The 2026 FIFA World Cup is delivering exactly the kind of moments that crypto marketing teams dream about. Julián Quiñones buried a goal against England in the round-of-16, pulling Mexico within striking distance at 2-1 in front of a roaring Estadio Azteca crowd.
The World Cup crypto playbook isn’t working like it used to Chiliz and Avalanche are among the blockchain brands that have activated promotional campaigns around the tournament, targeting the intersection of fan engagement and digital assets.
Despite Quiñones emerging as one of the tournament’s most electric attacking players, with three goals and one assist across four matches, no measurable price spikes in associated crypto tokens have followed his performances. Not after his opening goal against South Africa on June 11. Not after this latest strike against England.
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Why Quiñones matters beyond the scoreline Quiñones scored the tournament’s opening goal against South Africa on June 11, immediately establishing himself as a key figure for the co-host nation. His trajectory through the group stage and into the knockout rounds — three goals, one assist, four appearances — puts him among the tournament’s leading scorers.
The round-of-16 match against England at Estadio Azteca carried enormous weight for Mexico. Trailing 2-0 would have felt terminal. Quiñones’ goal to make it 2-1 injected life back into the fixture and gave a home crowd reason to believe a comeback was possible.
What this means for crypto investors watching the tournament Chiliz, which pioneered the fan token model through its Socios platform, built its entire business around the premise that major sporting events would drive adoption. Avalanche’s involvement similarly banks on high-visibility moments creating on-ramps for new users.
The absence of any notable price action tied to Quiñones’ performances, or the tournament’s drama more broadly, should prompt a reassessment. Promotional campaigns during mega-events may generate brand impressions, but impressions and token demand are clearly not the same thing.
Investors evaluating CHZ, AVAX, or any token with sports marketing exposure should focus on genuine performance metrics rather than event-driven narratives. Trading volume around fan tokens, wallet creation rates during tournament windows, and retention data post-event are the numbers that actually matter.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Shiba Inu is back in demand following the broader crypto market resurgence that has sparked renewed interest among investors across the space.
While Shiba Inu has also mimicked the bullish trend, its exchange activity has seen a dramatic surge over the last 24 hours as traders appear to be actively buying the asset.
62 Million SHIB in demand Per data provided by crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant, the Shiba Inu exchange netflow has surged by more than 37% over the last 24 hours.
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The surge represents larger participation in buying activities across exchanges that support the asset, over transactions with potential sell attempts within the last 24-hour period.
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Notably, the data shows that the number of SHIB tokens that have been moved out of exchanges for purchase purposes over the last 24 hours is substantially more than the SHIB tokens that flowed in for sale, by 62,807,380,000 SHIB.
While the past weeks have seen traders increasingly exercise caution on the leading meme token following prolonged crypto market volatility, the surge in the exchange netflow signals a sudden flip in investor sentiment.
Shiba Inu reboundsThe surge in the SHIB netflow has arrived after Shiba Inu began to see a sharp rebound in its trading price, posting notable gains in its daily returns.
With Shiba Inu now trading around $0.000004463, the surge in its price coinciding with bullish network activity suggests that Shiba Inu is currently in demand and may be headed for a bigger price move.
Shiba Inu’s price moved within a narrow trading band on Saturday, July 4, 2026, showing only modest gains on daily and weekly charts. Technical indicators suggested that upward momentum was struggling to breach key resistance levels. On-chain data revealed increased activity, though growing concentration among major wallets—often linked to large investors—continued to fuel a cautious outlook.
Resistance pressure persists as price tightensAt the time of reporting, SHIB was changing hands at $0.000004378. The token posted a 1.12% gain in the past 24 hours, with trading volume rising 4.01% to $73.06 million. Over the week, SHIB climbed by 3.32%.
Market analysts, including Crypto With Gopal, underscored a rectangular compression pattern on SHIB’s chart and cautioned that a potential double top formation could be forming. While buyers remained active within the current range, sellers repeatedly halted upward moves near the upper band.
As Crypto With Gopal observed, as long as SHIB maintains its rectangular structure, a breakout above could ease double top pressure and set the stage for a new wave of gains.
This makes the range’s lower support band critical in the short term. To secure a permanent move higher, SHIB will need stronger volume. Otherwise, price consolidation within the current range is likely to persist.
Futures market activity acceleratesAccording to CoinGlass data, SHIB’s futures trading volume surged by 15.72% to $99.53 million. Open interest rose 2.10% to reach $34.98 million. This points to more active positions in the market, although extreme leverage is not a dominant feature at present.
The open interest-weighted funding rate stood at 0.0029%. This indicates sustained interest in SHIB’s futures markets, but not to an overheated degree.
On-chain distribution maintains cautious toneOn-chain address data painted a more complex picture. Bubblemaps, an analytics platform that visualizes relationships between wallet clusters and token flows on the blockchain, was referenced for deeper insight.
Quick glossary: Bubblemaps is an on-chain analytics tool that visually maps wallet connections and token concentrations as a network. Clusters of coordinated addresses help track risks related to concentration and synchronized trading behavior.
While overall distribution suggested neutral to slightly positive dynamics, risks related to wallet centralization were pronounced. Notably, the largest “burn addresses” held 41.04% of these tokens. Since tokens in burn wallets are permanently removed from circulation, this could support supply-side dynamics, provided demand holds steady.
Conversely, a single cluster of 252 interconnected addresses controlled 8.58% of total SHIB supply, a concentration that raises concerns about potential selling pressure. Should this group decide to sell, it could exert significant downward pressure on prices.
Clusters of linked addresses may signal coordinated moves by large investors. As a result, whether support levels hold in the short term remains under close scrutiny.
Amid these developments, Shiba Inu remains trapped between support and resistance levels. Bulls will need to break through resistance decisively to regain control, while a loss of key support could see prices retreat further.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Shiba Inu is regaining the attention of crypto investors as the broader digital asset market shows signs of recovery. Over the past 24 hours, Shiba Inu has seen a noticeable uptick in activity across major exchanges, with a rising trend of buy-side trades indicating a shift in sentiment.
Momentum builds in exchange dataAccording to data from CryptoQuant, the net outflows of Shiba Inu on exchanges climbed by over 37 percent within the last day. As a prominent blockchain analytics platform, CryptoQuant closely monitors capital inflows and outflows on cryptocurrency exchanges to provide insights into liquidity trends.
During the last 24 hours, the amount of SHIB withdrawn from exchanges for purchasing purposes surpassed the amount deposited for selling by a margin of 62,807,380,000 SHIB.
These figures underscore that buying demand on SHIB-supporting exchanges has noticeably outweighed efforts to sell. The substantial difference between tokens moving off exchanges compared to those coming in suggests that short-term demand for SHIB is on the rise.
Sentiment shifts in the meme coin spaceRecent market volatility pushed investors to adopt a more cautious stance toward meme coins in general. However, the latest net inflow reversal for SHIB signals that market sentiment may have quickly swung back in its favor.
This surge in trading activity coincided with a recovery in Shiba Inu’s price. An uptick in daily returns coupled with buy-heavy exchange data has contributed to renewed excitement around the token.
Focus turns to price recoveryAt the time of writing, Shiba Inu was trading near $0.000004463. The simultaneous increase in both price and on-chain activity has prompted investors to watch for the potential of a broader SHIB rally in the days ahead.
Still, analysts caution that sharp short-term flows alone may not be enough to confirm a lasting trend. Even so, the recent data paints a picture of clear resurgence in demand for Shiba Inu, underscoring how dynamic shifts can quickly reshape the meme coin landscape.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Cover image via depositphotos.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Shiba Inu has once again failed to recover a crucial psychological price level, and the meme coin is being sharply rejected in the vicinity of $0.000005. SHIB attempted a modest recovery after displaying signs of stabilization in late June, but it soon encountered intense selling pressure, which strengthened the larger bearish structure that has dominated the asset for months.
SHIB is still stuck below all of the major moving averages on the daily chart. The 100-day and 200-day moving averages are still well above the current price levels, indicating how weak the longer-term trend is, while the 50-day EMA continues to function as dynamic resistance.
Shiba Inu failed to breakthrough Throughout the year, every attempt at recovery has eventually been sold into, and the most recent rejection seems to fit the same pattern. Technically speaking, SHIB recently broke down from a rising wedge formation that had been forming from March to May. These patterns usually end in a decline, and the ensuing drop supported that bearish view. Since then, the asset has had trouble generating significant buying momentum.
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SHIB/USDT Chart by TradingViewThe most recent increase followed a brief decline in SHIB toward local lows at $0.0000040. As the token got closer to the crucial $0.000005 region, buyers were able to initiate a brief rebound, but the movement nearly immediately stalled. Both technically and psychologically, that level is important.
Why it's crucial to make a comebackA reclaim of that level would have opened the door to a challenge of the 50-day EMA and possibly broader recovery. Instead, before SHIB could gain any ground above resistance, sellers intervened forcefully and drove the price back down. The rejection implies that despite sporadic spikes in optimism throughout the cryptocurrency market, market participants are still hesitant to acquire riskier assets.
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Additionally, volume has not been able to sustain a narrative of reversal. In contrast to the spikes observed during earlier rallies and selloffs, recent trading activity is still comparatively muted. SHIB might keep moving within its present bearish channel in the absence of a significant rise in demand. The immediate goal for bulls is still to recover and hold above $0.000005.
Every short-term rally until then runs the risk of turning into another lower high in a larger downtrend. A successful breakout above local resistance would be required to turn momentum back in favor of buyers, but if selling pressure continues, SHIB may return to its recent lows.
Shiba Inu was unable to sustain a decisive break above the closely watched $0.000005 level, disappointing investors hoping for a lasting recovery. After signs of stabilization at the end of June, SHIB made a modest attempt to rebound, but each approach toward this threshold was quickly met with intensified selling pressure. As a result, the persistent weakness that has characterized the token in recent months again came to the forefront.
The technical outlook remains subduedOn the daily chart, SHIB continues to trade below all major moving averages. Both the 100-day and 200-day averages remain well above the current price, indicating the long-term trend has yet to turn bullish. Meanwhile, the 50-day exponential moving average continues to serve as a significant resistance area in the short term.
Shiba Inu, a meme coin based on the Ethereum network and supported by a large community, demonstrates that community enthusiasm alone is not sufficient to support its price. Technical levels and broader market risk appetite have proven more decisive in recent trends.
While reclaiming the $0.000005 level could have sparked another move toward the 50-day exponential moving average, sellers stepped in immediately at this zone, pushing the price back down.
No change in the yearly trendMost attempts at a recovery over the course of the year have ended with renewed selling. The most recent rejection is widely seen as a continuation of this pattern. On the technical side, the breakdown of the ascending wedge formation from March to May remains a key development reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Following this breakdown, SHIB has struggled to generate meaningful buying momentum. The latest upward move began only after prices approached local lows around $0.0000040. While buyers briefly managed a reaction from these levels, momentum faded quickly as SHIB neared the critical $0.000005 mark.
Trading volume fails to provide supportTrading volumes have also offered little support for a reversal. Compared to previous periods of sharp gains or declines that saw pronounced spikes in volume, recent activity has been relatively muted. This suggests the market remains cautious toward higher-risk assets.
For buyers, the primary short-term goal now is for SHIB to move above $0.000005 and sustain this level as support. Unless this occurs, brief rallies may simply establish a new lower high within the broader downtrend.
If selling pressure persists, SHIB is likely to test its recent lows again. Conversely, decisively overcoming local resistance is seen as necessary for buyers to regain at least short-term momentum.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Cover image via depositphotos.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
After rising from the $1.05 support zone, XRP is making one of its best attempts at recovery in weeks. The asset has quickly gained momentum and is currently testing the region surrounding the 50-day EMA, which has served as a ceiling during the current decline.
Despite the recovery, XRP's technical market structure is still bearish. The asset broke out of a descending triangle pattern earlier in the year, and it spent the majority of June setting lower highs and lower lows. But the recent surge has raised the RSI above 50, indicating that bullish momentum is at last coming back. The 50-day moving average, which is close to $1.19, is the important level to monitor.
XRP/USDT Chart by TradingViewThe first significant technical win for bulls in months would come from a breakout above this resistance, which could pave the way to the $1.28 area, where the 100-day EMA is currently located. The longer-term downtrend structure would then provide more resistance for XRP. The recovery has seen an increase in volume, which gives the move more legitimacy.
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However, once XRP hits significant resistance levels, buyers still have to demonstrate that they can maintain demand. XRP may swiftly return to support at $1.10 if the current rally stalls below the 50-day EMA. Momentum is currently in favor of the bulls, but confirmation is still required before discussing a more significant trend reversal.
Shiba Inu is a weak linkDespite a slight recovery from recent lows, Shiba Inu is still among the weakest large-cap coins on the market. After recovering from a selloff that brought it near the crucial $0.0000040 support level, the meme coin is currently trading close to $0.0000043. The big picture is still negative.
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Sellers continue to dominate the market as SHIB continues to trade below its 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages. The asset broke out of a rising wedge formation earlier this year, and the subsequent decline indicated that the long-term downtrend would continue. Over the past few days, SHIB has avoided a total collapse thanks to the emergence of a small recovery structure.
The RSI is getting closer to neutral levels after rising from oversold territory, indicating that selling pressure is lessening. However, the bounce remains relatively weak compared to previous recovery attempts. Near $0.0000049, the location of the 50-day EMA, is the first significant barrier. Bulls must reclaim the significant psychological barrier at $0.0000050 above that in order to alter market sentiment.
SHIB runs the risk of turning the current rebound into another lower high in the absence of greater volume. The token may return to the $0.0000040 support zone if buyers are unable to break through nearby resistance. However, a breakout above $0.0000050 would greatly enhance the technical outlook and might even start a more extensive recovery phase.
Bitcoin's attempt to regain strengthAfter one of the biggest selloffs in recent months, Bitcoin is making an effort to rebound. Before buyers intervened and sparked a relief rally, Bitcoin fell toward the $58,000–$60,000 support zone following a breakdown from the $80,000 region. Bitcoin has returned above the 20-day EMA as a result of the rebound, indicating that short-term momentum is strengthening.
The overall technical picture is still difficult, though. The 50-day and 100-day moving averages, which are located close to $66,700 and $69,500, respectively, are still above BTC. These levels are now the main cluster of resistance that bulls have to get past. The recent rebound also comes after a sharp upward trend that propelled Bitcoin through April and the first part of May was declared invalid.
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Selling pressure increased after that trendline broke, resulting in a series of liquidations that altered the structure of the market. Early signs of improvement are being seen in momentum indicators. After spending some time in oversold territory, the RSI has recovered toward the neutral 50 zone, indicating that bearish pressure is subsiding.
However, buyers still have to demonstrate that the recovery has sufficient strength, as the indicator is still far from overbought conditions. Watching the $66,000–$70,000 range is crucial.
A breakout above that range would put Bitcoin back above its medium-term trend indicators and might lead to a move in the direction of the 200-day moving average at about $75,000. However, another test of the $60,000 support area might result if resistance is not overcome. Rather than a verified reversal, Bitcoin is stabilizing. Bulls still face formidable technical obstacles, but the recovery is encouraging.
Dogecoin bouncesAfter finding support around $0.070, Dogecoin is still trapped inside a larger bearish structure that has dominated trading all year. DOGE entered a sharp correction that drove the asset to new yearly lows after losing a significant rising support trendline that had been in place since February. The token's price is rising back toward the 20-day EMA as a result of the recent bounce, which has helped it regain some lost ground.
DOGE/USDT Chart by TradingViewThe fact that Dogecoin is still below all of the major moving averages presents a challenge for bulls. The longer-term trend is still negative, as evidenced by the 50-day EMA near $0.088 and the 100-day EMA near $0.095, which both continue to slope downward. Oversold conditions, which frequently precede relief rallies, have begun to improve for the RSI.
The indicator is getting closer to the neutral zone, indicating a short-term loss of control for sellers. Additionally, during the most recent rebound, volume has somewhat improved, lending the move more legitimacy. The first significant level of resistance is located between $0.080 and $0.088.
The psychological $0.10 level is probably the next target if DOGE is successful in regaining that area. After months of weakness, sentiment would considerably improve with such a move. On the downside, DOGE may return to the recent support level at $0.070 if momentum is lost. Dogecoin still needs a clear breakout above its moving averages before a sustainable trend reversal can be verified, even though the current bounce is encouraging.
On the 161st anniversary of the United States Secret Service, we celebrate the extraordinary professionals who, with absolute selflessness and little fanfare, work to protect our Nation’s leaders and safeguard our most sacred institutions. With their quiet professionalism, unwavering vigilance, and steadfast devotion to duty, they have truly proven themselves “Worthy of Trust and Confidence.”
On July 5, 1865, the United States Secret Service was officially established, fulfilling legislation that President Abraham Lincoln had signed shortly before his tragic assassination. Originally tasked with investigating and suppressing the widespread forgery of American currency, its agents first worked to ensure economic stability in the post-Civil War era, fortify our financial institutions, and secure the integrity of the dollar—a mission that they continue to pursue today.
Following the assassination of President William McKinley in 1901, Congress expanded the responsibilities of the Secret Service, assigning the critical mission of protecting the President, a duty that has since grown to encompass the Vice President, the First and Second Families, foreign dignitaries, and special protectees. Today, more than 8,000 highly skilled and exceptionally trained special agents; uniformed police officers; technical law enforcement personnel; intelligence and threat analysists, and administrative professionals, safeguard both our Nation’s financial infrastructure and the security of those entrusted with the highest offices, standing watch over the institutions that preserve America’s stability and strength.
These heroes stand ready at a moment’s notice to place themselves in harm’s way to protect our Nation’s leaders, and I am grateful for their continued service and sacrifice. Time and again, the men and women of the Secret Service have risked their own lives to protect others, exhibiting harrowing bravery, remarkable courage, and an unbreakable commitment to their solemn duty. And as radical left-wing violence has surged in recent years, the mission of the Secret Service has never been more vital.
This year, we are especially thankful for the tremendous role the Secret Service is playing as our Nation celebrates 250 glorious years of American Independence. From the Great American State Fair to the Salute to America Rally on the National Mall, our agents are working tirelessly to ensure the success and safety of the grandest, greatest, and biggest birthday celebration in the history of the world.
Today, we honor the valiant members of the United States Secret Service for their steadfast service and commitment to freedom, peace, and the rule of law. Their heroism and countless sacrifices in defense of our beloved Nation and sacred Constitution will continue to inspire generations of Americans. So long as such patriots stand watch, the flame of American freedom will never be extinguished, and our Republic will endure stronger, prouder, and freer than ever before.
South Korea's Busan Bank completes KRW stablecoin infrastructure pilot on Kaia Chain.
South Korea’s BNK Busan Bank has completed a pilot project for a Korean won stablecoin infrastructure on Kaia Chain. The proof-of-concept (PoC) was jointly conducted by K-STAR Alliance partners AhnLab Blockchain Company, Lambda256, and Open Asset. Test results showed a 100% transaction success rate and processing time of less than one second.
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LIT has rallied past $2.7 following adjustments to its token economic model, bouncing 2.5 times from its lows.
According to HTX market data, LIT (Lighter) has continued to rally since announcing a major adjustment to its token economic model, bouncing back from a low of $0.77 to $2.7, with a 22% increase in the past 24 hours. Lighter previously announced that future token repurchases funded by trading platform revenue will shift from simple repurchases to full permanent burns, and it plans to first burn approximately 15.5 million LIT tokens that were repurchased earlier, accounting for around 6.3% of the circulating supply. This mechanism will officially take effect in the third quarter of 2026. Additionally, the funding source for staking rewards will also switch from trading platform revenue to ecological reserve funds.
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Meme coin trading drove a rise in on-chain activity: Solana’s active addresses surged 38% over the past week, while BNB Chain’s 24-hour trading volume increased 45%.
According to data from DeFiLlama, recent trading activity around meme tokens including ANSEM on Solana and TCC, CZ on BNB Chain has driven increased activity on both public blockchains. Solana has risen to the top spot among public blockchains in terms of 7-day activity, with roughly 31.385 million active addresses over the period, a 38% week-over-week surge. Its 7-day trading volume stands at $13.63 billion, with 685 million transactions, generating $4.06 million in fees, a 70% year-over-year increase. The blockchain’s 7-day revenue reached $422,500, up 21% year-over-year. Solana’s total value locked (TVL) across its entire network is currently at $24.78 billion, up 3.9% over the past 7 days. BNB Chain recorded roughly 8.3 million active addresses over the past 7 days, with 96.7 million transactions, a 3.5% year-over-year increase, generating $182,000 in fees. BNB Chain’s 24-hour trading volume rose 45%, climbing from $240 million to $350 million.
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This week's token unlock overview: Large one-time token unlocks are coming for HYPE, PUMP, APT and others.
According to Token Unlocks data, tokens including HYPE, PUMP, and APT will see large unlocks this week, as detailed below: Hyperliquid (HYPE) unlocked roughly 452,000 tokens at 8 AM on July 6, worth approximately $30.9 million; RedStone (RED) will unlock around 40.85 million tokens at 00:00 on July 7, valued at about $4.1 million; Movement (MOVE) will unlock approximately 165 million tokens at 8 PM on July 9, worth roughly $2 million; Linea (LINEA) will unlock around 1.08 billion tokens at 7 PM on July 10, valued at approximately $2.7 million; io.net (IO) will unlock about 13.29 million tokens at 8 PM on July 11, worth roughly $2.3 million; Pump.fun (PUMP) will unlock approximately 82.5 billion tokens at 10 PM on July 12, valued at around $125 million; Aptos (APT) will unlock roughly 11.31 million tokens at 10 PM on July 12, worth about $6.9 million.
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The crypto market posts a minor recovery, with Bitcoin holding steady above $63,000, and total crypto market capitalization rising 1% over the past 24 hours.
According to HTX market data, the cryptocurrency market has seen a minor recovery, with Bitcoin holding steady above $63,000 and Ethereum briefly crossing $1,800. The total crypto market capitalization has risen 1% over the past 24 hours, now standing at $2.249 trillion. BNB briefly broke through $590, while SOL exceeded $80. Leading altcoin gainers include: ALICE up 15.2% in 24 hours; TRB up 13.3%; RESOLV up 10.85%; PUMP up 8.7%; and tokens previously listed on Binance’s monitoring list such as TLM, VANRY, and SYN surged over 20%.
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South Korean Bitcoin treasury firm Bitplanet has reached a partnership with Antalpha, with plans to introduce mining equipment worth 15 billion South Korean won.
South Korean bitcoin treasury firm Bitplanet has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with U.S.-listed company Antalpha, planning to introduce 15 billion won worth of bitcoin mining equipment and launch full-scale mining operations this month. Future bitcoin output will be recognized as operating revenue and managed as long-term financial assets. The first-phase equipment is projected to generate over 7 BTC monthly, totaling more than 80 BTC annually. The mining rigs will be deployed in overseas regions with competitive electricity costs, including Oman and Paraguay, adopting an overseas hosting and joint venture operational model.
Meme coin dominance has slipped to 3.7% of the altcoin market, its lowest level since February 2024, according to CryptoQuant. Analyst Darkfost says the number of meme coin holders now sits at a three-year low.
The reading marks a steep retreat from November 2024, when a post-election trading frenzy pushed meme tokens above 10% of the altcoin market. Capital has since flowed elsewhere.
Meme coin holders are becoming increasingly rare. Source: CryptoQuant Capital Rotates Toward Utility TokensThe dominance ratio weighs the combined value of meme tokens against the wider altcoin market. A falling reading shows the group losing ground to its rivals.
“Meme coin holders are becoming increasingly rare,” Darkfrost highlighted.
The rotation shows up in raw market value. Meme tokens are worth roughly $28 billion combined. Real-world asset (RWA) tokens, a sector now drawing capital, top $64 billion, more than double that, per CoinGecko data.
Analysts tracking the current altcoin narratives point to artificial intelligence (AI), RWA, and decentralized finance (DeFi) as the main draw.
Dogecoin (DOGE) remains the biggest meme coin, worth about $12.1 billion. That is close to half the entire sector’s value.
Long-Term Holders Feel the SqueezeFew cases show the shift better than Murad Mahmudov. On the Token2049 stage in 2024, he pitched a meme coin supercycle, arguing culture-driven tokens would outrun Bitcoin and Ethereum.
He has held that meme coin portfolio for more than two years. On-chain data tracked by Arkham shows he has not sold a single token. The portfolio has still fallen about 81% from its peak.
MURAD HAS BEEN HOLDING MEMECOINS FOR 2 YEARS
Murad has been holding his memecoin portfolio for over 2 years now. He’s down 81% from his portfolio all-time-high – but he’s still holding.
He never sold anything. Will Murad make it after all? pic.twitter.com/85VxzfwmPq
— Arkham (@arkham) July 3, 2026 SPX6900 (SPX) leads that book. The token trades near $0.40 and is down roughly 67% over the past year, well below its July 2025 high.
SPX6900 (SPX) Price Performance. Source: CoingeckoPolitical meme coins have fared worse. Official Trump (TRUMP), launched days before the January 2025 inauguration, spiked near $73 before collapsing. It now changes hands around $1.71, down about 98%, and most of its buyers sit underwater.
Perhaps the most blatant example of corruption in the history of American politics. pic.twitter.com/SlNdRmWFvg
— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) July 1, 2026 The pattern has precedent. The last time meme dominance sat this low, in early 2024, a sharp rally followed within months. Whether that repeats depends on retail traders returning, and for now a fresh meme coin season looks distant while money favors tokens with real-world uses.
SUI has maintained its recovery momentum since reaching lows in June, with technical indicators suggesting that buyers remain active around designated support levels. As SUI’s price approaches a critical resistance area in the short term, the overall sentiment stays cautiously positive as long as the $0.65 level holds.
Resistance zone draws close attentionAnalyst More Crypto Online believes the five-wave downward structure previously observed has likely run its course. Against this backdrop, SUI’s price is heading toward a key resistance between $0.73 and $0.78. Holding above $0.65 is seen as crucial to preserving the integrity of the ongoing rebound.
According to Elliott Wave analysis, a breakout above $0.78 could confirm a strengthening of the second wave of recovery. In this scenario, the next areas to watch as resistance would be between $0.95 and $1.20. Sustained buying interest might even push SUI toward a higher range of $1.38 to $1.73.
More Crypto Online explains that so long as the $0.65 support is intact, SUI’s recovery structure would remain in effect, while a move above $0.78 could significantly accelerate the upward trend.
Conversely, a drop below $0.65 could weaken the current recovery scenario, potentially increasing selling pressure and bringing SUI back to the $0.49 support region.
Indicators show limited but positive signalsTechnical indicators, despite recent price weakness, reveal that the recovery bias has not been entirely invalidated. The MACD line remains in negative territory but is positioned above its signal line. Additionally, the histogram is still in positive territory, implying buyers have not yet relinquished short-term control.
The RSI stands at 48.11, maintaining a position above its moving average. While the RSI is below 50, it remains within the neutral zone, indicating neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive advantage at this point.
Mainnet test bolsters long-term outlookBeyond price movement, the Sui network recently achieved a live mainnet test, reaching over 6 million transactions per second (TPS). As a layer 1 blockchain designed for high-speed processing, Sui’s latest result marks a substantial leap beyond its earlier 2.5 million TPS record.
Mini glossary: TPS stands for transactions per second and measures a blockchain network’s transaction capacity. Mainnet refers to the project’s live blockchain environment with real users and assets.
The network’s test phase began above 1 million TPS, with transactions being executed fee-free. The trial took place during competitions among AI agents in multiple decentralized applications. This development is viewed as a key factor that could drive further investor confidence.
For SUI’s near-term trajectory, the contest between the $0.65 support and $0.78 resistance is decisive, while the successful high-capacity test on mainnet is reinforcing the network’s long-term prospects.
Looking ahead, whether SUI can break out of its current range to the upside will be closely monitored. If the $0.65 support holds and market momentum grows, the chances of a move above $0.78 will increase. By contrast, if Bitcoin continues to trade in a balanced pattern and overall market momentum remains subdued, SUI may remain rangebound for some time.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Crypto markets saw a technical recovery this week.
Bitcoin [BTC] reclaimed key support after an early-week selloff and helped improve sentiment across the market. The rebound triggered a rotation into altcoins, allowing several mid- and low-cap tokens to post outsized gains.
However, the biggest winners weren’t driven by broad market momentum alone. Instead, developer-led catalysts, protocol upgrades, and project-specific announcements dominated price action, reinforcing that fundamentals, rather than pure speculation, were behind many of this week’s top performers.
MemeCore [M] rally has a long way ahead! MemeCore [M] topped this week’s gainers with a 110% rally, recovering sharply after last week’s 70.5% correction pushed it onto the weekly losers list. In that context, this week’s move looks more like a trend reversal than just a dead-cat bounce.
The big question now is whether M can keep the momentum going. Fundamentally, the rally has backing. As AMBCrypto reported, MemeCore announced a $10 million buyback program, reducing the token’s circulating supply and adding a strong scarcity narrative behind the price action.
The market reacted immediately, sending M into a parabolic rally. Even so, the weekly chart still leaves room for further upside. Despite the triple-digit gain, the weekly RSI hasn’t reached overbought territory yet, suggesting bullish momentum hasn’t been fully exhausted.
Source: TradingView (M/USDT) If buying pressure holds, M could have enough fuel to extend its recovery into next week.
Against this backdrop, M’s nearly 13% dip over the past 72 hours doesn’t look too concerning. After a 110% weekly rally, a pullback like this is fairly normal. It helps cool off overheated momentum, shake out weak hands, and clear excess leverage.
If buyers continue to defend the current structure, this pullback could end up being a healthy reset rather than a reversal, keeping M well-positioned to make a run toward the $2 mark next week.
Cardano [ADA] records its strongest weekly run Cardano [ADA] emerged as this week’s second-biggest gainer with a strong 33.5% rally. More importantly, it marked ADA’s strongest weekly performance since Q1 2025, suggesting the move was driven by more than just short-term dip buying.
As AMBCrypto reported, the rally comes ahead of the upcoming Van Rossem hard fork, Cardano’s upgrade to Protocol Version 11. The upgrade introduces more efficient smart contracts, improved security, and enhanced developer tools, all while keeping the network running without disrupting existing applications.
Those improvements have naturally boosted investor confidence, helping fuel ADA’s rally. On the charts, ADA is also looking stronger. It’s trading around $1.20 with momentum building on the daily timeframe. If buyers keep up the pressure, clearing this resistance could open the door for another leg higher next week.
Lighter [LIT] moves towards price discovery Lighter [LIT] took the third spot among this week’s top gainers with a 31% rally. The move also sparked a noticeable jump in leveraged activity in the derivatives market, with the $2.20 level emerging as an area where traders are heavily positioned.
From a technical view, LIT still looks constructive. Bulls have consistently bought the dips on both the daily and weekly charts, triggering short squeezes and pushing the token into price discovery. More importantly, the RSI is still well below extreme overbought levels, suggesting the rally isn’t overstretched just yet.
As long as buyers continue absorbing profit-taking, the trend remains intact. With momentum still on the bulls’ side and no clear signs of exhaustion, LIT looks well placed to extend its rally into the coming week.
Other notable winners Outside the majors, altcoin movers also stood out this week.
Pop Planet [P] led the action with a +7456% move, followed by Vanta Network [SN8] surging +5221%, while The Black Bull [ANSEM] climbed +1420%, rounding out the list of biggest movers.
Weekly losers Venice Token [VVV] breaks down below a key support level Venice Token [VVV] topped this week’s losers chart with a 14% correction. More importantly, the charts are still leaning bearish, with the $10 support level now coming under pressure.
On the weekly chart, VVV has spent the last six weeks in a steady downtrend, with only one week of meaningful buying. Even then, bulls couldn’t hold the recovery, showing that sellers are still firmly in control.
The daily chart isn’t much different. VVV opened the week with an 8%+ drop, bounced 8.7% the next day to briefly reclaim the $15 area, but the recovery quickly faded. Sellers stepped back in and pushed the token down nearly 15% over the following three sessions.
Source: TradingView (VVV/USDT) Right now, every bounce is being met with fresh selling, which isn’t what you want to see if you’re looking for a trend reversal. Unless buyers step in soon, the odds of VVV losing the $10 support continue to rise. If that level breaks, a deeper correction could be next.
Pi [PI] bears take control from the bulls Pi [PI] emerged as this week’s second-biggest loser with an 8%+ decline. The charts tell a similar story to VVV, with bears continuing to control the trend while buyers struggle to build any meaningful momentum.
From a technical standpoint, there’s still no clear sign of a bottom. Over the past month, PI has lost two key support levels. The first was around $0.15, which acted as a solid floor back in February. But when price revisited that area in June, buyers couldn’t hold it, allowing sellers to take over again.
This week’s 8% drop has now pushed PI below the $0.13 range where it had spent the last three weeks consolidating. That breakdown shifts the focus toward the $0.10 level. Unless bulls can quickly reclaim the lost support, the current setup continues to favor more downside.
Canton [CC] records extended weekly losses! Canton [CC] took the third spot among this week’s biggest losers with a near 6% decline. Compared to the other top losers, the drop was relatively modest, but the charts are still pointing lower.
From a technical standpoint, this week’s losses simply add to the ongoing weakness. CC has now posted four straight weeks of declines, sliding from around $0.17 to $0.14, with sellers staying firmly in control.
The weekly chart also shows CC trading at its lowest level since the January rally, leaving many recent buyers underwater. That’s usually not a great sign, as it can trigger more selling into any short-term bounce. Unless buyers step in soon, the current trend continues to favor a move toward the $0.10 level.
Other notable losers In the broader market, downside volatility hit hard.
SkyAI is a crypto asset in the emerging token segment recorded a 75% drop, followed by Xeffy falling 63.6%, and Velvet slipping 62.5%, as momentum sharply cooled.
Conclusion This week was a rollercoaster. Big pumps, sharp dips, and nonstop action. As always, stay sharp, do your own research, and trade smart.
Final Summary MemeCore [M], Cardano [ADA], Lighter [LIT] led the week in gains. Venice Token [VVV], Pi [PI], Cranton [CC] saw significant declines.
5 July 2026 | 16:20 It looks like Bitcoin's problem right now isn't that holders have lost faith. It's that the money needed to push price higher has drained out of the system.
Key Takeaways Stablecoin exchange inflows sit at an 18-month low, down 56% from the mid-2025 rally. USDC and USDT supply has been contracting since November 2025, a demand gauge turning negative. Three independent methods converge on the same floor: $58,000-$60,000. BTC trades at $62,794, bouncing off its 50-month average at $59,878. Four separate on-chain lenses all describe the same market from different angles, and they agree on the structure while disagreeing only on how deep it goes: this is a liquidity drought, not a conviction collapse.
The Fuel Gauge Is Near Empty Start with the clearest signal. According to CryptoQuant analyst Zakariya Sharif, mean stablecoin inflows across all exchanges sit at 21,557, down 56.25% and the lowest in 18 months. During the mid-2025 rally, those inflows regularly spiked between 100,000 and 280,000.
ERC20 stablecoin exchange inflow and Bitcoin price correlation. One isolated spike in May 2026 failed to reverse the trend, and flows have flatlined since. Sharif’s framework is specific: inflows staying below 30,000 for two more weeks points to a retest of $58,000-$60,000, while a sustained recovery above 80,000-100,000 would be the first genuine sign buyers are returning.
The supply side of stablecoins tells the same story. CryptoQuant’s Darkfost notes USDC’s market cap is down 3.6% and USDT down 2% over 30 days, a contraction running since November 2025.
30-day market cap growth of major stablecoins versus Bitcoin price. The mechanism is what makes this meaningful: issuers mint new tokens when demand rises and burn surplus when it weakens, so stablecoin supply is itself a demand gauge. A net burn means more capital has left crypto than entered. Inflows at 18-month lows and stablecoin supply shrinking are the same fact measured twice.
Where the Money Went This is where a growing number of prominent voices offer an explanation, and a reason the drought may not be permanent. Several major figures argue the liquidity didn’t vanish, it rotated into AI. Raoul Pal, the Real Vision CEO and former Goldman Sachs executive, frames the crypto weakness as the product of negative excess liquidity that pulled capital into AI and semiconductor sectors, a condition he now says is beginning to reverse as broader liquidity measures turn positive.
Arthur Hayes has put numbers on it, estimating that hyperscalers and AI firms issued roughly $1.5 trillion in debt between late 2022 and mid-2026, almost exactly matching the rise in M2 money supply over the same period, leading him to argue “AI sucked up all created dollars.” Tom Lee and CZ have pointed to the same rotation pattern, US semiconductor ETFs pulled in more than $20 billion since April while Bitcoin and gold ETFs saw outflows, and the shared thesis among them is that this capital tends to rotate back toward crypto once liquidity conditions ease and crypto reclaims performance leadership. It’s a view worth weighing as the optimistic counterpoint, though it remains a thesis about what could happen, not a confirmed turn.
That framing points to a deeper structural shift underway, one Michael Saylor has articulated more directly than most. Saylor argues that “Bitcoin evolves by not changing,” meaning its next phase will come not from frequent protocol upgrades but from being woven more deeply into global finance.
https://t.co/z65C1oYdaw
— Michael Saylor (@saylor) July 5, 2026
In his view, the coming decade will be driven by capital flows rather than miner issuance, with demand increasingly sourced from ETFs, corporate treasuries, sovereign reserves, bank credit, derivatives, insurance, collateral markets, structured credit, and global savings. “The halving tightens supply. Capital flows set the growth trajectory,” as he puts it, reflecting his conviction that institutional adoption, not the protocol itself, is the engine of Bitcoin’s long-term growth. It’s a useful lens for the current moment: if capital flows are what ultimately move Bitcoin, then the stablecoin drought this article describes is precisely a capital-flow problem, and the case for a recovery rests on those flows turning, exactly as the AI-rotation thesis suggests they could.
How Deep Is the Bottom? The depth gauges agree the market is in a bottom-formation zone, but not yet at historical extremes. Darkfost, using a chart by Joao Wedson, points to the True Market Mean, the average price of active Bitcoin excluding long-dormant coins, sitting near $76,700. That level acted as resistance in May, when holders exited at break-even rather than keep holding.
Bitcoin True Market Mean Price and AVIV Ratio analysis. The related AVIV ratio sits around 0.8, meaning the active cohort holds an average 20% loss. Prior bear-market bottoms printed 0.5-0.6, or 40-50% losses, so this is significant but not yet capitulation-grade. Darkfost’s own hedge is worth keeping: ETF-era adoption may mean full historical devaluation isn’t required, though nothing yet contradicts the cyclical pattern.
CryptoQuant’s Yonsei adds another measure. Just 51.9% of circulating supply is in profit, in bear/bottom territory below 55% since June and trending down since October 2025, approaching the 44% that marked the 2022 absolute bottom. That 2022 bottom phase lasted roughly eight months; mapped onto this cycle, the phase could stretch into September or October 2026.
Bitcoin supply in profit percentage trends. Every depth gauge says the same thing with different numbers: AVIV at 0.8 versus 0.5-0.6 at prior bottoms, Supply in Profit at 51.9% versus 44% in 2022, drawdown around 50% versus 60-80% in prior cycles. The 2022 template has room left. The open question is whether ETF-era adoption shortens the distance.
The Levels All Point to One Floor Here’s the detail that could tie everything together. On the monthly chart, July’s candle is up 7.29% to $62,794 after a June low of $57,700, and it’s bouncing off a level that matters: the 50-month simple moving average at $59,878. This is the same average Bitcoin never lost during the entire 2024-2025 run. Monthly RSI at 43.14 is the weakest of the cycle, while the 100-month average at $40,488 stands as the historical bear-market floor reference.
Monthly BTC/USD price chart on Bitstamp / Source: TradingView What makes the $58,000-$60,000 zone compelling is that three completely independent methodologies land there. Sharif’s on-chain risk zone ($58,000-$60,000), the June price low ($57,700), and the 50-month SMA ($59,878) all sit in the same band. Flow analysis, price history, and long-term trend structure, three unrelated approaches, identify the same floor. Above price, the ceiling story converges too: the True Market Mean at $76,700 is where active holders break even, which functionally caps rallies until either price consolidates long enough for the cost basis to fall or demand strengthens enough to absorb those break-even sellers.
That said, this is still crypto, a market that has a long history of surprising even the most aligned models, and if there’s one thing the past cycles have taught, it’s that when every analyst and dataset agrees on a floor, the market is fully capable of slicing straight through it to levels no one was positioned for.
Three Frameworks, One Timeline The timing estimates cluster just as tightly. Yonsei_dent’s Supply-in-Profit template points to September-October. Markus Thielen’s earlier analysis mapped a Q4 bottom. Rekt Capital’s estimate that the cycle is 71% complete implies late 2026. Three unrelated frameworks land in the same quarter, and that clustering is itself information worth stating plainly, rather than any single forecast carrying the weight.
This is also corroborated outside CryptoQuant. A CEX.IO report covered by CryptoSlate found total stablecoin supply contracted to $312 billion in Q2, the first quarterly decline since 2023, with transaction counts posting their largest drop on record. The liquidity story isn’t one analyst’s read; it’s showing up across independent datasets.
The Sequence to Watch The value in stacking these signals is that they have an order, a sequence that could confirm a genuine turn rather than a false start:
First, stablecoin supply must stop burning. Issuance is the fuel gauge, and it has to stabilize before anything else matters. Then, exchange inflows recover above 80,000-100,000. That’s the fuel actually reaching the engine. Then, Supply in Profit reclaims 55%. The marker of the phase transition out of bottom territory. Finally, price has to take on $76,700. The structural exit test, where break-even sellers get absorbed. Right now the market sits at step zero, holding the $58,000-$60,000 floor while it waits for step one. A monthly close below the 50-month average at $59,878 before that liquidity turn arrives could invalidate the floor thesis and open the path toward the deeper historical targets. Until the dollar side of the order book refills, this is a market resting on a well-defined floor, with conviction intact and only the fuel missing.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult a professional before making investment decisions.
Author
Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets - crypto first, then everything else. It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn't fully understand it - so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can't properly understand one without the other. What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it's happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline - price up, price down, here's a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn? He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University - not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That's probably why he hasn't stopped.
AI crypto refers to a category of blockchain-based tokens and projects that integrate artificial intelligence into their core function, ranging from decentralized machine learning networks to AI-powered trading agents and data marketplaces. Rather than describing a single technology, “AI crypto” is an umbrella term covering any project where AI and blockchain infrastructure work together, either by using AI to improve blockchain operations or by using blockchain to decentralize and monetize AI systems. The sector’s combined market capitalization sits at roughly $18–28 billion in 2026, driven by rising demand for cheaper, decentralized alternatives to centralized AI computing.
Key Takeaways AI crypto describes tokens and platforms combining artificial intelligence with blockchain technology, not a single coin or protocol The category spans decentralized AI compute networks, on-chain trading agents, AI-powered data marketplaces, and AI-driven content generation platforms NEAR Protocol and Bittensor (TAO) rank as the two largest AI crypto tokens by market capitalization, each above $2 billion, followed by DeXe, Internet Computer, and Render AI crypto trading bots have become one of the most searched applications of the sector, using AI to automate buy/sell decisions based on market data The sector remains highly speculative, with valuations often driven more by AI-related hype cycles than by proven usage What Does “AI Crypto” Actually Mean AI crypto sits at the intersection of two of the most-discussed technology trends of the 2020s: artificial intelligence and blockchain. In practice, projects labeled as AI crypto generally fall into one of two directions. Some use blockchain to decentralize AI infrastructure — for example, distributing GPU compute power across a network of independent providers instead of relying on centralized cloud providers. Others use AI to enhance blockchain-native functions, such as autonomous trading bots, on-chain data analysis, or smart contract auditing.
Because the term covers such a wide range of use cases, it’s more accurate to think of “AI crypto” as a sector rather than a specific type of token, similar to how “DeFi” describes an entire category of financial applications rather than one protocol. For a broader look at how blockchain technology functions at a foundational level, see our guide to what is blockchain.
What Are AI Crypto Coins AI crypto coins are the native tokens of blockchain projects built around artificial intelligence use cases. These tokens typically serve one or more practical functions within their ecosystem: paying for AI compute resources, staking to participate in network governance, rewarding data contributors, or serving as the transactional currency for AI agent interactions. Unlike purely speculative meme tokens, most established AI crypto coins are tied to a specific technical product, such as a decentralized GPU marketplace or an AI model training network, though token value doesn’t always track the underlying platform’s actual usage.
Types of AI Crypto Projects Infrastructure tokens power decentralized computing networks that provide the GPU and processing power AI models require, offering an alternative to centralized cloud providers like AWS or Google Cloud.
AI agent tokens support autonomous software agents that can execute on-chain actions — trading, portfolio management, or smart contract interactions — without constant human input.
Data marketplace tokens facilitate the buying, selling, or licensing of datasets used to train AI models, often with blockchain-based verification of data provenance and quality.
Application-layer tokens power consumer-facing AI tools built on blockchain rails, including AI-generated content platforms, prediction markets, and analytics tools.
Top AI Crypto Coins by Market Cap The AI crypto sector’s combined market capitalization stood at roughly $18 billion in early July 2026, with 24-hour sector volume around $2.5 billion, according to CoinMarketCap’s AI & Big Data category. The following projects consistently rank among the largest by market cap across major data providers:
CoinCategoryMarket Cap (Jul 2026)What It DoesNEAR Protocol (NEAR)AI agents~$2.57BInfrastructure for autonomous AI agents transacting on behalf of users, with sub-second transaction finalityBittensor (TAO)Model training~$2.35BDecentralized machine learning network where AI models compete and earn rewards for output quality across specialized subnetsDeXe (DEXE)AI governance/DeFi~$2.04BCombines AI-assisted decision tooling with on-chain DAO governance infrastructureInternet Computer (ICP)Compute/hosting~$1.21BFunctions as a decentralized “world computer” supporting AI-powered applications without centralized cloud infrastructureRender (RENDER)GPU compute~$828MDecentralized network for renting GPU power, originally built for graphics rendering and increasingly used for AI workloadsFilecoin (FIL)Decentralized storage~$624MIncreasingly used to store the large training datasets and model checkpoints AI systems requireInjective (INJ)AI-powered DeFi~$466MLayer-1 built for finance that has expanded into AI-assisted trading infrastructure and on-chain agent toolingArtificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET)AI agents/data~$395MFormed from the merger of Fetch.ai, SingularityNET, and Ocean Protocol, spanning autonomous agents and data marketplaces NEAR Protocol and Bittensor have traded the top spot in the AI crypto category through mid-2026, reflecting investor preference for projects with measurable on-chain activity — compute jobs processed, models trained, agent transactions settled — over tokens using “AI” as a marketing label without a working product behind it.
AI Crypto Trading Bots Explained One of the most practically searched applications within the AI crypto sector is the AI trading bot — software that uses machine learning models to analyze market data and execute buy or sell orders automatically, without requiring constant manual input from a trader. These bots typically operate by identifying patterns in price action, order book depth, or on-chain data, then acting on predefined strategies faster than a human could manually track multiple markets. While AI trading bots can process far more data than manual trading, they carry the same fundamental risk as any automated strategy: poor underlying logic or unexpected market conditions can lead to losses just as quickly as gains.
Related tools include AI-driven portfolio management platforms, which apply similar automated decision-making to rebalancing across multiple assets rather than executing individual trades.
What Is the Best AI Crypto to Invest In There is no single “best” AI crypto token, and any project claiming otherwise should be treated with skepticism. The more useful question is which category of AI crypto project fits a given risk tolerance and thesis. Investors focused on measurable, verifiable usage often gravitate toward decentralized compute infrastructure like Bittensor or Render, since GPU rental volume and network revenue can be checked on-chain. Those willing to accept higher risk for higher potential upside sometimes look toward earlier-stage AI agent platforms, though these carry substantially more uncertainty given how early the agent economy remains. As with any crypto investment, position sizing and independent research into a project’s actual technical product matter more than following sector-wide hype.
AI Crypto Tokens vs. Traditional Cryptocurrencies The core difference between AI crypto tokens and traditional cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin lies in their intended function. Bitcoin was designed primarily as a decentralized store of value and payment network, with no native connection to artificial intelligence. AI crypto tokens, by contrast, are generally built to serve a specific role within an AI-related ecosystem — paying for compute, incentivizing data sharing, or enabling autonomous agent transactions. This makes AI crypto tokens more comparable to utility tokens in other sectors, such as DeFi governance tokens, than to Bitcoin’s pure monetary use case.
Valuation dynamics also differ. AI crypto tokens have shown a tendency to move in correlation with broader AI industry sentiment — rallying alongside major AI model releases or enterprise AI announcements — rather than tracking crypto-market-specific catalysts like Bitcoin halvings or ETF flows. For live pricing on major cryptocurrencies that frequently intersect with AI-driven trading and agent activity, see Bitcoin price, Ethereum price, and Solana price — all three networks host significant AI-related token activity.
Risks and Considerations The AI crypto sector carries risks beyond typical crypto volatility. Many projects are still pre-revenue, with token valuations based on speculative future adoption rather than current usage. The rapid pace of AI development also means today’s cutting-edge decentralized AI infrastructure could be made obsolete by advances in centralized AI computing, undermining the core value proposition of some projects. Token unlock schedules and emission rates also vary widely across the sector, which can dilute holder value even when the underlying project continues to grow.
Additionally, the AI crypto label itself has attracted opportunistic token launches seeking to capitalize on AI-related search and social media interest without offering a genuine technical product. Analysts generally recommend evaluating any AI crypto project against three factors: whether it has real, measurable utility rather than just AI branding; whether developer activity is active and sustained; and whether tokenomics include reasonable dilution risk. For broader context on evaluating crypto projects, see our coverage on Crypto News Today and Crypto Market Today.
ETHFI Leads the Pack With a Sharp Weekly Gain@ether_fi's native governance token $ETHFI has emerged as one of the standout performers in the current crypto market cycle, posting a nearly 15% gain in 24 hours and extending its weekly advance to around 25%. According to CoinGecko, the token has risen approximately 24.9% over the past seven days, outpacing the broader cryptocurrency market, which is up roughly 5.6% over the same period, as well as the wider Ethereum ecosystem cohort, which has gained around 12.7%.
The move has brought $ETHFI within reach of reclaiming a $400 million market cap. CoinGecko data places the current market capitalisation at approximately $407 million, with a circulating supply of around 930 million tokens.
The catalyst behind the rally is not immediately obvious. No single announcement has been pinpointed, and the question of what is driving the surge remains open. That said, a number of notable protocol developments have taken place in recent weeks that may be contributing to renewed investor interest.
Protocol Activity Builds a Stronger Fundamental CaseIn early June, ether.fi and onchain vault manager Plume launched a new yield-bearing real-world asset vault. According to The Block, ether.fi allocated $100 million to the vault, drawing capital from its liquidity provider base, including funds, family offices, and high-net-worth individuals, as well as from its existing liquid vaults.
Separately, ether.fi entered a three-year, $3 billion agreement with ETHGas, committing roughly 40% of its staked ETH to support a new forward market for Ethereum blockspace. The partnership gives ether.fi exclusive access to ETHGas's preconfirmation platform, providing execution guarantees and predictable pricing for buyers such as rollups and institutional traders.
On the tokenomics side, the ether.fi DAO has an approved proposal to allocate up to $50 million from treasury funds for $ETHFI buybacks when the token trades below $3, funded by protocol revenue. Trading volume has also picked up sharply, with CoinGecko noting a 123.5% increase in 24-hour volume, a signal of elevated market activity rather than a quiet drift higher.
Ether.fi is a decentralised, non-custodial liquid restaking protocol on Ethereum. Users stake ETH and receive eETH, the first native liquid restaking token on the network, which can be deployed across DeFi to earn additional yield. The $ETHFI token is used for protocol governance.
Whether the current move has legs or is a short-term rerating remains to be seen, but the combination of strong protocol momentum and improving tokenomics gives traders more to work with than momentum alone.
Sources:
CoinGecko: Ether.fi (ETHFI) Price and Market Data
The Block: Ether.fi Allocates $100 Million to Plume RWA Vault
Notcoin has gained over 8%, trading at $0.00042 NOT’s trading volume has skyrocketed by 137%. The market is attempting to make a recovery by handling a broader fear sentiment. A bunch of crypto tokens have flipped green, chasing the recent high ranges. Meanwhile, within the altcoin sector, Notcoin (NOT) has posted 8.61% surge in price, currently trading at $0.0004270.
Moreover, the asset’s lowest and highest trading levels were noted at $0.0003918 and $0.0004278, respectively. The market cap has likely reached $42.25 million, with NOT’s daily trading volume shooting up by over 137%, touching the $13.28 million level, as per CMC data.
With the bullish momentum in the Notcoin market, the price could climb to the resistance at the $0.0004319 range. A continued move on the upside clearly triggers the golden cross to take place, and the bulls might gradually send the asset price higher, above $0.00044.
On the flip side, if the bears showed up, the NOT price might slip and test the nearest $0.0004218 support zone. Steady and deep losses could invite the death cross to emerge, and the potent bears could take the asset’s price to its former low, established around $0.00041.
Notcoin’s Technical Indicator Analysis On studying the technical indicators of Notcoin, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence line is placed above the signal line. This crossover suggests that the buying momentum is strengthening. Also, it may increase the chances of continued upward price movement.
As long as the MACD line stays above the signal line, the bullish momentum is generally considered intact.
NOT’s daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 77.77, indicating that it has fallen in the overbought territory, reflecting very strong buying sentiment. The recent rally has been driven by aggressive buying. But with the value at this level, the chances of the trend moving sideways increase.
Even so, if buying demand remains strong, the uptrend can continue despite the elevated reading.
Furthermore, these signals suggest that the buyers are in control, which increases the likelihood of continued upward price action. At the same time, stretched momentum can lead to higher volatility, with short-term profit-taking becoming more likely after a strong rally.
Crypto Market Highlights
PEPE Flashes Fresh Strength: Will the 10% Jump Fuel More Gains?
Content Writer | Crypto Enthusiast | Bridging Literature and Blockchain
The spot @HyperliquidX ETFs posted net inflows of $4.32M for the week ending July 4, marking their weakest weekly performance since launching in mid-May 2026. While still positive, the figure represents a notable cooldown from the pace that made these products some of the most closely watched new ETFs in crypto this year.
A Strong Start That Has Slowed The suite of spot $HYPE ETFs, which includes Bitwise's BHYP, 21Shares' THYP, and Grayscale's HYPG, had an explosive debut. The products crossed $100M in combined net inflows within just 10 trading sessions of their mid-May 2026 debut, a pace that, on a market-cap-adjusted basis, no prior altcoin ETF had matched. Inflows accelerated sharply early on, jumping from $6.89M in the partial launch week to $68.02M for the full week ending May 22, a near 10x week-over-week surge.
The momentum continued into June. Spot Hyperliquid ETFs attracted $111M in net inflows on June 29 alone, even as U.S. spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs faced significant outflows. That single-day figure dwarfs the entire week's tally reported this week, underscoring how sharply the pace has moderated.
Despite the slower week, the ETFs have seen remarkably few down days. According to @BSCNews, the products have recorded only two days of net outflows since launch (June 5 and June 30), a sign of durable if cooling institutional interest.
Supply Lock-Up Continues Perhaps more telling than weekly flow figures is the cumulative supply impact. The spot $HYPE ETFs now collectively hold 2.28% of $HYPE's current circulating supply, a meaningful concentration that reduces the float available to open-market participants. The two leading funds have attracted over $137M in total, validating institutional demand for the asset.
Part of the structural appeal for ETF investors is $HYPE's built-in buyback mechanism. Hyperliquid runs a mechanism called the Assistance Fund, with 99% of trading fees from the exchange's perpetual and spot markets flowing into it, and the fund spending that money buying $HYPE on the open market. That dynamic, combined with ETF inflows locking up supply, has drawn comparisons to the demand structures seen in early Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF cycles.
Whether this week's softer inflow number signals a sustained deceleration or simply a pause after June's record-setting activity remains to be seen. What is clear is that the $HYPE ETF category, barely two months old, has already redefined expectations for altcoin ETF launches.
Sources:
CNBC: Bitcoin is cratering, but a new Wall Street crypto hype is on the rise
CryptoNews: Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2026
FXStreet: Hyperliquid Price Forecast, Easing ETF Flows
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A memecoin launchpad that didn’t exist two years ago just out-traded every decentralized exchange on the planet. Pump.fun, operating through its integrated DEX called PumpSwap, recorded approximately $1.769 billion in 24-hour trading volume, placing it ahead of Uniswap, PancakeSwap, and every other competitor across all chains.
How a memecoin machine became a trading giant Pump.fun launched on January 19, 2024, with a straightforward pitch: let anyone create and trade memecoins without needing to seed liquidity pools upfront. That low barrier to entry turned it into the dominant launchpad for Solana’s memecoin economy almost immediately.
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The real strategic move came in March 2025, when the platform introduced PumpSwap, its own built-in DEX. Instead of sending users to Raydium or other external exchanges once tokens graduated from the bonding curve, Pump.fun kept the trading activity in-house.
That decision is now paying off in spectacular fashion. The ~$1.769 billion daily volume isn’t even the platform’s all-time high. Back in early January 2026, Pump.fun hit a $2.03 billion single-day volume, suggesting this isn’t a one-off spike but a sustained pattern of massive trading activity.
The revenue engine behind the volume By mid-March 2026, the platform’s cumulative revenue crossed the $1 billion mark. In the 30 days leading up to its record volume event, Pump.fun generated approximately $39 million in revenue, with daily revenue running around $1.13 million.
A significant piece of Pump.fun’s economic model is its aggressive buyback program for the native $PUMP token. The platform spent roughly $332 million, equivalent to about 2.328 million SOL, buying back more than 106 billion $PUMP tokens. That effort reduced the circulating supply by approximately 30%.
The $PUMP token itself launched through a public sale from July 12-15, 2025, priced at $0.004 per token.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
The crypto market has seen its share of public figures vow to hold forever, but Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy’s latest declaration carries a heavier dose of irony. After entering bitcoin near $100,000—and timing it wrong once again—Portnoy now says he will ride the position all the way down to zero. The statement landed with the kind of forced bravado that retail traders know well, as detailed in the CoinDesk report.
Portnoy’s public trading record is littered with poorly timed entries and panic exits. He has previously bought bitcoin near local tops, sold into dips, and returned to the market only when prices recovered. This pattern has turned him into something of a sentiment indicator for a certain slice of retail traders. The difference now is the refusal to sell, even as losses deepen. The psychology is familiar: when a trader stops trying to time the market and decides to simply hold, it often reflects exhaustion rather than conviction.
Portnoy’s History of Poorly-Timed Buys Earlier cycles saw Portnoy publicly announcing bitcoin purchases during euphoric rallies, then reversing course within weeks when prices soured. Each time, the cycle repeated—a quick buy at elevated levels, followed by a tweet about the pain, and eventually a sale that locked in losses. The pattern made him a lightning rod for criticism but also a mirror for the emotional swings that drive many retail participants. Now he says he will not repeat the mistake of selling, even if that means a complete wipeout.
This pledge surfaces at a moment when many assets remain well below their cycle peaks, and traders who bought near the top are wrestling with similar decisions. For those holding tokens deep in the red, the hope of a recovery can feel like the only play left. Articles like our Filecoin (FIL) Price Prediction: Will FIL Recover Its All-Time High? capture the same question facing holders of assets that have fallen hard from their highs.
The Sentiment Signal Behind a Hold-to-Zero Pledge Declarations of holding to zero rarely come from a position of strength. More often, they surface when a trader is deeply underwater and has exhausted every attempt to recoup losses through short-term trades. The market frequently interprets such extreme sentiment as a contrarian signal, though the timing is never precise. Capitulation by retail traders—especially those with a large public platform—can mark a local bottom, but it can also simply be another act in a longer drama.
What makes Portnoy’s situation notable is not the size of his position, but the visibility of it. His every trade is broadcast to millions, and his emotional arc mirrors the experience of countless smaller participants. That gives his hold-to-zero stance a weight beyond any single portfolio. It becomes a data point in the ongoing tension between retail pain and institutional accumulation. While some tokens have posted strong weekly rallies, as noted in our look at the top crypto gainers this week, the broader retail narrative remains one of waiting for a recovery that feels increasingly distant.
Beyond a Single Trader’s Pledge The real question is whether this promises anything beyond the next tweet storm. Portnoy has a history of breaking his own rules. If bitcoin drops another 20%, will he really sit still? If it rallies back toward his entry, will he resist taking the exit ramp? The market has seen similar vows collapse under pressure. The difference now is that there are no easy bailouts via a roaring bull market; the environment requires patience or surrender.
At the same time, the episode underscores how deeply retail psychology is woven into crypto’s price narrative. Institutional flows, ETF demand, and regulatory developments drive the big moves, but the chatter on social platforms still reflects a real and often painful human layer. What one high-profile holder does with his underwater position matters less for the market as a whole than for what it reveals about the mood of the crowd. For now, Portnoy’s promise to hold to zero is a declaration of defiance—and a signal that some bag holders are still clinging on.
AUTHOR
Nicholas Otieno is a fintech writer specializing in cryptocurrency markets. Since 2019, he has written articles to educate readers about cryptocurrency and its substantial positive impact on global prosperity. Nicholas is a Bitcoin holder, believing firmly in its fundamentals. His work has been featured in publications such as Finance Magnates, Blockchain.News, Bitcoin Magazine, Coincub, and among others. When he's not writing, Nicholas enjoys performing domestic tasks, spending time with friends, listening to music, and watching football.
Bitcoin (BTC) consolidated near two-week highs into Sunday’s weekly close as traders geared up for fresh market turbulence.
Key points:
Bitcoin approaches its highest levels in two weeks, but Mondays have been "terrible" for BTC price action, a trader warns.BTC/USD is in the process of deciding the fate of its 200-week moving average.Crypto market analysis sees "greener shoots" on the back of the latest US macro data.Trader: Past seven Mondays "absolutely terrible" for BTC priceData from TradingView showed BTC/USD focusing on $62,700, the site of a key long-term trend line, the 200-week simple moving average (SMA).
BTC/USD four-hour chart with 200-week SMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Bulls managed a trip to $63,450 on Saturday amid thinner exchange order books and a three-day US holiday weekend.
“Seeing stronger passive supply here pressing price from above,” commentator Exitpump wrote in their latest analysis on X.
BTC order-book data. Source: Exitpump/X
Trader Daan Crypto Trades flagged short position liquidations as the price gained, with data from CoinGlass putting the 24-hour crypto total at $167 million.
“Classic short squeeze, price grinds higher into a level everyone's shorting until forced covering does the rest,” he commented on X.
“Now the question is whether $62.6K (Weekly 200MA) holds as support or if this was just liquidity getting cleared before rolling over again.”BTC/USD vs. crypto liquidation history (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass
Fellow trader Killa had a word of warning, reiterating that the past seven Mondays had seen major price weakness.
“7/7 Mondays have been absolutely terrible for $BTC,” they told X followers.
“Will we repeat the exact same pattern next week?”Bitcoin ETFs contribute to crypto's "greener shoots"In a new analysis published on Friday, trading company QCP Capital eyed potential tailwinds forming for crypto and risk assets.
These included renewed net inflows to the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
As Cointelegraph reported, last week’s US nonfarm payrolls report came in below anticipated levels, sparking a softening in hawkish expectations of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
“The clearest dovish tell was a 2% pop in gold, though that reads more as a real-rate and safe-haven hedge than growth conviction,” it acknowledged.
“Crypto, though, is showing greener shoots: BTC spot ETFs snapped a six-session outflow streak to pull in $224mn on Thursday, their first positive print in over a week and an early sign that dip buyers are stepping back in after roughly $2.4bn of redemptions.”Fed target rate probabilities for July 29 FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group
The latest data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool saw a near-80% chance of the Fed holding rates at current levels at its July 29 meeting.
QCP added that before then, conducive Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data would be needed for “broader confirmation of a front-end dovish repricing.”
This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph's Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research.
After more than 14 years of silence, a stash of 30 Bitcoin has suddenly moved across the blockchain, drawing fresh intrigue from crypto market watchers. According to Galaxy Research, these coins, originally received on August 7, 2011, were transferred in block number 956627, marking the end of an almost 15-year period of complete inactivity for the wallet. This rare movement has stirred up speculation about the origins and potential significance of the transaction.
Movement from an old wallet catches attentionAnalysts suspect the 30 BTC are linked to a wallet group popularly referred to as “Noah Doe” within crypto circles. At current market prices, the total value of these Bitcoin amounts to approximately $1.88 million. Given the initial acquisition cost was just $9, the transaction reflects a staggering profit of about $1.84 million, corresponding to an astronomical 719353% increase over the period.
Galaxy Research has confirmed that 30 BTC, untouched since 2011, were transferred within Bitcoin block 956627.
While news of the transaction broke, Bitcoin was trading at $62,719, which is about 50.29% below its all-time high of $126,198 recorded in October 2025. Despite this, the return on these particular coins remains historic by any investment standard.
Noah Doe link and legal caseAlex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Research, confirmed the moved coins were part of the long-dormant Noah Doe group. Thorn highlighted that ancient Bitcoin wallets linked to Noah Doe have been showing increased activity on-chain in recent months, a development intensely watched by both researchers and investors.
Alex Thorn points out that coins associated with Noah Doe have started moving more rapidly on the blockchain with each passing month recently.
Noah Doe has also made headlines as an anonymous plaintiff in a New York court case, seeking official recognition of ownership for a stunning 3.8 million Bitcoin distributed among 39,069 addresses. Strikingly, some of these addresses are said to be linked to wallets associated with Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin’s enigmatic creator. The case also involves two anonymous companies headquartered in Wyoming.
In short, these plaintiffs are requesting that the court formally declare the Bitcoin held in 39,069 long-inactive addresses as their property. The case centers on a legal motion for the determination of ownership rights under the guidance of the New York legal system.
Glossary: An “action for determination of ownership” is a legal process in which a court clarifies who rightfully owns an asset or property. New York’s regulations on lost property can sometimes allow claims to be made on assets that remain unclaimed or without a clear owner for a lengthy period.
New twist adds fuel to the legal disputeA dramatic development recently emerged in the court file. An individual referenced as “John Doe 33” filed the first procedural objection, arguing that the case is invalid and requesting its dismissal.
This episode demonstrates that old, dormant Bitcoin wallets are not just sparking interest due to on-chain transfers; they are also at the center of heated ownership battles, further intensifying the debate around the origins and rightful claimants of early Bitcoin holdings.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Ledger co-founder Eric Larchevêque says Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is not a path to quick wealth but a way to protect the "fruit" of one’s work in a world where bank deposits, gold custody and fiat savings depend on third parties.
What HappenedIn an interview with "When Shift Happens" on June 25, Larchevêque said his conviction in Bitcoin was shaped by early experiences with the traditional financial system.
He recalled losing access to funds after a Latvian bank failed and later being denied physical access to gold bars held through a Luxembourg bank, which instead liquidated the gold and wired him euros.
Those experiences, he said, made him realize the difference between assets investors think they own and assets they control.
"Bitcoin solves the problem of owning your money," Larchevêque said, arguing that bank balances are ultimately claims on institutions, while Bitcoin held in self-custody is a final asset.
Larchevêque said he began moving heavily into Bitcoin around 2014, eventually placing almost all of his liquid net worth into the asset.
He said he does not measure his wealth in euros but in the number of Bitcoins he owns.
Ledger, Self-Custody And RiskLarchevêque said Ledger was built to help users secure crypto assets, but added that self-custody requires personal responsibility.
He warned investors never to share their 24-word recovery phrase and said large holders should avoid keeping direct access to their full holdings at home.
He also discussed the kidnapping of Ledger co-founder David Balland, who was tortured while criminals demanded a €10 million Bitcoin ransom from Larchevêque.
The incident, he said, showed that physical security has become a major issue for visible crypto holders, especially in France.
Long-Term ViewDespite Bitcoin’s volatility, Larchevêque said the only workable strategy is long-term conviction.
He advised ordinary investors not to copy his all-in approach, but instead to build a disciplined Bitcoin strategy through regular accumulation and only with money they do not need for daily life.
"The only people I know who had success with Bitcoin investment are the ones who forgot about it," he said.
Image: Shutterstock
Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs
As the weekly close approaches, Bitcoin is trading near its highest levels in two weeks, holding steady close to the crucial $62,700 mark. This price is significant, as it represents the 200-week simple moving average, a key technical threshold for the long-term market outlook.
Intense price battle at a major technical thresholdOver the weekend, thinner order books and the three-day holiday in the United States led to weaker trading conditions. Despite this, buyers managed to push the price up to $63,450. However, some market observers believe that sell orders clustered at higher levels are capping further gains and putting pressure on the price.
Market analyst Exitpump noted that Bitcoin faced strong passive selling from above, which has limited its upward momentum.
Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that short positions have been liquidated during the recent rally. According to data from CoinGlass, total crypto market liquidations reached $167 million in the past 24 hours. CoinGlass is a data platform known for tracking liquidations and open interest in derivatives markets.
Glossary: A short squeeze occurs when traders betting against the price are forced to close their positions as prices rise. This process creates extra buying pressure that can accelerate upward moves temporarily.
Daan Crypto Trades emphasized that the market produced a classic short squeeze in response to the heavy buildup of short positions, and forced liquidations helped fuel the rally.
Trader Killa pointed out an interesting trend: Bitcoin has shown notable weakness on each of the last seven Mondays. This has led to expectations of renewed volatility at the start of the new trading week.
Spot ETF inflows and macro data take center stageIn a market note released Friday, QCP Capital suggested that crypto assets and other risk assets may be entering a more supportive environment. The firm cited the return of net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs as a key factor behind this improved outlook.
US nonfarm payrolls data released last week came in below expectations, easing concerns about aggressive rate hikes. QCP Capital interprets the 2% increase in gold as a clear sign of a more dovish Fed expectation, remarking that this movement is tied more to safe haven demand and real yield protection than outright growth optimism.
According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, there is now an 80% probability that the US Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged at its July 29 policy meeting. QCP Capital added that further widespread optimism will require supportive consumer price index data before that date.
IndicatorLevelSignificance200-week SMA$62,700Key long-term technical thresholdWeekend high$63,450Latest buyer-driven level24-hour liquidations$167 millionIndicates short position pressureProbability of rate hold July 29About 80%Reflects macro expectationsCurrently, the market is closely watching both the ongoing price action around the $62,700 level and the potential impact of upcoming macroeconomic data on risk appetite. Analysts suggest that trading on Monday could be decisive in determining whether Bitcoin will maintain support above this key region in the short term.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Wall Street’s Bitcoin expectations have taken another hit. Citi has cut its 12-month Bitcoin target to $82,000 from $112,000, pointing to weaker investor appetite, negative ETF flows, and a slower regulatory backdrop in the United States.
The move is not just another forecast revision. It shows how much of the institutional Bitcoin thesis still depends on one input: whether spot ETFs can keep attracting fresh capital.
For more details, visit the official Reuters platform.
TL;DR Citi lowered its Bitcoin target to $82,000 and cut its Ether forecast to $2,240. The bank also reportedly reduced its assumed net ETF inflows over the next 12 months to zero, down from a previous expectation of $10 billion. That is the real headline for crypto markets.
Price targets are easy to debate. Flow assumptions are harder to ignore.
Bitcoin’s ETF launch era gave the market a clear institutional demand story. For a while, that story helped support higher prices and stronger confidence. But when flows turn negative, the same structure works in reverse. Analysts do not simply mark down price targets because BTC fell. They mark them down because the demand model behind the price target has changed.
That is what Citi’s revision reflects.
The ETF Bid Is Being Repriced The key issue is not whether Bitcoin can still trade above Citi’s target. It can. Crypto price targets are never guarantees. The more important point is that one of the market’s most widely followed demand channels has become less reliable.
ETF flows have been treated as the bridge between traditional portfolios and Bitcoin exposure. If those flows weaken, the market has to lean more heavily on native crypto demand, corporate treasury buyers, and long-term holders.
That can still be enough. But it makes the path more volatile.
Citi’s cut also lands at a moment when digital asset treasury companies are under closer scrutiny. If investors worry that treasury buyers may become sellers, the market’s confidence in institutional accumulation weakens further. That does not mean a wave of forced selling is inevitable, but it adds another layer of caution.
Why This Matters For Bitcoin Traders For traders, the message is simple: Bitcoin needs a new catalyst or a repair in ETF flows.
A stronger macro backdrop could help. So could clearer US digital asset legislation, a return of ETF inflows, or renewed accumulation from long-term holders. Without one of those, the market may struggle to rebuild the same momentum it had when spot ETF demand was the dominant story.
That does not make Citi’s $82,000 target bearish in absolute terms. It is still above current prices. But it is a meaningful downgrade from the earlier view and shows that institutional expectations are being reset.
Bitcoin has survived plenty of forecast cuts before. The question now is whether the ETF market can stop being the reason analysts lower their numbers and start being the reason they raise them again.
This report is based on information from Reuters and Citi’s reported market forecasts.
This article was written by the News Desk and edited by Samuel Rae.
Active addresses on the Bitcoin blockchain have climbed roughly 9% to surpass 660,000, a notable uptick after what has been a prolonged period of declining on-chain engagement.
The bigger picture on active addresses To understand why 660,000 active addresses matters, you need to know where Bitcoin has been. The network hit a 7-day moving average of around 938,609 active addresses back in August 2025. That was the recent peak.
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From there, activity steadily eroded. By December 2025, the same metric had cratered to approximately 660,000, marking the lowest reading in 12 months. That’s a decline of more than 30% from the summer high.
The decline through late 2025 wasn’t happening in isolation. Daily miner revenue dropped from roughly $50 million to $40 million over the same stretch. Much of the elevated activity seen in 2024 and early 2025 was fueled by Ordinals and Runes, two protocols that brought NFT-like inscriptions and token creation to Bitcoin’s base layer. When the novelty faded, so did the addresses showing up to use the network.
Transaction counts vs. actual economic activity By June 2026, daily Bitcoin transactions surged past 800,000, the highest level recorded since 2024. However, a significant chunk of that spike came from low-value protocol transactions rather than meaningful economic transfers.
What miner economics tell us The slide from $50 million to $40 million in daily miner revenue during late 2025 was a 20% haircut. If miners need to sell more Bitcoin to cover electricity bills, that adds selling pressure to the market. Conversely, if revenue stabilizes or climbs alongside rising active addresses, it validates the network recovery thesis.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
The cryptocurrency market is a 24/7 arena filled with constant motion and instant changes. While you’re asleep at midnight, Bitcoin’s price can suddenly surge, or while you’re sitting in a meeting, your favorite altcoin might hit a local bottom. In such a fast-moving market, gaining an edge requires one essential thing: a smart assistant that delivers complete, real-time data without delay. This is exactly where a lightweight yet highly capable app steps in available on both iOS and Android, natively supporting English, Spanish and Turkish, and removing the hassle of mandatory sign-ups: CryptoAppsy.
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Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Why Are Satoshi’s Coins Back In The Debate? Binance founder Changpeng Zhao has reopened one of Bitcoin’s most difficult governance questions: what should the network do if quantum computers become powerful enough to break the cryptography protecting old wallets?
Zhao, widely known as CZ, suggested that the estimated 1.1 million bitcoin believed to belong to Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto could be frozen if they are not moved within a set window. At bitcoin’s current price of roughly $62,000, the holdings are worth about $68 billion.
His argument is based on a security concern. If quantum computing eventually makes older Bitcoin signatures vulnerable, dormant wallets could be exposed to theft. Satoshi’s coins would be the most visible target because of their size, age, and market importance.
“If we don’t do anything with it, then we’re basically giving it to somebody who’s going to hack it,” Zhao said.
The idea would give Satoshi 6 to 12 months to move the coins. If there is no movement, the community could then decide whether to freeze the addresses. That proposal immediately divided investors, developers, and entrepreneurs because it touches the core promise of Bitcoin: property without permission from a central authority.
Why Is Freezing Coins So Controversial? The case for intervention is straightforward. If a quantum attacker gained access to Satoshi’s bitcoin and sold them into the market, the shock could be severe. A sudden release of more than 1 million bitcoin would threaten liquidity, damage confidence, and raise fears that other dormant wallets could also be compromised.
The opposing argument is just as important. Freezing coins would mean changing Bitcoin’s rules to restrict specific property, even if the owner has not acted. That would be a major departure for a network built around neutrality, censorship resistance, and self-custody.
Michael Terpin, founder and CEO of Transform Ventures and author of Bitcoin Supercycle, said the proposal would cross a line Bitcoin has not crossed before.
“While I appreciate the proactivity in CZ’s proposal, it begins a slippery slope of creating permission in a permissionless system relative to personal property,” Terpin said.
Terpin argued that even if Satoshi is dead, the market could survive a one-time shock better than it could survive a precedent that allows the network to seize or freeze coins.
“If indeed [Satoshi] is dead, as many Bitcoiners believe, then only a quantum hack unlocks the coins. While it would hurt the price substantially if the coins were dumped, it would be a one-time episode and post-quantum bitcoin would recover,” he said.
Investor Takeaway The quantum debate is not only about Satoshi’s wallet. It is about whether Bitcoin can upgrade its security without weakening its property-rights narrative. For investors, the risk is less immediate price action and more the governance precedent created by any forced intervention.
Can Bitcoin Reach Consensus On A Quantum Upgrade? Bitcoin’s governance process makes any emergency-style change difficult. Terpin pointed to the long debate over SegWit as evidence that fast consensus would be unlikely. “Considering it took years just to implement SegWit, I doubt a quick consensus could be formed here,” he said.
Jameson Lopp, co-founder and chief security officer at Casa, said CZ’s remarks should be understood less as a formal proposal and more as a warning about the wider quantum threat.
“I don’t really consider it a proposal so much as him musing upon the threat,” Lopp said.
For Lopp, the issue is not a simple choice between freezing Satoshi’s coins or doing nothing. It is about moving Bitcoin users, exchanges, custodians, wallets, and institutions toward quantum-resistant cryptography before the current system becomes vulnerable.
“I think this is not a binary debate of ‘to freeze or not to freeze,’” he said.
Lopp has authored Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 361, which outlines a phased migration to quantum-resistant cryptography. The aim is to create a structured timeline so the ecosystem does not wait until a practical attack is possible.
“The goal is to create incentives and deadlines so users, exchanges, custodians, wallets and institutions actually migrate in a timely fashion,” Lopp said.
Is There A Middle Ground For Satoshi’s Bitcoin? Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, rejected both extremes: allowing the coins to be stolen and freezing them outright. Instead, he pointed to a proposal from Castle Island Ventures partner Nic Carter that would place Satoshi’s bitcoin into a legal trust until ownership could be proven through historical electronic records.
“I actually like Nic Carter’s proposal,” Hougan said. “It avoids the philosophical challenges of both CZ’s suggestion and the ‘let whatever happens’ perspective.”
Hougan said any change involving Satoshi’s coins would be difficult for the market because investors already treat them as effectively unavailable.
“I don’t think there is any way that developments around Satoshi’s coins are positive for the ecosystem,” he said. “The market already accounts for them as frozen forever.”
That view explains why the debate is so sensitive. If the coins move, are frozen, or become the subject of a legal structure, the market would have to reprice an assumption that has existed for years: that Satoshi’s bitcoin will never return to circulation.
For now, the issue remains theoretical. Practical quantum attacks against Bitcoin are not yet a market reality, and researchers are still working through how post-quantum cryptography could be applied without disrupting the network. But the debate shows that Bitcoin’s next major security upgrade may involve more than code. It may test the boundaries of governance, property rights, and investor trust at the same time.
Bitcoin has staged a notable rebound after sweeping liquidity beneath the June lows, but the recovery is now approaching a critical resistance cluster. While momentum has improved in the short term, the broader structure remains bearish until BTC reclaims several major resistance levels overhead.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart The daily timeframe shows Bitcoin continuing to trade below its key moving averages, with both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages sloping lower and acting as dynamic resistance. The market remains structurally bearish after losing the $72K-$74K support zone in June, which has now flipped into a major supply area.
However, the recent price action is becoming more constructive. BTC successfully defended the $58K-$61K support region and produced a sharp bounce from the lower boundary of the broader descending structure.
More importantly, the daily RSI has formed a bullish divergence, with momentum making higher lows while the price registered comparable or lower lows around the June bottom. This divergence often appears during exhaustion phases and suggests selling pressure has been weakening despite the downtrend.
The immediate challenge lies around $65K-$67K, where a major resistance zone intersects with the descending upper trendline. A successful breakout above this area would likely trigger a larger recovery toward the former breakdown region near $72K-$74K. Conversely, rejection from the current resistance cluster would reinforce the prevailing bearish structure and increase the probability of another move toward the $60K support area.
BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart The 4-hour chart highlights a developing falling wedge structure. Bitcoin recently rebounded from the lower boundary near $58K and has advanced steadily toward the upper trendline, which currently converges with the $63K-$64K area.
The recovery has already reclaimed the $60K-$61K support zone, turning it back into a short-term demand area. Price is now testing the upper boundary of the wedge while approaching the lower edge of the $64K-$66.5K supply zone.
A breakout above the descending trendline could accelerate bullish momentum and open the path toward the higher resistance region around $65K-$67K. Such a move would also confirm a short-term shift in market structure after weeks of lower highs.
If the breakout fails, Bitcoin may continue consolidating inside the wedge before attempting another push higher. The $60K-$61K region remains the most important near-term support, while a breakdown below it would place the recent recovery at risk.
Sentiment Analysis The Spot Average Order Size metric provides insight into the behavior of larger market participants. Recent data shows that whale-sized transactions continue to dominate activity despite Bitcoin trading near local lows.
The latest readings indicate that large orders remain active in the market while prices hover around the $60K-$63K region. Although the metric alone cannot determine directional intent, the persistence of larger transaction sizes during a prolonged decline suggests institutional and high-net-worth participants remain engaged rather than stepping away from the market.
Combined with the bullish RSI divergence on the daily chart and Bitcoin’s defense of the $58K-$61K support zone, the data suggests accumulation interest may be emerging around current levels. Nevertheless, confirmation still requires a technical breakout above the descending trendline and the $65K-$67K resistance cluster.
Until that occurs, Bitcoin remains in a broader corrective structure, with the current recovery appearing more like an attempt to build a base rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced net redemptions of approximately $527 million across the four trading days concluding on July 2, 2026. This figure, drawn from data compiled by SoSoValue, now extends a challenging run for these investment vehicles, marking their eighth consecutive week of overall outflows.
The sustained withdrawals highlight ongoing caution among investors seeking exposure to Bitcoin through traditional financial markets.Spot Bitcoin ETFs were introduced in the United States in January 2024 following regulatory approval.
They hold actual Bitcoin in custody and allow investors to gain price exposure through familiar brokerage accounts, without the complexities of direct cryptocurrency ownership, wallets, or private keys.
Since their launch, these products have amassed tens of billions in assets under management, becoming one of the most significant channels for institutional and retail participation in the Bitcoin market.
Major issuers include well-known asset managers whose funds collectively represent a meaningful share of Bitcoin’s circulating supply.
The latest outflows add to a broader pattern of redemptions that has persisted for multiple weeks.
Over the recent four-day window, the aggregate withdrawals reached roughly half a billion dollars, reinforcing the negative weekly momentum.
Such flows occur when investors redeem ETF shares, prompting fund managers to sell portions of their Bitcoin holdings to meet those requests.
This mechanism can create indirect selling pressure on the underlying cryptocurrency, particularly during periods of reduced demand or heightened market uncertainty.
Eight straight weeks of net outflows represent one of the longer negative streaks observed since the ETFs began trading.
This trend may reflect a variety of influences, including shifts in broader risk appetite, evolving macroeconomic conditions, or adjustments following earlier periods of strong price appreciation for Bitcoin.
Investors often use ETF flow data as a real-time indicator of institutional sentiment toward digital assets.
Prolonged redemptions can weigh on market psychology, even as total assets in the funds remain substantial and continue to demonstrate meaningful long-term interest in Bitcoin as an investable asset.
Market observers typically track these statistics closely because inflows have historically supported upward price momentum by increasing demand for Bitcoin, while outflows can contribute to the opposite effect.
According to insights from SoSoValue, the current environment shows mixed signals, with some funds experiencing heavier redemptions than others depending on their size, fees, and investor base.
Despite the recent pressure, the overall ecosystem of spot Bitcoin ETFs has matured significantly, offering greater liquidity and transparency compared to earlier methods of gaining cryptocurrency exposure.
Looking forward, participants in the digital asset space will continue monitoring weekly and daily flow reports for signs of stabilization or reversal.
Any sustained return to positive inflows could help ease selling pressure and support a more constructive backdrop for Bitcoin prices.
Conversely, further extended outflows may keep sentiment cautious in the near term.
The data from SoSoValue now underscores how these regulated products have become central to Bitcoin’s integration with traditional finance, serving both as a barometer of demand and a conduit for capital flows that directly influence the underlying asset’s supply and demand dynamics.
K Wave Media has become a useful reminder that the Bitcoin treasury trade is not one simple story. The company once presented Bitcoin as part of a larger balance-sheet strategy. Now, after selling its BTC and shifting attention toward artificial intelligence infrastructure, it has effectively shown the other side of the corporate accumulation narrative.
That matters because Bitcoin treasury companies have been one of the loudest themes of the cycle. The market loves the clean version: a public company raises capital, buys BTC, and lets shareholders gain leveraged exposure to Bitcoin. K Wave’s reversal is messier.
For more details, visit the official Sec platform.
TL;DR K Wave Media disclosed in SEC filings that it sold Bitcoin tied to its treasury strategy and used proceeds to address debt obligations. The company has also discussed reallocating capital toward AI infrastructure. For the wider market, the story is not about the size of K Wave’s BTC stack. It is about what happens when smaller treasury plays meet debt, equity-market pressure, and changing investor appetite.
Bitcoin treasury strategies work best when capital is cheap, share prices are strong, and investors reward accumulation. They become much harder when financing conditions tighten or the company’s core business needs cash.
That is the lesson here.
A Treasury Strategy Needs More Than A Slogan The corporate Bitcoin playbook is often associated with Strategy because Strategy built it at scale and stuck with it for years. Smaller companies have tried to borrow parts of that model, but not every balance sheet can carry the same risk.
Buying Bitcoin is easy to explain. Funding it sustainably is the hard part.
If a company relies on capital raises, convertible notes, preferred stock, or other financing tools to support a BTC strategy, the market has to keep believing in the premium. Once that premium disappears, the strategy can turn from accretive to stressful very quickly.
K Wave’s exit is therefore less about one company’s number of coins and more about the market’s willingness to keep funding copycat treasury models.
Why Bitcoin Traders Should Care For BTC itself, K Wave is not large enough to move the market on its own. But the symbolism is bigger than the position.
Treasury-company demand has been part of Bitcoin’s institutional story. If investors start separating strong treasury operators from weaker ones, the market may become more selective. That is healthy in the long run, but it can create short-term pressure as weaker names unwind or pivot.
The bullish interpretation is that Bitcoin’s treasury theme is maturing. Not every company that announces a BTC plan deserves a premium. The bearish interpretation is that some corporate holders could become sellers if balance-sheet pressure rises.
Both can be true.
K Wave’s move does not kill the treasury trade. It does show that the trade is no longer automatic. Investors are now asking harder questions about debt, liquidity, business quality, and whether the Bitcoin strategy actually fits the company using it.
This report is based on information from K Wave Media SEC filings.
This article was written by the News Desk and edited by Samuel Rae.
Strategy still sits at the centre of the corporate Bitcoin map. BitcoinTreasuries data shows the company holding 847,363 BTC, keeping it far ahead of other public corporate holders and leaving it as the name every treasury company is measured against.
But the market’s focus has changed. Investors are no longer just asking how much Bitcoin Strategy owns. They are asking what the equity is worth relative to the coins, how the capital stack behaves in a weaker market, and whether the treasury premium can keep doing the work it used to do.
For more details, visit the official Bitcointreasuries platform.
TL;DR Strategy remains the dominant public Bitcoin treasury company, with 847,363 BTC listed by BitcoinTreasuries. The more interesting part of the story is the pressure around valuation metrics such as mNAV. When treasury companies trade at a premium to their Bitcoin, they can raise capital and accumulate. When that premium compresses, the model becomes more complicated.
That is why Strategy’s position matters beyond its own stock. It is the benchmark for the entire corporate BTC trade.
The Treasury Trade Is Growing Up For much of the cycle, the Bitcoin treasury model was treated almost like a flywheel. A company bought BTC, the market rewarded the stock, and the higher valuation created more room to raise capital and buy more BTC.
That model is powerful when it works. It can also become fragile if the market stops paying for the premium.
Strategy’s scale gives it advantages smaller treasury firms do not have: deep market recognition, a long operating history, a clear Bitcoin identity, and a capital-markets playbook that investors understand. But even Strategy is not immune to changing sentiment.
When Bitcoin falls and ETF flows weaken, treasury-company stocks can become a pressure point rather than a pure demand story.
Why mNAV Has Become The Number To Watch The reason mNAV matters is simple. It tells investors how the market values the company relative to its Bitcoin holdings and capital structure. A high premium can make accumulation easier. A low or negative premium can raise tougher questions.
That does not mean Strategy is forced into any single path. It does mean the market is now paying closer attention to funding costs, preferred-stock dynamics, potential buybacks, and whether Bitcoin holdings are being treated as strategic capital or simply balance-sheet inventory.
For Bitcoin traders, the takeaway is that treasury-company demand is no longer a simple bullish headline. It needs to be understood through the lens of financing.
If Strategy’s model stabilises, it could calm fears around the broader treasury theme. If pressure continues, the market may become more sceptical of smaller companies trying to follow the same playbook.
Strategy remains the giant in the room. But even giants have to deal with market structure when the premium trade gets tested.
This report is based on information from BitcoinTreasuries and Strategy purchase disclosures.
That is also why smaller treasury companies are being judged more harshly now. The market is no longer rewarding every Bitcoin balance-sheet announcement equally. Scale, liquidity, financing flexibility, and shareholder trust are becoming part of the same conversation as the raw BTC count.
This article was written by the News Desk and edited by Samuel Rae.
Something is building inside the @Litecoin ecosystem. The chain has now reached a total of 409 million unique addresses, with some 22 million of those created in just the past six months. That works out to roughly 5.37% of all $LTC addresses ever created, generated in half a year.
On-Chain Data Points to Real Momentum Address growth of this scale is one of the cleaner signals of organic network expansion in crypto. It suggests new participants are arriving, not just existing holders reshuffling funds. According to BitInfoCharts data, active Litecoin addresses grew roughly 7.5% between February 2026 and recent weeks, even as the token's price remained under pressure. The same data shows around 180,915 transactions processed in a 24-hour window, with an average fee of just $0.0023, figures that support Litecoin's payment-focused use case.
On-chain charts show that $LTC consistently ranks second only to $BTC in daily transactions, maintaining roughly 30 to 40% of Bitcoin's transaction count over the past four years. That kind of sustained throughput gives the address growth figure more weight. It is not simply a vanity metric.
A Broader Ecosystem Building Behind the Numbers The address surge is arriving at a moment when the wider Litecoin ecosystem is expanding on multiple fronts. A mid-year review highlighted that the network surpassed 400 million lifetime transactions, with hashrate growing nearly four times since the 2023 halving. Nasdaq-listed Lite Strategy also invested $1 million into LitVM, a zero-knowledge Layer-2 aiming to bring smart contracts and DeFi to Litecoin without altering its base layer.
On the institutional side, the Canary Litecoin ETF (LTCC) launched and began trading, giving institutions and retail brokerage clients regulated exposure to $LTC for the first time, though assets under management remain modest at around $5.5 million. MEI Pharma also acquired 929,548 Litecoin, establishing a $110.4 million Litecoin treasury.
Address growth alone does not guarantee price performance. As of late June 2026, Litecoin was trading around $42, down roughly 45% year-to-date, though it remains one of the more liquid assets in the market with over a decade of uninterrupted operation. Still, the pace at which new addresses are being created points to a network that is broadening its base regardless of near-term price action.
Sources:
StealthEX: Litecoin Price Analysis and 2026 ETF Outlook
CoinPedia: Litecoin Retail-Driven Growth
CoinMarketCap: Latest Litecoin Network Updates
Litecoin's first smart contract layer takes shapeLitecoin ($LTC) has spent 14 years doing one thing well: fast, cheap payments. That scope is now expanding. @LitecoinVM, an EVM-compatible zero-knowledge rollup, is building a Layer 2 that brings smart contracts, DeFi, and real-world asset tokenization to Litecoin without touching its base layer.
LitVM is an EVM-compatible, zero-knowledge Layer 2 rollup designed to bring smart contracts and DeFi to Litecoin without altering its base layer. It operates as a Layer 2 rollup that posts proofs to Litecoin's existing blockchain, requiring no hard fork, soft fork, or consensus change. The network is built on a modular stack comprising Arbitrum Orbit, Espresso's decentralized sequencing, Succinct's SP1 zkVM for zero-knowledge validity proofs, and BitcoinOS' Grail Bridge for trustless LTC bridging.
The network's native gas token is zkLTC, Litecoin trustlessly bridged to LitVM, meaning every transaction on the network is powered by $LTC rather than a speculative token. The testnet, known as LiteForge, launched in April 2026 and has already processed over 75 million transactions. If mainnet fees remain in a similar range to testnet levels, LitVM would be competitive with the cheapest Layer 2s on Ethereum.
Institutional backing and a mainnet timeline LitVM is backed by Litecoin creator Charlie Lee, who has joined as an adviser and investor, with support from the Litecoin Foundation. On the institutional side, Lite Strategy, Inc. (Nasdaq: LITS), the first U.S. public company to adopt Litecoin as its primary treasury reserve asset, announced the closing of a $1.0 million lead strategic investment in ZK Innovations Inc., the developer of LitVM. The deal was structured as a SAFE at a $50 million post-money cap and includes a token warrant for up to 2% of LitVM's supply at launch, plus governance rights and a Strategic Advisory Committee seat.
Charlie Lee, the creator of Litecoin and a member of Lite Strategy's board, said the programmable layer could open the door to new applications while preserving Litecoin's security and decentralization. The mainnet launch is pending the completion of multiple independent security audits and is expected later in 2026. If LitVM delivers, Litecoin's long-established reputation for reliability could become the foundation for a broader Web3 ecosystem, rather than just a payments rail.
Sources
Lite Strategy press release via Manila Times: $1M investment in LitVM
The Crypto Times: LiteForge testnet launch and early transaction data
CoinMarketCap: LitVM joins CMC Labs accelerator
Cover image via depositphotos.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Following the long weekend, XRP broke above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands from below and secured its position in the upper half of the price corridor. This move officially shifted the asset into a medium-term bullish zone, ending the prolonged spring decline.
However, this price rebound differs from what we are usually used to seeing, as it coincided with a rise in activity from the x402 facilitator on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), where the volume of settlements in native tokens increased by 111% over the past 30 days, according to t54ai data.
This growth led to the expansion of the x402 commercial network to 120 participants, driven by the integration of new merchants, which points to the gradual launch of a real economy inside the ecosystem.
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XRP price action on a daily timeframe within Bollinger Bands, Source: TradingView You Might Also Like
The automated commerce sector is especially important here, as the x402 protocol has already processed 979,134 transactions within agent-to-agent commerce. The scaling of this segment directly affects the blockchain's utility value, forming an independent base of AI users.
It is the density of automated micro-settlements that helps set the pace for the expansion of volatility bands, pushing the price toward the upper boundary of the indicator in the $1.20–$1.22 area.
XRP targets $1.30 as AI agents pivot from Ripple's USD stablecoinA successful breakout of this resistance zone would open the way for the AI-driven XRP toward the $1.30 mark, while the 30-day RLUSD settlement volume simultaneously fell by 31%, proving that automated entities are currently prioritizing the native token over stablecoins for direct machine-to-machine settlements.
Meanwhile, the middle Bollinger Band line at $1.1039 remains the main line of defense for buyers and serves as the key support level needed to preserve the bullish outlook. XRP buyers need to keep the price above this line during local pullbacks, as a return below it would invalidate the breakout and send the asset back into decline.
XRP traded near $1.13 on July 5, according to crypto.news market data. The token was down 1.04% over 24 hours but remained up 7.79% over seven days. Its market cap stood near $70.26 billion, while 24-hour volume was about $1.67 billion.
Summary
XRP’s current price near $1.13 keeps the token below the key $1.20 weekly average. A weekly death cross could turn the 200-week SMA from support into future resistance. Crypto.news analysis keeps $1.10, $1.20 and $1.40 as key levels for XRP traders. The price remains close to a key technical zone after a short recovery from the $1 area. XRP has moved back above short-term support, but it has not reclaimed the higher resistance area near $1.20.
A post from ChartNerd warned that XRP is close to printing a weekly 20 EMA and 200-week SMA death cross. The analyst said the 200-week SMA near $1.20 may turn from a support floor into a supply ceiling.
$XRP is on the verge of printing a 20EMA/200SMA weekly deathcross.
The 200-week SMA ($1.20) now has the potential to flip from a historical support floor into a supply ceiling during future rallies. It must be reclaimed to invalidate such a scenario. Here is what history has… https://t.co/Okcc0bSeo0 pic.twitter.com/ygc8i6DFi1
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) July 5, 2026 That level now matters because price remains below it. A weekly close above $1.20 would weaken the bearish case. Failure to reclaim it may keep sellers active during future rallies.
Weekly death cross keeps traders cautious A death cross happens when a shorter moving average falls below a longer moving average. In this case, the focus is on the weekly 20 EMA and the 200-week SMA.
The signal does not confirm an instant drop by itself. It shows that medium-term momentum has weakened against the long-term trend. Traders often watch how price reacts after the cross appears.
ChartNerd said “the 200-week SMA ($1.20) now has the potential to flip from a historical support floor into a supply ceiling.” The analyst added that XRP must reclaim that area to reject the bearish setup.
The analyst also pointed to two past examples. In 2022, XRP formed a bottom shortly after a similar signal. In the 2018 to 2020 bear market, the final low came months later after repeated failures near the 200-week SMA.
Daily chart shows short-term recovery The XRP/USDT daily chart still shows a broader downtrend, with lower highs from May into late June. The token recently bounced from the lower Bollinger Band near $1 and moved back above the middle band.
The latest candle is red near $1.1325, showing a pullback after the rebound. Price remains between the middle Bollinger Band near $1.1064 and the upper band near $1.2094.
Holding above $1.1064 keeps the short-term recovery alive. A drop below that level would weaken the bounce and bring the $1.00 to $1.03 area back into focus.
The MACD has improved, with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive histogram. Still, both lines remain below zero. That means momentum is recovering, but the wider trend has not fully turned.
Source: TradingView
Crypto.news data keeps $1.20 in focus Crypto.news reported on July 3 that XRP climbed to a three-day high after Ripple’s European expansion and a fresh Supertrend buy signal. The report said XRP moved from around $1.02 on July 1 to an intraday high near $1.11.
A separate crypto.news analysis said XRP needed to reclaim $1.20 to $1.25 to support a stronger rebound. It also placed $1.10 as a key support level and warned that wider weakness could bring $0.90 and $0.80 back into view.
The same report said a monthly close above $1.40 would help confirm a stronger double-bottom case. Until then, XRP remains in a cautious zone, even after the recent rebound.
At press time, traders are watching three levels. XRP must hold $1.10 to protect the short-term bounce, reclaim $1.20 to weaken the death cross warning, and clear $1.40 to improve the larger structure.
XRP posted a robust rally in the first three trading days of July, climbing from around $1.03 to as high as $1.18 and recording a gain exceeding 13 percent. This latest surge came amid a broader recovery sweeping the cryptocurrency market, sparking renewed interest among both retail and institutional investors.
The market rebound also lifts XRPTotal cryptocurrency market capitalization rose by 0.86 percent to $2.18 trillion. Bitcoin broke above the $62,000 threshold, while Ethereum surged past $1,700. In the U.S., June employment data came in at 57,000, falling well short of the 110,000 expected, fueling hopes that monetary policy may become more accommodative in the months ahead.
This environment has spurred a fresh appetite for risky assets, with XRP notably benefiting from the positive momentum. The upswing was not confined to short-term price movements alone; regulatory developments also played a crucial role in attracting and sustaining investor attention.
Regulatory agenda comes to the forefrontProgress on the CLARITY Act in the U.S. Senate has been a significant factor bolstering the bullish sentiment around XRP. The proposed legislation is viewed as critical for establishing clear regulatory classifications for digital assets under U.S. law.
Market participants reacted favorably to XRP’s prominence in the ongoing debate over whether such digital assets fall under the SEC’s or the CFTC’s jurisdiction. Meanwhile, Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen’s financial stake in the American Perpetuals Exchange Corporation—linked to Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s son—also made headlines during the same period.
Mini glossary: The CLARITY Act stands out as draft legislation designed to more precisely define which U.S. regulatory body governs digital assets. The SEC oversees securities, while the CFTC supervises commodity derivatives markets in the United States.
Analyst ChartNerd argued that XRP’s chart displays an 8.5-year cup and handle formation. According to the analyst, overlooking the $1 price region may prove costly; if Fibonacci support within the handle area holds, new upward moves toward upper resistance zones could be on the cards.
Fund inflows and technical levels in close focusOn July 2, XRP-focused investment products saw single-day net inflows of $6.55 million. Cumulative inflows reached $1.49 billion, with managed net assets recorded at $987.91 million. Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $221.72 million, ending a 10-day outflow streak, while spot Ethereum ETFs took in $29.08 million that session.
Data from CryptoRank highlights that July has historically been a strong month for XRP. Since 2013, the asset’s average July return stands at 10.4 percent, and in July 2020, XRP surged more than 48 percent.
Examined on the four-hour chart, XRP traded around $1.1714. The Relative Strength Index spiked to 79.91, signaling overbought territory, while a Chaikin Money Flow reading of 0.21 suggested accumulation continued. In the short term, $1.20 is viewed as key resistance; if surpassed, $1.25 could come into play. On the downside, support is expected at $1.15 initially, followed by $1.10 if the pullback deepens.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
This week in the crypto world was nothing short of eventful. From XRP’s surprising 70% crash despite Ripple’s positive strides to former President Donald Trump’s defense of his billion-dollar crypto income, the news was buzzing.
The SEC’s push to make the U.S. the “Crypto Capital of the World” also made headlines, as did the rapid adoption of stablecoin payment rails and the market’s “extreme fear,” causing leading cryptocurrencies to slide.
Let’s dive into the details.
XRP’s Unexpected CrashDespite Ripple’s consistent institutional deals, regulatory victories, and ETF inflows, XRP experienced a shocking 70% crash from its peak of $3.65 in July 2025. This collapse occurred even as investors anticipated a regulatory reversal following Trump’s election, which had previously caused XRP to surge from $0.49 to $3.39 in just a few weeks.
Read the full article here.
Trump Defends His Crypto IncomeFormer President Donald Trump defended his billion-dollar cryptocurrency windfall, asserting there was nothing “illegal” or “wrong” about it. In an interview with CNBC, Trump emphasized the importance of cryptocurrency and reiterated his longstanding position that the U.S. must lead in the space or risk ceding dominance to China.
Read the full article here.
SEC’s Push For US Crypto DominanceSEC Chair Paul Atkins announced that the agency is moving “purposely” to support Trump’s goal of making the U.S. the “Crypto Capital of the World.” Through Project Crypto, a joint regulatory initiative led by the SEC and the CFTC, the agency has taken “historic steps” to modernize regulations for on-chain markets.
Read the full article here.
Rapid Adoption Of Stablecoin Payment RailsThe Kobeissi Letter highlighted a significant spike in cryptocurrency card deposits, connecting the jump to growing stablecoin adoption. Cumulative card deposits exceeded $10 billion for the first time in June, an 82% increase year-to-date and more than tripled in a year.
Read the full article here.
Leading Cryptocurrencies Slide Amid Market FearLeading cryptocurrencies reversed course amid negative market sentiment. Bitcoin pulled back to about $58,000 after Monday’s surge, while Ethereum traded around the $1,500 level. XRP and Dogecoin also slipped modestly. Nearly $250 million was liquidated from the cryptocurrency market in the last 24 hours.
Read the full article here.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Image via Shutterstock
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XRP is rapidly approaching one of its most critical technical thresholds in recent months, according to on-chain data provider XRP Update. The price action has significantly narrowed within a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting the coin is running out of room to trade sideways and could soon see a decisive move.
Narrowing price range draws analyst attentionFollowing an extended period of horizontal movement, XRP has entered a crucial consolidation zone. This setup in the chart has prompted expectations among market participants that a notable breakout could soon shape the next major trend.
CoinCodex data indicates that XRP is currently trading around $1.13. Investors and traders are closely monitoring the price to confirm whether the prolonged period of consolidation will finally come to an end.
XRP Update notes that the price has formed a classic symmetrical triangle between a descending resistance line and an ascending support line, signaling that the coin is nearing the final phases of its current squeeze.
Repeated touches of both resistance and support lines in the chart highlight the symmetrical triangle structure that technical analysts are tracking closely. While this formation by itself does not indicate direction, it suggests that equilibrium between buyers and sellers is leading to diminished volatility as the pattern matures.
$2 emerges as first critical resistance levelAs the price approaches the apex of the triangle, the scope for the current consolidation to continue is rapidly shrinking. In technical analysis, such extended compressed movements often set the stage for stronger price reactions once a breakout occurs.
In the bullish scenario, the first significant hurdle is seen at the $2 level. Should XRP break out above the triangle’s resistance trendline with strong trading volume, it could provide a clearer signal of renewed buying momentum. Such a move could pave the way for a more sustained rally, potentially drawing greater interest from both individual and institutional investors.
RSI signal supports optimistic outlookAdding to the positive narrative, technical indicators also point to an improving outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in XRP has been steadily rising, accompanied by what analysts describe as a hidden bullish divergence. RSI is widely regarded as a momentum indicator that measures the speed and strength of a price movement.
Mini glossary: RSI is a technical indicator used to assess whether an asset is nearing an overbought or oversold state. Hidden bullish divergence occurs when momentum supports buying as prices continue to build higher lows, a pattern regarded as a positive signal.
Some analysts believe that if the current momentum holds, XRP could not only reclaim the $2 mark but also target the $3 region in the near future.
Experts emphasize that this prolonged period of tight trading could be one of the most captivating technical setups on the XRP chart in recent times. With the price moving swiftly toward the triangle’s apex, a defining breakout is anticipated in the short term.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Talk of a new altcoin cycle is starting to pick up again.
Based on how this week has played out, that narrative is beginning to gain traction. On the weekly timeframe, while Bitcoin [BTC] is up more than 5%, Ethereum [ETH] has attracted 2x the capital inflows, pushing the ETH/BTC ratio up nearly 7%. More importantly, this marks the ratio’s strongest weekly gain since August 2025, reinforcing the idea that “altcoin-led” momentum is starting to build across the market.
Ripple hasn’t been left behind. As the chart below shows, the token is up nearly 9% this week, with its highest wick reaching $1.18, a level it hadn’t reclaimed since losing it in mid-June. That move points to strong buying interest as capital continues rotating into higher-beta altcoins.
Source: TradingView (XRP/USDT) Backing this up, the XRP/USDT ratio has also climbed more than 3% this week.
Against this backdrop, leaning long on XRP isn’t a stretch. In fact, an analyst recently flagged a whale opening a $16 million XRP long at an average entry of $1.10. At the time of writing, the position was already sitting on roughly $477,000 in unrealized profit.
With altcoin momentum continuing to build, this doesn’t look like a random high-leverage bet. If anything, it signals growing conviction that XRP still has room to move higher as capital continues rotating into altcoins. That naturally raises the question: Is XRP’s current setup quietly turning into a textbook bear trap?
XRP’s leverage spike puts the $1 level under the spotlight Long positioning in XRP is starting to go parabolic.
Normally, when leverage gets this crowded on the long side, the risk of a volatility event increases. Even a modest shift in sentiment can trigger a wave of long liquidations, especially with XRP still trading around the $1 supply zone. In that scenario, the ongoing altcoin rally alone may not be enough to keep the uptrend intact.
That’s why the case for a near-term pullback is gaining traction, with liquidity continuing to stack up around the $1 level. But institutional positioning paints a different picture, suggesting XRP’s latest move isn’t just riding the broader market’s altcoin momentum.
Source: SoSoValue As the chart above shows, it’s been another strong week for spot XRP ETFs.
According to SoSoValue, U.S. spot Ripple ETFs recorded $17.19 million in inflows over the period. This came despite two days of net outflows during the week, showing demand remained resilient. More notably, the ETFs have now logged nine consecutive weeks of net inflows, pointing to “sustained” institutional interest.
By contrast, Ethereum ETFs have posted consecutive net outflows over the same period. This divergence could set XRP apart from other altcoins. In simple terms, while ETH is leading short-term gains, it still looks driven by capital rotation.
XRP, on the other hand, is showing stronger longer-term momentum, making its consolidation around $1 look more like a potential bear trap, with long positioning adding to the bullish pressure.
Final Summary Altcoins are gaining momentum, with ETH and XRP both seeing strong weekly inflows and price gains. Even with heavy long leverage near $1, steady XRP ETF inflows suggest demand is still strong and a bear trap is possible.
July has been one of the best months for Ripple's token. Will history repeat?
XRP has not been spared by the overall market weakness, especially in June, plummeting hard to a multi-year low of $1.00. However, that coveted support line managed to hold the bears’ breakdown attempt, and the asset has rebounded swiftly.
All eyes are now on July, which has been historically one of the token’s best-performing months. This is particularly true for the past four editions, as each brought a double-digit gain. So, what’s next for July 2026?
June’s Calamity and July’s Promise Data from Cryptorank indicated that XRP ended June with a massive 22.1% decline. During the month, the asset dipped to $1.01 (on most exchanges) amid the growing crypto FUD, the escalating tension in the Middle East, and so on. This was its lowest price tag since late 2024 and pushed it out of the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market cap.
Although it has rebounded to $1.15 as of press time, it still remains below USDC, BNB, USDT, ETH, and BTC. However, the bulls have a lot to hope for in July, at least according to historical performance. All six previous Julys were in the green for XRP. Moreover, five of them delivered double-digit gains.
July 2020 and 2023 stand out as the most bullish out of the bunch, with price increases of 48.1% and 47.6%, respectively. Last year’s edition brought a spectacular 35% increase, after another 31.2% surge during the year before. The two more modest gains came in July 2022 (14.6%) and 2021 (6.91%).
Although XRP has started the 2026 edition with a 9% increase already, there’s a catch. The five Julys before the aforementioned ones, those from 2015-2019, were all in the red. The question now is, which path will XRP follow now?
XRP Monthly Returns on CryptoRank Something that can push XRP higher is the ongoing inflows into spot Ripple ETFs. As reported over the weekend, the funds have extended their positive streak to nine consecutive weeks in the green.
You may also like: Ripple (XRP) Keeps Dominating ETF Flows, but Cracks Are Starting to Show This XRP Signal Has Never Looked Worse, But is That the Setup? (Analyst) Is XRP Ready for a Reversal? Wallets Surge as FOMO Hits 3-Month Peak Quarterly Moves The 22.1% drop in June 2026 meant a similar (22.4%) decline for the entire Q2. Moreover, this became the third consecutive quarter in the red for the first time ever, each with massive losses. XRP dumped by 35.4% in Q4 2025, by another 27.1% in Q1 2026, and the aforementioned 22.4% in Q2 2026.
The good news for the Ripple bulls is that the token has reacted with substantial gains after each of its previous negative streaks. The next few months will show whether history will repeat or the losses are just getting started.
XRP and Bitcoin Price outlook improved this week as traders returned to major crypto assets. Bitcoin price rose over $62,000 and briefly topped $63,000, the highest point in two weeks. XRP also gained nearly 10% over seven days, while trading around $1.13.
The rally came after less aggressive jobs data, which alleviated inflation concerns and favored risk demand.
CLARITY Act Progress Faces Senate Timing Test Senator Cynthia Lummis repressed efforts to push the CLARITY Act. The bill aims to introduce more transparent regulations to digital asset markets in the United States.
The measure has passed the House and cleared the Senate Banking Committee. Nevertheless, it has yet to receive a Senate vote, which would bring it closer to legislation.
July has turned out to be significant as the Senate has a limited policy window before August recess. The bill might have a longer journey to 2027 should lawmakers take a long time in taking action.
Lummis has provided an opportunity to have a final review of revised bill text, as well. It was reported that the updated version was likely to come around July 4.
Source: Polymarket cap Polymarket shows a 51% chance the CLARITY Act becomes law in 2026, down 14%, with $1.52 million volume overall today.
XRP and Bitcoin Price Outlook The movement of XRP and Bitcoin Price is now based on macro data and policy momentum. The next market signal the traders will be monitoring is the U.S inflation figures.
Bitcoin long-term prediction needs to hold above $62,000 to keep short-term buyers active. A more robust breakout of the above $63,500 would open space to reach $65,000.
Source: TradingView However, fresh selling may return if Bitcoin loses the $60,000 support area. That would undermine the recovery and retard the greater market confidence.
XRP is among the most robust large-cap tokens following its weekly upswing. Another push to $1.20 may be backed by a hold higher than 1.10.
Nonetheless, XRP could experience pressure in the event of slow Senate progress or the loss of market volume. The CLARITY Act is one of the primary drivers of digital assets.
Bitcoin ETF Inflows Hit $221M as XRP Demand Grows The price trends of XRP and Bitcoin remained stable as the U.S. spot ETFs demand was active again on July 2.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw daily net inflows of $221.72 million with cumulative inflows of $51.08 billion. The value traded was total of $2.13 billion, and net assets were approximately $74.37 billion.
The FBTC of Fidelity started the Bitcoin inflows with $165.90 million, and Ark 21Shares with $91.84 million. Nevertheless, BlackRock IBIT had a daily outflow of $40.43 million with a net asset of $44.91 billion.
Sosovalue data Meanwhile, U.S. XRP spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $6.55 million each day. They had a cumulative net inflow of 1.49 billion, and total assets of approximately 987.91 million.
Bitwise’s XRP fund led activity with $6.55 million in inflows. The data indicate that ETF demand is positive prior to CLARITY Act changes.
Ripple’s XRP has delivered a strong recovery from its recent lows, validating the bullish divergence that developed near support. While the broader market structure remains corrective, the latest rally has pushed the price back toward a critical technical inflection point where the next directional move could be determined.
Ripple Price Analysis: The Daily Chart The daily timeframe continues to show XRP trading inside a long-term descending channel, remaining below the major moving averages and the channel’s upper boundary. Despite the broader bearish structure, the recent price action has improved considerably.
The bullish RSI divergence that formed around the $1.02-$1.05 support zone has played out as expected. While the asset was making lower lows, momentum was printing higher lows, signaling weakening selling pressure. Since then, XRP has rebounded sharply and reclaimed the lower support region around $1.02-$1.06.
The recovery has now carried the price toward the first major resistance zone between $1.17 and $1.24. This area previously acted as support before the latest breakdown and is now functioning as supply. The RSI has also pushed back above the midline, confirming improving momentum and strengthening the case for a continued recovery attempt.
However, the broader trend remains bearish as long as the token trades beneath the descending channel resistance and the major moving averages overhead. A successful reclaim of the $1.17-$1.24 region would be the first sign that the market is attempting to build a larger reversal structure.
XRP/USDT 4-Hour Chart The 4-hour chart provides a clearer view of the recent breakout. XRP spent several days consolidating inside the $1.02-$1.06 demand zone before buyers aggressively stepped in and triggered a sharp rally toward the descending trendline resistance.
The move has already reclaimed the local support area and pushed price directly into the trendline that has capped lower highs since mid-June. XRP is now testing this dynamic resistance as it approaches the lower boundary of the broader $1.21-$1.29 supply zone.
This creates a pivotal setup. A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline would likely open the door for a move into the upper resistance region, where sellers may attempt to regain control. Such a breakout would also confirm a short-term structural shift after weeks of lower highs and lower lows.
On the other hand, failure to break through the trendline could trigger a temporary pullback toward the recently reclaimed support zone. As long as the asset remains above the $1.02-$1.06 area, the current recovery structure remains intact.
For now, momentum favors the bulls in the short term, but the market is approaching a major resistance cluster where a decisive breakout is needed to confirm that the recovery is evolving into something more significant than a relief rally.
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The Ethereum network’s next epoch came into sharper focus on Sunday as co-founder Vitalik Buterin detailed a multi-year technical blueprint aimed at tackling gas costs, quantum-era cryptography, and state growth simultaneously. According to the original report, the plan—dubbed “Lean Ethereum”—represents the blockchain’s third major evolutionary phase, with rollouts expected over the next three to four years.
Ethereum has long battled fee volatility and state bloat while facing a slow-burning cryptographic challenge from advancing quantum computing. Buterin’s outline, therefore, attempts to bundle several deep architectural changes into one sequential push, rather than address them in isolation. Developer activity remains high across the ecosystem, as evidenced by Ethereum’s consistent top ranking in recent blockchain developer metrics.
The STARK and Quantum Resistance Overhaul One of the most consequential pieces of the Lean roadmap is making recursive STARKs a native verification mechanism within Ethereum. STARKs—scalable transparent arguments of knowledge—already underpin several layer-2 validity proofs, but embedding them directly into the protocol could reduce verification costs and improve L2 composability. Recursive STARKs, in particular, allow a single proof to verify many others, a technique increasingly studied for data compression and throughput at scale.
Simultaneously, Buterin signaled that remaining quantum-vulnerable cryptography would be swapped for post-quantum alternatives. This addresses a structural risk that often gets deprioritized in the near term: if a fault-tolerant quantum computer emerges sooner than expected, signature schemes based on ECDSA could be broken, exposing billions in user funds. By baking quantum resistance into the Lean upgrades, Ethereum aims to remove that tail risk before it materializes, a move that may pressure other layer-1 chains to accelerate their own post-quantum planning.
A Scalable State Layer for Token Efficiency The roadmap introduces a “scalable state” architecture capable of reaching 100 terabytes by 2030, a dramatic shift from today’s state size, which has been a persistent concern for node operators. The new state type is designed to slash transaction costs for certain tokens by more than 10x, a figure that points to a structural refactoring of how data is stored and accessed.
This matters most for high-volume ERC-20 tokens and stablecoins, where every small fee reduction compounds into real liquidity advantages. If the scalable state works as described, it could fundamentally alter the economics of on-chain trading, lending, and payments, pulling activity away from centralized exchanges and back onto the mainnet or its rollup layers. But the 2030 target date for the full 100 TB vision underscores that this is a long-range infrastructure play, not an immediate fix for users frustrated by current congestion.
Near-Term Gas Limit Relief and New Virtual Machines Before the deeper Lean upgrades, the upcoming Glasterdam upgrade is expected to significantly boost Ethereum’s gas limit. Gas limit increases expand block capacity in the near term, offering immediate relief for rollup batch posting and complex contract interactions. Historically, such adjustments have been contentious among validators, as larger blocks can increase latency and centralization pressure. Buterin’s public endorsement of the increase suggests that sufficient tooling and client optimizations are now in place to handle the bump without degrading network stability.
Separately, the roadmap explores RISC-V or leanISA virtual machines as a way to introduce programmable privacy. By moving away from the current EVM model toward a more flexible execution environment, Ethereum could enable confidential transactions and shielded smart contracts without relying on external privacy layers. The concept remains exploratory, but it signals that privacy—often relegated to niche chains—is being considered as a native feature of the protocol’s long-term design.
What’s Clear and What’s Conditional The Lean Ethereum roadmap is ambitious by any standard, and the industry has seen grand protocol visions stall or mutate under real-world constraints. The three-to-four-year rollout window inevitably overlaps with other critical milestones, including further L2 fragmentation, regulatory shifts, and competitive pressure from modular ecosystems. Whether developers can ship recursive STARKs and post-quantum cryptography in a coordinated fashion without introducing new attack surfaces remains an open question.
Still, the outline gives the Ethereum ecosystem something it has occasionally lacked: a unified design thesis that ties together scaling, security, and cost reduction. For protocols, rollup teams, and institutional users mapping multi-year migration plans, the Lean roadmap provides a reference point that reduces guesswork. The market’s reaction will likely be muted in the short term—these are slow-moving infrastructure bets—but the direction is now unambiguous.
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Max delves deep into the cryptocurrency realm, with a passion for altcoins and NFTs. Convinced of crypto's transformative potential, he envisions a decentralized financial future. Max's background in the financial sector grants him unique insights into global monetary systems. In his leisure, Max embraces the thrill of adventures and is an avid sports enthusiast, finding balance and rejuvenation away from work.
Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum’s co-founder, has introduced a new roadmap titled “Lean Ethereum,” emphasizing advancements in quantum resistance, privacy, and scalability. The initiative, developed with researcher Justin Drake, aims to simplify Ethereum’s layer-1 protocol and integrate post-quantum signatures, streamlined validator operations, and reduced complexity. The roadmap targets full post-quantum infrastructure by 2029, with early proof points already confirming viability. This strategic direction seeks to future-proof Ethereum against quantum threats while maintaining decentralization and user freedom.
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Key Takeaways The new roadmap appears to align with Ethereum’s long-term vision, aiming for significant infrastructure improvements by 2029. Market pricing suggests increased interest in Ethereum’s future potential, with slight increases in YES pricing for Ethereum reaching $10,000 by the end of 2026. The development may indicate a proactive shift by Ethereum to enhance its cryptographic foundations against emerging threats. What to Watch Market participants will closely watch for subsequent developments and potential announcements related to the “Lean Ethereum” roadmap. Key indicators include any major network upgrades, regulatory responses, or significant shifts in institutional investment patterns. Observers will be attuned to any further details from Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation that could influence market pricing and sentiment. The market’s reaction to these developments will help gauge confidence in Ethereum’s trajectory towards its scalability and security goals.
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What Price Will Ethereum Hit Before 2027
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h December 31, 2026 1.4% — — View market → December 31, 2026 2.6% — — View market → December 31, 2026 3.1% — — View market → December 31, 2026 4.2% — — View market → December 31, 2026 5.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 11.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 15.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 2.1% — — View market → January 1 2027 2.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 4.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 4.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 7.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 67.9% — — View market → January 1 2027 11.5% — — View market → January 1 2027 3.9% — — View market → January 1 2027 26.5% — — View market → Ethereum All Time High
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h September 30, 2026 1.3% — — View market → December 31, 2026 5% — — View market →
Ethereum traded near $1,764.43 on July 5, according to crypto.news market data. The token was up 0.2% over 24 hours and 11.58% over seven days. Its market cap stood near $212.91 billion, while 24-hour volume was about $11.16 billion.
Summary
Ethereum remains trapped between $1,700 support and $1,800 resistance as liquidation clusters frame price action. Vitalik Buterin’s Lean Ethereum roadmap focuses on STARKs, quantum resistance, privacy and future scalability. ETH’s MACD shows improving momentum, but weak volume keeps a confirmed bullish reversal out of reach. The latest daily range showed ETH moving between $1,751.18 and $1,801.59. That placed the token close to the $1,800 resistance area after a recovery from the June low near $1,500.
ETH/USDT remains in a broader downtrend from the May highs. Still, the short-term chart has improved after buyers defended the $1,500 region and pushed price back above $1,700.
Liquidation clusters keep ETH boxed in Traders are watching two large liquidity zones around Ethereum. One sits above price near $1,800 to $1,830, while another sits below around $1,700. This keeps ETH inside a narrow range where quick moves can reverse fast.
One trader said, “As long as Ethereum stays in this range, I’d expect chop and fakeouts.” The same view points to a bigger move only after one side of the liquidity zone gets cleared.
Crypto.news previously reported that Ethereum liquidation heatmap data showed large leverage clusters near $1,700 to $1,760 and another major zone near $1,800. Those levels remain close to the current price range.
Professor Crypto also said ETH has started to build momentum after defending the $1,500 area. He said bulls need to reclaim and hold $1,800 before the market can target $1,900 to $2,000.
$ETH is slowly starting to build some momentum after defending the $1.5K region.
The recent move back above $1.7K is encouraging, but the real test is whether bulls can reclaim and hold the $1.8K resistance.
A clean break above that level could open the door for a move toward… pic.twitter.com/xUwNKs5pCU
— Professor Crypto (@profcryptotalks) July 5, 2026 Momentum improves, but confirmation is limited The daily chart shows ETH struggling to extend above $1,780 to $1,800. The latest candle opened near $1,780.64, reached $1,780.75, and dipped to $1,748.79 before stabilizing.
Nearby support sits around $1,700. A loss of that level could return focus to $1,600 and then $1,550. A clean break above $1,800 may bring $1,830 to $1,850 into focus.
The MACD continues to improve. The histogram is positive near 30.20, while the MACD line stays above the signal line. That shows short-term bullish momentum.
Still, the MACD line remains below zero. This means ETH is in a recovery phase, not a confirmed trend reversal. Volume near 315,730 ETH also remains moderate, so buyers still need stronger activity to confirm continuation.
Source: TradingView
Crypto.news reported that Ethereum recently targeted $1,800 after a rare TD buy signal. The report also said failure to hold $1,700 could return focus to $1,650 and the lower support area near $1,500.
Vitalik’s Lean Ethereum roadmap adds long-term focus Ethereum’s price action also came as Vitalik Buterin shared a new long-term roadmap called Lean Ethereum. The plan focuses on faster verification, stronger security and better scalability over the next several years.
The roadmap includes native recursive STARKs, post-quantum cryptography, new virtual machine designs and a larger state architecture. Reports also said the upcoming Glasterdam upgrade may raise Ethereum’s gas limit.
The plan does not guarantee short-term price gains. It does, however, shift part of the discussion away from daily ETH moves and toward Ethereum’s technical future.
For now, ETH traders remain focused on the same near-term levels. Ethereum needs to hold $1,700, break $1,800, and attract stronger volume before the recovery can target the $1,900 to $2,000 zone.
Ethereum’s development has entered a new phase as researchers introduced ‘Lean Ethereum,’ a multi-year overhaul targeting the network’s long-term evolution. Rather than a single upgrade, the plan aims to replace the cores of the Ethereum [ETH] protocol over the course of approximately 3-4 years.
The plan introduces recursive STARKs, quantum-safe cryptography, multidimensional gas, and redesigned state architecture to improve scalability and security. Furthermore, developers expect H-star to become Ethereum’s final pre-Lean fork before broader changes accelerate.
Source: X The roadmap also anticipates increasing the gas limits on the network. This includes using more scalable state architectures to improve finality speed and lower transaction costs.
Successful implementation of the Lean roadmap may allow it to scale the efficiency of the Ethereum network. Moreover, it will be maintaining backward compatibility, thereby allowing for continued growth throughout the next decade.
The infrastructure behind Lean Ethereum Building on the Lean Ethereum roadmap, developers are now translating long-term goals into practical protocol upgrades. Currently, development is focused on post-quantum secure protocols as well as scalable state management.
These are two of the most significant long-term technical threats facing Ethereum. Rather than waiting for quantum computing to mature, developers have already launched PQ Devnets 0-4. These will test networks and evaluate quantum-resistant cryptography while preserving compatibility with existing wallets.
More importantly, Glamsterdam has laid down the technological groundwork for this future-proofing of Ethereum through ePBS, protocol simplification, and increasing gas limits above 200 million.
Source: Galaxy Research In addition to building the infrastructure needed to provide fast and secure transactions, developers are reworking how state is managed using Verkle trees, state expiration models, and scalable storage models. This involves reducing the cost of validation and shortening the time it takes for nodes to sync, while keeping decentralized functionality intact.
These are logical next steps since the underlying technology needs to mature before Ethereum can safely exapnd its scalability and decrease its costs over the next decade.
Together, both initiatives strengthen Ethereum’s long-term resilience while limiting disruption for existing applications.
Final Summary Ethereum is rebuilding its core protocol to deliver faster scaling, stronger security, and long-term network resilience. ETH aims to future-proof the network through quantum-safe upgrades and more efficient state management.
