Bitcoin continues with its gradual weekend climb and has neared $65,000 after bouncing from $63,700 yesterday.
Most larger-cap alts have remained still over the past 24 hours, which is why we will focus on their weekly moves, where ZEC, CRO, LTC, and ONDO stand out.
Can BTC Reclaim $65K? The previous weekend was also quite sluggish but slightly positive for BTC, as it stood at around $64,000 for 48 hours straight despite the new attacks between the US and Iran. However, the market finally priced in the skyrocketing tension on Monday morning with a painful dip to $61,800.
The softer-than-expected CPI numbers for June announced on Tuesday, though, were well received by BTC as the asset flew by several grand to $65,600 on Wednesday. This became its highest price tag in about three weeks.
However, it couldn’t keep the momentum going and crashed toward $62,000 once again on Thursday and Friday. Nevertheless, the bulls intercepted the move and didn’t allow another leg down. Instead, BTC recovered some ground to $64,000 yesterday and climbed to almost $65,000 earlier today. It still remains below that level, which has been categorized as key for its short-term price performance.
Bitcoin’s market capitalization has risen to almost $1.3 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the altcoins has rocketed to over 57%.
BTCUSD July 19. Source: TradingView Weekly Gainers and Losers Ethereum jumped to almost $1,950 earlier this week, and even though it has dropped by nearly $100 since then, it’s still 4.2% up since last Sunday. ZEC is the biggest gainer from the larger caps, gaining 9% to $560. LTC, ONDO, and CRO have posted impressive increases as well, up to 8% in the case of Crypto.com’s native token.
In contrast, HYPE has plunged by more than 9%. Nevertheless, it has defended the $60 support and now sits inches above it. BCH, CC, TAO, and AAVE have marked significant losses since last Sunday as well.
The total crypto market cap, though, has increased by approximately $60 billion since this time a week ago and now sits above $2.270 trillion on CG.
Cryptocurrency Market Overview July 19. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor has stepped up his opposition to Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 110, arguing that the temporary soft fork could weaken Bitcoin’s neutral base rules.
Summary
Saylor says BIP 110 risks Bitcoin neutrality by restricting transactions through new consensus-level protocol rules. BIP 110 would temporarily limit data-heavy transactions while leaving outputs created before activation entirely unaffected. Miner support remains near zero, while Saylor and Back warn disputed rules could divide Bitcoin. In an article titled “110 Reasons BIP 110 Is a Bad Idea,” Saylor said the network should not use consensus changes to decide which valid transactions deserve access to block space.
In Saylor’s article, he argued that Bitcoin cannot reliably determine why transaction data exists. He closed with the line: “Bitcoin does not need guardians of purity. It needs guardians of neutrality.”
Saylor challenges consensus restrictions on transaction data BIP 110, formally called the Reduced Data Temporary Softfork, would apply consensus rules for about one year. The official BIP 110 specification would restrict large data fields, limit OP_RETURN outputs to 83 bytes and cap payloads at 256 bytes. Outputs created before activation would remain exempt.
Supporters say the proposal would reduce arbitrary data storage and lower burdens on node operators. Saylor accepts that some inscriptions, tokens and files may have value or may be linked to harmful activity. However, he questions whether those concerns justify changing Bitcoin’s consensus rules to block transaction structures the network currently accepts.
Neutrality becomes the center of the BIP 110 debate Saylor’s argument focuses on the difference between transaction intent and transaction structure. He said the protocol cannot know whether data represents an image, proof, authentication record, contract or another future use. Under his view, miners, node operators and fee markets should handle disputed activity without imposing new base-layer restrictions.
The position follows an earlier clash over the proposal. Saylor and Blockstream co-founder Adam Back opposed BIP 110 and warned that enforcing disputed rules without broad support could create fork risks. Saylor previously called the proposal’s consensus precedent “extremely dangerous.”
Miner support remains a key test for BIP 110 BIP 110 uses a modified activation process that seeks support from 1,109 of 2,016 mined blocks, equal to 55%. Crypto.news reported on July 12 that miner signaling remained near zero, far below the threshold needed to lock in the proposed rules.
Bitcoin developer Luke Dashjr continues to support the proposal. As reported by crypto.news, Dashjr rejected calls to withdraw BIP 110 as debate grew over Ordinals, Runes and other data-heavy uses. Supporters argue that such activity increases storage demands and moves Bitcoin away from peer-to-peer money.
Saylor calls for slower change at Bitcoin’s base layer Saylor’s latest comments fit his broader view that Bitcoin should change cautiously. He has argued that the network’s value comes from predictable rules rather than frequent feature changes. His BIP 110 critique says policy tools, pruning, fee pricing and second-layer development offer alternatives for managing resource use without changing consensus.
The dispute also tests how Bitcoin reaches agreement when developers, miners, node operators and users disagree. As reported by crypto.news, Saylor described Bitcoin as a network where capital, node activity and mining power remain in balance. His latest position places neutrality at the center of that debate while BIP 110 moves toward its activation window.
AI hot stocks like NVIDIA have seen increased volatility, with their relative volatility standing at 4 times that of the S&P 500 index.
The Kobeissi Letter stated in a post that the three-week volatility of U.S. momentum stocks relative to the S&P 500 index has surged to four times, hitting an all-time high. This ratio has more than quadrupled over the past several weeks. The momentum stock group includes high-growth tech stocks at the center of the AI boom, such as NVIDIA, AMD, Palantir, D-Wave Quantum, and CoreWeave. By comparison, the ratio peaked at around 2 times during the 2020 COVID-19 market crash and roughly 1.8 times during the dot-com bubble burst. The current level is significantly higher than those periods. Meanwhile, the U.S. momentum stock index has dropped 24% since July, marking its largest monthly decline since the 2008 financial crisis. The stocks that previously performed the strongest are quickly losing market favor.
9 minutes ago
Changxin Technology's IPO winning numbers have been released, totaling 7,702,207.
According to an announcement by Changxin Technology, the company’s initial public offering (IPO) and listing on the STAR Market has released its offline preliminary placement results and online lottery results. The offering price is RMB 8.66 per share, with an initial share offering size of approximately 6.688 billion shares. A total of 7,702,207 winning lottery numbers have been issued, and each winning number entitles holders to subscribe for 500 Changxin Technology A-shares.
9 minutes ago
Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush adds new launchpad filter options for Robinhood Chain-based projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr.
According to official announcements, Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush has added new launchpad filter options for Robinhood chain projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr, helping users discover more on-chain token opportunities. Users can now track tokens across BSC, Solana, ETH, Base, and Robinhood chains via Meme Rush, with a single feed to stay updated on multi-chain hotspots.
9 minutes ago
Zcash launches Zakura full node, aiming to boost its privacy transaction throughput to 50,000 per second.
Zcash has launched its new full-node client Zakura 1.0.0, the first implementation component aimed at scaling its private transaction throughput from the current ~1 transaction per second (TPS) to payment-network-level capacity. Maintained by Sean Bowe, an early Zcash zero-knowledge cryptography contributor, and Dev Ojha, head of Valar Group, the client operates independently of the Zcash Foundation and is funded via private ZEC donations. Built on the Zcash Foundation’s Zebra client, the team provides an ~11GB blockchain snapshot, allowing new nodes to sync up in two minutes—an approximately 680x speed improvement. Its compatibility mode also replicates the legacy zcashd interface, enabling wallets and exchanges to continue operating after the original client’s maintenance ends on July 18. The team notes that Visa and Mastercard process over 50,000 transactions per second, a benchmark it has set as its minimum target. To reduce the verification burden of large-scale private transactions, Bowe’s Tachyon project is developing recursive proofs, which let nodes validate thousands of proofs with a single proof. Valar Group is building private information retrieval (PIR) technology, allowing wallets to access relevant transaction data without exposing their query content. Zakura is also testing a fast block propagation system that delivers new blocks to all nodes in half a second. Its upcoming testnet is the Ironwood upgrade, set to activate on the mainnet on July 28. Ironwood will use a "rotating door" mechanism to restrict inflows and outflows of the Orchard privacy pool, mitigating risks of fake ZEC entering circulation due to prior zero-knowledge proof vulnerabilities.
9 minutes ago
Moonshot (Kimi)’s technological breakthrough triggers sell-offs in AI stocks, with leveraged products amplifying market volatility.
According to Bloomberg, Chinese AI startup Moonshot has achieved an unexpected technological breakthrough, triggering sharp declines in global AI and semiconductor stocks on Friday and prompting markets to once again reference the 2025 "DeepSeek Moment". The semiconductor benchmark index has fallen roughly 20% from its June peak, entering a bear market; the triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL has dropped more than 50% over the same period. This sell-off demonstrates that when rapid advances in AI technology reshape market perceptions of winners and losers, leveraged ETFs, options, single-stock funds, and crypto-related products may be liquidated simultaneously. Bloomberg Intelligence data shows leveraged ETFs make up around 13% of U.S. ETF trading volume but only 1.2% of industry assets. When accounting for embedded leverage, their share of the U.S. stock market remains less than 1%. While these products are generally small in overall size, their holdings are concentrated in AI chips, volatile stocks, and newly listed firms. When leverage, concentration, and volatility rise at the same time, the funds' daily rebalancing turns them into active trading forces that further amplify existing market trends. The South Korean market offers a clear recent case: local retail investors have heavily purchased leveraged products tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and as market sentiment turned weak, the related funds were forced to sell an estimated tens of billions of dollars worth of SK Hynix positions.
9 minutes ago
Mizuho downgrades Circle to Underperform, cuts its target price to $50
According to Bloomberg, Circle’s stock price has fallen more than 75% from its post-IPO high last year. Dan Dolev, an analyst at Mizuho Securities USA, downgraded Circle this week from "Neutral" to "Underperform", setting a Wall Street-low target price of $50, which implies roughly 18% downside from Thursday’s closing price, well below the average analyst target of $123 tracked by Bloomberg. Dolev argues Circle faces rising competition risks in the stablecoin space. Over 100 fintech firms, payment networks, crypto companies and banks, including Visa, Stripe, Coinbase and BlackRock, are backing the Open Standard project, which will issue OUSD. Circle’s stock fell 7.7% on Thursday, the same day Visa launched a stablecoin issuance, transfer and management platform for financial institutions. Circle generates most of its revenue from interest on USDC’s reserve assets, while new stablecoin initiatives like OUSD plan to share reserve returns with partners and charge lower management fees. Dolev says this business model could draw partners away from Circle, intensifying pricing and margin pressure on the firm. He projects Circle’s adjusted EBITDA for 2027 will hit $699 million, below the consensus market estimate of $907 million. He also noted that Circle and Coinbase’s USDC distribution agreement is set to be renegotiated in August, with Coinbase likely to leverage competitive pressure from OUSD to secure a higher revenue split.
PANews July 19 news, crypto trader Doctor Profit posted that he has closed all cryptocurrency short positions. Including Bitcoin shorts established in the $115,000–$125,000 range, another Bitcoin short established in the $79,000–$82,000 range, and over 100 altcoin shorts opened over the past few months, stating that all the above positions were profitable. At the same time, he has re-entered spot Bitcoin at $64,000. As long as BTC remains within the $54,000–$64,000 range, he will buy spot daily with 5% of allocated funds (executed for up to 20 days); if the price approaches $54,000, he will increase buying intensity.
Doctor Profit believes that the behavior of most people waiting for September–October as the bottom of the four-year cycle is “herd behavior,” and the bottom may arrive early and will not give those waiting a perfect low. Furthermore, the Clarity Act, tokenization infrastructure, institutional adoption, large institutional capital inflows, and so on—the macro environment has fundamentally changed. Regarding U.S. stocks, Doctor Profit has retained all short positions in the S&P 500 index. He believes that Bitcoin and the stock market are not the same trade, and they are in different cycle phases. The crypto bear market began in October 2025 and lasted nine months, while the stock market remained firm throughout. Cryptocurrency prices have been repriced, while the stock market remains overvalued.
XRP stands next to BTC in this very prestigious list.
A recent report by CoinGecko found that Ripple’s cross-border token is the only cryptocurrency besides the market leader to remain among the largest 10 cryptocurrencies every year for a decade.
This came despite the asset’s ups and downs, some of which pushed it to new lows.
XRP Remains in Top 10 Before we delved deeper into the report, we have a confession to make. It’s not really a new report. It actually came out over a month ago, but we somehow missed it. Nevertheless, we still think it’s a fun Sunday morning read, so here we go.
CoinGecko outlined that the cryptocurrency market has changed almost beyond recognition since 2014. Hundreds of projects entered and fell out of the spotlight, as former industry heavyweights, such as Peercoin, Namecoin, NXT, Dash, EOS, and Litecoin, all spent years among the top 10 elite before eventually falling out.
This is not the case with Ripple’s XRP, though. The report analyzed annual market-cap snapshots between 2014 and 2026 and found that XRP is the only cryptocurrency (besides Bitcoin) to remain inside the industry’s top 10 every single year. This streak spans 13 consecutive years and, unless there’s a major collapse in 2026, is likely to close its 14th year soon.
Ripple (XRP) Inside Top 10 Alts for 13+ Years. Source: CoinGecko The asset managed to remain in the top through the painful 2018 bear market, the COVID-19 crash, the Terra collapse, the FTX bankruptcy, and perhaps most impressively, Ripple’s years-long battle with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. This was particularly threatening as XRP was delisted from countless exchanges after the SEC’s offensive began, and it tumbled hard immediately.
Meanwhile, Ripple’s token recently celebrated a one-year anniversary since its all-time high of $3.65 was marked last July. However, it has dumped by 70% since then.
You may also like: Binance XRP Reserves at Lowest Since February as Ripple Price Defends Key Support Could Japan Become XRP’s Biggest Growth Market? Here’s Why the Odds Are Rising Ripple Lands Major XRP Partnership as Garlinghouse Shares Rare Personal Moment Different Crypto Market BTC and XRP remaining within the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap for about a decade is among the very few constants. Everything else, the report said, has changed to its core. For example, bitcoin’s market share accounted for roughly 87% in 2014. Now, it’s under 57% on CoinGecko.
Stablecoins have become a permanent fixture within the top 10 and 20 alts, while exchange tokens like BNB have established themselves alongside traditional layer-1 networks.
This year also marked another milestone when Hyperliquid’s HYPE became only the second DeFi project ever to enter the top 10, overtaking Dogecoin.
Since falling below $1,900, Ethereum has faced rising bearish pressure. The altcoin extended its decline to $1,800.
At press time, ETH traded around $1,843 after gaining 0.35% over 24 hours. It remained up 2% weekly.
With Ethereum struggling to maintain upward momentum, some whales appeared to be reducing their exposure.
Why did this whale sell 30K ETH? Ethereum [ETH] whales showed signs of increased distribution amid prolonged market weakness.
Onchain Lens reported that one whale sold 30,000 ETH worth $55 million through Galaxy Digital’s over-the-counter desk. The wallet exchanged the ETH for USDC before depositing the funds into Coinbase.
The transaction indicated that this wallet exited its ETH position. However, one sale could not define wider market confidence.
Source: Swiss whale intelligence Interestingly, this whale was not alone. Over the past week, 188 Ethereum whales shifted toward distribution, offloading 462,631 ETH.
By contrast, 167 whales moved toward accumulation and purchased 448,638 ETH, according to Swiss Whale Intelligence.
Therefore, distribution exceeded accumulation by 13,993 ETH, revealing a modest imbalance rather than aggressive whale capitulation.
Over 30 days, 661 Ethereum whales reportedly shifted toward selling. However, the dataset lacked a comparable accumulation figure.
Source: CryptoQuant That selling also appeared in exchange activity, as Exchange Netflow turned positive after remaining negative for three days.
Exchange Netflow reached 3,100 ETH at press time, indicating that inflows exceeded outflows. Higher exchange inflows could increase the supply available for immediate sale, adding pressure to ETH’s recovery.
Can ETH withstand whale pressure? Ethereum struggled to maintain upward momentum as whale distribution increased.
Even so, technical indicators retained a bullish bias despite ETH’s weak price action. The Aroon Up stood at 78, above the Aroon Down reading of 28. This indicated that ETH had recorded a recent high more recently than its latest low.
Source: TradingView The MACD also maintained an upward trajectory and reached 35, supporting the remaining bullish momentum.
Together, these indicators suggested that sellers had not secured complete control despite rising whale distribution. If selling intensifies, ETH could fall toward $1,700. However, absorbing that supply may help bulls reclaim $1,900.
Final Summary One whale sold 30,000 ETH worth $55 million through Galaxy Digital’s over-the-counter desk. Whale distribution narrowly exceeded accumulation, while technical indicators retained a bullish bias.
Someone with very deep pockets just made a very loud bet on Ethereum. Whale wallets sold 72 Bitcoin and immediately plowed into a 20x leveraged long position on 12,000 ETH, a trade that screams conviction about where they think ETH is headed relative to BTC.
The activity, flagged on Hypurrscan, points to Hyperliquid as the likely venue for these trades. For a platform that has become the go-to destination for high-leverage perpetual futures, this kind of size is notable but not entirely surprising. What makes it interesting is the directional clarity: this isn’t a hedge. It’s a rotation.
Breaking down the trade A whale, or possibly a cluster of related wallets, liquidated 72 BTC and redeployed that capital into a 20x leveraged long position on 12,000 ETH. For every dollar of actual collateral they put up, they’re controlling twenty dollars’ worth of Ethereum exposure.
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A 20x position means the liquidation threshold sits somewhere around a 3-5% adverse price move. If ETH drops by that margin from the entry price, the entire position gets wiped.
The size matters too. 12,000 ETH worth of exposure at 20x leverage represents a notional position that could meaningfully shift open interest in ETH perpetual futures on Hyperliquid. When positions this large enter the market, they tend to influence funding rates, which in turn can create incentive structures that pull other traders in the same direction.
The BTC-to-ETH rotation playbook On-chain analytics firms like Lookonchain have been tracking similar rotations throughout 2025, where large holders dump BTC to finance leveraged ETH positions, or occasionally do the reverse.
The pattern typically emerges when whale traders believe the ETH/BTC ratio is about to shift. Rather than simply going long on Ethereum, they actively sell Bitcoin to fund the trade, which creates selling pressure on BTC while simultaneously adding buying pressure (via leverage) on ETH.
What this means for investors The immediate impact is on funding rates. When large leveraged longs enter the perpetual futures market, they push funding rates positive, meaning long holders pay short holders to maintain their positions.
The second-order effect is on liquidation cascades. A 20x leveraged position on 12,000 ETH is a big target. If the price moves against the whale, the forced liquidation would dump a substantial amount of sell pressure into the market all at once, potentially triggering a chain reaction that catches other leveraged longs in the blast radius.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
AI hot stocks like NVIDIA have seen increased volatility, with their relative volatility standing at 4 times that of the S&P 500 index.
The Kobeissi Letter stated in a post that the three-week volatility of U.S. momentum stocks relative to the S&P 500 index has surged to four times, hitting an all-time high. This ratio has more than quadrupled over the past several weeks. The momentum stock group includes high-growth tech stocks at the center of the AI boom, such as NVIDIA, AMD, Palantir, D-Wave Quantum, and CoreWeave. By comparison, the ratio peaked at around 2 times during the 2020 COVID-19 market crash and roughly 1.8 times during the dot-com bubble burst. The current level is significantly higher than those periods. Meanwhile, the U.S. momentum stock index has dropped 24% since July, marking its largest monthly decline since the 2008 financial crisis. The stocks that previously performed the strongest are quickly losing market favor.
4 minutes ago
Changxin Technology's IPO winning numbers have been released, totaling 7,702,207.
According to an announcement by Changxin Technology, the company’s initial public offering (IPO) and listing on the STAR Market has released its offline preliminary placement results and online lottery results. The offering price is RMB 8.66 per share, with an initial share offering size of approximately 6.688 billion shares. A total of 7,702,207 winning lottery numbers have been issued, and each winning number entitles holders to subscribe for 500 Changxin Technology A-shares.
4 minutes ago
Renowned trader closes all crypto short positions, resumes buying Bitcoin spot
Renowned crypto trader Doctor Profit announced in a post that he has closed all his cryptocurrency short positions, including Bitcoin shorts established in the $115,000–$125,000 range, another Bitcoin short in the $79,000–$82,000 range, and over 100 altcoin shorts opened in recent months, noting that all these positions have generated significant profits. He also said he has repurchased Bitcoin spot at $64,000, marking his first long-term allocation since September 2025. His plan is to invest 5% of his planned capital daily in spot Bitcoin purchases when the price is in the $54,000–$64,000 range, for up to 20 days total; if the price approaches $54,000, he will increase his buying activity. Doctor Profit pointed out that the current market is showing clear "herd behavior": investors who were previously bullish on Bitcoin up to $150,000 at high levels are now widely waiting for the cryptocurrency to drop to $40,000–$50,000, and are targeting September or October as the bottom of the four-year cycle. When a large number of investors are waiting for the same price level and time point, the market may not move as expected, so he chose to build positions in advance and judges that this cycle’s bottom may arrive earlier than the market’s general expectation. He also cited regulatory clarity, asset tokenization infrastructure, and progress in institutional adoption as the structural reasons for his shift to buying, and retracted his previous prediction that Bitcoin would fall to $40,000–$50,000. However, he still holds all his S&P 500 short positions, arguing that the crypto market has completed a large repricing, while U.S. stock valuations remain elevated.
4 minutes ago
Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush adds new launchpad filter options for Robinhood Chain-based projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr.
According to official announcements, Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush has added new launchpad filter options for Robinhood chain projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr, helping users discover more on-chain token opportunities. Users can now track tokens across BSC, Solana, ETH, Base, and Robinhood chains via Meme Rush, with a single feed to stay updated on multi-chain hotspots.
4 minutes ago
Zcash launches Zakura full node, aiming to boost its privacy transaction throughput to 50,000 per second.
Zcash has launched its new full-node client Zakura 1.0.0, the first implementation component aimed at scaling its private transaction throughput from the current ~1 transaction per second (TPS) to payment-network-level capacity. Maintained by Sean Bowe, an early Zcash zero-knowledge cryptography contributor, and Dev Ojha, head of Valar Group, the client operates independently of the Zcash Foundation and is funded via private ZEC donations. Built on the Zcash Foundation’s Zebra client, the team provides an ~11GB blockchain snapshot, allowing new nodes to sync up in two minutes—an approximately 680x speed improvement. Its compatibility mode also replicates the legacy zcashd interface, enabling wallets and exchanges to continue operating after the original client’s maintenance ends on July 18. The team notes that Visa and Mastercard process over 50,000 transactions per second, a benchmark it has set as its minimum target. To reduce the verification burden of large-scale private transactions, Bowe’s Tachyon project is developing recursive proofs, which let nodes validate thousands of proofs with a single proof. Valar Group is building private information retrieval (PIR) technology, allowing wallets to access relevant transaction data without exposing their query content. Zakura is also testing a fast block propagation system that delivers new blocks to all nodes in half a second. Its upcoming testnet is the Ironwood upgrade, set to activate on the mainnet on July 28. Ironwood will use a "rotating door" mechanism to restrict inflows and outflows of the Orchard privacy pool, mitigating risks of fake ZEC entering circulation due to prior zero-knowledge proof vulnerabilities.
4 minutes ago
Moonshot (Kimi)’s technological breakthrough triggers sell-offs in AI stocks, with leveraged products amplifying market volatility.
According to Bloomberg, Chinese AI startup Moonshot has achieved an unexpected technological breakthrough, triggering sharp declines in global AI and semiconductor stocks on Friday and prompting markets to once again reference the 2025 "DeepSeek Moment". The semiconductor benchmark index has fallen roughly 20% from its June peak, entering a bear market; the triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL has dropped more than 50% over the same period. This sell-off demonstrates that when rapid advances in AI technology reshape market perceptions of winners and losers, leveraged ETFs, options, single-stock funds, and crypto-related products may be liquidated simultaneously. Bloomberg Intelligence data shows leveraged ETFs make up around 13% of U.S. ETF trading volume but only 1.2% of industry assets. When accounting for embedded leverage, their share of the U.S. stock market remains less than 1%. While these products are generally small in overall size, their holdings are concentrated in AI chips, volatile stocks, and newly listed firms. When leverage, concentration, and volatility rise at the same time, the funds' daily rebalancing turns them into active trading forces that further amplify existing market trends. The South Korean market offers a clear recent case: local retail investors have heavily purchased leveraged products tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and as market sentiment turned weak, the related funds were forced to sell an estimated tens of billions of dollars worth of SK Hynix positions.
TRON (TRX) is maintaining positive momentum, supported by strong market sentiment and new moves by Tron Inc. The company, which manages development and growth for the TRON blockchain ecosystem, has increased its TRX treasury, signaling an ongoing commitment to supporting the project’s long-term goals.
TRX price stability and bullish forecastAs of the latest data, TRX is trading at $0.3253, with a 24-hour volume of $376.02 million and a market capitalization standing at $30.86 billion. Over the past day, price action has remained stable, with technical indicators and institutional buying activity suggesting potential for a bullish reversal in the short term.
Price predictions from analytics platform CoinCodex point to a continued rally for TRON. The platform forecasts that TRX could climb to $0.3518 in the next 30 days. If realized, this target would represent an 8.83% increase from its current value, highlighting optimism among market observers for renewed upward momentum, provided overall crypto market conditions remain favorable.
CoinCodex expects TRX to reach $0.3518 within 30 days, which would mark an 8.83% gain from current levels, contingent upon persistent positive sentiment and supportive market dynamics.
The outlook reflects careful monitoring from both investors and analysts, as the broader crypto market exhibits signs of recovery. Still, experts caution that forecasts are based on historical data and should be interpreted in the context of ongoing market volatility.
Tron Inc. expands digital asset treasuryTron Inc. has confirmed the expansion of its TRX treasury holdings through the recent acquisition of 153,993 TRX tokens, purchased at an average price of $0.3247 per token. With this addition, the company now holds over 705.6 million TRX tokens, underscoring a strategy centered on long-term digital asset accumulation and ecosystem stability.
Company representatives have stated that maintaining and growing the TRON Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) remains a critical goal. By steadily increasing its TRX reserves, Tron Inc. seeks to generate value for shareholders and position itself to capture future growth opportunities within the digital asset sector.
Mini dictionary: Tron Inc. is the core company responsible for development and strategic decisions related to the TRON blockchain platform, overseeing its operations, treasury management, and ecosystem expansion.
The company continues to acquire TRX tokens as part of its capital strategy, aiming to reinforce the ecosystem and create enduring value as blockchain adoption evolves.
MetricCurrent Value30-Day ForecastChange (%)TRX Price$0.3253$0.3518+8.83%TRX Treasury (tokens)705,600,000+Continued growth expectedN/AMarket dynamics and future outlookBroader market trends also contribute to the positive sentiment around TRX. As Bitcoin and other leading cryptocurrencies demonstrate recovery, TRON’s technical structure and recent institutional buying add weight to expectations for further upside.
TRX’s ability to sustain this trend and move past resistance levels will remain central to its near-term prospects. Increased demand from institutional holders, coupled with a favorable market climate, may support attempts to reach and surpass the projected target price.
Despite encouraging forecasts, participants are reminded that price predictions rely on analysis of historical performance and do not guarantee future outcomes. The volatile nature of digital asset markets means that rapid shifts remain possible.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Binance Coin (BNB) is holding a steady position as buyers protect a key support level, maintaining a cautiously optimistic outlook on the asset. Traders are watching for a decisive breakout that would confirm further upward momentum for BNB’s price.
BNB faces resistance ahead of potential price rallyBNB is currently priced at $571.09. Over the past 24 hours, the token recorded a trading volume of $836.62 million and achieved a market capitalization of $76.04 billion.
Crypto analyst Umair Orakzai observed that BNB’s recent recovery aligns with previously noted liquidity areas of interest. The token climbed by approximately 2% from its support zone, indicating increased buying activity. However, he also noted that the recent bounce did not produce a strong bullish candle close, suggesting cautious optimism persists among market participants.
The price is expected to encounter significant resistance at $581.87. If BNB moves above this level, it could trigger renewed bullish sentiment, potentially driving the token toward $600 and possibly up to $700. If the resistance holds, downside risks may increase as sellers could regain control.
Market observers emphasize that BNB must surpass the $581.87 resistance level to sustain its upward momentum and target higher price points such as $600 and $700.
BNB’s current technical structure supports a conservative outlook until confirmation of a strong breakout is observed.
LevelPriceImplicationCurrent price$571.09Above key supportResistance$581.87Breakout point for bullish reversalTarget range$600 – $700Potential rally targets if resistance breaksTokenized Hong Kong stocks debut on BNB Chain via Stove ProtocolStove Protocol, a decentralized platform specializing in asset tokenization, recently launched tokenized versions of Hong Kong-listed stocks on the BNB Chain. This move gives users the ability to access and invest in Hong Kong equities directly within the blockchain ecosystem, effectively bridging the gap between conventional finance and decentralized markets.
BNB Chain, developed by Binance to support decentralized applications and smart contracts, expands its real-world asset offerings with this new integration. Users now have an on-chain pathway to global stock markets without leaving the broader blockchain environment.
The listing demonstrates growing demand for tokenized assets, reflecting the broader market’s push to merge traditional financial instruments with emerging decentralized platforms.
Mini dictionary: Stove Protocol is a decentralized platform focused on tokenizing real-world assets such as traditional stocks, giving blockchain users a way to invest in legacy market instruments via on-chain solutions.
Together with rising adoption of tokenization and strong technical support levels, BNB may benefit in the long run from the convergence of these financial ecosystems.
With tokenized Hong Kong stocks available through Stove Protocol on BNB Chain, the platform is expanding investment opportunities for blockchain users and strengthening its appeal as a hub for real-world assets.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
BNB Chain has become the largest blockchain for assets tracked under Franklin Templeton’s Benji tokenization platform, with about $1.5 billion recorded on the network.
Summary
BNB Chain now hosts $1.5 billion of Franklin Templeton Benji platform assets, leading all networks. RWA.xyz data shows BNB Chain holds 61.71%, while Stellar has fallen to second place overall. Franklin Templeton keeps expanding tokenized finance through Kraken, MoonPay, Binance, and multiple public blockchains globally. The figure represents 61.71% of the platform’s distributed asset value, according to RWA.xyz data cited byBNB Chain.
The milestone marks a sharp change in the platform’s network distribution. BNB Chain holdings rose 1,226% over the past month, moving ahead of Stellar, which previously held the largest share. The data refers to the wider Benji platform rather than only the standalone BENJI tokenized money market fund.
BNB Chain takes the largest share of Benji assets RWA.xyz lists Franklin Templeton’s Benji platform with about $2.44 billion in distributed assets as of July 18. BNB Chain accounts for roughly $1.5 billion of that total. Stellar follows with about $573.4 million, while Ethereum holds around $159.1 million.
$1.5B of Franklin Templeton (@FTDA_US) Benji Investments now sits on BNB Chain.
This establishes BNB Chain as the leading blockchain ecosystem for tokenized products of one of the world’s largest asset managers. pic.twitter.com/edFVfqqnpR
— BNB Chain (@BNBCHAIN) July 17, 2026 Base, Arbitrum, Avalanche, Polygon and Aptos hold smaller amounts. The shift follows Franklin Templeton’s decision to bring its Benji Technology Platform to BNB Chain in 2025. The integration allowed the asset manager to use BNB Chain for transactions and ownership records tied to tokenized financial products.
RWA.xyz separately lists the BENJI asset at about $734.3 million, showing why the platform and fund figures should not be treated as identical. The broader platform includes multiple tokenized products, while BENJI represents one share of the Franklin OnChain U.S. Government Money Fund for investors.
Stellar remains central to Franklin Templeton’s tokenization history Franklin Templeton launched its blockchain-based money market fund on Stellar in 2021. The product became an early example of a U.S.-registered mutual fund using public blockchain technology to process transactions and maintain share ownership records.
Crypto analyst ALLINCRYPTO said Stellar provided the early foundation before Franklin Templeton expanded its tokenization strategy across more networks. However, current RWA.xyz data shows that BNB Chain now holds the largest share of assets tracked across the broader Benji platform. The data does not show how much of the recent increase came from new issuance compared with assets moved between networks.
Franklin Templeton’s $1.5B BENJI fund is expanding to BNB Chain@StellarOrg will remain as the foundation that proved the model, but BENJI is turning into a multi-chain giant.
It just shows tokenised finance is scaling fast and $XLM helped lead the way. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/E1XyQE88Zp
— ALLINCRYPTO (@RealAllinCrypto) July 18, 2026 Franklin Templeton expands BENJI access across crypto platforms Franklin Templeton has also expanded the use of its tokenized products through major crypto companies. As reported by crypto.news, the firm added BENJI to MoonPay Trade in June, allowing eligible institutional clients to move between stablecoins and tokenized fund products through an onchain trading system.
The asset manager also partnered with Kraken parent Payward to integrate BENJI as a collateral and cash management tool. As reported by crypto.news, the partnership also covers plans to develop more tokenized investment products. A separate Franklin Templeton and Binance arrangement allows eligible institutions to use tokenized money market fund shares as off-exchange collateral.
Tokenized finance gains wider institutional distribution Franklin Templeton’s multi-chain strategy comes as more traditional financial firms use public blockchains to distribute regulated investment products. The company has expanded its tokenization work across several networks while also developing new products and distribution partnerships.
As reported by crypto.news, Franklin Templeton has also worked with Ondo Finance on tokenized ETFs designed for round-the-clock wallet-based trading outside the United States. The latest BNB Chain data shows how quickly blockchain distribution can change as issuers add new networks and institutional access points.
For now, BNB Chain leads Franklin Templeton’s broader Benji platform by distributed value, while Stellar remains the network where the firm began its public blockchain fund strategy.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
Changxin Technology's IPO winning numbers have been released, totaling 7,702,207.
According to an announcement by Changxin Technology, the company’s initial public offering (IPO) and listing on the STAR Market has released its offline preliminary placement results and online lottery results. The offering price is RMB 8.66 per share, with an initial share offering size of approximately 6.688 billion shares. A total of 7,702,207 winning lottery numbers have been issued, and each winning number entitles holders to subscribe for 500 Changxin Technology A-shares.
4 minutes ago
Renowned trader closes all crypto short positions, resumes buying Bitcoin spot
Renowned crypto trader Doctor Profit announced in a post that he has closed all his cryptocurrency short positions, including Bitcoin shorts established in the $115,000–$125,000 range, another Bitcoin short in the $79,000–$82,000 range, and over 100 altcoin shorts opened in recent months, noting that all these positions have generated significant profits. He also said he has repurchased Bitcoin spot at $64,000, marking his first long-term allocation since September 2025. His plan is to invest 5% of his planned capital daily in spot Bitcoin purchases when the price is in the $54,000–$64,000 range, for up to 20 days total; if the price approaches $54,000, he will increase his buying activity. Doctor Profit pointed out that the current market is showing clear "herd behavior": investors who were previously bullish on Bitcoin up to $150,000 at high levels are now widely waiting for the cryptocurrency to drop to $40,000–$50,000, and are targeting September or October as the bottom of the four-year cycle. When a large number of investors are waiting for the same price level and time point, the market may not move as expected, so he chose to build positions in advance and judges that this cycle’s bottom may arrive earlier than the market’s general expectation. He also cited regulatory clarity, asset tokenization infrastructure, and progress in institutional adoption as the structural reasons for his shift to buying, and retracted his previous prediction that Bitcoin would fall to $40,000–$50,000. However, he still holds all his S&P 500 short positions, arguing that the crypto market has completed a large repricing, while U.S. stock valuations remain elevated.
4 minutes ago
Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush adds new launchpad filter options for Robinhood Chain-based projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr.
According to official announcements, Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush has added new launchpad filter options for Robinhood chain projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr, helping users discover more on-chain token opportunities. Users can now track tokens across BSC, Solana, ETH, Base, and Robinhood chains via Meme Rush, with a single feed to stay updated on multi-chain hotspots.
4 minutes ago
Zcash launches Zakura full node, aiming to boost its privacy transaction throughput to 50,000 per second.
Zcash has launched its new full-node client Zakura 1.0.0, the first implementation component aimed at scaling its private transaction throughput from the current ~1 transaction per second (TPS) to payment-network-level capacity. Maintained by Sean Bowe, an early Zcash zero-knowledge cryptography contributor, and Dev Ojha, head of Valar Group, the client operates independently of the Zcash Foundation and is funded via private ZEC donations. Built on the Zcash Foundation’s Zebra client, the team provides an ~11GB blockchain snapshot, allowing new nodes to sync up in two minutes—an approximately 680x speed improvement. Its compatibility mode also replicates the legacy zcashd interface, enabling wallets and exchanges to continue operating after the original client’s maintenance ends on July 18. The team notes that Visa and Mastercard process over 50,000 transactions per second, a benchmark it has set as its minimum target. To reduce the verification burden of large-scale private transactions, Bowe’s Tachyon project is developing recursive proofs, which let nodes validate thousands of proofs with a single proof. Valar Group is building private information retrieval (PIR) technology, allowing wallets to access relevant transaction data without exposing their query content. Zakura is also testing a fast block propagation system that delivers new blocks to all nodes in half a second. Its upcoming testnet is the Ironwood upgrade, set to activate on the mainnet on July 28. Ironwood will use a "rotating door" mechanism to restrict inflows and outflows of the Orchard privacy pool, mitigating risks of fake ZEC entering circulation due to prior zero-knowledge proof vulnerabilities.
4 minutes ago
Moonshot (Kimi)’s technological breakthrough triggers sell-offs in AI stocks, with leveraged products amplifying market volatility.
According to Bloomberg, Chinese AI startup Moonshot has achieved an unexpected technological breakthrough, triggering sharp declines in global AI and semiconductor stocks on Friday and prompting markets to once again reference the 2025 "DeepSeek Moment". The semiconductor benchmark index has fallen roughly 20% from its June peak, entering a bear market; the triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL has dropped more than 50% over the same period. This sell-off demonstrates that when rapid advances in AI technology reshape market perceptions of winners and losers, leveraged ETFs, options, single-stock funds, and crypto-related products may be liquidated simultaneously. Bloomberg Intelligence data shows leveraged ETFs make up around 13% of U.S. ETF trading volume but only 1.2% of industry assets. When accounting for embedded leverage, their share of the U.S. stock market remains less than 1%. While these products are generally small in overall size, their holdings are concentrated in AI chips, volatile stocks, and newly listed firms. When leverage, concentration, and volatility rise at the same time, the funds' daily rebalancing turns them into active trading forces that further amplify existing market trends. The South Korean market offers a clear recent case: local retail investors have heavily purchased leveraged products tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and as market sentiment turned weak, the related funds were forced to sell an estimated tens of billions of dollars worth of SK Hynix positions.
4 minutes ago
Mizuho downgrades Circle to Underperform, cuts its target price to $50
According to Bloomberg, Circle’s stock price has fallen more than 75% from its post-IPO high last year. Dan Dolev, an analyst at Mizuho Securities USA, downgraded Circle this week from "Neutral" to "Underperform", setting a Wall Street-low target price of $50, which implies roughly 18% downside from Thursday’s closing price, well below the average analyst target of $123 tracked by Bloomberg. Dolev argues Circle faces rising competition risks in the stablecoin space. Over 100 fintech firms, payment networks, crypto companies and banks, including Visa, Stripe, Coinbase and BlackRock, are backing the Open Standard project, which will issue OUSD. Circle’s stock fell 7.7% on Thursday, the same day Visa launched a stablecoin issuance, transfer and management platform for financial institutions. Circle generates most of its revenue from interest on USDC’s reserve assets, while new stablecoin initiatives like OUSD plan to share reserve returns with partners and charge lower management fees. Dolev says this business model could draw partners away from Circle, intensifying pricing and margin pressure on the firm. He projects Circle’s adjusted EBITDA for 2027 will hit $699 million, below the consensus market estimate of $907 million. He also noted that Circle and Coinbase’s USDC distribution agreement is set to be renegotiated in August, with Coinbase likely to leverage competitive pressure from OUSD to secure a higher revenue split.
Changxin Technology's IPO winning numbers have been released, totaling 7,702,207.
According to an announcement by Changxin Technology, the company’s initial public offering (IPO) and listing on the STAR Market has released its offline preliminary placement results and online lottery results. The offering price is RMB 8.66 per share, with an initial share offering size of approximately 6.688 billion shares. A total of 7,702,207 winning lottery numbers have been issued, and each winning number entitles holders to subscribe for 500 Changxin Technology A-shares.
4 minutes ago
Renowned trader closes all crypto short positions, resumes buying Bitcoin spot
Renowned crypto trader Doctor Profit announced in a post that he has closed all his cryptocurrency short positions, including Bitcoin shorts established in the $115,000–$125,000 range, another Bitcoin short in the $79,000–$82,000 range, and over 100 altcoin shorts opened in recent months, noting that all these positions have generated significant profits. He also said he has repurchased Bitcoin spot at $64,000, marking his first long-term allocation since September 2025. His plan is to invest 5% of his planned capital daily in spot Bitcoin purchases when the price is in the $54,000–$64,000 range, for up to 20 days total; if the price approaches $54,000, he will increase his buying activity. Doctor Profit pointed out that the current market is showing clear "herd behavior": investors who were previously bullish on Bitcoin up to $150,000 at high levels are now widely waiting for the cryptocurrency to drop to $40,000–$50,000, and are targeting September or October as the bottom of the four-year cycle. When a large number of investors are waiting for the same price level and time point, the market may not move as expected, so he chose to build positions in advance and judges that this cycle’s bottom may arrive earlier than the market’s general expectation. He also cited regulatory clarity, asset tokenization infrastructure, and progress in institutional adoption as the structural reasons for his shift to buying, and retracted his previous prediction that Bitcoin would fall to $40,000–$50,000. However, he still holds all his S&P 500 short positions, arguing that the crypto market has completed a large repricing, while U.S. stock valuations remain elevated.
4 minutes ago
Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush adds new launchpad filter options for Robinhood Chain-based projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr.
According to official announcements, Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush has added new launchpad filter options for Robinhood chain projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr, helping users discover more on-chain token opportunities. Users can now track tokens across BSC, Solana, ETH, Base, and Robinhood chains via Meme Rush, with a single feed to stay updated on multi-chain hotspots.
4 minutes ago
Zcash launches Zakura full node, aiming to boost its privacy transaction throughput to 50,000 per second.
Zcash has launched its new full-node client Zakura 1.0.0, the first implementation component aimed at scaling its private transaction throughput from the current ~1 transaction per second (TPS) to payment-network-level capacity. Maintained by Sean Bowe, an early Zcash zero-knowledge cryptography contributor, and Dev Ojha, head of Valar Group, the client operates independently of the Zcash Foundation and is funded via private ZEC donations. Built on the Zcash Foundation’s Zebra client, the team provides an ~11GB blockchain snapshot, allowing new nodes to sync up in two minutes—an approximately 680x speed improvement. Its compatibility mode also replicates the legacy zcashd interface, enabling wallets and exchanges to continue operating after the original client’s maintenance ends on July 18. The team notes that Visa and Mastercard process over 50,000 transactions per second, a benchmark it has set as its minimum target. To reduce the verification burden of large-scale private transactions, Bowe’s Tachyon project is developing recursive proofs, which let nodes validate thousands of proofs with a single proof. Valar Group is building private information retrieval (PIR) technology, allowing wallets to access relevant transaction data without exposing their query content. Zakura is also testing a fast block propagation system that delivers new blocks to all nodes in half a second. Its upcoming testnet is the Ironwood upgrade, set to activate on the mainnet on July 28. Ironwood will use a "rotating door" mechanism to restrict inflows and outflows of the Orchard privacy pool, mitigating risks of fake ZEC entering circulation due to prior zero-knowledge proof vulnerabilities.
4 minutes ago
Moonshot (Kimi)’s technological breakthrough triggers sell-offs in AI stocks, with leveraged products amplifying market volatility.
According to Bloomberg, Chinese AI startup Moonshot has achieved an unexpected technological breakthrough, triggering sharp declines in global AI and semiconductor stocks on Friday and prompting markets to once again reference the 2025 "DeepSeek Moment". The semiconductor benchmark index has fallen roughly 20% from its June peak, entering a bear market; the triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL has dropped more than 50% over the same period. This sell-off demonstrates that when rapid advances in AI technology reshape market perceptions of winners and losers, leveraged ETFs, options, single-stock funds, and crypto-related products may be liquidated simultaneously. Bloomberg Intelligence data shows leveraged ETFs make up around 13% of U.S. ETF trading volume but only 1.2% of industry assets. When accounting for embedded leverage, their share of the U.S. stock market remains less than 1%. While these products are generally small in overall size, their holdings are concentrated in AI chips, volatile stocks, and newly listed firms. When leverage, concentration, and volatility rise at the same time, the funds' daily rebalancing turns them into active trading forces that further amplify existing market trends. The South Korean market offers a clear recent case: local retail investors have heavily purchased leveraged products tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and as market sentiment turned weak, the related funds were forced to sell an estimated tens of billions of dollars worth of SK Hynix positions.
4 minutes ago
Bloomberg: South Korea's stock market is emerging as a key bellwether for global AI stock trading.
According to Bloomberg, South Korea’s roughly $4 trillion stock market has become a key window for fund managers in London, New York and Tokyo to gauge global AI risk appetite. Stock fluctuations in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix continue to ripple through global chip stocks, and some Japanese traders have added the KOSPI index to their daily watchlists. The correlation between South Korea’s market and U.S. tech stocks has grown significantly. Bloomberg data shows the 60-day correlation coefficient between the KOSPI index and the Nasdaq 100 has risen to 0.46, near a two-year high—about three times the 0.16 average over the past five years. Last week, South Korea’s market fell nearly 9% at one point amid renewed doubts about AI demand prospects, with the selloff later spreading to Wall Street; SK Hynix’s American depositary receipts dropped 9.3%. However, high-leverage trading in South Korea has amplified volatility. The KOSPI index has fallen 25% from its June peak, erasing roughly $1 trillion in market capitalization, with both Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix down at least 30%. South Korea recently suspended the launch of new single-stock leverage trading products to curb speculation and market volatility. Even so, the KOSPI index is still up 62% year-to-date, ranking among the top of major global markets. Given Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix’s critical positions in the global memory chip supply, multiple institutional players believe that as long as the AI rally persists, South Korea’s stock market will remain an important barometer for global AI and semiconductor trading.
19 July 2026 | 09:50 OKX Europe now lets eligible EEA users deposit USDT through a dedicated one-way flow and receive USDC, with network selection and transaction review remaining the most important checks before transfer.
Key Takeaways OKX Europe has introduced a dedicated feature for eligible EEA users converting externally held USDT into USDC. USDT deposited through the feature does not become a holdable or tradable balance in the user’s account. The process only works from USDT to USDC and cannot be reversed through OKX Europe. Users must match both the blockchain network and the exact USDT or USDT0 version before transferring funds. OKX Europe has introduced a dedicated feature that allows eligible users in the European Economic Area to deposit USDT and convert it into USDC.
The USDT Convert feature, available since July 17, is not a reopening of ordinary USDT deposits or trading. It accepts USDT through a specific deposit flow for the sole purpose of converting it into USDC.
Users do not receive a USDT balance that can be held or traded after the deposit. The conversion also works in only one direction, meaning the resulting USDC cannot be converted back into USDT through the same service.
That makes the choice of network and token version particularly important. A transfer made through an unsupported blockchain, to the wrong address or with an incompatible version of USDT may not be credited correctly.
What the One-Way Conversion Means The feature is intended for eligible EEA users who already hold USDT in an external wallet or on another platform and want to exchange it for USDC through OKX Europe.
It does not create a new USDT trading pair. Instead, the deposit enters a dedicated conversion process and the user receives USDC after completing the required action inside the feature.
The process can be summarized as follows: 1
The user opens USDT Convert inside the OKX Europe website or app;
2
A supported blockchain network and deposit address are selected;
3
USDT is transferred from an external wallet or another platform;
4
The user reviews the amount displayed by the conversion feature;
✓
The converted USDC is credited to the OKX Europe account.
Because the process cannot be reversed through OKX Europe, users should review the displayed conversion amount and transfer details before confirming.
How to Convert USDT to USDC on OKX Europe 1. Confirm that the account is eligible USDT Convert is available to eligible users located in the European Economic Area who access OKX through its European website or mobile app.
Log in and confirm that the feature is visible in the account before sending any funds. An ordinary USDT transfer is not a substitute for using the dedicated conversion flow.
2. Open the USDT Convert feature Navigate to USDT Convert through the official OKX Europe website or app. The page should state that the incoming USDT will be converted into USDC rather than credited as a USDT balance.
Avoid deposit addresses received through emails, private messages, advertisements or unofficial websites.
3. Select the blockchain network Choose the network through which the USDT will be transferred. The network selected on OKX must match the withdrawal network selected in the external wallet or sending platform.
For example, ERC20 USDT must be sent through Ethereum, while TRC20 USDT must be sent through Tron.
Users should also check the exact token version. Some supported routes accept USDT0, while others accept standard USDT or both versions. A matching network name does not by itself confirm that the token is compatible.
4. Verify the address and send the USDT Copy the address displayed inside USDT Convert and compare its first and last characters with the address entered on the sending platform.
The external wallet or exchange may charge a network or withdrawal fee. Review the final transfer amount and any fee displayed before submitting the transaction.
For a large transfer, making a small test transaction first may reduce the risk of sending the entire balance through the wrong network or to an incorrect address.
5. Review and complete the conversion After the deposit is detected, follow the conversion action displayed inside USDT Convert and review the quoted amount of USDC.
Confirm the transaction only after checking that the deposited amount and expected USDC amount are correct. Once the process is completed, it cannot be reversed through OKX Europe.
Which Networks Does OKX Europe Support? At the time of writing, OKX Europe lists 15 supported network routes for the feature. Estimated arrival times and minimum deposits are not guarantees and may change according to network conditions or platform requirements.
OKX Europe: USDT Convert Networks X Layer
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT and USDT0
Arrival: ~1 minute
Tron
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT — TRC20
Arrival: ~1 minute
Ethereum
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT — ERC20
Arrival: ~7 minutes
Aptos
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT
Arrival: ~1 minute
Arbitrum One
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT0
Arrival: ~18 minutes
Avalanche C-Chain
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT
Arrival: ~1 minute
Berachain
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT0
Arrival: ~1 minute
Monad
Min: 0.00000001 USDT
Token: USDT0
Arrival: ~1 minute
Optimism
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT and USDT0
Arrival: ~20 minutes
Plasma
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT0
Arrival: ~1 minute
Polygon
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT0
Arrival: ~2 minutes
Solana
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT
Arrival: ~1 minute
Tempo
Min: 0.00000001 USDT
Token: USDT
Arrival: ~1 minute
The Open Network
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT — TON
Arrival: ~1 minute
Unichain
Min: 0.01 USDT
Token: USDT0
Arrival: ~25 minutes
The options shown inside the user’s own account should be treated as the final source of truth. Supported networks, token versions, minimum deposits and confirmation requirements may be updated after publication.
Why OKX Europe Introduced the Feature Under MiCA guidance published by ESMA and the European Commission, European crypto platforms were expected to address services involving stablecoins that did not meet the framework’s requirements by the end of the first quarter of 2025. OKX says USDT trading remains unavailable on its European platform because Tether’s issuer has not obtained the required authorization, while Circle’s current MiCA white paper identifies USDC as an electronic money token issued in the EEA by its authorized European entity. The conversion feature does not change USDT’s regulatory treatment on OKX Europe; it only allows eligible users to exchange externally held USDT for USDC.
What to Check Before Transferring USDT The main risks come from incorrect transfer details rather than from the number of steps involved.
Before sending funds, users should verify: ✓
That USDT Convert is available inside their own OKX Europe account;
✓
That the receiving network matches the withdrawal network exactly;
✓
That the selected route supports the precise USDT or USDT0 version being sent;
✓
That the deposit is above the minimum amount shown in the account;
✓
That the destination address has been copied from the official platform;
✓
That the displayed USDC amount is acceptable before the final confirmation.
Blockchain transfers are generally irreversible. Anyone who intends to retain USDT rather than exchange it for USDC should not use the feature, because the conversion cannot later be undone through OKX Europe.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal or investment advice. Always verify the blockchain network, token version, address, minimum deposit and conversion terms before transferring digital assets.
Author
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
Zakura, a new Zcash full node maintained independently of the Zcash Foundation, launches as a pruned, fast-syncing fork of Zebra with compatibility for the legacy zcashd client ahead of its July 18 end of life.The software is one pillar of a broader effort, alongside Project Tachyon and private information retrieval research, to scale Zcash toward Visa- and Mastercard-level throughput by shrinking verification data and removing wallet performance bottlenecks.Zakura supports the Ironwood (NU6.3) upgrade activating July 28, which introduces a turnstile mechanism to cap withdrawals from the Orchard shielded pool and contain any counterfeit ZEC that may have been created via a long‑standing soundness bug.Those rebuilding Zcash have a dream: to match global payments giants Visa and Mastercard by handling tens of thousands of payments every second while preserving full verifiability and strong privacy guarantees.
The first piece of that plan is Zakura, a new full node software released Wednesday at version 1.0.0. It is maintained by Sean Bowe, a founding member of Zcash's zero-knowledge cryptography, and Dev Ojha, the Osmosis cofounder who now leads Valar Group. Both teams are funded by private ZEC donations rather than by a company or a foundation.
"Our dream is to support the world's payments. Mastercard and Visa handle more than 50k transactions per second; that's our floor. With Zcash's existing cryptography, that volume would demand over 500 MB/s of throughput from the node,” a blog post said. “The current stack won't get us there. The cryptography our teams are developing closes much of that gap.”
A full node is the program that keeps a complete copy of a blockchain, the Zcash ledger, in this case, and independently checks every transaction against the network's rules. Zakura is a fork of Zebra, the Zcash Foundation's node software – meaning it started from the Foundation's official code and was rebuilt from there.
Consensus rules are the shared rulebook every node enforces, the thing that decides which blocks and transactions the whole network accepts as valid. If a node applies different rules, it forks off and stops following the same chain as everyone else.
Pruning, snapshots and compatibilityZakura can also prune, a term for deleting old blockchain data a node no longer needs, and cut disk usage substantially. That shrinks the chain enough that the team publishes ready-made copies of it, about 11 gigabytes with the old data stripped, which a new node can download instead of pulling the whole history from other nodes one block at a time.
That takes a node from nothing to running in under two minutes, which the team says is “680 times faster.”
A compatibility mode further reproduces the interface of zcashd, the original client that reaches end of life on July 18, so wallets and exchange integrations built against it will keep working as is.
Throughput targets and Tachyon’s roleThe reason for building all this is arithmetic.
Mastercard and Visa process more than 50,000 transactions per second, and the team calls that figure '“its floor, not its target.” Zcash's current cryptography would require a node to take in and verify more than 500 megabytes of data every second to keep up, because every private transaction carries a proof, and proofs are large.
That is roughly a full DVD of data arriving every ten seconds, continuously, and no current Zcash software runs anywhere near that. But the missing piece is the reason each bottleneck exists.
Bowe's Project Tachyon is tackling this by working on recursive proofs, in which one proof attests to the validity of thousands of others, dramatically reducing the amount of data that must be checked at consensus.
Under Tachyon, a node verifies a single proof instead of the thousands, which the team says reduces the requirement for consensus data from 100 megabytes per second to 500 megabytes, a level they claim is technically achievable with careful engineering.
Wallet bottlenecks and Valar’s PIR solutionWallets have a different problem. Because Zcash hides who a transaction is for, a wallet cannot ask a server which transactions belong to it without giving itself away. It pulls down everything and tests each one, which is why wallet software tops out at about one transaction per second.
To remove that bottleneck, Valar Group is working on private information retrieval techniques that let a wallet fetch its own data from a server without the server learning which entries were requested.
Fast block propagation Fast block propagation means broadcasting newly mined blocks across a blockchain network as quickly as possible. Zakura is a software layer tasked with that.
It has to move new blocks between nodes fast enough for high‑volume proofs and wallet traffic to matter. It ships with an experimental system aimed at delivering every block to every node in under half a second, which is switched off by default for now.
The near‑term test of these ideas arrives in late July. Ironwood, formally NU6.3, activates on mainnet at block 3,428,143, roughly 8 a.m. Eastern on July 28, and Zakura supports it from release.
Bowe said on July 10 that all major organizations are committed to that height, a week later than originally planned, after exchanges and wallet providers requested preparation time.
How Ironwood came into existenceIronwood exists because of a flaw that nearly broke Zcash in June. The so-called shielded pools are the private side of the network, where amounts and participants are hidden, and a zero-knowledge proof stands in as evidence of the math work.
On May 29, Shielded Labs researcher Taylor Hornby found that the proof circuit for Orchard, the newest shielded pool, contained a soundness bug that let an attacker mint counterfeit ZEC with no onchain trace. The flaw had been live since Orchard activated in May 2022.
Developers disabled Orchard through an emergency response completed June 2, then restored it with a corrected circuit via the NU6.2 hard fork at block 3,364,600 on June 3.
The patch could not account for the four years the hole was open. A zero-knowledge proof reveals nothing beyond the fact that it verified, so the chain holds no record of what any Orchard transaction moved, and nobody can prove counterfeit ZEC was never created.
Ironwood is built to settle that. A so-called ‘turnstile’ at the pool's boundary caps what can leave and what can enter, leveraging the fact that ZEC amounts crossing into or out of shielded pools are public even when the transactions inside are not. Sealing Orchard to new deposits leaves the turnstile as the only exit, and any fake coins inside are stuck there.
In simple terms, honest balances can migrate out over time, while counterfeit coins may be prevented from fully exiting and entering into circulated supply. This setting traps any attempted excess supply at the boundary, restoring reliability of the token’s supply.
Zcash is swinging for the fences. The privacy-focused blockchain, which currently processes somewhere between 3 and 20 shielded transactions per second, is building toward a future where it can handle 50,000 TPS, putting it in the same conversation as Visa’s payment network. That’s roughly a 2,500x improvement over current capacity.
The ambition is built on a new node architecture and a series of protocol upgrades that collectively aim to make fully private transactions not just possible at scale, but practical.
Project Tachyon and NU7: the engine room The scaling push centers on two key initiatives: Project Tachyon and the NU7 network upgrade. Project Tachyon, led by cryptographer Sean Bowe, targets thousands of TPS for shielded transactions, with estimates suggesting up to 10,000 TPS as a near-term milestone before pushing toward the 50,000 figure.
The NU7 testnet launched on May 22, 2026, and early results are encouraging. Block times dropped from 75 seconds to just 25 seconds, a threefold reduction. Shielded TPS doubled on the testnet compared to previous benchmarks, contributing to what the project describes as a potential 300% increase in transaction speed.
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For context, Zcash’s current shielded throughput of 3 to 20 TPS makes it roughly comparable to Bitcoin’s base layer in terms of raw capacity. The difference is that every shielded Zcash transaction uses zk-SNARKs, a form of zero-knowledge cryptography that proves a transaction is valid without revealing sender, receiver, or amount. That privacy comes with heavy computational overhead, which is precisely what these upgrades are designed to reduce.
The improvements build on years of iterative upgrades, including the Sapling and Orchard shielded pools, which progressively reduced the cost and complexity of private transactions. The new node software, a Rust-based rewrite called Zebra, provides the foundation for these protocol-level scaling changes rather than relying on beefier hardware.
Growing adoption, growing pains Zcash’s shielded pool now constitutes around 30% of total supply. The Zcash Foundation also raised $25 million in March 2026, giving the project fresh capital to fund development. That fundraise coincided with the shielded pool growth, suggesting aligned momentum between builder activity and user adoption.
Zcash’s trajectory hit a serious speed bump in early June 2026 when a critical network vulnerability was discovered and patched. ZEC’s price dropped approximately 48% in the aftermath.
What this means for investors The competitive landscape matters here. Monero, Zcash’s primary rival in the privacy coin space, operates on a fundamentally different privacy model with its own scaling constraints. Meanwhile, general-purpose Layer 1s like Solana boast high TPS numbers but offer no native transaction privacy.
The 48% price crash following June’s vulnerability disclosure shows how quickly confidence can erode. Delivering a 300% speed improvement on a testnet is noteworthy. Delivering Visa-scale private transactions on mainnet, without security incidents, is an entirely different challenge.
The shielded pool reaching 30% of total supply is a metric worth watching closely. If that number continues climbing alongside successful mainnet deployments of NU7, it would suggest organic demand for Zcash’s core privacy proposition. If it stalls or reverses, it may indicate that the security scare did lasting damage to user confidence, regardless of how impressive the throughput numbers look on paper.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Renowned trader closes all crypto short positions, resumes buying Bitcoin spot
Renowned crypto trader Doctor Profit announced in a post that he has closed all his cryptocurrency short positions, including Bitcoin shorts established in the $115,000–$125,000 range, another Bitcoin short in the $79,000–$82,000 range, and over 100 altcoin shorts opened in recent months, noting that all these positions have generated significant profits. He also said he has repurchased Bitcoin spot at $64,000, marking his first long-term allocation since September 2025. His plan is to invest 5% of his planned capital daily in spot Bitcoin purchases when the price is in the $54,000–$64,000 range, for up to 20 days total; if the price approaches $54,000, he will increase his buying activity. Doctor Profit pointed out that the current market is showing clear "herd behavior": investors who were previously bullish on Bitcoin up to $150,000 at high levels are now widely waiting for the cryptocurrency to drop to $40,000–$50,000, and are targeting September or October as the bottom of the four-year cycle. When a large number of investors are waiting for the same price level and time point, the market may not move as expected, so he chose to build positions in advance and judges that this cycle’s bottom may arrive earlier than the market’s general expectation. He also cited regulatory clarity, asset tokenization infrastructure, and progress in institutional adoption as the structural reasons for his shift to buying, and retracted his previous prediction that Bitcoin would fall to $40,000–$50,000. However, he still holds all his S&P 500 short positions, arguing that the crypto market has completed a large repricing, while U.S. stock valuations remain elevated.
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Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush adds new launchpad filter options for Robinhood Chain-based projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr.
According to official announcements, Binance Wallet’s Meme Rush has added new launchpad filter options for Robinhood chain projects including Virtuals Protocol, Flap, and Bankr, helping users discover more on-chain token opportunities. Users can now track tokens across BSC, Solana, ETH, Base, and Robinhood chains via Meme Rush, with a single feed to stay updated on multi-chain hotspots.
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Moonshot (Kimi)’s technological breakthrough triggers sell-offs in AI stocks, with leveraged products amplifying market volatility.
According to Bloomberg, Chinese AI startup Moonshot has achieved an unexpected technological breakthrough, triggering sharp declines in global AI and semiconductor stocks on Friday and prompting markets to once again reference the 2025 "DeepSeek Moment". The semiconductor benchmark index has fallen roughly 20% from its June peak, entering a bear market; the triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL has dropped more than 50% over the same period. This sell-off demonstrates that when rapid advances in AI technology reshape market perceptions of winners and losers, leveraged ETFs, options, single-stock funds, and crypto-related products may be liquidated simultaneously. Bloomberg Intelligence data shows leveraged ETFs make up around 13% of U.S. ETF trading volume but only 1.2% of industry assets. When accounting for embedded leverage, their share of the U.S. stock market remains less than 1%. While these products are generally small in overall size, their holdings are concentrated in AI chips, volatile stocks, and newly listed firms. When leverage, concentration, and volatility rise at the same time, the funds' daily rebalancing turns them into active trading forces that further amplify existing market trends. The South Korean market offers a clear recent case: local retail investors have heavily purchased leveraged products tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and as market sentiment turned weak, the related funds were forced to sell an estimated tens of billions of dollars worth of SK Hynix positions.
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Mizuho downgrades Circle to Underperform, cuts its target price to $50
According to Bloomberg, Circle’s stock price has fallen more than 75% from its post-IPO high last year. Dan Dolev, an analyst at Mizuho Securities USA, downgraded Circle this week from "Neutral" to "Underperform", setting a Wall Street-low target price of $50, which implies roughly 18% downside from Thursday’s closing price, well below the average analyst target of $123 tracked by Bloomberg. Dolev argues Circle faces rising competition risks in the stablecoin space. Over 100 fintech firms, payment networks, crypto companies and banks, including Visa, Stripe, Coinbase and BlackRock, are backing the Open Standard project, which will issue OUSD. Circle’s stock fell 7.7% on Thursday, the same day Visa launched a stablecoin issuance, transfer and management platform for financial institutions. Circle generates most of its revenue from interest on USDC’s reserve assets, while new stablecoin initiatives like OUSD plan to share reserve returns with partners and charge lower management fees. Dolev says this business model could draw partners away from Circle, intensifying pricing and margin pressure on the firm. He projects Circle’s adjusted EBITDA for 2027 will hit $699 million, below the consensus market estimate of $907 million. He also noted that Circle and Coinbase’s USDC distribution agreement is set to be renegotiated in August, with Coinbase likely to leverage competitive pressure from OUSD to secure a higher revenue split.
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Bloomberg: South Korea's stock market is emerging as a key bellwether for global AI stock trading.
According to Bloomberg, South Korea’s roughly $4 trillion stock market has become a key window for fund managers in London, New York and Tokyo to gauge global AI risk appetite. Stock fluctuations in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix continue to ripple through global chip stocks, and some Japanese traders have added the KOSPI index to their daily watchlists. The correlation between South Korea’s market and U.S. tech stocks has grown significantly. Bloomberg data shows the 60-day correlation coefficient between the KOSPI index and the Nasdaq 100 has risen to 0.46, near a two-year high—about three times the 0.16 average over the past five years. Last week, South Korea’s market fell nearly 9% at one point amid renewed doubts about AI demand prospects, with the selloff later spreading to Wall Street; SK Hynix’s American depositary receipts dropped 9.3%. However, high-leverage trading in South Korea has amplified volatility. The KOSPI index has fallen 25% from its June peak, erasing roughly $1 trillion in market capitalization, with both Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix down at least 30%. South Korea recently suspended the launch of new single-stock leverage trading products to curb speculation and market volatility. Even so, the KOSPI index is still up 62% year-to-date, ranking among the top of major global markets. Given Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix’s critical positions in the global memory chip supply, multiple institutional players believe that as long as the AI rally persists, South Korea’s stock market will remain an important barometer for global AI and semiconductor trading.
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Ostium Releases Update on Incident: Price Data Compromised, Traders’ Collateral and Positions Unaffected
Ostium has released an update on its security incident. Its liquidity provider fund pool was attacked on July 15, resulting in a loss of 23,752,746 USDC. Preliminary investigations show that the attacker breached the off-chain infrastructure supplying price data to the protocol, submitted falsified illegal price reports, and extracted artificially generated profits from the fund pool by rapidly opening and closing multiple large positions. Ostium stated that trader collateral is stored in an isolated smart contract and was not affected by the incident, with all trading positions remaining open. The team suspended trading and froze all trading contracts within 60 minutes of the first attack transaction. Currently, Ostium is collaborating with Mandiant, zeroShadow, Collisionless, SEAL 911, and law enforcement agencies, and coordinating with exchanges, bridge contracts, and stablecoin issuers to advance the investigation. The engineering team is focused on fixing and strengthening relevant infrastructure to support the safe resumption of trading. Ostium said it will provide at least 24 hours’ advance notice before unfreezing trading contracts. After trading resumes, existing positions will be marked at the price when they reopen, unaffected by price fluctuations during the suspension period. Supporting affected liquidity providers and safely resuming trading remain the top priorities.
FTX will begin its fifth creditor distribution on July 31, sending nearly $900 million to eligible claimants under its court-approved recovery plan.
Summary
FTX will distribute nearly $900 million to eligible creditors beginning July 31 through approved providers. The fifth payout round pushes total creditor distributions to about $10 billion since FTX collapsed. Bankman-Fried faces growing political resistance to clemency after losing his appeal against the fraud conviction. The payment will cover creditors in the Convenience and Non-Convenience Classes who completed required steps before the June 16 record date.
A repayment update shared by creditor advocate Sunil Kavuri said eligible users can receive funds through BitGo, Kraken or Payoneer. Payments should arrive within one to three business days after distribution starts. The new round brings total payouts since FTX entered bankruptcy to about $10 billion.
FTX will distribute ~ $900m on 31st July
Claims > $50k: 9%
Total = 105%
Allowed claims <$50k (not previously paid)
Total = 120%
— Sunil (FTX Creditor Champion) (@sunil_trades) July 17, 2026 FTX moves ahead with fifth creditor distribution FTX’s recovery process continues nearly four years after the exchange filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in November 2022. The company collapsed after a liquidity crisis exposed a large gap in customer assets and left users unable to access funds held on the platform.
Convenience claims below $50,000 are set to receive 120% of their allowed claim value under the recovery plan. Other eligible classes are expected to receive distributions of about 103% to 105%, according to the creditor update. FTX said future dates will depend on claim approvals and eligibility.
Bankruptcy estate keeps returning recovered funds The July payment follows earlier rounds that returned billions of dollars to former customers and creditors. The estate has funded repayments through recovered cash, investments and asset sales carried out during the bankruptcy process.
Some of those sales have drawn criticism from creditors because several assets later rose sharply in value. As reported by crypto.news, the estate sold a 5% stake in Cursor developer Anysphere for $200,000 in 2023. That former stake was later estimated at about $3 billion based on a reported $60 billion valuation.
Legal disputes tied to FTX remain active FTX’s collapse continues to produce lawsuits involving former executives, advisers and other parties linked to the exchange. In May, law firm Fenwick & West agreed to pay $54 million to settle claims brought by former FTX customers.
As reported by crypto.news, the plaintiffs accused the firm of helping create legal structures that allowed FTX and Alameda Research to move customer funds without proper safeguards. Fenwick denied wrongdoing, and the proposed settlement requires court approval.
Bankman-Fried faces resistance to clemency Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried remains in federal prison after a jury convicted him of fraud and conspiracy charges linked to the exchange’s collapse. A judge sentenced him to 25 years in prison in 2024.
His legal options narrowed in June when a federal appeals court upheld his conviction and sentence. As reported by crypto.news, the court rejected arguments that the trial judge improperly limited evidence that Bankman-Fried wanted to present.
Bankman-Fried has also sought a presidential pardon, but the effort faces political opposition. The U.S. Senate unanimously adopted a resolution opposing clemency, as reported by crypto.news. The resolution cannot prevent a president from granting a pardon, but it places senators on record against clemency.
The latest $900 million payout keeps FTX’s repayment process moving while legal cases tied to the exchange remain unresolved. Creditors who qualify for the July round must use an approved distribution provider and complete all required verification steps before receiving funds.
Kylian Mbappé had one of those first halves you’d rather forget. Zero goals, zero assists, and a single shot on target against England in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. By football standards, it was a quiet 45 minutes. By crypto standards, it was apparently enough to move markets.
The tokens that show up whether he does or not Unauthorized Solana-based meme tokens carrying Mbappé’s name, including $MBAPPE and $MBAPEPE, have developed a pattern of spiking in trading volume around his World Cup appearances. Neither token has any official connection to Mbappé or his representatives. No endorsement exists. No partnership was announced. The tokens exist purely because his name does.
The dynamic isn’t new for Mbappé specifically. In August 2024, a prior $MBAPPE token on Solana briefly hit a market cap of $464 million after hackers compromised his X account and posted about it. The token then collapsed.
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The July 2026 match window produced no new official blockchain announcements from Mbappé’s camp. What it did produce was the familiar pattern: a high-profile match, a recognizable name, and traders willing to speculate on both.
His actual crypto footprint is more serious than the meme coins suggest Since June 2022, Mbappé has served as both ambassador and equity investor in Sorare, an Ethereum-based NFT fantasy football platform where users collect and trade digital player cards. Rare Mbappé cards on the platform have sold for as much as $66,850, which puts them in the same conversation as high-end physical trading cards rather than speculative tokens.
The equity stake is the more interesting part. Mbappé isn’t just lending his face to the platform for a check. He has skin in the game, which gives Sorare a different credibility than the typical athlete-brand-deal arrangement.
What this means for traders watching the World Cup The $464 million peak from the 2024 hack episode is the cautionary data point that should frame any conversation about these tokens. That figure represents what happens when celebrity association and artificial urgency combine in a low-liquidity environment. It also represents what happens next: a rapid collapse back toward zero once the moment passes.
Mbappé’s Sorare investment provides a contrast worth noting. The NFT fantasy sports market operates on slower cycles, with card values tied to season-long performance metrics rather than single-match headlines. That structure doesn’t produce $464 million meme spikes, but it also doesn’t produce the corresponding crashes.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Kylian Mbappé now owns the most prestigious scoring record in football. The French forward reached 22 World Cup goals during the 2026 tournament, sliding past Lionel Messi’s mark of 21 to become the competition’s all-time leading scorer.
What makes the number even more absurd: he did it in just 22 appearances. One goal per game across three World Cups is the kind of stat line that shouldn’t exist outside of a video game career mode.
For crypto markets, the more interesting story isn’t on the pitch. It’s in the Solana meme token trenches and on Ethereum-based NFT platforms, where Mbappé’s performances have become a real-time catalyst for speculative trading activity.
From the pitch to the blockchain Mbappé isn’t new to the crypto world. He joined Sorare, an Ethereum-based NFT fantasy football platform, back in June 2022 as both an ambassador and an equity investor. That’s not a typical sponsorship deal where a celebrity slaps their name on a product. He put money in.
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Sorare lets users buy, sell, and trade officially licensed digital player cards to build fantasy football lineups. Rare NFT cards featuring Mbappé have sold for as much as $66,850 on the platform.
As Mbappé stacked goals throughout the 2026 knockout stages, his Sorare card values and trading volumes responded accordingly.
Meme tokens ride the Mbappé wave On Solana, unauthorized meme tokens bearing the striker’s likeness have seen notable trading volume spikes that correlate directly with his World Cup performances. Tokens like $MBAPPE and $MBAPEPE, neither of which have any official connection to the player, have attracted speculative capital from traders looking to ride the narrative.
No new crypto-native projects or significant token launches have been officially tied to the record. The speculative activity is purely community-driven.
The broader numbers tell a story Mbappé’s World Cup scoring breakdown across three tournaments paints a picture of escalating dominance. He scored 4 goals at the 2018 World Cup in Russia, where France won the title and he became the youngest scorer in a World Cup final since Pelé. At Qatar 2022, he exploded for 8 goals, including a hat trick in the final against Argentina, a game France ultimately lost on penalties.
That means he entered the 2026 tournament with 12 World Cup goals and needed 10 more during this edition to surpass Messi. As of mid-July 2026, Mbappé has also reached 100 goal involvements for the French national team when combining goals and assists.
The previous record holder, Messi, accumulated his 21 goals across five World Cup tournaments spanning from 2006 to 2026. Mbappé has needed only three.
What this means for crypto investors Sorare has an established marketplace with real liquidity and officially licensed content. For those considering the meme token side, tokens like $MBAPPE and $MBAPEPE are narrative trades, not investments. They move on attention, and attention in sports is inherently cyclical.
The more durable opportunity may sit with platforms like Sorare, where Mbappé’s record-breaking status could sustain demand for his digital collectibles beyond the tournament window. A player card representing the all-time World Cup top scorer carries a different kind of premium than one representing a player who might break the record someday.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Kylian Mbappe put two past the keeper in a World Cup 2026 knockout stage match, extending his remarkable tournament goal tally to 19 across his World Cup career. That’s the sports headline. Here’s the crypto headline: Solana meme tokens bearing his name immediately went haywire.
Look, we’ve seen this movie before. An elite athlete does something spectacular on the world stage, and within minutes, degens on Solana are trading tokens named after the moment. This time it’s $MBAPPE and $MBAPEPE, two unauthorized tokens that have seen trading volume spikes tracking almost perfectly with the French forward’s goal output during the tournament.
The real-time Mbappe effect Neither token is endorsed by Mbappe, FIFA, or any entity remotely associated with the World Cup. They’re pure speculation vehicles, born from the same impulse that produces a new token every time Elon Musk tweets a dog emoji. The difference here is that the catalyst is happening on a global stage watched by billions.
Beyond the meme token circus, Mbappe’s performance is also juicing the Sorare NFT market. A rare Sorare Mbappe NFT card sold for $66,850 during a bidding war amid the tournament excitement, with one buyer reportedly signaling a $150,000 asking price.
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This isn’t entirely surprising if you know the backstory. Mbappe became an investor in and brand ambassador for Sorare back in 2022. That partnership announcement alone triggered a 795% surge in NFT sales on the platform within 24 hours.
Kraken, W26, and the World Cup’s crypto infrastructure FIFA announced Kraken as the Official Crypto Exchange Supporter of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on June 9, 2026. That’s a major exchange getting official branding rights alongside one of the most-watched sporting events on earth.
Meanwhile, a new Solana memecoin called W26 has launched specifically to drive on-chain fan engagement around the World Cup. The token is trying to position itself as a community layer for football fans who want to interact with the tournament through crypto rails.
None of these tokens, not $MBAPPE, not $MBAPEPE, not W26, carry any official endorsement. They exist in that familiar gray zone where sports enthusiasm meets crypto speculation.
What this means for investors The Mbappe effect highlights something genuinely interesting about where sports and digital assets are headed. His Sorare partnership demonstrated measurable, repeatable impact on NFT trading volumes. That 795% spike from 2022 wasn’t a one-off fluke. His World Cup performances are generating similar surges years later.
For anyone watching the Sorare market, a $66,850 sale for a single player card during an active tournament suggests that the sports NFT vertical isn’t dead. It’s just concentrated around a handful of genuinely elite athletes whose performances create real demand spikes.
The more significant signal here is Kraken’s official World Cup partnership. When a regulated exchange lands sponsorship rights to football’s biggest tournament, it normalizes crypto exposure for an audience that might never have opened a wallet.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
England just beat France 6-4 in the World Cup, and Bukayo Saka walked away with the Man of the Match award. Somewhere on Solana, a token bearing his name started moving.
The July 6 match was the kind of scoreline that makes you wonder if both teams forgot to bring their goalkeepers. But for the crypto world, the real story wasn’t the defensive chaos. It was the ripple effect across fan tokens, prediction markets, and meme coins that have latched onto the biggest sporting event on the planet.
When goals meet on-chain speculation GoldenBoot Bukayo, a Solana-based meme-adjacent token trading under the ticker SAKA, saw increased activity following the Arsenal forward’s standout display against France. The token, which fluctuates based on Saka’s fitness updates and on-pitch contributions, is exactly what it sounds like: a speculative digital asset that lives and dies with one player’s tournament run.
Trading volumes remained modest. This isn’t the kind of asset that’s going to show up on institutional radar anytime soon.
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SAKA isn’t alone. New meme-based tokens like W26 have also emerged on Solana during the World Cup 2026, each trying to capture a slice of the attention economy that surrounds global football.
Kraken’s courtside seat at the World Cup Kraken was announced in June 2026 as the Official Crypto Exchange Supporter of the FIFA World Cup 2026, giving the exchange a prominent role in the emerging ecosystem of sports-related digital assets.
The partnership has included promotions and activations across North America and Europe, timed to coincide with match days and player milestones.
Prediction markets and the Saka injury saga Prediction markets reacted positively when Saka was confirmed fit ahead of England’s quarter-final against Norway on July 12. The Arsenal winger had been a doubt heading into the knockout stages, and his availability became a genuine market-moving event.
On-chain betting and prediction platforms have seen heightened engagement throughout the tournament, with Saka’s fitness serving as one of the more closely watched variables.
What this means for investors For anyone tempted to trade fan tokens tied to individual players or matches, the risk profile is considerable. These assets face severe liquidity constraints, wild volatility, and the ever-present possibility that the underlying narrative ends with a single injury or red card.
Solana has emerged as the default chain for meme tokens and fast-moving speculative assets, largely because its low fees and high throughput make it easy to spin up new tokens in response to real-world events.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Solana [SOL] has not had a strong price trend in recent weeks. In fact, it shed 4% of its value over the past week. And yet, over the past month, it was up by 4.8%. The recent losses came after the altcoin’s rejection at the $84 local resistance level.
Source: CryptoQuant The average order size of executed spot trades has increased over the past six months too. It is calculated by dividing the total trading volume by the number of trades.
The hike in average size was likely also a product of a decline in the number of trades. As the average size increases into big whale orders territory, the metric lights up green, signaling potential accumulation.
The same trends were seen from February-April, but did not lead to a sustained recovery above $100. Solana is likely heading towards a similar outcome.
Solana under pressure from distribution trends Lookonchain reported that Pump.Fun sold another $6.15 million worth of SOL in recent hours, bringing their total sales to just over $800 million, at an average token price of $169.
Source: Ali Charts on X Crypto analyst Ali Martinez used data on the number of whale wallets to demonstrate a fall in whale interest. The analyst noted a 3.6% decrease in the number of Solana whale wallets since May.
This represented a decrease in 200 whale wallets. If network-wide accumulation was underway, as the big whale order metric suggested, the number of whale wallets should have increased.
Hodlers may be increasing their holdings, but the lack of conviction from whales is still a concern.
Expected short-term SOL price trends A recent AMBCrypto report highlighted why the $84-$90 area is a stern supply zone. Morgan Stanley activated spot trading for Solana through its E*TRADE platform too.
And yet, this development has not so far catalyzed a boost in demand for the altcoin.
Source: CoinGlass The liquidation heatmap of the past month highlighted the same. The $84-$86 area, in particular, appeared to be a dense cluster of short liquidations. To the south, the $70-$73 zone was much closer to the price and likely the imminent price target.
The liquidation map made it clear that a sweep of the $85 and even the $90 regions was possible. Hence, traders leaning bearishly in the short-term should be aware of the potential for a short squeeze.
Final Summary The number of Solana whale wallets has declined by 3.6% since May, indicating a lack of conviction. At press time, short-term price trends remained bearishly poised and a move to $70 could occur soon.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is rewriting the tactical playbook. By the end of the round of 32, players had scored 35 goals from outside the penalty area, a number that dwarfs the 12 long-range strikes from Qatar 2022 and even eclipses the 25 recorded across all of Russia 2018. Former striker and current pundit Jurgen Klinsmann points to a simple explanation: teams are defending deeper than ever, which means attackers are pulling the trigger from further out.
Kraken, Avalanche, and the official crypto layer Kraken was named the Official Crypto Exchange Supporter of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on June 9, marking one of the highest-profile sponsorship deals between a crypto exchange and a global sports organization.
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FIFA’s Collect platform is built on an Avalanche-based blockchain and designed to support EVM-compatible wallets, enabling fans to buy, trade, and hold digital collectibles tied to the tournament.
Memecoins, prediction markets, and the speculation layer Several Solana-based tokens, including ones trading under tickers like FWC26, W26, and WORLDCUP26, have launched specifically around the tournament. These tokens carry zero official FIFA endorsement and exist purely as speculative vehicles driven by cultural momentum.
On the prediction market side, Chainlink is providing oracle services for platforms covering all 104 World Cup matches via ADI Predictstreet. Oracles are the bridge between real-world data, like match scores, and on-chain smart contracts that settle bets.
What this means for investors The World Cup crypto ecosystem splits into three distinct risk tiers. At the bottom, the memecoins. Tokens like FWC26 and WORLDCUP26 are pure narrative trades with no fundamental backing. The middle tier is Avalanche. FIFA Collect running on its chain is a genuine catalyst, but NBA Top Shot saw a similar surge during its launch window before trading volumes cratered. The top tier, in terms of structural importance, is Chainlink. Oracle services for prediction markets aren’t glamorous, but the World Cup deployment covers all 104 matches and sets an infrastructure precedent for future events.
One risk worth flagging: regulatory scrutiny around sports-linked crypto products, particularly prediction markets and unlicensed memecoins, tends to intensify when the mainstream spotlight is this bright. Investors should watch for enforcement signals from US and European authorities as the tournament progresses through the knockout rounds.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Solana has held a broad weekly trading range between $67.50 and $106 for the past five months, maintaining a structure closely watched by technical analysts and market participants. The current price movement follows a volatile period in June when Solana tested the lower end of this range but failed to break below it amid heavy selling pressure.
Key levels and trader outlookThe lower boundary of Solana’s range is anchored at $67.50, with the upper boundary near $106. Crypto trader Ansem reported that Solana recently reclaimed this range after briefly dipping towards the lows during a high-volume selloff. This shift in price structure has kept the larger range intact despite persistent volatility.
According to Ansem, the mid-$70 area may act as a support zone where Solana could form a higher low in the coming weeks. However, he remains cautious, suggesting price action will remain uneven until the asset decisively surpasses the upper range resistance near $106.
Currently, Solana is retesting a resistance zone between $81.50 and $88. Market observers note that a sustained move above this area could signal further upside and strengthen the recovery thesis.
Solana’s attempt to break down from its weekly range coincided with high market fear and notable selling pressure, but the coin has since reclaimed these levels, shifting the short-term structure and keeping the broader range active.
If Solana were to break below the range low at $67.50, analysts expect the recovery outlook to weaken significantly. Until then, most traders continue to focus on the prevailing range.
LevelPrice RangeMarket SignificanceSupport$67.50-$75.00Key demand and higher low zoneResistance$81.50-$88.00Immediate test areaRange High$106Major breakout targetExtended Target$150Q3 potential if $106 is clearedDaily and hourly chart analysisOn the daily timeframe, Ansem indicated that most trading activity recently occurred between $78 and $92, with the primary point of control near $85. This area closely aligns with a former resistance level where rallies lost momentum. He also confirmed that the sharp price drop from $83 to $60 in early June has now been retraced, suggesting Solana has absorbed previous downside weakness.
Ansem mentioned that if Solana posts daily closes above the June highs around $83, buyers may push toward the key range high near $106. He added that failed breakdowns historically tend to result in tests of the opposite end of the established range.
On the hourly chart, demand is concentrated between $72 and $75, identified as a short-term support zone that may serve as a launchpad for further gains if it holds in the coming sessions. Ansem set a stop-loss at $71 for invalidation of this potential upward move.
If Solana maintains support above $72-$75, traders point to $83-$85 as the immediate upside goal. A breakout above this area could return the focus to $106, the top of the current multi-month range.
Mini dictionary: Ansem is a pseudonymous cryptocurrency market analyst known for providing technical analysis and trading insights on X, particularly focusing on major digital assets like Solana and Ethereum.
Looking ahead, Ansem outlined $150 as a possible extended target for Solana later in the third quarter, contingent upon a breakout above the $106 range top. Until a decisive move occurs, market participants are closely watching how Solana behaves around $72-$75 support and the nearby resistance band between $83 and $88.
Should Solana achieve daily closes above June’s $83 highs, the range high at $106 would become the next focus, with further upside to $150 possible if momentum continues through Q3.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
As Hyperliquid (HYPE) continues to make waves in the crypto market, pulling strong price moves and impressive network activity, the altcoin has finally outpaced XRP in the derivatives market.
Latest data from Coinglass shows that HYPE has overtaken XRP in crypto futures open interest, claiming the fourth largest open interest, a position previously held by XRP.
HYPE OI hits $1.45 billion The data shows that HYPE now has a massive $1.45 billion in futures open interest, surpassing XRP, which is currently sitting at $1.12 billion.
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While open interest typically measures the total value of active futures contracts that have yet to be settled on a specific crypto asset, Hyperliquid now ranking in fourth place behind only Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana suggests that futures traders are largely betting on the asset instead of XRP.
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Simply put, crypto futures traders are strongly participating in Hyperliquid, and its derivatives market is rapidly gaining traction over XRP.
Hyperliquid Vs XRPIt is important to note that Hyperliquid has flipped XRP in open interest despite HYPE slipping 1.28% over the past 24 hours to around $59.24.
Meanwhile, XRP has surged modestly by 1.26% to about $1.09, suggesting that XRP is currently pulling stronger moves than HYPE in the spot market.
Nonetheless, the mild surge in XRP's trading price was not enough to keep it ahead in the futures rankings. Regardless, XRP still remains ahead of HYPE in the broader crypto market, maintaining its position as the fourth largest crypto asset by market capitalization.
Rather than just investing in cryptocurrencies, SBI Holdings is establishing itself as one of Asia’s top providers of digital asset infrastructure.
By purchasing Coinhako, SBI is acquiring a licensed cryptocurrency platform with a well-established clientele throughout Southeast Asia.
Additionally, the deal accelerates SBI’s regional expansion by strengthening its position in Singapore, one of the most crypto-friendly but strictly regulated markets in the world.
SBI’s long-term plan That said, the purchase aligns with SBI’s long-term goal of establishing a “global corridor for digital assets.”
This is because moving funds or investments across borders has historically involved several middlemen, currency conversions, settlement delays, and increased costs. To lessen these frictions, SBI plans to employ blockchain technology.
Remarking on the same, Coinhako co-founder and CEO Yusho Liu said,
For the past 10 years, we have built from the ground up Southeast Asia’s most trusted and legally compliant cryptocurrency platform in the world’s most advanced regulatory environment.
How will Coinhako boost SBI’s stablecoin plan? Additionally, Coinhako would help SBI strengthen its stablecoin aspirations. For context, SBI had introduced JPYSC, a stablecoin denominated in yen, earlier this year. However, due to its inability to be withdrawn to external wallets, JPYSC currently circulates only within the SBI ecosystem.
Nevertheless, if technical advancements and regulatory approvals permit wider interoperability, incorporating Coinhako’s exchange and customer network may eventually be beneficial.
What’s more? Notably, the acquisition is a component of SBI’s larger expansion into the cryptocurrency space. It comes after Bitbank was purchased, EDX Markets and Gauntlet were invested in, and its JPYSC stablecoin was introduced. This further coincided with the announcement of a recent partnership between SBI Holdings and the Solana Foundation.
The collaboration aims to create yen-backed stablecoins, tokenized assets, cross-border payments, and institutional services by fusing Solana’s quick, inexpensive blockchain with SBI’s financial and regulatory know-how.
Final Summary SBI Holdings new plan aims to ease cross-border transfers without several middlemen, currency conversions, settlement delays, and increased costs. The acquisition of Bitbank, investments in EDX Markets and Gauntlet, and the introduction of its JPYSC stablecoin are some of SBI’s crypto tides.
England beat France 6-4 on July 18 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, producing the highest-scoring third-place playoff in the history of the FIFA World Cup.
But while football fans were losing their minds over a match that played out like a video game glitch, a quieter story was unfolding on-chain. Fan token trading volumes spiked, Chiliz’s Socios ecosystem saw another burst of activity, and Kraken, the tournament’s Official Crypto Exchange Supporter, got exactly the kind of spectacle it was paying for.
Fan tokens ride the emotional rollercoaster National-team fan tokens have experienced significant intraday swings throughout both the group and knockout phases of the 2026 World Cup. The pattern has been consistent. Tokens tied to winning sides get a bump, losers see a dip, and the whole cycle resets 48 hours later when the next match kicks off.
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Chiliz (CHZ), the layer-1 blockchain that powers the Socios fan token platform, has been at the center of this activity. The ecosystem saw ongoing trading throughout the tournament, with volume and price movements correlating closely to match outcomes and fan sentiment rather than any fundamental shift in the underlying technology.
Kraken’s World Cup play Kraken announced on June 9, 2026, that it had been named the Official Crypto Exchange Supporter of the FIFA World Cup 2026, covering both North America and Europe. The partnership includes promotional campaigns designed to boost fan engagement and digital currency visibility across the tournament’s three host countries: the US, Canada, and Mexico.
FIFA has been leaning into blockchain-based collectibles as a way to facilitate digital fan interactions during the tournament, actively building infrastructure that normalizes crypto-adjacent products for a global audience.
Regulatory tailwinds, for once US regulatory clarification in early 2026 classified certain fan tokens as digital collectibles rather than securities. For Chiliz and the broader Socios ecosystem, this was a meaningful distinction.
The classification effectively removed the legal ambiguity that had kept some institutional participants on the sidelines. Digital collectibles sit in a different regulatory bucket than securities, which means fewer compliance headaches for platforms listing them and fewer existential risks for the tokens themselves.
What this means for crypto investors For traders, the key takeaway is that fan token activity is overwhelmingly event-driven. These aren’t tokens you hold through a four-year cycle like Bitcoin. They’re instruments that respond to match schedules, tournament brackets, and the collective emotional state of millions of fans.
Chiliz has historically struggled with that exact problem. Fan tokens spike during Champions League matchdays and international tournaments, then bleed out during the offseason. The 2026 World Cup, with its unprecedented scale across three countries and official crypto exchange sponsorship, represents the project’s best opportunity to break that pattern.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Shiba Inu layer 2 Shibarium saw an uptick in daily transaction count heading into the weekend, sparking optimism following a period of stagnation on the network.
Shibarium daily transactions rose from 939 on July 16 to 2,960 on July 17, a 216% increase. This wouldn't be the first time this week Shibarium has seen such an uptick in transactions. Shibarium saw a 322% surge when transactions rose from 759 on July 14 to 3,210 on July 15 before retreating. A similar trend was seen when transactions rose 361% on July 10, according to Shibariumscan.
The recent rise suggests an increase in user activity and that Shibarium could be regaining momentum after periods of slower activity.
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Given the trend of brief transaction spikes on the network, it will be worth watching whether the recent rise marks a turning point for Shibarium L2 activity. A sustained increase in daily transactions over the coming days or weeks might provide significant evidence that Shibarium's network usage is improving.
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On the other hand, if activity returns to the previous baseline, the recent rise may suggest a temporary surge.
SHIB newsThis week, $1.9 trillion asset manager T. Rowe Price launched what it says is the industry's first actively managed multi-token spot crypto ETF, offering diversified exposure to digital assets.
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The T. Rowe Price Active Crypto ETF (TKNZ) began trading on Thursday, giving investors exposure to a portfolio of crypto assets rather than a single token. The cryptocurrency lineup includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, XRP, and Shiba Inu.
In a recent development, Japan passed major amendments to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA) on July 15, which labels cryptocurrencies as investment products. The aim is to provide a regulatory framework that will boost engagement from banks, securities firms, asset managers, and institutional investors while increasing investor protection.
Shiba Inu, which is already on the Japan JVCEA Green List — which makes it easier for regulated platforms in the country to list SHIB — might stand to benefit from the recent move.
Compromised oracle credentials let false market prices pass Ostium’s verifier as legitimate reports. Eight payouts to one wallet helped confirm the final loss of 23,752,746 USDC from the protocol’s OLP vault. Trader collateral stayed isolated, but open positions remain frozen until a secure relaunch is ready. Most stolen USDC became 12,084 ETH before entering Tornado Cash, making recovery efforts more difficult. Ostium has confirmed that its July 15 security breach drained 23,752,746 USDC from the protocol’s liquidity-provider vault. According to the report, the attacker compromised offchain pricing infrastructure and submitted false reports that appeared legitimate to the platform.
An update on where things stand:
What happened
On July 15, Ostium’s LP (liquidity provider) vault was exploited for 23,752,746 USDC. Based on our ongoing investigation, the attacker compromised off-chain infrastructure related to the system that feeds prices into the protocol.…
— Ostium (@Ostium) July 19, 2026
Those reports enabled positions to open and close at fabricated profits paid from the Ostium Liquidity Pool. Trading remains suspended while the Arbitrum-based platform strengthens safeguards and prepares a restart.
How Compromised Credentials Converted Fake Prices Into USDC Ostium offers perpetual contracts linked to stocks, commodities, currencies, indices, and cryptocurrencies, with transactions settling in USDC on Arbitrum. To support these markets, external systems supply the prices used for entries, exits, liquidations, and profit calculations.
Meanwhile, liquidity providers deposit USDC into the OLP vault, which covers profitable trader positions. As a result, the vault became the payout source when fabricated gains passed through the protocol’s settlement process.
Galaxy Research traced eight payments to a single wallet, including transfers worth approximately $11.86 million, $4.49 million, and $3.59 million. Further payouts of $2.7 million and $1.08 million also supported Ostium’s final loss calculation of nearly $23.75 million.
However, the exploit did not depend on market volatility or a direct failure within the core trading contracts. Instead, the attacker obtained credentials connected to two privileged components in the platform’s pricing system.
According to Galaxy, Ostium’s verifier checked whether each price report carried a signature from an approved oracle signer. Nevertheless, the system did not independently confirm whether the submitted price accurately reflected the wider market.
The attacker reportedly controlled both an authorized signer credential and a registered PriceUpKeep forwarder. Together, those privileges allowed future-dated price reports to pass the protocol’s checks before repeated position cycles generated artificial gains.
🚨 Blockaid detected an @Ostium Vault exploit on Arbitrum.
An attacker used a registered PriceUpKeep forwarder and future-dated authorized oracle reports to create artificial trade profit, triggering a ~$18M USDC payout from the vault.
More details in 🧵
— Blockaid (@blockaid_) July 15, 2026
Consequently, the contracts continued operating according to their programmed rules, but they relied on compromised data. In effect, legitimate credentials made false market information appear valid, converting manipulated prices into real USDC payouts.
Trading Stays Frozen as Investigators Track the Funds Although the liquidity vault suffered major losses, Ostium said trader collateral remained protected in a separate, isolated contract. Open positions remain frozen, and users cannot adjust their margins during the shutdown.
When trading eventually resumes, the protocol will value positions using the reopening price rather than prices recorded during the suspension. This approach reduces the impact of market movements that traders could not respond to while the platform remained unavailable.
Ostium said it paused trading and froze the affected contracts within 60 minutes of the first malicious transaction. Since then, the platform has worked with Mandiant, zeroShadow, Collisionless, SEAL 911, law enforcement, exchanges, bridges, and stablecoin issuers.
Meanwhile, investigators continue tracing the stolen assets and reviewing the infrastructure needed for a secure relaunch. Ostium has also promised to provide users with at least 24 hours’ notice before trading contracts are reopened.
The funds, however, have already moved through several stages. Lookonchain reported that the attacker exchanged 23.75 million USDC for approximately 12,084 ETH at an average price of about $1,966.
Most of the ether later entered Tornado Cash, which obscures links between deposits and subsequent withdrawals. As a result, recovering the stolen assets has become more difficult for investigators and participating service providers.
The attack affected a platform that had reported more than $50 billion in cumulative trading volume across 75 supported markets. Ostium also raised $24 million in December 2025, bringing its total disclosed funding to $27.8 million.
Ultimately, the incident shows how compromised offchain infrastructure can weaken otherwise functional onchain contracts. Ostium’s recovery will therefore depend on stronger credential controls, independent price verification, and tighter operational safeguards.
According to a July 17 trading disclosure from Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest—known in Chinese financial circles as "Wood Sister"—after SpaceX (SPCX.O) shares fell below their IPO price on Friday, ARK Invest purchased $18.3 million worth of the stock. The firm’s four actively managed ETFs together bought 147,623 shares. The stock closed at $123.99 that day, hitting an intraday low of $122.12. This purchase appears to be a deliberate accumulation amid the stock’s weakness rather than a hedging move, as the transaction further expands ARK’s already large existing position. Data tracking ARK’s holdings shows that in the week ended July 10, the firm’s ARKK, ARKQ, ARKW, and ARKX funds together bought approximately $52.1 million worth of SpaceX stock, bringing ARK’s total investment in SpaceX since the company’s June IPO to over $475 million. This indicates that Cathie Wood’s team has consistently viewed every price dip as a buying opportunity, not a warning sign. (Jin10)
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Analyst: Bitcoin bear market may be nearing its end, short-term holders' cost has dropped to $69,000.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost wrote that Bitcoin’s bear market has lasted roughly 9 months, affecting both short-term and long-term holders. The cost basis of short-term holders has fallen below that of long-term holders, a trend confirmed over three days, triggering a "bear market nearing its end" signal. This metric excludes BTC held for more than seven years when calculating long-term holders’ cost basis, to more accurately reflect economically active long-term positions. Darkfost stressed that this signal does not mean the bear market will end immediately or that the market bottom is already locked in; instead, it signals the market may be entering the final phase of the bear market, during which a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy is likely more rational. He noted that if short-term holders’ cost basis later rises back above long-term holders’ cost basis, this will mark a confirmation of the start of a bull market, serving as a reference to end DCA. Currently, short-term holders’ cost basis has dropped from $112,500 to $69,000.
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Bitcoin has a 74% probability of rising to $70,000 this year.
Prediction market platform Polymarket puts the probability of Bitcoin rising to $70,000 this year at 74%. It also assigns a 34% chance of Bitcoin hitting $80,000, and a 17% probability of it reaching $90,000.
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SemiAnalysis: Kimi K3 significantly reduces KV (Key-Value) transmission bandwidth, but AI network demand will not shrink as a result.
Independent semiconductor and AI research firm SemiAnalysis has published a report stating that while Kimi K3 uses KDA for roughly three-quarters of its network layers, cutting KV cache transmission bandwidth by up to 10 times compared to a full global attention model, this does not mean the AI network switch market will see a significant contraction. The Kimi K3 boasts 2.8 trillion parameters; even with MXFP4 precision, each forward computation requires around 1.5TB of HBM bandwidth. To maintain reasonable interaction speed while enabling profitable deployment, the model still needs high-bandwidth network connections such as GB300 NVL72 to link a large number of chips, and relies on WideEP for scaling services. WideEP distributes 896 expert models across multiple GPUs, performing token distribution and result merging twice per layer and per forward pass, with over 120 such operations required for a single forward computation. In contrast, KV cache transmission between pre-filling and decoding only occurs once per conversation round, meaning the bandwidth saved by KDA may be far less than the network scaling demands imposed by large-scale expert models. SemiAnalysis adds that more efficient attention mechanisms could also push context lengths from 1 million tokens to over 5 million tokens. Per Jevons’ paradox, efficiency improvements may expand the overall scale of AI usage, further increasing network requirements.
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Goldman Sachs: Deleveraging in tech stocks may be nearing an end, but there is a lack of near-term catalysts for a reversal.
Goldman Sachs partner and head of EMEA hedge fund business Mark Wilson said the current momentum trading sell-off has lasted 17 trading days. The U.S. stock market’s momentum factor has pulled back 28% from its peak, while the momentum factor for technology, media and telecom (TMT) has dropped 40% — the fastest and deepest pullback on record. Sub-sector-wise, the KOSPI has fallen 27% from its high, U.S. AI-benefiting stocks have pulled back around 25%, global memory chip stocks are down 36%, and European semiconductors have dropped 23%. Goldman Sachs data shows that the volatility of the high-beta momentum portfolio is roughly 10 times that of the S&P 500 index, while the average implied volatility of individual stocks is 2.8 times that of the index. Wilson believes the current sell-off is mainly driven by crowded positions, concentrated leverage and deleveraging, rather than a deterioration in macroeconomic conditions or corporate earnings. U.S. banking lending and consumption data remain on the rise, and TSMC and ASML have also issued positive business signals, yet their related stocks still fell after earnings reports. He tends to view that the momentum factor’s liquidation process is nearing its end, but there is still a lack of immediate catalysts to reverse the market in the short term. The technology sector remains overvalued, and a new leading sector may need to be further clarified after the second-quarter earnings are digested.
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Serenity: SK Hynix ADRs and Korean Shares to Be Convertible Starting July 29; Over 25% Premium Likely to Narrow
Serenity stated in a post that SK Hynix’s American Depositary Receipts (SKHY) currently trade at a premium of over 25% relative to its local Korean shares. The two share classes will become mutually convertible starting July 29. Serenity noted that the opening of the conversion mechanism will create conditions for arbitrage trading, potentially narrowing the ADR premium—an outcome that could see either a rise in Korean local shares or pressure on the U.S.-listed ADRs. Serenity added that the current U.S. ADRs represent about 2.5% of total shares, with an additional roughly 22.5% of shares eligible for conversion at that time.
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Foreign investors net sold over 12 trillion won worth of Korean stocks in July, while the KOSPI index dropped more than 19% over the same period.
According to South Korean media outlet Etoday, from July 1 to 16, foreign investors net sold 12.1022 trillion won in South Korea’s KOSPI market and 338.1 billion won in the KOSDAQ market. Over the same period, the KOSPI index fell from 8476.48 points on June 30 to 6820.60 points. In contrast to the stock markets, foreign investors net bought 593.7 billion won worth of South Korean ETFs during the same period. Among these, KODEX leveraged ETFs saw net purchases of 195 billion won, KODEX 200 net purchases of 180.6 billion won, and KODEX 200 Inverse 2x Futures ETF net purchases of 130 billion won. Foreign investors’ simultaneous buying of products tracking the KOSPI 200 and inverse index ETFs is interpreted as portfolio adjustments amid high market volatility, rather than one-way bets. For single-stock leveraged ETFs, foreign investors net bought 22.7 billion won worth of Samsung Electronics-related products, but net sold 122.1 billion won worth of SK Hynix-related products. Additionally, foreign investors net bought 102 billion won worth of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ETF and 62.7 billion won worth of the US Nasdaq 100 Daily Target Covered Strategy ETF.
Two U.S. service members were killed and one remained missing after Iran struck Muwaffaq Salti Air Base. High-speed, maneuvering missiles challenged layered defenses, though CENTCOM has not identified the weapons. Earlier attacks on regional radars may have reduced warning time available to Patriot and THAAD crews. U.S. officials are reviewing foreign targeting support, but no direct link has been publicly confirmed. An Iranian ballistic-missile and drone attack on a military base in Jordan killed two U.S. service members and left another missing on July 17. U.S. Central Command said forces were defending against incoming weapons when the casualties occurred at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base near Azraq.
BREAKING: Iranian ballistic missiles have adapted to US air defenses, firing at extremely high speeds and maneuvering as they streak back toward Earth, with US officials saying Iran is getting targeting help from China and/or Russia due to the unusually high precision and…
— The Hormuz Letter (@HormuzLetter) July 18, 2026
Four injured troops were evacuated to hospitals in Jordan and later discharged, while personnel treated for minor injuries returned to duty. The deaths marked a major escalation in renewed fighting between Washington and Tehran and focused attention on complex regional missile attacks.
Advanced Missiles Strain Jordan’s Layered Air Defenses The strike reportedly involved advanced Iranian missiles that traveled at high speeds and maneuvered during their final approach. Those characteristics can complicate interception as defenders must track changing flight paths while making engagement decisions.
However, CENTCOM has not identified the missile models used or explained how the weapons penetrated the base’s defenses. Iran describes its Fattah missile as hypersonic, although the capabilities demonstrated in Jordan remain unconfirmed.
A weapon generally requires speeds above Mach 5 and atmospheric maneuverability to meet the hypersonic classification. Without technical details, the attack confirms danger but not the missiles’ exact performance.
The base faced repeated attacks during the conflict. Earlier Iranian operations reportedly damaged radar infrastructure linked to a THAAD system positioned in Jordan.
That damage matters considering radar networks provide the detection and tracking data needed by interceptor systems. Patriot and THAAD batteries depend on those sensors to identify threats and guide defensive responses.
Earlier strikes also hit radar, communications, and air-defense systems in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. Together, those attacks weakened parts of the region’s early-warning network.
The pattern combined attacks on sensors with mixed salvos of drones and ballistic missiles. Such combinations can strain tracking systems, complicate priorities, and consume limited interceptor supplies.
Foreign Targeting Questions Deepen After Deadly Strike Meanwhile, U.S. officials have examined whether Iran received targeting support from Russia or China. However, neither country has been publicly linked to the July 17 strike, and no comparable evidence has emerged regarding direct Chinese assistance.
Questions about possible Russian involvement have circulated since March. At that time, U.S. officials said Moscow had shared information about American aircraft and ship locations across the Middle East.
However, the assessment did not establish that Russia supplied coordinates for specific Iranian attacks. Officials instead viewed broader targeting support as one possible explanation for Iran’s improved battlefield awareness.
The attack followed the collapse of an interim ceasefire, after which both sides expanded their military operations. The United States then conducted seven consecutive nights of strikes against Iranian surveillance sites, logistics networks, weapons storage facilities, and maritime capabilities.
At the same time, Iran attacked Jordan and several Gulf states. Consequently, military bases, energy facilities, and civilian infrastructure faced increasing pressure as the wider campaign placed regional defenses under sustained operational strain.
CENTCOM says more than 50,000 U.S. personnel remain deployed across the Middle East. Therefore, the casualties carry both immediate human costs and broader strategic consequences for Washington.
Following the strike, U.S. forces may place greater emphasis on protecting radar networks, dispersing aircraft, preserving interceptor supplies, and detecting maneuvering missiles. The attack also demonstrated how advanced weapons can challenge layered regional defenses.
18 July 2026 | 17:51 Hyperliquid has generated more than $1.2 billion in fees, while Grayscale’s HYPG ETF expands institutional exposure. Yet token burns, decentralization concerns and regulatory competition still shape HYPE’s long-term outlook ahead.
Key Takeaways Hyperliquid surpassed $1.2 billion in cumulative trading fees by July 10, 2026, according to Grayscale data sourced from Allium. A portion of protocol fees is automatically converted into HYPE, and the acquired tokens are burned, linking trading activity to token demand and supply reduction. HIP-3 and builder codes allow outside teams to launch markets and earn revenue without creating a separate trading stack. Grayscale already offers direct HYPE exposure through its Nasdaq-listed Hyperliquid Staking ETF, HYPG. Regulatory progress supports perpetual futures as a product category, but it does not remove Hyperliquid’s U.S. restrictions or operational risks. Grayscale’s Head of Research, Zach Pandl, framed the investment firm’s case for Hyperliquid around five qualities: product-market fit, open architecture, revenue-linked token value, regulatory tailwinds and grassroots adoption.
That analysis comes from a company with a direct commercial position in the market. On June 3, 2026, Grayscale launched the Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF on Nasdaq under the ticker HYPG. The product provides investors with exposure to HYPE while seeking to capture rewards through participation in the network’s staking process.
HYPG launched with an annual sponsor fee of 0.29%, which Grayscale described as the lowest gross fee among U.S.-listed Hyperliquid exchange-traded products at the time. The fund’s SEC registration documents confirm the 0.29% fee and its objective of reflecting the value of the HYPE held by the trust, including eligible staking rewards, after expenses and liabilities.
Grayscale’s five-point thesis should therefore be read in the context of an active product issuer evaluating the asset underlying one of its own exchange-traded funds. That does not invalidate the data or Pandl’s analysis, but it makes the firm’s financial interest relevant when assessing its conclusions.
The five points are connected. Hyperliquid first built a trading product that people were willing to pay to use. It then opened parts of that infrastructure to outside developers, while directing part of protocol activity into a mechanism that buys and burns HYPE.
That combination is more informative than the fee number alone. It suggests Hyperliquid is attempting to become an underlying financial platform rather than remaining a single decentralized exchange for crypto perpetual futures.
Today at the @HLglobal_ event I presented the 5 things the Grayscale Research team loves about Hyperliquid and $HYPE:
#1 Hyperliquid has product/market fit
#2 Hyperliquid is open architecture
#3 Hyperliquid has revenue and token value accrual
#4 Hyperliquid has regulatory… https://t.co/iNc6IuvI9j
— Zach Pandl (@LowBeta) July 17, 2026
The Fee Curve Is Hyperliquid’s Product-Market-Fit Evidence Grayscale’s chart shows cumulative trading fees rising steadily from early 2025 through July 2026 rather than depending on one isolated burst of activity. Growth accelerated during the second half of 2025 and continued throughout the first half of 2026, eventually moving beyond $1.2 billion.
Fees provide a stronger test of demand than headline trading volume alone. Volume can be inflated by temporary incentives, automated strategies or unusually volatile markets. Fees show that traders were repeatedly willing to pay for execution.
Hyperliquid’s product combines a fully onchain order book with perpetual and spot trading. According to the official documentation, orders, cancellations, trades, funding calculations and liquidations are processed transparently through HyperCore, the network’s native trading layer.
The performance of that system allowed Hyperliquid to compete in a market historically controlled by centralized exchanges. Grayscale previously estimated that the platform processed approximately $2.9 trillion in perpetual futures volume and generated around $800 million in revenue during 2025.
The cumulative fee total should still be interpreted carefully. It represents gross fees paid through the platform, not corporate profit or money belonging directly to HYPE holders. Rebates, referral rewards, liquidity mechanisms and payments to outside market deployers affect how those fees are distributed.
The curve nevertheless indicates substantial recurring paid activity and provides clear evidence that Hyperliquid has found demand for its core trading product.
How Trading Activity Reaches the HYPE Token Grayscale summarized the mechanism as a “buy-back-and-burn model where revenue loops straight back into token value accrual.”
Hyperliquid has surpassed $1.2B in cumulative trading fees since its 2024 inception.
At @HLglobal_, @LowBeta, Head of Research at Grayscale, broke down one reason it caught Grayscale’s eye: a buy-back-and-burn model where revenue loops straight back into token value accrual. https://t.co/csOnvB4KPL pic.twitter.com/lUO2bIMjup
— Grayscale (@Grayscale) July 17, 2026
The underlying mechanism is the Hyperliquid Assistance Fund. Under the protocol’s official fee rules, the fund automatically converts the fees allocated to it into HYPE as part of the network’s execution process. The acquired tokens are then burned, permanently removing them from circulating and total supply.
That creates a measurable connection between platform usage and HYPE:
1
Trading activity generates fees
2
Fees directed to Assistance Fund
3
Automatic HYPE token purchase
4
Tokens removed from supply (Burn)
The mechanism differs from a conventional dividend. HYPE holders do not receive cash distributions or acquire a legal claim on Hyperliquid’s revenue. Instead, trading activity creates recurring market demand for HYPE and reduces the number of tokens available.
The distinction prevents the $1.2 billion figure from being misread. It does not mean $1.2 billion has been returned directly to token holders or used entirely for burns. Hyperliquid’s fees are divided among community-controlled components, including the Assistance Fund, the Hyperliquid Liquidity Provider vault and third-party market deployers.
Spot and HIP-3 deployers may retain up to 50% of the fees generated by their markets. Maker rebates and other incentives also affect the final distribution.
HYPE’s value-accrual model therefore depends on more than cumulative historical fees. It requires trading activity to remain strong enough for future purchases and burns to continue. Falling volume, lower fee rates or a larger share of revenue going to outside builders would weaken the amount flowing through the Assistance Fund.
Open Architecture Expands the Fee Engine Hyperliquid’s larger opportunity comes from allowing other teams to build on top of its trading and liquidity infrastructure.
Through HIP-3, qualifying developers can deploy their own perpetual futures markets while inheriting HyperCore’s order books, margin system and execution infrastructure.
A mainnet deployer must stake 500,000 HYPE and is responsible for defining and operating the market. That includes selecting the underlying price feed, setting leverage limits, maintaining oracle updates and settling the contract when necessary.
The stake is not merely an access fee. Deployers can be penalized for inputs that damage network performance or for operating markets with unreliable pricing. This allows listings to become more open without removing accountability from the teams creating them.
HIP-3 also changes Hyperliquid’s growth model. The core team no longer has to identify and operate every new market itself. Independent developers can introduce perpetual contracts tied to crypto assets, equities, commodities, indices and other instruments with suitable price feeds.
Hyperliquid benefits even when users access those markets through third-party applications. Its builder-code system lets trading terminals, wallets and mobile applications attach an approved fee to orders routed on behalf of their users.
That system allows independent teams to generate revenue from Hyperliquid’s liquidity without having to build a blockchain, matching engine and margin system from the ground up. It also gives the network a way to distribute its trading infrastructure through multiple interfaces rather than depending entirely on one application.
The HyperEVM extends the same strategy to smart-contract applications. Developers can deploy EVM-compatible protocols while connecting them to assets and liquidity available through the broader Hyperliquid network.
This produces the flywheel behind Grayscale’s open-architecture thesis:
More builders introduce additional markets and applications
Additional products bring new users and trading activity
Trading generates fees for builders and the protocol
Part of the protocol allocation purchases and burns HYPE
HYPE is also required for staking, market deployment and network activity
The architecture gives Hyperliquid room to grow beyond its original crypto perpetuals business. Whether the flywheel becomes durable will depend on the quality and sustained usage of the markets being launched, not simply their number.
Grassroots Growth Is Not the Same as Full Decentralization Pandl’s fifth point concerns how Hyperliquid reached its current position.
Unlike many large crypto projects, Hyperliquid did not begin with a conventional venture-capital round. The Hyper Foundation describes the network as having no outside investors, no paid market makers and no fees directed to a company.
Grayscale also highlighted the distribution of roughly 30% of the HYPE supply to users at launch. That approach placed a substantial part of the network in the hands of people who had previously traded on the platform rather than selling it privately to early financial backers.
The lack of venture funding reduced Hyperliquid’s exposure to one common token-market risk: large early investor allocations becoming available for sale after lock-up periods expire. It also aligned the initial distribution more closely with actual platform usage.
“Grassroots” should not, however, be treated as a synonym for completely decentralized.
The SEC filings for Grayscale’s now-trading Hyperliquid Staking ETF identified approximately 24 validators as of April 30, 2026. The filings warned that the limited validator set could allow coordinated action over market parameters, bridges, withdrawals and incident responses.
They also noted that Hyperliquid Labs continued to exercise substantial influence over network development and that the network’s core protocol was not fully open source at the time of the filing.
Those factors do not erase the community-led launch, but they qualify the decentralization narrative. Hyperliquid combines broad token distribution and permissionless development with a comparatively concentrated validation and governance structure.
Regulation Is Both a Tailwind and a Competitive Threat Grayscale’s regulatory argument became more concrete in May 2026, when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission approved a Bitcoin perpetual contract for listing by a registered U.S. derivatives exchange.
The agency also issued a policy statement establishing a case-by-case route for other perpetual contracts. In June, it sought public input on continuous trading and perpetual contracts tied to energy commodities.
These steps validate parts of the market structure Hyperliquid has been building: derivatives without fixed expiration dates, continuous trading and markets that remain available outside traditional exchange hours.
They do not constitute regulatory approval of Hyperliquid itself. The platform continues to restrict U.S. users, and registered American venues must comply with customer-protection, surveillance, reporting and risk-management requirements that do not apply in the same way to a protocol that is not registered as a U.S. derivatives venue.
Regulatory progress could also create stronger competitors. If established U.S. exchanges can list perpetual contracts and operate continuously, part of Hyperliquid’s product advantage may become available through regulated platforms with existing institutional relationships.
Hyperliquid’s regulatory engagement became more direct on July 14, 2026, when representatives connected to its ecosystem met with the SEC’s Crypto Task Force to discuss decentralized perpetual markets and the HIP-3 architecture. The meeting showed that the protocol’s market structure is now part of the regulatory conversation, but it did not constitute approval of Hyperliquid or create a lawful path for U.S. access.
The tailwind therefore supports the instrument more clearly than it supports one venue. Hyperliquid would benefit if regulators normalize perpetual futures and around-the-clock markets, but it would also face exchanges capable of offering similar products to institutions that require regulated access.
What Could Confirm Grayscale’s Hyperliquid Thesis The next stage is proving that Hyperliquid’s architecture can generate durable activity beyond its core exchange.
Several developments would strengthen that case:
Fees continuing to rise without depending on one period of unusually high crypto volatility;
More trading activity coming from independently deployed HIP-3 markets;
Builder-code revenue expanding across multiple applications rather than remaining concentrated in a few interfaces;
Real-world asset and outcome markets retaining users after their initial launch periods;
A broader validator set and reduced dependence on coordinated intervention;
Regulatory progress that expands lawful access without forcing the network to abandon its onchain structure.
The weakest version of the thesis is that high trading fees automatically make HYPE more valuable. Fee generation alone cannot guarantee token performance, particularly if activity declines or the share reaching the burn mechanism falls.
The stronger version is that Hyperliquid has built a functioning exchange, a distribution system for independent applications and a token model that connects network usage with recurring purchases and supply reduction.
Grayscale’s five-point case ultimately depends on those elements continuing to develop together. The fee curve shows that the original trading product found demand. Open architecture must now demonstrate that Hyperliquid can support a durable ecosystem rather than a single successful venue.
Methodology: This analysis is based on Hyperliquid’s official protocol documentation, Grayscale Research, data attributed to Allium, and public filings and announcements from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Figures and source documents were reviewed on July 18, 2026.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Any financial interests or commercial relationships involving the publication or author should be disclosed separately where applicable.
Author
Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets - crypto first, then everything else. It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn't fully understand it - so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can't properly understand one without the other. What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it's happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline - price up, price down, here's a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn? He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University - not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That's probably why he hasn't stopped.
Hyperliquid [HYPE] has been consolidating between the $55 and $76 zone since late May. However, most of the movement has been to the downside since hitting a peak value above $76.
The decline began after Arthur Hayes started offloading his holdings despite having a $100 target. Consequently, whales and institutions have taken similar actions, but the price remains confined within this range.
Could this selling pressure drag HYPE toward $44?
Are large holders selling HYPE? A Hyperliquid whale sold 91,100 HYPE worth over $5.81 million after weeks of inactivity. Before the sale, the whale had accumulated 861,100 HYPE worth $55.30 million since April.
The whale subsequently withdrew the USDC proceeds from Hyperliquid, according to Onchain Lens. The withdrawal suggested an exit from the position.
Additionally, a wallet linked to a16z continued transferring HYPE through OKX, Bybit, and Gate. The wallet sold 421,796 HYPE worth more than $25.30 million over 24 hours.
Source: Arkham Together, the two wallets generated over $31 million in Spot selling pressure within one day.
On top of that, Open Interest declined alongside HYPE’s price. Long liquidations reached $1.95 million, compared with $396,000 in shorts. The imbalance indicated long-position deleveraging rather than confirmed shorting.
Could HYPE fall toward $44? The charts were a reflection of the selling activity as HYPE fell from $76 to around $59. This represented a 24% drawdown from its all-time high (ATH).
HYPE also fell below the 20-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages [EMAs], signalling weaker short-term momentum. The decline may partly reflect profit-taking. Meanwhile, the Money Flow Index [MFI] fell sharply to 35 at press time.
Source: HYPE/USDT on TradingView However, the 100 and 200 EMAs were yet to be breached. If the two EMAs break, increasing sell pressure from whales and institutions may push the price to the demand area in the $38-$44 zone.
What to note—Hyperliquid tops total net flows! Even so, HYPE’s bearish structure remained unconfirmed.
Hyperliquid led tracked chains with $145 million in daily Net Inflows. Arbitrum [ARB], Ethereum [ETH], and Polygon [POL] recorded Net Outflows.
On a bigger scale, Hyperliquid has a monthly net flow of $1.80 billion with 13 days left. Hyperliquid’s total perp volume continues to grow with HIP-3 share at 45%, hinting at adoption and growth.
Source: Artemis Analytics As such, the massive capital inflow into the Hyperliquid ecosystem may help the HYPE token survive this decline to below $50.
Final Summary Whales and institutions are selling, thus inducing pressure on HYPE, which has lost 24% of its cap from its ATH. HYPE has broken below short-term demand levels but trades above 100 and 200 EMAs, suggesting the drop to $44 is not yet confirmed.
Bitcoin governance debates are heating up again, and this time Michael Saylor has entered the conversation with a lengthy critique of BIP 110. Rather than focusing on price or market cycles, Saylor argues the proposal could fundamentally change how Bitcoin evolves by introducing consensus rules that restrict currently valid transactions.
His argument isn’t that every inscription or non-financial application deserves protection. Instead, it’s that Bitcoin’s consensus layer shouldn’t be used to decide which legitimate, fee-paying transactions are acceptable.
Saylor Questions Consensus Rule ChangesSourceBIP 110, known as the Reduced Data Temporary Softfork, proposes introducing several temporary consensus restrictions for roughly one year. According to Saylor, the proposal would limit multiple transaction and scripting features while deploying through a modified activation process that lowers the miner signaling threshold compared to previous Bitcoin soft forks.
Although existing UTXOs created before activation would remain unaffected, Saylor argues the proposal would still remove transaction functionality currently considered valid and establish a precedent for restricting future use cases through consensus rather than market forces.
He repeatedly stresses that his criticism targets the proposal itself rather than its authors, acknowledging that supporters are attempting to address genuine concerns around node costs, transaction efficiency, and Bitcoin’s role as sound money.
Neutral Rules Versus Protocol RestrictionsA central theme throughout Saylor’s memo is Bitcoin’s principle of neutrality. According to him, Bitcoin cannot distinguish whether transaction data represents an image, authentication record, financial settlement, proof, contract, or future application. Because of that limitation, he argues consensus rules should remain content-neutral rather than restricting technical structures that may serve multiple legitimate purposes.
Saylor also questions whether BIP 110 sufficiently demonstrates measurable benefits. His memo argues the proposal does not quantify expected improvements in decentralization, node costs, payment fees, or network efficiency before recommending changes to consensus.
Instead, he suggests resource pricing, relay policies, mining policies, pruning, and Layer-2 development remain more appropriate mechanisms for managing network resource consumption without modifying Bitcoin’s base consensus rules.
Governance Debate Takes Center StageThe memo also raises concerns over BIP 110’s proposed deployment process, particularly its lower signaling threshold and temporary consensus rules.
Michael Saylor argues protocol changes should emerge only through overwhelming agreement among developers, miners, node operators, exchanges, businesses, custodians, and holders. He warns that using consensus to discourage one category of valid transactions today could create governance precedents for restricting other applications in the future.
Ultimately, Loading profile preview concludes that Bitcoin’s long-term strength comes from neutral rules, permissionless innovation, and broad consensus rather than defining acceptable transaction purposes through protocol changes.
Story Ends Here
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As Bitcoin continues to show mixed price action, the leading crypto asset has just flashed a signal that has previously appeared near the end of bear markets.
On Saturday, July 18, crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant shared onchain data suggesting that the current market downturn may be entering its final phase.
Bitcoin bear season nears end The analyst shared charts revealing the cost basis of Bitcoin's short-term holder wallets that have held Bitcoin for less than six months and long-term holders, which have held the asset for more than six months.
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The analyst noted that coins that have remained untouched for over seven years are excluded from the LTH cost basis to better reflect active long-term investors.
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With Bitcoin maintaining a consistent downward trajectory for the past nine months, the data shows that the short-term holder cost basis has now fallen below that of long-term holders.
Apparently, such a market condition is widely considered as an "end-of-bear-market" signal, according to market analysts.
Bitcoin at bottom level?While traders are mostly curious about whether Bitcoin has reached its bottom yet, it is important to note that the crossover between the STH and LTH cost basis does not mean Bitcoin has already found its bottom or that a new bull market has begun.
Rather, the onchain metric suggests that the market could be entering the final stage of the current bear cycle.
Notably, Bitcoin's short-term holder cost basis has fallen from $112,500 to around $69,000. This implies that recent buyers have continued to buy Bitcoin at lower prices throughout the downturn, positioning the asset for a potential flip in market sentiment.
Bitcoin seems frozen for several sessions. However, far from spot charts, institutional investors are increasing bets on the derivatives market. An unusual concentration of very short-term positions reveals that operators are preparing for an event likely to tip the market. Behind this turmoil, price levels that professionals watch before the next U.S. monetary deadlines already emerge.
In brief The derivatives market is massively active while Bitcoin price consolidates under $64,000. Crypto whales have opened 40,000 option contracts on the Deribit platform. Flows target a moderate increase in Bitcoin by the end of July 2026. Professional investors optimize their costs by voluntarily capping their gains. Massive blocks of option flows recorded on Deribit The crypto derivatives market has just been the scene of institutional activity of a scale rarely matched in recent months, targeting a moderate price increase by the end of July. Thus, the precise structure of these major transactions unfolds through particularly rigorous numerical data :
The total volume of orders : the simultaneous purchase of 20,000 call option contracts with a strike price set at $70,000 expiring on July 31 ; The associated hedge position : the sale of an identical number of 20,000 contracts at the strike price of $72,000 for the same expiry date ; A total of block flows : a cross transaction representing an overall volume of 40,000 open contracts. Asked about the nature of these major flows, Jean-David Péquignot, commercial director of the Deribit options exchange, stated: “This week, we observed large blocks on bullish BTC call spreads.”
The technical structure of the bull call spread facing volatility The financial configuration chosen by these economic operators exactly matches a “bull call spread”, an options strategy designed to optimize yields in a moderate upward scenario while drastically limiting initial costs. By buying the option at the lower strike of $70,000 and simultaneously selling the option at the higher strike of $72,000, bitcoin traders finance part of their purchase premium through the premium received on the resale.
This technical choice however involves an explicit renunciation of gains beyond the $72,000 level, with the maximum profit strictly capped at this threshold. Such a financial behavior, characterized by option purchases about 10% out of the money, reflects a cautious and measured buy-on-dip approach, far from speculative euphoria anticipating an immediate new all-time high.
Internal risk management by investors revolves around the entry cost and mitigation of time decay in contracts. This structure allows professional investors to minimize the impact of implied volatility if the crypto price stagnates or undergoes a correction lower before the end of July.
Moreover, unlike a simple call option purchase, exposure to unexpected spot market fluctuations is cushioned by the selling position at $72,000 for bitcoin, offering relative protection while maximizing the marginal capital efficiency deployed. The predominance of this combination indicates that capital targets a very narrow pivot zone to realize their short-term gains.
The Fed’s macroeconomic deadline The timing of this contractual setup is no coincidence as it aligns directly with the U.S. macroeconomic calendar, with the July 31 expiry taking place just forty-eight hours after the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting scheduled for July 29. Investors adjust their crypto portfolios based on the recent slowdown of inflation in the United States, marked by the latest releases of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), which have significantly eased fears of monetary tightening.
Data from the Fed funds futures market currently indicate an overwhelming 75% to 80% probability supporting the central bank’s maintenance of current interest rates at this July session. It is therefore the potential adoption of flexible rates by monetary officials that acts as the expected catalyst to propel the price towards the defined target.
While prospects of a Fed status quo support the thesis of a technical rebound of the bitcoin price towards the $72,000 mark, the real price evolution will depend on market makers’ ability to absorb the hedging pressure as the strike price of $70,000 approaches. However, a nuanced analysis requires recalling that a firmer-than-expected central bank speech or a surprise resurgence of inflationary pressures would instantly invalidate this bullish scenario.
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Diplômé de Sciences Po Toulouse et titulaire d'une certification consultant blockchain délivrée par Alyra, j'ai rejoint l'aventure Cointribune en 2019. Convaincu du potentiel de la blockchain pour transformer de nombreux secteurs de l'économie, j'ai pris l'engagement de sensibiliser et d'informer le grand public sur cet écosystème en constante évolution. Mon objectif est de permettre à chacun de mieux comprendre la blockchain et de saisir les opportunités qu'elle offre. Je m'efforce chaque jour de fournir une analyse objective de l'actualité, de décrypter les tendances du marché, de relayer les dernières innovations technologiques et de mettre en perspective les enjeux économiques et sociétaux de cette révolution en marche.
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The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
The geopolitical tensions stepped up on Saturday with the US forces again launching fresh military strikes against Iran. The retaliation came despite Tehran’s threat to orchastrate a “full-scale war” in the Middle East. As a result, oil and energy prices soared as Strait of Hormuz traffic remained blocked.
US Continues Strikes Against Iran Despite Warning The U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) has confirmed that the U.S. military attacked several military sites in Iran. The strike targeted surveillance installations, logistics infrastructure, underground weapons storage areas and marine assets related to Iran’s military activities.
These latest attacks were the culmination of a week of rising military violence. U.S. planes have been bombing for seven consecutive nights. It included bridges in the vicinity of Bandar Abbas, where the Iranian Navy operates its main bases on the Persian Gulf.
However, two Americans were killed in the fighting on Friday and one is still missing, CENTCOM also said.
Meanwhile, Iran retaliated with attacks against its U.S. allies in the area. Kuwaiti authorities reported that a power station and two water distillation stations were hit by the Iranian attacks, along with an oil facility. Officials also said that they had injuries.
Jordan has intercepted 10 Iranian missiles overnight before they hit their targets, according to the military. Bahrain also announced that its air defenses successfully stopped incoming Iranian attacks. Iranian leaders continued to raise their rhetoric.
Supreme Leader’s aide Major-General Mohsen Rezaei threatened Iran would expand its military assault in response to U.S. strikes. “Iran will no longer limit itself to retaliatory, like-for-like responses… and no political border will be safe,” Rezaei said, according to Iranian media.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Saturday night called Washington’s actions a breach of the previous ceasefire agreement. In a written statement, he said America’s “repeated breaches” had exposed “a fundamental truth: the signature of the US president is utterly worthless and devoid of credibility.” He also described the recent developments as a “dark episode of criminality and broken promises.”
The new round of the unprovoked escalation comes after an earlier truce agreement broke down in mid-June. The pact would have left room for peace talks to lead to a calmed, non-permanent resolution. But negotiations stalled and US President Donald Trump announced July 8 that the deal was over. Later the United States reimposed a blockade of Iranian ports and Tehran declared the Strait of Hormuz closed.
How Did Financial Markets React? The escalating tensions in the energy markets had a strong response. Crude oil rose 4.48% to $82.49 a barrel on Saturday. This was coming on the heels of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which is a vital shipping route. This led to fear of global supplies of oil and increased fuel prices.
On the other hand, the crypto market remained relatively stable. Bitcoin price stood at $64,443.88, up by 1.2% at press time on Saturday. The recovery in BTC’s value came as the GENIUS Act, the US stablecoin bill, completed one year. Now, the crypto market is awaiting the CLARITY Act to enter a Senate floor vote soon.
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Bitcoin continues to experience mixed price action, with the leading cryptocurrency now flashing a signal that has historically appeared near the end of major bear markets.
Onchain indicators spark discussionOn Saturday, July 18, CryptoQuant, a prominent crypto analytics platform known for providing onchain data insights, published new metrics suggesting that Bitcoin’s ongoing downturn could be moving into its final phase.
CryptoQuant analysts presented recent charts tracking the cost basis of wallets classified as short-term and long-term holders. Short-term holders (STH) refer to addresses that have held their Bitcoin for less than six months, while long-term holders (LTH) are those with holding periods exceeding six months.
In an effort to more accurately represent active long-term participants, the analysis excluded coins dormant for over seven years from the LTH cost basis calculation. This adjustment is intended to focus the data on those who may realistically participate in future market activity.
The findings reveal that Bitcoin has maintained a steady downward trajectory over the past nine months. Amid this decline, the STH cost basis has now dropped below the LTH cost basis, a pattern that market analysts often see as an indicator of waning bearish momentum.
Mini dictionary: Cost basis — For Bitcoin holders, the cost basis is the average price at which a coin was acquired. Tracking cost basis across short-term and long-term holders can help analysts assess market sentiment and the stages of price cycles.
Bear market signal debatedAnalysts state that this specific cost basis crossover frequently occurs near the conclusion of bear markets. However, they also caution that the present crossover does not confirm that Bitcoin has reached its lowest price or that a new bull market is imminent.
Instead, the onchain metric points to the possibility that the market is entering the final stages of the current bear cycle. The cost basis trend offers insights but doesn’t provide definitive market turning points.
While the short-term holder cost basis crossing below the long-term level has coincided with the end of bear markets in the past, it does not guarantee that Bitcoin has hit its bottom or that an immediate reversal is underway. The metric signals the market may be approaching the last phase of the downturn.
Recent market shifts and outlookAccording to CryptoQuant’s data, the short-term holder cost basis has declined from $112,500 to roughly $69,000. This drop suggests that recent buyers have been acquiring Bitcoin at progressively lower prices, even as the downturn continues.
Such consistent buying during falling prices may increase the likelihood of a sentiment reversal, as newer market participants position themselves for a potential recovery.
Nonetheless, market participants remain cautious about declaring any definitive shift, keeping a close watch on broader trading patterns and other related onchain signals to confirm whether the bear cycle’s end is near.
MetricPrevious ValueCurrent ValueShort-term holder cost basis$112,500$69,000Long-term holder cost basisAbove STHBelow STHDisclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
18 July 2026 | 22:05 Bitcoin’s market value is rising faster than visible network adoption, shifting attention toward corporate demand, AI-driven portfolio rotation and a macro backdrop shaped by cooler inflation and persistent fiscal deficits.
Key Takeaways Bitcoin’s Metcalfe Ratio near 3.23 suggests its valuation is rising faster than the network activity measured by the model. Corporate and institutional purchases can bring substantial capital into Bitcoin without producing an equal increase in active addresses or transactions. Michael Saylor sees corporate adoption as necessary for Bitcoin to develop into a global monetary network. Jordi Visser argues that Bitcoin is less exposed than traditional companies to competitive disruption from artificial intelligence. Cooler inflation and persistent U.S. fiscal deficits strengthen the macro case, but durable demand still needs to justify the valuation gap. Bitcoin’s Valuation Is Moving Faster Than Its Network João Wedson, founder and CEO of Alphractal, summarized the signal directly: Bitcoin’s valuation is outpacing network adoption.
The Metcalfe Ratio attempts to compare Bitcoin’s market value with activity across its network. A reading near 3.23 does not provide a precise estimate of fair value, but it indicates that market capitalization has increased more quickly than the adoption measure underlying the model.
Alphractal’s official API documentation lists the Metcalfe Ratio among its Bitcoin market indicators, alongside separate measures for network maturity, adoption and valuation.
The ratio remains a model-specific signal rather than a universally accepted measure of Bitcoin’s fair value. Its interpretation depends on the network inputs, historical relationships and methodology used to construct it.
That distinction matters. A rising price accompanied by equally strong network growth suggests that economic activity is expanding alongside valuation. When price moves much faster, the market is paying in advance for adoption that has not yet appeared in the same proportion.
The strongest conclusion is therefore narrower than declaring Bitcoin overvalued. The chart shows that the demand supporting the current market capitalization is not being matched by the same rate of growth in the onchain activity measured by Alphractal’s model.
Corporate Demand May Not Appear in Onchain Adoption Onchain activity and economic adoption are no longer interchangeable.
A new self-custody user may create an address and generate transactions that appear directly in network data. A company, exchange-traded product or institutional investor can acquire a much larger position through a custodian while producing relatively little identifiable activity on Bitcoin’s base layer.
The same compression occurs when thousands of investors gain exposure through one investment vehicle. Their capital remains economically relevant to Bitcoin, but it may be represented onchain by only a small number of consolidated wallets and transactions.
Michael Saylor’s corporate-adoption argument connects with the Alphractal signal.
Saylor argues that companies allow people and capital to organize under a legal structure with greater scale, continuity, transparency and access to credit. For Bitcoin to succeed as a global monetary network, he wrote, corporate adoption is “necessary, inevitable, and welcome.”
Companies enable people to organize under law around a shared mission with greater efficiency, transparency, creditworthiness, scale, resilience, and continuity.
For Bitcoin to succeed as a global monetary network, corporate adoption is necessary, inevitable, and welcome.
— Michael Saylor (@saylor) July 18, 2026
The argument is that companies can move Bitcoin beyond a market driven primarily by individual ownership. Corporations can raise money, issue securities, access credit and maintain acquisition strategies at a scale that most individual buyers cannot reproduce.
That may help explain how Bitcoin’s market value can rise faster than conventional network indicators. One large corporate purchase can introduce more capital than thousands of small onchain users while creating far less visible activity.
It does not make the Metcalfe divergence irrelevant.
Corporate demand is more concentrated than broad user adoption and can depend on financing conditions, executive decisions, shareholder support and access to capital markets. A small number of large buyers can have a powerful effect while they are accumulating, but the market also becomes more sensitive to any slowdown in their purchases.
Saylor’s position is therefore a thesis rather than proof that the valuation gap has already been justified. Corporate adoption could provide the missing demand, but companies must continue allocating real capital for that explanation to hold.
Why Visser Thinks AI Changes the Bitcoin Comparison In a recent discussion with Anthony Pompliano on The Pomp Podcast, Jordi Visser approached the same market from a different direction.
Visser is a veteran macro investor with more than 30 years of experience. His longer-term Bitcoin thesis is built partly around the effect artificial intelligence could have on public companies and traditional business models.
AI may increase productivity, but it can also weaken the competitive advantages on which corporate valuations depend. Software can be replicated, operating costs can collapse, products can become easier to reproduce and established industries can be reorganized by new competitors.
Bitcoin does not operate like a conventional company. It has no management team, profit margins or commercial business model for an AI competitor to disrupt.
For Visser, that makes Bitcoin the only asset whose competitive “moat” he does not have to worry about AI attacking.
The argument does not mean Bitcoin is protected from market risk. Its price can still fall because of leverage, liquidity, regulation, changing investor demand or broader risk reduction. Visser’s point is more specific: technological disruption that damages a company’s expected earnings does not attack Bitcoin through the same channel.
That distinction became more important during the recent unwinding of leveraged positions in AI-related stocks.
Using the volatility figures cited in the discussion, Visser said volatility in the broader AI thematic trade had moved toward 100, while Bitcoin volatility remained near 30. On a simple volatility-adjusted basis, that would theoretically allow a portfolio to hold roughly three times more Bitcoin exposure than AI exposure without increasing its measured volatility.
The comparison should not be treated as a portfolio recommendation. Volatility scaling does not fully account for sudden drawdowns, liquidity conditions, changing correlations or the possibility that historical relationships break during a market shock.
It nevertheless supports a broader observation. Bitcoin became comparatively easier to hold while another major speculative theme was being deleveraged.
That relative resilience could attract investors searching for a new source of market exposure after the sharp rise in AI-related volatility. Visser said he remained considerably more heavily weighted toward crypto than toward the semiconductor positions he had recently begun rebuilding.
His crypto exposure consisted of Bitcoin, Ethereum and shares in Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy.
Cooler Inflation Improves the Short-Term Backdrop The immediate macro environment has also become less hostile.
The U.S. Consumer Price Index fell 0.4% in June, its largest monthly decline since April 2020. Energy prices fell 5.7% and were the largest contributor to the drop.
Headline inflation remained at 3.5% over the previous 12 months, while the index excluding food and energy was unchanged in June and increased 2.6% over the year.
Visser interpreted the report as evidence that inflation may become less important to financial markets during the remainder of the year. The softer reading also reduced expectations that the Federal Reserve would need to raise interest rates again, which he views as positive for crypto and the broader debasement trade.
That interpretation goes beyond what the official data alone can establish. One monthly decline does not guarantee that inflation has been defeated, particularly when much of the drop came from energy prices that can reverse quickly.
The Federal Reserve also remains more cautious. At its June meeting, the central bank maintained the federal funds target range at 3.5% to 3.75% and continued to describe inflation as elevated relative to its 2% goal.
Bitcoin’s relative stability during the recent momentum unwind was encouraging for Visser, but he acknowledged that crypto prices had not yet reflected the full potential benefit of falling rate-hike expectations.
That leaves the short-term case supportive but incomplete. Cooler inflation removes one source of pressure, but it does not automatically create the sustained buying needed to close the gap between Bitcoin’s valuation and visible network adoption.
The Fiscal Deficit Is the Longer-Term Anchor The deeper foundation of Visser’s crypto position is not one inflation report or one Federal Reserve decision. It is the structural U.S. fiscal deficit.
The Congressional Budget Office projects a federal deficit of approximately $1.9 trillion in fiscal 2026, equal to 5.8% of gross domestic product.
Federal outlays are projected to reach 23.3% of GDP, compared with revenues equal to 17.5%. Debt held by the public is expected to reach 101% of GDP during the year and continue rising over the following decade.
That persistent gap is the basis of the debasement argument.
Large deficits do not produce an automatic or immediate increase in Bitcoin’s price. They do, however, require continued government borrowing and contribute to concerns about debt sustainability and the long-term purchasing power of government-issued currencies.
Bitcoin’s fixed supply allows investors to express those concerns through an asset outside the conventional monetary system.
Visser’s position is therefore not that each new deficit dollar flows directly into crypto. It is that persistent fiscal expansion creates a continuing reason for corporations, institutions and macro investors to seek assets whose supply cannot be increased in response to government financing needs.
That long-term argument also helps connect his view with Saylor’s.
Visser explains why investors may want a scarce monetary asset. Saylor explains how companies and financial structures could channel capital into it at scale.
Together, their arguments raise the question at the center of the current market: can corporate and institutional capital validate a Bitcoin price that has already moved ahead of visible onchain adoption?
Bitcoin Is Pricing In a Different Kind of Adoption Metcalfe Ratio near 3.23 Suggests: Bitcoin’s valuation has expanded faster than the network activity measured by Alphractal’s model.
Does Not Prove: That Bitcoin has a precise fair value or is necessarily in a speculative bubble.
Saylor’s corporate thesis Suggests: Companies could bring large-scale capital, credit access and organizational continuity into Bitcoin.
Does Not Prove: That corporations will continue buying at every price or under all financing conditions.
Visser’s AI thesis Suggests: Bitcoin is not exposed to competitive AI disruption through the same earnings and business-model channels as public companies.
Does Not Prove: That Bitcoin is protected from volatility, liquidity shocks or falling investor demand.
Inflation and fiscal conditions Suggests: Lower rate-hike pressure and persistent deficits may support demand for scarce assets outside the traditional monetary system.
Does Not Prove: The timing, scale or durability of future capital flows into Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s price is effectively betting that adoption is changing shape.
The onchain data says valuation has moved ahead of the activity visible in Alphractal’s model. Saylor argues that companies can provide the capital, scale and continuity required to extend Bitcoin’s monetary network, while Visser explains why AI disruption and persistent fiscal deficits could give portfolios a reason to make that allocation.
The thesis remains conditional.
If corporate and institutional demand continues to expand, the gap between valuation and network activity may reflect adoption migrating into custodial products, corporate balance sheets and concentrated investment vehicles.
In that scenario, conventional onchain indicators would still describe an important part of the network, but they would capture only part of the capital supporting Bitcoin’s market value.
If those flows weaken while network activity remains subdued, the same divergence becomes harder to defend. Bitcoin would then rely increasingly on speculation and expectations of future demand rather than adoption already taking place.
The next test is therefore not only whether more people transact directly on Bitcoin. It is whether corporations, funds and macro investors can turn a less visible form of adoption into durable demand.
The price is already anticipating that transition. The capital now has to confirm it.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
Author
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
Wellington-Altus Chief Market Strategist James E. Thorne argued that the main issue facing Bitcoin is not volatility, but its “absolute scarcity” characteristic, which investors have not yet fully priced in.
Thorne noted that in traditional financial circles, the view is frequently expressed that Bitcoin is too volatile to be included in the same portfolio as gold and large-cap corporate stocks. However, the strategist pointed out that drops of 30% to 40% in AI chip manufacturers and high-beta technology stocks are tolerated, and that even assets with a market capitalization exceeding $5 trillion can be considered basic investment vehicles.
Therefore, Thorne stated that volatility alone is not sufficient to exclude an asset from a portfolio, and that the real difference stems from asset class, regulatory structure, and political acceptance. He reminded that semiconductor companies are cash-generating stocks and can be easily included in technology-focused portfolios, while Bitcoin is a monetary asset that does not generate returns, is not tied to any state, and has a limited supply of 21 million units. According to Thorne, the “too volatile” label used for Bitcoin serves as a justification that masks the lack of sufficient regulatory and institutional authority for large investment firms.
He said that if the Clarity Act, currently under consideration in the US, explicitly recognizes and regulates digital assets, investment committees could consider Bitcoin a legitimate portfolio component rather than a compliance issue.
Thorne stated that Bitcoin’s valuation potential would be clearer if regulatory obstacles were removed, arguing that Bitcoin doesn’t need to reach gold’s market capitalization. He suggested that even if Bitcoin only approached Nvidia’s current market capitalization, its unit price could reach approximately $240,000 to $250,000.
Thorne predicted that if Bitcoin were to reach the same market capitalization as gold, its price could rise to between $1.5 million and $1.8 million. He stated that these scenarios are based on Bitcoin’s limited supply, a decrease in the effective supply in circulation, and the normalization of institutional access.
Noting that markets have accepted the sharp fluctuations in AI companies reaching multi-trillion-dollar valuations, Thorne argued that the view that volatility should keep Bitcoin’s value well below these levels stems from monetary and political preferences rather than a genuine risk analysis.
*This is not investment advice.
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Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, stated that corporate adoption of Bitcoin is both necessary and inevitable for the cryptocurrency’s growth as a global monetary network. His comments come amid a significant increase in the amount of Bitcoin held by public companies worldwide.
Corporate adoption reshapes Bitcoin’s futureSaylor argued that companies provide the legal and organizational framework for advancing shared missions efficiently and transparently. In his view, the involvement of businesses lends Bitcoin critical advantages such as scale, legal protection, and operational continuity.
He described companies as structures that enable people to work together under established laws, which supports broader economic activities and integration within the global financial system.
Companies enable people to organize under law around a shared mission with greater efficiency, transparency, creditworthiness, scale, resilience, and continuity. For Bitcoin to succeed as a global monetary network, corporate adoption is necessary, inevitable, and welcome.
Strategy, previously known as MicroStrategy, has played a key role in corporate Bitcoin accumulation. Its persistent buying has sparked ongoing conversations in boardrooms about the use of Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
Saylor emphasized that public companies can raise capital, follow regulatory reporting, and operate under legal frameworks, making them well-positioned to contribute to Bitcoin’s long-term stability and growth.
Public company holdings reach all-time highMarket observers reported a dramatic rise in Bitcoin held by public companies. In 2020, these firms collectively held about 3,000 BTC, valued at roughly $30 million at the time.
As of now, public companies reportedly possess over 1.2 million BTC, marking a significant jump within six years.
Imagine reading this headline in 2020: “Public companies now own over 1.2 million Bitcoin.” At the time, such a milestone seemed impossible. Back then, their combined holdings stood at only 3,000 BTC, valued near $30 million.
The current valuation of these corporate Bitcoin reserves is estimated at approximately $80 billion, reflecting an approximate 400-fold increase in coin holdings and a more than 266,000% surge in dollar terms.
YearPublic Company BTC HoldingsEstimated Value20203,000 BTC$30 million20261,200,000 BTC$80 billionThis surge signals a fundamental shift in how corporations view Bitcoin, increasingly treating it as a strategic reserve asset on their balance sheets. The trend has developed alongside periods of market volatility, showing a consistent expansion in corporate BTC exposure.
Bitcoin treasury strategies gain tractionThe conversation around Bitcoin at the corporate level has broadened, now focusing on its use as a long-term treasury asset rather than just short-term speculation.
A growing number of public companies are adding Bitcoin to their reserves, considering it alongside other assets in corporate treasuries. Advocates argue this gives firms exposure to potential gains while helping diversify assets.
Despite the benefits, adopting Bitcoin as a treasury asset requires navigating accounting, regulatory requirements, and volatility, often making it a high-level decision for company boards.
The increase from 3,000 BTC to more than 1.2 million BTC signals a substantial evolution. Market analysts expect investors to continue tracking company filings and upcoming treasury actions involving Bitcoin.
Mini dictionary: Strategy is a US-based business intelligence firm formerly known as MicroStrategy. The company is renowned in the cryptocurrency industry for allocating large portions of its treasury into Bitcoin, influencing corporate adoption of digital assets.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Bitcoin’s institutional demand will come back stronger, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas. The analyst noted that U.S. spot BTC ETFs could follow gold ETFs’ ‘triumph and pain’ pattern and would eventually surge to a new record high.
Gold ETFs were briefly the world’s largest ETF in 2011 but spent another eight years in a downtrend trying to reclaim the spot, added Balchunas.
It briefly reclaimed it again in 2024, and a similar ‘two steps forward, one step back’ could happen for BTC.
Bitcoin ETFs may be following the same script: spectacular gains, painful drawdowns and recoveries that may test investors’ patience
Source: Bloomberg Spot Bitcoin ETF still holding strong, but…The Bitcoin price has dropped by nearly half from over $126K to $64K. In May and June 2026, the spot BTC ETF outflows hit $7B as the crypto asset briefly slipped below $60K.
Even so, only 10% of spot BTC ETF holders are left, compared to a third of gold ETF investors, Balchunas highlighted.
Source: X Another positive sign that BTC could show resilience and try to defend $60K support was the long-term holder (LTH) supply. Although they have slowly reduced exposure in the past few weeks, this cohort was not net sellers yet.
According to Bitfinex analysts, BTC’s recent dip below $60K was due to deleveraging and ETF outflows as LTH conviction was still intact. But the analysts warned,
Their 30-day net position stayed positive as ETFs shed nearly $4bn in June. Flows have now turned positive three straight sessions. The risk is LTHs finally flipping to net sellers.
Source: Checkonchain/Bitfinex That said, amid renewed U.S-Iran escalations, the two safe havens have not seen strong investor interest, as seen earlier in the year. In the past three months, gold ETFs recorded about $11B outflows while spot BTC ETFs bled $6B. In other words, gold bled twice as much as BTC.
It’s unclear whether BTC will attract more capital and behave like a hedge if the West Asia crisis escalations extend into Q3.
However, the rising oil price above $80 coincided with Bitcoin [BTC]’s sideways structure below $65K, signalling that energy market shocks could still derail the crypto’s upside.
Source: BTC/USDT, TradingView Final Summary Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas projected U.S. Spot BTC ETFs will surge to a record high, citing gold’s past patterns In the meantime, rising oil prices could cap BTC’s upside potential amid renewed West Asia escalations
Gold took two decades to build its ETF empire. Bitcoin is trying to do it in two years.
That is the core observation from Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Eric Balchunas, who argues that Bitcoin ETFs are on a trajectory that closely mirrors the arc of gold ETFs since their launch around 2004. The comparison is not just flattering for Bitcoin. It is also a warning label.
Balchunas points out that both Bitcoin and gold share a structural quirk that sets them apart from most investable assets: neither produces cash flows. That means price movement in both assets is almost entirely a function of investor sentiment.
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The numbers tell a striking story Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares have been accumulating assets since roughly 2004, building to an AUM range of $160B to $235B over more than two decades. Bitcoin ETFs launched in January 2024 and have already pulled in over $38B in net inflows, with total estimated AUM approaching $120B.
Balchunas projects that if the current growth trajectory holds, Bitcoin ETFs could triple the AUM of gold ETFs within the next three to five years.
The engine driving that pace, according to Balchunas, is brokerage access. When Bitcoin ETFs trade on traditional platforms like any other ticker, the friction of managing private keys, seed phrases, and self-custody wallets simply disappears.
Gold’s history is not just a growth story Gold ETFs did not go straight up for 22 years. The asset experienced roughly 40% price drawdowns at certain points, and during one particularly rough stretch, about one-third of gold ETF assets exited within six months.
Balchunas is not burying it. His framing is that Bitcoin ETFs will likely go through similar cycles of sharp gains followed by painful contractions, and that investors who understand the gold playbook will be better positioned to hold through those periods rather than capitulate at the bottom.
What makes the gold comparison particularly apt is the regulatory arc. Gold ETFs spent years in approval limbo before finally launching in the US, and their eventual approval opened the door to a much broader base of institutional capital. Bitcoin ETFs followed a nearly identical pattern: years of SEC rejections, a landmark court ruling, and then a January 2024 launch that brought spot Bitcoin exposure to every brokerage account in America almost overnight.
What this means for investors watching Bitcoin ETFs The spot Bitcoin ETF market is already crowded, with products from BlackRock, Fidelity, and several other issuers competing for inflows. The dominance pattern in gold ETFs, where SPDR Gold Shares captured an outsized share of the market early and largely held it, may or may not repeat in Bitcoin.
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