I’ve been watching EchoStar (NASDAQ:SATS | SATS Price Prediction) for years as a slow-motion satellite story that never quite worked. Then Elon Musk walked in with a checkbook. Here is the trade.
The $19.6 Billion Check On September 7, 2025, EchoStar entered into a License Purchase Agreement with SpaceX for AWS-4 and H-Block spectrum. The deal was amended on November 5, 2025, to add up to 15 MHz of unpaired AWS-3 spectrum.
The structure is the interesting part. Total consideration runs approximately $19.6 billion: $11.1 billion in SpaceX equity via roughly 261.8 million Class A shares at $42.40 per share, plus up to $8.5 billion to pay off designated EchoStar debt. SpaceX also covers interim debt service through November 30, 2027, aggregating around $3 billion through November 30, 2028.
The biggest hurdle cleared three weeks ago. The FCC approved the deal on May 12, 2026, with closing expected November 2027. SpaceX itself confirmed in recent investor materials that it agreed to acquire “65 MHz of spectrum in the United States as well as certain global Mobile Satellite Service spectrum licenses from EchoStar for $19.6 billion of equity and cash consideration”.
Why “Beaten Down” Still Fits Even after a monster rally, the financials look ugly on paper. EchoStar reports trailing EPS of -$50.21 and a profit margin of -97.6%. The Q3 2025 results included a $16.48 billion non-cash impairment for network decommissioning, and Q1 2026 total revenue declined 5%.
That is why short interest sits at 24.48 million shares, or 21.46% of float, as of February 2026. Bears see a dying pay-TV business. Bulls see a balance sheet about to be detonated by SpaceX cash.
The Setup Into Closing Shares closed at $129.19 on May 29, 2026, up 540% over the prior year. The forward P/E sits at 2.4, with an analyst target price of $137.60. Morningstar’s Michael Hodel framed it cleanly: “EchoStar’s strategy is shifting significantly, moving from building a wireless business with its licenses to realizing value through spectrum sales to AT&T and SpaceX.”
There is also a separate AT&T spectrum sale worth roughly $22.65 billion, expected to close mid-2026. Combined, total spectrum monetization tops $25 billion.
The Investable Thesis What is left at EchoStar post-close? Hughes broadband, the DISH/Sling pay-TV business, and a new EchoStar Capital division created to redeploy spectrum proceeds, led by CEO Hamid Akhavan. Plus a giant stake in private SpaceX stock.
You would want to own SATS if you believe the Hughes/DISH remnant plus SpaceX equity plus deployable cash exceeds today’s market cap near $37 billion. If you do not, the bear case is straightforward: legacy assets shrink, and the SpaceX shares stay illiquid until an IPO. Retail can buy SATS today. That is the cleanest public proxy for Elon Musk writing one of the largest checks of his career.
Key Takeaways SATS plans spectrum deals with AT&T and SpaceX to monetize assets and strengthen its capital structure.EchoStar expects $22.65B cash from AT&T and about $22B total consideration from SpaceX agreements.SATS will offer Starlink Direct to Cell services and launch a fee-based referral program under SpaceX deal. EchoStar Corporation (SATS - Free Report) is pursuing strategic spectrum transactions that are expected to strengthen its financial position while supporting its long-term wireless and connectivity strategy. Through agreements with AT&T and SpaceX, the company aims to monetize spectrum assets, reduce debt obligations and establish new commercial opportunities.
The AT&T License Purchase Agreement provides for the sale of EchoStar’s 3.45 GHz and 600 MHz spectrum licenses, along with a 99-year extension of certain Hawaii spectrum leases, for an aggregate purchase price of $22.65 billion in cash. The agreement also contemplates the repayment of the DISH 2021 Intercompany Loan and the concurrent redemption of the company’s 11.75% Senior Secured Notes due 2027 using proceeds from the transaction.
EchoStar has also expanded its agreement with SpaceX through an amended license purchase arrangement. The revised transaction increases the total consideration from $17 billion to approximately $20 billion by adding AWS-3 spectrum licenses, with up to $11 billion payable in SpaceX stock valued at $212 per share. In addition, SpaceX has agreed to fund interim debt service payments through at least Nov. 30, 2027. The agreement also establishes future long-term commercial arrangements that will enable EchoStar to offer Starlink Direct to Cell text, voice and broadband services to its wireless subscribers, while introducing a fee-based referral program. The company has already begun utilizing certain rights under the agreement and providing installation and related services for new Starlink customers.
Management stated the AT&T transaction is expected to generate $22.65 billion in cash, while the SpaceX transactions are expected to provide approximately $22 billion in total consideration, including about $20 billion at the Spectrum Acquisition Closing and roughly $2 billion in interim debt service payments. These transactions also contemplate the repayment of certain outstanding debt, positioning the company to strengthen its capital structure while expanding its commercial offerings, subject to the completion of the agreements.
EchoStar's existing portfolio spans Pay-TV, Wireless, Broadband and Satellite Services, and enterprise and government connectivity businesses. The company provides services through brands including Boost Mobile, Sling TV, DISH TV, Hughes and HughesNet, serving consumer, enterprise, operator and government customers worldwide.
Taking a Look at SATS’ CompetitorsGilat Satellite Networks Ltd. (GILT - Free Report) strengthened its business through several agreements and commercial deals during the first quarter of 2026. The company partnered with Amazon AWS, FCS, Space & Defense, and the WAVE Consortium to demonstrate a virtualized SATCOM gateway architecture. It also secured a multimillion-dollar partnership with Nelco in India to deploy its SkyEdge IV platform for India's first Ka-band service using the JSAT-N2 HTS satellite. Additionally, Gilat reached an agreement with the former shareholders of DataPath to settle the share-linked portion of the 2023 acquisition earnout by issuing 2.5 million shares, while the remaining performance-based earnout remains subject to future evaluation.
Iridium Communications (IRDM - Free Report) recently announced a definitive agreement to acquire Aireon LLC, the operator of the world’s only space-based ADS-B air traffic surveillance system. The deal strengthens Iridium’s aviation safety strategy by combining space-based surveillance, safety communications, PNT and operational data on a single network to support the future of global aviation amid rising air traffic, denser airspace and increasing demand for safety and resiliency.
On Nov. 4, 2025, Iridium partnered with Vodafone IoT to integrate its Iridium NTN DirectSM service. This collaboration will expand Vodafone IoT’s coverage footprint, enabling NB-IoT devices to maintain connectivity even in the most remote or previously unreachable areas. For 2026, service revenue is expected to be flat to up 2%, reflecting continued IoT growth offset by moderation elsewhere, following 2025 service revenue of $634 million.
EchoStar Price Performance, Valuation and EstimatesShares of EchoStar have gained a stellar 576.1% in a year compared with the Zacks Satellite and Communication industry’s growth of 319.8%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, SATS trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) of 2.36X, below the industry’s 3.25X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SATS’ earnings for 2026 has been unchanged over the past 30 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
SATS currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Pre-Market Stock Futures: Futures are trading modestly higher as we hit the midweek mark, and some buyers’ exhaustion likely played a role, as all the major indices finished lower on Tuesday. This comes after both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 hit all-time highs once again earlier this week. The combination of mixed earnings, some AI chatter on OpenAI results, and the ongoing conflict with Iran all weighed on shares yesterday. The Russell 2000, which has been the leading index year to date, closed down 1.21% at 2,753, while the Nasdaq finished the session down 0.90% at 24,663. The S&P 500 was last seen at 7,138, down 0.49%, and the venerable Dow Jones Industrial closed barely lower, down just 0.05% at 49,141.
Treasury Bonds: Yields were mostly higher across the Treasury curve once again, as sellers who started the week off to the downside in U.S. sovereign debt returned. The usual reasons for selling, such as geopolitical worries, bloated government budgets, the situation in Iran, and basic concerns over the fiscal outlook for the U.S. economy, were front and center Tuesday. The 30-year-long bond closed the day at 4.94%, while the benchmark 10-year note was last seen at 4.35%.
Oil and Gas: The energy complex traded higher on Tuesday after the United Arab Emirates shocked the energy world by announcing it was leaving OPEC immediately, with its departure from the cartel set for May 1st. That, plus some escalation in the fighting with Iran, was all that it took to send prices higher. Brent Crude finished the day at $110.80, up 2.3%, while West Texas Intermediate was last seen at $99.61, up 3.36%. Natural gas closed Tuesday at $2.55, up 0.16%.
Gold: Precious metals have been under pressure for the past week, and the trend continued on Tuesday. The ongoing selling was driven by the familiar combination of geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and a stronger U.S. dollar, which diminishes the appeal of non-yielding precious metals, prompting sellers to act. Gold closed the session at $4,595, down 1.84%, while Silver ended the day at $72.97, down 3.2%.
Crypto: Cryptocurrency prices corrected on Tuesday amid cautious investor sentiment and broader risk-off market dynamics. Bitcoin dipped below $77,000 as it retreated from recent weekly highs, while Ethereum slipped below $2,300 and XRP faced heightened downside pressure. The pullback aligned with caution ahead of key events, such as the Federal Reserve meeting. Reports noted mixed or recent ETF flows for Bitcoin, though some pressure from outflows or rotation contributed to the day’s downside. At 8 AM EDT, Bitcoin was trading at $77,570, while Ethereum was trading at $2,333.
24/7 Wall St. reviews dozens of analyst research reports daily to identify new investment ideas for both investors and traders. Some of these daily analyst calls cover stocks to buy. Other calls cover stocks to sell or avoid. Remember that no single analyst call should ever be used as a basis to buy or sell a stock.
Here are some of the top Wall Street analyst upgrades, downgrades, and initiations seen on Wednesday, April 29, 2026.
Upgrades: Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN) | BEN Price Prediction was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays, which lifted the target price for the asset management giant to $31 from $26. Spotify Technology (NYSE: SPOT) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Rosenblatt, which slashed the target price for the music streaming giant to $500 from $670. T-Mobile US (NASDAQ: TMUS) was raised to Outperform from Perform at Oppenheimer, with a $260 target price objective. Victoria’s Secret (NYSE: VSCO) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Bank of America, which bumped the target price for the shares to $68 from $58. Zeta Global Holdings (NYSE: ZETA) was upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc with a $22 target price. Downgrades: Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX) was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Daiwa, which cut the target price for the medical devices giant to $60 from $83. Brown-Forman (NYSE: BF-B) was downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan, which trimmed the target price for the spirits leader to $23 from $27. MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS, which dropped the target price for the company in a big way, to $2,050 from $2,700. StoneCo (NASDAQ: STNE) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs, which dropped the target price for the shares to $14 from $20. Sysco (NYSE: SYY) was cut to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank, which lowered the target price for the stock to $84 from $90. Initiations: Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE: BABA) was initiated with an Outperform rating at BNP Paribas, with a $209 target price.
Charter Communications (NASDAQ: CHTR) was resumed with a Neutral rating at JPMorgan, with a $215 target price for the stock. Legence (NASDAQ: LGN) was started with a Buy rating at Loop Capital, which has a $96 target price for the shares. PicPay (NASDAQ: PICS) was started with a Buy rating at BTG Pactual with a $20 target price. WAVE Life Sciences (NASDAQ: WVE) was assumed with a Buy rating at Truist, which demolished the target price for the stock to $15 from $50.
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Zeta Global Revenue Growth Accelerates to 50% and “Beats and Raises” for its 19th Consecutive Quarter on the Heels of the Athena by Zeta™ Launch.
Zeta Global Holdings (ZETA - Free Report) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.14 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.07 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +10.50%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this cloud-based marketing technology company would post earnings of $0.23 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.28, delivering a surprise of +21.74%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times.
Zeta, which belongs to the Zacks Technology Services industry, posted revenues of $396.3 million for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.10%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $264.42 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Zeta shares have lost about 9.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 5.3%.
What's Next for Zeta?While Zeta has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Zeta was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.20 on $418.1 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $0.99 on $1.75 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Technology Services is currently in the bottom 32% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Symbotic Inc. (SYM - Free Report) , another stock in the same industry, has yet to report results for the quarter ended March 2026. The results are expected to be released on May 6.
This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.11 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +375%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days.
Symbotic Inc.'s revenues are expected to be $660.6 million, up 20.2% from the year-ago quarter.
Zeta Global's Q1 earnings highlight the success of its land-and-expand model after reporting its 4th consecutive quarter of core business growth acceleration driven by ARPU expansion and an NRR above 115%. The rollout of Athena could help Zeta maintain revenue growth acceleration over the coming quarters after driving a 7-time increase in agentic interactions in its first week of GA. Increased adoption of Athena could drive gross margin expansion over the long term as the majority of its queries are done on Zeta's platform thanks to its vast first-party datasets.
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)---- $ZETA--Zeta Global Joins Forces with Snowflake to Spearhead Open Semantic Interchange to Establish a Universal Data Standard for AI-Powered Marketing.
Athena generated 7x higher agentic interactions and drove 60% of platform AI activity within one launch week. Q1 2026 revenue surged 50% to $396 million, while adjusted EBITDA climbed 42% to $66 million. Super-scaled customers increased 19% to 189, while ARPU jumped 21% to approximately $1.7 million year-over-year.
Buy ZETA. The OSI entry is a credible AI-era data standard tailwind, and the fundamentals are already accelerating: 19 straight beat-and-raise quarters, Q1 revenue +50%, ARPU up to $1.7, and strong cash/EBITDA growth. The stock also has a technical setup: reclaiming the 50-day EMA and pushing toward the $19.40 neckline suggests momentum can extend toward ~$25 if the conference narrative stays strong.
Key Risk: Guidance or customer growth stalls—OSI doesn’t translate into measurable bookings/ARPU, and the stock gives back the breakout.
Snowflake ecosystem (SNOW) buy
Buy SNOW as a second-order beneficiary. OSI is Snowflake-led; Zeta joining increases OSI adoption credibility, which should pull more partners and workloads into Snowflake’s data/AI stack. If ZETA’s OSI integration drives customer wins, the market will generalize that OSI is working—supporting SNOW multiple expansion.
Key Risk: OSI adoption disappoints—partners don’t convert into meaningful Snowflake usage/revenue, and SNOW rerates lower despite headlines.
Zeta Global stock price jumped by over 4% on Friday in a high-volume environment after the company joined the Open Semantic Exchange (OSI), an initiative by Snowflake. ZETA jumped to $17.6, its highest point since May 7 as focus shifts to the upcoming JPM Global Technology, Media, and Communications Conference.
Data shows that Zeta Global was in high demand on Friday, as over 6.9 million shares exchanged hands. The three-month daily average volume was about 8 million.
ZETA, a company that provides AI marketing cloud solutions to some of the largest companies, announced that it joined OSI. OSI is a universal specification for all companies to standardize their fragmented data definitions with an open, vendor-neutral semantic model.
The entry will enable the company improve its services, especially now in the artificial intelligence (AI) era. It will help to align on a common foundation for how business metrics are defined and shared.
Zeta Global stock also jumped after the company confirmed that it will participate in a major conference on Monday. Some of the top other companies set to attend are DigitalOcean, Lattice Semiconductor, IMAX, and Outfront Media.
These events are happening after the company published strong financial results. It was its 19th consecutive quarter of a “beat and raise.” Its revenue jumped by 50% in the first quarter to $396 million, a sign that demand is continuing to grow.
Zeta Global’s cash from operations jumped by 43% to $50 million, while the adjusted EBITDA rose by 42% to $66 million. 9 out of the ten verticals it focuses on grew in the last quarter.
Zeta continued to add customers during the quarter. It had six consecutive quarters of sequential super-scaled customeer growth, ending the quarter with 189. Its average revenue per user (ARPU) rose to $1.7.
The company now expects its growth will continue in the coming years. Its guidance is that its revenue will jump to $2.3 billion in 2028, from the estimated $1.78 billion this year. The adjusted EBITDA is expected to move from $397 million this year to $573 million in 2028, while its FCF is expected to jump to $371 million.
Analysts have a bullish outlook of the Zeta stock. The consensus target is $28.33, up by 64% from the current level. Some of the recent upgrades came from companies like B. Riley, Royal Bank of Canada, KeyCorp, and Goldman Sachs.
ZETA stock chart | Source: TradingView
The daily chart shows that the ZETA share price formed a double-bottom pattern at $14.60, its lowest level in February and March this year. Its neckline was at $19.40, its highest point on March 5.
The stock jumped to a high of $20 after its earnings and then pulled back to $15.50. It then jumped last week after its OSI announcement, and is attempting to move above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
ZETA is also attempting to rise above the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level. Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the stock will remain inside the support at $14.60 and the resistance at $19.40 in the near term. A move above the resistance will point to more gains, potentially to $25.
Bank of America reinstated coverage of Zeta Global (NYSE:ZETA) with a Buy rating and a $24 price target, ending an extended quiet stretch on the AI marketing platform. The reinstatement lands just weeks after a blowout Q1 2026 report and signals renewed Wall Street conviction in the AdTech recovery story.
For long-term investors, the call frames Zeta as a credible disruptor in the enterprise marketing cloud replacement cycle. Zeta Global stock has been volatile, but the price target raise puts a clear bullish marker on the board.
Ticker Company Firm Action Old Rating New Rating Old Target New Target ZETA Zeta Global Bank of America Reinstatement N/A Buy N/A $24 The Analyst’s Case Bank of America’s bullish thesis aligns with the AI-driven replacement cycle reshaping enterprise marketing. Zeta’s proprietary data assets, agentic AI capabilities, and personalization tailwinds support a moat narrative that is hard to replicate at scale.
The valuation argument is also part of the story. Zeta trades at an attractive multiple relative to its growth rate, and Bank of America’s $24 target sits below the broader Street consensus of $28.77, leaving room for upward revisions if execution holds.
Company Snapshot Zeta Global is an AI-powered, data-driven marketing cloud platform that helps enterprises acquire, grow, and retain customers across email, social, web, and video. Core products include the Zeta Marketing Platform and the newly launched Athena agentic AI layer.
Zeta carries a market cap of roughly $4.28 billion, with 10 Buy ratings, 2 Strong Buys, and 2 Holds on the Street. CEO David Steinberg has positioned the company as the disruptor in the AI-driven marketing replacement cycle.
Why the Move Matters Now Q1 2026 gave Bank of America plenty to underwrite. Zeta posted $396.3 million in revenue, up 50% year over year (YoY), extending a 19 consecutive quarter beat-and-raise streak.
Management raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a midpoint of $1.785 billion and guided to positive GAAP net income for full year 2026. Athena drove 60% of all AI utilization on Zeta’s platform in its first week of general availability, a striking adoption signal.
Steinberg framed the moment plainly, stating, “AI is no longer a feature. It is driving a replacement cycle where enterprises are demanding fewer systems, measurable results and applied intelligence that works today.” ZETA stock closed at $18.82 on May 18, with a 1-year gain of 38%.
What It Means for Your Portfolio The bull case rests on Zeta’s data moat, agentic AI traction, and a recovering AdTech tape. However, prudent investors should weigh the bear case: competitive intensity from Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), and HubSpot (NYSE:HUBS), super-scaled customer concentration, and ongoing GAAP losses with $53 million in Q1 stock-based compensation.
The Bank of America analyst upgrade signals confidence, yet ZETA stock remains a higher-beta name with a beta of 1.292. Prudent investors may want to consider modest position sizing while monitoring Athena monetization and Marigold integration progress.
For prudent investors, Zeta Global stock offers exposure to one of the clearest AI-native plays in marketing technology, but the path requires patience. Keep an eye on Q2 2026 results, where revenue guidance of $419 million to $422 million sets the next milestone.
Zeta Global (ZETA 5.27%) announced it's launching ads on OpenAI's platform for clients, opening up a huge new funnel for the company. This adds even more value to the marketing tool, which recently launched the Athena AI that allows customers to work with voice commands. In this video, I highlight why OpenAI increases the size of the market and show where the company may go long-term.
*Stock prices used were mid-day prices of May 19, 2026. The video was published on May 19, 2026.
Travis Hoium has positions in Alphabet and Zeta Global. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet and Meta Platforms. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Travis Hoium is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through their link they will earn some extra money that supports their channel. Their opinions remain their own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.
Zeta Global expands its partnership with OpenAI to manage the latter's advertising operations, unlocking a potentially high-volume revenue stream and validating 2026–2028 revenue targets. The exclusive OpenAI deal positions ZETA to capture market share from larger competitors and strengthens customer retention through Athena-driven ARPU growth. Q1 FY26 saw revenue surge 50% YoY, ARPU up 21% for Super-Scaled customers and management raised full-year guidance, reiterating 2028 targets of $2.3B revenue and 25% EBITDA margin.
On May 15, 2026, Granahan Investment Management, LLC disclosed it sold 1,593,143 shares of Zeta Global (ZETA 5.27%) in the first quarter, an estimated $29.50 million trade based on quarterly average pricing.
What happenedAccording to a SEC filing dated May 15, 2026, Granahan Investment Management, LLC reduced its stake in Zeta Global (ZETA 5.27%) by 1,593,143 shares during the first quarter. The estimated transaction value was $29.50 million, based on the average closing price for the period. The fund’s quarter-end position value in Zeta Global declined by $36.96 million, a figure that includes both the impact of the share sale and changes in the stock’s price.
Top holdings after the filing:NYSE: CRS: $94.39 million (4.6% of AUM)NASDAQ: PRCH: $90.88 million (4.4% of AUM)NASDAQ: FTAI: $83.38 million (4.0% of AUM)NYSE: MOD: $81.83 million (4.0% of AUM)NASDAQ: VCTR: $71.20 million (3.4% of AUM)As of Thursday, shares of Zeta Global were priced at $18.05, up 37% over the past year and outperforming the S&P 500, which is up about 27%.Company overviewMetricValueRevenue (TTM)$1.44 billionNet income (TTM)($23.16 million)Price (as of May 14, 2026)$18.05Company snapshotZeta Global provides an omnichannel data-driven cloud platform for consumer intelligence and marketing automation, including the Zeta Marketing Platform and Consumer Data Platform.The firm generates revenue by offering enterprises SaaS-based marketing solutions that use machine learning and large-scale data analytics to optimize customer engagement and campaign performance.It serves enterprise clients in the United States and internationally, targeting organizations seeking advanced marketing automation and consumer data insights.Zeta Global is a technology company specializing in software applications for marketing automation and consumer data analytics. It leverages proprietary machine learning algorithms and a large opted-in data set to deliver actionable insights for enterprise customers. Its scalable cloud platform and integrated product suite position it competitively in the data-driven marketing technology sector.
What this transaction means for investorsZeta's stock has been highly volatile over the past year, and it fell about 22% last quarter, during which Granahan reduced its exposure even while the company's fundamentals remain pointed in the right direction. In fact, Zeta delivered one of its strongest quarters yet. First-quarter revenue surged 50% year over year to $396 million, beating the midpoint of guidance by $26 million, while adjusted EBITDA climbed to $66.1 million. The company also raised full-year revenue guidance by another $30 million to roughly $1.79 billion at the midpoint, marking its 19th consecutive beat-and-raise quarter.
Meanwhile, management has been leaning heavily into AI through its new Athena platform, which accounted for more than 60% of AI platform usage in its first week of general availability and generated more than seven times the level of agent interactions compared with prior tools.
Still, it’s unclear how Zeta squares up against increasingly stringent investor sentiment toward software firms as of late. However, if management continues to execute well, the recent share sale may prove less important than the underlying business momentum.
Jonathan Ponciano has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Modine Manufacturing. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
There's a category of artificial intelligence (AI) investment that nobody argues about at the dinner table. And yes, everyone seems to be arguing about AI these days. It's not chips or cloud computing. It's the AI sitting inside the marketing decisions of the world's largest brands. Marketing and AI don't seem to mix in our human psyche, except for large language models (LLMs) used to help write marketing promos.
Zeta Global (ZETA 5.27%) is not a household name. It doesn't have a charismatic CEO who goes on podcasts, and it doesn't make a product that consumers can download and touch. What it does have is a proprietary database of over 240 million U.S. consumer identities, trillions of behavioral signals, and an AI platform that enterprise marketing teams use to figure out who to reach, when to reach them, and what to say.
Image source: Getty Images.
Here's what Zeta does: Most people think of digital marketing as Alphabet's Google ads and Meta Platform's Facebook posts. The reality inside a Fortune 500 marketing department is far more complicated. You have customer data siloed across a dozen platforms, media budgets spread across a hundred channels, and a pressure to prove return on investment (ROI) on every dollar spent. Zeta built a platform that unifies all of it -- identity, intelligence, and activation -- in one place, powered by AI that gets better as more data flows through it.
In March 2026, Zeta launched Athena by Zeta for general availability. This was a super-intelligent marketing agent built for chief marketing officers (CMOs) and enterprise marketing teams. Athena converts company data into predictive answers, flags opportunities before a human analyst would catch them, and tells marketers where to act. It's not really a content management system (CMS) or customer dashboard. It's closer to an AI employee who never sleeps and has processed more consumer data than any human team could read in a lifetime.
This matters because the Athena launch is not tech stock vaporware. An independent Forrester study found that enterprises using the Zeta Marketing Platform achieved a six-times return on ad spend and a 295% return on technology investment, generating $21.4 million in net present value over three years.
Today's Change
(
-5.27
%) $
-1.11
Current Price
$
19.97
The partnerships the market is pricing in At CES 2026, Zeta announced a strategic collaboration with OpenAI to power Athena's conversational intelligence and agentic applications. OpenAI models now support Athena's core reasoning layer, meaning when a CMO asks Athena why a campaign underperformed, it's drawing on the same foundational model powering ChatGPT, trained on Zeta's own proprietary consumer data.
In May 2026, Zeta joined forces with Snowflake to co-lead the Open Semantic Interchange initiative -- an open-source effort to create a universal data standard for AI-powered marketing. Zeta's CEO David Steinberg put it plainly: "AI is only as effective as the data it can trust." Zeta processes trillions of signals. Standardizing how that data moves across the industry doesn't just help Zeta's customers -- it positions Zeta as a foundational layer of the entire marketing technology ecosystem.
In the same month, Zeta announced it would launch advertising services on OpenAI's platform for its clients, opening up a new distribution channel inside one of the fastest-growing consumer interfaces in the world.
A Zeta risk you should know Zeta's revenue growth, while real, is not the 50% or 80% figures that get AI companies onto everyone's must-buy list. And the marketing technology space is crowded -- Salesforce, Adobe, and HubSpot all compete for the same CMO attention. If Athena fails to convert interest into sticky, multiyear enterprise contracts, the moat thesis weakens fast.
I think Zeta feels like the kind of stock the smart money accumulates quietly while everyone else is still debating whether the story is real. The OpenAI partnership, the deeper ties with Snowflake, and the Athena rollout create exactly the kind of disconnect institutional investors look for before the broader retail narrative catches up.
Micah Zimmerman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Adobe, Alphabet, HubSpot, Meta Platforms, Salesforce, and Snowflake. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2028 $330 calls on Adobe and short January 2028 $340 calls on Adobe. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Commissioned by Zeta Global, the study shows most organizations have loyalty programs but struggle to convert loyalty data into actionable insight and measurable business impact
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Zeta Global (NYSE: ZETA), the AI Marketing Cloud, today published a Forrester Consulting Opportunity Snapshot, “The Underutilized Superpower Hidden in Loyalty Data,” finding that while loyalty is widely adopted, many organizations are not fully leveraging loyalty data to drive customer insight, real-time action, and measurable growth.
The study, based on a survey of more than 300 marketing and customer loyalty decision-makers and high-level practitioners across B2C industries, found that although loyalty data is widely viewed as strategically important, many organizations still struggle to translate it into coordinated, real-time execution. Data quality issues, fragmented systems, and organizational silos continue to limit the impact of loyalty programs and prevent brands from realizing the full value of one of their richest customer data assets.
“Loyalty can be one of the most powerful sources of intelligence in the marketing stack, but for many organizations it remains underutilized,” said David A. Steinberg, Co-Founder, Chairman, and CEO of Zeta Global. “This study highlights the gap between the strategic value of loyalty data and most organizations’ ability to act on it. As AI becomes more central to how marketing works, the opportunity is to transform loyalty from a retention tool into a smarter, more measurable engine for growth.”
Findings from the study include:
Execution lags intent: Although loyalty data is seen as critical to long-term customer relationships, 91% of respondents say data-related barriers are holding them back. 37% feel at most somewhat confident in their ability to extract actionable insights from loyalty data, and 39% feel at most somewhat confident in their ability to act on those insights once identified. Loyalty programs are not meeting their full potential: Only 53% of organizations describe loyalty as a primary driver of customer engagement, and just 26% say their programs are very effective at delivering value. Integration gaps limit impact: 68% of respondents reported that loyalty data is only partially integrated with other systems at best, reducing its ability to inform real-time decision-making and cross-channel activation. Investment is accelerating around data and AI: 92% of organizations plan to invest in new technology or processes to better leverage loyalty data, with a focus on centralized data, advanced analytics, AI-driven personalization, and omnichannel activation. Download the full study here.
About Zeta Global
Zeta Global (NYSE: ZETA) is the AI Marketing Cloud that leverages advanced artificial intelligence (AI) and trillions of consumer signals to make it easier for marketers to acquire, grow, and retain customers more efficiently. Through the Zeta Marketing Platform (ZMP), our vision is to make sophisticated marketing simple by unifying identity, intelligence, and omnichannel activation into a single platform – powered by one of the industry’s largest proprietary databases and AI. Our enterprise customers across multiple verticals are empowered to personalize experiences with consumers at an individual level across every channel, delivering better results for marketing programs. Zeta was founded in 2007 by David A. Steinberg and John Sculley and is headquartered in New York City with offices around the world. To learn more, go to www.zetaglobal.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release, together with other statements and information publicly disseminated by the Company, contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. The Company intends such forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and includes this statement for purposes of complying with these safe harbor provisions. Any statements made in this press release that are not statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements and should be evaluated as such. Forward-looking statements include information concerning our anticipated future financial performance, our market opportunities and our expectations regarding our business plan and strategies. These statements often include words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimates,” “expect,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “intend,” “may,” “outlook,” “plan,” “projects,” “should,” “suggests,” “targets,” “will,” “would” and other similar expressions. We base these forward-looking statements on our current expectations, plans and assumptions that we have made in light of our experience in the industry, as well as our perceptions of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors we believe are appropriate under the circumstances at such time. Although we believe that these forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions at the time they are made, you should be aware that many factors could affect our business, results of operations and financial condition and could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance or results.
The forward-looking statements are subject to and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions, and you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. These cautionary statements should not be construed by you to be exhaustive and the forward-looking statements are made only as of the date of this press release. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. If we update one or more forward-looking statements, no inference should be drawn that we will make additional updates with respect to those or other forward-looking statements.
Zeta Global Holdings (ZETA) hit a buy point of a deep cup base on Monday. The marketing platform operator has a history of beat-and-raise quarters, making it Monday's choice among IBD 50 Growth Stocks To Watch.
Zeta stock popped around 11% Monday, following Friday's 13.4% jump, and is in a buy zone. Some software and tech names surged Monday after Nvidia (NVDA) introduced a new chip to be used in personal computers.
↑ X NOW PLAYING How To Handle Bull Market Extensions And Rotations; Flex, Fortinet, Snowflake In Focus
Zeta operates a real-time fully integrated marketing and advertising platform. Its platform aids marketers in acquiring, growing, retaining and analyzing customers efficiently. Its artificial-intelligence-based Athena platform analyzes data and gives predictive answers.
The IBD 50 name provides marketing services for email, social, connected television, video, mobile and in-store targeting. It serves clients in the retail, travel and hospitality, finance, publishing and media industries.
In addition, its customer data platform individualizes marketing at scale. Zeta's messaging platform creates personalized emails and mobile experiences for customers.
On May 14, Zeta said it teamed up with Snowflake (SNOW) by joining its Open Semantic Interchange. The OSI strives to standardize fragmented data to provide consistent metrics across dashboards, notebooks and machine-learning models to enhance compatibility.
Zeta stock resides in the Computer Software-Enterprise group, which holds the No. 55 spot out of the 145 industry groups that Investor's Business Daily tracks. The group's Relative Strength Rating has jumped to 72 from 44 one week ago, as investors have cycled back into software names.
Stocks To Buy And Watch: Top IPOs, Big And Small Caps, Growth Stocks
Zeta Stock Breaks Out Zeta stock broke out of a first-stage cup base with a 24.90 buy point in volume about 200% above average. Shares are in the 5% buy zone that extends to 26.15, according to MarketSurge pattern recognition. The stock is on pace for four straight weeks of gains.
Shares have been volatile and can show big swings, as reflected in their average true range of 6.3%. Investor's Business Daily seeks stocks with a maximum ATR of 5%.
Its relative strength line is climbing sharply and its 21-day exponential moving average is trending higher, both positive signs for Zeta stock.
Zeta's IBD Accumulation/Distribution Rating of A+ indicates heavy institutional buying over the last 13 weeks. And its volume spiked on rising days, showing large purchases from big money managers.
Zeta Raises Sales Outlook On April 28, Zeta reported that its first-quarter revenue jumped 50% to $396 million, which topped estimates. Its adjusted earnings per share of 13 cents were up from 9 cents a year ago and ahead of the FactSet consensus estimate of 11 cents. Its net loss of 6 cents per share was narrower than Wall Street's call of 7 cents.
"Nineteen consecutive beat-and-raise quarters is not just consistency – it is evidence of sustained demand in a market consolidating around platforms that can deliver measurable outcomes at scale and meet the needs of customers in an AI-native world," Zeta Chief Financial Officer Chris Greiner said in the earnings release.
Zeta raised its second-quarter sales outlook to a range of $419 million to $422 million. It also boosted its full-year 2026 revenue forecast to $1.779 billion to $1.792 billion, up $30 million at the midpoint from its prior projection of $1.755 billion.
Analysts expects improvement to its bottom line, with its full-year EPS rising 31% to 95 cents followed by $1.18 in 2027.
Zeta stock has a 75 out of 99 possible IBD Composite Rating and a low 20 Earnings Per Share Rating. Both have been pulled down by its recent quarterly and 2022 and 2023 losses.
Follow Kimberley Koenig for more stock market news on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, @IBD_KKoenig.
YOU MAY ALSO LIKE:
Discover Profitable Trades Each Day With MarketDiem. See How.
What To Do When Growth Stocks Backtrack To Test Buy Points
Learn How To Time The Market With IBD's ETF Market Strategy
Looking For Market Insights? Check Out Our Live Daily Segment | Stocks To Watch
Zeta Global Announces Olympic Gold Medalist, Entrepreneur and Founder Lindsey Vonn as Second Zeta Live 2026 Keynote Speaker Zeta Global (NYSE: ZETA), the AI Marketing Cloud, today announced that the 6th annual Zeta Live conference will feature Olympic gold medalist, entrepreneur and founder Lindsey Vonn as the second keynote speaker to join this year’s event alongside the previously announced headliner. The company also announced that Zeta Live will take place at the iconic David Geffen Hall, Lincoln Center in New York City on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Zeta Live 2026 arrives at an inflection point, as agentic AI moves from experimentation to enterprise deployment, the conference will serve as the industry’s premier forum for leaders navigating that shift.
“The leaders who will define the next era of marketing are the ones moving fastest from AI experimentation to AI execution,” said David A. Steinberg, Co-Founder, Chairman, and CEO of Zeta Global. “Zeta Live is where those people come together, and bringing these conversations to a stage like David Geffen Hall is exactly what this moment demands.”
A New York Times bestselling author and the founder of the Lindsey Vonn Foundation, Vonn will join the Zeta Live stage to share lessons from a career defined by resilience, reinvention, and excellence. As the greatest downhill ski racer of all time, she will inspire marketers in the audience on what it takes to perform at the highest levels, overcome adversity, and continually push beyond limits. In an industry being reshaped by AI, the skills Vonn built—rapid adaptation, data-informed decisions under pressure, constant iteration—are exactly the ones marketers need now.
The move to David Geffen Hall, Lincoln Center reflects an expanded footprint that will allow for larger mainstage programming and immersive breakout experiences featuring executive-level discussions. Now in its sixth year, Zeta Live has evolved into one of the marketing industry’s defining annual gatherings, convening senior executives, technology leaders, and cultural voices shaping the future of intelligence-driven business. As the marketing industry navigates one of its most significant transformations, Zeta Live continues to be where its gamechangers gather.
About Zeta Live
Zeta Live is the industry's leading gathering for senior marketing executives and business leaders navigating the shift from AI experimentation to intelligence embedded across the enterprise. Now in its sixth year and expanding to the iconic David Geffen Hall, Lincoln Center, this year's program will examine how the most advanced organizations are building AI-powered marketing systems that know customers with greater precision, grow with measurable impact, and prove marketing's contribution to revenue with certainty.
Zeta Global will continue unveiling additional speakers, programming, and experiences for Zeta Live 2026 in the months ahead. For more information or to request an invitation, visit here.
About Zeta Global
Zeta Global (NYSE: ZETA) is the AI Marketing Cloud that leverages advanced artificial intelligence (AI) and trillions of consumer signals to make it easier for marketers to acquire, grow, and retain customers more efficiently. Through the Zeta Marketing Platform (ZMP), our vision is to make sophisticated marketing simple by unifying identity, intelligence, and omnichannel activation into a single platform – powered by one of the industry’s largest proprietary databases and AI. Our enterprise customers across multiple verticals are empowered to personalize experiences with consumers at an individual level across every channel, delivering better results for marketing programs. Zeta was founded in 2007 by David A. Steinberg and John Sculley and is headquartered in New York City with offices around the world. To learn more, go to www.zetaglobal.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release, together with other statements and information publicly disseminated by the Company, contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. The Company intends such forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and includes this statement for purposes of complying with these safe harbor provisions. Any statements made in this press release that are not statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements and should be evaluated as such. Forward-looking statements include information concerning our anticipated future financial performance, our market opportunities and our expectations regarding our business plan and strategies. These statements often include words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimates,” “expect,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “intend,” “may,” “outlook,” “plan,” “projects,” “should,” “suggests,” “targets,” “will,” “would” and other similar expressions. We base these forward-looking statements on our current expectations, plans and assumptions that we have made in light of our experience in the industry, as well as our perceptions of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors we believe are appropriate under the circumstances at such time. Although we believe that these forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions at the time they are made, you should be aware that many factors could affect our business, results of operations and financial condition and could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance or results.
The forward-looking statements are subject to and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions, and you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. These cautionary statements should not be construed by you to be exhaustive and the forward-looking statements are made only as of the date of this press release. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. If we update one or more forward-looking statements, no inference should be drawn that we will make additional updates with respect to those or other forward-looking statements.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260601839638/en/
Zeta Global (ZETA 5.27%) is building momentum with Athena, enterprise customer growth, and the Marigold acquisition, but the stock already reflects major optimism. The upside thesis depends on whether AI engagement can become real monetization, stronger margins, and deeper customer relationships.
*Stock prices used were the market prices of May 25, 2026. The video was published on June 2, 2026.
Rick Orford has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Rick Orford is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through their link, they will earn some extra money that supports their channel. Their opinions remain their own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.
Shares of leading thermal management solutions provider Modine Manufacturing (MOD 7.07%) are 16% higher as of 1 p.m. ET today after the company announced a major $4 billion deal with a hyperscaler customer. The data center customer will use Modine's Airedale cooling solutions to support the incredible ongoing infrastructure build-out tied to the AI boom. The $4 billion will cover work scheduled for 2027 through 2029 and includes a $165 million upfront payment to help "support capacity investments and other expenditures needed to meet its commitments."
Today's Change
(
-7.07
%) $
-19.66
Current Price
$
258.51
I think the market's positive reaction to this news makes sense for a couple of reasons. First, the deal shows they're not only a leader in the climate solutions industry (HVAC and heat transfer solutions), but also in the booming data center space. It looks like a major vote of confidence from a big-time customer. Neil Brinker, Chief Executive Officer, explained, "This landmark agreement is a testament to the successful execution of our long-term strategy to grow our Data Centers business and validates our position as a technology leader."
Image source: Getty Images.
Second, the size of the deal is simply massive, considering that Modine's data center sales in 2025 were only about $700 million, and this deal will be somewhere around $1.3 billion annually starting in 2027. This data center unit just grew sales by 78% in Modine's most recent quarter, and management believed it would hit $2 billion in revenue by 2028 -- before today's news.
As Modine plans to spin off its lower-margin performance technologies unit by the fourth quarter of 2026, the company will become a "true" growth stock, generating the bulk of its sales from data center cooling solutions. Following today's jump, Modine trades at 41 times forward earnings and 34 times EBITDA, so the stock is far from traditionally "cheap." However, if you believe the ongoing AI boom and data center build-out is more than a short-term cyclical peak and is instead a decade-long (or more) run, Modine could be a stellar growth stock to consider if it keeps landing deals like these.
Josh Kohn-Lindquist has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Modine Manufacturing. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Shares of Modine Manufacturing surged on Tuesday after the thermal management company announced a long-term agreement to supply more than $4 billion worth of cooling products to a strategic data center customer.
The deal reinforced investor optimism around the expanding artificial intelligence infrastructure market.
The stock climbed more than 17% during trading and was on track for one of its strongest single-day performances in months.
Earlier in the session, shares rose as much as 21%, putting the stock near an all-time high.
Under the agreement, Modine will supply its Airedale cooling products between calendar years 2027 and 2029.
The company also received a $165 million upfront cash payment from the unnamed customer to support manufacturing capacity investments and related expenditures needed to fulfill the contract.
The deal represents a major milestone for Modine as it continues shifting its business toward data center cooling infrastructure tied to AI-driven computing demand.
“This landmark agreement is a testament to the successful execution of our long-term strategy to grow our Data Centers business and validates our position as a technology leader,” Chief Executive Neil Brinker said.
The size of the agreement significantly exceeds Modine’s current annual data center revenue levels and highlights how rapidly the company’s cooling business has expanded alongside growing AI infrastructure spending.
Modine generated approximately $700 million in data center sales during fiscal 2025.
The newly announced agreement implies annualized revenue of roughly $1.3 billion beginning in 2027.
The company’s data center segment recently posted 78% sales growth in its latest quarter, and management had previously projected the business could reach $2 billion in annual revenue by 2028 before announcing the latest deal.
Analysts said the agreement further strengthens Modine’s position within the increasingly competitive market for advanced cooling systems used in hyperscale AI data centers.
The customer involved in the agreement was not disclosed, though Modine described it as one of its strategic data center customers.
The contract also adds substantial long-term revenue visibility for the company as demand for AI-related infrastructure continues to accelerate globally.
According to Fiscal.ai data in a Stocktwits report, Modine is expected to generate approximately $3.15 billion in total sales during fiscal 2026, meaning the $4 billion agreement alone exceeds the company’s projected annual revenue base.
Investor enthusiasm around the stock also reflects broader optimism surrounding companies tied to AI infrastructure expansion.
Data centers supporting large-scale AI workloads require increasingly sophisticated cooling systems to manage rising energy usage and thermal intensity generated by advanced processors and computing clusters.
Modine’s Airedale products are specifically designed to support those cooling requirements.
The company has also been undergoing a broader strategic transformation.
Modine plans to separate its lower-margin Performance Technologies segment by the fourth quarter of 2026, positioning itself as a more focused climate solutions provider centered on data centers, HVAC, and refrigeration technologies.
Analysts have recently raised price targets on the stock following improving operational performance and continued strength in the company’s earnings results.
Analyst fair value estimates for the company have been raised to $249 following recent target increases from firms including B. Riley, Oppenheimer, KeyBanc, DA Davidson, and UBS.
That wraps up our initial coverage of Modine Manufacturing’s Q4 results. Thank you for stopping by!
Check out management’s earnings call tomorrow at 10 AM EST for more updates.
May 26, 2026 at 4:49 PM EDT
The headline numbers were strong, but the real story was buried inside Modine’s FY27 outlook. The company guided for adjusted EBITDA of $650 million to $680 million, implying roughly 38% to 44% growth year-over-year and coming in well ahead of where investors expected the post-spin business to land.
The biggest takeaway is that the data center boom still looks early. Management expects Data Centers revenue to grow another 60% to 80% in FY27, extending hyperscale-driven hypergrowth into a third straight year. Commercial HVAC also remains healthy with expected growth of 5% to 10%.
Management also said the recently announced $4 billion hyperscale chiller agreement provides meaningful long-term visibility as the company ramps the largest capacity expansion in its history.
CEO Neil Brinker called FY26 the company’s “fifth consecutive year of record results,” and the FY27 guide suggests management believes the AI data center cooling cycle still has plenty of runway left.
May 26, 2026 at 4:42 PM EDT
Beat on Both Lines, Stock Reverses Higher Modine Manufacturing (NYSE:MOD | MOD Price Prediction) topped consensus on both lines for its fourth consecutive quarter. Adjusted EPS of $1.71 topped the $1.55 consensus, a 10.00% surprise. Revenue of $954.40 million beat the $920.68 million consensus, a 3.66% surprise on 47.5% YoY growth.
Metric Expected Actual Beat/Miss % Diff Adj. EPS $1.55 $1.71 Beat +10.00% Revenue $920.68M $954.40M Beat +3.66% Shares reversed sharply after initially falling after earnings. MOD last traded at $295.88, a 13.57% session gain, with an intraday high of $323.25. FY27 revenue guidance of +20% to +35% cleared the bar.
May 26, 2026 at 4:28 PM EDT
Bull Case: The Numbers Back the Story Blowout beat: Adjusted EPS of $1.71 topped the $1.55 estimate, with revenue of $954.4 million versus $920.7 million expected. AI engine accelerating: Data Centers revenue jumped 158% YoY, with Climate Solutions up 87%. FY27 guide raises the bar: Revenue growth of +20% to +35% and adjusted EBITDA of $650 million-$680 million imply continued momentum well above prior models. Bear Case: Priced for Perfection Initial reaction negative: Shares slipped 2% after the report despite the beat. Margin pressure: Temporary expansion costs and tariffs weighed on gross margins. Rich multiple: A 143 P/E leaves no room for execution slips on the Gentherm spin. May 26, 2026 at 4:18 PM EDT
Modine Manufacturing Company just reported earnings, with shares falling 2% following the report. Here are the key numbers:
• Revenue: $954.4 million vs. $920.7 million expected
• Adjusted EPS: $1.71 vs. $1.55 expected
• Adjusted EBITDA: $146.1 million, up 40% YoY
• Climate Solutions revenue: $665.9 million, up 87% YoY
• Data Centers revenue: up 158% YoY
Guidance:
• FY27 Revenue Growth: +20% to +35%
• FY27 Adjusted EBITDA: $650 million-$680 million
Quick read:
Modine delivered a blowout quarter as hyperscale AI data center demand continued driving explosive growth across its cooling business.
The company also highlighted a landmark $4 billion long-term chiller agreement with a hyperscale customer and said it is rapidly expanding manufacturing capacity to keep up with demand, even as temporary expansion costs and tariffs pressured gross margins.
May 26, 2026 at 3:54 PM EDT
Modine Manufacturing Company soared 17% to a new all-time high today after announcing a major long-term agreement with a strategic customer that guarantees supply for more than $4 billion of Airedale by Modine cooling products between 2027 and 2029.
The deal centers around advanced cooling systems designed for high-density data centers, one of the fastest-growing infrastructure markets tied to AI and hyperscale computing demand. Management said the agreement reinforces Modine’s position as a leading provider of cooling technologies for next-generation data center deployments.
CEO Neil Brinker called the agreement a validation of the company’s long-term strategy to expand its data center business and strengthen its technology leadership position.
Shares of Modine jumped more than 17% today following the announcement as investors reacted to both the size of the agreement and the added visibility it provides into future growth.
May 26, 2026 at 3:46 PM EDT
90-Day Insider Activity: Buys Outweigh Sells Insider activity over the past 90 days skews bullish. Twelve transactions logged between February 25 and May 26 netted to buying.
Date Insider Title Transaction Shares Value 5/20/26 Neil Brinker CEO Buy 5,534 Restricted 5/16/26 Neil Brinker CEO Sell 2,882 $271.26 5/20/26 Michael Lucareli CFO Buy 1,306 Restricted 5/16/26 Michael Lucareli CFO Sell 915 $271.26 3/24/26 Jeremy Patten Pres., Perf. Tech Buy 1,094 Restricted The standout: six executives coordinated a May 20 buy, six days before earnings. Brinker’s stake was over 9x the next-largest buyer.
Four days prior, five executives sold at a uniform $271.26, consistent with planned equity management. Patten was the only repeat buyer in the window.
Broad participation across CEO, CFO, GC, CHRO, and divisional presidents typically signals confidence ahead of tonight’s report.
May 26, 2026 at 3:29 PM EDT
Bull Case Insider conviction: Six executives, including CEO Neil Brinker and CFO Michael Lucareli, acquired shares on May 20, six days before earnings. Beat streak: Four consecutive beats, with Q3 FY26 delivering a 19.71% EPS surprise on 78% data center growth. Capacity coming online: Four additional data center production lines were expected to ramp in Q4. Bear Case Valuation stretched: Shares are up 95.13% YTD and trade at a 143 P/E. Cash burn: Q3 free cash flow was -$17.1M with capex up 161.25% YoY. Volatile reactions: Q4 FY25 dropped 11.66% despite a beat, showing strong results don’t guarantee gains. Performance Technologies drag: Guided flat to down 7%, complicating the Gentherm spin. May 26, 2026 at 3:13 PM EDT
Guidance, Not the Beat, Will Drive the Stock’s Reaction Modine (NYSE:MOD) has raised full-year guidance every quarter of FY26, finishing at 20% to 25% sales growth and $455M to $475M adjusted EBITDA. Management guides conservatively, so the Q4 earnings report is likely to land at the high end. The bigger swing factor is FY27, the first outlook as a pure-play climate solutions company post-Gentherm (NASDAQ:THRM) spin.
Investors want clarity on four metrics: data center growth (currently 50-70% annually through FY28), Climate Solutions margin recovery, progress toward the $2 billion FY28 data center target, and free cash flow turning positive.
Bullish: FY27 data center growth at the high end, expanding margins, and a firm spin timeline.
Bearish: growth below 50%, continued margin compression from capacity ramp, or Performance Technologies weakness delaying the deal.
May 26, 2026 at 3:01 PM EDT
Modine Manufacturing has beaten earnings estimates in four straight quarters, delivering an average surprise of more than 14%. But with shares recently trading near $305, well above the average analyst price target of around $266, expectations have moved materially higher heading into earnings.
That means a simple beat may no longer be enough to push the stock higher.
Investors are likely to focus more heavily on management commentary surrounding FY27 Climate Solutions margins, hyperscaler demand trends, data center order book depth, and the timing of any potential spin-off activity. Those factors could determine whether the company can support another leg higher after its massive run.
Investors are watching Modine Manufacturing (NYSE: MOD) ahead of its fiscal fourth-quarter results due today, May 26, expected after the close around 4:15 PM ET. With shares up 15.7% intraday and 95.13% year to date, expectations are already high.
From Heat Exchangers to Hyperscale Last quarter reset the story for Modine. MOD posted adjusted EPS of $1.19 against a $0.9941 estimate, with revenue of $805.0 million, up 30.51% year over year. Climate Solutions revenue jumped 51% as data center sales climbed 78%.
Management used the strength to raise the full-year outlook and unveil a $1 billion Reverse Morris Trust combination of Performance Technologies with Gentherm, valued at 6.8x trailing EBITDA and expected to close in the fourth calendar quarter of 2026. The remaining Modine becomes a pure-play climate solutions company anchored in data center cooling and commercial HVAC.
The stock has run hard since the Q3 filing on Feb. 4, up 30.57%, and is up 188.35% over the past year.
FY26 Guidance Snapshot Metric FY26 Guidance FY25 Actual Implied Growth Net Sales $3.10B to $3.23B $2.58B 20% to 25% Adjusted EBITDA $455M to $475M n/a 16% to 21% Climate Solutions Revenue +40% to +45% n/a raised Data Center Revenue >70% YoY $644M (+119%) raised Forward P/E 36x Data Center Capacity Is the Whole Game Tonight, I’ll be watching the company’s margins in Climate Solutions. Management guided to sequential improvement of over 200 basis points in Q4, keeping the segment within a 20% to 21% range. That hinges on new chiller lines in Grenada, Mississippi, and Dallas coming online cleanly, plus the Franklin, Wisconsin, air handler ramp.
The implied Q4 data center run rate is roughly $400 million, at an annualized pace of $1.6 billion. CEO Neil Brinker said the company is “solidly ahead of our $2 billion revenue target for fiscal year 2028” with visibility now stretching as far as five years.
Investors will also watch free cash flow. Q3 FCF was negative $17.1 million, with net debt up $238 million to fund capacity. With CapEx still tracking $150M to $180M for the year, Q4 cash conversion matters.
Performance Technologies is another business line to scrutinize. Management warned of a temporary dip in the EBITDA margin in Q4, followed by a Q1 recovery to above 14%. Any timeline update on the Gentherm close, plus tariff updates, will move the stock.
Strong fourth quarter resulted in fourth consecutive year of record financial results
, /PRNewswire/ -- Modine (NYSE: MOD), a diversified global leader in thermal management technology and solutions, today reported financial results for the quarter and fiscal year ended March 31, 2026.
Fourth Quarter Highlights:
Record quarterly net sales of $954.4 million increased $307.2 million, or 47 percent, from the prior year Net earnings of $73.6 million increased $23.5 million, or 47 percent, from the prior year Earnings per share of $1.36 increased $0.44, or 48 percent, from the prior year Record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $146.1 million increased $42.0 million, or 40 percent, from the prior year Record quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $1.71 increased $0.59, or 53 percent, from the prior year Full-Year Highlights:
Record net sales of $3.2 billion increased $597.6 million, or 23 percent, from the prior year Net earnings of $123.3 million decreased $62.2 million, or 34 percent, from the prior year and included a $116.1 million non-cash pension termination charge in the third quarter Earnings per share of $2.26 decreased $1.16, or 34 percent, from the prior year Record adjusted EBITDA of $471.0 million increased $78.9 million, or 20 percent, from the prior year Record adjusted earnings per share of $5.02 increased $0.97, or 24 percent, from the prior year Fiscal 2027 Outlook:
Net sales growth between 20 percent and 35 percent Adjusted EBITDA range of $650 million to $680 million, resulting in growth between 38 percent and 44 percent "The team delivered a strong fourth quarter and a fourth consecutive year of record revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share," said Modine President and Chief Executive Officer, Neil D. Brinker. "I am incredibly proud of this exceptional performance as we continue to evolve our portfolio to become a more focused, high-growth company. We took decisive action this year to advance our transformation including the completion of three acquisitions in our Climate Solutions segment, the launch of the largest capacity expansion in our company's history to meet growing demand for our data center products, and the announced pending spin-off of the Performance Technologies business. Our future is bright, evidenced by a landmark $4 billion long-term agreement for chiller sales with a major hyperscale customer, cementing Modine's position as a critical partner for data center cooling."
Fourth Quarter Financial Results
Net sales increased 47 percent to $954.4 million, compared with $647.2 million in the prior year. Sales growth was driven by higher sales in the Climate Solutions segment, driven primarily by strong demand from data center customers and sales from acquired businesses. This performance was achieved despite a significant loss of production days from severe weather in multiple locations and shortages of key components from supply chain partners.
Gross profit increased 29 percent to $214.7 million and gross margin decreased by 320 basis points to 22.5 percent. The decline in gross margin was largely expected and resulted primarily from higher temporary costs related to the capacity expansion for data center products, increased tariffs, and higher material costs.
Selling, general and administrative ("SG&A") expenses increased 25 percent to $101.7 million. The increase was primarily due to higher expenses in the Climate Solutions segment, supporting the segment's growth and including incremental expenses from the recent acquisitions, and costs related to the pending spin-off of the Performance Technologies segment. These higher costs were partially offset by cost saving initiatives, including benefits from previous restructuring actions.
Operating income increased 39 percent to $103.9 million, compared to $74.5 million in the prior year. This increase was driven by higher earnings in the Climate Solutions segment. The Company recorded $5.2 million of restructuring expenses during the fourth quarter, primarily severance expenses related to headcount reductions and costs related to equipment transfers. In addition, the Company incurred $12.5 million of costs related to the pending spin-off of the Performance Technologies segment. Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes restructuring expenses, disposition costs, certain other charges, interest expense, the provision for income taxes, and depreciation and amortization expense, was $146.1 million, an increase of $42.0 million, or 40 percent, compared to $104.1 million in the prior year.
Earnings per share was $1.36, compared with earnings per share of $0.92 in the prior year, an increase of $0.44, or 48 percent. Adjusted earnings per share was $1.71, compared with adjusted earnings per share of $1.12 in the prior year, an increase of $0.59, or 53 percent.
Fourth Quarter Segment Review
Climate Solutions segment sales were $665.9 million, compared with $356.3 million one year ago, an increase of 87 percent. Data Centers sales increased 158 percent from the prior year, and HVAC Technologies sales increased 51 percent, including $38.2 million of incremental sales from acquired businesses. The segment reported gross margin of 24.6 percent, which was 510 basis points lower than the prior year. This decline was largely expected and resulted primarily from the planned and temporary costs related to the rapid expansion of manufacturing capacity for data center products, and, to a lesser extent, higher tariff and weather-related temporary labor and overtime costs. The segment reported operating income of $108.8 million, a 77 percent increase from the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA of $124.3 million, an increase of 63 percent from the prior year. Performance Technologies segment sales were $294.0 million, compared with $294.8 million one year ago, a decrease of $0.8 million. This decrease primarily resulted from lower sales to stationary power customers, mostly offset by higher sales to automotive, commercial vehicle and off-highway customers. The segment reported gross margin of 16.5 percent, which was 390 basis points lower than the prior year, primarily due to higher material costs and tariffs. The segment reported operating income of $27.7 million, a 7 percent decrease from the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA of $37.4 million, a 15 percent decrease from the prior year. Full-Year Financial Results
Fiscal 2026 net sales increased 23 percent to $3,181.1 million compared with $2,583.5 million in the prior year. The increase was driven by higher sales in the Climate Solutions segment, with particularly strong growth in sales of data center products, and $119.1 million in incremental sales from acquisitions. This was partially offset by lower sales in the Performance Technologies segment.
Gross margin of 23.0 percent was 190 basis points lower than the prior year, primarily due to higher temporary costs related to the capacity expansion for data center products and higher material costs and tariffs.
The Company reported net earnings of $123.3 million compared to $185.5 million in the prior year, a decrease of $62.2 million. The current year results include a $116.1 million non-cash pension termination charge in the third quarter. The Company recorded $20.6 million of restructuring expenses during the year, primarily severance expenses related to headcount reductions and costs related to equipment transfers. In addition, the Company incurred $20.3 million of acquisition and disposition costs. Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes restructuring expenses, the pension termination charge, acquisition and disposition costs, certain other charges, interest expense, the provision for income taxes, and depreciation and amortization expense, was $471.0 million, an increase of $78.9 million, or 20 percent, compared to $392.1 million in the prior year.
Earnings per share in fiscal 2026 was $2.26 compared with $3.42 in fiscal 2025, and adjusted earnings per share in fiscal 2026 was $5.02, compared with $4.05 in fiscal 2025.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Net cash provided by operating activities for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 was $248.7 million, an increase of $35.4 million compared to the prior year. Free cash flow for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 was $105.4 million, a decrease of $23.9 million from the prior year. This decrease was due to an increase in working capital and higher capital expenditures, both associated with the rapid growth of our Data Centers business. These drivers, which decreased free cash flow, were partially offset by higher operating earnings and the favorable impact of customer deposits received during fiscal 2026. Cash payments for restructuring activities, funding of the U.S. pension plan in connection with its termination, acquisition and disposition costs, and certain other costs totaled $49.6 million during the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026.
Total debt was $436.3 million as of March 31, 2026. Cash and cash equivalents totaled $73.5 million as of March 31, 2026. Net debt was $362.8 million as of March 31, 2026, an increase of $83.6 million from the end of fiscal 2025. This increase resulted from borrowings to fund working capital, acquisitions and capital expenditures.
Outlook
"Our fiscal 2027 outlook implies a fifth consecutive year of record results," added Brinker. "We anticipate another strong year for our Data Centers business, supported by our strong customer relationships and significant order book. Our capacity expansion remains firmly on track and we will continue to invest in our fastest growing business to ensure we meet the future needs of our key customers. Altogether, we expect another terrific year for Modine and are confident in our ability to deliver value for our customers and shareholders."
Outlook includes the Performance Technologies business for all of fiscal 2027. This outlook will be updated for the remaining business once the timing of the spin-off of the Performance Technologies segment is finalized.
Based on current exchange rates and market conditions, Modine provides its outlook for fiscal 2027:
Fiscal 2027
Current Outlook
Net Sales
+20% to 35%
Adjusted EBITDA
$650 to $680 million
Conference Call and Webcast
Modine will conduct a conference call and live webcast, with a slide presentation, on Wednesday, May 27, 2026, at 9:00 a.m. Central Time (10:00 a.m. Eastern Time) to discuss its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 financial results. The webcast and accompanying slides will be available on the Investor Relations section of the Modine website at www.modine.com. Participants are encouraged to log on to the webcast and conference call about ten minutes prior to the start of the event. A replay of the slides and the audio will be available on or after May 27, 2026, on the investor section of Modine's website at http://www.modine.com. An audio only replay will be available through midnight on June 3, 2026, by dialing 877-660-6853 (international replay 201-612-7415) and entering the Conference ID# 13758931. A transcript of the call will be posted to the company's website on or after May 28, 2026.
About Modine
For more than 100 years, Modine has solved the toughest thermal management challenges for mission-critical applications. Our purpose of Engineering a Cleaner, Healthier World™ means we are always evolving our portfolio of technologies to provide the latest heating, cooling, and ventilation solutions. Through the hard work of more than 13,000 employees worldwide, our businesses advance our purpose with systems that improve air quality, reduce energy and water consumption, lower harmful emissions, enable cleaner running vehicles, and use environmentally friendly refrigerants. Modine is a global company headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin (U.S.), with operations in North America, South America, Europe, and Asia. For more information about Modine, visit www.modine.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains statements, including information about future financial performance and market conditions, accompanied by phrases such as "believes," "estimates," "expects," "plans," "anticipates," "intends," "projects," and other similar "forward-looking" statements, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Modine's actual results, performance or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements because of certain risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to those described under "Risk Factors" in Item 1A of Part I of the Company's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K. Other risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following: the impact of potential adverse developments or disruptions in the global economy and financial markets, including impacts related to geopolitical tensions and military conflicts, including the conflict between the U.S. and Iran, inflation, energy costs, government incentive or funding programs, supply chain challenges or supplier constraints, logistical disruptions, tariffs, sanctions and other trade issues or cross-border trade restrictions; the impact of other economic, social and political conditions, changes and challenges in the markets where we operate and compete, including foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, changes in interest rates, tightening of the credit markets, recession or recovery therefrom, restrictions associated with importing and exporting and foreign ownership, public health crises, and the general uncertainties, including the impact on demand for our products and the markets we serve from regulatory and/or policy changes that have been or may be implemented in the U.S. or abroad, including those related to tax and trade, climate change, and public health threats; the overall health and pricing focus of our customers; changes or threats to the market growth prospects for our customers; our ability to successfully exit portions of our business that do not align with our strategic plans, including the various risks related to the pending Reverse Morris Trust transaction with Gentherm; our ability to realize the sales growth and return on investments anticipated in our Data Centers business and our ability to execute on other organic growth opportunities and acquisitions; our ability to realize anticipated benefits, including improved profit margins and cash flow, from strategic initiatives and our continued application of 80/20 principles across our businesses; our ability to be at the forefront of technological advances and the impacts of any changes in the adoption rate of technologies that we expect to drive sales growth; our ability to effectively and efficiently manage our operations in response to sales volume changes, including maintaining adequate production capacity to meet demand in our growing businesses, particularly in our Data Centers business, while also completing restructuring activities and realizing benefits thereof; our ability to fund our global liquidity requirements efficiently and comply with the financial covenants in our credit agreements; operational inefficiencies as a result of product or program launches, unexpected volume increases or decreases, product transfers and product warranty and liability claims; the impact on Modine of any significant increases in commodity prices, particularly aluminum, copper, steel and stainless steel (nickel) and other purchased components and related costs, and our ability to adjust product pricing in response to any such increases; our ability to recruit and maintain talent in managerial, leadership, operational and administrative functions and to mitigate increased labor costs; our ability to protect our proprietary information and intellectual property from theft or attack; the impact of any substantial disruption or material breach of our information technology systems; costs and other effects of environmental investigation, remediation or litigation and the increasing emphasis on environmental, social and corporate governance matters; our ability to realize the benefits of deferred tax assets and the impact of changes in tax regulations; and other risks and uncertainties identified in our public filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are as of the date of this press release, and we do not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements.
Non-GAAP Financial Disclosures
Adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted earnings per share, net debt, free cash flow, organic sales and organic sales growth (which are defined below) as used in this press release are not measures that are defined in generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). These non-GAAP measures are used by management as performance measures to evaluate the Company's overall financial performance and liquidity. These measures are not, and should not be viewed as, substitutes for the applicable GAAP measures, and may be different from similarly titled measures used by other companies.
Definition – Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin
The Company defines adjusted EBITDA as net earnings excluding interest expense, the provision or benefit for income taxes, depreciation and amortization expenses, other income and expense, restructuring expenses, impairment charges, pension termination charges, acquisition and disposition costs, and certain other gains or charges. Adjusted EBITDA margin represents adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales. The Company believes that adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin provide relevant measures of profitability and earnings power. The Company views these financial metrics as being useful in assessing operating performance from period to period by excluding certain items that it believes are not representative of its core business. Adjusted EBITDA, when calculated for the business segments, is defined as operating income excluding depreciation and amortization expenses, restructuring expenses, impairment charges, and certain other gains or charges.
Definition – Adjusted earnings per share
Diluted earnings per share plus restructuring expenses, impairment charges, pension termination charges, acquisition and disposition costs, and excluding changes in income tax valuation allowances and certain other gains or charges. Adjusted earnings per share is an overall performance measure, not including costs associated with restructuring, acquisitions, and dispositions and certain other gains or charges.
Definition – Net debt
The sum of debt due within one year and long-term debt, less cash and cash equivalents. Net debt is an indicator of the Company's debt position after considering on-hand cash balances.
Definition – Free cash flow
Free cash flow represents net cash provided by operating activities less expenditures for property, plant and equipment. Free cash flow presents cash generated from operations during the period that is available for strategic capital decisions.
Definition – Organic sales and organic sales growth
Net sales and net sales growth can be impacted by acquisitions, dispositions, and foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations. The Company defines organic sales as external net sales excluding the impact of acquisitions and the effects of foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations. Organic sales growth represents the percentage change of organic sales compared to prior year external net sales, excluding the impact of dispositions. The effect of exchange rate changes is calculated by using the same foreign currency exchange rates as those used to translate financial data for the prior period. The Company adjusts for acquisitions and dispositions by excluding net sales in the current and prior periods, respectively, for which there are no comparable sales in the reported periods. These sales growth measures provide a more consistent indication of our performance, without the effects of foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations or acquisitions and dispositions.
Forward-looking non-GAAP financial measure
The Company's fiscal 2027 guidance includes adjusted EBITDA, as defined above, which is a non-GAAP financial measure. The fiscal 2027 guidance includes the Company's estimates for interest expense of approximately $15 to $18 million, a provision for income taxes of approximately $135 to $145 million, and depreciation and amortization expense of approximately $90 to $95 million. The non-GAAP financial measure also excludes certain cash and non-cash expenses or gains. These expenses and gains may be significant and include items such as restructuring expenses (including severance and equipment transfer costs), impairment charges, acquisition and disposition costs, and certain other items. In connection with the pending Reverse Morris Trust transaction with Gentherm, the Company expects to incur approximately $30 to $40 million of additional costs during fiscal 2027, primarily for transaction advisory, legal, accounting, tax and other professional services. Estimates of other expenses and gains for fiscal 2027 are not available due to the low visibility and unpredictability of these items.
Modine Manufacturing Company
Consolidated statements of operations (unaudited)
(In millions, except per share amounts)
Three months ended March 31,
Twelve months ended March 31,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Net sales
$
954.4
$
647.2
$
3,181.1
$
2,583.5
Cost of sales
739.7
481.2
2,450.0
1,939.7
Gross profit
214.7
166.0
731.1
643.8
Selling, general & administrative expenses
101.7
81.5
360.1
332.1
Restructuring expenses
5.2
10.0
20.6
28.2
Impairment charge
—
—
4.1
—
Loss on sale of assets
3.9
—
3.9
—
Operating income
103.9
74.5
342.4
283.5
Interest expense
(8.6)
(5.3)
(31.6)
(26.4)
Pension termination charge
—
—
(116.1)
—
Other income (expense) – net
0.3
(2.4)
(8.2)
(3.1)
Earnings before income taxes
95.6
66.8
186.5
254.0
Provision for income taxes
(22.0)
(16.7)
(63.2)
(68.5)
Net earnings
73.6
50.1
123.3
185.5
Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interest
(0.3)
(0.5)
(1.8)
(1.5)
Net earnings attributable to Modine
$
73.3
$
49.6
$
121.5
$
184.0
Net earnings per share attributable to Modine shareholders –
diluted
$
1.36
$
0.92
$
2.26
$
3.42
Weighted-average shares outstanding – diluted
54.0
53.9
53.8
53.9
Condensed consolidated balance sheets (unaudited)
(In millions)
March 31, 2026
March 31, 2025
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents
$
73.5
$
71.6
Trade receivables
731.0
478.9
Inventories
506.1
340.9
Other current assets
105.5
69.8
Total current assets
1,416.1
961.2
Property, plant and equipment – net
520.9
390.5
Intangible assets – net
197.0
146.7
Goodwill
292.1
233.9
Deferred income taxes
85.3
67.0
Other noncurrent assets
163.2
118.3
Total assets
$
2,674.6
$
1,917.6
Liabilities and shareholders' equity
Debt due within one year
$
51.4
$
54.1
Accounts payable
464.8
290.8
Other current liabilities
212.7
196.1
Total current liabilities
728.9
541.0
Long-term debt
384.9
296.7
Other noncurrent liabilities
358.0
161.7
Total liabilities
1,471.8
999.4
Total equity
1,202.8
918.2
Total liabilities & equity
$
2,674.6
$
1,917.6
Modine Manufacturing Company
Condensed consolidated statements of cash flows (unaudited)
(In millions)
Twelve months ended March 31,
2026
2025
Cash flows from operating activities:
Net earnings
$
123.3
$
185.5
Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to net cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization
79.7
77.7
Impairment charge
4.1
—
Loss on sale of assets
3.9
—
Pension termination charge
116.1
—
Stock-based compensation expense
22.1
26.4
Deferred income taxes
(39.1)
6.5
Other – net
7.0
6.9
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
Trade accounts receivable
(222.6)
(61.2)
Inventories
(125.1)
13.6
Accounts payable
151.1
10.5
Accrued compensation and employee benefits
(13.5)
1.6
Contract liabilities
159.0
(44.5)
Other assets
(2.9)
15.3
Other liabilities
(14.4)
(25.0)
Net cash provided by operating activities
248.7
213.3
Cash flows from investing activities:
Expenditures for property, plant and equipment
(143.3)
(84.0)
Payments for business acquisitions, net of cash acquired
(182.4)
(3.4)
Other – net
4.4
0.8
Net cash used for investing activities
(321.3)
(86.6)
Cash flows from financing activities:
Net increase (decrease) in debt
78.7
(82.5)
Purchases of treasury stock
(7.0)
(30.9)
Other – net
1.4
(0.2)
Net cash provided by (used for) financing activities
73.1
(113.6)
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash
1.3
(1.5)
Net increase in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash
1.8
11.6
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash – beginning of period
71.9
60.3
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash – end of period
$
73.7
$
71.9
Modine Manufacturing Company
Segment operating results (unaudited)
(In millions)
Three months ended March 31,
Twelve months ended March 31,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Net sales:
Climate Solutions
$
665.9
$
356.3
$
2,062.3
$
1,440.8
Performance Technologies
294.0
294.8
1,131.8
1,163.5
Segment total
959.9
651.1
3,194.1
2,604.3
Corporate and eliminations
(5.5)
(3.9)
(13.0)
(20.8)
Net sales
$
954.4
$
647.2
$
3,181.1
$
2,583.5
Three months ended March 31,
Twelve months ended March 31,
2026
2025
2026
2025
$'s
% of
sales
$'s
% of
sales
$'s
% of
sales
$'s
% of
sales
Gross profit:
Climate Solutions
$
164.0
24.6
%
$
105.9
29.7
%
$
524.0
25.4
%
$
416.1
28.9
%
Performance Technologies
48.7
16.5
%
60.1
20.4
%
204.8
18.1
%
230.4
19.8
%
Segment total
212.7
22.2
%
166.0
25.5
%
728.8
22.8
%
646.5
24.8
%
Corporate and eliminations
2.0
—
—
—
2.3
—
(2.7)
—
Gross profit
$
214.7
22.5
%
$
166.0
25.7
%
$
731.1
23.0
%
$
643.8
24.9
%
Three months ended March 31,
Twelve months ended March 31,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Operating income:
Climate Solutions
$
108.8
$
61.5
$
321.1
$
248.4
Performance Technologies
27.7
29.9
109.7
108.0
Segment total
136.5
91.4
430.8
356.4
Corporate and eliminations
(32.6)
(16.9)
(88.4)
(72.9)
Operating income
$
103.9
$
74.5
$
342.4
$
283.5
Modine Manufacturing Company
Adjusted financial results (unaudited)
(In millions, except per share amounts)
Three months ended March 31,
Twelve months ended March 31,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Net earnings
$
73.6
$
50.1
$
123.3
$
185.5
Interest expense
8.6
5.3
31.6
26.4
Provision for income taxes
22.0
16.7
63.2
68.5
Depreciation and amortization expense
20.6
19.2
79.7
77.7
Other (income) expense – net
(0.3)
2.4
8.2
3.1
Restructuring expenses (a)
5.2
10.0
20.6
28.2
Impairment charge (b)
—
—
4.1
—
Loss on sale of assets (c)
3.9
—
3.9
—
Pension termination charge (d)
—
—
116.1
—
Acquisition and integration costs (e)
—
0.3
5.3
2.3
Disposition costs (f)
12.5
—
15.0
—
Environmental charges (g)
—
0.1
—
0.4
Adjusted EBITDA
$
146.1
$
104.1
$
471.0
$
392.1
Net earnings per share attributable to Modine shareholders – diluted
$
1.36
$
0.92
$
2.26
$
3.42
Restructuring expenses (a)
0.07
0.16
0.30
0.45
Impairment charge (b)
—
—
0.08
—
Loss on sale of assets (c)
0.07
—
0.07
—
Pension termination charge (d)
—
—
1.92
—
Acquisition and integration costs (e)
—
0.04
0.08
0.18
Disposition costs (f)
0.17
—
0.20
—
Tax law changes (h)
0.04
—
0.11
—
Adjusted earnings per share
$
1.71
$
1.12
$
5.02
$
4.05
(a)
Restructuring expenses primarily consist of employee severance expenses and equipment transfer costs. The tax benefit related to restructuring expenses during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025 was $1.3 million and $1.5 million, respectively. The tax benefit related to restructuring expenses during fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025 was $4.3 million and $4.0 million, respectively.
(b)
During the second quarter of fiscal 2026, the Company recorded a $4.1 million non-cash asset impairment charge related to its technical service center and administrative support facility in Germany, which it expects to sell during fiscal 2027. There was no tax impact associated with this impairment charge.
(c)
During the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, the Company recorded a $3.9 million loss resulting from the settlement of a loan facility that it provided in connection with the sale of its Austrian automotive business in fiscal 2022. There was no tax impact associated with this loss.
(d)
During the third quarter of fiscal 2026, the Company recorded a non-cash pension termination charge of $116.1 million to recognize actuarial losses that were included within accumulated other comprehensive loss on its consolidated balance sheet. The tax benefit related to the pension termination charge was $13.1 million.
(e)
The fiscal 2026 costs primarily relate to the acquisitions of Climate by Design International and L.B. White and include fees for transaction advisory services, legal, accounting, and other professional services and costs directly associated with integration activities. The acquisition costs also include $1.3 million for the impact of inventory purchase accounting adjustments. The fiscal 2025 costs relate to the acquisition of Scott Springfield Manufacturing, including $1.6 million for the impact of an inventory purchase accounting adjustment. In addition, for purposes of calculating adjusted EPS in fiscal 2025, the Company adjusted for $10.6 million of incremental amortization expense recorded in the Climate Solutions segment associated with an acquired order backlog intangible asset. The tax benefit related to the acquisition costs during fiscal 2026 and 2025 was $0.8 million and $2.9 million, respectively. The tax benefit related to the acquisition costs during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 was $0.7 million.
(f)
Disposition costs primarily relate to the proposed Reverse Morris Trust transaction with Gentherm and include fees for legal, accounting, tax, and other professional services and other costs directly related to the transaction. The tax benefit related to the disposition costs during the fourth quarter and during fiscal 2026 was $3.2 million and $3.9 million, respectively.
(g)
Environmental charges, including related legal costs, are recorded as SG&A expenses and relate to previously-owned facilities.
(h)
The provisions of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which was enacted in July 2025, negatively impacted the Company's income tax expense for the fourth quarter and during fiscal 2026 by $2.1 million and $5.8 million, respectively. The higher income tax expense was primarily due to impacts related to state deferred taxes and the utilization of foreign tax credits.
Modine Manufacturing Company
Segment adjusted financial results (unaudited)
(In millions)
Three months ended March 31, 2026
Three months ended March 31, 2025
Climate
Performance
Corporate and
Climate
Performance
Corporate and
Solutions
Technologies
eliminations
Total
Solutions
Technologies
eliminations
Total
Operating income
$
108.8
$
27.7
$
(32.6)
$
103.9
$
61.5
$
29.9
$
(16.9)
$
74.5
Depreciation and amortization expense
12.6
7.5
0.5
20.6
11.6
7.4
0.2
19.2
Restructuring expenses (a)
2.9
2.2
0.1
5.2
3.2
6.8
—
10.0
Loss on sale of assets (a)
—
—
3.9
3.9
—
—
—
—
Acquisition and integration costs (a)
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.3
0.3
Disposition costs (a)
—
—
12.5
12.5
—
—
—
—
Environmental charges (a)
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.1
0.1
Adjusted EBITDA
$
124.3
$
37.4
$
(15.6)
$
146.1
$
76.3
$
44.1
$
(16.3)
$
104.1
Net sales
$
665.9
$
294.0
$
(5.5)
$
954.4
$
356.3
$
294.8
$
(3.9)
$
647.2
Adjusted EBITDA margin
18.7
%
12.7
%
15.3
%
21.4
%
15.0
%
16.1
%
Twelve months ended March 31, 2026
Twelve months ended March 31, 2025
Climate
Performance
Corporate and
Climate
Performance
Corporate and
Solutions
Technologies
eliminations
Total
Solutions
Technologies
eliminations
Total
Operating income
$
321.1
$
109.7
$
(88.4)
$
342.4
$
248.4
$
108.0
$
(72.9)
$
283.5
Depreciation and amortization expense
47.5
30.8
1.4
79.7
48.3
28.7
0.7
77.7
Restructuring expenses (a)
8.5
11.9
0.2
20.6
6.0
20.5
1.7
28.2
Impairment charge (a)
—
4.1
—
4.1
—
—
—
—
Loss on sale of assets (a)
—
—
3.9
3.9
—
—
—
—
Acquisition and integration costs (a)
—
—
5.3
5.3
—
—
2.3
2.3
Disposition costs (a)
—
—
15.0
15.0
—
—
—
—
Environmental charges (a)
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.4
0.4
Adjusted EBITDA
$
377.1
$
156.5
$
(62.6)
$
471.0
$
302.7
$
157.2
$
(67.8)
$
392.1
Net sales
$
2,062.3
$
1,131.8
$
(13.0)
$
3,181.1
$
1,440.8
$
1,163.5
$
(20.8)
$
2,583.5
Adjusted EBITDA margin
18.3
%
13.8
%
14.8
%
21.0
%
13.5
%
15.2
%
(a)
See the Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations on the previous page for information on restructuring expenses and other adjustments.
Modine Manufacturing Company
Net debt (unaudited)
(In millions)
March 31, 2026
March 31, 2025
Debt due within one year
$
51.4
$
54.1
Long-term debt
384.9
296.7
Total debt
436.3
350.8
Less: cash and cash equivalents
73.5
71.6
Net debt
$
362.8
$
279.2
Free cash flow (unaudited)
(In millions)
Three months ended March 31,
Twelve months ended March 31,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Net cash provided by operating activities
$
194.9
$
54.8
$
248.7
$
213.3
Expenditures for property, plant and equipment
(42.1)
(27.7)
(143.3)
(84.0)
Free cash flow
$
152.8
$
27.1
$
105.4
$
129.3
Organic sales and organic sales growth (unaudited)
Modine (MOD - Free Report) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.71 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.51 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.12 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +13.49%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this heating and cooling products maker would post earnings of $0.99 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.19, delivering a surprise of +20.2%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.
Modine, which belongs to the Zacks Automotive - Original Equipment industry, posted revenues of $954.4 million for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.19%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $647.2 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Modine shares have added about 95.1% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 9.2%.
What's Next for Modine?While Modine has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Modine was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.65 on $926.9 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $7.23 on $3.8 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Automotive - Original Equipment is currently in the bottom 40% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
One other stock from the same industry, BRP Inc. (DOO - Free Report) , is yet to report results for the quarter ended April 2026. The results are expected to be released on May 28.
This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.75 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +127.3%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 92.3% lower over the last 30 days to the current level.
BRP Inc.'s revenues are expected to be $1.52 billion, up 16.7% from the year-ago quarter.
Modine (MOD - Free Report) reported $954.4 million in revenue for the quarter ended March 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 47.5%. EPS of $1.71 for the same period compares to $1.12 a year ago.
The reported revenue represents a surprise of +5.19% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $907.34 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.51, the EPS surprise was +13.49%.
While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.
Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.
Here is how Modine performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
Net Sales- Performance Technologies: $294 million compared to the $288.48 million average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of -0.3% year over year.Net Sales- Climate Solutions: $665.9 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $655.08 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +86.9%.Adjusted EBITDA- Climate Solutions: $124.3 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $131.66 million.Adjusted EBITDA- Corporate and eliminations: $-15.6 million versus $-18.41 million estimated by two analysts on average.Adjusted EBITDA- Performance Technologies: $37.4 million versus $31.36 million estimated by two analysts on average.View all Key Company Metrics for Modine here>>>
Shares of Modine have returned +6.4% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.4% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), indicating that it could outperform the broader market in the near term.
On May 26, 2026, Modine Manufacturing Co MOD shares rose 13.6% to a current price of $295.88. This recent surge comes amid a remarkable price performance, as MOD has soared 121.6% year-to-date and 229.4% over the past year, trading within a 52-week range of $86.48 to $323.25.
GF Value™ verdict: Current price of $295.88 vs GF Value™ of $125.65, indicating the stock is 135.5% overvalued.GF Score™ of 74/100, suggesting the stock is above average in quality.Notable signal: No insider transactions have been reported in the last 3 months. Is MOD Overvalued or Undervalued? Modine Manufacturing Co's current price of $295.88 significantly exceeds the GF Value™ estimate of $125.65, indicating that the stock is 135.5% overvalued. This valuation suggests a lack of margin of safety for potential investors, as the stock price is well above its intrinsic value. The GF Valuation label categorizes MOD as significantly overvalued, which carries inherent risks for those considering an investment at these levels. A high valuation can lead to increased volatility and potential corrections if future performance does not meet market expectations.
GF Value™ is GuruFocus' proprietary measure of intrinsic value, calculated from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates.
How Does MOD's Valuation Compare to Its History? Metric Current Historical P/E (TTM) 164.4x 20.7x Forward P/E 40.1x N/A The current P/E (TTM) of Modine Manufacturing Co at 164.4x is significantly above its 5-year median P/E of 20.7x, indicating that the stock is trading at a premium compared to its historical valuation. This analysis is consistent with the GF Value™ verdict that suggests MOD is overvalued. The forward P/E of 40.1x also supports this notion, as it indicates expectations of continued high earnings relative to its price.
What Does MOD's GF Score™ Tell Us? Metric Rating GF Score™ 74 Financial Strength 7/10 Profitability 7/10 Growth 8/10 Valuation 1/10 Momentum 6/10 Modine Manufacturing Co has a GF Score™ of 74/100, which indicates that it is above average in terms of quality. The strongest aspect of MOD's score is its growth rank of 8/10, showcasing a solid potential for future earnings. However, the weakest point lies in its valuation rank of 1/10, affirming the concerns raised by the GF Value™ assessment regarding its overvaluation. The financial strength and profitability ranks of 7/10 suggest a stable business but are overshadowed by the valuation concerns.
What Are Insiders Doing with MOD Stock? There have been no insider transactions reported in the last 3 months for Modine Manufacturing Co. This lack of activity may suggest that insiders are currently not making significant moves, which could be interpreted in various ways. It may reflect confidence in the company's stock price stability or a cautionary stance given the current valuation levels.
What This Means for Investors Based on the GF Value™ assessment, Modine Manufacturing Co is currently overvalued. The significant disparity between its current price and intrinsic value raises concerns about potential downside risk for new investors. Caution is advised given the high valuation and its implications on future stock performance.
For the complete analysis, visit the Modine Manufacturing Co MOD stock page. You can also explore the GF Value™ page for detailed valuation methodology, or use the GuruFocus Stock Screener to find similar opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions What is MOD's GF Score™?
MOD's GF Score™ is 74/100, indicating that it is above average in quality based on five key aspects including financial strength and profitability.
Is MOD overvalued or undervalued?
MOD is currently overvalued, with a GF Value™ of $125.65 compared to its market price of $295.88.
What is MOD's P/E ratio?
MOD's P/E ratio is 164.4x, which is significantly above its 5-year median of 20.7x, indicating that the stock is trading at a premium compared to its historical valuation.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
The market consistently misprices the physical infrastructure required to sustain exponential technological growth. Right now, the structural bottleneck for artificial intelligence (AI) is not silicon availability. The true bottleneck is thermal management. Next-generation GPUs operate at thermal densities that shatter the limits of legacy cooling architectures. Hyperscalers recognize this physical limit and are aggressively locking down viable supply chains to prevent catastrophic deployment delays.
Get Modine Manufacturing alerts:
Breaking the Ice: Modine Leaves the Rust Belt BehindModine Manufacturing NYSE: MOD is squarely at the center of this exact friction point. Long viewed as a cyclical automotive sector and industrial sector supplier, Modine has reconstructed its operational DNA. With shares recently climbing past $300, Wall Street is grappling with the company's profound structural pivot. Modine has decoupled from its low-margin roots, securing massive guaranteed capacity lock-ups and shedding legacy assets to emerge as a pure-play AI infrastructure business.
Modine Manufacturing Today
MOD
Modine Manufacturing
$258.51 -19.67 (-7.07%)
As of 06/10/2026 03:59 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.
52-Week Range$86.48▼
$323.25P/E Ratio115.40
Price Target$327.14
The most glaring indicator of an extreme supply-demand imbalance in the liquid cooling sector came in the form of a $4 billion Long-Term Capacity Agreement through 2029. Modine will supply cutting-edge Airedale cooling solutions to a strategic data center client, but the headline revenue figure is only part of the equation.
The crucial metric buried in the contract is the $165 million upfront cash payment from the customer to fund Modine's capital expenditures. When tier-one hyperscalers start directly financing a supplier's manufacturing footprint, investors should immediately recognize panic-buying. Customers are footing the bill to expand capacity because the alternative is millions of dollars in highly expensive, idle AI servers sitting in overheating data centers.
This upfront capital completely alters Modine's financial risk profile. The payment effectively de-risks the heavy capital intensity traditionally associated with rapid industrial expansion, providing immediate liquidity to bridge the gap toward sustained free cash flow generation.
While third-quarter free cash flow briefly dipped to negative $17 million due to necessary inventory builds for the data center ramp, this cash injection fortifies Modine's balance sheet, already resting on a healthy 0.51 debt-to-equity ratio and a 2.19 current ratio. Modine secures the capacity to scale without relying on toxic debt or shareholder dilution.
Dropping Deadweight to Ignite Structural MarginsRevenue growth means little if margin compression drags down the bottom line. To execute a pure-play data center transformation, Modine had to shed historical dead weight. Modine announced the spin-off of the automotive-focused Performance Technologies segment through a Reverse Morris Trust transaction with Gentherm NASDAQ: THRM.
The financial engineering behind this maneuver is highly accretive. The deal values the legacy Performance Technologies asset at $1 billion, translating to a respectable 6.8x trailing EBITDA. Modine walks away with $210 million in cash, while shareholders receive a 40% tax-free distribution in the newly combined Gentherm entity.
By jettisoning this lower-margin, highly cyclical revenue stream, Modine cleanses the income statement. The market no longer has to apply a conglomerate discount to Modine Manufacturing. Instead, Modine can now be benchmarked directly against high-growth, pure-play data center infrastructure peers like Vertiv NYSE: VRT and Schneider Electric OTCMKTS: SBGSY. The structural margin expansion unlocked by this divestiture clears the deck for rapid multiple expansion as Modine isolates the most profitable verticals.
TurboChill: The Megawatt Solution to Grid Limits AlternativeFundamental earnings momentum provides confirmation of the investment thesis. Modine's third-quarter results delivered $1.19 in earnings per share, beating the consensus estimate of 99 cents. Top-line revenue rose 30.5% year-over-year to $805 million, but the underlying segment data is where the true velocity lies. Organic data center sales accelerated by 78% year-over-year.
This growth is defended by a formidable technological moat. Modine recently launched the 3-megawatt TurboChill platform, specifically engineered to reject heat in high-density GPU environments. The system capitalizes on the higher ambient operating temperatures of modern chips, enabling data centers to use free cooling.
By dramatically lowering mechanical cooling requirements, Modine directly improves a facility's Power Usage Effectiveness. Power Usage Effectiveness remains the absolute holy grail metric for data center operators constrained by grid power limitations, which means Modine delivers undeniable ROI to end users.
Armed with this pricing power, management has guided for data center revenue to expand by 50% to 70% annually over the next two years, targeting a $2 billion run rate by fiscal 2028. Total Modine sales guidance for fiscal 2026 was consequently raised to 20% to 25% growth, reflecting strong revenue visibility over the next 24 months.
Wall Street Sweats as Modine Breaks the ThermometerDespite the undeniable fundamental shift, sell-side analysts are demonstrably behind the curve. The consensus average price target sits at a glaring $238.57. Even recent upward revisions fall short. B. Riley raised its target to $264, and GLJ Research initiated coverage at $290, yet both lag the trading price of over $300.
Current Price$258.51High Forecast$428.00Average Forecast$327.14Low Forecast$263.00Modine Manufacturing Stock Forecast Details
This analytical disconnect creates a coiled spring for Modine stock. As legacy coverage models are forced to factor in the $4 billion capacity agreement, the $165 million cash injection, and the post-spin-off entity's margin profile, a wave of aggressive target recalibrations is expected. These forced upgrades will serve as secondary upside catalysts, which typically drive further institutional accumulation.
The mechanics of the trade heavily favor sustained upward price discovery. Institutional ownership is dominant at 95.23%, backed by $2.48 billion in trailing 12-month inflows against just $1.28 billion in outflows. Meanwhile, short interest sits at 3.47 million shares, or 6.75% of the public float. With a days-to-cover ratio of 4.4, any sharp uptick in volume threatens to ignite a rolling short squeeze.
Options market data confirms this aggressive forward positioning. Heavy call volume is currently concentrated at the $300 and $330 strike prices for June 2026 expirations, indicating that smart money is explicitly betting on breakout continuation rather than technical consolidation.
The Final Catalyst for a Re-RatingSkeptics will rightly point to the lack of insider accumulation. Executive leadership systematically sold shares, trailing up to the $184 level earlier in the year. While heavy insider selling often warrants caution, in this context, the selling reflects management de-risking personal portfolios before the ultimate breakout rather than a lack of faith in the underlying business model.
Trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 63, Modine carries a premium valuation. With a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.06, that premium remains tightly aligned with near-term earnings trajectories. Modine has transformed from an industrial auto-parts manufacturer into an essential provider of mission-critical AI picks and shovels. Backed by guaranteed capital, unmatched revenue visibility, and a rapidly expanding technological moat, Modine Manufacturing is undergoing a strong and permanent re-rating.
Should You Invest $1,000 in Modine Manufacturing Right Now?Before you consider Modine Manufacturing, you'll want to hear this.
MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and Modine Manufacturing wasn't on the list.
While Modine Manufacturing currently has a Moderate Buy rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.
View The Five Stocks Here
Wondering what the next stocks will be that hit it big, with solid fundamentals? Click the link to see which stocks MarketBeat analysts could become the next blockbuster growth stocks.
Key Takeaways MOD beat Q4 estimates as data center cooling demand lifted sales 47% year over year.Climate Solutions sales surged 87% as Data Centers revenues jumped 158% from last year.MOD expects fiscal 2027 sales growth of 20-35% with adjusted EBITDA of $650M-$680M. Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD - Free Report) posted adjusted earnings of $1.71 per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, which increased 53% from the year-ago quarter and came above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.51 by 13.2%. Net sales were $954.4 million, which rose 47% year over year and topped the consensus mark of $907 million by 5.2%.
Momentum in the company’s data center cooling business remained the key catalyst, with Data Centers revenues exceeding $400 million in the quarter, even after severe weather reduced production time.
MOD Leans on Climate Solutions for Strong FinishModine delivered another quarter of outsized growth as demand for its thermal management solutions stayed strong in mission-critical applications. The quarter capped a fourth consecutive year of record revenues and adjusted EBITDA, underscoring the pace of its portfolio shift toward faster-growing end markets.
Despite supply chain constraints and weather-driven downtime across multiple locations, it still pushed meaningful volume through the system. That execution mattered because Modine is expanding capacity to meet rising needs from hyperscale data center customers.
Modine Absorbs Expansion Costs as Tariffs BiteProfitability reflected the near-term cost of growth. Gross margin fell 320 basis points year over year to 22.5% due to temporary costs tied to the rapid capacity expansion for data center products. Higher tariffs and material costs also weighed on the quarter, while storm-related disruption added overtime and other temporary labor expenses.
Even with those headwinds, gross profit increased to $214.7 million, helped by the sharp pickup in sales. Operating income rose to $103.9 million from $74.5 million in the year-ago period, though results included restructuring expense of $5.2 million and $12.5 million of costs related to the pending spin-off of the Performance Technologies segment.
MOD's Climate Solutions Drives Profitability HigherClimate Solutions was the clear engine of the quarter. Segment sales surged 87% year over year to $665.9 million, powered by strength across both data centers and HVAC technologies. Data Centers sales jumped 158% from the prior year, while HVAC Technologies sales increased 51%, including $38.2 million of incremental sales from acquired businesses.
The growth came with planned margin pressure as Modine accelerates manufacturing investments. Climate Solutions’ gross margin was 24.6%, down 510 basis points year over year, yet earnings still expanded meaningfully as scale improved. Segment operating income climbed 77% to $108.8 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased 63% to $124.3 million.
Performance Technologies Steadies Ahead of Spin-OffPerformance Technologies was largely stable on the top line. Segment sales were $294 million versus $294.8 million a year ago, as lower stationary power demand was mostly offset by higher volumes tied to automotive, commercial vehicle and off-highway customers.
Margins, however, tightened. Performance Technologies’ gross margin declined 390 basis points year over year to 16.5%, primarily due to higher material costs and tariffs. Operating income slipped 7% to $27.7 million, and adjusted EBITDA declined 15% to $37.4 million, reflecting the tougher cost backdrop as the business moves toward separation.
Modine's Cash Flow Supports Investment-Led GrowthBalance sheet and cash generation remained an important support as Modine ramps up capital spending to expand data center capacity. For fiscal 2026, net cash provided by operating activities increased to $248.7 million, while free cash flow was $105.4 million as working capital and higher capital expenditures absorbed cash.
As of March 31, 2026, cash and cash equivalents totaled $73.5 million, up from $71.6 million as of March 31, 2025. Total debt was $436.3 million, leaving net debt at $362.8 million, as borrowings funded working capital needs, acquisitions and capital expenditures during the year.
MOD Provides FY27 OutlookThe company’s fiscal 2027 outlook calls for another year of record performance, supported by customer relationships and a significant order book in Data Centers. Modine expects net sales growth of 20% to 35% for fiscal 2027, alongside adjusted EBITDA of $650 million to $680 million.
The company’s outlook includes Performance Technologies for all of fiscal 2027 and will be refreshed for the remaining business once the timing of the planned spin-off is finalized. Modine also expects to incur approximately $30 million to $40 million of additional costs during fiscal 2027 tied to the pending Reverse Morris Trust transaction with Gentherm.
MOD currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Key Releases From Auto SpaceMobileye Global Inc. (MBLY - Free Report) reported first-quarter 2026 results on April 23. It posted earnings of 12 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 8 cents by 58.52%. The bottom line rose 50% year over year, driven by higher shipments of EyeQ system-on-chip. The company posted revenues of $558 million, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $520 million by 7.36% and increased 27.4% year over year.
Operating cash flow was $75 million, reflecting the company’s ability to convert its ADAS scale into cash generation.
Mobileye also approved a share buyback program of up to $250 million. By the end of the first quarter, MBLY had $1.21 billion in cash, after spending $591 million (net of cash received) on the Mentee Robotics acquisition.
Gentex Corporation (GNTX - Free Report) reported first-quarter 2026 results on April 24. It posted adjusted earnings of 48 cents per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 44 cents by 8.28%. The figure increased 11.6% from 43 cents a year ago. Net sales came in at $675 million, topping the consensus mark of $647 million by 4.36%. Revenues rose 17.1% from $577 million in the year-ago quarter, aided by contributions from VOXX and a richer mix of advanced features.
Liquidity improved during the quarter. As of March 31, 2026, GNTX’s cash and cash equivalents were $164.8 million compared with $145.6 million as of Dec. 31, 2025. Short-term investments increased to $10.3 million from $5.4 million.
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR - Free Report) reported first-quarter 2026 results on April 28. It reported earnings of $1.15 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.13 by 1.8%. The bottom line decreased 21.2% from $1.46 in the year-ago quarter. Consolidated revenues (including trucks and financial services) were $6.78 billion, down from $7.44 billion in the corresponding quarter of 2025. The decline reflected lower industry volumes.
On the balance sheet, cash and marketable securities were $8.60 billion as of March 31, 2026, compared with $9.25 billion as of Dec. 31, 2025, while stockholders’ equity increased to $19.76 billion from $19.26 billion over the same span.
Modine’s $4B AI Coup Freezes Out the CompetitionModine Manufacturing NYSE: MOD executives said the company closed fiscal 2026 with another record year for revenue and adjusted EBITDA, driven by rapid growth in data center cooling and the continuing reshaping of its portfolio toward higher-growth businesses.
President and Chief Executive Officer Neil Brinker said the year marked Modine’s fourth consecutive year of record revenue and adjusted EBITDA. He pointed to three acquisitions — AbsolutAire, L.B. White and Climate by Design — that collectively added $119 million in incremental revenue during the year, as well as a previously announced $100 million investment to expand U.S. capacity for data center products.
Get Modine Manufacturing alerts:
Ride the Rally: 3 Earnings Winners With More Upside AheadBrinker also highlighted a newly announced long-term capacity agreement with a strategic data center customer. Under the agreement, Modine will guarantee capacity to supply more than $4 billion of data center cooling products during calendar years 2027 through 2029.
“This agreement highlights the confidence our customers have in Modine and validates our need for our current investment in capacity expansion,” Brinker said.
Data center demand drives Climate Solutions results 3 Summer Stocks With Insider Buying and Analyst SupportModine’s Climate Solutions segment posted a 43% increase in full-year revenue, including acquisitions, while organic sales rose 32%. Brinker said sales to data center customers increased 73% for the year to $1.1 billion, including more than $400 million in fourth-quarter revenue.
Brinker said North American chiller production increased fivefold from the prior year, despite weather-related disruptions that caused the company to lose 20 production shifts in data centers. He said Modine also shipped its first chillers from Jefferson City, Missouri, and shipped air handling units and coolant distribution units from its Franklin, Wisconsin, plant during the fourth quarter.
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Michael Lucareli said Climate Solutions fourth-quarter sales rose 87% from the prior year. Data center sales increased by $246 million, or 158%, while HVAC technology sales rose $33 million, or 51%, driven by recent acquisitions. Heat Transfer Solutions sales increased $26 million, or 19%, primarily from higher coil sales to commercial HVAC and data center customers.
Adjusted EBITDA in Climate Solutions grew 63% in the quarter, Lucareli said, though margins were down from the prior year and improved sequentially. He said severe weather and storms cost Climate Solutions about 50 to 100 basis points of gross margin, including 20 lost production shifts in data centers and 35 shifts in other areas of the business.
Supply chain issues expected to affect first quarter, not full year Brinker said the company began seeing shortages of certain components late in the fourth quarter, affecting production schedules and efficiency. He said Modine is working to qualify new vendors and stabilize supply.
“While this will temporarily impact our Q1 production plans, we do not anticipate any impact on our full-year outlook,” Brinker said.
Lucareli said Modine expects first-quarter margins in commercial HVAC and data centers to be down year over year, with favorable margin comparisons beginning in the second quarter and continuing through the rest of fiscal 2027.
Brinker said the demand outlook for data centers remains strong, with hyperscale customers continuing significant investment, particularly in North America. He also cited Modine’s 3-megawatt chiller, which he said provides a 50% increase in cooling capacity with only a 9% increase in footprint, as a product designed for higher chip densities and increasing data center heat loads.
Long-term agreement adds visibility During the question-and-answer session, Brinker said the long-term agreement is with an existing customer and is specific to chillers. Lucareli said the deal is “absolutely within the target margins” for the data center business and would be accretive to current levels.
Executives said the agreement is included in the capacity expansion plan previously discussed with investors. Brinker said Modine believes its normal annual capital spending cycle in data centers will be sufficient to continue expanding capacity beyond the agreement.
Lucareli said revenue under the agreement will begin ramping in Modine’s fiscal fourth quarter, with the contract covering three calendar years and no more than $2 billion expected in any one year.
Performance Technologies prepares for Gentherm transaction Modine also continues to prepare for the planned spin-off of its Performance Technologies segment and merger with Gentherm. Brinker said the process remains on track, with the company still expecting the transaction to close before the end of the calendar year, assuming required approvals are received.
Performance Technologies revenue was relatively flat in the fourth quarter, Lucareli said, with lower sales offset by a $12 million positive impact from foreign exchange. Heavy-duty equipment sales declined 5%, primarily from lower genset revenue, while on-highway sales rose 4% on higher sales to automotive and commercial vehicle customers.
Adjusted EBITDA in the segment fell 15% from the prior year due to lower volume and higher material and tariff costs. Lucareli said Modine expects to recover tariffs through surcharges and mitigate metals inflation through pricing mechanisms in customer contracts, though those adjustments typically lag by three to six months.
Fiscal 2027 outlook calls for another record year For the full company, fourth-quarter sales rose 47%, adjusted EBITDA increased 40% and adjusted earnings per share rose 53% to $1.71, Lucareli said. Free cash flow was $153 million in the fourth quarter, including a $165 million upfront cash payment tied to the long-term capacity agreement. He said the payment was recorded as a contract liability and did not affect the income statement.
For fiscal 2027, Modine expects:
Total company sales growth of 20% to 35%. Data center sales growth of 60% to 80%. Commercial HVAC sales growth of 5% to 10%. Performance Technologies sales to be flat to up 5%. Adjusted EBITDA of $650 million to $680 million, representing growth of more than 40%. Free cash flow equal to 4% to 6% of sales. Lucareli said the outlook includes a full year of Performance Technologies, and Modine will update its guidance once the timing of the pending transaction is known. Beginning in fiscal 2027, the company will report three segments: Data Centers, commercial HVAC and Performance Technologies until the planned spin-off closes.
About Modine Manufacturing NYSE: MODModine Manufacturing Company NYSE: MOD is a global provider of thermal management solutions serving automotive, commercial transportation, heavy-duty off-highway, industrial, HVAC and refrigeration markets. The company designs, manufactures, tests and markets a broad array of heat-transfer products that manage temperature and energy efficiency for engines, power electronics and building climate control systems.
Its product portfolio includes heat exchangers, condensers, radiators, evaporators, charge air coolers, fan systems and associated controls.
This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
Should You Invest $1,000 in Modine Manufacturing Right Now?Before you consider Modine Manufacturing, you'll want to hear this.
MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and Modine Manufacturing wasn't on the list.
While Modine Manufacturing currently has a Moderate Buy rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.
View The Five Stocks Here
Enter your email address and we’ll send you MarketBeat’s list of ten stocks set to soar in Summer 2026, despite the threat of tariffs and what's happening in Iran. These ten stocks are incredibly resilient and are likely to thrive in any economic environment.
Key Takeaways MOD Q4 revenues rose 47% to $954.4M and adjusted EPS jumped 53% to $1.71.MOD data center cooling revenues surged 158% in Q4 and topped $1.1B for fiscal 2026.Modine expects 20-35% fiscal 2027 revenue growth and signed a $4B cooling supply agreement. Modine Manufacturing (MOD - Free Report) has emerged as one of the big beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure boom. As hyperscalers race to build AI-ready data centers, the need for advanced cooling solutions has become critical, and Modine is positioned to benefit from that.
The company recently capped off fiscal 2026 with a strong fourth-quarter performance, beating expectations on both revenue and earnings. Adjusted earnings per share jumped 53% year over year to $1.71, while revenues climbed 47% to $954.4 million. The standout performer once again was the data center cooling business, where quarterly revenues surged 158% to more than $400 million. For the full fiscal year, data center sales grew 73% and exceeded $1.1 billion, highlighting the strength of demand from AI infrastructure customers.
Even more significant was Modine's announcement of a landmark agreement to supply more than $4 billion worth of cooling products between calendar 2027 and 2029. The deal significantly improves revenue visibility and validates Modine's aggressive capacity expansion plans to meet demand.
Investors have already been rewarding Modine for its growing exposure to AI infrastructure and its consistent execution in the fast-growing data center cooling market. The shares of MOD have more than doubled year to date, outperforming peers like Vertiv Holdings (VRT - Free Report) and Trane Technologies (TT - Free Report) . While Vertiv is a more established, scaled player in data center infrastructure and is already viewed as a direct beneficiary of the AI boom, Trane is a high-quality HVAC leader with strong margins, steady growth and proven execution.
YTD Price Performance Comparison Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
After such a remarkable run, the key question for investors is whether Modine stock is still worth buying at current levels.
Factors to Drive ModineModine's primary growth engine remains its rapidly expanding data center cooling business. Management expects data center revenues to grow 60-80% in fiscal 2027 and believes growth can remain between 50% and 70% beyond that. To support this demand, Modine is expanding its U.S. manufacturing footprint, with chiller production capacity expected to double by the end of fiscal 2027.
Modine is transforming its portfolio toward higher-growth and higher-margin markets. The acquisitions of AbsolutAire, L.B. White and Climate by Design strengthened its commercial HVAC offerings and added revenues of $119 million during fiscal 2026. At the same time, the planned separation of the Performance Technologies business would further sharpen the company's focus on data centers and commercial HVAC solutions.
Modine's fiscal 2027 outlook is also quite encouraging. The company expects revenue growth of 20% to 35% and adjusted EBITDA of $650-$680 million (up from $471 million recorded in fiscal 2026). Free cash flow generation is also expected to improve, supporting future investments and shareholder value creation.
Near-Term Supply Chain and Margin Pressure for MODModine faces some near-term operational headwinds despite strong demand trends. Management noted shortages of certain critical components that are affecting production schedules and manufacturing efficiency, particularly in the Data Center and Commercial HVAC segments. As a result, margins are expected to decline year over year in the first quarter of fiscal 2027. While management expects these issues to be temporary, with margins improving from the second quarter onward as supply constraints ease and volumes increase, any prolonged disruptions could weigh on profitability and delay revenue realization.
Consensus EPS Estimates & Price Target for MODThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for Modine’s fiscal 2027 and 2028 EPS has moved up 37 cents and $1.05 to $7.60 and $10.82, implying year-over-year growth of 51.4% and 42.3%, respectively.
The consensus price target is $316.63, implying a 13.5% upside from current levels.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Our Take: Modine is Worth Holding OntoModine is benefiting from powerful secular tailwinds in data center cooling, has secured a massive multi-year supply agreement and continues to post strong revenue, earnings and cash flow growth. Management's long-term growth outlook also suggests that the AI opportunity is still in its early stages.
That said, much of this optimism is already reflected in the stock price. After more than doubling year to date, valuation has become less attractive, as evidenced by its unfavorable Value Score of D.
As a result, existing shareholders should consider holding onto the stock to benefit from its strong position in the AI data center cooling market. However, investors looking to initiate a new position may wait for a more attractive entry point, particularly after such a sharp rally.
MOD stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It doesn't matter your age or experience: taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals for all investors. Luckily, Zacks Premium offers several different ways to do both.
The popular research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor, giving you access to daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens.
It also includes access to the Zacks Style Scores.
What are the Zacks Style Scores? The Zacks Style Scores is a unique set of guidelines that rates stocks based on three popular investing types, and were developed as complementary indicators for the Zacks Rank. This combination helps investors choose securities with the highest chances of beating the market over the next 30 days.
Each stock is assigned a rating of A, B, C, D, or F based on their value, growth, and momentum characteristics. Just like in school, an A is better than a B, a B is better than a C, and so on -- that means the better the score, the better chance the stock will outperform.
The Style Scores are broken down into four categories:
Value ScoreFinding good stocks at good prices, and discovering which companies are trading under their true value, are what value investors like to focus on. So, the Value Style Score takes into account ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and a host of other multiples to highlight the most attractive and discounted stocks.
Growth ScoreGrowth investors, on the other hand, are more concerned with a company's financial strength and health, and its future outlook. The Growth Style Score examines things like projected and historic earnings, sales, and cash flow to find stocks that will experience sustainable growth over time.
Momentum ScoreMomentum investors, who live by the saying "the trend is your friend," are most interested in taking advantage of upward or downward trends in a stock's price or earnings outlook. Utilizing one-week price change and the monthly percentage change in earnings estimates, among other factors, the Momentum Style Score can help determine favorable times to buy high-momentum stocks.
VGM ScoreIf you want a combination of all three Style Scores, then the VGM Score will be your friend. It rates each stock on their combined weighted styles, helping you find the companies with the most attractive value, best growth forecast, and most promising momentum. It's also one of the best indicators to use with the Zacks Rank.
How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock-rating model that harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings expectations, to help investors build a successful portfolio.
#1 (Strong Buy) stocks have produced an unmatched +23.7% average annual return since 1988, which is more than double the S&P 500's performance over the same time frame. However, the Zacks Rank examines a ton of stocks, and there can be more than 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, and another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
But it can feel overwhelming to pick the right stocks for you and your investing goals with over 800 top-rated stocks to choose from.
That's where the Style Scores come in.
To have the best chance of big returns, you'll want to always consider stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B, which will give you the highest probability of success. If you're looking at stocks with a #3 (Hold) rank, it's important they have Scores of A or B as well to ensure as much upside potential as possible.
The direction of a stock's earnings estimate revisions should always be a key factor when choosing which stocks to buy, since the Scores were created to work together with the Zacks Rank.
For instance, a stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, even one that boasts Scores of A and B, still has a downward-trending earnings forecast, and a much greater likelihood its share price will decline as well.
Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Modine (MOD - Free Report) Modine Manufacturing Company designs, engineers, and manufactures mission-critical thermal management products that heat, cool, and ventilate across commercial, industrial, and vehicular end markets. The company provides customer-centric systems, services, and components spanning HVAC (heating, ventilating, air conditioning) and refrigeration applications, along with engineered heat transfer systems and components for on- and off-highway OEMs.
MOD is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Momentum investors should take note of this Auto-Tires-Trucks stock. MOD has a Momentum Style Score of B, and shares are up 11.1% over the past four weeks.
Five analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2027. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.50 to $7.73 per share. MOD boasts an average earnings surprise of +14.2%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, MOD should be on investors' short list.
Modine (MOD - Free Report) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.
Over the past month, shares of this heating and cooling products maker have returned +13%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.4% change. During this period, the Zacks Automotive - Original Equipment industry, which Modine falls in, has gained 8.5%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?
Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.
Revisions to Earnings EstimatesRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
For the current quarter, Modine is expected to post earnings of $1.43 per share, indicating a change of +34.9% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -13.6% over the last 30 days.
The consensus earnings estimate of $7.73 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +54%. This estimate has changed +7% over the last 30 days.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $10.86 indicates a change of +40.5% from what Modine is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +11.2%.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Modine.
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Revenue Growth ForecastEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial.
For Modine, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $895.49 million indicates a year-over-year change of +31.2%. For the current and next fiscal years, $4.03 billion and $4.76 billion estimates indicate +26.8% and +18% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryModine reported revenues of $954.4 million in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +47.5%. EPS of $1.71 for the same period compares with $1.12 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $907.34 million, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +5.19%. The EPS surprise was +13.25%.
The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates each time over this period.
ValuationNo investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance.
While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.
The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an A is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
Modine is graded D on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
ConclusionThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Modine. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
It doesn't matter your age or experience: taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals for all investors. Luckily, Zacks Premium offers several different ways to do both.
Featuring daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, full access to the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens, the research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor.
Zacks Premium includes access to the Zacks Style Scores as well.
What are the Zacks Style Scores? The Zacks Style Scores, developed alongside the Zacks Rank, are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on three widely-followed investing methodologies; they also help investors pick stocks with the best chances of beating the market over the next 30 days.
Each stock is assigned a rating of A, B, C, D, or F based on their value, growth, and momentum characteristics. Just like in school, an A is better than a B, a B is better than a C, and so on -- that means the better the score, the better chance the stock will outperform.
The Style Scores are broken down into four categories:
Value ScoreValue investors love finding good stocks at good prices, especially before the broader market catches on to a stock's true value. Utilizing ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and many other multiples, the Value Style Score identifies the most attractive and most discounted stocks.
Growth ScoreGrowth investors are more concerned with a stock's future prospects, and the overall financial health and strength of a company. Thus, the Growth Style Score analyzes characteristics like projected and historic earnings, sales, and cash flow to find stocks that will see sustainable growth over time.
Momentum ScoreMomentum trading is all about taking advantage of upward or downward trends in a stock's price or earnings outlook, and these investors live by the saying "the trend is your friend." The Momentum Style Score can pinpoint good times to build a position in a stock, using factors like one-week price change and the monthly percentage change in earnings estimates.
VGM ScoreIf you like to use all three kinds of investing, then the VGM Score is for you. It's a combination of all Style Scores, and is an important indicator to use with the Zacks Rank. The VGM Score rates each stock on their shared weighted styles, narrowing down the companies with the most attractive value, best growth forecast, and most promising momentum.
How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock-rating model that harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings expectations, to help investors build a successful portfolio.
It's highly successful, with #1 (Strong Buy) stocks producing an unmatched +23.7% average annual return since 1988. That's more than double the S&P 500. But because of the large number of stocks we rate, there are over 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, plus another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
With more than 800 top-rated stocks to choose from, it can certainly feel overwhelming to pick the ones that are right for you and your investing journey.
That's where the Style Scores come in.
To maximize your returns, you want to buy stocks with the highest probability of success. This means picking stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B. If you find yourself looking at stocks with a #3 (Hold) rank, make sure they have Scores of A or B as well to ensure as much upside potential as possible.
The direction of a stock's earnings estimate revisions should always be a key factor when choosing which stocks to buy, since the Scores were created to work together with the Zacks Rank.
A stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, for instance, even one with Scores of A and B, will still have a declining earnings forecast, and a greater chance its share price will fall too.
Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Modine (MOD - Free Report) Modine Manufacturing Company designs, engineers, and manufactures mission-critical thermal management products that heat, cool, and ventilate across commercial, industrial, and vehicular end markets. The company provides customer-centric systems, services, and components spanning HVAC (heating, ventilating, air conditioning) and refrigeration applications, along with engineered heat transfer systems and components for on- and off-highway OEMs.
MOD is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
Additionally, the company could be a top pick for growth investors. MOD has a Growth Style Score of A, forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 54% for the current fiscal year.
Five analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2027. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.50 to $7.73 per share. MOD boasts an average earnings surprise of +14.2%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Growth and VGM Style Scores, MOD should be on investors' short list.
Investors looking for stocks in the Automotive - Original Equipment sector might want to consider either China Yuchai (CYD) or Modine (MOD). But which of these two stocks is more attractive to value investors?
Modine (MOD - Free Report) ended the recent trading session at $276.51, demonstrating a -8.2% change from the preceding day's closing price. This change lagged the S&P 500's 2.65% loss on the day. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a drop of 1.35%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw a decrease of 4.18%.
The stock of heating and cooling products maker has risen by 11.7% in the past month, leading the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector's gain of 5.75% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.47%.
Analysts and investors alike will be keeping a close eye on the performance of Modine in its upcoming earnings disclosure. On that day, Modine is projected to report earnings of $1.43 per share, which would represent year-over-year growth of 34.91%. Meanwhile, the latest consensus estimate predicts the revenue to be $895.49 million, indicating a 31.15% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year.
For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates anticipate earnings of $7.73 per share and a revenue of $4.03 billion, signifying shifts of +53.98% and +26.76%, respectively, from the last year.
It is also important to note the recent changes to analyst estimates for Modine. These recent revisions tend to reflect the evolving nature of short-term business trends. As such, positive estimate revisions reflect analyst optimism about the business and profitability.
Our research shows that these estimate changes are directly correlated with near-term stock prices. To utilize this, we have created the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model that integrates these estimate changes and provides a functional rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, stretching from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has a noteworthy track record of outperforming, validated by third-party audits, with stocks rated #1 producing an average annual return of +25% since the year 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 6.99% higher. Modine is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Investors should also note Modine's current valuation metrics, including its Forward P/E ratio of 38.97. This valuation marks a premium compared to its industry average Forward P/E of 13.85.
We can also see that MOD currently has a PEG ratio of 0.97. This metric is used similarly to the famous P/E ratio, but the PEG ratio also takes into account the stock's expected earnings growth rate. The average PEG ratio for the Automotive - Original Equipment industry stood at 0.92 at the close of the market yesterday.
The Automotive - Original Equipment industry is part of the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector. At present, this industry carries a Zacks Industry Rank of 147, placing it within the bottom 40% of over 250 industries.
The strength of our individual industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, which is calculated based on the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within these groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Be sure to follow all of these stock-moving metrics, and many more, on Zacks.com.
Modine Manufacturing Company is transforming into a focused climate solutions and AI data center cooling provider, shedding its old-line industrial image. MOD's Airedale data center cooling business is experiencing rapid growth, with Data Centers sales up 158% and Climate Solutions up 87% year-over-year in Q4. A $4 billion long-term capacity agreement (2027–2029) with a major data center customer provides exceptional revenue visibility and underpins MOD's strategic pivot.
Key Takeaways MOD expects $4B Airedale cooling sales from a strategic data center customer in 2027-2029.MOD got a $165M upfront payment to fund manufacturing investments, easing expansion and cash flow risk.Modine's data center cooling revenues rose 158% to $400M in Q4 FY2026. Full-year sales topped $1.1B. The artificial intelligence (AI) boom is creating massive demand for data centers. But powerful AI servers generate enormous amounts of heat, making advanced cooling systems just as important as the chips inside them. That trend is creating a major opportunity for Modine Manufacturing (MOD - Free Report) .
The company’s recent long-term capacity agreement with one of its strategic data center customers is expected to generate more than $4 billion in sales between 2027 and 2029. The agreement covers Modine’s Airedale cooling solutions, which are designed to handle the demanding thermal requirements of modern AI infrastructure.
A Strong Vote of Confidence for MODThe agreement is notable not just for its size but also for its structure.
The AI data center industry is expanding so quickly that many suppliers are struggling to keep up with demand. Instead of waiting for new capacity to come online, hyperscale customers are increasingly helping critical suppliers fund their expansion plans. That is exactly what happened here.
As part of the agreement, Modine received a $165 million upfront payment to support manufacturing investments needed to fulfill future orders. It suggests that the buyer views Modine's cooling technology as important enough to help finance its growth.
Modine can expand production without taking on the full financial burden itself. That reduces execution risk, improves cash flow visibility, and allows management to invest aggressively while preserving balance sheet flexibility.
This agreement is more than a one-time sales win. It serves as validation of Modine's growing importance in the AI ecosystem. For investors, the deal strengthens the case that Modine is evolving beyond its traditional industrial roots. The company is increasingly becoming an infrastructure play on AI data center growth. If demand for AI computing continues to expand as expected, this agreement could mark the beginning of Modine's next phase of growth rather than the peak of its success.
Modine’s AI Cooling Business AcceleratingIn the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, data center cooling revenues surged 158% year over year to more than $400 million. For the full year, data center sales climbed 73% and exceeded $1.1 billion, making it the company's primary growth engine.
Management expects data center revenues to grow another 60% to 80% in fiscal 2027 and believes growth can remain between 50% and 70% beyond that. To support this demand, Modine is expanding its U.S. manufacturing footprint and expects chiller production capacity to double by the end of fiscal 2027.
The company's latest quarterly results were encouraging. Revenues increased 47% year over year to $954.4 million, while adjusted earnings per share jumped 53% to $1.71, both ahead of expectations.
Peer Check: How are JCI & TT Benefitting From AI PushJohnson Controls (JCI - Free Report) is a major beneficiary of data center cooling and building solutions. Rising demand from AI-driven data center projects helped fuel a 30% organic increase in orders in the last reported quarter and lifted the company's backlog to a record $20 billion. As AI facilities become larger and more power-dense, customers are increasingly demanding advanced thermal management systems, creating opportunities across Johnson Controls’ portfolio of chillers, air handling units, cooling distribution systems and controls. Johnson Controls is also strengthening its competitive position through the acquisition of Alloy Enterprises and its collaboration with NVIDIA, which supports next-generation AI-focused data center infrastructure.
Trane Technologies (TT - Free Report) is also emerging as a key player in the AI data center cooling market. Demand for large-scale cooling systems has fueled exceptional growth in its commercial HVAC business, with applied systems orders rising more than 100% year over year and helping lift backlog to a record $10.7 billion. The acquisition of Stellar Energy Americas further strengthens Trane Technologies’ ability to deliver prefabricated cooling solutions, enabling faster deployment of data center projects. Trane Technologies is also expanding its liquid cooling portfolio and collaborating with NVIDIA on thermal management designs for next-generation AI factories, positioning it to benefit from growing AI infrastructure spending.
Modine’s Price Performance, Valuation & EstimatesShares of Modine have rallied 107% year to date, handily outperforming the industry.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
From a valuation standpoint, Modine trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 33.23, above the industry.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
See how the Zacks Consensus Estimate for MOD’s earnings has been revised over the past 60 days.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
MOD currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here
Key Takeaways Modine's AI data center sales rose 73% in fiscal 2026 and topped $1.1 billion. Quanta Services posted a record $48.5 billion backlog and plans to expand transformer capacity.Comfort Systems is gaining from AI-driven data center cooling needs, supporting high-margin HVAC growth. U.S. industrial and manufacturing stocks are seeing a massive price surge from the artificial intelligence (AI) data center boom. U.S. industrial firms are profiting immensely through increased demand for electrical grid equipment, advanced cooling systems, and specialized semiconductor packaging.
Demand for these products is likely to remain buoyant as four major hyperscalers raised their AI capital expenditure budget to $750 billion for 2026 from $670 billion estimated earlier. This figure is set to cross $1 trillion next year and is likely to rise further beyond 2027.
Here, we recommend five U.S. industrial stocks that have thrived in 2026 with more firepower in their cylinders supported by growing demand for AI-powered data center infrastructure products.
The stocks are: Caterpillar Inc. (CAT - Free Report) , Modine Manufacturing Co. (MOD - Free Report) , Quanta Services Inc. (PWR - Free Report) , Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX - Free Report) and Vertiv Holdings Co. (VRT - Free Report) .
The chart below shows the price performance of the above-mentioned five stocks year to date.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Caterpillar Inc.Caterpillar is gaining from rising AI data-center-related power demand. As big technology companies establish data centers globally to support their generative AI applications, CAT is witnessing robust order levels for reciprocating engines for data centers. The company is planning to double its output with a multi-year capital investment. CAT currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
CAT has also revised its target of growing Power Generation sales to more than 3.0X from the earlier stated 2.0X target by 2030. CAT announced another agreement to provide PROPWR up to 2.1 gigawatts of large gas generator sets for prime power generation in support of data center, oil and gas and industrial applications.
Caterpillar has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 13.2% and 29.4%, respectively, for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year’s earnings has improved 7.8% in the last 30 days.
Modine Manufacturing Co.Modine has emerged as one of the big beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure boom. As hyperscalers race to build AI-ready data centers, the need for advanced cooling solutions has become critical, and Modine is positioned to benefit from that.
For fiscal 2026, AI-powered data center sales grew 73% and exceeded $1.1 billion, highlighting the strength of demand from AI infrastructure customers. Moreover, MOD entered into a landmark agreement to supply more than $4 billion worth of cooling products between 2027 and 2029.
MOD expects AI data center revenues to grow 60-80% in fiscal 2027 and believes growth can remain between 50% and 70% beyond that. To support this demand, MOD is expanding its U.S. manufacturing footprint, with chiller production capacity expected to double by the end of fiscal 2027. MOD currently carries a Zacks Rank #3.
Modine has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 26.8% and 54%, respectively, for the current year (ending March 2027). The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year’s earnings has improved 1.7% in the last seven days.
Quanta Services Inc.Quanta Services’ mix across transmission and distribution, grid hardening, renewable integration and generation gives it multiple paths to participate as those plans become multi-year capital programs.
Surging AI-related power demand and expanding utility investments are driving data center project opportunities, making data centers a central pillar of PWR’s long-term growth strategy. PWR currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
PWR achieved a record total backlog of $48.5 billion as of March 31, 2026, providing a clear and durable runway for long-term growth. This record includes a 12-month backlog of $28.2 billion and remaining performance obligations of $26.2 billion. The Electric Power Infrastructure Services segment accounted for $40.1 billion of the total backlog.
PWR is heavily investing in deepening its vertical supply chain to offset the ongoing global uncertainties and rising inflation. The company expects to invest $500-$700 million over the next several years in power transformer manufacturing facilities and related strategy, which is intended to double transformer manufacturing capacity.
Quanta Services has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 21.5% and 29.7%, respectively, for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year’s earnings has improved 6.2% over the last 60 days.
Comfort Systems USA Inc.Comfort Systems operates primarily in the commercial and industrial heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) markets, and performs most of its services within manufacturing plants, office buildings, retail centers, apartment complexes, and healthcare, education and government facilities. FIX currently sports a Zacks Rank #1.
The data center boom, driven by AI, cloud computing, and high-performance computing, is fueling demand for specialized HVAC solutions from FIX. Cooling systems for these facilities should deliver precise and reliable performance, prompting investments in advanced technologies such as liquid cooling and modular units.
This segment is becoming a significant growth driver for FIX, offering high-margin growth and attracting M&A activity. HVAC firms with capabilities in precision cooling and energy-efficient infrastructure are well-positioned to capture share in this fast-expanding niche.
Comfort Systems USA has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 30.5% and 49.1%, respectively, for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year’s earnings has improved 0.7% in the last seven days.
Vertiv Holdings Co.Vertiv Holdings benefits from an extensive product portfolio, which spans thermal systems, liquid cooling, UPS, switchgear, busbar, and modular solutions. Buoyed by unprecedented data center growth, VRT is strategically expanding capacity to accelerate its AI-enabled pipeline.
VRT also benefited from the accelerating digital transformation driven by AI and data center demand. Acquisitions have also played a vital role, with Great Lakes enhancing IT systems and white space solutions, and Weeleay boosting service capabilities through real-time machine data analysis and predictive actions.
Vertiv’s partnership with NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is a key catalyst. VRT co-develops an 800-volt DC power architecture with NVIDIA, timed to align with the 2027 rollout of NVIDIA's Rubin Ultra platforms.
This keeps VRT one GPU generation ahead of evolving silicon architectures, ensuring that its infrastructure solutions remain relevant as rack power requirements scale toward and beyond the megawatt threshold. VRT currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Vertiv Holdings has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 34.4% and 51.4%, respectively, for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year’s earnings has improved 3.1% in the last 60 days.
ProPetro (PUMP) was a big mover last session on higher-than-average trading volume. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions might not help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.
ProPetro (NYSE: PUMP - Get Free Report) and Kinetik (NYSE: KNTK - Get Free Report) are both energy companies, but which is the superior stock? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their earnings, profitability, analyst recommendations, dividends, risk, valuation and institutional ownership. Profitability This table compares ProPetro and Kinetik's net margins, return
A month has gone by since the last earnings report for ProPetro Holding (PUMP - Free Report) . Shares have added about 27.8% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.
But investors have to be wondering, will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is ProPetro due for a pullback? Well, first let's take a quick look at the latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent drivers for ProPetro Holding Corp. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.
ProPetro Q4 Earnings & Revenues Top EstimatesProPetro Holding reported a fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted profit per share of 1 cent, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 13 cents. The bottom line also improved from the year-ago loss of 1 cent per share, backed by a 16.3% year-over-year decline in costs and expenses.
Revenues of $290 million beat the consensus mark of $280 million. This improvement can be attributed to better-than-expected service revenues in the Wireline and Hydraulic Fracturing segments. Revenues in the Wireline segment reached $55.4 million, surpassing the consensus estimate by 7.4%. Revenues in the Hydraulic Fracturing segment reached $203.9 million, surpassing the consensus estimate by 1.4%. However, the top line decreased 9.6% from the year-ago quarter’s level of $321 million. This was due to a year-over-year decline in service revenues from the Hydraulic Fracturing and Cementing segments.
Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $51 million, up 46% from $35 million reported in the previous quarter. The figure also topped our model estimate of $46.4 million.
For the quarter under review, the Midland, TX-based oil and gas equipment and services company posted a net income of $1 million, a sequential rise from the previous quarter’s reported net loss of $2 million.
PUMP’s Business Reporting SegmentsProPetro conducts its business through four operating segments: Hydraulic Fracturing, Wireline, Cementing and Power Generation.
The hydraulic fracturing operations account for approximately 73.2% of the company’s total revenues and operations. During the fourth quarter, Service revenues from this unit decreased 3% to $203.9 million from the previous quarter’s level. However, the figure beat our estimate of $201.1 million.
Costs & Financial Position of PUMP in Q4Total costs and expenses were $283.6 million for the fourth quarter, which was down 16.3% from the prior-year quarter’s level. The cost of services (exclusive of depreciation and amortization) was $214.6 million compared with $243.5 million in the prior-year quarter.
On the other hand, depreciation and amortization were reduced 14.8% to $41.2 million from the prior-year quarter's level.
In the fourth quarter of 2025, the company paid $64 million in capital expenditures and incurred a total of $71 million. Of the amount incurred, roughly $12 million was primarily allocated toward maintenance activities within the completions business, while approximately $59 million was directed to support PROPWR equipment orders. Net cash used in investing activities, as reported on the statement of cash flows for the quarter, totaled $39 million.
As of Dec. 31, 2025, PUMP had $91.3 million in cash and cash equivalents and $45 million in borrowings under its ABL Credit Facility.
Total liquidity was $205 million, including $114 million in available credit at December-end. Long-term debt amounted to $105.6 million. The total debt-to-total capital was 12.6%.
Net cash provided by operating activities totaled $81 million in this quarter, which was up from $37.9 million in the year-ago quarter. Free cash flow from the completions business improved to approximately $98.1 million compared with $25.2 million in the previous quarter.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?In the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in estimates review.
The consensus estimate has shifted -36.67% due to these changes.
VGM ScoresCurrently, ProPetro has a great Growth Score of A, a score with the same score on the momentum front. However, the stock has a score of C on the value side, putting it in the middle 20% for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
OutlookEstimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Notably, ProPetro has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
Shares of ProPetro Holding Corp. (NYSE: PUMP - Get Free Report) have been assigned an average recommendation of "Hold" from the eight brokerages that are currently covering the firm, Marketbeat.com reports. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, three have assigned a hold rating and four have assigned a buy rating
Bank of America has initiated coverage on ProPetro (NYSE:PUMP) with a 'Buy' rating and a price objective of $18, citing a combination of cyclical recovery in oilfield services and longer-term growth in power infrastructure.
Shares of ProPetro traded up almost 3% at $15 on Monday afternoon.
The bank’s analysts believe ProPetro is well placed for a recovery in hydraulic fracturing, or “Completions,” activity after a weak period expected to bottom in 2026.
At the same time, Bank of America expects a turning point described as an “inflection,” in the company’s PROPWR business beginning in the second half of 2026. This segment focuses on providing power generation and related infrastructure, including for oil and gas operations and data centers.
The analysts expect this combination to reshape the company’s earnings profile over time. While ProPetro currently generates all of its earnings from Completions, Bank of America forecasts that by 2030 roughly 39% of adjusted EBITDA could come from the power segment, reducing reliance on the more volatile oilfield services cycle.
Overall, the firm projects revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at compound annual rates of 15% and 35%, respectively, from 2026 through 2030. Its adjusted EBITDA estimates for 2027 and 2028, $365 million and $520 million, are significantly above consensus, reflecting a stronger expected recovery in completions activity.
Cash flow from the legacy business is expected to fund much of the expansion. The analysts estimate free cash flow from Completions will increase from $94 million in 2026 to $170 million in 2027 and $270 million in 2028, which they say should allow ProPetro to scale its power operations without taking on substantial additional debt.
Bank of America also pointed to execution in the power segment, noting the company has assembled an experienced team and has already secured contracts, including a long-term agreement tied to a 60-megawatt data center. The firm expects the division to generate adjusted EBITDA of about $9 million in 2026, rising to $94 million in 2027 and $158 million in 2028 as more capacity is deployed.
Despite a roughly 54% rise in the stock so far this year, the bank’s analysts believe its valuation remains relatively low compared with peers, trading at a discount on forward EBITDA multiples.
They see the overall setup as offering an “attractive risk/reward,” while highlighting risks including prolonged weakness in oil prices, execution challenges in scaling the power business, and the company’s concentration in US shale regions.
Bank of America has initiated coverage on ProPetro (NYSE:PUMP) with a 'Buy' rating and a price objective of $18, citing a combination of cyclical recovery in oilfield services and longer-term growth in power infrastructure.
Shares of ProPetro traded up almost 3% at $15 on Monday afternoon.
The bank’s analysts believe ProPetro is well placed for a recovery in hydraulic fracturing, or “Completions,” activity after a weak period expected to bottom in 2026.
At the same time, Bank of America expects a turning point described as an “inflection,” in the company’s PROPWR business beginning in the second half of 2026. This segment focuses on providing power generation and related infrastructure, including for oil and gas operations and data centers.
The analysts expect this combination to reshape the company’s earnings profile over time. While ProPetro currently generates all of its earnings from Completions, Bank of America forecasts that by 2030 roughly 39% of adjusted EBITDA could come from the power segment, reducing reliance on the more volatile oilfield services cycle.
Overall, the firm projects revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at compound annual rates of 15% and 35%, respectively, from 2026 through 2030. Its adjusted EBITDA estimates for 2027 and 2028, $365 million and $520 million, are significantly above consensus, reflecting a stronger expected recovery in completions activity.
Cash flow from the legacy business is expected to fund much of the expansion. The analysts estimate free cash flow from Completions will increase from $94 million in 2026 to $170 million in 2027 and $270 million in 2028, which they say should allow ProPetro to scale its power operations without taking on substantial additional debt.
Bank of America also pointed to execution in the power segment, noting the company has assembled an experienced team and has already secured contracts, including a long-term agreement tied to a 60-megawatt data center. The firm expects the division to generate adjusted EBITDA of about $9 million in 2026, rising to $94 million in 2027 and $158 million in 2028 as more capacity is deployed.
Despite a roughly 54% rise in the stock so far this year, the bank’s analysts believe its valuation remains relatively low compared with peers, trading at a discount on forward EBITDA multiples.
They see the overall setup as offering an “attractive risk/reward,” while highlighting risks including prolonged weakness in oil prices, execution challenges in scaling the power business, and the company’s concentration in US shale regions.
MIDLAND, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--ProPetro Holding Corp. ("ProPetro" or the “Company") (NYSE: PUMP) today announced that it will issue its first quarter of 2026 earnings release on Wednesday, April 29, 2026, before the opening of trading. ProPetro will also host a conference call on Wednesday, April 29, 2026, at 8:00 AM Central Time to discuss its first quarter results.
To access the conference call, U.S. callers may dial toll free 800-715-9871 and international callers may dial +1-646-307-1963. Please call ten minutes ahead of the scheduled start time to ensure a proper connection. The call will also be webcast on ProPetro’s website, www.propetroservices.com.
A replay of the conference call will be available for one week following the call and may be accessed toll free by dialing +1-800-770-2030 for U.S. and Canada callers, as well as +1-609-800-9909 for international callers. The access code for the replay is 9101849.
About ProPetro
ProPetro Holding Corp. is a Midland, Texas based provider of premium completion services to upstream oil and gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of North American unconventional oil and natural gas resources. Through its PROPWR division, ProPetro also delivers reliable, adaptable power services through a modern, standardized fleet of gas-to-power solutions, serving data center, oil and gas, and industrial customers in the United States. ProPetro helps bring reliable energy to the world, enabling operational excellence and energy reliability for their customers. For more information, visit www.propetroservices.com.
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when ProPetro Holding (PUMP - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended March 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.
The earnings report, which is expected to be released on April 29, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.
While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise.
Zacks Consensus EstimateThis oilfield services company is expected to post quarterly loss of $0.11 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -222.2%.
Revenues are expected to be $271.99 million, down 24.3% from the year-ago quarter.
Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 38.46% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.
Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.
Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.
The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.
Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.
A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.
Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).
How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for ProPetro?For ProPetro, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -5.26%.
On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.
So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that ProPetro will beat the consensus EPS estimate.
Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.
For the last reported quarter, it was expected that ProPetro would post a loss of$0.13 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.01, delivering a surprise of +107.69%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.
Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.
That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
ProPetro doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.
Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.