A public bet, a missed 2025 call, and fresh scrutiny of his sourcing have made XRP influencer Jake Claver one of the most discussed figures in the community this week, even as he keeps doubling down on a triple-digit price thesis.
Jake Claver’s $100 XRP Bet
Jake Claver confirmed a public bet tied to his end-of-year XRP price prediction after being asked directly whether his forecasts were genuine or attention-driven. “Serious. I have a public bet on it,” Claver said, responding to a question asking whether his calls were sincere or made for reaction.
Critics Point to a Previous Miss
Not everyone is convinced. One crypto commentator said that Claver previously called for XRP to hit $1,000 by the end of 2025, a target that did not materialize, and argued Claver profits from generating engagement regardless of accuracy.
Trader ChartNerd broke down the math behind Claver’s current bet against an account referred to as Scam Detective, framing it in percentage terms. For XRP to fall back to $1 by year-end in Scams’ favor, the price would need to drop 26%. For Claver’s side of the bet to win, XRP would need to rise 7,420% by the end of the year.
ChartNerd also pointed to XRP’s 2026 price history as a broader warning to the community, arguing that XRP holders who take profits along the way, rather than holding out for $100 or $1,000 targets, tend to fare better long-term than those who hold through a full cycle.
Claver Responds With a Different Framing
Claver pushed back on the idea that success in XRP comes down to buying low or holding the biggest bag. “The XRP holders who will do best long-term are not necessarily those who bought at the lowest prices or hold the largest positions,” he said. “They’re the ones who built proper structures around their holdings before problems came up.”
Government Acquisition Claims Also Disputed
Crypto account ScamDetective also addressed ongoing community speculation about the U.S. government acquiring XRP, stating flatly that no such acquisition is expected beyond any XRP the government may already hold from prior asset confiscations.
Story Ends Here
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XRP is currently testing a key resistance level, with the latest price action unfolding just beneath the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $1.54. This level has caught the attention of technical analyst ChartNerd, who marks it as a pivotal barrier for the cryptocurrency as the weekly close draws near.
The significance of the 50-week EMAThe 50-week EMA is widely followed by traders as a trend indicator, with price action above or below this line often interpreted as a shift in market direction. ChartNerd’s analysis, which spans from November 2024 to August 2026, highlights that XRP previously reached a peak at $3.65 in mid-2025 before entering a prolonged period of decline.
The chart indicates that XRP recently rebounded from lows near $1, rallying up to the $1.54 resistance before stalling at this crucial point.
Previous attempt and warning signsA similar setup played out in January 2026. During that period, XRP managed to push above the 50-week EMA but failed to close above it by week’s end. Another unsuccessful attempt followed the next week, leading to a substantial drop and a flash crash in February. The subsequent downtrend extended for several months.
ChartNerd flagged early warning signals on August 23, cautioning that failure to close above the 50-week EMA would likely trigger a broader retracement, indicating that XRP was not out of danger. The forecast was realized as the asset resumed its downward trajectory, with broader market factors influencing the movement.
ChartNerd identified $1.54 as a critical resistance, emphasizing that another weekly close below the 50-week EMA could set off a deeper retracement for XRP. The analyst pointed to January’s rejection, adding that only a clean break and sustained move above $1.54 would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Mini dictionary: Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A technical indicator that gives more weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to new information than a simple moving average.
What analysts are watching nowChartNerd maintains that $1.54 remains the make-or-break level for XRP. The analyst warns that if the current weekly candle closes below the 50-week EMA for a second consecutive time, it would mirror the January pattern and likely lead to further declines. The “invalidation” point for this scenario is a definitive weekly close above $1.54, backed by sustained follow-through buying.
At the time the chart was published, XRP was trading at $1.4012, placing it below the pivotal EMA level. Last week, XRP traded as high as $1.68 before losing momentum and closing below the resistance. Traders are now monitoring the weekly close, as it is seen as a significant indicator of the next potential major move for the digital asset.
MetricCurrent ValueResistance LevelPrevious HighXRP Price$1.4012$1.54 (50-week EMA)$1.68 (intraweek), $3.65 (mid-2025 peak)Importance of the weekly closeTraders place significant emphasis on weekly closes, as they are considered more meaningful than brief intraweek price spikes. A close above $1.54 would indicate a possible shift in momentum in favor of bullish sentiment. Conversely, a second consecutive close below this level is viewed by analysts as confirmation of a bearish technical structure, with historical precedent suggesting potential for further downside movement.
If XRP closes above the 50-week EMA at $1.54, momentum could favor bulls. Otherwise, another close below this threshold may reinforce the risk of a continued downturn.
Many market watchers now await the week’s final print to determine whether XRP can escape its current resistance and establish a new trajectory, or if history will repeat with another move lower.
Ripple unlocked 1 billion XRP tokens as part of its regular monthly escrow release, according to blockchain tracker Whale Alert.
The move comes as XRP’s price shows renewed momentum but still struggles to fully break its recent downtrend.
What the September Unlock Actually MeansThree separate transactions released 500 million, 400 million, and 100 million XRP from Ripple-controlled escrow accounts. The release follows Ripple’s established mechanism, which allows up to 1 billion XRP to become available at the start of each month.
Ripple originally placed 55 billion XRP into escrow back in 2017. At the time, the company said any unused tokens would return to escrow for future releases.
As of August 31, roughly 32.28 billion XRP remained locked in Ripple’s on-ledger escrow, according to an on-chain tracker that calculates the balance directly from active XRPL escrow objects. After this latest unlock, that figure drops to approximately 31.14 billion XRP.
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Ripple’s September Unlock Releases 1 Billion XRP Tokens. Source: X/@whale_alertThat leaves roughly 31.28% of XRP’s fixed 100 billion maximum supply still locked inside Ripple’s escrow.
An unlock, however, does not mean Ripple actually sold 1 billion XRP. The company has historically re-escrowed a large portion of each monthly release, meaning tokens reaching the broader market tend to be far smaller than the headline figure suggests.
XRP’s Price Still Fighting for MomentumXRP currently trades near $1.36, falling 0.5% over the past 24 hours, though the token has fallen about 8.20% over the past week after nearly touching $1.70 in August.
The token has still climbed roughly 30.8% over the past 30 days and 14.5% over the last 90 days, though it remains under pressure on a year-to-date basis.
XRP Price Performance. Source: BeInCryptoLeveraged positions felt some pain during this stretch. More than $3.32 million worth of XRP positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with short liquidations accounting for roughly $1.19 million against about $2.13 million in long liquidations, according to Coinglass data.
The mismatch between short and long liquidations suggests bearish traders bore the brunt of recent volatility, even as XRP’s broader trend still lacks a decisive breakout.
Whether the token can build on its 30-day gains likely depends on demand absorbing this month’s escrow release without adding fresh selling pressure.
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A prediction by crypto commentator BarriC has sparked widespread discussion within the XRP community, suggesting that the cryptocurrency could experience an extraordinary price rise if history repeats itself. BarriC compared XRP’s rapid surge from $0.006 to $3 during the 2017–2018 bull run to its current situation. Based on this historical move, he calculated that applying the same scale of increase to XRP’s recent price near $1.38 would yield a potential target of $750.
Analysis of the 2017 rallyXRP’s rise between 2017 and 2018 remains notable as one of the most significant in its history. The token climbed from fractions of a cent to $3 within a comparatively brief period, primarily driven by retail speculation and a surge in overall cryptocurrency market activity. Analysts have noted that this rally was preceded by a lengthy consolidation phase.
Technical analyst ChartNerd has previously drawn parallels between XRP’s consolidation structure in 2016–2017 and its setup heading into 2026, referencing over 13 months of sideways price action that resemble the pre-rally phase seen before the previous breakout.
BarriC pointed to the previous price action: “A similar price rise for $XRP right now would be approximately $1.38 to $750.” He characterized this as a structural analysis rather than a guarantee.
This approach uses proportional math: the 2017/2018 rally delivered an estimated 500x return from the starting price. Multiplying the recent price of $1.38 by the same factor produces the $750 projection. BarriC clarified his observation as an exercise in historical symmetry, not a future promise.
Mini dictionary: BarriC is an independent crypto analyst known for sharing market commentary and historical comparisons, particularly on social media platforms.
BarriC’s projection has generated both support and skepticism among the XRP community. Some users expressed doubt, with one commenter noting that the current market structure differs significantly from 2017 and predicting a gradual rather than explosive move. Another participant outlined a more conservative plan, intending to sell XRP at $13 to $27.
Other commenters pointed to external factors like global events, such as US–Iran relations, as potential influences on future price action. Some agreed with BarriC’s bullish outlook, suggesting another large-scale rally could emerge.
XRP’s present positionXRP recently experienced a pullback from its highs near $3.65, posting several consecutive monthly declines. Ongoing downward pressure has led to increased caution among market participants.
An analyst described XRP as currently sitting within the “green area” of its long-term weekly uptrend, viewing the current price as similar to conditions before past breakout moves. This zone is considered by some traders as historically significant for possible trend reversals.
PeriodStarting PricePeak PriceMultiplier2017–2018$0.006$3~500xCurrently (projection)$1.38$750 (hypothetical)~500xThe $750 projection and market realitiesWhile the $750 figure is mathematically derived, achieving this level would require more than a 500x gain from present prices and elevate XRP’s total market capitalization well beyond that of Bitcoin. Most market analysts consider such an advance implausible within a single cycle.
Analyst Jake Claver also cited a $750 price target earlier this year, referencing statements by Monica Long, the president of Ripple, about full-scale institutional adoption in 2026. His comments drew skepticism, with many doubting the feasibility given the required market cap.
Ripple is a company specializing in blockchain-based payment solutions, and Monica Long currently serves as its president. The company’s XRP token is widely used in cross-border transactions, but ambitious price targets have regularly met with caution in the broader industry.
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The institutional landscape of the cryptocurrency market has reached an important milestone — Hyperliquid (HYPE) has officially joined the regulated Nasdaq CME Crypto Index alongside Bitcoin, XRP, and other leading digital assets.
The changes to the benchmark's composition took effect today following a scheduled quarterly rebalancing, as confirmed by an official supplement to the prospectus of the Hashdex Nasdaq CME Crypto Index ETF (NCIQ) filed with the SEC.
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The updated documentation revealed the exact weights of nine assets within the index. Bitcoin (74.36%) and Ethereum (11.88%) retain the largest shares. At the same time, HYPE debuted with a 3.36% weighting, coming close to Solana (3.79%) and surpassing all other participants.
Weekly price chart of Hashdex Nasdaq CME Crypto Index ETF (NCIQ), Source: TradingViewAgainst this backdrop, XRP firmly retained its status as the third-largest asset in the index with a 5.21% share — its slight decline occurred within the framework of standard market volatility, confirming the coin's resilient position in the face of a new strong competitor.
The remaining less than 1.5% of the fund is divided among Cardano, Chainlink, Stellar, and Bitcoin Cash.
How Hyperliquid's ETF foundation opened the token's path into an index with Bitcoin and XRPHyperliquid's inclusion in the Nasdaq CME index was driven by its strict compliance with the exchange's requirements for market capitalization, liquidity, and secure custody standards. This step is supported by developed infrastructure in the U.S. market.
Statistics from the SoSoValue platform as of September 1 show that the net asset value of spot HYPE ETFs reached $461.54 million, equivalent to 2.45% of the coin's market capitalization. By issuer, BlackRock's IBYH fund leads with $236.10 million in net assets, followed by Fidelity's FHYP with $138.59 million and 21Shares' THYP with $86.85 million.
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Combined net inflows into these spot funds reached $344.31 million, with a daily trading volume of $14.72 million, while the HYPE token itself was priced at $83.62 ahead of the rebalancing.
The fact that Hyperliquid has joined the Nasdaq CME index alongside Bitcoin, XRP, and other industry leaders changes the asset's distribution — buying the diversified Hashdex fund now automatically includes exposure to HYPE.
With the CLARITY Act vote roughly two weeks out, one crypto expert says the market is still trading in what he calls “pre-clarity mode,” a calm stretch he expects to give way to daily volatility once lawmakers actually vote.
What the Prediction Markets Are Saying
Checking prediction platform Kalshi, the expert walked through where traders currently see XRP landing by year-end. Odds that XRP finishes above $2 sit near 45%, meaning close to half the market expects the token to at least double from current levels.
Roughly 21% of traders are betting XRP clears $7 by year-end. He said the trade he finds most interesting sits somewhere above $4.50, a level he admitted “nobody expects” but wouldn’t rule out, adding he wouldn’t be shocked if XRP breaks its all-time high before the year closes. On the CLARITY Act itself, prediction markets currently price passage odds at roughly 45-50%.
Support Holding, Whales Reportedly Returning
XRP longs appear to be gaining confidence as price continues holding the $1.36 support floor, “by the skin of its teeth,” warning that a bigger volatility move looks imminent either way.
There was also a big jump in accumulation signals, reporting the metric surged to 90 out of 100, the highest reading since the recent short-term correction began.
September’s Historical Track Record
Adding a seasonal angle, September has historically been a decent month for XRP, with an average return of +12.19% and five green Septembers against three red ones since 2018, a track record he said tilts the odds bullish heading into the month.
Analyst Dark Defender added that August closed with a bullish green candle and that XRP is now breaking through initial resistance, a pattern he described as signaling a new upward impulse. He laid out a resistance ladder at $1.88, $4.11 and $5.85, with $7.07 marked as a longer-term target if momentum builds.
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Bitwise’s spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) for XRP has exceeded $507 million in assets under management (AUM), underscoring the growing appetite from institutional investors for regulated exposure to the token. Despite strong money flows into the ETF, XRP has faced resistance in maintaining its recent momentum in the broader market.
ETF inflows drive institutional interestBitwise is a leading digital asset manager, offering cryptocurrency-based investment products for both individual and institutional clients. During the last week, U.S. spot XRP funds registered nearly $110 million in new inflows. This surge marks a significant shift, as more investors prefer to gain exposure to XRP through regulated financial products instead of relying solely on cryptocurrency exchanges.
XRP’s rise in institutional adoption has given the asset a stronger narrative among large investors compared to earlier in the year. However, analysts cautioned that while increased ETF participation supports demand, it does not guarantee continued price appreciation—especially as derivatives traders scale back risk after a sharp rally.
At the end of August, XRP traded at approximately $1.36 to $1.37, well below the $1.70 resistance level some traders had anticipated. Over the course of August, XRP delivered a 37% gain, representing its strongest monthly performance since Ripple reached a settlement in its high-profile dispute with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Still, the token dropped about 7% in the following week, largely due to leveraged positions being unwound and declining buying activity.
XRP posted a 37% monthly gain in August—the best run since Ripple’s settlement with U.S. securities regulators. Nonetheless, the token saw a 7% dip over the previous week as market participants reduced risk and positive momentum weakened.
MetricValueReference PeriodXRP closing price$1.36–$1.37End of AugustResistance level tracked$1.70CurrentMonthly gain37%AugustWeekly decline7%Prior weekBitwise XRP ETF AUM$507 millionCurrentWeekly ETF inflows$110 millionCurrent weekXRP Ledger upgrade on the horizonAn upcoming XRP Ledger mainnet upgrade scheduled for September 11 has drawn attention in the community. The upgrade aims to enhance features related to vaults, decentralized automated market makers, and lending protocols. These changes are expected to improve the utility and sophistication of the ledger, particularly for institutional or advanced use cases.
Despite these planned technical upgrades, many traders have focused primarily on ETF-driven momentum instead of developments on the XRP Ledger. Market participants indicate that the effectiveness of the upgrade will be evaluated once it is in place, potentially serving as a new catalyst or a test for the ongoing rally in XRP.
Mini dictionary: XRP Ledger mainnet upgrade, a scheduled update improving network infrastructure with features such as vaults, automated market makers (AMMs), and lending protocols, aiming to expand the ledger’s appeal for institutional adoption and advanced use cases.
Short-term outlook and key themesSeveral analysts emphasize that, while capital inflows to funds have supported XRP, short-term risks remain. The recent retreat in price, following the best monthly rally since the end of the SEC case, suggests a cautious approach among leveraged traders and large holders.
Ongoing debates include the paths for XRP to reclaim higher price levels, with some market participants discussing possible rallies to $4 or even $7, but with significant caveats related to market sentiment and technical resistance. The upcoming mainnet upgrade could alter trading dynamics as the effectiveness and adoption of new ledger features become clearer.
The evolving institutional narrative, continued product innovation, and sustained ETF inflows may shape the next phase for XRP in the months ahead.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has put forward its most extensive update of transfer-agent regulations in decades, aiming to bring blockchain-based recordkeeping and tokenized securities into regulatory oversight. This proposed framework marks a shift from rules largely designed during the paper certificate era to one that reflects modern digital practices.
Proposal Targets Blockchain RecordkeepingAnnounced on September 1, the SEC’s plan seeks to update the guidelines and documentation for registered transfer agents. These agents are responsible for maintaining official securities ownership records and overseeing the issuance, transfer, and cancellation of securities.
SEC Chairman Paul Atkins stated that the overhaul is designed to accommodate operational advancements, including the use of distributed ledger technology in securities offerings and share management. The fact sheet clarifies that the proposal would formally recognize both electronic and blockchain-based records, as well as securities without physical certificates.
Commissioner Hester Peirce has highlighted the growing interest among market participants in the tokenization of shares, urging discussion around whether transfer agent regulations should support on-chain trading of these securities. She suggested that digital-wallet addresses could be considered alongside current shareholder identifiers.
The SEC did not endorse the XRP Ledger or any specific blockchain network. Instead, the proposed rules emphasize technology-neutral requirements, aiming to enable blockchain-native securities operations to function within established market expectations.
Comments on the SEC proposal are open for 60 days following its publication in the Federal Register. The rule remains at the proposal stage and has not been formally adopted.
Mini dictionary: Transfer Agent, a regulated entity that maintains official securities ownership records for companies, processes transfers, cancellations, and the issuance of new securities.
Ripple and Institutional Tokenization EffortsThe timing of the SEC’s proposal is notable for XRP investors, as Ripple continues to expand in institutional tokenization markets. Ripple operates as a payments and enterprise blockchain technology company, and develops the XRP Ledger (XRPL), a decentralized, open-source blockchain for settlement and asset issuance.
Ripple recently announced a partnership with SettleMint to integrate Ripple Custody services with tokenized asset management for regulated institutions in the Asia-Pacific region. This integration supports the complete tokenization cycle, including issuance, compliance, settlement, and servicing for institutional investors.
Earlier initiatives include Aviva Investors’ launch of a tokenized liquidity-fund share class using XRPL, as well as a Ripple, Mastercard, Ondo, and JPMorgan pilot that utilized XRPL for tokenized U.S. Treasury redemption. Ripple has also made investments in ZILO and Licuido to develop infrastructure supporting issuance, transfer agency, and collateral movement.
These steps underline Ripple’s ongoing push to strengthen capital markets infrastructure for digital assets.
XRP Price and Institutional ParticipationDespite the regulatory news, XRP’s price has stayed relatively stable. The cryptocurrency recently traded at $1.38, up 0.3% over the past 24 hours. Its market capitalization was about $86.4 billion, though it remained down 6.4% over the last week.
MetricCurrent ValueChangeXRP Price$1.38+0.3% (24h)XRP Market Cap$86.4 billion-6.4% (7d)Institutional exposure to XRP is growing separately from retail price movements. U.S. spot XRP ETF inflows have reached nearly $1.8 billion, and Goldman Sachs has disclosed approximately $87.4 million in XRP ETF holdings, making it the largest known institutional investor in this category.
XRP Ledger and associated products are advancing in the regulated asset tokenization sector, even as the SEC considers updating its rules to address blockchain-based recordkeeping. The proposed regulatory changes demonstrate an official recognition of market infrastructure shifting toward blockchain technology.
The SEC’s proposal does not assign any special regulatory treatment to XRPL but indicates that core securities recordkeeping and transfer mechanisms in the U.S. may increasingly incorporate blockchain technology. For companies like Ripple and ecosystems supporting regulated tokenized assets, this represents a significant step forward.
Ripple has returned 200 million XRP, worth roughly $272 million at current prices, back into its escrow system. The transaction, flagged by blockchain tracker Whale Alert, is part of the company’s recurring monthly ritual of unlocking and then re-locking the vast majority of its token reserves.
How Ripple’s escrow machine works The escrow system dates back to December 2017, when Ripple deposited 55 billion XRP into a series of time-locked smart contracts. The mechanism was designed to address a very specific concern: that Ripple, which controls a huge chunk of XRP’s total 100 billion token supply, might flood the market and crater the price.
Each month, a maximum of 1 billion XRP becomes eligible for release. The unlocks typically happen in tranches on the first of the month. Recent releases have followed a pattern of 500 million, 400 million, and 100 million XRP batches.
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But the unlock is only half the story. Historically, Ripple re-locks between 600 million and 800 million XRP back into escrow within days of the release. That means the net amount actually entering potential circulation each month lands somewhere between 200 million and 300 million XRP.
The shrinking escrow balance As of September 1, 2026, approximately 31.28 billion XRP remained locked in escrow, representing about 31% of the total supply. That’s a significant drop from the original 55 billion deposited nearly nine years ago. Simple math puts the average net monthly decrease at roughly 221 million XRP since the program began.
Where does the XRP that doesn’t return to escrow actually go? Ripple has consistently stated that these tokens fund its operations, fuel partnerships, and power its On-Demand Liquidity solutions, the cross-border payment product that uses XRP as a bridge currency. There has been no reported evidence of immediate large-scale exchange sales directly tied to the monthly unlocks.
Why the market mostly shrugs at these events Every month, crypto Twitter lights up with Whale Alert notifications about Ripple’s escrow activity. And every month, the market reaction is approximately nothing. The contracts are automated. The schedule is public. The re-locking pattern is well-documented over years of data. Market participants have long since priced the monthly cycle into their models.
Ripple CTO Emeritus David Schwartz has repeatedly emphasized that the escrow mechanism exists specifically to create predictability and transparency around XRP supply dynamics.
At roughly 200 to 300 million XRP per month entering potential circulation, the annual dilution rate is modest relative to the overall supply of 100 billion tokens.
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XRP is drawing renewed attention from analysts as anticipation grows for a potential breakout after weeks of sideways price action. Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto, a social media commentator known for technical analysis, has highlighted a series of price levels that could signal a sharp upward move if crossed in the coming days.
Technical signals on the 8-hour chartIn his recent analysis, Steph points to the consolidation seen on XRP’s 8-hour chart following a significant rally. He identifies the current structure as forming a bull flag or bull pennant, which he views as a classic continuation pattern in technical analysis.
Steph emphasizes $1.43 as the most important resistance for traders to watch. He asserts that two consecutive 4-hour closes above this level would act as confirmation of a breakout. Should this occur, his immediate target is $2.10, which would represent a 56% increase from current price levels.
On the chart, the structure looks like a bull flag and, typically, that’s a continuation pattern. Closing above $1.43 on two 4-hour candles would confirm the breakout, and I expect a move toward $2.10.
Conversely, Steph highlights $1.30 as the key downside level. He describes this as “the level that should hold at all costs,” warning that any drop below could pave the way for a deeper correction. However, his primary scenario remains bullish unless $1.30 is lost.
Weekly timeframe and long-term targetsLooking at the broader picture, Steph observes that XRP has been stuck in a compression pattern since the start of the bear market in July last year. A large weekly candle has recently broken above this structure, which he interprets as a significant shift in market momentum.
Within this longer timeframe, Steph identifies the top of a falling wedge pattern at about $3.68. While he cautions that reaching this price is not expected in a single move, he does believe XRP has the potential to set a new all-time high before year end if bullish momentum continues.
Mini dictionary: Bull flag / pennant – A technical chart pattern observed after a strong upward move, typically indicating consolidation before a continuation of the trend.
Retail sentiment and market dynamicsSteph highlights retail traders’ behavior as a key factor in the current opportunity. He notes that, after XRP spiked near $1.70 last week, many retail participants exited the market. Since then, with trading volumes muted and focus shifting elsewhere, the consolidation has continued largely unnoticed.
Retail gave up after the initial rally to $1.70 and left the market. While attention remains low, the chance for a significant move is only growing.
He argues that this lack of retail participation may allow those remaining to benefit more if a breakout unfolds.
Crucial levels to watchThe primary focus of Steph’s analysis rests firmly on two price levels. Confirmation of a bullish breakout requires XRP to sustain above $1.43, which could spark considerable upward momentum toward $2.10. On the other hand, any retracement below $1.30 could undermine the positive setup and signal a change in trend direction.
Key LevelImplicationShort-term Target if Broken$1.43 (upside)Confirms breakout$2.10$1.30 (downside)Critical supportOpens risk of larger dropSteph concludes that XRP’s decisive move could arrive soon, urging observers to monitor these levels for the next significant development.
XRP has exhibited a repeating market pattern over recent years, according to chart analysis shared by crypto analyst Thea Grace X. Reviewing price history from 2017 and projecting through 2028, Grace outlined a distinct cycle across major bull runs. In each case, XRP first reached a significant peak, followed by a sharp pullback, then a temporary rally she characterizes as a bull trap, before finally declining further to a key support area she terms the “launchpad.”
The bull trap phaseGrace observed that past market cycles for XRP included a deceptive rally following the initial decline, which often appeared to signal recovery. Instead, these counter-trend rallies resulted in new lows. In 2018, XRP’s bull trap retraced 103.78%. The 2021 cycle produced a retracement of 176.42%, and in the most recent cycle, XRP has already seen a 72.79% retracement.
XRP recently surged more than 50% in just 65 hours, with the total upward move exceeding 70%. Grace classified this rebound as consistent with previous bull trap phases. She emphasized that XRP “is still in that phase” and further noted, “We’re not at the launchpad yet.”
Every XRP bull run began from the same launchpad. Each correction produced fake bottoms that resembled bull traps. The cycle completed only after the range broke and the real bottom formed. XRP remains in that corrective stage, not yet at the launchpad level.
The $0.50 launchpad and price outlookGrace identified the launchpad area near $0.50, a level XRP has not seen since its dramatic surge of 500% in late 2024. Current prices remain well above that proposed support, implying that a further drop would be necessary to reach the accumulation zone highlighted in her charts. In both previous cycles, XRP only began a strong new uptrend after a significant retracement to the base of the range, marked visually by green accumulation zones.
Her analysis suggests the current sharp rally represents a transitional stage. While the bull trap appears strong, she indicated that history points to lower levels forming before any durable recovery can begin.
Historical structure shows that each prior XRP advance required a full retracement to the launchpad area. These accumulation regions set the stage for major breakouts but required patience during periods of decline.
Potential opportunity for buyersShould XRP fall back toward the $0.50 launchpad, Grace sees this as a potential long-term buying opportunity. Other market analysts have presented less severe downside targets, with some not expecting a drop below $0.65. However, Grace argued that only a deeper move to the $0.50 zone would complete the pattern seen in earlier cycles.
If the corrective structure plays out as before, a decline of this magnitude could shake out many speculative investors, but also provide an attractive entry point for those seeking exposure ahead of a possible new rally. Previous launchpad formations occurred before the largest percentage moves in XRP’s history; the 2018 launchpad was followed by a 10x gain, while the 2020 structure preceded the 2021 bull run peak.
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TLDR: XRP reserves on Binance dropped from 3.1 billion to 2.6 billion tokens since November 2025. Roughly 500 million XRP left Binance even as the XRP price fell 63% from its 2025 peak level. The launch of spot XRP ETFs in late 2025 may have driven part of the reserve outflow seen. XRP trades near $1.34, consolidating between its 20-week EMA and 50-week EMA resistance levels. XRP reserves on Binance have declined to levels last seen in February 2024, according to on-chain data. Roughly 500 million XRP have left the exchange over the past year.
The outflow persisted even as the XRP price fell from a high of $3.66 to near $1.35, marking a 63% drawdown. Analysts point to long-term accumulation and the launch of spot XRP ETFs as possible drivers behind the shrinking reserves.
Binance XRP Reserves Fall to Multi-Year Low The monthly average of XRP reserves held on Binance has fallen sharply since late 2025. Between November 2025 and today, that average dropped from 3.1 billion to 2.6 billion XRP.
This represents an outflow of roughly 500 million tokens. Analyst Darkfost tracked this movement closely on social media this week.
Darkfost observed that Binance reserves tend to rise during XRP price rebounds. Reserves then decline again during each following retracement, based on the data reviewed.
🗞️ 500 Million XRP Have left Binance as reserves shrink to levels not seen since 2024
While XRP closed the month with a performance of nearly 30%, XRP reserves on Binance continue to decline.
The monthly average of XRP reserves held on Binance has now reached such a low level… pic.twitter.com/Ox9KPwCxPg
— Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) September 1, 2026
This pattern suggests some investors move tokens off exchanges during downturns. It may reflect a growing preference for self-custody among holders.
The reserve decline also lines up with the launch of spot XRP ETFs. Those products debuted in November and December of 2025.
ETF issuers may have needed to acquire XRP on the open market. That buying pressure could account for part of the recorded outflow.
Exchanges also shift reserves based on routine withdrawal and deposit activity. Some of the decline may reflect operational adjustments rather than pure accumulation.
Still, the scale of the movement points to more than short-term noise. Sustained reserve outflows are often viewed as a constructive long-term signal.
XRP Price Tests Support Near Key Moving Averages XRP traded at $1.34 at the time of writing, down 2.85% over the past day. Trading volume reached close to $1.95 billion during that same period.
Source: CoinGecko
The token has also fallen 8.10% over the past seven days. That pullback comes despite XRP posting close to 30% gains for the month.
Trader ChartNerd pointed to two recent rejections at the 50-week EMA near $1.53. That level has served as resistance on recent attempts to move higher.
The 20-week EMA, currently around $1.27, could act as support. A break below $1.36 on lower timeframes may bring that level into play.
Zooming out; after two rejections at the 50 week EMA ($1.53), $XRP's 20 week EMA ($1.27) could also act as a local support floor for if lower timeframe support is lost at $1.36. It's relatively common to crab/compress between these EMA's before a directional break is confirmed.… https://t.co/cc9NXvLkZ7 pic.twitter.com/yDO85KXUBT
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) September 1, 2026
Price compression between two moving averages often precedes a directional breakout. Traders watching XRP reserves and price action call this pattern fairly common.
XRP appears to be consolidating within this broader range for now. A confirmed move beyond either average would likely draw fresh trader attention.
Falling XRP reserves alongside price consolidation create a mixed near-term picture. Reserve trends tend to carry more weight over longer time horizons than daily swings.
Traders continue watching the $1.27 to $1.53 range for the next signal. How XRP reserves evolve from here may shape sentiment into the next quarter.
XRP reserves held on Binance have dropped sharply, reaching their lowest point since February 2024. Recent on-chain data show a decline of nearly 500 million tokens over the past year, with reserves falling from 3.1 billion in November 2025 to just 2.6 billion at the start of September 2026.
Reserves decline as ETFs launch and self-custody risesDuring this period, XRP’s price fell by 63%, sliding from a high of $3.66 to around $1.34. Despite the steep price drop, the reduction in reserve holdings on Binance continued, suggesting that the outflow was not directly tied to price performance.
Analyst Darkfost, who tracks XRP flows closely, highlighted on social media that Binance’s XRP reserves rise when the token rebounds in price but tend to decrease as corrections set in. This pattern has been consistent in recent quarters.
Darkfost noted that while XRP closed the month with close to 30% gains, reserves at Binance continued to dwindle, falling to multi-year lows despite improved price action.
Some analysts attribute part of the outflow to the launch of spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in late 2025. These investment vehicles may have prompted issuers to purchase large amounts of XRP on the open market, reducing the pool of tokens kept on exchanges.
A portion of the reserve decline may also reflect shifting preferences among holders. Many investors are moving coins off exchanges into self-custody solutions, limiting their exposure to third-party risk.
Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, frequently adjusts reserve levels based on user withdrawals and deposits, as well as broader operational needs.
Mini dictionary: Spot XRP ETF, an investment fund that holds XRP and is listed on a regulated exchange, allowing investors to gain price exposure without direct custody of the cryptocurrency.
Consistent net outflows from exchange reserves are commonly perceived as a long-term bullish indicator, especially if driven by strong investor accumulation or growing institutional interest.
PeriodBinance XRP ReservesXRP Price HighXRP Price (now)Nov 20253.1 billion$3.66—Sep 20262.6 billion—$1.34XRP price trades within key moving average rangeXRP currently trades near $1.34, reflecting a 2.85% daily decline and an 8.1% loss over the past week. However, despite shorter-term volatility, XRP gained nearly 30% for the month, signaling renewed interest after a prolonged downtrend.
Technical analyst ChartNerd identified resistance at the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) near $1.53. Several attempts to surpass this level were rejected, capping upside momentum for now.
Support appears to be holding near the 20-week EMA around $1.27. Should XRP break below $1.36, traders are watching for a move closer to this lower band.
ChartNerd observed that XRP has been “compressing” between the 20-week and 50-week EMA, a setup that often precedes a sharp move in either direction.
Trading volume for XRP was just under $2 billion in the past 24 hours. Many market participants are closely monitoring the ongoing exchange reserve outflows alongside this price consolidation.
Some traders argue that longer-term exchange reserve trends tend to be more significant for price discovery than short-term swings. The direction of reserves into the next quarter may help shape broader sentiment and trading dynamics for XRP.
Ripple has re-locked 700 million XRP into escrow after releasing 1 billion tokens through its scheduled monthly process. The transactions show 500 million and 200 million XRP returning to escrow following the earlier release.
The two re-locked batches were worth about $952 million combined, based on transaction values reported by Whale Alert. Meanwhile, the XRP price has fallen about 3% to $1.34 as the broader crypto market faces renewed selling pressure.
Ripple Re-Locks 700 Million XRP After Monthly Release According to blockchain tracker Whale Alert, Ripple has locked 500 million XRP, valued near $680.2 million, back into escrow. A separate transaction has placed another 200 million XRP, worth about $272 million, into escrow.
XRPL transaction data shared by community validator Vet also identifies two EscrowCreate transactions covering the same amounts. The transactions account for 700 million XRP returned to Ripple’s escrow system.
The activity has followed Ripple’s regular monthly release of 1 billion XRP. The earlier unlock occurred through three transactions containing 500 million, 400 million, and 100 million tokens.
Before the subsequent re-lock transactions, the release had reduced Ripple’s remaining on-chain escrow balance to about 31.28 billion XRP. That amount represents roughly 31.28% of XRP’s original 100 billion token supply.
What Happened to the Remaining 300 Million XRP? The transaction sequence leaves a net 300 million XRP outside the newly created escrow contracts. Vet described that amount as typical for Ripple’s monthly escrow process and identified it in a Ripple-controlled wallet.
Some social media reports have claimed that Ripple re-locked the entire 1 billion XRP release. However, the two XRPL transactions cited by Vet account for 700 million XRP.
Ripple has been using its escrow system to manage scheduled XRP releases for several years. Unused portions of monthly releases can be placed into new escrow contracts with later release dates.
The mechanism makes the scheduled supply available on-chain, although an unlock does not mean all released tokens enter exchanges. Re-locking part of the amount removes those tokens from the immediately available supply again.
XRP Price Falls With Broader Crypto Market XRP price has dropped about 3% to $1.34 at press time, according to CoinMarketCap. The decline is occurring alongside a wider cryptocurrency sell-off rather than directly following the escrow transactions alone.
Bitcoin has fallen below $77,000 as markets react to escalating tensions between the United States and Iran. The broader decline has also created selling pressure across several major crypto assets.
Meanwhile, crypto lawyer Bill Morgan has disputed claims that Ripple’s regular escrow distributions directly caused XRP price declines. He said XRP has been falling alongside Bitcoin and broader crypto market sentiment.
XRP price traded near $1.37 on September 1 as rising Treasury yields reduced investor appetite for riskier assets.
The overall market continued its pullback, with Bitcoin price in a $77,000 range and Ethereum staying above $2,400. XRP price saw inflows from strong spots in the ETF sector, but this demand was not sufficient to offset bond market pressure.
Can Record XRP ETF Inflows Prevent a Decline Toward $1.30? US spot XRP funds saw their highest weekly inflow at $110.49 million in the week that ended Aug. 28. Total inflows were at $1.67 billion, representing demand in brokerage accounts
On August 31, the daily inflows amounted to $5.64 million, with new capital focused in two products. Canary’s XRPC raised $4.71 million, and Bitwise was able to raise approximately $930,000 in the session.
Sosovalue data There was uneven activity among available funds, with Franklin, 21Shares, and Grayscale seeing none of the participation in terms of new capital.
Bitwise led with $507.23 million, followed by Franklin at $370.02 million and Canary at $341.60 million.
Combined assets reached $1.45 billion, representing 1.67% of XRP’s roughly $85 billion market value. That share limits funds’ ability to counter pressure from rates, liquidity, and derivatives activity.
The ten-year Treasury yield approached 4.80%, its highest level since January 2025. Higher government returns can pull capital from cryptocurrencies because bonds offer attractive income with lower risk.
CLARITY Act Countdown Begins as September 15 Senate Vote Approaches Senator Kevin Cramer said the CLARITY Act has a strong chance of advancing during the September 15 vote. He also claimed some Democratic resistance reflects concerns that passage could benefit President Donald Trump.
Still, legislators continue to disagree on crypto ethics, stablecoin incentives and the safeguard of DeFi platforms. Those disagreements could complicate efforts to secure the 60 votes required for cloture.
CLARITY Act Faces Three Big Fights Before Senate Vote
The CLARITY Act faces pressure over crypto ethics, stablecoin rewards, and DeFi protections.
Those disputes could make the 60 votes needed for cloture harder to secure.
Kalshi traders still price a 91% chance of a Senate… pic.twitter.com/WUoiHrUY74
— BSCN (@BSCNews) September 1, 2026
Kalshi participants assigned a 91% probability to a Senate vote before October as of August 31. Polymarket traders offered only a 13% chance that the legislation becomes law during 2026.
Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Commission proposed rules supporting blockchain use within securities transactions. The development suggests regulatory adoption could progress even while Congress debates comprehensive market structure legislation.
Can XRP Price Hold $1.30 Support Level XRP price slipped 1.38% to $1.3592 on September 1, extending its pullback from August’s recovery. The token moved below $1.38, which had supported prices during late August consolidation.
A sustained close below $1.34 could expose the $1.30 support level. Further weakness may open a decline toward $1.20 if broader risk appetite continues deteriorating.
The relative strength index stood at 39.56, placing momentum below neutral territory without entering oversold conditions. Meanwhile, the MACD line registered -0.0088, compared with its signal line near minus 0.0090.
Source: XRP/USDT 4-hour chart: TradingView A recovery above $1.38 could reopen the route toward $1.50, the first significant resistance area. A decisive break beyond $1.50 may bring $1.60 into focus, where stronger selling previously appeared.
XRP must reclaim $1.38 and defend that level before its short-term structure improves. The continued inflows into the ETFs will offer support, but reductions in Treasury yields will be key for a lasting recovery.
Pi Network price hovered near $0.0917 on September 1, 2026, after a week of consolidation, with Pi eyeing $0.20 this month
Bitcoin traded below $78,000, whereas Ethereum and XRP hovered at about $2,420 and $1.35, respectively. This drawback held speculative tokens back as investors moved into September with wary anticipations. The future of PI is now pegged on two stimulators which are planned around September 15.
Protocol 27 Could Strengthen Mainnet Utility Protocol 27 is targeted for September 15, following Protocol 26’s completion during August. The last scheduled improvement is the implementation of flexible smart-contract authentication of accounts, applications and complex transaction approvals.
This may facilitate multisignature controls, conditional payments and safer decentralized applications throughout the open mainnet. Nonetheless, the successful deployment can be insufficient to generate long-lasting demand of PI.
🚨🔥 SEPTEMBER IS HERE, PIONEERS! AND IT COULD BE A BIG ONE FOR PI! 💜🚀
Happy new month, Pioneers! 🎉
The countdown has officially begun, and September is shaping up to be a month worth watching closely for Pi Network and the wider crypto space. 👀🔥
📅 September 15th could… pic.twitter.com/Vmn7Mb1O2v
— drealFx || π 🕊 (@okere_eberechi) September 1, 2026
The developers have to launch helpful services that will generate traffic, fees and recurrence. The utility case would be reinforced by the independent AI growth by Pi.
App Studio enables nontechnical users to build blockchain-enabled applications via generative AI, whereas Pi Desktop enables AI agents locally hosted. Pi Desktop extends beyond blockchain infrastructure with the addition of SoloHost, such as OpenClaw.
CLARITY Act Vote Adds a Regulatory Catalyst The cloture vote of September 15 by the Senate will determine whether the CLARITY Act can proceed to full debate. This is a procedural obstacle, not a final passage and the supporters require 60 votes.
The bill would establish token status, regulatory oversight, and company obligations of digital-asset firms. An effective vote would enhance industry confidence as it would minimise the uncertainty regarding the United States crypto rules.
An ongoing conflict of ethical issues, anti-money-laundering regulations, and stablecoin incentives. Since the two events have a single date, volatility may be elevated prior to the establishment of certain results.
Can Pi Network Price Rally To $0.20 In September 2026? Achieving $0.20 in September can still be possible, yet market indicators make it a challenging situation. Long-term Pi projection should close above $0.0940, and then turn $0.10 into reliable support.
A breakout will reveal $0.1089, and then the 200-day exponential moving average is falling around $0.1486. That average would be cleared with growing volume, and would build targets at $0.15, $0.18, and ultimately at $0.20.
That target would otherwise be very speculative without that confirmation. The daily RSI is approximately at 51.8, a bit above neutral, with positive momentum and no overbought pressure. The MACD line has risen to 0.00049, while its signal line moved above zero.
Source: PI/USDT 4-hour chart: TradingView Bullish confirmation would involve long-term closes above $0.10 and increased trading volume following both catalysts. Any rejection less than $0.0901 may take Pi Network price back to $0.0879, where the more substantial support will be at $0.0834.
Iran’s key energy hub port was attacked by the US military
According to Iran's Fars News Agency, an explosion was heard at Asaluyeh Port, a key energy hub on Iran's Persian Gulf coast, on the evening of September 1 local time.
2 hours ago
Global crypto liquidations totaled $166 million over the past 4 hours, with long positions accounting for the majority of liquidations.
According to Coinglass data, the global crypto market recorded $166 million in liquidations over the past four hours, including $151 million in long positions and $15.147 million in short positions. Over the past 24 hours, a total of 83,109 traders worldwide were liquidated, with total liquidation volume reaching $309 million. The largest single liquidation order occurred on Binance’s ETHUSDT pair, valued at $11.9946 million.
2 hours ago
Iran has launched strikes on U.S. military bases, and threatened Bahrain and Kuwait, saying "the gifts are on the way".
Iran's military said it will no longer exercise restraint toward Bahrain and Kuwait, adding that "the gifts are on the way." The warning came after the U.S. launched strikes targeting Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), following accusations that Iran had attacked shipping vessels and U.S. military forces. U.S. President Donald Trump has warned that any retaliatory action by Iran would trigger a more intense U.S. attack. Iran's Fars News Agency reported that Iran has fired missiles and drones at enemy positions.
Beating AI News Flash: Anthropic has launched its new AI model, Fable 5.1, claiming it delivers better performance in programming and scientific tasks while being more cost-effective. For programming, Fable 5.1 excels at handling long, complex tasks such as software project development, code reviews, and complex scenarios involving full application code. Its scientific capabilities have also been enhanced, covering experimental design, simulation of experimental results, and reading complex charts and data tables. On the cost front, token pricing for enterprise users remains the same as Fable 5, but the cost of the model reusing processed information is cut by 75%. This part can account for over half of token usage in long-text, complex tasks, so the price reduction is expected to significantly lower overall operational costs. In terms of security, Fable 5.1 features an upgraded classifier that identifies risky instructions more accurately with fewer false positives, enabling more efficient use by users in cybersecurity and biology fields. Additionally, Anthropic plans to allow enterprise customers to store data from its most powerful models in their own cloud infrastructure instead of Anthropic’s servers, while continuing to enforce security checks.
According to HTX market data, the overall cryptocurrency market has continued to decline, likely impacted by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Bitcoin has fallen below $77,000, while Ethereum has dropped below $2,400. In related news, the U.S. Air Force struck Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz today, followed by Iran launching missiles and drones at U.S. military positions.
2 hours ago
WTI and Brent crude oil rallied in the short term, with WTI crude prices breaking above $89 per barrel.
According to Bitget market data, US and Brent crude oil prices saw a short-term rally. WTI crude broke above $89 per barrel, up 4.22% intraday, while Brent crude rose to touch $94 per barrel, gaining 4.07% on the day. On the news front, Iran has launched missiles and drones at enemy positions.
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Arch Lending now accepts PAX Gold and Tether Gold as collateral, opening credit access to a class of investors that have largely sat outside digital-asset lending.
As gold’s recent run higher has renewed interest in the metal as a store of value, Arch Lending, the alternative-asset lending platform operated by ChainFi, Inc, today began accepting PAX Gold (PAXG) and Tether Gold (XAUT) as loan collateral at starting loan-to-value ratios of up to 75%.
Borrowing Against Gold Is Already Happening Demand for credit against tokenized gold is documented rather than theoretical. On January 29, 2026, Aave governance data showed $24.99 million in outstanding debt against a $25 million isolated debt ceiling for Tether Gold, effectively full utilization, with the ceiling raised repeatedly in the following weeks as borrowing continued to fill available capacity.
That activity took place on a decentralized, DeFi protocol, at variable rates, without fiat funding or a regulated custodian. Arch Lending is the first institutional-grade lender to offer the same underlying trade through a regulated, custodial structure: fixed 12-month terms, funding in dollars or USDC, and eligible collateral custodied by Anchorage Digital, a federally chartered bank.
PAXG, issued by Paxos Trust Company, represents one fine troy ounce of gold from an LBMA-accredited London Good Delivery bar held in Brink’s vaults. XAUT, issued by TG Commodities Limited, represents one fine troy ounce from a London Good Delivery bar held in Swiss custody. Together they account for the overwhelming majority of a category that generated $90.7 billion in spot trading volume in the first quarter of 2026, according to CoinGecko, surpassing the $84.64 billion recorded across the whole of 2025.
A New Class of Borrower Arch Lending is targeting a profile that has largely sat outside crypto lending: gold investors, wealth advisors, commodities traders, family offices, and corporate treasuries with existing precious-metals allocations.
“We’re seeing real demand from advisors and family offices with a gold sleeve who have never borrowed against it, because the process was slow and usually ended in a sale,” said Himanshu Sahay, Co-Founder and CTO of Arch Lending. “Tokenization fixed the plumbing. Credit is the part that makes it worth doing.”
Terms Loans start at $250,000, generally with 12-month terms. Rates for monthly-payment loans begin at 9.25% APR between $250,000 and $750,000, comprising 8.50% interest and a 0.75% origination fee, falling to 7.25% APR above $5 million. Rates and fees are subject to applicable state requirements.
$250,000 minimum loan size Up to 75% initial LTV 85% margin-call threshold 90% liquidation threshold Generally 12-month loan structures USD or USDC funding No credit score is used for loan approval. Eligibility requirements apply. No prepayment penalties 24-hour cure window Partial-only liquidation Eligible collateral custodied by Anchorage Digital N.A., which maintains $100 million of insurance coverage through Lloyd’s of London No rehypothecation PAXG and XAUT now sit alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP within Arch Lending’s collateral set, extending Arch Lending’s core Bitcoin-backed platform into a multi-asset credit ecosystem built around premier stores of value.
About Arch Lending Arch Lending is a U.S.-based lending platform that lets holders of alternative assets borrow against their holdings without selling. Supporting Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, PAX Gold, and Tether Gold as collateral.
Ripple teamed up with SettleMint Tuesday to simplify digital asset custody and tokenization for banks across Asia Pacific, as XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) ETF inflows hit $1.8 billion.
What the Ripple and SettleMint Partnership CoversAccording to a joint press release Tuesday, the partnership connects Ripple Custody with SettleMint’s Digital Asset Lifecycle Platform, giving banks and fintechs one system to issue, manage, and operate tokenized assets from start to finish.
Previously, institutions had to piece together separate vendors for custody, issuance, compliance, and servicing. Now all of that runs through a single integrated solution.
“This partnership gives them the foundation to roll out digital assets and future-proof them from there,” said Fiona Murray, Ripple’s Managing Director for Asia Pacific.
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The two companies have already started offering the combined solution in Asia and plan to expand to other markets as demand grows.
The partnership arrives as a Boston Consulting Group report from May 2026 projected tokenized real-world assets could reach $88 trillion by 2035, warning that banks failing to adapt face a potential 30% profit reduction over the same period.
Why XRP ETF Flows Are Drawing AttentionBloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart posted on X Tuesday that XRP ETF flows have been “surprisingly resilient,” with money mostly moving in one direction since launch and cumulative net inflows now sitting at approximately $1.8 billion.
He called the performance particularly impressive given XRP’s price action over the same stretch.
Meanwhile, institutional ownership is building alongside the flow momentum, with Goldman Sachs leading all holders at roughly $87.45 million in XRP ETF exposure, a position that grew by more than 83 million XRP last quarter.
Jane Street Group and Millennium Management follow at approximately $16.6 million and $16.2 million respectively.
XRP Price Prediction: Breakout Levels and TargetsRead Next
Image: Shutterstock
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Ripple is bolstering its presence in the Asia Pacific region by integrating its Ripple Custody service with SettleMint’s Digital Asset Lifecycle Platform, enabling regulated financial institutions to issue, secure, and manage tokenized assets within a streamlined system.
Unified digital asset management for institutionsThe collaboration was announced on September 1 and aims to provide banks and other financial institutions in APAC with an end-to-end solution for tokenized asset operations. By combining Ripple Custody—a platform focused on secure asset storage and governance—with SettleMint’s DALP, the partnership creates a unified stack that eliminates the need for separate workflows for tokenization, custody, and transaction controls.
SettleMint’s DALP is designed to handle every stage in the digital asset lifecycle, including issuance, compliance processes, settlement, and ongoing servicing. Integrating this platform with Ripple’s established custody infrastructure is intended to simplify the often fragmented technology stacks used by institutional players in the digital asset market.
SettleMint’s DALP allows regulated institutions to manage the entire journey of tokenized assets, while Ripple Custody offers a robust security and governance layer, giving banks a more seamless solution for entering the digital markets.
Both companies have already established an institutional client base in the Asia Pacific, with Ripple Custody serving South Korea-based BDACS and SettleMint operating in markets such as Singapore and Japan. This results in a partnership that addresses actual commercial needs, rather than being a limited pilot or technology demonstration.
Strengthening Ripple’s institutional pushThe partnership is seen as part of Ripple’s broader efforts to expand its suite of institutional services, which now cover custody, stablecoins, payments, and tokenized assets. Recent reports from Coinpaper have highlighted Ripple Custody’s growing position as critical institutional infrastructure and the increasing role of tokenization on the XRP Ledger.
Ripple’s momentum in the institutional market has also been fueled by developments surrounding XRP-related ETFs, custodial offerings, and lending growth. Additionally, Coinpaper’s coverage of strong ETF flows and lending on the XRP Ledger shows deepening engagement from regulated investors.
The integration with SettleMint further demonstrates Ripple’s drive to embed its solutions as core components of financial institutions’ entry into tokenized markets.
Importantly, the companies clarified that the partnership does not mean all assets issued via SettleMint will automatically utilize XRP or the XRP Ledger. Rather, the collaboration gives institutions more choice in how they engage with tokenization technology and digital asset custody.
Market reaction and evolving toolsFollowing the announcement, XRP was trading near $1.39, showing an approximate 2% increase compared to the previous 24 hours. While this uptick drew attention, there is no indication that the SettleMint partnership was solely responsible for XRP’s gains.
The integration of multiple asset management and tokenization tools reflects a trend among institutions seeking efficiency and unified solutions. In a market where decisions from the Federal Reserve or sudden altcoin listings can alter prices in seconds, investors face risks and missed opportunities when toggling between separate apps for analytics, news, and portfolio monitoring. Many now turn to privacy-first platforms such as CryptoAppsy, which merges real-time charts, personalized price alerts, asset-specific news, and key economic data on a single interface without requiring an account.
By deepening its infrastructure offering with partners like SettleMint, Ripple aims to further solidify its position as a technology provider for institutions navigating the digital asset landscape.
XRP is further establishing itself within traditional U.S. investment infrastructure, as attention grows around Amplify’s XRP-linked income ETF following its appearance in a recent regulatory filing covering data through June 30.
Highlight on Amplify’s XRPM ETFXRP researcher BankXRP pointed to a document from Amplify ETF Trust listing the Amplify XRP 3% Monthly Option Income ETF, trading under the ticker XRPM, as part of its array of offerings. Amplify ETF Trust is a U.S.-based investment management company known for offering various exchange-traded funds focused on niche and income-generating strategies.
XRPM is not a standard spot XRP ETF. Rather than solely tracking XRP’s market price, Amplify seeks to combine the potential for asset appreciation with monthly income generation, aiming to earn option premiums by selling options on XRP exchange-traded products. The fund’s stated goal is to achieve an annualized option premium income rate of 36%.
As of August 31, XRPM’s largest single holding was the Canary XRP ETF (XRPC), which made up 30.32% of its portfolio value. In addition, XRPM included several options positions relating to XRPC, reflecting the growing sophistication of available ETF-related XRP exposures, beyond direct spot purchases.
Amplify reported that XRPM had a distribution rate of 37.27% as of July 31. However, the company cautioned that these distributions may include a return of capital and are not guaranteed. The fund has continued monthly distributions throughout 2026, including a payout of $0.31380 per share for August.
Mini dictionary: Canary XRP ETF (XRPC): A European exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of XRP, listed on the DEGIRO trading platform. As a synthetic ETF, it provides investors with exposure to XRP price movements without holding the asset directly.
Institutional flows and market dataDemand for XRP-linked investment products has accelerated in recent months. For the week ending August 28, U.S. spot XRP ETFs received $110.49 million in net inflows, marking their strongest weekly result in 2026. Cumulative inflows reached about $1.66 billion, while total assets held by these funds rose to roughly $1.44 billion.
XRP ETF MetricAmount (as of Aug. 28, 2026)Weekly inflows$110.49 millionCumulative inflows$1.66 billionTotal net assets$1.44 billionCoinpaper, a news and analytics platform focusing on digital assets, reported on these record inflows and highlighted the growing adoption of XRP ETFs among institutional investors.
Broader market trends and regulatory noteThe recent surge in inflows, combined with the increasing number of ETF structures offering both income and derivative exposure, is expanding options for investors beyond traditional spot XRP products. As these offerings multiply, the market continues to evolve toward a broader spectrum of investment strategies tied to the asset.
XRP traded near $1.39 on Tuesday, recording a 2.2% gain over the previous 24 hours and holding a market capitalization of around $87.5 billion.
Amplify notes that, while XRPM’s income distributions have been consistent in 2026, these payments may include a return of capital, and neither the distribution rate nor the capital return is guaranteed to persist in the future.
No evidence currently indicates the Amplify regulatory filing directly caused XRP’s recent price movement, and the document does not signal new product approvals or launches. Instead, the inclusion of XRP-linked products in longstanding SEC reporting frameworks points to further normalization of cryptocurrency investment options within the traditional asset management ecosystem.
XRPM, an income-focused fund linked to XRP, now operates within the same regulatory and fund-administration regimes as other mainstream ETFs, signaling a shift toward routine integration of digital assets in traditional finance.
For XRP, this trend reflects a gradual but steady move toward mainstream adoption on Wall Street, not just through spot products but now also via funds designed for income generation and enhanced exposure.
XRP-associated blockchain firm Ripple has continued to expand its growing list of partners as it remains keen on boosting the adoption of blockchain technology across the global space.
In a recent post shared earlier today, a European digital asset infrastructure company announced it has integrated with Ripple Custody on Tuesday, September 1.
Ripple Custody expands in AsiaFollowing the partnership, Ripple Custody and SettleMint's Digital Asset Lifecycle Platform (DALP) will combine their resources towards a common goal.
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Notably, the integration of Ripple Custody and SettleMint's DALP will help financial institutions manage digital assets throughout their existence via a single infrastructure.
Ripple and SettleMint's partnership is aimed at helping institutions eliminate the complexities that come with managing digital assets.
Hence, the companies will provide a unified approach that could help institutions perform effectively without the need to stitch together separate solutions from multiple vendors.
This move also aims to help institutions reduce potential reconciliation gaps as digital asset programs move from testing into production.
Digital asset management becomes easierThe recent partnership between Ripple and SettleMint follows efforts to address key challenges for banks and other financial institutions.
While multiple providers for custody, issuance, compliance, settlement, and ongoing asset servicing are often required for managing digital assets, this has remained a setback for institutions working effectively.
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To address the core issues affecting the institutions, Ripple Custody will provide the infrastructure needed to securely hold and govern digital assets.
Meanwhile, SettleMint's DALP will handle the broader lifecycle of tokenized assets. This includes issuance, compliance, permissioning, settlement, and servicing.
Ripple (XRP) retains a neutral-to-bullish outlook, trading at $1.37 on Tuesday. The remittance token upside has remained broadly constrained since the rally to $1.70 on August 17. The $1.35 level, anchored by a key moving average, continues to act as critical support, offering a potential foothold for XRP as the market eyes a possible rebound.
XRP attracts steady ETF inflows on sustained appetiteRisk appetite remains relatively elevated, underpinned by sustained bullish sentiment across broader markets. The Fear & Greed Index printed 69 on Tuesday in the Greed territory, up from 62 the previous day, reflecting a modest uptick in investor confidence.
If sustained, higher demand for XRP-related digital asset investment products could cushion headwinds and raise the odds of a renewed recovery.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index | Source: AlternativeXRP spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) logged a tenth straight day of inflows, adding nearly $6 million on Monday. Despite a drop from $26 million posted last Friday, cumulative inflows have reached $1.66 billion. Meanwhile, average net assets under management are steady at $1.45 billion.
XRP ETF flows | Source: SoSoValueConversely, derivatives are in a persistent decline, as perpetual futures Open Interest (OI) fell to 2.29 billion XRP on Tuesday, up from 2.2 billion XRP the day before. More broadly, OI peaked at 2.78 billion in August, undermining demand and risk appetite. A deeper sell-off could add to headwinds in the spot market, as the odds of an extended decline rise.
XRP Futures OI | Source: CoinGlassTechnical analysis: XRP struggles to uphold bullish outlookXRP trades above $1.37, maintaining a bullish near-term bias as price holds above the main Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which underpin a broader constructive structure. However, momentum is mixed, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around 62 and suggesting sustained but reduced buying interest. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has slipped marginally below the signal line and zero, hinting at some loss of upside conviction rather than a full-fledged reversal.
XRP/USDT daily chartImmediate support is seen at the $1.35 area, where the 200-day EMA aligns as the first line of defense ahead of the $1.21 region, reinforced by the clustered 50-day and 100-day EMAs. As long as XRP holds above these supports, pullbacks are likely to be treated as corrective within the broader advance, with buyers expected to re-emerge on dips while the next meaningful resistance is left to be defined by future highs beyond the current $1.37 zone.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
Ripple FAQs Ripple is a payments company that specializes in cross-border remittance. The company does this by leveraging blockchain technology. RippleNet is a network used for payments transfer created by Ripple Labs Inc. and is open to financial institutions worldwide. The company also leverages the XRP token.
XRP is the native token of the decentralized blockchain XRPLedger. The token is used by Ripple Labs to facilitate transactions on the XRPLedger, helping financial institutions transfer value in a borderless manner. XRP therefore facilitates trustless and instant payments on the XRPLedger chain, helping financial firms save on the cost of transacting worldwide.
XRPLedger is based on a distributed ledger technology and the blockchain using XRP to power transactions. The ledger is different from other blockchains as it has a built-in inflammatory protocol that helps fight spam and distributed denial-of-service (DDOS) attacks. The XRPL is maintained by a peer-to-peer network known as the global XRP Ledger community.
XRP uses the interledger standard. This is a blockchain protocol that aids payments across different networks. For instance, XRP’s blockchain can connect the ledgers of two or more banks. This effectively removes intermediaries and the need for centralization in the system. XRP acts as the native token of the XRPLedger blockchain engineered by Jed McCaleb, Arthur Britto and David Schwartz.
The demand for XRP ETFs has shown resilience despite Ripple’s [XRP] struggling market structure. Cumulative Net Inflows reached $1.67 billion by the 31st of August, continuing their upward trajectory since May.
Weekly Net Inflows jumped from $39.78 million to $110.49 million toward the end of August. Weekly Trading Volume also increased from $253.05 million to $363.03 million.
While the fund’s net assets went up to $1.44 billion from $1.33 billion.
Source: SoSoValue However, XRP’s price fell from about $1.70 down to the range of $1.35-$1.40 throughout this time frame. This shows that institutional investors are purchasing all of the available supply.
However, the lack of new demand has allowed institutional sellers to sell down their positions with little to no resistance.
If these institutional investors continue to invest large amounts of money into the space while XRP is stable, it will create a solid foundation for a potential bounce back.
XRP ETFs tighten available supply Bitwise’s growth is an indicator that XRP ETF demand will be more than just a consistent flow narrative. Within 9 months, its fund crossed $500 million in assets under management (AUM), while the 7 XRP ETFs currently have approximately $1.53 billion combined.
Source: X Together, these products are locking up approximately 1.11 billion XRP, hence removing more than 1% of the total supply from immediate circulation. This does matter, as continued ETF accumulation may lead to gradual reductions in available supply.
In turn, this allows future demand to potentially create stronger influences on pricing.
Source: XRP Insights The institutional component adds to the effectiveness of this thesis. This is as Goldman Sachs owns $87.4 million and added over $80 million in quarter-on-quarter (QoQ).
Similarly, Jane Street and Millennium both own approximately $16 million. However, despite this increased demand for the token, it continues to trade at $1.38, demonstrating current demand has yet to exceed broader selling.
Goldman Sachs has emerged as the largest reported institutional holder of U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded funds, reinforcing the trend of rising Wall Street involvement in the cryptocurrency ETF market as cumulative XRP ETF inflows approach $1.8 billion.
XRP ETF holdings and institutional rankingsBloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart compiled second-quarter 13F data showing Goldman Sachs with approximately $87.4 million in XRP ETF exposure. Jane Street ranks second, holding around $16.6 million, while Millennium Management occupies the third position with roughly $16.2 million.
Goldman’s increase stands out. Data suggest its XRP ETF position expanded by about $83.1 million quarter-over-quarter, up from an estimated $4.3 million previously. This represents a nearly twentyfold rise in exposure compared to the first quarter.
Contrary to social-media speculation describing a return to XRP ETFs, Goldman had maintained a prior position that grew significantly in the reported period, according to Q1 and Q2 data.
Intesa Sanpaolo, a major Italian banking group, reportedly holds $14.4 million, with Marex UK Holdings following at $8.1 million. The list of reported holders includes a mix of wealth managers, hedge funds, and trading firms participating in XRP-backed products.
Goldman’s position is disclosed via a Form 13F filing with the SEC, confirming it as the institutional investment manager as of June 30, 2026, and providing details on its exposure.
Mini dictionary: Form 13F, a quarterly report filed by institutional investment managers with at least $100 million in assets under management, disclosing their equity holdings.
InstitutionXRP ETF Holdings (approx.)Goldman Sachs$87.4 millionJane Street$16.6 millionMillennium Management$16.2 millionIntesa Sanpaolo$14.4 millionMarex UK Holdings$8.1 millionXRP ETF inflows continue to riseSeyffart reported that cumulative XRP ETF net inflows had reached about $1.79 billion by August 26, with steady gains through June, July, and August. Other data providers, such as SoSoValue, indicated cumulative inflows of $1.669 billion after August 31, highlighting that differing methodologies can lead to varying totals. For instance, U.S. funds added $5.64 million on August 31, with Canary’s XRPC leading daily inflows.
The broader trend points to expanding demand. In the final week of August, XRP ETF products drew $110.49 million—the highest weekly total of 2026. These record inflows reflect strong market interest despite price volatility in the underlying asset.
XRP traded near $1.39 on Tuesday, with its market capitalization standing around $87 billion. Still, the token remains far below its August highs even as ETF participation grows.
XRP ETF inflows continued to accelerate in August, setting new records even as the underlying asset’s price lagged recent highs, underscoring a growing divergence between institutional ETF demand and market price performance.
Implications for Wall Street and broader marketsGoldman Sachs’ expanded position puts another prominent Wall Street institution on the list of active participants in the XRP ETF market. The investment bank is a leading global financial services company known for managing significant institutional funds and providing investment banking, securities, and asset management services.
Industry analysts note that 13F filings do not necessarily reflect directional trading or long-term investment intentions. These positions may support a variety of portfolio strategies, including hedging or short-term trades, rather than expressing a straightforward expectation for XRP appreciation.
However, growing ETF allocations among major institutions show that XRP-backed investment products are becoming more popular in traditional financial portfolios and trading strategies.
The filings reveal that institutional use of XRP-linked products is expanding, embedding these assets deeper inside the financial infrastructure used by the world’s largest investment firms.
Crypto investor 24HRSCRYPTO has called on XRP holders to focus on broader blockchain payment trends rather than short-term price movements. He argued that investors who understand ongoing developments in blockchain-based financial infrastructure may gain a different perspective on long-term success with XRP.
Regulatory shifts and global payments24HRSCRYPTO pointed to growing activity among financial institutions and regulators as a key factor that could make the next phase for XRP holders highly significant. He referenced ongoing changes within the cross-border payments sector, emphasizing that institutional adoption and regulatory clarity may play important roles in shaping outcomes for digital assets.
In a recent statement, he explained that those who have researched the underlying direction of cross-border payment technology—what he called the “endgame”—should look beyond daily price volatility to evaluate their investment. The investor also highlighted significant developments in global payment infrastructure, suggesting that these changes could ultimately impact the broader financial system.
24HRSCRYPTO noted that, “XRP holders who truly understand the endgame should measure their success outside of today’s price. The upcoming transformation in cross-border payments could be truly monumental.”
As part of his analysis, he cited comments from Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), regarding shifts in international payments.
Mini dictionary: Kristalina Georgieva is the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), an organization that supports global monetary cooperation, financial stability, and economic growth by providing advice and financial support to its member countries.
IMF signals pathways for stablecoin regulationGeorgieva expressed that, while a comprehensive transformation in cross-border payments has yet to occur, she believes that strong economic incentives could eventually drive this change. She further stressed the importance of proper frameworks to ensure the benefits of new payment models are realized, while risks remain contained.
IMF leadership emphasized, “A broad transformation in cross-border payments is still to come, but the right incentives and strong regulatory frameworks could unlock benefits for the global financial system.”
Meanwhile, Ledger & Liquidity, a digital assets community commentator, observed that while the IMF report did not specifically name XRP, it laid out a regulatory blueprint focused on stablecoins redeemable at par, safe reserves, harmonized rules, and a modernized payment system.
Ledger & Liquidity suggested that these policy principles may increase the relevance of payment companies and stablecoins like RLUSD as regulators outline clear compliance requirements.
Mini dictionary: RLUSD is a digital asset pegged to the US dollar, designed to serve as a stablecoin for efficient cross-border settlements within regulatory frameworks.
In response to 24HRSCRYPTO’s optimism, another user, Moi, highlighted the challenges faced by everyday investors. He raised concerns about the practical pressures of rising living costs and household bills, noting that waiting years for an investment to mature may not be feasible if urgent financial needs arise.
This contrast underscores the tension between maintaining a long-term perspective in fast-evolving markets and managing short-term economic demands. While blockchain payment rail innovation may offer substantial opportunities, many investors must also weigh their personal financial circumstances against potential future rewards.
Regulatory clarity and the future of paymentsAs regulatory standards advance, observers believe clear rules on stablecoins, payment companies, and digital asset compliance could shape the trajectory of cryptocurrencies used in international transactions. For XRP holders, recent commentary urges a balance between monitoring regulatory shifts and maintaining realistic expectations about timelines and outcomes.
The evolving global regulatory landscape may support payment networks and projects that adhere to well-defined compliance measures. However, industry analysts caution that statements from authorities such as the IMF do not imply endorsements of individual coins, but rather outline broader frameworks for innovation and oversight in digital finance.
Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market experienced a major surge in August. While BTC climbed above $80,000 for the first time in months, XRP was one of the altcoins that saw significant gains.
According to the data, XRP gained approximately 40% in value between August 17 and 31, rising from $0.99 to $1.38. However, total open interest in XRP futures decreased by 16% during the same period, falling from 2.77 billion XRP to approximately 2.34 billion XRP.
However, while open positions in the general market decreased, XRP futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) moved in the opposite direction and experienced an increase. Data shows that open positions on the CME increased from 284 million XRP to 387 million XRP, an increase of approximately 36%.
According to market analyst Omkar Godbole, the fact that CME is a regulated market used primarily by professional investors and asset managers makes this increase a signal of strengthening institutional interest.
This shift in futures trading occurs ahead of the US Clarity Act vote, which regulates the structure of the cryptocurrency market and is of close interest to XRP and other cryptocurrencies, with the market closely watching the Senate’s procedural vote on the Clarity Act.
Wall Street’s Interest in XRP is Growing! While volatility continued in XRP futures, US spot XRP ETFs continued to attract steady inflows.
At this point, Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart announced in a post on August 31 that total net inflows into US spot XRP ETFs had reached $1.8 billion.
Seyffart highlighted that it is noteworthy that ETF flows have remained mostly positive since launch, despite fluctuations in the XRP price.
Who are the Largest Institutional XRP ETF Holders? Seyffart, who reviewed the second-quarter 13F reports, noted that according to the data, Goldman Sachs, Jane Street, and Millennium Management were among the most prominent institutional investors in spot XRP ETFs.
According to the chart shared by Seyffart, the top three are Goldman Sachs, Jane Street, and Millennium Management. Goldman Sachs leads the chart with a spot XRP ETF position of $87.4 million, representing an increase of $83.1 million compared to the previous quarter.
Jane Street Group came in second with $16.6 million, followed by Millennium Management with $16.2 million, Intesa Sanpaolo with $14.4 million, and Marex UK Holdings with $8.1 million.
Advisors Stand Out in XRP ETFs! In terms of investor groups, advisors stand out. According to Seyffart’s report, advisors were among the largest holders of spot XRP ETFs in the second quarter and constituted the most active investor group in allocating capital to these products.
In conclusion, according to Seyffart, this picture shows that XRP ETFs are not only attracting the interest of individual investors, but also that traditional financial institutions are increasingly involved in the product.
*This is not investment advice.
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The number of payments on the XRP Ledger is surpassing the 650,000 mark as multiple network indicators rise concurrently, indicating yet another significant increase in activity.
Network keeps growingAccording to the most recent data, payments have increased by 47.8% to about 658,600. More significantly, the improvement extends beyond payments. Successful transactions have increased by an even greater 82.4% to 1.6 million, while overall transactions have increased by 59.7% to approximately 2 million.
XRP/USDT Chart by TradingViewThe current activity spike is given greater weight by this combination. XRPL is experiencing wider growth across transaction execution and usage rather than a single metric yielding an unusual reading.
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Additionally, the number of transactions per ledger has increased by 59.7% to 99.12. In the meantime, accounts created increased by 20.7% to 2,300, while active accounts are currently at about 14,800 after increasing by 12.7%.
The 700,000 mark is the next obvious payment target. From the current reading of 658,600, only about 6.3% more would be needed. After that, 1 million payments would be a much more significant milestone, necessitating an additional 52% increase.
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The data contains one noteworthy contradiction. Even though the number of payments has increased significantly, the payment volume has decreased by 60.8% to about 443.1 million XRP. This implies that although the network is handling more individual payments, the average economic size of those transfers has shrunk.
Payment counts increases substantiallyAs a result, it is not always appropriate to assume that the 47.8% increase in payment counts corresponds to an increase in capital flowing through XRPL.
The price structure of XRP remains significant. Following its dramatic August breakout and subsequent retracement, XRP is currently trading close to $1.36. At $1.35, the asset is currently testing the 200-day moving average, making this region a crucial technical support level.
The larger bullish reversal structure would be maintained by holding above $1.35, and another attempt at $1.45–$1.50 might be possible. On the other hand, a breakdown would expose the shorter-term moving average around $1.27.
XRPL's activity data remains useful for the time being. Although exceeding 700,000 payments appears to be the network's immediate goal, consistent growth toward one million would offer far more convincing proof that the recent activity expansion has become a long-lasting trend.
Russia’s new cryptocurrency regulations officially took effect on September 1, establishing a formal legal framework for digital assets while enabling their use in international trade settlements. Authorities now permit Russian investors to buy and sell cryptocurrencies through regulated intermediaries, and allow exporters and importers to settle cross-border transactions with digital assets.
Digital assets in Russia’s international tradeRussian exporters and importers are now authorized to use cryptocurrencies as part of foreign trade transactions, giving digital assets a legitimate role in payments involving international counterparties. While these rules expand opportunities for digital asset settlement, domestic payments within Russia using cryptocurrency remain prohibited under the new law.
The Bank of Russia has indicated that cryptocurrencies can serve as instruments for cross-border transactions, but the framework does not specifically reference XRP, Ripple, or the XRP Ledger. There has been no official announcement or evidence that Russian authorities or companies have chosen XRP for settlement purposes. Nevertheless, the Bank of Russia’s acknowledgment means that XRP could theoretically be used if counterparties involved in cross-border trades opt for it.
The regulatory framework grants Russian exporters and importers the legal foundation to use cryptocurrencies for settlements with foreign partners, introducing a wider array of options for cross-border payments.
Structure of Russia’s new cryptocurrency marketThe new regime provides a clearer structure for accessing digital assets. Qualified investors are allowed to buy and sell cryptocurrencies via regulated intermediaries, such as exchanges, brokers, and asset managers. In contrast, non-qualified investors face stricter support limits and must meet additional requirements before participating.
Infrastructure supporting these activities—including exchanges, brokerage platforms, and asset management firms—will also be held to compliance and licensing standards set by the regulation. The law allows a transition period for current market participants to secure appropriate licenses and fulfill the new requirements.
XRP’s position in Russia’s financial ecosystemAlthough XRP is not mentioned in the new regulations, it holds a visible position in the Russian market through regulated derivatives. The Moscow Exchange, the country’s leading securities trading platform, introduced XRP-linked futures earlier this year. These products sit alongside other derivatives tracking the performance of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and additional cryptocurrencies.
Unlike spot cryptocurrency purchases, these futures contracts do not involve direct ownership of XRP; rather, they allow investors to gain exposure to price movements tied to XRP through regulated instruments.
The listing of XRP-linked futures offers the asset a degree of visibility within Russia’s traditional financial infrastructure, even before the expanded digital asset regime went into effect.
This market presence differentiates XRP from cryptocurrencies with no regulated exposure in Russia. The asset’s original design as a bridge for international settlement may gain additional relevance now that Russian law permits cryptocurrencies in foreign trade.
Ripple, the US-based fintech firm behind XRP, has promoted the token as an efficient solution for transferring value between currencies, without the need for banks and institutions to maintain large reserves in multiple markets.
Although Russia’s new legal framework could potentially enable this use case for XRP, there is no current evidence that banks, exporters, or government agencies in the country intend to deploy the token under the updated rules. Any moves toward adoption will ultimately depend on the decisions of Russian companies, financial institutions, and their international counterparts.
There is no indication that the Russian legal changes amount to an official adoption of XRP, but the regulatory shift increases the number of occasions when cryptocurrencies may legally be used for cross-border payments.
For XRP, the introduction of Russia’s new framework sets the stage for possible increased relevance in international settlement, but actual adoption will depend on the choices of market participants.
Crypto analyst Crypto Lens has reaffirmed his bullish stance on XRP, outlining a series of potential price targets after the cryptocurrency achieved a 50% gain since his earlier prediction. In a recent social media update, he emphasized that XRP’s price action has followed his initial call and suggested that the current trend may signal the start of a broader upward move.
Analyst updates bullish scenario for XRPCrypto Lens, known for his technical analysis of digital assets, recently highlighted XRP’s rise to $1.34, stating that this price marked a significant milestone in his forecast. He mapped out a projected price trajectory for XRP, initially foreseeing a pullback to $1.17, followed by a rebound to $1.90.
According to the analyst’s chart, a breakout above $1.90 could open the way for additional gains toward $3.10 and eventually $5.20. He described these levels as important checkpoints that XRP might pass if the broader bullish pattern persists. Crypto Lens stressed that these projections are based on technical patterns and previous market behavior.
Crypto Lens argued that XRP validated his prior analysis by delivering a 50% gain and sees the recent move as “just the beginning,” with a roadmap leading from $1.34 through $1.17 and $1.90, and ultimately advancing toward $3.10 and $5.20.
Price LevelScenario$1.34Current checkpoint$1.17Possible correction$1.90Primary resistance$3.10Secondary target$5.20Long-term objectiveExamining historical patterns and technical signalsThe analyst pointed to previous XRP price movements and identified similarities with patterns seen in 2024, which resulted in a 650% increase at that time. By comparing current chart structures with this earlier period, Crypto Lens has suggested that the present cycle could produce another substantial rally.
His earlier predictions for XRP in 2026 had mapped out price points of $1.10, $1.00, $1.30, $1.90, $2.80, and $3.40. In his latest update, he revised his upper target to $5.20, citing a reinforced bullish structure illustrated on his chart through a series of higher highs and a breakout above a declining trendline.
Crypto Lens regularly shares his technical outlook with his followers and has built a reputation for using chart analysis to forecast cryptocurrencies’ market moves.
Mini dictionary: Crypto Lens is a pseudonymous analyst focusing on digital asset price prediction through technical analysis, often sharing forecasts on social media and drawing followers with a track record of public predictions on major cryptocurrencies.
Maintaining confidence in longer-term targetsIn his latest communication, Crypto Lens cautioned against abandoning XRP too soon, expressing his belief that the upward trend could extend much further. He has drawn attention to his past market calls on Bitcoin, specifically referencing his predictions of a $16,000 low and $126,000 high, as evidence of his analytical approach’s reliability.
Reinforcing his outlook, Crypto Lens mentioned historical performance and urged followers “not to fade XRP too early,” as he continues to see the potential for major advances if technical conditions align.
The analyst identified $1.34 as the immediate level to watch, while a decisive move toward $1.90 would signal further bullish momentum. His chart places $3.10 and $5.20 as subsequent milestones should the bullish scenario materialize. He emphasized, however, that while these targets are drawn from technical analysis, they remain speculative in nature and are not guarantees of future price movement.
Crypto Lens continues to update his audience with technical scenarios for XRP, focusing on key price levels and maintaining that the asset’s recent rally has supported his original outlook.
Ripple has established a partnership with SettleMint to expand digital asset custody, issuance, and management solutions for financial institutions. This collaboration aims to simplify the process of securing and handling tokenized assets throughout their full life cycle.
Integrated solutions for institutional clientsThe new partnership links Ripple’s institutional digital asset custody infrastructure, known as Ripple Custody, with SettleMint’s Digital Asset Lifecycle Platform (DALP). Together, these platforms are designed to facilitate streamlined asset management for institutional clients, according to a Ripple announcement on Tuesday.
SettleMint’s DALP offers a comprehensive suite of tools enabling financial institutions to easily support custody, issuance, and oversight of digital assets, easing many of the complexities associated with blockchain-based operations.
Institutions are able to benefit from unified architecture and enhanced security, which can help accelerate adoption among regulated entities hesitant to manage blockchain-based assets independently.
Both Ripple and SettleMint are seeking to address the infrastructure gap that continues to delay widespread institutional participation in the digital asset sector.
Regional developments and regulatory progressIn a similar move, Coincheck Group recently partnered with wallet infrastructure provider DFNS to develop new wallet technology and digital asset custody services within Japan.
DFNS delivers a wallet-as-a-service platform that enables institutions to manage the entire transaction lifecycle, incorporating workflow orchestration and robust governance controls. The solution is compatible with more than 100 blockchain networks, supporting broad-ranging digital asset strategies.
As the Asia-Pacific region emerges as the fastest-growing area for onchain crypto activity, Chainalysis’ 2025 global adoption index found a 69% year-over-year increase in value received across the region.
Several Asia-Pacific countries have taken substantial steps to develop their own regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies. In July, the Japanese parliament amended legislation to formally recognize crypto assets as financial assets within the scope of the country’s Financial Instruments and Exchange Act.
Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama indicated in January that authorities want to bring digital assets under the same regulatory umbrella as traditional financial assets. The objective is to ensure the public can “benefit from digital and blockchain-based assets.”
Streamlining asset management technologyManaging digital assets efficiently has become increasingly important as global regulatory structures evolve and institutional interest accelerates. In a market where a single Fed decision or a sudden altcoin listing can change everything in seconds, jumping between different apps for charts, news, and portfolio tracking is costing investors money. Smart traders are now utilizing privacy-first tools like CryptoAppsy to consolidate everything. Without even the hassle of creating an account, you get real-time charts, smart price alerts, coin-specific news, and critical macro data all on one screen.
Cover image via depositphotos.com Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
The cryptocurrency market has demonstrated unexpected macroeconomic resilience, fully absorbing the impact of the Fed Chair's hawkish speech and the decline in the U.S. technology sector, according to analysts at market maker Wintermute in its latest review.
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Against this backdrop, Bitcoin successfully held its ground after a powerful rally, while institutional capital began actively rotating into altcoins, triggering record inflows into Solana and XRP funds.
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Key takeaways from Wintermute's report on who is saving crypto right nowFed Chair Kevin Warsh's remarks about bringing inflation back to 2% pushed the probability of a September interest rate cut to 61.9%. Traditional markets reacted with a decline: the Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks fell 1.40%, while the technology sector entered a correction.
In previous macro cycles, this would have dragged crypto lower, but, as Wintermute emphasized, "the market absorbed a hawkish Fed Chair, the chip sell-off and month-end without giving back the breakout."
While Bitcoin consolidated after a 23% rally and closed the week flat (+0.10% near the $82,000 resistance level), large players shifted their focus to other assets:
The altcoin index rose 0.61%, outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum.Solana and XRP became the main targets for whales: inflows into their ETFs reached 2026 records of $154 million and $110 million, respectively.Wintermute analysts noted that the outperformance of altcoins directly confirms a "broadening of capital rotation" across the industry.
Cross-asset performance (Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, Gold, and Brent Oil) table for Week 35 showing digital and traditional asset returns, Source: WintermuteMarket levels are being supported by large funds rather than retail investors. Over the week, Bitcoin ETFs attracted $924 million — although a nine-day inflow streak ended on Friday with a $202 million outflow — while Ethereum funds finished firmly in positive territory, taking in $816 million without a single day of outflows.
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"Two consecutive weeks of institutional inflows are the difference between a short squeeze and sustained demand," Wintermute noted. Additional support comes from Strategy, which raised another $2 billion and currently holds around $1.6 billion in net cash, or "dry powder."
The short-term trend remains undefined, but prices are receiving strong support from underinvested large players that are ready to buy the dips.
The first test will come with U.S. payroll data this Friday, September 4. If Bitcoin holds the $75,000 and $72,000 levels, bulls will retain the initiative. A weekly close below $72,000 would completely invalidate the positive scenario, as below that level there is "no obvious floor."
The XRP Ledger, a decentralized blockchain network supporting XRP transactions and applications, is witnessing a notable surge in network activity. The number of payments processed on XRPL recently surpassed 650,000, representing a significant increase in usage across multiple indicators.
Network activity climbs across key metricsRecent data shows payment counts on the XRP Ledger have risen by 47.8%, reaching approximately 658,600. The increase is not limited only to payment counts. Successful transactions have seen an even larger jump, up 82.4% to 1.6 million, and the overall transaction count grew by 59.7%, totaling about 2 million.
The average number of transactions per ledger has also moved significantly higher, up 59.7% to 99.12. Meanwhile, the number of newly created accounts has increased by 20.7% to 2,300, while the total number of active accounts reached around 14,800 after a 12.7% increase.
These figures reflect broader growth in the XRPL network, extending beyond any single metric. Rather than reflecting just one area of expansion, the data points to rising transaction volume and wider usage among participants.
MetricPreviousCurrentChange (%)Payment counts446,000658,600+47.8%Successful transactions878,0001,600,000+82.4%Total transactions1,252,0002,000,000+59.7%Transactions per ledger62.0699.12+59.7%Accounts created1,9052,300+20.7%Active accounts13,13014,800+12.7%Payment volume1,129,000,000 XRP443,100,000 XRP-60.8%Payment milestones and notable trendsFollowing the current level of about 658,600 payments, the 700,000 milestone remains within reach, with only a 6.3% increase required. Looking further ahead, hitting the one million payments mark would require a further jump of around 52%.
However, despite the sharp increase in the number of payments, the overall payment volume declined by 60.8%, falling to about 443.1 million XRP. This shift suggests a reduction in the average size of each transfer and indicates that smaller-value payments have fueled much of the network’s current activity.
The trend highlights that rising payment counts do not necessarily mean an equivalent rise in capital flowing through the ledger, as the average economic value of each payment has decreased despite higher transaction frequency.
Technical outlook for XRPThe latest price movements show XRP trading near $1.36 after a notable breakout in August and a subsequent correction. At present, the asset is testing the 200-day moving average at $1.35, presenting an important support zone for traders and investors.
A sustained price above $1.35 would retain the broader bullish structure and could open the door to fresh attempts at the $1.45–$1.50 range. Conversely, a move below this support might signal further downside toward the shorter-term moving average at $1.27.
Recent XRPL activity data suggests that surpassing 700,000 payments may be the network’s near-term goal, while a longer-term push towards one million payments would reinforce the view of a robust and lasting expansion in network activity.
Despite the impressive 47.8% jump in payment counts on XRPL, the total payment volume dropped by 60.8%, pointing to a shift towards smaller, more frequent transactions across the network.
The Sentora-incubated cover protocol already holds $76 million in staked XRP on Flare. Its first cover integrations go live this month, into a market where onchain protection covers about 0.1% of DeFi.
Firelight, a cover protocol that uses staked XRP to backstop DeFi vaults against exploits, has raised $8 million in a seed round led by Gumi Cryptos Capital, with its first cover integrations scheduled to go live this month.
Onchain cover has stayed marginal relative to the capital it would protect. DefiLlama tracks $123.7 million across 27 insurance protocols against $88.3 billion in total DeFi value locked, or about 0.14%, and Nexus Mutual alone accounts for roughly 88% of that capital. Firelight’s structure separates the two: the capital backing cover is staked XRP, which does not sit inside the protocols being covered.
Maven 11, Metalayer, Joint Effects and Tribe Capital also took part in the round. Firelight has been live on Flare since December in a bootstrapping phase that takes deposits without cover attached, and holds $76 million, according to DefiLlama, up 20% over the past 30 days. That makes it the largest protocol on Flare, which has $133 million in total value locked across 39 protocols. Deposits are capped at 65 million FXRP.
“Protocol cover and capital protection remain among the biggest blockers to institutional adoption of DeFi,” Anthony DeMartino, co-founder and chief executive of Firelight, said in a statement. “Institutions need confidence that they can deploy capital onchain with credible protection against smart contract and economic risk.”
XRP as the Balance SheetStakers deposit XRP, which is bridged to Flare as FXRP through the network’s FAssets system, and receive stXRP, a liquid staking token. That pool is the capital that pays cover claims. Firelight says it will add BTC and XLM as backing assets.
When stXRP launched in December, it carried no rewards and no cover product behind it. Premiums from the vaults and protocols buying protection are what pay stakers, so the September launch is what makes the position yield-bearing.
Stakers Absorb the LossesFirelight’s documentation states that staked capital is slashed when a validated claim exhausts a first-loss buffer, applied pro rata across all staking positions, with the amount fixed at the moment the slash instruction is generated. The protocol also states plainly that “Firelight Coverage is not insurance” and that buying it does not create an insurance contract.
Claims are assessed by a consortium of five outside firms — GFX Labs, Hypernative, Credora, Native and Cyfrin — which validate incidents against published coverage criteria using onchain attestation. That splits adjudication from the capital, which in most onchain cover sits with the same entity that decides whether to pay. Nexus Mutual told cover holders in 2021 that the $120 million BadgerDAO exploit would fall outside its terms if it was confirmed as a frontend attack, because the protocol’s smart contracts were untouched.
Covered events include smart contract exploits, reentrancy failures, oracle manipulation, governance attacks and bad debt. Pricing is set by monitoring risk components in real time rather than at policy inception. Firelight has been audited by OpenZeppelin and Coinspect and runs a bug bounty through Immunefi.
Second Date for LaunchFirelight and Sentora announced in a joint post that native cover for Sentora’s public and private vaults would launch in the second quarter of 2026. That has moved to September. Sentora, formed last year from the merger of IntoTheBlock and Trident Digital, curates DeFi vaults for Kraken and EtherFi and says it has deployed more than $3 billion.
DeMartino is chief executive of both Sentora and Firelight. He ran risk strategies at Coinbase and traded at HSBC, Barclays and UBS before that. Jesus Rodriguez, who co-founded Sentora and whose AI startup NeuralFabric was acquired by Cisco last year, is Firelight’s chief technology officer while remaining in his Sentora role. Chief Strategy Officer Connor Sullivan joined from Fireblocks, after underwriting reinsurance at TransRe.
XRP traded at $1.38 on Tuesday, down 6.7% over the past week, according to CoinGecko.
ETF inflows have broken the historical record of $1.66 billion, while XRP prices continue to decline amid market volatility. UE Crypto has launched a new cloud mining smart contract, and its return mechanism has attracted significant attention from XRP holders.
Summary
On August 31, XRP prices fluctuated between $1.37 and $1.39, declining by 2% over 24 hours. The Senate is scheduled to hold a cloture vote on the CLARITY Act at 2:15 p.m. on September 15. UE Crypto promotes its cloud mining contracts as an alternative for XRP holders seeking returns beyond price appreciation, with daily returns varying depending on the contract. On August 31, XRP was trading at approximately $1.37, down about 2% over the previous 24 hours. Market attention has shifted toward the upcoming Senate vote on September 15, which could have a significant impact on XRP’s near-term price performance.
This procedural vote concerns a motion to invoke cloture on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, commonly referred to as the CLARITY Act. Reaching the required 60-vote threshold would only advance the bill to full Senate debate and would not guarantee its final passage.
Prediction platforms show that the situation has changed significantly. At present, the probability of the bill being passed in 2026 is estimated at approximately 14%, down sharply from 82% in February. Democratic lawmakers insist that stricter provisions regulating cryptocurrency transactions by political officials be included in the bill as a condition for their support.
Michael Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), has publicly stated that the agency has sufficient authority to regulate the cryptocurrency market under the current legal framework. In addition, on August 18, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) released its “Crypto Asset Regulatory Framework,” which contains several definitional elements consistent with the CLARITY Act.
Crypto analyst XrpArab noted on August 31 that CFTC Chairman Michael Selig appeared optimistic about the outcome of the September 15 Senate hearing. The analyst highlighted several unresolved complexities and discussed the potential consequences if the cloture motion fails before the October election recess.
Unprecedented ETF fund flows reflect growing institutional demand XRP exchange-traded funds recorded their highest-ever weekly inflows, totaling $110.49 million. On August 28 alone, net inflows reached $26.2 million, bringing cumulative net inflows to $1.66 billion.
Cumulative ETF net inflows have reached a record $1.66 billion. However, XRP prices have not surged accordingly and have instead experienced a pullback, further increasing investor caution.
Short squeezes, steady ETF inflows, and indications of Treasury buybacks have driven the broader market trend. However, despite these positive factors, because earnings determine actual spreads, these favorable conditions have produced significantly different results across various cryptocurrency stocks.
Weak performance offsets XRP’s overall uptrend Although Bitcoin continued its rally in late August, cryptocurrency stocks with disappointing earnings declined. Investors viewed the promotion of cloud mining contracts as an alternative for XRP holders seeking returns beyond price appreciation, with daily returns varying by contract. This model has also demonstrated the ability of XRP holders to identify opportunities and potentially generate returns despite fluctuations in market prices.
Against this backdrop, an increasing number of investors are paying attention to the UE Crypto cloud mining platform, exploring potential sources of returns beyond simply holding digital assets. Compared with strategies primarily based on price speculation, cloud mining provides a different approach to generating returns from digital assets, even during periods of short-term price volatility.
Therefore, XRP’s current price performance cannot be attributed entirely to ETF inflows. Multiple factors, including ETF fund flows, “whale” trading activity, on-chain activity, and overall market sentiment, may have a significant impact on XRP’s subsequent price performance and broader market trends.
As market volatility increases, more investors are seeking ways to participate in digital assets beyond simple price speculation. UE Crypto provides a sustainable-energy-based cloud mining solution, offering investors a more structured channel to explore the digital asset ecosystem while focusing on the long-term value of XRP and expanding diversified sources of returns.
Through cloud mining, users can participate in the operation of blockchain infrastructure and earn returns according to predetermined rules, creating a cash-flow-oriented participation model without the need to deploy dedicated mining hardware or possess advanced technical expertise.
Compared with traditional mining models, cloud mining can reduce the burden associated with purchasing mining equipment, securing electricity supplies, maintaining hardware, and handling daily operations. The platform manages computing power allocation, technical maintenance, and related operations. Users can select an appropriate computing power plan according to their needs and monitor operational and return data through an automated system, allowing them to participate in digital asset mining more conveniently.
About UE Crypto UE Crypto was established in 2015 and is headquartered in the United Kingdom. The company states that its operations follow relevant European regulatory frameworks, including the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) and the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive II (MiFID II), while continuously improving transparency, operational standards, and user protection mechanisms.
In terms of security and compliance, the platform states that it has implemented the following protective measures:
Annual financial and security audits conducted by PwC Custodial digital asset insurance provided by Lloyd’s Enterprise-level security solutions from Cloudflare and McAfee® Bank-grade data encryption and professional security infrastructure to provide multiple layers of protection for user assets and accounts. Currently, UE Crypto supports a range of major crypto asset payments, including XRP, BTC, ETH, USDT, BNB, ADA, USDC, DOGE, LTC, and SOL, providing users with a more flexible way to participate in digital asset services.
Join for free, Learn with ease: Start your UE Crypto journey in 3 steps Step one: Register an account Register a free account on the official UE Crypto platform using your email address. New users can receive a $20 trial reward.
Step two: Choose a mining package Choose a suitable cloud mining contract based on your personal budget and requirements, then start mining with one click.
Step three: Start earning Once the contract is activated, the system will automatically allocate computing power, and returns will be settled automatically every 24 hours. Users can withdraw their returns at any time or continue participating as needed to achieve long-term compound growth of their assets.
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Investment Term: 10 days
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Conclusion Continued net inflows into XRP ETFs further demonstrate institutional demand for XRP and sustained market interest. However, growth in ETF assets does not necessarily mean that XRP’s price will rise at the same pace. XRP’s current market performance continues to be influenced by multiple factors, including “whale” fund movements, on-chain capital flows, and overall cryptocurrency market sentiment.
For long-term XRP investors, in addition to continuously monitoring price movements and ETF fund flows, exploring more diversified ways to participate in the digital asset ecosystem is also worth considering. Through cloud mining and related digital asset infrastructure, UE Crypto provides investors with another channel to participate in the digital asset ecosystem, enabling them to focus on the long-term value of XRP while exploring potential diversified sources of returns and further refining their long-term asset allocation strategy.
“As a traditional financial investor, I place great importance on the platform’s compliance and transparency. UE Crypto provides daily return reports, and checking my returns every morning has become part of my routine. This is much easier than any side business I have done in the past.”
For more information, please visit the official website and download the application.
Cryptocurrency prices are broadly consolidating on Tuesday, after the uptrend stalled amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East last weekend. Bitcoin (BTC)n hovers above $78,000 support as bulls struggle to extend gains. Meanwhile, Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) mirror Bitcoin’s neutral-to-bullish outlook, trading above key support levels at $2,400 and $1.35, respectively.
Institutional demand persists as BTC, ETH and XRP consolidateAppetite for risk assets has remained relatively elevated in recent weeks, aligning with strong market sentiment. Based on the Fear & Greed Index, sentiment holds at 69 on Tuesday, improving slightly from 62 the previous day.
This suggests investor greed against the backdrop of last month's fear. If sustained, higher demand for digital asset investment products could cushion headwinds and raise the odds of a renewed recovery.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index | Source: AlternativeBitcoin spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) saw roughly $217 million in inflows on Monday, following outflows of $202 million last Friday. Cumulative inflows currently stand at $55 billion, while net assets under management average $100 billion, according to SoSoValue.
Bitcoin ETF flows | Source: SoSoValueEthereum spot ETFs have printed an extended bullish streak, with inflows totaling $88 million on Monday. Cumulative inflows are now at $13 million, up from $11 million on August 17. This shows that demand remains steady as institutional investors increase exposure.
ETH/USDT daily chartXRP spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) notched a tenth straight day of inflows, adding nearly $6 million on Monday. Cumulative inflows have reached $1.66 billion, with average net assets under management holding steady at $1.45 billion.
XRP ETF flows | Source: SoSoValueTechnical Analysis: Bitcoin maintains sideways action Bitcoin trades at $78,324, extending its advance well above the main Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and keeping a clear bullish near-term bias, suggesting a well-supported uptrend despite the latest consolidation off recent highs.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 70 hovers just below overbought territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains positive, hinting that bullish momentum is still present but becoming more measured.
BTC/USDT daily chartOn the downside, the first meaningful support zone is the 50-day EMA around $70,046, followed by the 100-day EMA at $69,086, where buyers could defend the broader trend if a deeper pullback unfolds. Further below, the 200-day EMA at $72,351 would act as a more strategic medium-term floor in a larger corrective phase, keeping the overall structure constructive as long as BTC holds above these moving-average layers.
Altcoins technical analysis: Ethereum and XRP face a capped upsideEthereum maintains a bullish near-term bias as price holds well above the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day EMAs, clustered between roughly $2,045 and $2,170, which collectively underpin the advance. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 68 remains in bullish territory, close to the overbought threshold, while the MACD has flattened near the zero line, suggesting upside momentum is positive but losing some intensity.
ETH/USDT daily chartImmediate support is at the current pivot area around $2,458, with a deeper cushion from the EMA 200 at $2,168, the EMA 50 at $2,117, and the EMA 100 at $2,047, forming a broad structural demand zone on pullbacks. With no nearby technical resistance on the daily chart, any continuation of the uptrend would likely be driven by fresh buying pressure, although the elevated RSI warns the pair could first consolidate or correct toward the EMA cluster before attempting new highs.
XRP holds above the 200-day EMA at $1.35, keeping the broader structure supported despite the recent pullback from the highs. Shorter-term trend metrics remain constructive, with the 100-day EMA at $1.21 and the 50-day EMA at $1.21 well below spot, while the RSI at 61 suggests bullish but not overextended conditions. By contrast, the MACD has slipped marginally negative, hinting at waning upside momentum rather than a clear trend reversal at this stage.
XRP/USDT daily chartOn the downside, initial support is at $1.37, acting as a near-term pivot, ahead of stronger structural demand at the 200-day EMA around $1.35. A deeper correction would expose the next support band formed by the clustered 100-day and 50-day EMAs in the $1.21 zone. With no significant upside technical reference levels immediately overhead on the daily chart, price action around $1.37-$1.35 will be critical. Holding above the 200-day EMA would keep the bullish bias intact, while a daily close below it would signal a broader loss of trend support.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
Crypto ETF FAQs An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) is an investment vehicle or an index that tracks the price of an underlying asset. ETFs can not only track a single asset, but a group of assets and sectors. For example, a Bitcoin ETF tracks Bitcoin’s price. ETF is a tool used by investors to gain exposure to a certain asset.
Yes. The first Bitcoin futures ETF in the US was approved by the US Securities & Exchange Commission in October 2021. A total of seven Bitcoin futures ETFs have been approved, with more than 20 still waiting for the regulator’s permission. The SEC says that the cryptocurrency industry is new and subject to manipulation, which is why it has been delaying crypto-related futures ETFs for the last few years.
Yes. The SEC approved in January 2024 the listing and trading of several Bitcoin spot Exchange-Traded Funds, opening the door to institutional capital and mainstream investors to trade the main crypto currency. The decision was hailed by the industry as a game changer.
The main advantage of crypto ETFs is the possibility of gaining exposure to a cryptocurrency without ownership, reducing the risk and cost of holding the asset. Other pros are a lower learning curve and higher security for investors since ETFs take charge of securing the underlying asset holdings. As for the main drawbacks, the main one is that as an investor you can’t have direct ownership of the asset, or, as they say in crypto, “not your keys, not your coins.” Other disadvantages are higher costs associated with holding crypto since ETFs charge fees for active management. Finally, even though investing in ETFs reduces the risk of holding an asset, price swings in the underlying cryptocurrency are likely to be reflected in the investment vehicle too.
CME Group has launched two multi-asset cryptocurrency benchmarks, including a 10-token index that leaves out Bitcoin and Ether and tracks assets such as BNB, XRP, Solana and Hyperliquid.
Summary
CME launched two crypto benchmarks, including a 10 token index that excludes Bitcoin and Ethereum. The Emerging Crypto Index tracks BNB, XRP, SOL, HYPE, LINK, XLM, SUI, UNI, AVAX and AAVE. Both indexes use free float market cap weighting and are reviewed twice a year in June and December. Real time index values are calculated every second, while daily settlement versions are published across three regions. The benchmarks can be licensed for investment funds and derivatives, extending CME’s push into multi asset crypto products. According to CME Group’s index documentation, the CME CF Emerging Crypto Index and CME CF Crypto Market Index went live Monday, giving market participants separate measures for large crypto assets outside Bitcoin and Ether and for the crypto market including the two largest cryptocurrencies.
Now live: Two new Multi-Asset Indices for cryptocurrency tracking, developed with @CFBenchmarks:
🔹 CME CF Crypto Market Index (includes bitcoin & ether)
🔹 CME CF Emerging Crypto Index (excludes bitcoin & ether)
Access real-time pricing and regional settlements. pic.twitter.com/3XTfCVZpLl
— CME Group (@CMEGroup) August 31, 2026 The Emerging Crypto Index contains BNB, XRP, Solana, Hyperliquid, Chainlink, Stellar Lumens, Sui, Uniswap, Avalanche and Aave. Bitcoin and Ether are excluded by design, leaving the index focused on 10 of the largest qualifying crypto assets outside the two market leaders.
Its companion Crypto Market Index tracks 12 assets. It uses the same 10 tokens but includes Bitcoin and Ether, creating a separate benchmark for measuring the large-cap crypto market with BTC and ETH included.
CME crypto indexes provide real-time and daily benchmarks CME calculates real-time versions of both indexes every second and operates them 24 hours a day, according to the exchange’s FAQ. Separate settlement versions are calculated once each day and published at 4 p.m. in London, New York and Singapore/Hong Kong.
Both benchmarks use free-float market capitalization to determine constituent weights. Under the system, cryptocurrencies with a higher market value of tokens considered available for trading receive a larger share of the index.
CME plans to review the baskets twice a year. Reconstitution and rebalancing take place on the first business day of June and December, allowing the constituent lists and their weights to change as qualifying assets move in market value.
The Emerging Crypto Index specifically seeks the 10 largest assets that meet its requirements after Bitcoin and Ether are removed from consideration. The Crypto Market Index targets 12 qualifying cryptocurrencies while keeping BTC and ETH eligible.
Eligibility goes further than market capitalization. Under the emerging index methodology, an asset must meet custody requirements, while meme coins are excluded. CME applies a protocol-use test based on total value locked relative to fully diluted market capitalization.
The methodology contains a separate provision for newly eligible assets when an index is first created. Cryptocurrencies that do not yet qualify under U.S. national stock exchange generic listing standards for crypto exchange-traded products can still enter if they are expected to comply within 30 days.
Such assets are limited to a combined maximum weight of 10% at inception. During later scheduled reviews, constituents are required to meet the generic listing standards in force at the time.
Emerging Crypto Index is designed for financial products The Emerging Crypto Index was built to be investible and capable of supporting passive replication by funds, according to its methodology. It can serve as a settlement benchmark for derivatives, giving the index a potential role beyond measuring spot crypto prices.
CF Benchmarks lists the emerging index as available for licensing for financial products, investment funds and derivatives. The Crypto Market Index carries the same licensing option.
CME has already used a multi-token benchmark as the settlement basis for listed crypto derivatives.
As crypto.news previously reported, the exchange launched crypto index futures in June that give traders exposure to eight cryptocurrencies through a single cash-settled contract.
Trading in the Nasdaq CME Crypto Index futures began June 8. The underlying basket contained Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ether, Solana, XRP, Cardano, Chainlink and Stellar Lumens when the contracts were introduced.
The standard futures contract trades under the NCI ticker and represents $10 multiplied by the index value, while the micro MCI contract is sized at $1 times the index. Both settle against the Nasdaq CME Crypto Settlement Price Index instead of requiring delivery of the underlying cryptocurrencies.
Before trading began, CME described the product as its first market-cap-weighted cryptocurrency futures contract when it announced the planned June launch in May.
The two benchmarks introduced Monday are separate index families from the Nasdaq CME benchmark used by those futures. Their methodologies and constituent baskets differ, with the Emerging Crypto Index specifically removing Bitcoin and Ether from its eligible universe.
CME has expanded regulated altcoin products in 2026 CME’s crypto derivatives lineup has moved further into individual altcoins during 2026, placing several assets now represented in the new indexes within its existing regulated market infrastructure.
In May, the exchange introduced Avalanche and Sui futures, adding two assets that now sit inside both of the new CME CF index baskets.
Standard Avalanche futures were launched with a contract size of 5,000 AVAX, accompanied by micro contracts representing 500 AVAX. Sui contracts were sized at 50,000 SUI, while their micro versions represented 5,000 tokens.
Those products joined existing CME futures tied to Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, XRP, Cardano, Chainlink and Stellar. The exchange had progressively added single-asset contracts as its cryptocurrency derivatives business moved past its original Bitcoin and Ether products.
Access to the crypto derivatives market changed again at the end of May when CME moved crypto trading to 24/7 on its regulated platform.
More than 7,200 cryptocurrency futures and options contracts changed hands during the first weekend after continuous trading started May 29, generating roughly $50 million in notional volume.
The schedule covers CME’s cryptocurrency futures and options while retaining brief maintenance periods. The change brought trading hours closer to the continuous operation of underlying crypto spot markets and removed the regular weekend closure that had previously separated CME trading from round-the-clock cryptocurrency markets.
CME’s two new index families operate continuously as well, with their real-time benchmarks updating once per second across the full 24-hour day. Their settlement versions provide fixed daily reference points across London, New York and Singapore/Hong Kong, while constituent eligibility and weighting are reassessed during the June and December reviews.
In brief Spot XRP ETFs took in $26.2 million on Aug. 28, extending a nine-day inflow streak and lifting cumulative net inflows to about $1.6 billion, per SoSoValue. Bloomberg's James Seyffart called the flows "surprisingly resilient" given XRP's soft price, noting Goldman Sachs, Jane Street, and Millennium lead holders, with investment advisers the top allocators. XRP traded near $1.39, down 2.7% on the day and 7.6% on the week; the ETF strength contrasts with Bitcoin funds snapping their own nine-day streak. Spot XRP exchange-traded funds are on a roll, stringing together nine straight days of net inflows even as the token's price has cooled.
The funds took in $26.2 million on Aug. 28, according to data from SoSoValue, extending an inflow streak that stretches back to mid-August and lifting cumulative net inflows to about $1.6 billion. In the last nine days alone, the funds have drawn in over $725 million.
Myriad: Where does XRP price go next? Click to make your prediction.With total net assets across the products standing at roughly $1.6 billion, recent daily hauls have ranged from around $2.4 million to more than $28 million. Decrypt's ETF flow tracker keeps its XRP sentiment reading "bullish."
The steady demand has impressed analysts given XRP's lackluster price. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart noted on X that XRP ETF flows have been surprisingly resilient, with money moving almost entirely in one direction to reach roughly $1.8 billion in cumulative net inflows by his count, a figure he called particularly impressive when stacked against the token's price over the same stretch.
Seyffart also broke down who's buying, citing second-quarter 13F filings. Goldman Sachs tops the list of spot XRP ETF holders with about $87.4 million in exposure, followed by Jane Street and Millennium Management. By category, investment advisers dominate as the largest holders and the biggest allocators of the quarter, well ahead of hedge funds and brokerages.
XRP ETF Net Flows. Image: DecryptAn ETF, or exchange-traded fund, is an investment vehicle that holds an underlying asset and trades on a traditional stock exchange, letting investors buy and sell shares through an ordinary brokerage account. The first XRP ETFs in the U.S. launched in November 2025, following the earlier approval of Bitcoin ETFs the previous year.
The current inflows come as the XRP cryptocurrency, originally created by the co-founders of Ripple, has struggled to hold its ground.
The token changed hands around $1.39 on Monday, down 2.7% over 24 hours, according to CoinGecko, and off roughly 7.6% over the past week, though it remains up about 38% over the past 14 days. A recent leverage unwind has tested XRP's rally, leaving traders weighing where it heads next.
The XRP ETF momentum stands in contrast to Bitcoin, where spot funds recently snapped a nine-day inflow streak even as Ethereum products kept drawing cash. The broader XRP ecosystem has also seen fresh institutional interest, with XRP treasury firm Evernorth recently clearing the SEC and heading towards a Nasdaq list.
The divergence between resilient fund inflows and soft spot prices remains the key tension for XRP heading into September, as traders set their sights on what the Federal Reserve does next for interest rates.
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In brief Spot XRP ETFs took in $26.2 million on Aug. 28, extending a nine-day inflow streak and lifting cumulative net inflows to about $1.6 billion, per SoSoValue. Bloomberg's James Seyffart called the flows "surprisingly resilient" given XRP's soft price, noting Goldman Sachs, Jane Street, and Millennium lead holders, with investment advisers the top allocators. XRP traded near $1.39, down 2.7% on the day and 7.6% on the week; the ETF strength contrasts with Bitcoin funds snapping their own nine-day streak. Spot XRP exchange-traded funds are on a roll, stringing together nine straight days of net inflows even as the token's price has cooled.
The funds took in $26.2 million on Aug. 28, according to data from SoSoValue, extending an inflow streak that stretches back to mid-August and lifting cumulative net inflows to about $1.6 billion. In the last nine days alone, the funds have drawn in over $725 million.
Myriad: Where does XRP price go next? Click to make your prediction.With total net assets across the products standing at roughly $1.6 billion, recent daily hauls have ranged from around $2.4 million to more than $28 million. Decrypt's ETF flow tracker keeps its XRP sentiment reading "bullish."
The steady demand has impressed analysts given XRP's lackluster price. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart noted on X that XRP ETF flows have been surprisingly resilient, with money moving almost entirely in one direction to reach roughly $1.8 billion in cumulative net inflows by his count, a figure he called particularly impressive when stacked against the token's price over the same stretch.
Seyffart also broke down who's buying, citing second-quarter 13F filings. Goldman Sachs tops the list of spot XRP ETF holders with about $87.4 million in exposure, followed by Jane Street and Millennium Management. By category, investment advisers dominate as the largest holders and the biggest allocators of the quarter, well ahead of hedge funds and brokerages.
XRP ETF Net Flows. Image: DecryptAn ETF, or exchange-traded fund, is an investment vehicle that holds an underlying asset and trades on a traditional stock exchange, letting investors buy and sell shares through an ordinary brokerage account. The first XRP ETFs in the U.S. launched in November 2025, following the earlier approval of Bitcoin ETFs the previous year.
The current inflows come as the XRP cryptocurrency, originally created by the co-founders of Ripple, has struggled to hold its ground.
The token changed hands around $1.39 on Monday, down 2.7% over 24 hours, according to CoinGecko, and off roughly 7.6% over the past week, though it remains up about 38% over the past 14 days. A recent leverage unwind has tested XRP's rally, leaving traders weighing where it heads next.
The XRP ETF momentum stands in contrast to Bitcoin, where spot funds recently snapped a nine-day inflow streak even as Ethereum products kept drawing cash. The broader XRP ecosystem has also seen fresh institutional interest, with XRP treasury firm Evernorth recently clearing the SEC and heading towards a Nasdaq list.
The divergence between resilient fund inflows and soft spot prices remains the key tension for XRP heading into September, as traders set their sights on what the Federal Reserve does next for interest rates.
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Ripple is preparing the XRP Ledger for a future quantum-computing threat, even as trader flags near-term downside risk for XRP (CRYPTO: XRP).
Four-Stage Roadmap For Q-DayRipple Senior Director of Engineering Ayo Akinyele told CoinDesk that the company is preparing the XRP Ledger for potential quantum-computing threats before the technology becomes powerful enough to break current cryptographic protections.
A sufficiently advanced quantum computer could theoretically derive private keys from publicly available information, potentially putting blockchain assets at risk.
Researchers call this scenario "Q-Day."
Ripple’s four-stage roadmap starts with identifying vulnerabilities and testing quantum-resistant cryptography before eventually running existing and new security systems in parallel and migrating the broader network.
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The plan also includes an emergency upgrade path if quantum computing advances faster than expected.
XRP Ledger already allows users to replace account keys without changing the underlying account. Network-wide changes would still require coordination among independent validators.
XRP’s Rejection At $1.55In an X post on Aug. 31, crypto trader Crypto Patel said XRP rejected the $1.55 resistance after briefly sweeping liquidity above the level, followed by aggressive selling that sent prices nearly 20% lower.
Patel said XRP has not yet confirmed a bullish breakout and needs weekly acceptance above its recent high.
If resistance holds, the trader sees $0.90 to $0.70 as the next major downside zone. Longer term, Patel still sees $10 as possible.
Over the past month, XRP has gained 30%, despite falling 8% over the past seven days.
Image: Shutterstock
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Investors are closely tracking significant developments in the XRP market as new signals emerge, fueled by rising on-chain activity, institutional advancements, and a notable ETF registration.
Warning on crypto scamsDigital Asset Investor, known for his commentary in the crypto space, recently issued a direct warning about fraud risks within the industry. Addressing his audience, he cautioned newer and younger traders to remain vigilant, emphasizing that schemes promising guaranteed returns should be seen with skepticism. He described encountering fraudulent activities firsthand, stating that deception persists across the sector, sometimes in unexpected locations.
There are Bernie Madoffs among us in crypto, and traders should treat any deal that appears too good to be true as a potential red flag.
He highlighted the importance of conducting due diligence and urged investors to maintain a cautious approach in a fast-moving environment.
ETF filing puts spotlight on XRPThe US Securities and Exchange Commission recently received a filing to register the ProShares XRP ETF and ProShares Ultra XRP ETF as fund series. This move broadens the suite of regulated products available to the market, offering institutional investors compliant paths to gain exposure to XRP. Digital Asset Investor identified this development as another positive indicator for the asset, reflecting a deepening institutional footprint within the XRP ecosystem.
The arrival of these products is seen as part of a continuing trend toward greater institutional involvement in crypto, which supporters believe could shape market dynamics in the coming months.
Altcoin cycle expectations and market sentimentMarket observers, including Digital Asset Investor, see the current phase as primed for a significant alt season. He referenced historical altcoin market capitalizations, highlighting $60 billion at the peak in 2018, $400 billion in 2021, and a projected $8 trillion for 2027. Despite recent price pullbacks linked to cautious Federal Reserve comments, he views these dips as potential buying opportunities rather than signals of fundamental weakness in XRP.
Alt season represents the biggest opportunity for investors during this bull run, and the current landscape suggests a major setup for upcoming gains.
With heightened volatility and critical macro developments shaping intraday swings, traders must monitor market signals closely. In a market where a single Fed decision or a sudden altcoin listing can change everything in seconds, moving between multiple apps for charts, news, and portfolio monitoring often proves costly for investors. Increasingly, traders are turning to privacy-first tools like CryptoAppsy, which consolidate real-time charts, smart price alerts, coin-specific news, and crucial macro data on one screen—without requiring users to create accounts.
On-chain metrics and infrastructural growthBullish on-chain data continues to reinforce positive sentiment. The number of receiving addresses on the XRP network climbed sharply to 926,000, representing an increase of more than 2,300%. Meanwhile, RLUSD supply on the XRP Ledger surpassed $1 billion, reflecting the growing utility and adoption of the XRP ecosystem.
Ripple announced that Joseph Thompson, previously head of treasury at the London Metal Exchange, has joined its trading and markets division to focus on tokenization strategy. The firm is also implementing a four-stage roadmap aimed at preparing the XRP Ledger to defend against future quantum computing threats.
Institutional access and infrastructureRipple’s prime brokerage arm is developing a unified infrastructure platform for institutions. This effort aims to provide streamlined access to liquidity, custody solutions, stablecoin utilities, and efficient payment flows. By bolstering the underlying platform, Ripple intends to position itself for the next evolutionary phase of digital asset infrastructure, coinciding with rising institutional interest in products tied to $XRP.
Goldman Sachs, Jane Street, and Millennium Management have emerged as the top holders of spot XRP ETFs, according to the latest Q2 13F filings reported by Bloomberg’s James Seyffart. These filings, which are mandatory disclosures for institutions managing over $100 million in qualifying assets, reveal significant institutional interest in XRP ETFs. The presence of these major financial entities could suggest a growing acceptance and adoption of XRP within traditional finance sectors. The data implies that XRP ETF exposure is becoming increasingly appealing to Wall Street market-makers and hedge funds.
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Key Takeaways The 13F filings appear to suggest significant institutional interest in XRP ETFs, as indicated by holdings from Goldman Sachs, Jane Street, and Millennium Management. Market pricing suggests that such institutional involvement could be consistent with increased confidence in XRP’s future performance. Current market pricing for XRP all-time high predictions by December 31, 2026, reflects an 8% probability, suggesting moderate optimism about potential price increases. What to Watch Markets will closely observe any further institutional investments in XRP ETFs, as increased inflows may support scenarios where XRP reaches a new all-time high. Key developments, such as potential XRP ETF approval with significant inflows or major financial institutions announcing new XRP usage, could influence market perceptions. Conversely, negative developments like substantial XRP ETF outflows or adverse regulatory actions may affect market confidence and pricing trends.
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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h September 30, 2026 1.7% — — View market → December 31, 2026 8% — — View market →
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CME Group’s share of XRP futures has surged amid a significant price increase in Ripple’s native token, XRP. Over the past week, XRP’s price has risen by 40%, coinciding with a rise in the futures market activity on the CME platform. This increase in futures market share suggests heightened institutional interest in XRP derivatives, as the token trades around $1.4. CME’s launch of cash-settled XRP futures in 2025 has now positioned the exchange as a pivotal player in the crypto derivatives market, alongside its offerings in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.
The heightened activity in CME’s XRP futures market is indicative of growing institutional confidence, which appears consistent with scenarios where XRP could approach an all-time high. The market for XRP reaching an all-time high by September 30, 2026, currently reflects a 1.7% probability, down from 2% a day ago and 3% a week earlier. For the end of 2026, the probability increases to 8.0%, suggesting that market participants may foresee potential catalysts later in the year.
Key Takeaways CME’s increased share of XRP futures appears consistent with rising institutional interest in XRP derivatives. The recent 40% surge in XRP’s price suggests potential positive sentiment around XRP’s future prospects. Market pricing reflects an increase in the perceived probability of XRP reaching an all-time high by the end of 2026. What to Watch Key developments to monitor include potential announcements from major financial institutions regarding XRP integration or ETF inflows, which could influence market expectations further. Additionally, regulatory actions by the U.S. SEC or macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate changes, may also impact the perceived likelihood of XRP reaching new highs. Watch for any significant volume changes in CME’s XRP futures, as these could provide further indications of shifting institutional perspectives.
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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h September 30, 2026 1.7% — — View market → December 31, 2026 8% — — View market →
Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Dogecoin (DOGE) remain weak after double-digit losses last week, testing their crucial Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) for immediate support. The technical outlook warns of further weakness in the prices of XRP, ADA, and DOGE as bullish momentum eases.
Ripple tests its 200-day EMA supportRipple trades around $1.3725, holding above the 50-day and 100-day EMAs, clustered around $1.21, and testing the 200-day EMA at $1.35, which collectively underpin a mild bullish near-term bias.
From a technical perspective, the 50% retracement level of the $2.41 to $0.98 downswing at $1.54 capped gains, resulting in a 10% pullback last week. A confirmed breakout below $1.35 could target the support cluster at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and the 50-day and 100-day EMAs near $1.21.
Momentum has cooled, with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) slipping slightly below its signal line, yet the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 61 still suggests constructive buying interest easing from overbought excess.
XRP/USDT daily price chart.On the topside, bulls face first resistance at the 50% retracement around $1.54, with additional barriers at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level near $1.99.
Cardano takes support at its 50-day EMACardano extends gains on Tuesday, advancing its 2% rise from the previous day above its 50-day EMA at $0.1916. The altcoin now tests the 100-day EMA at $0.1975, suggesting a mildly constructive near-term tone.
Still, ADA remains capped beneath the 200-day EMA at $0.2434, near the 50% retracement of the downswing from $0.4370 to $0.1382 at $0.2458. A confirmed breakout above $0.1975 could target the 200-day EMA at $0.2434.
Momentum shows weakness as the MACD slopes downward below its signal line, hinting at fading upside momentum, while the RSI around 51 suggests neutral conditions following the recent recovery.
ADA/USDT daily price chart.On the downside, initial support is provided by the 50-day EMA at $0.1916, serving as the next cushion; a deeper slide would expose the broader structural floor at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.1813, followed by the Fibonacci anchor around $0.1382.
Dogecoin risks further weakness below its 100-day EMADogecoin trades around $0.0828, holding just above the 100-day EMA at $0.0816 while remaining capped well below the 200-day EMA at $0.0954. This configuration suggests a neutral near-term bias.
From a technical perspective, the 100-day EMA at $0.0816 provides support against further downside after last week's 12% pullback. A confirmed breakout below this moving average could target the support cluster around the $0.0800 round figure and the 50-day EMA at $0.0787. Further weakness in DOGE could target the annual swing low near $0.0676.
The RSI around 55, hovering above the midline after easing from overbought conditions, suggests balanced momentum, while the MACD has slipped marginally below its signal line, hinting that recent upside momentum is fading.
DOGE/USDT daily price chart.On the topside, initial resistance is located at the horizontal barrier near $0.0879, marked by the February 11 low, followed by the 200-day EMA near $0.0954. A more significant horizontal barrier lies at $0.1000, where prior supply is likely to re-emerge if bulls attempt another leg higher.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
