A series of security vulnerabilities have been disclosed in internet infrastructure software within a single day, affecting PHP, Node.js, and Go.
Multiple internet infrastructure software projects rolled out security updates in a single day, addressing vulnerabilities including remote code execution, TLS certificate validation bypass, and certificate trust risks. PHP fixed two critical flaws: CVE-2026-109618 and CVE-2026-109619, both enabling unauthenticated remote code execution that impacts PHP environments processing web requests. The patched versions are 8.5.12, 8.4.27, 8.3.36, and 8.2.35. Node.js’ advisory details 10 vulnerabilities, four of which are high-severity: these include remote code execution via out-of-bounds write in the Brotli decoder, DNS name truncation, and two TLS certificate hostname validation bypass issues. Fixed versions are 26.12.1, 24.22.1, and 22.23.4. Additionally, Go’s crypto/x509-related risk is tracked as CVE-2026-111943, rated "Important" by Red Hat with a CVSS 3.1 score of 6.8. Attackers with specific network access and valid certificates could impersonate legitimate servers to intercept or alter communications. Go 1.26.10 and 1.27.3 have been added to a deny list, blocking trust for compromised intermediate certificates.
1 hours ago
Dataline completes $10.6 million seed round funding, and plans to conduct an ICO.
Decentralized data network for AI agents Dataline has closed a $10.6 million seed round, co-led by Lattice and Samsung-backed Dispersion Capital, with participation from Symbolic Capital, Coinbase Ventures, Anagram, and Robinhood co-founder & CEO Vlad Tenev, among others. The round, completed in April, utilized a SAFE agreement with token warrants; valuation was not disclosed. Dataline is now live, covering approximately 50 data sources to deliver on-chain and off-chain data, and scores data reliability, timeliness, and consistency using AI. Proceeds will be allocated to expanding data sources, enhancing data validation, and expanding into robotics, AI training data, and other sectors. Dataline plans to launch a token by the end of 2026 for network payments and data access, and intends to conduct a public token sale on Base via Uniswap’s Continuous Clearing Auction (CCA) system, with details set to be revealed next week. The public sale’s target fundraising amount, token quantity, and other terms remain undisclosed.
1 hours ago
Trump plans to leverage White House cyber crime efforts to showcase achievements in combating cross-border crypto fraud.
White House officials said on October 21 that Trump planned to focus on the U.S. government’s actions to crack down on overseas crypto fraud rings during the White House’s cybersecurity event that day, including recovering funds and shutting down fraudulent operations. These transnational criminal groups steal funds from U.S. citizens via romance scams, phishing, ransomware and other methods. The U.S. government noted that law enforcement agencies have seized approximately $833 million in crypto assets linked to overseas fraud, and shut down 503 fraudulent crypto websites under the supervision of the Homeland Security Task Force. Relevant authorities have also notified nearly 9,000 U.S. citizens to alert them they are being targeted by fraud. The U.S. Treasury Department previously announced the establishment of an inter-agency "Fraud Strike Task Force" to target "pig butchering" scams run by organized criminal groups in Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos and the Philippines. Since last year, the U.S. has also imposed multiple sanctions aimed at cutting off support for related fraud websites and their infrastructure.
1 hours ago
American Bankers Association voices dissatisfaction with OCC’s final GENIUS Act rule, which abandons proposed restrictions on stablecoin yields.
Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett reported that the American Bankers Association (ABA) has voiced dissatisfaction with the final rules implemented by the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) under the GENIUS Act. The OCC abandoned the previously proposed restrictions on stablecoin yields, a move the ABA argues will "maintain the status quo for crypto platforms." The ABA’s CEO stated: "It is a mistake to wait until deposit outflows and economic harm have already occurred before attempting to address these issues."
1 hours ago
Beyond PHP, three Node.js version branches are also affected by high-severity vulnerabilities, and users need to update their runtime environments promptly.
Node.js rolled out a security update on October 21, covering its 26.x, 24.x, and 22.x version branches, with corresponding patched releases: 26.12.1, 24.22.1, and 22.23.4. The advisory details 10 total vulnerabilities, categorized as 4 critical-severity, 3 medium-severity, and 3 low-severity, with varying impact scopes across the three version lines. The critical CVE-2026-111497 is an out-of-bounds write flaw in the Brotli decoder that could enable remote code execution (RCE), affecting all three branches. Other critical issues include improper null character handling in DNS resolution and a TLS certificate hostname validation bypass. The update also resolves problems with persistent connection response processing, random number cache duplication, and permission models, while updating dependencies including c-ares, OpenSSL, and Undici. The official note warns that end-of-life (EOL) versions may still be vulnerable, advising users to use the latest supported releases. Separately, prior reports noted PHP has fixed two critical unauthenticated RCE vulnerabilities, with patches available for versions 8.5.12, 8.4.27, 8.3.36, and 8.2.35; PHP users are urged to upgrade immediately.
1 hours ago
Bonk Guy: This round is the "privacy cycle", privacy protocol MASK is undervalued.
Renowned trader Bonk Guy posted that the current crypto market is showing characteristics of a "privacy cycle". He noted that since yesterday, Bitcoin has risen approximately 3%, ZEC is up 16%, adding over $3 billion in market capitalization. MASK currently has a market cap of roughly $26 million, with its protocol trading volume and fees hitting consecutive all-time highs, he added. Citing data from DefiLlama, he stated that MASK ranks first among privacy protocols by revenue, outearning the next 10 privacy protocols combined. By comparison, ZEC’s market cap gain over the past 24 hours is roughly 115 times MASK’s entire market cap. Bonk Guy also said that MASK’s upcoming deployment on Solana is set to launch in the coming days, which he expects will further drive growth in usage, trading volume, and fees. He went on to call MASK the most undervalued privacy protocol in the crypto market.
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has welcomed TRON to Midnight, a privacy-focused blockchain network designed to bring confidential transactions to existing blockchain ecosystems.
Hoskinson made the remark in response to a commentary from SIG Network CEO David Millar-Durrant, who announced plans to extend Midnight’s privacy technology to TRON and its payment users in December 2026.
Midnight to Bring Privacy and Compliance to TRON Payments Millar-Durrant explained that SIG Network is working with Midnight to develop Nightmode, a solution that allows applications to integrate Midnight’s privacy features without leaving their existing blockchain networks.
The planned integration, which already supports Ethereum, will be targeting TRON later this year. Notably, Millar-Durrant described TRON as a leading blockchain for payments. He highlighted its use for business payrolls and everyday transactions, including payments to cab drivers and service providers.
How Midnight Could Improve Privacy on TRON Through Nightmode, SIG Network aims to bring Midnight’s privacy features to TRON while allowing users to continue accessing supported blockchain assets and applications.
According to Millar-Durrant, the system will support private payments, protect wallet balances and transaction details, and allow applications to determine what information users must disclose. It will also accommodate industry-standard screening tools used by centralized exchanges to support compliance requirements.
Additionally, applications will be able to segregate assets, control access, and integrate privacy features without abandoning their existing blockchain infrastructure.
Millar-Durrant emphasized that the proposed solution will combine privacy with compliance. This approach could allow users to protect sensitive financial information while meeting application-specific disclosure and screening requirements.
Hoskinson Welcomes TRON Founder Justin Sun The announcement has generated excitement across the Cardano community, with Hoskinson welcoming TRON to Midnight and tagging TRON founder Justin Sun.
The two blockchain founders have maintained a friendly relationship over the years. In August, Hoskinson praised Sun’s ambition and drive, noting that Sun had treated him well and remained committed to moving upward.
This is a general announcement and marketing communication. Products and services referred to here may not be available in your region. Disclaimer: This is not available for users in the EEA. Fellow Binancians, Binance is thrilled to launch a Spot Trading Tournament where eligible users will have a chance to share a total prize pool of 400 BNB in token vouchers! In addition, Binance is introducing a “Sprint Reward” for a limited period – the more you trade, the higher your extra rewards! Promotion Period: 2026-10-21 10:00 (UTC) to 2026-10-28 10:00 (UTC) Join Now Eligibility: All verified new, regular users and Binance VIP 1-6 users can participate.Liquidity providers in the Binance Spot Liquidity Provider Program and Binance Brokers are not eligible to participate. Eligible Trading Pair(s) Trading pair(s): ENA/USDC, VANA/USDT How to Participate: Click the [Join Now] button on the landing page to register.Total Trading Volume reaches at least 500 USD equivalent in any of the aforementioned eligible pair(s) on Binance Spot during the Promotion Period. Users who do not meet this threshold will not qualify for any reward under this Trading Volume Tournament. Main Reward Structure: Statistical Period: 2026-10-21 10:00 (UTC) to 2026-10-28 10:00 (UTC)Rankings Based on the Cumulative Trading VolumeReward per Eligible Participant (in BNB Token Vouchers)1st Place12 BNB2nd Place10 BNB3rd Place8 BNB4th Place6 BNB5th Place4 BNB6th - 20th PlacesAn equal split of 40 BNB21st - 50th PlacesAn equal split of 40 BNB51st - 200th PlacesAn equal split of 64 BNB201st - 1,000th PlacesAn equal split of 56 BNBAll Remaining Eligible ParticipantsA proportional share* of 80 BNB, capped at 0.05 BNB per user Proportional Share Rewards Calculation Logic*: Your Final Allocation = (Your Trading Volume / Total Trading Volume of All Eligible Participants Ranked after the 1,000th) * Proportional Share Prize Pool Sprint Reward Structure: Binance is introducing a “Sprint Reward”. For a limited period, users will receive extra rewards based on their ranking by cumulative trading volume. The more one trades during the respective Statistical Periods, the higher the extra rewards can be. Please note that users can earn from both the "Sprint Reward" and the "Main Reward" pools at the same time. Rankings Based on the Cumulative Trading VolumeRound 1 Statistical Period: 2026-10-21 10:00 (UTC) to 2026-10-23 10:00 (UTC)Round 2 Statistical Period: 2026-10-23 10:01 (UTC) to 2026-10-25 10:00 (UTC)Reward per Eligible Participant (in BNB Token Vouchers)1st Place12 BNB12 BNB2nd Place10 BNB10 BNB3rd Place8 BNB8 BNB4th Place6 BNB6 BNB5th Place4 BNB4 BNB Promotion Rules: Trading volume of any zero-fee trading pairs is excluded from the final trading volume calculation.Transaction or gas fees will be excluded from the final trading volume calculation for the tournament.All eligible buy and sell orders will be counted towards the cumulative total trading volume.Token vouchers will be distributed to winners by 2026-11-11, and will expire within 21 days after distribution. Users will be able to login and redeem their token voucher rewards via Profile > Rewards Hub.The Spot Trading Volume leaderboard is updated at least once every 24 hours. The final update will be completed within a few hours after the campaign ends. The Main Reward leaderboard and Sprint Reward leaderboard will be displayed on the separate Sub-Spot landing page respectively. Data sync times vary daily but will always be completed by the end of the day.Only users who have met the minimum qualifying trading volume threshold will be displayed on the leaderboard along with their trading volume. Don’t miss out on this opportunity and share in the rewards now! To view more promotions for new listings on Binance, stay tuned to this page for the latest updates and exclusive opportunities. Guides & Related Materials: How to Spot Trade (App / Web) Terms & Conditions: These terms and conditions (“Activity Terms”) govern users’ participation in the activity above (“Activity”). By participating in this Activity, users agree to these Activity Terms, and the following additional terms: (a) Binance Terms and Conditions for Prize Promotions; (b) Binance Terms of Use; and (c) Binance Privacy Notice; all of which are incorporated by reference into these terms and conditions. In the case of any inconsistency or conflict between these Activity Terms, and any other incorporated terms, the provisions of these Activity Terms shall prevail, followed by the following in this order of precedence, and to the extent of such conflict: (a) Binance Terms and Conditions for Prize Promotions; (b) Binance Terms of Use; and (c) Binance Privacy Notice.Only verified users who complete the aforementioned criteria for the tournament by the end of the Promotion Period may receive rewards.This Trading Volume Tournament is available to verified new, regular and VIP 1 - 6 users enabled for Binance Spot Trading, subject to product (and where relevant, deposit methods’) availability in users’ regions, and may be restricted in certain jurisdictions or regions, or to certain users, due to legal and regulatory requirements.VIP level eligibility will be determined based on the user's VIP level at the time of joining the Activity. Users who join the Activity while they are VIP 6 or below will remain eligible for the Activity and may receive the applicable rewards based on their eligible trading volume during the Promotion Period, even if their VIP level is upgraded to VIP 7 or above during the Promotion Period.Reward Distribution:All token voucher rewards will be distributed to eligible, winning users by 2026-11-11.Users will be able to login and redeem their token voucher rewards via Profile > Rewards Hub. All token voucher rewards will expire within 21 days after distribution. Winning users should claim their vouchers before the expiration date, and no replacement reward will be provided. Learn how to redeem a Binance voucher.Please note that the actual value of rewards received by a user is subject to change due to market fluctuation.Token voucher rewards are subject to additional terms and conditions.Rewards are not negotiable nor transferable.Once the available rewards have been allocated to users, no further rewards will be provided notwithstanding that an eligible user may have completed the missions.A user’s trading volume in this Trading Volume Tournament will be calculated after the user has opted-in and will be based on the trading volume (i) in their master and sub-accounts, and (ii) on all Spot products, including Spot Trading, Spot Copy Trading and Trading Bots. API trades are allowed. Binance’s calculation of a user’s trading volume is final.Binance reserves the right to disqualify a user’s reward eligibility if the account is involved in any dishonest behavior (e.g., wash trading, illegally bulk account registrations/logins, self dealing, or market manipulation). Binance further reserves the right to disqualify any participants who tamper with Binance program code, or interfere with the operation of Binance program code with other software. Rewards that have already been disqualified will not be returned to the prize pool.Binance reserves the right at any time in its sole and absolute discretion to determine and/or amend or vary these terms and conditions without prior notice, including but not limited to canceling, extending, terminating, or suspending these activities, the eligibility terms and criteria, the selection and number of reward recipients, and the timing of any act to be done, and all participants shall be bound by these amendments.The commencement and operation of the campaign (including the commencement of the Promotion Period) are subject to the successful listing of the relevant token on Binance Spot. If the listing is postponed or cancelled for any reason, the campaign (including the Promotion Period and reward distribution) may be delayed, amended or withdrawn at Binance’s discretion. Binance will not be liable for any loss or inconvenience caused by such changes.There may be discrepancies between this original content in English and any translated versions. Please refer to the original English version for the most accurate information, in case any discrepancies arise. Thank you for your support! Binance Team 2026-10-21 Disclaimer: USDC is an e-money token issued by Circle Internet Financial Europe SAS (https://www.circle.com/). USDC’s whitepaper is available here. You may contact Circle using the following contact information: +33(1)59000130 and [email protected]. Holders of USDC have a legal claim against Circle SAS as the EU issuer of USDC. These holders are entitled to request redemption of their USDC from Circle SAS. Such redemption will be made at any time and at par value.
ARK Invest’s Q3 2026 DeFi report shows that tokenized equities were the main driver of the quarter’s rebound in on-chain activity. Tokenized equity spot DEX trading volume hit roughly $50 billion, about 9 times the prior quarter’s level, lifting its share of total spot DEX volume from ~1% to ~9%. Total spot DEX volume rose ~13% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) to $571 billion, marking its first quarterly increase in four quarters. In its first quarter since launch, Robinhood Chain generated ~$65 billion in DEX trading volume and $51 million in network revenue, with its network income nearly matching BNB Chain’s performance in the same period. However, ARK projects that recent adjustments to the gas mechanism will cause the chain’s revenue to decline from current levels. Total stablecoin supply fell ~3% QoQ to $309 billion, but adjusted trading volume rose ~16% QoQ to $781 billion, while monthly active addresses grew ~39% to 73 million. Perpetual contract DEXs saw a divergence between open interest and trading activity: open interest rose ~76% QoQ to $240 billion, while quarterly trading volume dropped ~16% to $1.4 trillion. Hyperliquid’s open interest stood at ~$130 billion, accounting for ~53% of the total. ARK notes this trend points to fewer but larger, longer-held positions.
Bitcoin climbed above $84,000 to reach $84,134 at the time of writing. The advance came as inflows into US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) slowed sharply. Although BlackRock continued to attract capital, Bitcoin faces significant resistance at levels where many existing investors bought their holdings.
In the higher-risk meme coin market, sustaining buyer interest presents a different challenge. Data showing that trading in most new tokens quickly dries up highlights the importance of what projects are building alongside their price prospects. MemeToro ($MT), which is developing an AI-powered meme coin launchpad on BNB Chain, aims to address this through a model built around rules published in advance and open-source code.
Bitcoin ETF demand and the $87,700 threshold come into focusAccording to SoSoValue, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $23.16 million on October 20. That was roughly 96% below the $526.7 million recorded in the previous trading session. The decline reflects a slowdown in daily net new capital entering the funds, rather than a withdrawal of existing investments.
BlackRock’s IBIT attracted $29.86 million and Fidelity’s FBTC brought in $3.58 million, while Bitwise’s BITB recorded outflows of $10.29 million. The previous day, BlackRock alone attracted $665.2 million, but withdrawals from other funds left the sector’s overall net inflow below that figure.
Despite the slowdown following the strongest daily inflow in roughly a month, the two-day total remained positive at $549.9 million. However, combined outflows of $729 million on October 7–8 suggest that institutional demand has yet to settle into a consistent pattern. That uneven picture remains relevant ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October 28 interest rate decision.
The first significant threshold above Bitcoin’s current price is $85,000. According to Glassnode, investors who bought in late 2025 have an average cost basis of around $87,700. This sits in the same region as Bitcoin’s opening price for the year of approximately $87,490 and its 20-month moving average near $87,165.
Investors holding unrealized losses may sell as the price approaches their entry levels, creating a strong resistance zone. A sustained break above this area could support a move toward $90,000, although stronger spot buying would be needed. On the downside, attention is on the $80,000–$81,500 range, which includes the roughly $81,500 average cost basis of ETF holdings. If that support fails, the next level in focus could be around $78,000, where Glassnode’s “True Market Mean” indicator stands.
Regional trading patterns also stand out. According to data shared by Galaxy Head of Research Alex Thorn, Bitcoin’s cumulative return during Asian trading sessions was 3.9% from October 1–20, compared with 1.1% during US sessions. European sessions recorded a 5.5% loss. The buy-and-hold return over the same period was negative 0.7%.
Options are also accounting for a growing share of the derivatives market. According to Volmex data cited by CoinDesk, Bitcoin options now represent close to 60% of total Bitcoin derivatives open interest, up from around 50% at the start of the year. Options account for $76 billion of roughly $129 billion in total derivatives open interest. ETF-linked options stand at approximately $36 billion, with IBIT options accounting for around $35 billion. Volmex links this shift to a greater emphasis on risk management.
Not every large investor is increasing their Bitcoin exposure, however. After a five-day pause, a whale tracked by on-chain analyst Ai Yi exchanged Bitcoin for 3,038.73 ETH worth approximately $7.5 million across three addresses. Since October 11, the investor has accumulated more than 46,103.3 ETH through similar swaps, with a total transaction value exceeding $115 million.
MemeToro aims to bring transparent rules to meme coin launchesWhile Bitcoin investors assess the staying power of institutional demand, the central challenge in the meme coin market is whether newly launched tokens can attract lasting buying interest. According to CoinGecko data reported by Crypto News on October 18, the sector’s total market capitalization stood at approximately $29.9 billion, with daily trading volume of $3.4 billion. Dogecoin, Shiba Inu and PEPE accounted for around 56% of the total market value.
The picture is more fragile among new projects. Research by Bitquery found that 79% of tokens launched on Pump.fun traded only on their first day. Just 1.5% were still trading after five weeks. The findings suggest that launching a token alone does not create a sustainable market.
MemeToro plans to use AI to analyze news and conversations on X, generate meme coin ideas, and publicly explain the reasoning behind them. The terms of each token launch are recorded in a file that anyone can inspect. A smart contract called “FairLaunchEscrow” enforces those terms, while the AI itself does not hold funds.
The project’s MIT-licensed GitHub repository contains the AI component, the file structure defining launch terms, the escrow contract and automated tests. The team describes the current version as an initial working product, while development of the full platform continues in collaboration with Web3 security company Coinsult.
The platform’s native token, $MT, is being offered at $0.00649 in Stage 9 of its presale. According to its token allocation, 71% of the total supply of 1.2 billion tokens is reserved for the public sale, while 2% is allocated to the team. The project says buyers receive their tokens directly in their wallets at the time of purchase, with no lockup on presale tokens. Each stage has a funding target; once it is reached, the next stage opens at a higher price. This pricing structure does not guarantee the token’s subsequent market value.
The project states that the $MT token contract has been audited by Coinsult, SolidProof and BlockSAFU. However, those audits should be distinguished from reviews of the platform’s token launch contracts: these contracts, including FairLaunchEscrow, have not yet undergone independent audits. Token creation and liquidity provision functions, a public funding page, and completion of the file standard defining launch terms also remain on the roadmap. With the team operating under pseudonyms, the published code, the scope of the audits and development progress are key factors in assessing the project.
For Bitcoin, the move above $84,000 brings the price closer to initial resistance at $85,000. However, slowing ETF inflows suggest the advance is not being matched by equally strong institutional buying. For MemeToro, the more meaningful test goes beyond presale progress: whether its open-source prototype becomes a usable platform with completed independent audits. The existing token audits cover one part of that process; they do not provide assurance for the entire platform under development.
For those seeking high returns in meme coins, much of the appeal lies in discovering a project before it reaches a wider audience. Now in Stage 9 of its presale, MemeToro is one project that may warrant a closer look. Keeping the substantial risks of early participation in mind, its official website offers a starting point for examining what the team is building, how the tokens are allocated and what the audit reports cover. Thorough research is recommended before making an investment decision.
Hackers hijacked a third-party notification provider for Ngrave’s LIQUID app and sent fake security alerts on Oct. 17.
About $2.56 million was stolen from 70 wallet addresses across four blockchain networks.
Bitcoin made up $1.77 million of the losses, followed by XRP, Ethereum-based assets and Stellar.
Ngrave says its ZERO hardware wallets were not breached. Victims entered their recovery phrases on a fake website.
The CEO said the company “absolutely and utterly failed” and has added new security controls.
Belgian hardware wallet maker Ngrave says thieves stole about $2.56 million from its customers after hijacking a system used to send app alerts. The company disclosed the attack on Oct. 19.
Attackers gained control of a third-party notification provider used by Ngrave’s LIQUID companion app. On Oct. 17, they used it to send fake security warnings straight to users.
The message said a user’s portfolio had been synced with a Pixel 9 device in Moscow. Tapping the alert opened a fake Ngrave website with a countdown timer and buttons to approve or deny the activity.
Both buttons led to the same trap. Users were asked to enter their 24-word recovery phrase or their Perfect Key, which gave attackers full access to their wallets.
Automated scripts then emptied the accounts within minutes. Ngrave traced the losses to 70 wallet addresses across four networks.
Bitcoin made up most of the stolen funds at $1.77 million. Thieves also took $454,000 in XRP, $316,000 in Ethereum-based assets and $18,000 in Stellar.
How the Attack Unfolded
Ngrave’s incident report says unauthorized access may have started on Oct. 11, six days before the fake alerts went out. Attackers got one access key and used it to obtain a second key with wider permissions, including access to some analytics data.
The company spotted the fake alerts within a minute of their appearance at 9:30 p.m. UTC on Oct. 17. Even so, the first wallet was drained six minutes later.
Ngrave shut off its notification system by 10:45 p.m. Thefts from wallets that were already compromised continued until 3:51 a.m. the next morning.
The company says its ZERO hardware wallets and private keys were never breached. Instead, attackers tricked customers into handing over their own recovery details.
The stolen funds moved through exchanges, blockchain bridges and new addresses. Ngrave traced bitcoin into 12 addresses, while XRP moved through 54 transfers.
Analytics firm Bitquery said in its own report that “most of it now sits on Hyperliquid as a Monero token.” It estimated about 81% of the funds ended up on the decentralized perpetuals exchange.
Ngrave CEO Admits Failure
Ngrave’s CEO gave a direct statement in the incident report. “In my humble opinion, the first duty of a crypto security company is to provide exactly that: security. In this, we have absolutely and utterly failed,” he said.
He said the company’s security was not strong enough when he took over as leader months earlier. Ngrave also said device information, wallet activity, IP addresses and approximate locations may have been exposed.
The incident adds to a difficult year for hardware wallet makers. Nearly a dozen security incidents in 2026 have involved brands such as Ledger, Trezor, Tangem, Safepal, Bitbox02 and Coldcard, with reported losses topping $180 million across two incidents.
Ngrave has replaced the compromised keys and plans tighter notification controls. These include two-person approvals, restricted domains and an emergency shutdown option.
The company is urging affected customers to set up new wallets and contact support. Its investigation is ongoing.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
In a recent X post, Stellar said the Bell (Protocol) upgrade aims to prepare smart accounts for businesses at scale and start work on quantum-safe signatures and faster ledgers. The upgrade is expected to happen next month, with testnet and mainnet upgrade dates likely to be Nov. 3 and 23, 2026.
Introducing Bell (Protocol 30). Bell is designed to make smart accounts ready for businesses at scale and begin work on quantum-safe signatures and faster ledgers. Testnet upgrade: Nov 3 Mainnet upgrade: Nov 23 Learn more in the upgrade guide👇 https://t.co/vjS0vLy7rT
— Stellar | Meridian Oct 28-29 (@StellarOrg) October 20, 2026 Besides last week's Stellar Core v30.0.0 stable release, there are more stable releases coming this week, including infrastructure and SDKs. As stated above, November 3 and 23, 2026 at 1700 UTC have been scheduled for testnet and mainnet upgrade votes.
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Protocol 30 changes the ledger header format (CAP-88), and an older SDK may fail to decode Protocol 30 ledgers. The Protocol 30 SDKs carry the updated XDR definitions, plus support for the new muxed contract address type and its W strkey (CAP-84).
Stellar advances quantum-safe plansIn June 2026, Stellar introduced the Quantum Preparedness Plan (QPP) aiming to migrate the network to quantum-safe cryptography.
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By the end of 2027, every Stellar account is expected to be able to add a quantum-safe signer through a native protocol upgrade, keeping the same address and history. Enterprise wallets are expected to be able to move to quantum-safe signing in 2026 through Soroban contract accounts.
XLM price to benefitAt the time of writing, XLM was up 4.80% in the last 24 hours to $0.183 as the broader crypto market rebounded. XLM's price is set to benefit in the long run from Stellar's Quantum Preparedness Plan, which improves the security of the network, especially that of accounts.
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There are two threats to Stellar from sufficiently powerful quantum computers, and they require different solutions. First is network integrity: Stellar Consensus Protocol messages are authenticated with Ed25519 signatures by validators. An attacker who can forge enough validator signatures to control quorum intersection can compromise consensus itself. Network integrity will be addressed through a protocol upgrade to SCP.
Account takeover is the harder problem and the focus of the Quantum Preparedness Plan (QPP). Shor's algorithm can derive the private key for any Ed25519 public key. On Stellar, account addresses directly encode the Ed25519 public key, which means every account address on the network is a target—including dormant accounts that have never authorized a transaction.
CAP-84 lets one smart contract serve many customers through a new 64-bit ID address format starting with W.
CAP-87 allows smart contracts to verify ML-DSA signatures, the post-quantum standard NIST finalized in 2024.
CAP-88 moves ledger close times to a millisecond clock, setting up faster ledgers in future protocol changes.
The testnet vote is set for November 3, and the mainnet vote follows on November 23 at 1700 UTC.
The Stellar Bell upgrade, also known as Protocol 30, is set to reach mainnet voting on November 23, 2026. The Stellar Development Foundation announced the release on October 20.
The update targets smart accounts for businesses and begins work on quantum-safe signatures and faster ledgers.
It contains three proposed changes: muxed contract addresses, post-quantum signature verification in smart contracts, and millisecond ledger timing. A testnet vote will take place earlier, on November 3.
Muxed Contract Addresses for Smart Accounts
Many exchanges, ramps, and custodial products on Stellar already use muxed accounts. A muxed account attaches an ID to one account. Each customer receives a unique deposit address, while the funds land in a single account.
Smart accounts had no equivalent feature. A smart account is a smart contract instead of a keypair, so it can set its own spending rules. Businesses holding customer balances therefore needed one contract per customer.
CAP-84 addresses this gap in the Stellar Bell upgrade. A contract address can now carry a 64-bit ID, written in a new format that starts with W. Jake Urban, Senior Engineering Manager at the Stellar Development Foundation, described the W as “an upside-down M.”
He said a distinct type lets developers always know which address they handle. Developers must update SDKs and add the W variant to type checks.
Stellar secures accounts with Ed25519, secp256k1, and secp256r1 elliptic-curve signatures. A large enough quantum computer could break these in theory. No such machine is publicly known, but public keys remain visible on the ledger, and migrations take years.
CAP-87 lets smart contracts verify ML-DSA signatures, a standard NIST finalized in 2024. Verification needs far more computation than Ed25519.
Therefore, Stellar Core performs it directly instead of contract code. This keeps calls cheap and allows testing against official vectors.
Within the Stellar Bell upgrade, this is the first onchain piece of the Quantum Preparedness Plan. Custom account contracts can now require a quantum-safe signature to spend.
Network transaction signatures remain Ed25519 for now. A native post-quantum signer for classic accounts is planned for a later protocol change.
Millisecond Ledger Timing and Schedule
Stellar currently records ledger close times in whole seconds. As a result, the network cannot target intervals shorter than one second. In September, Protocol 28 reduced mainnet close times from about 5.7 seconds to 5 seconds.
CAP-88 moves the ledger to a millisecond clock. This allows future protocol changes to target finer close times. Stellar Core developers are already testing faster closes on experimental branches. The ledger header format also changes, so tools reading ledger data need updated XDR definitions.
SDK users should upgrade before the votes. The previous closeTime field still reports whole seconds. Stellar Core v30.0.0 became available on October 16. The testnet vote occurs on November 3 at 1700 UTC. The mainnet vote follows on November 23 at the same time.
Stellar will mark its initial step into the post-quantum (PQ) era of security via the Bell upgrade scheduled for November.
According to Stellar, the upgrade aims to enable smart contracts to have native PQ signatures, calling it one of the “two long-term goals.”
It’s (Bell upgrade) designed to make smart accounts ready for businesses at scale and start the work on two longer-term goals: quantum-safe signatures and faster ledgers.
The upgrade, also known as Protocol 30, will hit Testnet on the 3rd of November. If all goes well, the vote and final upgrade will be pushed to mainnet by the 23rd of November.
While this won’t make the whole Stellar stack quantum-secure, it is a commendable part of broader preparations ahead of the 2029 deadline.
Stellar’s quantum roadmap
Powerful quantum computers can break elliptic curve cryptography, which is currently being used to secure most blockchains and Internet systems.
Google, which is actively working on a quantum computer, has set 2029 as the internal deadline to make its systems quantum-secure. In fact, it urged the blockchain industry to also use the same deadline. As part of its response to the threat, Stellar [XLM], like most blockchains, unveiled a plan to be quantum-secure.
For Stellar, the target is 2027, but enterprise wallets were expected to have quantum-secure signing by the end of 2026. That’s the step the Bell upgrade will achieve at the smart contract level.
The second phase will be to extend a similar secure signing to standard wallets and accounts in 2027. Finally, the network consensus layer (validator node signatures) will also have secure post-quantum signatures. That puts it close to Tron and Starknet, which are also pushing to overhaul their stack to be quantum-secure.
Impact on Stellar’s XLM
Stellar has bagged several partnerships, including plugging in and distributing tokenized assets (RWA) by the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC).
In fact, DeFiLlama data shows that Stellar has 6x more RWA assets (about $3 billion) than stablecoin activity ($487 million).
Source: DeFiLlama
That said, XLM bounced about 5% following the update and was up 7% this week. Bulls seem to have defended the September low and short-term demand support of $0.17.
However, the market structure was still bearish. Only a decisive move above $0.19 (moving averages) could confirm a likely extension of the recovery.
Source: XLM/USDT, TradingView
Final Summary
Stellar to kick off its post-quantum plan with the Bell upgrade in November.
The post-quantum push will initially target smart contracts and enterprise wallets.
Stellar Development Foundation, the organization behind the open-source payment network Stellar, has announced a major protocol upgrade aimed at enhancing the network’s resilience against potential quantum computing threats. The upgrade, referred to as the Bell Protocol, is expected to bring advanced security features and prepare the Stellar ecosystem for large-scale enterprise adoption.
Upgrade timeline and new featuresAccording to details shared on X (formerly Twitter), the Bell Protocol upgrade is set for implementation in late 2026. The testnet upgrade vote is scheduled for November 3, 2026, followed by the mainnet upgrade vote on November 23, 2026, both at 17:00 UTC. This timeline allows developers, businesses, and the broader Stellar community adequate time to adapt to the upcoming changes.
Alongside the protocol upgrade, Stellar has recently released the stable version 30.0.0 of Stellar Core, with further infrastructure and SDK updates planned in the coming week. These SDKs will provide updated XDR definitions and introduce support for the new muxed contract address type as well as W strkey formats outlined in CAP-84.
Protocol 30 will also modify the ledger header format (CAP-88), meaning older SDK versions may be unable to decode ledgers created with the upgraded protocol. To ensure compatibility, Stellar encourages all developers to update their software accordingly.
Quantum Preparedness Plan (QPP)In June 2026, Stellar introduced the Quantum Preparedness Plan (QPP). This initiative is designed to transition the Stellar network toward quantum-safe cryptographic standards. By the end of 2027, every account on the network is expected to be able to add a quantum-safe signer through a built-in protocol update. Users will retain their current account addresses and full transaction histories throughout this process.
For enterprise clients, the plan includes early migration to quantum-safe signing via Soroban smart contract accounts in 2026, allowing large-scale wallet providers to enhance security ahead of widespread rollout.
Mini dictionary: Soroban is Stellar’s native smart contract platform, designed to support programmable, decentralized finance applications within the Stellar network while maintaining high performance and security standards.
Stellar Core v30.0.0 and the Quantum Preparedness Plan signal a proactive approach toward future-proofing the network as quantum computing continues to advance.
Addressing threats from quantum computingThere are two primary risks from sufficiently powerful quantum computers: threats to network integrity and to individual account security. Currently, the Stellar Consensus Protocol (SCP) secures consensus through Ed25519 digital signatures. If quantum computers become able to forge these signatures, a malicious actor could compromise quorum intersection and disrupt the network’s consensus mechanism. To address this, Stellar is planning a major SCP protocol update as part of its quantum-resistant roadmap.
A more complex challenge is account takeover. With Shor’s algorithm, a quantum computer could theoretically derive private keys from any Ed25519 public key. Because Stellar account addresses are directly based on Ed25519 public keys, all user accounts—including dormant ones that have never initiated a transaction—could become susceptible to attacks. The Quantum Preparedness Plan specifically focuses on developing quantum-safe signers to address this issue before such technology becomes accessible.
Stellar’s roadmap targets quantum-safe upgrades by 2026 and aims for all network accounts to support quantum-safe signers by the end of 2027, maintaining current addresses and transaction histories throughout the transition.
Market response and future outlookAs of the current trading session, XLM, Stellar’s native token, has risen 4.80% in the previous 24 hours to $0.183. This surge comes amid a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market and growing optimism over Stellar’s technological roadmap.
Market observers suggest that XLM may continue to benefit from increased security and institutional adoption as Stellar’s quantum-ready features are rolled out. The Quantum Preparedness Plan is positioned as a major step in anticipating the evolving risks of next-generation cryptography and helping the network maintain its competitive edge in the blockchain space.
Deepseek AI predicts Chainlink could be about to do something crazy. It believes that if certain catalysts align, LINK could print a number so ridiculous that today’s $12 handle will look like a rounding error on a spreadsheet from a forgotten bear market. Hold that thought. Here’s the wildly optimistic and highly improbable scenario that gets us there.
In the coming weeks, the Bank for International Settlements, in coordination with the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and a coalition of major central banks, is expected to finalize an emergency framework for real-time, atomic cross-border settlements of tokenized sovereign debt and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).
After conducting a series of stress tests that exceeded expectations, they have decided to designate Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) and its Automated Compliance Engine as the system’s mandatory interoperability and compliance layer.
(SOURCE: Deepseek AI Predicts Chainlink Price)
As a result, every participating institution will need to stake and burn significant amounts of LINK to operate nodes and settle transactions. This will lock up an unprecedented amount of supply, with fee revenue potentially soaring into the tens of billions annually, while the Chainlink Reserve systematically buys every available token on the open market.
Both retail investors and institutions are expected to flock to this opportunity as the narrative shifts from viewing Chainlink as just an “oracle project” to recognizing it as “the new settlement rail of the global financial system.” Although this transition isn’t out of the question given Chainlink’s existing relationships with organizations like SWIFT and DTCC, the likelihood of it happening so quickly remains highly uncertain, like winning a lottery.
DISCOVER: Best Crypto Presales to Buy in Q4
LINK Technical Analysis: Can Chainlink Reclaim $20 to Kickstart the Deepseek AI Prediction?
The setup is already more constructive than most realize. LINK has spent months building a multi-month base above the $11–$12 zone after reclaiming its 200-day moving average, with successive higher lows forming a classic ascending triangle on the weekly chart.
On-balance volume has been quietly diverging higher even during the recent consolidation, while the weekly RSI is coiling in the mid-40s, classic coiled-spring behavior that often precedes vertical expansion once a catalyst hits.
A decisive weekly close above the $15–$16 resistance cluster would open a measured-move target into the mid-$20s, and in the kind of parabolic blow-off this hypothetical catalyst would trigger, Fibonacci extensions and historical crypto multipliers easily project far beyond previous cycle highs.
All of that fun math, under the most bullish conditions imaginable, points to one number by January 1, 2027: $487. That’s about a 40x return from current prices, which might sound unfathomable, but is fairly standard in blow-off-top bull markets.
EXPLORE: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2026
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Alex is a seasoned cryptocurrency trader and market analyst with over seven years of active experience in the digital asset space. Since entering the markets in 2017, Alex has specialized in identifying emerging "meta" trends and high-volatility narratives. Notably, Alex...
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Six major blockchain organizations, including Chainlink Labs and the Cardano Foundation, have urged the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to formally classify digital commodities as non-securities, as the agency’s public consultation on proposed crypto regulations came to a close Tuesday.
In a joint letter dated Oct. 20, Chainlink Labs, the Cardano Foundation, Hedera, Aptos Labs, Ava Labs and the Stellar Development Foundation called on the SEC to incorporate its digital commodity classification directly into the proposed Regulation Crypto Assets framework, arguing that interpretive guidance alone leaves market participants facing legal uncertainty.
The groups argued that the SEC’s existing interpretation recognizes digital commodities as a distinct category but that the proposed rules fail to explicitly reflect that distinction, potentially leaving developers and other market participants uncertain about which securities regulations apply.
Source: Taylor Barr
The letter also seeks greater clarity on how securities laws apply to secondary-market transactions involving digital assets, as well as the treatment of staking and other activities associated with decentralized blockchain networks.
The SEC’s proposed crypto framework, introduced in August, drew roughly 140 public comments over 60 days, with industry participants and legal scholars offering competing views on proposed exemptions for crypto offerings and a conditional safe harbor for certain tokens.
Magazine: 5 alternatives to Ledger to store your Bitcoin
Six major blockchain organizations, including Chainlink Labs and the Cardano Foundation, have urged the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to formally classify digital commodities as non-securities, as the agency’s public consultation on proposed crypto regulations came to a close Tuesday.
In a joint letter dated Oct. 20, Chainlink Labs, the Cardano Foundation, Hedera, Aptos Labs, Ava Labs and the Stellar Development Foundation called on the SEC to incorporate its digital commodity classification directly into the proposed Regulation Crypto Assets framework, arguing that interpretive guidance alone leaves market participants facing legal uncertainty.
The groups argued that the SEC’s existing interpretation recognizes digital commodities as a distinct category but that the proposed rules fail to explicitly reflect that distinction, potentially leaving developers and other market participants uncertain about which securities regulations apply.
Source: Taylor Barr
The letter also seeks greater clarity on how securities laws apply to secondary-market transactions involving digital assets, as well as the treatment of staking and other activities associated with decentralized blockchain networks.
The SEC’s proposed crypto framework, introduced in August, drew roughly 140 public comments over 60 days, with industry participants and legal scholars offering competing views on proposed exemptions for crypto offerings and a conditional safe harbor for certain tokens.
Magazine: 5 alternatives to Ledger to store your Bitcoin
Lead Bank now lets its fintech partners turn dollars into USDC and pay recipients in 44 countries, but the exchange rate on those payouts is posted only after settlement.
Key Takeaways
Partners convert dollars and USDC around the clock
Local-currency payouts reach 44 countries via stablecoins
Bank-account name checks take up to 21 minutes
Returned payouts convert back at a new rate
Lead introduced the on-ramp, off-ramp and cross-border FX payout products in an October 20 blog post, published while the bank presented them at Money20/20.
What Lead launched and who can use it
Lead Bank is a chartered, FDIC-member bank based in Kansas City, Missouri, that sells banking infrastructure to fintech companies through APIs. Those companies, which Lead calls partners, build accounts, cards and payments for their own users on top of Lead’s charter. The new stablecoin products are available to them, not to individuals opening an account directly.
Lead’s payment documentation splits the launch into three flows, each starting or ending in a dollar account at Lead:
Flow
Money goes in as
Money comes out as
On-ramp
Dollars in a Lead account
USDC sent to a wallet
Off-ramp
USDC received on-chain
Dollars in a Lead account
FX payout
Dollars in a Lead account
Local currency in the recipient’s bank account
The FX payout is the cross-border product. Dollars are converted into a stablecoin, moved on-chain, then paid out through the destination country’s domestic payment system, or rail. The recipient never touches USDC.
Lead has not published which 44 countries the payouts reach. Its developer documentation lists five payout currencies: the Mexican peso, Colombian peso, Brazilian real, euro and British pound. Its product page gives Brazil’s PIX and the European Union’s SEPA system as examples of the local rails used. USDC is the only stablecoin at launch, with others planned, and outgoing payments must be at least $3.
One account instead of three providers
Lead argues that fintechs running international payments usually combine a bank, a crypto exchange and a cross-border payments vendor, keep money prefunded with each and reconcile three sets of records. In its setup, converted dollars land in the account the partner already holds and can move on over FedNow, RTP, ACH or wire, or abroad through the FX payout. Partners can still pick a conventional wire for any given payment.
Lead’s own example: a remittance company sending $5 from the US to Mexico. By wire, the fee can exceed the payment itself, and the usual workaround is keeping money parked in accounts abroad. The bank also pitches the service to payroll providers paying staff overseas who want dollars but struggle to open a US account.
The launch comes as community banks warn that stablecoins could pull deposits away from local lenders. Lead is approaching stablecoins from the other side, building products for the moment money converts and leaves the account. It is not new to the sector: Lead is the issuing bank behind the stablecoin-linked Visa cards built with Stripe-owned Bridge.
The exchange rate comes after the money moves
Lead’s validation and best-practice guide states that the FX payout rate is posted after settlement and cannot be retrieved upfront.
A partner sending $500 to a supplier in Brazil therefore cannot get from Lead’s API, before submitting, the number of reais the supplier will receive. How that figure is shown to the sender is left to each partner.
The same gap affects Lead’s $5-to-Mexico example. The announcement sets that transfer against a wire fee but gives no conversion fee or FX spread, so the two can only be compared once payments have settled.
When a payment has to come back
Lead separates payments that never leave from payments that leave and bounce. A rejection stops the payment before it moves. The listed reasons include a recipient name mismatch, a name check that timed out, a closed account and incorrect account details.
A return carries currency risk. Under Lead’s returns terms, the amount returned may differ from the amount sent because of fees and currency conversion. If the dollars were already converted into local currency, they are converted back at the new spot rate, which can leave the sender with more or less than the original payment.
Refunds of incoming stablecoins work differently. Lead cannot block funds sent on-chain to a partner’s deposit address, so every receipt is automatically converted into dollars. To send money back, the partner creates a new outgoing stablecoin payment, which Lead’s system cannot yet link to the original as a refund.
“Seconds” depends on the account check
Lead says the products run 24/7/365 and that, because the local rails are real-time, payouts can land in seconds. Before that happens, each outgoing payment passes Lead’s prohibited-country check, OFAC sanctions screening and a balance check.
On PIX, SPEI and Bre-B, Lead also confirms that the receiving account is active and that the name on it matches the name submitted. That check runs in the background, with a maximum wait set per rail:
Rail
Country
Max name-check wait
PIX
Brazil
3 minutes
SPEI
Mexico
21 minutes
Bre-B
Colombia
21 minutes
If the check doesn’t finish in time, the payment is rejected and has to be resubmitted, which Lead says will usually succeed once verification completes. If the name doesn’t match, Lead won’t reveal the name on file. Recipients with two surnames, common across Latin America, need both entered in the last-name field, or the match can fail.
Lead’s 24/7 claim applies to the stablecoin products. Once off-ramped dollars are in a Lead account, FedNow and RTP move them instantly, while ACH and wires keep their usual operating hours.
Lead has disclosed the currencies but not the country list, its conversion fees or its FX spread. Until those are public, partners can test the speed claim before their first payment, but they can check the price only after the money has arrived.
Author
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP.
Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem.
To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem.
His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
The British Virgin Islands, Road Town, October 2026 — Probly, an on-chain prediction market for sports, politics, crypto, finance, and global events, has concluded its participation as a Gold Sponsor of TOKEN2049 Singapore and co-host of the WHALE3RA Afterparty alongside BloFin, TxFlow, and other ecosystem partners.
Across TOKEN2049 week, Probly connected with traders, builders, infrastructure teams, partners, and Web3 communities around the growing role of prediction markets as a way to express views on real-world events.
The week also gave Probly an opportunity to introduce its approach to prediction markets to a broader crypto-native audience: simple access, broad market coverage, self-custody USDC, peer-to-peer trading, and verifiable on-chain settlement.
From Market Opinions to On-Chain Signals
Prediction markets are increasingly becoming an interface for turning expectations about future events into market signals. For Probly, TOKEN2049 provided an opportunity to bring that idea directly to an audience already accustomed to trading changing market conditions, information, and expectations.
The name Probly comes from “probably,” the word people use when the outcome of an event remains uncertain. It is also inspired by P(A), the mathematical notation used to represent the probability of an event.
Probly currently supports 5,100 events and 47,000 markets across Sports, Geopolitics, Crypto, Finance, Economy, and Politics. The platform also offers 172 active live markets for same-day trading, including high-frequency Crypto “Up or Down” rolling markets across BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP.
Probly is the first prediction market application developed through TxFlow Improvement Protocol 3 (TIP3). Settlement through TxFlow enables on-chain settlement, automatic USDC payouts, and no manual claim step.
Bringing the Prediction Market Conversation to WHALE3RA
Probly also co-hosted WHALE3RA at MARQUEE Singapore during TOKEN2049 week alongside BloFin, TxFlow, and other ecosystem partners.
The event brought together traders, builders, funds, exchanges, infrastructure teams, and Web3 communities, giving Probly an opportunity to engage directly with many of the audiences shaping the next generation of crypto products.
For Probly, these conversations reinforced an important direction for the product: prediction markets should not be limited to occasional major events. They can become a more active interface for following changing information, forming a view, and trading expectations as events develop.
What Comes Next for Probly
Following TOKEN2049 Singapore, Probly will continue developing its prediction market experience around accessibility, broader event coverage, frequent trading opportunities, and transparent on-chain infrastructure.
The company will also continue working with ecosystem and infrastructure partners as it develops new ways for users to express views on future outcomes through on-chain markets.
TOKEN2049 and WHALE3RA marked another step in bringing Probly’s core idea to a wider audience: uncertainty is everywhere, and markets can make collective expectations around what happens next more visible, transparent, and useful.
Before It Happens.
About Probly
Probly is a prediction market built on TxFlow L1 through TxFlow Improvement Protocol 3 (TIP3). It turns views about future events into continuously updated market signals across sports, crypto, economics, news, culture, weather, and other real-world categories.
Probly combines real-time markets, broad event coverage, fully on-chain settlement, and self-custodied USDC infrastructure. Its mission is to make collective expectations more immediate, transparent, and useful by converting uncertainty into a price.
Important Notice
This announcement is provided for general informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation, recommendation, or invitation to enter into any transaction, event contract, any transaction, event contract, derivative, or other product, derivative, or other product. Nothing in this announcement constitutes investment, financial, legal, or trading advice. References to market information, probability indicators, settlement infrastructure, or product functionality should not be interpreted as a recommendation to participate in any market. References to third-party companies, platforms, and products are provided solely for general industry context. They do not imply affiliation, endorsement, or partnership except where expressly stated.
Probly’s availability, functionality, event coverage, account features, wallet support, and eligibility requirements may vary by jurisdiction. Access is subject to applicable laws, regulations, product rules, geographic restrictions, and eligibility requirements. No person should access or use the application in a jurisdiction where doing so would be prohibited or would require an authorisation that has not been obtained.
Binance’s stablecoin reserves have dropped to $41.6 billion, a one-year low, after $6.3 billion left the exchange since April. The drain is market-wide, and it is starving crypto rallies of fresh buying power.
Prices have not collapsed. Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $83,350, roughly 4% below its September peak. However, the cash needed to push it higher keeps shrinking.
How Far Has Binance’s Cash Pile Fallen?Binance’s ERC-20 stablecoin balance peaked near $51 billion in late November 2025, according to CryptoQuant data shared by analyst Darkfost.
It has since lost roughly $9 billion. As a result, reserves are back at levels last seen in early October 2025.
A spring recovery briefly lifted the balance to about $48 billion in early May. However, that gain has fully reversed, with $6.3 billion exiting since April.
The 90-day change in Binance’s stablecoin market cap has stayed negative since the summer and now reads -4.7%.
That is milder than the February and March slump. Back then, the 90-day change sank below -15% as BTC slid from roughly $95,000 to the mid-$60,000s.
Concentration raises the stakes. Binance still holds more than 70% of all exchange stablecoin reserves.
Stablecoin market cap change in Binance. Source: Darkfost/CryptoQuantIs the Drain Limited to Binance?No. Since April, Coinbase Advanced lost $2.5 billion in stablecoins, OKX $2.4 billion, and Bybit $2.3 billion, per Darkfost.
Together, the four venues have shed roughly $13.5 billion. Because the data tracks ERC-20 tokens only, the full outflow may be larger.
Meanwhile, total supply offers little offset. Tether (USDT) has hovered near $183 billion since April. USD Coin (USDC), in contrast, slipped from $78 billion to $72 billion, per CoinGecko.
This mirrors an earlier exchange stablecoin reserves drop, which pointed to a similar liquidity squeeze.
Why Does Every Bitcoin Rally Run Out of Fuel?The CryptoQuant chart exposes a divergence. BTC climbed more than 30% from its August low to $86,597 on Sept. 22, yet Binance’s stablecoin balance kept falling.
In other words, the Bitcoin price rallied without fresh exchange cash behind it. Such moves may lean on existing holders and leverage, which can leave them fragile.
That fragility now shows. BTC has given back about 4%, while Ethereum (ETH) has dropped roughly 11% from its Sept. 22 high of $2,775.
Trading activity has thinned too. BTC’s average daily trading volume fell 27%, from $38.6 billion in April to $28.2 billion so far in October.
Derivatives traders are not leaning in either. Funding rates are the fees long and short traders swap periodically. On Binance and Bybit BTC perpetuals, they sit at the neutral 0.01% baseline.
What Would Bring Buyers Back to Exchanges?Darkfost offers two explanations. First, exchanges may be trimming stablecoin inventory to match weaker demand, as investors avoid fresh crypto exposure.
Alternatively, some holders may have moved funds to platforms paying yield while they wait for better conditions.
Either reading points to the same outcome. Without new stablecoins on exchanges, buyers lack the dry powder to defend breakouts.
That pressure adds to Bitcoin’s October risk factors, which already weighed on sentiment entering the month.
The signal to watch is a turn in Binance’s 90-day change back above zero. Until then, rallies may keep running on positioning rather than new capital.
More broadly, the drain shows how much crypto price discovery still rests on a few centralized venues. When Binance’s cash pile shrinks, the whole market feels it.
Disclaimer
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The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has finalized new regulations governing the issuance of payment stablecoins in the United States. These rules set standards for reserve backing, redemption processes, audits, reporting, and risk management among authorized issuers.
Regulatory framework and implementation timelineThe OCC released its final rule earlier this week, with the regulation scheduled to take effect on January 18, 2027. The framework follows the enactment of the GENIUS Act in July 2025, which established federal requirements for eligible payment stablecoin issuers and outlined prohibitions for digital asset service providers selling non-compliant stablecoins to US consumers.
These new federal standards apply to subsidiaries of national banks and federal savings associations, non-bank entities authorized by the federal government, state-approved issuers, and eligible foreign issuers. In addition, the rules oversee custody activities conducted by OCC-regulated entities.
The regulatory structure covers crucial operational areas such as reserve asset composition, redemption obligations, audit procedures, mandatory reporting, and secure custody arrangements. OCC officials emphasize that these standards are designed to foster innovation while maintaining strong safeguards for consumers and the financial system.
Scope, eligibility, and application processThe framework provides detailed guidance for how state-qualified issuers can become subject to federal supervision. It also specifies scenarios in which the OCC may revoke an issuer’s approval, ensuring ongoing compliance with regulatory obligations.
Jonathan Gould, Comptroller of the Currency, said the rules establish ground rules for stablecoin innovation and aim to secure adequate reserve backing, streamlined redemption, and robust risk controls for the sector.
By introducing clear expectations for reserve support, redemption, and risk management, the OCC is seeking to “enable innovation in stablecoin payments while upholding confidence in the broader financial system,” commented Comptroller Gould.
The final framework was developed after an extensive public consultation, with feedback collected from crypto firms, community banks, trade groups, academics, and other stakeholders. The regulator originally proposed the framework in February 2026, with a 60-day window for comments.
Applicants already issuing stablecoins may seek waivers if their applications are nearly complete, helping them avoid operational disruptions during the regulatory transition. The OCC will provide additional notification before accepting formal applications, allowing entities time to gather documentation and assess compliance.
GENIUS Act and stablecoin oversightThe GENIUS Act restricts payment stablecoin issuance in the US to eligible issuers and qualified foreign entities. The legislation also blocks digital asset providers from distributing payment stablecoins to Americans unless the stablecoins originate from approved issuers.
This law has created a national framework for managing payment stablecoins, with particular emphasis on reserve guarantees and transparent redemption rights, all designed to protect token holders.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent drew parallels between the GENIUS Act and the 1863 National Currency Act, highlighting both as pivotal in shaping future financial infrastructure in their respective eras.
The OCC’s regulations now provide the tools to implement key provisions of the GENIUS Act, making compliance analysis essential for covered entities ahead of the 2027 enforcement date.
FeatureOCC Stablecoin RulesGENIUS ActEffective dateJanuary 18, 2027July 2025 (enacted)ScopeReserve, redemption, audit, reporting, custody, risk managementIssuer eligibility, sales prohibitions, compliance frameworkImplementationOCC-supervised entitiesAll US and qualified foreign issuersExclusions and ongoing oversightThe OCC Stablecoin Rules do not address anti-money laundering or sanctions compliance. These matters fall under separate Treasury Department rulemaking, specifically under FinCEN and the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC).
Issuers now have until January 18, 2027, to develop or update reserve arrangements, redemption processes, risk management programs, custody solutions, and mandatory reporting systems in line with these federal standards.
Overall, the regulations represent a significant federal initiative, offering clarity for payment stablecoin issuers and laying out the preparation steps for their transition to the new regime.
Mini dictionary: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), an independent bureau within the US Department of the Treasury, charters, regulates, and supervises all national banks and federal savings associations in the United States.
A series of security vulnerabilities have been disclosed in internet infrastructure software within a single day, affecting PHP, Node.js, and Go.
Multiple internet infrastructure software projects rolled out security updates in a single day, addressing vulnerabilities including remote code execution, TLS certificate validation bypass, and certificate trust risks. PHP fixed two critical flaws: CVE-2026-109618 and CVE-2026-109619, both enabling unauthenticated remote code execution that impacts PHP environments processing web requests. The patched versions are 8.5.12, 8.4.27, 8.3.36, and 8.2.35. Node.js’ advisory details 10 vulnerabilities, four of which are high-severity: these include remote code execution via out-of-bounds write in the Brotli decoder, DNS name truncation, and two TLS certificate hostname validation bypass issues. Fixed versions are 26.12.1, 24.22.1, and 22.23.4. Additionally, Go’s crypto/x509-related risk is tracked as CVE-2026-111943, rated "Important" by Red Hat with a CVSS 3.1 score of 6.8. Attackers with specific network access and valid certificates could impersonate legitimate servers to intercept or alter communications. Go 1.26.10 and 1.27.3 have been added to a deny list, blocking trust for compromised intermediate certificates.
53 minutes ago
Dataline completes $10.6 million seed round funding, and plans to conduct an ICO.
Decentralized data network for AI agents Dataline has closed a $10.6 million seed round, co-led by Lattice and Samsung-backed Dispersion Capital, with participation from Symbolic Capital, Coinbase Ventures, Anagram, and Robinhood co-founder & CEO Vlad Tenev, among others. The round, completed in April, utilized a SAFE agreement with token warrants; valuation was not disclosed. Dataline is now live, covering approximately 50 data sources to deliver on-chain and off-chain data, and scores data reliability, timeliness, and consistency using AI. Proceeds will be allocated to expanding data sources, enhancing data validation, and expanding into robotics, AI training data, and other sectors. Dataline plans to launch a token by the end of 2026 for network payments and data access, and intends to conduct a public token sale on Base via Uniswap’s Continuous Clearing Auction (CCA) system, with details set to be revealed next week. The public sale’s target fundraising amount, token quantity, and other terms remain undisclosed.
53 minutes ago
Trump plans to leverage White House cyber crime efforts to showcase achievements in combating cross-border crypto fraud.
White House officials said on October 21 that Trump planned to focus on the U.S. government’s actions to crack down on overseas crypto fraud rings during the White House’s cybersecurity event that day, including recovering funds and shutting down fraudulent operations. These transnational criminal groups steal funds from U.S. citizens via romance scams, phishing, ransomware and other methods. The U.S. government noted that law enforcement agencies have seized approximately $833 million in crypto assets linked to overseas fraud, and shut down 503 fraudulent crypto websites under the supervision of the Homeland Security Task Force. Relevant authorities have also notified nearly 9,000 U.S. citizens to alert them they are being targeted by fraud. The U.S. Treasury Department previously announced the establishment of an inter-agency "Fraud Strike Task Force" to target "pig butchering" scams run by organized criminal groups in Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos and the Philippines. Since last year, the U.S. has also imposed multiple sanctions aimed at cutting off support for related fraud websites and their infrastructure.
53 minutes ago
American Bankers Association voices dissatisfaction with OCC’s final GENIUS Act rule, which abandons proposed restrictions on stablecoin yields.
Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett reported that the American Bankers Association (ABA) has voiced dissatisfaction with the final rules implemented by the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) under the GENIUS Act. The OCC abandoned the previously proposed restrictions on stablecoin yields, a move the ABA argues will "maintain the status quo for crypto platforms." The ABA’s CEO stated: "It is a mistake to wait until deposit outflows and economic harm have already occurred before attempting to address these issues."
53 minutes ago
Beyond PHP, three Node.js version branches are also affected by high-severity vulnerabilities, and users need to update their runtime environments promptly.
Node.js rolled out a security update on October 21, covering its 26.x, 24.x, and 22.x version branches, with corresponding patched releases: 26.12.1, 24.22.1, and 22.23.4. The advisory details 10 total vulnerabilities, categorized as 4 critical-severity, 3 medium-severity, and 3 low-severity, with varying impact scopes across the three version lines. The critical CVE-2026-111497 is an out-of-bounds write flaw in the Brotli decoder that could enable remote code execution (RCE), affecting all three branches. Other critical issues include improper null character handling in DNS resolution and a TLS certificate hostname validation bypass. The update also resolves problems with persistent connection response processing, random number cache duplication, and permission models, while updating dependencies including c-ares, OpenSSL, and Undici. The official note warns that end-of-life (EOL) versions may still be vulnerable, advising users to use the latest supported releases. Separately, prior reports noted PHP has fixed two critical unauthenticated RCE vulnerabilities, with patches available for versions 8.5.12, 8.4.27, 8.3.36, and 8.2.35; PHP users are urged to upgrade immediately.
53 minutes ago
Bonk Guy: This round is the "privacy cycle", privacy protocol MASK is undervalued.
Renowned trader Bonk Guy posted that the current crypto market is showing characteristics of a "privacy cycle". He noted that since yesterday, Bitcoin has risen approximately 3%, ZEC is up 16%, adding over $3 billion in market capitalization. MASK currently has a market cap of roughly $26 million, with its protocol trading volume and fees hitting consecutive all-time highs, he added. Citing data from DefiLlama, he stated that MASK ranks first among privacy protocols by revenue, outearning the next 10 privacy protocols combined. By comparison, ZEC’s market cap gain over the past 24 hours is roughly 115 times MASK’s entire market cap. Bonk Guy also said that MASK’s upcoming deployment on Solana is set to launch in the coming days, which he expects will further drive growth in usage, trading volume, and fees. He went on to call MASK the most undervalued privacy protocol in the crypto market.
A series of security vulnerabilities have been disclosed in internet infrastructure software within a single day, affecting PHP, Node.js, and Go.
Multiple internet infrastructure software projects rolled out security updates in a single day, addressing vulnerabilities including remote code execution, TLS certificate validation bypass, and certificate trust risks. PHP fixed two critical flaws: CVE-2026-109618 and CVE-2026-109619, both enabling unauthenticated remote code execution that impacts PHP environments processing web requests. The patched versions are 8.5.12, 8.4.27, 8.3.36, and 8.2.35. Node.js’ advisory details 10 vulnerabilities, four of which are high-severity: these include remote code execution via out-of-bounds write in the Brotli decoder, DNS name truncation, and two TLS certificate hostname validation bypass issues. Fixed versions are 26.12.1, 24.22.1, and 22.23.4. Additionally, Go’s crypto/x509-related risk is tracked as CVE-2026-111943, rated "Important" by Red Hat with a CVSS 3.1 score of 6.8. Attackers with specific network access and valid certificates could impersonate legitimate servers to intercept or alter communications. Go 1.26.10 and 1.27.3 have been added to a deny list, blocking trust for compromised intermediate certificates.
49 minutes ago
Dataline completes $10.6 million seed round funding, and plans to conduct an ICO.
Decentralized data network for AI agents Dataline has closed a $10.6 million seed round, co-led by Lattice and Samsung-backed Dispersion Capital, with participation from Symbolic Capital, Coinbase Ventures, Anagram, and Robinhood co-founder & CEO Vlad Tenev, among others. The round, completed in April, utilized a SAFE agreement with token warrants; valuation was not disclosed. Dataline is now live, covering approximately 50 data sources to deliver on-chain and off-chain data, and scores data reliability, timeliness, and consistency using AI. Proceeds will be allocated to expanding data sources, enhancing data validation, and expanding into robotics, AI training data, and other sectors. Dataline plans to launch a token by the end of 2026 for network payments and data access, and intends to conduct a public token sale on Base via Uniswap’s Continuous Clearing Auction (CCA) system, with details set to be revealed next week. The public sale’s target fundraising amount, token quantity, and other terms remain undisclosed.
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Trump plans to leverage White House cyber crime efforts to showcase achievements in combating cross-border crypto fraud.
White House officials said on October 21 that Trump planned to focus on the U.S. government’s actions to crack down on overseas crypto fraud rings during the White House’s cybersecurity event that day, including recovering funds and shutting down fraudulent operations. These transnational criminal groups steal funds from U.S. citizens via romance scams, phishing, ransomware and other methods. The U.S. government noted that law enforcement agencies have seized approximately $833 million in crypto assets linked to overseas fraud, and shut down 503 fraudulent crypto websites under the supervision of the Homeland Security Task Force. Relevant authorities have also notified nearly 9,000 U.S. citizens to alert them they are being targeted by fraud. The U.S. Treasury Department previously announced the establishment of an inter-agency "Fraud Strike Task Force" to target "pig butchering" scams run by organized criminal groups in Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos and the Philippines. Since last year, the U.S. has also imposed multiple sanctions aimed at cutting off support for related fraud websites and their infrastructure.
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American Bankers Association voices dissatisfaction with OCC’s final GENIUS Act rule, which abandons proposed restrictions on stablecoin yields.
Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett reported that the American Bankers Association (ABA) has voiced dissatisfaction with the final rules implemented by the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) under the GENIUS Act. The OCC abandoned the previously proposed restrictions on stablecoin yields, a move the ABA argues will "maintain the status quo for crypto platforms." The ABA’s CEO stated: "It is a mistake to wait until deposit outflows and economic harm have already occurred before attempting to address these issues."
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Beyond PHP, three Node.js version branches are also affected by high-severity vulnerabilities, and users need to update their runtime environments promptly.
Node.js rolled out a security update on October 21, covering its 26.x, 24.x, and 22.x version branches, with corresponding patched releases: 26.12.1, 24.22.1, and 22.23.4. The advisory details 10 total vulnerabilities, categorized as 4 critical-severity, 3 medium-severity, and 3 low-severity, with varying impact scopes across the three version lines. The critical CVE-2026-111497 is an out-of-bounds write flaw in the Brotli decoder that could enable remote code execution (RCE), affecting all three branches. Other critical issues include improper null character handling in DNS resolution and a TLS certificate hostname validation bypass. The update also resolves problems with persistent connection response processing, random number cache duplication, and permission models, while updating dependencies including c-ares, OpenSSL, and Undici. The official note warns that end-of-life (EOL) versions may still be vulnerable, advising users to use the latest supported releases. Separately, prior reports noted PHP has fixed two critical unauthenticated RCE vulnerabilities, with patches available for versions 8.5.12, 8.4.27, 8.3.36, and 8.2.35; PHP users are urged to upgrade immediately.
49 minutes ago
Bonk Guy: This round is the "privacy cycle", privacy protocol MASK is undervalued.
Renowned trader Bonk Guy posted that the current crypto market is showing characteristics of a "privacy cycle". He noted that since yesterday, Bitcoin has risen approximately 3%, ZEC is up 16%, adding over $3 billion in market capitalization. MASK currently has a market cap of roughly $26 million, with its protocol trading volume and fees hitting consecutive all-time highs, he added. Citing data from DefiLlama, he stated that MASK ranks first among privacy protocols by revenue, outearning the next 10 privacy protocols combined. By comparison, ZEC’s market cap gain over the past 24 hours is roughly 115 times MASK’s entire market cap. Bonk Guy also said that MASK’s upcoming deployment on Solana is set to launch in the coming days, which he expects will further drive growth in usage, trading volume, and fees. He went on to call MASK the most undervalued privacy protocol in the crypto market.
Zcash ($ZEC) developers are targeting November 5 for the NU7 upgrade, which would cut block times from 75 to 25 seconds while leaving the halving schedule unchanged.
Zcash (@Zcash) $ZEC developers have targeted November 5 for the NU7 network upgrade, which would cut block times from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. The activation is still pending final implementation in node software.
What NU7 changesThe headline change is faster blocks. According to CoinCentral, the shorter interval would let users receive confirmations three times faster. KuCoin News reports the change is aimed at point-of-sale payments, exchange deposits and cross-chain bridges, where a 75-second wait can be an obstacle.
NU7 also introduces a Network Sustainability Mechanism. Crypto.news reports that the mechanism temporarily removes 60% of transaction fees from circulation. Those funds are scheduled to return as mining rewards starting in February 2031, according to the Zcash Community Forum.
The existing mining reward halving schedule would remain unchanged. According to CoinDesk, the upgrade preserves Zcash's issuance and halving schedule by reducing the reward per block and tripling the halving interval. A weighted coinholder vote showed 98.9% support for preserving the halving schedule and 99.9% backing for faster blocks, based on KuCoin News coverage.
What still needs to happenThe activation height has been proposed but is not yet final. Crypto.news reports that developers selected block 3,543,405 as the planned activation point, expected around November 5. The proposal came from developer Sean Bowe in an October 20 GitHub submission after ZIP editors agreed on the height. It still needs to be integrated into the network's deployment specification.
CoinCentral notes that the date remains provisional until developers complete the required software changes, and that the decision advances the upgrade but does not guarantee a November launch.
Users with funds in Zcash's original Sprout shielded pool should also take note. NU7 disables version 4 transactions, and Bloomingbit reports that ZEC left in the Sprout pool will become unusable once the upgrade is fully activated, so holders must move their funds beforehand. Ordinary ZEC holders outside Sprout do not need to move coins, according to CryptoTicker. Action is required mainly from those running their own node, indexer or block explorer.
NU7 was activated on Zcash's public testnet on October 4, giving exchanges, wallets and infrastructure providers an environment to test the new rules ahead of mainnet.
Sources:
CoinDesk: Zcash targets November upgrade to make private payments up to three times fasterCrypto.news: Zcash developers select November 5 target for NU7 upgradeZcash Community Forum: NU7 Timeline
Zcash developers have agreed on block 3,543,405 as the planned activation point for Network Upgrade 7 (NU7), bringing the privacy-focused blockchain closer to introducing 25-second blocks around November 5.
Summary
Zcash developers have selected block 3,543,405 for NU7 activation, expected around November 5.
The upgrade will reduce target block times from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, cutting confirmation delays.
NU7 introduces a mechanism that temporarily removes 60% of transaction fees from circulation.
Funds remaining in Zcash’s legacy Sprout pool will become unspendable after the upgrade.
The activation proposal has received two approvals but still requires final integration into the deployment specification.
According to an October 20 GitHub proposal submitted by developer Sean Bowe, the activation height was agreed upon during a meeting of Zcash Improvement Proposal (ZIP) editors, although the change still requires final integration into the network’s deployment specification.
Zcash's NU7 Mainnet activation height is being set to 3,543,405 (~November 5) as part of final changes to ZIP 259.
We've reflected this on our NU7 dashboard: https://t.co/daOj9VDHip
— Zakura (@ZakuraZcash) October 20, 2026
Meanwhile, the proposed block height establishes a specific point at which Zcash would begin applying the new consensus rules, replacing the provisional November 5 timetable with a block-based activation target.
Bowe’s proposal received approvals from developers ValarDragon and str4d on October 20. The pull request remained open during the October 21 review, with the official NU7 deployment specification still listing the mainnet activation height as undecided.
The proposal contains another scheduling detail: block 8,939,664 is designated for the future reissuance of funds accumulated under NU7’s Network Sustainability Mechanism.
Before activation, the selected height must be incorporated into the deployment specification and compatible node software.
The November timetable follows developer agreement on NU7 reached in September, when participating engineering teams settled on the upgrade’s principal features and established the mainnet target.
In the September 18 development timeline, Zcash developer Sean Bowe identified October 20 as the date for confirming the activation height following experience with the test network.
The network has already completed its initial testnet activation. On October 4, NU7 became active at testnet block 4,465,026, allowing developers to evaluate the proposed changes before mainnet deployment.
As crypto.news previously reported, the testnet rollout introduced faster target blocks, updated transaction rules and the planned mechanism for handling network fees.
NU7 cuts Zcash block times from 75 seconds to 25 seconds
Under ZIP 218, Zcash will reduce its target block spacing by two-thirds, producing a new block approximately every 25 seconds instead of 75 seconds.
The adjustment would triple the expected frequency of block production, reducing the time users typically wait for successive transaction confirmations.
For example, three confirmations would take approximately 75 seconds under the new target, compared with 225 seconds under the existing schedule. Actual confirmation times can vary because block production is not perfectly uniform.
The upgrade introduces limits on shielded transaction activity within individual pools and across the network. These restrictions are intended to manage the additional processing and wallet synchronization demands associated with faster blocks.
The Zcash Foundation described those changes in its October 2 Zebra 7.0.0 release candidate announcement, which introduced NU7 support for testnet operators.
Although the block-production schedule is changing, NU7 does not introduce a new transaction format. Existing version 5 and version 6 transactions remain valid under the deployment specification.
The planned changes retain the network’s existing monetary supply cap and preserve its established mining reward halving schedule.
Zcash introduces fee mechanism with reissuance planned for 2031
NU7 will introduce the Network Sustainability Mechanism, which temporarily removes 60% of transaction fees collected in each block from circulation.
Under ZIP 235 and ZIP 237, those funds accumulate in a publicly tracked network balance before being gradually reissued through future miner rewards.
The developers have selected February 2031 as the approximate starting point for reissuance, with the new proposal assigning mainnet block 8,939,664 to that event.
The arrangement does not create additional ZEC beyond the network’s supply cap. Funds paid out through the mechanism must have been removed from circulation or otherwise left unclaimed under the applicable consensus rules.
During September’s coinholder governance poll, approximately 98.9% of participating ZEC supported preserving the existing halving schedule, while 96.6% favored beginning the sustainability mechanism’s reissuance in February 2031.
The same vote recorded approximately 99.9% support for reducing block times to 25 seconds, with nearly 2.4 million ZEC participating.
Sprout transactions will become invalid after NU7 activation
One of NU7’s permanent changes concerns Sprout, the original shielded transaction system introduced when Zcash launched in 2016.
The upgrade disables version 4 transactions, which are required to spend funds held in the legacy Sprout pool.
Consequently, coins remaining in Sprout when NU7 activates will become unspendable under the upgraded consensus rules. Holders must move those funds into a supported pool before activation to retain access.
Version 5 and version 6 transactions are unaffected by this particular restriction.
The deployment specification identifies the Sprout shutdown as part of ZIP 2003, alongside the block-spacing changes, shielded action limits and revised fee mechanism.
The specification permits operators running unsupported software to remain connected at activation, potentially following an incompatible pre-NU7 chain. Deployment instructions therefore require node operators to upgrade their software before the network reaches the selected activation block.
Zcash (ZEC) surged about 12% over the past 24 hours, as developers agreed on a mainnet activation block for the network’s NU7 upgrade, expected in early November.
The token traded around $1,270 at last look on Wednesday, according to CoinGecko. The rally coincided with a Tuesday GitHub proposal by Zcash developer Sean Bowe setting the activation at block 3,543,405, expected around Nov. 5.
The value of the privacy-focused cryptocurrency that uses advanced trustless zero-knowledge proofs is up more than 148% year to date.
“Height agreed at ZIP editor meeting,” Bowe wrote, adding that the team still needed to finalize the upgrade specifications before merging the proposal. Two developers approved the changes.
The Zakura NU7 dashboard also lists the upgrade as pending on mainnet at block 3,543,405, with activation expected around Nov. 5.
NU7 aims to reduce Zcash’s target block time by two-thirds to 25 seconds, allowing transactions to receive confirmations more quickly. The upgrade from 75-second block time has been undergoing testing since early October.
Meanwhile, the Zcash Foundation’s NU7 readiness tracker showed six of 12 tasks completed, with remaining work involving Zebra node synchronization issues and mainnet preparations. Developers have not confirmed whether these outstanding issues could affect the planned activation date.
Zcash (ZEC) surged about 12% over the past 24 hours, as developers agreed on a mainnet activation block for the network’s NU7 upgrade, expected in early November.
The token traded around $1,270 at last look on Wednesday, according to CoinGecko. The rally coincided with a Tuesday GitHub proposal by Zcash developer Sean Bowe setting the activation at block 3,543,405, expected around Nov. 5.
The value of the privacy-focused cryptocurrency that uses advanced trustless zero-knowledge proofs is up more than 148% year to date.
“Height agreed at ZIP editor meeting,” Bowe wrote, adding that the team still needed to finalize the upgrade specifications before merging the proposal. Two developers approved the changes.
The Zakura NU7 dashboard also lists the upgrade as pending on mainnet at block 3,543,405, with activation expected around Nov. 5.
NU7 aims to reduce Zcash’s target block time by two-thirds to 25 seconds, allowing transactions to receive confirmations more quickly. The upgrade from 75-second block time has been undergoing testing since early October.
Meanwhile, the Zcash Foundation’s NU7 readiness tracker showed six of 12 tasks completed, with remaining work involving Zebra node synchronization issues and mainnet preparations. Developers have not confirmed whether these outstanding issues could affect the planned activation date.
Zcash (ZEC) climbed approximately 12% in the past 24 hours, after developers agreed to a mainnet activation block for the network’s NU7 upgrade, anticipated for early November.
Developers confirm activation block and timelineZcash traded near $1,270 on Wednesday, as reported by CoinGecko. The price increase followed a GitHub proposal on Tuesday from Zcash developer Sean Bowe, who specified block 3,543,405 as the target for mainnet activation. This block is estimated to be reached around November 5.
Bowe noted in the developer discussion, “Height agreed at ZIP editor meeting,” while emphasizing the need for the team to complete the upgrade specifications before approving the final merge. Two Zcash developers have signed off on these changes so far.
The ZIP editor meeting resulted in an agreement on the block height, with pending specifications yet to be finalized before the proposal moves forward.
The Zakura NU7 dashboard also lists the network upgrade as pending at block 3,543,405, with mainnet activation expected in early November.
NU7 upgrade: faster block times and improved efficiencyThe NU7 upgrade is designed to shorten Zcash’s target block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, effectively reducing transaction confirmation times on the network. Testing for this upgrade has been underway since early October, according to project documentation.
Mini dictionary: ZIP editor meeting – A session where developers responsible for Zcash Improvement Proposals (ZIPs) review, discuss, and finalize critical changes to the protocol.
UpgradeCurrent block timeTarget block timeExpected activationNU775 seconds25 secondsEarly November (block 3,543,405)Remaining tasks before activationThe Zcash Foundation’s NU7 readiness tracker showed that six out of 12 required tasks have been completed as of the latest update. Pending work includes resolving Zebra node synchronization issues and finalizing preparations for the mainnet launch.
Developers have not yet indicated whether these outstanding issues could impact the planned activation schedule. No further comments were issued regarding potential delays.
Six of twelve upgrade tasks are complete, with Zebra node sync and mainnet readiness still in progress, according to the Zcash Foundation’s tracker.
The NU7 upgrade was previously activated on the Zcash testnet, setting the stage for next month’s mainnet deployment if all preparations are finalized on time.
Zcash (ZEC) rose 12% to near $1,270 after developers set block 3,543,405 for the NU7 upgrade, which cuts block time from 75 to 25 seconds around November 5.
Zcash ($ZEC) rose about 12% over 24 hours and traded near $1,270 on Wednesday, after developers agreed on an activation block for Network Upgrade 7 (NU7), according to GN Crypto, citing CoinGecko data. CoinMarketCap data showed a similar move, with ZEC up 12.35% in 24 hours.
NU7 activation set for block 3,543,405The privacy-focused cryptocurrency's developers have chosen block 3,543,405 as the mainnet activation point for NU7. The block is expected to be reached around November 5. The height was proposed on GitHub on Tuesday by Zcash developer Sean Bowe, according to GN Crypto.
The main change is a shorter block time. NU7 reduces the target block time to two-thirds of its current level, cutting it from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, as CoinCodex reports. Faster blocks mean transactions can receive confirmations sooner, which matters for wallets, exchanges and applications that depend on quick settlement.
The date is still a target rather than a final schedule. CoinCodex notes that the proposal has been approved by developers ValarDragon and str4d, but the activation height still needs to be incorporated into the network's deployment specification. NU7 was rolled out on the testnet on October 4, it adds.
Other changes and open tasksNU7 also introduces a mechanism that temporarily removes 60% of transaction fees from circulation, with the aim of returning them to miners later, BitBase reports. The same report says funds left in the legacy Sprout pool will no longer be spendable after the upgrade, so holders with funds there need to migrate them beforehand.
Readiness work is continuing. GN Crypto reports that the Zcash Foundation's NU7 readiness tracker listed six of 12 tasks as complete. Remaining items include resolving synchronization issues with Zebra nodes and preparing the mainnet. Developers have not confirmed whether those issues could affect the planned activation date, the outlet adds.
For traders, the upgrade is a near-term catalyst to watch alongside the technical rollout. Price moves around protocol upgrades can reverse if timelines slip, and ZEC has been volatile in recent weeks. Blockchain Reporter noted that it dipped to about $1,049 on October 18 before recovering.
SourcesGN Crypto: Zcash Rises 12% After Developers Set NU7 Activation Block
CoinCodex: Zcash Targets Nov. 5 for NU7 Upgrade
BitBase: Zcash Developers Set November 5 Target for NU7 Upgrade
Developers proposed a specific mainnet block for activating NU7. The upgrade cuts block times and defers most transaction fees to future miners. Old Sprout shielded funds must be moved before activation or become unspendable. ZEC is testing the resistance that has capped every rally this month. Zcash price climbed about 8% over the past 24 hours to $1,313.75, lifting the privacy coin‘s market value to roughly $22.23 billion after its developers settled on a concrete mainnet height for Network Upgrade 7 (NU7). The proposed block, 3,543,405, should arrive around November 5 and will bring 25-second blocks along with a new way of handling transaction fees and the retirement of Zcash’s original privacy pool, while on the chart ZEC is pressing against the $1,343 level that has rejected every rally attempt this month.
What Is Still Needed Before NU7 Goes Live On October 20, longtime Zcash protocol developer Sean Bowe opened pull request #1405 on the project’s specification repository, proposing block 3,543,405 as the activation point after a meeting of Zcash Improvement Proposal (ZIP) editors, the group that maintains the network’s formal rulebook. Fellow contributors ValarDragon and str4d approved it the same day, although the change still has to be merged into ZIP 259, the document that defines how NU7 is deployed, and node software must carry the new height before the network can switch over.
The date itself follows a rollout timetable published on the community forum in mid-September, and testnet already runs the new rules after the Zcash Foundation shipped the Zebra 7.0.0-rc.0 release candidate on October 2 and NU7 went live at testnet block 4,465,026 a few days later.
NU7 Road to Mainnet
Sep 17 – Rollout timetable agreed by ecosystem teams
Sep 30 – Feature deadline for testnet release
Early Oct – NU7 live on testnet
Oct 20 – Mainnet block 3,543,405 proposed
Nov 5 – Expected mainnet activation
Triple the Blocks, Same Supply The headline change comes from ZIP 218, which cuts the target gap between blocks from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. Zcash would produce about 3,456 blocks a day instead of 1,152, and a payment waiting for three confirmations would settle in roughly a minute and a quarter on average, compared with almost four minutes today, with the specification naming everyday payments and integrations such as NEAR Intents as the main beneficiaries.
Zcash Speed: Today vs After NU7
Block interval75 sec→25 sec
Three confirmations3m 45s→1m 15s
Blocks per day1,152→3,456
Reward per blockFull→One third
Averages based on target spacing. Source: ZIP 218.
Faster blocks would normally mean faster issuance, so NU7 trims the scheduled reward per block to a third of its current size and leaves both the total supply of new ZEC and the halving schedule where they were. ZIP 218 also caps the number of shielded actions per block to keep the cost of verifying and syncing private transactions in check, which means tripling block frequency does not triple the network’s sustainable capacity.
60% of Fees Head for a 2031 Vault ZIP 235 creates the Network Sustainability Mechanism (NSM), which pulls 60% of the transaction fees in every block out of circulation and leaves miners with the remaining 40%. Those coins sit in a pool that is scheduled to come back, since ZIP 237 starts paying the accumulated balance to miners as an extra block subsidy from block 8,939,664, expected around February 2031, and the deployment specification confirms that the 21 million ZEC cap stays untouched.
Where Each Block’s Fees Go
60% NSM
40% Miners
Held back, reissued from ~Feb 2031
Paid out immediately
The design targets Zcash’s long-term security budget, because each halving cuts what miners earn from new coins and the NSM builds a reserve from present-day usage to top up their income later. How large that reserve grows depends entirely on fee volume, which stays modest on a network where individual transactions cost very little, so the mechanism only affects circulating supply in a noticeable way if activity rises considerably.
Sprout Funds Freeze at Activation ZIP 2003 disables version 4 transactions, the format required by Sprout, the shielded pool Zcash launched with in 2016. Funds still sitting in Sprout addresses will become unspendable under the new consensus rules, so holders of old wallets need to move them to the newer Sapling or Orchard pools before activation, while version 5 and version 6 transactions remain valid and ordinary transparent and modern shielded balances are unaffected.
ZEC Stuck Below the 0.236 Fibonacci Level ZEC/USDT daily chart. Source: Alexander Stefanov on TradingView ZEC rallied about 820% from its February low of $184.57 to a September peak of $1,701 before slipping out of a steep rising channel around the start of October. Since then it has traded between the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $1,343, measured across that entire rally, and the 0.382 level at $1,122, with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $1,190 catching every dip, including a brief wick below it last week that buyers reversed almost immediately.
Wednesday’s bounce lifted the 14-day RSI to about 55, above its own average near 45 for the first time since early October. The indicator cooled from readings above 80 in September to the low 40s without ever reaching oversold territory, a pattern typical of a market absorbing a large gain while buyers remain active underneath, although the daily candle is still open and intraday pushes through $1,343 have failed several times this month, so only a daily close above that level would change the structure.
ZEC Price Ladder
Yearly high$1,701
Channel breakdown~$1,500
0.236 Fib, October ceiling$1,343
ZEC now~$1,314
50-day EMA$1,190
0.382 Fib, range floor$1,122
0.5 Fib$943
200-day EMA / 0.618 Fib$792 / $764
Half the Checklist Still Open The Zebra 7.0.0 build that runs NU7 is still a release candidate, and the Zcash Foundation has told mainnet operators to wait for a stable release carrying the activation height, with the current 6.4.x series of the Zebra node set to be retired before the switch. Nodes that miss the update would end up on an incompatible chain, and exchanges, wallets, explorers and indexers all have to adjust to a block arriving every 25 seconds, so brief deposit and withdrawal pauses around activation would not be unusual for an upgrade of this scope.
A daily close above $1,343 would end October’s run of lower highs and bring the $1,500 area into play, with $1,701 behind it, though traders who bought before the channel broke may use that zone to exit. Another rejection would point back to $1,190 and then $1,122, and a close below the range floor would expose $943, leaving the band between $764 and $792, where the 200-day EMA meets the 0.618 retracement, to decide whether the uptrend that began in April survives.
The 50-day EMA climbed steeply through August and September but has gone almost flat during October, which means the level buyers keep defending has stopped rising with price. With NU7 roughly two weeks away, the upgrade is the most likely catalyst to break the range, and any slip in the activation schedule would leave ZEC leaning on a moving average that offers less protection with each passing week.
Alex is a financial markets journalist and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, and he's spent close to ten years trying to answer one stubborn question: what's really driving this? It started in 2016, when Bitcoin refused to make sense to him - and rather than shrug, he stayed with it until it did. That patience became his method. He's less interested in what an asset is doing today than in the plumbing behind it: how liquidity flows, where risk hides, what a chart is quietly telling you that the headline isn't. That lens eventually stretched well past crypto into traditional markets, because the same forces - fear, leverage, incentives, timing - show up everywhere once you know how to look. Most coverage, in his view, insults the reader by stopping at the surface. Price up, price down, moving on. He'd rather leave someone genuinely understanding a move than merely informed that it happened. His path into markets ran through a Tourism degree at New Bulgarian University - proof, maybe, that curiosity beats credentials. With more than 200 deep analyses and over 10,000 articles behind him, he still walks away from most trading days having learned something he didn't know that morning.
Zcash (ZEC) sharply rebounded to the $1,260–$1,285 range after falling close to $1,040 earlier in October. This recovery drew renewed attention from traders toward the key resistance zone at $1,300 to $1,350, a level that has historically triggered selling pressure during past rallies.
ETF outflows highlight mixed institutional appetiteGrayscale, one of the largest digital asset managers, has seen significant withdrawals from its Zcash exchange-traded fund, known as ZCSH. Market data cited approximately $115.5 million in redemptions across 13 trading sessions in October. These numbers reflect actual reported withdrawals, not adjusted monthly net flows.
Additional fund-flow data indicated $10.4 million in net outflows from ZCSH on October 19, following $14.8 million in redemptions just four days prior. Notably, a modest $1.6 million in fresh capital returned to the fund on October 20, pointing to ongoing activity despite a general trend of outflows.
Analysts noted that while institutional demand for ZCSH has become inconsistent, it has not disappeared entirely. This shift is seen as important, given that ETF investment previously supported Zcash’s surge in September, even as the market faced the risks associated with increased leverage.
It is important to note that ETF redemptions do not always lead to an equal decline in ZEC’s overall market capitalization. Changes in ETF assets depend both on investor flows and on the underlying price of the cryptocurrency.
DateZCSH Net FlowOctober 15-$14.8 millionOctober 19-$10.4 millionOctober 20+$1.6 millionGrayscale is a major digital asset management firm that specializes in launching and managing cryptocurrency investment products. The ZCSH ETF allows institutional and professional investors to gain regulated exposure to Zcash without holding the asset directly.
Mini dictionary: Grayscale, a leading digital asset manager, is widely known for creating large-cap cryptocurrency investment trusts and ETFs that provide indirect access to crypto assets for institutional investors.
Liquidations drive short-term ZEC volatilityVolatility in Zcash has also been fueled by heavy activity in derivatives markets. Over a 24-hour period, ZEC futures liquidations reached approximately $11.74 million, with nearly 83% coming from short positions. The forced closing of these contracts can prompt a surge of buying, especially in spot markets that may lack the liquidity to absorb rapid volume shifts caused by leveraged trading.
ZEC futures liquidations topped $11.74 million in 24 hours, with short positions making up almost 83% of that total. Forced closure of bearish bets has contributed to rapid price swings in both directions.
Analysts observed that Zcash’s September rally was also driven in part by aggressive derivatives trading, which heightened the speed and magnitude of price moves—both upward and downward. The most recent recovery occurred after a notable October decline, with ZEC trading more than 25% below its late-September high.
Technical analysts now identify $1,300–$1,350 as the primary resistance zone. A clear move above this level could open up the possibility of a run toward $1,400. However, failure to maintain momentum would leave the rally vulnerable.
Price ZonePossible Scenario$1,040 (recent low)Support level if renewed weakness$1,200Key support to watch$1,300–$1,350Resistance zone, target for upside breakout$1,400Potential next target if breakout succeeds$1,650 (Sept high)Major resistance above current levelsUpcoming NU7 upgrade could provide new catalystIn addition to market dynamics, developers are preparing Zcash’s next network upgrade, NU7. This proposal aims to improve block production speed and introduce protocol enhancements but will only be activated once development and testing milestones are met.
Mini dictionary: NU7 is Zcash’s upcoming network upgrade, intended to increase transaction efficiency and enhance core protocol functionality. Its launch depends on technical readiness and successful testing.
The possibility of NU7, alongside Zcash’s ongoing inclusion in institutional investment lists for October, underscores sustained interest in the asset despite persistent volatility in its price and investor flows.
"ZEC is gearing up for a $2,000 run," one analyst envisioned.
The cryptocurrency market has staged an evident resurgence over the past 24 hours, with Zcash (ZEC) once again among the top performers.
Many analysts believe this marks the start of a major new rally, while some whales opened long positions worth millions of dollars.
Explosion to $2,000 Comes Next? As of this writing, ZEC is worth just over $1,330 (per CoinGecko), up 13% for the day. By comparison, Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded by 3%, while Ethereum (ETH) has risen by 4% within the same period. The privacy coin’s market capitalization stands at over $22 billion, solidifying its spot among the 10 biggest cryptocurrencies and widening the gap with Hyperliquid (HYPE), which ranks 11th.
The most likely catalyst for ZEC’s latest price increase is the green wave sweeping the sector, but there may be more to it. The X account BSCN revealed that Zcash plans to triple its block production speed, with developers targeting November 5 for the NU7 upgrade.
“The upgrade would cut block times from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. It would also temporarily remove 60% of transaction fees from circulation. The existing mining reward halving schedule would remain unchanged. The activation height still needs to be incorporated into node software before the upgrade can take effect,” the disclosure reads.
Besides gaining 13% on the day, ZEC has also climbed 22% from its local bottom of around $1,050, registered just a few days ago. On that note, X user Lucky said:
“ZEC is bouncing back beautifully. Tell me you bought the dip.”
Token Talk and Nehal also weighed in. The former argued that, to maintain its bullish structure, the price would need a healthy consolidation period instead of printing another candle straight to the upside. For his part, the latter predicted that ZEC is gearing up for an explosion toward $2,000.
The Whales’ Activity Looknochain revealed that two major investors recently bet heavily on ZEC’s further upside. One opened an $18.6 million long position with 10x leverage, whereas the other entered an $18.9 million long under the same conditions.
You may also like: Zcash (ZEC) Gains 1,000% and Still Has Room to Grow, Grayscale Research Says Cardano’s NIGHT Will Be Bigger Than Zcash: Charles Hoskinson Zcash Tops $1,600 After Europe’s First ZEC ETP Debuts Such a development is generally considered bullish because it shows strong conviction from large investors, which can encourage smaller players to jump on the bandwagon and distribute fresh capital into the ecosystem.
Nonetheless, heavy leverage also raises the risk of a long squeeze, and if ZEC suddenly reverses course, cascading liquidations of overly risky positions could intensify selling pressure and accelerate the decline.
NU7 retires the transaction format Sprout depends on, so old shielded ZEC needs to move before activation.
Zcash’s NU7 upgrade is lining up for mainnet block 3,543,405, expected around Nov. 5th, per Zakura, the new full node project led by Zcash cofounder Sean Bowe. Once NU7 activates, any ZEC left in the network’s original Sprout pool will be stuck.
What’s the Scoop?
Why Sprout goes dark: ZIP 2003 retires Zcash’s old “v4” transaction format, and Sprout, the shielded pool Zcash launched with in 2016, only works with v4 transactions.
Frozen, not burned: The coins won’t be destroyed, and a future fix isn’t ruled out. Still, the ZIP cautions that Sprout spending “may never be reenabled,” so holders shouldn’t count on a rescue.
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Node operators too: NU7 skips Zcash’s usual ~3 month runway between new node software and activation, and ZIP 259 warns that stragglers could keep running on the old, pre-NU7 chain.
Also tracking: Beyond the Sprout deadline, NU7 brings 25-second blocks and a fee-recycling Network Sustainability Mechanism, both of which we highlighted in September.
William M. Peaster
1079 posts
William M. Peaster, Senior Writer, has been with Bankless since January 2021. Immersed in Ethereum since 2017, he covers the onchain frontier with a particular interest in art, games, and other culture apps. He has a background in creative writing and writes fiction in his free time.
In brief
Bitcoin trades near $84,500, up 2.5% in 24 hours, as the crypto market cap rose 2.6% to $2.82 trillion; XRP gained 4.1% and Zcash 11.2%.
Brent crude near $108 and a 5.09% 10-year Treasury yield drove October's selloff, and both eased slightly on Wednesday.
Bitcoin technical indicators still suggest caution, but prediction markets lean optimistically bullish.
Bitcoin traders and hodlers are breathing this week after a pretty spooky start to the month with the historically best gains.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% over 24 hours, as the crypto market bounced back from a mid-October slide that pushed it below $80,000. The total crypto market capitalization, the combined value of every coin, rose 2.2% to $2.9 trillion.
Myriad: How high will Bitcoin go? Click to make your prediction.Ethereum climbed 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18 and BNB rose 2% to $749. XRP led the large caps with a 4.1% gain to $1.37, while Zcash jumped 11.2% to $1,332 and has now added 15.3% over seven days.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a 0-to-100 gauge where 0 means extreme fear and 100 means extreme greed, reads 55, which counts as neutral but is 3 points ahead of yesterday’s readings. In other words, it seems like traders have stopped panicking, but they are not yet chasing prices.
Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, has swung between $97 and $112 a barrel this month and traded near $108 on Wednesday. The war with Iran keeps supply fears alive, and Washington rejected an Iranian plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in late September.
Oil matters to crypto because it feeds inflation. U.S. consumer prices rose 3.7% in September from a year earlier, above the 3.6% economists expected and up from 3.4% in August. Higher inflation pushes up Treasury yields, the annual return investors demand for lending to the U.S. government. Government bonds paying more than 5% with almost no default risk pull money away from stocks and crypto, and higher rates make the borrowing behind leveraged trades costlier.
The Federal Reserve's benchmark rate sits at 3.75% to 4% after a September hike, and CME FedWatch gives about an eight-in-ten chance of a hold at the Oct. 28 meeting. Markets firmly expect a hike on Dec. 9.
Bitcoin price: Going up, but weakOn the daily chart, Bitcoin opened Wednesday at $82,928.80 and has reached $84,726.28, up 1.94% for the candle, after bouncing about 6% from this month's low near $79,711. Its current price is pressing up, trying to approach the natural resistance at $87,422.70.
Bitcoin price data. Image: TradingviewBitcoin’s latest rally ran from $62,763 to a September high of $87,422.70. That trend marked a strong support at $81,603. Bitcoin lost the level in the October dip and has now reclaimed it, with movement still in the upper side of its bounce..
The 50-day exponential moving average, an average of recent closing prices that gives more weight to the most recent days, sits near $80,782, above the 200-day moving average at about $76,084. A 50-day above the 200-day is the standard sign of an uptrend, and Bitcoin trades 4.6% above the shorter average.
The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, which scores recent buying against selling on a 0-to-100 scale, reads 58.5. Readings above 50 mean buyers hold the edge, while 70 marks overbought territory, so momentum is not yet stretched but is moving towards a bullish mood.
The bullish scenario needs a daily close above $84,726, today's high, ideally with ADX—an indicator of a trend’s strength over time—climbing back above 25 to confirm a trend. That would open a natural target at around $86,090, and then the September high at $87,422.70.
Traders on Myriad, a prediction market built by Decrypt's parent company Dastan, put the odds of Bitcoin touching $87,500 in October at 31%, down from 45% on Oct. 12. A $90,000 touch is priced at 18%.
A stall below $84,726 would keep Bitcoin inside the roughly $79,700 to $87,400 range that has held since late September, which fits an ADX under 20.
The bearish case starts with a daily close below $81,603. That would expose the 50-day EMA at $80,782, then the October low near $79,711, and the 200-day EMA at $76,084.
Disclaimer
The views and opinions expressed by the author are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or other advice.
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Bitcoin is consolidating near $82,000 to $83,000 after retreating from recent highs above $87,000. A new CryptoQuant analysis warns that the S&P 500 is showing similar weakness.
Analysts are split on whether a deeper correction is coming. Here is what the data suggests.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance. Source: BeInCryptoWhy Bitcoin and the S&P 500 Are Moving TogetherThe CryptoQuant analysis by nocoffeenobrain notes concurrent weakness in Bitcoin and the S&P 500. That setup has previously preceded deeper crypto declines.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are pushing toward multi-year highs while momentum fades in both markets. Historical parallels include late 2018 and January to April 2025.
In late 2018, yields rolled over from their peaks, equities came under pressure, and Bitcoin’s sell-off intensified into year-end. In 2025, yields retreated from January highs before April turmoil hit both equities and Bitcoin.
Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens.
Bitcoin vs S&P 500 vs Treasury Yields. Source: CryptoQuantThe S&P 500 has yet to experience a proper correction this cycle. If equities take a bigger hit as yields rise, Bitcoin could be dragged lower. The catalysts may differ from past episodes, though.
That risk is why the CryptoQuant warning matters. Weakness now appears across risk assets rather than in a single market. Traders will also watch yields closely in the coming sessions.
Is the Market Heading for a Deeper Correction?Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer notes that the market broadened last week. However, it did so in a down market as the AI theme was sold. Only about 55% of stocks sit above their 200-day moving average. Breadth has improved but remains tepid, according to his analysis.
The cap-weighted S&P 500 has largely gone nowhere since early June. It is trapped between rising capital costs and an ongoing earnings boom. Investors will watch whether breadth improves in the coming weeks. A broader rally would weaken the case for a correction.
Not everyone shares the caution. Michaël van de Poppe sees Bitcoin consolidating with no decisive move yet. He advises patience until price breaks clearly out of its range.
KillaXBT argues the next bear cycle may never trade below $100,000, while Crypto Rover points to an imminent golden cross. Both views rely on technical or cycle-based arguments rather than macro data.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights.
The divergence leaves the outlook open. Bitcoin’s path may hinge on whether equities deliver the deeper correction that has so far remained absent.
Zcash gains nearly 10% as XRP and Ethereum rebound. October 21 analysis maps key price support, resistance and signals for ETH, XRP, XMR, ZEC and PUMP.
Asset Price 24-hour change Aggregate volume Ethereum $2,443.19 +1.24% $11.30B XRP $1.33 +2.10% $1.41B Zcash $1,259.24 +9.64% $1.04B Monero $575.41 −4.80% $185.56M Pump.fun $0.0047416 +6.35% $189.25M Ethereum Rebounds but Remains Below the Bollinger Midpoint Ethereum closed October 20 at $2,446.73, up 1.72%, after trading between $2,370.41 and $2,475. The candle recovered Monday’s $2,443.70 high at the close but did not clear the October 16 high at $2,490.84 or the October 14 high at $2,527.11.
TH/USD daily Bollinger Bands show a rebound to $2,446.73 below the falling $2,532.04 midpoint, with support concentrated near $2,370–$2,383. Daily Bollinger Bands, calculated from a 20-day simple moving average and two population standard deviations, placed the midpoint at $2,532.04. The lower and upper bands stood at $2,296.81 and $2,767.26.
Price remains in the lower half of the envelope while the midpoint continues to fall. This characterizes a rebound beneath a declining trend reference rather than a confirmed reversal.
The completed 00:00–04:00 UTC candle closed at $2,441.56. CoinGecko’s aggregate quote was 1.34% above Tuesday’s $2,410.99 report.
A daily close above $2,475 would strengthen the approach to $2,490.84 and the Bollinger midpoint near $2,532. A close below $2,382.78 would weaken the rebound and expose $2,370.41, followed by $2,313.42.
XRP’s MACD Gap Narrows Without a Bullish Crossover XRP closed Tuesday at $1.33457, gaining 2.45% and finishing above the previous session’s $1.32128 high. The move recovered part of the decline from $1.38535 but remained beneath the $1.34473 session high and $1.34600–$1.35208 resistance.
XRP/USD daily MACD (12,26,9) remains below its signal even as the histogram becomes less negative following a 2.45% completed-session gain. Daily MACD, using 12- and 26-period exponential averages with a nine-period signal EMA, remained bearish. The MACD line improved to −0.03536 against a −0.02410 signal.
Its histogram narrowed from −0.01569 to −0.01126, showing reduced downside momentum but no completed bullish line-signal crossover.
Four-hour MACD offered a stronger short-term reading: the line was above its signal and the histogram was positive at 0.00611. That divergence supports a near-term rebound attempt but does not replace daily confirmation.
A daily close above $1.34473–$1.35208 would strengthen the recovery toward $1.38076–$1.38535.
Failure to hold $1.29213 would weaken the move and expose Tuesday’s $1.285 low. A close below $1.25477 would invalidate the recovery from the new October low.
Compared with the October 19 report, XRP’s Kraken daily close has risen 2.21% from $1.30573.
Monero Holds Above Its Daily EMAs After a $625 Rejection Monero closed October 20 at $597.57, down 1.29%, after reaching $625. The upper wick and lower close show rejection from that high, while Kraken volume reached 10,422 XMR—approximately 1.66 times the preceding 20-session average.
XMR/USD remains above rising 20-day and 50-day EMAs despite rejecting $625, while four-hour price action has weakened toward $575. Despite the pullback, price remained above the rising 20-day EMA at $559.91 and 50-day EMA at $530.54. The faster average was already above the slower one, and Tuesday did not produce a fresh crossover.
The setup therefore combines a still-positive daily trend position with near-term rejection at resistance.
Short-term conditions weakened after the daily close. The completed four-hour candle fell to $574.94, below its 20-period EMA at $592.17 and near its 50-period EMA at $574.17. CoinGecko’s $575.41 quote likewise sat well below Tuesday’s close.
A daily close above $611.93 would improve the odds of another test of $625. Clearing $625 would bring the September 21 high at $633.90 into focus.
A close below $582.55 would weaken the latest advance, while losing $569.44 would expose the 20-day EMA.
Zcash RSI Reclaims Neutral as Price Tests October Resistance Zcash closed at $1,256.30, gaining 9.17% after trading as low as $1,117.08. The close recovered Monday’s $1,189.88 high and approached the $1,278–$1,284.78 resistance area.
ZEC/USD daily RSI rises above 50 as price approaches $1,278–$1,284.78 resistance; the four-hour move to $1,296 is not yet a daily breakout. The 14-day RSI, calculated with Wilder smoothing, rose to 51.05 from 43.69. Moving above 50 provides momentum confirmation for the rebound, while the reading remains below the conventional 70 overbought threshold. Four-hour RSI was stronger at 64.82, reflecting the sharp short-term advance.
The latest completed four-hour candle reached $1,296 and closed at $1,260.25. This intraday break above $1,284.78 was not confirmed by a completed daily close.
The broader October structure also retains lower highs from the September peak.
A daily close above $1,284.78 would confirm a break of immediate resistance and improve the path toward $1,303–$1,335.
A close below $1,189.88 would weaken the rebound, with $1,150.80 and $1,108.86 next. Losing $1,047.63 would invalidate the recovery.
The current aggregate quote is 4.51% above the $1,204.87 snapshot in the October 16 report.
Pump.fun Rebounds as ATR Keeps Volatility Elevated Pump.fun closed Tuesday at $0.004864, advancing 8.91% after a $0.004325–$0.004878 session. The close recovered Monday’s $0.004586 high but stopped below $0.004878 and the October 14 high at $0.005130.
PUMP/USD daily ATR (14) remains near $0.000596, or 12.25% of price, as the token rebounds toward $0.004878–$0.005130 resistance. The 14-day Average True Range, using Wilder smoothing, stood at $0.000596, down slightly from $0.000599. That equals approximately 12.25% of Tuesday’s close, indicating that recent daily ranges remain wide relative to price.
ATR measures volatility, not direction, so it does not confirm that the rebound will continue.
The latest completed four-hour candle closed at $0.004738 after touching $0.004963. The move cleared Tuesday’s high intraday but failed to hold above it at the four-hour close.
A daily breakout therefore remains unconfirmed.
A daily close above $0.004878 would strengthen the recovery toward $0.005130, followed by $0.005503–$0.005610.
A close below $0.004325 would weaken the setup and expose $0.004153. Losing the October 18 low at $0.003788 would invalidate the current rebound.
Monero futures are heating up, posing volatility risks. (Jakub Żerdzicki/Unsplash)Summary
Monero futures open interest has surpassed $300 million, nearing January’s record of about $320 million and increasing the risk of a sharp, liquidation-driven price move.Open interest has also climbed to a five-week high of 515,730 XMR as monero’s spot price recently topped $600, suggesting leveraged bets are growing alongside the rally.A similar buildup in January preceded a 66 percent plunge, when monero fell from about $790 to below $300 as long positions were forcibly closed.Leveraged bets are building up in monero (XMR) futures, raising the odds of a sharp, sudden move in the price.
Monero (XMR) is a cryptocurrency built for privacy. Its transactions are hard to trace and at the market cap of $10.9 billion, it is the second-largest privacy coin in the world.
Notional open interest, or the dollar value of the number of active monero futures bets, has risen past $300 million, approaching the January peak of around $320 million, according to data source SoSoValue. Futures are contracts that let traders bet on a coin’s price without owning it. To date, the tally has topped $300 million only a few times, all this year.
“The last Time we reached that amount of Open Interest was in Jan 2026. Monero Crashed 66% in the next 20 days. I Smell a very big Liquidation Event on XMR,” said pseudonymous crypto analyst Doctor Profit, who correctly called BTC’s 2025 top and pivoted to accumulation in July this year.
Open interest is tracked in dollars and in coins. Traders use the two differently. The dollar figure shows the current size of the market’s positions and lets traders compare monero with other cryptocurrencies. Liquidations are also typically reported in dollars, so a larger dollar figure points to a larger potential wave of forced selling. Open interest is also rising in coin terms. At 515.73K XMR, it is at a five-week high and up sharply from 400K XMR a week ago.
Liquidations, or forced closure of positions by exchanges, happen because futures involve leverage, in which a trader puts up a small deposit, called margin, to control a much larger position.
This leverage boosts gains when the market moves as expected, but when it doesn’t, the margin is eaten away. At some point, the exchange steps in and closes the position to prevent the trader’s losses from exceeding the collateral they posted and to protect the exchange from unpaid losses.
Traders betting on a rise, called longs, get liquidated when the price falls. The liquidation, in turn, adds to selling pressure in the market. This is especially true when most traders are long. In such cases, a slight price decline can trigger mass liquidation of longs and a price crash.
That’s what happened in January when open interest hit a record high alongside a price rise, reflecting an overcrowding of longs. The spot price hit a high of around $790 on Jan. 14. By the first week of February, it had crashed to under $300. This was characterized by liquidation of longs worth several million dollars, according to Coinglass.
This time too, the spot price has risen with the open interest. Monero recently topped $600, the highest since January.
Monero (XMR) has returned to the $600 price region as futures traders rebuild positions, with analysts watching whether the privacy-focused cryptocurrency can break above resistance or retreat toward $570.
Summary
Monero traded near $596 on October 21, declining 3.05% despite gaining 6.18% over seven days. Santiment reported $198 million in futures open interest on October 20, below September’s $208.8 million peak. Coin-denominated open interest rose approximately 22% between October 15 and 20 as XMR gained 9%. Analyst Ali Martinez identified $602 as a possible breakout trigger, with $630 as his upside target. Technical indicators show improving momentum, although resistance between $600 and $620 remains a hurdle. According to Santiment Intelligence, Monero futures open interest closed October 20 at $198 million, below its September peak, even as the number of outstanding contracts measured in XMR climbed during the preceding five days.
Monero futures open interest rebounds without reaching record levels Santiment’s October 21 analysis challenged claims that Monero futures open interest had reached a record high.
Its data placed the October 20 closing figure at $198 million, compared with $208.8 million on September 5. The latest reading ranked fifth among daily closes over the preceding 12 months.
Measured in XMR instead of dollars, open interest stood at approximately 329,000 coins on October 20. That remained below the roughly 402,000 XMR recorded on September 2.
The distinction matters when comparing derivatives activity across different periods. Dollar-denominated open interest changes with both contract positioning and the underlying cryptocurrency’s price, while coin-denominated figures provide another measure of outstanding exposure.
Between October 15 and October 20, Santiment recorded approximately 22% growth in coin-denominated open interest, accompanied by a 9% rise in Monero’s price.
Is $XMR futures open interest at a record? Not on Santiment’s data.
📊 Open interest closed Oct 20 at $198.0M, below the Sep 5 daily close of $208.8M and only the fifth-highest daily close of the past year.
🧭 Counted in coins, about 329K XMR was open on Oct 20 vs about 402K on… pic.twitter.com/3Zdlfpw9Th
— Santiment Intelligence (@SantimentData) October 21, 2026 The simultaneous gains indicate that traders were rebuilding futures positions during the recovery, although aggregate open interest does not establish whether buyers or sellers controlled the new positions.
Funding rates presented a different picture from late September.
Santiment found that the seven-day average funding rate reached approximately 2.7 times its June 23–October 13 reference average during September 28–October 4.
During October 14–20, the same measure cooled to approximately 0.9 times that reference average, even as outstanding futures positions grew.
The figures indicate that leverage recovered without funding returning to the elevated levels observed at the beginning of October.
XMR price faces $602 breakout level as analysts watch $630 Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified a possible ascending triangle on Monero’s hourly chart in an October 20 technical assessment.
The analyst placed resistance near $602, arguing that an hourly close above the level could confirm a breakout toward $630.
At the October 21 price of $595.93, reaching $630 would represent a gain of approximately 5.7%.
However, another analyst, Crypto With Gopal, identified a competing bearish formation on Monero’s 15-minute chart.
The analyst described a head-and-shoulders pattern following rejection near $625, with the neckline around $575. A sustained breakdown beneath that support could expose $520, according to the assessment.
The two forecasts examine different chart intervals. Martinez’s bullish setup uses hourly candles, while Gopal’s bearish formation uses 15-minute price action.
Both identify $600 as an important level, although their confirmation conditions differ.
Crypto Rover separately suggested that Monero was approaching a breakout from a three-year price formation. The analyst’s commentary did not provide a confirmed breakout level or measured price target.
Monero traded between $570.44 and $625.37 during the preceding 24 hours, according to crypto.news market data.
Monero price analysis shows resistance between $600 and $620 On the daily chart, Monero was trading near $597.90, recording a modest session decline after recovering considerably from its July price levels.
The cryptocurrency has maintained a sequence of higher highs and higher lows since July, when XMR traded around $320.
Its recent advance brought prices close to $600, where resistance extends toward $620. A sustained daily close above $620 could put $650 into focus as the next technical target.
Failure to recover $600 would leave immediate support around $570, followed by the 540–550 area. The $500 level remains a more distant downside reference if selling continues.
The Aroon Oscillator, using a 14-period setting, stood at 35.71 after recovering from negative territory. The positive reading indicates improving trend strength, although it remains below levels seen during stronger advances.
Monero (XMR) price chart, source: crypto.news Monero’s Accumulation/Distribution indicator registered approximately -243,040. Its recent upward movement suggests improving buying pressure, but the indicator remains negative.
At the October 21 snapshot, XMR had fallen 3.05% over 24 hours to $595.93, despite recording a weekly gain of 6.18%.
Daily trading volume stood near $204.2 million, while Monero’s market capitalization reached approximately $11.22 billion, placing it 13th among cryptocurrencies.
Monero developers release Fluorine Fermi maintenance update Monero developers released version 0.18.5.4 of the Fluorine Fermi software on October 16, introducing corrections to network and software interfaces.
According to the official release notes, the update fixes DNSSEC validation involving checkpoints, blocklists and update checks.
We're excited to announce that CLI v0.18.5.4 'Fluorine Fermi' has been released!
'This is a minor release that includes bug fixes.'
— Monero (XMR) (@monero) October 19, 2026 The release restores string-to-integer conversion in JSON requests through the remote procedure call interface, with developers planning to remove that behavior in version 0.19.
Developers selsta and tobtoht contributed six commits containing 35 new lines of code to the maintenance release.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
A series of security vulnerabilities have been disclosed in internet infrastructure software within a single day, affecting PHP, Node.js, and Go.
Multiple internet infrastructure software projects rolled out security updates in a single day, addressing vulnerabilities including remote code execution, TLS certificate validation bypass, and certificate trust risks. PHP fixed two critical flaws: CVE-2026-109618 and CVE-2026-109619, both enabling unauthenticated remote code execution that impacts PHP environments processing web requests. The patched versions are 8.5.12, 8.4.27, 8.3.36, and 8.2.35. Node.js’ advisory details 10 vulnerabilities, four of which are high-severity: these include remote code execution via out-of-bounds write in the Brotli decoder, DNS name truncation, and two TLS certificate hostname validation bypass issues. Fixed versions are 26.12.1, 24.22.1, and 22.23.4. Additionally, Go’s crypto/x509-related risk is tracked as CVE-2026-111943, rated "Important" by Red Hat with a CVSS 3.1 score of 6.8. Attackers with specific network access and valid certificates could impersonate legitimate servers to intercept or alter communications. Go 1.26.10 and 1.27.3 have been added to a deny list, blocking trust for compromised intermediate certificates.
38 minutes ago
Dataline completes $10.6 million seed round funding, and plans to conduct an ICO.
Decentralized data network for AI agents Dataline has closed a $10.6 million seed round, co-led by Lattice and Samsung-backed Dispersion Capital, with participation from Symbolic Capital, Coinbase Ventures, Anagram, and Robinhood co-founder & CEO Vlad Tenev, among others. The round, completed in April, utilized a SAFE agreement with token warrants; valuation was not disclosed. Dataline is now live, covering approximately 50 data sources to deliver on-chain and off-chain data, and scores data reliability, timeliness, and consistency using AI. Proceeds will be allocated to expanding data sources, enhancing data validation, and expanding into robotics, AI training data, and other sectors. Dataline plans to launch a token by the end of 2026 for network payments and data access, and intends to conduct a public token sale on Base via Uniswap’s Continuous Clearing Auction (CCA) system, with details set to be revealed next week. The public sale’s target fundraising amount, token quantity, and other terms remain undisclosed.
38 minutes ago
Trump plans to leverage White House cyber crime efforts to showcase achievements in combating cross-border crypto fraud.
White House officials said on October 21 that Trump planned to focus on the U.S. government’s actions to crack down on overseas crypto fraud rings during the White House’s cybersecurity event that day, including recovering funds and shutting down fraudulent operations. These transnational criminal groups steal funds from U.S. citizens via romance scams, phishing, ransomware and other methods. The U.S. government noted that law enforcement agencies have seized approximately $833 million in crypto assets linked to overseas fraud, and shut down 503 fraudulent crypto websites under the supervision of the Homeland Security Task Force. Relevant authorities have also notified nearly 9,000 U.S. citizens to alert them they are being targeted by fraud. The U.S. Treasury Department previously announced the establishment of an inter-agency "Fraud Strike Task Force" to target "pig butchering" scams run by organized criminal groups in Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos and the Philippines. Since last year, the U.S. has also imposed multiple sanctions aimed at cutting off support for related fraud websites and their infrastructure.
38 minutes ago
American Bankers Association voices dissatisfaction with OCC’s final GENIUS Act rule, which abandons proposed restrictions on stablecoin yields.
Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett reported that the American Bankers Association (ABA) has voiced dissatisfaction with the final rules implemented by the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) under the GENIUS Act. The OCC abandoned the previously proposed restrictions on stablecoin yields, a move the ABA argues will "maintain the status quo for crypto platforms." The ABA’s CEO stated: "It is a mistake to wait until deposit outflows and economic harm have already occurred before attempting to address these issues."
38 minutes ago
Beyond PHP, three Node.js version branches are also affected by high-severity vulnerabilities, and users need to update their runtime environments promptly.
Node.js rolled out a security update on October 21, covering its 26.x, 24.x, and 22.x version branches, with corresponding patched releases: 26.12.1, 24.22.1, and 22.23.4. The advisory details 10 total vulnerabilities, categorized as 4 critical-severity, 3 medium-severity, and 3 low-severity, with varying impact scopes across the three version lines. The critical CVE-2026-111497 is an out-of-bounds write flaw in the Brotli decoder that could enable remote code execution (RCE), affecting all three branches. Other critical issues include improper null character handling in DNS resolution and a TLS certificate hostname validation bypass. The update also resolves problems with persistent connection response processing, random number cache duplication, and permission models, while updating dependencies including c-ares, OpenSSL, and Undici. The official note warns that end-of-life (EOL) versions may still be vulnerable, advising users to use the latest supported releases. Separately, prior reports noted PHP has fixed two critical unauthenticated RCE vulnerabilities, with patches available for versions 8.5.12, 8.4.27, 8.3.36, and 8.2.35; PHP users are urged to upgrade immediately.
38 minutes ago
Bonk Guy: This round is the "privacy cycle", privacy protocol MASK is undervalued.
Renowned trader Bonk Guy posted that the current crypto market is showing characteristics of a "privacy cycle". He noted that since yesterday, Bitcoin has risen approximately 3%, ZEC is up 16%, adding over $3 billion in market capitalization. MASK currently has a market cap of roughly $26 million, with its protocol trading volume and fees hitting consecutive all-time highs, he added. Citing data from DefiLlama, he stated that MASK ranks first among privacy protocols by revenue, outearning the next 10 privacy protocols combined. By comparison, ZEC’s market cap gain over the past 24 hours is roughly 115 times MASK’s entire market cap. Bonk Guy also said that MASK’s upcoming deployment on Solana is set to launch in the coming days, which he expects will further drive growth in usage, trading volume, and fees. He went on to call MASK the most undervalued privacy protocol in the crypto market.
Compound [COMP] staged a sharp price recovery, following a daily increase of 22.46% as expanding trading activity triggered renewed market attention to the decentralized lending protocol. The price rally notably marked a bullish turnover for the token after struggling through an extended period of declining prices.
As per CoinMarketCap data, COMP’s 24-hour Spot trading volume increased by 975.2% to $143.8 million, which suggested significant growth in market participation. This sudden growth in activity followed the token’s price recovery from its recent lows, reinforcing its position among the day’s top performing cryptocurrencies.
Besides, the rally extended beyond the spot markets, as the derivatives traders also substantially increased their exposure.
Derivatives activity signals growing speculative interest Compound’s derivatives market registered an even sharper daily increase as its Futures trading volume skyrocketed 1,523.12% to $243.02 million in .
Additionally, Open Interest (OI) also climbed 103.58% to $37.85 million in 24 hours, highlighting significant growth in outstanding futures positions. This simultaneous expansion in both volume and OI suggested fresh leveraged participation instead of a merely increased trading turnover.
The derivatives volume notably exceeded the spot volume, which reflected the considerable role of Futures trading during COMP’s price rally. Here, it is also crucial to note that with leverage expanding sharply, COMP also faced greater exposure to potential liquidations in case of sudden price fluctuations.
Besides that the token’s exchange holdings offered another significant consideration as far as the rally’s sustainability is concerned.
Source: COMP Open Interest on CoinGlass Exchange reserves climb despite COMP’s recovery According to CryptoQuant, COMP‘s USD-denominated exchange reserves surged 21.42% in 24 hours as of writing, reaching roughly $32.8 million. The surge notably accompanied Compound’s rapid price expansion, which further raised the dollar value of exchange-held assets.
The exchange reserve expansion therefore did not necessarily confirm an equivalent surge in the number of COMP tokens on exchanges. However, the elevated reserve valuation still highlighted the significance of monitoring exchange balances as the trading activity intensified.
Specifically, a persistent increase in actual exchange-held token balances could create additional selling pressure in case the token holders decide to distribute. However, for now, the figures alone offered insufficient evidence of increased token deposits or confirmed selling activity.
Source: COMP Exchange Reserve USD on CryptoQuant Can COMP extend its recovery toward $30? Compound’s weekly technical structure highlighted a strong recovery from the $15.69 region, with the bulls reclaiming the significant $21.31 support level. As the breakout unfolded, COMP pushed towards the $25.95 region, bringing the $30 resistance level into the spotlight.
Interestingly, the Directional Movement Index indicator favored the buyers, with the +DI signal reaching 26.30 against the −DI signal at 12.52. Notably, the widening gap between the directional signals validated the bullish picture, as the ADX stood at 21.38.
COMP, however, was yet to overcome the $30 level, which previously acted as a crucial resistance region. Ultimately, COMP’s price recovery retained a bullish picture, technically supported by the improving directional strength.
A confirmed breakout above the $30 weekly resistance would be crucial to reinforce the case for further gains.
Source: COMPUSDT Chart on TradingView Final Summary COMP’s rally attracted heavy futures activity, with Open Interest more than doubling. COMP’s bullish recovery strengthened, but breaking $30 remains crucial for further gains.
Aave may soon let users borrow against a piece of Elon Musk’s rocket company. Aave Labs has put forward a governance proposal to accept tokenized SpaceX Class A common stock, trading as SPCXc, as collateral on the protocol’s Aave V4 Equities Hub.
Risk advisory firm LlamaRisk has recommended a set of guardrails for the listing.
What the proposal actually does The proposal was introduced on October 15, 2026. It targets the Equities Hub, a section of Aave V4 that went live on September 25, 2026.
That hub already supports tokenized shares of the so-called Magnificent Seven, the mega-cap US tech stocks. Those tokens are issued through Coinbase’s B20 standard, which brings traditional equities onchain in a form DeFi protocols can use.
SPCXc would join that lineup with a narrow job description. It would be listed as collateral-only, and the only asset users could borrow against it is USDC.
Pricing would come from Chainlink, which the hub uses for continuous price feeds to track the value of listed assets.
LlamaRisk’s numbers, translated First, the firm suggests a 55% collateral factor. A collateral factor caps how much you can borrow relative to what you deposit. Here, every $100 of SPCXc would support at most $55 of USDC debt.
Second, it recommends a maximum liquidation bonus of 6.5%. When a loan goes underwater, liquidators repay the debt and seize collateral at a discount. That discount is the bonus, and it exists to make sure someone actually shows up to clean up bad positions.
Third, LlamaRisk proposes a collateral risk premium of 1,000 basis points, or 10 percentage points.
Fourth, is the supply cap of 37,000 SPCXc. At prevailing market prices, that works out to approximately $5.8 million.
LlamaRisk also flagged a structural limit on liquidations. Larger liquidations, according to the firm’s assessment, would depend on redemptions or derivatives hedges, meaning onchain liquidity alone may not be deep enough to absorb a big forced sale without help from offchain mechanics.
The unlock looming over everything Timing is the reason these dials are turned so tight. SpaceX is heading into a significant share unlock, with an estimated 1.3 billion shares worth around $194 billion set to become available for sale starting October 22, 2026.
Only around 21% of SpaceX shares were previously eligible to trade, and roughly 84% are expected to unlock by early December 2026.
For Aave, the risk is straightforward. If SPCXc drops sharply while loans are outstanding, liquidators need to sell collateral fast. If there are not enough buyers onchain, the protocol could be left holding debt that its collateral no longer covers.
Why tokenized equities keep showing up in DeFi Aave building a dedicated Equities Hub inside V4 shows the largest lending protocols are treating tokenized equities seriously. Starting with the Magnificent Seven gave the hub liquid, widely held names. Adding SpaceX pushes it toward assets with a very different trading history and a much thinner record of public price discovery.
Coinbase’s B20 standard is the plumbing that makes this possible. It gives protocols like Aave a consistent token format for equities, which matters when you are wiring them into automated lending markets.
What this means for Aave and its users For borrowers, the proposal offers a new kind of utility. Holders of tokenized SpaceX exposure could unlock USDC liquidity without selling. The trade-off is a lower borrowing limit and a meaningful cost layer from the risk premium.
The liquidation caveat deserves the most attention. If larger liquidations genuinely rely on redemptions or derivatives hedges, then the safety of these markets depends partly on systems outside the blockchain. That is a different risk profile from crypto collateral, where liquidators can typically dump assets onchain without asking anyone’s permission.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Vivian Nguyen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Crypto lending has grown back into a credit market worth tens of billions of dollars. It rebuilt after Celsius, BlockFi, Genesis and other large lenders failed during the 2022 crypto crisis.
The industry looks different in 2026. Decentralized protocols such as Aave, Morpho and Spark now compete with centralized lenders such as Coinbase, Galaxy, Ledn and Nexo.
This article uses data from Galaxy Research and DefiLlama. It covers market size, loan balances, protocol rankings, interest rates and the main risks.
Crypto Lending Statistics at a Glance
Table of Contents
Galaxy Research put the crypto-collateralized lending market at $56.16 billion at the end of Q2 2026. That was down 16.8% from the quarter before and about 40% below the Q3 2025 record of $78.7 billion.
Metric
Figure
Total market, end of Q2 2026
$56.16 billion
Q3 2025 peak
$78.7 billion
Change in Q2 2026
Down 16.8%
CeFi loans outstanding
$22.98 billion
DeFi loans outstanding (Galaxy)
$20.43 billion
DeFi change in Q2 2026
Down 27.6%
CeFi change in Q2 2026
Down 9.6%
Lending protocol TVL (DefiLlama)
$51.6 billion
Aave V3 active loans
$11.8 billion
Morpho active loans
$5.6 billion
Average stablecoin borrow rate
4.7%
Average stablecoin supply rate
3.6%
Debt tied to treasury strategies
More than $17.5 billion
Sources: Galaxy Research and DefiLlama.
Figure 1: Decline in outstanding crypto loans in Q2 2026. Source: Galaxy Research.
DeFi lending fell the most in the second quarter. CeFi fell by less.
For the first time since Q3 2023, centralized lenders had more outstanding loans than DeFi lending applications.
How Big Is the Crypto Lending Market?
Galaxy’s figure combines several kinds of crypto-backed credit. At the end of Q2 2026, total loans stood at $56.16 billion. That was $11.33 billion lower than three months earlier.
The market was $67.42 billion at the end of Q1 2026. Its record was $78.7 billion in Q3 2025, which puts Q2 2026 about 40% below the peak.
Figure 2: Total crypto-collateralized loans, from the Q3 2025 peak to Q2 2026. Source: Galaxy Research.
Galaxy described the drop as stepwise deleveraging rather than a cascading collapse. Borrowers have cut leverage over several quarters instead of in one event.
That differs from 2022. DeFi borrowing fell by more than 80% then, and several large centralized lenders failed.
The total also includes more than CeFi and DeFi loans. Subtracting both from the $56.16 billion leaves about $12.75 billion. The research says the rest comes largely from crypto-backed stablecoin debt structures.
CeFi vs DeFi Lending
Crypto lending falls into two groups. In centralized finance, or CeFi, a borrower deals with a company such as an exchange or an institutional lender. Examples include Coinbase, Galaxy, Ledn, Nexo, Arch, Sygnum and Milo.
In decentralized finance, or DeFi, borrowing happens through smart contracts. Examples include Aave, Morpho, Spark, Compound and Euler.
The economics can look alike, but the structure is different. DeFi users deposit collateral into smart contracts, and anyone can check liquidity and debt on-chain. Centralized lenders hold collateral internally and usually share less real-time data.
Feature
CeFi
DeFi
Who holds collateral
The lender
Smart contracts
Data visibility
Limited real-time data
Debt and liquidity visible on-chain
Loans, end of Q2 2026
$22.98 billion
$20.43 billion
Change in Q2 2026
Down 9.6%
Down 27.6%
Source: Galaxy Research.
Figure 3: CeFi and DeFi outstanding loans, Q1 and Q2 2026. Source: Galaxy Research.
In Q1 2026, DeFi had $28.22 billion in loans against $25.43 billion for CeFi. By the end of Q2, CeFi led with $22.98 billion to $20.43 billion.
This is not a return to the pre-Celsius model. Today’s large centralized lenders generally stress overcollateralization, institutional clients, better custody, clear balance sheets, shorter loan terms and regulated structures.
Centralized Crypto Loans: About $23 Billion Outstanding
Galaxy estimated CeFi loans at $22.98 billion at the end of Q2 2026. That was down 9.6% from $25.43 billion in Q1. The Q1 figure was already about 30% below the sector’s Q1 2022 record of $36.58 billion.
The low point came in Q4 2023. CeFi loans fell to about $6.8 billion after Celsius, BlockFi, Genesis and other lenders failed. By Q1 2026, the market was more than 270% above that low.
Figure 4: CeFi crypto loans outstanding at key points since 2022. Source: Galaxy Research.
The modern CeFi market leans toward institutional and collateralized lending. It relies less on unsecured retail yield products.
Galaxy’s own loan book shows the shift. Its average loan book was about $1.44 billion in Q2 2026, up slightly from $1.43 billion in Q1. New loans originated rose during the quarter.
Coinbase, Ledn, Arch, Sygnum and Milo also reportedly grew their loan books while the overall market shrank. This suggests lending is moving toward larger, better-capitalized providers.
DeFi Lending Fell More Sharply
Galaxy put outstanding DeFi loans at $20.43 billion at the end of Q2 2026. That was down 27.6% from $28.22 billion at the end of Q1.
The all-time high was about $47.13 billion in September 2025. By July 31, 2026, Galaxy estimated on-chain lending at $21.94 billion, or 53% below the peak.
Figure 5: DeFi loans outstanding from the September 2025 high to July 31, 2026. Source: Galaxy Research.
The July figure is slightly higher than the end-of-June level. The drop from the peak is still large.
It is smaller than the decline of more than 80% in the previous bear market.
Lenders and borrowers can also move between protocols quickly. That helps explain why on-chain balances can change within weeks.
Why TVL Is Not the Same as Lending
A common mistake in crypto lending statistics is treating total value locked, or TVL, as outstanding loans. The two measure different things.
DefiLlama tracks about $51.6 billion of TVL across roughly 515 lending protocols. Much of that is collateral or supplied funds that nobody has borrowed.
Figure 6: TVL compared with active loans for five lending protocols. Source: DefiLlama.
Aave V3 has about $17 billion of TVL but $11.8 billion in active loans. Morpho has about $11.1 billion of TVL and $5.6 billion in loans.
Using $51 billion as the size of DeFi borrowing would overstate actual debt. The table below shows how much of each protocol’s TVL is currently lent out.
Protocol
TVL
Active loans
Loans as share of TVL
Aave V3
$17.0 billion
$11.8 billion
69%
Morpho
$11.1 billion
$5.6 billion
50%
Spark
$6.9 billion
$2.7 billion
39%
Maple
$2.7 billion
$1.89 billion
70%
Compound V3
$1.4 billion
$646 million
46%
Source: DefiLlama, Oct 19, 2026. Share of TVL calculated by Coincentral and rounded.
The share ranges from 39% at Spark to 70% at Maple. A higher share means more of the deposited money is being used for loans. A lower share means more sits idle.
Aave, Morpho, Spark, Maple and Compound
Five protocols account for most of the large on-chain lending books. Each works a little differently.
Aave: the largest DeFi lender
As of October 19, 2026, DefiLlama showed Aave V3 with about $17.0 billion of TVL and $11.8 billion in active loans. Aave V3 runs on more than 20 networks, including Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum, Plasma and Monad.
Ethereum holds about 83% of Aave V3 TVL. The protocol generated about $37 million in fees over the latest 30 days, and $4.75 million of that became protocol revenue. DefiLlama’s trailing annualized fee rate is about $677 million.
Aave’s $11.8 billion in loans equals about 58% of Galaxy’s $20.4 billion DeFi total. The two data sets differ in date and method, so treat that as a rough guide.
Morpho: Aave’s closest challenger
Morpho has about $11.1 billion of TVL and $5.6 billion in active loans. It earned about $22.2 million in fees over the latest 30 days. Its TVL equals about 21.5% of all lending TVL tracked by DefiLlama.
Morpho works as an infrastructure layer. Specialized lending markets and curated vaults are built on top of it.
Figure 7: Fees generated by four lending protocols over the latest 30 days. Source: DefiLlama.
Spark, Maple and Compound
Spark has about $6.9 billion of TVL and $2.7 billion in active loans. Its products include SparkLend, Spark Liquidity Layer and Spark Savings. Ethereum holds close to 90% of its TVL. Spark earned about $19.4 million in fees over 30 days, with annualized fees near $190 million.
Maple focuses on institutional credit and professionally managed lending pools. It has about $2.7 billion of TVL and $1.89 billion in active loans. Its 30-day fees were about $8.1 million, or roughly $110 million on an annual basis.
Compound V3 has about $646 million in active loans and $1.4 billion of TVL. That is well behind Aave, Morpho and Spark. Compound still matters historically, because its early markets helped popularize algorithmic interest rates and permissionless borrowing.
Most DeFi borrowing rates are variable. They rise when utilization rises. Utilization is the share of a lending pool that has been borrowed.
Picture a pool with $100 million of USDC. If $30 million is borrowed, cash is plentiful and rates can stay low. If $95 million is borrowed, cash is scarce and rates climb.
Higher rates push borrowers to repay, draw in new lenders and restore liquidity. The market sets the rate, not a bank.
Figure 8: Market-weighted stablecoin rates and the two largest stablecoins. Source: DefiLlama.
DefiLlama’s market-weighted stablecoin reference rate shows an average supply APY of about 3.6% and an average borrow APY of about 4.7%. That leaves a lending spread of roughly 1.05 percentage points.
USDC borrowing costs about 5.14% and USDT about 4.09%. Rates can change every day as demand and liquidity move.
Borrow Rates by Stablecoin
Borrowing costs differ by stablecoin. USDe is the most expensive of the ten tracked, at about 6.61%. USDtb is the cheapest, at about 3.11%.
Stablecoin
Approx. borrow APY
USDe
6.61%
PYUSD
5.27%
USDC
5.14%
DAI
4.68%
USDS
4.32%
USDG
4.11%
USDT
4.09%
frxUSD
3.90%
RLUSD
3.85%
USDtb
3.11%
Source: DefiLlama, Oct 19, 2026.
Figure 9: Approximate borrow APY for ten stablecoins. Source: DefiLlama
The gap between the highest and lowest rate is about 3.5 percentage points. USDC and USDT, the two largest stablecoins, sit about one point apart.
These are snapshots. They move with borrowing demand and available liquidity.
Supply rates follow the same pattern. Lenders earn less than borrowers pay, and the difference funds the protocol and its reserves.
Borrowing Costs Vary by Protocol
DefiLlama also estimates weighted borrowing rates for each protocol. Fluid is highest at 6.46% and SparkLend is lowest at 4.26%.
Figure 10: Weighted average borrow rates across six lending protocols. Source: DefiLlama.
Compound V3 charges about 6.22%, which is nearly two percentage points above Aave V3 at 4.33%. Morpho Blue sits at 5.00% and Euler V2 at 5.25%.
Gaps like these add up on large loans. On $1 million borrowed for a year, a two-point rate difference equals about $20,000 in interest.
These are broad weighted averages, not guaranteed rates. The actual cost depends on several factors.
The asset borrowed
The blockchain used
Utilization of the pool
The collateral posted
The loan-to-value ratio
Incentive rewards
Market conditions
Why People Borrow Against Crypto
A crypto holder may borrow instead of selling for several reasons.
Keep the asset. An investor may expect Bitcoin to rise but still need cash. They can pledge BTC as collateral and borrow stablecoins.
Trading leverage. Borrowed stablecoins can buy more crypto. This raises both possible gains and possible losses.
Tax planning. In some places, borrowing may not trigger the same tax event as selling. Rules vary, so professional advice is needed.
Business cash. Companies that hold crypto can get working capital without selling treasury assets.
Arbitrage trades. Professional traders borrow assets to trade price gaps between spot, futures and derivatives markets.
Overcollateralization is the norm
Most DeFi loans require collateral worth more than the loan. A borrower might deposit $150,000 of ETH to borrow $100,000 of USDC. That is a loan-to-value ratio of 66.7%.
Figure 11: An example of an overcollateralized loan with a 66.7% loan-to-value ratio.
If ETH falls far enough, the collateral can be sold automatically. This protects lenders, but borrowers take on market risk.
It also explains why crypto loans differ from unsecured personal loans. The borrower’s identity matters less because the collateral can be seized by the protocol.
Liquidations and Smart-Contract Risk
When collateral falls below a protocol’s required level, smart contracts let liquidators repay part of the debt and claim the collateral. This protects lenders. It can also deepen market declines.
A chain of liquidations can unfold in steps:
Crypto prices fall.
Collateral values drop.
Some loans become undercollateralized.
Automated liquidations begin.
More crypto is sold.
Prices come under further pressure.
Price swings are not the only risk. Galaxy reported that DeFi lending was disrupted in Q1 2026 by large exploits involving Drift and LayerZero/KelpDAO.
After the LayerZero/KelpDAO incident, Aave saw more than $5.5 billion of stablecoin withdrawals. About $3.1 billion of stablecoin loans were closed within roughly two weeks.
Figure 12: Aave stablecoin withdrawals and closed loans after the LayerZero/KelpDAO exploit. Source: Galaxy Research.
The episode shows that overcollateralized lending can still see fast capital flight when users lose confidence in collateral or security.
New Demand: Vaults and Treasury Companies
Two newer trends are shaping crypto credit. The first is the growth of lending vaults. The Financial Times reported in October 2026 that these vaults had drawn more than $10 billion, up from roughly $4 billion at the start of 2025.
Some vaults offered yields from about 3% to more than 20%. Higher yields generally point to higher credit, liquidity or collateral risk.
Figure 13: Lending vault deposits and debt tied to digital-asset treasury strategies. Sources: Financial Times, Galaxy Research.
The second trend is corporate leverage. Galaxy estimated that more than $17.5 billion of debt had been used by Q1 2026 to buy digital assets or to support digital-asset treasury strategies.
This links crypto lending to public companies that hold Bitcoin and other tokens. If those strategies spread, loans backed by crypto could become a larger institutional credit market.
The Bottom Line
Galaxy Research valued crypto-collateralized borrowing at about $56.16 billion at the end of Q2 2026. That is roughly 40% below the Q3 2025 peak of $78.7 billion.
Centralized lenders held about $23 billion of loans. DeFi lending applications held about $20.4 billion. The rest came largely from crypto-backed stablecoin debt structures.
Figure 14: Decline from peak for DeFi, total and CeFi crypto lending. Source: Galaxy Research.
Within DeFi, Aave leads with about $11.8 billion of active loans. Morpho follows with $5.6 billion, then Spark with $2.7 billion, Maple with $1.9 billion and Compound V3 with $646 million.
Borrowing is also cheaper than in periods of heavy speculation. The average stablecoin borrow rate is about 4.7%, while lenders earn about 3.6%.
Risks remain. Collateral prices can fall, smart contracts can fail and borrowers can be liquidated automatically.
After the failures of 2022, the sector has rebuilt around overcollateralized loans, open liquidity data and more institutional borrowers. The market is smaller than its 2025 peak, but it is better organized than the one that entered the last downturn.
Sources
Galaxy Research: The State of Crypto Leverage Q2 2026. Centralized lending, DeFi borrowing and collateralized stablecoin debt.
Galaxy Research: Crypto Lending Contracts, But Slowly This Time. Outstanding crypto loans and the comparison with 2022.
Galaxy Research: The State of Crypto Leverage Q1 2026. CeFi loan books, DeFi borrowing and treasury debt.
DefiLlama: Stablecoin Reference Rates. Market-weighted stablecoin borrow and supply rates.
DefiLlama: Aave V3. Aave TVL, active loans, fees and revenue.
Morpho: Network Data. Morpho deposits, outstanding loans and lending activity.
DefiLlama: Morpho. Morpho TVL, active loans, fees and market share.
DefiLlama: Spark. Spark TVL, borrowing, fees and protocol data.
DefiLlama: Maple Finance. Maple institutional lending TVL and active loans.
DefiLlama: Compound V3. Compound V3 lending, TVL, fees and revenue.
Coinbase Institutional: Guide to Crypto Markets 2026. Market structure, leverage, lending and trading infrastructure.
Polkadot has been discussing JAM as a potential successor to its current Relay Chain. That shift is now leaving the realm of research papers and sweeping technical aspirations. Polkadot developers released a production roadmap in September 2026 that provides a clearer timeline for the launch of JAM and outlines how Relay Chain responsibilities will be reduced and migrated to a JAM-based service for finality.
The point is that, for anyone tracking the Polkadot price, JAM would be more than just a routine network upgrade. The Relay Chain in the current architecture is meant to manage security, consensus, and other aspects of coordination among the various parachains, but JAM promises to change that by creating a more general-purpose distributed computing environment that allows various services to run on the shared infrastructure.
While the project is still in development, the focus is no longer on whether JAM will exist, but on how Polkadot can migrate to JAM safely.
What Is Actually Changing With JAM? Table of Contents
The Join-Accumulate Machine (JAM) is a concept introduced by Polkadot’s founder, Gavin Wood, in 2024. It is an attempt to remove many of the hardcoded limits in the current Relay Chain and introduce a more generalizable design that can handle a wider range of computational services.
Currently, the Relay Chain is the main coordinating layer of Polkadot. Validators ensure network security, parachains are bridged via that shared infrastructure and the Relay Chain takes care of critical consensus and communication.
Many of those structures would be different in the new roadmap. JAM is being built as production-grade infrastructure, with the current Relay Chain slowly being phased out, and its primary function during the transition is to validate parachain execution.
It’s a structural redesign and not an incremental performance upgrade.
Why Is the September Roadmap Important? The next step is important, as developers have begun laying the groundwork for the practical aspects required for production.
PolkaJAM project will be a complete JAM node implementation according to the Gray Paper specification. It’s essential that the software be able to withstand attacks from malicious peers, denial-of-service attacks, network overload, and unscheduled network shutdowns before it can be used to support production workloads.
Also, the developers are creating an in-browser light-node library that would enable applications to access JAM directly, without relying on a separate light-node to check network information. In parallel, a new parachain service is being developed which will eventually also bring parachain finality to JAM.
These are the types of engineering projects that deal with the infrastructure side rather than theoretical ideas.
Why Does Polkadot Want to Replace the Relay Chain? The current Relay Chain is designed around Polkadot’s initial ‘parachain’ design. That facilitated common security and interoperability, but it also introduced opinionated rules on how the computation is organized within the network.
JAM is meant to be more generic. Rather than being about parachains, it could enable various computational services to share Polkadot’s security and processing capabilities. Developers would have the option to deploy services without necessarily needing to ask for governance approval for each new type of execution.
Moreover, the architecture provides a more parallel approach to processing work. JAM aims to shift Polkadot’s focus from being primarily a network of blockchains with a single dominant chain to a distributed computing system, in which network resources can be used for a variety of applications.
How Does This Fit With Polkadot’s Wider Changes? JAM is coming on the heels of a number of adjustments in both the economic and technical models on Polkadot.
This new system, called Agile Coretime, replaces the previous parachain auction system, which required projects to collateralize a significant amount of DOT to obtain a fixed, multi-year slot. The acquisition of network resources is now more flexible, and Polkadot blockspace can now be thought of as a resource like computing power, which can be rented out based on demand.
Also included is a substantial transformation of the economic model for the DOT. Binance Insights noted that Polkadot would switch to a hard cap on its supply in 2026 of 2.1 billion DOTs, with annual issuance slated to drop by roughly 53.6%.
The redesign of the supply was actually one of the biggest tokenomic changes in the history of Polkadot, as the previous model had enabled continuous inflation. JAM is making up a broader effort to rebuild both the technology and economics underpinning DOT.
Does JAM Change What DOT Is Used For? Theoretically, yes, but it’ll be subject to the economic model as the network evolves. There are currently important roles played by DOT in staking and governance, and network resources are tied to Polkadot’s coretime model. The business aspect of the DOT and the demand for shared computing power will become more significant as JAM restructures shared computing resources.
The main issue is whether greater technical flexibility increases demand for the Polkadot infrastructure. Without the applications and developers to take advantage of the resources, the increased power has little economic impact. This makes the JAM transition both an execution and a technical challenge.
Demand is already arriving through other channels: Blockonomi reported in March 2026 that 21Shares had launched TDOT, the first U.S. spot Polkadot ETF, on Nasdaq, giving American investors regulated exposure to DOT while JAM is still being built.
Why Is Migration More Difficult Than Building JAM? Migrating critical components of a production blockchain is much more difficult than building a blockchain from scratch. Parachains, validators, and applications and assets that require ongoing operations in a changing architecture are already a reality on Polkadot.
The shift will therefore occur gradually, in stages set out in the roadmap. However, the Relay Chain is expected to be reduced further before the final transition to the service based on JAM for parachain finality.
The idea behind this is to minimize disruption and give the new infrastructure a chance to be tested in production. Developers will also require tooling, light clients, and migration processes for applications to consider JAM a reliable infrastructure.
Even if the network was technically successful, the migration would still not be a good upgrade if it created a lot of unnecessary disruption.
Is JAM Now Polkadot’s Biggest Test? While changes to Polkadot have occurred in the past, JAM is unique in that it questions one of the core tenets of the network’s underlying technology.
Since the launch of the mainnet in 2020, the Relay Chain has been a core component of Polkadot. JAM suggests that many of these core architectural components can be replaced by a more flexible, programmable and service-oriented approach.
But there’s still quite a bit of engineering work to be done, and the transition may not be on the scheduled timeline. Production software must be hardened, parachains must be given migration paths, and the rest of the network must agree to the changes in the governance process.
It is the amount of preparation that has changed. JAM has evolved from a technical vision in a Gray Paper. It is now surrounded by production nodes, migration infrastructure and a concrete transition plan.
JAM represents the most significant upgrade since launch, marking Polkadot’s transition from a theoretical vision to an active engineering project the network will eventually have to undertake.
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Polkadot has a blunt message for anyone who used the Fearless Wallet browser extension since February 2025: assume your accounts are compromised, and move your funds.
The warning came in a security notice published on October 21, 2026. It describes a flaw that quietly shipped users’ private keys to a server controlled by an attacker. The flaw had been live, on and off, for roughly a year and a half.
What went wrong inside the extension
According to Polkadot’s notice, four versions of the Fearless Wallet extension were handing out copies of that master key. The affected releases are 3.0.1, 3.0.3, 3.0.4, and 3.0.5. When a user unlocked the wallet, the extension sent their private key to an attacker-controlled server.
The malicious code entered the project on February 19, 2025. It arrived through a GitHub pull request tied to the TON ecosystem.
The leak did not run continuously. Polkadot said it was active intermittently until at least October 10, 2026. That stretch covers more than 19 months of potential exposure for anyone running the compromised builds.
The damage so far is concrete. Eight users have reported unauthorized transactions linked to the exploit, totaling 17,286 DOT. Because a leaked key can sit unused until an attacker decides to strike, the number of exposed accounts could exceed the number of drained ones.
When Polkadot issued its warning, the Chrome Web Store still listed an affected version of the extension. That listing showed around 6,000 users.
A third-party wallet, not an official one
Polkadot was careful to draw a line in its notice. Fearless Wallet is a third-party product. It has never been an official wallet of the Polkadot network.
The timeline also raises uncomfortable questions. Early complaints describing similar problems after an update were logged as far back as October 2025. The detailed public explanation of the coding flaw did not arrive until the October 2026 announcement. That leaves roughly a year between the first user reports and a full public accounting.
What affected users are being told to do
Polkadot’s guidance is straightforward. Anyone who interacted with the vulnerable extension since February 2025 should treat all associated accounts as compromised.
Users are being told to generate new keypairs in a different wallet and transfer their funds immediately. Polkadot recommended Nova Wallet for that move.
Simply updating Fearless Wallet does not solve the problem. If a key has already leaked, the attacker still holds a working copy. The only real defense is to move assets to a fresh key the attacker has never seen.
Staked or locked funds add a wrinkle. Polkadot noted that recovering them may require additional steps. In certain scenarios, it pointed users toward tools such as PAPI Rescue.
Polkadot also flagged a second-order threat: recovery scams. The foundation cautioned users to watch for opportunists posing as helpers who promise to retrieve lost funds.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Kaye Quema. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.