Společnost Vistra (VST) získala rating Zacks Rank č. 4 (Sell), který naznačuje, že by její akcie mohly v krátkodobém horizontu zaostávat za širším trhem.
Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.
Over the past month, shares of this company have returned +6.3%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change. During this period, the Zacks Utility - Electric Power industry, which Vistra falls in, has gained 1%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?
Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.
Revisions to Earnings EstimatesRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
Vistra is expected to post earnings of $2.89 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +65.1%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate remained unchanged.
For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $9.04 points to a change of +71.9% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has remained unchanged.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $10.54 indicates a change of +16.6% from what Vistra is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has remained unchanged.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for Vistra.
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Revenue Growth ForecastWhile earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.
For Vistra, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $7.76 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +56.2%. For the current and next fiscal years, $22.59 billion and $25.77 billion estimates indicate +27.4% and +14.1% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryVistra reported revenues of $4.02 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of -5.5%. EPS of $1.8 for the same period compares with $1.01 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.29 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -36.17%. The EPS surprise was +16.88%.
Over the last four quarters, Vistra surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates just once over this period.
ValuationNo investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance.
While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.
As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
Vistra is graded C on this front, indicating that it is trading at par with its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
ConclusionThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Vistra. However, its Zacks Rank #4 does suggest that it may underperform the broader market in the near term.
Akcie společnosti Vistra během jediného dne vyskočily o 11 % poté, co DOE podmíněně schválilo úvěr až 4,2 miliardy USD na modernizaci tří jaderných elektráren.
One announcement from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) was enough to send Vistra (VST -1.40%) shares soaring 11% in a single day. With artificial intelligence driving demand for reliable electricity, it looks like a catalyst that could keep the momentum going. But before rushing to buy, there's something important to know about the investment case.
Image source: Getty Images.
Vistra's nuclear opportunity just got a major boost
On Oct. 5, 2026, the DOE announced a conditional loan commitment of up to $4.2 billion to help modernize three of the company's nuclear power plants in Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Rather than build an entirely new fleet, the funding is intended to help Vistra increase the electricity output of its existing reactors. The projects are expected to add 433 megawatts of nuclear capacity, meaning more electricity from plants that Vistra already runs. They would also extend the plants' operating lives by another 20 years.
That matters because electricity demand continues to accelerate as data centers and industrial facilities require more power. On top of that, nuclear energy is particularly attractive for these customers because it can deliver electricity around the clock.
Vistra already owns an established fleet of power generation assets and serves retail customers. That combination gives it an opportunity to benefit from rising power demand without relying too much on new construction.
It's a promising setup, but investors still need to see evidence that the business is performing well.
Is Vistra stock worth buying after this big jump?
Vistra's second-quarter 2026 results offered some encouragement. Specifically, Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA, a measure of operating performance, rose more than 30% year over year to around $1.8 billion. Management said the improvement mainly came from higher energy and capacity prices, as well as contributions from acquired power plants.
Together, these results suggest that Vistra isn't a speculative company. It already operates a large electricity business, and it has opportunities to expand earnings as demand grows and capacity upgrades take effect.
VST Vistra$152.02-$2.15 (-1.40%)
NYSE · As of 4:00 PM ET 10/16/26
The economic benefit comes from what Vistra actually does with the money. If the upgrades deliver additional electricity, extend plant operating lives, and generate attractive returns, the financing could help Vistra expand its nuclear business. In turn, that could mean more electricity output and further revenue growth if the company secures the loan.
Analysts seem to agree. A consensus among 18 of them rates Vistra a Strong Buy. Their target prices, meanwhile, suggest between 11% and 68% of potential upside over the next 12 months.
The stock also trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 26, which means shares cost about $26 for every $1 of Vistra's earnings. That's not exactly cheap for a utility business, but buyers may be willing to pay a premium if they believe rising electricity demand and a growing nuclear business will drive earnings higher.
That said, while the stock jumped on the news, there is a bit of fine print investors need to be aware of.
The $4.2 billion loan commitment comes with a catch
There's a detail investors shouldn't overlook: The DOE commitment is financing, not a government grant. Vistra must still meet the technical, legal, environmental, and financial requirements before it can secure that financing. Beyond that, the company needs to repay the loan at some point.
Sure, getting access to that additional capital would go a long way, but the company still faces execution risks. For example, if the projects run into delays or cost more than expected, the payoff could take longer to arrive.
And while long-term contracts and government financing strengthen the investment case, neither guarantees results.
But Vistra does have a lot going for it, from rising AI-driven electricity demand to long-term nuclear power deals and a potential $4.2 billion DOE loan.
If the company can put that financing to good use and successfully expand the business, investors could find plenty of room for earnings growth in the coming years.
, /PRNewswire/ -- Vistra Corp. (NYSE: VST) today announced its redemption of all outstanding shares of its 8.0% Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A, $0.01 par value per share (the "Series A Preferred Stock") in accordance with the terms and conditions set forth in the governing documents for the Series A Preferred Stock.
All one million shares of the Series A Preferred Stock (CUSIP: 92840M AB8 (Rule 144A) and U92266 AA0 (Regulation S)) are being redeemed at a price of $1,000 per share of preferred stock representing $1.0 billion in aggregate liquidation preference. Vistra had previously declared distributions on the Series A Preferred Shares payable on Oct. 15, 2026, thus there were no accrued and unpaid dividends as of the redemption date.
A formal notice of redemption was delivered to holders of record in accordance with the terms of the Series A Preferred Stock and applicable procedures of Cede & Co., the nominee of DTC. Additional information regarding the redemption, including payment procedures, the treatment of accrued dividends, and any required holder actions, was provided in the official notice of redemption and related materials distributed by Equiniti Trust Company, LLC, as redemption and paying agent.
On and after the redemption date, the Series A Preferred Stock ceased to be outstanding, dividends ceased to accrue on such shares, and all rights of holders were terminated other than the right to receive the applicable redemption price and any accrued and unpaid dividends payable in accordance with the terms of the Series A Preferred Stock.
About Vistra
Vistra (NYSE: VST) is a leading, Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas, that provides essential resources to customers, businesses, and communities from California to Maine. Vistra is a leader in transforming the energy landscape, with an unyielding focus on reliability, affordability, and sustainability. The company safely operates a reliable, efficient power generation fleet of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities while taking an innovative, customer-centric approach to its retail business.
Společnost Vistra získala podmíněný příslib úvěru od amerického ministerstva energetiky až ve výši 4,2 miliardy USD na modernizaci tří jaderných elektráren a zvýšení jejich výkonu o 433 MW.
On Oct. 5, the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Energy Dominance Financing announced a conditional loan commitment of up to $4.2 billion to Vistra (VST -6.51%) to add power capacity to its massive portfolio without constructing new power plants or reactors.
The loan commitment comes as hyperscalers seek reliable electricity with utility operators scrambling to add capacity. Vistra is in an enviable position with a massive power-generation fleet, and the loan will help the company build on its strong market position.
Vistra stock has drawn attention from investors looking to capitalize on the AI electricity demand boom, but it has also faced significant volatility. With its stock down 23% over the past year, is it time to buy the energy stock?
Image source: Getty Images.
Here's what Vistra plans to do with its $4 billion loan DOE funding for Vistra will help finance nuclear uprates and modernization across its massive energy fleet, focusing on three plants in the PJM Interconnection region: Beaver Valley in Pennsylvania, and Davis-Besse and Perry in Ohio.
The investment will help these reactors operate another 20 years beyond their existing licenses, add 433 megawatts of clean baseload capacity without building new reactors or new transmission corridors, and preserve nearly 4 gigawatts of existing generation that serves more than 3 million homes.
In PJM Interconnection, which serves 13 states and the District of Columbia in the Mid-Atlantic and Midwestern U.S., the 2028-2029 base residual auction recently cleared at the $325-per-megawatt-day price ceiling across all zones, raising concerns that such elevated pricing is unsustainable.
One of the biggest risks for independent power producers comes from regulators imposing price caps or other market interventions. This expanded output meets surging regional electricity demand, notably from artificial intelligence data centers, and increases capacity as residential customers push back on rising electricity rates.
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Vistra's business model captures upside from growing energy demand Vistra's strength is its independent power producer (IPP) business model. As an IPP, Vistra operates outside of the traditional regulated utility framework. Regulated utilities operate under strict government oversight and typically earn guaranteed, state-approved returns on invested capital.
In contrast, IPPs own generation assets and sell electricity directly into competitive wholesale markets or through contracts. This business model exposes Vistra to electricity price swings, allowing it to capture upside in tight energy markets but also downside if demand softens.
Vistra stands out among IPPs for its scale and power-generation assets in rapidly growing markets, including PJM Interconnection and ERCOT (Electric Reliability Council of Texas). PJM is home to "data center alley" in Virginia, while Texas is also seeing massive growth from AI data centers and chip manufacturing.
Despite a wave of data center deals this year, Vistra stock is down 27% from its all-time high stock price of nearly $220 per share last year. The stock traded at around 25 times its 2026 forecast earnings, but after the decline, it now trades at 18.5 times earnings. With earnings projected to grow 18% each of the next two years, the dip allows investors to buy Vistra stock today.
Vistra has shed nearly a fifth of its value over the past year while Wall Street keeps piling on Buy ratings and one analyst sees nearly 90% upside ahead. The disconnect between the stock price and that conviction points to…
Vistra (NYSE:VST | VST Price Prediction) trades at $158.05. The average analyst price target is $210.25, which means 33% upside.
Vistra runs nuclear and natural gas plants across Texas and the PJM grid, and it has become one of Wall Street’s favorite ways to invest in AI electricity demand. It has signed 20-year PPAs with Meta for more than 2,600 MW at its PJM nuclear plants, plus up to 1,200 MW with AWS at Comanche Peak.
The most bullish call goes well beyond the consensus. Jefferies has the highest analyst target at $298.00, about 88.5% above the current price. A spread that wide shows analysts disagree sharply about what this AI power story is worth.
Cheap Texas Power Pulled Vistra Off Its Highs Flat Texas wholesale prices did the most damage. On the second-quarter call, the CEO, Jim Burke, said ERCOT prices averaged “$30 a megawatt hour” year to date, matching last year, and admitted “$30 is not going to get new stuff built.” The CFO, Chris Moldovan, said gains in PJM “don’t fully offset the ERCOT headwind” and that 2027 was “trending towards the lower end” of its range before pending deals.
Shares are down 19.19% over the past year and sit 26.8% below the 52-week high of $215.85. GAAP results added to the pressure. Second-quarter revenue fell 5.5% to $4.02B, and net income slipped to $305M from $327M after $472M in unrealized hedging losses. Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA still rose more than 30% to $1.77B.
Nineteen of 20 Analysts Still Back the Nuclear and Gas Moat Analysts argue that hyperscalers need reliable 24/7 power, and Vistra’s nuclear and gas fleet can lock that supply into premium long-term contracts. Of 20 covering analysts, the split is:
Strong Buy: 4 Buy: 15 Hold: 0 Strong Sell: 1 Recent moves have been reiterations, including a Buy from Wells Fargo. The Meta PPAs begin contributing to Adjusted EBITDA in 2027, and the 5,500 MW Cogentrix gas portfolio has FERC approval. Moldovan said the two could add “roughly $700 million to our midpoint opportunity.”
Capital returns support the Jefferies case. Buybacks have reduced the share count by ~30% since Nov 2021, with ~$1.2B of authorization left. Management reaffirmed 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6.80B to $7.60B. Vistra is also the preferred power provider for Helix Digital Infrastructure, its venture with NVIDIA, KKR, and Kuwait Investment Authority.
AI Power Stocks Fell Together, and NRG Has the Widest Consensus Gap Vistra fell alongside its peers. Investors have marked down the whole AI power group, even as the buildout behind it keeps growing (we covered seven companies providing that AI infrastructure, from power to cooling, in a free report you can download here).
Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) is down 22.85% over the past year at $293.89. Its $341.53 target means just 16.2% upside. 19 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy and 3 rate it Hold, so its upside is smaller than Vistra’s.
NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) has dropped 36.97% over the year to $106.37. Its second-quarter adjusted EPS of $1.49 missed the $1.7401 estimate. Its $185.50 target means 74.4% upside, with 13 Buy-side ratings and 3 Holds.
Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) is down 12.86% over the year but up 32.55% in the past month to $379.77. Its $455.65 target means 20% upside, with 16 Buy-side ratings and 2 Holds.
NRG has the largest gap to its consensus target, while Vistra has the single most aggressive individual call. That puts Vistra in the middle of the group on consensus upside.
Vistra Trails the S&P 500 Despite a Sharp Rebound Vistra trades at $158.05 against a $210.25 consensus target from 20 analysts, means 33% upside. Treat targets as one data point. They are estimates and has no guarantee.
The stock is down 1.54% year to date, while the S&P 500 is up 14.1%. Over one year, Vistra is down 19.19% against a 17.35% gain for the index. Momentum has turned recently, with shares up 9.14% in a week. At a forward P/E of about 13, Vistra costs less than Constellation at 21.
Vistra Looks Mispriced if Texas Power Prices Firm Up The bull case improves if ERCOT prices move toward new-build economics and the Meta and Cogentrix contributions arrive on schedule in 2027. Downside risks grow if Texas prices stay near $30 a megawatt hour, 2027 EBITDA lands at the low end, and hyperscaler deals slow as grid operators restrict interconnection queues.
The data tilt bullish. Vistra is ~94% hedged for 2027, its core EBITDA is growing, and its valuation is below peers. Those factors make the consensus target reachable. The Jefferies $298.00 target needs everything to go right. Keep an eye on the next earnings report for any change to the 2027 outlook.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Finanční ředitel společnosti Vistra, Kristopher E. Moldovan, prodal v rámci předem sjednaného plánu Rule 10b5-1 20 000 akcií za 3,30 milionu USD; po transakci drží 179 044 akcií.
What happened Vistra Corp. (NYSE: VST) said Kristopher E. Moldovan, its EVP and CFO, sold 20,000 shares of common stock on 2026-10-07.
The shares were sold at $165.00 each for about $3.30 million in total.
The form checked the box for a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. After the sale, the filing lists 179,044 shares.
The table identifies Moldovan as the reporting person and an officer of the issuer.
Key numbers Metric Latest Change Source Shares sold 20,000 shares SEC Form 4 Sale price $165.00 SEC Form 4 Reported value about $3.30 million SEC Form 4 Shares held after sale 179,044 shares SEC Form 4 Pre-trade holding sold about 10.0% Calculated from SEC Form 4 Read more: Vistra (VST) stock analysis and investment case
Why it matters OptimistFi's case is that Vistra is a scarcity-power story, built on large dispatchable electricity supply and a retail channel, and the stock works only if that scarcity lasts.
This filing is mixed for that view because the CFO sold shares, trimming exposure to the name.
The 20,000-share sale was about 10.0% of the 199,044-share holding before the trade, so the move was not trivial.
The Rule 10b5-1 box is the main caveat, because it points to a prearranged plan rather than a fresh discretionary decision.
That makes the form a useful record of insider ownership change, but it does not by itself say anything about power supply or retail demand.
For investors, the takeaway is narrower than a thesis change: Moldovan reduced the stake, and the filing shows the reduction was planned.
The filing supplies price and size, which lets investors gauge the transaction against the pre-trade holding.
Browse: stock research on every company OptimistFi covers
What's next The next quarterly report is the next scheduled read on whether the scarcity-power case still holds.
If that report keeps supporting the business, this planned sale stays a background item.
If the report weakens the case, the sale will look more relevant in hindsight.
Until then, the form mainly gives investors a dated snapshot of insider activity under a trading plan.
The trade date was 2026-10-07, and the filing was signed the same day.
That gives investors a clean date stamp for the transaction even though the rule 10b5-1 box limits the signal.
More from OptimistFi VST stock: the Vistra thesis, its status and the next test to watch Dividendology Explains Hess Midstream LP (NYSE: HESM)'s EBITDA Reset Viatris Inc. (NASDAQ: VTRS) Buys Pacira for $1.65 Billion Richardson Electronics, Ltd. (NASDAQ: RELL) Margin Gains Need Context Stock research on every company OptimistFi covers Latest stock research and investment-case updates OptimistFi: evidence-first equity research Sources SEC Form 4 — Vistra Corp. insider trade by Kristopher E. Moldovan. Read the full OptimistFi thesis on Vistra Corp.: https://optimistfi.com/stocks/VST
See what would break the Vistra Corp. thesis and track it live on the OptimistFi Thesis-Break Engine.
Browse every company OptimistFi covers at optimistfi.com/stocks, or read the latest evidence-first research.
The full Vistra Corp. investment case, its status and the next test to watch live on the Vistra Corp. thesis page.
Originally published on OptimistFi, evidence-first equity research. More at optimistfi.com.
Venture Visionary Partners ve třetím čtvrtletí snížila svůj podíl ve Vistra o 54,6 % prodejem 15 558 akcií; nyní drží 12 938 akcií v hodnotě 1,79 milionu USD.
Venture Visionary Partners LLC decreased its position in Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST – Free Report) by 54.6% during the 3rd quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 12,938 shares of the company’s stock after selling 15,558 shares during the quarter. Venture Visionary Partners LLC’s holdings in Vistra were worth $1,790,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
A number of other large investors also recently made changes to their positions in the company. Premier Financial Group bought a new stake in Vistra in the 2nd quarter valued at $34,000. Brown Lisle Cummings Inc. grew its holdings in Vistra by 141.2% in the 1st quarter. Brown Lisle Cummings Inc. now owns 246 shares of the company’s stock valued at $37,000 after buying an additional 144 shares in the last quarter. Stonehage Fleming Financial Services Holdings Ltd bought a new position in Vistra during the 2nd quarter worth $37,000. Silicon Valley Capital Partners bought a new position in Vistra during the 2nd quarter worth $39,000. Finally, Physician Wealth Advisors Inc. boosted its position in shares of Vistra by 46.6% in the first quarter. Physician Wealth Advisors Inc. now owns 302 shares of the company’s stock valued at $45,000 after acquiring an additional 96 shares during the period. Institutional investors own 90.88% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades VST has been the subject of several analyst reports. Weiss Ratings cut Vistra from a “hold (c+)” rating to a “hold (c)” rating in a report on Thursday, August 13th. Sanford C. Bernstein restated an “outperform” rating and issued a $181.00 price target on shares of Vistra in a research report on Thursday, October 1st. Wells Fargo & Company reiterated an “overweight” rating and set a $212.00 price objective on shares of Vistra in a research note on Monday, August 10th. BNP Paribas Exane set a $255.00 price target on shares of Vistra in a report on Wednesday, August 19th. Finally, Mizuho assumed coverage on shares of Vistra in a research report on Monday, August 24th. They set an “outperform” rating and a $169.00 price target on the stock. Fifteen investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and two have given a Hold rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $217.61.
Get Our Latest Analysis on VST Vistra Stock Up 3.9% Shares of VST opened at $166.77 on Thursday. The stock has a market capitalization of $55.97 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.17 and a beta of 1.38. Vistra Corp. has a 52 week low of $132.66 and a 52 week high of $217.10. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.87, a quick ratio of 0.87 and a current ratio of 0.97. The stock has a fifty day moving average of $143.51 and a 200-day moving average of $151.04.
Vistra (NYSE:VST – Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Friday, August 7th. The company reported $0.76 EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $1.61 by ($0.85). Vistra had a net margin of 11.55% and a return on equity of 108.68%. The firm had revenue of $4.02 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $5.46 billion. As a group, sell-side analysts anticipate that Vistra Corp. will post 9.04 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Vistra Increases Dividend The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, September 30th. Investors of record on Monday, September 21st were issued a $0.23 dividend. This is a boost from Vistra’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.2290. The ex-dividend date was Monday, September 21st. This represents a $0.92 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 0.6%. Vistra’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 15.54%.
Insider Buying and Selling In other Vistra news, CEO James Burke purchased 4,465 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Tuesday, September 1st. The stock was purchased at an average cost of $135.25 per share, for a total transaction of $603,891.25. Following the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 1,146,352 shares in the company, valued at $155,044,108. The trade was a 0.39% increase in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available at this hyperlink. Also, EVP Scott A. Hudson sold 44,444 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Tuesday, September 8th. The shares were sold at an average price of $151.82, for a total transaction of $6,747,488.08. Following the transaction, the executive vice president directly owned 331,137 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $50,273,219.34. The trade was a 11.83% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. 0.92% of the stock is owned by company insiders.
More Vistra News Here are the key news stories impacting Vistra this week:
Positive Sentiment: The U.S. Department of Energy announced a conditional loan commitment of up to $4.2 billion to help Vistra expand capacity and extend the operating lives of nuclear plants in Pennsylvania and Ohio. The funding could reduce project-financing needs, support additional generation and improve the long-term value of Vistra’s nuclear fleet. DoE confirms up to $4.2B loan to Vistra Positive Sentiment: The announcement reinforced the market’s view that reliable, around-the-clock nuclear electricity will become increasingly valuable as AI data centers expand. Vistra’s long-term power agreements with large customers, including Meta and New Era Energy, provide additional visibility into future demand and revenue. Vistra Stock Gains as Federal Funds Fuel Nuclear Power Expansion Positive Sentiment: Vistra rallied alongside Constellation Energy and Talen Energy after a separate announcement involving a long-term Google commitment to nuclear power. Investors interpreted the deal as evidence that hyperscalers may sign multiyear contracts for firm nuclear generation, potentially supporting higher power prices and cash flows across the sector. Constellation Energy, Vistra and Talen move on AI nuclear deals Neutral Sentiment: Analysts and investors continue comparing Vistra with Talen as potential AI-power beneficiaries. The key issue is how much of the opportunity becomes shareholder cash flow after capital spending, financing costs and debt service. Vistra vs. Talen: Which AI Power Stock Has the Stronger Cash-Flow Case? Negative Sentiment: Vistra is challenging a PJM market proposal at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, arguing it is discriminatory and legally flawed. Although the filing seeks to protect future investment incentives, regulatory uncertainty could affect market revenues and investment planning in the region. Vistra’s high leverage remains an additional risk for investors. About Vistra (Free Report)
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) is an integrated energy company headquartered in Irving, Texas. The company operates electricity generation facilities and provides electricity and related energy services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Its portfolio includes natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage assets.
Vistra also operates a retail electricity business that offers power plans, renewable energy options, and energy-management services. Its retail brands include TXU Energy, Homefield Energy, Dynegy, and Ambit Energy, serving customers in competitive electricity markets across the United States.
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Ministerstvo energetiky USA přislíbilo společnosti Vistra až 4,2 mld. USD na prodloužení životnosti a modernizaci tří jaderných elektráren, čímž zachová téměř 4 GW výkonu a přidá 433 MW kapacity.
Washington's latest nuclear deal adds new power without building a single new reactor. Energy Secretary Chris Wright made the pitch on Monday: run the existing nuclear plants in America longer to deliver cheaper, steadier power around the clock.
The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) announced a loan commitment of up to $4.2 billion for Vistra (VST +10.77%) to extend and upgrade three of its nuclear plants -- Beaver Valley in Pennsylvania, and Davis-Besse and Perry in Ohio.
The DOE says the project will preserve nearly 4 gigawatts (GW) of existing power and add 433 megawatts (MW) of new capacity. That could power more than 3 million homes across Pennsylvania, Ohio, and the PJM region. The PJM region is the stretch of the eastern U.S. where PJM Interconnection runs the power grid, covering all or parts of 13 states and the District of Columbia.
Here's the big number: The investment will extend the plants' lives for another 20 years beyond their current licenses.
Zoom out, and Monday's deal is just a piece of a much bigger plan that should benefit more stocks than one.
Image source: Getty Images.
Trump's big nuclear betPresident Donald Trump's May 2025 executive order set an ambitious goal to jump-start America's nuclear energy industry and quadruple capacity to 400 GW by 2050.
Washington can add nuclear power mainly in three ways: new reactors, restarts, and uprates (increasing the capacity and output of existing plants). It is going after all three.
Here are some examples of the DOE's major recent nuclear deals.
New reactorsA conditional $17.5 billion loan to Westinghouse to deploy up to 10 new AP1000 reactors. Westinghouse is jointly owned by Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEPC +4.70%)(BEP +4.25%) and Cameco (CCJ +6.34%).
RestartsThe DOE closed a $1 billion loan to Constellation Energy (CEG +12.25%) to bring back the 835-megawatt Crane Clean Energy Center, the old Three Mile Island Unit 1, which shut in 2019. Tech giant Microsoft (MSFT +0.78%) had already signed to buy the power even before the DOE loan.
UpratesVistra's latest $4.2 billion loan commitment for three of its plants. Here's something else you must know: In January 2026, tech behemoth Meta Platforms (META -0.41%) already signed 20-year power purchase agreements with Vistra to buy 2,609 MW from those same plants.
What this means for investors in nuclear energy I see two emerging patterns.
First, the biggest federal loans or commitments are going to existing plants, because that solves the energy problem faster than building a new reactor.
Second, plants that already have a license, a grid connection, and a buyer are getting Washington's attention. While Constellation had already found a buyer for Crane output in Microsoft, Vistra found one in Meta.
All Washington is doing is adding money on top, so the companies that own these plants can restart or uprate more quickly and more affordably.
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The nuclear renaissance is real, and I strongly believe that owners of existing reactors, such as Constellation and Vistra, stand to win the most.
While Constellation operates the largest nuclear fleet in the U.S., Vistra owns the second-largest fleet among competitive power producers that sell electricity on the open market. Both hold scarce assets that the artificial intelligence (AI) boom needs but can't quickly replace: reactors that deliver clear, uninterrupted nuclear power around the clock.
Neha Chamaria has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Cameco, Constellation Energy, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Vistra. The Motley Fool recommends Brookfield Renewable and Brookfield Renewable Partners. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
What happened Vistra Corp. (NYSE: VST) said Vistra Operations Company LLC, an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary, amended its commodity-linked credit agreement on September 30, 2026. The agreement was originally dated February 4, 2022. The amendment took effect on September 30, 2026.
It extends the revolving credit maturity date from September 30, 2026 to September 29, 2027. It also makes other changes that align the deal with the borrower's corporate credit agreement.
The amended schedule totals $1.75 billion in revolving credit commitments. Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank has a $100 million commitment. Morgan Stanley Bank, N.A. has $68 million, and Morgan Stanley Senior Funding, Inc. has $32 million. The agreement restates the total as the sum of the lender commitments in the schedule. It also calls for an upfront fee equal to 0.05% of each revolver lender's commitment. Key numbers Metric Latest Change Source Revolving credit maturity date September 29, 2027 from September 30, 2026, +364 days SEC 8-K Aggregate revolving credit commitments $1.75 billion Ex-10.1 Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank commitment $100 million Ex-10.1 Upfront fee 0.05% Ex-10.1 Read more: Vistra (VST) stock analysis and investment case
Why it matters OptimistFi's case is that Vistra's value depends on durable scarcity power and access to financing. This amendment supports the financing side of that view by pushing the maturity out by 364 days while leaving the commitment pool at $1.75 billion.
The change does not add new borrowing capacity. It keeps the existing line in place for longer. That makes the filing about flexibility, not the operating story.
The upfront fee adds a small cost to preserve the line. The bigger caution is the one the filing states. The amendment works only if its conditions are met, including no Default or Event of Default. The clearest change for investors is the move in maturity date by one year.
Browse: stock research on every company OptimistFi covers
What's next The next dated checkpoint is September 29, 2027, when the revolver now matures. Another extension before then would support the financing case. Reaching that date without a new arrangement would weaken it.
That date is now the main checkpoint for the company's credit access. Investors can compare the amended schedule and maturity date with any later amendment or repayment.
More from OptimistFi VST stock: the Vistra thesis, its status and the next test to watch United States Brent Oil Fund, LP (NYSE Arca: BNO) Tracks a Supply Gap Alpha Teknova, Inc. (NASDAQ: TKNO) Adds Regulatory Support for PluriFreeze Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ: META) Has a Conditional $18 Billion Bill Stock research on every company OptimistFi covers Latest stock research and investment-case updates OptimistFi: evidence-first equity research Sources SEC 8-K — Current report announcing the amendment and the maturity extension. Exhibit 10.1 — Eleventh Amendment to Credit Agreement with the revised commitment schedule and fee. Read the full OptimistFi thesis on Vistra Corp.: https://optimistfi.com/stocks/VST
See what would break the Vistra Corp. thesis and track it live on the OptimistFi Thesis-Break Engine.
Browse every company OptimistFi covers at optimistfi.com/stocks, or read the latest evidence-first research.
The full Vistra Corp. investment case, its status and the next test to watch live on the Vistra Corp. thesis page.
Originally published on OptimistFi, evidence-first equity research. More at optimistfi.com.
Spojené státy půjčí společnosti Vistra asi 4,2 miliardy USD na zvýšení výroby v jaderných elektrárnách. Úvěr má podpořit úpravy alespoň tří ze čtyř jaderných elektráren bez nových licencí.
The US will lend Vistra Corp (VST.N) about $4.2 billion to boost its nuclear power generation, a person familiar with the matter said on Saturday.
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright will make the announcement on Monday at Vistra's nuclear plant along Lake Erie in Ohio, said the person, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.
The loan would be used to boost power output, or "uprate" at least three of Vistra's four nuclear stations, which can be done without requiring new licenses from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
The Department of Energy and Vistra did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
According to the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, utilities can uprate nuclear plants by refueling with slightly more enriched uranium, or a higher percentage of new fuel, or through major plant modifications such as the replacement of main turbines. Utilities since the 1970s have used uprates to generate more power from reactors, the NRC's website says. As of 2022 the agency had approved more than 170 uprates, according to the NRC.
Vistra has six reactors at four US plants that generate more than 6.5 gigawatts of electricity, enough to power about 3.25 million homes.
US power demand is growing for the first time in decades, driven by surging demand from the expansion of AI data centers, electrification of transportation and cryptocurrency mining.
President Donald Trump set a goal to quadruple US nuclear power capacity by 2050. The US Department of Energy has hundreds of billions of dollars in financing available from its loan office and Wright has said the bulk of that loan capacity will support nuclear power plants.
The Vistra news was first reported by Bloomberg.
(This story has been refiled to remove an incorrect image, with no change to text.)
Vistra za poslední rok klesla o 28,96 %, zatímco analytici čekají průměrný cílový kurz 217,58 USD, tedy asi 57% potenciál. Nejvyšší cíl má Scotiabank: 298 USD, tedy asi 115% potenciál.
Vistra has shed nearly 30% while Wall Street analysts keep raising their price targets, creating a gap that one top analyst thinks is worth 115% upside. The catch sits inside two words that management itself flagged as a problem: ERCOT…
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Vistra (NYSE:VST | VST Price Prediction) trades at $138.36. The average analyst price target is $217.58, which implies about 57% upside to where Wall Street thinks it belongs.
Vistra is a Texas-based independent power producer. It runs nuclear, natural gas and solar plants in ERCOT and PJM. AI hyperscalers want round-the-clock baseload power, and Vistra has signed with them: 20-year Meta (NASDAQ:META) PPAs covering 2,600+ MW and a 1,200 MW AWS deal at Comanche Peak.
The most bullish analyst sees far more upside than consensus. Scotiabank’s Andrew Weisel holds a Street-high $298.00 target with a Sector Outperform rating. That implies about 115% upside. When even the consensus gap tops 40%, investors need to know which side has it right.
Cheaper Texas Power Knocked Down Vistra’s 2027 Outlook The biggest problem is falling ERCOT forward prices. On the second-quarter call, management said 2027 ERCOT curves were “meaningfully lower”. It added that higher PJM prices and hedging “don’t fully offset the ERCOT headwind.” Vistra now expects to land near the lower end of its 2027 range of $7.40 billion to $7.80 billion. Texas prices have averaged $30 a megawatt hour, and CEO Jim Burke said directly that “$30 is not going to get new stuff built.”
The stock traded lower at each earnings report: $176.96 at the fourth-quarter report, $159.64 at the first-quarter report, and $143.87 at the second-quarter report. Texas regulators are reviewing the large-load interconnection queue, which management expects to pause for a few months. Unrealized hedging losses of $472M pulled net income to $305M, even as Adjusted EBITDA rose more than 30% to $1.77B.
Analysts Are Looking Past ERCOT to Meta, Cogentrix and Helix Scotiabank’s thesis rests on three elements: hyperscaler PPAs at nuclear and gas plants, wider spark spreads and higher capacity prices in ERCOT and PJM, and Energy Harbor synergies funding buybacks. The second pillar runs into what management itself says about Texas today.
The 2027 numbers still leave out two catalysts. CFO Chris Moldovan said Cogentrix and the Meta PPAs could add “roughly $700 million to our midpoint opportunity.” FERC has approved the Cogentrix deal, which brings a ~5,500 MW gas portfolio. Vistra is also the preferred power provider for Helix, a joint venture with NVIDIA and KKR, and has committed up to $1.0B. Buybacks have reduced the share count by ~30%, with ~$1.2B left on the authorization.
Analysts remain bullish. Four rate the stock Strong Buy, 15 rate it Buy, none rate it Hold or Sell, and one rates it Strong Sell. Their estimates tell a softer story than their ratings. The 2027 EPS consensus has fallen to $10.3811 from $11.3019 60 days ago, with six downward revisions and zero upward revisions in the past 30 days. The next test comes on the third-quarter call, when management will update guidance.
Every Big Power Producer Fell, and NRG Fell Hardest Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) is down 22.37% over the year. At $254.02 against a $347.28 target, it has about 37% upside, less than Vistra. Analysts hold 19 bullish ratings and 3 Holds.
NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) dropped 40.21%. At $95.67 against a $188.56 target, implied upside is about 97%. It has 13 bullish ratings and 3 Holds.
Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) is off 26.49%. At $312.69 against $460.59, it offers about 47% upside, which is also below Vistra’s.
NRG has the largest implied upside in the group. Vistra comes second, with cleaner contracted growth and investment-grade credit. Price targets are estimates and no guarantee.
A 29% Slide While the S&P 500 Gained 14% Vistra trades at $138.36, and 20 analysts set an average target of $217.58, about 57% above the current price. The shares are down 28.96% over the past year and 13.85% year to date. Over the same periods, the S&P 500 rose 14.48% and 11.84%.
The stock sits below both its 50-day average of $144.91 and its 200-day average of $155.39. It trades at a forward P/E of 13, a low multiple for a company with 20-year contracts with tech giants.
I Lean Toward Vistra, but Texas Prices Have to Turn Things look more bullish if Cogentrix closes smoothly, Meta PPAs add to EBITDA in 2027, and Texas data-center load connects to the grid. If all three happen, the about $700 million in extra EBITDA becomes real and the consensus target looks reachable. The bear case gains ground if ERCOT prices stay near $30 and the queue review delays projects past 2027. Falling estimates would then drag targets down to meet the stock.
I lean bullish. At 13 times forward earnings, with large contracted deals and continued buybacks, the market is pricing in a lot of bad news. I’d treat Scotiabank’s $298 as the best-case scenario, though, and the consensus target as the more realistic one.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Vistra uzavřela s datovým centrem 20letou smlouvu o dodávkách elektřiny pro 200 až 207 MW z 1 180MW plynové elektrárny v Oděse v Texasu. Součástí dohody je i 5% pasivní podíl v části projektu.
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) has had a busy stretch this month that included a major debt offering and a new long-term power supply agreement with a data center developer.
Vistra shares are advancing steadily. What’s pushing VST stock higher? The $1.5 Billion Notes OfferingOn September. 10, Vistra priced an underwritten public offering of $1.5 billion in junior subordinated notes, split between $850 million of Series A notes due 2057 at a 7.00% initial interest rate and $650 million of Series B notes due 2057 at 7.25%.
The notes are unsecured obligations of Vistra Operations Company LLC, guaranteed by Vistra. Net proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including funding the redemption of Vistra’s outstanding Series A and Series B preferred stock upon their respective reset dates in October and December.
The offering is expected to close September 24.
On September 21, New Era Energy & Digital announced that its subsidiary, TCDC PowerCo LLC, entered into a 20-year power purchase agreement with Luminant, a Vistra affiliate, under which Luminant will supply between 200 MW and 207 MW of power for Phase 1 of New Era’s Texas Critical Data Center project.
Power will come from Vistra’s 1,180 MW natural gas-fired facility in Odessa, Texas, adjacent to the data center site, with delivery expected in the third quarter of 2027. Alongside the PPA, the two companies also signed a development framework agreement giving Vistra a 5% non-voting interest in the portion of the project it powers, along with rights of first refusal on future development at the site and other New Era projects.
“Demand for reliable power to support digital infrastructure continues to grow across the United States,” said Claudia Morrow, Senior Vice President of Corporate Development and Strategy at Vistra.
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Vistra Shares Edge HigherVST Price Action: At the time of publication, Vistra shares are trading 1.24% higher at $139.65, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
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New Era Energy & Digital si zajistila 20letou smlouvu na elektřinu s Vistra pro 1. fázi texaského datacentra o kapacitě minimálně 200 MW až 207 MW. Dodávky mají začít ve 3. čtvrtletí 2027.
New Era Energy & Digital (NASDAQ:NUAI) has locked in power for one of the country's most closely watched new data center projects, securing a 20-year agreement with Vistra Corp that supplies electricity for the first phase of its Texas Critical Data Center.
The company said its subsidiary, TCDC PowerCo, has signed the power purchase agreement with Vistra affiliate Luminant ET Services Company, an affiliate of for a minimum of 200 MW and up to 207 MW to supply Phase 1 of the project.
Power will come from Vistra's 1,180 MW natural gas-fired plant in Odessa, Texas, which sits next to the TCDC site.
The agreement carries automatic one-year renewals after its initial 20-year term, with firm, contracted power expected to reach TCDC in the third quarter of 2027.
"Having firm, contracted power for Phase 1 in New Era's name is an incredible milestone which we believe materially reduces Phase 1 development risk at TCDC," said Charlie Nelson, CEO of New Era.
"With the land secured, construction permits in hand, Phase 1 power contracted for 20 years, and room to expand to multiple phases, we believe this is an attractive opportunity to any quality tenant currently in the market."
Alongside the PPA, New Era and Vistra affiliates also signed a development framework agreement giving Vistra a 5% non-voting interest in the powered portion of the project once delivery begins, plus first refusal rights on future TCDC development and first offer rights on other New Era projects.
"Demand for reliable power to support digital infrastructure continues to grow across the United States," said Claudia Morrow, Senior Vice President of Corporate Development and Strategy at Vistra. "We are pleased to work with New Era on a long-term power arrangement for the TCDC project and to establish a framework that allows us to evaluate additional power opportunities together over time."
Elon Musk and a sitting governor are telling Americans that AI data centers push electricity bills down, but the numbers consumers are actually paying tell a very different story.
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At 10:18 a.m. ET on Monday, Elon Musk told his audience that “AI data centers resulting in lower electricity prices for consumers” and pointed to a post claiming Georgia Power’s new large-load contracts, overwhelmingly data centers, will save customers nearly a billion dollars, erasing about $180 per year from their bills. The post reached more than 503,000 impressions. Twelve days earlier, West Virginia Governor Patrick Morrisey made the same argument on CNBC, saying net electricity prices will be lower when data centers come in. It is becoming an industry talking point. It is also colliding with the price data Americans actually pay.
What the National Scoreboard Says The Consumer Price Index for electricity in the U.S. city average was 305.444 in August 2026, up from 293.388 in September 2025, a rise of about 4.1%. Over the same stretch, headline CPI rose 3.4%. Electricity is outpacing headline inflation. The average U.S. price of electricity was 19.6 cents per kilowatt-hour in August 2026, up from 18.8 cents in September 2025, with the year’s high of 19.8 cents set in June 2026, near a record in the series. The Energy Information Administration’s own May outlook projected residential rates would average 18.2 cents per kilowatthour in 2026, a nearly 5% increase from 2025, with East Coast regions running 5% to 7% average annual growth between 2024 and 2027, driven partly by spending to accommodate rising power demand.
What the Utilities Themselves Are Reporting Southern Company (NYSE:SO | SO Price Prediction), the Georgia Power parent, told investors on its July 30, 2026 earnings call that data-center usage was 55% higher than in the second quarter of 2025 and that Georgia Power signed a 3.2 gigawatt, 25-year contract for electric service with OpenAI near Savannah. The company now has over 17 gigawatts of contracts and large-load agreements expected by the mid-2030s, with a prospective pipeline well above 75 gigawatts. Chief Executive Chris Womack framed the Georgia deals as a rate-stability story, saying large-load minimum bills cover at least 100% of the incremental cost to serve and that retail base rates in Georgia and Alabama are held stable until 2029. Meanwhile, in the same quarter, residential kilowatt-hour sales declined 1.5% while commercial sales, the data-center bucket, surged 7.3%. Households are using less power and, in most of the country, paying more per unit for it.
The merchant side of the market tells the same story from the other direction. Vistra (NYSE:VST), the independent power producer whose stock became a proxy for the AI power trade, told investors on its August 7, 2026 call that year-to-date ERCOT wholesale prices were $30 per megawatt hour, and that “$30 is not going to get new stuff built” because the price of equipment in some cases has doubled, if not tripled. Large-load customers, the company said, are willing to pay a premium for existing generation because it remains a discount to what new build costs. Vistra’s Q2 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA jumped more than 30% year over year to $1.77 billion on higher realized energy and capacity prices. Rising wholesale prices are the tailwind.
Market Irony Cuts Both Ways Even the trade built on this thesis has stopped paying. Vistra shares are down 30.21% over the past year and down 11.95% year to date to $141.63. Southern Company is up just 2.12% year to date. The Georgia Power $180 figure Musk amplified applies to a specific contract structure at a single regional utility, well removed from the bills consumers open in New Jersey, Ohio, or California. If the merchant generators aren’t the cleanest way to play the buildout, the picks-and-shovels layer (power, cooling, networking) may be, and we sketched seven of those names in a free report on the AI infrastructure trade. The signal to watch is the September electricity CPI print and the Alabama and Georgia RFP results due by year-end: generation selected through those RFPs is not currently in Southern’s capital forecast, and whatever gets built will land in a rate base that ratepayers, not hyperscalers alone, ultimately fund.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Vistra has quietly shed a quarter of its value while its operating results kept beating expectations, and Wall Street's most bullish analyst thinks that disconnect points to something big coming in 2027.
Vistra (NYSE:VST | VST Price Prediction) trades at $148.34 against a consensus Wall Street price target of $217.42, leaving roughly 47% of implied upside on the table.
Vistra is an integrated retail electricity and merchant power producer that has become one of the most watched names on the AI power trade. Its nuclear and natural gas fleet feeds ERCOT and PJM, the two grids most exposed to data-center load growth, and it has signed long-term supply deals with Meta, AWS, and hyperscaler-focused partners.
The gap matters because the operating base case has not shifted. Analysts still see close to 47% upside, and one of them thinks the stock should nearly double.
Why a Nuclear and Gas Winner Slipped in 2026 The selloff looks like a valuation reset rather than an operational break. Vistra has drifted lower every quarter of 2026, from $176.96 at the Q4 25 filing to $143.87 at the Q2 26 filing, even as the business kept beating on the fundamentals.
Q2 2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA jumped more than 30% year over year to $1.77 billion, with Texas segment EBITDA more than doubling to $311 million and the East segment climbing to $642 million from $418 million. GAAP net income slipped to $305 million, dragged by $472 million in unrealized mark-to-market hedging losses.
The pressure has come from three places. ERCOT wholesale power has averaged around $30 a megawatt hour year to date, unchanged from last year, capping merchant upside. 2027 EPS estimates have been revised down six times over the past 30 days. And after a 782% five-year run, some AI-power froth was always due to compress.
Analysts Still See $217, and One Sees $298 Wall Street is not blinking. Of the 20 analysts covering Vistra, 4 rate it Strong Buy, 15 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell. Implied upside to the $217.42 consensus is roughly 46.6%, which crosses the threshold where the bull case deserves real space.
The anchor is the contract book. Vistra holds 20-year Meta PPAs covering more than 2,600 MW at PJM nuclear facilities, a 20-year AWS deal for up to 1,200 MW at Comanche Peak, an 860 MW Permian Basin gas build, and the pending 5,500 MW Cogentrix gas acquisition with FERC approval in hand. Cogentrix and the Meta PPAs are both excluded from current 2027 numbers. Management said on the Q2 call the two together could add “roughly $700 million” to the 2027 midpoint.
Then there is Scotiabank’s Andrew Weisel, whose $298 Street-high target implies about 101% upside from here. His four pillars: hyperscaler nuclear PPA premiums benchmarked off the Amazon/Talen and Microsoft/Constellation comps; roughly 44 GW of gas capacity commanding rising ERCOT and PJM capacity clearing prices; a share count reduced by roughly 30% since 2021 amplifying per-share metrics; and an integrated retail arm serving about 5 million customers as a hedge against wholesale volatility.
The timeline is 2027. That is when Meta PPA cash flows begin, Cogentrix contribution shows up, and management guides to a $7.4 billion to $7.8 billion Ongoing Ops Adjusted EBITDA midpoint opportunity. (We mapped five ways to play the broader nuclear restart, utilities and fuel suppliers included, in a free report.)
Peer Group Sold Off Together, With NRG Sitting on the Widest Gap The AI-power trade cooled across the whole space in 2026, and every merchant generator is trading below consensus. Vistra is not the outlier.
Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) at $284.75 is down 19.4% YTD and sits below its $348.30 consensus for about 22% upside. Ratings skew bullish at 6 Strong Buy, 14 Buy, and 3 Hold, but the Street sees a smaller gap here than at Vistra.
NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) at $113.46 has been the worst performer in the group, down 28.75% YTD after two straight quarterly misses tied to LS Power integration. Its $188.75 consensus implies roughly 66% upside, the largest gap in the group. Ratings: 3 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 3 Hold.
Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) at $312.74 is down 16.57% YTD and trades against a $459.94 target for about 47% upside, almost identical to Vistra. Ratings: 6 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 2 Hold, with the just-closed Cornerstone Acquisition still to prove in.
NRG carries the widest analyst-implied gap, but also the messiest integration story. Vistra’s ~47% gap comes attached to the cleanest execution.
What the Setup Actually Looks Like Vistra trades at $148.34 with a market cap near $49.8 billion, a trailing P/E of 25 and a forward P/E of 14. Consensus target is $217.42 across roughly 20 covering analysts.
The performance gap versus the market tells the reset story. Shares are down 7.76% YTD and 26.89% over the past year, while the S&P 500 has returned 12.08% YTD and 16.22% over one year. Five years out, VST is still up 782%, one of the best-performing large-cap utilities of the AI cycle.
Consensus 2026 EPS sits at $9.5863; the 2027 average is $10.3461, revised down from $11.3019 sixty days ago.
Where I Land on Vistra Here The bull case strengthens if the Meta and AWS PPAs actually flow through in 2027, Cogentrix closes and integrates cleanly, and Helix (the JV with NVIDIA, KKR, and Kuwait Investment Authority) surfaces even one meaningful hyperscaler deal. Get two of those three, and the $217 consensus looks conservative while $298 stops sounding aggressive.
The bear case holds if 2026’s decline reflects a durable valuation reset on AI-power names, ERCOT forwards stay stuck near $30 per MWh, and mark-to-market hedging noise keeps obscuring the earnings story quarter after quarter. Analyst targets are only one data point, and six downward 2027 EPS revisions in 30 days deserves attention.
I lean cautiously constructive. The contract book is real, the buyback authorization is real, and a ~47% consensus gap in an operationally clean IPP is unusual. The consensus setup looks more defensible than Weisel’s double.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST – Get Free Report) EVP Scott Hudson sold 44,444 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Tuesday, September 8th. The shares were sold at an average price of $151.82, for a total value of $6,747,488.08. Following the transaction, the executive vice president directly owned 331,137 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $50,273,219.34. This trade represents a 11.83% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan.
Vistra Stock Up 0.7% Shares of NYSE:VST opened at $148.12 on Friday. The stock has a fifty day simple moving average of $148.81 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $154.04. The stock has a market capitalization of $49.71 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.02 and a beta of 1.40. Vistra Corp. has a 12-month low of $132.66 and a 12-month high of $219.82. The company has a current ratio of 0.97, a quick ratio of 0.87 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.87.
Vistra (NYSE:VST – Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Friday, August 7th. The company reported $0.76 EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $1.61 by ($0.85). Vistra had a return on equity of 108.68% and a net margin of 11.55%.The company had revenue of $4.02 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $5.46 billion. On average, research analysts anticipate that Vistra Corp. will post 9.21 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Vistra Increases Dividend The company also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Wednesday, September 30th. Investors of record on Monday, September 21st will be paid a $0.23 dividend. This represents a $0.92 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 0.6%. The ex-dividend date is Monday, September 21st. This is a positive change from Vistra’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.23. Vistra’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 15.54%. Wall Street Analyst Weigh In A number of analysts have weighed in on the stock. The Goldman Sachs Group set a $206.00 price objective on shares of Vistra in a research note on Wednesday, August 12th. Jefferies Financial Group reiterated a “buy” rating and set a $190.00 price target on shares of Vistra in a report on Thursday, May 21st. Weiss Ratings cut shares of Vistra from a “hold (c+)” rating to a “hold (c)” rating in a report on Thursday, August 13th. BNP Paribas Exane set a $255.00 price target on shares of Vistra in a research report on Wednesday, August 19th. Finally, Zacks Research lowered shares of Vistra from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Tuesday, August 18th. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have assigned a Buy rating and two have given a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the company has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $223.53.
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More Vistra News Here are the key news stories impacting Vistra this week:
Positive Sentiment: Vistra priced $850 million of Series A and $650 million of Series B junior subordinated notes due 2057. Proceeds will support general corporate purposes and could be used to redeem outstanding preferred stock, potentially improving the capital structure. Vistra Prices Registered Offering of $1.5 Billion of Junior Subordinated Notes Positive Sentiment: Analysts remain optimistic about Vistra’s growth prospects. Hedging, long-term power contracts, its diversified generation portfolio and rising electricity demand from data centers, industrial activity and electrification support earnings visibility. The Cogentrix acquisition and long-term nuclear agreements with Meta and Amazon Web Services are additional potential catalysts. Vistra: Cogentrix and Meta Can Offset a Softer ERCOT Outlook Positive Sentiment: Wall Street’s consensus view remains favorable, with a Moderate Buy rating and price targets generally well above the recent trading range. Commentators cite improving EBITDA expectations and potential upside to management’s outlook. Vistra Receives Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy Neutral Sentiment: Executive Vice President Scott Hudson sold 44,444 shares worth approximately $6.75 million. Because the transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 plan, it is a limited signal of management’s current outlook. SEC Insider Transaction Filing Negative Sentiment: The notes increase Vistra’s financing obligations while the company already has substantial leverage, reflected in a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.87. Investors may also be concerned about softer ERCOT conditions and the additional leverage associated with the Cogentrix acquisition. VST Stock Outperforms Industry in the Past Three Months Institutional Investors Weigh In On Vistra Several large investors have recently bought and sold shares of VST. Equitable Holdings Inc. increased its position in shares of Vistra by 0.9% during the third quarter. Equitable Holdings Inc. now owns 7,045 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,380,000 after purchasing an additional 61 shares in the last quarter. UMB Bank n.a. lifted its holdings in shares of Vistra by 3.8% in the 4th quarter. UMB Bank n.a. now owns 1,770 shares of the company’s stock valued at $286,000 after purchasing an additional 65 shares during the last quarter. Rothschild Investment LLC boosted its position in shares of Vistra by 2.9% in the 4th quarter. Rothschild Investment LLC now owns 2,409 shares of the company’s stock valued at $389,000 after purchasing an additional 68 shares during the period. Outlook Wealth Advisors LLC boosted its position in shares of Vistra by 4.9% in the 1st quarter. Outlook Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 1,511 shares of the company’s stock valued at $227,000 after purchasing an additional 70 shares during the period. Finally, Principle Wealth Partners LLC grew its stake in Vistra by 0.5% during the 4th quarter. Principle Wealth Partners LLC now owns 14,462 shares of the company’s stock worth $2,333,000 after buying an additional 73 shares during the last quarter. 90.88% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
About Vistra (Get Free Report)
Vistra Corp. is an integrated energy company headquartered in Irving, Texas. The company operates electricity generation and retail energy businesses, serving residential, commercial, industrial and wholesale customers primarily across the United States.
Vistra’s generation portfolio includes natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery energy storage facilities. Through its retail operations, the company provides electricity, natural gas and renewable energy plans under brands that include TXU Energy, Dynegy, Homefield Energy and Ambit Energy.
The company was established in 2016 following the separation of Energy Future Holdings’ competitive energy businesses.
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Vistra oznámila nabídku několika sérií junior subordinated notes. Výnosy chce použít na obecné firemní účely a případné splacení části preferenčních akcií.
, /PRNewswire/ -- Vistra Corp. (NYSE: VST) (the "Company" or "Vistra") announced today the launch of multiple series of junior subordinated unsecured notes (collectively, the "Notes") in an underwritten public offering (the "Offering"). The Notes will be junior subordinated, unsecured obligations of Vistra Operations Company LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (the "Issuer"). The Notes will be irrevocably and unconditionally guaranteed by the Company.
The Issuer intends to use the net proceeds of the Offering for general corporate purposes, including to make distributions to Vistra to fund the redemption of some or all of Vistra's outstanding 8.0% Series A Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock and 7.0% Series B Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Green Perpetual Preferred Stock, upon or following their respective five-year reset dates in October 2026 and December 2026. Pending use of the net offering proceeds as described above, the Issuer intends to invest the net proceeds in short-term interest-bearing accounts, securities or similar investments.
Barclays, BofA Securities, Mizuho, MUFG, Truist Securities, BBVA, BMO Capital Markets, Citigroup, Credit Agricole CIB, Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Natixis, PNC Capital Markets LLC, RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Santander, Scotiabank, SMBC Nikko, SOCIETE GENERALE, Wells Fargo Securities, KeyBanc Capital Markets and US Bancorp are acting as joint book-running managers for the Offering.
The Offering is being made pursuant to an effective shelf registration statement that was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") on September 9, 2026. The Offering is being made only by means of a prospectus and prospectus supplement that form a part of the registration statement. A preliminary prospectus supplement relating to and describing the terms of the offering has been filed with the SEC and may be obtained for free by visiting the SEC's website at www.sec.gov. A final prospectus supplement relating to the offering will be filed with the SEC. Copies of the final prospectus supplement and the accompanying prospectus can be obtained, when available, from: Barclays Capital Inc., c/o Broadridge Financial Solutions, 1155 Long Island Avenue, Edgewood, NY 11717, by telephone at (888) 603-5847, or by email at [email protected]; BofA Securities, Inc., Attn: Prospectus Department, 201 North Tryon Street, NC1-022-02-25, Charlotte NC 28255-0001, by telephone at (800) 294-1322, or by e-mail: [email protected]; Mizuho Securities USA LLC, Attention: Debt Capital Markets, 320 Park Ave., 12th Floor, New York, NY 10022-6815, by telephone at (866) 271-7403, or by email at [email protected]; MUFG Securities Americas Inc., Attn: Capital Markets Group, 1221 Avenue of the Americas, 6th Floor, New York, NY 10020, or by telephone at (877) 649-6848; and Truist Securities, Inc., Attn: Prospectus Department, 740 Battery Avenue SE, 3rd Fl, Atlanta, Georgia 30339 or by telephone at 1-800-685-4786.
This press release shall not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities described above, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of such state or jurisdiction.
About Vistra
Vistra (NYSE: VST) is a leading, Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas, that provides essential resources to customers, businesses, and communities from California to Maine. Vistra is a leader in transforming the energy landscape, with an unyielding focus on reliability, affordability, and sustainability. The company safely operates a reliable, efficient power generation fleet of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities while taking an innovative, customer-centric approach to its retail business.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
The information presented herein includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the industry and markets in which Vistra operates and beliefs of and assumptions made by Vistra's management, involve risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict and are not guarantees of future performance, that could significantly affect the financial results of Vistra. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that are presented herein, or in response to questions or otherwise, that address activities, events or developments that may occur in the future, including such matters as activities related to our financial or operational projections, financial condition and cash flows, projected synergy, net debt targets, capital allocation, capital expenditures, liquidity, projected Adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow conversion rate, dividend policy, business strategy, competitive strengths, goals, future acquisitions or dispositions, development or operation of power generation assets, market and industry developments and the growth of our businesses and operations, including potential transactions with large load facilities at our nuclear and natural gas plants (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases, or the negative variations of those words or other comparable words of a future or forward-looking nature, including, but not limited to: "intends," "plans," "will likely," "unlikely," "believe," "confident," "expect," "seek," "anticipate," "estimate," "continue," "will," "shall," "should," "could," "may," "might," "predict," "project," "forecast," "target," "potential," "goal," "objective," "guidance," "on track" and "outlook"), are forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Although Vistra believes that in making any such forward-looking statement, Vistra's expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any such forward-looking statement involves uncertainties and risks that could cause results to differ materially from those projected in or implied by any such forward-looking statement, including, but not limited to: (i) adverse changes in general economic or market conditions (including changes in interest rates) or changes in political conditions or federal or state laws and regulations; (ii) the ability of Vistra to execute upon its contemplated strategic, capital allocation, performance, and cost-saving initiatives and to successfully integrate acquired businesses, including our ability to close the acquisition of Cogentrix Energy; (iii) actions by credit ratings agencies; (iv) the severity, magnitude and duration of extreme weather events, contingencies and uncertainties relating thereto, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control, and the resulting effects on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows; and (v) those additional risks and factors discussed in reports filed with the SEC by Vistra from time to time, including the uncertainties and risks discussed in the sections entitled "Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements" in Vistra's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 and subsequently filed quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only at the date on which it is made, and except as may be required by law, Vistra will not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which it is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible to predict all of them; nor can Vistra assess the impact of each such factor or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.
Vistra má dvacetileté kontrakty s Amazon Web Services a Meta na 3 809 megawattů jaderné produkce, což jí dává neobvykle silnou viditelnost příjmů. Akcie jsou přitom asi 37 % pod 52týdenním maximem.
Electricity demand is doing something it hasn't done in decades in the United States: growing fast. Vistra (VST -1.95%), one of the country's largest competitive power producers, told investors in its latest quarterly filing that data centers, the electrification of oil field operations, and electric vehicles are contributing to projected "fast-paced load growth" in the markets it serves.
You wouldn't know it from the stock. Shares have dropped about 37% from a 52-week high of $219.82, to about $139 as of this writing. And Vistra has company, as the whole independent power group has sold off this year. Nuclear operator Constellation Energy, for instance, is down about 32% from its own high.
With demand for Vistra's product climbing while its share price falls, is this a buying opportunity?
Image source: Getty Images.
A strong year, mostly locked inVistra's latest results, reported earlier this month, showed a business moving in the opposite direction from its share price. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from ongoing operations rose about 31% year over year in the second quarter, to $1.77 billion from $1.35 billion a year earlier, helped by higher realized power and capacity prices and contributions from recently acquired plants.
Management also reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6.8 billion to $7.6 billion. Even more, it said it expects to land at or above the midpoint of that range.
The cash generation behind those earnings is substantial. The company guides to adjusted free cash flow before growth investments of about $3.9 billion to $4.7 billion this year. Against a market capitalization of about $47 billion, the midpoint works out to a roughly 9% free-cash-flow yield.
And unusually for a business tied to commodity power prices, this year's results are largely spoken for. Management says about 100% of its expected 2026 generation volumes are hedged. Topping it all off, the company has been shrinking its share count aggressively, repurchasing about $6.5 billion of stock since late 2021 and reducing shares outstanding by about 30%.
Amazon and Meta signed on for 20 yearsThe development I find more important for the long run, though, is who is signing up to buy Vistra's power -- and for how long.
In September 2025, the company struck a 20-year power purchase agreement with Amazon Web Services, the cloud computing arm of Amazon (AMZN +3.97%), to supply 1,200 megawatts of carbon-free power from its Comanche Peak nuclear plant in Texas. Deliveries are expected to begin in late 2027.
In January, Vistra followed with 20-year agreements with Meta Platforms (META +1.21%) covering 2,609 megawatts of nuclear power and capacity from its Perry, Davis-Besse, and Beaver Valley plants, including new capacity from planned upgrades to all three. Deliveries under the Meta deals start late this year.
Notably, those Meta agreements aren't even in the company's 2027 outlook yet. Management points to an adjusted EBITDA "midpoint opportunity" of $7.4 billion to $7.8 billion for 2027 excluding them (and excluding a pending acquisition of gas plants). Vistra has also committed up to $1.0 billion to Helix, a new data center infrastructure venture where it will serve as the preferred power partner.
In short, nearly 4,000 megawatts of the company's nuclear output is now contracted to two of the world's largest technology companies for two decades each. That's revenue visibility competitive power producers rarely get.
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Adjusted EBITDA is up 31%, guidance is intact, and decades-long contracts keep stacking up. Yet the stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 13. The drawdown looks less like a verdict on Vistra and more like the market cooling on the AI-power trade that got crowded in 2025.
Sure, there are risks. Vistra sells into competitive markets, so beyond its hedges and contracts, its results ride on power prices no one controls. A slowdown in data center construction could test the demand thesis. And second-quarter net income was just $305 million, weighed down by unrealized losses on hedging positions -- lumpy accounting that comes with this business model.
But at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 13, with this much of the future under contract, I think the stock is attractive. And I'd be a buyer at today's price. If power prices roll over or the data center deals stop coming, that would change my thinking. For now, I'd simply size the position with the volatility in mind.
AI datová centra narážejí na nedostatek energie, což z Constellation Energy a Vistra Energy dělá klíčové hráče. Obě firmy uzavírají dlouhodobé smlouvy s hyperscalery.
Hyperscalers are investing in data centers at an astounding pace. However, these data centers are facing a major bottleneck: energy. While constructing a data center may take up to two years, developing the necessary grid infrastructure can take four to 10 years, or longer.
Demand is only going up from here. According to the International Energy Agency, data center power consumption averaged about 540 kilowatt-hours (kWh) per capita in 2024, with projections indicating it could rise to 1,200 kWh per capita by 2030.
Companies with power capacity to meet the expanding energy demands of data centers, such as Constellation Energy (CEG +1.39%) and Vistra Energy (VST +1.18%), are positioning themselves as key players amid this AI-driven capex boom.
Image source: Getty Images.
Energy stocks have gone from boring, stable investments to AI growth plays Energy stocks are historically viewed as low-growth, defensive stocks due to their stable businesses and steady demand for energy. However, the rapid expansion of AI data centers is turning this on its head, and energy stocks are now becoming AI growth plays amid the unprecedented surge in power demand.
Because AI data centers need reliable baseload power, many are getting creative with what type of power they use and where. Since many of these technology companies have decarbonization mandates, more are turning to utilities that provide carbon-free nuclear energy or other low-carbon power sources.
Hyperscalers are locking in energy with multi-decade power purchase agreements Amid this backdrop, independent power producers such as Constellation Energy and Vistra Energy have secured a slew of long-term agreements with hyperscalers and others in the AI space.
For example, in the second quarter, Constellation signed roughly 920 megawatts (MW) of long-term nuclear contracts with corporate customers, averaging 18.5 years, locking up about 30% of its clean baseload output under long-term agreements.
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It also signed a power purchase agreement with Walmart, representing the retailer's first-ever nuclear energy agreement. The agreement includes approximately 176 MW of wholesale supply from the Dresden Clean Energy Center in Illinois across two 15-year terms starting in 2029 and 2030. This builds on the company's earlier agreements with Microsoft and Meta Platforms.
Earlier this year, Vistra signed a massive power purchase agreement with Meta Platforms for 2,600 MW of energy and capacity at its PJM nuclear site. It also signed a long-term contract with Amazon Web Services for up to 1,200 MW of power from its nuclear plant in Texas.
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In June, Vistra partnered with KKR, Nvidia, and the Kuwait Investment Authority to form Helix Digital Infrastructure, an infrastructure development and financing company with $10 billion in capital commitments, including $1 billion from Vistra. Vistra will serve as the preferred power partner for both new-build and existing projects.
Constellation and Vistra are bets on the AI-driven energy shortage Constellation and Vistra are seeing robust energy demand, and both benefit from their IPP business models and massive nuclear energy capacity. These companies have locked in multi-decade, fixed-price agreements with built-in inflation escalators.
The companies remain vulnerable to the regulatory backdrop, including scrutiny around co-location or behind-the-meter deals. They also face the risk of AI capex drying up, which would reduce projections for energy demand growth.
With that said, for investors looking to capitalize on the shortages created by the massive data center build-out, Constellation and Vistra, both down 32% from their 52-week highs, are two intriguing energy stocks to play these tight power markets.
Courtney Carlsen has positions in Constellation Energy, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Vistra. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Constellation Energy, KKR, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Vistra, and Walmart. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Vistra vykázala za čtvrtletí končící v červnu 2026 výnosy 4,02 miliardy USD, což je meziročně o 5,5 % méně a o 36,17 % pod odhadem. EPS činil 1,80 USD, nad konsensem 1,54 USD.
Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) reported $4.02 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2026, representing a year-over-year decline of 5.5%. EPS of $1.80 for the same period compares to $1.01 a year ago.
The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.29 billion, representing a surprise of -36.17%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +16.88%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.54.
While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.
As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.
Here is how Vistra performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
Total retail electricity sales volumes: 31,800.00 GWh versus 34,031.77 GWh estimated by two analysts on average.Adjusted EBITDA- Retail: $773 million versus $750.28 million estimated by two analysts on average.Adjusted EBITDA- West: $68 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $53.37 million.Adjusted EBITDA- East: $642 million compared to the $627.65 million average estimate based on two analysts.Adjusted EBITDA- Texas: $311 million versus $232.31 million estimated by two analysts on average.View all Key Company Metrics for Vistra here>>>
Shares of Vistra have returned -11.5% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.4% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
Vistra oznámila za 2. čtvrtletí upravenou EBITDA ve výši 1,767 miliardy USD, meziročně více než o 30 %, a potvrdila celoroční výhled. Zároveň uzavřela partnerství s KKR, NVIDIA a Kuwait Investment Authority v rámci Helix Digital Infrastructure.
Analysts See Major Upside for These 5 StocksVistra NYSE: VST reported second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $1.767 billion, up more than 30% from about $1.35 billion a year earlier, as higher generation earnings and continued retail strength lifted results. The company reaffirmed its full-year financial outlook and said it remains on track for another record year in 2026.
President and Chief Executive Officer Jim Burke said the company is seeing a “structurally improved demand environment” in its core markets. Both PJM and ERCOT recorded new all-time summer peak loads in July, with PJM exceeding 168 gigawatts and ERCOT surpassing 91 gigawatts.
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Atomic Dividends: Big Tech's New Energy BetBurke said Vistra continues to estimate annual load growth of at least 4% to 6% in ERCOT and 2% to 3% in PJM through 2030. While data centers are expected to be a significant contributor, particularly from 2028 onward, he said industrial reshoring, electrification, population growth in Texas and broader economic expansion are also driving demand.
Generation and retail contributions Vistra’s generation segment produced about $994 million in second-quarter adjusted EBITDA, compared with approximately $593 million in the prior-year quarter. Chief Financial Officer Kris Moldovan attributed the improvement primarily to favorable hedging activity, which resulted in average realized prices that were approximately 5% higher per megawatt-hour than a year earlier.
Radioactive Returns: Geopolitics and AI Fuel a Nuclear SupercycleOther factors included higher PJM capacity revenues, optimization of flexible gas generation to capture margin opportunities, the restart of Martin Lake Unit 1 and contributions from assets acquired from Lotus in the third quarter of 2025.
The retail business contributed about $773 million in adjusted EBITDA, compared with approximately $756 million a year earlier. Moldovan noted that the second and fourth quarters are typically the strongest seasonal periods for retail margins.
Operationally, Burke said Vistra completed planned refueling outages at three nuclear units and 92 planned outages across its gas and coal fleet ahead of the summer season. During recent heat waves in Texas and PJM, the company achieved commercial availability above 97% across its fleet, he said.
Guidance maintained as 2027 market conditions shift Vistra reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6.8 billion to $7.6 billion and adjusted free cash flow before growth guidance of $3.925 billion to $4.725 billion. Moldovan said first-half performance gives the company confidence it can deliver results at or above the midpoint of those ranges.
The company also maintained its 2027 adjusted EBITDA midpoint opportunity range of $7.4 billion to $7.8 billion. Moldovan said ERCOT forward curves are “meaningfully lower” than the levels used when the range was established in late 2025, but higher PJM prices, Vistra’s hedging program and downside protection from the nuclear production tax credit provide offsets.
Still, Moldovan said those factors do not fully offset the ERCOT headwinds and that the company is trending toward the lower end of the range. The 2027 range excludes the pending Cogentrix acquisition and expected above-market value from long-term power purchase agreements at Vistra’s PJM nuclear sites with Meta.
Based on prior disclosures, Moldovan said those two transactions could add roughly $700 million to Vistra’s 2027 midpoint opportunity, absent other factors such as market-curve changes or Cogentrix hedge levels.
Helix partnership expands data-center strategy Vistra announced a partnership with KKR, NVIDIA and the Kuwait Investment Authority as a founding investor in Helix Digital Infrastructure. The platform is intended to combine power solutions, land and other digital infrastructure for data-center customers.
Vistra committed up to $1 billion to Helix over time, with investments above $500 million subject to specified milestones. The company will also act as Helix’s preferred power partner and may participate in projects through contracted new generation or contracts involving existing assets.
Burke said the arrangement is additive to Vistra’s existing data-center strategy rather than a replacement for its own development efforts. The company retains the option to pursue projects with Helix or independently.
Chief Strategy and Sustainability Officer Stacey Doré said Helix could simplify multiparty discussions involving hyperscale customers, co-location developers and equipment providers. Vistra would pursue only projects that meet its established mid-teens levered return threshold, while Helix could also provide exposure to projects where Vistra is not the power provider.
Capital allocation and regulatory developments Vistra expects to generate more than $10 billion of available cash across 2026 and 2027. The company has allocated roughly $3 billion to shareholders through repurchases and common and preferred dividends, while planning $4.5 billion to $5 billion for growth investments, including Cogentrix, Permian gas units, PJM nuclear projects supported by Meta agreements, the Oak Hill 2 solar project and Helix.
Since beginning its repurchase program in November 2021, Vistra has retired about 171 million shares at an average cost of roughly $38 each. It has returned more than $6.5 billion through repurchases and has about $1.2 billion remaining under its current authorization, which it expects to use by the end of 2027.
The company expects an additional $2 billion to $2.5 billion of cash to be available for allocation through the end of 2027. Moldovan said Vistra will balance potential shareholder returns, growth investments meeting its return threshold, debt reduction and efforts to improve its credit profile.
In Texas, Burke said Vistra supports efforts to audit and narrow the ERCOT data-center interconnection queue, which he said has included demand estimates substantially above the company’s own long-term forecast. He said Vistra does not view the process as a moratorium and does not expect it to affect its Comanche Peak project, which is targeted for energization at the end of 2027.
In PJM, Doré said Vistra remains in active discussions with customers for both existing generation and new-build projects. She said the company supports market-based incentives for data-center load flexibility rather than mandates requiring customers to bring their own new capacity.
About Vistra (NYSE:VST)Vistra NYSE: VST is an integrated power company that develops, owns and operates electricity generation and retail businesses in the United States. The company's operations span wholesale power production—through a diversified fleet of thermal and lower‑carbon generation assets—and retail electricity supply to residential, commercial and industrial customers. Vistra serves organized wholesale markets and competitive retail markets, with a notable presence in Texas and other regional U.S. power markets.
Vistra's core activities include the ownership and operation of generation facilities, the commercial dispatch and optimization of those assets into wholesale markets, and the sale of electricity and related services to end-use customers through its retail brands.
This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
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Vistra ve 2. čtvrtletí zvýšila upravenou EBITDA z provozu (Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA) o více než 30 % na 1,767 miliardy USD. Zároveň potvrdila celoroční výhled pro rok 2026.
GAAP second quarter 2026 Net Income of $305 million, including an unrealized loss from hedges expected to settle in future years of $472 million. Achieved more than 30% growth in Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA1 to $1,767 million for the quarter compared to second quarter 2025. Reaffirmed 2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA1 and Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG1 guidance ranges of $6.8 billion to $7.6 billion and $3.925 billion to $4.725 billion, respectively.3 Announced Helix Digital Infrastructure alongside KKR, KIA, and NVIDIA with an initial commitment from Vistra of up to $1.0 billion. Received Federal Energy Regulatory Commission approval of the pending Cogentrix Energy acquisition. Earned second consecutive distinction as one of U.S. News & World Report's Best Companies to Work For. , /PRNewswire/ -- Vistra Corp. (NYSE: VST) today reported its second quarter 2026 financial results and other highlights.
"The Vistra team delivered another strong quarter, building on our momentum from the start of the year and continuing to execute at a high level," said Jim Burke, president and CEO of Vistra. "I'm incredibly proud of our employees across the company - through their commitment, collaboration, and focus on serving our customers, Vistra delivered a more than 30% year-over-year increase in Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA.1 From our generation team maintaining a reliable fleet, to our commercial and retail teams navigating dynamic market conditions and delivering solutions for customers, these results reflect the hard work and dedication of our people."
"We also announced an important investment to further position Vistra for long-term growth. The formation of Helix Digital Infrastructure, alongside our partners NVIDIA, KKR, and Kuwait Investment Authority, as well as Vistra's role as Helix's preferred power provider, create an exciting opportunity for the company. At the same time, we continued advancing key strategic initiatives, including the pending Cogentrix acquisition, construction of our two Permian Basin natural gas units, and development of solar facilities, including Oak Hill 2 and Pulaski."
"Operationally, the Vistra team's preparation and disciplined execution during our annual spring maintenance season set us up for strong, reliable performance during the first half of the summer. During recent periods of extreme heat in Texas and the PJM market, Vistra achieved commercial availability of 97% or greater across our fleet, helping ensure reliable power when our customers and communities needed it most. As we complete the critical summer period and the remainder of the year, we remain focused on safely and reliably operating our fleet, advancing our strategy, and continuing to create solutions and value for our customers, communities, employees, and shareholders."
Summary of Financial Results for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 and 2025
(Unaudited) (Millions of Dollars)
Three Months Ended June 30,
Six Months Ended June 30,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Net income
$ 305
$ 327
$ 1,334
$ 59
Ongoing operations Adjusted EBITDA
$ 1,767
$ 1,349
$ 3,261
$ 2,589
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Retail
$ 773
$ 756
$ 841
$ 940
Texas
$ 311
$ 142
$ 897
$ 632
East
$ 642
$ 418
$ 1,443
$ 932
West
$ 68
$ 49
$ 124
$ 111
Corporate and Other
$ (27)
$ (16)
$ (44)
$ (26)
Asset Closure
$ (23)
$ (17)
$ (42)
$ (41)
For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, Vistra reported Net Income of $305 million and Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA1 of $1,767 million. Net Income for the second quarter 2026 decreased $22 million compared to the second quarter 2025, driven primarily by an increase in unrealized mark-to-market losses of $488 million on derivative positions, mostly offset by higher realized prices and capacity revenue, and three months' contribution from the plants acquired from Lotus. Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter 2026 increased by $418 million compared to the second quarter 2025, driven primarily by higher realized energy and capacity prices and three months' contribution from the plants acquired from Lotus.
Guidance3
($ in millions)
Reaffirmed 2026
Guidance Ranges
Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA
$6,800 - $7,600
Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG
$3,925 - $4,725
As of Aug. 3, 2026, Vistra had hedged approximately 100% of its expected generation volumes for 2026, approximately 94% for 2027, and approximately 72% for 2028. The company's comprehensive hedging program provides support for the reaffirmed 2026 guidance ranges and the previously announced Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA midpoint opportunity2 range of $7.4 billion to $7.8 billion for 2027.3 The ranges exclude any potential benefits from the pending acquisition of Cogentrix and the signed power purchase agreements with Meta, part of which are expected to contribute to our Adjusted EBITDA in 2027.
Share Repurchase Program
As of Aug. 3, 2026:
Vistra executed ~$6.5 billion in share repurchases since November 2021. Vistra had ~336 million shares outstanding, representing a ~30% reduction of the amount of the shares outstanding on Nov. 2, 2021. ~$1.2 billion of the share repurchase authorization remained available, which we expect to complete no later than year-end 2027. Liquidity
As of June 30, 2026, Vistra had total available liquidity of approximately $6,295 million, including cash and cash equivalents of $435 million, $4,408 million of availability under its corporate revolving credit facility, and $1,452 million of availability under its commodity-linked revolving credit facility. Available capacity under the commodity-linked revolving credit facility reflects the borrowing base of $1,452 million and excludes $298 million of commitments under the facility that were not available to be drawn as of June 30, 2026.
Earnings Webcast
Vistra will host a webcast today, Aug. 7, 2026, beginning at 10 a.m. ET (9 a.m. CT) to discuss these results and related matters. The live webcast and the accompanying slides that will be discussed on the call can be accessed via Vistra's website at www.vistracorp.com under "Investor Relations" and then "Events & Presentations." Participants can also listen by phone by registering here prior to the start time of the call to receive a conference call dial-in number. A replay of the webcast will be available on Vistra's website for one year following the live event.
About Vistra
Vistra (NYSE: VST) is a leading, Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas, that provides essential resources to customers, businesses, and communities from California to Maine. Vistra is a leader in transforming the energy landscape, with an unyielding focus on reliability, affordability, and sustainability. The company safely operates a reliable, efficient power generation fleet of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities while taking an innovative, customer-centric approach to its retail business. Learn more at https://www.vistracorp.com.
1
Ongoing Operations excludes the Asset Closure segment. Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA and Ongoing Operations Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth are non-GAAP financial measures. Any reference to "Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG" is a reference to Ongoing Operations Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth. See the "Non-GAAP Reconciliation" tables for further detail. Total segment information may not tie due to rounding.
2
Midpoint opportunities are not intended to be guidance and represent only our estimate of potential opportunities for Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA in 2027 based on market curves as of October 31, 2025. Actual results could vary and are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and factors, including power price market movements and our hedging strategy. We have not provided a quantitative reconciliation of Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA opportunities for 2027 to GAAP net income (loss) because we cannot, without unreasonable effort, calculate certain reconciling items with confidence due to the variability, complexity, and limited visibility of the adjusting items that would be excluded from Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA in such out year periods.
3
2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA and Ongoing Operations Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth guidance ranges and 2027 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA Midpoint Opportunity exclude any potential impact from the pending acquisition of Cogentrix and the announced long-term power purchase agreements with Meta.
About Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Items Affecting Comparability
"Adjusted EBITDA" (EBITDA as adjusted for unrealized gains or losses from hedging activities, transition and merger expenses, non-cash compensation expenses, nuclear decommissioning trust income, asset retirement obligation expenses, and certain other items described from time to time in Vistra's earnings releases), "Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth" (or "Adjusted FCFbG") (cash from operating activities excluding changes in margin deposits and working capital and adjusted for maintenance capital expenditures, other net investment activities, and other items described from time to time in Vistra's earnings releases), "Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA" (adjusted EBITDA less adjusted EBITDA from Asset Closure segment), and "Ongoing Operations Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth" or "Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG" (adjusted free cash flow before growth less cash flow from operating activities from Asset Closure segment before growth) are "non-GAAP financial measures." A non-GAAP financial measure is a numerical measure of financial performance that excludes or includes amounts so as to be different than the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP in Vistra's consolidated statements of operations, comprehensive income, changes in stockholders' equity and cash flows. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the most directly comparable GAAP measures. Vistra's non-GAAP financial measures may be different from non-GAAP financial measures used by other companies.
Vistra uses Adjusted EBITDA as a measure of performance and believes that analysis of its business by external users is enhanced by visibility to both Net Income prepared in accordance with GAAP and Adjusted EBITDA. Vistra uses Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth as a measure of liquidity and performance, and believes that analysis of capital available to allocate for debt service, growth, and return of capital to stockholders is supported by disclosure of both cash provided by (used in) operating activities prepared in accordance with GAAP as well as Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth. Vistra uses Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA as a measure of performance and Ongoing Operations Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth as a measure of liquidity and performance, and Vistra's management and board of directors have found it informative to view the Asset Closure segment as separate and distinct from Vistra's ongoing operations. The schedules attached to this earnings release reconcile the non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP.
The information presented herein includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the industry and markets in which Vistra Corp. ("Vistra") operates and beliefs of and assumptions made by Vistra's management, involve risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict and are not guarantees of future performance, that could significantly affect the financial results of Vistra. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that are presented herein, or in response to questions or otherwise, that address activities, events or developments that may occur in the future, including such matters as activities related to our financial or operational projections, financial condition and cash flows, projected synergy, net debt targets, capital allocation, capital expenditures, liquidity, projected Adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow conversion rate, dividend policy, business strategy, competitive strengths, goals, future acquisitions or dispositions, development or operation of power generation assets, market and industry developments and the growth of our businesses and operations, including potential transactions with large load facilities at our nuclear and natural gas plants (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases, or the negative variations of those words or other comparable words of a future or forward-looking nature, including, but not limited to: "intends," "plans," "will likely," "unlikely," "believe," "confident," "expect," "seek," "anticipate," "estimate," "continue," "will," "shall," "should," "could," "may," "might," "predict," "project," "forecast," "target," "potential," "goal," "objective," "guidance," "on track" and "outlook"), are forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Although Vistra believes that in making any such forward-looking statement, Vistra's expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any such forward-looking statement involves uncertainties and risks that could cause results to differ materially from those projected in or implied by any such forward-looking statement, including, but not limited to: (i) adverse changes in general economic or market conditions (including changes in interest rates) or changes in political conditions or federal or state laws and regulations; (ii) the ability of Vistra to execute upon its contemplated strategic, capital allocation, performance, and cost-saving initiatives and to successfully integrate acquired businesses, including our ability to close the acquisition of Cogentrix Energy; (iii) actions by credit ratings agencies; (iv) the severity, magnitude and duration of extreme weather events, contingencies and uncertainties relating thereto, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control, and the resulting effects on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows; and (v) those additional risks and factors discussed in reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission by Vistra from time to time, including the uncertainties and risks discussed in the sections entitled "Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements" in Vistra's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 and subsequently filed quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only at the date on which it is made, and except as may be required by law, Vistra will not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which it is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible to predict all of them; nor can Vistra assess the impact of each such factor or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.
VISTRA CORP.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited) (Millions of Dollars)
Three Months Ended June 30,
Six Months Ended June 30,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Operating revenues
$ 4,017
$ 4,250
$ 9,657
$ 8,183
Fuel, purchased power costs, and delivery fees
(1,774)
(1,974)
(4,304)
(4,421)
Operating costs
(853)
(733)
(1,553)
(1,426)
Depreciation and amortization
(445)
(541)
(929)
(1,063)
Selling, general, and administrative expenses
(392)
(419)
(819)
(810)
Impairment of long-lived assets
—
(68)
—
(68)
Operating income
553
515
2,052
395
Other income (deductions), net
186
191
162
186
Interest expense and related charges
(312)
(303)
(575)
(622)
Net income (loss) before income taxes
427
403
1,639
(41)
Income tax (expense) benefit
(122)
(76)
(305)
100
Net income attributable to Vistra
$ 305
$ 327
$ 1,334
$ 59
Cumulative dividends attributable to preferred stock
(47)
(47)
(96)
(96)
Net income (loss) attributable to Vistra common stock
$ 258
$ 280
$ 1,238
$ (37)
VISTRA CORP.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited) (Millions of Dollars)
Six Months Ended June 30,
2026
2025
Cash flows — operating activities:
Net income
$ 1,334
$ 59
Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization
1,363
1,534
Deferred income tax expense (benefit), net
255
(128)
Impairment of long-lived and other assets
—
68
Unrealized net (gain) loss from mark-to-market valuations of commodities
(251)
551
Unrealized net (gain) loss from mark-to-market valuations of interest rate swaps
(7)
74
Unrealized net (gain) loss from nuclear decommissioning trusts
22
(74)
Asset retirement obligation accretion expense
63
66
Bad debt expense
86
87
Stock-based compensation expense
67
46
Involuntary conversion gain
(48)
(80)
Other, net
—
13
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
Margin deposits, net
(188)
(368)
Accrued interest
61
(5)
Accrued taxes other than income
(100)
(56)
Accrued employee incentive
(99)
(145)
Other operating assets and liabilities
(336)
(471)
Cash provided by operating activities
2,222
1,171
Cash flows — investing activities:
Capital expenditures, including nuclear fuel purchases and LTSA prepayments
(1,572)
(1,458)
Lotus acquisition purchase price adjustment
6
—
Proceeds from sales of nuclear decommissioning trust fund securities
3,036
3,024
Investments in nuclear decommissioning trust fund securities
(3,037)
(3,035)
Proceeds from sales of environmental allowances
128
25
Purchases of environmental allowances
(201)
(392)
Insurance proceeds for recovery of damaged property, plant, and equipment
234
173
Proceeds from sales of property, plant, and equipment, including nuclear fuel
50
—
Other, net
77
(8)
Cash used in investing activities
(1,279)
(1,671)
Cash flows — financing activities:
Issuances of debt
6,422
209
Repayments/repurchases of debt
(3,859)
(757)
Net borrowings (repayments) under accounts receivable financing
(925)
375
Borrowings under Revolving Credit Facility
400
—
Repayments under Revolving Credit Facility
(780)
—
Borrowings under Commodity-Linked Facility
—
987
Repayments under Commodity-Linked Facility
(1,420)
(126)
Debt issuance costs
(72)
—
Stock repurchases
(709)
(589)
Dividends paid to common stockholders
(154)
(152)
Dividends paid to preferred stockholders
(96)
(96)
Tax withholding on stock-based compensation
(69)
(50)
Principal payment on forward repurchase obligation
(19)
(41)
Other, net
(3)
13
Cash used in financing activities
(1,284)
(227)
Net change in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash (current and noncurrent)
(341)
(727)
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash (current and noncurrent) — beginning balance
822
1,222
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash (current and noncurrent) — ending balance
$ 481
$ 495
VISTRA CORP.
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS - ADJUSTED EBITDA
FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2026
(Unaudited) (Millions of Dollars)
Retail
Texas
East
West
Eliminations /
Corp and
Other
Ongoing
Operations
Consolidated
Asset
Closure
Vistra Corp.
Consolidated
Net income (loss)
$ 484
$ 592
$ (166)
$ 28
$ (517)
$ 421
$ (116)
$ 305
Income tax expense
—
—
—
—
122
122
—
122
Interest expense and related charges (a)
10
(10)
(24)
(4)
339
311
1
312
Depreciation and amortization (b)
10
213
302
14
18
557
3
560
EBITDA before Adjustments
504
795
112
38
(38)
1,411
(112)
1,299
Unrealized net (gain) loss resulting from commodity hedging transactions
261
(446)
629
28
—
472
—
472
Purchase accounting impacts
1
—
(14)
—
(13)
(26)
—
(26)
Non-cash compensation expenses
—
—
—
—
35
35
—
35
Transition and merger expenses
1
—
2
—
12
15
—
15
Insurance income (c)
—
(48)
—
—
—
(48)
—
(48)
Decommissioning-related activities (d)
—
4
(95)
1
—
(90)
90
—
Other, net
6
6
8
1
(23)
(2)
(1)
(3)
Adjusted EBITDA
$ 773
$ 311
$ 642
$ 68
$ (27)
$ 1,767
$ (23)
$ 1,744
(a)
Corporate and Other includes $9 million of unrealized mark-to-market net losses on interest rate swaps.
(b)
Includes nuclear fuel amortization of $30 million and $86 million, respectively, in the Texas and East segments.
(c)
Includes involuntary conversion gain recognized from Martin Lake Incident property damage insurance in the Texas segment.
(d)
Includes NDT (income) loss of the PJM nuclear facilities, ARO and environmental remediation expenses, and other expenses associated with the Moss Landing Incident.
VISTRA CORP.
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS - ADJUSTED EBITDA
FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2026
(Unaudited) (Millions of Dollars)
Retail
Texas
East
West
Eliminations /
Corp and Other
Ongoing
Operations
Consolidated
Asset
Closure
Vistra Corp.
Consolidated
Net income (loss)
$ (240)
$ 2,683
$ 10
$ 62
$ (1,045)
$ 1,470
$ (136)
$ 1,334
Income tax expense
—
—
—
—
305
305
—
305
Interest expense and related charges (a)
23
(24)
(46)
(7)
628
574
1
575
Depreciation and amortization (b)
20
424
657
28
36
1,165
6
1,171
EBITDA before Adjustments
(197)
3,083
621
83
(76)
3,514
(129)
3,385
Unrealized net (gain) loss resulting from commodity hedging transactions
1,026
(2,168)
854
37
—
(251)
—
(251)
Purchase accounting impacts
1
—
(15)
—
(13)
(27)
—
(27)
Non-cash compensation expenses
—
—
—
—
67
67
—
67
Transition and merger expenses
—
—
2
—
24
26
—
26
Insurance income (c)
—
(48)
—
—
—
(48)
(6)
(54)
Decommissioning-related activities (d)
—
8
(35)
1
—
(26)
92
66
Other, net
11
22
16
3
(46)
6
1
7
Adjusted EBITDA
$ 841
$ 897
$ 1,443
$ 124
$ (44)
$ 3,261
$ (42)
$ 3,219
(a)
Corporate and Other includes $7 million of unrealized mark-to-market net gains on interest rate swaps.
(b)
Includes nuclear fuel amortization of $66 million and $176 million, respectively, in the Texas and East segments.
(c)
Includes involuntary conversion gain recognized from Martin Lake Incident property damage insurance in Texas segment and revenues from Moss Landing Incident business interruption proceeds in the Asset Closure segment.
(d)
Includes NDT (income) loss of the PJM nuclear facilities, ARO and environmental remediation expenses, and other expenses associated with the Moss Landing Incident.
VISTRA CORP.
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS - ADJUSTED EBITDA
FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2025
(Unaudited) (Millions of Dollars)
Retail
Texas
East
West
Eliminations /
Corp and Other
Ongoing
Operations
Consolidated
Asset
Closure
Vistra Corp.
Consolidated
Net income (loss)
$ (123)
$ 863
$ 120
$ (50)
$ (440)
$ 370
$ (43)
$ 327
Income tax expense
—
—
1
—
75
76
—
76
Interest expense and related charges (a)
17
(18)
(8)
(1)
312
302
1
303
Depreciation and amortization (b)
24
197
412
16
20
669
(1)
668
EBITDA before Adjustments
(82)
1,042
525
(35)
(33)
1,417
(43)
1,374
Unrealized net (gain) loss resulting from commodity hedging transactions
841
(900)
(39)
82
—
(16)
—
(16)
Purchase accounting impacts
8
—
9
—
—
17
—
17
Non-cash compensation expenses
—
—
—
—
25
25
—
25
Transition and merger expenses
5
—
—
—
17
22
—
22
Impairment of long-lived assets
—
68
—
—
—
68
—
68
Insurance income (c)
—
(80)
—
—
—
(80)
(21)
(101)
Decommissioning-related activities (d)
—
4
(81)
—
—
(77)
43
(34)
ERP system implementation expenses
3
3
3
—
—
9
1
10
Other, net (e)
(19)
5
1
2
(25)
(36)
3
(33)
Adjusted EBITDA
$ 756
$ 142
$ 418
$ 49
$ (16)
$ 1,349
$ (17)
$ 1,332
(a)
Corporate and Other includes $26 million of unrealized mark-to-market net losses on interest rate swaps.
(b)
Includes nuclear fuel amortization of $30 million and $92 million, respectively, in the Texas and East segments.
(c)
Includes involuntary conversion gain recognized from Martin Lake Incident property damage insurance in the Texas segment and revenues from Moss Landing Incident business interruption proceeds in the Asset Closure segment.
(d)
Includes NDT (income) loss of the PJM nuclear facilities, ARO and environmental remediation expenses, and other expenses associated with the Moss Landing Incident.
(e)
Includes the final application of bill credits to large commercial and industrial customers that curtailed their usage during Winter Storm Uri in the Retail segment.
VISTRA CORP.
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS - ADJUSTED EBITDA
FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED JUNE 30, 2025
(Unaudited) (Millions of Dollars)
Retail
Texas
East
West
Eliminations /
Corp and Other
Ongoing
Operations
Consolidated
Asset
Closure
Vistra Corp.
Consolidated
Net income (loss)
$ 1,009
$ 143
$ (370)
$ 27
$ (639)
$ 170
$ (111)
$ 59
Income tax expense (benefit)
—
—
1
—
(101)
(100)
—
(100)
Interest expense and related charges (a)
35
(32)
(20)
(2)
639
620
2
622
Depreciation and amortization (b)
47
378
808
31
39
1,303
(2)
1,301
EBITDA before Adjustments
1,091
489
419
56
(62)
1,993
(111)
1,882
Unrealized net (gain) loss resulting from commodity hedging transactions
(156)
130
528
50
—
552
(1)
551
Purchase accounting impacts
8
—
23
—
—
31
—
31
Non-cash compensation expenses
—
—
—
—
46
46
—
46
Transition and merger expenses
5
—
1
—
34
40
—
40
Impairment of long-lived assets
—
68
—
—
—
68
—
68
Insurance income (c)
—
(80)
—
—
—
(80)
(21)
(101)
Decommissioning-related activities (d)
—
9
(46)
—
—
(37)
89
52
ERP system implementation expenses
3
3
3
—
—
9
1
10
Other, net (e)
(11)
13
4
5
(44)
(33)
2
(31)
Adjusted EBITDA
$ 940
$ 632
$ 932
$ 111
$ (26)
$ 2,589
$ (41)
$ 2,548
(a)
Corporate and Other includes $74 million of unrealized mark-to-market net losses on interest rate swaps.
(b)
Includes nuclear fuel amortization of $61 million and $176 million, respectively, in the Texas and East segments.
(c)
Includes involuntary conversion gain recognized from Martin Lake Incident property damage insurance in the Texas segment and revenues from Moss Landing Incident business interruption proceeds in the Asset Closure segment.
(d)
Includes NDT (income) loss of the PJM nuclear facilities, ARO and environmental remediation expenses, and other expenses associated with the Moss Landing Incident.
(e)
Includes the final application of bill credits to large commercial and industrial customers that curtailed their usage during Winter Storm Uri in the Retail segment.
Unrealized net (gain) loss resulting from hedging transactions
(728)
(728)
—
—
(728)
(728)
Fresh start/purchase accounting impacts
58
58
—
—
58
58
Non-cash compensation expenses
137
137
—
—
137
137
Transition and merger expenses
29
29
—
—
29
29
Decommissioning-related activities (c)
64
64
22
22
86
86
ERP system implementation expenses & other transformational initiatives
17
17
—
—
17
17
Other, net
(57)
(57)
(12)
(12)
(69)
(69)
Adjusted EBITDA guidance
$ 6,800
$ 7,600
$ (80)
$ (80)
$ 6,720
$ 7,520
1 Regulation G Table 2026 Guidance prepared as of November 6, 2025, based on market curves as of October 31, 2025. Guidance excludes any potential benefit from the nuclear production tax credit.
(a)
Includes $60 million interest related to noncontrolling interest repurchase.
(b)
Includes nuclear fuel amortization of $423 million.
(c)
Represents net of all NDT income (loss) of the PJM nuclear facilities, ARO accretion expense for operating assets and ARO remeasurement impacts for operating assets.
Key Takeaways Vistra's Q2 revenues is projected to rise 48.07%, while EPS is expected to increase 52.48%.VST may benefit from data-center demand, nearly fully hedged 2026 generation and Lotus assets.Vistra trades below its industry P/E, while nuclear PPAs and buybacks support long-term returns. Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) is expected to deliver an improvement in both top and bottom lines when it reports second-quarter 2026 results on Aug. 7, before market open.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for VST’s second-quarter revenues is pegged at $6.29 billion, indicating an increase of 48.07% from the year-ago reported figure.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The consensus mark for VST’s second-quarter earnings is pegged at $1.54 per share, indicating a 52.48% increase from the year-ago reported figure.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
What the Zacks Model UnveilsOur model does not predict an earnings beat for Vistra this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the chances of an earnings beat. That is not the case here, as you can see below.
You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Earnings ESP: Vistra has an Earnings ESP of 0.00%.
Zacks Rank: VST currently carries a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
A few utilities reported positive earnings surprises this season and they have nuclear assets like VST, which are utilized to produce reliable clean energy.
Ameren Corporation (AEE - Free Report) reported second-quarter 2026 earnings of $1.13 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.08 by 4.6%. Duke Energy Corporation's (DUK - Free Report) second-quarter 2026 earnings of $1.43 per share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.29 by 10.9%. NextEra Energy (NEE - Free Report) reported second-quarter 2026 results with adjusted earnings per share of $1.15 and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.09 by 5.5%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEE, DUK and NEE’s 2026 earnings per share reflects an increase of 0.56%, 0.15% and 0.25%, respectively, in the past 60 days.
Factors Likely to Have Shaped VST’s Q2 EarningsVistra's second-quarter results are likely to benefit from rising clean electricity demand, fueled by the rapid expansion of U.S. data centers, industrial reshoring and Permian Basin electrification. With a diversified generation portfolio and a high-quality nuclear fleet, the second-quarter earnings are likely to have benefited from accelerating load growth across key markets such as PJM and ERCOT.
Vistra's comprehensive hedging program is expected to support second-quarter results, with nearly 100% of its 2026 generation volume hedged against market and price volatility. Contributions from acquired Lotus assets are expected to have boosted second-quarter earnings.
Vistra’s share repurchase program has boosted shareholder value and supported EPS growth, aiding its second-quarter performance. As of May 1, 2026, Vistra has nearly $158 billion available for share repurchases, which might have further supported earnings growth.
Vistra's long-term nuclear PPAs are likely to have supported second-quarter earnings by providing stable cash flows, while its highly efficient generation fleet further contributed to performance.
VST’s Return on EquityVST’s current ROE is pegged at 105.64% compared with its industry’s 11.21%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
VST Stock Trading at a DiscountVistra is currently valued at a discount compared with its industry on a forward 12-month P/E basis. VST is trading at a P/EF12M of 13.62X compared with the industry’s 15.8X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Investment ThesisVistra is expanding its generation capacity through organic investments and strategic acquisitions, while its integrated business model provides a competitive advantage over non-integrated peers.
The extension of licenses for its nuclear plants enables the company to continue delivering large volumes of carbon-free electricity. Strong free cash flow generation further supports shareholder returns through share repurchases and dividends.
Summing UpVistra is well positioned to benefit from accelerating demand for clean electricity through continued expansion of its clean generation portfolio via acquisitions and organic growth. The company’s disciplined hedging strategy and rising power demand from data centers further strengthen its long-term outlook.
Given its compelling valuation and industry-leading ROE, the stock warrants consideration from long-term investors.
Wall Street čeká, že Vistra Corp. vykáže za čtvrtletí zisk 2,02 USD na akcii a tržby 6,29 miliardy USD, tedy meziroční růst o 100 % a 48,1 %. Akcie mohou reagovat na výsledky, které mají být zveřejněny 7. srpna.
Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.
The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 7. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.
While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.
Zacks Consensus EstimateThis company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.02 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +100%.
Revenues are expected to be $6.29 billion, up 48.1% from the year-ago quarter.
Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 13.78% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.
Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change.
Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core.
The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.
Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.
A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.
Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).
How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Vistra?For Vistra, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -16.63%.
On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.
So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Vistra will beat the consensus EPS estimate.
Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.
For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Vistra would post earnings of $2.21 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.87, delivering a surprise of +29.86%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.
Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.
That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
Vistra doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.
Expected Results of an Industry PlayerAnother stock from the Zacks Utility - Electric Power industry, Evergy Inc (EVRG - Free Report) , is soon expected to post earnings of $0.82 per share for the quarter ended June 2026. This estimate indicates no change from the year-ago quarter. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $1.47 billion, up 2.6% from the year-ago quarter.
The consensus EPS estimate for Evergy has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. However, a lower Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -6.75%.
When combined with a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), this Earnings ESP makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Evergy will beat the consensus EPS estimate. Over the last four quarters, the company surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times.
Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Vistra schválila čtvrtletní dividendu 0,23 USD na akcii kmenových akcií, celkem zhruba 75 milionů USD. Také vyhlásila pololetní dividendu 40,00 USD na preferenční akcii 8,0% Series A Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock.
, /PRNewswire/ -- Vistra (NYSE: VST) announced today that its board of directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.23 per share of Vistra's common stock, reflecting an estimated aggregate payment of approximately $75 million this quarter. The common dividend is payable on Sept. 30, 2026, to common stockholders of record as of Sept. 21, 2026. The ex-dividend date for the common dividend will be Sept. 21, 2026.
The board of directors also declared a semi-annual dividend on the company's 8.0% Series A Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock. The Series A dividend is $40.00 per preferred share, or $80.00 per share of Series A preferred stock on an annualized basis. The Series A dividend is payable on Oct. 15, 2026, to Series A preferred stockholders of record as of Oct. 1, 2026.
About Vistra
Vistra (NYSE: VST) is a leading Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas, that provides essential resources to customers, businesses, and communities from California to Maine. Vistra is a leader in transforming the energy landscape, with an unyielding focus on reliability, affordability, and sustainability. The company safely operates a reliable, efficient power generation fleet of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities while taking an innovative, customer-centric approach to its retail business. Learn more at vistracorp.com.
When a stock surges more than eightfold in just five years, it's understandable that some investors wonder if they've missed the party. When the name in question is a utility stock, that wonderment is probably heightened because "conventional wisdom" says utility stocks aren't supposed to notch gains like that.
But that's exactly what Vistra (VST -3.86%) did. Proving that the artificial intelligence (AI) trade often acts as a rising tide that lifts even boring boats, Vistra is up a staggering 720% over the past five years. Nearly all of that bullishness was accrued before the start of 2026. This year, Vistra stock is down about 3% amid a somewhat volatile half-year of trading.
This utility stock has been fueled by the AI boom. It may have more upside ahead. Image source: Getty Images.
That may be more of a sign that the utility is taking a well-deserved break than that its bull run is over. Vistra still commands a prominent position in two marquee data center markets, suggesting the utility may have the energy to drive more long-term upside.
Vistra at the right place at the right time Vistra's ascent into the pantheon of story stocks is all the more remarkable when considering it's the entity that emerged from the bankruptcy of Energy Future Holdings a decade ago. Today, Vistra has a dominant market position in the power generation fleet industry, positioning it to capitalize on the AI power boom.
Hyperscalers, such as Meta Platforms, are taking notice. So are well-known professional investors. The point is that many market participants now view Vistra and a small number of its competitors not as stodgy utilities, but rather as key purveyors of AI infrastructure. That status is great when the AI trade is working, but that trade gives and takes away. With AI stocks taking a breather, Vistra is following suit. The stock is off about 4.5% over the past three months.
That's a minor "dip" in the context of its five-year run, but it may be a reason for long-term investors to put Vistra on their watch lists. Near-term stock headwinds aren't altering projections that hyperscalers will spend $700 billion this year. Nor does Vistra's recent sluggishness change the fact that hyperscalers ink long-term contracts with the company, providing investors with coveted revenue clarity.
Today's Change
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Another point to consider: While Vistra is seemingly joined at the hip with the AI trade, there's more to the story, and that "more" can defray some AI-related risks. For example, Vistra is seen as a beneficiary of increased demand for electric vehicles, oilfield electrification, and the return of more manufacturing jobs to the U.S.
Dividend growth potential In utilities-sector terms, Vistra's dividend yield of nearly 0.6% is below average, but yield doesn't tell the entire story. This is a company with blue chip dividend stock potential because it's expected to return $3 billion combined this year and in 2027 across buybacks and dividends.
Vistra is already proving to be a dividend growth powerhouse. It initiated that payout in 2019 at $0.50 a share, and it's nearly doubled since then.
Additionally, the utility has investment-grade credit ratings from Fitch and S&P, and its cash-flow trajectory supports reinvestment in the business. So even if Vistra needs to tap capital markets, it can do so cost-effectively. It probably doesn't need to over the near term due to strong capital allocation practices and cash flow, which should be music to the ears of long-term investors.
California Public Employees' Retirement System ve 1. čtvrtletí snížil podíl ve společnosti Vistra o 27,7 % a prodal 172 875 akcií. Fond nyní drží 451 638 akcií v hodnotě 67,9 milionu USD.
California Public Employees Retirement System lowered its stake in Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST – Free Report) by 27.7% during the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The fund owned 451,638 shares of the company’s stock after selling 172,875 shares during the quarter. California Public Employees Retirement System owned approximately 0.13% of Vistra worth $67,895,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Several other institutional investors and hedge funds have also bought and sold shares of VST. Fifth Third Bancorp lifted its stake in Vistra by 95.1% in the first quarter. Fifth Third Bancorp now owns 177,199 shares of the company’s stock valued at $26,638,000 after acquiring an additional 86,393 shares during the last quarter. Norges Bank acquired a new position in shares of Vistra during the 4th quarter worth about $746,729,000. Payden & Rygel increased its stake in shares of Vistra by 3,118.2% during the 4th quarter. Payden & Rygel now owns 35,400 shares of the company’s stock worth $5,711,000 after purchasing an additional 34,300 shares during the last quarter. Signature Estate & Investment Advisors LLC bought a new stake in shares of Vistra in the 4th quarter valued at about $29,875,000. Finally, Intech Investment Management LLC raised its holdings in shares of Vistra by 34.4% in the 4th quarter. Intech Investment Management LLC now owns 188,921 shares of the company’s stock valued at $30,479,000 after purchasing an additional 48,378 shares during the period. Institutional investors own 90.88% of the company’s stock.
Key Vistra News Here are the key news stories impacting Vistra this week:
Positive Sentiment: Scotiabank raised its FY2026 and FY2027 earnings estimates for Vistra, while keeping an Outperform rating and a $298 price target, reinforcing the view that earnings can keep growing. Scotiabank Raises Vistra Estimates Positive Sentiment: News that Vistra secured PJM capacity points to better future revenue visibility, which investors typically view as supportive for utility and power producer stocks. Vistra Secures PJM Capacity Positive Sentiment: Coverage highlighting rising demand from data centers and increased capital investments in nuclear, solar, storage, and gas assets suggests Vistra could benefit from long-term load growth and reliable earnings expansion. Vistra Benefiting From Data Center Demand Positive Sentiment: KeyBanc reaffirmed its Buy rating, adding to the bullish analyst tone around the stock. KeyBanc Sticks to Buy Rating Neutral Sentiment: Vistra was also mentioned in media coverage and trading commentary as a stock showing momentum, which may reflect investor enthusiasm but does not add new fundamental information. Vistra Rises Higher Than Market Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades VST has been the subject of a number of research analyst reports. JPMorgan Chase & Co. reduced their price target on Vistra from $240.00 to $231.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a report on Thursday, April 30th. Seaport Research Partners restated a “buy” rating and issued a $230.00 price objective on shares of Vistra in a research note on Monday, June 15th. TD Cowen cut their price objective on Vistra from $253.00 to $230.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Monday, May 4th. Scotiabank reiterated an “outperform” rating and set a $298.00 target price on shares of Vistra in a research note on Wednesday. Finally, Jefferies Financial Group reissued a “buy” rating and set a $190.00 target price on shares of Vistra in a report on Thursday, May 21st. Two equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirteen have assigned a Buy rating and one has assigned a Hold rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the stock has an average rating of “Buy” and a consensus target price of $230.62.
Read Our Latest Research Report on VST
Insider Transactions at Vistra In related news, Director John R. Sult sold 6,500 shares of Vistra stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, June 18th. The stock was sold at an average price of $170.00, for a total transaction of $1,105,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the director directly owned 70,714 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $12,021,380. This trade represents a 8.42% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through the SEC website. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, Director Scott B. Helm sold 25,000 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Tuesday, June 16th. The shares were sold at an average price of $160.00, for a total value of $4,000,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 232,200 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $37,152,000. This trade represents a 9.72% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Insiders have sold a total of 41,588 shares of company stock worth $6,739,227 in the last ninety days. 0.92% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.
Vistra Stock Performance Shares of VST stock opened at $155.12 on Monday. Vistra Corp. has a 52 week low of $132.66 and a 52 week high of $219.82. The company has a market capitalization of $52.30 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.98 and a beta of 1.40. The company has a 50-day simple moving average of $154.14 and a 200 day simple moving average of $158.40. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.51, a quick ratio of 0.79 and a current ratio of 0.90.
Vistra (NYSE:VST – Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, May 7th. The company reported $2.87 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.32 by $1.55. The firm had revenue of $5.64 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $5.22 billion. Vistra had a net margin of 11.52% and a return on equity of 105.64%. On average, sell-side analysts predict that Vistra Corp. will post 9.53 earnings per share for the current year.
Vistra Increases Dividend The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Tuesday, June 30th. Stockholders of record on Monday, June 22nd were paid a dividend of $0.229 per share. This represents a $0.92 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 0.6%. This is an increase from Vistra’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.23. The ex-dividend date was Monday, June 22nd. Vistra’s dividend payout ratio is 15.41%.
About Vistra (Free Report)
Vistra (NYSE: VST) is an integrated power company that develops, owns and operates electricity generation and retail businesses in the United States. The company’s operations span wholesale power production—through a diversified fleet of thermal and lower‑carbon generation assets—and retail electricity supply to residential, commercial and industrial customers. Vistra serves organized wholesale markets and competitive retail markets, with a notable presence in Texas and other regional U.S. power markets.
Vistra’s core activities include the ownership and operation of generation facilities, the commercial dispatch and optimization of those assets into wholesale markets, and the sale of electricity and related services to end-use customers through its retail brands.
Read More Five stocks we like better than Vistra Strait of Hormuz Tensions Spike Tanker Trade: These 2 Stocks Are Set to Benefit Shopify’s Quiet AI Strategy Could Be Its Biggest Advantage Yet Why These 3 Nuclear ETFs Are Getting a Fresh Look as AI Power Demand Rises 3 Aerospace Suppliers That Could Benefit as Aircraft Makers Face Bottlenecks Want to see what other hedge funds are holding VST? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST – Free Report).
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Allspring Global Investments ve 1. čtvrtletí zvýšil svou držbu ve společnosti Vistra o 18,6 % na 694 157 akcií v hodnotě 106,9 mil. USD. Institucionální investoři nyní drží 90,88 % akcií firmy.
Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST – Free Report) by 18.6% in the 1st quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 694,157 shares of the company’s stock after buying an additional 109,096 shares during the quarter. Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC owned approximately 0.21% of Vistra worth $106,872,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also recently made changes to their positions in the company. Fideuram Intesa Sanpaolo Private Banking S.P.A. purchased a new position in shares of Vistra in the fourth quarter worth about $25,000. Mcguire Capital Advisors Inc. acquired a new stake in Vistra in the 4th quarter valued at about $28,000. Kemnay Advisory Services Inc. acquired a new stake in Vistra in the 4th quarter valued at about $30,000. Strive Financial Group LLC purchased a new position in Vistra in the 4th quarter worth approximately $33,000. Finally, Salomon & Ludwin LLC lifted its stake in Vistra by 74.8% in the 4th quarter. Salomon & Ludwin LLC now owns 215 shares of the company’s stock worth $35,000 after purchasing an additional 92 shares in the last quarter. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 90.88% of the company’s stock.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades A number of equities research analysts have recently issued reports on the company. Seaport Research Partners restated a “buy” rating and issued a $230.00 price target on shares of Vistra in a research report on Monday, June 15th. TD Cowen reduced their price objective on Vistra from $253.00 to $230.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Monday, May 4th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut their target price on Vistra from $240.00 to $231.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research note on Thursday, April 30th. Morgan Stanley reissued an “overweight” rating and set a $210.00 price target on shares of Vistra in a research report on Wednesday, June 24th. Finally, Weiss Ratings lowered shares of Vistra from a “hold (c+)” rating to a “hold (c)” rating in a report on Thursday. Two analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirteen have assigned a Buy rating and one has issued a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, the stock currently has a consensus rating of “Buy” and a consensus price target of $230.62.
Read Our Latest Report on VST
Vistra News Summary Here are the key news stories impacting Vistra this week:
Positive Sentiment: Scotiabank raised its FY2026 and FY2027 earnings estimates for Vistra, while keeping an Outperform rating and a $298 price target, reinforcing the view that earnings can keep growing. Scotiabank Raises Vistra Estimates Positive Sentiment: News that Vistra secured PJM capacity points to better future revenue visibility, which investors typically view as supportive for utility and power producer stocks. Vistra Secures PJM Capacity Positive Sentiment: Coverage highlighting rising demand from data centers and increased capital investments in nuclear, solar, storage, and gas assets suggests Vistra could benefit from long-term load growth and reliable earnings expansion. Vistra Benefiting From Data Center Demand Positive Sentiment: KeyBanc reaffirmed its Buy rating, adding to the bullish analyst tone around the stock. KeyBanc Sticks to Buy Rating Neutral Sentiment: Vistra was also mentioned in media coverage and trading commentary as a stock showing momentum, which may reflect investor enthusiasm but does not add new fundamental information. Vistra Rises Higher Than Market Insiders Place Their Bets In other Vistra news, CAO Margaret Montemayor sold 4,600 shares of Vistra stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, June 2nd. The stock was sold at an average price of $160.00, for a total value of $736,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the chief accounting officer owned 9,760 shares in the company, valued at $1,561,600. The trade was a 32.03% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this link. Also, Director Paul M. Barbas sold 244 shares of Vistra stock in a transaction on Monday, June 15th. The shares were sold at an average price of $153.00, for a total transaction of $37,332.00. Following the transaction, the director owned 53,006 shares in the company, valued at $8,109,918. The trade was a 0.46% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Insiders sold a total of 41,588 shares of company stock valued at $6,739,227 in the last quarter. Corporate insiders own 0.92% of the company’s stock.
Vistra Stock Up 1.7% Vistra stock opened at $155.12 on Friday. The company has a market capitalization of $52.30 billion, a P/E ratio of 25.98 and a beta of 1.40. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.51, a quick ratio of 0.79 and a current ratio of 0.90. Vistra Corp. has a fifty-two week low of $132.66 and a fifty-two week high of $219.82. The stock has a 50-day simple moving average of $154.14 and a 200-day simple moving average of $158.42.
Vistra (NYSE:VST – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, May 7th. The company reported $2.87 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.32 by $1.55. The company had revenue of $5.64 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $5.22 billion. Vistra had a return on equity of 105.64% and a net margin of 11.52%. Equities research analysts expect that Vistra Corp. will post 9.53 earnings per share for the current year.
Vistra Increases Dividend The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Tuesday, June 30th. Shareholders of record on Monday, June 22nd were issued a $0.229 dividend. This is a positive change from Vistra’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.23. The ex-dividend date was Monday, June 22nd. This represents a $0.92 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 0.6%. Vistra’s payout ratio is currently 15.41%.
About Vistra (Free Report)
Vistra (NYSE: VST) is an integrated power company that develops, owns and operates electricity generation and retail businesses in the United States. The company’s operations span wholesale power production—through a diversified fleet of thermal and lower‑carbon generation assets—and retail electricity supply to residential, commercial and industrial customers. Vistra serves organized wholesale markets and competitive retail markets, with a notable presence in Texas and other regional U.S. power markets.
Vistra’s core activities include the ownership and operation of generation facilities, the commercial dispatch and optimization of those assets into wholesale markets, and the sale of electricity and related services to end-use customers through its retail brands.
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Vistra plánuje v roce 2026 investovat 2,587 miliardy USD, více než 2,16 miliardy USD v roce 2025, hlavně do jaderných, solárních, bateriových a modernizovaných plynových zařízení. Firma zároveň přidává 4,5 GW organicky a chystá koupi portfolia Cogentrix o výkonu 5 500 MW.
Key Takeaways Vistra plans to invest $2.587 billion in 2026, up from $2.16 billion in 2025.Capital spending targets nuclear, solar, battery storage and modernized gas-fired facilities.Vistra is adding 4.5 GW organically and plans to acquire Cogentrix's 5,500-MW portfolio. Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) is well positioned for long-term growth, supported by its disciplined capital investment strategy. As the energy sector shifts toward cleaner and more reliable power generation, the company is making significant capital investments to expand its renewable energy and battery storage portfolio. These investments are expected to strengthen Vistra's ability to meet growing electricity demand while enhancing grid reliability and supporting long-term earnings growth.
Vistra aims to invest $2.587 billion in 2026, up from $2.16 billion and $1.93 billion invested in 2025 and 2024, respectively. The company’s capital expenditure is strategically directed toward the development of nuclear, solar, battery storage and modernized gas-fired facilities. Vistra operates a diversified generation fleet with approximately 44,000 megawatts (“MW”) of capacity, spanning natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery energy storage assets.
VST is strategically deploying capital to expand its asset base, modernize technology and improve operational efficiency, strengthening the long-term growth prospects. The company is also growing its natural gas portfolio through acquisitions, including the Lotus assets and the planned acquisition of Cogentrix's 5,500-MW portfolio, while advancing approximately 4.5 GW of organic capacity additions to meet rising electricity demand and support cash flow growth.
With strong fundamentals and a clear capital deployment strategy, Vistra’s steadily rising CapEx signals long-term upside potential. Investors may view Vistra as a compelling opportunity in the evolving utility and clean energy space.
Utilities Are Investing in Energy TransitionUtilities across the United States are ramping up investments to advance the energy transition, directing capital toward expanding renewable generation and energy storage infrastructure.
NextEra Energy’s (NEE - Free Report) growth strategy is its planned capital investment of more than $94.1 billion through 2030. Planned investment at NEE’s unit FPL and NextEra Energy Resources will expand generation, strengthen grid reliability and accelerate renewable and storage development, supporting long-term earnings growth amid rising power demand.
Duke Energy's (DUK - Free Report) outlook is supported by its regulated utility operations and robust capital investment plan of $103 billion in the 2026-2030 period. Investments in grid modernization, renewable energy and transmission infrastructure are expected to expand Duke Energy's operation and drive consistent earnings.
The Zacks Rundown on VSTThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vistra’s 2026 and 2027 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 80.99% and 18.06%, respectively, in the past 60 days.
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VST’s trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) is 105.64%, way ahead of its industry average of 11.21%. ROE, a profitability measure, reflects how effectively a company is utilizing its shareholders’ funds in operations to generate income.
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Shares of Vistra have risen 1% in the past month compared with the Zacks Utility- Electric Power industry’s of 0.7% rally.
Vistra Corp. v poslední seanci vzrostla o 2,04 % a za poslední měsíc přidala 11,75 %. Trh čeká výsledky 7. srpna 2026; analytici odhadují EPS 2,43 USD a tržby 6,42 miliardy USD.
Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) ended the recent trading session at $157.98, demonstrating a +2.04% change from the preceding day's closing price. This change outpaced the S&P 500's 0.81% gain on the day. Elsewhere, the Dow gained 0.27%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 1.3%.
Coming into today, shares of the company had gained 11.75% in the past month. In that same time, the Utilities sector gained 3.47%, while the S&P 500 gained 1.13%.
The upcoming earnings release of Vistra Corp. will be of great interest to investors. The company's earnings report is expected on August 7, 2026. In that report, analysts expect Vistra Corp. to post earnings of $2.43 per share. This would mark year-over-year growth of 140.59%. Meanwhile, our latest consensus estimate is calling for revenue of $6.42 billion, up 50.98% from the prior-year quarter.
For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates anticipate earnings of $9.52 per share and a revenue of $23.85 billion, signifying shifts of +80.99% and +34.45%, respectively, from the last year.
Investors should also pay attention to any latest changes in analyst estimates for Vistra Corp. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. Therefore, positive revisions in estimates convey analysts' confidence in the business performance and profit potential.
Empirical research indicates that these revisions in estimates have a direct correlation with impending stock price performance. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, spanning from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), boasts an impressive track record of outperformance, audited externally, with #1 ranked stocks yielding an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has shifted 2.38% upward. Vistra Corp. currently has a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
With respect to valuation, Vistra Corp. is currently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 16.26. This expresses a discount compared to the average Forward P/E of 18.41 of its industry.
The Utility - Electric Power industry is part of the Utilities sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 108, putting it in the top 44% of all 250+ industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank is ordered from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Keep in mind to rely on Zacks.com to watch all these stock-impacting metrics, and more, in the succeeding trading sessions.
Key Takeaways Vistra is positioned to benefit from AI, data center, electrification and industrial power demand.Long-term PPAs with Meta and AWS provide recurring revenues and reduce merchant price volatility.Vistra's diversified fleet and integrated model support operational flexibility and stable earnings. Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) is well-positioned to benefit from the rapidly growing U.S. electricity demand driven by artificial intelligence, hyperscale data centers, electrification and industrial expansion. The company operates one of the nation's largest and most diversified power generation portfolios, including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery storage assets. This diversified fleet enables Vistra to reliably serve increasing power demand while maintaining operational flexibility across changing market conditions.
A key long-term growth catalyst is Vistra's power purchase agreements (PPAs) with Meta and Amazon Web Services (“AWS”). These long-duration contracts provide predictable and recurring revenue streams by locking in electricity sales over extended periods. As leading technology companies continue expanding AI infrastructure and hyperscale data centers, Vistra is positioned to benefit from sustained electricity demand backed by investment-grade counterparties. The contracts improve earnings visibility, reduce merchant power price volatility and strengthen cash flow stability, supporting long-term financial performance.
Vistra continues to strengthen its competitive position through disciplined investments in power generation, battery energy storage and strategic acquisitions. Its integrated business model, which combines electricity generation with retail operations, provides natural hedging benefits and supports stable earnings across market cycles.
Growing AI-driven electricity demand, expanding clean energy investments, long-term power purchase agreements and a diversified generation portfolio position Vistra for sustained earnings and cash flow growth. These strengths, along with its ability to enhance shareholder returns, make the company an attractive long-term investment despite short-term market volatility.
PPAs Bring Stability in Utility EarningsPPAs strengthen utilities' growth prospects by providing stable, predictable revenue streams and limiting exposure to wholesale electricity price fluctuations. These contracts enhance earnings visibility, support investments in new generation assets, improve cash flow stability and drive sustainable long-term shareholder value.
Utilities such as Constellation Energy (CEG - Free Report) and NextEra Energy (NEE - Free Report) benefit significantly from long-term PPAs, which provide predictable revenue streams and reduce exposure to wholesale power price volatility. These contracts improve earnings visibility, support investments in clean energy projects and generation capacity, strengthen cash flow stability and create sustainable long-term shareholder value.
The Zacks Rundown for VSTThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vistra’s earnings per share for 2026 and 2027 indicates a year-over-year increase of 80.99% and 18.06%, respectively.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Return on equity (“ROE”), a profitability measure, reflects how effectively a company is utilizing shareholders’ funds in its operations to generate income.
VST’s trailing 12-month ROE is 105.64%, way ahead of its industry average of 11.21%.
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VST’s Price PerformanceShares of Vistra have gained 1.4% in the past three months against the Zacks Utility- Electric Power industry’s decline of 2.9%.
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VST’s Zacks RankVistra currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here
