Dimensional Fund Advisors LP boosted its position in shares of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH – Free Report) by 4.1% in the first quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund owned 864,006 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock after buying an additional 34,385 shares during the quarter. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP owned approximately 1.31% of Texas Roadhouse worth $142,670,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission.
Several other institutional investors have also added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Elyxium Wealth LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Texas Roadhouse during the fourth quarter worth about $25,000. Princeton Global Asset Management LLC purchased a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $31,000. Measured Wealth Private Client Group LLC bought a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse during the third quarter valued at approximately $33,000. Garton & Associates Financial Advisors LLC purchased a new stake in Texas Roadhouse in the fourth quarter worth $34,000. Finally, TD Private Client Wealth LLC raised its stake in Texas Roadhouse by 137.5% in the fourth quarter. TD Private Client Wealth LLC now owns 266 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock worth $44,000 after buying an additional 154 shares in the last quarter. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 94.82% of the company’s stock.
Texas Roadhouse Stock Performance Shares of NASDAQ TXRH opened at $193.27 on Monday. The firm’s 50-day moving average price is $181.84 and its 200-day moving average price is $177.38. The company has a quick ratio of 0.40, a current ratio of 0.46 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03. The company has a market cap of $12.70 billion, a PE ratio of 30.87, a PEG ratio of 2.14 and a beta of 0.78. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. has a 52-week low of $153.82 and a 52-week high of $200.11.
Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH – Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, May 7th. The restaurant operator reported $1.87 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.80 by $0.07. The firm had revenue of $1.63 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $1.64 billion. Texas Roadhouse had a net margin of 6.85% and a return on equity of 27.86%. The firm’s quarterly revenue was up 10.5% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the previous year, the company earned $1.70 earnings per share. As a group, analysts anticipate that Texas Roadhouse, Inc. will post 6.45 EPS for the current year.
Texas Roadhouse Dividend Announcement The company also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Tuesday, June 30th. Stockholders of record on Tuesday, June 2nd were issued a dividend of $0.75 per share. This represents a $3.00 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 1.6%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Tuesday, June 2nd. Texas Roadhouse’s dividend payout ratio is presently 47.92%.
Analysts Set New Price Targets A number of analysts have recently commented on TXRH shares. Stifel Nicolaus boosted their target price on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $170.00 to $180.00 and gave the company a “hold” rating in a report on Tuesday, May 12th. TD Cowen raised their price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $192.00 to $205.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. Barclays decreased their price objective on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $188.00 to $175.00 and set an “equal weight” rating for the company in a report on Friday, May 8th. Piper Sandler upped their price objective on Texas Roadhouse from $190.00 to $192.00 and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a research report on Monday, May 11th. Finally, Weiss Ratings reiterated a “buy (b-)” rating on shares of Texas Roadhouse in a research note on Friday, May 29th. Ten research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and thirteen have issued a Hold rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $194.90.
Read Our Latest Stock Report on TXRH
Insider Activity In other news, insider Christopher C. Colson sold 499 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Tuesday, May 26th. The stock was sold at an average price of $179.22, for a total value of $89,430.78. Following the transaction, the insider directly owned 14,500 shares in the company, valued at $2,598,690. This trade represents a 3.33% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available at this link. Also, insider Lloyd Paul Marshall sold 1,000 shares of Texas Roadhouse stock in a transaction on Thursday, May 14th. The stock was sold at an average price of $178.34, for a total value of $178,340.00. Following the completion of the sale, the insider directly owned 10,326 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $1,841,538.84. The trade was a 8.83% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Over the last three months, insiders sold 6,154 shares of company stock worth $1,115,864. Insiders own 0.50% of the company’s stock.
Texas Roadhouse Profile (Free Report)
Texas Roadhouse, Inc is a casual dining restaurant chain specializing in hand‐cut steaks, fall‐off‐the‐bone ribs, chicken, seafood and house specialties. Each restaurant features a Western‐themed décor, open kitchens and a signature line dance presentation of fresh, made‐from‐scratch sides and breads. The company emphasizes an energetic dining experience, focusing on hospitality, value and a family‐friendly environment.
The concept was created in 1993 by founder Kent Taylor, who sought to combine high‐quality steaks with an approachable, community‐oriented atmosphere.
Read More Five stocks we like better than Texas Roadhouse RTX and Lockheed Earnings: Can Strong Guidance Reset the Defense Trade? These 4 Earnings Reports Expose the Market’s Growing Economic Divide Broadcom May Be the Biggest Winner From Alphabet’s Earnings Volatility Is Back and These 3 Market Tollbooths Are Best Positioned to Profit Want to see what other hedge funds are holding TXRH? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH – Free Report).
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Aire Advisors LLC cut its position in shares of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH – Free Report) by 10.3% in the first quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor owned 35,000 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock after selling 4,000 shares during the period. Texas Roadhouse accounts for about 1.1% of Aire Advisors LLC’s investment portfolio, making the stock its 25th largest position. Aire Advisors LLC owned approximately 0.05% of Texas Roadhouse worth $5,780,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Several other institutional investors have also made changes to their positions in the company. AQR Capital Management LLC increased its stake in shares of Texas Roadhouse by 27.4% in the fourth quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC now owns 2,674,102 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock worth $443,901,000 after purchasing an additional 575,685 shares during the period. Capital World Investors increased its position in Texas Roadhouse by 13.4% during the fourth quarter. Capital World Investors now owns 2,537,290 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock worth $421,190,000 after acquiring an additional 300,405 shares during the period. UBS Group AG boosted its holdings in Texas Roadhouse by 60.4% in the 4th quarter. UBS Group AG now owns 1,387,454 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock valued at $230,317,000 after purchasing an additional 522,509 shares during the period. Geode Capital Management LLC grew its position in Texas Roadhouse by 1.9% in the 4th quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 1,367,120 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock worth $226,984,000 after purchasing an additional 24,834 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Wellington Management Group LLP increased its holdings in shares of Texas Roadhouse by 228.4% during the 4th quarter. Wellington Management Group LLP now owns 1,329,052 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock worth $220,623,000 after purchasing an additional 924,306 shares during the period. 94.82% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Texas Roadhouse Stock Performance Shares of NASDAQ:TXRH opened at $197.03 on Friday. The company has a current ratio of 0.46, a quick ratio of 0.40 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. has a 1-year low of $153.82 and a 1-year high of $200.11. The stock has a market capitalization of $12.95 billion, a P/E ratio of 31.47, a P/E/G ratio of 2.11 and a beta of 0.78. The business has a 50-day moving average price of $180.54 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $176.47.
Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH – Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Thursday, May 7th. The restaurant operator reported $1.87 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.80 by $0.07. Texas Roadhouse had a net margin of 6.85% and a return on equity of 27.86%. The company had revenue of $1.63 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $1.64 billion. During the same quarter last year, the firm earned $1.70 EPS. The company’s revenue for the quarter was up 10.5% on a year-over-year basis. Equities analysts predict that Texas Roadhouse, Inc. will post 6.44 earnings per share for the current year.
Texas Roadhouse Dividend Announcement The business also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Tuesday, June 30th. Stockholders of record on Tuesday, June 2nd were given a $0.75 dividend. This represents a $3.00 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 1.5%. The ex-dividend date was Tuesday, June 2nd. Texas Roadhouse’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is currently 47.92%.
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades Several equities research analysts recently weighed in on TXRH shares. Barclays reduced their target price on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $188.00 to $175.00 and set an “equal weight” rating for the company in a research note on Friday, May 8th. TD Cowen boosted their price objective on Texas Roadhouse from $192.00 to $205.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research report on Wednesday, May 27th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised their target price on Texas Roadhouse from $182.00 to $188.00 and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a research report on Thursday, May 14th. Stifel Nicolaus boosted their price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $170.00 to $180.00 and gave the company a “hold” rating in a report on Tuesday, May 12th. Finally, Morgan Stanley reissued an “overweight” rating and issued a $201.00 price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse in a research report on Friday, May 8th. Ten equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and thirteen have given a Hold rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat.com, Texas Roadhouse has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $194.90.
Read Our Latest Report on Texas Roadhouse
Insider Buying and Selling at Texas Roadhouse In related news, insider Christopher C. Colson sold 499 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, May 26th. The stock was sold at an average price of $179.22, for a total value of $89,430.78. Following the completion of the sale, the insider owned 14,500 shares in the company, valued at approximately $2,598,690. This represents a 3.33% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which can be accessed through this link. Also, insider Lloyd Paul Marshall sold 1,000 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Thursday, May 14th. The shares were sold at an average price of $178.34, for a total value of $178,340.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the insider directly owned 10,326 shares in the company, valued at $1,841,538.84. The trade was a 8.83% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Insiders sold 6,154 shares of company stock valued at $1,115,864 over the last quarter. 0.50% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders.
Texas Roadhouse Profile (Free Report)
Texas Roadhouse, Inc is a casual dining restaurant chain specializing in hand‐cut steaks, fall‐off‐the‐bone ribs, chicken, seafood and house specialties. Each restaurant features a Western‐themed décor, open kitchens and a signature line dance presentation of fresh, made‐from‐scratch sides and breads. The company emphasizes an energetic dining experience, focusing on hospitality, value and a family‐friendly environment.
The concept was created in 1993 by founder Kent Taylor, who sought to combine high‐quality steaks with an approachable, community‐oriented atmosphere.
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Key Takeaways Texas Roadhouse is benefiting from healthy guest demand, traffic growth and a strong value proposition.TXRH is expanding restaurants and investing in digital tools to improve efficiency and support growth.Texas Roadhouse strengthened margins through disciplined cost management and improved labor productivity. Shares of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH - Free Report) have gained 15.7% so far in 2026, outperforming 2.8% growth in the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry. The stock has also surpassed the broader Retail-Wholesale sector's rise of 1.2% and the S&P 500 index’s 9.8% growth during the same period.
The company is benefiting from healthy guest demand, supported by consistent traffic growth, a compelling value proposition and continued investments in restaurant operations. Expansion of the restaurant base, growth in off-premise sales and technology initiatives are creating additional opportunities to drive sales and improve operating efficiency. Combined with disciplined capital allocation and a strong financial position, these factors position Texas Roadhouse to support long-term revenue growth and strengthen its competitive position.
TXRH Stock’s YTD Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Texas Roadhouse stock has outperformed some other players in the year-to-date period, including Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO - Free Report) , Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS - Free Report) and Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG - Free Report) . In the said time frame, Arcos Dorados and Dutch Bros have gained 13% and 8.6%, respectively, while Chipotle has declined 0.8%.
Let us take a closer look at the factors driving Texas Roadhouse’s recent gains and what this may signal for the stock going forward.
Strong Traffic Growth Reinforces TXRH’s Sales MomentumTexas Roadhouse continues to strengthen its competitive position through a consistent value proposition centered on quality food, hospitality and affordability. The company reported 7.1% comparable restaurant sales growth, driven by 4.5% traffic growth in the first quarter of 2026, while traffic remained positive during the first five weeks of the second quarter. Management also indicated that traffic continued to outperform the broader casual dining industry despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty.
The consistent increase in guest traffic highlights the company's ability to attract new and repeat customers despite a challenging consumer environment. Continued focus on delivering quality food, service and value should support comparable sales growth while strengthening Texas Roadhouse's competitive position within the casual dining industry.
Digital Investments Enhance TXRH’s Operating EfficiencyTexas Roadhouse continues to invest in technology that improves restaurant operations while enhancing the guest experience. Digital kitchen technologies are helping operators manage growing to-go demand without disrupting dine-in service, while upgraded handheld ordering devices are being tested to improve order accuracy and service efficiency.
These technology initiatives support smoother restaurant operations and better execution during periods of high demand. Continued investment in digital capabilities should improve productivity, strengthen guest satisfaction and support long-term margin expansion as restaurant volumes continue to grow.
Restaurant Expansion Supports TXRH’s Long-Term GrowthTexas Roadhouse continues expanding its restaurant footprint to support future revenue growth. In the first quarter of 2026, the company opened four Texas Roadhouse restaurants and expects to open as many as nine locations across all brands in the second quarter. Looking ahead, Texas Roadhouse expects to open approximately 35 company-owned restaurants during 2026, with development activity accelerating during the second half of the year. Franchise partners also continue expanding both domestically and internationally, including additional Jaggers and Texas Roadhouse locations.
A disciplined development strategy allows Texas Roadhouse to increase market penetration while extending its brand reach across new domestic and international markets. Continued unit expansion, supported by healthy restaurant economics and strong consumer demand, provides another avenue for long-term revenue growth.
Margin Improvement Strengthens TXRH’s Earnings PotentialTexas Roadhouse continues to demonstrate disciplined cost management despite ongoing inflationary pressures. In the first quarter of 2026, labor expense improved 46 basis points (bps) year over year to 32.9% of sales, while other operating costs improved 36 bps. Labor productivity also strengthened as labor hours increased approximately 35% of comparable traffic growth.
Improving operating efficiency provides flexibility to offset higher commodity costs while supporting profitability. Continued productivity gains, disciplined labor management and healthy restaurant volumes should help Texas Roadhouse maintain solid restaurant-level earnings as inflation moderates.
TXRH Trades at a PremiumFrom a valuation standpoint, Texas Roadhouse trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 27.07, up from the industry’s average of 23.1.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
In comparison, Arcos Dorados has a forward 12-month P/E multiple of 10.28X, while Dutch Bros trades at 61.26X. Chipotle carries a valuation of 29.41X on the same basis.
Estimate Revisions for TXRHThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for Texas Roadhouse’s 2026 earnings per share has increased to $6.43 in the past 30 days. This indicates expected earnings growth of 5.4% year over year.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Should You Buy TXRH Stock?Texas Roadhouse continues to benefit from healthy guest demand, industry-leading traffic growth and a differentiated value proposition that supports market share gains. Ongoing investments in restaurant expansion, digital capabilities and operational efficiency provide multiple avenues for long-term growth, while disciplined cost management and strong cash generation further strengthen the company's business fundamentals. The recent upward revision in earnings estimates also reflects confidence in the company's growth prospects.
Although TXRH trades at a premium valuation relative to the industry, its consistent execution, resilient operating performance and long-term expansion strategy help justify the higher multiple. With a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present, Texas Roadhouse remains an attractive choice for investors seeking exposure to the restaurant industry and durable long-term growth. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH - Free Report) is looking like an interesting pick from a technical perspective, as the company reached a key level of support. Recently, TXRH crossed above the 20-day moving average, suggesting a short-term bullish trend.
The 20-day simple moving average is a popular trading tool. It provides a look back at a stock's price over a 20-day period, and is beneficial to short-term traders since it smooths out price fluctuations and provides more trend reversal signals than longer-term moving averages.
Similar to other SMAs, if a stock's price moves above the 20-day, the trend is considered positive, while price falling below the moving average can signal a downward trend.
TXRH could be on the verge of another rally after moving 11.5% higher over the last four weeks. Plus, the company is currently a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock.
The bullish case only gets stronger once investors take into account TXRH's positive earnings estimate revisions. There have been 4 revisions higher for the current fiscal year compared to none lower, and the consensus estimate has moved up as well.
With a winning combination of earnings estimate revisions and hitting a key technical level, investors should keep their eye on TXRH for more gains in the near future.
July 09, 2026 09:00 ET | Source: Texas Roadhouse, Inc
LOUISVILLE, Ky., July 09, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NasdaqGS: TXRH) announced today that it will release second quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, August 6, 2026 after the market close. A conference call will follow at 5:00 PM ET and will be webcast live from the investor relations portion of the Company's website at investor.texasroadhouse.com.
Listeners may also access the call by dialing (833) 461-5787 and using conference ID 639749828. A replay of the webcast will be available on the Company's Investor Relations website shortly after the conclusion of the call.
About the Company
Texas Roadhouse is a growing restaurant company operating predominantly in the casual dining segment that first opened in 1993 and today has grown to over 830 restaurants system-wide in 49 states, one U.S. territory, and ten foreign countries. For more information, please visit the Company’s Web site at www.texasroadhouse.com.
From a technical perspective, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH - Free Report) is looking like an interesting pick, as it just reached a key level of support. TXRH's 50-day simple moving average crossed above its 200-day simple moving average, which is known as a "golden cross" in the trading world.
Considered an important signifier for a bullish breakout, a golden cross is a technical chart pattern that's formed when a stock's short-term moving average breaks above a longer-term moving average; the most common crossover involves the 50-day and the 200-day, since bigger time periods tend to form stronger breakouts.
A successful golden cross event has three stages. It first begins when a stock's price on the decline bottoms out. Then, its shorter moving average crosses above its longer moving average, triggering a positive trend reversal. The third and final phase occurs when the stock maintains its upward momentum.
A golden cross is the opposite of a death cross, another technical event that indicates bearish price movement may be on the horizon.
TXRH has rallied 15.2% over the past four weeks, and the company is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank at the moment. This combination indicates TXRH could be poised for a breakout.
The bullish case solidifies once investors consider TXRH's positive earnings outlook. For the current quarter, no earnings estimate has been cut compared to 8 revisions higher in the past 60 days. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased too.
Investors should think about putting TXRHon their watchlist given the ultra-important technical indicator and positive move in earnings estimates.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) saw its shares surge in the last session with trading volume being higher than average. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions could translate into further price increase in the near term.
SummaryTexas Roadhouse has compounded stock at 17% annually over the past decade, outpacing the S&P 500.TXRH is gaining market share by limiting price increases to 2%, under inflation, and now leads U.S. casual dining revenue share.Despite beef price pressures, TXRH’s disciplined pricing strategy is driving continued consumer preference and margin resilience.Expansion of Bubba’s 33 and Jaggers brands, growing 20% YoY, positions TXRH as a multi-brand restaurant corporation. jetcityimage/iStock Editorial via Getty Images
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) has compounded its stock 17% annually for the past decade, outperforming the S&P 500 (SP500) (13%). How? It does so by executing a polished playbook: selling a great experience, taking market share from competitors, and steadily building out new
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Shares of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH – Get Free Report) have been given a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” by the twenty-four analysts that are currently covering the company, Marketbeat.com reports. Thirteen investment analysts have rated the stock with a hold recommendation, ten have assigned a buy recommendation and one has assigned a strong buy recommendation to the company. The average twelve-month price target among brokers that have covered the stock in the last year is $196.70.
TXRH has been the subject of a number of analyst reports. Benchmark reiterated a “hold” rating on shares of Texas Roadhouse in a research report on Monday, February 23rd. Truist Financial dropped their price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $188.00 to $186.00 and set a “hold” rating for the company in a research report on Friday, February 20th. Sanford C. Bernstein set a $185.00 price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse in a research report on Wednesday, January 7th. KeyCorp reiterated a “sector weight” rating on shares of Texas Roadhouse in a research report on Friday, February 20th. Finally, Stephens lifted their price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $168.00 to $180.00 and gave the company an “equal weight” rating in a research report on Friday, February 20th.
View Our Latest Research Report on TXRH
Insider Buying and Selling In other news, Director Gregory N. Moore sold 1,700 shares of Texas Roadhouse stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, March 6th. The shares were sold at an average price of $171.59, for a total value of $291,703.00. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Also, Director Hugh J. Carroll sold 988 shares of Texas Roadhouse stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, March 16th. The shares were sold at an average price of $170.96, for a total transaction of $168,908.48. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 866 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $148,051.36. The trade was a 53.29% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Insiders sold 22,988 shares of company stock valued at $4,133,794 in the last quarter. Corporate insiders own 0.50% of the company’s stock.
Institutional Inflows and Outflows Institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Caldwell Trust Co bought a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse in the 2nd quarter valued at $28,000. Elyxium Wealth LLC acquired a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse during the 4th quarter worth $25,000. Princeton Global Asset Management LLC acquired a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse during the 4th quarter worth $31,000. Measured Wealth Private Client Group LLC acquired a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse during the 3rd quarter worth $33,000. Finally, Garton & Associates Financial Advisors LLC acquired a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse during the 4th quarter worth $34,000. 94.82% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
Texas Roadhouse Stock Down 2.0% Shares of NASDAQ:TXRH opened at $159.94 on Wednesday. Texas Roadhouse has a 12-month low of $150.84 and a 12-month high of $199.99. The stock has a market cap of $10.54 billion, a PE ratio of 26.26, a P/E/G ratio of 1.77 and a beta of 0.88. The business has a 50 day moving average of $175.62 and a 200-day moving average of $173.37.
Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH – Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, February 19th. The restaurant operator reported $1.28 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.53 by ($0.25). Texas Roadhouse had a return on equity of 27.88% and a net margin of 6.90%.The firm had revenue of $1.48 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $1.50 billion. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm earned $1.73 EPS. The company’s revenue was up 3.1% on a year-over-year basis. Equities research analysts expect that Texas Roadhouse will post 7.23 earnings per share for the current year.
Texas Roadhouse Increases Dividend The firm also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Tuesday, March 31st. Stockholders of record on Tuesday, March 17th were given a $0.75 dividend. The ex-dividend date was Tuesday, March 17th. This is a positive change from Texas Roadhouse’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.68. This represents a $3.00 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 1.9%. Texas Roadhouse’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 49.26%.
Texas Roadhouse Company Profile (Get Free Report)
Texas Roadhouse, Inc is a casual dining restaurant chain specializing in hand‐cut steaks, fall‐off‐the‐bone ribs, chicken, seafood and house specialties. Each restaurant features a Western‐themed décor, open kitchens and a signature line dance presentation of fresh, made‐from‐scratch sides and breads. The company emphasizes an energetic dining experience, focusing on hospitality, value and a family‐friendly environment.
The concept was created in 1993 by founder Kent Taylor, who sought to combine high‐quality steaks with an approachable, community‐oriented atmosphere.
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April 09, 2026 09:00 ET | Source: Texas Roadhouse, Inc
LOUISVILLE, Ky., April 09, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NasdaqGS: TXRH) announced today that it will release first quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, May 7, 2026 after the market close. A conference call will follow at 5:00 PM ET and will be webcast live from the investor relations portion of the Company's website at www.texasroadhouse.com.
Listeners may also access the call by dialing (888) 440-5667 or (646) 960-0476 for international calls and referencing the Texas Roadhouse, Inc. First Quarter 2026 Earnings. A replay of the call will be available until May 14, 2026 by dialing (800) 770-2030 or (609) 800-9909 for international calls and using conference ID 7714420.
About the Company
Texas Roadhouse is a growing restaurant company operating predominantly in the casual dining segment that first opened in 1993 and today has grown to over 820 restaurants system-wide in 49 states, one U.S. territory, and ten foreign countries. For more information, please visit the Company’s Web site at www.texasroadhouse.com.
Representative Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. (Democratic-California) recently bought shares of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH). In a filing disclosed on April 07th, the Representative disclosed that they had bought between $1,001 and $15,000 in Texas Roadhouse stock on March 3rd. The trade occurred in the Representative’s “150 MAIN STREET TRUST > BANK OF AMERICA” account.
Representative Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. also recently made the following trade(s):
Sold $1,001 – $15,000 in shares of MACOM Technology Solutions (NASDAQ:MTSI) on 3/27/2026. Purchased $1,001 – $15,000 in shares of StandardAero (NYSE:SARO) on 3/27/2026. Purchased $1,001 – $15,000 in shares of FirstService (NASDAQ:FSV) on 3/27/2026. Sold $1,001 – $15,000 in shares of Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) on 3/27/2026. Sold $1,001 – $15,000 in shares of Advanced Energy Industries (NASDAQ:AEIS) on 3/27/2026. Sold $1,001 – $15,000 in shares of Flex (NASDAQ:FLEX) on 3/27/2026. Purchased $1,001 – $15,000 in shares of LPL Financial (NASDAQ:LPLA) on 3/27/2026. Purchased $1,001 – $15,000 in shares of DoorDash (NASDAQ:DASH) on 3/27/2026. Sold $1,001 – $15,000 in shares of Viavi Solutions (NASDAQ:VIAV) on 3/27/2026. Purchased $15,001 – $50,000 in shares of Fabrinet (NYSE:FN) on 3/27/2026. Texas Roadhouse Stock Performance NASDAQ TXRH opened at $163.69 on Monday. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. has a 52-week low of $156.00 and a 52-week high of $199.99. The company has a market capitalization of $10.79 billion, a P/E ratio of 26.88, a P/E/G ratio of 1.77 and a beta of 0.88. The company has a fifty day moving average of $174.61 and a 200-day moving average of $173.47.
Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, February 19th. The restaurant operator reported $1.28 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.53 by ($0.25). Texas Roadhouse had a return on equity of 27.88% and a net margin of 6.90%.The company had revenue of $1.48 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $1.50 billion. During the same period in the prior year, the firm posted $1.73 earnings per share. The business’s revenue was up 3.1% on a year-over-year basis. As a group, analysts forecast that Texas Roadhouse, Inc. will post 7.23 EPS for the current fiscal year.
Texas Roadhouse Increases Dividend The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Tuesday, March 31st. Stockholders of record on Tuesday, March 17th were issued a dividend of $0.75 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Tuesday, March 17th. This represents a $3.00 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 1.8%. This is an increase from Texas Roadhouse’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.68. Texas Roadhouse’s payout ratio is presently 49.26%.
Hedge Funds Weigh In On Texas Roadhouse Hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of the company. Oak Thistle LLC purchased a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse in the fourth quarter valued at about $1,553,000. Capital World Investors increased its position in shares of Texas Roadhouse by 580.2% in the third quarter. Capital World Investors now owns 2,236,885 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock valued at $371,658,000 after acquiring an additional 1,908,033 shares during the period. Caprock Group LLC purchased a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse in the third quarter valued at about $1,070,000. Bfsg LLC increased its position in shares of Texas Roadhouse by 111.1% in the third quarter. Bfsg LLC now owns 29,798 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock valued at $4,951,000 after acquiring an additional 15,682 shares during the period. Finally, Cinctive Capital Management LP purchased a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse in the third quarter valued at about $18,915,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 94.82% of the company’s stock.
Insider Transactions at Texas Roadhouse In related news, Director Hugh J. Carroll sold 988 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Monday, March 16th. The shares were sold at an average price of $170.96, for a total transaction of $168,908.48. Following the transaction, the director owned 866 shares in the company, valued at $148,051.36. The trade was a 53.29% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. Also, President Regina A. Tobin sold 4,450 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Thursday, March 19th. The shares were sold at an average price of $171.00, for a total transaction of $760,950.00. Following the transaction, the president owned 13,778 shares in the company, valued at $2,356,038. This represents a 24.41% decrease in their position. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. In the last three months, insiders have sold 17,988 shares of company stock valued at $3,198,144. Company insiders own 0.50% of the company’s stock.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth A number of analysts have recently issued reports on TXRH shares. KeyCorp reaffirmed a “sector weight” rating on shares of Texas Roadhouse in a report on Friday, February 20th. Barclays set a $188.00 price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse in a research note on Friday, February 20th. Mizuho boosted their price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $190.00 to $200.00 and gave the stock an “outperform” rating in a research note on Thursday, February 12th. Citigroup lowered their price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $190.00 to $184.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research note on Friday, February 20th. Finally, Stephens boosted their price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse from $168.00 to $180.00 and gave the stock an “equal weight” rating in a research note on Friday, February 20th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, ten have given a Buy rating and thirteen have issued a Hold rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, Texas Roadhouse presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $196.70.
Check Out Our Latest Stock Analysis on TXRH
About Representative Cisneros Gil Cisneros (Democratic Party) is a member of the U.S. House, representing California’s 31st Congressional District. He assumed office on January 3, 2025. His current term ends on January 3, 2027.
Cisneros (Democratic Party) is running for re-election to the U.S. House to represent California’s 31st Congressional District. He declared candidacy for the 2026 election.
Gil Cisneros served in the U.S. Navy as a supply officer from 1994 to 2004. Cisneros earned a bachelor’s degree in political science from George Washington University in 1994, a master’s in business administration from Regis University in 2002, and a master’s degree in urban education policy from Brown University in 2015. His career experience includes working as a logistics manager for Frito-Lay. In 2010, Cisneros won the lottery and became involved in activism and philanthropy, founding a scholarship program for local high school students. In 2021, President Joe Biden (D) appointed Cisneros as under secretary of defense for personnel and readiness.
Texas Roadhouse Company Profile (Get Free Report)
Texas Roadhouse, Inc is a casual dining restaurant chain specializing in hand‐cut steaks, fall‐off‐the‐bone ribs, chicken, seafood and house specialties. Each restaurant features a Western‐themed décor, open kitchens and a signature line dance presentation of fresh, made‐from‐scratch sides and breads. The company emphasizes an energetic dining experience, focusing on hospitality, value and a family‐friendly environment.
The concept was created in 1993 by founder Kent Taylor, who sought to combine high‐quality steaks with an approachable, community‐oriented atmosphere.
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LUCAS, Texas, April 13, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Legacy 4-H Club of Collin County extends its sincere appreciation to the City of Lucas, surrounding communities, and numerous local businesses for their generous support of the Annual Lucas Founders Day Legacy 4-H Club Silent Auction.
The Club would like to specifically thank the City of Lucas, including Mayor Kuykendall, the City Council-members, and the City’s dedicated staff for their continued encouragement and partnership in making this annual fundraiser a success.
The Legacy 4-H Club also gratefully acknowledges the following businesses for their outstanding support (listed in alphabetical order):
Arcade 92 McKinney
Buff City Soap Allen
Chicken N Pickle Allen
Chick-fil-A Allen
Cindy's School of Dance Allen
D&L Farm and Home McKinney
First Watch Allen (NASDAQ: FWRG)
Harvest at the Masonic McKinney
JB's Allen Bowl Allen
Kelly's at the Village Craft Tavern Allen
Kendra Scott Watters Creek
Lovejoy High School Athletic Department
Outback Steakhouse Allen (NASDAQ: BLMN)
Painting With a Twist McKinney
Pei Wei Asian Kitchen Allen
Pittenger, Nuspl, & Crumly Law Firm Allen
Rick's Chophouse McKinney
Rocky Creek Candle Company Fairview
Rosa's Cafe Allen
Rosati's Chicago Pizza McKinney
Square Burger McKinney
Tangerine Salon Allen
Texas Legends Gun Range and Training Center Allen
Texas Rangers (NYSE: MSGS)
Texas Roadhouse McKinney (NASDAQ: TXRH)
The Common Table McKinney
The Stix Icehouse McKinney
Total Wine & More
Trader Joe's Allen
Van Der Bourght Photography
Whole Foods Market Fairview (NASDAQ: AMZN)
WorldSprings The Colony
The Club also recognizes and thanks its dedicated Legacy 4-H members whose hard work and commitment were instrumental in organizing and executing this important fundraiser.
Proceeds from the silent auction directly support youth development, leadership programs, and community service initiatives led by the Legacy 4-H Club. The continued support from local partners and community members plays a vital role in empowering the next generation of leaders.
The Legacy 4-H Club is proud to be part of such a generous and engaged community and looks forward to continuing its mission with the support of its valued partners.
About The Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service
The Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service provides training, publications, apps and programs to bring Texans the latest research in agriculture, natural resources and life sciences.
The Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service is a unique education agency with a statewide network of professional educators, trained volunteers, and county offices.
For over 100 years, the agency has improved lives across Texas by delivering innovative science-based solutions and education at the intersection of health, agriculture and environment in communities across the state.
Today, the Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service continues the legacy of service, bringing together traditional outreach and modernized tools to reach Texans right where they are.
For further information, please go to https://agrilifeextension.tamu.edu/counties/collin-county/
About 4-H
4-H is a community of young people across America who are learning leadership, citizenship and life skills. 4-H is about having fun, learning, exploring and discovering. In 4-H, young people make new friends, develop new skills, become leaders and help shape their communities.
Texas 4-H is a club for kids in 3rd – 12th grade, with programs for K-2. From food science and robotics to fashion design and photography, there’s a 4-H activity for everyone. Find a club near you to start making friends, learn new skills, and be a better you!
For further information, please go to https://collincounty4-h.weebly.com/
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc. purchased a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH – Free Report) during the fourth quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor purchased 10,058 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock, valued at approximately $1,670,000.
A number of other large investors have also bought and sold shares of TXRH. Princeton Global Asset Management LLC bought a new position in Texas Roadhouse in the 4th quarter valued at $31,000. Measured Wealth Private Client Group LLC bought a new stake in shares of Texas Roadhouse during the third quarter worth $33,000. Root Financial Partners LLC acquired a new position in shares of Texas Roadhouse during the third quarter valued at $36,000. Salomon & Ludwin LLC lifted its stake in shares of Texas Roadhouse by 37.2% during the third quarter. Salomon & Ludwin LLC now owns 299 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock valued at $50,000 after acquiring an additional 81 shares during the period. Finally, LRI Investments LLC lifted its stake in shares of Texas Roadhouse by 100.0% during the third quarter. LRI Investments LLC now owns 300 shares of the restaurant operator’s stock valued at $50,000 after acquiring an additional 150 shares during the period. 94.82% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.
Insider Transactions at Texas Roadhouse In other Texas Roadhouse news, President Regina A. Tobin sold 4,450 shares of the stock in a transaction on Thursday, March 19th. The shares were sold at an average price of $171.00, for a total value of $760,950.00. Following the sale, the president directly owned 13,778 shares in the company, valued at approximately $2,356,038. This trade represents a 24.41% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, Director Hugh J. Carroll sold 988 shares of Texas Roadhouse stock in a transaction on Monday, March 16th. The stock was sold at an average price of $170.96, for a total transaction of $168,908.48. Following the transaction, the director directly owned 866 shares in the company, valued at approximately $148,051.36. This represents a 53.29% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. In the last three months, insiders have sold 17,988 shares of company stock valued at $3,198,144. Corporate insiders own 0.50% of the company’s stock.
Wall Street Analyst Weigh In Several equities analysts have recently issued reports on the company. BTIG Research reaffirmed a “buy” rating and set a $200.00 price target on shares of Texas Roadhouse in a research note on Friday, February 20th. Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a “buy (b-)” rating on shares of Texas Roadhouse in a research note on Monday, December 29th. Truist Financial cut their price target on Texas Roadhouse from $188.00 to $186.00 and set a “hold” rating on the stock in a research note on Friday, February 20th. Citigroup cut their price target on Texas Roadhouse from $190.00 to $184.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a research note on Friday, February 20th. Finally, Zacks Research raised Texas Roadhouse from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Thursday, January 8th. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, ten have issued a Buy rating and thirteen have assigned a Hold rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $195.67.
Check Out Our Latest Stock Analysis on Texas Roadhouse
Texas Roadhouse Trading Up 3.2% NASDAQ:TXRH opened at $165.08 on Friday. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. has a 1-year low of $156.00 and a 1-year high of $199.99. The firm has a market capitalization of $10.88 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.11, a PEG ratio of 1.74 and a beta of 0.88. The business’s 50-day moving average price is $172.32 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $173.35.
Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH – Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Thursday, February 19th. The restaurant operator reported $1.28 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $1.53 by ($0.25). The company had revenue of $1.48 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $1.50 billion. Texas Roadhouse had a return on equity of 27.88% and a net margin of 6.90%.Texas Roadhouse’s quarterly revenue was up 3.1% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the firm posted $1.73 earnings per share. Sell-side analysts predict that Texas Roadhouse, Inc. will post 7.23 earnings per share for the current year.
Texas Roadhouse Increases Dividend The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Tuesday, March 31st. Investors of record on Tuesday, March 17th were issued a dividend of $0.75 per share. This is an increase from Texas Roadhouse’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.68. This represents a $3.00 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 1.8%. The ex-dividend date was Tuesday, March 17th. Texas Roadhouse’s dividend payout ratio is presently 49.26%.
Texas Roadhouse Company Profile (Free Report)
Texas Roadhouse, Inc is a casual dining restaurant chain specializing in hand‐cut steaks, fall‐off‐the‐bone ribs, chicken, seafood and house specialties. Each restaurant features a Western‐themed décor, open kitchens and a signature line dance presentation of fresh, made‐from‐scratch sides and breads. The company emphasizes an energetic dining experience, focusing on hospitality, value and a family‐friendly environment.
The concept was created in 1993 by founder Kent Taylor, who sought to combine high‐quality steaks with an approachable, community‐oriented atmosphere.
Featured Stories Five stocks we like better than Texas Roadhouse Want to see what other hedge funds are holding TXRH? Visit HoldingsChannel.com to get the latest 13F filings and insider trades for Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH – Free Report).
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Texas Roadhouse, Inc. maintains strong fundamentals, robust cash flow, and consistent dividend growth despite recent stock underperformance and a premium valuation. TXRH's same-store sales grew 4.9% in 2025, driven by 2.8% foot traffic growth, outperforming fast-casual peers in a challenging macro environment. Valuation metrics show TXRH trades at a 30% premium to fair value, with a forward P/E of 26.27 and a forward EV/EBITDA of 16.31.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH - Free Report) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.
The earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 7, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.
While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise.
Zacks Consensus EstimateThis restaurant chain is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.86 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +9.4%.
Revenues are expected to be $1.64 billion, up 13% from the year-ago quarter.
Estimate Revisions TrendThe consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 1.32% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period.
Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.
Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Earnings WhisperEstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction).
The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.
Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.
A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP.
Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).
How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Texas Roadhouse?For Texas Roadhouse, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -0.47%.
On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3.
So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Texas Roadhouse will beat the consensus EPS estimate.
Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.
For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Texas Roadhouse would post earnings of $1.53 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.28, delivering a surprise of -16.34%.
The company has not been able to beat consensus EPS estimates in any of the last four quarters.
Bottom LineAn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss.
That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
Texas Roadhouse doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release.
Expected Results of an Industry PlayerAmong the stocks in the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry, Dutch Bros (BROS - Free Report) , is soon expected to post earnings of $0.16 per share for the quarter ended March 2026. This estimate indicates a year-over-year change of +14.3%. This quarter's revenue is expected to be $447.25 million, up 25.9% from the year-ago quarter.
Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for Dutch Bros has been revised 0.8% up to the current level. Nevertheless, the company now has an Earnings ESP of +2.85%, reflecting a higher Most Accurate Estimate.
When combined with a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), this Earnings ESP indicates that Dutch Bros will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.
Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.75 per Share May 07, 2026 16:03 ET | Source: Texas Roadhouse, Inc
LOUISVILLE, Ky., May 07, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NasdaqGS: TXRH), today announced financial results for the 13 weeks ended March 31, 2026.
Financial Results
Financial results for the 13 weeks ended March 31, 2026 and April 1, 2025 were as follows:
13 Weeks Ended($000's, except per share amounts) March 31, 2026 April 1, 2025 % changeTotal revenue $1,633,166 $1,447,648 12.8%Income from operations 146,341 134,733 8.6%Net income 123,433 113,662 8.6%Diluted earnings per share $1.87 $1.70 9.6% Results at company restaurants for the 13 weeks ended March 31, 2026, as compared to the prior year as applicable, included the following:
Comparable restaurant sales increased 7.1% and store weeks increased 5.7%;Average weekly sales were $174,151 of which $25,374 were to-go sales as compared to average weekly sales of $163,071 of which $22,146 were to-go sales in the prior year;Restaurant margin dollars increased 10.5% to $264.4 million from $239.3 million in the prior year primarily due to higher sales. Restaurant margin, as a percentage of restaurant and other sales, decreased 36 basis points to 16.3% as commodity inflation of 6.2% and wage and other labor inflation of 3.8% were partially offset by higher sales;Diluted earnings per share increased 9.6% primarily driven by higher restaurant margin dollars and the impact of share repurchases partially offset by higher depreciation and amortization expenses and higher general and administrative expenses;Four company restaurants and two franchise restaurants were opened; andCapital allocation spend included capital expenditures of $80.2 million, franchise acquisitions of $71.8 million, dividends of $49.4 million, and repurchases of common stock of $28.2 million. Jerry Morgan, Chief Executive Officer of Texas Roadhouse, Inc., commented, “We kicked off 2026 with terrific momentum, thanks to the hard work and discipline of all our operators. Our strong traffic trends continue to fuel sales growth, and it’s clear that our commitment to delivering a legendary experience is appreciated by our guests.”
Morgan added, “On the development front, we have already opened seven company restaurants so far this year and currently have an additional 22 under construction. Our focus on new store development and strategic franchise acquisitions, along with our disciplined approach to capital allocation, has us positioned for sustained growth and ensuring we continue to generate long-term value for our shareholders.”
2026 Outlook
Comparable restaurant sales at company restaurants for the first five weeks of the second quarter of our 2026 fiscal year increased 6.5% compared to 2025. In addition, the Company implemented a menu price increase of approximately 1.9% in early April.
Management updated the following expectations for 2026:
Commodity inflation of 6% to 7%.
Management reiterated the following expectations for 2026:
Positive comparable restaurant sales growth, including the benefit of menu pricing actions;Store week growth of 5% to 6%, including the benefit from franchise acquisitions;Wage and other labor inflation of 3% to 4%;An effective income tax rate of 14% to 15%; andTotal capital expenditures of approximately $400 million.
Cash Dividend Payment
On May 6, 2026, the Company’s Board of Directors approved the payment of a quarterly cash dividend of $0.75 per share of common stock. This payment will be distributed on June 30, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on June 2, 2026.
Non-GAAP Measures
The Company prepares the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). Within the press release, the Company makes reference to restaurant margin (in dollars, as a percentage of restaurant and other sales, and per store week). Restaurant margin represents restaurant and other sales less restaurant-level operating costs, including food and beverage costs, labor, rent, and other operating costs. Restaurant margin should not be considered in isolation, or as an alternative, to income from operations. This non-GAAP measure is not indicative of overall company performance and profitability in that this measure does not accrue directly to the benefit of shareholders due to the nature of the costs excluded. Restaurant margin is widely regarded as a useful metric by which to evaluate core restaurant-level operating efficiency and performance over various reporting periods on a consistent basis. In calculating restaurant margin, the Company excludes certain non-restaurant-level costs that support operations, but do not have a direct impact on restaurant-level operational efficiency and performance, including pre-opening and general and administrative expenses. The Company excludes pre-opening expenses as they occur at irregular intervals and would impact comparability to prior period results. The Company excludes depreciation and amortization expenses, substantially all of which relate to restaurant-level assets, as they represent a non-cash charge for the investment in restaurants. The Company excludes impairment and closure expenses as it believes this provides a clearer perspective of ongoing operating performance and a more useful comparison to prior period results. Restaurant margin as presented may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies in the industry. A reconciliation of income from operations to restaurant margin is included in the accompanying financial tables.
Conference Call
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is hosting a conference call today, May 7, 2026, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time to discuss these results. The call will be webcast live from the investor relations portion of the Company’s website at www.texasroadhouse.com. Listeners may also access the call by dialing (888) 440-5667 or (646) 960-0476 for international calls and referencing the Texas Roadhouse, Inc. First Quarter 2026 Earnings. A replay of the call will be available until May 14, 2026, by dialing (800) 770-2030 or (609) 800-9909 for international calls and using conference ID 7714420.
About the Company
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is a growing restaurant company operating predominantly in the casual dining segment that first opened in 1993 and today has grown to over 820 restaurants system-wide in 49 states, one U.S. territory, and ten foreign countries. For more information, please visit the Company’s Web site at www.texasroadhouse.com.
Forward-looking Statements
Certain statements in this release are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of the management of the Company. Actual results may vary materially from those contained in forward-looking statements based on a number of factors including, without limitation, conditions beyond management’s control such as weather, natural disasters, disease outbreaks, epidemics, or pandemics impacting customers or food supplies; labor or supply chain shortages or limited availability of staff or product needed to meet the Company’s business standards; changes in consumer discretionary spending and macroeconomic conditions, including inflationary pressures and the impact of tariffs; food safety and food-borne illness concerns; and other factors disclosed from time to time in the Company’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. These factors include but are not limited to those described under “Part I—Item 1A. Risk Factors” of the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 30, 2025. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Investors should take such risks into account when making investment decisions. Shareholders and other readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, except as required by applicable law.
Contacts: Investor RelationsMediaMichael BailenMegan Pence(502) 515-7298(502) 461-1878 Texas Roadhouse, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
(in thousands, except per share data)
(unaudited) 13 Weeks Ended March 31, 2026 April 1, 2025Revenue: Restaurant and other sales $1,626,689 $1,440,342Royalties and franchise fees 6,477 7,306Total revenue 1,633,166 1,447,648Costs and expenses: Restaurant operating costs (excluding depreciation and amortization shown separately below): Food and beverage 574,302 490,991Labor 534,619 479,975Rent 24,713 22,477Other operating 228,626 207,615Pre-opening 6,636 6,812Depreciation and amortization 56,843 48,800Impairment and closure, net — 28General and administrative 61,086 56,217Total costs and expenses 1,486,825 1,312,915Income from operations 146,341 134,733Interest income, net 545 1,301Equity income from investments in unconsolidated affiliates 144 225Income before taxes 147,030 136,259Income tax expense 21,035 20,200Net income including noncontrolling interests 125,995 116,059Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests 2,562 2,397Net income attributable to Texas Roadhouse, Inc. and subsidiaries $123,433 $113,662 Net income per common share attributable to Texas Roadhouse, Inc. and subsidiaries: Basic $1.87 $1.71Diluted $1.87 $1.70Weighted average shares outstanding: Basic 65,921 66,485Diluted 66,120 66,714Cash dividends declared per share $0.75 $0.68 Texas Roadhouse, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in thousands)
(unaudited) March 31, 2026 December 30, 2025Cash and cash equivalents $214,561 $134,709Other current assets, net 147,860 316,767Property and equipment, net 1,834,692 1,803,841Operating lease right-of-use assets, net 912,787 879,521Goodwill 275,036 242,220Intangible assets, net 28,622 17,742Other assets 161,172 154,672Total assets $3,574,730 $3,549,472 Current liabilities 788,841 908,837Operating lease liabilities, net of current portion 972,478 943,070Other liabilities 275,025 215,863Texas Roadhouse, Inc. and subsidiaries stockholders’ equity 1,516,957 1,460,820Noncontrolling interests 21,429 20,882Total liabilities and equity $3,574,730 $3,549,472 Texas Roadhouse, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(in thousands)
(unaudited) 13 Weeks Ended March 31, 2026 April 1, 2025Cash flows from operating activities: Net income including noncontrolling interests $125,995 $116,059 Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities Depreciation and amortization 56,843 48,800 Share-based compensation expense 13,456 12,550 Deferred income taxes 6,286 (4,347)Other noncash adjustments, net 778 1,544 Change in working capital, net of acquisitions 55,722 63,134 Net cash provided by operating activities 259,080 237,740 Cash flows from investing activities: Capital expenditures - property and equipment (80,165) (77,389)Acquisitions of franchise restaurants, net of cash acquired (71,778) (78,297)Other investing activities, net 5,190 129 Net cash used in investing activities (146,753) (155,557)Cash flows from financing activities: Proceeds from revolving credit facility, net 50,000 — Repurchase of shares of common stock, including excise taxes as applicable (28,195) (50,151)Dividends paid to shareholders (49,407) (45,171)Other financing activities, net (4,873) (11,001)Net cash used in financing activities (32,475) (106,323)Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 79,852 (24,140)Cash and cash equivalents - beginning of period 134,709 245,225 Cash and cash equivalents - end of period $214,561 $221,085 Texas Roadhouse, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Reconciliation of Income from Operations to Restaurant Margin
($ in thousands)
(unaudited) 13 Weeks Ended March 31, 2026 April 1, 2025Income from operations $146,341 $134,733 Less: Royalties and franchise fees 6,477 7,306 Add: Pre-opening 6,636 6,812 Depreciation and amortization 56,843 48,800 Impairment and closure, net — 28 General and administrative 61,086 56,217 Restaurant margin $264,429 $239,284 Restaurant margin(as a percentage of restaurant and other sales) 16.3% 16.6% Texas Roadhouse, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Supplemental Financial and Operating Information
($ amounts in thousands, except restaurant margin $ per
store week and weekly sales by group)
(unaudited) 13 Weeks Ended March 31, 2026 April 1, 2025 ChangeCompany restaurants (all concepts) Restaurant and other sales $1,626,689 $1,440,342 12.9%Store weeks 9,376 8,870 5.7%Comparable restaurant sales (1) 7.1% 3.5% Restaurant operating costs (as a % of restaurant and other sales) Food and beverage costs 35.3% 34.1%(122) bps Labor 32.9% 33.3%46 bps Rent 1.5% 1.6%4 bps Other operating 14.0% 14.4%36 bps Total 83.7% 83.4% Restaurant margin % 16.3% 16.6%(36) bps Restaurant margin $ $264,429 $239,284 10.5%Restaurant margin $/Store week $28,203 $26,977 4.5% Texas Roadhouse restaurants only: Store weeks 8,518 8,111 5.0%Comparable restaurant sales (1) 7.5% 3.5% Average unit volume (2) $2,341 $2,190 6.9%Weekly sales by group: Comparable restaurants (619 and 580 units) $181,030 $169,279 6.9%Average unit volume restaurants (23 and 28 units) $155,344 $138,192 12.4%Restaurants less than 6 months old (15 and 21 units) $168,119 $157,237 6.9% Bubba’s 33 restaurants only: Store weeks 728 642 13.4%Comparable restaurant sales (1) 0.9% 3.9% Average unit volume (2) $1,610 $1,592 1.1%Weekly sales by group: Comparable restaurants (48 and 41 units) $123,624 $123,117 0.4%Average unit volume restaurants (4 and 7 units) $126,645 $118,709 6.7%Restaurants less than 6 months old (4 and 2 units) $148,448 $145,011 2.4% Texas Roadhouse franchise restaurants only: Store weeks 1,188 1,295 (8.3)%Comparable restaurant sales 6.3% 4.7% _______________
(1) Comparable restaurant sales reflect the change in sales for all company restaurants across all concepts, unless otherwise noted, over the same period of the prior year for restaurants open a full 18 months before the beginning of the period, excluding sales from restaurants permanently closed during the period, if applicable.
(2) Average unit volume includes sales from restaurants open for a full six months before the beginning of the period, excluding sales from restaurants permanently closed during the period, if applicable. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Restaurant Unit Activity
(unaudited) 13 Weeks Ended March 31, 2026April 1, 2025ChangeRestaurant openings Company - Texas Roadhouse 4 7 (3)Company - Bubba’s 33 — 1 (1)Company - Jaggers — — — Total company restaurants 4 8 (4) Franchise - Jaggers - Domestic 1 — 1 Franchise - Texas Roadhouse - Int'l (1) 1 — 1 Total franchise restaurants 2 — 2 Total restaurants 6 8 (2) Restaurant acquisitions/dispositions Company - Texas Roadhouse 5 14 (9)Franchise - Texas Roadhouse - Domestic (5)(14)9 Restaurants open at the end of the quarter Company - Texas Roadhouse 657 629 28 Company - Bubba’s 33 56 50 6 Company - Jaggers 10 9 1 Total company restaurants 723 688 35 Franchise - Texas Roadhouse - Domestic 31 42 (11)Franchise - Jaggers - Domestic 6 4 2 Franchise - Texas Roadhouse - Int'l (1) 61 57 4 Franchise - Jaggers - Int'l 1 1 — Total franchise restaurants 99 104 (5) Total restaurants 822 792 30 _______________(1) Includes a U.S. territory.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH - Free Report) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.87 per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate . This compares to earnings of $1.7 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +0.13%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this restaurant chain would post earnings of $1.53 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.28, delivering a surprise of -16.34%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once.
Texas Roadhouse, which belongs to the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry, posted revenues of $1.63 billion for the quarter ended March 2026, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.06%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $1.45 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Texas Roadhouse shares have lost about 3.8% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 7.6%.
What's Next for Texas Roadhouse?While Texas Roadhouse has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Texas Roadhouse was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.75 on $1.67 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $6.33 on $6.54 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Retail - Restaurants is currently in the bottom 26% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Wendy's (WEN - Free Report) , another stock in the same industry, has yet to report results for the quarter ended March 2026. The results are expected to be released on May 8.
This hamburger chain is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.10 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -50%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 2.9% lower over the last 30 days to the current level.
Wendy's' revenues are expected to be $525.51 million, up 0.4% from the year-ago quarter.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH - Free Report) reported $1.63 billion in revenue for the quarter ended March 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.8%. EPS of $1.87 for the same period compares to $1.70 a year ago.
The reported revenue represents a surprise of -0.06% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.63 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.87, the EPS surprise was +0.13%.
While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.
Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.
Here is how Texas Roadhouse performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
Comparable restaurant sales growth - Company restaurants: 7.1% versus 7% estimated by six analysts on average.Restaurants at the end - Company - Total: 723 compared to the 727 average estimate based on five analysts.Franchise-owned restaurants-Comparable restaurant sales growth: 6.3% versus 6% estimated by five analysts on average.Number of restaurants opened - Franchise: 2 versus 2 estimated by four analysts on average.Store weeks - Franchise restaurants: 1,188 compared to the 1,289 average estimate based on four analysts.Store weeks - Company restaurants: 9,376 versus 9,373 estimated by four analysts on average.Restaurants at the end - Franchise - Total: 99 versus the four-analyst average estimate of 99.Restaurants at the end - Total: 822 versus 826 estimated by four analysts on average.Number of restaurants opened - Company: 4 versus 8 estimated by four analysts on average.Restaurants at the end - Company - Jaggers: 10 versus the three-analyst average estimate of 11.Revenue- Franchise royalties and fees: $6.48 million versus the six-analyst average estimate of $7.98 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of -11.4%.Revenue- Restaurant and other sales: $1.63 billion versus $1.63 billion estimated by six analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +12.9% change.View all Key Company Metrics for Texas Roadhouse here>>>
Shares of Texas Roadhouse have returned -4.3% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11.4% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) has reached its one-year low, supporting my previous hold rating, amid the recent market correction. Despite ongoing uncertainty, TXRH's robust fundamentals remain evident and sustained, offering potential for investors at current levels. Valuation for TXRH now appears more reasonable, making the stock potentially attractive at its one-year low.
Roots (TSE:ROOT) reported higher first-quarter sales for fiscal 2026 as growth in its direct-to-consumer business and partner channels helped offset pressure from temporary gross margin headwinds and higher project-related expenses. President and Chief Executive Officer Meghan Roach said the compan
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On May 11, 2026, Texas Roadhouse Inc TXRH shares rose 3.5%, bringing the current price to $183.54. The stock has experienced a 52-week range of $153.83 to $199.99, indicating strong volatility and investor interest in recent months.
GF Value™ verdict: The current price of $183.54 is 5.1% below the GF Value™ estimate of $193.32, suggesting that the stock is undervalued.GF Score™ of 94/100 indicates a strong overall rating, reflecting solid fundamentals and growth potential.Notable signal: Insider activity shows that insiders sold $2.2 million worth of shares in the last 3 months, with no buying activity. Is TXRH Overvalued or Undervalued? Currently, Texas Roadhouse's stock price of $183.54 is below its GF Value™ of $193.32, which produces a margin of safety of 5.1%. This valuation indicates that the stock may present an opportunity for investors looking for potential gains. The GF Valuation label describes the stock as fairly valued, but given the current price, it suggests an undervalued position. It’s important to consider the risks associated with investing in undervalued stocks, such as market volatility and changes in consumer behavior.
GF Value™ is GuruFocus' proprietary measure of intrinsic value, calculated from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates. Therefore, the current price being lower than the intrinsic value could attract attention from value investors, although caution is warranted due to broader market conditions.
How Does TXRH's Valuation Compare to Its History? Metric Current Historical P/E (TTM) 29.3x 26.5x Forward P/E 28.9x N/A The current P/E ratio of 29.3x is 11% above its 5-year median P/E of 26.5x, indicating that the stock is trading at a premium compared to its historical valuation. This analysis aligns with the GF Value™ verdict that suggests the stock is undervalued, providing a nuanced perspective for potential investors.
What Does TXRH's GF Score™ Tell Us? Metric Rating GF Score™ 94 Financial Strength 6/10 Profitability 9/10 Growth 9/10 Valuation 10/10 Momentum 7/10 The GF Score™ of 94/100 indicates that Texas Roadhouse is strong in multiple aspects, particularly in Valuation, where it scored 10/10. Profitability and Growth are also strong, with scores of 9/10 each. However, Financial Strength received a lower score of 6/10, suggesting that while the company has excellent profitability and growth potential, it may face some challenges regarding its financial stability. Overall, the high GF Score™ reflects a solid investment profile, but attention should be given to the areas of concern.
What Are Insiders Doing with TXRH Stock? In the past three months, insiders have sold $2.2 million worth of Texas Roadhouse stock, with no buying activity reported. This pattern may suggest a lack of confidence among insiders regarding the stock's near-term prospects, as they have opted to liquidate their holdings. While insider selling can sometimes indicate potential issues within the company or its future performance, it is essential to look at the broader context before drawing conclusions.
What This Means for Investors Based on the current GF Value™ assessment, Texas Roadhouse Inc TXRH is considered undervalued, presenting potential opportunities for investors looking to capitalize on its growth and profitability prospects, despite some caution warranted by recent insider selling activity.
For the complete analysis, visit the Texas Roadhouse Inc TXRH stock page. You can also explore the GF Value™ page for detailed valuation methodology, or use the GuruFocus Stock Screener to find similar opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions What is TXRH's GF Score™?
The GF Score™ for Texas Roadhouse Inc is 94/100, indicating a strong investment profile that has been linked to higher long-term returns based on backtested data.
Is TXRH overvalued or undervalued?
Texas Roadhouse Inc is currently considered undervalued, with a GF Value™ of $193.32 compared to the current price of $183.54, suggesting potential for price appreciation.
What is TXRH's P/E ratio?
The P/E ratio (TTM) for Texas Roadhouse is 29.3x, which is 11% above its 5-year median P/E of 26.5x, indicating the stock is trading at a premium compared to its historical valuation.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
Texas Roadhouse delivered a standout Q1, with accelerating same-store sales, robust traffic growth, and continued market share gains over Outback and LongHorn. Despite elevated beef costs pressuring margins, TXRH's value-focused strategy and in-house steak cutting support resilient unit economics and industry-leading traffic. I maintain a Buy rating with a $190 price target, underpinned by strong FCF, disciplined capital allocation, and potential for further expansion.
McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD | MCD Price Prediction) is dominating restaurant-sector headlines after a Q1 beat that pushed global comparable sales back to +3.8% and validated CEO Chris Kempczinski’s value-menu reset.
But here’s what you should actually be watching.
The Hot Trade Is Already Cooling The pullback has already started. Shares are down more than 10% in the past month and nearly as much year to date. The bull thesis, durable value leadership in a tough consumer environment, depends on three things that do not hold up.
First, the headline growth was flattered by currency. Q1 revenue of $6.52 billion (+9.4% YoY) included a $313 million favorable FX tailwind from a stronger Euro. Strip that out and the company looks like what it actually is: a low-single-digit grower. FY2025 revenue rose just 3.72%.
Second, the balance sheet is not what a retirement investor assumes. Shareholders’ equity sits at -$1.791 billion, a deficit produced by years of debt-funded buybacks. Interest expense is guided to rise 4-6% in 2026, even as management commits to $3.70 to $3.90 billion in capex and roughly 2,600 new restaurants.
Third, the value-menu pivot that revived U.S. traffic is exquisitely sensitive to gas prices. The McDonald’s customer drives to the drive-thru, and rising fuel costs eat directly into the spare change that fills the $5 Meal Deal lane. Management has already flagged tariffs and commodity price volatility as risks. A 23x trailing P/E for a 3-4% organic grower with negative equity prices in a crowded defensive trade rerating in slow motion.
The Redirect: Texas Roadhouse Move your attention to Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH), up 11.05% YTD and 17.74% in the past week alone after its Q1 report. Three reasons it deserves the seat McDonald’s is being asked to give up.
1. Comp sales nearly double McDonald’s. Q1 comparable restaurant sales grew 7.1%, and the first five weeks of Q2 are already tracking +6.5%. Average weekly sales climbed to $174,151 from $163,071. Traffic is driving the gains; the menu price increase was a modest 1.9% implemented in April.
2. Real unit growth backed by operations. The system stands at 822 restaurants with seven company stores opened YTD, 22 under construction, and five franchise acquisitions for $71.8 million in Q1. McDonald’s is opening stores into a market it already saturated.
3. A clean balance sheet funding rising returns. Book value sits at $22.15 per share, positive and growing. The board just raised the quarterly dividend to $0.75, payable June 30, 2026, on top of $150 million in FY2025 buybacks. CEO Jerry Morgan said it plainly: “Our strong traffic trends continue to fuel sales growth.”
Even Nike (NYSE:NKE), the other consumer-discretionary redemption story analysts are pushing, is down 33.02% YTD with net income falling 35% last quarter. Texas Roadhouse is already working, no “middle innings” explanation required.
The takeaway: On the current data, Texas Roadhouse screens as the stronger fundamental story heading into the next quarter, while McDonald’s valuation reflects a defensive trade that is already unwinding.
Pre-Market Stock Futures: Futures are trading sharply lower as we get set to end one of the most exciting weeks on Wall Street in 25 years. Positive meetings in China with President Trump, who brought his CEO contingent and Elon Musk, and President Xi, massive upside earnings and forward guidance from an OG tech and legacy giant Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO | CSCO Price Prediction), and some new all-time highs paved the way for a big Thursday. When all the dust settled, all of the major indices finished the day higher, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average blew through 50,000 to finish up 0.75% at 50,063, while the S&P 500 captured its first close above 7500, at 7,501, up 0.77%. The Nasdaq printed another sparkling day, last seen up 0.88% at 26,635, and the small-cap-heavy Russell 2000 finished the session strong, closing at 2,863, up 0.67%.
Treasury Bonds: Yields were mixed across the Treasury curve as bond traders, still smarting from the double-whammy inflation reports this week, were sellers of the 1 to 10-year maturities and modest buyers of the very short and long end of the curve. The 30-year long bond closed the day at 5.03% while the 10-year note was last seen at 4.49%. That level for the 10-year is getting close to a yield where we at 24/7 Wall St. think investors could get very interested in government debt. We would likely start nibbling at a 4.75% handle and be aggressive buyers at 5%.
Oil and Gas: Prices were modestly higher for the energy complex, as traders are likely closely watching whether President Trump would succeed in convincing President Xi to lean on Tehran over the ongoing Iran conflict, which has thrown global energy supplies into turmoil. With the summer driving season only a few weeks away, a settlement to reopen and make the Strait of Hormuz passable would be huge. As we have noted before, a peace agreement will cause prices to plummet, but the baseline oil price will be higher than anticipated going forward. Brent Crude closed Thursday at $106.60, up 0.95%, while West Texas Intermediate closed at $102.10, up 1.05%. Natural gas was last seen at $2.92, up 1.78%.
Gold: After a solid week for precious metals, Gold and Silver prices closed lower. The combination of a stronger U.S. dollar, reduced expectations for interest rate cuts, and investor caution ahead of the ongoing key political meetings with President Xi in China. Gold finished the day at $4,651, down 0.79%, while Silver finished the day at $83.36, down 4.58%.
Crypto:
The cryptocurrency market saw a solid, bullish sentiment surge, likely heavily influenced by regulatory progress from the Senate Banking Committee, which voted 15-9 to advance the Clarity Act, a landmark bill aimed at establishing a regulatory framework for digital assets in the US. At 8 AM EDT, Bitcoin was trading at $80,580, while Ethereum was last seen at $2,267.
24/7 Wall St. reviews dozens of analyst research reports daily to identify new investment ideas for both investors and traders. Some of these daily analyst calls cover stocks to buy. Other calls cover stocks to sell or avoid. Remember that no single analyst call should ever be used as a basis to buy or sell a stock.
Here are some of the top Wall Street analyst upgrades, downgrades, and initiations seen on Friday, May 15, 2026.
Upgrades: Arista Networks (NYSE: ANET) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Raymond James, which has set a $164 target price for the shares. BWX Technologies (NYSE: BWXT) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank, which lifted the price target for the stock to $255 from $205. Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at HSBC, with a $137 target price for the legacy tech giant. Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, which lifted the target price for the popular restaurant chain to $210 from $180. Timken (NYSE: TKR) was raised to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan, which raised the price target to $130 from $110. Downgrades: Allegion (NYSE: ALLE) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan, which dropped the price target for the company to $150 for $170. Doximity (NYSE: DOCS) was downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays, with a $20 target price. StoneCo (NASDAQ: STNE) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup, which dropped the price target for the stock to $11 from $16. Viking Holdings (NYSE: VIK) was downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley, which actually bumped the target price for the stock to $86 from $81. Workday (NASDAQ: WDAY) was cut to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup, without a target price. Initiations: Danaher (NYSE: DHR) was resumed in coverage with an Outperform rating at RBC Capital, with a $200 target price objective. Estee Lauder Companies (NYSE: EL) was assumed in coverage at Piper Sandler with an Overweight rating and a $95 target for the cosmetics and perfume giant. Illumina (NASDAQ: ILMN) was resumed in coverage with an Outperform rating at RBC Capital, with a $170 target price.
Unity Bancorp (NASDAQ: UNTY) was reinstated with a Buy rating at DA Davidson with a $68 target price. Vertiv Holdings (NYSE: VRT) was initiated with a Buy rating at Loop Capital, with a $500 target price.
Two factors often determine stock prices in the long run: earnings and interest rates. Investors can't control the latter, but they can focus on a company's earnings results every quarter.
The earnings figure itself is key, of course, but a beat or miss on the bottom line can sometimes be just as, if not more, important. Therefore, investors should consider paying close attention to these earnings surprises, as a big beat can help a stock climb and vice versa.
Hunting for 'earnings whispers' or companies poised to beat their quarterly earnings estimates is a somewhat common practice. But that doesn't make it easy. One way that has been proven to work is by using the Zacks Earnings ESP tool.
The Zacks Earnings ESP, ExplainedThe Zacks Earnings ESP, or Expected Surprise Prediction, aims to find earnings surprises by focusing on the most recent analyst revisions. The basic premise is that if an analyst reevaluates their earnings estimate ahead of an earnings release, it means they likely have new information that could possibly be more accurate.
The core of the ESP model is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, where the resulting percentage difference between the two equals the Expected Surprise Prediction. The Zacks Rank is also factored into the ESP metric to better help find companies that appear poised to top their next bottom-line consensus estimate, which will hopefully help lift the stock price.
Bringing together a positive earnings ESP alongside a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better has helped stocks report a positive earnings surprise 70% of the time. Furthermore, by using these parameters, investors have seen 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.
Stocks with a #3 (Hold) ranking, which is most stocks covered at 60%, are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. But stocks that fall into the #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) ranking, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market. Strong Buy stocks should outperform more than any other rank.
Should You Consider Ross Stores?The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. Ross Stores (ROST - Free Report) earns a #3 (Hold) six days from its next quarterly earnings release on May 21, 2026, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $1.73 a share.
By taking the percentage difference between the $1.73 Most Accurate Estimate and the $1.66 Zacks Consensus Estimate, Ross Stores has an Earnings ESP of +4.17%. Investors should also know that ROST is one of a large group of stocks with positive ESPs. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
ROST is part of a big group of Retail and Wholesale stocks that boast a positive ESP, and investors may want to take a look at Texas Roadhouse (TXRH - Free Report) as well.
Texas Roadhouse, which is readying to report earnings on August 6, 2026, sits at a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) right now. Its Most Accurate Estimate is currently $1.87 a share, and TXRH is 83 days out from its next earnings report.
For Texas Roadhouse, the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.84 is +1.74%.
ROST and TXRH's positive ESP metrics may signal that a positive earnings surprise for both stocks is on the horizon.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're ReportedUse the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>
Choosing between a global coffee powerhouse and a domestic dining favorite depends on your preference for scale versus growth. We compare Starbucks (SBUX +3.56%) and Texas Roadhouse (TXRH +2.15%) to see which is a better buy today.
Starbucks operates a sprawling network of company-owned and licensed cafes, relying on its premium brand and massive scale to dominate the global coffee market. Texas Roadhouse focuses on a high-energy, casual dining experience within the United States, prioritizing value and hospitality. While both are giants in the dining space, their financial structures and growth trajectories differ significantly.
The case for StarbucksStarbucks generates revenue by roasting and selling high-quality arabica coffee, tea, and food through its vast network of retail stores. The company leverages three primary channels: company-operated cafes, licensed stores, and its Channel Development segment, which brings packaged goods to grocery shelves. A critical part of its global distribution is handled through a partnership with Nestlé, which manages certain Starbucks-branded products internationally.
In FY 2025, revenue reached nearly $37.2 billion, up roughly 2.8% from the previous year. Despite the increase in sales, net income for the period was approximately $1.9 billion, resulting in a net margin of 5.0%. This figure reflects a decrease from the previous year, as the company faced shifting consumer habits and rising operational costs across its global markets.
From a financial health perspective, Starbucks reported a debt-to-equity ratio of -3.3x as of September 2025, indicating that its total liabilities exceed its shareholders’ equity. The current ratio, which measures the ability to pay short-term bills with short-term assets, was roughly 0.7x. The company remains a cash-generating machine among consumer discretionary stocks, producing roughly $2.4 billion in free cash flow, which is the money left over after paying for operations and equipment.
The case for Texas RoadhouseTexas Roadhouse operates a growing portfolio of casual dining brands, including its namesake steakhouse, Bubba’s 33, and Jaggers. The company differentiates itself through a focus on large portions, made-from-scratch food, and a lively atmosphere that targets families and value-conscious diners. As of late 2025, the company managed over 800 locations, primarily concentrated in the United States, where it has built a loyal following for its signature steaks and ribs.
For FY 2025, the company reported revenue of close to $5.9 billion, a healthy increase of approximately 9.4% over the prior year. Net income for the year was approximately $405.6 million, resulting in a net margin of 6.9%. This higher net margin relative to peers highlights the company’s ability to maintain profitability amid inflationary pressures in the food service industry.
As of the December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio was approximately 1.3x, representing total debt relative to shareholder equity. The current ratio was roughly 0.5x, suggesting a lean approach to managing short-term assets relative to liabilities. During FY 2025, the company generated free cash flow of nearly $342.1 million, which it used to fund new restaurant openings and maintain its existing locations.
Risk profile comparisonStarbucks faces significant risks from its heavy concentration in North America, which accounted for roughly 74% of its FY 2025 revenue. The company is also navigating a changing labor landscape, as unions have gained representation at approximately 6% of its domestic stores. Furthermore, because it relies on premium arabica coffee, volatility in commodity prices can create sudden pressure on its net margin, especially when competing with value-oriented rivals like McDonald's (MCD +0.80%).
Texas Roadhouse deals with its own geographic risks, as it has a high concentration of stores in Texas and Florida. The company is particularly sensitive to the cost of beef, which experienced higher-than-normal inflation throughout 2025. Additionally, the steakhouse chain competes for labor and customers against large casual dining operators like Darden Restaurants (DRI +3.54%), making it vulnerable to rising wages and shifts in consumer discretionary spending.
Valuation comparisonTexas Roadhouse currently trades at a lower multiple of both sales and estimated earnings, making it the more affordable option based on traditional valuation metrics.
MetricStarbucksTexas RoadhouseSector BenchmarkForward P/E39.9x26.6x29.5xP/S ratio2.9x1.9xSector benchmark uses the SPDR XLY sector ETF.
Valuation metrics sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from other data providers.
Both Texas Roadhouse and Starbucks face considerable challenges in 2026, including soaring commodity prices and competition for labor. Also, consumers tend to watch their spending in times of economic uncertainty, which we are currently experiencing. But the two companies are taking very different paths this year. Texas Roadhouse is holding steady, and Starbucks is working toward a turnaround strategy. Which stock is more attractive today?
First off, aside from serving vastly different products, the two companies target different demographics. Texas Roadhouse’s casual dining locations appeal to value-conscious diners and have developed a loyal following. While other restaurants are struggling to bring in customers, it has maintained strong traffic. Its sales remain steady, and the company is still expanding. Rising food costs, beef in particular, have been a concern, though.
Starbucks targets a more affluent customer base. It is somewhat of a luxury product, but that doesn’t give it unlimited pricing power. It faces intense competition from a wide variety of other coffee chains and even restaurants like McDonald’s. It is also dealing with rising costs for its specialty coffee beans. Starbucks has struggled a bit but is attempting a “Back to Starbucks” turnaround by simplifying its menu, along with other initiatives.
Starbucks could generate strong returns if its recovery gains momentum, but I’d choose Texas Roadhouse because, in my mind, proven execution is better than a turnaround still in progress.
Determining the right investment in the restaurant world often comes down to choosing between value and growth. Investors are currently weighing Bloomin' Brands (BLMN +8.77%) against Texas Roadhouse (TXRH +2.15%) to see which fits better.
While both companies operate in the casual dining space, their financial health and expansion strategies differ significantly. One relies on a multi-brand approach while the other focuses on a dominant, high-traffic core concept.
The case for Bloomin' BrandsBloomin' Brands operates a multi-concept strategy centered on its flagship brand, Outback Steakhouse, alongside Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming Prime Steakhouse. This variety allows the company to capture different consumer preferences within the retail stocks space. The company serves guests across more than 1,450 locations globally.
In FY 2025, the company reported revenue of nearly $4 billion, representing about an 11% decline from the prior year. Net income for the period was approximately $96 million, also a drop from 2024.
As of its December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio was roughly 9.2x. This ratio measures total debt against shareholder equity, and a high figure suggests the company relies heavily on debt.
The case for Texas RoadhouseTexas Roadhouse focuses on a high-volume, dinner-only model (though lunch is offered on weekends) that prioritizes speed and guest turnover. The company manages a system of more than 820 restaurants, including its secondary concepts, Bubba’s 33 and Jaggers. By keeping its menu focused and its atmosphere energetic, the chain maintains high average unit volumes.
For FY 2025, the company generated revenue of approximately $5.9 billion, a notable 9.4% increase over the prior year. Net income reached $405.6 million, demonstrating the company’s strong ability to convert sales into profit.
Based on the December 2025 balance sheet, the company carries a debt-to-equity ratio of roughly 1.3x. This suggests a more conservative balance between debt and equity compared to many peers.
Risk profile comparisonBloomin' Brands faces significant pressure from intense competition in the casual dining sector from rivals like Darden Restaurants (DRI +3.54%) and Brinker International NYSE:EAT). The company is particularly sensitive to beef price volatility. Any disruption in this supply chain or a spike in costs could weigh heavily on its narrow net margin.
Texas Roadhouse is highly geographically concentrated, with approximately 21% of its corporate-owned locations in Texas and Florida. This makes the company vulnerable to regional economic downturns or natural disasters in those specific states. Additionally, the company faces rising commodity costs and must compete for labor in a tight market against other large operators like Darden Restaurants.
Valuation comparisonBloomin' Brands appears to be a deep-value play, trading at much lower multiples, whereas Texas Roadhouse trades at a significant premium due to its superior profitability.
MetricBloomin' BrandsTexas RoadhouseSector BenchmarkForward P/E8.6x26.0x29.5xP/S ratio0.2x1.9xSector benchmark uses the SPDR XLY sector ETF.
Valuation metrics sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from other data providers.
Which stock would I buy in 2026?In the current ‘K-shaped’ economic environment in the U.S., in which the wealthy continue to see their situation improve but the average consumer is feeling squeezed, affordable dining options are a good place to hunt for restaurant investments.
Texas Roadhouse’s locations are overwight to Texas and Florida, the latter state of which is particularly sensitive to consumer cutbacks in spending during tight economic times. While the U.S. economy continues to grow, consumers remain wary of increasing spending. The company reported labor and food cost inflation that outpaced the growth in foot traffic. That suggests some weakness for the chain.
Bloomin’ Brands, meanwhile, centers around its widely recognized Outback Steakhouse franchise. While the first quarter was weaker than anticipated, the brand trust scores around Outback have been rising, suggesting that management’s plan to reinvigorate the chain through location refurbishments and aggressive loyalty program offerings shows promise. Management is also focusing on paying down debt to put the business on a stronger financial footing for the long run. There’s no denying that the current year promises to be flat to up slightly for Bloomin’s same-store sales, but it appears there is a plan to get the chain going again.
Investing in Bloomin’ Brands isn’t a slam dunk — its low 8.6 times forward price-to-earnings ratio compared to the sector’s 29.5 P/E suggests a lot of skepticism on the stock. But with consumers continuing to signal that they are seeking out value, Bloomin’s value offerings and strong brand suggest this may be a good buy-low opportunity.
