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ZHIPU posts a short-term plunge of over 17%; major long investors, who are nearly 300% underwater on their principal, continue adding positions to average down.
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, ZHIPU on Hyperliquid plummeted before Hong Kong stock market opening. Within about an hour, it hit a low of $120.7, down roughly 17%; the decline continued during Hong Kong trading hours. On the news front, ZHIPU completed the placement of 19.78 million new H shares on July 13. On July 17, Moonshot AI released the 2.8-trillion-parameter open-source model Kimi K3, intensifying market concerns over China’s large language model competitive landscape, leading ZHIPU’s Hong Kong-listed shares to drop 28.49% that day. No new company-specific negative news has been identified as of press time. The sharp price drop has further hit ZHIPU’s largest long position holder: a whale wallet starting with 0xddb. The whale currently holds 7,300 contracts with 10x isolated long leverage, with a position value of approximately $905,000, average entry price of $174.2, and liquidation price of around $78.3. It has an unrealized loss of about $367,000, a return rate of -288.2%, equivalent to 2.88 times its initial position cost of $127,000. The whale first opened a long position near $198.45 on the evening of July 6 and has not sold since; at 10:12 today, it added 409.1 contracts against the trend at $129.6. - HyperInsight Bot is now live. Add @HyperInsightBot to your Telegram group and set it as an admin (enable message sending permission) to automatically sync on-chain information.
5 minutes ago
China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) will issue the Guidelines for the Construction of Computing Power Standard System, and promote the establishment of standards including market-based pricing for computing power.
The State Council Information Office held a press conference to brief on the development of industry and information technology in the first half of 2026. Xie Cun, spokesperson of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) and Director-General of the Department of Information and Communication Development, stated that over the past two years, more than 70 major computing power corridors have been built around national computing power hub nodes, with network performance between these hub nodes improved by 10%. The current explosive growth of large AI models and agent applications has driven a continuous rise in demand for intelligent computing power. Going forward, the MIIT will continue to follow the systematic work approach of "point, chain, network, dimension, and system" to optimize the deployment of computing infrastructure resources, build interconnected computing power nodes, and enhance the utilization efficiency of computing power resources. In terms of focusing on key points, the MIIT will optimize the deployment of computing power resource supply, coordinate factors such as industrial development and energy supply, promote the construction of intelligent computing clusters and the coordinated development of computing power and electricity, build a tiered computing power layout, and strengthen overall monitoring of computing power. Additionally, it will issue guidelines for the construction of a computing power standard system, and promote the establishment of standards including computing power service capability evaluation and market-based pricing for computing power.
5 minutes ago
Moody's: South Korea's economic growth may slow in the second quarter.
Moody's Analytics noted in a report that South Korea's second-quarter economic growth is likely to slow to 0.9% from 1.8% in the first quarter. Driven by an AI-fueled semiconductor boom, exports—especially semiconductor shipments—will again act as the key growth driver. South Korea's domestic demand is projected to stay weak, with consumption seeing only a marginal improvement. High energy costs have amplified inflationary pressures, while government measures can only partially ease the strain. South Korea's preliminary second-quarter GDP figure will be released on Thursday.
5 minutes ago
A South Korean trading platform triggered the KOSPI index circuit breaker, halting program trading for 5 minutes.
South Korean exchange KRX triggered the sidecar mechanism due to KOSPI index volatility, suspending program trading for approximately five minutes. The sidecar mechanism is designed to address sharp short-term fluctuations, restricting only program trading while manual trading remains normal. Unlike the circuit breaker mechanism, the sidecar does not halt entire market operations, functioning more like a "speed bump" during periods of market volatility. By contrast, circuit breakers are typically used in extreme market scenarios, suspending all trading across the market when triggered to prevent panic-driven volatility from escalating further.
5 minutes ago
Citigroup downgraded its rating for the South Korean stock market to "Neutral".
Citigroup has adjusted its rating on South Korean stocks from "overweight" to "neutral" amid sharp volatility in chip stocks over recent weeks, as the bank seeks to reduce its exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) themed investments. A poster child for the global AI trading frenzy, South Korea’s KOSPI index has become the world’s best-performing stock market this year. However, in recent weeks, the market has faced sharp swings due to retail investors’ enthusiasm for single-stock leveraged ETFs and valuation concerns. Citigroup remains structurally bullish on the AI sector’s outlook, but has shifted its stance on the South Korean market to neutral.
5 minutes ago
SK Hynix experienced sharp price swings that trapped three newly entered whales, with the latest buyer chasing the rally only $60 away from liquidation.
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, SK Hynix (SKHX) on Hyperliquid saw sharp volatility after opening this morning. The token opened at $1168.1, surged to a high of $1270.1 within half an hour, marking an ~8.7% gain, before quickly pulling back. At 9:55 a.m., it hit a low of $1185.3, down ~6.7% from its peak. During this swing, three whales sequentially opened long positions on SKHX, holding a total of 11,620.674 contracts worth roughly $14.036 million. Based on SK Hynix’s current quoted price of $1198, all three long positions are now underwater: - Whale starting with 0xf4b: New long position with 10x leverage, holding ~$2.715 million, average entry price of $1210.6, unrealized loss of ~$9,000, liquidation price of $1130.4. - Whale starting with 0x564: New long position with 10x leverage, holding ~$4.918 million, average entry price of $1238.9, unrealized loss of ~$125,000, liquidation price of $851.5. - Whale starting with 0x2ab: Converted from a short position to long and continued adding to longs, with 10x leverage, holding ~$6.403 million, average entry price of $1212.8, unrealized loss of ~$25,000, liquidation price of $650.3. Notably, the 0xf4b whale is closest to liquidation. When SKHX dipped to $1185.3 intraday, the gap between its entry price and liquidation price narrowed to just ~$54.9; as the price rebounded to $1298, the gap has since widened to ~$68.
Monday was extremely painful for the BTC funds, but the rest of the week managed to offset the losses.
After a violent eight-week streak with nothing but substantial withdrawals, the spot Bitcoin ETFs changed their course in the middle of July and now extended their recovery period with another green performance.
However, the funds tracking the largest altcoin managed to beat the market leader in terms of weekly net inflows.
BTC ETF Green Wave Endures Perhaps due to the rising tension in the Middle East over the previous weekend, Monday began with a massive $424.66 million net outflow from the spot BTC ETFs. This was the single-largest withdrawal since June 26. Thus, the good news from the previous week started to look like a fluke that cannot be repeated.
However, investors’ behavior changed in the following four days, and fresh capital started to flow in. Data from SoSoValue shows that $181 million entered the funds on Tuesday, another $107.8 million on Wednesday, $79.15 million on Thursday, and $132.30 million on Friday. As such, the weekend ended in the green, with net inflows of $75.67 million.
Nevertheless, these numbers are nowhere near the mass exodus experienced from the middle of May and the beginning of July. In five out of these eight weeks, investors pulled out $1 billion or more, with the week that ended on June 26 registering the second-highest net outflows of $1.79 billion. Overall, the funds lost more than $8 billion in approximately two months.
The cumulative total net inflows dumped from $59.34 billion to $51.08 billion before they recovered some ground to $51.35 billion as of July 17.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Net Flows. Source: SoSoValue ETH Funds Do Even Better While the financial vehicles tracking BTC attracted just over $75 million last week, those following the largest altcoin did even better. The spot Ethereum ETFs gained $105.44 million, building on the previous week’s $84.42 million.
You may also like: The ETF Battle Between Gold and Bitcoin: Is BTC Really Losing? Bitcoin Nears Final Stage of Bear Market Window – Is a Broader Recovery in Sight? Bitcoin Records Worst June in Four Years – Is a Cyclical Bottom in Play? Monday was also in the red, but in a more modest manner. Investors took out $15.41 million. Thursday saw $28.04 million in net outflows, but the $58.34 million on Tuesday, $53.83 million on Wednesday, and $36.73 million on Friday offset all the losses.
Similar to the BTC ETFs, the Ethereum counterparts were on an eight-week red streak, in which they lost well over $1.1 billion in cumulative total net inflows, going from $12.09 billion to $10.89 billion. However, the figure has risen to $11.08 billion after the two consecutive weeks in the green in mid-July.
PANews, July 20 – According to SoSoValue data, crypto market sectors continued to pull back, while the Meme sector was relatively resilient, rising 0.56% in the past 24 hours. Among them, Pepe (PEPE) gained 4.38%, BUILDon (B) surged 31.65%, and Pump.fun (PUMP) jumped 22.76%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) dipped 0.25%, rebounding above $64,000; Ethereum (ETH) edged up 0.52%, narrowly oscillating around $1,800.
In other sectors, the Layer2 sector fell 0.11% over the past 24 hours, with Mantle (MNT) staying relatively firm, up 1.55%; the Layer1 sector slipped 0.14%, but Canton Network (CC) rose 3.15%; the PayFi sector declined 0.31%, while Telcoin (TEL) pulled up 5.05% intraday; the CeFi sector lost 0.41%, with Cronos (CRO) down 2.30%; the DeFi sector dropped 0.60%, while Jupiter (JUP) bucked the trend, gaining 1.73%.
Crypto sector indices that track historical sector performance show that the ssiMeme, ssiNFT, and ssiLayer1 indices rose 1.27%, 0.65%, and 0.45%, respectively.
USDT must qualify as a foreign issuer before July 18, 2028, to retain access across U.S.-based exchanges. Tether may need OCC registration, U.S. oversight, examinations, and compliance with asset-freeze orders. Proposed reserve rules could separate U.S.-backing assets from Tether’s gold, Bitcoin, and other holdings. USA₮ gives Tether a regulated U.S. route, but it does not automatically preserve USDT exchange listings. Tether’s USDT is approaching a regulatory deadline that could determine whether American exchanges may continue offering the stablecoin after July 18, 2028. The GENIUS Act does not impose an automatic prohibition, but it creates a three-year transition for payment stablecoins serving United States customers.
USDT Faces 2028 Compliance Deadline for Continued U.S. Exchange Access
According to CoinDesk, Tether and other foreign stablecoin issuers may have until July 2028 to meet GENIUS Act requirements or risk becoming ineligible for listing on U.S. centralized exchanges. Compliance… pic.twitter.com/tnWsojH3lP
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) July 19, 2026
After that date, domestic digital asset providers may offer only tokens issued by approved American companies or qualifying foreign issuers. As of July 19, 2026, several essential regulations remained unfinished, leaving the compliance route incomplete despite the approaching deadline. The unfinished rulebook remains central to how exchanges assess access and compliance before the transition ends.
Foreign Issuer Approval Defines USDT’s 2028 Access Test To preserve USDT access through American platforms after the transition, Tether must qualify under the law’s foreign issuer framework. That process requires more than maintaining sufficient assets behind the token.
The issuer must demonstrate the technical ability and formal commitment to follow lawful United States orders, including freezes and asset seizures. Treasury must also recognize Tether’s home jurisdiction as operating a stablecoin regime comparable to the American system.
Tether would then register with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and consent to United States legal jurisdiction. That registration would introduce reporting requirements, regulatory examinations, ongoing supervision, and closer scrutiny of reserves linked to American customers.
In addition, the OCC’s March proposal sets out another operational condition. A qualifying foreign issuer would generally need to maintain sufficient reserves at United States financial institutions to meet local liquidity demands.
However, a Treasury-approved reciprocal arrangement could permit a different structure. Even so, the final rules will determine whether that alternative is available and how regulators assess foreign-held reserves.
Reserve Rules Could Reshape Tether’s U.S. Compliance Path Meanwhile, Tether reported about $183 billion in token-related liabilities at the end of March 2026. In addition, the company disclosed an $8.23 billion excess reserve buffer.
Its holdings included roughly $20 billion in physical gold and $7 billion in Bitcoin. Although those assets strengthened Tether’s overall coverage, they did not fall within the proposed reserve categories for supervised payment stablecoins.
Under the OCC proposal, qualifying reserves would generally include cash, demand deposits, short-term Treasury securities, overnight repurchase agreements, and eligible government money-market funds. Treasury securities would also need no more than 93 days remaining until maturity.
As a result, Tether may need to separate reserves supporting American activity from its gold, Bitcoin, and other nonqualifying assets. However, the company would not necessarily need to sell every holding that falls outside the proposed categories.
Instead, those assets could remain outside the required one-to-one reserve pool or continue operating as excess corporate assets. Ultimately, final regulations will determine how issuers must calculate, locate, and disclose reserves backing tokens held by United States customers.
Meanwhile, Tether has already established a separate domestic route. In January 2026, it launched USA₮ through Anchorage Digital Bank as a federally regulated, dollar-backed stablecoin.
That structure provides the company with a product designed for the GENIUS Act framework. Nevertheless, the launch of USA₮ does not automatically preserve USDT listings on American exchanges.
Platforms would still need assurance that USDT’s foreign issuer satisfies every final legal condition before the 2028 cutoff. With major rules still at the proposal stage, Tether has about two years to register, adjust its reserve structure, expand USA₮, or combine those approaches.
Pi Network price rose 10% to $0.0889 in 24 hours, extending its recovery. The wider cryptocurrency market gained 0.73%, lifting its valuation to $2.21 trillion. Despite the rebound, Pi remains below its record high near $3.
The market value has fallen from almost $20 billion to about $918 million. The traders are monitoring the capability of the following network upgrade to provide a price recovery.
Protocol v25 Upgrade Arrives on July 22 Pi Network is preparing to complete its Protocol v25 upgrade on July 22. Its development is based on replacing Protocol v19 with more recent network standards. The upgrade, according to the developers, will enhance stability, reliability, and smart contract performance in the ecosystem.
Protocol v25 will probably bring privacy-conscious smart contract functionality. These enhancements would enhance the development of applications besides enhancing data protection to users. The upgrade would be able to facilitate more effective blockchain operation on the mobile-first network of Pi.
The project can subsequently proceed to Protocol v26, which has already been developed by Stellar.
On July 22, Pi is scheduled to upgrade to Protocol v25, which primarily focuses on improving network stability and reliability, and supports new capabilities for more efficient, privacy-preserving smart contracts.
Go to the Pi mining app to learn more! pic.twitter.com/Btg8aEFAFh
— Pi Network (@PiCoreTeam) July 15, 2026
In May, Stellar underwent an upgrade and introduced the functionality to manage compromised ledger entries. That mechanism enables validators to freeze the identified ledger keys in case of security violations.
Crypto Market Recovery Supports Pi Network Rebound The recovery of Pi Coin price has occurred in tandem with the escalating fortunes of the cryptocurrency market in general. The Bitcoin price hovered at $64,000, and the Ethereum price traded above $1,870. XRP price was also around $1.10, with major assets showing stable trading.
The better market environment enabled Pi to stabilize following several months of huge losses. Recently its price was hovering around $0.083 and then climbing towards $0.0889. Buyers can aim at a further upswing should there be favorable market momentum.
Pi Network Price Targets $0.10 After Bullish Recovery As of the reporting, the Pi coin soared to $0.0890, gaining 10% during the latest four-hour session. The recovery was a sharp rebound after the support was received around $0.080 with buyers controlling again.
Pi coin price now tests the $0.090 resistance zone, which may determine the next short-term direction.
The MACD remains bullish, with the signal lines rising above the zero level. Green histogram bars are also characterized by the strengthening momentum over the recent progress. The Chaikin Money Flow is 0.16, which shows an increase in capital inflows and a better buying force.
Source: Tradingview A confirmed break above $0.090 could expose the $0.10 resistance level. Additional strength could push the recovery to $0.110, provided volume grows.
Nonetheless, rejection around $0.090 might spur a retest of $0.080 support. A close under that would erode the set up and reveal $0.075.
TL;DRAltcoins are no longer moving in lockstep with BitcoinNarrow leadership replaces broad participationBitcoin remains the market’s primary driverDispersion remains the key signal CryptoQuant’s 14-day average altcoin-Bitcoin correlation has fallen to around 0.26–0.27, indicating weaker co-movement. Analysts say the low correlation reflects market dispersion, not a confirmed altcoin season or bullish decoupling. The current setup resembles early May, when altcoins briefly moved more independently before market dynamics shifted. Narrow market leadership suggests capital is flowing into select altcoins instead of the broader market. The relationship between Bitcoin and the wider altcoin market has weakened significantly, according to fresh on-chain data, but analysts say investors should avoid interpreting the trend as evidence of an impending altcoin season.
CryptoQuant’s latest 14-day average correlation metric shows altcoins currently have a correlation of roughly 0.26–0.27 with Bitcoin, one of the lowest readings in recent months. While lower correlation means altcoins are moving more independently from BTC, analysts argue the data reflects increasing market fragmentation rather than widespread strength across alternative cryptocurrencies.
Altcoin Data | Source: CryptoQuant Altcoins are no longer moving in lockstep with Bitcoin Correlation measures how closely assets move together. A reading close to 1.0 indicates nearly identical price movements, while lower values suggest the assets are behaving more independently.
CryptoQuant’s latest data shows the average correlation between Bitcoin and major altcoins has dropped to approximately 0.26, well below the levels seen during periods when the broader crypto market moves as a single asset class.
The accompanying chart shows a similar decline occurred in early May, when Bitcoin and altcoins briefly decoupled before market dynamics shifted again. Although lower correlation often sparks speculation about an approaching altcoin rally, analysts caution that the metric alone does not signal that altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin across the board.
Instead, it indicates that price action has become increasingly dispersed, with only select tokens attracting meaningful investor attention.
Narrow leadership replaces broad participation Historically, strong crypto bull markets tend to lift most digital assets together.
However, as market rebounds mature, leadership frequently narrows, with capital rotating into a smaller number of outperforming projects while the majority of altcoins struggle to keep pace.
The current low-correlation environment appears consistent with that pattern.
Rather than signaling widespread bullish momentum, the data suggests investors are becoming increasingly selective, concentrating capital in a handful of stronger-performing assets while many other cryptocurrencies trade independently or lag behind.
This type of market fragmentation has become more common as institutional investors focus on projects with stronger fundamentals, clearer regulatory positioning, or growing real-world adoption.
Bitcoin remains the market’s primary driver Despite the weakening correlation, Bitcoin continues to set the broader direction of the digital asset market.
Recent weeks have seen Bitcoin benefit from renewed institutional demand, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs returning to net inflows after several sessions of volatility. At the same time, whale wallets have continued accumulating BTC, while exchange reserves have remained relatively subdued, reinforcing the view that long-term investors are maintaining confidence.
Against that backdrop, analysts warn that today’s low-correlation environment could quickly reverse if Bitcoin experiences a meaningful correction.
Should BTC begin to decline, independent altcoin performance may fade as investors reduce risk across the sector, causing the market to return to its more familiar Bitcoin-led trading behavior.
Dispersion remains the key signal The current data does not necessarily point to weakness in the crypto market, but it does suggest investors should avoid assuming that all altcoins will benefit equally from improving sentiment.
Periods of low Bitcoin-altcoin correlation often coincide with increased dispersion, where a limited number of projects outperform while many others underperform or trade sideways.
For traders and portfolio managers, this places greater emphasis on asset selection rather than relying on broad market exposure.
Until correlation begins rising again or participation expands across a wider range of cryptocurrencies, analysts say the market is likely to remain highly selective.The next major signal may come from Bitcoin itself.
If BTC continues climbing steadily, the current fragmented environment could persist, allowing market leadership to remain concentrated among a small group of altcoins.
However, if Bitcoin experiences renewed volatility or a broader pullback, analysts expect correlations to increase again as risk appetite weakens across the crypto market.
For now, CryptoQuant’s latest data suggests the current environment is better described as one of dispersion rather than decoupling, reminding investors that low correlation alone should not be mistaken for evidence of a broad-based altcoin rally.
Bitcoin continues to recover from its June capitulation but remains trapped beneath a major resistance cluster. Although buyers have managed to defend higher lows on the lower timeframe, the market is still approaching a critical confluence that could determine whether the recovery extends or transitions into another rejection.
BTC Price Analysis: The Daily Chart On the daily timeframe, BTC continues to trade below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, keeping the broader trend tilted to the downside.
The asset is now approaching the $65K-$66.5K supply zone, which also coincides with the descending long-term trendline. This confluence has capped every recovery attempt since the sharp breakdown in early June, making it the key barrier that bulls must reclaim to shift the higher-timeframe structure.
A successful breakout above this region would expose the next resistance between $72K and $74K. However, another rejection from the current supply zone would likely trigger a corrective move toward the $58K-$60K support area, which now represents the most important demand zone on the daily chart.
BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating within a rising channel after establishing a series of higher lows throughout July.
BTC is once again testing the upper boundary of the channel while simultaneously approaching the higher-timeframe supply zone around $65K-$66.5K. This creates a significant confluence of resistance, suggesting that bullish momentum is entering an important decision area.
As long as Bitcoin remains above the $61K-$62K support zone, buyers maintain a short-term advantage and another attempt to break the overhead resistance remains likely.
However, failure to overcome the confluence of the channel resistance, descending trendline, and supply zone could result in another pullback toward the $58K-$60K demand region. Since this price action pattern typically hints at a potential decline, Bitcoin is poised for another bearish leg, testing the lower demand zones.
Sentiment Analysis The Realized Price UTXO Age Bands indicate that the realized prices of the 1-3 month and 3-6 month holder cohorts have converged near the current market structure, both sitting around the low $70K area.
Historically, the convergence of these younger holder cost bases often reflects a period of market transition, as recently accumulated coins begin to change hands at similar prices. At present, both realized price levels remain well above Bitcoin’s spot price, implying that these cohorts are still holding unrealized losses.
This reinforces the technical picture. While Bitcoin has recovered from its June lows, it remains below the realized cost basis of recent investors, suggesting that sentiment has not fully shifted back in favor of sustained accumulation.
A recovery above these realized price levels would strengthen the case for a broader trend reversal, whereas continued rejection below them would support the view that the current advance is still a relief rally within the broader bearish structure.
19 July 2026 | 17:33 Bitcoin’s rebound has reduced the losses carried by active on-chain traders, but the broader ownership data still stops short of confirming a trend reversal.
Key Takeaways Bitcoin’s on-chain trader loss margin has improved to -11%, returning to the neutral range used in the analysis. The realized prices of 1-3 month and 3-6 month holders have converged in the low-$70,000 area. Old whales realized approximately $297.3 million in losses on July 14, their second-largest daily loss event since September 2025. The reset becomes more convincing only if BTC absorbs the released supply and reclaims recent-holder cost bases. Different datasets describe different parts of the same adjustment. Recent investors have lowered their collective cost basis as coins changed hands during the decline. Older whales have started realizing unusually large losses, showing that the pressure has moved beyond the market’s newest participants. Bitcoin, however, remains below the price at which two important recent-holder groups would return to break-even.
The result is an on-chain structure that looks less damaged than it did at the June lows, but one that still needs demand to prove that the released supply has found durable buyers.
Recent Holders Have Repriced Lower but Remain Underwater CryptoQuant analyst reported that Bitcoin’s On-Chain Trader Profit/Loss Margin had recovered to -11%. The analyst classified the reading as neutral after it moved back inside the -12% boundary separating the bearish zone in this model.
Bitcoin on-chain trader realized price and profit/loss margin. A smaller loss margin can reflect a price recovery, but it can also develop when coins purchased or last moved at higher levels are sold and transferred again at lower prices. That second process reduces the realized price of the active cohort even without a complete market recovery.
ShayanMarkets found the same adjustment in the Realized Price UTXO Age Bands. Realized price values a group’s coins according to the market price when they last moved on-chain, making it a useful proxy for the cohort’s average cost basis rather than a record of every investor’s exact purchase price.
Bitcoin realized price by UTXO age bands. The realized prices of the 1–3 month and 3–6 month groups have converged in the low-$70,000 area. Continued trading during the downturn gradually pulled both readings lower, even though the cohorts entered the market at different stages.
These two analyses should not be treated as independent bullish confirmations. Both are capturing the same repricing among relatively recent holders: losses have been realized, coins have moved at lower values and the market’s collective break-even level has declined.
That adjustment reduces the distance Bitcoin must recover before recent investors return to profit. It also concentrates potential selling in the same area. Holders who endured the decline may use a rebound toward the low-$70,000s to exit near break-even, turning the shared realized price into an on-chain resistance zone.
Old Whales Are Now Participating in the Loss-Taking The third analysis shows that the stress has reached a more established part of Bitcoin’s holder base.
According to CryptoQuant analyst Moreno, old whales realized approximately $297.3 million in losses on July 14, when Bitcoin traded near $65,000. It was the second-largest daily negative reading for this cohort since September 2025.
BTC whale profit-taking activity chart / Source: CryptoQuant, Moreno. The only larger event occurred on January 20, when old-whale losses reached roughly $334.3 million with BTC near $88,300. That earlier event came before another severe stage of the downturn, so the size of the latest loss cannot be treated as evidence that capitulation has ended.
Older whales generally have greater capacity to withstand volatility than recent entrants. Their decision to move coins at a loss indicates that the drawdown has lasted long enough, or reached far enough, to force some mature holders to reassess their exposure.
They are not responsible for most of the capitulation. New whales, recently active whales and the 10,000-BTC balance cohort have recorded substantially larger losses at several points in the decline. The July 14 event shows that old whales have joined the process, while newer and more reactive capital continues to generate the heavier pressure.
Old whale Bitcoin profit-taking analysis. The Three Signals Describe an Ownership Reset The sequence across the datasets is more informative than any individual reading.
Active traders have already realized enough losses to pull their cost basis lower. Two recent-holder groups now share a similar break-even level, while some older whales are only beginning to accept losses of unusual size.
Coins are therefore being transferred from holders with higher reference prices to buyers receiving them closer to the current market. That can create a healthier base because the new owners need a smaller recovery to return to profit and may be less likely to sell after a modest bounce.
The data cannot identify those buyers or establish that they have stronger conviction. Realized losses confirm that ownership is changing; price must show whether the incoming demand can absorb the supply without another breakdown.
What Would Turn the Reset Into a Reversal? Three developments would provide stronger confirmation:
Whale losses begin to fade: The market should absorb the July 14 event without a cluster of larger losses from old or recently active whales. Bitcoin holds while supply changes hands: Avoiding new lows during continued loss realization would indicate that buyers are taking the released coins without requiring progressively lower prices. BTC reclaims the low-$70,000 area: A move above the converged 1-3 month and 3-6 month realized prices, followed by a successful retest, would show that recent-holder selling has been absorbed. Reclaiming the on-chain trader realized price would also return that cohort’s profit/loss margin above zero, shifting active traders from an aggregate loss into profit.
The bearish interpretation remains valid if large whale-loss events continue to cluster, BTC establishes new lows or another rebound fails below the recent-holder cost bases. Under those conditions, the lower realized prices would reflect ongoing capitulation rather than the foundation of a sustained recovery.
Bitcoin’s ownership structure is adjusting, but the market has not completed the final step. Losses have been realized and cost bases have moved lower; demand must now carry price through the low-$70,000 supply zone.
Even a move above the low-$70,000 area would not fully confirm a trend reversal on its own. Bitcoin would also need to hold above the recent-holder cost bases, absorb renewed selling and avoid a quick return below them. Until those conditions are met, the data supports an on-chain reset, not a reversal.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal or investment advice.
Author
Alexander Zdravkov is a market analyst and crypto journalist with interests in economics, broader financial markets and digital assets. His journey into crypto began more than four years ago, driven by a fascination with the rapid evolution of blockchain technology and the transformative potential of decentralized finance. He began analyzing market cycles and identifying emerging trends before they reach the mainstream. He holds a degree in International Relations - a background that helped shape his broader perspective on global economics, geopolitics, and the interconnected nature of modern financial markets. Whether covering the latest developments in the crypto sector or exploring broader macroeconomic themes, Alexander focuses on giving readers context rather than simply repeating headlines. During his career, he has authored more than 5,000 articles covering cryptocurrencies, traditional finance, and global market developments. His work spans everything from Bitcoin and altcoins to macroeconomic trends influencing risk assets worldwide.
Over the years, Bitcoin has evolved from a pure store of value into a more usable asset, with growing adoption in the payments sector.
As a result, consensus protocols and fee-paying transactions are becoming a bigger focus, as outlined in the BIP-110 proposal. However, not everyone is convinced this is the right direction, with Michael Saylor among its biggest critics.
In a post on X, Michael Saylor outlined 110 reasons why he believes BIP-110 is a bad idea.
His criticism targets Version 1.0.0 of the proposal, known as the “Reduced Data Temporary Softfork,” which reached complete status on the 25th of June, 2026. The proposal introduces a soft fork, prioritizing fee-paying Bitcoin transactions over non-financial data.
Source: Token Terminal Notably, the on-chain data already reflects the growing focus on transaction activity.
As the chart above shows, Bitcoin processed well over 56 million transactions in Q2 2026, setting a new quarterly record and surpassing the previous high of 55 million recorded in Q3 2024.
The surge signals growing network usage, reinforcing Bitcoin’s shift beyond its long-term store-of-value role.
Against this backdrop, it’s easy to see why Michael Saylor doubled down on his criticism of BIP-110. In a follow-up post on X, he argued that Bitcoin’s [BTC] long-term strength lies in deeper adoption by public companies, rather than protocol changes aimed at expanding utility.
Interestingly, when viewed alongside a key on-chain divergence, Saylor’s argument begins to carry more weight.
Bitcoin’s valuation outpaces network adoption Bitcoin’s valuation is rising faster than its adoption.
This comes even as Bitcoin’s transaction activity reaches a new all-time high. Despite a stronger push toward greater utility through the BIP-110 soft fork, Bitcoin’s market cap continues to grow faster than user activity.
This growing gap suggests that speculation is playing a larger role in driving BTC’s valuation.
As the chart below shows, Bitcoin’s Metcalfe Ratio is currently around 3.23. When the ratio rises, it means the price is moving further away from the growth in network participation.
In essence, BTC’s price is gaining faster than adoption, highlighting the growing speculative side of the current cycle.
Source: Alphractal In this context, Saylor’s push for greater BTC exposure among public companies starts to make sense.
As the market focuses more on consensus upgrades, network efficiency, and overall scalability, the debate around Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals continues to grow.
Taken together, these factors put Bitcoin’s valuation narrative under greater scrutiny, as the market weighs network growth, and adoption against the growing speculation driving the current cycle, creating massive liquidity clusters around key BTC levels.
Final Summary Bitcoin’s network activity is growing, with record transaction levels and more focus on utility through proposals like BIP-110. Bitcoin’s valuation is rising faster than adoption, showing that speculation is playing a bigger role in BTC’s current cycle.
Cover image via depositphotos.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Strategy founder Michael Saylor posted a fresh chart of the company's crypto reserves on social media with the brief caption, "What's next?" — a teaser that immediately sparked discussion about the next steps of the world's largest corporate Bitcoin holder.
The situation is particularly intriguing because the company, which built its reputation on aggressive Bitcoin purchases, is now in a vulnerable position measured in billions of dollars in losses.
Billions in the red versus a fiat cushion: Strategy's capital scenariosAccording to the latest data from Strategy Tracker, the company holds 843,775 BTC on its balance sheet — an enormous 4% of Bitcoin's total global supply. The portfolio is worth $54.28 billion, but due to the high average purchase price of $75,653, the position is now sitting on an unrealized loss of nearly 15%, or around $5 billion, with Bitcoin currently trading near $64,000.
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Saylor's question about "what comes next" has divided the expert community into two camps, with the more optimistic side of the market predictably interpreting the post as an announcement of another buy-the-dip purchase financed through new debt. Investors are now awaiting the opening of trading on Monday and fresh SEC filings.
On the other hand, management's recent actions differ from the familiar "buy and never sell" slogan. Strategy has made no new purchases since June 22 and recently broke its own taboo by selling 3,588 BTC, with the latest transaction involving 2,225 BTC on July 6, used to pay dividends to shareholders and build a $2.55 billion reserve.
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Saylor's teaser appeared at a turning point, as the company is forced to balance its status as Wall Street's leading Bitcoin bull with the strict necessity of servicing its obligations during a market downturn.
Whether the next step will mark a return to aggressive purchases or a continuation of cautious maneuvering supported by a fiat safety cushion will become clear in the coming reporting days.
Strategy's Michael Saylor (Jason Koerner/Getty Images)Summary
Michael Saylor is warning that Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 110 (BIP-110), which would temporarily restrict the arbitrary storage of data on the blockchain, threatens Bitcoin’s core principles and neutrality.The proposal would introduce a one-year soft fork with new consensus limits on data and a lower 55% miner-signaling threshold, a change Saylor says risks network splits and market uncertainty.Saylor argues that fee markets and relay policies, not consensus changes, should address so-called spam, warning that BIP 110 could restrict innovation, weaken miner incentives and undermine Bitcoin’s role as an open, permissionless financial system.Michael Saylor, executive chairman and co-founder of Strategy, has come out swinging against a new proposal to clean up Bitcoin’s ‘spam,’ arguing that it could fundamentally alter how the world’s largest blockchain operates.
The Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (BIP) 110, aimed at temporarily restricting arbitrary data to focus on the core monetary functions, is a threat to the main principles of the network, Saylor explained in a comprehensive critique published on X, titled “110 reasons BIP-110 is a bad idea.”
"The proposed cure is more dangerous than the condition," Saylor said in the recent detailed analysis. "BIP 110 would use consensus to narrow valid activity, constrain future options, complicate deployment, and establish a precedent it cannot later erase.”
Saylor’s primary objection is based on the "no-questions-asked" nature of money. "Bitcoin cannot read intent," Saylor writes. "The network cannot know whether bytes represent an image, a proof, a contract, metadata, an authentication record, or a future application," argued.
By banning "spam," the protocol would effectively elevate human judgment into protocol law, effectively turning Bitcoin’s conservatism upside down.
‘Too aggressive’Saylor is the latest bitcoin executive to weigh in on this highly debated topic among the Bitcoin community.
The proposal aims to implement a one-year temporary soft fork that would add seven distinct consensus restrictions, including capping data payload sizes and rejecting certain script executions. The goal is to keep the Bitcoin blockchain focused strictly on "sound money" rather than general-purpose data storage.
Its supporters think of the proposal as an attempt to restore Bitcoin's original purpose as peer-to-peer digital cash. But critics say it represents an attempt to restrict or censor certain uses of Bitcoin.
One of the most debated parts of BIP 110 is that it changes how upgrades get approved. Instead of needing 95% of miners to agree (the usual rule), it suggests lowering that requirement to just 55%.
Saylor, whose firm holds 843,775 BTC, worth $54.31 billion as of Sunday, and is the world’s largest publicly listed bitcoin treasury firm, calls this mechanism "too aggressive," warning that it could lead to a network split and widespread market uncertainty. In simple terms, lowering the approval threshold could encourage more disagreement, increasing the chances of the network splitting into competing versions.
For institutional investors, BTC’s appeal lies in the network’s stable, permissionless environment. The same appeal may be dented if the new proposal gets implemented, Saylor argues.
BIP 110 could create a "chilling effect" on developers and innovation, he explained, adding that if today’s target is data storage, tomorrow’s target could be privacy tools, novel custody solutions, or corporate applications.
Furthermore, Saylor warns of the economic blowback. By suppressing certain uses of the network, aggregate fee demand could fall. In a world where the block subsidy continues to halve, lower fee revenue could weaken miners’ incentive to commit hash power, ultimately compromising Bitcoin’s security.
Guardians of neutralityRather than changing the underlying code, Saylor suggests that better tools already exist to manage the network’s capacity.
He notes that market-based fees and individual relay policies are the appropriate places to address "spam" without altering the sacred consensus rules.
In simple terms, Saylor is arguing that if someone doesn’t like spam, they should configure their own note so it doesn’t pass it along (relay policy), or let spam users be priced out by higher costs (market fees), rather than modifying the fundamental blockchain rules for everyone.
Saylor concludes with a plea for the community to remain focused on the long-term vision of an open, permissionless financial system. "Bitcoin does not need guardians of purity," he asserts. "It needs guardians of neutrality."
Read more": Bitcoin's BIP-110 sparked a fight over who gets to decide the future of Bitcoin
AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.
Michael Saylor, the man whose company holds more Bitcoin than some small nations hold in gold reserves, has a message for anyone trying to tidy up the blockchain: don’t.
The Strategy executive chairman published a lengthy essay and social media thread on July 18-19 laying out what he calls “110 reasons” against BIP-110, a proposed temporary soft fork designed to restrict the embedding of large non-financial data in Bitcoin transactions.
What BIP-110 actually proposes BIP-110, formally titled the “Reduced Data Temporary Softfork,” would introduce several technical constraints aimed at curbing what its supporters consider blockchain spam. The proposal would cap outputs at 34 bytes and restore an 83-byte limit on OP_RETURN outputs, effectively invalidating data strings over 256 bytes that protocols like Ordinals have been using to embed images, text, and other non-monetary content directly onto Bitcoin.
The soft fork is designed to be temporary, lasting roughly one year before the community would evaluate whether to continue it. Activation would require approximately 55% miner signaling, a threshold that sounds modest but has proven difficult to reach.
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Miner support has been notably low. Miners collect fees from all transactions, including the data-heavy ones BIP-110 would restrict.
Saylor’s case against consensus tinkering Saylor’s argument centers on Bitcoin’s neutrality. The network processes transactions without judging their content, and Saylor argues that introducing content-based restrictions, even temporary ones, sets a dangerous precedent. Once you establish that consensus rules can be altered to filter certain transaction types, the door opens to future modifications that could be far more consequential.
He also flagged that BIP-110 could stall innovation pathways like BitVM-style contracting, which relies on flexible data embedding to enable more complex operations on Bitcoin.
Strategy holds hundreds of thousands of BTC and has built its entire corporate identity around Bitcoin as digital capital.
The 2026 spam wars and echoes of history The BIP-110 debate is the latest front in what the community has started calling the “spam wars” of 2026, a period of intensifying conflict over whether Bitcoin should remain a narrow monetary network or accommodate broader data uses.
The parallels to the Blocksize Wars of 2015-2017 are hard to miss. Back then, the community fractured over whether to increase Bitcoin’s block size to handle more transactions. That fight ultimately led to the Bitcoin Cash fork. The current dispute has a similar flavor: a technical proposal with deep philosophical implications, vocal factions on both sides, and no clear path to consensus.
The low miner signaling for BIP-110 suggests the proposal faces an uphill battle toward activation. Various alternative proposals have emerged in the governance vacuum, further fragmenting community attention.
What this means for investors Saylor’s vocal opposition carries outsized weight because of Strategy’s massive Bitcoin position. When the single largest corporate holder of Bitcoin publicly argues against a protocol change, it signals to institutional investors that the network’s conservative, don’t-touch-the-consensus-layer faction still has powerful advocates.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Bitcoin continues to face heavy resistance as it approaches the $66,000 to $72,000 range, with recent price action suggesting the ongoing rebound is only corrective. The market shows signs that any upward move may be short lived unless Bitcoin can maintain a position above the $72,000 mark.
Resistance at $65,600 draws attentionTraders are watching the $65,600 level, which remains unswept and is seen as a possible short-term target. A brief break above this point could pull in buyers anticipating a sustained rally. However, analysts suggest that such a move might serve as a liquidity sweep, enticing late buyers before reversing lower.
If Bitcoin climbs above $65,600 but quickly falls back, several lower liquidity levels at around $61,807, $61,540, and $61,305 could become the next focal points. A deeper drop would bring the broader $60,000 to $61,000 range into play. The pattern near recent highs also supports the view of a potential lower high forming, signaling that sellers could regain control if a rejection emerges.
A sustained move above $72,000, on the other hand, could invalidate this bearish scenario and open the door to higher resistance targets.
Corrective structure dominates recoveryBitcoin’s latest bounce from its late-June low has raised hopes among some market participants, but technical perspectives continue to see it as a corrective rally. Analysis from More Crypto Online identifies the move as an ABC correction rather than the beginning of a new bullish trend.
According to this view, the move from the late-June low to roughly $64,750 forms wave A. The temporary pullback that followed marks wave B, and the current upward price movement may be completing wave C. As long as Bitcoin remains below major resistance points, this entire structure is seen as a correction within a broader downtrend.
Immediate resistance is located near $66,000. Higher up, significant resistance levels are noted at $69,000 and $72,000, with a descending trendline further strengthening pressure in that area.
A rally into the $69,000 to $72,000 region could complete the corrective pattern before sellers potentially re-enter the market. However, breaking above the descending trendline and maintaining daily closes above $72,000 would challenge the bearish outlook.
If support around $62,500 fails, focus could return to $61,000 and then to the late-June lows near $58,000, increasing the prospect of further downside.
Bitcoin’s price structure currently suggests that the recovery is corrective, with resistance around $66,000, $69,000, and $72,000 remaining decisive. Without a clear breakout, the risk of another rejection persists and may direct attention back to lower levels.
Key LevelPotential Action$65,600Possible liquidity sweep and short-term breakout target$66,000First resistance barrier$69,000-$72,000Major resistance zone; may cap corrective rally$61,807 / $61,540 / $61,305Lower liquidity targets if rejection occurs$60,000-$61,000Broader support and downside target$72,000 (sustained)Invalidates bearish setup, opens higher targetsDisclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
84 million BANK tokens have been transferred from the foundation to the Aster deposit address, valued at approximately $13.7 million.
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European football’s transfer window is in full swing, and buried inside a routine squad-building move between two Red Bull-linked clubs is a broader story about how crypto and blockchain are weaving themselves into the fabric of professional sports. Hoffenheim has submitted an official bid to Red Bull Salzburg for 19-year-old Danish winger Adam Daghim, a deal that on its surface looks like standard Bundesliga business. But zoom out, and you’ll find NFT marketplaces, Bitcoin sponsorships, and digital collectibles quietly reshaping how football clubs generate revenue, engage fans, and even value players.
The transfer and its Red Bull context Daghim joined Salzburg from Danish club Aarhus GF in 2023 for a reported fee of around €3M. He’s since extended his contract with the Austrian side through June 2028, which gives Salzburg significant leverage in any negotiation. Wolfsburg reportedly considered a deal for Daghim in 2025 that involved a €13M option, suggesting his valuation has climbed substantially since his initial move.
Hoffenheim’s bid amount hasn’t been disclosed. But there’s recent precedent for player movement between these two clubs: Haris Tabakovic completed a transfer from Salzburg to Hoffenheim for approximately €5M earlier in July 2026.
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Both clubs operate within the broader Red Bull football ecosystem, which also includes RB Leipzig and New York Red Bulls. Monaco and Wolfsburg have also shown interest in Daghim, confirming that the teenager’s market extends well beyond the Red Bull family.
Where crypto enters the picture Daghim already has a digital footprint in crypto through Ethereum-based NFT cards on the Sorare platform. His cards have traded in the low tens of dollars, which reflects a real, functioning secondary market for digital representations of football talent.
Sorare is a fantasy football platform built on Ethereum where users buy, sell, and trade officially licensed NFT player cards. The platform has partnerships with over 300 football clubs worldwide and has processed hundreds of millions in card transactions.
Then there’s the institutional side. Red Bull Salzburg partnered with 21bitcoin in 2025 to support its women’s team, making it one of several European football clubs to formalize a relationship with a crypto company. No specific cryptocurrency tokens have been linked to Daghim’s transfer negotiations.
Why this matters for crypto investors The football transfer market moves roughly €7-8B annually across Europe’s top leagues. For investors watching the intersection of sports and crypto, Sorare card prices for players involved in confirmed transfers tend to spike in the days surrounding announcements. If you’re active on that platform, Daghim’s situation presents a clear catalyst event. Second, the proliferation of Bitcoin and crypto partnerships among football clubs, like Salzburg’s deal with 21bitcoin, suggests that sponsorship revenue in this sector is growing.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Strategy executive chairman Michael Saylor took to social media on Sunday to detail his “110 reasons” why a proposed temporary fork to limit non-monetary transactions on the Bitcoin network, or BIP-110, is a bad idea.
Bitcoin Improvement Proposal-110 was introduced in December 2025 to stop nonfungible token-like Ordinals inscriptions and other arbitrary data from spamming the network and to preserve BTC’s main use as a peer-to-peer cash system.
In a roughly 3,700 word post on X.com, the man in control of the largest Bitcoin (BTC) corporate treasury made a case for what he said are “neutral rules, hard consensus, open markets, and permissionless innovation.”
Source: Michael Saylor on X.com
“Many Bitcoiners I respect support BIP 110. They want to keep validation accessible, protect node operators from unwanted costs and content, preserve affordable payments, and keep Bitcoin focused on sound money rather than general-purpose data storage. Those are serious concerns. I share the objectives. I disagree about the remedy,” Saylor said. He added:
“This article critiques the proposal, not the people behind it. I assume good faith. Bitcoin is strongest when we can disagree vigorously without mistaking allies for enemies.”As of 12 p.m. ET, on Sunday, the post had been viewed 879,000 times, with 692 replies and 852 retweets.
BIP-110 is one of the more notable protocol-level disputes in the Bitcoin development community since the Blocksize Wars between 2015 and 2017, when ecosystem participants debated whether it was worth risking a chain split to raise the block size limit for scalability.
The proposal was introduced by pseudonymous Bitcoin developer “Dathon Ohm” with the support of Ocean protocol founder Luke Dashjr. Opponents include Blockstream CEO Adam Back.
Little certainty on BHP-110 approvalTo be sure, BIP-110 won’t be activated unless 55% of Bitcoin nodes validating blocks are in support of the proposal across a Bitcoin block “period.”
In the last period, period number 475 between block 955,584 and 957,599, only 1% of blocks were in support.
The dispute comes at a time when Ordinals activity is at near all-time lows, with fewer than 10,000 Ordinals inscribed into the Bitcoin blockchain on a daily basis over the last month, down from the more than 400,000 seen during its peak in August 2023.
Change in daily Ordinals inscriptions since December 2022.
Source: Dune Analytics
Bock has previously criticized BIP-110, describing it as a “quest to police other people.”
He said Bitcoin’s decentralization should mean “you can’t impose your views on others,” calling it incompatible with BTC’s cypherpunk ethos of permissionless, censorship-resistant money.
Dashjr and other BIP-110 supporters have called Ordinals-driven bloat a “serious threat” to the network, prompting the need for an imminent fix.
They have also argued BIP-110 wouldn’t cause a chain split, as many fear, while adding that the BIP-110 fork imposes a temporary one-year limit and thus wouldn’t invalidate fee-paying transactions over the long term.
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Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.
Michael Saylor, one of the most well-known names in the cryptocurrency world, has made a new Bitcoin post.
Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor has heightened expectations of renewed activity in the company’s Bitcoin reserves by posting a new BTC image on his social media account.
Saylor shared a screenshot of Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings, asking, “What’s next?” Saylor is known for making similar posts in the past, often a day before the company’s official announcements regarding BTC transactions.
However, Strategy’s recent trading history suggests that the post in question may not necessarily indicate a new BTC purchase. The company has sold Bitcoin following some of Saylor’s posts, while at other times it has kept its reserves unchanged.
As of July 19, 2026, Strategy holds a total of 843,775 Bitcoin. The current value of the company’s BTC reserves is estimated at approximately $54.45 billion, while the total cost is recorded as $63.83 billion.
Strategy’s average cost per BTC is $75,653. Based on current prices, the company’s unrealized loss on its BTC position is 14.70%, equivalent to approximately $9.38 billion.
*This is not investment advice.
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A ransom negotiator loses his luxury Florida villas and $8.3 million crypto portfolio, including XRP and Bitcoin, following a major federal court seizure.
Cover image via depositphotos.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
The cybersecurity industry has faced a remarkable case as, instead of protecting corporate wallets, professional negotiator Angelo Martino became an architect of hacker ransom schemes himself. The U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida has officially brought the operation to a close by issuing a forfeiture order targeting his hidden crypto portfolios.
As the total value of the seized assets is estimated at $8.37 million, the most interesting part of the case is that the "independent diplomat" preferred not to keep all his eggs in one basket, spreading the funds across several blockchain ecosystems:
Anti-inflation artillery: 90.319 BTC, worth approximately $5.84 million, as the main defensive asset.Shadow cash: 7,999.873 XMR, worth approximately $2.46 million, held in the privacy-focused Monero cryptocurrency to cover his tracks.Liquid transit assets: 56,174.15 XRP, seized from wallet "…EkThx6", and 39,760.79 XLM, held at address "…5RJ3BD".Residual balances: small amounts of Solana's native SOL token.Alongside the blockchain addresses, the government also took control of tangible trophies from the lavish Florida lifestyle Martino financed by betraying his clients. The court ordered the forfeiture of two luxury residential properties, premium vehicles, and motorboats that the former negotiator used while taking breaks from his illicit dealings.
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A million-dollar schemeHow did Martino manage to accumulate such volumes of XRP and Bitcoin right under regulators' noses? The answer lies in a cynical double game.
Large companies hired him as a senior executive during their most critical moments, when hackers linked to the BlackCat, also known as ALPHV, ransomware group encrypted corporate networks and demanded millions of dollars in exchange for decryption keys. Martino was supposed to act as a shield by negotiating down the price and arranging the secure transfer of cryptocurrency.
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Instead, he turned the negotiations into an insider auction. The "diplomat" secretly leaked information to the hackers about his clients' actual budgets and the limits of their insurance policies. Knowing the victims' exact financial capacity, BlackCat could dictate tougher terms, while Martino received a fixed percentage in BTC and XRP for assisting with the extortion.
Over time, he became so deeply involved that he turned into a full participant in the attacks.
The double game ended in a predictable collapse. Martino was convicted and sentenced to 70 months in federal prison, while the latest court-ordered forfeiture of more than $8.3 million has effectively eliminated the financial foundation of his "business."
Air raid sirens blared across Bahrain after Iranian attacks targeted the Gulf nation, marking a sharp escalation in regional hostilities that has investors across every asset class, including crypto, recalibrating their risk exposure.
At least five air raid siren activations have been reported in Bahrain in July 2026. Bahrain’s Interior Ministry urged citizens to remain calm and seek shelter, confirming that incoming threats were being intercepted.
What’s happening on the ground The strikes are part of a broader pattern of Iranian military aggression targeting US interests in the Gulf. Bahrain serves as a critical hub for US military operations in the region, housing key installations including the Sakhir airbase.
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The escalation traces back to Iranian attacks on commercial vessels navigating the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important shipping chokepoints. Roughly a fifth of the global oil supply passes through that narrow waterway every day. The US responded with strikes on Iranian targets, and Iran has now apparently decided to escalate further by hitting Bahrain directly.
How crypto markets are reacting Major tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced declines of 1-3% amid the ongoing hostilities in July 2026. During the earlier flare-up in February 2026, Bitcoin managed to hold above $63,000, showing a degree of resilience, but downside risks persisted even after the immediate crisis cooled.
If the Strait of Hormuz becomes a genuine conflict zone, energy prices spike. When energy prices spike, inflation expectations shift. When inflation expectations shift, central bank policy responses come into play. And when central banks start making moves, risk assets, including crypto, feel the pressure.
Bahrain’s strategic importance Bahrain hosts the US Naval Forces Central Command and the US Fifth Fleet, making it the linchpin of American military presence in the Gulf.
Bahrain has also been building its own presence in the digital assets space, with regulatory frameworks designed to attract crypto businesses to the region.
What this means for investors Historical data from earlier 2026 tensions suggests Bitcoin has some capacity to absorb geopolitical shocks without catastrophic drawdowns. The 1-3% declines observed so far could deepen if the conflict escalates further or if oil markets start pricing in sustained supply disruptions.
The key variable to watch is whether this escalation remains contained or spirals into a broader regional conflict. A limited exchange of strikes that leads to diplomatic off-ramps would likely see crypto recover quickly, as it did after the February tensions.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
TLDR: BlackRock crypto ETF inflows reached $343.4 million across IBIT, ETHA and ETHB during the five trading days ending July 17. IBIT attracted $204.1 million despite opening the period with a $185.5 million outflow before recording four positive sessions. BlackRock’s Ethereum products added $139.3 million, with ETHA supplying nearly all the new capital received during the week. The figures represent net investor flows into BlackRock-managed ETFs, rather than cryptocurrency purchases for BlackRock’s corporate balance sheet. BlackRock crypto ETF inflows approached $350 million during five trading sessions as demand returned for regulated Bitcoin and Ethereum products. The asset manager’s three major crypto funds attracted a combined $343.4 million from July 13 through July 17.
The total included $204.1 million for the iShares Bitcoin Trust, known as IBIT. BlackRock’s Ethereum funds, ETHA and ETHB, received another $139.3 million. The activity followed several weeks of unstable flows across the wider digital asset ETF market.
BlackRock Crypto ETF Inflows Rebound After Early Outflow IBIT started the week with a $185.5 million withdrawal on July 13. That loss placed the fund under pressure as all U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a combined $424.7 million daily outflow.
Demand shifted during the following session. IBIT gained $138.9 million on July 14, followed by $80.8 million on July 15. It then collected $33.4 million on July 16 and $136.5 million on July 17.
Those four sessions produced $389.6 million in gross inflows. They erased the opening redemption and left IBIT with $204.1 million in net weekly additions. Farside Investors’ data also shows IBIT supplied the largest Bitcoin ETF inflow on the final trading day.
The figures describe capital entering the ETF rather than a direct BlackRock Bitcoin purchase. Authorized participants create new fund shares as demand rises, while the trust adjusts its Bitcoin holdings to support those shares.
Source: Coinglass Bitcoin ETF inflows also recovered across the wider market. U.S. funds posted positive totals during each session from July 14 through July 17 after the sharp Monday withdrawal.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Funds Drive BlackRock ETF Demand Ethereum ETF demand added another source of growth for BlackRock. ETHA received $58.3 million on July 14 before adding $45.3 million the next day.
ETHB attracted $4 million on July 15. ETHA later recorded $31.7 million on July 17, bringing its five-day total to $135.3 million. The two funds therefore collected a combined $139.3 million.
BlackRock crypto ETF inflows were especially concentrated in ETHA during the final session. The fund supplied $31.7 million of the $36.7 million entering all U.S. Ethereum ETFs that day. Historical inflows into ETHA have reached about $11.3 billion.
ETHB gives brokerage investors exposure to Ethereum and staking rewards, while ETHA offers spot Ethereum exposure without direct wallet management.
Source: Coinglass The ETF activity arrived as BlackRock reported record assets under management of $15.3 trillion. The company collected $192 billion in net inflows during the second quarter and $321 billion during the first half of 2026. ETFs, private markets, and fixed-income products supported those results.
BlackRock’s iShares business collected $178 billion during the quarter. Total companywide net inflows reached $868 billion over the previous 12 months, showing that crypto products represent a small but expanding part of its broader ETF operation.
BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, recorded strong inflows to its crypto ETFs over five trading days, with investor demand rising for both Bitcoin and Ethereum products. Across its three major funds—IBIT, ETHA, and ETHB—BlackRock drew a combined $343.4 million in net inflows between July 13 and July 17.
IBIT reverses early outflow with strong demandThe period began with the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) experiencing a significant $185.5 million withdrawal on July 13. This outflow contributed to a total $424.7 million single-day drawdown across all U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Circumstances shifted over the following four sessions as capital moved back into IBIT. On July 14, the fund received $138.9 million in inflows, followed by $80.8 million on July 15. It saw additional gains of $33.4 million on July 16 and $136.5 million on July 17, according to data from Farside Investors.
For the remainder of the trading week, IBIT attracted $389.6 million in gross inflows, offsetting the previous loss and closing the five-day period with $204.1 million in positive net investor flows.
Unlike direct asset purchases, these numbers reflect funds entering the ETF as investors create or redeem shares. The trust then adjusts its underlying Bitcoin holdings to supply liquidity for those shares.
The trend was echoed elsewhere in the market, with most U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs reporting net inflows during each of the last four sessions after the steep opening withdrawal.
FundNet Inflows (July 13-17)IBIT$204.1 millionETHA + ETHB$139.3 millionTotal$343.4 millionEthereum ETF inflows led by ETHABlackRock’s Ethereum funds supplied a further boost to its digital asset ETF business. ETHA, designed for spot Ethereum exposure, collected $58.3 million on July 14 and $45.3 million on July 15. ETHB, which enables brokerage clients to gain Ethereum price exposure along with staking rewards, brought in $4 million on July 15.
On July 17, ETHA received another $31.7 million, bringing its five-day total to $135.3 million. Combined, ETHA and ETHB added $139.3 million across the period, with most new capital directed into ETHA during the final session. ETHA’s lifetime inflows have now reached about $11.3 billion.
Mini dictionary: ETHA and ETHB, BlackRock’s Ethereum ETFs—ETHA tracks the spot price of Ethereum, giving exposure without managing wallets, while ETHB provides access to Ethereum and yields from staking rewards through brokerage accounts.
BlackRock’s inflows into ETHA on July 17 accounted for $31.7 million of the $36.7 million that moved into all U.S. Ethereum ETFs that day.
BlackRock asset growth and crypto’s expanding roleThe inflows to crypto ETFs coincided with record assets under management at BlackRock, totaling $15.3 trillion. In the second quarter alone, the firm raised $192 billion in net new assets, with $321 billion flowing in during the first half of 2026.
The iShares unit, which comprises a significant share of BlackRock’s ETF business, added $178 billion in new inflows during the quarter. Over the past 12 months, BlackRock has recorded $868 billion in total net investments. Although digital asset ETFs represent only a small portion of its overall portfolio, these products are showing steady growth amid renewed investor appetite for regulated crypto exposure.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Ethereum [ETH] has continued to hover around $1.8k. After successfully rebounding from $1800, the altcoin has shown relative strength, rising to $1876.
As of this writing, Ethereum was trading around $1866, up slightly by 1.7% on the daily charts. As ETH hovered around $1.8k, whales turned optimistic and opened long positions.
According to Lookonchain, two newly created wallets sold 72 Bitcoin [BTC] worth $4.66 million and then jumped to Ethereum.
After dumping BTC, the trader opened a 20x long position in 12,000 ETH, worth approximately $22.4 million. So far, with ETH holding above the entry price, the whale is already up $275k, having spent $5.8k in funding fees.
With the trader dumping BTC for ETH, the whale viewed it as a better alternative and a more promising bet. Interestingly, this whale was not an isolated case, as buyers have made a strong comeback in the market.
Source: CryptoQuant The Derivatives Taker Buy-sell Ratio climbed, reclaiming the 1 mark, and has so far held this level for two consecutive days. At 1.13, it suggests that more buy orders were executed on the derivatives side.
As a result, significant capital has flowed into the Futures positions. Over the past 24 hours, $3.67 billion flowed into Futures positions, while $3.32 million flowed out.
Source: CoinGlass For that reason, Futures Netflow rose 213% to $351.1 million, suggesting more capital flowed into new positions.
Even more importantly, it seems most of these funds flowed into opening long positions. The Long/Short Ratio has held above 1, with an average of 2 across Binance.
Source: Coinglass This implies that more traders were bullish and anticipated more gains on ETH price charts.
Can this bullish shift help ETH? Ethereum buyers, especially in derivatives, have begun to regain market control. In fact, the altcoin’s True Strength Index has held on an upward trajectory, rising to 15 at press time.
When TSI is rising, it indicates that bullish momentum is strengthening, with buyers gradually retaking the market. Often, when this indicator rises, it suggests the uptrend is strengthening and likely to continue.
Source: TradingView In fact, the Momentum Adjusted Moving Average (MaMa) confirms the strength of this trend. ETH sits above both the MaMa at $1848 and the Positive Feedback Band at $1875.
Under these conditions, if buyers hold the derivatives side, the altcoin will flip $1900 and extend the uptrend. To hold this bullish outlook, Ethereum must hold above the MaMa’s Positive Feedback Band at $1875.
Final Summary A trader opened a 20x long position in 12,000 ETH, worth approximately $22.4 million, after dumping 72 BTC. Ethereum shows relative strength, as buyers eye a daily close above $1.8k again.
TL;DR U.S. consumer prices fell 0.4% in June, easing immediate fears of another Federal Reserve rate hike. Bitcoin briefly reached $65,500, while Ethereum climbed above $1,900 before both surrendered part of the rally. Renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities and sharply reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz brought energy and inflation risks back into focus. Bitcoin moved from roughly $62,600 before the latest U.S. inflation report to a monthly high near $65,500, only to return toward the $63,000-$64,000 area as geopolitical pressure resurfaced. Ethereum followed the same pattern, climbing from below $1,800 to almost $1,945 before falling back into the mid-$1,800s.
Source: CoinMarketCap The reversal was not simply a failed crypto rally. Markets spent the week moving between two competing macroeconomic signals: cooling U.S. inflation and an escalating conflict that could push energy prices higher again.
The CPI Rally Contained Its Own Weak Point The U.S. Consumer Price Index fell 0.4% in June after rising 0.5% in May, marking its largest monthly decline since April 2020. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, was unchanged for the month and increased 2.6% from a year earlier.
The report reduced expectations that the Federal Reserve would need to raise interest rates at its July meeting. Bitcoin rose above $64,000 after the release, while Ethereum gained more than 6% during the session and continued above $1,900 the following day.
The composition of the inflation decline introduced an important limitation. Energy prices fell 5.7% in June and were the largest contributor to the lower headline reading. That means part of the relief depended on cheaper fuel, the same component now threatened by renewed instability in the Middle East.
Hormuz Put Energy Risk Back Into the Market The crypto rally weakened as the United States and Iran exchanged further attacks and shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz declined sharply.
According to shipping data reported by Reuters, only three commodity vessels passed through the strait on July 16, the lowest daily number since May. No very large crude carriers or liquefied natural gas tankers completed the passage for a second consecutive day.
Transit was not formally halted for all shipping. The renewed U.S. blockade targeted Iranian ports and Iran-related traffic, while neutral vessels travelling to or from other countries were not officially prohibited from using the strait. The collapse in activity nevertheless showed that operators were unwilling to treat the route as normal.
The link to crypto runs through oil, inflation and monetary policy. A sustained increase in energy prices could reverse part of June’s inflation improvement, reduce the Federal Reserve’s room to ease policy and strengthen demand for cash over speculative assets.
Bitcoin Is Caught Between Two Macro Signals Bitcoin’s retreat toward $63,000–$64,000 did not erase the entire post-CPI rebound, but it showed that softer inflation alone was not enough to support a sustained breakout. Ethereum’s return below $1,900 delivered the same message more clearly because it surrendered most of its initial 6% advance.
The market is now balancing a confirmed decline in June inflation against an energy shock that has not yet appeared in official consumer-price data. That leaves oil prices and shipping conditions through Hormuz as immediate variables ahead of the Federal Reserve’s July 28–29 meeting.
A return above Bitcoin’s Wednesday high near $65,500 would indicate that the inflation-driven demand survived the geopolitical pullback. A fall below the pre-report area around $62,600 would instead show that the market had fully surrendered the CPI rally.
Kraken is rolling out cash-settled options contracts on Bitcoin and Ethereum, and the key selling point is refreshingly simple: you don’t need to hold any crypto to trade them.
The new European-style options on XBT/USD and ETH/USD will launch on July 16, settling entirely in US dollars. That means no managing Bitcoin collateral, no worrying about liquidation mechanics tied to volatile digital assets. Just clean, linear payouts denominated in the currency most institutional traders already think in.
How it works, and who gets access first The contracts will initially be available through a request-for-quote system on Kraken Pro, targeting professional and institutional clients. There’s a geographic catch, though. At launch, the product is only accessible to clients outside Europe, North America, and Australia.
That’s a meaningful exclusion. Three of crypto’s biggest markets are sitting this one out, at least initially. Kraken has signaled plans to expand to European clients later in 2026, with a public order book also expected to follow.
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The product lineup covers a range of expiration cycles: weekly, monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual. Portfolio margins will be enabled by default, which is a notable design choice. It means traders can offset risk across positions automatically rather than posting isolated margin for each trade.
Clients will also benefit from a unified wallet that supports collateral in over 30 currencies. That wallet ties together options, spot, and futures trading into a single interface.
Why cash settlement changes the game Alexia Theodorou, who works on the product at Kraken, put it bluntly.
“The existing options market in crypto has been built for a narrow slice of the trader base.”
That narrow slice is mostly crypto-native firms and sophisticated individual traders who are comfortable holding Bitcoin as margin. For a pension fund or a macro hedge fund that wants exposure to Bitcoin volatility without actually touching Bitcoin, the existing setup is a non-starter.
Cash settlement in USD removes that friction entirely. A trader can express a view on Bitcoin’s price direction, collect or pay premiums in dollars, and never interact with a blockchain. The linear payout structure reinforces this simplicity. Unlike inverse contracts, where profit and loss are denominated in the underlying asset, linear contracts keep everything in dollar terms.
The competitive landscape is heating up Kraken isn’t entering an empty field. CME Group has offered Bitcoin and Ethereum options for years, and those products have seen growing institutional adoption. Deribit dominates crypto-native options volume and has built a deep, liquid order book. Binance runs its own derivatives suite as well.
But each of those venues has trade-offs. CME’s products carry the overhead of traditional futures clearing. Deribit settles in crypto and requires crypto collateral. Binance faces regulatory scrutiny that makes some institutional players uncomfortable.
The RFQ model at launch is telling. It’s the same mechanism that institutional FX and rates desks use daily. Rather than posting orders to a public book, traders request prices from market makers. It prioritizes execution quality and discretion over transparency, which is exactly what large players want when they’re moving size.
For investors watching this space, the product’s expansion timeline matters as much as the launch itself. If Kraken can successfully open access to North American and European clients later in 2026, it would significantly broaden the addressable market. The shift from RFQ to a public order book will also be a key milestone, since that’s when retail and smaller institutional players can participate without negotiating quotes directly.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
The crypto market just got a brutal reminder that bombs overseas can crater portfolios at home. Senator Tom Cotton, chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee, called on July 9 for the US to resume sustained airstrikes against Iran, days after American forces hit over 80 Iranian targets in retaliation for attacks on commercial shipping vessels. The escalation has already cost the crypto market roughly $80 billion in total capitalization, with Bitcoin and Ethereum taking the hardest hits.
What’s happening on the ground The US struck more than 80 strategic Iranian military targets on July 7, responding to Iranian missile and drone assaults on commercial vessels in key shipping lanes. Cotton, a Republican from Arkansas with a long track record of hawkish Iran policy, wasted no time arguing the response wasn’t enough.
As of mid-July, 19 US service members and one contractor have been killed during the conflict with Iran. Six of those soldiers died in a single drone strike on a base in Kuwait on March 1.
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The broader conflict has already moved well beyond tit-for-tat. Previous US strikes targeted Iranian nuclear facilities and military positions, and Iranian drone strikes on American bases in the region have continued despite the retaliatory actions.
Why crypto is bleeding The approximately $80 billion drawdown in crypto market capitalization following this escalation tells a clear story. Bitcoin and Ethereum bore the brunt of the selling as traders processed the implications of a potential sustained US military campaign against Iran.
The sanctions angle matters too Cotton’s advocacy extends beyond bombs. His push for stringent sanctions against entities that support Iranian interests could have direct implications for the crypto ecosystem. Previous rounds of Iran-related sanctions have targeted crypto wallets and exchanges suspected of facilitating sanctions evasion. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control has shown it’s perfectly willing to blacklist blockchain addresses, and a hotter conflict gives it more political cover to do so aggressively.
What investors should watch Oil prices are the canary in this coal mine. Iranian attacks on commercial shipping lanes directly threaten energy supply chains, and rising oil prices tend to strengthen the dollar while weakening risk assets, including crypto.
The 19 US service members killed so far have generated significant political pressure for both escalation and withdrawal. One underappreciated risk: if this conflict drags on and expands, it could delay or derail crypto-friendly legislation currently moving through Congress, including bills related to stablecoin regulation, market structure reform, and digital asset taxation.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
19 July 2026 | 11:31 Cardano’s Pogun initiative targets Bitcoin liquidity through a credit market, yield layer and trust-minimized bridge, but the project remains unfinished after its treasury request expired and its first deadline passed.
Key Takeaways Pogun plans to combine a non-margin credit market, a yield application and a trust-minimized Bitcoin bridge on Cardano. The widely cited $1.6 trillion figure represents Bitcoin’s total market value, not capital already committed to the project. Pogun’s request for ₳12.29 million from the Cardano Treasury expired without receiving the required approval. The original Q2 credit-market deadline has passed, while Pogun’s official website still describes the platform as coming soon. Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson is backing Pogun, a development initiative intended to bring Bitcoin liquidity into Cardano-based credit and yield markets.
Led by Omer Husain and the team behind Input Output’s open-source Cardinal bridge specification, Pogun plans to combine a non-margin credit market, a yield application and a trust-minimized Bitcoin bridge.
The project’s central test is not whether Cardano can advertise access to Bitcoin’s market value. It is whether Pogun can launch a useful credit market, attract borrowers and lenders, and give BTC holders a reason to cross the bridge when it becomes available.
The $1.6 Trillion Bitcoin Claim Needs Context Pogun’s official proposal describes Bitcoin as a vast pool of capital that is “almost entirely idle.” The phrase refers to Bitcoin’s limited use in native decentralized lending and credit markets, not to every BTC sitting unused.
Some coverage has rounded the opportunity to $1.6 trillion, while Pogun’s own governance proposal described Bitcoin as a roughly $1.5 trillion asset. Either figure is a time-sensitive estimate of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization which as of 19 July, 2026, is around $1.3T, not an amount that Pogun has secured or expects to move into Cardano in full.
Bitcoin is already used through self-custody, exchanges, corporate treasuries, exchange-traded products and centralized lending arrangements. Pogun’s argument is narrower: only a relatively small portion of that capital participates in decentralized credit and yield markets without relying on a centralized custodian.
Pogun is therefore competing for the subset of Bitcoin holders willing to use BTC as collateral or deploy it into financial strategies. It is not integrating Bitcoin’s entire market value into Cardano.
Pogun Plans to Build the Market Before the Bridge Pogun’s published roadmap contains three connected stages:
Q2 2026
Non-margin credit market
Bilateral, fixed-term loans without automatic price-based liquidations
Q3 2026
Yield application
An interface connecting user capital with strategies built on the credit market
Q4 2026
Bitcoin bridge
A trust-minimized route for deploying BTC in Cardano-based applications
Pogun’s sequence is deliberate. The credit market is intended to establish demand, the yield application would make that market easier to access, and the bridge would then introduce Bitcoin as additional collateral and liquidity.
That gives incoming BTC an intended use from the beginning, but it also creates dependency between the milestones. Delays or weak adoption in the first two products could reduce the reason for Bitcoin holders to use the bridge when it arrives.
The First Roadmap Deadline Has Passed The proposal stated that the non-margin credit market would launch on Cardano’s mainnet in the second quarter of 2026 after completing a formal security audit.
That quarter ended on June 30.
As of July 19, Pogun’s official website continues to describe the platform as “coming soon.” The official project pages reviewed for this article do not provide a public mainnet announcement, deployed contract address or completed audit report.
That does not establish that development has stopped. It means the Q2 milestone cannot yet be treated as publicly delivered based on the evidence currently available.
In a June 11 video, Hoskinson said work had not been paused after the project failed to secure treasury funding and described Pogun as a commercial initiative that could continue without the proposed community investment.
His comments indicate that development is continuing, but they do not establish that the credit market has launched publicly or completed the formal audit described in the original proposal.
The Cardano Treasury Did Not Fund Pogun Pogun requested ₳12.29 million from the Cardano Treasury, valued at approximately $2.95 million when the proposal was prepared.
The proposed funding was divided into milestone-based tranches. Later bridge funding would have depended on verified progress in the credit market, while the proposal included provisions for returning undisbursed funds if milestones failed, the team dissolved or the bridge was found to be technically infeasible.
Pogun also proposed returning 20% of EBITDA to the Cardano Treasury until the original investment had been repaid, followed by 5% of EBITDA from Cardano-related products in perpetuity.
That arrangement was never activated.
The onchain governance action expired on May 24, 2026, without receiving the support required for ratification. No ₳12.29 million treasury withdrawal was approved for Pogun.
The failed vote did not remove money that had already been granted. It meant that this specific treasury withdrawal was never authorized.
If Pogun continues as a privately funded commercial initiative, the Cardano Treasury will not automatically receive the proposed revenue share unless a separate agreement is approved in the future.
How Pogun’s Credit Market Is Supposed to Work Pogun’s first planned product differs from the pooled, overcollateralized lending markets commonly found across DeFi.
Borrowers and lenders would negotiate loan terms directly, including: The amount being borrowed; The interest rate; The repayment period; The collateral requirements; The conditions that constitute default. Smart contracts would enforce those agreed terms. According to Pogun, the model would not depend on external price oracles or automatic margin calls, meaning temporary market volatility would not by itself liquidate a borrower’s collateral.
The structure resembles fixed-term private credit more closely than a continuously rebalanced DeFi lending pool.
Active loan positions would be represented by transferable Bond Tokens issued as Cardano native assets. That could allow a lender to transfer or sell exposure before a loan matures, creating the foundation for a secondary market in tokenized debt positions.
Removing automatic price-based liquidation does not remove financial risk.
A borrower can still default, collateral can lose value before it is recovered, and Bond Tokens may have little secondary-market liquidity. Smart-contract vulnerabilities, weak borrower assessment and disputes involving real-world counterparties could add further risk.
The model exchanges the danger of rapid oracle-driven liquidation for longer-duration credit, liquidity and enforcement risks. Its usefulness will depend on how clearly those risks are disclosed and priced.
The Bridge Is Trust-Minimized, Not Trustless Pogun’s final stage is intended to move Bitcoin into the Cardano environment without placing the underlying BTC under the control of a single custodian.
The roadmap describes a 1-of-N security model. Under that design, a fraudulent withdrawal can be blocked as long as at least one verifier in the operator set remains honest and available.
Although the proposal labels the component a BitVM-powered bridge, a later technical explanation from Input Output says the team moved toward a custom implementation based on BABE after identifying production constraints in the BitVM family of designs.
The architecture described by Input Output combines several systems: A custom implementation based on BABE, which uses witness encryption for Bitcoin-side verification; Recursive Halo2 proofs intended to attest to Cardano state through the Mithril certificate chain; Groth16 proofs that package the result into a smaller form for the Bitcoin-side mechanism; An N-party transaction graph designed to support multiple operators and changes to the operator set. At a high level, the design is intended to prove what happened on Cardano, compress that evidence into a smaller cryptographic proof and make the result verifiable through a Bitcoin-side mechanism without giving one custodian control of the underlying BTC.
Mithril certificates allow external systems to verify authenticated information about Cardano without independently replaying the entire blockchain. Pogun intends to use proofs built over that certificate chain to establish what occurred on Cardano before a corresponding Bitcoin-side action is accepted.
The architecture is technically detailed, but a design document is not proof of production security.
Bridge implementations can be exposed to software bugs, proof-system failures, operator outages, configuration errors and weaknesses in the applications holding bridged assets. Public code, independent audits, testnet performance and the composition of the verifier set will matter as much as the cryptographic design.
Calling the bridge trust-minimized is therefore more accurate than calling it trustless.
Why Cardano Sees an Architectural Fit With Bitcoin Cardano argues that it is a natural environment for Bitcoin-based finance because the two networks share a related accounting structure.
As Cardano’s official documentation explains, Bitcoin and Cardano both use versions of the Unspent Transaction Output model. Bitcoin transactions consume existing outputs and create new ones, while Cardano extends that structure through its EUTXO model to support programmable conditions, native assets and smart contracts.
That shared lineage can make some financial logic easier to express across the two systems. It does not mean that Cardano can control native Bitcoin directly or that other smart-contract networks cannot support Bitcoin-based applications through different architectures.
Pogun still requires a bridge to connect two separate ledgers. Its success will depend on implementation quality, security and market demand rather than the UTXO connection alone.
What Pogun Could Mean for Cardano and ADA Pogun is partly an attempt to expand Cardano’s relatively small DeFi economy.
At the time of writing, DefiLlama records approximately $72 million in total value locked across Cardano applications. Even a modest amount of BTC deployed into Cardano-based credit markets could therefore be material relative to the ecosystem’s present size.
That possibility should not be confused with a guarantee that billions of dollars will arrive.
Claims that Pogun could push Cardano’s TVL to $10 billion or $15 billion are not supported by the project’s formal proposal. Its own end-of-2027 scenarios projected approximately:
$100 million in Pogun TVL under a bearish scenario; $450 million under its base scenario; $765 million under its bullish scenario. Those are project forecasts rather than assured outcomes. Actual adoption will depend on bridge security, borrowing demand, available returns, liquidity, regulatory access and competition from other Bitcoin DeFi platforms.
The effect on ADA also needs careful framing.
Under Cardano’s current rules, ADA is accepted as payment for network fees. Pogun activity executed on Cardano could therefore generate additional transaction-fee demand.
The scale of that effect would depend on transaction volume, fee levels and whether applications require users to hold ADA directly or abstract the payment process on their behalf. Bridged Bitcoin sitting inactive in a contract would not create the same recurring network demand as an actively used credit market.
Pogun could add utility to Cardano, but publishing a roadmap does not by itself create substantial or sustainable demand for ADA.
What Would Confirm the Bitcoin DeFi Thesis The strongest evidence will come from delivered products and measurable usage rather than the total market value of Bitcoin.
The thesis would become more credible if Pogun provides: • A publicly verifiable mainnet deployment for the credit market;
• A completed independent security audit and accessible report;
• Contract addresses and documentation that allow users to verify the system;
• Measurable loan volume, borrower activity and repayment data;
• A yield application with clear risk disclosures and sustained deposits;
• A functioning bridge testnet followed by an independently audited mainnet release;
• Transparent information about operators and the assumptions behind the 1-of-N model;
• Measurable BTC collateral, Cardano TVL and transaction growth after launch.
For now, Pogun remains a development initiative rather than evidence that significant Bitcoin liquidity has entered Cardano.
The next decisive proof point is a publicly verifiable launch of the credit market, followed by its audit results and measurable lending activity. Only then will the planned yield layer and Bitcoin bridge have an operating market to connect to.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal or investment advice.
Author
Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets - crypto first, then everything else. It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn't fully understand it - so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can't properly understand one without the other. What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it's happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline - price up, price down, here's a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn? He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University - not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That's probably why he hasn't stopped.
Cardano price hovered at $0.1650 on Sunday after the Van Rossem hard fork officially activated across the mainnet. ADA gained during the previous 24 hours as traders assessed the upgrade’s impact on network performance.
The broader cryptocurrency market also improved, rising 0.54% to reach a $2.2 trillion valuation. Bitcoin price was still trading over $64,000, with Ethereum at $1,860 and XRP price showing a small gain.
Market sentiment may strengthen further if Bitcoin maintains support above $63,500 and approaches the $69,000 resistance level.
Van Rossem Hard Fork Strengthens Cardano Mainnet The Protocol Version 11 upgrade of Cardano was implemented once all the necessary governance groups gave it adequate approval. The proposal passed ratification levels in Epoch 643 on July 13. It was automatically enacted in the next epoch boundary, which is July 18, 2026.
The upgrade comes with new Plutus features that aim to enhance the execution of smart contracts. Faster processing, reduced costs and updated cost models can be enjoyed by developers.
These modifications can make decentralized applications run in the growing ecosystem of Cardano more efficient.
NEWS: V11 (van Rossem) hardfork is now officially live on Cardano $ADA mainnet.
It brought new Plutus capabilities, faster/cheaper smart contracts, and protocol prep for Leios.
Congratulations to the entire Cardano ecosystem on another successful upgrade! 🥳 pic.twitter.com/KLJtAaV9Uy
— Cardanians (CRDN) (@Cardanians_io) July 19, 2026
Van Rossem also enhances ledger consistency and enhances node security. The upgrade includes improved primitives, special VRF keys, and new reference input regulations.
The hard fork governance action was given precedence by the ledger of Cardano over other proposals during the ratification. There were however no rival governance actions that were withheld, stifled or lapsed.
The upgrade is also gearing Cardano towards the proposed transition to the Dijkstra era. That future hard fork should bring in Ouroboros Leios, the significant Cardano scalability framework. The goal of Leios is to maximise throughput without compromising network security and decentralisation.
Whale $100K Activity Falls While ADA Price Holds Steady Cardano price looks at recovery because whale transactions have not been high as compared to spikes that have been noticed earlier in the year. The current participation of major holders is limited and would show large ADA transfers above 100,000.
The whale activity had earlier spiked to more than 200 transactions in January and then went down in the months that followed. The highest brief increases were observed in February, March, June, and July, but none of them was as high as the first peak.
Santiment data The fact that this slowdown persists implies that large investors are acting cautiously until they can see through the fog before they can venture more into Cardano.
Cardano Price Outlook Signals 20% Rally Toward $0.20 The ADA price surged to $0.165, extending its recovery from the $0.160 support zone during four-hour trading.
Buyers are trying to gain control, but short-term resistance is close to $0.17 according to the Cardano future outlook.
An emphatic four hour close above that line may help build momentum towards $0.180. A break of $0.18 can lead to a break of $0.20, which is about 20% increase over the current.
Source: Tradingview The MACD is still a bit positive but narrow lines indicate that momentum still requires more volume. In the meantime, the Chaikin Money Flow value of approximately 0.13 indicates that capital is still flowing into the market.
Cardano price must defend $0.16 to preserve this bullish structure and prevent another pullback. Any failure at the support may reveal $0.15 before the buyers get confidence back.
Key TakeawaysSolana: Performance, Scalability, and Corporate PartnershipsChainlink: Critical Data InfrastructureOndo Finance: Bridging Traditional Assets and BlockchainEvaluating the Top Choice Solana stands as a leading Ethereum alternative with partnerships from Visa, PayPal, and Worldpay Chainlink delivers critical oracle services that connect blockchain networks to real-world data feeds Ondo Finance’s tokenized asset platform exceeded $500 million across more than 200 different assets Each token offers substantial utility but comes with significant volatility exposure An optimal portfolio strategy would allocate the most to Solana, with smaller allocations to Chainlink and Ondo As cryptocurrency investors prepare for the next major market rally, attention is shifting toward projects demonstrating tangible utility and measurable adoption. Three altcoins standing out in this landscape are Solana, Chainlink, and Ondo Finance, according to market analysts.
Solana: Performance, Scalability, and Corporate Partnerships Solana has established itself as a formidable Ethereum rival. The platform’s architecture enables rapid processing of high transaction volumes at minimal cost, supporting use cases including decentralized exchanges, payment systems, stablecoin transfers, and blockchain gaming.
Solana (SOL) Price Solana’s primary strength lies in its unified architecture. Applications operate within a single ecosystem, avoiding the complexity Ethereum users face when navigating between the mainnet and various layer-2 scaling solutions.
This streamlined experience has captured the interest of prominent payment processors and financial institutions. According to Solana’s official website, partners include Visa, PayPal, Circle, Western Union, and Worldpay.
The SOL token serves multiple network functions: paying for transactions, staking for network security, and governance participation. Increased on-chain activity could potentially drive greater demand for the token.
However, significant risks remain. Historically, much of Solana’s transaction volume stemmed from memecoins and high-risk speculation, which typically evaporates during market downturns. The network has experienced outages previously, although stability has noticeably improved in recent periods.
Chainlink: Critical Data Infrastructure Chainlink functions as essential infrastructure within the decentralized finance ecosystem. Smart contracts require external information such as asset prices, benchmark rates, and proof-of-reserves verification—services that Chainlink’s oracle infrastructure delivers.
Chainlink (LINK) Price Chainlink is now expanding into traditional finance sectors. Its Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) aims to enable financial institutions to move data and tokenized assets seamlessly across disparate blockchain platforms.
This strategic pivot positions Chainlink as foundational technology for the emerging tokenization movement beyond just DeFi applications. As financial instruments potentially migrate across multiple blockchain networks and private ledgers, reliable data connectivity could become indispensable.
The critical uncertainty involves whether Chainlink’s expanding network usage translates directly into increased LINK token demand. This relationship isn’t automatically guaranteed.
Major financial players might develop proprietary infrastructure solutions, while competing oracle providers are actively pursuing the same market opportunities.
Ondo Finance: Bridging Traditional Assets and Blockchain Ondo Finance specializes in blockchain-based representations of conventional assets, including US Treasury securities, equities, and exchange-traded funds.
Ondo Price In January 2026, Ondo announced its tokenized stock platform reached over $500 million in aggregate value spanning more than 200 different assets, with cumulative trading volume surpassing $7 billion since the platform’s September 2025 debut.
The company also established a partnership with Broadridge to introduce a compliant US-based solution for tokenized third-party securities. Qualified token holders now gain access to shareholder voting privileges, effectively linking blockchain technology to traditional regulated financial markets.
Should asset tokenization achieve widespread adoption in mainstream finance, Ondo could capture significant market share. However, the ONDO token doesn’t represent company equity. Token holders don’t directly benefit from the platform’s revenue or profits.
Additional concerns include scheduled token unlock events, evolving regulatory frameworks, and potential competition from established banks and asset management firms. Market observers suggest ONDO functions better as a smaller speculative allocation rather than a portfolio cornerstone.
Evaluating the Top Choice Solana presents the most comprehensive package of network activity and institutional adoption. Chainlink offers diversified infrastructure exposure spanning multiple blockchain ecosystems. Ondo represents the highest-risk proposition but potentially the greatest reward if asset tokenization accelerates.
All three assets exhibit substantial price volatility. Even robust fundamental strengths provide limited protection during widespread crypto market corrections.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
US warplanes struck Iran’s Qeshm Island in mid-July 2026, hitting Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps military installations and triggering multiple explosions near one of the world’s most critical oil transit chokepoints. US Central Command confirmed the operation, which also involved naval vessels and drones targeting facilities in the broader Bandar Abbas area.
Qeshm Island sits at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway through which approximately one-fifth of the world’s seaborne oil passes.
What happened and why it matters The strikes, which took place between July 13 and July 16, 2026, targeted IRGC assets that US officials said were being used to threaten commercial shipping lanes. Iranian sources reported damage to military installations, though casualty figures were not immediately confirmed.
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The IRGC presence on Qeshm is not incidental. The island hosts what Iranian state media has previously described as an underground missile city, making it a high-value target from a military degradation standpoint.
Crypto’s muted response, and one very loud exception Bitcoin dipped to approximately $99,500 in the immediate aftermath of the news before recovering to over $102,000. That is roughly a 2.5% swing on one of the more dramatic geopolitical events of the year.
The louder story came from the US Treasury, which froze over $130 million in crypto assets connected to Iranian central bank wallets as part of the broader economic campaign against Tehran. Stablecoins and Bitcoin were the primary assets referenced in connection with the Iranian wallet freezes. No major DeFi protocols or altcoin ecosystems were directly implicated.
What investors should be watching Exchanges and custodians with any exposure to counterparties in sanctioned jurisdictions are going to be reviewing their compliance infrastructure after this. The operational and legal risk of being on the wrong side of a Treasury designation is now demonstrated at scale.
Bitcoin’s ability to recover above $102,000 after the initial dip is a data point worth noting. The question for traders is not whether crypto survived the first week of the Qeshm strikes. It is whether the market has properly priced the tail risks of a sustained conflict near the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passes.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
AI hot stocks like NVIDIA have seen increased volatility, with their relative volatility standing at 4 times that of the S&P 500 index.
The Kobeissi Letter stated in a post that the three-week volatility of U.S. momentum stocks relative to the S&P 500 index has surged to four times, hitting an all-time high. This ratio has more than quadrupled over the past several weeks. The momentum stock group includes high-growth tech stocks at the center of the AI boom, such as NVIDIA, AMD, Palantir, D-Wave Quantum, and CoreWeave. By comparison, the ratio peaked at around 2 times during the 2020 COVID-19 market crash and roughly 1.8 times during the dot-com bubble burst. The current level is significantly higher than those periods. Meanwhile, the U.S. momentum stock index has dropped 24% since July, marking its largest monthly decline since the 2008 financial crisis. The stocks that previously performed the strongest are quickly losing market favor.
9 minutes ago
Changxin Technology's IPO winning numbers have been released, totaling 7,702,207.
According to an announcement by Changxin Technology, the company’s initial public offering (IPO) and listing on the STAR Market has released its offline preliminary placement results and online lottery results. The offering price is RMB 8.66 per share, with an initial share offering size of approximately 6.688 billion shares. A total of 7,702,207 winning lottery numbers have been issued, and each winning number entitles holders to subscribe for 500 Changxin Technology A-shares.
9 minutes ago
Renowned trader closes all crypto short positions, resumes buying Bitcoin spot
Renowned crypto trader Doctor Profit announced in a post that he has closed all his cryptocurrency short positions, including Bitcoin shorts established in the $115,000–$125,000 range, another Bitcoin short in the $79,000–$82,000 range, and over 100 altcoin shorts opened in recent months, noting that all these positions have generated significant profits. He also said he has repurchased Bitcoin spot at $64,000, marking his first long-term allocation since September 2025. His plan is to invest 5% of his planned capital daily in spot Bitcoin purchases when the price is in the $54,000–$64,000 range, for up to 20 days total; if the price approaches $54,000, he will increase his buying activity. Doctor Profit pointed out that the current market is showing clear "herd behavior": investors who were previously bullish on Bitcoin up to $150,000 at high levels are now widely waiting for the cryptocurrency to drop to $40,000–$50,000, and are targeting September or October as the bottom of the four-year cycle. When a large number of investors are waiting for the same price level and time point, the market may not move as expected, so he chose to build positions in advance and judges that this cycle’s bottom may arrive earlier than the market’s general expectation. He also cited regulatory clarity, asset tokenization infrastructure, and progress in institutional adoption as the structural reasons for his shift to buying, and retracted his previous prediction that Bitcoin would fall to $40,000–$50,000. However, he still holds all his S&P 500 short positions, arguing that the crypto market has completed a large repricing, while U.S. stock valuations remain elevated.
9 minutes ago
Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush adds new launchpad filter options for Robinhood Chain-based projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr.
According to official announcements, Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush has added new launchpad filter options for Robinhood chain projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr, helping users discover more on-chain token opportunities. Users can now track tokens across BSC, Solana, ETH, Base, and Robinhood chains via Meme Rush, with a single feed to stay updated on multi-chain hotspots.
9 minutes ago
Zcash launches Zakura full node, aiming to boost its privacy transaction throughput to 50,000 per second.
Zcash has launched its new full-node client Zakura 1.0.0, the first implementation component aimed at scaling its private transaction throughput from the current ~1 transaction per second (TPS) to payment-network-level capacity. Maintained by Sean Bowe, an early Zcash zero-knowledge cryptography contributor, and Dev Ojha, head of Valar Group, the client operates independently of the Zcash Foundation and is funded via private ZEC donations. Built on the Zcash Foundation’s Zebra client, the team provides an ~11GB blockchain snapshot, allowing new nodes to sync up in two minutes—an approximately 680x speed improvement. Its compatibility mode also replicates the legacy zcashd interface, enabling wallets and exchanges to continue operating after the original client’s maintenance ends on July 18. The team notes that Visa and Mastercard process over 50,000 transactions per second, a benchmark it has set as its minimum target. To reduce the verification burden of large-scale private transactions, Bowe’s Tachyon project is developing recursive proofs, which let nodes validate thousands of proofs with a single proof. Valar Group is building private information retrieval (PIR) technology, allowing wallets to access relevant transaction data without exposing their query content. Zakura is also testing a fast block propagation system that delivers new blocks to all nodes in half a second. Its upcoming testnet is the Ironwood upgrade, set to activate on the mainnet on July 28. Ironwood will use a "rotating door" mechanism to restrict inflows and outflows of the Orchard privacy pool, mitigating risks of fake ZEC entering circulation due to prior zero-knowledge proof vulnerabilities.
9 minutes ago
Moonshot (Kimi)’s technological breakthrough triggers sell-offs in AI stocks, with leveraged products amplifying market volatility.
According to Bloomberg, Chinese AI startup Moonshot has achieved an unexpected technological breakthrough, triggering sharp declines in global AI and semiconductor stocks on Friday and prompting markets to once again reference the 2025 "DeepSeek Moment". The semiconductor benchmark index has fallen roughly 20% from its June peak, entering a bear market; the triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL has dropped more than 50% over the same period. This sell-off demonstrates that when rapid advances in AI technology reshape market perceptions of winners and losers, leveraged ETFs, options, single-stock funds, and crypto-related products may be liquidated simultaneously. Bloomberg Intelligence data shows leveraged ETFs make up around 13% of U.S. ETF trading volume but only 1.2% of industry assets. When accounting for embedded leverage, their share of the U.S. stock market remains less than 1%. While these products are generally small in overall size, their holdings are concentrated in AI chips, volatile stocks, and newly listed firms. When leverage, concentration, and volatility rise at the same time, the funds' daily rebalancing turns them into active trading forces that further amplify existing market trends. The South Korean market offers a clear recent case: local retail investors have heavily purchased leveraged products tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and as market sentiment turned weak, the related funds were forced to sell an estimated tens of billions of dollars worth of SK Hynix positions.
Bitcoin options desks picked up a telling signal this week — a surge in call spread activity that pins a $72,000 price target to the final days of July, coinciding with the Federal Reserve’s next policy announcement. Data from the options market, as reported in the original CoinDesk report, shows large traders paying a premium for a structure that profits if BTC rallies toward $72,000 but caps gains above that level. The timing is not accidental.
How the $72,000 Call Spread Works A call spread involves buying a call option at one strike price and selling another at a higher strike. The sold call reduces the upfront cost but limits the maximum profit. In this case, the bought call likely sits just below $72,000, while the sold call may be slightly above it. The trade’s maximum payoff occurs if Bitcoin settles exactly at or between the two strikes at expiration. By choosing $72,000 as the target, the trader is signaling a precise directional view rather than a broad bullish bet. The notional size behind the flow points to institutional desks, not retail punters.
Option structures like this thrive on event-driven repricing. They demand not just a move, but a move that lands on schedule. The July expiry window gives the trade roughly two weeks to play out, and that window closes right after the Fed meeting ends. If Bitcoin drifts sideways, time decay erodes the position. The premium paid reflects a calculated risk that the macro catalyst will trigger the needed volatility.
Fed Decision as a Catalyst The Federal Open Market Committee meeting in late July is the obvious anchor for this positioning. Markets currently anticipate a pause in rate hikes, with some participants pricing in dovish language that opens the door to cuts later in the year. For Bitcoin, a clear signal that the tightening cycle is over would likely lift risk appetite. The call spread trade is a levered way to capture that move without committing to an outright long. By paying a fraction of the notional exposure, the trader can book substantial gains if BTC spikes into the $72,000 zone.
The bet is not unique in its structure, but the scale and timing set it apart. Buying volatility into a known macro event is a classic trade, and the cryptocurrency options market has matured enough to handle flows that once would have moved spot prices. This trade likely sat on one or two desks capable of absorbing the risk without destabilizing the book.
What the Flow Doesn’t Tell Us Options flow is opaque by design. A large call spread can be a standalone directional bet, but it can also be part of a more complex hedge. A trader short Bitcoin futures, for instance, might buy call spreads to cap losses if the market rallies. Without knowing the full portfolio, it’s impossible to say whether this positioning is net bullish or a sophisticated defense against an unpleasant surprise. The options market shows positioning, not intent.
The trade arrives in a market where institutional capital is increasingly active across the crypto landscape. Recently, SUI surged 18% to $1.24 as institutional staking and a partnership with Paga drove demand, illustrating how large players are now shaping liquidity across multiple protocols. Meanwhile, the broader tokenization space hit a milestone this week, with real-world assets on-chain crossing $20 billion for the first time. That level of commitment signals a structural shift in how institutions interact with digital assets.
Yet the regulatory backdrop remains unsettled. As the options trade was being placed, banks were trying to kill the biggest crypto bill in US history just days before a Senate vote. Legislative uncertainty of that magnitude can upend any macro thesis, making the call spread as much a volatility bet as a directional one. For now, the $72,000 target will act as a bellwether. If the price drifts higher in the days before the Fed speaks, the trade could become a self-fulfilling catalyst. If not, it’s a reminder that options positioning can vanish as fast as it appeared.
AUTHOR
Max delves deep into the cryptocurrency realm, with a passion for altcoins and NFTs. Convinced of crypto's transformative potential, he envisions a decentralized financial future. Max's background in the financial sector grants him unique insights into global monetary systems. In his leisure, Max embraces the thrill of adventures and is an avid sports enthusiast, finding balance and rejuvenation away from work.
Bitcoin [BTC] climbed above $65,000 during the week beginning the 12th of July. A cooler Consumer Price Index reading supported the move by easing inflation concerns.
However, BTC later retreated toward $64,000. Beneath this volatility, miners continued sending fewer coins to exchanges despite worsening financial conditions.
Why are Bitcoin miners struggling? CryptoQuant data showed that miners faced significant pressure, based on its Miners’ Financial Health Index. The index combines mining revenue, fees, issuance, and other inputs to measure the industry’s overall financial health.
Source: CryptoQuant Based on its seven-day Moving Average, the index stood near 29% at press time. Readings between 10% and 30% have historically aligned with bear-market conditions.
Such conditions can pressure miners’ income and increase their need to sell reserves. However, exchange-flow data showed that selling pressure had eased.
Are miners sending less BTC? CryptoQuant’s Miner to Exchange Flow showed that miners transferred less Bitcoin to exchanges despite their financial strain. Based on the seven-day SMA, exchange flows fell from 1,825.86 BTC on the 1st of July to 1,173.66 BTC.
Source: CryptoQuant This represented a decline of nearly 36%, suggesting that miners reduced their immediately available exchange supply.
However, lower exchange flows did not necessarily confirm accumulation. Miners could also have moved coins through untracked venues or held them elsewhere.
The dollar value of Bitcoin in miner wallets increased by $4.7 billion, from $71.5 billion to roughly $76.2 billion.
Much of this increase could reflect Bitcoin’s price appreciation rather than growth in miners’ BTC holdings. Bitcoin rose from $58,624 on the 1st of July to $63,999 at press time.
Why are mining stocks falling? Publicly listed Bitcoin mining stocks lost 12% collectively over the past month, according to Artemis.
The decline highlighted the financial pressure facing mining companies, even as Bitcoin’s price recovered.
Over five days, Cipher Mining [CIFR] dropped 20.3%, while Iris Energy [IREN] fell 18.3%. TeraWulf [WULF] declined 17.3%. By contrast, Bitcoin added more than $42 billion in market capitalization during the same period.
This divergence suggested that investors remained concerned about miners’ operating costs and profitability despite BTC’s recovery.
Lower miner exchange flows could reduce one source of immediate selling pressure. However, the data did not prove that miners were accumulating Bitcoin.
For now, miners’ reluctance to transfer BTC to exchanges may support supply conditions as Bitcoin attempts to reclaim $65,000.
Final Summary Miner exchange flows fell nearly 36% despite worsening financial conditions across the industry. Mining stocks declined sharply, while lower exchange transfers may ease immediate Bitcoin selling pressure.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong thinks Bitcoin’s floor is in. On June 15, Armstrong stated his belief that Bitcoin likely bottomed around $60,000, leaning on the cryptocurrency’s well-documented four-year halving cycle as his compass. The call came just ten days after BTC touched approximately $59,743 on June 5, its lowest level since October 2024.
The case Armstrong is making Bitcoin recovered from roughly $59,743 to over $66,000 in the days that followed, suggesting at least some buyers agreed the price was attractive at those levels.
Armstrong also characterized the recent decline as relatively mild compared to previous crypto winters. Bitcoin’s June low sat approximately 50% below its October 2025 record high of $126,000. The 2022 collapse wiped out roughly 75% of BTC’s value from peak to trough.
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The market isn’t so sure Armstrong himself seemed to acknowledge the uncertainty when he ran a poll on X in mid-July. The results were not exactly a ringing endorsement of his bottom call. Out of more than 20,000 respondents, 56% said they did not believe the bottom was in. Only 44% sided with Armstrong’s view.
On-chain metrics offer some support for the cautious camp. Bitcoin was recently trading near its realized price of about $53,600. The realized price represents the average cost basis of all Bitcoin in circulation, essentially what the average holder paid for their coins.
ETF flows have also been unstable. The spot Bitcoin ETFs that launched in early 2024 were supposed to provide a steady institutional bid for BTC. Instead, flows have been choppy, oscillating between inflows and outflows without establishing a clear trend during the recent downturn.
Armstrong’s longer game Armstrong co-founded Coinbase with Fred Ehrsam back in 2012, and the company’s revenue is directly tied to crypto trading volumes and asset prices.
The halving cycle framework he’s referencing does have historical precedent on its side. Previous cycles saw Bitcoin bottom roughly 12-18 months after a peak, followed by a prolonged recovery that eventually produced new all-time highs. If that pattern holds, the $60,000 zone would be roughly consistent with where prior cycle bottoms have landed relative to their peaks.
What this means for investors The realized price of $53,600 is the number worth watching. If Bitcoin holds above that level through the summer, Armstrong’s bottom call gains credibility. If it breaks below, the conversation shifts from “is the bottom in” to “how much further down do we go.”
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
AI hot stocks like NVIDIA have seen increased volatility, with their relative volatility standing at 4 times that of the S&P 500 index.
The Kobeissi Letter stated in a post that the three-week volatility of U.S. momentum stocks relative to the S&P 500 index has surged to four times, hitting an all-time high. This ratio has more than quadrupled over the past several weeks. The momentum stock group includes high-growth tech stocks at the center of the AI boom, such as NVIDIA, AMD, Palantir, D-Wave Quantum, and CoreWeave. By comparison, the ratio peaked at around 2 times during the 2020 COVID-19 market crash and roughly 1.8 times during the dot-com bubble burst. The current level is significantly higher than those periods. Meanwhile, the U.S. momentum stock index has dropped 24% since July, marking its largest monthly decline since the 2008 financial crisis. The stocks that previously performed the strongest are quickly losing market favor.
9 minutes ago
Changxin Technology's IPO winning numbers have been released, totaling 7,702,207.
According to an announcement by Changxin Technology, the company’s initial public offering (IPO) and listing on the STAR Market has released its offline preliminary placement results and online lottery results. The offering price is RMB 8.66 per share, with an initial share offering size of approximately 6.688 billion shares. A total of 7,702,207 winning lottery numbers have been issued, and each winning number entitles holders to subscribe for 500 Changxin Technology A-shares.
9 minutes ago
Renowned trader closes all crypto short positions, resumes buying Bitcoin spot
Renowned crypto trader Doctor Profit announced in a post that he has closed all his cryptocurrency short positions, including Bitcoin shorts established in the $115,000–$125,000 range, another Bitcoin short in the $79,000–$82,000 range, and over 100 altcoin shorts opened in recent months, noting that all these positions have generated significant profits. He also said he has repurchased Bitcoin spot at $64,000, marking his first long-term allocation since September 2025. His plan is to invest 5% of his planned capital daily in spot Bitcoin purchases when the price is in the $54,000–$64,000 range, for up to 20 days total; if the price approaches $54,000, he will increase his buying activity. Doctor Profit pointed out that the current market is showing clear "herd behavior": investors who were previously bullish on Bitcoin up to $150,000 at high levels are now widely waiting for the cryptocurrency to drop to $40,000–$50,000, and are targeting September or October as the bottom of the four-year cycle. When a large number of investors are waiting for the same price level and time point, the market may not move as expected, so he chose to build positions in advance and judges that this cycle’s bottom may arrive earlier than the market’s general expectation. He also cited regulatory clarity, asset tokenization infrastructure, and progress in institutional adoption as the structural reasons for his shift to buying, and retracted his previous prediction that Bitcoin would fall to $40,000–$50,000. However, he still holds all his S&P 500 short positions, arguing that the crypto market has completed a large repricing, while U.S. stock valuations remain elevated.
9 minutes ago
Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush adds new launchpad filter options for Robinhood Chain-based projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr.
According to official announcements, Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush has added new launchpad filter options for Robinhood chain projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr, helping users discover more on-chain token opportunities. Users can now track tokens across BSC, Solana, ETH, Base, and Robinhood chains via Meme Rush, with a single feed to stay updated on multi-chain hotspots.
9 minutes ago
Zcash launches Zakura full node, aiming to boost its privacy transaction throughput to 50,000 per second.
Zcash has launched its new full-node client Zakura 1.0.0, the first implementation component aimed at scaling its private transaction throughput from the current ~1 transaction per second (TPS) to payment-network-level capacity. Maintained by Sean Bowe, an early Zcash zero-knowledge cryptography contributor, and Dev Ojha, head of Valar Group, the client operates independently of the Zcash Foundation and is funded via private ZEC donations. Built on the Zcash Foundation’s Zebra client, the team provides an ~11GB blockchain snapshot, allowing new nodes to sync up in two minutes—an approximately 680x speed improvement. Its compatibility mode also replicates the legacy zcashd interface, enabling wallets and exchanges to continue operating after the original client’s maintenance ends on July 18. The team notes that Visa and Mastercard process over 50,000 transactions per second, a benchmark it has set as its minimum target. To reduce the verification burden of large-scale private transactions, Bowe’s Tachyon project is developing recursive proofs, which let nodes validate thousands of proofs with a single proof. Valar Group is building private information retrieval (PIR) technology, allowing wallets to access relevant transaction data without exposing their query content. Zakura is also testing a fast block propagation system that delivers new blocks to all nodes in half a second. Its upcoming testnet is the Ironwood upgrade, set to activate on the mainnet on July 28. Ironwood will use a "rotating door" mechanism to restrict inflows and outflows of the Orchard privacy pool, mitigating risks of fake ZEC entering circulation due to prior zero-knowledge proof vulnerabilities.
9 minutes ago
Moonshot (Kimi)’s technological breakthrough triggers sell-offs in AI stocks, with leveraged products amplifying market volatility.
According to Bloomberg, Chinese AI startup Moonshot has achieved an unexpected technological breakthrough, triggering sharp declines in global AI and semiconductor stocks on Friday and prompting markets to once again reference the 2025 "DeepSeek Moment". The semiconductor benchmark index has fallen roughly 20% from its June peak, entering a bear market; the triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL has dropped more than 50% over the same period. This sell-off demonstrates that when rapid advances in AI technology reshape market perceptions of winners and losers, leveraged ETFs, options, single-stock funds, and crypto-related products may be liquidated simultaneously. Bloomberg Intelligence data shows leveraged ETFs make up around 13% of U.S. ETF trading volume but only 1.2% of industry assets. When accounting for embedded leverage, their share of the U.S. stock market remains less than 1%. While these products are generally small in overall size, their holdings are concentrated in AI chips, volatile stocks, and newly listed firms. When leverage, concentration, and volatility rise at the same time, the funds' daily rebalancing turns them into active trading forces that further amplify existing market trends. The South Korean market offers a clear recent case: local retail investors have heavily purchased leveraged products tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and as market sentiment turned weak, the related funds were forced to sell an estimated tens of billions of dollars worth of SK Hynix positions.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
AI hot stocks like NVIDIA have seen increased volatility, with their relative volatility standing at 4 times that of the S&P 500 index.
The Kobeissi Letter stated in a post that the three-week volatility of U.S. momentum stocks relative to the S&P 500 index has surged to four times, hitting an all-time high. This ratio has more than quadrupled over the past several weeks. The momentum stock group includes high-growth tech stocks at the center of the AI boom, such as NVIDIA, AMD, Palantir, D-Wave Quantum, and CoreWeave. By comparison, the ratio peaked at around 2 times during the 2020 COVID-19 market crash and roughly 1.8 times during the dot-com bubble burst. The current level is significantly higher than those periods. Meanwhile, the U.S. momentum stock index has dropped 24% since July, marking its largest monthly decline since the 2008 financial crisis. The stocks that previously performed the strongest are quickly losing market favor.
9 minutes ago
Changxin Technology's IPO winning numbers have been released, totaling 7,702,207.
According to an announcement by Changxin Technology, the company’s initial public offering (IPO) and listing on the STAR Market has released its offline preliminary placement results and online lottery results. The offering price is RMB 8.66 per share, with an initial share offering size of approximately 6.688 billion shares. A total of 7,702,207 winning lottery numbers have been issued, and each winning number entitles holders to subscribe for 500 Changxin Technology A-shares.
9 minutes ago
Renowned trader closes all crypto short positions, resumes buying Bitcoin spot
Renowned crypto trader Doctor Profit announced in a post that he has closed all his cryptocurrency short positions, including Bitcoin shorts established in the $115,000–$125,000 range, another Bitcoin short in the $79,000–$82,000 range, and over 100 altcoin shorts opened in recent months, noting that all these positions have generated significant profits. He also said he has repurchased Bitcoin spot at $64,000, marking his first long-term allocation since September 2025. His plan is to invest 5% of his planned capital daily in spot Bitcoin purchases when the price is in the $54,000–$64,000 range, for up to 20 days total; if the price approaches $54,000, he will increase his buying activity. Doctor Profit pointed out that the current market is showing clear "herd behavior": investors who were previously bullish on Bitcoin up to $150,000 at high levels are now widely waiting for the cryptocurrency to drop to $40,000–$50,000, and are targeting September or October as the bottom of the four-year cycle. When a large number of investors are waiting for the same price level and time point, the market may not move as expected, so he chose to build positions in advance and judges that this cycle’s bottom may arrive earlier than the market’s general expectation. He also cited regulatory clarity, asset tokenization infrastructure, and progress in institutional adoption as the structural reasons for his shift to buying, and retracted his previous prediction that Bitcoin would fall to $40,000–$50,000. However, he still holds all his S&P 500 short positions, arguing that the crypto market has completed a large repricing, while U.S. stock valuations remain elevated.
9 minutes ago
Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush adds new launchpad filter options for Robinhood Chain-based projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr.
According to official announcements, Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush has added new launchpad filter options for Robinhood chain projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr, helping users discover more on-chain token opportunities. Users can now track tokens across BSC, Solana, ETH, Base, and Robinhood chains via Meme Rush, with a single feed to stay updated on multi-chain hotspots.
9 minutes ago
Zcash launches Zakura full node, aiming to boost its privacy transaction throughput to 50,000 per second.
Zcash has launched its new full-node client Zakura 1.0.0, the first implementation component aimed at scaling its private transaction throughput from the current ~1 transaction per second (TPS) to payment-network-level capacity. Maintained by Sean Bowe, an early Zcash zero-knowledge cryptography contributor, and Dev Ojha, head of Valar Group, the client operates independently of the Zcash Foundation and is funded via private ZEC donations. Built on the Zcash Foundation’s Zebra client, the team provides an ~11GB blockchain snapshot, allowing new nodes to sync up in two minutes—an approximately 680x speed improvement. Its compatibility mode also replicates the legacy zcashd interface, enabling wallets and exchanges to continue operating after the original client’s maintenance ends on July 18. The team notes that Visa and Mastercard process over 50,000 transactions per second, a benchmark it has set as its minimum target. To reduce the verification burden of large-scale private transactions, Bowe’s Tachyon project is developing recursive proofs, which let nodes validate thousands of proofs with a single proof. Valar Group is building private information retrieval (PIR) technology, allowing wallets to access relevant transaction data without exposing their query content. Zakura is also testing a fast block propagation system that delivers new blocks to all nodes in half a second. Its upcoming testnet is the Ironwood upgrade, set to activate on the mainnet on July 28. Ironwood will use a "rotating door" mechanism to restrict inflows and outflows of the Orchard privacy pool, mitigating risks of fake ZEC entering circulation due to prior zero-knowledge proof vulnerabilities.
9 minutes ago
Moonshot (Kimi)’s technological breakthrough triggers sell-offs in AI stocks, with leveraged products amplifying market volatility.
According to Bloomberg, Chinese AI startup Moonshot has achieved an unexpected technological breakthrough, triggering sharp declines in global AI and semiconductor stocks on Friday and prompting markets to once again reference the 2025 "DeepSeek Moment". The semiconductor benchmark index has fallen roughly 20% from its June peak, entering a bear market; the triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL has dropped more than 50% over the same period. This sell-off demonstrates that when rapid advances in AI technology reshape market perceptions of winners and losers, leveraged ETFs, options, single-stock funds, and crypto-related products may be liquidated simultaneously. Bloomberg Intelligence data shows leveraged ETFs make up around 13% of U.S. ETF trading volume but only 1.2% of industry assets. When accounting for embedded leverage, their share of the U.S. stock market remains less than 1%. While these products are generally small in overall size, their holdings are concentrated in AI chips, volatile stocks, and newly listed firms. When leverage, concentration, and volatility rise at the same time, the funds' daily rebalancing turns them into active trading forces that further amplify existing market trends. The South Korean market offers a clear recent case: local retail investors have heavily purchased leveraged products tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and as market sentiment turned weak, the related funds were forced to sell an estimated tens of billions of dollars worth of SK Hynix positions.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
Leonidas’ DOG Mode client has thrust Bitcoin’s long-running governance tussle back into the conversation, explicitly challenging default relay policies that determine which transactions get passed along the network. The move reopens a philosophical wound that never fully healed: does the network run on a free market, or does it operate under a set of enforced, community-chosen standards? According to the original report, DOG Mode refuses to play by the existing relay rulebook, a choice that could splinter mempool behavior and unsettle the assumptions miners and full nodes rely on every day.
Default relay policies are the unsung gatekeepers of Bitcoin’s transaction flow. They decide what gets propagated and what sits idle. Core client defaults filter out transactions that are too big, too dusty, or too non-standard. They also shape the fee market and influence miner extractable value. DOG Mode appears to strip away some of these filters, treating the mempool as an entirely open space. The implication is immediate: transactions that Core nodes would reject as spam or low-value would flow freely through DOG Mode peers, potentially forcing miners to consider them if economic incentives align.
The timing is notable. Bitcoin’s fee environment has become more volatile as institutional activity and on-chain assets like Ordinals and BRC-20 tokens compete for block space. A client that relaxes relay rules arrives just as some users feel squeezed out by high fees or arbitrary policy enforcement. Developer activity across blockchains remains high, yet debates about what constitutes valid transaction inclusion rarely reach protocol level. DOG Mode changes that, pushing the argument from social media threads to live node configuration.
The Philosophy Underneath Code At its core, DOG Mode isn’t just a software tweak. It’s a statement about who governs Bitcoin. Protocol defaults have always encoded norms, from block size limits to the shape of script validation. When a single client, Core, dominates 98% of nodes, its policies become the network’s policies by default. DOG Mode introduces client pluralism as a deliberate challenge, tapping into the older, libertarian strain of Bitcoin thought that fears invisible policy-setting as a form of censorship. Dropping relay filters resumes the argument that the network should transmit everything and let miners decide, not pre-screen based on taste.
Critics will note that open relay policies aren’t free of consequence. They can bloat mempools, increase orphan rates, and impose higher costs on nodes. Yet those costs might be worth bearing if the alternative is a permissioned transaction pipeline. The debate mirrors earlier fights over full-RBF and the use of replace-by-fee. In each case, a minority client forced the majority to confront whether defaults were features or accidents of history. Regulatory scrambles remind us that governance is fought on multiple fronts, but code-based governance bypasses legislative halls entirely.
What Remains Unclear The market doesn’t yet know whether miners will adopt DOG Mode or ignore it. A client is only as influential as the nodes and hashrate that run it. If a handful of non-mining nodes alter relay rules, the impact may be trivial. If mining pools adopt it, transaction selection could bifurcate quickly. A splintered mempool creates informational asymmetry, where different miners build on different transaction sets, potentially raising the risk of stale blocks and complicating fee estimation for users.
There’s also the question of economic nodes. Exchanges, payment processors, and custodians running Core defaults may not accept transactions that only propagate through DOG Mode peers, leaving some users in a confirmation limbo. That real-world friction would test whether the free-market argument holds up when money is on the line. Meanwhile, the narrative itself is a force. DOG Mode reminds the broader ecosystem that Bitcoin’s supposed ossification is always under tension, and new client experiments can emerge from anyone willing to write the code. Market infrastructure innovations elsewhere show that protocol rules are constantly being tested, but Bitcoin’s scale means even small policy shifts have outsized consequences.
For now, Leonidas’ move is a provocation in code form. It doesn’t attack the network; it simply refuses to enforce filters that many node operators didn’t actively choose. The debate it triggers will play out on mailing lists, in mining pools’ configuration files, and across block templates. Bitcoin’s governance has always been a messy, slow-motion affair. DOG Mode ensures it won’t be ignored.
AUTHOR
Kester is an experienced freelance content writer. His focus is primarily on blockchain technology and cryptocurrency. One might even refer to him as a "blockchain enthusiast." He has been following advancements in the crypto and blockchain area for several years, researching and writing his insights in the media. In addition to being a skilled content writer, Mushumir is also knowledgeable in SEO and digital marketing. He aspires to succeed as a content creator in the digital realm, dealing with customers in the finance and tech industries to generate traffic through engaging taglines and content. Mushumir enjoys traveling, reading, and playing cricket when he is not writing. He now works as a news and article writer for BlockchainReporter.
For more than fifteen years, a question has continued to fuel discussions in the cryptocurrency ecosystem: what really happened with Bitcoin and its creator, Satoshi Nakamoto? While debates around the BIP-110 proposal still divide the community, Adam Back revisited this enigma during an exchange on X. The Blockstream CEO believes that no conclusion can be drawn about the fate of Satoshi Nakamoto, recalling that the circulating hypotheses rely solely on speculation.
In brief Adam Back states that there is no evidence to confirm whether Satoshi Nakamoto is alive or deceased. The last known public message from Satoshi Nakamoto dates back to April 23, 2011, before his complete disappearance. Adam Back’s statements come as the controversial BIP-110 proposal divides the Bitcoin community. Satoshi Nakamoto’s identity and the fate of his bitcoins remain among the greatest mysteries of the crypto ecosystem. Bitcoin Is Still Tied to the Greatest Mystery Surrounding Its Creator At the time when discussions on Bitcoin network security intensify around the BIP-110 proposal, another historical question resurfaces: that of the fate of its creator. Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream, recently reacted to a post published on X about Satoshi Nakamoto. After supporting the project’s early stages, he abruptly left the public scene in April 2011. In his last known email, sent to developer Mike Hearn, he explained that he was dedicating himself to other projects and stated that Bitcoin’s development was in good hands.
Since that final message, no communication officially attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto has been made public. This absence has fueled numerous theories about his identity and fate. Some suggest that he has died, while others believe he simply chose to disappear permanently from public life. Adam Back reminds, however, that no concrete element today allows confirming either of these hypotheses.
Adam Back Dismisses Claims About Satoshi Nakamoto The discussion arose after a post by Matteo Pellegrini, CEO of Club Orange, who stated that “Satoshi Nakamoto would support the BIP-110 proposal today if he were still alive.” Adam Back immediately challenged this claim by replying that there is no evidence to assert that Bitcoin’s creator is deceased:
What makes you think he’s dead? unlikely, but possible; either way, pure speculation.
Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream. Source: X / @adam3us He even pointed out that this possibility remains conceivable, but impossible to prove with the available information.
Thus, the Blockstream leader summarized his position by explaining that “all hypotheses about the survival or death of Satoshi Nakamoto are solely speculation.” This stance comes as Back had already rejected the BIP-110 proposal, intended to temporarily limit non-financial data recorded on the Bitcoin blockchain. The proposal is to be examined before early August but currently enjoys limited support from miners.
Theories Persist Despite a Lack of Evidence Satoshi Nakamoto’s silence has now lasted about fifteen years. During this period, no transactions from addresses attributed to him have been identified. This situation fuels several scenarios, none of which can be confirmed. Some believe he destroyed the private keys granting access to his assets.
Another theory suggests that these bitcoins are still under his control, having not been moved since the network’s beginnings. Meanwhile, the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto remains unknown. Adam Back himself is sometimes cited as a potential candidate, notably because he was, along with Hal Finney, one of the first recipients of an email sent by Satoshi Nakamoto. His work on Hashcash, developed in 1997, is also mentioned due to its link to the proof-of-work mechanism used by Bitcoin.
The mystery surrounding Bitcoin and its creator therefore continues to fuel debates without providing a definitive answer. As long as no new evidence arises, different hypotheses should continue to coexist, while discussions about the legacy left by Satoshi Nakamoto will remain at the heart of the ecosystem’s news.
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Journaliste et rédacteur web passionné par l’univers des cryptomonnaies et des technologies Web3. J’y traite les dernières tendances et actualités afin de proposer un contenu de haute qualité à un large public du secteur.
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If BTC is to mimic its previous surge, it would rise above $500,000.
Bitcoin has managed to recover some ground from the early July drop to a multi-year low and now fights for $65,000. On the more macro scale, though, the asset has flashed a signal that preceded one of the most impressive rallies in its recent history.
Can it do it again now?
BTC to $500K and Beyond? The signal in question was the formation of a bullish RSI divergence on the weekly chart, as outlined by popular analyst Ali Martinez. It emerges when the asset’s price and its 14-period Relative Strength Index on a weekly chart move in the opposite direction, suggesting that the underlying trend is losing momentum.
According to Martinez, the last time this happened was four years ago during the 2022 bear cycle. At the time, BTC bottomed at around $16,000 before the next expansion phase began, culminating three years later in a new peak of over $126,000.
The subsequent correction since that October peak has driven the cryptocurrency south to around $60,000, where the bullish RSI divergence appeared. History is no indicator of future price performance, but it’s still fun to speculate that if bitcoin were to mimic its 2022-2025 rally precisely, it would skyrocket to over half a million dollars per unit.
The Right and Wrong Strategies Fellow analyst Altcoin Sherpa noted that the 200-EMA on the 4-hour chart had flipped for the first time in months, but BTC still needs to reclaim $65,000 to signal that the dip and bottom are in during this cycle.
Michaël van de Poppe spoke about when and how investors should consider (re-)entering the bitcoin ecosystem. He argued that many expect another leg down and a drop to $40,000 in the next few months and want to buy there. However, he asked what their plan B would be if that didn’t happen.
You may also like: Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Has Been Negative for 60 Days – Why It Matters Bitcoin’s Surprising Reaction to Trump’s Iran Threats and Rising US Margin Debt Will Crypto Markets Move When $1.2B Bitcoin Options Expire Today? “Most of those people will then be buying back at $90,000 per bitcoin. That, to me, is a stupid strategy to go for.”
Instead, he believes buying at current levels is such a “phenomenal opportunity” that investors should take advantage of and wait 2-5 years to fully enjoy the potential price appreciation. And, if BTC indeed dips to $40,000, that would be an “even extra opportunity,” but he wouldn’t rely blindly on such a scenario.
Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz expects BTC to consolidate between $60,000 and $80,000 for the remainder of the year, but a perfect storm of rate cuts, regulatory clarity, and renewed retail enthusiasm could change this.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz believes Bitcoin could climb to $100,000 if three key catalysts fall into place: the passage of U.S. crypto legislation, Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and a revival in investor demand.
During his appearance on the "Prof G Markets" podcast, the billionaire investor said he expects Bitcoin to remain in a relatively narrow trading range unless macroeconomic conditions improve.
"I think 60 is going to hold, and I think 80 is going to be a top. And if we can get through 80, then 100 is going to be a top," Novogratz said.
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He added that a move to six figures would require three specific developments.
"We would need [the] Clarity Act. We would need the Fed to cut rates. And we would need some buyer base to get reignited," he said.
Rising US debt and the Bitcoin thesis Recently, the U.S. national debt has climbed above $39.5 trillion, which is yet another rather grim milestone for fiscally conservative Americans.
The Galaxy Digital CEO reiterated his long-term conviction in the cryptocurrency in response to the aforementioned development.
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"This is why all portfolios still need some BTC," he wrote. "It really is inevitable."
Retail speculators are busy elsewhereNovogratz has acknowledged that the crypto market is currently experiencing a period of subdued enthusiasm.
He argued that much of its explosive growth used to be fueled by retail investors chasing life-changing returns instead of traditional investment performance.
"Crypto was a storytelling business," Novogratz said. "We told the story of how this is an important technology. It's going to change the way the world processes information, moves value around."
According to Novogratz, that speculative capital has since migrated into other fast-moving sectors, including artificial intelligence and high-growth tech.
"We've got sports betting and same-day options... Every young kid who used to buy Solana is buying Hynix or some memory company," he said.
This echoes recent comments made by Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer, who recently stated that fast money has essentially abandoned both Bitcoin and gold.
An established store of value Still, Novogratz believes Bitcoin has successfully transitioned into a recognized store-of-value asset with growing institutional adoption.
"Bitcoin is a story. It's if you trust me and I trust you; we trust this ecosystem. We're going to store our wealth there," he said.
The asset's investor base has become too large for its long-term thesis to unravel.
"I think Bitcoin probably holds 60,000. There's too many people who have bought into the Bitcoin story as its own store of value for it to go away," Novogratz said.
"The infrastructure of crypto is going to survive, be hardened, and thrive," he concluded.