk assets.
Markets had priced in the move for days. That gap between expectation and reaction explains most of Wednesday’s price action, though it is not the whole story.
The Rate Hike Was Already Priced InInterest rate futures put the odds of a hike at 92.7% just hours before the FOMC decision, according to BeInCrypto. Traders had already positioned for it well in advance.
Bitcoin dropped to around $75,350 shortly before the decision, then jumped past $76,100 within minutes of the release. It went as high as $76,500 after the markets closed in the US, to then settled near $76,138.
BTC saw some volatility after the hike but has mostly trended upward. Image Source: CoinGeckoResearch on past Fed cycles describes something similar. Traders who adjust positions before an announcement often barely react to the actual decision, sometimes even bouncing higher instead.
A Hawkish Surprise Would Have Hurt MoreScott Melker, host of Yahoo Finance’s Daily Wolf, argued a credible, one-time hike could calm long-term yields rather than spook markets. The condition was that Chair Kevin Warsh avoided signaling a longer tightening cycle.
Updated Fed projections show 16 of 18 officials now expect another hike before year-end, up sharply from nine in June. Yet the committee’s decision passed by a unanimous 12-0 vote, with the statement itself striking a measured tone.
Gold moved in a similar pattern. Spot prices spiked toward $4,360 right after the release, then sold off to settle between $4,280 and $4,300. The round trip points to quick profit-taking rather than genuine alarm.
Gold fell, then rose again, suggesting profit-taking rather than fear. Image Source: Trading EconomicsCrypto-Specific Drivers Are Doing the Heavy LiftingThe Fed is not the only force moving prices this week. Bitcoin and XRP were already sliding after the CLARITY Act’s failure in the Senate, a bill meant to settle which federal regulator polices digital assets.
That setback alone wiped out more than $300 million in leveraged positions. Bitcoin and Ether ETFs then lost a combined $592 million to withdrawals on September 15, their worst single day of outflows in months.
Meanwhile, the broader top-10 board looked mixed rather than uniformly bullish. Zcash (ZEC) rallied more than 20% over seven days while XRP slipped, a reminder that altcoin-specific narratives can override the macro backdrop entirely.
With 16 policymakers still eyeing another hike this year, the next real test for crypto may not be the Fed’s next meeting. It may be whether the CLARITY Act debate reopens before then.
Disclaimer
This Analysis reflects BeInCrypto's editorial interpretation of information and data available at publication and may become outdated. It is general and non-personalised, does not consider your circumstances, and is not investment research, financial, investment, legal or tax advice, an offer or a recommendation. Forecasts, targets, technical analysis and forward-looking statements are uncertain and may not materialise; past performance and indicators do not predict future results. References to assets, products or providers do not imply endorsement. Crypto-assets and financial products may result in total loss. Verify material information before acting.
Zcash jumps 23% as bitcoin and major tokens rise despite Fed’s first hike since 2023. (CoinDesk Data)Summary
Zcash surged 23% to about $1,369 as Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies advanced alongside global stocks.Zcash’s rally coincided with Paradigm co-founder Matt Huang’s disclosure that the investment firm owns ZEC and his description of the token as “a private complement to Bitcoin.”The broader market rebounded after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point, a widely expected move that investors viewed as unlikely to begin an aggressive tightening cycle.Privacy token Zcash surged 23% over the past 24 hours as bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies rose overnight into Asian morning hours Thursday, alongside a recovery in stock futures following the Federal Reserve’s first interest-rate increase since 2023.
ZEC traded near $1,369, while bitcoin edged up less than 1% to about $76,258. Solana gained nearly 3% to just below $100. BNB and HYPE, the token of crypto trading platform Hyperliquid, added more than 2%, while ether, XRP and dogecoin rose between 1% and 2%.
ZEC’s surge coincided with comments from Matt Huang, co-founder of prominent crypto investment firm Paradigm, who discussed its role as a privacy complement to bitcoin and disclosed that his firm owns ZEC, per an X post.
Zcash lets users send money without publicly revealing who paid whom or how much. Its holders recently backed proposals to make payments faster while keeping scheduled cuts to the creation of new coins, a feature it shares with bitcoin.
Huang, whose firm owns ZEC, described Zcash as “a private complement to Bitcoin.” He supported continued funding for its developers, while arguing that votes by coin holders should be combined with other ways of deciding changes to the network.
Read More: Zcash holders overwhelmingly back faster transactions and bitcoin-style halvings
The broader crypto rebound came after the Fed raised its benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point to a range of 3.75% to 4%.
Higher rates make borrowing more expensive and can reduce the money available for speculative investments. They also increase the appeal of interest-paying cash and government debt relative to bitcoin, which pays no income simply for holding it.
An expected increase can still be followed by rising crypto prices if investors become less concerned about how much further rates will climb. The Fed’s median projection put the policy rate at 4.1% at the end of both 2026 and 2027, consistent with one further quarter-point increase this year.
Jeff Ko, chief analyst at ViaBTC, said in an email that Wednesday’s increase was largely priced in.
“To me, the Fed is signaling that it does not currently envisage an aggressive tightening cycle, while markets appear reassured by its efforts to contain inflation.”
S&P 500 futures rose 0.6% and Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.7%, while Asian equities added 0.3%. The two-year Treasury yield, which is sensitive to expectations for Fed policy, eased two basis points to 4.71% after reaching its highest since 2024 during the previous session.
12345678910The Definitive Stablecoin Landscape Series: Asia Pacific
The Definitive Stablecoin Landscape Series: Asia Pacific
As stablecoins move into regulated finance, APAC is becoming a key proving ground. This report maps the region’s rules, use cases, and RLUSD’s role.
Sep 15, 2026
As stablecoins move into regulated finance, APAC is becoming a key proving ground. This report maps the region’s rules, use cases, and RLUSD’s role.
Why it matters:
As stablecoins move into regulated finance, APAC is becoming a key proving ground. This report maps the region’s rules, use cases, and RLUSD’s role.
Several altcoins have marked major gains today, which is rather unexpected given yesterday's rate hike and CLARITY Act's failure.
Bitcoin’s expected price volatility ahead of and after the FOMC meeting indeed took place, with the asset posting a few major moves, but it has overall survived the first rate hike in three years, currently trading above $76,000.
The altcoins are also well in the green today, with SOL touching $100 and ZEC exploding by over 14%.
BTC Above $76K as the Dust Settles The current business week was expected to be a big one for the cryptocurrency industry, and it was quite eventful, even though it’s far from over. At the end of the previous one, BTC plunged to $76,000 after the release of the CPI data, before it suddenly rocketed to almost $80,000, where it was rejected and driven south to $77,000. It spent the weekend there and dipped again on Monday to $76,500.
However, the bulls went on the offensive later that day and pushed the cryptocurrency to $79,500. Another rejection followed as the market braced for the upcoming cloture vote on the CLARITY Act. The Senate vote ultimately failed, and BTC went from $77,250 to a month low of $75,000 in minutes.
It recovered to $76,000 on Wednesday as all eyes turned to the Fed. For the first time in three years, the US central bank raised the rates unanimously with a 12-0 vote. At first, BTC dipped to $75,000 before it shot up by $1,500. It failed there again, slipping by a grand before it rebounded and now sits at $76,500.
Its market cap has recovered to $1.530 trillion on CMC, while its dominance over the alts has retreated slightly to 58.7%.
BTCUSD September 17. Source: TradingView ZEC Flies Again Ethereum is up by just over 1.5% daily and sits close to $2,450. BNB has posted a similar increase, currently trading at $725. SOL has neared $100, while XRP, TRX, HYPE, DOGE, and LINK are also in the green. ZEC stands in a league of its own again. The privacy token has rocketed by over 14% and now trades above $1,350. In contrast, RAIN has plummeted by nearly 8%.
NEAR, CRO, PUMP, UNI, CC, DOT, ENA, and ONDO are well in the green among the larger-cap alts, with gains of up to 14.6% in the case of NEAR.
The total crypto market cap has increased by over 1% daily, and it’s up to $2.610 trillion on CMC.
Cryptocurrency Market Overview September 17. Source: QuantifyCrypto Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Solana (SOL): SOL is testing the crucial $96–$98 support zone as momentum weakens, with a break below $96 potentially exposing $92–$93, while bulls need to reclaim $100–$104 to stabilize the structure.
XRP (XRP): XRP's breakdown below $1.35 has sharply weakened its technical setup, leaving $1.25–$1.28 as critical support and opening the door toward $1.20–$1.15 if that zone fails.
Bitcoin (BTC): BTC is losing short-term momentum around $75,000–$76,000, with $71,500–$73,500 forming the main support cluster, while a recovery above $77,000–$78,000 is needed to improve the near-term picture.
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Tron (TRX): TRX remains compressed around $0.333–$0.335 rather than showing a major momentum breakdown, with $0.325–$0.330 supporting the structure and $0.340–$0.345 acting as the key upside barrier.
Solana enters correctionFollowing the dramatic August breakout that propelled SOL from about $75 to a peak above $110, Solana is currently undergoing its first significant test. Currently trading at about $97, the asset is well above the major moving averages that supported the broader reversal but significantly below its local high.
Weakening short-term momentum is the current issue. SOL consistently failed to break above $102–$104, and subsequent rallies resulted in ever-weaker attempts to move back toward $106–$110.
SHIB/USDT Chart by TradingViewThe price dropped below its short-term moving average near $98 due to the most recent decline, making the $96–$98 region especially crucial. The correction may continue toward $92–$93, where the long-term and rising medium-term moving averages are converging, if there is a persistent break below $96. This is an area of significantly stronger technical support.
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Below it, $88–$90 is the next target. Having spent a large portion of the post-breakout period above 50, the RSI has also dropped toward the mid-40s. Even though SOL is far from oversold, this indicates that momentum is waning.
Bulls must reclaim $100 first. The short-term structure would be strengthened by a move above $104, but $110 remains the primary breakout level needed for a further increase.
XRP dives deeperThe technical picture for XRP has deteriorated far more sharply. After falling from the $1.40–$1.45 consolidation range, the asset is currently trading at about $1.27. The most recent daily candle drove XRP through about $1.35, which served as both the long-term moving average's location and horizontal support.
XRP/USDT Chart by TradingViewDuring the breakdown, selling volume also increased significantly, making it more difficult to dismiss the shift as typical intraday volatility. At $1.25–$1.28, XRP is currently testing another significant cluster where shorter moving averages are concentrated.
A relief rebound might result from holding this area, but the first significant resistance would then be the previous $1.34–$1.35 support. The abrupt loss of momentum is reflected in the RSI, which has dropped below 50 and continues to worsen.
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XRP may move toward $1.20 and then the bigger breakout origin around $1.15 if $1.25 fails decisively. On the other hand, recovering $1.35 would offset a large portion of the immediate technical damage. Until then, there is still growing pressure on XRP's August breakout.
Is Bitcoin losing momentum?After its August breakout, Bitcoin is losing short-term momentum, but the broader recovery structure remains intact. After another rejection from the $78,000 region and a steep drop through its fast-moving average, Bitcoin is currently trading around $75,600.
BTC/USDT Chart by TradingViewThe sequence that has developed since Bitcoin peaked above $81,000 in early September is the current technical concern. Since then, buyers have been unable to retest that high, and multiple rebounds have stalled between $79,000 and $80,000.
After approaching overbought territory during the August rally, the RSI has dropped below 50. Additionally, selling volume increased after the most recent drop, indicating that the move warrants attention rather than being dismissed as minor volatility. However, Bitcoin has substantial support below.
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While another rising average approaches $71,500, the blue and black moving averages converge between $72,500 and $73,500. In the event that $75,000 fails, $71,500–$73,500 becomes the primary technical support cluster.
Bitcoin must recover $77,000 to $78,000. $80,000–$81,500 remains the main resistance range above that. Until then, the market is correcting within the broader August recovery rather than forming a convincing continuation.
What's up with TRX?Although TRX's volatility has significantly decreased, its short-term structure has also deteriorated. The asset is currently trading close to $0.3347, almost exactly within a dense moving average cluster. TRX rose back above $0.340 after bouncing from the early September decline toward $0.321, but it was unable to challenge the August high at $0.345–$0.350.
TRX/USDT Chart by TradingViewThe price has returned to $0.333–$0.335 following the most recent rejection. This region is significant because it is where a number of short- and medium-term averages have converged. Maintaining it preserves the progressive higher-low structure that has been in place since June.
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Losing it would expose approximately $0.330, with the much stronger long-term support around $0.325–$0.326 coming next. The RSI offers little directional confirmation and remains near neutral. In contrast to Bitcoin, TRX is compressing around its moving averages rather than undergoing a significant momentum breakdown.
The first level bulls must reclaim on the upside is $0.340. A move above $0.345 would indicate a much clearer continuation signal, while breaking that level would reopen the path toward $0.350.
Moscow Exchange has scheduled the Sept. 22 launch of perpetual futures tied to Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, XRP and Tron indexes, with the cash-settled contracts restricted to qualified investors.
Summary
MOEX will launch five perpetual crypto futures on September 22 for qualified market investors only. Contracts track Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, XRP and Tron indexes without delivering underlying digital assets physically. More than 72,000 qualified investors have traded MOEX crypto futures, the exchange said this week. Crypto futures turnover has exceeded 600 billion rubles since MOEX introduced contracts during last summer. Contracts will be dollar-quoted, ruble-settled and automatically rolled using daily funding calculations under exchange specifications. Moscow Exchange said in itsofficial Sept. 16 announcement that the products will operate as one-day futures with automatic rollover, giving investors exposure to cryptocurrency price movements without receiving or transferring the underlying digital assets. The exchange’s contract specification is set to take effect on Sept. 22.
The Sept. 16 announcement remains the latest MOEX launch notice located as of Sept. 17. No subsequent exchange notice reviewed changed the scheduled Sept. 22 start.
🇷🇺 BIG: Russia's largest exchange, the Moscow Exchange, will launch perpetual futures on BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP and TRX indices on September 22, available only to qualified investors. pic.twitter.com/H0lBUHGONJ
— The Crypto Johannes (@TheCryptoJonny) September 17, 2026 MOEX perpetual futures will cover five crypto indexes The new contracts will track five indexes calculated by Moscow Exchange. BTCUSDF will reference the MOEX Bitcoin Index, while ETHUSDF will follow the exchange’s Ether benchmark. SOLUSDF, XRPUSDF and TRXUSDF will track the corresponding Solana, XRP and Tron indexes.
MOEX already offers monthly futures tied to the same five cryptocurrency indexes. Bitcoin and Ether index futures began trading in November 2025, while contracts linked to Solana, XRP and Tron followed on May 14, 2026. Before the altcoin futures arrived, Moscow Exchange changed how its cryptocurrency benchmarks were calculated. Since May 13, the indexes have used prices from major cryptocurrency exchanges and update every 15 seconds during relevant trading periods. MOEX then uses the indexes to calculate settlement values for its existing contracts.
MOEX introduced indexes for SOL, XRP, TRX and BNB in May using data from Binance, Bybit, OKX and Bitget. At the time, the exchange said the benchmarks could later support new trading instruments. SOL, XRP and TRX subsequently became underlying indexes for monthly futures and will now receive perpetual contracts. BNB is not included in the five perpetual futures announced for Sept. 22.
Contracts settle in rubles without delivering crypto Although each new contract will be quoted in U.S. dollars using its corresponding index value, MOEX said financial settlement will take place in Russian rubles. Investors therefore will not need to hold Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, XRP or Tron to trade the products.
MOEX describes all of its current crypto futures as settlement contracts. At expiration or settlement, no cryptocurrency changes hands; only the financial result is calculated and settled through the exchange and participating brokers. Its product documentation says movements in USD/RUB affect the ruble value of the result because the underlying futures prices are expressed in dollars.
Unlike MOEX’s existing monthly crypto-index contracts, the new instruments are one-day futures with automatic rollover. Funding will be calculated under the exchange’s published specification, with MOEX setting the K1 parameter at 0% and K2 at 0.35%.
The exchange already runs perpetual futures across other asset categories. Its existing perpetual lineup contains 31 contracts covering currency pairs, MOEX indexes, the government bond index, precious metals and Russian and foreign securities. Maria Patrikeeva, managing director of the MOEX derivatives market, called the launch “an important milestone in the development of the Russian derivatives market.” She said the exchange was seeing “strong investor demand” for derivatives tied to digital assets.
Crypto futures demand has passed 600 billion rubles MOEX said more than 72,000 qualified investors have traded its digital-asset futures since the exchange began offering crypto-linked contracts, with cumulative transaction volume exceeding 600 billion rubles. The figures come from Moscow Exchange and have not been presented as Bank of Russia statistics.
The exchange’s current crypto derivatives product page still displays an earlier August snapshot showing 71,000 clients had traded crypto-related products since launch. It lists average daily turnover of 2.5 billion rubles during August and a record daily volume of 10.2 billion rubles on Aug. 21.
The newer 72,000 figure in the Sept. 16 release covers activity after that August snapshot. MOEX did not publish a separate breakdown showing how much of the cumulative 600 billion rubles came from Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, XRP or Tron contracts.
However, Moscow Exchange first entered regulated crypto-linked futures with a contract based on BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF in June 2025. An Ether ETF-linked contract followed in August, before MOEX moved to futures directly referencing its own Bitcoin and Ether indexes in November.
As crypto.news reported when the first Bitcoin ETF future launched, access was restricted to qualified investors from the start. The IBIT-linked contract was quoted in dollars and settled in rubles, establishing the same basic cash-settlement structure later used for direct cryptocurrency-index futures.
MOEX’s 2025 annual report said more than 40,000 clients traded its crypto-linked contracts during that year, generating more than 212 billion rubles of turnover.
Russia still limits these derivatives to qualified investors The structure follows rules the Bank of Russia introduced in May 2025 for financial products tied to cryptocurrency prices. The central bank said financial institutions could offer qualified investors derivatives, securities and digital financial assets linked to cryptocurrency values, provided the products did not involve physical delivery of cryptocurrency.
MOEX repeats the restriction on its own crypto-futures page. Both individuals and legal entities must hold qualified-investor status to trade the exchange’s cryptocurrency futures, and brokers determine final client access.
Russia’s rules for direct cryptocurrency transactions changed on Sept. 1, 2026. Under the new legal framework described by the Bank of Russia, both qualified and non-qualified investors can access cryptocurrency through regulated intermediaries, although the two groups operate under different limits.
Non-qualified investors must pass a test and are limited to purchases of eligible liquid cryptocurrencies worth no more than 300,000 rubles per year through each intermediary. The Bank of Russia identified Bitcoin, Ether and USDT for retail access under its liquidity and price-history criteria. Qualified investors can trade cryptocurrencies without the same purchase ceiling after completing the required testing.
As crypto.news reported when the new framework took effect, the Sept. 1 rules created regulated routes for cryptocurrency trading and custody through supervised intermediaries. MOEX’s Sept. 22 perpetual futures remain a separate derivatives product and are limited to qualified investors under the exchange’s specifications.
The Bank of Russia expanded routes to qualified-investor status shortly before the new crypto framework started. Rules effective Aug. 31 allow individuals to qualify through approved Russian financial-market examinations and certificates, including a MOEX Investor Certificate, alongside existing asset, income, experience and education criteria.
Russia’s largest Moscow stock exchange (MOEX) plans to launch Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), XRP and TRON (TRX) perpetual futures next week. This comes following Russia President Vladimir Putin signed crypto law to allowed regulated crypto trading.
Russia’s Moscow Stock Exchange (MOEX) Joins Crypto Perpetual Futures Push Moscow Stock Exchange (MOEX), Russia’s largest stock exchange, will launch perpetual futures linked to its Bitcoin, ETH, SOL, XRP and TRX indices on September 22. This marks a groundbreaking development amid a rise in crypto demand in the country.
While it is not a green light for spot crypto trading, the contracts are quoted in US dollars, settled in Russian rubles, and limited to qualified investors. It added that the delivery is not in the underlying crypto assets.
“The launch of perpetual digital currency futures is an important milestone in the development of the Russian derivatives market. We see strong investor demand for digital asset derivatives. Providing access to such instruments within the Russian legal framework is crucial,” a statement reads.
Moscow Stock Exchange already offers monthly and other cash-settled crypto derivatives since last year. The crypto products recorded more than 72,000 traders and total transaction volume exceeded 600 billion rubles.
As CoinGape reported earlier, Russia’s crypto law took effect earlier this month. It legalized licensed crypto trading, custody, and select cross-border settlements.
Bitcoin, ETH, SOL, XRP and TRON Prices Jump Crypto prices have bounced despite the US Fed raising rates by 25 bps. This indicates confidence in the crypto industry over an upcoming rally in the coming weeks. Bitcoin jumped more than 1%, with the price currently trading around $76,600. Trading volume dropped as the CLARITY Act failed to secure Senate votes.
On the other hand, ETH is trading strongly compared to Bitcoin. The price surged more than 2% to $2,450 over the past 24 hours. Solana (SOL) also trades more than 3% higher, rebounding above $100 again.
Meanwhile, XRP price has reclaimed $1.30 after an almost 1% jump. The 24-hour low and high are $1.25 and $1.31, respectively. However, trading volume decreased by 38% in the last 24 hours, indicating traders remains cautious.
TRX price trades near $0.335, moving mostly sideways. Justin Sun’s TRON token has rallied 20% this year, holdings gains amid upgrades and ETF launches.
While Moscow Stock Exchange’s contracts are cash-settled and restricted to qualified domestic investors, retail traders looking to speculate on digital asset price action typically turn to the best crypto futures trading platforms which offer direct token exposure and flexible margin terms.
The Fed returns to monetary tightening after more than three years without an increase. Indeed, the US central bank raised its rates by 25 basis points, bringing their range to 3.75% – 4.00%, a first since July 2023. This decision is motivated by persistently high inflation, yet it did not automatically shake bitcoin. Despite a spike in volatility after the announcement, BTC stabilizes around 76200 dollars. Between monetary tightening and crypto market resistance, the Fed’s decision now raises the question of the trajectory of rates.
In brief The Fed raises its rates by 25 basis points, a first since July 2023. The new range for US rates reaches 3.75% to 4.00%. The central bank justifies its decision by persistently high inflation. Fed projections indicate an additional hike in 2026. Bitcoin resists the announcement and moves around 76200 dollars. The Fed renews rate hikes The Federal Open Market Committee approved a 25 basis point hike, setting the new Fed Funds range between 3.75% and 4.00%. It was a unanimous vote of the governors. Moreover, this move was already fully anticipated by the market. The Federal Reserve had not raised rates since July 2023. Thus, the decision ends more than three years without an increase and marks the return of tightening in United States monetary policy.
The Fed bases its choice on an economy that still retains vigor. The FOMC indicates :
Economic activity is progressing at a solid pace.
However, monetary officials acknowledge persistently high uncertainty, mainly related to geopolitical developments, but note that domestic spending has remained resilient. Such a combination provides the Fed with room to act on prices without presenting its intervention as a response to a sudden slowdown in activity.
The FOMC’s decision can thus be reduced to three main data points :
25 basis points: the magnitude of the hike decided by the Fed ; 3.75% to 4.00%: the new target range for Fed Funds ; July 2023: the date of the central bank’s previous rate increase. Inflation remains at the heart of monetary calculations The assessment regarding prices immediately justifies this change of course. Thus, the FOMC notes the following: “inflation remains high”. The central bank links its rate hike to its price stability goal. According to its statement, the decision taken this Wednesday is to favor “a quicker return to the Committee’s 2% target”. The message ends with an explicit commitment: “the Committee will ensure price stability”.
From there, individual forecasts from Fed officials specify an additional hike in 2026. This projection highlights that monetary officials do not necessarily view the 25 basis point move as a standalone intervention. The question therefore concerns the duration of this new phase and the indications the Fed will provide regarding its evolution.
Bitcoin resists the Fed’s change of course At first, this announcement triggers volatility in the crypto market without causing a major directional move. Bitcoin is currently trading around 76200 dollars, showing a slight rebound. Also, traditional markets react moderately. US stocks remain modestly in the green, while bond yields have slightly declined. This absence of automatic disruption occurs while the 25 basis point increase was very widely anticipated.
Nevertheless, bitcoin’s reaction a few minutes after the announcement does not yet represent a measure of its longer-term effects. The Federal Reserve has just resumed rate hikes while noting that a new increase remains possible in 2026. Having anticipated the current decision, the market must now evaluate the accompanying trajectory.
Bitcoin’s initial resistance merely shows that the announcement did not cause an immediate breakdown. Between inflation still above the 2% target, a solid economy and the prospect of further tightening, investors now have a new monetary framework to incorporate.
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Luc Jose A.
Diplômé de Sciences Po Toulouse et titulaire d'une certification consultant blockchain délivrée par Alyra, j'ai rejoint l'aventure Cointribune en 2019. Convaincu du potentiel de la blockchain pour transformer de nombreux secteurs de l'économie, j'ai pris l'engagement de sensibiliser et d'informer le grand public sur cet écosystème en constante évolution. Mon objectif est de permettre à chacun de mieux comprendre la blockchain et de saisir les opportunités qu'elle offre. Je m'efforce chaque jour de fournir une analyse objective de l'actualité, de décrypter les tendances du marché, de relayer les dernières innovations technologiques et de mettre en perspective les enjeux économiques et sociétaux de cette révolution en marche.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
Bitcoin’s price swung before settling largely unmoved over a 24-hour period after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates — as expected — for the first time since 2023.
The leading cryptocurrency was recently priced at nearly $75,813 after dropping as low as $75,355 in the hour after the U.S. central bank gave its decision to increase the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%.
Over a seven-day period, the coin is down nearly 4%.
Traders had bet there was a more than 90% chance that the Fed would raise interest rates ahead of its September meeting. Major Bitcoin trades therefore likely happened before Wednesday.
Speaking to reporters on Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh didn’t reveal much about the central bank’s next moves but made it clear that price stability in the U.S. was its number one priority.
“The decision we made today was a sober decision, serious decision, responsible decision, one that we have been preparing for and thinking about in my 110 or 120 days here,” Warsh said.
He added: “The plain fact is that inflation is too high, and has been for too long. This summer’s inflation readings do not tell me that underlying trends have meaningfully improved.”
Wash — who has previously praised Bitcoin — said last month in his first major speech as head of the U.S. central bank that inflation was too high and had to be brought down.
The new chair is seemingly going against President Donald Trump’s wishes; the president has repeatedly called for lower interest rates and even threatened to fire the ex-Chair of the Federal Reserve for refusing to do so.
In a post on his Truth Social platform last week, the president wrote: “We should have the LOWEST RATE of any country in the World, like ‘the old days.'”
When asked by reporters about what he would say to the president, Wash replied: “I’ve got nothing for you on a discussion with the president.”
Bitcoin typically does well in a low interest rate environment because there is more liquidity to buy the asset.
The U.S. is currently in the midst of an affordability crisis and war in the Middle East has pushed up the price of oil, in turn compounding the problem as the cost of everyday goods in the world’s largest economy rises.
Mathew Di Salvo
Mathew is a reporter who's covered the space since 2019, reporting on everything from Salvadoran president Nayib Bukele's Bitcoin bet to crypto exchange FTX's bankruptcy.
CFTC Chairman Mike Selig has declared that the United States will continue to be the leading global hub for cryptocurrency, emphasizing the CFTC’s readiness to deploy new regulatory frameworks for the sector. This statement, reported by @WhaleInsider, highlights the agency’s commitment to providing clarity and oversight in the rapidly evolving digital finance landscape. Selig’s comments come amid ongoing discussions in Washington about the role of regulation in fostering innovation while ensuring market stability and consumer protection.
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In the prediction markets, this announcement appears to have influenced expectations regarding Bitcoin’s future price trajectory. The current market odds for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by the end of 2026 have shown some fluctuations, but there is a general sentiment that regulatory clarity could bolster Bitcoin’s prospects. The sub-market odds for reaching $85,000 by the end of 2026 are notably higher, suggesting that market participants view this as a more attainable target under supportive regulatory conditions.
Key Takeaways CFTC Chairman’s comments appear consistent with a supportive stance for cryptocurrency regulation in the US. Market pricing suggests that participants see potential regulatory clarity as a positive factor for Bitcoin’s price outlook. Current market odds for Bitcoin reaching $85,000 by the end of 2026 are supportive of a YES outcome, reflecting optimism in the market. What to Watch Observers should monitor any concrete regulatory developments from the CFTC and other US regulatory bodies that could influence market dynamics. Key events to watch include potential announcements from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates, as well as legislative actions by the US Congress on cryptocurrency-related bills. These factors could significantly impact market perceptions and pricing in the months ahead, affecting the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching various price thresholds by the end of 2026.
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What Price Will Bitcoin Hit Before 2027
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h December 31 1.1% 0.0¢ $2K View market → December 31 1.5% 0.0¢ $197 View market → December 31 2.4% 0.0¢ $81 View market → December 31 3.9% 0.0¢ $319 View market → December 31 7% -0.5¢ $8K View market → January 1 2027 17% +1.5¢ $4K View market → January 1 2027 8% -0.5¢ $367K View market → January 1 2027 1.9% -0.2¢ $5K View market → January 1 2027 1.1% 0.0¢ $2K View market → January 1 2027 1.6% 0.0¢ $188 View market → January 1 2027 3% 0.0¢ $10K View market → January 1 2027 5.2% 0.0¢ $352 View market → January 1 2027 10% -0.5¢ $3K View market → January 1 2027 19.5% 0.0¢ $21K View market → January 1 2027 4.5% 0.0¢ $6K View market → January 1 2027 0.9% 0.0¢ $161 View market → January 1 2027 1.9% 0.0¢ $3K View market → January 1 2027 15% 0.0¢ $9K View market → January 1 2027 7% 0.0¢ $4K View market → January 1 2027 3.5% 0.0¢ — View market → January 1 2027 1.9% 0.0¢ $60 View market → January 1 2027 2.1% 0.0¢ $20 View market → January 1 2027 1.3% 0.0¢ — View market → January 1 2027 0.4% -0.1¢ $3K View market → January 1 2027 0.3% 0.0¢ $51K View market → January 1 2027 26% 0.0¢ $3K View market → January 1 2027 57% +1¢ $2K View market → January 1 2027 67% -2.5¢ $18K View market → January 1 2027 45% 0.0¢ $3K View market → What Price Will Hyperliquid Hit Before 2027
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h December 31 45.5% +0.5¢ $716 View market → January 1 2027 3.6% 0.0¢ $130 View market → January 1 2027 2.4% -0.2¢ $289 View market → January 1 2027 4.5% 0.0¢ — View market → January 1 2027 4% +0.1¢ $1 View market → January 1 2027 69% 0.0¢ $520 View market → January 1 2027 11.5% 0.0¢ — View market → January 1 2027 6.5% 0.0¢ — View market → January 1 2027 5.5% 0.0¢ $34 View market → Updated 3min ago
<span class="acf-media-credit"><span class="acf-credit"><span class="acf-credit"><a href="theblock.co" target="_blank">The Block</a></span></span><span class="acf-credit"> | <span class="acf-credit"><a href="https://unsplash.com/photos/a-black-and-white-photo-of-rocks-and-water-Wghw2xq8kQg?utm_content=creditCopyText&utm_medium=referral&utm_source=unsplash" target="_blank"> Lizgrin F</a></span></span><span class="acf-credit"> | <span class="acf-credit"><a href="https://by-michael.xyz/" target="_blank">Illustration by Michael Elshahat for The Block</a></span></span></span>
Bitcoin and ether whipsawed on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve unanimously raised interest rates by a quarter percentage point, the central bank's first rate hike in more than three years.
Bitcoin (BTC) traded between roughly $75,000 and $76,500 immediately following the decision and was changing hands near $75,600 at the time of publication. Ether (ETH) swung between about $2,370 and $2,430 before settling near the lower end of the range at $2,376.
Bitcoin (BTC) vs Ethereum (ETH) price chart. Source: The Block/Crypto Compare The Federal Open Market Committee voted 12-0 to raise its target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%-4%. The move was the Fed's first hike since July 2023, when the Powell-led central bank raised rates 25 basis points to 5.25%-5.5%.
Wednesday's increase was mostly anticipated to be the case. In the hours leading up to the decision, CME FedWatch showed traders pricing in a 92% probability of a quarter-point hike, down slightly from around 96% a day earlier.
Hawkish Warsh Warsh was hawkish in his opening remarks, saying that the economy appears to be strengthening and that financial conditions are not particularly tight.
"I would be hard-pressed to describe broad financial conditions as restrictive," Warsh said, adding that the view was widely shared by the committee. "So we removed a dose of accommodation."
The projections also suggest further tightening is on the table. Sixteen of 18 policymakers project at least one additional quarter-point hike this year.
The decision puts the Fed at odds with remarks made earlier this month by President Donald Trump, who said the U.S. should have the lowest interest rates in the world and threatened to stop trading with countries with trade deficits with the U.S. unless the Fed cuts rates.
Warsh was tight-lipped about those threats and about the president in general when asked about them during the question-and-answer portion of the conference.
Analyst outlooks Lewis Huang, an analyst at crypto exchange Bitget, said bitcoin could absorb more of the immediate shock than equities, noting that BTC moved roughly four times as much as the S&P 500 on the previous two FOMC trading days.
"The market had one hike priced, and the dots have given it a sequence," Huang said.
However, he argued that the path to further tightening could be tested if inflation pressure is tested by energy. He cited gasoline prices rising nearly 4% in a month and diesel climbing 60% to an all-time high, arguing that those pressures could unwind quicker than inflation.
That creates a risk, Huang said, "that the Fed is still tightening after the original energy impulse has begun to fade."
Elsewhere in crypto, the immediate reaction was mostly muted. Most top-20 cryptocurrencies were roughly flat or up 0.5% following the meeting. XRP (XRP) gained about 1.5%, and Solana (SOL) rose 1%, while Zcash (ZEC) stood out with a 6.5% gain.
Zoomex’s TradFi Zone includes a set of ETF-linked perpetual contracts alongside its single-stock and commodity lineup, giving users USDT-margined exposure to broad index, sector, and leveraged ETF products through the same interface used for crypto derivatives.
What an ETF perpetual isA traditional ETF gives investors diversified exposure to an index or sector without picking individual stocks. It trades on an exchange during market hours, settles in fiat, and is bought and sold as a share.
An ETF perpetual contract references the same underlying product but works differently in three respects. It has no expiry, so a position can be held as long as margin requirements are met. It is margined and settled in USDT rather than fiat, which means no currency conversion and no separate brokerage account. And it trades continuously rather than during exchange hours.
That last difference is the practical one. A traditional ETF position cannot be adjusted when the underlying market is closed, which covers roughly two-thirds of every week once evenings and weekends are counted. A perpetual contract referencing the same ETF can be opened, adjusted, or closed at any point.
The trade-off is that a perpetual contract is a derivative, not ownership of the underlying fund. It carries funding payments, margin requirements, and liquidation risk that a spot ETF holding does not.
The contracts availableZoomex’s ETF perpetual lineup covers several distinct types of exposure.
Broad market index. SPYUSDT references the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, the most widely held ETF tracking the S&P 500, and gives exposure to the broad US large-cap market in a single contract. QQQUSDT references the Invesco QQQ Trust, which tracks the Nasdaq 100 and carries a heavier weighting toward technology than the S&P 500.
Small-cap exposure. IWMUSDT references the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, tracking US small-cap equities. Small caps historically behave differently from large caps across the economic cycle, which is why the contract sits in the lineup as separate exposure rather than as a variation on SPY.
Sector-specific. XLFUSDT references the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund, covering banks, insurers, and other financial companies. XLKUSDT references the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund, covering the technology names within the S&P 500. Sector contracts let users take a position on a specific part of the market rather than the index as a whole.
Leveraged. TQQQUSDT references ProShares UltraPro QQQ, a 3x leveraged product tracking the Nasdaq 100. Because the underlying ETF is already leveraged, price movement in this contract is amplified relative to QQQ before any additional leverage a user applies on the platform. It is the highest-risk instrument in the group and behaves differently over multi-day holding periods than an unleveraged product, due to the compounding effects inherent to leveraged ETFs.
Source: ZoomexHow the contracts work on ZoomexAll ETF perpetuals run on the same infrastructure as Zoomex’s crypto perpetuals. There is no separate account, no different interface, and no distinct onboarding flow. Users search the ticker under the TradFi category and open a position the same way they would on any crypto pair.
Contracts are USDT-margined and support both cross and isolated margin modes. Published contract specifications cover leverage caps, tick size, funding rate schedule, and margin requirements, each visible before a position is opened rather than disclosed afterward.
Funding is exchanged at fixed intervals, following the same mechanics that apply to the platform’s crypto perpetuals. Because these contracts track assets that trade on traditional exchanges during limited hours, pricing outside those hours reflects the market’s ongoing assessment rather than a quoted exchange price, which is worth understanding before holding a position across a weekend.
Positions can be opened long or short. The ability to take a short position without a margin account at a traditional broker is one of the structural differences between an ETF perpetual and a conventional ETF holding.
Risk considerationsETF perpetuals carry the risks common to all leveraged derivatives. Positions can be liquidated if margin requirements are not met, and losses can exceed initial expectations in fast-moving conditions. Funding payments accrue over time and affect the cost of holding a position.
Leveraged ETF products such as TQQQ carry additional considerations. A 3x leveraged ETF is designed to deliver three times the daily return of its index, not three times the return over longer periods. Over multi-day holding periods, compounding means the realised return can diverge meaningfully from three times the index’s move over the same window, particularly in volatile or range-bound conditions. Users considering positions in leveraged ETF perpetuals should understand this behaviour before holding across multiple sessions.
Zoomex publishes contract parameters, funding schedules, and liquidation mechanics for every contract in the TradFi Zone. Users should review these before opening a position, and treat position sizing as a function of account balance rather than of available leverage.
Why ETF perpetuals fit the Zoomex modelETF perpetuals extend the same logic that underpins the rest of Zoomex’s TradFi Zone. The exchange has not pivoted away from crypto derivatives to chase traditional markets; it has extended the same derivatives engine, matching logic, and risk controls that already serve its crypto perpetuals to a wider set of underlying assets.
For users, that consistency is the point. The same margin mechanics, the same order types, the same risk tools, and the same published rules apply whether a position references Bitcoin or the S&P 500. A user who already understands how a crypto perpetual behaves on the platform does not need to learn a second system to take a position on an index.
Access follows the same Fair Access & Rule-Based Execution framework applied across the product suite. Contracts are not gated behind separate onboarding or tiered eligibility, and execution logic applies identically regardless of position size.
About ZoomexFounded in 2021, Zoomex is a global cryptocurrency trading platform focused on derivatives trading. The platform serves over 3 million users across 35+ countries and regions, offering access to 700+ trading pairs. Built around ease of use, transparency, fairness, and speed, Zoomex provides a clear and efficient trading experience for users worldwide.
Through its high-performance matching engine, clear asset and order displays, and transparent fee and rule mechanisms, Zoomex helps users better understand their account status, order execution, trading costs, and results. Zoomex maintains registrations, licenses, and regulatory statuses across multiple jurisdictions, including the U.S. MSB, Canada MSB, U.S. NFA, and Australia AUSTRAC, and has completed security audits conducted by blockchain security firm Hacken. The platform also continues to strengthen its trust framework through Proof of Reserves, Security & Transparency, Compliance Information, and Fees / Rules Transparency initiatives.
Beyond trading, Zoomex builds a refined brand experience through elite sports partnerships, including the TGR Haas F1 Team, World Cup-winning goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez, and world-class tennis events such as Wimbledon. The values of speed, precision, discipline, fair play, and rule-based execution are closely aligned with Zoomex’s approach to derivatives trading.
At Zoomex: Easy to Use. Transparent balance. Fair access to your earnings.
ZoomexFounded in 2021, Zoomex is a global crypto exchange serving 3M+ users with 600+ trading pairs. Guided by the values of "Simple, User-Friendly, and Fast," Zoomex leverages a high-performance engine to ensure a fair, just, and transparent trading environment where every transaction is fully traceable and unbiased. With MSB (U.S./Canada), NFA, and AUSTRAC licenses and audits by Hacken, Zoomex provides institutional-grade security. Partnered with TGR Haas F1 Team and Emiliano Martínez, the platform mirrors elite precision and consistency, delivering a secure, low-barrier, and compliant ecosystem for traders worldwide.
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Disclaimer
This third-party press release is published substantially as received and does not reflect BeInCrypto's editorial views. BeInCrypto has not independently verified its claims or assessed the suitability, legality or appropriateness of any referenced asset, product or service; publication is not an endorsement. The content is general information, not investment research, financial, investment, legal or tax advice, a personal recommendation, offer or solicitation. Verify all information and seek professional advice where appropriate before acting. Crypto-assets may result in total loss.
As prospects for comprehensive cryptocurrency legislation in the U.S. dim, former President Donald Trump’s regulatory appointees are taking a more proactive stance. This development comes amid a backdrop of heightened regulatory scrutiny, as indicated by recent statements from key figures within the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Market pricing suggests that the increased involvement of regulators could indicate more stringent oversight, which may impact the future price trajectory of Bitcoin.
In light of these developments, the prediction market for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by the end of 2026 reflects a cautious sentiment. Current pricing indicates low confidence in Bitcoin reaching this threshold, with odds remaining below 2% across active sub-markets. The regulatory climate appears to be a significant factor influencing these odds, as markets weigh the potential implications of increased oversight on Bitcoin’s price potential.
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Changes in sub-market pricing have been observed, particularly in the odds for Bitcoin reaching various price points by the end of 2026. The odds for Bitcoin reaching $85,000 remain relatively high at 57%, while those for $100,000 are at 16%. In contrast, the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 is markedly lower, consistent with the anticipated impact of regulatory actions.
Key Takeaways Market pricing suggests increased regulatory scrutiny may be impacting Bitcoin’s future price expectations. Odds for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by the end of 2026 remain low, with active sub-markets showing less than 2% confidence. Regulatory developments appear consistent with scenarios where Bitcoin’s price faces downward pressure. What to Watch Watch for further announcements from U.S. regulatory bodies, such as the CFTC and SEC, which may provide additional clarity on the regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. The involvement of Congress in cryptocurrency legislation remains a potential catalyst for market shifts, particularly if progress is made on new laws. Additionally, markets will be monitoring any significant moves in Bitcoin’s price, as breaking key resistance levels could alter current sentiment.
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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h December 31 1.1% 0.0¢ $2K View market → December 31 1.5% -0.1¢ $197 View market → December 31 2.4% 0.0¢ $81 View market → December 31 3.9% 0.0¢ $319 View market → December 31 7% -0.5¢ $8K View market → January 1 2027 17% +1.5¢ $4K View market → January 1 2027 8% 0.0¢ $367K View market → January 1 2027 1.9% 0.0¢ $5K View market → January 1 2027 1.1% 0.0¢ $2K View market → January 1 2027 1.6% 0.0¢ $188 View market → January 1 2027 3% 0.0¢ $10K View market → January 1 2027 5.2% 0.0¢ $352 View market → January 1 2027 10% -0.5¢ $3K View market → January 1 2027 19.5% 0.0¢ $21K View market → January 1 2027 4.5% 0.0¢ $6K View market → January 1 2027 0.9% 0.0¢ $161 View market → January 1 2027 1.9% 0.0¢ $3K View market → January 1 2027 15% 0.0¢ $9K View market → January 1 2027 7% 0.0¢ $4K View market → January 1 2027 3.5% 0.0¢ — View market → January 1 2027 1.9% 0.0¢ $60 View market → January 1 2027 2.1% 0.0¢ $20 View market → January 1 2027 1.3% 0.0¢ — View market → January 1 2027 0.4% -0.1¢ $3K View market → January 1 2027 0.3% 0.0¢ $51K View market → January 1 2027 26% -0.5¢ $3K View market → January 1 2027 57% 0.0¢ $2K View market → January 1 2027 67% +0.5¢ $18K View market → January 1 2027 45% 0.0¢ $3K View market → Updated 3min ago
Peter Schiff says the bond market didn't break recently, it broke in 2020, and everything since has been a slow unwind.
Peter Schiff says the bond market didn’t break recently, it broke in 2020, and everything since has been a slow unwind. Across this conversation with Grace Remington and Sean Hagan, he connects rising Treasury yields, the Fed’s expected rate decision, the dollar’s loss of purchasing power, and the central bank rush into gold. He argues that a stock selloff driven by higher rates would be deeply bearish for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, and that political capital in Washington has already turned against it. The episode ends with Schiff and the hosts going head to head on whether anything actually backs Bitcoin.
00:00 — Peter Schiff says the bond market already broke in 2020
01:44 — How long the Treasury bear market could realistically last
04:18 — What Schiff would enact to actually bring inflation down
06:32 — Spending cuts, higher rates, and the recession nobody will accept
07:39 — Are we in the early stages of a dollar crisis?
08:26 — Rate hike odds and whether Warsh surprises the market
10:51 — Why Schiff calls it a cosmetic hike with no credibility behind it
12:33 — Why gold ran to 5,500 while Bitcoin lagged 23% off its highs
14:20 — Bitcoin priced in gold and the case that it peaked in 2021
17:29 — Tokenized gold vs Bitcoin: counterparty risk and what backs money
DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.
Patrick Green
Patrick Green is an Assistant Producer and Channel Manager on the multimedia team at Bitcoin Magazine, focusing on production, content distribution, and channel strategy across the network.
The US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, taking its target range to 3.75%–4.00%.
Crypto assets did not really react to the news. Bitcoin prices were slightly up and Ethereum slightly down, as the Fed’s revised forecast implied an extended period of high borrowing costs for risk assets well past this year, perhaps even into 2027.
Fed turns its attention back to inflation This was the first rate hike since 2023, and the Federal Open Market Committee approved the increase unanimously.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh commented on the strengthening of the economy, because of which officials had left rates untouched in July. He added that consumer spending and related business investment had been resilient and that the labour market continued to operate close to full employment.
The strength of the labour market has enabled the Fed to put the focus back on inflation, which is still above its 2% target.
The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long.
While acknowledging the Fed couldn’t do anything about the energy or food prices, Warsh said they could try to stop it from spreading across the rest of the economy.
The Fed said it expected inflation to average 3.7% in 2026, then 2.3% the next year and would not return to 2% until 2029.
Another rate hike could follow According to the Fed’s economic projections, the median policy rate will be 4.1% by the end of 2026, meaning that there is another possible quarter-point increase.
They expect inflation to linger around 4.1% in 2027, well above the 3.6% forecast in June.
Warsh did not provide any forecast of his own and claimed he was ‘not in the forward guidance business’.
But what he did was hint that financial conditions were not restrictive prior to the last increase, which suggests that the Fed believes the economy could live with higher rates with no damage to employment.
What the Fed decision means for crypto A strong sell-off for the entire crypto market following the announcement was avoided.
Bitcoin showed a decline of around 0.2% over 24 hours, while Ethereum remained almost unchanged. Solana and BNB saw slight losses while XRP’s value dropped by over 2%.
The total crypto market value, without stablecoins included, was still 0.8% more than 24 hours earlier at around $2.29trn.
Source: TradingView The markets priced in about a 90% chance of a raise before the meeting.
Higher rates will see more money go towards cash and government bonds, and investors will be willing to take risks on Bitcoin and altcoins. Also, because there are expectations of another hike, with no cuts next year, crypto’s recovery could be limited.
Final Summary The Fed unanimously raised its target rate to 3.75%–4.00%. Crypto held relatively steady, but prolonged high rates could weaken demand.
Bitcoin price traded near $76,200 after a volatile week as the failed CLARITY Act vote and the Federal Reserve’s rate increase kept pressure on the market. Technical indicators now point to resistance near $78,600, while liquidation data places the main downside liquidity cluster around $74,600.
Summary
Bitcoin price fell roughly 4% over seven days after briefly approaching $80,000. The daily CMF dropped to -0.11, indicating that capital outflows have overtaken inflows. 4-hour resistance sits near $78,600, while the RSI remains below the neutral 50 level. Liquidation clusters near $74,600 and $77,700 could shape Bitcoin’s next move. Bitcoin price retreats after rejection near $80,000 According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading near $76,236 at the time of writing, according to the daily chart. The cryptocurrency had recovered from an intraday low of $75,065 after opening the session around $75,644.
BTC has lost roughly 4% over the past seven days after failing to hold an advance toward $80,000. Price briefly reached approximately $79,800 on Sep. 11 before sellers regained control, sending it as low as $74,944 on Sep. 15.
The weekly decline followed the U.S. Senate’s failure to advance the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act. The procedural measure received 50 votes in favor and 49 against but needed 60 votes to move forward.
The proposed legislation sought to define how the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission would divide oversight of digital assets. Its failure reduced the prospect of Congress establishing a federal crypto market structure before the November midterm elections.
Macroeconomic conditions added to the pressure. The Federal Reserve raised its target rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4.00% on Sep. 16, delivering its first increase since 2023.
Bitcoin briefly reacted to the widely expected decision but remained close to its four-week low. Higher rates can reduce demand for non-yielding and risk-sensitive assets by raising returns available from government debt and strengthening the U.S. dollar.
Daily Bitcoin indicators show weakening demand The daily chart shows BTC trading below its 20-day simple moving average at $78,104. Reclaiming that level would be an early sign that buyers are regaining short-term control.
Bitcoin price daily chart — Sep. 16 | Source: crypto.news Bitcoin remains above the other major averages shown on the chart. The 50-day SMA stands near $71,933, while the 200-day and 100-day averages sit around $70,320 and $67,639, respectively.
The distance between the current price and those longer-term averages means the wider recovery from Bitcoin’s summer lows has not yet broken down. However, failure to recover the 20-day average could expose the lower moving-average cluster between $70,300 and $71,900.
Chaikin Money Flow has fallen to -0.11 after spending much of late August and early September above zero. A negative CMF reading indicates that selling pressure has exceeded buying pressure over the indicator’s 20-period window.
The change is notable because the CMF weakened as Bitcoin retreated from the $80,000 area. A return above zero would signal improving capital flows, while a deeper negative reading would add weight to the bearish setup.
Bitcoin faces 4-hour resistance at $78,600 Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart keeps the short-term trend bearish. The Supertrend indicator has flipped above the price and now marks resistance near $78,597.
Bitcoin price 4-hour chart — Sep. 16 | Source: crypto.news BTC also trades below the indicator’s previous support line around $76,648. Bulls would need to reclaim that level before challenging the heavier resistance zone between $78,100 and $78,600.
The 4-hour Relative Strength Index stands at 43.01, slightly above its signal average of 42.54 but below the neutral 50 mark. The reading shows weak momentum without placing Bitcoin in oversold territory, leaving room for another decline if support fails.
Initial support sits between $75,000 and $75,500, covering the Sep. 15 low and the recent 4-hour range floor. A confirmed break below that area could send BTC toward the daily moving-average region near $71,900.
Crypto trader Daan Crypto Trades said Bitcoin was positioned near its August lows and the 4-hour 200-period moving averages after two major events dominated the previous week.
“Getting them out of the way, regardless of outcome, should make price action a bit less choppy,” the trader said.
A move through $78,600 would invalidate the immediate bearish Supertrend signal and place $80,000 back in focus. Failure to clear the indicator would preserve the pattern of lower highs visible since early September.
Liquidation heatmap puts $74,600 in focus CoinGlass’s three-day liquidation heatmap shows the largest nearby pool of leveraged positions around $74,600 to $74,700. The concentration sits below the recent low and could attract price if sellers push BTC beneath $75,000.
Bitcoin liquidation heatmap | Source: CoinGlass Liquidity is also concentrated above the market. The closest large bands appear between approximately $76,600 and $76,900, followed by a stronger zone around $77,500 to $77,800.
Further clusters are visible near $78,300 and $80,000. A rebound through the closest overhead bands could force short liquidations and accelerate a move toward the 4-hour Supertrend resistance.
The heatmap does not predict direction, but it identifies areas where forced position closures could increase volatility. With liquidity sitting on both sides of the current price, BTC could continue to produce sharp moves until it closes outside the $74,600–$78,600 range.
Ali Martinez identified $71,200 as another downside area, based on Bitcoin’s short-term holder realized price. The metric represents the average acquisition price of coins held by newer investors and can act as an important level during market corrections.
Bitcoin therefore faces two distinct bearish targets if $75,000 breaks: the liquidation concentration near $74,600 and the broader cost-basis and moving-average region between $70,300 and $71,900. Bulls need a sustained recovery above $78,600 to weaken that downside case and reopen a path toward $80,000.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
The US Senate voted 49-50 on September 15 to block debate on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, falling well short of the 60 votes needed to advance the bill. Bitcoin slid toward $76,000 on the news, a nearly 3% drop, while Ether fell roughly 5% and XRP cratered 10%.
How a bipartisan bill became a partisan casualty The CLARITY Act, formally known as H.R. 3633, had a seemingly straightforward goal: split regulatory oversight of digital assets between the CFTC and SEC. The House passed it with a 294-134 vote back in July 2025. The Senate Banking Committee cleared it 15-9 in May 2026, with bipartisan support. Prediction markets pegged the odds of passage at 82%.
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The core dispute centered on conflict-of-interest language designed to prevent senior government officials from profiting off digital assets while simultaneously shaping the rules around them. Democrats wanted tougher restrictions, particularly given reports that President Trump had realized roughly $1.4 billion in crypto profits during 2025.
The final bill text dropped on September 14, incorporating 126 changes that Democrats had requested. It wasn’t enough. Not a single Democratic senator voted to advance the legislation, and several Republicans crossed the aisle to join the opposition.
The result: prediction market odds for the bill’s passage collapsed from 82% to approximately 7% almost instantly.
The market reaction tells a familiar story XRP’s 10% plunge was particularly notable. Ripple’s token has long been among the most sensitive to US regulatory developments, given the company’s prolonged legal battles with the SEC. Ether’s approximate 5% drop reflected similar anxieties, as the Ethereum ecosystem sits squarely in the gray zone between commodity and security classifications that the CLARITY Act was designed to resolve.
With November midterms approaching, the congressional window for passing major legislation is essentially closed for the remainder of 2026.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
A bill to formally establish a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve just cleared the House Financial Services Committee, moving one step closer to a full floor vote. The American Reserve Modernization Act of 2026, or H.R. 8957, would place the Treasury Department in charge of managing the federal government’s Bitcoin holdings, with a mandatory 20-year holding period with no sales allowed.
The legislation, introduced by Rep. Nick Begich (R-AK) and co-led by Rep. Jared Golden (D-ME), has attracted more than 20 bipartisan cosponsors. A full markup is scheduled for September 16, 2026, which could send it to the entire House for a vote.
What the bill actually does At its core, ARMA codifies something the federal government has been doing informally since President Trump’s 2025 executive order directing agencies to retain forfeited Bitcoin rather than auction it off. The bill turns that temporary directive into permanent law.
The reserve would primarily hold Bitcoin acquired through federal forfeitures. US agencies currently hold an estimated 328,372 BTC, valued somewhere between $25B and $30B. Under ARMA, that stash gets locked in for two decades. No selling. No swapping.
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The bill also creates a separate Digital Asset Stockpile for non-Bitcoin digital assets. Bitcoin gets the strategic reserve treatment. Everything else gets its own bucket.
One provision worth noting: the act explicitly protects privately held Bitcoin. The government cannot seize Bitcoin from citizens to stock its reserve.
Transparency requirements and wash-sale rules The Treasury would be required to publish quarterly Proof-of-Reserve reports featuring cryptographic attestations of its holdings. Independent audits would supplement those reports.
The bill also extends wash-sale rules to crypto. Currently, these rules prevent stock traders from selling a security at a loss and immediately repurchasing it to claim a tax deduction. Crypto has existed in a gray area where traders could harvest tax losses without the same restrictions. ARMA closes that loophole, treating digital assets more like traditional securities for tax purposes.
Why this matters beyond symbolism The 20-year holding mandate is particularly significant for market dynamics. Locking 328,372 BTC away for two decades effectively removes roughly 1.5% of Bitcoin’s total 21 million cap from the market for a generation.
Executive orders can be reversed by the next administration. A statutory framework for Bitcoin reserves tells pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and corporate treasuries that the US government views Bitcoin as a long-term store of value worth managing formally.
The bill’s journey is far from over. Even if the full House passes it, Senate dynamics could slow or reshape the legislation considerably. And the wash-sale provision may attract opposition from crypto industry lobbyists who’ve benefited from the current tax treatment.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
President Donald Trump demanded the Federal Reserve slash interest rates to 1% or lower on Wednesday. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh had just lifted rates to 3.75%-4% in the central bank’s first hike since 2023.
The Federal Open Market Committee’s decision was unanimous. Updated projections show 16 of 18 officials expect another increase before year-end, a shift from July’s outlook.
Fed Independence Fight ReignitesThe committee also dropped language blaming part of inflation on supply shocks. It now argues the hike supports a quicker return to its 2% target.
Trump took to Truth Social to share his views: Image Source: Truth SocialTrump aired his frustration on Truth Social within hours of the announcement. He argued that the United States deserves near-zero borrowing costs because of its creditworthiness.
He also claimed that cutting trade with surplus countries could add at least $1.5 trillion a year to federal coffers. He has made similarly large investment claims before, and fact-checkers have called those figures overstated.
LOWER THE INTEREST RATES FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND FAST!
Trump wrote in the post.
The post reopens a fight Trump had let simmer since Warsh took over as Fed chair from Powell. That switch has so far produced zero rate cuts.
Trump had already threatened to cut off trade with surplus countries if the Fed refused to ease policy. That threat touches most of the country’s largest trading partners.
He raised similar demands earlier in September as hike odds kept climbing, with the midterms adding pressure.
White House spokesman Kush Desai told Fox News that Trump still “absolutely” believes in the Fed’s independence. Yet he keeps pressuring it publicly.
Bitcoin and Gold ReactBitcoin’s price jumped in the minutes after Wednesday’s decision, even as it stayed down for the day. Gold spiked at the same time, then gave back its gains, according to BeInCrypto’s coverage of Wednesday.
With traders still pricing in another hike this year, Warsh’s next press conference may decide whether Trump’s pressure campaign escalates further.
Washington’s ongoing efforts to regulate the digital asset sector encountered a setback as the Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act. However, congressional momentum around a federal Strategic Bitcoin Reserve continues to build, with the House Financial Services Committee now reviewing legislation specific to government-held Bitcoin.
American Reserve Modernization Act Reaches CommitteeThe House Financial Services Committee has taken up H.R. 8957, known as the American Reserve Modernization Act. This bill aims to give legal structure to the proposed Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and set clear rules for how federal Bitcoin assets should be managed. Lawmakers introduced the proposal in May and subsequently sent it to the committee for review.
The introduction coincides with a significant moment in U.S. crypto policy, as just days earlier, the Senate narrowly failed to advance the digital asset-focused CLARITY Act, which fell one vote short of the 60 needed to proceed.
Government BTC Lockup and Transparency ProvisionsA central feature of the American Reserve Modernization Act is a mandatory 20-year holding period for Bitcoin stored in the federal reserve. This rule would restrict the government’s ability to rapidly sell or otherwise dispose of strategic BTC holdings.
Officials propose strict transparency, including detailed reporting and reserve management policies to ensure clear oversight of government Bitcoin.
Supporters argue that increased transparency around government Bitcoin reserves could benefit markets, as large federal BTC sales have historically caused concerns about downward price pressure.
Unlike some past legislative ideas, the bill stops short of requiring the Treasury to make large, immediate Bitcoin purchases. Instead, it focuses on managing and consolidating federal assets already held, while exploring ways to potentially acquire more Bitcoin in the future without raising taxes, increasing borrowing, or expanding the federal deficit.
By focusing on management rather than acquisitions, this bill stands in contrast to earlier reserve proposals that envisioned significant new government buying.
Mini dictionary: House Financial Services Committee – a U.S. congressional committee responsible for overseeing the financial services sector, including banking, insurance, real estate, and securities markets. It plays a key role in regulatory and legislative efforts affecting digital assets.
CLARITY Act Defeat, Market Volatility, and Focused LegislationThe Senate’s failure to move forward on the CLARITY Act, which proposed broad digital asset regulations, contributed to a rapid decline in Bitcoin’s price below $75,000. This market move triggered a wave of leveraged position unwinding, with approximately $300 million in crypto longs liquidated soon after the vote.
Traders closely tracked the outcome of the Senate vote, responding swiftly to signs of legislative uncertainty around digital asset regulation.
Unlike the sweeping scope of the CLARITY Act, the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve proposal is more narrowly focused. Its provisions address only the federal government’s management and reporting of Bitcoin, steering clear of wider rules that would affect the entire cryptocurrency sector.
LegislationScopeCurrent StatusImpactAmerican Reserve Modernization ActFederal Bitcoin holdings and managementUnder review in House CommitteeCould limit government BTC sales for 20 yearsCLARITY ActBroad digital asset market frameworkFailed Senate procedural voteMarket drop, $300 million in liquidationsAs debate continues in Congress, the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bill remains under committee review, reflecting a more targeted approach to managing government-held crypto assets amid broader policy uncertainty.
The US House Financial Services Committee has voted to advance the unprecedented Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, now known as the American Reserve Modernization Act of 2026 (H.R. 8957). Despite this development, the odds of the proposal becoming law by 2027 are now as low as 6%, down from a 60% high in December.
Source: Polymarket
US Bitcoin Reserve (ARMA) agendaIn March 2205, US President Donald Trump signed an official decree to include Bitcoin (BTC) as a national reserve asset. However, for this directive to be executed as federal law, it had to go through the official bill-to-law process.
Its agenda includes a two-decade Bitcoin lockup and an accumulation goal of 1 million BTC over five years. Others include budget-neutral BTC acquisition, a digital asset stockpile for altcoins, and regular third-party audits.
While introduced as a bipartisan push, the bill passed the committee today on a 28-21 vote, with the majority being Republicans.
Headwinds facing the crypto reserve billThere are several reasons for public anticipation of a miss in legalizing the bill:
The first is the recent rejection of the CLARITY Act, despite multiple negotiations since its introduction nearly a year and a half ago.
The second is the tight Congressional schedule as attention shifts to midterm elections.
Third is the misalignment among government agencies over who should oversee the multi-million dollar digital reserve. The DoJ’s Office of Legal Counsel is now mediating the oversight dispute among the Treasury, Commerce, and Justice departments.
Bitcoin price forecastBitcoin now hovers around the support zone of $75,719, declining from $79K in the week. Its future price could be affected by the recent Fed decision to hike interest rates for the first time since 2023. Another key driver is BTC spot ETF flow, which turned negative (-$450M) on September 15.
Source: CoinMarketCap
Short-term upward resistance is currently at $76,000-$77,000, with a break below current support opening downside towards $74,000-$73,500.
Story Ends Here
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The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, lifting the target range to 3.75% to 4.00%. All 12 voting officials backed the move, the first increase since 2023.
Forecasts released alongside the decision went further than the hike itself. A total of 16 of 18 policymakers now expect at least one more increase before the year ends.
The Statement Dropped Its Explanation for InflationThe wording moved further than the rate did. In July, the Fed pinned part of high inflation on supply shocks in sectors including energy. That line is gone.
One claim replaced it. Wednesday’s increase will support a “timelier” return to the 2% goal. The closing promise survived intact, that the committee will deliver price stability.
FOMC RAISES RATES 25 BPS TO 3.75%-4%; VOTE 12-0
12 FOMC MEMBERS SEE RATES AT 4.1% BY END-2026
FED: HIKE WILL SUPPORT TIMELIER RETURN TO 2% INFLATION
4 MEMBERS SEE RATES AT 4.4% BY DEC, 2 SEE RATES AT 3.9%
MEDIAN FED FUNDS RATE PROJECTION 4.1% AT END-2027
MEDIAN FED FUNDS…
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) September 16, 2026 Officials also raised their assessment of business investment and swapped a reference to the Middle East conflict for broader geopolitical developments.
Projections Show 16 Officials Want Another HikeThe dot plot, a chart where each of 18 policymakers marks where they think rates should sit, turned sharply hawkish.
Fed dot plot. Source: CME FedWatch ToolOfficials put core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation, the Fed’s preferred price gauge, at 3.4% in December 2026 and 2.5% a year later. They cut the unemployment forecast to 4.1% for both years, from 4.3%.
BeInCrypto reported in June that nine officials had broken ranks. That count has now nearly doubled.
Bitcoin Climbed While Gold Gave Up GainsBitcoin traded near $76,152 after the release, up 0.7% over 24 hours. Prices jumped from roughly $75,350 to above $76,100 within minutes of the announcement.
Gold went the other way. Spot prices spiked toward $4,368, then sold off hard and settled near $4,333.
Bitcoin and Gold Price Reaction to FOMC. Source: TradingViewThe hike landed in a week already going badly for crypto. Bitcoin and XRP slid after the CLARITY Act’s failure in the Senate, a bill that would have set out which US regulator oversees digital assets, wiping out more than $300 million in leveraged bets.
White House adviser Christopher Phelan warned against a hike this week, citing falling inflation data. Chair Kevin Warsh has delivered zero cuts since Powell left.
Traders are keeping their bets on another increase this year. Warsh’s press conference decides whether that holds.
In brief U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $450.4 million Tuesday, their largest single-day outflow since June 24. The Senate voted 49 to 50 against invoking cloture on the Clarity Act, a crypto market-structure bill that needed 60 votes to advance, effectively ending its chances in 2026. Ethereum ETFs lost another $142.3 million the same day, while XRP funds stayed flat. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $450.4 million on Tuesday, their largest single-day outflow since June 24, according to Decrypt's Bitcoin ETF tracker.
ETFs, or exchange-traded funds, are products that let ordinary investors buy exposure to an asset, such as Bitcoin, through a regular brokerage account, without ever touching a crypto wallet. They’ve been extremely popular since first launching two years ago and have become a proxy for overall market sentiment as money flows in and out of them daily.
Myriad: Where does Bitcoin go next? Click to make your prediction.Fidelity's FBTC led the exodus Tuesday with $214.8 million pulled out. BlackRock's IBIT lost $161.7 million, Grayscale's GBTC shed $44.1 million, and ARK 21Shares and Bitwise's funds saw smaller withdrawals.
Bitcoin ETF data. Image: DecryptEthereum ETFs bled another $142.3 million the same day, and XRP funds, smaller and newer, held flat after pulling in $11.3 million the day prior.
Ethereum ETF data. Image: DecryptCombined, the three asset funds lost close to $593 million in a single session—the sharpest one-day pullback crypto ETFs have seen since June, when Bitcoin funds posted their worst month on record.
The trigger wasn't a hack or a market crash. It was, apparently, Congress.
Why the Senate vote matteredThe Senate failed Tuesday to invoke cloture—the procedural vote that lets a bill move to formal debate, requiring 60 of 100 votes—on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act.
Senators voted 49 to 50 against it. Senate Banking's ranking Democrat, Elizabeth Warren, opposed the bill on the floor, warning it would spark a "crypto-fueled economic crash."
The Clarity Act would have given crypto its first real rulebook, splitting oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission and effectively legalizing most crypto trading in the United States.
Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-WY), the bill's lead negotiator, called Tuesday's failure a likely death sentence: "It's over," she said just prior to the vote. Once the failed vote was confirmed she attacked her colleagues on the other side of the aisle. “The Democrats are now anti-American. Sad,” she posted on X.
This afternoon, Senate Democrats proved they were never truly serious about protecting consumers and preserving American leadership. I sat at the table with Senate Democrats working in good faith to get this done while they played games.
For over a year, they presented demands…
— Senator Cynthia Lummis (@SenLummis) September 15, 2026
Regulatory clarity is what lets pension funds and banks treat Bitcoin like a normal, legal financial product instead of a legal gray zone. Without that clarity, institutional money tends to sit on the sidelines. Tuesday's outflows may be a sign of that hesitation showing up in real dollars. That said, today's forthcoming Federal Reserve decision, widely believed to be the first interest rate hike in three years, may be just as much—if not more—of a factor at the moment.
It's also worth noting that Congress isn't necessarily done trying on the Clarity Act. About 22 working days remain on the Senate calendar before midterm campaigning consumes the fall session, and the Digital Chamber, a crypto trade group, called Tuesday's result a "setback" rather than a defeat.
Barring a late revival, the SEC and CFTC's own rulemaking process—the fallback Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has already pointed to—is now the closest thing U.S. crypto markets have to a regulatory roadmap for the rest of 2026.
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Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) dropped below $76,000 as Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH), Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) and Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) and XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) struggle to hold key levels after the Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act and the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points.
Cryptocurrency market analyst Ray Salmond said that the legislative “setback” is unlikely to derail crypto’s broader growth and adoption.
Why Is The Failure Is A ‘Setback,’ Not A ‘Derailment‘Salmond argued in a Schwab Network interview on Wednesday that the regulatory story now shifts from legislation to rule making.
The SEC and CFTC are positioned to fill part of the regulatory void after the CLARITY Act failed to advance.
Trending
However, industry executives and analysts have cautioned that agency rules may be more vulnerable to political changes and legal challenges than legislation passed by Congress.
Salmond expects regulators to continue moving forward regardless of whether the Clarity Act returns next year or later.
That could keep Wall Street’s crypto expansion moving.
He added that a clearer framework like the CLARITY Act would give U.S. crypto companies stronger legal footing while making it easier for offshore firms to re-headquarter in the U.S., raise capital and integrate with TradFi.
He expects firms including BlackRock (NYSE:BLK), ARK Invest and Fidelity to lean further into potential SEC frameworks for tokenization, paving the way for more tokenized securities, 24-hour trading and deeper integration between traditional financial markets and crypto platforms.
Warsh Announces First of Several Potential HikesElsewhere, the Federal Reserve delivered the widely-anticipated 25 basis points hike, with another hike projected until year-end. Gold and equities dived on the announcement, which is widely perceived as the start of a fresh hiking cycle going into 2027.
Image: Shutterstock
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Germany's largest lender is moving into regulated crypto custody. The announcement, made on September 16, marks one of the most significant steps yet by a globally systemic bank into digital asset infrastructure.
What the Service Covers
Deutsche Bank co-head of corporate bank Gerald Podobnik framed the move as complementary to traditional finance rather than a break from it.
Regulatory Path and Broader Context
, suggesting the custody offering is intended as a foundation for a broader digital asset strategy rather than a standalone product.
Sources:
CoinDesk: Deutsche Bank nears crypto custody service debut for institutional clients
The Block: Deutsche Bank plans bitcoin, ether custody for institutional clients in Europe
EuropaWire: Deutsche Bank official press release
Zcash price surged over 10% following a governance vote by the NU7 community that favored a quicker halving schedule and increased blocks per hour. At press time, ZEC was trading near $1,248.34, up about 12% over 24 hours, even as Bitcoin slipped toward $75,800.
Zcash Vote Backs Faster 25-Second Blocks Nearly 2.4 million ZEC took part in the NU7 vote, out of about 3.6 million eligible tokens at the snapshot. The turnout was about two-thirds of the available supply, exceeding the organizers’ participation threshold of 1 million ZECs.
Around 99.9% of all ZECs that participated in the surveys agreed to a reduction in the block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. A faster rate of block generation can provide faster confirmation times for transactions and improved overall network performance.
The voting process was also privacy-oriented, mirroring Zcash’s shielded voting pool of Ironwood. The ballots were encrypted and divided into 16 segments, allowing the validators to verify the count without being able to see the individual balances or votes.
Holders Preserve Bitcoin-Style Halving Schedule Around 98.9% of the voting ZECs voted to keep the same halving model. This implies that rewards for mining will continue to decline at periodic intervals, not gradually over time.
The decision maintains Zcash’s monetary policy to follow Bitcoin’s fixed halving structure. Holding voters also passed by 96.6% to postpone reissuance by the Network Sustainability Mechanism until February 2031.
That process takes at least 60% of transaction fees out of circulation and eventually returns those coins via block rewards. Under the system, the maximum supply of ZECs is fixed.
Another 99.3% of voting ZEC supported shipping NU7 as soon as possible. Features not ready by the September 30 deadline could be left out rather than delaying the full upgrade.
ZEC Price Rises as Network Developments Add Support The vote coincided with a notable Zcash price rally, which was outweighed by the broader cryptocurrency market sentiment. ZEC benefited as Bitcoin declined following the failure of the CLARITY Act in Washington.
Zcash Labs also announced that it has received funding to implement shielded pool support on Ledger hardware wallets. The integration would include the ability to use the same hardware wallet system for private storage of ZECs.
The vote may not mean a change of the NU7 immediately, as these approved features need to be tested and implemented by the developers. Nevertheless, the outcome provides developers with a definite direction for block time, halvings and the next upgrade schedule.
The Federal Open Market Committee voted 12-0 to lift its target range a quarter point to 3.75%-4%, and the median projection now puts the rate at 4.1% at the end of 2026 against 3.8% in June. Bitcoin spiked to $76,499.99 five minutes after the release and gave it back within half an hour. The S&P 500 and gold closed lower. Zcash reached $1,383.30.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate on Wednesday for the first time since July 2023, and bitcoin traded through the decision little changed.
The vote was unanimous, against three dissents for an increase at the July meeting, and the committee's own projections now point to one more this year. Equities and gold gave back the morning's gains in the half hour after the release and closed below Tuesday. Crypto went the other way into the evening. Breadth flipped from 39 gainers at 3 p.m. to 87, and the largest move is Zcash at 19.1%.
Bitcoin last changed hands at $75,928, up 0.6% over 24 hours and down 2.7% over seven days, CoinGecko data shows. Ether was at $2,402, up 0.4% on the day and down 2.3% on the week. Zcash rose 19%, and Arbitrum 14%. Stellar added 3.1%, Solana 1.6%, BNB 1.2% and XRP 0.9%.
Total crypto market value stood at $2.68 trillion on $93.5 billion of volume, with bitcoin dominance at 56.84%, CoinGecko data shows. Weighted by market value, the 500 largest tokens rose 0.75% over 24 hours and fell 2.7% over seven days. Eighty-seven of the 123 largest non-stablecoin tokens rose, 34 fell and two were unchanged.
Twelve To NothingThe committee raised the target range for the federal funds rate "by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, in support of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate," according to the statement released Wednesday afternoon. It passed by a 12-0 vote.
"Inflation remains elevated," the statement reads. "Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the Committee's 2 percent goal." On the labor market: "Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little." The committee said economic activity is expanding at a solid pace, and that productivity growth is strong and capital investment robust.
The range returns to where it stood between the Oct. 30 and Dec. 11 meetings of 2025. The last change before Wednesday was the Dec. 11 quarter-point cut to 3.50%-3.75%, and the last increase was July 27, 2023, which took the range to 5.25%-5.50%, Fed records show.
Nobody dissented. Minutes of the July 28-29 meeting show Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan dissenting in favor of a quarter-point increase, and that "many participants assessed that policy tightening would likely be necessary if inflation did not decline."
The Dots Move UpThe median participant now sees the federal funds rate at 4.1% at the end of 2026, against 3.8% in the June projections, leaving room for one more quarter-point increase before year end. The median holds at 4.1% through the end of 2027, falls to 3.9% for 2028 and sits at 3.2% in the longer run.
The inflation forecast moved with it. Eighteen participants put median PCE inflation at 3.7% for 2026 and core PCE at 3.4%, against unemployment at 4.1% and real GDP growth at 2.3%.
Traders took the projections to the next meeting. Polymarket priced no change at the Oct. 27-28 decision at 60.5% and a quarter-point increase at 39%, the increase up 2.5 points on the day, on $3.58 million of volume across the event. The September market, which carried $207.8 million, priced a quarter-point increase at 99.95% after the release, against 87.5% on Wednesday morning.
A Five-Minute SpikeBitcoin was at $75,688.82 when the statement landed and reached $76,499.99 in the five minutes to 2:10 p.m. ET, Coinbase five-minute candles show. It was back at $75,725.11 ten minutes later and set its session low of $74,911.53 at 2:35 p.m. It recovered through the afternoon to $76,345 in the 4 p.m. hour and last traded at $75,937.26.
Stocks and gold ran the same round trip and did not recover it. The S&P 500 closed at 7,551.81, down 0.4% from Tuesday and 1% off its 7,626.79 high of the day, and the Nasdaq Composite at 25,978.42, level with Tuesday's close after trading as high as 26,225.09. Gold settled at $4,302.50, down 0.7% on the day, having touched $4,413.10 before the release. Brent crude was at $105.60 a barrel, down 2.9% from Tuesday's settle of $108.75.
Yields went the other way. The 10-year par yield closed at 5.01% on Wednesday, its highest close since July 19, 2007, when it settled at 5.04%, Treasury data shows. It is the second consecutive close at or above 5%. The two-year closed at 4.74%, up 7 basis points on the day and the highest close of 2026, the five-year at 4.86% and the 30-year at 5.35%.
Andreja Cobeljic, head of derivatives trading at AMINA Bank, had set a condition for a rally in commentary sent to reporters Wednesday morning. "Most major banks are forecasting a 25 basis point hike today and 50 basis points until year end. If it arrives without signalling a more aggressive path than markets have already priced in, that is the clearest path to a relief rally across risk assets, which includes Bitcoin and gold," he said. The median 2026 projection moved up 0.3 percentage point from June.
Cobeljic also tied the inflation print to oil. "If inflation is being driven by geopolitics and supply destruction rather than demand, higher rates slow growth without fixing prices," he said.
Zcash Runs Past $1,380TokenPrice24h7dZcash (ZEC)$1,322.36+19.1%+5.5%Raydium (RAY)$1.39+13.9%+7.8%Arbitrum (ARB)$0.1639+13.9%+7.9%Dash (DASH)$56.45+12.2%-10.0%Lighter (LIT)$4.56+11.4%-3.5%NEAR Protocol (NEAR)$2.57+11.3%+2.6%Venice Token (VVV)$23.15+6.8%-1.4%Polkadot (DOT)$1.008+6.6%-10.1%Zcash opened at $1,110.10 on Coinbase and reached $1,383.30 in the quarter hour beginning at 2 p.m. ET, above the $1,297.77 it had reached on Sept. 9. It closed the session at $1,320.12, an 18.9% gain, on $2.19 billion of volume across exchanges. ZEC is 58.6% below the $3,191.93 CoinGecko records for October 2016, the month of its launch. At a $22.39 billion market value it ranks tenth, ahead of Hyperliquid.
No Zcash announcement accompanied the move. The Electric Coin Company's blog has not posted since December. Grayscale filed to convert its Zcash trust into a spot ETF in November 2025. Monero, the other large privacy token, fell 1.2% to $493.50.
Arbitrum closed Tuesday 13.5% higher and added 7.7% on Wednesday, from an open of $0.15174 to $0.16344 on Coinbase, with a high of $0.17369. It turned over $563.9 million against a $1.10 billion market value. Standard Chartered set a $10 price target on the token on Tuesday, which The Defiant covered. Arbitrum's press page carries nothing dated September, and the governance forum threads posted Sept. 14 through Sept. 16 cover grant reports, delegate updates and a treasury question.
Raydium, Dash, Lighter and NEAR Protocol each added more than 11% over 24 hours. Raydium, Arbitrum and NEAR are the only names in the table besides Zcash holding a seven-day gain.
XRP's Second SessionXRP closed at $1.4228 on Coinbase on Monday, traded as high as $1.4593 on Tuesday morning before the Senate vote and ended Tuesday at $1.2823. It last traded at $1.2946, a two-session decline of 9%, after adding 0.9% on Wednesday.
Stellar followed the same shape and recovered further. XLM closed Monday at $0.191617, reached $0.1985 on Tuesday morning and settled at $0.176045. It last traded at $0.180975, up 2.8% on Wednesday, and is one of two tokens among the 20 largest with a seven-day gain, at 0.4%. The other is Zcash, at 5.5%.
Neither project published anything dated Tuesday or Wednesday. Ripple's Insights blog last posted on Sept. 11, on stablecoin regulation. The Stellar Development Foundation's blog last posted on Sept. 14, on tokenized asset pricing.
The Senate voted 49-50 on Tuesday afternoon against taking up the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, 11 votes short of the 60 cloture needed. The Defiant reported the tally and the four Republican no votes on Tuesday and trade group and executive reaction on Wednesday morning.
"The Act was always about longevity — giving crypto market structure a legislative foundation that survives changes in administration. That foundation is now missing," Cobeljic said. "What remains is the regulatory direction itself, and that is still moving forward."
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index read 51, or neutral, on Wednesday, against 69 on Tuesday and 57 on Monday, according to Alternative.me. It is the lowest reading since Aug. 19, when the index read 46. The index publishes once a day at 00:00 UTC.
ETF Buyers Walk OutU.S. spot bitcoin ETFs lost $450.4 million on Tuesday, according to Farside Investors. Fidelity's FBTC accounted for $214.8 million of the outflow, BlackRock's IBIT for $161.7 million and Grayscale's GBTC for $44.1 million. The six sessions from Sept. 8 through Sept. 15 produced a net outflow of $753.2 million, with one day of inflows in the run, $159.9 million on Monday. Spot ether ETFs lost $49.5 million on Tuesday, with Grayscale's ETHE at $17.5 million. Wednesday's figures had not published as of 6 p.m. ET.
Glassnode put the same picture on chain in its Week On Chain report published Wednesday. "On-chain and ETF inflows have stopped, stablecoin supply is flat, treasuries are under water and not buying, altcoins have rolled over, and options pay for downside under a wall of calls," Frederik Theissen wrote. The report puts the True Market Mean, which it defines as the average price paid by investors who are still active, at $76,700, and the short-term holder cost basis at $71,300.
DeFi total value locked fell 2.3% over 24 hours to $86.71 billion and 1.8% over seven days, DefiLlama data shows. Stablecoin supply stood at $309.48 billion, down 0.35% over seven days and up 1.08% over 30 days, net redemptions of $1.08 billion since Sept. 9 against net issuance of $3.31 billion since Aug. 17.
Akedo Gives It BackTokenPrice24h7dAkedo (AKE)$0.01925-28.5%+27.8%Pons (PONS)$0.5628-11.7%-12.4%Stable (STABLE)$0.02388-11.6%-16.2%Rain (RAIN)$0.01319-6.1%-16.5%Sky (SKY)$0.05761-5.4%-9.3%Artificial Inu (AI)$0.2704-3.7%+30.5%Aave (AAVE)$117.09-3.3%-7.0%Akedo was the largest decliner among the 150 biggest tokens, a day after leading the gainers at 79.2% in Tuesday's wrap. It holds a 27.8% gain over seven days. No announcement accompanied either session.
Rain holds the largest seven-day decline among the 20 largest non-stablecoin tokens at 16.5%. It ranks fourteenth by market value at $9.35 billion on $27.1 million of 24-hour volume, a turnover ratio of 0.29%.
Aave fell 3.3% on a day it announced a product. The Defiant covered Aave Labs' plan for a tokenized-asset credit market on Avalanche using Tether's USA₮, which goes to a DAO vote and carries no launch date.
Pi Network is 97.1% below the $2.99 it reached in February 2025 and set its record low on July 14. No project announcement accompanied the move.
Prices and market data as of 6 p.m. ET on Sept. 16, 2026.
Morgan Creek Capital CEO Mark Yusko has said that bitcoin’s fair value is $105,000 based on Metcalfe’s Law.
Speaking on Bitcoin Magazine TV on Wednesday, the investment management firm said that now was the best time to buy the leading cryptocurrency as it is “on sale.”
Metcalfe’s Law, an observation by Internet entrepreneur Robert Metcalfe, states that the value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of users. Bitcoin touched a high in October 2025 of $126,080 but was recently trading 40% lower than that, at $75,701.
“So the fair value of bitcoin today, based on Metcalf’s law — Tim Peterson runs a model that tracks this really nicely — it’s about $105,000, but it’s $75,000,” Yusko said.
“Okay, so it’s on sale — you should accumulate things that are on sale.”
Yusko went on to say that bitcoin was the best way to protect one’s value and that investing in companies wasn’t good for the long-term.
“The problem is over a 30-year period, equity, 85% of companies disappear over 30 years. It’s amazing stat,” he said.
“What you really need is something to protect your value — and historically, for 5,000 years, there was one asset: gold.”
“Now we’ve got gold and bitcoin,” he added.
Bitcoin started rallying in August following news that the U.S. Treasury would at least double the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations. The announcement hurt the dollar but non-yielding assets have benefited.
Since then, some experts have said that the so-called debasement trade — when investors buy an asset as a way to hedge against a currency losing value — is back and will benefit bitcoin.
The trade was hot last year, and helped bitcoin’s run, but the digital asset lost steam after October as traders turned their attention to stocks related to artificial intelligence.
Mathew Di Salvo
Mathew is a reporter who's covered the space since 2019, reporting on everything from Salvadoran president Nayib Bukele's Bitcoin bet to crypto exchange FTX's bankruptcy.
Celsius Network’s bankruptcy estate has sued BitMEX for the return of 6,360.17 Bitcoin, worth about $495 million, over forced liquidations carried out during the March 2020 COVID market crash.
Summary
Celsius and JST lost a combined 6,360.17 BTC through BitMEX liquidations in March 2020. The estate alleges BitMEX designed its system to profit from liquidated customer collateral. Five BitMEX-linked companies have been named as defendants in the New York bankruptcy case. The complaint remains unproven and was filed shortly before BitMEX ends trading on Sep. 23. The complaint, filed on Sep. 12 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York, accuses BitMEX-linked companies of fraud, breach of contract, and unjust enrichment tied to the exchange’s liquidation system.
Blockchain Recovery Investment Consortium filed the case in its role as litigation administrator under Celsius’ bankruptcy plan. The defendants are HDR Global Trading, ABS Global Trading, Shine Effort, 100x Holdings and HDR Global Services.
Operating through several jurisdictions, the named entities have links to Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, England, Hong Kong, the Seychelles and the United States. The filing places the dispute before a U.S. bankruptcy court because the contested claims form part of the remaining assets being pursued for Celsius creditors.
Celsius estate seeks 6,360 BTC from BitMEX According to the complaint, Celsius lost 1,325.84 BTC when BitMEX liquidated its position on March 12, 2020. Investment fund JST lost another 5,034.33 BTC through a liquidation the following day and later assigned its claims to the Celsius estate.
The two positions were structured to earn a return if Bitcoin either held its value or rose, the estate said. Bitcoin instead fell sharply as global markets reacted to the spread of Covid-19, with the sell-off producing one of the most volatile periods in the cryptocurrency’s history.
During the disorder, leveraged positions on derivatives exchanges faced margin calls and forced closures. Celsius and JST allege that BitMEX did more than close their positions to cover trading losses, claiming the exchange took control of Bitcoin collateral that should have been returned.
At the roughly $77,800 valuation used in the supplied claim, the combined 6,360.17 BTC is worth close to $495 million. The value of any potential recovery would still depend on the court’s findings and the form of relief granted, as the lawsuit remains at the complaint stage.
The litigation administrator is pursuing the Bitcoin itself rather than limiting the demand to its dollar value in March 2020. Its claims include fraudulent transfer, conversion, breach of contract, breach of the implied duty of good faith and fair dealing, and unjust enrichment.
BitMEX allegedly controlled both sides of liquidations At the center of the case is BitMEX’s control over the mechanism that determined when leveraged positions would be closed. The Celsius estate alleges that the exchange also controlled the insurance fund that received assets generated by some liquidations, creating a financial interest in how the process operated.
“BitMEX intentionally designed its platform and liquidation procedures to cause liquidations of collateral and defraud its own customers,” the complaint says.
Rather than sell only enough collateral to settle an account’s obligations, BitMEX allegedly retained excess Bitcoin after closing positions. The defendants have not been found liable for the conduct described in the filing, and the allegations will need to be tested through the U.S. court process.
Similar claims appeared in a proposed class action filed in July by BKX Services and trader David Namdar. As crypto.news previously reported, the plaintiffs alleged that BitMEX engineered forced liquidations and retained 622.66 BTC that should have gone back to customers.
BKX said it lost at least 305.81 BTC, while Namdar claimed losses of more than 316.85 BTC. Their case also alleged that BitMEX’s internal trading operation had access to private customer information and could continue operating during server outages that stopped users from managing their positions.
The proposed class action seeks to represent eligible U.S. traders who used BitMEX’s Bitcoin perpetual swap products in transactions dating back to July 23, 2018. Celsius’ complaint is separate and concerns losses from March 2020, although both cases challenge how the exchange handled customer collateral during forced liquidations.
The case adds another asset-recovery effort for creditors Celsius’ pursuit of BitMEX forms part of the litigation left behind by the crypto lender’s Chapter 11 case. Celsius froze withdrawals in June 2022 and filed for bankruptcy the following month after losses and liquidity problems left customers unable to retrieve their assets.
Court records later raised questions about the gap between the lender’s public claims and its trading practices. Celsius had promoted strategies such as arbitrage, carry trades and funding-rate harvesting as relatively low-risk ways to generate returns for depositors.
A July 2022 bankruptcy filing said the company had instead used “several highly speculative derivative and asset deployment mechanisms.” Court-appointed examiner Shoba Pillay’s final report also documented trading, risk-control and recordkeeping failures inside the lender.
The BitMEX position described in the new complaint relied on pooled customer assets and carried leveraged exposure during a severe market decline. Although the liquidation allegedly harmed Celsius, the bankruptcy records show that the lender itself had exposed customer funds to speculative trades while presenting its business as safer than its internal practices suggested.
Celsius began working through its repayment plan after a New York bankruptcy judge approved its restructuring. In January 2024, the company started distributing assets under a plan that provided more than $3 billion in cryptocurrency and other property to creditors.
Creditor recoveries later included shares in Ionic Digital, a Bitcoin mining company created through the restructuring. Former Celsius creditors received about 37 million Class A shares, and Ionic subsequently secured SEC approval for its planned Nasdaq listing in July.
A third payout round began in August 2025 with approximately $220.6 million allocated to eligible creditors. Recoveries obtained through estate litigation can add assets to the bankruptcy process, although the BitMEX complaint does not guarantee a payment or set a timetable for resolving the claims.
BitMEX faces the lawsuit before its Sep. 23 closure The Celsius action is the second lawsuit challenging BitMEX’s liquidation practices since the exchange announced in July that it would close. BitMEX instructed customers to wind down positions and withdraw funds before trading ends on Sep. 23.
Founded in 2014, the exchange became known for offering highly leveraged cryptocurrency derivatives, including its Bitcoin perpetual swap. Its influence later declined as competition increased and regulated futures platforms gained more institutional business.
BitMEX has also faced prior action from U.S. authorities. In January 2025, a federal judge ordered HDR Global Trading to pay a $100 million criminal fine after the company admitted violating the Bank Secrecy Act by operating without an adequate anti-money-laundering program.
The criminal case concerned BitMEX’s compliance controls between 2015 and 2020, not the liquidation conduct alleged by Celsius. U.S. prosecutors said the exchange had served American customers without the required safeguards, while earlier civil proceedings brought by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and Financial Crimes Enforcement Network produced settlements of up to $100 million.
BitMEX co-founders Arthur Hayes, Benjamin Delo, and Samuel Reed had pleaded guilty in 2022 to Bank Secrecy Act violations. President Donald Trump pardoned the three founders in 2025, along with former executive Gregory Dwyer and the corporate entities connected to the exchange.
The companion app connects to the ERA hardware wallet to add portfolio management, swaps, and dApp access across 14 networks — while private keys never leave the device. The release follows a full independent security audit by Cure53, and lands alongside a major update to ERA Lens, ERA’s on-device scam-warning system, plus new hardware-side capabilities including Bitcoin multisig and on-device 2FA.
ERA, the maker of the air-gapped ERA hardware wallet, today announced the launch of the ERA Software Wallet, a companion mobile app for iOS and Android that turns its air-gapped hardware device into a full self-custody ecosystem. The move addresses one of the most common trade-offs in crypto self-custody: hardware wallets are secure but often clunky to use day-to-day, while software wallets are convenient but hold keys online.
ERA’s model keeps the two roles separate by design — the phone prepares transactions, the hardware device signs them, and the private keys never touch the phone at all.
“People don’t abandon self-custody because they don’t believe in it – they abandon it because it’s inconvenient,” said Alex Devyatkin, founder and CEO of ERA. “The Software Wallet doesn’t change what secures your assets. It changes how easy it is to actually use that security every day.”
What’s in the ERA Software WalletThe app gives users a single interface to manage assets across 14 networks – Bitcoin (SegWit, Taproot, and Legacy address types), Ethereum, Solana, Tron, Base, Arbitrum, Optimism, Polygon, BNB Chain, Avalanche, Gnosis, zkSync, Kaia, and Aurora – while every transaction is still confirmed and signed on the ERA hardware device via QR or NFC.
Inside the app, users can:
View portfolio balances across all supported networks, with each token clearly tagged by network
Send and receive assets, with a network guard that prevents funds from being sent to the wrong chain
Buy and sell crypto through integrated providers, with automatic KYC/country detection and side-by-side rate comparison
Swap and bridge across chains in a single flow, powered by Rango’s routing, with a full quote shown before signing
Connect to dApps via WalletConnect, with sessions still requiring hardware-signed approval
Get proactive protection: warnings on unused token approvals, a spam-token filter, alerts on pending or stuck transactions, and full transaction history
App-level security includes PIN and biometric unlock (Face ID / Touch ID / fingerprint), auto-lock when the app is backgrounded, and screen-privacy protections that hide app content from the system app switcher and block screenshots and screen recording.
Backed by an Independent Security AuditAhead of launch, ERA commissioned a full white-box security audit from Cure53, a cybersecurity firm with an established track record auditing wallets and crypto infrastructure. Cure53 was given access to source code, builds, documentation, and internal components, and tested the mobile app, API, transaction construction, and QR/BC-UR signing flows. Every finding was fixed by ERA’s team and then retested by Cure53 to confirm the fix held.
The summary and full technical reports are public:
Summary report (PDF)
Full pentest report (PDF)
The Headline Device Update: ERA Lens’s New Scam-Warning SystemThe main update on the device side is to ERA Lens, ERA’s built-in transaction-decoding layer, which translates what a transaction actually does into plain language before signing rather than showing raw hex data.
This release adds a new scam-warning display, expands coverage to more DeFi and bridging protocols (including Rango, imToken, Rabby, MetaMask Portfolio Bridge, Mayan, Squid, LayerSwap, Stargate V2, GasZip, and Magpie), and can now decode newer, harder-to-read transaction formats such as EIP-7702, ERC-7821, and Safe multicalls — flagging unlimited approvals to unfamiliar addresses automatically.
The team also added 37 real transactions drawn from known incidents – including Bybit, WazirX, Radiant, Inferno Drainer, and PREMINT – to its automated test suite, so every new firmware release is checked against these attack patterns before shipping.
Extended Protection, Built Into the AppOn the mobile side, the Software Wallet adds extended protection aimed at scams that target wallet users directly rather than the underlying blockchain. The home screen now surfaces a plain-language warning for unused token approvals, with a dedicated screen showing exactly which contract can spend how much of which token, in which network, revocable in one confirmation.
The app also guards against address poisoning — fake transaction records designed to trick users into copying a lookalike address from their own history. Between July 2 and August 1, 2026, ERA tracked 66 such fake entries across 24 poisoned addresses, spanning 8 wallets and 8 networks; if a recipient address is a near-identical copy of one of a user’s own addresses, sending is blocked outright, with no override.
Also New: Progressive Security on the Hardware DeviceAlongside the software wallet launch, ERA is rolling out further capabilities to the hardware device itself, continuing its “wallet you never outgrow” model — meaning users can move to more advanced security setups without switching devices.
Bitcoin multisig support – the ERA device can act as one cosigner in a Bitcoin multisig setup, for example holding one key in a 2-of-3 arrangement, removing any single point of failure.
On-device two-factor authentication – TOTP authentication codes can now be stored directly on the ERA hardware device, adding a second layer of digital security on the same hardware that protects private keys.
Device authenticity verification – separately from how transactions are signed, the ERA device can prove it is a genuine, unmodified unit by signing a one-time challenge with a factory-burned key, a check that takes under a minute.
About ERAERA (HWLT FZE) is a Dubai-based digital security company building the ERA Wallet ecosystem: an air-gapped hardware wallet, a companion multichain software wallet, and a built-in transaction-protection layer, ERA Lens.
Disclaimer
This third-party press release is published substantially as received and does not reflect BeInCrypto's editorial views. BeInCrypto has not independently verified its claims or assessed the suitability, legality or appropriateness of any referenced asset, product or service; publication is not an endorsement. The content is general information, not investment research, financial, investment, legal or tax advice, a personal recommendation, offer or solicitation. Verify all information and seek professional advice where appropriate before acting. Crypto-assets may result in total loss.
There’s a big problem with Bitcoin transactions from a business perspective that no one often talks about. Let’s say a business pays a supplier in BTC from a reused wallet address. They can actually look beyond the invoice.
Right now, while you’re reading this, a competitor can open a block explorer and see who you paid in Bitcoin for your last deal — how much, when, and to which counterparty. Transaction tracing isn’t a problem for people with something to hide. It’s a standing business risk: treasury movements, partner relationships, and deal flow sit open to anyone willing to spend an afternoon following the trail.
The reflex is to assume this exposure starts on-chain, at the moment you sign a transaction. It doesn’t. In July 2026, researchers from KU Leuven’s DistriNet group tested 85 of the most popular browser-extension wallets and found that the wallets themselves leak enough to fingerprint and follow their users — before a single transaction is ever signed.
The wallet pings an outside server to display a balance, and that request already carries the address in the clear. No exploit is involved; the extensions behave exactly as they were built to. Across all 85, the fingerprinting weakness alone reaches 36 wallets, which account for roughly 82% of the installs studied — the subgroup every later number in this section is measured against.
And this holds even for the honest ones. Andy Greenberg spent a decade as crypto crime’s most careful chronicler, reporting on the hackers, dealers, and launderers who treated the blockchain as a hiding place — and watching investigators pull them out of it one by one. It took him ten years to see how far from untraceable Bitcoin actually was. The ledger that was supposed to protect them was the record that convicted them.
The false confidence runs in one direction — the people who assume they’ve done enough to stay private are mostly the ones who never had anything to hide: a donor whose entire giving history is now public, a journalist whose sources can be inferred from a payment trail, the B2B counterparty above.
Almost every layer of this happens to you, not by you. The rest of this piece maps the exposure in full — and marks the one link that was ever yours to write.
What Leaks From a Wallet Beyond the Transaction Itself A crypto wallet can reveal information before you even make a transaction. To show your balance, a browser wallet usually contacts outside servers and sends them your wallet address. Researchers from KU Leuven tested 85 popular browser-extension wallets, representing around 35 million Chrome Web Store installs. They found that 36 wallets — covering roughly 82% of the installs studied — could be identified and followed this way.
Seventeen wallets, covering about 23 million installs, could also expose links between different addresses belonging to the same user. In 22 of the 36 affected wallets, websites could still read an address even after the user revoked access and restarted the browser.
There is another problem. Websites can often detect which wallet extensions someone has installed without the user connecting a wallet at all. Researchers also found that 23 of the 36 affected wallets could leak an address through content loaded from another website, without the user clicking anything.
Most wallet providers contacted by the researchers did not treat this as a serious bug. Coinbase Wallet, Coin98 and Hana made changes, while others including MetaMask, Rabby and OKX did not. The researchers also tested 30 decentralized apps and found that only 11 properly revoked wallet access when users clicked “disconnect” or logged out.
Once an address becomes visible, the public blockchain provides the rest of the picture.
Blockchain-analysis companies look for transaction patterns that suggest several addresses belong to the same person or organization.
For example, if several wallets repeatedly send funds between each other or interact in similar ways, software can group them together. One known address can therefore lead analysts to several others.
This happens at enormous scale. By mid-2026, Chainalysis said it had grouped more than 1 billion blockchain addresses into over 134,000 identified entities.
Moving funds between blockchains does not necessarily break the trail either. Analysts can follow assets through bridges between networks. Using a decentralized exchange does not automatically hide the transaction, because swaps are still recorded publicly on the blockchain.
The result is fairly simple: a wallet address may look like a random string of characters, but once enough activity is connected around it, it can become a detailed financial profile.
There are real examples of this working. After the Colonial Pipeline ransomware attack in 2021, US investigators followed Bitcoin through several wallets and recovered about $2.3 million of the $4.4 million ransom payment.
Helix: The Mechanism You Can’t Fool by Trying to Hide In the early years of Bitcoin, Helix was very popular in the darknet markets. It built to do one thing: make Bitcoin untraceable. Larry Dean Harmon ran it as a tumbler from 2014 to 2017, mixing customers’ coins to obscure where their funds came from, and he marketed the output as “clean” bitcoin. The entire model was concealment. Nothing about the service existed except to break the link between a coin’s origin and its destination.
Some 354,468 BTC, about $311M at the time, passed through it. The mixing changed what the trail looked like; it did not remove the trail. Every coin still left a permanent mark on the blockchain, one that couldn’t be altered or deleted after the fact.
Harmon took a 2.5% commission on each swap, and that commission went where every other coin went: onto the chain, permanently. The cut he skimmed to run a concealment service became the record that led back to the operator of it. The one service designed from the ground up to erase the trail wrote its owner into the trail it couldn’t erase.
How a Wallet Trail Gets Tied to a Real Person Helix shows that moving Bitcoin around does not necessarily erase the trail. But following the money is only half the job. Analysts still need to connect those wallet addresses to a real person or business.
That usually happens when funds touch a regulated exchange. Exchanges know which deposit addresses belong to their customers and hold identity records through KYC checks. If investigators trace Bitcoin to one of those addresses, they can request the account details through legal process.
That single connection can reveal far more than one transaction. If blockchain analysis has already linked several addresses as likely belonging to the same owner, identifying one of them can put a name on the whole group. The exchange may only know about the address that touched its platform, but the earlier analysis can connect it to the rest.
Sometimes no legal request is needed. People and businesses regularly publish wallet addresses themselves — on websites, donation pages, Telegram chats or public profiles. Once an address is openly tied to a name, its past transactions are also visible.
For businesses, this creates a basic privacy problem. A supplier payment can expose previous payments, treasury movements and other counterparties. Because blockchain transactions are permanent and timestamped, one identified wallet can make years of activity easier to reconstruct.
Where Blockchain Tracing Can Get It Wrong That does not mean blockchain analysis is always correct.
The systems used to connect wallets rely heavily on patterns and probability. They can produce false positives and false negatives: innocent activity can be flagged, while suspicious activity can be missed.
One problem is transaction history. Bitcoin can pass through many owners. If coins previously moved through a mixer or a wallet considered risky, a later owner can inherit that suspicion despite having nothing to do with the earlier activity.
One documented P2P buyer had an account frozen because the Bitcoin he received had passed through a mixer before he owned it.
For exchanges and other regulated businesses, these mistakes have practical costs. A false alert can freeze a legitimate customer’s funds and create a compliance and support problem.
There are also limits to what tracing companies can see. Privacy-focused cryptocurrencies such as Monero remain much harder to follow. Investigations can also stop when funds reach exchanges in jurisdictions that refuse to cooperate.
Even the biggest blockchain analytics companies have made major corrections. In early 2025, Chainalysis reduced its estimate of crypto stolen by North Korea during the previous year from $1 billion to $660.5 million — a correction of more than $300 million after several hacks were reassessed.
The reliability of these systems has also been challenged in court. Defense teams in cases including Bitcoin Fog and Tornado Cash have questioned how much weight should be placed on analysis produced by proprietary software that outsiders cannot fully inspect.
That scrutiny matters because Chainalysis is also a major US government contractor. Independent reporting based on federal records found it had received more than $93.2 million in government awards.
The biggest risk from a wrong result falls on innocent users. A mistaken link can freeze an account. In countries with weaker protections, the same tracing tools can expose donors, journalists or people funding political opposition. Blockchain tracing can reveal a great deal, but the result should never be treated as automatically correct.
The One Part of the Trail Users Can Still Control Most of the exposure described above happens outside the user’s control. Wallets can leak addresses before a transaction is made. Blockchain analysis can connect multiple addresses, and regulated exchanges can tie those wallets to a real identity through KYC records.
The part users can still control is the direct link between sender and recipient. When one wallet pays another, that connection is written permanently on-chain and can later reveal counterparties, treasury movements, and business relationships.
ChangeNOW introduced Private Transfers to remove that direct connection. The feature routes a payment through a separate one-time address, so the recipient does not receive funds directly from the sender. This breaks the visible sender-to-recipient path without claiming to make the wider transaction anonymous.
Other exposure remains. Wallet metadata can still leak, blockchain analysis can still follow surrounding activity, and AML checks still apply at the deposit, transfer and payout stages.
For API partners, Private Transfers is an optional feature within the existing transfer infrastructure. It uses the same API key and fee model and does not require a separate product or integration. Its purpose is narrower: remove the one visible link users can actually choose not to create.
Conclusion Return to where this started. Andy Greenberg spent years believing the blockchain hid the people using it and came out the other side with the opposite conclusion: “it took me a decade to realize how opposite of untraceable Bitcoin really was.” That is the ground the whole piece stands on. Untraceability, as a total property, doesn’t exist. The wallet leaks, the chain records, the cluster resolves to a name.
That’s the position worth holding for a partner. Not anonymity, which a decade of traced coins shows to be a story rather than a property, but a clear account of which layer closes and which stays open. Private Transfers removes the one link that was the user’s to create.
Yana M. is a business development and account management leader in the crypto industry, currently Head of B2B&Partnerships at ChangeNOW, a non-custodial crypto exchange infrastructure provider. Yana entered the crypto industry in 2021, starting at a payments startup where she built out business development from an early-stage team, before moving on to lead business development and account management for ChangeNOW's exchange infrastructure. Across both, she built and led partner-facing teams from the ground up, working with partners spanning fintech, wallets, exchanges, and payment platforms. Yana's focus is B2B partnership strategy. She structures integrations and negotiates commercial terms that balance partner and company interests, translating product capabilities into the metrics partners actually care about. Beyond partnerships, Yana oversees B2B marketing and product at ChangeNOW, and mentors BizDev and account managers on partner communication and negotiation.
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BeInCrypto independently reports and controls this Feature. Quoted views belong to their speakers. This content is general and non-personalized; it does not consider your circumstances and is not investment research, financial, investment, legal or tax advice, or an offer, endorsement or recommendation to transact in any crypto-asset, product or service. Verify material information before acting. Crypto-assets are volatile and may result in total loss. BeInCrypto gives no warranty as to completeness, accuracy or timeliness, except where required by law.
Deutsche Bank said on September 16 that it will launch a digital asset custody service for institutional and corporate clients in Europe, its most direct commitment yet to safeguarding crypto assets for the traditional finance clients it already serves. The German lender announced the planned rollout as a way for clients to hold and transfer selected digital assets without building their own custody infrastructure, with the launch targeted for this year subject to completion of the applicable regulatory process.
What the Custody Service Covers The service will let clients safeguard digital assets and transfer them to third parties, with Deutsche Bank managing wallets and private keys on clients’ behalf. At launch the bank will support a selected range of assets, including Bitcoin and Ether as well as stablecoins and e-money tokens such as USDC and EURC, with the list expandable over time subject to client demand and the bank’s product-approval process. Security is layered around hardware-based key protection, segregation of duties, multi-person approval and separate warm and cold storage environments.
Who the Bank Is Targeting The initial target group is clients of Deutsche Bank’s Corporate Bank and Investment Bank, spanning corporates, asset managers, hedge funds, custodians, brokers and sovereign institutions, with onboarding subject to the bank’s criteria, due-diligence requirements and risk appetite. Gerald Podobnik, Co-Head Corporate Bank at Deutsche Bank, framed the move as complementary to traditional finance rather than a replacement. “Digital assets are not a replacement for the traditional financial system but an important complement to it,” he said. “We see them as new rails that can coexist with existing market infrastructures while benefiting from the trust, security and safeguards that regulated financial institutions provide. Our aim is to offer clients a secure and regulated gateway to this evolving market.”
A Broader Institutional Push The custody rollout extends a wider Deutsche Bank push into digital-asset infrastructure, following its earlier work on fiat-crypto integration for institutional trading. It also places the lender alongside other banks racing into custody — a field where European lenders are already competing as regulators finalize rules for the sector. Because the service remains subject to regulatory approval, the bank cautioned that timing, geographical availability, supported assets and scope may still change.
AUTHOR
Blockchain analyst specializing in the regulatory impact of government policies on the crypto industry. Known for his thorough research and clear, engaging writing, Emmanuel provides insightful analysis on the latest trends, market shifts, and emerging crypto innovations. His work aims to educate and inform both novice and experienced readers, offering expert perspectives on the fast-evolving world of digital assets. With a passion for staying ahead of the curve, Ogwu is a trusted voice in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space.