Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana have once again become the focal point of the crypto market after simultaneously flashing monthly buy signals on the TD Sequential indicator. This development has fueled speculation that a long-term bottom might be forming across leading cryptocurrencies; however, analysts warn that the indicator alone does not guarantee the start of a sustained rally.
Unified technical signal emergesCrypto market analyst Ali Martinez reported that all four major cryptocurrencies triggered a TD Sequential buy signal on the monthly chart. Used primarily on higher timeframes, this indicator aims to spot moments when the prevailing trend is losing steam and the stage may be set for a reversal.
Glossary: The TD Sequential, developed by market analyst Tom DeMark, is a technical indicator designed to identify moments when trends are becoming exhausted and a possible reversal is imminent, using specific counting sequences.
The monthly chart is pointing to a simultaneous macro reversal setup. The TD Sequential indicator is giving a buy signal for Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana.
It is rare for all four major cryptos to show monthly buy signals at the same time. This technical improvement has fostered cautious optimism in the market, especially after the sharp volatility seen in recent weeks.
Latest on prices and futures marketsAccording to data from CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin was trading at $59,947.31, Ethereum at $1,615.92, XRP at $1.05, and Solana at $77.45. Analysts note that these large-cap assets are presenting a more positive picture compared to earlier market turbulence.
AssetPriceOpen Futures InterestBitcoin$59,947.31$8.50 billionEthereum$1,615.92$21.99 billionXRP$1.05$2.31 billionSolana$77.45$5.58 billionCoinGlass data shows the open interest in Bitcoin futures on Binance stands at $8.50 billion. Open interest for Ethereum has reached $21.99 billion. XRP and Solana report figures of $2.31 billion and $5.58 billion, respectively. This data suggests that interest in the derivatives market persists, indicating continued engagement from traders and investors.
ETF flows reflect ongoing cautionUS spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows totaling $222.60 million on July 1. Despite this, the total net inflows since these products launched have reached $51.59 billion. This pattern shows that while some investors are taking short-term profits, the broader trend has not been completely disrupted.
Spot Ethereum ETFs, meanwhile, recorded a net outflow of 16,715.33 ETH on June 30. Although institutional players continue to display caution, sentiment around longer-term demand remains upbeat.
Monthly buy signals may signal weakening selling pressure, but further confirmation is needed for a sustained recovery.
In the coming weeks, if Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana manage to hold above current price levels, strengthen ETF inflows, see a rise in open interest, and log increased buying volumes, the probability of a broader crypto market recovery will likely increase.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez said that signals indicating a long-term market reversal are emerging in major crypto assets, particularly Bitcoin. According to Martinez, the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator is giving a bullish signal for Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana on the monthly charts.
The analyst noted that trend exhaustion signals, especially those seen in higher timeframes like monthly charts, are significant. Martinez stated that in the past, multiple major crypto assets simultaneously generating monthly bullish signals indicated seller fatigue and long-term market lows.
Another data point highlighted by Martinez concerned the profit and loss status of Bitcoin’s supply. According to the analyst, for the first time in this cycle, the amount of Bitcoin held at a loss reached 10.45 million BTC, surpassing the 9.60 million BTC held at a profit.
Martinez said that the fact that more than half of the circulating Bitcoin supply is at a loss indicates that the speculative bubble in the market has largely cleared. The analyst argued that such crossovers have only been seen very close to major cycle bottoms in Bitcoin’s 15-year history.
Looking at past examples, a similar intersection first occurred in September 2011, and Bitcoin bottomed out in November 2011, starting a new bull market. The second intersection took place in September 2014, and after the market consolidated under these conditions until October 2015, it entered a new expansion period.
The third intersection, seen in November 2018, coincided with one of the harshest periods of the bear market. Following this, Bitcoin began a new bull cycle in March 2019. A similar intersection occurred during the liquidity crisis of March 2020, but this lasted only 17 days, and Bitcoin recorded a strong recovery by April 2020.
According to Martinez, the first supply intersection of the current cycle officially occurred in June 2026, and the metrics have continued to move in the opposite direction since then. The analyst argued that while such periods have lasted from a few weeks to a few months in past data, Bitcoin is currently trading in a region of high-reliability accumulation.
*This is not investment advice.
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Bitcoin reclaimed the $60,000 level, lifting major cryptocurrencies higher suggesting a potential long-term buying opportunity may be emerging despite lingering downside risks.
Notable Statistics:
Coinglass data shows 97,328 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours for $398.51 million. SoSoValue data shows net outflows of $222.6 million from spot Bitcoin ETFs on Tuesday. Spot Ethereum ETFs saw net outflows of $27.6 million. In the past 24 hours, top gainers include MemeCore, Jupiter and Venice Token. Notable Developments:
Trader Notes:
Crypto chart analyst Ali Martinez says the monthly charts for Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana are flashing Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential buy signals, a technical indicator often associated with trend exhaustion and potential reversals.
This suggests selling pressure may be fading and could mark the formation of a long-term market bottom.
Trader Jelle explained that historically Bitcoin bear markets have tended to bottom roughly a year after they begin, despite sentiment often feeling most pessimistic near the end of the cycle.
If the current cycle follows a similar timeline, the market could be about 75% through the downturn, indicating that the final phase of the bear market may be approaching. However, analysts caution that history does not guarantee the same outcome.
Trader KillaXBT expects short-term relief for Bitcoin despite maintaining a bearish longer-term outlook.
After sweeping major liquidation levels, BTC could stage a temporary rally before potentially making one final move toward the low $50,000 range.
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Ripple President Monica Long recently shared a vision for the future of digital payments. "The future of payments will be multichain, interoperable, and built on institutional-grade blockchain infrastructure," said the Ripple President.
The future of payments will be multichain, interoperable, and built on institutional-grade blockchain infrastructure.
Our focus is simple: continue making the XRPL the leading blockchain for institutional payments – and a natural home for the next generation of key regulated… https://t.co/8Pc5Yleskr
— Monica Long (@MonicaLongSF) June 30, 2026 Long was reacting to recent developments, including Ripple joining the Open USD stablecoin as a day-one integration partner, highlighting the company's commitment to open, multichain infrastructure that supports institutional adoption across the digital asset ecosystem.
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Open USD, a dollar-pegged stablecoin, was launched by a consortium of more than 140 financial and technology companies, including Visa, Mastercard, Stripe and Coinbase, on Tuesday.
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The roll call of backers resembles a cross-section of Wall Street and Silicon Valley. Ripple, BlackRock, BNY, Standard Chartered, Google and Shopify are all listed as founding partners.
With financial institutions showing growing interest in blockchain-based settlement and regulated stablecoins, Ripple President Long highlights the company's long-term strategy for expanding the role of the XRP Ledger, XRP and RLUSD in institutional finance.
XRP, XRPL and RLUSD vision outlinedAccording to Long, Ripple's focus remains simple: to continue making the XRP Ledger the leading blockchain for institutional payments. This demonstrates that Ripple is positioning the XRP Ledger as infrastructure for institutions seeking blockchain-based settlement solutions.
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Ripple is also concentrating its efforts to make the XRP Ledger a natural home for the next generation of key regulated stablecoins while growing the utility and adoption of RLUSD and XRP globally.
Long's comments show Ripple's commitment to enhancing the real-world utility and adoption of XRP alongside RLUSD as institutional demand continues.
Ripple Prime processes over $3 trillion annually on behalf of over 300 institutional clients, according to Mike Higgins. During a recent discussion, the Ripple Prime CEO shared where the infrastructure is headed next in an effort to bring the prime brokerage and clearing layer directly onto the XRP Ledger.
In a major XRP news today, a key on-chain whale indicator flipped negative for Ripple’s native crypto asset XRP. The on-chain metric now flashes a sell signal for the first time since February. Will XRP price witness further selling pressure and drop below $1 in the coming days amid growing headwinds?
Ripple Whale Flow Turns Negative for the First Time in 4 Months The XRP Whale Flow 30-DMA metric has now flipped negative, according to CryptoQuant on-chain data. This marks the first time the key Ripple whale indicator signaled selling pressure among whales after nearly 4 months.
XRP faced renewed distribution pressure over the past few weeks despite XRP Ledger upgrades, with Ripple whales liquidating their holdings. XRP price top in mid-May coincided with sustained whale distribution and a subsequent correction.
As CoinGape warned earlier, XRP whale activity has kept declining since early May. The whale accumulation dropped from 9-13 million daily whale activity to nearly 4 million XRP per day.
On Tuesday, whale flow dropped to 1.24 million. This indicates a shift in whale behavior amid rising uncertainty and a broader crypto market crash.
Ripple executive chairman Chris Larsen’s wallet addresses also became active again during this period. However, the transfers were significantly lower to shake XRP price.
XRP Whale Flow. Source: CryptoQuant XRP Funding Rates on Binance Hit 3-Month Low As XRP price failed to build upside momentum, funding rates for XRP perpetual contracts on Binance continued to fall. This indicates increasing selling pressure for Ripple’s native crypto asset in the derivatives market.
According to the latest funding rates data, the funding rate has fallen to almost -0.0139, the lowest level in more than three months. This means a shift in trader sentiment toward short positions.
Funding rates have fluctuated between positive and negative values over the past few months, triggering rising XRP prices and increased demand for long positions. However, this balance gradually shifted as bullish momentum weakened.
While persistently negative funding rates reflect weak market sentiment, reaching extremely low levels can sometimes trigger a short squeeze.
XRP Funding Rates. Source: CryptoQuant Will Price Fall amid Bearish XRP News? XRP price fell to a 24-hour low of $1.02 in the past 24 hours. But the price has since rebounded to $1.04, with a 24-hour high of $1.05. Moreover, trading volume has remained low in the past few days, indicating a decline in interest among traders.
Analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that XRP price could find support at $0.90. He highlighted that the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) on-chain data showed $0.80, $0.62, and $0.51 as key support levels to watch.
Moreover, XRP futures open interest fell nearly 2% to $2.28 billion as the Clarity Act passing odds tanked. The total open interest dropped more than 0.50% on CME and more than 2.30% on Binance.
Moreover, spot XRP ETFs recorded $2.83 million in net outflows on Tuesday, with Bitwise XRP ETF recording $5.82 million in redemptions. Also, Canary’s XRPC saw $2.99 million in inflows.
JPMorgan has voiced its support for the CLARITY Act, a legislative proposal designed to bring clearer rules to digital assets in the United States. Arguing that a transparent and consistent regulatory framework is vital for the growth of the crypto sector, the bank also cautioned that regulation should not be rushed.
Cautious optimism alongside support for regulationIn a joint opinion piece, JPMorgan executives Umar Farooq and Peter Muriungi stated that digital assets have moved beyond the realm of experimentation and are now becoming core elements of modern finance. The pair highlighted the growing use of digital assets in payment systems, trading, settlement, and cross-border transactions.
Umar Farooq and Peter Muriungi emphasized that digital assets have left behind their experimental phase, and are now a visible part of the financial infrastructure, from payments to international transfers.
According to the executives, the next frontier in financial innovation will be tokenization and programmable money. By moving real-world assets onto blockchain networks and automating transactions through smart contracts, processes such as settlement can be accelerated, costs lowered, and global payments made more efficient.
Glossary: Tokenization refers to creating a digital representation of real-world assets—such as stocks, bonds, or real estate—on a blockchain. Programmable money describes digital currencies that can transfer automatically when certain conditions are met.
Still, JPMorgan stressed that innovation should be matched by robust safeguards. The bank argued that an effective legal framework must clearly define consumer protections, market integrity, and the responsibilities of regulatory bodies. Without these, there is a risk that vulnerabilities will shift to less well-supervised areas.
Why this matters for Ripple and XRPThis approach carries particular significance for XRP and Ripple. Ripple has long grappled with regulatory uncertainty in the US. Its high-profile legal battle with the SEC concluded in August of last year. Despite some notable court victories for Ripple, a comprehensive framework governing the oversight of digital assets remains unresolved.
The CLARITY Act is designed to reduce this uncertainty and distribute regulatory responsibilities more clearly. With more defined rules, banks, fintechs, developers, and institutional investors could be expected to place greater trust in blockchain-based financial products.
Potential boost for institutional adoptionClearer regulation could provide a favorable environment for Ripple, which aims to enable faster and lower-cost cross-border payments. As the legal landscape becomes more defined, financial institutions may be more inclined to integrate Ripple’s payment technology and use XRP as an on-demand liquidity bridge asset.
JPMorgan’s support highlights a growing shift toward blockchain-backed financial infrastructure on a broader scale. Should the CLARITY Act become law, it is expected to reduce at least part of the regulatory uncertainty seen as a major obstacle to institutional participation.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
The monthly XRP Commodity Channel Index (CCI) has dropped to its lowest level in six years, closing way below the -100 baseline in June.
The decline came amid a weak close in June, when the indicator stood at -134.61 following a nearly 22% drop in XRP’s price for the month. This made June the asset’s worst monthly performance since February 2025.
XRP Commodity Channel Index Hits 6-Year Low While XRP has opened July with a small rebound, rising 0.61% to trade at $1.04487, the CCI has collapsed further this new month, currently sitting at -137.30.
For context, when the CCI falls below -100, it usually points to oversold conditions. At -137.30, XRP now sits far below its 20-period average, suggesting that the current level of selling may not last for long.
The last time XRP’s CCI reached a similar level was in March 2020, during the COVID-19 market crash, when the price dropped below $0.20. During this period, the Commodity Channel Index crashed to -140.67, marking XRP’s bottom for that downturn.
After the crash, XRP’s price recovered considerably and climbed to around $1.96 within the following year. While it is important to consider this historical context, it does not necessarily mean the same kind of recovery will happen again.
How the Current Decline Compares to 2020 The 1-month chart shows a similarity between the CCI low in March 2020 and the one recorded in June 2026, as both sit at nearly the same depth below the oversold level.
However, the reasons behind the two drops are different. In 2020, the market fell quickly due to an external shock and then recovered just as fast. This time, XRP has been moving down gradually since Q4 2025 within a falling channel.
The CCI also shows a secondary signal line at -3.69, as the main CCI remains at -137.30. The gap between these two lines creates room for a possible crossover, which traders often see as an early sign of recovery.
However, for now, no crossover has happened, so the oversold reading alone does not confirm a reversal. The price still needs to show clear signs of strength before any change in direction could emerge.
XRP Monthly CCI XRP Ichimoku Cloud Confirms Bearish Trend Meanwhile, the monthly Ichimoku Cloud confirms the extent of the ongoing bearish trend, as all four main components remain above XRP’s current price of $1.04487.
Specifically, the Tenkan-sen stands at $1.79398, while the Kijun-sen sits higher at $2.02423, placing it about 94% above the current price. Since the Tenkan-sen is below the Kijun-sen, the chart confirms a bearish crossover, showing that short-term movement still follows the broader downtrend.
Further, Senkou Span A is at $1.90910, and Senkou Span B is at $1.97650, forming a bearish cloud where Span B stays above Span A. This presents a strong resistance zone between $1.90910 and $2.02423, meaning XRP must push through a tight range of about $0.12 before the structure can turn neutral.
The only slightly positive signal comes from the Chikou Span, which compares the current price of $1.04487 with past price action from May 2024, when XRP traded below $1.00. The position gives a mild bullish signal but has little weight since the rest of the indicators remain clearly bearish.
XRP Falling Channel and Key Price Levels Also, XRP has moved within a falling channel since October 2025, forming a downward pattern across nine monthly candles. The upper boundary of this channel now sits between $1.40 and $1.60, while the lower boundary points to a range between $0.85 and $0.90. This lower area lines up with a key support level at $0.87493.
At the moment, XRP trades at $1.04487, just $0.04487 above the important $1.00 level. If the price closes below $1.00 on the monthly chart, it would break a key level that supported the early stages of the 2024 rally.
If this happens, the next support comes in at $0.87493, followed by $0.66158, a level last seen in early 2023 and about 37% below the current price.
On the upside, XRP faces multiple resistance levels. It must first move past $1.20, then break above the channel’s upper boundary between $1.40 and $1.60.
After that, it would need to clear the Tenkan-sen at $1.79398, the cloud between $1.90910 and $1.97650, and finally the Kijun-sen at $2.02423. Only a strong move above all these levels would shift the overall trend from bearish to neutral.
DisClamier: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not reflect The Crypto Basic opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.
Ripple has released 1 billion XRP into the market squarely on schedule.
Executed in the early hours of July 1, the release follows a predetermined, mathematically enforced cryptographic schedule that has governed the asset's supply since 2017.
According to on-chain tracker Whale Alert, the 1 billion tokens (valued at approximately $1.04 billion) were released across three separate tranches.
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On-chain data logged the transactions taking place at approximately 07:30 AM, confirming the exact 1 billion token figure. The funds were released from Ripple's escrow accounts in three distinct instalments.
Ensuring predicability The mechanism behind this massive monthly release is fully automated and hardcoded into the ledger. In December 2017, Ripple sought to eliminate fears of a sudden market dump by placing 55 billion XRP into a series of smart-contract-based escrows on the XRP Ledger. The system is programmed to release a maximum of 1 billion tokens on the first day of every month.
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A billion tokens unlocked does not mean a billion tokens flood the open retail market. Historically, Ripple returns a significant majority (often between 600 million and 800 million XRP) back into new escrow contracts shortly after the unlock, keeping only a fraction for operational expenses and institutional sales.
The primary metric the market watches is not the unlock itself, but rather the subsequent "re-escrow" transactions that typically follow within 24 to 48 hours. Those secondary transactions dictate the net new supply actually entering circulation for the month.
As reported by U.Today, CTO Emeritus David Schwartz addressed speculation that Ripple's XRP escrow could run dry by 2035. He stated that pinpointing an exact year is impossible because it depends entirely on Ripple's future operational needs and how much of the monthly 1 billion unlocked XRP gets returned to escrow.
In the meantime, crypto commentator Bill Morgan recently urged Ripple to speed up the release of its escrowed XRP tokens instead of continuously re-locking them. He argues that getting the circulating supply to 100% faster would allow XRP to quickly become "the best hard money."
Current estimates suggest it will take another nine years (around 2035) for Ripple’s remaining stash of roughly 38.15 billion XRP to be completely emptied.
As investments flow out of bitcoin, ether, sol ETFs, XRP and HYPE flows stand strong. (Tarik Haiga/Unsplash)Summary
This is an excerpt from CoinDesk newsletter 'Daybook.' Sign up here, if you haven't already.
XRP and Hyperliquid’s HYPE have emerged as notable bright spots amid record outflows from U.S. spot crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
XRP-linked ETFs added $59.4 million in June, a third straight month of net inflows, albeit at a slower pace than during the previous two months, according to SoSoValue data. HYPE funds notched up $161 million in net inflows during the month.
In contrast, bitcoin BTC$59,720.20 ETFs suffered record outflows of more than $4 billion, ether (ETH) ETFs saw $528.99 million in outflows and solana (SOL) ETFs shed $786,000.
The positive flows into both XRP and HYPE funds signal potential for significant spot price appreciation, particularly if bitcoin and the broader market stabilize.
HYPE also has support at the fundamentals level. Its parent, the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid, generated just over $80 million in fees over the past 30 days, according to DefiLlama. This places it third among all protocols and behind only stablecoin giants Tether ($486.9 million) and Circle Internet ($184.07 million).
Speaking of potential for market stability, July offers hope. According to Alex Kuptsikevich, the chief market analyst at the FxPro, July tends to be a positive month for the largest cryptocurrency.
"Over the past 15 years, bitcoin has ended the month higher on ten occasions and lower on five. The average gain was 19%, while the average decline was 7.8%," he said in an email.
Still, history is no guide to future performance and seasonality alone may not be enough and strong inflows into spot ETFs may be needed to lift BTC. Stay alert!
Read more: For analysis of today's activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's "Crypto Week Ahead."
What’s trendingBitcoin’s 20% June crash looks even deadlier on the charts. Here’s why (CoinDesk): Bitcoin’s June candlestick looks like a solid red brick with virtually no wicks, a clear sign of uninterrupted bear dominance throughout the month and a warning that more losses could happen in the weeks ahead.World shares ease, yields rise as yen hits 40-year low (Reuters): Equities around the world started the quarter cautiously ahead of key U.S. jobs data, as uncertainty over U.S.-Iran negotiations remained and traders watched for possible Japanese intervention in forex markets after the yen hit a 40-year-lows.Gold prices fall further after worst quarter in 13 years as interest rate fears hit bullion (CNBC): Gold prices fell further, after the precious metal closed its worst quarter in 13 years. Gold futures slipped 1.24% to $3,989.00.Trump pocketed more than $1 billion from crypto ties as industry headed toward slump (CoinDesk): President Donald Trump earned more than $1 billion from crypto sales and royalties last year while living in the White House and pursuing pro-crypto policies in his administration.Today’s signalThe SPDR gold shares ETF is slipping into a death cross. (TradingView)Need evidence of just how unpopular store-of-value assets are right now? Check out the SPDR Gold Shares ETF, the largest in the world.
Its price is slipping into a death cross, with the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day average. This indicator is widely viewed as a signal of long-term pain.
BlackRock's bitcoin ETF (IBIT) slipped into its own death cross in December and has since fallen by 35%.
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Building the Zcash Machine: Tachyon and Quantum Readiness
Zcash’s Tachyon upgrade aims to scale shielded payments, improve quantum readiness, and test whether its funding, security, and governance can hold.
Jun 30, 2026
Zcash’s Tachyon upgrade aims to scale shielded payments, improve quantum readiness, and test whether its funding, security, and governance can hold.
Why it matters:
Zcash’s Tachyon upgrade aims to scale shielded payments, improve quantum readiness, and test whether its funding, security, and governance can hold.
TLDR XRP price shows mixed signals as bullish patterns emerge while whale selling continues. Technical indicators suggest a short-term rebound may develop after recent selling pressure. Network activity has increased significantly, indicating stronger usage on the XRP Ledger. Whale transactions show continued selling, which may limit upward price movement. The $1.06 level remains a key support that could determine the next direction. XRP price approaches a decisive level as technical signals and on-chain data show conflicting trends. Recent indicators point to a possible rebound, yet large holders continue selling tokens. As a result, XRP price now trades near key support that may define its short-term direction.
Bullish Signals Suggest Short-Term XRP Price Rebound Technical indicators show early signs that XRP price may attempt a short-term recovery. The Tom DeMark Sequential indicator recently printed a “9” candlestick on the daily chart. This pattern often signals trend exhaustion and suggests a brief rebound may follow selling pressure.
At the same time, XRP price formed a Morning Star Doji pattern across three sessions. This formation often indicates fading bearish momentum and a possible local bottom. Therefore, traders may see this structure as an early signal of price stabilization.
If buying volume increases, XRP price could move toward the $1.27 resistance level. A stronger push may extend gains toward the $1.35 region. However, price strength depends on sustained demand and reduced selling pressure.
Rising Network Activity Supports XRP Price Outlook On-chain data shows a notable rise in XRP Ledger activity during recent weeks. Santiment reported that daily active addresses increased from 23,000 to nearly 40,000. This change reflects a sharp rise of about 50% within a short period.
Higher network activity often signals stronger engagement and growing transaction demand. Increased participation can support XRP price by improving liquidity conditions. Therefore, the recent surge may strengthen the broader market structure.
However, Santiment stated that “address growth may partly reflect internal movements rather than new demand.”
This comment suggests that activity alone may not confirm strong market demand. As a result, XRP price may still face pressure despite higher usage levels.
✍️ TL;DR: XRP’s massive new wallet creations & FOMO emerge in midst of price threatening to drop below $1
📊 Metrics used: Network Growth, Pos/Neg Social Ratio
🔗 Link to chart: https://t.co/0WJTZI6VSS
📉 $XRP is still hanging on to the $1.00 support zone, trading around ~$1.04… pic.twitter.com/41bd8NqCQJ
— Santiment Intelligence (@SantimentData) June 30, 2026
Whale Selling and Key Support Define XRP Price Path Large holders continue to reduce exposure, which adds pressure on XRP price movement. Santiment reported that whales sold more than 30 million XRP within five days. This selling activity may weaken bullish signals and limit upside potential.
Glassnode data identifies $1.06 as a critical support level for XRP price stability. More than 830 million XRP previously traded at this level, making it a strong demand zone. If price holds above this area, buyers may attempt a recovery.
A break below $1.06 could push XRP price toward lower support levels. Key areas include $0.80, $0.62, and $0.51, where past trading activity remains high. Therefore, XRP price now faces a make-or-break moment as signals remain divided.
The assumption is simple: Ripple goes public, XRP moons. The reality is that Ripple equity and the XRP token are different assets, and the channels connecting them are weaker than the hype suggests.
Summary
Ripple remains private with no S-1 on file, but a $750 million buyback fixed its valuation near $50 billion and private secondary shares have surged to about $136.90, keeping IPO speculation loud. Ripple equity and the XRP token are legally separate: owning XRP gives no claim on the company, and a public listing would not hand shareholders or token holders any automatic link between the two. The plausible transmission channels are sentiment, Ripple’s escrow and sell behavior, institutional validation, and value accrual, and each is weaker or more two-sided than the “IPO equals XRP moon” story assumes. There is a real counter-case that an IPO could pull capital away from XRP, by giving investors who want Ripple exposure a way to buy the stock instead of the token. The evidence so far is mixed: XRP briefly re-coupled to Ripple’s rising private valuation, yet the token is still down about 26% on the year, which points to weak, not strong, transmission. The reflex in the XRP community is automatic. Ripple goes public, the story goes, and XRP rockets alongside it. The logic feels obvious, because Ripple and XRP are wrapped together in the same brand, the same headlines, and the same decade of shared history. But an initial public offering sells shares in a company, and XRP is a token that confers no ownership of that company.
JUST IN: Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse says the company processed $13T in payments last year with no immediate IPO plans pic.twitter.com/f9bd80FPsX
— crypto.news (@cryptodotnews) May 5, 2026 Whether a Ripple listing would actually move the token is not a matter of sentiment or loyalty. It is a question of mechanism: through what channels, if any, would value flow from a Ripple equity event into the XRP price? This piece examines those channels one by one, and finds them thinner than the hype implies. The XRP holder payout question has already become a separate community obsession, but the XRP holder payout question is not the same as a price-transmission mechanism.
The starting point: Ripple equity and XRP are different assets Everything begins with a distinction the excitement tends to blur. Ripple Labs is a private company. XRP is a digital asset that trades on public exchanges. There is no mechanism that entitles an XRP holder to Ripple shares, dividends, or any slice of the company’s profits, and a public listing would not create one.
If Ripple lists tomorrow, an XRP holder owns exactly what they owned the day before: a token, not a piece of the business. The one concrete link runs the other direction. Ripple is itself one of the largest holders of XRP, with tens of billions of tokens held in escrow that it releases on a schedule and uses, in part, to fund operations. So the company’s relationship to the token is that of a giant holder and periodic seller, not a value conduit that passes equity gains down to token holders.
Ripple has no specific IPO timeline amid recent $500M raise
Ripple says it has no IPO timeline as fresh funding and acquisitions reduce the need for public markets.
— crypto.news (@cryptodotnews) January 7, 2026 That asymmetry matters for the whole analysis. When people say an IPO would help XRP, they are really claiming that something about Ripple becoming public would change demand for, or supply of, the token. The rest of this piece tests each version of that claim. Until then, Ripple equity and XRP should be treated as related but legally separate assets, not two versions of the same exposure.
Channel one: sentiment and attention The first and most immediate channel is psychological. An IPO would be a media event, a wave of coverage, analyst notes, and credibility that reframes Ripple from a litigation-scarred crypto firm into a public company vetted by underwriters and public markets. In a market where attention is a real driver of price, that halo could spill onto XRP, lifting the token on narrative even without any mechanical connection. That is the channel the community understands instinctively, because XRP has always traded partly on Ripple headlines.
There is some evidence this channel is live. When Ripple’s private secondary shares surged, one analysis linked the move to XRP briefly re-coupling with the company’s rising valuation, as the market started treating the private-share price near $136.90 as a fundamental signal for the token. That is the sentiment channel working in real time: a Ripple equity data point moving XRP through association rather than mechanics. It is also why where XRP could go from here depends partly on whether traders treat corporate news as a catalyst or just another temporary headline.
The limit is that sentiment is fickle and shallow. It can lift a token into an event and drop it just as fast afterward, and it does not build the sustained demand that holds a price up. A narrative bump around an IPO is plausible. A durable re-rating on sentiment alone is not, which is why this channel, while real, is the weakest foundation for a lasting move.
Channel two: Ripple’s escrow and sell behavior The most underappreciated channel runs through Ripple’s own balance sheet. Because Ripple holds a vast XRP escrow and sells tokens to help fund itself, anything that changes the company’s need to sell XRP changes the supply hitting the market. This is where an IPO could actually matter mechanically. A successful listing would raise cash and give Ripple a public currency, its own stock, to fund acquisitions and operations.
A cash-rich, publicly funded Ripple might lean less on programmatic XRP sales, easing a source of sell pressure that has weighed on the token for years. That is a genuine, if indirect, bullish path. Less selling from the single largest holder is a supply-side positive that does not depend on sentiment. It is the most concrete way an IPO could help XRP.
The two-sided catch is disclosure. Going public subjects Ripple to far heavier reporting requirements, which means the escrow, the sales, and the token’s role in Ripple’s finances would face new scrutiny from public-market investors and regulators. Greater transparency could reassure the market, or it could surface uncomfortable details about how much the company depends on token sales, which would cut the other way. The escrow channel is the strongest mechanical link, but its direction is not guaranteed.
Channel three: institutional access and validation The third channel is legitimacy. A public Ripple would sit inside the regulated financial system in a way it does not today, and that validation could radiate outward to the whole XRP ecosystem. The backdrop already leans this way: XRP was recognized as a commodity in March, and seven spot XRP exchange-traded funds are trading with roughly $1.43 billion in cumulative inflows. A high-profile Ripple listing would add another layer of institutional acceptance, potentially making allocators more comfortable holding XRP through regulated products.
The argument is that validation compounds. Each step that moves XRP from contested asset toward accepted infrastructure lowers the barrier for the next institution, and a Ripple IPO would be a large step. In a world where the token already has ETF access, a public parent company strengthens the case that the ecosystem is durable. That is also why XRP’s regulatory status matters more than the IPO hype itself: institutions care less about community excitement than about whether the asset can be held cleanly under durable rules.
The weakness is that validation of the company is not the same as demand for the token. Institutions can conclude that Ripple is a fine investment and express that view by buying the stock, which does nothing for XRP. Legitimacy is a soft tailwind, helpful at the margin, but it does not force anyone to buy the token. For a durable move, validation has to become measurable token demand, not just a better story around the issuer.
Channel four: the value-accrual problem This is the channel that breaks the simple story, and it is the most important. For an IPO to lift XRP durably, Ripple’s commercial success has to translate into demand for the token. But Ripple’s business and XRP’s value are only loosely coupled. Many of Ripple’s bank and payment partners use its software without touching XRP at all, and the company earns revenue from services, licensing, and acquisitions that do not route through the token.
Ripple can thrive as a company while XRP stagnates, because the token’s value depends on settlement usage and demand for XRP itself, instead of on Ripple’s profit and loss. This value-accrual gap explained is the reason a Ripple IPO is not the guaranteed catalyst holders imagine. An IPO rewards equity holders for the company’s success. It does not, by itself, create the on-chain demand that would lift the token.
Unless a listing changes how much XRP is actually used to move value, the mechanical link from Ripple’s public-market performance to the XRP price is faint. The token needs its own demand story, and the IPO does not write one. It may make Ripple more visible, more credible, and more valuable. None of that automatically makes XRP more scarce or more necessary.
The counter-case: an IPO could hurt XRP The overlooked possibility is that a Ripple listing works against the token. For years, buying XRP was one of the only ways for a public investor to express a view on Ripple’s success. An IPO removes that constraint by offering the pure play: if you want exposure to Ripple, you buy the stock, which actually owns the business, the revenue, and the growth. The token, which owns none of that, becomes the inferior vehicle for a Ripple bet.
That substitution could siphon capital and attention away from XRP toward the equity. Some of the speculative demand that flowed into the token as a Ripple proxy would rationally rotate into shares once shares exist. In this reading, the IPO does not transmit value to XRP at all. It competes with it.
The very event the community treats as the catalyst could turn out to be a drain, redirecting the Ripple trade into a security that leaves the token behind. That does not mean XRP must fall on a Ripple IPO. It means the direction is not obvious, because the listing creates both a halo effect and a substitute asset. The market would have to decide whether XRP remains the best way to trade Ripple’s ecosystem once Ripple stock exists.
What the evidence shows so far The cleanest test available is how XRP has behaved as Ripple’s private valuation has climbed. The answer is telling. Ripple’s secondary shares surged to about $136.90 and its valuation was fixed near $50 billion, and while XRP did briefly re-couple to that move on sentiment, the token still trades near $1, down roughly 26% on the year. If the transmission were strong, a 376% surge in Ripple’s private-share price should have dragged XRP sharply higher.
It did not. The token acknowledged the news and kept falling with the broader market. That is the empirical verdict: transmission exists, but it is weak. Ripple getting more valuable has not made XRP more valuable in any durable way, which is exactly what the value-accrual analysis predicts.
An actual IPO would be a bigger event than a private-share revaluation, so the sentiment bump could be larger. But the underlying mechanics that limited the private-market spillover would still apply to a public one. The stock would price Ripple’s business, while XRP would still need regulatory clarity, ETF flows, settlement usage, and broader market support. The link is real enough for traders to chase, but not strong enough to treat as automatic.
If the IPO is a weak lever, what is a strong one? The catalysts that genuinely drive XRP are the ones that change token demand or supply directly. Regulatory outcomes rank first: whether crypto market-structure legislation codifies XRP’s status cleanly, which affects how freely institutions can hold it. ETF flows rank second, because sustained inflows into the seven XRP funds are real, measurable demand for the token.
Settlement usage ranks third: whether XRP is actually used to move value at scale, against the escrow supply that keeps entering the market. That is where XRP fits in settlement becomes more important than the IPO narrative. XRP needs recurring use as a bridge asset or liquidity tool, not just Ripple’s name in public-market headlines. And the direction of Bitcoin and the broader market ranks alongside all of them, since XRP rarely fights the tape.
Against those, a Ripple IPO sits at the edge of the picture. It could add a sentiment bump, it could ease Ripple’s XRP selling, and it could burnish the ecosystem’s legitimacy. Each is a real but modest channel, and at least one plausible effect points the wrong way. The honest conclusion is that a Ripple IPO would be a meaningful corporate event that most likely moves XRP far less than the community expects, and possibly not in the direction they assume.
The Coinbase and Circle precedent The clearest way to test the transmission question is to look at crypto-adjacent companies that already trade publicly, because they show what happens when a company and the tokens around it are separated on public markets. Coinbase is the obvious case. Its stock gives investors exposure to the exchange’s revenue, which rises and falls with trading volume, but owning the stock is not the same as owning the assets that trade on it. When crypto rallies, Coinbase revenue tends to rise, so there is a loose correlation, yet the stock and the broader token market frequently move apart, because the equity is priced on the business and the tokens are priced on their own supply and demand.
Circle offers a sharper version of the lesson. Circle issues the USDC stablecoin, but USDC is a dollar-pegged token that does not float, so Circle equity captures the value of the issuing business, the reserves, the yield, the growth, while the token itself is designed to stay at a dollar. The company can be worth a great deal while the token it issues, by construction, accrues none of that equity value. That is the extreme illustration of the point: a token and its issuer’s stock can be almost entirely decoupled.
Congrats to @Bullish on a successful IPO! 👏
A portion of the IPO proceeds were settled in $RLUSD, minted on the XRP Ledger. This is the first public listing to bring the settlement process onchain and sets a precedent for how stablecoins can shape future listings. https://t.co/AD4AkpPnLD
— Ripple (@Ripple) August 19, 2025 XRP sits somewhere between these cases. It is not a dollar peg, so it can appreciate, but it is also not an equity claim on Ripple, so it does not capture the company’s growth the way shares would. Even when Ripple-linked infrastructure appears in real capital-markets events, such as stablecoin settlement using RLUSD on the XRP Ledger, the immediate value still tends to accrue to the rails, the issuer, or the company before it accrues to XRP itself. The precedent from public crypto companies is that the market prices the business and the token separately, and a listing that rewards the equity does not automatically reward the associated token.
A Ripple IPO would most likely follow the same script, with the stock absorbing the value of the business while XRP continues to trade on its own drivers. That does not make the IPO irrelevant. It makes it indirect. The market would finally have a clean way to buy Ripple, and that could clarify how much demand for XRP was really token demand versus company-proxy demand all along.
What a realistic IPO scenario looks like for XRP It helps to walk through how an actual Ripple listing would probably play out for the token, stage by stage, because the timeline reveals where the modest effects concentrate. In the announcement phase, when Ripple confirms an S-1 or a date, expect a sentiment spike: headlines, community excitement, and a short-term bid in XRP as traders position for the event. This is the sentiment channel firing, and it could produce a sharp but shallow move that fades as the news is absorbed.
In the run-up to the listing, attention would build, and XRP could trade with elevated volatility as speculation swings between the “IPO lifts XRP” and “IPO competes with XRP” theses. Some capital that had been using XRP as a Ripple proxy might already begin rotating toward the anticipated equity, capping the token’s upside even amid the excitement. The listing itself would be an equity event: shares price, the stock trades, and the value of Ripple’s business gets marked by the market. XRP would react mostly to the tone, a strong debut lifting sentiment, a weak one dampening it, rather than to any mechanical flow.
In the aftermath, the durable question resurfaces: does anything about a public Ripple change token demand or supply? If a cash-rich Ripple eases its XRP selling, that supply relief could support the token over time, the most concrete lasting benefit. If investors conclude the stock is the better Ripple bet, capital could keep rotating out of XRP into shares. The realistic net is a sentiment-driven spike around the event that mostly fades, a possible modest supply-side benefit if Ripple sells less XRP, and an ongoing competitive pull from the equity.
That is a meaningful corporate story with a muted and two-sided token effect, which is a long way from the moonshot the community pictures. The IPO could matter. It just would not erase the legal separation between the company and the token. XRP would still need its own demand engine.
Frequently asked questions Does owning XRP give you a stake in Ripple? No. XRP is a digital token that trades on public exchanges and confers no ownership of Ripple Labs, no shares, no dividends, and no claim on the company’s profits. Ripple the company and XRP the token are legally separate. A Ripple IPO would sell shares in the business, and holding XRP would give you no automatic right to those shares or their gains.
Has Ripple actually filed to go public? Not as of late June 2026. Ripple remains private with no S-1 on file and no confirmed date, and executives have repeatedly downplayed the urgency of a listing. The speculation is driven by signals such as a $750 million share buyback that fixed the valuation near $50 billion and a surge in private secondary shares to about $136.90, not by an official filing. That distinction matters because IPO speculation can move sentiment long before any legal filing exists.
Could a Ripple IPO raise the XRP price? It could, through weak and indirect channels. A listing could lift XRP on sentiment, could ease sell pressure if a cash-rich public Ripple relies less on XRP sales, and could add legitimacy to the ecosystem. None of these is a mechanical guarantee, and the evidence so far shows only faint transmission from Ripple’s rising valuation to the token. The stronger catalysts are still regulatory clarity, ETF flows, and actual XRP settlement usage.
How could an IPO hurt XRP? By offering a substitute. An IPO would let investors who want Ripple exposure buy the stock, which actually owns the business, instead of the token, which does not. Some speculative capital that flowed into XRP as a Ripple proxy could rotate into the equity once it exists, redirecting demand away from the token rather than toward it. That is why a Ripple IPO is not automatically bullish for XRP.
What is the value-accrual problem? It is the gap between Ripple’s success and XRP’s value. Many Ripple partners use its software without touching XRP, and much of its revenue does not route through the token. So Ripple can prosper as a company while XRP stagnates, because the token’s value depends on settlement usage and its own demand, not on Ripple’s profit and loss. This is why an IPO is not a guaranteed catalyst.
Did XRP move when Ripple’s private valuation rose? Briefly and weakly. When Ripple’s secondary shares surged to about $136.90, one analysis linked it to XRP re-coupling with the valuation on sentiment. But XRP still trades near $1, down about 26% on the year, so a large rise in Ripple’s private-share price did not drag the token durably higher. That points to weak transmission between the two.
What actually drives the XRP price? The strongest drivers are regulatory clarity on XRP’s status, sustained ETF inflows into the seven spot XRP funds, real settlement usage against the escrow supply, and the direction of Bitcoin and the broader market. These change token demand or supply directly. A Ripple IPO sits at the edge of that list, a modest and two-sided factor instead of a primary catalyst. The event may affect attention, but attention is not the same as recurring demand.
Would Ripple sell more or less XRP after an IPO? Possibly less, which would be the most concrete bullish channel. A listing would raise cash and give Ripple a public stock to fund operations and deals, potentially reducing its need to sell XRP from escrow. The offsetting risk is that going public brings heavier disclosure of the escrow and token sales, which could reassure or unsettle the market depending on what it reveals. The direction depends on what the filings show and whether Ripple actually changes its sell behavior.
Disclaimer: This article is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, and corporate plans such as an IPO are speculative and can change. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed professional before making financial decisions. Figures are accurate as of July 1, 2026, and will change.
Crypto companies have spent $189 million on the 2026 U.S. midterm elections so far, accounting for 37% of all corporate political spending this cycle, according to a new Public Citizen report.
Ripple, Crypto.com, And Coinbase Are Writing The Biggest ChecksEntities tied to Gemini (NASDAQ:GEMI) and the Winklevoss twins added another $25.7 million, bringing those four groups alone to roughly $149 million combined.
The money flows primarily to two destinations. Fairshake, the crypto-focused super PAC, received $82.6 million in crypto-related contributions this cycle.
MAGA Inc., the Trump-backing super PAC, received $56.2 million from crypto companies, with Crypto.com alone sending $35 million directly to that vehicle.
Crypto Is Outspending AI, Big Tech, And Online Betting CombinedThe report puts total corporate political spending across crypto, AI, big tech, and online betting at $294 million this cycle.
Crypto accounts for $189 million of that total on its own, more than AI and big tech ($60 million) and online betting ($45.6 million) put together.
Andreessen Horowitz leads all corporate donors at $51.65 million, but shifted its focus this cycle toward the AI-prioritizing Leading the Future PAC with a $50 million contribution, stepping back from its prior heavy involvement with Fairshake.
Cantor Fitzgerald, the Wall Street firm that serves as Tether’s banking partner, contributed $10 million to Fellowship PAC, a third crypto-focused political vehicle.
The CLARITY Act Is What This Money Is Trying To BuyCrypto’s 2024 spending helped pass the GENIUS Act, which created a federal framework for stablecoins.
The industry is now pushing for the CLARITY Act, which would extend federal regulation to the broader crypto market.
That bill has stalled in the Senate, and analysts say it almost certainly dies if Democrats retake the House in November before it passes.
Public Citizen Research Director Rick Claypool said the full amount of corporate spending is likely higher than FEC disclosures show, since dark money groups allow corporations to conceal contributions entirely.
The $189 million figure already exceeds crypto’s entire $170 million spend during the 2024 election cycle, and November is still four months away.
Image: Shutterstock
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XRP is currently hovering close to a crucial support area as technical indicators and on-chain data point in different directions. While short-term rebound scenarios are being discussed, ongoing selling activity from large investors continues to exert downward pressure on the price. Against this backdrop, XRP’s near-term outlook appears set to fluctuate around the $1.06 level as July 2026 approaches.
Signs point to possible short-term recoveryOn the daily chart, the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator has triggered a “9” candle signal, viewed as a sign of exhaustion after the latest round of selling. This development suggests that the downward trend is weakening and a brief price recovery could be on the horizon.
Adding to the positive signals, XRP has formed a Morning Star Doji pattern over the past three sessions, which in technical analysis often indicates that downward momentum is fading and a local bottom may be forming. If buying volume picks up notably, the price could first target $1.27, followed by the $1.35 zone.
Network data reveals higher usageOn-chain activity on the XRP Ledger has accelerated in recent weeks. Data from Santiment shows that the number of daily active addresses has risen from 23,000 to around 40,000, marking an almost 50% increase in a short period. The XRP Ledger is known as the distributed ledger infrastructure where transactions in the Ripple ecosystem are recorded.
Santiment noted that some of the address increase may be driven by internal movements between wallets, rather than new demand.
This assessment suggests that while on-chain activity is rising, it does not necessarily confirm strong market demand on its own. Nevertheless, the growing usage is not being dismissed entirely, as it could support liquidity conditions and influence price dynamics.
Large investor sales highlight key supportDespite these positive signals, significant attention is being drawn to ongoing sales by large holders. According to Santiment, major investors—often referred to as whales—have sold over 30 million XRP within the past five days. If this selling continues, it could limit any potential upward movement in the short term.
Data from Glassnode highlights the $1.06 level as a critical support point for XRP. More than 830 million XRP have previously changed hands in this zone, making it an area closely watched by analysts as a potential region where buyers could return in strength.
If the price remains above $1.06, the prospects for a short-term recovery improve. However, if this support is breached, subsequent support levels are seen at $0.80, $0.62, and $0.51. Currently, XRP finds itself at a pivotal point, with bullish signals and selling pressure creating a delicate balance in the market.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
XRP and HYPE ETFs saw significant net inflows in June 2026, amounting to $59 million and $161 million, respectively, according to CoinDesk. This development contrasts with the broader trend of outflows in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs during the same period. These inflows may indicate increased institutional interest in these assets, supported by regulatory developments such as the CLARITY Act for XRP and strong on-chain demand for HYPE. XRP’s price hovered around $1.30 in early June, while HYPE reached approximately $57, close to its all-time high.
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Key Takeaways XRP and HYPE ETFs’ net inflows in June suggest growing institutional interest, contrasting with outflows in other crypto ETFs. Market pricing suggests that the inflow into XRP ETFs could influence XRP’s price, potentially pushing it higher. Regulatory clarity and robust on-chain demand appear to support these inflows and the positive market sentiment surrounding XRP and HYPE. What to Watch Watch for the potential impact of regulatory developments, particularly the passage of the CLARITY Act, which could further influence XRP’s price movement. Additionally, any significant announcements from major asset managers regarding XRP ETFs might affect the pricing. Observing XRP’s ability to break resistance levels, such as $1.45, and market reactions to broader crypto trends will be crucial in the coming days.
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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h July 6 1.8% — — View market → July 6 26% — — View market → July 6 55.5% — — View market → July 6 1.4% — — View market → July 6 2.2% — — View market →
Blockchain development firm Peersyst has revealed plans for a major new upgrade to the XRP Ledger EVM sidechain, known as XRPL EVM. This sidechain brings Ethereum-compatible smart contract capabilities to the XRP Ledger. The company stated that version 11 of the software will strengthen economic security, make cross-chain operations safer, improve validator management, and enhance the resilience of the network’s infrastructure.
Testnet proposal might arrive this weekAccording to Peersyst, an initial proposal for the upgrade could be introduced on the testnet as early as this week, with the transition to the mainnet to follow. The XRPL EVM sidechain was first launched on mainnet in June 2025. Since then, the network has undergone gradual improvements, including the integration of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin into the ecosystem in June.
Peersyst highlights that the main goal of version 11 is not to introduce new features, but to make the network more secure, resilient, and easier to operate.
The company also noted that many of the changes introduced in this release may not be immediately noticeable to developers or end-users. Nevertheless, the upgrade is expected to play a fundamental role in ensuring the long-term security and stability of the network.
Two major changes in validator structureVersion 11 brings a range of new developments, particularly in validator management, cross-chain infrastructure, and internal security processes. Peersyst describes this as a security-first update. The highlights include bolstering economic security, reducing the network’s attack surface, and strengthening both the validator and IBC layers.
Mini glossary: IBC refers to the communication layer that enables different blockchains to transfer data and assets between each other. Proof of Authority is a consensus model where validators are selected based on an authorization mechanism, rather than open participation.
XRPL EVM operates using the Proof of Authority consensus model. In this system, joining the validator set depends on approval from a designated authority instead of open staking. With version 11, the standard method for creating validators will be closed after network launch, effectively preventing any party outside the authorized mechanism from joining the validator set.
The update also introduces a significant change in how validators leave the system. Now, validators will be able to exit the network at their own discretion, without having to wait for intervention from the authority. This move is intended to streamline operational processes and provide more flexibility in validator management.
AI-powered audit processPeersyst also disclosed that the XRPL EVM sidechain now undergoes regular, AI-supported security audits. Version 11 will be the first release to fully benefit from this new end-to-end audit process. The company aims for this approach to make internal security processes more systematic and to support earlier identification of potential vulnerabilities.
The v11 release is described as a comprehensive update package that prioritizes economic security, minimizes attack surfaces, and reinforces both validator and IBC layers.
This approach underscores Peersyst’s commitment to enhancing the robustness and resilience of the XRPL EVM sidechain. The company is focused on long-term improvements rather than short-term feature additions, and these changes are positioned as vital for the ecosystem’s future stability.
Although end-users and developers may not immediately notice direct impacts, Peersyst emphasizes that these underlying changes are expected to fortify the network’s foundation. The improvements align with industry best practices on blockchain security and validator governance.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
TL;DR
Shiba Inu entered Q3 with a major supply shift: investors withdrew 2.6 trillion SHIB from centralized exchanges after the token closed its worst Q2 on record with a 29.5% quarterly drop.XRP defended the $1 level at the Q2 close: buyers held the token above its key psychological support as the price bounced near the 3-month 23 EMA, preserving the broader bullish structure.Citi cut its Bitcoin forecast by 27%: the bank lowered its 12-month BTC target from $112,000 to $82,000, citing capital rotation from crypto into artificial intelligence.Bitcoin is stuck near critical support: BTC is trading close to $58,500 after its worst month in a year, with the $53,000–$58,000 zone now deciding whether Citi's bearish $53,000 scenario comes into play.The broader crypto market opens July defensively: ETF outflows, tighter Fed expectations, stalled U.S. crypto legislation and thin holiday liquidity leave traders exposed to sudden weekend moves.Investors withdrew 2.6 trillion SHIB from exchanges after the worst quarter in historyThe meme-cryptocurrency market closed the quarter with a major regrouping of forces. According to Arkham, on June 30, investors withdrew 2.6 trillion Shiba Inu (SHIB) tokens from centralized exchanges in a single move. This powerful on-chain outflow was the culmination of an entire month — for thirty days, major players had been systematically draining wallets on trading platforms such as Binance and Kraken.
The massive token withdrawal coincided with a historic low. According to CryptoRank statistics, Shiba Inu has just closed the worst second quarter in its history, with Q2 2026 ending in a -29.5% decline. In June alone, the token fell by 24%, dropping to the $0.000004194 level — SHIB has never had such a prolonged summer downtrend in all previous years.
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On-chain exchange flow for Shiba Inu (SHIB), Source: ArkhamThe only clear pattern behind this pre-Q3 exodus is historical cycles: for the last four years, from 2022 to 2026, July has always closed in positive territory for SHIB — for example, by +13.4% in 2022 and +8.92% in 2025. Moving assets to cold wallets right before July technically dries up exchange supply, reducing pressure on order books before the start of the new quarter.
Nevertheless, this token deficit is only an internal movement of capital. Whether it turns into a July rally, or whether the transfer of 2.6 trillion SHIB was just a routine technical reshuffling inside funds with no connection to growth expectations, will become clear in the coming weeks.
Rare macro trend saved XRP at the Q2 closeXRP buyers managed to defend the key psychological level of $1.00 at the most important moment — the close of Q2 2026. The June decline, triggered by a broader cooling of the crypto market, stopped around $1.01–$1.04 — exactly where the chart met a strong long-term support level that had been forming over the past several years.
The main protective factor for the asset was a rare macro trend. On the three-month (3M) chart by TradingView, it is clearly visible that the price landed precisely on the 23-period exponential moving average (23 EMA). This green indicator line acted like a reinforced-concrete barrier, as it protected the global uptrend and did not allow sellers to close the quarterly candle below the critical dollar mark.
3-month XRP price chart with moving averages attached, Source: TradingViewPanic among retail traders during the sell-off was offset by a restrained external backdrop and the cold calculation of major players. Some of the market pressure was eased by steady capital inflows into spot XRP ETFs and the long-awaited completion of important regulatory deadlines in the United States.
In particular, this refers to the California Digital Financial Assets Law (DFAL), which came into force on July 1, and for which Ripple adapted its custody services in time, reducing legal risks.
Holding the moving average at the Q2 close preserved the integrity of XRP's global bullish structure. The fact that the price held above $1.00 protected the market from automatic stop-order triggers, which otherwise could have set off a deep chain correction at the very start of July.
AI instead of crypto: Why Citigroup cut its Bitcoin forecast to $82,000American investment bank Citigroup revised its expectations for the cryptocurrency market, cutting its 12-month Bitcoin forecast from $112,000 to $82,000 and its Ether forecast from $3,175 to $2,240.
The main reason for such a significant revision of its models was the massive outflow of institutional capital into the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, which is now showing record returns and appears to be a more tangible growth driver for large investors.
Against this backdrop of rotation, Citi analysts completely reset their expectations for net inflows into spot ETFs over the next year, lowering the target from the previous $10 billion to zero. This is supported by stark market statistics: since the beginning of the current year, net outflows from Bitcoin funds have already exceeded $3.3 billion.
Citigroup updated base case for Bitcoin aligned with upper Bollinger Band on a weekly timeframe, Source: TradingView Additional pressure on the industry is coming from the prolonged political deadlock in the U.S. Senate, where the adoption of sector-specific legislation has stalled, as well as from growing risks that large corporate treasuries may begin selling their digital reserves to cover operating expenses.
Under its updated scenarios, Citi sees Bitcoin's base-case target at $82,000. However, if capital outflows from ETFs accelerate further, a severe bearish scenario could be triggered, sending the price down to $53,000.
Crypto market outlook: Break below the 200-week MA and ETF flight pin Bitcoin to supportThe crypto market is opening July in deep defense mode: fear is intensifying, capitalization is shrinking again, and Bitcoin is holding near a yearly low after its worst month in a year. Pressure is coming from three factors at once — record ETF outflows, a more hawkish Warsh-led Fed, and the failed momentum around the CLARITY Act.
Key checkpoints:
Bitcoin's trend breakdown: BTC is trading near $58,500, losing 2.2% over the past 24 hours and staying close to its yearly low of $58,190 after falling 20.5% in June. It also closed below the 200-week moving average (MA) for the first time since 2023.Regulatory split in the EU: The launch of MiCA on July 1 forced Binance, MEXC and Bitget to suspend part of their services in the European Union. The delisting of USDT affected the stability of $186 billion in capital. OKX, Backpack and Coinbase are introducing deposit bonuses to capture the freed-up share of the European market.Record ETF exhaustion: Spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $4.5 billion in June — the worst month since the instrument launched in 2024. The main blow fell on BlackRock's IBIT, from which investors withdrew $3.55 billion.The Warsh Fed removes the macro driver: The first meeting under Kevin Warsh shifted market expectations toward tighter policy. The updated dot plot effectively removed the fast rate-cut scenario and left the crypto market without a key growth catalyst.Political deadlock around the CLARITY Act: The odds of the law passing in 2026 on Polymarket fell to 48%, down from 74% a month earlier. The reason is the breakdown of negotiations over ethics provisions. The next window for legislative progress will open only after senators return on July 13.Macro calendar and thin liquidity: On Thursday, July 2, the Non-Farm Payrolls report, the unemployment rate and Initial Jobless Claims will be the nearest test. The situation is worsened by the long weekend in the U.S. for Independence Day on July 4. The closure of traditional venues and the absence of U.S. market makers will sharply reduce order book depth, multiplying the risks of manipulation and cascading liquidations over the weekend. You Might Also Like
The cryptocurrency market trades under intense headwinds on Wednesday, led by Bitcoin’s (BTC) deepening sell-off below $60,000. The Crypto King hovers above $58,000.
Altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) are tracking Bitcoin’s downward momentum, with ETH confined to the $1,500–$1,600 range and XRP testing critical support at the $1.00 level.
Crypto sentiment remains fragile as capital outflows persistSentiment in the broader crypto market remains significantly subdued, as reflected in the Fear & Greed Index, which holds in Extreme Fear territory at 11 on Wednesday, down from 15 the previous day. Persistently weak risk appetite dampens demand for risk assets and constrains price movement across the market.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index | Source: AlternativeOutflows from US-listed Bitcoin spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) underscore waning institutional interest, with $223 million withdrawn on Tuesday alone. This marks the ninth consecutive day of net redemptions, reinforcing the ongoing bearish narrative.
Despite the outflows, cumulative inflows remain positive at $51.15 billion, while net assets under management average $70.95 billion.
Bitcoin ETF flows | Source: SoSoValueEthereum spot ETFs present a similar grim picture to BTC, with outflows totaling $28 million on Tuesday, down slightly from $30 million on Monday. According to SoSoValue, ETH ETF outflows have persisted for the ninth consecutive day, reflecting ongoing market caution.
Despite the current market headwinds, cumulative inflows hold steady at $10.85 billion, with total assets under management at $8.33 billion, signaling that conviction among long-term investors remains resilient.
Ethereum ETF flows | Source: SoSoValueInterest in XRP spot ETFs took a downturn, with nearly $3 million in outflows on Tuesday, after logging two consecutive days of notable inflows totaling $16 million on Friday and $15 million on Monday.
Cumulative inflows hold steady at $1.48 billion while net assets under management average $944 million, according to SoSoValue data. Appetite for XRP investment products has remained relatively steady despite the headwinds experienced in recent weeks.
XRP ETF flows | Source: SoSoValuePrice analysis: Bitcoin extends losses amid technical weaknessBitcoin trades at above $58,000, keeping a clear bearish bias as price sits well below the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram remains slightly negative while both lines hover below the zero line on the daily chart, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds near 30, which together suggests persistent but somewhat fatigued downside momentum rather than an imminent bullish reversal.
BTC/USDT daily chartOn the topside, initial resistance emerges at the 50-day EMA near $66,333, with further barriers at the 100-day EMA around $70,124 and the broken descending trendline region close to $75,348, before the broader bearish cap from the 200-day EMA at about $76,174. This is the first time Bitcoin has traded around the $58,000 psychological support since September 2024, underscoring the broader bearish outlook. Other key areas of interest for traders include $56,000 and $52,000, where investors may reengage to increase exposure.
Altcoins technical outlook: Ethereum and XRPEthereum trades at $1,575 maintaining a bearish near‑term bias as the spot price holds well below the key moving averages. The 50‑day EMA at roughly $1,814 sits as the nearest dynamic cap, with the 100‑day EMA around $1,994 and the 200‑day EMA near $2,286 reinforcing a broader downtrend structure.
The MACD histogram has inched into positive territory on the daily chart, hinting at a modest attempt to stabilize, but the RSI hovering in the mid‑30s suggests that rebounds are still occurring within a weak, corrective context rather than a sustained trend reversal.
ETH/USDT daily chartOn the topside, immediate resistance lies at the 50‑day EMA around $1,815. A daily close above this zone would be required to ease the current downside pressure and open the way toward the descending trendline resistance near $1,946. Beyond these barriers, the 100‑day EMA at about $1,994 and the 200‑day EMA close to $2,286 form successive hurdles that would need to be reclaimed to shift the medium‑term outlook back toward a constructive bias. Looking down, trading below the narrow range support at $1,500 could reinforce an extended bearish trend.
XRP trades at $1.04, keeping a bearish near-term tone as it sits well below the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day EMAs clustered from roughly $1.19 to $1.52. The long-standing descending resistance trendline, with a break price around $1.23, continues to cap the broader structure, while the RSI hovering near 33 on the daily chart hints at lingering weak momentum rather than a decisive oversold rebound.
The MACD histogram holds just below zero with a marginally negative reading, suggesting downside pressure is fading but not yet reversed.
XRP/USDT daily chartOn the topside, initial resistance lies at the 50-day EMA near $1.19, with the trendline break area around $1.23 acting as the next barrier if buyers attempt a recovery. Above that, the 100-day EMA around $1.30 forms a more substantial cap, ahead of the 200-day EMA near $1.52, which defines the upper boundary of the broader bearish regime. Conversely, price action below the current area at $1.04 will be driven by whether sellers can extend the current slide or if oversold conditions entice a corrective bounce back toward those overhead EMAs. The next psychological support lies at $1.00.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Crypto ETF FAQs An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) is an investment vehicle or an index that tracks the price of an underlying asset. ETFs can not only track a single asset, but a group of assets and sectors. For example, a Bitcoin ETF tracks Bitcoin’s price. ETF is a tool used by investors to gain exposure to a certain asset.
Yes. The first Bitcoin futures ETF in the US was approved by the US Securities & Exchange Commission in October 2021. A total of seven Bitcoin futures ETFs have been approved, with more than 20 still waiting for the regulator’s permission. The SEC says that the cryptocurrency industry is new and subject to manipulation, which is why it has been delaying crypto-related futures ETFs for the last few years.
Yes. The SEC approved in January 2024 the listing and trading of several Bitcoin spot Exchange-Traded Funds, opening the door to institutional capital and mainstream investors to trade the main crypto currency. The decision was hailed by the industry as a game changer.
The main advantage of crypto ETFs is the possibility of gaining exposure to a cryptocurrency without ownership, reducing the risk and cost of holding the asset. Other pros are a lower learning curve and higher security for investors since ETFs take charge of securing the underlying asset holdings. As for the main drawbacks, the main one is that as an investor you can’t have direct ownership of the asset, or, as they say in crypto, “not your keys, not your coins.” Other disadvantages are higher costs associated with holding crypto since ETFs charge fees for active management. Finally, even though investing in ETFs reduces the risk of holding an asset, price swings in the underlying cryptocurrency are likely to be reflected in the investment vehicle too.
Cover image via U.Today Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Peersyst, a blockchain development startup, has announced an upcoming upgrade to the XRP Ledger EVM sidechain.
The XRPL EVM is a sidechain for the XRP Ledger that adds Ethereum-compatible smart contracts. In a recent X post, Peersyst released information about the upcoming XRPL EVM v11, stating that this next upgrade would focus on strengthening the network with increased economic security, safer cross-chain connectivity, enhanced validator management, and additional stack hardening. Peersyst teased a proposal for Testnet as soon as this week, with Mainnet to follow.
📣 XRPL EVM v11 is coming!
Our next upgrade is focused on strengthening the network with improved economic security, safer cross-chain connectivity, enhanced validator management, and additional hardening across the stack.
We will make a proposal for Testnet as soon as this… https://t.co/kI9FL5GpKK
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— Peersyst Technology (@Peersyst) July 1, 2026 The XRPL EVM sidechain went live on Mainnet in June 2025, with the network continually adding new improvements.
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As a key part of its multichain expansion, Ripple USD (RLUSD) stablecoin arrived on the XRPL EVM sidechain in June.
Upcoming changesWhile many network upgrades focus on introducing new features, Peersyst noted that the XRPL EVM v11 is focused on something equally important: making the network safer, more resilient, and easier to operate.
This release introduces a series of improvements across validator management, cross-chain infrastructure, and internal security processes.
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The majority of these changes take place behind the scenes, with little impact on developers or end users, yet they all contribute to the network's long-term security and resilience.
The v11 upgrade is a security-first release for the XRPL EVM sidechain that prioritizes economic security, reduces the attack surface, and hardens the validator and IBC (Inter-Blockchain Communication) layers.
XRPL EVM uses a Proof-of-Authority consensus model, where validator set changes are gated by a designated authority rather than open staking. v11 makes two changes: the standard validator-creation path is now blocked after launch, so no one can join the validator set outside the authority. Validators can now remove themselves voluntarily, instead of relying on the authority to remove them.
The XRPL EVM runs a recurring, AI-assisted security audit, and v11 is the first release to benefit from it end to end.
US-listed Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded $4.5 billion in net outflows during June 2026. This was the worst monthly figure since the products launched in January 2024.
The redemptions coincided with a sharp price decline. Bitcoin fell 20.48% over the month, its steepest monthly drop since June 2022, when the asset shed 37.28% during that cycle’s collapse.
IBIT Leads the Institutional RetreatJune’s outflows broke the previous monthly record of $3.56 billion, set in February 2025 during an earlier stretch of market stress.
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Bitcoin ETF Monthly Flows. Source: SoSoValueBlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) accounted for the bulk of the outflows. The fund alone shed $3.55 billion, close to 79% of the category’s total redemptions.
That concentration is striking. IBIT’s single-fund outflow nearly matched the entire category’s prior monthly record on its own.
The price data reinforces the pressure. Bitcoin closed four of 2026’s first six months in negative territory, with June’s 20.48% decline the deepest of the year.
How Crypto ETFs Performed in June 2026The weakness extended beyond Bitcoin, though the scale varied across categories. Ethereum (ETH) ETFs posted $528.99 million in June outflows, SoSoValue data showed.
Solana (SOL) ETFs recorded net outflows of roughly $786,580. The figure is small, but it marks the first monthly outflow for Solana ETFs since their launch, ending a run of positive months.
Top Crypto ETFs Performance in June. Source: BeInCryptoNot every category turned negative. XRP (XRP) ETFs drew $59.46 million in net inflows during June, holding positive despite the broader downturn.
Hyperliquid (HYPE) ETFs led the group with $161.05 million in inflows, the strongest June showing across the products.
The split suggests capital rotated within crypto rather than exiting entirely. Newer altcoin products absorbed fresh money even as the two largest categories saw sustained redemptions.
Whether that rotation hardens will depend on how Bitcoin trades in July, since a price rebound could pull capital back toward the incumbents.
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Bitcoin briefly slipped to $57,800.19 on July 1, 2026, its lowest level in weeks, before recovering to trade at $58,904.32 as the new month opens with the same pressure that defined June’s final days. The Fear & Greed Index has fallen to 11, a fresh cycle low that erases the marginal recovery seen at the end of June, when the gauge briefly ticked up to 15. Sentiment has now spent more than a week locked in Extreme Fear, and today’s intraday breakdown below $58,000 confirms the correction hasn’t found a durable floor yet. The defining story remains the same divergence that shaped June’s final days: Solana continues to outperform, up 8.43% on the week, while Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, BNB, and TRON all remain in negative territory.
Key Takeaways Bitcoin fell to an intraday low of $57,800.19 before recovering to $58,904.32, down 0.11% on the 12:00 hourly candle Fear & Greed Index falls to 11 (Extreme Fear), down from 15 yesterday and 17 last week — the lowest reading of the current cycle Solana is the standout performer: +8.43% weekly, the only top-10 asset with strong positive momentum Ethereum down 5.28% weekly to $1,579.45, holding up slightly better than Bitcoin on a relative basis XRP, BNB, and TRON all posted weekly losses between 4.3% and 4.9%, tracking the broader market decline Crypto Market Snapshot — July 1, 2026 AssetPrice24h7dMarket CapVolume (24h)Bitcoin (BTC)$58,904.32-0.11%-5.98%$1.18T$33.74BEthereum (ETH)$1,579.45-0.30%-5.28%$190.61B$9.83BTether (USDT)$0.9987+0.03%+0.01%$184.43B$68.02BBNB$546.18-0.60%-5.24%$73.61B$1.18BUSDC$0.9997+0.01%+0.01%$73.33B$12.78BXRP$1.04+0.16%-4.91%$65.03B$1.59BSolana (SOL)$75.12+2.04%+8.43%$43.63B$3.18BTRON (TRX)$0.3159-0.74%-4.31%$29.96B$641.67MHyperliquid (HYPE)$63.62-1.04%+2.08%$16.09B$556.29MDogecoin (DOGE)$0.07111-0.37%-10.00%$12.13B$834.8M Fear & Greed at 11: A Fresh Cycle Low The Fear & Greed Index printed 11 today, dropping below the previous cycle low of 12 set on June 29 and reversing the brief uptick to 15 seen just yesterday. The trajectory over the past month tells the story: last month the index read 29 (Fear), last week 17 (Extreme Fear), and now 11 — the deepest Extreme Fear reading of the entire 2026 correction. This marks the first time in the cycle that sentiment has failed to build on a recovery attempt, suggesting traders remain unwilling to add risk even as prices stabilize in familiar ranges. Sustained readings this low have historically preceded relief rallies, though the timing of any reversal remains uncertain.
Bitcoin: Breaks Below $58,000 Before Recovering Bitcoin fell as low as $57,800.19 in intraday trading on July 1 — its weakest level since the May cycle low — before buyers stepped in to push price back to $58,904.32. The 24-hour range spanned $57,800.19 to $59,457.00, reflecting the sharp volatility that has characterized the past several sessions. The broader 1-week chart shows BTC opening above $60,900 on June 26, grinding lower through a choppy mid-week stretch, breaking down sharply below $58,500 on June 30, and now testing that low again on July 1 before a modest bounce. The 7-day moving average has now crossed below the 25-day and 99-day averages, a bearish technical signal that reflects the accelerating short-term downtrend. 24-hour volume reached 21,429 BTC (roughly $1.26 billion), consistent with active repositioning rather than a single directional catalyst. With price briefly breaching $58,000, BTC has now moved closer to a retest of its May 2026 cycle low of $59,130 than at any other point since that low was set. For continuous updates, see our Bitcoin news today page.
Solana: The Only Top-10 Asset in Positive Weekly Territory Solana remains the clear leader among major assets, gaining 8.43% over the past week to $75.12, with a further 2.04% gain over the last 24 hours alone. The 1-week chart shows a powerful recovery structure — SOL bottomed near $69 in late June before staging a sustained climb through $72 and $74, closing the week above $75. Volume reached $3.18 billion, confirming genuine participation behind the move rather than thin trading. Solana’s relative strength continues to outpace Bitcoin and Ethereum by a wide margin, positioning it as the standout story of the current correction cycle.
Ethereum: Holding Above $1,575 Despite Broader Weakness Ethereum is down 5.28% over the past week to $1,579.45, a decline roughly in line with Bitcoin’s but occurring against a backdrop of persistent spot ETF outflow headlines and ongoing scrutiny of the Ethereum Foundation’s restructuring. Volume of $9.83 billion suggests the market continues to actively reprice the asset rather than sitting on the sidelines. The key level to watch heading deeper into July is whether ETH can build a stable base above $1,550. For daily coverage, see our Ethereum news today tracker.
XRP, BNB, and TRON Track the Broader Decline XRP, BNB, and TRON posted comparable weekly losses of 4.91%, 5.24%, and 4.31% respectively, tracking the broader market pullback rather than showing any asset-specific catalyst. XRP trades at $1.04 with the CLARITY Act still awaiting Senate action following its recess. BNB sits at $546.18, while TRON continues to hold up marginally better than its large-cap peers at $0.3159, consistent with its typically defensive profile during broad drawdowns.
Dogecoin: Weakest Performer in the Top 10 Dogecoin remains the clear underperformer among major assets, down 10.00% over the past week to $0.07111 — nearly double the decline of the next-weakest asset. With no underlying utility catalyst, DOGE continues to function as the purest sentiment proxy in the top 10, and its outsized weekly loss reflects just how compressed risk appetite has become during the depths of Extreme Fear.
What August Inherits From July’s Opening Day July opens with sentiment at its lowest point of the entire 2026 correction cycle, and Bitcoin’s brief break below $58,000 shows the pressure hasn’t fully released even as Solana continues to demonstrate that idiosyncratic strength is possible within a broadly bearish macro backdrop. The path forward into July will likely hinge on three factors: whether the Fear & Greed Index can build on any recovery attempt without immediately reversing, whether Bitcoin can reclaim the $59,000 zone on a sustained basis after today’s dip toward $57,800, and whether Ethereum’s relative resilience this week marks the start of a genuine bottoming process.
Compare Crypto Prices Today Bitcoin Price Ethereum Price XRP Price Solana Price BNB Price TRON Price Where to Buy Binance — largest global exchange by trading volume, wide asset selection Coinbase — beginner-friendly, strong regulatory compliance in the US Kraken — established security track record, robust fiat on-ramps KuCoin — deep altcoin listings Gate.io — wide range of trading pairs OKX — advanced trading tools and derivatives For long-term holders, self-custody via a hardware wallet is recommended over keeping large balances on exchanges.
FAQ Why did Bitcoin drop to $57,800 today? Bitcoin briefly fell to an intraday low of $57,800.19 during heightened volatility as the Fear & Greed Index hit a cycle low of 11, before recovering to trade near $58,900.
What is the Fear & Greed Index reading today? The index reads 11, classified as Extreme Fear, down from 15 yesterday and 17 last week — the lowest reading of the entire 2026 correction cycle.
Which cryptocurrency is performing best this week? Solana is the top performer among major assets, up 8.43% over the past seven days, while most other top-10 coins remain in negative territory.
Is Dogecoin still falling? Yes. Dogecoin is down 10.00% over the past week, making it the weakest performer among major cryptocurrencies during the current correction.
Key Takeaways On June 26, XRP touched $1.009, marking its lowest level since November 2024 Despite the price decline, XRP spot ETF inflows remained in positive territory Technical analysis reveals a sustained downtrend originating from July 2025 Open Interest has found equilibrium around 400 million XRP, indicating reduced speculative fervor Bullish divergence patterns on daily timeframes hint at potentially weakening bearish momentum near the $1 threshold On June 26, 2026, XRP declined to $1.009, representing the token’s lowest point since it last visited these levels in November 2024.
XRP Price The decline occurred against a backdrop of continuing positive flows into XRP spot exchange-traded funds. Market participants continued accumulating through these investment vehicles despite downward price momentum.
While ETF accumulation reduces circulating supply available for trading, this dynamic has yet to catalyze upward price movement given prevailing market sentiment.
Overall market appetite for XRP has diminished considerably over recent months, accompanied by a notable contraction in speculative trading activity.
Technical Analysis Overview The daily timeframe reveals XRP locked in a downward trajectory that originated in July 2025. The decisive break beneath the April 2025 swing low at $1.61, which occurred in February, validated the bearish market structure.
Source: TradingView Following this breakdown, XRP consolidated within a defined range for multiple months. Late May witnessed an aggressive selling wave that shattered this consolidation pattern and accelerated the downside move.
A temporary recovery pushed prices toward $1.30 before momentum faded, leaving XRP hovering around $1.05.
Futures market data indicates Open Interest has stabilized at approximately 400 million XRP. The corresponding Open Interest Turnover Ratio has maintained levels near 0.71.
According to analyst Arab Chain, market participants should monitor these indicators for sudden increases. Rapid expansion in either Open Interest or turnover ratio typically precedes elevated volatility periods.
Examining the 4-hour chart, XRP rallied to $1.2935 during mid-June. This advance reached the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone around $1.2985 before encountering renewed selling pressure.
Should the bearish trajectory persist, potential downside objectives emerge at $0.975 and $0.854. Market probabilities favored a breach below $1 during July.
Potential Support Dynamics An alternative technical interpretation presents a more constructive outlook. XRP has consistently rebounded from the $0.90-$1.00 zone, establishing this region as durable support through multiple challenges.
The $1.13 level has transitioned from support into resistance. A successful reclaim of this threshold would indicate emerging bullish momentum.
A bullish divergence pattern on daily charts has persisted for approximately one week. Such formations typically suggest diminishing selling intensity rather than imminent capitulation.
On social platforms, trader Celal Kucuker stated XRP should maintain current support levels and projected a potential climb to $10 within the next twelve months, acknowledging significant volatility along that path.
XRP won't lose the blue support, in my opinion.
$10+ within the next 12 months. $XRP will be an incredibly volatile ride.
Within 3 years, I believe Ripple will overtake Ethereum by market cap. pic.twitter.com/g7rYXi6Rzp
— Celal Kucuker (@CelalKucuker) June 29, 2026
Technical analyst ChartNerd identified a repeating accumulation structure observed during previous bear cycles, highlighting historical drawdowns ranging from 85% to 96% spanning 14 to 37 months, contrasting with the current 72% retracement over 11 months.
🎯 $XRP CHART UPDATE
A recurring "CURVE" and accumulation pattern during bear market drawdowns before major breakouts is a common pattern.
Prior declines & ranges marked between -85%/-96% drops over a period of 14-37 months; this pullback is currently 72% deep after 11 months. https://t.co/sK43niAe7w pic.twitter.com/I0iFtEdWdp
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) June 29, 2026
The immediate focus centers on the $1.00 threshold. Maintaining this level preserves the possibility of retesting $1.13 resistance, while a breakdown would expose the $0.87-$0.90 support zone.
The XRP Ledger added 4,941 new wallets in a single day on June 30, its strongest network growth spike in over three months, even as $XRP struggles to hold the psychologically important $1 mark.
According to on-chain analytics firm @SantimentData, the inflection point came on June 25, when XRP fell to 19-month lows near $1.01. Rather than triggering a sell-off, the drop appears to have drawn in fresh buyers. The XRP Ledger added 4,941 new wallets in a single day, its strongest network growth spike in over three months, and that surge is happening at the exact moment price sits closest to breaking below the psychologically important $1 level.
Each wallet on the XRP Ledger requires a small reserve deposit to activate, meaning each new account represents a deliberate decision to commit funds rather than a costless sign-up. That makes the 4,941 figure harder to dismiss as noise.
Sentiment Flips Bullish at the Worst Moment on the Chart Bullish sentiment outpaces bearish sentiment at a ratio of 3.7 to 1, the highest FOMO level around the token in three months. That shift is striking given the price action offers little obvious reason for optimism.
Santiment pointed to XRP's history of sharp rebounds, ongoing ETF momentum, and continued accumulation from larger holders as the drivers behind the optimism, even as price action stays ugly. Santiment data shows accumulation across all three large cohorts in June despite a 21% price dip, with the 10 million to 100 million XRP tier leading with 160 million XRP added, the strongest bullish signal of the group.
US spot XRP ETFs attracted $22.99 million in net inflows last week, extending their inflow streak to eight consecutive weeks. XRP ETFs have not recorded a single day of net outflows since June 3, although several sessions have ended with flat flows.
Context: A Token Under Pressure XRP entered 2026 in a corrective phase, trending near $1.80, and plunged to the $1.30 range at the start of March as the broader crypto winter triggered. The slide has continued since, with the token now defending a level not seen in over a year and a half.
Santiment said the open question is whether this wallet surge converts into sustained buying pressure or fades as short-term FOMO, and that with XRP sitting so close to $1.00, the coming sessions should reveal which way the on-chain demand breaks.
Sources
XRP Network Growth Surges With Buyers Defending the Key $1 Zone - Crypto Economy
XRP Demand Builds On-Chain Even as Price Sinks to 19-Month Low - Yahoo Finance
XRP Flirts With Falling Below $1 Despite Record Network Growth - Benzinga
According to blockchain data, major RLUSD burns took place on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) on Tuesday. The market cap of the token has now shrunk to just $1.4 billion, CoinGecko data shows.
Roughly 146 million tokens have been destroyed within hours, the data shows. The burns were significant enough for Ethereum to overtake the XRPL as the primary network for RLUSD issuance.
At its peak, the stablecoin's total market capitalization reached nearly $1.9 billion.
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Fresh competition The decline has notably coincided with the arrival of Open USD (OUSD), which is a new major USD stablecoin.
As reported by U.Today, Ripple announced that it had joined a consortium of more than 140 financial, technology, and crypto companies that will adopt the new dollar-pegged cryptocurrency with a shared governance model.
The initiative includes major names such as BlackRock, Mastercard, Google, Visa, and Stripe. Open USD will be operated by the independent Open Standard organization, which sets it apart from other offerings.
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USDC will aspire to solve longstanding issues surrounding scalability, governance, and incentives.
The development has prompted discussion within the XRP community about how Open USD could affect Ripple's own dollar-pegged stablecoin.
X user @nietzbux welcomed Ripple's participation, arguing that a consortium-backed stablecoin could accelerate crypto adoption and actually benefit XRP.
I'm happy Ripple didn't buy Circle.
Open USD is fantastic for crypto adoption. Because this is an actually neutral stable, everyone will use it, & crypto rails will become ubiquitous for the public.
The bigger the pie grows, the better for $XRP.
Happy Ripple is a partner.
— nietzbux (@nietzbux) June 30, 2026 Others questioned the implications for RLUSD. Anodos CEO Panos Mekras noted that Open USD would inevitably compete with Ripple's existing stablecoin, which is also quite obvious.
Yes, but OUSD also competes with RLUSD so where does this leave RLUSD?
— Panos 🔼🇬🇷 (@panosmek) June 30, 2026 Circle shares remain under pressure The announcement appears to have affected Circle, which had its blockbuster IPO earlier this year.
Shares of Circle fell more than 15% after the introduction of the major competitor.
However, analysts at William Blair described the selloff as an overreaction, arguing that USDC's established liquidity and market position would be difficult for any newcomer to replicate.
"We welcome continued innovation and competition in the space and look forward to remaining laser-focused on building the best stablecoin infrastructure possible and driving more customer and partner success," Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire stated in a recent social media post.
Stablecoins represent one of the largest market opportunities in the world as the internet transforms the infrastructure for storing and moving money. We deeply believe in this, and it’s why we both founded Circle and why we’ve invested to build the largest regulated stablecoin…
— Jeremy Allaire - jerallaire.arc (@jerallaire) June 30, 2026
Evernorth, a Ripple-backed XRP treasury firm, has published a report on RLUSD stablecoin and XRP. It underscores the growing influence RLUSD has had on activity on the XRP Ledger. It stated that the stablecoin is not a rival to XRP, but is being built to support it.
Evernorth Explains How Ripple’s RLUSD Supports XRP The report states that RLUSD has become a major player in on-chain trading, liquidity, and transaction volume. Evernorth said that blockchain data does not support concerns of Ripple’s RLUSD replacing XRP, it is running on it.
During 2026, the firm said that the percentage of all trading on the XRP Ledger conducted by RLUSD went from below 1% to about 12% on-chain. The volume of the trading pair RLUSD/XRP during the past six months was about $900 million. It was used for nearly 90% of all trading on the network in this pair.
Since the launch of the stablecoin, over $2.5 billion in total trading volume has passed through RLUSD pairs on XRP, Evernorth announced. The report noted that all XRP transactions at RLUSD are paid at the XRP transaction fee that is also denominated in XRP. With this, it provides “real economic throughput” for the network.
2/5 RLUSD went from under 1% of all trading on XRP to ~12% in under 18 months. When people trade on XRP now, they’re increasingly trading the dollar, and every one of those trades settles on XRP. pic.twitter.com/ycpd1BIlOr
— evernorthxrp (@evernorthxrp) June 30, 2026
Another major finding was that RLUSD was one of the most traded issued assets on XRPL. The volume of trading transactions related to RLUSD grew from approximately 54,000 a month in December 2024 to anywhere between 600,000 and 1.1 million a month. Evernorth added that the sole use of RLUSD is now generating about 1 million transactions per month on the XRP Ledger.
RLUSD Gains Traction On XRPL In addition to trading volume, RLUSD has also had a massive increase in its circulating supply on XRP Ledger. Evernorth is estimating that RLUSD on XRP Ledger doubled its value from approximately $20 million at the end of 2024 to over $800 million by late in June 2026. The report also claimed that XRP Ledger “about 51%” of RLUSD supply, which is higher Ethereum.
Its network footprint has also spread. There were 45,527 XRP Ledger accounts holding 93,898 trust lines on RLUSD as of June 25. The volume of direct payments rose from about $68 million in December 2024 to over $5 billion in May 2026. It is a sign of growing institutional-scale use throughout the network, the report added.
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On Friday, June 26, Ripple [XRP] prices fell to $1.009, the closest brush of the psychological $1 level since November 2024. Despite the market weakness, XRP spot ETF inflows remained positive.
AMBCrypto reported that this spot ETF demand was tightening the available XRP supply, though it might not result in immediate positive gains in these stressed market conditions.
The lack of broader market XRP demand and reduced speculative interest in recent months pointed to a gloomy outlook.
Can the XRP bulls defend $1 from subsequent sell-offs? Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView The 1-day XRP chart highlighted an altcoin trading within a long-term downtrend. The persistent downtrend stretches back to July 2025. In February earlier this year, the swing low at $1.61 from April 2025 was breached, confirming a bearish trend.
For a few months, a range formation [purple] was in place, but the sell-off towards the end of May was too hot for the bulls to handle. At the time of writing, after a brief bounce toward $1.3, XRP was chopping about the $1.05 local lows.
The XRP price expectations for July Source: CryptoQuant The Open Interest has stabilized around 400 million XRP in recent months. The Open Interest Turnover Ratio was also holding stable near 0.71. The lack of wild spikes in either metric meant that the speculative market was calmer and more stable.
The derivatives traders were not too eager to place directional bets, and short-term speculation has slowed down. Analyst Arab Chain wrote that traders can use a spike in OI and the turnover ratio as an early warning of increased volatility.
Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView The 4-hour chart showed XRP was trading within a downtrend. The bounce to $1.2935 in mid-June was only a pullback toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $1.2985.
This bounce was quickly sold off, and XRP was about to extend its bearish leg toward the southward extension targets at $0.975 and $0.854.
Therefore, as July progresses, a Ripple token price drop below $1 appeared highly likely.
Final Summary The speculative activity has dried up and the derivatives market was calmer, but traders need to be wary of changing conditions and heightened volatility. Based on the evidence at hand, the bearish XRP momentum and structure would likely see prices fall toward $0.85 in July.
The XRP Ledger Foundation has announced a partnership with VS1 Finance to develop an open source reference application for regulated and permissioned lending operations on the XRP Ledger. The initiative aims to demonstrate how credit processes requiring regulatory compliance can be managed directly on the network’s native infrastructure, paving the way for compliant financial solutions in the digital asset space.
Open source solution targets institutional adoptionThe forthcoming application will provide developers and financial institutions with a transparent, adaptable framework that can be reviewed and tailored for a variety of credit use cases. Rather than building proprietary, closed-source systems from scratch, institutions will be able to leverage this foundational software to create their own compliant lending products more efficiently.
The XRP Ledger Foundation is recognized as a nonprofit organization dedicated to supporting the XRP Ledger ecosystem. Within this collaboration, VS1 Finance will focus on designing the regulatory-compliant credit infrastructure that forms the backbone of the new system.
By launching an open source reference application rather than closed and proprietary software, the XRP Ledger Foundation and VS1 Finance aim to enable institutions to develop compliant credit solutions on the XRP Ledger at a faster pace.
The project will incorporate key features: user identity management, permissioned zones, single-asset vaults, and the core XRP Ledger credit protocol. Together, these components are expected to enable a more transparent credit structure, eliminating the need for external protocols and enhancing system integrity.
Glossary: Permissioned zones refer to network segments accessible only to users or entities meeting specific criteria. Single-asset vaults are structures in which collateral or credit is managed around a single digital asset.
Regulatory compliance shapes blockchain competitionInstitutional adoption is increasingly seen as a critical driver of growth in blockchain technology. Banks and financial firms, however, commonly require infrastructure that adheres to regulatory standards before embracing distributed ledger solutions.
This dynamic has accelerated the development of enterprise-level blockchain products targeting not just individual users, but also banks, asset managers, and corporations. Networks that can deliver regulatory-compliant financial services are expected to gain a significant competitive edge in the evolving landscape.
Aligned with recent progress on XRP LedgerThe new undertaking continues a trend of institutional-focused improvements within the XRP Ledger ecosystem, including the rollout of the AMM v2 update in May 2026. This protocol upgrade was specifically designed to support stablecoins, foreign currencies, and tokenized securities, further broadening the network’s capabilities.
Meanwhile, Ripple has been expanding RLUSD payment channels through Bitso and investing in Flutterwave. However, the ultimate success of this new lending model will depend on whether institutions move beyond testing to adopt the solution in real-world applications.
The main goal of the partnership is not simply to deliver a new lending service, but to build a foundation for a range of future institutional applications. Success will be measured by the extent to which participating organizations transition from pilot programs to full-scale implementation.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
XRP attracted its strongest wave of user participation in more than three months despite trading near a critical psychological support. According to Santiment, the network added 4,941 new wallets in a single day, marking its highest daily network growth during the past three months.
Retail traders also displayed stronger conviction, with the positive-to-negative social sentiment ratio climbing to 3.7:1, its highest level in four months. Those figures suggested that market participants viewed the $1.00–$1.05 range as an attractive accumulation zone despite recent price weakness.
However, the surge in wallet creation reflected growing interest rather than confirmed buying activity. Optimism remained supported by expectations surrounding institutional participation and ETF-related narratives. However, the price still required sustained demand to validate the renewed confidence.
Can XRP reclaim strength from $1.03? XRP continued defending the $1.03 support after briefly dropping to nearly $1.01, its lowest level in 19 months.
Buyers repeatedly responded around that area, preventing a decisive breakdown below the psychological $1.00 threshold. Even so, the broader structure remained bearish because XRP traded well below the $1.2386 resistance while failing to establish a sequence of higher highs.
At press time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 32.76, remaining below the neutral 50 level despite recovering from deeply oversold conditions earlier in June. The reading indicated that selling pressure had eased slightly but still dominated the broader trend.
Unless buyers reclaim higher resistance levels, XRP would likely remain vulnerable to additional downside pressure despite the improving participation metrics.
Source: TradingView Long liquidations revealed where pressure intensified Derivatives activity showed that bullish traders absorbed the largest losses during the latest trading session. Total long liquidations reached approximately $1.28 million, while short liquidations totaled about $130,770, highlighting the imbalance between both sides of the market.
Binance accounted for the largest share of liquidated long positions with roughly $568,370, followed by Hyperliquid at $454,120 and Bybit at $122,810. Those figures indicated that leveraged bulls lost positions as XRP struggled to recover above nearby resistance.
However, the relatively smaller short liquidations suggested bearish traders faced limited pressure despite the temporary rebound from support. The liquidation imbalance reflected cautious market positioning. Besides, it also confirmed that buyers had not yet regained firm control of the prevailing trend.
Source: CoinGlass Funding rates reflected growing bearish conviction The OI-Weighted Funding Rate remained negative and stood near -0.0027% as of writing, indicating that short traders gradually regained control across perpetual futures markets.
Negative funding generally reflected stronger demand for short exposure because traders paid premiums to maintain bearish positions. The shift aligned with XRP’s inability to reclaim resistance despite improving network activity and rising social optimism.
Even though fresh wallet creation accelerated and retail sentiment strengthened considerably, derivatives traders continued favoring downside exposure. This divergence suggested that speculative traders remained unconvinced by the recent improvement in on-chain participation.
Unless Funding Rates return to positive territory alongside stronger price action, bearish positioning would likely continue limiting XRP’s recovery attempts.
Source: CoinGlass To conclude, XRP displayed encouraging growth in user activity and social sentiment, yet derivatives data painted a more cautious picture. Buyers successfully defended the $1.03 support, but negative funding, weak RSI, and dominant long liquidations showed that confidence remained fragile.
XRP would likely require stronger spot demand and a recovery above nearby resistance before the improving network activity translates into a sustained trend reversal.
Final Summary XRP attracted fresh users while bearish derivatives positioning continued, limiting price recovery efforts. Buyers defended $1.03 support despite rising long liquidations and negative funding rates.
Not financial or tax advice. PANews content is strictly educational and informational and is not investment advice, financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any digital asset, security, or financial product. Do your own research and consult qualified advisers.
Disclosure. PANews may publish sponsored content, partner content, advertisements, affiliate links, event promotions, and market commentary involving Web3 projects, service providers, or financial products. PANews personnel, contributors, or affiliates may hold digital assets or other interests related to covered topics. See our Terms of Service.
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) are showing early signs of stabilization on Wednesday after a recent correction. BTC rebounds modestly after falling to a fresh yearly low of $57,800, ETH holds above the critical $1,500 support level while XRP stabilizes around the key $1.00 psychological mark. The technical outlook for these top three cryptocurrencies is raising hopes of a short-term recovery after a massive price decline.
Bitcoin hits a new yearly low of $57,800Bitcoin price is recovering slightly to $59,000 after hitting a new yearly low of $57,800 on Wednesday. BTC is extending its slide well below the key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which keeps the bias firmly bearish. The 50-day EMA at $66,352, the 100-day EMA at $70,133 and the 200-day EMA at $76,276 all sit overhead, suggesting a market that remains capped by a dense band of medium- and long-term trend resistance.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart hovers near 32, hinting at lingering weak momentum rather than a capitulation low. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) turns slightly negative again around the zero line, suggesting that the latest bounce is stalling under layered overhead supply.
On the topside, initial resistance emerges at the prior horizontal barrier around $64,004, ahead of the 50-day EMA near $66,352, with further recovery levels at the 100-day EMA at $70,133 and the 200-day EMA around $76,276.
A more substantial bullish reassessment would require a daily close above these clustered EMAs, while a failure to reclaim the $64,000 area would leave BTC vulnerable to a renewed downside extension targeting the key psychological level at $55,000.
Ethereum holds strong above the $1,500 levelEthereum price trades at $1,586 on Wednesday, holding above the key support zone at $1,500. However, ETH is maintaining a bearish bias, with price remaining well below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs, clustered between roughly $1,815 and $2,286.
The RSI hovers around 34, maintaining downside pressure, while a mildly positive MACD reading suggests a tentative loss of selling momentum rather than a clear bullish reversal.
On the topside, initial resistance emerges at the 50-day EMA near $1,814, with the 100-day EMA around $1,993 and the horizontal barrier at $2,000 forming a broader supply zone; beyond that, the 200-day EMA near $2,285 is a more strategic cap.
On the downside, the next notable support comes in at the horizontal level around $1,385, where buyers may attempt to stabilize the decline if the pair extends lower.
XRP steadies at key $1 markXRP price trades at $1.0471, maintaining a bearish near-term bias as it remains well below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs at $1.1937, $1.3019, and $1.5145, respectively. The pair also trades beneath the upper boundary of a downward parallel channel near $1.1597, underscoring a capped structure. At the same time, the RSI hovers around 34 and a slightly negative, flattening MACD histogram hints at weak but stabilizing downside momentum rather than an immediate reversal.
On the topside, initial resistance aligns with the channel boundary around $1.1600, followed by the 50-day EMA near $1.1937. Above these, the horizontal barrier at $1.3000 sits close to the 100-day EMA around $1.3019, forming a broader supply zone ahead of the more distant 200-day EMA near $1.5145 and the major horizontal resistance around $1.9000.
With no clear nearby structural support printed below the spot in this dataset, a daily close back above the $1.1600–$1.1900 band would be needed to ease immediate bearish pressure. At the same time, a failure to reclaim that cluster would keep the risk skewed toward further downside exploration.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Cryptocurrency prices FAQs Token launches influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.
A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.
Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence crypto assets mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.
Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs.
Leading cryptocurrencies reversed course on Tuesday amid negative sentiment in the market, but analysts believe the sell-off may have carved out a bottom.
Crypto Market RetreatsBitcoin pulled back to about $58,000 after Monday’s surge, while 24‑hour trading volume ticked up slightly. Ethereum pulled back from $1,600 and traded around the $1,500 level, while XRP and Dogecoin slipped modestly.
Nearly $250 million was liquidated from the cryptocurrency market in the last 24 hours, with $183 million in bullish long positions alone erased, according to Coinglass data.
Bitcoin’s open interest rose 1.52% over the last 24 hours. An increase in open interest when the price falls indicates a short buildup, meaning sellers are entering the market to create new short positions.
"Extreme Fear" sentiment persisted in the market, according to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.
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The global cryptocurrency market capitalization stood at $2.07 trillion, broadly unchanged over the last 24 hours.
Dow Hits New Closing HighDow finished June 2.43% higher, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq slid 1.32% and 3.22%, respectively.
Bitcoin Inside ‘High-Coviction Accumulation Zone’Ali Martinez, a widely followed cryptocurrency analyst and trader, noted that Bitcoin’s supply in loss has exceeded its supply in profit for the first time in this cycle.
Martinez said that this on-chain crossover has historically aligned with “major” cycle bottoms in 2011, 2014, 2018, and 2020.
“While historical data shows that the duration of these crossover periods can vary from a few weeks to several months before a primary trend reversal begins, it confirms that BTC is currently trading inside a high-conviction accumulation zone,” the analyst added.
On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant highlighted a negative Coinbase Premium Index for Ethereum, suggesting high selling pressure from U.S. institutional investors. At the same time, funding rates on Binance have turned negative, which suggests leveraged traders are leaning bearish.
“The combination of deeply negative funding rates and a discount on Coinbase often characterizes a ‘Wall of Worry,'” the analytics firm said. “Historically, when speculative sentiment is this depressed while organic supply is being absorbed by staking, it creates a fragile environment for short-sellers.”
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After failing to maintain the recovery rally that peaked close to the 200-day moving average, Bitcoin is still under a lot of pressure. The longer-term bearish structure was validated by the $82,000 rejection, which also set off another wave of selling that drove Bitcoin back toward $58,000.
The situation is still weak technically. Bitcoin is currently trading below the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, all of which are still declining. This alignment usually indicates that sellers are in control over a number of time periods. While RSI is close to oversold territory and has not produced a strong bullish divergence, volume has not shown any indications of significant accumulation.
The most important level to keep an eye on is the most recent low of $57,000 to $58,000. A more severe decline would be possible if it were lost. For the time being, any upward movement appears to be more of a relief bounce than the beginning of a long-term trend reversal.
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Stellar is avoiding a bear trendXLM is still one of the few large-cap tokens that is holding close to its moving averages in spite of the overall weakness of the market. The token recently saw a huge surge that drove it above the 200-day moving average and generated a significant amount of trading activity.
The price is currently testing the cluster of the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages around the $0.18–$0.19 zone after sharply retracing from local highs near $0.30. Bulls and bears now use this region as a crucial battlefield. The fact that XLM's longer-term structure has not entirely collapsed is a plus. In contrast to Bitcoin, Stellar still has an opportunity to reach a higher low if buyers hold onto the present support levels.
XLM/USDT Chart by TradingViewThere is less speculative excess in the market as a result of the RSI cooling from overbought conditions. If XLM is able to hold above $0.18, it may be able to stabilize and try to push higher again. However, a breakdown below that range would probably invalidate a large portion of the recent breakout and return the asset to a wider downtrend.
The asset broke out of a descending triangle pattern after consolidating above important support levels for several months. It is currently trading close to $1.03, which is dangerously close to the psychological $1 mark. The breakdown in and of itself is significant. XRP consistently printed lower highs while defending the $1.30 support zone throughout March, April, and May.
Sellers eventually outnumbered buyers, which caused a sharp decline below support. The move accelerated the downward momentum and validated the bearish structure.
XRP remains alertedXRP is still in a precarious position technically. The price is moving below the downward-sloping 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages.
This alignment typically indicates a long-term downward trend as opposed to a brief correction. Buyers have not regained control, as evidenced by the rejection of each recovery attempt over the past few weeks near moving-average resistance. Currently, $1.00 is the most crucial level. In addition to being a significant psychological barrier, it is also one of the final significant support areas before XRP moves into a region where past purchasing activity becomes significantly less frequent.
XRP/USDT Chart by TradingViewAnother wave of liquidations and panic selling would probably result from a breakdown below $1, particularly among traders who have been anticipating a recovery from current levels. Although RSI is getting close to oversold territory, a convincing reversal signal has not yet been generated.
This does not necessarily mean that a bottom has formed, even though it implies that downside momentum may be slowing. The road ahead is simple but challenging for bulls. To refute the current bearish trend, XRP must eventually return above the broken $1.30 support area and at least recover the 50-day moving average around $1.13.
Until then, rallies are probably not going to be seen as the beginning of a recovery, but rather as opportunities for sellers. The medium-term course of XRP may be decided in the next few days. A relief bounce is possible if $1 holds. If it does not hold, the market might experience another painful decline.
Hyperliquid makes hasteDespite the recent correction, Hyperliquid is still one of the market's best-performing assets. In contrast to the majority of cryptocurrencies, HYPE is still firmly above its major moving averages and maintains a more expansive bullish structure. HYPE entered a phase of increased volatility after rising from below $30 earlier this year to highs above $75. The asset went through a number of significant corrections, but buyers kept intervening before the trend could fully collapse.
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After yet another rejection from local highs, HYPE is currently trading close to $65. The pullback may seem alarming, but the chart remains positive. The 100-day and 200-day averages are still much lower, indicating the strength of the underlying trend, while the 50-day moving average at $64 continues to serve as immediate support. Several tests have already been conducted on the rising trendline that sustained the advance throughout the spring.
During times of volatility, the price briefly fell below it, but buyers soon regained control, averting a more significant structural breakdown. There is a significant decrease in momentum. After being in overbought conditions for weeks, the RSI has declined toward neutral territory. Since it eliminates excessive speculation without ruining the uptrend, this reset is actually beneficial to the market.
The 50-day moving average is the crucial level to monitor. Another attempt to reach the $70-$75 range is still possible if HYPE can stay above it. The likelihood of a deeper retracement toward the 100-day moving average around $53 would rise in the event of a break below that level. HYPE is one of the few significant assets that is currently exhibiting a bullish market structure. The current correction does not appear to be the start of a full trend reversal, but rather consolidation following an explosive rally.
Cryptocurrency analytics company CryptoQuant reported increased selling pressure in the XRP futures market.
According to the company’s assessment, the funding rate for XRP futures contracts traded on Binance has fallen to approximately -0.0139, reaching its lowest level in the last three months.
CryptoQuant noted that this drop in funding rates during the period when XRP was trading around $1.05 indicates a shift in investor sentiment in the derivatives market towards short positions. Negative funding rates show that demand for short positions exceeded demand for long positions, suggesting that investors believe downward pressure on the price may continue in the short term.
According to the analysis, XRP funding rates have fluctuated between positive and negative zones in recent months. Periods of positive funding generally coincided with increases in the XRP price and increased demand for long positions. However, in recent weeks, as the upward momentum has weakened, negative funding rates have become more dominant.
CryptoQuant stated that the current outlook indicates a cautious stance in the futures market, with investors shifting towards more defensive strategies rather than opening new long positions.
However, the company noted that extremely low funding rates should not always be interpreted negatively. If short positions become overcrowded in the market, a strengthening of spot demand or the emergence of a positive catalyst could lead to the closing of short positions. In this scenario, a sudden recovery in the XRP price, known as a “short squeeze,” could be observed.
*This is not investment advice.
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XRP is trading at a critical juncture, with both technical indicators and on-chain metrics signaling a potential turning point. Over recent days, the price has been oscillating between $1.00 and $1.06, a range that analysts view as decisive for the cryptocurrency’s short-term direction. According to Santiment data, XRP touched approximately $1.01 on June 25 and was last observed trading close to $1.04. This marks one of the lowest levels for XRP in the past 19 months.
Short-term recovery signals in technical analysisAnalyst Ali Charts highlights that the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator on the daily XRP chart has triggered a buy signal. The appearance of a “9” candle in this pattern is considered a key sign of short-term downside exhaustion—an indicator closely watched by traders. Historically, this setup has often paved the way for brief price rebounds lasting from one to four days.
Ali Charts notes that the Tom DeMark Sequential “9” signal and the Morning Star Doji pattern on the daily chart suggest a higher probability of XRP forming a local bottom, and if buying volume increases, the price could move toward $1.30.
The analyst points to two distinct bullish reversal signals. Alongside the Tom DeMark Sequential’s buy indication, the last three sessions have formed a Morning Star Doji candlestick pattern—a formation often used in technical analysis to help identify potential local bottoms.
On-chain UTXO Realized Price Distribution data also highlights $1.06 as a key support level for XRP, where over 830 million tokens have recently changed hands. Ali Charts suggests that holding above $1.06 could pave the way for a recovery toward $1.27 and $1.35. Conversely, a daily close below this threshold would leave the price vulnerable to further declines toward $0.80, $0.62, and $0.51.
Mini glossary: UTXO Realized Price Distribution is an on-chain data set tracking the amount of assets last moved at specific price levels. Analysts use this to identify strong support and resistance zones.
IndicatorLevelSignificanceMain support$1.06Holding above maintains recovery prospectsUpside targets$1.27, $1.35Watched if buying interest strengthensDownside risks$0.80, $0.62, $0.51In play if daily close falls below $1.06On-chain activity rises amid ongoing selling pressureXRP’s on-chain metrics show heightened activity. Ali Charts reports that daily active XRP addresses have surged from around 23,000 to nearly 40,000 in the past two weeks, reflecting an increase of almost 50%. During the same period, the spike in active addresses reached 72%, even as open interest dropped to its lowest point since July 2025. Despite XRP’s ability to stay above the $1 mark, the coin remains stuck below the pivotal $1.10 resistance.
Santiment reports that 4,941 new wallets were created on XRP Ledger in a single day, marking the strongest network growth surge in more than three months. The analysis notes that this surge in wallet creation could signify revived on-chain activity for the XRP Ledger, which underpins all $XRP transactions.
Santiment highlights that this rise in new wallets coincided with XRP trading near its $1 support, and for every negative social comment, there were 3.7 positive ones in the same period.
Nevertheless, the uptick in network activity has yet to outweigh ongoing selling pressure. Ali Charts observes that large investors have continued distributing XRP even as active addresses rise. In the past five days, major wallets are reported to have sold over 30 million XRP, indicating that wallet activity upticks could reflect both new demand and assets being moved to exchanges.
Institutional interest and regulatory developments remain in focusOn the institutional side, interest in XRP has not disappeared entirely. Recent market data indicates a net inflow of $15.34 million into XRP spot ETFs as of June 29. Bitwise led the way with $11.94 million, followed by Canary XRPC with a $3.40 million inflow. Total cumulative net inflows now stand at $1.485 billion.
Market participants are also monitoring progress on the United States CLARITY Act. Crypto analyst Crypto Crusader argues that the broader context around Ripple and XRP is being overlooked, suggesting that Ripple has been working to expand its global regulatory presence ahead of legislative changes. However, the CLARITY Act process has been delayed, as US lawmakers are focused on other regulations after returning from recess.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Despite ongoing turbulence in the crypto ETF market putting pressure on many products, funds focused on XRP have stood out as a rare sector where institutional demand remains strong. According to SosoValue data, XRP ETFs attracted a total of $15.34 million in new inflows on the last trading day of June 29.
Bitwise leads the inflowsOf the total daily inflow on June 29, $11.94 million was funneled into Bitwise’s XRP ETF product, making Bitwise the fund with the highest daily inflow in this segment. Market data suggests that Bitwise clients were the main drivers of this positive momentum.
Recognized as a prominent asset manager specializing in digital assets, Bitwise provides institutional investment solutions across the crypto markets.
IndicatorDataTotal XRP ETF inflow on June 29$15.34 millionBitwise daily inflow on the same day$11.94 millionBitwise cumulative net inflow$505.17 millionSince the launch of the Bitwise XRP ETF in November 2025, its cumulative net inflow has reached $505.17 million. Despite a decline in XRP prices in recent months, inflows into the fund have largely continued, highlighting ongoing institutional interest in this product.
On June 29, of the $15.34 million flowing into XRP ETFs, $11.94 million was directed to the Bitwise fund, making it the dominant player for the day.
XRP stands out in ETF performanceOver the past three months, XRP ETFs have outperformed Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the wider group of crypto ETFs in daily performance. The key takeaway here is that while other products have continued to see outflows, inflows to XRP funds have remained stable.
The data indicates that institutional interest in XRP is gaining strength relative to larger market-cap assets. However, this resilience in ETF demand has not translated into equivalent gains in the XRP spot price.
In the past three months, XRP has surpassed both Bitcoin and Ethereum in ETF inflows, maintaining more balanced entries as other major crypto products faced ongoing weakness.
Price impact remains limitedAnalysts note that ongoing demand for XRP ETFs could potentially have a more visible mid-term impact on price. Nevertheless, there remains a noticeable disconnect between institutional fund inflows and actual spot market performance at this stage.
As a result, while robust inflows into XRP ETFs are drawing attention, additional data is needed before a clear price recovery trend can be confirmed.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Price action rarely tells the whole story. XRP is hovering just above $1.00 after touching a 19-month low of $1.01 on June 25, yet on-chain activity is telling a different tale. The XRP Ledger recorded 4,941 new wallet creations in a single day—the strongest network growth spike in over three months—according to the Santiment update. Fresh addresses are appearing right as the coin sits on its most critical support zone in over a year.
The simultaneous spike in social sentiment adds another layer. The crowd is treating the $1.00–$1.05 range as a dip-buy opportunity, pushing the positive-to-negative comment ratio to 3.7, also a three-month high. That level of FOMO hasn’t been seen since the last major relief rally. Some of the optimism stems from XRP’s history of rebounding sharply from deep lows and the lingering institutional narrative around ETF prospects. The signal, however, remains mixed: rapid wallet growth is often interpreted as retail accumulation, but when it coincides with elevated bullish commentary and a fragile price, the setup can also precede short-term local tops.
Network growth divergence 4,941 new wallets in a day is not a trivial number for XRP Ledger. Such spikes typically accompany genuine demand-side interest, whether from existing users onboarding new participants or from a wave of first-time buyers. This network expansion stands out because it has materialized during a period of prolonged price weakness rather than euphoric highs. In many on-chain cycles, users tend to exit or stay idle when price approaches multi-month lows. What makes this instance notable is the opposite behavior: users are joining the network while sentiment surveys show a crowd increasingly convinced that sub-$1.05 is a buying zone.
Still, network growth alone doesn’t guarantee follow-through. Wallet creation can reflect speculative intent or bot activity as easily as it can signal organic accumulation. The key question is whether these new wallets will fund up and become active participants in on-chain transfer flows or simply exist as placeholders. Traders often watch whether a surge in new addresses aligns with an uptick in transaction count and exchange outflows to confirm real absorption. Without that confirmation, the wallet spike remains a potential head-fake.
FOMO meets fragile structure The crowd’s 3.7-to-1 bullish ratio also deserves scrutiny. Extremely one-sided social sentiment around a distressed asset can act as a contrarian indicator. When traders become too comfortable calling a bottom, the market often forces a deeper flush. XRP’s price is only a few percentage points above the $1.00 floor, and any bull trap that breaks that level could trigger a cascade of sell stops. On the other hand, if the sentiment is validated and spot demand absorbs the selling pressure, the combination of fresh wallets and bullish narrative could build a base for a more durable recovery.
The broader context matters too. XRP’s narrative has long been shaped by regulatory ambiguity, and ongoing regulatory battles still hang over the token’s institutional adoption thesis. Meanwhile, institutional capital flowing into tokenized assets suggests that narrative-driven accumulation isn’t isolated to XRP. For now, market participants are left parsing whether this on-chain flare is the early signal of a structural shift or just another bout of retail FOMO that fades before real volume arrives.
AUTHOR
Max delves deep into the cryptocurrency realm, with a passion for altcoins and NFTs. Convinced of crypto's transformative potential, he envisions a decentralized financial future. Max's background in the financial sector grants him unique insights into global monetary systems. In his leisure, Max embraces the thrill of adventures and is an avid sports enthusiast, finding balance and rejuvenation away from work.
Ripple has joined an unprecedented consortium of over 140 financial, technological, and crypto heavyweights, including BlackRock, Mastercard, Google, and Visa, to adopt "Open USD."
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Ripple has been included on the list of the 140 financial, technological, and crypto heavyweights that will use a new stablecoin that has been dubbed "Open USD."
The product, which has been backed by titans of the likes of Mastercard, BlackRock, Google, and Visa, and Stripe, aims to address various bottlenecks that have hampered the growth of the stablecoin market (scalability, governance, and other issues).
Open Standard, an independent entity, will be responsible for issuing and operating the new stablecoin, meaning that it will not be controlled by a single corporate issuer.
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A new stablecoin model? The current stablecoin ecosystem often burdens large-scale businesses with prohibitive minting and redemption fees. At the same time, third-party issuers hoard the lucrative yield generated by the underlying cash reserves.
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The new stablecoin is specifically addressing these bottlenecks. Participating businesses will be able to mint and redeem Open USD entirely free of charge. The earnings generated by the stablecoin will be shared by all of the partners. What is notable is that the consortium model also prevents unilateral changes to the protocol.
TradFi, big tech, and cryptoRipple has notably aligned with traditional payment giants like Mastercard, Visa, and American Express, as well as institutional banking heavyweights like BlackRock and BNY.
The project also boasts the backing of major tech platforms such as Google, DoorDash, and Shopify, alongside crypto-native firms like Coinbase, Fireblocks, and Solana.
Open USD will offer Ripple a highly liquid rail for cross-border settlement and decentralized finance operations.
It remains to be seen how Ripple's USD (RLUSD), Ripple's own highly regulated stablecoin with a market cap of $1.4 billion, will fit into this.
Mastercard has noted that it will require "trusted networks, broad participation, and collaboration across the industry."
XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) is approaching a pivotal technical level, even as Ripple unveiled a new lending protocol aimed at expanding the XRP Ledger’s institutional financial infrastructure.
In a Ripple blog post on June 29, Ripple introduced the XRPL Lending Protocol, an on-chain lending framework designed to expand the XRP Ledger into institutional credit markets.
This will enable loans backed by tokenized assets such as Treasuries, stablecoins, commodities and private credit without requiring holders to sell them.
Unlike traditional DeFi lending platforms, the protocol keeps credit underwriting, compliance and loan negotiations off chain while automating loan origination, interest accrual, repayments and default handling on chain.
Ripple said its dual-layer design, combining Single Asset Vaults with a standardized lending protocol, creates scalable financing infrastructure that mirrors traditional capital markets.
The lending protocol will trigger a spike in the use of Ripple’s stablecoin on-chain. XRPL which is already handling institutional settlement will assist in reducing operational complexity and enable institutions to manage more of the financial lifecycle in one place.
XRP Gearing For Volatile MoveIn an X post on June 30, crypto chart analyst Ali Martinez noted XRP is nearing a decisive move, with multiple technical and on-chain indicators pointing to heightened volatility:
From a chart perspective, Martinez added that XRP has already encountered resistance at the upper boundary of its trading channel and is now drifting toward the channel’s midpoint, which aligns with the $0.70-$0.80 support zone.
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Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez has released his latest roadmap for XRP, blending on-chain data with technical indicators to assess the token’s outlook. According to Martinez, XRP breached the crucial $1.06 support level, a move that signals the potential for a deeper downward trend in the market.
Loss of $1.06 support highlights further riskData on price distribution reveals that more than 830 million XRP tokens have changed hands around the $1.06 mark. This level had previously served as one of the strongest defense zones for buyers. As of June 30, XRP’s price slipped below this heavy-volume area, dropping to $1.03 and intensifying pressure on the technical outlook.
With this break, many investors who took positions near $1.06 are now in the red. This creates a potential resistance region, as rising prices could encounter increased selling pressure from holders seeking to break even. Martinez also notes that bullish signals observed on the daily chart have weakened due to this latest development.
Ali Martinez emphasizes that unless XRP reclaims the $1.06 level, any rebound could amount to little more than a temporary pause rather than a lasting reversal.
Whale selling diverges from retail activityMartinez points to a significant divergence among XRP holders. Large wallet investors—so-called whales—have opted to sell in line with the broader market’s declining liquidity, while smaller investors continue to try to absorb the selling pressure.
The number of daily active addresses on the XRP network has surged by roughly 50%, approaching 40,000. This uptick indicates ongoing interest from individual investors. Nonetheless, such heightened participation has not been enough to alter the overall bearish price outlook on its own.
Glossary: The TD Sequential indicator is a technical analysis tool used to spot short-term exhaustion and possible reversal points in price movements. It does not issue directional signals by itself and is typically used alongside support, resistance, and volume metrics for confirmation.
On the daily chart, TD Sequential flashed a local rebound signal that has kept some optimism alive in the short term. However, Martinez cautions that without a move back above $1.06, the potential impact of this signal remains limited.
Two main downside targets emerge on weekly chartIn the weekly timeframe, XRP has encountered resistance at the upper band of its long-term ascending channel. Martinez’s latest analysis indicates that the failure to maintain $1.06 spotlights two main downside targets.
The first target sits at $0.80, which corresponds to the middle region of XRP’s trading channel and hosts a significant volume block. The second, more critical target is $0.70—a level where global trend support coincides with areas of previous accumulation.
Martinez’s roadmap suggests the likelihood of continued decline has increased, with weekly candle closes serving as the key determinant for market direction. Should selling by whales persist and retail holders capitulate, XRP could face an additional correction approaching 30%.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
An XRP Power user shares a story of financial recovery, encouraging users to explore its platform and AI-powered digital asset services.
On a winter night, the temperature on the streets of New York dropped to freezing. A ragged man huddled on a bench near a subway station, his only old coat wrapped tightly around his body. At that time, he had no job, no fixed address, only a few coins in his pocket, and he didn’t even know if he would have a hot meal the next day.
Few passersby stopped, and no one would have imagined that this seemingly insignificant homeless man would, a few months later, achieve financial freedom and own a million-dollar fortune.
The low point of life Before becoming homeless, he lived an ordinary life, with a family, a job, and expectations for the future. But all of this was quickly shattered by reality, bit by bit.
His marriage ran into problems, and the breakdown of his family plunged him into both emotional and financial hardship. Not long after, his company laid off employees, and he lost his only stable source of income.
To get back on his feet, he decided to start his own business, investing all his meager savings. However, due to inexperience and an unfavorable market environment, the business quickly failed. Instead of recovering, he was burdened with debt.
When all possible avenues were exhausted, he lost his home and was forced to move between shelters, his car, and the streets. During that time, he truly experienced for the first time what it meant to have “no way out.”
Turning point During his most difficult time, a chance encounter changed circumstances.
Through a former colleague, he saw discussions and introductions about XRP Power in the Global Times. This caught his attention. Hiscolleague had been with XRP Power for some time and had earned a considerable amount of money there, but when he told him, he didn’t have the funds to risk investing.
For the next two months, he focused primarily on observation and understanding, gradually familiarizing himself with the platform’s operation and only making very small trial investments.
After confirming the basics, he officially joined. Although the earnings weren’t high, during his most difficult time, he successfully withdrew $100 for the first time, enough to support his basic living expenses for several days.
From then on, he gradually increased his investment while continuing to learn and adjust his strategies.
In the following months, his income began to stabilize, his life gradually emerged from its lowest point, and a real turning point began to appear.
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The process After gradually seeing a glimmer of hope, he began to plan each step more cautiously.
Initially, he only used a small amount of about $100 to try it out, mainly to familiarize himself with the rules and control risk, rather than pursuing a complete change in his situation.
After things stabilized somewhat, he gradually increased hisinvestment to about $5,000, then $50,000, and only later, when he felt more confident, did he gradually moved to the $100,000 level. Throughout this process, he maintained a phased and controlled pace, rather than a one-time investment.
In this process, he learned to adjust his strategy according to different stages, making his financial arrangements more stable, rather than chasing short-term fluctuations.
From the initial cautious attempts to the gradual expansion, he was more focused on managing his own rhythm than simply pursuing results.
Looking back, the real change wasn’t a single investment, but rather long-term adjustments and perseverance.
XRP Power’s contract model. The platform’s rules and returns for different periods are relatively clear; relevant instructions and expected returns are available before operation.
In conclusion Looking back on this experience, he has returned to a stable life from living on the streets.
For him, this isn’t a story of “sudden success,” but rather the result of taking it one step at a time. The low point taught me to calmly face reality and made him understand the importance of perseverance and making the right choices.
He says, the hardest thing in life isn’t falling down, but whether someone can start over after falling down.
From homelessness to regaining his footing, there were no shortcuts, only continuous attempts and adjustments.
What truly changes your destiny isn’t the starting point, but the step taken forward even at someone’s lowest point.
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Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.
Ripple (XRP) is holding above the key $1.00 psychological support level at the time of writing on Tuesday, even as the market endures a protracted downturn that began in mid-June.
The drawdown underscores the prevailing risk-off mood across the crypto space. However, XRP is seeing renewed momentum, highlighted by a sharp uptick in on-chain activity and consistent institutional inflows.
XRP network activity risesThe XRP Ledger (XRPL) is witnessing a notable surge in network activity, with daily new wallet creations approaching 5,000, a level not seen in the past three months, according to Santiment data. This uptick suggests that despite sustained price pressure near the $1.00 mark, investor engagement remains resilient, with participants capitalizing on this key psychological support.
XRP Ledger network activity | Source: SantimentMarket sentiment is also turning increasingly positive around the $1.00 level, with bullish commentary now outnumbering bearish remarks by 3.7 to 1, underscoring the level’s appeal as a dip-buying opportunity.
“Part of this optimism comes from XRP’s familiar rebound history, ongoing ETF and institutional narratives, and the idea that larger holders have continued building exposure even during ugly price action,” Santiment analysts stated.
XRP spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), on the other hand, continue to post inflows defying the current bearish outlook in the crypto market. Inflows into US-listed ETFs steadied above $15 million on Monday, bringing cumulative deposits to $1.48 billion and net assets under management to $972 million.
The sustained uptake of XRP ETFs shows that institutions see a bullish picture and are willing to increase exposure even as prices falter near the psychological support level of $1.00.
XRP ETF flows | Source: SoSoValuePrice analysis: XRP sustains bearish outlookXRP trades at $1.04, keeping a clear bearish near-term tone as it sits well below the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1.20, $1.31 and $1.52 respectively. The Bollinger Bands show spot trading beneath the middle band at $1.12 and relatively close to the lower band support at $1.00, hinting at persistent downside pressure.
At the same time, momentum indicators reinforce this capped structure, with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram slightly negative on the daily chart and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering near 32, suggesting weak demand with a modestly oversold bias rather than a decisive reversal.
XRP/USDT daily chartOn the topside, initial resistance emerges at the Bollinger middle band near $1.12, followed by clustered EMA resistance from the 50-day at $1.12 and the upper Bollinger band around $1.24, before a more substantial barrier at the 100-day EMA at $1.31 and the broader bearish cap imposed by the 200-day EMA at $1.52.
Looking down, the immediate focus is the pivot around the current trading area near $1.04. A daily close below this level would open the way toward the Bollinger lower band support at $1.00, where buyers could attempt to stabilize price before any meaningful recovery attempt toward the overhead moving averages.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Crypto ETF FAQs An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) is an investment vehicle or an index that tracks the price of an underlying asset. ETFs can not only track a single asset, but a group of assets and sectors. For example, a Bitcoin ETF tracks Bitcoin’s price. ETF is a tool used by investors to gain exposure to a certain asset.
Yes. The first Bitcoin futures ETF in the US was approved by the US Securities & Exchange Commission in October 2021. A total of seven Bitcoin futures ETFs have been approved, with more than 20 still waiting for the regulator’s permission. The SEC says that the cryptocurrency industry is new and subject to manipulation, which is why it has been delaying crypto-related futures ETFs for the last few years.
Yes. The SEC approved in January 2024 the listing and trading of several Bitcoin spot Exchange-Traded Funds, opening the door to institutional capital and mainstream investors to trade the main crypto currency. The decision was hailed by the industry as a game changer.
The main advantage of crypto ETFs is the possibility of gaining exposure to a cryptocurrency without ownership, reducing the risk and cost of holding the asset. Other pros are a lower learning curve and higher security for investors since ETFs take charge of securing the underlying asset holdings. As for the main drawbacks, the main one is that as an investor you can’t have direct ownership of the asset, or, as they say in crypto, “not your keys, not your coins.” Other disadvantages are higher costs associated with holding crypto since ETFs charge fees for active management. Finally, even though investing in ETFs reduces the risk of holding an asset, price swings in the underlying cryptocurrency are likely to be reflected in the investment vehicle too.
XRP is holding the $1 level heading into July, but only just. The token is trading in a critical zone that will likely determine its direction over the coming weeks.
The Weekly Picture
The longer-term bear market structure remains unconfirmed as reversed. XRP is still technically within the larger downtrend that has defined recent months. However, the price continues to bounce from the $0.90 to $1.00 zone, a major area of support that has held despite repeated tests. For now, $1.00 is acting as the floor.
On the upside, $1.13 has flipped from previous support into resistance, marking the next key level XRP needs to reclaim to signal strength returning to the chart.
A Bullish Signal on the Daily Chart
The more encouraging development is on the daily timeframe, where a bullish divergence has been active and confirmed for roughly a week now. This pattern typically suggests that selling momentum is weakening even as price stays low, often preceding either a short-term bounce or a period of sideways consolidation rather than further sharp declines.
The prediction has remained consistent for several days: a slight bullish relief combined with choppy sideways price action is the most likely scenario heading into the coming days and weeks. That forecast has played out as expected so far and there is no reason yet to revise it.
What to Watch
The $1.00 level is the line that matters most right now. Holding it keeps the door open for a retest of $1.13 resistance. Losing it on a confirmed basis would reopen the path toward lower targets in the $0.87 to $0.90 range.
For July 1 and the days following, the base case remains modest relief rather than a dramatic move in either direction, with the daily bullish divergence offering the first technical sign that the worst of the selling pressure may be easing.
Story Ends Here
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Ripple has unveiled a proposed lending protocol for the XRP Ledger that would allow financial institutions to borrow digital assets without selling their holdings, expanding the network’s institutional finance capabilities.
Summary
Ripple has proposed an XRP Ledger lending protocol for institutional borrowers and lenders. The system lets institutions borrow digital assets without selling token holdings. The proposal now awaits XRP Ledger validator approval after devnet testing. According to a proposal published by Ripple, the new XRP Ledger Lending Protocol is designed to fill what the company describes as a missing piece in blockchain-based finance. While tokenization has simplified the issuance and transfer of digital assets, Ripple argues that lending, collateral management, and credit infrastructure have not advanced at the same pace.
The proposal would support lending markets for tokenized U.S. Treasuries, money market funds, stablecoins, commodities, private credit, and other real-world assets on the XRP Ledger.
Rather than embedding credit decisions into blockchain code, Ripple said lenders and borrowers would negotiate loan terms and complete compliance checks off-chain before transactions move to the network for execution.
Credit decisions stay off-chain while loan servicing moves on-chain Ripple said the protocol separates institutional credit assessment from blockchain settlement. Once a loan has been approved, the XRP Ledger would automate operational tasks including interest calculations, repayment schedules, loan servicing, and default management.
According to Ripple, this structure was intentionally designed to keep underwriting and regulatory requirements under the control of financial institutions while using the blockchain for standardized execution. The company said this approach mirrors how traditional financial markets separate credit decisions from settlement infrastructure.
The proposal introduces two core building blocks. A Single Asset Vault would pool a single token for lending, while a dedicated Lending Protocol would manage loan origination, servicing, and repayment. Ripple said separating custody from lending infrastructure follows the model already used in conventional capital markets.
As one example, Ripple said a payment provider holding reserves of RLUSD could obtain short-term liquidity through the protocol while waiting for cross-border transactions to settle. According to the company, doing so would allow institutions to avoid liquidating reserve assets or relying on higher-cost bank credit facilities.
Institutional access depends on validator approval Compliance remains a central part of the proposal. Ripple said both lenders and borrowers would need to complete identity verification before participating, with access controlled through permissioned credentials rather than open participation.
The company also proposed assigning first-loss capital at the lending facility level instead of distributing losses equally across all participants. According to Ripple, this structure is intended to create a clearer framework for allocating credit risk.
The lending framework has not yet become part of the XRP Ledger. Ripple said the technical specifications, published as XLS-65 and XLS-66, still require approval from XRPL validators before they can be activated on the main network. Until then, developers and infrastructure providers can begin testing the proposed system on the XRPL devnet.
The proposal arrives days after Ripple drew attention through another institutional finance connection. As previously reported by crypto.news, Elon Musk’s X has begun rolling out X Money to a limited group of Premium+ users using traditional banking infrastructure provided by Cross River Bank, a Ripple banking partner.
Although some members of the XRP community speculated that the relationship could eventually support blockchain-based payments or stablecoin services, neither X nor Cross River Bank has announced plans to integrate XRP or other cryptocurrencies into the payment platform.
For now, X Money operates entirely through conventional banking rails despite Musk previously suggesting crypto features could be added to the platform’s financial services in the future.
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In the XRP community, the view has recently been gaining strength that the token has finally been left on the sidelines of the market. The logic behind this observation is simple: since Ripple has shifted its focus to its new dollar stablecoin, RLUSD, the "old volatile" XRP will no longer be needed, and liquidity will simply flow into the stable asset.
Analysts at Evernorth, the largest independent XRP treasury, examined the logic behind this fear and explained, using fresh on-chain data from Dune Analytics, why the new dollar does not “eat” XRP, but instead acts as its main catalyst.
Inside the RLUSD and XRP synergyWhen Ripple first launched its digital dollar, investors expected the worst - if large businesses were given a stable dollar for settlements inside the XRP Ledger (XRPL), XRP itself would be written off. In reality, however, everything moved in the opposite direction.
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According to the latest report, 52% of all RLUSD volume now circulates inside XRPL, even though back in April the network’s share was only 17%, while most of the stablecoin was held on Ethereum.
RLUSD in circulation by chain, in dollars., Source: Evernorth citing Dune AnalyticsIn less than a year and a half, RLUSD’s share of trading operations inside XRPL rose from near-zero levels, below 1%, to 12%. Here, Evernorth’s experts make an important point: the market is not abandoning XRP — traders have simply started actively moving dollars through the token.
To understand the essence of this process, the analysts suggest looking at the traditional foreign exchange market. In the global economy, the U.S. dollar participates in most transactions, acting as the main connecting link. Without it, it is difficult to quickly and cheaply exchange, for example, yen for tugriks.
A similar model is now being built on Ripple’s blockchain.
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The direct RLUSD/XRP trading pair has generated $900 million in volume in just six months, creating a deep dollar market that simply did not exist before. Judging by the metrics, these assets are not competing in this pair, but dividing responsibilities:
RLUSD gives businesses a clear dollar value for settlements without exchange-rate swings.XRP remains an independent “bridge” for instant conversion between other assets when the parties on both ends of a transaction do not have a direct match of interests.But the main technical argument for why XRP has not been left out of Ripple’s expansion into stablecoins lies in how the network itself is built. Any operation, transfer, or order in the RLUSD/XRP pair requires a network fee, which is physically and permanently burned.
This creates a simple relationship: the more popular digital-dollar settlements become, the higher the activity in the XRP pair. And the more activity there is, the more XRP tokens are burned, reducing the total supply of the network’s native asset.
As a result, the dollar does not push XRP out of the market. It is built on top of it, generating liquidity and forcing the native token to burn even faster, Evernorth concludes.
Recent discussions within the XRP community have centered on whether Ripple’s new dollar-pegged digital asset, RLUSD, might push XRP into the background. Some argued that with a stable dollar-based option taking the spotlight in enterprise and internal payments, the need for the more volatile XRP could decline.
On chain data reveals a different storyAnalysts at Evernorth examined this concern and, drawing on data from Dune Analytics, concluded that RLUSD has not replaced XRP. Instead, they found it acts as a complementary force supporting XRP’s position within the XRPL ecosystem. Evernorth describes itself as the largest independent XRP treasury.
Rather than RLUSD and XRP excluding each other within the same sphere, we observe a clear division of labor: RLUSD offers stable, dollar-based settlement, while XRP continues to serve as a bridge for transfers between various assets.
In April, only 17 percent of RLUSD’s volume was found on XRPL, while the majority operated on Ethereum. Latest figures, however, reveal a dramatic shift: that share now sits at 52 percent, indicating a strong migration of transaction flow toward XRPL over recent months.
Additionally, RLUSD’s share of transactions within XRPL has grown notably. In just under a year and a half, its volume rose from under 1 percent to 12 percent. According to analysts, this trend does not reflect a loss of interest in XRP. Instead, it suggests that investors and users are increasingly conducting dollar-based transactions actively around XRP within the XRPL environment.
Task sharing replaces rivalry between RLUSD and XRPAnalysts likened this structure to traditional currency markets. In global finance, the US dollar often serves as the common link for transactions across currencies. A similar setup, they suggest, is developing in Ripple’s ecosystem, where RLUSD acts as a stable benchmark and XRP facilitates rapid switching between assets.
Direct trades between RLUSD and XRP have totaled $900 million over the past six months. This robust growth marks the emergence of a deep dollar market on XRPL that did not exist before. Data also shows that RLUSD gives businesses a buffer against exchange rate volatility through a clear dollar value, while XRP remains integral when parties to a transaction need a bridge across different assets.
Network fees directly impact XRP supplyThe technical dynamics of this relationship are also significant for XRP. Every transfer, transaction, or RLUSD/XRP order move on XRPL requires a network fee, and this fee is permanently burned, meaning the XRP is taken out of circulation.
Analysts point out a straightforward correlation: as digital dollar usage expands and RLUSD-linked transactions multiply, there is higher movement in the XRP pair, leading to more XRP being burned. This mechanism means RLUSD does not displace XRP but instead generates new liquidity atop it, reinforcing XRP’s native role in the network.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.
Open Standard has announced Open USD (OUSD), a new stablecoin developed for global payments and settlement processes. According to the company, over 140 companies, including Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, BlackRock, BNY, Coinbase, Ripple, Google, Shopify, Bybit, OKX, and Solana, have joined the OUSD ecosystem.
Open Standard stated that OUSD will be a stablecoin based on a consortium governance model, not controlled by a single issuer. Under this model, ecosystem partners will be able to share in reserve revenues and participate in governance processes after paying a small governance fee.
The company stated that OUSD will support zero-fee minting and redemption processes, and that no artificial issuance limits will be applied. The stablecoin is expected to launch later this year.
Zach Abrams, co-founder and CEO of Bridge, which is owned by Stripe, will serve as the founding CEO of Open Standard.
According to Open Standard, companies joining the OUSD ecosystem include payment giants Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, American Express, and Western Union; financial institutions BlackRock, BNY, Standard Chartered, U.S. Bank, BBVA, and DBS; technology companies Google, Samsung Electronics, IBM, Shopify, and Mercado Libre; and cryptocurrency companies such as Coinbase, Bybit, Solana, OKX, Ripple, Crypto.com, Fireblocks, Gemini, MetaMask, Aave, Galaxy, Ledger, MoonPay, Trust Wallet, Stellar, Polygon, and Aptos Labs.
*This is not investment advice.
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