Track market-moving stories before they get noisy

Is the Ethereum [ETH] resurgence underway? The leading altcoin’s bulls have defended the $1,560 support level twice in June. At the time of writing, the price was at $1,767 and inching toward the psychological $2k mark.

AMBCrypto reported that a whale had taken a $9 million loss after closing a short position on ETH worth $54.1 million. The futures market data showed more active participation from retail traders.

Alongside this potential short‑term revival, the monthly chart flashed a buy signal. The last two times this signal appeared, Ethereum rallied 235% and 182%, respectively.

Source: CryptoQuant On the 3rd of July, ETH’s Funding Rate leapt to 0.0136%, matching the highs it reached in the first few days of June. Yet, Ethereum was trading much lower than it had been a month ago.

Funding Rates rising to highs from early June, while prices stabilized above the $1,560 local lows, suggested a long-side bias has built ahead of a structural recovery, pointed out crypto analyst Zizcrypto on CryptoQuant Insights.

Source: ETH/USD on TradingView The structure remained bearish on the 1-day price chart. AMBCrypto reported that a double-bottom just above the $1.5k mark was formed lately. To climb back to the $2,000 level, the $1.8k level must be flipped to support first.

Even if this level is flipped to support, the Fibonacci retracement levels emphasized that a bounce to $2.1k-2.2k would still be one for swing traders to sell.

A clean breakout past $2,466, the recent swing high on this timeframe, is needed to flip the structure from bearish to bullish.

Exploring the Ethereum builder divergence Something has changed about Ethereum. The divergence between speculative capital inflow and network utility was getting more profound. It is possible that this scenario could lead to a price appreciation.

Source: CryptoQuant Notably, crypto analyst Crypto Onchain wrote that new smart contract deployments have surged 303% compared to the 90-day average. Meanwhile, Binance stablecoin netflows were down by 887%, averaging a daily outflow of $170 million.

The analyst believed that this was a “builder’s phase” where, as traders stepped out of the market, developers were moving into the ecosystem. Soon, a utility-driven price momentum move could commence.

It will hinge on recovering macroeconomic conditions, increased demand and liquidity conditions, and a recovery in investor confidence.

Final Summary Ethereum’s funding rate climbed to highs last seen in early June, even as its price structure deteriorated sharply over the past month. The increase in smart contract deployment alongside falling trading activity illustrated a “builder’s phase” divergence.

Altcoins

5 July 2026 | 10:25 Ethereum is caught in a striking split: its co-founder just unveiled ambitious roadmap, even as the token defends the exact line separating a five-year uptrend from a breakdown. In between sits the quiet proof that matters most, institutions keep building on Ethereum regardless of price.

Key Takeaways Vitalik Buterin unveiled “Lean Ethereum,” a three-to-four-year rebuild of the protocol. It prioritizes quantum resistance, privacy, scalability, and a leaner architecture. ETH sits at $1,763, exactly on the 100-month average that has held since 2022. Crédit Agricole just launched a euro stablecoin on Ethereum, which hosts 52% of the market. There’s a striking split in Ethereum right now. On one side, its co-founder has just laid out the most ambitious technical roadmap since the network abandoned mining, a multi-year plan to rebuild almost everything about how Ethereum works. On the other, the token itself is sitting on the exact line that separates a five-year uptrend from its first structural break. And in between those two extremes sits the quiet evidence that may matter most: institutions keep building on ETH regardless of what the price does. Put together, these three threads tell a coherent story about where Ethereum actually stands in mid-2026, ambitious in vision, fragile in price, and increasingly entrenched as financial infrastructure.

Vitalik’s Blueprint for the Next Ethereum On July 4, Buterin published on X what he calls “Lean Ethereum,” describing it not as a single upgrade but as the network’s third major iteration after the original launch and the 2022 Merge. The framing matters: this isn’t another routine hard fork. It’s a coordinated sequence of work, scoped across the next three to four years, that touches nearly every layer of the protocol, verification, consensus, execution, state storage, privacy, and cryptography.

The headline priorities are clear. Quantum resistance has, in Buterin’s words, “shifted up a LOT in priority,” with quantum-safe designs for ETH’s data “blobs” now treated as urgent. Privacy gets elevated from an optional, application-level feature to something built into the protocol itself; as Buterin put it, “privacy is no longer an afterthought, it is a first-class goal.” And the scalability work is sweeping: continued gas-limit and blob increases, faster slot times, and a new “scalable state” architecture that could expand to roughly 100 terabytes by 2030 while cutting transaction costs for some token types by more than tenfold.

Ethereum’s scaling trajectory alongside its long-term technical roadmap. Perhaps the most far-reaching idea is a possible move beyond the Ethereum Virtual Machine. Buterin floated transitioning the protocol toward a leaner execution environment built on architectures like RISC-V or leanISA, with today’s EVM eventually becoming a compatibility layer rather than the core engine. Alongside that sits a shift away from every node re-executing every transaction, replaced by recursive STARK proofs that verify correctness mathematically, one prover does the heavy lifting, everyone else checks a compact proof.

The unifying theme is exactly what the name suggests: a leaner, simpler, more defensible Ethereum. As Buterin summed it up, “Ethereum is scaling. Ethereum is reinventing itself.”

Two weeks ago, Ethereum researchers met in Berlin to continue charting the protocol’s long-term trajectory, following along discussions with client teams in Svalbard in April.

The updated strawmap is at https://t.co/HZEerH1xxI, and I attached a picture of it to this post.

My… pic.twitter.com/KPGayHSySf

— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) July 4, 2026

There are two things worth holding in view before treating any of this as done. First, the timeline: nothing in Lean Ethereum changes the network in 2026. This is a “strawmap,” Ethereum’s term for a working plan that is explicitly not a locked schedule, with forks spread across the rest of the decade and core post-quantum work targeted around 2029. It’s a direction, not a delivery date.

That priority draws support from outside the core developer world, too. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee has argued that Ethereum may be better positioned than Bitcoin to handle future quantum-computing risks, precisely because it can upgrade both its protocol and its wallets as threats evolve. He’s also pointed out that many smart-contract platforms are increasingly using formal verification to keep code “pristine and basically resistant to exploit.” Lee expressed confidence that “the Bitcoin community is going to figure this out,” but his view is that Ethereum has more flexibility to push protocol-level security upgrades if quantum threats become real, which is exactly the adaptability the Lean Ethereum roadmap is designed to formalize.

Second, the context. The roadmap arrives while the Ethereum Foundation is in the middle of restructuring, having cut roughly 20% of its staff to reduce spending, with several notable contributor departures this year. That’s the tension critics have flagged: an enormously ambitious multi-year plan announced by an organization that just got smaller. Whether the reorganized Foundation and its client teams can convert this vision into time-bound deliverables is the open question the roadmap can’t answer on its own.

The Price Is Fighting for Its Foundation While the roadmap looks years ahead, the ETH chart is fighting a battle happening right now, and it’s happening at a precise level. ETH trades at $1,763, sitting almost exactly on its 100-month simple moving average at $1,762. That line, converging with the long-term ascending trendline drawn from the 2022 lows, is the same confluence zone that marked the 2022 bear-market bottom and the 2025 low near $1,400. It’s the line separating a five-year uptrend from its first genuine structural break.

ETH/USD monthly macro technical chart on Coinbase / Source: TradingView June closed as a large red monthly candle that sliced through that 100-month average intraday. July has clawed it back, up 12.35% month-to-date. A monthly close above $1,762 keeps the multi-year structure intact; a close below it, and below the trendline, would be the first break of that ascending support since 2022.

The rest of the picture demands caution. The real ceiling is the 50-month SMA at $2,387, roughly 35% overhead, the level that capped every bounce through early 2026, and it’s now flattening and beginning to roll over for the first time since 2023. Monthly RSI at 42.18, below its signal line, is the weakest monthly momentum since the 2022 bottom, though it hasn’t yet printed the sub-35 readings that marked that low. Zoom out and the macro structure is a series of lower highs, from above $4,800 in 2021 to roughly $4,900 in 2025, before the 2026 collapse to $1,550 in June. ETH has round-tripped its entire 2024-2025 rally and sits back at levels first crossed in 2021. The +12% July candle, in other words, is a defense of the last long-term support, not yet a reversal.

The Quiet Proof Underneath the Price Here’s where the two extremes, grand roadmap and fragile chart, get reconciled by a third thread that gets far less attention: while the token is fighting, institutions keep choosing Ethereum as their settlement layer. The clearest recent example landed on July 1, when Crédit Agricole, one of Europe’s largest banks, launched its euro-denominated stablecoin, EURXT, issued on the blockchain through its asset-servicing arm CACEIS.

The details underline how serious it is. EURXT is a MiCA-compliant electronic money token, pegged 1:1 to the euro, backed by dedicated cash reserves, and it was used immediately to settle a subscription into a tokenized Amundi money market fund, described as the first such settlement of a tokenized Luxembourg-domiciled UCITS fund in a euro stablecoin at the European level. This is a systemically important European bank routing real tokenized finance through Ethereum’s rails, not experimenting on a testnet.

And Crédit Agricole isn’t an outlier. ETH remains the dominant blockchain for stablecoins, hosting $162.6 billion, or 52.4% of the entire market, according to data from Artemis. Tron sits second at $89.3 billion (28.8%), while BNB Chain (5.4%) and Solana (5.2%) trail far behind. Together, Ethereum and Tron account for 81.2% of all stablecoin supply.

Breakdown of market share across major blockchain networks / Source: Artemis That concentration matters because stablecoins are the primary source of liquidity across crypto, the chains holding the largest balances see the most trading, DeFi activity, payments, and institutional adoption. Ethereum’s commanding lead is the tangible version of the case the roadmap makes in theory: this is where tokenized dollars, and increasingly tokenized funds, actually live.

Where Ethereum Actually Stands The roadmap is Ethereum’s long-term bet, that it can out-engineer its rivals on scalability, privacy, and quantum security rather than compete on marketing, and it’s a bet that won’t pay off, or fail, for years. The chart is the short-term reality, a token defending its last major support with weak momentum, having given back years of gains. And the stablecoin and bank-adoption data is the present-tense evidence that Ethereum’s institutional foundation is deepening even through the price weakness.

Its price says the market has lost conviction; its infrastructure says the opposite. A bank issuing a regulated euro stablecoin on Ethereum, and half the entire stablecoin market living there, are not the signals of a network in decline, even as the token tests a line it hasn’t broken in five years. The roadmap describes where Ethereum wants to go, the chart describes how much doubt surrounds it right now, and the adoption data describes the foundation that has to hold for the ambition to matter. Which of those wins out is the question the next few years, and the next few monthly closes, probably will answer.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult a professional before making investment decisions.

Author

Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.

Key Highlights Ethereum’s co-founder Vitalik Buterin has announced the “Lean Ethereum” initiative, a comprehensive upgrade plan spanning 2026 through 2029 with changes comparable to the 2022 Merge Quantum defense has been significantly elevated as a priority concern, with immediate focus on developing quantum-resistant blob architecture Privacy features are transitioning from optional add-ons to fundamental layer-1 protocol components Developers are considering implementing a secondary virtual machine—either leanISA or RISC-V—to complement the current EVM Skeptics express concern about the Ethereum Foundation’s track record of meeting projected deadlines Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum’s co-creator, has released an extensive strategic roadmap dubbed “Lean Ethereum” that outlines the network’s evolution through the end of the decade. The comprehensive blueprint addresses fundamental protocol changes across multiple technical layers.

The announcement came via X on Saturday, with Buterin outlining a three-to-four-year implementation timeline. He drew parallels to the transformative September 2022 Merge that transitioned Ethereum from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake consensus.

Two weeks ago, Ethereum researchers met in Berlin to continue charting the protocol's long-term trajectory, following along discussions with client teams in Svalbard in April.

The updated strawmap is at https://t.co/HZEerH1xxI, and I attached a picture of it to this post.

My… pic.twitter.com/KPGayHSySf

— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) July 4, 2026

This strategic vision emerged from collaborative discussions at a Berlin research summit, where core developers and technical researchers convened to reassess the network’s long-term trajectory.

Quantum Threats Drive Accelerated Defense Timeline A notable recalibration in priorities involves quantum computing resistance. Buterin emphasized that quantum defense “has shifted up a LOT in priority,” characterizing the development of quantum-resistant blob infrastructure as “urgent.”

The strategic blueprint mandates elimination of all quantum-susceptible elements throughout the protocol stack. Engineers have already initiated development on quantum-secure blob architecture.

Additionally, the roadmap introduces recursive STARKs as fundamental layer-1 infrastructure, superseding the existing direct re-execution verification methodology.

Privacy Elevated to Protocol Foundation Privacy capabilities have been promoted from supplementary features to essential layer-1 objectives. Buterin noted this now encompasses critical areas including mempool architecture and state tree structure.

This represents a fundamental architectural transformation. Historically, privacy functionality within Ethereum existed primarily at the application tier rather than being embedded in the base protocol.

The roadmap also contemplates introducing an alternative virtual machine. Buterin suggested Ethereum might deploy leanISA or RISC-V parallel to the existing EVM, ultimately aiming for a more streamlined and efficient protocol foundation.

Regarding consensus mechanisms, the plan aims to achieve one- to two-round finality by separating the availability chain from finality processes. This approach seeks to enhance security while minimizing latency.

For state management, Buterin indicated Ethereum will maintain its current dynamic state architecture while incorporating additional state categories to boost scalability. Projections suggest that by 2030, Ethereum will manage 2 TB of dynamic state alongside 100 TB of newer state formats. Transitioning applications such as tokens and NFTs to these new state structures could reduce transaction costs by over tenfold.

Implementation Timeline Faces Scrutiny The proposed timeline has generated skepticism within the community. Researcher Dankrad Feist, while endorsing the strategic direction, argued that the three-to-four-year timeframe is unnecessarily prolonged, proposing that AI-assisted development tools could compress delivery to one year.

Crypto analyst Ignas Fiodorovas similarly supported the roadmap’s objectives but questioned the Ethereum Foundation’s capacity to honor its commitments, citing historical precedents of missed deadlines.

Fiodorovas also identified a critical omission: enhanced tokenomics for Ether itself, which has experienced sustained price depreciation throughout recent market turbulence.

This roadmap follows the Ethereum Foundation’s decision last month to reduce headcount by approximately 20%, part of a broader 40% budget contraction. Several prominent contributors have also exited recently, including protocol developers Tim Beiko and Barnabé Monnot.

Vitalik Buterin has outlined Lean Ethereum, a sweeping redesign he calls the network’s third major evolution after the Merge. The upgrades will roll out across three to four years, touching nearly every core part of the protocol.

Buterin shared the plan through a public roadmap he calls the strawmap, an Ethereum Foundation draft. He said almost every major piece will be replaced, calling the effort ambitious yet low-risk.

What Lean Ethereum ChangesRecursive STARKs sit at the center. The cryptographic proof system would verify the chain rather than force every node to re-execute transactions. Buterin wants these proofs enshrined as a core protocol component.

Quantum safety has also jumped up the list. The roadmap swaps quantum-vulnerable cryptography for hash-based schemes built to outlast quantum computers. The shift echoes NIST, the US standards body that finalized its first post-quantum encryption standards in 2024.

The most disruptive change targets how Ethereum stores data. Buterin would keep today’s core protocol architecture largely intact. He would add a restrictive new state type that scales toward 100 TB by 2030.

Rewriting an ERC-20 token or non-fungible token (NFT) into that format could cut fees more than 10x. Complex apps like decentralized exchanges would stay put.

Privacy becomes a first-class goal, not an afterthought, extending Buterin’s broader privacy push. Nearer term, the upcoming Glamsterdam upgrade should raise the gas limit.

Buterin has reason for confidence. The 2022 Merge moved Ethereum to proof of stake and cut its energy use by more than 99%. It shipped with little disruption to users or apps.

“But make no mistake, this IS the third major iteration of Ethereum in the same way that the Merge was the second,” Vitalik Buterin articulated.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens 

Not Everyone Buys the TimelineThe schedule drew fast pushback, and not from outsiders. Dankrad Feist praised the vision but called three to four years far too slow. The Ethereum Foundation researcher’s data-scaling work gave danksharding its name.

“Fully proven STF and scaling to Gigagas with finality in seconds gets me excited! But 3-4 years is very slow… I think we should be ambitious and get it done in ~1 year. I think this is realistically possible now with LLMs,” Dankrad Feist suggested.

His faith in AI is not fringe. The strawmap itself assumes human-first development and concedes that AI-accelerated research could compress the timeline.

Others were more cautious. Some urged the Foundation to underpromise, drawing the reply that underpromising only leads to under-delivery.

2 years seems between possible and likely, but from a communication perspective I think it would be irresponsible for V/EF to communicate a 1-2 year expectation. Better to underpromise.

— Matt Liston (@no__________end) July 4, 2026 The stakes are practical. The overhaul arrives weeks after a leaner Ethereum Foundation cut about 20% of its staff, or 54 roles. It has also moved to a tighter, endowment-style budget.

The strawmap remains a draft, not a schedule. Buterin said the coming Hegotá fork is likely the last before the Lean era begins.

Ethereum Price Performance. Source: BeInCryptoEther (ETH) has fallen about 41% in 2026 to near $1,760. For now, its market price reflects a market waiting on delivery, not promises.

According to HyperInsight’s monitoring, crypto personality "Big Brother Ma Ji" Huang Licheng has added to his ETH long positions. He currently holds a 25x leveraged long position of 9,390 ETH (valued at $16.56 million), with an average entry price of $1,721.04 and an unrealized profit of $400,000.

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TL;DR Dogecoin active addresses have surged to nearly 50,000, signaling renewed network activity. Whale traders are increasing long positions while closing shorts, boosting bullish sentiment. DOGE has fallen below a key support zone, keeping the technical outlook under pressure. Analysts are watching the $0.05–$0.06 support area unless bulls reclaim the $0.118 resistance. Dogecoin is showing mixed signals as on-chain activity accelerates while its price continues to face technical pressure. The meme coin has recorded a sharp rise in network participation, with active addresses climbing to nearly 50,000, even as critical support levels remain under threat.

The contrasting data suggests that although market interest in DOGE is increasing, traders remain divided over its near-term direction.

Fresh on-chain data indicates that Dogecoin’s daily active addresses have surged to almost 50,000, marking one of the strongest increases in network activity in recent months. Rising active addresses are often viewed as a sign of growing user engagement and can reflect increasing transaction activity across the blockchain.

The spike comes as broader crypto markets attempt to stabilize following recent volatility, putting Dogecoin back on investors’ watchlists.

Whale Positioning Turns More Optimistic Sentiment among larger market participants also appears to be shifting.

According to market data shared by analysts, whales have started reducing their short positions and increasing long exposure for the first time since Bitcoin began its decline from around $82,000. Among the assets attracting the strongest institutional-style signals are XRP and Dogecoin.

I’ve been preparing for the heat we have been seeing.

Started using a few new tools as well.

And for the first time since BTC started dumping from 82k, whales are moving towards longer positions and closing their shorts 🔥

A few tokens showing high signal: $XRP and $DOGE pic.twitter.com/7CIRXhkjmh

— Jana 👑 (@JanaCryptoQueen) July 4, 2026

A separate market sentiment dashboard also showed DOGE carrying one of the highest short concentrations among major cryptocurrencies, while its risk score moved into an elevated zone. Such positioning can create conditions for heightened volatility if prices move sharply against heavily leveraged traders.

Dogecoin Price Technical Picture Still Calls for Caution Despite improving network metrics and changing whale behavior, Dogecoin’s chart continues to reflect a bearish structure.

Recent price action shows DOGE falling below another major support zone between $0.074 and $0.08. The token also remains below both the 8-week and 21-week exponential moving averages, which continue trending downward, a sign that sellers still maintain control.

Bulls would need to reclaim the $0.118 resistance area to weaken the current bearish outlook or establish a convincing bottom before sentiment can shift meaningfully. If selling pressure continues, attention could turn to the long-term support region between $0.05 and $0.06, an area that has historically attracted buyers during previous market cycles.

1-week DOGE/USDT Chart | Source: TradingView Momentum indicators present a mixed picture. While the Stochastic RSI has already entered oversold territory, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has yet to reach comparable levels, suggesting there could still be room for additional downside before a stronger reversal develops.

For now, Dogecoin presents conflicting signals. Rising network activity and improving whale positioning hint at renewed interest, but technical indicators continue to point toward caution until key resistance levels are reclaimed and the broader trend begins to improve.

8h05 ▪ 5 min read ▪ by Ghiles A.

Summarize this article with:

The cryptocurrency market continues to adapt to the new regulatory requirements that are gradually being implemented. In this context, Revolut informed some of its customers that it would remove USDT from its offering during the summer of 2026. This decision comes with a precise schedule that outlines several steps before the permanent removal of the stablecoin. It also illustrates how financial service platforms are gradually adjusting their cryptoasset offerings in response to the evolving regulatory framework.

In brief Revolut will gradually remove USDT, stopping purchases from July 6 and complete removal scheduled for August 31, 2026. USDT deposits will be permanently ceased starting July 30, 2026, and any incoming transfers will be automatically rejected. Holdings in USDT still present after August 31 will be automatically converted into users’ base currency at the day’s exchange rate. The platform justifies this decision based on regulatory and risk considerations, without specifying the jurisdictions concerned or the exact regulatory framework. This removal comes as USDT is progressively being removed from European platforms following Tether’s refusal to comply with MiCA regulation requirements. Revolut Specifies the Steps for the Removal of Tether’s Stablecoin Revolut announced that the purchase of Tether’s stablecoin will no longer be available from July 6, 2026. The complete removal of the asset is then scheduled for August 31, 2026. According to the information reported by Cointelegraph, this decision is based on regulatory and risk management considerations. However, it does not specify the rules that directly motivate this change.

At the same time, Revolut will end deposits of the stablecoin from July 30, 2026. After this date, all incoming transfers will be automatically rejected. Users therefore have a transition period to sell their tokens or transfer them to another compatible service. This schedule gives them several weeks to organize their operations.

Revolut informs its users about the removal of USDT from its crypto offering. Holders must sell or withdraw their funds before August 31, 2026, otherwise remaining holdings will be automatically converted into their base currency. Source: Cointelegraph.

Finally, Revolut indicated that users who still hold tokens after August 31 will not lose them. The platform will automatically convert remaining holdings into each client’s base currency at the exchange rate applicable at the time of the operation. This conversion will mark the end of support for this digital asset on the service.

USDT Continues to Face Regulatory Changes The removal of USDT occurs in a context where several industry players are gradually adapting their services. Digital asset service providers are modifying their offerings to accommodate the new regulatory requirements applied in Europe. This trend notably affects certain stablecoins whose compliance remains debated.

In its notice to users, Revolut only mentions “regulatory and risk considerations.” However, the company does not specify whether this measure will be applied globally or only in certain jurisdictions. It also does not mention the exact regulatory framework behind this decision. This communication leaves several questions regarding the precise scope of the removal.

USDT holders must also consider the deadline set by the platform. Tokens still present in accounts after August 31 will be automatically converted into each user’s primary currency. The rate applied will correspond to the market price on the day of the conversion. Customers thus have a clearly defined period to manage their holdings.

MiCA Regulation Continues to Transform the Market This decision comes as Revolut obtained, in November 2025, a license as a crypto-asset service provider (CASP) under MiCA regulation. This authorization appears in the official register of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). It was granted by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission, allowing the company to operate under this new regulatory framework.

Finally, Cointelegraph indicated that Revolut did not respond to requests for comments concerning the jurisdictions involved or the exact extent of this measure at the time of publication. Meanwhile, USDT has been progressively withdrawn from European digital asset service providers since the end of 2024.

This situation is due to its issuer, Tether, refusing to comply with the requirements set by the MiCA regulation. Its CEO, Paolo Ardoino, regularly criticizes several provisions of this regulation, especially the obligations concerning reserves held with credit institutions within the European Union.

This development shows that Revolut continues adapting its offering to new rules governing the cryptoasset market. USDT remains at the heart of discussions on the application of MiCA regulation within the European Union. Thus, the next decisions of platforms and issuers will allow observation of how the stablecoin market continues to evolve in this new regulatory environment.

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Ghiles A.

Journaliste et rédacteur web passionné par l’univers des cryptomonnaies et des technologies Web3. J’y traite les dernières tendances et actualités afin de proposer un contenu de haute qualité à un large public du secteur.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.

According to monitoring by Onchain Lens, whale address "FU76ac" has deposited approximately $2.76 million worth of USDC into Kamino Finance's lending vault. The funds were routed via the Invest function of the Kvault Program to Kamino Lending Program for participation in lending activities and generating returns.

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Current funding rates on major centralized (CEX) and decentralized (DEX) exchanges show that bearish momentum for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) is easing, with market sentiment remaining neutral to slightly bearish.

According to Coinglass data, current funding rates on major centralized (CEX) and decentralized (DEX) crypto exchanges show that the bearish sentiment for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has weakened compared to earlier, but most platforms have not yet formed sustained bullish signals. Specifically, BTC funding rates on multiple platforms hover around the 0.0100% benchmark line, reflecting an overall neutral-to-weak pattern. For ETH, funding rates on multiple platforms have risen above the 0.005% threshold, with ETH’s long sentiment recovering slightly stronger than BTC’s, though no broad bullish signal has emerged yet. BlockBeats Note: Funding rates are fees set by crypto trading platforms to maintain the balance between perpetual contract prices and their underlying asset prices, typically applied to perpetual swaps. They function as a fund exchange mechanism between long and short traders; platforms do not collect this fee, instead using it to adjust the cost or return of holding contracts to keep contract prices aligned with underlying asset prices. A 0.01% funding rate is the benchmark. A rate above 0.01% indicates widespread bullish market sentiment, while a rate below 0.005% signals widespread bearish sentiment.

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According to Polymarket data, the probability that the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026 has climbed to 52%, a 12-percentage-point increase from July 3. On the news front, the U.S. Major County Sheriffs' Association (MCSA) announced that after initially raising concerns about how the bill would affect illicit financial investigations, it no longer opposes the CLARITY Act. Analysts note that the MCSA’s shift in stance has eliminated a key barrier to the bill’s advancement, improving its feasibility of moving to a Senate vote. Still, opposition from the banking sector to stablecoin yield products and DeFi regulation remains a major source of uncertainty.

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South Korea plans to establish a future fund using tax dividends from its semiconductor industry.

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Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.

Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.

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Algorand’s native token, ALGO, has maintained its upward momentum in recent days amid renewed buying interest. As trading volume and price action both showed signs of recovery, market watchers started to eye a potential breakout. At the time this article was prepared, ALGO was trading at $0.09086, with a 24-hour trading volume of $26.1 million and a total market capitalization of $813.15 million.

Crypto market analyst Alpha Crypto Signal reported that ALGO continues to build on its bullish momentum, with the price rising by over 6%. According to the analyst, sustained buying pressure could play a decisive role in determining the short-term direction of the market.

Attention is now focused on the $0.1040 resistance level. A successful break above and consolidation at this threshold could further strengthen the bullish trend. Conversely, if ALGO fails to overcome this resistance, the token may enter a sideways pattern with short-term volatility.

Alpha Crypto Signal notes that buying pressure in ALGO remains strong and the token has sustained its upward movement with a gain exceeding 6%.

Lofty AI marks a milestone within the Algorand ecosystemData shared by the Algorand Foundation highlighted a noteworthy development on the network side. For the first time, total value locked (TVL) on Lofty AI, a leading real estate tokenization platform, exceeded $100 million. This signals increased adoption of real-world asset utilization within the Algorand ecosystem.

Lofty AI has tokenized more than 180 properties spread across 21 US states. The platform has also generated over $5 million in cumulative rental income for its community of more than 40,000 investors. These figures point to the growing reach of blockchain-based fractional property ownership.

Glossary: RWA, or real-world assets, refers to representing traditional assets such as real estate as digital tokens on a blockchain. TVL, or total value locked, is a key metric showing the dollar value of assets locked within a protocol.

MetricDataLofty AI TVLOver $100 millionTokenized propertiesMore than 180US states21Generated rental incomeOver $5 millionNumber of investorsMore than 40,000The Algorand Foundation stated that Lofty AI surpassed $100 million in total value locked for the first time, with over 180 properties tokenized across 21 US states on Algorand.

Bitcoin trends impact ALGO’s directionThe recent steady rise in ALGO has been driven by not only network-related developments but also broader market sentiment. The recovery seen in Bitcoin has fueled increased risk appetite among altcoin traders, and Algorand has benefited from this momentum.

Looking ahead, investors will be watching closely to see whether buying interest can push ALGO past the $0.1040 resistance. A breakout above this level could open the door to further gains, while a failure would likely see prices consolidate for some time.

Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.

Crypto influencer @TCryptochicks released a series of "riddle" images, after which Binance founder CZ retweeted and replied "Water (drop) your BNB wallet" — reigniting hype around celebrity-themed meme coins. In response, multiple CZ-themed meme coins emerged on the Binance Smart Chain (BSC), surging sharply in a short period. Among them: - CZ (The Final Form Bull): Market cap briefly topped $41 million, now pulled back to $29.82 million, with a 24-hour trading volume of $28 million and a 24-hour gain of 18,200%. - CZ (The Bull): Market cap briefly exceeded $11 million, now at $3.88 million, with a 24-hour trading volume of $6.1 million and a 24-hour gain of 2,400%. Market observers note this mirrors the "Ansem effect" previously seen on Solana, where topics linked to prominent KOLs or celebrities trigger explosive rallies in meme coins bearing the same or similar names. CZ has in the past indirectly driven BSC meme coin trends via social media interactions, such as references to his dog "Broccoli", the number "4" meme, and his book title "Binance Life". However, he has repeatedly clarified his tweets do not constitute endorsements. Related tokens have historically seen sharp surges followed by rapid pullbacks, so investors should be alert to high volatility and rug pull risks.

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Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.

Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.

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Polkadot-based interoperability protocol Moonbeam said it is pivoting to Ethereum layer 2 Base to launch an AI agent communication and settlement network, aimed at capturing a share of the emerging market. 

“This is a pivot to the most exciting frontier in crypto: autonomous AI agents that find each other, negotiate work, and pay each other entirely on-chain, without a middleman,” Moonbeam said in a statement announcing the Moonbeam Protocol on Friday. 

“We believe AI-native on-chain coordination represents a significant long-term opportunity. This transition allows us to focus resources around that direction,” Moonbeam added.

Moonbeam didn’t provide a launch timeline for the Moonbeam Protocol.

Source: Moonbeam

Agentic development has seen considerable adoption in the crypto industry, with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire among the executives predicting that AI agents will become the dominant users of blockchain-based payments in the coming years.

Coinbase’s x402 payments protocol has been one of the biggest drivers behind that push, while layer 1 blockchains Aptos and Near have also rolled out infrastructure to support agent-driven onchain activity.

Adoption in blockchain-based payments space has struggled to take off, however, with data from Artemis showing that only $2 million in trading volume has been facilitated through the x402 protocol over the past 30 days. 

AI agent development is progressing slowly in Big Tech too, with Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg stating on Thursday that the technology hasn’t accelerated the firm’s workflows as quickly as expected.

Moonbeam pivot a blow to PolkadotSeveral members of the crypto community said Moonbeam's pivot marked a major setback for the Polkadot ecosystem, with one X user calling Moonbeam Polkadot's "flagship project." 

“That’s a real pain in the ass for Polkadot,” another X user said.

Moonbeam launched as a Polkadot parachain in January 2022, providing developers the ability to build Ethereum Virtual Machine-compatible applications directly in the Polkadot ecosystem.

Moonbeam users instructed to migrate tokensMoonbeam (GLMR) holders will need to bridge their tokens from Moonbeam’s Polkadot parachain to Base before July 31, 2026, including GLMR tied in lending markets, staking contracts and other decentralized finance protocols, Moonbeam said.

Those holding the token on a centralized exchange won't need to take any action, Moonbeam said.

Moonbeam said it will continue providing its cross-chain interoperability services on the Polkadot parachain through the transition period and is not abandoning its existing builders or infrastructure providers.

Magazine: Bitcoin decouples from tech stocks, Ether eyes ‘selling wave’: Market Moves

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

A blockchain that processes billions in daily transactions came within a few hundred dollars of a potential catastrophe. Aptos Labs patched a critical flaw in its Move virtual machine after security researchers demonstrated that a simulated attack could succeed nearly 90% of the time using nothing more than a modest server setup.

The vulnerability, a so-called stale-cache bug, was reported by blockchain security firm Hexens on February 25, 2026. Aptos deployed a fix to mainnet within hours, followed by a public pull request on February 27 that documented the patch and its relationship to the company’s bug bounty program.

What the bug actually did The flaw sat inside the Move virtual machine, the execution environment that processes every smart contract on the network. The bug allowed an attacker to potentially hijack on-chain structs and authority resources, meaning someone could manipulate the core data structures that define who owns what on the blockchain.

Hexens researchers demonstrated proof-of-concept attacks using a server setup costing roughly $3,000, with individual attack attempts running into the low hundreds of dollars. The success rate in simulations hit nearly 90%.

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Hexens estimated the systemic risk at $70 billion, accounting for stablecoins, cross-chain bridges, and DeFi protocols built on or connected to Aptos. Bridges are particularly sensitive targets because they hold pooled assets from multiple chains, meaning a single successful exploit can drain funds that originated elsewhere.

Polygon’s CTO Mudit Gupta independently reviewed the researchers’ proof-of-concept and validated their findings.

Aptos’s response and the dispute that followed No user funds were lost during the incident. Aptos Labs moved from discovery to mainnet patch in hours.

Aptos disputed claims about the bug’s exploitability under actual mainnet conditions, arguing that real-world constraints would make a successful attack harder than the simulated environment suggested. That position sits in tension with Gupta’s independent validation of the proof-of-concept.

The public pull request on February 27 documented the technical fix and formalized the connection to Aptos’s bug bounty program, which offers rewards of up to $1 million for critical vulnerability disclosures.

What investors and builders should watch The $70 billion systemic risk figure represents the maximum theoretical exposure if an attacker could chain together every vulnerable pathway simultaneously. A $3,000 server and a few hundred dollars per attempt is a low barrier for an adversary targeting a high-value network. Protocols that rely on Aptos for settlement, particularly cross-chain bridges, should treat this disclosure as a prompt to audit their own dependencies.

The Aptos bug bounty ceiling of $1 million for critical finds is competitive, but given that this particular bug carried a theoretical exposure in the tens of billions, a researcher who could have sold this vulnerability on a grey market for significantly more chose responsible disclosure instead.

Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.

Update July 5, 6:45 am UTC: This article has been updated to include additional comments from Tim Draper. 

Billionaire investor and longtime Bitcoin bull Tim Draper said blockchain analytics company Arkham incorrectly linked him to a wallet involved in a large Bitcoin transfer to Coinbase Prime.

“It just wasn’t me. I haven’t touched it. Arkham has it wrong,” Draper told Cointelegraph, adding that he still expects Bitcoin to reach $250,000 within one year.

The statement came after blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain reported Friday that a wallet “possibly linked” to Draper had transferred 1,000 Bitcoin worth about $62 million to Coinbase Prime, citing data from Arkham.

The case highlights both the growing role of blockchain analytics in tracking large crypto transfers and the challenges of independently confirming wallet ownership.

Draper bought nearly 30,000 BTC in 2014Draper is best known in the crypto community as one of Bitcoin’s earliest high-profile investors, having won a US Marshals Service auction for nearly 30,000 Bitcoin seized by US authorities from Silk Road-related holdings in 2014.

According to Forbes, Draper paid about $18.7 million, or roughly $632 per Bitcoin, for the holdings, now worth about $1.9 billion.

Arkham labels the wallet involved in the transfer as “Tim Draper?” through its AI-powered entity prediction feature. The feature assigns lower-confidence attributions intended to provide clues about the possible owner of a wallet address.

Source: Arkham

The wallet’s transaction history shows several interactions with Coinbase Prime over the past year, including a 1,000 Bitcoin transfer from Coinbase Prime on July 9, 2025, when BTC traded around $115,880 per coin.

Cointelegraph reached out to Arkham for comment but had not received a response by publication.

Draper’s $250,000 Bitcoin forecast repeatedly missed timelinesDraper’s latest reiteration of his $250,000 Bitcoin target adds to a series of forecasts that have repeatedly missed earlier timelines.

The investor has held the same price target since at least 2018, initially expecting Bitcoin to reach the level by late 2022 or early 2023. However, Bitcoin’s highest recorded price to date is $126,080 on Oct. 6, 2025, according to CoinGecko. At publishing time, Bitcoin was trading around $62,530.

Source: Cointelegraph

Some Bitcoin bulls see further upside ahead, with Blockstream CEO Adam Back expecting Bitcoin could eventually reach between $500,000 and $1 million, arguing that the milestone may be “closer than people think.”

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has also said Bitcoin could climb as high as $700,000 if institutional adoption increases significantly, while Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has repeatedly argued that the asset lacks intrinsic value and could ultimately fall to zero.

Polymarket’s “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?” prediction market shows traders pricing the most likely outcome around $65,000 to $70,000, with bets clustering near $68,000.

Magazine: The end of anonymity? AI could unmask crypto’s hidden identities

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

Table of contents

The gap between speculative hype and realized losses rarely comes as starkly as in the latest Nansen data covering the Trump-themed memecoin. By the end of June 2026, 988,905 retail buyers had collectively lost $3.81 billion on the token, a 97% decline from its $75.35 peak that leaves it trading around $1.76. The numbers, cited by the original report, sketch a nearly two-to-one loser ratio: roughly two in every three purchasers ended underwater. The trigger was not a broader market crash—many altcoins posted weekly gains during the same period—but a token-specific unwind that turned a political novelty into a retail wealth transfer vehicle.

While retail absorbed the pain, a narrow group of early traders captured approximately $4 billion in profits, per the Nansen analysis. The asymmetry is not accidental. On-chain launch dynamics for memecoins routinely favor snipers and insiders who front-run public awareness, and the TRUMP token appears to have followed that template precisely. The figures land alongside Donald Trump’s 2025 financial disclosure, which revealed a $636 million payout from his crypto bets and an aggregate $799 million profit from his Trump-backed World Liberty Financial venture. That disclosure does not necessarily tie directly to the TRUMP memecoin, but it reinforces the perception of an uneven playing field between name-branded tokens and the retail crowd that piles in after the fact.

A 97% Wipeout by the Numbers The scale of the drawdown is uncommon even by memecoin standards. At its top, TRUMP commanded a fully diluted valuation in the billions. By early July 2026, the market had slashed that to a fraction, erasing nearly all the speculative premium built in the token’s first weeks. The $3.81 billion in cumulative losses translates to an average loss of roughly $3,850 per affected buyer, though the dispersion is wide: a handful of traders lost negligibly, while thousands lost far more. Volume patterns suggest retail buying clustered after initial price spikes, a behavioral quirk that data from on-chain analytics firms has repeatedly highlighted across memecoin cycles.

Against a backdrop where weekly top gainers routinely include fresh project tokens, the TRUMP coin’s path stands out less for its rise than for the sheer amount of capital it burned on the way down. The token never integrated into any significant DeFi protocol, nor did it develop a use case that could anchor demand away from pure momentum trading. When the bid-side liquidity evaporated, the exit door narrowed rapidly.

The Insider Advantage in Memecoin Markets Blockchain sleuths have long documented how memecoin creators, early liquidity providers, and bot operators dominate the opening minutes of a token’s life. The Nansen figures reinforce the pattern: outsized profits concentrate in the hands of those who either launched the contract, supplied initial pools, or executed buys before social media amplification kicked in. For the TRUMP token, the early cohort walked away with approximately $4 billion while retail added another chapter to the long history of late arrivals funding early exits. Market structure here mirrors pump-and-dump micro-cap equities, but with no circuit breakers and virtually no on-chain accountability.

This cycle has also seen a handful of developer-heavy blockchains grow their ecosystems at the same time memecoin mania burns through waves of speculative capital. The contrast is instructive: chains with sustained commit activity, active dApp deployments, and genuine fee generation tended to hold value better than tokens whose primary appeal was a name or mascot. The TRUMP coin’s collapse is not an indictment of all crypto, but it sharpens the line between speculation and productive on-chain activity.

Regulatory Silence as Losses Mount The $3.81 billion figure will almost certainly enter the broader conversation about retail investor protection in crypto markets. While US lawmakers debate the architecture of a comprehensive crypto bill—with banking lobbyists pushing last-minute amendments—tokens like TRUMP slip through the regulatory cracks almost by design. They are not marketed as securities, they do not file disclosures, and they often launch on decentralized exchanges that require no approval. This leaves the typical buyer with no recourse and no clear venue for complaint beyond social media forums. The Trump connection adds a layer of political awkwardness, but the loss pattern itself is replicated across dozens of smaller celebrity and theme tokens every quarter.

A market where nearly one million individuals lose three-quarters of a trillion cents on a single token arguably accelerates demands for at least basic disclosure standards around token launches. Whether the SEC, CFTC, or state regulators pick up the thread remains an open question. For now, the TRUMP memecoin episode demonstrates that even a token tied to a sitting former president and current candidate does not insulate retail from catastrophic losses when the hype cycle ends.

What Comes After the Crash The immediate aftermath is predictable: diminished volume, fading social engagement, and a slow bleed as remaining holders exit at whatever bid remains. The token has already lost 97% of its peak value, and historical analogues suggest recapturing even a fraction of that is a tall order without a material catalyst beyond nostalgia. Community forums may attempt revival narratives, but on-chain data tends to show that once a token’s liquidity depth collapses below a critical threshold, it rarely regains the level of activity needed to attract new risk capital.

The more lasting impact may be felt in how retail allocates attention. After the LUNA collapse and the FTX blowup, the market absorbed the lesson that centralized intermediaries pose risks. The TRUMP token shows that decentralized launch mechanisms can produce equally severe wealth destruction when the only mechanism underpinning price is attention. If the meme coin market consolidates around a smaller number of tokens with at least minimal community retention, the brutal economics exposed here could accelerate that filtering process.

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Chainwire is The Leading Blockchain and Crypto Newswire and Press Release Distribution Service That Maximize Crypto News Coverage.

Select fintech product releases this week from Ondo Finance, Lantern, Bluprynt and Klaviyo.

Ondo Finance, Broadridge Financial Solutions launch third-party tokenized securities solution It’s a live solution of third-party tokenized U.S. securities operating entirely within the existing regulatory perimeter in the U.S. to provide full voting rights for tokenized equity holders.

The underlying shares never leave the traditional U.S. regulated custody chain. Ondo’s registered transfer agent mints corresponding tokens, backed 1:1 by those shares, which are issued on the Ethereum blockchain and held by regulated custodians. Each token holder will receive the same shareholder rights and protections as shareholders holding through U.S. brokerage accounts receive, including issuer communications and onchain proxy voting through Broadridge’s ProxyVote.com platform.

Bluprynt, Chainproof unveil digital asset directors and officers insurance Verified D&O’s premise is that decision-makers who issue, hold, or accept a token all carry liability for that choice — and when a token can prove who stands behind it and what backs it, underwriters gain a new class of verifiable information.

The collaboration integrates Bluprynt’s issuer and collateral verification technology directly into the underwriting process. Know Your Issuer confirms who stands behind a token. Proof of Collateral confirms what backs the token, tracing every layer that supports it.

Lantern debuts e-commerce agentic shopping measuring tool The platform helps e-commerce brands measure and improve how their products show up inside AI-powered shopping experiences. Lantern evaluates what’s limiting performance, makes the changes, and executes them with team approval.

Agentic Commerce Performance focuses on how products are surfaced, selected, and converted inside AI-driven shopping. Agent Ready Score measures how prepared a store is for AI-driven commerce. AI Visibility Tracking shows how often products and brands appear across AI-generated answers. Product-Level Analysis identifies specific issues that limit how products are interpreted and recommended. Category Benchmarking compares performance against competing products and brands Automated Fixes apply prioritized changes across product pages and catalogs, with teams approving updates before deployment Trading Technologies upgrades TT Trade Surveillance The tweaks include a new Market Replay tool and an enhanced enterprise-level case management system user interface to improve the workflow, speed and scope of surveillance cases across equities, futures and options, foreign exchange (FX), fixed income and cryptocurrencies.

Market Replay provides a full forensic auditing module for reconstructing and reviewing historical market activity across a full 90-day lookback window, with a tick-by-tick, frame-by-frame visual playback of the order book.

Klaviyo announces two AI agent developments Klaviyo’s Composer, its AI marketing agent, is moving to public beta. Composer identifies the biggest opportunities, builds the campaigns to capture them, and executes the work automatically.

When Customer Agent resolves a conversation, it writes preferences, product interests, and intent signals back to the customer record — data Composer uses to build smarter marketing campaigns. When Composer launches a campaign, that engagement informs how Customer Agent personalizes the next interaction.

https://gemwallet.com/learn/beginners-guide-to-hyperliquid-trading-platform/

Hyperliquid, a decentralized perpetual futures platform, experienced significant activity as $116 million in net inflows into bridged assets occurred within 24 hours. This surge reflects a notable increase in DeFi liquidity and user engagement on the platform, aligning with recent trends in real-world asset activity. Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, has been near $65, marking a significant growth trajectory with returns exceeding 1,800% since its launch in November 2024. The platform’s expansion, including partnerships like the upcoming launch with VALR for cross-asset perpetual contracts, has further solidified its competitive position in the market.

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Key Takeaways Market activity suggests strong interest in Hyperliquid, consistent with pricing supportive of YES outcomes for reaching higher price targets. The recent net inflows may indicate increasing confidence in Hyperliquid’s growth potential and market positioning. Current market pricing implies a mixed outlook on Hyperliquid reaching specific price targets by the end of 2026. What to Watch Watch for further developments regarding Hyperliquid’s partnerships and volume, as these could impact price predictions. The upcoming launch with VALR and any new institutional engagements could significantly influence confidence in Hyperliquid’s price trajectory. Observers should also watch for any regulatory developments or shifts in market sentiment that could alter the current pricing landscape.

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What Price Will Hyperliquid Hit Before 2027

Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h December 31 37.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 4.4% — — View market → January 1 2027 3.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 64.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 8.2% — — View market → January 1 2027 4.5% — — View market → Predictfun Fdv Above One Day After Launch

Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h One day after launch 95.2% — — View market → One day after launch 86.5% — — View market → One day after launch 79.5% — — View market → One day after launch 77.5% — — View market → One day after launch 75.5% — — View market → January 1 2028 63.5% — — View market → January 1 2028 54% — — View market → January 1 2028 45.5% — — View market → January 1 2028 46.5% — — View market → January 1 2028 15.6% — — View market → January 1 2028 14.4% — — View market →

Aster saw limited price movement on Saturday, but renewed attention followed comments from analyst Crypto Patel, who expressed long-term bullish expectations for the token. In the past 24 hours, Aster’s price edged up by 0.57% to $0.6441. The project’s market capitalization stood at $1.73 billion, with a 24-hour spot trading volume of $50.92 million.

Monthly chart remains weakIn an assessment shared on July 4, 2026, Crypto Patel attributed the erosion of investor confidence in Aster primarily to the token’s weak monthly chart performance. According to Patel, throughout nearly ten months of trading data, Aster has repeatedly closed at lower levels, which has undermined faith in the project over time.

Crypto Patel noted that the prolonged series of lower monthly closes has harmed investor trust, but maintained that he would not be surprised to see Aster reach the $10–$20 range in the long term.

Despite this challenging price history, Patel still forecasts that Aster could eventually reach a price between $10 and $20, although he emphasizes this is a personal projection and not a guarantee. Some market participants echoed his view, adding that strong projects can rebound even after extended periods of weakness.

Derivative activity picks up momentumWhile spot price action has been subdued, derivative market data indicates growing interest around Aster. The total derivatives trading volume climbed by 10.55% to reach $105.01 million, suggesting that more investors are now closely monitoring the token.

Glossary: Open interest reflects the total number of outstanding contracts in the futures market that have not yet been closed. The funding rate is a periodic fee paid on perpetual futures contracts to balance long and short positions.

Open interest slipped by 0.45% to $360.40 million, which may signal that some leveraged positions were closed, though this did not translate into major selling pressure. The open interest-weighted funding rate remained in positive territory at 0.0090%, indicating that investors holding long positions paid a small premium to maintain their exposure.

IndicatorLatest ValuePrice$0.644124-hour change0.57% riseSpot trading volume$50.92 millionDerivatives trading volume$105.01 millionOpen interest$360.40 millionFunding rate0.0090%Market seeks directionAster’s near-term outlook appears neutral, with prices yet to break decisively in either direction. However, the uptick in trading volumes points to growing market interest. Taken together, the decline in open interest and a positive funding rate suggest the market is on the lookout for its next catalyst without excessive leverage buildup.

Rising trading volumes, lower open interest, and a positive funding rate all hint that the market may be preparing for its next major move, but this time without excessive risk-taking.

Looking ahead, if buyer demand persists, Aster may attempt to test higher resistance zones. On the other hand, if demand wanes or the broader crypto market weakens, the token could continue moving sideways until a clearer trend emerges.

Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.

June delivered the worst month in the history of United States spot Bitcoin ETFs, with more than $4 billion pulled and 2026 flows turning negative for the first time. Over the same 2 weeks, the largest wallets on the network absorbed 270,000 BTC. One of these cohorts is going to be wrong, and the last 3 cycles say which one it usually is.

Summary

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw record June outflows, with more than $4 billion leaving as institutional risk appetite weakened. Whale wallets accumulated about 270,000 BTC worth $16.7 billion during the same period, signaling strong on-chain buying. The split suggests Bitcoin’s next move depends on whether ETF flows recover or macro pressure forces another leg lower. Two things happened in the Bitcoin market in the second half of June, and they cannot both be right.

The first happened in brokerage accounts. United States spot Bitcoin ETFs bled $4.06 billion in June, the worst calendar month since the products launched in January 2024, surpassing the previous record of $3.56 billion set in February 2025.

Depending on where the cutoff lands, some counts put the figure closer to $4.5 billion. The bleeding was not a single bad week: it followed a record 13-day outflow streak from mid-May that had already drained $4.37 billion, and by month-end the funds were net negative for 2026 as a whole, the first time cumulative yearly flows have gone red since the ETFs existed. The largest fund did most of the draining, shedding roughly $3.55 billion on its own.

The second happened on-chain. Over the final 2 weeks of that same stretch, wallets classified as whales accumulated more than 270,000 BTC, roughly $16.7 billion at prevailing prices, according to Bitfinex analysts. The buying happened while the spot premium, a gauge of how aggressively United States buyers are bidding, stayed negative, meaning the demand was not coming from American spot desks. Glassnode’s cohort data confirmed the shift from a second angle: long-term holders flipped back to net accumulation across wallet sizes at the start of July, even as the ETF prints stayed red.

$4 billion walked out one door while $16 billion walked in another. That is not noise. That is the two most-watched capital cohorts in this market taking opposite sides of the same trade at the same prices, and the resolution of that disagreement is the Bitcoin story for the rest of the year.

The month that broke the ETF narrative The scale of June’s institutional retreat deserves its own accounting, because the spot ETFs were supposed to be the structural bid that made this cycle different.

The pitch, repeated across 2 years of allocator decks, was that regulated wrappers would convert Bitcoin from a sentiment asset into an allocation, with sticky advisory money arriving in measured percentages and staying through drawdowns the way it stays in equity funds.

For most of 2024 and 2025, the pitch held: inflows compounded, the products swallowed multiples of new mined supply, and every dip met a wrapper-shaped bid. June was the first month that tested the sticky part of the story at scale, and the answer was unambiguous. Faced with a real macro shock, the allocation behaved exactly like every other risk allocation in the book, which is to say it left, on schedule, through the most liquid exit, without ceremony.

Price told the top-line story: Bitcoin fell from around $74,000 to near $58,000 across the month, touched 21-month lows, and closed a week below its 200-week moving average for the first time since 2023, a line that has historically marked deep cycle lows and long accumulation zones. Sentiment followed price into the basement, with the Fear and Greed Index pinned between 11 and 15, deep in extreme fear, through the back half of the month. Retail’s search behavior matched the mood: queries for Bitcoin going to 0 hit record highs earlier this year, and broader crypto search interest has only recently begun recovering from 1-year lows.

The flow mechanics beneath the price were the real damage. As crypto.news reported when the record was confirmed, the Coinbase Premium stayed negative through June, apparent demand stayed deeply negative, and ETF redemptions became the dominant driver of daily price action, averaging out to roughly $180 million to $200 million in net selling per trading day. When the products finally printed a green day on July 2, a $221 million inflow that ended a 10-day losing streak, the breadth told its own story: One fund took in $166 million while the largest fund was still bleeding $40 million on the day flows supposedly turned.

Three forces stacked up to produce the exodus. Macro did the heavy lifting: May inflation printed a hot 4.2%, the Federal Reserve spent June sounding restrictive, and institutional risk mandates de-allocate mechanically when real-rate expectations rise, without any view on Bitcoin specifically. Regulatory whiplash added a second layer, with the market structure fight in the Senate stalling and starting through the month, leaving custody and licensing frameworks unresolved for exactly the institutions the ETFs serve. And a third force was more mundane: competition for risk capital.

The SpaceX listing raised $75 billion in the middle of the drawdown, the largest liquidity event in market history, and some of the money that would otherwise have sat in crypto risk simply had somewhere more exciting to be, a dynamic that carried straight into the tokenized trading frenzy around the stock.

Whatever the weights on those three, the conclusion the flows describe is uniform: the marginal institutional holder of wrapped Bitcoin spent June getting out.

Inside the machine that sold The phrase ETF outflows compresses a mechanical process worth uncompressing, because the mechanics explain why the selling was so relentless and why it can reverse just as mechanically.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs do not hold sentiment; they hold coins against shares. When holders sell more shares than buyers absorb, authorized participants redeem the excess, the fund sheds Bitcoin, and the coins hit the market as programmatic supply. Through June, that redemption machine ran nearly every session, and the composition mattered as much as the total.

The largest fund was the epicenter, accounting for roughly $3.55 billion of the month’s bleed on its own, which reads less as 1,000 small investors leaving and more as a handful of very large allocators de-risking through the deepest door available. Smaller funds bled proportionally less, and when the streak finally broke on July 2, the breadth stayed poor: the $221 million net inflow decomposed into one rival fund absorbing $166 million while the flagship still lost $40 million.

A genuine flow regime change looks like several consecutive green days across the complex, led by the largest fund; one day of one fund catching a falling knife does not qualify, and desks that trade these flows professionally treat anything less than 3-5 confirming sessions as noise.

The forced-seller identity question has a partial answer in the parallel stress that ran through the corporate treasury complex during the same weeks. Strategy’s preferred shares sold off hard enough that Bitwise published a note framing the episode as a late-cycle leverage unwind, with over-extended structures deleveraging while institutions positioned to replace them as the marginal buyer. Miners added their own supply, with MARA’s reported $1.5 billion Bitcoin sale putting the biggest corporate mining treasury on the sell side just as ETF redemptions peaked.

Add the SpaceX raise vacuuming $75 billion of risk appetite out of the same investor base, and June’s selling resolves into something more specific than fear: a synchronized deleveraging across every wrapped, leveraged, and mandated form of Bitcoin exposure at once, while the unwrapped form of the asset quietly changed hands underneath.

That specificity matters for what comes next. Deleveraging events are finite by construction: forced sellers run out of the thing they are forced to sell.

Sentiment-driven bear markets can grind for years, but a leverage unwind ends when the leverage is gone, and several of June’s selling engines, the redemption streak, the preferred-share stress, the miner treasury sales, have visibly decelerated into July.

The buyers who showed up anyway Now the other side of the ledger, because it is bigger.

The 270,000 BTC that whale wallets absorbed in 2 weeks is not a normal accumulation print. It is more than the entire ETF complex sold in the month, absorbed in half the time, at prices between roughly $58,000 and $62,000. The negative spot premium during the buying window is the detail that locates the buyers: this demand was not United States spot desks and not the ETF creation mechanism. It was large holders, a category that spans exchanges, custodians, early-cycle capital, and entities that never touch a regulated wrapper, taking delivery while the wrapper crowd distributed.

Glassnode’s supply data adds the pain context that makes the accumulation more notable, not less. At the start of July, roughly 10.8 million BTC sat at an unrealized loss against 9.2 million in profit, a ratio that historically appears near capitulation zones, not near tops. Long-term holders turning to net accumulation into that kind of tape is the specific pattern that marked the depths of 2022 and the pre-ETF trough of 2023: the coins move from stressed hands to patient ones before any recovery shows up in price, and the transfer is only visible in hindsight to anyone watching price alone.

The whale cohort’s composition is admittedly opaque, and honest analysis says so. Wallets above 1,000 BTC are a crude proxy that includes exchange consolidation, custodial reshuffling, and over-the-counter settlement alongside genuine conviction buying. But the 2-week scale, the direction, and the corroboration from long-term holder metrics make the benign explanations hard to stretch across the whole print. Someone with size decided that sub-$60,000 Bitcoin was a purchase, at the exact moment the most regulated distribution channel in the asset’s history was running in reverse.

There is also a rotation story inside the accumulation. The buying coincided with capital moving toward on-chain yield and infrastructure rather than away from crypto entirely: tokenized real-world assets crossed $20 billion in on-chain value, and Solana, the strongest major through the drawdown, rose about 15% since early June with tokenized asset transfers on the network up 120% to $8.53 billion, extending the performance gap that has defined the L1 race all year. The pattern suggests large investors were not abandoning the asset class. They were leaving the most liquid, most scrutinized wrapper and taking positions closer to the metal.

10 straight days of $BTC ETF outflows, 35,980 BTC gone, yet price up 3% above $62.5k. Whales absorbing the sell pressure while retail panics. This is textbook accumulation. The discord saw this divergence early – link in bio pic.twitter.com/eeTNxp7vrS

— CT Anano (@CT_Anano) July 4, 2026 That rotation reframes what the ETF outflows even measure. The funds were sold to the world as the institutionalization of Bitcoin, and their flows became the market’s favorite proxy for smart money. June exposed the proxy’s limits: the wrapper tracks one specific investor type, the benchmark-constrained allocator, whose behavior is the most macro-sensitive and least conviction-driven in the entire holder base.

The actual institutional spectrum now runs from those allocators through corporate treasuries, miners, sovereign-adjacent funds, and on-chain natives, and in June those groups pointed in three different directions at once. Reading Bitcoin through ETF flows alone in this market is like reading equities through one mutual fund complex: informative, loud, and structurally incomplete.

What the divergence has meant before Splits between institutional flows and on-chain accumulation are rare enough to have a track record, and the track record leans one way.

The clearest precedent predates the ETFs: through late 2022 and 2023, while the Grayscale trust traded at a discount that made institutional sentiment look terminal, and every regulated access story was going backward, large wallets accumulated through the low $20,000s and teens. The buyers who tracked institutional sentiment missed the bottom; the ones who tracked coins on the move caught it.

February 2025 offered a smaller rehearsal of the current setup, with the then-record $3.56 billion ETF outflow month arriving alongside stubborn on-chain absorption, followed by recovery once the macro trigger faded. Bitfinex analysts framed June’s version explicitly in those terms: simultaneous institutional selling and whale accumulation is the pattern that has appeared near past cycle lows, where long-term holders take supply off sellers before the recovery reaches price.

The pattern’s logic is structural, not mystical. ETF flows are downstream of mandates, benchmarks, and quarterly reviews, which makes them systematically late in both directions: the wrapper crowd bought the top of the euphoria and is now selling the bottom of the fear, because that is what risk-managed allocation does. On-chain whales answer to no committee. When the two disagree, the disagreement itself is the signal, because it marks the moment coins transfer from mandate-driven hands to conviction-driven ones.

Retail sentiment data rounds out the historical picture from the contrarian side. Record-high searches for Bitcoin going to 0, extreme-fear readings pinned for weeks, and supply majority-underwater have each individually marked accumulation zones in prior cycles; their simultaneous appearance alongside documented whale absorption is the full bingo card. The caveat that keeps the pattern honest is that sentiment extremes date bottoms only in retrospect, and the same indicators flashed for months through late 2022 while price kept sliding. Fear confirms opportunity for buyers with time horizons measured in years. It punishes everyone else.

None of that makes the signal infallible, and the bear case deserves its full weight. A divergence is not a timing tool: whales were also early in 2022, absorbing supply months before the actual low, and anyone who leveraged the accumulation thesis got carried out before being proven right.

The macro trigger has not disarmed, either. The next inflation print is the live variable, and a hot number would reload the exact mechanism that drained $4 billion in June, since nothing about whale accumulation prevents mandate-driven funds from selling more. Bitwise’s read of the parallel stress in Strategy’s preferred shares, that the market is working through a late-cycle leverage unwind, cuts both ways: unwinds end at bottoms, but they end violently, and the last leg is usually the worst one.

Reading the whale cohort honestly The 1,000 BTC threshold that defines a whale wallet captures several very different animals, and the interpretation of the accumulation depends on which ones did the buying.

The most bullish reading assigns the coins to conviction capital: family offices, early holders reloading, sovereign-adjacent vehicles, and the class of buyer that accumulates through over-the-counter desks precisely to avoid moving the price. The negative spot premium through the buying window supports this reading, since it rules out the visible United States bid, and OTC accumulation into weakness is the classic signature of patient size.

The most boring reading assigns some of the movement to plumbing: exchanges consolidating cold storage, custodians migrating wallets, and settlement flows that inflate cohort statistics without expressing any view. The truth is a blend, and serious on-chain analysts hold the number loosely for exactly that reason.

Two cross-checks tilt the blend toward conviction. The first is the long-term holder metric, which is behavior-based instead of size-based: coins that have not moved in months turning into net accumulation is hard to generate with custodial reshuffling, and Glassnode flagged that shift across cohorts at the start of July. The second is the duration of the pattern. Wallet consolidation is lumpy and episodic; the June accumulation ran daily, through a 2-week window, against a falling price, which is the shape of a program, not a migration. Whoever was executing wanted more Bitcoin every day the price stayed under $62,000, and got it.

It is also worth noting who the whales are buying from, because supply has a face too. The ETF redemptions put a regulated, auditable seller on the tape every session. Miners under margin pressure added inventory. Short-term holders who bought the $70,000s capitulated at 21-month lows, the behavior that pushed over half the supply underwater. The full picture is a wealth transfer with unusually clean bookkeeping: from leveraged, mandated, and exhausted hands into large, unhurried ones, at prices the buyers evidently considered a discount.

The scenario map from $62,000 Divergences resolve, and this one has three plausible endings with watchable triggers.

The repair scenario is the historical base case. Macro softens, the July inflation print cooperates, ETF flows string together green sessions with breadth, and the price reclaims the 200-week average, converting June into another entry in the ledger of cycle lows that on-chain accumulation called early. The whales’ entry zone between $58,000 and $62,000 becomes the level the market defends, because the buyers who own it have shown they defend it. Confirmation looks like the flagship fund flipping to inflows and $62,500 breaking on volume.

The chop scenario is the underpriced one. Inflation stays sticky without spiking, the Fed stays parked, and the market grinds sideways for a quarter while ETF flows oscillate around 0. Whale accumulation in this world is early rather than wrong, the 2022 pattern, where large wallets absorbed supply for months before price agreed with them. The tell is time: patient capital does not mind, leveraged capital dies, and funding rates across the perpetuals complex show which cohort is being tested week by week.

The break scenario is the one the bears own. A hot CPI reloads the redemption machine, the 200-week average rejects the recovery, and $58,000 fails, opening the trapdoor toward the low $50,000s that technicians have flagged since the June breakdown. Even then, the divergence data offers the bears only half a victory: it would mean the whales were early again, not that the transfer did not happen, and every prior cycle says the coins that moved in June do not come back out at these levels regardless of what the next quarter’s candles look like.

There is one more asymmetry the bulls gloss over: the two cohorts do not experience being wrong the same way. If the whales are early, they wait, unleveraged and unbothered, the way they waited through 2022. If the ETF sellers are wrong, they will buy back in at higher prices, book the round trip as risk management, and their investors will barely notice. The divergence is a strong signal about where coins are going and a weak one about when price follows, and conflating those two claims is how retail traders turn a sound accumulation thesis into a liquidation.

The tape since the split The first days of July have started scoring the disagreement, gently, in the whales’ favor. Fed chair Kevin Warsh acknowledged at the Sintra forum that inflation expectations had come down, and Bitcoin jumped more than 4% through $61,000 on the repricing of rate-hike risk. Two days later, a soft jobs report, 57,000 payrolls against expectations near 100,000 with 74,000 in downward revisions, extended the move, and Bitcoin printed $62,310 on Friday, its strongest level in 10 days, while equities set records and the ETF complex managed its first inflow in 2 weeks.

The checkpoints from here are unusually clean. Flows first: One $221 million day against a month of $4 billion proves nothing, and systematic desks want several consecutive green sessions with breadth across funds, including the largest one, before treating the reversal as a regime change rather than a bounce. Price second: $62,500 is the resistance the whole market is watching, and the 200-week average overhead is the structural line that separates a reclaimed cycle from a broken one. Macro third: the next CPI print either confirms Warsh’s softening or reloads the outflow machine.

And underneath all three sits the quieter metric that started this story: whether the coins keep moving to hands that do not sell on committee schedules. The divergence will close one way or the other, because it always does. Either the ETF sellers return as buyers at higher prices, which is how every prior version of this split resolved, or the whales have mistimed a macro regime that mandate money saw first, which would be a first. $16 billion in 2 weeks says the largest holders in the market have already placed their answer. The exit Wall Street used in June is still open. It is just worth noticing who was standing on the other side of it, catching everything that came through.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Digital asset markets are volatile, and you can lose your entire investment. Always do your own research. Information current as of July 4, 2026.

A massive pile of data stolen from millions of people’s devices has just been added to a major breach database.

The dataset contains 56 million unique email addresses and 124 million unique passwords across hundreds of millions of records, collected from various infostealer malware sources.

Individuals can check if their email appears in the records on Have I Been Pwned to see if they are affected.

The passwords from the collection have also been added to Have I Been Pwned’s searchable password database.

Users can search specific passwords on the site to check if they have been hacked, but the actual passwords are not shown when searching by email.

This aggregated update of compromised credentials underscores the constant threat of malware attacks.

Users are strongly advised to change passwords immediately on every affected account and enable two-factor authentication wherever supported.

Generated Image: Midjourney

FARTCOIN trades at $0.1635 as analysts say Bitcoin’s direction could push price to $0.22 or even $0.50