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2026-09-09 11:38 1mo ago
2026-09-09 07:14 1mo ago
EUR/USD forecast: Oil, US inflation data and ECB all in focus FMP Forex News
Original source text
Risk appetite remained subdued on Wednesday, with equities and bonds under pressure as another leg higher in oil prices added to concerns over the deteriorating situation in the Middle East. In foreign exchange markets, the dollar was modestly firmer after initially weakening against most major currencies.
2026-09-09 11:13 1mo ago
2026-09-09 06:59 1mo ago
Moneta Markets Launches 24/7 Gold Trading on MT5 FMP Forex News
Original source text
New XAUUSD247 offering gives eligible Moneta Markets clients the ability to trade Gold around the clock, seven days a week

Dubai, United Arab Emirates, September 2026, Moneta Markets has announced the launch of 24/7 Gold trading on MetaTrader 5, giving eligible clients the ability to trade its XAUUSD247 product around the clock, including weekends.

The new product offering extends access beyond conventional weekday trading sessions, giving Moneta Markets clients greater flexibility to manage their Gold exposure and respond to major market, geopolitical and economic developments whenever they occur.

Gold is already available as XAUUSD247 within the Moneta Markets commodity offering, while MetaTrader 5 provides clients with access to advanced charting, multiple order types and a comprehensive suite of trading tools.

The addition of 24/7 trading takes that accessibility a step further.

“Gold is one of the most important and closely watched markets in the world, but opportunities don’t always arrive neatly between Monday and Friday,” a Moneta Markets Founder and CEO, David Bily, said.

“Now, our clients have the flexibility to access Gold seven days a week directly through MT5. It’s a simple addition with a meaningful benefit: more choice over when they trade and greater ability to react when markets and world events move.”

The launch forms part of Moneta Markets’ continued investment in expanding its trading product and platform offering, with the broker currently providing access to more than 1,000 instruments across currencies, commodities, indices, share CFDs, ETFs and other markets.

Gold Trading Without the Weekend PauseFor traders, weekends can bring significant developments ranging from geopolitical events and elections to economic announcements and shifts in global risk sentiment.

With the introduction of XAUUSD247, Moneta Markets clients can now access Gold during these periods rather than waiting for conventional weekday trading to resume.

The product is available through MetaTrader 5, allowing existing MT5 users to access the new offering through a familiar trading environment. Moneta Markets’ MT5 platform includes more than 30 built-in indicators, 21 timeframes and support for multiple order types and custom trading tools.

XAUUSD247 is now available to eligible Moneta Markets clients on MT5.

About Moneta Markets

Moneta Markets provides eligible clients with access to more than 1,000 instruments across global markets, including currencies, indices, commodities, share CFDs and ETFs, through a range of desktop, web-based and mobile trading platforms.

For more information, visit www.monetamarkets.com.
2026-09-09 10:58 1mo ago
2026-09-09 06:49 1mo ago
EUR/USD Price Forecast: 1.1686-1.1710 zone remains key hurdle
EURUSD EUR/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The Euro (EUR) gives back its early gains and flattens at around 1.1625 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair falls back as the US Dollar recovers its early losses.

At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades flat around 98.82.

Financial markets expect the outlook of the US Dollar banks upon the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August, which will be released on Friday.

US inflation seen contained even as headline picks up on energyAccording to TD Securities, the upcoming August CPI report should show that underlying price pressures remain contained, with the bank expecting that "underlying inflation stayed under control, with core likely rising 0.19% m/m (2.3% y/y)." Strategists there highlight that "the services segment should be the main driver, while core goods prices likely acted as a drag by posting a modest m/m drop." In contrast, they anticipate that "headline CPI will likely be a stronger 0.37% m/m (3.4% y/y) due to rising energy prices and a slight pickup in food inflation."

The inflation data is expected to have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy outlook.

Currently, the CME FedWatch tool shows a 60% chance that the Fed will raise interest rates in the September policy meeting.

Meanwhile, the Euro is expected to trade broadly sideways ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy announcement on Thursday. According to market expectations, the ECB will hike policy rates by 25 basis points (bps), which underscores commentary on interest rate expectations as a key trigger for the Euro’s next move.

Strategists at Scotiabank said in a note that “focus this week centres on Thursday’s ECB, where policymakers are widely expected to deliver a 25bps hike while maintaining a relatively hawkish tone as they seek to lean against the risk of energy-led inflation and mitigate any potential for broadening inflationary pressures.”

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

In the daily chart, EUR/USD trades at 1.1626. The pair holds a modest bullish bias as spot remains above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.1605.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at roughly 57 stays in neutral-positive territory, hinting that upside momentum is present but not overstretched after the recent push higher.

On the downside, immediate support is located at the 20-day EMA around 1.1605, where a daily close below would weaken the constructive tone and expose a deeper correction toward prior lows; below that, the psychological level of 1.1500 is the key support level. On the upside, the 1.1686-1.1710 range is the critical supply zone for the pair.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Economic Indicator ECB Main Refinancing Operations Rate One of the three key interest rates set by the European Central Bank (ECB), the main refinancing operations rate is the interest rate the ECB charges to banks for one-week long loans. It is announced by the European Central Bank at its eight scheduled annual meetings. If the ECB expects inflation to rise, it will increase its interest rates to bring it back down to its 2% target. This tends to be bullish for the Euro (EUR), since it attracts more foreign capital inflows. Likewise, if the ECB sees inflation falling it may cut the main refinancing operations rate to encourage banks to borrow and lend more, in the hope of driving economic growth. This tends to weaken the Euro as it reduces its attractiveness as a place for investors to park capital.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Sep 10, 2026 12:15

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: 2.65%

Previous: 2.4%

Source: European Central Bank
2026-09-09 10:27 1mo ago
2026-09-09 06:14 1mo ago
USD/JPY Hits Seven-Month Low as Traders Await US Inflation and BoJ Rate Hike FMP Forex News
Original source text
This does not necessarily mean that a 2024-style global carry-trade unwind is imminent. The BoJ has spent considerable time preparing markets for the possibility of higher rates, making a move next week considerably less surprising than the July 2024 rate increase. Nevertheless, the risk would increase if the central bank combines a rate hike with guidance suggesting that additional increases could follow relatively quickly.

Intervention and Domestic Repatriation Add Another Layer of Support for the Yen Monetary policy is not the only factor supporting the Japanese currency. The possibility of renewed government intervention remains an important consideration for traders, particularly after the scale of Tokyo’s recent operations. Japan spent approximately ¥15.4 trillion, or nearly $99 billion, on yen-buying intervention between July 30 and August 26, according to Japanese Finance Ministry data.

The operation helped push the yen away from levels near 164 per dollar, while part of the intervention was coordinated with the United States. Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama has subsequently stressed that Tokyo and Washington remain aligned on the objective of maintaining orderly foreign-exchange markets.

That means traders cannot simply assume that a renewed yen depreciation would be tolerated indefinitely. If the USD/JPY were to reverse sharply higher and return towards the levels that previously prompted official action, the perceived intervention risk could itself become a deterrent to aggressive yen-selling.

There is also a potentially more structural source of yen demand: Japanese institutional investors.

Japan’s enormous pension and financial sector has historically allocated substantial amounts of capital overseas, partly because extremely low domestic yields encouraged investors to search for returns abroad. That equation is changing as Japanese government bond yields rise. The 10-year JGB yield recently reached 3%, its highest level since 1996, making domestic fixed-income assets considerably more attractive than they were during the ultra-low-rate era.

Fitch Ratings expects Japanese policy rates to rise faster than current market consensus in 2026 and 2027, arguing that higher domestic yields could reduce the incentive for Japanese institutions to pursue lower-yielding foreign assets. The ratings agency said domestic banks and life insurers are already reassessing opportunities at home, even though there is not yet clear evidence of a major portfolio shift by the Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF).

The potential scale of such a shift is significant. Japan’s pension system manages assets measured in trillions of dollars, meaning even a modest change in the allocation between overseas and domestic investments could generate substantial currency flows.

For the USD/JPY, this introduces a potentially important structural headwind. If Japanese yields continue to rise while the BoJ signals further tightening, domestic institutions may have less reason to hedge or maintain large overseas allocations. Repatriation flows could then provide an additional source of yen demand independently of speculative positioning.

Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fitch Ratings, Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Jefferies, Bank of Japan (BoJ), U.S. Federal Reserve, Reuters Japanese Ministry of Finance
2026-09-09 10:27 1mo ago
2026-09-09 06:16 1mo ago
Gold Spot/US Dollar faces rejection at 0.618 Arc – Potential decline toward 4,366 FMP Forex News
Original source text
Gold Spot/US Dollar (XAU/USD): Arc cycle analysis

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 1h chart, Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar is interacting with the 0.618 Resistance Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Bullish momentum has faded near this boundary, indicating that the upper Arc continues to cap upside expansion.

Market outlookThe 0.618 Arc continues to act as a resistance boundary, capping upside expansion. Bullish attempts have stalled beneath the Resistance Arc, indicating that the resistance remains intact.

If the Resistance Arc holds firm, a decline toward 4,366 becomes the primary scenario. Conversely, a sustained 1h close above 4,410 would invalidate the bearish scenario, opening the path toward the next Resistance Arc at the 0.786 Arc level.
2026-09-09 09:57 1mo ago
2026-09-09 05:44 1mo ago
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bounces up to $4,400 with the bearish trend intact FMP Forex News
Original source text
Gold (XAU/USD) trims losses on Wednesday, with price action returning to the $4,400 area during the European morning session, after bouncing from $4,345 lows on Tuesday. The precious metal is drawing support from broad-based US Dollar (USD) weakness, although the broader trend remains bearish, after losing more than $100 in the previous three trading days.

The Greenback is on its back foot on Wednesday, with investors awaiting Friday's US Consumer Inflation figures to confirm expectations that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates next week.

Strategists at Brown Brothers Harriman argue that “a hot CPI print would all but seal a September hike and underpin a firmer USD,” whereas “a cooler reading would strengthen the case for a hold and leave USD vulnerable to a dovish Fed repricing.” BBH experts, however, warn that “even if a September Fed hike becomes a done deal, we doubt USD will make new cyclical highs,” noting that tightening by other major central banks “limits policy divergence, with the ECB widely expected to deliver a 25bps hike tomorrow.”

Technical Analysis: A bearish H&S pattern looms

XAU/USD has trimmed losses, returning to $4,400, yet with price action contained within Tuesday's range, and with the broader bearish structure intact. The precious metal remains capped below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), with last week's knee-jerk reaction looking like the second shoulder of a bearish Head & Shoulders (H&S) formation.

Momentum indicators in the daily chart are neutral-to-bearish, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) flat around 50 and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) in negative territory, suggesting that rebounds are vulnerable.

Tuesday's low in the mid-$4,300s is holding bears for now and closing the path to the H&S neckline between $4,311 and $4,282, the August 14 and September 2 lows, respectively. A confirmation below those levels brings the August 6 low, at $4,223, into focus. Upside attempts above $4,400, on the contrary, are likely to meet resistance at Tuesday's high of $4,443, ahead of last week's highs around $4,500 and the 200-day SMA at $4,537.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Gold FAQs Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.
2026-09-09 09:52 1mo ago
2026-09-09 05:31 1mo ago
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
SILVER Stříbro
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $66.58 per troy ounce, up 1.23% from the $65.76 it cost on Tuesday.

Silver prices have decreased by 6.34% since the beginning of the year.

The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, stood at 66.08 on Wednesday, down from 66.23 on Tuesday.

Silver FAQs Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
2026-09-09 09:42 1mo ago
2026-09-09 05:25 1mo ago
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Remains below 1.3800 as bearish bias prevails
USDCAD USD/CAD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
USD/CAD extends its losses for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.3780 during the European hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the pair is falling within the descending channel pattern, signalling a persistent bearish bias.

USD/CAD is holding a bearish near-term bias as spot remains under both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The short-term EMA below the longer one and price trading beneath both hint at a capped corrective tone, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 38 stays in negative territory without yet signaling oversold conditions.

The USD/CAD pair may fall toward the descending channel bottom at 1.3600, followed by 1.3481, the lowest since October 2024.

On the upside, the primary barrier lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.3819, followed by the descending channel top near the 50-day EMA of 1.3918. A break above this confluence resistance zone would strengthen the bullish bias and support the pair to explore the region around the nearly 17-month high of 1.4248, which was recorded on June 24, 2026.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Canadian Dollar Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHFUSD-0.08%-0.04%-0.31%-0.04%-0.03%0.14%0.01%EUR0.08%0.05%-0.23%0.03%0.03%0.23%0.10%GBP0.04%-0.05%-0.27%-0.00%0.00%0.18%0.06%JPY0.31%0.23%0.27%0.26%0.27%0.42%0.32%CAD0.04%-0.03%0.00%-0.26%0.00%0.19%0.04%AUD0.03%-0.03%-0.00%-0.27%-0.00%0.19%0.09%NZD-0.14%-0.23%-0.18%-0.42%-0.19%-0.19%-0.12%CHF-0.01%-0.10%-0.06%-0.32%-0.04%-0.09%0.12% The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).
2026-09-09 09:42 1mo ago
2026-09-09 05:38 1mo ago
EUR/USD –09.09.2026
EURUSD EUR/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Orbex Group Limited is the holding company of Orbex Global Limited, Orbex Limited is an affiliate with Orbex Global Limited. Orbex Global Limited is authorized and regulated by Mauritius Financial Services Commission “FSC” (View License). Orbex.com is owned by Orbex Group Limited and is operated by Orbex Global Limited with registered address: Ground Floor, The Catalyst, Silicon Avenue, 40 Cybercity, 72201 Ebène, Republic of Mauritius

Risk Warning: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss of some or all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Orbex Global does not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as Mauritius, USA, and North Korea.
2026-09-09 09:42 1mo ago
2026-09-09 05:38 1mo ago
GBP/USD –09.09.2026
GBPUSD GBP/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Orbex Group Limited is the holding company of Orbex Global Limited, Orbex Limited is an affiliate with Orbex Global Limited. Orbex Global Limited is authorized and regulated by Mauritius Financial Services Commission “FSC” (View License). Orbex.com is owned by Orbex Group Limited and is operated by Orbex Global Limited with registered address: Ground Floor, The Catalyst, Silicon Avenue, 40 Cybercity, 72201 Ebène, Republic of Mauritius

Risk Warning: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss of some or all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Orbex Global does not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as Mauritius, USA, and North Korea.
2026-09-09 09:42 1mo ago
2026-09-09 05:38 1mo ago
USD/JPY –09.09.2026 FMP Forex News
Original source text
  USDJPY managed to resume the drop as traders anticipate a rate hike from the Bank of Japan next week. The market faces support around the 152.00-15 zone while resistance at 155.00-20 could lead to a trading zone here.
2026-09-09 09:42 1mo ago
2026-09-09 05:38 1mo ago
Gold –09.09.2026 FMP Forex News
Original source text
Orbex Group Limited is the holding company of Orbex Global Limited, Orbex Limited is an affiliate with Orbex Global Limited. Orbex Global Limited is authorized and regulated by Mauritius Financial Services Commission “FSC” (View License). Orbex.com is owned by Orbex Group Limited and is operated by Orbex Global Limited with registered address: Ground Floor, The Catalyst, Silicon Avenue, 40 Cybercity, 72201 Ebène, Republic of Mauritius

Risk Warning: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss of some or all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Orbex Global does not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as Mauritius, USA, and North Korea.
2026-09-09 09:30 1mo ago
2026-09-09 02:00 1mo ago
Pound to Australian Dollar Price Forecast: Can Weak Australian Sentiment Lift GBP?
GBPAUD GBP/AUD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The Pound-Australian Dollar rate could edge higher if Chinese inflation disappoints and Australian sentiment stays weak, while rising gilt yields may cap Sterling. The Pound to Australian Dollar (GBP/AUD) exchange rate traded in a narrow range on Tuesday as a decline in sentiment across the Australian economy has curbed AUD's recent bullish momentum.

At the time of writing, GBP/AUD was trading at AU$1.8763. Virtually unchanged from the start of Tuesday’s opening levels.

Latest — Exchange Rates:

Pound to Australian Dollar (GBP/AUD): 1.875775 (-0.02%)

Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD): 1.353466 (-0.09%)

DAILY RECAP:

The Australian Dollar (AUD) stalled on Tuesday, amid a deterioration in domestic consumer and business confidence.

The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index fell 5.2% in September to 84.4, reversing almost all of the 6% improvement recorded in August, with the survey pointing to growing concerns over household finances.

Businesses were similarly downbeat. The latest NAB Business Survey showed confidence falling two points to -8 in August, while business conditions dropped five points to -1 – the first negative reading since the COVID pandemic.

This has robbed the 'Aussie' of some of its recent momentum, after being propelled to a multi-month high by Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy speculation after AUD investors grew increasingly hawkish in pricing in further monetary tightening from the bank this year.

The Pound (GBP) was muted on Tuesday as a fresh rise in oil prices fuelled renewed concerns over inflation and pushed UK government bond yields higher.

Brent crude climbed towards $100 a barrel on Tuesday morning after attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure intensified fears over disruptions to global energy supplies, adding to the inflationary pressures already weighing on markets.

The jump in energy prices prompted a broader sell-off in government bonds, with 10-year gilt yields edging higher after already reaching multi-year highs during the recent bout of market turmoil.

This added to concerns over the UK's borrowing costs and the amount of fiscal headroom available to Chancellor John Healey ahead of his October Budget.

Near-Term GBP/AUD Forecast: Recovery in Chinese Inflation to Strengthen the 'Aussie'? Looking ahead to the middle of the week, the next catalyst of movement for the Pound to Australian Dollar exchange rate is likely to be the publication of China's latest inflation figures.

The Australian dollar's status as a proxy for China could see the 'Aussie' supported if August's data shows prices began to accelerate again, after a protracted run of month-on-month disinflation.

Meanwhile, UK economic data remains in short supply through the middle of the week, which is likely to leave movement in the Pound to be driven by wider market trends.

Exchange Rates UK Research Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-09-09 09:30 1mo ago
2026-09-09 03:15 1mo ago
Gold Price Forecast: UBS Sees a Buying Opportunity in Gold's Latest Pullback FMP Forex News
Original source text
UBS favours buying gold on price falls, with central-bank purchases running at roughly twice the pace of the preceding decade. The price of Gold rebounded towards $4,401 an ounce on Wednesday, recovering much of Tuesday’s 1.61% decline as a softer US Dollar supported buying ahead of this week’s US inflation figures.

Our live XAU/USD rate was up 1.14% at 08:04 BST, still below Monday’s close near $4,423.

UBS favours using the recent falls to build exposure, even as it expects two Federal Reserve rate increases in 2026.

“Investors with an affinity for gold can consider using price weakness to build a mid-single-digit strategic allocation,” the bank said.

Higher rates would increase the cost of holding gold, which pays no income, and UBS acknowledges that rising real yields and a stronger Dollar could put further pressure on prices.

US producer-price figures arrive on Thursday, followed by consumer-price inflation on Friday, with stronger readings threatening to reinforce expectations for tighter monetary policy.

UBS puts central-bank purchases at an average of around 1,000 tonnes annually over the past four years, roughly double the pace of the preceding decade.

China added nearly 20 tonnes in July, its largest monthly purchase since October 2023, the bank said.

“Central bank demand remains robust, supported by reserve diversification and a long-term desire to reduce exposure to US dollar assets.”

Gold exchange-traded funds also attracted renewed investment in July, led by Europe.

UBS believes persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and concerns over fiscal and monetary credibility could offset some of the pressure from higher yields and the Dollar.

Other banks have also retained bullish gold calls through the selloff, including Standard Chartered, which restored gold to Overweight and raised its 12-month forecast to $5,000.

Image: Gold price in USD one-month chart For UBS, the case for holding gold extends beyond whether the Fed raises rates at its next meeting.

“We view gold as a strategic portfolio hedge and diversifier, rather than as a tactical expression of the next Fed decision.”

Exchange Rates UK Research Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-09-09 09:30 1mo ago
2026-09-09 03:45 1mo ago
The Canadian Dollar Is Gaining Despite Trump's Latest Attack - USD/CAD Forecast
USDCAD USD/CAD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Scotiabank finds little evidence the Canadian Dollar is misaligned, despite Trump’s complaint about a currency “imbalance”. The US Dollar to Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD) exchange rate edged lower to 1.3774 on Wednesday, extending two days of losses as rising oil prices supported the Loonie despite escalating trade tensions.

At the time of writing, USD/CAD was down 0.03%, following declines of 0.23% on Monday and 0.20% on Tuesday.

Image: USD to CAD rate chart over the last 48 hours Scotiabank’s valuation model puts the pair close to its estimated equilibrium of 1.3756, offering little support for President Trump’s suggestion that Canada’s currency is out of line.

“Nor is there any indication whatsoever that the CAD is significantly out of line with underlying fundamentals.”

The model incorporates short-term US-Canada interest-rate differentials, commodity prices, equities and the broader US Dollar.

Its estimate describes fair value under those conditions, rather than a dated exchange-rate target.

Trump’s wording leaves room for doubt Trump’s weekend post complained that Canada’s currency “Dollar imbalance with the US is unacceptable”, as the countries prepared another round of retaliatory trade measures.

Scotiabank said even its own desk had differing interpretations of the message.

The reference to currency was explicit, but “imbalance” sounded more like a complaint about trade.

“The post reads more as a grievance than a complaint about misalignment but it does elevate the CAD as a potential source of friction between Washington and Ottawa moving forward.”

The bank sees no obvious grounds for treating Canada as a currency manipulator, citing its trade and current-account position and history of allowing the currency to float.

The Bank of Canada explains that the Canadian Dollar has no fixed value against another currency or gold.

Oil prices have helped the Canadian Dollar withstand the trade headlines, with WTI’s surge beyond $90 lifting the price of a major Canadian export.

Scotiabank interprets Trump’s comment as “political signalling rather than a clear currency policy shift”, while warning that deliberately weakening the US Dollar could disrupt capital flows and complicate the Fed’s inflation fight.

We think any follow-up from the US Treasury deserves particular attention, especially if Washington begins making specific demands about the Canadian Dollar.

Scotiabank itself argues that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent would be more likely to raise the issue if the administration were seriously targeting Canada’s exchange rate.

Exchange Rates UK Research Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-09-09 09:13 1mo ago
2026-09-09 04:57 1mo ago
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Flat lines near 0.8100 as bulls await US inflation data
USDCHF USD/CHF
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The USD/CHF pair reverses modest intraday losses and climbs to the top end of its daily range during the first half of the European session on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, remain confined within the weekly range and currently trade just below the 0.8100 mark, nearly unchanged for the day as traders seem hesitant ahead of US inflation figures.

The US Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be published on Thursday and Friday, respectively. The crucial data will be looked at for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy path, which, in turn, will drive the US Dollar (USD) and provide a fresh impetus to the USD/CHF pair. In the meantime, rising September Fed rate hike bets and inflation risks stemming from persistently higher energy prices due to escalating US-Iran tensions should act as a tailwind for the Greenback.

The USD/CHF pair keeps the near-term bias constructive above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.8004 and a dense Fibonacci support band between the 61.8% retracement at 0.8028 and the 38.2% retracement at 0.8077. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 50 suggests neutral momentum after earlier gains. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), however, has turned slightly positive, hinting that upside pressure is moderating rather than reversing.

This suggests that the USD/CHF pair might continue to find some support near the 38.2% Fibo. retracement at 0.8077, which is followed by the 50.0% level at 0.8053 and the 61.8% retracement at 0.8028. A deeper pullback would expose the 100-day SMA at 0.8004, ahead of the 78.6% retracement at 0.7994 and the prior swing base near 0.7950. On the topside, initial resistance sits at the 23.6% retracement at 0.8107, with a break higher opening the way toward the cycle high around 0.8156.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

USD/CHF daily chart

US Dollar FAQs The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world’s reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away.

The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.
2026-09-09 09:13 1mo ago
2026-09-09 04:58 1mo ago
USD/JPY falls to seven-month low: What's going on? FMP Forex News
Original source text
USD/JPY fell to 153.50 on Wednesday, leaving the Japanese yen close to its strongest level in almost seven months. The currency is receiving additional support from comments by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, which have made market participants increasingly cautious about betting against the yen.

Bessent said he clearly understood what to expect from the Bank of Japan, particularly regarding when Japanese authorities are prepared to respond to excessive exchange-rate movements. His remarks have reinforced traders’ concerns about further intervention in the currency market.

Expectations surrounding Japanese monetary policy are also supporting the yen. The Bank of Japan could raise interest rates as early as next week. At the same time, Sanae Takaichi’s administration has adopted a firmer stance on the currency, acknowledging the need to curb excessive yen weakness.

The yen is also benefiting from the unwinding of carry trades and growing expectations of capital repatriation to Japan. Meanwhile, sentiment among Japanese manufacturers improved for a second consecutive month in September, supported by resilient demand from the semiconductor and data-centre sectors.

USD/JPY technical analysis

On the H4 USD/JPY chart, the market formed a consolidation range around 154.81. The range subsequently expanded downwards to 152.88 and upwards to 154.39.

An upside breakout from the current range could open the way for a recovery towards 154.88. Conversely, a downside breakout would increase the likelihood of a further correction towards 152.12.

The MACD indicator supports the bearish scenario. Its signal line remains below zero and is pointing firmly downwards, indicating continued downside momentum.

On the H1 USD/JPY chart, the market completed an upward move to 154.41 and is currently forming a downward move towards 152.12.

A break below 152.12 could extend the decline towards 149.30.

The Stochastic oscillator also supports the bearish outlook. Its signal line is below 50 and is falling sharply towards 20, suggesting that downward momentum may persist in the short term and push USD/JPY to new local lows.

ConclusionThe yen remains supported by a combination of monetary policy expectations, intervention risks, carry-trade unwinding and improving domestic economic sentiment. As long as USD/JPY remains under pressure below the 154.39–154.88 area, the technical picture continues to favour a move towards 152.12.

A confirmed break below this level could strengthen bearish momentum and expose the 149.30 area as the next downside target. A recovery above 154.39, however, would weaken the immediate bearish scenario and could trigger a rebound towards 154.88.
2026-09-09 09:13 1mo ago
2026-09-09 05:05 1mo ago
Oil, GBP/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch FMP Forex News
Original source text
Oil prices have extended gains for a ninth straight session, up 10% so far in September as hostilities in the Middle East escalate, raising concerns over further disruption to global oil supplies.
2026-09-09 09:03 1mo ago
2026-09-09 04:57 1mo ago
USD/JPY Falls to Seven-Month Low: What's Going On? FMP Forex News
Original source text
USD/JPY fell to 153.50 on Wednesday, leaving the Japanese yen close to its strongest level in almost seven months. The currency is receiving additional support from comments by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, which have made market participants increasingly cautious about betting against the yen.

Bessent said he clearly understood what to expect from the Bank of Japan, particularly regarding when Japanese authorities are prepared to respond to excessive exchange-rate movements. His remarks have reinforced traders’ concerns about further intervention in the currency market.

Expectations surrounding Japanese monetary policy are also supporting the yen. The Bank of Japan could raise interest rates as early as next week. At the same time, Sanae Takaichi’s administration has adopted a firmer stance on the currency, acknowledging the need to curb excessive yen weakness.

The yen is also benefiting from the unwinding of carry trades and growing expectations of capital repatriation to Japan. Meanwhile, sentiment among Japanese manufacturers improved for a second consecutive month in September, supported by resilient demand from the semiconductor and data-centre sectors.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

On the H4 USD/JPY chart, the market formed a consolidation range around 154.81. The range subsequently expanded downwards to 152.88 and upwards to 154.39.

An upside breakout from the current range could open the way for a recovery towards 154.88. Conversely, a downside breakout would increase the likelihood of a further correction towards 152.12.

The MACD indicator supports the bearish scenario. Its signal line remains below zero and is pointing firmly downwards, indicating continued downside momentum.

On the H1 USD/JPY chart, the market completed an upward move to 154.41 and is currently forming a downward move towards 152.12.

A break below 152.12 could extend the decline towards 149.30.

The Stochastic oscillator also supports the bearish outlook. Its signal line is below 50 and is falling sharply towards 20, suggesting that downward momentum may persist in the short term and push USD/JPY to new local lows.

Conclusion
The yen remains supported by a combination of monetary policy expectations, intervention risks, carry-trade unwinding and improving domestic economic sentiment. As long as USD/JPY remains under pressure below the 154.39–154.88 area, the technical picture continues to favour a move towards 152.12.

A confirmed break below this level could strengthen bearish momentum and expose the 149.30 area as the next downside target. A recovery above 154.39, however, would weaken the immediate bearish scenario and could trigger a rebound towards 154.88.

RoboForex Ltdhttps://www.roboforex.com/

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2026-09-09 08:53 1mo ago
2026-09-09 04:32 1mo ago
Euro: Mid-range trading with capped upside against US Dollar – ING
EURUSD EUR/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
ING’s Chris Turner describes EUR/USD near 1.1600 as mid-range since April, noting Euro terms-of-trade deterioration should weigh more on the pair. ING expects a dovish ECB hike that fails to validate additional tightening priced by markets. With a quiet Eurozone calendar, they see limited justification for a break above 1.1640/45 and prefer a 1.15 end-September target after a Fed hike.

Euro holds but upside seen limited"Near 1.1600, EUR/USD is sitting approximately in the middle of its range seen since April. As above, we would have thought that the clear decline in the euro's terms of trade would be an important factor weighing on EUR/USD this week. The fact that it is holding up quite well probably raises more questions for the dollar."

"Unlike the market, we are looking for a dovish hike – or at least a hike which does not support the additional 50bp of tightening priced in after Thursday's expected 25bp move."

"The eurozone calendar is very quiet today. We do not quite see a justification for EUR/USD to break above resistance at 1.1640/45, but if so, 1.1675/80 beckons. At present, we prefer a 1.15 end-September target on the back of a Fed hike."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-08 23:49 1mo ago
Gold appears as a ‘sell-on-bounce' trade amid widening Middle East conflict FMP Forex News
Original source text
Gold is replicating the recovery move seen in Tuesday’s Asian trading, bouncing off one-week lows near $4,350 early Wednesday. However, buyers remain cautious amid widening Middle East conflict.   

Gold: Will the rebound last?Gold is attempting a tepid rebound, halting a three-day decline so far this Wednesday, as the US Dollar (USD) struggles near two-week lows amid resurgent demand for the Japanese Yen (JPY).

Continued bets surrounding the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) aggressive tightening cycle remain a tailwind for the local currency, while weighing on the USD/JPY pair and the Greenback.

However, the downside in the USD could be limited by the widening conflict in the Middle East, which keeps Oil prices elevated and inflation concerns alive. This, in turn, bolsters expectations for more than one Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike this year.

Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen launched strikes on several Saudi cities.

Meanwhile, the US Central Command said it destroyed five Iranian crude oil carriers on Tuesday, which it called a response to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) targeting a US Navy warship with ballistic missiles twice over the previous two days

A separate IRGC statement said it attacked two US destroyers, state media reported.

Looking ahead, Gold remains exposed to two-way risks as the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data looms, with a sell-the-bounce trading strategy likely, particularly after China’s inflation came in hotter-than-expected.

China's CPI rose 0.8% year-over-year (YoY) in August, accelerating from 0.5% in July. The Producer Price Index increased 3.8%, exceeding the forecast for a 3.6% gain and outpacing July’s 3.5%.

US CPI outlook sees core contained for now but risks skewed to the upsideAccording to TD Securities, this week’s CPI release should show that “underlying inflation stayed under control in August,” with the core index expected “to rise 0.19% m/m.” Strategists there anticipate that “the services segment should be the main driver of inflation, while core goods prices likely acted as a drag, posting a modest m/m drop.” On an annual basis, they “project that core CPI rose 2.3% on a y/y basis, down 10 bps vs July, while headline inflation likely stayed unchanged at 3.4% y/y.” However, they caution that “risks to our forecasts” are “skewed to the upside given that we're assuming a number of large price declines in tariff-exposed goods categories.”

Looking beyond the August print, TD Securities expects “core inflation to see some relief in Q3,” noting that “we expect the core segment to continue to evolve positively through October after cresting in May at 2.9% y/y.” They say the same pattern likely applies to headline CPI, which “likely saw its peak for the year at 4.2% in May,” though they stress that “its evolution will remain entirely dependent on the final resolution of the Middle East conflict.” Overall, TD Securities anticipates that “both series” will “resume y/ y momentum in Q4.”

Gold price technical analysis: Daily chart

In the daily chart, XAU/USD trades at $4,379.08, holding in a neutral but slightly constructive stance as it sits above the 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at roughly $4,261 and $4,343 respectively, while remaining capped beneath the 21-day SMA near $4,462 and the longer-term 200-day SMA around $4,537. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 49 suggests directionless momentum for now, hinting at consolidation rather than a clear trend extension until price resolves away from this mid-range band of moving averages.

On the topside, initial resistance is defined by the 21-day SMA at about $4,462, with a break there exposing the more formidable barrier at the 200-day SMA near $4,537, where longer-term sellers could re-emerge. On the downside, immediate support is implied by the latest close around $4,379, followed by the 100-day SMA at roughly $4,343 and then the 50-day SMA near $4,261, and a decisive drop below this cluster would weaken the constructive tone and open the door to a deeper corrective phase.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Gold FAQs Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 00:01 1mo ago
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Bullish bias remains above 1.1600 ahead of ECB and US inflation
EURUSD EUR/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The EUR/USD pair attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains confined within the weekly range. Spot prices currently trade near the 1.1630 region, up around 0.05% for the day, as bulls opt to wait for the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting and crucial US inflation figures.

A 25 basis point (bps) rate hike by the ECB on Thursday is considered a done deal, suggesting that the focus will be on the central bank's outlook amid elevated inflation risks. Traders will then confront the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday and Friday, respectively, which might offer cues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy path. In the meantime, September Fed rate hike bets remain in play, which, along with geopolitical uncertainties, could support the US Dollar (USD) and cap gains for the EUR/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, spot prices hold a constructive short-term bias above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart, at 1.1579, and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 1.1323–1.2072 upswing at 1.1609. Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 58 and a slightly positive Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading hint that bullish momentum persists, though not in overstretched territory.

Meanwhile, initial resistance is aligned at the 50.0% retracement at 1.1698, followed by the 61.8% level at 1.1786, with higher barriers at 1.1912 and the 1.2072 swing high. On the downside, immediate support is seen at the 38.2% retracement at 1.1609, ahead of the 200-period EMA at 1.1579. A convincing break below these would expose the 23.6% retracement at 1.1500 and the 1.1323 cycle low.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

EUR/USD 4-hour chart

ECB FAQs The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region. The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro. QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 00:30 1mo ago
Malaysia Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data FMP Forex News
Original source text
Gold prices rose in Malaysia on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

The price for Gold stood at 572.77 Malaysian Ringgits (MYR) per gram, up compared with the MYR 569.96 it cost on Tuesday.

The price for Gold increased to MYR 6,681.12 per tola from MYR 6,647.86 per tola a day earlier.

Unit measure

Gold Price in MYR

1 Gram

572.77

10 Grams

5,728.08

Tola

6,681.12

Troy Ounce

17,815.29

FXStreet calculates Gold prices in Malaysia by adapting international prices (USD/MYR) to the local currency and measurement units. Prices are updated daily based on the market rates taken at the time of publication. Prices are just for reference and local rates could diverge slightly.

Gold FAQs Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

(An automation tool was used in creating this post.)
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 00:35 1mo ago
India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data
GOLD Zlato
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Gold prices rose in India on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

The price for Gold stood at 13,375.71 Indian Rupees (INR) per gram, up compared with the INR 13,301.55 it cost on Tuesday.

The price for Gold increased to INR 156,011.30 per tola from INR 155,146.70 per tola a day earlier.

Unit measure

Gold Price in INR

1 Gram

13,375.71

10 Grams

133,756.80

Tola

156,011.30

Troy Ounce

416,031.50

FXStreet calculates Gold prices in India by adapting international prices (USD/INR) to the local currency and measurement units. Prices are updated daily based on the market rates taken at the time of publication. Prices are just for reference and local rates could diverge slightly.

Gold FAQs Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

(An automation tool was used in creating this post.)
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 00:45 1mo ago
Pakistan Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data FMP Forex News
Original source text
Gold prices rose in Pakistan on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

The price for Gold stood at 38,956.30 Pakistani Rupees (PKR) per gram, up compared with the PKR 38,759.07 it cost on Tuesday.

The price for Gold increased to PKR 454,378.60 per tola from PKR 452,078.20 per tola a day earlier.

Unit measure

Gold Price in PKR

1 Gram

38,956.30

10 Grams

389,563.00

Tola

454,378.60

Troy Ounce

1,211,686.00

FXStreet calculates Gold prices in Pakistan by adapting international prices (USD/PKR) to the local currency and measurement units. Prices are updated daily based on the market rates taken at the time of publication. Prices are just for reference and local rates could diverge slightly.

Gold FAQs Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

(An automation tool was used in creating this post.)
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 00:55 1mo ago
United Arab Emirates Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data FMP Forex News
Original source text
Gold prices rose in United Arab Emirates on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

The price for Gold stood at 517.11 United Arab Emirates Dirhams (AED) per gram, up compared with the AED 514.29 it cost on Tuesday.

The price for Gold increased to AED 6,031.44 per tola from AED 5,998.59 per tola a day earlier.

Unit measure

Gold Price in AED

1 Gram

517.11

10 Grams

5,171.07

Tola

6,031.44

Troy Ounce

16,083.86

FXStreet calculates Gold prices in United Arab Emirates by adapting international prices (USD/AED) to the local currency and measurement units. Prices are updated daily based on the market rates taken at the time of publication. Prices are just for reference and local rates could diverge slightly.

Gold FAQs Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

(An automation tool was used in creating this post.)
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 01:00 1mo ago
Philippines Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data FMP Forex News
Original source text
Gold prices rose in Philippines on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

The price for Gold stood at 8,804.59 Philippine Pesos (PHP) per gram, up compared with the PHP 8,750.86 it cost on Tuesday.

The price for Gold increased to PHP 102,694.80 per tola from PHP 102,068.30 per tola a day earlier.

Unit measure

Gold Price in PHP

1 Gram

8,804.59

10 Grams

88,045.73

Tola

102,694.80

Troy Ounce

273,850.50

FXStreet calculates Gold prices in Philippines by adapting international prices (USD/PHP) to the local currency and measurement units. Prices are updated daily based on the market rates taken at the time of publication. Prices are just for reference and local rates could diverge slightly.

Gold FAQs Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

(An automation tool was used in creating this post.)
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 01:02 1mo ago
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Softens to near 178.50, retains bearish bias despite oversold RSI
EURJPY EUR/JPY
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The EUR/JPY cross trades in negative territory near 178.50 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) edges higher against the Euro (EUR) as a slew of hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) policymakers have cemented views that the BoJ will raise interest rates this month.  

BoJ board member Hajime Takata said last week that the central bank could take a more aggressive approach than expected. Takata further stated that a 25-basis-point hike “is not necessarily set in stone,” and that generally speaking, back-to-back rate hikes would be a possibility, too.

The BoJ is set to raise its policy rate to 1.25% from the current 1.0% at its September policy meeting, signaling an acceleration in the pace of rate hikes. This would raise the interest rate to its highest level in about 31 years and follow a rate hike in June. 

Yen funding role questioned as rising JGB yields unsettle cross-border flowsStrategists at Rabobank argue that the “clear problem relates to the use of the JPY as a funding currency,” with markets now asking “whether there is room for the recent rapid unwind of JPY shorts to accelerate nearterm.” They add that an “appreciating JPY would bring fresh uncertainly over whether domestic Japanese investors would have less incentive to look for opportunity abroad,” a debate that has been sharpened by the rise in JGB yields, which has “already made this a topical theme.” Rabobank also notes that “the market has suspected that the US Treasury has been worried about large Japanese insurers potentially selling US government debt for JGBs for some time,” underscoring how shifts in Japan’s rate environment could reverberate through global fixed income positioning.

Technical Analysis: EUR/JPY keeps a bearish vibe amid oversold RSIIn the daily chart, EUR/JPY extends its corrective slide and holding decisively below key moving averages, which keeps the near-term bias firmly bearish. Price is lodged beneath the 20-day simple moving average (the middle Bollinger band) and the 100-day simple moving average, underscoring a market that remains capped by medium-term trend resistance. The Relative Strength Index (14) has dropped to around 22, deep in oversold territory, hinting that while downside pressure persists, the selloff could be at risk of fatigue if sellers fail to press decisively lower.

On the topside, initial resistance is seen at the lower Bollinger band near 179.00, with a recovery above this barrier needed to ease immediate selling pressure. Further up, the next hurdle is located at the 180.00 psychological level, en route to the Bollinger mid-line at 183.82 and the 100-day SMA at 184.70.

On the flip side, the November 10, 2025 low of 177.17 acts as an initial suppot level for the cross. Any follow-through selling below this level could pave the way to the November 4, 2025 low of 176.09, followed by the October 21 low, 2025 of 175.35.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Japanese Yen FAQs The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.

One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.

Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.

The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 01:05 1mo ago
Saudi Arabia Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data
GOLD Zlato
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Gold prices rose in Saudi Arabia on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

The price for Gold stood at 529.25 Saudi Riyals (SAR) per gram, up compared with the SAR 525.86 it cost on Tuesday.

The price for Gold increased to SAR 6,173.29 per tola from SAR 6,133.51 per tola a day earlier.

Unit measure

Gold Price in SAR

1 Gram

529.25

10 Grams

5,292.69

Tola

6,173.29

Troy Ounce

16,461.63

FXStreet calculates Gold prices in Saudi Arabia by adapting international prices (USD/SAR) to the local currency and measurement units. Prices are updated daily based on the market rates taken at the time of publication. Prices are just for reference and local rates could diverge slightly.

Gold FAQs Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

(An automation tool was used in creating this post.)
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 01:30 1mo ago
Pound to Dollar Price Forecast: Bond Jitters Threaten Sterling Recovery
GBPUSD GBP/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Pound-Dollar could remain under pressure if inflation fears keep risk appetite weak, although easing Middle East tensions may help Sterling recover. The Pound US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate drifted lower on Tuesday as renewed global inflation concerns softened market risk sentiment.

At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading at around $1.3526. Slightly lower than Tuesday’s opening levels.

Latest — Exchange Rates:

Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD): 1.353385 (-0.09%)

Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD): 1.162206 (-0.05%)

Dollar to Yen (USD/JPY): 154.36911 (+0.35%)

DAILY RECAP:

The US Dollar (USD) firmed on Tuesday as a fresh surge in energy prices revived concerns over global inflation and underpinned demand for the safe-haven ‘greenback’.

Brent crude approached the $100-per-barrel mark on Tuesday morning, following targeted strikes against Saudi energy facilities.

Markets fear a fresh energy price shock will quickly feed through into higher consumer and producer prices, with the rise in inflation pushing central banks around the global into tightening monetary policy to counter the inflationary pressures.

However, the US Dollar's upside potential ultimately remained limited amid some caution ahead of this week's US inflation data, which will be key in setting expectations for whether the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates next week.

The fresh spike in crude oil also dampened appetite for the Pound (GBP) on Tuesday as it pushed UK gilt yields higher.

As global inflation concerns intensified, government borrowing costs rose, with yields on the UK benchmark 10-year gilt rising around 0.3%, propelling yields just shy of the multi-year highs struck during last week's bond market turmoil.

Higher yields will complicate matters for Chancellor John Healey. Straining the government's debt-servicing capacity, the move narrows the Treasury's fiscal wriggle room just weeks before the October Budget.

Near-Term GBP/USD Forecast: Limited Data to Drive the Pairing? Looking ahead, the absence of any notable UK or US macroeconomic data could leave movement in the Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate to be driven by wider market trends through the middle of the week.

If the market remains gripped by inflation concerns, it's likely to further erode investor risk appetite and underpin demand for safe-haven assets like the US Dollar.

On the other hand, any easing of tensions in the Middle East could swiftly trigger a reversal in the recent energy price spike, both tempering USD demand and boosting Sterling sentiment if it brings UK bond yields back down.

Exchange Rates UK Research Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 01:43 1mo ago
Gold (XAU/USD) & Silver Price Forecast: Middle East Risks Lift Safe-Haven Demand FMP Forex News
Original source text
The big macro tests are still to come. A series of new data will be released this week, and Fed officials believe the CPI data will be key to the September setting of policy. Governor Christopher Waller believes he would support a decision to hold policy steady if inflation continues to move closer to the Fed’s target, while Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack maintains her position of supporting further tightening.

Precious metal prices are benefitting from a strong yen amid expectations that the Bank of Japan will begin to tighten to offset a weakening U.S. dollar.

For silver, the tightening of the physical market reinforces monetary policy sensitivity. The Silver Institute anticipates silver will continue to have a sixth straight year of market deficits in 2026, as global inventories start to fall since 2021, despite a slowing industrial demand.

Fundamental bias: Gold and Silver are both moderately bullish. The key risk in the near term is Friday’s U.S. CPI report.

Gold Technical Analysis: XAU/USD Holds $4,347 as $4,422 Resistance Keeps Recovery Capped
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 01:51 1mo ago
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Strengthens above 1.3550, upside bias intact while holding above 100-day SMA
GBPUSD GBP/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The GBP/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.3550 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. UK Chancellor John Healey unveiled a series of measures designed to encourage economic growth and draw more private investment into the UK. This move provides some support to the British Pound (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD).

UK Chancellor on Monday announced plans to give city regions greater powers to attract private investment as part of Prime Minister Andy Burnham's plan to devolve power away from central government. Healey also stressed his commitment to fiscal discipline and to curbing rising costs for business and the public, including a 25% reduction in regulatory costs by the next election due in 2029.  

The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to hold the interest rate at 3.75% for the rest of the year and through at least mid-2027, according to a Reuters poll. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said on Tuesday he wanted to dispel the idea that it's just a matter of time before the central bank hikes interest rates, rather than a possibility that hinges on economic and geopolitical developments.

GBP upside bias builds but UOB keeps Pound in broad rangeAnalysts at UOB Group note that GBP/USD was confined to a relatively tight band at the end of last week, with the Pound “traded between 1.3482 and 1.3550 last Friday and closed little changed at 1.3518 (-0.05%).” They recall that “the price action did not lead to any shift in either downward or upward momentum,” and had expected GBP “to trade in a range between 1.3490 and 1.3540.” In the event, the pair “did not quite trade within the expected range, as it edged up from 1.3508 to 1.3547.”

While UOB still sees “no significant increase in upward momentum,” the bank judges that “the bias for GBP today appears tilted to the upside, likely toward 1.3565,” though it “do[es] not expect the major resistance at 1.3600 to come into view.” On the downside, the strategists flag that “a breach of 1.3520 (minor support is at 1.3530) would mean that the upside bias has faded.”

From a broader perspective, UOB reiterates that “there is not much to add” to its recent medium-term assessment, with GBP “neutral now and it is likely to trade between 1.3480 and 1.3600” over the next one to three weeks.

Technical Analysis: GBP/USD retains a bullish tone above the 100-day SMAIn the daily chart, GBP/USD holds a mild bullish bias as price remains above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting underlying demand on dips. However, spot is now just under the Bollinger mid-line, which acts as immediate resistance, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 54 points to steady but not overextended bullish momentum.

On the topside, a daily close above the Bollinger middle band at 1.3560 would open the way toward the upper band resistance near 1.3660. Further north, the next hurdle to watch is the 1.3700 psychological level. 

On the downside, initial support is seen at the lower Bollinger Band around 1.3465, ahead of stronger structural backing from the 100-day SMA at 1.3445, where buyers would be expected to defend the broader upbeat tone.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Pound Sterling FAQs The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as ‘Cable’, which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the ‘Dragon’ as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of “price stability” – a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 02:05 1mo ago
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Approaches four-year high near 0.7280
AUDUSD AUD/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is higher against its major currency peers, except the Japanese Yen (JPY), on Wednesday, trading 0.16% up at around 0.7230 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European session.

Australian Dollar Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHFUSD-0.11%-0.11%-0.54%-0.08%-0.23%-0.12%-0.17%EUR0.11%0.01%-0.46%0.02%-0.12%-0.00%-0.05%GBP0.11%-0.01%-0.46%0.03%-0.11%-0.00%-0.05%JPY0.54%0.46%0.46%0.47%0.32%0.40%0.39%CAD0.08%-0.02%-0.03%-0.47%-0.15%-0.04%-0.08%AUD0.23%0.12%0.11%-0.32%0.15%0.11%0.08%NZD0.12%0.00%0.00%-0.40%0.04%-0.11%-0.03%CHF0.17%0.05%0.05%-0.39%0.08%-0.08%0.03% The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

The antipodean gains were on the back of remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser in an interview by the ABC on Tuesday, where she stressed bringing inflation down.

“People want inflation down. People are furious about inflation. I understand why,” Hauser said and added, “It’s unfair. It hits people on low incomes. It damages price signals. It makes the job of companies difficult. What they want us to do is our job and bring inflation down,” Financial Review reported.

Comments from RBA’s Hauser stressing the need to bring inflation down have increased central bank’s interest rate hike expectations.

Rabobank notes that the RBA has “just saw Hauser give a hawkish speech, which has markets thinking of hikes this month and in November.” The bank adds that this prospective tightening path is “very much what the US Treasury would like to see – plus a lot more action on non-housing parts of the economy,” underscoring how a more restrictive RBA stance is increasingly aligned with US policy preferences.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under pressure, with investors awaiting the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Friday.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

In the daily chart, AUD/USD trades at 0.7229, extending its advance above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 0.7158 and keeping a clear short-term bullish bias. The pair holds comfortably above this dynamic support, suggesting dips may be shallow for now, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 69.5 hovers just below overbought territory, hinting that upside momentum is strong but increasingly stretched.

On the downside, the 20-day EMA at 0.7158 is the first notable support, and a daily close below it would hint at a deeper corrective phase. On the upside, the pair is expected to extend its advance to near the four-year high at 0.7277.

RBA FAQs The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for Australia. Decisions are made by a board of governors at 11 meetings a year and ad hoc emergency meetings as required. The RBA’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means an inflation rate of 2-3%, but also “..to contribute to the stability of the currency, full employment, and the economic prosperity and welfare of the Australian people.” Its main tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will strengthen the Australian Dollar (AUD) and vice versa. Other RBA tools include quantitative easing and tightening.

While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for currencies since it lowers the value of money in general, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Moderately higher inflation now tends to lead central banks to put up their interest rates, which in turn has the effect of attracting more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in the case of Australia is the Aussie Dollar.

Macroeconomic data gauges the health of an economy and can have an impact on the value of its currency. Investors prefer to invest their capital in economies that are safe and growing rather than precarious and shrinking. Greater capital inflows increase the aggregate demand and value of the domestic currency. Classic indicators, such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can influence AUD. A strong economy may encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia to put up interest rates, also supporting AUD.

Quantitative Easing (QE) is a tool used in extreme situations when lowering interest rates is not enough to restore the flow of credit in the economy. QE is the process by which the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) prints Australian Dollars (AUD) for the purpose of buying assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from financial institutions, thereby providing them with much-needed liquidity. QE usually results in a weaker AUD.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the RBA stops buying more assets, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It would be positive (or bullish) for the Australian Dollar.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 02:46 1mo ago
CADJPY Wave Analysis
CADJPY CAD/JPY
FMP Forex News
Original source text
CADJPY: ⬆️ Buy

– CADJPY reversed from support zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 112.00

CADJPY currency pair recently reversed from the support zone located between the strong support level 111.00 (which stopped earlier sharp downward impulse wave (C) at the end of July) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.

This support zone was strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from October and by the support trendline of the weekly down channel from May.

Given the strength of the support level 111.00, CADJPY currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 112.00.

FxProhttp://www.fxpro.co.uk/?ib=606792

FxPro is an award-winning online broker offering Contracts for Difference (CFDs) on forex, futures, spot indices, shares, spot metals and spot energies. FxPro serves clients in over 150 countries worldwide and offers multilingual customer support 24/5. Trading CFDs involves significant risk of loss.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 03:07 1mo ago
Euro nudges up above 1.1640 amid broad-based US Dollar weakness
EURUSD EUR/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The Euro (EUR) attempts to resume its uptrend against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday’s early European session despite the risk-off mood and the high Crude prices. EUR/USD is drawing support from USD weakness to hit 12-day highs just above 1.1640, as investors brace for Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy meeting.

Euro rallies are likely to remain shallow, with Oil prices at their highest levels in the last three months as the situation in the Gulf deteriorates by the day. Tehran launched an attack on a US Navy warship and an airbase in Jordan on Tuesday, and the US military responded by targeting several Iranian tankers. Beyond that, Iran-backed Houthi militias attacked Oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, which risks leading the conflict into an all-out regional war.

Dollar debasement debate weighs on sentimentThe US Dollar, on the other hand, remains on its back foot despite the strong US Nonfarm Payrolls data released last week, with investors awaiting Friday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report to consolidate hopes of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike at next week's meeting.

Analysts at Rabobank highlight that the “USD’s dithery tone in recent session adds weight to the view that there has been a change in sentiment in the FX market.” They argue that the “Dollar debasement debate which was triggered by US Treasury Secretary Bessent’s bond intervention announcement on August 19 appears to have undermined confidence in the greenback,” helping to explain why the currency has struggled to capitalise on otherwise supportive rate expectations.

The calendar is thin on Wednesday, with ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech at the Deutsche Bundesbank in Berlin, the only event worth mentioning. Lagarde, however, will not speak about monetary policy as the central bank kicks off its two-day meeting, which is widely expected to end with a quarter-point hike to 2.5% in the central bank's benchmark interest rate.

ECB FAQs The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region. The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro. QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 03:07 1mo ago
Dollar Fails to Hold Post-NFP Gains: AUD/USD and USD/CAD Test Key Levels
AUDUSD AUD/USD USDCAD USD/CAD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The US dollar failed to hold its gains following a significantly stronger-than-expected US employment report. The economy added 162,000 jobs versus the forecast of 56,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.1% and previous employment figures were revised higher. The data initially triggered a sharp rise in the dollar, but the US currency subsequently gave back most of its gains. One factor limiting the impact of the strong report was a slowdown in annual wage growth, which somewhat reduced its overall effect. The market reaction suggests that even strong employment data have not yet led to a sustained repricing of expectations for the Federal Reserve’s future policy.

Market attention is now shifting towards US inflation data. A strong labour market reduces the need for rapid Fed easing, but the future path of interest rates will depend to a large extent on developments in price pressures. As a result, the upcoming inflation figures could become the next key driver for the dollar.

AUD/USD The Australian dollar benefited from the subsequent weakening of the US currency, with AUD/USD reaching fresh recent highs near 0.7200. The AUD is also receiving support from expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia will maintain a relatively hawkish stance, limiting the downside potential for the Australian currency.

Technical analysis of AUD/USD points to the possibility of further gains towards the 0.7260–0.7280 area, provided the price holds above 0.7200. A return below 0.7200, followed by a sustained move below this level, would weaken the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a corrective decline.

USD/CAD USD/CAD continues to decline and has approached the August lows around 1.3730. In addition to the weaker US dollar, the Canadian dollar is being supported by oil prices, which remain sensitive to geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran.

A sustained move below 1.3730, followed by this level becoming resistance, could open the way for a further decline towards the 1.3520–1.3570 area.

Key events for USD/CAD and AUD/USD:

today at 14:00 (GMT+3): US Mortgage Market Index; today at 15:15 (GMT+3): weekly change in US employment according to ADP; today at 23:30 (GMT+3): weekly US crude oil inventories according to the American Petroleum Institute (API).

Overall, following the strong NFP report, the dollar failed to hold its initial gains, allowing the commodity-linked currencies to return to important technical levels. AUD/USD is testing the area of recent highs, while USD/CAD is approaching its August lows. With a relatively quiet economic calendar, further moves will depend on how expectations for Fed policy are repriced and on positioning ahead of the next US inflation data.

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2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 03:44 1mo ago
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD approaches $67.00 as bulls await trading range breakout
SILVER Stříbro
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Silver (XAG/USD) builds on its intraday ascent and climbs back closer to the weekly high, around the $67.00 neighborhood during the early European session on Wednesday. The white metal, however, remains confined within a familiar range held over the past week or so, warranting some caution for bulls ahead of the crucial US inflation figures.

From a technical perspective, the XAG/USD bulls need to wait for acceptance above the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, currently pegged just ahead of the $67.00 mark, before placing fresh bets. This will also mark a fresh breakout through the trading range and pave the way for additional near-term gains.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recovered toward the mid-50s, hinting at stabilizing momentum. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a modest positive reading after a shallow dip, suggesting that the downside pressure is fading but not yet reversed, while the XAG/USD remains below the 100-SMA.

On the topside, momentum beyond the $67.00 mark could extend further towards retesting the monthly swing high, around the $68.00 round figure. Some follow-through buying would ease any near-term bearish tone and reaffirm a constructive outlook. On the downside, immediate support is seen near x$65.40-$65.30 or the lower boundary of the trading range.

A convincing break below would shift the near-term bias in favor of bearish traders and expose the monthly swing low, around the $63.35-$63.30 region, and drag the XAG/USD further below the $63.00 mark, towards the 62.20 support zone.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

XAG/USD 4-hour chart

Silver FAQs Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 03:56 1mo ago
Intraday Analysis 09.09.2026 FMP Forex News
Original source text
USDCAD losing momentum The Canadian dollar (USDCAD) continues to gain over the greenback after pushing past the 1.3800 level. The pair looks to move away from its recent top around 1.3940.
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 03:57 1mo ago
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Rises in limited range with US CPI in focus FMP Forex News
Original source text
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Rises in limited range with US CPI in focus
2026-09-09 08:33 1mo ago
2026-09-09 04:21 1mo ago
Silver Outperforms Gold as Ratio Reverses From Resistance. Can Silver Lead the Next Breakout? FMP Forex News
Original source text
TL;DR: Silver is outperforming Gold on the same Dollar weakness, with the Gold/Silver ratio rejecting resistance and Silver approaching its breakout trigger first — but whether Silver is genuinely leading Gold, or just outperforming it, depends on whether Gold follows through its own key level at 4,510.90.

Silver Is Doing More With the Same Dollar Tailwind Gold and Silver are both benefiting from a weaker Dollar, but they aren’t trading that support the same way. Silver is outperforming, sitting around 66.89, above its four-hour 55 EMA at 66.34, while Gold remains near 4,411.26 and below its own four-hour 55 EMA at 4,433.28. The difference isn’t just a one-day move — it has been building for roughly two months in the Gold/Silver ratio, which has now turned lower again after another rejection from descending resistance.

That makes the ratio the natural place to start. The weaker Dollar explains why both metals can rise together. It doesn’t explain why Silver has repeatedly done better. Silver’s industrial role gives it a different demand structure from Gold’s purely monetary and financial characteristics, while the smaller Silver market can produce larger relative moves once momentum builds. Those mechanisms may help explain the divergence, but the stronger evidence is in the price relationship itself: the ratio has been falling since July.

Currency heatmap.

The Ratio Has Rejected Exactly Where It Needed To The Gold/Silver ratio fell to 64.92 in late August and then mounted a recovery to 67.64. That rebound ran directly into the descending resistance line that has capped the ratio throughout the broader decline, and it has now rolled over again to around 65.90.

The technical backdrop supports the reversal. The ratio remains below its four-hour 55 EMA at 66.79, MACD is negative and below its signal line, and RSI has dropped to around 34.70. Silver therefore retains the relative advantage while the descending trendline caps the upside.

But there’s an important distinction. The ratio has turned lower again; it hasn’t yet confirmed another extension of the downtrend. The next test is 64.92, the late-August low. A return there would complete most of the recent round trip from support to resistance and back. A decisive break below 64.92 would be the stronger signal that Silver’s relative strength is accelerating.

ActionForex’s Technical View on Silver: Reaching Its Trigger First Silver itself is now approaching 67.47, which capped the previous rebound and provides the clearest immediate breakout level. The recovery from 63.28 has already carried price back above the four-hour 55 EMA at 66.34, while momentum has improved alongside it. MACD is positive at roughly 0.09 versus 0.02 for the signal line, and RSI has climbed to around 56.81.

A clean break of 67.47 would open the way for a retest of 71.16. More importantly, the move would be emerging from a technically solid foundation. The recent correction found support around 62.54–62.92, where a structural pivot overlaps closely with the 50% retracement of the entire rise from 54.78 to 71.16.

That confluence keeps the broader rise from 54.78 intact under the current wave interpretation. Silver is therefore not simply chasing higher from an extended condition — it has corrected, held a meaningful support zone, and is now attempting to restart the advance.

ActionForex’s Technical View on Gold: The Harder Part of the Test Gold hasn’t reached the same point yet. Its rebound from 4,282.23 stalled at 4,510.90, and price subsequently slipped back beneath the four-hour 55 EMA at 4,433.28. At around 4,411.26, Gold is showing much less momentum than Silver. RSI is almost perfectly neutral at 49.85, while MACD remains slightly negative.

That makes 4,510.90 the level that matters most for Gold. A firm break would suggest the decline from 4,697.07 completed at 4,282.23 and would reopen the way toward a retest of 4,697.07. Until then, Gold remains inside its corrective structure.

This difference is exactly why Silver is interesting as a possible leading indicator. Silver is already close to its breakout trigger. Gold is not.

Silver Can Lead, but Gold Has to Follow There’s a tempting story here: Silver breaks 67.47, the ratio continues lower, and Gold follows through 4,510.90 shortly afterward. If that sequence happens, Silver’s relative strength would have provided an early indication that the broader precious-metals rebound was strengthening before Gold itself confirmed it.

But the thesis has an equally important failure condition. If Silver clears 67.47, runs toward 71.16, and the ratio falls through 64.92, while Gold remains capped below 4,510.90, then Silver wasn’t really leading Gold — it was simply outperforming it. The move could still be powerful, but it would be a Silver-specific relative trend rather than a signal that Gold was preparing for its own breakout.

That distinction matters because relative strength is observable. A leading relationship has to be demonstrated.

Three Numbers Will Tell Us Whether the Relationship Is Real The setup now comes down to three levels. For Silver, 67.47 is the immediate trigger — a firm break backed by sustained MACD and RSI strength would open 71.16. For the Gold/Silver ratio, 64.92 is the confirmation point — a decisive break would show Silver’s outperformance accelerating beyond the recent pattern. And for Gold, 4,510.90 is the final test.

That last level is the most important for the broader thesis. Silver can outperform without telling us anything about Gold. But if Silver breaks first and Gold subsequently clears 4,510.90, the case that Silver was providing a genuine leading tell becomes much stronger.

Silver is closer to its breakout. Whether it’s actually leading Gold will only become clear if Gold eventually follows through its own.

Key Takeaways Silver is outperforming Gold on the same Dollar-weakness tailwind, a divergence that has been building in the Gold/Silver ratio for roughly two months. The ratio rejected resistance near 67.64 and has rolled over to 65.90, with 64.92 as the confirmation level for Silver’s relative strength accelerating further. Silver is approaching its own breakout trigger at 67.47, backed by a solid technical foundation after finding support at the 62.54-62.92 confluence zone. Gold’s equivalent trigger, 4,510.90, is further away, with the metal showing far less momentum (neutral RSI, slightly negative MACD) than Silver right now. Whether Silver is genuinely leading Gold, rather than just outperforming it, will only be confirmed if Gold also clears 4,510.90 after Silver breaks 67.47.

ActionForex

ActionForex.com was set up back in 2004 with the aim to provide insightful analysis to forex traders, serving the trading community for two decades. We started providing only a daily and a mid-day report, now known as Action Insights. Gradually, we added a lot more in-house contents to the site. Technical Outlook section was expanded to cover more pairs. In addition to that, Top Movers, Heat Map, Pivot Point Charts and Pivot Meters, Action Bias and Volatility Charts, are tools used by traders from all over the world.
2026-09-08 17:45 1mo ago
2026-09-08 10:30 1mo ago
Euro to Dollar Forecast: Limited Resistance Before 1.1700, say Scotiabank
EURUSD EUR/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
FX analysts see improving yield support for the Euro ahead of Thursday’s ECB decision, with resistance at 1.1680-1.1700. The Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate recovered from earlier losses to trade near 1.1626 on Tuesday afternoon, holding Monday’s gains as expectations of an ECB rate increase supported the single currency.

EUR/USD was virtually unchanged on the day at the time of writing, having risen 0.12% on Monday.

Latest — Exchange Rates:

Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD): 1.162453 (-0.03%)

Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD): 1.355083 (+0.03%)

Dollar to Yen (USD/JPY): 154.0889 (+0.17%)

Scotiabank maintains a neutral-to-bullish short-term outlook, with improving interest-rate differentials supporting its assessment.

“The outlook for relative central bank policy remains supportive as we note the continued recovery in yield spreads with a narrow (2Y Germany-US yield spread only) fair value estimate currently around 1.1650.”

That estimate sits modestly above the latest exchange rate, although it measures only the relationship with two-year German and US yields rather than providing a broader price target.

ECB Guidance Could Determine the Next Euro Move Scotiabank expects a widely anticipated 25-basis-point hike at Thursday’s ECB monetary policy meeting, alongside a relatively hawkish message on energy-driven inflation risks.

With an increase already priced in, the scope for further Euro gains may depend more on guidance about subsequent decisions, as we explored in our latest coverage of ECB expectations.

Options pricing has also become less defensive.

“Risk reversals are actually up on the day, suggesting a fading premium for protection against EUR weakness,” Scotiabank said.

The bank reported little currency reaction to Sunday’s German state election result, while stronger German trade figures were offset by a disappointing French deficit.

Image: EUR/USD last 48hr chart Scotiabank describes the medium-term trend as bullish following the recovery from late June, although its longer-term assessment remains range-bound and the RSI is only marginally above neutral.

“We see near-term support around last week’s lows near 1.1580 and see limited resistance ahead of the 1.1680/1.1700 range.”

Those resistance levels precede the higher 1.18-1.20 area in UBS’s Euro-Dollar outlook.

Thursday’s decision and accompanying guidance will test whether improving yield support is enough to carry the EUR/USD exchange rate towards 1.1700.

Exchange Rates UK Research Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
2026-09-08 17:45 1mo ago
2026-09-08 13:21 1mo ago
British Pound: Supportive BoE outlook with range trade against US Dollar – Scotiabank
GBPUSD GBP/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret describe GBP/USD as slightly softer but supported by expectations of further Bank of England (BoE) tightening into year-end. With limited data before Friday’s trade and industrial production releases, markets price incremental hikes for November and December. They highlight a bullish medium-term trend, yet see the pair constrained in a near-term 1.3500–1.3600 range as traders watch fiscal risks into the Autumn Statement.

Pound supported but range bound"As with EUR and the ECB, the outlook for relative central bank policy remains supportive for the pound, given expectations for tightening into year-end."

"The September 17 meeting offers little, however short term rates markets are currently pricing in 16bpts of tightening for November 5th, and just over 30bpts for December 17th."

"Political developments have been limited and we continue to highlight the risk of sentiment-related movement tied to fiscal risks into the Autumn Statement (budget) scheduled for late October."

"The medium-term trend is bullish, with a clear sequence of higher lows and higher highs since late June."

"We look to a near-term range bound between 1.3500 and 1.3600."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)
2026-09-08 17:22 1mo ago
2026-09-08 12:51 1mo ago
DXY, EUR/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD, Gold, Bitcoin Weekly Technical Outlook FMP Forex News
Original source text
In this webinar we take an in-depth look at the technical trade levels for the US Dollar (DXY), Euro (EUR/USD), British Pound (GBP/USD), Australian Dollar (AUD/USD), Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD), Japanese Yen (USD/JPY), Swiss Franc (USD/CHF), Gold (XAU/USD), Crude Oil (WTI), Bitcoin (BTC/USD), S&P 500 (SPX500), Nasdaq (NDX), and Dow Jones (DJI). These are the levels that matter on the technical charts into the weekly open.
2026-09-08 17:21 1mo ago
2026-09-08 12:53 1mo ago
U.S. Dollar Rebounds From Session Lows Amid U.S. – Canada Trade War: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY
EURUSD EUR/USD GBPUSD GBP/USD USDCAD USD/CAD USDJPY USD/JPY
FMP Forex News
Original source text
By

:

Published: Sep 8, 2026, 16:53 GMT+00:00

$1.16261

-0.02%

Key Points:EUR/USD is swinging between gains and losses as traders react to Germany's Exports data. USD/CAD made an attempt to settle below the support at 1.3750 - 1.3765.USD/JPY rebounded from session lows as traders focused on rising Treasury yields.

EUR/USD

-0.02%

EUR/USD ForecastGBP/USD

-0.07%

GBP/USD ForecastUSD/CAD

-0.13%

USD/CAD ForecastUSD/JPY

+0.28%

USD/JPY Forecast

U.S. Dollar Attempts To Rebound After Recent Pullback

DXY 080926 4h Chart U.S. Dollar Index moved away from session lows as traders focused on rising Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries climbed towards the 4.40% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries settled near 4.80%.

I’d note that Bessent’s buyback efforts have so far failed to push yields of longer-dated bonds lower. The yield of 30-year Treasuries settled near 5.25%, close to the critical 5.30% level.

In case U.S. Dollar Index climbs above the 99.00 level, it will head towards the nearest resistance level, which is located in the 99.25 – 99.40 range.

EUR/USD Stays Above The 1.1600 Level EUR/USD 080926 4h Chart EUR/USD is mostly flat as traders focus on Germany’s Exports report. The report showed that Exports decreased by -0.8% month-over-month in July, compared to analyst forecast of 0%.

I believe that traders are already cautious ahead of the ECB Interest Rate Decision, which will be released on Thursday.

The nearest support level for EUR/USD is located in the 1.1600 – 1.1615 range. If EUR/USD manages to settle below the 1.1600 level, it will head towards the next support level at 1.1500 – 1.1515. RSI is in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

GBP/USD Attempts To Settle Above 1.3565 GBP/USD 080926 4h Chart GBP/USD continues its attempts to settle above the resistance level at 1.3550 – 1.3565 as traders focus on the BRC Retail Sales Monitor report from the UK. The report showed that Retail Sales increased by +0.5% year-over-year in August, compared to analyst forecast of +1.2%.

If GBP/USD manages to settle above the 1.3565 level, it will head towards the next resistance, which is located in the 1.3635 – 1.3650 range. On the support side, a move below the 50 MA at 1.3533 will push GBP/USD towards the next support at 1.3470 – 1.3485.

USD/CAD Rebounds From Session Lows

USD/CAD 080926 4h Chart USD/CAD moved lower as traders focused on U.S. – Canada trade war. Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney said that counter-tarrifs against the U.S. were necessary to protect Canadian businesses. Interestingly, the market does not believe that the trade war is a negative catalyst for the Canadian currency.

From the technical point of view, USD/CAD made an attempt to settle below the support level at 1.3750 – 1.3765 but lost momentum and rebounded towards the 1.3790 level. In case USD/CAD settles back above 1.3800, it will head towards the nearest resistance at 1.3825 – 1.3840. A successful test of this level will push USD/CAD towards the next resistance at 1.3900 – 1.3915.

USD/JPY Climbed Back Above 154.00 Amid Rising Treasury Yields USD/JPY 080926 4h Chart USD/JPY attempts to rebound after the strong sell-off as traders react to rising Treasury yields and focus on Japan’s second-quarter GDP Growth Rate report. The report showed that Japan’s GDP Growth Rate was +0.4%, in line with analyst estimates.

Traders try to guess whether BoJ is ready to intervene again at current levels or the Bank has finished its interventions. The expectations of a rate hike from the BoJ served as an additional bullish catalyst for the yen in recent trading sessions, but Fed may also raise rates at the meeting on September 16.

In case USD/JPY stays above the 154.00 level, it will head towards the resistance level at 155.00 – 155.50. A move above the 155.50 level will open the way to the test of the resistance level at 157.50 – 158.00.

If you’d like to know more about how to trade forex, please visit our educational area.

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Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

Latest news and analysis
2026-09-08 16:54 1mo ago
2026-09-08 12:06 1mo ago
Gold price forecast: XAU/USD holds around $4,400, but for how long? FMP Forex News
Original source text
XAU/USD Current Price: $4,398The Middle East conflict keeps financial markets in risk-averse mode.Investors bet the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates in September. XAU/USD is trading range-bound, although the risk skews to the downside.Gold attempt to regain its bullish momentum faltered around $4,700, with the precious metal now struggling to retain the $4,400 mark. The XAU/USD pair peaked in late August amid reduced speculation that the United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) would hike interest rates in September.

Risk-related trading has dominated financial markets for most of this year, with the main focus on Oil price movements and their impact on inflation. The conflict between the US and Iran, which keeps the main Middle East sea passage interrupted, is the main driver for energy prices.

US President Donald Trump launched an attack on Tehran on claims that the Islamic country continued to develop nuclear weapons. But of course, making the US the number one global Oil exporter was also behind the decision to initiate a war. What Trump did not calculate is what Iran’s stubbornness is costing the American people and the rest of the war.

Iran not only refused to capitulate, but also made its own demands and blocked the Strait of Hormuz. As a result, energy prices skyrocketed and exposed the fragile equilibrium between economic progress and inflation. This implies tighter monetary policy, which in turn slows economic growth.

President Trump for sure wants economic growth, but he also demands lower interest rates from the US central bank, something Chair Kevin Warsh & co cannot deliver with increasing price pressures. Instead, the Fed is leaning toward rate hikes.

The situation created a particular market response: In a risk-averse scenario, investors tend to rush into safety. Gold is the preferred refuge, usually followed by the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar (USD) is also considered a safe-haven asset, yet in tumultuous times, Gold demand tends to outpace that of the Greenback.

However, when potential US Fed rate hikes are added to the equation, the USD firms up vs the precious metal. That’s the case these days.

XAU/USD Technical Outlook:As market participants bet on a Fed interest rate hike in September, XAU/USD comes under pressure.

From a technical point of view, the 4-hour chart shows XAU/USD as bearish, as the pair sits below the 20-period and 100-period moving averages while holding above the 200-period moving average. The 20-period SMA at $4,433.64 and the 100-period SMA at $4,491.14 act as overhead caps, suggesting rallies remain corrective within a broader consolidation. Momentum readings reinforce this subdued bias, with the 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator heading marginally lower around 44 and the 14-period Momentum indicator developing below its midline, albeit directionless.

In the daily chart, XAU/USD sits between key moving averages, holding above the 100-day SMA at $4,346.86 while remaining capped by the 20-day SMA at $4,468.52 and the 200-day SMA at $4,536.74. The SMAs are neutral-to-bearish, reflecting increasing selling interest. The RSI indicator, in the meantime, pierces its midline, while the Momentum indicator gains downward traction within neutral levels, in line with lower lows ahead.

On the topside, immediate resistance emerges at the 20-period SMA near $4,433.64, with a break above this level exposing the denser barrier formed by the 100-period SMA around $4,491.14. On the downside, initial support comes from the market’s ability to defend the current area around $4,398, with the 100-day SMA at $4,346.86 as the next key floor; a clear drop below this level would expose deeper corrective risk within the broader range.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
2026-09-08 16:54 1mo ago
2026-09-08 12:09 1mo ago
Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP/USD edges higher as Bailey calms recession fears
GBPUSD GBP/USD
FMP Forex News
Original source text
The Pound Sterling (GBP) registers modest gains of over 0.08% on Tuesday as Bank of England (BoE) policymakers testify before the UK Treasury Select Committee, while a light economic docket in the US keeps the Greenback with a negative tone. The GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3548 after bouncing off the daily low of 1.3521. Read More...

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Consolidates below mid-1.3500s; bullish potential seems intactThe GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest gains and oscillates in a range below mid-1.3500s during the Asian session on Tuesday. The downside, however, remains cushioned as the US Dollar (USD) selling remains unabated on the back of a broadly firmer Japanese Yen (JPY). Read More...

British Pound drifts higher to near 1.3550 on UK fiscal discipline pledgesThe GBP/USD pair gains ground to near 1.3545 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The British Pound (GBP) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) after UK Chancellor John Healey unveiled a series of measures designed to encourage economic growth and draw more private investment into the UK. Read More...
2026-09-08 15:03 1mo ago
2026-09-08 10:12 1mo ago
Silver Price Forecast: $65–$70 Range Holds Ahead of CPI
SILVER Stříbro
FMP Forex News
Original source text
It Has Held Up Fairly Well Ultimately, this is a market that is dealing with the 10-year at points in time going to 4.8%. But we also have heavy inflation coming out of the crude oil market, and that could be a bit of an issue as well.

As long as the oil situation remains so messy with the headlines coming out of the Persian Gulf, it’s difficult to imagine that the bond markets will be calm. This is a scenario that has been the norm for some time now, and there are no signs of it changing in the short-term.

Furthermore, we get the ECB rate hike, at least the expected rate hike, on Thursday. We also get CPI on Friday in the United States and then a Federal Reserve potential rate hike next week.

There’s a lot going on in the short term. It has held up fairly well. I do have to say that, but it just doesn’t have any momentum. Short-term traders are probably attracted to the somewhat well-defined range at the moment, as the markets are simply not giving bigger moves currently.
2026-09-08 15:03 1mo ago
2026-09-08 10:23 1mo ago
Silver Price Forecast: Bulls struggle below the 100-day SMA
SILVER Stříbro
FMP Forex News
Original source text
Silver (XAG/USD) pulls back on Tuesday after failing to hold its earlier advance. At the time of writing, the metal trades around $66 after reaching an intraday high near $67.19. The retreat comes as rising Oil prices add to concerns that inflation could stay elevated and encourage central banks to keep borrowing costs high.

Higher interest rates tend to weigh on Silver because the metal offers no yield. Expectations of tighter Federal Reserve (Fed) policy have strengthened since Friday’s upbeat US employment report, with the CME FedWatch tool showing around a 60% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike next week.

However, the downside in Silver appears limited as the US Dollar (USD) stays under pressure. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, trades around 98.82 after briefly reclaiming 99, hovering near its lowest level in more than two weeks.

Attention now turns to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday and Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Friday. The figures will help determine whether the Fed raises interest rates at its September 15-16 meeting.

Technical Analysis

On the daily chart, XAG/USD holds above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $62 and a dense Fibonacci support band clustered between the 61.8% retracement at $60.97 and the 38.2% level at $64.80, suggesting downside attempts remain cushioned for now.

However, price still trades below the 100-day SMA at $67.28 and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $67.17, keeping the broader tone neutral, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 53 and a slightly negative Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) hinting at fading upside momentum.

On the topside, initial resistance is seen at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $67.17, closely followed by the 100-day SMA at $67. A daily close above this confluence would open the way toward the next hurdle at the prior swing anchor near $71 and then the 200-day SMA at $72.

On the downside, immediate support comes from the 38.2% retracement at $64.80, with further cushions at the 50% level at $62.89 and the 61.8% retracement at $60.97. A break below this band would expose deeper Fibonacci support at $58.24 and $54.77, where the 50-day SMA at $62 currently underpins the broader consolidation.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
2026-09-08 15:03 1mo ago
2026-09-08 10:32 1mo ago
Euro: ECB expectations support EUR against US Dollar – Scotiabank FMP Forex News
Original source text
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report that the Euro (EUR) is little changed near the low 1.16s as markets await Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, where a 25 bps hike and a hawkish tone are anticipated. They note supportive yield spreads and a fair value estimate around 1.1650, with technicals showing a marginally bullish RSI, a medium-term uptrend, and limited resistance toward 1.1680–1.1700.

Euro steady before ECB decision"Focus this week centers on Thursday’s ECB, where policymakers are widely expected to deliver a 25bpt hike while maintaining a relatively hawkish tone as they seek to lean against the risk of energy-led inflation and mitigate any potential for broadening inflationary pressures."

"The outlook for relative central bank policy remains supportive as we note the continued recovery in yield spreads with a narrow (2Y Germany-US yield spread only) fair value estimate currently around 1.1650. In terms of fundamental releases, Germany’s July trade data delivered a larger than expected surplus while France disappointed with a wider than expected deficit."

"The calendar is relatively empty ahead of the ECB. In terms of sentiment, we note the absence of any meaningful reaction to Sunday’s German state election result that delivered an overwhelming victory for the far right AfD. Risk reversals are actually up on the day, suggesting a fading premium for protection against EUR weakness."

"Neutral/bullish – the RSI is bullish, albeit only marginally so as it hovers just above the neutral threshold at 50. The medium-term trend is bullish with a clear recovery from the late June low. The broader, longer-term chart remains a flat range."

"We see near-term support around last week’s lows near 1.1580 and see limited resistance ahead of the 1.1680/1.1700 range."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)
2026-09-08 15:03 1mo ago
2026-09-08 10:47 1mo ago
South African Rand: Gold prices support ZAR against US Dollar – TD Securities
GOLD Zlato USDZAR USD/ZAR
FMP Forex News
Original source text
TD Securities remains constructive on South African Rand (ZAR), noting that domestic headwinds have failed to generate sustained weakness and that USD/ZAR’s downtrend remains intact. With Gold prices supported and global risk sentiment resilient, they argue ZAR offers attractive carry and see USD/ZAR rallies as opportunities to sell.

USD/ZAR rallies seen as selling opportunities"In South Africa, domestic headwinds have repeatedly failed to generate sustained ZAR weakness."

"USD/ZAR ignored new domestic political corruption allegation headlines from Q2 '26."

"While the unexpected SARB rate hold decision briefly drove USD/ZAR above the 200d SMA in July, market was able to look past this policy misstep and push USD/ZAR back below 16.00 in August."

"Global macro variables such as gold price and equity risk sentiment continue to serve as the main drivers for ZAR."

"USD/ZAR spot downtrend remains intact. We still view USD/ZAR rallies as selling opportunities so long as gold remains supported above $4,000/oz and global equity sentiment stays resilient."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)