Swell’s liquid staking tokens are reportedly worth more on paper than they should be. Someone may have nudged the numbers on purpose.
Security researcher Spreek reported on October 22, 2026 that an unidentified actor had reportedly taken control of Swell DAO’s operational hot keys, including the oracle bot that sets exchange rates for swETH and rswETH. The reported 2,513 ETH sitting in Swell contracts is exposed, but it is not a confirmed loss.
What researchers say happened
According to Spreek’s report, the actor had control of the keys as of 14:25 UTC on October 21. From there, the actor allegedly began raising the exchange rates of both tokens.
The increases ran at the maximum the system allows: 1% per hour. Crucially, no new ETH came in to back those higher rates.
By October 22, swETH’s rate had reportedly climbed about 3.0% above 1.133254 ETH. The rswETH rate sat roughly 2.0% above 1.082464 ETH.
Spreek’s report also says four malicious upgrade contracts were deployed. If those upgrades were executed through Swell’s timelock, they could sweep approximately 2,513 ETH from various contracts. The upgrades are loaded, but they have not fired.
Swell’s response and the open questions
The Swell team confirmed it is investigating the suspicious activity. It said no ETH had been withdrawn from or deposited into the affected contracts, and that the protocol remains fully operational.
There is a reported but unconfirmed potential link to the Railway cloud platform, which researchers flagged following a disclosure from that platform. AI tools also partially assisted in documenting the breach, according to the research findings, meaning certain details in the public account have not been independently confirmed.
Why an oracle bot matters
An oracle bot is the piece of automation that reports the token exchange rate on-chain. Whoever controls it effectively controls what the protocol says one token is worth. Hot keys are the private keys kept online so bots can sign routine transactions.
The 1% hourly cap limited how fast the damage could compound, but did not stop the rate from rising.
Markets are not buying the new rates
Decentralized exchange prices have reflected only a fraction of the reported inflation, suggesting possible market dislocations between the on-chain rate and where the tokens actually trade.
Swell’s total value locked stood at approximately $29.41 million on the day of the report. The market cap for rswETH ranged between $27 million and $58 million, depending on the data source. Third-party venues remain unaffected, and no draining of outside platforms has occurred.
What this means for holders and DeFi
For swETH and rswETH holders, the immediate question is the timelock. If Swell’s governance can block or cancel the four queued upgrades before they execute, the approximately 2,513 ETH may never be touched.
Any venue that values these tokens using the on-chain exchange rate, rather than market prices, could theoretically be exposed to collateral that looks healthier than it is. The research notes that outside platforms have not been drained.
If the Railway connection is confirmed, it would point to infrastructure outside the smart contracts themselves as the weak link — a reminder that a protocol’s security extends to every service its bots run on.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Market orders amounting to $20 million on the Hyperliquid platform have reportedly influenced the pricing of papertrade at its launch. Jason Pagoulatos of Delphi Digital highlighted this development, indicating significant early interest in the synthetic-perpetuals protocol. Papertrade operates within Hyperliquid’s HyperEVM ecosystem, providing leveraged exposure to BTC and ETH, and it launched without an external order book or market maker. The protocol’s price determination relies solely on Hyperliquid’s best-bid/offer midpoint, reflecting substantial early activity on the platform.
Key Takeaways The substantial market orders on Hyperliquid suggest strong initial demand for papertrade, indicating confidence in its market performance. Current market pricing appears consistent with a positive outlook for Papertrade’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) reaching above $25 million one day after launch. The increase in market activity on Hyperliquid may indicate elevated interest and participation in the papertrade protocol. What to Watch Observers should monitor announcements from Papertrade regarding token transfers and market participation, which could further influence market sentiment. Key indicators of sustained interest would include official confirmations of PAPER token generation events and liquidity pool formations. Additionally, developments such as major exchange listings or collaborative initiatives with recognizable crypto platforms may provide further insights into papertrade’s market trajectory.
Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h January 1 2028 53% +2.5¢ $1K View market → January 1 2028 50.5% -1¢ $581 View market → January 1 2028 37% 0.0¢ $3K View market → January 1 2028 24% 0.0¢ $1 View market → January 1 2028 32% 0.0¢ $1K View market → January 1 2028 30% 0.0¢ $84 View market → January 1 2028 36.5% -3¢ $7K View market → January 1 2028 17.5% +0.5¢ — View market → Updated 4min ago
Papertrade opened for business on October 10, 2026, offering up to 1,000x leverage on Bitcoin and Ethereum. Within hours, traders found the lever that moved its prices, and it wasn’t on Papertrade at all.
Roughly $20 million in market orders placed on Hyperliquid shifted Papertrade’s ETH quotes by about 10–20 basis points shortly after launch. For a venue whose whole pitch is borrowing someone else’s price, that is an awkward first-day stress test.
How Papertrade prices its trades
Papertrade is a synthetic perpetuals exchange built on HyperEVM, the smart contract layer of Hyperliquid. Instead of discovering prices itself, it reads Hyperliquid’s best bid and offer, known as the BBO, through a precompile. It then fills trades at the midpoint between the two.
Profits and losses settle against a shared USDC liquidity pool rather than against other traders. The platform advertises zero slippage and charges no fees on losing trades.
The first 48 hours
Demand showed up early. Papertrade launched with an initial pre-deposit of $85–137 million, according to the research findings.
The shared USDC liquidity pool that actually backs trader profits was much smaller at launch, at around $5 million. That gap may create risks for traders, since winning positions get paid from that pool.
Then came the market orders. Around $20 million worth hit Hyperliquid within hours of launch, nudging ETH quotes by about 10–20 basis points.
At 1,000x leverage, a move that size can be the difference between a big win and a wiped-out position.
One wallet illustrates the dynamic. It booked profits of approximately $1.28 million on a staggering $3.18 billion of trading volume on Papertrade. Over the same stretch, that wallet executed around $231 million notional of ETH on Hyperliquid. The winning streak did not last: the wallet reportedly suffered substantial losses on subsequent trades.
On October 11, Papertrade publicly addressed what it described as BBO manipulation attempts. The team attributed the problem to open-interest caps that had been set too loosely to meet heavy launch demand. Papertrade began tightening those limits as a precaution.
A risk the team saw coming
None of this was a surprise to the people who built it. The developers flagged manipulation risk in their documentation before launch.
Papertrade also built an accountability layer into its token design. Losses incurred by the liquidity pool are linked to PAPER, the platform’s fair-launched LP fee-claim token. That means holders of PAPER are directly exposed to how well the pool holds up.
What this means for traders and LPs
For liquidity providers, the key number is the gap between the pre-deposit and the roughly $5 million pool at launch. A pool that size facing 1,000x leverage has limited room to absorb a string of well-timed trades.
Tighter open-interest caps are the obvious first fix, and Papertrade has started there. Lower caps shrink the maximum payout from any price nudge, which makes moving Hyperliquid’s book a worse deal.
The sharper question is whether the $3.18 billion volume figure reflects organic interest or a handful of wallets probing the pricing mechanism. One account doing that much volume suggests the second explanation deserves attention.
For Hyperliquid, the episode is a reminder that its order book now carries weight beyond its own venue. When other protocols price off its BBO, a market order there can ripple into positions it never touches directly.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Vivian Nguyen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
The Nasdaq notched its largest decline since June, as US stock markets reassess the sustainability of the AI boom.
U.S. tech stocks plunged as investors grew increasingly concerned that surging spending in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector is unsustainable. The Nasdaq fell 2.6% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day decline since June. Meanwhile, the blue-chip-heavy Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.02%.
Multiple major AI-related stocks declined amid market jitters over tech firms' massive AI investments. Meta (META.O) dropped 7% after the company disclosed it will take on large additional spending commitments going forward. Despite Meta's robust revenue growth, its profit missed Wall Street expectations.
Investor and analyst Navellier noted: "It all traces back to Meta. The issue now is that the market is selling off indiscriminately, throwing the baby out with the bathwater."
Adding to AI spending concerns, NVIDIA’s CEO said the sector lacks sufficient capital to support the growth of so-called "Neoclouds"—new cloud service providers that primarily deliver digital infrastructure to large AI cloud computing firms like Meta and Amazon. Stocks of SpaceX, NVIDIA, and CoreWeave all fell, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plummeted 6.7%.
Against the backdrop of persistent volatility in the AI sector this week, U.S. investors are flocking to the bond market for safety to avoid high-risk assets such as tech stocks. As capital pours into bonds, U.S. Treasury yields have declined sharply.
9 minutes ago
OpenAI is nearing completion of a new funding round, seeking to raise up to $30 billion at a pre-money valuation of $1.25 trillion.
Beating AI Insight News: According to CNBC, artificial intelligence giant OpenAI is nearing the completion of a new funding round, paving the way for a potential initial public offering (IPO). Per people familiar with the matter, OpenAI is seeking to raise up to $30 billion at a pre-money valuation of $1.25 trillion. UAE-based investors are co-leading the round with investment firm Coatue, the sources said. OpenAI told investors on Thursday that it plans to finalize the signing of relevant agreements by the end of next week. However, the final size of the funding round is still being determined. OpenAI is positioning this round as an "opportunistic bridge financing" ahead of a potential IPO, per insiders. OpenAI Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar previously told employees that the company could go public in 2027. Meanwhile, another source revealed that OpenAI is also negotiating a commercial agreement to secure more computing power resources from the UAE. (Source: Golden Ten Data APP)
9 minutes ago
If Bitcoin drops below $80,000, total long position liquidations on major centralized exchanges (CEXs) will hit $692 million.
According to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin falls below $80,000, the total long liquidation intensity on major centralized exchanges (CEXs) will reach $692 million. Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks through $83,000, the total short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will hit $1.025 billion. BlockBeats Note: Liquidation charts do not display the exact number of pending liquidations or the exact value of liquidated contracts. The bars on these charts actually represent the relative importance (intensity) of each liquidation cluster compared to adjacent clusters. Therefore, the liquidation chart shows the degree of impact when the underlying asset’s price reaches a specific level. A higher "liquidation bar" indicates that once the price hits that level, it will trigger a stronger reaction due to liquidity waves.
9 minutes ago
Bitcoin falls below $81,000, with a 4.3% drop in the past 24 hours.
According to HTX market data, Bitcoin fell below $81,000, with a 4.3% decline in the past 24 hours.
9 minutes ago
Pump.fun launches EVM limit orders, supporting take-profit and stop-loss functions.
Meme coin launch platform Pump.fun announced the launch of its EVM limit order functionality, claiming it is the first social trading application to offer take-profit and stop-loss features. The feature currently covers Robinhood, BNB Chain, Base, HyperEVM, Arc, and Ink, with more chains set to be integrated gradually.
9 minutes ago
a16z Frontier has officially confirmed its continued focus on the crypto space, expanding its investment scope to include frontier technology startups.
a16z General Partner Chris Dixon has officially published an announcement renaming a16z crypto to a16z Frontier, expanding its investment scope from crypto startups to a broader set of frontier technology startups—those building new technologies, opening up new markets, and taking years to mature. Dixon emphasized this is a scope expansion, not a pivot; the team will continue investing in crypto and related businesses while advocating for reasonable crypto regulation. Dixon noted that as blockchain gains wider adoption, Wall Street and fintech firms have regularly launched on-chain products, making the "crypto company" label less significant. Companies should be defined by their core business activities, not the technology they employ. His remarks also touch on the ongoing AI wave: beyond using AI to speed up and enhance existing work, focus is on native new use cases emerging from AI, full-stack startups integrating hardware, software and services, and new networks connecting humans and intelligent agents. Dixon believes blockchain will still play a critical role in this space, serving as a fast, low-cost, global, programmable financial infrastructure for the internet. Stablecoins are becoming a standard tool for fintech firms and institutions, and can also support machine-to-machine transactions and the cold start of new networks. He will lead the fund alongside firm founders Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz, as well as general partners Eddy Lazzarin and Guy Wuollet. The operating team will continue supporting current and future portfolio companies in areas including regulation, market entry, talent, marketing and technology R&D.
22 October 2026 | 20:05 Perpetual contracts on gold, oil and stocks traded $55.3 billion in a week, up 26.2%, and Talos says traders used 24/7 markets to trade an AI selloff and earnings.
Key Takeaways 1Traditional-asset perps: 60.3% of Bitcoin perp volume
2SK Hynix perp volume up 75% on Hyperliquid
3SpaceX perp rose 8.5% before U.S. open
4Bitcoin futures open interest up 6% to $47.9B
Talos published the figures in its State of the Market report on October 22, covering trading from October 15 to 21.
An AI selloff sent traders to 24/7 contracts AI and memory stocks sold off across Asian and U.S. markets on Friday, after September inflation of 3.7% and a 10-year Treasury yield above 5% put the cost of debt-funded AI spending in focus. CoreWeave fell about 25% as its bond yields neared 16%. Tech later recovered part of the losses, leaving the Nasdaq 100 down 0.4% for the week Talos covers.
Contracts that trade around the clock drew the activity. Volume in traditional-asset perpetuals rose 26.2% to $55.3 billion, which Talos attributes to perps becoming a way to trade the AI volatility and earnings. Hyperliquid was the fastest-growing futures venue, with volume up 17.4%, while total futures volume tracked by Talos rose 4.8% to $1.03 trillion.
The $55.3 billion equalled 60.3% of Bitcoin perpetual volume over the same week. That compares turnover in the markets Talos tracks; it is not a share of all crypto derivatives trading.
Gold
$11.5B
SpaceX on Binance
$8.9B +35.8%
Crude
$6.6B +25.9%
Those three exposures accounted for about $27 billion, close to half the weekly total. Memory stocks drew the sharpest increases: SK Hynix perp volume on Hyperliquid rose 75% and Micron perp volume on Binance 22% as the sector fell.
SpaceX’s earnings were priced before the opening bell SpaceX reported third-quarter results after the U.S. market closed on Tuesday while the revenue grew 161%.
The perpetuals traded through the night. Binance’s SPCX contract rose 8.5% by Wednesday’s U.S. open, and SpaceX perps on Binance and Hyperliquid traded about $5.6 billion, more than eight times the previous day’s volume. That event figure is separate from Binance’s $8.9 billion weekly total.
Two details show how traders used the contract. Volume peaked in the hour spanning the U.S. open, when the stock itself began trading, so the regular session still drew the heaviest activity. Open interest, the value of positions still outstanding, fell about 8% from the earnings release. Heavy trading alongside fewer open positions suggests traders took positions around the news and then closed them, instead of building long-term exposure.
Holding through that overnight window has its own costs. Funding payments accrue for every period a position stays open, and margin and liquidation rules apply while the stock market is shut, as Talos’s guide to perpetuals infrastructure describes.
Bitcoin stayed calm Gauge Equities Bitcoin Volatility VIX up 21% at Friday’s close Implied volatility index comparatively calm Weekly move Nasdaq 100 down 0.4% Up 3.3%, above $84,000 on Wednesday The equity fear gauge faded quickly, with the VIX gapping back to about 18.4 by Monday. Crypto-linked shares took more of the hit than Bitcoin did: Strategy, Coinbase and Circle fell alongside miners.
Bitcoin positioning grew alongside the traditional-asset activity. Futures open interest rose 6% to $47.9 billion, with funding at 5.4% annualized, a mild bias toward longs. The figures show no sign of traders abandoning Bitcoin to trade stocks and commodities.
What comes next Talos points to two events ahead.
Oct
28
Fed decision. With Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation to the Nasdaq at 0.6, Talos says its resilience faces a test here.
Next
Weeks
Big-tech earnings. Each report is another overnight event for stock perps, and investors will watch whether AI spending is turning into revenue and profit.
Together they will show whether traditional-asset perp volume holds near $55 billion after earnings season or fades with the volatility that accompanied it.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Perpetual derivatives involve funding, margin and liquidation risks. Figures cover Talos’s stated period and tracked markets.
Author
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
22 October 2026 | 21:55 Stock, ETF and index perpetuals traded $201 billion on Hyperliquid in the third quarter, according to Dune, in markets that did not exist on the platform a year ago.
Key Takeaways Onchain tokenized stocks and ETFs: $37 billion traded
Tokenized stock volume up almost 18x since January
OKX-ICE venture filed to list 63 tokenized stocks
Asian names: 24% of equity perp open interest
Dune reported the figures in its October 22 announcement of real-time market data feeds, launched as tokenized U.S. stocks begin moving onchain.
A data feed timed for tokenized U.S. stocks In September, the SEC opened a path for tokenized U.S. stocks to trade onchain, according to Dune. A joint venture between OKX and Intercontinental Exchange has since filed to list 63 of them on XLayer, OKX’s network, and the new feeds support XLayer from the first day of trading.
The pitch to hedge funds, market makers and brokers rests on scale. Spot volume on decentralised exchanges more than doubled last year to $6.8 trillion, and about a quarter of spot crypto trading now happens onchain. The launch covers that market with three products: a spot feed spanning more than 200 venues on 12 chains, including Solana, Ethereum, Base, BNB Chain and XLayer; a perpetuals feed for Hyperliquid and Lighter; and reference data giving every asset, venue and market a stable identifier.
Each trade carries price, size and side and links back to the transaction that settled it. The company’s launch post says trades arrive about a second after the block containing them, unpriced trades are flagged with a reason, and blockchain reorganisations trigger correction messages. Venues are screened for liquidity, pricing integrity and registration, so some onchain activity is left out by design.
Derivatives outtraded tokenized shares about five to one In the third quarter, tokenized stocks and ETFs traded more than $37 billion across every venue Dune tracks. Stock, ETF and index perpetuals on Hyperliquid alone traded $201 billion, roughly five times as much.
Hyperliquid stock, ETF and index perpetuals, Q3
$201B
All tracked onchain tokenized stocks and ETFs, Q3
$37B+
Source: Dune, October 22 announcement.
The ratio compares unlike things. Perpetual volume is notional: leverage lets a position exceed the collateral behind it, and traders who open and close the same contract repeatedly add volume each time. Hyperliquid’s figure counts each match once, not once per side, according to Dune’s perpetuals dataset, but it still measures turnover, not money invested in companies. What the gap does show is which product traders reach for when they want stock exposure onchain.
The two products also give holders very different things.
Instrument What the holder has What keeps it tied to the stock Conventional share An equity interest, with rights set by the share class It is the stock Tokenized stock Whatever entitlement the issuer’s legal structure defines The issuer’s backing and redemption terms Stock perpetual A long or short price position, with no shares delivered Funding payments between longs and shorts Perpetuals also trade around the clock on margin and can list names that are hard to buy directly. Dune’s September 30 report found Asian stocks made up 24% of equity perpetual open interest, much of it in memory stocks.
Outside operators write most of the contracts Most of Hyperliquid’s equity, commodity, index and currency exposure sits in markets launched by outside teams under the HIP-3 framework, according to Dune. Those operators set leverage terms, supply the reference price and take a share of fees. Two contracts named after the same stock can therefore use different price sources and leverage caps, and Dune attaches a written contract specification to each market to tell them apart.
Institutions are reaching these markets through intermediaries as well. In October, Ripple Prime launched swaps referencing Trade.xyz perpetuals on Hyperliquid, giving its clients exposure linked to those markets through a swap with the prime broker.
The weekend gap The price source matters most when the stock market is closed. Hyperliquid’s pricing documentation uses a mark price for margining and liquidation, with the oracle supplying the reference. Over a weekend, the last trade, the oracle and the mark can drift apart, and how each updates depends on the contract’s specification. A Saturday trade on Dune’s feed shows what someone just paid, not necessarily the price used to liquidate positions or where the stock opens on Monday.
Dune’s September report argues that weekend trading reveals how traders are positioned while the underlying market is shut. Its enterprise perpetuals dataset rebuilds Hyperliquid’s order book every minute, so the cost of that positioning, in spread and depth, is now measurable for subscribers.
What to watch next XLayer listings
Whether onchain share volume starts closing the five-to-one gap once the 63 tokenized stocks go live.
Q4 totals
Dune’s fourth-quarter figures for stock perpetuals and tokenized stocks, measured side by side.
Weekend spreads
How far spreads widen and depth thins in HIP-3 equity markets between Friday’s close and Monday’s open.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Perpetual derivatives involve margin, funding and liquidation risks.
Author
Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets - crypto first, then everything else. It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn't fully understand it - so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can't properly understand one without the other. What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it's happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline - price up, price down, here's a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn? He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University - not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That's probably why he hasn't stopped.
Bitcoin and altcoins are once again facing a sell-off. This selling pressure has pushed BTC back below $82,000, while Ethereum has fallen to around $2,400. This has also affected altcoins, and the resulting volatility has reshaped investors’ risk appetite. Transfers made by whale wallets have also attracted attention.
According to Lookonchain, a cryptocurrency analytics platform, an anonymous whale, believed to be an institutional investor, sold Bitcoin and bought ETH. Specifically, the mysterious whale sold 246.25 BTC (20.64M) and then purchased 8.286 ETH (20.64M).
This whale sold a total of 1,917.7 BTC (159M) and bought 64,545 ETH (155M) in the last 11 days.
According to Lookonchain, another whale bought approximately $7.22 million worth of ETH and eight altcoins in the last 24 hours.
According to the data, the altcoins he acquired were listed as follows: “378,129 LIT (approximately $1.4 million), 6.61 million ENA (approximately $1.34 million), 3 million ONDO (approximately $1.34 million), 1.154 million AERO (approximately $948,000), 241.8 million ETH (approximately $591,000), 2.944 million QNT (approximately $589,000), 61.252 million UNI (approximately $443,000), 1.387 million TAO (approximately $368,000), and 43.3 billion PEPE (approximately $195,000).”
According to Lookonchain, whales are accumulating ETH. Whale address “0x4A85” withdrew 10,954 ETH ($26.97 million) from Kraken and staked it after 4 months of inactivity. Whale address “0xdeA6” withdrew 9,000 ETH ($22.42 million) from Binance and deposited it into Aave. Whale address “0xD338” withdrew 4,500 ETH ($11.29 million) from Binance.
Meanwhile, whales continue to accumulate BTC. According to Lookonchain, four more newly created wallets have received 1,127 BTC ($93.45 million) from Wintermute.
Whale wallets are also trading in MAGMA, an altcoin that surged over 70% today. Accordingly, two wallets opened 2x long positions on 1.5M MAGMA (775K) via Aster and currently have $340,000 in unrealized profits.
*This is not investment advice.
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The GENIUS Act drew a hard line between bank deposits and payment stablecoins. SoFi just turned that line into a consumer product with a turnstile in the middle, and the toll is the yield and the insurance.
The most interesting thing about SoFi Earn is not that it exists. It is where it stops.
SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) announced the product, ticker SOFIE, on Oct. 22 via the Business Wire release, billing it as the first and only national bank-issued tokenized deposit for consumers. Those are company claims, like the 15.8 million member figure and the fifth-crypto-product-in-under-a-year line. The innovation underneath the marketing is a turnstile. SoFi has built a product that enforces the legal boundary between a bank deposit and a payment stablecoin, and charges a toll of lost yield and lost insurance at the crossing.
None of this is hidden; the design lives in the fine print, which is where the interesting systems usually do. Each SOFIE is a $1 deposit liability of SoFi Bank, N.A., an OCC-chartered national bank, paying a variable 4.40% APY at launch (rates as of 10/20/26, fees may reduce earnings), with interest accruing daily and paying monthly. The FDIC protection is real but bounded: up to $250,000 per depositor, per insured bank, per ownership category, and the SOFIE balance shares that limit with the customer’s other individual SoFi deposit balances, including Checking and Savings. On the other side sits SOFID, the SoFiUSD payment stablecoin that has been settling SoFi card payments on Mastercard since September: not a deposit, not FDIC or SIPC insured, no yield, intended to be redeemable 1:1 for dollars with reserves primarily in cash, and generally final and irreversible once it moves on chain.
Then the line that makes the product legible, straight from SoFi’s own disclosures: “once you use SOFIE to buy SOFID or another transferable crypto, that amount is no longer SOFIE.” And: “Digital assets except SOFIE are not bank deposits, are not insured by the FDIC or SIPC, involve risk, and may lose value.” The company is not blurring the two asset classes. It is drawing the boundary in bold and putting a counter on it.
Why the boundary exists at all is no mystery to anyone who has followed the rulemaking. Section 4(a)(11) of the GENIUS Act bars payment stablecoin issuers from paying interest or yield to holders, while bank deposits can pay both interest and carry FDIC eligibility. The economics of that split have been visible for a while: issuers hold the float, and holders get nothing, which is the stablecoin monetization gap in one sentence. The OCC’s final rulebook for the regime landed Oct. 21 and takes effect Jan. 18, 2027. The yield line also explains the politics: the CLARITY Act foundered in Congress in large part over a provision that would have let stablecoins pay interest, with banks arguing that threatened financial stability and the crypto side arguing it was protectionism for a business model that pays consumers little. SoFi did not pick a side in that argument. It built both sides of the wall and put a gate in the middle.
SoFi CEO Anthony Noto’s framing, from an interview published alongside the launch: “I say to my team ‘money doesn’t sleep’ doesn’t mean it just moves 24/7, but it also needs to be making money 24/7.” The target customer is the crypto user who parks dollars in stablecoins between trades and treats idle balance as dead balance. Noto called crypto companies “low hanging fruit,” noting they can pay Mastercard and other service providers that also have accounts with SoFi.
Two edge cases finish the picture. Tokenized deposits are not universal payment instruments: money moves only when both sides have a relationship with the issuing bank. Send dollars to someone outside SoFi’s perimeter and you must convert to SOFID or another transferable asset, shedding the insurance and the yield at the door. And the FDIC coverage is shared, not stacked: a large SOFIE balance plus a large Checking and Savings balance sits under one $250,000 limit per ownership category, a point SoFi’s own FAQ is careful about. The habit this breaks is the market’s habit of treating tokenized deposits and stablecoins as one asset class wearing two tickers. This is one balance sheet with two legal natures and a visible border between them.
Rollout is phased to SoFi Crypto members through November 2026, which makes the near-term test obvious: how much of the balance sits on which side of the turnstile once both options are live in one app. If the split works, the playbook for other banks is sitting there: the institution that holds both legal natures in one interface keeps the deposit, keeps the customer, and keeps the toll booth.
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A shareholder for Circle Internet Financial, the company behind the USDC (USDC) stablecoin, filed a lawsuit against US President Donald Trump, his family’s crypto company World Liberty Financial, affiliate entities, and US Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff over a $2 billion deal between a foreign government entity and Binance.
In a Thursday filing in the US District Court for the District of Columbia, Circle shareholder J. Benjamin Greenberg alleged that Trump, Witkoff and World Liberty caused harm to Circle by creating a pathway for foreign governments to funnel money using the Trump family crypto company’s USD1 stablecoin. This “brazen corruption,” according to Greenberg, leaves Circle “unable to compete” in the stablecoin market with its USDC.
Central to the Circle shareholder’s allegations is an Abu Dhabi entity, MGX, tied to the United Arab Emirates royalty, which invested $2 billion into cryptocurrency exchange Binance using the USD1 stablecoin in 2025. The Wall Street Journal reported in February that another investment vehicle backed by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan agreed to purchase a 49% stake in World Liberty for $500 million.
“By accepting hundreds of millions of dollars from a foreign government, the President and his companies have diverted business from [Circle],” alleged Greenberg, adding:
“Plaintiff asks this Court to declare the President’s corrupt acts a violation of the Constitution, to enjoin the brazen corruption alleged below, to order an accounting of the billions in payments from foreign states to the President and his businesses, to require the companies holding them to disgorge the emoluments the President accepted through them, and for compensatory and punitive damages.”Greenberg reported holding 10,000 ordinary shares of Circle as part of his reasons for the lawsuit. He petitioned the court to declare that Trump violated the US Constitution’s Foreign Emoluments Clause through the crypto deals and to issue injunctions preventing the president and Witkoff from pursuing similar financial interests without Congress’ consent.
Zach Witkoff, the son of the Witkoff named in the lawsuit, is a World Liberty co-founder. Trump and his three sons are also co-founders of the crypto venture.
A Circle spokesperson told Cointelegraph that the company “did not initiate, direct, authorize, or participate in the filing,” declining to comment on pending litigation. Spokespeople for World Liberty and the White House did not respond to requests for comments on the lawsuit.
Democrats use ’corruption’ messaging as midterm elections approachThe US president and his family are tied to several crypto ventures that Trump reported netted him $1.4 billion in 2025, while also costing investors about $4.7 billion, according to reporting by the nonprofit consumer advocacy organization Public Citizen. The crypto ventures are just a few of many controversial deals Trump faces scrutiny over, including accepting a jet from the government of Qatar.
With less than two weeks until the 2026 midterms and early voting having already started in some US states, Democrats running for reelection are using Trump’s crypto deals as a wedge issue for voters to support candidates in their party. Last week, Senator Mark Warner released a campaign ad highlighting that the president made ”more than $600 million alone from the crypto memecoin.”
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23 October 2026 | 00:49 A Circle shareholder has sued President Donald Trump over two UAE-linked World Liberty Financial deals, alleging they breached the Constitution and cost Circle stablecoin reserve income.
Greenberg v. Trump · No. 26-cv-03686
Key Takeaways Challenged deal: $500 million for 49% stake MGX settled $2 billion Binance investment in USD1 Circle reserve income: 95% of Q2 revenue Binance invested $100 million in Circle in September J. Benjamin Greenberg, a former Circle software engineer, filed the derivative suit in federal court in Washington on October 22, CNBC reported.
Two UAE deals, one before the inauguration and one after The complaint targets two transactions tied to Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the UAE’s national security adviser. In the first, an entity he backs agreed to pay $500 million for 49% of World Liberty, four days before Trump’s January 2025 inauguration.
In the second, announced in May 2025, MGX, an Abu Dhabi state-backed fund he chairs, used World Liberty’s USD1 stablecoin to settle a $2 billion investment in Binance.
Before inauguration
$500 million
Tahnoon-backed entity agrees to buy 49% of World Liberty.
While in office
$2 billion
MGX pays for its Binance stake in USD1.
The Foreign Emoluments Clause bars federal officeholders from accepting benefits from foreign states without the consent of Congress. The first deal was agreed before Trump took office; the second came while he was president.
Besides Trump and World Liberty, the suit names U.S. official Steve Witkoff, the holding companies WLF Holdco and Stablecoin Holdco, and DT Marks DEFI LLC, which reports describe as the vehicle through which the Trump family collects World Liberty revenue. A spokesperson for Witkoff did not immediately respond to CNBC.
What the complaint says the Trump family gained Greenberg also cites administration decisions he argues helped the Trump family. They include a 2025 Commerce Department approval of advanced Nvidia chip sales to an Abu Dhabi AI company chaired by Tahnoon, and a Treasury bureau’s conditional approval in August 2026 of a World Liberty trust bank co-owned by the Trump family and the UAE government, according to Spectrum News. “He needs to be held accountable,” Greenberg said in a statement.
The defendants reject the allegations. White House spokesperson Anna Kelly told CNBC the case is “frivolous,” described it as a repeat of claims Democrats have made against the president for a decade, and said there are no conflicts of interest. World Liberty spokesperson David Wachsman said the company complies with all U.S. laws and regulations, that the claims are without merit and that it looks forward to resolving them in court.
The injury claim runs through reserve income Greenberg’s case for harm rests on how stablecoin issuers make money. USD1 and USDC are both designed to stay at $1, so their issuers earn interest on the reserves backing tokens in circulation, not gains on the token price. In the second quarter of 2026, Circle reported $668 million in reserve income out of $701 million in total revenue and reserve income, about 95%, at a reserve return rate of 3.48%.
$2 billion × 3.48% ≈ $70 million a year
Gross reserve income at Circle’s Q2 return rate, before distribution costs and revenue sharing. Illustrative only.
The arithmetic gives a sense of scale, not a damages figure. Circle passes much of its income on to partners: distribution, transaction and other costs totalled $412 million in the second quarter. On the USD1 side, World Liberty’s discosures say BitGo and World Liberty affiliates are entitled to interest from the reserve assets, and that a Trump-affiliated entity holds an indirect economic interest in the business.
The complaint alleges that presidential influence steered demand toward USD1 and away from USDC. To prove the injury, Greenberg will have to show that the $2 billion would otherwise have gone to Circle. Binance was already a USDC channel: in December 2024, the exchange agreed to expand USDC’s availability and adopt it for its corporate treasury. That shows a route existed, not that MGX would have taken it.
Circle did not bring the case “
Circle did not initiate, direct, authorize, or participate in the filing.
Circle spokesperson, to CNBC
In a derivative suit, a shareholder sues on the company’s behalf when its board has not acted. Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 23.1 requires the shareholder to describe in detail any request made to the directors, or explain why asking would have been futile. The shareholder must also have owned shares when the challenged transactions occurred, which is where Greenberg’s equity pay as a Circle employee becomes relevant.
Greenberg says he holds about 10,000 Circle shares and did not ask the board to act. He argues a demand would have been futile because Circle’s dependence on regulators and its commercial relationships prevent an impartial decision. Circle’s ties to Binance, the exchange at the centre of the USD1 deal, deepened a month before the filing: on September 22, Circle announced a $100 million equity investment from Binance and a renewed five-year commercial agreement.
Earlier emoluments suits ended without a ruling First-term case Who sued How it ended CREW v. Trump Watchdog group, with restaurant and hotel competitors Rulings vacated and case ordered dismissed as moot, January 2021 D.C. and Maryland v. Trump Attorneys general Rulings vacated and case ordered dismissed as moot, January 2021 Blumenthal v. Trump Members of Congress Lawmakers found to lack standing The Supreme Court ended the first two cases days after Trump left office in 2021, before any financial records were turned over and without deciding whether he had violated the clause. Greenberg’s case also rests on competitive harm, but he sues on behalf of a rival company and measures the harm in lost reserve income.
What Greenberg is asking for He asks the court to declare the deals unconstitutional, bar further violations, order an accounting of foreign-linked benefits and direct private-company defendants to give up gains, to the U.S. Treasury or as the court decides. He also seeks unspecified damages and restitution from the World Liberty defendants. Lawmakers have pursued a separate route, with efforts to bar elected officials from issuing or sponsoring crypto assets.
No court response from the defendants has been reported yet. Before reaching the merits, the court will have to settle a threshold question: whether Greenberg can sue on Circle’s behalf at all.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, financial or investment advice.
Author
Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets - crypto first, then everything else. It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn't fully understand it - so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can't properly understand one without the other. What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it's happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline - price up, price down, here's a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn? He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University - not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That's probably why he hasn't stopped.
Pump.fun has launched Pump Bridge, making the new product the default route for crosschain trades in its app and replacing Relay, the provider it previously shared with rival social trading platform FOMO.
The company claims its new bridge delivers buys 2x faster, reduces transaction errors by 92%, and gives traders more tokens for their money. Pump.fun also says Pump Bridge currently charges no additional bridging fees.
The move follows months of user complaints about slow transactions, failed buys, and poor execution through Relay, according to Pump.fun co-founder Alon.
The platform launched cross-chain swaps in May 2026, entering the market later than competitors. It has now developed its own infrastructure to address the problems it identified.
Pump.fun Reports Faster Buys and Fewer Errors
Pump.fun compared both providers in a randomized test conducted through its app between September 28 and October 7. The test covered crosschain trades involving Robinhood, BNB Chain, Base, Arc, and Ink, with users assigned to different providers several times.
The company claims that Pump Bridge outperformed Relay across speed, reliability, and execution quality. According to the report, the fastest 10% of Pump Bridge buys landed in 1.23 seconds, compared with 2.75 seconds for Relay, while a typical Pump Bridge buy took 1.95 seconds versus almost 4 seconds for Relay.
Pump.fun says 90% of its trades landed before a typical Relay trade. Relay recorded an 11.2% error rate, compared with 0.9% for Pump Bridge, representing a roughly 92% reduction in errors, or about 12 times fewer errors. Pump.fun also says the gap between the spot price and the tokens traders actually received was approximately 17% smaller with Pump Bridge.
The company estimates that someone buying $500 worth of tokens 10 times daily would lose approximately $11,000 more over a year using Relay than Pump Bridge, based on the observed execution differences.
Pump.fun claims to have measured speed across 383,326 timed trades, errors across 416,669 trade outcomes, and execution quality across 35,333 completed $USDC buys under $500.
These figures come from Pump.fun's own testing. Independent verification would help establish whether the results hold across broader trading conditions.
Why Pump.fun Wants Its Own Infrastructure
Pump Bridge represents another step in Pump.fun's effort to control more of its trading stack. The platform launched on Solana in January 2024 with a focus on creating and trading memecoins. In May 2026, it expanded into crosschain swaps, allowing users to trade assets across ecosystems without manually bridging funds.
Earlier today, Pump.fun went further by introducing EVM limit orders, calling it the first time a social trading app has supported limit orders on EVM-based chains. In a post, Pump.fun co-founder Alon reiterated that the launchpad is “dedicated to giving you the best possible onchain trading experience, no matter what it takes.”
Building its own bridge gives Pump.fun greater control over transaction routing, execution quality, and future product improvements. It also reduces the platform's reliance on an external provider for a core part of the trading experience.
It is not the first time the memecoin launchpad has built out its own infrastructure. Pump.fun launched PumpSwap, its own automated market maker, in March 2025. Its launch brought token migrations and liquidity deployment in-house, reducing the platform's dependence on Raydium for that part of its ecosystem.
What This Means for Traders
For traders, fewer failed transactions and better execution could reduce the friction involved in buying assets across chains. However, the reported improvements still require independent validation, and the absence of additional bridging fees does not eliminate other trading costs or price slippage.
The competitive implications are more immediate. Pump.fun now directly controls a service that FOMO still obtains through Relay, giving it more freedom to optimize execution and introduce upgrades.
Pump.fun says it will continue working to reduce transaction times toward the fastest theoretical limit of approximately 1.1 seconds.
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Saudi Arabia-backed Gulf International Bank (UK) reveals multimillion-dollar investment in the world's largest corporate Bitcoin holder.
As per a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Form 13F filing, Gulf International Bank (UK), based in London, reported having 19,842 shares of Strategy at the end of September.
As of the third quarter, Gulf International Bank's shares in Strategy were worth about $3.04 million, though the current market estimates the value to be around $2.9 million.
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This is not the first investment in Bitcoin by the bank. In fact, Gulf International Bank (UK) has had a Strategy holding since 2024.
In its recent filing, Gulf International Bank (UK) states that it did not adjust its Strategy holding in the third quarter of 2026.
Gulf International Bank's previous Bitcoin exposureGulf International Bank has experienced some drastic swings in terms of its Strategy holdings over the last two years.
The first Strategy holding the bank reported was in the second quarter of 2024. At the time, the bank held 1,285 shares of MicroStrategy worth about $1.77 million.
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However, that would have been 12,850 shares after MicroStrategy's 10-for-1 stock split in August 2024.
In June 2025, Gulf International Bank (UK) owned 12,774 shares in Strategy worth about $5.16 million.
This is the highest valuation for Gulf International Bank's Strategy holding at the end of a quarter that the bank has reported so far.
By the end of 2025, Gulf International Bank had 13,249 shares of Strategy, which were worth about $2.01 million.
In the first quarter of 2026, the bank significantly increased its Strategy holdings.
The bank added 6,958 shares, bringing the total Strategy holding to 20,207 shares. This was about a 53% increase in Strategy holdings.
However, in the second quarter, the bank sold off 365 shares, resulting in a Strategy holding of 19,842 shares. These shares were worth about $1.72 million by the end of June.
And as the recent filing indicates, the Strategy holding did not change in the third quarter in terms of shares.
Saudi Arabia's indirect Bitcoin exposureGulf International Bank is closely linked to the Saudi government.
The sovereign wealth fund of Saudi Arabia, the Public Investment Fund (PIF), owns 97.2% of
So, in essence, this is indirect Bitcoin exposure that Gulf International Bank is getting through owning shares in Strategy, not direct Bitcoin.
Strategy's Executive Chairman Michael Saylor's firm is the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.
With its latest purchase (reported on Oct. 19), the company's cryptocurrency holdings are now 848,517 BTC.
Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen assessed the current outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) price and warned investors about a key support zone. Cowen suggested that if Bitcoin continues to stay below the $83,000 level, the price could fall to the mid-$70,000s.
In his latest analysis published on his YouTube channel, Cowen drew attention to Bitcoin’s bull market support band, noting that a significant portion of other major financial assets have tested this region, but Bitcoin has not yet experienced a similar correction.
According to the analyst, the Nasdaq index retreated to a bull market support band, while the S&P 500 approached this area. The TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 indices, representing the cryptocurrency market excluding Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin, tested their 21-week exponential moving averages (EMA).
Cowen stated that Bitcoin’s relative resilience so far demonstrates its strength in the market, arguing that this also explains the rise in Bitcoin dominance. The analyst believes that expectations of tightening monetary policy could shift investors from altcoins to relatively lower-risk crypto assets like Bitcoin.
Critical Level for Bitcoin: $83,000 Cowen said that the technical outlook needs to be evaluated more carefully after Bitcoin fell back below $83,000.
According to the analyst, a daily close below Bitcoin’s 50-day moving average would be the first significant signal of a pullback towards the 21-week EMA.
Cowen stated that the support zone in question is between the beginning and the middle of $70,000, and offered the following assessment:
“If we lose the $83,000 level, the next significant stop will be the bull market support band. This corresponds to the early to mid-$70,000 range. Below that, a retest of the lows of the previous sideways movement range would come into play.”
The renowned analyst also stated that defending the bullish scenario would become difficult if Bitcoin were to close below $83,000 for a second week. He added that for buyers to regain strength following such a development, the bull market support band would need to be maintained.
Cowen Warns of False Price Rise Cowen also touched upon some past bear markets in the Bitcoin market, noting that peaks formed without strong enthusiasm can lead to different outcomes.
According to the analyst, such peaks are sometimes followed by shorter bear markets similar to the one in 2019, while other times longer periods of decline occur with upward movements that mislead investors.
Cowen, pointing to the fraudulent breakouts seen particularly in 2015 and 2022, argued that a similar risk should not be ignored in the current market.
On the other hand, the analyst stated that Bitcoin’s technical outlook is not entirely negative, but macroeconomic conditions are making the rise more difficult.
Cowen stated that a potential correction in the US stock market could also drag Bitcoin down, adding that price movements before and after the US midterm elections on November 3rd should be closely monitored.
*This is not investment advice.
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Chinese authorities are working to seize nearly 62,000 bitcoins — worth around $5 billion at today’s prices — linked to one of the country’s largest-ever fraud cases.
Prosecutors allege that Qian Zhimin, the alleged controller of Tianjin Lantian Gerui Electronic Technology, recruited associates to sell fake wealth management products nationwide from 2014 to 2017 without financial regulatory approval, promising guaranteed returns to investors, according to a report last week from Shanghai’s The Paper.
The scheme raised some RMB 40.3 billion ($2.8 billion). Qian allegedly used investors’ cash to pay off earlier participants — Ponzi-style — while channeling funds into the bitcoin holdings, property, cars, and jewelry. Little of the money went toward legitimate business operations.
In July 2017, as the scheme unraveled, Qian fled to the UK carrying computers holding the bitcoin wallets. British authorities later seized the crypto assets and other property, including roughly 61,900 BTC along with cash, jewelry, and other cryptocurrencies.
The case took a significant turn recently when the UK High Court ruled that Chinese law — not UK law — applies to ownership disputes over the seized bitcoin.
The coins have appreciated enormously since 2017, and the applicable law determines whether victims share in those gains. The UK’s Crown Prosecution Service says victims may recover losses through China’s compensation mechanism, but representatives from Fieldfisher law firm, acting for some victims, are considering an appeal. Further hearings will determine whether victims can prove their entitlement to the assets.
Meanwhile, the Second Intermediate People’s Court of Tianjin announced it accepted the prosecution’s application on September 28 to confiscate Qian’s illicit assets.
Victims can register to participate in asset recovery proceedings through a WeChat platform, with a six-month notice period before the formal trial begins.
China has some of the world’s strictest rules in regulating crypto. Its government banned digital asset trading and bitcoin mining back in 2021.
Mathew Di Salvo
Mathew is a reporter who's covered the space since 2019, reporting on everything from Salvadoran president Nayib Bukele's Bitcoin bet to crypto exchange FTX's bankruptcy.
Chinese prosecutors have applied to seize roughly 61,896 Bitcoin and associated digital assets currently held by British authorities, linking them to a large-scale fundraising fraud.
The Tianjin No. 2 Intermediate People’s Court accepted the application in late September and issued a public notice in mid-October, opening a six-month window for victims and other interested parties to join the proceedings. After that period, the court is expected to hear the case.
The matter centers on Qian Zhimin (also known as Zhimin Qian or Yadi Zhang), who allegedly controlled Tianjin Lantian Gerui Electronic Technology.
Between 2014 and 2017, the company marketed unlicensed wealth-management products across China, promising principal protection and high returns.
Prosecutors say the scheme collected more than 40.38 billion yuan from over 102,000 investors, yet most of the funds were not deployed in legitimate business activity.
Instead, money went toward earlier investor payouts, fictitious projects, Bitcoin purchases, real estate, vehicles, and jewelry. Investor losses are estimated at nearly 20 billion yuan.
Qian fled China in July 2017 carrying computers that held cryptocurrency wallets and eventually reached the United Kingdom.
British police later seized the assets, including the Bitcoin haul, substantial quantities of Bitcoin Cash, Bitcoin Gold, Bitcoin SV, millions of XRP tokens, tens of millions of Dogecoin (some of which UK authorities have already converted and placed in an interest-bearing account), plus cash in multiple currencies, jewelry, and investment holdings.
In the UK, Qian pleaded guilty to acquiring and possessing criminal property and received an 11-year, 8-month prison sentence in November 2025.
A recent High Court ruling in London determined that Chinese law, rather than English law, governs victims’ substantive property claims to the seized Bitcoin.
The decision does not yet settle ultimate ownership or distribution; further hearings will examine the content of Chinese law.
Victims’ representatives have indicated they will seek to appeal.
Chinese prosecutors, for their part, argue the assets constitute illegal gains that should be recovered, with priority given to compensating victims before any residual amounts are confiscated.
This cross-border dispute unfolds against a wider shift in how governments treat Bitcoin.
In March 2025, the United States established a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve by executive order.
The reserve is capitalized exclusively with Bitcoin that has been finally forfeited in criminal or civil proceedings and is directed to be held rather than sold, treating the asset as a long-term national reserve akin to digital gold. On-chain tracking places U.S. government-controlled holdings near 328,000 BTC, the largest known sovereign position.
China already ranks second with an estimated 190,000 BTC derived primarily from earlier seizures, while the United Kingdom’s holdings of roughly 61,000 BTC place it third.Most large sovereign stacks still originate from law-enforcement actions rather than open-market purchases.
El Salvador remains a notable exception, having pursued deliberate accumulation and once making Bitcoin legal tender, though international lending conditions have complicated its strategy.
As Bitcoin’s fixed supply and global portability become clearer, additional countries may move from incidental holdings to formalized reserve policies in the coming years—whether by retaining seized coins, exploring budget-neutral acquisition methods, or studying the U.S. model. The outcome of the UK-China case could influence how states reconcile victim restitution with the strategic value of the assets themselves.
Gulf International Bank (UK), backed by Saudi Arabia and based in London, disclosed a significant investment in MicroStrategy, the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder, according to its latest filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Gulf International Bank reported ownership of 19,842 shares in MicroStrategy as of the third quarter, a position valued at approximately $2.9 million at current market prices.
MicroStrategy Exposure and Saudi ConnectionMicroStrategy, led by Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, is widely recognized for holding the largest corporate cache of Bitcoin, currently amounting to 848,517 BTC following its most recent purchase on October 19. By investing in MicroStrategy, Gulf International Bank indirectly obtains exposure to Bitcoin’s price movements through equity, rather than direct cryptocurrency ownership.
The investment links Saudi interests to the Bitcoin market, since the Public Investment Fund (PIF), Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, owns 97.2% of Gulf International Bank. As reported, this establishes an indirect channel through which Saudi funding gains exposure to the digital asset sector.
Investment Fluctuations Over TimeGulf International Bank’s involvement in MicroStrategy has seen considerable shifts over the past two years. The bank first reported holding MicroStrategy shares in the second quarter of 2024, initiating with 1,285 shares valued at about $1.77 million. After MicroStrategy executed a 10-for-1 stock split in August 2024, this stake translated into 12,850 shares.
By June 2025, the bank’s holding rose to 12,774 shares, reaching a valuation of $5.16 million—its highest reported quarterly stake in the company. At the end of 2025, Gulf International Bank expanded its position to 13,249 shares, valued at approximately $2.01 million. This pattern of increased investment marked an expanding exposure to MicroStrategy’s fortunes and, by extension, to Bitcoin’s price dynamics.
In the first quarter of 2026, Gulf International Bank made a substantial move, increasing its MicroStrategy holdings by 6,958 shares to reach 20,207 shares in total—a 53% increase within that period. However, the second quarter saw a trim of 365 shares, bringing the holding down to 19,842 shares, which were then worth about $1.72 million as of June.
Gulf International Bank (UK), having maintained its position through the third quarter, continues to align its portfolio with the digital asset market via substantial equity in MicroStrategy, strengthening its indirect Bitcoin exposure through this linkage.
The Broader Context: Monitoring Market MovementsAs institutional investors like Gulf International Bank navigate volatile asset classes, tracking technical patterns, timing, and portfolio adjustments has become essential. Market observers emphasize not only monitoring asset prices but also closely watching the strategies investors employ in selecting and timing their positions.
In the rapidly evolving meme token market, a viral trend can quickly attract millions of dollars in trading activity. For instance, Fomo App data highlights a recent trade in the “Niu Lai” token, which transformed a $99 investment into roughly $370,000—illustrating the speed at which these opportunities can develop. Being able to follow both price movements and the trading behaviors of leading investors is critical. Fomo App offers a unified platform where users can discover new tokens, receive real-time trade notifications, and view investor rankings, providing tools to track the dynamic meme token environment alongside investor activity.
While Gulf International Bank continues to hold its MicroStrategy shares, the decision to maintain rather than increase or decrease holdings in the third quarter reflects a measured approach amid shifting cryptocurrency market dynamics. The institution’s evolving portfolio aligns with broader trends of institutional engagement with digital assets through strategic equity positions.
Bitcoin approaches a decisive threshold as markets await new American inflation indicators. After several positive sessions, capital inflows into spot ETFs have sharply slowed, reducing support for prices. On Friday, PMI indices and household inflation forecasts could change investor expectations before the next Federal Reserve meeting. Maintaining the 80,000 dollar level will therefore also depend on these economic signals.
In Brief
Bitcoin defends the 80,000 dollars ahead of new American inflation data.
Net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs drop 95.6% between October 19 and 20.
Glassnode estimates the average cost basis of spot ETFs around 81,500 dollars.
The 85,000 to 87,500 dollar zone concentrates significant potential selling pressure.
Inflation figures and the Fed decision could determine the next market direction.
Bitcoin Defends 80,000 Dollars Against Institutional Acquisition Costs
The price of bitcoin moves around 80,000 dollars, a level that draws institutional investors’ attention. According to the Glassnode report published on October 21, this threshold approaches the average acquisition costs of several holder categories. American spot ETFs display an estimated cost basis of 81,500 dollars. Meanwhile, treasuries of companies followed by Glassnode hold their digital assets at an average cost close to 80,200 dollars.
The massive sell-off on October 15 brought the market near this reference zone. The price closed around 80,100 dollars after briefly falling below the ETFs’ estimated cost basis. This movement tested buyers’ ability to defend their positions. However, the market recovered to a level close to institutional acquisition costs, without confirming a lasting recovery.
Binance’s order book data provide another perspective on this battle. The main cluster of spot buy orders was concentrated around 80,000 dollars before the sharp drop. Selling pressure absorbed much of it, but new orders appeared on October 20. Their volume remains lower than before the drop, which limits the scope of this support.
It is also necessary to distinguish acquisition costs from orders displayed on platforms. An ETF’s cost basis corresponds to the average cost of its assets, while a company’s reflects its past purchases. However, orders in an order book can disappear at any moment. Maintaining the price above 80,000 dollars does not guarantee that buyers will sustainably defend this zone.
Bitcoin ETF Flows Slow Before Inflation Data
Capital inflows into American spot ETFs have sharply lost momentum. According to Farside Investors data, these products recorded 526.7 million dollars in net inflows on October 19. On the following day, inflows remained positive but dropped to only 23.2 million dollars. This decrease represents a 95.6% decline in one session and highlights the recent demand slowdown.
Over these two days, ETFs still attracted 549.9 million dollars in total. Thus, it is not an entirely negative trend, as both sessions recorded net inflows. However, this development shows new inflows are no longer growing at the same pace. For bitcoin, the question is now whether institutional buyers will continue to support prices despite this loss of momentum.
Glassnode also notes a decrease in activity over a longer period. The average trading volume on spot ETFs, calculated over 30 days, now represents less than a quarter of its level observed a year earlier. Corporate purchases of government bonds since June have remained below 10% of the peak reached in November 2024. These figures reflect a broader slowdown in some institutional investment activities.
This development occurs as several American economic indicators are due for release. On Thursday, an auction of inflation-linked Treasury securities, amounting to 26 billion dollars and maturing in five years, will assess demand for these bonds. On Friday, preliminary PMI indices and final inflation forecasts from the University of Michigan will complement available data. These events could shift rate expectations and influence flows into risky assets.
American Inflation Could Change Market Expectations
Recent inflation data show that price pressures remain significant. The consumer price index rose 3.7% year-on-year in September. Moreover, the preliminary University of Michigan survey places one-year inflation expectations at 4.7%. Longer-term forecasts reach 3.5%, maintaining investors’ concerns regarding price trends.
Upcoming releases will verify whether these expectations evolve. Friday’s preliminary PMI indices, expected at 9:45 a.m., will provide indications on prices charged by companies. The final Michigan survey, scheduled at 10 a.m., will clarify household expectations. If these data exceed previous estimates, markets could anticipate more persistent inflationary pressures and reassess their monetary outlook.
The Federal Reserve’s policy is another key element in this sequence. In September, the American central bank set its target rate range between 3.75% and 4%. According to a Reuters survey, 94 out of 100 economists surveyed expect rates to hold at the October 28 meeting. Even without immediate changes, the new data could modify expectations about future decisions.
Bond yields and the dollar could then react to the releases. According to Glassnode, the two-year U.S. bond yield approached 4.8% on October 20, after rising by more than one percentage point since early 2026. High inflation numbers could intensify this pressure. Conversely, more moderate indicators could ease yields and provide a more favorable environment for risky assets.
Resistance and Support Levels Clarify Possible Scenarios
Above 80,000 dollars, several levels could slow price advances. Glassnode identifies an excess supply zone between 85,000 and 87,500 dollars. Investors who acquired their assets six to twelve months ago have an average price close to 86,700 dollars. Moreover, potential liquidations on futures markets concentrate between 85,000 and 87,000 dollars, reinforcing the importance of this zone.
With improved economic data, the market could attempt to reach this upper range. If Michigan inflation expectations remain stable or decrease and PMI price components retreat, yields could lose momentum. A drop in the two-year yield, accompanied by a stable or weakening dollar, would strengthen this scenario. Bitcoin could then test the 85,000 to 87,500 dollar zone, provided demand follows.
Crossing 87,500 dollars with higher volumes and repeated ETF inflows would be an additional signal. It would indicate buyers absorb some of the supply above institutional cost bases. However, a price increase alone would not confirm this move. Persistent inflows and bond market reactions would remain decisive factors.
Conversely, higher inflation expectations could strengthen selling pressure. If PMI prices rise, yields and the dollar increase, and bitcoin ETFs register net outflows, buyers could struggle more to defend the 80,000 dollar level. A close below this threshold would bring the liquidation zone near 79,600 dollars to the forefront. The market’s real average, estimated at 77,600 dollars, would then constitute another reference level.
The Fed Meeting Approaches Amid a Still Fragile Market
Market reactions will also depend on how economic data interrelate. A less well-received five-year TIPS auction could push real yields higher, even if inflation expectations remain stable. This is why the evolution of the five-year real yield and the equilibrium inflation rate deserve special attention. Their combination will help better understand investor reactions before Friday’s releases.
The scenario remains conditional, as some recent indicators have sent different signals. On October 15, a favorable producer price report coincided with a decline in the ten-year yield to 5.087%. The dollar also retreated after reaching an 18-month high. This episode reminds that positive economic data can quickly change expectations and influence financial conditions.
In the coming days, the market’s ability to maintain current levels will depend on several factors. More regular inflows into bitcoin ETFs, combined with lower yields, could facilitate a return to higher resistance levels. Conversely, persistent inflation and tightening financial conditions could weaken demand. The Fed meeting on October 28 will then shed new light on monetary perspectives.
Ultimately, Bitcoin remains close to the acquisition costs of several institutional investors, but this support is not enough to confirm a recovery. Friday’s inflation data will verify if demand can absorb supply between 85,000 and 87,500 dollars. If 80,000 dollars breaks, levels of 79,600 and then 77,600 dollars could regain prominence. The reaction of yields, the dollar, and ETFs will determine the next movement before the Fed decision.
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Ghiles A.
Journaliste et rédacteur web passionné par l’univers des cryptomonnaies et des technologies Web3. J’y traite les dernières tendances et actualités afin de proposer un contenu de haute qualité à un large public du secteur.
Bitcoin has fallen below $81,000 before recovering some ground, bringing $80,000 back into focus as Benjamin Cowen warns that a daily close below its 50-day moving average could send prices toward the bull market support band.
Summary
Bitcoin’s daily low fell below $81,000, with CoinGecko later recording a recovery toward $81,300. Cowen tied his downside warning to a daily close below the 50-day simple moving average. Mr. Wall Street said he has buy orders between $72,000 and $76,000. A Polymarket screenshot showed 3% odds of Bitcoin reaching $130,000 during 2026. CoinGecko showed Bitcoin fell to $80,989 after reaching $84,788 over the past 24 hours. BTC later recovered to $81,305, still down 3.5% on the day.
Bitcoin was then around 1.6% above $80,000, while its daily low was just $989 above that level.
Ether remained below $2,400 in CoinGecko’s separate snapshot. The provider recorded ETH at $2,380.48, down 4.4% over 24 hours, compared with Bitcoin’s smaller percentage decline. Both prices had recovered from the earlier figures accompanying the initial market update.
Bitcoin’s daily close is Cowen’s downside trigger In an Oct. 22 X post, Benjamin Cowen tied his warning to Bitcoin’s closing price relative to the 50-day simple moving average.
“Bitcoin getting a daily close below the 50D SMA likely sends it to the bull market support band.”
His accompanying chart showed Bitcoin near $81,098 while the daily candle was still trading. The post therefore described a possible next move from an unfinished session, without confirming a completed breakdown.
Cowen said Ethereum, Strategy shares, the Nasdaq and the TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 crypto market indexes were already at their respective bull market support bands. He grouped several markets into the same technical assessment but did not provide separate numerical targets for them.
Earlier in October, crypto.news previously reported analyst warnings around the $82,000–$82,500 region. Bitget Wallet research lead Lacie Zhang had warned that losing that area could accelerate a decline toward $80,000.
The Oct. 16 coverage placed Bitcoin’s 50-day moving average at $81,279 at that time. Its chart reading is a historical reference, separate from the average Cowen was watching six days later.
Mr. Wall Street keeps buy orders below the market A separate Oct. 22 post from the trader known as Mr. Wall Street described a more optimistic longer-term position despite the decline.
The trader said he was holding Bitcoin bought between $60,000 and $64,000 while describing the recent trading range as $80,000–$87,000. His stated purchase prices and holdings were self-reported.
He said he had buy orders between $72,000 and $76,000, conditional on the market reaching those levels. The post did not say that those orders had executed.
Using CoinGecko’s later $81,305.23 quote as the reference, the upper end of that buying range sat approximately 6.5% below the market. The lower end was around 11.4% below it.
Mr. Wall Street named $93,000 as his first upside target but gave no fixed date for reaching it. That target would require a gain of approximately 14.4% from the same reference price.
#BTC:
I am holding all the Bitcoin I bought at 60-64k while we trade in this boring 80-87k range. I have buy orders set at 72-76k if market makers are generous enough to allow such an opportunity. First target of $93,000 is coming when you least expect it.. pic.twitter.com/HE2O0dFvMI
— Mr. Wall Street (@mrofwallstreet) October 22, 2026 His chart showed several horizontal price zones above and below Bitcoin, alongside planned spot purchases beneath the current range. The stated orders describe his intended positioning; the screenshot does not independently establish buying demand from other traders at those prices.
Earlier rebounds had left resistance unresolved Bitcoin had already struggled to hold a recovery above $83,000 earlier in the week.
During the Oct. 20 stock rebound, Bitcoin briefly climbed above that level before retreating toward $82,600. The same coverage recorded gains in U.S. equities as oil prices eased.
Trader Ardi’s earlier assessment identified $84,200 as the threshold Bitcoin needed to clear to break its local bearish structure. He said he would consider long positions toward the top of the range after a move above that threshold.
U.S. fund demand had weakened during an earlier part of October. An Oct. 12 account of Bitcoin’s stalled recovery attempts cited Bitfinex Alpha figures showing weekly spot Bitcoin ETF inflows falling from approximately $2.39 billion in late September to $241.1 million for the period ending Oct. 2.
Bitfinex attributed repeated failures near $87,000 partly to insufficient spot buying despite activity in futures markets. The historical figures describe that earlier period and do not establish the cause of the Oct. 22 decline.
The 3% prediction concerns a $130,000 contract The Kobeissi Letter pointed to weakening expectations for a much larger recovery in another Oct. 22 post.
Its screenshot displayed a Polymarket contract asking whether Bitcoin would hit $130,000 in 2026, with a displayed probability of 3%.
BREAKING: The market now sees a new low 3% chance of Bitcoin hitting a fresh record high this year.
In October 2025, Bitcoin was trading at $108,000, currently down -25% year-over-year.
Crypto is in need of its next catalyst. pic.twitter.com/rjfnvkcMuQ
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 22, 2026 The post described that reading as the chance of a fresh record high this year. However, the visible contract specified $130,000, so the screenshot directly supports the narrower price threshold.
The displayed market showed approximately $77.6 million in volume and a Dec. 31, 2026 end date.
The Blockchain Association sent a letter to Senate and House leadership on Thursday asking Congress to pass bipartisan digital asset tax legislation, the group’s first broad push on taxes since the Clarity Act failed in the Senate last month.
The letter, signed by Chief Policy Officer Lindsay Fraser and addressed to Majority Leader John Thune, Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, Speaker Mike Johnson and Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, argues that the rules governing the 67 million Americans who hold digital assets “were written for a different era.”
The group paired it with a new site, TaxClarityforAmerica.com, built for constituents to contact their representatives.
The asks will sound familiar to anyone who has followed the tax fight: a de minimis exemption for small transactions, cash treatment for stablecoins, tax on mining and staking rewards at sale instead of receipt, broker reporting limited to firms that hold customer assets, and wash sale rules that close loss harvesting without catching everyday transactions.
The letter adds a safe harbor for foreign traders on U.S. exchanges, a mark-to-market election, and R&D credit eligibility for blockchain development. What the letter leaves out is an endorsement. Two bills are somewhat in play, and the association named neither.
Where the tax bills stand The House moved first. One day after the Clarity Act failed in the Senate, the Ways and Means Committee approved the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act, H.R. 10357, a 114-page package from Chairman Jason Smith (R-MO). It exempts network fees under $10 from capital gains reporting, with a carve-out for taxpayers who made more than 5,000 transfers in the prior year, and extends wash sale and constructive sale rules to digital assets. Qualified dollar stablecoins are exempt from the wash sale rule.
The package left out the provision the industry wanted most. Rep. Mike Carey’s Tax Clarity for Mining and Staking Act, H.R. 9175, which would have let miners and stakers defer tax until they sell, was in an early discussion draft and gone from the text the committee released on September 14. Instead the bill classifies validation rewards as ordinary income, taxable on receipt. Rep. Steven Horsford (D-NV), who had proposed capping the deferral at five years, voted for the package and said it leaves the question open for further work.
The Blockchain Association, Crypto Council for Innovation and Digital Chamber had asked the committee in June to pass that bill without changes. The committee did the opposite.
The Senate has its own version. Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT) introduced the ADAPT Act on September 30 with Sens. Cynthia Lummis, Bernie Moreno and Tim Scott as cosponsors. It exempts purchases made with GENIUS Act stablecoins from gain or loss, sets the same $10 fee threshold, and applies wash sale rules with grandfathering for existing holdings and exemptions for mining and staking rewards. It sits in committee.
Lummis’s earlier bill, S. 2207, with a $300 per-transaction de minimis exemption capped at $5,000 a year, has been in the Finance Committee since June 2025.
Neither chamber’s bill contains the exemption for small bitcoin purchases that the industry made a centerpiece at Bitcoin 2026. The House bill’s $10 threshold covers fees, not purchases. The Senate bill’s spending exemption covers stablecoins, not bitcoin.
The Bitcoin Policy Institute and others have argued that any de minimis rule should cover bitcoin, and Thursday’s letter asks for a “meaningful” exemption without naming a figure.
Awkward timing Congress is in recess until after the November 3 midterms. When members return, they will have a lame-duck session measured in weeks, and crypto taxes compete with government funding and whatever else leadership decides to clear before the 119th Congress ends.
Lummis, the Senate’s loudest voice on digital asset taxes, retires in January 2027.
The Clarity Act’s collapse shapes all of this. The market structure bill passed the House 294-134 in July 2025, then stalled in the Senate for more than a year while the banking lobby fought the crypto industry over stablecoin yield and Democrats pressed for ethics language aimed at the Trump family’s crypto ventures.
The cloture vote on September 15 failed 49-50. No Democrat crossed over, and Republicans Susan Collins, Josh Hawley and Jerry Moran voted no. Sen. Thom Tillis switched his vote so he could file a motion to reconsider, which keeps the bill alive on paper and little more.
With market structure off the table, the industry has shifted its lobbying to what might move. Tax is the obvious candidate: the House package cleared committee with bipartisan votes, and the wash sale provisions raise revenue, which gives tax writers a reason to attach them to a larger vehicle. Punchbowl News reported Thursday that the association’s refusal to back either bill signals the industry wants more than what Congress has produced.
Regulators keep filling the gap in the meantime. The OCC issued its final GENIUS Act rule on Wednesday, and the SEC and CFTC have been setting market structure policy through rulemaking and enforcement in the absence of a statute.
Micah Zimmerman
Micah first discovered Bitcoin in 2018 but remained a skeptic on the sidelines for too long. Since 2021, he has covered crypto and business and now works as a news reporter for Bitcoin Magazine, based in North Carolina.
Chinese authorities have started legal proceedings to confiscate nearly 62,000 bitcoins, valued at approximately $5 billion, from an individual accused of masterminding one of China’s largest financial frauds.
Major investment fraud and crypto conversionProsecutors have named Qian Zhimin, controller of the technology firm Tianjin Lantian Gerui Electronic Technology, as the main suspect behind the scheme. From 2014 to 2017, Qian and associates reportedly sold fraudulent wealth management products to investors nationwide, promising guaranteed returns with no regulatory approval.
Authorities report the operation raised roughly 40.3 billion yuan, or $2.8 billion, during this period. Rather than pursuing legitimate business activity, Qian allegedly used investor funds to pay off earlier participants in a Ponzi-like system. Much of the money was converted into bitcoin holdings, real estate, cars, and jewelry.
Prosecutors said that the fraud involved promising investors high returns and moving their funds into assets such as bitcoin, luxury cars, real estate, and jewelry, with little money directed towards legitimate business uses.
By July 2017, as the operation unraveled, Qian fled to the United Kingdom, reportedly bringing computers containing access to the bitcoin wallets.
Bitcoin seized in UK, court battle over controlBritish authorities later confiscated roughly 61,900 bitcoin—along with other cryptocurrencies, cash, and valuables—believed to be linked to Qian’s activities. The UK High Court recently determined that Chinese law, rather than UK jurisdiction, will govern any disputes over ownership of the seized bitcoins.
Since the 2017 crackdown, the value of the confiscated bitcoin has increased dramatically, making the eventual allocation of the coins to victims a critical legal battle. The UK’s Crown Prosecution Service has said that impacted investors may seek compensation under China’s asset recovery system, but Fieldfisher, a London law firm representing some victims, is reportedly considering an appeal of the court’s decision. Upcoming hearings are scheduled to determine whether victims can substantiate their claims to these crypto assets.
The Second Intermediate People’s Court of Tianjin, a mid-level court in the major Chinese city, has officially accepted the prosecution’s application as of September 28 to confiscate Qian’s illicit assets.
Mini dictionary: Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) — The CPS is the principal public agency in England and Wales responsible for conducting criminal prosecutions. It determines charges in serious criminal cases and represents the state in court proceedings.
AssetQuantityEstimated Value (2024)Bitcoin (BTC)61,900~$5 billionYuan Raised40.3 billion~$2.8 billionOther AssetsCash, property, cars, jewelryUndisclosedAsset recovery process and crypto regulations in ChinaVictims seeking restitution may now register on a designated WeChat platform, with a six-month notice period established ahead of the upcoming recovery trial. This process aims to ensure victims can participate in the distribution of any recovered assets.
China enforces some of the world’s tightest controls over cryptocurrency activity. In 2021, the Chinese government instituted a comprehensive ban on digital asset trading and bitcoin mining, positioning itself firmly against the use of crypto within its borders.
Victims will be able to apply through an official platform during a designated period before the court determines how assets will be distributed.
Emily Nicolle_ _takes a look at how crypto and prediction markets are becoming increasingly intertwined.
Addictive cycle
While Bitcoin appears to have fallen into an autumnal slumber, another corner of the speculative trading arena is thriving. Prediction-market volumes are soaring to new heights, and even with token prices rangebound, crypto’s playing its own role in the bounce.
Trading on crypto-tied event contracts hit a record last week, reaching $2.7 billion in weekly notional trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket, according to user-compiled data on Dune Analytics. Leading the charge are so-called up/down contracts, which allow traders to bet on whether the price of Bitcoin or another asset will be higher or lower at the end of various time increments, from five minutes to the end of the day.
These markets are essentially a coin-flip, and traders have described them as highly addictive. The speed at which they conclude allows users to get locked into a cycle: start the clock, watch the chart, pick a side, win or lose and then do it all over again. Kalshi’s 15-minute Bitcoin contracts can attract more than $1 million in trading volume each time, while armies of trading bots can be deployed to harvest potential gains just seconds before the timer runs out.
“Prediction markets make crypto trading easier,” said Agnese Aggie Rozite, founder of prediction markets-focused events and education firm 51 Alpha. “For people already in crypto, it’s a natural next step. And because prediction markets run 24/7 like crypto does, the two fit together perfectly.”
There are longer-dated bets on offer too. A Kalshi contract on where Bitcoin will end the year has recorded more than $42 million in volume as of Thursday, while Polymarket’s “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?” has around $78 million. As a result, crypto is the second-largest category on both platforms — after sports, of course.
In perspective, these figures pale in comparison to the trillions of dollars recorded annually in spot cryptocurrency trading and on perpetual futures venues. But prediction markets are a rare bright spot for digital finance, where company valuations continue to double and investors are clamoring for their own slice of the pie. That’s not going unnoticed by crypto’s elite.
Digital-asset exchanges are keen to get in on the action, either by partnering with another platform that can provide the contracts or by seeking a license in the US to offer the bets themselves. Several exchanges — Coinbase Global Inc., Crypto.com, Gemini Space Station Inc. and Kraken to name a few — already have the required authorization, while others like Blockchain.com have recently applied for the same.
Some of the crypto volumes we’re seeing stem from a crossover between the two worlds. Coinbase’s prediction markets offering is currently powered by Kalshi, for example, with its website showing millions of dollars in trading volume on crypto-tied bets. Robinhood similarly uses many Kalshi markets, though it’s also slowly introducing contracts offered by others, including Crypto.com-spinoff OG.com and Rothera, a derivatives exchange it bought with Susquehanna International Group last year.
This poses an intriguing convergence of interests. Pure-play prediction markets venues like Kalshi are increasingly focused on drumming up demand for non-sports categories and an expansion into futures markets, with sports itself hanging in the balance. Dozens of states have taken legal action claiming that sports contracts are unregistered gambling products, while the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is defending its turf as Kalshi’s regulator. With a potential Supreme Court intervention looming and a breadwinner on the line, crypto volume is more valuable than ever.
At the same time, we’ve written before about how crypto exchanges’ business models are in need of a similar diversification. Spot volumes on centralized platforms on Wednesday were around $33 billion, per DefiLlama data — a far cry from the $70-100 billion days recorded regularly in January and February.
Crypto-tied prediction markets, of course, are far from the only appeal in entering the race. But if a Supreme Court decision on sports markets doesn’t end in the industry’s favor, how many crypto exchanges will still consider prediction markets to be a business opportunity worth pursuing?
Charting it out
Bloomberg
Bitcoin’s retreat toward $81,000 has pushed it toward its 50-day moving average line, a widely watched gauge of near-term breadth. “This return to the 50-day moving average means the bulls cannot celebrate a quick victory,” said Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro.
Counting it out
US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs notched $1.1 billion in net inflows this week, recovering from $909.6 million in outflows over the previous two weeks.
Hearing them out
What we’re reading (and writing)
Trump and Crypto Firm Sued for Profiting From Foreign Government
Crypto Rule Finalized by OCC in Digital Asset Industry Win
Kalshi to Allow Futures Bets With Bitcoin-Backed Loans
Italy Targets Crypto Money-Laundering Ring Across Europe
Robinhood to Launch Retail Investing Platform in Middle East From Dubai
Crypto Megadonors Up Ohio Spending to $55 Million (Politico)
China Seeks 61,800 Bitcoin Tied to $5.7 Billion Fraud (CoinDesk)
What we’re watching on Bloomberg TV
Bloomberg’s Katherine Schwartz joins Scarlet Fu and James Seyffart on “Bloomberg Crypto.” Western Union and MoneyGram are adopting crypto technology to defend their businesses and deepen customer ties. Their money transfer time has gone from three days to as short as four minutes.
More from Bloomberg
Markets Daily for what’s moving in stocks, bonds, FX and commodities
Banking Monitor for staying on top of the global banking industry with emerging trends, winners and losers and market opportunities.
CFO Briefing for Nina Trentmann’s weekly newsletter on what finance leaders need to know
Going Private for coverage of private markets and the forces moving capital away from the public eye
Money Stuff for Bloomberg Opinion’s Matt Levine’s newsletter on all things Wall Street and finance
After going as high as nearly $85,000 in morning trade, bitcoin and most major cryptocurrencies joined the stock market in sinking as traders sought safe havens.
The flagship cryptocurrency was down 4.1% to $81,165, according to data from the London Stock Exchange Group, though it managed to bounce slightly off of a support level of $81,000 in the early afternoon. Bitcoin joined technology and AI stocks in selling off, with the Nasdaq settling the day down 2.6% in its largest sell-off since June.
Investors largely avoided assets regarded as riskier plays, as the 10-year Treasury yield fell back below 5% for the first time since late September. Concerns over France's gaping budget deficit and the risk that rising oil prices could weigh on consumption and economic growth hit global bond markets. French bonds sold off but other bonds perceived safer, like the German Bunds and the U.S. Treasurys, rose.
While the rush for safety pressured bitcoin, analysts looking longer-term still see reasons to remain optimistic on bitcoin. "Hashrate is recovering as the market turns from bear to bull," said analysts with CryptoQuant in a note Thursday.
Data from Coinglass shows that bitcoin ETFs have recorded net-inflows for 3 straight days, with over $500 million in inflows seen on Wednesday alone. Over the 3-day period, net inflows have totaled $1.07 billion.
Other major cryptocurrencies are deep underwater in trading following the close of the stock market Thursday. Ethereum falls 4.4% to $2,381, XRP is down 6.2% to $1.30, and solana falls 4.6% to $103.07.
Bitcoin Ordinals and Runes supporters have renewed calls for native trading on OpenSea after Leonidas shared a comment attributed to a company marketer saying community feedback helps shape its product roadmap.
Summary
Leonidas has asked OpenSea to add native support for Bitcoin Ordinals and Runes. A shared interface image features Runestone, Bitcoin Puppets and NodeMonkes among Bitcoin collections. OpenSea’s published blockchain compatibility guide does not list Bitcoin among its supported networks. The campaign follows earlier announcements to close Bitcoin services at Magic Eden and Ord.io. Leonidas, in posts dated Oct. 21 and Oct. 22, urged collectors to make their interest known and directly asked OpenSea to support both asset types. His posts included an image of Bitcoin collections displayed in an OpenSea interface and a separate promotional graphic imagining trading support.
“Please add support for Ordinals and Runes.”
The request establishes a public campaign for integration. Neither screenshot contains an official OpenSea announcement confirming native Bitcoin trading, an approved integration, or a release date.
OpenSea supporters press for a Bitcoin integration In his Oct. 21 post, Leonidas reproduced a statement attributed to an OpenSea marketer encouraging people who want Ordinals to keep asking for them. The quoted statement said community feedback “very much directly informs our product roadmap.”
The screenshot does not include the original recording or the full conversation surrounding the remark. Its wording describes how feedback informs product decisions without promising that Bitcoin support has been scheduled.
Alongside the statement, Leonidas shared an interface showing Runestone in a featured position. Bitcoin Puppets and NodeMonkes appeared under a section labeled “Trending Ordinals Collections,” alongside Bitcoin Wizards and Taproot Wizards.
The image displays collection prices in BTC and includes activity figures, but it does not show a completed purchase or a Bitcoin transaction. Collection visibility in that screenshot therefore remains separate from evidence of an available trading service.
A second post, dated Oct. 22, paired the direct request with an OpenSea-branded graphic reading “Ordinals and Runes trading is live!” Because Leonidas published the image while asking for support, the graphic cannot be treated as a company launch notice.
OpenSea’s blockchain compatibility guide lists networks including Ethereum, Solana, Polygon and Arbitrum, without listing Bitcoin. Its older Ordinals explainer, published in April 2023, explicitly says users cannot buy Bitcoin Ordinals through OpenSea; that page is historical documentation, not a fresh roadmap statement.
OpenSea’s mobile launch includes trading and discovery OpenSea’s Oct. 20 mobile announcement describes an app available to everyone on iOS and Android, with token and collectible trading across more than 25 blockchains. The company says users can combine holdings from multiple wallets and synchronize their accounts with its web platform.
The launch description distinguishes trading from discovery features. OpenSea says its social feed displays activity from people a user follows regardless of the app or chain where their trades occurred, while a separate feature shows trending activity by chain.
For the mobile product, the company lists a 0.5% fee on token trades and a 1% fee on collectible purchases, with network fees potentially charged separately. The announcement does not identify a Bitcoin-specific trading rollout.
The company’s earlier OS2 announcement, issued in Miami in May 2025, introduced full token trading across 19 chains, including Solana fungible tokens. OpenSea identified Miami as its headquarters and said further chain integrations were part of its development plans, without naming a Bitcoin launch date.
Bitcoin marketplace operators have announced service closures The appeal follows several earlier announcements affecting Bitcoin asset services. In February, crypto.news previously reported Magic Eden’s planned Bitcoin marketplace exit, alongside the closure of its EVM marketplaces and multichain wallet. That announcement retained support for its Solana business.
Magic Eden had launched Ordinals trading in March 2023. At launch, the marketplace supported secondary sales and said it was investigating tools for creators to inscribe assets, while royalty support remained unavailable.
A separate May announcement set June 1 as the shutdown date for Ord.io and Zap. Leonidas attributed the decision to exhausted funding, while the associated trading app said it had not reached the user growth needed to continue operating.
Other operators announced new services during the same period. Unspendable Labs said on March 30 that Horizon Market had added Ordinal inscriptions alongside Counterparty assets and Bitcoin Stamps. Its announcement described inscription creation, listings, and purchases settling directly on Bitcoin, without an intermediary holding the assets.
Ordinals and Runes use different Bitcoin asset structures The Ordinal Theory Handbook describes inscriptions as content attached to individual satoshis, creating Bitcoin-native digital artifacts without requiring a sidechain or separate token. Those assets can be held in Bitcoin transaction outputs and transferred through Bitcoin transactions.
Runes represent interchangeable units, unlike unique inscriptions. The handbook says Bitcoin transactions can create, mint, and transfer them, with protocol messages called runestones stored in transaction outputs. A transaction can contain at most one runestone, and an individual output can hold balances of multiple runes.
A shareholder from one of the world’s biggest digital asset companies has sued U.S. President Donald Trump for alleged crypto corruption.
The lawsuit, filed on Thursday by shareholder and former Circle employee J. Benjamin Greenberg, alleges that a member of the United Arab Emirates ruling family agreed to pay half a billion dollars into the Trump-backed World Liberty Financial business — in direct violation of the Constitution.
Circle is the fintech company behind the stablecoin, USDC. Regulators in the U.S. are fast pushing ahead with pro-crypto rules despite lawmakers last month blocking landmark digital asset legislation, which President Trump backed.
A number of lawmakers didn’t back the draft legislation — the Clarity Act — because they said that the Trump family had illicitly cashed in on crypto ventures.
“The corruption at issue is not subtle, and it is not hidden,” the lawsuit alleges. “Since returning to office, President Donald J. Trump and his family have built a cryptocurrency business and invited foreign states to route money to him by paying into it. Foreign money has answered.”
The lawsuit goes on to allege that an investment fund created by the government of Abu Dhabi also gave the president $2 billion via World Liberty Financial’s USD1 stablecoin product.
World Liberty Financial is a decentralized finance project co-founded by the president and his sons.
President Trump stopped being involved in the project after taking office in 2025.
Thursday’s lawsuit adds that the president allegedly gave the Emirati leadership access to advanced artificial intelligence chips and pardoned a convicted felon in turn for the crypto investment. It references a February Wall Street Journal article that reported the deal.
“Although the President has dressed his corrupt arrangements in the language of new technology — tokens and stablecoins, holding companies and reserve yields — that vocabulary must not obscure what this is: the oldest form of public corruption, a public official taking money from a foreign power,” the lawsuit further says.
It alleges that the president has “corruptly” profited from $2 billion via the deals.
President Trump, World Liberty, and U.S. Middle East Special Envoy Steve Witkoff are named as the defendants in the lawsuit.
The president campaigned on a ticket to help the crypto industry and received major financial backing from the space but some Washington lawmakers have criticized the way the Trump family has profited from digital asset ventures.
Trump and the White House have always denied any conflicts of interest. The president in August, ahead of the crypto Clarity Act vote, said that Democrats criticizing his family crypto ventures had made money from stock trading.
Mathew Di Salvo
Mathew is a reporter who's covered the space since 2019, reporting on everything from Salvadoran president Nayib Bukele's Bitcoin bet to crypto exchange FTX's bankruptcy.
XRP whales sent $112.4 million to Binance, the highest inflow level in seven months, according to crypto analysts. The move signals rising selling pressure from large holders.
However, fresh data suggests the heaviest selling may already be easing, and traders are watching key price levels.
🗞️ XRP Whale Inflows to Binance hit $112.4M, a 7-month high
ripple:native whale activity has intensified in recent weeks, with selling pressure rising sharply. Here, we define whales as transactions exceeding 1 million XRP, which allows us to attribute them to this specific… pic.twitter.com/FsLRe63FTp
— Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) October 22, 2026 What XRP Whale Inflows Reveal About Selling PressureWhale inflows track large transfers from major holders to exchanges, usually before a potential sale. In this case, crypto analyst Darkfost counts transactions above 1 million XRP.
These flows matter because holders can sell tokens on an exchange within minutes. Therefore, rising inflows often precede short-term price weakness.
The surge coincides with XRP’s rebound of more than 30% since August. As a result, many large holders appear to have used the rally to lock in profits.
Monthly average inflows also rose by about $72 million, while the previous three months averaged roughly $90 million. In addition, daily spikes topped $400 million at times.
However, recent data shows inflows returning to more normal levels. That suggests the heaviest selling pressure may have eased, at least for now.
At the time of writing, XRP trades near $1.33, according to BeInCrypto data. Its 24-hour range sits between $1.32 and $1.40, while its market cap stands near $84 billion.
XRP Price Performance. Source: BeInCryptoCan XRP Break Above $1.40 or Fall Toward $1.26?Technical analysts remain divided. CryptoBusy notes that XRP is testing a major descending resistance trendline on the four-hour chart. The token recently climbed from $1.26 toward $1.40.
A confirmed breakout above the $1.38 to $1.40 zone could open a path toward $1.45 and $1.50. However, failing to hold $1.33 could send XRP back toward $1.30 or even $1.26.
$XRP is testing a major descending resistance trendline on the 4H chart after recovering from $1.26 toward $1.40.
Price briefly broke above the trendline but faced selling pressure, pulling back toward $1.34.
A confirmed breakout above $1.38-$1.40 could open the door toward… pic.twitter.com/ApW8aoQB1b
— CryptoBusy (@CryptoBusy) October 22, 2026 Meanwhile, EGRAG Crypto offered a more cautious view. His chart sketch raises the possibility of a dip toward $1.18 before a push to $1.63 and $1.80. He also stressed that this remains a hunch until price action confirms it.
On the bullish side, Ali Martiez set an immediate target of $1.55 if key levels hold. For now, the $1.33 level acts as the line between a recovery and a deeper pullback. Traders may want confirmation before acting on either scenario.
Still, large holders can move markets quickly, so exchange inflows remain a key signal to watch.
XRP’s 365-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) has dropped to 0.92, marking its lowest level in over a year and placing most recent buyers firmly in negative territory. According to data from Santiment Intelligence, Dogecoin (DOGE) is the only other major altcoin with a similar pattern, showing a near-term MVRV score of 0.74. These subdued readings indicate minimal profit-taking incentive, as the majority of holders are currently experiencing unrealized losses.
XRP approaches critical demand zoneThe latest market behavior suggests a low-risk demand area has formed around XRP’s present support levels. Such depressed MVRV ratios typically highlight zones where selling pressure is tapering off and may identify price areas favorable for accumulation. Technical analysts often view ultra-low MVRV scores as signs of capitulation, signaling that sellers are exhausted and buyers could soon step in.
When MVRV is elevated, however, new buyers take on additional risk, as recent entrants are more likely to hold unrealized gains, fueling possible sell-offs. In comparison, BTC, ETH, and LINK reveal neutral MVRV readings ranging from 0.97 to 1.04, which places their holders near break-even and reflects scant evidence of extreme greed or panic in those markets.
It is important to note that a low MVRV score does not guarantee a price rebound. The situation remains contingent on increased activity from both institutional ‘whale’ investors and retail participants buying at local bottoms. Without robust inflows, the technical setup alone may not trigger sustained upward momentum.
Technical chart and derivatives market insightsXRP’s short-term outlook is shaped by technical signals on its price chart. The currency’s mid-tier Bollinger Band currently sits at $1.3822, providing a reference for potential bullish confirmation if prices push higher. Reaching this zone could set up a rally toward the upper Bollinger Band near $1.5255. On the downside, the lower band at $1.2418 highlights a key leveraged support level.
The derivatives market adds further context, with recent data revealing a 26% surge in trading volume. However, most liquidations have targeted long positions, and short-sellers outnumber bulls with a long-to-short ratio of 0.8345. Despite this, the funding rate on open interest (OI) has turned positive, indicating that traders holding short positions are paying a premium to maintain those bets as the price has shown upward movement.
Following a round of long position liquidations, open interest slipped slightly but remains strong, with total value approaching $3 billion. This matches aggregate spot and futures trading volumes, underscoring ongoing demand for XRP despite recent volatility and uneven sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency space.
XRP’s latest MVRV readings reveal that most recent buyers are still underwater, suggesting a diminished incentive for profit-taking at current levels and positioning XRP among the major altcoins with the lowest realized returns.
Market context and investor strategiesAcross multiple time frames, larger digital asset investors continue to show a selling bias, which may weigh on short-term price action. Nonetheless, yearly MVRV scores can be useful to monitor, as they often reveal market dynamics and sentiment shifts that traders might overlook or misinterpret as simple weakness.
In a market where a single Fed decision or a sudden altcoin listing can change everything in seconds, monitoring indicators such as MVRV, Bollinger Bands, and open interest has grown in importance. Smart traders are now utilizing privacy-first tools like CryptoAppsy to consolidate everything. Without even the hassle of creating an account, you get real-time charts, smart price alerts, coin-specific news, and critical macro data all on one screen. By bringing these resources together, investors hope to navigate shifting market conditions more efficiently and avoid unnecessary losses stemming from fragmented information.
XRP is displaying a familiar market structure on its weekly chart, according to cryptocurrency analyst EGRAG CRYPTO. The analyst reports that a potentially significant pattern involving the 50-week and 200-week exponential moving averages (EMA) has emerged, reminiscent of two previous cycles that led to substantial price recoveries for the token.
Historical EMA patterns and price cyclesEGRAG CRYPTO has identified a repeating sequence in XRP’s historical price movement, focusing on two previous instances when the 50-week EMA crossed below the 200-week EMA—an event traders call a “death cross.” These occurred between 2019-2020 and 2022-2023. In both cases, price entered defined ranges which the analyst marks as yellow accumulation zones, ultimately leading to strong rallies afterward.
In the current market, a third death cross appears to be forming. EGRAG CRYPTO highlights the importance of the yellow accumulation zones observed in previous cycles, posing a question about whether XRP will maintain its position in the upper part of this range or slip into the lower region before any potential reversal.
EGRAG CRYPTO points to two prior cycles marked by bearish EMA crosses and accumulation ranges, emphasizing, “2019–2020: EMA cross → accumulation → recovery. 2022–2023: EMA cross → accumulation → recovery. Will the third cross follow this pattern?”
The role of the ascending channelThe weekly chart also features a long-term ascending channel, established by two diagonal white lines encompassing the bulk of XRP’s historical price action. According to the analyst, XRP’s broad market direction remains bullish as long as the price remains within this channel. As of October 21, the token continues to hold above the upper accumulation range and within the channel boundaries.
EGRAG CRYPTO stresses that while EMA crosses can be informative, they are lagging indicators. Instead, the analyst assigns greater significance to the macro channel structure, stating that this pattern carries more weight than short-term moving average signals.
Mini dictionary: Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a type of moving average that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points, making it more responsive to recent price changes than a simple moving average (SMA).
Volatility and technical reference pointsEGRAG CRYPTO does not interpret the current setup as a definitive bearish sign for XRP. Instead, the analyst expects heightened volatility in both directions, warning of potential price wicks and shakeouts above and below the accumulation range before a clearer trend emerges.
The analysis also considers the 33-week and 111-week EMAs in addition to the primary 50 and 200-week averages. Notably, the 200 EMA, commonly depicted in red on technical charts, now sits considerably higher than its 2017-2019 lows and serves as an important support indicator for the current cycle.
EMA LevelRoleRecent Cycle Status50-week EMAShort/mid-term trend referenceCrossing below 200 EMA200-week EMALong-term trend, supportSignificantly above previous cycle lows33-week EMASecondary trend referenceTracked in current analysis111-week EMASecondary trend referenceTracked in current analysisXRP’s current position and analyst’s outlookAt present, XRP trades at $1.34, positioned above the upper section of the yellow accumulation zone and within the established ascending channel. The macro channel structure remains intact, with no breakdown below its lower boundary.
EGRAG CRYPTO, known for technical market insights, concludes that the overall macro structure is more critical than short-term indicator signals. Whether XRP temporarily dips lower within the accumulation zone or holds the high ground, the channel remains the determining factor for the long-term outlook unless it is decisively breached.
The analysis underscores, “The EMA cross is lagging. The macro structure is the key. Volatility will come, but unless the ascending channel breaks, the long-term trajectory remains unchanged.”
Ripple, a blockchain payment solution, has partnered with Swiss-regulated payment platform Arf to bring RLUSD-powered funding to the XRP Ledger (XRPL). The partnership will help licensed payment companies access short-term funds for cross-border payments without keeping large amounts of money in accounts across different countries.
Arf and Ripple Join to Speed Up Cross-Border PaymentsIn a press release on October 22, 2026, Arf and Ripple announced a partnership to help payment companies access money when and where they need it.
Cross-border payments move trillions of dollars each year, but payment companies often need working capital available in different countries before transactions are completed. Traditional bank credit lines can take months to establish and may require significant collateral.
This creates a problem for companies that need funds available in the right market at the right time. Through the partnership, Arf and Ripple aim to address this gap using RLUSD and the XRP Ledger’s settlement network.
Jasmine Cooper, Head of Product for RippleX at Ripple, said that “Settlement liquidity is exactly the kind of use case XRPL and RLUSD are built to support.”
Settlement liquidity is exactly the kind of use case @XRP Ledger and RLUSD are built to support.@Arf_One is bringing its approach to settlement liquidity to the XRP Ledger, using RLUSD to support short-term working capital for licensed payment companies as cross-border payments… https://t.co/h4XdEzA3IF
— Ripple (@Ripple) October 22, 2026 Under the first phase, Arf will provide short-term funding in Ripple USD (RLUSD) on the XRP Ledger. Licensed payment companies can use these funds to send money across borders and repay them once payments are complete, usually within one to five days.
Arf Brings $10B in Annual Settlements to XRPLArf payments platform has scaled to around $10 billion in annual global settlement volume since launching in November 2022. Its capital turns over about four times a month, allowing funds to support repeated payment flows rather than sit idle.
Ali Erhat Nalbant, Arf’s co-founder and CEO, said the partnership would bring stablecoin working capital to the XRP Ledger.
“We’re bringing stablecoin working capital to the XRP Ledger to help payment companies bridge that gap and support more payment volume.”
Arf Plans to Use XRPL’s Native Lending InfrastructureThe partnership could expand once the XRP Ledger’s native lending infrastructure becomes available. Arf plans to use the proposed Single Asset Vaults to pool capital and the Lending Protocol to support structured loans on-chain.
Arf would continue managing underwriting and working capital decisions off-chain, while the blockchain handles the lending infrastructure.
However, the proposed features must pass XRPL’s amendment process before they can launch on the main network.
Story Ends Here
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Ripple, a leading blockchain solutions provider, has unveiled a new partnership with Arf, a global platform specializing in liquidity and settlement services. This collaboration is set to enhance the utility and adoption of Ripple’s US dollar-pegged stablecoin, RLUSD, across the international payments landscape.
New settlement solution for cross-border transactionsThe partnership aims to deliver settlement liquidity powered by RLUSD directly on the XRP Ledger, enabling licensed payment companies to access short-term working capital for overseas transactions.
With RLUSD integrated into the process, payment firms awaiting the finalization of international transfers can now secure liquidity efficiently, improving transaction speed and reducing the need to immobilize large pools of capital in multiple markets.
Ripple stated that the development specifically targets one of the most significant challenges in global payments, where businesses routinely allocate substantial funds to facilitate the movement of money between jurisdictions.
Licensed payment providers will be able to fund transactions without having to lock in significant reserves, as RLUSD settlement liquidity will now be provided immediately on the XRP Ledger through Arf.
Arf, a firm that supplies liquidity and settlement infrastructure to payment service providers worldwide, will take on the role of delivering direct RLUSD settlement liquidity to the network. This move supports both companies’ efforts to improve efficiency and accessibility for cross-border payments.
The partnership establishes a model where payment companies no longer need to tie up excess capital as they await settlements. By utilizing RLUSD’s stablecoin liquidity, firms can instead recycle the same capital swiftly with each completed transaction.
Short repayment periods to drive efficiencyRipple clarified that the settlement liquidity provided through this collaboration will be made available with a short repayment period, ranging from one to five days. This allows the same funds to be redeployed rapidly as payments settle, streamlining the flow of cross-border transactions for clients.
The ability to provide liquidity with repayment windows as brief as one to five days is designed to enhance operational flexibility for payment firms using RLUSD stablecoins in their international business.
Both Ripple and Arf expect this development to enable payment companies to execute stablecoin-powered, real-time foreign payments without the operational burden and financial inefficiency of holding capital in various currencies and markets.
This announcement follows a series of advancements by Ripple as it continues to pursue growth and wider adoption of its stablecoin ecosystem. RLUSD’s presence on the XRP Ledger is central to this strategy, offering consistent liquidity solutions for payments firms engaging in cross-border activity.
The partnership signals a continued focus by both organizations on solving practical, day-to-day frictions in global payments using digital asset technology.
Arf is known for providing real-time lending and settlement infrastructure to financial institutions, supporting a wide range of payment and remittance companies around the world.
Ripple’s expansion of RLUSD-supported payments aims to further streamline international money movement for regulated financial entities and support the overall growth of stablecoin usage.
With further updates anticipated, the collaboration is expected to drive greater adoption of digital assets in global settlements.
Mini dictionary: Arf is a financial technology firm that offers real-time liquidity and settlement solutions for licensed payment and remittance service providers, helping them execute instant cross-border transactions without locking up substantial capital in correspondent accounts.
Ripple announced that Arf, a company that provides liquidity to cross-border payment companies, is preparing to offer short-term working capital on the XRP Ledger using RLUSD. The collaboration focuses on the financing needs that arise between the start of a transfer and the completion of the final settlement in international payments.
Payment companies may need to hold funds in advance to complete transactions in different countries. This results in money sitting in specific accounts, reducing the capital available to the companies. ARF’s approach aims to bridge this gap with short-term liquidity.
Ripple stated that RLUSD and XRP Ledger are designed to support these types of settlement needs. The announcement specifically emphasized that the target audience is licensed payment companies.
The key point here is that the announcement does not include a loan product for individual investors or a direct XRP purchase program. The focus of the collaboration is on using the dollar-backed RLUSD in the daily financing processes of payment companies.
The parties did not disclose a total financing commitment in their official statement.
*This is not investment advice.
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Bitcoin fell nearly 4% on Thursday to $81,000 despite strengthening institutional interest.
Notable Statistics:
Coinglass data shows 102,764 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours for $454.81 million. SoSoValue data shows net inflows of $528.4 million from spot Bitcoin ETFs on Wednesday. Spot Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $14.96 million. In the past 24 hours, top gainers include Bitway, MemeCore and Akedo. Notable Developments:
Bitcoin Faces the ‘Curse of the 21st’: Is Another November Low Ahead?‘Cash Is A Melting Ice Cube,’ Says Industry Executive as Bitcoin Adoption Poised to SurgeBitcoin’s Boring Moves Are ‘Actually Quite Healthy,’ Says Analyst Eyeing $275,000 TargetBitcoin ‘Goes to Zero’ After a Hack, Chamath Palihapitiya PredictsRipple, Cardano, Chainlink Push for Binding SEC Rules Around Tokens‘Long Coins, Short Stocks’: Expert Bullish on Bitcoin, Cautious on XRP, Coinbase, CircleRipple Sees a $100 Million Opportunity for Banks—What’s in It for XRP?XRP Falls 2%: Final Dip Before a Big Rally or the Beginning of a Selloff?Trader Notes:
Benjamin Cowen warned in his podcast that Bitcoin could face another correction toward the low-to-mid $70,000 range after slipping below $82,000 and struggling to reclaim $83,000.
Bitcoin’s failure to reclaim $83,000 could shift momentum back toward the bears, raising concerns that its recent breakout was a fake out.
Ethereum, major altcoin indices, Strategy and the Nasdaq have already tested their respective bull market support bands. Cowen believes Bitcoin could follow as equity markets weaken.
Historical patterns suggest Bitcoin could establish a local high between Oct. 21 and the Nov. 3 midterm elections, followed by renewed selling pressure if stocks continue declining.
Cowen outlined two potential scenarios a relatively short, shallow bear market or a prolonged downturn characterized by repeated false breakouts.
Image: Shutterstock
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Crypto analyst Ali Martinez, recognized for his chart-driven market insights, outlined updated price targets for Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP following a recent upswing in the broader crypto market.
XRP approaches key resistance levelMartinez identified $1.25 as a crucial support for XRP on its three-day chart, referencing a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. According to technical analysis, this pattern can signal a shift from a downtrend to an uptrend when confirmed. The left shoulder appeared earlier in the year, the head formed near $1 in August, and the right shoulder began developing close to $1.25.
The analyst stated that maintaining support at $1.25 may trigger a move toward $2, but a sustained close above $1.56 would offer further momentum. Conversely, a drop below $1.25 could set the stage for a decline toward $1.
Martinez emphasized that immediate upside resistance for XRP stands at $1.55, while holding $1.25 remains critical for continued gains. A reversal at this level could limit the current rally.
Bitcoin and Ethereum target higher levelsFor Bitcoin, Martinez pointed to $81,000 as the key support within its daily rising channel. He suggested that defending this level could prompt BTC to revisit $84,000 and possibly reach the mid-channel target of $86,500. If BTC were to fall below $81,000, further downside could extend to $76,000.
On Ethereum, $2,350 emerged as the immediate support based on a right-angled ascending broadening pattern. A bounce from that level would see ETH aim for $2,700 or potentially $3,000, whereas a daily close below $2,350 could shift focus to $2,000.
Mini dictionary: Right-angled ascending broadening pattern, a chart formation where price action expands upward between two diverging trendlines, often indicating increased volatility and potential for a strong breakout.
Martinez outlined immediate price targets of $86,500 for Bitcoin, $2,700 for Ethereum, and $1.55 for XRP, noting that surpassing these resistance levels could drive further gains.
AssetSupport LevelCurrent PriceImmediate TargetNext TargetBitcoin (BTC)$81,000$84,535$86,500$90,000Ethereum (ETH)$2,350$2,512$2,700$3,000/$3,100XRP$1.25$1.39$1.55$2.00Current chart outlookOn the daily chart, Bitcoin currently trades at $84,535, approaching resistance at $86,500. Ethereum stands at $2,512, targeting $2,700 and potentially $3,100 if the move sustains. Meanwhile, XRP is valued at $1.39, with the next technical resistance at $1.55 and a longer-term target of $2.
Ali Martinez is widely followed for technical analysis on the digital asset markets, particularly through his social media presence, where he shares chart-based outlooks for major cryptocurrencies.
XRP whales sent $112.4 million to Binance in recent weeks, marking the highest monthly average since March, according to data from crypto analyst Darkfost. This surge in large transactions has drawn attention, raising questions over whether a wave of selling may now be behind the market.
Whale activity hits peak, then normalizesAnalyst Darkfost defines whale activity as single transactions exceeding 1 million XRP. Since August, the monthly average of XRP transferred by whales to Binance rose by $72 million, reaching $112.4 million. During the most active days, inflows have topped $400 million, which represents a significant escalation in market-moving behavior.
After this period of heightened activity, inflows have reportedly normalized. XRP is currently trading at $1.32, reflecting a 4.41% drop in the past 24 hours but a 2.66% gain over the last week. Daily trading volume stands at $1.71 billion, highlighting the high level of interest among market participants.
Whale activity has intensified in recent weeks, largely characterized by transactions exceeding 1 million XRP. This trend has coincided with a sharp increase in selling pressure, setting a 7-month high in exchange inflows.
Whales appeared to capitalize on a recent rebound, as XRP recorded a price gain of more than 30% since August. Analysts note that coins sent to exchanges often precede potential sales, although on-chain data alone cannot conclusively confirm that all transferred amounts were sold.
XRP tests major resistance amid selling waveTechnical analysts such as CryptoBusy have pointed out that XRP is currently testing a significant descending resistance trendline on the four-hour chart. The price recovered from a low of $1.26 and briefly moved above $1.40, but buyers failed to sustain the breakout. The token soon retreated toward $1.34, experiencing rejection near $1.37.
This pullback fits the narrative of whales seeking to lock in profits following the rally. However, analysts have cautioned that the link between whale deposits and price rejections cannot be directly established based only on these figures.
XRP was unable to hold above the key descending trendline after briefly breaking out, with strong selling pressure bringing the price back below $1.34. According to market watchers, a confirmed breakout above $1.38–$1.40 would be required to turn short-term momentum bullish again.
Focus shifts to key levels and whale flowsDespite recent selling pressure, Darkfost points out that September’s peak in whale inflows remained below the levels reached during August. Current inflows have returned to typical ranges, suggesting some normalization. Price has also held above the $1.26 rebound low, indicating that the market continues to absorb large transactions without significant breakdowns.
CryptoBusy has identified $1.38–$1.40 as a critical zone; a close above this range could open the door for an advance toward $1.45–$1.50. If the price loses the $1.33 level, however, analysts expect a decline back to $1.30 and possibly $1.26.
Market participants are closely monitoring four factors: renewed whale inflows above the $112.4 million average, defense of the $1.33 support, a confirmed breakout above $1.38–$1.40, and whether daily trading volume remains at current elevated levels.
Consolidating data and trading toolsIn an environment where a sudden announcement from the Fed or an unexpected altcoin listing can influence the market within seconds, analysts emphasize the importance of monitoring these technical levels alongside real-time data. As traders react to rapid shifts in whale inflows and key support or resistance breaches, many are moving away from juggling multiple apps to track their portfolios, news, and charts. Privacy-focused platforms like CryptoAppsy now offer consolidated access to live charts, price alerts, news, and macroeconomic metrics, without requiring account registration, streamlining the process for active investors.
Flare outlined its XRP DeFi strategy on Korean TV at Korea Blockchain Week, detailing how FXRP works, how collateral protects users, and its Korean partnerships.
Flare used an appearance on South Korean television to pitch its approach to bringing XRP into decentralised finance (DeFi). Speaking on Korea Economic TV's Crypto Labs at Korea Blockchain Week, @FlareNetworks APAC lead Kyle Kim (@Banktheworld) described Flare as a blockchain for data.
How FXRP worksKim said Flare checks outside information, such as prices or transactions on other chains, and makes it available to smart contracts. Holders of $XRP can convert their tokens into FXRP on Flare to lend, borrow against, or earn yield, and can swap back whenever they choose.
FXRP is issued through Flare's FAssets system. FXRP was the first live deployment of the system, which turns tokens that lack smart contract support, such as XRP, into overcollateralised assets that can interact with DeFi protocols. At launch, Flare's chief product officer Filip Koprivec told The Block that FXRP is designed to be non-custodial and over-collateralised, with onchain, protocol-level verification rather than reliance on a single custodian.
Kim said approved operators hold the XRP behind FXRP. Each must lock up collateral worth more than the XRP it holds, which is meant to protect users if something goes wrong. DefiLlama's research describes these operators as agents, independent operators who post collateral worth more than the XRP they back, partly in stablecoins and partly in FLR. If the collateral's value falls below the required level, the agent's position can be liquidated.
Growing usage and Korean partnershipsDemand for the token has built since launch. A DefiLlama report published on October 21 counts about 129 million of the 145 million FXRP in circulation deployed across protocols, close to 90% of supply. The same report notes the base is still small: 145 million FXRP equals roughly 0.23% of circulating XRP. Lending is the biggest use. Most of the lending demand comes from holders who use FXRP as collateral and borrow against it while keeping their XRP.
In Korea, Flare is working with hardware wallet maker D'CENT. In May, D'CENT's maker IoTrust announced a three-week campaign with the Flare network , and said D'CENT is an official partner of Flare Smart Accounts , which removes the need for users to buy extra gas tokens.
Flare is also running a pilot finance product with weather data firm K-Weather (Kweather). The two companies signed a letter of intent to pilot the integration of meteorological data onchain. The data will be delivered through Flare's Time Series Oracle and could support products such as parametric climate insurance. CoinDesk's Omkar Godbole cautioned that the initiative is still very early, and a letter of intent is not a working product.
The appearance shows Flare targeting the Korean market with a dual message: XRP holders can put idle tokens to work, and data-driven products can extend beyond price feeds.
Sources:
DefiLlama Research: How Flare uses data to expand what capital can doCrypto Briefing: Kweather taps Flare to develop weather finance productsGlobeNewswire via Manila Times: D'CENT launches Flare campaign
An XRP market analyst has outlined a long-term price target of $11.45 for the digital asset, suggesting that if the token approaches $11, its market capitalization would near $700 billion based on the current circulating supply. This projection, which extends to 2029 or 2030, signals a potential eightfold price increase from XRP’s recent trading range around $1.35–$1.36. However, it hinges on a significantly higher level of demand than presently observed.
Historical perspective and scaling challengesXRP has achieved multi-fold rallies in the past. According to crypto analyst More Crypto Online, a surge beginning in summer 2024 resulted in an 8.5-fold increase, with market capitalization rising from around $23 billion to current levels near $84 billion. While the token has previously registered large gains off smaller bases, repeating such performance now would require intensified buying interest given the much broader capital base.
Unlike previous cycles that started from lower valuations, any repeat of these multiples would no longer benefit from the same scale effects. The analyst underscores that achieving such high price targets is not simply a matter of chart patterns but necessitates widespread and sustained inflows to justify a valuation approaching $700 billion.
Market cap periodStarting valueEnding valueMultiple gainedSummer 2024–Present$23 billion$84 billion8.5×Projected 2029–2030$84 billion$700 billion (approx.)8.3×Key conditions and technical levelsThe $11.45 target is based on the assumption that the next major upward phase for XRP will match both the duration and magnitude of the move from its 2022 low to the forecasted 2025 high. The analyst refers to $11.45 as “a lighthouse,” emphasizing it as a directional goal rather than a fixed endpoint, and notes that reaching it may require several years.
Support levels between $1.10 and $1.38 are highlighted as critical near-term zones, with approximately $1 regarded as a broader reference. Any sustained breakdown below $1.10 would trigger a review of the bullish outlook, and the technical scenario is contingent upon a five-wave advance rather than a shorter, three-wave pattern.
The analysis also factors in ongoing market developments, including the rising circulating supply of XRP, which has grown from about 56 billion tokens in July 2024 to roughly 63 billion.
Institutional demand and supply dynamicsInstitutional participation remains uncertain. The analyst references estimated cumulative spot ETF inflows of $1.8 billion into XRP but cautions that broader institutional interest and continued inflows are necessary for sustained growth.
Ripple, the San Francisco-based blockchain technology firm behind XRP, conducts periodic releases of XRP from escrow. The analyst notes, however, that tokens held outside escrow are not immediately added to market supply, and not all end up being sold. The real test for investors will be whether persistent demand can offset the growth in supply, especially as institutions assess their actual need for the token in operational use cases.
Mini dictionary: Escrow, in cryptocurrency, refers to funds or tokens held by a third party (often a smart contract or company) to be released based on set conditions. Ripple’s XRP escrow is used to control token release schedules and reduce supply shocks.
A bank leveraging Ripple’s stablecoin infrastructure is not automatically required to purchase or utilize XRP for its operations, making institutional demand for the token itself a separate consideration.
XRPL's bug fix was nearly ready to go live, but a brief voting dip reset the 14-day countdown.
The XRP Ledger’s latest bug fix has been delayed until November after validator support briefly fell below the required threshold, just two days before its planned launch.
The amendment, called fixCleanup3_4_0, needed at least 29 votes from the 35 validators trusted by default to activate.
Upgrade Delayed Support reached that level on Monday, which kept the upgrade on track for an expected October 23 launch at 09:34 UTC. But that changed on Wednesday. At 12:54 UTC, only 26 validators were voting in favor, according to the XRPL Dashboard. That was enough to reset the entire approval process.
The vote count recovered to 29 by 14:46 UTC, starting a new 14-day countdown. XRPLWin now lists November 4 at 14:46 UTC as the expected activation time. Support has since increased to 31 validators, thereby giving the amendment a little more breathing room than it had during its first attempt.
It is important to note that the XRP Ledger requires support to remain above the threshold at every checkpoint, which takes place roughly every 15 minutes. That support must hold for 14 consecutive days. Even a brief dip can send the process back to the beginning. Neither XRPL Dashboard nor XRPLWin has identified which validators stopped counting toward approval. A validator does not have to actively vote against an amendment to affect the tally. If its server goes offline or restarts at the wrong time, its vote may not count at a checkpoint.
Meanwhile, the amendment in question bundles fixes across several parts of the network, including Single Asset Vaults, the Lending Protocol, automated market makers, the permissioned decentralized exchange, trust lines, NFTs, MPTs, escrow, transaction signing, and permission delegation.
Zooming Out The XRPL 3.4.0 server release introduces significant code changes, including the LendingProtocolV1_1 amendment. This proposed upgrade adds closed-ended vaults and cash-basis accounting to the upcoming native lending system.
You may also like: XRP Ledger Bug Fixes Set for Friday Activation as DeFi Lending Awaits Approval Ripple Pushes RLUSD Deeper Into Banking With New Cross River Partnership Major Ripple (XRP) Reveal From Seoul: XRPL Gets Privacy, AI Agent Upgrades, and More These vaults move through subscription, investment, and redemption phases, while interest is recorded as income only when loan payments arrive. It is currently open for voting, and validator support currently stands at 54.29%.
XRP is currently trading at $1.36, reflecting a 1.63% increase over the past week. This moderate rise stands in sharp contrast to one analyst’s bold forecast for much higher prices.
Crypto Captain, who posts technical analyses under the handle @UniverseTwenty, has released a projection suggesting that XRP could reach $22 per coin. He warned that the route toward this level will be marked by dramatic price swings, both upward and downward.
In a statement shared on social media, Crypto Captain described the potential price action:
Huge volatility ahead before reaching $22 per coin, with significant up and down swings. This scenario implies new all time highs are on the horizon.
According to David Schwartz, Ripple CTO Emeritus, the asset’s current record stands at $3.65. XRP reached this all time high in July 2025 and has not approached the level since.
Should Crypto Captain’s $22 target be met, this would constitute a price gain of more than 1,500% compared to its present value.
Mini dictionary: Ripple, a technology company focusing on real-time gross settlement systems, currency exchange, and remittance networks. XRP is the digital asset used within Ripple’s payment platform to facilitate cross-border transfers.
Technical outlook and chart patternsThe analysis shared by Crypto Captain centers on the weekly chart for XRP on the Bitstamp exchange, spanning from July 2025 to a projected period approaching 2027. The chart features numerous Fibonacci extension levels, with the 1.618 level placed around $8.15, the 1.272 near $5, the 0.786 at about $3, and the 0.382 close to $1.75.
A descending yellow trendline, connecting lower highs from mid-2025 through late 2026, represents a significant resistance zone. XRP consolidated for a prolonged period beneath this barrier until a breakout occurred in late August, propelling the price above the trendline.
Fibonacci LevelApproximate Price1.618$8.151.272$5.000.786$3.000.382$1.75Potential trajectory and key levelsAccording to the analyst’s outlined roadmap, XRP is once again testing the top of the descending trendline. If this level holds as support, the analyst suggests the price could accelerate toward the previously cited targets.
The projected price action begins with XRP moving above $2, briefly pulling back to establish support, then spiking toward $8.15 in line with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. A sharp retracement to $2 is expected before the asset climbs rapidly to $10.50, dips to $8.15 again, and finally targets the $22 level.
While volatility is anticipated, the trendline breakout is viewed as a pivotal technical event. Crypto Captain’s outlook indicates that swift rallies and steep corrections may characterize the path upward, but $22 remains the final long-term target far above current levels.
As volatility continues in the cryptocurrency market, data from the XRP Ledger network has caught the attention of investors. On-chain analytics platform Santiment reported that the number of wallets on the XRP network has reached an all-time high, with a significant increase in new user participation.
According to data shared by Santiment, the number of wallets with a balance greater than zero on the XRP Ledger network has reached a new all-time high of 8.24 million. It was noted that this steady increase in wallet numbers continues despite the fluctuations in the XRP price in recent months.
The acceleration of network growth during the period when XRP was trading at approximately $1.36 was also noteworthy. According to Santiment data, 4,772 new wallets were created in a single day. This figure marks the fifth largest daily increase recorded since March.
Analysts believe the acceleration in new wallet creation activity could signal a renewed surge in interest in the XRP ecosystem. However, Santiment stated that for growth on the network to support bullish expectations, price movements must also confirm this trend.
XRP Price at $1.40 Critical: Two Different Scenarios Santiment stated that the first important level to watch for the XRP price in the short term is $1.40.
According to the platform, a rapid return to the $1.50 level could become possible if XRP maintains a sustained move above $1.40 and the number of new daily wallets remains around or above 4,000.
However, in a negative scenario, if XRP loses the $1.30 support level and daily new wallet creation falls below approximately 3,000, it could indicate that the positive signals from increased adoption on the network are weakening in the short term.
*This is not investment advice.
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The cryptocurrency market has grown into a global industry, with billions of dollars in digital assets changing hands on exchanges every day. From Bitcoin and Ethereum to smaller altcoins, traders can access thousands of cryptocurrencies on platforms that operate around the clock. As the market has expanded, exchanges have become central to how people buy, sell, and manage their digital assets.
However, not all exchanges are created equal. The user experience can vary significantly depending on trading fees, the range of crypto assets supported, liquidity, the security in place, and the tools available. Some exchanges are perfect for the novice trader looking for a simple way in; others are geared more toward the experienced trader. With so many exchanges in the market, here’s a look at the top 8 crypto exchanges to trade on in October 2026.
1. Binance
Binance provides users with a huge amount of scope whether they’re looking to buy Bitcoin, look at altcoins or trade futures. It’s now the world’s largest crypto exchange by both trading volume and number of users, with hundreds of cryptos available via spot markets, leveraged futures and token swaps. Users can stake eligible assets and access lending products, as well as simply buy and sell crypto if they don’t want to get into any of the more sophisticated features.
The exchange lists over 500 cryptos on over 1,300 trading pairs. Reported daily trading volume is $11.14bn in spot markets and $41.7bn in futures. The base fees are 0.1% for both makers and takers, with discounts available to BNB holders. BNB holders can access the Launchpools, and there’s a crypto debit card available that also offers cashback in certain regions. Binance is not available to US customers, although Binance.US is available as a separate service with a much smaller range of coins and features.
2. Coinbase
For a first-time crypto buyer, the whole process of funding an account and making a trade can be a bit confusing. Coinbase have made it very easy to do since they launched in 2012. Users can buy crypto via bank transfer or card, and the platform supports trading pairs against traditional currencies. Coinbase is also publicly traded in the US, which adds another layer of transparency to the business and its operations. Its security record and its educational rewards, where users can earn a small amount of crypto by learning about different assets, may also be of interest to new users.
Coinbase has over 390 cryptos listed across 500+ trading pairs and reportedly sees $1.88bn in daily trading volume. The base fees are 0.40% for makers and 0.60% for takers with higher volume traders being eligible for reduced rates. There’s also the option to stake a number of the available cryptos. The fees are higher than some of the other exchanges out there but the simplicity of the buy process and the fact that it’s a very good place to learn how crypto trading works makes it a very useful entry point.
3. Kraken
Kraken has been around since 2013 and has built its reputation on security. They’ve had no incidents of their wallets being breached and offer a range of security features, including two-factor authentication to help users protect their own accounts. They also have a fairly bespoke trading interface which can be tailored to individual preferences and offer customer support. It’s an exchange that would be suitable for both the novice and the more experienced trader.
Kraken supports over 620 cryptocurrencies and 1,350 trading pairs with a daily volume of circa $1.60 bn. Users can trade Bitcoin and other digital assets directly against fiat, which makes it very easy to move between the two. The base trading fees are 0.16% for makers and 0.26% for takers, with lower rates available to high-volume traders. The range of assets is a bit smaller than some of the others, but it’s a very broad range of established cryptos.
4. MEXC
MEXC is the exchange for the trader who wants to be in the market and wants access to tokens that aren’t necessarily on the big, established exchanges. It has over 1,700 cryptocurrencies listed and is renowned for its speed of listing new projects, including the memecoins that are currently highly popular. It’s a very relevant exchange for those who are following the newer projects in the market. It also has Launchpad and Kickstarter in place so users can get involved with projects that are launching via the exchange.
Cost is another big part of the appeal. Spot trading is completely free; futures have a 0% maker fee and a 0.010% taker fee. There are over 2,130 trading pairs and approximately $2.04bn in daily volume. Users can fund their purchases via bank transfer or credit card, trade both spot and futures, and also utilise savings products to earn rewards on eligible assets. Users can also hold MX, the platform’s native token, to benefit from reduced fees and access to further rewards. As with any token, particularly new listings and smaller tokens which may have limited liquidity and higher risk, it’s still important to look at the individual project rather than simply the fact that it’s available.
5. Bybit
Bybit was founded in 2018 and focused solely on crypto derivatives, specifically futures, and has since grown into a much wider trading platform. Futures are still a major part of the business, but users can now trade crypto on the spot and margin markets as well as use trading bots. Copy trading is also available, which allows users to copy the trades of other traders, as well as a Launchpad for new projects and an NFT marketplace. They also have products that allow users to earn yield by lending.
The exchange lists over 390 cryptos across more than 520 trading pairs with a reported daily trading volume of circa $2.04bn. Standard fees are 0.10% for both makers and takers, with users in the VIP programme being eligible for reduced rates. There’s a good range of products on offer in terms of derivatives, automated trading and copy trading, so users can approach the market in a variety of ways depending on their own experience and strategy. Bybit is not available to customers in the United States, and leveraged products carry added risk because losses can build quickly when markets move against a position.
6. KuCoin
It’s notoriously difficult to find smaller cryptos on the major exchanges. That’s where KuCoin comes in. Since launching in 2017, it’s had a broad selection of altcoins to offer, including a number of lower-cap projects that aren’t seen much anywhere else. It’s also a platform that caters to a range of different types of crypto users with futures and margin trading, crypto lending, an NFT marketplace and a launchpad. There’s a Beginner Zone to get new users up and running with onboarding and crypto rewards.
KuCoin’s base trading fees are 0.1% for both makers and takers. If a user holds KCS, they can qualify for reduced rates, VIP programme benefits, and access to exclusive events. The exchange has a daily volume of circa $1.31bn and lists over 840 cryptocurrencies across 990+ trading pairs. It’s an exchange that offers a wide variety of assets and services for those who want to look at projects beyond the most well-known coins. Access is regional, though, and KuCoin is not licensed to operate in the US.
7. PrimeXBT
PrimeXBT takes a very different approach to the business of trading crypto than the typical exchange, which is all about buying and selling crypto. It was founded in 2018 and is fundamentally a derivatives trading platform. It offers crypto futures and CFDs, as well as the ability to trade a range of traditional markets. Traders can also trade gold, oil, forex pairs such as EUR/USD, along with stock indices like S&P 500 and Nasdaq. It’s a platform for traders who want to trade across a number of markets from one place.
PrimeXBT supports over 150 cryptocurrencies and trading pairs and has a reported daily trading volume of c.$2.38bn. Crypto futures fees start at 0.01% for makers and 0.015% for takers, with other market fees varying by asset class and market conditions. The platform also provides advanced charting tools, a range of technical indicators and up to 1,000x leverage on crypto. That 1000x leverage is going to massively amplify both potential gains and potential losses, so it is vital that users understand how leveraged positions work before they trade.
8. Crypto.com
Crypto.com is for users who want more than just a place to buy and sell crypto. In addition to spot and derivatives trading there’s an NFT marketplace and Crypto.com Earn, which enables users to earn rewards on their eligible crypto holdings. There’s also the Visa card which allows users to spend their crypto at Visa-accepting merchants and earn tiered cashback in CRO, which is the platform’s own token.
The exchange supports over 400 cryptos across more than 560 pairs and has a reported daily volume of $803m. Fees start at 0.075% for both makers and takers and can be reduced via higher volume or by locking up CRO. Some of the platform’s other benefits are also contingent on holding the token, so users will need to consider the benefits against the risks of the token’s price volatility. For users looking for a platform that offers both crypto trading and a range of ways to spend their crypto, Crypto.com brings a number of services together in one place.
Final thoughts Crypto exchanges have evolved from platforms for buying and selling digital assets into broader ecosystems offering trading tools, investment products, and access to a growing range of cryptocurrencies. As the market continues to develop, choosing the right exchange means understanding how its features, fees, security measures, and supported assets align with individual needs. Before committing funds, users should research each platform, understand how it works, and assess the risks involved.
Disclaimer. Readers are encouraged to do their own research. Ambcrypto is not liable for any outcomes related to the use of information, products, or services mentioned. This content may include affiliate or partner links.
Ethereum’s next big upgrade has hit a speed bump on its final practice track. Developers have called off the October 26 activation of Glamsterdam on the Hoodi testnet.
Node operators are now being told to run client software that does not include the scheduled fork. The mainnet activation date, which was never set in stone, remains undecided.
What changed on Hoodi Glamsterdam had been slated to go live on Hoodi on October 26, 2026, at 17:42:48 UTC. That timestamp corresponded to epoch 132,352, the point where the network would have switched to the new rules.
Hoodi is one of Ethereum’s public test networks. It is where client teams and validators rehearse an upgrade under realistic conditions before anything touches real money.
The prior plan had a clear sequence. Operators were expected to upgrade both their execution and consensus clients to fork-ready versions before the activation epoch. Releases such as Lodestar 1.50.0 and Nimbus 26.10.1 had been listed among the compatible versions.
Skipping that step under the old plan meant getting stranded on the pre-fork chain. The new guidance flips the risk: operators should avoid running a fork-enabled build on Hoodi for now.
What Glamsterdam is supposed to deliver Glamsterdam is a combined upgrade. It pairs execution-layer changes, known as Amsterdam, with consensus-layer changes, known as Gloas.
The headline feature is enshrined proposer-builder separation, or ePBS, introduced mainly through EIP-7732. Today, Ethereum relies on outside middleware to split those jobs between block proposers and block builders. ePBS bakes that division of labor directly into the protocol itself.
The upgrade also adds block-level access lists. These let a block declare upfront which parts of the network’s state it will touch, which can help nodes process transactions more efficiently.
Gas pricing adjustments round out the package. Together, these changes are aimed at scaling Ethereum’s base layer, often called Layer 1.
One of the more eye-catching planned changes involved Hoodi’s block gas limit target. It was expected to jump from roughly 60 million to 200 million after the fork.
The Sepolia precedent The cancellation stands out because Glamsterdam already cleared one testnet. It activated on Sepolia on October 6, 2026.
The Hoodi gas limit increase was designed to mirror how Sepolia behaved after its fork. So the upgrade had, at least on one network, already done what it was built to do.
Before the change in plans, discussions around a mainnet launch had hinged on what developers observed on Hoodi. Early December had been floated as a potential candidate window. With the Hoodi activation off the calendar, that window now looks considerably less certain.
What this means for Ethereum For everyday ETH holders, nothing changes today. Users holding ETH or running mainnet nodes had no required action ahead of the upgrade, and that remains the case.
The people who need to pay attention are Hoodi node operators and validators. Running the wrong client build on a testnet will not cost anyone real funds, but it does muddy the test data developers rely on. Following the revised guidance keeps the rehearsal clean.
The next signals to watch are a rescheduled Hoodi epoch, fresh client releases from teams like Lodestar and Nimbus, and any update on whether the early December mainnet window survives.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Ethereum researchers want to reduce the finality time of transactions from 16 to 4 minutes. Behind this technical improvement is a concrete economic issue: to allow transfer services to mobilize less capital while waiting for the definitive confirmation of operations. For now, the project remains under study and does not plan any deployment date.
In brief
Ben Edgington and four co-authors propose to separate validator votes to speed up Ethereum finality.
For a service advancing one million dollars per hour, the locked capital would drop from about 267,000 to 67,000 dollars.
The project has no schedule or final parameters yet, while Solana targets about 150 milliseconds finality with Alpenglow.
Faster finality: less locked capital
While Ethereum updates advance despite the 11% drop in its price, settlement speed remains an important challenge. A transaction can appear in a block without being definitively validated. Validators still need to confirm their commitment not to revert this decision.
This is precisely the problem targeted by the “Decoupled Consensus” EIP project. When a service transfers funds to another network, it often must wait for this finality before recovering its money.
Let’s take an example: a customer wants to send 10,000 dollars. To spare him the wait, the provider can immediately pay the amount from its own reserves. However, it must wait before recovering the corresponding funds on Ethereum.
At large scale, these delays are costly. An operator advancing one million dollars per hour thus locks nearly 267,000 dollars for 16 minutes, versus about 67,000 dollars if the delay drops to four minutes.
Circle’s model also illustrates the benefit of speed. For its stablecoin USDC, the company charges 0.01% on its fast route from Ethereum, i.e., one dollar per 10,000 dollars transferred, excluding network fees. Its standard route, however, does not incur any Circle transfer fees.
Two distinct votes to accelerate Ethereum
Today, validators use the same vote for two functions: participating in the choice of the next block and definitively confirming previous blocks. Since finality depends on two rounds of voting, this mechanism limits settlement speed.
With “Decoupled Consensus,” researchers propose to separate these functions. Validators could thus confirm blocks according to a distinct rhythm, faster and adjustable over time.
This architecture could also facilitate the adoption of quantum-resistant signatures if current cryptographic methods became vulnerable.
A project still far from deployment
For now, no date is announced. Researchers still need to specify voting rhythms, penalties, and several security aspects. Ben Edgington emphasizes that many elements remain to be defined. The submission aims first to formally register the proposal in Ethereum’s development process.
The project adds to other network initiatives. Glamsterdam crossed an important first milestone on Sepolia on October 6, before the next deployment phases.
However, competition reminds us of the scale of the challenge. Solana has activated Alpenglow on its main network, targeting finality of about 150 milliseconds. The two networks rely on different architectures, but the speed gap remains considerable.
It remains to be seen if the Ethereum network can reduce its delays without compromising its security. For operators, the challenge is clear: to recover locked capital faster and facilitate transfers between networks.
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Fenelon L.
Passionné par le Bitcoin, j'aime explorer les méandres de la blockchain et des cryptos et je partage mes découvertes avec la communauté. Mon rêve est de vivre dans un monde où la vie privée et la liberté financière sont garanties pour tous, et je crois fermement que Bitcoin est l'outil qui peut rendre cela possible.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.