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Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Collection Coming Soon to Toll Brothers at Mapleton near Provo, Utah | FMP Stock News | |
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Options Corner: AAPL Outperforms Mag 7 Peers Ahead of Earnings | FMP Stock News | |
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While hyperscalers like Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), and Meta Platforms (META) struggled after earnings, Apple (AAPL) continues to demonstrate outstanding stock strength as the rest of tech flatlines. Tom White takes a bite into Apple's technical trends to show how bullish price action persisted in the face of a selloff in the Nasdaq-100 (NDX). |
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2026-10-30 16:19
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2026-10-30 11:03
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If Apple Grows At 10% a Year, Here's What $1,000 Becomes By 2030 | FMP Stock News | |
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Apple just posted record iPhone and Mac demand, authorized another $100 billion in buybacks, and sits at a valuation that punishes any misstep. Before you decide what to do with a $1,000 stake, see where the bull, base, and bear…Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL | AAPL Price Prediction) shares changed hands at $345.35 in noon trading, and the price model behind this forecast starts from $343.99. If Apple compounds near 10% a year, what does a $1,000 stake become by 2030? The stock has gained 31.92% over the past year, and Bloomberg recently described Apple’s cash flow engine as investors’ favorite AI hedge. Both make the forward math worth running. What $1,000 in Apple Could Become by 2030 Strict 10% annual compounding over four years turns $1,000 into $1,464.10. Its projected outcome runs slightly ahead of that. On its base-case path, Apple reaches $523.62 per share by October 21, 2030, meaning a $1,000 investment could grow to roughly $1,522.20 by 2030 for a total return of 52.22%. Treat the 2030 figure as an illustrative checkpoint along the model’s five-year path. The estimated anchor is the five-year horizon ending October 21, 2031. There, the target under the estimated scenario is $551.91, a 60.44% total return that turns $1,000 into $1,604.40. Annualized, that works out to 9.92%, almost exactly the 10% a year in the headline. Bull, Base, and Bear: Your $1,000 in Every Scenario Five-Year Modeled Horizon (October 2031) Scenario Target Price Total Return Value of $1,000 Bull $666.05 93.62% $1,936.20 Base $551.91 60.44% $1,604.40 Bear $379.95 10.45% $1,104.50 Sample 2030 Checkpoint (October 2030) Scenario Path Price Total Return Value of $1,000 Bull $625.31 81.78% $1,817.81 Base $523.62 52.22% $1,522.20 Bear $367.52 6.84% $1,068.40 Closer in, the one-year base target is $398.25, meaning 15.77% upside, with a bear case of $337.78. Model confidence is 0.9, rated high. Analysts are split: 6 strong buy, 19 buy, 13 hold, 3 sell and 3 strong sell ratings, with an average analyst target of $328.35. That target is below the current price, so analysts see less near-term room than the model does. Three Drivers Powering Apple’s Growth Path Demand that exceeded supply. iPhone revenue reached $54.3 billion, up 22% in the June quarter, and Mac climbed 29%. Tim Cook said the supply squeeze came from “a demand forecast issue, to be candid, where the iPhone and the Mac are both doing remarkably better than we thought they would do.” Quarterly EPS of $2.02 exceeded the $1.89 estimate. A services flywheel. Services revenue hit $30.7 billion, up 12%, supported by more than two and a half billion active devices and over one and a half billion paid subscriptions. The CFO called the installed base “an incredibly strong foundation for growth opportunities.” Siri AI and capital return. Cook sees “enormous opportunities for Apple moving forward in AI,” including possible iCloud+ upgrades for heavy Siri AI users. Apple also authorized an additional $100B buyback and raised its dividend 4% to $0.27/share. Management guided September quarter revenue growth of 9%-11%, so the upcoming earnings report is the next checkpoint. Risks That Could Shrink Your $1,000 Memory costs: Cook described a “100-year flood on the memory pricing” and said Apple “reluctantly raised prices.” Memory is expected to keep squeezing gross margin. Supply limits: Advanced chip node availability is constraining iPhone, Mac and iPad, and CNBC reports the iPhone Duo is in short supply. One-time boosts: Tariff refunds added about 2pp to gross margin and $0.11 to EPS, a benefit that may not repeat. Valuation: At a trailing P/E of 45 and 38 times forward earnings, execution slips could hit the stock hard. Regulation and currency: Siri AI launch in the EU and China faces hurdles, App Store rules keep changing, and foreign exchange was cited as a roughly two and a half percentage point drag. What Your Apple Stake Could Look Like On the model’s path, $1,000 in Apple ranges from $1,068.40 to $1,817.81 by October 2030, with a base case near $1,522.20. At the modeled five-year horizon, that range broadens to $1,104.50 to $1,936.20. These figures are scenarios built on current assumptions, and memory costs, supply and AI adoption will decide where Apple lands. These projections are for research purposes only. Got $1,000? Before You Buy AAPL, Read ThisIf you have cash sitting in your account right now, give this two minutes. After more than two decades of helping investors beat the market, our top analysts at 24/7 Wall St. put together a definitive report on the Top 10 Stocks To Buy Today. And AAPL wasn't one of them. They combed the entire market. It's not 10 ideas, not 10 stocks everyone is talking about, it's what their research points to as the 10 best stocks to buy right now, and it's free. Read more here and see which stocks made the list -->> Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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2026-10-30 16:18
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2026-10-30 11:48
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Meta's Muse Is a Breakout Success. But There's 1 Glaring Problem With It. | FMP Stock News | |
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Meta Platforms' (META -0.13%) Muse has set the bar for personal AI agents. Just a few weeks after its release, the agentic AI app has more than 10 million users, and 25% of them use it nearly every day.But the biggest problem with Muse has nothing to do with how the agent works. The issue is that it's simply expensive and unprofitable. While that type of problem is nothing new in the tech world, it could be a serious one for Meta because there's virtually no way for it to recoup the nearly $145 billion it's spending this year on AI-related capital expenditures by selling Muse subscriptions. Image source: Getty Images. Meta is already spending heavily, and Muse will make it worse Lots of AI companies are troubled by rising AI price tags these days, but Meta's business model is different from those of many of its peers -- and I think that puts the company at a distinct disadvantage. For example, Microsoft's management recently said the company will spend up to $190 billion on capital expenditures this year, with most of that going to AI infrastructure. That's even higher than Meta's AI capex spending, but there's a big difference between the two: Microsoft is generating significant sales directly related to AI. In its fiscal 2026 (which ended June 30), the company's Azure cloud computing unit benefited from selling AI services to customers, resulting in Azure's annualized revenue run rate topping $100 billion for the first time ever. Those sales go a long way toward making Microsoft's hefty AI spending make financial sense. And because it rents AI cloud computing capacity to many customers -- it's the world's second-largest cloud provider -- it is uniquely positioned to continue generating AI-related cloud sales for years to come. Meta is in a completely different position. It generates nearly 98% of its revenue from advertising. Its social media apps are designed to keep users scrolling, and Meta makes its profits from in-app display ads. That has worked well for the company so far, but AI is an entirely different type of platform. Users want agents to perform tasks and answer questions. It's much harder to insert ads into a conversation with an AI agent when the entire point of it is to work for you in the background. It's not that Meta won't figure out a way to put some ads into Muse, but rather that it likely won't be as easy to do as it is on Facebook or Instagram, and that those ads probably won't be as lucrative. META Meta Platforms$623.72-$0.80 (-0.13%) NASDAQ · As of 11:57 AM ET 10/30/26 This isn't helping either In addition to AI agents being more difficult to monetize with ads, they are also expensive to run. Muse has several paid tiers right now, including $20 and $100 monthly subscription options, but most people using it are sticking to the free version, which gives them a limited number of requests. All AI models spend "tokens" when completing tasks, and higher-end models generally burn through more tokens when they work than older models. Analysts at Deutsche Bank estimate that Muse's free tier -- which gives each user 100 million AI tokens per month -- probably costs Meta about $40 per user per month. And that's the free version. Higher tiers offering more tokens could cost Meta even more, even though the users are paying for their subscriptions. For example, OpenAI's ChatGPT Pro plan costs users $200 per month, but it can cost the company up to $14,000 in actual token usage, according to SemiAnalysis. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said on the company's third-quarter earnings call that he expects to eventually start charging businesses fees on the transactions Muse makes. The company isn't doing that yet, and Zuckerberg also said that Meta intends to keep the free version of Muse free to users. So, for now, Muse costs Meta money, doesn't have ads, and when Muse makes purchases on behalf of its users, Meta isn't getting any fees from the sellers for those transactions. All of that may be great for Muse's users and encourage rapid adoption, but it's bad for Meta when it comes to converting its massive AI spending into profitable income streams. What's more, there's a lot of competition among AI agents now, especially with OpenAI's dots and Anthropic's Duet. Muse may have raced ahead with users initially, but it's costing Meta financially, and the agentic AI field is about to get very crowded. That all adds up to a big problem for Meta and its shareholders. |
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Meta settles with teen during trial testing claims social media caused depression, eating disorders | FMP Stock News | |
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Meta settles with teen during trial testing claims social media caused depression, eating disorders |
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2026-10-30 16:18
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2026-10-30 10:00
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Tesla's Profits Took a Hit. Is It Building Something Worth the Cost? | FMP Stock News | |
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Tesla (TSLA -0.74%) investors have plenty of reasons to look toward the future, and it could certainly be both wild and lucrative. Robotaxis, artificial intelligence (AI), and humanoid robots could open new revenue opportunities and an entirely different future -- the possibilities are exciting, no doubt about it.But Tesla remains heavily dependent on selling electric vehicles (EVs), and developing that future comes with a hefty bill. The EV maker's latest results show just how quickly that bill is growing. Third-quarter research and development (R&D) expenses jumped 69% year over year to $2.76 billion, while operating profit declined 56% to $718 million. The question facing Tesla investors is a big one: Should they applaud the long-term investment or worry about the pressure on near-term earnings? The bill is getting bigger Tesla's third-quarter earnings pressure wasn't caused by a deteriorating automotive gross margin. Its automotive gross margin actually improved from 17% to 18.5% year over year, while companywide gross profit increased roughly 9%, from $5.05 billion to $5.49 billion. So what happened, you ask? The trouble came further down the income statement. R&D expenses increased by $1.13 billion, more than twice the approximately $440 million increase in gross profit. Selling, general, and administrative expenses also rose. Together, those increases overwhelmed the improvement in gross profit and helped push operating profits lower. Data source: Tesla SEC filings. Chart generated with ChatGPT by author. Investors knew the bill for Tesla's sharp turn into more of a technology company, rather than a traditional EV maker, would come due over time. Tesla explained the R&D increase was largely due to costs associated with its AI development and other programs, including Optimus, silicon development, battery technologies, and new vehicles, as well as higher stock-based compensation, per Tesla's SEC filing. There's an important mental note for investors to make here. This R&D spending is related to Tesla's broader investment push, but it isn't the same as capital expenditures. Tesla separately expects more than $20 billion in 2026 capex, including computing infrastructure, data centers, manufacturing facilities, and other long-lived assets. The difference for investors is that R&D generally reduces earnings as incurred, while capital expenditures use cash up front and generally affect earnings over time through depreciation. Tesla faces both pressures as it builds toward its future, which could be wildly lucrative and also wildly expensive. Image source: Tesla. Spending isn't the same as succeeding To be fair, cutting R&D spending just to make one quarter's earnings look better would likely be shortsighted -- which, unfortunately, Wall Street and big business can sometimes be. If Tesla's investments produce valuable technology and commercially successful products, accepting lower profits today could prove a great move for long-term investors. That said, a larger research budget doesn't guarantee a successful product breakthrough, much-needed customer adoption, or improved profitability in the end. Also, on the downside for investors, you might have considered operating profit improving from the second to the third quarter a silver lining, but that may not be the case. Operating profit improved from $398 million in the second quarter to $718 million in the third, but Tesla benefited from a one-time refund on tariffs during the third quarter. Even with that boost, operating profit was down significantly year over year. TSLA Tesla$400.32-$2.99 (-0.74%) NASDAQ · As of 11:55 AM ET 10/30/26 What it all means For long-term investors, the takeaway is pretty simple. Tesla's rising R&D expense helps explain today's operating profit pressure, even as automotive gross margin improved, but the spending itself doesn't validate tomorrow's growth story. Investors will want to watch for autonomous technology milestones, a growing number of paying customers for its future businesses, and evidence that new businesses can generate profits. Tesla is spending heavily to build its future. Investors need that future to eventually start paying off, and that timeline is highly uncertain -- which is one word Wall Street, and most investors, don't like. |
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If You Invest $1,000 in Tesla Today, Here's What It Could Be Worth by 2030 | FMP Stock News | |
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Tesla just posted its highest order backlog in four years, and the company wants to be far more than a carmaker by 2030. Whether that ambition inflates your stake or deflates it depends on three growth bets that are already…A $1,000 stake in Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA | TSLA Price Prediction) buys a small piece of a company that wants to be much more than a carmaker. Shares were trading around $383.33 in midday trading, and the forecast model starts from a reference price of $386.47. Tesla just reported a quarter with its highest backlog in four years, so this is a good moment to look at where a $1,000 position could stand by 2030. What $1,000 Could Become by 2030 In the base case, a $1,000 investment could be worth about $1,182.08 by 2030, a total return of 18.21%. That figure comes from the model’s base-case share price of $456.84 for October 22, 2030. One point on timing: the model forecasts out to one year and five years. Its five-year horizon ends on October 22, 2031, so that endpoint is the anchor. The 2030 numbers are interim milestones along that five-year path, and you should treat them as illustrative. If you hold the full five years, the model’s central scenario raises the $1,000 to $1,269.40, a 26.94% total return, or 4.89% a year. Bull, Base and Bear Scenarios for Your $1,000 Scenario Target Price Total Return Value of $1,000 Bull (2030 milestones) $584.92 51.35% $1,513.49 Base (2030 milestones) $456.84 18.21% $1,182.08 Bear (2030 milestones) $386.22 -0.06% $999.35 Bull (5-year, Oct. 2031) $631.48 63.4% $1,634 Base (5-year, Oct. 2031) $490.58 26.94% $1,269.40 Bear (5-year, Oct. 2031) $395.68 2.38% $1,023.80 Over the closer term, the model’s one-year target is $404.84, which is 4.75% upside. That earns a hold rating because the stock trades close to fair value. Model confidence is 0.9. Wall Street sits in a similar spot. The consensus target is $397.83, and ratings break down as 4 Strong Buy, 15 Buy, 21 Hold, 2 Sell and 2 Strong Sell. The projection should not be read as investment advice. Three Growth Engines Behind the Upside FSD Turning Into Recurring Revenue Tesla now counts more than 1.7 million paid FSD customers. In North America, more than 75% of deliveries came with a paid FSD sign-up. On the earnings call, Elon Musk said “the biggest driver for demand is full self-driving.” Software revenue that keeps coming after the car is sold could raises lifetime profit per vehicle. Robotaxi Scaling Beyond Austin Unsupervised miles increased 8x in the quarter, and Dallas is set to launch next month. Management expects some customer-owned vehicles to join the Robotaxi fleet around Q2 next year, and it says Robotaxi could become a significant contributor to revenue and profitability in 2027. Energy Storage Demand From Data Centers Musk said Tesla is “almost sold out of all Megapacks for 2027,” and energy gross margin rose from 20.4% to 33.1%. Part of that jump came from one-time tariff and warranty items. Analysts expect EPS to grow from $1.7421 in 2026 to $2.1457 in 2027. Tesla also repeated its goal of 5 million units by 2030. Risks That Could Shrink Your $1,000 The biggest risk is valuation. Tesla trades at a trailing P/E of 402 and a forward P/E of 185, so the share price leaves very little room for missteps. Spending is also pressuring profits. R&D rose to $2.76B from $1.63B, GAAP operating income fell 55.79% year over year, and free cash flow dropped 61.63%. Capex guidance is now about $20 billion for the year, and Tesla has lined up capacity to borrow up to $30 billion. Analysts have also cut their numbers. The 2027 EPS consensus was $2.5908 90 days ago and has since fallen to $2.1457. On the operating side, tight battery supply is limiting vehicle output. International FSD depends on regulators, and Musk expects Optimus to need “at least a year, maybe a little longer” to reach its target production rate. With a beta of 1.92, the stock tends to swing more sharply than the market. It is down 14.76% year to date. Bottom Line for a $1,000 Tesla Stake By the 2030 milestones, the model puts a $1,000 Tesla position anywhere from $999.35 to $1,513.49, and the base case is $1,182.08. Over the full five-year horizon, the range runs from $1,023.80 to $1,634. Whether Tesla reaches the high end depends on how well it executes on autonomy and energy. Every figure here is a modeled scenario that can change, and none of it is guaranteed. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It | FMP Stock News | |
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Uber Technologies (UBER - Free Report) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.Over the past month, shares of this ride-hailing company have returned -3.2%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change. During this period, the Zacks Internet - Services industry, which Uber falls in, has lost 15.9%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction? Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision. Earnings Estimate RevisionsHere at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock. Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements. For the current quarter, Uber is expected to post earnings of $0.94 per share, indicating a change of -69.8% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +0.6% over the last 30 days. The consensus earnings estimate of $3.2 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of -39.6%. This estimate has changed -0.5% over the last 30 days. For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $4.57 indicates a change of +42.8% from what Uber is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -0.5%. With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Uber. The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate: 12 Month EPS Revenue Growth ForecastEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial. For Uber, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $14.74 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +9.4%. For the current and next fiscal years, $57.91 billion and $66.86 billion estimates indicate +11.3% and +15.5% changes, respectively. Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryUber reported revenues of $14.19 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +12.2%. EPS of $1.17 for the same period compares with $0.63 a year ago. Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.21 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -0.13%. The EPS surprise was +40.96%. Over the last four quarters, Uber surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates two times over this period. ValuationNo investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance. While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price. The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an A is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued. Uber is graded C on this front, indicating that it is trading at par with its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade. Bottom LineThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Uber. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term. |
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2026-10-30 10:16
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Ahead of Uber (UBER) Q3 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics | FMP Stock News | |
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The upcoming report from Uber Technologies (UBER - Free Report) is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $0.94 per share, indicating a decline of 69.8% compared to the year-ago period. Analysts forecast revenues of $14.74 billion, representing an increase of 9.4% year over year.Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been adjusted upward by 0.6% to its current level. This demonstrates the covering analysts' collective reassessment of their initial projections during this period. Prior to a company's earnings release, it is of utmost importance to factor in any revisions made to the earnings projections. These revisions serve as a critical gauge for predicting potential investor behaviors with respect to the stock. Empirical studies consistently reveal a strong link between trends in earnings estimate revisions and the short-term price performance of a stock. While it's common for investors to rely on consensus earnings and revenue estimates for assessing how the business may have performed during the quarter, exploring analysts' forecasts for key metrics can yield valuable insights. That said, let's delve into the average estimates of some Uber metrics that Wall Street analysts commonly model and monitor. According to the collective judgment of analysts, 'Revenue- Mobility' should come in at $7.83 billion. The estimate indicates a change of +1.9% from the prior-year quarter. The consensus estimate for 'Revenue- Freight' stands at $1.48 billion. The estimate points to a change of +13.1% from the year-ago quarter. Analysts predict that the 'Revenue- Delivery' will reach $5.49 billion. The estimate suggests a change of +22.5% year over year. The collective assessment of analysts points to an estimated 'Geographic Revenue- Latin America' of $1.01 billion. The estimate indicates a change of +21.7% from the prior-year quarter. The combined assessment of analysts suggests that 'Geographic Revenue- United States and Canada' will likely reach $7.53 billion. The estimate indicates a change of +12.4% from the prior-year quarter. It is projected by analysts that the 'Geographic Revenue- Asia Pacific' will reach $1.94 billion. The estimate indicates a change of +25.3% from the prior-year quarter. Based on the collective assessment of analysts, 'Geographic Revenue- Europe, Middle East and Africa' should arrive at $4.13 billion. The estimate indicates a year-over-year change of -5.8%. Analysts' assessment points toward 'Gross Bookings - Total' reaching $59.70 billion. Compared to the current estimate, the company reported $49.74 billion in the same quarter of the previous year. The average prediction of analysts places 'Monthly Active Platform Consumers (MAPCs)' at 215 . Compared to the current estimate, the company reported 189 in the same quarter of the previous year. Analysts expect 'Trips' to come in at 4,139 . The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of 3,512 . Analysts forecast 'Gross Bookings - Mobility' to reach $29.96 billion. The estimate compares to the year-ago value of $25.11 billion. The consensus among analysts is that 'Gross Bookings - Delivery' will reach $28.38 billion. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported $23.32 billion in the same quarter last year. View all Key Company Metrics for Uber here>>> Over the past month, Uber shares have recorded returns of -3.2% versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change. Based on its Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), UBER will likely exhibit a performance that aligns with the overall market in the upcoming period. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> . |
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Alphabet: The Post-Earnings Drawdown Is An Opportunity | FMP Stock News | |
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SummaryAlphabet Inc. retains a Strong Buy rating despite a 17% stock decline since last coverage, as core growth drivers remain intact.GOOG's search growth slowed to 12%, with AI mode queries monetizing below traditional search, but management is actively addressing the monetization gap.Cloud revenue surged 103% to $30.7B with margins rising to 36.2%, and the backlog reached $561B, signaling robust forward demand.CapEx intensity and dilution are near-term concerns, but I expect free cash flow trends to reverse past 2027 as AI and cloud investments mature. jetcityimage/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesIntroduction I last covered Alphabet Inc., aka Google (GOOG) (GOOGL) back in early October, as I gave it a Strong Buy rating based on the fact that the firm had 4.15K Followers Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of GOOG either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body. |
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2026-10-30 11:33
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Prediction: Alphabet's Biggest Opportunity Could Still Be Ahead | FMP Stock News | |
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Alphabet shares have dropped nearly 8% in a week just as its cloud business is accelerating at a historic pace, and that gap between price and momentum raises a question worth examining before earnings hit.Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG | GOOG Price Prediction) heads into its third-quarter report trading at $314.19. The 24/7 Wall St. price target for Alphabet is $421.17 over the next 12 months. That implies 34.05% upside, and it supports a buy rating at a fairly high confidence level of 70%. 24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary Metric Value Current Price $314.19 Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. $421.17 Upside/Downside 34.05% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 70% My view is that the shares have pulled back just as the business is speeding up. Revenue growth has picked up for four straight quarters, and Google Cloud grew 82% last quarter. Ahead of the report, Morningstar and Investopedia have both published previews on valuation and the expected move after earnings this week. October Selloff Leaves Alphabet Cheaper Ahead of Earnings Alphabet has fallen 7.63% over the past week, 7.88% over the past month and 3.73% over the past quarter. That leaves it up just 0.33% year to date, although it is still up 20.93% over 12 months. The 52-week range runs from $266.47 to $403.96. In the second quarter, revenue rose 24.23% to $119.80 billion, ahead of the $116.91 billion consensus. EPS came in at $9.11 against expectations of $3.04, but a $99.03 billion gain on equity securities inflated that figure. The cleaner number is operating income, which grew 30.38%. Separately, the WSJ reports that Google, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) have offered Anthropic a large financing package (Oct. 26). Why Bulls See $442 and Beyond Cloud is the main driver. Last quarter it brought in $24.77 billion in revenue, its operating margin expanded to 35.6% from 20.7% a year earlier, and its backlog reached $514 billion. The Gemini app has 950 million monthly users, and AI Mode in Search has passed 1 billion. Alphabet expects most TPU revenue from existing agreements to land in 2027. Chief Executive Sundar Pichai said Alphabet has “gotten more bullish on the opportunities ahead.” Analysts largely agree. There are 13 Strong Buy and 44 Buy ratings, five Holds and no Sells. The bull case values the stock at $442.49. Cash Burn and Debt Are the Risks Worth Watching Capital spending jumped 100.14% to $44.92 billion, which drove free cash flow to -$5.86 billion. Long-term debt rose from $46.5 billion to $98.2 billion, buybacks are on hold, and a $40 billion at-the-market stock program could dilute shareholders. Regulators also remain a risk, as the earlier $3.5 billion EU fine showed. Even so, Alphabet still generated $185.7 billion in operating cash flow over the past 12 months and has $242.5 billion in cash and securities. The bear case stands at $366.77, still above today’s price. Alphabet Trades at a Discount to Microsoft and Meta One peer that competes directly in cloud and AI is Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT). Its revenue grew 17.7% last quarter, slower than Alphabet’s, yet it trades at about 29x trailing and 25x forward earnings. Alphabet’s closest rival in digital ads is Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META). Its revenue grew 26.1%, about the same rate, and it trades at about 22x trailing and 25x forward earnings. Our target implies about 16x, below both peers, so I see it as conservative. Company Trailing P/E Quarterly Revenue Growth Alphabet 13x 24.23% Microsoft 29x 17.7% Meta 22x 26.1% Rated BUY: AI Monetization Tips the Scale The 24/7 Wall St. price target of $421.17 supports a buy rating at 70% confidence. A Cloud backlog that already covers for much of the spending is what shapes my view. I would stay positive as long as Cloud margins keep expanded while capital spending rises. Caution would set in if free cash flow stays negative and Search growth slows. Taken together, the decline leaves the stock trading well below our target. Year Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. 2026 $337.63 2027 $412.50 2028 $509.72 2029 $581.12 2030 $662.10 These projections assume Alphabet keeps executing its current AI strategy. Gemini adoption could drove results higher, while a sustained drop in free cash flow or an antitrust ruling could drove them lower. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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Nasdaq Down Over 600 Points; Amazon Shares Fall Following Weak Q3 Results | FMP Stock News | |
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U.S. stocks traded lower this morning, with the Nasdaq Composite falling more than 600 points on Friday.Following the market opening Friday, the Dow traded down 0.31% to 52,181.28 while the NASDAQ fell 2.36% to 25,565.66. The S&P 500 also fell, dropping, 1.20% to 7,627.51. Leading and Lagging Sectors Consumer staples shares jumped by 2.2% on Friday. In trading on Friday, information technology stocks fell by 3.3%. Top Headline Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) shares fell around 5% on Friday after the company reported weaker-than-expected financial results for the third quarter. Amazon posted third-quarter revenue of $201.94 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $202.31 billion, according to Benzinga Pro. The company reported earnings of $1.89 per share for the quarter, missing estimates of $1.97 per share. Amazon expects fourth-quarter revenue to be between $240 billion and $247 billion versus estimates of $244.51 billion. Equities Trading UP Smart Logistics Global Ltd (NASDAQ:SLGB) shares shot up 51% to $0.31 after the Hong Kong-based business-to-business contract logistics provider said Nasdaq gave it more time to meet listing requirements. Shares of TNL Mediagene (NASDAQ:TNMG) got a boost, surging 45% to $4.42. TNL Mediagene completed the sale of Japanese business in management buyout. Nuburu Inc (NYSE:BURU) shares were also up, gaining 40% to $0.52. Nuburu shares jumped 109% on Thursday after the company announced it regained NYSE compliance. Equities Trading DOWN Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ:ABOS) shares dipped 85% to $0.35 after the company said its Phase 2 ALTITUDE-AD trial of sabirnetug in early Alzheimer’s disease missed its primary endpoint and key secondary endpoints. Shares of Solowin Holdings Ltd (NASDAQ:AXG) were down 44% to $2.08 after dipping 35% on Thursday. Alphatec Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:ATEC) was down, falling 36% to $7.32 after reporting weak third-quarter results. Commodities In commodity news, oil traded up 1.8% to $103.88 while gold traded down 1.7% at $3,964.80. Silver traded down 4.4% to $50.075 on Friday, while copper fell 1.2% to $6.5250. Euro zone European shares were mixed today. The eurozone’s STOXX 600 declined 0.3%, while Spain’s IBEX 35 Index fell 0.8%, London’s FTSE 100 gained 0.2%, Germany’s DAX declined 0.8%, while France’s CAC 40 rose 0.1%. Asia Pacific Markets Asian markets closed mixed on Friday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 dipping 2.12%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index gaining 1.46%, China’s SSE Composite Index declining 1.44% and India’s BSE Sensex gaining 0.42%. Economics U.S. employments costs rose by 0.8% in the third quarter following a 0.9% rise in the previous period. Photo via Shutterstock Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs © 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved. |
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Amazon Stock Could Have Nearly 50% Upside, JPMorgan Says, as AWS Eyes a $1 Trillion Future | FMP Stock News | |
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Amazon.com, Inc.‘s (NASDAQ:AMZN) third-quarter earnings gave investors two very different reasons to look at the stock: its cloud business is accelerating at a pace not seen in years, while AI spending is draining cash.JPMorgan sees the investment as the start of a much larger opportunity, putting a $365 price target on Amazon—based on 26.5 times its estimate of Amazon’s 2028 earnings. That’s nearly 50% above its Oct. 29 close of $243.79. Analyst Doug Anmuth points to Amazon’s custom chips and AI services as additional growth engines, with its Bedrock platform seeing sharply higher enterprise use. AWS Has a Much Bigger RunwayAmazon Web Services revenue rose 39.3% year over year to $46 billion in the third quarter, its fastest growth in nearly five years. That lifted AWS to a $184 billion annualized revenue run rate, while operating income climbed 55% to $17.8 billion. CEO Andy Jassy expects AWS to grow more than 40% in both 2027 and 2028, eventually generating $1 trillion in annual revenue within five to 10 years. Its backlog — contracted work not yet recognized as revenue — reached $578 billion, up 189% year over year, giving Amazon visibility into future demand. Read Next The Price of Building an AI GiantAmazon spent $77.3 billion on capital investments in the third quarter and reiterated that 2026 capital expenditure will reach about $220 billion. Jassy said the company expects to spend "meaningfully more" in 2027 as it builds the data centers and servers needed to meet demand. That investment is already showing up in cash flow. Amazon’s trailing 12-month free cash flow swung to a $42.4 billion outflow, compared with a $14.8 billion inflow a year earlier, primarily because of higher spending on property and equipment. Shares fell as much as 7% in after-hours trading after Thursday’s results and over 7% again in pre-market trading on Friday, reflecting unease over spending and a softer-than-expected fourth-quarter sales outlook. What Amazon Investors Should WatchJPMorgan argues that the spending is justified because AWS demand is strong, capacity remains tight, and infrastructure investments can generate returns over several years. Amazon also says servers and networking equipment can pay back in less than three years, while data centers have much longer useful lives. Whether JPMorgan’s nearly 50% upside case holds up remains to be seen. Read Next Image via Shutterstock Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs © 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved. |
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Amazon stock falls: why analysts are saying its a buying opportunity | FMP Stock News | |
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Amazon stock (AMZN) fell 2% on Friday after the company's third-quarter results disappointed investors. However, most analysts remain bullish on the shares, pointing to the longer-term growth potential of Amazon Web Services (AWS) and the company's expanding artificial intelligence business. |
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AMZN Q3 Earnings Call Highlights AWS Growth and AI Spending | FMP Stock News | |
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Key Takeaways Amazon expects AWS growth above 40% in both 2027 and 2028, following 39.3% growth in Q3.Amazon plans $220B in 2026 capital spending, primarily for AWS, with higher investments expected in 2027.AWS backlog hit $578B, while Bedrock token volume surged nearly 17-fold amid accelerating AI adoption. Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN - Free Report) used its third-quarter 2026 earnings call to outline ambitious cloud growth expectations, supported by accelerating artificial intelligence (AI) demand and substantial infrastructure investments.Management emphasized AWS capacity expansion, improving retail efficiency and longer-term profitability. The outlook came despite earnings of $1.89 per share and revenues of $201.94 billion missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.01 and $202.11 billion, respectively. AMZN Targets Sustained AWS Growth Above 40%Amazon CEO Andy Jassy highlighted AWS revenue growth of 39.3% year over year to $46 billion, marking its sixth consecutive quarter of acceleration. The business reached a $184 billion annualized revenue run rate. Jassy projected AWS revenue growth exceeding 40% in both 2027 and 2028, supported by expanding infrastructure capacity and enterprise AI adoption. He also outlined a potential path toward $1 trillion in annual AWS revenues within five to 10 years. During questions from Morgan Stanley, Jassy explained that advance reservations for large computing deployments provide substantial visibility into customer demand through 2028. Amazon Expands AI Infrastructure InvestmentJassy reiterated Amazon's expectation of approximately $220 billion in cash capital expenditures during 2026, primarily directed toward AWS. Spending is expected to increase meaningfully in 2027. AWS backlog reached $578 billion, while Bedrock token volume increased nearly 17-fold year over year. Fortune 500 spending on Bedrock rose nearly sevenfold. Responding to JPMorgan, Jassy emphasized that Amazon intends to fund infrastructure expansion while shortening investment payback periods. He also confirmed plans to begin selling Trainium chips externally in late 2027. AMZN Defends Cloud Economics Amid AI ExpansionAWS generated operating income of $17.8 billion, with an operating margin of 38.7%, reflecting efficiency improvements and expanding demand. During questions from Evercore ISI, CFO Brian Olsavsky cautioned that AI services currently carry lower margins than established cloud offerings. Higher component costs and infrastructure investments also create pressure. Jassy told Barclays that Amazon's proprietary Trainium chips and owned or long-leased data centers provide structural cost advantages. Management emphasized improving AI profitability without providing longer-term AWS margin guidance. Amazon Focuses on Faster Delivery and GroceryAmazon's retail strategy continues emphasizing faster fulfillment, lower delivery costs and expanded grocery availability. Jassy reported that fresh groceries and everyday essentials grew roughly three times faster than the broader stores business. These categories represented approximately half of worldwide units sold. During questions from Evercore ISI, Jassy highlighted stronger purchasing activity among grocery customers. Customers ordering perishables through same-day delivery purchased nearly seven times more everyday essentials units than customers who did not. AMZN Expects Advertising Growth to ReboundAdvertising revenues reached $19.6 billion, increasing 12% year over year, with growth affected by changes in promotional timing. Jassy explained that shifting Prime Day into the second quarter created an 850-basis-point sequential headwind to third-quarter advertising growth. Management expects growth to return to the high teens in the fourth quarter. He also dismissed concerns that external AI shopping agents were materially affecting advertising demand. Amazon introduced Ads Agent and integrated campaign tools to automate advertiser planning and optimization. Amazon Outlines Fourth-Quarter ExpectationsCFO Olsavsky projected fourth-quarter revenues between $240 billion and $247 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 12% to 16%. Operating income is expected to be between $28.5 billion and $33.5 billion. Management incorporated an approximately 60-basis-point foreign exchange headwind into its revenue outlook. Olsavsky also identified continuing Amazon Leo expenses and rising transportation costs as considerations. Capitalization of certain Leo production and launch costs is now expected to begin in the first quarter of 2027. AMZN Maintains Its Long-Term Investment FocusManagement's commentary reflected confidence in cloud demand, AI adoption and retail efficiency improvements, alongside recognition of substantial capital requirements. Amazon's priorities remain expanding AWS capacity, improving infrastructure economics and strengthening its fulfillment network while pursuing new customer opportunities. Zacks Rank and Style Scores Signal Mixed ProspectsAMZN currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating a neutral near-term earnings revision outlook. Its Growth Score of B and Momentum Score of A highlight favorable growth characteristics and strong price momentum. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. However, the VGM Score of D indicates less attractive valuation characteristics. Its VGM Score of B reflects a favorable combined assessment of value, growth and momentum, although the stock does not carry a top-two Zacks Rank. The Zacks Rank can change as analysts revise earnings estimates following the latest results, making subsequent estimate revisions important to monitor. |
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Amazon Says It Will Start Selling Its AI Chips to Other Companies in 2027 | FMP Stock News | |
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Andy Jassy just put a public deadline on a plan that could pull customers away from NVIDIA, but the terms Amazon left unspoken may matter more than the ones it announced.Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN | AMZN Price Prediction) Chief Executive Andy Jassy used the company’s third-quarter call on October 29, 2026, to put a date on a plan Amazon had only suggested at before. Speaking about Trainium, the AI chip Amazon has so far kept inside AWS, he said: “We believe we’re going to have a very significant business selling chips externally, and we’re going to start in late 2027.” The stock responded to the full report, which included quarterly earnings as well as the chip news. Diluted EPS of $1.89 missed the $1.96 consensus, and shares fell 7.30% to $226.00 after hours. That compounded a 4.25% regular-session drop to a $243.79 close, which valued Amazon at $2.63 trillion. The dominant supplier Trainium would compete with, NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), closed at $213.66, down 0.8%, before Amazon’s call began. Its after-hours price of $210.09 is too small a move to read as a verdict on Amazon’s plan. What matters for shareholders is how large outside chip sales become, given that Amazon will review the allocation each year and can quietly shrink it. What Amazon Committed To and What It Left Out The commitment is a stated plan with a start window of late 2027. Amazon named no outside buyer, price, volume, chip generation, or revenue target, and Jassy said it would review the balance “probably every year.” The idea has been building for some time: Jassy’s April 9, 2026, shareholder letter said “it’s quite possible we’ll sell racks of them to third parties in the future,” and in June an AWS executive was reported to have confirmed early talks with unknown buyers. Why Amazon Wants to Sell Chips at All Jassy described the trade-off himself. A chip sold outright books revenue when it leaves inventory, while the same chip rented through AWS can earn more revenue and free cash flow over a five-to-six-year life. Upfront cash matters because trailing 12-month free cash flow was a $42.4 billion outflow. Amazon repeated about $220 billion of 2026 capital spending and said it will “spend meaningfully more in 2027.” Trainium and Graviton run at more than $25 billion a year, meaning the latest pace stretched over a full year. Customer revenue commitments rose more than 20 times year over year. How Much This Threatens NVIDIA The sharper threat is software, because Amazon open-sourced TorchNeuron so developers can run “existing PyTorch code” on Trainium without rewriting it, which undermines the CUDA lock-in that keeps buyers on NVIDIA. Jassy said only two companies pair a large cloud with a chip good enough to sell. Alphabet’s (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) TPU unit is the obvious comparison. Scale still favors NVIDIA. Its data center revenue reached $89.02 billion in one quarter, up 117%, and AWS itself is deploying an additional 2 million NVIDIA GPUs. Manufacturing supply is the main constraint. Jassy said advanced chipmakers share one manufacturer and “everybody gets an allocation,” so every Trainium sold outside is one AWS cannot rent against its $578 billion backlog. Demand for Trainium is also concentrated. Anthropic reportedly pledged more than $100 billion of AWS spending over 10 years for up to 5 gigawatts of Trainium capacity, yet it also buys NVIDIA systems. What Amazon’s Chip Plan Means for AMZN Shareholders Amazon’s core cloud business remains its strongest support. AWS sales rose 39% to $46.0 billion, and fourth-quarter net sales guidance of $240 billion to $247 billion points to continued growth. The chip plan adds a second way to turn heavy spending into cash, although bigger 2027 budgets could keep free cash flow negative. NVIDIA offers more direct exposure to AI chips, while Amazon combines the cloud and chip businesses in one company (we reverse-engineered what the biggest tech winners looked like early and put the pattern in a free Next Nvidia Playbook). The trigger to check is Amazon naming its first outside Trainium buyer and price. If none appears before late 2027, AWS will likely remain the main driver of how the stock is valued. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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Amazon Sees Best NFL Start Ever, Prime Video Hits Profitability: Are Investors Undervaluing Streaming? | FMP Stock News | |
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Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock is trading lower Friday after the company missed analyst estimates for revenue and earnings per share in the third quarter. While there were some items of concern in the report and management commentary, investors may be missing one of the strongest quarters for the company’s streaming and entertainment segment.• Amazon.com shares are experiencing downward pressure. Why is AMZN stock trading lower? Prime Video UndervaluedAmazon’s Prime Video unit doesn’t get the same attention as the commerce and AWS segments, but management commentary during the conference call highlights an important business. "Prime Video has emerged as a significant business with a revenue run rate in the tens of billions of dollars and now profitable in its own right," Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said during the company’s conference call. Jassy highlighted content like "Carrie," "The Summer I Turned Pretty," "The Boys," "Off Campus," “Reacher" and "Fallout." The CEO also highlighted Prime Video’s growing live sports lineup. In Amazon’s earnings press release, the company said the 2026 "Thursday Night Football" NFL games are off to their best start ever through the first six games. Now in a fifth season for Amazon, TNF games are averaging 17.7 million viewers, which is up 16% from last year’s full season average. Amazon also recently kicked off its second season of "NBA on Prime." The season-opening doubleheader doubled the viewership of last year’s full-year average, according to the company. Other sports rights highlighted by Jassy included NASCAR, the Master and the UEFA Champions League. The company’s Amazon MGM segment also has passed $1.2 billion in global box office for the year, led by "Project Hail Mary," according to the earnings report. Read Next Amazon doesn’t break out individual Prime Video subscribers or financials on a regular basis, which makes commentary like this important for investors to recognize. In May, the company said that Prime Video was profitable, as reported by TechCrunch. This item may have been missed by many as most streaming platforms struggle with profitability, and for Amazon the segment has been attached to being a bonus service for Amazon Prime subscribers. Amazon has ramped up content spending for streaming and its acquisition of MGM gave it a strong library of existing and future content. While tens of billions of dollars in revenue run rate doesn’t come close to the company’s e-commerce and AWS segments, Prime Video provides another growing segment and, potentially more important in the age of high capex spending for AI growth, the entertainment division is profitable. So instead of having to spend money to keep the streaming business afloat, Amazon can focus on spending money on its AI efforts and let streaming now grow on its own. Read Next Image via Shutterstock/ Anna Quelhas Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs © 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved. |
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Amazon falls on concerns over cloud growth and AI spending | FMP Stock News | |
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CNBC's Kate Rooney joins 'Squawk on the Street' with the latest news surrounding Amazon's latest earnings report. |
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Microsoft and Amazon ‘Won' With Cloud But Other Hyperscalers Should Celebrate | FMP Stock News | |
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Azure and AWS just posted their strongest cloud numbers in years, yet the companies that stand to benefit most from this surge are neither Microsoft nor Amazon.Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) reported earnings back to back, and cloud was the biggest story for both. Azure grew 48%. AWS grew 39%, its fastest pace in nearly five years. Both companies say demand still exceeds supply. That is good news for every rival that rents out computing power. Azure Speeds Up While AWS Props Up a Soft Retail Quarter Microsoft beat on both earnings and revenue. Non-GAAP EPS came in at $4.89 against $4.72 expected, its sixth beat in a row. Azure revenue reached $33.17 billion, and growth accelerated from 43% last quarter. Amy Hood, the CFO, credited the engineering teams: “Those efficiencies… they’re sort of ground out every week.” PCs are the weak spot. Windows OEM and Devices revenue fell 22%, and management expects a mid-30s decline next quarter. Amazon missed estimates, with EPS of $1.89 against $1.96 expected. Prime Day moved into the second quarter and cut about 400 bps from retail growth, so the timing explains much of the miss. AWS operating income rose to $17.77 billion from $11.43 billion. CEO Andy Jassy was direct: “In AWS, our plan is working.” Business Driver Microsoft Amazon Cloud Growth Azure +48% AWS +39% Contracted Backlog $677B RPO, +73% $578B AWS backlog Weak Spot Windows OEM -22% Online Stores +2% AI Hook Copilot, Foundry Bedrock, Trainium Software Layers Versus Custom Silicon Microsoft wants to earn money from every layer of a workload. Foundry revenue grew more than 3x, and agents now open more than one-third of GitHub pull requests. Software that writes software extends Microsoft’s revenue opportunity beyond raw compute. Satya Nadella describes customers switching between models freely: “I may start at the frontier. I may go to an open weight. I may go to an MAI model.” Amazon is leaning on its own chips. Customers using its custom silicon saved more than $2 billion in the third quarter, and that cost advantage supports a 38.7% AWS margin. The expansion is expensive, though. Quarterly capex reached $77.26 billion, which caused a trailing free cash outflow of $42.4 billion. Capacity Shortages Give Rivals a Reason to Cheer Microsoft said some third-party GPU capacity deliveries slipped to the second half of the fiscal year. Amazon puts in an AI accelerator about every 14 seconds, and customers use that capacity almost as fast as it goes in. When the two biggest clouds cannot build fast enough, extra demand flows to Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) and smaller AI-focused clouds. One thing to watch is whether Azure hits its 49% to 50% constant-currency growth guidance. I also want to see whether spending in 2027 that runs significantly above $220 billion starts to squeeze AWS margins. Free Cash Flow Separates Microsoft From Amazon Microsoft’s cash generation stands out. It generated $18.6 billion of free cash flow while still spending heavily, and Copilot gives it a second growth engine on top of raw computing power. Amazon has the bigger long-range story, and Jassy’s call for AWS growth above 40% in both 2027 and 2028 sets a high bar. I want to see free cash flow turn positive before I trust that spending curve. Another thing to track is whether AWS margins hold up while capex keeps climbing. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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Forget Anthropic's IPO, I'm Buying AMD | FMP Stock News | |
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SummaryAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. stands to benefit significantly from Anthropic's IPO and its $20B+ hardware supply agreement.Anthropic's S-1 filing reduces counterparty risk, highlights strong cash reserves, and confirms a non-cancellable commitment to AMD barring material breach.AMD avoids shareholder dilution in the Anthropic deal, pays cash for equity, and gains potential upside if Anthropic's IPO succeeds.I reiterate my Buy rating on AMD with a $725 end-2027 price target, citing robust AI demand and favorable risk-reward scenarios.Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of The Pragmatic Investor get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios. Learn More » AlexSecret/iStock via Getty ImagesThesis Summary The upcoming Anthropic, PBC (ANT) IPO is the most anticipated event for investors in the coming months, and it has already shifted a lot of the perceptions around the AI trade. The S-1 29.89K Followers Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AMD either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body. |
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Investors Heavily Search Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD): Here is What You Need to Know | FMP Stock News | |
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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD - Free Report) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.Over the past month, shares of this chipmaker have returned -8%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change. During this period, the Zacks Computer - Integrated Systems industry, which Advanced Micro falls in, has lost 9.3%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction? While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making. Revisions to Earnings EstimatesHere at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock. We essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. For the current quarter, Advanced Micro is expected to post earnings of $1.94 per share, indicating a change of +61.7% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -0.1% over the last 30 days. The consensus earnings estimate of $7.55 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +81.1%. This estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $15.24 indicates a change of +101.8% from what Advanced Micro is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +1.5%. Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, Advanced Micro is rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate: 12 Month EPS Revenue Growth ForecastEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial. In the case of Advanced Micro, the consensus sales estimate of $13.12 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +41.9%. The $50.71 billion and $85.9 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +46.4% and +69.4%, respectively. Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryAdvanced Micro reported revenues of $11.54 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +50.1%. EPS of $1.66 for the same period compares with $0.48 a year ago. Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $11.32 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +1.87%. The EPS surprise was +3.11%. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates each time over this period. ValuationNo investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance. While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price. As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued. Advanced Micro is graded F on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade. ConclusionThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Advanced Micro. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term. |
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AMD Is Chasing Nvidia in AI, but Investors Could Win Either Way | FMP Stock News | |
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AMD's Data Center revenue just doubled and Helios is shipping ahead of schedule, but the path to $1,000 a share by 2027 depends on a few critical variables that could make or break the entire thesis.When AMD (NASDAQ:AMD | AMD Price Prediction) reported its second quarter, Data Center revenue came in at $6.72B, up 107%. That segment now makes up 58% of total revenue. CEO Lisa Su said AMD heads into the second half “with strong momentum as EPYC demand accelerates, Instinct deployments scale and Helios begins to ramp.” Investors have responded. Shares are up 164.77% year-to-date at $567.04, even after a 10.08% decline over the past month. Helios racks are shipping and AMD has gigawatt-scale deals with OpenAI, Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) and Anthropic. Let’s look at what AMD needs to do to hit $1,000 per share in 2027. Wall Street’s Target Lags Fast-Rising Estimates The average analyst price target of $637.61 suggests 12% of upside. That gap is small because the stock has run so far, but the forecasts behind it are aggressive. Analysts expect 2026 EPS of $7.5884 to rise to $15.7629 in 2027, growth of 108%. Revenue is projected to climb 75%. The 2027 EPS consensus stood at $13.4921 three months ago, meaning estimates have climbed 17% in a single quarter. AMD has also beaten EPS and revenue estimates in each of its last four quarters. That streak suggests 2027 results could come in above forecasts. Here’s What It Takes for AMD to Reach $1,000 At today’s price, AMD trades at 36x 2027 estimates. The stock commands a premium to the S&P 500’s forward multiple of roughly 21x to 23x, which makes sense for earnings expected to more than double. At $1,000, the multiple would be 63x. The multiple is steep, but Su told analysts AMD expects to significantly exceed its prior $20 annual EPS target. If 2027 earnings reach the high estimate of $20.25, $1,000 works out to about 49x. What Could Push AMD to $1,000? Helios ramp: Customer demand is tracking ahead of AMD’s initial forecast. Anthropic’s first gigawatt deployment begins in the first half of 2027. Data center doubling: Management expects Data Center revenue to more than double year-over-year in 2027, with server revenue growing more than 70%. Bigger market: AMD raised its forecast for the data center AI accelerator market to $1.4 trillion by 2030. Overflow demand: NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) chief Jensen Huang said in August, “Our demand is much higher than 70%. Our supply allows us to confidently deliver 70%.” Demand that NVIDIA’s supply can’t cover gives AMD room to grow. AMD’s History Says $1,000 Is Possible Reaching $1,000 requires a 76% gain. Since 2000, AMD has beaten that mark in eight calendar years. Shares rose 348% in 2009. Shares also rose 295% in 2016, 148% in 2019 and 128% in 2023 (we studied what the biggest tech winners looked like before those runs and put the pattern in a free playbook here). With a market cap near $925.8B, gains like that get harder to repeat. Still, 2026 has already delivered more than double the needed return. $1,000 Is a Stretch, but the Blueprint Exists Reaching $1,000 would take a 76% gain in 2027. The pieces are in place. Estimates are climbing quickly, there is a four-quarter beat streak and a Helios ramp that management says is running ahead of plan. The main hurdles are Helios yields, data center power availability and export controls. A 63x multiple would also leave little margin if the broader market turns down. The incumbent offers a useful valuation comparison. NVIDIA trades at 23x fiscal 2027 estimates and 14x fiscal 2028 estimates, so both stocks benefit if AI spending remains strong. Returns at this level shouldn’t be expected every year, but we’ve outlined the plan for how AMD could see outsized returns in 2027. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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Cathie Wood's Latest AMD Move Means Absolutely Nothing | FMP Stock News | |
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Cathie Wood trimmed her AMD position and traders took notice, but there is a far more important signal hiding inside AMD's quarterly results that actually determines where this stock goes next.Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD | AMD Price Prediction) trades at $566.42, and its fundamentals carry more information than Cathie Wood’s latest trade in the stock. Revenue growth has sped up, and that growth is the key metric to follow. AMD designs EPYC server CPUs, Instinct AI accelerators, Ryzen PC chips and embedded processors. Data center sales now make up 58% of total revenue, and the shares are up 164.48% year to date. ARK Investment Management cut its share count during the second quarter and still held 1,416,443 shares. ARK runs concentrated thematic ETFs that rebalance all the time to cap position sizes and pay for new ideas. A trim results from ARK’s portfolio management decisions. Data Center Revenue Doubling Makes a 35x Forward Multiple Look Reasonable Second-quarter revenue rose 50.1% to $11.54B, and non-GAAP EPS of $1.66 beat the $1.61 estimate. Data center revenue climbed 107% to $6.72B. Management guided third-quarter revenue to about $13B and said it expects data center revenue to “more than double year-over-year in 2027.” The customer list is what gives that forecast weight: OpenAI has committed to 6 GW, Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) to up to 6 GW and Anthropic to up to 2 GW. All those gigawatts have to be powered, cooled and networked by somebody, which is the whole basis of our free report on seven AI infrastructure suppliers that aren’t chipmakers, here. The forward P/E is about 35 and the PEG ratio is 0.557. That’s cheap for a company growing this quickly. A 148x Trailing Multiple Leaves No Room for a Helios Stumble The trailing P/E sits near 148, and the free cash flow yield is just 0.72%. Free cash flow fell 9.9% as capex rose 186.5%. Gaming revenue dropped 31%, and management expects PC demand to soften in the second half. A beta of 2.454 means any slip gets magnified. Export controls, reliance on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE:TSM) and tight server CPU supply all add risk. AI accelerators also carry gross margins “slightly below corporate average,” so faster growth in that business could weigh on overall margins. Why Waiting for Helios Shipments Has Merit Helios rack shipments only start ramping in the fourth quarter and into 2027. Until that revenue shows up in reported results, the gigawatt deals are still forecasts. The next earnings report, with its about $13B target, is the near-term test. Wall Street Still Sees Double-Digit Upside The average analyst target of $640.21 means about 13% upside from $566.42. Analyst targets are a rough guide and often prove wrong. Of the 56 analysts covering AMD: Strong Buy: 5 Buy: 40 Hold: 11 Sell: 0 Over the past year, AMD returned 114.29% while the S&P 500 rose 11.94%. Over the past month, AMD fell 6.77% as the index added 0.69%. The stock is trading below its 52-week high of $658.52. AMD’s Earnings Path Matters More Than ARK’s Trades At $566.42, AMD’s outlook hinges on a few catalysts. Growth from here depends on Helios. Initial shipments are coming now, there’s a step-up in the fourth quarter, and the ramp continues through 2027. Each quarter that confirms the ramp makes the forward multiple look cheaper. The CFO also said EPS will be “significantly higher than the $20” target from Financial Analyst Day. The stock pulled back over the past month. The case falls apart if Helios slips, if hyperscalers cut capex, or if gross margin falls significantly below the forecast 56%. ARK’s trades follow ETF weightings and redemptions, so they track fund flows, while AMD’s rack shipments drive its results. Individual investors learn more from AMD’s quarterly guidance than from Cathie Wood’s trade alerts. Earnings set AMD’s direction, and the earnings path points higher. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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AMD: Circular AI Financing With Meta Just Reached A New Level | FMP Stock News | |
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SummaryAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. invests $1 billion in Meta’s equity raise, deepening their compute-for-equity partnership and signaling strategic alignment in AI infrastructure.AMD’s participation, though just over 1%, is proportionally larger relative to its market cap and cash than Nvidia’s, reinforcing its commitment to Meta’s AI ambitions.My price target for AMD rises to $830.40, reflecting 47% upside, with Helios and rack-level AI solutions expected to drive margin and free cash flow expansion by 2026.AMD’s net cash position is projected to reach $55.25 billion by 2028, providing significant flexibility to offset dilution from warrant exercises tied to Meta and OpenAI.Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Aerospace Forum get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More » nmlfd/iStock via Getty ImagesAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) has announced that it will invest $1 billion in Meta's (META) equity offering. I believe it is a very interesting development for both companies building 25.01K Followers Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body. |
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AMD Reports on Nov. 3. Here's What You Should Do Before Then. | FMP Stock News | |
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Earnings for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD -9.88%) are right around the corner. This can be a tumultuous time in the stock market, as companies can either exceed expectations and soar, or miss them and plummet. The risk becomes even higher when stocks are highly valued, like AMD is, as it must blow expectations out of the water to justify its current valuation.As a result, I think investors should consider taking action before Nov. 3 (when AMD reports), because the stock has a very high valuation that may be tough to live up to. Here's why. Image source: Getty Images. AMD's stock is very pricey AMD's shares have had an incredible year, rising nearly 150% so far. However, the business hasn't been growing nearly that fast (although its earnings have). AMD EPS Diluted (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts. AMD's margins are dramatically improving, which is driving the strong earnings growth. However, some of that growth should go to offsetting its expensive stock price, as it trades at a ridiculous price tag of 136 times trailing earnings. AMD PE Ratio data by YCharts. Industry rival Nvidia trades for about 27 times earnings, which I think is a fair price tag. For AMD to fall to 30 times earnings, either the stock price would have to collapse (I don't think it will), or it must increase its earnings by about 350%. The market is bullish on it getting that done, because its stock trades for 34 times next year's earnings estimates. So, that tells investors that there's basically a year and a half worth of very strong growth already baked into the stock price. AMD Advanced Micro Devices$510.45-$55.98 (-9.88%) NASDAQ · As of 11:57 AM ET 10/30/26 That's a steep price to pay for a stock like AMD, especially one that isn't the industry leader (Nvidia is). I think this reality could set in following a third-quarter (Q3) earnings announcement. Investors will begin to realize how expensive AMD's stock is and how cheap Nvidia's is, and rotate from one into the other. This could ignite a major sell-off as investors race to take gains and find the next biggest stock before 2027 arrives. AMD's stock has gotten in front of itself. While the company has made up some ground in the artificial intelligence (AI) arms race, it's still not nearly enough to be a huge challenger to Nvidia. Nvidia is still growing at a much faster pace overall (106% in Q2 versus 50% for AMD), underscoring that it's still the top dog in the industry. While AMD's stock price assumes that it has outright won the AI computing unit battle, that's far from the case, and AMD shareholders need to be cautious as a result. |
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AMD Expands AI Footprint With Meta: Can It Outpace NVDA & AVGO? | FMP Stock News | |
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Key Takeaways AMD expands its Meta partnership to strengthen its AI infrastructure footprint.AMD's Data Center revenues surged 107% to $6.7 billion in Q2 2026. AMD shares gained 164.5% YTD, outperforming the broader technology sector. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD - Free Report) is benefiting from accelerating demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, expanding hyperscaler partnerships and growing adoption of its EPYC processors and Instinct GPUs. The company recently strengthened its strategic partnership with Meta Platforms to support the latter’s superintelligence infrastructure, enhancing its competitive position against NVIDIA (NVDA - Free Report) and Broadcom (AVGO - Free Report) . The collaboration spans CPUs, GPUs, networking, rack-scale systems and software, positioning AMD to capture a larger share of hyperscaler AI investments. AMD’s Helios rack-scale solutions are undergoing testing at Meta ahead of broader deployment, while EPYC processors power Meta’s Muse AI agent. Meta has deployed millions of EPYC CPUs and plans to adopt sixth-generation EPYC processors. AMD Instinct GPUs support Meta’s AI training, ranking and recommendation workloads, with plans to deploy customized Instinct GPUs based on the MI450 architecture. The collaboration encompasses ROCm software optimization, future MI500 GPUs and gigawatt-scale AI infrastructure. AMD also plans to invest $1 billion in Meta’s equity offering. AMD’s expanding AI ecosystem strengthens its growth prospects. Partnerships with OpenAI, Anthropic and Microsoft support broader adoption of its Helios platform. In the second quarter of 2026, Data Center revenues surged 107% year over year to $6.7 billion, driven by robust EPYC and Instinct demand. AMD expects the Data Center business to more than double in 2027, while server CPU revenues are projected to increase more than 80% year over year in the second half of 2026 and more than 70% in 2027. AMD’s expanding AI infrastructure portfolio, stronger hyperscaler partnerships and robust demand for EPYC processors and Instinct accelerators position it well to challenge NVIDIA and Broadcom and drive top-line growth. For the third quarter of 2026, AMD expects revenues of approximately $13 billion, plus or minus $300 million. The midpoint implies growth of roughly 41% year over year and 13% sequentially. How Competitors Fare Against AMDAMD’s prospects suffer from stiff competition from companies like NVIDIA and Broadcom, which are major competitors in the AI space. NVIDIA’s accelerated computing platform remains central to AI training, inference and agentic workloads as customers scale model deployment. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, revenues rose 106% year over year to $96.2 billion, while Compute & Networking revenues increased 114% to $88.3 billion. Data Center revenues reached $89 billion, up 117%, with Blackwell Ultra driving the expansion. Broadcom is benefiting from expanding AI infrastructure spending, with custom XPUs and networking driving semiconductor growth while VMware supports infrastructure software. Multiyear engagements with six XPU customers, broader Ethernet adoption and rising AI deployments provide long-term revenue visibility. Broadcom now expects fiscal 2026 AI semiconductor revenues of $58 billion, up 186% year over year and above its prior $56 billion outlook. AMD’s Share Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesAdvanced Micro Devices shares have surged 164.5% year to date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s rise of 17.4%. AMD Stock’s Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research AMD stock is overvalued, with a forward 12-month price/sales of 11.57X compared with the Computer and Technology sector’s 5.6X. AMD has a Value Score of F. AMD’s Valuation Image Source: Zacks Investment Research The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings is pegged at $7.55 per share, which has been unchanged over the past 30 days. This suggests 81.06% year-over-year growth. AMD currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. |
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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know | FMP Stock News | |
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Nvidia (NVDA - Free Report) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.Shares of this maker of graphics chips for gaming and artificial intelligence have returned -7.5% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change. The Zacks Semiconductor - General industry, to which Nvidia belongs, has lost 6.6% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term? While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making. Earnings Estimate RevisionsRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings. Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements. For the current quarter, Nvidia is expected to post earnings of $2.49 per share, indicating a change of +91.5% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +1% over the last 30 days. For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $9.3 points to a change of +95% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has changed +0.6%. For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $15.75 indicates a change of +69.3% from what Nvidia is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +0.4%. With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for Nvidia. The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate: 12 Month EPS Revenue Growth ForecastEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial. For Nvidia, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $108.99 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +91.2%. For the current and next fiscal years, $407.51 billion and $682.55 billion estimates indicate +88.7% and +67.5% changes, respectively. Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryNvidia reported revenues of $96.22 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +105.9%. EPS of $2.22 for the same period compares with $1.05 a year ago. Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $91.8 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +4.82%. The EPS surprise was +6.22%. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates each time over this period. ValuationNo investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance. Comparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is. As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued. Nvidia is graded D on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade. Bottom LineThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Nvidia. However, its Zacks Rank #2 does suggest that it may outperform the broader market in the near term. |
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Nvidia Stock Is Set for Its Worst Month in a Year. Time to Buy the Dip. | FMP Stock News | |
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The stock is trading at its lowest levels since early August after the broad tech selloff. |
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Nvidia's AI Dominance Could Have Further to Run | FMP Stock News | |
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NVIDIA just posted another blowout quarter yet the stock sits 11% below its 52-week high, and that gap between fundamentals and price may be exactly the opening bulls have been waiting for.The 24/7 Wall St. price target for NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) is $259.77 over the next 12 months. The stock trades at $216.20, so the target means 20.26% upside. Our model rates the stock a buy with high confidence. 24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary Metric Value Current Price $216.20 Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. $259.77 Upside/Downside 20.26% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 90% Confidence is rated that high because NVIDIA keeps beating estimates and growing faster than the market expects. The recent break in the stock looks like consolidation within an healthy growth story. A Pullback That Ignores Another Record Quarter NVIDIA slipped 0.41% over the past week and 3.94% over the past month. It is up 16.2% year to date. Shares sit about 11% below the 52-week high of $243.37 and 32% above the low of $163.90. Barron’s says mixed big-tech earnings are weighing on the stock. Meanwhile, Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) is funding its AI buildout, and NVIDIA and Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) are reportedly taking a piece of Meta’s new stock offering. The last report tells a stronger story. Fiscal Q2 2027 revenue reached $96.22B, up 105.8% and ahead of the $92.07B consensus. Non-GAAP EPS of $2.22 exceeded the $2.09 estimate. Q3 guidance calls for $108B in revenue. Why Bulls See $270 and Beyond Management expects fiscal 2028 revenue to grow approximately 70%, and it calls that a supply-constrained outlook. The chief executive said “The unconstrained number would be a lot higher.” Vera Rubin increases NVIDIA’s revenue opportunity to $40 billion per gigawatt, up from $25 billion for Blackwell. Spending by the top five hyperscalers is expected to approach $1.3 trillion in 2027, and all of that capex has to be powered, cooled and networked by somebody (we rounded up seven suppliers riding that same expansion in a free report on AI infrastructure stocks). Wall Street agrees: 59 analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and the consensus target is $328.95. A bull-case estimate puts the stock at $270.57. Margin Pressure and Financing Risk Bears Will Flag Gross margins are expected to bottom at 71% to 72% in Q4 as memory costs rise. Supply commitments rose to $279B, and DSO extended to 60 days from 45. Guidance assumes no China data center compute revenue. Some critics also call NVIDIA’s AI lab investments circular financing. Bulls would answer that price increases should raises fiscal 2028 margins back to 72% to 73%, and that most of the inventory build is aimed at the Vera Rubin launch. Even a bear-case estimate of $226.09 sits above today’s price. Is NVIDIA Cheaper Than AMD and Broadcom? Company Forward P/E Latest Quarterly Revenue Growth NVIDIA 24x 105.8% AMD 33x 50.11% Broadcom 17x 85.5% AMD competes head-on in GPUs, and its Data Center revenue rose 107%. Even so, it trades at a higher multiple than NVIDIA while growing more slowly. Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) is the custom-silicon challenger, with AI revenue up 221%. It trades at a lower multiple, but its revenue base is far smaller. Set against these two, the 24/7 Wall St. price target looks reasonable. Why Our Model Treats This Pullback as an Opening Our 24/7 Wall St. price target of $259.77 comes with a buy rating and 90% confidence. What tips the scale is supply: NVIDIA is limited only by how much it can build, since customer demand tops supply. The bull case strengthens if Vera Rubin ramps as planned and margins recover in fiscal 2028. The thesis weakens if hyperscaler spending slows or memory costs keep pressuring margins past Q4. For now, the numbers favor the bulls. NVIDIA Price Prediction 2026-2030 Year Price Target from 24/7 Wall St. 2026 $215.62 2027 $259.77 2028 $292.43 2029 $337.46 2030 $348.72 These estimates assume NVIDIA keeps executing on its current strategy. Export controls, competition from custom chips or a slowdown in AI spending could push results well above or below these figures. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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3M's Transportation and Electronics Growth Picks Up: More Upside to Come? | FMP Stock News | |
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Key Takeaways 3M's segment revenues rose 0.4% to $1.999 billion, with organic sales up 0.5%.Semiconductor, aerospace and data center demand supported segment growth.Consumer electronics and automotive weakness pressured margins, which fell to 23.4%. 3M Company (MMM - Free Report) continues to benefit from strength in its Transportation and Electronics business segment, supported by growth in semiconductors, aerospace, data centers, advanced materials and commercial branding. The segment’s revenues increased 0.4% year over year to $1.999 billion in the third quarter of 2026, while organic sales grew 0.5%.The results were driven by strong demand in the semiconductor, aerospace and data center markets. Commercial branding also delivered mid-single-digit growth, reflecting continued strength in the business. Advanced materials contributed positively to the segment’s organic growth as well. These gains helped offset weakness in other key end markets. The segment’s performance reflects MMM’s continued focus on differentiated product innovation, commercial excellence and growth investments. The company launched 87 new products during the quarter, up 24% year over year, while its efforts to strengthen its technology pipeline and improve operational productivity continued to support business performance. However, weakness in consumer electronics and automotive markets remains a concern. Consumer electronics continued to face industry-wide memory shortages, while softness in the automotive market weighed on segment growth. Additionally, the segment’s operating income margin declined to 23.4% from 24.3% in the year-ago quarter, reflecting continued growth investments and cost dis-synergies following the exit from PFAS manufacturing. Despite these challenges, increasing demand for semiconductors and data centers, along with continued strength in aerospace, advanced materials and commercial branding, provides growth opportunities for the segment. However, persistent softness in consumer electronics and automotive markets, along with ongoing investment-related costs, may weigh on its near-term profitability. Segmental Snapshot of MMM’s PeersAmong 3M’s major peers, Emerson Electric Co. (EMR - Free Report) is witnessing solid momentum in the power and life sciences markets, within the Control Systems & Software group under the Software & Systems segment. Sales from Emerson’s Software & Systems segment increased 11% year over year to $1.64 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2026. Its another peer, ITT Inc.’s (ITT - Free Report) Connect and Control Technologies segment is benefiting from growth in connector solutions and aerospace and defense demand. Also, the acquisition of kSARIA augurs well for ITT’s segment. Revenues from ITT’s unit’s organic revenues increased 17.3% year over year in the second quarter of 2026, while organic orders surged 59%, aided by defense and connector strength. The Zacks Rundown for MMMShares of 3M have gained 6.5% in the past year against the industry’s decline of 24.4%. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research From a valuation standpoint, 3M is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 18.28X, above the industry’s average of 15.32X. MMM carries a Value Score of C. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MMM’s 2026 earnings has increased over the past 60 days. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research MMM stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. |
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Mastercard's Prudent Outlook Offers 'Favorable Jumping Off Point for 2027,' Analyst Says | FMP Stock News | |
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Mastercard Inc. (NYSE:MA) stock bucked Friday’s broader market sell-off as Wall Street analysts raised their price forecasts, citing stronger growth prospects heading into 2027 despite concerns about cash flow.The payments giant outperformed the Nasdaq Composite, which plunged 2.99%, and the S&P 500, which fell 1.46%, as investors weighed accelerating U.S. payment volumes, expanding value-added services and emerging opportunities in artificial intelligence-driven commerce. KeyBanc Capital Markets and Bank of America Securities both raised their price forecasts following Mastercard’s third-quarter results, although BofA flagged concerns about the company’s ability to convert stronger earnings into cash. Mastercard reported third-quarter revenue growth of 14%, while value-added services revenue increased 19%, according to BofA. These services include fraud prevention, cybersecurity and marketing tools. KeyBanc Sees Stronger Growth AheadKeyBanc analyst Andrew Schmidt said Thursday that strong execution, pricing and value-added services support a clearer growth outlook for 2027. Schmidt expects cross-border travel spending to improve as new client wins gain momentum and the company moves past challenges tied to the Middle East and portfolio transitions. He described Mastercard’s fourth-quarter 2026 outlook as “prudent and a favorable jumping off point for 2027.” Schmidt also highlighted agentic commerce, digital assets, cybersecurity and commercial payments as growth drivers. He expects Mastercard to deliver mid-to-upper-teens earnings-per-share growth. KeyBanc maintained its Overweight rating and raised its price forecast to $735 from $722. BofA Flags Cash Flow ConcernsBofA said Friday that investors are increasingly focused on the quality of Mastercard’s growth. “The debate is increasingly about the composition and quality of growth,” the firm wrote. U.S. switched volume growth accelerated to 9% in October from 7% in the third quarter, while cross-border volume growth slowed to 10% from 11%. However, cash conversion weakened despite stronger earnings. BofA attributed the decline to higher customer incentive payments, litigation expenses and the timing of customer settlements. “We remain constructive on the diversified growth engine, while watching whether stronger earnings translate into cash,” BofA wrote. The firm maintained its Buy rating and raised its price forecast to $775 from $735, based on 29 times its earnings-per-share estimate for the following 12-month period. MA Stock Price Activity: Mastercard shares were up 0.12% at $636.48 at the time of publication on Friday, according to Benzinga Pro data. Photo via Shutterstock Read Next Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs © 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved. |
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DEADLINE ALERT for Gildan Activewear Inc. (GIL), D-Wave Quantum, Inc. (QBTS), and Bank Of America Corporation (BAC): The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz Reminds Investors of Lead Plaintiff Deadlines in Securities Fraud Class Actions | FMP Stock News | |
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LOS ANGELES, Oct. 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz reminds investors of upcoming lead plaintiff deadlines in securities class action lawsuits filed on behalf of shareholders of Gildan Activewear Inc., D-Wave Quantum, Inc., and Bank Of America Corporation. Investors who wish to seek appointment as lead plaintiff must file a motion by the deadlines listed below.If you lost money on these investments, contact The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz about these class actions to learn about your legal rights, by calling 310-914-5007 or emailing [email protected]. Gildan Activewear Inc. (NYSE: GIL) Class period: February 19, 2025 through June 15, 2026Lead plaintiff motion deadline: December 14, 2026Case: Cortez v. Gildan Activewear Inc. et al., filed in the U.S. District Court Northern District of New York According to the Gildan Activewear Inc. complaint, throughout the class period the defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (i) Gildan did not have adequate internal controls; and (ii) Gildan used channel stuffing to create an appearance of revenue. If you are a Gildan Activewear Inc. shareholder who suffered a loss, click here to participate. D-Wave Quantum, Inc. (NASDAQ: QBTS) Class period: February 26, 2026 through August 25, 2026Lead plaintiff motion deadline: December 15, 2026Case: Fessler v. D-Wave Quantum, Inc. et al., filed in the U.S. District Court California Northern District According to the D-Wave Quantum, Inc. complaint, throughout the class period the defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (i) Defendants materially overstated D-Wave’s business and financial prospects; and (ii) the foregoing was reasonably likely to negatively impact the Company’s business and reputation. If you are a D-Wave Quantum, Inc. shareholder who suffered a loss, click here to participate. Bank Of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) Class period: August 1, 2025 through October 13, 2026Lead plaintiff motion deadline: December 15, 2026Case: New England Teamsters Pension Fund v. Bank of America Corporation et al., filed in the U.S. District Court Southern District of New York According to the Bank Of America Corporation complaint, throughout the class period the defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (i) systemic weaknesses in BANA's BSA/AML program caused it to fail to properly monitor trillions of dollars in transactions and to miss, delay, or file inaccurate or incomplete suspicious activity reports involving billions of dollars in suspicious activity; (ii) internal reports had documented BANA's BSA/AML deficiencies for years, yet BANA had not adequately remedied them after the 2024 Consent Order; (iii) BANA also had deficiencies in its sanctions compliance program and processed transactions later identified as apparent violations of multiple sanctions programs; and (iv) fixing these deficiencies required significant additional compliance resources and exposed BANA to substantial penalties and costs. If you are a Bank Of America Corporation shareholder who suffered a loss, click here to participate. What should investors in these cases do now? Investors need not take any action at this time to be class members in these cases. Investors may retain counsel of their choice or take no action and remain absent class members. No class has been certified yet in any of these cases. For more information about these class actions or your rights, contact Frank R. Cruz of The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz at 310-914-5007, by email at [email protected], or visit the firm's case page. If you inquire by email, please include your mailing address, telephone number, and number of shares purchased. About The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz investigates and prosecutes securities fraud and corporate malfeasance class actions. With nearly 20 years of litigation experience, the firm focuses on complex securities class actions and gives each client personal, one-on-one attention throughout the legal process. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. Contact Frank R. Cruz The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz Los Angeles, CA Email: [email protected] Telephone: 310-914-5007 www.frankcruzlaw.com Follow The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz for updates on Twitter: twitter.com/FRC_LAW This press release may be considered Attorney Advertising in some jurisdictions under the applicable law and ethical rules. |
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Earnings Growth & Price Strength Make Walmart (WMT) a Stock to Watch | FMP Stock News | |
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Here at Zacks, we offer our members many different opportunities to take full advantage of the stock market, as well as how to invest in ways that lead to long-term success.One of our most popular services, Zacks Premium offers daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank; full access to the Zacks #1 Rank List; Equity Research reports; and Premium stock screens like the Earnings ESP filter. All are useful tools to find what stocks to buy, what to sell, and what are today's hottest industries. It also includes the Focus List, a long-term portfolio of top stocks that have all the elements to beat the market. Breaking Down the Zacks Focus ListIf you could get access to a curated list of stocks to kickstart your investment portfolio, wouldn't you jump at the chance to take a peek? That's what the Zacks Focus List offers. It's a portfolio of 50 stocks that serve as a starting point for long-term investors to build their individual portfolios. The stocks included in the list are set to outperform the market over the next 12 months. One thing that makes the Focus List even more advantageous is that each pick comes with a full Zacks Analyst Report. This helps explain why each stock was selected and why we believe it's a good pick for the long-term. The portfolio's past performance only solidifies why investors should consider it as a starting point. For 2020, the Focus List gained 13.85% on an annualized basis compared to the S&P 500's return of 9.38%. Cumulatively, the portfolio has returned 2,519.23% while the S&P returned 854.95%. Returns are for the period of February 1, 1996 to March 31, 2021. Focus List MethodologyWhen stocks are picked for the Focus List, it reflects our enduring reliance on the power of earnings estimate revisions. Earnings estimates are expectations of growth and profitability, and are determined by brokerage analysts. Together with company management, these analysts examine every aspect that may affect future earnings, like interest rates, the economy, and sector and industry optimism. Investors also need to look at what a company will earn down the road. This is why earnings estimate revisions are so important. When a stock receives upward earnings estimate revisions, it will likely get even more positive changes in the future. For instance, if an analyst raised their earnings outlook last month, they'll probably do so again this month, and other analysts will follow. Harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions is where the Zacks Rank comes in. The Zacks Rank is a unique, proprietary stock-rating model that utilizes changes to a company's quarterly earnings expectations to help investors build a winning portfolio. Four primary factors make up the Zacks Rank: Agreement, Magnitude, Upside, and Surprise. Each is given a raw score that's recalculated every night and compiled into the Rank, and with this data, stocks are then classified into five groups, ranging from "Strong Buy" to "Strong Sell." The Focus List is comprised of stocks hand-picked from a long list of #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy) ranked companies, meaning that each new addition boasts a bullish earnings consensus among analysts. Because stock prices react to revisions, buying stocks with rising earnings estimates can be very profitable. Focus List stocks offer investors a great opportunity to get into companies whose future earnings estimates will be raised, potentially leading to price momentum. Focus List Spotlight: Walmart (WMT - Free Report) Walmart Inc. has evolved from a traditional brick-and-mortar retailer into a global omnichannel retailer. Its stores, clubs, e-commerce sites, mobile applications, delivery services and membership programs allow customers to shop across physical and digital channels. The company also uses marketplace, advertising, fulfillment and data capabilities to extend its retail ecosystem. WMT, a #3 (Hold) stock, was added to the Focus List on May 30, 2017 at $26.04 per share. Since then, shares have increased 365.63% to $121.25. Two analysts revised their earnings estimate higher in the last 60 days for fiscal 2027, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.01 to $2.88. WMT also boasts an average earnings surprise of 3.9%. Moreover, analysts are expecting WMT's earnings to grow 9.1% for the current fiscal year. Reveal Winning StocksUnlock all of our powerful research, tools and analysis, including the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research Reports, Zacks Earnings ESP Filter, Premium Screener and more, as part of Zacks Premium. You'll quickly identify which stocks to buy, hold and sell, and target today's hottest industries, to help improve the performance of your portfolio. Gain full access now >> |
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Silver Has Lost More Than Half Its Value Since January | FMP Stock News | |
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Silver has shed more than half its value from a record set just nine months ago, and the forces behind the collapse show no sign of reversing. Two signals now stand between a fragile floor and a deeper breakdown.Silver fell 2.29% to $50.95 on Friday, October 30, 2026. That is its lowest price since November 2025 and roughly 58% below its record of $121.64. The record came on January 29, 2026, with prices ranging from $121.58 to $121.67 depending on the venue. Within about 30 hours, silver fell more than 30% and traded below $75 on January 30. The selling sped up on Thursday, October 29, when spot silver fell about 3.5% to near $52. The iShares Silver Trust (NYSEARCA:SLV) lost 3.63% to close at $47.28, then slid to $46.80 after hours. Gold fell about 1.3% to roughly $4,010, and the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX) dropped 3.12% to $81.33. SLV holders own a metal that looks deeply oversold, yet none of the forces behind the drop have turned. Fed Hike Odds Are Driving the Sell-Off Thursday’s drop came even as the dollar index fell 0.33% and the 10-year yield eased to 4.94%. Both moves usually help silver, which leaves the Fed as the source of the pressure. The Federal Reserve, on October 28, held rates at 3.75% to 4.00% in a 10-2 vote. Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack dissented, wanting an immediate quarter-point hike. CME FedWatch prices roughly a 75% chance of a December hike, and some reported odds run as high as 86%. Silver pays no yield, so every expected rate increase raises the cost of holding it instead of cash or Treasuries. Inflation usually helps precious metals, but September PCE prices rose 0.5% for the month, and annual inflation went up to 3.6% from 3.4%. Third-quarter GDP also grew at a 3.4% annualized pace versus a 3.2% forecast, and that hot data raises hike odds, which does silver more harm than inflation does good. Why Silver Falls Harder Than Gold Gold sits about 28% below its 2026 record of $5,598.58. Silver is part industrial metal and part monetary metal, trades in a smaller market and draws leveraged speculators, so its moves run larger. The January surge brought in that leverage, and higher margin requirements later forced traders to sell (riding a mania is one thing, planning the exit is the harder half, which is the whole subject of our free bubble survivor’s handbook). “The increase in margin money requirement at COMEX and MCX in February and March had already dampened the sentiments,” said Vikas Prakash Singh, a professor of economics at Great Lakes Institute of Management. JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM | JPM Price Prediction) expects silver demand from solar panel makers to fall 30% this year, or roughly 60 million ounces. The bank warns the market could flip from a structural deficit to oversupply, and that deficit was the core of the bull case. Oversold Readings Still Need a Catalyst As of October 27, LSEG data showed silver 25% below its 200-day moving average, a long-run trend line. That was the widest gap since the March 2020 pandemic liquidity crunch. Managed-money net longs, meaning the bullish positions held by speculators, are at their lowest since the first quarter of 2024, which can fuel a rebound once cooler inflation or falling hike odds show up. VT Markets principal analyst Daniel Munday calls $50 critical because the rally began there last November. What Could Turn SLV Around Before Silver Breaks $50 SLV holds physical silver, pays no income and charges an annual fee, so it tracks the metal closely. Through the October 29 close, it had fallen 26.61% year to date and 14.78% over one month, leaving it about 57% below its 52-week high of $109.83. The fund holds $26.61 billion in assets. SLV is still up 9.37% over one year, and spot silver is up about 4.4% over 12 months. But silver’s October slide of about 15.8% has it on track for a second straight monthly loss. Hike odds and weaker solar demand still point lower for silver, although thin speculator positioning leaves room for a rebound once the Fed outlook cools off, and short-term Treasuries pay income while hike odds stay high. A turn in silver’s trend would likely require the metal to hold $50 and December hike odds to drop well below 75%, so those are the two signals to watch. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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2026-10-30 10:01
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JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It | FMP Stock News | |
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JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM - Free Report) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.Over the past month, shares of this company have returned +3.1%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change. During this period, the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry, which JPMorgan Chase & Co. falls in, has lost 1.4%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction? Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision. Revisions to Earnings EstimatesRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings. Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements. JPMorgan Chase & Co. is expected to post earnings of $5.96 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +14%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -0.9%. The consensus earnings estimate of $24.97 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +22.8%. This estimate has changed -0.6% over the last 30 days. For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $25.87 indicates a change of +3.6% from what JPMorgan Chase & Co. is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +2.7%. Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, JPMorgan Chase & Co. is rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate: 12 Month EPS Revenue Growth ForecastEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial. In the case of JPMorgan Chase & Co., the consensus sales estimate of $51.1 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +11.6%. The $207.05 billion and $217 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +13.5% and +4.8%, respectively. Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryJPMorgan Chase & Co. reported revenues of $50.17 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +8.1%. EPS of $5.75 for the same period compares with $5.07 a year ago. Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $52.21 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -3.9%. The EPS surprise was -3.2%. Over the last four quarters, JPMorgan Chase & Co. surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates three times over this period. ValuationNo investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance. While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price. As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued. JPMorgan Chase & Co. is graded F on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade. ConclusionThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about JPMorgan Chase & Co.. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term. |
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JPMorgan Raises NII Outlook: Is JPM Stock Too Expensive? | FMP Stock News | |
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Key Takeaways JPM raises its 2026 NII forecast to $106.2B and projects roughly 10% NII growth excluding Markets in 2027.JPMorgan's average loans rose 10% to $1.6 trillion, while deposits grew 8% to $2.7 trillion in Q3 2026.JPM's 3.22X P/TB valuation, rising expenses and modest 2027 earnings growth outlook could limit upside. JPMorgan (JPM - Free Report) has raised its net interest income (NII) outlook for 2026, supported by steady loan growth, higher deposit balances and resilient customer activity. The banking giant also provided an encouraging preliminary NII outlook for 2027, suggesting that spread income momentum could continue into next year.In the third quarter of 2026, JPMorgan's NII increased 13% year over year to $27.1 billion. Its diversified business model, strong capital position and robust profitability further support its growth prospects. However, rising operating expenses, credit-related risks and a premium valuation remain concerns. Against this backdrop, should investors consider buying JPM shares? JPMorgan's Upbeat NII Outlook Signals Further GrowthJPMorgan's NII prospects have strengthened considerably, reflecting favorable business trends and an improving interest-rate outlook. Following its third-quarter results, management raised its full-year 2026 total NII projection to approximately $106.2 billion from the previously expected $105.5 billion. Similarly, NII excluding Markets is now anticipated to reach approximately $97.2 billion, up from the earlier projection of $96.5 billion. For the fourth quarter, management expects total NII of roughly $28 billion and NII excluding Markets of $25.5 billion. JPMorgan provided a preliminary central-case outlook for 2027 NII excluding Markets of approximately $107 billion. This suggests growth of roughly 10% from the implied 2026 level, signaling management's confidence in continued business expansion. The upbeat outlook is supported by sustained growth in lending and deposits, along with expectations of a favorable interest-rate environment. Higher loan balances and improved yields on interest-earning assets are expected to support interest income, while JPMorgan's extensive deposit franchise provides a competitive funding advantage. Nonetheless, management emphasized that its 2027 projections remain preliminary and depend on several economic and market assumptions. JPM's Loan and Deposit Growth Supports NII MomentumJPMorgan's robust balance sheet expansion reinforces its optimistic NII outlook. In the third quarter of 2026, average loans increased 10% year over year to $1.6 trillion, while average deposits grew 8% to $2.7 trillion. NII excluding Markets advanced 6% year over year to $24.7 billion, driven by higher deposit balances, increased credit card balances and growth in wholesale lending. These factors more than offset the adverse impact of lower interest rates. Continued lending demand across consumer and commercial businesses, coupled with deposit growth, is expected to support interest-earning asset expansion. Moreover, JPMorgan's diversified deposit base and established customer relationships provide a relatively stable funding source, strengthening its ability to sustain spread income. The improving NII outlook is not limited to JPMorgan. Bank of America (BAC - Free Report) expects full-year 2026 NII on a fully taxable-equivalent (FTE) basis to grow approximately 8% year over year, with growth of 8% or more anticipated for 2027. Likewise, Citigroup (C - Free Report) now expects NII excluding Markets to grow in the mid-to-high 6% range in 2026, an improvement from its previous forecast of growth at the high end of the 5-6% range. These encouraging projections indicate broader NII growth opportunities across major U.S. banks, supported by loan and deposit expansion and asset repricing. However, changes in interest rates, deposit pricing and economic conditions could influence the extent of future gains. Other Factors to Consider for JPMorganDiversified Operations Drive Strong Results: JPMorgan's investment appeal extends beyond its improving NII prospects. Its commercial and investment banking, markets, payments, credit card and asset management businesses provide multiple sources of earnings. The company generated net income of approximately $53 billion in the first nine months of 2026, supported by broad-based strength across its businesses. Results also reflected third-quarter investment securities losses and second-quarter gains related to Visa shares and certain equity investments. The Commercial & Investment Bank delivered particularly strong results. Revenues for the first nine months climbed 20% year over year to $71 billion, while investment banking fees rose 33%. Markets revenues increased 23%, aided by a 49% surge in equities revenues. Management indicated that the investment banking pipeline remained robust and expected activity levels to stay healthy, subject to market conditions. Similarly, Asset & Wealth Management performed well, with revenues rising 15% and assets under management reaching $5.21 trillion as of Sept. 30, 2026. Strong net inflows and higher market levels supported management fees, providing another source of income less directly tied to lending spreads. Capital Strength Supports Shareholder Returns: JPMorgan ended the third quarter with a standardized common equity Tier 1 ratio of 13.9%, underscoring its solid capital position and ability to withstand potential economic or credit-related stress. The company authorized a new $50 billion share repurchase program, effective July 1, 2026, and increased its quarterly dividend by 10% to $1.65 per share. JPMorgan's capital strength enables it to reward shareholders while continuing to invest in technology, branches, bankers and other growth initiatives. Similarly, Bank of America increased its quarterly dividend by 14% to 32 cents per share, while Citigroup raised its payout by 11.7% to 67 cents per share. Rising Expenses and Credit Risks Remain Concerns: Despite improving NII prospects and diversified revenue streams, JPMorgan faces challenges from rising operating expenses and credit-related uncertainties. In the first nine months of 2026, non-interest expenses increased 14% year over year to $81.5 billion, driven by higher compensation costs, technology investments and business expansion. Management also raised its full-year 2026 adjusted expense forecast to approximately $108.6 billion from $107.5 billion, primarily reflecting higher expenses associated with stronger business volumes and revenues. Although continued investments in technology, branches and personnel will likely support long-term growth, elevated spending could affect operating leverage and limit the benefits of higher NII in the near term. Credit-related risks also remain a concern. In the first nine months, provision for credit losses rose 20% to $53 billion. Potential economic weakness, deterioration in borrowers' repayment capacity and changes in interest rates could further pressure asset quality and profitability. JPM's Price Performance, Valuation and Earnings AnalysisJPMorgan shares have gained 6.6% so far this year, outperforming the industry's 1.3% growth. During the same period, Bank of America shares have declined 7.1%, while Citigroup has gained 7.7%. YTD Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research However, JPMorgan's valuation appears relatively expensive. The stock currently trades at a trailing 12-month price-to-tangible book (P/TB) multiple of 3.22X, higher than the industry's 3.03X. P/TB TTM Image Source: Zacks Investment Research In comparison, Citigroup and Bank of America trade at considerably lower multiples of 1.27X and 1.82X, respectively. The premium valuation reflects JPMorgan's strong profitability, diversified operations and leading market position. Nevertheless, it could limit near-term upside, particularly if earnings growth moderates or expenses remain elevated. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for JPMorgan's 2026 earnings indicates 22.8% year-over-year growth, while 2027 earnings are projected to rise 3.6%. Over the past week, earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027 have remained unchanged at $24.97 and $25.87 per share, respectively. Earnings Estimates Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Although earnings growth expectations remain positive, the relatively modest projected increase for 2027 and lack of recent upward estimate revisions suggest that much of the favorable operating outlook may already be reflected in JPMorgan's valuation. Should Investors Buy JPM Stock Now?JPMorgan's improved NII outlook for 2026 and encouraging preliminary projections for 2027 strengthen its earnings visibility. Robust lending and deposit growth, diversified revenue streams and a solid capital position should support profitability and shareholder returns over the long term. However, elevated operating expenses, credit-related uncertainties and the stock's premium valuation could limit near-term upside. Moreover, relatively modest earnings growth expectations for 2027 and unchanged consensus estimates suggest limited catalysts for substantial near-term appreciation. Hence, despite JPMorgan's strong fundamentals and improving NII prospects, its current valuation does not appear to offer a particularly compelling entry point. Existing investors may consider retaining their positions, while prospective investors could wait for a more attractive valuation before buying JPM shares. At present, JPMorgan carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. |
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2026-10-30 16:16
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2026-10-30 11:16
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No Tricks, Just Treats: 3 Dividend Stocks With Payouts You Can Trust | FMP Stock News | |
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A fat dividend yield can be the scariest thing in a portfolio when the underlying business is running on fumes. Three stocks have spent decades proving their payouts can survive recessions, patent cliffs, and commodity shocks, and the reason comes…On Halloween eve, the scariest thing an income investor can find is a yield that looks generous but is stressed. That is a payout the business can barely fund, and it tends to get cut at the worst moment. The treats are the opposite. Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ | JNJ Price Prediction), Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) and Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) each pass three tests: free cash flow covers the dividend, debt is manageable, and the payout record holds up against real dividend history. To show how deep that record goes, P&G just finished its 70th consecutive year of dividend increases. Johnson & Johnson: A Healthcare Giant Whose Cash Flow Carries the Dividend J&J runs two businesses. Innovative Medicine makes drugs for cancer, immune diseases and neuroscience, and MedTech sells heart devices, surgical tools, vision care and orthopaedics. Innovative Medicine brought in $16.38B, up 7.8% during the second quarter, and MedTech added $8.93B, up 4.5%. Oncology grew 17.3%, led by DARZALEX at $4.21B. Yield: The annualized forward dividend is $5.36 per share. With shares at $276.95, that works out to a yield of about 1.94%. The yield looks thin mostly because the stock is up 35.98% year to date. Anyone who bought earlier is taking in much more on their original cost. Payout coverage: In 2025, J&J produced $24.53 billion of operating cash flow and spent $4.832 billion on capital projects. That left about $19.7 billion of free cash flow against $12.381 billion in dividends, so the payout used roughly 63% of free cash flow. The pattern held through the first nine months of this year: $15.118 billion of free cash flow against $9.585 billion of dividends. Reported net income fell to $210 million in the September quarter, but operating cash flow still came in at $7.72 billion. That quarter’s dividend cost $3.227 billion. Dividends are paid out of cash, and the cash kept coming in. Balance sheet and track record: J&J is known for an AAA-rated balance sheet, and its sales are spread across many drugs and devices, so no single product supports the dividend. The board raised the quarterly payout 3.1% to $1.34, which made 64 consecutive years of dividend increases. The dividend history shows the quarterly amount climbing from $0.205 in 2002 to $1.19 in 2023, $1.24 in 2024, $1.30 in 2025 and $1.34 in 2026. The company declared its upcoming $1.34 payment on October 13 and has scheduled it for December 8. Why trust it: Free cash flow covers for the dividend with room left over, newer drugs are growing, and the raise streak has lasted through recessions, patent cliffs and lawsuits. For a retiree, that adds up to a reliable quarterly check. Risk: STELARA, once a blockbuster, is losing sales to cheaper biosimilar copies. Its revenue fell 55.2% to $740M in the second quarter, so newer drugs have to keep growing quickly to replace it. Procter & Gamble: Household Brands That Fund Seven Decades of Raises P&G makes the everyday products people keep buying in good times and bad. It sells in roughly 65 countries through five segments, with brands such as Tide, Pampers, Gillette, Charmin and Crest. All five segments posted organic growth in the fiscal first quarter, and Beauty, Grooming and Fabric & Home Care each grew 5%. Yield: The annualized forward dividend is $4.354. With the stock at $162.87, the yield is about 2.67%, the highest of these three. Payout coverage: P&G produced $15.84B of free cash flow in fiscal 2026, up 12.74%, and covers $10.232 billion in dividends. That means the dividend used about 65% of free cash flow. The new fiscal year started the same way, with $4.401 billion of free cash flow against $2.603 billion in dividends. Core EPS of $2.00 beat the $1.89 estimate. Management expects fiscal 2027 core EPS of $6.89 to $7.11 and plans to pay over $10 billion in dividends along with roughly $5B in buybacks. Balance sheet and track record: P&G finished the quarter with $15.37B in cash, up 37.5% from a year earlier, and $55.34B of shareholders’ equity. Its record is the longest of the three: 70th consecutive year of dividend increases and 136th consecutive year of dividend payments. The dividend history shows an unbroken run of quarterly payments since 1999, with the quarterly amount rising from $0.28 in 2005 to $1.0885 now. Its most recent increase raised the payout from $1.0568, and the next payment comes November 16. Why trust it: People buy detergent, diapers and toothpaste whatever the economy is doing. That steady demand turns into steady cash, and P&G has used it to raise the dividend every year for 70 years. Risk: Costs are rising. P&G expects an after-tax commodity cost headwind of about $1.4B in fiscal 2027, plus roughly $300M of higher net interest expense, and core gross margin already slipped 150 bps. That pressure could keep future increases small. Coca-Cola: An Asset-Light Beverage Machine With Rising Free Cash Flow Coca-Cola sells drinks in more than 200 countries and territories. Its brands include Coca-Cola, Sprite, Fanta, Powerade, Costa and fairlife. Most of its revenue comes from selling concentrate to independent bottlers, so it needs relatively few factories and trucks of its own. That keeps returns high: return on equity runs about 46.0% and operating margin about 28.7%. Yield: Coca-Cola yields about 2.2%, based on an annualized forward dividend of $2.12. Shares trade near $94.46 after a 37.75% gain so far this year. Payout coverage: In the first nine months of this year, Coca-Cola generated about $11.408 billion of free cash flow and covers $6.842 billion in dividends. The payout used roughly 60% of free cash flow. Management also raised its full-year free cash flow outlook to at least $13.0B, up from about $12.4B. Third-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.91 beat the $0.88 estimate, and global unit case volume grew 5%. Balance sheet and track record: Coca-Cola supports more debt than its peers here, but the load is manageable. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.47, net debt is 2.49 times EBITDA, and operating profit covers interest expense 8.32 times. The company has raised its dividend for 60+ consecutive years. The recent history confirms the pattern, with the quarterly payout rising each year from $0.41 in 2020 to $0.42, $0.44, $0.46, $0.485, $0.51 and $0.53 in 2026. The company declared its upcoming $0.53 payment on October 15 and scheduled it for December 15. Why trust it: Free cash flow covers the dividend and is still growing, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar grew 16%, and the company has raised its payout every year for more than six decades. Risk: Coca-Cola is in an ongoing tax dispute with the IRS, and a ruling against the company could have a potentially significant impact. A large payment would take cash that otherwise supports dividend growth. Three Treats Built for Dependable Retirement Income Johnson & Johnson, P&G and Coca-Cola offer moderate yields, and that restraint is why their dividends are reliable. Each pays out well under its free cash flow, keeps debt under control and has a dividend history measured in decades. On a night built for tricks, these three give an income portfolio a payout it can count on. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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2026-10-30 16:16
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2026-10-30 11:26
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JNJ's MedTech Segment Disappoints in Q3: Will Growth Rebound in Q4? | FMP Stock News | |
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Key Takeaways J&J's MedTech sales rose 2.5% to $8.64 billion, missing estimates and internal expectations.Abiomed weakness, competitive PFA pressures and international headwinds weighed on Q3 performance.New product launches, improving execution and Surgery's expected recovery could boost Q4 growth.Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ - Free Report) medical devices segment, known as MedTech, offers products in the orthopedics, surgery, cardiovascular and vision markets. The MedTech segment accounts for approximately 34% of J&J's total revenues. In MedTech, J&J is a global leader in electrophysiology, circulatory restoration and heart recovery. The company is increasingly focusing on high-growth opportunities in cardiovascular devices, surgical robotics and advanced vision technologies to drive long-term growth. J&J’s MedTech performance fell below internal expectations in the third quarter, mainly due to challenges in international markets, particularly in Cardiovascular and Surgery, as well as continued softness in the Abiomed business. Q3 Numbers of J&J’s MedTech SegmentSegment sales increased 2.5% year over year to $8.64 billion, with operational sales growing 2.5%. The segment's growth was substantially slower than the 7.7% reported sales growth recorded by the Innovative Medicine business. Moreover, MedTech revenues fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.77 billion. MedTech Sales rose 4.8% in the United States and 0.1% outside of the United States on an operational basis. Cardiovascular sales rose 4.3% to $2.31 billion. Electrophysiology revenues increased 4.9% to $1.49 billion, driven by procedure expansion, commercial execution and new product performance, partially offset by competitive pulsed field ablation or PFA pressures, particularly in Asia-Pacific. Shockwave sales grew 16.8% to $325 million, driven by continued adoption of coronary and peripheral products as well as new product launches. Abiomed sales declined 2.3% to $412 million in the quarter due to lower patient volumes. Over the past two quarters, MedTech’s Abiomed sales have declined due to slow procedural volumes driven by usage patterns. The slowdown followed a recent U.K. clinical trial that questioned the benefit of Impella devices in certain high-risk procedures, prompting physicians to reassess patient selection and adopt a more cautious approach to using the device. The impact of the U.K. study is expected to linger and hurt Abiomed’s growth until the PROTECT IV data is presented in 2027. PROTECT IV is a large clinical trial of the company’s Impella device in high-risk percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Worldwide Surgery declined 0.6% to $2.53 billion, primarily due to expanded volume-based procurement in China, the impact of J&J’s surgery transformation program, and Middle East disruptions to tender timing and ordering patterns. Worldwide orthopedics rose 3.2% to $2.35 billion, driven by new product launches and strong commercial execution. Worldwide Vision revenues increased 4.4% to $1.46 billion, driven primarily by higher growth in contact lenses and Surgical Vision, partially offset by inventory dynamics in contact lenses and disruptions in the Middle East in Surgical Vision. Outlook for J&J’s MedTech in Q4 and BeyondAlthough MedTech’s operational sales growth slowed in the second and third quarters of 2026, MedTech performance is projected to improve in the fourth quarter and beyond, supported by new product launches, improving commercial execution and stabilization in some of the businesses that faced challenges during the third quarter. The company emphasized that the underlying procedural environment remains stable across key markets, indicating that the recent slowdown primarily reflects company-specific and regional challenges rather than a broad-based deterioration in demand for medical devices. However, competitive pressures in electrophysiology, weakness in Abiomed and international market headwinds could continue to weigh on near-term growth. J&J expects Surgery to return to growth in the fourth quarter, driven by continued U.S. growth and an acceleration in EMEA. MedTech growth is expected to strengthen further in 2027. The FDA recently approved J&J’s OTTAVA, the world’s first table -integrated soft tissue robotic system, which is considered a key new product in its portfolio, along with the VARIPULSE pulsed field ablation system for atrial fibrillation. Increased adoption of these newly launched products should contribute to better growth in future quarters. The company expects U.S. approval of its next-generation VARIPULSE Pro catheter in the fourth quarter, following its recent approval in Japan, which should strengthen its position in the fast-growing pulsed field ablation market. J&J’s Key Competitors in the Medical Devices MarketJ&J’s MedTech unit faces strong competition from several major players in the medical device industry, such as Medtronic (MDT - Free Report) , Abbott, Stryker (SYK - Free Report) and Boston Scientific (BSX - Free Report) . While Medtronic has a strong presence in cardiovascular, neuroscience and surgical technologies, Stryker is a major player in orthopedics and surgical equipment. Boston Scientific markets products for cardiovascular, endoscopy, urology and neuromodulation. Abbott is known for its medical devices across cardiovascular, diagnostics and diabetes care. JNJ’s Price Performance, Valuation and EstimatesJ&J’s shares have outperformed the industry so far this year. The stock has risen 33.8% this year compared with 18.1% appreciation of the industry. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research From a valuation standpoint, J&J is slightly expensive. Going by the price/earnings ratio, the company’s shares currently trade at 23.97 forward earnings, higher than 19.13 for the industry. The stock is also trading above its five-year mean of 15.66. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings has declined from $11.54 to $11.12 over the past 30 days, while that for 2027 earnings has declined from $12.83 per share to $11.55 over the same time frame. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research J&J has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. |
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2026-10-30 16:16
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2026-10-30 11:02
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MO Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Higher Guidance and Nicotine Strategy | FMP Stock News | |
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Key Takeaways Altria's Q3 adjusted EPS rose 4.8% to $1.52, while revenues net of excise taxes grew 3.6% to $5.44B.MO raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.66-$5.74 as cigarette pricing supports resilient profitability.Altria's on! shipments climbed 13.3%, dividends and buybacks returned over $6B to shareholders in 9 months.Altria Group, Inc. (MO - Free Report) emphasized pricing discipline, smoke-free innovation and shareholder returns during its third-quarter 2026 earnings call. Management raised its full-year earnings outlook, supported by resilient profitability in its core cigarette business. Executives highlighted growth in the on! nicotine pouch portfolio, evolving regulatory developments and continued pressure on consumer spending. Analyst questions focused on cigarette volumes, export-related benefits and the profitability of emerging nicotine products. MO Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Higher RevenuesAltria reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.52 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.51. Earnings increased 4.8% year over year from $1.45 per share. Revenues net of excise taxes increased 3.6% to $5.44 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.3 billion. Total net revenues increased 1% to $6.13 billion. GAAP earnings rose 7.1% to $1.51 per share. Adjusted operating income in smokeable products increased 3.9% to $3.07 billion, while adjusted operating margin expanded 10 basis points to 64.5%. Altria Raises Full-Year Earnings OutlookExecutive Vice President and chief financial officer Heather Newman raised full-year adjusted earnings guidance to $5.66-$5.74 per share, representing 4.5-6% growth from the 2025 base of $5.42. Responding to a Stifel analyst, Newman attributed the increase to strong performance during the first nine months while maintaining investment in smoke-free products. Management emphasized that its outlook incorporates persistent consumer spending pressures, planned investments and continued uncertainty surrounding nicotine category dynamics. MO Defends Cigarette Profitability Amid Volume PressureNewman highlighted PM USA's pricing and portfolio strategies as central to maintaining profitability despite declining cigarette consumption. Reported domestic cigarette shipments declined 2.9%, while inventory-adjusted volumes fell an estimated 4%, compared with an estimated 5% industry decline. Marlboro maintained a 60% share of the premium segment. During questioning from UBS, CEO Salvatore Mancuso emphasized Cowboy Cut's role in retaining price-sensitive Marlboro consumers. He also attributed moderating industry volume declines partly to reduced consumer movement into illicit e-vapor products. Altria Expands on! Amid Intense CompetitionMancuso highlighted continued investment in Helix's on! nicotine pouch portfolio, including higher-strength products and additional flavors. On! shipment volumes increased 13.3% to 47.8 million cans. Its oral tobacco category retail share reached 8.3%, increasing 0.1 percentage point year over year but declining 0.3 percentage point sequentially. Responding to Barclays, Mancuso explained that new product launches contributed to some inventory movements. Management remains focused on expanding distribution, improving retail visibility and developing the brand despite competitive pricing pressures. MO Seeks Regulatory Clarity for Smoke-Free ProductsMancuso discussed legal action initiated by Helix and NJOY seeking a more predictable FDA product authorization process. Management welcomed the FDA's subsequent announcement of plans to reconsider its premarket tobacco application framework. Altria also emphasized sustained enforcement against unauthorized e-vapor products. During questioning from Goldman Sachs, Mancuso confirmed plans to return NJOY ACE to the market without specifying timing. He emphasized profitability and disciplined investment as priorities for the business. Altria Expands Shareholder ReturnsManagement highlighted strong cash generation supporting dividends, repurchases and investment in emerging products. The company returned more than $6 billion to its shareholders during the first nine months, including $5.3 billion in dividends and $735 million through repurchases. Newman confirmed a $1 billion expansion of the share repurchase authorization through December 2027. The company also increased its quarterly dividend by 4.7% to $1.11 per share, maintaining its progressive dividend growth objective. MO Maintains a Disciplined Growth ApproachManagement's overarching message emphasized protecting profitability in established tobacco operations while investing selectively in smoke-free alternatives. Mancuso and Newman maintained confidence in the company's financial outlook but acknowledged continued economic pressure on consumers, competitive nicotine markets and regulatory uncertainty. What Zacks Rank and Style Scores Indicate for MOMO currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), indicating a favorable near-term earnings estimate revision outlook under the Zacks framework. Its Value and Growth Score of C each indicates middling characteristics in those investment styles. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. However, the stock's Momentum Score of D and VGM Score of D indicate weaker momentum characteristics and a less favorable combination of value, growth and momentum factors. These scores temper the positive signal from its Zacks Rank. Although the Zacks Rank #2 indicates favorable relative performance potential over the next one to three months, the weaker Style Scores limit the strength of the combined signals. The Zacks Rank can change as analysts revise earnings estimates following the latest quarterly results. |
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2026-10-30 16:15
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2026-10-30 11:56
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD slumps nearly 60% from January peak as as downturn deepens | FMP Forex News | |
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Silver (XAG/USD) extends its decline on Friday, falling more than 5% and breaking below $50 to its lowest level since November 2025. The white metal is on track to lose around 18% in October, its steepest monthly decline since June, when it fell 22%. |
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2026-10-30 16:15
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2026-10-30 11:27
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Exxon earnings: $19B cash haul comes with a catch | FMP Stock News | |
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ExxonMobil's (XOM) latest earnings give investors something more useful than another headline about soaring oil profits: a test of how much cash the business can generate – and how much shareholders should expect to keep receiving. The energy giant reported third-quarter net income of $15.4 billion on October 30, with adjusted earnings of $4.23 per share beating the $4.08 LSEG consensus. |
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2026-10-30 16:15
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2026-10-30 11:36
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XOM Q3 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates on Strong Refining Margins | FMP Stock News | |
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Key Takeaways ExxonMobil's Q3'26 adjusted EPS reached $4.23, beating estimates by 8.5%, while net income rose 104.2% y/y.XOM's Energy Products segment generated $9.05B, benefiting from record refining margins and diesel yields.ExxonMobil generated $19.11 billion in free cash flow and returned $9.4 billion to shareholders in Q3 2026. ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM - Free Report) reported third-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $4.23 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.90 per share by 8.5%. The bottom line increased from the year-ago figure of $1.88 per share.Revenues of $113.16 billion topped the consensus estimate of $103 billion by 9.9% and increased 32.7% year over year from $85.29 billion. GAAP earnings per share (EPS) rose to $3.72 from $1.76 in the year-ago quarter. The strong results were primarily driven by record refining margins, operational efficiency and optimization activities. Higher profitability was supported by strong Energy Products performance despite disruptions in Middle East production. Upstream production totaled 4,496 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (Mboe/d). XOM Benefits From Strong Refining PerformanceExxonMobil's Energy Products segment generated adjusted earnings of $9.05 billion in the third quarter of 2026. The segment benefited from exceptionally strong refining margins as global supply disruptions constrained the availability of gasoline, diesel and other refined products. Refining capacity disruptions in Russia and the Middle East tightened product markets, supporting stronger margins. XOM's global refining network and optimization capabilities helped capture favorable market conditions. The company achieved record global diesel yields and North American diesel volumes during the first nine months of 2026. Energy Products sales totaled 5,753 thousand barrels per day (Mbd) in third-quarter. Global refinery throughput reached 3,735 Mbd, supported by strong utilization across the company's refining network. ExxonMobil's Upstream Operations Face HeadwindsXOM's Upstream segment reported adjusted earnings of $7.31 billion in the third quarter. Higher commodity prices supported earnings, while production disruptions in the Middle East and increased depreciation associated with advantaged investments weighed on performance. The company continued benefiting from production growth in Guyana and the Permian Basin. Permian output remained above 1.8 MMboe/d, supported by technology-driven improvements in recovery and capital efficiency. Middle East disruptions constrained production availability. The company reported regional production of approximately 550 Mboe/d, while shipping restrictions delayed recognition of certain sales and revenues in the UAE. XOM Sees Support From Chemical & Specialty ProductsExxonMobil's Chemical Products segment generated adjusted earnings of $725 million during the quarter. Record operational reliability and North American feedstock advantages supported profitability, although weaker chemical margins presented challenges. Chemical Products sales totaled 4,888 thousand metric tons. Strong operational execution and increased demand for high-value products in Asia Pacific supported the business despite elevated regional product availability and higher feedstock costs. Specialty Products contributed adjusted earnings of $1.28 billion, supported by favorable basestock margins. Sales volumes totaled 1,737 thousand metric tons, while the company's focus on differentiated products and structural cost reductions supported profitability. ExxonMobil's Expenses Rise Despite Efficiency GainsXOM's total costs and other deductions increased 23.6% to $91.93 billion from $74.36 billion. Crude oil and product purchases rose 37.1% to $65.72 billion, reflecting the higher cost of materials purchased during the quarter. Production and manufacturing expenses increased 11.1% to $11.22 billion from $10.09 billion. Depreciation and depletion expenses rose 5.1% to $6.80 billion, reflecting the impact of the company's expanding asset base and investments. Selling, general and administrative expenses declined 11.7% to $2.68 billion from $3.03 billion, providing some cost relief. ExxonMobil's cumulative structural cost savings have reached $16.9 billion since 2019, reflecting continued efforts to improve operational efficiency. XOM Records Strong Year-Over-Year Profit GrowthExxonMobil's income before taxes increased 94.3% to $21.24 billion from $10.93 billion. The improvement reflected stronger revenue generation and favorable refining conditions, which more than offset increased operating expenses. Income tax expenses rose 64.8% to $5.21 billion from $3.16 billion, reflecting higher taxable earnings. Despite the increased tax burden, net income attributable to ExxonMobil surged 104.2% to $15.41 billion from $7.55 billion in the year-ago quarter. The company's overall profitability benefited from its integrated operating model, which helped capture stronger refining margins amid global supply constraints. ExxonMobil Strengthens Quarterly Cash GenerationXOM generated $25.65 billion in operating cash flow during the third quarter, supported by strong earnings and operational performance. Free cash flow totaled $19.11 billion, reflecting cash generation after investments and other cash-flow adjustments. The company returned $9.4 billion to shareholders, including $4.3 billion in dividends and $5.1 billion in share repurchases. Cash capital expenditures totaled $7 billion, reflecting continued investments in advantaged projects and long-term production capacity. ExxonMobil Outlines Q4 & Full-Year 2026 OutlookExxonMobil expects full-year 2026 Permian production of approximately 1.8 MMboe/d. Its fifth Guyana production vessel is scheduled to begin operations late in the fourth quarter. Middle East disruptions are expected to keep approximately 350 Mboe/d offline. Higher scheduled maintenance in Product Solutions could affect performance. XOM expects full-year capital expenditures of $27-$29 billion and fourth-quarter corporate and financing expenses of $500-$700 million. The company plans $20 billion in share repurchases in 2027, subject to market conditions. XOM’s Zacks Rank & Other Key PicksExxonMobil currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Some other top-ranked stocks from the energy sector are Range Resources Corporation (RRC - Free Report) , Equinor ASA (EQNR - Free Report) and Eni S.p.A. (E - Free Report) . EQNR and E sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) each, while RRC carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks Rank #1 stocks here. Range Resources reported third-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of 81 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 70 cents per share. As of Sept. 30, 2026, RRC had total debt of $780.92 million and cash and cash equivalents of $12,000. Equinor reported third-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $1.20 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.38 per share. As of Sept. 30, 2026, EQNR had cash and cash equivalents of $6.30 billion. Eni reported third-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $2.13 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.92 per share. As of Sept. 30, 2026, E had total debt of $34.39 billion and cash and cash equivalents of $11.77 billion. |
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2026-10-30 16:15
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2026-10-30 11:45
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Exxon's Refineries Out-Earned Its Oil Wells Last Quarter For the First Time in 6 Years. Here's What That Says About Where the Profit Is Coming From. | FMP Stock News | |
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ExxonMobil (XOM +1.42%) reported robust third-quarter results. The global energy giant posted $17.5 billion of adjusted earnings, well ahead of the average analyst estimate of $16.6 billion. While its oil wells benefited from strong crude prices during the quarter, its refineries stole the show.Here's a closer look at ExxonMobil's third-quarter earnings report and what it means for an investment in the oil stock. Image source: Getty Images. Drilling down into Exxon's third-quarter earnings reportExxon's adjusted earnings of $17.5 billion were up more than 19% from the second quarter, even though oil prices were lower during the period. Adjusted earnings from its upstream oil and gas production business fell 20% to $7.3 billion, as cooling tensions in the Middle East caused oil prices to drift lower. The company's integrated operations helped more than offset that decline as its adjusted downstream earnings rocketed 120% to $9 billion. That was the first time in six years that its refineries earned more than its oil wells. Exxon capitalized on extremely robust refining margins, which were well above the 10-year average during the quarter. Higher margins added $4.7 billion in earnings to its energy products segment in the period. The company ran its U.S. Gulf Coast refineries at full capacity, reaching its second-highest diesel production level on record. XOM ExxonMobil$185.90+$2.61 (+1.42%) NYSE · As of 11:55 AM ET 10/30/26 What this means for future profitabilityExxon is clearly benefiting from the currently strong market conditions caused by war-related disruptions in the Middle East. It capitalized on those strong market conditions by operating exceptionally well. It also worked hard to increase supply during the quarter. While current market conditions certainly contributed to Exxon's strong quarter, the company has positioned itself to prosper. It has invested heavily to expand its advantaged assets (lowest-cost and highest-margin). For example, its investments in expanding its Beaumont refinery have enabled it to increase distillate production by 40% since 2019. Another aspect of Exxon's long-term strategy is delivering structural cost savings. Since 2019, it has captured $16.9 billion in savings, expanding its earnings power. This combination of high-return investments and cost savings is a lasting improvement that will help bolster its earnings long after the currently favorable prices and margins fade. While they won't completely offset a meaningful near-term decline in oil prices and refining margins, they'll help cushion the impact. Further, Exxon continues to press on with this strategy. Its 2030 plan aims to deliver $25 billion in earnings growth and $35 billion in cash flow growth at constant pricing and margins compared to 2024. That includes an expected $20 billion in cumulative cost savings compared to 2019. Robust refining margins don't tell the whole storyExxon's refineries were profit-producing machines during the third quarter. While robust refining margins certainly helped, the company's strategy of investing in its best assets and stripping out structural costs also boosted its earnings. Those improvements will last long after its refining margins normalize. |
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2026-10-30 16:15
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2026-10-30 09:34
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GM Announces a $20 Billion Stock Buyback With Shares Flat This Year. Longtime Investors Face a Different 401(k) Question | FMP Stock News | |
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GM just authorized $20 billion to buy back its own stock, but for a retiree with a quarter of their 401(k) tied up in a single automaker, that headline obscures a much more personal and costly calculation lurking in the…This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them. General Motors (NYSE:GM | GM Price Prediction) announced on October 20 that its board approved a new $20 billion multi-year share repurchase authorization with no expiration date. Investors shrugged. Shares sit near $81, essentially unchanged for 2026, even after rising about 17% over the past 12 months. Picture a 62-year-old who has owned GM since the early 2010s. His $500,000 401(k) has a brokerage window that allows individual stocks, and $125,000 of it, or 25%, is GM. He plans to retire at 65. The buyback headline does little to shrink the risk in his retirement math. What a $20 Billion Authorization Actually Promises Buybacks shrink the share count, so each remaining share claims more profit. GM’s shares outstanding fell to 849 million from 904 million at the end of 2025, which helped third-quarter adjusted EPS reach $3.70, beating the $3.63 consensus. The $20 billion is permission to buy, with no schedule attached. CFO Paul Jacobson said “We don’t give any forward commentary on what we’re going to do on buybacks for obvious reasons,” and said repurchases continue “as long as the valuation remains depressed.” Management also noted roughly $2 billion in commodity, logistics and memory chip costs this year, plus EV restructuring payments running into 2027. Higher EPS can still happen with a falling share price. GM closed at $82.75 on October 19, then fell to $77.09 on October 20, the day it reported earnings and announced the buyback. A 20% Slide Costs $25,000 Either Way Run the rough math. If GM drops 20%, his position loses $25,000, and the account falls to $475,000 with everything else unchanged. No buyback authorization prevents that. If he sets a 10% limit for any single stock, that means holding no more than $50,000 in GM, or $75,000 less than he owns today. At that weight, the same 20% drop would cost $10,000 instead of $25,000. Withdrawals Carry the Tax Bill on 401(k) Money Selling GM inside a traditional 401(k) causes no capital gains tax. The bill arrives at withdrawal, taxed as ordinary income, and that is where the cascade starts. Large withdrawals can also make up to 85% of Social Security benefits taxable. Medicare adds another potential cost. In 2026, the standard Part B premium is $202.90 a month. Married couples filing jointly with income above $218,000 enter the first surcharge tier, adding $81.20 for Part B and $14.50 for Part D per person each month. If both spouses are enrolled in Parts B and D, that’s about $2,297 in additional annual premiums. Medicare generally looks back two tax years, and the thresholds will change before this investor reaches 65. Concentration makes this worse. If GM falls when he needs cash from that position, he’ll have to sell more shares to raise the same amount. Born in 1964, he’ll generally face required minimum distributions (RMDs) at 75. Those withdrawals become mandatory, although he can choose which holdings to draw from, subject to his plan’s rules. Three Moves Before Your Next Statement Measure your single-stock weight across every retirement account. Divide your GM value by your total balance. The amount above a 10% weight is $75,000, and any rebalancing inside the 401(k) causes no tax today. Compare that exposure with the diversified funds already on your plan menu, such as an S&P 500 index or target-date fund, then read your plan’s rules on brokerage window trading, blackout periods and fees before rebalancing. If your shares sit in your employer’s own company stock fund rather than a brokerage window, get tax advice before selling, since special rules for employer securities may apply. Map future withdrawals against Medicare’s income thresholds, which change over time. The years between retirement and RMDs can offer opportunities to withdraw or convert pretax money in measured amounts (we sized up that window in a free Roth conversion guide you can grab here). GM shares move to the Nasdaq on Nov. 17, and CEO Mary Barra expects next year to be “another strong year and better than 2026” if demand holds and costs ease. A buyback reflects management’s plan for GM’s cash, while position size in a retirement account reflects the owner’s own risk tolerance. Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections. |
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Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know | FMP Stock News | |
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Verizon Communications (VZ - Free Report) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.Shares of this largest U.S. cellphone carrier have returned -5.1% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change. The Zacks Wireless National industry, to which Verizon belongs, has lost 4.2% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term? While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making. Earnings Estimate RevisionsHere at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock. Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements. For the current quarter, Verizon is expected to post earnings of $1.15 per share, indicating a change of +5.5% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -0.5% over the last 30 days. For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $5.07 points to a change of +7.6% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has changed +1%. For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $5.31 indicates a change of +4.8% from what Verizon is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +0.4%. With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Verizon. The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate: 12 Month EPS Revenue Growth ForecastEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial. For Verizon, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $37.16 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +2.1%. For the current and next fiscal years, $140.39 billion and $143.08 billion estimates indicate +1.6% and +1.9% changes, respectively. Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryVerizon reported revenues of $34.31 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +1.5%. EPS of $1.31 for the same period compares with $1.21 a year ago. Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $34.81 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -1.43%. The EPS surprise was +3.15%. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates just once over this period. ValuationNo investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance. While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price. The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an A is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued. Verizon is graded A on this front, indicating that it is trading at a discount to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade. Bottom LineThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Verizon. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term. |
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Is High-Yield Verizon a Stock a Buy Despite SpaceX Worries? | FMP Stock News | |
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Verizon Communications (VZ +3.17%) once again demonstrated that its customer-focused strategy shift is working by reporting its Q3 results. However, investors remain wary of the wireless space, as Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX -3.89%) appears poised to enter the market.With Verizon showing strong momentum but its stock down because of this potential threat, now could be a great time to buy this top telecom stock. Image source: The Motley Fool. SpaceX in focus Verizon CEO Dan Schulman didn't try to dismiss SpaceX's efforts to enter the U.S. mobile market, instead saying he is going in under the assumption that the company will do everything it says it will and execute flawlessly. However, Schulman said there are no shortcuts in building out a terrestrial network and that they will need 65,000 to 80,000 macro sites, backhaul, a combination of fiber and satellite, RAN (radio access network), and a whole lot of spectrum. He said this should take four to six years to fully build out and cost between $300 billion and $500 billion. Then SpaceX will need retail, customer service, and back-office systems. This will make SpaceX the sixth competitor in the marketplace. Schulman added that Verizon has been winning in a competitive marketplace despite two competitors essentially offering free wireless services. He added that there are also no backdoor routes into an MVNO (mobile virtual network operator) agreement, and granting one to a satellite provider would provide no benefit. Verizon's strength in Q3 was evident in another robust quarter of subscriber additions. It added 406,000 net postpaid phone subscriptions in Q3, an 820% year-over-year increase and its best Q3 performance in five years. It also added 137,000 net account additions, its best quarterly performance in a decade. Broadband customers, meanwhile, increased by 314,000. VZ Verizon Communications$45.05+$1.39 (+3.17%) NYSE · As of 11:57 AM ET 10/30/26 Even as its acquisitions rose, its acquisition cost fell 41% year over year, while retention costs declined by 30%. Postpaid churn, meanwhile, improved by 4 basis points to 94 basis points, and consumer postpaid churn fell 4 basis points to 87 basis points. Overall revenue rose 1.5% year over year to $34.3 billion, but this was offset by a 9% decline in equipment revenue, as the company reduced spending on device subsidies. Service revenue climbed 3.5% to $29.2 billion. Consumer revenue edged up by 1.3% year over year to $26.4 billion, with service revenue up 3.6%. The company's business unit was solid, with revenue climbing by 2.6% year over year to $7 billion. Overall adjusted earnings per share (EPS) jumped 8.3% to $1.31, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) climbed 8% to $13.8 billion. Looking ahead, Verizon raised its outlook for postpaid phone subscribers, now expecting to end the year with between 1.1 million and 1.2 million additions. It also raised its adjusted EPS growth to 7% to 7.5%, up from a prior outlook of 6% to 7%. Verizon also expanded its partnership with Amazon, signing a $2 billion infrastructure deal to provide AWS data centers with high-capacity fiber-optic connectivity. This followed a $1 billion agreement with Alphabet earlier this year. Time to buy the stock? Verizon is really hitting on all cylinders, adding new customers at a robust clip and signing its second large data center deal with a cloud computing company. Its customer-centric strategy is paying off, and it continues to have a big bundling opportunity following its acquisition of fiber-rich Frontier Communications. VZ PE Ratio (Forward 1y) data by YCharts With an over 6.5% dividend yield, an 11% free cash flow yield, and an 8-times forward P/E, Verizon stock has a nice secured payout, and the stock is cheap. While SpaceX potentially entering the market could remain an overhang, Verizon remains a top dividend stock to buy now on this recent pressure. |
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Why Home Depot (HD) is a Top Stock for the Long-Term | FMP Stock News | |
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Here at Zacks, we offer our members many different opportunities to take full advantage of the stock market, as well as how to invest in ways that lead to long-term success.The Zacks Premium service, which provides daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank; full access to the Zacks #1 Rank List; Equity Research reports; and Premium stock screens like the Earnings ESP filter, makes these more manageable goals. All of the features can help you identify what stocks to buy, what to sell, and what are today's hottest industries. It also includes the Focus List, a long-term portfolio of top stocks that have all the elements to beat the market. Breaking Down the Zacks Focus ListIf you could get access to a curated list of stocks to kickstart your investment portfolio, wouldn't you jump at the chance to take a peek? That's what the Zacks Focus List offers. It's a portfolio of 50 stocks that serve as a starting point for long-term investors to build their individual portfolios. The stocks included in the list are set to outperform the market over the next 12 months. One thing that makes the Focus List even more advantageous is that each pick comes with a full Zacks Analyst Report. This helps explain why each stock was selected and why we believe it's a good pick for the long-term. The portfolio's past performance only solidifies why investors should consider it as a starting point. For 2020, the Focus List gained 13.85% on an annualized basis compared to the S&P 500's return of 9.38%. Cumulatively, the portfolio has returned 2,519.23% while the S&P returned 854.95%. Returns are for the period of February 1, 1996 to March 31, 2021. Focus List MethodologyWhen stocks are picked for the Focus List, it reflects our enduring reliance on the power of earnings estimate revisions. Earnings estimates, or expectations of growth and profitability, come from brokerage analysts who track publicly traded companies; these analysts work together with company management to analyze every aspect that may affect future earnings, like interest rates, the economy, and sector and industry optimism. What a company will earn down the road also needs to be taken into consideration, and this is why earnings estimate revisions are so important. The stocks that receive positive changes to earnings estimates are more likely to receive even more upward changes in the future. Take this example: if an analyst raised their estimates last month, they'll probably do so again this month, and other analysts will follow. Harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions is where the Zacks Rank comes in. The Zacks Rank is a unique, proprietary stock-rating model that utilizes changes to a company's quarterly earnings expectations to help investors build a winning portfolio. Four primary factors make up the Zacks Rank: Agreement, Magnitude, Upside, and Surprise. Each is given a raw score that's recalculated every night and compiled into the Rank, and with this data, stocks are then classified into five groups, ranging from "Strong Buy" to "Strong Sell." The Focus List is comprised of stocks hand-picked from a long list of #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy) ranked companies, meaning that each new addition boasts a bullish earnings consensus among analysts. Because stock prices react to revisions, buying stocks with rising earnings estimates can be very profitable. Focus List stocks offer investors a great opportunity to get into companies whose future earnings estimates will be raised, potentially leading to price momentum. Focus List Spotlight: Home Depot (HD - Free Report) Based on net sales, The Home Depot Inc. is the world’s largest home improvement specialty retailer. At the end of second-quarter fiscal 2026, the company operated 2,364 retail stores and more than 1,340 SRS locations across all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Guam, 10 Canadian provinces and Mexico. The company offers a broad assortment of building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden items, décor products and installation services. It supports customers through stores, digital platforms and a large distribution and fulfillment network designed to serve both consumers and professional contractors. On October 15, 2015, HD was added to the Focus List at $120.27 per share. Shares have increased 173.53% to $328.98 since then, and the company is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank. For fiscal 2027, two analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.01 to $15.01. HD boasts an average earnings surprise of 2.9%. Moreover, analysts are expecting HD's earnings to grow 2.2% for the current fiscal year. Reveal Winning StocksUnlock all of our powerful research, tools and analysis, including the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research Reports, Zacks Earnings ESP Filter, Premium Screener and more, as part of Zacks Premium. You'll quickly identify which stocks to buy, hold and sell, and target today's hottest industries, to help improve the performance of your portfolio. Gain full access now >> |
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Home Depot: Delayed Macro Recovery Triggers Dip Buying Opportunity And Richer Yields | FMP Stock News | |
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16.31K FollowersAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. The analysis is provided exclusively for informational purposes and should not be considered professional investment advice. Before investing, please conduct personal in-depth research and utmost due diligence, as there are many risks associated with the trade, including capital loss. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body. |
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Unveiling McDonald's (MCD) Q3 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics | FMP Stock News | |
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In its upcoming report, McDonald's (MCD - Free Report) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly earnings of $3.36 per share, reflecting an increase of 4.4% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $7.28 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.9%.The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has undergone a downward revision of 0.2% in the past 30 days, bringing it to its present level. This represents how the covering analysts, as a whole, have reassessed their initial estimates during this timeframe. Before a company announces its earnings, it is essential to take into account any changes made to earnings estimates. This is a valuable factor in predicting the potential reactions of investors toward the stock. Empirical research has consistently shown a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and the short-term price performance of a stock. While investors typically use consensus earnings and revenue estimates as a yardstick to evaluate the company's quarterly performance, scrutinizing analysts' projections for some of the company's key metrics can offer a more comprehensive perspective. That said, let's delve into the average estimates of some McDonald's metrics that Wall Street analysts commonly model and monitor. It is projected by analysts that the 'Revenues- Franchised revenues- Total' will reach $4.52 billion. The estimate indicates a year-over-year change of +3.6%. Analysts forecast 'Revenues- Company-owned and operated sales- Total' to reach $2.57 billion. The estimate suggests a change of +0.4% year over year. The combined assessment of analysts suggests that 'Revenues- Franchised revenues- International Operated Markets' will likely reach $2.04 billion. The estimate suggests a change of +3.8% year over year. The consensus among analysts is that 'Revenues- Company-owned and operated sales- U.S.' will reach $767.49 million. The estimate points to a change of -2.9% from the year-ago quarter. Analysts' assessment points toward 'Systemwide restaurants - Total Systemwide' reaching 46,566 . The estimate compares to the year-ago value of 44,599 . Analysts predict that the 'Systemwide restaurants - Total International Developmental Licensed Markets & Corporate' will reach 21,740 . Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 20,323 in the same quarter last year. The collective assessment of analysts points to an estimated 'Comparable sales growth - International Operated Markets - YoY change' of 2.0%. Compared to the current estimate, the company reported 4.3% in the same quarter of the previous year. Analysts expect 'Comparable sales growth - International Developmental Licensed Markets & Corporate - YoY change' to come in at 3.3%. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 4.7% in the same quarter last year. The average prediction of analysts places 'Comparable sales growth - Total - YoY change' at 1.5%. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 3.6% in the same quarter last year. According to the collective judgment of analysts, 'Systemwide restaurants - Total International Operated Markets' should come in at 11,008 . Compared to the current estimate, the company reported 10,643 in the same quarter of the previous year. Based on the collective assessment of analysts, 'Systemwide restaurants - Total U.S.' should arrive at 13,819 . The estimate compares to the year-ago value of 13,633 . The consensus estimate for 'Systemwide restaurants - Company-owned and operated' stands at 2,004 . The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of 2,053 . View all Key Company Metrics for McDonald's here>>> Shares of McDonald's have demonstrated returns of +11% over the past month compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change. With a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), MCD is expected to lag the overall market performance in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> . |
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Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol on Q4: Getting the fundamentals right drove results | FMP Stock News | |
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Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Q4 earnings, margin growths, future initiatives and more. |
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