Bitcoin remains in a bear market but may be entering its final stretch, according to a chart analyst tracking the cryptocurrency’s historical four-year cycle, with a possible bottom forming as soon as October.
A Cycle Bitcoin Has Followed Before
Bitcoin has historically moved through roughly one year of bear market followed by three years of bull market, based on patterns dating back to prior cycles. The current downturn began after Bitcoin’s October 2025 high, putting the cryptocurrency roughly on track to enter its final quarter of decline, the analyst said.
Bitcoin has already reached the full $66,230 to $76,640 resistance zone for Q3, a level the analyst had flagged in advance as the ceiling for this stage of the cycle. A rejection from resistance could open a path down toward $56,500, then $44,000, with $39,000 identified as a further downside target if selling accelerates.
Near-Term Levels to Watch
On shorter timeframes, Bitcoin was rejected near $66,300 in mid-July before breaking below a rising trend line, which now sits near $65,300 and could act as resistance going forward. Near-term support sits in a zone between $59,369 and $62,533, the analyst says, describing this as the key area to watch heading into the weekly close.
A separate resistance band between $64,922 and $66,227 is also being tracked as a ceiling for any short-term bounce, based on Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent high.
Seasonal Patterns Point to a Volatile August
Seasonality data reviewed by the analyst shows that August and September have historically been weak months for Bitcoin during past bear market years, including 2014, 2018, and 2022, while July has typically been the strongest month of any bear market year. In 2022, Bitcoin extended gains into mid-August before reversing, a pattern the analyst said could repeat, though he warned it isn’t a scenario he would trade aggressively.
A Separate Timing Model Points to October
A separate cycle-tracking tool used by the analyst identifies a dominant 260-day rhythm in Bitcoin’s price action. That model correctly flagged a cycle top forming in late May, which was followed by the current selloff. Based on that same rhythm, the tool points to a possible major low forming around October this year, with a margin of two to four weeks in either direction.
The analyst stressed that both the seasonal and cycle-based tools describe general tendencies rather than precise forecasts, and that no method can guarantee exactly when or where Bitcoin’s bear market will conclude.
Story Ends Here
Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.
Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.
Sponsored and Advertisements:Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.
27 July 2026 | 00:20 The Bank of Japan holds its next monetary policy meeting on July 30 and 31, six weeks after raising its policy rate to 1%, the highest level in 31 years.
Key Takeaways BOJ meets July 30–31, after the Fed. Markets expect rates to remain at 1%. The Outlook Report is the main variable. Faster hikes would strengthen the yen. Government pressure complicates the policy path. Bitcoin’s risk comes through carry trades. Markets place little probability on another immediate hike. The focus is whether Governor Kazuo Ueda and the Policy Board encourage investors to expect the following move earlier than the current consensus.
Bitcoin is absent from the meeting agenda. The Bank of Japan’s published schedule lists the monetary policy statement, quarterly Outlook Report and Ueda’s press conference, with no mention of cryptocurrency.
The connection is indirect. A more restrictive policy path strengthens the yen, raises Japanese bond yields and makes borrowing in Japan to finance investments elsewhere less attractive. A rapid reduction in those positions puts pressure on Bitcoin alongside equities and other liquid risk assets.
BOJ Guidance Has Already Moved the Yen On July 22, Bloomberg reported that BOJ officials were open to raising rates faster than economists anticipated if continued yen weakness added to inflation risk. Policymakers reportedly saw growing evidence that companies were passing higher costs on to consumers.
The yen strengthened and short-term Japanese government bond yields rose after the report. USD/JPY fell towards 162.65 from above 163, despite the bank making no official policy announcement.
That reaction shows how sensitive markets are to the timing of the next move. Most BOJ watchers expect another hike in December, while a Reuters poll conducted before the June decision found that 86% of economists put the rate at 1.25% by the end of 2026. October and December were the most common forecasts.
The July Outlook Report will test that timetable. Language supporting a faster pace pulls the next hike forward, while a more cautious assessment reverses some of the yen strength and bond-market repricing already in place.
A Hold at 1% Remains the Base Case Financial markets have most likely largely priced out a July move. The BOJ raised rates by 25 basis points in June, while Japan’s core consumer inflation remained at 1.6% that month, below the 2% target for a fifth consecutive reading.
Tokyo inflation data, published before the national figures, remains one of the earliest signals capable of shifting rate expectations.
The tightening cycle likely has further to run. In a June 3 speech, Ueda said the bank would continue raising rates if economic activity, prices and financial conditions developed in line with its outlook.
The BOJ’s April projections placed inflation between 2.5% and 3% for fiscal 2026. The bank also warned that yen weakness raises the cost of imported fuel, food and raw materials.
Reuters sources indicate that the July report may lift the fiscal 2026 growth forecast while retaining the warning about an inflation overshoot. Import costs and strong demand linked to artificial intelligence investment offset some of the relief created by lower oil prices.
The likely outcome is an unchanged rate accompanied by guidance that keeps another hike firmly under consideration.
The Government Wants Lower Rates and a Stronger Yen Domestic politics complicate the BOJ’s position.
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi entered office promising investment-led growth supported by heavy public spending, an agenda that benefits from lower borrowing costs. Reuters reported in June that her government was trying to restore a more dovish balance on the BOJ board. Her first appointee, Toichiro Asada, voted against the June hike.
Former BOJ board member Makoto Sakurai described personnel appointments as the administration’s strongest lever, since direct public criticism of monetary policy risks unsettling markets. The government’s first economic blueprint also calls for policy to support its growth programme.
Yet further yen weakness raises import prices and household expenses. Toshihiro Nagahama, a government panel member and economic adviser to Takaichi, said in July that the BOJ should continue raising rates gradually to correct excessive currency depreciation.
The government therefore favours slower tightening while also wanting relief from a weak yen. That conflict makes a surprise move less attractive, and it also limits the bank’s ability to signal that the hiking cycle is finished.
The Federal Reserve Sets the Backdrop First The Federal Open Market Committee meets on July 28 and 29, two days before the BOJ decision. Its target range currently stands at 3.5% to 3.75%.
Markets are not fully committed to a hold. CME FedWatch put the probability of an unchanged range at 62.1%, leaving 37.9% odds of a hike to 3.75%-4%.
Federal Reserve target rate probabilities for the upcoming July 29, 2026 meeting. That pricing matters for how the BOJ decision lands. A US hike would widen the rate gap and cushion the yen against hawkish Japanese guidance two days later. A hold accompanied by softer language would leave the yen more exposed to whatever the BOJ signals.
July is a non-projection meeting, so there will be no updated dot plot. Markets will instead focus on the statement and Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference.
The wide gap between US and Japanese rates helps preserve the appeal of borrowing in yen and investing in higher-yielding dollar assets. USD/JPY responds to expectations for both central banks, and yen weakness through 2026 has tracked the US path as closely as the Japanese one.
A hawkish Fed supports the dollar and softens the effect of stricter BOJ guidance. A more dovish Fed makes a hawkish signal from Japan more powerful by favouring yen appreciation from both sides of the exchange rate.
How the Yen Carry Trade Reaches Bitcoin The yen carry trade involves borrowing in Japan at comparatively low rates, converting the funds into another currency and investing in assets offering higher potential returns.
The position remains attractive while Japanese funding stays cheap and the yen fails to strengthen enough to erase the investment gain. When rate expectations rise or the currency appreciates sharply, those trades become less profitable and often need to be reduced.
Bitcoin feels the effect without ever being purchased with borrowed yen. Such financing is used across equities, bonds, currencies and derivatives, so when losses or margin requirements increase, funds sell liquid assets across their portfolios.
Institutional carry positions take days or weeks to unwind. Crypto derivatives react faster, since leveraged perpetual positions are liquidated within hours once prices move against crowded traders. We documented that pattern in March, when a single risk-off session wiped out $588 million in crypto positions, roughly $493 million of it long.
Bitcoin is particularly exposed during those periods because it trades continuously and can be sold while traditional markets are closed. James Butterfill, CoinShares’ head of research, described carry-trade reversals as global liquidity shocks rather than isolated currency events.
The greatest risk emerges when Japanese rate expectations rise, the yen strengthens and leveraged investors begin cutting positions at the same time.
Four Ways the BOJ Decision Could Play Out BOJ Outcomes and the Likely Bitcoin Impact Scenario Likelihood Policy Outcome Yen / Bond Reaction Bitcoin & Risk Asset Impact Balanced Hold Most likely Rates at 1%; future moves left dependent on inflation, wages and growth Reverses part of the recent yen strength and bond-yield rise Neutral; Fed decision, ETF flows and market structure take over Hawkish Hold Live risk Rates at 1%; growth forecast lifted, inflation-overshoot warning retained Yen strengthens; next hike priced forward from December to October or September Negative if derivatives leverage is elevated when the report lands Surprise Hike Least likely Rates unexpectedly raised to 1.25% Rapid yen rally; Japanese bond yields move sharply higher Clearest downside; forced selling appears fast in round-the-clock crypto markets Dovish Hold Possible Rates at 1%; weak consumption and softer core inflation emphasised Yen weakens; cheap funding preserved Short-term support, with higher intervention risk later Rates Stay at 1% With Balanced Guidance This probably remains the most likely and least disruptive result.
The BOJ leaves future moves dependent on inflation, wages and growth without indicating that the next hike is imminent. A cautious Outlook Report would probably reverse part of the yen strength and bond-yield rise seen this week.
Bitcoin then might respond more to the Federal Reserve’s decision, ETF flows and its own market structure than to Japan.
Rates Stay at 1% With a Hawkish Outlook An unchanged rate still pressures risk assets if the BOJ lifts its growth forecast, retains its inflation-overshoot warning or suggests that the interval between hikes may shorten.
Traders would pull expectations for the next move forward from December towards October or September. That supports the yen and raises the cost of maintaining short-yen positions.
An official BOJ document carries more weight than a report based on unnamed sources, so the reaction would likely exceed what markets showed on July 22. Bitcoin’s response depends heavily on how much leverage sits in derivatives markets when the announcement arrives.
The BOJ Unexpectedly Raises Rates to 1.25% This is the least likely outcome and the clearest short-term downside risk.
Markets have largely priced out a July move, the bank acted only in June, and BOJ decisions are normally prepared through public communication. Political pressure for a gentler path further reduces the incentive to surprise investors.
That positioning is what would make an unexpected hike disruptive. Markets would need to reassess both the current rate and the timing of future tightening, producing a rapid yen rally and higher Japanese bond yields.
Forced selling might appear quickly in Bitcoin because crypto markets remain open around the clock.
A Dovish Hold Delays the Next Move The BOJ emphasises weak consumption, economic uncertainty or the recent softening in core inflation.
That could weaken the yen and preserve cheap funding, offering short-term support to Bitcoin and other risk assets.
Further currency depreciation carries a later cost. Higher import prices increase political pressure and raise the probability of a stronger response from either the BOJ or Japan’s Ministry of Finance.
Currency Intervention Remains a Separate Risk Foreign-exchange intervention is authorised by the Ministry of Finance and executed by the BOJ as its agent. It requires no monetary policy meeting and arrives without advance notice.
Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama has repeatedly warned against excessive currency moves as the yen weakened during 2026. A confirmed intervention would produce a sharp appreciation within minutes.
For Bitcoin, the immediate effect resembles a surprise rate hike. A sudden yen rally places pressure on leveraged carry positions even while the policy rate stays unchanged.
A dovish BOJ decision therefore lowers the immediate rate risk while raising the chance of intervention if USD/JPY climbs further.
July 2024 Shows How an Unwind Can Escalate The BOJ raised its policy rate to 0.25% on July 31, 2024, alongside a plan to reduce purchases of Japanese government bonds.
The yen had already begun strengthening, and the decision accelerated the change in rate expectations. Investors started cutting leveraged positions financed in the Japanese currency.
Pressure intensified days later when weak US employment data triggered the Sahm Rule recession indicator, alongside soft manufacturing figures. Bitcoin fell more than 15% on August 5 and briefly traded below $50,000, while equities and other cryptocurrencies also declined.
Describing the event as a BOJ-driven Bitcoin crash would leave out important causes. The rate hike, yen appreciation, US recession fears and crowded positioning arrived within the same period.
Bitcoin’s worst week of 2026 followed the same shape, with ETF outflows, forced liquidations and a macro rotation hitting at once.
The broader crypto sell-off reflected a global retreat from risk, with the carry-trade reversal amplifying pressure that weak US data had already created.
January 2025 Shows Why Expectations Matter The BOJ raised its policy rate to 0.5% on January 24, 2025. Unlike the July 2024 move, the increase had been clearly signalled and was widely anticipated.
The yen strengthened while global risk markets absorbed the decision without widespread forced selling. Bitcoin traded near $105,000 and was approximately 1.8% higher later that day, according to Reuters market data.
Changes in US cryptocurrency policy also supported Bitcoin, so the BOJ decision worked alongside other influences. The comparison still holds: a Japanese rate rise on its own rarely produces a crypto sell-off. Our review of how Bitcoin reacted through the 2022-2023 Fed hiking cycle found the same pattern in the United States, where positioning ahead of each meeting shaped the response more than the policy outcome itself.
The result depends on how much of the move has already been priced, how strongly the yen responds and whether leveraged positions are forced to close.
What to Watch During the Meeting USD/JPY: A sharp decline would signal yen strength and pressure on short-yen positions. Japanese two-year yields: These reflect expectations for the BOJ’s near-term policy path. Bitcoin open interest: Elevated positioning would increase the risk of forced liquidations. Funding rates: Extreme readings would reveal crowded directional exposure. Global equities: A simultaneous decline would support a broader deleveraging explanation. A Bitcoin decline accompanied by falling open interest suggests positions are being closed or liquidated. Weakness with open interest still rising indicates traders adding new bearish exposure.
What Determines the Reaction July 2024 showed how a yen rally amplifies broader selling when leverage is high and other macroeconomic concerns are already present. January 2025 showed that a well-telegraphed hike passes without a Bitcoin decline.
This meeting arrives with the yen near multi-decade lows, a Fed decision two days earlier, fresh reporting that the bank may move faster than expected, a government pulling against the pace, and an intervention risk that needs no meeting at all. Whether July 31 registers as a routine policy update or a broader liquidity shock depends on the surprise, the yen’s response and the leverage built around the decision.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Central-bank decisions can produce sudden volatility, while historical market reactions do not guarantee similar future results. Methodology: Meeting dates, policy rates and official guidance are sourced from the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve. The July 22 report on the BOJ’s openness to faster tightening is based on Bloomberg reporting using unnamed sources and has not been confirmed by the bank. Political context and market expectations use Reuters reporting, while the crypto liquidity assessment references CoinShares research. Market levels are stated as of July 27, 2026. Author
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
Bitcoin has fallen more than 50% from its October 2025 record high near $126,000, remaining below that peak for 275 days.
Bitcoin ended the first half of 2026 near $60,000 after falling about 32% since January, Binance Research reported. Its Half-Year 2026: Macro & Bitcoin report described the decline as a third consecutive quarterly loss across broader financial markets worldwide.
The weak first-half performance also extended Bitcoin’s longer-term drawdown. According to the report, the asset has fallen more than 50% from its October 2025 record high near $126,000. It has also spent 275 days below that peak, underscoring the depth and persistence of the current market downturn.
On-Chain Data Signals Market Stress On-chain data showed 10.83 million BTC ended the period in unrealized loss, while 9.22 million units remained profitable instead. Binance Research said this marked the first loss-over-profit crossover during the current market cycle, making conditions important for analysts.
The researchers noted similar crossovers have historically appeared near major Bitcoin market bottoms before stronger recoveries eventually followed. However, they cautioned that historical patterns alone cannot confirm the current cycle will produce the same outcome.
Beyond the on-chain signals, Binance attributed Bitcoin’s weak performance mainly to broader macroeconomic conditions rather than crypto-specific developments. The report said markets shifted from liquidity-driven expectations toward economic fundamentals as monetary policy remained restrictive throughout the first half of 2026.
Expectations for interest rates also changed as hopes for aggressive cuts faded. Futures markets instead reflected an 80% probability of another Federal Reserve rate increase before December, adding pressure across financial markets.
Macro Pressures Weigh on Bitcoin The report also said higher real yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and tighter liquidity continued to weigh on Bitcoin. While technology stocks rebounded on optimism around artificial intelligence, BTC lagged behind many major asset classes during the same period.
A resilient U.S. economy also reduced expectations that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates soon. Binance Research said artificial intelligence was a key driver of first-quarter economic activity. At the same time, core PCE inflation rose to 3.4%, its highest level since late 2023, reinforcing concerns that price pressures remain stubborn.
That backdrop also weakened demand for crypto. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $5.4 billion in net outflows during the first half of the year.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of MO, BTI either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Cashier in a warehouse that receives payments and transactions in bitcoin.
AFP via Getty Images
Bitcoin began as peer-to-peer electronic cash, but the market gave it a different job. Over the past decade, Bitcoin has become crypto’s benchmark investment asset: something to accumulate, custody, borrow against, and measure against. Stablecoins, meanwhile, became the industry’s practical payment rail.
That split made sense. Bitcoin’s volatility, confirmation times, and tax complexity made it awkward for everyday spending, while stablecoins offered the thing merchants and users actually needed: a familiar unit of account that could move quickly across digital rails. Bitcoin became the asset people did not want to spend. Stablecoins became the money they could.
The gap is becoming more visible as stablecoins move deeper into mainstream payment infrastructure. Visa said its stablecoin settlement pilot now supports nine blockchains and had reached a $7 billion annualized settlement run rate as of March 2026. That does not mean stablecoins have solved every payments problem, but it does show which part of crypto is being absorbed most quickly into commercial finance.
Bitcoin is now facing the opposite question. It does not need to prove that it can be held. It needs to prove that it can move in ways that create useful economic activity. More specifically, it raises a question for the companies that secure the network: can miners evolve from passive validators into active participants in Bitcoin’s payment economy?
For most of Bitcoin’s history, miners have had a narrow but essential role: secure the network, validate transactions, and earn block rewards plus transaction fees. Yet block rewards decline with each halving, which means Bitcoin’s long-term economics increasingly depend on whether transaction activity can become a more meaningful source of revenue. That transition is still far from complete. Hashrate Index reported that during the week of July 13, 2026, miners collected roughly 2,914 BTC in block rewards, while transaction fees accounted for only 20 BTC, or 0.69% of block rewards.
MORE FOR YOU
That is the opening for a new kind of mining question. If miners can help facilitate payment activity, not just secure final settlement, they may open a revenue model that complements block rewards and transaction fees while pushing Bitcoin closer to its original payment vision.
Stablecoins Won The First Crypto Payments CycleThe reason stablecoins became crypto’s payment layer is not hard to understand. They removed the hardest part of spending crypto: price uncertainty. A user sending dollars on-chain does not have to worry that tomorrow’s price will make today’s purchase look expensive. A merchant receiving dollar-equivalent value does not have to become a crypto treasury manager.
Bitcoin payments never had that luxury. The stronger Bitcoin’s investment narrative became, the harder it was to frame spending as rational consumer behavior. For many holders, paying with Bitcoin still feels less like using money and more like selling an appreciating asset.
That does not mean Bitcoin payments disappeared. It means they moved into infrastructure debates: Lightning channels, custodial wallets, merchant processors, fiat conversion, and now potentially miner-linked payment models. The market is no longer waiting for Bitcoin holders to suddenly behave like debit-card users. It is trying to make Bitcoin spendable without making the user experience feel like a raw blockchain transaction.
Coins.ph offers a recent example of that approach. The company expanded its QRPh crypto payment functionality to include Bitcoin and Ethereum, allowing users to spend crypto at an estimated 700,000 QRPh-enabled merchants in the Philippines, with crypto converted into Philippine pesos at checkout.
That matters because it does not ask merchants to price goods in Bitcoin or manage crypto settlement risk. It lets users spend from crypto balances through a familiar domestic payment framework.
Wei Zhou, CEO of Coins.ph, said user behavior suggests consumers “value the flexibility and wealth potential of holding assets like Bitcoin,” but prefer spending crypto through “familiar local payment rails like QRPh” rather than dealing with raw crypto transactions. He added that stablecoins have been the primary token used since Coins.ph introduced QRPh crypto payments, followed closely by Bitcoin, despite Bitcoin being added later.
That is the useful lesson. Bitcoin may re-enter payments not by replacing local currency at checkout, but by becoming one balance users can spend through systems they already understand.
The Miner Incentive Is DifferentIf Bitcoin payments grow, the most obvious beneficiaries are wallets, processors, and exchanges. But miners have a deeper structural reason to care.
Miners are paid to secure Bitcoin, but the long-term design of Bitcoin assumes that transaction fees become more important over time as newly issued Bitcoin declines. That creates a quiet tension. Bitcoin holders are often incentivized to hold, while miners ultimately benefit from activity.
This is where payment infrastructure becomes relevant to mining economics. If miners remain purely passive validators, they simply wait for transaction demand to appear. But if miners can help create, route, prioritize, or commercially support payment activity, they move closer to the transaction economy itself.
That is the broader significance of GoMining’s GoBTC Pay. According to the company’s launch announcement, GoMining introduced GoBTC Pay, a Bitcoin payment protocol that uses its own mining pool to prioritize transaction confirmation and targets 12-hour final on-chain settlement by the end of 2026. Because this is a company press release, those details should be treated as GoMining’s stated product roadmap rather than independent evidence of market adoption.
The product itself is less important than the model it represents. It treats mining capacity as part of the payment experience, not just a background security function.
Boy George, CEO of GoMining, framed the shift as miners becoming “no longer limited to monetizing security alone.” By participating in payment infrastructure, he said, miners can take part more directly in “commercial activity taking place on the network.”
That is the central market-structure question. If Bitcoin payments become a real economic layer, miners may not only collect fees after transactions arrive. They may help shape the infrastructure that causes more transactions to happen.
A New Revenue Layer, Or A New Control Surface?The opportunity is clear. A miner-linked payments model could give miners exposure to transaction volume in a way that is more predictable than waiting for episodic fee spikes. GoMining says that with GoBTC Pay, 0.1% of each transaction’s value is allocated to miners in its pool for settling the transaction on the network.
That kind of model points toward a broader possibility: miners earning from payment activity as a service layer, not only from block rewards and standard transaction fees. In traditional payments, networks and processors monetize volume. Bitcoin has historically separated network security from the consumer payment experience. Miner-led payment models begin to blur that line.
The risk is equally obvious. Bitcoin’s credibility comes from open participation and neutral settlement. If reliable payment flows depend on a small number of large miners or dedicated pools, Bitcoin payments could become faster and more commercial, but also more dependent on specific infrastructure providers.
That tradeoff matters because Bitcoin’s existing payment infrastructure has largely developed through service layers such as Lightning, custodial wallets, payment processors, and exchange-linked merchant tools. Those systems already show that usability usually requires abstraction. The question is whether miner involvement adds a useful economic layer or creates another point of dependency around settlement.
George acknowledged the concentration risk in principle, saying the goal “should not be to concentrate payment activity around a small group of miners,” but to create incentives for broader participation across the ecosystem.
That is the design challenge. The strongest version of miner-led payments would expand miner participation and improve Bitcoin’s commercial usefulness. The weakest version would simply create another privileged gateway, this time attached to block production.
Bitcoin Payments May Return Through AbstractionThe mistake is assuming Bitcoin payments have to return in their original form to matter. A purist vision would have users spending Bitcoin directly, merchants holding Bitcoin, and the transaction settling natively with minimal intermediation. That remains philosophically clean, but commercially limited.
The more likely path is layered. Consumers spend from crypto balances. Merchants receive local currency. Payment providers manage conversion and compliance. Lightning or other infrastructure handles speed where appropriate. Miners, in some models, help connect settlement activity to mining economics.
Zhou’s view reflects that practical direction. For Bitcoin to become a payment asset again, he said the ecosystem must abstract volatility for merchants through “instantaneous, low-fee Layer-2 scaling networks and automated, real-time fiat conversion at checkout.” He also connected the miner question directly to Bitcoin’s payment future, arguing that miners can become “active payment facilitators and liquidity providers” as block rewards diminish.
That does not mean Bitcoin will displace stablecoins in payments. Stablecoins still have the clearer product-market fit for everyday settlement because they match how consumers and merchants account for value. But Bitcoin has something stablecoins do not: the deepest brand, liquidity, and security profile in crypto.
The question is whether that can be converted into payment utility without breaking the investment narrative that made Bitcoin valuable in the first place.
For miners, this is not nostalgia for Satoshi’s white paper. It is a business model question. If Bitcoin remains mostly dormant monetary property, miners remain tied to block rewards, transaction fees, treasury strategy, power markets, and adjacent infrastructure plays. If Bitcoin payment activity grows, miners may have a path to participate in a wider commercial economy built around the network they secure.
The next phase of Bitcoin payments may therefore look less like a consumer revolution and more like an infrastructure realignment. Stablecoins have already shown that crypto payments work best when users do not have to think about the underlying rails. Bitcoin may need the same lesson.
If miners become part of that stack, their role in Bitcoin changes. They are no longer only securing the ledger. They are helping create the economic activity the ledger is meant to record.
After nearly 3,080 Bitcoin [BTC] left Kraken, attention has shifted back to whale accumulation. The two transfers included 1,265 BTC worth approximately $81.3 million and 1,815 BTC valued at about $116.6 million, bringing the combined value close to $198 million.
Rather than signaling imminent selling, the movements pointed toward coins leaving an exchange for unknown wallets. Such a pattern often reflects long-term holding instead of immediate distribution. However, the transfers arrived while Bitcoin traded within a well-defined recovery structure, making the timing especially notable.
Investors also viewed the withdrawals alongside broader on-chain indicators instead of treating them as isolated events. As a result, the latest whale activity reinforced the argument that large holders continued reducing readily available exchange supply despite recent market volatility.
Scarcity returns to Bitcoin’s favor Bitcoin’s Stock-to-Flow Ratio strengthened considerably and reached 46.5K as of writing, posting a remarkable 350.01% increase over the previous 24 hours. The sharp rise suggested that Bitcoin’s scarcity profile improved after weakening in earlier sessions.
Since the metric compares circulating supply against annual issuance, higher readings generally reflected tighter supply conditions. This shift aligned well with the latest exchange withdrawals because both indicators pointed toward fewer coins remaining available for immediate selling.
However, scarcity alone did not determine future price direction. Market participants still required sustained demand to capitalize on reduced supply. Even so, the improvement suggested that Bitcoin’s long-term supply dynamics remained supportive.
Investors therefore gained another fundamental signal that complemented the growing accumulation narrative driven by large holders.
Source: CryptoQuant Miner behavior eased another source of supply Bitcoin miners also reduced selling pressure during the latest trading session. At press time, the Miners’ Position Index (MPI) dropped to -1.2389 after declining 128.44% over the previous day.
Negative MPI readings historically indicated that miners sold fewer coins relative to their one-year average. That behavior reduced another potential source of market supply after whale withdrawals already removed substantial holdings from exchanges.
Instead of increasing distribution into strength, miners appeared to retain a larger share of newly mined Bitcoin. Such positioning usually reflect greater confidence in future valuations rather than urgency to secure profits. Nevertheless, miner activity represented only one part of Bitcoin’s broader supply picture.
However, reduced miner selling complemented improving scarcity metrics and strengthened the broader case that immediate selling pressure remained relatively contained.
Source: CryptoQuant Can Bitcoin’s channel support fuel another advance? Bitcoin traded near $64,368 after retreating toward the lower boundary of its ascending channel at the time of writing.
BTC’s price respected support around $63,824, keeping the broader recovery structure intact despite the recent pullback. Meanwhile, resistance remained established near $66,835, with another significant barrier positioned around $73,000.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) eased to 50.85, while its moving average stood at 53.66. Those readings showed cooling buying strength rather than aggressive bearish control. The indicator stayed above the oversold region, suggesting sellers had not gained complete dominance.
If buyers defended the channel support, Bitcoin could revisit $66,835 before attempting another move toward $70,000 and eventually $73,000. However, losing $63,824 would likely expose the next major support around $60,000, shifting short-term sentiment back in favor of sellers.
Source: TradingView Conclusively, the latest Kraken withdrawals, stronger Stock-to-Flow Ratio, and subdued miner selling all strengthened Bitcoin’s supply outlook. Although price cooled near channel support, the broader structure remained constructive.
Moreover, current conditions suggest accumulation continues to outweigh distribution. Yet the next decisive move would likely depend on whether buyers maintain control above the $63,824 support level.
Final Summary Bitcoin whales removed nearly $198 million from Kraken, easing immediate exchange selling pressure. BTC still holds ascending channel support while scarcity and miner activity favor stronger supply conditions.
Cashier in a warehouse that receives payments and transactions in bitcoin.
AFP via Getty Images
Bitcoin began as peer-to-peer electronic cash, but the market gave it a different job. Over the past decade, Bitcoin has become crypto’s benchmark investment asset: something to accumulate, custody, borrow against, and measure against. Stablecoins, meanwhile, became the industry’s practical payment rail.
That split made sense. Bitcoin’s volatility, confirmation times, and tax complexity made it awkward for everyday spending, while stablecoins offered the thing merchants and users actually needed: a familiar unit of account that could move quickly across digital rails. Bitcoin became the asset people did not want to spend. Stablecoins became the money they could.
The gap is becoming more visible as stablecoins move deeper into mainstream payment infrastructure. Visa said its stablecoin settlement pilot now supports nine blockchains and had reached a $7 billion annualized settlement run rate as of March 2026. That does not mean stablecoins have solved every payments problem, but it does show which part of crypto is being absorbed most quickly into commercial finance.
Bitcoin is now facing the opposite question. It does not need to prove that it can be held. It needs to prove that it can move in ways that create useful economic activity. More specifically, it raises a question for the companies that secure the network: can miners evolve from passive validators into active participants in Bitcoin’s payment economy?
For most of Bitcoin’s history, miners have had a narrow but essential role: secure the network, validate transactions, and earn block rewards plus transaction fees. Yet block rewards decline with each halving, which means Bitcoin’s long-term economics increasingly depend on whether transaction activity can become a more meaningful source of revenue. That transition is still far from complete. Hashrate Index reported that during the week of July 13, 2026, miners collected roughly 2,914 BTC in block rewards, while transaction fees accounted for only 20 BTC, or 0.69% of block rewards.
MORE FOR YOU
That is the opening for a new kind of mining question. If miners can help facilitate payment activity, not just secure final settlement, they may open a revenue model that complements block rewards and transaction fees while pushing Bitcoin closer to its original payment vision.
Stablecoins Won The First Crypto Payments CycleThe reason stablecoins became crypto’s payment layer is not hard to understand. They removed the hardest part of spending crypto: price uncertainty. A user sending dollars on-chain does not have to worry that tomorrow’s price will make today’s purchase look expensive. A merchant receiving dollar-equivalent value does not have to become a crypto treasury manager.
Bitcoin payments never had that luxury. The stronger Bitcoin’s investment narrative became, the harder it was to frame spending as rational consumer behavior. For many holders, paying with Bitcoin still feels less like using money and more like selling an appreciating asset.
That does not mean Bitcoin payments disappeared. It means they moved into infrastructure debates: Lightning channels, custodial wallets, merchant processors, fiat conversion, and now potentially miner-linked payment models. The market is no longer waiting for Bitcoin holders to suddenly behave like debit-card users. It is trying to make Bitcoin spendable without making the user experience feel like a raw blockchain transaction.
Coins.ph offers a recent example of that approach. The company expanded its QRPh crypto payment functionality to include Bitcoin and Ethereum, allowing users to spend crypto at an estimated 700,000 QRPh-enabled merchants in the Philippines, with crypto converted into Philippine pesos at checkout.
That matters because it does not ask merchants to price goods in Bitcoin or manage crypto settlement risk. It lets users spend from crypto balances through a familiar domestic payment framework.
Wei Zhou, CEO of Coins.ph, said user behavior suggests consumers “value the flexibility and wealth potential of holding assets like Bitcoin,” but prefer spending crypto through “familiar local payment rails like QRPh” rather than dealing with raw crypto transactions. He added that stablecoins have been the primary token used since Coins.ph introduced QRPh crypto payments, followed closely by Bitcoin, despite Bitcoin being added later.
That is the useful lesson. Bitcoin may re-enter payments not by replacing local currency at checkout, but by becoming one balance users can spend through systems they already understand.
The Miner Incentive Is DifferentIf Bitcoin payments grow, the most obvious beneficiaries are wallets, processors, and exchanges. But miners have a deeper structural reason to care.
Miners are paid to secure Bitcoin, but the long-term design of Bitcoin assumes that transaction fees become more important over time as newly issued Bitcoin declines. That creates a quiet tension. Bitcoin holders are often incentivized to hold, while miners ultimately benefit from activity.
This is where payment infrastructure becomes relevant to mining economics. If miners remain purely passive validators, they simply wait for transaction demand to appear. But if miners can help create, route, prioritize, or commercially support payment activity, they move closer to the transaction economy itself.
That is the broader significance of GoMining’s GoBTC Pay. According to the company’s launch announcement, GoMining introduced GoBTC Pay, a Bitcoin payment protocol that uses its own mining pool to prioritize transaction confirmation and targets 12-hour final on-chain settlement by the end of 2026. Because this is a company press release, those details should be treated as GoMining’s stated product roadmap rather than independent evidence of market adoption.
The product itself is less important than the model it represents. It treats mining capacity as part of the payment experience, not just a background security function.
Boy George, CEO of GoMining, framed the shift as miners becoming “no longer limited to monetizing security alone.” By participating in payment infrastructure, he said, miners can take part more directly in “commercial activity taking place on the network.”
That is the central market-structure question. If Bitcoin payments become a real economic layer, miners may not only collect fees after transactions arrive. They may help shape the infrastructure that causes more transactions to happen.
A New Revenue Layer, Or A New Control Surface?The opportunity is clear. A miner-linked payments model could give miners exposure to transaction volume in a way that is more predictable than waiting for episodic fee spikes. GoMining says that with GoBTC Pay, 0.1% of each transaction’s value is allocated to miners in its pool for settling the transaction on the network.
That kind of model points toward a broader possibility: miners earning from payment activity as a service layer, not only from block rewards and standard transaction fees. In traditional payments, networks and processors monetize volume. Bitcoin has historically separated network security from the consumer payment experience. Miner-led payment models begin to blur that line.
The risk is equally obvious. Bitcoin’s credibility comes from open participation and neutral settlement. If reliable payment flows depend on a small number of large miners or dedicated pools, Bitcoin payments could become faster and more commercial, but also more dependent on specific infrastructure providers.
That tradeoff matters because Bitcoin’s existing payment infrastructure has largely developed through service layers such as Lightning, custodial wallets, payment processors, and exchange-linked merchant tools. Those systems already show that usability usually requires abstraction. The question is whether miner involvement adds a useful economic layer or creates another point of dependency around settlement.
George acknowledged the concentration risk in principle, saying the goal “should not be to concentrate payment activity around a small group of miners,” but to create incentives for broader participation across the ecosystem.
That is the design challenge. The strongest version of miner-led payments would expand miner participation and improve Bitcoin’s commercial usefulness. The weakest version would simply create another privileged gateway, this time attached to block production.
Bitcoin Payments May Return Through AbstractionThe mistake is assuming Bitcoin payments have to return in their original form to matter. A purist vision would have users spending Bitcoin directly, merchants holding Bitcoin, and the transaction settling natively with minimal intermediation. That remains philosophically clean, but commercially limited.
The more likely path is layered. Consumers spend from crypto balances. Merchants receive local currency. Payment providers manage conversion and compliance. Lightning or other infrastructure handles speed where appropriate. Miners, in some models, help connect settlement activity to mining economics.
Zhou’s view reflects that practical direction. For Bitcoin to become a payment asset again, he said the ecosystem must abstract volatility for merchants through “instantaneous, low-fee Layer-2 scaling networks and automated, real-time fiat conversion at checkout.” He also connected the miner question directly to Bitcoin’s payment future, arguing that miners can become “active payment facilitators and liquidity providers” as block rewards diminish.
That does not mean Bitcoin will displace stablecoins in payments. Stablecoins still have the clearer product-market fit for everyday settlement because they match how consumers and merchants account for value. But Bitcoin has something stablecoins do not: the deepest brand, liquidity, and security profile in crypto.
The question is whether that can be converted into payment utility without breaking the investment narrative that made Bitcoin valuable in the first place.
For miners, this is not nostalgia for Satoshi’s white paper. It is a business model question. If Bitcoin remains mostly dormant monetary property, miners remain tied to block rewards, transaction fees, treasury strategy, power markets, and adjacent infrastructure plays. If Bitcoin payment activity grows, miners may have a path to participate in a wider commercial economy built around the network they secure.
The next phase of Bitcoin payments may therefore look less like a consumer revolution and more like an infrastructure realignment. Stablecoins have already shown that crypto payments work best when users do not have to think about the underlying rails. Bitcoin may need the same lesson.
If miners become part of that stack, their role in Bitcoin changes. They are no longer only securing the ledger. They are helping create the economic activity the ledger is meant to record.
China's A-share market has a new "stock king": Changxin Technology surges 471.59% on its debut, with market capitalization exceeding 3.3 trillion yuan.
When China's A-share market opened, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.14%, the Shenzhen Component Index declined 0.04%, and the ChiNext Index edged up 0.03%; ChangXin Technology surged 471.59% on its first day of listing, opening at 49.5 yuan per share with a corresponding market capitalization of 3.31 trillion yuan, making it the largest-cap stock on the A-share market.
7 minutes ago
Jiang Zhuoer: Changxin Technology’s opening price is too high, with no trading or arbitrage opportunities left.
Jiang Zhuoer, founder of BTC.TOP (LeiBit Mining Pool), posted that Changxin Technology’s opening price is too high, leaving no trading or arbitrage opportunities. Yesterday, he noted, “Changxin Storage will likely open higher, surge then pull back, hitting its all-time high on the first trading day. The perfect strategy is to buy at the A-share opening, sell during the midday Hong Kong market hype, then sell on A-share the next day while closing out the Hong Kong position. If you don’t hold a Hong Kong market position, once trapped by T+1 rules, you might end up like PetroChina, stuck for a lifetime.”
According to market data, Changxin Technology’s call auction is temporarily quoted at 49.5 yuan, with an issue price of 8.66 yuan per share, marking a 471.59% increase.
7 minutes ago
Changxin Technology's contract price once again breaks through the $7 mark on trade.xyz
Changxin Technology has entered the opening call auction on China's STAR Market, with its stock temporarily quoted at 49.5 yuan. Driven by this, Changxin Technology's stock contract has rallied again on trade.xyz, now trading at 7.2 U.S. dollars.
7 minutes ago
Summary of Views on Changxin Technology: There is a potential for a price surge on its listing day, and a market capitalization of RMB 3-4 trillion has become the consensus.
For today’s listing of Changxin Technology, crypto KOLs have shared divergent predictions. Jiang Zhuoer, founder of the B.TOP mining pool, holds a relatively pessimistic view. He believes Changxin Technology will likely open higher, surge and then pull back, hitting its all-time high on the first trading day. The perfect playbook, he says, would be: buy on the A-share opening, sell during the midday hype-driven surge, then sell on A-shares the next day while closing out the hype position. If you don’t have a hype position, trapped by the T+1 trading rule, you might end up holding it for life just like PetroChina. Mango Labs founder @dov_wo is far more bullish: “I’ve gone long on Changxin Technology. In my view, Changxin offers a rare 1:5 risk-reward opportunity—downside of 20%, upside of 100%, a 1-to-5 payout ratio.” @dov_wo lists his bullish reasons as: low tradable share ratio, regulatory factors, and institutional optimism for its investment opportunity at a market cap below 3 trillion yuan. His suggested strategy: “If it opens higher tomorrow, close positions directly to take profits; if it opens lower then rallies, wait patiently—wrap up the trade within 3 days.” Institutional analysts are also deeply divided: Nomura Securities gives Changxin Technology a target price of 116 yuan, corresponding to a market cap of 7.76 trillion yuan. China’s Northeast Securities values Changxin Technology in a range of 3.2 trillion to 5.7 trillion yuan.
7 minutes ago
With 10 minutes remaining in the call auction, Changxin Technology’s price on trade.xyz plunged rapidly, briefly falling below $6.5.
Within less than 10 minutes of its call auction, Changxin Technology’s stock contract saw a rapid pullback on trade.xyz, briefly falling below $6.5 before trading at a current price of $6.5582. Over the past hour, the stock had briefly surged past $7.
China's A-share market has a new "stock king": Changxin Technology surges 471.59% on its debut, with market capitalization exceeding 3.3 trillion yuan.
When China's A-share market opened, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.14%, the Shenzhen Component Index declined 0.04%, and the ChiNext Index edged up 0.03%; ChangXin Technology surged 471.59% on its first day of listing, opening at 49.5 yuan per share with a corresponding market capitalization of 3.31 trillion yuan, making it the largest-cap stock on the A-share market.
7 minutes ago
Jiang Zhuoer: Changxin Technology’s opening price is too high, with no trading or arbitrage opportunities left.
Jiang Zhuoer, founder of BTC.TOP (LeiBit Mining Pool), posted that Changxin Technology’s opening price is too high, leaving no trading or arbitrage opportunities. Yesterday, he noted, “Changxin Storage will likely open higher, surge then pull back, hitting its all-time high on the first trading day. The perfect strategy is to buy at the A-share opening, sell during the midday Hong Kong market hype, then sell on A-share the next day while closing out the Hong Kong position. If you don’t hold a Hong Kong market position, once trapped by T+1 rules, you might end up like PetroChina, stuck for a lifetime.”
According to market data, Changxin Technology’s call auction is temporarily quoted at 49.5 yuan, with an issue price of 8.66 yuan per share, marking a 471.59% increase.
7 minutes ago
Changxin Technology's contract price once again breaks through the $7 mark on trade.xyz
Changxin Technology has entered the opening call auction on China's STAR Market, with its stock temporarily quoted at 49.5 yuan. Driven by this, Changxin Technology's stock contract has rallied again on trade.xyz, now trading at 7.2 U.S. dollars.
7 minutes ago
Summary of Views on Changxin Technology: There is a potential for a price surge on its listing day, and a market capitalization of RMB 3-4 trillion has become the consensus.
For today’s listing of Changxin Technology, crypto KOLs have shared divergent predictions. Jiang Zhuoer, founder of the B.TOP mining pool, holds a relatively pessimistic view. He believes Changxin Technology will likely open higher, surge and then pull back, hitting its all-time high on the first trading day. The perfect playbook, he says, would be: buy on the A-share opening, sell during the midday hype-driven surge, then sell on A-shares the next day while closing out the hype position. If you don’t have a hype position, trapped by the T+1 trading rule, you might end up holding it for life just like PetroChina. Mango Labs founder @dov_wo is far more bullish: “I’ve gone long on Changxin Technology. In my view, Changxin offers a rare 1:5 risk-reward opportunity—downside of 20%, upside of 100%, a 1-to-5 payout ratio.” @dov_wo lists his bullish reasons as: low tradable share ratio, regulatory factors, and institutional optimism for its investment opportunity at a market cap below 3 trillion yuan. His suggested strategy: “If it opens higher tomorrow, close positions directly to take profits; if it opens lower then rallies, wait patiently—wrap up the trade within 3 days.” Institutional analysts are also deeply divided: Nomura Securities gives Changxin Technology a target price of 116 yuan, corresponding to a market cap of 7.76 trillion yuan. China’s Northeast Securities values Changxin Technology in a range of 3.2 trillion to 5.7 trillion yuan.
7 minutes ago
With 10 minutes remaining in the call auction, Changxin Technology’s price on trade.xyz plunged rapidly, briefly falling below $6.5.
Within less than 10 minutes of its call auction, Changxin Technology’s stock contract saw a rapid pullback on trade.xyz, briefly falling below $6.5 before trading at a current price of $6.5582. Over the past hour, the stock had briefly surged past $7.
XRP has already dipped as low as $1.01 during the ongoing bear market pullback, reviving talk that the token could briefly slip below a dollar before this cycle’s downturn runs its course.
A Familiar Pattern From the Last Cycle
One analyst pointed to XRP’s 2022 bear market as a reference point. XRP bottomed near $0.28 in June 2022, then retested that same support level roughly half a dozen times through January 2023, including a final touch at $0.32 before the market turned. The current setup, the analyst argues, looks similar, just at a higher price range this cycle.
Exchanges Keep Shutting Down
Bitmart just became the second crypto exchange to shut down in less than a week, following BitMEX’s earlier announcement. Bitmart’s native token, BMX, collapsed more than 60% after the shutdown news broke. A former major Bitcoin mining pool also filed for bankruptcy, reportedly holding just $1 million in assets against $500 million in liabilities.
Several digital asset treasury companies and at least one crypto hedge fund have also wound down operations in recent weeks. Analysts tracking the space describe this wave of collapses as a sign the market is clearing out excess leverage and weaker players, a pattern some say has historically preceded major bottoms in past cycles.
Institutions Are Pushing for Regulatory Clarity
Support for the CLARITY Act has grown among major financial institutions ahead of the Senate’s August 7 recess deadline. Both Charles Schwab and Fidelity have pushed the Senate to pass the CLARITY Act, joined by the Fraternal Order of Police and Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, who has publicly called for the bill’s passage.
New Upgrades Coming to the XRP Ledger
Away from price action, the XRP Ledger has several technical upgrades moving through its amendment process. The XRP Ledger’s batched fix update has already passed its 80% vote requirement and is expected to go live within days. Additional upgrades under discussion include:
Batch transactions, allowing up to eight transactions to be bundled into a single atomic actionZero-knowledge proof privacy features, enabling confidential transfersSponsored fees and reserves, letting platforms cover the XRP wallet creation cost for new usersPermission delegation, allowing specific account permissions without full custody transferDynamic multi-purpose tokens, which can carry updatable fields after launchTwo additional features are drawing particular attention: a Single Asset Vault that would let users pool XRP, RLUSD, or other tokens together, and a companion lending protocol built on top of it, enabling fixed-term, uncollateralized loans intended for institutional use.
Why the XRP Ledger’s DEX Matters
With centralized exchanges continuing to shut down, some analysts are pointing to the XRP Ledger’s built-in decentralized exchange as a safeguard for token holders. Since the DEX operates independently of any single platform, users can continue trading and earning yield on XRP even if individual exchanges they relied on disappear.
Story Ends Here
Trust with CoinPedia:CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.
Investment Disclaimer:All opinions and insights shared represent the author's own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.
Sponsored and Advertisements:Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.
The XRP Ledger community is progressing work on multiple bug reports related to xrpld v3.2.0 with the goal of implementing the fixCleanup3_2_0 amendment on July 29. The problems, posted on the XRPLF GitHub, span from performance regressions to problems with synchronization, despite node operators’ ongoing migration to the latest release.
A Look At Newly Reported Issues On XRP Ledger v3.2.0 After upgrading from xrpld 3.1.3 to 3.2.0, it is reported that xrpld 3.2.0 is slowly lagging behind the XRP Ledger mainnet consensus. The nodes which were once updating the validated ledgers on the same hardware “now gradually fall behind the validated ledger.”
However, going back to the 3.1.3 version fixes the problem, according to the issue on GitHub. The reporter called it “a performance regression in 3.2.0.”
Another report claims that xrpld 3.2.0 on Windows 10 never progresses beyond the “connected” server state. Despite maintaining around 30 stable peers, loading a valid UNL with 35 trusted validators, and receiving validations and proposals, the node reportedly never reaches syncing or tracking.
But rather than joining the current ledger of the network, it continues to close its own ledgers since the network’s genesis. The reporter reported that this machine was previously able to run rippled without any problem and the problem only occurred after migration to xrpld.
One validator-related problem is that Ripple-backed XRP Ledger v3.2.0 version does not successfully download ledger data from peers on a mainnet validator. Moreover, it cannot move past “server_state: connected” to “syncing,” “tracking,” or “full” stage.
The reporter made the observation that the process of acquiring the ledger on xrpld 3.2.0 was slowed down relative to xrpld 3.1.3-1. It took around 13 minutes to complete from an empty datastore to full, so it is suspected a regression occurred.
Developers are also looking at a validator public keys report on the new XRP Ledger version. The service showed the public key of the new validator, but server_info still showed the public key of the validator that was migrated previously, resulting in a mismatch between the two.
Validator Issues Warning As July 29 Deadline Inches Closer Meanwhile, XRPL validator Vet encouraged users to upgrade their XRP Ledger nodes to 3.2.0. He wrote on X, “Happy Hump Day to everyone, especially those who have upgraded their XRP Ledger nodes to 3.2.0!” He added, “In less than 1 Week all nodes running XRPL versions below 3.2.0 will experience service interruptions. Please update your nodes, remind exchanges and projects to update as well!”
According to XRP Ledger Explorer, 499 of 843 nodes (59.69%) are now running version 3.2.0. Whilst, 303 nodes (36.24%) remain on version 3.1.3. Adoption of validators has surged to 65.77% with 98 validators upgraded. The fixCleanup3_2_0 amendment currently has 30 of 35 trusted validators in support (85.71%), and is set to become active on 29 July 2026 at 09:57 UTC, as long as it stays above the 80% threshold.
Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee believes the recent wave of cryptocurrency exchange shutdowns could be a major indicator of an upcoming market bottom.
Lee wrote on X that "these things happen at the bottom of a cycle" while commenting on the recent industry mayhem.
His characteristically bullish remarks came after BitMart, one of the world's largest exchanges by trading volume, announced that it would be winding down its trading platform.
HOT Stories
Cryptocurrency giant BitMEX, which used to absolutely dominate BTC derivatives trading after introducing the revolutionary perpetual swap futures, has also confirmed plans to cease operations later this year.
The closures have sparked discussions about the sheer brutality of the bear market. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) has also opined that this could be a market bottom signal in a now-deleted tweet. He has also explained that acquiring smaller centralized exchanges is more challenging than purchasing most other businesses because buyers inherit potential security risks.
Bullish as ever on ETHDespite the market downturn and massive unrealised losses recorded by ETH treasury company BitMart, Lee is optimistic about the cryptocurrency's long-term outlook.
You Might Also Like
Earlier this month, he argued that ETH is entering its "2.0" phase. He has compared its potential evolution to the transformational growth experienced by companies such as Amazon, Nvidia, and JPMorgan.
Lee said Ethereum could become the dominant settlement layer for both traditional finance and AI agents. In fact, his long-term target for ETH is $250,000.
Lee has also maintained that cryptocurrencies offer one of the most attractive risk-reward opportunities heading into the end of the year.
Recently, the prominent uber-bull has echoed Fidelity's call for Congress to approve the CLARITY Act. Failing to pass the bill could leave the United States at a competitive disadvantage.
AXON Finance, a renowned blockchain that develops an AI-based PayFi infrastructure, has announced an exclusive deployment. AXON Finance has deployed the native $AXON token on the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM). As per AXON Finance’s official announcement, the development marks a significant move in the establishment of an efficient AI-based PayFi blockchain for global settlement. Hence, with the token launch on Ethereum, the platform attempts to utilize its established network, developer community, and interoperability.
$AXON Deployment on Ethereum Broadens DeFi Access AXON Finance’s EVM deployment fortifies its foundation for the expansion of DeFi services specified for machine-led transfers. The development signifies the start of a unique period of machine-based commerce. Additionally, the move is set to make $AXON widely accessible while permitting consumers, dApps, and developers to effectively interact with the respective token via Ethereum-compatible infrastructure and wallets.
As the biggest smart contract network, Ethereum provides a mature setting for DeFi, cross-platform integrations, and token liquidity. By unveiling the $AXON token on the EVM, the platform is elevating its position to leverage this comprehensive network while widening interaction within the Web3 network. Additionally, the project endeavors to back worldwide settlement infrastructure to deal with machine-to-machine transfers, AI-driven economic activity, and automatic financial operations.
Advancing AI-Led Machine Commerce with Cutting-Edge Infrastructure Simultaneously, AI’s rising adoption has enhanced interest in payment mechanisms that can handle independent agents and intuitive apps. Amid the growing integration of AI into business activities, decentralized networks, and digital commerce, blockchain ecosystems capable of driving automated financial activities are gaining more attention.
Additionally, AXON Finance is focused on addressing this exclusive market with the development of infrastructure for AI agents to securely initiate, complete, and verify transfers with the least human intervention. Overall, AXON Finance considers this move an early but crucial building block, enabling wider interoperability via the current dApps.
AUTHOR
Umair Younas is a cryptocurrency-related content writer linked with this work since 2019. Here, at Blockchainreporter, he serves as a news and article writer. He is a crypto, blockchain, NFTs, DeFi, and FinTech enthusiast. He has strong command over writing authentic reviews about brokers and exchanges and he has collaborated with our education team to write educational content as well. He has a dream to raise awareness among people about digital currencies. His works are well-researched and brimmed with information hence they provide fresh insights. Stay tuned to his posts if you want to stay up-to-date with the crypto-verse.
One of Ethereum's most closely watched on-chain indicators has undergone a dramatic reversal.
It was less than a year ago when the Ethereum validator exit queue had stretched for 45 days as millions of tokens waited to be unlocked from staking.
Today, that queue has completely emptied out, while the number of ETH actually staked continues to grow to a new record.
No One Wants to Unstake ETH Current data from ValidatorQueue shows that there are zero ETH waiting to be unstaked from the network. This means that if anyone decides to unstake their altcoin holdings, they can do so immediately, subject only to the protocol’s normal withdrawal process.
This is a significant turnaround from Q3 last year, when the exit queue had swelled to roughly 2.6 million coins. Validators were forced to wait up to 45 days before they could withdraw their holdings. At the time, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin defended the extensive period, arguing that it’s an important element of the network’s defense.
The narrative has completely flipped now. ValidatorQueue shows that over 2.5 million ETH is currently waiting to enter staking, translating into an estimated activation delay of nearly 44 days. Investors are willing to wait for a month and a half just to begin earning staking rewards on their ETH holdings.
This shifted imbalance suggests that investors are confident in Ethereum’s long-term outlook to remain strong despite the year-to-date price retracement. It also removes one of the most significant concerns from last year – that millions of staked ETH could suddenly flood exchanges if validators decide to cash out.
Ethereum (ETH) Staking on ValidatorQueue Record ETH Is Locked The broader staking picture has also continued improving as the total number of active validators securing the network has neared 900,000. Almost 41 million ETH is currently staked, which is equivalent to roughly 33.6% of the entire circulating supply. This is the highest percentage in the network’s history, and it means that every one out of three ETH is locked in staking rather than sitting on exchanges or actively circulating.
You may also like: Ethereum Bear Market Bottom Is In: Analyst Eyes $7K Long-Term Ethereum (ETH) Is Cheap, But Not at Bottom Yet: Analysts Ethereum’s Next Leg Higher? Historic Indicator and Whale Activity Align Tom Lee’s Bitmine remains a leader in this field, having staked over 4.9 million tokens through its institutional platform MAVAN.
Although staked ETH is not permanently removed from supply, it is generally considered less liquid because validators must go through Ethereum’s withdrawal process before they receive access to those holdings.
However, Merlijn The Trader reported a rather intriguing and unexpected twist. The record amount of staked ETH comes even as staking rewards are down to 2.62% per year from 3.05% and issuance has increased from 0.757% to 0.842%.
BMNR was trading at $15.80 on Friday, down substantially from last year’s high of $160. It remains slightly above the year-to-date low of $12.86.
BitMine Immersion Will Hit Its 6 Million Target SoonBitMine has accumulated over 5.77 million ETH coins, which are now valued at over $11 billion. This means that the company needs to buy 222,532 Ethereum coins, currently worth over $422 million. If the trend continues, it will hit its 6 million target in the coming months.
Completing the purchases will benefit BitMine’s shareholders in two main ways. First, it will likely conclude the dilution that has pushed its outstanding shares to 603 million from less than 239 million last year.
Second, the company will now transition from being a highly dilutive firm into a cash generator. It will achieve that through staking its Ethereum holdings, which will generate about 3% annual return. The estimated annual return will be about 180,000 coins, which are now valued at over $342 million.
Estimates by two analysts are that BitMine’s annual revenue will jump to $125 million this year. They also expect that the revenue will jump to $429 million next year.
For example, SharpLink (NASDAQ:SBET), a similar company, has already generated 23,918 ETH tokens in revenue since it started staking its tokens.
BitMine Has Become Highly UndervaluedMeanwhile, there are signs that the company is highly undervalued. It has a market capitalization of $9.52 billion, much lower than its Ethereum holdings of $11 billion.
Most notably, unlike Strategy (NASDAQ:MSTR), BitMine has no debt. Its only liability is from its preferred stock, which is expected to cost it almost $40 million a year.
Image: Shutterstock
Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs
The centre of gravity for crypto regulation isn’t drifting eastward. It has moved. While Washington remains tangled in last‑minute lobbying over a landmark bill, several Asian governments are converting policy papers into infrastructure. The latest signal: Japan has formally elevated on‑chain finance to a national policy objective and is targeting Bitcoin exchange‑traded funds by 2028, according to the weekly roundup compiled by WuBlockchain. That target date isn’t a casual mention in a white paper; it gives market participants and institutions a hard deadline around which to plan products, custody, and liquidity.
On the same day, news arrived that South Korea is moving to expand institutional crypto access even as domestic exchange volumes crater. The combination is telling. A regime does not typically widen the on‑ramp for professional traders while retail activity dries up unless it is preparing the ground for a different kind of market structure. The draft framework suggests a shift from the retail‑driven speculation that has defined Korean crypto for years toward something more institutionally durable. In isolation, each headline might read like a routine policy update. Together, they reveal a coordinated‑looking acceleration across Northeast Asia that carries implications for institutional capital flows, stablecoin usage, and even the geopolitical architecture of on‑chain finance.
Japan’s 2028 ETF horizon is a liquidity signal Japan has not lacked ambition in digital assets, but until now the timeline for spot crypto ETFs was vague. Locking in 2028 changes the conversation. Custodians, authorised participants, and traditional exchanges can begin modelling cost structures and collateral arrangements years in advance. The country already has a regulated exchange framework and a Financial Services Agency that, while strict, has shown itself willing to license. What was missing was a concrete demand‑side event that would justify building the full ETF plumbing.
Placing Bitcoin ETFs inside a broader “on‑chain finance” national policy also frames crypto as more than a retail trading product. It signals to treasuries, asset managers, and even pension administrators that the government sees tokenised value transfer as a long‑term economic layer, not a speculative sideshow. The detail here matters: Japan is not simply allowing ETFs; it is embedding them in an industrial strategy. That changes how foreign institutions weight the risk of building exposure there, especially when other Asian markets are now moving in the same direction. For context, the global tokenisation push has already pushed real‑world assets past the $20 billion mark on‑chain, as a recent institutional roundup showed, and the infrastructure Japan is planning would plug directly into that trend.
South Korea’s volume collapse is forcing a rethink South Korean exchanges have seen volumes plunge, a sharp turn from the fevered altcoin speculation that once made the won one of the most traded fiat pairs globally. Regulators could have responded by tightening the screws further. Instead, the Financial Services Commission is drafting measures that would let institutions trade crypto directly, something that has been severely restricted. The move matches a broader pattern across Asia: governments are using exchange stress as an occasion to reset market structure rather than simply clamp down.
If institutional custody and prime brokerage‑style services become available in Seoul, the local market could begin to look less like a casino and more like a regional hub for managed crypto exposure. That would not only change liquidity profiles but also affect how global order flow is routed. Whether the FSC can push these changes through while retail sentiment is low remains an open question; unpopular policy that appears to favour institutions can attract political heat, and Korean crypto politics are famously noisy. Still, the direction of travel is hard to miss.
Sberbank’s trading infrastructure and Southeast Asia’s stablecoin race Further north, Russia’s Sberbank is constructing regulated crypto trading infrastructure, a development that fits into the wider effort to integrate digital assets into a financial system under sanctions pressure. The details remain thin, but any state‑controlled bank building trading rails signals that crypto is being treated as a legitimate component of cross‑border settlement, not just a retail outlet. Market participants will watch closely for which assets are listed first and whether the infrastructure connects to non‑Russian liquidity pools.
At the same time, the Philippines and Vietnam are advancing stablecoin and crypto‑market frameworks. Both economies have large remittance corridors and high mobile penetration, conditions that make dollar‑pegged tokens structurally attractive regardless of global narrative swings. The regulatory push here is not about speculative trading; it is about payments, savings, and settlement. If the Philippines moves from sandbox trials to a full licensing regime, the implications for domestic banks and fintechs would be immediate. It would also offer a regulatory template for other emerging markets watching stablecoin adoption with caution.
The bigger shift: Asia stops waiting for the West Something changed in 2025 and is accelerating in 2026. Asian regulators are no longer designing policy by watching Washington. They are writing their own rulebooks, and in some areas they are moving faster than either the U.S. or Europe. The contrast with the American legislative process is stark: a major U.S. crypto bill is facing a last‑minute kill attempt from banks just days before a Senate vote, as reported earlier this week. While that political drama plays out, Tokyo, Seoul, and Manila are setting deadlines, issuing licences, and building the rails.
This does not guarantee success. Timelines slip, political opposition builds, and institutional appetite can vanish if global liquidity tightens. What it does is create a path‑dependent reality. Once a country builds institutional crypto infrastructure, it is harder to reverse than a policy paper. Custody, settlement, and compliance layers take years to build. By announcing a 2028 ETF target, Japan is essentially telling the market that the build‑out has already begun. The real question is whether Western capital allocators will wait to see who wins the regulatory race or simply follow the infrastructure that is already being poured.
The institutional staking market already shows how quickly Asian‑linked infrastructure can attract global flows; a recent surge in Sui’s price was driven partly by institutional staking demand tied to a Nasdaq‑connected firm and a major fintech integration in Africa, as a market report observed. When regulatory clarity aligns with that kind of demand, the result is not a trickle of capital but a rerouting of existing flows. Asia’s policy blitz this week confirms that the rerouting has started.
AUTHOR
Kester is an experienced freelance content writer. His focus is primarily on blockchain technology and cryptocurrency. One might even refer to him as a "blockchain enthusiast." He has been following advancements in the crypto and blockchain area for several years, researching and writing his insights in the media. In addition to being a skilled content writer, Mushumir is also knowledgeable in SEO and digital marketing. He aspires to succeed as a content creator in the digital realm, dealing with customers in the finance and tech industries to generate traffic through engaging taglines and content. Mushumir enjoys traveling, reading, and playing cricket when he is not writing. He now works as a news and article writer for BlockchainReporter.
Charles Hoskinson, founder of IOHK and Cardano, highlighted the recent bridge attacks and security vulnerabilities, stating that the cryptocurrency industry needs to mature. Arguing that focusing solely on speed is the wrong approach to addressing security issues, Hoskinson emphasized the necessity of zero-knowledge (ZK) technologies and decentralized insurance systems.
Referring to the recent hack on a third-party bridge used on the Binance-Cardano line, Hoskinson stated that traditional software security models are insufficient against AI-powered cyberattacks.
He stated that instead of relying on people or multi-signature (multisig) structures, there should be a shift to ZK systems (e.g., the Midnight project) that rely on mathematics. He argued that for the sector to reach traditional financial levels, optional insurance pools (RWA-based) that can compensate users for their losses should be established.
Hoskinson announced that the Cardano ecosystem has successfully completed its v11 upgrade, stating that this update is the first major hard fork to be implemented entirely through on-chain community voting. The new update adds the Groth16 ZK proof-of-service verification infrastructure to the system. The next major update, Leios, aims to increase Cardano’s transaction speed by approximately 60 times. Hoskinson also stated that Cardano has completed its legislative and judicial-like governance mechanisms, and that a decentralized “executive authority” will be created to manage marketing, commercial adoption, and growth strategies.
Hoskinson harshly criticized Ethereum’s governance and financing model, drawing attention to Cardano’s treasury system. He stated that Cardano’s development is sustained thanks to its on-chain treasury, arguing that Ethereum’s lack of decentralized governance has led to it falling under the control of large corporations and oligarchic structures.
Hoskinson stated that Layer-2 (L2) solutions in the Ethereum ecosystem are “parasitic” and harm the main chain, adding that Cardano, on the other hand, provides ADA holders with multiple token returns through a “partnered” L2 model.
*This is not investment advice.
Follow our Telegram and Twitter account now for exclusive news, analytics and on-chain data!
China's A-share market has a new "stock king": Changxin Technology surges 471.59% on its debut, with market capitalization exceeding 3.3 trillion yuan.
When China's A-share market opened, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.14%, the Shenzhen Component Index declined 0.04%, and the ChiNext Index edged up 0.03%; ChangXin Technology surged 471.59% on its first day of listing, opening at 49.5 yuan per share with a corresponding market capitalization of 3.31 trillion yuan, making it the largest-cap stock on the A-share market.
1 seconds ago
Jiang Zhuoer: Changxin Technology’s opening price is too high, with no trading or arbitrage opportunities left.
Jiang Zhuoer, founder of BTC.TOP (LeiBit Mining Pool), posted that Changxin Technology’s opening price is too high, leaving no trading or arbitrage opportunities. Yesterday, he noted, “Changxin Storage will likely open higher, surge then pull back, hitting its all-time high on the first trading day. The perfect strategy is to buy at the A-share opening, sell during the midday Hong Kong market hype, then sell on A-share the next day while closing out the Hong Kong position. If you don’t hold a Hong Kong market position, once trapped by T+1 rules, you might end up like PetroChina, stuck for a lifetime.”
According to market data, Changxin Technology’s call auction is temporarily quoted at 49.5 yuan, with an issue price of 8.66 yuan per share, marking a 471.59% increase.
1 seconds ago
Changxin Technology's contract price once again breaks through the $7 mark on trade.xyz
Changxin Technology has entered the opening call auction on China's STAR Market, with its stock temporarily quoted at 49.5 yuan. Driven by this, Changxin Technology's stock contract has rallied again on trade.xyz, now trading at 7.2 U.S. dollars.
1 seconds ago
Summary of Views on Changxin Technology: There is a potential for a price surge on its listing day, and a market capitalization of RMB 3-4 trillion has become the consensus.
For today’s listing of Changxin Technology, crypto KOLs have shared divergent predictions. Jiang Zhuoer, founder of the B.TOP mining pool, holds a relatively pessimistic view. He believes Changxin Technology will likely open higher, surge and then pull back, hitting its all-time high on the first trading day. The perfect playbook, he says, would be: buy on the A-share opening, sell during the midday hype-driven surge, then sell on A-shares the next day while closing out the hype position. If you don’t have a hype position, trapped by the T+1 trading rule, you might end up holding it for life just like PetroChina. Mango Labs founder @dov_wo is far more bullish: “I’ve gone long on Changxin Technology. In my view, Changxin offers a rare 1:5 risk-reward opportunity—downside of 20%, upside of 100%, a 1-to-5 payout ratio.” @dov_wo lists his bullish reasons as: low tradable share ratio, regulatory factors, and institutional optimism for its investment opportunity at a market cap below 3 trillion yuan. His suggested strategy: “If it opens higher tomorrow, close positions directly to take profits; if it opens lower then rallies, wait patiently—wrap up the trade within 3 days.” Institutional analysts are also deeply divided: Nomura Securities gives Changxin Technology a target price of 116 yuan, corresponding to a market cap of 7.76 trillion yuan. China’s Northeast Securities values Changxin Technology in a range of 3.2 trillion to 5.7 trillion yuan.
1 seconds ago
With 10 minutes remaining in the call auction, Changxin Technology’s price on trade.xyz plunged rapidly, briefly falling below $6.5.
Within less than 10 minutes of its call auction, Changxin Technology’s stock contract saw a rapid pullback on trade.xyz, briefly falling below $6.5 before trading at a current price of $6.5582. Over the past hour, the stock had briefly surged past $7.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of WSM either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing in this article should be taken as a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. Before buying or selling shares, you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
A view shows EQT AB's logo at the company's office in Tokyo, Japan May 13, 2025. REUTERS/Miho Uranaka//File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
July 27 (Reuters) - Australia's Perpetual (PPT.AX), opens new tab said on Monday it had received a sweetened takeover offer from Swedish private equity firm EQT AB (EQTAB.ST), opens new tab, valuing the financial services provider at A$2.55 billion ($1.78 billion).
Under the revised offer, EQT would buy all of Perpetual's shares for A$22.50 apiece, a nearly 19% premium to the stock's last closing price.
The Reuters Daily Briefing newsletter provides all the news you need to start your day. Sign up here.
The latest approach marks the third bid EQT has made for Perpetual this month, after the group first offered A$21.64 a share on July 1 and then raised its indicative proposal to A$22.07 a share in mid-July.
EQT has progressively sweetened its offer as it pursues the Australian wealth manager and trust business, with the latest proposal representing a roughly 4% increase from its initial approach.
Perpetual said the proposal was subject to various conditions, including the completion of the firm's sale of its wealth management unit to Bain Capital.
($1 = 1.4306 Australian dollars)
Reporting by Rajasik Mukherjee; Editing by Tom Hogue and Subhranshu Sahu
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
TLDR: TRX price holds near $0.33 after reclaiming short-term moving averages, while buyers continue defending support inside the ascending channel structure. Parabolic SAR at $0.3623 and a negative MACD histogram show that momentum has weakened, despite the token holding above the proposed $0.3297 stop. Tron Inc. added 150,742 TRX at an average of $0.3317, lifting its reported treasury beyond 706.9 million tokens under a daily accumulation plan. CryptoQuant estimates that TRON hosts about $90 billion in USDT and processes roughly $24 billion through 2.2 million daily stablecoin transactions. The TRX price is holding near $0.33 as buyers defend support within an ascending channel. The token trades around $0.3317 after recovering from a 16% slide from its May high. Recent gains also pushed TRX above its 7-day and 30-day moving averages. However, TRX faces nearby resistance before a broader recovery can develop.
Treasury buying from Tron Inc. and heavy USDT activity provide additional underlying support. Bitcoin’s position near $64,640 may shape whether TRX extends its rebound or revisits support during the next market move.
TRX Price Tests Momentum Near Ascending Channel Support Analyst Blockchain Rex identifies $0.3320 to $0.3330 as an entry zone. The analyst places upside targets at $0.3345, $0.3355, and $0.3364. A stop at $0.3297 marks the level where the short-term setup would fail. That range sits close to the quoted TRX price, leaving little space between support and the first target.
Source: Blockchain Rex The TRX/USD weekly chart analysis reveals a less decisive momentum picture. MACD stands at 0.006649, below its 0.008517 signal line. The histogram reads negative 0.001868, showing that recent bullish pressure has cooled. Trading volume is about 3.103 billion tokens, without a clear surge beside the latest candles. A stronger TRX breakout would likely need expanding volume and a positive MACD crossover.
Parabolic SAR also signals caution. Its latest reading of $0.3623 sits above the TRX price, which often reflects bearish short-term control. Yet buyers have prevented a deeper drop below the rising channel area. Holding $0.3297 keeps the immediate recovery structure intact. Losing that level could expose the token to the $0.30 region shown on the chart.
Source: TradingView TRX has gained about 2.2% over seven days and recovered roughly 6% from its late-June lows. Even so, it trades around 11% below its May peak. TRX price also sits nearly 23% under its record high of $0.4313. Those gaps leave room for recovery, but they also show the resistance still facing buyers.
Treasury Buying and USDT Activity Support TRON Demand Tron Inc. continues adding TRX to its digital asset treasury. Its latest disclosed purchase covered 150,742 tokens at an average price of $0.3317. That transaction lifted reported holdings beyond 706.9 million TRX. The company follows a 360-day accumulation plan involving roughly $50,000 in daily purchases.
Tron Inc. (NASDAQ: TRON) acquired 150,742 TRX tokens today at an average price of $0.3317, further increasing its TRX treasury holdings to more than 706.9 million TRX in total. The company aims to further grow its Tron DAT holdings to enhance long term shareholder value. For live…
— Tron Inc. (@TRON_INC) July 26, 2026
Management says the strategy supports long-term shareholder value and reflects confidence in TRON’s utility. The company also publishes its treasury wallet for public monitoring. That transparency allows investors to verify transfers and track future additions directly on-chain. Continued purchases can support sentiment, although their daily size stays modest beside overall market volume.
Network activity provides a broader demand signal. CryptoQuant estimates that the TRON network hosts about $90 billion in circulating USDT. Roughly $24 billion moves across the blockchain each day through around 2.2 million USDT transactions. This level of settlement activity strengthens TRON’s role in retail payments and stablecoin transfers.
Lower costs have also supported usage. Average transaction fees have fallen about 65% year over year to nearly $0.49. Cheaper transfers may help the TRON network retain users across regions where small payments require low fees. Stablecoin demand does not guarantee a TRX breakout, but it gives the token measurable network utility.
Broader market conditions still matter. Bitcoin trades near $64,640 after a 0.51% daily gain, slightly trailing the wider market. Short liquidations reached $5.49 million, suggesting part of Bitcoin’s rise came from bearish positions closing.
Holding $63,800 could support a move toward $65,500, while a break may expose $60,000. The Federal Reserve decision on July 29 represents the next immediate market trigger. TRX price action may stay sensitive to that outcome this week, especially while technical momentum stays soft.
TRX is trading close to $0.33 as market participants continue to defend support within the token’s established ascending channel. The asset is quoted around $0.3317, having recovered after dropping 16% from its peak in May. This rebound has placed TRX above its short-term moving averages, though the token still faces resistance before a sustained recovery appears likely.
Technical outlook and key support levelsAnalyst Blockchain Rex highlights the $0.3320 to $0.3330 level as a potential entry point for traders. Targets for the upside stand at $0.3345, $0.3355, and $0.3364, with a stop-loss positioned at $0.3297. The proximity of these levels to the current market leaves limited room for significant moves, intensifying the attention on immediate technical signals.
Weekly chart analysis shows that the MACD indicator remains at 0.006649, below its signal line at 0.008517, accompanied by a negative histogram value of -0.001868. This data signals that bullish momentum has slowed. TRX trading volume hovers around 3.1 billion tokens, without a significant increase supporting the latest price move. Traders are watching for a clear breakout backed by stronger volume and a positive MACD crossover.
Parabolic SAR currently stands at $0.3623, above the price, traditionally indicating short-term bearish pressure. Despite this, buyers have successfully maintained TRX within the ascending channel’s support zone. If $0.3297 holds, the short-term bullish structure remains active; a breakdown below this point may leave the token vulnerable to $0.30.
Even with a 2.2% gain over the past week and a 6% recovery from late-June lows, TRX is still down 11% from its May high and trades approximately 23% beneath its all time high of $0.4313. While these gaps present possible upside opportunities, they also highlight the significant hurdles that remain for buyers.
Treasury strategy and stablecoin activity boost demandTron Inc. continues to expand its digital asset reserves. The company recently added 150,742 TRX at an average price of $0.3317, bringing its declared treasury holdings to more than 706.9 million TRX. Tron Inc. adheres to a 360-day accumulation plan, allocating about $50,000 per day to acquisitions.
Tron Inc. acquired 150,742 TRX tokens at $0.3317 each, raising its total to more than 706.9 million TRX. The company is focused on increasing long-term shareholder value; all wallet transactions are published for transparency, allowing investors to monitor treasury movements on-chain.
Company representatives indicate that this approach is designed to reinforce confidence in the TRON ecosystem and ensure ongoing transparency by making wallet information accessible for public verification. Although the daily purchase amounts remain modest when compared to overall volumes, consistent buying may lend support to underlying market sentiment.
On-chain activity further illustrates TRON’s active role in digital finance. According to CryptoQuant, the network holds roughly $90 billion in circulating USDT, while processing about $24 billion per day across 2.2 million stablecoin transactions. This level of settlement underscores TRON’s significance for retail payments and cross-border transfers.
Transaction fees have decreased by around 65% over the past year to approximately $0.49 per transfer, helping maintain user activity in regions where low fees are essential for small payments. While stablecoin usage does not guarantee a spike in TRX’s price, sustained network activity highlights its utility.
As market observers monitor shifts in technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index and volume expansion—key for evaluating potential reversals—they are also tracking new solutions gaining traction in decentralized finance. Platforms like 1stepSwap exemplify this trend. By enabling direct blockchain access to real-world assets such as major U.S. company shares and commodities like gold and silver, 1stepSwap broadens portfolio diversification. Its standout capability to source the best available price enables users to trade top stocks in seconds and at favorable rates—all without intermediaries or complex onboarding processes.
Key market context and future outlookMarket conditions remain an influential factor for TRX’s next movement. Bitcoin is currently trading near $64,640, up by 0.51% on the day, though it slightly lags versus broader indices. Short liquidations have amounted to $5.49 million, hinting that a portion of the recent Bitcoin move resulted from the closing of bearish positions.
The $63,800 threshold for BTC is under close watch; a sustained hold could push prices toward $65,500, while any decline may open the path to the $60,000 area. Market volatility may pick up ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve policy announcement scheduled for July 29. As technical momentum in TRX still appears muted, market participants are preparing for heightened sensitivity to economic data in the short term.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Crypto is a prime target for hackers. Binance, the world leader, has adopted a radical method: testing its employees every month with simulated attacks. A bold strategy to counter social engineering, responsible for 65% of hacks in 2025. But is it enough?
In brief Binance simulates phishing attacks every month on its employees to strengthen their vigilance against social engineering. BNB, Binance’s flagship token, remains a major target for hackers despite enhanced security measures. A bold but controversial strategy: between radical prevention and the risk of increased stress for teams. Crypto: Binance “Red Teams” its Employees Every Month… a Radical Anti-Hacker Strategy Binance, the largest crypto platform in the world with 323 million users, has decided to go on the offensive… against its own teams. Every month, its Red Team, an internal ethical hacking unit, launches phishing simulations to assess employee vigilance. The goal? Identify human vulnerabilities before real hackers exploit them. The scenarios are ultra-realistic:
Fake job offers; Fraudulent Zoom updates; Invitations to free conferences. Employees who fail undergo mandatory training, and their performance suffers. This approach, although controversial, seems to be paying off. Indeed, after 3 to 4 years of practice, Binance claims to have significantly improved its security hygiene. However, does this constant pressure risk creating a culture of excessive distrust among employees, to the detriment of their productivity?
BNB, a Bulwark Against Attacks… or Yet Another Target? While Binance strengthens its internal defenses, its native token, BNB, remains a major stake in this war against hackers. With a capitalization exceeding 80 billion dollars in 2026, BNB is not only an economic lever for the crypto platform but also a prime target for cybercriminals. In 2022, BNB was already at the center of a major attack with 118 million dollars stolen on the BSC Token Hub bridge, exploiting a vulnerability in the code. Binance responded by freezing transactions and partially reimbursing users.
But these incidents remind us that even the best-secured ecosystems are not infallible. Today, with the rise of DeFi and smart contracts, BNB is increasingly exposed. Binance relies on regular audits and increased transparency to reassure investors. However, is BNB resilient enough to withstand a massive attack, or does its very success make it too tempting a prey for hackers?
Binance innovates in terms of security, but the threat persists. Between monthly tests for its employees and protection of BNB, CZ’s platform sets an example. In your opinion, should prevention be prioritized at all costs, or accept that zero risk does not exist in crypto?
Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.
Join the program
A
A
Lien copié
Eddy S.
The world is evolving and adaptation is the best weapon to survive in this undulating universe. Originally a crypto community manager, I am interested in anything that is directly or indirectly related to blockchain and its derivatives. To share my experience and promote a field that I am passionate about, nothing is better than writing informative and relaxed articles.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
According to market data, Changxin Technology’s call auction is temporarily quoted at 49.5 yuan, with an issue price of 8.66 yuan per share, marking a 471.59% increase.
2 minutes ago
Changxin Technology's contract price once again breaks through the $7 mark on trade.xyz
Changxin Technology has entered the opening call auction on China's STAR Market, with its stock temporarily quoted at 49.5 yuan. Driven by this, Changxin Technology's stock contract has rallied again on trade.xyz, now trading at 7.2 U.S. dollars.
2 minutes ago
Summary of Views on Changxin Technology: There is a potential for a price surge on its listing day, and a market capitalization of RMB 3-4 trillion has become the consensus.
For today’s listing of Changxin Technology, crypto KOLs have shared divergent predictions. Jiang Zhuoer, founder of the B.TOP mining pool, holds a relatively pessimistic view. He believes Changxin Technology will likely open higher, surge and then pull back, hitting its all-time high on the first trading day. The perfect playbook, he says, would be: buy on the A-share opening, sell during the midday hype-driven surge, then sell on A-shares the next day while closing out the hype position. If you don’t have a hype position, trapped by the T+1 trading rule, you might end up holding it for life just like PetroChina. Mango Labs founder @dov_wo is far more bullish: “I’ve gone long on Changxin Technology. In my view, Changxin offers a rare 1:5 risk-reward opportunity—downside of 20%, upside of 100%, a 1-to-5 payout ratio.” @dov_wo lists his bullish reasons as: low tradable share ratio, regulatory factors, and institutional optimism for its investment opportunity at a market cap below 3 trillion yuan. His suggested strategy: “If it opens higher tomorrow, close positions directly to take profits; if it opens lower then rallies, wait patiently—wrap up the trade within 3 days.” Institutional analysts are also deeply divided: Nomura Securities gives Changxin Technology a target price of 116 yuan, corresponding to a market cap of 7.76 trillion yuan. China’s Northeast Securities values Changxin Technology in a range of 3.2 trillion to 5.7 trillion yuan.
2 minutes ago
With 10 minutes remaining in the call auction, Changxin Technology’s price on trade.xyz plunged rapidly, briefly falling below $6.5.
Within less than 10 minutes of its call auction, Changxin Technology’s stock contract saw a rapid pullback on trade.xyz, briefly falling below $6.5 before trading at a current price of $6.5582. Over the past hour, the stock had briefly surged past $7.
2 minutes ago
Changxin Technology has the highest liquidation amount across the network over the past hour.
According to Coinglass data, Changxin Technology experienced extreme volatility over the past hour, with liquidation amounts totaling $2.3623 million, ranking first across the entire network.
2 minutes ago
Northeast Securities assigns a valuation range of RMB 3.2 trillion to RMB 5.7 trillion to Changxin Technology.
ChangXin Memory Technologies listed today. Northeast Securities cross-validated its valuation using three methods: market share anchoring, profit-split PE, and per-unit production capacity, arriving at a range of RMB 3.2 trillion to RMB 5.7 trillion. The firm noted that ChangXin’s proportion of minority interest profit and loss hit 73.76% in 2025, far higher than Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron (all below 1%), so this portion must be excluded in valuation. Assuming the proportion remains at 24% in 2026 and 2027, the three methods’ conclusion is as follows: the reasonable valuation after excluding the impact of minority interest profit and loss is RMB 3.2 trillion to RMB 5.7 trillion.
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.7911 compared to Friday's fix of 6.7939.
PBOC FAQs The primary monetary policy objectives of the People's Bank of China (PBoC) are to safeguard price stability, including exchange rate stability, and promote economic growth. China’s central bank also aims to implement financial reforms, such as opening and developing the financial market.
The PBoC is owned by the state of the People's Republic of China (PRC), so it is not considered an autonomous institution. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Committee Secretary, nominated by the Chairman of the State Council, has a key influence on the PBoC’s management and direction, not the governor. However, Mr. Pan Gongsheng currently holds both of these posts.
Unlike the Western economies, the PBoC uses a broader set of monetary policy instruments to achieve its objectives. The primary tools include a seven-day Reverse Repo Rate (RRR), Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF), foreign exchange interventions and Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR). However, The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) is China’s benchmark interest rate. Changes to the LPR directly influence the rates that need to be paid in the market for loans and mortgages and the interest paid on savings. By changing the LPR, China’s central bank can also influence the exchange rates of the Chinese Renminbi.
Yes, China has 19 private banks – a small fraction of the financial system. The largest private banks are digital lenders WeBank and MYbank, which are backed by tech giants Tencent and Ant Group, per The Straits Times. In 2014, China allowed domestic lenders fully capitalized by private funds to operate in the state-dominated financial sector.
WEMIX says attacker moved about $724,000 after contract breach WEMIX suspended bridges, liquidity-pool trading and several services after an attacker compromised a WEMIX$-linked contract and moved 724,198 USDC.e.
Layer-1 blockchain network WEMIX said an attacker moved about 724,000 in USDC.e tokens after compromising ownership of a contract linked to its WEMIX$ stablecoin and issuing tokens without authorization.
The abnormal transactions occurred on Sunday at 9:17 UTC, according to a preliminary incident update from WEMIX. The attacker issued about 5.23 million WEMIX$, which was converted into 30,736 WEMIX and 724,198.27 USDC.e. The USDC.e was then bridged to Ethereum and BNB Smart Chain before being exchanged for assets including Ether and Tether’s USDT and distributed across multiple addresses.
WEMIX said some of the funds were deposited into centralized exchanges. The company identified the attacker’s wallets and requested asset freezes and assistance from exchanges and stablecoin issuers, adding that some exchanges had already frozen addresses linked to the incident.
The company temporarily suspended all bridges connected to its layer-1 network, WEMIX3.0, including Chainlink CCIP and the PLAY Bridge. It also suspended trading in affected liquidity pools, withdrew foundation-provided liquidity, and paused services including the WEMIX$ Module and PNIX decentralized exchange.
WEMIX said the cause and full impact remain under investigation and warned that the preliminary figures could change.
Cointelegraph contacted WEMIX for additional information but did not receive an immediate response.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AWR, GWRS, WTRG either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
SummarySuper Micro Computer's preliminary results showed gross margins of 15%-17%, nearly double guidance, suggesting a structural shift toward higher-value AI infrastructure solutions.New orders exceeded $60 billion, indicating demand remains exceptionally strong despite revenue being constrained by deployment timing and customer readiness.Shares trade at only 11x forward non-GAAP EPS, 0.55x price-to-sales, and a 0.38 forward PEG, well below major infrastructure peers.The August earnings report will determine whether software, liquid cooling, and DCBBS can sustain double-digit margins and justify a higher valuation. akinbostanci/iStock via Getty Images
My view on Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has materially changed since my earlier sell rating owing to the company's preliminary report on its fourth-quarter performance. Previously, I had doubts about the company because of the
8.39K Followers
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in SMCI over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Nine years is a geological age in crypto. Most exchange tokens and platforms launched after 2017 are already defunct or irrelevant. KuCoin’s survival through two major bear markets and a shifting regulatory landscape says something about resilience—and, increasingly, about the importance of brand-building outside of trading terminals. On the day of its ninth anniversary, KuCoin welcomed global partners, institutional clients, ecosystem builders, and media to Tomorrowland Belgium, according to the original report.
Holding the event at one of the world’s largest electronic music festivals is not a random choice. Since Binance partnered with The Weeknd’s tour and Crypto.com booked stadium naming rights, exchanges have moved decisively toward cultural sponsorship. KuCoin’s Tomorrowland appearance fits that playbook: signal to institutional clients and retail communities that you are more than an order book.
The Brand Wars Are Real For many users, the technical differences between top-tier and mid-tier exchanges are shrinking. Liquidity clustering, stablecoin ramps, and even listing inventories are converging. When functionality becomes a commodity, perception starts to matter. Events like Tomorrowland allow exchanges to do things that ad campaigns and referral bonuses cannot: embed themselves into lifestyle identity.
KuCoin has historically positioned itself as an altcoin-heavy venue with a strong user base in Asia and emerging markets. That positioning cuts both ways. While it attracted retail traders hunting early-stage tokens, it also drew regulatory scrutiny. In 2023, the exchange faced charges from the US Department of Justice and a separate CFTC action over alleged unregistered operations. The brand took a hit. An anniversary event in Belgium, with institutional attendees, suggests an effort to reset the narrative toward global maturity and compliance.
A Long Tail of Risk There is more to an exchange anniversary than optics. The sector is watching a broad institutional pivot toward tokenized real-world assets, as seen in the recent tokenization wave that pushed RWA on-chain past $20 billion. Exchanges that fail to capture that flow risk being left behind. KuCoin’s emphasis on “ecosystem builders” at the Tomorrowland event suggests it understands this shift, but translating interest into custody and settlement infrastructure is a heavy lift.
Meanwhile, the regulatory environment remains unpredictable. Efforts in Washington to pass a landmark crypto bill have been fiercely contested by banking interests, as reported in recent legislative battles. An exchange with a legal history like KuCoin’s cannot afford to treat compliance as a secondary function. The Tomorrowland celebration will look hollow if enforcement actions fill the news cycle again.
What Nine Years Actually Taught Us Exchange longevity is no longer guaranteed by first-mover advantage. Nearly all of crypto’s largest volume days occurred after 2020. The infrastructure that handled those volumes was built largely by exchanges that now dominate the top five. KuCoin is among the next tier—large enough to matter, but not so large that it is immune to margin pressure. Celebrating nine years is appropriate, but the message inside the Tomorrowland tent was likely less about nostalgia and more about what comes next.
If the current cycle follows past patterns, we can expect exchange consolidation to accelerate. Smaller platforms will merge or disappear. The survivors will be those that not only hold funds safely and list assets people want to trade, but also build durable community moats. Whether a music festival appearance deepens that moat is hard to measure. But in an industry where trust is scarce and sentiment shifts overnight, showing up in places people actually want to be may count for more than it used to.
Nine years from now, the exchange map will probably look very different. KuCoin’s bet appears to be that remembering how to throw a good anniversary party while also keeping institutional partners close is not a trivial skill. In a market where developer activity remains concentrated on a handful of chains like Ethereum and Solana, as noted in this week’s developer data, exchanges must also ensure they are integrated with the networks that will matter half a decade out. The Tomorrowland invite was just the surface layer.
AUTHOR
Nicholas Otieno is a fintech writer specializing in cryptocurrency markets. Since 2019, he has written articles to educate readers about cryptocurrency and its substantial positive impact on global prosperity. Nicholas is a Bitcoin holder, believing firmly in its fundamentals. His work has been featured in publications such as Finance Magnates, Blockchain.News, Bitcoin Magazine, Coincub, and among others. When he's not writing, Nicholas enjoys performing domestic tasks, spending time with friends, listening to music, and watching football.
Zcash (ZEC), a privacy-focused cryptocurrency, is preparing for a significant network milestone as it approaches the Ironwood upgrade, scheduled for July 28 at block height 3,428,143. The update, known as NU6.3, will retire the existing Orchard shielded pool and introduce a new pool featuring a corrected cryptographic circuit after a critical vulnerability was discovered. The upgrade aims to enhance network security and allow further investigation into whether the vulnerability was ever exploited.
Technical patterns highlight key support and resistance zonesMarket observers are closely monitoring ZEC’s price action ahead of the upgrade. Technical analyst Crypto With Gopal has pointed to a falling wedge formation developing on the one-hour chart, centered on the $477 support level. The analyst noted that recent price action shows sellers losing momentum as buyers defend the wedge’s lower trendline, leading to increased price compression.
The analyst suggested that a decisive breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary could indicate a return of bullish momentum—provided that the move is backed by rising trading volume. Such confirmation is considered necessary for signaling renewed demand among market participants.
Sellers are losing momentum while buyers continue defending the lower trendline. This could lead to a breakout if strong volume confirms the reversal.
On the other hand, a breakdown below the wedge’s lower trendline could invalidate the bullish scenario and expose ZEC to further declines. The falling wedge is widely followed by traders as a pattern indicating a potential reversal when confirmed by price movement and volume.
Mini dictionary: Falling wedge, a price chart pattern characterized by converging trendlines, where both the resistance and support lines slope downward. It is often viewed as a signal of a potential bullish reversal when price breaks above resistance and is supported by increased trading volume.
Another prominent analyst, @0xVertix, has identified a broader resistance area for ZEC between $680 and $750. According to this perspective, ZEC has maintained a bullish structure by establishing higher lows since recovering from previous macro lows.
Price continues to print higher lows, showing that buyers remain in control even as price approaches a major resistance band.
The $680-$750 zone has presented strong opposition to upward moves in the past and will be closely watched by traders. A sustained weekly candlestick close above this range would suggest meaningful technical progress, while converting the zone into lasting support could remove major resistance barriers for future gains.
Key ZEC LevelsPrice RangeImplicationSupport$477Short-term defense zone, falling wedge patternResistance$680-$750Major obstacle; a weekly close above could enable further upsidePotential target$1,300-$1,400Projected if trend continues and demand risesTechnical indicators and market sentiment remain neutralDespite the technical patterns outlined by analysts, several market metrics have yet to confirm a change in direction. Data compiled by TradingView for ZECUSDT currently shows an overall Neutral technical rating. Both oscillator and moving average categories are also marked as Neutral.
However, detailed readings for critical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Average Directional Index (ADX), and Stochastic RSI are currently unavailable in the dataset. This data gap limits the usefulness of the aggregate reading and makes it challenging to determine whether momentum is strengthening or weakening.
Additionally, the absence of populated pivot levels restricts the ability to confirm specific short-term support or resistance areas. As such, current price formations including the falling wedge and the $680-$750 resistance zone should be regarded as chart-based observations rather than confirmed trading signals.
A decisive shift in technical momentum will likely require an increase in price accompanied by stronger volume and improving readings across standard technical indicators.
Outlook ahead of the Ironwood upgradeWhile technical projections remain conditional, the immediate focus for traders is on the $477 support tied to the falling wedge and the critical $680-$750 resistance band. Market structure could shift significantly if ZEC delivers a breakout above key resistance areas, as sustained demand would improve the bullish case.
Conversely, repeated rejections at higher levels or a breakdown from current support would leave ZEC vulnerable to renewed selling pressure and diminish prospects for an extended rally.
With the Ironwood network upgrade approaching, both technical indicators and blockchain developments are expected to affect market sentiment. The upcoming changes aim to reinforce Zcash’s security and privacy features, increasing investor interest in the project as it seeks to solidify its standing among privacy coins.
Until crucial support or resistance levels are broken with conviction, the likelihood of ZEC achieving a sustained move toward $750 remains unconfirmed. Traders are likely to monitor coming sessions closely for signs of a breakout or further consolidation in the lead-up to the network upgrade.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) is showing signs of recovery after several weeks of downward movement, as its price bounces off a key descending trendline. With a market capitalization of around $3.06 billion and daily trading volumes exceeding $43 million, buyers have begun to show renewed interest following recent technical developments.
HBAR targets higher high after trend reversalMarket analysts observed that HBAR rallied from the previously established descending trendline, offering hope that the cryptocurrency will form new higher highs. Inca Investments, an asset management firm, reported on X that HBAR is now trading above this short-term trendline after persistent downward pressure. According to Inca Investments, if buyers successfully push the price higher, further bullish momentum could materialize.
This positive sentiment follows a decisive break above the short-term descending resistance. Inca Investments’ chart analysis suggests that HBAR is attempting to create a higher high and move away from its prolonged downtrend.
A breakout from the descending resistance is regarded as a constructive signal for HBAR’s short-term technical outlook. Still, analysts believe that the move requires confirmation through sustained buying activity to establish a genuine recovery and further price advances.
Inca Investments analysis highlights that taking out current local highs may drive another upward move, while a failure could send HBAR back to previous support zones.
Currently, HBAR trades near $0.07 following a recent period of volatility. The token hit an intraday high of $0.07267, showing renewed efforts by buyers to regain control.
Key technical indicators point to potential recoveryAnalysis of TradingView data on the daily chart reveals that HBAR remains under the influence of a broader downward trend, having steadily declined from earlier values above $0.20. The token is yet to reclaim significant resistance levels established in the past.
Despite this, market activity indicates the potential for increased buying volume. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands near 47.96, above the signal line at 40.93, signaling mild positive momentum. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is still below zero, although the histogram suggests improving conditions compared to previous weeks.
Should buying pressure persist and drive a higher high, these indicators may continue to strengthen, adding confidence to the recovery narrative.
Mini dictionary: MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), a technical analysis indicator used to gauge momentum and trend direction by measuring the relationship between two moving averages.
Market structure and resistance challengesHBAR’s recent bounce suggests a possible shift in trend after a prolonged decline, as buyers defend key price levels. However, the token faces several layers of resistance before a sustained uptrend can be validated.
BraveNewCoin market data confirms that the latest price reaction at the descending trendline could set the stage for further recovery, but HBAR remains far below its September 2021 all-time high of $0.57. The current price is 87% lower than that peak, underscoring the need for a significant increase in demand if HBAR hopes to revisit previous highs.
Volume trends will continue to play a central role in determining whether the positive momentum endures and buyers can confirm a higher-high formation.
MetricCurrent ValueAll-Time High (Sep 2021)DifferencePrice$0.07$0.57-87%Market Cap$3.06 billionNot specifiedN/A24h Volume$43 millionNot specifiedN/ADisclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
