Track market-moving stories before they get noisy

I identify 55 Attractive Sustainable Dividend Dogs, with 27 in the "safe zone" where free cash flow yield exceeds dividend yield. Top ten ASDD stocks are projected to deliver average net gains of 35.62% by March 2027, with risk/volatility 7% below the market. NewtekOne, Graphic Packaging, and Copa Holdings lead projected returns, with NEWT estimated at 55.51% net gain.

On April 20, 2026, Reynolds Consumer Products Inc (REYN) shares fell 3.2% today, bringing the current price to $21.63. This performance comes amid a 52-week tra

Interparfums (NASDAQ:IPAR – Get Free Report) and Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN – Get Free Report) are both mid-cap consumer discretionary companies, but which is the superior business? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their analyst recommendations, earnings, institutional ownership, valuation, dividends, risk and profitability.

Insider and Institutional Ownership 55.6% of Interparfums shares are owned by institutional investors. Comparatively, 26.8% of Reynolds Consumer Products shares are owned by institutional investors. 43.7% of Interparfums shares are owned by insiders. Comparatively, 0.4% of Reynolds Consumer Products shares are owned by insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that endowments, hedge funds and large money managers believe a stock will outperform the market over the long term.

Risk and Volatility Interparfums has a beta of 1.25, indicating that its stock price is 25% more volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Reynolds Consumer Products has a beta of 0.61, indicating that its stock price is 39% less volatile than the S&P 500.

Dividends Interparfums pays an annual dividend of $3.20 per share and has a dividend yield of 3.5%. Reynolds Consumer Products pays an annual dividend of $0.92 per share and has a dividend yield of 4.4%. Interparfums pays out 61.1% of its earnings in the form of a dividend. Reynolds Consumer Products pays out 63.9% of its earnings in the form of a dividend. Both companies have healthy payout ratios and should be able to cover their dividend payments with earnings for the next several years. Interparfums has increased its dividend for 4 consecutive years.

Analyst Recommendations This is a breakdown of current recommendations for Interparfums and Reynolds Consumer Products, as provided by MarketBeat.

Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score Interparfums 0 3 3 1 2.71 Reynolds Consumer Products 0 7 0 0 2.00 Interparfums currently has a consensus price target of $105.20, suggesting a potential upside of 15.36%. Reynolds Consumer Products has a consensus price target of $23.60, suggesting a potential upside of 12.06%. Given Interparfums’ stronger consensus rating and higher probable upside, analysts clearly believe Interparfums is more favorable than Reynolds Consumer Products.

Earnings and Valuation This table compares Interparfums and Reynolds Consumer Products”s revenue, earnings per share and valuation.

Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio Net Income Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio Interparfums $1.49 billion 1.96 $168.39 million $5.24 17.40 Reynolds Consumer Products $3.72 billion 1.19 $301.00 million $1.44 14.63 Reynolds Consumer Products has higher revenue and earnings than Interparfums. Reynolds Consumer Products is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio than Interparfums, indicating that it is currently the more affordable of the two stocks.

Profitability This table compares Interparfums and Reynolds Consumer Products’ net margins, return on equity and return on assets.

Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets Interparfums 11.31% 15.76% 10.95% Reynolds Consumer Products 8.09% 15.86% 7.07% Summary Interparfums beats Reynolds Consumer Products on 14 of the 18 factors compared between the two stocks.

About Interparfums (Get Free Report)

Inter Parfums, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of fragrances and fragrance related products in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, European Based Operations and United States Based Operations. The company offers its fragrance and cosmetic products under the Boucheron, Coach, Jimmy Choo, Karl Lagerfeld, Kate Spade, Lanvin, Moncler, Montblanc, Rochas, S.T. Dupont, Van Cleef & Arpels, Abercrombie & Fitch, Anna Sui, Donna Karan, DKNY, Emanual Ungaro, Ferragamo, Graff, GUESS, Hollister, MCM, Oscar de la Renta, Ungaro, and Roberto Cavalli brands, as well as French Connection, Intimate, and Dunhill, Lacoste names. It sells its products to department stores, perfumeries, specialty stores, duty free shops, and domestic and international wholesalers, and distributors, as well as through e-commerce. The company was formerly known as Jean Philippe Fragrances, Inc. and changed its name to Inter Parfums, Inc. in July 1999. Inter Parfums, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

About Reynolds Consumer Products (Get Free Report)

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. produces and sells products in cooking, waste and storage, and tableware product categories in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Reynolds Cooking & Baking, Hefty Waste & Storage, Hefty Tableware, and Presto Products. The Reynolds Cooking & Baking segment produces aluminum foil, disposable aluminum pans, parchment paper, freezer paper, wax paper, butcher paper, plastic wrap, baking cups, oven bags, and slow cooker liners under the Reynolds Wrap, Reynolds KITCHENS, and EZ Foil brands in the United States, as well as under the ALCAN brand in Canada and under the Diamond brand internationally. The Hefty Waste & Storage segment offers trash bags under the Hefty Ultra Strong and Hefty Strong brands; and food storage bags under the Hefty and Baggies brands. This segment also provides a suite of products, including compostable bags, bags made from recycled materials, and the orange bags. The Hefty Tableware segment offers disposable and compostable plates, bowls, platters, cups, and cutlery under the Hefty brand. The Presto Products segment primarily sells store brand products in food storage bags, trash bags, reusable storage containers, and plastic wrap categories. It offers both branded and store brand products to grocery stores, mass merchants, warehouse clubs, discount chains, dollar stores, drug stores, home improvement stores, military outlets, and eCommerce retailers. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois. Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. is a subsidiary of Packaging Finance Limited.

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LAKE FOREST, Ill.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Q1 2026 Earnings Release.

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

© Travis Wolfe / Shutterstock.com

Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer at One Point BFG Wealth Partners, told CNBC on June 10 that the technical setup under the AI trade has gotten silly. “Stocks in the AI trade got so far above their moving averages that you just knew that usually chart patterns like that are unsustainable,” he said. His call is to trim stretched semiconductor and hyperscaler exposure and rotate into two industries that have spent most of the cycle out of favor.

The Technical Case: Why AI Looks “Unsustainable” Boockvar points to Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU | MU Price Prediction). “Micron at its peak was 200% above its 200-day moving average. It was 73% above its 50-day moving average,” he noted. MU is up 228.06% year-to-date and 745.57% over the past year, with its 14-day RSI peaking at 82.3684 on June 3, deep into extreme-overbought territory.

Micron has strong fundamentals, even though it looks overbought. Micron posted Q2 FY26 revenue of $23.86 billion, up 196.3% year over year, with GAAP gross margin expanding to 74.4%. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said, “In the AI era, memory has become a strategic asset for our customers,” in the company’s Q2 FY26 press release filed with the SEC.

Broadcom’s Selloff and Google’s Rare Equity Raise Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) stock fell 18.57% in the past week, despite CEO Hock Tan guiding for AI semiconductor revenue to “grow over 200 percent year-over-year to $16.0 billion” in fiscal Q3. The chip selloff erased roughly $1.3 trillion in market value on June 5, the PHLX semiconductor index’s deepest one-day loss since March 2020.

The more revealing signal came from Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL). “Google had to tap the equity market for the first time in 21 years after being such a cash gusher. I think it was a reminder of the state of things,” he said. Capex at Google more than doubled to $35.67 billion in the most recent quarter, and free cash flow fell 46.63% year over year. When the most reliable cash compounder of the past two decades is raising outside capital, the buildout has become genuinely expensive.

The Two Industries Boockvar Favors Instead His pitch: “My two favorite parts of the market are commodities, particularly energy, but also uranium and agriculture through fertilizer stocks, and also consumer staples stocks, and food and products like Reynolds consumer products, Kimberly Clark, Nestle, Campbell’s Soup.”

On the commodities side, Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) is up 25.4% year-to-date, with a forward P/E of 15. Uranium producer Cameco (NYSE:CCJ) is up 11.78% YTD. WTI crude last traded at $95.96 per barrel.

On staples, U.S.-listed names trade at multiples that are a fraction of what we’re seeing in the AI industry. While this is mostly deserved, many investors would argue they’ve become overlooked today. Kimberly-Clark (NASDAQ:KMB) carries a 5.11% dividend yield and a forward P/E of 13. Campbell’s  (NASDAQ:CPB) is down 18% YTD and yields 1.8%. Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN) yields 4.1%.

The Takeaway Boockvar’s argument is straightforward: stock valuations are stretched, companies are taking advantage by raising capital, inflation remains stubborn, and interest rates are staying higher than many investors expected. He is not predicting an imminent market crash, and upcoming CPI and PPI reports could still surprise to the upside or downside. Instead, he is suggesting that investors consider a more defensive approach if they believe the biggest gains from the AI-driven rally may already be behind us. Commodities and consumer staples are among the areas he favors, though they come with risks of their own.

CENTER VALLEY, Pa.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Shift4 (NYSE: FOUR) today announced the date for the release of its first quarter 2026 financial results. Q1 2026 Earnings Conference Call Shift4 will release its first quarter 2026 financial results pre-market open on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Management will also host a conference call at 8:30am ET to review these results. Conference Call Details Toll-free dial-in: +1-800-274-8461 Toll dial-in: +1-203-518-9814 Conference ID: FOUR1Q26 The earnings conference c.

Shift4 Payments (FOUR) offers high-reward potential despite a 63% drawdown since its ATH, driven by niche dominance and aggressive M&A. FOUR's transformative Global Blue acquisition adds leverage and complexity, but offers cross-sell opportunities and potential FCF growth as integration matures. Current capital allocation prioritizes a $1B buyback over deleveraging, amplifying risk but potentially highly accretive at current depressed share prices.

CHICAGO & CENTER VALLEY, Pa.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Shift4 (NYSE:FOUR), a global leader in integrated payments and commerce technology, has partnered with the Chicago Cubs to power the fan experience at Wrigley Field, one of Major League Baseball's most iconic ballparks. Shift4 will provide a comprehensive commerce ecosystem at Wrigley Field, processing payments for food & beverage concessions, retail sales, and Gallagher Way, the entertainment district adjacent to the historic ballpark. From th.

Analysts on Wall Street project that Shift4 Payments (FOUR - Free Report) will announce quarterly earnings of $0.99 per share in its forthcoming report, representing a decline of 7.5% year over year. Revenues are projected to reach $542.72 million, increasing 47.3% from the same quarter last year.

Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been adjusted upward by 1.8% to its current level. This demonstrates the covering analysts' collective reassessment of their initial projections during this period.

Ahead of a company's earnings disclosure, it is crucial to give due consideration to changes in earnings estimates. These revisions serve as a noteworthy factor in predicting potential investor reactions to the stock. Numerous empirical studies consistently demonstrate a strong relationship between trends in earnings estimate revision and the short-term price performance of a stock.

While investors typically use consensus earnings and revenue estimates as indicators of quarterly business performance, exploring analysts' projections for specific key metrics can offer valuable insights.

Bearing this in mind, let's now explore the average estimates of specific Shift4 Payments metrics that are commonly monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts.

It is projected by analysts that the 'Gross Revenue- Subscription and other revenues' will reach $117.41 million. The estimate indicates a year-over-year change of +26.8%.

Analysts predict that the 'Gross Revenue- Payments-based revenue' will reach $889.72 million. The estimate indicates a year-over-year change of +17.7%.

The consensus among analysts is that 'End-to-End Payment Volume' will reach $54.01 billion. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported $45.00 billion in the same quarter last year.

View all Key Company Metrics for Shift4 Payments here>>>

Over the past month, Shift4 Payments shares have recorded returns of +1.7% versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +10.3% change. Based on its Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), FOUR will likely underperform the overall market in the upcoming period. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> .

Shift4 Payments (FOUR - Free Report) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.97 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.99 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.07 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -2.02%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $1.57 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.6, delivering a surprise of +1.91%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times.

Shift4 Payments, which belongs to the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry, posted revenues of $549 million for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.16%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $368.5 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters.

The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.

Shift4 Payments shares have lost about 31.9% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 7.6%.

What's Next for Shift4 Payments?While Shift4 Payments has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?

There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.

Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Shift4 Payments was unfavorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.34 on $588.12 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $5.60 on $2.53 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.

Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Financial Transaction Services is currently in the top 41% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

Another stock from the same industry, PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS - Free Report) , has yet to report results for the quarter ended March 2026.

This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.40 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +29%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days.

PagSeguro Digital Ltd.'s revenues are expected to be $1.01 billion, up 22% from the year-ago quarter.

Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Shift4 Payments is rated Strong Buy with a 12-month price target of $72.80, reflecting undervalued global growth and margin expansion. Q1 results showed GRLNF up 49% YoY and adjusted EBITDA up 39% YoY, with management reaffirming robust FY guidance despite travel headwinds. Acquisitions like Global Blue and Bambora have transformed FOUR into a diversified global commerce platform, with international GRLNF guided to grow 25%+ in 2026.

Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) Presents at J.P. Morgan 54th Annual Global Technology, Media and Communications Conference Transcript

Jared Isaacman, 10% Owner, founder, and former CEO, reported the acquisition of 388,500 shares of Shift4 Payments (FOUR +10.72%) in multiple open-market transactions on May 11 and May 12, 2026, according to a SEC Form 4 filing.

Transaction summaryMetricValueShares traded388,500Transaction value~$15.9 millionPost-transaction shares (direct)1,787,455Post-transaction shares (indirect)20,922,737Post-transaction value (direct ownership)~$72.9 millionTransaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average purchase price ($41.04).

Key questionsHow does the scale of this purchase compare to Isaacman's historical trading activity?
At 388,500 shares, this is the largest single acquisition by Isaacman in the available historical record, exceeding the previous high for individual transaction volume, and reflects a material redeployment of capital into direct holdings.What is the post-transaction ownership structure and through which entities are indirect shares held?
Following the transaction, Isaacman directly owns 1,787,455 shares and indirectly controls 20,922,737 shares, primarily through Rook, for which he is sole stockholder, as well as trusts established for family members.Was the transaction timed around a material change in the company's share price or relative valuation?
The purchase was executed as shares were priced at around $41.04, near the May 12, 2026 market close of $40.78, following a one-year total return of (54.7)% as of that date, suggesting the buy occurred during a period of substantial price compression.What is the ongoing capacity for future insider transactions given the current holdings?
With direct holdings now at 1,787,455 shares and total beneficial ownership of 22.71 million shares, Isaacman maintains substantial capacity for future activity, especially via indirect holdings, which comprise over 90% of his aggregate position.Company overviewMetricValueRevenue (TTM)$4.45 billionNet income (TTM)$139 millionDividend yield (common shares)0%1-year price change-54.70%* 1-year price change calculated using a calendar year window.

Company snapshotOffers integrated payment processing, omni-channel card acceptance, proprietary gateway solutions, POS hardware/software, eCommerce platforms, and business intelligence tools.Generates revenue primarily from transaction fees, software subscriptions, and value-added services for merchants through a vertically integrated payments ecosystem.Serves merchants across hospitality, retail, eCommerce, food service, stadiums, and entertainment venues in the United States.The company leverages proprietary software and hardware solutions to deliver secure, integrated payment and commerce experiences for a diverse merchant base. Its competitive edge stems from vertical integration, broad omni-channel capabilities, and deep software integrations tailored to high-volume, complex environments.

What this transaction means for investorsShift4 Payments stock has struggled since its founder, Jared Isaacman, stepped down as CEO to become NASA Administrator. As previously mentioned, the stock has lost almost 55% of its value over the previous year.

Hence, it is notable that Isaacman would buy shares in the fintech stock at such a time. In most cases, buying shares of a stock is a sign of confidence. Still, one has to wonder if personal reasons motivate this sale or if Isaacman sees a true opportunity in the company he founded.

Today's Change

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The good news for investors is that indications appear to point to the latter. In the first quarter of 2026, revenue of just over $1.1 billion increased by 32% year over year.

Admittedly, this did not translate into higher profits as interest expenses spiked. Nonetheless, in a time where larger fintech companies have suffered from slower growth, Shift4 continues its rapid expansion. That could bode well for the company as it moves forward under a different leader.

Will Healy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Shift4 Payments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

On June 03, 2026, Shift4 Payments Inc FOUR shares fell 7.1% today, bringing the current price to $40.22. This move is part of a broader downward trend, with the stock experiencing a 36.1% decline year-to-date and a staggering 57.7% drop over the past year. The stock has traded between $39.61 and $108.50 over the last 52 weeks.

GF Value™ verdict: Current price of $40.22 is 63.7% undervalued compared to GF Value of $110.75.GF Score™ of 74/100 indicates the stock is rated as Above Average.Most notable signal: Insider activity shows that insiders bought $17.9M in the last 3 months, with no selling reported. Is FOUR Overvalued or Undervalued? Shift4 Payments Inc's current price of $40.22 is significantly below the GF Value™ estimate of $110.75, suggesting that the stock is undervalued by 63.7%. This presents a potential opportunity for investors, as the market may not be fully recognizing the company's intrinsic value. However, the GF Valuation label describes it as a Possible Value Trap, urging caution for those considering entry. GF Value™ is GuruFocus' proprietary measure of intrinsic value, calculated from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates.

The large margin of safety indicated by the GF Value™ suggests that there may be favorable potential for appreciation. However, the significant price declines observed in recent months signal underlying challenges that may need to be addressed. Investors should weigh the potential upside against these risks before making any decisions.

How Does FOUR's Valuation Compare to Its History? Metric Current Historical P/E (TTM) 47.3x 44.2x Forward P/E 7.2x N/A The current P/E (TTM) of 47.3x is above the 5-year median P/E of 44.2x, indicating that the stock is trading at a premium compared to its historical valuation. This analysis aligns with the GF Value™ verdict, suggesting that while the stock may be undervalued based on intrinsic value estimates, it is currently trading at a higher multiple than its historical average, which may raise concerns regarding its valuation sustainability.

What Does FOUR's GF Score™ Tell Us? Metric Rating GF Score™ 74 Financial Strength 4/10 Profitability 6/10 Growth 10/10 Valuation 2/10 Momentum 4/10 The GF Score™ of 74/100 indicates that Shift4 Payments Inc is rated as Above Average overall. The strongest area is Growth, with a perfect score of 10/10, suggesting robust growth prospects. However, the Valuation score is notably low at 2/10, which is a critical area of concern. The Financial Strength and Momentum scores are also relatively weak at 4/10, indicating that while the company may have growth potential, its overall financial health and momentum could present challenges.

What Are Insiders Doing with FOUR Stock? Recent insider activity shows a positive trend, with insiders purchasing $17.9 million worth of shares in the last three months and no reported selling. This significant buying could signal confidence in the company's future performance and may suggest that insiders believe the current price level is attractive. Such activity is often viewed favorably by potential investors, as it may indicate alignment between management interests and shareholder value.

What This Means for Investors Based on the GF Value™, Shift4 Payments Inc FOUR stock is currently undervalued. However, the significant premium in its P/E ratio compared to historical averages and the warning of a possible value trap suggest that investors should proceed with caution. The underlying challenges reflected in the stock’s recent performance may need to be addressed before fully capitalizing on the perceived opportunity.

For the complete analysis, visit the Shift4 Payments Inc FOUR stock page. You can also explore the GF Value™ page for detailed valuation methodology, or use the GuruFocus Stock Screener to find similar opportunities.

Frequently Asked Questions What is FOUR's GF Score™?

FOUR's GF Score™ is 74/100, indicating that the stock is rated as Above Average based on key financial metrics.

Is FOUR overvalued or undervalued?

FOUR is currently undervalued according to GF Value™, which estimates the fair value at $110.75 compared to the current price of $40.22.

What is FOUR's P/E ratio?

FOUR's P/E (TTM) is 47.3x, which is 7% above its 5-year median of 44.2x, indicating that the stock is trading at a higher multiple than its historical averages.

This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].

On May 20, 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc OLLI shares rose 3.2% today, closing at $82.27. Despite today's positive movement, the stock has experienced a significant decline, with a 52-week range between $73.32 and $141.74.

GF Value™ verdict: Current price of $82.27 is 30.8% below the GF Value™ of $118.85. GF Score™: 83/100 indicates a strong overall score. Most notable signal: Insiders sold $1.1M in OLLI stock over the last three months, with no buying activity. Is OLLI Overvalued or Undervalued? The current price of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc OLLI at $82.27 stands significantly below the GF Value™ estimate of $118.85, indicating that the stock is approximately 30.8% undervalued. This opens up an opportunity for investors who align with the belief that the market may be undervaluing the company's future potential. The GF Valuation label categorizes OLLI as "Significantly Undervalued," suggesting that there is a substantial margin of safety for potential investors.

However, while the valuation suggests an opportunity, it's essential to consider that the stock has underperformed in the past year, declining by 29.6%. This historical performance could signal potential risks that may affect the stock's future appreciation. GF Value™ is GuruFocus' proprietary measure of intrinsic value, calculated from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates.

How Does OLLI's Valuation Compare to Its History? Metric Current Historical P/E (TTM) 21.1x 30.5x Forward P/E 18.4x - The current P/E (TTM) of 21.1x is significantly below its 5-year median P/E of 30.5x, suggesting that the stock is trading at a discount compared to its historical valuation. This analysis is consistent with the GF Value™ verdict, reinforcing the view that OLLI is undervalued at its current price point.

What Does OLLI's GF Score™ Tell Us? Metric Rating GF Score™ 83/100 Financial Strength 6/10 Profitability 9/10 Growth 10/10 Valuation 4/10 Momentum 2/10 The GF Score™ of 83/100 indicates that Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc OLLI has strong potential for long-term returns, particularly in the areas of profitability (ranked 9/10) and growth (ranked 10/10), which are its strongest attributes. However, the valuation rank of 4/10 and momentum rank of 2/10 suggest that the stock may be facing short-term challenges and indicates caution for investors considering market timing.

What Are Insiders Doing with OLLI Stock? Recent insider activity has shown that insiders sold $1.1 million worth of shares in the past three months without any reported purchases. This selling could suggest a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term performance or could be a strategic decision unrelated to the company's fundamentals. Lack of insider buying may also indicate that those closest to the company do not see immediate upside potential, which could lead to caution among potential investors.

What This Means for Investors Based on the GF Value™ analysis, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc OLLI is currently undervalued. While the stock presents a potential opportunity for long-term growth, investors should remain mindful of the recent insider selling and the company's historical performance. Carefully weighing these factors will be essential for making informed decisions moving forward.

For the complete analysis, visit the Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc OLLI stock page. You can also explore the GF Value™ page for detailed valuation methodology, or use the GuruFocus Stock Screener to find similar opportunities.

Frequently Asked Questions What is OLLI's GF Score™?

OLLI's GF Score™ is 83/100, indicating a strong overall rating based on key factors that can contribute to long-term performance.

Is OLLI overvalued or undervalued?

According to the GF Value™, OLLI is currently undervalued by 30.8%, suggesting a favorable opportunity for long-term investors.

What is OLLI's P/E ratio?

OLLI's P/E (TTM) is 21.1x, which is significantly lower than its 5-year median P/E of 30.5x, indicating that the stock is trading at a discount compared to historical valuations.

This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].

The market expects Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI - Free Report) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended April 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The earnings report, which is expected to be released on June 3, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.

While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.

Zacks Consensus EstimateThis retailer is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.87 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +16%.

Revenues are expected to be $665.76 million, up 15.4% from the year-ago quarter.

Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.

Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.

Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.

A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.

Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).

How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Ollie's Bargain Outlet?For Ollie's Bargain Outlet, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -2.49%.

On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4.

So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Ollie's Bargain Outlet will beat the consensus EPS estimate.

Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.

For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Ollie's Bargain Outlet would post earnings of $1.38 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.39, delivering a surprise of +0.72%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times.

Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.

That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.

Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.

The upcoming report from Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI - Free Report) is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $0.87 per share, indicating an increase of 16% compared to the year-ago period. Analysts forecast revenues of $665.76 million, representing an increase of 15.4% year over year.

Over the last 30 days, there has been no revision in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter. This signifies the covering analysts' collective reconsideration of their initial forecasts over the course of this timeframe.

Before a company reveals its earnings, it is vital to take into account any changes in earnings projections. These revisions play a pivotal role in predicting the possible reactions of investors toward the stock. Multiple empirical studies have consistently shown a strong association between trends in earnings estimates and the short-term price movements of a stock.

While investors usually depend on consensus earnings and revenue estimates to assess the business performance for the quarter, delving into analysts' forecasts for certain key metrics often provides a more comprehensive understanding.

In light of this perspective, let's dive into the average estimates of certain Ollie's Bargain Outlet metrics that are commonly tracked and forecasted by Wall Street analysts.

Analysts' assessment points toward 'Number of new stores' reaching 26 . The estimate compares to the year-ago value of 25 .

The average prediction of analysts places 'Number of stores open at the beginning of period' at 645 . Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 559 in the same quarter last year.

The combined assessment of analysts suggests that 'Number of stores - End of period' will likely reach 671 . Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 584 in the same quarter last year.

View all Key Company Metrics for Ollie's Bargain Outlet here>>>

Over the past month, shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet have returned -4.6% versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +6% change. Currently, OLLI carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), suggesting that it may underperform the overall market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> .

Earnings Ahead of Expectations

Net Sales Increased 14%, Earnings Per Share Increased 19%, and Adjusted Earnings Per Share Increased 21%

Raising Fiscal 2026 Earnings Per Share Outlook

HARRISBURG, Pa., June 03, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: OLLI) (the “Company”) today announced financial results for the first quarter ended May 2, 2026.

“We are very pleased with our first quarter results and the outstanding performance of our team,” said Eric van der Valk, President and Chief Executive Officer. “We delivered strong earnings growth driven by solid top line results and unit growth, robust margins, and disciplined expense control. These results underscore the durability of our business model, the strength of our value proposition, and our ability to execute through a challenging consumer backdrop.”

Mr. van der Valk continued, “On top of delivering strong earnings growth in the quarter, we continue to execute well against our strategic initiatives. We opened 27 new stores, grew our Ollie’s Army membership base by 13%, made progress on our category productivity initiatives, reinvested in our supply chain, and returned $53 million to shareholders through share repurchases in the first quarter. Based on our solid start to the year, we are raising our earnings per share outlook for fiscal 2026.”

 Thirteen weeks ended May 2, May 3,Dollars in thousands, except per share data 2026   2025 Net sales$658,928  $576,767 Yr/yr change 14.2%  13.4%Comparable store sales change(1) 1.7%  2.6%Net income$56,400  $47,560 Net income per diluted share$0.92  $0.77 Adjusted net income per diluted share$0.91  $0.75 Yr/yr change 21.3%  2.7%Adjusted EBITDA$87,892  $72,159 % of net sales 13.3%  12.5%Store openings 27   25 Store growth, yr/yr change 15.1%  13.2%    (1)Calculated based on the comparable number of weeks from the prior year.        First Quarter 2026 Highlights and Year-Over-Year Comparisons

Opened 27 new stores and ended the quarter with 672 stores in 35 states, an increase of 15.1%.Ollie’s Army loyalty members increased 12.6% to 17.5 million members.Net sales increased 14.2% to $658.9 million, driven by new store unit growth and an increase in comparable store sales.Comparable store sales increased 1.7%, driven primarily by an increase in basket.Gross margin increased 80 basis points to 41.9%. This was above our expectation and driven by lower supply chain costs and a modest increase in merchandise margin.Selling, general, and administrative (“SG&A”) expenses as a percentage of net sales was flat at 28.6%.Pre-opening expenses decreased 3.2% to $6.4 million, primarily driven by lower dark rent expense associated with the bankruptcy acquired stores, partially offset by an increase in store openings.Adjusted net income increased 21.3% to $55.9 million and adjusted net income per diluted share increased 21.3% to $0.91.Total cash and investments increased 26.7%, or $110.7 million, to $525.6 million. This included cash and cash equivalents of $197.7 million, short-term investments of $51.9 million, and long-term investments of $276.0 million.The Company invested $53.4 million of cash to repurchase 542,486 shares of its common stock. At the end of the first quarter, $205.4 million remained available for future share repurchases under the current share repurchase authorization. Outlook

The Company is raising its earnings per share outlook for the 2026 fiscal year ending January 30, 2027. A table comparing the current outlook metrics to the previous outlook metrics is below. These metrics do not assume any impact from IEEPA tariff refunds.

 Current Previous New store openings75 75 Net sales$2.980 to $3.000 billion $2.985 to $3.013 billion Comparable store sales growth~2% ~2% Gross margin~40.7% ~40.5% Operating income$340 to $348 million $339 to $348 million Adjusted net income (1)(2)$271 to $277 million $270 to $277 million Adjusted net income per diluted share(1)(2)$4.45 to $4.55 $4.40 to $4.50 Annual effective tax rate(2)~25% ~25% Diluted weighted average shares outstanding~60.9 million ~61.4 million Capital expenditures$103 to $113 million $103 to $113 million Share repurchases~$125 million ~$100 million      (1) Includes interest income of approximately $21 million.    (2) Excludes the excess tax benefits related to stock-based compensation, as the Company cannot predict such estimates without      unreasonable effort.          Conference Call Information

A conference call to discuss first quarter 2026 financial results is scheduled for today, June 3, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. To access the live conference call, please preregister here. Registrants will receive a confirmation with dial-in instructions. Interested parties can also listen to a live webcast or replay of the conference call by logging on to the Investor Relations section on the Company’s website at https://investors.ollies.com/. A replay of the conference call webcast will be available on the investor relations website for one year.

About Ollie’s

Ollie’s is a leading off-price retailer of brand name household products. Since our founding in 1982, our mission has been to sell Good Stuff Cheap®. We do this through a flexible buying model that focuses on closeout merchandise and excess inventory from suppliers and manufacturers around the world. Our stores offer Real Brands! Real Bargains! ® in a treasure hunt environment at prices up to 70% below traditional retailers. As of May 2, 2026, we operated 672 stores in 35 states and growing! For more information, visit www.ollies.com.

Non-GAAP Reconciliation

The Company’s results are reported in this press release on a GAAP and as adjusted, non-GAAP basis. Adjusted net income (loss), Adjusted net income (loss) per diluted share, EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP measures, and are not intended to replace GAAP financial information, and may be different from non-GAAP measures reported by other companies. The Company believes the income and expense items excluded as non-GAAP adjustments are not reflective of the performance of its core business, and that providing this supplemental disclosure to investors will facilitate comparisons of the past and present performance of its core business.

Please refer to the “Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures” table included in this press release, which sets forth the non-GAAP operating adjustments for the 13-week periods ended May 2, 2026 and May 3, 2025.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains certain forward-looking statements, which includes but is not limited to statements regarding industry trends, value creation, customer trends, new stores, distribution centers, and various financial outlook figures, including new store openings, net sales, comparable store sales, gross margin, SG&A, operating income, net income, adjusted net income, adjusted net income per diluted share, effective tax rate, diluted weighted average shares outstanding and capital expenditures. All forward-looking statements are subject to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, are subject to the finalization of the Company’s quarterly financial and accounting procedures, and may be affected by certain risks and uncertainties, any one, or a combination, of which could materially affect the results of the Company’s operations. Forward-looking statements are usually identified by or are associated with such words as “could”, “may”, “might”, “will,” “likely”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “believes”, “estimates”, “expects”, “continues”, “projects”, “forecasts”, and similar terminology. Actual results could vary materially from the expectations reflected in these statements. As with any business, all phases of our operations are subject to factors outside of our control. These factors include, without limitation, the impact of the recent tariff announcements and the corresponding macroeconomic pressures and those factors discussed in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Reports or Form 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Company are based on knowledge of its business and the environment in which it operates, but because of the factors listed above, actual results could differ materially from those reflected by any forward-looking statements. Consequently, all of the forward-looking statements made are qualified by these cautionary statements and those contained in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. There can be no assurance that the results or developments anticipated by the Company will be realized or, even if substantially realized, that they will have the expected consequences to or effects on the Company or its business and operations. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. The Company does not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as required by law.

Investor Contact

John Rouleau
Managing Director of Corporate Communication & Business Development
[email protected]

Media Contact

Tom Kuypers
Senior Vice President, Marketing
[email protected]

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)
(In thousands except for per share amounts)

     Thirteen weeks ended May 2, May 3,  2026   2025     Net sales$658,928  $576,767 Cost of sales 382,964   339,736 Gross profit 275,964   237,031 Selling, general and administrative expenses 188,682   164,832 Depreciation and amortization expenses 11,283   9,357 Pre-opening expenses 6,442   6,656 Operating income 69,557   56,186 Interest income, net (4,966)  (4,788)Income before income taxes 74,523   60,974 Income tax expense 18,123   13,414 Net income$56,400  $47,560 Earnings per common share:   Basic$0.93  $0.78 Diluted$0.92  $0.77 Weighted average common shares outstanding:   Basic 60,884   61,343 Diluted 61,191   61,816     Percentage of net sales:   Net sales 100.0%  100.0%Cost of sales 58.1   58.9 Gross profit 41.9   41.1 Selling, general and administrative expenses 28.6   28.6 Depreciation and amortization expenses 1.7   1.6 Pre-opening expenses 1.0   1.2 Operating income 10.6   9.7 Interest income, net (0.8)  (0.8)Income before income taxes 11.3   10.6 Income tax expense 2.8   2.3 Net income 8.6%  8.2%    Components may not add to totals due to rounding.    Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(In thousands)

 May 2, May 3,Assets 2026   2025 Current assets:   Cash and cash equivalents$197,673  $199,018 Short-term investments 51,886   170,490 Inventories 686,922   611,852 Accounts receivable 4,887   2,348 Prepaid expenses and other current assets 19,621   14,313 Total current assets 960,989   998,021 Property and equipment, net 398,308   346,151 Operating lease right-of-use assets 680,820   639,664 Goodwill 444,850   444,850 Trade name 230,559   230,559 Long-term investments 276,038   45,355 Other assets 2,335   2,379 Total assets$2,993,899  $2,706,979 Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity   Current liabilities:   Current portion of long-term debt$844  $566 Accounts payable 154,751   137,869 Income taxes payable 25,952   14,364 Current portion of operating lease liabilities 111,764   99,767 Accrued expenses and other current liabilities 120,909   95,238 Total current liabilities 414,220   347,804 Long-term debt 1,513   925 Deferred income taxes 91,905   81,006 Long-term portion of operating lease liabilities 596,175   547,431 Total liabilities 1,103,813   977,166 Stockholders’ equity:   Common stock 68   68 Additional paid-in capital 760,276   739,333 Retained earnings 1,664,709   1,415,273 Treasury - common stock (534,967)  (424,861)Total stockholders’ equity 1,890,086   1,729,813 Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity$2,993,899  $2,706,979  Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (unaudited)
(In thousands)

     Thirteen weeks ended May 2, May 3,  2026   2025 Net cash provided by operating activities$45,501  $28,702 Net cash used in investing activities (49,561)  (18,266)Net cash used in financing activities (57,947)  (16,541)Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents (62,007)  (6,105)Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of the period 259,680   205,123 Cash and cash equivalents, end of the period$197,673  $199,018  Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures (unaudited)
(In thousands except for per share amounts)

 Thirteen weeks ended May 2, May 3,  2026   2025     Net income$56,400  $47,560 Excess tax benefits related to stock-based compensation(1) (494)  (1,487)Adjusted net income$55,906  $46,073     Net income per diluted share$0.92  $0.77 Adjustments as noted above, per dilutive share:   Excess tax benefits related to stock-based compensation(1) (0.01)  (0.02)Adjusted net income per diluted share$0.91  $0.75     Diluted weighted-average common shares outstanding 61,191   61,816     Net income$56,400  $47,560 Interest income, net (4,966)  (4,788)Depreciation and amortization expenses 14,934   12,809 Income tax expense 18,123   13,414 EBITDA 84,491   68,995 Non-cash stock-based compensation expense 3,401   3,164 Adjusted EBITDA$87,892  $72,159         Components may not add to totals due to rounding.   (1)Amount represents the impact from the recognition of excess tax benefits pursuant to Accounting Standards Update 2016-09, Stock Compensation     Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Key Statistics (unaudited)
(Dollars in thousands)

     Thirteen weeks ended May 2, May 3,  2026   2025 Number of stores - beginning of period 645   559 Store openings 27   25 Store closings -   - Number of stores - end of period 672   584 Yr/yr store growth 15.1%  13.2%Comparable stores sales change 1.7%  2.6%Comparable store count – end of period 557   508 Total cash and investments(1)$525,597  $414,863 Capital expenditures$25,474  $26,740 Share repurchases$53,366  $17,107     (1)Includes cash and cash equivalents, short-term investments, and long-term investments.       

MarketBeat Week in Review – 03/16 - 03/20Ollie's Bargain Outlet NASDAQ: OLLI reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results that management said reflected solid sales growth, stronger margins and disciplined expense control, even as weather volatility and higher fuel prices weighed on some regions and categories.

President and Chief Executive Officer Eric Vander Veen said the closeout retailer delivered “strong earnings growth” despite a challenging consumer backdrop. He said sales and traffic were strong early in the quarter, but trends diverged as the period progressed, with unseasonable weather and surging fuel prices pressuring categories such as lawn and garden and summer furniture.

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Five Below's Earnings Blowout Has Wall Street Scrambling to Raise Targets“With our stores being located in more rural and suburban areas, we also think the rapid spike in gas prices led to some trip consolidation which impacted traffic,” Vander Veen said.

First-quarter sales rise 14% Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Robert Helm said net sales increased 14% to $659 million, driven by new store openings and comparable-store sales growth. Comparable-store sales rose 1.7%, driven primarily by higher basket size. Traffic was positive but only slightly so, which Helm said reflected the impact of trip consolidation.

Ollie’s Stock Won’t Stay a Bargain Much LongerTop-performing categories included food, general merchandise, hardware, seasonal decor and stationery. Weather-sensitive categories, including lawn and garden and summer furniture, underperformed.

Helm said performance varied meaningfully by region. The East, Midwest and Central markets outperformed their plans by 100 to 200 basis points, while the South lagged by 100 to 300 basis points, with lawn and garden the largest drag. Slower sales of bulky seasonal products also created throughput constraints at the company’s Texas distribution center, affecting the southern region.

Gross margin rose 80 basis points to 41.9%, ahead of company expectations, helped by lower supply chain costs. Helm said higher fuel costs were more than offset by lower tariff expenses, while merchandise margin was slightly higher.

Adjusted net income increased 21% to $56 million, and adjusted earnings per share rose to $0.91. Adjusted EBITDA increased 22% to $88 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin up 80 basis points to 13.3%.

Consumer pressure shifts shopping patterns Management said consumers are increasingly shopping closer to need, particularly lower-income shoppers affected by higher gas prices and longer drives to stores. Vander Veen said Ollie’s saw stronger trade-down activity among higher-income customers, which he defined as households earning more than $100,000, but also an acceleration in lower-income customers trading out.

“Customers bought what they needed, very close to need,” Vander Veen said during the question-and-answer session. He added that consumables remained very strong, while nonessential purchases, including weather-related seasonal items, were deferred.

Vander Veen said the company has seen “green shoots” when weather conditions improve for several days in specific regions, including stronger traffic and recovery in seasonal categories. Helm said second-quarter comparable sales are currently running below the company’s full-year comparable-store sales target, largely due to continued weather volatility and pressure on lower-income consumers, but the company believes second-quarter comps could look similar to the first quarter.

Store growth and loyalty program remain priorities Ollie’s opened 27 new stores in the first quarter and ended the period with 672 stores in 35 states. The company reiterated its plan to open 75 stores this year, including its first store in Minnesota, and said it is expanding rapidly in the Midwest.

Management also highlighted continued growth in the Ollie’s Army loyalty program, which Vander Veen said accounts for more than 80% of company sales. Helm said Ollie’s added nearly 500,000 net new members during the quarter, bringing the program to 17.5 million members, up 13% from a year earlier.

The company plans several loyalty events in the second quarter, including Ollie’s Army Night and Ollie’s Army Days. Vander Veen said the company is working to make those events more compelling and to use digital marketing channels to drive urgency around relevant products.

Merchandising and supply chain investments continue Vander Veen said Ollie’s continues to use data and a test-and-learn process to improve sales productivity across the store. Seasonal decor remained one of the company’s top categories despite the headwind of an early Easter.

The company also reduced its wall-to-wall carpet offering and replaced the space with living room furniture. Vander Veen said the added furniture assortment improved sales productivity by more than 100% in the same floor space. During the Q&A, he said Ollie’s is no longer putting wall-to-wall carpet in new stores, with furniture being added in most new locations.

Ollie’s is also reviewing downtrending categories such as books and flooring. Vander Veen said the company remains committed to both businesses but is evaluating how to rightsize and reposition them.

On supply chain, the company completed a warehouse execution system replacement at its Texas distribution center, the final facility in the network to receive the upgrade. Vander Veen said the Texas distribution center expansion remains on schedule for completion early in the third quarter, and the company plans to begin expanding its Illinois distribution center later this year. Together, those projects are expected to increase network capacity to more than 850 stores.

Guidance updated as earnings outlook rises Ollie’s updated its full-year outlook, lowering its sales range slightly to reflect current trends while raising its earnings outlook following the first-quarter performance. The company now expects:

75 new store openings; Net sales of $2.98 billion to $3.00 billion; Comparable-store sales growth of about 2%; Gross margin of about 40.7%; Operating income of $340 million to $348 million; Adjusted net income of $271 million to $277 million; Adjusted earnings per share of $4.45 to $4.55. The outlook assumes higher fuel costs for the rest of the year and does not include any benefit from potential tariff refunds. Helm said the company benefited from lower tariff levels tied to a SCOTUS decision and assumes those remain in place through July, while the second half of the year reflects higher pre-SCOTUS tariff assumptions.

Ollie’s ended the quarter with $526 million in cash and investments and no meaningful long-term debt. The company repurchased $53 million of its common stock in the quarter and raised its planned buyback level for the year to $125 million, which Helm said is roughly 50% of free cash flow.

Vander Veen said the company’s closeout deal flow remains strong as consumer pressure and retail consolidation create opportunities. “Simply put, we continue to see an increase in both the quantity and the quality of the deals,” he said.

About Ollie's Bargain Outlet NASDAQ: OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet is an American discount retailer specializing in closeout merchandise and surplus inventory across a broad range of categories. The company operates a no-frills retail format that offers branded and private-label products at significant markdowns. Its merchandise mix typically includes housewares, electronics, health and beauty items, food products, beauty supplies, books, toys, and seasonal goods.

Founded in 1982 by Oliver E. “Ollie” Rosenberg, the company is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].

Should You Invest $1,000 in Ollie's Bargain Outlet Right Now?Before you consider Ollie's Bargain Outlet, you'll want to hear this.

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Ollie's Bargain Outlet: Store Openings Drive Growth (Rating Upgrade)

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

The market has Ollie’s Bargain Outlet NASDAQ: OLLI completely wrong, pricing it as a dollar store rather than a closeout retailer, which is what it is. Close-out retailers rely on end-of-season, surplus, and excess inventory from major retailers and manufacturers, snagging deep discounts they pass on to their shoppers.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Today

OLLI

Ollie's Bargain Outlet

$83.65 +5.35 (+6.83%)

As of 06/11/2026 04:00 PM Eastern

52-Week Range$73.32▼

$141.74P/E Ratio20.65

Price Target$125.13

On the other hand, dollar stores offer a low-price variety of everyday items they keep in stock; they are low-price convenience stores. The distinctions are margin, pricing power, and, ultimately, what they carry, and they make all the difference.

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Off-price retailers like Ollie’s are strong in 2026, underpinned by healthy consumers and ample supply, driving robust cash flow and capital returns. Dollar stores are also doing well, but they trade at a deep discount compared to their off-price peers, and that is the opportunity today.

Ollie’s Has Value to Unlock: Catalysts in PlayTrading at approximately 17.5X its current-year earnings forecast, Ollie’s is highly valued relative to dollar stores such as Dollar Tree NASDAQ: DLTR and Dollar General NYSE: DG, which trade at 14X and 16X, respectively. The opportunity is a price-multiple expansion to off-price retail levels, with companies such as TJX Companies NASDAQ: TJX, Ross Stores NASDAQ: ROST, and Burlington Stores (BURL) trading at 27X to 30X earnings.

Beyond steady organic growth, strong cash flow, and rising capital returns, the key driver here is Ollie's converting empty, cost-only store space into stores that actually generate sales. The backstory: when Ollie's acquired former Big Lots locations out of bankruptcy, it took on the leases before it could open the stores—meaning it was paying rent on dark, unused space (known as "dark rent"). As management remodels and opens those locations, that dead rent expense turns into revenue-producing retail. The takeaway is that Ollie’s has a path to accelerated revenue growth and margin expansion, as reflected in the Q1 release and guidance update, which will be a trigger for bullish market activity.

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Has Strong Quarter, Widens MarginOllie’s Bargain Outlet had a strong, if mixed, quarter in Q1. The mixed part was the comparison to consensus estimates: revenue fell a hair short of the $700.85 million the market expected, but the miss was small and offset by other strengths. The primary offset is the 14.2% revenue growth, an acceleration from the prior year, underpinned by a 1.7% comp store gain and a 15.1% increase in store count. Ollie’s now runs 672 stores in 35 states and has ample room to grow. Another critical detail is the loyalty membership base, which grew by 12.6%.

Margin news was the strongest of the report. The company widened margins across all levels, gaining 80 basis points (bps) in gross margin, 70 bps in adjusted EBITDA margin, and 30 bps in net income margin, driving accelerated earnings growth. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 21% to 91 cents, outpacing the consensus by 4 cents.

Guidance is as mixed as the quarterly results but still bullish for investors. The company trimmed its revenue target to about 12.5% year-over-year growth, in line with the consensus estimate, while raising its earnings outlook. It forecasts a wider-than-expected margin and adjusted EPS of $4.50 at the midpoint, a nickel above forecast.

Ollie’s Accelerates Buyback in 2026Perhaps the most important news from the report is the accelerated share buyback. Executives demonstrated extreme confidence in future results by increasing their share-buyback plans by 25%. The new target is $125 million in shares, about 2.6% of the market cap with shares trading at early-June lows, and activity may be accelerated again in upcoming quarters. As it stands, the Q1 activity led to a 1% year over year reduction in average count, providing significant leverage for investors.

Ollie’s balance sheet provides no red flags. The Q1 details reflect both the aggressive buyback and the impact of investments and the conversion of dark rent. Highlights include a 26% increase in cash and investments, higher current and total assets, and higher equity, despite corresponding increases in liabilities and capital returns. Looking ahead, Ollie’s is on track to continue improving margin as it converts the dark space and will likely sustain its fortress balance sheet while reducing the share count.

Analysts Cap Gains in Early 2026, Robust Gains Still PossibleAnalysts responded to Ollie’s Q1 release with downgrades and price target reductions despite the strengths. The concern is slowing comp store sales, but even so, the data reveals optimism and sufficient upside to be interesting. Trading near $80, OLLI is more than 10% below the lowest analyst targets, while the consensus reported by MarketBeat forecasts a 65% upside. The 65% upside may not be unlocked this summer, but it is a viable target, and institutional data suggest the group thinks the same. Institutions own virtually 100% of OLLI stock and have been accumulating on balance for eight consecutive quarters.

Should You Invest $1,000 in Ollie's Bargain Outlet Right Now?Before you consider Ollie's Bargain Outlet, you'll want to hear this.

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Investors interested in Consumer Products - Staples stocks are likely familiar with Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) and Colgate-Palmolive (CL). But which of these two stocks offers value investors a better bang for their buck right now?