Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson says he is developing a concept for Midnight that will address several problems in the industry.
He describes the planned innovation as the “magnum opus” of his career. Notably, Hoskinson shared this in a post on X, saying he had nearly completed the conceptual design. He believes the initiative will bring something unique to the crypto space through Midnight.
Hoskinson Says Cardano Will Be Complete After Leios
Meanwhile, amid Hoskinson’s teaser about a new development for Midnight, some community members turned their attention to Cardano. Specifically, X user Matthew Casey asked Hoskinson whether Cardano was finished in the sense that it had achieved its core development goals.
Hoskinson replied that Cardano would be complete after the implementation of Leios, its planned scalability upgrade.
“After Leios, yes. It has everything I wanted to do,” he stated.
Meanwhile, Hoskinson noted that his vision for Cardano includes decentralized governance and development, secure consensus, the eUTXO model, Plutus smart contracts, and improved scalability.
He also highlighted Cardano’s strong security, support for different node implementations, and ability to evolve over time. He also added that millions of people already hold ADA.
Significantly, Leios aims to increase Cardano’s transaction capacity without changing its core design. Its implementation remains a major milestone in the network’s development.
After Leios, yes. It has everything I wanted to do. Decentralized consensus, governance and development, EUTXO, plutus, infinitely scalable, secure, built with formal methods, multiple independent nodes, recursively self-improving, and millions of people hold Ada.
— Charles Hoskinson (@IOHK_Charles) October 17, 2026
Midnight’s AI Trading Plans Show Its Future Direction
The latest comments from Charles Hoskinson come as Midnight explores uses beyond its privacy-focused blockchain. During an October 13 discussion, the Cardano founder revealed plans for Midnight City to support AI cryptocurrency trading in the coming months.
The feature would allow users to fund wallets and set up AI agents to trade crypto assets in different blockchains based on their goals and strategies.
Midnight also plans to create marketplaces where AI agents can discover and share trading strategies designed by others.
The project is developing Midnight Passport, which is an identity system that links AI agents to their users. An initial version is expected in late 2026.
Midnight has also adopted the Open Wallet Standard, which aims to help AI agents access wallets and carry out transactions in different blockchains and other systems.
These plans offer some insight into Midnight’s future direction. However, Hoskinson has not confirmed whether his latest teaser about a project he called the “magnum opus” of his career is connected to the planned AI trading system.
Midnight Ambassador Supports Hoskinson’s Vision
Tommy John, who identifies himself as a Midnight ambassador, praised Hoskinson’s leadership and expressed confidence in his vision.
“Boss, I sleep well at night knowing you’re behind the wheels. Proud to be a Midnight ambassador,” John wrote.
Boss, I sleep well at night knowing your behind the wheels. Proud to be a Midnight ambassador.
“A leader is one who knows the way, goes the way, and shows the way.” — John C. Maxwell , Thanks boss.
— TomJon (@TommyJohn70) October 17, 2026
Notably, Hoskinson has not yet announced when he will reveal the new concept or explained what it will involve.
Cardano price fell 2.04% to $0.219 over 24 hours, extending its weekly decline to 11%.
The broader cryptocurrency market consolidated slightly, with total capitalization near $2.73 trillion. Bitcoin price hovered at $81,650, and Ethereum and XRP were at around $2,400 and $1.30 respectively.
The developers of the Leios are aiming to release a mainnet-ready release candidate by the end of 2026. A rebound above $0.30 remains uncertain following the ADA price daily and weekly declines.
Cardano Leios Release Candidate Reaches 52% Completion
Cardano’s Ouroboros Leios release candidate has reached 52% completion, according to an update shared by Cardanians. A few development objectives were completed and 28 updates were reported on the post during the last week.
The improvement proposal, technical specification, 1,000 TPS showcase, and Leios testnet were among these. The dashboard indicates that the confidence testing was at 45% and that the hard fork objective had 0% completed.
Cardano’s Ouroboros Leios is steadily progressing towards a mainnet release candidate.
Several objectives are fully completed, and the release candidate is now 52% complete.
28 updates were added last week.
Can’t wait! 🔥 https://t.co/R808zf5oMd
— Cardanians (CRDN) (@Cardanians_io) October 16, 2026
Leios will boost the capacity of transactions on Cardano while maintaining its security with the introduction of more blocks and committee validation. To be ready for the deployment on the mainnet, a developer will need to do additional testing and integration.
Activations do also require audits, ecosystem coordination and governance approval. No confirmation of a launch date was given, and no reason was offered as to why the 28 weekly updates were made.
Cardano Price Outlook: Can Cardano Rebound Toward $0.30?
The ADA price traded at $0.2199 on October 17, as Cardano tested the $0.22 area.
The MACD line was at -0.0042, and a bit under its -0.0040 signal line, and the histogram was at -0.0002. Both lines were below zero, which confirms a bearish reading without determining the extent to which the price would fall.
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator also stood at positive value of 0.14, indicating that there was selling pressure as compared to buying pressure.
Source: ADA/USDT 4-hour chart: TradingView
The $0.22 mark has become the immediate pivot, and the continued trading under the mark poses greater downside risk. Further weakness would put a focus on the $0.21. In case of such a support, the psychological $0.20 level is a potential second target.
On the positive, the immediate outlook would be improved with the reclaiming of $0.22, leaving the first goal of recovery at $0.23. A four-hour high of over $0.23 may open a trade to the next resistance of $0.25, which is noted on the chart. The Cardano price outlook for long term could target $0.30 ahead of Leios Mainnet release candidate.
Cardano Open Interest Rises to $487.18M as Trading Volume Falls
The volume of the Cardano (ADA) derivatives trading decreased 8.99% to reach $324.55 million, and open interest rose 1.26% to reach $487.18 million. The volume of options trading fell by 92.94% to $6,590, the greatest percentage decrease among the reported indicators.
Source: Coinglass data
In the meantime, the options open interest declined 0.27% to $374,920, and the value of outstanding options positions had decreased modestly. The statistics indicated reduced trading in the derivatives market, although the aggregate open interest stepped up.
Starknet aktivoval STRK20, který u aktiv ERC-20 umožňuje skrýt zůstatky, odesílatele, příjemce i částky a zároveň selektivně zpřístupnit údaje pro audit.
Starknet now offers programmable private money, the kind of confidential digital cash Zcash pioneered, through its new privacy features.
The effort runs on two tracks. One is STRK20, a token privacy framework that is live on Starknet, the Ethereum layer 2 network. The other is Ztarknet, a project still in development that would bring Starknet’s execution engine to Zcash as its own layer 2.
What STRK20 actually does STRK20 is a framework for token-level privacy. It applies to any ERC-20-like asset, the standard format for most tokens in the Ethereum ecosystem.
Once a token uses STRK20, its balances and transfers can be confidential. The sender, the receiver, and the amount can all be hidden from public view.
The framework supports DeFi activity such as swaps, lending, and staking while keeping transaction details private.
Compliance is built in through two mechanisms: viewing keys and selective disclosure. A viewing key lets an authorized party, such as an auditor, see transaction details that remain hidden from everyone else. Selective disclosure allows a user to prove specific facts about their activity to a specific party without exposing everything to the entire network.
The research describes the result as enabling Zcash-like private assets directly on Starknet. The first major asset to use STRK20 is strkBTC, a shielded form of Bitcoin on the network.
The road from testnet to mainnet By November 2025, the Ztarknet testnet had launched with a live explorer. It demonstrated verification of Circle STARK proofs on a modified Zcash testnet.
Then came Starknet v0.14.2 in April 2026. The upgrade enabled native STARK proof verification through a proposal called SNIP-36, which laid the groundwork for STRK20.
STRK20 itself was activated by June 2026.
Ztarknet remains in development. Its design uses ZEC, Zcash’s native token, to pay settlement fees on the Zcash base layer. It relies on the Madara sequencer, which orders transactions, and the Stwo prover, which generates the STARK proofs. Ztarknet is designed to operate without changing Zcash’s existing shielded pools.
Why the Starknet and Zcash overlap matters Eli Ben-Sasson and Zooko Wilcox, two prominent figures in blockchain and privacy, are heavily involved in both efforts.
What this means for privacy in crypto STRK20’s viewing keys and selective disclosure are designed to address compliance concerns that have historically put pressure on privacy coins. The research suggests that as privacy rules tighten globally, platforms offering compliant private transactions are likely to draw institutional interest.
For DeFi, public blockchains broadcast every trade, which exposes users to front-running and makes large positions easy to track. Confidential swaps and lending could make onchain finance more workable for anyone who prefers not to show their hand.
The key milestones ahead sit with Ztarknet. Watch for progress from testnet toward production, how ZEC-based settlement performs in practice, and whether developers actually build on it.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Aave V4 has passed $450 million in active loans less than seven months after its March 2026 launch on Ethereum. Here is what is driving growth in the Aave lending protocol and what the data shows.
Aave V4 has reached $450 million in active loans, a milestone the protocol marked in a post from @aave. The latest version of the DeFi lending platform, led by Aave Labs CEO @StaniKulechov, went live on March 30, 2026, which puts the figure at less than seven months after launch.
How Aave V4 reached $450M Aave V4 rolled out on the Ethereum mainnet after more than two years in development. The initial deployment included three hubs (Core, Plus, Prime) and eleven spokes, which route liquidity across different collateral categories. The launch was deliberately cautious. All three hubs started with conservative supply and borrow caps, which Aave Labs described as an intentional, security-first approach.
Growth then picked up. V4 deposits sat below $340 million at the start of August and were around $1.16 billion by late September, with active loans between $300 million and $310 million. Aave V4 also launched on Avalanche on July 15, its first multi-chain deployment. More recently, deposits on Circle's Arc blockchain crossed about $300 million by October 12, with total V4 deposits near $1.2 billion and active loans above $400 million across Ethereum, Avalanche and Arc.
Tokenized equities are part of the picture. Aave V4's Base deployment supports borrowing against seven Coinbase-tokenized U.S. stocks, and eligible users outside the United States can deposit them and borrow USDC. U.S. users are excluded.
What it means for $AAVE holdersThe V4 numbers come after a weak stretch for the wider protocol. According to Token Terminal data cited by Cryptonews, Aave's deposits and active loans in September were both more than 55% below their September 2025 levels , and protocol revenue remained 66.6% below the previous year . The same report said Aave remained the largest onchain lending protocol, with 47% of outstanding loans across the projects Token Terminal tracks.
In other words, V4's $450 million in active loans is still small next to the roughly $12.5 billion in total active loans across Aave, based on Aavescan data. V4 is, however, the fastest-growing part of the protocol.
Whether that translates into value for the $AAVE token will depend on whether borrowing demand keeps rising and converts into protocol revenue. Kulechov has said V4 is focused on the borrow side. He told The Block the aim is
Sources
Aave Labs: Aave V4 is Live on EthereumThe Block: Aave V4 launches on Ethereum mainnetCryptonews: Aave's lending recovery faces a new test as V4 expands
Babylon Labs navrhuje integraci, která by držitelům BTC umožnila půjčovat si stablecoiny prostřednictvím Aave V4, aniž by museli používat zabalené tokeny nebo přesouvat BTC z bitcoinové sítě.
Babylon Labs has introduced a governance proposal that would allow Bitcoin holders to borrow stablecoins through Aave without moving their BTC off the Bitcoin blockchain. If advanced, this initiative could expand Aave, a leading decentralized finance (DeFi) lending platform, by offering direct Bitcoin-backed lending without the need for wrapped tokens.
Taproot Vaults to Enable Native Bitcoin CollateralThe proposal, published on October 14, details an integration using Babylon’s Trustless Bitcoin Vaults (TBVs) to link native Bitcoin with Aave V4’s Ethereum-based system. Instead of relying on wrapped Bitcoin, users would lock their BTC in Taproot-enabled outputs directly on the Bitcoin network.
Once locked, a corresponding record would be reflected within Aave V4, permitting users to access stablecoin liquidity without bridging assets to Ethereum. The system employs two core elements: the Babylon Spoke, which manages borrowing against BTC, and the BTC Vault Swap Spoke, responsible for liquidations and settlements.
Because Aave’s lending pools require ERC-20 tokens as collateral, the integration generates a restricted accounting token to represent users’ Bitcoin vaults in Aave. However, this token cannot be traded or freely transferred like standard wrapped BTC assets.
Mini dictionary: Babylon Labs is a blockchain research and development company focused on expanding the utility of Bitcoin through innovations such as trustless staking vaults and decentralized finance integrations.
Babylon has promoted on-chain BTC utility before, notably with its staking infrastructure—since August 2024, it reports over 100,000 Bitcoin cumulatively staked in its vaults, signaling demand for advanced Bitcoin-based financial products.
Babylon Foundation, in its governance documents, indicated that its TBV system allows users to gain liquidity from Aave without forfeiting custody or relying on wrapped assets, offering a way to participate in DeFi while retaining native BTC ownership.
Governance and Security MechanismsAs the proposal moves past an initial community review, governance concerns have emerged over how emergency mechanisms will affect user access. On October 16, an Aave governance member questioned whether Babylon’s emergency settings could delay or prevent collateral withdrawals, despite the Bitcoin itself remaining secure in its Taproot vault.
Babylon engineer Aleksa Opacic clarified that these emergency stops would not move or release any BTC from vaults, but could temporarily suspend withdrawals, repayments, and liquidations to maintain platform stability during critical situations.
The system would rely on a four-of-seven multisignature governance group plus a separate three-of-five emergency guardian team. Contract upgrades would be subject to a five-day grace period, while emergency pauses could take effect immediately.
A Babylon engineer emphasized that while the native BTC collateral remains secure, emergency protocols might temporarily restrict access to borrowers during periods of volatility or risk assessment.
Security measures of this kind have drawn scrutiny within the DeFi space, as real-world incidents involving liquidations and collateral control underscore the importance of robust on-chain governance and transparency.
Revenue Sharing and Competitive LandscapeThe proposal also lays out a revenue-sharing model between Aave DAO and the Babylon Foundation. Under the plan, Aave would receive the first $500,000 in qualifying annual revenue from the Bitcoin-backed lending feature. Earnings above that threshold would be divided among Aave, Babylon, and token-purchase pools based on a sliding scale.
Annual RevenueAave ShareBabylon ShareToken Purchase AllocationUp to $500,000100%0%0%$500,000–$1,000,00060%30%10%Above $1,000,00050%25%25%As revenue grows, portions of these funds would be used to purchase AAVE and BABY tokens from the market. Still, the framework does not guarantee minimum demand for the product or required token acquisitions.
This development aligns with Aave’s ongoing expansion of version 4 of its lending protocol, as well as increased institutional and platform interest in direct Bitcoin-backed lending.
Competitor platforms like Strike also offer Bitcoin-secured loans, highlighting how different providers are balancing the need for liquidity with the risks tied to collateral liquidation. The outcome of Aave’s governance process will determine whether this integration proceeds to implementation.
Výpadek směrování 12. srpna vyřadil z provozu 28,83 % stakovaných SOL; síť Solana zůstala online, ale finalizace bloků se přibližně na půl hodiny zastavila.
18 October 2026 | 11:50 At about 03:43 UTC on August 12, a bad internet route began spreading from TeraSwitch’s data centre in Miami.
According to Metrika’s analysis of the incident, around 90 Solana validators holding roughly 29% of staked SOL lost connectivity, and blocks took up to about 30 minutes to finalise, against the usual 13 seconds.
Solana never went down. Blocks kept coming, and an uptime chart would have shown an ordinary day. On Wednesday, October 21, the network switches to Alpenglow, an upgrade that targets finality of roughly 150 milliseconds, but nothing in it touches the hosting problem. A research report published on October 16 by Fidelity’s FCAT unit puts the largest hosting network at about 29% of stake, close to the share Metrika saw go offline.
What happened on August 12 Solana finalises a block, the point at which a transaction can no longer be reversed, only while more than two-thirds of staked SOL is voting. That normally takes about 13 seconds. With roughly 71% of stake still online on August 12, the network stayed above the line, but only just. Metrika puts the offline share at 28.83%, against a 33.34% point at which finalisation stops chain-wide.
August 12: share of staked SOL offline, against the finality-halt line
Offline: 28.83%
Headroom: about 4.5 points
Finalisation stops: 33.34%
Online: about 71%
Source: Metrika.
Metrika says another four to five percentage points of stake on the affected routes would have meant a network-wide halt needing coordinated recovery. The fault began in TeraSwitch’s Miami facility and spread to validator infrastructure in London, Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Singapore and Tokyo, and in most cases the affected validators’ backup systems never switched on.
TeraSwitch fixed the fault about ten minutes after diagnosing it, and traffic was flowing again by 04:16 UTC, 33 minutes after it began. Validators recovered over the following 40 minutes. In that time, the share of scheduled slots producing no block jumped above 32%, from under 1%. Non-vote transactions per second fell from roughly 1,100–1,300 to below 300. For about half an hour no blocks finalised at all, and the backlog then cleared in a burst averaging around 1,600 seconds from production to finality.
The one number that didn’t move was uptime, which held at 100% because the chain never stopped producing blocks. For about half an hour, though, nobody could say when a payment would become irreversible. Metrika, which sells a digital-asset risk-management platform and draws on its own indicators here, treats finality delay, not downtime, as the event that matters to anyone settling funds on Solana.
What a stalled chain would and wouldn’t mean The risk FCAT describes is stalled finality and possible censorship. A coalition holding more than one-third of stake could stop the rest from reaching the two-thirds needed for finality, the report says, but it would not gain unrestricted control over user assets or the ability to rewrite finalised transactions. A hosting fault that took out the same share of stake would halt finality without anyone attacking anything.
That share is not hard to reach. FCAT counts roughly 20 validator identities (18 in another passage) holding more than a third of stake, and says that third sits in two countries, on two hosting networks and on two base client implementations. Those are vote accounts, not independent organisations: Figment, for one, runs two of the top five validators in that group. FCAT’s overall verdict is positive, citing more than two years without a major mainnet outage, vote success averaging about 99.7% in 2026 and a software stack that is slowly diversifying. It lists concentration as the thing to keep watching. FCAT is Fidelity’s applied-technology research unit and runs a small Solana validator of its own.
Two months on, the share is still about 29% FCAT’s October snapshot puts the largest hosting network at about 29% of stake. The two figures measure different things, stake offline during a fault and a network’s share of all stake, but they land in the same place. FCAT says the Solana Foundation had already been working to reduce TeraSwitch’s dominance. Here is how its numbers break down, from the people running validators to the code they run.
18-20
OPERATORS
validator identities hold over a third of stake
Vote accounts, not independent organisations. Figment runs two of the group’s top five.
~40%
LOCATION
of stake in Frankfurt and Amsterdam
An IP-geolocation estimate that FCAT says may be inaccurate. About 59% sits in Germany, the Netherlands and the US.
~29%
NETWORK PROVIDER
of stake on one hosting network
October snapshot. Validators in different cities can share a provider, and validators in one city can use different ones.
~63%
SOFTWARE
of stake ran Jito-based software in Q3
Another 26% ran Harmonic. Most configurations still share Agave code underneath, so one bug there could hit them together.
Source: FCAT, The State of Solana: Network Health and Resilience (October 2026).
Validators cluster for a reason. Latency rewards being close to other nodes, FCAT notes, and specialist hosts such as TeraSwitch and Latitude build hardware for Solana’s workload. Operators do have protections: failovers, backup power, and private networks such as DoubleZero that reduce reliance on the public internet. The Foundation also set up an incident-response network, SIRN, in early 2026. On August 12, though, most backups never switched on.
The Foundation’s limit reaches about 4% of stake The Solana Foundation’s delegation programme sets the main rule. Since May 1, 2026, validators that want Foundation stake have had to sit on a hosting network under a 25% ceiling and in a data centre under 15%. A validator that fails loses its Foundation delegation until it passes again.
The limits took effect three months before the August fault, and by FCAT’s October snapshot the largest network was still above the ceiling. The programme’s reach is the other half of the problem. As of Q3 it delegated to about 51% of validators, but those delegations amounted to about 4% of active stake. The rule gives validators a reason to diversify, but it doesn’t govern the rest of the stake.
Largest hosting network’s share of stake (October)
About 29%. The black line marks the Foundation’s 25% ceiling.
Stake delegated by the Foundation’s programme (Q3)
About 4%.
Both bars use the same scale, 0-40% of staked SOL. Sources: FCAT, Solana Foundation.
What Alpenglow fixes, and what it doesn’t Alpenglow goes live on mainnet in epoch 1064, which Solana says starts around 15:00 UTC on Wednesday, October 21. Anza, the team behind the Agave client, has said about 14:50. The old voting system keeps running for the first 5,000 slots, about 18 minutes, and the new one takes over at slot 459,653,000. Finality is meant to drop from about 12.8 seconds to roughly 150 milliseconds, a figure Solana describes as an expectation, not a constant. Wallets and apps keep working as they do today.
It does nothing for the hosting problem. A faster vote shortens how long agreement takes, but nothing on Solana’s upgrade page changes where validators run or which provider connects them.
For now it also narrows software diversity. Validators must run Agave, Jito-Solana or Harmonic Salsa on a release built on Agave 4.3.0. Firedancer and Frankendancer aren’t supported during the migration, and Solana’s page gives no date for when they will be. Firedancer is the independent codebase FCAT calls Solana’s most significant move toward independent client diversity. Validators must also hold at least 0.8 SOL above the rent-exempt minimum in their vote account, or they won’t vote or produce blocks in the next epoch.
BEFORE
Now to about 14:50-15:00 UTC, October 21
Firedancer and Frankendancer operators move to an Agave-based client. Every voting validator holds 0.8 SOL above rent-exempt in its vote account.
AT THE SWITCH
Epoch 1064 begins
The old voting system runs for the first 5,000 slots, about 18 minutes. Alpenglow takes over at slot 459,653,000.
AFTER
What changes for data
Vote transactions leave blocks, so transaction counts fall. Confirmed and finalized become the same state. Participation data moves to block-footer certificates.
Monitoring changes too. Metrika’s analysis treats votes per block as the closest indicator of how near the network is to the finality line, because votes are ordinary transactions carried in blocks. Alpenglow takes votes out of blocks, and Solana’s migration notes say anything that measures validator participation by parsing vote transactions will need a new source, because that data moves into certificates in the block footer. Reported transaction counts will also fall without any drop in real activity.
What to check this week If you stake SOL: look up where your validator is hosted before you delegate. Validators.app, the source both FCAT and the Foundation use, tracks stake by hosting network and data centre. A validator on the largest network shares the August risk.
If you build on Solana: expect transaction-count and TPS dashboards to drop on Wednesday with no change in real activity. Keep reading at confirmed until Alpenglow is live, then move to finalized, as Solana’s migration notes advise. Before activation, finalized still means a wait of about 12.8 seconds. Re-check any timeout or retry tuned to that delay, and track time to finality alongside uptime.
If you run a validator: if you use Firedancer or Frankendancer, switch to an Agave-based client before epoch 1064, and check that the vote account holds the 0.8 SOL.
After Wednesday, two numbers are worth watching: whether the largest hosting network’s share falls below the Foundation’s 25% ceiling, and when Firedancer is supported again. Neither is on Wednesday’s schedule.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
Author
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
Míra spalování poplatků u Solany dosáhla 2,2 %, což je nejvyšší hodnota od začátku roku 2025; SOL/ETH tento měsíc klesl o více než 2,3 % a naráží na úroveň odporu 0,05.
This October, capital flows seem to prefer Bitcoin despite the overall risk-off mood.
Technically, it means that capital is not rotating into altcoins as the textbook fear rotation would suggest. Ethereum dominance fell 5% this month, and Bitcoin dominance increased 2.5% this month, highlighting a clear shift in market preference toward BTC.
Then, what does this imply about the SOL/ETH momentum?
The ratio jumped over 11% during the last two months but decreased by more than 2.3% so far this month. Thus, Solana seems to have difficulty gaining any significant ground against Ethereum despite the relative weakness of the latter.
Moreover, the ratio now encounters resistance at the critical level of 0.05.
Source: TradingView (SOL/ETH) Why is Solana’s activity lead missing from SOL/ETH? That said, on-chain data tell a different story.
According to data from Token Terminal, Ethereum has only recorded around 28 million transactions so far this month, compared to over 6 billion on Solana.
The key takeaway?
Solana is averaging nearly 1,500 transactions per second in 2026, which is almost 8x BNB Chain’s throughput and around 60x Ethereum’s, underscoring the network’s edge in transaction throughput.
Notably, this divergence is beginning to show in social sentiment.
Data shows Solana has overtaken Ethereum in Social Engagements, with 29.7 million engagements over the past 24 hours compared to ETH’s 28.91 million. In addition, Solana has overtaken Ethereum in Creator Activity, with 24.4k creators compared with 23k for ETH.
This suggests that there is growing social traction for SOL, even as its relative price momentum against ETH remains weak.
The key question is: Why is the market still betting on the SOL/ETH setup despite capital flows favoring Bitcoin and ETH demonstrating better price momentum than Solana [SOL]?
According to AMBCrypto, this is where Solana’s divergence in transaction activity begins to matter.
Could Solana’s fees support a SOL/ETH recovery? High transaction activity can generate fees, giving the activity comparison an economic dimension.
Solana’s Monthly Fees reached around $20 million in recent months, with October already recording $15 million. Ethereum generated approximately $8 million in fees over the comparable October period.
However, the supply implications required a closer look.
Solana burned half its Base Fees, while validators received all Priority Fees. Higher total fees therefore offered an incomplete supply picture.
The accompanying Blockworks chart put Solana’s Burn Rate at 2.2%, its highest since early 2025. That reading alone did not establish that SOL’s supply was shrinking or that burns exceeded new issuance.
Source: Blockworks What could Ethereum’s staking queues mean for SOL? Meanwhile, the staking dynamics of Ethereum [ETH] are adding another layer to the SOL/ETH setup.
According to ValidatorQueue, ETH’s entry queue has fallen from 3 million in early May to 1.23 million. At the same time, the exit queue has jumped from around 103,000 to over 1 million, suggesting that demand for new staking deposits is cooling and there is a surge in the number of validators waiting to unstake their ETH.
In short, the SOL/ETH ratio is showing a divergence between tightening supply and cautious market demand. If this trend holds, Solana’s growing burn rate and Ethereum’s increasing staking exit queue could strengthen SOL’s relative performance and set the stage for a breakout above the 0.05 level.
Final Summary Solana’s high transaction activity and rising burn rate are helping tighten SOL’s supply, even as its price struggles against ETH.
Ethereum’s rising staking exit queue could give SOL an edge and support a potential SOL/ETH breakout above 0.05.
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Shibarium's daily transactions dropped to 659 in the last 24 hours, the lowest since September 20, 2026, according to Shibariumscan data. The Shiba Inu layer 2 saw 2,280 transactions on October 15, 2026, which dropped to 659 on October 17, 2026.
The dip shows there is less activity on the network as a whole. The number of transactions fell sharply from 5,710 on October 6 after a steady rise in September. While the number of transactions is a metric for measuring network usage, it does not capture all aspects of ecosystem participation.
Shibarium continues to receive quiet upgrades behind the scenes. According to long-time SHIB community member Mazrael, CreateX is now live on Shibarium. CreateX is the standard factory devs use to deploy contracts at the same address on every chain, making multi-chain deploys on Shibarium much easier.
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In a separate development, all 12 Safe v1.4.1 contracts are deployed at their canonical addresses via the Safe Singleton Factory.
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In separate news, x402 is fully live on Shibarium with two payment modes: exact, allowing users to pay a fixed price, and up to, allowing users to pay up to a cap, for metered APIs and AI agents. AI agents can pay in SHIB, TREAT, or wrapped BONE.
A notice on the Shibariumscan page reveals ongoing indexing: "59% Blocks Indexed – We're indexing this chain right now. Some of the counts may be inaccurate."
Shiba Inu adds 2,495 holdersShiba Inu continues to expand its holder base in October, adding 2,495 holders according to the Etherscan SHIB X account despite relatively quiet growth across the broader cryptocurrency market.
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The increase suggests that SHIB continues to attract new wallet holders, but whether that growth translates into stronger market demand remains to be seen as the month progresses.
At the time of writing, SHIB was down 2.98% in the last 24 hours to $0.00000488 and down 10.13% over the past week.
Zelcore 8.39.0 přináší přepracovaný export daňových údajů, podporu Kaspy včetně KRC-20 a Ledgeru a migraci FLUX z Ergo na hlavní řetězec Fluxu v poměru 1:1 bez poplatku pro držitele k bloku 1 878 291.
Fluxers! Zelcore 8.39.0 is out. It rebuilds Tax & CSV export from the ground up, brings a big set of Kaspa features including names, KRC-20 tokens and Ledger support, lets you free a FluxNode’s collateral instantly, adds InstaSwap with private and zero-knowledge swaps, and opens the migration for FLUX on Ergo.
Tax & CSV export, rebuilt Tax season is where wallets usually let you down. This release fixes that properly.
One export for every coin. Open it from the Export CSV button on any coin, or from Tax & CSV export in the wallet menu. Choose the wallets, coins and period, and save one combined file or one file per coin.
Complete history. The export now reads each address’s history all the way to the end, rather than stopping after one page. Fees are counted for the wallet that paid them, contract calls, internal transfers and both sides of a swap are written out, and every row is valued from full price history. Anything Zelcore cannot price or classify is flagged — never dropped, and never quietly valued at zero. Cosmos Hub, Osmosis, Cardano, Sui and BNB Beacon Chain can now be exported too.
Templates for your tax tool. Ready-made layouts for Koinly, CoinTracker, CoinLedger, CoinTracking, Blockpit, ZenLedger, TokenTax and eleven more, plus neutral and accountant layouts — each following the tool’s own published sample file. Save as CSV, XLSX or JSON. The Zelcore classic and Koinly layouts are free for everyone; the other tool layouts, fiat values and custom mappings come with Zelcore+.
Your own mappings. Add, reorder and rename columns, set the date format, timezone, decimal separator and sign convention, and preview the result against your own history. For tools that sync by address, you can export a list of your public addresses — never any keys.
Private and fast. The export dialog lists every server it will contact, and an encrypted cache on your device means a repeat export only reads what is new.
Kaspa, all the way Kaspa names. Send KAS or KRC-20 tokens to a KNS name such as alice.kas. The resolved address is shown under the name before you can send. KRC-20 tokens. Tokens your wallet holds are discovered for you, and verification shows a token’s logo, decimals, supply and minting state before you import it. Kaspa on Ledger. Import a Kaspa address from a Ledger device and send KAS. UTXO consolidation. With more than 80 UTXOs, one tap merges them, showing the count and total fee before you sign. Live and complete. Incoming payments appear within seconds, Load More reaches older history, KRC-20 screens list transfers, mints and trades, and Sign Message works with Kaspa addresses. KCC tokens at your address are found and shown with balance, supply and history, and the Igra bridge can now move iKAS back to KAS. Free a FluxNode’s collateral instantly Deleting a FluxNode in Zelcore now frees its collateral at once, with no transaction, and the node stays deleted across restarts. The freed collateral appears under Available to lock, with a Lock button ready when you want to put it back to work.
The FluxNode map is rebuilt too: faster, theme-aware and smooth to zoom. Hover a location to see its nodes, click a country to filter, and switch on Only my nodes to see just yours.
InstaSwap: private and zero-knowledge swaps InstaSwap joins Zelcore as a swap provider in three forms: InstaSwap routes your swap through decentralized exchanges; InstaSwap Private makes the deposit and payout impossible to link on chain; and InstaSwap ZK settles through a zero-knowledge shielded pool. Badges on each offer show which kind you are looking at.
FLUX on Ergo comes home In Fusion, holders of FLUX on Ergo at block 1,878,291 can now migrate it 1:1 to the Flux main chain, with no fee. We wrote a step-by-step guide: Claims for FLUX on Ergo Are Open.
Faster, lighter, everywhere Half the code at launch. Zelcore loads less than half as much code at startup; support for some chains now loads the first time you use them. Hardware wallets, front and centre. Hardware Wallet now sits in the import menu without the Experimental label, and actions a hardware wallet cannot sign are hidden or refused clearly rather than failing part-way. Ledger sends now wait patiently for your approval on the device. Every language complete. All 18 languages now cover every screen, with about 27,000 translations added and 5,000 improved. CumulusVPN in Apps, alongside FluxDrive and the other Flux network apps. Get it Zelcore updates itself on desktop, and the latest version is at zelcore.io/download.
Upgrade Glamsterdam má na finálním testnetu Hoodi před spuštěním v hlavní síti zvýšit gas limit Hoodi z 60 milionů na 200 milionů, tedy přibližně 3,3krát.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
According to Ethereum researcher Toni Wahrstätter, Hoodi is the final testnet before Glamsterdam reaches mainnet. The upgrade is expected to bring a major change to Ethereum's gas limit, with the proposed increase taking it from 60 million to 200 million.
That would represent a roughly 3.3-fold increase, potentially allowing more computation and transactions to be included in each block, depending on their gas requirements.
Hoodi is the final testnet before mainnet. With Glamsterdam going live soon, Ethereum will 3.3x its gas limit, from 60M to 200M. From there, 300M feels like a realistic next step.
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— Toni Wahrstätter ⟠ (@nero_eth) October 18, 2026 Following its activation on Sepolia on October 6, the Glamsterdam network upgrade is now scheduled for the Hoodi testnet. Glamsterdam advances Ethereum's L1 scaling roadmap with enshrined proposer-builder separation, block-level access lists, and gas pricing changes that better reflect the cost of execution and state growth.
The Glamsterdam network upgrade will activate on Hoodi at epoch 132,352, slot 4,235,264 (October 26, 2026, 17:42:48 UTC). At the same epoch, Hoodi's gas limit will be raised to 200 million via the gas limit schedule, matching the Sepolia testnet.
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Wahrstätter suggested that 300 million for Ethereum's gas limit could become a realistic next step after the proposed 200 million target. However, that figure should be treated as a potential future milestone rather than a confirmed part of the Glamsterdam upgrade.
According to Ethereum developers, the mainnet activation time for the Glamsterdam upgrade will be announced once decided by client teams.
Hegotá eyes 2027 launchPreparations for Hegotá are shaping up as Glamsterdam nears the final mile. According to Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin, Hegota—the fork planned for next year—may likely be Ethereum's last "normal" fork, with features and technology that would be recognizable to someone from 2015.
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Everything after that involves recursive STARKs, automated formal verification, highly optimized consensus algorithms, and making it all quantum-safe. With PeerDAS, Ethereum began its transition from being just a blockchain to something much more powerful.
Starting after Hegotá, this transformation becomes Ethereum's primary story. The outcome: a cryptographic world computer. According to Ethereum researcher Toni Wahrstätter, 23 EIPs are being considered for Hegotá, with two headliners (FOCIL and Frame Transactions).
Zloději vyprázdnili tři adresy podvodníka využívajícího Ledger a odcizili více než 60 BTC v hodnotě přibližně 4,8 milionu USD získaných prostřednictvím podvodu s úkoly.
Thieves are draining nearly $5 million in Bitcoin (BTC) from a crypto scammer who profited from deceiving victims through a task scam.
Chainalysis says one of the biggest victims in the Ledger thefts was the scammer themselves.
“One of the biggest victims of the Ledger theft was a scammer themselves. They lost more than 60BTC, about $4.8M. The funds were from a task scam.”
The firm details how the scam operated by paying people to fake sales and reviews of real items before creating a negative balance that tricked victims into adding their own money.
“In this task scam, people were paid to fake sales and reviews of real items. Then a ‘negative balance’ appeared, and they were told to add their own money in order to get paid.”
On September 22nd, the scammer moved the proceeds into three separate Ledger addresses that thieves emptied on October 9th with one transfer each into the same wallet reported as containing stolen funds.
Criminals stole approximately $90 million in digital assets from cryptocurrency wallets last week by tampering with hardware wallets, small USB-like devices designed to securely store the keys used to access crypto holdings, reports the Financial Times.
Ledger said Thursday that organized criminals spent several months buying genuine Ledger devices, opening them and installing concealed components designed to capture users’ recovery phrases during setup. The tampered devices were then returned to circulation through resellers in Southeast Asia.
The attackers also built their own technical and logistical infrastructure, including servers to collect recovery phrases and systems to drain and launder stolen funds.
“They were patient, they spent millions and they struck in one coordinated operation, draining wallets.”
All affected devices were sold by CryptoBilis, a Malaysia-based reseller.
Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap join CME’s futures lineup on Monday, October 19, becoming the exchange’s tenth and eleventh single-coin crypto futures.
CME announced the contracts on September 22, pending regulatory review, and Bitcoin Cash rose more than 25% that day, according to Decrypt.
Bitcoin Cash split from Bitcoin in 2017 over block size, and its backers pitch it for cheaper payments. UNI is the governance token of Uniswap, the largest decentralized exchange. Holders use it to vote on changes to the protocol.
BCA
Bitcoin Cash
250 BCH
≈ $84,500
MCH
Micro Bitcoin Cash
25 BCH
≈ $8,450
UNI
Uniswap
10,000 UNI
≈ $92,800
MUN
Micro Uniswap
1,000 UNI
≈ $9,280
Dollar values at September 22 prices (BCH $338, UNI $9.28) and move with the market. Contract details: CME product page.
What one contract is actually worth
Each Micro covers a tenth of the larger contract, and even the smallest is a five-figure position. A 5% move in UNI changes the value of a Micro Uniswap contract by about $460. A $10 move in BCH changes a Micro Bitcoin Cash contract by $250.
Nobody receives coins. According to CME’s clearing advisory, the contracts settle in cash against a reference price at expiry, so traders need a futures account rather than a crypto wallet. Each contract also has a fixed expiry date. Anyone holding a position for longer has to close it and reopen it in a later month, paying trading costs each time.
Who these are built for
CME says the launch answers client demand for regulated ways to manage altcoin price risk. The firms quoted in its announcement show who that means: Volatility Shares, an ETF issuer, and Ripple Prime, Ripple’s prime brokerage business, which finances institutional trading.
For Bitcoin Cash, the obvious users are miners and businesses paid in BCH that want to lock in a price for coins they already hold. For Uniswap, it’s funds and project treasuries that hold UNI and want protection against a fall without selling the tokens they vote with.
For individuals, the maths is harder. A Micro contract worth around $9,000 can swing by several hundred dollars on an ordinary day, and that money moves in or out of the account the same day. Offshore exchanges have offered BCH and UNI derivatives in much smaller sizes for years. What CME adds is a US-regulated venue, not a cheaper way in.
A Bitcoin Cash miner hedges 275 coins
Holds 275 BCH (≈ $93,000 at $338). Sells one BCA and one MCH contract, a 275-coin short.
If BCH falls 10% to $304.20
Coins ……….. −$9,295
Futures ……… +$9,295
Net …………. ≈ $0
If BCH rises 10% to $371.80
Coins ……….. +$9,295 (on paper)
Futures ……… −$9,295 (paid in cash as prices move)
Net …………. ≈ $0, but cash has left the account
Before fees, assuming futures and spot prices move together. In practice they drift apart a little.
The second scenario is the one that catches people out. CME’s margin rules settle gains and losses on futures as prices move, so the miner pays out on the hedge before it has sold a single coin. The initial margin is a deposit, not a limit on what it can lose.
Will futures push BCH and UNI higher?
BCH’s jump came on the announcement, before a single contract traded. Nothing about the futures requires anyone to buy coins. A trader betting on a rise can buy BCH futures without touching BCH, and a holder hedging with futures keeps the coins they already have.
Futures pull in spot buying mainly in one case. When futures trade far enough above the coin’s price, trading desks buy the coin and sell the futures, collecting the gap as the two prices meet at expiry. That only pays if the premium covers borrowing, fees and custody. Market makers quoting the new contracts may also buy or sell coins to balance their books, but that can push the price either way.
Don’t expect a flood of volume
CME’s earlier altcoin launches give a realistic yardstick. Futures on Cardano, Chainlink and Stellar, launched in February, and on Avalanche and Sui, launched in May, have produced just over $1 billion in combined notional value so far this year, according to CME. Its crypto futures and options as a whole averaged $8.3 billion a day in the first half of the year. Five altcoin markets, in other words, have traded less in ten months than the complex does in a typical three hours.
Contract counts will mislead too. Ten Micro UNI contracts equal one large one, so a headline figure for contracts traded says little without the dollar value behind it.
How to tell if these futures catch on
Open interest
Weak: drops back after launch week
Strong: keeps building for a month
Quotes
Weak: wide gap between buy and sell prices
Strong: tight prices with real size behind them
Dollar volume
Weak: behind the Cardano-to-Sui pace
Strong: level with it or ahead
Expiry months
Weak: everything in the nearest month
Strong: positions in later months too
Jargon decoder
Basis: the gap between the futures price and the coin’s price.
Open interest: contracts still open at the end of the day. Each has a buyer and a seller, so a rise on its own isn’t a bullish signal.
Margin: collateral held by the broker, topped up or paid out as prices move.
Cash settlement: at expiry, profits and losses are paid in dollars. No coins change hands.
Getting access: you need a futures broker that lists the new contracts and has cleared you to trade them. No crypto wallet is required, as CME’s crypto futures FAQ explains. Trading switches on Sunday evening, October 18, for the Monday trade date, according to CME’s operational notice, and runs on the exchange’s round-the-clock crypto schedule with short maintenance breaks.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Futures use leverage, and losses can exceed the initial margin.
Author
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP.
Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem.
To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem.
His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
DogeOS, built by the MyDoge team, says users have completed over 1 million quests in The Grand Heist, a campaign exploring the Dogecoin (DOGE) ecosystem.
@DogeOS, built by the founders of @MyDoge, has reported that users have completed more than 1 million quests on its platform. The figure points to rising engagement around $DOGE, though it raises the question of how much of it reflects lasting retail adoption.
What the quests areQuests on DogeOS are accessible through the MyDoge wallet. They are gamified missions and community tasks that form part of "The Grand Heist", a loyalty and engagement campaign designed to explore the Dogecoin ecosystem.
According to the DogeOS blog, users pick a crew, run missions and try apps, all inside the MyDoge app. Chapters run for roughly a week, with new missions added each week from the team and from partners building on DogeOS. Participants earn XP and badges and collect items used across DogeOS, the project said in its MyDoge V3 announcement.
The campaign opened to everyone on October 8, alongside the MyDoge V3 release, according to CoinGabbar. The same report said the team had flagged more than 100,000 completed quests on October 12, before the 1 million milestone.
The headline number needs context. Quests completed is not the same as unique users, since one person can finish many tasks, CoinGabbar noted. Earlier figures from an AMA, which were not independently verified, cited about 8,000 new users per day, per a KuCoin recap.
The technology behind DogeOSDogeOS is an application layer for Dogecoin. , according to Unchained.
The setup still has limits. , Crowdfund Insider reported. , according to Crypto Briefing.
On funding, , per Play to Earn.
There is also no token or reward confirmation tied to the quests. UseTheBitcoin reports that DogeOS has not announced a native token or confirmed an airdrop, and that the quest terms state completing quests does not guarantee rewards.
For now, the 1 million quest figure is a sign of activity on a testnet-stage product rather than proof of a mature retail ecosystem. Whether that engagement carries over once DogeOS reaches mainnet remains to be seen.
SourcesCoinGabbar: DogeOS passes 1 million quests
DogeOS Blog: The Grand Heist
Unchained: DogeOS opens public testnet
Zakladatel Cardana Charles Hoskinson vyvíjí nový programovací jazyk pro blockchain Cardano, který má jako první podporovat záměry a PCD (důkazy přenositelných výpočtů) prostřednictvím důkazů Groth16.
Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, has revealed that he is currently working on creating a new programming language for the blockchain, promising to add advanced cryptography features to it.
The new language will be able to handle intents and proof-carrying data (PCD) with the help of Groth16 proofs.
"I'm actually personally developing a programming language for Cardano. It's the first of its kind enabling intents + PCD via Groth16 proofs," Hoskinson wrote.
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He made this announcement after a community member inquired about the unique benefits of Cardano as a highly decentralized base for blockchain use cases.
The creator of Cardano did not share any details of the language's name, specs, or release timeframe.
Earlier this week, he also hinted at an ambitious use case for Midnight, a partner blockchain for Cardano focused on privacy.
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"I'm working on a concept that only Midnight can bring to the cryptocurrency space to solve most of the problems. It's gonna be the magnum opus for my career," he said.
It's unclear if the two announcements are related.
Merits of programming languages Hoskinson has shared his views on programming languages many times. He is a fan of Haskell, which was originally used as the basis of the development architecture of Cardano.
In June 2022, he jumped into a discussion between Elon Musk and Jack Dorsey on programming languages' merits.
After Musk shared his fondness for the C programming language instead of the modern C++, Hoskinson responded by suggesting they should try Haskell.
However, later on, Hoskinson admitted that the choice to develop Cardano with Haskell was not something he was sure about.
In May 2024, the founder revealed that he nearly picked Clojure at one point. He said Haskell was chosen eventually due to the presence of Cloud Haskell. Plus, he could use other technologies like Liquid Haskell, Agda, etc.
In an interview in April 2025, he said he would probably pick another language for programming if he could rewrite Cardano from scratch.
Currently, Cardano supports a few smart contract programming languages like Plutus (based on Haskell) and Aiken. Another privacy-focused language on Midnight is called Compact.
AIsa dokončila rozšířené seedové kolo, v němž Tether a HIVEN vystupovaly jako strategičtí investoři, čímž její celkové financování překročilo 9 milionů USD.
AIsa said it had completed its seed extension round, with Tether and HIVEN joining as strategic investors.
The round brings AIsa’s total funding to more than $9 million. The two new investors joined Alibaba, Tribe Capital, Sumitomo Corporation, Draper Associates, Saison Capital and other backers.
“Enterprise AI agents need trusted information, useful tools and a governed way to transact,” said Jordan Liu, founder and CEO of San Francisco-based AIsa, in a Friday statement. “Our vision is to build the infrastructure that enables agents to discover, access and pay for resources globally, while giving enterprises full control over permissions, spending and transactions. We are excited to welcome Tether and HIVEN as strategic investors as we accelerate the transition from AI assistants to autonomous, production-ready agents.”
Fragmented providers, integrations and billing systems make it difficult for enterprise AI agents to operate effectively in production and manage at scale, according to the statement.
AIsa addresses this by bringing resource discovery, access and transactions into one governed, usage-based network, the Trusted Resource and Transaction Network for Enterprise AI Agents. Its infrastructure connects enterprise agents to external data, AI search, models, APIs, software tools and industry services, combining governed access with usage metering, billing and settlement, the
statement said.
Cointelegraph reported on July 31 that stablecoin issuer Tether generated another multibillion-dollar quarter as income from its US Treasury portfolio continued to bolster earnings.
Tether reported a net operating profit of $1.5 billion for the second quarter, driven primarily by interest earned on US Treasury holdings and repurchase agreements, or short-term loans backed by government securities.
Magazine: Capital starting to rotate back to crypto from AI: Raoul Pal
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.
Studie BIS ukazuje, že zvýšení úrokových sazeb z bankovních vkladů o 1 bazický bod snížilo růst stablecoinů během deseti týdnů přibližně z 15 % na 12 %.
A slight increase in interest rates on bank deposits could slow the growth of stablecoins. This is the finding of a study by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), which highlights competition between bank savings and these cryptocurrencies pegged to traditional currencies. However, the effect varies depending on the players: Circle’s USDC appears more sensitive to this competition than Tether’s USDT.
In Brief A one basis point increase in deposit rates reduces stablecoin growth over ten weeks, from 15% to 12% in the main estimate, and down to 6% in an alternative estimate. USDC reacts more than USDT, especially due to its closer ties with American users. The study neither proves deposit outflows nor credit contraction. It also highlights the limits of an analysis conducted during a period of high rates. Higher Savings Rates to Slow Stablecoins The question of the links between banks and stablecoins continues to fuel debate. Tether already contested, at the end of August, the BIS’s reading on tokenized deposits. This time, the institution moves on to data analysis with a study by Rashad Ahmed and Iñaki Aldasoro.
The researchers studied American weekly data from January 2019 to June 2025. They notably took into account policy rates, bond yields, the dollar, and stock market volatility.
Their finding is clear: a one basis point increase, or 0.01 percentage point, reduces stablecoin growth over ten weeks from about 15% to 12%. Another estimate, which adjusts for banks’ reactions in setting their rates, brings this growth to about 6%.
Why? The rates offered by banks do not mechanically follow those of the central bank. They change little when rates remain low, then adjust more strongly beyond a certain threshold.
The researchers use this difference to measure the effect of rates on stablecoins. Their results hold up to several tests, including excluding the Silicon Valley Bank episode.
USDC and USDT, Different Sensitivity to Bank Rates The study also highlights a difference between the two main stablecoins. Circle’s USDC reacts more to changes in deposit rates than Tether’s USDT. The researchers attribute this gap mainly to Circle’s proximity to American users.
The results also do not seem to reflect a simple overall trend in the crypto market. An additional test does not show the same link between the instrument used by the researchers and the growth of other cryptocurrencies.
Furthermore, a Federal Reserve note explains that funds placed in stablecoins can return to the banking system in the form of deposits held by issuers. Deposits therefore do not necessarily disappear, but their distribution changes. Banks may nonetheless have to hold more liquid assets if they depend on more volatile funding.
The Study’s Limits and Open Questions However, caution is needed not to draw excessive conclusions. The study does not demonstrate either an actual decrease in deposits or a credit contraction. In addition, it covers only one episode of high rates. Yield-bearing stablecoins and tokenized money market funds could also change this competition by directly offering a return to their holders.
On the regulatory side the Federal Reserve proposed at the end of September a two-day deadline to reimburse stablecoin holders. In January, the head of Bank of America also mentioned the risk of several thousands of billions of dollars leaving bank deposits.
In essence, banks have a simple lever to remain competitive: better remuneration of savings. The competition with stablecoins therefore relies not only on technology but also on the yield offered to liquidity holders.
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Fenelon L.
Passionné par le Bitcoin, j'aime explorer les méandres de la blockchain et des cryptos et je partage mes découvertes avec la communauté. Mon rêve est de vivre dans un monde où la vie privée et la liberté financière sont garanties pour tous, et je crois fermement que Bitcoin est l'outil qui peut rendre cela possible.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
Turkish Justice Minister Akın Gürlek confirmed on October 17 that Richard James Schueler — the founder of HEX, PulseChain and PulseX widely known as Richard Heart — was detained in Istanbul on October 14. The arrest closes a years-long international pursuit of one of crypto’s most controversial founders, and it raises the question now hanging over the tokens he built: what actually happens to HEX and PulseChain with their creator in custody?
Gürlek announced the operation in a statement on X, describing Heart as a U.S. citizen reported to have an Interpol red notice issued against him on allegations of perpetrating a $1 billion cryptocurrency fraud in the United States and Finland. Heart was taken into custody along with his wife.
What Turkish Authorities Say They Found
The operation was coordinated by the Istanbul Chief Public Prosecutor’s Office with the city police’s intelligence and financial crimes units, supported by Turkey’s National Intelligence Organization (MİT). Searches across 15 addresses in Beşiktaş, Üsküdar and Sarıyer recovered $7.15 million in U.S. currency and 160,000 Turkish lira, six cold wallets, and a list of goods Gürlek enumerated in full: 300 bags, 100 pairs of shoes, 136 pairs of glasses, 28 watches, 97 pieces of jewelry, 29 phones, 12 laptops, 11 computer towers, 19 solid-state drives and external disks, 46 USB drives, and 19 graphics cards.
Police also seized four long-barreled rifles, three unlicensed pistols and 1,400 rounds of ammunition. Three men identified as Heart’s bodyguards were detained in a follow-up, and state news agency Anadolu reported that nine vehicles registered to Heart’s wife were impounded. Judicial proceedings and examination of the seized material are ongoing.
From an SEC Lawsuit to an Interpol Red Notice
The arrest is the latest turn in a legal record that stretches back years. In July 2023, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission sued Heart and his three entities, alleging they raised more than $1 billion through unregistered crypto asset securities offerings and that he misappropriated at least $12 million for personal luxury purchases. That case remains unresolved. A separate Interpol red notice was issued at Finland’s request in December 2024 over suspected aggravated tax fraud tied to his crypto activities, the basis Turkey cited in confirming the detention.
HEX, the certificate-of-deposit-style token Heart launched in 2019, is the common thread across both cases. A BlockchainReporter breakdown of HEX tracks how the token’s own positioning eventually gave way to a slide toward all-time lows.
What the Arrest Means for HEX and PulseChain
Heart’s detention does not stop the networks he built. PulseChain is a running layer-1 blockchain and PulseX a live decentralized exchange, both maintained by community participants rather than a single company. But the arrest removes the figure whose personal brand anchored the ecosystem, and the seized cold wallets are now a focal point: authorities have not said what they hold or whether the assets relate to the alleged fraud.
The situation echoes other cases where a founder’s legal exposure left a live network in limbo. Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon’s extradition was authorized by a court after a similarly drawn-out international pursuit, a reminder of how slowly such proceedings can move.
What Happens Next
Turkish officials have not announced an extradition decision, and it is not yet clear whether Heart would be sent to Finland, the United States, or face proceedings in Turkey first. The allegations against him remain unproven. For now the immediate question is procedural — where the case is heard next — while the longer-term question is whether HEX and PulseChain can keep functioning without the founder whose name is attached to both.
AUTHOR
Jide Idowu is a skilled freelance writer with expertise in blockchain technology, cryptocurrency, and digital finance. Known for his ability to break down complex topics into clear, engaging content, Jide crafts articles, blog posts, and analyses that resonate with both beginners and seasoned professionals. His work spans a wide range of subjects, from emerging crypto trends to in-depth explorations of blockchain innovations. With a keen eye for detail and a passion for educating readers, Jide is a reliable voice in the rapidly evolving world of digital assets.
Yuga Labs spustila sběratelské karty Mudwater na blockchainu Solana; držitelé BAYC mohou získat 10 balíčků a držitelé MAYC dva. Každý balíček obsahuje 10 karet.
Yuga Labs, the company behind Bored Ape Yacht Club, is getting into trading cards. Its new Mudwater collection went live on Solana on October 17, 2026, and BAYC and Mutant Ape Yacht Club holders can now claim packs.
What Mudwater actually is The debut set is called “Swamp Origins.” It includes 120 distinct artworks built around the familiar Bored Ape imagery.
Cards come in four tiers: standard, foil, serialized, and a rare “cracked-ice” edition. At the top sit 8 serialized cracked-ice 1/1 grails, the one-of-a-kind cards that collectors tend to chase hardest.
Each card links a physical collectible to a matching Solana NFT held in a vault, so ownership exists both on the shelf and on the blockchain.
Claims opened at roughly 23:30–23:35 UTC, right after the announcement. The rollout coincided with ApeFest 2026 in Charleston, Yuga’s yearly gathering for its community.
How the claim process works Eligibility runs through something Yuga calls Totems. BAYC and MAYC holders received 6,551 Totems, which are ERC-6551 token-bound accounts. A token-bound account is an NFT that functions as its own wallet, so the Totem acts as the container that receives and manages a holder’s packs.
BAYC holders can claim 10 packs each, while MAYC holders can claim 2. Every pack contains 10 cards. Altogether, more than 140,000 packs are available to claim.
The claim window remains open until January 19, 2027. The total planned supply goes beyond the first wave of claims: Yuga plans for 10,000 boxes, each holding 24 packs.
The ApeCoin twist Mudwater also includes an unusual fee mechanic. A 2.5% reflection on NFT trades automatically purchases ApeCoin ($APE), which then goes out to Mudwater NFT holders in proportion to their holdings.
Trading happens on OpenSea, which carries separate listings for Totems, Packs, and Cards. Secondary-market listings showed up on the platform soon after claims opened.
Why Yuga is doing this A demo of the card gameplay is available in Otherside, and Yuga has said further expansions inside the metaverse are possible. The company also plans to let collectors upgrade packs into boxes and cases, with upgradeable game elements on the roadmap as well.
What this means for holders and the market For BAYC and MAYC owners, the immediate effect is a fresh airdrop with tradable value. The 10-to-2 ratio rewards BAYC holders more generously, which reinforces the pecking order between the two collections.
The 8 cracked-ice 1/1 grails are likely to anchor the high end of the market. More than 140,000 packs are claimable now, and the planned 10,000 boxes point to substantial total volume, so rarity sits mostly in the serialized and cracked-ice tiers.
For ApeCoin, the 2.5% reflection creates buying tied to Mudwater trades, though its scale depends entirely on how actively the cards change hands.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Kaye Quema. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Zástupce ředitele CIA Michael Ellis uvedl, že bitcoin je pseudonymní, nikoli anonymní, a že americké zpravodajské služby využívají jeho transakce ke sledování protivníků USA.
Bitcoin was sold to many early adopters as digital cash that nobody could trace. The CIA’s second-in-command would like a word.
CIA Deputy Director Michael Ellis said in a May 1, 2025 podcast interview that Bitcoin is not truly anonymous, and that US intelligence uses it to collect information on adversaries. For anyone still treating the network as a privacy cloak, that is an awkward thing to hear from a spy agency.
What Ellis actually said Ellis described Bitcoin as “pseudonymous” rather than anonymous. The difference matters more than it sounds.
On Bitcoin, activity is tied to addresses rather than legal names. Ellis’s point is that the gap between an address and a real person can be closed, and authorities are working to close it.
According to Ellis, that gap is what lets US authorities follow illicit activity connected to adversaries. He named drug cartels and terrorist organizations as examples of the groups whose crypto use can be tracked.
“We can disrupt our adversaries’ use of it and we can use these technologies to collect more intelligence.”
That one sentence covers two separate jobs. One is defensive: interfering with how hostile groups move money. The other is offensive: treating the transactions themselves as a source of intelligence.
Ellis also placed Bitcoin inside a broader technology competition with countries like China. In his framing, crypto is one more front in a contest over which nations master emerging tech.
He also pointed to growing institutional adoption and offered a blunt assessment: “Bitcoin is here to stay.”
How we got here Ellis was sworn in as CIA Deputy Director on February 10, 2025. His podcast remarks came less than three months into the job.
The views are not new inside the intelligence community. Former Acting CIA Director Michael Morell praised blockchain analytics tools like Chainalysis in a 2021 analysis, crediting them with helping efforts against illicit finance.
The CIA also works with law enforcement to trace illicit payments made with digital assets. Ellis’s comments put a more public face on that cooperation.
Blockchain analytics firms essentially do pattern recognition at scale. They cluster addresses, map flows between them, and flag links to known entities, turning a stream of pseudonymous transactions into something closer to a readable map.
What this means for Bitcoin holders and the market The most direct implication is for privacy expectations. Anyone who assumed Bitcoin transactions were invisible to governments now has a CIA official stating plainly that they are not.
For bad actors, the message is sharper. A senior official is publicly signaling that the agency treats their transactions as an intelligence feed.
The CIA’s framing of Bitcoin as a national security tool may lift institutional confidence and potentially strengthen its standing with the public and regulators. An asset the intelligence community expects to persist, and is actively building capabilities around, is harder to dismiss as a passing fad.
The China framing deserves attention too. Once a technology gets folded into great-power competition, policy around it tends to be shaped by security priorities as much as by financial regulators.
The practical takeaway for market participants is to separate two questions that often get blurred. Whether Bitcoin is here to stay, as Ellis put it, is one question, and whether using it is private is another, and the CIA’s answer to the second is clearly no.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Flash Mixer přidal server MCP, který AI agentům umožňuje vytvářet a sledovat objednávky míchání bitcoinů. Odeslání BTC i získání přístupového klíče však stále vyžaduje zásah člověka.
AI agents can now order a Bitcoin mix. Flash Mixer, launched this year, has added an MCP server, the plug-in standard that AI apps such as Claude Desktop use to call outside tools.
In an October 15 report, blockchain analytics firm Elliptic said it is the first mixer it has found doing so.
Read Flash Mixer’s own setup guide, though, and the agent turns out to need a human at both ends. The access key is issued only after its owner places a manual order on the website and pays for it. Even with the key, the guide’s sample workflow hands the decisive step back to a person: “user sends BTC.”
AT A GLANCE
What it is: A Bitcoin mixing service launched in 2026, reachable by website, Telegram bot, Tor, and now MCP.
What’s new: Five tools that let an AI agent check fees, create mixing orders and track payouts.
What still needs a person: Getting the access key, and sending the bitcoin.
What nobody knows yet: How much, if anything, agents have mixed through it.
What can an agent actually do with it?
Flash Mixer’s integration guide on GitHub lists five tools. One returns the current pool limits, fee ranges and payout delays. A second works out how much bitcoin to send to receive a given amount. A third creates the order: the agent chooses the standard or premium pool, a fee percentage, and one or two payout addresses, each with its own delay of up to 72 hours. The last two check whether the deposit has arrived and how the payouts are progressing.
The guide includes ready-made configuration for Claude Desktop and PyCharm’s AI Assistant. Every order comes back with its own deposit address and an order ID. There are no customer accounts, so that ID is the only handle anyone has on the order.
1Check limits and fees. The agent reads the current pool settings and BTC/USD rate.
2Calculate the amount to send. Fees are added on top of what the payout addresses should receive.
3Create the order. Flash Mixer returns a fresh deposit address and an order ID.
4Someone sends the bitcoin. None of the five tools can do this. The guide leaves it to the user.
5Track the payouts. The agent polls the order until both payouts complete.
Why can’t the agent just pay?
Nothing in the toolset can sign a Bitcoin transaction. The server never touches a wallet. It hands back an address and waits for coins to arrive.
Getting connected in the first place also takes a human. According to the guide, the MCP key appears once on the status page of a paid manual order, after the deposit reaches three confirmations, and isn’t shown again. So the first mix through Flash Mixer is done by a person, not a model. The documentation is rough in places: its closing notes describe ordering and status checks as “no-key capabilities,” contradicting the authentication section a few screens earlier.
The footprint is small so far. When we checked the GitHub repository on October 17, it had 18 stars and four forks. There is no public data on how many orders have come through the MCP route.
So where is the gap?
In the agent’s wallet. Flash Mixer doesn’t need a payment integration of its own. An agent that has the Flash Mixer tools and a wallet that will pay any address already has everything it needs: step three produces an address, and the wallet pays it.
That deposit address is new for every order. A wallet that blocks known mixer addresses won’t recognise it, because nobody has seen it before. The rule that does stop the payment works the other way round: the agent may only pay addresses on an approved list, and anything new goes to a person.
Spending caps alone don’t close the gap. MoonPay’s PayBox for ChatGPT and Claude lets users approve each payment or let an agent spend on its own within set limits, according to its launch announcement. A limit decides how much an agent can spend. A small payment to a brand-new mixer address fits under almost any cap.
If you’ve given an agent a wallet
Let it pay only addresses you’ve approved. A new address should need your sign-off every time.
Treat MCP servers like browser extensions. Install only ones you’ve read, and note which can create orders or move money.
Log which tool call produced each payment address, so you can trace where a destination came from.
Keep the wallet balance to what the agent needs for its current task, not everything you hold.
Is there a legitimate reason for an agent to mix coins?
Yes, and Elliptic makes the case itself. An agent pays for what it needs as it works, far more often than a person would, and on a public blockchain every one of those payments is visible. Picture an agent buying specialist datasets for a research team. Once its wallet is tied to the company, anyone watching can see the suppliers, the budget and what the team is working on.
Elliptic’s answer is privacy that can be proven on request. Privacy Pools, run by 0xbow, screens deposits before admitting them and lets users later prove their withdrawal came from an approved set without revealing which deposit was theirs. The Ethereum Foundation’s Kohaku wallet includes privacy pool functionality. Flash Mixer’s guide offers nothing of the kind.
Treating every mixer as the same risk gets it wrong in both directions. Tornado Cash came off the US sanctions list in 2025, yet Elliptic’s research found that over the past six months, a third of deposits into its 100 ETH pool drew more than half their funds from illicit sources.
Why does Elliptic think agents change laundering?
Scripted laundering repeats itself: the same hops in the same order, a pattern monitoring rules learn to spot. An agent given a goal picks its own route, choosing which services to use, how to split the funds and when to move them, and does it differently each run. Elliptic says that makes agents harder to monitor than conventional automation, and warns they could break funds into many small, fast “micromixes.”
Volume is the other concern. Elliptic said in September that agentic crypto payments had risen 500% in three months, and argues that human review alone can’t keep up. That view comes from a company that sells blockchain analytics and uses the report to promote its own agent-based compliance tools. The report cites no instance of an agent laundering money through Flash Mixer.
Quick answers
Can an AI agent mix bitcoin on its own?
Not with Flash Mixer’s documented tools alone. They can price and create an order, but sending the bitcoin needs a wallet the agent has separately been allowed to use, and the access key itself requires a paid manual order first.
What is an MCP server?
A connection point that lets AI apps such as Claude Desktop find and call outside tools. The MCP specification recommends that apps show tool activity and let users refuse calls, but leaves the details to each app.
This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, financial or investment advice.
Author
Alexander Zdravkov is a market analyst and crypto journalist with interests in economics, broader financial markets and digital assets.
His journey into crypto began more than four years ago, driven by a fascination with the rapid evolution of blockchain technology and the transformative potential of decentralized finance. He began analyzing market cycles and identifying emerging trends before they reach the mainstream.
He holds a degree in International Relations - a background that helped shape his broader perspective on global economics, geopolitics, and the interconnected nature of modern financial markets.
Whether covering the latest developments in the crypto sector or exploring broader macroeconomic themes, Alexander focuses on giving readers context rather than simply repeating headlines.
During his career, he has authored more than 5,000 articles covering cryptocurrencies, traditional finance, and global market developments. His work spans everything from Bitcoin and altcoins to macroeconomic trends influencing risk assets worldwide.
TD Cowen zvýšila cílovou cenu společnosti Strive (ASST) o 27 % na 56 USD poté, co firma navýšila své držby na 35 595 BTC, což je více, než původně očekávala za celé čtvrtletí.
TD Cowen increased its price target on Strive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASST) by about 27 percent, from $44 to $56, while retaining a Buy rating. Analysts Lance Vitanza and Jonnathan Navarrete cited the firm’s bitcoin buying activity, which has already surpassed their projected total for the full fourth quarter after only a brief period of acquisitions.
Strive’s bitcoin holdings advanced to 35,595 BTC, valued at roughly $2.9 billion at prevailing prices, from 28,000 BTC at the end of September. The nearly 7,600-coin increase exceeded the prior estimate of 4,750 BTC for the entire quarter.
Reported purchases included 3,311 BTC acquired at an average price near $84,500 (inclusive of fees) and a follow-on buy of 2,822 BTC at approximately $83,266 per coin.
These steps moved Strive into fourth place among publicly traded companies ranked by bitcoin treasury size, just ahead of MARA Holdings’ reported holdings of about 35,577 BTC.
The quicker pace of accumulation continues a strategy in which Strive finances purchases primarily through preferred equity instruments rather than conventional debt.
The company has maintained a debt-free balance sheet for an extended period, using preferred share sales and related capital markets tools to grow its bitcoin position while seeking to improve bitcoin ownership on a per-share basis.
Concurrently, Strive priced an expanded preferred share offering.
It issued 7 million shares of its 15.00 percent Series A Perpetual SATS Preferred Stock at $90 per share, two million shares more than initially planned.
Gross proceeds are projected at approximately $630 million before underwriting discounts and expenses, with settlement expected on October 20 subject to standard conditions.
The shares accrue a cumulative 15 percent annual dividend based on a $100 stated amount and are payable daily when declared by the board, with regular payments set to begin in early November.
At the $90 offering price, the effective yield stands near 16.7 percent.
The security ranks junior to Strive’s existing variable-rate SATA preferred shares.
Upon closing, the company intends to place the equivalent of 18 months of dividend payments—roughly $22.50 per share—into a reserve funded by cash and securities.
Net proceeds are allocated to general corporate purposes, including additional bitcoin and bitcoin-related product purchases, working capital needs, income-generating assets, and potential repurchases of common or preferred shares.
The preferred structure allows further bitcoin accumulation without issuing additional common stock, thereby limiting dilution for current shareholders while the reserve supports near-term dividend coverage.
Rapid treasury expansion paired with this form of non-common financing has strengthened the outlook for bitcoin-per-share growth, a central factor in how analysts value public treasury companies.
With bitcoin trading in the low-to-mid $80,000 range during mid-October 2026, Strive’s larger holdings and new capital access support continued competition in the public-company ranking, where Strategy holds the leading position by a substantial margin.
Observers will track the October 20 settlement of the SATS offering and subsequent bitcoin purchases to assess whether the accelerated buying continues for the remainder of the quarter.
The TD Cowen revision demonstrates how stronger-than-expected treasury execution can prompt higher analyst targets even amid relatively steady broader bitcoin market conditions.
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Coinbase, která spravuje zhruba 5 % celkové nabídky bitcoinů, představila technické priority pro víceletý postupný přechod na postkvantové podpisy a flexibilní formáty bitcoinových výstupů.
Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) has released a detailed set of technical priorities aimed at guiding Bitcoin’s shift toward quantum-resistant security.
In a blog post dated October 13, 2026, the digital assets focused firm emphasized the need for proactive steps on signature scheme upgrades and the gradual relocation of funds, noting that both consensus changes and ecosystem-wide migrations can require multiple years of coordinated effort.
As a custodian holding roughly 5 percent of the total bitcoin supply, Coinbase stated that it is already adapting its own infrastructure while engaging with Bitcoin developers and researchers.
It also contributes engineering resources and participates in the Bitcoin Security Consortium to support related open-source work.
The post is framed as input for community discussion rather than a finalized company position or an announced upgrade path.
The exchange has also stressed that defending the network against future cryptographically relevant quantum computers (CRQCs) extends well beyond simply selecting a new digital signature algorithm.
A workable plan, it argued, must safeguard both funds whose public keys are already visible on-chain and newly created outputs, operate within Bitcoin’s constrained block space, allow full nodes to validate transactions independently, remain compatible with institutional custody systems and ordinary wallets, and offer a realistic route for coins whose owners cannot or will not move them.
Central to Coinbase’s recommendations is the idea of decoupling the output “container” that holds funds from the specific signature scheme used to authorize spending.
Such separation would let post-quantum algorithms be added, swapped, or combined later without redesigning the underlying structure.
The company pointed to constructions such as P2MR (associated with BIP-360) and P2TRv2 as designs that appear to provide this flexibility by keeping public keys hidden until they are needed and leaving room for future signature options.
For the transition period itself, Coinbase favors staged protection.
Active wallets could begin using post-quantum-capable or hybrid formats before any final rules governing older signature types are settled.
One example discussed is a 1-of-2 arrangement in which the same funds support two alternative spending paths—one authorized by a classical ECDSA or Schnorr key and another by a post-quantum key—allowing users to retain familiar methods in the near term while gaining quantum resistance when required.
On the choice of signature algorithms, the post called for a reproducible evaluation process tailored specifically to Bitcoin’s constraints.
General-purpose cryptographic comparisons developed for internet protocols do not map directly, because Bitcoin signatures are stored permanently and verified by every full node.
Suggested candidates include finalized standards such as ML-DSA and SLH-DSA, FN-DSA once standardized, and more compact alternatives such as SHRINCS.
Coinbase also warned that stateful schemes, while potentially smaller or faster, carry the risk that improper state management could enable forgery; therefore any support for them should include reliable stateless fallbacks, along with clear security requirements for wallets and custody providers.
Additional practical considerations include consensus-level limits on signature and script sizes to keep transaction costs manageable, low-friction formats that ordinary users and hardware wallets can adopt, and compatibility with multi-party computation techniques used in institutional custody.
Questions surrounding abandoned or inaccessible coins—those whose private keys are lost or whose owners do not migrate—were described as important but separate.
Coinbase suggested these governance and engineering issues can be debated in parallel so they do not delay the core technical work of adding post-quantum signature support.
Overall, the priorities underscore that preparation must begin well before any announcement of a functional CRQC, because the combination of protocol upgrades, wallet software changes, and user migration across a decentralized network cannot be completed on short notice.
By focusing on flexible designs, staged adoption, rigorous Bitcoin-specific testing, and separation of the abandoned-coin debate, Coinbase aims to contribute to an orderly, multi-year transition that protects both existing and future funds while preserving the network’s ability to operate and validate independently.
Podíl převodů BTC na burzy ze strany držitelů, kteří je drželi 6 až 12 měsíců, klesl ze 40,4 % na 4,4 %. Dvě transakce velryb přesunuly 3 766 BTC v hodnotě přibližně 307,1 mil. USD.
Bitcoin old holders who purchased their coins six to twelve months ago have now considerably reduced their exchange-bound transfers. In fact, according to CryptoQuant insights, the holders’ share of exchange-bound transfers fell from 40.4% on 17th June to 4.4% on 15th October.
On the contrary, broader BTC movement increased despite a reduction in exchange-bound activity among these holders. To be specific, the latest 30-day transfer volume hit 205,400 BTC, compared to the 157,700 BTC in June.
The figures might allude to a shift in how older investors move their holdings.
Additionally, a fall in exchange participation could mean weaker immediate selling pressure from this particular investor group.
Source: CryptoQuant
Beyond declining exchange activity, two major Bitcoin whale transactions introduced another development to the supply outlook of the market.
Whale Alert on X reported a transfer of 2,878 BTC, valued at nearly $234.28 million, between two unknown wallets. Separately, another whale withdrew 888 BTC, worth roughly $72.82 million, from crypto exchange Kraken.
Combined, these two transactions totalled 3,766 BTC, carrying a value of approximately $307.1 million.
Here, it is also worth noting that unlike the transfer between unknown wallets, the Kraken withdrawal minimized the exchange’s BTC holdings directly.
The transactions were in alignment with the wider decline in exchange-bound activity among older Bitcoin holders.
Spot netflows reveal contrasting story
Bitcoin’s broader spot exchange activity, however, presented a different picture from the latest whale withdrawal.
According to CoinGlass, BTC was recording a positive spot netflow of $18.65 million at press time. These figures suggested that the exchange inflows exceeded the withdrawals during the reporting period.
The aggregate figure pointed towards a net increase in exchange-held BTC, unlike the Kraken transaction. Usually, such movements can increase the available selling supply, especially when market participants transfer tokens onto the trading platforms.
The positive netflows, however, alone cannot establish whether holders intended to sell their tokens or not.
Furthermore, the recent reading also contrasted with the falling exchange-bound share among six-to-twelve-month BTC holders.
Therefore, these conflicting values could expose Bitcoin’s immediate supply conditions to a mixed state ahead of its next price direction.
Source: BTC Spot Netflows on CoinGlass
Can Bitcoin hold above $80K support?
At the time of writing, Bitcoin [BTC] was valued at around $81,542 after struggling to sustain its recovery towards $87,333. In fact, the subsequent correction pushed BTC closer to the psychological $80,000-support, even though the token had not yet tested that level.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator stood at -0.14, hinting at persistent capital outflows and prevailing selling pressure. The RSI indicator, on the hand, stood at 46.42, below its moving average of 52.95, validating the weakening price strength.
Simply put, BTC might be vulnerable to further declines towards $80,000, with both indicators favoring sellers
Finally, Binance’s Liquidation Heatmap revealed clusters around that support zone, alluding to a potential target before a price recovery.
Ultimately, Bitcoin could likely grab these liquidity concentrations before rebounding towards the $83,895 resistance before a move to $87,333.
Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView
Final Summary
Bitcoin’s older holders reduced exchange transfers as recent whale accumulation transactions exceeded $307 million.
BTC could likely sweep liquidations clusters around the $80K support before attempting a recovery.
Michael Saylor na akci ParaFi Investor Day označil Bitcoin za „digitální kapitál“ a spojil strategii společnosti Strategy s úpravou preferenční akcie STRC a plánem denních dividend, který podléhá souhlasu akcionářů.
Michael Saylor, co-founder of Strategy Inc., presented Bitcoin as “digital capital” to investors at ParaFi Investor Day, focusing on the recovery of Strategy’s STRC preferred stock and the shift to daily dividends. Saylor highlighted the potential for Bitcoin to underpin a credit model, leveraging STRC’s dividend structure and buybacks. The presentation aimed to position STRC securities within a broader Bitcoin-backed financial strategy, although the transition to daily dividends remains contingent on shareholder approval.
Key Takeaways
Michael Saylor’s presentation appears consistent with supporting a YES outcome for STRC hitting $100, emphasizing Bitcoin’s role as digital capital.
Market pricing suggests increased confidence, with the December 31 sub-market showing 80.7% support for STRC reaching $100.
The move to daily dividends and STRC’s recovery to par value are central to Strategy’s financial strategy, though contingent on shareholder approval.
What to Watch
Markets will closely monitor any announcements from Strategy regarding shareholder approval for daily dividends, which could further support the YES scenario for STRC reaching $100. Additionally, any strategic Bitcoin acquisitions by Strategy could serve as key indicators of confidence in the underlying asset. Watch for updates on STRC’s dividend plans, as these may influence market perceptions and pricing dynamics.
XRP whales moved a total of approximately 1.669 billion tokens to Binance over the past 30 days, marking the largest influx from large holders in the past seven months as XRP traded near $1.30.
Record Whale Inflows Drive Binance ActivityCryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain reported that the cumulative inflow of XRP to Binance wallets over 30 days climbed past the previous high recorded in September, which totaled around 1.65 billion XRP. This surge suggests renewed activity among significant market participants.
The transferred tokens, priced at roughly $1.33 per XRP, amounted to about $2.22 billion. This figure represents deposits over a 30-day span rather than direct evidence of completed sales.
CryptoQuant’s whale inflow metric aggregates the volume of XRP sent from large wallets to Binance over a rolling 30-day period. After peaking in September and declining, this metric rebounded in mid-October, adding about 19 million more XRP compared to the previous peak.
A shift in whale behavior has accompanied these inflows. Earlier in October, the percentage of large holders in total exchange withdrawals dropped by 27% in eight days after previously reaching 82% of outgoing transfers.
It is important to note that inflow and withdrawal metrics track different activities. While withdrawals from exchanges often reflect buying or custody decisions, inflows boost the amount of XRP that could be sold or traded quickly on Binance.
Renewed inflows do not necessarily signal immediate selling, but they increase the available supply that could be traded if whales choose to liquidate their assets.
$2.2 Billion Moves: What It Means for Market PressureLarge holders typically use centralized exchanges like Binance to facilitate trading, rebalance portfolios, or manage collateral across crypto and traditional markets.
An increase in whale deposits may heighten the risk of selling pressure, particularly when liquidity is thin. However, on-chain transfers do not prove that all deposited XRP has been sold.
These developments coincide with a broader rise in tracked XRP reserves on exchanges.
From October 12 to 15, exchange wallets accumulated an additional 83.94 million XRP, bringing their total to about 22.06 billion tokens. Binance alone saw reserves grow by approximately 54.61 million XRP during the week ending October 15.
CryptoQuant’s whale inflow data and exchange reserve changes measure distinct but related activities. Deposits add to exchange balances, while net reserve changes reflect both deposits and withdrawals over defined periods.
As a result, not all of the cumulative 1.669 billion XRP in whale deposits necessarily remained on Binance after accounting for withdrawals.
MetricAmountPeriodExchangeCumulative Whale Deposits1.669 billion XRP30 daysBinanceExchange Reserve Increase83.94 million XRPOct 12-15All exchangesBinance Reserve Growth54.61 million XRP7 days to Oct 15BinanceXRP Price Outlook Remains Cautious Amid Whale ActivityThe influx of large whale transfers appeared as XRP traded near $1.31, raising questions about whether a larger exchange supply could challenge market stability.
Meanwhile, demand from institutional investors has grown less predictable. Recent outflows from XRP ETF products occurred alongside withdrawals from prominent Ethereum and Solana investment funds, though the reported totals for XRP varied among data providers.
Previously, XRP-backed investment vehicles had attracted steady inflows for 13 consecutive weeks, underscoring that institutional interest does not always move in tandem with price trends.
If future whale deposits result in continuous selling, XRP may experience further downward price momentum. Alternatively, declining inflows paired with resilient buying interest could ease negative sentiment.
Recent data confirm an uptick in whale activity, but not a coordinated mass selloff. Short-term market direction will depend on actual exchange flows, trading volume, and broader price movements in $XRP.
ETF na XRP zaznamenaly minulý týden čistý odliv ve výši více než 1,84 milionu USD, první po 13 týdnech nepřetržitých přílivů. XRP znovu otestovalo úroveň 1,30 USD.
The severe market volatility that affected XRP's price movement last week has also extended to its ETF ecosystem as both retail and institutional investors appear to be taking caution.
The broad XRP ETF market has posted its worst weekly performance in over three months, drawing attention from market analysts about how this could affect XRP's price potential.
Over $1.84 million exit XRP funds last weekAccording to the latest data from SosoValue, XRP ETFs have recorded a net outflow of over $1.84 million over the last week.
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While this marks the first weekly outflow the funds have registered since July 7th, it has come at a time when the market is facing a downturn, raising concerns about whether investor demand for the XRP investment product is beginning to weaken.
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Notably, the reversal has come after XRP ETFs maintained a steady streak of consistent capital inflows for 13 consecutive weeks.
As such, the XRP funds have broken the bullish trend with a negative performance this week after seeing sustained investor interest in gaining exposure to the XRP investment product.
XRP demand stalls as price retests $1.30While the performance of the XRP funds provides a bearish outlook for the asset, XRP's recent price movements have contributed to the uncertainty surrounding its short-term outlook.
Despite showing signs of a potential price recovery in the previous day, XRP is back in the red and has once again retested the $1.30 level, placing market sentiment under renewed pressure.
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Major crypto exchange Binance has kicked off an airdrop campaign that rewards eligible users holding Ripple USD (RLUSD) stablecoin on its platform. The grand prize pool is $800,000 in XRP. The campaign runs from September 25, 2026, 00:00 (UTC) to October 23, 2026, at 00:00 (UTC).
Binance users are required to hold RLUSD in any Binance account to partake in the XRP Rewards, which will be distributed weekly every Friday by 18:00 (UTC).
Eligible users must hold RLUSD in balance (net assets) in any of the following account categories on Binance: Spot Account; Funding Account; Earn Account (RLUSD in Flexible Savings); Margin Account (RLUSD in Cross Margin, Isolated Margin, or Portfolio Margin).
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Eligible users are required to maintain at least 0.01 RLUSD in their Spot, Funding, Earn, or Margin Accounts to qualify for the rewards, which will be airdropped directly to the Spot Accounts of their Binance master accounts.
RLUSD newsUS financial services company Cross River Bank announced a partnership with Ripple this week to expand its stablecoin optionality and integrate RLUSD into its banking core infrastructure, with support for transactions on the XRP Ledger. The collaboration combines traditional payment technology with RLUSD on the XRPL, giving issuers and acquirers greater flexibility to settle intraday and reduce settlement latency.
Ripple also announced its partnership with DriveWealth across RLUSD settlement on the XRP Ledger, cross-border payments, custody, and prime brokerage to modernize how money moves across global markets.
DriveWealth will integrate Ripple's stablecoin infrastructure to support settlement in Europe, with plans to expand to the U.S. The integration will leverage RLUSD on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), alongside Ripple's mint and burn capabilities.
Standard Chartered Bank also announced this week the launch of institutional custody services for Ripple's stablecoin, RLUSD, through its Dubai International Financial Centre branch.
According to Token Terminal, Ripple led stablecoin issuer growth over the last 24 hours with over $27.4 million added.
Ripple navrhl stablecoin RLUSD jako doplněk k XRP: má zajistit stabilitu, zatímco XRP bude zajišťovat vypořádání transakcí a řízení likvidity v DeFi a tokenizovaných aktivech.
Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin continues to attract significant attention from both XRP supporters and institutional analysts, with fresh analysis highlighting its importance within the Ripple ecosystem. The crypto researcher SMQKE presented findings on how RLUSD strategically complements XRP, particularly in the areas of decentralized finance and broader institutional engagement.
RLUSD and its strategic roleThe analysis positions RLUSD as an asset intended to work alongside, rather than against, XRP. By leveraging RLUSD, Ripple aims to strengthen market presence in low-liquidity environments. The new stablecoin is designed to operate in a way that supports XRP’s key functions, furthering its adoption across DeFi and among institutional investors.
Management of RLUSD reserves was assigned to Standard Custody, which became part of Ripple through an acquisition in 2024. This move seeks to assure both transparency and stability for those using the stablecoin.
RLUSD is structured to complement XRP and expand its adoption, not to compete with it.
Progress in real-world asset tokenizationRipple’s efforts have also extended into real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, an area gaining traction among leading financial institutions. Through a partnership with Archax, Ripple has advanced the integration of hundreds of millions of dollars worth of tokenized assets onto the XRP Ledger, positioning itself among established players like BlackRock, JPMorgan, and Goldman Sachs, who have also moved toward blockchain adoption.
Tokenized assets require robust infrastructure in terms of both liquidity and stability. Within this structure, RLUSD is tasked with fulfilling the demand for stability, while XRP focuses on transaction settlement and liquidity management. These two assets are designed to perform separate roles but jointly enhance the overall efficiency of Ripple’s solutions.
In a market where a single Fed decision or a sudden altcoin listing can change everything in seconds, switching between multiple apps for trading tools and news can become costly for investors. As a result, more traders are turning to privacy-first platforms like CryptoAppsy, which consolidate real-time charts, news, portfolio tracking, and macro data into one interface, with no account required.
The impact of XRP ETFsMonica Long, referenced in the analysis, expressed confidence in the prospects for an XRP exchange-traded fund, citing regulatory clarity from the United States as a driving force. XRP and Bitcoin are the only digital assets with this level of explicit regulatory recognition in the country, which Long argued would create favourable conditions for an XRP ETF filing.
This view was validated when the first spot XRP ETFs received approval in late 2025. The launch of these products gave traditional investors a new gateway to gain exposure to XRP and removed several longstanding access barriers for large institutional participants.
Community members have discussed the integration of RLUSD within current payment channels. One observer emphasized that placing RLUSD alongside conventional systems such as ACH and wire transfers through shared APIs could expand the ledger’s utility while retaining XRP’s central role as a bridge asset.
Others focused on RLUSD’s US dollar peg, expressing concerns about maintaining stability should the dollar weaken. Some analysts argued that the ongoing development of network effects and broader blockchain adoption remains an area many market participants have yet to fully recognize.
By addressing stability and leveraging liquidity, RLUSD and XRP are positioned to strengthen Ripple’s footprint in tokenized finance and institutional adoption.
Matter Labs představila prover Airbender Prime: jediná GPU ověřila 99 % z 7 200 bloků Etherea za méně než 10 sekund. Vitalik Buterin označil závod o rychlost za prakticky vyhraný.
ZKsync’s new prover keeps pace with Ethereum using one graphics card instead of a GPU cluster.
Vitalik Buterin says the speed race is over and the next fight is about proving these systems are correct.
Nothing changes on Ethereum yet, and there is no date for adopting this technology.
The ZK token has more than doubled since August, but the prover gives holders no direct revenue.
In mid-2025, the fastest systems for proving an Ethereum block in about 12 seconds needed somewhere between 50 and 160 graphics cards. On October 13, Matter Labs, the company that builds ZKsync, announced that its new Airbender Prime prover does the job on one. Across 7,200 consecutive Ethereum blocks, a single NVIDIA RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell card produced proofs for 99% of them in under 10 seconds, fast enough to keep up with the chain itself. Two days later, Vitalik Buterin congratulated the team and said the speed race is effectively won. For Ethereum, that moves the debate to a slower and far less exciting question: can anyone show these systems never make a mistake?
7,200
consecutive Ethereum blocks in the test
99%
proven in under 10 seconds
1 GPU
no data center, no cluster
<12 sec
slowest block, still within one Ethereum slot
The finish line was crossed last year. ZKsync shrank the machine
A proof, in this context, is a small cryptographic file confirming that every transaction in a block was processed correctly. Today, each Ethereum node checks a new block by running all of its transactions again on its own hardware. With a proof, a node could check that file instead, which takes very little computing power. The expensive work shifts to whoever generates the proof.
Speed alone is not the headline. In December 2025, the Ethereum Foundation said the industry had already hit its real-time target, after proving times fell from 16 minutes to 16 seconds within a year and costs dropped about 45 times. What ZKsync adds is the size of the setup. Its timings also include the data-gathering step before proving starts, which some earlier benchmarks left out.
June 2025
The first Airbender version proves a block in about 35 seconds on one GPU. Rivals need 50 to 160 cards for roughly 12 seconds.
July 2025
The Ethereum Foundation sets the rules: 99% of blocks in 10 seconds, on hardware under $100,000 using no more than 10 kW.
December 2025
The Foundation says the speed target has been met and shifts its focus to security.
October 13, 2026
Airbender Prime hits the target on a single graphics card and tops the public ETHproofs leaderboard.
October 15, 2026
Buterin calls the speed race won and names three security problems still unsolved.
Why the Ethereum Foundation put a $100,000 cap on proving hardware
The Foundation’s real-time proving rules were never only about speed. They also capped hardware at $100,000 and power use at 10 kilowatts, so that some of the people who already run validators from home could generate proofs too. A million-dollar machine that proves blocks in five seconds would fail that test, because it would leave proving to a handful of large operators.
One workstation card sits far below that budget. That is why the result matters more for decentralization than for raw performance. If a single card can keep up with Ethereum, then producing proofs stops being a job only well-funded companies can do.
The numbers come from ZKsync’s own tests. The code is open, and the ETHproofs leaderboard lets outsiders follow live results, but no independent team has published a full reproduction yet.
Buterin’s congratulations came with a three-item to-do list
Buterin did not stop at praise. He argued that the industry should now put its effort into making these provers trustworthy, and he named three specific gaps.
The first is formal verification, a set of mathematical checks showing that the prover follows Ethereum’s official rules exactly, including rare edge cases that normal testing can miss. The second is a hard ceiling on proving costs, so that no block can be made deliberately expensive enough to prove that it stalls the network. The third is the security of the proof system itself, meaning confidence that the cryptography underneath cannot be tricked into approving something false.
A slow prover only delays things. A fast prover with a bug can approve something false. If a flaw lets an invalid block pass as valid, nodes that only check proofs would accept it, on a network holding hundreds of billions of dollars. The Foundation has already said it wants validators to check several independent proofs for each block, so that a bug in one system cannot slip through alone. That work tends to take years, not months.
For people using Ethereum today, nothing changes yet
Airbender Prime is a ZKsync product, not an Ethereum upgrade. Validators still check blocks the traditional way, and no one has set a date for proofs to replace that. The Foundation’s plan starts with optional software that validators can choose to run, and only later could it become standard.
If it does arrive, the main gain would be room to grow. Ethereum could handle more activity per block without forcing everyone who runs a node to buy stronger hardware. Faster proofs would not make transactions final faster, though, because the rest of the network process follows its own timing.
ZKsync is already using Airbender on its own chains that run the Atlas upgrade, and it is pitching the same technology to banks and companies through Prividium, its system for private blockchains that settle on Ethereum. For now, those private chains are where the prover makes money for ZKsync, well before Ethereum mainnet could use it.
The ZK token doubled, but the prover does not pay its holders
ZK is mainly a governance token. Fees on ZKsync Era are paid in ETH, and proposals to give ZK more economic uses still depend on governance votes. A better prover can raise ZKsync’s profile without creating direct demand for the token.
Market trackers recorded a gain of about 6% after Buterin’s post. Traders have seen this pattern before. In November 2025, Buterin’s praise for ZKsync’s work sent ZK up more than 50% in a single day. The token now trades well below where that rally peaked.
ZK Doubled Off Its Lows, but Sellers Are Waiting Near $0.019
ZK bottomed at $0.00704 in mid-August, close to its all-time low, and now trades around $0.0160 on Binance, about 127% higher. The turning point came around October 9, when one daily candle added roughly 27% and lifted the price above its 200-day average, a long-term trend line that had blocked every rally since May. The price has stayed above it since, and the August-to-October pattern of higher lows near $0.0080, $0.0088 and $0.0108 shows buyers stepping in earlier each time.
ZK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView / Alexander Stefanov
The top of the move tells a different story. Long upper wicks at $0.0175 and $0.0189 mean the price pushed higher during the day and then got sold back down. The heaviest trading volume of the whole rally came on the day ZK touched $0.0189 and reversed, which points to large sellers waiting at that level. The RSI, a gauge of buying strength, has slipped to 61 from the low 70s, and its peaks have flattened while the price kept rising. Buyers are still in control, but each push is weaker.
ZK/USDT price ladder · daily chart
$0.0189
Resistance
This week’s high, where the heaviest selling appeared
$0.0175
Resistance
Several daily candles rejected here
$0.0161
Testing now
First support, with the price ($0.0160) sitting right on it
$0.0144-$0.0145
Key support
The 200-day average and a common pullback level meet here
$0.0130
Support
Top of the late-September trading range
$0.0116-$0.0118
Last line
The rising 50-day average
The $0.0144-$0.0145 zone decides what happens next. A dip into it on lighter volume than the rally, followed by a bounce, would keep the breakout alive and set up another attempt at $0.0175-$0.0189. A daily close back below the 200-day average would turn October’s move into a failed breakout, with $0.0130 the next likely stop. ZK also held its breakout even as a liquidation wave pushed Bitcoin under $81,000 this week. Saturday’s red candle is forming on much lighter volume than last week’s green days, which so far looks more like a pause than a wave of selling.
About 10 billion ZK tokens are still waiting to enter the market
Only around 52% of ZK’s 21 billion maximum supply circulates, according to market data aggregators, which leaves roughly 10 billion tokens to be released over time. Every recovery has to absorb that extra supply, whatever happens with the technology. On the development side, the next signals worth watching are outside teams reproducing ZKsync’s results on ETHproofs and the first published formal verification work Buterin asked for. Those would show whether Airbender Prime is ready for Ethereum itself, or only fast.
Alex is a financial markets journalist and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, and he's spent close to ten years trying to answer one stubborn question: what's really driving this?
It started in 2016, when Bitcoin refused to make sense to him - and rather than shrug, he stayed with it until it did. That patience became his method. He's less interested in what an asset is doing today than in the plumbing behind it: how liquidity flows, where risk hides, what a chart is quietly telling you that the headline isn't. That lens eventually stretched well past crypto into traditional markets, because the same forces - fear, leverage, incentives, timing - show up everywhere once you know how to look.
Most coverage, in his view, insults the reader by stopping at the surface. Price up, price down, moving on. He'd rather leave someone genuinely understanding a move than merely informed that it happened.
His path into markets ran through a Tourism degree at New Bulgarian University - proof, maybe, that curiosity beats credentials. With more than 200 deep analyses and over 10,000 articles behind him, he still walks away from most trading days having learned something he didn't know that morning.
Z Coinbase Institutional bylo do neznámé peněženky převedeno 23 528 ETH v hodnotě 57,88 milionu USD, zatímco týdenní čistý odliv ETH z kryptoburz dosáhl téměř 1,5 miliardy USD.
A major Ethereum transaction recently caught market attention after 23,528 ETH moved from Coinbase Institutional to an unknown wallet. According to Whale Alert, this transfer was valued at around $57.88 million worth of ETH, marking a significant movement from an institutional custody.
However, the receiving address remained unidentified, leaving the wallet’s ownership and the purpose of the transaction unclear.
Meanwhile, on the other side, BlackRock reportedly sold approximately $69.68 million worth of ETH, introducing another significant institutional development.
These developments notably emerged during a period of significant exchange outflows, reflecting contrasting signals around Ethereum’s institutional activity.
ETH exchange outflows approach fourth consecutive week Here, it’s worth noting that Ethereum’s spot exchange flows recorded three consecutive weeks of net outflows, extending a sustained withdrawal trend. In particular, the recent weekly reading approached -$1.5 billion, hinting at significant withdrawals from trading platforms.
In case netflows remain negative through the weekly close on 19th October, Ethereum will complete its fourth consecutive week of outflows.
These sustained withdrawals have reduced exchange-side supply, potentially limiting the amount of ETH readily available for selling.
The fall in exchange balances, however, did not establish an automatic stronger demand or guarantee a price recovery. Instead, the sustained outflows contrasted with ETH’s weak price performance, hinting at a divergence between exchange activity and market direction.
Source: CoinGlass Are Ethereum traders still betting on a price recovery? Despite the fall in price, Ethereum derivatives traders predominantly maintained a bullish position across major trading platforms.
According to Coinglass, ETH’s OI-Weighted Funding Rate remained positive at 0.0037%, hinting at continued demand for long exposure as longs paid shorts.
Meanwhile, Binance’s top trader accounts recorded a notable imbalance between bullish and bearish positions. Specifically, the long positions accounted for 69.78% compared to the 30.22% holding short positions. The positioning resulted in a Long/Short Ratio of 2.31 as bullish accounts outnumbered the bearish accounts.
These metrics together reflected persistent bullish positioning even when Ethereum failured to record a meaningful price recovery. However, the long positions concentration also increased exposure to potential liquidations in case ETH extends its decline.
Ultimately, the derivatives positioning provided a more optimistic outlook than Ethereum’s underlying technical structure.
Source: CoinGlass ETH approaches $2,400 as bearish signals intensify After correcting from the $2,800-resistance area, Ethereum [ETH] sat at around $2,429. The pullback pushed ETH towards the $2,400-support, although the bulls were trying to prevent a sustained breakdown.
Also, on the daily chart, the price action highlighted repeated attempts to stabilize around the prevailing demand area, keeping the technical support structure intact.
The Parabolic SAR indicator, however, remained above ETH at $2,638.98, validating the prevailing bearish trend.
The MACD indicator fell to -41.36, below its Signal line, to produce a negative histogram. This confirmed that bearish pressure has continued to dominate the market.
The $2,400-support level will remain crucial since a breakdown below it could expose ETH to another corrective leg. Especially if the bears continue to maintain control.
Source: TradingView Final Summary Ethereum’s exchange outflows continued for a fourth potential week despite persistent price weakness. ETH remained above $2,400, but bearish indicators increased the risk of a further fall.
The Zcash (ZEC) price has once again stayed in negative territory today after recording a robust run over the past few months. Notably, the recent decline could be attributed to a topsy-turvy scenario in the broader crypto market.
Amid this, Gemini co-founder Tyler Winklevoss said that the privacy coin is still likely to be in its early stage, in terms of adoption. On the other hand, a recent report from a renowned market expert showed that the hackers are leaning towards Zcash (ZEC) for money laundering, which has sparked discussions among market participants.
Gemini Co-Founder Says Zcash is in Early Stages
Tyler Winklevoss, co-founder of crypto exchange Gemini, recently highlighted the limited adoption of Zcash among mainstream crypto participants. His remarks came after a discussion at TOKEN2049, where his twin brother Cameron Winklevoss asked attendees about their ZEC holdings.
According to Tyler, only around 10 people raised their hands among “thousands of people” present in the “room”. He viewed the response as evidence that Zcash adoption is still in the early stage, which has gained notable traction from market participants.
Source: X
Meanwhile, the observation has also sparked discussions on the long-term potential of the privacy coin. For context, Zcash (ZEC) price has recorded gains of over 425% over the past 12 months, indicating robust interest from investors towards the asset.
However, despite its recent market performance, Zcash may still have considerable room to expand its user base, as hinted by the Gemini co-founder. Notably, Zcash distinguishes itself through privacy features that allow users to shield transaction details.
Although this capability appeals to individuals seeking greater financial confidentiality, it also creates challenges for investigators attempting to trace suspicious transfers. Meanwhile, it’s worth noting that Winklevoss Asset Services has recently filed for a Spot Zcash ETF with the US SEC, highlighting their growing interest into the asset.
Hackers Increasingly Turn to ZEC for Stolen Funds
While the Gemini co-founder highlighted the adoption potential of Zcash, a separate report raised concerns about its use in illicit financial activity. Wu Blockchain reported that on-chain analyst Specter observed that more threat actors or hackers are moving stolen assets into ZEC.
Meanwhile, the report followed blockchain investigator ZachXBT’s disclosure concerning the Bitget exploiter, who allegedly used Zcash to shield stolen assets. Subsequent transactions reportedly involved funds linked to the Cryptobills Ledger security incident and the $12 million Triple-A exploit.
These developments suggest that attackers may be exploiting privacy features to complicate fund tracing. However, the reported transactions do not establish that Zcash itself is responsible for the underlying crimes.
Polkadot (DOT) experienced a drop of around 5% on October 17, reversing much of its recent recovery as intensified selling activity weighed on the broader altcoin market. The move erased gains that followed a brief rally earlier in the month.
Market reversal follows weak altcoin sentimentThe price of DOT hovered between $1.16 and $1.18 after reaching as high as $1.29 on October 10. This pullback reversed a portion of the double-digit rally that began on October 9, when the token traded near $1.09 before climbing back to $1.24. The bullish momentum continued through October 10, but failed to hold above the $1.20 level over subsequent trading sessions.
On October 12, selling pressure accelerated, causing DOT to fall roughly 7% and close near $1.17. Although the cryptocurrency briefly recovered on October 16, it struggled to maintain gains and slipped below $1.20 by the following day.
Analysts attributed DOT’s reversal to overall bearishness among altcoins, with smaller tokens broadly declining as investors trimmed exposure to speculative digital assets. There was no discrete event unique to Polkadot cited as a catalyst for the recent declines.
Tokenomics overhaul and its effectsThe latest price action comes just after significant updates to Polkadot’s tokenomics, which introduced a maximum supply cap of 2.1 billion DOT and a revised issuance schedule limiting the production of new tokens over time. The first such reduction took place on March 14, 2026, lowering the rate at which new DOT enter circulation. Going forward, issuance will be reduced every two years, further slowing supply expansion.
Polkadot, a blockchain platform designed to enable interoperability among different networks, recently sought to curb inflation by introducing these supply controls. A prior governance proposal restructured the ecosystem’s inflationary model, aiming to strengthen the platform’s long-term value proposition for holders.
Mini dictionary: Polkadot, a project created by Web3 Foundation, focuses on connecting multiple blockchains into a unified network, facilitating cross-chain transfers of any type of data or asset.
While lower issuance is intended to reduce dilution for existing holders, the effects of this change depend on broader market dynamics. If selling by current token holders outpaces demand from new investors, prices can continue falling even as supply growth slows.
EventBeforeAfterDOT maximum supplyUnlimited2.1 billionIssuance reductionNo scheduled decreaseReduced every 2 yearsInflation modelInflationaryDeflationary trendInvestor behavior remains influentialDespite these fundamental adjustments, improving token economics alone did not halt DOT’s recent decline. Short-term price trends remain heavily influenced by trader sentiment, liquidity, and general appetite for risk within the altcoin sector.
Short-term momentum has faded for Polkadot, and profit-taking has increased following the recent rally, limiting the immediate impact of its new supply controls.
Lower supply growth does not guarantee stronger prices, especially in periods when demand for altcoins is subdued. DOT’s struggles reflect this dynamic, signaling the importance of market conditions beyond supply-side changes.
Complementing its tokenomics overhaul, Polkadot has advanced upgrades to its staking incentives and network infrastructure, aiming to foster long-term network health and broader adoption.
Fidelity hodnotí Solanu jako odolnou: mainnet nezaznamenal za dva roky žádný hlášený výpadek. Zároveň však varuje před koncentrací stakovaných tokenů, hostování a klientského softwaru.
Solana shows resilience, but some areas need continued observation, Fidelity saysSolana has had no reported mainnet outages in two years, but concentrations in stake, hosting and client software should be monitored, according to a report.
Solana has made significant progress in terms of network health across resilience, economic security and performance indicators, according to a Fidelity report.
Solana has had no reported mainnet outages in two years, but concentrations in stake, hosting and client software could threaten this, according to the report by Fidelity’s Center for Applied Technology (FCAT).
The report said economic security was supported by substantial staking participation and incentives that reward validator performance. Low latency, expanded capacity and inexpensive transactions also support practical use at scale.
Still, it noted that several areas surrounding decentralization and resilience warrant continued observation, including stake concentrates among a small number of validator identities and operators.
Cointelegraph reported on Aug. 21 that Solana had reduced its slot time to 350 milliseconds, marking the first such reduction since the inception of the network, according to the Solana Foundation’s vice president of technology, Jacob Creech.
In June, the Solana Foundation shared plans to reduce slot times to 200ms, arguing that it would improve latency and accelerate confirmations on the blockchain network. Three further 50ms reductions are planned.
Magazine: France is world’s most dangerous place for Bitcoiners: 90 attacks in 7 months
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Coinbase za posledních 30 dní odeslala 152 307 330 SHIB na nedostupné adresy v devíti transakcích, čímž se stala druhým největším subjektem spalujícím tokeny Shiba Inu.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Coinbase has emerged among the top Shiba Inu (SHIB) burners for the month, with over 152.3 million SHIB sent to dead addresses in the last 30 days, according to Shibburn.
Among the top burners in the last 30 days, Coinbase sits in the second spot, just below the '0xc774406cc' address, which sent 297,572,672 SHIB to dead wallets in just one transaction.
The SHIB tokens burned did not come in one lump sum but rather from various burn transactions that may have originated from Coinbase transactions and trading fees.
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152,307,330 SHIB burned in 9 transactions was attributed to Coinbase in the last 30 days, when a total of 758.92 million was burned, according to the Shibburn page. Tokens sent to recognized burn addresses, often called dead wallets, are generally considered permanently inaccessible, effectively removing those tokens from the circulating supply.
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Coinbase's emergence among the top monthly burners does not, by itself, establish that the exchange deliberately initiated a token-burning campaign, but rather from transactions and trading fees.
SHIB burn rate surges 100%Over 61 million SHIB tokens have been burned in the last 24 hours, causing an uptick in the daily burn rate. According to Shibburn, 61.46 million SHIB were sent to dead wallets in this timeframe, with the daily burn rate rising 100%.
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This marks a rebound from that seen earlier in the week when the burn rate flattened after a collapse on October 11. In line with this, the weekly burn rate was down 59.25% in the last seven days, with 163.52 million SHIB burned, while the monthly burn rate increased 79.30%.
At the time of writing, SHIB price was down 2.36% in the last 24 hours to $0.000005015 following a broader crypto market selloff as investors reacted to a week of strong inflation data, with Thursday's producer price index showing that wholesale prices jumped 6.3% annually in September, the biggest gain since 2022. This came after Wednesday's release of the consumer price index, which also rose.
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh declined to signal the central bank's intentions for its meeting later this month, with the odds of an October interest-rate increase dropping to about 15% from about 30%.
Arcus, the DEX built by the dYdX team on Robinhood Chain, has nearly $60M in TVL three months after launch and has listed Starknet's $STRK for perps trading.
Arcus, a decentralized exchange that launched in July alongside Robinhood Chain, is approaching $60M in total value locked (TVL), according to DeFiLlama data. The platform has reported a 146% rise in TVL over the past month, and has now added @Starknet's $STRK to its perpetual futures markets with up to 5x leverage.
Arcus TVL climbs as Robinhood Chain maturesDeFiLlama's protocol page lists Arcus TVL at $58.91M, with all of it deployed on Robinhood Chain. A separate chain-level view shows the protocol's TVL at about $61.77M, making it the top-ranked protocol on the network.
That is a sharp climb from earlier in the platform's life. In July, The Defiant reported that Arcus held $17.1M in TVL while the chain as a whole stood at $588.9M by Artemis' measure. DeFiLlama now puts Robinhood Chain's DeFi TVL at about $1.05B.
Arcus was built by the team behind dYdX in partnership with Robinhood Crypto. Crypto Briefing reported that the exchange went live on July 1 with 95 tokenized stocks and 35 perpetual futures contracts, with leverage of up to 50x on real-world asset perps. It runs separately from the dYdX v4 Chain.
Activity on the platform is dominated by derivatives. DeFiLlama data shows Arcus has recorded about $12.4B in cumulative perps volume, against $385.5M in cumulative spot DEX volume. Open interest stands near $99M.
$STRK perps listing adds to the product rangeArcus offers spot and perps trading natively on Robinhood Chain. The addition of $STRK perps, with leverage of up to 5x, widens the set of crypto assets available alongside its tokenized equity and commodity products.
Robinhood Chain is an Ethereum Layer 2 network built on the Arbitrum technology stack. Robinhood's own announcement said the public mainnet launched as a turnkey environment for builders, natively connected to its onchain users.
Leveraged trading carries high risk, and TVL figures can vary by data provider and methodology. DeFiLlama, for example, uses a narrower definition than Artemis, as The Defiant noted in its July report.
Sources:
DeFiLlama: Arcus TVL, fees, revenue and volume
The Defiant: Robinhood Chain overtakes Base on daily active users
Crypto Briefing: Arcus launches on Robinhood Chain
RAY failed to reclaim its 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart.
Raydium’s quarterly trading fees more than tripled on launchpad and tokenized-stock activity.
Buybacks absorbed a noticeable share of RAY’s circulating supply during the quarter.
Early October data shows protocol activity cooling after an exceptionally strong September.
The RAY price is down 23.7% over the past seven days and sits around $1.82, even though Raydium, the Solana-based decentralized exchange behind the token, has just closed its strongest fee quarter in a year. Data compiled by Pine Analytics shows Raydium collected $57.1 million in trading fees in Q3 2026 and directed about $6.2 million of that into RAY buybacks, yet the token now sits below its EMA 200 on the 4-hour chart after a failed attempt to recover it on Oct 16. With a market capitalization of $489.7 million, RAY is caught between a fundamental story that improved sharply over the summer and a chart that still belongs to the sellers.
What Tripled Raydium’s Fees
The headline figure hides an unusual detail, since adjusted trading volume rose only 17% quarter-over-quarter to $16.1 billion, while fees more than tripled, which means Raydium earned far more on every dollar that passed through its pools. A rough calculation from the reported numbers puts the effective fee rate at about 0.35% of volume in Q3, compared with something below 0.14% in Q2, a shift that points to a different mix of traders and pools.
Two sources drove that mix, starting with tokenized-stock trading on Raydium, which reached $4.14 billion in the quarter, up from $1.77 billion in Q2, and LaunchLab, the protocol’s token-launch platform, went from 5,420 launches in August to 156,294 in September. Almost all of that September surge, roughly 95%, came through a single integration called StonkFun. Launch-driven trading of this kind tends to carry higher fees per trade than large-cap swaps, which would fit the gap between fee and volume growth, and the activity pushed Raydium’s share of Solana DEX volume from 4.3% in July to 12.2% in September.
Metric
Q3 2026
Change
Trading fees
$57.1M
More than 3x QoQ
Adjusted volume
$16.1B
+17% QoQ
Tokenized-stock volume
$4.14B
From $1.77B
TVL in dollars
$1.34B
+56%
TVL in SOL
–
-2%
Source: Pine Analytics
Why the Buyback Has Not Moved the Price
Raydium’s buyback wallet received about 4.58 million RAY during the quarter, worth $5.15 million at the time of receipt and equal to roughly 1.7% of circulating supply. Measured against today’s market cap, the $6.2 million allocation works out to about 1.3% of the token’s value per quarter, a steady source of demand that can soften sell-offs but is too small to set the direction on its own when traders are taking profit after a sharp rally. The program has a long track record, and Raydium said in August that cumulative repurchases had passed 30% of circulating supply.
The bigger issue is how concentrated Q3 was, with September alone producing $44.6 million in fees, about 78% of the quarterly total, so July and August together brought in only around $12.5 million. Raydium has seen this pattern before: when LetsBonk drove a LaunchLab boom in July 2025, LaunchLab fees fell 79% the following month. Pine Analytics found that activity in the first four days of October was already running below September’s pace, a short sample, but one that matches what the chart shows, with RAY breaking down from its $2.25-$2.55 range on Oct 12.
The liquidity data adds another caveat, because total value locked rose 56% to $1.34 billion in dollar terms, but fell 2% when measured in SOL, which suggests SOL’s own price rise accounts for most of the gain, with little fresh capital entering Raydium’s pools.
Sellers Defend the EMA 200
RAY/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView / Alexander Stefanov
The Oct 7 spike came on the heaviest volume of the past month, and RAY held between roughly $2.25 and $2.55 for five days before sellers took over on Oct 12. The drop that followed cut through every Fibonacci retracement level of the rally and ended at $1.7371 on Oct 15, after RAY lost its EMA 200 on Oct 14, the average that had supported the uptrend since late September. That breakdown coincided with a broader sell-off, after a hotter-than-expected US inflation print pushed Bitcoin below $82,000 and a wave of liquidations hit altcoins.
Buyers tried to win that line back on Oct 16 and briefly lifted RAY to about $1.96, but the move stalled at the 0.236 retracement at $1.9344 and price fell back under the EMA 200, which now sits at $1.8949 and has stopped rising. The RSI reads 38.94, slightly above its signal line at 37.20, after dropping into oversold territory during the Oct 14-15 sell-off, so selling pressure has eased without buyers showing real conviction. Volume on the latest candles is among the lowest on the chart, and the SMA 50 at $2.1004 has turned lower.
Level
Price
Role
0.382 Fib / SMA 50
$2.06-$2.10
Resistance
0.236 Fib
$1.9344
Resistance
EMA 200
$1.8949
Resistance
Oct 15 low
$1.7371
Support
Late-September base
$1.60-$1.62
Support
The Triggers on Both Sides
A 4-hour close above $1.9344 would put the RAY price back over both the EMA 200 and the first retracement level, which would open a path toward the 0.382 level at $2.0564 and the SMA 50 near $2.10, the area where sellers are likely to return first. On the downside, the Oct 15 low at $1.7371 holds the current structure together, and losing it would expose $1.62 and the late-September lows below $1.60, where the rally behind the Oct 7 spike first picked up speed. Until one of those levels breaks, RAY is likely to keep trading between $1.74 and $1.94.
The next data point that could break that range sits outside the chart. On Oct 1, Raydium began keeping 5% of creator fees across its CPMM pools, the standard constant-product pools where most new tokens list, which gives the protocol a revenue line that grows directly with launch activity. October fee data will show whether that change, together with StonkFun and tokenized-stock flows, can hold revenue near September’s level, and that figure will also decide how much RAY the buyback wallet can absorb in Q4.
Alex is a financial markets journalist and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, and he's spent close to ten years trying to answer one stubborn question: what's really driving this?
It started in 2016, when Bitcoin refused to make sense to him - and rather than shrug, he stayed with it until it did. That patience became his method. He's less interested in what an asset is doing today than in the plumbing behind it: how liquidity flows, where risk hides, what a chart is quietly telling you that the headline isn't. That lens eventually stretched well past crypto into traditional markets, because the same forces - fear, leverage, incentives, timing - show up everywhere once you know how to look.
Most coverage, in his view, insults the reader by stopping at the surface. Price up, price down, moving on. He'd rather leave someone genuinely understanding a move than merely informed that it happened.
His path into markets ran through a Tourism degree at New Bulgarian University - proof, maybe, that curiosity beats credentials. With more than 200 deep analyses and over 10,000 articles behind him, he still walks away from most trading days having learned something he didn't know that morning.
ZRO za posledních 24 hodin klesl o 12,2 % na zhruba 1,90 USD a po neúspěšném průrazu nad rezistenci na úrovni 2,06 USD se vrátil do dvoutýdenního pásma 1,80–2,25 USD.
ZRO price has fallen back inside the sideways range it has held since early October. Sellers have rejected every attempt to hold above the first major resistance level. Momentum has cooled from overheated to neutral while the broader uptrend remains intact. LayerZero’s new post-quantum research arrived without lifting the price. The ZRO price traded near $1.90 on October 17, down 12.2% over 24 hours and 3.5% over the week, after another failed attempt to break out of the range it has held for two weeks. The drop came a day after LayerZero Labs released Aerie, research showing post-quantum signatures can be bundled in under a second on a laptop, and the selling looks more like profit-taking after a stretched autumn rally than a reaction to the research itself. With a market capitalization near $760 million, ZRO now sits roughly $0.10 above the support level that has anchored its whole consolidation.
A 250% run meets a wall at $2.06 ZRO/USD daily chart. Source: Alexander Stefanov / TradingView The ZRO price climbed about 250% in ten weeks, from an early-August low near $0.71 to an intraday peak of $2.48 on October 12. Since early October, however, price has moved sideways between roughly $1.80 and $2.25, and buyers have repeatedly failed to stay above $2.06, the first Fibonacci retracement level of the rally, which marks a point where traders commonly expect a pullback to pause or reverse. Long upper wicks on October 12 and October 16 show sellers absorbing every push higher, and the October 17 session, which opened at $2.05, fell more than 7% intraday and pushed price back below that level. On the downside, $1.80 has done its job so far, and the October 15 low tested that level almost exactly before bouncing.
Momentum cools while the trend holds The 14-day RSI peaked near 83 around October 6 and has since dropped to 53.6, meaning the token has moved from heavily overbought to neutral territory without the uptrend breaking. A mild bearish divergence tempers that reading, as price set a higher intraday high on October 12 while RSI made a lower high, a sign that each new push carries less buying force behind it. Trading volume was heaviest during the late-September breakout and has faded since, with selling days dominating the past week.
The longer-term structure still favors buyers, with price about 29% above the 50-day moving average at $1.48 and more than 50% above the 200-day average at $1.24, while the 50-day line crossed above the 200-day in early October, a pattern traders call a golden cross.
Level Price Why it matters Resistance $2.48 October 12 swing high Resistance $2.20-$2.25 Top of the range Resistance $2.06 0.236 retracement Support $1.80 Range floor, 0.382 Support $1.59 Halfway retracement Support $1.38-$1.48 0.618 and 50-day average Levels based on the ZRO/USD daily chart
Why Aerie did not move the price According to the LayerZero Aerie announcement, the system, built with a16z crypto research, Carnegie Mellon University and Imperial College London, aggregated 32,768 Falcon signatures in 0.65 seconds on an Apple M4 Max laptop without a GPU. Aggregation means merging thousands of validator approvals into one proof the network checks once, something today’s BLS signatures do natively but quantum-resistant schemes standardized by NIST cannot, which is why the result matters for proof-of-stake chains preparing for quantum computers. The Aerie research paper reports verification 38x faster than Orthus, the closest prior lattice-based system.
New from LayerZero Research: Aerie.
A new system capable of aggregating 32,000 post-quantum Falcon signatures in just 0.65 seconds on a MacBook Pro.
ML-DSA, NIST’s standardized default, is already working inside Aerie at high performance.https://t.co/IXm2vLB00X
— LayerZero (@LayerZero_Core) October 16, 2026
Research of this kind rarely moves a token on the day because it carries no deployment date, no revenue effect and no direct change to supply or demand for ZRO. Its value for holders runs through Zero, LayerZero’s upcoming layer-1 blockchain, where Akita, the commitment scheme Aerie builds on, is already slated to secure the Jolt proving system. Until Zero has a firm mainnet date, that connection is too distant to offset short-term profit-taking, which leaves the chart in charge of the near-term direction.
ZRO price paths from $1.80 If $1.80 holds and ZRO closes a day back above $2.06, the two-week range would look like a pause after a strong leg higher, putting $2.20 to $2.48 back in reach, while only a move through $2.48 on rising volume would confirm the rally is resuming. A daily close below $1.80 would break the range floor and open the way to $1.59, which would still count as a routine halfway pullback inside the uptrend. The decisive zone lies at $1.38 to $1.48, where the 0.618 level, the late-September breakout area and the rising 50-day average overlap, and losing it would put the whole August-to-October advance in doubt.
The next fundamental test is the ML-DSA benchmark LayerZero has promised but not yet published, since that scheme, finalized by NIST as FIPS 204, is NIST’s primary post-quantum signature standard and the default choice for most institutional deployments, and a strong result there would speak more directly to the institutional users Zero is courting.
Alex is a financial markets journalist and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, and he's spent close to ten years trying to answer one stubborn question: what's really driving this? It started in 2016, when Bitcoin refused to make sense to him - and rather than shrug, he stayed with it until it did. That patience became his method. He's less interested in what an asset is doing today than in the plumbing behind it: how liquidity flows, where risk hides, what a chart is quietly telling you that the headline isn't. That lens eventually stretched well past crypto into traditional markets, because the same forces - fear, leverage, incentives, timing - show up everywhere once you know how to look. Most coverage, in his view, insults the reader by stopping at the surface. Price up, price down, moving on. He'd rather leave someone genuinely understanding a move than merely informed that it happened. His path into markets ran through a Tourism degree at New Bulgarian University - proof, maybe, that curiosity beats credentials. With more than 200 deep analyses and over 10,000 articles behind him, he still walks away from most trading days having learned something he didn't know that morning.
ShapeShift is trying to fix that for Starknet users. The multichain swap aggregator now supports Starknet, letting users complete a trade in one swap with no bridge step.
ShapeShift announced the integration on October 16, 2026. Starknet amplified the news a day later, on October 17, 2026, describing the network as now available on the platform.
What the integration actually does The core change is about friction. Before this, getting value into or out of Starknet through a typical route meant two separate actions: bridging first, then swapping.
Now the platform handles it as a single trade. You pick what you have and what you want, and ShapeShift does the routing behind the scenes.
The integration also involved updates to ShapeShift’s technical configurations to support the new network. The announcement did not name specific tokens or trading pairs included in the launch.
Who’s involved Starknet is an Ethereum Layer 2 scaling solution built on zk-STARK technology. Layer 2 networks process transactions off Ethereum’s main chain and then settle back to it, aiming for lower costs and higher throughput.
Starknet has positioned itself around three priorities: scalability, privacy, and interoperability. The ShapeShift integration lines up most directly with the third one.
ShapeShift has been in development since 2014. Today it operates as a community-led multichain swap aggregator. An aggregator does not hold all the liquidity itself. Instead it searches across sources to find a route for a trade.
The platform already supports multiple chains and has recently leaned further into interoperability. In September 2026, ShapeShift released its swap stack as a free widget and API for developers.
That earlier move is relevant context. If developers embed ShapeShift’s swap tooling in their own apps, any new chain ShapeShift supports could potentially travel further than ShapeShift’s own interface.
Why this matters for Starknet and its users For Starknet, the bigger prize is access. Layer 2 networks compete partly on how easy it is to get money in and out of them.
Plugging into an established multichain aggregator puts Starknet in front of users who may not have gone looking for it. Someone already using ShapeShift for other chains now sees Starknet as just another destination on the menu.
Removing the bridging step could encourage more frequent and smaller transactions, since the overhead of each trade drops. The integration could also lift trading volume on ShapeShift’s platform and user engagement on Starknet. The announcement did not include any volume or usage figures.
The bigger interoperability picture For traders and investors watching Starknet, the practical signals to monitor are straightforward. Look for changes in Starknet transaction volumes and for any data ShapeShift shares on Starknet-related activity.
Watch, too, whether developers using ShapeShift’s free widget and API start surfacing Starknet swaps inside their own products. That would be the clearest sign the integration is spreading beyond a single front end.
The open question is which assets and pairs see real use once the novelty fades. The announcement left those specifics out, so actual trading behavior over the coming weeks will tell the more useful story.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
Arthur Hayes, CIO of crypto-focused Maelstrom Fund, believes the AI bubble will eventually burst, and it will be uber bullish for Bitcoin.
In a recent interview with Luke Martin, Hayes said,
AI is a waste of money. The bigger the AI bubble grows, the bigger the bailout will be, and the higher Bitcoin goes.
According to him, Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX are all backed by the U.S government, but none of them makes money. Hayes foresees a “perfect time for crypto” if the AI bubble bursts.
Put simply, the bailout will mean more government money printing, higher inflation, and investors fleeing to stores of value (SoV) such as gold and Bitcoin. This is popularly known as the debasement trade.
Interestingly, BTC showed resilience this week and defended $80K despite a 2x-5x broader sell-off across AI/chipmakers and tech stocks.
Source: Google Finance (as of market close on October 16th)
AI bubble: Bitcoin upside meets quantum risk
Delphi Research and Fidelity echoed a similar bullish outlook. For his part, Ceteris Paribus, the pseudonymous Head of Research at Delphi, noted,
Getting quite bullish internet monies. Debasement from current debt situation + AI Ponzi bailout equal BTC flows.
An AI bailout will likely add to U.S fiscal debt and growing investors’ concerns. For perspective, U.S fiscal debt currently stands at $40.3T and is growing regardless of which party is in office.
This has since triggered rising bond yields. According to Fidelity, this could worsen the U.S debt situation and further make the case for BTC.
The asset manager also said that the correlation between BTC and 10-year bond yields hit a record high of 0.6 in 2026. The yields rose by 10% in the past two months, and BTC surged by +30% over the same period.
In other words, rising bond yields will likely send BTC higher if the correlation extends.
If current debt and rate trends persist, it may not be long before the interest expense becomes the largest line item in the federal budget, further elevating focus on alternative stores of value
Source: Fidelity
Still, Bitcoin’s quantum threat is intensifying with AI advancement and Google’s breakthroughs in quantum computers. For Ceteris, this could cap the expected BTC upside from the debasement trade.
I think BTC will do quite well, but it won’t be the only SoV in the arena like it was a few years ago. Debasement bullish, but quantum will keep a cap on upside.
In the meantime, U.S Spot BTC ETFs bled another $228M this week, marking the second week of outflows in October. Still, this week’s capitulation showed cooling profits that may mark another bottom at $80K, as per Glassnode.
Source: Glassnode
Final Summary
AI bubble burst, and a likely bailout could trigger a debasement trade-driven BTC rally.
Delphi Research cautioned that BTC’s upside could be capped by quantum risk.
Bitcoin se držel kolem 81 500 USD, zatímco americká spotová ETF na bitcoin během prvních 12 říjnových obchodních seancí zaznamenala čistý odliv 614,7 milionu USD.
Bitcoin enters the final weeks of October near $82,000 after a brief fall below $80,000. The October 28 Federal Reserve decision, uneven demand for U.S. spot funds and November inflation data will help determine whether the recovery survives. A forecast requires conditions for both gains and losses, not a single number detached from the evidence.
Summary
Bitcoin traded near $81,500 on October 17 after briefly dipping below $80,000 this week. September U.S. inflation reached 3.7% annually, up from 3.4% in August. U.S. spot Bitcoin funds lost a net $614.7 million across October’s first 12 trading sessions, based on Farside’s daily totals. The Fed meets October 27 and 28, before U.S. jobs data on November 6 and inflation data on November 10. A move from $82,000 to $90,000 requires a 9.8% gain; a drop to $75,000 would be an 8.5% loss. Bitcoin has traded around $81,500 on October 17, having recovered from a move below $80,000 during the week. CoinGlass market data put the 24 hour change near negative 0.7% when checked for this article. A live price can move before publication, so the scenarios below use $82,000 as a rounded reference point, not a claim about the exact execution price available to a reader.
The Federal Reserve’s calendar places its next policy decision on October 28. Inflation has complicated the choice: the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ September CPI release put annual headline inflation at 3.7%. November will bring new employment and consumer price readings, giving investors evidence on whether the October decision was the start of another tightening phase or a single step. The price outlook therefore has two clocks: what markets expect before the meeting, and what the incoming data say afterward.
JUST IN: Bitcoin posts its strongest quarter since 2017 with a 43% Q3 gain
The rally now faces tougher conditions as Treasury yields climb above 5%, although weaker US jobs data has cut the odds of another Fed rate hike in October. pic.twitter.com/St18atn53Y
— crypto.news (@cryptodotnews) October 6, 2026 Bitcoin’s October recovery has a weak demand backdrop The starting point is less reassuring than the bounce suggests. Bitcoin slipped below $80,000 and subsequently recovered above $82,000 on October 16. A separate October 16 price assessment at crypto.news placed the market near $81,400 and noted the sequence of lower local highs. Clearing a level intraday is different from sustaining buying through several sessions, especially when the same area has served as both support and resistance.
October’s price movement followed several conflicting signals. U.S. spot Bitcoin funds began the month with two positive sessions, then recorded substantial withdrawals on October 7 and 8. The October 7 fund outflow reached $484.9 million, the largest daily exit since June at the time. October 13 brought $175.7 million back, but October 14 saw $261.4 million leave. Farside Investors’ daily fund table now records an $82.4 million withdrawal for October 16. Daily totals can be revised, and a net flow is not a direct measure of exchange spot purchases on that date.
Price and flow do not have to move together. Bitcoin trades continuously, while the U.S. ETF table reflects the close of an equity trading day. A buyer using an offshore exchange or a derivatives position can move the price while the fund complex loses assets. Authorized participants can acquire or deliver Bitcoin through creation and redemption processes that need not match a single hour of trading. Treating each positive close as proof that ETFs bought the rebound would assign a cause that the available figures cannot establish.
The October 14 CPI report added a macroeconomic complication. Headline consumer prices rose 0.6% during September, while the measure excluding food and energy rose 0.3%. Gasoline accounted for more than half of the monthly increase in the headline index, according to the BLS. Annual core inflation reached 2.6%, below the 3.7% headline reading but above August’s 2.4%. A reader looking only at the headline could miss that the sources of inflation are different; a reader looking only at core could miss the pressure that energy prices put on household spending and market rates.
Bitcoin’s drop after the CPI release left the market near $81,900 on October 14. The report recorded an increase in market-implied odds of an October rate increase after the inflation data, but those odds are a changing price of futures contracts, not a vote by the Fed. They should be checked again near the decision. Positioning against a policy announcement can make an otherwise ordinary price move violent when leveraged traders have crowded into one outcome.
JUST IN: Bitcoin jumps above $85,000 after softer U.S. inflation data
August core PCE rose 3% year-over-year versus 3.3% expected, while markets cut October Fed rate-hike odds, giving $BTC and other risk assets an immediate boost. pic.twitter.com/z1n9vm6GQJ
— crypto.news (@cryptodotnews) September 30, 2026 The Fed decision is only the first date on November’s calendar On September 16, the Federal Open Market Committee raised its target by a quarter percentage point to 3.75% to 4%. The vote was unanimous. Its next scheduled meeting ends October 28 at 2 p.m. Eastern time, followed by a press conference at 2:30 p.m. The October meeting is not marked as one of the scheduled quarterly projection meetings on the Fed’s calendar, so investors should not assume it will include a new dot plot.
The September meeting minutes, released October 7, say most participants considered another increase likely to be appropriate by year end, while stressing that later decisions depended on incoming information. Year end leaves two meetings, October and December. The minutes do not commit the committee to October, and individual September projections are conditional judgments, not instructions to a future meeting. The September median projected policy rate at the end of 2026 was 4.1%, according to the Fed’s projection tables.
Bitcoin rallied after the September rate increase despite fund withdrawals during the decision window. An examination of buyers after the September hike found subsequent ETF demand and derivatives adjustment, showing why the rate announcement alone cannot explain the entire move. Traders had been preparing for the decision beforehand; the same announcement can lift or lower an asset depending on what was already priced in and what the chair says about future policy.
On October 28, the rate decision, statement, and press conference, should be read separately. A quarter point increase with language suggesting a pause would not carry the same implication as an increase followed by concern about more persistent inflation. A hold could still weigh on Bitcoin if officials signal another hike in December. Market prices respond to changes in expected policy paths, not simply to the label attached to one decision.
November’s scheduled releases will then test the Fed’s reading of the economy. The BLS calendar for November lists the October employment report for November 6, October CPI for November 10, and October producer prices for November 13. October CPI will arrive after the Fed meeting, meaning the committee cannot use that report to decide on October 28. It can still change expectations for the December 8 and 9 meeting. Figures and release dates should be rechecked at publication because government calendars can change.
The sequence allows a conditional outlook. An October decision followed by softer inflation and moderate employment growth could ease pressure on bond yields. A decision followed by stubborn inflation or a much stronger labor market could support expectations of more tightening. A weak jobs report is not automatically favorable for Bitcoin if it points to a broad economic shock that sends investors toward cash. None of the official releases predicts a Bitcoin price; they influence the rates and risk appetite against which Bitcoin trades.
Twelve ETF sessions show how much buying the recovery needs The distinguishing figure comes from adding the fund flows rather than citing a single large withdrawal. Farside’s U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF table lists daily totals, in millions of dollars, for the first 12 trading sessions of October: plus 102.7, plus 189.9, minus 89.8, plus 118.8, minus 484.9, minus 244.1, plus 21.1, minus 65.4, plus 175.7, minus 261.4, plus 5.1 and minus 82.4. Adding those published entries gives minus $614.7 million through October 16. The calculation uses the displayed one decimal place and may differ slightly if a provider later revises individual funds.
Across the same 12 sessions, positive days total $613.3 million and negative days total $1.228 billion after rounding the entries. Net outflows are therefore the result of several heavy selling days overwhelming the purchases, not the absence of any positive session. October 7 alone accounts for approximately 79% of the net withdrawal figure, a ratio obtained by dividing $484.9 million by $614.7 million. That ratio describes the arithmetic concentration of the monthly total, not an estimate that one day’s redemptions caused 79% of Bitcoin’s price change.
Four of the first 12 sessions show net gains above $100 million, while four show losses above $80 million. A small positive day does not erase a large negative day. For example, the $175.7 million gained on October 13 was smaller than the $261.4 million lost the next day; together they represent an $85.7 million withdrawal. October 15’s $5.1 million intake did little to counter the $82.4 million that left on October 16. These comparisons explain why a chart of alternating green and red bars can look balanced even when the month is firmly negative.
The calculation answers a narrower question than some headlines imply. It does not tell us how much Bitcoin was sold on exchanges, which participants bought any supply offered, or whether a fund’s holdings changed by the same dollar amount as its flow. Net flow is an accounting estimate for money entering or leaving the listed products. Assets under management fluctuate with Bitcoin’s price. Trading volume can surge even when net flow is zero, because shares can change hands between investors without new fund shares being created.
The starting imbalance creates an observable condition for November. A durable recovery supported by fund demand would require multiple positive sessions large enough to offset withdrawals, not merely a return to zero on one day. At the October 16 balance, a single $100 million intake would leave the October running total around $515 million negative if no other dates changed. Restoring the first 12 sessions to flat would require approximately $615 million of net additions in later sessions. The figure is an arithmetic hurdle for the month, not a threshold Bitcoin must clear to rise.
Fund flows could remain negative while direct spot buyers take the other side. Conversely, positive ETF totals could coexist with selling by long held wallets, corporate treasuries or miners. An October assessment of institutional demand quoted Bitget Wallet research lead Lacie Zhang saying institutional buying must absorb profit taking and miner sales for gains to hold. Her argument concerns the balance of buyers and sellers across venues, not an ETF flow target that guarantees a certain price.
BREAKING: Fed raises its benchmark interest rates for the first time since 2023
The Fed has raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4%, while 30-year mortgage rates have climbed to around 7.28%; persistent inflation, higher oil prices and geopolitical tensions are… pic.twitter.com/CXNUmqJqEf
— crypto.news (@cryptodotnews) September 16, 2026 The price cases start from one reference point A November scenario needs an explicit starting value. This article uses $82,000, close to the market around the October 16 rebound, as a common reference. At that price, $85,000 is 3.7% higher; $87,500 is 6.7% higher; $90,000 is 9.8% higher; $95,000 is 15.9% higher. On the downside, $80,000 is 2.4% lower; $78,000 is 4.9% lower; and $75,000 is 8.5% lower. Each percentage is the difference from $82,000 divided by $82,000, rounded to one decimal place. They are arithmetic distances, not modeled probabilities or promised targets.
Recovery case: $87,500 to $95,000. Bitcoin would first need to regain the $84,200 area that traders identified as resistance in the October 16 chart analysis, then build on the move through the upper $80,000s. A sustained run of ETF inflows, stronger spot participation and less aggressive rate expectations after October 28 would support that case. The upper end requires a 15.9% rise from the reference, a material move in a month. The case weakens if ETF flows stay negative through a price rally or if the October 28 message and November 10 CPI push yields higher.
Range case: $78,000 to $87,500. Bitcoin could remain between the October downside area and the late September resistance zone if fund buying returns intermittently but cannot sustain itself. A Fed decision that changes little about December expectations, followed by mixed labor and inflation releases, would fit the setting. The breadth of the range is deliberate: from $82,000 it spans a 4.9% decline to a 6.7% gain. Calling this a base case does not mean assigning it a numerical probability. It describes the path when neither the buying evidence nor the policy evidence resolves decisively.
Downside case: $75,000 to $78,000. A break below $80,000 that persists through several daily closes, together with further ETF redemptions and renewed leverage liquidations, would bring lower price areas into view. A Fed message pointing to continued tightening, followed by another strong inflation print, would make the downside scenario more plausible. The range is an analytical boundary, not a claim that a particular exchange has a buy order at $75,000. A fall through the lower end would invalidate this bounded case and require a fresh analysis rather than a wider target invented after the event.
The ranges overlap at $78,000 and $87,500 because price can trade at a boundary without giving a reliable signal about the next month. Daily closes, participation and changes in flow would be more informative than a brief intraday touch. The upper case is invalidated by persistent selling and a failed recovery of the mid $80,000s; the downside case is invalidated by sustained inflows and a decisive move above resistance. New evidence can invalidate either scenario before November begins.
A pause in rates does not guarantee a Bitcoin rally The strongest argument for recovery is not simply that the Fed might hold rates. Inflation’s September jump was driven heavily by gasoline, while core prices rose more slowly over the year. If energy eases and the labor market weakens enough to limit further hikes without signaling recession, investors could reduce their expectations for future rates. Fund flows have turned around rapidly in earlier periods: after withdrawals around the September decision, demand returned in later sessions. The post hike market assessment from BitGo Research associated the recovery with spot fund demand, lower Treasury yields, softer oil and short covering. No single variable carried the whole explanation.
There is a counterweight. The September minutes show most Fed participants expected another increase by year end. September headline inflation at 3.7% was above August’s 3.4%, and core inflation rose to 2.6% from 2.4%. A pause in October might signal patience while officials wait for data, not the end of tightening. November CPI could reopen the debate almost immediately. Bitcoin can rise in anticipation of a pause and still lose ground if the accompanying statement points to a later hike.
Rate expectations have two effects that need separating. Higher Treasury yields can raise the appeal of interest paying assets relative to Bitcoin, which does not pay a coupon. The same yields can weaken demand for speculative risk across markets. Neither channel fixes Bitcoin’s price mechanically. Liquidity, leverage, international buying and crypto specific events can offset or magnify them. A neat historical average of returns around Fed meetings would miss differences in what investors anticipated before each event.
ETF demand presents a similar two sided argument. The products remain a substantial route for U.S. investors, and a few large positive days can reverse a negative running total. Yet the October arithmetic shows how easily one withdrawal can overwhelm multiple gains. Strong fund flows would improve the recovery case, but treating them as a sufficient condition ignores direct exchange sellers and the derivatives market. Weak flows would not prove that no buyer exists elsewhere. The honest disagreement is about the likely marginal buyer in November, not the existence of all other buyers.
Leverage can change the route without deciding the destination CoinGlass displayed roughly $52.4 billion of Bitcoin futures open interest and about $77 million of Bitcoin liquidations over 24 hours when checked on October 17. Those figures decay quickly and should be refreshed before publication. Open interest is the face value of outstanding positions, not the amount of capital that can be liquidated at once. Both a long and a short stand behind each futures contract; a rising total alone cannot tell the reader which side will win.
Funding rates and open interest together offer a better view of crowding, though neither is conclusive. Positive perpetual futures funding indicates longs are generally paying shorts on venues using that mechanism. If price rises alongside open interest and high positive funding, the move may depend more heavily on leveraged longs. If price rises while open interest falls, some of the gain may come from shorts closing. Spot volume and ETF flows would then help determine whether new cash replaced the departing positions.
The October selloff showed how forced unwinds can speed a move. Long liquidations cause exchanges to close positions according to their margin rules, creating market orders in a falling market. Subsequent short covering can make the rebound appear strong even before sustained spot demand returns. Neither event establishes a fair value for Bitcoin. Derivatives data help describe the path and fragility of a move, while the spot market and flows help assess whether it can persist.
A level such as $80,000 attracts attention partly because traders put orders and stops near round figures. No source can certify that every $80,000 touch is meaningful, and liquidation maps estimate potential pressure from displayed positions rather than commitments by every trader. A briefly broken level followed by recovery deserves different treatment from several closes below it. The same applies to a break above $85,000: a single futures driven spike is weaker evidence than several sessions accompanied by fund additions and spot volume.
The Fed release occurs during U.S. market hours, when the ETF shares trade and the underlying Bitcoin market remains open. The first ETF closing figure after the decision will provide one piece of evidence, but reporting time and creation mechanics can blur attribution. November 6 jobs data and November 10 CPI arrive before the U.S. market opens; Bitcoin can react overnight before fund shares resume trading. Comparing same time windows and the same quotation source matters when describing cause and effect.
The scenario boundaries have important limits The outlook is dated October 17. Bitcoin’s spot price, policy expectations, ETF flows and derivative positions can change substantially before October 28, let alone November 30. A scenario built around an $82,000 starting value must be recalculated if Bitcoin enters November at a very different price. The percentage distances are exact arithmetic from the chosen reference, but the chosen bands reflect observed market areas and conditional judgment. They are not statistical confidence intervals.
Neither a Fed decision nor a CPI release provides a stand alone Bitcoin forecast. Monetary policy can affect bond yields and the dollar, yet investors may have anticipated the change in advance. The September episode showed a hike and a subsequent rally; the October selloff showed inflation concerns alongside withdrawals and deleveraging. Assigning all price movement to the nearest macro headline would ignore the trading evidence.
ETF totals have reporting limits. Providers can differ in coverage, fund cutoff times and revisions. Farside’s table provides the 12 U.S. session inputs used here; an alternative tracker may show a slightly different monthly figure. Gross trading volume, net investor flow and changes in Bitcoin held by funds answer separate questions. None directly identifies the end investor, the seller on the other side or the moment the Bitcoin was acquired.
The projected $75,000 to $95,000 envelope deliberately includes different outcomes rather than implying that any one will occur. A new geopolitical shock, fund launch, regulatory decision, exchange disruption or corporate transaction could move the market outside it. Those events cannot be responsibly assigned a probability from the evidence assembled here. The next observable policy marker is the Fed’s October 28 statement; the next scheduled U.S. employment and inflation releases follow on November 6 and 10, according to the BLS calendar.
What to watch October 28 Fed statement and press conference: Compare the rate decision with the committee’s language about future increases at 2 p.m. and 2:30 p.m. Eastern. Daily U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF flows: Add the November sessions in Farside’s table and distinguish a multi day intake from a single positive close. The $80,000 and $84,200 price areas: Watch daily closes and trading participation around the recent downside and resistance zones, not just intraday touches. November 6 employment and November 10 CPI: Compare the actual releases with expectations and observe the response in yields as well as Bitcoin. Futures open interest and funding: Check whether a move in price is paired with new leveraged positions, short covering or a reduction in crowding. FAQ What is the Bitcoin price outlook for November 2026? From an $82,000 reference on October 17, the conditional recovery range is $87,500 to $95,000, the range case is $78,000 to $87,500, and the downside case is $75,000 to $78,000. None is a guaranteed target or a probability weighted forecast.
When is the next Fed decision? The Federal Open Market Committee meets October 27 and 28, 2026. Its statement is scheduled for 2 p.m. Eastern on October 28, followed by a press conference at 2:30 p.m.
Did the Fed raise rates in September 2026? Yes. On September 16, the Fed raised the target range by a quarter percentage point to 3.75% to 4%. Bitcoin’s subsequent price rise does not establish that the rate increase caused it.
How much did Bitcoin ETFs lose in early October? Adding Farside Investors’ daily U.S. spot fund totals for the 12 trading sessions from October 1 through October 16 gives approximately $614.7 million in net withdrawals. The figure can change if a provider revises its table.
Why does the $80,000 Bitcoin level matter? Bitcoin briefly traded below $80,000 before recovering during the October selloff. Repeated daily closes below the area, especially with withdrawals and long liquidations, would strengthen the downside case more than a brief intraday break.
Could Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? A move from the article’s $82,000 reference to $90,000 would require a gain of about 9.8%. Sustained spot and fund demand, a recovery through resistance and less pressure from expected interest rates would support the recovery case; none guarantees that price.
What U.S. data arrive after the October Fed meeting? The BLS has scheduled the October employment report for November 6 and October CPI for November 10. October producer prices are scheduled for November 13. The dates should be checked again before those releases.
Does an October Fed pause mean Bitcoin will rise? No. Investors may have priced in a pause, and a hold could still accompany a warning about another rate increase. ETF flows, direct spot trading and leverage affect the outcome as well. This is educational analysis, not investment advice.
Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Figures reflect regulatory filings and reporting available at the time of writing and change with each disclosure. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or asset. Always do your own research. Information is accurate as of October 17, 2026.
Ripple a DriveWealth zavedou vypořádání v RLUSD na XRPL, nejprve v Evropě. Služba má být dostupná pro síť více než 100 fintechových platforem a institucí.
Ripple has entered a strategic partnership with DriveWealth, a global provider of Brokerage-as-a-Service technology, to bring RLUSD stablecoin settlement and payments infrastructure to an international network of financial partners. DriveWealth serves as a technology backbone for more than 100 fintech platforms and financial institutions, offering white-label brokerage services to enable investment access without requiring firms to develop their own infrastructure.
RLUSD stablecoin integration with brokerage operationsThe collaboration will introduce RLUSD stablecoin-based settlement on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), starting in Europe with plans for future expansion into the US market. According to Ripple, the integration targets institutional finance and aims to simplify how fintechs, digital wallets and financial institutions manage payment and collateral flows.
With this partnership, DriveWealth clients may gain the capability to fund and manage collateral accounts using RLUSD stablecoins, which can be rapidly converted to cash. The infrastructure leverages the digital asset minting and redemption features of Ripple’s ecosystem, potentially streamlining operations and improving liquidity management for participating partners.
Standard Chartered, a multinational bank, recently launched custody services for RLUSD, further highlighting growing institutional use of Ripple’s stablecoin technology.
Despite the media attention, DriveWealth and Ripple have not revealed the list of partners that will immediately use the RLUSD settlement option. There were no transaction volume figures or a defined launch date announced.
Mini dictionary: DriveWealth is a US-based fintech firm specializing in API-driven brokerage infrastructure, enabling its clients to offer global investment access without building regulatory and technical systems from scratch.
DriveWealth will enable stablecoin-based funding and settlement solutions on a network of over 100 brokerage partners worldwide, building a link between the blockchain and traditional equities infrastructure.
Potential impact on stock settlement efficiencyOne of the core challenges for global brokerage operations relates to slow processing times for cross-border funding. While US equities now settle under a T+1 cycle, requiring trades to clear one business day after execution, international bank transfers may still lag due to time zone differences and the legacy payment system.
DriveWealth already offers its platform partners access to extended trading hours; however, the movement of cash across borders remains a constraint. RLUSD stablecoin transactions could allow for real-time fund transfers, unrestricted by conventional banking hours.
This structure reflects broader trends in institutional finance, where digital assets are increasingly used to facilitate rapid collateral movement and transaction settlement. Nonetheless, instant funding via RLUSD does not replace the regulatory clearing and settlement required for US stock transactions, but rather focuses on cash management before and after trades.
While rapid stablecoin funding increases efficiency, the regulated clearing process for US equities will continue to operate separately from blockchain-based collateral flows.
Expanding Ripple Prime’s digital asset servicesBeyond payments and collateral, the Ripple and DriveWealth partnership extends into digital asset custody and equity financing services. Ripple Prime—the institutional division of Ripple—aims to enhance market access for large clients by providing secure storage for digital assets and potential financing via equity-linked products.
This development follows DriveWealth’s acquisition of brokerage and market infrastructure player Hidden Road for $1.25 billion, which expanded its capabilities in equity and derivative product offerings.
Ripple is also working to expand its XRPL wallet functionality, which helps integrate digital asset payments into broader financial applications. For $XRP holders, the direct impact of this deal on token demand remains uncertain, as transaction fees and account reserves on XRPL will continue to require XRP, but major inflows or volumes have not been disclosed.
Further details regarding the rollout, partner adoption, and customer usage may be revealed at Ripple Swell, an industry event scheduled in New York on October 28.
Americké krypto ETF zaznamenaly ve dnech 12.–16. října čistý odliv ve výši 610,7 milionu USD; fondy zaměřené na ethereum odepsaly 320,1 milionu USD, tedy více než bitcoinové fondy, z nichž odteklo 228,4 milionu USD.
U.S. crypto ETFs tracked across five Farside Investors tables have recorded $610.7 million in net outflows during Oct. 12–16, with Ethereum funds losing more money than Bitcoin products.
Summary
$610.7 million left the five tracked ETF categories, down from $1.29 billion the previous week. Ethereum ETFs lost $320.1 million, with BlackRock’s ETHA accounting for $299 million. Bitcoin funds recorded $228.4 million in withdrawals despite two positive trading sessions. Solana, Zcash and Hyperliquid products lost a combined $62.2 million during the five-session period. Farside Investors’ daily figures put Ethereum ETF withdrawals at $320.1 million, followed by $228.4 million from Bitcoin funds, while Solana, Zcash and Hyperliquid products finished the week negative.
Crypto ETF withdrawals fall 52.5% from the previous week Calculated from Farside’s five tables, weekly net withdrawals fell 52.5% from $1.2863 billion during Oct. 5–9. Each tracked category remained negative, although Bitcoin, Ethereum and Zcash recorded smaller losses than in the preceding period.
As crypto.news previously reported, the same five groups lost $1.29 billion during that earlier week. Bitcoin accounted for $678.9 million of those withdrawals, while Ethereum products shed $542.2 million.
The latest daily totals, calculated across Farside’s tables, show that Tuesday was the only session with combined net inflows. Funds attracted $194.3 million that day after losing $155.5 million on Monday.
Wednesday brought $393.4 million in withdrawals, the largest daily loss of the reporting period. Another $90.1 million left on Thursday, followed by $166 million on Friday.
Across the five-session window, Bitcoin and Ethereum accounted for $548.5 million, or approximately 89.8%, of the combined net withdrawal calculated from Farside’s figures.
A separate CoinShares update published Oct. 16 reported $434 million in withdrawals from global digital asset investment products during its reporting week. Its global product coverage and reporting cutoff differ from the five U.S. ETF categories aggregated here.
CoinShares attributed its reported withdrawals to changing interest rate expectations after U.S. inflation and retail sales releases. Its assessment concerned its own dataset; Farside’s tables provide fund flows without assigning a cause to individual transactions.
Ethereum ETF losses reach $320.1 million Ethereum funds recorded four negative sessions and one positive day in Farside’s table. Monday’s $85.4 million withdrawal was followed by $24.8 million in Tuesday inflows, before Wednesday brought the week’s largest exit at $129.5 million.
Thursday and Friday added respective withdrawals of $60.3 million and $69.7 million. Calculated across the table’s daily entries, BlackRock’s ETHA lost $299 million, equivalent to 93.4% of the category’s net weekly outflow.
Fidelity’s FETH attracted $10.5 million over the week, while Grayscale’s Ethereum Mini Trust lost $12.4 million. Grayscale’s ETHE recorded an $18.3 million withdrawal, and Franklin Templeton’s EZET shed $900,000.
The remaining Ethereum products showed no net flows during the period in Farside’s table.
Elsewhere in the U.S. Ethereum fund market, VanEck requested withdrawal of its proposed Lido Staked Ethereum ETF registration in an Oct. 14 filing, as reported Oct. 15.
The sponsor’s SEC submission said it “does not intend to proceed with the planned distribution” of the trust’s shares. VanEck confirmed that the registration statement had not become effective and that no securities had been issued or sold under it.
The filing sought the SEC’s consent to withdraw the registration statement under Rule 477. It concerned a proposed offering that had never issued shares, separate from the operating funds in Farside’s weekly flow table.
Bitcoin ETFs lose $228.4 million despite Tuesday buying Bitcoin funds recorded their strongest session on Tuesday, attracting $175.7 million, according to Farside. Wednesday’s $261.4 million withdrawal exceeded that intake, and Friday ended with another $82.4 million exit.
BlackRock’s IBIT lost $165.4 million over the week, calculated from its five daily entries. Fidelity’s FBTC shed $60.2 million, while Morgan Stanley’s MSBT attracted $6.7 million and Bitwise’s BITB added $2.2 million.
Invesco’s BTCO lost $4.1 million, and Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust recorded $7.6 million in withdrawals.
Earlier in October, Bitcoin funds had suffered $484.9 million in withdrawals during the Oct. 7 session. Coverage published Oct. 8 identified that as their largest daily outflow since June 25, when withdrawals reached $691.7 million.
Solana funds record a second week of daily outflows Solana products lost $25.5 million during Oct. 12–16, with every session negative in Farside’s table. The category recorded $25 million in withdrawals across five negative sessions the previous week.
Bitwise’s BSOL accounted for $18.8 million of the latest weekly loss, calculated from its daily entries. Grayscale’s GSOL shed $6 million on Thursday, while VSOL lost $700,000 on Monday.
Friday’s $12.7 million withdrawal, entirely from BSOL, was the category’s largest daily exit of the week.
Zcash’s tracked ZCSH product lost $19.2 million, according to Farside’s daily figures. Wednesday brought $3.7 million in inflows, but Thursday’s $14.8 million withdrawal exceeded that intake.
Hyperliquid products recorded $17.5 million in weekly withdrawals. Farside’s entries show losses of $6.4 million from BHYP, $8.5 million from THYP and $2.6 million from HYPG.
Thursday accounted for $10.3 million of Hyperliquid’s weekly net outflow, including $7.1 million from THYP. Farside recorded zero net flows across all three products on Tuesday and Friday.
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin shared a “fun fact of the day” on X, posting two detailed cost tables comparing Bitcoin mining economics to AI inference.
The numbers expose a clear gap: Bitcoin mining costs split roughly 50/50 between compute capex and electricity, while AI inference is dominated almost entirely by hardware capex.
That gap gives power-rich Bitcoin mining operations a structural flexibility advantage that pure AI operators largely cannot replicate.
Vitalik’s Numbers: Bitcoin Mining Is ~46% Electricity, AI Inference Is ~5% Buterin’s tables break down costs per unit of work. For Bitcoin mining, the approximate total cost per BTC mined sits near $93,700.
Compute capex, hardware, cooling, and power gear, accounts for roughly $37,600, or about 40%.
Electricity into the machines adds $40,600, or 43.3%. Other electricity costs lift the total electricity share to about 45.9%.
Labor accounts for $3,200 (3.4%). Facilities rent comes to $2,500 (2.7%). Other expenses, maintenance, insurance, and bandwidth, make up about $7,400 (7.9%).
AI inference per GPU-year tells a very different story. Total costs land near $26,260. Compute capex alone takes up $19,900, or roughly 76% of the total.
Electricity, by contrast, totals just $1,260 across all categories, barely 4.8% of the bill. Labor adds $1,400. Facilities rent comes in at $900. Other overheads make up around $2,800.
Buterin did not frame the comparison as a criticism of either model. He presented it as a factual contrast.
Wu Blockchain highlighted the post as a notable data point for the crypto-AI infrastructure debate, noting that Vitalik has been increasingly vocal on AI and crypto security risks.
He has also built a privacy-focused AI agent that limits identity and data leaks, signaling his deeper engagement with AI infrastructure questions.
Fun fact of the day: Bitcoin mining cost is split about 50/50 between compute capex and electricity. Meanwhile, AI inference is almost completely dominated by compute capex. pic.twitter.com/PCFKZSuNRw
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) October 17, 2026
Why Bitcoin Miners Are Structurally Positioned to Win in AI Hosting The cost gap carries a direct strategic implication. Because Bitcoin mining electricity costs are large and variable, miners with flexible power contracts can curtail or redirect capacity when hashprice falls.
AI inference operators have no such relief. Once a GPU cluster is financed and deployed, the capex clock ticks whether or not the hardware is fully utilized.
That explains the wave of miner-to-AI pivots already underway. Core Scientific signed an AI data center deal with AMD as it shifted capacity away from mining.
Bitcoin miner MARA is targeting AI growth through a $168M EDF deal. And Anthropic signed a 20-year data center lease with Bitcoin miner TeraWulf, locking in long-term power access through mining infrastructure.
VanEck has also made the case publicly. The asset manager argued that Bitcoin miners’ AI arbitrage could be a game-changer, pointing to the same structural cost gap Buterin’s tables now quantify precisely.
More broadly, Bitcoin miners are diversifying into AI and projecting billions in revenue from hosting and colocation contracts.
Buterin’s post adds a precise, data-backed foundation to a shift the industry has been tracking for months.
Miners that control large, flexible power contracts are not just hedging, they are sitting on a structural asset that AI-only operators cannot easily replicate.
And despite the AI-Bitcoin intersection narrative, Vitalik has rejected claims that AI could crash Bitcoin’s price by 50%, reinforcing his view that the two ecosystems are more complementary than competitive.
Otevřené pozice ve futures na Ethereum dosáhly 30,59 miliardy USD, přesto za 24 hodin klesly o 0,42 %. Likvidace dlouhých pozic převýšily likvidace krátkých pozic.
Ethereum Derivatives carried $30.59 billion in futures open interest, although the aggregate book slipped 0.42% during the latest 24-hour period.
Calls represented 61.75% of Ethereum options open interest, but 24-hour put volume narrowly exceeded call volume, showing balanced near-term flow.
Long liquidations exceeded short liquidations over both 24-hour and 12-hour windows, while positive funding kept leveraged bulls paying shorts.
Max pain levels differed across Deribit, OKX, and Binance for October and December, so they do not form one market-wide price target.
Ethereum derivatives are sending mixed messages as ETH trades inside a weekly range. The token moved between $2,324 and $2,575 during the week, while futures traders maintained $30.59 billion in open interest. Options positioning still tilted toward calls, which accounted for 61.75% of outstanding contracts. Yet the futures book slipped, positive funding persisted, and liquidations struck more longs than shorts.
Ethereum derivatives therefore show substantial bullish positioning without a clear signal. The split matters because calls can serve hedging strategies, while rising leverage creates vulnerability during sharp price moves. ETH traded near $2,428 intraday on October 17.
Ethereum Derivatives Keep $30B in Futures as OI Slips
Outstanding Ethereum futures totaled 12.63 million ETH, valued at $30.59 billion, after a 0.42% daily decline. Open interest tracks active contracts rather than completed trades. Binance held $8.73 billion, or 28.55% of the total. MEXC followed with $3.25 billion, narrowly above CME at $3.24 billion.
Binance’s share made it the largest venue in the reported futures rankings. Other venues held smaller shares of exposure.
Source: Coinglass
Hyperliquid carried $2.61 billion, followed by Bybit at $2.15 billion and Bitget at $2 billion. The distribution shows liquidity remains spread between centralized platforms, a regulated exchange, and a perpetuals DEX. Large open interest does not identify the market direction by itself. It shows the amount of capital still exposed to future price changes.
That distinction matters when comparing dollar open interest across exchanges. ETH price changes can alter the book’s reported value even if contract quantities change less.
Exchange trends were uneven. MEXC added 6.49% to its open interest, and Bitget grew 1.22%. Bitunix fell 11.27%, BingX lost 7.57%, and Hyperliquid declined 1.70%. CME also contracted 1.11%, pointing to selective rather than broad leverage growth.
Ethereum derivatives still held a large aggregate futures book, but the liquidation data put bulls on notice. The market recorded 3,222 long liquidations against 2,181 shorts in 24 hours. The 12-hour count showed 2,651 longs liquidated, compared with 876 shorts. Positive funding near 0.0053 meant longs continued paying shorts.
Ethereum Options Show Bullish Calls but Fragile Long Positions
Ethereum options carried 1.59 million ETH in calls and 983,689 ETH in puts. That composition gave calls a 61.75% share of open interest. Still, the newest flow was nearly balanced. Twenty-four-hour volume reached 414,521 ETH for calls and 420,513 ETH for puts.
Ethereum derivatives can look call-heavy without proving that every holder expects an immediate rally. Traders may use calls to hedge short exposure or structure spreads. The put activity near the spot also remained visible. Bybit’s $2,100 and $2,200 put led several high-volume contracts. $2,500 calls also traded actively on Binance and Bybit.
Deribit’s December 25 $3,200 call held the largest individual position at 69,667 ETH. Its $2,200 call held 51,016 ETH, and an October 30 $2,600 call held 38,043 ETH. These positions show interest across several price levels and expiries. They do not prove a single outright bullish view.
Ethereum options max pain readings differed by exchange. For October 30, Deribit and Binance pointed to $2,500, while OKX stood near $2,650. For December 25, Deribit showed $2,200, OKX $2,300, and Binance $2,500. Max pain represents a theoretical payout-minimizing level, not a price target.
CME options exposure had also declined toward 50,000 ETH by October from above 500,000 ETH earlier in 2026. Its dollar position readings fell near $10 million after exceeding $70 million in late 2025. Ethereum derivatives remain divided between a reduced CME options footprint and larger crypto-native futures markets.
Velcí držitelé Dogecoinu od 12. října nakoupili přibližně 600 milionů DOGE poblíž úrovně podpory na 0,081 USD; jejich držba dosáhla zhruba 56,21 miliardy tokenů.
Dogecoin Price hovered at $0.08055 on Saturday, reflecting weakness across the cryptocurrency market. The total crypto market sector dropped by 0.74%, to $2.74 trillion.
BTC price hovered around $81k as the Fear and Greed Index registered 49. The $0.080 level remained in focus as broader cryptocurrency prices weakened.
Crypto Fear and Greed Index Falls to 49 as Market Optimism Cools
Cryptocurrency market sentiment remained neutral as CoinMarketCap’s Crypto Fear and Greed Index registered 49, down from 50 yesterday. The reading also fell below last week’s 57, pointing to weaker confidence among market participants.
CMC data
A month earlier, the index stood at 64, placing sentiment firmly within the greed category. The latest reading was down 15 points from that reading, reflecting a general easing of market optimism.
On August 27, 2026, the index hit its annual peak of 82 at the time when sentiment was at its extreme “GREED” level. Despite the recent decline, the current score remains neutral, suggesting neither fear nor greed has gained clear control.
Dogecoin Whales Add 600 Million DOGE Near Key Support
Dogecoin whales have accumulated about 600 million DOGE since October 12, according to cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez. In a post on X, Martinez said large holders appeared to be buying near a support zone.
4/6 Third, whales appear to be buying near that support.
Since October 12, large holders have reportedly added about 600 million $DOGE. Their accumulation adds weight to the buy signal and the on-chain support zone. https://t.co/NXhUxvPDWo
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) October 16, 2026
His accompanying chart showed tracked whale holdings reaching approximately 56.21 billion tokens.
He identified $0.081 as an important support level, where the daily TD Sequential indicator had issued a buy signal. He also cited blockchain data showing roughly 36 billion DOGE were previously acquired around that price.
The concentration of holdings helped explain his focus on $0.081 as a potential base for recovery. Martinez identified $0.16 to $0.17 as a possible profit-taking area if support holds and Dogecoin rebounds.
Dogecoin Price Prediction: Will DOGE Hold $0.08 Level?
The price of DOGE was trading at $0.08069 on October 17, continuing its downward trend but remaining above the support level.
The relative strength index was below the 50 neutral zone at 40.45. The moving average convergence divergence indicator also showed early improvement, with its MACD line slightly above the signal line.
DOGE/USDT 4-hour chart: TradingView
A successful defense of $0.080 could support another attempt toward $0.08500. A sustained break above that resistance would bring $0.090 into focus as per the Long-term DOGE projection. Failure to reclaim $0.085 would leave Dogecoin exposed to further tests of the $0.08000–$0.07800 support area.
Dogecoin Open Interest Reaches $1.29 Billion as Options Activity Surges
Dogecoin derivatives trading volume fell 27.97% to $920.68 million, while open interest increased 2.31% to $1.29 billion. Options trading volume jumped 50,751.50% to $82.11, remaining modest in dollar terms despite that surge.
Source: Coingalss data
Meanwhile, options open interest rose 50,476.50% to $81,650, according to the supplied figures. The data revealed a mix of activity, with total derivatives volume down while outstanding contract values were up.
Zakladatel Cardana Charles Hoskinson bude síť považovat za dokončenou až po upgradu Leios, který má zvýšit propustnost, aniž by omezil decentralizaci a bezpečnost.
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In an X conversation, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson answered whether the Cardano blockchain network is complete. An X user had asked the question, "Is Cardano finished? Meaning completed?"
In response, Hoskinson pointed to one major milestone that remains before he considers Cardano completed: the Leios upgrade.
I'm working on a concept that only midnight can bring to the cryptocurrency space that solves most of the problems. Almost have all of it designed conceptually. It's the magnum opus of my career
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— Charles Hoskinson (@IOHK_Charles) October 17, 2026 "After Leios, yes. It has everything I wanted to do," Hoskinson answered. "Decentralized consensus, governance and development, EUTXO, Plutus, infinitely scalable, secure, built with formal methods, multiple independent nodes, recursively self-improving, and millions of people hold Ada," he continued.
The question from the X user about whether Cardano is complete comes after Hoskinson revealed that he was working on a concept that only Midnight a Cardano-related privacy sidechain can bring to the crypto space and that solves most of the problems. Hoskinson stated that he had almost designed it conceptually, describing it as the magnum opus of his career.
Leios upgradeLeios, which was mentioned by the Cardano founder, refers to Cardano's next-generation consensus and scaling upgrade designed to massively increase transaction throughput and speed without sacrificing decentralization or security.
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Leios delivers a phased throughput increase on mainnet, scaling from 2x to 30x current capacity, with full capacity demonstrated on testnet first. In September 2026, IOG developers demonstrated about 1,000 TPS with Ouroboros Leios in testing.
The public testnet (known as MusashiNet or Musashi Dojo) launched on June 23, 2026, rolling out through five phases (Earth, Water, Fire, Wind, Void). According to a recent update from Input Output, the Musashi Dojo testnet has entered its Fire phase.
Leios accelerates Cardano throughputCardano's current consensus protocol, Ouroboros Praos, was designed for security and decentralization but was not designed for the throughput that a globally adopted layer 1 needs. Enter Leios, which enhances Praos by adding endorser blocks and committee-based validation, which increase the number of transactions Cardano can process.
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Leios aims to increase throughput from about 5–10 transactions per second (TPS) to around 100 TPS, with a longer-term target of 1,000 TPS or more, subject to validation and parameter selection.
Areas where higher throughput could have a meaningful impact include global microtransaction ecosystems, decentralized supply chain tracking, scalable DeFi with time-sensitive transactions, decentralized identity for large populations, and real-time voting systems.
USDT a USDC dohromady dosahují zhruba 256 mld. USD, což představuje více než 85 % trhu se stablecoiny o celkové hodnotě 302 mld. USD; Sky Dollar (USDS) dosahuje 6,8 mld. USD, zatímco žádný další stablecoin nepřekročil hranici 5 mld. USD.
The stablecoin market has never looked more lopsided. Data from DefiLlama shows that Tether’s USDT ($183.4B) and Circle’s USDC ($72.7B) together hold roughly $256B, more than 85% of the total $302B stablecoin market.
No other issuer comes close to the $5B threshold. The gap is not narrowing. It is widening.
A Two-Horse Race With a Cliff After the Second Runner
The numbers from DefiLlama as of October 17, 2026, tell a stark story. USDT leads at $183.4B, commanding 60.6% of the stablecoin market alone. USDC follows at $72.7B, driven heavily by institutional and regulated demand.
Then comes the cliff. Sky Dollar (USDS) sits at $6.8B. Ethena’s USDe follows at $4.7B. World Liberty Financial’s USD1 holds $4B. PayPal’s PYUSD sits at $2.8B. Ripple’s RLUSD trails at $2.4B.
Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino has pointed to AI agents as the next frontier for USDT adoption.
He predicts as many as one trillion AI agents will transact in USDT within 15 years.
Agents spending USDT is the future. https://t.co/2HLBrmG3DA
— Paolo Ardoino 🤖 (@paoloardoino) October 15, 2026
Ethena is making calculated moves to escape the challenger trap. The protocol recently entered crypto neobanking with a new app to take USDe beyond DeFi.
It also teamed with FalconX on a $1 billion secured facility for USDe backing assets. Both moves signal that USDe is building real-world utility, but at $4.7B, it remains a fraction of the giants.
USD1 is pursuing a payments angle. Mesh recently acquired Bluvo after a WLFI partnership, a deal designed to deepen USD1’s payment rails. Yet at $4B, USD1 still sits well below the threshold that could threaten the two leaders.
Why Flipping the Duopoly Remains Nearly Impossible
Trust and liquidity are the core barriers. USDT dominates trading pairs and emerging-market corridors. USDC leads in regulated, institutional contexts.
Circle’s distribution strategy is accelerating that lead. Visa recently moved USDC prefunding into live operations on Visa Direct.
Circle paid out $819M to distribution partners in H1 2026 alone, reinforcing network lock-in.
Payment infrastructure is also expanding. Coinbase expanded its Marqeta partnership to bring stablecoin-backed payment cards to businesses. These rails make USDC harder to displace in corporate finance.
Traditional finance is circling the space. Wells Fargo’s CEO confirmed the bank is preparing for potential stablecoin opportunities in the US. New bank-issued stablecoins, however, are more likely to deepen USDC’s institutional moat than challenge it.
Regulatory scrutiny adds another layer. A US Senate probe recently found USDT present in 84% of sanctioned Iran’s wallets. Tether has since defended its compliance posture.
The controversy has not dented USDT’s dominance, but it gives regulators a lever that could reshape the stablecoin market in ways no competitor currently can.
For now, the data is unambiguous. Breaking through the $5B ceiling requires more than innovation.
It demands liquidity, regulatory trust, and distribution at a scale that only two issuers have built, and neither shows signs of giving ground.
Algorand uvádí, že od zveřejnění studie společnosti Google zpracoval na svém mainnetu přibližně 1,7 milionu postkvantových transakcí s podpisy Falcon, které vybral NIST.
Algorand (ALGO) says it has processed millions of post-quantum transactions on mainnet since Google's quantum paper, using NIST-selected Falcon signatures.
@Algorand says it has processed roughly 1.7 million post-quantum transactions on mainnet since @Google published its widely discussed research on quantum threats to cryptocurrencies, as the network pushes its early start on quantum-resistant security as a competitive edge for $ALGO.
The figure is a company claim and has shifted in recent weeks. Algorand's own posts earlier this week cited , and secondary coverage has since reported . The numbers have not been independently audited in the sources reviewed.
What Google's paper changedThe research behind the debate was published on March 30 by Google Quantum AI. The authors stressed that such attacks are not yet feasible.
The paper also pointed to chains already working on the problem. According to a market report, The same report noted that , only that it had implemented features to support future migration.
How Algorand's approach worksAlgorand's technical documentation says The chain's history is also protected: That is only part of the picture, however. Algorand's own write-up says the hardest remaining step
There are trade-offs. , which
Other networks are also preparing. One analysis noted that It also described @Starknet as using hash-based cryptography that is Algorand's transaction count, if it holds, shows live usage rather than roadmaps, though the volume does not settle how the wider industry will migrate.
Sources
Algorand technical brief on Falcon-signed transactionsThe Quantum Insider on Google's quantum paperThe Defiant on the Google Quantum AI whitepaper
Denní přílivy tokenů UNI na Binance koncem září přesáhly 40 milionů USD, což vyvolává obavy z prodejního tlaku. UNI od svého vrcholu 10,90 USD kleslo o více než 30 %.
TLDR: Uniswap price fell more than 30% from its $10.90 peak as exchange inflows raised distribution concerns. Binance recorded daily UNI inflows above $40 million in late September, according to Darkfost. UNI’s $6.75-$7.00 support zone could underpin a double bottom if buyers defend it. A breakout above $7.60-$7.80 could open a path toward $8.80, according to Crypto With Gopal. Uniswap’s UNI token is showing mixed signals as heavy exchange inflows meet a potential bullish reversal pattern. The token has fallen more than 30% from its recent $10.90 peak, while Binance inflows reached their highest levels of the year.
Analyst Darkfost reported daily UNI inflows above $40 million in late September, with the inflow Z-score exceeding 4 several times. Meanwhile, Crypto With Gopal identified a potential double bottom around the 6.75–7.00 support zone.
CoinMarketCap data put UNI at $7.31, down 2.30% over 24 hours, as traders watched resistance near $7.60-$7.80.
Why UNI Exchange Inflows Matter for Uniswap Price Darkfost reported that UNI’s strong performance earlier this year coincided with improving activity across Uniswap’s decentralized exchange ecosystem.
Uniswap’s total value locked (TVL) exceeded $4 billion in September, reaching a yearly record. Decentralized exchange trading volumes also peaked at $93.6 billion.
🗞️ UNI Inflows hit Yearly highs as distribution weighs on price
Since the start of the year, some altcoins have posted strong performances, such as UNI, the token of the DeFi platform Uniswap.
Its TVL also hit a yearly record in September, at over $4B, as did DEX volumes, which… pic.twitter.com/SBdYToPmHx
— Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) October 17, 2026
These fundamentals accompanied a sharp UNI rally, with gains reaching 370% from the June low. However, rising exchange inflows have since introduced selling pressure, according to Darkfost.
Exchange inflows measure tokens transferred to centralized trading platforms. Traders may deposit assets to sell them, trade derivatives, or reposition their portfolios. Therefore, inflows alone do not confirm that holders intend to sell.
Darkfost highlighted unusually elevated Binance inflows in late September.
A Z-score above 4 indicates an exceptionally high reading relative to the metric’s historical average and variability. Daily inflows exceeding $40 million reinforced the scale of those movements.
The analyst also observed that inflow momentum appeared to be fading. If that decline continues, selling pressure could ease and help UNI establish a price bottom.
However, a sustained reduction in inflows has not yet confirmed that distribution has ended.
UNI Price Analysis: Can Buyers Defend the $7 Support Zone? UNI’s four-hour chart shows a potential double bottom, according to Crypto With Gopal. The pattern suggests buyers are defending the $6.75-$7.00 area, although confirmation remains necessary.
A double bottom forms when price tests similar lows twice and subsequently rebounds.
The pattern becomes more convincing if the price breaks resistance between the two lows. For UNI, the key breakout zone sits between $7.60 and $7.80.
$UNI is printing a potential double bottom formation 👀📈
Buyers are defending the $6.75–$7.00 support zone, hinting at a possible reversal. A breakout above $7.60–$7.80 could open the door toward $8.80 as bullish momentum builds 🔥
Bulls are slowly regaining strength, but a… pic.twitter.com/mllzUdxaAM
— Crypto With Gopal (@cryptowithgopal) October 17, 2026
Crypto With Gopal identified $8.80 as a potential upside target following a confirmed breakout. However, failure to clear resistance could leave UNI vulnerable to renewed selling pressure.
CoinMarketCap data showed UNI trading near $7.31, with $7.19 identified as immediate Fibonacci support. A hold above that level could support a rebound toward $7.37.
A breakdown could expose the $7.10 swing low, while broader market weakness remains a risk.
The October 19 CME futures launch is another event traders are watching. Its actual effect on UNI will depend on market conditions and the response from participants.
For now, UNI faces two competing signals: fading exchange inflows could ease distribution, while technical support offers a potential reversal point. Traders need confirmation from both price action and inflow trends before concluding that selling pressure has subsided.
Uniswap just had its best month ever, and most of the credit goes to a blockchain that didn’t exist in June.
The decentralized exchange generated $14.81 million in protocol revenue in September 2026. Robinhood Chain, a Layer-2 network that went live on July 1, 2026, accounted for 53% of that total.
A newcomer carries the quarter
Token Terminal released September figures based on on-chain data in early October 2026. Its numbers put Uniswap’s protocol revenue at approximately $14.7 million, the highest monthly figure the protocol has recorded to date.
Robinhood Chain’s 53% slice works out to roughly $7.8 million. In other words, one network out-earned all of Uniswap’s other deployments combined.
The engine behind that surge was trading in tokenized stocks and other assets. Tokenized stocks are blockchain-based tokens designed to track the value of traditional equities, letting users trade them on-chain rather than through a conventional brokerage.
Why the fees were so rich
Uniswap’s average fee capture on Robinhood Chain sits at 0.465% per trade. Across Uniswap globally, the average is 0.214%.
Uniswap also dominated the chain’s trading flow. On September 1, 2026, Robinhood Chain processed $1.95 billion in total daily volume, and $1.75 billion of that ran through Uniswap’s liquidity pools.
How Uniswap got its foot in the door
Robinhood Chain is built on Arbitrum, one of the established Layer-2 networks that sit on top of Ethereum. Layer-2s batch transactions off the main chain to make trading cheaper and faster.
Uniswap was integrated as the chain’s primary automated market maker from day one. It deployed its full product lineup at launch: v2, v3, v4 and UniswapX.
Fee collection on Robinhood Chain did not begin immediately. Uniswap started collecting protocol fees on the network on July 27, 2026, nearly four weeks after launch.
The October cooldown
By early October 2026, daily transactions on Robinhood Chain had fallen by more than 40%. That signals a moderation in trading activity after September’s surge.
Concentration cuts both ways. The same dependence that powered the record could just as easily drag the next month’s figures lower.
What this means for Uniswap and DeFi
Tokenized stocks are generating fee capture well above Uniswap’s global average, which suggests traders in this asset class are willing to pay more per trade than typical crypto swappers.
A single chain supplying 53% of monthly revenue creates real concentration exposure, and the more than 40% drop in Robinhood Chain’s daily transactions shows how quickly early enthusiasm can cool.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Vivian Nguyen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.